THE UNIVERSITY OF ILLINOIS LIBRARY PWK REMARKS • ^ t^^y^^c^^ ON CURRENCY ANB COMMERCE. % jnUN WHEAT LEY, Efq. Mmm^ PRINTED BY T. BURTON, LITTLE qUEEN STBIKT. fOR MESSRS. CADELL AND DAVIES, STKAND. 1803. PREFACE. JL HE following Work is written to elucidate the principles of National Wealth, which, notwithftanding the inquiry of Dr. Adam Smith, appear to me to be infufficiently underftood. Though his work be more lutminous' on this fubjecl than that of any other author, it has bad no influence to efFc6i: an alteration in our policy. A 2 The The Balance of Trade is the fyf- tem by which we have been hitherto fuppofed to acquire our wealth. It neccffarily, therefore, prefcnts itfelf as the firft objed: of attention in thefe Remarks I am well aware of the difficulties that attend its difcuffion. The late Mr. Irving*, whofe talents were devoted to the ftudy of this fubje6tj acknowledged that there were few queflions, to which the hu- man attention could be diredled, more difficult to form an opinion upon than this. Mr. Hume and Sir James Steuart were equally fenlible of its in- tricacy. I truft, therefore, that * Vide Report of the Secret Committee of the Houfe of Commons, page 111. fome V fome allowance will be made for the errors which I may have committed. The fubjed of Currency is fo inti- mately conncdled with that of Com- merce, that one can fcarcely be confi- dered without the other. From Mr. Thornton's effay on Paper Credit I have received confiderable affiftance. It is written with ability and fpirit ; and, though by the courfe of my ar- gument 1 am led to a different con- clufion on the policy of circulating the paper of country banks, it is with great diffidence that I offer an opinion againft fuch high authority. I am confcious that this inquiry, from the complicated nature of the fubjcd, VI fubjecft, muft be in many inftances de- fedive; but I offer it to the public much more as the Profpedus of a future Work than as a diftindt Treatifc in its prefent fliape. CONTENTS CHAP. I. Page On the Utility of Money I CHAP. II. On the Balance of Trade 57 CHAP. HI. On Commerce - - - loa CHAP. IV. €>n the Depreciati§n of Money - - 171 CHAP. V. On the Reformation of the Paper Currency of this Country - - - - 198 CHAP. VI. On the Reduction of the National Debt by the Deprefwn of Money - - - 231 ON THE UTILITY OF MONEY. CHAP. L Previous to entering upon the fubjea:^ matter of this work, it is neceffary to explain the fundamental principles upon which its future reafoning is grounded. Moll of the errors in our prefent commercial and finan- cial fyftem, appear to me to arife from a miftaken opinion of the UtiHty of Money ; money and wealth have always been ufed as fynonimous terms ; and as the principle, that an increafe of money conftituted an in- treafe of wealth, feemcd too obvious to the tmderftanding to admit of invcftigation, our policy has hitherto been exclufively direfled B to ( 2 ) to its accumulation as the only means of advancing our opulence. This policy has been examined at great length and with great ability by Dr. Adam Smith -, but as his in- quiry into the properties of money was not fufficiently minute to imprefs general con- vi61ion, his examination has had little efFe6l to divert our policy to the true obje6l to which it fhould be dire6ted for the augmen- tation of our wealth, the increafe of produce, and not the increafe of money. To give our policy this direction is the purport of the following work. The fundamental principles, which I fliall endeavour to eftablifh, have already been partially advanced by prior authors, and par- ticularly by Mr. Hume in his political trails ; his opinions have been canvaiTed by Sir James Steuart, the principal fupporter of our prefent fyftem, upon whofe arguments I .{l:iall offer fome obfervations at the clofe of the chapter. The ( 3 ) The fundamental principles which I fhall attempt to prove are thefe : That an increafe of the national ftock of fpecie is an increafe of eurrency, and not of capital. That an increafe of currency is not an in- creafe of wealth. And that no one nation can pofTefs a greater relative currency than another. The exclufive Utility of Money confifts in its properties as an univerfal meafure of va- lue, and an univerfal medium of exchange. As it forms the univerfal meafure of value, every one eftimates his capital by the quantity of money it is worth. A merchant fays of himfelf, that he is worth forty thoufand pounds, or a hundred thoufand pounds, becaufe the capital, of which he is poilefTed, is capable of being converted into fuch a fum at his option, and not becaufe it a6lually B 2 confifts ( 4 ) confifts of fo much money: the perfon of landed or funded property, when fpeaking of his colle6live wealth, always makes the fame remark ; and though from the quantity of currency in the country, and from the average demand for the capital which he pos- fesses, there exifts a facility of his making the converfion at his pleafure; yet at the time that he makes the aflertion; he has not perhaps twenty pounds of cafli in his pof- feffion. No individual, when he is alked the queftion of what he is worth, enumerates his lands, his houfes, his (lock, his mortgages, or whatever may be the nature of his pro- perty, but immediately mentions the fum, into which the whole of his property may be converted -, and unlefs he eftimated it by this univerfal meafure of value, he would not be underllood. It is this property that conflitutes the pe- culiar ufe of money, as it enables us to com- pute the value given, and the value received, to afcertain the equivalency ©f exchange through ( s ) through the various relations of fociety. The wages of labour, the profits of flock, and the commercial interchanges between nation and nation j are exclufively eftimated at their proportional value by this meafurc. To maintain the uniformity of the meafure is the conflant effort of every individual, and of every nation -, and in a fubfequent part of this work I fhall endeavour to point out the means which are taken for this purpofe. It is this property that peculiarly adapts it for a medium of exchange. But as the only Utility of the Money is for the exchange, immediately that one capital, or fome por- tion of a capital, is fold, another is bought. No one keeps the money beyond the oppor- tunity of making the converfion to moft ad- vantage. If any pcrfon were delirous of exchanging his eflate in one country for an eflate in another, for the purchafc of govern- ment fecurities, or for the difcharge of claims, the purchafe money would be in- flantly applied to the purpofe for v/hich the exchange ( 6 ) exchange was made, and inftantly re-appro- priated to the general circulation of the country. But from thefe united properties of mo- ney, as a meafure of value, and a medium of exchange, we ufually affix the idea of the real pofleffion of fo much money, when we talk of the capital of an individual 3 and fo familiar is the cuflom, that we feldom ad- vert to the fpecific property of which it a6lually confilts -, we even find it difficult to diveft ourfelves of the idea, that it does not really confift of money. The cuftomary terms of converfation imply, that we think more of the money than the money's worth ; we fay of a rich man that he has a great deal of money, and of a perfon becoming fo, that he is getting money, without adverting to the money as a meafure of value, but thinking at the time that it actually conili- tutes the wealtli o5 which we fpeak. From this familiar habit of expreffion we are inad- vertently led to infer that money conilitutes the ( 7 ) the capital of an individual, and thence that it conftitutes the capital of a nation. When we fpeak of the commercial as the monied intereil, an opinion is always im- plied, that their capital confifls of money. But though the capital of the merchant is more frequently converted into money, than the capital of the land proprietor, yet in this, as well as in every other inftance, recourfe is only had to this medium for the purpofe of enabling him to exchange his exifling property into property of another fhape with more facility. It is no longer retained in money than is correfpondent with his inte- refl J and as pending its continuance in this ftate there is a total fufpenfion of profit, its detention is not likely to be of long dura- tion. No capital is ever converted into this medium for the purpofe of being perma- nently retained in a mafs of money. Among the annals of domeftic narrative two or three folitary inftances of an eccentric character are recorded, where a mifcrly being has con- verted ( 8 ) verted his property into fpecie, and hoarded it in treafure for partial confumption, as thie paucity of his wants required. But I thinl?; I may venture to affert, without any great probability of a violation of truth, that na iuch character now exifts ; or at lead the inftance muft be fo rare, that it cannot be faid to militate againil: the general conclu- fion, that the capital of no individual in the country is retained in money. I admit that the exifting flock of fpecie, at any given moment, conftitutes the capital, or a portion of the capital of many individuals ; but it is difcharging the functions of cur- rency at the tinfie that it forms them. The fame money which conftitutes the capital of an indi\ridual merchant at one moment, in the fpace of a fhort time may conftitute the capital of five hundred ; — and the compa- ratively fmall fum of ten millions, may be capable of anfwering all the necefTary pur- pofes of circulation in a great commercial (^ity, where the aggregate capital of the in- habitants ( 9 ) Iwbitants may be of the value of two hun- dred millions, and may form, by turns, the capitals of all. Though large fums of money are necef- fary for moving the more important tranf- aclions of trade, their magnitude does not alter the nature of money, and convert it into capital, becaufe it is occupied in circu- lating the materials of the merchant, when it is acknowledged to be currency in circu- lating thofe of the retail trader. The tran- fit of large fums from hand to hand, is as rapid in the city of London, as the tranfit of fmaller fums in the inferior tranfadlions of the country village : and though it may conftitute the capital of many individuals in its tranfit, it is not more ftationary in the one inftance than in the other. The deten- tion of money in a ftate of flagnation for the formation of capital, is obviovfly witli- out foundation j no one would retain it for the improvement of his property, as money- is incapable, like produce, of being worked into ( 10 ) into profit, or exchanged to advantage : and no one would retain it for expenditure, as expenditure, however gradual, mult even- tually lead to its confumption. The Utility of Money confifts exclulive- ly in forming the meafure of value, by which all property is edimated 3 and the medium of exchange, by which one proper- ty is transferred for another. For this pur- pofe it was invented -, and in the difcharge of thefe functions, the whole exifling fpecie of the world is, without any ftagnation, in the form of capital invariably occupied. But there is one exception to this argu- ment. — The a6live capital of fociety confifts in its produftive ftock, and the income of fociety in the produce arifmg from it. Mo- ney in a ftate of currency can form no part of either the one or the other : but in their mi- neral ftate, the precious metals may form a portion of both. Gold and filver mines may certainly conftitute a large component part of ( " ) of the produ6live ftock of a nation, and may yield by their produce a confiderable income. But the immediate produce of bulUon from the mine has no common pro- perties with money in a flate of circulation: it is precifely fimilar to all other merchan- dize, influenced by the fame caufes, and re- gulated by the fame principles. It does not form a medium of exchange, for which an equivalent has been given, and for which no more than an equivalent can be received, and aft folely as agent for the transfer of commodities, but it is an original produce, for which no equivalent has been given j and which, like the iron and lead that iiiiie from their refpe6live mines, affords a clear gain, exclufive of the expence of produc- tion. Money, in a flate of currency, has no power to augment the wealth of a nation. Its fole occupation is to exchange, not in- crcafc, the produce and productive flock of fociety : and, though it forms as it circulates, the ( J2 ) the whole or a portion of its wealth, yet as it is invariably bought and fold for its equi- valent, it has no power of adding to its opu- lency. But bullion from the mine may confiderably augment the wealth of a na- tion ; for though it may be coined into mo- ney, for the purpofe of conftituting the in- ternal circulation of the country to which the mine belongs, from a mifconception of the principles of national wealth, yet, as the intereft of individuals never fails to defeat fuch a proje6l: on the part of government, by exchanging it for additional produce, it augments in proportion to this addition the wealth of a nation. If then it may be inferred, fj'om the fore- going oblervations, that all the fpecie exifling in a nation mufi be appropriated to the pur- pofes of circulation j that it conftitutes cur- rency, and not capital i it follows as a ne- cefTary confequence, that an increafe of the national flock of fpecie muft be an increafe of currency. I fliall ( -3 ) I fliall now therefore endeavour to prove, that an increafe of currency is not an in- creafe of wealth. Every individual is fenfible, that if he pofTelTed fo much money, he could com- mand fo much produce ; and if he pofTefred fo much more money, that he could com- mand fo much more produce : and it may be naturally concluded, that, what is true of an individual, muft be true of the collec- tive body J and that an increafe of money in a nation, muft be an increafe of wealth. But as in an increafe of currency all acquire in the fame ratio, unlefs obftrucled by ex- ifting contrafls, no one will be in a better relative fituation than another 5 no one will receive a greater or lefs quantity than that proportion, which is competent to maintain him in the fame relative pofition in fociety. The great Utility of Money is its property as the meafure of equivalency. Man- kind find out w ith ready facility whether the money they obtain for their labour or pro- duce ( H ) duce can meafure the fame quantity, or command the fame quantity of the necefla- ries and luxuries of life, which they have been accuftomed to receive for it. Their v/ages or their profits are the meafure of that quantity, and no one will fubmit to an alteration of the meafure to his own detri- ment. No one will fuffer his produce to be fold at the fame price, when the produce of another is advanced, as it would confound the equality of exchange, and prevent the fame quantity of money from being the meafure of equivalency between the refpec- tive produce of the one, and the refpe6live produce of the other, by making more of the one exchange for lefs of the other than previous to the augmented currency. The price of all things, therefore, foon be- comes commenfurate with the increafe ; and the exifting relations between man and man are unalterably maintained in the fame ftate, though all receive a greater nominal income. If there were a general increafe of cur- rency in this country to fuch an extent that all ( 15 ) all could receive as many guineas as they now receive (hillings, no one would be in a better relative fituation than he is at prefent. If the peafantry of the country received as many guineas a week, as they now receive fliillings, and the gentlemen of property re- ceived as many guineas a year, as they now receive fliillings, the gentleman and the pea- fant would (till continue in the fame relation to each other : and though guineas would be circulated as Shillings, no one would receive more for his guinea, than he nov/ receives for his (hilling. Money can be of no greater value than the produce for which it will ex- change j and if one piece of money would exchange for the fame produce as another, they mufl necelTarily be of the fame value. The livre in France was once cnxulated at the value of an Englifli pound, and is now circulated at the value of an EngUih ten- pence : but as it will nov/ only exchange for a four and twentieth part of the value for which it would have formerly exchanged, no one is now richer in tlie pofle/hon of four and ( »6 ) and twenty, than he would formerly have been in the polTexTion of one. Four and twenty form the meafure of value, where one formerly fufficed; and all produce is now eftimated at four and twenty, which was formerly eftimated at one. It is thus, that a nation may be juft a^ rich with a currency of five millions, as with a currency of fifty. The greater or lefs quantity is no criterion of its wealth. The wealth of a nation confifts in the aggregate produce arifing from its productive ftock 5 for the equal interchange of which, between man and man, money forms only the mea- fure of value ; and whether five pieces, or whether fifty pieces, conftitute the meafure for the fame quantity of produce, is of no confequence. If a nation grew more pro- duce with a currency of five than with a currency of fifty, it would, in proportion to the excefs, be more opulent : and, in that cafe, the five millions would be worth more than the fifty ; as any given proportion of the ( 17 ) the five would excI:Kange for a greater quan- tity of produce, than a fimilar proportion of the fifty, and exchanging for more would be of more value. As money is exclufively appropriated to exchange, and does not participate in the nature of produce which is grown for con- fumption, an increafe of money, retained for internal circulation, has no effefl, like an increafe. of produce, to augment the wealth of a nation. The greater the quantity in circulation, the lower will be its flandard as a meafure of equivalency, the greater will be the quantity given in exchange between pro- duce and produce, and the higher will be the price of all things. But as an advance in the price of produce, and a redu6lion in the value of money, are fynonimous terms, an increafe of money has no other effeft than to caufe its own deprefhon : this effecl was fenfibly experienced in the reign of Eliza- beth, when the remittances from America confulcrably augmented the currency of Eu- C rope. ( >8 , rope, and proportionally added to the fpecie of this country in common with the reft. But this increafe had no other operation thaa to raife the price of produce, and augment the nominal incomes of all, without making any addition to their real opulence,, as their incomes exchanged for no more fubfequeat to the increafe than before it, and exchang- ing for no more, i could be of no greater value. The leading chara(£lers of her reign were fo well aware of this circumftance, that in the inftance of leafes from colleges, a re- fervation w as made of a third of the rent in corn, in order to prevent their impoverilh- ment by the receipt of a fixed money rent from a further alteration of its value, which a further increafe v/ould have necefTarily effefled. The beneficial confequence^ refus- ing from this policy have been too repeatedly noticed by other authors to require any com-^ rnent from me. ^t is imagined by fome, that an increafe of currency gives a ftimulus to induftry by a partial ( 19 ) partial advance of prices -, but it appears to me to have no fuch efFe6l. The wages of labour would be only augmented in propor- tion to the increafe, and would purchafe no greater quantity of produce after the aug- mentation than before it. As no greater ftimulus would therefore in reality exift, no greater efFeft is likely to be produced by the deception. That Europe is advancing in opulence there can be no doubt, but not from this caufe. Spain is conclufive tefti- mony, that it does not necefTarily conduce to national induftry ; nor are there any means by which it can have this effefl. As all the Ipecie retained in a nation muft be appro- priated to the purpofes of circulation, if an increafe of money be effeded without an in- creafe of produce, it muft be occupied by the produce already exifting, and make a proportionate advance in its price, without any power to augment its quantity. If our Cornifh mines could produce annually a mil- lion of money, there is no doubt but that the proprietors would be the richer -by the equi- C 2 valcnt ( 20 ) valent which they procured -, but the nation would not be fo, as it could procure no equi- valent, unlefs the additional fum were ex- ported for additional produce. If it were re- tained for internal circulation, as it could obvioufly occafion no inflantaneous increafe of produce, and as it would not remain in a ftate of ftagnation till the proportionate in- creafe were effe61:ed, it mufl be neceflarily occupied by its exifting produce. A partial rife would take place in the price of all things, unlefs twenty times its value could be inflantly procured, or whatever be the quantity of produce neceffary for the occu- pation of fuch an increafe of currency at the exifting prices. If then the currency of a nation be aug-, niented to any extent, and retained for the purpofe of internal circulation, no additional wealth would be attained, as any given, pro- portion of the augmented currency would Exchange for no greater quantity of produce, than a funilar proportion of the currency that ( 21 ) that exifted previous to the augmentation. There is therefore no foundation for the fuppofition that an increafe of currency con- ftitutes an increafe of wealth. But immediately that any one nation ftiould collect to itfelf fuch a quantity of currency, as to have a tendency to circulate its produce at a higher price than others, foreign produce would be attra6kd by the advance in its maiket, and take off the fur- plus currency i which leads me to an exami- nation of the third pofition, that no one na- tion can pofTefs a greater relative currency than another. There is the fame exertion among nations as among individuals to maintain the uni- formity of the meafure of value, whether money be deprelfed or elevated by an increafe or redudlion of currency. I before obferved, that no individual, in the fame nation, would fubmit to a material depreflion in the efli- mate of his labour or produce in any inftance where ( 22 ) where he could procure a better market. If a general increafe of currency were effe6led, the peafant or manufadurer would not fell his labour at one place for lefs, if by remov- ing to another, he could fell it for more of the neceffaries of life. He would naturally go, if no impediment obftru6led his removal, where his labour was moft liighly eftimated. This attention to individual intereft, has a conilant tendency to promote an equalization of the wages of labour, and prevents their elevation at one place confiderably above their llandard at another. The fame attention to individual intereft prevents any particular produce from ex- changing at one place for more value than it does at another in the fame country. As money is the mcafure of the value of other produce which it is capable of procuring in exchange, the proprietor will naturally con- vey it where it will fell to moft advantage. It is impoflible, that wheat could be at ten ihillings a bufhel at Oxford, and at fifteen ihillings ( 23 ) (hillings a bufhel in London; as long ere this difference exiiled, the wheat of Oxford would have been conveyed to London to equalize the price, and reflify the meafure of value. It is impoffible, therefore, that any local rife could exift in the price of pro- duce, or that any particular town or diftri6t could pofTefs a greater relative currency than others in the fame country, as it muft necef- farily create a partial rife. Wherever there was a tendency to this cxcefs, the produce of remoter diftricls would be attra^led by the advance of its market, and draw off the fur- plus currency. The difpofition to buy cheap, as well as to fell dear, would make the poffeffors of the money as ready to part with it to their advantage, as the poffeffors of the produce to procure it for theirs. The uniformity of the meafure of value is thus maintained, and the fame commodity is made to exchange for the fame quantity of other produce in every part of the kingdom. Whether, therefore, currency, increafe, or de- creafe, ( H ) creafe, whether prices be advanced or deprefT- ed, money ftill maintains its property as a meafure of equivalency. There muft be a ' greater or fmaller number of pieces given, in proportion as it is augmented or reduced v but the fame number would notwithftand- ing be given, in both inflances, for the fame produce in every part of the country. I do not mean to contend that no dif- ference can exift in the price of the fame pro:- duce at any two diftinch places; but that the general attention of all to their indi- vidual interefls, has a tendency to approxi- mate them fa nearly to an equality, as to prevent much difference beyond the expence- of conveyance. The difficulties of convey- ance muft always make a certain difference. In commodities that are either of great bulk, or are eafily perilliable, there muft always be fome variation, as there are no means of conveying them from tlie place whcrc they are cheapeft, to the place where they are on this very account deareft, without great ex- pence 3 and this expence muft be neceffarily included { 25 ) included in the price. But as this difficulty IS only experienced in a few commodities, and as all other produce, by the emulation of individuals to take advajitage of a rife in the market, is nearly fold at par in every part of the kingdom, it follows as a necef- fary confequence, that no one diftri<51: can poficfs a much greater relative currency tlian nn other. But for the fame reafon, that no one par- ticular town or dillricl can pofFefs a greater relative currency than another, in the fame country, no one nation can poffefs a greater relative currency than another, in the world at large. If by a partial increafe of currency in a particular country, its prices were ad- vanced above the prices of other nations, foreign produce \\Guld be attracted by the rife in its market and draw off tlic furplus currency. In the commercial intercourfc between nation and nation, money is in the fame manner the mcafure of equivalency as in the domeftic intercourfe between man and man. The facility with which the recipro- cal ( 26 ) cal communication of nations is carried oit> has a neceflary influence on the markets of all, and approximates the price of their pro- duce to a general level. If it be found that a particular commodity could purchafe only five pounds weight of fdver at home, and could purchafe fix pounds weight of fdver abroad, it would naturally be fent abroad for the moft favourable exchange. Not only foreign produce would be attracted to the country pofTelling the redundant currency by the advance of its market, in order that it might fell dear -, but its money, notwith- ftanding the prohibitions of government, would be clandeftinely exported, in order that it it might buy cheap. The fame at- tention to individual intereft, therefore, will caufe the fame exertions among nations, as among individuals, to equaUze the ftandard of money, as the common medium of men- furation. But there are two caufes that operate in the commercial intercourfe of nations, to prevent ( 27 ) prevent a complete equalization of prices iil the fame produce; the difficulties of inter- courfe on account of the diftance, and on account of reftri(5lions on the freedom of trade. The difficulties of intercourfe, from dillance, cannot create fo great a difference in the circulating price of any given com- modity In any two diftin6l nations, as to afford an extraordinary profit to the mer- chant who tranfported it from one country to the other. The competition of nations has iubfifted too long to afford any extravagant profit above the common mercantile com- miffion ; but the difabilities of trade, arifmg from prohibition, may make an effential dif- ference in the price of the contraband goods. During the late fcarcity, fronj the reflri6live regulations of France, the price of wheat in London was nearly double the price in Paris, which could never have fubfifled, had the freedom of intercourfe been permitted. But though the difficulties of conveyance, and the prohibitions of government, create a ncceffary variation in prices proportionate to thicr ( 28 ) their extent, yet, uninterrupted by thefe dif- abilities, the a^ion of money, direfted by individual intereft, has an uniform tendency to make any given quantity of the fame pro- duce exchange for the fame value in every part of the vi^orld. In order to jQiew the impra(5licabillty of accumulating a currency in one country, above the relative currency of others, it is only neceffary to examine the effea: which this attempt has produced in the inilance of Spain. Spain has annually received from her American mines between three and four millions of pounds flerling for thefe laft two centuries, and has made every exertion in her power to retain them for her internal circulation; but, notwithftanding her re- ftriaive fyftem, flie now poffefTes a lefs cur- rency than any nation in Europe. The cur- rency of England has been eftimated at forty millions of fpecie; but I ihali hereafter en- deavour to point out the inaccuracy of this calculation; the currency of France at eighty; and ( 29 ) and the currency of Spain at * ten millions of pounds fterlingj but, had her prohibitory regulations been attended with fuccefs, her circulating medium would have now amount- ed to many hundred millions inftead of ten. But as foon as it w^as perceived that fhe had a tendency to circulate her produce at a higher price than otlier nations from her redundant currency, foreign produce was attrafted by the rifmg market i and, notwithftanding the vigilance of government, the Sapaniards al- ways found means to part with their fpecie, when they could exchange it for a greater quantity of foreign than home produce. So long as there is no one who would give a guinea for a commodity at home, which he could procure from abroad, by giving only a /hilling, all reftri6lions to compel a nation to detain its fpecie, muft ever prove totally inefFe6lual. Self-intereft is the mofl: powerful fpring of human adions ; and when tlie regulations Vide M' Arthur's Trafls, nngc 293, of ( 30 ) of government countei*a6l this principle, the moft arbitrary power is incapable of enforc- ing their obfervance. The prohibitory laws of Spain were unprodudive of their defired eiFeft; the furp! as of her currency, that ex- cefs which would have enabled her to have circulated her produce at a higher price, was annually divided among other nations, by the import of foreign mercliandize ; and in- ftead of being occupied by her exifting pro- duce, and operating to no other puipofe than its own depreflion, it was annually exported for an inereafe of produce 5 and in propor- tion to that inereafe, augmented the wealth of the country. Her own intereft combined with the intereft of other nations to prevent the appropriation of the annual fupply to her internal circulation. The detention woukl have produced -no other effect than the depreciation of its value ; and to avoid this deterioration of their property, was as much the object of every individual in the country, as it was the objedl of its govern- ment to enforce it. The ( 31 ) In every inftance, therefore, where a fiml- lar fupply is imported, a fimilar efFe6l muft enfue. It cannot be added to the circula- ting medium of a country, as it would carry the prices of its produce confiderably above the produce of other nations, and confound the meafure of equivalency. It cannot in- creafe its produce, as the increafe cannot be inftantaneoufly effefted -, and as money will not reft in a ftate of ftagnation till the aug- mentation take place, it can only be ap- propriated to the purchafe of foreign pro- duce, and exported to the country where it will exchange to moft advantage. If thefe obfervations be corre6l, it follows as a necelTary confequence, that no one na- tion can poffefs a greater or lefs currency than its due proportion ^ than that propor- tion, which is competent to circulate its pro- duce, as nearly as pofTible at par with foreign nations. That in whatever inftance it Ihould be augmented above this proportion, foreign produce would be attracted by tlie advance { 32 ) advance of its market, and take off the iUr- plus cun-ency. That in whatever inftancc it iliould be reduced below this proportion, foreign bullion would be attracted by the cheapncfs of its market, and fupply the re- quifite addition; and tliat no permanent vari- ation can be efFe6led in the value of money to prevent its univerfal agency as a common meafure of equivalency. Though the redrictions of government Iiave had no effecl in obilructing the export of fpecie in the fhape of coin or bullion, when it was the intereft of individuals to export it ; yet the regulations that were found neceffary for the prevention of frauds in coinage, have diiqualified the current coin of one country from becoming the cur- rency of another. But the quantity of fpecie in this, and evei'y other country, would have been precifely of the fame amount if the currency of each, inftead of being at- tempted to l>e confined to the partial circu- lation of the nation, whofe ftamp it bore, had ( 33 ) had partaken of the general circulation of the world, and without being regarded as the exclufive property of one, had been in- difcriminately admitted in all. The prohi- bitory regulations which the governments of Europe have cftablifhed, would have perhaps never been adopted, had not the principle been too inconfiderately admitted, that an increaie of money was an increafe of wealth. I fliall now make fome obfervations on Sir James Steuart's examination of the prin- ciple, that the price of produce is propor- tionate to the quantity of currency i but, as a particular inquiry into his theory would exceed the limits of thefe remarks, I fhall merely notice the pofitions, which by the general fcope of his reafoning, from page 400 to page 414, he has attempted to efta- blifli. He is of ophiion, that an increaie of money muft either operate to an increaie of demand, which muft confequently augment the fupply, and reduce prices to their former D ftandard, ( 34 ) ftandard, or that it muft wait not only the call of a defirein the proprietors to confume, but of the indufrnous to fatisfy this call ; and that an increafe of money has no necef- fary tendency to efFe6l a permanent advance in the price of produce. But if the principle were true, that an in- creafe of money led to an increafe of produce, money would for the moft part have pre- ferved an invariable flandard through all ages, as Sir James Steuart acknowledges, that if produce augmented in the fame pro- portion, there would be no advance of pri- ces : but from the earlieft period to the prefent times, as will be fufficiently evinced in a future part of this work, there has been an invariable deprefTion of the flandard of money. It is therefore evident, that the augmented demand in confequence of the increafe of money, has not occalioned a pro- portionate increafe of produce. The ( 35 ) The other pofition, that if money do not caufe this efFe^l, and augment the fupply of produce in proportion to its increafe, it will not enter into circulation, but be locked up in treafure, is contradidled by the fame fa6l, as if it had never entered into circulation, it could never have contributed to the advance ©f prices. But tliis opinion is too obvioufly groundlefs to need an anfvver. He fays, that the price of produce depends upon the comphcated operations of fupply and demand, of which there can be no doubt ; but it muft be at the fame time conceded, that the demand is always regulated by the general ability to pay, and not by the defire to have. Every perfon wants many things, which he cannot purchafe ; but he can only be faid to demand thofe, for which he pof- felTes an equivalent in money. The price of produce therefore, muft ever be regulated by the quantity of money in circulation for its purchafe, and its own quantity at the time to anfwer the demand. This connexion be- D 2 twecn ( 36 ) tween the quantity of money in the market to buy, and the quantity of produce in the market to be fold, is conftantly operating to a flu6luation -, and, in proportion to the ex- ccfs in currency above produce, to a gradual advance of prices. They are reciprocally balanced by each other. Every variation in the quantity of the one, efFe6ls an equal variation in the ftandard of the other, and prices are ever regulated by the proportion which the exiting quantity of the one bears to the exifting quantity of the other, I have no wifh to detra6l from the gene- ral merit of Sir James Steuart's Work. It contains a fund of matter from which a flatefman may fele6t much valuable infor- mation. But the inquiry of Dr. Adam Smith has fufhciently refuted the theory which he was defirous of eftablifhing. The ability of the author no one will difpute, if reafoning ingenioufly upon wrong principles can be properly termed ability, ON ON -THE BALANCE OF TRABE. CHAP. IL If the fundamental principles of the fore- going chapter be correal, that the colle6live fpecie of a nation conftitutes currency, and not capital, that an augmentation of curren- cy is not an augmentation of wealth, and that no one nation can accumulate a grea- ter Hock of fpecie than that proportion, which is adequate to circulate its produce, as nearly as poflible, at par with foreign na- tions, it appears to me imprafticable to fup- port the theory of the Balance of Trade. I do ( 38 ) I do not mean to contend that one nation cannot contra6l a debt with another, and that at any given moment a favourable balance may not be due ; but that this ba- lance can never be fo far favourable for a continued feries of time as to lead to the in- troduction of a greater quantity of money than to that addition, which is necellary to augment the currency of one country to an adequate proportion with the currency of others, and equalize the ftandard of money. At the time that this theory was efta- blifhed, as money and wealth were always ufcd as fynonimous terms, and as no work had then been publifhed illuftrative of pu- rer principles, the opinion was univerfally prevalent, that a nation became rich by the accumulation of its money ; and as it was experienced, that commerce augmented our opulence, it was naturally conceived, that it only conduced to it by the introdu6lion of money. It was therefore concluded, that if any plan could be devifed, which would icad ( 39 ) lead to an afcertainment of the quantity of money imported by our trade, it would necelTarily point out the accefllon that was made to our national wealth. For this pur- pofe the theory of the Balance of Trade was eftabliflied, and it was adopted \^'ith the fulleft conviftion, that it would accurately demonftrate the addition that was annually made to our capital, for fuch the aggregate fpecie of a nation was deemed, and form a body of indiiputable evidence to confirm our advancement in real opulence; From tlie formation of the theory, at the clofe of the feventeenth century, to the pre- fent day, it has received but little oppofition. Mr. Hume and Dr. Adam Smith, vvhofe pe- culiar habits of reflexion led them to pene- trate into its fallacy with keener intuition than mofl other men, have expofed its illufion with great ability j but as their hoftility did not dire6l them to a particular inveftigation of the principle upon which it is founded* their arguments have failed to imprcfs that general ( 40 ) general convi(5^ion, which a further inquiry, conduced by their talents, would probably have produced. Exclufive of thefe cele- brated characters, it has received for the mofl part the concurrence of mankind. From its neceffary implication of a certain portion of abftra6l matter, the movement of which requires fome patience of labour, the minds of moft are averfe to an enter- tainment of the fubje6l. To the complicated queflions that oppofe themfelves to its invef- tigation, the theory is indebted for its general reception j yet fuch is the fallacy of the fyitem that the acquiefence in its fa- vour has arifen much more from the diffi- culty of its refutation than from a clear conviftion of its truth. The arguments of Mr. Hume have in this inftance been again expofed to the criticifms of Sir James Steuart. But I fhall hereafter attempt to fliew that he has oppofed his reafoning upon erroneous principles. From { 4' ) From the natural anxiety among all na- tions to form a corre6l eftimate of their re- fources, this theory has obtained in evei*y commercial ftate, and in moft is highly ac- credited. In this country the invariable ex- cefs of exports above imports, which has led to the fuppofition of an uniform commer- cial gain has enhanced its value, as it has flattered our profpe6ls. In all the real and imaginary difficulties in which we have been involved, we have ever regarded it as the only indifputable criterion of remaining pi'o- perty. Throughout the whole of the prece- ding century we were animated by the hope that we had been annually gaining from all other nations animmenfe accelTion of wealth. Government participated in the general de- lufionj and the miniftcr of the day uniform- ly reforted to this topic with fuccefs, to illuf- trate the progrefTive opulence of the coun- try. But it appears to me, that io far from correlponding with the views of its authors, the ( 42 ) the whole fyftem is founded in error 3 that it has invariably tended to miflead, inftead of dire6l -, and that by the reftridive regula- tions which have been eflabliihed in confe- quence of it, it has confiderably obftruded our commercial aggrandizement. This theory is formed upon the follov/ing principle. If a nation export produce to the value of twenty miUions, and import produce to the value of fifteen, the difference is fup- pofed to be received in bullion (unlefs inter- cepted by foreign expenditure,) and added to the aggregate fpecie of the country, to which the exported produce belonged. It is grounded therefore upon a principle dire6lly oppofite to that upon which an individual merchant forms an eflimate of his private balance. The nation draws an inference of its gains from the excefs of its exports ; the merchant draws an inference of his gains from the ex- cefs ( 43 ) cefs of his imports. The balance- fheet of tl^ one therefore, is diredly oppofite to the ba- lance-fheetof the other. If a merchant export produce to the value of twenty thoufand pounds, and import produce to the value of twenty- jfive thouiand pounds, he juflly concludes that he has gained five thoufand pounds by his bufmcfs. But it is contended, on the contraiy, that the excefs of proceeds above returns conftitutes the profits of a nation, and if it export produce to the value of twenty millions, and import produce to the value of, fifteen, that it gains five millions by the bargain, becaufe it is pre- fumed that the difference is accumulated in capital, and permanently depofited in the country. But no attempt is made to prove the fmalleft acquifition of profit. The balance- fheet does not attempt to fhew that more has been received than given, as in the in- ftance of the mercantile balance. Jt is, on the contrary, apparent by its own (hewing, that. ( 44 ) that, even if the bullion were received, all equivalent in produce has been given for its purchafe. But as wealth was thought to conlift ill money, and as produce was only- valued as the means of procuring it, the re- ceipt of the bullion was fuppofed to form an accefllon to national wealth, and hence was deemed a favourable balance. This theory, therefore, is not grounded upon the principle of a commercial profit 5 but upon the principle of accumulation. It does attempt to give evidence of what pro- portion the nation has gained by its com- merce, but what proportion it has faved. It implies, that if we bought to the value of twenty millions, and fold to the value of fifteen, the diiference is faved and accumu- lated in capital, as a permanent depofit in the country. As therefore it is the fundamental princi- ple of the theory, that commerce enriches the country in proportion as it leads to the ac- cumulation ( 4S ) cumulation of money ; it is neceflary that the mon^y fhould be detained in order to fupport the pofition, that the nation is en- riched by its introduction. Its reappropri- ation to the purpofes of trade would place the country precifely in the fame pofition in which it was previous to the poirefFion of the balance. For as an equiva' ent has been given for its purchafe, and as no more than an equivalent can be received for it, the pro- duce which purchafed the bullion might, fo far as the wealth of the nation is concerned, have as well exchanged, in the firft inrtance, for the produce which the bullion purchafes> without its auxiliary intervention as a me- dium. If the bullion we receive from Portugal, in exchange for any given pro- duce, be eventually fent to China for teas, the teas of China might as well exchange, in the firft inftance, for the produce which was fent to Portugal, as exchange for the bullion that was received for it. The tran- fitory poficliion of the bullion may materi- ally facilitate the operations of trade; but if it ( 46 ) it be merely the inflrument of commerce, and its export be equal to its import, there is no foundation for faying that the nation is enriched by its introduction. The deten- tion of the money received, forms therefore a necelTary part of the fy item. • This theory then is grounded upon the following pofitions. That an increafe -of money conftitutes an increafe of wealth ; and that it is practicable for a nation to de- tain the money which it acquires, to any ex- tent, as a permanent depofit in the country. The fallacy of theJfe principles I attempted to expofe in the foregoing chapter. I en- deavoured to prove that an increafe of money was only an increafe of currency ^ and that augmented currency was not augmented wealth J that it advanced the price of pro- duce, without increafmg its quantity ^ and added to the nominal, without adding to the real, wealth of a country. I attempted alfo to fhew that no one nation would fubmit to fucli ( 47 > fuch a facrifice, as to detain its money for the fole purpofe of its depreciation, if it could exchange it to more advantage by fending it abroad. If then theV- pofitions be founded in truth, and we admit, for an inftant, that the theory of the balance of trade is corre6l, as, according to the fore- going principles, augmented currency is not augmented wealth j fo far from gaining an acceflion to its opulence, 'the nation would have loft -by the detention of the balance in an exa61: proportion to the value of the pro- duce which was fold for its purchafe. But as it is obvious that the fallacy of a principle, however illufive, can never have fuffiicient influence to fubject us to fuch a deception, it is neceifary to examine how far it be practicable for a nation to buy to a greater extent than it sell, and how far the theory can be borne out by facts. It is evi- dent that if any nation bought for a conti- nuance a greater quantity of produce than it lold, it muft, fooncr or later, be difpof- fefl'ed ( 48 ) fefTed of its money. If the aggregate fpecie of a nation amounted to no more than twenty milUons, and it annually bought two millions of produce more than it fold, its flock of fpecie would be completely ex- haufted at the expiration of ten years. But as it is impoffible to difturb the equilibrium of money, fuch an event can never happen. Upon the firft diminution of its currency, and confequent reduction of its prices, fo- reign produce would be attracted by the cheapness of its markets, and, by fupplying the quantity which was withdrawn, restore the equality of the standard. If we were even to fuppofe that from the pofleffion of mines, without the luppofition of accumu- lation from commercial intercourfe, this na- tion could have received an annual fupply during any confiderable period of the prece- ding century to the fame extent, to which Spain has received her American remittances, there is no reafon to conclude that the go- vernment of this country would have been more fuccefsful in its project of detention under ( 49 ) under a freer fyftem, than Spain has been by more arbitrary restrictions ; nor that the peo- ple of tliis country would have been more inclined to forego the advantage of a bene- ficial exchange, and fufFer the deterioration of their property without attempting to pre- vent it. It was contended, in the preceding chap- ter, that no one nation could accumulate a greater quantity of fpecie than its due pro- portion; than that proportion which was adequate to circulate its produce as nearly as poTfible at par with other countries; that immediately it was augmented above this proportion, foreign produce would be at- tracted by the dearness of its markets, and take off the furplus currency ; that immedi- ately it was reduced below this proportion, foreign bullion would be attracted by the in- feriority of its prices, and fupply the requifite addition ; and that a permanent in- equality of the standard of money could not exift. E But ( 5° ) But as it may be faid that thefe principles, however fpecious in theory, may not be practically true, I fliall make fome enquiry into the cuflom of exchange between na- tions, for the purpofe of explaining the ope- ration by which the equilibrium of money is maintained. It was remarked in the foregoing chapter, that the Utihty of Money confifled in its properties as a meafure of value and a medium of exchange. In the internal intercourfe of a country, and in the common tran factions of life, it is invariably ufed in both characters : but in commercial relations between nation and nation, it is more frequently ufed in its exclufive property as the meafure of equiva- lency. All commercial tranfactions are ne- gotiated by bills of exchange, which for the moil: part caufe the produce of one country to be received for the produce of another, v/ithout the intervention of money as a me- dium. If a merchant at London fend an hundred pounds worth of cloth to Peterf- burgh. ( SI ) burgh, and, exchange being at par, or, in other words, the equihbrium of money being imaintained, he fell his bill to another, who imports an hundred pounds worth of hemp, the hemp is received for the cloth without any conveyance of money from one country to the other. While, therefore, exchange is at par, and money at the fame common flandard, the produce of one coimtry is re- ceived for the produce of another, money being only the meafure of equivalency with- out conftituting the medium of payment. But immediately that the currency of one country should be augmented above the rela- tive currency of another, and the prices of the one Hiould be necelfarily raifed above the prices of the other, the fame quantity of money would no longer be the meafure of equivalency between the two countries for the fame quantity of produce. As tlie fland- ard of money would be lowered in the coun- try receiving the augmentation, the fame fum would no longer command the flime E 2 quantity ( 52 ) quailtity of produce, as in the country where no variation had been effected in its currency, and where the ftandard had conti- nued the fame. If the currency of Eng- land were augmented, and the currency of Ruflia maintained without variation, a fmaller quantity of produce would be fent from England to RulTia for the fame fum fubfequent to the augmentation than was previoufly cuftomary; and as the fame fum would ftill continue to purchafe the fame quantity in Ruffian, a fmaller quantity of Britifh produce would thus exchange for a greater quantity of Ruffian produce, than was ufual in the antecedent intercourfe be- tween the tvv'o countries. To this partial alteration of the meafure of equivalency, fo much to the advantage of Great Britain, neither Ruffia nor any other country will fubmit ; they would not fail therefore to re- ject the purchafe of Britifh produce, unless it could be fold at the fame price at which it was previoufly attainable -, till, by a pro- portionate augmentation of their currency, they ( 53 ) they were enabled to raife the price of their produce in an adequate ratio; and, by mak- ing an equal quantity of money again bs the meafure of an equal quantity of produce between the two countries, restore the equi- librium . This operation is effected in the foilovv^ing manner by the courfc of ex- change. Immediately that by a partial augmenta- tion of currency in any particular country, a partial advance of prices were effected, which would neceflarily extend to every fpecies of produce, its merchants would feize the favourable opportunity of importing large fupplies of foreign produce, which they would procure at the fame price as for- merly ; and, by felling it at home at a higher price than was previoufly attainable, fecure a greater profit to themfelves. And as the exportation of the domellic produce of the country would be retarded by its augmented price, tlic import of pioduce from Ixjreigu nations would be greater than the cx])ort of domcflic ( 54 ) domeftic produce to them. The debts of the nation would thus exceed its claims, and the drawers of bills againil the country 5, would be more numerous than the remitters of bills in its favour. Thcfe bills would necelTarily experience a heavy fale in the foreign market, from the repugnance of their merchants to import the produce of the debtor country at the advanced price to which it was raifed; they would, therefore, depreciate according to their furplus beyond the demand, and fell below par ; their de- preflion would continue till the merchants who took them up were enabled to purchafe the produce of the debtor country, at the fame price at which they had been accuftomed to procure it, by paying for it in the currency of the creditor country v/lth the fame quan- tity of money which they had previoufly given. If the currency of England were in- creafed above the currency of Germany, fo as to raife the price of its produce five per cent, above the produce of Germany, which would necefiarlly lead to an excefs of imports above C 55 ) above exports j and if, by a confequent fuperabundance of bills againft England m the foreign market, the courfe of exchange between London and Hamburgh, were five per cent, againil London, ninety-five pounds in Hamburgh would be worth an hundred pounds in London j and the merchant who purchafed a bill on England would be capa- ble of buying an hundred pounds worth of Britifli produce, by paying only ninety-five pounds for it in the place where he refided. By this operation he would be enabled to purchafe the -produce of Great Britain at the fame price which he was previoufly accuftomed to give for it, when exchange was at par, and the currency of the two countries in the fame relative propoition. I do not mean to contend, that the courfe of exchange, in every inilance of a partial in- crcafc of currency, will adjuft the difference with fo much corrcctnefs, but that it will ever poflefs fufficient influence to prevent any material alteration in the mcafure of ccjuivalcncv. V/hcn ( 56 ) When this depreffion takes place in ex- change, or, in other words, when the cquihbrium of money is thus declaredly altered between any two nations, as the fame nominal fum will piirchafe a greater quan- tity of produce in the creditor country, where the llandard is prefer ved, than in the debtor country, where its value is depreffed: it is natural for the perfon who trades in bullion, like the merchant who trades in any other commodity, to profit by this variation, and export his merchandize where it will fell to mofl advantage. While exchange is at par, and money at the fame ftandard, the bullion merchant has no interell in its remittance from one country to another, as no profit can be derived from its transfer. But the inftant that the equilibrium is avowedly affected by the variation of exchange, it becomes his intercfl: to tranfmit it from the country where it is clieapeft to the country where it is dearefi:, in order to receive the difference as his profit. If ( S7 ) If exchange between London and Ham^ burgh were five per cent, agahifl- London, and ninety-five pounds in Hamburgh were worth an hundred pounds in London, the buHion merchant in Hamburgh would take up a certain proportion of the debt, by pur- chafmg bills on England; and for every ninety-five pounds which he thus paid at Hamburgh, he would write to his corref- pondent in London, to fend him an hundred, and would place the difference to the pro- fits of his bufmefs. As foon as the Balance of Trade between the two countries was liquidated by this operation, and exchange was reftored to par, the currency of both would be brought more nearly to the fame proportionate increafe. The introduction of fomc part of the furplus quantity, from the debtor to the creditor ftate, V oLild tend to eficft a more equal dif- tribution of the money, and by facilitating in each an elevation of prices, in the fame ratio, necclFarily conduce to an equalization of ( 58 ) of the ilandard. The fame quantity of money would again be given for an equal quantity of produce in both nations, and the meafure of equivalency would continue in- violate, till a fubfequent augmentation in the currency of the one occafioned a confe- quent alteration of the flandard of the other, and again give rife to fimilar means to rec- tify the difparity. If, then, the courfe of exchange be nothing more than the expedient to which mankind have reforted for the purpofe of maintaining the purity of the common meafure of equi- valency j if upon a partial increafe, or a par- tial reduflion of currency, it never fail to direft the current of money to a level, it is impoffible that any natibn can fell, for a continuance, to a greater extent than it buys -, or that the Balance of Trade can lead to a further accumulation of fpecie, than to that addition, which is necellary to augment the currency of one country to an adequate pro- portion with the currency of others, and ap- proximate ( 59 ) proximate the value of money to a common flandard. But if no one nation can pollefs a greater relative currency than another, it may be afked, how it happens that the produce of this country is circulated at a fomewhat higher price than the produce of others. The difficulties of intercourfe appear to me to be the only caufe of this difference. The pro- hibitory regulations vsdiich have been efta- bliflied in different countries, as remarked in the preceding chapter, militate againft the general equalization of the ffandard of money ; and, by preventing the free inter- change of produce, caufe it to be circulated in fome countries at a higher, and in fome at a lower price than it otherwifc would be. The general prohibition of foreign manufac- tured produce in this country cert.iinly operates as a means to keep up our high prices, and fupport that redundancy of cur- rency to which our policy has been hitherto 'lire^ledj but as prohibitions have but a partial ( 6o ) partial extent, the iiitroduftion of free goods will always be competent to turn the courfe of exchange againfl us, and caiife the clan- delline departure of our fpecie, however flrongly countera6led by other caufes, in fuf- ficient quantity to prevent a conliderable excefs above the relative currency of others Thefe prohibitions were originally dic- tated in moft inilances, in my opinion, by an erroneous fenfe of our real in- tercils J but their general removal, uncon- nefted with a reformation of our currency, might now be attended with ferious confe- quences to many of -our manufadlures. As it appears, by the foregoing explana- tion of the courfe of exchange, that thofe nations which have a tendency to pofTefs a redundant currency mufl invariably be the debtor countries ; it follows, as a neceiiaiy confequence, that thofe whofe currency is not augmented to an adequate proportion, muft be creditor ftates. The cheapnefs of their produce procures it a ready admifTion in ( 6i ) in the foreign markets, where money is de- prefled; and, by creating a balance in their favour, occafions a favourable exchange; and the influx of money for the fame piirpofe of maintaining the common ftandard. But in order to form a judgment of the quantity of bullion u'hich is fuppofed to, have been imported and depofited in this country, during any given period, by the balance of trade, it is necelTary to take a retrofpe6live view of the public entries. If an eltimate be made of the annual ba- lances during ihe laft forty years of the pre- ceding century, it will appear, from the table in Mr. Chalmers's eftimate of the ftrength of Great Britain, page 234, that the annual average excefs of exports above imports amounted to four millions ; all of which being received' in bullion, and appro- priated to the internal circulation of the country, would have made an addition of an hundred and fixty millions to the flock in hand at the commencement of the pre- fcnt ( 62 ) lent reign. It is true, that the confumptiort of our manufaflures, and the amount of our foreign expenditure, are to be dedu6led from this fum. There is reafon to conclude, that the confumption of our manufa6lures, during this period, has not exceeded the fum of ten milhons. Upon the effe6l which our foreign expenditure may have on the ba- lance of trade, I (hall hereafter treat. But it is efiential in the mean time to remark, that the public are polTeiTed of no data to direft their judgment upon the amount of our foreign expenditure; no particular do- cument is prepared by (>:overnment relative to their foreign diiburfemciits 3 nor can any corre6l eftimatc be formed of the private ex- penditure of Britifh refidents abroad. Little notice was therefore formerly taken of the fubje6f ; and, as none were capable of calcu- lating the amount, an inference was drawn correfpondent with our hopes, that a large furplus was conftantly received as a favour- able balance. Alilimmg for the prefent, that this may have been the fa6l, I fhall confider ( 6j ) confider the various purpofes to which it may have been appHed. Of the quantity, which has been added to our fpecie, the coinage affords the moft fatis- fa6lory evidence. The whole coinage of this period by the table, to which I have above alluded, amounted to no more than fixty millions j twenty of which was a recoinage of old mo- ney. It is evident, therefore, tliat the pro- duct of our annual balances has not been added to our legal currency : and as foreign coin does not conflitute a legal tender, its intermixture with the general circulation, muft be too partial to have much efFe6t in leflening the difparity between the coinage and the aggregate balance. It is clear, there- fore, that we can have received but little more than forty millions as an augmentation to our fpecie, from the commencement of the prefent reign, and that the exiiiing flock now in hand, cannot be much more than fixty ( 64 ) fixty millions, if it may be prefumed thjlt the greater part of the old money was re- coined. But nothing can be more vague and inconclufive, than any eflimate of the current fpecie of a country from the general amount of its coinage. If it fhould happen even to be accurate at the moment at vvhich it is formed, a favourable or unfa- vourable courfc of exchange for a few months afterwards, would confiderably aug- ment or reduce its quantity. There is no reafon to conclude, that money would be retained in a country becaufe it has received the legal ftarap of the mint, or becaufe its export is prohibited j upon the event of an unfavourable exchange, its clandeftine remit- tance is eafily eite61cd j and if by a large iillie of paper currency, which performs all the neceflary funftions of fpecie, the value of money be partially dej^refled in this coun- try, below its relative value in others, there is no doubt but that there will be a depar- ture of our coin to maintain the flandard abroad. That ( 65 ) That our fpecie has difappcared, is not only a circumftance of general acknowledge- ment, but of univerfal complaint. The fufpenfion of cafli payments at the Bank of England is conclufive evidence, that a fuf- ficiency could not be detained in the countiy to uphold the credit of our paper; and if an eflimate coidd now be formed of the amount of our fpecie, there would be fome foundation for concluding, if reafoning from analogy be allowed, that but a fmall propor- tion of the fixty millions is now remaining in the country. By the evidence which Mr. H. Thornton gave before the Secret Commit- tee of the Houfe of Commons, relative to the currency of Scotland, which may be feen in the Third Report, page 143, it was conjectured, that the average amount of its paper, was from one million two hundred thoufand pounds, to one million five hund- red thoufand pounds ; and that the amount of its gold was about fixty thoufand pounds ; fifty thoufand pounds of which were usually in circulation. If to this he added the F . quantity ( 66 ) quantity of its filver, which, though it be far too liberal an allowance, may be faid to amount to the fame fum, its fpecie will be about one tenth part of its paper. Now though I do not mean to affert, but that the fpecie of England bears a much nearer pro- portion to its paper, than is inftanced in Scotland, yet I think there are few that have confidered the fubjccSt, who will be hatdy enough to contend, that the amount of its fpecie is greater than the amount of its paper. The quantity of paper currency, that yields no intereft to the holder, may be eftimated at about twenty millions, fifteen emitted by the Bank of England, and five by the country banks ; though there are no corre6l data by which an accurate eflimate can at the prefent moment be formed. But I will venture to affert, that the fpecie of the country would be confid^rably over rated at a fourth part of the fame fum; and if the general mode by which the coinage has been efFe6led be confidered, this allertion will pot appear extraordinary.. Previoys ( 67 ) Previous to the fufpenfion of cafh pay- ments at the Bank, during the depreffion of exchange, a conftant demand was made for fpecie, to promote the fpeculatlon of the bulHon merchant, who derived a profit from its foreign remittance. As this drain had a neceflary tendency to exhauft its ftores, it was compelled to purchafe a certain quantity of buUion, and fend it for coinage to the mint, for the purpofe of fupplying the quan- tity withdrawn from its depofits. Thefe purchafes were neceflarily made at a lofs, as if effected at home, the Bank was forced to allow the merchant the fame profit, which he could obtain by its foreign remittance j and if efFe6led abroad, to lofe by the impor- tation the difi^erence of the exchange. At the fame time that thefe purchafes were made, it contrafted the iflue of its paper, by retaining the notes which were prefented for payment. The determination to refufe further dif- counts necefiarily occafioned commercial cmbarrafTments, by leffening the means of payment, and f)bllrud:ing the performance F2 of ( 68 ) of contracts. The difficulties occafioned by this contra6lion of currency, forced out a certain quantity of produce, at reduced prices, to liquidate the balance with foreign nations, and bring exchange to par. But it cannot be contended, that the quan- tity of money thus coined made any addi- tion to the current fpecie of the country, as it was only effected for the purpofe of fupplying the quantity clandeftinely with- drawn by foreign remitances. The prefent flate of the currency of this country appears to me to afford conclufive teflimony againfl the truth of this theory. It is fuppofed, that trade only fo far enriches a country, as it leaves a balance of money in its favour; and that the wealth of a nation is only increafed in proportion as its money is accumulated. Yet there is fome reafon to conclude that we now poflefs no more than fivQ millions of fpecie, though it is conjectur- ed that we have had an annual average ba- lance ( 69 ) lance of four millions in our favour for thefc Jaft forty years. So far, then, from the exifting amount of our fpecie giving any encouragement to the fuppofition that the nation has grown rich by the Balance of its Trade, and the ac- cumulation of money, there is not much reafon to conclude, fuch has been the in- increafe of paper, that the flock in hand, at the prefent day, is equal to the quantity in circulation at the commencement of the reign, notwithflanding the vail advance of prices fmce that period. It is evident, there- fore, that the aggregate of thefe balances, to the amount of an hundred and lixty mil- lions, is not now extant in the legal currency of the country; and to imagine, that any confiderable portion of it is locked up in repo- fitories, in the fhape of foreign coin or bul- lion, is fo totally inconfiflent with reafon, that it would be fuperfluous to invefligate fo futile a fuppofition. The ( 7° ) The confumptioii of our manufa6lures, during this period, will account for but a fmall proportion of the united balance. Dr. Adam Smith eftimated the eonfumption of Birmingham at fifty thoufand pounds j and if the eonfumption of London be eftimated at three times that amount, and of the reft of the kingdom at only the fame fum, the quantity introduced for this purpofe, to the annual amount of two hundred and fifty thoufand pounds, will not, in the fpace of forty years, exceed the fum of ten millions. If then but a very fmall proportion of thefe balances has been realifed in the ftock of fpecie now in hand, or confumed by ma- nufa6lure, the rerhainder mult have been re- exported. This exportation could only have taken place by means of commercial fpecu- lations, or through the foreign expenditure of government in the time of war. On the application of bullion to commer- cial purpofes, I treated in the beginning of this ( 7' ) this chapter, where it was contended, that as tin. equivalent muft be given for its purchafe, and as no rriore than an equivalent can be received for it, its tranfitory poffeflion can have had no tendency to have enriched the country, however greatly it may have aflifted the operations of trade. It cannot be aflbrt- cd, that the nation has grown rich by the balance of its trade, if it befaid that the bul- lion which it leaves is expended in com- merce, as it would lead to the abfurdity of contending, that the depofit could be detain- ed at the fame time that it was fcnt away, I (hall hereafter attempt to prove, that a very fmall proportion of the aggregate ba- lance has been exported for the payment of our foreign expenditure* If, then, the exifting (lock of our fpecie, the confumption of our manufa6lures, and the foreign expenditure of government, will oc- cupy but a fmall portion of the rolleflive balances, it is evident, that whatever propor- tion ( 72 ) tion has been received above the fura applied to thefe purpofes, niufl have been re-appro- priated to the fpeculations of trade ; for if the bulhon, which they are fuppofed to have depofited, can neither be found nor account- ed for, it is competent to conclude, that its permanent detention has net been efFe6Ved. Theexifting flock of bullion, therefore, in whatever iTiape it may be extant, v^ill lend but little countenance to the principle, that the nation grows rich by its accumulation; or that the balance of trade can lead to the introdu6lion of a greater quantity than to that addition, which is neceflary to equalize the ftandard of money, by augmenting the cur- rency of one country to an adequate propor^ tion with the currency of others. But as in this country we have taken upon ourielves to augment our currency, by the circulation of paper, fomewhat above its due proportion i the prefent fcaixlty of fpecie fufficiently evinces, that the Balance of Trade has of late years been, for the moft part, unfavourable; ( 73 ) unfavourable; and has led to the departure inflead of the introdu6lion of money, not- withftanding that an oppofite inference may be apparently deduced from the general amount of our coinage, and the enormous cxcefs of our exports above our imports. But in order to explain this fa6l, which, however fenfibly it may be felt, but little ac- cords with the theory of the Balance of Trade, and the received opinions of the times, it is necefTary to inveftigate the real caufe of the difference that fubfifts in the general amount of our exports compared with our imports. One of the principal errors of this theory confifl-s in the inference which is drawn, that an excefs of exports above imports ne- ceifarily conflitutes a favourable balance. But though it be true, that a favourable balance cannot exift without an excefs of exports ; yet an excefs of exports may exift without a favourable balance. The exclu- five criterion of a favourable balance, is a favourable ( 74 ) favourable courfe of exchange : and I (hall attempt to prove that, notwithflanding there has uniformly been of late years an enormous excefs of exports above imports, the balance of trade has bsen for the moft part unfa- vourable, and has led to the clandeftine ex* portation of our fpecie. A favourable balance of trade, and a fa-' vourable exchange, are fynonimous terms. It is impofiible that one efFe61 can take place without the other. At the time that a con- fiderable debt fliould be due from us to fo- reign nations, it is impoffible that exchange could be in our favour. As v^e fhould have more to pay than we have to receive, the drawers of bills againft this country would be more numerous than the remitters of bills in its favour j and as the foreign market would be overftocked, the inclination to fell would exceed the inclination to buy, and by caufmg a deprefllon of the value of the bills againft us, render the exchange unfavour- able. And ( 7i ) And at the time that the balance of trade fiiould be favourable, it is impoffible that the exdiange could be againll us. At the time that we were the creditor country, and had more bills to draw againft foreigners than they had to draw againil us, the bills againlt them would neceflarily experience a depref- fion in our market, and turn the exchange in our favour. But in the fame manner that the courfe of exchange correfponds with the balance of trade, the influx and reflux of money mufi: correfpond with the courfe of ex- change. At the time that exchange were unfa- vourable, it would be abfurd to fup- pofe that money would come into the country; and at the time it were favour- able, that money would go out. If ex- change between London and Hamburgh were five per cent, againfl London, no bul- lion merchant at Mamburgh would fend over ( 76 ) over an hundred pounds to London, when he could purchafe a Britifh hundred pounds by paying only ninety-five pounds for it in the place where he refided. Nor, when ex- change were five per cent, in favour of Lon- don, would any bullion merchant in Lon- don fend over an hundred pounds to Ham- burgh, when he could purchafe it in London by paying only ninety-five pounds for it. As, therefore, a favourable exchange is the necefiary confequence of a favourable balance j and the influx of money, a necef- fary confequence of a favourable exchange) it is requifite to confider how far the appa- rent balance in the Cuftom-houfe entries can be fupported by thefe correfpondent confequences. For fome years lafl paft, the general courfe of our exchanges has been, in many in* fiances, unfavourable ; while the public en- tries have invariably declared an enormous balance to have exifted in our favour. The one ( 17 ) one implies the neceflary departure, the other, the neceffary introdu6lion of money. Thefe two fafts are evidently inconfiftent with each other; and as the unfavourable exchange is a notorious circumflance, ac- knowledged by the whole mercantile intereft of the country, and may be fatisfa6lorily afcertained by a reference to Lloyd's Lifts ; and as the correfpondent fcarcity of fpecie is a fubjecl of general complaint, there muft either be an error in the inference which is (Irawn, that the excefs of exports above im- ports conftitutes, in all inftances, a favour- able balance ; or there muft be an error in the public entries which announce the excefs. AfTuming, therefore, as an incontroverti- ble pofition, that an unfavourable exchange is indifputable evidence of an unfavourable balance, I ftiall endeavour to account for the difference between our exports and imports, by ari inveftigation into the nature of our foieign expenditure; and attempt to fub- vert ( 78 ) vert the inference that the excefs of exports in the public entries conftitutes, in all in- fiances, conclufive teftimony of a favourable balance. It is contended by the fupporters of this theory that the excefs of exports above im- ports would be received in bullion and de- pofited in this country, unlefs it were ab- forbed by our foreign expenditure. In or- der to refute this pofition, it is neceflary to make fome inquiry into the cuH-omary mode of its payment. r It feldom happens that a fublidy is made to a foreign power without fome alarm being excited at the fuppofed departure of the money, which is neceflary for its pay- ment. But nothing can be more groundlefs, than the apprehenfions which are entertain- ed upon this fubje6l, even though the money fhould be fent out of the country to effe6l it, as there is no pollibility of reducing the currency of one country to any extent below the ( 79 ) the relative currency of others. But it for the moft part happens, that much the greater proportion of the fubfidy is paid by the draft or remittance of bills. It is true, that at the commencement of the late war, two millions were exported in bullion in pay- ment of a part of the Pruffian fubfidy, and ihe imperial loan. This fa6l may be col- lected from the evidence of Mr. Boyd, who was agent for the emperor, page 50, and the evidence of Mr. Harman^ agent for the king ofPruliia, page 93, in the Third Report of the Secret Committee of the Houfe of Com- mons. The bullion confifted entirely of foreign coin, the greater part of which was purchafed of the bank. The refidue of the loan and fubfidy, and the whole of the loan of 1796, were paid in bills without any re- mittance of money from this country. In the Appendix to the fame report, is a paper prepared by Mr. Long, and prefented to the committee relative to the amount and pay- ment of our foreign expenditure during the four firft years of the war. In this it ap- pears ( 8o ) pears that only five thoufand pounds were remitted in fpecie, exclufive of the fums that might be exported in fubfidies and in advances to foreign corps (of the mode of paying which, no particular fpecification is made,) though the total of our expenditure during this period amounted to thirty-two millions, in addition to the imperial loan. Our foreign expenditure, therefore,^ for loans and fubfidies, and for naval and military fer vices, will contribute but little fupport in favour of the pofition, that the bullion which is fuppofed to have been imported by the Balance of Trade is appropriated to this purpofcj or give much countenance to the opinion that the departure of our money is necelfary for its payment. Bills are in ge- neral drawn upon the treafury by the proper officer, difcounted in the place where they are given, and paid at home without any conveyance of money from this country to the feat of war. It ( 8i ) it is now therefore neceffary to confider, how far our expenditure may have a ten- dency to anticipate the receipt of bullion, and abforb that portion which would other- wife have been paid and depofited in this country. There are two modes of paying our fo- reign expenditure by means of bills of ex- change -y one is by the draft of bills againfl this country} and the other by the remittance of bills in its favour. When the expenditure is paid by the draft of bills againft the country, they are difcounted in the place where they are drawn, and conflitute a debt againfl us for the value which is received and expended abroad. When it is paid by the remittance of bills in our favour, a debt muft have been due to us in confequence of a favourable commercial balance for value exported to the place againfl which the bills are granted. G I before ( 82 ) I before endeavoured to prove, that the courfe of excliange muft alw^ays correfpond with the balance of trade, and that one could not be favourable without the other. If therefore there be a balance in our favour, and a confequent favourable exchange, which would neceflarily lead to the influx of money, and the bills againft the debtor country- were purchafed by government for the pay- ment of our foreign expenditure, inftead of being purchafed by the bullion merchant for their invcflment in money, there is no doubt but that the purchafes of government would abforb that portion of bullion, which would have otherwife been received in pa)- ment of fome part of that particular debt. But as the caufe that primarily led to a balance in our favour would in this cafe continue to operate, our foreign expendi- ture would have no eventual tendency to prevent the introduction of a fufficient quan- tity to augment the currency of this country^ to an adequate proportion vv^ith the currency of others. If _( 83 ) If the itandard of money were partially railbd in this country by a contia6lion of currency, which led to an excefs of exports to thofe countries where it was partially lowered by an increafe, though the purchafe of the bills by government would obviate the efFe6l of this excefs in the firft effort, and prevent the influx of money, yet a fur- ther exportation of domeilic produce would be encouraged, and the import of foreign produce obflru6l:ed, till, by an additional balance in our favour, a fufficient quantity of bullion were introduced to equalize the ftandard of money, notwithftanding the countera6ling caufe of a large foreign expen- diture. But if there be no commercial balance in our favour, and no bills againft foreign na- tions can be granted, our expenditure muft be paid by the draft of bills a2;ainft this country by the agents of the Britiih govern- ment abroad. Thefe bills would have the lame effect of conftituting a debt againft us, G 2 as ( 84 >. as if we had had an excefs of imports abovd exports, and an unfavourable commercial balance. It cannot therefore be contended^ that the payment of our foreign expenditure by thefe means, has any tendency to antici- pate the receipt of bullion, and abforb that portion, which would otherwife have been imported into this country, when no debt is due to us from foreign nations, and no bul- lion can be demanded. And when, on the contrary, we have a debt to pay to them, inftead of a debt to receive from them, and they can demand the bullion from us. In order to give our foreign expenditure a ten- dency to anticipate the receipt of bullion, it is necefTary that a commercial balance Ihould have previoufly exifted in our favour ; and that the value of the bills, which are granted, ihould be expended abroad, initead of being invefted in bullion to be imported into this country. But if no fuch balance exifted, it cannot be faid that the draft of bills, which conflitute a debt againfl us, can prevent the import of bullion, which can only be received ( 85 ) received when a debt is in our favour. An examination of the paper prepared by Mr. Long, and above aUuded to, fatisfa6lorily proves, that our large foreign expenditure, during the late war, had no tendency to an- ticipate the receipt of bullion, as it was paid almoft without exception by the draft, and not by the remittance of bills. I fhall now endeavour to prove that our foreign expenditure forms the principal caufe of the excefs of exports above imports, which has hitherto been invariably imputed to a commercial balance in our favour. AfTuming this excefs as an indifputable criterion of a favourable balance, without any regard tc the general ftate of exchange, it was natu- rally conceived by the fupporters of this theory, upon difcovering that it did not in all inftances conduce to the introduction of the difference in bullion, that this effect could only be prevented by the anticipation of our foreign expenditure. But I have en- deavoured to prove, that our foreign expen-^ diturc { 86 ) diture can only anticipate the receipt of bul^ lion, when it is paid by the remittance of bills in confequence of a favourable com- mercial balance j and that if it be paid by the draft of bills, it contracted a new debt againft us, inftead of liquidating a prior debt in our favour. It isto this caufe then, that the cxcefs is attributable, as it is for the payment of this debt that it is made. When bills are drawn upon the treafury for the payment of our foreign expenditure, they are difcounted in the place where they are given, and their value is virtually received by this country, through its delegated agents abroad, in as full and ample a manner, as if the produce, which they purchafed, were actually imported and entered in the Cuflom Houfe books, and afterwards fent to the feat of war for confumption ; but from the mere circumftance of its not being inferted in the Cuftom Houfe entries, as value received, againft the produce exported for its payment, the equivalent fent out is deemed to condi^ tute a favovirable balance, when it is, in reality, ( 87 ) reality, exported to liquidate a balance againft us -, fo far, then, from our foreign expenditure having any tendency to abforb the bullion, which foreign nations would otherwife pay to us in confequence of our excefs of exports, it is evident, that this very excefs is occafioned to prevent the remittance of bullion from this country to them. This fact may be corroborated by the dif- ference of our exports to Germany in the time of war and in the time of peace. Dur- ing the four firft years of the late war our exports to Germany amounted to eight mil- lions, though in the time of peace they had not exceeded two, becaufe the difference was exported for the payment of our foreign ex- penditure in that country, which was more or lefs heavy during the continuance of hof- tilities*. " Vide the Report of the Secret Committee of the Houfe of Lords, page 25 i. If. ( 88 ) If, then, the foregoing explanation of our foreign expenditure be correct, it is obvious that the excefs of exports above imports, in the Cuflorri Houfe entries, is not conclufive evidence of an uniform balance in our fa- vour i it is apparent> on the contrary, that our commercial balance, notwithflanding this enormous excefs, muft have frequently been unfavourable, or the general ftate of pur exchanges could not have b^en adverfe in the many inilances which have been lately experienced. To this furplus of exports, oc- cafioned by our public diiburfements, mufl be added our private expenditure. Whatever bills are drawn upon this country for the ex- penditure of Britifli refidents abroad, for the payment of dividends to foreigners, who have a credit in our funds, for the falaries of officers belonging to our government and refident in foreign courts, and for other mifcellaneous purpofcs, must be placed as value received againfl this preponderance of exports. It ( 89 ) It is now necefTary to confider what in- fluence our foreign, expenditure may have to effect a partial alteration of the flandard of money, by caufmg the introdu6lion or de- parture of a greater quantity than would otherwife have taken place. If exchange were at par, our foreign expenditure would not anticipate the receipt of bullion, even though there were a commercial balance in our favour ; as it would be abfurd to fuppofe that the balance would have been paid in bullion, when no profit could be derived from its import, and when an investment of the bills againft the debtor country in pro- duce would offer a preferable fpeculation. If exchange were favourable in confe- quence of the depreiTion of bills in our mar- ket, from a large commercial balance being due to us, and our foreign expenditure were paid by the remittance of bills againft the debtor countries, there is no doubt but that it would abforb the bullion in payment of any part of that debt j but, as was previoufly explained. ( 90 ) explained, further exportation would be en- couraged till our claims exceeded the amount of our foreign expenditure, and led to an in- troduction of the requifite fupply of money. If exchange were unfavourable in confe- quence of a confiderable excefs of debt above claims, and our foreign expenditure were paid by the draft of bills, it would neccffa- rily lead to a further extenfion of the debt, and a further depreflion of exchange ; but if by thefe means a greater quantity of mo- ney were withdrawn than what was neceiTary to equalize the flandard, the export trade would foon become fuperior to the import, and facilitate its return. In no cafe, therefore, can our foreign ex- penditure have any power to effect a perma- nent variation of the ftandard of money by eventually preventing the introduction, or eventually caufmg the departure of a greater quantity than would otherwife have taken place. Whenever ( 91 ) Whenever any foreign difburfements are to be made for political purpofes, it is necejGTary to examine the flate of exchange, and if, by the draft of bills againft this country, it be probable that the foreign market would be overftocked, and deprefs the exchange, it is more for the interefl of the country, that it fliould remit the money in the firft inftance, and, by caufmg a glut in the foreign market, turn the exchange in our favour, than, by caufmg a redundancy of bills, turn the ex- change againft us. During the prefTure, then, of an unfa- vourable exchange, our foreign expenditure is the main and leading caufe of our excefs of exports, though the import of bullion for the manufacture of plate, plated goods, and other ornamental purpofes, which muft be purchafed, whether exchange be favourable or unfavourable, unlefs our fpecie be melted for its confumption, would in fome meafure contribute to its magnitude. Thefe ( 92 ) Thefe two circumftances appear to me to conflitute the exclufive caufes of an excefs of exports, except in the inftance of a partial rife in the ftandard of money, through a par- tial contraftion of currency, which will necef- farily caufea favourable exchange, andintro- duce a fufficient quantity of bullion to reilore the level. Bat from the two caufes above men- tioned, an excefs of exports may exift to an enormous extent, although our com.mercial balance may be wholly unfavourable. From the foregoing obfervations it is ob- vious, that the excefs of our exports mufl in a great degree be commenfurate wath our foreign expenditure. The import of bullion for manufadlure and the bank occafions comparatively an unimportant part of the furplas. As, in the event of an unfavourable exchange, the purchafes of the bank are for the mofl part made to fupply the quantity of fpecie clandeflinely withdrawn, as was explained in treating on the fubjecl of coin- age, the produce imported for the fpecie may ( 93 ) may be put againft the produce exported for the bullion j though whatever quantity be received on a favourable exchange, may be ftated as a legitimate caufe of excefsj but this quantity has not of late years been very confiderable. The bullion imported for con- fumption does not appear even by a favour- able eftimate to be of much magnitude. It is more material therefore, to confider the general correfpondence of the excefs with the amount of our foreign expenditure, fome allowance being made for the agency of in- ferior caufes. Upon the firll eflablifhment of this theory as a criterion of our national gain, towards the clofe of the feventeenth century, accor- ding to the information contained ia the preface of Mr. Chalmers, a Committee of Peers affixed a certain rate for the valuation of the merchandize, v/hich was entered in the Cuflom Houfe books, correfpondent wuth the prices of the times, but which the fubfequent depreflion of money has rendered wholly ( 94 ) •wholly erroneous. This was clearly ex- plained by Mr. Irving, the late infpector-ge- neral, whofe talents have been fo eminently difplaycd in the Financial and Secret Com- mittees of the Houfes of Lords and Com-^ mons. He fatisfaftorily proved, that the application of a new rate, according to the prices of the prefent times, would confidera^ bly augment the difference between the ex- ports and imports 3 and that if the excefs of imports from, the Eaft and Weft Indies above our exports to them, and the imports from our fiiheries, which, as Mr. Irving explained, were improperly inferted in the entries, as part of our adverfe balance, be dedu6led from the general amount of the imports, which are now indifcriminately united to- gether, as conftituting the total of our un- favourable balance, the difference would be ftill greater. Proceeding then upon this ground, and calculating the amount of the exports to foreign nations only, and the amount of the imports from them, he formed an eftimate, that our annual average ba- lance ( 95 ) lance for four years preceding the year 1796, amounted to fix millions five hundred thou- fand pounds. In order to afcertain, accor- ding to the principle of the theory, which I have attempted to fubvert, what fum had been dcpolited by the Balance of Trade, or in order to afcertain, according to the prin- ciples which I have endeavoured to eftablifh, the correfpondence of the excefs with our foreign expenditure, this was the corre6l mode of forming the eftimate ; but the itate- ment prepared by Mr. Long, explanatory of our foreign expenditure during the three lail years only of the fame period, is fatif- fa6lory evidence, that his eftimate was below the real amount. During thefe three years only the foreign difburfements of government amounted to twenty-tw^o millions ; and if to this fum be added the imperial loan, the private expenditure of individuals, and the whole expenditure, public and private, of the year 1792, the total of our foreign expen- diture for the fame four years would be much ( 96 ) much higher than twenty-fix milllonsV th(^ amount of Mr. Irving s caleulation. It would certainly be defirable that an in- quiry fhould be inftituted into this fubjeft, for the purpofe of affixing a new rate in the infpe6tor's books ^ and that the bills, which are drawn upon the treafury for foreign dif- burfements, Ihould be annually laid before parliament, that the public may be capable of judging of the correfpondence between the amount of our excefs of exports, and the amount of our foreign expenditure. I do not affert that this would form conclufive evidence that no favourable balance exifled, becaufe the general reafoning contained in this work may be erroneous 3 but it would lead to a much nearer afcertainment of the bullion, which is fuppofed to be de'pofited in this country by a favourable balance, over and above the amount of our private foreign expenditure, the purchafes of the bank, and the confumption of manufa6lures, than is now attainable. What this fum may amount to ( 97 ) to it is impoflible for me to eflimate j but, according to the principles of this work, it would be too immaterial to be publicly noticed. If a retrofpe6live view be taken of the ex« ports and imports of Scotland, whofe fo- reign expenditure is not very great, it will be feen, by the table of Mr. Chalmers, that from 1780 to 1800 exclufive, their exports and imports exa6lly balanced each other. And as I think it will be admitted that this na* tion, whofe talents in the condu6l of bufinefs are proverbial, would not have carried on a trade for eighteen years which produced no profit i it is fair to prefume that tliis theory is not, in all inftances at leafl, a juft criterion of national gain. The arguments againft this theory are too numerous for recapitulation. The funda- mental principle of the theory that a nation becomes rich by the accumulation of money, has, I truft, been (hewn to arife from a mif- H taken ( 98 ) taken opinion of its utility. I have attempt- ed to explain, that in the commercial intei- courfe between nation and nation, money is only ufed as the meafure of equivalency, where the ftandard is the fame; and that the courfe of exchange, or, in other words, the Balance of Trade, is the mere expedient to which mankind have reforted to reftify the meafure, where the flandard has varied. As I fliall hereafter treat upon the re- formation of currency, it is neceflary to re- mark here, that it has hitherto been the po- licy of this country to dire6l its attention to the attainment of a greater relative currency than others by an enormous paper circulation, which is injurious to our general interefts, by advancing the price of produce, obftructing the export trade, de- prefling the exchange, and occafioning the frequent recurrence of commercial embar^ raffments to uphold its credit. But if the reafoning in this chapter be correft, it is obvious, that our poHcy fnould rather be direftcd ( 99 ) dire6led to the pofTeflion of a lefs, than the pofledion of a greater : in order that our export trade may receive encouragement ; that commercial difficulties may be lefs fre- quent j and, what will hereafter be more fully explained, that we may enter into com- petition with other nations to more advan- tage. I admit that it is as impoffible for us to poffefs a much lefs, as it is to pofTefs a much greater currency than other countries j but it is material for our interefl, that we fliould have a tendency to poflefs a lefs in- ftead of a tendency to poflefs a greater, to which our policy has hitherto been exclu{iv€- ly diredled. I fliall now make a few remarks on Sir James Steuart's examination of Mr. Hume's hypothefis, that if four fifths of the money of Great Britain were annihilated in one night, commodities would fmk in price, and be exported to foreign nations to bring over their furplus currency. Sir James Steuart fays, that if fucli an event took /place, the H 2 people ( lOO ) people of Great Britain would ftarvc, becaufc all the necelTaries of life would be exported for the money of the continent 5 and as it would annihilate both induflry and the in- duftrious, it cannot afterwards be infifted on, that it would draw over a proportional part of the general wealth of Europe. Money, in Sir James Steuart's imagina- tion, though it be not fo ftated in his work, conflituted the chief wealth of a nation. He always ufes the money, the wealth, the riches of a nation, as fynonimous terms. He therefore concluded, that all the export- able produce of the country mud be fent out to reftore the money which was with- drawn. After the preceding obfervations of this work, it is unnecefTary to fay, that our circulation could be reflored without the ex- portation of a fmgle grain of corn. Then, realifmg the fuppofition of Mr. Hume, be fays, it is thus that a nation, though indullrious, may be reduced to po- verty ( loi ) verty in the miJil: of wealthy neighbours ; while fome may amafs vaft fums of wealth, far above the proportion of it among others. For the application of thefe fums, he reforts to his former argument of their flagnation in repofitories. Worldng flill upon the fame principle, that money alone is wealth, he imagines that one nation only grows rich by the impoverifliment of another j a pofition which I fiiall examine, at fome length, in the fubfequent chapter. Sir James Steuart admits, that if Mr. Hume's do6lrine be correal, that money over all the world is like a fluid which muft ever be upon a level, it leads to a chain of con- fequences totally different from the whole plan of his enquiry. The greater part of his work therefore muit, in my opinion, be configned as dead letter to the Ihelf. ON ON € O M M E m € E. CHAP. III. As in the preceding chapter I attempted to expofe the fallacy of the current opinions on the fubje(5l of trade, 1 fhall in this chapter endeavour to confirm my argument, by an ejrplanation of what appears to me the real principles of commercial opulence. The principle of all commerce is ex- change, and all exchanges are equal. , How- ever apparently one nation may feem to gain by its commercial relations with another, yet in reality the tranf actions of trade, fo far ( IC3 ) far as they are carried on between indepen- dent nations, are the intercliange of recipro- cal conveniences, where one equivalent is given for another, without any acccflion of wealth to either of the contracting countries. Though commerce invariably leads to opu- lence, it does not conduce to the opulence of one nation by the impoverilhment of another J but it leads to the general wealth of all, by exciting in each a particular in- terefl for the increafe of its domelHc pro- duce. Upon the magnitude of its domeflic furplus, the commercial wealth of every nation depends -, and as the general wants of mankind never fail to create a demand in one country for the furplus produce of another, an extended cultivation of home produce neceffarily leads to the introdu6lion of a foreign fupply proportionate to the in- creafe. It is thus »that the emulation of each to promote its individual interefts, by en- couraging the increafe of its own produce, tor the purpofe of procuring the produdions of ( IO+ ) - of Others, advances the general opulence of alL If no foreign commerce cxiiled, no nation would cultivate a greater quantity than what was fufficient for its partial confamption, and its opulence muft be limited to the in- digenous produ6lions of the foil peculiar to the climate under which it was fituate. But, iince by the fubfifling intercourfe of the world, other nations will take off whatever furplus produce be grown or manufa6lured, and give an equivalent of their furplus for its purchafe j it becomes the peculiar intereft of each to bend its attention to the increase of domeflic produce, as the more equivalents it poflefTes, the more it will pofTefs of the produce of others, and the greater will be its opulence. But in the interchange of a portion of the furplus produce of one nation, for the fur- plus produce of another, no advantage can u ( 105 ) be gained by tbe oi"us nation more than by the other. Their reciprocal wants are fup- plied by each acquiring from the other the produce in requeft; but no accefTion can be made to the weahh of either. If the pro- duce in pofTeflion, antecedent to the ex- change, had been in either inflance inferior in value to the produce which was offered in return,' the nations who negotiated the ex- change, as neither would have fubmitted to a lofs, would never have con fen ted to the transfer. If the pofition of the preceding chapter be corre6l, that no one nation can fell to a greater extent than it buys, while money is at the fame ftandard, it follows, that the value of its returns muft be equal to the value of its proceeds ; and that the fole oc- cupation of commerce is the transfer of one equivalent for another. That this is really the cafe, the common mode of conducing the ordinary tranfa6lions of trade in the commercial intercourfe of nations, which was ( ic6 ) was explained in- the foregoing chapter, fuf- ficiently evinces. All negotiations are ex- clufively carried on by bills of exchange, which effeft an immediate interchange of produce for produce, without any recourfe to the intervention of money, while exchange is at pars and, as I endeavoured to prove, that the rife and deprelTion of exchange were only occalioned to equalize the ftandard of money, when a partial alteration was effedl- ed in its value, its intervention for this purpofe, which forms an exception to a ge- neral principle, confirms the pofition, that the produce of one country is exchanged for the produce of another, money being only the meafure of their equivalency, or this ex- ception would not be made for the purpofe of maintaining the purity of the meafure. But it may naturally be inquired, if all commerce be an exchange of equivalents, by what means a commercial profit is attain- able by individuals. Merchants are the agents and fa6lors of mankind, and receive a com- { 107 ) a ccmmiilion for the trouble and hazard of conducing their commercial negotiations. This commiffion, in tlug ufual courfe of trade, is paid through the operation of ex- change to the reipe6live merchants of each nation by the domeftic confumer. But it is the fame thing, whether it be contended that it is paid by the domeflic confumer or the domeflic grower, as every nation mud be the confumer of a foreign, in the fame pro- portion that it is the grower of a domeftic furplus. If a merchant in London fend an hundred pounds worth of cloth to Peterfburgh, at five pounds profit, and, ex- change being at par, he fell his bill to another, who imports an hundred pounds worth of hemp at three pounds, or any other percentage profit, to the Ruffian merchant, the Britifli money, which purchafed the Ruffian hemp, would be appropriated to the payment of the profits of the Britifh tradersj and the Ruffiian money, which purchafed the Britifli cloth, would be applied to the payment of the Ruffian traders. Thus the confumers ( io8 ) confumers of foreign produce in each coun- try would pay the commiiTion of their re- fped'ive merchants. But the confumers of . foreign muft be the growers of domeftic pro- duce. The annual produce of a nation is the only fource of its income ; and only they can buy who are in the immediate re- ceipt, or indire6l participation, of income from its fale. The profits, therefore, of merchants are nothing more than a com- miiTion from the growers of produce in each individual nation to which they belong, for their agency in returning to them the pro- duce of other countries in exchange for the domeftic produce of their own : and though in this exchange more value be apparently imported than exported in both countries, yet, as the commifTion is paid in both by the domeftic confumer, the profit to the mer- chant is derived from home inftead of abroad, and no acceflion is made to the opulence of either. Thefe ( 109 ) Thefe remarks only apply to thofe countries which reciprocally interchange their domeftic produce with each other by direct communi- cation. Where the principles of the tran- fit trade intervene, and a nation becomes an entrepot between different flates, fome exceptions are neceirary. It was obferved above, that no nation derived an acceflion of wealth from the interchanges of com- merce, as in all inftances an equivalent was given for an equivalent received ; and that the profit of the merchant was drawn from home inftead of abroad, as the commif- fion was paid in every coimtry by the growers of its domeflic produce. But where a ftate becomes the intermediate agent for different countries, as the exchange is not from do- meflic produce to foreign, but from one foreign produce to another, the payment of the commiflion necefiarily falls upon the foreign confumer, and the profit to the merchant is derived from abroad. The in- ter Nrenient ftate, therefore, acquires an accef- fion of wealth proportionate to the amount of ( no ) of* the commifTion. But this acceflion doe* not militate againft the principles which I have endeavoured to eftablifli, as it arifes from an acquifition of produce equivalent to the profit, and not from the accumulation of money. ' In whatever inftance, therefore, a fVate is pofleiTed of the tranfit trade, by forming an intermediate mart for foreign produce, whether it unite with its agency, the profits of the carrying trade, as was formerly the cafe with Holland, or whether it be a fmiple entrepot, as at prefent with Hamburgh, it derives an acceUion of wealth from foreign nations proportionate to the amount of the commiflion. The city of London pofTefles fome portion of this tranfit trade, and has fome bufmefs as an intermediate agent ; but, on account of our repugnance to the efla- bhfhment of free ports, the policy of which I fliall hereafter confider, it forms, in a much greater proportion, a depot for the do- meftic and colonial produce of Great Britain, than an entrepot for foreign produce. It ( III ) Though therefore the intermediate agency of an entrepot forms an exception to the ge- neral principle, that no profit be attainable in the commercial interchanges of indepen- dent nations, yet it has no tendency to tffcS: the general queftion that a nation is enriched by the increafe of produce, and not by the accumulation of money. If it may be eflablirned as a fundamental principle that all commerce is an exchange of equivalents, it follows as a necelTary con- fequence, that whatever tends to an increafe of equivalents, tends to an increafe of opu- lence, and that the commercial wealth of a nation fliould be eflimated by the whole value of its equivalents collectively; and not by that portion only, which returns an equivalent in bullion, which there is no pof- fibility of detaining, and which, when parted with, can only re-purchafe the equivalent that bought it. If ( ^12 ) If it were true, that a portion of our fur- plus produce were annually appropriated to the purchafe of bullion, and if it were pof- fible that when received it could be detained by being hoarded in treafure, inftead of en- tering into circulation, I admit that it would be evidence of an increafe of wealth to the extent to which it was accumulated* But if no one will fubmit to the lofs of detaining it in treafure, and if the moment it enter into circulation it advance prices, and be taken off by an unfavourable ex- change, which is the necefTary confequence of the advance, there is no pretence for fay- ing that it can caufe any increafe of opulence whatever. But even fuppofmg that the theory were true, and that the nation could annually accumulate a certain quantity of bullion, it would be incorre6l to eftimate our com- mercial wealth by this criterion. If our domeftic furplus amount to fifty millions, though ( "3 ) though the annual fecretion of two or three would certainly add to our wealth ; yet it ought to be faid that we were rich becaufe we grew fifty, and not becaufe we faved two J in the fame manner as it would be remarked of an individual who pofTefTed fifty thoufand a year, that he w^as rich be- caufe he received fifty, and not becaufe he faved two thoufand, which a pcrfon of four thoufand a year could equally accom- plifh. As bullion is of no greater value than the produce for which it will exchange, if one nation annually grow four millions of pro- duce which will at any time buy four millions of bullion, and another annually raife from its mines four millions of bullion, which can do no more than buy four millions of produce, the produce would be of the fame value with the bullion, and both nations would pofiefs an equality of wealth i but if the one grew more produce than the other rofe bullion, it would be in proportion to I the ( "4 ) the excefs more opulent, though no equiva^ lent were given for the bullion. A comparifon between this country and Spain, may perhaps put this fubjeft in a flill clearer point of view. As from a miftaken opinion of its exclur- five value, the accumulation of money was the great aim of all governments, the fer- tility of America in gold was the £rfl: obje6l of attention to the policy of Spain. The conqueft of the country was effe6led for the purpofe of procuring pofTeffion of the mines, which for thefe lafl two hundred years have remitted to the imperial flate an annual average fupply of between three and four millions. Yet, from the neglect of the cul- tivation of other produce, Spain is perhaps, to ufe an expreflion of Dr. Adam Smith, the moil beggarly nation in Europe. Of the amount of her exports I have no account ; but; exclulive of her furplus bullion, I fliould conceive ( "'5 ) conceive that they would not exceed the fum of three milhons. As England poff^lTed no mines fhe di- reeled her attention, with no purer concep- tion of the principles of national wealth, to the fame objeft by the cultivation of pro- duce. She did not conceive that the means which file purfued were in reality the end, and that produce was itf:lf the wealth which fhe was fo anxious to attain. Money was her only objeft, and her only means of acquiring it was produce. It was this ob- je6l that gave rife to the Balance of Trade, and the train of confequences connected with the fyflem. But the line of policy, which fhe thus purfued, in oppofition to the policy of Spain, has raifed her to a higher flate of opulence than any nation ever yet attained. Yet had Spain but taken half the pains to cultivate produce as fhe has taken for the attainment of bullion, from the unequalled extent and fertility of her empire, (lie would now have been the I 2 richeft ( ii6 ) richeft nation in Europe inflead of the poor-* eft. I truft that it may be concluded, from the whole of the foregoing remarks in this and the preceding chapter, that, though com- merce invariably lead to opulence, it does not conduce to the opulence of one nation by the impoverifhment of another ; but that it advances the general opulence of all, by promoting an extended cultivation of home produce in each for the polTefiion of equiva- lents, in order that it may receive equiva* lents in return ; and that the commercial wealth of every nation fhould be eftimated by the total value of thefe equivalents, and not by any particular portion. If then our commercial wealth be efti- mated upon this principle, and upon this principle it ought to be eftimated, it will ex- pofe to our view, what the contracted theory of the Balance of Trade has hitherto obfcured, the vaft extent of the opulence and refources of this country. ( n/ ) The export of Britifh manufactures alone, eftimated according to the old rate in the Cuflom Houfe books, amounted, in the year i8g2, to twenty-five million, feven hundred and nineteen thoufand, nine hundred and feventy-nine pounds ; which the difference between their real and official value, as dated by Mr. Chalmers, in his preface (page 4,) would raife to more than forty millions. According to his calculation, the value of Britifh manufa6lures which were exported was,^ Official Value. Real Value. In 1798, £A9,6j2,503 ,£.33,148,682 O 1799, 24,084,213 38,942,498 1800, 24,304,284 39,471,203 To thefe forty millions part of our colo- nial produce fhould be added. Our colonial produce from the Eaft and Weft Indies is now inferted in the re-export of foreign merchandife, becaufe it v^as not till lately confidered as forming an integral part of the produce of the Britifh empire 3 but, as Mr. Irving ( "8 ) Irving has fatisfactorily explained this cir- cumflance to the public, the quantity ex- ported fhould be equally conflrued as Britifh produce. It is not fair, however, to take the whole quantity. By our prefent policy, produce is forced out from this country for its cultivation, in order that we may purchafe it with an equivalent, inftead of receiving it for nothing, as will be more fully ex- plained hereafter -, it is only fair, therefore, to eftimate it by the excefs of returns above proceeds, which, by Mr. Irving's computa- tion, amounts on the average to no more than four millions. Eftimating, therefore, our exports upon this principle, our furplus produce for 1802 would amount to forty-four millions 5 which, by a comparative furvey of the ex- ports of other countries, will evince the vail fuperiority of the wealth of this country. I regret that It is not in my power to lay before the public the necefiary documents from ( "9 ) from authenticated data to illuftrate this comparifon. The exports of France are ef- timated by M. Necker at twelve millions ; the exports of PvUfTia are eftimated by Mr. Tooke at about eight millions. I have no means of eftimating the value of the exports of other countries ; but thefe are the mofl confiderable commercial nations, and by the comparatively fmall amount of their exports, v^e might almoft be led to conclude, that the furplus of Great Britain was equal to the collective furplus of the united nations of Europe. But as we muft receive either an equiva- lent in foreign pioduce or military fervices, for the furplus w^e export, it is evident that the collective exports of the other nations of Europe muft be fuperior in time of peace to the exports of Great Britain, in proportion to the extent of the trade which they carry on with each other. But from this account of their exports, it may be prefumed that this trade is not very confiderable, as their principal C ^120 ) principal intercourfe muft coniift in the in- terchange of Britifh produce for their own» Compared, therefore, with other nations, the refources of this country are eminently confpicuous, and difplay an energy and power fully equal to the difficulties to which we may be expofed. But in order that the public may be capa- ble of eilimating the real refources of the country with more fidelity, it is certainly de- fn"able that a new rate fhould be made for the valuation of the entries, and that further regulations fhould be adopted to procure a more accurate account of the lading than is now in many inilances attainable. I fhall now make fome enquiry into the exifling ilate of our commerce and point out the injurious tendency of ihe theory of the Balance of Trade to obflrud its profpe- rity. The ( 121 ) The commerce of England may be divided into three parts, and may be faid to confift of the Home trade, the Colonial trade, and the Tranfit trade. The mofl important part is the Home trade, which confifts in the exchange of pro- duce manufaftured at home from Britifli materials, and of produce worked by Britifh labour from foreign materials. The ex- change of this produce forms the mofl valu- able branch of our commerce ; not only be- caufe it commands a greater proportion of foreign equivalent from the extent of its va- lue than any other conftituent part, but be- caufe it is lefs liable to interruption from the viciffitudes of war. Its vaft importance is fufficiently apparent from the official value of the quantity exported in 1802, which was before explained. The value of this and our colonial produce is the true cri- terion of the refources of the country ; be- caufe to whatever purpofe the produce be ap- propriated by the diredlion of national or individual ( 122 ) individual intereft, it would return an equi- valent in naval ftores, military fervices, or foreign manufaftures, according to the ne- ceflity or policy of the times, as was evinced- in the late war by our exports to Germany. An alarm has always prevailed, that in the exchange of this produce we were liable to be underfold on the continent by the compe- tition of rival nations. Our enormous pa- per circulation, which undoubtedly raifes the price of labour in this country above its price in others, lends affillaiice to this com- petition. But in the danger to which we are expofed, fome diftin6lion is to be made in the produce which is worked up of Britifh, and that which is manufactured of foreign materials. The high price of labour has fome tendency even to affe6l the fale of Bri- tifh produce from Britifli materials, as a fubflitute can always be found among other nations, though of inferior quality -, but in the fale of our manufacture, compofed of raw foreign materials, which are equally at- tainable ( 123 ) tainable by all other countries, our aug« mented currency may certainly operate inju- rioufly, as the cheapnefs of labour would enable a rival nation to fend them in a wrought flate more cheaply to the market than we could -, and though I admit that the courfe of exchange never fails to make a compenfation to the foreigner who purchafes our produce, however dear in the home market, when no produce fimilar in quan- tity and quality be offered in competition to it ; yet, if the fame fum could purchafe a greater quantity of another country of equal quality with our own, there can be no doubt but that ours would be rejed:ed. It is mate- rially efTential, therefore, to the interefls of this country, that our currency fhould be kept as much as pofTible below the relative currency of others, to prevent the confe- quences which v^rould refult from the fuccefs- ful competition of rival nations. That our augmented currency has not hitherto had this cfFecl, the amount of our exports is fuf- ficient evidence. The late unprecedented flate (124 ) flate of the continent, fo little favourable to the eftablifhment of rival manufa6lures, has prevented the exiftence of much competi- tion j but a kindly fettlement of the dif- turbances, which have recently prevailed, would, doubtlefs, favour the efforts that may be attempted. The theory of the Balance of Trade, upon the principles of which all countries have more or lefs fhaped their policy, has been peculiarly unfriendly to a liberal intercourfe, and to a free exchange of the native produce of one country for the native produce of another. Every country pofTefTes fome pro^ duce more particularly congenial to its cli- mate than another, whether of the animal, vegetable, or mineral world j as the more northerly powers that particular produce which relates to naval ftores; Germany, corn and wines; France, wines and oil 3 and Por- tugal and Spain, wine and fruits. But as it has always been the policy of this country, as well as others, to favour the trade which led ( 125 ) lead to an introduftion of bullion, more than that which led to an introdu6tion of pro- duce, we particularly prized our trade with Portugal : and great praife has always been beftowed upon the Methuen Treaty, which fecured to us, as it was conje6i:ured, a great portion of the bullion which fhe annually received from America. By this treaty we ftipulated to impofe a higher duty, by one- third, on French than on Portugal v/ines, provided Portugal v/ould admit our woollen goods, which was readily conceded, as fhe procured, by thefe means, the monopoly of the wine market in this country. Upon the commercial policy of this treaty, at this time, there can, perhaps, be little difference of opinion. It has now exifted a century; and it is needlcfs to remark, after the prior obfervations in this work, that we poilefs no more Portugal gold at this moment than if no fuch treaty had ever exifted, though we have fubmitted, during the whole period, to take her wines at a high price, when wc could have procured thofe of France at a much ( 126 ) much lower, had no prohibition, in confe- quence of the increafed duty, taken place. Had we favoured the introdu6lion of the wines of France, and encouraged the admif- fion of her native produce, fhe would have encouraged the admiffion of ours, which v/ould have led to an increafe of the domef- tic produce of both countries, arid both would have been more opulent. That this treaty, therefore, has been injurious to our commercial intefefts there can be no doubt, as our domeftic produce would have been augmented, and we Ihould have polTelied more wines, of a better quality, at a cheaper price. But upon the political tendency of this treaty, there may be a difference of opinion. It may be faid, that we fliould have enceu- raged the opulence of France by the con- fumption of her wines j and have, therefore, advanced the refources of a power, who, in the time of hoftility, is our mofl dangerous enemy. But I am of opinion, that, previous to ( 127 ) to the revolution, an extenfion of the com- meixial relations between the two countries would have materially conduced to our amity ; but what efFe6l fuch an extenfion may have at the prefent crifis muft be vari- oufly conjedlured, according to the views in which the leading charaflers of the country regard its prefent power. It appears to me that the admifTion of their wines upon the fame terms with thofe of Portugal would have a beneficial tenden- cy, as it might dire6l individuals to employ their capital in the culture of wines, for the increafed vent in this country, in preference to employing it in the eftablifhment of rival manufa6lures to our prejudice, in which there would certainly be much rifk of even- tual fuccefs, as we have neceffarily attained more (kill and are already in poflefTion of the market. Should a commercial treaty be projeded between the two countries, elaufes might certainly be introduced to pro- hibit the eflabliflimeut of particular rival manufa<5lures ( J28 ) manufactures in confequence of our admif- fion of their wines. But if conceffions are given conceffions would be hereafter de- manded ; and upon the whole of our com- mercial fpeculations, I would rather give a free fcope to the energy of the Britifh cha- rader, in whatever line it may be found moft beneficial to dired our induftry, than reprefs it by mutual prohibitions. In the event of a treaty, however, it ap- pears to me both in a commercial and po- litical light, that this fubje6l is highly de- ferving the ferious attention of the public. Though I by no means wifh to convey an opinion, that the caufe of Portugal fhould be deferted if any alteration fhould be found neceflary in the Methuen treaty. It is remarked by Mr. Hume> that the more opulent the furrounding nations are with whom we trade, the more beneficial it is to us ; but this entirely depends upon the produce which forms their opulence. If their wealth confifted { 129 ) confifted of the fame produce with our own, it would be highly detrimental, as we could get nothing by the exchange ; but the more opulent they were in different produce, the more would exchange for the fame quantity of our own, and the more beneficial it would be to us. It is therefore for the intereil of England to encourage the cultivation of different, inftead of rival manufactures ; and admit the wines of France, unlefs political reafons intervene, that would render it, at a particular juncture, prejudicial. Some ap- prehenfions have been at times exprefTed, that the influence of France might be fo great, as to caufe the various nations on the con- tinent to exclude us from their ports ; but as all commerce is an exchange of equiva- lents, if our produce were rejected, their produce could not be purchafed; and as their trade would necefTarily flagnate, fuch a pro- je6l would never receive their concurrence. In the management of our home trade, therefore, particular attention fhould be paid K to ( 130 ) to the capabilities of different countries, in order that there may be a reciprocal encou- ragement of the domeflic produce of each, and that no particular favour be fhewn to afty, merely for the purpofe of attaining a greater quantity of bullion, unlefs political confiderations point out the benefit of the partiality. The next important branch of our com- merce confifts in the Colonial trade which arifes from our fettlem.ents in the Weft and Eaft Indies ; and it is this trade which has been moft expofed to the contra6led princi- ples of the theory which I confidered in the preceding chapter. The produce of our Weft India iflands was not till lately, by the penetration of Mr. Irving, regarded as fimilar in principle to the domeftic produce of Great Britain}, it was profcribed among the general imports that had a tendency to impoverifti the coun- try by diminiihing the favourable Balance of ( 131 ) of Trade. It was not exempted from their odium, as it efcaped the obfervation of the fupporters of this theory, that no equivalent was given for it, and that no money could b^ withdrawn in confequence of its importa- tion, as the proprietors of the efiates refided in this country, and as much conduced to our opulence by its introdu6lion, as if it were a natural produce of the foil of Great Britain. But every confideration was loft in the popular tenet of the Balance of Trade ; and as it was evident that the import of Weft India produce contributed to fwell the general account, every effort was made on the part of government to prevent this feemingly prejudicial efre6l to the general inte- refts of the country. To remedy this apparent evil, and to make the Balance of Trade fome- what lefs unfavourable, the project of feed- ing and clothing the inhabitants from this country was formed and enforced by fevere prohibitory regulations againft foreign fup- ply. The iflands were thus put upon the footing of a foreign nation -, and were fo V -. { 132 ) far feparatcd from their connecliorl with the mother country, as their produce was to be purchafed for an equivalent, inftead of being received as a component part of the aggre- gate produce of the Britifh empire. Such is the ingenuity of this fyftem, that we thought ourfelves in the poU'eflion of greater weahh by being difpoflefTed of a part for the purchafe of their produce, than if we had received it for nothing, as the genuine ap- purtenance of the parent country. By the principles which I have endeavour- ed to eflablifh, and which are in this inflance fanflioned by the authority of Mr. Irving, the nation is only enriched by its colonial trade, In proportion to the excefs of its im- ports above its exports. If then fome pro- portion of the produce now forced out to our colonies, were diverted to an indepen- dent ftate, for an equivalent in foreign mcr- chandife, and the fame quantity of colonial produce were notwithftanding imported, the nation w^ould be enriched by the proportion ' { '33 ) directed to the continent for a foreign equi- valent. If by a forced exportation of feven millions of produce to the Wefl Indies, we received only eight millions in return, which is the prefent flate of our trade, the nation gains but one million by the bargain. But if, inftead of this policy, we exported four millions ©ut of the feven to the continent, to be returned in an equivalent of foreign produce, and the eight miUions of fugar were received with the aid of only three millions from home, the nation would gain five miUions by this trade, inftead of one. I have no means of eftimating the propor- tion of fupply which the planter would draw from this country, if he were at liberty to choofe his market j but it is obvious, that the lefs exports he take from us, and the more produce he bring to us, the more he advances the interefls of his country; and not by the more he take from us, and the lefs he bring to us, as the Balance of Trade lias endeavoured to pcrfuade us. It ( 134 ) It may be laid down as a fundamental principle, to which I know no exception^ that in whatever mode a grower can raife his produce, or a manufa(5lurer work his pro- duce, with moil advantage to himfelf, he raifes it with moft advantage to the public. If a Wefl India planter could procure fub- fiftence from America, or any other country, at half the price that he could from this, it would not only be for his benefit, but it would be greatly for the benefit of the pub- lic, who would necelTarily receive a greater fupply of colonial produce at a cheaper price. The furplus which would arife from an extended cultivation, in confequence of the refort of the planter to a cheaper market, w^ould much more than pay the iiland ex- pences, and a greater quantity would be in- troduced into this country for home con- fumption. Another regulation highly injurious to the intereft of the planter, and therefore in- jurious ( '35 ) jurious to the intereft of the public, is the forced importation of colonial produce into this country, previous to its exportation to foreign ports. This regulation was eflab- liflied from an opinion, that the planter would not import his fugar into this coun- try, in confequence of the duty, if he were at Hberty to take it elfewhere, and that th« public revenue would be injured. Nothing can be more abfujxl than this re- gulation ; for the moment it has been im- ported, and paid the duty, it is not only en- couraged out again, as faft as poITible, by a drawback of the whole duty, but a bounty is given in addition, to pay the expences of the circuitous voyage, leaft we fliould be under- fold on the continent by a rival trade. But a permilTion to the planter to take his fugars, in the firil inftance, to a foreign port, would not operate injurioufly, and prevent the fame, or any greater quantity, being introduced for our home confumption, upon which alone ( 136 ) alone the duty is ultimately paid, than is now imported. The quantity confumed in this country is regulated by the prices in the home and the foreign market, under the prefent fyflem; and it would be regulated by the fame criterion, v/hatever alteration be effe6led. So far therefore from a more liberal policy having any tendency to reduce, it would materially augment the revenue j as it would increafe the powers of cultiva- tion, and caufe a greater quantity to be ex- ported from the iflands to the continent, than is now re-exported from this country, and would neceflarily increafe the return of foreign equivalents, upon which for the moft part a duty is impofed. And as it would likewife introduce a greater quantity for home confumption than is now imported, which would necelfarily pay a greater duty, it would confiderably axigment the general amount of the impofts of the country. It would be likewife for the benefit of the pub- lic j for unlefs the fugar fo exported to the continent ( 137 ) contment could return a foreign merchan- dize more valuable to the importer, and confequently a greater defideratum with the public, than the fugar itfelf, it would be brought into our ports inilead of being fent to the ports of the continent. It is materially eflential at the prefent moment, that the intereft of the planter fliould be particularly guarded j as our Weft India produce is that part of our commercial fyftem which is moft expofed to the fuccefs- ful rivalry of France. If it be an acknow- ledged fa6t, that France is capable of rai- fmg her fugar, in confequence of lefs reftric- tion, at a cheaper rate than we can, which I believe cannot be difputed, there is no doubt but that fhe may be capable of under- felling us in the foreign market, unlefs our export trade be aflifted by enormous bounties to the prejudice of the revenue. The whole of our commercial regulations relative to the conduct of our colonial trade, appear ( 138 ) appear to me to be inconilflent with the principles of true policy, and to demand the ferious attention of the pubhc at the prefent moment. The reftrictions upon this com- merce originated in the fophillry of the Ba- lance of Trade, which inculcated the indif- criminate exportation of produce, from a general perfuafion, that an excefs of exports above imports was an infallible criterion of a favourable balance, and, that whatever tended to this excefs, promoted the welfare of the country. Little reference was made to the object for which it was exported. The pene- tration of Mr. Irving difcovered that there was fome error in the mode of computing this balance ; and as the colonial trade was a trade of remittance, and not of exchange, that the excefs of imports above exports conftituted our gain inftead of our lofs ; the forced exportation, therefore, of Britifh produce to the Weft Indies is highly injuri- ous, both to the public and the planter, and ought to be difcontinued. If the capital now employed in feeding this trade gradually received ( 139 ) received a new dire(5lion, and were occupied in forming a fui*plus for the introduction of foreign equivalents, the nation would be en- riched in proportion to the quantity that was thus diverted into a different channel. The forced importation of colonial produce ap- pears to me to be equally injurious. But I by no means wifh to open our V/eft India ports to foreign fliips ; the principle of the Navigation A61s fliould be fcrupuloufly obeyed, and all fupplies, from whatever market, and all exports, to whatever country, fhould be carried in Britilh bottoms. Though our Eaft India trade be not pro- perly a colonial trade, as the Eaft Indies are a fettlement and not a colony, yet, as it par- takes of the nature of colonial intercourfe, in being more a trade of remittance than ex- change, I (hall examine it under this head. Our policy towards thefe fettlements does not appear to me to be regulated by purer princi- ples than our conduft towards the Weft In- dies. In my examination of this fubje6t I Ihall ( I40 ) fliall make no reference to the principles which originally dictated the charter to the Eafl India Company; nor take any review of the circumftances which have led to a varia- tion from its fpirit. I fliall merely ohferve, what I think will be univerfally admitted, that if the integrity of the Indian empire had been but lately ceded to us in its prcfent extent, with a population of five-and-twenty millions, we fhould not have vefted its trade and revenue in a joint-flock company, con- trary to every principle of private and pub- lic intereft ; we ihould not have fufFered its trade to be monopolized by a few individuals, pofTefTed of funds wholly incompetent to embrace its extent, and wholly incapable of advancing its profperity ; nor fliould we have fufFered its revenue amounting to ten mil- lions of pounds ftei'ling, to be poflefTed by a corporation of merchants, however refpecl- able, and appropriated at their will, however honourably applied to the fupport and well- being of their eflablifliment. This fubjedt naturally divides itfelf into tv/o queflions re- lative ( H' ) lative to the policy of a commercial mono- poly, and the policy of a difconnccled re- venue, which I lliall conlider under feparate heads. I fliall not enter into a particular invefti- gati on of the policy of a commercial mono- poly > it is fufficient for the prefent purpole to obferve, that if the joint-ftock company poflefs fufficient funds to draw forth all the capabilities of the fettlement to which they traffic, it is not very material to the public, whether the trade be clcfe or open. But if its capabilities be greater than the means of the company can embrace, the public lofe in proportion to the quantity of produce, which a more liberal policy would encourage. Now it is not only admitted that a large furplus is annually cultivated in India, beyond what the funds of the company are capable of bringing home, but that an enlargement of the private trade would ftill further augment this furplus. Whatever additional quantity, therefore, an encouragement of the private tr::de f H^ ) trade would be capable of raifing, is necefia- rily loft to this country in confequence of the exclufive monopoly to the company. But the privation of the augmented fur- plus is not the only evil attendant upon this fyftem. The main evil confifts in the means which are taken to remit the exifting fuplus to this country. This furplus far exceeds what the (hips of the company are capable of bringing home, and in future years, by the correfpondence of the Marquis of Wei- lefley, it is likely to be ftill greater. As pri- vate fhips belonging to this country are ex- cluded from the ports of India,, the proprie- tors of the furplus neceflarily remit it in fo- reign bottoms ', during the late war it was brought to the ports of Europe in the fhips of Denmark and America. But now there is httle doubt but that France will make every effort to participate in the profits of this trade. By this policy we encourage the navy of thofe ftates which are always rival, and ( 143 ) and frequently hoflile powers, in preference to our own. But what forms the flrongeft feature in this policy, is, that we not only encourage the fhips of our enemies, but encourage them with Britifli capital. The furplus pro- duce with which they are freighted, confli- tutes for tl:ie moft part the private fortunes of individuals, who take thefe means as the moft eligible that offer to remit their pro- perty to this country. This employment of Britifli capital in foreign bottoms, is the mofl flagrant violation of the fpirit of the naviga- tion a6ls, which has been known to take place from their origin to the prefent times. The fundamental principle upon which they are founded, is to give encouragement to our own in preference to a rival navy, though fupported by foreign capital. Yet our pre- fent policy authorifes and promotes the ad- vancement of their marine by the allifl:ance of our own capital, contrary to the whole tenor of the a6ls upon which our naval pre- eminence is founded j and after an hundred and { 144 ) and fifty years experience of the beneficial efFe6ls that have refulted from obedience to their principle. But we have gone one fiep farther in fup- port of our enemy. We have not only fup- ported their navy with Britifh capital, but we have given them privileges, denied to ourfelves, to prevent our interference even as a rival. According to the fame policy by which our Weft India trade is dire6led, the Eaft India Company is compelled to bring their fiiips to our ports without break- ing bulk, and land their merchandife in this country, previous to its exportation to the continent J but our enemies are permitted to be the carriers of India produce to any European port, without being fubje6led to 3. fimilar difability ; by which they are ena- bled to underfell us in the foreign market, and exclude us from all competition. We have not only therefore permitted the fliips of our enemy to trade in the Indian feas, to the exclufion of our own j but we have fup- portcd ( H5 ) ported them with our capital in preference to our own ; and, as if thefe advantages were not enough, we have given them privileges .greater than our own, to prevent the appear- ance of our merchandize in the market. Had we exprefsly intended to give up this trade, and refign it into the hands of our ene- mies, we could not have reforted to any means more efficacious for the purpofe. It is highly requifite therefore, for the fal- vation of our Eaft India trade, that fome alteration fhould be effe6led in our prefent policy. The only effectual means for its recovery appear to me to be, to allow th^ building of fhips in India,, to grant the fame privileges to Britifli fubjecfts which are gran* ted to our enemies, and to encourage an extenfion of the private trade. And firft, as to the liberty of building fliips in India. It is faid that this indulgence would lead to a diminution of Ihipwrights in this country, and to a breach of the navi- L gation ( 146 ) gation acts by the employment of Lalcars, inHead of Britifli failors. That it would lead to a diminution of artificers in the Thames, is too unimportant a confideration, even if it were likely to have this efFe6l, to have much weight in the difcuffion of the prefent queHion : but it appears to me that it would have a contrary tendency. It is aflerted by Mr. Henchman, in a work which he has publifhed upon this fubje6L, that five and twenty thoufand tons would be required for the private trade of India, in addition to the forty thoufand employed by the company. It is well known that the repairs which the fhips are compelled to un- dergo, after fo long a voyJige, would confi- derably add to the number of artificers, in- ftead of tending to their diminution. With refpe<5l to the navigation of the ihips by Lafcars, it is to be remarked, that it was never intended by the fupporters of the pri- vate trade of 77 ) piefent reign, that it has depreciated the va- lue of money to a greater extent than the firft fertihty of the American mines in the reign of EUzabeth; It is fomewhat fingular that this remark- able depreiTion of money, which has exceeded the depreciation of any former period, Ihould have efcaped the acute obfervation of Dr. Adam Smith. But he had aflumed the prin- ciple that tlie price of corn was the befl ftandard of its value, and by an exclufive attention to the price of this commodity, without inquiring into the advance of others, he was inadvertently led to conclude, that money had not materially depreciated during the laft century. He did not fufficiently re^ fle6l upon the extended cultivation of this produce from the improvement of agricul- ture, which nccelfarily prevented the advance of its price in comparifon v/ith other com- modities that had not increafed in a fimilar proportion. In addition to this circum- flance, he was unaccountably inaccurate in N his ( >78 ) his review of the efFe61:s of paper circulation, which Mr. Thornton, in his late pubhcation, has fatisfa6lorily explained. He had formed a conclufion, that a factitious money could only fupply the place of that quantity of gold which would have otherwife circulated in its ftead j and as he was of opinion that it caufed no augmentation of the general circu- lation of the country, he of courfe concluded that it had no tendency to depreciate the va- lue of money. His refie6lions, therefore, were folely confined to the influx of bullion from America, and as he thought that the annual fupply did not materially exceed the annual confumption, he drew the inference that no depreffion had taken place in the courfe of the century. But the table of Sir George Schuckburgh Evelyn is a mallerly refutation of this opi- nion. In the conllruction of his table, the learned author has taken the price of many oihcr commodities as well as corn for the di- rection of his judgment, and has formed a more ( ^79 ) more accurate conclufion on the depreflion of money, by the mean appreciation of all, than could have been formed By an exclufive attention to the particular value of a fmgle. article. The table exhibits, in a comprehen- five view, the value of money, in arithme- tical proportions, from the conquefl to the prefent times. Its publication is an honour- able acceilion to the literature of the age ; it is executed with an ability and judgment worthy of the diftinguilhed talents of its fcientific and accomplifhed author, who has dire6led the hiftorical reader through a mafs of matter, before inacceffible, and has ena- bled him to eftimate, with a near approxima- tion to truth, the private wealth and the public refources of the country through every reign. But, important as it is to the hiflorian in the review of paft events, it is ftill more impor- tant to us, at the prefent period, for the di- reS5 ) where the increafe originates : whether Lon- don, Lifbon, Paris, or Vienna. But where^ ever it takes place, and augments the cur- I'cncy of the country above its due propor- tion, it will either lead to the departure of fpecie, or wdll circulate at a difcount pro- portionate to the excefs. It has been contended, hj Mr. Thornton, that country bank notes have no tendency to raife the price of fubfiftence ; or, in other words, to deprefs the value cf money to a greater extent in this counti-y than elfewhere, and augment our currency above its due pro- portion. He fupports his argument by proving, that country notes have no local in- fluence to raife the price of provilions in the place in which they circulate above their price in other parts of the kingdom. But I endeavoured to prove, in the firfl chapter, that it was not only not in the power of any one particular diftri^l to advance the price of its produce above the prices of other dif- tridls, but that it was not in the power of any ( i86 ) any one nation to advance its prices above others, except by prohibition of intercourfe. If the markets of the various nations of the world have a reciprocal adion on each other to maintain the general equilibrium of money, ftill more mufc the markets of the fame na- tion have a ftronger influence on each other to the fame end. It is not by their local influence, but by their general influence, as a part of the general circulation of the v\^or]d, that country notes have the fame tendency with the notes of London, Paris, or Vienna, to deprefs the value of money. From what- ever quarter the paper ifliae, the efle6l is jufl: the fame. It may be faid of every note fent into circulation, what philofophers fay of a pebble thrown into the ocean, that the fen- fation extends to the fliores of the world. Almoft all the nations of Europe have augmented their currency by fome addition of paper. The courfe of exchange is the beft criterion how far the currency of one is increafed beyond the currency of another. By ( i87 ) By the recent ilate of our unfavourable ex- changes, it is evident, that our currency has been augmented in a greater proportion than any. But if all augmented it in the fame proportion, the paper currency of the v/orld may be carried to any extent, and the value of money be deprefled in a much greater ra- tio than it has hitherto been. Having thus curforily flated the means by which the value of money has been deprefltd to a greater extent, within thefe laft fifty years, than at any prior period of hif- tory, I fliall now make fome inquiry into the cfFefts of this depreHion upon the private and public revenue of this country. If, upon a general increafe of currency, and a confequent alteration of the meafure of value, the incomes of all are not advanced in a fimilar ratio, an injury is fullained in every inftance where an exception can be found. As the firfl: efFe6l of an augmentation of cur- rency is experienced in a proportionate ad- vance ( i88 ) vance in the price of produce, all thofe whole incomes ariie immediately from its fale, fuf- fer little inconvenience, as the prices of all are nearly advanced in a iimiiar proportion. The agricultural, the manufafturing, and the mercantile clafles of the community, therefore, for the moil part, augment their incomes in the fame ratio in which the value of money is deprefied ; but all thofe who re- ceive a fixed income, by flipulated contrails, invariably fufFer in proportion to the depref- fion, as the fame nominal fum no longer re^- tains the fame real value. It is thus that the public revenue is materially injured in all its branches j that the property of the public creditor is di- miniflied; and that the private rents and annuities of individuals are in reality re- duced, though they fVill confift of the fame fam. The general power of the revenue is dimi- nifhed by the very means that are taken for its increafc. ( i89 ) Increafc, as the efFefl of taxation in advan- cing the price of prockice, and caufmg an increafe of currency, necefiarily depreffcs the vahie of money. Upon this efFecl of taxa- tion, I fliall treat in the fubfequent chap- ter. The moft material fufferer by the de- preciation of money is the public creditor, who has no power of renewing his contract at ftated periods, and whofe intereft is paid in the fame fum, whatever alteration bs cfFe(5fed in the value of money. The pov/er- ful agency of this principle in the real, though not nominal, reduction of the na- tional debt, will be the fubjecl of a feparate chapter. In the various other purpofes to which the public revenue is appropriated, no doubt, a partial injury is fuftained. The effect of the depreciation of money, on that part which is particularly applied to the payment of the civil lift, v/as dillcuded v>'ith 2;rcat ability ( 190 ) ability In the lall: parliament ; and a fliort addrefs to the pubHc has been written by- Mr. Rofe, explanatory of its operation. In the civil and military offices of ftate, feme reda6lion of falary is likewife experi- enced from this diminution of the meafure of value, though in many inflances an in- creafe has been effected proportionate to the deprelTion. In the pay of the army and navy, the advance has nearly held pace with the alteration j and in the augmentation of the falaries of the judges, the increafe is, in fome degree, commenfurate ^ but from the ob- loquy, that never fails to be attached to minifters, vvho augment the falaries of the various officers in the public departments of the ftate, where the places are more imme- diately under their pecufiar patronage, no adequate compenfation has been made ; and as a popular outcry againfc places and pen- fions is the neceiTary confequence of the jealoufy that charaderizes our conxlituton, there ( 191 ) there is little chance that any redrefs will be granted. In the private incomes of individuals, an injury is fuftained in every inftance, where a perfon has rendered himfelf, by contra6l, incapable of increafing his income in pro- portion as money depreciates, and who is annually paid in the fame fixed fum, though it no longer retains the fame power. Thefe contracts are, more or lefs, general through all the relations of fociety ; the rents of land, the intereft of annuitants, and the wages of labour, are univerfally eftimated by their equivalent in money ; wherever, therefore, a variation is effedted, a partial in- jury necelfarily refults. A partial injury is fuflained by the land- lord, in proportion to the extent of the term for which he grants his leafe. During thefe laft twenty years, by the proportions of Sir George Schuckburgh Evelyn's table, the value of money has depreciated five fliillings in the ( 192 ; the pound, or five and twenty per cent. If, therefore, a leafe of a farm had been granted at the rent of four hundred a year for this term, the landlord would have received at the clofe of his leafe what was only equiva- lent to three hundred at its commencement, though he ftill continued to receive the fame nominal rent. Upon the renewal of his leafe he is generally fufficiently attentive to his intereft, to laife his rent commenfurate with the depreffion of moneys but during its currency he is conftantly fuftaining a greater and a greater lofs. Yet, as long leafes are not very ufual, th^ proprietors of land fuffer lefs injury than any clafs of the community, who receive a fixed income by the medium of mo- ney. The advantage which is gained by the tenant againfl the landlord, has no tendency to efFe6l the real valufe of the land. Land will ever retain its relative value, whatever variation takes place in the ftandard of money. It has often been remarked, that taxation ( 193 ) taxation, has a tendency to break down the middle ranks of fociety, and that a perfon cannot now live upon five hundred pounds per annum, as he could formerly. When a particular fum is mentioned, the remark is jullj but the fame landed property that formerly produced five hundred pounds a year, will now produce a proportionate fum to enable the proprietor to live with pro- portionate comfort. Government certainly takes fomewhat more than formerly i but the difference is too unimportant to give any countenance to this reflexion. A comparifon has frequently been made between the advantages of landed and fund- ed property ; and the preference has in many inftances, though with very little reafon, been given in favour of the funds. The public creditor is compelled to receive the fame no- minal intercft, whatever deprefiion take place in the value of money. lie has no means of renewing his C()ntra6l, and demanding an advance of income proportionate to tlie in- O creafc ( 194 ) creafe of currency. His capital fufFers the fame diminution as his intereil. The rife or fall of flocks is problematical, and cailiiot fairly be brought into the comparifon, as it may be at any given moment as much againft as in favour of the proprietor. Erom 1780 he has loft one fourth of his principal and interefl, without any poiiibility of recovery. But though a landlord certainly fulfers dur- ing the currency of his leafe, at the expira- tion of the term he may invariably raife his rent commenfurate with the alteration of the meafure of value, and maintain himfelf in the fame relative pofition in fociety : his property will ever continue of the fame va- lue. The perfon who twenty years ago invefled his money in the funds, will find, that, if he had invefted it in land, he would have pofleifed one fourth more in income and capital, than he can now command j and the further he goes back, the greater will be the difference, A? ( ^95 ) As tlie price of corn has not augmented in the fame proportion with other produce, it may perhaps be conjecbured, that landlords do not receive the fame proportionate rent as formerly : but by the improvements of agri- culture, not only a greater quantity of ground has been brought into tillage, but the fame quantity is made to yield a greater produce • which enables the proprietor of an efcate to receive the fame income, though the fame quantity of corn will not exchange for the fame proportionate value. The augmented fupply of corn is the beft teft of the improved ftate of fociety. Another caufe of tlie com- parative cheapnefs of corn, is, that its im- port is not prohibited, unlcfs it be fold at a very reduced price. It is therefore impracti- cable to raife it to any extent above the prices of the continent, unlefs, as fometimes happens, its export from foreign nations is refi:ri6lcd. The private annuitants by bond, mort- gage or jointure, fuffer in tlie lame manner O 2 as ( 196 ) as the public creditors, by the general de- prefTion of money. They have no power of renewing their contra6ls j and no means of redrefs, whatever alteration enfue. In the wages of labour fome difcrimina- tion is necefTary. The means of combina- tion among the manufa6luring clafTes form an evil to be redreffed, inftead of a remedy to be encouraged : but the labourers in huf- bgjidry have not the fame power. The late enormous increafe of poor rates is in fome degree evidence, that their wages have not been advanced in an adequate proportion; but the difficulty of elevating the labouring poor, of whatever clafs, to a ftate of compa- rative comfort is infuperable. An adjufb- ment of the due proportion of the wages of labour is among the moft difficult branches of legiflative fcience j as an advance in the price of labour is affixed on the produce, and eventually renders the increafe unavailing. The exertions which the leading chara(51crs pf the country are now making to augment the ( ^97 ) the quantity of produce, are the moft ef- fectual means for their relief ^ as it will enable their labour to exchange for more fubfiftence, and, in proportion to the excefs, ameliorate their condition. NO ON THE HEFOmMATION PAPER CURRENCY OF THIS COUNTRY, CHAP. V. . •*■ HE increafe of the public revenue appears to me to have been the principal caufe of the progrefTive increafe of the paper cur- rency of this country during the preceding century. It is an ^ftabhrtied principle in taxation,, that all duties fliould be paid by the con- fumer. For this purpofe, whenever a tax is ioipofed on any particular produce, an ad- vance ( 199 ) vance is made in its price, commenfai.jite w'th the impofl. But as the exifting cuiTqncy qf the country is no more than adequate to cir- culate its produce at the exifting prices, if the price cf any particular commodity be advanced, more money will be requifite for its movement, and an increafe of currency mufl: be effected to fupport its transfer. But an increafe is not only neceffary to enable the grower to raife the price of the produce on Vvhich the duty is impofed j but an ad- ditional increafe is requifite to enable the confurner to pay for it. If the income of the confurner continued the fame, it could only be occupied in effe6ling the fame pay- ments which it previoufly made. If larger payments be required, a greater currency is neceffaiy to facilitate their tranfa6lion. In order therefore to remove the liability of the grower, and to give effccl to the principle that the duty flhould fall on confumption, it is not only requifite that an increafe of cur- rency fliould take place to raife the produce of ( 200 ) of the grower; but an increafe is likewife re- quifite to raife the produce or labour, from which the income of the confumer proceeds. It is thus that the partial impofition of a duty on any one particular commodity re- fembles, in its operation, a general impoft on all, by occafioning a general advance of ex- ifting prices. It may perhaps be imagined that an in- creased rapidity of circulation may be capa- ble of fupporting the advance, without an augmented currency ; but, whenever there is the fmallefl tendency to an infufficiency of currency, an immediate ftagnation of trade will enfue from the difficulty of carrying on the cuflomary fales ; and fo far from an in- creafed demand of money operating to an accelerated circulation, it never fails to im- pede its a61ivity by retarding the exchange of commodities. Circulation will always be mofl rapid when the fupply is moft abundant. In ( 201 ) In the infancy of the prefent fyilem of our revenue laws in the reign of William and Mary, the nation was peculiarly embar- rafTed, by the inadequacy of its currency to fupportthe advance of prices, in confequence of the increafe of taxes. Previous to the eftablifhment of the bank of England, when no power exiiled of augmenting our curren- cy in proportion to our exigencies, there was great difficulty in effe6ling their pay- ment. It is fele6led by Mr. Chalmers from Davenant, that, upon the impofition of a duty, the burthen relied upon the grower, by a diminution of price proportionate to the impoft, inllead of an advance. This partial prefTure was pecuharly injurious, as it precluded his indemnification, and caufed a redu6lion of income at tlie time that his contributions to the flate were augmented. Had not the fpirit of the times been re- markably zealous in fupport of the new con- flitution, it would have been fcarcely prac- ticable, to have carried on the regular ope- rations ( 202 ) rations of government under fucli circum- ilances. This eftecl of taxation originated in the infufficiency of our currency to circulate the exifting produce at the advanced prices, which the impofition of duties made necef- faryj but the eftabhfliment of the bank of England had an immediate and fenfible ope- ration, notvvithftanding the difficulties atten- dant on a new inftitution, to relieve the nation from the embarralfments with which it was oppreffed. From the foundation of this company, an increafe of the revenue has been attended with lefs oppreffion, as the currency of the country has invariably augmented in proportion to its neceffities. Upon every fubfequent addition to our pub- lic burthen, the grower or manufaflu^er has uniformJy advanced the price of the produce on which the duty was levied, for the purpofe of impofmg the ultimate lia- bility on the confumer j and the confamer has advanced the price of the produce from which ( 203 ) which his income arofe for additional means to accomplifli its payment. The facility which the bank gives . to thef© advances conftitutes one of its chief utilities ; as with- out an increafe of currency, it would be impra6ticable to augment the incomes of in- dividuals at the fame time with the revenue of government. This eventual tendency of taxation to extend the operation of the duty beyond the produce on which it is impofcd, has hitherto been infufficiently noticed by the public. It has been generally concluded, that it only necefiarily occafioned an advance on the commodities fcibjefted to the duty ; and that a tax on luxuries had no influence, im- mediate or remote, on the neceiTaries of life. But fmcc, by fubfequent extenfion, an ad- vance is made in the produce exempted frorn duty for the purpofe of fupporting the rife on the produce on v.hich it is Icned, a par- tial tax on one produce becomes a general tax on all) and. that, which, in the firft inllance, ( 204 ) inflance, appeared to have an exclufive bear- ing on the rich, is eventually diftributed in a fimilar proportion on the poor ; and, un- lefs the wages of labour be advanced in an adequate ratio, it is evident that the public burthen prefTes with more feverity on them, than on the opulent. But though the increafe of tlie public re- venue appears to me to have been the moft: efficient caufe of the progredive increafe of paper, yet it has been frequently remarked, and was much relied upon, by all the com- mercial chara6lers who were examined be- fore the Secret Committees of the Houfes of Lords and Commons, that the increafed fcale of tranfa(5lions in this country required an augmented currency ; though none were defired to define the extent. There is no doubt but that an increafe of produce would have required an increafe of currency, fo far as to have maintained the equity of exifling engagements, by preventing a reduction of prices, which might have turned the con- tract ( 2CS ) tra6l as much in favour of thofe who receive then' equivalent in money, as it now is in favour of thofe who pay. But the incrcafe for this purpofe would not have been confi- derable. It forms* fo fmall a part of the augmentation which has taken place, that it is hardly neceflary to mention it as one of the efficient caufes : fo far from increafing only in the fame proportion with produce, our currency has increafed to fuch an extent, as to advance its price in a ratio far beyond all former precedent. To what extent the increafe was neceflary, for the purpofe of fupporting our fyflem of taxation, it is im- poflible for me to calculate : but, in order to fupport the increafed fcale of o'lr tranfac- tions, it was only neceflary fo far as to pre- vent a reduftion of exifl:ing prices. Having thus fl:ated what appear to me the neceffary caufes of an increafe of currency, I fliall now make fome inquiry into the paper circulation of this country, and en- foxir deav( ( 2C6 ) deavour to point out the mod eligible means of its reformation. The greater part of our paper currency is iflued by the Bank of England. No doubt whatever can be entertained refpedling the utility of this efLablifliment. It was infli- tuted at a difficult and dangerous period, when a great increafe of taxation made an increafe of currency neceflary to fupport the revenue, and relieve the nation from the difficulties under v/hich it laboured. During a period of an hundred years, and through the variable fuccefs of five wars, it has uni- formly contributed its fupport to the ftate, and preferved the confidence of the public s unlefs the momentary prefiiire in the year 1745 can be faid to form an exception. During this time it pofi^efled the exclufive refponfibility of fupplying the nation with fpecie, and from its firfl inftitution to the termination of the American war no fear- city was experienced. From .( -207 ) From its refponfibility to exchange its paper for fpecie, previous to the fufpenfioii of cafh payments, it was materially iiite- refled in preventing our currency from being augmented above its relative proportion. As the courfe of exchange is the exclufive criterion how far the currency of one coun- try is augmented above the currency of another, the bank was careful to regulate its paper in proportion to its variation. When- ever exchange was adverfe, it immediately felt the effedl by a drain upon its houfe for fpecie to be remitted to the continent. It was inftantly fenfible that our currency was augmented above its proportion 3 and by contrafting its paper, and reducing the ge- neral means of payment, it forced out a certain quantity of produce, to reftify the balance of trade, and bring exchange to a par, as was noticed in the fecond chapter of this work, in treating on the fubjecl of coin- age. Though the fpecie of the country was clandeftinely exported, pending the unfavour- able ( 2CS ) able exchange, yet the flores of the bank were frequently adequate to fupply the quantity demanded, and throw into circula- tion a fufficiency of coin to uphold the credit of its paper, till the reftification of the ba- lance was effe6l"ed; or, if inadequate, it purchafed, though at a lofs, a competent quantity for the purpofe. But it fo far limited the general amount of its paper, as to prevent the frequent recurrence of unfa- vourable exchanges, which might lead to a departure of fpecie to fuch an extent, as to caufe an alarm at the fcarcity, and fhake the foundation of its credit, by a confequent drain upon its depofits. But the peculiar excellence of this efta- blifhment confided in its exclufive regulation of the whole paper currency of the country, by which it was enabled to effefl its increafe or reduction in proportion to the exigency of the times, without much embarrafsment to itfelf or the public. Though, by a liberal application of its refources, it promoted the private ( 209 ) jirivate interefls of individuals, and relieved the financial difficulties of government ; yet, by a judicious and temperate ufe of its power^ it kept the currency of this country in fuch a proportion with the currency of others, as to leave a fufficient quantity of fpecie in conftant circulation for all the com- mon purpofes of domeflic intercourfe. The ability with which it regulated our currency fecured the ftability of its credit, for, though during the depreffion of exchange, a demand was made for fpecie from the profit attainable by its clandefline remittance abroad, yet, throughout the ^whole of the preceding centuiy, no drain was made from, the flighted afperfion on its credit. Its difficulties commenced with the efta- blifhment of country banks ; and, during the circulation of their paper, its difficulties muft continue. It appears to me that all the commercial and financial embarrafsments which harrailed the country during the late P war. ( 210 ) war, exclufively originated in the fufFerancc of their notes. In order therefore to point out the means of reform, it is neceffary to inveftigate the poUcy of this indulgence. In this review, I (hall endeavour to prove that ,the paper of country banks muft ever form an inefficient and dangerous medium of circulation, from its liability to fudden contra6tion in the period of alarm j and its tendency to as fadden an increafe in the moment of fecurity ; and that its continu- ance is inconfiftent with the {lability of the national bank, and the general interefls of the country. Between the termination of the American and the commencement of the late war, country banks were inftituted in all the prin- cipal towns of the kingdom ; and up to tlie year 1793, ^^^^^^' i"^otes had a free and eafy circulation, without exciting much public uneafinefs^ { 211 ) uneafmefs ; though the bank entertamcd an early prejudice againft them, from the difficulties which were likely toenfue to their own eftablifhment. Upon the breaking out of the war, and the firft tendency to alarm in the public mind, their {lability was put to the tcft. Tlic mere agitation occalioned by fuch an event, was fufficient to excite a fufpicion of their credit : and, when once ex- cited, its fuppreffion was impracticable : though at firil partial and infignificant, it fpread with irrefiftible rapidity, and increafed in force as it increafed in extent. The greater part of their notes was inftantiy con- tracted, and the currency of the country was reduced to fuch a degree, as to caafe the ut- moft diftrefs from an infufficiency of means to efFe6t the cuftomary payments. It is im- p:)ffible for me to calculate the quantity withdrawn from the purpofes of circulation: but I fliould not think that the reduftion would be overftated at three millions. This fuddcn contraction of (o large a propoition of our circulating medium, neccilarily dif- P 2 ablcd ( 212 ) abled the fulfilment of engagements, and produced an extent of calamity unparalleled in the hiftory of this, or any other countiy. No lefs than * one thoufand three hundred and four bankruptcies were the confequence of the redu6lion. In this crifisy they riiade application to tlie Bank of England for relief. But as the directors were alarmed at the difRculties that threatened their own inftitution, from the preceding ilTue of their paper, affiftance was refufed. The metropolis foon became dif- trefled in the fame proportion with the country towns j as great part of its currency was withdrawn to fill the chafm which had been made in the currency of the other parts of the kingdom. The mifehief, already extenfive beyond all former precedent, was likely to be produ<^ive of flill greater cala- mity, had not government interpofed to arreft its progrefs : the ifTue of exchequer bills was peculiarly neceflaryat this jun6lure, Vide Clulracrs.. p. 290. thev ( 213 ) they provided the couiitiy with its due pro portion of currency, and prevented any fur- ther extenfion of the mifchief. Though many country banks efcaped vs'ith- out injury in the general fliock, yet none were free from alarm. None could tell how foon the blow might be repeated, nor what degree of injury it might be capable of effect- ing. As foon as the public confternation fubfided, they took the only means in their power to provide againft the evil v*^hich might refult from its return, by fecuring a con- nedlion with the London bankers. By this conne6lion, they were enabled to procure the fupport of the Bank of England, not- withflanding its repugnance to ailift them. Though, previous to the fufpenfion of caHi payments, no private London banker applied for affiftance in his own name, as the appli- cation might have hem deemed a refle6lion on his credit ; yet afTiflance was eafily pro- cured, by requeuing his cudomors to fend bills in theirs to be difcountcd fur him. By this ( 214 ) this intermediate agency, the London bank- ers were capable of extending the loans of the bank to their country connexions, and of giving them that fupport which had been refufed to their direcl application: they thus fecured to themfelves the power of offering a certain quantity of bank notes, or fpecie, upon any fudden afperiion on their credit. In the year 1797, another alarm gave rife to another ful'picion of their fValpility. But by the meafures which they had taken, the prefs was in reality dire6led againft the Bank of England inftead of themfelves. Im- mediately that a run was m.ade upon them, a drain was made upon the bank for fpecie through their London connexions, and vaft fums were remitted for their fupport. In proportion as the a arm became prevalent, and paper became contraXed, fpecie was tjie more and more demanded to fupply the va- cuum. The bank, apprehenfive of being ex- hauiled of its - depofits, purfued its accuf- tomcd ( 215 ) tomed" policy, and reduced the amount of its notes. By this diminution it augmented, in a greater degree, the general diftrefs, without any relief to itfelf, as the fmalleft quantity of paper which it continue permanently in cir- culation would be fufficient, by frequent exchanges, to draw out any given fum of money, and eventually to drain it of its flores. As this policy, therefore, had no other efFe6l than to aggravate the evil which it was intended to remedy i and as, by an increafed demand for fpecie, great danger exifted of a totarprivation of its depofits, it was reduced to the neceffity of applying to government for fupport, and fufpending its cafh payments. But no blame is imputable to the directors ; they found their houfe in- volved in difficulties by no imprudence of their own, and adopted the line of con- duct which exilling circumftances, in their opinion, demanded. No doubt whatever can be entertained, but thai tbe order of council was necellary at the time to prevent worfe confequences. But ( 2i6 ) But thoagh the order of council was neceflary at the preffure of the moment, yet the dirc6lors appear to me to have mifunder- flood the nature of the evil with which they had to contend. They did not difcriminate between the caufe that ufually led to a drain upon their houfe for fpecie, and the caufe that led to it in this particular inftance. It has already been repeatedly remarked, that when the currency of the country was aug- mented above its due proportion, exchange became unfavourable, and caufed the depar- ture of fpecie to maintain the common ftan- dard of money j and as, during the depref- fion, a demand was made upon the banl^ for ipecie, that it contracted the amount of its notes,, and, by reducing our currency to its relative pioportion, prevented the further demand for gold by preventing the profit attainable upon its remittance. They found, therefore, that whenever there was an unufual drain, the moil efFeftual means of counteradling the prefiure, v\^as by a di^ minution of its paper in circulation > and hi everv ( 217 ) every infl^nce, which had hitherto occurred, this poHcy was corre6V, becaufe the drain had been occafioned by a redundant cur- rency. But their difficuhies, in the prefent inftance, in reality arofe from too great a diminution of currency, in confequence of the I'udden difappearance of the countiy notes, and not from too great an incrcafe, as a refercrice to the pourfe of exchange would have fatjsfadlorily explained to them. Upon the firfl commencement of the con- traftion, and for fome months previous to the order of council, the courfe of exchange had been favourable, which afforded conclufive teftimony, that the drain could not be <)c- cafioned by a redundant currency 3 but, with- out adverting to the difference of the caufes, their minds were fo prepoffefled with the idea, that a further contraction was necef- fary , that they urged government to pay up the advances which it had received, in order that they might ftill further diminifh their notes, from a conviction, that the more they were diminifhed, tlie kfs would be the drain. But ( 2i8 ) But they now found, what had never hither- to happened, that the more they contra6led their paper the more the demand for fpecie increafed j and as this was a fituation which baffled all their experience, they were totally incapable of applying the proper remedy. Mifunderftanding, therefore, the nature of the evil, and contracting their notes, when they v/ere in reality called upon to fill the chafm, which the reduftion of the country paper had made, they neceilarily augmented their difficulties. They did not difcriminate between the drain occafioned by an aug- mented, and the diain occafioned by a di- miniflied, currency j but, purfuing the fame policy in the one cafe as in the other, they aggravated the evil to their own difad- vantage. It thus appears, that the two great failures with which we had to contend, amidft the I difficulties of war, originated in the circula- / tion of the paper of country bajiks, in v/hich / the public never repofed a fatisfaclory con- fidence i { 219 ) fidence; and which; from its peculiar lia- bility to fiifpicion, and fiidden contraction in the moment of alarm, miift ever form a dangerous and inefficient medium of circu- lation. Another evil attending the circulation of their paper, is, its tendency in the period of fecurity, to increafe the currency of the country above its relative proportion. From the refponfibility of the Bank of Eng- lanl to exchange its notes for gold, previ- ous to the fufpenfion of ca(h payments, its paper was always regulated by the rela- tive amount of our currency. But there is no controul on the ilfue of the paper of country banks. It is faid, by Mr. Thornton, that they are, in fome degree, necelfitated to limit their notes in proportion to the amount of the paper of the Bank of England. But this controul appears to me more fpecious than efficient. During tlie pubhc confi- dence in their paper, few bank notes ai'e w.uitcd, and little variation is experienced i]i ( 220 ) in its amount, whether the difcounts 6f the bank are increafed or diminifhed. The only efficient controul is its liability to fufpiclon; but as, during the interval of fecurity it cir- culates with the fame freedom as the paper of the bank, whatever quantity the public will endure is piiflied into circulation with- out any regard to the amount of bank notes, with which it then has little concern. Ill December, 1795, betv/een the two dif- aftrous periods of 1793 and 1797, the bank was as much diftrefled by the fudden increafe of their paper, as in the two years above al- luded to by its fudden contraftion. As the colle«5live currency of the country cannot be increafed in any confiderable extent above its relative proportion, the greater the amount of country notes, the lefs muft be the amount of the paper of the Bank of Eng- land: and as, in the year 1795, the countiy banks had, in a great degree, recovered from, the fliock of 1793, and gained additional fe- curity by their London conne6lions, they again { ^21 ) again preffed their notes into circulatioii with fimilar avidity, and nccelFarily produced a redundant currency. The courfe of ex- change in confequence became unfavourable j and, as pending its deprellion, a drain was made upon the bank for the clandeftine re- mittance of fpecie to the continent, it was reduced to the neceflity of Hmiting its dif- counts, to prevent any further demand. It was thus compelled to afford a partial and fcanty afliftance in fupport of the mercantile credit of the city, from the onus to which it was liable of fupplying any given quantity of fpecie in exchange for its paper, v/hile the country banks were profiting by the unli- mited ilfue of their notes, without any fub- jeclion to a fxmilar refponfibility. The em- barraffinent which this refolution occafioned, has been too repeatedly noticed to require any comment from me. It is thus, that, in the moment of alarm, they diitrefs the bank by the fudden contradlion of their paper, and in the moment of fccurity by its fud- den increafe. In ( 222 ) In the fccond chapter of this work, I at- tempted to prove, that it was materially efiential to our commercial interefts, that our currency fliould have a tendency to be relatively lefs, inftead of relatively greater, than the currency of other countries j but as country notes, in the intci-val of fecurity, countera6l this })olicy, it is obvious that they lefTen our means of competition in the foreign market, and retard our export trade by the frequent recurrence of unfavourable exchanges. The total diiappcarance of our fpecie, in confequence of this depreffion of exchange, may not, by feme, be thought an evil, as it may be faid to be of little confequence, whether a piece of paper or a piece of gold be given as tlie mcafare of value. But I am conviiKcd, that it would, be a greater grati- fication to all, if, inilead of receiving a medium of no intriiiiic worth, they received one of real value. It is .likewife to be re- marked, that the notes of counti:y banks dc- prefs ( 223 ) prefs the value of money in proportion to the fpecie, which they fpare for the tranf- a6lion of other payments j which, if the cal- culations of the fubfequent chapter be cor- real, will not be thought an immaterial ob- je6lion. I before ftated, that the fpecie of this country did not amount to five millions of pounds fterling. If Mr. Newland's evidence, relative to the excefs of the paper * above the cafli payments of the Bank of England, in the city of London, and if the excefs of the paper of country banks above our fpecie, in the other parts of the kingdom, be confidered, I am confident that this afTertion will not appear extraordinary. I was informed, not long fince, by a country gentleman, whofe half yearly rents amounted to one thoufand fix hundred pounds, that he literally i-eceived no more than one guinea in their payment. This may be a fmgular inllance ; but every * \ ;Jc Rcj)ori of llii; L'ommiUce ol' Sec.e:-y of llie Muule ul Lords, page C'3. pcrfbn ( iH ) Jrerfon muil' be fenfible, from his own re- ceipts, that the paper of country banks far ex- ceeds thea mount of the fpecie in cuxulation. From their firfl eftablifhment, therefore, to the prefent moment,, the circulation of their paper has involved this country in a con- tinued feries of difficulties, without effeflihg any one advantage to compenfate the evil. The bankruptcies of 1793, the limitation of difcounts in 1795, ^^^ fufpenfion of cafli pay- ments in 1797, and the total difappearance of fpecie, from the fubfequent unfavourable; exchanges, in confequence of the ftibfequent inif reafe of their paper, exclufively originated in the fufferance of their notes, as a confli- tuent part of the permanent currency of the country, for which they are wholly inefficient. But, through the various critical periods of the preceding century, no event had any cffe^ to lelfen the confidence of the public in the ff abiUty of the bank of England 5 and had not the country banks, by a mafterly flrokc ( 225 ) ftroke of policy, involved it in difgrace for their own fecurity, there is no doubt but that it would have difcharged its duties to the public, without any imputation on its credit through the late eventful conteft. In the direftion of their attention to this fubjeil, I truft that the public will confider, that there is a material difference in thti inftitution of a national bank, which circulates its paper for tlie fupport of the public revenue and public Credit, and the inftitution of private banks that circulate their paper for individual ad- vancement, and detriment the country for their own exclufive benefit. In order, therefore, to obviate the danger which threatens the Bank of England upon a return of cafh payments, and to prevent the probable recurrence of the calamities of 1793 and 1797, it appears to me abfolutely necelTary, that the circulation of country notes ftiould be prohibited. But previous to a difculTion of the moft eligible means of effecling their abolition, it is neceliary to (i_ make ( 226 ) make iome obfervations on a contra6llon of currency. The effc6l that attends a variation of cur- rency, whether by increafe or diminution, feems not to have been hitherto fufficiently confidered by the public. Though it be of no confequence whether the produce of a na- tion be moved by a currency of five miUions, or a currency of fifty, yet it is of confequence, that whatever be its amount, it fliould fuffer as Httle variation as poffible. Every variation in its amount efFe6ls a proportio- nate variation in the value of money, and a proportionate alteration in the fpirit of all the exifting contra6ls of fociety, in which money forms the meafure of equivalency between the contra6ling parties. If currency increafe from the commencement of a con- trail, the receiver mud have lefs than his equivalent, and the alteration would be in favour of the payer : if currency be dimi- nifhed from its commencement, the receiver would have more than he ought, and the variation ( 227 ) variation would be againft the payer j be- caufe, in the firft inftance, the fame quantity of money would command lefs, and in the fecond inftance, more than was intended by the original agreement. In order, therefore, to maintain the equity of exifting contrails, it is effential, that currency fhould vary as little as poflible. But the evil attending a diminution is much greater than the evil at- tending an increafe. As the exilling cur- rency of a country is no more than adequate to circulate its produce, at the exifting prices, it is obvious, that if any redu6lion be made, the remainder will be infufficient for the purpofe. Either prices muft fall, or trade muft ftagnate ; and as the fame fums would not be attainable by the fame produce, it would be impra6licable for the public to make their ftipulated payments and fulfil their engagements. The calamities of 1793 fuf- ficicntly point out the mifchief that would enfue. But in an increafe of currency, all contra6ls are performed with greater facility, and though the receiver be injured, the in- Q^ jury ( 128 / jury, for the moil part, efcapes obfervation j or, if obferved, is filently endured. The evils are only apparent in the flow and gra- dual depreiTion of the value of money. Great care, ther^ore^ fiiould be taken in the plan propofed for the reformation of our currency^ that no confiderable redu6lion be effefted. The moft eligible mode appears to me to be, that the bank of England fliould poffefs the exclufive privilege, v^hich it fo long exercifed, and with fo much utility to the public, of regulating the whole paper cur- rency of the country) that the circulation of the notes of country banks fhould be de- clared beyond a given period illegal 3 and that the bank fhould fubflitute the fame or nearly the fame quantity of paper in their •ftead, till, by a gradual contraftion, and a long courfe of favourable exchanges, it be capable of providing a fufhcient quantity of fpecie to fupply its place. By thefe means the abolition of their paper would be effefted without the embarrafiinent which a fudden reduction ( 229 ) reduclion wCuld occafion. This appears to me the leaft objeftionable plan of reform, as it efFe61:s the leaft change of exifling circum- ftances, and creates the leaft injury to the banking line. I am not aware that any well-founded reafon can be urged againft it by the fup- porters of country banks. It will certainly prevent the circulation of their notes, which ought to be prevented, but it will not ope- rate againft the fair profits of their trade, by a proper ufe of the depofits in their hands ; but whatever objeftions may be urged againft this particular meafure, it ap- pears to me abfolutely requifite, for the fe- curity of the bank of England and the general interefts of the country, that fome check fliould be impofed on the ifiue of their notes. If a reformation be made in the paper currency of this country, it would, in my oj)inion, be equally politic to regulate the paper ( 230 ) paper of Scotland and Ireland upon a fimllar principle, by the eftablifhment of national banks at Edinburgh and Dublin, Gonne6led with the bank of England. Such has been the extent of the paper circulation of Scot- land, that five {hilling notes have been iflued for the tranfaftion of inferior payments j and, by the information v^hich 1 have re- ceived refpe6ling the paper of Ireland, the diforder of their currency has exceeded our own, and more immediately requires the interpofition of parliament. The vaft con- cerns of the bank of England will enable it to regulate, with facility, the comparatively fmall amount of its currency. This con- ne6tion will, at the fame tim.e, conduce to its commercial profperity, and materially promote the advantages refulting from the union. ON ON THE REDUCTION OF THE NATIONAL JDEBT BY THE JDEPRESSIOJV OF MOJVJEY. CHAP. VI. Previous to the publication of sir George Schuckburgh Evelyn's table, no au- thor had attempted to afcertain the regular progrefs of the depreciation of money in arithmetical proportions j and, without an accurate knowledge of the gradation, no ap- plication of the principle could be made. In the various publications, therefore, which have appeared on the policy of our funding fvftci» ( 232 ) fyfVem, no one was capable of invefligating the reduction which had been made in the debt by the operation of this principle, as without a knowledge of the comparative value of money, during a confiderable pe- riod, it was impra6licable to point out the extent. Though, therefore, the depreciation was known to exift, yet, in treating on the fub- je6l, all authors reafoned as if the flandard of money were invariable, and regarding every augmentation, immediate or remote, as a permanent addition at the exifting flandard, they imagined that the period was not far diftant when no further accumulation could be borne. They did not confider that the very means to which government reforts for an increafe of revenue, in a great degree, makes the evil of taxation bring its own remedy, as the impofition of duties, by the confequent advance of prices, necefTarily oc- cafions an increafe of currency, which re- duces the flandarci of money, and makes the pujDlic ( 23] ) public, in part, regain what they contri-^ buted, as the revenue is no fooner aug- mented, than a diminution is effe6led in the fame proportion in which the value, of mo- ney is deprefled 3 and if, through any given period, the depreinon hold pace witli the in- creafe, it is obvious that the debt and re- venue, though nominally augmented, would really continue the fame, as any given pro- portion of them would only exchange for the fame quantity of produce. From the inattention of our bell political, writers, Mr. Hume and Dr. Adam Smith not excepted, to the operation of this principle they were uniformly deceived in the view v/hich they took cf the increafmg magni- tude of the national debt. At the com- mencement of the funding fyftem, it was generally imagined that the nation would link under the preflure of the burthen which it then endured 5 but all were unanimoufly of opinion, that any confidcrable increafe would ( 234 ) would inevitably lead to convulfion, from the incapability of effe6ling the payment of taxes. Yet accumulation has been added to accumulation, and, to the aftonifhment of the nation and the world, every fucceiTive addition has been fupported with the fame facility as the preceding one, and the bur- then, with all its accumulations j is now fuf- tained with no greater apparent prefTure than the firft inconfiderable debt upon the adoption of the fyflem. But had the value of money remained at one invariable ftan- dard, as they had afTumed in reafoning on the fubje6l, the conclufions which they formed might, perhaps, have long fmce been realized. The fecret agency of this principle will, in fome degree, explain the myflerious means by which this country has hitherto main- tained fuch numerous wars with inexhaufted refources. Properly fpeaklng, the refources of a country confift in its produce ; but the expedient ( ^35 ) expedient to which we have had recoarfe for the raifmg of fuppHes, may be almoft faid to conftitute inexhauftible means ; for fo long as the depreflion of money keep pace with the increafe of revenue there is little danger of diminution, as the inter- vals of peace, for the moft part, repair the privations of war. A retrofpe6live view of the effe61:s which this principle has pro- duced, will remove our furprife at the patience with which the public have en- dured, and the facility with which they have difcharged fo great an increafe of taxation. For fuch has been the depref- fion of money, that notwithftanding the apparent increafe of the public burthen, it preffed with nearly an equal weight upon the people through the greater part of the preceding century -, and as the exactions of one period did not far exceed the exac- tions of another, however nominally aug- mented, there was little difficulty in efFeft- ing their payment, as little alteration was made in the cuftomary contributions. Durins: ( 236 ) During the preceding century, according to Sir George Schuckburgh's table, the value of money was deprefi'ed in the following ratio, putting its value, in the year 17CO, at two hundred and thirty-eight. noo 238 In 1760 342 mo 247 1770 384 1720 257 1780 427 nso 272 1790 495 1740 287 1800 562 1750 314 Two hundred and thirty-eight pounds, Ihillings or pence, therefore, in 17C0, were equal to five hundred and fixty-two pounds, fhillings or pence, in i8ooi that is, would have purchafed the fame quantity of pro- duce ', and all the different fums were, at the year to which they are appropriated, equal to each other, or would have ex- changed at the particular period to which they belong for the lame value. Thefe pro- portions being given, any perfon acquainted with ( 237 ) with the rule of three, without the aid of decimal fra6lions, may make whatever cal- culations he may deem necefTary to elucidate the fubje6t to his own fatisfaction. By the application of the proportions of this table, to the progrelTive increafe of the revenue, it will be feen, that through the greater part of the preceding century it di- minifhed in value nearly in the fame ratio in which it increafed in magnitude, as the following calculation will illuftrate. The revenue of Queen Anne, at the time of the union in 1707, according to Sir John Sinclair's hiftory, was five million fix hun- dred and ninety thoufand pounds j which, by taking the flandard of money in that year, at two hundred and forty-five, and the flan- dard of money in 1 800, at five hundred and fixty-two, will make her revenue equal to thirteen million and fifty thoufand pounds, of the money of 1800. The re- venue ( 2:8 ) Venue of the different reigns of the lall century, eflimated upon this principle, by a common rule of three fum, viz. as 245 is to 562, fo is jf .5,690,000 to jT. 1 3^050,000, will ftand thus t Q. Anne, 1707, *245=:t562=: + 5,690,000=:§13,050,00(y Georgel. 1727, 267= 562= 6,760,000= 14,228,000 Geo. II. 1760, 342= 562= 8,520,000= 14,000,000 "Geo. III. 1770, 384= 562= 9,500,000= 13,900,000 Geo.III. 1780, 427= 562=12,300,000= 16,000,000 Geo. III. 1790, 496= 562=15,500,000= 17,500,000. By this calculation, it appears, that the depreffion of money, from 1707 to 1770, for the moft part, kept pace with the increale of the revenue, and, in fome inftances, advanced with greater rapidity. That the revenue of Queen Anne, though nominally four, was in ^ This column flievvs the ftandard of money at the yeav to tfbbicb the proportions are appropriated. t The value of money at the flandard of 1 800. X The revenue at the year to which It is appropriated. § Th6 value of that revenutf in the money of 1800. reality 4 ( 239 ) reality only one million lefs than the revenue? of his prefent Majefty in 1770 ; that the revenue of George II. at the commencement of his reign in 1727, was fuperior to his revenue in 1760, though nominally two millions lefs, and fuperior to the revenue of his prefent Majefty in 1770, though nomi- nally three millions lefs ; and that the re- venue of 1760 was greater than the revenue of 1770, though nominally one million lefs. It is evident, therefore, that the public bur- then preiTed with nearly an equal weight upon the people through the greater part of the preceding century ; and that the nation was more feverely taxed in 1727, than in 1760 or 1770, though the preflure was fup- pofed to be confiderably greater in the latter periods. According to Sir John Sinclair, the total expenditure of Queen Anne's reign was one hundred and twenty-two millions, which, by taking the medium ftandard of money in her reign, at two hundred and forty-feven, will be equal to two hundred and feventy-feven miUipns of 1 800, and ^s her ( 240 ) her annual average expenditure was ten mil- lions, equal to twenty-two millions of 1 800, it equalled the annual average expenditure of the prefent reign. But the following calculation, conftru6ted on the fame principle, will give a general view, in round numbers, of the comparative value of the revenue during the eighteenth century. £- I- 1700, 238rr562z: 4,000,000:= 9,400,000 niO, 247 = 562:= 5,500,000 = 12,500,000 • 1720, 257 = 562= 6,000,000 = 13,100,000 1730, 272=562= 6,500,000=13,400,000 1^40, 287 = 562= 7,000,000=13,700,000 1750, 314=562= 7,600,000=13,400,000 1760, 342 = 562= 8,500,000=13,900,000 1770, 384 = 562= 9,500,000 = 13,900,000 1780, 427 = 562 = 12,000,060=15,700,000 1790, 496 = 562=15,500,000=17,500,000 1800, 562 = 562 = 30,000,000 = 30,000,000 It is true, that if money had remained at a fixed ftandard, previous to 1800, the re- venue ( Ht ) venue would not have been nominally fo great as it is at prefent, becaufe fuch large fums would not have been required for the public fervice. But as money has been de- prefTed to fuch an extent, it is neceflary, for the direflion of our future policy, to afcer- tain what diminution the revenue has fuf- tained by the depreciation ; which the follov/- ing table, by fliewing its gradual increafe at the exifting flandard of the times, and the value of that increafe in the money of 1800, will, in fome degree, explain. In the year 1 700, our revenue, at the ftan- dard of the times, was four millions j which, according to the proportions of Sir George Schuckburgh's table, was equal to nine mil- lions four hundred thoufand pounds of the ftandard of 1800 ; and the increafe from 1700 to 1710 being one million five hundred thou- fand pounds, was equal to three millions four hundred thoufand pounds of the flandard of 1800. The progrefTive increafe of the re- R venue. ( 242 ) venue, eftimated upon this principle, will be in the following ratio. In nOO, 4,000,000 equal to 9,400,000 From nOO to niO, 1,500,000 3,400,000 niOtollSO,. 500,000 1,090,000 . 1720 to 1730, 500,000 1,030,000 1730 to 1740, 500,000 970,©00 1740 to 1750, 500,000 890,000 1750 10 1760, 1,000,000 1,640,000 1760 to 1770, 1,000,000 1,460,000 1770 to 1780, 2,500,000 3,290,000 1780 to 1790, 3,500,000 3,960,000 1790 to 1800, 14,500,000 14,500,000 30,000,000 41,630,000 By this table it is evident, that if money- had been at the ftandard of 1800 throughout the whole century, the revenue would have been, in that year, forty-one millions of pounds inftead of thirty millions. If mo- ney had remained flationary at 1700, the revenue, though nominally lefs, would have then been equal to forty-one millions, and if ( Hi ) if it had been flationary at a fubfequent period, in proportion as that period was nearer to the ftandard of 1700, the revenue would have been more nearly equal to forty- one millions, and have fufi'ertd lefs dimi- nution J but as the depreflion continued throughout the whole century, it has ex- perienced the entire lofs of eleven millions. The greater part of this lofs has been fuftained by the public creditors. There is no doubt but that many "other claffes among whom the public revenue is appropriated, have fufFered a partial injury, as was ex- plained in the fourth chapter of this work ; but the great and leading fufferers are the proprietors of national ftock. The fubfe- quent calculation fhewing the gradual in- creafe of the debt at the exifting iiandard of tlie times, according to the proportions of Sir George SchuckburglVs table, and the value of that increafc at the ftandard of 1800, will, in fome meafure, point out the extent of their lofs R 2 A. D. 244 /V.D. Amount of the Deb* at the ftated Pe- Gradual incrcafe of the Debt. value oftheincreaf. at the ftandard of 1800. 1700 1 6,000,000 16,000,000 37,700,000 1710 4-4-,000,0OO 28,000,000 63,700,000 J 750 72,000,000 28,000,000 50,100,000 1760 88,000,000 ] 6,000,000 26,200,000 1770 126,000,000 38,000,000 55,600,000 1780 142,000,000 1 6,000,000 21,000,000 1790 238,000,000 96,000,000 103,700,000 1800 451,000,000 213,000,000 213,000,000 451,000,000 576,000,000 By this table it appears that the national creditors have, in reality, advanced five hun- dred and feventy-fix millions to government, for v^hich now^ only four hundred and fifty- one are put to their credit, and that they have fuftained the lofs of one hundred and twen* ty-five millions in the courfe of the cen- tury. But it muft be admitted that thefe calcula- tions are extremely loofe. The itate of the revenue ( 245 ) revenue is taken in round numbers from Sir John Sinclair's Hillory, but in too im- perfe6l a manner for any other purpofe than merely to iliew the general effe6l of the de- preiTion of money. The flate of the public debt is taken from an account made out by the order of the Houfe of Commons, and is extra6led from the Appendix to Mr. M' Arthur's political fa6ts. Though the debt amounted to more than forty-four millions in 1710, I have only taken it at that fum, becaufe it was afterwards reduced to it ; but this calculation is only formed upon a ftatc- ment of the funded debt of the times, and no allowance is made for the fums that were paid off after many years duration, which would have made the account much greater. But as I pofTefled not fufficient documents to make an exa ) I regret that it is not in my power to make any fatisfaclory calculations in which fome reliance might be placed, in order to trace the operation of the principle in a clearer manner ; but fhould the attention of the public be direfted to this fubjeft, I truft that fome one with more ability and better means of information, will explain its efFe6l with greater perfpicuity. But much as I regret the want of accura- cy in the preceding ftatements, they are ftill fufficient for pointing out the powerful ope- ration of the principle. Th^ following calculation, the accuracy of which is lefs difputable, will convey a clearer conception of the tendency of the depreflion of money, to lefien the value of the revenue, and reduce the principle and intereil of the national debt. By applying the arithmetical pro- portion of Sir George Schuckbui'gh's table, to the value of the pound flerling, through every ten years of the preceding century, ( 247 ) the following ftatement will be the refult of the calculation. s. d. Tn noo, 8 5i mo, 8 91 1720,' 9 1| ' 1730, 9 8 1740, 10 2i 1750, 11 2 1760, 12 2 1770, 13 7| 1780, 15 2^ 1790, 17 7^ ISOO, 1 Were equal to a pound fterline of 1800. I fliall more particularly confine my rea- foning upon this calculation, to the lafl twenty years of the preceding century, as the depreiTion of money during this period is more immediately interelling to the great body of proprietors now living. Since it is evident by this table, that the value of the pound fterling was nearly reduced one fourth between 1780 and i8oc, it is obvious, that any given fum in 1800 would only exchange for three-fourths of the value for which it would exchange in 1780J and that any'pcr- fon receiving the fame fixed nominal fum in 1800, would only receive three-fourths of the ( 248 ) the value which it polTelled twenty years be- fore. By this alteration in the flandard of money, the public have been exonerated from the payment of one-fourth part of the revenue then exifling -, and the public credi- tor has been deprived of one-fourth of the principal and intereft of the ftock which was at that tirne placed to his credit in the na- tional debt. As in an increafe of currency a general augmentation is efFecled in the incomes of individuals by an advance of prices, the pub- lic regain from government in part what they contribute; and leflen the revenue in the fame proportion in which the value of money is depreffed. If a perfon poiTeffing forty pounds a year be taxed at eight pounds, being a fifth of his income, and he after- wards be taxed at two pounds more, making his contribution a fourth 3 and by an advance in the produce which he fell, he increafe his income to fifty pounds a year, he again re- duces his contribution to a fifth, and regains the ( 249 ) the two pounds which he gave 3 and as ten pounds will exchange for no more after the increale than eight pounds previous to it, the revenue of government, though nominally augmented, is reduced to the fame value which it poffeifed before the additional duty. By this operation, the depreflion of money held fuch regular pace with the increafe of the revenue through the greater part of the preceding century, diminiiliing it in value in the fame ratio in which it was augmented in magnitude, and exonerating the public from the increafed burthen, in the fame pro- portion in which the value of money was leflened. By this operation it has reduced the revenue one-fourth iince 1780, and is ftill continuing its redu5lion. By the fame operation it has reduced the principal and intcrefi: of the national debt. I attempted to point out, by a loofe and very inefficient calculation, the lofs which the public creditor had fuffained from the com- mencement of tlic funding fyflem ; but I was ( 250 ) was incapable of forming a fatisfactory ftate- ment, from an ignorance of the exaft amount of the debt at the ftated periods. The lafl table, however, renders fuch a flatement lefs necefTary, as it will enable any perfon to cal- culate the injury which he has individually fuffered from the continuance of his pro- perty, during any given time, in the public funds. The fame proportionate redu61ion is efFe^led in any given number of pounds which is effefted in a fmgle pound, and may be afcertained in the fame manner. Though I fhall principally confine my obfervations to the particular period between 1780 and i8co, yet any creditor may eftimate the lofs which he has fuflained from the earliefl period by an application of the fame prin- ciple. As the pound flerhng has been nearly re- duced one-fourth, fmce the year 1780, and as a fimilar reduftion has been effected in any given number of pounds, it is obvious, that the public creditors, in the receipt of their ( 251 ) their intereft, obtain now only three-fouitho of the value which they then received ; that the proprietor, who then had four hundred a year, receives now no more than what three hundred would have then commanded i and that one-fourth of his income has been regained by the public. The fame reduc- tion has been efFe6led in the principal which has been efFe6Ved in the intereft ; and in the event of his felling-out, or being paid off by government, he would receive only three- fourths of the value which it poflefled in 1780. By this operation, though no reduc- tion be made in the nominal amount of the debt, yet a fimilar diminution is efFefted in its real extent, as if an actual payment of the part depreciated had been ac<:omplifhed. A diminution in the value of the nominal fum received, by a redu6lion of tlic ftaiidard of money, is fimilar to a diminution of the real amount, wlicj-e the ftandard has con- tinued Vv'ilhout variation, as the fame nomi- nal fum, at a icchiccd value, will exchan(j;c for ( 252 ) for no more than a propoitionably dimi- niflied fum at the fame value. If the proportions of Sir George Schuck- burgh's table have a near approximation to the truth, and little doubt can be enter- tained of the accuracy of his refearches, it is neceffary for the public to confider how far they will encourage the further depredation of this principle upon the property of their creditors. Whether, by promoting an in- creafe of currency, they will conduce to the filent reduction of the national debt, and an exoneration from the burthen, by the further depreffion of money; or, whether by en- deavouring to prevent its increafe, they will take every means in their power to maintain their faith with their creditors, and fupport the equity of their contra(5l. By the arith- metical proportions, the depreffion of money, fnice the year 1780, has confiderably ex- ceeded the deprelTion of the twenty years be- fore it ; and, by the facility with which the paper currency of Europe is now increafed, the ( 253 ) the deprellion of the next twenty is likely to be ftill greater, unlefs fome meafures be taken to retard its progrefs. By its prefent ratio, a quarter of the debt will be liquidated every twenty years, without any afliftance from the fuiking fund -, and fliould the ratio increafe, the redu61:ion will take place with accelerated force. There is no doubt, but that any attempt to prevent the deprefiion of money has a tendency to diminifh the refources of the country, by impeding our exoneration from our public burthen, and obftructing the re- novation of our means, in the intervals of peace, againft every renewal of hoililities. It may be faid too, that the public are con- ftantly gaining an ellential advantage from their creditors, without efFe(5ling an injury of material extent to the colle6live body, as the depreciation hitherto has been too gra- dual to occafion any important lofs in the averao-e term of the life of man. But, ( 254 ) Bat, though the pubhc are certainy re- lieved from the weight of taxation by this deprefTion, it cannot be contended, that the exoneration is effe6led by the moft honour- able means. In the original contradl, be- tween government and the pubhc creditor, it was ftipulated, that he fhould receive the fame intereft till the redemption of his debtj and as that intereft is continued to be paid in the fame nominal fum, no aftual breach of faith is committed, but its faith is virtually violated, as that fum no longer re- tains the fame real value as at the com- mencement of the contra6b. So far, there- fore, as our political conduft fhould be re- gulated by public principle, we are bound in equity to take every precautionary meafure in our power to prevent the progrefs of the depreflion. Againft the other objeftion it Is neceflary to obferve, that though, during the average term of a man's life, no material injury may enfue, yet the property of the public creditor is ( ^55 ) is frequently Invefted in the hands of truflees for a period of long duration j and that many families fuftain confiderable lofs by the redu(!:l:ion of its value. Should the depref- fion proceed only in the fame ratio for thefe next tv\^enty years, in which it has advanced for thefe lad twenty, the value of the pound fterling of 1780 will be diminiflied one half by 1820, three quarters by 1840, and in i860 its value will be no greater than that of a French livre of 1780. For every pound which a creditor poilefTed in the funds in 1780, he will receive no more than a (hilling in i860. The fame reafoning will apply to the augmentation of the debt during the late war, which will then be diminiihed three quarters, and to every fubfequent increafe. However expeditious this mode may be of leflening our revenue and liquidating our debt, there can be little doubt refpe6ling its injuftice. It is materially for the well-being of the country, that the property of the public creditor fliould be guarded by every means ( 256 ) means in our power, and fecured from fur- ther diminution. His particular intereft is fo intimately connected with the general in- terefts of the community, that his profperity can fcarcely be feparated from the common profperity of every other clafs. Though the impra6licability of our exoneration from the prefTure of the national debt has been fre- quently complained of, yet I truft that the proportions of Sir George Schuckburgh's table will give a turn to the current of alarm, and that our fears will now be excited that it will be paid too foon, inflead of not being paid foon enough. I fhall now, make fome inquiry into the beft means of obviating the further depref- fioti, not only of the public revenue and the property of the public creditor, but of all other annuitants, whofe peculiar cafes were partially confidered in the fourth chapter of this work. All retribution appears to me impradica- ble^ ( ^Sl ) ble J a great point will be gained by obvia- ting future injury. The particular obje6l to which the attention of the public fhould be dire6led for this purpofe, is to prevent the further increafe of currency. If currency be not augmented, it is impoflible that money can depreciate. During thefe laft twenty years, it has been deprefTed beyond any former period, becaufe the increafe of paper in this country, by the circulation of the notes of country banks, and the increafe of paper from fimilar eftablifliments on the continent, have accelerated its reduction. It is not only therefore neceflary, as fug- gefted in the former chapter, that the bank of England fhould be reinftated in the ex- clufive privilege which it poflelfed previous to the inftitution of thefe banks, of regulat- ing the whole paper currency of the country; but that it fhould annually fubmit the amount of its notes to the infpe6lion of parliament, in order that the public may be made acquainted witli the quantity of paper S in ( 258 ) in circulation, and adopt the regulations which are neceflary to obviate the injury re- fulting from its increafc. But nothing can be more remote from my intention than to tie the hands of the bank. Any reftricStion upon its ifTues would counterafl the utility of its inftitution, and prevent the increafe which public expedience may require upon the impofition of further duties. Our beft Miterefts are fo united with it, that no appre- nenfions need be entertained by the company of any regulations prejudicial to its welfare, in confequence of their public declaration of the amount of its paper. The adoption of this plan will materially obftru6l the increafe of paper in this coun- try, and in fome degree impede its growth among other nations, by leading to the in- trodu6lion of their gold upon any attempt to increafe their currency above its propor- tion. The fcarcity of fpecie would excite fome fufpicion of the credit of their paper, and neceirarily caufe its contraclion. But ( 259 ) But I am well aware that this regulation will not prevent all increafe. Should the public acquiefce in the juftice of the claim of the public creditor to the fame real intereft till the redemption of the debt, other means may be ealily found to obviate the efFefts of the deprefllon of money. The increafe of currency is immediately experienced by an advance of prices. In order therefore to prevent the lofs of the public creditor, an advance fhould be made in his intereft in fome degree commenfurate with the increafe. Different ftandards have been reforted to at different times, to afcertain the variation in the value of money. In the reign of Elizabeth, corn was affumed as the beft ftandard ; but from the fluctuation of feafons, and the improvements of agriculture, it is now perhaps more inefficient than any pro- duce that could be felefted. By the propor- tions of Sir George Schuckburgh's table, meat is more nearly equal to the medium S 2 ftandard ( 26o ) ftandard than any other commodity. Pre- vious to the invention of money, cattle were the common meafure of value. The author rity of Homer is frequently cited in fupport of this fa(5l, where he mentions, that in the exchange of armour between Glaucus and Diomed, one was valued at an hundred, and the other at nine oxen. Had this mea- fure of value continued, the erroneous notions that have fmce been entertained on the fub- jeft of currency, would not perhaps have been prevalent. But as moll of pur later writers, from the policy of Ehzabeth, have aflumed the price of corn as the beft ftand- ard, it has been ufually admitted without inveftigation. The computation of tithes was not long fmce the fubje6t of much pri- vate difculTion: and it was propofed to take corn as the ftandard leaft liabie to error. A further inquiry, however, into this fubjecSl will ftiew that the plan adopted by Sir George Schuckbargh, in taking the medium from the price of various articles, is preferable to the price ( 26i ) price of any particular produce ; and fhould the afcertainment of the comparative value of money at different periods be neceffary for any political meafure, this mode will be found leafl objectionable. Sir George Schuckburgh's table is pub- lifhed in the philofophical tranfadlions for the year 1758, part ift, page 176. The proportions of which, from the Conqueil to the prefent times, are in the following ratio. A. D. 1050 . 26 1100 34 1150 43 1200 . 51 1250 60 1300 6S 1350 ^7 1400 83 1450 86 1500 94 1550 100 1600 144 1650 . 188 f 262 ) A. D. In 1675 — 210 1700 238 1720 257 1740 — 287 1750 — — SU 1700 342 1770 384 1780 427 1790 -. 496 1795 531 1800 — 662 m- i: «if»; -•t-* T^S ■; < ;. ■*■- f^