W(S^::^'i'^:^'SM: THE UNIVERSITY OF ILLINOIS LIBRARY 33e BS'7 5 UBRARY OF THE UNIVERSITY Of lUlNOIS PRACTICAL ^ OBSERVATIONS REPORT BULLION-COMMITTEE, By CHARLES BOSANQUET, Esq. SECONl!) EDITION, CORRECTED, WITH A SUPPLEMENT. LONDON : PRINTED FOR J. M. RICHARDSON, 23, CORNHILL, OPPOSITE THE ROYAL EXCHANGE. J810. PREFACE. XHAT my unaided and un- sanctioned efforts to separate truth from error, in the Report of the Bullion-Committee, should be, in every instance, successful, is in no degree probable : I should, there- fore, gladly have profited, on this occasion, by the observations of the public to correct the errors into which I may have fallen. VI The rapid sale of the first edition of this work, and the urgent demand which, I understand, prevails for a second, deprive me, however, of opportunity to collect the public opinion : this second edition differs, therefore, from the first only in the correction of typographical errors, and in the omissiqn or al- teration of a few expressions liable to misconstruction, which, writing in the desultory form of notes, at both ends of the kingdom, and amidst varied occupations, escaped my notice in the manuscript. A note is added, to correct a trifling Vll mis-statement respecting silver, in page 34; but it has no effect on the argument. The only occurrence of any importance to the subject of my Observations, since they first went tothepress,isthepublicationof Mr. Huskison's masterly explanation of the principles of the writers of the Report, on the theory of money and exchange, &c. in a pamphlet entitled, '^ The Question stated and examined." It bears so directly on the point under discussion, and is so generally read and referred to, that it might seem like fear or affec- Yin tation to pass it unnoticed ; I pro- pose, therefore, to assign reasons^ in a Supplement to this edition, why, though I dissent from Mr. Huskison's conclusions, I think it unnecessary publicly to investigate their accuracy. Hampsteadf December 3, 1810. PRACTICAL OBSERVATIONS, ^c. ^c. <^c. " REASONING on things by figures is the way," says Sir William Davenant, " to come to sure conclusions." — To reason in this mode, exclusively, is the object of the present work. — • The things to be reasoned upon are the opinions of the Bullion-Committee ; and the figures to be employed are chiefly those contained in the Appendix to its Report. Abstract reasoning is foreign to my purpose; my observations will be founded wholly on facts, and these will be introduced with such details only as are ne- cessary to render their application intelligible to those who have not the Report, with its Ap- pendix, immediately before them. In the early part of 1809, the forelgii exchanges experienced a rapid and unusual depression ; at the same time, the price of gold-buUion rose in an equal degree, — and the variation, when at the highest, in October and November, amounted to nearly 20 per cent. The public attention was drawn to this sub- ject by a i^amphlet, pubHshed late in 1809* (the substance of which had previously appeared in the Morning Chronicle,) entitled, " The high Price of Bullion a Proof of the Depreciation of Bank-Notes." This pamphlet, by Mr. Ricar- do, is \vholly theoretical, and, so far, unsatisfac- tory ; — because the theories are not brought to the test of experiment. Other publications followed, on the same subject, but I particularly allude to Mr. Ricardo's work, not only as hav- ing been the immediate cause of the inquiry which has since taken place, undet the autho- rity of the house of commons, but as a syllabus of the Report which has been presented by the Com- mittee : and I refer, directly, also to a pamphlet published by Mr. Mushett, of the Mint, be- cause the tables annexed to it are essentially useful to the inquiry, and are not found, at least not in so convenient a shape, in the Ap- pendix to the Report. At the commencement of the last session of Parliament, a select Committee of the House of Commons was appointed to " Inquire into the cause of the high price of bullion, and to take into consideration the state of the circu- lating medium, and of the exchanges between Great Britain and foreign parts." The Com- mittee sat upwards of three months, anil, at the latter end of the session, presented a Report, with a copious Appendix of evidence and do- cuments, which supplies, in great measure, the deficiency complained of in Mr. Ricardo's work. A rigid inquiry into the accuracy of opinions decisively pronounced by such high authority, on a subject of vital importance to the national interests, might, under any circumstances, be justified; but there is more than usual cause for inquiry in the present instance, because the opinions of the Committee are altogether at variance with those of the persons selected for examination, and who must be presumed to have been, at least in the judgement of tlie Committee, most conversant with the subjects brought before them ; there are, therefore, two opposite opinions before Parliament, on the influence, for instance, of the greater or less amount of bank-notes in circulation, on the course of exchange, and the price of bullion ; the one theoretical, forming the substance of the Report, the other practical, and pervading the Appendix. Under these circumstances, what opinion shall the public adopt? — what course is Parlia- ment to hold ? " When a theorem is proposed to a mathematician, the first thing he does with it," says Paley, ** is to try it on a simple case ; if it produce a false result he is sure there must be some error in the demonstration."^ — The public must proceed in this way with the Report, and submit its theories to the test of fact. The question referred to the consideration of the Committee, viz. the cause of the high price of bullion, meets no direct answer in the Report; — but the Committee has offered a va- riety of opinions, and laid down several axioms, (the truth of which I am presently to ascertain,) from which they deduce the inference, that the present high price of bullion and low rates of exchange are caused by an excess in the a- mount, and consequent depreciation inthevalue^ of bank-notes. The nature of the argument, on which this opinion is founded, cannot be more concisely or satisfactorily stated than by di- rect reference to the passages in the Report, and the corresponding passages in the other publi- cations I have named, applicable to this pa^t of the subject. Tliis notion was first suggested by Mr. Ricardo, who states, " That Parliament, by restricting the Bank from paying in specie, have enabled the conductors of that concern to increase or decrease, at pleasure, the quantity and amount of their notes. (1st Ed. p. 23.) Mr. Mushett says, " There can now exist no possible obstacle to the increase of their notes but what their own prudence suggests." (p. 41.) And the Committee state, expressly, that " The suspension of cash-payments has had the effect of committing into the hands of the Directors of the Bank of England, to be exercised by their soje discretion, the important charge of supplying the country with that quantity of circulating medium, which is exactly propor- tioned to the wants and occasions of the pubhc." (Rep. p. 24.) In the exercise of this power the Bank, it is assumed, has not been sufficiently guarded ; and the consequence is, according to Mr. Ri- cardo, " That the paper-currency of this country has long been, and now is, (Dec. 1, 1809,) at a considerable discount, proceeding from a su- perabundance of its quantity." Mr. IVIushett says: "Since the Bank- Restriction-Bill took place it has been genei^ally supposed, that the excessive quantity of bank-notes in circulation Jias caused a considerable depreciation in their Value :" (p. 40.) and the Committee has formed an opinion " that there is, at present, an excess in the present circulation of this country ;" and ** that the excess is to be ascribed to the want of a sufficient check and controul in the issues of paper from the Bank of England." (p. 30.) And as these writers agree in the fact of excess, or superabundance, of the paper- cur- rency of this country, so do they also concur in the sign of its existence : " The sign of this excess and depreciation has been a per- manently unfavourable exchange," says Mr. Mushett. " The exchange," in the opinion of Mr. Ricardo, " will form a tolerably accurate criterion, by which we may judge of the debase- ment of the currency, proceeding either from a clipped coinage or a depreciated paper-money ; because, whilst paper can be exchanged for undebased coin, the exchange can never be more above, or more below, par than the ex- penses of transporting the precious metals:" (p. 18.) and the Committee report to the house their " most clear opinion, that so long as the suspension of cash-payments is permitted to subsist, the price of Gold Bullion, and the gen^ neral course of exchange with foreign coun- tries, taken for any considerable period of time, form the best general criterion from which any inference can be drawn, as to the sufficiency or excess of paper-currency in circulation," (Rep. page 21,) and this opinion appears to be founded on the principle, which the Committee assumes to be indisputable, " that the difference of ex- change, resulting from the state of trade and payments between two countries, is limited by the expense of conveying and insuring the precious metals from one country to the other." (p. 11) On these points there seems no difference whatever in the three Treatises ; the coincidence of opinion, and even of expression, is as close as possible, and the Committee appears to speak the common sentiment of those who consider the paper-currency to be excessive, when they sum up their previously-expressed opinions ia these words : " that there is at present an excess in the paper-circulation of this country, of which the most unequivocal symptom is the very high price of Bullion, and, next to that, the low state of the continental exchanges : that this excess is to be ascribed to the want of a suilScient check and controul on the issues of the paper of the Bank of England, and originally to the sus- pension of cash-payments, which removed the natural and true controul." (page 30.) My purpose is to ascertain the sufficiency of the grounds on which these opinions are found- ed, — the truth in point of fact of the several propositions laid down by the Committee. 1st. That the variations of the exchange with foreign countries can never, for any considera- ble time, exceed the expense of transporting and insuring the precious metals from one coun- try to the other. 2d. That the price of Gold Bullion can never exceed the mint-price, unless the currency, in which it is paid, is depreciated below the value of gold. 3d. That, so far as any inference is to be drawn from Custom-House returns of exports and imports, the state of the exchanges ought to be peculiarly favourable. 4th. That the Bank, during the restriction, possesses exclusively the power of limiting the circulation of bank-notes. 5th. That the circulation of country bank- notes depends upon, and is proportionate to, the issues from the Bank, Lastly. That the paper- currency is now ex- cessive, and depreciated in comparison with gold, and that the high price of Bullion and low rates of exchange are the consequences as well as the sign of such depreciation. Before I attempt to investigate the truth of these propositions,, by reference to the docu- 9 ments with which the Report has furnished me, it may be convenient to ascertain what, on a full admission of all the arguments and reasonings of the Committee, is the extent of the evil they point out, what the present state of the national currency, as resulting from the criterion established in the Report. There is annexed to Mr. Mushett's pamphlet a table, shewing, 1st, the rate of exchange with Hambro' and Paris, for 50 years past, and how much it has been, in each instance, above or below par. 2d. The price of gold in London, and a com- parison of this price with the English standard, or mint price. 3d. The amount of bank-notes in circulation, and the rate of their assumed depreciation, by a comparison with the price of gold. On reference to these tables it appears that, for about two years antecedently to the suspension of cash-payments, the exchange had been, in some degree, unfavourable to England ; that, at tlie immediate period of the suspension, and for two years and a half succeeding that measure, from Nov. 1796 to July 1799, the exchange was very greatly in favour of England, and gold at the mint-price. That, between the end of 1799 and 1802, the exchange was against Lon- don and the price of gold considerably above 10 the mint-price. That, from the end of 1802 to the end of 1 808, the exchanges were for six years considerably in favour of Great Britain, and the price of gold stationary, at 2| per cent, above the ■ mint price. * Subsequently to the end of 1808 the exchanges have fallen, the price of gold has risen as before stated, and these circumstances have led to the investigation of the Committee. It results from this reference, that, admit- ting the criterion established by the Report, as the test of an excess of paper, the grievance complained of is of recent date, that it had na existence for six years previously to 1809, and that the circulation of bank-notes during this period did not therefore exceed the natural Avants of the public and was not excessive. This inference appears undenia])le. I do not mean to infer that 17 or 18 millions of bank- notes then in circulation may not be too much, under other circumstances ; but I conclude, that Mr. Ricardo's opinion, that the paper-currency had long been e.vcessive, when he wrote in 1 809, was incorrect, and that Mr. ]Mushett had not * It may be said, that even then the price of gold was above the mint-price; but it appears by the questions of the Committee and Mr, Goldsmid's evidence tliat the supply of gold was. very small, and the price of o£'4- per oz. was fixed hy the Bank •f England, whence " the demand exceeded all competition."" 11 referred to his tables when he stated that the sign of tliis excess has been a permanently un- favourable exchange. It results equally from this theory, that du- ring the year I8O9, and subsequently, the circu- lation of paper has been excessive, because both the exchanges and price of bullion indicate such excess. During a part of this period, from July to Nov. I8O9, the loss on the ex» change amounted to nearly 20 per cent. We learn, however, fjom the Report, that, in the spring of 1810, the exchanges experienced a gradual improvement, that on Hamburgh rose from 28, the lowest rate, to 31, that on Ams- terdam from 30 to 33 : 5, that on Paris from 19 : 6 to 21: 11. "The exchange on Hamburgh appearing (as stated in the Report) to be 9 per cent, that on Amsterdam 7 per cent, and that on Paris 14 per cent, against this country. " — These calculations do not ex- actly agree with those of j\Ir. ^lushett ; admit- ting, however, the correctness of the state- ment by the Committee, a small proportion only of the loss thus experienced on the exchanges with the continent is to be ascribed, according to the opinion of the Committee, to the depreciation of our currency. It is a principle laid down by the Committee, and which they consider to have been long 12 settled and understood, '^ That the difference of exchange resulting from the state of trade and payments between two countries is limited by the expense of conveying and insuring the precious metals from one country to the other." It will be equally admitted that, in the event of an unfavourable balance of pay- ments, the depression of the exchange must ne- cessarily attain this Bmit, before the balance can be adjusted by the exportation of gold. The Committee endeavoured to ascertain the extent of this limit, that is the expense of send- ing bnllion abroad, under present circum- stances, and they come to the conclusion. " that this expense in the last half of the last year (1809) did not exceed 7 per cent. — and they observe that an expense to this extent does not afford an adequate explanation of a fall in the exchanges so great as from 16 to 20 per cent, below par. " The increased cost," they add, " of such remittance would explain, at those moments when the risk was greatest, a fall of something more than 7 per cent, in the exchange with Hamburgh and Holland, and a fall still greater perhaps in the exchange with Paris; but the rest of the fall, which has actually taken place, remains to be explained in some other manner." 13 The expense of sending gold abroad was iu jio degree less in the spring cf 1810 than in the autumn of 1 809 ; and it follows, there- fore, that, according to the statements of the committee, the loss on the Dutch exchange, in the months of March and April last, was exactly equal to the expense of sending gold as a remittance ; on that on Hambrugh 2 per cent, greater ; and that, on the exchange with Paris, it was undefined, because the expense of sending gold to Paris was not ascertained. According to Mv. Mushett's calculations of the par betv/een London and Paris, the loss on the French exchange was 2 per cent, more than the expense of sending gold to Holland : — ^ As this was the state of things for some months prior to the date of the Report, and at the period when it was presented, it will, perhaps, with some, be a subject of regret that the passage referring to the extreme of the lowest depression of the exchange was pot expunged, as the event had proved it to be one of those temporary effects which the Committee had previously determined to disT regard. Whether, however, the difference, which re- mains to be accounted for in some other manner be 2 percent, or 1 1 per cent, it is not necessary to travel out of the Report to assign a causo 14 for it, without recurring to depreciation : — " Re- ferring to the evidence of a continental merchant, on whose opinion the Committee appears to place much reliance, they state : — " That poli- tical events, operating upon the state of trade, may often have contributed as well to the rise as to the fall of the exchange ; and, in particular, that the first remarkable depression, in 1809, is to he ascribed, as has been stated in the evidence already quoted, to commercial events, arising out of the occupation of the north of Germany by the troops of the French Emperor; the evil has been, that the e:>cchange, when fallen, has not had the full means of recovery, under the existing system :" — these means are explained to be, *' the clandestine transmission of guineas, which improved it for the moment by serving as a remittance." Thus, then, it appears, that, on a full ad^ mission of all the principles adopted by the Committee, and of their appHcation to the present case, the foreign exchanges were, at the time when the Report was presented, and for three months prior thereto, about 2 per cent, below the natural limit of depression ; that this excess was the emnant of a much greater depression, occasioned by political events in ^he preceding year, during a period in which 16 the means of exporting English gold coin, at the mint-price, in payment of debts, were withheld. — When it is stated that, for 6 months since the date of the Report, the exchanges have continued at or about the same standard, or rather higher, and that at present the loss on the exchange is barely equal to the expense and risk of transporting gold, it will probably be thought that the question, as a practical question of national importance, is altogether at rest. — That there is no necessity, at least, for the adoption of hasty remedies, even though the correctness of the general reasoning of the Committee should, on full inquiry, be conceded. But I do not admit its correctness: I do not believe that the fall of the exchange and the encreased price of bullion indicate excess and consequent depreciation of our paper-currency ; and I doubt it, because the premises, on which this opinion is founded, are unsound, and the conclusions contrary to experience. The basis of the argument of the Committee, to the examination of which I now proceed, is that which I have shortly stated in page 8 as the first proposition, viz. " that the difference of exchange, resulting from the state of tradtt and payments between two countries is limited 16 by the expense of conveying and insuring the precious metals from one country to the other ; at least, that it cannot, for any considerable time, exceed that limit :" (Rep. p. 11.) there- fore, all excess of depression on the exchange, beyond the expense of conveyance, is to be attributed to depreciation of our currency. This proposition is so fully admitted, and so broadly stated, in each of the publications to which I have alluded, that it is not even guarded by the condition, that the country, by which the balance of payments is due, shall possess bullion or specie sufficient to liquidate it ; but, boldly as .the principle is asserted, and strongly as reason appears to sanction it, I insist that it is not generally true, and that it is at variance with fact. It is stated, in the Report, from the evi- dence before the Committee of 1797, that the average expense, at that time, of con- veying specie from London to Hamburgh, was 31 per cent, yet, on reference to the course of exchange with Hamburgh, in Mr. Mushetfs tables, it appears that, from the beginning of 1797 to the middle of 1799, the exchange was continually in favour of Great Britain more than twice the expense of conveying gold; — and, for eighteen months of that time, 11 to IS per cent, in our favoui, or from 7 to 17 8 per cent, beyond such expense : nor does this profit appear to have occasioned any considerable importation of gold, which, dur- ing this period, rose to the mint-price, although, for several years before, it had, nominally at least, been below it. In the years 17^4 to 1768, prior to the recoin- age, when the imperfect state of the coins occa- sioned gold to be 2 to 3 per cent, above the mint- price, the exchange with Paris was 8 to 9 per cent, against London, — at the same time the exchange with Hamburgh was, during the whole period, i2 to 6 per cent, in favour of London ; here appears, then, a profit of 12 to 14 per cent, for the expense, in time of peace, of paying the debt to Paris with gold from Ham- burgh, which must have exceeded the fact by at least 8 or 10 per cent, and it is worthy of remark, that the average exchange with Ham- burgh, for the years 1766 and 17^7, of 5 per cent, in favour of London, added to 2 per cent, the price of gold above the mint-price, constituted a premium of 7 per cent, on the importation of gold into England, or, deduct- ing 1 J per cent, for expenses in time of peace, a net profit of 5 per cent, yet the exchange was not rectified thereby. Again, in 1775, 6, and 7, after the recoinage, we find the exchange D 18 on Paris 5, 6, 7/ and 8, per cent, agamst London in time of peace, when half the amount would have conveyed gold to Paris, and one-fourth have paid the debts of Paris at Amsterdam.— In th€ years 1781, 2, and 3, being years of war, the exchange was constantly from 7 to 9 per cent, in favour of Paris; and, during this period, gold was the common circulation of this country, and the Bank was compelled to provide it for the public at the mint-price. — > It has been already shewn how little effect the precious metals produced towards equalising the exchange with Hamburgh, during the years 1797 and 1798; and another instance may be adduced in the years 1804 and 1805, when the Paris exchange varied from 7 to 9 per cent, in favour of London. In every case here cited the fluctuations of the exchanges greatly exceeded the expense of conveying gold from one country to the other, and to a murh gicater degree in most of them than in the present instance; the circumstances of the times were, it will readily be admitted, more favourable to intercourse, on those occasions, than they now are, and the state of metallic circulation airbrded faci- lities not now experienced here. Yet, under all. these advantages, the principle assumed by the Committee was not operative, and cannot 19 thtirefore be admitted as a solid foundation- fbr the superstructuie of excess and deprecia- tion, attempted to be raised upon it. — If it be said that probably, on these several occa- sions, gold was proportionately dear on the spot to which the exchange was unfavourable, I admit the fact as probable, because I am' without evidence respecting it ; but, if the price of gold abroad enters necessarily into the calculation of the "natural limit" of depres- sion of the exchange, then the course of foreign exchanges, rectified by the expense of sending gold abroad, does not form a just criterion of 'the adequacy or excess ol our circulating medium. --- There appears also a defect in the application of the principle to the particular case under the consideration of the Committee. — It is admitted in the Report " tliat the first remarkable depression of the exchange, in ISO9, is to be ascribed to commercial events, arising out of the occupation of the north of Germany by the troops of the French emperor." — (p. 16.) If a depression equal to three times the cost of sending gold be admitted as the effect of any other cause than depreciation ut currency, k can be considered as not ovcj turning the principle of limitation, only by viewing the fall in question as an ''occasional depression;" — ■ 20 but, if taken as an occasional depression only, (as the event indeed proved,) how can H be brought forward as evidence of an excess of currency, the Committee having established *' a considerable duration" as a necessary con- dition to render the course of exchange a just criterion ? The circumstances I have stated, respecting the exchanges on former occasions, were not perhaps brought under the notice of the Comr mittee; but they had two facts prominently before them, bearing immediately upon the question, of which they have taken no notice.-— Mr. GrefFulhe offered this problem to the Com- mittee; "During the depreciation of English currency on the continent of Europe, a pre- , mium was paid for it in America in hard dol- lars." The balance of payments may be against us w^ith one country, and in our favour with another ; and, if the exchange is regulated by this balance, it will exhibit corresponding ap- pearances, particularly where those countries are remote. But, if the currency be depreciated be^ low the value of gold, it is so positively, not relatively, and all exchanges must equally feci the influence of the depreciation. The other tact I learn from the paper 65, in the Appendix to the Report; between January 1809 and May 1810, the Swedish exchange 21 rose (against Sweden) 25 per cent, and was at that date 24 per cent, in favour of London. — What are the circumstances of Swedish ciir- renpv? We collect them incidentally from the examination of Mr. a continental mer- chant ( p. 75 )^— " Have you ever known the exchange to fall to the extent of 12 to 15 per cent, in any part of Europe, in which it was computed in coin, containing a fixed quantity of gold or silver, or in paper, or bank-money, exchanged at a fixed agio either for such gold or silver, or for gold or silver bullion of definite amount."— Ans. " Ko, never ; except in countries where the export of their currency has been effectually prohibited, sueh as Sweden ; I do not recollect any other country where paper, resting upon the foundation of coin, the latter is effec- tually prohibited from being exported." — Q. How is that prohibition made effectual in Sweden? ** By the bank not issuing specie to any amount, when the exchange is depreciated". — Sweden was greatly indebted to England, for goods sent thither for the supply of the continent and north of Europe. — Gold could not be exported, and therefore the premium on remittance by bills was great ; this seems a very natural effect, and one which will not surprjze any one ; yet to account for an effect exactly similar, under similar circumstances, we are required to ad- mit that our paper-currency is depreciated, 22 whilst the Americans were giving a premium for it in hard dollars. It will be recollected that the question now agitated is not whether any inconvenience attends the substitution of pa- per for geld, as the medium of circulation, but whether that paper be now excessive in amount, and depreciated in value. — As the result of the facts I have adduced, I assume that from the state of the foreign exchanges no such inference can justly be drawn.* * The terms favourable and unfavourable applied to the exchange arc, perhaps, sufficiently understood, as indicating a corresponding balance of trade and payments; but a favour- able exchange is frequently a very unfavourable circumstance, and vice versd. A British merchant sent goods to Sweden for sale early in 1809 ; they were valued at 1000 rix dollars; the exchange being at four rix dollars per pound sterling, they would then have produced, by remittance, £ 250. They were actually sold for 1000 rix dollars in the beginning of 1810; and, remitted for at the exchange of five, produced £ 200. The funds for the bill were provided by a consign- ment of goods from Sweden ; and England, therefore, recei- ved goods worth <£ 200 in payment of the original export instead of £230, which it would have received had the ex- change not become so favourable. In a more familiar instance^ England benefits by an unfavourable exchapge. When the Dutch had large sums in our funds, the dividends were re- mitted periodically, and a real or supposed demand for bills on Holland, at those peiiods, occasioned a fall on the ex- change. Thirty-three shillings Flemish, for instance, were given in exchange for a pound sterling, instead of 345. The exchange was, therefore, less in favour of London. Yet it Is 23 The Committee considers, however, the ])rice of gold as the most certain sign of excess and depreciation. " An ounce of standard gold- bullion will not fetch more in our market than £3 : \7 : 'iO^, unless £3 : \7 '■ lOj in our actual currency is equivalent to less than an ounce of gold;" yet gold-bullion does bear in London a higher price than this standard or mint-price ; whence a de- preciation of the paper is inferred, which Mr. Mushett estimates to have amounted, in Sep- tember, 1809, to £\3 :7 :0 per cent. Whilst sanctioning this old, and in the abstract in- controvertible, theory, and, as applying it to the present case, the Committee do not appear to have recollected, that, having admitted an ade- quate cause for the fall of the exchange, from commercial and political events, the increased price of gold-bulHon to any extent, within the equivalent of the depression, is only a conse- quence ; and the documents in the Appendix shew that the price of gold-bullion did not at any period of the depression of the exchange exceed the price which it was worth as a remit- tance, compared with its value in foreign mar- kets. From the calculations furnished by Mr. evident that on every 33 pigs of lead, bloci an addition to a debt to the continent of Europe? of two millions sterling; tljat, in 1808, tlie total «f the foreign expenditure for t lie ordrnaiy of the army abroad, of Bills on the Navy, Victual- Irngy Transport, and Ordriance, Boards, was a debt incurred ; and that in the last year there was a deficiency of 3 or 4 millions encreased by wliatever proportion of 27 millions of exports was; not paid for within the year. The e\'idence of all this was before tlie Committee, or at its command; had they tiiought fit to bring it for- ■ward,, it is probable the public would have deem- ed tlie ra.te of exchange and price of bullion suJlicientlv accounted for, without enf^aj^inw ia any veiy vehement controversy, respecting the accuracy of the abstvrct theories, of the Report. In proportion as our faith in the Report is s-taggered, in proportion as we feel compelled to receive with caution the opinions of the Com- mittee, will those of tlie practical men rise in estimation. In defiance of documents and oif statements to Parliament on authority of vast favourable balances, it was the declared opinioa of every such man before the Committee, that the balance of payments has been against us, and so tlie fact has proved. I trust it will not he thought that I treat lightly, much less with any thing like disre- spect, the arguments contained in the Report, and the publications to which I have alluded. 4? I pass them by, because my sole object is to adduce facts on which others may reason. It would unquestionably be difficult to deny the abstract tnxtli of many of tlie theories con- tained in them ; but, if abstractedly true, they are not always applicable. At a time when the absence, at least, if not the scarcity of gold is the ground of complaint, they reason on its operation as a vis mediatrix, as if it still fb?ni- ed the circulating medium, and was every where attainable. They speak of increased 'ex- portation from reduced prices as a general con- sequence, wholly disregarding the opera;tion of embargoes, non-intercourse enactments, licen- ces, orders of council, and Milai Iccrees, in tlie particular case. At a moment wh.cn v/e were compelled to receive corn, even from our eiiemy, without the slightest stipulation in fa- vour of our own manufactures, and to pay neii- tfals for bringing it, IMr. Pucardo tells us, that tlie export of bullion and mercliandize, in |>ay- ment of the corn we may import, resolves it- self entircl}^ into a question of interest, and \Jiat, if we give coin in exchange for goods, it must be from choice, not necessity. Whilst providing against famine, he tells us, that we should not import more goods than we export, unless we had a redunwn and country iiotcs has varied without any such fluctuation, in the price of com- modities has formed the basis of his argument. On the other liand, any introJuction of baidc-notcs to supply tlic pluce of of 1805 and sum- 1808 79 0.... Jmer of 1806. 1809 95 7 ■X Below par from 1810 about 105 0.... 3 November, 1808. 132 It is evident, from the bare inspection of this table, that the fluctuations in the exchange have exactly conformed to those in the price of wheat, and consequently to the importation, the extent of which has been regulated by the price. I infer that although the demand for Bri- tish commodities abroad has been found adequate to meet the foreign expenses of government when the price of bread-corn is moderate, it is unequal to that object, when a sudden and urgent call for large supplies of corn is super-added ; and my opinion is strengthened that the present state of the exchange is an effect of the foreign expenses of government, operating upon a small favourable balance of trade, according to the common accep- tation of the expression. The three first pro- blems which have reference to the exchange are thus fairly resolved j the 4th meets its answer in the ordinary effects of progressive taxation, and increasing wealth. Now it is a rule, in philosophising, laid down by Sir Isaac Newton, and adopted by his followers, not to admit more causes than ex- plain the phaenoraena, and to refer effects of the same kind to the same causes. The "esta- blished causes solve adequately all the problems, and I am not prepared, therefore, to admit the new one. Rejecting, consequently, the cause assigned by the Committee and Mr. H. for the disease 133 under which the exchange labours, I am not careful to analyze the remedies suggested, which I deem also the less necessary because here again Mr. Huskisson, and, therefore, I suppose, the the Committee, has proceeded under an evident mistake. — In recommending the resumption of cash-payments (which would gratify me person- ally more, perhaps, than most others) they were impressed, it seems, with the belief *' that, as the Bank soon after the restriction bought and im- ported a very considerable supply of gold, and has since issued very little, that it is, therefore, actually possessed of a very large stock of gold." It appears to have escaped Mr. Huskis- son's recollection that, as early as Jan. 1799, the Bank gave notice to the speaker of the House of Commons of their intention to pay in specie all fractional sums under jOo, and all notes under jOoy dated prior to July, 1798 : — and it is shewn by the Appendix to the Report, that, since the period of restriction, they have coined, at the mint, 9 millions of gold, and stamped above 1 million sterling value of dollars, the whole of which, and a still larger sum, has been issued to the public, (a fact which places some of the points under dicussion in a new light) ; and my opinion therefore is, that, at present, the Bank pos- sess but a moderate stock of the precious metals. If thev ically possess a large one, i»r only to the extent of 6 or 7 millions, the best use they 134 can make of it is, as I think, to call In all the notes under £5y and not re-is3ue any of this description ; the continuance of gold in circula- tion depends much more on the denomination than on the amount of notes; this is an acknow- ledged principle. But, be this as it may, the Committee gave their opinion under an errone- ous impression, and might probably alter it were the case again before them. I will not lengthen these observations : my object is to shew that no man, who reads with attention, and, in any degree, understands the subject, can undertake directly to answer the question, whether he admit the principles of the Report : much is true, much appears to be erroneous ; abstract truth is mixed with practical error ; and it is, 1 think, a needless task to en- deavour to separate them until it is shewn that the admission by the Committee, (page 13,) *' That if the supply of bills drawn abroad, either by the agents of government or individuals, is disproportionate to the demand, the price of them in foreign money falls, until it is so low as to invite purchasers," does not, under the cor- rected statement of our trade, which I " have exhibited, sufficiently explain and accoupt for effects we witness. TH£ END. Cdtlahin ftnd Marchant, Printert« NEW WORKS, PUBtlSHED BT J. M. RICHARDSON, 23, CORNHILL. 1. Observations upon the Report of the BulHon- Commitiee, by the Rt Hon. 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