CONSIDERATIONS THE PRESENT STATE AND PDTDRE PROSPECTS I U E L A IN D. CAMILLE DE CAVOUR.’ TRANSLATED FROM THE FRENCH, A FRIEND TO IRELAND. ! LONDON LONGMAN, B^WN,. GREEN, AND LONGMANS, i-AJTRSJOSTER-noW. 1S45. TEANSLATOR’S PREFACE. The opinions of an intelligent foreigner on Irisli afiairs can never be a matter of indifference to this country. It is under this impression that the following pages have been translated from the French, and are now submitted to the public in an Engbsh form. In executing my task, I have contented myself with endeavouring to be feithful; and if this object has been attained, I shall feel that my time has not been mis-spent, but that I have rendered some service, however slight, to the country to which I belong, and to that to which, I trust, England will long remain united. At the same time I am too conscious of the imperfections of style that may be detected in the following pages, not to express my regret to the author that my part of the task should not have been performed in a manner more worthy of the original. It may be proper to add that this essay first iv teanslatoe’s pbeface. appeared in December, 1843, and January, 1844, in two successive numbers of the “ Bibliotbeque Dniverselle of Geneva;” and that one of my in¬ ducements for the present publication is the diffi¬ culty of procuring original copies of a work entitled to so much attention. The first two paragraphs have been omitted, as well as a few lines at a subsequent page, both being of local interest. Thahslatob. CONSIDERATIONS PRESENT STATE AND FUTURE PROSPECTS IRELAND. The singular state of Ireland has attracted through¬ out Europe the attention of all who take any interest in politics. There is, perhaps, no one who has not puzzled himself with the question of whither that agitation, wliich an extraordinary man has been able to produce, and which he directs with such wonder¬ ful skill, is ultimately to lead ? The newspapers, those faithful interpreters of whatever is uppermost in the public mind, make Ireland one of their con¬ stant themes for discussion. Usually so laconic with respect to the affairs of England, they at once open their columns to the reports of the most insignificant meetings in favour of the Repeal of PHESENT STATE AXD the Union; and Tve are regularly informed of the minutest details of the great trial which O’Connell and his associates are at present undergoing. What does this riveted attention on this one subject indicate ? Does it foretell the approach of a great political crisis, one of those by which important changes are effected in the social condition of a nation ? And does the crisis itself forebode some violent catastrophe, endangering the ancient fabric of the British Constitution, which ages have re¬ spected, and which European revolutions, far from weakening, have rather tended to consolidate? Considering the hopes and id-repressed delight of certain journals, and of certain political parties, when they speak of Ireland, one might be tempted to believe that such is the case. The enemies of England upon the Continent (and their number is unfortunately very considerable) fancy that the day of vengeance is at hand; her friends hesitate, and begin to waver in the faith they have hitherto entertained for a constitution which, more than any other in the world, they considered as safe from political shocks. It must be admitted, that public opinion on the Continent is not, in general, favourable to England. Extreme parties, opposed in every thing else, mute in violent hatred against that country. Those who are more moderate are attached to her in theory, but they entertain for her little real or FUTURE PROSPECTS OF IRELAOT. natural sympathy. Some solitaiy instances may be found of persons who, superior to popular passion and prejudice, feel for the English that respect and interest which is fairly due to one of the greatest nations that has done honour to mankind, which is due to a nation that has powerfully contributed to the moral and material development of the world, and whose civilizing mission is still far from bang accomplished. The masses, liowevcr, are almost every where hostile to them. Let it not be supposed that this feeling is con¬ fined to France. In that countiy it may be pro¬ claimed in a more noisy end vehement manner; but it is in reality common to all the nations of Europe. From Petersburg to Madrid, in Germany as in Italy, the enemies of hiunan progress, and the partizans of political revolutions, alike conader England as their most formidable adversary. The former charge her with being the focus whence all revolutions emanate—^the certain refuge—^the dta- del, as it were, of propagandists and levellers. The latter, on the contrary, with more reason perhaps, look upon the English aristocracy as the corner¬ stone of the European social edifice, and as the greatest ohstacle to their democratic views. The antipathy inspired by England amongst men of ex¬ treme opinions ought to raise her in the estimation of all who are friends to moderate reform, and to the gradual and regular advancement of human PKESENT STATE AND happiness; to all, in a word, who are on principle equally opposed to society heiug violently convulsed, and to its remaining stationary. But such is not the case. Those motives which would lead them to sympathise with England are met by a host of prejudices, recollections, and passions, whose influ¬ ence is in most cases irresistible. I do not pretend to say that there are no good grounds for this ill-will; I simply allude to the fact, in order to accoimt for the absorbing interest which has been evinced towards Ireland, at a time when it was supposed that the agitation in that country endan¬ gered the existence of the British empire. This, certainly, is not the only cause of the sympathy inspired by the Irish people on the Continent. It would be a calumny on human nature to say so. It owes its origin principally to that feeling of generosity which induces men, as it does multi¬ tudes, to take an interest in real suflTering and undeserved misfortune. Nevertheless, it may be asserted, without the fear of doing injustice, that the hatred of the oppressors has not been without its effect. Accordingly, men who care the least for liberty and toleration are heard every day exclaiming against English tyranny, and the melan¬ choly lot of the Irish Catholics; whilst these same persons can find no word of pity for members of their own church in Poland, who are victims of the religious persecution of the Emperor of Russia. On the other hand, radicals are constantly to be met FUTURE PROSPECTS OF IHELAMJ. with who declaim, with their customaiy vehemence, against the crimes of which the political and reli¬ gious aristocracy of Ireland are guilty, and yet say nothing of the still more revoltmg iniquities of the aristocracy of colour in that country which of all others is the most democratical. It is important to sift to the uttermost the real causes of this demonstration in favour of Ireland, for the purpose of guarding against the influence they may exert on the mode in which the events of that country and their probable consequences should be appreciated. Any mistake in this respect would he fatal, if a spirit of exaggeration tend¬ ing to one and the same end, without distinction of party, succeeded in impressing upon the people of the Continent its own view of the dangere with which England is tlmeatened. K the greater number of the politicians of France were at length imposed upon by the prophecies of the “ Gazette de France ” and of the “ National,” then indeed the preservation of peace, so much to he desired by the world at large, hut especially hy those who, like my¬ self, have greater faith in the march of mind than in that of cannon for impro\'ing the condition of the human race, would become every day more doubt¬ ful, and would at last be impossible. From the moment that the mass of mankind are convinced that British power is weakened—that, undermined at its foundation, the colossus is no longer capable PRESENT STATE AND of maintaining, as in past times, gigantic strug¬ gles -with allied Europe—all tlie elforts of states¬ men, all the resistance of those who are anxious for peace, will be insufficient to stop the tide of popular passion. The opportunity will be consi¬ dered favourable foraying vent to antipathy against England, and for avenging ancient wrongs; and the nations of Europe will be hurried into warlike collision, as mischievous to the physical comforts of the people as to their intellectual progress. In q)ite of what I have just said respecting the excessive prejudice which exists against England, I cannot approach the subject I have undertaken to treat of, without distinctly proclaiming my gmpathy for that Irish people to whom centuries have bequeathed so heavy a load of misery and suf¬ fering. The desire not to be unjust towards that powerful nation with whom they are united by a tie they are anxious to dissolve, will not, I trust, render me insensible to their grievances, or indif¬ ferent to the causes in which those grievances originate, and the importance which should be attached to them. Every one is familiar with the long and melan¬ choly catalogue of Irish calamities. During eight centuries that country has undergone every de¬ scription of persecution and oppression. Them first calamity was the barbarous conquest and tyranny of the Anglo-Normans over the Celts. FUTURE PROSPECTS OF IRELAND. 7 Conquest was succeeded by wars and constant insurrections, which renewed, at short intervals, the disasters o£ the first invasion. Ireland during the middle ages, though repeatedly conquered, was never thoroughly subdued. Those powerful Nor¬ man barons, whose sway had extended throughout England, and who had obliterated even the shadow of Saxon nationality, were unable to establish their authority upon the same foimdation on the other side of St. George’s Channel. The vast bogs with which Ireland was covered, its extensive heaths which stretch towards the west, especially in Con¬ naught, offered for ages a safe refuge to the un¬ subdued Celts, and enabled them to preserve, at the price of poverty and every kind of sufiTering, a savage independence. From the conquest of Henry 11. to the rR0S1-ECTS OF IREL^VXD. GO first introduction, was scarcely considered food good enough for smiie, and does not possess the farinaceous qualities of the better varieties of the plant. It constitutes, however, the customarj' diet of the inhabitants of many counties of Leinster, and of the whole of the piwinces of Munster and Connaught.” With such decisive facts before us, it is impos¬ sible to acquiesce in Mr. Senior’s opinion; and we are foi'ced to the conclusion that the fatal system of the subdivision of land, added to other causes consequent upon the social condition of the country, has had the effect, in connnon ■vvith the increase of population, of adding to the misery and suflFering of the great mass of the people. All the evils I have just enumerated are aggra¬ vated by the existence of a Protestant clergy, who live in the midst of a population of zealous Catho¬ lics, and share in the fruits of their labour with the rich proprietors of the soil. This clergy has been, for a length of time, not only a source of continual irritation, but also an object of reproach. Their rapacity, their unfeeling and irregular conduct, had during the last century become proverbial. They arc now greatly altered for the better, and traces may be discerned of more humane and cha¬ ritable feelings, united to greater regularity of con¬ duct: but they stiU represent in the eyes of the Catholics the cause of their miseries, and remain a sign of the abasement and oppression which em- ' 70 PRESENT STATE AND bitters their sufferings, and makes them feel their humiliated state. To complete the picture of the principal griev¬ ances ■which have afflicted Irish society, it tvill be sufficient to add a few -words respecting the fatal effects of that spirit of insubordination and re¬ venge -which so much -wretchedness has engendered amongst the lower orders. For nearly a century Ireland has been the theatre of savage deeds and of abominable cruelties perpetrated by the associations ■who, at one time under the name of white boys, and at others under that of white feet, or some other denomination, frequently avenge on innocent in¬ dividuals the outrages done to human natm-e by the class of landed proprietors, or their merciless agents the middle men. These agrarian disturbances and sei-cile wars augmented all the sufferings of the country -without reliering one of them. Had they continued -with their original violence, there would have been no hope for the future; aU idea of impiwdng the con¬ dition of the country must have been abandoned. Thank Heaven, Ireland has, for some years past, been delivered from this scourge of popular justice. Illegal associations have been energetically resisted by the chiefs of the Catholic party, and have almost wholly disappeared. This is a symptom of moral progress which we may hail -with joy as the da-wn of better days. Ha-ring reriewed the grievances of Ireland, let rUTURE PROSPECTS OF IRELAND. US now examine what has hitherto been done by way of remedy. During the whole of the last century the time of the Irish parliament was en¬ tirely occupied with keeping down the Catholic population, without eraicing any sympathy as to their condition. Such was the case too with the parliament of the United Kingdom during the first years which followed the Repeal of the Union. Protestant prejudices and national antipathies pre¬ vented the Irish peasantry from being considered in any other light than that of mere brutes, con¬ demned to till the soil to which the\' were bound, for the exclusive benefit of a privileged class. Nevertheless, as soon as notions of political re¬ form and religious tolei-ation became prevalent throughout England, and as soon as the Catholic Association had made known the extent of power and information which the Irish who had remained faithful to their ancient religion possessed, all en¬ lightened men in Great Britain began to interest themselves about the condition of Ireland, and devised means for its impi’ovement. Parliament instituted several inquiries for the puiimse of ascertaining the real state of the countr}', and the cause of its grievances. These inquiries, con- scientiousty carried on, brought about in succession several remedial measures, the most important of which I will briefly enumerate. In the first place. Parliament endeavoured to put 72 PRESENT STATE AND a stop to that fatal system of the subdivision of hold¬ ings, the mischievous consequences of which I have already pointed out. With this view it passed the Sub-letting Act before alluded to. This measure was excellent in itself, and its beneficial results are already evident. It is to this measure that must be atti'ibuted in great part the comparatively small progress winch has taken place during the last ten years in the increase of the population, and which the last census brought before the attention of the public.* Xevertheless, whilst legislating for the future, the present condition of the small nu’etched occu¬ piers was forgotten, and great nusery and great disorders were the consequence. A certain number of proprietors, no longer finding in the sub-letting system that security which they sought, di'ove away in a body the poor families, who, without any other title than an yearly tenanc}q occupied their land in small parcels. These miserable creatures, without resources or asylum, often perished from want, or were compelled to cross the seas, and seek for some other country less cruel than that to which they owed their birth. The abolition of the tax for the repair of churches, the suppression of several bishoprics and other ecclesiastical benefices, the connnutation of tithes * The last census was prohahly the first accurate census that has been taken in Ireland. The one taken ten years previously was hut an estimate, and that loosely made.— Trans. FUTUKE PROSPECTS OF IltELAXO. 73 into a fixed charge payable by the proprietor, were beneficial acts, which occasioned decided improve¬ ment m the religious condition of Ireland. But of all that has been done during fourteen years for this country, the measui’e which cannot hut effect the greatest good, and which in the long run is des¬ tined to bring about the moral regeneration of the people, is unquestionably the establishment of a com¬ prehensive system of popular education upon broad and solid principles. The ^Tiig Administration, coimnced that the only mode of raising the lower classes from the melancholy condition in which they wei’e jdaced was to develope their intelligence, and scatter amongst them the seeds of knowledge, came to the determination of founduig a large number of prhnary schools, with the sole object of instructing the children who attended them,—pro- selytism being wholly excluded. Some attempts had already been made to diffuse popular instruc¬ tion. A society assisted by the Government had been long since formed in Dublin, and was called, from the street in which it held its meetings, “ the Kildare Street Society.” The intentions of its founders were entitled to praise, but as, -with a large share of zeal for education, they were at the same time infected with a spirit of Protestant pro- sclytism, their efforts were not attended uith much success. The Catholics regarded these schools with mistrust, and in general kept aloof from them. 74 PKESEST STATE The system of National Education founded by the ^Vhig Ministry was of a different kind. AH sectarian spirit and proselytism was carefully ex¬ cluded; its object was to diffuse instruction and morality, and to abstain directly or indirectly from influencing the religious faith of the children. Religious teaching forms no part of the duty of the school-master. It is, however, obligatory upon the children to receive such instruction from the ministers of the particular religion to which their parents belong.* To prevent this principle of re¬ ligious impartiality from being infi’inged, the direc¬ tion of these schools has been placed under a com¬ mission composed of Catholic prelates, Protestant prelates, and laymen of both religions, who are as eminent for their acquii-ements as they are for their spirit of toleration. The success of tliis new plan of education has been complete. The Catholics have accepted it as a great boon, and they avail themselves of it generally. These national schools are in all re¬ spects entitled to great praise. The spirit by which they are directed, the system in operation there, and the results obtained, render them models for imitation. They are infinitely superior to the primary schools of England, and I much doubt whether in Europe there are many which can bear * It 15 not obligatory, but depends upon tlie will of tlie parents. In no ease, however, is it permitted during the general school hours. — Trans. FUTURE PROSPECTS IRELAJTD. a comparison. It cannot be doubted but that the eilect of these schools uiU be to give the rising generation of Ireland the benefits of an education at once moral and intellectual, substantial and com¬ prehensive. These ai’e the germs of improvement which time wiU develope, and which will produce fruits far more abundant than any which can be expected from that political agitation whose object or pretext is the Repeal of the Union. Lastly, amongst the attempts made to better the condition of Ireland, I must not forget to advert to the law by which poor-rates, and the English system of legal charity, have been introduced into that country. I by iro means pretend that this system is good in itself, nor that it is peculiarly appro¬ priate to Ireland ; the questions which legal charity gives rise to are, in my opinion, the most difficult of all those which owe their origin to the progressive changes in the ancient order of things. They are far from being solved. Those who, relj'ing upon the example of England, fancy that thej' may condemn it altogether, fall into a serious mistake; for if legal charity has produced some mischievous conse¬ quences, it has had the merit of bearing open testimony to the obligation that society has thus admitted to be due towards its humblest menrbers, and of suggesting a question on behalf of bene¬ volence, ■which the progress of civilisation, it is to be hoped, will sooner or later determine iu a satis¬ factory maimer. 76 PKESEST STATE AND WTiatever may be the practical results in Ireland of the new Poor Law, it ■will not the less remain a striking proof of the benevolent intentions of Parliament -with respect to the poor of that island, and of the spirit of equity and justice with which the representatives of the English nation are be¬ ginning to be imbued. Even though it should completely fail in the object which its authors had in view, this law -will not the less deserve to be quoted -with praise, as the first instance of a law passed for the exclusive interests of the Catholic population, and of a sacrifice imposed in their favour upon the Protestant landlords. The remedial measures that I have just briefly enumerated are of slight moment, when they are compared with the deep-seated evils under which Ireland labours. Their effect, too, cannot be speedy; time only can render them eflicacious and productive. In the present day, although there has been for some years especially a certain de¬ gree of improvement, the state of the great body of the population is not the less entitled to com¬ miseration. It is therefore natural that aU the friends of humanity should take a gi’eat and lively interest in those remedies which maybe of a nature to afford prompt relief. The first and foremost of these remedies, can it be the repeal of that legisla¬ tive union which for forty-four years has bound together England and Ireland? Can one hope that tins repeal, which O’Connell proclaims day FUTUKE PROSEECTS OF IRELAND. after day amidst the applauses of an enthusiastic multitude, -will cure the diseases of the Irish nation ? Is it true, as the gi’eater part of the political -vniters of the Continent would seem to helieve, that a par¬ liament sitting in College Green in Dublin would at once have the power of healing the social wounds of Ireland, and of re-establishing the social edifice upon foundations safe and equitable, well calculated to advance, throughout aU classes, prosperity as yet unknown ? This is the great question of the day, and it is one which it is important to solve, in order that we may ascertam if the anticijiations of O’Connell and of his party are well founded and reasonable, and that we may also decide if their projects, which can never be carried by force, are at least supported by the authoritj' of truth and justice. Let us begin by endeavouring to acquire a precise notion of what O’Connell and the Irish Association understand by arepeal of theUnion. In the firstplace, the question has hitherto been confined to legisla¬ tive independence, it has not been extended to poli¬ tical. Queen Yictoria has no subjects more devoted to her than the Irish Catholics, who, with all their outcry for a national jiarliament, wish to preserve inviolate in her person the splendid crown of the British isles. Nevertheless, the parliament wliicli they are so urgent in demanding cannot be the same which existed befoi’e the Union. It would, indeed, be but a poor favour’ rendered to his coun- 78 PRESENT STATE AND try, and to his party especially, if the Liberator endeavoured to restore Ireland to the condition in which she was in 1799. In spite of the illusions which may he created by the brilliant recollec¬ tions of the movement in 1782, we cannot but he convinced that the majority of the Irish nation was then much more oppressed, and had much better grounds for complaint, than they have at pre¬ sent. The old parliament of Ireland was, as I have already said, a mere tool in the hands of the Cabinet of St. James’s; it did no good except to the proprietors of rotten boroughs and to the jobbers in parliamentary influence, who made an open traffic of the rights and liberties of their countrymen. But in spite of the political reminiscences alluded to so often with regret by O’Connell, no one has any thoughts of restoring the old constitution. TVbat the Association wishes for is, the creation of a national parliament, having for its basis Catholic Emancipation, and the Reform Bill of 1832, in which Catholic and popular principles should alto¬ gether preponderate. After so many ages of depen¬ dence and submission, the Catholic majority aspires to exercise in its turn dominion and power. But it is not enough, in order to dissolve the union of the two kingdoms composing the British empire, to declare that the Irish members and peers, in¬ stead of meeting as now at Westminster, should assemble in College Green. The relations between FUTURE rUOSPECTS OK lEELAXD. tlie Executive and the Houses of the two countries must also he regulated; it would be necessaiy to ap23ortion between them the duties wliich they would have to exercise in common. It is certain that numberless difficulties ^R'esent themselves that neither O’Connell nor any other Irish orator has as yet endeavoured to solve. If the 25art wliich parliament plaj-s in the En¬ glish constitution were pm-ely an administrative one, even if its authority did not e.xtend beyond that of legislation, one could, though not ivithout difficulty, comprehend the existence of two inde¬ pendent legislatures, sitting, the one in London, and the other in Dublin. But every one knows that in England parliament exercises prodigious in¬ fluence over the executive, — that foreign and colonial policy are subject to its control, and that nothing of importance is done without its sanction and ajijiroval. Such being the case, how are these high attributes to be divided between the legisla¬ tures of the two countries ; how is the independent course of each to be made to harmonise ? I cannot believe that any mode of effecting this can be un- agined which will bear a moment’s investigation. The executive power cannot in any countr)-, and still less in Great Britain, where so many various interests demand its incessant attention, be subject to two separate influences: a iilinister obliged to jilcase at the same time an English and an Irish majority would be an impossible being. To prove 80 PRESENT STATE ANI the contraiy, the state of Great Britain from 1782 down to the Union may perhaps he referred to, during which time two parliaments, independent in name, did in fact exist in London and Dublin. But this is but a specious argument. Eveiy one knows very well that that Irish parliament was dependent on the English ministry, and that as soon as one party got a majority at Westminster, it was sure, though at some pecuniary sacrifice, to obtain complete com¬ mand in the Irish parliament also. Those who are fond of argument may adduce, as a proof of the independence of the Irish par¬ liament, the fact of the rupture which took place between it and the English parliament on the occa¬ sion of the temporary regency of the Prince of Wales, at the period of George III.’s first illness. It is known that at that time the English Houses, imder the influence of Pitt, resolved to limit to a very considerable degree the power of the here¬ ditary prince, whilst the Irish Houses, in spite of the efforts of government agents, persisted in in¬ vesting him with aU the prerogatives of royalty. The fact is undoubted; but it is, in my opinion, far from proving the power of the Irish parliament. It is only another- indication of its subserHent character, which induced it to make dangerous concessions for the purpose of gaining popularity with the Eegent, upon whom, sooner or later, the supreme power would devolve. It is impos¬ sible seriously to maintain that, with an inde¬ pendent legislature, Ireland can continue to exert FUTUKE rUOSPECTS OF mELAXI). 81 the smallest influence upon foreign or colonial policy. This is the first sacrifice which a repeal of the Union would impose on that countiy. Has the Liberator well weighed to what it leads ? Has he considered how humiliating it would he for his country to follow in the orbit of the all-powerful political star of Gi’eat Britain, udthout exercising any influence of any kind over its course ? How disadvantageous it would be to her to renounce every political tie 'with the immense colonial posses¬ sions of England, and those vast tracts of countiy wliich are as necessary for the puqwse of absorb¬ ing the surplus of population, as they are useful to Great Britain in carrjdng off the excess of manufactures. For my own part I am persuaded that the Irish people have too much pride, and too high a sense of their omi importance, to consent ever to play so dependent and secondary a part in politics as that to which a separation of the two countries would reduce them, even though they were at that price to obtain an independent parliament. Some persons have thought they could reconcile everytlung, by creating and placing over the two parliaments a third supreme assembly, whose duty would be confined to deciding upon questions of external and colonial policy. Enamoured of this notion, Mr. Sharman Crawford, who represents the opinions of the Protestant Radicals, offered to add his own efforts to those of the Liberator, if he I'KESKNT STATE AKD would consent to modify Ms plans of absolute in¬ dependence, and substitute in tbeir place a kind of Anglo-Hibemian confederation. It is easy to per¬ ceive that tHs plan is stiU more difficult of execution than those wMch we have already examined. How, in fact, is it possible to reconcile the action of three legislative assemblies and of three executive powers, wMch within certain bounds must be indepen¬ dent of each other ? In a country that maintains external relations of so varied a kind, there are scarcely any measures of foreign or colonial policy wMch have not a direct influence on the pohcy at home. When war is declared, taxes must neces¬ sarily be imposed; when treaties of commerce are to be made, alterations in the customs’ duty are indis¬ pensable ; and there are many treaties which involve changes in the cml code. With aU this, how is an Anglo-Irish congress to bring about the execution of its mandates through parliaments almost as powerful as itself ? It would not be possible. The representative inacMneiy, already so complicated and so slow, would not work with its springs tripled, and with three parliaments instead of one. All the energ}"^ of Pitt, and all the genius of Can¬ ning, would be incapable of managing it, and they themselves would be forced to abandon the idea of directing and maintaining interests so important and so varied as those wMch unite Great Britain with almost every point of the globe. The instances of the Swiss or American confede¬ ration cannot be adduced as evidence of the practi- FUTURE PROSPECTS OF IRELAND. cability of an Anglo-Hibemian confederation; first, because the foreign atfairs of those countries are as few and simple, as those of England are numer¬ ous, important, and complicated; and, next, because they have no great number of colonies to keep up in a position of semi-dependency as delicate as it is difficult; because they have no empire of a hundred million of inhabitants, like that of India, to govern, and because, lastly, in the United States there are no continental neighbours to fear ; and Sivitzerland is too feeble to adopt any decided course of action witli respect to the giant powers by which she is surrounded. It is, besides, impossible to compare a confederation formed by a large number of states amongst which there is not one which is stronger than aU the others united, with one which it is pro¬ posed to establish between the colossal power of England and tlie inferior strengtli and resources of Ii’eland. It is easy to understand that in a numerous con¬ federation the different interests of the respective states balance each other, and are grouped together in a manner favourable to all conjoined. But when only two nations are to be considered, the feeble will always have to submit to the will of the stronn-er. The congress which it is intended to establish could do nothing more than make known to Ireland the will of England. In whatever way the question is considered, one comes to the conclusion, that, in dissolving the PRESENT STATE AND ' 84 Union, England must make up its mind either to keep Ireland in a state of subjection and depen¬ dence, which would he worse for her than what at present exists, or that it must be left to follow its own course; and in that case we must admit with Sir Robert Peel, that, “ in order to retain Ireland after the repeal of the Union within the same orbit as that of the British empire, nothing less than the omniscience and omnipotence of the Supreme Power who maintains the harmony of the planetary sys¬ tem would he required.”* But to turn from the difficulties which the repeal of the Union gives rise to with respect to foreign and colonial policy, and supposing them to he alto¬ gether removed by a miraculous interposition of Divine Providence, let us consider whether the be¬ nefits which Ireland may hope to attain from a national government are as considerable as the Liberator and his followers sup^sose. • The following is probably the passage to -wbich the author alludes: it is the concluding passage of a speech delivered on the 25th April, 1834:—“Beware how you act in the presump¬ tuous confidence that you can restore, by artificial devices, the equilibrium that has thus been disturbed—that you can launch the new planet into the social system — can set bounds to its librations—can so adjust the antagonist forces which are to de¬ termine its orbit, that it shall neither be drawn bach into violent contact with the mass from which it has been severed, nor flame through the void of space a lawless and eccentric meteor. To do this is far beyond the grasp of your limited faculties—-far beyond any intelligence save that of the Almighty and Omnis¬ cient Power which dirided light from the darkness, and ordained the laws which regulate in magnificent harmony the movements of countless worlds.”— Trans. FUTURE prospects OF IRELAND. 85 One is at first led to believe that tbe finances of Ireland ivould greatly gain by the repeal of the Union; those who put a literal interpretation upon O’Connell’s assertions cannot but suppose that that country bears a share of the public burthens quite out of propoi'tion with its population and wealth; and that it would accordingly experience great relief if it had only to provide for its own wants out of its own resources. This is, however, a complete delusion. In a financial point of view Ireland has been by no means unjustly treated; and if left to herself, it is probable that she would be forced to increase her present taxes or to impose new ones. Let us see what she actually pa)^s. The Union has imposed on her two-seventeenths of the expenditm’e of tbe United Kingdom. This distribution, if it be not in her favour, is at least just. Since then her proportion has diminished. In an ofdcial document, published in 1834, is to be found the foUoiving distribution of the produce of the taxation of the two kingdoms: — Great Britain. Customs Excise - Post Office Stamps Taxes Total £19,353,324 13,061,852 1,970,361 6,825,679 4,662,256 £45,873,472 Ireland. £1,757,143* 1,966,183 240,471 466,170 £4,429,967 * It is necessary to observe that a portion of tbe foreign commodities liable to duty and consumed by Ireland, comes G 3 I'EESEST STATE ASU Hence it follo-prs that Ireland bears an eleventh part of the public burthens, -which is much less than the share imposed upon it by the Act of union. It -will he observed that the imposts known under the name of taxes is left in blank under the head of Ireland. They were in faet abolished in that kingdom in 1825, wlulst in England they were continued. Since the year to which the numbers which I have quoted refer, Great Britain, in consequence of the affairs of Canada and the Chinese expedition, has been led into extraordinary expenses, and has been obliged to have recourse to additional taxation. Sir Eobert Peel had the courage to propose and carry through parliament a tax upon incomes, but out of consideration for Ireland she was exempted. Thus, in the present day, the proportion that I have adverted to is still farther reduced in favour of that country. These undeniable facts are sufficient to absolve England from the charge of having taken advantage tliroogh England, after liaving paid the duties there. In order, therefore, to make an accurate comparison between the burthens of the two countries, it would be necessary to keep an account of what these duties produce. This would entail a very complicated enquiry. Nevertheless, according to calcula¬ tions, which mast be conadered as sufficiently correct, they may be estimated at 500,000?. This income would alter the propor¬ tion referred to in the text, and would make the share of public burthen falling on Ireland one-tenth. FUTUKE PKOSPECTS OF IRELAND. 87 of her strength for the purpose of crushing Ireland by the weight of taxation; they prove, on the con¬ trary, that in questions of finance this latter coun¬ try has been liberally dealt ivith. Let us now consider what would be the position of Ireland if left to herself. Supposing that the existing taxes remained as they are, she would, ac¬ cording to the above table, have at her disposal a revenue of 4,429,967^., which, in order to be able to keep an account of the commodities wliich she con¬ sumes, and which at the present day pay the custom¬ house duties of England, I shall call in round numbers 5,000,000Z. Out of these 5,000,000?. the interest of that portion of the debt of the LTnited Kingdom which falls upon Ireland must be pmd; for certainly, if she chooses to separate, she ought to carry off uith her a part of the burthens which she bears in common with England. O’Connell is continually comparing the amount of the Irish debt with that of England at the time of the Union, for the j)urpose of proving the injustice that has been done to his country. Let us suppose that there is every wish to repair it, and that Ireland were ac¬ cordingly relieved fi’om the obligation of contri¬ buting towards the pa}Tnent of ancient debts. By ancient debts, I mean those which have been con¬ tracted before the commencement of the revolu¬ tionary war ivith France. This would be not onty an equitable principle, but one even favourable to Ireland, for she, too, had an ancient debt; and PRESENT STATE AND in allowing her to participate in the advantages that the vast colonies of Great Britain secure to the mother country, it would only have been reason¬ able to require that she should contribute to the burthens which their conquest has entailed: to ask for more would be worse than absurd. The Libe¬ rator himself can have no such idea, unless indeed he supposes that he will one day be in a condition, at the head of a victorious army, to dictate fresh laws to conquered England. According to this principle, England would be alone charged with the 239,350,148Z. which she owed in 1783. The amount of the public debt, including exchequer bids, reached in 1836, to 787,638,816/., leaving 548,288,668/. to be divided between the two countries. In placing sixty nuBions to the debit of Ireland no injustice would be committed; impartial arbitrators would deal with her more severely. These sixty millions of debt would cost her nearly two millions in interest, which would reduce that part of her revenue available for the public service to three millions. This is but a very insignificant net revenue for a country of eight millions of inhabitants. Every state in Europe spends in proportion to its population twice, three times, or even six times as much. It would be quite insufficient, if Ireland wished to have at her disposal ever so small a military force, and keep up the police and magistracy upon the same footing as they are now established. One of the first conse- FUTURE FKOSTECTS OF IRELAKD. 89 quences, then, of Repeal -would be to force the par¬ liament of Dublin to increase taxation. But it may be said, it is not so much the amount of the taxes from which Ireland sufters as the man¬ ner in which they are assessed. Wlien, however, we observe the principal sources from which the public revenue is derived, we shall be convinced that the burthens of the state fall almost exclusively upon the richer classes, and upon that which may be called the vicious part of the population. The customs’ duties form nearly half the re¬ sources of the state. Now the duties upon colonial commodities, sugar • and tea especiall}', are those which constitute almost the whole of their produce. In reducing these duties the middle class might, perhaps, be relieved, but as to six-sevenths of the population, they would not derive the slightest ad¬ vantage from the reduction, for the use of these articles is whoUy unknown to them. Together -with the customs, the produce of the excise forms almost the whole of the public re¬ venue of Ireland: now it is known that the duty upon spirits constitutes four-fifths of this produce; and no one, as far as I ain aware, ever dreams of calling for a reduction in this branch of the re¬ venue. It is therefore certain that the repeal of the Union could not produce any advantageous change either in the amount of taxation or in the manner in which it is imposed. But the erils of Ireland 90 rHESEST STATE AND are not caused by any abuse in tbe financial sys¬ tem: it is therefore of little consequence that a national government should not be in a condition to improve it, provided it can but lay hands on the true source of mischief, and introduce a thorough change into the lamentable system, social as well as religious, of the country. I have already spoken of the constitutional vices of the Irish community, which may be summed up under two distinct heads; first, the supremacy of a religion odious to the majority of the people; and next, the deplorable condition to which the agricultural population is reduced from the faulty distribution of property, from the hostile feelings which separate the several classes of society, and fi-om the too rapid increase of an impoverished po¬ pulation. Let us see what a national parliament could do to remedy these tilings. In the first place we must represent to ourselves what such a parliament would be, what the spirit which would pervade it, and the parties out of which it would be formed. It is eiddent that if Eepeal took place, it would be due to the successful efforts of the popular and Catholic party, and conse¬ quently that the fii-st independent legislature would he almost exclusively composed of members of that party. What other result could the Pro¬ testants expect ? The destruction of the municipal corporations has secured a majority to the Catholics in almost every toivn, and the right of voting PUTUnE PKOSl'ECTS OF IKELAKU. .91 which belongs to all farmers paying ten pounds a- year secures a similar triumph in four-fifths of the counties every time that great national interests are at stake. It is no exaggeration therefore to suppose that three-fourths of the members of a House of Commons, the offspring of llepeal, would be Catholic democrats. Their conduct in regard to the English Church would not long remain doubtful. Tliey would refonn it, or rather they would destroy it, root and branch. O’Connell pretends that the actual rights of li\dng incumbents would be respected. I niucli doubt it. The Catholics, intoxicated with the success of their long-continued struggles, are not likely to act ■ndth much forbearance and deli¬ cacy towards a clergy whom they consider as the primary cause of the humiliations and sufferings tvhicli the members of their omi church have for centuries endured. The protestations of O’Con¬ nell inspire me with little confidence. Constant to the object he has in view, he makes no scruple of changing his mode of action, and of laying aside the engagements which stand in his way, forgetting one day the promises of the former. For my ovui part, I should consider the Protestant clergy ven- fortunate, if, after repeal, the revolution were car¬ ried on simply in a legal manner, and that the masses abstained from acting as they acted a few years since in Spain with regard to the convents. Nevertheless the reform of the Established 92 PHESEXT STATE AND Church is so essential to the well-heing of Ireland, that one ought not to he too scrupulous as to the means by -which it should be accomplished, and I ac¬ cordingly do not hesitate to declare, that if the repeal of the Union were indispensable for that object, I could do no otherwise than -wish for repeal, however inexpedient in other respects that measure might be. But this, fortunately, is not the case. The radical reform of the Established Church is not only com¬ patible with the maintenance of the Union, but it is even a probable event, provided the violence of the Catholic party do not arrest the progress of public opinion in England, which is now operating in its favour. The Whigs attempted this reform; they were, however, in too great a hurry, and they failed. But they have not abandoned their tash; on the contrary, the future leaders of the party are much bolder now than they were in 1835, and it seems to me a certain symptom of the faU, sooner or later, of the Establishment in Ireland, that a member of Mr. Ward’s importance should, with the concurrence of a numerous party, bring this year before the consideration' of Parliament amotion which tended to nothing less than the suppression by [a stroke of the pen of the whole artificial structure of the Church establishment in Ireland. The reform of the Established Church will take place one way or another. Under a na¬ tional parliament it might be more sudden and more complete; but it would also probably be FUTUBE PROSPECTS OF IRELAND. imbued with violence, injustice, and perhaps -nitli cruelty: under the Union it iviU take place slowly, and by regular and legal means. I can understand the first mode being preferred; but, however great our taste for revolutions, it is impossible to conceal from ourselves how much humanity suffers from the disastrous consequences which sudden and violent measures bring in their train. The religious question furnishes the partisans of Eepeal ndth plausible arguments, but it is not so with the political question. At all events such is the conclusion we necessarily come to, after a thorough investigation and honest comparison of the remedial measures that a national parliament might adopt, ivith those which have already been, and probably — provided no violent comndsion occurs — will in future be taken, by the parlia¬ ment of the United Kingdom. In order to raise the working agricultural class from the melancholy condition in which they are placed, two kinds of remedies may be mentioned. Efforts may be made to improve their lot by regu¬ lar, legal, and peaceable means; or else, by adopting a bolder course, attempts may be made to strike at the root of the evil by violently changing the laws which regulate the distribution of property, by at once emancipating the farmers from dependence on the landlord; or, to speak plainly, by effecting an actual social revolution which would restore to the present Catholic population the estates of which 94 PRESEST STATE AXD tlieir ancestors were despoiled by civil war and repeated confiscations. The former alternative may be adopted with more or less success, either by an Irish Parliament, or by one such as at present exists. The latter is possible only inasmuch as the Eepeal of the Union, or rather, a complete separation from Ireland, would leave to the popular party an open field for action. I will not discuss their relative merits: not that I think that no one would prefer the latter course; on the contrary, I beheve that it would suit the taste of all extreme parties, and of all who are inimical to Great Britain, whether they wear the cap of liberty, or are invested with a coronet. Their motives would, no doubt, be difierent; but both would rejoice to see that country a prey to revolu¬ tionary storms: the radicals from the very prin¬ ciples of their nature; the enemies of reform, in order to satisfy the intense hatred they bear to England, that fatal hot-bed, as they suppose, in which opinions subversive of the ancient order of things are safely engendered, for the puqiose of afterwards over-running the world, and achieving its conquest. But as it is not my intention to address myself to either of these extreme parties, I consider it useless to stop to examine a system which, whatever may be its ultimate results, is founded on injustice and proscription, and on the violation of the laws of humanity and morals. In adverting only to peaceable and legal reme- FUTURE PROSPECTS OF IRELAND. 95 dies, I propose to review in succession the principal measures which may improve the condition of the Irish people. They may be arranged under five different heads, according to the respective objects in view. Popular instruction, commerce and in¬ dustry, public works, legal charity and emigration; and lastly, the improvement of the laws which regulate the distribution of property, and the rela¬ tions between landlord and tenant. I. —Popular Instruction. Education is the first thing wliich Ireland re¬ quires. This alone can raise and enlighten the moral and intellectual character of that people, whom ages of oppression and miseiy have degraded to the level of the brute creation. This alone, by creating habits of prudence, can arrest the mis¬ chievous increase of population, and diminish the lamentable disproportion between the number of inhabitants and their means of subsistence. The Irish are quick and intelligent; they are anxious for instruction, and they learn with facility. It would not be far from the truth to say that the best government for Ireland would be that which dis¬ seminated the greatest amomit of information amongst the poorer classes, and which contributed the most effectually to dispel the thick darkness under which they have hitherto existed. I have already alluded to the laudable efforts of . 96 PKESEST STATE AKD the Whig ministers for the establishment of an extensive system of national education, upon a plan extremely tolerant and rational. The success of this plan, received with favour and sympathy by the Catholics, has exceeded the expectations of its founders. The national schools have multiplied with rapidity, and their numbers, ah’eady very considerable, are stUl every day increasing. The good which they are doing is immense, for they are conducted upon a plan which leaves nothing to be desired by the most ardent partisans of popular education. Thanks to the formation of a certain number of normal schools, which are models for imitation, the day is not far distant when there will be no difficulty in establishing, in every part of Ireland, primary schools sufficient for the intellectual wants of the people. The prospects held out by this great undertaMng have not been endangered by the Conservative partj^ coming into power. When it was first set on foot, the fanatical adherents of the Established Chui’ch opposed it with violence; and it required all the energy of Lord Melbourne’s Administration not to draw back from the new course upon which they had entered. Now, however, the benefits derived from these national schools are so great, and so universally acknow¬ ledged, that Sir Robert Peel would do as much for their furtherance as Lord John RusseU himself. Would a national parliament hasten this intel¬ lectual advancement? We must be permitted to FUTURE PROSPECTS OF IRELAND. doubt whether it would. The system now in force is founded on a complete absence of proselytism, and on a thorough impartiality between different religious creeds. The men under whose direction it is placed are justly considered as amongst the most enlightened, sensible, and moderate of the Catholic and Protestant clergy, and they include some of the most eminent also from amongst the laity of the country. It cannot be supposed that such woidd still be the case if the supreme power were transferred into the hands of the Catholic democracy. It is evident that they would be in¬ duced to place the . national schools—all such at least as belonged to those districts in which the Pi'otestants form but a small minoz-ity — under the sole direction of the clergy. Such a contingency might be looked upon as certain by all who trust to the lessons of history, and remember what are the tendencies of religious partisans as soon as they have acquired political ascendency: and this would be a great misfortune for the country, and it woidd tend to I'etard the progress of education. No one is more ready than I am to render lull justice to the Catholic clei’gy of Ireland. I honour their sincere faith, their zealous charity, their un¬ bounded devotion to their duties; but I cannot ad¬ mit that they possess the necessary qualifications for successfully conducting popular education. Their profound ignorance, their numerous prejudices, their exaggerated political principles, render them ill- PEESENT STATE AND suited to perform the duties -which devolve upon the masters of primary schools, or to open the minds of children, and raise their pupils in the scale of moral dignity. If the national schools were intrusted to the clergy, they would soon sink from the degree of perfection they have already attained to the level of the schools of Belgimn; instruction would he devoid of intelligence, and the benefits derived from it by the lower classes would be but slight. As the merit of the system now in force cannot be called in question, it may perhaps be pretended that an Irish parliament would devote a larger an¬ nual sum to popular teaching than is now bestowed upon it: and this is possible. But it is equally true, that if the popular party showed one-fifth part of the zeal, which they now display in the pursuit of an unattainable object, in urging an increase of that sum, they would obtain from the Parliament of England, whatever party might be on the Trea¬ sury bench, more money than would be sufficient to found schools in every parish. II-CoiDIEECE AND InDTTSTET. What have they to expect from the legislative independence of Ireland ? "What peculiar facilities would the Irish government have for encouraging these two sources of national prosperity ? Imust con¬ fess I am not aware of any. Some persons may, per¬ haps, think that by adopting a system of protection, and closing its ports to England, several branches of FUTUEB PROSPECTS OF IRELAND. manufactures might be made to flourish in Ireland. But this is absurd. A custom-house war between two islands separated by St. George’s Channel would be fatal to both, although England would sulFer much the least of the two. Ireland, from its essentially agricultural character, finds in Great Britain the most favourable outlet for its pro¬ duce. On the supposition that the condition of the lower classes were to improve as much as can be ivished, and that they were consequently to require a larger quantity of articles of consumption, Ireland would still produce, however slightly her agri¬ culture might share in the general improvement that has been assnmed, an excess of agricultural produce which would have to be exported. If England were to shut her ports, what would become of Irish butter, oats, and corn? Forced to sell them at a loss on the Continent, the agriculture of the country would soon be reduced to the greatest distress. England, on the contrary, would not lose much in exchanging her manufactui’es for the com of Canada and of the Baltic, and for the butter of Holland, instead of exchanging them, as at present, ■with the produce of Ireland; and even if she had to submit to some losses, they would at all events be less than those of her rival. It is, then, matter of proof that to establish fiscal barriers between England and Ireland would be an act of madness. Besides this, Ireland certainly cannot at present ' 100 TEESEST DATE AXD aspire to become a manufactm-ing country. The necessary elements are wanting — capital, and the first raw materials. The Repeal of the Union would not give it iron or coal, and still less would it fur¬ nish the amount of capital required for any great manufactural expansion. With the help of boun¬ ties, monopolies, and other ruinous protections, a factitious system of manufacture might, perhaps, be introduced; but even if such an object were desir¬ able, it may weU be doubted whether it would not, sooner or later, become a fresh cause of increase to the sufferings of the working classes. III.— Public Works. Of all the measures which have yet been pro¬ posed for Ireland, that which would afford, if not the most complete, at least the most prompt relief, would be undertaking great public works, sufficient to employ a portion of that labour of which agri¬ culture has already too much. The Irish, weR paid and well fed, are eminently fitted for work which requires great muscular strength—they are excel¬ lent labourers. The public in France have had an opportunity of observing this in the manner in which the labourers, brought across the Channel by the directors of the railroad from Paris to Rouen, per¬ form their work; and they were nearly all Irishmen. Hence the execution of works, such as canals, har¬ bours, and railroads, would be carried on under FUTURE I’ROSPECTS OF IRELAND. 101 advantageous circumstances in Ireland, since ma¬ nual labour, which is the principal part of these works, is there abundant and cheap. But an avail¬ able working population is not the only requisite for undertakings such as I have alluded to: in order to turn this population to account, it is essential that the main spring should not be wanting, viz. money — capital. The great difficulty is in procuring it. Would this difficulty be lessened after Ireland had obtained an independent legislature? I cannot think so; for whether private companies were called into requisition, or whether the Government took upon itself the expenditure required, in either case capital would be stUl less ready to seek emploj-ment in Ireland than it is at present. The country itself does not possess much: if it -wished to undertake great works it must necessarily have recourse to English capitalists; and these, who are already not very solicitous to invest their money on the other side of the Channel, would probably peremptorily refuse to run any risk in a country from which they ■will have become altogether estranged. If Repeal took place it would be long before the Protestant gold of London would place any confidence in the good faith of the democratic parliament of Dublin. It is therefore probable that this measure would impede rather than assist in the execution of these public works in which Ireland is so deeply interested. If, on the other hand, the Union is maintained, and the feverish agitation of Repeal subsides, it is ' 102 PEESEUT STATE ASD certain that the projects already formed hy Lord Melbourne’s administration mU he revived, and that the Government -will bestow on Ireland a network of railroads similar to that with which England is covered. Sir E. Peel has already declared, that if he opposed the propositions of his predecessors, who wished that the state shoiild undertake the execution of this project, it was solely because he preferred leaving the field free to individual exertion; but this not having answered his expectations, he was disposed to reconsider his original opinion. After this declaration, I should not be disinclined to be¬ lieve, that in the next session the administration will make some effort in favour of railroads in Ireland. God grant that the determination they may be induced to come to may be great, comprehensive, and vigorous, and worthy of the nation which they govern; and that the plans they adopt, embracing the whole country, may, in some way, produce a favourable revolution in the rate of wages. Eail- roads, independently of the temporary advantage of creating a prodigious demand for labour, would greatly facilitate the work of regeneration, which it is the part of popular education to accomplish. In anni¬ hilating distances, in bringing Connaught, uncivil¬ ised as it stiff is, to the entrance of Dublin, in placing individuals from every part of the island within reach of each other, in affording them opportuni¬ ties and facilities for seeing and knowing each other. FUTURE PROSPECTS OF IRELAND. 103 railroads would tend to diminisli those prejudices of race, and those sectarian antipathies, which have done so much mischief to the countiy. Lastly, raUroads would bestow great commercial importance upon Ireland. If one of those miracu¬ lous means of coimnunication traversed the island from east to west, and placed St. George’s Channel in immediate communication with the western coast, washed by the Atlantic, if the distance which separates the walls of Dublin from the harbours of Connaught could be accomplished in eight hours, Ireland would become, as a matter of necessity, the high road between the two hemispheres, and its fu¬ ture prospects would be glorious. The consequences arising from such an undei’taldng would be incal¬ culable, not only for her, but for the whole world. The navigation of the Atlantic, starting from the extreme points of the county of Clare, and being thus rendered more easy and less e.xpensive, would rapidly increase. Imagine what, before long, would be the relations between iimerica and Europe if only a seven-days’ passage dmded the one from the other! If the English nation were soon to execute a work which could not but lead to such splendid results, they wiU have done much to repair the injus¬ tice which their ancestors have committed towards Ireland, and to remove the formidable barrier raised by the hatred of centuries between the two islands. . 104 PRESENT STATE AND IV. — Emigration. Poor’s Rates. A ivell-de-vised system of legal charity, assisted by emigration on a large scale, ivould, no doubt, bring real relief to the class of agricultui-al laboui’ers. In forcing landlords, on the one hand, to take an interest in the condition of the poor of theii’ parish, and in diminishing the number of MTetched crea¬ tures ivbo are now struggUng with each other for a spot of ground to cultivate, or for wages that are insufficient, the result would necessarily be an increase of their wages and a diminution of their rent. K these measures were accompanied by an ex¬ tension of the present system of education, and if the Government, the clergy, and the higher classes, were to employ every means of influence ivithin their reach, for the purpose of opening the minds, and raising the moral character, of the lower classes, a permanent improvement could not but ensue. Irish labom-ers with knowledge would acquire jiru- dence, and, emerging from the gi’ovelling state in which they have so long lingered, they would make an exertion to raise themselves in the social scale, and reach that more prosperous condition which the same classes in England and on the Continent have already attained. The efficaciousness of such remedies once ad¬ mitted, it follows that the Repeal of the Union would be a great gain, provided it were certain FUTURE PROSPECTS OF IRELAND. 105 that an Irish legislature made any effort to apply them with sincerity and vigour. But it is not easy to suppose that they would follow so rational a course. The popular party has always shown the greatest repugnance to the principle of legalised -charity, such as has been enforced in Great Britain. When Lord Melbourne’s government endeavoured to introduce the system of poor’s rates into Ireland, O’Connellopposed it ivith his accustomed vehemence; and he has since thwarted its working by every means in his power. It is therefore reasonable to suppose, that if the government of Ireland fell into his hands, one of his first objects would be to get rid of poor’s rates, and to upset all that has hitherto been done for the purpose of adaj)ting the English poor law to that country. The expedient of emigration would be more in accordance with the taste of the popular party. An Irish parliament would not oppose it; but if they did avail themselves of it, they would meet ■with almost insurmountable difficulties. Notwith¬ standing all the exertions of statesmen, and all the suggestions, more or less ingenious, of political wl’iters, no one has yet succeeded in sohfing the problem of how to transport across the ocean, unless at an enormous expense, large bodies of men and women. Those colonies whei-e it is still possible to secure a happy existence to any number of emi¬ grants are the most distant. Canada is beginning to overflow with a population dependent upon ma- 106 FBESENT STATE AND nual labour for subsistence: and those who arrived there last have encountered a competition just as fatal as that from which they had fled in Europe. Xothing but the vast continents of Australia are capable of receiving and employing mth advantage the tide of emigration ; and, unfortunately, the ex¬ pense of conveying a family from Ireland to New Holland is double that which is required for the passage to Canada. Under these circumstances, in what way can Ire¬ land, left to its own resources, undertake any plan of emigration on a large scale ? Here, even more than in railroads, the want of adequate capital would make it impossible. Besides, even in the event of sufficient funds being found, it would still be necessary to apply to England, and beg that she would receive the refuse population; and Ireland, after maintaining a deadly struggle with hei’, would have to humble hereelf before her haughty rival. If she consented to do so, I do not see what purpose Eepeal will have served; at all events, it wfll not have had the effect of raising the moral dignity of the coimtry. V.—Eeforsi of the Laws affectixg Landed Propeett. The above investigation of the four first of the measures which I have considered as the only possible remedies for the evils of Ireland tends to prove that the Repeal of the Union, far from assisting, would render their operation difficult and dangerous. FUTURE PROSPECTS OF ffiELAND. 107 The last question, the most important of all, re¬ mains to he examined, namely, what possibility there maybe of bringing about abetter distribution of property, and of improving the relations between landloi’d and tenant. I must first remind the reader that I lay aside all discussion of hypotheses founded upon acts of spoliation and revolution. We must start with these premises — that the Irish parliament would respect existing rights, and that it would reject the tempting but unjustifiable idea of avenging upon the present generation of Protestants the crimes of their ancestors,—that they would content them¬ selves with regulating and modifying the rights of property as at present established, without shaking their foundations. Within this limited sphere there is stni much to be done. M. de Beaumont, in his remarkable work on Ire¬ land, has shorni that almost all the grievances of that country may be traced to a mischievous aristo¬ cracy. It is, indeed, evident, that in a countiy in which property is the basis of almost aU power, nothing can be more fatal than that the class of pro¬ prietors on the one hand, and that which constitutes the great body of the people on the other, should belong to dilferent races, and opposite religions, ri¬ valling, and inimical to, each other. It can never be too often repeated, that this is the fatal source of the many evils which corrupt and vitiate all the political and social institutions of the countiy. No greater PRESENT STATE AND service, therefore, can be rendered to Ireland than to change this injurious state of things, by endeavouring to substitute, for the present class of Protestant pro¬ prietors, Catholic proprietors who would in all respects command the sympathy of the great body of the people. The absolute and unreserved confiscation of the property of Protestants, its forced sale, and other measures of this nature, would be the means by which an assembly, such as that of the French Ifational Convention, would at once attain their ob¬ ject; but such abominable expedients are revolting to all honest minds. It remains, therefore, to be seen how far a modification of the civil laws which relate to the rights of property may answer the purpose in view. The laws which regulate the transmission and distribution of property in Ireland are analogous to those of Great Britain. Their principal object is to prevent its alienation, and to keep it in the same families, undivided, on the death of the owner. I will not enter on the discussion of the general merit of these laws: numerous arguments may be alleged in their favour; and there is the example of England before us to give them the greater weight. But, however advantageous they may be to a community established entirely on English principles, it is im¬ possible to deny that, in Ireland, they have produced the fatal effect of maintaining a most lamentable state of things. Their reform would therefore be FUTURE PROSPECTS OF fRELAND. 109 desirable; for, however much one may be in favour of the aristocratic principle, it must be admitted that the greatest ser^dce to be rendered to the Irish would be to deliver them from their Protest¬ ant aristocracy, leaving them to create a Catholic one afterwards, if they thought fit to do so. If the law did not fetter the transfer of property, it woidd, in all probability, change hands more i-a- pidly than might at first be expected. The Irish Protestants cannot, in fact, be supposed to cling to their estates with that tenacity which distin¬ guishes Englishmen. Those who never reside on their property, or, if they do so, are surrounded by a population who evince implacable hatred in return for the contempt which is heaped upon them, cannot be attached to it by any veiy powerful moral ties. If they found it would be for their advantage to part with it, they would not keep it long. It is therefore probable, that, if property were as easily alienated in Ireland as it is in Fi’ance, a constant cliange would be taking place, by which it would be passing from the hands of Pi-otestant landomiers to those of Catholic caf)italists. The wealth of the Catholic population has greatly inci’eased during the last century: the state of de¬ posits and of funds placed in different banks prove that the greater portion of the circulating capital belongs to them. They ai-e, therefore, in a con¬ dition to purchase land, and to regain, by peace¬ able means, those possessions which were tom from no PRESENT STATE AND their ancestors; and if this be not done, it is be¬ cause the law interposes almost insurmountable difScnlties. In order to overcome these difficulties it would be sufficient to abolish the law of entail and the right of primogeniture, to admit of the division of intestate property, and to facilitate the acts and formalities which are required for the sale or di¬ vision of land. These are, it must be confessed, very serious matters in the opinion of the English. They are measures which are looked upon as re¬ volutionary; and no concession of any such nature would be very readily made by the existing par¬ liament. But would an Irish parliament be so much more disposed to adopt them ? This is far rom certain; for although they are measures of vital importance, not a single voice has been raised on their behalf in Ireland; nor can we, amongst the innumerable speeches of O’Connell, find one word that has any reference to them. Notions favourable to reforms in the civil law are more advanced in England than in Ireland. There is now in England a numerous j)arty who persist in bringing them forward on all occasions. One of the leading members of the House of Commons, Mr. Ewart, two years ago, proposed the abolition of the right of primogeniture; and in the discus¬ sion to which this motion gave rise I do not think that one Irish member spoke in its favour. I should be rather inclined to believe, that although O’Con- FUTURE PROSPECTS OF IRELAND. Ill nell indulges sometimes in flaslies of absolute de¬ mocracy, he is at the bottom, in regard to laws regulating the transfer of property, imbued with aristocratic notions; so that I should be less sur¬ prised to see an Irish parliament adopt -violent and revolutionary measures against Protestant proprie¬ tors than to see it effect any real reform in the civil law upon those princijiles of equality which the French code has sanctioned. Under these circumstances, 1 believe, I may a-ffirm that, even -with respect to any improvement in the ci-vil law of Ireland, more is to be be expected from the Parhament of Great Britain than from an Irish one. The opinion which I have just expressed, -with regard to entails and primogeniture, -utU astonish, and perhaps shock, those who imagine that the ancient institutions of Great Britain, undermined on every side, have no other support than its aris¬ tocracy ; and that if this be touched, there is some danger of the whole fabric being involved in ruin. The instances of those great reforms which have taken place within twenty years ought to convince such people of their error. Nevertheless, as these reforms have changed the political and religious, rather than the cml laws, by which the aristocratic foimation of society is stiU maintained, they may have some right to dispute their authority. This I readily admit; and I -adll not therefore avail myself of the ai’guments which even these reforms afford. But though I am -willing to acknoAvledge the pro- 112 PRESENT STATE AND digious part wMch the aristocracy has played, and still plays, in the English constitution, I altogether deny its supposed identity -with the Irish aristo¬ cracy. Ho-w can two things so dissimilar be compared? "What resemblance is there between a nobility which, by its information, its talents, and devotion to the true interests of its country, has ever been justly entitled to the place which it occupies at the head of the English nation, and a class of selfish proprietors, strangers to the country to which they belong, and hostile to the people they govern ? jSlo, certainly ; the English aristocracy is no more identical with the Irish aris¬ tocracy than the arm which remains vigorous and healthy is identical with that which is infected with gangrene. To improve the relations established by law between landlord and tenant, between the minority to whom the soil belongs and the majority by whom it is cultivated, is one of the most difficult problems which the legislator has to solve. In Ireland these relations are as bad as possible: they are, as I have already said, the first great cause of the evils of the country. By universal consent they call for thorough reform. But if the evil be great, so is its remedy difficult and even dangerous. There is reason to fear that in wishing to regulate the respective conditions of land¬ lord and tenant the right of property itself may be attacked. This is a danger against which a legis- rUTUEE PROSPECTS OP mELAND. 113 lature governed by a Catholic democracy would have some trouble in guarding itself. I confess I should not have much faith in the impartiality of such an assembly when a question came to be decided be. tween rich Protestants on the one side and a Catholic population on the other. We must not be deceived by O’Connell’s protestations; he him¬ self would be powerless in arresting the torrent of popular passion excited by real suffering and the hatred of centuries. If the Repeal of the Union took place, and if Ireland could treat Protestant proprietors according to her own viU and pleasure, it is almost certain that serious at¬ tacks would be made against their rights, and that the principle of property would be battered down, however great the risk to social institutions generally. These are serious considerations, sufficient in my opinion to make every sincere person hesitate, how¬ ever much he may be actuated by thoughtless generosity, before he utters prayers for a Repeal of the Union, intending that that measure should not be the prelude to violent and revolutionary courses. These reflections upon the danger of the reforms so essential in the relations of landlord and tenant, by no means prove that nothing can be done. It is, on the contrary, certain, that a government, enlightened, vigorous, and impartial, could bring about great and gradual changes for the better. 114 PRESEST STATE AND For several centuries, all lam were framed for the exclusive advantage of landlords. These times of injustice are happily far removed. The object is now to obliterate those traces which they have left behind. It is a laborious task; hut it has been already begun by more than one statesman, and will, I trust, be in future prosecuted with ardour. A great social revolution has been effected in Ire¬ land. It takes its date from that day in which Lord Hormanby, in an answer to the complaints laid before him by the landowners of one of the counties respecting the disturbances of the poorer classes, openly proclaimed that sacred maxim, “That property had its duties as well as its rights, and that the one could not he violated without en¬ dangering the other.” These are admirable words; they mark the approach of a new era for Ireland, and announce that the dominion of force must give way to the reign of humanity and justice. Lord Melbourne’s administration, by introducing poor’s rates into Ireland, and by laying down the principle that landlords are bound to attend to the wants of the lower classes, has pushed as far as was within his province the application of Lord Hormanhy’s doctrine. The new poor law has not met with much success, owing no less to the want of the incidental measures, which ought to have accom¬ panied it as a matter of course, than to the violent and almost factious opposition it encountered from the popular party. But, whatever may he its FUTURE PROSPECTS OF IRELASD. 115 immediate results, it will not be the less entitled to the prodigious merit of having for the first time established in Ireland this principle, that society has the right, and that it is its duty, to impose sacrifices on the wealthier classes, in return for the benefits secui’ed to them by the maintenance of social order. Without infringing the right of property, there ought to be no difficulty in efiecting some ame¬ lioration in the relations between landlord and tenant. Such at aU events is the opinion of en¬ lightened men of aU parties. Mr. Crawford, a popular Irish member, announced last session his intention of bringing in a bUl with that object; and Sir K. Peel, far from oi^posing it, declared that the Government was disposed to second any measure which, without endangering the rights of property, would give to the occupier a greater duration of tenui’e, and would secure to him a share in the increased value of the land arismg from his own improvements. The close of the session having prevented Mr. Crawford from carrying out his intentions, the Government appointed a commis¬ sion for the purpose of investigating the state of the relations between landlord and tenant in Ire¬ land, and of preparing a measure for efiecting all such reforms as are within the legitimate province of the legislature. The upright and honourable character of the person who was placed at the head of this commission — the Earl of Devon, is the ' 116 PRESENT STATE AND best guarantee of the sincerity of the English cabinet. I do not mean that ministers -would be disposed, as certain members of extreme opinions might -wish, to go the length of requiring an in¬ definite prolongation of leases, — -which -would be equivalent to depriving the proprietor of all his rights, in order to transfer them to his tenant at the price of a -fixed indemnity; —but I do believe that they -would lend themselves to any reform not absolutely incompatible -with the spirit of English legislation. Would an Irish Parliament be more competent to bring about these reforms ? Certainly not. In order to prevent these reforms from exceeding the bounds of reason and justice, and to ensure their being useful -without becoming revolutionary, they require in the legislator a degree of mo¬ deration, prudence, and impartiality -which could not be expected, for many years at least, in a House of Commons such as the Repeal of the Union -would create. This assembly, subjected to the control of the popular -wUl, and swayed by -violent passions, -would be but an indifferent judge and a partial arbitrator in any question raised by the tenant against his landlord. There would be reason to fear lest the verdict which wotdd be re¬ turned should be marked -with a spirit of retali¬ ation and revenge, that might become just as fatal to Ireland in future times as the spirit of oppression and intolerance has hitherto been in those that are past. FUTURE PROSPECTS OF IRELAND. 117 The conscientious investigation upon which I have entered seems to me sufficiently to prove, that the advantages derivable from all national legis¬ lation are far from counterbalancing the mischief and danger that Ireland would incur from the Eepeal of the Union. One ought not therefore to hesitate in deciding at once against that measure, and in condemning the fruitless agitation of which it is the pretext, were it not for one last argument, which is constantly urged in its favour, and which assumes so specious a form that it imposes upon many impartial persons. This argument is founded upon the constant absence of large numbers of rich landowners. It is in declaiming against the evils of absenteeism that O’Connell and his j)Rrty endea¬ vour to prove, that an Irish parliament, which would bring back, by fair means or by foul, rich absentees, would be an incalculable benefit to Ireland. The argument is an important one, and deserves to be the more seriously considered, as it has com¬ monly been treated very lightly by the political writers of the Continent. I am far from denying the injurious conse¬ quences of absenteeism in general. I believe, on the contrary, that they are of two kinds, the one moral, and the other politico-economical. The constant absence of a considerable portion of the richer classes, is a serious evil for any country. It is impossible to over-estimate the advantages of every kind which arise from proprie- tors residing habitually on their estates. Of all aristocracies, the most popular is a landed aristo¬ cracy, — one which takes up its abode m the midst a rural population. Such an aristocracy has more moral dignity than the aristocracy of a court. It is much more powerful, more energetic, and more generous in character than a monied aristocracy, which owes its origin to commerce, and resides in towns. But that which constitutes a real landed aristocracy, is not the simple possession of a lai'ge extent of sod; it is, much more, the influence which personal communication carried on from genera¬ tion to generation, has enabled large proprietors to acquire over the population of the country. This intercourse is productive of happy conse¬ quences for all classes of society, —for the highest as well as the lowest. It furnishes the rich with an opportunity of employing their wealth to noble purposes; and it secures towards the poor a greater amount of kindly feeling and humanity from those on whom their lot depends. When society is established upon a solid foundation, and when no anomalous ingredient is to be found in its elements, the presence of landowners on their estates can have none but happy results. But if, on the contrary, from any cause what¬ ever, hostile feelings or inveterate antipathies exist between the landed aristocracy and the mass of the people, the presence of the former can lead to no good. In order to counteract the moral con- sequences of absenteeism, it would not be enough to oblige the Protestant aristocracy to live on their estates; they must first be animated with more humane and benevolent feelings towards their Ca¬ tholic tenantry; and they must be impressed with as ardent a desire to improve their condition as they have hitherto shown for the purpose of keep¬ ing them in a state of dependence and oppression. As long as this salutary change remains unaccom¬ plished—as long as landlords are looked upon in the light rather of the oppressors of their country than as its natural protectors, I do not hesitate to say, that absenteeism, whatever may be its po¬ litico-economical effects, ■\viU, in a moral point of view, be a good rather than an evil; for there are no pecuniary sacrifices comparable to the mischiev¬ ous consequences occasioned by the existence of a wealthy class, corrupted and tyrannical, living in the midst of a population full of ignorance, passion, and hatred. But even supposing that the residence of land- owners on their estates were as useful as O’Connell would pretend, how is an Irish parliament to ac¬ complish this object ? I can just conceive that by coercive measures, which I am far from approving, he may compel Irish landlords not to quit the island; stiU itwiU be utterly impossible for him ever to dream of obliging them to reside upon their estates. This would require lettres de cachet of a novel description, which would condenm gi’eat proprietors to play the 120 PRESENT STATE part of benevolence, during a portion of the year, for the benefit of their tenants. Such an idea is too abstird to make it -worth -while to waste one moment in discussing it. Let us proceed, then, to the consideration of the politico-economical consequences of absenteeism. I -will begin by observing, that it is not Ireland alone which complains of the injury done to the resources of a nation by the absence of a portion of its wealthier inhabitants. England has made the same complaints. During the years which followed the establishment of the general peace, public opi¬ nion had its attention fixed on the danger the resources of the country incurred from the increas¬ ing emigration to the Continent; and it has more than once been a question of arresting the tide by fiscal and coercive measures. Nevertheless, expe¬ rience, and the discussions which have taken place on this subject, ha-ving demonstrated how much the fears that had arisen were exaggerated, public opinion gained confidence, and declamations against absenteeism have sunk to the level of the vulgar eloquence of the demagogue. The remarkable -writings of several political eco¬ nomists have greatly contributed to this result. A complete examination of the effects of absenteeism upon the production and consumption of wealth has clearly proved, that in most cases it does not, in this respect, produce any injurious tendency. The first -writer who has sifted this subject to the rUTUEE PROSPECTS OF IRELAKD. 121 bottom is Mr. M'CuUoch, the learned editor and commentator of Adam Smith; and he was the first who maintained, in his celebrated examination be¬ fore the House of Lords, that absenteeism was not amenable to any of the faults laid to its charge. The truth of these opinions has been generally admitted by the politico-economist schools; and however strange they may at first appear, they are nevertheless, within certain bounds, perfectly accurate. Like all, however, who make discoveries in moral science, he has endeavoured to extend too far the principle he has discovered. Subsequently a political economist of no less celebrity—Mr. Senior, has restricted this principle within juster limits. Nevertheless, as it seems to me that these limits are not yet defined accurately, I beg to be allowed to enter, so far at least as this point is concerned, upon this discussion; and I trust that, in consider¬ ation of the importance of the subject, and its no¬ velty for some of my readei’s, I shall be excused for trenching, for a short time, upon the proHnce of political economy. The following is Mr. Senior’s theor}-:—We must first make a distinction, he says, between those countries which export the raw produce and those which export manufactured articles. In the former, the rich man who lives abroad will defray his ex¬ penses, directly or indirectly, out of the raw pro¬ duce of his country. Thus it is evident that an extravagant Irish nobleman pa3's the large expenses 122 PKESENT STATE AND he incurs in London, or on the Continent, with the com, the pigs, and the butter which his country produces, and which England consumes. If this nobleman resided in Ireland, a part at least of this _ produce would be exchanged for Irish labour, and would consequently be consumed by the workmen of the country, who would have more butter and bacon to mix with their potatoes. If, however, this same lord were to return home with exclusively English tastes, and if he were determined to take none but Englishmen into his service, sending to England for all that he required, the gain to Ireland would be but small. Its com, and pigs, and butter would be eaten by English, or exported in order to pay for English goods. In accordance with this evidently correct reasoning, Mr. Senior comes to the conclusion, that absenteeism in those countries which export raw produce, must have an injurious effect upon national wealth, and influence in an un- fevourable manner the rate of wages; and con¬ sequently that it would be desirable for such coun¬ tries that the idle rich should spend their income therein, provided they had not contracted the habit of employing none but foreign labour. "With respect to those countries which export manufactured goods, the case, according to Mr. Senior, is different. The rich man, being unable when abroad to pay his expenses by means of the produce of his land, will exchange this produce for manufactured goods, which, exported into the coun- FOTUEE PROSPECTS OF IRELAND. 123 try where he resides, will there discharge his debts. This operation does not take place directly: it is effected by bankers, apparently by simple ex¬ changes of paper. It also often happens, that the produce of the absentee’s countrj^, instead of be¬ ing exported to the country in which he lives, goes to pay the debts that this latter has contracted with a third country. Nevertheless, among the thousand complicated transactions of commercial exchanges, it is easy to reduce the effect of the ex¬ penditure of the rich in foreign countries to the operation above stated. Such being the case, the country of these rich absentees will have lost nothing. The income of the rich will have been exchanged for the labour of his own country; and the only effect wUl have been, that the produce of this labour, instead of being unproductively con¬ sumed by him in his own country, -will have been employed in other services, equally unproductive, which he wiU have required from the foreigners amongst whom he lives. This second reasoning of Mr. Senior is in the main true; but the consequences he has deduced from it are too extensive. If the countrj’ in question exported only such objects of luxury as are not usually consumed by the working classes, the ar¬ gument would be ill all respects correct. As long as the expenses of the English on the Continent are paid for in China vases and blood horses, England, so far from losing, rather gains by the bargain; for 124 PBESENT STATE AND the expenses of the absentee, increasing the demand for objects of luxury, encourage the development of those branches of industry which secure the best wages and the highest profits. But if the country exports such manufactured goods as are used by the working classes, cheap stufts for instance, I cannot understand why a different effect should he attributed to absenteeism from that which it produces in those countries whence raw produce is exported. The rich man, no doubt, whether he remains at home or goes abroad, will equally exchange his in¬ come for manufactured articles, in the same way as has been stated in the foregoing hypothesis. But in the case in which the manufactured goods are of that kind which are used by the working classes, it is probable that he would not consume them him¬ self. He would exchange them a second time for services intended to satisfy his refined wants. It may be objected that the same income cannot be twice consumed. This is true; but it must not be forgotten, that if the income of the rich man serves to pay those whom he employs, such as his game- keepers, his grooms, and lus tailor, this kmd of consumption, although unproductive in a politico- economical point of view, nevertheless enables his fellow-countrymen who are thus paid, to procure for their own use the objects of first necessity, which in the case of the absence of the rich man would have been exported abroad. FUTURE PROSPECTS OF IRELAND. 125 Absenteeism, under these circumstances, does not create a new demand in foreign countries for manufactured goods,—it only changes its place. It was formerly the servants, the workmen, and the tradesmen of the absentee’s country which required them; it is now the servants, the workmen, and the tradesmen that he employs away from home, who derive the advantage. Serious doubts with regard to the truth of Mr. Senior’s theory are at once raised by simply asking if it he possible that absenteeism should have a dif¬ ferent effect in a country which exports oxen, and in that from which candles, made from the fat of these same animals, is exported. In the one case, as in the other, the exportation diminishes the quantity of various objects destined to pay the wages of the worldng classes, and must conse¬ quently tend to lower them. In applying these principles to Ii’eland, one is forced to admit that absenteeism is in her case a cause of impoverishment; for that countiy is one of those which exports, almost exclusively, either raw produce, or manufactured articles intended for the consumption of the lower classes. It is, then, by no means doubtful, hut that an Irish parliament would do a very useful thing if it succeeded in retaining in Ireland all those rich proprietors who live abroad. But how is it to ac¬ complish that object? Is it to be solely by indi¬ rect means,—by making a residence in Dublin as ' 126 PSESENT STATE AUD interesting and agreeable as one in London ? I much doubt the efficaciousness of this plan. It is difficult to change the habits and influence the tastes of the wealthier classes. The attraction which, even after the Eepeal of the Union, would draw them to England, would continue to be more powerftil than all the temptations which a Dublin life could offer. As for the interest of politics, I rely little upon this for keeping absentee proprietors at home. They almost all belong to the extreme Tory party, and would lose all their influence in an Irish parliament. They would never form more than a small minority in the House of Commons; and as the House of Lords would have become unimpor¬ tant, I do not think they would show much eager¬ ness or assiduity in there exercising their legislative functions. But it may be urged, that if the great landed proprietors, not being very anxious to avail them¬ selves of the advantages of national independence, persist in living away fi’om their country, recourse win be had to coercive measures. This is more easily said than done. I presume it is not intended to ad¬ minister the receipt in vogue with the Emperor of Russia to force the nobility to return to his em¬ pire, viz. the sequestration of income, and even the confiscation of property. This would be too violent, and too contrary to the habits and no¬ tions of our age. Roue but a few alehouse dema¬ gogues would venture to advise such a measure. FUTURE PROSPECTS OF IRELARD. 127 More cannot be attempted than imposing a tax upon the incomes of absentees; and this, which appears so simple at first, would be very difficult, not to say impossible, in practice. How, in point of fact, is absence to be defined ? Win the absence of a few months be sufficient to make a man liable to the tax ? Will the presence in Ireland of the whole family, or only the head of the family, be insisted upon ? And, again, what description of establishment wUl be required ? The mere enumeration of these questions is enough to show how next to impossible it is to dispose of them. Unless a system of inquisitorial and vex¬ atious measures were established, it would be out of the question to impose a tax which would not be, in aU cases, eluded. It is impossible to say that no one shall ever be permitted to indulge in temporary absences; and what limit is to be placed on them ? Thanks to railroads and steam-boats, which have placed Dublin mthin twenty-four hours of London, the wealthy Lislunan, although living in the latter town with his family, might show himself as often as might be necessary to exempt him from the tax. I repeat it, that with¬ out the adoption of some odious system, repugnant to all our notions and to every principle of justice, coercive measures for the purpose of obliging great Irish landed proprietors to live in their own country would be perfectly illusory. Besides all this, there is one important consider- PRESEKT STATE AND ation 'wMcli has not heen generally attended to, hut which is nevertheless sufficient to destroy all hopes founded upon the return of absentees. It is often forgotten that the greater part of the land owned by non-resident proprietors belongs to Englishmen, to peers of Great Britain, and influen¬ tial corporations. One cannot dream of obliging them to renounce their character of Englishmen, that they may live in Ireland. It would be necessary then to pass a special measure to subject them to the absentee tax. This would be an actual com¬ mencement of spoliation, to which these corpora¬ tions and landowners would not be inclined to submit. They would call to their defence the as¬ sistance of their own government, that of England, which certainly would not be refused. What would happen then? A civil war. This would be for Ireland the height of folly, for not only would she have to contend against physical force infinitely greater than her own, but against her would be arrayed moral influence, law, and justice. It must be acknowledged that absenteeism is an evil; but the remedies which O’Connell and his party wish to apply, through the instrumentality of Repeal, far from curing, would only aggravate the mischief. I trust I have now performed the most important part of the task which I have undertaken, by show¬ ing, from the inevitable consequences of Repeal, how little likely that measure is to answer the ex- I'UTUllE PROSPECTS OP IREL^VND. 129 pectations of those who conscientiously believe that on its success depends the well-being of Ire¬ land. If the investigation I have made is at all to be depended upon, we may predict with cer¬ tainty that the advantages resulting from that measure would be far fi-om outweighing the mis¬ chiefs and dangers to which it would give rise. One cannot therefore but lament that it should have become the one end in view,—the single point of attraction -with the popular party of Ire¬ land. But even supposing that I should be mis¬ taken, and that I should have omitted some of the benefits which might be anticipated from a national legislature, would it stiU be right to bestow praise on the part that O’Connell has taken, and that almost the whole of Catholic Ireland has adopted with so much energy, and with such apparently unshaken determination ? Certainly not; for before encouraging the Irish patriots to persist in the perilous path upon which they have entered, it is necessary to know, not only whether the object they have in view be a legitimate one, but also whether it be not surrounded with insurmountable difiiculties, and whether it can reasonably be ex¬ pected that either by persuasion or force they will succeed in breaking the link which unites them to England. Now this is what no man of sense, after a few moments’ reflection, can suppose. How, in fact, is the Repeal of the Union to be bi'enght about ? Is it to be by legal meaiis ? But ' 130 PJiESEJIT STATE AKD for that purpose it -Nvill be necessary to obtain tbe consent of parliament, where an overwhelming majo¬ rity will join in refusing it. By force then ? — by the fears that Ireland flatters herself she inspires? But who can suppose that England will recoil be¬ fore the threatening attitude of those forces which O’Connell has succeeded in organising! Those who entertain such an opinion are entirely ignorant of the character of the English people, and of the principles by which its government is guided. It is true that the English are by no means sensitive; they act with as much prudence as firmness; when¬ ever an absolute necessity occurs, they hnow how to give way, although at the expense of their self-love and vanity; but the moment that the real secret of their power and the elements of their existence are at stake, they are the most de¬ termined people that ever existed, and are capable of the most gigantic and persevering exertions. The Eepeal of the Union is properly considered by all parties in England, as a question of life or death. All have expressed their opinion with equal vehemence against the separation of the two king¬ doms. Though not agreed as to the manner of governing Ireland and of restoring tranquillity, they are unanimous as to the necessity of keeping it by every possible means incorporated with Great Britain. Let it be remembered that the mildest, the most hmnane, the most liberal, the most sincere man of the Whig party, — Lord Spencer, unhesi- I'UTUKE 1-UOSl‘ECTS OE IKELAXU. 131 tatingly declared, when he was minister, that before consenting to a Eepeal of the Union he would advise Parliament to incur a war of extermin¬ ation. After this, one may judge whether it be probable that any English cabinet, so supported by the entire nation, would ever yield to the threats of O’Connell. Some persons, deluded by a false historical analogy, bring forward the example of what passed in 1829, at the time of Catholic emancipation, in order to prove that it is not impossible to extort, by fear, important concessions which have long been denied to entreaty. The comparison however does not hold good. In 1829, the Irish fought for a cause, the justice and equity of which were evident; and they were su^iported, if not by a majority of the English people, at least by an imposing minority, in whose ranks were numbered, not only the whole of the Whig party, but also the most distinguished and enlightened of the Tories. The Duke of Wellington did not recede from his former opinions solely on account of the mena¬ cing attitude of the Catholic Association; he gave way because, as a skilltul leader, he saw that his forces were not prepared to follow him in a deadly struggle. He had, indeed, at his disposal a majority in both Houses; and he might, no doubt, have rejected any direct motion in favour of the Catholics; but it would have been difficult, and almost impossible for him to have obtained, in the ' 132 PRESENT STATE AND House of Commons, extraordinary powers to re¬ press, by force, the fearful agitation that O’Connell had organised. The present circumstances are very different. There exists in England, both in parliament, and throughout the country, a unanimous feeling against Eepeal. This measure is equally scouted, both by the fanatical partisans of things as they are, and by the most ardent friends of reform. This general concurrence is not the result of national interest alone: it must also be in great part attributed to that loyal and conscientious opinion, which looks upon the dissolution of the tie that unites the British Isles as a project at once odious and cri¬ minal. Ministers, whoever they may be, will always find parliament prepared to arm them with all necessary legal powers, and to place at their dis¬ posal an amount of physical force sufficient to maintain in Ireland, either by law or by force, public order as at present established. The steady legal agitation, such as O’Connell has organised, is then destined to be, and to remain, unproductive. The promises and boastings of the Liberator may still hold out delusive hopes amongst the Irish Catholics; but sooner or later these illu¬ sions will be dispelled, and the popular party will end by requiring an account from their chief of the results obtained by such mighty efforts, and so many sacrifices. What, then, will be the course taken by this great man, who exerts so powerful FUTUKE PROSPECTS OF IRELAND. 133 an influence over the destinies of Ireland ? Aban¬ doning the road on which he has travelled, and which leads to nothing, will he appeal to the last argument of an oppressed people, and have recourse to insurrection and civil war? I cannot think so. O’Connell is too skilful, too enlightened, and has too much good sense to engage seriousty in a deadly struggle with England. The chances are too un¬ equal. I am aware that some persons are of a very different opinion. They believe that on the day in which O’Connell unfurls the banner of Irish independence, and makes an appeal to the physical force of the nation, a popular movement wll take place that will carry all before it. They say, that in the present age it is no longer possible to put down eight millions of men who are determined to conquer or die. But this is another of those illu¬ sions that an intimate knowledge of the elements composing the population of the British empire is not long in dispelling. In the first place, let us remember, that Ireland is not unanimous; that it includes a numerous and powerful class, whose interests induce them to cling to the Union, and to whom Repeal is a question of life or death. The Protestants form but a small numerical minority in that country; but they are strong from being wealthy, energetic, and well organised. At the first ciy of insur. rection they would rise in a body, and, aided by K 3 -134 PEESEiJT STATE AND regular troops, they would unhesitatingly attack the congregated masses of Catholic insurgents. With respect to popular commotions, the English are essentially different from the French. In France the use of arms is general; all classes of society are impressed with a military character, which is even more decided amongst the inferior classes than it is amongst the higher. Conscriptions have taught an enormous majority in that country the art of fighting. There is not a village in which a company or detachment may not he organized in a single day. Street engagements are accordingly dangerous in France; the people have more than once come off victorious m them. In Ireland, as well as England, on the contrary, the people are not military, either by nature or hahit. They know nothing about the army. They supply it with soldiers, but these, once enrolled, do not return to the ranks of the people. There, the appearance of an armed force acts like magic upon the multitude; and small detachments have hitherto been sufficient to disperse meetmgs which seemed the most alarming. However much we may exag¬ gerate to ourselves the courage of Irish soldiers, and notwithstanding the boastings of O’Connell, there is no one acquainted with Ireland who can, for an instant, suppose that the mass of the people there would be in a condition to offer any serious resistance to regular troops. The living strength of Great Britain is formed FUTUEE PEOSPECTS OP lEELAND. 135 by the middle and higher classes of the nation. Their energy is of a very different kind from that of the same classes on the Continent. No revolution, no attempt at insurrection is possible, provided the majority of those of whom they are composed do not take part against the Government. Now there is nothing less probable in Ireland. If civil war were to break out there, on one side would be found large and tumultuous bodies of peasants incapable of discipline, commanded by a small number of Catholics taken from the higher ranks of soci¬ ety, and on the other, the higher and middle classes, backed by the whole of the strength at the disposal of Government. The chances would, in truth, be too unequal. The popular party, in re¬ sorting to violence, would encounter certain de¬ struction. There is one contingency, and only one, which might possibly turn the scale in favour of Irish in¬ surrection, and restore the balance; and this would be, an unsuccessful foreign war, exhausting the resources of England. In this case, I confess, the Irish might try insurrectional^ means with success. But ought this extreme case to enter into the consideration of rational men ? Could any praise be bestowed on a party whieh founded its chances of success upon the humiliation of its country ? No, under no circumstances whatever. If Repeal were purchased at the price of the humiliation of England, it would cost too much to the cause of humanity; ' 136 PRESENT STATE and no one who is sincere would have it on such But I may he asked, what are the inferences which we are to draw from all the facts and arguments that have been adduced, for the purpose of determining the actual state of those questions upon which the fate of Ireland depends. In the first place, I am firmly convinced that the Eepeal of the Union will not be carried. But I may be asked what then win. happen? — what is to be the upshot of the present crisis, and what the winding up of the drama in which O’Connell has played so extra¬ ordinary a part ? I have neither the inclination nor the power of entering upon the wide field of con¬ jecture and prophecy. I have already said, that to no one is it given to dive into the mysteries of futurity. The social horizon is extremely limited; men of the greatest capacity have in vain endea¬ voured to pass the barrier by which it is bounded. Nevertheless, without indulging in any rash hypo¬ thesis, I may, perhaps, take upon myself to conclude these observations, already too long, by asserting that it is probable that the present ministry, as well as their successors, will continue to carry on in Ireland the system of improvement and reform which Lord Melbourne was the first to adopt upon a comprehensive scale. The hard words and vio¬ lence of O’Connell and his party, as long as he keeps within the bounds of law, will not arrest the course of the English Government. Long accus- rUTUEE I’EOSl’ECTS OE lUELAND. 137 tomed to the extreme consequences of political liberty, the Government is not peculiarly sensitive. It is as little influenced by empty threats, as by an apprehension of appearing to yield from weak¬ ness when the time for concession has arrived. It will pursue the work of regeneration in Ireland. Its course will be measured and cautious, perhaps even excessively slow; but it will be steady, and there will be no receding. In support of this assertion, I shall content myself with referring to the moderate, liberal, and generous conduct of Sir Robert Peel’s cabinet towards Canada. IMiat he has done for that distant colony he will do for Ireland. After having conquered Canada by the force of arms, he has been willing to conciliate her with large conces¬ sions. In the same way, if he should succeed in gaining a legal victory over O'Connell, or if he should be obliged to repress by physical force still bolder attempts than those already made, he will not the less strive to satisfy all such demands on the part of the Irish, as he may believe to be compatible wth the interests of Great Britain and the exigences of his party. What wiU be the final result of these progressive and well-considered reforms ? Will they succeed in completely healing the womids of Ireland, and in thoroughly amalgamating the feelings and interests of that country and those of Great Britain ? These are serious questions, which the future can alone determine. I trust and ardently desire that thev