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m O O "D ED TJ > C Ci> I TJ ^ 0(/) 5 m 30 m Wo IS 3 r- ^— I *•< ±.rn Is 39 go N C/) •——I cy>x OOM s *. ^. "i^. /^ '/^. Columbia (HnitJewftp mtljfCftpofl^ewgork THE LIBRARIES GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS LIBRARY f J^ ELEMENTS OF ECONOMICS VOL. I. 1} ELEMENTS OF ECONOMICS OF INDUSTKY BEING THE FIRST VOLUME OF ELEMENTS OF ECONOMICS BY ALFEED MAESHALL Professtor of Political Economy in the University of Cambridge, Honorary Fellow of Balliol College. Oxford. THIRD EDITION Honlion: MAGMILLAN AND CO., Limited. NEW YORK: THE MAGMILLAN COMPANY. 1903 [All Riylits reserved.] 1)1(0 ■ First Edition printed 1892. Reprinted 1893, 1894. Second Edition 1896. Reprinted 1898, January 1899. Third Edition, August 1899.^ Reprinted 1900, 1901, 1903 CO ae: PKEFACE TO THE THIRD EDITION. IN the present edition of this volume some matters which had been found difficult by beginners have been omitted, others have been relegated to Appendices, and others again have been explained at greater length than before. Book IV. remains nearly unchanged ; and so does Book VI. except Chapters i. ii. and xi.; but a considerable part of Books I. II. III. and V. has been rewritten. A short treatise on economics is apt to ignore many difficulties, and thus to suggest that its conclusions are abso- lute when they are really only conditional, and that they are universal when really they only apply strictly to a few simple cases. If it avoids this danger by pointing out many difficulties, with which it has no space to deal effisctively, the reader may be perplexed. The little Economics of Iindustry^ brought out by my wife and myself in 1879, seems to have erred by excess in the first of these directions; and it is perhaps through a reaction that the earlier edition of the present volume erred by excess in the opposite direction. There were indeed several points in the fundamental scheme of Distribu- tion and Exchange, on which I had not made up my own mind in 1879 : and, partly for this reason, partly because it was desired to make the book appear simple, difficulties were \ VI PREFACE. evaded, and smooth phrases were applied to cover over the jagged ends of broken and incomplete discussions. But, as years went on, I found that pupils even of some ability were misled by the apparently easy and complete solutions which were offered in that little book ; and the feeling grew on me that one who has never read any economics at all, is likely to be a more useful man in his generation than one who has read an easy work on economics, and thinks he has mastered the subject sufficiently to be able to derive from it trustworthy guidance in life. As soon therefore as the way was prepared by the publica- tion of the first volume of my Principles, I hastened to compile a small volume designed for beginners, but written frankly without any pretence that a serviceable knowledge of econo- mics can be obtained without great effort. No broad and simple proposition was admitted without some indication of the chief qualifications to which it was liable, and of the dangers of applying it unreservedly to practical problems : a reference was also generally given to a passage in my larger book in which the matter was further studied. No argument was purposely compressed. The intention was that any part of a discussion which appeared unsuitable for a beginner should be omitted altogether, and the rest given in full. But I was hurried, and I failed to carry out my intention completely. It was found afterwards that a part of a study, which was retained, often depended, more than I had noticed ,at the time, on a part which had been omitted : and whenever that happened, the shortening had made the book not easier but more difficult. This is the fault which I have tried to remove in the present edition. I have been helped by several persons and especially by my wife, by Professor Smart, Professor Flux PREFACE. Vll and Dr Keynes. Even with their generous and great aid, I cannot hope to have noticed every weak spot. But I trust that this edition is more nearly self-contained, and that it is somewhat simpler and less technical than the earlier editions. The allusions to difficulties which lie beyond the limited range of this little volume have been cut down ; but not I hope in such a way as to suggest that any short statement of an important economic doctrine can present the whole truth and nothing but the truth. Balliol Croft, Cambridge, July, 1899. % PREFACE TO THE FIRST EDITION. This volume is an attempt to adapt the first volume of my Principles of Ecorwmics (Second edition, 1891) to the needs of junior students. The necessary abridgment has been effected not by systematic compression so much as by the omission of many discussions on points of minor importance and of some difficult theoretical investigations. For it seemed that the difficulty of an argument would be increased rather than diminished by curtailing it and leaving out some of its steps. The argumentative parts of the Principles are therefore as a rule either reproduced in full or omitted altogether ; reference in the latter case being made in footnotes to the corresponding places in the larger treatise. Notes and discussions of a literary character have generally been omitted. i( VUl PREFACE. IX The influence of trade-unions on wages depends much on the course of foreign trade and on commercial fluctuations; and therefore in the Principles all discussion of the subject is postponed to a late stage. But in the present volume, the practical convenience of discussing it in close connection with the main theory of distribution seemed to outweigh the disadvantages of treating it prematurely and in some measure incompletely ; and a chapter on trade-unions has been added at the end of Book VI. A few sentences have been incorporated from the Economics of Industry y published by my wife and myself in 1879. Though she prefers that her name should not appear on the title-page, my wife has a share in this volume also. For in writing it, and in writing the Principles, I have been aided and advised by her at every stage of the MSS. and the proofs; and thus the pages which are now submitted to the reader are indebted twice over to her suggestions, her judg- ment and her care. Dr Keynes, Mr John Burnett and Mr J. S. Cree have read the proofs of the chapter on trade-unions, and have given me helpful advice with regard to it from three different points of view. 18 February, 1892. I CONTENTS. {Italics are used to give references to definitioiis of technical terms.] BOOK I. PRELIMINABY SURVEY. Chapter I. Introduction. § 1. Economics is a study of wealth, and a part of the study of man. § 2. Urgency of the problem of poverty. § 3. Economics is a science of recent growth. § 4. Characteristics of modem business. Free industry and enterprise . . . pp. 1 — 8 Chapter II. The Growth of Free Industry and Enterprise. § 1. Early civilizations. Beginnings of modem forms of business manage- ment. Eise of the factory system. §§ 2, 3. The new organization accompanied by great evils. Many of these were due to the pressure of war, taxes and bad harvests; and competition was seen at its worst. But now with the increase of knowledge and wealth we should seek to restrain its evil and to retain its good influences . . pp. 9 — 18 Chapter III. The Scope of Economics. § 1. Economics chiefly con- cerned with motives that are measurable ; § 2 but not exclusively selfish. Difficulties of measurement pp. 19 — 22 Chapter IV. Economic Laws. §§ 1, 2. Scientific laws are statements of tendencies ; they are exact in the case of some simple sciences, but not in the case of complex sciences. § 3. The science of man is very com- plex ; and therefore economic laws are not exact. § 4. Economics deals mainly with one side of life, but not with the life of fictitious beings. 5 5. Social law. Economic laio. Normal. Motives to collective action. pp. 23—28 Chapter V. Survey of the work to be done. § 1. General plan of the present volume. § 2. The first duty of the economist is to discover truth; but the directions of his work arc indicated by urgent social problems pp. 29— 32 CONTENTS. BOOK II. SOME FUNDAMENTAL NOTIONS. Chapter I. Introductory. § 1. Difficulties of definition in Economics. p. 33 Chapter H. Wealth. § 1. Classification of goods. Wealth. § 2. Per- sonal wealth. Broad meaning of wealth. § 3. Collective goods. § 4. Value pp.34 — 40 Chapter III. Production. Consumption. Labour. Necessaries. § 1. Man produces and consumes only utilities. § 2. Nearly all labour is in some sense productive. § 3. Necessaries for existence and for efficiency. Conventional necessanes pp. 41—44 Chapter IV. Capital. Income. § 1. Capital yields income. Trade capital corresponds to money-iucome. § 2. Social capital is a broader term. § 3. llelation between different uses of the term Capital. S 4. Consumption and auxiliary capital. Circidating, fixed, specialized. § 5. Net income. § 6. Net advantages. Interest. Profits, Earnings of management. Rent. § 7. Social income .... pp. 45 — ^53 BOOK III. ON WANTS AND THEIE SATISFACTIONS. Chapter I. Introductory. § 1. Scope of Book III. . . pp. 54 — 55 Chapter II. Wants in relation to Activities. §§ 1 — 3. Wants are progi-essive. Desire for variety and distinction. § 4. Desire for excel- lence. Relation of wants to activities pp. 56— -60 Chapter III. Gradations of Demand. ^ 1. The term utility. The law of satiable toants or diminishing utility. Total utility. Marginal increment. Marginal utility. Marginal demand price. § 2. The mar- ginal utility of money varies. A person's demand for anything. § 3. Increase in a person's demand. § 4. Demand of a market. Law of demand ........... pp. 61 — 68 Chapter rv. The Elasticity of wants. §1. Elasticity of demand. §§2,3. It varies witli different incomes. § 4. Demand for necessaries. § 5. Some causes that obscure the influence of price on demand pj). 69 — 74 Chapter V. The Choice between different uses of the same thing. Immediate and deferred uses. ^§ 1, 2. Distribution of means between different uses. § 3. Distribution between present and future needs. Discounting future pleasures pp. 75 — 78 Chapter VI. Value and Utility. §§ 1, 2. Consumers* stirphis. § 3. Allowance for collective wealth. Wisdom in the pursuit and use of wealth pp. 79— 84 i H7 4 CONTENTS. XI BOOK IV. THE AGENTS OF PBODUOTION. LAND, LABOUE, CAPITAL AND OKGANIZATION. Chapter I. Introductory. § 1. Subjects discussed in Book IV. Supply price pp.85— 86 Chapter II. The Fertility of Land. § 1. Land in what sense a free gift of nature. § 2. Man's power of altermg the character of the soil. Conditions of fertility pp. 87— 90 Chapter III. The Fertility of Land, continued. The Law of Diminishing Return. § 1. The basis of the Laio of diminishing return. The return is measured by the amount not the price of produce. § 2. A dose of capital and labour, marginal dose, marginal return, margin of ctdtivation. Surplus produce. Its relation to rent. § 3. The order of relative fertility changes with circumstances. § 4. Good cultivation a relative term. § 5. Misunderstandings of Kicardo's doctrine. § 6. The return from fisheries, and mines PP- 91 — 102 Chapter IV. The Growth of Population. § 1. Malthus. §§ 2, 3. ^ Causes that determine marriage-rate and birth-r^te . § 4. History of ^ population in England. § 5. Modern causes affecting marriage-rate. ^ ^ 6 3 pp. 103-110 Chapter V. The Health and Strength of the Population. §§ 1, 2. General conditions of health and strength. § 3. Hope, freedom and change. § 4. Influence of occupation. Town life. § 5. Nature's ten- dency to select the strongest for survival is often comiteracted by man. ^ pp. 111—119 Chapter VI. Industrial Training. § 1. Unskilled labour a relative term. General and specialized ability. §§ 2, 3. Liberal and technical education. Apprenticeships. § 4. Education as a national investment. S 5. Mill's four industrial grades; but sharp lines of division are fading Iway pp. 120-128 Chapter VII. The Growth of "Wealth. § 1. Early and modem forms of wealth. § 2. Slow growth of habits of savmg. § 3. Security as a condition of saving. § 4. The chief motive of saving is family affection. § 5. The source of accumulation is surplus income. Profits. Kent and earnings. Collective savings. § 6. Interest is the reward of waiting. Influence of changes in the rate of interest on saving . . pp. 129 — 138 Chapter VIII. Industrial Organization. § 1. Organization uicreases efiicieucy. Teachings of biology. The law of the struggle for sm-vivaL § 2. Harmonies and discords between individual and collective interests. pp. 139—141 Chapter IX. Industrial Organization, continued. Division of La- bour. The Influence of Machinery. § 1. Practice makes perfect. The provinces of manual labour and machinery. § 2. Interchangeable parts. Machinery increases the demand for general intelligence and weakens barriers between different trades. § 3. It relieves the stram on human muscles, and thus prevents monotony of work from involving % Xii CONTENTS. monotony of life. § 4. Specialized skill and specialized machinery com- pared. External and Internal economics . . . pp. 142 — 150 Chapter X. Industrial Organization, continued. The Concentra- tion of Specialized Industries in Particular Iiocalities. § 1. Primitive forms of localized industries; their various origins. § 2. Ad- vantages of localized industries; hereditary skill, subsidiary trades, spe- cialized machinery, local market for skill. Their disadvantages. Move- ments of Enghsh industries pp. 151 — 155 Chapter XI. Industrial Organization, continued. Production on a large scale. §§1, 2. Advantages of a large producer as to economy of material, specialization of and improvements in machinery, buying and seUing; speciahzed skill, especially in matters of management, but the small producer makes many detailed savings . . pp. 156 — 161 Chapter XII. Industrial Organization, continued. Business Management. § 1. Yarions forms of business management classified with reference to the tasks of undertakmg risks and of superintendence. § 2. Faculties required in the ideal manufactm-er. § 3. Hereditary businesses, why they are not more common. § 4. Private partnerships. § 5. Joint-stock companies. Government undertakings. § 6. Co-opera- tion. Profit sharing. § 7. The rise of the working man hindered by his want of capital and even more by the growing complexity of business. § 8. Adjustment of capital to business ability. Net and Gross earnings of management pp. 162 — 178 Chapter XIII. Conclusion. The Law of Increasing in Relation to that of Diminishing Return. § 1. Eelation of the later chap- ters of this Book to the earher. A Representative firm. The laws of increasing and constant return. § 2. Conditions under which an increase of numbers leads to a more than proportionate increase of coUective efficiency pp. 179 — 183 BOOK V. THE BALANCING OF DEMAND AND SUPPLY. Chapter I. On Markets. § 1. Most economic problems have a common kernel relating to the equilibrium of supply and demand. § 2. Definition of a Market. §§ 3, 4. Limitations of a market with regard to space. Conditions of a wide market. Grading. Portabihty. World markets. pp. 184—189 Chapter II. Temporary Equilibrium of Demand and Supply. § 1. Equilibrium between desire and effort. § 2. Illustration from a local corn-market of a true though temporary equiUbrium. § 3. Trtinsi- tion to normal prices pp. 190 — 193 Chapter III. Equilibrium of Normal Demand and Supply. § 1. Transition from market to normal price. § 2. Heal and money cost of ^production. Expenses of j>roduction. Factors of production. § 3. The principle of substitution. § 4. Basis of the general theory. The supply schedide. § 5. Equilibriuvi amount and equilibrium price. § 6. Com- CONTENTS. xm I T>lexity of the problems of real life. § 7. Influences of utility and cost of • production on value. The former preponderates in market values, the StTert Sormal values. § 8. Rent in relation to expenses of^produg tion ^^' Chanter IV. The Investment of Capital in a Business. Prime Cost aiid Total Cost. § 1. Motives determinmg the investment of ranital 5 2. Different routes are chosen in obtaining the same end Tlfe margin of profitableness. § 3. Pdme cost. Supplementaryj^^ total cost ^"' Chanter V. Equilibrium of Normal Demand and Supply, con^ tinuel -nie Term Normal with Reference to Long and Short Periods. §§ 1-4. Elasticity of the term normal Long and short perLdnormll prices. Illustrations. §5 The general drift of the term Normal Supply Price is the same for short and long periods. § 6. There is no sharp division between long and short periods . pp. 208—21 / Chanter VI. Joint and Composite Demand. Joint and Comproite SuDDly. ^ 1. Derived demand and joint demand. § 2. Illustration, taken from a labour dispute. Conditions under which a check to supply may raise much the price of a factor of production. Moderatmg influence of the prmciple of substitution. § 3. Composite demand. § 4. Joint supply. % 5. Composite supply. §6. Intricate relations between the values of different thmgs PP- 218— 2io Chapter VII. Prime and Total Cost in relation to Joint Products. Cost of Marketing. Insurance against Risk. §1. Difficulties as to the joint products of the same business and as to the expenses of marketing. § 2. Insurance agamst risk . . . • PP- 22b— 2iiy Chapter VIII. Short notes on several problems. § 1. Q^iasi-rents. «2. MonopoUes. §3. Indirect results of variations m demand ^ i- u pp^ 230 — 232 BOOK VI. VALUE, OR DISTRIBUTION AND EXCHANGE. Chapter I. Preliminary Survey of Distribution and Exchange. Tl Drift of iBook VI. The problem difficult; we must work graduaUy L a series of sunple illustrative cases. § 2. First case : all suppose*. 4 % for this trade; and the work suited well the temper of her people. America and Asia alike offered markets for simple manufactures made in large quantities on the same pattern. Thus she began to grow in wealth ; and she gradually applied her energies more and more to manufacturing on a large scale. One invention followed another in rapid succes- sion. She used water power, and afterwards steam power to take off some of the most wearisome work from the hands of men and women, and to increase production ; and in a way things went well with her\ But there was another side to the picture. Up to the eighteenth century the wages of labour had been much under the influence of custom ; and what competition there was for employment was mostly confined to a small area ; a town or a few villages in the same neighbourhood. But the new industry in the latter half of the eighteenth century began to attract artisans and labourers from all parts of England to the manufacturing districts. At first there were few large factories. Capitalists 1 The quarter of a century beginning with 1760 saw improvements follow one another in manufacture even more rapidly than m agriculture. During that period the transport of heavy goods was cheapened by Brindley's canals, the production of jwwer by Watt's steam-engine, and that of iron by Cort's processes of puddling and rolling, and by Roebuck's method of smelting it by coal in lieu of the charcoal that had now become scarce ; Hargreaves, Cromp- ton, Arkwright, Cartwright and others invented, or at least made economi- cally serviceable, the spinning jenny, the mule, the carding machine, and the poAver-loom; Wedgwood gave a great impetus to the pottery trade that was already growuig rapidly; and there were important inventions in printing from cylinders, bleaching by chemical agents, and in other processes. A cotton factory was for the first time driven directly by steam-power in 1785, the last year of the period. The beguiniug of the nineteenth century saw steam-ships and steam printing-presses, and the use of gas for lighting towns. Railway locomotion, telegraphy and photography came a little later. Our own age has seen numberless improvements and new economies in production, prominent among which are those relating to the production of steel, the tele- phone, the electric light, and the gas-engine ; and the social changes arising from material progress are in some respects more rapid now than ever. But the groundwork of the changes that have happened suice 1785 was chiefly laid in the inventions of the years 1760 to 1785. 'I i 12 BOOK I. CH. II. §§ 1, 2. GROWTH OF ECONOMIC FREEDOM. 13 distributed their orders to a great number of small masters scattered over the country wherever there was water-power to be had; they themselves undertaking the risks of buying the raw material and selling the manufactured goods. It was only when steam-power began to displace water-power that the size of the factories increased rapidly. But, both in its earlier and its later forms, the new movement tended to release the bonds that had bound nearly everyone to live in the parish in which he was bom ; and it developed free markets. The working classes became more migratory, and more ac- customed to try to sell their labour in the best market, wherever it could be found, while the employers also ranged far a-field in their search for workers. § 2. Thus the new organization of industry added vastly to production ; but it was accompanied by some great evils. The new Which of these evils was unavoidable we cannot organization ^^jl. For just when the change was movinjj accompanied *' ^ ° by great evils, most quickly, England was stricken by a com- bination of calamities almost unparalleled in history. They were the cause of a great part — it is impossible to say of how great a part — of the sufterings that are commonly ascribed to the sudden outbreak of unrestrained competition. The loss of her great colonies was quickly followed by the great French war, which cost her more than the total value of the accu- mulated wealth she had at its commencement. An un- precedented series of bad harvests made bread fearfully dear. And worse than all, a method of administration of the poor law was adopted which undermined the independence and vigour of the people. The first part of this century therefore saw free enterprise establishing itself in England under unfavourable circum- stances, its evils being intensified, and its benefits being lessened by external misfortunes. The old trade customs and gild regulations were un- suitable to the new industry. In some places they were .->•■ i; abandoned by common consent: in others they were suc- cessfully upheld for a time. But it was a fatal ^^^^p^g ^o success; for the new industry, incapable of flourish- maintain old ing under the old bonds, left those places for *"^^" others where it could be more free. Then the workers turned to Government for the enforcement of old laws of Parliament prescribing the way in which the trade should be carried on, and even for the revival of the regulation of prices and wages by justices of the peace. These efforts could not but fail. The old regulations had been the expression of the social, moral and economic ideas of the time; they had been felt out rather than thought out; they were the almost instinctive result of the experience of venerations of men who had lived and died under almost unchanged economic conditions. In the new age changes came so rapidly that there was no time for this. Each man had to do what was right in his own eyes, with but little guidance from the experience of past times; those who en- deavoured to cling to old traditions were quickly supplanted. The new race of manufacturers consisted chiefly of those who had made their own fortunes, strong, ready, enterprising men: who, looking at the success obtained by their own energies, were apt to assume that the poor and the weak were to be blamed rather than to be pitied for their mis- fortunes. Impressed with the folly of those who tried to bolster up economic arrangements which the stream of pro- gress had undermined, they were apt to think that nothing more was wanted than to make competition perfectly free and let the strongest have their way. They glorified indi- vidualism, and were in no hurry to find a modern substitute for the social and industrial bonds which had kept men together in earlier times. Meanwhile misfortune had reduced the total net income of the people of England. In 1820 a tenth of it was absorbed in paying the mere interest on the National Debt. The goods 14 i; BOOK I. CH. II. § 2. GROWTH OF ECONOMIC FREEDOM. 15 ^ll that were cheapened by the new inventions were chiefly manu- inQuence of factured commodities of which the working man war, heavy ^^^^ j^^^ g^ smsAl consumcr : but the Corn-Laws taxes and dear- . i i i r j nessoffood. prevented him from getting cheaply the bread on which he often spent three-fourths of his little wages. He had to sell his labour in a market in whicli the forces of supply and demand would have given him a poor pittance even if they had worked freely. But he had not the full advantage of economic freedom; he had no efficient union with his fellows ; he had neither the knowledge of the market, nor the power of holding out for a reserve price, which the seller of commodities has, and he was urged on to work and to let his family work during long hours and under unhealthy conditions. This reacted on the efficiency of the working population, and therefore on the net value of their work, and therefore it kept down their wages. The employment of chil- dren during excessive hours began in the seventeenth century, and remained grievous till after the repeal of the corn laws. But after the workmen had recognized the folly of attempt- ing to revive the old rules regulating industry, there was no longer any wish to curtail the freedom of enterprise. The sufferings of the English people at their worst were never comparable to those which had been caused by the want of The new freedom in France before the Revolution ; and it EngiJ^rfrom ^^ argued that, had it not been for the strength French armies, which England derived from her new industries, she would probably have succumbed to a foreign military despotism, as the free cities had done before her. Small as her population was she at some times bore almost alone the burden of war against a conqueror in control of nearly all the re- sources of the Continent; and at other times subsidized larger, but poorer countries in the struggle against him. Rightly or wrongly, it was thought at the time that Europe might have fallen permanently under the dominion of France, as she had fallen in an earlier age under that of Rome, had not the free energy of English industries supplied the sinews of war against the common foe. Little was therefore heard in com- plaint against the excess of free enterprise, but much against that limitation of it which prevented Englishmen from obtain- in"»• capitalist employer, untrained to his new duties, was tempted to subordinate the wellbeing of his workpeople to his own desire for gain; now first are we learning the importance of insisting that the rich have duties as well as rights in their individual and in their collective capacity; now first is the economic problem of the new age showing itself to us as it really is. This is partly due to a wider knowledge and a growing earnestness. But however wise and virtuous our grandfathers had been, they could not have seen things as we do ; for they were hurried along by urgent necessities and terrible disasters. But we must judge ourselves by a severer standard. For we arc not now struggling for national existence ; and our resources have not been exhausted by great wars : on the con- 16 BOOK 1. CH. II. § 3. GROWTH OF ECONOMIC FREEDOM. 17 trary our powers of production have been immensely increased ; The nation ^T^d, what is at least as important, the repeal of is richer, and the Corn Laws and the growth of steam com- need not sacri- ... i i i i i ^ • j fice everything munication have enabled a largely increased to production, population to obtain sufficient supplies of food on easy terms. The average money income of the people has more than doubled ; while the price of almost all important commodities except animal food and house-room has fallen by one-half or even further. It is true that even now, if wealth were distributed equally, the total production of the country would only suffice to provide necessaries and the more urgent comforts for the people \ and that as things are, many have barely the necessaries of life. But the nation has grown in wealth, in health, in education and in morality ; and we are no longer compelled to subordinate almost every other consi- deration to the need of increasing the total produce of industry. In particular during the present generation this increased prosperity has made us rich and strong enough to impose new restraints on free enterprise; some temporary material loss being submitted to for the sake of a higher and greater ultimate gain. But these new restraints are different from the old. They are imposed not as a means of class domi- nation ; but with the purpose of defending the weak, and especially children and the mothers of children, in matters in which they are not able to use the forces of competition in their own defence. The aim is to devise, deliberately and promptly, remedies adapted to the quickly changing circum- .^tances of modern industry; and thus to obtain the good, ^ The average income per head in the United Kingdom which was about £15 in 1820 is about £37 now ; i.e. it has risen from about £75 to £185 per family of five ; and its purchasing-power in terms of commodities is nearly as great as that of £400 in 1820. There are not a few artisans' famiUes, the total earnings of which exceed £185, so that they would lose by an equal distribution of wealth : but even they have not more than is required to sui)port a healthy and many-sided life. I without the evil, of the old defence of the weak that in other ages was gradually evolved by custom. And by the aid of the telegraph and the jirinting-press, of representa- The influence tive government and trade associations, it is of the tele- possible for the people to think out for them- printing- selves the solution of their own problems. The P*"^^** growth of knowledge and self-reliance has given them that true self-controlling freedom, which enables them to impose of their own free will restraints on their own actions ; and the problems of collective production, collective ownership and collective consumption are entering on a new phase. Projects for great and sudden changes are now, as ever, foredoomed to fail, and to cause reaction. "We are still unable to move safely, if we move so fast that our new plans of life altogether outrun our instincts. It is true that human nature can be modified; new ideals, new opportunities and new methods of action may, as history shows, alter it very nmch even in a few generations. This change in human nature has perhaps never covered so wide an area and moved so fast as in the present generation. But still it is a growth, and therefore gradual ; and changes of our social organization must wait on it, and therefore they must be gradual too. But though they wait on it, they may always keep a little in advance of it, promoting the growth of our Movement higher social nature by giving it always some towards new and higher work to do, some practical ideal fofmrof coi- towards which to strive. Thus gradually we may ^«*=t*vism. attain to an order of social life, in which the common srood overrules individual caprice, even more than it did in the early ages before the sway of individualism had begun. But unselfishness then will be the offspring of deliberate will, though aided by instinct individual freedom then will develop itself in collective freedom; — a happy contrast to the old M. 2 u 18 BOOK I. CH. II. § 3. order of life, in which individual slavery to custom caused collective slavery and stagnation, broken only by the caprice of despotism or the caprice of revolution. We have been looking at this movement from the English point of view. But other nations are taking their share in it. America faces new practical difficulties with such intrepidity and directness that she is already contesting with England the leadership in economic affairs ; she supplies many of the most instructive instances of the latest economic tendencies of the age, such as the growing democracy of trade and industry, and the development of speculation and trade combination in every form, and she will probably before long take the chief part in pioneering the way for the rest of the world. Nor is Australia showing less signs of vigour than her elder sister ; she has in- deed some advantage over the United States in the greater homogeneity of her people. On the Continent the power of obtaining important results by free association is less than in English speaking countries ; and in consequence there is less resource and less thoroughness in dealing with industrial problems. But their treatment is not quite the same in any two nations : and there is something characteristic and instructive in the methods adopted by each of them ; particularly in relation to the sphere of governmental action. In this matter Germany is taking the lead. It has been a great gain to her that her manufacturing industries developed later than those of England ; and she has been able to profit by England's experience and to avoid many of her mistakes. 19 CHAPTER III. THE SCOPE OF ECONOMICS. § 1. Economics is a study of men as they live and move and think in the ordinary business of life. It is ^^^^ ^j^jg^ a study of real men, not of fictitious men, or motives of (( • )f -Tk J 'j • . tf 1 • n business life "economic men." But it concerns itself chiefly have a money with those motives which affect, most powerfully ™e*sure. and most steadily, man's conduct in the business part of his life. Everyone who is worth anything carries his higher nature with him into business ; and, there as elsewhere, he is influenced by his personal affections, by his conceptions of duty and his reverence for high ideals. But, for all that, the steadiest motive to business work is the desire for the pay which is the material reward of work. The pay may be on its way to be spent selfishly or unselfishly, for noble or base ends; and here the variety of human nature comes into play. But the motive is supplied by a definite amount of £. s. d. : and it is this definite and exact money measurement of the steadiest motives in business life, which has enabled economics far to outrun every other branch of the study of man. Just as the chemist's fine balance has made chemistry more exact than most other physical sciences ; so this economist's balance, rough and imperfect as it is, has made economics more exact than any other branch of social science. But of course economics cannot be compared with the exact physical sciences: for it deals with the ever changing and subtle forces of human nature. I ^ Economics follows the practice of ordinary discourse. BOOK I. CH. 111. Ill fact the economist only does in a more patient and thoughtful way, and with greater precautions, what everybody is always doing every day in ordinary life. He does not attempt to weigh the real value of the higher affections of our nature against those of our lower : he does not balance the love for virtue against the desire for agreeable food. He estimates the incentives to action by their effects just in the same way as people do in com- mon life. He follows the course of ordinary conversation, differing from it only in taking more precautions to make clear the limits of his knowledge as he goes. These precautions are laborious, and make some people think that economic reasonings are artificial. But the opposite is the fact. For he does but bring into promi- nence those assumptions and reservations, which everyone makes unconsciously every day. For instance, if we find a man in doubt whether to spend a few pence on a cigar, or a cup of tea, or on riding home instead of walking home, then we may follow ordinary usage, and say that he expects from them equal gratifications. Again if we find that the desires to secure either of two gratifications will induce men in similar circumstances each to do just an hour's extra work, or will induce men in the same rank of life and with the same means each to pay a shilling for it, we then may say that those gratifications are equal. Next suppose that the person, whom we saw doubting be- tween several little gratifications for himself, had thought after a while of a poor invalid whom he would pass on his way home, and had spent some time in making up his mind whether he would choose a physical gratification for himself, or would do a kindly act and rejoice in another's joy. As his desires turned now towards the one, now the other, there would be change in the quality of his mental states. But the economist treats them in the first instance merely as motives to action, which are shown to be evenly balanced, since they are ' THE SCOPE OF ECONOMICS. measured by the same sum of money. A study of these money values is only the starting-point of economics : but it is the starting-point. § 2. Again the desire to earn a shilling is a much stronger motive to a poor man with whom money is scarce than to a rich one. A rich man, in doubt whetlier to spend a sliilling on a single cigar, is weighing against one anotlier smaller pleasures than a poor man, who is doubting whether to spend a shilling on a supply of tobacco that will last him for a month. The clerk with £100 a year will walk to business in a heavier rain than the clerk with £300 a year ; for if the poorer man spends the money, he will suffer more from the want of it afterwards than the richer would. The gratification that is measured in the poorer man's mind by sixpence is greater than that measured by it in the richer man's mind. These difiiculties can however be avoided. For if we take averages sufficiently broad to cause the personal Allowance for peculiarities of individuals to counterbalance one the different * J.1- iU 1 • T_ ^ !> 1 • utilities of another, the money winch people of equal incomes money to rich will give to obtain a benefit or avoid an injury is *"'^ p®®*"- a sufficiently accurate measure of the benefit or the injury. If there are a thousand families living in Sheffield and another thousand in Leeds, each with about £100 a-year, and a tax of £1 is levied on all of them, we may be sure that the injury which the tax will cause in Sheffield is very nearly equal to that which it will cause in Leeds : and similarly anything that increased all the incomes by a £1 would give command over very nearly the same amount of additional happiness in the two towns. Thus "money" or "general purchasing power" or "com- mand over material wealth," is the centre around which economic science clusters ; this is so, not because money or material wealth is regarded as the main motives are aim of human effort, nor even as affording the "ot exclusively ' ^ selfish. mam subject-matter for the study of the economist, c 22 BOOK I. CH. III. § 2. but because in this world of ours it is the one convenient means of measuring human motive on a large scale ; and if the older economists hnd made this clear, they would have escaped many grievous misrepresentations. The splendid teachings of Carlyle and Ruskin as to the right aims of human endeavour and the right uses of wealth, would not then have been marred by bitter attacks on economics, based on the mistaken belief that that science had no concern with any motive except the selfish desire for wealth, or even that it inculcated a policy of sordid selfishness. 23 ► CHAPTER IV. ECONOMIC LAWS. § 1. Tins brings us to consider Economic Lmvs, Every cause has a tendency to produce some definite result if nothing occurs to hinder it. Thus ^wslffscience gravitation tends to make things fall to the are statements ground : but when a balloon is full of gas lighter than air, the pressure of the air will make it rise in spite of the tendency of gravitation to make it fall. The law of gravitation states how any two things attract one another; how they tend to move towards one another, and will move towards one another if nothing interferes to prevent them. The law of gravitation is therefore a statement of tendencies. It is a very exact statement — so exact that mathe- maticians can calculate a Nautical Almanac that _. The exact will show the moments at which each satellite laws of simple of Jupiter will hide itself behind Jupiter. They make this calculation for many years beforehand ; and navigators take it to sea, and use it in finding out where they are. Now there are no economic tendencies which act as steadily and can be measured as exactly as gravitation can : and consequently there are no laws of economics which can be compared for precision with the law of gravitation. § 2. Let us then look at a science less exact tlian astronomy. The science of the tides explains how the tide rises and falls twice a day under lawsofcom- the action of the sun and the moon : how there ^ ^* sciences, are strong tides at new and full moon, and weak tides at the 24 BOOK I. CH. IV. SS 2, 3. •J9J ' moon's first and third quarter ; and how the tide running up into a closed channel, like that of the Severn, will be very high; and so on. Thus, having studied the lie of the land and the water all round the British isles, people can calculate beforehand when the tide will jyrohably be at its highest on any day at London Bridge, or at Gloucester ; and how high it will be there. They have to use the word 'probably, which the astronomers do not need to use when talking about the eclipses of Jupiter's satellites. Why is that? The reason is that though many forces act upon Jupiter and his satellites, each one of them acts in a definite manner which can be predicted beforehand. But no-one knows enough about the weather to be able to say beforehand how it will act : and a heavy downpour of rain in the Thames valley or a strong north-east wind in the German Ocean may make the tides at London Bridge differ a good deal from what had been expected. § 3. The laws of economics are to be compared with the The science laws of the tides rather than with the simple and exact law of gravitation. For the actions of men are so various and uncertain, that the best statement of tendencies that we can make in a science of human conduct, must needs be inexact and faulty. This might be urged as a reason against making any state- ments at all on the subject ; but to do that would be almost to abandon life. Life is human conduct and the thoughts that grow up around it. By the fundamental impulses of our nature we all — high and low, learned and unlearned — are in our several degrees constantly striving to understand the courses of human action, and to shape them for our purposes whether selfish or unselfish, whether noble or ignoble. And since we 7)iu8t form to ourselves some notions of the tendencies of human action, our choice is between forming those notions carelessly and forming them carefully. The harder the task, the greater the need for steady patient inquiry; for turning to of man is complex and its laws are inexact. ECONOMIC LAWS. 25 account the experience that has been reaped by the more advanced physical sciences ; and for framing as best we can well thought-out estimates, or provisional laws, of the tendencies of human action. § 4. Our plan of work is then this : — We study the actions of individuals, but study them in relation to social life. We take as little notice as possible of individual peculiarities of temper and character, rggarded^a^^ We watch the conduct of a whole class of member of an people — sometimes the whole of a nation, some- group, times only those living in a certain district, more often those engaged in some particular trade at some time and place : and by the aid of statistics, or in other ways, we ascertain how much money on the average the members of the particular group we are watching, are just willing to pay as the price of a certain thing which they desire, or how much must be offered to them to induce them to undergo a certain effort or abstinence that they dislike. The measurement of motive thus obtained is not indeed perfectly accurate ; for if it were, economics would rank with the most advanced of the physical sciences; and not, as it actually does, with the least advanced. But yet the measurement is accurate enough to enable experienced persons to forecast fairly well the extent of the results that will follow from changes in which motives of this kind are chiefly concerned. Thus, for instance, they can estimate very closely the payment that will be required to produce an adequate supply of labour of any grade, from the lowest to the highest, for a new trade which it is proposed to start in any place. And, when they visit a factory of a kind that they have never seen before, they can tell within a shilling or two a week what any particular worker is earning, by merely observing how far his is a skilled occupation and what strain it involves on his physical, mental and moral faculties. 26 BOOK I. CH. IV. 4, 5. ECONOMIC LAWS. 27 Economists deal mainly ^th one side of life but not the life of a fie titious being. And, starting from simple considerations of this kind, they can go on to analyse the causes which govern the local distribution of different kinds of industry, the terms on which people living in distant places exchange their goods with one another, and so on. They can explain and predict the ways in which fluctuations of credit will affect foreign trade, or again the extent to which the burden of a tax will be shifted from those on w^hom it is levied on to those for whose wants they cater, and so on. In all this economists deal with man as he is : not with an abstract or " economic " man ; but a man of flesh and blood ; one who shapes his business life to a great extent with reference to egoistic motives ; but also one who is not above the frailties of vanity or reck- lessness, and not below the delight of doing his work well for its own sake ; who is not below the delight of sacrificing himself for the good of his family, his neighbours, or his country, nor below the love of a virtuous life for its own sake. § 5. Thus then a law of social science, or a Social Law, is a statement of social tendencies ; that is, a ' law ' ' social ' Statement that a certain course of action may be expected under certain conditions from the members of a social group. Economic laws, or statements of economic tendencies, are and 'econo- social laws relating to branches of conduct in mic' which the strength of the motives chiefly con- cerned can be measured by a money price. Corresponding to the substantive " law " is the adjective " legal." But this term is used in connection with " law " in the sense of an ordinance of government ; not in connec- tion with scientific laws of relation between cause and effect. The adjective used for this purpose is derived from "norma," a term which is nearly equivalent to " law " ; and we say that the coui-se of action which may bo expected under t \^ } % certain conditions from the members of an industrial group is the normal action of the members of that Normal group relatively to those conditions. action. Normal action is not always morally right; very often it is action which we should use our utmost efforts to stop. For instance, the normal condition of many of the very poorest inhabitants of a large town is to be devoid of enterprise, and unwilling to avail themselves of the oppor- tunities that may offer for a healthier and less squalid life elsewhere ; they have not the strength, physical, mental and moral, required for working their way out of their miser- able surroundings. The existence of a considerable supply of labour ready to make match-boxes at a very low rate is normal in the same way that a contortion of the limbs is a normal result of taking strychnine. It is one result, a deplorable result, of the action of those laws which we have to study. The earlier English economists paid almost exclusive at- tention to the motives of individual action. But it must not be forgotten that economists, i^c°ite*act°ion! like all other students of social science, are concerned with individuals chiefly as members of the social organism. As a cathedral is something more than the stones of which it is built, as a person is something more than a series of thoughts and feelings, so the life of society is some- thing more than the sum of the lives of its individual members. It is true that the action of the whole is made up of that of its constituent parts ; and that in most economic problems the best starting-point is to be found in the motives that affect the individual, regarded not indeed as an isolated atom, but as a member of some particular trade or industrial group ; but it is also true, as German writers have well urged, that economics has a great and an increasing concern in motives connected with the collective ownership of property and the collective pursuit of important aims. Many new kinds of voluntary 28 BOOK I. CH. IV. § 5. 29 association are growing up under the influence of other motives besides that of pecuniary gain ; and the Co-operative movement in particular is opening to the economist new opportunities of measuring motives whose action it had seemed impossible to reduce to any sort of law\ 1 For a coutiimatioii of this subject see Appendix A on Methods of Study. •t r^ I H CHAPTER V. SURVEY OF THE WORK TO BE DONE. § 1. The laws, or statements of tendency, with which we shall be chiefly concerned in this volume, are Tendencies those relating to man's Wants and their satisfac- -3*-die'Jj7_vi tion, to the Demand for wealth audits Consump- tion (Book III) ; to its Production, especially under the modern organization of industry (Book IV) ; to some of those general relations between the demand for a thing, and the difticulty of providing a supply of it which govern Value (Book V) ; and (Book VI) to Exchange in relation to the Distribution of the income of the nation between those who work with their heads or hands, those who store up capital to provide machinery and other things that will make labour more efficient, and landowners ; or which is nearly the same thing the broad features of the problem of wages, profits and rent. The present volume deals mainly with the Economics of Industry. A later volume will deal with the Economics of Trade and Finance. It will discuss systems of money, credit and banking; the organization of markets, the relation between wholesale and retail prices ; foreign trade ; taxes and other ways and means of collective action ; and lastly public responsibilities and the general functions of collective action in economic affairs, whether through the Government, through the form of opinion, or through voluntary co-operation. § 2. Economics is thus taken to mean a study of the economic aspects and conditions of man's political, social and I 30 BOOK I. CH. V. § 2. Aims of the economist. private life ; but more especially of his social life. The aims of the study are to gain knowledge for its own sake, and to obtain guidance in the practical conduct of life, and especially of social life ; the need for such guidance was never so urgent as now. It would indeed be a mistake to be always thinking His first duty ^^ ^^® practical purposes of our work, and isjo^discover planning it out with direct reference to them. For by so doing we are tempted to break off each line of thought as soon as it ceases to have immediate bearing on that particular aim which we have in view at the time : the direct pursuit of practical aims leads us to group together bits of all sorts of knowledge, which have no connection with one another except for the immediate purposes of the moment, and throw but little light on one another. Our mental energy is spent in going from one to another ; nothing is thoroughly thought out ; no real progress is made. The grouping, therefore, which is best for the purposes of science is thait which collects together all those facts and reasonings which are similar to one another in nature : so that the study of each may throw light on its neighbour. And yet it may be well to have before us at starting Butthedirec- ^^™® tolerably clear notion of the practical seTrch ari' problems which supply the chief motive to the indicated by study of the modern economist. Many of them prfbrems.""*' ^^ "^""^ ^^^ ^"^^^ ^i^^i^ ^^e range of his science, and none of them can ))e fully answered by mere science : the ultimate resolve must always lie with conscience and common sense. But the following are some of the chief issues which are of special urgency in England in our own generation, and to which economics can contribute some important material of carefully arranged facts and well con- sidered arguments : — How should we act so as to increase the good and diminish ^ i SURVEY OF THE WORK TO BE DONE. 31 the evil influences of economic freedom, both in its ultimate results and in the course of its progress 1 If the first are good and the latter evil, but those who suffer the evil do not reap the good, how far is it right that they should suffer for the benefit of others ? Taking it for granted that a more equal distribution of wealth is to be desired, how far would this justify changes in the institutions of property, or limitations of free enterprise even when they would be likely to diminish the aggregate of wealth ? In other words, how far should an increase in the income of the poorer classes and a diminution of their work be aimed at, even if it involved some lessening of national material wealth 1 How far could this be done without in- justice, and without slackening the energies of the leaders of progress? How ought the burdens of taxation to be distributed among the different classes of society? Ought we to rest content with the existing forms of division of labour? Is it necessary that large numbers of the people should be exclusively occupied with work that has no elevating character ? Is it possible to educate gradually among the great mass of workers a new capacity for the higher kinds of work; and in particular for undertaking co-operatively the management of the businesses in which they are themselves employed ? What are the proper relations of individual and collective action in a stage of civilization such as ours ? How far ought voluntary association in its various forn)s, old and new, to be left to supply collective action for those purposes for which such action has special advantages? What business affairs should be undertaken by society itself acting through its Government, imperial or local? Have we, for instance, carried as far as we should the plan of collective ownership and use of open spaces, of works of art, of the means of instruction and amusement, as well as of those material re- quisites of a civilized life, the supply of which requires united action, such as gas and water, and railways ? 32 BOOK I. CH. V. 2. When Government does not itself directly intervene, how far should it allow individuals and corporations to conduct their own ali'airs as they please ? How far should it regulate the management of railways and other concerns which are to some extent in a position of monopoly, and again of land and other things the quantity of which cannot be increased by man 1 Is it necessary to retain in their full force all the existing rights of property ; or have the original necessities for which they were meant to i)rovide, in some measure passed away ? Are the prevailing methods of using wealth entirely justifiable ] What scope is there for the moral pressure of social opinion in constraining and directing individual action in those economic relations in which the rigidity and violence of Government interference would be likely to do more harm than good ? In what respect do the duties of one nation to another in economic matters differ from those of members of the same nation to one another ? V 33 BOOK II. SOME FUNDAMENTAL NOTIONS. CHAPTER I. INTRODUCTORY. § 1. Since Economics is the study of man's actions in the ordinary affairs of life, it needs to borrow more than other sciences do from common experience. ?JSon7n°' Its reasonings must therefore be expressed in ^'^^"o'nics. language that is intelligible to the general public; it must endeavour to conform itself to the familiar terms of every- day life, and, so far as possible, to use them as they are com- monly used. But unfortunately almost every word in common use has several shades of meaning, and therefore needs te be mterpreted by the context. Economists must take as- the standard use of their words, that which seems most in harmony with every day usage in the market place: and they must add a little special interpretation wherever it IS necessary. For by this means only can they say exactly what they want to say without perplexing the general reader. 3 \ 34 CHAPTER IL WEALTH. § 1. Our difficulties begin at once. "Wealth" is really the same word as well-being : but in its common use it means only material possessions of different kinds. Further "a wealthy man" is a person who has a great deal of wealth: and so economists have sometimes been blamed for speaking of the "wealth" of the labourer. It is argued that as he is not wealthy, he cannot properly be said to possess wealth. But this objection must be set aside : and we must persist in saying that the cottager's furniture, and other household goods constitute his little stock of wealth. This word "goods" is a useful one. A man's goods are commonly understood to be his material posses- sions. But the word is often used more broadly ; as when we say it is a great good to a man to be able to find recreation in reading or music after his day's work is done. This use of the word has been adopted by economists of other countries : it is practically very convenient ; and it is suffi- ciently in accordance with popular usage in this country for us to adhere to it. Thus then Goods are all desirable things, all things that satisfy human wants. All wealth consists of things that satisfy wants, directly or indirectly. All wealth therefore consists of desirable things or " goods " ; but not all goods are reckoned as wealth. The affection of friends, for instance, is a very important element of well-being, but it is not ever reckoned as wealth, except by WEALTH. 35 a poetic licence. Let us begin by classifying goods, and then consider which of them should be accounted as elements of wealth. Desirable things are Material, or Personal and Non- material. Material goods consist of useful r^, c . . 1 /. 1 t.lassincation material things, and of all rights to hold, or of goods. use, or derive benefits from material things, or to receive them at a future time. Thus they include the physical gifts of nature, land and water, air and climate; the products of agriculture, mining, fishing, and manufacture; buildings, machinery, and imple- ments; mortgages and other bonds; shares in public and private companies, all kinds of monopolies, patent-rights, copyrights; also rights of way and other rights of usage. Lastly, opportunities of travel, access to good scenery, museums, ike, ought, strictly speaking, to be reckoned under this head. A man's non-material goods fall into two classes. One consists of his own qualities and faculties for action and for enjoyment; such for instance as that faculty of deriving recreation from reading or music, to which we have just referred. All these lie within himself and are called m- temal. The second class are called external because they consist of relations beneficial to him with other people. Such, for instance, were the labour dues and personal services of various kinds which the ruling classes used to require from their serfs and other dependents. But these have passed away ; and the chief instances of such relations beneficial to their owner now-a-days are to be found in the good will and business connection of traders and professional men. Again, goods may be transferable or non-transferable. Every thing that can be bought or sold is of course transferable. But a person's " internal " faculties for action and enjoyment are non-transferable. A successful tradesman or medical prac- titioner may sell the goodwill of his business. But at first, at all events, the business will not be as good to the new comer 3—2 36 BOOK II. CII. II. §§ 1, 2, 3. as it was to him; because part of his business connection depended on personal trust in him; and that was non- transferable. Those goods &.tq free^ which are not appropriated and are afforded by Nature without requiring the effort of man. The land in its original state was a free gift of nature. But in settled countries it is not a free good from the point of view of the individual. Wood is still free in some Brazilian forests : the iisli of the sea are free generally : but some sea fisheries are jealously guarded for the exclusive use of members of a certain nation, and may be classed as national property. Oyster beds that have been planted by man are not free in any sense. Those that have grown naturally are free in every sense if they are not appropriated : if they are private property, they are still free gifts from the point of view of the nation ; but, since the nation has allowed its rights in them to become vested in individuals, they are not free from the point of view of the individual; and the same is true of private rights of fishing in rivers. The wheat grown on free land and the fish caught in free fisheries are not free; for they have been acquired by labour. § 2. When a man's wealth is spoken of simply, and with- out any interpretation clause in the context, it is to be taken to consist of two classes of goods. In the first class are those material goods to which he has (by lav/ or custom) private rights of property. These include not only such things as land and houses, furniture and machinery, and other material things which may be in his single private ownership ; but also any shares in public companies, bonds, mortgages and other obligations which he may hold requiring others to pay money to him. On the other hand, the debts which he owes to others may be regarded as negative wealth ; and they must be subtracted from his total posses- sions before his true Net wealth can be found. It is perhaps hardly necessary to say that services and other goods, which WEALTH. 37 pass out of existence in the same instant that they come into it, do not contribute to the stock of wealth, and may therefore l)e left out of our account. In the second class are those of his non-material goods which are external to him, and serve directly as the means of enabling him to acquire material goods. Thus it excludes all his own personal qualities and faculties, even those which enable him to earn a living. But it includes his business or professional practice, and especially that "goodwill," which can be transferred by sale to a new comer. It is^rue that, pursuing the lines indicated by Adam Smith and followed by most continental economists, we might define Personal Wealth so as to include P«*"sonai all those energies, faculties, and habits which directly contribute to making people industrially efficient. But confusion would be caused by using the term " wealth " simply when we desire to include a person's industrial qualities. For this purpose it will be best to use the more explicit phrase "material and personal wealth." "Wealth" simply should always mean external wealth only. § 3. We have still to take account of those of a man's goods which are common to him with his neighbours; and which there- fore it would be a needless trouble to mention when comparing his wealth with theirs. But these goods may be important for some purposes, and especially for comparisons between the economic conditions of distant places or distant times. They consist of the benefits which he derives from being a member of a certain State or community. They include civil and military security, and the right and opportunity to make use of public property and institutions of all kinds, such as roads and gaslight ; and they include rights to justice or to a free education, "ed. individual capital. But when regarding capital from the social point of view it is best to put under separate heads those of the nation's resources which were made by man, and those which were not; and to separate the capital which is the result of labour and saving from those things which nature has given freely. This plan is well adapted for the main purposes of the economist. For indeed his chief concern with capital in general, or social capital, is when he is considering the way in which the three agents of production, land {i.e. natural agents), labour and capital, contribute to producing the national income (or the National Dividend, as it will be called later on) ; and the way in which this is distributed among the three agents. This fact points further to the convenience of keeping up a close relation between our uses of the terms Capital and Income from the point of view of society as we did from tliat of the individual. But of course income is now to be treated more broadly and not strictly limited to that which takes the form of money. All wealth is designed to yield what in pure theory may be called an In-come of benefit or gain in some form or other ; and the language of the market-place, while refusing to admit so broad a use of the term Income as that, commonly includes a certain number of forms of income,, other than money income. This use is exemplified in the rules of the income-tax commissioners, who count in everything which is commonly treated in a business fashion ; even though it may happen, like a dwelling-house inhabited by its owner, to yield its income of comfort directly. That is done partly because of 48 BOOK 11. CH. IV. 5§ 2, 3. CAPITAL. INCOME. 49 ^>\ the practical importance of house-room, and partly because the real income from it can easily be separated off and esti- mated. In the present treatise therefore, capital in general, i.e. capital regarded from the social point of view, will be taken to consist of those kinds of wealth, other than the free gifts of nature, which yield income that is generally reckoned as such in common discourse: together with similar things in public ownership, such as government factories. Thus it will include all things held for trade purposes, whether machinery, raw material or finished goods ; theatres and hotels, home farms and houses: but not furniture or clothes owned by those who use them. For the former are, and the latter are not commonly regarded by the world at large as yielding income. 3. It is troublesome to have to use the word Capital in two senses so different as those of the two preceding sections. But it cannot be helped. The use of the word to mean Trade-capital is well adapted for many purposes of economic inquiry, as well as for the practical needs of business. And it is so firmly established in the market-place that there would be no wisdom in an attempt to dislodge it. But the second use of the word to mean "Social capital" is equally necessary in its place. That use, or one differing from it only in small matters of detail, has been the chief use of the term in their most important discussions by the economists of all countries from the dawnings of economic science till now. And it is very often used by business men and states- men in broad discussions of public well-being; so it also is indispensable. In ordinary conversation people are apt to pass from one use of the word to the other, without noticing the change. This causes confusion, which can sometimes be set right at once, by someone's breaking in and asking "are you speaking' Relation between different uses of the term Capital. i I ( of capital in a broader sense than before," or "in a narrower sense" as the case may be. But the economist cannot afford to run the risk of confusions of this kind. He must always make quite sure that he knows what he means himself ; and he must not trust to someone's interrupting him and asking him to explain himself. And this makes it seem as though he were introducing new difiiculties that are not met with in common conversation. But that is not the case. He does not make new difficulties. He merely brings into prominence some that are latent in every day discourse. The trouble of examin- ing them in a good light is worth what it costs ; for it saves constant confusion of thought. Finally it should be remarked that though there is no perfectly clear and consistent tradition as to the verbal defini- tion of capital ; there is a clear tradition that we should use the term Wealth in preference to Capital when our attention is directed to the relations in which the stock of useful things stands to general well-being, to methods of consumption, and to pleasures of possession : and that we should use the term Capital when our attention is directed to those attributes of productiveness and prospectiveness, which attach to all the stored-up fruits of human effort, but are more prominent in some than in others. We should speak of Capital when con- sidering things as agents of production ; and we should speak of Wealth when considering them as results of production, as subjects of consumption and as yielding pleasures of possession ^ 1 These differences of opiuion among economists as to the best definition of capital seem very confusing. But they are of much less importance practically than appears at first sight. For instance, whatever definition of capital be taken, it is true that a general increase of capital augments the demand for labour and raises wages : and, whatever definition be taken, it is not tnie that all kinds of capital act with equal force in this direction, or that it is possible to say how great an effect any given increase in the total amount of capital will have in raising wages, without specially inquiring as to the particular form which the mcrease has taken. This inquiry is the really important part of the work : it has to be made, and it is made by all careful writers in very much the same manner, and it comes to the same result, whatever be the definition of capital with which we have started. ! 1 i!.: 1 ! , 50 BOOK II. CH. IV. ^ 4, 5, G. § 4. Capital has been classed as conmwiption capital^ and auxiliary or instrumental capital. It seems necessary to retain this distinction because it is often used. But it is not a good one : no clear line of division can be drawn between the two classes. The general notion of the distinction which the terms are designed to suggest, can however be gathered from the following approximate definitions. Co7isumptio7i capital consists of goods in a form to satisfy Consumption Wants directly ; that is, goods which afford a direct capital. sustenance to the workers, such as food, clothes, house-room, &c. Auxiliary J or instrumental^ capital is so called because Auxiliary it consists of all the goods that aid labour in capital. production. Under this head come tools, machines, factories, railways, docks, ships, A^ants are progressive CHAPTER II WANTS IN RELATION TO ACTIVITIES. § 1. Human wants and desires are countless in number and very various in kind. The uncivilized man indeed has not many more needs than the brute animal j but every step in his progress upwards increases the variety of them together with the variety in his method of satisfying them. Thus though the brute and the savage alike have their preferences for choice morsels, neither of them cares much for change for its own sake. As, however, man rises in civilization, as his mind becomes developed, and even hi^ animal passions begin to associate themselves with mental activities, his wants become rapidly more subtle and more various; and in the minor details of life he begins to desire change for the sake of change, long before he has con- sciously escaped from the yoke of custom. The first great step in this direction comes with the art of making a fire : gradually he gets to accustom himself to many different kinds of food and drink cooked in many different ways : and before long, monotony begins to become irksome to him ; and he finds it a great hardship when accident compels him to live for a long time exclusively on one or two kinds of food. As a man's riches increase his food and drink become more various and costly; but his appetite is limited by nature, and when his expenditure on food is extravagant it is more often to gratify the desires of hospitality and display than to indulge his own senses. Desire for food; WANTS IN RELATION TO ACTIVITIES. 57 I » But, as Senior says : — " Strong as is the desire for variety, it is weak compared with the desire for distinc- fQ^^jjgti„(.tij,n. tion: a feeling which if we consider its univer- sality and its constancy, that it affects all men and at all times, that it comes with us from the cradle and never leaves us till we go into the grave, may be pronounced to be the most powerful of human passions." This great half-truth is well illustrated by a comparison of the desire for choice and various food with that for choice and various dress. § 2. That need for dress which is the result of natural causes varies with the climate and the season of year, and a little with the nature of a person's ^^^^^J"*" "'^^^ occupations. But in dress conventional wants overshadow those which are natural. For instance in England now a well-to-do labourer is expected to appear on Sunday in a black coat and, in some places, in a silk hat ; though these would have subjected him to ridicule but a short time ago; and in all the lower ranks of life there is a constant increase both in that variety and expensiveness which custom requires as a minimum, and in that which it tolerates as a maximum ; and the efforts to obtain distinction by dress are extending themselves throughout the lower grades of English Society. But in the upper grades, though the dress of women is still various and costly, that of men is simple and inexpensive as compared with what it was in Europe not long ago, and is to-day in the East. For those men who are most truly dis- tinguished on their own account, have a natural dislike to seem to claim attention by their dress; and they have set the fashion \ 1 A woman may display wealth, but she may not display only her wealth, by her dress; or else she defeats her ends. She must also suggest some dis- tinction of character as well as of wealth : for though her dress may owe more to her dressmaker than to herself, yet there is a traditional assumption that, being less busy than man with external affairs, she can give more time to taking thought as to her dress. Even under the sway of modem fashions, to be "well dressed" — not "expensively dressed" — is a, reasonable minor aim 58 BOOK III. CH. IT. § 3. House-room satisfies tlie imperative need for shelter from the weather : but that need plays very little House-room. . . r j j part in the effective demand for house-room. For though a small but well-built cabin gives excellent shelter, its stifling atmosphere, its necessary uncleanliness, and its want of the decencies and the quiet of life are great evils. It is not so nmch that they cause physical discomfort as that they tend to stunt the faculties, and limit people's higher activities. With eveiy increase in these activities the demand for larger house- room becomes more urgent'. And therefore relatively large and well appointed house- room is, even in the lowest social ranks, at once a " necessary for efficiency*," and the most convenient and obvious way of advancing a material claim to social distinction. And even in those grades in which everyone has house-room sufficient for the higher activities of himself and his family, a yet further and almost unlimited increase is desired as a requisite for the exercise of many of the higher social activities. § 4. It is again the desire for the exercise and develop- ment of activities, spreading through every rank develop activi- of Society, which leads not only to the pursuit of science, literature and art for their own sake, but to the rapidly increasing demand for the work of those who pursue them as professions. This is one of the most marked characteristics of our age j and the same may be said of the growing desire for those amusements, such as athletic games for those who desire to be distiuguished for their faculties and abilities ; and this will be still more the ease if the evil dominion of the wanton vagaries of fashion should pass away. For to arrange costumes beautiful in themselves, various and well-adapted to their purposes is an object worthy of high en- deavour ; it belongs to the same class, though not to the same rank in that class, as the painting of a good picture. 1 It is true that many active muided working men prefer cramped lodghigs in a town to a roomy cottage in the country ; but that is because they have a strong taste for those activities for which a country life offers little scope. •^ See above Book II. ch. in. § 3. WANTS IN RELATION TO ACTIVITIES. 59 ' *> and travelling, which develop activities, rather than indulge any sensuous craving ^ For indeed the desire for excellence for its own sake, is almost as wide in its range as the lower desire Desire for for distinction. As that graduates down from excellence, the ambition of those who may hope that their names will be in men's mouths in distant lands and in distant times, to the hope of the country lass that the new ribbon she puts on for Easter may not pass unnoticed by her neighbours; so the desire for excellence for its own sake graduates down from that of a Newton, or a Stradivarius, to that of the fisherman who, even when no one is looking and he is not in a hurry, delights in handling his craft well, and in the fact that she is well built and responds promptly to his guidance. Desires of this kind exert a great influence on the Supply of the highest faculties and the greatest inventions; and they are not unimportant on the side of Demand. For a large part of the demand for the most highly skilled professional services and the best work of the mechanical artisan, arises from the delight that people have in the training of their own faculties, and in exercising them by aid of the most delicately ad- justed and responsive implements. Speaking broadly therefore, although it is man's wants in the earliest stages of his development that . 1 . , . . . . /, , Relation of give rise to his activities, yet afterwards each Wants to new step upwards is to be regarded rather as Activities, the development of new activities giving rise to Qew wants, than that of new wants giving rise to new activities. We see this clearly if we look away from healthy con- ditions of life, where new activities are constantly being developed, and watch the West Indian negro using his new 1 As a minor pomt it may be noticed that those drinks which stunulate the mental activities are largely displacing those which merely gratify the senses. The consumption of tea is increasing very fast while that of alcohol is station- ary ; and there is in all ranks of society a diminishing demand for the grosser and more unmediately stupefying forms of alcohol. 60 BOOK III. CH. II. § 4. freedom and wealth not to get the means of satisfying new wants, but in idle stagnation that is not rest ; or again look at that rapidly lessening part of the English working classes, who have no ambition and no pride or delight in the growth of their faculties and activities, and spend on drink whatever surplus their wages afford over the bare necessaries of a squalid life. "f ^> 61 CHAPTER III GRADATIONS OF DExMAND. § 1. The terms Utility and Want are closely related. The utility of a thing to a person is measured The term by the extent to which it satisfies his wants at utility, the time. And wants are here reckoned simply with regard to their volume and intensity. If judged by an ethical or prudential standard, solid food may be more useful than whiskey of equal price, and warm underclothing than a new evening dress. But if a person prefers the whiskey or the evening dress, then it satisfies the greater want, it has the greater "utility," for him or her. No doubt this use of the term Utility might mislead those not accustomed to it ; but that seldom occurs in practice. We have just seen that each several want is limited, and that with every increase in the amount of a The law of thing which a man has, the eagerness of his satiable "wsints of desire to obtain more diminishes ; until it yields diminishing place to the desire for some other thing, of "*'^»*y- which perhaps he hardly thought so long as his more urgent wants were still unsatisfied. Everyone says now and then to himself — I have had so much of this that I do not care to buy any more. If it were cheaper I might buy a little more ; but I do not care enough for it to buy more at a price as high as is charged for it. In other words, the additional benefit which a person derives from a given increase of his stock of anything, diminishes with the growth of the stock that he already has. This statement of a fundamental tendency of I 62 BOOK III. CH. III. 1, 2. Total utility. human nature may be called the law of satiable wants or of diminishing utility. Suppose, for instance, that tea of a certain quality is to be had at 2s. per lb. A person might be willing to give 10s. for a single pound once a year rather than go without it altogether; while if he could have any amount of it for nothing he would perhaps not care to use more than 30 lbs. in the year. But as it is, he buys perhaps 10 lbs. in the year; that is to say, the difference between the satisfaction which he gets from buying 9 lbs. and 10 lbs. is enough for him to be willing to pay 2s. for it : while the fact that he does not buy an eleventh pound, shows that he does not think that it would be worth an extra 2s. to him. Such facts as these come within the daily experience of everybody. They illustrate the rule that the total utility of a thing to any one (that is, the total satisfaction or benefit it yields him) generally increases with every increase in his stock of it; but yet does not increase as fast as his stock increases. If a number of equal additions be made to his stock, one after another, the additional benefit which he derives from any one will be less than from the previous one. In other words, if his stock of it increases at a uniform rate, the benefit which he derives from it increases at a diminishing rate. To return to our purchaser of tea. The market price of 2s. a pound measures the utility to him of the tea which lies at the margin, or terminus or end of his purchases ; and this introduces us to one of those few technical terms which are indispensable ; because the notions which they express are ever recurring in the business of life ; while yet there are no words in ordinary use which represent them well. We may call that part of the commodity which a person Marginal ^^ Only just induced to purchase his marginal purchase. purchase ; because he is on the margin of doubt whether it is worth his while to incur the outlay required GRADATIONS OF DEMAND. 63 to obtain it. And the utility of his marginal purchase may be called the tnarginal utility of the commodity Marginal to him. Or, if instead of buying it, he makes "tJiity- the thing himself, then its marginal utility is the utility of that part which he thinks it only just worth his while to make. If the price which a purchaser of tea is just willing to pay for any pound be called his demand price^ Marginal then 2s. is his marginal demand />rice. And de*"and price, our law may be worded : — The larger the amount of a thing that a person has, the less will, other things being equal, be the price which he will pay for a little more of it : or, in other words, the less will be his marginal demand for it. The condition "other things being equal " must not be allowed to drop out of sight. If, for instance, his income were suddenly increased, he would be likely to buy more of a thing, even though he had a good stock of it already. § 2. Next we have to take account of the fact that, as people say, " a shilling is worth much more to „^ '' . ° . , The marginal a poor man than to a rich one." We have utility of already^ noticed, for instance, that a clerk with "^°"eyva"«s. £100 a-year will walk to his business in a much heavier rain than the clerk with £300 a-year; for a threepenny omnibus fare measures a greater benefit, or utility to the poorer man than to the richer. If the poorer man spends the money, he will suffer more from the want of it afterwards than the richer would. The benefit that is measured in the poorer man's mind by threepence, is greater than that measured by it in the richer man's mind. If the richer man rides a hundred times in tlie year and the poorer man twenty times, then the benefit of the hundredth ride which the richer man is only just induced to take is measured to him by threepence ; and the benefit of the twentieth ride which the poorer man 1 Book I. Ch. III. § 1. I 64 BOOK III. CH. III. 2, 3. GRADATIONS OF DEMAND. 65 It is only just induced to take is measured to him by threepence. For each of them the marginal benefit or utility is measured by threepence ; but it is greater in the case of the poorer man than in that of the richer. So when tea, sold at '2s. a pound, is drunk by different people some of whom are richer than others, then 2*'. a pound will measure the utility, or benefit, to each one of them of the tea that lies at the margin or terminus or end of his or her purchases. But while one will drink twenty pounds a year, another will make shift with six ; and the benefit of the marginal purchase will be much greater to the latter than to the former. If the price of this kind of tea fell to Is. 8c?., a poor person who was enabled to buy an extra seventh pound of it, would derive more benefit from the change than a richer one would from adding another pound, or perhaps even another two or three pounds to his or her already large consumption. Thus we may say generally that every increase in a person's resources increases the price which he is willing to pay for any given benefit. And in the same way every diminution of his resources diminishes the price that he is willing to pay for any benefit. To obtain complete knowledge of a person's demand for anything, we should have to ascertain how much A person s j m ^ ^ £> Demand for of it he would be willing to purchase at each of anything. ^^^ ^^^^^^ ^^ ^j^j^j^ -^ j^ j^j^^j^ ^^ ^ offered. Thus for instance we may find that he would buy 6 lbs. at 50(1 per lb. 10 lbs. at 2id. per lb. 7 „ 40 „ 11 „ 21 8 „ 33 „ 12 „ 19 9 „ 28 „ 13 „ 17 If corresponding prices were filled in for all intermediate amounts we should have an exact statement of his demand, and the complete list may be called his demand schedule^. 1 "We may here introduce the first of a series of simple dia^ams desipfiied to illustrate economic theory. Thone tvho wish may omit the whole sencs; for the >> ji j> 9 § 3. When we say that a person's demand for anything increases, we mean that he will buy moixi of it than he would before at the same price, and that he will buy as much of it as before at a higher price. Tliat is to say, a general increase in his demand is an increase throughout the whole list of prices at , , . , , . .„. ^ Increase in a which he is willing to purchase different amounts person's of it ; and not merely that he is willing to buy *^^™^"'^- more of it at the current priced reasoning in the text is always complete in itself and does not depend on them. They do but express familiar facts in a new language which is terse and precise, and will be found helpful by those readers who are inclined towards it. Such a demand schedule may be translated, on a plan now coming into familiar use, into a curve that may be called his demand curve. Let Ox and Oil be drawn the one horizontally, the other vertically. Let an inch measured along Ox represent 10 lb. of tea, and au inch measui-ed along Oy represent ^Oil. y Tenths of an inch. Fortieths of au inch. Take Om , = 6, and draw m ip, = 50 0/«2 = 7 Oma = 8 0/rt5 = l-0 Ome = 11 Onij = 12. 0^8 = 13 V1.2P2 = 40 w?42^4 = 28 mj2)j = ld })'aPa = n \ Pi \ p, F'e. (1). K p» Pi \Pi> Pe Pr Ps •o to c~ S S S: WJ, bemg on Ox and viijh being di-awn vertically from m,; and so for the others. Then jhJh Pa are points on his Demand Curve for tea ; or as wo may say Demand Points. If we could find demand points in the same manner for every possible quantity of tea we should get the whole continuous curve 1)1/ as shown in the figure. 1 Geometrically it is represented by raisuig his demand curve, or, what comes to the same thing, moving it to the right, with perhaps some modifica- tion of its shape; or hi other words by raising his demand schedule. For some discussion of the uses of the term Demand by Mill and Cairnes, see Principles III. iii. 4. i So far we have looked at the demand of a single Demand of a individual. And in the particular case of such a market. thing as tea, the demand of a single person is fairly representative of the general demand of a whole market : for the demand for tea is a constant one ; and, since it can be purchased in small quantities, every variation in its price is likely to affect the amount which he will buy. But even among those things which are in constant use, there are many for which the demand on the part of any single in- dividual cannot vary continuously with every small change in price, but can move only by great leaps. For instance, a small fall in the price of hats or watches will not affect the action of everyone, but it will induce a few persons, who were in doubt whether or not to get a new hat or a new watch, to decide in favour of doing so. In large markets, however, where rich and poor, old and young, men and women, persons of all varieties of tastes, temperaments and occupations are mingled together, every fall, however slight, in the price of a commodity in general use, will, other things being equal, increase the total sales of it ; just as an unhealthy autumn increases the mortality of a large town, though many persons are uninjured by it. Let us however return to the demand for tea. The aggregate demand in the place is the sum of the demands of all the individuals there. Some will be richer and some poorer than the individual consumer whose demand schedule we have just written down ; some will have a greater and others a smaller liking for tea than he has. Let us suppose that there are in the place a million purchasers of tea, and that their average consumption is equal to his at each several price. Then the demand of that place is represented by the same schedule as before, if we write a million pounds of tea instead of one pound'. 1 Tlie dcmaiul is represented by the same curve as before, only an inch \^ GRADATIONS OF DEMAND. 67 There is then one general Law of Demand :— The greater the amount to be sold, the smaller must be the Law of De- price at which it is offered in order that it may mand. find purchasers ; or, in other words, the amount demanded in- creases with a fall in price, and diminishes with a rise in price. There will not be any uniform relation between the fall in price and the increase of demand. A fall of one-tenth in the price may increase the sales by a twentieth or by a quarter, or it may double them. But as the numbers in the left- hand column of the demand schedule increase, those in the right-hand column will always diminish. The price will measure the marginal utility of the com- modity to each purchaser individually: we cannot speak of price as measuring marginal utility in gpAieral, because the wants and circumstances of different people are different. § 5. The demand prices in our list are those at which various quantities of a thing can be sold in a market during a given time and under given a rival conditions. If the conditions vary in any respect <=°"^™o^^) BOOK IV. THE AGENTS OF PRODUCTION. LAND, LABOUR, CAPITAL AND ORGANIZATION. CHAPTER I. INTRODUCTORY. § 1. The agents of production are commonly classed as Land, Labour and Capital. By " Land " is meant not merely land in the strict sense of the word, but the whole of the material and the forces which Nature gives freely for man's aid, in land and water, in air and light and heat'. "Land" is, in a chapters ii, certain sense, a fixed quantity; and we shall "^• have to examine the causes which limit its yield of produce to the labour and capital applied to it. The amount of labour available for any work depends partly upon the number of people able and ready to do the work, and partly on their willingness to exert themselves, and these are very elastic quantities, y^^j^^*"^ ^^» We shall see how they are affected by the wages, or other reward available for the work : how high wa^es enable parents to bring up a large proportion of their children to full age, well nourished in mind and body. And we shall gradually inquire (for the question can only be opened out 1 See below, p. 87. 86 BOOK TV. CH. I. § 1. Chapter VIII. in the present Book) how children and adults drift from occupations that hold out small attractions to others that are not more difficult and hold out greater. We shall look at the growth of wealth, which when con- sidered as an agent of production, is called CapitaP. We shall see how it is affected by that " balancing of future benefits against present " ; which has already been noticed^ as controlling people's willingness to forego immediate pleasure and to provide machinery, buildings, ships, railways, and to make labour more efficient in the future. Then we shall make some study of division of labour and industrial organization generally, and inquire Chapters — j^^^ ^Yiqj increase the efficiency of labour. Thus we shall prepare the way for an inquiry into the causes that govern the Supply price of anything. For as the price, required to attract purchasers for any given amount of a commodity, was called the Demand price for that amount ; so the price required to call forth the exertion necessary for producing any given amount of a commodity, may be called the Supply price for « , TTT J that labour. In Book V, we shall add up the Books III and _ ' ^ IV lead up to Supply prices of all the different things needed to make a commodity, and call the sum of them the supply price of that commodity. Then we shall sol, against this the corresponding demand price for it; and we shall see how the relations between the two govern value. Supply Price. 1 See above p. 49. 2 See p. 77. i Land. CHAPTER II. THE FERTILITY OF LAND. § 1. The agents of production, other than labour, are described as land and capital : those material things which owe their usefulness to human labour being classed under capital, and those which owe nothing to it being classed as land. The distinction is ob- viously a loose one : for bricks are but pieces of earth slightly worked up; and the soil of old settled countries has for the greater part been worked over many times by man, and owes to him its present form. There is however a scientific prin- ciple underlying the distinction. While man has no power of creating matter, he creates utilities by putting things into a useful form*; and the utilities made by him can be in- creased in supply if there is an increased demand for them : they have a supply price. But there are other utilities over the supply of which he has no control ; they are given as a fixed quantity by nature and have therefore no supply price. The term "land" has been extended by economists so as to include the permanent sources of these utilities' ; whether they are found in land, as the term is commonly used, or in seas and rivers, in sunshine and rain, in winds and waterfalls. When we have inquired what it is that marks off land from those material things which we regard as products 1 See Book n. Chapter m. 2 In Ricardo's famous phrase "the original and indestructible powers of the soil." 88 BOOK IV. CH. II. §§ 1, 2. of the land, we shall find that the fundamental attribute of land is its extension. The right to use a certain area of the earth's surface is a primary condition of anything that man can do; it gives him room for his own actions, with the enjoyment of the heat and the light, the air and the rain which nature assigns to that area; and it determines his distance from, and in a great measure his relations to, other things and other persons. Some parts of the earth's surface contribute to production chiefly by the services which they render to the navigator: others are chiefly of value to the miner ; others— though this selection is made by man rather than by nature— to the builder. But when the productiveness of land is spoken of our first thoughts turn to its agricultural use. g 2. To the agriculturist an area of land is the means of supporting a certain amount of vegetable, and perhaps ulti- Man's ower ^^^^^^^ ^^ animal life. He can by suflicient labour of altering the make almost any land bear large crops. He can prepare the sou mechanically and chemically for whatever crops he intends to grow next. He can adapt his crops to the nature of the soil and to one another; selecting such a rotation that each will leave the land in such a state, and at such a time of year, that it can be worked up easily and without loss of time into a suitable seed bed for the coming crop. He can even permanently alter the nature of the soil by draining it, or by mixing with it other soil that will supplement its deficiencies'. 1 Mechauically, the soil must be so far yielding that the fine roots of plants can push their way freely in it ; and yet it must be firm enough to give them a good hold. The action of fresh air and water and of frosts are nature's tillage of the soil ; but man gives great aid in this mechanical preparation of the^soil. The chief pui-pose of his tillage is to enable the soil to hold plant roots gently but firmly, and to enable the air and water to move about freely in it. Even when he manures the gromid he has this mechanical preparation in view. For fai-myard manure benefits clay soils by subdividing them and making them lighter and more open, no less than by enriching them chemically; while to sandy soils it gives a much needed firmness of texture, and helps them, character of the soil. THE FERTILITY OF LAND. 89 A The greater part of the soil in old countries owes much of its character to human action ; all that lies just below the surface has in it a large element of capital, the produce of man's past labour : the inherent properties of the soil, the free gifts of nature, have been largely modified ; partly robbed and partly added to by the work of many generations of men. But it is diflferent with that which is above the surface. Every acre has given to it by nature an annual income of heat and light, of air and moisture ; and over these man has but little control. He may indeed alter the climate a little by extensive drainage works or by planting forests, or cutting them down. But, on the whole, the action of the sun and the wind and the rain are an annuity fixed by nature for each plot of land. Ownership of the land gives possession of this annuity : and it also gives the space required for the life and action of vegetables and animals ; the value of this space being much affected by its geographical position. mechanically as well as chemically, to hold the materials of plant food which would otherwise be quickly washed out of them. ^ Chemically the soil must have the inorganic elements that the plant wants in a form palatable to it. The greater part of the bulk of the plant is made up of so-caUed "organic compounds"; that is, compounds of carbon chiefly with oxygen, hydrogen and nitrogen; and of these it obtains by far the greater part from air and water. Only a small fraction (somewhere about a twentieth on an average) of its diy bulk consists of mmeral matter that it cannot get except from the soU. And as most soils have given them by nature at least some small quantities of all the mineral substances that are necessary for plant life, they can support some sort of vegetation without human aid Often however they have but very scanty provision of one or two necessary elements; and then man can turn a barren into a very fertile soil by adding a small quantity of just those things that are needed ; using in most cases either hme m some of its many forms, or those artificial manures which modern chemical science has provided in great variety. 90 BOOK IV. CH. IT. § 2. "We may then continue to use the ordinary distinction Ori inaiand between the original or inherent properties, artificial pro- which the land derives from nature, and the pertiesofiand. ^^^^^^^^ properties which it owes to human action; provided we remember that the first include the space-relations of the plot in question, and the annuity that nature has given it of sunlight and air and rain ; and that in many cases these are the chief of the inherent properties of the soil. It is chiefly from them that the ownership of agricultural land derives its peculiar significance, and the Theory of Rent its special character. But the question how far the fertility of any soil is due to the original properties given to it by nature, and how far to the changes in it made by man, cannot be fully discussed without taking account of the kind of produce raised from it. !p4 91 CHAPTER III. THE FERTILITY OF LAND, CONTINUED. THE LAW OF DIMINISHING RETURN. § 1. The law of (or statement of tendency to) diminishing return as applied to land is : — ■ An increase in the capital and labour applied in the cul- tivation of land causes in general a less than ^j^^ ^^^ ^^ proportionate increase in the amount of produce diminishing 1 return. raised. We learn from history and by observation that every agriculturist in every age and clime desires to have the use of a good deal of land ; and that when he cannot get it freely, he will pay for it, if he has the means. If he thought that he would get as good results by applying all his capital and labour to a very small piece, he would not pay for any but a very small piece. When land that requires no clearing is to be had for nothing, every one uses just that quantity which he thinks will give his capital and labour the largest return. His cultivation is ''extensive," not "intensive." He does not aim at getting many bushels of corn from each acre ; he tries to get as large a total crop as possible with a given j^ • v^ expenditure of seed and labour ; and therefore general expe- 1 1 i 1 • rience. he SOWS as many acres as he can manage to bring under a light cultivation. Of course he may go too far : he may spread his work over so large an area that he would gain by concentrating his capital and labour on a smaller space; and under these circumstances if he could get com- mand over more capital and labour so as to apply more to each acre, the land would give him an Increasing lieturn ; that is, an extra return larger in proportion than it gives to his present expenditure. But if he has made his calculations rightly, he is using just so much ground as will give him the highest return; and he would lose by concentrating his capital and labour on a smaller area. If he had command over more capital and labour and were to apply more to his present land, he would gain less than he would by taking up more land ; he would get a Diminishing Return, that is, an extra return smaller in proportion than he gets for the last applica- tions of capital and labour that he now makes, provided of course that there is meanwhile no perceptible improvement in his agricultural skill. As his sons grow up they will have more capital and labour to apply to land; and in order to avoid obtaining a Diminishing Return, they will want to cultivate more land. But perhaps by this time all the neighbouring land is already taken up, and in order to get more they must buy it or pay a rent for the use of it, or migrate where they can get it for nothing. This tendency to a Diminishing Return was the cause of Abraham's parting from Lot, and of most of the migrations of which history tells. And wherever the right to cultivate land is much in request, we may be sure that the tendency to a Diminishing Return is in full operation. Were it not for this tendency every farmer could save nearly the whole of his rent by giving up all but a small piece of his land, and bestowing all his capital and labour on that. If all the capital and labour which he would in that case apply to it, gave as good a return in proportion as that which he now applies to it, he would get from that plot as large a produce as he now gets from his whole farm, and would make a net gain of all his rent save that of the little plot that he retained. Its relation to migrations. THE FERTILITY OF LAND. 93 J^' ] It may be conceded that the ambition of farmers often leads them to take more land than they can properly manage. But when we say that a farmer would gain bv , . , . -1 1 1 , 1 •'Its relation to applying his capital and labour to a smaller area, modem we do not necessarily mean that he would get ^^'■"^'"e:- a larger gross produce; we may mean only that the saving in rent would more than counter-balance any probable dimi- nution of the total returns that he got from the land. If a farmer pays a fourth of his produce as rent, he would gain by concentrating his capital and labour on less land, provided the extra capital and labour applied to each acre gave any- thing more than three-fourths as goothe thick vertical lines cut off between OD and HC. There- fore the sum of these, that is, the area ODCH, represents the share of the produce that is required to remunerate him ; while the remamder, AIIGCP 1, IS the Surplus Produce, which under certam conditions becomes the rent M. J d8 Book iv. ch. hi. ^ 3—4. Order of rela- tive fertility may change with circum- stances. count as due to the first doses of capital and lalx)ur are generally the largest of all, and the tendency of the return to diminish shows itself at once. Having English agriculture chiefly in view, we may fairly take, as Ritardo did, this as the typical case\ § 3. There is no absolute measure of the richness or fertility of land. Even if there be no change in the arts of production, a mere increase in the demand for produce may invert the order in which two adjacent pieces of land rank as re- gards fertility. The one which gives the smaller produce, when both are uncultivated, or when the cultivation of both is equally slight, may rise above the other and justly rank as the more fertile when both are cultivated with equal thoroughness. In other words, many of those lands which are the least fertile when cultivation is merely extensive, become among the most fertile when cultivation is intensive. It has been well said that as the strength of a chain is that of its weakest link, so fertility is limited by that element in which it is most deficient. Those who are in a huny, will reject a chain which has one or two very weak links, however strong the rest may be; and prefer to it a much slighter chain that has no flaw. But if there is heavy work to be done, and they have time to make repairs, they will set the larger chain in order, and then its strength will exceed that of the other. In this we find the explanation of much that is apparently strange in agricultural history. The first settlers in a new country generally avoid land Favourite ^^^ich does not lend itself to immediate culti- soiis of early vation. They are often repelled by the very luxuriance of natural vegetation, if it happens to be of a kind that they do not want. They do not care to 1 That is, we may substitute (fig. 3) the dotted line BA' for BA and regard A'BPC as the typical curve for the return to capital and labour applied In English agriculture. THE FERTILITY OF LAND. 99 plough land that is at all heavy, however rich it might become if thoroughly worked. They will have nothing to do with water-logged land. They generally select light land which can easily be worked with a double plough, and then they sow their seed broadly, so that the plants when they grow up may have plenty of light and air, and may collect their food from a wide area. We cannot then call one piece of land more fertile than another till we know something about the skill „_,.,. . . ° Fertility is re- and enterprise of its cultivators, and the amount lative to place of capital and labour at their disposal ; and till *"** *'™'* we know whether the demand for produce is such as to make intensive cultivation profitable with the resources at their disposal. If it is, those lands will be the most fertile which give the highest average returns to a large expenditure of capital and labour ; but if not, those will be the most fertile which give the best returns to the first few doses. The term fertility has no meaning except with reference to the special circumstances of a particular time and place. § 4. But further, the order of fertility of different soils is liable to be changed by changes in the methods of cultivation and in the relative values of different crops. Thus when at the end of last century Mr Coke showed how to grow wheat well on light soils by preparing the way with clover, they rose relatively to clay soils; and now though they are still some- times called from old custom "poor," some of them have a higher value, and ai-e really more fertile, than much of the land that used to be carefully cultivated while many of the light soils were left in a state of nature. As there is no absolute standard for fertility, so there is none of good cultivation. The best cultivation in the richest parts of the Channel Islands, for tion a relative instance, involves a lavish expenditure of capital *^'''"' and labour on each acre : for they are near good markets and have a monopoly of an equable and early climate. If left to 7—2 %l I! 100 BOOK IV. CH. III. SS 5—6. nature, the land would not be very fertile ; for, though it has many virtues, it has two weak links (being deficient in phos- phoric acid and potash). But, partly by the aid of the abund- ant seaweed on its shores, these links can be strengthened, and the chain thus becomes exceptionally strong. Intense, or as it is ordinarily called in England "good" cultivation, will thus raise £100 worth of early potatoes from a single acre. But an equal expenditure per acre by the farmer in Western America would ruin him; relatively to his circumstances it would not be go 103 CHAPTER IV. THE GROWTH OF POPULATION. § 1. Man is the chief means of the production of that wealth of which he is himself the ultimate aim ; and it seems best to make at this stage some study of the growth of popu- lation in numbers, in strength and in character. In the animal and vegetable world the growth of num- bers is governed simply by the tendency of individuals to propagate their species on the one hand, and on the other hand by the struggle for life which thins out vast numbers of the young before they arrive at maturity. In the human race alone the conflict of these two opposing forces is com- plicated by the influences of forethought and self-control, of prudence and a sense of duty. The study of the growth of population is often spoken of as though it were a modern one ; but in a more or less vague form it has occupied the attention of thoughtful men in all ages of the world. We may however confine ourselves here to some account of its most famous student, Malthus, whose Essay on the PHnciple of Population is the starting point of all modern speculations on the subject \ His reasoning consists of three parts which must be kept distinct. The first relates to the supply of labour. T. /. 1 1 /. /. rr J Malthus. By a careful study of facts he proves that every people of whose history we have a trustworthy record, has been so prolific that the growth of its numbers would have been rapid and continuous if it had not been checked either 1 First edition 1798 : he published a much enlarged and improved edition in 1803. The history of the Doctrine of Population, and of its connection with the practical needs of different nations at different times, is sketched in Prin- ciples, IV. ni. 1, 2. 104 BOOK IV. CH. IV. §§ 1, 2. by a scarcity of the necessaries of life, or some other cause, that is, by disease, by war, by infanticide, or lastly by volun- tary restraint. His second position relates to the demand for labour. Like the first it is supported by facts, but by a different set of facts. He shows that up to the time at which he wrote no country (as distinguished from a city, such as Rome or Venice,) had been able to obtain an abundant supply of the necessaries of life after its territory had become very thickly peopled. The produce which Nature returns to the work of man is her effective demand for population : and he shows that up to this time a rapid increase in population, when already thick, had not led to a proportionate increase in this demand. Thiixlly, he di-aws the conclusion that what had been in the past, was likely to be in the future ; and that the growth of population would be checked by poverty or some other cause of suffering, unless it were checked by voluntary re- straint. He therefore urges people to use this restraint, and, while leading lives of moral purity, to abstain from veiy early marriages. The changes which the course of events has introduced into the doctrine of population relate chiefly to the second and thiixi steps of his reasoning. We have already noticed that the English economists of the earlier half of this century overrated the tendency of an increasing population to press upon the means of subsistence. It was indeed not their fault that they could not foresee the vast developments of steam transport by land and by sea, which have enabled Englishmen of the present generation to obtain the products of the richest lands of the earth at comparatively small cost. But the fact that Malthus did not foresee these changes makes the second and third steps of his argument antiquated in form; though they are still in a great measure valid in substance. We may then proceed to state the doctrine of population in its modem foi-m. THE GROWTH OF POPULATION. 105 *i. § 2. The growth in numbers of a people depends firstly on the "natural increase," that is, the excess of Natural in- their births over their deaths ; and secondlv on *=^«^se and mi- ,. ^ gration. migration. The number of births depends chiefly on habits relating to marriage. The age of marriage varies with the climate, being earlier in warm climates than in cold; but in every case the longer marriages are postponed beyond the age that is natural to the climate, the smaller is the birth-rate. Given the climate, the average age of marriage depends chiefly on the ease with which young people can ing^the \z^^oi establish themselves, and support a family accord- "™^"'*e«- ing to the standard of comfort that prevails amoncr their friends and acquaintances; and therefore it is different in different stations of life. In the middle classes a man's income seldom reaches its maximum till he is forty or fifty years old; and the expense of bringing up his children is heavy differen°t"^ *" and lasts for many years. The artisan earns *=^*^^"- nearly as much at twenty-one as he ever does, unless he rises to a responsible post, but he does not earn much before he is twenty-one: his children are likely to be a considerable ex- pense to him till about the age of fifteen; unless they are sent into a factory, where they may pay their way at a very early age; and lastly the unskilled labourer earns nearly full wages at eighteen, while his children begin to pay their own expenses very early. In consequence, the average age at marriage is highest among the middle classes: it is low among the artisans and lower still among the unskilled labourers. Unskilled labourers, when not so poor as to suffer actual want and not restrained by any external cause, have seldom, if ever, shown a lower power of increase than that of doubling in thirty years; that is, of multiplying a million-fold in six hundred years, a billion-fold in twelve hundred: and hence it h' ]i Iv 106 BOOK IV. CH. IV. 5§ 2 — 4. might be inferred a prioH that their increase has never gone on without resti-aint for any considerable time. This in- ference is conlinned by the teaching of all history. Through- out Europe during the Middle Ages, and in some parts of it even up to the present time, unmarried labourers have usually slept in the farm-house or with their parents ; while a Hindrances to i^^irried pair have generally required a house for early marri- themselves: when a village has as many hands age in station- . ° J ary rural as it Can well employ, the number of houses is not increased, and young people wait as best they can. There are many parts of Europe even now in which custom, exercising almost the force of law, prevents more than one son in each family from marrying; he is generally the eldest, but in some places the youngest: if any other son marries, he must leave the village. When great material prosperity, and the absence of all extreme poverty are found in old-fashioned corners of the Old World, the explanation generally lies in some such custom as this with all its evils and hardships. § 3. In this respect the position of the hired agricultural Influence of labourer has changed very much. The towns are peasant now always open to him and his children; and if properties. ^le betakes himself to the New World he is likely to succeed better than any other class of emigrants. But the gradual rise in the value of land and its growing scarcity are tending to check the increase of population in some districts in which the system of peasant properties prevails ; especially those in which there is not much entei-prise for opening out new trades or for emigration, and parents feel that the social position of their children will depend on the amount of their land. On the other hand there seem to be no conditions more favourable to the rapid growth of numbers than those of the agricultural districts of new countries. Land is to be had in abundance, railways and steamships carry away the produce of the land ; and they bring back in exchange implements of ''I THE GKOWTH OF POPULATION. 107 advanced types, and many of the comforts and luxuries of life. The "farmer," as the peasant proprietor is called in America, finds therefore that a large family is not a bui-den, but an assistance to him. He and they live healthy out-of-door lives; there is nothing to check, but everything to stimulate the growth of numbers. The natural increase is aided by immi- gration; and thus, in spite of the fact that some classes of the inhabitants of large cities in America are, it is said, reluctant to have many children, the population has increased sixteen- fold in the last hundred years. iYn^ § 4- The growth of population in England has a more clearly defined histoiy than that in the United Population in Kingdom, and we shall find some interest in England, noticing its chief movements. The restraints on the increase of numbers during the Middle Ages were the same in England as else- where. In England as elsewhere the religious during Middle oixlers were a refuge to those for whom no estab- ^^*'^- lishment in marriage could te provided; and religious celibacy while undoubtedly acting in some measure as an independent check on the growth of population, is in the main to be regarded rather as a method in which the broad natural forces tending to restrain population expressed themselves than as an addition to them. Infectious and contagious diseases, both endemic and epidemic, were caused by dirty habits of life, which were even worse in England than in the South of Europe ; and famines were caused by the failures of good harvests and the difficulties of communication, though this evil was less in England than elsewhere. Country life was, as elsewhere, rigid in its habits ; young people found it difficult to establish themselves until some other married pair had passed from the scene and made a vacancy in their own parish; for, though artisans and domestic retainers moved about a good deal, migration was seldom thought of by an agricultural labourer. kli 108 BOOK IV. CH. TV. §§ 4, 5. 8r'' In the latter half of the seventeenth and the fii-st half of Se nt enth ^^^® eighteenth century the central govennnent and eighteenth exerted itself to hinder the adjustment of the cen unes. supply of population in different parts of the countiy to the demand for it by Settlement Laws, which made any one chargeable to a parish who had resided there forty days, but ordered that he might be sent home by force at any time within that period. Landlords and farmers were so eager to prevent people from getting a "settlement" in their parish that they put great difficulties in the way of building cottages, and sometimes even razed them to the ground. In consequence the agricultural population of Eng- lan(l was stationary during the hundred years ending with 1760; while the manufactures were not yet sufficiently developed to absorb large numbers. This retardation in the growth of numbers was partly caused by, and partly a cause of, a rise in the standard of living ; a chief element of which was an increased use of wheat in the place of inferior grains as the food of the common people. From 1760 onwards those who could not establish them- selves at home found little difficulty in getting employment in the new manufacturing or mining districts, where the demand for workers often kept the local authorities from enforcing the removal clauses of the Settlement Act. To these districts young people resorted freely, and the birth- rate in them became exceptionally high; but so did the death- rate also; the net result being a fairly rapid growth of popu- lation. At the end of the century, when Malthus wrote his Essay, the Poor Law again began to influence the age of mar- riage, but this time in the direction of making it unduly early. «,. . The sufferings of the working classes caused by a The nine- '^ » •' teenth cen- series of famines and by the French War made "^' some measure of relief necessary ; and the need of large l)odies of recruits for the army and navy was an ad- ditional inducement to tender-hearted people to be somewhat THE GROWTH OF POPULATION. 109 '? liberal in their allowances to a large family, with the practical effect of making the father of many children often able to procure more indulgences for himself without working than he could have got by hard work if he had been unmarried or had only a small family. Those who availed themselves most of this bounty, were naturally the laziest and meanest of the people, those with least self-respect and enterprise. So al- though there was in the manufacturing towns a fearful mortality, particularly of infants, the quantity of the people increased fast; but its quality improved little, if at all, till the passing of the New Poor Law in 1834. Since that time the rapid growth of the town population has, as we shall see in the next Chapter, tended to increase mortality ; but this has been counteracted by the growth of temperance, of medical knowledge, of sanitation and of general cleanliness. Emigration has increased, the age of marriage has been slightly raised, and a somewhat less proportion of the whole population are married; but, on the other hand, the ratio of births to a marriage has risen ; the net result being that popu- lation has grown nearly steadily. gy^J^ § ^- Early in this century, when wages were low and wheat was dear, the working classes generally spent „ ^ ' _o ° J jr Modern causes more than half their income on bread: and con- affecting mar- sequently a rise in the price of wheat diminished "*e*-*"**^- marriages Very much among them ; that is, it diminished very much the number of marriages by banns. But it raised the income of many members of the well-to-do classes, and there- fore often increased the number of marriages by license. Since however these were but a small part of the whole, the net effect was to lower the marriage-rate. But as time went on, the price of wheat fell and wages rose, till now the working classes spend on the average less than a quarter of their in- comes on bread ; and in consequence the chief influence on the marriage-rate is exercised, not by the price of wheat, but by variations of commercial prosperity. f 110 BOOK IV. CH. IV. § 5. Since 1873 though the average real income of the popula- tion of England has indeed been increasing, its rate of in- crease has been less than in the preceding years. But meanwhile there has been a great fall of prices, and con- sequently a great fall in the money-incomes of many classes of society; and people are governed in their calculations as to whether they can aiford to marry or not, more by the money income which they expect to be able to get, than by elaborate calculations of changes in its purchasing power. The standard of living therefore among the working classes has been rising rapidly, perhaps more rapidly than at any other time in English history : their household expenditure measured in money has remained about stationary, and measured in goods has increased very fast. The English marriage-rate fell from 8-8 per 1000 in 1873, to 7-1 in 1886, the lowest rate that has occurred since civil registration began ; but it has somewhat risen again since then. ] Tlie latter Inlf of Prtnctples IV. iv. contains a good many statistical tables relating to the growth of population in England, and to a comparison of the birtli, death, and marriage-rates of different countries of the Western world It IS seen that the marriage-rate is generally highest where the number of early marriages is the greatest; and so also is the fecundity of marriages The general mortality is high wherever the birth-rate is high 111 CHAPTER V. THE HEALTH AND STRENGTH OF THE POPULATION. § 1. We have next to consider the conditions on which depend health and strength, physical, mental and 1 m_ xi 1 • ^ • 1 "^^^ basis of moral. Iney are the basis of industrial effici- industrial effi- ency, on which the production of material wealth ^^^^^y- depends; while on the other hand the chief importance of material wealth lies in the fact that, when wisely used, it increases the health and strength, physical, mental and moral of the human race. In many occupations industrial efficiency requires little else than physical vigour ; that is, muscular strength. Physical a good constitution and energetic habits. In strength, estimating muscular, or indeed any other kind of strength for industrial purposes, we must take account of the number of hours in the day, of the number of days in the year, and the number of years in the lifetime, during which it can be exerted. But with this precaution we can measure a man's muscular exertion by the number of feet through which his work would raise a pound weight, if it were applied directly to this use; or in other words by the number of "foot pounds" of work that he does'. 1 This measure can be applied directly to most kindle of navvies' and porters' work, and indirectly to many kmds of agricultural work. In a controversy that was waged after the great agricultural lock-out as to the relative efficiency of unskilled labour in the South and North of England, the most trustworthy measure was found in the number of tons of material that a man would load into a cart in a day. 112 BOOK IV. CH. V. 1,2. In backward countries, particularly where there is not much use of hoi-ses or other draught animals, a great part of men's and women's work may be measured fairly well by the muscular exertion involved in it. But in England less than one-sixth of the industrial classes are now engaged on work of this kind ; while the force exerted by steam-engines alone is more than twenty times as much as could be done by the muscles of all Englishmen. Although the power of sustaining great muscular exertion General seems to rest on constitutional strength and other vigour. physical conditions, yet even it depends also on force of will, and strength of character. Energy of this kind, which may perhaps be taken to be the strength of the man, as distinguished from that of his body, is moral rather than physical; but yet it depends on the physical condition of nervous strength ^ This strength of the man himself, this resolution, energy and self-mastery, or in short this " vigour" is the source of all progress : it shows itself in great deeds, in great thoughts and in the capacity for true religious feeling. § 2. In discussing the growth of numbers a little has been said incidentally of the causes which determine lent^th of life : but they are in the main the same as those which determine constitutional strength and vigour, and they will occupy our attention again in the present chapter. The first of these causes is the climate. A warm climate is not altogether hostile to high intellectual and artistic work : but it prevents people from beinf^ able to endure very hard exertion of any kind continued for a long time. Climate has also a large share in determining the neces- The necessa- saries of life; the first of which is food. Food must riesofiife. supply the nitrogenous and other elements that 1 This must be distinguished from nervousness, which, as a rule, indicates a general deficiency of nersous strength ; though sometimes it proceeds from nervous irritabihty or want of balance. Influence of climate. I THE HEALTH AND STRENGTH OF THE POPULATION. 113 are required to build up growing tissues and to repair the waste of the body. It must also afford heat, some of which can be converted into muscular force; and for this purpose carbonaceous food, when it can be properiy digested, is the cheapest \ Much also depends on the proper preparation of food, and a skilled housewife with ten shillings a week to spend on food will often do more for the health and strength of her family than an unskilled one with twenty. The great infant mortality among the poor is largely due to the want of care and judgment in preparing their food ; and those who do not entirely succumb to this want of motherly care often grow up with enfeebled constitutions. Even in London in the seventeenth and eighteenth centuries the mortality was eight per cent, greater when corn was dear than when it was cheap : and though the increase of wealth and of charity and the constant supply of cheap foreign corn has caused the worst effects of hunger to cease, yet the want of fitting food is stiU a frequent cause of that general weakening of the system which renders it unable to resist disease. We have already seen that the necessaries for efficiency vary with the nature of the work to be done, but we must now examine this subject a little more closely. As regards muscular work in particular, there is a close connection between the supply of food that a man has, and his available |trength. If the work is intermittent, as that of some dock labourers, a cheap but nutritious grain diet is sufficient. But for very heavy continuous strain, such as is involved in puddlers' and the hardest navvies' other material work, food is required which can be digested and neceYs™r?es."* assimilated even when the body is tired. This quality is still more essential in the food of the higher grades of labour which involve increased nervous strain, though the quantity required is generally small. 1 The nitrogenous elements are most easily got from anrnial food. They exist also m vegetable foods; but not in a form that is so easily digested 114 BOOK IV. CH. V. §§ 2 — 4. After food, the next necessaries of life and labour, are clothing, house-room and firing ; when tliey are deficient, the mind becomes torpid, and ultimately the physical constitution is undennined. § 3. Next come three closely allied conditions of vigour, Hope, freedom namely, hopefulness, freedom, and change. All and change. history is full of the record of inefliciency caused in varying degrees by slavery, serfdom, and other forms of civil and political oppression and repression. Freedom and hope increase not only man's willingness but also his power for work ; physiologists tell us that a given exertion consumes less of the store of nervous energy if done under the stimulus of pleasure than of pain : and without hope there is no enter- prise. Security of person and property are two conditions of this hopefulness and freedom ; but security always involves restraints on freedom, and it is one of the most difficult prob- lems of civilization to discover how to obtain the security, which is a condition of freedom, without too great a sacrifice of freedom itself. Changes of work, of scene, and of personal associations bring new thoughts, call attention to the imperfections of old methods, stimulate a "divine discontent," and in every way develop creative energy. A shifting of places enables the more powerful and original minds to find full scope for their energies and to rise to important positions : wh^eas those who stay at home are often over much kept in their places. Few men are prophets in their own land ; neighbours and relations are generally the last to pardon the faults and to recognize the merits of those who are less docile and more enterprising than those around them. It is doubtless chiefly for this reason that in almost every part of England a disproportionately large share of the best energy and enterprise is to be found among those who were bom elsewhere. Freedom so far has been regarded as freedom from ex- ternal bonds. But that higher freedom, which comes of self- I' THE HEALTH AND STRENGTH OF THE POPULATION. 115 mastery, is an even more important condition for the highest work. The elevation of the ideals of life on which this de- pends, is due on the one side to political and economic causes and on the other to personal and religious influences ; amon^ which the influence of the mother in early childhood is supreme. § 4. Bodily and mental health and strength are much influenced by occupation \ At the beginning of t « Ai • , ,, ,. . „ " & "*■ Influence of tnis century the conditions of factory work were occupation, needlessly unhealthy and oppressive for all, and especially for young children. But Factory and Education Acts have re- moved the worst of these evils from factories ; though many of them still linger about domestic industries and the smaller workshops. Infant mortality also is diminishing, though there remains much room for improvement in this direction. The higher wages, the greater intelligence, and the better medical facilities of townspeople should cause infant mortality to be much lower among them than in the country. But it is generally higher, especially where there are many mothers who neglect their family duties in order to earn money wages. In almost all countries there is a constant migration towards the towns. The large towns and espe- cially London absorb the very best blood from '^°'^" "'^• all the rest of England; the most enterprising, the most highly gifted, those with the highest pAy^^we and the strongest characters go there to find scope for their abilities. But by the time their children and children's children have grown up 1 Tlie rate of mortality is low among ministers of reUgion and school- masters; among the agricultural classes, and in some other industries such as tJiose of wheelwrights, shipwrights and coal-miners. It is high in lead and tm mmmg m file-makmg and earthenware manufacture. But neither these nor any other regular trade show as high a rate of mortahty as is found among J.ondon general labourers and costermongers ; while the highest of aU is that hnf'fiT *. '" !T' ^T^ occupations are not direcUy injurious to health, Dut they attract those who are weak in physique and in character and thev encourage irregular habits. »» ler ana mey 8—2 without healtliy play, and without fresh air, there is little trace left of their original vigour \ There is perhaps no better use of public and private money than in providing public parks and playgrounds in large cities, in contracting with railways to increase the number of the workmen's trains run by them, and in helping those of the working classes who are willing to leave the large towns to do so, and to take their industries with them; while money spent on reducing the cost of living in large towns by building workmen's houses at a loss or in other ways, is likely to do almost as much harm as good, and some- times even more. If the numbers of the working classes in the large towns are reduced to those whose work must be carried on there, the scarcity of their labour will enable them to command high wages ; and therefore if sanitary laws and rules against overcrowding are rigidly enforced, and space enough is secured to provide opportunities of healthy play for their children, those who live in large towns will have a better chance of leaving a healthy progeny behind them ; and meanwhile some check will be given to the migration from the country to the towns. § 5. In the earlier stages of civilization natural selection and competition made it the rule that those, who were strongest and most vigorous, left the largest progeny behind them. It is to this cause, more than any other, that the progress of the 1 This is seen even in trades that require but little muscular strength; only a very small proportion of those artisans to whom London owes its pre- erauience as a centre of highly skilled work come from parents who were born there ; and there are scarcely any whose grandparents were bom there. The death-rate of large towns gives no just indication of their effect on the health and vigour of the people ; chiefly because 'many of the town influences which lower vigour do not appreciably affect mortality. Other reasons are that the immigrants into towns are generally picked Uves and in the full strength of youth ; and that yomig people whose parents hve in the comitry generally go home to die. The mortality of females in London between the ages of fifteen and thirty-five is for this reason abnormally low. THE HEALTH AND STRENGTH OF THE POPULATION. 117 human race, as of all other forms of life, is due; and though in the later stages of civilization the upper classes have commonly married late, and in con- ^ency tl^weed sequence have had fewer children than the °"* ^^^ weak working classes, this has been compensated strong toVu'J! for by the fact that among the working classes ''*''' themselves the old rule has held; and the vigour of the nation that is tending to be damped out among the upper classes is thus replenished by the fresh stream of strength that is constantly welling up from below. But in France for a long time, recently in America, and to a less extent in England, there has been some tendency for the abler and more intelUgent part of the working class population to avoid having large families ; and this is a source of great danger. There are increasing reasons for fearing, that though the progress of medical science and sanitation is saving from death a continually increasing number teracted by""" of the children of those who are feeble physically "^"* and mentally; yet meanwhile those who are strong, are tending to defer their marriages and in other ways to limit the number of children whom they leave behind them. The causes are partly selfish and partly unselfish; and the former probably do less harm than the latter; for perhaps it is best for the worid that hard and frivolous people should leave but few descendants of their own type. But some people marry late, and have few children, in consequence of a desire to secure as good a social position as possible for themselves and their children. This desire contains many elements that fall short of the highest ideals of human aims, and in some cases, a few that are distinctly base; but after all it has been one of the chief factors of progress, and those who are affected by it include many of the best and strongest of the race. Sucli persons, having a high sense of duty, are specially likely to be in- fluenced by the doctrine that large families are injurious to 118 BOOK IV. CH. V. § 5. the world and that they can do better for a small than for a large family. There are other considerations of which account ought to Practical con- be taken; but so far as the points discussed in elusion. 4.W t, J. , this chapter are concerned, it seems primd facie advisable that people should not bring children into the world, till they can see their way to giving them at least as good an education both physical and mental as they themselves had; and that it is best to marry moderately early provided there IS sufficient self-control to keep the family within the requisite bounds without transgressing moral laws. The general adop- tion of these principles of action, combined with an adequate provision of fresh air and of healthy play for our town populations, could hardly fail to cause the strength and vigour of the race to improve. And we shall presently find reasons for believing that if the strength and vigour of the race improves, the increase of numbers will not for a long time to come cause a diminution of the average real income of the people. Thus then the progress of knowledge, and in particular The forces of of medical science, the ever-growing activity and good and evil. • j i? /^ . *^ Wisdom of Government m all matters relating to health, and the increase of material wealth, all tend to lessen mortality and to increase health and strength, and to lengthen life. On the other hand, vitality is lowered and the death- rate raised by the rapid increase of town life, and by the tendency of the higher strains of the population to marry later and to have fewer children than the lower. If the fonner set of causes were alone in action, but so regulated as to avoid the danger of over-population, it is probable that man would quickly rise to a physical and mental excellence far superior to any that the worid has yet known; while if the latter set acted unchecked, he would speedily degenerate. As it is, the two sets hold one another very neariy in balance, the former slightly preponderating. While the population <» THE HEALTH AND STRENGTH OF THE POPULATION. 119 of England continues to increase, those who are out of health in body or mind are certainly not an increasing part of the whole; and the rest are much better fed and clothed, and with a few exceptions are stronger than they were. It is sometimes urged that the death-rate in some large towns, and especially in London, is not as high as might have been anticipated if town life is really injurious to health and vigour. But this argument seems untrustworthy, partly because many of the town influences which lower vigour, do not much affect mortality ; and partly because the majority of immigrants into the towns are in the full strength of youth, and of more than average energy and courage ; while young people whose parents live in the country generally go home when they become seriously ill. It is not to be concluded from this that the race is degene- rating physically, nor even that its nervous strength is on the whole decaying. On the contrary the opposite is plainly true of those boys and giris who are able to enter freely into modem outdoor amusements, who frequently spend holidays in the country and whose food, clothing and medical care are abundant, and governed by the best modern knowledge. But until quite recently the children of the working classes in large towns have had a bad time : and it is doubtful whether the recent diminution of their hours of labour, the advances of sanitation and medical science, improvement of their food and clothing, of their education and even in some cases their playgrounds quite make up for the evils inherent in town life'. 1 Manchester and other very large towns are not now growing as fast as they were doing earlier in this century. Not only are the centres of such towns more and more taken up by warehouses and other buildings which are occupied in the day time by people who hve in the suburbs ; but further, the medium sized towns and spreading industrial districts are growing fast partly at tlie expense of very large towns. This change seems likely to be hastened by the growing cheapness and efficiency of the electrical transmission of force. 120 CHAPTER VI. INDUSTRIAL TRAINING. § Unskilled la- bour a relative term. 1. Having discussed the causes which govern the growth of a numerous and vigorous population, we have next to consider the training that is required to develop its in- dustrial efficiency. Very backward races are unable to keep on at any kind of work for a long time ; and even the simplest form of what we regard as unskilled work is skilled work relatively to them ; for they have not the requisite assiduity, and they can acquire it only by a long course of training. But where education is universal, an occupation may fairly be classed as unskilled, though it requires a knowledge of reading and writing. Again, in districts in which manufactures have long been domiciled, a habit of responsibility, of carefulness and promptitude in handling expensive machinery and materials becomes the common property of all; and then much of the work of tending machinery is said to be entirely mechanical and unskilled, and to call forth no human faculty that is worthy of esteem! But in fact it is probable that not one-tenth of the present populations of the world have the mental and moral faculties, the intelligence, and the self-control that are required for it': perhaps not one half could be made to do the work well by steady training for two generations. Even of a manu- facturing population only a small part are capable of dointy INDUSTRIAL TRAINING. 121 many of the tasks that appear at first sight to be entirely monotonous. Machine-weaving, for instance, simple as it seems, is divided into higher and lower grades; and most of those who work in the lower grades have not "the stuff in them" that is required for weaving with several colours. And the differences are even greater in industries that deal with hard materials, wood, metals, or ceramics. Some kinds of manual work require long-continued prac- tice m one set of operations, but these cases are not very common, and they are becoming rarer: for machinery is con- stantly taking over work that requires manual skill of this kind. It is indeed true that a general command over the use of one's fingers is a very important element of industrial efficiency; but this is the result chiefly of nervous strength and self-mastery. It is of course developed by training, but the greater part of this may be of a general character and not special to the particular occupation; just as a good cricketer soon learns to play tennis well, so a skilled artisan can often move into other trades without any great and lasting loss of efficiency. Manual skill that is so specialized, as to be wholly in- capable of being transferred from one occupation to another, IS becoming steadily less and less important. Putting aside for the present the faculties of artistic perception and artistic creation, we may say that what makes one occupation higher than another, what makes the workers of one town or country more efficient than those of another, is chiefly a superiority in general sagacity and energy which is not specialized to any one trade. To be able to bear in mind many things at a time, to have everything ready when wanted, to act promptly and show resource when anything goes wrong, to accommodate oneself quickly to changes in details of the work done, to be steady and trustworthy, to have always a reserve of force which will come out in emergency, these are the qualities which make a great industrial people. They are not peculiar to any occupation, but are wanted in all; and if they cannot always be easily transferred from one trade to other kindred trades, the chief reason is that they require to be supple- mented by some knowledge of materials and familiarity with special processes. We may then use the term general Mlity to denote General and *^°^® faculties and that general knowledge and Specialized intelligence which are in varying degrees the common property of all the higher grades of industry : while that manual dexterity and that acquaintance with particular materials and processes which are required for the special purposes of individual trades may be classed as specialized ability. § 2. General ability depends largely on the surroundings Influence of ^^ childhood and youth. In this the first and far the home. the most powerful influence is that of the mother. Next comes the influence of the father, of other children, and in some cases of servants. As years pass on the child of the working man learns a great deal from what he sees and hears going on around him; and when we enquire into the ad- vantages for starting in life which children of the well-to-do classes have over those of artisans, and which these in their turn have over the children of unskilled labourers, we shall have to consider these influences of home more in detail. But at present we may pass to consider the more general in- fluences of school education. Little need be said of general education; though the in- fluence even of that on industrial efliciency is greater than it appears. It is true that the children of the working classes must very often leave school, when they have but learnt the elements of reading, writing, arithmetic and drawing; and it is sometimes argued that part of the little time spent on these subjects would be better given to practical work. But the advance made during School. THE GROWTH OF WEALTH. 131 But even this apathy is perhaps less strange than the wastefulness that is found now among some classes in our own country. Cases are not rare of men who alternate be- tween earning two or three pounds a week and being reduced to the verge of starvation : the utility of a shilling to them when they are in employment is less than that of a penny when they are out of it, and yet they never attempt to make provision for the time of need. At the opposite extreme there are misers, in some of whom the passion for saving borders on insanity; while, even among peasant proprietors and some other classes, we meet not unfrequently with people who carry thrift so far as to stint themselves of necessaries, and to impair their power of future work. Thus they lose every way: they never really enjoy life; while the income which their stored-up wealth brings them is less than they would have got from the increase of their earning power, if they had invested in themselves the wealth that they have accumulated in a material form. In India, and to a less extent in Ireland, we find people who do indeed abstain from immediate enjoyment and save up considerable sums with great self-sacrifice, but spend all their savings in lavish festivities at funerals and marriages. They make intermittent provision for the near future, but scarcely any permanent provision for the distant future : the great engineering works by which their productive resources have been so much increased, have been made chiefly with the capital of the much less self-denying race of Englishmen. Thus the causes which control the accumulation of wealth differ widely in different countries and different ages. They are not quite the same among any two races, and perhaps not even among any two social classes in the same race. They depend much on social and religious sanctions; and it is remarkable how, when the binding force of custom has been in any degree loosened, differences of personal character will cause neighbours brought up under like conditions to differ from one another more widely and more frequently in their .9—2 I I 132 BOOK IV. CH. VII. 3—4. THE GKOWTH OF WEALTH. 133 habits of extravagance or thrift than in almost any other respect. § 3. The thriftlessness of early times was in a great mea- Security as a ^^^^ ^^® *^ *^® Want of Security that those who condition of made provision for the future would enjoy it: only those, who were already wealthy, were strong enough to hold what they had saved ; the laborious and self- denying peasant who had heaped up a little store of wealth only to see it taken from him by a stronger hand, was a constant warning to his neighbours to enjoy their pleasure and their rest when they could. The border country between England and Scotland made little progress so long as it was liable to incessant forays ; there was very little saving by the French peasants in the last century when they could escape the plunder of the tax-gatherer only by appearing to be poor, or by Irish cottiers, who, on many estates, even a generation ago, were compelled to follow the same course in order to avoid the landlords' claims of exorbitant rents. Insecurity of this kind has nearly passed away from the civilized world. But we are still suffering in England from the effects of the Poor-law which ruled at the bednninff of the century, and which introduced a new form of insecurity for the working classes. For it arranged that part of their wages should, in effect, be given in the fonn of poor relief ; and that this should be distributed among them in inverse proportion to their industry and thrift and forethought, so that many thought it foolish to make provision for the future. The traditions and instincts, which were fostered by that evil experience, are even now a great hindrance to the pi-ogress of the working classes; and the principle which nominally at least underlies the present Poor-law, that the State should take account only of destitution and not at all of merit, acts in the same direction though with less force. Insecurity of this kind also is being diminished: the growth of enlightened views as to the duties of the State and of private persons towards the poor, is tending to make it k|i 1 every day more true that those who have helped themselves, and endeavoured to provide for their own future, will be cared for by society better than the idle and the thoughtless. But the progress in this direction remains slow, and there is much to be done yet. Again, modern methods of business have brought with them opportunities for the safe investment of capital in such ways as to yield a revenue to persons who have no good opportunity of engaging in any business, — not even in that of agriculture, where the land will under some conditions act as a trustworthy savings-bank \ These new opportunities have induced some people who would not otherwise have attempted it to put by something for their own old age. And, what has had a still greater effect on the growth of wealth, it has rendered it far easier for a man to provide a secure income for his wife and children after his death : for, after all, family affection is the main motive of savins:. § 4. That men labour and save chiefly for the sake of their families and not for themselves, is shown by the fact that they seldom spend, after they tTve of 'favTng have retired from work, more than the income »s family affec- that comes in from their savings, preferring to leave their stored-up wealth intact for their families; while in this country alone twenty millions a year are saved in the form of insurance policies and are available only after the death of those who save them. A man can have no stronger stimulus to energy and enter- prise than the hope of rising in life, and leaving his family to start from a higher round of the social ladder than that on which he began. It may even give him an overmastering passion which reduces to insignificance the desire for ease, and for all ordinary pleasures, and sometimes even destroys in him the finer sensibilities and nobler aspirations. But, as is shown by the marvellous growth of wealth in America during 1 Other influences exerted by nioderu methods of business on the growth of wealth are noticed in Frinciplen VI. vn. 5. 134 BOOK IV. OH. VII. the present generation, it makes him a mighty producer and accumulator of riches; unless indeed he is in too great a hurry to grasp the social position which his wealth will give him For his ambition may then lead him into as great extrava^ gance as could have been induced by an improvident and self- indulgent temperament. The greatest savings are made by those who have been brought up on narrow means to stern hard work, who have retamed their simple habits, in spite of success in business and who nourish a contempt for showy expenditure and a desire to be found at their death richer than they had been thought to be. This type of character is frequent in the quieter parts of old but vigorous countries, and it was very common among the middle classes in the rural districts of England for more than a generation after the pressure of the great French war and the heavy taxes that lingered in its wake. § 5. Next, as to the sources of accumulation. The power The source of *"" ^^""^ depends on an excess of income over ne- accumuiation cessary expenditure ; and this is greatest among iome'?' Profits. *^^ wealthy. In this country, most of the larger incomes, but only a few of the smaller, are chiefly derived from capital. And, eariy in the present century, the commercial classes in England had much more saving habits than either the country gentlemen or the working classes. These causes combined to make English economists of the last generation regard savings 'as made almost exclusively from" the profits of capital. • But even in modern England rent and the earnings of professional men and of hired workers are an important source Rent and earn- of accumulation: and they have been the chief '"^^- source of it in all the eariier stages of civiliza- tion. Moreover the middle, and especially the professional classes, have always denied themselves much in order to invest capital in the education of their children ; while a great part of the wages of the working classes is invested in the physical THE GROWTH OF WEALTH. 135 m\ health and strength of their children. The older economists took too little account of the fact that human faculties are as important a means of production as any other kind of capital ; and we may conclude, in opposition to them, that any change in the distribution of wealth which gives more to the wage receivers and less to the capitalists is likely, other things being equal, to hasten the increase of material production, and that it will not perceptibly retard the storing-up of material wealth. Of course other things would not be equal, if the change were brought about by violent methods which gave a shock to public security. But a slight and temporary check to the accumulation of material wealth need not necessarily be an evil, even from a purely economic point of view, if, being made quietly and without disturbance, it provides better opportunities for the great mass of the people, increases their efficiency, and developes in them such habits of self-respect as to result in the growth of a much more efficient race of producers in the next generation. For then it may do more in the long-run to promote the growth of even material wealth than great additions to our stock of factories and steam- engines. A people among whom wealth is well distributed, and who have high ambitions, are likely to accumulate a ^ . ,. , . •' Public accu- great deal of public property ; and the savings muiations of made in this form alone by some well-to-do demo- **^'"°'=^*<='««- cracies form no inconsiderable part of the best possessions which our own age has inherited from its predecessors. • The growth of the co-operative movement in all its many fomis, of building societies, friendly societies, trades unions, of working men's savings-banks &c., shows that, even so far as the immediate accumulation of material wealth goes, the resources of the country are not, as the older economists assumed, entirely lost when they are spent in paying wages'. 1 It must howevfi* be admitted that what passes by the name of public property is often only nothing more than private wealth boiTowed on a mort- Co-operation. I ^ 136 BOOK IV. CH. VII. S 6. s 6. S o. The sacrifice of present pleasure for the sake of Interest is the ^^*^"^®> ^^^ been Called abstinence by economists, reward of wait- But this term has been misunderstood: for the greatest accumulators of wealth are very rich persons, some of whom live in luxury, and certainly do not practise abstinence in that sense of the term in which it is convertible with abstemiousness. What economists meant was that, when a person abstained from consuming anything which he had the power of consuming, with the purpose of increasing his resources in the future, his abstinence from that particular act of consumption increased the accumulation of wealth. Since, however, the term is liable to be misunderstood, it is better to say that the accumulation of wealth is generally the result of a postponement of enjoyment, or of a waitina for it'. This willingness to wait is generally increased by a rise in the rate of interest which is the reward of waiting. Con- versely a fall in the rate of interest generally lowers the Influence of ^^^'^^ at which a person finds it just not worth changes in the while to give up present pleasures for the sake of on sa°Jing""* *^^^® ^"^^'"^ pleasures that are to be secured by saving some of his means. It will therefore gene- rally cause people to consume a little more now, and to make less provision for future enjoyment. But this mle is not without exception. For indeed Sir Josiah Child remarked two centuries ago, that in countries in which the rate of interest is high, mer- ' chants " when they have gotten great wealth, leave tra!ding" and lend out their money at interest, " the gain thereof being so easy, certain and great ; whereas in other countries where interest is at a lower rate, they continue merchants from gene- mtion to generation, and enrich themselves and the state." gage of future public revenues. Municipal gas-works for instance are not generally the results of public accumulations. They were built with wealth saved by private persons, and borrowed on public account. 7, ■ ^ ;'""Sf '■ ^^''^^ ""^ "'^ "^^'^^ o* sacrifice involved in waiting is made in rrtuciidts IV. VIII. 8, 9. »■• 1 THE GROWTH OF WEALTH. 137 And it is as true now, as it was then, that many men retire from business when they are yet almost in the prime of life, and when their knowledge of men and things might enable them to conduct their business more efficiently than ever. Again, as Mr Sargant has pointed out, if a man has decided to go on working and saving till he has provided a certain income for his old age, or for his family after his death, he will find that he has to save more if the rate of interest is low than if it is high. Suppose, for instance, that he wishes to provide an income of £400 a year on which he may retire from business, or to insure £400 a year for his wife and children after his death : if then the current rate of interest is 5 per cent., he need only put by £8,000 or insure his life for £8,000; but if it is 4 per cent., he must save £10,000 or insure his life for £10,000. It is then possible that a continued fall in the rate of interest may be accompanied by a continued increase in the yearly additions to the world's capital. But none the less is It true that a fall in the distant benefits to be got by a given amount of working and Avaiting for the future does tend on the whole to diminish the provision which people make for the future; or in more modern phrase, that a fall in the rate of interest tends to check the accumulation of wealth. For though with man's growing command over the resources of nature, he may continue to save much even with a low rate of interest ; yet, Vhile human nature remains as it is, eveiy fall in that rate is likely to cause many more people to save less than to save more than they would otherwise have done. To sum up :— The accumulation of wealth is governed by a great variety of causes : by custom, by habits of self-control and realizing the future, and above all by the power of family aflfection. Security is a necessary condition for it, and the pro- gress of knowledge and intelligence furthers it in many ways. A rise in the rate of interest, or demand price for saving, tends to increase the volume of saving. Fur in spite of the fact that a few people who have determined to secure an w I * 138 BOOK IV. CU. VII. § 6. income of a certain fixed amount for themselves or their family will save less with a high rate of interest than with a low rate, it is a nearly universal rule that a rise in the rate increases the desire to save ; and it often increases the power to save, or rather it is often an indication of an increased efficiency of our productive resources. It must however be recollected that the annual investment of wealth is a small part of the already existing stock, and that therefore the stock would not be increased perceptibly in any one year by even a considerable increase in the annual rate of savins:'. o 1 Tlie followiug table is compiled chiefly from data collected by Mr Giffen. Country and Author of Estimate. Land. £ million. Houses, &c £ million. Farm- capital. £ million. ' other wealth. £ million. Total wealth. £ million. Wealth per cap. £ England. 1690 (Gregory King) 1812 (Colquhoun) . 1885 (Giffen) . . . 180 750 1,333 45 300 1,700 25 143 382 70 653 3,012 320 1,846 6,427 58 180 315 United Kingdom. 1812 (Colqulioun) . 1865 (Giffen) . . . 1875 (Giffen) . . . 1885 (Giffen) . . . 1,200 1,864 2,007 1,691 400 1,031 1,420 1,927 228 620 668 522 208 2,598-. 4,453 5,897 2,736 6,113 8,548 10,037 160 200 260 270 United States. 1880 (Census) . . 2,040 2,000 480 4,208 8,728 175 France. 2,440 * 1878 (de Foville) . 4,000 1,000 560 8,000 215 ' Italy. 1884 (Pantaleoni) . ■ 1,160 360 1,920 i 65 The series of bad harvests and the diflficulty of importing food during the great war at the beginning of this century impoverished the people of England, but nearly doubled the nominal value of the land of England. Since then free trade, the improvements in transport, the opeimig of new countries and other causes have lowered the nominal value of that part of the land v;hich is devoted to agriculture, but have added much to the real wealth of the people. . f \ 139 CHAPTER VIII. INDUSTRIAL ORGANIZATION. § 1. Writers on social science from the time of Plato downwards have delighted to dwell on the in- creased efficiency which labour derives from or- 1^\ '^°"*!'"" gamzation. Adam Smith gave a vivid descrip- """ increases tion of the advantages of the division of labour; l^rZ'b^. he pointed out how they render it possible for '°'°'- increased numbers to live in comfort ou a limited territory ■ and he argued that the pressure of population on the means of subsistence tends to weed out those mces who through want of organization or for any other cause are unable to turn to the best account the advantages of the place in which they ive. Before two more generations had elapsed Malthus' his- torical account of man's struggle for existence set Darwin thinking as to the effects of the struggle for existence in the animal world Since that time biology has more than repaid her debt; and economists have learnt much from the profound analogies which have been discovered between industrial or- ^nization on the one side and the physical organization of the higher anmials on the other. The development of the organism whether social or physical, involves a greater sub- division of functions between its sepai^te parts on the one hand, and on the other a more intimate connection between them Each part gets to be less and less self-sufficient, to depend for its well-being more and more on other parts so that no change can take place in any part of a highly- developed organism without affecting others also This increased subdivision of functions, or "differentia 140 BOOK IV. CH. Vlll. §^ 1, 2. tioii" as it is called, manifests itself with regard to industry Differentiation ^"^ ^^^^ ^^^"^^ ^« *^^« division of labour, and the and Integra- development of specialized skill, knowledge and machinery: while "integration," that is, a growing intimacy and firmness of the connections between the separate parts of the industrial organism, shows itself in such forms as the increase of security of commercial credit, and of the means and habits of communication by sea and road, by railway and telegraph, by post and printing-press. This leads us to consider the main bearings in economics of the law that the struggle for existence causes those organisms to multiply which are best fitted to derive benefit from their environment. This law is often misunderstood ; and taken to mean that The law of ^^^^^ organisms tend to survive which are best sui^fvi!/°'" -^^^"^ ^"^ ^.^'^J'^ *^^ environment. But this is not its meaning. It states that those organisms tend to survive which are hest fitted to utilize the environment for their own purposes. Now those that utilize the environment most, may turn out to be those that benefit it most. But it must not be assumed in any particular case that they are thus beneficial, without special study of that case. § 2. Adam Smith was aware that competition did not always cause the survival of those businesses and those methods of business which were most ad- vantageous to society ; and though he insisted on the general advantages of that minute division of labour and of that subtle industrial organi- zation which were being developed with unexampled rapidity in his time, yet he was careful to indicate points in which the system failed, and incidental evils which it involved. But many of his followers were less careful. They were not contented with arguing that the new industrial organization was obtaining victories over its rivals in every direction, and that this very fact proved that it met a want of the Harmonies and discords between indi- vidual and col lective inter- ests. INDUSTRIAL ORGANIZATIOX. 141 times, and had a good balance of advantages over disad- vantages : but they went further and applied the same argu- ment to all its details; they did not see that the very strength of the system as a whole enabled it to carry along with it many incidents which were in themselves evil. For a while they fascinated the world by their romantic accounts of the flawless proportions of that "natural" organization of industry which had grown from the rudimentary germ of self-interest. They depicted each man selecting his daily work with the sole view of getting for it the best pay he could, but with the inevitable result of choosing that in which he could be of most service to others. They argued for instance that, if a man had a talent for managing business, he would be surely led to use that talent for the benefit of mankind : that meanwhile a like pursuit of their own interests would lead others to provide for his use such capital as he could turn to best account ; and that his own interest would lead him so to arrange those in his employment that every- one should do the highest work of which he was capable, and no other. This "natural organization of industry" had a fascination for earnest and thoughtful minds; it prevented them fix)m seeing and removing the evil that was intertwined with the good in the changes that were going on around them ; and it hindered them from inquiring whether many even of the broader features of modern industry may not be transitional, having indeed good work to do in their time, as the caste system had in its time : but like it chiefly serviceable in lead- ing the way towards better arrangements for a happier age\ 1 Physical peculiarities acquired by parents during their life-time are seldom, if ever, transmitted. But the children of those who lead healthy lives physically and morally are perhaps born with a firmer fibre than others, and certainly are more likely to be well nouiished, well trained, to acquire whole- some instincts, and to have that self-respect which is a mainspring of progress. 142 I CHAPTER IX. INDUSTRIAL ORGANIZATION, CONTINUED. DIVISION OF LABOUR. THE INFLUENCE OF MACHINERY. § 1. The first condition of an efficient organization of Plan of this ^^dustry is that it should keep everyone em- ?o"nowtr° ^iT"^ ^* '"'^ ^^'^ ^' ^'' ^^^^'^' ^'^d training chapters. ^^ '^^^ *<> do well, and should equip him with wort W ?'^„^^'\"'^"^^'^^^ ^^^ ^ther appliances for his work. We shall confine ourselves to the division of labour between different classes of operatives, with special reference to the influence of machinery. In the following chapter we shall consider the reciprocal effects of division of labour and localization of industry; in a third chapter we shall inquire how far the advantages of division of labour depend upon the aggregation of large capitals into the hands of single indi viduals or firms, or, as is commonly said, on production on a large scale ; and lastly, we shall examine the growing speciali zation of the work of business management ^ Everyone is familiar with the fact that "practice makes P ^-t. first seemed difficult, to be done after a time with comparatively little exertion, and yet much better than betore ; and physiology in some measure explains this fact Adam Smith pointed out that a lad who had made nothincr Illustrations. ^""^ ^^^^" ^^^ ^'^ ^^^^ could make them twice as quickly as a firstrate smith who only took to nail making occasionally. Anyone who has to perform exactly INDUSTRIAL ORGANIZATION. DIVISION OF LABOUR. 143 the same set of operations day after day on things of exactly the same shape, gradually learns to move his fingei-s exactly as they are wanted, by almost automatic action and with greater rapidity than would be possible if eveiy movement had to wait for a deliberate instruction of the will. One familiar instance is seen in the tying of threads by children in a cotton mill. Again, in a clothing or a boot factory, a person who sews, whether by hand or machinery, just the same seam on a piece of leather or cloth of just the same size, hour after hour, day after day, is able to do it with far less effort and far more quickly than a worker with much greater 'quickness of eye and hand, and of a much higher order of general skill, who was accustomed to make the whole of a coat or the whole of a boot. Again, in the wood and the metal industries, if a man has to perform exactly the same operations over and over again on the same piece of material, he gets into the habit of holding it exactly in the way in which it is wanted, and of arranging the tools and other things which he has to handle in such positions that he is able to bring them to work on one another with the least possible loss of time and of force in the movements of his own body. Accustomed to find them always in the same position and to take them in the same order, his hands work in harmony with one another almost automatically : and, as he becomes more practised, his expen- diture of nervous force diminishes even more rapidly than his expenditure of muscular force. But when the action has thus been reduced to routine, it has nearly arrived at the stage at which it can be taken over by machinery. The chief difficulty rf^man"^^"^^ to be overcome is that of getting the machinery ^o"*" and of to hold the material firmly in exactly the position "^^"^^""'^• in which the machine tool can be brought to bear on it in the right way, and without wasting too much time in taking grip of it. But this can generally be contrived when it is worth I 144 BOOK IV. CH. IX. 1,2. while to spend some labour and expenso on it ; and then the whole operation can often be controlled by a worker who, sitting before a machine, takes with the left hand a piece of wood or metal from a heap and puts it in a socket, while with the right he draws down a lever, or in some other way sets the machine tool at work, and finally with his left hand throws on to another heap the material which has been cut or punched or drilled or planed exactly after a given pattern. Thus machinery constantly supplants that purely manual skill, the attainment of which was, even up to Adam Smith's time, the chief advantage of division of labour. But, at the same time, it increases the scale of manufactures and makes them more complex ; and, on the whole, increases the opportunities for division of labour of all kinds, and especially in the matter of business management. § 2. The powers of machinery to do work that requires too much accuracy to be done by hand are perhaps best seen Interchange- ^^ some branches of the metal industries in which able Parts. \^y^q System of Interchangeable Parts is being rapidly developed. It is only after long training and with much care and labour that the hand can make one piece of metal accurately to resemble or to fit into another : and after all the accuracy is not perfect. But this is just the work which a well made machine can do most easily and most per- fectly. For instance, if sowing and reaping machines had to be made by hand, their first cost would be very high; and when any part of them was broken, it could be replaced only at great cost by sending the machine back to the manufacturer or by bringing a highly skilled mechanic to the machine. But as it is, the manufacturer keeps in store many facsimiles of the broken part, which were made by the same machinery, and are therefore interchangeable with it. A farmer in the North- West of America, perhaps a hundred miles away from any good mechanic's shop, can yet use complicated machinery with confidence; since he knows that by telegraphing the INDUSTRIAL ORGANIZATION. DIVISION OF LABOUR. 145 number of the machine and the number of any part of it which he has broken, he will get by the next train a new piece which he can himself fit into its place. The importance of this principle of interchangeable parts has been but re- cently grasped; there are however many signs that it will do more than any other to extend the use of machine-made machinery to every branch of production, including even domestic and agricultural work. The influences which machinery exerts over the character of modern . industry are well illustrated in the The watch- manufacture of watches. A few years ago the making trade, chief seat of this business was in French Switzerland ; where the subdivision of labour was carried far, though a great part of the work was done by a more or less scattered population. There were about fifty distinct branches of trade, each of which did one small part of the work. In almost all of them a highly specialized manual skill was required, but veiy little juclgment ; the earnings were generally low, because the trade had been established too long for those in it to have anything, like a monopoly, and there was no difficulty in bringing up to It any child with ordinary intelligence. But this industry IS now yielding ground to the American system of makino- watches by machinery, which requires very little specialized manual skill. In fact the machinery is becoming every year more and more automatic, and is getting to require less and ■ less assistance from the human hand. But the more delicate the machine's power, the greater is the judgment „ ^ and carefulness which is called for from those cre"ses"t\^ de-" who see after it. Take for instance a beautiful r^rlSuP"'" machine which feeds itself with steelwire at one e«""; end, and delivers at the other tiny screws of exquisite form • It displaces a great many operatives who had indeed acquired a very high and specialized manual skill, but who lived sedentary lives, straining their eyesight through microscopes, and finding in their work very little scope for any faculty 146 BOOK IV. CH. IX. 2,3. except a mere command over the use of their fingers. But the machine is intricate and costly, and the person who minds it must have an intelligence, and an energetic sense of respon- sibility, which go a long way towards making a fine character; and which, though more common than they were, are yet sufficiently rare to be able to earn a very high rate of pay. No doubt this is an extreme case ; and the greater part of the work done in a watch factory is much simpler. But much of it requires higher faculties than the old system did, and those engaged in it earn on the average higher wages ; at the same time that it has already brought the price of a trust- worthy watch within the range of the poorest classes of the community, and it is showing signs of being able soon to ac- complish the very highest class of work. Those who finish and put together the different parts of a watch must always have highly specialized skill : barriers be- out most of the machines which are in use in a tTdes.''''^"*"' ^^^""^ factory, are not different in general cha- racter from those which are used in any other of the lighter metal trades: in fact many of them are mere modifications of the turning lathes and of the slotting, punch- ing, drilling, planing, shaping, milling machines and a few others, which are familiar to all engineering trades. This is a good illustration of the fact that while there is a constantly increasing subdivision of labour, many of the lines of division between trades which are nominally distinct are becoming narrower and less difficult to be passed. In old times it would have been very small comfort to watch-makers, who happened to be suffering from a diminished demand for their wares, to be told that the gun-making trade was in want of extra hands ; but most of the operatives in a watch factory would find machines very similar to those with which they were familiar, if they sti-ayed into a gun-making factory or sewing- machine factory, or a factory for making textile machinery. A watch factory with those who worked in it could be con- I INDUSTRIAL ORGANIZATION. DIVISION OF LABOUR. 147 verted without any overwhelming loss into a sewing-machine factory: almost the only condition would be that no one should be put to work in the new factory which required a higher order of general intelligence, than that to which he was already accustomed'. § 3. We may now pass to consider the effects which machinery has in relieving that excessive mus- cular strain which a few generations ago was the ,^*"=^^"f ^^ ^e- , „ ° t) ""^ ^"^ lieves the common lot of more than half the workincr men strain on hu- even in such a country as England. The'' most "^"" "^"^^^"• marvellous instances of the power of machinery are seen in large iron-works, and especially in those for making armour plates, where the force to be exerted is so great that man's muscles count for nothing, and where every movement, whe- ther horizontal or vertical, has to be effected by hydraulic or steam force; man merely standing by ready to govern the ma- chinery and clear away ashes or perform some such secondary Machinery of this class has increased our command over nature, but it has not directly altered the character of man's work very much; for that which it does he could not have done without it. But in other trades machinery has lightened man s labours. The house-carpenters, for instance, make things ot the same kind as those used by our forefathers, with much less toil for themselves. They now give themselves chiefly to those parts of the task which are most pleasant and most interesting; while in every country town and almost every village there are found steam mills for sawing, planing and moulding, which relieve them of that grievous fatigue which not very long ago used to make them prematurely old^ in wa^rh In^n?-^^' '"m^^^ '^'*^^^^' ""^ P"^*^"^ ^^^ ^l°^««t ^s instructive as those ^tch-making. Tliey are traced in Pnnciples IV. ix. 5. purposes wlJ f"^' """f ^""^ '"*^"^^ '"^"^^^ ^^'^^ ^^''^' ^«^' ^^ors and other ere comn!n w ^«^«^^»^°^y «f ^^^ carpenter. AU but speciaUy skiUed men hrbroX , Tf " ^'^^ P"^^ «^ *^^i^ ^^«^« ^tJ^ the jack-pla^e Td this biought on heart-disease, making them as u rule old men by the toe they io— 2 l<', BOOK IV. CH. IX. New machinery, when just invented, generally requires a fijreat deal of care and attention. But the work Machinery takes over mo- of its attendant is always being sifted ; that notonouswork ^j^^j^ jj. uniform and monotonous is gradually taken over by the machine, which thus becomes steadily more and more automatic and self-acting j till at last there is no- thing for the hand to do, but to supply the material at certain intervals and to take away the work when finished. There still remains the responsibility for seeing that the machinery is in good order and working smoothly ; but even this task is often made light by the introduction of an automatic move- ment, which brings the machine to a stop the instant anything goes wrong. Nothing could be more narrow or monotonous than the occupation of a weaver of plain stuffs in the old time. But now one woman will manage four or more looms, each of which does many times as much work in the course of the day as the old hand-loom did; and her work is much less monotonous and calls for much more judgment than his did. So that for every hundred yards of cloth that are woven, the purely monotonous work done by human beings is probably not a twentieth part of what it was. As Roscher says, it is monotony of life much more than J , monotony of work that is to be dreaded : mono- ana lessens •' monotony of tony of work is an evil of the first order only when it involves monotony of life. Now when a life. were forty. But now those who become i^rematurely old through overwork are to be found almost exclusively among the professional classes, among those engaged in the more anxious kinds of business, and in some agricultural districts in which the rate of wages is still very low and the people are habitu- ally underfed. Adam Smith tells us that "workmen, when they are liberally paid, are very apt to overwork themselves and to ruin their health and consti- tution in a few years. A carpenter hi London, and in some other places, is not supposed to last in his utmost vigour above eight years.... Almost every class of artificers is subject to some particular infirmity occasioned by exces- sive application to their peculiar species of work." Wealth of Nations, Book i. Chapter vu. k INDUSTRIAL ORGANIZATION. DIVISION OF LABOUR. 149 person's employment requires much physical exertion, he is fit for nothing after his work ; and unless his mental faculties are called forth in his work, they have little chance of being developed at all. But the nervous force is not very much exhausted in the ordinary work of a factory, at all events where there is not excessive noise, and where the hours of labour are not too long. The social surroundings of factory life stimulate mental activity in and out of working hours; and even those factory workers, whose occupations are seem- ingly the most monotonous, have more intelligence and mental resource than has been shown by the English agricultural labourer, whose employment has more variety. It is true that the American agriculturist is an able man, and that his children rise rapidly in the world. But partly because land has been plentiful, and he has generally owned the farm that he cultivates, he has had better social conditions than the English ; he has always had to think for himself, and has long had to use and to repair complex machines. The English agricultural labourer has had many great disadvantages to contend with ; but is steadily improving his position. § 4. We may next consider what are the conditions under which the economies in production arising from division of labour can best be secured. It is fSandma" obvious that the efficiency of specialized machi- chinery cannot nery or specialized skill is but one condition of unie'Ls'thescate its economic use; the other is that sufficient work ?^ Production IS large. should be found to keep it well employed. As Babbage pointed out, in a large factory "the master manu- facturer by dividing the work to be executed into different processes, each requiring different degrees of skill or force, can purchase exactly that precise quantity of both which is necessary for each process ; whereas if the whole work were executed by one workman that person must possess sufficient skill to perform the most difficult and sufficient strength to execute the most laborious of the operations into which the 150 BOOK IV. CH. IX. 5 4. work is divided." The economy of production requires not only that each person should be employed constantly in a narrow range of work, but also that, when it is necessary for him to undertake different tasks, each of these tasks should be such as to call forth as much as possible of his skill and ability. Just in the same way the economy of machinery requires that a powerful turning-lathe when specially arranged for one class of work should be kept employed as long as possible on that work ; and if after all it is necessary to employ it on other work, that should be such as to be worthy of the lathe, and not such as could have been done equally well by a much smaller machine. Many of those economies in the use of specialized skill and machinery which are commonly regarded as within the reach of very large establishments, do not depend on the size of indi- vidual factories. Some depend on the aggregate production of the kind in the neighbourhood ; while others again, especially those connected with the growth of knowledge and tho pro- gress of the arts, depend chiefly on the aggregate volume of production in the whole civilized world. And here we may introduce two technical terms. We may divide the economies arising from an increase in the scale of production of any kind of goods, into two classes. Those which we have been discussing may be called Internal Economies; because they are dependent on the resources of the individual houses of business engaged in it, on their internal organization and on the efficiency of their manage- ment. We have next to examine those Uocternal economies which arise from the general development of an industry and especially from the concentration of many businesses of a similar character in particular localities : or, as is commonly said, from the Localization of Industry. External and Internal Eco- nomies. O t 151 CHAPTER X. INDUSTRIAL ORGANIZATION CONTINUED. THE CONCENTRA- TION OF SPECIALIZED INDUSTRIES IN PARTICULAR LOCALITIES. § 1. In an early stage of civilization every place had to depend on its own resources for most of the heavy wares which it consumed; unless indeed forms of locai- it happened to have special facilities for water ^^f** indus- carriage. But the slowness with which customs changed, made it easy for producers to meet the wants of consumers with whom they had little communication ; and it enabled comparatively poor people to buy a few expensive goods from a distance, in the security that they would add to the pleasure of festivals and holidays during a life-time, or perhaps even during two or three life-times. Consequently the lighter and more expensive articles of dress and personal adornment, together with spices and some kinds of metal implements used by all classes, and many other things for the special use of the rich, often came from astonishing distances. Many various causes have led to the localization of indus- tries, but the chief have been physical ; such as the character of the climate and the soil, or the origins of existence of mines and quarries in the neigh- ^^^^^^^^^ *"' bourhood, or within easy access by land or water. Thus metallic industries have generally been either near mines or in places where fuel was cheap. The iron industries in England first sought those districts in which charcoal was plentiful, and afterwards they went to the neighbourhood of 152 BOOK IV. CH. X. §§ 1, 2. collieries. Staffordshire makes many kinds of pottery, all the materials of which are imported from a long distance; but she has cheap coal and excellent clay for making the heavy "seggars" or boxes in which the pottery is placed wliile being fired. Straw plaiting has its chief home in Bedfordshire, where straw has just the right proportion of silex to give strength without brittleness; and Buckinghamshire beeches have afforded the material for the Wycombe chairmaking. The Sheffield cutlery trade is due chiefly to the excellent grit of which its grindstones are made. Another chief cause has been the patronage of a court. The rich folk there assembled make a demand for jroods of specially high quality; and this attracts skilled workmen from a distance, and educates those on the spot. Thus the mecha- nical faculty of Lancashire is said to be due to the influence of Norman smiths who were settled at Warrington by Hugo de Lupus in William the Conqueror's time. And the greater part of England's manufacturing industry before the era of cotton and steam had its course directed by settlements of Flemish and Huguenot artisans; many of which were made under the immediate direction of Plantagenet and Tudor kings. These immigrants taught us how to weave woollen and worsted stuffs, though for a long time we sent our cloths to the Netherlands to be fulled and dyed. They taught us how to cure herrings, how to manufacture silk, how to make lace, glass, and paper, and to provide for many other of our wants. § 2. When an industry has once thus chosen a locality for itself, it is likely to stay there lonff : so great Advantages of ,i i i • i , « localized in- are the advantages which people following the redVta^'skmV ^^^^ skilled trade get from near neighbourhood to one another. The mysteries of the trade be- come no mysteries ; but are as it were in the air, and children learn many of them unconsciously. Good work is rightly appreciated; inventions and improvements in machinery, in I i ■ LOCALIZED INDUSTRIES. 153 processes and the general organization of the business have their merits promptly discussed ; if one man starts a new idea it is taken up by others and combined with suggestions of their own, and thus becomes the source of further new ideas. And presently subsidiary trades grow up in the subsidiary neighbourhood, supplying it with implements and trades; materials, organizing its traftic, and in many ways (Conducing to the economy of its material. Again, the economic use of expensive machinery can some- times be attained in a very high degree in a specialized district in which there is a large aggregate pro- "machinery; duction of the same kind, even though no individual capital employed in the trade be very large. For subsidiary indus- tries devoting themselves each to one small branch of the process of production, and working it for a great many of their neighbours, are able to keep in constant use machinery of the most highly specialized character ; and to make it pay its expenses, though its original cost may have been high, and its rate of depreciation very rapid. Again, in all but the earliest stages of economic develop- ment a localized industry gains a great advantage jocai market from the fact that it offers a constant market for ^°*" ^'^^"• skill. Employers are apt to resort to any place where they are likely to find a good choice of workers with the special skill which they require; while men seeking employment naturally go to places where they expect to find a good market for their skill, in consequence of the presence of many em- ployers who require its aid. The owner of an isolated factory is often put to great shifts for want of some special skilled labour which has suddenly run short ; and a skilled workman, when thrown out of employment in it, has no easy refuge. On the other hand a localized industry has some disad- vantages as a market for labour if the work done in it is chiefly of one kind, such for instance as can be done only by strong men. In those iron districts in which there are no 154 BOOK IV. CH. X. § 2. textile or other factories to give employment to women and But there may children, wages are high and the cost of labour be too exten- clear to the employer, while the average money fircone kind"of earnings of each family are low. But the remedy labour. f^j. ^jjjg gy^j jg obvious, and is found in the growth in the same neighbourhood of industries of a supplementary character. Thus textile industries are constantly found con- gregated in the neighbourhood of mining and engineering industries, in some cases having been attracted by almost imperceptible steps; in others, as for instance at Barrow, having been started deliberately on a large scale in order to give variety of employment in a place where previously there had been but little demand for the work of women and children. The advantages of variety of employment are combined with those of localized industries in some of our manufacturing towns, and this is a chief cause of their continued growth. But on the other hand the value which the central sites of a large town have for trading purposes, enables them to com- mand much higher ground-rents than the situations are worth for factories, even when account is taken of this combination of advantages : and there is a similar competition for dwelling space between the employes of the trading houses, and the factory workers. The result is that factories now congregate in the outskirts of large towns and in manufacturing districts in their neighbourhood rather than in the towns themselves. A district which is dependent chiefly on one industry is liable to extreme depression, in case of a falling- Different in- qQ -j^ ^Yie demand for its produce, or of a failure dustnes m the ^ ' i • i • same neigh- in the Supply of the raw material which it uses, miti'gate each This evil again is in a great measure avoided by other's depres- ^hoge large towns, or large industrial districts in sions. ° 1 • which several distinct industnes are strongly de- veloped. If one of them fails for a time, the others are likely to support it in many ways, chiefly indirect; one of these LOCALIZED INDUSTRIES. 155 )^ being that they keep in heart the local shopkeepers, who are thus enabled to continue their assistance longer than they otherwise could, to the workpeople in those trades that happen to be depressed. It is instructive to study the influence of improved means of communication on the character of England's . - . . , J. Changes in the industries. The agricultural population has di- distribution of minished relatively to the rest, though not so fast J^"^f^^^f ^ '''' as is commonly supposed. Manufacture employs a rather smaller proportion of the population than it did a generation ago. But there has been a great increase in in- dustries in which the progress of invention has done little towards economizing effort, and which meet growing demands: the chief of these are education, domestic service, building, dealing, and transport by road. ^M. 156 CHAPTER XL INDUSTRIAL ORGANIZATION, CONTINUED. PRODUCTION ON A LARGE SCALE. § 1. The advantages of production on a large scale are best shown in manufacture ; under which head Manufacture • i i n i. • i • i is typical for we may include all businesses engaged in work- our present jjj„ ^p material into forms in which it will be purpose. ox adapted for sale in distant markets. The cha- racteristic of manufacturing industries which makes them offer generally the best illustrations of the advantages of pro- duction on a large scale, is their power of choosing freely the locality in which they will do their work. They are thus contrasted on the one hand with agriculture and other extractive industries (mining, quarrying, fishing etc.), the geo- graphical distribution of which is determined by nature ; and on the other hand with industries that make or repair things to suit the special needs of individual consumers, from whom they cannot be far removed, at all events without great loss. The chief advantages of production on a large scale are Economy of ©conomy of skiU, economy of machinery and eco- materiai. nomy of materials : but the last of these is rapidly losing importance relatively to the other two. It is true that an isolated workman often throws away a number of small things which would have been collected and turned to good account in a factory ; but waste of this kind can scarcely occur in a localized manufacture' even if it is in the hands of small men ; and there is not very much of it in any branch 4^ ^ PRODUCTION ON A LARGE SCALE. 157 of industry in modem England, except agriculture and domestic cooking ^ But small factories are still placed under a great disadvan- tage, even in a localized industry, by the growing specialized variety and expensiveness of machinery. For in machinery. a large establishment there are often many expensive machines each made specially for one small use. Each of them requires space in a good light, and thus stands for something consider- able in the rent and general expenses of the factory; and independently of interest and the expense of keeping it in repair, a heavy allowance must be made for depreciation in consequence of its being probably improved upon before long. A small manufacturer must therefore have many things done by hand or by imperfect machinery, though he knows how to have them done better and cheaper by special machineiy, if only he could find constant employment for it. But next, a small manufacturer may not always be ac- quainted with the best machinery for his purpose, improvements It is true that if the industry in which he is in machinery, engaged has been long established on a large scale, his ma- chinery will be well up to the mark, provided he can afford to buy the best in the market. In agriculture and the cotton industries for instance, improvements in machineiy are devised almost exclusively by machine makers; and they are accessible to all, at any rate on the payment of a royalty for patent riarht. But this is not the case in industries that are as yet 1 No doubt many of the most important advances of recent years have been due to the utilizing of what had been a waste product ; but this has been generally due to a distinct invention, either chemical or mechanical, the use of which has been indeed promoted by minute subdivision of labour, but has not been directly dependent on it. Again, it is true that when a hundred suits of furniture, or of clothing, have to be cut out on exactly the same pattern, it is worth while to si)end great care on so plamiing the cutting out of the boards or the cloth, that only a few small pieces are wasted. But this is properly an economy of skill; one planning is made to suffice for many tasks, and therefore can be done well and carefully. H 158 BOOK IV. CH. XI. g 1, 2. in an early stage of development or are rapidly changing their form; such as the chemical industries, the watchmaking in- dustry and some branches of the jute and silk manufactures ; and in a host of trades that are constantly springing up to supply some new want or to work up some new material. There are however some trades iii which the advantages which a large factory deiives from the economy of machinery almost vanish as soon as a moderate size has been reached. For instance in cotton spinning, and calico weaving, a com- paratively small factory will hold its own and give constant employment to the best known machines for every process : so that a large factory is only several parallel smaller factories under one roof; and indeed some cotton-spinners, when en- larging their works, think it best to add a weaving depart- ment. In such cases the large business gains little or no economy in machinery; but even then it generally saves some- thing in building, particularly as regards chimneys, in the economy of steam power, and in the management and repairs of engines and machinery. This last point is of rather more importance than appears at first sight ; and large works even though they produce nothing but soft goods, have generally well-organized carpenters' and mechanics' shops, which not only diminish the cost of repaii-s, but have the impoi-tant advantage of preventing delays from accidents to the plant. Akin to these last, there are a great many advantages Buying and whicli a large factory, or indeed a large business selling. ^£ almost any kind, nearly always has over a small one. A large business buys in groat quantities and therefore cheaply ; it pays low freights and saves on carriage in many ways, particularly if it has a railway siding. It often sells in large quantities, and thus saves itself trouble; and yet at the same time it gets a good price, because it offers conveniences to the customer by having a large stock from which he can select and at once fill up a varied order ; while its reputation gives him confidence. It can spend large sums * PRODUCTION ON A LARGE SCALE. 159 on advertising by commercial travellers and in other ways; its agents give it trustworthy information on trade and per- sonal mattei-s in distant places, and its own goods advertise one another. Many of these economies in the matter of buying and selling can be secured by a large trading house. Alliance be- which puts out its work to be done by small tween large manufacturers or by workpeople at their own sma"produ- homes. So far therefore they do not tell in the '=^"- direction of destroying small manufacturers, but rather of limiting the character of the work of business management done by them; as we shall see more fully in the next chapter. Next, with regard to the economy of skill. Everything' that has been said with regard to the advantages specialized which a large establishment has in being able to ^^>"' afford highly specialized machinery applies equally with regard to highly specialized skill. It can contrive to keep each of its employes constantly engaged in the most difiicult work of which he is capable, and yet so to narrow the range of his work that he can attain the facility and excellence which come from long-continued practice. This economy gives a practical supremacy to large factories in industries which offer much scope for it, if the work cannot be subdivided among many small factories on the plan described in the last chapter. § 2. The head of a large business can reserve all his strength for the broadest and most fundamental problems of his trade: he must indeed assure manuflrturer himself that his managers, clerks and foremen ^an give him - . . , . self wholly to are the right men for their work, and are doing broad ques- their work well; but beyond this he need not ^^°"^°^P°"'^y- trouble himself much about details. He can keep his mind fresh and clear for thinking out the most difficult and vital problems of his business; for studying the broader move- ments of the markets, the yet undeveloped results of current events at home and abroad ; and for contriving how to improve K 160 BOOK IV. CH. XI. § 2. the organization of the internal and external relations of his business. For much of this work the small employer has not the time if he has the ability ; he cannot take so broad a survey of his trade, or look so far ahead ; he must often be content to follow the lead of others. And he must spend much of his time on work that is below him ; for if he is to succeed at all, his mind must be in some respects of a high quality, and must have a good deal of originating and organizing force; and yet he must do much routine work. On the other hand the small employer has advantages of The small ^^^ own. The master's eye is everywhere ; there manufacturer jg j^q shirking by his foremen or workmen, no Ccin s&vc in superintend- divided responsibility, no sending half-understood ence, messages backwards and forwards from one de- partment to another. He saves much of the book-keeping, and nearly all of the cumbrous system of checks that are necessary in the business of a large firm ; and the gain from this source is of very great importance in trades which use the more valuable metals and other expensive materials. And though he must always remain at a great disadvant- and he gains ^S^ ^^ g^^^i^g information and in making experi- much from the ments, yet in this matter the general course of modem diffu- . sion of trade- progress IS on his Side. For External economies now edge. ^^^ constantly growing in importance relatively to Internal in all matter's of trade-knowledge : newspapers, and trade and technical publications of all kinds are per- petually scouting for him and bringing him much of the knowledge he wants — knowledge which a little while ago would have been beyond the reach of anyone who could not affoi"d to have well-paid agents in many distant places. Again, it is to his interest also that the secrecy of business is on the whole diminishing, and that the most important improvements in method seldom remain secret for long aftei- they have passed from the experimental stage. It is to his advantage PRODUCTION ON A LARGE SCALE. 161 that changes in manufacture depend less on mere rules of thumb and more on broad developments of scientific principle; and that many of these are made by students in the pursuit of knowledge for its own sake, and are promptly published in the general interest. Although therefore the small manu- facturer can seldom be in the front of the race of progress, he need not be far from it, if he has the time and the ability foi- availing himself of the modern facilities for obtaining know- ledge. But it is time that he must be exceptionally strong if he can do this without neglecting the minor but necessary details of the business. The advantages which a large business has over a small one are conspicuous in manufacture, because, as we have noticed, it has special facilities for con- ^rantport"** centrating a great deal of work in a small area, mining, agri- But there is a strong tendency for large estab- *""**""• lishments to drive out small ones in many other industries; in particular the retail trade is being transformed, and the small shopkeeper is losing ground daily. Large firms are gaining rapidly in the Transport Industries, to a less extent in mining and very little if at all in agriculture'. 1 The small shopkeeper has special facilities for bringing his goods to the door of his customers ; for humouring their several tastes ; and for kuo>ving enough of them individuaUy to be able safely to sell on credit. But the im- portance of these advantages is diminishmg. Meanwhile cycles, tramways &c. are making it easier for customers to visit large central establishments for the purchase of those goods which it is important to select from a large and varied stock and one which is constantly renewed with changing fashions- while groceries and other goods of which the small shopkeeper could keep a fair supply are conveniently obtained by a written order from the price list of shops or stores which turn over their stock rapidly and keep eveiything fresh. See Princiiihfi IV. xi. 6, 7. M. 11 I CHAPTER XII. INDUSTRIAL ORGANIZATION, CONTINUED. BUSINESS MANAGEMENT. § 1. Business may be taken to include all provision for the wants of others which is made in the ex- management pectation of payment direct or indirect from those has many ^jj^ ^^e to be benefited. It is thus contrasted forms. with the provision for our own Wtants which each of us makes for himself, and with those kindly services which are prompted by family affection and the desire to promote the well-being of others. Even in modem England we find now and then a village Primitive artisan who adheres to primitive methods, and methods. makes things on his own account for sale to his neighbours ; managing his own business and undertaking all its risks \ But such cases are rare: and in the greater part The modern ^^ ^^^^ business of the modern world the task of undertaker, ^q directing production that a given effort may be most effective in supplying human wants has to be broken up and given into the hands of a specialized body of em- ployers, or to use a more general term, of business men. They "adventure" or "undertake" its risks; they bring together the capital and the labour required for the work; they arrange or "engineer" its general plan, and superintend its minor details. Looking at business men from one point of view we ^ The most striking instances of an adherence to old-fashioned methods of business are supplied by the learned professions ; for a physician or a solicitor manages as a rule his own business and does all its work. BUSINESS MANAGEMENT. 163 may regard them as a highly skilled industrial grade, from another as middlemen intervening between the manual worker and the consumer. There are some kinds of business men who undertake great risks, and exercise a large influence over subdivision of the welfare both of the producers and of the the tasks of consumers of the wares in which they deal, but and^^perin- who are not to any considerable extent direct em- tendence. ployers of labour. F©r instance some Mancliester warehouse- men give themselves to studying the movements of fashion, the markets for raw materials, the general state of trade, of the money market and of politics, and all other causes that are likely to influence the prices of different kinds of goods during the coming season ; and after employing, if necessary, skilled designers to carry out their ideas, they give out to manufacturers in different parts of the world contracts for making the goods on which they have determined to risk their capital. And in the clothing trades and some others, we see a revival of what has been called the " house House indus- industry," which prevailed long ago in the textile *"^s- industries; that is, the system in which large undertakers give out work to be done in cottages and very small work- shops to persons who work alone or with the aid of some members of their family, or who perhaps employ two or three hired assistants. In remote villages in almost every county of England agents of large undertakers come round to give out to the cottagers partially prepared materials for goods of all sorts, but especially clothes such as shirts and collars and gloves; and take back with them the finished goods. It is however in the great capital cities of the world, and in other large towns, especially old towns, where there is a great deal of unskilled and unorganized labour, with a somewhat low physique and morale, that the system is most fully developed, especially in the clothing trades, which employ two hundred thousand people in London alone, and in the cheap furniture 11—2 4 164 BOOK IV. CH. XTT. §§ 1, 2. trades. There is ji continual contest between the factory and the domestic system, now one gaining ground and now the other: for instance just at present the growing use of sewing-machines worked by steam power is strengthening the position of the factories in the boot trade ; while factories and workshops are getting an increased hold of the tailoring trade. On the other hand the hosiery trade is being tempted back to the dwelling-house by recent improvements in hand knitting machines ; and it is possible that new methods of distributing power by gas and petroleum and electric engines may exercise a like influence on many other industries. Or there may be a movement towai-ds intermediate plans, Sheffield similar to those which are largely followed in the trades. Sheffield trades. Many cutlery firms for instance put out grinding and other parts of their work, at piece-work prices, to working men who rent the steam power which they require, either from the firm from whom they take their contract or from someone else: these workmen sometimes employing others to help them, sometimes working alone. Thus there are many ways in which those who undertake the chief risks of buying and selling may avoid the trouble of housing and superintending those who work for them. They all have their advantages ; and when the workers are men of strong character, as at Sheffield, the results are on the whole not unsatisfactory. But unfortunately it is often the weakest class of workers, those with the least resource and the least self-control who drift into work of this kind. The elasticity of the system which recommends it to the undertaker, is really the means of enabling him to exercise, if he chooses, an undesirable pressure on those who do his work. For while the success of a factory depends in a great measure on its having a set of operatives who adhere steadily to it, the capitalist who gives out work to be done at home has an interest in retaining a great many persons on his books ; he is tempted to give each of them a little employ- < 4 BUSINESS MANAGEMENT. 165 ment occasionally and play them oiF one against another ; and this he can easily do because they do not know one another, and cannot arrange concerted action'. § 2. When the profits of business are under discussion they are generally connected in people's minds with the employer of labour: "the employer" is required in the often taken as a term practically coextensive '^**' manu- • 1 1 • /• 1 • n -rt ^ 'acturer. With the receiver of business profits. But the instances which we have just considered are sufficient to illus- trate the truth that the superintendence of labour is but one side, and often not the most important side of business work ; and that the employer who undertakes the whole risks of his business really performs two entirely distinct services on behalf of the community, and requires a twofold ability. The ideal manufacturer, for instance, if he makes goods not to meet special orders but for the general market, must, in his first role as merchant and organizer of production, have a thorough knowledge of things in his own trade. He must have the power of forecasting the broad movements of pro- duction and consumption, of seeing where there is an oppor- tunity for supplying a new commodity that will meet a real want or improving the plan of producing an old commodity. He must be able to judge cautiously and undertake risks boldly; and he must of course understand the materials and machinery used in his trade. But secondly in this r6le of employer he must be a natural leader of men. He must have a power of first choosing his assistants rightly and then trusting them fully ; of interesting them in the business and of getting them to trust him, so as to bring out whatever enterprise and power of origination there is in them ; while he himself exercises a general control over everything, and preserves order and unity in the main plan of the business. 1 The subject of this sectiou is studied a good deal more fully in Pnnci;^es IV. XII. 1—4. X 166 BOOK IV. CH. XII. 5^ 2^-4. The abilities required to make an ideal employer are so great and so numerous that very few persons can exhibit them all in a very high degree. Their relative importance however varies with the nature of the industry and the size of the business ; and while one employer excels in one set of quali- ties, another excels in another; scarcely any two owe their success to exactly the same combination of advantages. Some men make their way by the use of none but noble qualities, while others owe their prosperity to qualities in which there is veiy little that is really admirable except sagacity and strength of purpose. Such then being the jjeneral nature of the work of business management, we have next to inquire what opportunities diiferent classes of people have of developing business ability ; and, when they have obtained that, what opportunities they have of getting command over the capital required to give it scope. § 3. The son of a man already established in business The son of a starts with SO many advantages that we might business man expect business men to constitute a sort of caste ; st&rts with many advan- dividing out among their sons the chief posts of tages, command, and founding hereditary dynasties, which ruled certain branches of trade for many generations together. But it is not so. A man who gets together a great business by his own efforts has probably been brought up by parents of strong but also with earnest character, and educated by their personal disadvantages, influence and by struggle with difficulties in early life. But his children, at all events if they were born after he became rich, and in any case his grandchildren, are perhaps left a good deal to the care of domestic servants who are not of the same strong fibre as the parents by whose influence he was educated. And while his highest ambition was probably success in business, they are likely to be at least equally anxious for social distinction. BUSINESS MANAGEMENT. 167 i For a time indeed all may go well. His sons find a firmly established trade connection, and what is perhaps even more important, a well-chosen staff of subordinates with a generous interest in the business. By mere assiduity and caution, availing themselves of the traditions of the firm, they may hold together for a long time. But when a full generation has passed, when the old traditions are no longer a safe guide, and when the bonds that held together the old sUifi" have been dissolved, then the business almost invariably falls to pieces unless it is practically handed over to the management of new men who have meanwhile risen to partnership in the firm. But in most cases his descendants arrive at this result by a shorter route. They prefer an abundant income coming to them without effort on their part, to one which though twice as large could be earned only by incessant toil and anxiety ; and they sell the business to private persons or a joint-stock company; or they become sleeping partners in it; that is sharing in its risks and in its profits, but not taking part in its management : in either case the active control over their capital falls chiefly into the hands of new men. § 4. The oldest and simplest plan for renovating the energies of a business is that of taking into Private part- partnership some of its ablest employes. Or "erships. again two or more people may combine their resources for a large and difficult undertaking. In such cases there is often a distinct partition of the work of management : in manu- factures for instance one partner will sometimes give himself almost exclusively to the work of buying raw material and selling the finished product, while the other is responsible for the management of the factory : and in a trading establish- ment one partner will control the wholesale and the other the retail department. In these and other ways private partner- ship is capable of adapting itself to a great variety of problems : it is very strong and very elastic ; it has played a great part in the past, and it is full of vitality now. 168 BOOK IV. CH. XII. § 5. ii 11 § 5. But from the end of the Middle Ages to the present time there has been in some classes of trades a movement Joint-stock towards the substitution of public joint-stock companies. companies, the shares of which can be sold to anybody in the open market, for private companies, the shares in which are not transferable without the leave of all con- cerned. The eifect of this change has been to induce people, many of whom have no special knowledge of trade, to give their capital into the hands of others employed by them : and there has thus arisen a new distribution of the various parts of the work of business management. The ultimate undertakers of the risks incurred by a joint- stock company are the shareholders; but as a rule they do not take much active part in engineering the business and controlling its general policy ; and they take no part in super- intending its details. After the business has once got out of the hands of its original promoters, the control of it is left chiefly in the hands of Directors ; who, if the company is a very large one, probably own but a very small proportion of its shares, while the greater part of them have not much technical knowledge of the work to be done. They are not generally expected to give their whole time to it ; but they are supposed to bring wide general knowledge and sound judgment to bear on the broader problems of its policy; and at the same time to make sure that the "Managers" of the company are doing their work thoroughly. To the Managers and their assistants is left a great part of the work of engi- neering the business, and the whole of the work of superin- tending it : but they are not required to bring any capital into it ; and they are supposed to be promoted from the lower ranks to the higher according to their zeal and ability. Since the joint-stock companies in the tJnited Kingdom have an aggregate income of £100,000,000, and do a tenth of the busi- ness of all kinds that is done in the country, they offer very large opportunities to men with natural talents for business BUSINESS MANAGEMENT. 169 i management, who have not inherited any material capital, or any business connection. Joint-stock companies have great elasticity and can expand themselves without limit when the work to which they have set themselves offers a wide scope; and they are gaining ground in nearly all directions. But they have one great source of weakness in the absence of any adequate knowledge of the business on the part of the shareholders who undertake its chief risks ; though a few of the larger shareholders often exert themselves to find out what is going on ; and are thus able to exercise an effective and wise control over the general management of the business ^ It is a strong proof of the marvellous growth in recent times of a spirit of honesty and uprightness in commercial matters, that the leading officers of great public companies yield as little as they do to the vast temptations to fraud which lie in their way. If they showed an eagerness to avail themselves of opportunities for wrong- doing at all approaching that of which we read ^ ^^ „,...,.. The system in the commercial history of earlier civilizations, rendered their wrong uses of the trust imposed in them ^y J^f^^^dern would have been on so great a scale as to prevent growth of busi- the development of this democratic f(^rm of busi- ness. There is every reason to hope that the progress of trade morality will continue, and that it will be aided in the future as it has been in the past, by a diminution of trade secrecy 1 It is true that the head of a large private firm undertakes the chief risks of the business, while he intrusts many of its details to others ; but his i>osi- tiou is secured by his power of forming a direct judgment as to whether his subordinates serve his interests faithfully and discreetly. If those to whom he has intrusted the buying or selUug of goods for him take commissions from those with whom they deal, he is in a position to discover and punish the fraud. If they show favouritism and promote incompetent relations or friends of their own, or if they themselves become idle and shirk their work, or even if they do not fulfil the promise of exceptional ability which induced him to give them their first lift, he can discover what is going wrong and set it right. But in all these matters the great body of the shareholders of a joint-stock company are, save in a few exceptional instances, almost powerless. I I) 170 BOOK IV. CH. XII. §§ 5, G. and by increased publicity in every form ; and thus collective and democratic forms of business management may be able to extend themselves safely in many directions in which they have hitherto failed, and may far exceed the great services they already render in opening a large career to those who have no advantages of birth. The same may be saicl of the undertakings of Giwernments Government imperial and local : they also may have a great undertakings, future before them, but up to the present time the tax-payer who undertakes the ultimate risks has not gene- rally succeeded in exercising an efficient control over the businesses, and in securing officers who will do their work with as much energy and enterprise as is shown in private establishments. The problem of Government undertakings involves however many complex issues, into which we cannot inquire here. § 6. The system of Co-operation aims at avoiding the ^ ^. evils of these two methods of business manage- Co-operative • cj • i. association. ment. In that ideal fonn of Co-operative feociety, for which many still fondly hope, but which as yet has been scantily realized in practice, a part or the whole of those shareholders who undertake the risks of the business are themselves employed by it. The employes, whether they con- tribute towards the material capital of the business or not, have a share in its profits, and some power of voting at the general meetings at which the broad lines of its policy are laid down, and the officers appointed who are to cany that policy into eifect. They are thus the employers and masters of their own managers and foremen ; they have fairiy good means of judging whether the higher work of engineering the business is conducted honestly and efficiently, and they have the best possible opportunities for detecting any laxity or incompetence ill its detailed administration. And lastly they render unne- cessiiiy some of the minor work of superintendence that is required in other establishments; for their own pecuniary BUSINESS MANAGEMENT. 171 interests and the pride they take in the success of their own business make each of them averse to any shirking of work either by himself or by his fellow workmen. But unfortunately the system has very great difficulties of its own. For human nature being what it is, the ^^^ ^j^^^ities employes themselves are not always the best pos- in the task of sible masters of their own foremen and managers; ^g*;^*^^/"*"" jealousies and f rettings at reproof are apt to act like sand, that has got mixed with the oil in the bearings of a great and complex machinery. And in particular, since the hardest work of business management is generally that which makes the least outward show, those who work with their hands are apt to underrate the intensity of the strain involved in the highest work of engineering the business, and to grudge its being paid for at anything like as high a rate as it could earn elsewhere. And in fact the managers of a Co-operative Society seldom have the alertness, the inventiveness and the ready versatility of the ablest of those men who have been selected by the struggle for survival, and have been trained by the perfectly free and unfettered responsibility of private business. Partly for these reasons the co-operative system has seldom been carried out in its entirety ; and its partial appli- cation has so far attained its highest success in the task of retailing commodities consumed by working men— a task in which it has special advantages. But bond fide co-operative production is now at last making excellent progress. Those working-men indeed whose tempers are strongly individualistic, and whose minds are concentrated j^ ^^^ ^^^_ almost wholly on their own affairs, will perhaps grow some of *' t > ' ^ these. always find their quickest and most congenial path to material success by commencing business as small independent " undertakers," or by working their way upwards in a private firm or a public company. But co-operation has a special charm for those in whose tempers the social element is stronger, and who desire not to separate themselves fix)m i» 172 BOOK IV. CH. XII. § 6, 7. their old comrades, but to work among them as their leadere. Its aspirations may in some respects be higher than its prac- tice ; but it undoubtedly does rest in a great measure on ethical motives. The true co-operator combines a keen busi- ness intellect with a spirit full of an earnest Faith ; and some co-operative societies have been serv'^ed excellently by men of great genius both mentally and morally — men who for the sake of the Co-operative Faith that is in them, have worked with great ability and energy, and with perfect uprightness, being all the time content with lower pay than they could have got as business managers on their own account or for a private firm. Men of this stamp are more common among the officers of co-operative societies than in other occupations; and though they are not very common even there, yet it may be hoped that the diffusion of a better knowledge of the true principles of co-operation, and the increase of general educa- tion are every day fitting a larger number of co-operators for the complex problems of business management. Meanwhile many partial applications of the co-operative principle are being tried under various conditions, each of which presents some new aspect of busi- ness management. Thus under the scheme of Profit-Sharing, a private firm while retaining the unfettered management of its business, pays its employes the full market rate of wages whether by Time or Piece-work, and agrees in addition to divide among them a certain share of any profits that may be mtide above a certain fixed minimum ; it being hoped that the firm will find a material as well as a moral reward in the diminution of friction, in the increased willingness of their employes to go out of their way to do little things that may be of great benefit comparatively to the firm, and lastly in attracting to themselves workers of more than average ability and industry*. 1 111 Schloss' Methods of Remuneration the relation of Profit sharing to co-oi)eratioD and other forms of " Gain sharing " is well shown. Profit Sharing. i« BUSINESS MANAGEMENT. 173 Other partial co-operative schemes are doing good work in various degrees. For instance the Oldham Cotton ^^^^^ ^^^^^ ^^ Mills are really j(jint-stock companies : but partial Co- among their shareholders are many working men °^*'"* *°"' who have a special knowledge of the trade, tliough not many of their own employes. There is a larger element of co- operation in the Productive establishments, owned by the main body of Co-operative Stores, through their agents, the Co-operative Wholesale Societies. Here the Scotchmen are in advance ; in the English Society the workers as such have as yet no direct share either in the management or in the profits of the works. But we must not pui-sue this inquiry further now : enough has been said to show that the world is only Hopes for the just beginning to be ready for the higher work ^"*"''^- of the co-operative movement in its many different forms. It may therefore be reasonably expected to attain a much larger success in the future than in the past ; and to offer excellent opportunities for working-men to practise themselves in the work of business management, to grow into the trust and confidence of others, and gradually rise to posts in which their business abilities will find scope. § 7. In speaking of the difficulty that a working-man has in rising to a post in which he can turn his busi- ^he rise of the ness ability to full account, the chief stress is r^^'l^^"^-^*". •^ • 1 r, u" hindered by his commonly laid upon his want of capital : but this want of capi - is not always his chief difficulty. For instance **^' the co-operative distributive societies have accumulated a vast capital, on which they find it difficult to get a good rate of interest ; and which they would be rejoiced to lend to any set of working-men who could show that they had the capacity for dealing with difficult business problems. Co-operators who have firstly a high order of business ability and probity, and secondly the "personal capital" of a great reputation among their fellows for these qualities, will have no difficulty in I 174 BOOK IV. CH. XII. § 7. getting command of enough material capital for a considerable undertaking: the real difficulty is to convince a sufficient number of those around them that they have these rare quali- ties. And the case is not very different when an individual endeavours to obtain from the oi-dinary sources the loan of the capital required to start him in business. It is true that in almost every business there is a constant increase in the amount of capital required to make a fair start ; but there is a much more rapid increase in the amount of capital which is owned by people who do not want to use it themselves, and are so eager to lend it out that they will accept a constantly lower and lower rate of interest for it. Much of this capital passes into the hands of bankers and others, people of keen intellect and restless energy; people who have no class prejudices and care nothing for social distinctions; and who would promptly lend it to anyone of whose business ability and honesty they were convinced. To say nothing of the credit that can be got in many businesses from those who supply the requisite raw material or stock in trade, the opportunities for direct borrowing are now so great that an increase in the amount of capital required for a start in business is no very serious obstacle in the way of a person who has once got over the initial difficulty of earning a repu- tation for being likely to use it well. But perhaps a greater, though not so conspicuous, hind- ranee to the rise of the working man is the and even more . • * *""ii xo unc by the growing growing Complexity of business. The head of a buTinS'^ °^ business has now to think of many things about which he never used to trouble himself in earlier days ; and these are just the kind of difficulties for which the training of the workshop affords the least preparation. Against this must be set the rapid improvement of the education of the working man not only at school, but what is more im- portant, in after life by newspapers, and from the work of co-operative societies and trades unions, and in other ways. ' BUSINESS MANAGEMENT. 175 About three-fourths of the whole population of England belong to the wage-earning classes ; and at all events when they are well fed, properly housed and educated, they have their fair share of that nervous strength which is the raw material of business ability. Without going out of their way they are all consciously or unconsciously competitors for posts of business command. The ordinary workman, if he shows ability, generally becomes a foreman, from that he may rise to be a manager, and to be taken into partnership with his employer. Or having saved a little of his own he may start one of those small shops which still can hold their own in a working man's quarter, stock it chiefly on credit, and let his wife attend to it by day, while he gives his evenings to it. In these or in other ways he may increase his capital till he can start a small workshop, or factory. Once having made a good beginning, he will find the banks eager to give him generous credit. He must have time; and since he is not likely to start in business till after middle age he must have a long as well as a strong life; but if he has this and has also "patience, genius and good fortune" he is pretty sure to command a large capital before he dies. In a factory those who work with their hands, have better opportunities of rising to posts of command than the book-keepers and many others to whom social tradition has assigned a higher place. But in trading concerns it is otherwise ; what manual work is done in them has as a rule no educating character, while the experience of the office is better adapted for preparing a man to manage a commercial than a manufacturing business. There is then on the whole a broad movement from below upwards. Perhaps not so many as formerly rise . « , . . « *^ A rapid rise not at once irom the position of working-men to an unmixed that of employers : but there are more who get ***^"**^*- on sufficiently far to give their sons a good chance of attaining to the highest posts. The complete rise is not so very often accomplished in one generation; it is more often spread over 176 BOOK IV. CH. XTI. 7,8. two; but the total volume of the movement upwaifls is pro- bably greater than it has ever been. And it may be remarked in passing that it is better for society as a whole that the rise should be distributed over two generations. The work- men who at the beginning of this century rose in such largo numbers to become employei-s were seldom fit for posts of command: they were too often harsh and tyrannical; they lost their self-control, and were neither truly notle nor truly happy ; while their children were often haughty, extravagant, and self-indulgent, squandering their wealth on low and vulgar amusements, having the worst faults of the older aristocracy without their virtues. The foreman or superintendent who has still to obey as well as to command, but who is rising and sees his children likely to rise further, is in some ways more to be envied than the small master. His success is less con- spicuous, but his work is often higher and more important for the world, while his character is more gentle and refined and not less strong. His children are well-trained; and if they get wealth, they are likely to make a fairly good use of it. § 8. When a man of great ability is once at the head of Adjustment of ^^ independent business, whatever be the route capital to busi- by which he has got thei-e, he will with moderate ness any. ^^^ fortune, soou be able to show such evidence of his power of turning capital to good account as to enable him to borrow in one way or another almost any amount that he may need ; and on the other hand a man with small ability in command of a large capital, speedily loses it: he may perhaps be one who could and would have managed a small business with credit, and left it stronger than he had found it : but if he has not the genius for dealing with great problems, the larger it is the more speedily will he break it up. These two sets of forces, the one increasing the capital at the command of able men, and the other destroying the capital that is in the hands of weaker men, bring about the BUSINESS MANAGEMENT. 177 result that there is a far more close correspondence between the ability of business men and the size of the businesses which they own than at first sight would appear probable. And when we consider all the many routes, by which a man of great natural business ability can work his way up high in some private firm or public company, we may conclude that wherever there is work on a large scale to be done in such a country as England, the ability and the capital required for it are pretty sure to be speedily forthcoming. Further, just as industrial skill and ability are getting every day to depend more and more on the broad faculties of judgment, promptness, resource, carefulness and steadfastness of purpose — faculties which are not specialized to any one trade, but which are more or less useful in all — so it is with regard to business ability. In fact business ability consists more of these general and non-specialized faculties than do industrial skill and ability in the lower grades: and the higher the grade of business ability the more various are its applica- tions. Since then business ability in command of capital moves with great ease horizontally from a trade which gu i rice of is overcrowded to one which offers good openings business abi- for it : and since it moves with great ease verti- mand* of capi- cally, the abler men rising to the higher posts in **^' their own trade, we see, even at this early stage of our inquiiy, some good reasons for believing that in modem England the supply of business ability in command of capital accommodates itself, as a general rule, to the demand for it ; and thus has a fairly defined supply price. Finally, we may regard this supply price of business ability in conunand of capital as composed of three elements. The first is the supply price of capital ; the second is the supply price of business ability and energy; and the third is the supply price of that organization by which the appropriate business ability and the requisite capital are brought together. M. j2 178 BOOK IV. CH. xir. § 8. The price of the iirst of these three elements is " Interest ; " Net and Gross ^® ^^^^^ ^^^^ *^^® P^^^^ ^^ ^^^ seconcl taken by Earnings of itself ''JVet Earnings of Management," and that anagement. ^£ ^^^ second and third taken together "Gross Earnings of Management." The last few years have seen a marked increase in the relative force of very large businesses in certain industries. The change has not l^een brought about by new principles in business organization, so much as by the development of pro- cesses and methods in manufacture and mining, in transport and banking, which are beyond the reach of any but very large capitals ; by the increase in the scope and functions of markets, and in the technical facilities for handling large masses of goods. But the change is important : and it will be fully investigated in Volume II., in connection with and in dependence on a study of the modern organization of markets for credit and for i^oods. » W i 179 CHAPTER XIII. CONCLUSION. THE LAW OF INCKEASING IN RELATION TO THAT OF DIMINISHING RETUEN. § 1. At the beginning „f thi.s Bo„k we saw how the extra Keturn of raw produce which Nature affords to an increased application of capital and labour ^''"•"'"'f the other thing.s being equal, tends in the long run o" WsS'oSl. « to diminish. In the remainder of the Book and "" "'""• especially in the last four chaptei^ we have looked at the other side of the shield, and seen how man's power of pi^uctive work increases with the volume of the work that he does. Considering first the cau.ses that govern the supply of labour we saw how every increase in the physical, mental, and moral vigour of a people makes them more likely, other tbngs bemg equal, to rmr to adult age a large number of vigorous children. Turning next to the Growth of Wealth we observed how eveiy increase of wealth tends in many ways to make a greater increase more easy than before. And lastly we saw how every increase of wealth and every increase in the numbe,. and intelligence of the people increased the facilities for a highly developed Industrial Organization, which in its kbTur """ *" *' '°"'""'' "^"'""''^ "^ "^^'^ ""d _ Looking more closely at the economies arising from an increase m the scale of production of any kind of goods we found hat they fell into two classes-thie depended on tie general development of the industry and those dependent ou the resources of the individual houses of business enga<,ed in It and the emciency of their management; that is, into^e^Z and interml economies. J. *<— — ni h '■ "We saw how these latter economies are liable to constant fluctuations so far as any particular house is concerned, and therefore when we speak of the nonnal cost of production of any class of g(xxls we must suppose them to be produced by a Arm that is fairly representative of the whole body of pro- A Representa- ducere of those goods. Our Representative firm tive firm. must be one which has had a fairly long life, and fair success, which is managed with normal ability, and which has nonnal access to the economies. External and Intenial, which belong to that aggregate volume of production '.- The general argument of the present Book shows that an increase in the aggregate volume of production of anything will generally increase the size, and therefore the Internal economies possessed by this Representative finn ; and that it will always increase the External economies to which such a Arm has access ; and that thereby the firm will be enabled to manufacture at a less proportionate cost of labour and sacri- fice than before. In other words we say broadly that while the part which The Laws of ^^^^''^ pl'^js in production conforms to the Law Increasing Re- of Diminishing Return, the pai-t which man plays ' conforms to the Law of Increasing lieturu, which may be stated thus : — An increase of capital and labour leads generally to an improved organization, which increases the efficiency of the work of capital and labour. Therefore in those industries which are not engfajred in raising raw produce an increase of capital and labour gene- rally gives a return increased more than in proportion; and further this improved organization tends to diminish or even override any increased resistance which Nature may offer to raising increased amounts of raw produce. If the actions of the Laws of Increasing and Diminishing Return are balanced and of Con- we have the Law of Constant Return and an stant Return, increased produce is obtained by labour and sacrifice increased just in proportion. %> <* d INCREASING AND DIMINISHING RETURNS. 181 For the two tendencies towards Increasing and Diminish- ing Return press constantly against one another. In the production of wheat and wool, for instance, the latter ten- dency has almost exclusive sway in an old country, which cannot import freely \ In turning the wheat into flour, or the wool into blankets, an increase in the aggregate volume of production brings some new economies, but not many ; for the trades of grinding wheat and making blankets are already on so great a scale that any new economies that they may attain are more likely to be the result of new inventions than of improved organization. In a country however in which the blanket trade is but slightly developed, these latter may be important; and then it may happen that an increase in the ^ggJ^^g^^te production of blankets diminishes the proportionate difficulty of manufacturing by just as much as it increases that of raising the raw material. In that case the actions of the Liiws of Diminishing and of Increasing Return would just neutralize one another; and blankets would conform to the Law of Constant Return. But in most of the more delicate branches of manufacturing, where the cost of raw material counts for little, and in most of the modern transport indus- tries the Law of Increasing Return acts almost unopposed. § 2. Our discussion of the character and organization of industry taken as a whole tends to show that an . ^1 1 « , , . Subject to cer- mcrease m the volume of labour causes in general, tain condi- other things being equal, a more than propor- **°"*' tionate increase in the total efficiency of labour. But we must not forget that other things may not be equal. The increase of numbers may be accompanied by more or less general Jidoption of unhealthy and enervating habits of life in over- crowded towns. Or it may have started badly, outrunning the material resources of the people, causing them with im- pei-fect appliances to make excessive demands on the soil; 1 As regards the struggle of the two tendencies in agriculture, compare above Book iv. Ch. iii. § 5, an increase of numbers may be accom- panied by a more than proportionate increase of collective effi- ciency. BOOK IV. CH. XIII. § 2. and so to call forth the stern action of the Law of Diminishing Return as regards raw produce, without having the power of minimizing its effects: having thus begun with poverty, an increase in numbers may go on to its too frequent conse- quences in that weakness of character which unfits a people for developing a highly organized industiy. All this and more may be granted, and yet it remains true that the collective efficiency of a people with a given average of individual strength and skill may increase more than in proportion to their numbers. If they can for a time escape from the pressure of the Law of Diminishing Return by importing food and other raw produce ; if their wealth, not being consumed in great wars, increases at least as fast as their numbers; and if they avoid habits of life that would enfeeble them; then every increase in their numbers is likely for the time to be accompanied by a more than proportionate increase in their power of obtain- ing material goods. For it enables them to secure the many various economies of specialized skill and specialized machi- nery, of localized industries and profluction on a large scale : it enables them to have increased facilities of communication of all kinds ; while the very closeness of their neighbourhood diminishes the expense of time and effort involved in every sort of traffic between them, and gives them new opportunities of getting social enjoyments and the comforts and luxuries of culture in every form. It is true that against this must be set the growing difficulty of finding solitude and quiet and even fresh air. This deduction is a weighty one ; but there still remains a balance of good. Taking account of the fact that an increasing density of population generally brings with it access to new social enjoy- ments we may give a rather broader scope to this statement and say : — An increase of population accompanied by an equal increase in the material sources of enjoyment and aids to ON MARKETS. 185 and sellers are in such free intercoui^e with one another that the prices of the same goods tend to equality easily and quickly. Or again a^ Jevons says :-" Originally a market was a public place in a town where provisions and other objects were exposed for sale; but the wo«l has been geneml- ..ed, so as to mean any b«ly of pei^ons who are in intimate busines.s relations and carry on extensive tran.sactions in any commodity. A great city may contain as many markets as there are important branches of trade, and the.se markets may or may not be localized. The central point of a market is the public exchange, mart or auction rooms, where the tn^len, Mlrke^rn '"'i'T'"''' ^'''''"^'- ^"^ I^"don the Stock Maiket, the Com Market, the Coal Market, the Sugar Market and many others are distinctly localized; iu Manchester the Cotton Market, the Cotton Waste Market, and othe... Bu this distinction of locality is not nece-ssaiy. The trader, may be spread oyer a whole town, or region of countiy, and yet niake a market, if they are, by means of faii^, meetings, pub- hshed price lists, the post office or otherwise, in close ^ommu- nication with each other." thel*""! *''' r"", "'^'■'^ P"^""' ^ """-^^^ •«' the st«,nger is the tendency for the .same price to be paid for the same thing at the same tune ,n all parts of the market : but of coun,e if the market is large, allowance must be made for the expense of delivering the goods to diffei^nt purchasers; each of whom must be supposed to pay in addition to the market price a special charge on account of delivery". often m-^"u?^'^'"^ '"°"°"'''' '•«'-«'0"»'§« i" practice it is often difficult to asceitain how far the movements Bound ■ , of supply and demand in any one place are influ- a -rteV." "^ enced by those iu another. It is clear that +h» „„ w , enov nf tl,A +oi 1 .u . "^ general tend- ency of the telegraph, the printing press and steam traffic is to ».Ue Ws own rLuo.,iiXrHS„", tlr^" C^" """""^'^^ ""^'"^ 186 BOOK V. CH. r. §§ 8, 4. to extend the area over which such influences act and to increase their force. The whole Western World may, in a sense, be regarded as one market for many kinds of stock exchange securities, for the more valuable metals, and to a less extent for w(X)l and cotton and even wheat ; proper allow- ance being made for expenses of transport, in which may be included taxes levied by any customs houses through which the goods have to pass. For in all these cases the expenses of transpoi-t, including customs duties, are not suflicient to prevent buyers from all parts of the Western World from competing with one another for the same supplies. There are many special causes which may widen or narrow General con- ^^^^ m^irket of any particular connnodity : but ditions of a nearly all those things for which there is a vei-y wide market • i i j. • • , i , for a thing. ^'"^^ market are in universal demand, and capable |r"ad!ng"*^ ^"^ '^^ ^^^« ^""^^^ '"^^ exactly described. Thus for instance cotton, wheat, and iron satisfy wants that are ui-gent and nearly univei-sal. They can be easily described, so that they can be bought and sold by persons at a distance from one another and at a distance also from the commodities. If necessary, samples can be taken of them which are truly representative: and they can even be "graded," as is the actual practice with regard to grain in America, by an independent authority; so that the purchaser may be secure that what he buys will come up to a given standard, though he has never seen a sample of the goods which he is buying, and perhaps would not be able himself to form an opinion on it if he did. Conmiodities for which there is a very wide market must also be such as will bear a long carriage : they must be somewhat durable, and their value must be considerable in proportion to their bulk. A thing which is so bulky that its price is necessarily raised very much when it is sold far away from the place in which it is produced, must as a rule have a narrow market. The market for common Portability. t Of course some of those who are really willing to takP 36. rather than leave the market without selling: will tot show at once that they are ready to accept that price, /nd m hke manner buyers will fence, and pretend to be less eager than they really are So the price may be tossed hither and h ther hke a shuttlecock, as one side or the other gets the be cer in the " haggling and bargaining " of the market But unless they are unequally matched ; unless, for instance, one side ^ very simple or unfortunate in failing to gauge the strength of the o her side the pnce is likely to be never very far from 36. • and It IS n«.rly sure to be pretty close to 36. at the end of the market. For if a holder thinks that the buyers will really be aW^ to get at 3G. all that they care to take at that pri e he wi 1 be unwilling to let slip past him any offer that il well above that price. Buyers on their part will make similar calculations; and f at any time the price should rise considerably above 36. they will argue that the supply will .^ ^uch greater than the demand at that price : therefore even those of them who would rather pay that price than go unserved, wait: and by waiting they help to bring the price down. On the other hand, when the price is much below 36., even those sellei^ who would rather take the price than leave the market with their corn unsold, will argue that at that price the demand will be in excess of the supply: so they will wait, and by waiting help to bring the price up. ^ The price of 36. has thus some claim to be called the true TEMPORARY BALANCE OF DEMAND" AND SUPPLV. lOS equilibrium price: because if it were fixed on at the begin- ning, and adhered t. throughout, it would exactly equate demand and supply (i.e. the amount which buyers were wmi„. to purchase at that price would be just equal t<, that fo°r which sellers were willing to take that price); and because every dealer who has a perfect knowledge of the circumsi::! of the market expects that price to be established. If he see, the price differing much from 36. he expects that a chanl romeTLTy!'"^ '"'"' ^"' ^^ ^"^"^^"^ ^* »« '^'P^ i* ^ § 3. We have already used the term "demand price'" to denote the pnce at which buyers can Ije found r ■ for any given amount of a thing in a market. no™a."pri«s. Thus in this market 37. is the demand price for 600 quarte,^; 36«. for . 00 and so on. We have introduced a correspondin.: etr ^TTu *° ''"'"''^ *'" P"'"' -'■-h ''oWers of I commodity will be willing to take for any given amount Sr /ot; Tdt of ^^ *^ --'^ -- '--« -=; We have next to enquire what causes govern supply. pnces, that is prices which dealei. are willing to accept for tfZlr^T- /" '''' P^^^-* •''^''P*- - have looked stocks i"V/ ', " ""^'^ ^'^' ^"-^ ''-« -PPO-d the Htocks offered for sale to be already in existence But of ZXr ''"h' ^" '^^P^"^'^"* - "- ~* ot wheat sown m the preceding year; and that, in its turn, was largely wouir ~t I : '^™r' ^"^^^^ "- ^^ «- p"- -"ich ::^ would get for It in this year. This is the point at which we have to work in the next chapter. ■ Book ni. Cb. m. § 1. * Book IV. Ch. I. 13 194 CHAPTER III. BALANCING OF NORMAL DEMAND AND SUPPLY. § 1. We have noticed that even in the corn-exchange of a country town on a market-day the equi- from market to libriuui price is affected by calculations of the normal price. «, ii- n i^* i j* future relations oi production and consumption ; while dealings for future delivery already predominate in the leading corn-markets of America and Europe, and are rapidly weaving into one web all the leading threads of trade in corn throughout the whole world. If it is thought that the growers of any kind of grain in any part of the world have been losing money, and are likely to sow a less area for a future har\'est, far-seeing dealers argue that prices are likely to rise as soon as that harvest comes into sight. Thus anticipations of that rise exercise an influence on present sales for future delivery, and that in its turn influences cash prices ; so that these prices are indirectly affected by estimates of the expenses of producing further supplies. But in this and the following chapters we are specially concerned with movements of price ranging over still longer periods than those for which the most far-sighted dealers in futures generally make their reckoning. § 2. We may revert to the discussion of the analogy The account between the supply price and the demand price of supply price ^£ ^ commodity at the point at which we left it carried a little •' ^ further. at the end of the last chapter. We there noticed that corresponding to the demand price at which any amount of a commodity would find purchasers in a market, there is a supply price at which that amount would be offered for sale )w producei-s or their agents. We have to take account of . BALANCING OF NORMAL DEMAND AND SUPPLY. 19.5 the fact that the production of the commodity will probably require many different kinds of labour and the use of capital m many forms. The exertions of all the different kinds of labour that are directly or indirectly involved in makinc. It J together with the abstinences or rather the waitings required for saving the capital used in making it : all these efforts and sacrifices together will be called its Heal Cost of Production. The sums of money, Moty"cost of that have to be paid for these efforts and sacri- ^••°d"ction. fices, will be called either its Mone^ Cost of Production, or, (tor shortness) its Expenses of Production. They ex enses of are the prices which have to be paid in order to P^ductlom call forth an adequate supply of the efforts and waitings that are required for making it; or, in other words, they are its supply priced The raw material, machinery, labour, cfec, that are required for making a commodity may be called its Factors pactorsof p of Production. Its expenses of production when Auction." '"°" any given amount of it is produced are thus the supply prices of the corresponding quantities of its factors of production And the sum of these is the supply price of that amount of the commodity. § 3. It must not be forgotten that trading expenses enter mto the expenses of production in almost every case; and that in some cases they are a very ^^ZZ' large part of the whole. For instance, the supply ^f'Tf c" pnce of wood in the neighbourhood of Canadian <"' P^duction. forests often consists almost exclusively of the price of the labour of lumber men : but the supply price of Canadian deal 1 Mm and some other economists have foUowed the nractte^ nf ^-r money that'ka' tote to L^u?;,? ' Z^^^^ '» T^^ 'he outlay of difficulty and produce it 1^1 L „ • ^ "^ ^^^^ ^ overcome this tl.e othe";. witho'^t^ring exp^ic t wa^^^^^^^^^ 'T T/^" "' "'" t'™ '» standings and muchVrfen contov^™^' ""^ ''^ '"" '" """^ ■"-»■"»"■ 13—2 196 BOOK V. CTT. TIT. 3, 4. in the wholesale London market consists in a large measure of freights ; while the supply price of the same wood to a small retail buyer in an English country town is more than half made up of the charges of the railways and middlemen who have brought what he wants to his doors, and keep a stock of it ready for him. Again, the supply price of a certain kind of labour may for some purposes be analysed into the expenses of rearing, of general education and of special trade education. It is to be taken for granted that as far as the knowledge and business enterprise of the producers reach, they will in each case choose those factors of production which are best for their purpose ; that is, which will attain the desired end for the least outlay and trouble to themselves. Whenever it appears to the producers that this is not the case, they will. Principle of ^.s a rule, set to work to substitute the less Substitution, expensive method. We may call this for con- venience of reference, the Principle of Substitution. § 4. In our typical market then we assume that the We assume forces of demand and supply have free play; demanYa^nd ^^*^ t\iQVQ is no combination among dealers on supply in the either side ; but each acts for himself, and there *"^'" ^ ' is much free competition; that is, buyers generally compete freely with buyers, and sellers compete freely with sellers. But though everyone acts for himself, his knowledge of what others are doing is supposed to be generally sufficient to prevent him from taking a lower or paying a higher price than others are doing. In such a market there is a definite demand price for each amount of the commodity, that is, a definite price at which each particular amount of the commodity can find purchasers in a year, or whatever other period we choose as our unit of time : the more of a thing is offered for sale in a market, the lower is the price at which it will find purchasers ; or in other words, the demand price for each unit diminishes with every increase in the amount offered. J T BALANCING OF NORMAL DEMAND AND SUPPLY. 197 In like way there is a supply price, that is, a price which may be expected to call forth a supply of each particular amount in a unit of time. To give precision to the ideas, let us suppose that a person well acquainted with the woollen trade sets himself to inquire oAheTuppiy what would be the normal supply price of a ^^*'*'*^^^- certain number of millions of yards annually of a particular kind of cloth. He would have to reckon (i) the price of the wool, coal, and other materials which would be used up in making it, (ii) wear-and-tear and depreciation of the buildings machinery and other fixed capital, (iii) interest and insuranc^ on all the capital, (iv) the wages of those who work in the factories, and (v) the gross earnings of management (in- eluding insurance against loss) of those who undertake the risks, who engineer and superintend the working. He would of course estimate the supply prices of all these different tactors of production of the cloth with reference to the ' amounts of each of them that would be wanted ; and he would suppose the conditions of supply to be normal, and the expenses of production to be those of a Representative Firm^ And he would add them all together to find the supply price of the cloth. trf J f Let us suppose a list of supply prices (or a supply schedule) made on a similar plan to that of our list of demand prices (or demand schedule^: the supply price of each amount of the commodity m a year, or any other unit of time, being written against that amount. As the annual amount produced increases, the supply price increases, if nature is offerincr a sturdy resistance to man's efforts to wring from her a lar'^er supply of raw material, and if there is no great room for int^'ro- ducmg important new economies into the manufacture. But It might so happen that an increase in the volume of produc- tion would introduce new economies and enable the tendency to Increasing Ketuiii to prevail over that to Diminishing 1 See Book iv. Ch. xiu. § 1. . See Book iii. Cli. m. § 2. 198 BOOK V. CH. III. 4, 5. Return, so ;is ultimately to lessen the supply price of the commodity, and make it cheaper'. § 5. When therefore the amount produced (in a unit of What is meant *™®) ^^ ^^^^ ^^^^ the demand price is greater HbrlSm.' *^*^ ^^^ ^"PP^^ P"''^' ^^^^ sellers receive more than is sufficient to make it worth their while to bring goods to market to that amount; and the amount brought forward for sale tends to increase. On the other hand, when the amount produced is such that the demand price is less than the supply price, sellers receive less than IS sufficient to make it worth their while to bring goods to market on that scale; so that those, who were just on the margin of doubt as to whether to go on producing, are decided not to do so, and the amount brought forward for sale tends to diminish. When the demand price is equal to the supply price, the amount produced has no tendency either to be increased or to be diminished ; it is in equilibrium. Further, if any accident should move the scale of production from its equilibrium position (or position of rest), there will be instantly brought into play forces tending to bring it back to that position ; just as, if a stone hanging by a string is displaced from its equilibrium position, the force of gravity will at once tend to bring it back to its equilibrium position ^ 1 Compare above, p. 180. 2 The foUowiug diagrams may help some readers. But they are not necessary for the argument, and may be omitted. Measuring, as in the case of the demand curve, amounts of the commocUty along Ox and prices parallel to Oi/, we get for each point M along Ox a Hne MP drawn at right angles to it measuring the supply price for the amount OM, the extremity of which, P, may be called a supj,!!/ point ; this price MP being made up of the supply prices of the several factors of pro- duction for the amount 03f. The locus of P may be called the supj^h/ curve. It is a curve such that, if from any point P on it a straight line PM be drawn i)erpendicular to Ox, PJ/ represents o n the price at which sellers will be forthcoming for an amount OM. i^ I X BALANCING OV NOIIMAL DEMAND AND SUPPLY. 199 § 6. But in real life such oscillations arc seldom as rhythmical as those of a stone hanging freely from a string ; the comparison would be more exact if the string were supposed to hang in the troubled waters of a mill-race, whose stream was at one time allowed to flow freely. The problems and at another partially cut off. The demand o^ value in and supply schedules do not in practice remain less simple, unchanged for a' long time together, but are constantly being changed; and every change in them gives new positions to the centres about which the amount and the price tend to oscillate. These considerations point to the great importance of the element of time in relation to demand and supply, to some study of which we now proceed. We shall gradually discover a great many different limitations of the doctrine that the price at which a thing can be produced represents its real cost of production, that is, the efforts and sacrifices which have been directly and indirectly devoted to its production. That doctrine would indeed represent facts accurately enough in a stationary society, in which the habits of life, and the methods and volume of production remained unchanged from one generation to another; provided that people were tolerably free to choose those occupations for their capital and labour which seemed most advantageous. This is the real drift of that much-quoted, and much- misunderstood doctrine of Adam Smith and other economists To represent the equilibrium of demand and supply geometrically we may draw the demand and supply curves together as ui Fig. .'>. If then OR represents the rate at which production is being actually carried on, and lid the demand price is greater than Rs the supply price, the production is exceptionally profitable, and will be hicreased: and U will move to the right. On the other hand, if Ud is less than Rs, R will move to the left. If Rd is equal to Rs, that is, if R is vertically under a point of intersection of the curves, demand and supply are in equilibrium. BOOK V. CH. in. §§ (i, 7. that tl.e normal or 'natural," value of a con.modity is that which economic forces tend to bring about in lU long „.„ it IS the average value which economic forces would brin.- about ,f the general conditions of life were stationary for a run ot time long enough to enable then, all to work out their full effect. The fact that the general conditions of life are not stationary is the source of many of the difficulties that problems '" Wlying economic doctrines to practical § 7. Thus we see that utility and cost of production both play a part m governing value. And we might as reasonably dispute whether it is the upper or the under blade of a pair of scissors that cuts a piece of paper, as whether value is governed by utility or cost of production. It is true that mur/ndct. ^i?'" ?"f ^''^^ '« ''«W ««". and the cutting is of production e«ected by moving the other, we may say with on v,.u.. careless brevity that the cutting is done bv the LTt ef 'r T'^r -^ "°^ ^*"<=''' -urate'^at w to he excused only so long as it claims to be merely a popular and not a strictly scientific account of what a^tufli; sold^'J.h!! n """' ri' """"^ ' *'""« '^''•^''^y "-^^ h^- to be ^oid, the prices which people will be willing to pay for it will a:rnTtr '^ *'r/""^^ "^ ""^^^ '*> *°^«^- -^^ tl amount they can afford to spend on it. Their desire to have t de,,ends partly on the chance that, if they do not buy it hey will be able i. get another thing like it at as low a price this depends on the causes that govern the supply of it^ and this again upon cost of production. But it ^1/ so happen that the stock to be sold is practically fixed This for hsh for the day is governed almost exclusively by the stock on the slabs in relation to the demand. And ff .''"1 -•hooses to take the st«.k for granted ; and say tha U,!ZZ - governed by demand, his brevity may perhaps bo ox.^ i BALANCING OF NORMAL DEMAND AND SUPPLY. 201 so long as he does not claim strict accuracy. So again it may be pardonable, but it is not strictly accurate to say that the varying prices which the same rare book fetches, when sold and resold at Christie's auction room, are governed exclusively by demand. ■' Taking a case at the opposite extreme, we find some commodities which conform pretty closely to the law of constant return; that is to say, their average cost of pr«iuc- tion will be very nearly the same whether they are produced in small quantities or in large. In such a case the normal level about which the market price fluctuates will be this dehmte and fixed money cost of production. If the demand happens to be great, the market price will rise for a time above the level ; but as a result production will increase and the market price will fall. Conversely, if the demand falls tor a time below its ordinary level, production will fall off and the market price will be raised. If, then, a person chooses to neglect market fluctuations : and Ukes it for granted that there will anyhow be enough demand for the commodity to insure that some of it, more or les.s will find purchasers at a price equal to this cost of production, then he may be excused for ignoring the influence of demand, and speaking of normal price as governed by cost of production-provided only he does not claim scientific accuracy for the wonling of his doctrine, and explains the influence of demand in its right place Thus we may say that, as a general rule, the shorter the period which we are considering, the greater must be the «hare of our attention which is given to the influence of demand on ,^lue; and the longer the period, the more important will be the influence of cost of production on hi 202 BOOK V. CH. lU. § 8. % § 8. There is one very difficult point, on which a few words must be said here. It is the relation in which money cost, or expenses, of production stands to rent. The expenses of production of agricultural produce are estimated on the margin of cultivation. That is, they are estimated for a part of the produce which is raised either on Rent in reia- ^^""^ ^^^^ P^^^ ""^ ""^^^ because it is poor Or badly tiontoexpen- situated; or, which is more probable, they are ses^of produc. ^^^^^ ^^ ^^^^ ^^^^^ ^^^ ^^^^ ^^^^^ ^^^ ^^ ^^^^^ cations of capital and labour which only just pay their way, and therefore can contribute nothing towards the rent \ It is these expenses which the demand price must just cover : for if it does not, the supply will fall off, and the price be raised till it does cover them. It is to these expenses therefore that the price conforms : and, as Kicardo pointed out, rent does not appear as an element of them. Suppose for instance that, with an average harvest ten million quarters of com are raised in England, and that the expenses of production of the last million quarters are at the rate of 35^. a quarter. If the farmers had expected to ..et less than 3ds. a quarter they would not have raised these list quarters. And since they find it worth their while to raise the whole ten million, we know that in an average year they get 35.. for each of the last million. And in the same murket there can only be one price for one and the same commodity Therefore they must have expected the average price of all the com in the market to be S5s. The Expenses of production of some of the corn may have been only 25.. a quarter. The 35.. got for a quarter of this com IS divided into 25.. which goes to the farmer, and 10. which goes to the landlord as rent. And if a person looks at this corn he may argue that its whole expenses of production were 25.. to cover the farmer's outlay and 10.. to pay his rent, 1 Compare above, Book iv. Cli. in. § 2. BALANCING OF NORMAL DEMAND AND SUPPLY. 203 and that therefore rent enters into the expenses of production of this com. He would be right if he meant only that the expenses of production of this particular quarter of corn cannot be found by merely reckoning up the wages and profits of the labour and capital that were spent in raising it But he would be wrong if he meant that the selling price of corn was governed by the rent that has to be paid for the use of land. He would then be mistaking cause for effect, and effect for cause. Rent is not the cause of a high price of corn, but Its effect. The price of com must be on the average just hic^h enough to cover the expenses of production of that portion of It which is raised under the most unfavourable conditions Ihe amount that is raised, and the price at which it is sold are thus governed by the numbers of the population which demand corn on the one hand, and by the amount of fertile land, which is the source of supply, on the other. A fertile land, which is specially suited for growing corn, is sure to be applied to that purpo.se ; the rent obtained for that land does not therefore affect the supply of com, and does not therefore affect Its price. The price tends to equal the expenses of production of that which is raised under the most unfavour- able conditions and which pays no rent. The rent is govemed by the excess of this price over the expenses of production of the other produce that the farmer raises at less expense'. 1 This difficult doctrme is further discussed iu Appendix C. 204 CHAPTER IV. INVESTMENT OF RESOURCES FOR A DISTANT RETURN. PRIME COST AND TOTAL COST. g 1. Let us suppose a man to build a house for himself on Motives deter- land, and of materials, which nature supplies ^sTmfnt^of*" y^«^*«> and to make his implements as he goes; capital. the labour of making them being counted as part of the labour of building the house. He would have to estimate the efforts required for building on any proposed plan ; and to allow almost instinctively an amount increasing in geometrical proportion (a sort of compound interest) for the period that would elapse between each effort and the time when the house would be ready for his use. The utility of the house to him when finished would have to compensate him not only for the efforts, but for the waitings'. This case illustrates the way in which the efforts and sacrifices which are the Real cost of production of a thing, underlie the expenses which are its Money cost. But the modem business man commonly takes the payments which he has to make, whether for wages or raw material, as he finds them ; without staying to inquire how far they are an accurate measure of the efforts and sacrifices to which they correspond. His expenditure is generally made piece-meal ; and the longer he expects to wait for the fruit of any outlay, the richer must that fruit be in order to compensate him. The anticipated fruit may not l)e certain ; and in that case he will have to allow for the risk of failure. After making that allowance, 1 See above, Book iv. Ch. vin. § G. PRIME COST AND TOTAL COST. 205 S the fruit of the outlay must be expected to exceed the outlay itself by an amount which, independently of his own remu- neration, increases at compound interest in proportion to the time of waiting. § 2. At the beginning of his undertaking, and at every successive stage, the business man is ceaselessly ^^^ principle striving so to modify his arrangements as to ob- of substitu- tain better results with a given expenditure or equal results with a less expenditure. He is continually studying the advantages and disadvantages of different ways of obtain- ing his object. He is always looking for new suggestions, watching the experiments of others and trying experiments himself, so as to hit upon that combination which will yield the largest incomings in proportion to any given outlay. In other words, he ceaselessly applies the principle of substitu- tion with the purpose of increasing his profits; and in so doing he seldom fails to increase the total efficiency of work, the total power over nature which man derives from organiza- tion and knowledge. Every locality has incidents of its own which affect in various ways the methods of arrangement of •^ . • J • '4. Different every class of business that is carried on m it. routes are But even in the same place and the same trade gj;°""„*d^^* no two persons pursuing the same aims will adopt exactly the same routes. The tendency to variation is a chief cause of progress ; and the abler are the undertakers in any trade the greater will this tendency be. In some trades, as for instance cotton-spinning, the possible variations are con- fined within narrow limits; no one can hold his own at all who does not use machinery, and very nearly the latest machinery, for every part of the work. But in others, as for instance in some branches of the wood and metal trades, in farming, and in shopkeeping, there can be great variations. For instance, of two manufacturers in the same trade, one will perhaps have a larger wages bill and the other heavier 206 BOOK V. CH. IV. 9 «> charges on account of machinery; of two retail dealers one wil have a larger capital locked up in stock and the other will spend more on advertisements and other means of build- ing up the immaterial capital of a profitable trade connection And m minor details the variations are numberless Each mans actions are influenced by his special opportunities and resources, as well as by his temperament and his associations But each man, taking account of his own means, will push the investment of capital in his business in each several direc- tion until what appears in his judgment to be the outer limit or margin, of profitableness is reached ; that is, until there seems to him no good reason for thinking that the gains resulting from any further investment in that particular direction would compensate him for his outlay. The margin of profitableness is not to be regarded as a mere point on a^'ny one fixed line of possible investment ; but as a boundary line of irregular shape cutting one after another every possible line ot investment. § 3. When investing his capital in providing the means of carrying on an undertaking, the business man looks to being recouped by the price obtained for its various products • and he expects to be able under normal conditions to charc^e for each of them a sufficient price ; that is, one which ^vill not Prime or Only cover the specml, direct, or prirm cost but specai cost. also bear its proper share of the general expenses of the business; and these we may call its supplementary cost. Ihese two elements together make its total cost. There are great variations in the usage of the term Prime Suppiemen- ^^^^ ^^ business life. But it is taken here in a tar/ and total narrow sense. Supplementary costs are here taken to include standing charges on account of the durable plant in which much of the capital of the business has been invested, and also the salaries of the upper em- ployees : for the charges to which the business is put on account of their salaries cannot generally be adapted quickly PRIME COST AND TOTAL COST. 207 to changes in the amount of work there is for them to do. There remains nothing but the (money) cost of the raw mate- rial used in making the commodity and the wages of that part of the labour spent on it which is paid by the hour or the piece, and the extra wear and tear of plant. This is the special cost which a manufacturer has in view, if he is calculating the lowest price at which it will be worth his while to accept an order, irrespectively of any effect that his action might have in spoiling the market for future orders, and trade being slack at the time. But in fact he must as a rule take account of this effect : the price at which it is just worth his while to produce, even when trade is slack, is in practice generally a good deal above this prime cost, as we shall see shortly '. 1 " There are many systems of Prime Cost in vogue.. .we take Prime Cost to mean, as in fact the words imply, only the original or direct cost of produc- tion ; and while in some trades it may be a matter of convenience to include in the cost of production a proportion of indirect expenses, and a charge for depreciation on plant and buildings, in no case should it comprise interest on capital or profit." (Garcke and Fells, Factory Accounts, Ch. i.) CHAPTER V. EQUILIBRIUM OF NORMAL DEMAND AND, SUPPLY, CON- TINUED, WITH REFERENCE TO LONG AND SHORT PERIODS. § 1. The present chapter is chiefly occupied with difficul- ties in the problem of value, resulting from differences between the immediate and the later effects of the same causes. In this case, as in others, the economist merely The term Normal is elastic. brings to light difficulties that are latent in the common discourse of life, so that by being frankly faced they may be thoroughly overcome. For in ordinary life it is customary to use the word Normal in different senses, with reference to different periods of time ; and to leave the context to explain the transition from one to another. The economist follows this practice of every-day life : but, by taking pains to indicate the transition, he sometimes seems to have created a complication which in fact he has only revealed. Thus, for instance, when it is said that the price of wool on a certain day was abnormally high though the average price for the year was abnormally low, that the wages of coal- miners were abnormally high in 1872 and abnormally low in 1879, that the (real) wages of labour were abnormally high at the end of the fourteenth century and abnormally low in the middle of the sixteenth ; everyone understands that the scope of the term Normal is not the same in these various cases. Every (me takes the context as indicating the special use of the term in each several case; and a formal inter- pretation clause is seldom necessary, because in ordinary LONG AND SHORT PERIODS. 200 conversation misunderstandings can be nipped in the bud by question and answer. But let us look at this matter more closely. We have noticed ' how a cloth manufacturer when calcu- lating the expenses of producing all the different things required for making cloth would need to "im\he'°" frame his estimates with reference to the amounts <=^°th trade, of each of them that would be wanted, and on the supposition m the first instance that the conditions of supply would be normal. But we have yet to take account of the fact that he must give to this term a wider or narrower range, according as he was looking more or less far ahead. ^ Thus in estimating the wages required to call forth an adequate supply of labour to work a certain class of looms, he might take the current wages of similar work in the neighbourhood : or he might argue that there was a scarcity of that particular class of labour in the neighbourhood, that Its current wages there were higher than in other parts of England, and that looking forward over several years so as to allow for immigration, he might take the normal rate of wages at a rather lower rate than that prevailing there at the time. Or lastly, he might think that the v.ages of weavers all over the country were abnormally low relatively to others of the same grade, in consequence of a too san-uine view having been taken of the prospects of the trade half a generation ago. He might argue that this branch of work was overcrowded, that parents had already begun to choose other trades for their children which offered greater net advantages and yet. were not more difficult; that in con- sequence a few years would see a falling-off in the supply of labour suited for his purpose ; so that looking forward a long time he must take normal wages at a rate rather hi S 4 ->> o, t. spreading of a disease through all kinds of fami stock simul- OsciUations of ^^^^^"^^7' ^ ^^i^h meat was made a dear and normal supply dangerous food. The increased demand for fish perils"' ^^°'^ ^*^"}^ "«t ^ell ^e met without bringing into the fishing trade some people from outside, who were not fitted by training to do its work well, and to whom many of its ordinary incidents would prove great hardships. Old and unsuitable boats would be pressed into the service ; while the better class of boats would earn an excess above the expenses of working them, that would amount in a year perhaps to fifty per cent, or more on their total cost ; and able fishermen, whether paid by shares or by the day, might for a time get twice their ordinary wages. Thus the normal price of fish would be higher than before. Variations in the catch of fish from day to day might make the market price oscillate at least as violently as before about tliis normal level for an increased amount, but this level would rise rapidly with every such increase of demand. Of course these high prices would tend to bring capital and labour into the trade : but if it were expected that the disease among live stock would not last very long, and that therefore the unusual demand for fish would die away in a few years, people would be cautious about investing capital and skill in a trade that was in danger of being glutted. And therefore, though when the demand slackened off; the price would fall to, and probably below its old level ; yet so long as the demand was fully maintained the price would keep up. And here we see an illustration of the almost universal law that the term Normal, being taken to refer to a short period of time, the normal supply price is likely to be raised by an increase in demand. § 3. But if we turn to consider the normal supply price with reference to a long period of time, we shall find that it is Normal value governed by a different set of causes, and with in relation to different results. For suppose that the disuse of long periods. , * , . meat causes a j>ermanent distaste for it. and that LONG AND SHORT PERIODS. 213 I an increased demand for fish continues long enough to enable the forces by which its supply is governed to work out their action fully. The source of supply in the sea might perhaps show signs of exhaustion, and the fishermen might have to resort to more distant coasts and to deeper waters. Nature giving a Diminishing Return to the increased apolication of capital and labour of a given order of efficiency. On the other hand, those might turn out to be right who think that man is responsible for but a very small part of the destruction of fish that is constantly going on ; and in that case a boat starting with equally good appliances and an equally efficient crew would be likely to get nearly as good a haul after the increase in the total volume of the fishing trade as before. In any case the normal cost of equipping a good boat with an efficient crew would certainly not be higher, and probably be a little lower after the trade had settled down to its now increased dimensions than before. For since fishermen require only trained aptitudes, and not any exceptional natural qualities their number could be increased in less than a generation to almost any extent that was necessary to meet the demand • while the industries connected with building boats, makin<^ nets, &c. being now on a larger scale would be organized more thoroughly and economically. If therefore the waters of the sea showed no signs of depletion of fish, an increased supply could be produced at a lower price after a time sufficiently lr>ng to enable the normal action of economic causes to work Itself out : and, the term Normal being taken to refer to a long period of time, the normal price of fish would decrease with an increase in demand. §4. To sum up first as regards short periods. The supply of specialized skill and ability, of suitable machinery and other material capital, and of the appropriate industrial organization, has not time to be fully dus^niirto adapted to demand ; but the producers have to ^^""^ periods, adjust their supply to the demand as best they can with the I 214 BOOK V. (^TT. V. §5 4, r). appliances already at their disposal. On the one hand there is not time materially to increase those appliances if the supply of them is deficient ; and on the other, if the supply is exces- sive, some of them must remain imperfectly employed, since there is not time for the supply to be much reduced by gradual decay, and by conversion to other uses. The particular income derived from them does not for the time affect perceptibly the supply ; and does not directly affect the price of the commodi- ties produced by them. It is a surplus of total receipts over prime cost ; but unless it is sufficient to cover in the long run a fair share of the general costs of the business, produ^ction will gradually fall off^ Next to sum up as to long periods. In them all invest- ments of capital and effort in providing the material plant and the organization of a business, and in acquiring trade knowledge and specialized ability, *"**. *^ *° ^°"e have time to be adjusted to the incomes which ^^"°'*^* are expected to be earned by them : and the estimates of tliose incomes therefore directly govern supply, and are the true long-period nonnal supply price of the commodities pro- duced. A great part of the capital invested in a business is generally spent on building up its internal organization and its external trade connections. If the business does not prosper all this capital is lost, even though its material plant may realize a considerable part of its original cost. And anyone proposing to start a new business in any trade must reckon for the chance of this loss. If himself a man of normal capacity for that class of work, he may look forward ere long to his business being a representative one, in the sense in which we have used this t^rm, with its fair share of the economies of production on a large scale. If the net earnings of such a representative business seem likely to be greater than he could get by similar investments in other 1 Thus it has sometliing of tlie nature of a rent. Compare below, Cli vui S 1, and Appendix D. * , . . LONG AND SHORT PERIODS. 215 ("• J trades to which he has access, he will choose this trade. Thus that investment of capital in a trade, on which the price of the commodity produced by it depends in the long run, is governed by estimates on the one hand of the outgoings required to build up and to work a representative firm, and on the other of the incomings, spread over a long period of time, to be got by such a price. § 5. To go over the ground in another way. Market values are governed by the relation of demand to stocks actually in the market; with more or less reference to 'future* supplies, and not without some influence of trade combinations. But the current supply is in itself the result of the action of producers in T^!^^""^^ ^ drift of the the past ; this action has been mainly deter- term Normal mined by their comparing the prices which they is"th^ same for expect to get for their goods with the expenses ^^°.'"' ^"^ *°"e to which they will be put in producing them. The range of expenses of w Inch they take account will depend on whether they are merely considering the extra expenses of certain extra production with their existing plant, or are considering whether to lay down new plant for the purpose. But in any case it will be the general rule that that portion of the supply which can be most easily produced will be pro- duced, unless the price is expected to be very low. Every increase in the price expected will, as a rule, induce some people who would not otherwise have produced anything, to produce a little; while those who liave produced something for the lower price, will jjrobably produce more for the higher price. The general drift of the term Normal KSupply Price is always the same whether the period to which it refers is short or long; but there are great differences in detail. In every case it means the price the expectation of which is sufficient and only just sufficient to make it worth w^hile for people to produce a certain aggregate amount yearly : in every case it «ftf 216 BOOK V. PH. V 5, G. is the marginal cost of production ; that is, it is the cost of production of those goods which are on the margin of not being produced at all, and which would not be produced if the price to be got for them were expected to be at all lower. But the causes which determine this margin vary with tlie length of the period under consideration. § 6. Of course there is no hard and sharp line of division There is no between "long" and "short" periods. Nature bet'weelittg" ^'^^ ^^^^^ ^^ ^uch lines in the economic condi- perloi's^'^ ^'"'''^ ""^ ^"'^''^^ ^'^^ ^ ^'^'^ ^"^ ^^^^^^^g with practical problems they are not wanted. Just as we con- trast civilized with uncivilized races, and establish many general propositions about either group, though no hard and fast division can be drawn between the two; so we contrast long and short periods without attempting any rigid demarca- tion between them. But four classes stand out. In each, price Classification '^ governed by tlie relations between demand and of problems of Supply. But as regards market prices, Sunnlv is value by the xi • ,-, , *^ ' I r j ^'^ periods to ^f^Ken to mean the stock of the commodity in wjuch they question which is on hand, or at all events « in sight." As regards norinal prices, when the term Normal is taken to relate to short periods of a few months or a year, Supply means broadly what can be produced for the price in question with the existing stock of plant, personal and impersonal, in the given time. As regards normal prices when the term Normal is to refer to long periods of several years, Sui)ply means what can be produced by plant, which Itself can be remuneratively produced and applied within the given time ; while lastly, there are very gradual or Secular movements of normal price, caused by the gradual growth of knowledge, of population and of capital, and the changin- conditions of demand and supply from one generation to anotliei'. ^ The remainder of the present volume is chiefly concerned with the third of the above classes. That is, it discusses the I i LONG AND SHORT PERIODS. 217 normal relations of wages, profits, prices, ckc, for long periods of several years. But occasionally account has to be taken of gradual changes; and one chapter, Book VI. Ch. xii., is given up to "The Influence of Progress on Value," that is, to the study of very gradual, or secular, changes of value. On the other hand the first two classes will come into prominence when we discuss, in the second volume, fluctua- tions of prices and wages arising from quickly passing changes in the state of commercial credit, and other causes. And the chapter on " Trade Unions " at the end of the present volume is partly concerned with these two classes. / 218 CHAPTER VI. JOINT AND COMPOSITE DEMAND: JOINT AND COMPOSITE SUPPLY. § 1. Thk demand for the things used for making other Derived de- things, and their factors of production, is in- mand and joint direct; it is derived from the demand for the demand. ., . . ""^ things towards the production of which they contribute; or, in other words, the demands for all the various factoi-s of production of a finislied commodity are joined together in the joint demand for it. Thus the demand for beer is direct, and is a joint demand for hops, malt, brewers' labour, and the other factors of production of beer : and the demand for any one of them is an indirect demand derived from that for beer. Again there is a direct demand for new houses ; and from this there arises a joint demand for the labour of all the various building trades, and for bricks, stone, wood, etc., which are factors of production of building work of all kinds, or as we may say for shortness, of new houses. But the demand for any one of these, as for instance the labour of plasterers, is only an indirect, or Derived, demand. Let us take an illustration from a class of events that are of frequent occurrence in the labour market ; and suppose that the supply and demand for building being in equilibrium, there is a strike on the part of one group of workers, say the plasterers, or that there is some other disturbance to the supply of plasterers' labour. In order to make a separate Illustration taken from a labour dispute in the build- ing trade. mi . ^ JOINT AND COMPOSITE DEMAND AND SUPPLY. 210 study of the demand for that factor, we suppose firstly that the general conditions of the demand for new houses remain unchanged (that is, that the demand schedule for new houses remains valid); and secondly we assume that there is no change in the general conditions of supply of the other factors, two of which are of course the business faculties and the business organizations of the master builders (that is, we assume that their supply schedules also remain valid). Then a temporary check to the supply of plasterers' labour will cause a proportionate check to the amount of building: the demand price for the diminished number of houses will be a little higher than before; and the supply prices for the other factors of production will not be greater than before. Thus new houses can now be sold at prices which exceed by a good margin the sum of the prices at which these other requisites for the production of houses can be bought ; and that margin gives the limit to the possible rise of the price that will be offered for plasterers' labour, and on the supposition that plasterers' labour is indispensable ^ § 2. It is however important to remember that if the supply of one factor is disturbed, the supply of others is likely ' to be disturbed also. In particular, when the factor of which the supply is disturbed is one class of labour, as that of the plasterers, the employers' earnings generally act as a bufier. That is to say, the loss falls in the fii-st instance on them ; but by discharging some of their workmen and lowering the wages of others, they ultimately distribute a great part of it among the other factors of production. We may note the general conditions, under which a check 1 The different amounts of this margin, corresponding to different checks to the supply of plasterers' labour, are detennined by the general nile that, — The demand price for any thing used in producing a commwlity is, for each separate amount of the commoecially.8uch as relate to periods of but moderate length, in which conventional and real necessaries may be placed on nearly the same footing. A SURVEY OF DISTRIBUTION AND EXCHANGE. 251 furthers it in many wajrs. But though affected by many causes other than the rate of interest; and though the rate of saving of many people is but little affected by the rate of interest, while a few who have determined to secure an income of a certain fixed amount for themselves or their family will save less with a high rate than with a low rate of interest; yet a strong balance of evidence seems to rest with the opinion that a rise in the rate of interest, or demand-price for saving, tends to increase the volume of saving Thus then interest, being the price paid for the use of capital in any market, tends towards a level such that the aggregate demand for capital in that market, at interest that rate of interest, is equal to the aggregate governed stock forthcoming there at that rate. If the of suppijT^^ market, which we are considering, is a small a^^ demand. one — say a single town, or a single trade in a progressive country — an increased demand for capital in it will be promptly met by an increased supply drawn from surrounding districts or trades. But if we are considerina: the whole world, or even the whole of a large country as one market for capital, we cannot regard the aggregate supply of it as altered quickly and to a considerable extent by a change in the rate of interest. For the general fund of capital is the product of labour and waiting; and the extra work, and the extra waiting, to which a rise in the rate of interest would act as an incentive, would not quickly amount to much as compared with the work and waiting, of which the total existing stock of capital is the result. An extensive increase in the demand for capital in general will therefore be met for a time not so much by an increase of supply, as by a rise in the rate of interest; which will cause capital to withdraw itself partially from those uses in which the need for it is least urgent. It is only slowly and gradually that the 1 See Book IV. Ch. vu. smnmarized in § 6. I 252 BOOK VI. OH. II. ^ 3—6. II Land is on a different footing from other agents of production. land itself-. rise in the rate of interest will increase the total stock of capital. § 4. We here take " Land " to include all tliose agents of production which are supplied freely by nature in quantities less than man needs \ And land is on a different footing from man himself and those agents of pro- duction which are made by man ; among which are included improvements made by him on the For while the supplies of all other agents of production respond in various degrees and various ways to the demand for their services, land makes no such response. Thus an exceptional rise in the earnings of any class of labour, tends to increase its numbers, or efficiency, or both ; and the increase in the supply of efficient work of that class tends to cheapen the services which it renders to the com- munity. If the increase is in their numbers then the rate of earnings of each will tend downwards towards the old level. But if the increase is in their efficiency; then, though they will probably earn more per head than before, the gain to them will come from an increased national dividend, and will not be at the expense of other agents of production. And the same is true as regards capital : but it is not true as regards land. While therefore the value of land, in common with the values of other agents of production, is subject to those influences which were discussed towards the end of the pre- ceding chapter; it is not subject to those which have been brought into the reckoning in the present discussion. § 5. To conclude this stage of our argument :— The net aggregate of all the commodities Droduced is itself the true source from which flow the demand prices for all these com- modities, and therefore for the agents of production used m making them. Or, to put the same thing in another way, 1 See Book iv. Chapter ii. § 1. 2 For a further discussion of this suhject see rrincqAes, VI. u. 5. Com- pare also Appendices C and B below. SURVEY OF DISTRIBUTION AND EXCHANGE. 253 this national dividend is at once the aggregate net product of, and the sole source of payment for, all the The earnings asrents of production within the country: it is of the several . agents of divided up into earnings of labour; interest of production, capital ; and lastly the producer's surplus, or rent, thei> marginal of land. It constitutes the whole of them, and services, the whole of it is distributed among them ; and national the larger it is, the larger, other things being dividend. equal, will be the share of each of them. Any addition to the share of any one, the stock of which can be increased by human effort, will cause the stock of it to be increased. But the increase may be slow : for it may be checked by habit and custom, and in the case of labour by the growth of new conventional necessaries. And, if there is no very violent change in the arts of production or the general economic condition of society, the stock of each agent will stand always in a close relation to its cost of production : account being taken of those conventional necessaries, which constantly expand as the growing richness of the national income yields to one class after another an increasing surplus above the mere necessaries for efficiency. The national income is distributed among these several agents in proportion to the need which people have for their several services — i.e. not the total need, but the 'marginal need. By this is meant the need at that point, at which people are indifferent whether they purchase a little more of the services (or the fruits of the services) of one agent, or devote their further resources to purchasing the services (or the fruits of the services) of other agents. § 6. There remain some points on which a little more needs to be said here. In studying the influence which increased efficiency and increased earnings in one trade exert on the condition of others we may start from the general fact that, other things being equal, the larger the supply of any agent of production, Ii 254 BOOK TI. CH. II. g 6, 7. the further will it have to push it8 way iuto uses for which inyTenf '^ '' "f '^"'"^^^ ^'**^ ^ ^^'^ l^^^r will be the benefit, demand price with which it will have to be con mo« o...„. tented in those uses in which its employment is" on the verge or margin of not being found profitable • and in .so far as competition equalizes the price which it gits in'all uses this pnce wiU be its price for all uses. The Ltra pro duction resulting from the increase in that agent of production wiU go to swell the national dividend, and other agents of produ^ion wiU benefit thereby: but that agent it^lf wil have to submit to a lower rate of pay For instance, if without any other change, capital in- k nd of ,:r' *'' """'"■• °' ''"^ ^y *<• do any particular kind of abour increases, their wages must fall. In either case naZT -T''/" "'"■^"^ P^<^"<=*-"' -d an inC^d nationa dividend : in either case the loss of one agent of sanly to all others. Thus an opening up of rich quarries of slate or an increase in numbers or efficiency of quar™ would tend to improve the houses of all cWs; ZZZd tend to increase the demand for bricklayers' a^d caipente.1 Ubour and raise their wages. But it would injure the makei U r fif. ? "' P""*^""^" °' *>""'"« ™''*«rials, more than It benefited them as consumers. The increase in the supply of his one agent increases the demand for many others by a § 7. Now we know that the wages of any worker, say for nstance a shoemaker, tend to be equal to the net product o Ins labour: and that since the wages of all worke^in thf oZ7,iT:: ^f'"^ g"-«^e tend to be equal to one another. the efficiency therefore in a state of equilibrium every worker labour to buy the net products of a hundred days' labour SURVEY OF DISTRIBUTION AND EXCHANGE. 255 of other workei-s in the same grade with himself : he may select them in whatever way he chooses, so as to make up that aggregate sum. If the normal earnings of workers in another grade are half as high again as his own, the shoemaker must spend three days' wages in order to get the net product of two days' labour of a worker in that grade ; and so in proportion. Thus, other things being equal, every increase in the net efficiency of labour in any trade, including his own, will raise in the same proportion the real value of that part of his wages which the shoemaker spends on the products of that trade; and other things being equal, the level of the real wages of the shoemaker depends directly on the average increase in the efficiency of the trades, including his own, which produce those things on which he spends his wages. If any trade rejects an improvement by which its efficiency could be increased ten per cent., it inflicts on the shoemaker an injury measured by ten per cent, of that part of his wages which he spends on the products of that trade. But an increased efficiency on the part of workers, whose products compete with his own, may injure him temporarily at least, especially if he is not himself a consumer of those products. Again, the shoemaker will gain by anything that changes the relative positions of different grades in such a way as to raise his grade relatively to others. He will gain by an in- crease of medical men whose aid he occasionallv ^ , . . •' Relations needs. And he will gain more if those grades between which are occupied chiefly with the tasks of ^^^*^^^- managing business, whether manufacturing, trading, or any other, receive a great influx from other grades : for then the earnings of management will be lowered permanently relatively to the earnings of manual work, there will be a rise in the net product of every kind of manual labour ; and, other things being equal, the shoemaker will get more of every commodity on which he spends those wages that repre- sent his own net product. ■ 256 BOOK VI. CH. II. ^ 8, 9, 10. § 8. The process of substitutio.i, of which we have been discussing the tendencies, is one fonn of competition ^d It may be weU to insist again that we do not assume' th»t competition is perfect. Perfect competition ^t irTa ^ll Knowiedg. ^now edge of the state of the market ; and cf-cVrATon *7.f °" .«■•-* departure from the actual facts bep.rf.c.. ""^ *•»« part of dealers when we are considering ^f^t V K """"^ "^ *'"^'"^"" '" Lombard Street the Stock Exchange, or in a wholesale Produce Market • it woSl be altogether unreasonable to make this assumption wh^ we ufficient ali itlT^f " "' ''"''^'^- ^"'^ '^ ^ ™» ^-1 sumcent alnhty to know everything about the market for grade. The older economists, in constant contact as thev we^ wuh the actual facts of business life, must have knoZ this well enough ; but they sometimes seemed to imply thTI tbey did a.ssume this perfect knowledge. It is therefore specially important to insist that we do no assume the member, of any industrial g„,up to be endowed with more abihty and forethought, or to be governed by motives other than those which a.. i„ fact normal to and would be attributed by eveiy well-informed person to the members of that group; account being taken Vf the .en^r^ conditions of time and pla^e. The,^ may be a go<^ deal^ wayward and impulsive action, sordid Ld .:^ ^^.t may m.„ ,e then- threads together; but there is a constat lid h7 child """ '° "''"' ^"*='' '"''''P^'-- ^- himself and his children as seen, to him on the whole the most advantageous of those which are within the range of h s resources, and of the efforts which he is able and willin. to make in older to reach them. ^ § 9. The last group of questions, which still remain to be discussed, is concerned with the relation of capital in SURVEY OF DISTRIBUTION AND EXCHANGE. 257 general to wages in general. It is obvious that though capital in general is constantly competing with labour Relations for the field of employment in particular trades ; and^'iabour yet since capital itself is the embodiment of in general, labour as well as of waiting, the competition is really be- tween some kinds of labour aided by a good deal of waiting, and other kinds of labour aided by less waiting. On the one side, for instance, are many who make slioes by hand, and a very few who make awls and other simple implements, aided by a little waiting ; on the other are a relatively small number who work powerful sewing-machines which were made by engineers, aided by a good deal of waiting. There is a real and effective competition between labour in general and waiting in general. But it covers a small part of the whole field, and is of small importance relatively to the benefits which labour derives from obtaining cheaply the aid of capital, and tlierefore of eflicient methods in the production of things that it needs. For speaking generally, an increase in the power and the willingness to save will cause the services of waiting to be pushed constantly further ; and will prevent it from obtaining employment at as high a rate of interest as before. That is, the rate of interest will constantly fall, unless indeed invention opens new advantageous uses of roundabout methods of pro- duction. But this growth of capital will increase the national dividend ; open out new and rich fields for the employment of labour in other directions ; and will thus more than compensate for the partial displacement of the services of labour by those of waiting. § 10. It is to be understood that the share of the national dividend, which any particular industrial class re- . ceives during the year, consists either of things labour in that were made during the year, or of the equi- ^dvan " ices valents of those things. For many of the things made by made, or partly made, during the year will remain M. 17 258 BOOK VI. CH. II. § 10. in the possession of employers and other capitalists, and be added to the stock of capital ; while in return the employers, directly or indirectly, hand over to the working classes some things that had been made in previous years \ Thus finally, capital in general and labour in general co-operate in the production of the national dividend, and draw from it their earnings in the measure of their respective (marginal) efficiencies. Their mutual dependence is of the closest ; capital without labour is dead ; the labourer without the aid of his own or someone else's capital would not long be alive. Where labour is energetic, capital reaps a high reward and grows apace ; and, thanks to capital and knowledge, the ordinary labourer in the western world is in many respects better fed, clothed and even housed than were princes in. earlier times. The co-operation of capital and labour is as essential as that of the spinner of yarn and the weaver of cloth : there is a little priority on the part of the spinner ; but that gives him no preeminence. The prosperity of each is bound up with the strength and activity of the other; though each may gain temporarily, if not permanently, a somewhat larger share of the national dividend at the expense of the other. In the modern world, the employer, who may have but little capital of his own, acts as the boss of the great industrial wheel. The interests of owners of capital and of workers radiate towards him and from him : and he holds them all together in a firm grip. He will therefore take a predominant place in those discussions of fluctuations of employment and of wages, which are deferred to the second volume of this treatise; and a prominent, though not predominant, place in those discussions of the secondary features in the mode of action of demand and supply peculiar to labour, capital and land respectively, which will occupy the next eight chapters. 1 As to the so-called Wages-Fund doctrine, see Ai>pendix E § 2. Nrtj 259 CHAPTER III. EARNINGS OF LABOUll. § 1. We have now to apply the general reasonings of Book V. and of the first two chapters of the present Book to the special problems of Earnings, Profits, present and and Rent; and to examine in more detail how seven"""^'"^ difierent kinds of Labour, Capital, and Natural chapters. Agents earn their several shares of the national dividend. The present chapter is devoted to methods of reckoning earnings. It is mainly a question of arithmetic or book- keeping: but it is not unimportant'. When watching the action of demand and supply with regard to a material commodity, we are constantly met by the difficulty that two things which are being sold under the same name in the same market, are really not of the same quality and not of the same value to the purchasers. Or, if the things are really alike, they may be sold even in the' face of the keenest competition at prices which are nominally dif- ferent, because the conditions of sale are not the same : for instance, a part of the expense or risk of delivery which is borne in the one case by the seller may in the other be transferred to the buyer. But difficulties of this kind are much greater in the case of labour than of material commodi- ties : the true price that is paid for labour often differs widely, and in ways that are not easily traced, from that which is nominally paid. 1 On the subject of this chapter compare Schloss' Methods of Tndxistrial Jtemuneration. 17—2 BOOK VI. CH. III. § 1. The earnings (or wages) which a person gets in any given time, such as a day, a week, or a year, may be called his Time- Time-eamings (or Time-wages) : and we may tlien earnings. regard competition, or to speak more exactly, economic freedom and enterprise, as tending to make Time- earnings in occupations of equal difficulty and in neighbouring places (not equal, but) proportionate to the efficiency of the workers. But this phrase, " the efficiency of the workers," has some Payment by ambiguity. AVhen the payment for work of any Piece-work. ^:^^^ -g apportioned to the quantity and quality of the work turned out, it is said that uniform rates of Piece-work wages are being paid ; and if two persons work under the same conditions and with equally good appliances, they are paid in proportion to their efficiencies when they receive piece-work wages calculated by the same lists of prices for each several kind of work. If however the appliances are not equally good, a uniform rate of piece-work wages gives results disproportionate to the efficiency of the workers. If, for instance, the same lists of piece-work wages were used in Lancashire Cotton Mills supplied with old-fashioned machinery, as in those which have the latest improvements, the apparent equality would represent a real inequality. The more effective competition is, and the more perfectly economic freedom and enterprise are developed, the more surely will the lists be higher in the mills that have old-fashioned machinery than in the others. In order therefore to give its right meaning to the state- ment that economic freedom and enterprise tend to equalize wages in occupations of the same difficulty and in the same neighbourhood, we require the use of a new term; and we may find it in Efficiency-wages, or more broadly Effici^ncy- Efficiency- earnings; that is, earnings measured, not as earnings. Time-eamings are with reference to the time spent in earning them ; and not as piece-work earnings are EARNINGS OF LABOUR. 261 with reference to the amount of output resulting from the work by which they are earned ; but with reference to the severity of the task which was imposed on the worker ; or, to get at the same result by another route, the exertion of ability and efficiency required of him. For competition tends to make the earnings got by two individuals of unequal effi- ciency in any given time, say, a day or a year, not equal, but unequal ; and, in like manner, it tends not to equalise, but to render unequal the average weekly wages in two districts in which the average standards of efficiency are unequal. Given that the average strength and energy of the working-classes are higher in the North of England than in the South, it then follows that the more completely " compe- tition makes things find their own level," the more certain is it that average weekly wages will be higher in the North than in the South. The tendency then of economic freedom and enterprise (or in more common phrase, of competition) to cause every one's earnings to find their own level, is a tendency to equality of Efficiency- camming s in the same district. This tendency will be the stronger, the greater is the mobility of labour, the less strictly specialised it is, the more keenly parents are on the look out for the most advantageous occu- pations for their children, the more rapidly they are able to adapt themselves to changes in economic conditions, and lastly the slower and the less violent these changes are. This statement of the law is, however, still subject to a slight correction. For we have hitherto supposed Low-waged that it is a matter of indifference to the employer raiiy"dearflf *' whether he employs few or many people to do a working with •,.,,•,. expensive piece of work provided his total wages-bill for machinery, the work is the same. But that is not the case. Those workers who earn most in a week when paid at a given rate for their work, are those who are cheapest to their employers (and ultimately to the community, unless indeed they over- ^*^ BOOK VI. strain themselves, and work themselves out prematurely). For they use only the same amount of fixed capital as their slower fellow workers ; and, since they turn out more work, each part of it has to bear a less charge on this account. The Prime costs are equal in the two cases ; but the Total cost of that done by those who are more efficient, and get the higher Time-wages, is lower than that done by those who get the lower Time-wages at the same rate of piece-work payment. This point is seldom of much importance in out-of-door work, where there is abundance of room, and comparatively little use of expensive machinery; for then, except in the matter of superintendence, it makes very little diiFerence to the employer, whose wages-bill for a certain piece of work is £100, whether that sum is divided between twenty efficient or thirty inefficient workers. But when expensive machinery is used which has to be proportioned to the number of workers, the employer would often find the total cost of his goods lowered if he could get twenty men to turn out for a wages-bill of X50 as much work as he had previously got • done by thirty men for a wages-bill of £40. In all matters of this kind the leadership of the world lies with America, and it is not an uncommon saying there that he is the best business man who contrives to pay the highest wages. The corrected law then stands that the tendency of eco- nomic freedom and enterprise is generally to equalize efficiency- earnings in the same district: but where much expensive fixed capital is used, it would be to the advantage of the employer to raise the Time-earnings of the more efficient workers more than in proportion to their efficiency. Of course this tendency is liable to be opposed by special customs and institutions, and, in some cases, by trades-union regulations. § 2. Thus much with regard to estimates of the work for which the earnings are given : but next we have to consider more carefully the facts, that in estimating the real eamino^s EARNINGS OF LABOUR. 263 of an occupation account must be taken of many things besides its money receipts, and that on the other side of the account we must reckon for many incidental disadvantages besides those directly involved in the strain and stress of the work. As Adam Smith says, " the Real wages of labour may be said to consist in the quantity of the necessaries „ . ^ •' _ Real wrages and conveniences of life that are given for it ; and Nominal its Nominal wages in the quantity of money wages. The labourer is rich or poor, is well or ill rewarded, in pro- portion to the real, not to the nominal, wages of his labour'." But the words " that are given for it " must not be taken to apply only to the necessaries and conveniences that are directly provided by the purchaser of the labour or its products ; for account must be taken also of the advantages which are attached to the occupation, and require no special outlay on his part. In endeavouring to ascertain the Real wages of an occu- pation at any place or time, the first step is to allow for variations in the purchasing power of the money in which Nominal wages are returned; and especially we must take account of those things on which the class of labour in question spends most of its wages. For instance, the prices of velvet, of operatic entertainments and scientific books are not very important to the lower ranks of industry : but a fall in the price of bread or of shoe leather affects them much more than it does the higher ranks. Next; allowance must be made for all trade expenses. Thus from the barrister's gross income we must deduct the rent of his office and the salary of his clerk : from the carpenter's gross income we must deduct the expenses which he incurs for tools ; and when estimating the earnings of quarrymen in any district we must find oilt whether local custom assigns the 1 Wealth of Nations, Book i. Cli. v. mm 264 BOOK VI. CH. HI. §§ 2, 3. expenses of tools and blasting powder to them or their em- ployers. And on the other hand we must reckon in all the allowances, and privileges, such as those of a cottage rent free or at a low rent, and of course free board and lodging when they are given \ § 3. Next we have to take account of the influences Uncertainty exerted on the real rate of earnings in an occupa- ^j^j^ by the uncertainty of success and the in- constancy of occupation in it. We should obviously start by taking the earnings of an occupation as the average between those of the successful and unsuccessful members of it ; taking care to get the true averaged We thus obviate the necessity of making any separate allowance for insurance against risk ; but account '' remams to be taken of the evil of uncertainty. For there are many people of a sober steady-going temper, who like to know what is before them, and who would far rather have an appomtment which offered a certain income of say £400 a year than one which was not unlikely to yield £600, but had an equal chance of affording only £200. Uncertainty, there- fore, which does not appeal to great ambitions and lofty aspirations, has special attractions for very few ; while it acts as a deterrent to many of those who are making their choice of a career. And as a rule the certainty of moderate success attracts more than an expectation of an uncertain success that has an equal actuarial value. But on the other hand, if an occupation offers a few aJrV^lJ f'""^^ ^ T""^'^ ^\^^'''' ^*^"" ^« "^««^ ^'^'^ ^^^-eive them, not at theu- cost to those who give them. This poiiit and the evUs of the Truck system are dwelt on in Principles VI. iii. 5. nf fwii^''^""^^^ ^^'■""'^! ?^ *^°'^ '^^'^ ^^^ successfiU are £2000 a year, and be il200 a year if the former group is as large as the latter; but if as is perhaps the case ..th barristers, the unsuccessful are ten thnes as mmUrous as the successful, the true average is but £550. And further, many 7^Z who have faded most completely, are likely to have left the occupS altogether, and thus to escape being coimted occupation r- EARNINGS OF LABOUR. 265 extremely high prizes, its attractiveness is increased out of all proportion to their aggregate value. For this there are two reasons. The first is that young men of an adventurous disposition are more attracted by the prospects of great suc- cess than they are deterred by the fear of failure; and the second is that the social rank of an occupation depends more on the highest dignity and the best position which can be attained through it than on the average good fortune of those engaged in it. "We may next consider the influence which inconstancy of employment exerts on wages. It is obvious that irregularity of in those occupations, in which employment is employment, irregular, the pay must be high in proportion to the work done: the medical man and the shoeblack must each receive when at work a pay which covers a sort of retaining fee for the time when he has nothing to do. If the advantages of their occupations are in other respects equal, and their work equally diflicult, the bricklayer when at work must be paid a higher rate than the joiner, and the joiner than the railway guard. For work on the railways is nearly constant all the year round; while the joiner and the bricklayer are always in danger of being made idle by slackness of trade, and the bricklayer's work is further interrupted by frost and rain. The ordinary method of allowing for such interruptions is to add up the earnings for a long period of time and to take the average of them; but this is not quite satisfactory unless we assume that the rest and leisure, which a man gets when out of employment, are of no service to him directly or indirectly. Next we must take account of the opportunities which a man's surroundings may afford of supplementing the earnings which he gets in his chief occupa- menti^r^ tion, by doing work of other kinds. And ac- ^*^"^"es- count may need to be taken also of the opportunities which these surroundings offer for the work of other members of his family. 266 BOOK VI. CH. III. § 4. EARNINGS OF LABOUR. 267 4. The attrac- tiveness of a trade depends not on its money-earn- ings, but its Net Ad- vantages ; Thus then the attractiveness of a trade depends on many other causes besides the difficulty and strain of the work to be done in it on the one hand, and the money-earnings to be got in it on the other. And when the earnings in any occu- pation are regarded as acting on the supply of labour in it, or when they are spoken of as being its supply price, we must understand that the term Earnings is only used as a short expression for its Net Advantages. We must take account of the facts that one trade is healthier or cleanlier than another, that it is carried on in a more whole- some or pleasant locality, or that it involves a better social position; as is instanced by Adam Smith's well-known remark that the aversion which many people have for the work of a butcher, and to some extent for the butcher himself, raises the earnings of butchers above those of bakers. Of course individual character will always assert itself in subject to dif. estimating particular advantages at a high or a ch"r"ac?e°be- ^""^ ""^J^^- ^^^^ P^^^'^^ ^^r instance are so fond tween indi- of having a cottage to themselves that they prefer VI uais, living on very low wages in the country to getting much higher wages in the town; while others are in- different as to the amount of house-room they get, and are willing to go without the comforts of life provided they can procure what they regard as its luxuries. Personal peculi- arities, such as these, prevent us from predicting with cer- tainty the conduct of particular individuals. But if each advantage and disadvantage is reckoned at the average of the Baoney values it has for the class of people who would be likely to enter an occupation, or to bring up their children to it, we shall have the means of estimating roughly the relative strengths of the forces that tend to increase or diminish the supply of labour in that occupation €it the time and place which we are considering. For it cannot be too often repeated that grave errors are likely to result from taking over an estimate of this kind based on the circumstances of one time and place, and applying it without proper precaution to those of another time or another place. Lastly, the disagreeableness of work seems to have very little effect in raising wages, if it is of such a kind that it can be done by those whose indus- industrial trial abilities are of a very low order. For the ^'■^*^^^- progress of sanitary science has kept alive many people who are unfit for any but the lowest grade of work. They compete eagerly for the comparatively small quantity of work for which they are fitted, and in their urgent need they think almost exclusively of the wages they can earn: they cannot afford to pay much attention to incidental discomforts and indeed the influence of their surroundings has prepared many of them to regard the dirtiness of an occupation as an evil of but minor importance. And from this arises the strange and paradoxical result that the dirtiness of some occupations is a cause a -, n , . 1 » An evil 01 the lowness of the wages earned in them. For paradox, employers find that this dirtiness adds much to the wages they would have to pay to get the work done by skilled men of high character working with improved appliances; and so they often adhere to old methods which require only unskilled workers of but indifferent character, and who can be hired for low (Time-) wages, because they are not worth much to any employer. There is no more urgent social need than that labour of this kind should be made scarce and dear. 1 268 arities in the action of demand and supply with regard to la- bour are cu- mulative in their effects. CHAPTER IV. liABNINGS OF LABOUR, CONTINUED Ma„^ ^' r'' ^^l!^^. ^^P*"" ^^ ''•^""^"d the difficulties of as M,nx p.u... eert.„.„g the real as opposed to the nominal p„^e of abour. But now we have to study some peculi- ant.es m the action of the forces of demand and -pply w.th regard to labour which are of a more vital character; since they aifect not merely the We shall ri' .r/'r *'' ^"^^*""«« "f '»'-' -«on obvious effe^s Fo flts in 'tTe'l 'f "r '-^^ ^"^ ""^^ society may be di^d^ . . "^ "''""' •■"•"'"gements of effects a^or are lot / "''"' "'=''''"""« =« *'*«i'- "*> ""^ ""^ not cumulahve; that is is t)>»„ -J j not end with the evil bv wh,Vl, f>, ^ "'" °'" '''' do not have the i^d eS Tffet f f "'• ' '^"'^''''' ''"'' ''" ''■• the worke,^ or of hf ? / ^ov,em,^ the character of higher eamin-s whiVlT ' ? ^''^''*^'' «*^rength and EARNINGS OF LABOUR. 269 § 2. The first point to which we have to direct our attention is the fact that human agents of pro- First pecuii- duction are not bought and sold as machinery ^orker^seiis and other material agents of production are. his work, but The worker sells his work, but he himself remains perty in him- his own property : those who bear the expenses *^^^' of rearing and educating him receive but very little of the price that is paid for his services in later years. Whatever deficiencies the modern methods of business may Jiave, they have at least this virtue, that he consequently who bears the expenses of production of material t^e investment goods, receives the price that is paid for them, him is limited He who builds factories or steam-engines or ?^ *?^ means, o the forc- houses, or rears slaves, reaps the benefit of all thought, and ■ . 1 • 1 . 1 1 1 1 the unselfish- net services which they render so long as he nessofhis keeps them for himself ; and when he sells them parents. he gets a price which is the estimated net value of their future services. The stronsfer and the more eflicient he makes them, the better his reward; and therefore he extends his outlay until there seems to him no good reason for thinking that the gains resulting from any further investment would compensate him. But the investment of capital in the rearing and early training of the workers of England is limited by the resources of parents in the various grades of society, by their power of forecasting the future, and by their willingness to sacrifice themselves for the sake of their children. This evil is indeed of comparatively small importance with regard to the higher industrial grades. For in those grades most people distinctly realize the future, and " discount it at a low rate of interest." They exert themselves much to select the best careers for their sons, and the best trainings for those careers ; and they are generally willing and able to incur a considerable expense for the purpose. The profes- sional classes especially, while generally eager to save some J 270 I BOOK VI. CH. IV. §§ 2, 3. capital for their children, are even more on the alert for opportunities of investing it in them. And whenever there occurs in the upper grades of industry a new opening for which an extra and special education is required, the future gains need not be very high relatively to the present outlay, in order to secure a keen competition for the post. But in the lower ranks of society the evil is great. For TchlMrTn^"^ ^^^ ^^^''^^'' "'^''''^ ^''^ education of the parents, of poor and the comparative weakness of their power of parents. distinctly realizing the future, prevent them from investing capital in the education and training of their children with the same free and bold enterprise with which capital is applied to improving the machinery of any well- managed factor^-. Many of the children of the working- classes are imperfectly fed and clothed ; they are housed in a way that promotes neither physical nor moral health ; they receive a school education which, though in modern England It may not be very bad so far as it goes, yet goes only a little way ; they have few opportunities of getting a broader view of life or an insight into the nature of the higher work of business, of science or of art ; they meet hard and exhausting toil early on the way, and for the greater pai-t keep to it all their lives. At last they go to the grave carrying with them undeveloped abilities and faculties ; which, if they could have borne full fruit, would have added to the material wealth of the country— to say nothing of higher considerations— many times as much as would have covered the expense of providing adequate opportunities for their development. But the point on which we have specially to insist now is This evil is that this evil is cumulative. The worse fed are cumu ative. ^^le children of one generation, the less will they earn when they grow up, and the les.s will be their power of providing adequately for the material wants of their children • and so on : and again, the less fully their own faculties are ) EARNINGS OF LABOUR. 271 Start in life. developed, the less will they realize the importance of develop- ing the best faculties of their children, and the less will be their power of doing so. And conversely any change that awards to the workers of one generation better earnings, together with better opportunities of developing their best qualities, will increase the material and moral advantages which they have the power to offer to their children : while by increasing their own intelligence, wisdom and forethought, it will also to some extent increase their willingness to sacrifice their own pleasures for the well-being of their children ; though there is much of that willingness now even among the poorest classes, so far as their means and the limits of their knowledge will allow. § 3. The advantages which those born in one of the higher grades of society have over those bom in a lower, consist in a great measure of the better introductions and the better start in life which they re- ceive from their parents. But the importance of this good start in life is nowhere seen more clearly tlian in a comparison of the fortunes of the sons of artisans and of unskilled labourers. There are not many skilled trades to which the son of an unskilled labourer can get easy access ; and in .11 • . K ^ T^« sons of the large majority of cases the son follows the artisans and father's calling. In the old-fashioned domestic °f^^b°"'-"^' industries this was almost a universal rule ; and, even under modern conditions, the father has often great facilities for introducing his son to his own trade. But the son of the artisan has further advantages. He generally lives in a better and cleaner house, and under material surroundings that are more consistent with refine- ment than those with which the ordinary labourer is familiar. His parents are likely to be better educated, and to have a higher notion of their duties to their children ; and, last but not least, his mother is likely to be able to give more of her time to the care of her family. 272 BOOK VT. CH. TV. §§ 3 — 5. If we compare one country of the civilized world with anotlier, or one part of England witli another, or one trade in England with another, we find that the degradation of the working-classes varies almost uniformly with the amount of rough work done by women. The most valuable of all capital is that invested in human beings; and of that capital the most precious part is the result of the care and influence of the mother, so long as she retains her tender and unselfish instincts, and has not been hardened by the strain and stress of unfeminine work. § 4. As the youth grows up, the influence of his parents and his schoolmaster declines ; and thenceforward to the end of his life his character is moulded chiefly by the nature of his work and the influence of those with whom he associates for business, for pleasure and for religious worship. Sqpiething has already been said of the technical training of adults, of the decadence of the old apprentice- The technical ,», t,». i, i»r?j- training of the ship system, and of the difliculty of hndmg any- workshop de- ^j^-^ ^^ ^.^^^ -^g rAace. Here again we meet the pends in a o ir '-' great measure difliculty that whoever may incur the expense oi selfishness of investing capital in developing the abilities of the the employer, ^orknian, those abilities will be the property of the workman himself: and thus the virtue of those who have aided him must remain for the greater part its own reward. It is true that high-paid labour is really cheap to those employers who are aiming at leading the race, and whose ambition it is to turn out the best work by the most advanced methods. They are likely to give their men high wages and to train them carefully ; partly because it pays them to do so, and partly because the character that fits them to take the lead in the arts of production is likely also to make them take a generous interest in the well-being of those who work for them. But though the number of such employers is increasing, they are still comparatively few. Again, in paying his workpeople high wages and in caring EARNINGS OF LABOUR. 273 for their happiness and culture, the liberal employer confers benefits which do not end with his own genera- ^^ benefits are tion. For the children of his workpeople share cumulative, . , ^ -111 butaccrueonly in them, and grow up stronger in body and in part to him in character than otherwise they would have o*" his heirs, done. The price which he has paid for labour will have borne the expenses of production of an increased supply of high industrial faculties in the next generation : but these faculties will be the property of others, who will have the right to hire them out for the best price they will fetch : neither he nor even his heirs can reckon on reaping much material reward for this part of the good that he has done. § 5. The next of those characteristics of the action of demand and supply peculiar to labour, which we have to study, lies in the fact that when a person peculiarity, sells his services, he has to present himself where 7^^ seller of ' '^ labour must they are delivered. It matters nothing to the deliver it him- self seller of bricks whether they are to be used in building a palace or a sewer : but it matters a great deal to the seller of labour, who undertakes to perform a task of given difficulty, whether or not the place in which it is to be done is a wholesome and a pleasant one, and whether or not his associates will be such as he cares to have. In those yearly hirings which still remain in some parts of England, the labourer inquires what sort of a temper his new employer has, quite as carefully as what rate of wages he pays. This peculiarity of labour is of great importance in many individual cases, but it does not often exert a The effects of broad and deep influence of the same nature as *^»sarenot ^ generally that last discussed. The more disagreeable the cumulative, incidents of an occupation, the higher of course are the wages required to attract people into it : but whether these incidents do lasting and wide-spreading harm depends on whether they are such as to undermine men's physical health and strength or to lower their character. When they are not of this sort, M. 18 274 BOOK VI. CH. IV. §§ 5, 6. EARNINGS OF LABOUR. 275 they are indeed evils in themselves, but they do not generally cause other evils beyond themselves ; their effects are seldom cumulative. Since however no one can deliver his labour in a market in which he is not himself present, it follows that the mobility of labour and the mobility of the labourer are convertible terms : and the unwillingness to quit home, and to leave old associations, including perhaps some loved cottage and burial- ground, will often turn the scale against a proposal to seek better wages in a new place. And when the different mem- bers of a family are engaged in different trades, and a migra- tion, which would be advantageous to one member, would be injurious to others, the inseparability of the worker from his work considerably hinders the adjustment of the supply of labour to the demand for it. § 6. Again, labour is often sold under special disadvan- tages, arising from the closely connected group of Third and i»,.i ""d that, Z, !. r ^"^ "° <'^<=«P*'°»''l influx of labour into the trade the nse would have been followed by a fall instead of a further nse : and, if there is such an exceptional influx the consequence may be a supply of labour so excessive, that Its earnings remain below their normal level for many years .-,-. /^"t ye must not omit to notice those adjustments of the supply of labour to the demand for it, which" are effected by movements of adults from one trade to another, one grade The move- *" another, and one place to another. The move ments of adui. ments from one gnvde to another can seldom be on a very large scale; although it is true that exceptional opportunities may sometimes develop rapidly a great deal of latent ability among the lower grades. Thus for instance, the sudden opening out of a new country, or such an event as the American War, will raise from the lower ranks of labour many men who bear themselves well in (Umeult and responsible posts. And the movements of adult labour from trade to trade are however *"" ^'"on" P'^ce to place Can in some cases be so ofmcreasing large and so rapid as to reduce within a very short compass the period which is required to importance. EARNINGS OF LABOUR. 279 enable the supply of labour to adjust itself to the demand. That general ability which is easily transferable from one trade to another, is every year rising in importance relatively to that manual skill and technical knowledge which are specialized to one branch of industry'. And thus economic progress brings with it on the one hand a constantly increasing changefulness in the methods of industry, and therefore a constantly increasing difficulty in predicting the demand for labour of any kind a generation ahead ; but on the other hand it brings also an increasing power of remedying such errors of adjustment as have been made. § 3. Thus these market variations in the price of a commodity are governed by the temporary re- , . , "^ 1 1 1 1 J 1 1 . . Fluctuations lations between demand and the stock that is in of earnings are the market or within easy access of it. When ^u^^i"!*^ •^ chiefly by the market price so determined is above its fluctuations of nonnal level, those who are able to bring new supplies into the market in time to take advantage of the high price receive an abnormally high reward. If they are small handicraftsmen working on their own account, the whole of this rise in price goes to increase their earnings. In the modern industrial world, however, those who undertake the risks of production and to whom the benefits of any rise in price, and the evils of any fall come in the first instance, are employers and other business men. But the force of competition among the employers themselves, each desiring to extend his business, and to get for himself as much as possible of the rich harvest that is to be reaped when their trade is prosperous, makes them consent to pay higher wages to their employees in order to obtain their services. Even if they act in combination, they are not likely to endeavour to deprive the workman of all share of the harvest of good times : nor if they did make the attempt, would it be at all likely to succeed. Thus the high wages of coal-miners during the inflation which culminated in 1873, were determined for the time by 1 See Book iv. Ch. vi. § 1. h 280 BOOK VI. CH. V. SS 3, 4. the relation in which the demand for their services stood to Illustration the amount of skilled mining labour available, to'^o^fthecJai *^® unskilled labour imported into the trade trade. being counted as equivalent to an amount of skilled labour of equal efficiency. Had it been impossible to import any such labour at all, the earnings of miners would have been limited only by the elasticity of the demand for coal on the one hand, and the gradual coming to age of the rising gene- ration of miners on the other. As it was, men were drawn from other occupations which they were not eager to leave; for they could have got high wages by staying where they were, since the prosperity of the coal and iron trades was but the highest crest of a swelling tide of credit. These new men were unaccustomed to underground work; its discomforts told heavily on them, while its dangers were increased by their want of technical knowledge, and their want of skill caused them to waste much of their strength. The limits therefore which their competition imposed on the rise of the temporary wages of miners' skill were not narrow. When the tide turned, those of the new-comers who were least adapted for the work, left the mines ; but even then the miners who remained were too many for the work to be done, and their wage fell, till it reached that limit at which they could get more by selling their labour in other trades. And that limit was a low one ; for the swollen tide of credit, which culminated in 1873, had undermined solid business, impaired the true foundations of prosperity, and left nearly every trade in a more or less unhealthy and depressed condition. The miners had therefore to sell their skilled labour in markets which were already over full, and in which their special skill counted for nothing. § 4. To conclude this part of our argument. The market price of everything, i.e. its price for short periods, is deter- mined mainly by the relations in which the demand for it stands to the available stocks of it; and in the case of labour or any other agent of production this demand is ^f EARNINGS OF LABOUR. 281 " derived " from the demand for those things which the agent is used in making. In these relatively short periods fluctua- tions in wages follow, and do not precede, fluctuations in the selling prices of the goods produced. But the incomes which are being earned by all agents of production, human as well as material, and those which appear likely to be earned by them in the future, exercise a ceaseless influence on those persons by whose action the future supplies of these agents are determined. There is a constant tendency towards a position of normal equilibrium, in which the supply of each of these agents shall stand in such a relation to the demand for its services, as to give to those who have provided the supply a sufficient reward for their efforts and sacrifices. If the economic conditions of the country remained stationary sufficiently long, this ten- dency would realize itself in such an adjustment of supply to demand, that both machines and human beings would earn generally an amount that corresponded fairly with their cost of rearing and training, conventional necessaries as well as those things which are strictly necessary being reckoned for. But conventional necessaries might change under the influence of non-economic causes, even while economic conditions them- selves were stationary : and this change would affect the supply of labour, and thus modify the national dividend and slightly alter its distribution. As it is, the economic conditions of the country are constantly changing, and the point of adjustment of normal demand and supply in relation to labour is constantly being shifted \ 1 1, " ^'^'"''P^^' ^- ^'^ t^e argnment of this last Section is pursued more at length, and with reference to several difficulties that are ignored here In particular it is argued that the extra income earned by some natural abilities may be regarded as a Rent sometimes, but not when we are considering the normal earnings of a trade. This analogy is valid so long as we are merely analysing the source of the incomes of individuals, and it might even l)e carried further if persons were bom with rare abilities specialised to particular branches of production. 282 CHAPTER YI. INTEREST OF CAPITAL. § 1. The main i)rinciples of tlie action of demand and supply with regard to capital have been discussed in the first two chapters of this Book. We there looked back at the results of our earlier studies, and endeavoured to brin^' t<3gether and study in their mutual relations a number of separate doctrines as to capital, each of which is familiar to every intelligent man ; though he may not be able, without some special study, to see their bearings on one another and the part they severally play in the great central problem of distribution. But in earlier times even great thinkers failed not only to understand the part which capital plays in this great pro- blem, but even to recognise clearly many of the separate truths which are now regarded as common-place. They were impressed by observing that most borrowers were poor, that most lenders were rich; that the lenders very often suffered no material loss through making a loan, and that they often wrung exorbitant usury out of the needs of the poor. These facts enlisted their sympathies; and, aided by some specious metaphysical reasoning, j)revented them from perceiving that he who lends to another hands over to him the power of using temporarily some desirable thing, and that this action has as much right to payment, as the act of handing to him absolutely some other thing of smaller value. INTEREST OF CAPITAL. 283 If the first man he rich it may be his duty in either case to confer a benefit freely on his poorer neighbour without ex- pecting anything in return. But if a person can use £100 so as to produce, after allowing for his trouble, things worth £103 net at tlie end of a year, there is no reason for his lending the £100 free of interest to another, which would not require him to make to that other a free present of £3. ' § 2. We have seen that interest is the reward of waiting in the same sense that wages are the reward of labour. Much work is pleasurable ; but every one claims his full pay for all the work he does for others as a matter of ordinary business, however pleasurable it may be to himself. Similarly many people would wish to defer some of their enjoyments, even if they had to put by the money, which gives command over them, without hope of interest : but yet those who have the means of lending, will not lend gratis as a rule ; because, even if they have not themselves some good use to which to turn tlie capital or its equivalent, they are sure to be able to find others to whom its use would be of benefit, and who would pay for the loan of it : and they stand out for the best market. And there always is a market, because though the stock of loanable wealth is increasing fast, new openings for its profit- able use are ever being made by the progress of the mechanical arts and the opening up of new countries. But now we may leave these general considerations, and make a more detailed study of this notion of Inte- Net and Gross rest. For the interest of which we speak when interest. we say that interest is the earnings of capital simply, or the 1 This line of argument is pursued in some detail in Principles VI. vi. It is argued that the modern theories of C.a-1 Marx and some others as to capital, repeat this old en-or in a disguised form, and without the excuse which there was for it in earlier times: but that with this exception, the histoiy of the theory of interest has been one of almost continuous progress during the last three centuries: every generation has done something to forward it, none has been able to make any fundamental change. Reasons are also given for dissenting from Prof. Bijlun-Bawerk's doctrines ou the subject. 284 BOOK VI. CH. VI. §§ 2, 3. reward of waiting simply, is Net interest ; but what commonly passes by the name of Interest, includes other elements besides this, and may be called Gross interest. These additional elements are the more important the lower fnTudis's"": ^"^ "^^'^ rudimentary the state of commercial Insurance security and of the organization of credit Thus against risk, for instance, in medieval times, when a prince wanted to forestall some of his future revenues, he borrowed perhaps a thousand ounces of silver, and undertook to pay back fifteen hundred at the end of a year. There was how- ever no perfect security that he would fulfil the promise; and perhaps the lender would have been willing to exchange' that promise for an absolute certainty of receiving thirteen hundred at the end of the year. In that case, while the nominal rate at which the loan was made, was fifty per cent., the real rate was thirty. The necessity for making this allowance for insurance and also Earn- against risk is SO obvious, that it is not often ':^:^l^^^' ^^e^l^oked. But it is less obvious that every loan causes some trouble to the lender; that when from the nature of the case, the loan involves considerable risk, a great deal of trouble has often to be taken to keep these risks as small as possible ; and that then a great part of what appears to the borrower as interest, is, from the point of view of the lender, Earnings of Management of a troublesome business. At the present time the net interest on capital in England is a little under three per cent, per annum ; for no more\han tliat can be obtained by investing in such first-rate Stock Exchange securities as yield to the owner a secure income without appreciable trouble or expense on his part. And when we find capable business men borrowing on perfectly secure mortgages, at (say) four per cent., we may regard that gross interest of four per cent, as consisting of net interest or interest proper, to the extent of a little under three per ceLt . INTEREST OF CAPITAL. 285 and of Earnings of Management by the lenders to the extent of rather less than one per cent. Again, a pawnbroker's business involves next to no risk ; but his loans are generally made at the rate of 25 per cent, per annum, or more; the greater part of which is really Earnings of Management of a troublesome business. Or to take a more extreme case, there are men in London and Paris and probably elsewhere, who make a living by lending money to costermongers : the money is often lent at the beginning of the day for the purchase of fruit, "«- xiitniUAftc^urer ditionsofagri- for him to work on; but the agnculturist must seek his work. Again, the workers on the land must adapt their work to the seasons, and can seldom confine themselves entirely to one class of work ; and in consequence agriculture, even under the English system, cannot move fast in the direction of the methods of manufacture. But yet there are considerable forces tending to push it in that direction. The progress of invention is constantly increasmg the number of serviceable, but expensive machines tor most of which a small farmer can find employment durin- only a very short time. He may hire some of them from people who make it their business to undertake steam plou-h- mg and thrashing ; but there are many, the use of which can be got only by co-operation with his neighbours; and the uncertainties of the weather prevent this plan from workin- very smoothly in practice. '^ Again, the farmer must go beyond the results of his own It affords an ^^^ ^"^ father's experience in order to keep icope'fiTAigh tf^^'* ^* *^^ ^^'-^^^^^ ^^ the day. He should be business able to follow the movements of acjricultural y- science and practice closely enough to see their chief practical applications to his own farm. To do all this properly requires a trained and versatile mind ; and a farmer who has these qualities could find time to direct the General course of the management of several hundred, or even of several thousand acres ; and the mere superintendence of his mens work in matters of detail is not a task fitting for him Ihe work which he ought to do is as difficult as that of a large manufacturer; and he would never dream of spending, his own strength on minute supervision which he can easily LAND TENURE. 313 hire subordinates to do. A farmer who can do this higher work, must be wasting his strength on work that is beneath him, unless he employs many gangs of workmen, each of them under a responsible foreman. But there are not many fanns which give scope for this, and there is therefore very little inducement for really able men to enter the business of farming ; the best enterprise and ability of the country gene- rally avoid agriculture and go to trades in which there is room for a man of first-rate ability to do nothing but high class work, to do a great deal of it, and therefore to get high Earnings of Management. The experiment of working fanns on a very large scale is difficult and expensive ; because, to be tried properly, it would require farm buildings and means of communication specially adapted to it ; and it would have to overcome a good deal of resistance from custom and sentiment not altogether of an unhealthy kind. The risk also would be great; for in such cases those who pioneer often fail, though their route when well trodden may be found to l>e the easiest and best. If a farm is not very large, and if, as is often the case, the farmer has no greater ability and activity of ^^^ farmer mind than is commonly to be found among the who works , . . ^ n 1 • i> • £ i. w^ith his men. better class of working toremen m manuiactures, then it would be best for others, and in the long run for him- self, that he should return to the old plan of working among his men. Perhaps also his wife might return to some of those liffhter tasks in and near the farmhouse which tradition ascribes to her. They require discretion and judgment, they are not inconsistent with education and culture; and combined with it they would raise and not lower the tone of her life, and her real claims to a good social position. There is some reason for thinking that the stern action of the principle of natural selection is now displacing those farmers, who have not the faculty to do difficult head-work, and yet decline to do hand-work. Their places are being taken by men of more I* 314 BOOK vr. CH. X. S§ 4, 5. than average natural ability who, with the help of modern education, are rising from the ranks of labourers; who are quite able to manage the ordinary routine work of a model farm; and who are giving to it a new life and spirit by calling their men to come and work, instead of telling them to go and work. Veiy large farms being left out of view, it is with rather small farms worked on these principles that the immediate future of English agriculture seems to lie. Very small Very Small holdings however have great advan- hoidmgs. ^.^ggg wherever so much care has to be given to individual plants, that machinery is out of place ; and there is reason for hoping that they will continue to hold their own in raising vegetables, flowers and fi-uit. § 5. We may next consider how far landlords will in The interests *^^"' ^"^'^ interest adjust the size of holdings to of landlords the real needs of the people. Small holdino-s of the i»i . t> and of the ^r- . * * o" otten require more expensive buildings, roads as re- public _ howrngs.'"*" ^^"^ ^^"^""^^^ ^^^^ involve' greater troubll and in- cidental expenses of management to the land- lord in proportion to their acreage than do large holdings ; and while a large fanner who has some rich land can turn poor soils to good account, small holdings will not flourish generally except on good soil '. Their gross rental per acre must therefore always be at a higher rate than that of large farms. But it is contended that, especially when land is heavily burdened by settlements, landlords are unwilling to incur the expense of subdividing farms, unless they see their way to rents for small holdings that will give them, in addition to high profits on their outlay, a heavy insurance 1 The iiiteri>retation of this term varies with local conditions and individual wants. On permanent pasture land near a town or an industrial district the advantages of smaU holdings are perhaps at their maximum, and the disad- vantages at their mmimum. If the land is arahle, it must not be light but strong, and the richer the better ; and this is especially the case with holdings so small as to make much use of the spade. If the land is hiUy and broken the smaU cultivator loses but little from his want of command of machinery LAND TENURE. 315 fund against the chance of having to throw the holdings together again ; and that the rental for small holdings, and especially for those of only a few acres, is extravagantly high in many parts of the country. Sometimes the prejudices of the landloitl and his desire for undisputed authority make him positively refuse to sell or let land to persons who are not in haimony with him on social, political or religious questions; but it seems certain that evils of this kind have always been confined to a few districts, and that they are rapidly diminishing. But they rightly attract much attention. For there is a public need for small holdings, as well as large, in every district. They increase the number of people who are working in the open air with their heads and their hands : and by giving the agricultural labourer a stepping-stone upwards, they tend to prevent him from being compelled to leave agri- culture to find some scope for his ambition, and thus check the great evil of the continued flow of the ablest and bravest farm lads to the towns. Moreover very small holdings, which can be worked by people who have some other occupation, and also allotments and large gardens, render great services to the State, as well as to those who cultivate them. They break the monotony of existence, they give a healthy change from indoor life, they offer scope for variety of character and for the play of fancy and imagination in the arrangement of individual life ; they afford a counter attraction to the grosser and baser pleasures ; they often enable a family to hold together that would otherwise have to separate ; under favourable conditions they improve considerably the material condition of the worker ; and they diminish the fretting as well as the positive loss caused by the inevitable interruptions of their ordinary work. And lastly though peasant proprietorship, as a system, is unsuited to the economic conditions of England, to her soil, Allotments. W 316 ; \* BOOK VI. CH. X. g 5, 6. her climate and the temper of her people, yet there are a few There should Peasant proprietors in England who are nerfectlv be no artificial ]|.ir»r»Ar i« +k:„ tj.* , , ^^ ^ hindrances to '"PP^ '" ^'^ condition; and there are a few peasants- pro- others who would buy small plots of land and would live happily on them, if they could get just what they wanted where they wanted it. Their temper is such that they do not mind working hard and living sparely p.-oyided they need call no one master; they love quiet and dLshke excitement ; and they have a great capacity for g«>win<- fond of land>. Reasonable opportunity should be given t^ such people to invest their savings in small plots of land on which they may raise suitable crops with their own hands • and at the very least the present grievous legal charges on the' transfer of small plots should be diminished. Co-operation might seem likely to flourish in agriculture fn-rSture f "'^ *° T^'"' *•'" economies of production on a • large scale with many of the joys and the social gams of small properties. But it requires habits of mutual trust and confidence; and unfortunately the bravest and the boldest and therefore the most trustful, of the countrymen have always moved to the towns, and agriculturists are a suspicious race. Co-operative movements in agriculture there- fore must needs be very cautious, until the way has been well prepared for them by the less ambitious but safer .system of profit-sharing. ■' As co-operation might combine more of the advantages of all systems of tenure, so the cottier system of Ireland often combmed the disadvantages of all ; but its won,t evils and their causes are rapidly disappearing, and the economic ele- ments of the problem are just now overshadowed by the political. We must therefore pass it hy'. tl^leZZ^'Tuo^^T'^ ■""" '" "^"^ *" «"'" ^""^ '» '^' -- over LAND TENUUE. 317 § 6. Finally a word may be said as to private and public interests with regard to open spaces in towns. Wakefield and the American economists have tweei^Vbitc taught us how a sparsely inhabited new district fJ'^^^g^P^"''*^^ is enriched by the advent of every new settler, the matter of The converse truth is that a closely peopled ^p^^fj^p^^eJ!" district is impoverished by everyone who adds a new building or raises an old one higher. The want of air and light, of peaceful repose out-of-doors for all ages and of healthy play for children, exhausts the energies of the best blood of England which is constantly flowing towards our large towns. By allowing vacant spaces to be built on reck- lessly we are committing a great blunder from a business point of view, since for the sake of a little material wealth we are wasting those energies which are the factors of pro- duction of all wealth; and we are sacrificing those ends towards which material wealth is only a means. It is a difficult question to decide how far the expense of clearing open spaces in land already built on should fall on the neighbouring owners ; but it seems right that for the future every new building erected, save in the open country, should be required to contribute in money or in kind towards the expenses of open places in its neighbourhood. arise partly from the difficulty of deciding what are normal prices and harvests; partly from local variations in the standard of normal farming skill and enter- prise. On this and some allied questions relating to compensation for improvements, see Frinciples VI. x. 10. P 318 CHAPTER XI. GENERAL VIEW OF DISTRIBUTION. noi L J''\7T"''l^ f *^ P'""^'"S *«" chapters may no^ be brought to a head. It falls far short of a complete Stl'teff •^TT'"'T"^= for that involves qu^t ^ntl?tr>:^ fl ' *° «"<'*-*-- of credit and employ, m Its many forms. But yet it extends to the broadest and deepest mfluences which govern distribution and exchange. To begin with, we have seen that there is a ..eneral correspondence between the causes that govern the CppS prices of material and of pei^onal capital : the ^ motives which induce a man to accumulate of°cTdSns personal capital in his son's education, are t'.ZT^ similar te those which control his accumulation '"«'ri«i. of material capital for his son. There is a con- tn^l^H^T'' tmuous transition from the father who works '^""'"e- and waite in order that he may bequeath to his son a nch and firmly-established manufacturing or trading business to one who works and waits in o«ler to support his son wh7e he IS slowly acquiring a thorough medical education, and ultimately to buy for him a lucrative practice. Again, there .s the same continuous transition from him to one ^ho work and waits in order that his son may stay long at school ; and may afterwards work for some time abnost without pay ^S GENERAL VIEW OF DTSTWBUTIOX. 319 learning a skilled trade, instead of being forced to support himself early in an unskilled occupation, such as that of an errand-boy. For such occupations, because they lead the way to no future advance, sometimes offer comparatively high wages to young lads. It is indeed true that as society is now constituted, the only persons, who are very likely to invest much in developing the personal capital of a youth's abiUties are his parents : and that many first-rate abilities go for ever uncultivated because no one, who can develop them, has had any special interest in doing so. This fact is very important practically, for its effects are cumulative ; that is, the deficiency in education of one generation is likely to impair the education of the next, and that again of the generation which follows it, and so on, cumulatively. But it does not give rise, as has been supposed, to a fundamental difference between material and human agents of production : for it is analogous to the fact that much good land is poorly cultivated because those who would cultivate it well have not access to it. Again, since human beings grow up slowly and are slowly worn out, and parents in choosing an occupation for their children must as a rule look forward a whole generation, changes in demand take a longer time to work out their full effects on supply in the case of human agents than of most kinds of material appliances for production; and a specially long period is required in the case of labour to give full play to the economic forces which tend to bring about a normal adjustment between demand and supply^. § 2. The eflficiency of human agents of production on the one hand, and that of material agents on the . ' ^ Business men other, are weighed against one another and com- weigh the pared with their costs; and each tends to be the^different applied as far as it is more efficient than the other industrial in proportion to its cost. A chief function of 1 Comp. IV. V. VI. VII. and xii. ; and VI. iv. v. aud vii. 320 BOOK VL CH. XI. §§ 2, 3. business enterprise is to facilitate the free action of fh" S^t principle of substitution. Generally toZ S^ L^ a./n ^-^leaTnTsnie^Ti^^^^^^ and managers; they are constantly devising and experiment ng w.th new arrangements which involve the use ofTff^nt sreivtr-"^"'^ ^"'^ ^^'-"'^"^ *••- -- profits: cla.frfti?"''"r'"^'^ "'*^ ^''^ ""^t °^ almost eve>y c^s of labour, ,s thus continually being weighed in the :S«f.o .he ^^^'"'t '" "■'^ «■• -"ore branches of production 'uruSiol ofZ '^'°! °*"'' "^^'"^ °* l'^'^'"--- ^°d each .on. of these m its turn against others. This comoe tition IS primarilv "vertiVal .» ,-(. • i , » compe- i- ui,»niy vertical : it is a struggle for the fiplrl n( , 10 were, Detween the same vertical walls TJnf meanwhile "horizontal" competition is always at ^rk !nd by simpler methods : for, fii^tly, there is great fre^om of movement of adulte from one business to another withinLl We; and secondly, parents can generally introduce th^r children into almost any other trade of the same grade wfth their own in their neighbourhood. By means of this'^ombrne; vertical and horizontal competition there is an effective and closely adjusted balance of payments to services ^ttwe^a abour m different g.-ades; i„ spite of the fa.t that the laW m any one grade is mostly recruited even now from the children of those in the same grade ^ . ,"^1 """^^S of the principle of substitution is thus chiefly mdirect. When two Unks containing fluid are joined bv a p.pe the fluid, which is near the pipf i„ the LTwth^he h.sher level, will flow into the other, even though it Trtther 1 Compare VI. i. 6, and vn. 2. a Compare IV. vi. 5 ; and VI. v. 2. GENERAL VIEW OF DISTRIBUTION. 321 viscous; and thus the general levels of the tanks will tend to be brought together, though no fluid may flow from the further end of the one to the further end of the other ; and if several tanks are connected by pipes, the fluid in all will tend to the same level, though some taaks have no direct connection with others. And similarly the principle of substitution is constantly tending by indirect routes to apportion earnings to efficiency between trades, and even between grades, which are not directly in contact with one another, and which appear at first sight to have no way of competing with one another. § 3. There is no breach of continuity as we ascend from the unskilled labourer to the skilled, thence to the foreman, to the head of a department, to the general But as regards manager of a large business paid partly by a the work of share of the profits, to the junior partner, and themselves lastly to the head partner of a large private fs"?e^st*h?ih" business : and in a joint-stock company there is organized, even somewhat of an anti-climax when we pass from the directors to the ordinary shareholders, who undertake the chief ultimate risks of the business. Nevertheless business men, those who undertake business enterprises, are to a certain extent a class apart. For while it is through their conscious agency that the principle of substitution chiefly works in balancing one factor of production against another ; with regard to them it has no other agency than the indirect influence of their own com- petition. So it works blindly, or rather wastefully ; it forces many to succumb who might have done excellent work if they had been favoured at first : and, in conjunction with the law of increasing return, it strengthens those who are strong, and hands over the businesses of the weak to those who have already obtained a partial monopoly. But on the other hand there is also a constant increase in the forces which tend to break up old monopolies, and ^ 21 S22 BOOK VI. CH. XI. §§ 3, 4. to offer to men, who have but little capital of their own, openings both for starting new businesses and for rising into posts of command in large public and private concerns ; and these forces tend to put business ability in command of the capital required to give it scope. On the whole the work of business management is done cheaply — not indeed as cheaply as it may be in the future when men's collective instincts, their sense of duty and their public spirit are more fully developed; when society exerts itself more to develop the latent faculties of those who are lx)m in a humble station of life, and to diminish the secrecy of business ; and when the more wasteful forms of speculation and of competition are held in check. But yet it is done so cheaply as to contribute to production more than the equivalent of its pay. For the business undertaker, like the skilled artisan, renders services which society needs, and which it would probably have to get done at a higher cost if he were not there to do them^ The ablest business men are generally those who get the higliest profits, and at the same time do their work most cheaply ; and it would be as wasteful if society were to give their work to inferior people who would undertake to do it more cheaply, as it would be to give a valuable diamond to be cut by a low waged but unskilled cutter. The similarity between the causes that determine the normal rewards of ordinary ability on the one hand, and of business power in command of capital on the other, does not extend to the fluctuations of their current earnings. For the employer stands as a buffer between the buyer of goods and all the various classes of labour by which they are 1 We postpone a criticism of the coutention of the socialists that it would be better for the State to take the work into its own hands and hire business managers to conduct it : and we postpone a study of those forms of specula- tion and commercial competition which are not beneficial to society, and perhaps are even harmful. Contrasts between fluctuations of current profits and GENERAL VIEW OF DISTRIBUTION. 323 made. He receives the whole price of the one and pays the whole price of the others. The fluctuations of his profits go with fluctuations of the prices of the things he sells, and are more extensive: while those of the wages of his employees come later and are less extensive. The earnin^^s at any particular time of his capital and ability are some- times large, but sometimes also a negative quantity : whereas those of the ability of his employees are never very largo, and are never a negative quantity. The wage-receiver is likely to suffer much when out of work ; but that is because he has no reserve, not because he is a wage-receiver'. § 4. Returning to the point of view of the second chapter of this Book, we may call to mind the double relation in which the various agents of production stand to one another. On the one hand they are often rivals for em- The agents ployment; any one that is more efficient than of production another in proportion to its cost tending to be source^ oT ^ substituted for it, and thus limiting the demand ^T one"'^''* price for the other. And on the other hand another, they all constitute the field of employment for each other: there is no field of employment for any one, except in so far as it is provided by the others : the national dividend which is the joint product of all, and which increases with the supply of each of them, is also the sole source of demand for each of them. Thus an increase of material capital causes it to push its way into new uses ; and though in so doing it may occasion- ally diminish the field of employment for manual labour in a few trades, yet on the whole it will very much „ , •' novr an increase the demand for manual labour and all increase other agents of production. For it will much enriches^the increase the national dividend, which is the ^^^^ ^°'' ^^^ - ,, - , „' employment common source of the demand for all ; and since of labour. 1 Compare VI. iv. 6. 21—2 324 BOOK VI. CH. XI. 4, 5. by its increased competition for employment it will have forced down the rate of interest, therefore tlie joint product of a dose of capital and labour will now be divided more in favour of labour than before. Thus, the chief benefit which capital confers upon labour is not by opening out to it new employments, but by increasing the joint product of land, labour and capital (or of land, labour and waiting), and by reducing the share of that product which any given amount of capital (or of waiting) can claim as its reward \ § 5. In discussing the influence which a change in the supply of work of any one industrial group exerts on the field of employment for other kinds of labour, there was no need to raise the question whether the increase of work came from an increase in the numbers or in the efficiency of those in the group : for that question is of no direct concern to the others. In either case there is the same ad- dition to the national dividend : in either case competition will compel them to force themselves to the same extent into uses in which their marginal utility is lower ; and will thus lessen to the same extent the share of the joint product which they are able to claim in return for a given amount of work of a given kind. 1 The new demand for labour will partly take the form of the opening-out of new undertakings which hitherto could not have paid their way. It will, for instance, lead to the making of railways and waterworks in districts which are not very rich, and which would have continued to drag their goods along rough roads, and draw up their water from wells, if people had not been able and wilhng to support labour while making railway embankments and water conduits, and to wait for the fruits of their investment long and for a relatively low reward. Another part .of this new demand for labour will come from the makers of new and more expensive machinery in all branches of production. For when it is said that machmery is substituted for labour, this means that one class of labour combined with much waiting is substituted for another combined with less waiting : and for this reason alone, it would be impossible to substitute capital for labour in general, except indeed locally by the importation of capital from other places. Increase in number or efficiency of any group of workers in relation to wages of themselves and others. I'.i •* GENERAL VIEW OF DISTRIBUTION. 325 : f. '^ But the question is of vital importance to the members of that group. For, if the change is an increase of one-tenth in their average efficiency, then each ten of them will have as high an aggregate income as each eleven of them would have if their numbers had increased by one-tenth, their efficiency remaining unchanged. We shall have to look at some other aspects of this question in the next chapter while discussing the relative merits of increased leisure and increased material production as aims of progress. ii M 1 l\ 326 i CHAPTER XII. THE INFLUENCE OF PROGRESS ON VALUE. § 1. The field of employment which any place oifers for labour and capital depends firstly on its natural employment resources ; secondly, on the power of turning labouJ" ^ *" *^®"^ *^ S^^ account, derived from its progress in knowledge and in social and industrial organi- zation ; and thirdly, on the access that it has to markets in which it can sell those things of which it has a superfluity. The importance of this last condition is often underrated ; but it stands out prominently when we look at the history of new countries. It is commonly said that wherever there is abundance of good land to be had free of rent, and the climate rich in new*^^ ^^ not Unhealthy, the real earnings of labour and which have no *^® interest on capital must both be high. But good access to this is Only partially true. The early colonists of the Old World. America lived very hardly. Nature gave them wood and meat almost free : but they had very few of the comforts and luxuries of life. And even now there are, especially in South America and Afnca, many places to which Nature has been abundantly generous, which are never- theless shunned by labour and capital, because they have no ready communications with the rest of the world. On the other hand high rewards may be ofiered to capital and labour by a mining district in the midst of an alkaline desert, when once communications have been opened up with the outer world, or again by a trading centre on a barren sea-coast; though, if limited to their own resources, they could support THE INFLUENCE OF PROGRESS ON VALUE. 32*7 but a scanty population, and that in abject poverty. And the splendid markets which the Old World has offered to the products of the New, since the growth of steam-communi- cation, have rendered North America and Australia the richest large fields for the employment of capital and labour that there have ever been. But after all the chief cause of the modern prosperity of new countries lies in the markets that the old ,„«.„•.„ Old countries world offers, not for goods delivered on the spot, offer a market but for promises to deliver goods at a distant Jfthefuturefn- date. A handful of colonists having assumed comes of a new , £ country, rights of perpetual property in vast tracts oi rich land, are anxious to reap in their own generation its future fruits ; and as they cannot do this directly, they do it indirectly, by selling in return for the ready goods of the old world promises to pay much larger quantities of the goods that their own soil will produce in a future generation, in one lorm or another tliey mort- sequent influx gage their new property to the old world at °l^^^^^^^ *"*° a very high rate of interest. Englishmen and others, who have accumulated the means of present enjoy- ment, hasten to barter them for larger promises in the future than they can get at home : a vast stream of capital flows to the new country, and its arrival there raises the rate of wages very high. The new capital filters but slowly towards the outlying districts : it is so scarce there, and so many persons are eager to have it, that it has often commanded for a long time two per cent, a month, from which it has fallen by gradual stages down to six, or perhaps even five per cent., a year. For the settlers being full of enterprise, and seeing their way to acquiring private title-deeds to property ^^.^^^ nominal that will shortly be of great value, are eager to wages very become independent undertakers, and if possible '^ employers of others ; so wage-earners have to be attracted by Hi 328 BOOK VI. CH. XII. Si. t* (i high wages, which are paid in a great measure out of the com- modities borrowed from the old world on mortgages, or in other ways. It is, however, difficult to estimate exactly the real rate of wages in outlying parts of new countries. The workers are picked men with a natural bias towards adventure ; hardy, resolute, and enterprising ; men in the prime of life, who do not know what illness is ; and the strain of one kind and another which they go through, is more than the average English, and much more than the average European labourer could sustain. There are no poor among them, because there are none who are weak : if anyone becomes ailing, he is forced to retire to some more thickly-peopled place where there is less to be earned, but where also a quieter and less straining life is possible. Their earnings are very high if reckoned in money ; but they have to buy at very high prices, or altogether dispense with, many of the comforts and luxuries which they would have obtained freely, or at low prices, if they had lived in more settled places. It is however true that many of these things are of but little real utility, and can be easily foregone, where no one has them and no one expects them. As population increases, the best situations being already As tim. c.n« ^^^"Pi®^' nature gives generally less return of on though the raw produce to the marginal effort of the culti- m^Zshfng rI: ^^*^^« ^ ^^^ this tends a little to lower wages, turn may not But even in agriculture the Law of Increasing be acting very t> j. • , o strongly, ±letum IS Constantly contending with that of Diminishing Return, and many of the lands which were neglected at first, give a generous response to careful cultivation ; and meanwhile the development of roads and raUroads, and the growth of varied markets and varied industries, render possible innumerable economies in pro- duction. Thus the actions of the Laws of Increasing and Diminishing Return appear pretty well balanced, sometimes the one, sometimes the otlier being the stronger. There is no reason so far why the wages of labour (of a given effici- l THE INFLUENCE OF PllOGRESS ON VALUE. 329 ency) should fall. For if, taking one thing with another, the Law of Production is that of Constant Return, there will be no change in the reward to be divided between a dose of capital and labour ; that is, between capital and labour work- ing together in the same proportions as before. And, since the rate of interest has fallen, the share which capital takes of this stationary joint reward is less than before ; and therefore the amount of it remaining for labour is greater'. But whether the Law of production of commodities be one of Constant Return or not, that of the pro- duction of new title-deeds to land is one of capital be- rapidly Diminisning Return. The influx of '=°T^ f^^*' p . •11 tively slower loreign capital, though perhaps as great as ever, and wages tend becomes less in proportion to the population; *° ^ * wages are no longer paid largely with commodities borrowed from the old world : and this is the chief reason of the sub- sequent fall in Real Efficiency wages ; that is, in the neces- saries, comforts and luxuries of life which can be earned by Avork of a given efficiency. But there are two other causes tending to lower average daily wages measured in money. The first is, that as the comforts and luxuries of civilization increase, the average efficiency of labour is lowered by the influx of immigrants of a less sturdy character than the earlier settlers. And the second is, that many of these new comforts and luxuries do not enter directly into money wage, but are an addition to it^. 1 Of course the aggregate share of capital may have increased. For instance, while labour has doubled capital may have quadrupled, and the rate of interest may be two-thirds of what it was : and then, though each dose of capital gets a lower reward by one-third, and leaves for labour a larger share of the joint product of a dose of capital and labour, the aggregate share of capital will have risen in the ratio of eight to three. Much of the argument of Ml- Henry George's Progress and Poverty is vitiated by his having over- looked this distinction. 2 We took account of them when arriving at the conclusion that the action of the Law of Increasing Eeturn would on the whole countervail that of Diminishhig Eeturn : and we ought to count them in at their full value when 330 BOOK VI. CH. XII. § 2. i ^ y^ § 2. The influence which access to distant markets exerts on the growth of the National Dividend has been conspicu- ous in the history of England also. For more than a hundred years she has pursued with energy those manufacturing industries which exchanged S^^^ ^^ Increasing Return to increasing capital manufactures and labour. She has exported ffoods that are for goods that j i . obey the Law made the more easily, the larger the scale on Re^ulTn^"'*^'"^ ^^i«^ they a^e produced, in exchange for some raw produce that could not be easily raised in her own climate, and for some grain and meat which she could not have produced for herself, except by a cultivation of 'her land so intensive as to call the Law of Diminishinff o Return strongly into operation. For a long time her exports met with little effective competition. But as the century wore on, other nations developed their manufactures, and Englishmen are no longer able to set in return Shehasgradu- „ v i i? t ally lost her loi', Say, a bale or cahco as much of the products partial mono- ^^f backward countries as before. At one time they could get for the calico nearly as much as would have the same cost of production in that backward country as a similar bale ; and every improvement in England's arts of manufacture would have increased considerably the amount of foreign goods she could have brought back in return for the product of a given quantity of and now gains i i, , -^1^.. but little so far "®^ ^^^^ labour and capital. But now every im- rs*^°Jn«rned'** provement in manufacture spreads itself quickly from improve- over the Western World, and causes additional ufactur" "**"' ^^l^s of cotton to be offered to backward coun- tries at a cheaper and still cheaper rate. Those tracing the changes in Real wages. Many historians have compared wages at different elKK-hs with exclusive reference to those things which have always been in connnon consumption. But from the nature of the case, it is just these things to which the Law of Diminishing Return applies ; and which tend to become scarce as population increases. The view thus got is one-sided and misleading in its general effect. THE INFLUENCE OF PROGRESS ON VALUE. 331 countries gain much, while England herself gains but little from the improvement and the cheapening of the manufacture of the goods that she sends them. And she fares even worse with the goods that she sends to other manufacturing countries and especially to America. The amount of wheat which can be bought in Illinois with a ton of steel cannot be more than the produce of as much capital and labour as Avould make a ton of steel in Illinois by the new processes; and therefore it has fallen in the same proportion as the efficiency of English and American labour in making steel has increased. It is for this reason, as well as because of the heavy tariffs levied on her goods by many countries, that in spite of England's large trade, the progress of invention in the manufacturing arts has added less than might have been otherwise expected to her real National Income or Dividend. It is no slight gain that she can make cheaply clothes and furniture and other commodities for her own use : but those improvements in the arts of manufacture which she has shared with other nations, have not directly increased the amount of raw produce which she can obtain from other countries with the product of a given quantity of her own capital and labour. Probably more than three-fourths of the whole benefit she has derived from the progress of manu- facture during the present century has been g^^ g. through its indirect influences in lowering the much from the cost of transport of men and goods, of water and tra*nspTrt"of° light, of electricity and news ; for the dominant various kinds economic fact of our own age is the development not of the Manufacturing, but of the Transport industries. It is these that are growing most rapidly in aggregate volume and in individual power, and which are giving rise to most anxious questions as to the tendencies of large capitals to turn the forces of economic freedom to the destruction of that freedom : but, on the other hand, it is they also which 332 BOOK VI. CH. Xll. ^ 2, 3. have done by far the most towards increasing England's wealth. One effect of this cheapening of transport has been that, while a century ago the goods which England gained by foreign trade were chiefly the luxuries of the well-to-do, they now consist largely of bulky commodities and especially 'wheat which have "^""^ ^*^^'' ^'''^^ ^^ ^""Pl^ ^<^- ^nd thus told especially although England's gains from her foreign trade common"food:' "^^3^. ^^^ ^^^'« ^een increasing quite in pro- portion to the great increase in its volume, the additions which it has made to the real purchasing power of the wages of the working classes have been very great and constantly increasing. § 3. The influence, which the improvement of the means Influence of *^^ *^® ^^^ ^^ transport has exerted in this faboTr'%°a"iies ^^^^^*i^^' ^^^ ^een aided by two great changes. of some leading The first is the adoption of Free Trade in the "z'^r:?^!"" "^^^^ <>f this century; and the second is the subsequent development of the Mississippi valley and the Far West of America, which are especially suited for ^ growing the grain and the meat, that constitute the chief ' food of the English working man. The only parts of America that were thickly peopled fifty years ago were ill-suited for growing wheat ; and the cost of carrying it great distances by land was prohibitive. The labour value of wheat— that is the amount of labour which will purchase a peck of wheat— was then at its highest point, and now is at its lowest. It would appear that agricultural wages have been generally below a peck of wheat a day ; but that in the first half of the eighteenth century they were about a peck, in the fifteenth a peck and a half or perhaps a little more, while now they are two or three pecks \ 1 Rogers' estimates for the Middle Ages are higher: but he seems to Imve of I!!p wirT^'% n' "^r^/^^^^red part of the population as representative of the wliole. In the Middle Ages, even after a fairly good harvest, the THE INFLUENCE OF PROGRESS ON VALUE. 333 meat. house room, It is true that, where population is very sparse, nature sui^plies grass and therefore animal food almost gratis; and in South America beggars pursue their calling on horseback. During the Middle Ages however the population of England was always dense enough to give a considerable labour value to meat, though it was of poor quality'. A century ago very little meat was eaten by the working classes ; while now, though its price is a little higher than it was then, they probably consume more of it, on the average, than at any other time in English history. Turning next to the rent of house room, we find that ground-rents in towns have risen, both extensively and intensively. For an increasing part of the population is living in houses on which ground-rents at an urban scale have to be paid, and that scale is rising. But house rent proper, that is what remains of the total rent after deducting the full rental value of the ground, is probably little, if at all, higher than at any previous time for similar accommodation ; for the rate of profits on the turnover which is earned by capital engaged in building is now low, and the labour cost of building materials has not much altered. And it must be remembered that those who pay the high town rents get in return the amusements and other advantages of modem town life, which many of them would not be willing to forego for the sake of a much greater gain than their total rent. wheat was of a lower quality than the ordinary wheat of to-day ; while after a bad harvest much of it was so musty that now-a-days it would not be eaten at all ; and the wheat seldom became bread without paying a high monopoly charge to the mill belonging to the lord of the manor. 1 For cattle, though only about a fifth as heavy as now, had very large frames : their flesh was chiefly in tliose parts from which the coarsest joints come ; and since they were nearly starved in the winter and fed up quickly on the summer grass, the meat contamed a large percentage of water, and lost a great part of its weight in cooking. At the end of the summer they were slaughtered and salted: and salt was dear. Even the well-to-do scarcely tasted fresh meat during the winter. II Ik 334 BOOK Vr. CH. XII. 3,4. The labour value of wood, though lower than at the beginning of the century, is higher than in the Middle Ages : but that of mud, brick or stone walls has not much changed ; while that of iron — to say nothing of glass — has fallen much. And indeed the popular belief that house rent proper has risen, appears to be due to an imperfect acquaintance with the way in which our forefathers were really housed. The modern suburban artisan's cottage contains sleeping accom- modation far superior to that of the gentry in the Middle Ages ; and the working classes had then no other beds than loose straw, reeking with vermin, and resting on damp mud floors. But even these were probably less unwholesome, when bare and shared between human beings and live stock, than when an attempt at respectability covered them with rushes, which were nearly always vile with long accumulated refuse. It is undeniable that the housing of the very poorest classes in our towns now is destructive both of body and soul : and that with our present knowledge and resources we have neither cause nor excuse for allowing it to continue. And it is true that in earlier times bad housing was in so far a less evil than now, as those who were badly housed by night had abundant fresh air by day. But a long series of records, ending with the evidence of Lord Shaftesbury and others before the recent Commission on the Housing of the Poor, establishes the fact that all the horrors of the worst dens of modern London had their counterpart in worse horrors of the lairs of the lowest stratum of society in every previous age. Fuel, like grass, is often a free gift of nature to a sparse fuel population; and during the Middle Ages the cottagers could generally, though not always, get the little brushwood fire needed to keep them warm as they huddled together round it in huts which had no chimney through which the heat could go to waste. But as population increased the scarcity of fuel pressed heavily on the working classes, and would have arrested England's progress altogether, THE INFLUENCE OF PROGRESS ON VALUE. 335 clothing. had not coal been ready to take the place of wood as fuel for domestic purposes, as well as for smelting iron. It is now so cheap that even the comparatively poor can keep themselves warm indoors without living in an unwholesome and stupefy- ing atmosphere. This is one of the great services that coal has wrought for modern civilization. Another is to provide cheap under-clothing, without which cleanliness is impossible for the masses of the people in a cold climate : and that is perhaps the chief of the benefits that England has gained from the direct application of machinery to making commodities for her own use. Another, and not less im- poitant service, is to provide abundant water, even in large towns'; and another to supply, with the aid of mineral oil, that cheap and artificial light which is needed not only for some of man's work, but, what is of higher moment, for the good use of his evening leisure. To this group of requisites for a civilized life, derived from coal on the one hand, and modern means of transport on the other, we must add, as has just been noticed, the cheap and thorough means of communication news and of news and thought by steam-presses, by steam- favei. carried letters and steam-made facilities for travel. § 4. We have seen that the National Dividend is at once the aggregate net product of, and the sole ^^^ .^^^^ water. light, nee source of payment for, all the agents of pro- of progress on duction within the country ; that the larger it is, ^^e chief a- the larger, other things being equal, will be the |^"J?jjJ*.*^ P™" share of each agent of production, and that an increase in the supply of any agent will generally lower its price, to the benefit of other agents. 1 Primitive appliances will bring water from high ground to a few public fountains : but the omnipresent water supply which both in its coming and its gouig performs essential services for cleanliness and sanitation, would be im- possible without coal-driven steam-pumps and coal-made iron pipes. S36 BOOK VI. CH. xir. §§ 4—6. I » This general principle is specially applicable to the case it has some- of land. An increase in the amount or pro- tl.T'Mre^o'^f d^cti^-eness of the land that supplies any market fJifurluan^d"' ^^^^"^^^ ^^ *^® ^^^^ instance to the benefit of those capitalists and workers who are in pos- session of other agents of production for the same market. And the influence on values which has been exerted in the modern age by the new means of transport is nowhere so conspicuous as in the history of land ; its value rises with every improvement in its communications with markets in which its produce can be sold, and its value falls with every new access to its own markets of produce from more distant places. But anything that promotes the prosperity of the people butnotofagri- P'"''^^*^^ ^^«<^ ^^ the long run that of the land- cuiturai and l^^ds of the soil. It is true that English rents "akentogJlher. ^^^'^ ^^^^ ^^^^ ^^en, at the beginning of this century, a series of bad harvests struck down a people that could not import their food ; but a rise so caused could not from the nature of the case have gone very much further. And the adoption of free trade in corn in the middle of the century, followed by the expansion of American wheat- fields, is rapidly raising the real value of the land urban and rural taken together; that is, it is raising the amount of the necessaries, comforts and luxuries of life which can be pur- chased by the aggregate rental of all the landowners urban and rural taken together \ i7o'^ ^^ f t?A*^*V^f ^^f ^t'^al (mo»ey) rent of England doubled between 1795 and 1815, and then fell by a third till 1822 ; after that time it has been altemately nsing and faUing; and it is now about 45 or 50 millions as against ^ *"! f '"!^'''"^ ^^'"''^ *^^ y^*' ^^^^' ^^^^» i* ^as at its highest. It was about 30 millions m 1810, 16 millions in 1770, and 6 miUions in 1600. But the rental of urban land in England is now rather greater than the rent of agricultural land : and in order to estunate the full gain of the landlords from the expansion of population and general progress, we must reckon in the values of the and on which there are now railroads, mines, docks, &c. Taken all together, the money rental of England's soil is probably twice as high and THE INFLUENCE OF PliOGRESS ON VALUE. 337 § 5. Political Arithmetic may be said to have begun in England in the seventeenth century ; and from It li 3. s crrc 3 tl V that time onwards we find a constant and nearly increased the steady increase in the amount of accumulated supply of •^ ^ capital, wealth per head of the population. This increase of capital per head tended to diminish its marginal utility, and therefore the rate of interest and has lower- on new investments ; but not uniformly, because ^^ '** propor- \ ... tionate though there were meanwhile great variations in the not its total in- demand for capital, both for political and military '=°™*- and for industrial purposes. Thus the rate of interest which was vaguely reported to be 10 per cent, during a great part of the Middle Ages, had sunk to 3 per cent, in the earlier half of the eighteenth century ; but the immense industrial and political demand for capital raised it again, and it was relatively high during the great war. It fell as soon as the political drain had ceased ; but it rose again in the middle of this century, when railways and the development of the Western States of America and of Australia made a great new demand for capital. These new demands have not slackened; but the rate of interest is again falling fast, in consequence of the great recent accumulations of wealth in England, on the Continent, and above all in America. § 6. The growth of general enlightenment and of a sense of responsibility towards the younsj has turned a . . . There is a re- great deal of the increasing wealth of the nation lative fall in from investment as Material capital to invest- JraiJed"abmt°^ ment as Personal capital. There has resulted a largely increased supply of trained abilities, which has much increased the National Dividend, and raised the average income of the whole people : but it has taken away from these its Real rental three or four times as high, as it was when the corn laws were repealed. Progress may lower the value of the appliances of production, when this can be separated from that of their sites ; but not of such things as railways, when the value of their sites is reckoned in. See Princii)les VI. xii. 7. M. 2.^ M 338 BOOK VI. CH. Xll. trained abilities much of tliat scarcity value which they used to possess, and has lowered their earnings not indeed absolute- ly, but relatively to the general advance ; and it has caused many occupations, which not long ago were accounted skilled, and which are still spoken of as skilled, to rank with unskilled labour as regards wages. A striking instance is that of writing. It is true that many kinds of office work require a rare combination of high mental and moral qualities ; but almost any one can be easily taught to do the work of a copying clerk, and probably there will soon be few men or women in England who cannot write fairly well. When all can write, the work of copying, which used to earn higher wages than almost any kind of manual labour, will rank among unskilled trades'. Again, a new branch of industry is often difficult simply . because it is unfamiliar : and men of great force Earnings m i i .n . , * old and fami- and skill are required to do work, which can be cupaUoi's u°nd ^^^^ ^^ "^^^ ^^ Ordinary capacity or even by to fall relative- women and children, when the track has once ^y ^o t ose in ^^^^ ^^jj beaten : its wages are high at first, but they fall as it becomes familiar. And this has caused the rise of average wages to be underrated, because it so happens that many of the statistics, which seem typical of general movements of wages, are taken from trades which were comparatively new a generation or two ago, and are now within the grasp of men of much less real ability than those who pioneered the way for them 2. 1 In fact the better kinds of artisan work educate a man more, and will be better paid than those kinds of clerk's work which call for neither judgment nor responsibility. And, as a rule, the best thing that an artisan can do for his son is to bring him up to do thoroughly the work that lies at his hand, so that he may understand the mechanical, chemical or other scientific principles that bear upon it; and may enter into the spirit of any new improvement that may be made in it. If his son should prove to have good natural abilities, he is far more likely to rise to a high position in the world from the bench of an ai-tisan than from the desk of a clerk. 2 Comp. Bm)k iv. Ch vi. §§ 1» 2; and Ch. ix. especially § 3. As the trade THE INFLUENCE OF PROGRESS ON VALUE. 339 The consequence of such changes as these is to increase the number of those employed in occupations which are called skilled, whether the term is now properly applied or not : and this constant increase in the numbers of workers in the higher classes of trades has caused the average of all labour to rise much faster than the average of representative wages in each trade \ In the middle ages, though some men of great ability remained artisans all their lives, and became artists ; yet as a class the artisans ranked more nearly with the unskilled labourers than they do now. At the A'"*'^*"^' ... , •' wages beginning of the new industrial era a hundred years ago the artisans had lost much of their old artistic traditions and had not yet acquired that technical command over their instruments, that certainty and facility in the exact performance of difficult tasks which belong to the modern skilled artisan ; and observers early in this century were struck by the social gulf that was being opened out in their progresses, improvements in machineiy are sure to lighten the strain of ac- complishing any given task ; and therefore to lower task wages rapidly. But meanwhile the pace of the machinei-y, and the quantity of it put under the charge of each worker, may be increased so much that the total strain involved in the day's work is greater than before. On this subject employers and employed frequently differ. It is for instance certain that Time wages have risen hi the textile trades; but the employe's aver, in contradiction to the employers, that the strain imposed on them has increased more than in proportion; that is, that Efficiency-wages have fallen. In this controversy wages have l)een estimated in money; but when account is taken of the increase in the purchasing power of money there is no doubt that Real Efficiency- wages have risen. 1 This jTio^y be made clearer by an example. If there are 500 men in grade A earning 12s. a week, 400 in grade B earning 25s. and 100 in grade C earning 40s. the average wages of the 1000 men are 20s. If after a time 300 from grade A have passed on to grade B, and 300 from grade B to grade C, the wages in each grade remaining stationary, then the average wages of the whole thousand men will be about 2Ss. &d. And even if the rate of wages in each grade had meanwhile fallen 10 per cent., the average wages of all would still bo about 25s. Gd., that is would have risen more than 25 per cent. Neglect of such facts as these, as Mr Giffen has pointed out, is apt to cause great errors. 22—2 .1 340 BOOK VI. CH. Xll. S^ (), 7. own generation between tlie artisan and the unskilled labourer. , . , This social change was a consequence partly of rose relatively . ^ x r j to those of un- the increase of the wages of the artisan, which at^the begin"*^ ^^^® *^ about double those of the unskilled ning of the labourer ; and partly of the same cause that secured him his high wages, that is the great increase in the demand for highly skilled labour, especially in the metal trades, and the consequent rapid absorption of the strongest characters among the labourers and their children into the ranks of the artisans ; for the breaking down, just at that time, of the old exclusiveness of the artisans, had made them less than before an aristocracy by birth and more than but now that ^^^^^® ^^ aristocracy by worth. But about a tendency is re- generation ago, as has just been explained, some VClTScd of the simpler forms of skilled trades began to lose their scarcity value, as their novelty wore off; and at the same time continually increasing demands began to be made on the ability of those in some trades, that are traditionally ranked as unskilled. The navvy for instance, and even the agricultural labourer, have often to be trusted with expensive and complicated machinery, whicli a little while ago was thought to belong only to the skilled trades, and the Real wages of these two representative occupations are rising fast^ Again, there are some skilled and responsible occupations, such as those of the head heaters and rollers in iron works, which require great physical strength, and involve much discomfort : and in them wages are very high. For the 1 The rise of wages of agricultural labourers would be more striking than it is, did not the spread of modern notions to agricultural districts cause many of the ablest children bom there to leave the fields for the railway or the workshop, to become poUcemen, or to act as carters or porters in towns. Perhaps there is no stronger evidence of the benefits of modern education and economic progress than the fact that those who are left behind in the fields, though having less than an average share of natural abilities, are yet able to ©aril much higher Eeal wages than their fathers. ■; THE INFLUENCE OF PROGRESS ON VALUE. 341 temper of the age makes those who can do high class work, and can earn good wages easily, refuse to undergo hardship, except for a very high reward. § 7. We may next consider the changes in the relative wages of old and young men, of women and children. The conditions of industry change so fast that long expe- rience is in some trades almost a disadvantagre. "O^i ■, . •, ' i> I! ^ 1 J^ •! There is a re- and m many it is ot tar less value than a quick- lative fall in ness in takin^: hold of new ideas and adapting ^^^ wages of ^ " , 1 o elderly men; one's habits to new conditions. In these trades an elderly man finds it difficult to get employment except when trade is brisk, at all events if lie is a member of a union which will not allow him to work for less than the full wages of the district. In any case he is likely to earn less after he is fifty years old than before he is thirty ; and the knowledge of this is tempting artisans to follow the example of unskilled labourers, whose natural inclination to marry early has always been encouraged by the desire that their family expenses may begin to fall off before their own wages begin to shrink. Trades-unions are afraid that abuses might creep in if they allowed men "with grey hairs" to compete for employment at less than full wages ; but many of them are coming to see that it is to their own interest, as it certainly is to that of the community, that such men should not be forced to be idle. A second and even more injurious tendency of the same kind is that of the wages of children to rise relatively to those of their parents. Machinery the wages of has displaced many men, but not many boys ; °^^ ^"^ ^"^^' the customary restrictions which excluded them from some trades are giving way ; and these changes, together with the spread of education, while doing good in almost every other direction, are doing harm in this that they are enabling boys, and even girls, to set their parents at defiance and start in life on their own acciiunt. i U2 BOOK VI. CH. XII. 7—0. § The The wages of women are for similar reasons rising fast relatively to those of men. And this is a great and of women. . . - . , i -i i • gam in so far as it tends to develop their faculties ; but an injury in so far as it tempts them to neglect their duty of building up a true home, and of investing their efforts in the Personal capital of their children's character and abilities. 8. The relative fall in the incomes to be earned by moderate ability, however carefully trained, is o "^exc'ep'tiona! ^accentuated by the rise in those that are obtained genius are ris- \)y many men of extraordinary ability. There irifiT never was a time at which moderately good oil paintings sold more cheaply than now, and there never was a time at which first-rate paintings sold so dearly. A business man of average ability and average good fortune gets now a lower rate of profits on his capital than at any previous time ; while yet the operations, in which a man exceptionally favoured by genius and good luck can take part, are so extensive as to enable him to amass a huge fortune with a. rapidity hitherto unknown. The causes of this change are chiefly two ; firstly, the general growth of wealth ; and secondly, the as a result of development of new facilities for communication, t'wo causes ^ ' by which men, who have once attained a com- manding position, are enabled to apply their constructive or speculative genius to undertakings vaster, and extending over a wider area, than ever before. It is the first cause, almost alone, that enables some bar- risters to command very high fees ; for a rich client whose reputation, or fortune, or both, are at stake will scarcely count any price too high to secure the services of the best man he can get : and it is this again that enables jockeys and painters and musicians of exceptional ability to get very high prices. In all these occupations the highest incomes earned in our own of w^hich one acts almost a- lone on profes- sional in- comes, THE INFLUENCE OF PKOGRESS ON VALUE. 343 generation are the highest that the world has yet seen. But so long as the number of persons who can be reached by a human voice is strictly limited, it is not very likely that any .singer w ill make an advance on the £10,000, said to have been earned in a season by Mrs Billington at the beginning of this century, nearly as great as that which the business loaders of the present generation have made on those of the last. For the two causes have co-operated to i)ut enormous power and wealth in the hands of those business ^^.^^ ^^^^ ^^^ men of our own generation who have had first- fuHy with re- rate genius, and have been favoured by fortune. K^^^ i^°omei' This is most conspicuous in America, where several men who began life poor, have amassed more than £10,000,000 each. It is true that a great part of these gains have come, in some cases, from the wrecks of the rival speculators who had been worsted in the race. But in others, as for instance, that of the late Mr Vanderbilt, they were earned mainly by the supreme economizing force of a great constructive genius working at a new and large problem with a free hand : and Mr Vanderbilt probably saved to the people of the United States more than he accumulated himself. § 9. But these fortunes are exceptional. The diffusion of knowledge, the improvement of education, the progress is fast t'rowth of prudent habits among the masses of improving the » ^ . • v- i_ 0.1. condition of the people, and the opportunities which the new ^^g great body methods of business offer for the safe investment ll^f^l^°'^'''^ of small capitals : — all these forces are telling on the side of the poorer classes as a whole relatively to the richer. The returns of the income tax and the house tax, the statistics of consumption of commodities, the records of salaries paid to the higher and the lower ranks of sers^ants of Government and public companies, tend in the same direction, and indicate that middle class incomes are in- creasing faster than those of the rich ; that the earnings of artisans are increasing faster than those of the professional 344 BOOK VI. CH. XII. § 9. classes, and that the wages of healthy and vigorous unskilled labourers are increasing faster even than those of the average artisan'. It must be admitted that a rise in wages would lose part The incon- of its benefit, if it were accompanied by an in- ploymentin"" ^^^^«^ ^^ ^^^ ^^^ Spent in enforced idleness. dli°s1""is'"a t ^^^^'^^^^^^y of employment is a great evil, and to be exagge- ''iglitly attracts public attention. But several ^ated. causes combine to make it appear to be greater than it really is. When a large factory goes on half time, rumour bruits the news over the whole neighbourhood, and perhaps the newspapers spread it all over the country. But few i)eople know when an independent workman, or even a small em- ployer, gets only a few days' work in a month; and in conse- quence whatever suspensions of industry there are in modern times, are apt to seem more important than they are relatively to those of earlier times. In earlier times some labourers were hired by the year : but they were not free, and were kept to their work by personal chastisement. There is no good cause for thinking that the mediaeval artisan had con- stant employment. And the most persistently inconstant employment now to be found in Europe is in those non- agricultural industries of the West which are most nearly mediaeval in their methods, and in those industries of Eastern and Southern Europe in which medieval traditions are strongest. In many directions there is a steady increase in the pro- portion of employes who are practically hired by the year. 1 A great body of statistics relating to nearly all civiUze 1 The tempta- or similar and worse evils in earlier ages ; for by tion to under- so doing we may for the time stimulate others, as state the bene- *^ ' fits of progress. well as ourselves, to a more intense resolve that the present evils shall no longer be allowed to exist. But it is not less wrong, and generally it is much more foolish, to palter with truth for a good than for a selfish cause. And the pessimist descriptions of our own age, combined with romantic exaggerations of the happiness of past ages, must tend to the setting aside of methods of progress, the work of which if slow is yet solid ; and to the hasty adoption of others of greater promise, but which resemble the potent medicines of a charlatan, and while quickly effecting a little good, sow 346 BOOK VI. CH. XII. 5§ 9, 10. the seeds of widesprefid and lasting decay. This impatient insincerity is an evil only less great than that moral torpor which can endure that we, with our motlern resources and knowledge, should look on contentedly at the continued destruction of all that is worth having in multitudes of human lives, and solace ourselves with the reflection that anyhow the evils of our own age are less than those of the past. § 10. We have not yet reached the stage at which we can -,.... profitably examine the general effects of economic The broader t' J o -r» • mi i influences of progress on human well being. But it will be progress. ^^^^ before ending this Book, to pursue a little further the line of thought on which we started in Book in., when considering Wants in relation to Activities. We there saw reasons for thinking that the true key-note of economic progress is the development of new activities rather than of new wants ; and we may now make some study of a question that is of special urgency in our own genei-ation ; viz. — what is the connection between changes in the manner of living and the rate of earnings ; how far is either to be regarded as the cause of the other, and how far as the effect. Let us take the term the Standard of Life to mean the Standard of Activities and of Wants. Thus a Standard ^^^ jj^ ^^iQ Standard of Living implies an increase of Life. ^ '■ of intelligence, and energy and self-respect ; leading to more care and judgment in expenditure, and to an avoidance of food and drink that gratify the appetite but afford no strength, and of ways of living that are unwhole- some physically and morally. A rise in the Standard of Life for the whole population will much increase the National Dividend, and the share of it which accrues to each grade and to each trade ; and a rise in the Standaixl of Life for any one trade or grade will raise their efficiency and their own real waires : while it will at the same time enable others to obtain their assistance at a cost somewhat less in proportion to its THE INFLUENCE OF PROGRESS ON VALUE. 347 efficiency; and of course it will increase the National Dividend a little. But many writers have spoken of the influence exerted on wages by a rise not in the Standard of Life, ^ ^ise in the but in that of Comfort ; — a term that may suggest Standard of , Comfort {"aises a mere increase of artificial wants, among which wages chiefly perhaps the grosser wants may predominate. It d^rec?^nflu~°' is true that every broad improvement in the ence in rais- Standard of Comfort is sure to bring with it a dard of Activi- better manner of living, and to open the way to ****• new and higher activities ; while those who have hitherto had neither the necessaries nor the decencies of life can hardly fail to get some increase of vitality and energy from an increase of comfort, however gross and material the view which they may take of it. Thus a rise in the Standard of Comfort does to some extent involve a rise in the Standard of Life; and in so far as this is the case it does tend to increase the National Dividend and to improve the condition of the people. Some writers however of our own and of earlier times have gone further than this, and have implied ^ , -^ . Limitations of that a mere increase of wants tends to raise the influence wages. But the only direct effect of an increase \^^^ ^ ^ rj^e of wants is to make people more miserable than in the Stan- before. And if we put aside its probable in- causing a di- direct effect in increasing activities, and other- "}*"*^*?^J ^"P" o ' _ _ ply of labour. wise raising the Standard of Life, it can raise wages only by another indirect effect, viz. by diminishing the supply of labour. The doctrine that, merely through its action in diminish- ing the supply of labour, a rise in the Standard of Comfort raises wages, and is one of the most effective means for that purpose, has been consistently held by those who believe that population is pressing on the means of subsistence so hardly, that the rate of growth of population exercises a predomi- nating influence on the rate of wages. For if that be true, 348 BOOK VI. CH. XII. SS 10, 11. then it is also true that at least one of the most efficient means of raising wages is to induce people to adopt a higher Standard of Comfort, in however mean and soi-did a sense the term Comfort is used : since in order to indulge the new desires rising out of their extended desire for comfort they may probably marry late, or otherwise limit the number of their children. But this cannot be maintained by those who hold, as most writers of the present generation do, that the new facilities of transport have much lessened for the present the in- fluence which the Law of Diminisliing Return exercises on production; and that the countervailing influences of the Law of Increasing Return are so strong that an increase of numbers does not at present tend greatly to reduce the average income of the people. It is indeed still possible to contend that a mere diminu- tion in the supply of manual labourers as a whole, or of any one class of them in particular, will increase the competition for their aid on the part of the higher grades of labour, and the owners of material capital ; and that in consequence their wages will rise. This argument is no doubt valid so far as it goes : but the rise of wages that can be got by any class of labour simply by making itself scarce, and independently of any improvement in its Standard of Activities, is generally not very great, except in the case of the lowest grades. We will consider this problem in some detail with reference to that particular change in the Standard of Living which takes the form of shortening the hours of labour, and of wise uses of leisure. § 11. The earnings of a human being are commonly The wasteful, counted gro88 ; no special reckoning being made ness of exces- for his wear-and-tear, of which indeed he is him- self often rather careless; and, on the whole, but little account is taken of the evil effects of the overwork of men on the well-being of the next generation, althouf'h THE INFLUENCE OF PROGRESS ON VALUE. 349 the hours of labour of children are regulated by law in their own interests and those of women in the interests of their families. When the hours and the general conditions of labour are such as to cause great wear-and-tear of body or mind or both, and to lead to a low standard of living ; when there has been a want of that leisure, rest and repose, which is one of the necessaries for efficiency; then the labour has been extrava- gant from the point of view of society at large, just as it would be extravagant on the part of the individual capitalist to keep his horses or slaves overworked or underfed. In such a case a moderate diminution of the hours of labour would diminish the National Dividend only temporarily; for as soon as the improved Standard of Life had had time to have its full effect on the efficiency of the workers, their increased energy, intelligence and force of character would enable them to do as much as before in less time ; and thus, even from the point of view of material production, there would be no more ultimate loss than is involved by sending a sick worker into hospital to get his strength renovated. And, since material wealth exists for the sake of man, and not man for the sake of material wealth, the fact that inefficient and stunted human lives had been replaced by more efficient and fuller lives would be a gain of a higher order than any temporary material loss that might have been occasioned on the way. This argument assumes that the new rest and leisure raises the Standard of Life. And such a result is almost certain to follow in the extreme cases of overwork which we have been now considering ; for in them a mere lessening of tension is a necessary condition for taking the first step upwards. This brings us to consider the lowest grade of honest workers. Few of them work very hard; but Exceptional they have little stamina : and many of them are conditions of •^ . . the lowest SO overstrained that they might probably, after a grade of work- time, do as much in a shorter day as they now do ers. I m ( ; 350 BOOK VI. CH. XII. (§ 11—13. ill a long one. Moreover they are the one class of workei-s, whose wages might be raised considei-ably at the expense of other classes by a mere diminution in the supply of their labour. Some of them indeed are in occupations that are closely pressed by the competition of skilled workers using machinery; and their wages are controlled by the Law of Substitution. But many of them do work for which no substitute can be found ; they might raise the price of their labour considerably by stinting its supply ; and they might have been able to raise it a very great deal in this way, were not any rise sure to bring into their occupation other workers of their own grade from occupations in which wages are controlled by the Lfiw of Substitution'. § 12. Again there are some branches of industry which In some trades at present tum to account expensive plant durinf combined whh ^^^7 ^^^ ^ours a day ; and in which the gradual wouw* be 'an ^^^^^^^^^^i^n of two shifts of eight hours would almost unmix- be an unmixcd gain. The change would need to ed gain. ^^ introduced gradually ; for there is not enough skilled labour in existence to allow such a plan to be adopted at once in all the workshops and factories for which it is suited. But some kinds of machinery, when worn out or antiquated, might be replaced on a smaller scale; and, on the other hand, much new machinery that cannot be profit- ably introduced for a ten hours' day, would be introduced for a sixteen hours' day ; and when once introduced it would be improved on. Thus the arts of production would progress more rapidly ; the National Dividend would increase ; work- ing men would be able to earn higher wages without tempting capital to migrate to countries where wages were lower, and all classes of society would reap benefit from the change. The importance of this consideration is more apparent eveiy year, since the growing expensiveness of machinery, 1 See end of Book vi. Cli. in. THE INFLUENCE OF PROGRESS ON VALUE. 351 and the quickness with which it is rendered obsolete, are constantly increasing the wastefulness of keeping the untiring iron and steel resting in idleness during sixteen hours out of the twenty-four. In any country, such a change would increase the Net produce, and therefore the wages of each worker; because much less than before would have to be deducted from his total output on account of charges for machinery, plant, factory-rent, &c. But the Anglo-Saxon artisans, unsurpassed in accuracy of touch, and surpassing all in sustained energy, would more than any others increase their Net produce, if they would keep their machinery going at its full speed for sixteen hours a day, even though they themselves worked only eight. It must however be remembered that this particular plea for a reduction of the hours of labour applies only to those ti-ades which use, or can use, expensive plant ; and that in some cases, as for instance in some mines and branches of railway work, the system of shifts is already applied so as to keep the plant almost constantly at work. § 13. There remain therefore many trades in which a reduction of the hours of labour would certainly _ ^ . •' But in many lessen the output in the immediate present, and trades a dimi- would not certainly bring about at all quickly Uoure of labour any such increase of efficiency as would raise the would lessen 11 11 11111 production. average work done per head up to the old level. In such cases the change would diminish the National Divi- dend ; and the greater part of the resulting material loss would fall on the workers whose hours of labour were dimin- ished. It is true that in some trades a scarcity of labour would raise its price for a good long while at the expense of the rest of the community. But as a rule a rise in the real price of labour would cause a diminished demand for the product, partly through the increased use of substitutes ; and would also cause an inrush of new labour from less favoured trades. This leads us to consider the origin of the common belief 352 BOOK VI. CH. XII. §^ 13—15. the hours of labour would cause a per- manent in- crease in the demand for labour: that a reduction of the hours of labour would raise wages generally by merely making labour scarce, and independently of any effect it might have in keeping machinery longer at work and therefore making it more efficient, or in preventing people from being stunted and prematurely worn out by excessive work. This opinion is an instance of those mis- understandings as to the ways in which a rise in the Standard of Comfort can raise wages, to which we referred a little while back. § 14. It appears to rest on two fallacies. The first of The fallacy these is that the immediate and permanent effects that a general Qf ^ change wiU be the same. People see that lessening of '^ ^ when there are competent men waiting for work outside the offices of a tramway company, those already at work think more of keeping their posts than of striving for a rise of wages : and that if these men were away, the employers could not resist a demand for higher wages unless they were prepared to stop work altogether. They dwell on the fact that if tramway men work very short hours, more men must for the time be employed, at higher wages per hour and perhaps at higlier wages per day. But they overlook the more important fact that as a result tramway extensions will be checked, there will be less demand for the work of those who make tramway plant ; fewer men in the future will find employment on the tramways ; many workpeople and others will walk to work who might have ridden ; and many will live in closely packed cities, who otherwise might have had pleasant gardens in the suburbs. If it were true that the aggregate amount of wages could be increased by causing every person to work one fifth less than now, then it could be increased as much by diminishing the population l)y one fifth. Nay more it would follow that, had the population at last census been one fiftli less than it was, the aggregate wages would have been actually higher, and therefore the average wages more than ) THE INFLUENCE OF PROGRESS ON VALUE. 353 a fifth higher than they are now— propositions which go beyond the doctrines of the extremest Malthusians. Thus their error lies in assuming that there is a fixed Work- Pund, a certain amount of work which has to be done, whatever the price of labour. On the iTaVx'dWori! contrary, the demand for work comes from the ^""'^• National Dividend ; that is, it comes from work : the less work there is of one kind, the less demand there is for work of other kinds ; and if labour were scarce, fewer enterprises would be undertaken. Again, the constancy of employment depends on the organization of in- /ea^ al' likefy* dustry and trade, and on the success with which *° '"crease as those who arrange supply are able to forecast inctTsianty of coming movements of demand and of price, and ^'"P^oy™^"*- to adjust their actions accordingly. But this would not be better done with a short day's work than with a lon^^ one • and indeed the adoption of a short day, not accompanied by double shifts, would discourage the use of that expensive plant, the presence of which makes employei^ very unwillinc. to close their works ; and it would therefore probably tend'' not to lessen, but to increase the inconstancy of employment. ' § 15. The second fallacy is allied to the first. It is that all trades will gain by the general adoption of a mode of action which has been proved to enable Jrguilfg ^'fhat one trade, under certain conditions, to crain at ^" *^^^^« ^an the expense of others. It is undoubtedly true fn^" their'u-" that, if they could exclude external competition, ''°"'"^"'-". plasterers or shoemakers would have a fair chance of raisincr their wages by a mere diminution of the amount of work done by each. But these gains can be got only at the cost of a greater aggregate loss to other sharers in the National Divi- dend '. It is a fact— and, so far as it goes, an important fact— that some of these shares will not belong to the working classes ; 1 See Book v. Ch. vi. § 2, and Book vi. Ch. ii. § 6. ^' 23 354 BOOK VT. CH. XIT. § 15. part of the loss will certainly fall on employers and capitalists whose Personal and Material capital is sunk in building or shoemaking, and part on the well-to-do users or consumers of houses or shoes. But a part of the loss will fall on the working classes as users or consumers of houses or shoes ; and part of ''the loss resulting from the plasterers' gain will fall on bricklayers, carpenters, etc., and a little of it on brickmakers, seamen employed in importing wood for building, and others. If then all workers reduce their output there will be a great loss of National Dividend ; capitalists and employers may indeed bear a large share of the burden ; but they are sure not to bear all. For— to say nothing of the chance that they may emigrate and take or send their free capital for in- vestment abroad— a great and general diminution of Earnings of Management and of interest on capital, would lead on the one hand to some substitution of the higher grades of labour for the lower throughout the whole continuous descending scale of employment', and perhaps to some g'nera"/outpu[ falling-off in the energy and assiduity of the lowers wages leading minds of industry; while, on the other generally. ^^^^^ °^ ^^^^^ ^^^^^ ^^^ ^^^.^^ ^j capital^ And in so far as it had this last result it would diminish that abundance of capital relatively to labour which alone would enable labour to throw on capital a part of its share of the loss of the National Dividend =*. 1 See Book vi. Ch. vii. §§ 2- 2 See Book iv. Cli. vii § 6, and Book vi. Cli. vi. § 1. 3 To take an Ulustration, let us suppose that shoemakers and hatters are in the same grade, working equal hours, and receiving equal wages, before and after a general reduction in the hours of labour. Then both before and after the change, the hatter could buy, with a month's wages, as many shoes as were the Net product of the shoemaker's work for a month (see Book vi. Ch I ^ 6) K the shoemaker worked less hours than before, and in con- sequence did less work, the Net product of his labour for a month would have diminished, unless either by a system of working double shifts the employer and his capital had earned profits on two sets of workers, or his profits could be cut down by the full amount of the diminution m output. The last supposition is inconsistent with what we know of the causes which govern the THE INFLUENCE OF PROGRESS ON VALUE. 355 But we must be careful not to confuse the two questions whether a cause tends to produce a certain effect and whether that cause is sure to be followed by against" crude that effect. Opening the sluice of a reservoir arguments tends to lower the level of the water in it ; but fXcy po^<'^^ if meanwhile larger supplies of water are flowing ^^'^ ^^^ ^^^P' in at the other end, the opening of the sluice may ^ be followed by a rising of the level of the water in the cistern. And so although a shortening of the hours of labour would tend to diminish output in those trades which are not already overworked, and in which there is no room for double shifts ; yet it might very likely be accompanied by an increase of production arising from the general progress of wealth and knowledge'. supply of capital and business power. And therefore the hatter's wages would go ess far than before m buying shoes ; and so all round for other trades A smaU part of the loss might be thro^vn on rent : but it is not necessary to allow for much under this head. Also our argument assumed, what would be sure to be approximately true, that, taken one with another, the values relatively to shoes of the things that the employer had to buy remain un- cnanged. 1 We must distrust all attempts to solve the question, whether a reduction of the hours of labour reduces production and wages, by a simple appeal to facts. For whether we watch the statistics of wages and production im- mediately after the change or for a long period following it, the facts which we observe aie hkely to be due chiefly to causes other than that which we are wishmg to study. Firstly, the effects which immediately foUow are likely to be misleading for many reasons. If the reduction was made as a result of a successful strike, the chances are that the occasion chosen for the strike was one when the strategical position of the workmen was good, and when the general conditions of trade would have enabled them to obtain a rise of wages If there had been no change in the hours of labour: and therefore the im- mediate effects of the change on wages are likely to appear more favourable than they really were. And again many employers, having entered into contracts winch they are bound to fulfil, may for the time offer higher wages for a short day than before for a long day : but this is a result of the sudden- ness of the change, and is a mere flash m the pan. On the other hand if men have been overworked, the shortening of the hours of labour will not at once make them strong: the physical and moral improvement of the condition of the workers, with its consequent increase of efficiency and therefore of waces cannot show itself at once. ^ ' And secondly, the statistics of production and wages several years after the 23—2 356 BOOK VI. CH. XII. 5 16. § 16. All this tends to show that a general reduction of the hours of labour is likely to cause a little net elusion as° to material loss and much moral good : that it is the hours of ^ot adapted for treatment by a rigid cast-iron system, and that the conditions of each class of trades must be studied separately. Perhaps £100,000,000 annually are spent even by the working classes, and £400,000,000 by the rest of good"*but*oniy *^^® population of England in ways that do little if it is well- qj, nothing towards making life nobler or truly happier. And it would certainly be well that all should work less, if we could secure that the new leisure be spent well, and the consequent loss of material income be met exclusively by the abandonment by all classes of the least worthy methods of consumption. But this result is not easy to be attained: for human nature changes slowly, and in nothing more slowly than in the hard task of learning to use leisure well. In every age, in every nation, and in every rank of society, those who have known how to work well have been far more numerous than those who have known how to use leisure well; but on the other hand it is only through freedom to use leisure as they will that people can learn to use leisure well: and it is true that no class of workers who are devoid of leisure can have much self-respect and become full citizens: some time free from fatigue and free from work are necessary conditions of a high Standard of Life. A person can seldom exei-t himself to the utmost for more reduction of hours are likely to reflect changes in the prosperity of the country, or of the trade in question, or of the methods of production, or lastly of the purchasing power of money : and it may be as difficult to isolate the effects of reduction of the hours of labour as it is to isolate the effects on the waves of a noisy sea caused by throwing a stone among them. It must be remembered that a reduction of the hours of labour has often been a form and a good form, in which the workers have chosen to take out a part of that rise in real wages which the economic changes of the time put at their command. THE INFLUENCE OF PROGRESS ON VALUE. 357 than eight hours a day with advantage to any one; but he may do light work for longer, and he may be ^^ tt T , )) 1 , , Those who are on duty, ready to act when called on, for notover-work- much longer. And since adults, whose habits are '*** already formed, are not likely to adapt themselves quickly to long hours of leisure, it would seem more conducive to the well-being of the nation as a whole, to take measures for increasing the material means of a noble and refined life for all classes, and especially the poorest, than to secure a sudden and very great diminution in the hours of labour of those who are not now weighed down by their work. In this, as in all similar cases, it is the young whose faculties and activities are of the highest im- Leisure for the portance both to the moralist and the economist, youne- The most imperative duty of this generation is to provide for the young the best education for the work they have to do as producers and as men or women, together with long-continued freedom from mechanical toil, and abundant leisure for school and for such kinds of play as strengthen and develop the character. And, even if we took account only of the injury done to the rising generation by living in homes in which the father and the mother lead joyless lives, it tle%'i"si""* °^ would be in the interest of society to afford them e«ne'"ation in ^' £ ATT I 1 the hours of la- some reiiet. Able workers and good citizens are bour of their not likely to come from homes from which the p'"'"*'"*^- mother is absent during the great part of the day, nor from homes to which the father seldom returns till his children are asleep. And therefore not only the individuals immediately concerned, but society as a whole, has a direct interest in the curtailment of extravagantly long hours of duty away from home even for mineral-train-guards and others, whose work is not in itself very hard. CHAPTER XIII. TRADE UNIONS. § 1. Ix considering the recent progress of the working Trade Unions ^^^^ses, but little hiis yet been said of the growth in relation to of Trade-unions : but the two movements have progress. • i i certamly kept pace with one another; and there is a primd facie probability that they are connected, each being at once partly a cause and partly a consequence of the other. We may now proceed to inquire into the matter more closely. We have already noticed Uiow the first endeavours of the Early action of ^^^^ workmen's associations or Unions at the Unions. beginning of this century were directed to securing the enforcement of mediaeval labour laws. But these, no less than the ordinances of the old gilds, were un- suited to the modern age of mechanical invention, and of production on a large scale for markets beyond the seas ; and early in this century the Unions set themselves to win the right of managing their own affairs, free from the tyranny of the Combination Laws. These laws had made a crime of what was no crime, the Repeal of the ^g^'^^ment to refuse to work in order to obtain Combination higher wages ; and "men who know that they Laws are criminals by the mere object which they have in view, care little for the additional criminality involved in the means they adopt." They knew that the law was full 1 Book I. Ch. II. § 5. TRADE UNIONS. 359 of class injustice: destruction of life and property, when it was wrought for the purpose of enforcing what they thought justice, seemed to them to have a higher sanction than that of the law; and their moral sense became in a measure reconciled to crimes of brutal violence. But step by step the Combination Laws have been repealed: until now nothing is illegal if done by a workman, which would not be illegal if done by anyone else; nothing is illegal when done by a combination of workmen, which would not be illegal when done by a combination of other people ; and the law no longer refuses to protect the property of the Unions. With freedom came responsibility. Violence and the intimidation of Non-Unionists, which had lost all excuse, soon went out of favour; and workmen generally chose for- their leaders able and far-seeing men, and under their guidance the modem organization of Unions has been rapidly developed^ A modern Union is generally an Association of workers in the same or allied trades, which collects funds from all its members and applies them firstly to ti^°sof support those of its members who cannot obtain ""*°"*- employment except on tenns which it is contrary to the general trade policy of the Union for them to accept, and secondly to grant certain Provident Benefits to members in need. The policy of the Unions varies in detail with time and circumstances; but its chief aims are generally the increase of wages, the reduction of the hours of labour, the securing healthy, safe and pleasant conditions of work,' and the defending individual workers from arbitrary and unjust treatment by their employers. Most of their regulations are framed either for the direct attainment of some of these aims; or for securing conditions of hiring which will enable the employed to deal as a body with their employers, conditions 1 The various stages through which the chief aims and the plan of organization of the Unions liave passed are explained in 77te History of Trade Unionism by Sidney and Beatrice Webb. 360 BOOK VI. CH. XIII. S 2. which they regard as generally needed for the attainment of all their aims. § 2. A large Union is often an amalgamation of numerous Local respon- ^"^^"^^ associations, Originally local or confined sibiiity and to a Subdivision of the trade. But whatever its authority. ^"^^' ^^^^^y every important Union has many branches, each of which, while managing its own affairs in details, is bound to conform to the general rules of the whole body. These rules are very explicit; and in particular they prescribe rigidly the ways in which ea^h branch may spend the funds in its charge : for the power of the purse is retained strictly in the hands of the central body. The branch dispenses Provident Benefits according to rule ; but except on emergency and for a short time it may not spend the corporate funds on a trade dispute, without the sanction of the central council or Executive representing the whole body, who are generally selected from the branch- officials that have deserved best of their Society. The character and ability of the branch-officials are tested in action as well as in speech. For they have important business to manage, and those who neglect their duties, who prove themselves lax financiers, or give advice that is not justified by the event, are not promoted, however eloquent they may be ; and consequently the Executive of the best Unions are shrewd, far-seeing men, resolute but with great self-control. It is these men whose sanction has to be obtained by any Precautions branch that wishes to use the corporate funds in dfsputes""""' '' . ^'''''^^ ^^"P"^^- ^^^y ««^e to the question with tempers unruffled by any personal vexations. Their vanity is not enlisted in the continuance of the struggle; they can decide without loss of prestige that it is inopportune' or even wrong in principle ; and they have nothing to gain,' but mucli to lose, by becoming responsible for an expensive strike that ultimately fails. The decisions of the Executive are generally binding till the next annual general meetin- TRADE UNIONS. 361 of the representative delegates of the whole body • but in certain emergencies a special meeting of the delegates is called, or a plebiscite of the whole body is taken by votin^r papers. " The administration of the funds with regard to Provident Jienelits is more a matter of routine, and is governed strictly by rule. These Benefits vary. B^emr The "New" Unions that have sprung up in recent times, chiefly in unskUled trades, generally regard Provident Funds as an encumbrance, hindering freedom in fight, and tendin.^ to an over-cautious and unenterprising policy in U-Je matters. And the list of Benefits afforfed by many even ot the older Unions is a meagre one. But the best Unions pride themselves on rendering their members independent of all charitable aid, public or private, during any of the more common misfortunes of life. They proWde Sick Accident, Superannuation and Funeral Benefits ; and above all they give out-of-work pay for a long (though of course not unlimited) time to any member, who needs it through no fault of his own-a Benefit which none but a trade Society could undertake. For only the membe.^ of his own trade can judge whether his want of work is due to his idleness or other fault and whether he is putting too high an estimate on the value of his work : and they alone have an interest in supporting him in the refusal to sell his work for less than they think it is really worth. And at the same time the expense of managing the whole business of the Union is less than would be that of managing its Provident busine.ss alone by any other Society for the local officers get good information without trouble they spend nothing on a^lvertising, and they receive but trifling salaries'. depressiou. But the burden of Snperaunuatiou Benefit increases steadUy wUh 362 BOOK VI. CH. XIII. S 3. 1' § 3. Such being the general plan of Trade-unions, we may pass to examine the influence which they can exert on wages. An artificial scarcity of la- bour in a trade can raise wages much if four con- ditions are satisfied. We have already incidentally inquired whether wages can be raised pennanently by diminishing the supply of labour; and we may begin by recapitulating the results obtained. If the workers in any trade are able to limit artificially the supply of their labour, they can certainly secure a con- siderable increase of wages, which will be the greater, the more fully four conditions are satisfied ^ They are: Firstly, that there is no easy alternative method of obtaining the commodity which their trade helps to produce ; and this generally requires («) that they have control over the supply of labour in their trade and district; (h) that the commodity cannot easily be brought from some other district, in which the conditions of labour are beyond their control; and (c) that there is no available mechanical or other contri- vance by which the commodity can be produced independently of them : Secondly, that the commodity is one the price of which will be raised considerably by a stinting of supply, or in other words the demand for it is not very elastic : Thirdly, that the share of the total expenses of production of the commodity which consists of their wages is small, so that a great proportionate rise in them will not greatly raise its the lapse of years; for the average age of the Unionists has uot yet reached Its inaxununi. Less than a tenth of the total expenditure comes under the head of strike pay in an average year's budget of the first class Unions. But many of the differences between individual workpeople and then- employers, which result m their ceasing to be employed, are of the nature of trade "disputes," though not technically so called. And some Unions do not even attempt to make any distinction in their accounts between "out-of-work" pay and strike pay: though the former, when given at all, is at a lower rate than the latter. It seems however that not more than a fifth of the total expenditure can be ascribefl to "disputes" in the broadest use of the term. The accumulated Funds of the cliief Old Unions average about two weeks' wages of their members. • 1 Comp. Book V. Ch. vi. § 2. TRADE UNIONS. 363 price and diminish the demand for it. And, Fourthly, that the other classes of workers, and tlie employers, in the trade are squeezable, or at least are not in a position to secure for themselves an increased shq,re of the price of the joint product by limiting artificially the supply of their labour and capital. The effect on the wages paid for doing a given piece of work would be just the same whether the num- ber of workei-s in a trade were diminished by a ^^^^''e"* tenth, or the amount of work done by each were Smiting the diminished by a tenth (other things being equal) ' : woS'ers°and but on the latter plan the same aggregate wa^^es *^^ ^°^^ *^°"^ would be divided among more people, and the ^^^^''^' rate of w^ages per head would be a tenth lower. If the amount of work done per head is diminished by lessening the hours or the severity of work, there is some compensating gain in increased leisure, or freedom from strain : but if it is diminished by insisting on uneconomical methods of work, there is no such compensation. When the Net Advantages of a trade are abnormally high relatively to others in the same grade, there will be a strong drift into the trade, both of adult wi^es"iersus workers and of children, by routes direct and other NeT"^ indirect ; and this drift can be resisted only by ^^^^"'^^"• hard and harsh measures which interfere much with the free course of business. Human nature being what it is, the drift from outside will be stronger into a trade with very high money wages than into one with rather high wages, and considerable other Net advantages. And partly for this reason the Unions of the skilled trades are aiming rather at the latter than the former end. 1 Other things would indeed not be equal: for the larger number of men would want more supeiintendence, more space, and more machinery (uXss they workecl double shifts instead of single); and therefore their aggregate wages would be less, and their wages per head nxore than a tenth lesfthaT if the supply of labour were lessened by a mere duninution of numbers Sill 364 I 4 BOOK VI. CH. XIII. g 3, 4 The recent extension of Trade-unionism to unskilled Permanent labour has been confronted by the fact that an limitations of .•/••, ... . the work done in all trades must lower wages generally. artificial restriction of the numbers in any un skilled trade is difficult, and in all trades to- gether impossible, unless multitudes are to be supported in idleness. But it is not impossible to make labour scarce in all trades by shortening the hours of labour sufficiently. The movement in this direction, is, as we saw in the last chapter, the composite product of a genuine desire for more leisure for its own sake, and of a fallacious belief that there is a fixed Work-Fund. We concluded that, if there is a general diminution in the amount of work done,' the National Dividend will shrink and the share of it that goes to the working classes, or in other words the aggregate of weekly (real) wages will shrink also, though not^perhaps quite in the same proportion. And since there would be no diminution in the number among whom this aggregate was divided, average (real) wages would fall very nearly in pro- portion to the diminution of the work done. § 4. Leaving then this recapitulation of the results of We pass to at- P^nnanently lessening the supply of labour, we cure^hi h°er^^' ^^^^ ^^^^ ^^ *^® °^^"^ ^^^ ^^ *^^^^ Chapter. That wages for la- ^s to inquire whether, by a judicious use of the eX'to with': ^^"^^* ^^ temporarily withholding the supply of hold its supply labour, Unions can force employers, and through temporarily. xi. j.i . , ^ them the community at large, to pay higher wages temporarily. It is clear that this question is\ot decided by the argument of the last Section. For if two men are rowing in the same boat and one pulls all the time with only half his strength, his progress will be slow : but if he thinks the other is doing less than a fair share of work, he may possibly find it a good policy to refuse to row till the other exerts himself more; he may conceivably reach his journey's end quicker than if he rowed on steadily without demur. Here then is the true centre of this contest as to the efficacy of Unions to raise wages. TRADE UNIONS. 365 We may start from the indisputable fact that the wage of labour of any kind tends, like the value of a material commodity, to a position of equilibrium forces°of"sup- at which the amount which will be normally mand"do**n'ot demanded is equal to that which will be nor- always act mally supplied. But this tendency does not Zl%7f always operate freely : it may even be suspended ^^^o"'*- for the time, if either the buyers or the sellers have no reserve price'. A working man who is not a member of a Trade-union can seldom stand out long for a reserved price for his labour; and thus he may fail to get much benefit from the fact that, other things being equal, it will be to the interest of employers to pay wages equal to the net value of his work, if they cannot get a sufficient supply of labour on cheaper terms. Take for instance the case of a farmer who calculates that the work of an additional labourer would add to the produce of his farm enough to repay with c^ombinltiLn"' profits the outlay of lis. a week in wages. Ko °^ ^"^P^oy^'"^- doubt it will then be to his interest, other things being equal, to offer these wages rather than go without the extra assist- ance. But other things are veiy likely not to be equal. If the current rate in the parish is 12^. a week, he could not bid Us. without incurring odium among his brother farmers, and perhaps tempting the labourers already in his employ to demand Us. So he will probably offer only 12^., and com- plain of the scarcity of labour. The price of Us. will be main- tained because competition is not perfectly free ; because the labourers have not much choice as to the market in which they sell their labour; and because they cannot hold back their labour at a reserve price equal to the highest wage which the employer can afford to pay*. 1 The general theory bearing on this point is indicated in Book V Ch ii and IS worked out more fully in the corresponding chapter of the PnncipUs '' The disadvantage under which labourers lie in such a case as this may 366 BOOK YI. CH. xiri. §§ 4, 5. I And even where employers are not iu any combination A single large ^'^'\ "^ '''"''^'"^' *» ^gulate Wages, each large employer is a employer IS m his own person a perfectly firm combination in «„„l,;„„i: c , . t"^'ic>-i.ij( jiim himself. combination of employing power. A combination of a thousand workers has a very weak and un- certain force in comparison with that of a single resolute employer of a thousand men: and though such an employer sees his profits m hiring a few more men at the current or even rather higher wages, he may yet think it the better policy not to bid for them lest he should suggest to those already in his employment that they should raise their demands. be 6«en by considering the position of a shopkeeper in like circnmstances A« c vvuu wm pay it. ±Jut if at any tune he were comwllp^l fn o^ii ^*» i,- goo' t 368 BOOK VI. CH. XIII. §§ 5 — 7. merit to resist the demands of tlie men is made, it will not easily be maintained, especially if the fruits that they might have gathered are being snatched up by rivals outside of their combination. Unions further hold that the threat of a strike, though less powerful when the tide of prosperity is falling than when it is rising, may yet avail for the compara- tively easy task of slackening the fall in the high wages they have gained. They claim thus to secure an earlier rise, a greater rise, and a more prolonged rise than they could get without combination. The questions at issue are then — Can Unions really make economic friction act for the workman instead of against him ? Are the means which they take for this purpose injurious to production and therefore indirectly to the workman? If the answers to both these questions are affirmative, is the good on the whole greater or less than the evil ? § 6. Let us then look at the answers to these ques- fppon"en"sof ^j^"^^ ^^^.^"^ ^^ ^^'^^^ ^^^ dispute the power of Unions. Unions thus to raise wajres. Preliminary objection to the assump- tion that fric- tion is strong in the labour market. They take a preliminary objection to the common assump- tion of Unionists that cases, such as that of agri- cultural labourers quoted above, represent the actual condition of any considerable part of England's industries. They say that there are but few trades in which the employers really act in concert, even though they undertake to do so ; and that when an employer sees his way to making a profit by hiring more labour at the current wages or even a little higher, he generally finds means of doing so; and that he would almost invariably do so were it not for the influence of Trade-unions. For they insist that the very means which Unions take to prevent an employer from paying individual workers less than a standard rate, make him often hesitate to raise the wages of individual men, when he would do so, if free from the restrictions and demands of the Union. Thus, TRADE UNIONS. 3G9 ^ so far as this count goes, they maintain that competition is much more efiective, at all events in the industrial districts of modern England, than the arguments of Unionists generally imply ; or, to revert to our previous simile, that the action of competition corresponds to that of a fluid that is only very slightly viscous. And they go on to assert that that slight viscosity is partly due to the influence of Unions. It is difficult to decide how far this answer is valid. On the one hand it is in agriculture, where Unions are weak, that we find the most grounds for the complaint that efficient and inefficient workers are paid so nearly alike as to give but small encouragement to energy. But, on the other hand, while this evil is diminishing in agriculture under the influence of the growing mobility and independence of the labourer, it is increasing in some other industries in which employei-s fear that a concession to their best men will be followed by further demand of a strong Union on behalf of inferior men. This is however a side issue : let us pass to the main issue. § 7. Let us look first at the influence of strikes and threats of strikes in a single trade. It is clear that, if in any trade the employer is to be R^J°>"derby 1 , 11 . r J ^ Kjyj opponents of narassed at all times, and especially when he Unionsto their sees his way to profitable business, then business f^as'i^sClg'ie men generally will shun that trade ; unless indeed, ^""^^^ ** ^°"- taking one time with another, they are able to get from it a rate of profits not merely as high as, but rather higher than is to be got in other trades. For the extra worry and fatigue of the work to be done will require some com- pensation ; and until they get it, the undertakers will seize every convenient opportunity of diminishing the stakes which they hold in the trade. The relative strategic strength of employer and employed may determine for the time the shares in which the aggregate net income of the trade is divided ; but the terms of the division will soon react on the amount of capital* in the trade, M. 24 370 BOOK VI. CH. XIII. §§ 7, 8. TKADE UNIONS. S71 t" III I and therefore on the amount of that income which is available for division '. It may be im|x>ssible to force the consumer to pay a price that will cover these charges : in that case employment in the trade must decline; and then, in spite of the Unions, there will be many men running after one employer and wages will fall. It is true that if the wares produced by the trade have even a partial local monopoly and are in strong demand, the employes may be able, by well-timed strikes and threats of strikes, to obtain a rise of wages at the expense of the consumer, and to retain it for a considerable time. But they cannot retain long a much higher wage than can be earned in similar and neighbouring trades, except by permanently limiting the numbers in their trade — a case which we have already considered. Next the claim of a Union to obtain a rise of wages by striking or threatening a strike, when the employers are becoming very busy, is compared by opponents of Unions to the claim of those, who have prematurely shaken down unripe apples, to have produced the apples. They insist that, as the orchard would have yielded better apples and with less injury to the trees that have to bear next year's crop, if nature had been left to run her course ; so the rise in wages that belongs to a peiiod of trade prosperity, though it might not have come so soon or have been so sharp, would have lasted much longer. The Unions boast of resisting the tendency to a subsequent fall : but really that tendency, it is argued, is in a great measure of their own creation; and it need not have been felt for a long while, if employers 1 Tliat is, the income is not a Rent proper fixed by external conditions, and permanently available for division among the parties iuterestetl : but it is a Quasi-rent wlikh will be lessened by every diminution in, the inducements to keep up the supplies of capital in the trade. Comp. Appendix D. had been able to give their minds to tlieir work untroubled by strikes and the rumours of them, and if plans could have been made far ahead with confidence that they could be carried out, and therefore with but a narrow margin of profit. ® So far the rejoinder relates to the eflfects of a Union in a single trade; and it appears to have much force, on the assumption that the net effect of intored'in" Trade-union action is to worry and fret the *^^^ ^^Jo»"der. undertaker, to make his work more difficult and uncertain, and thus to narrow his enterprise. § 8. Leaving this assumption for discussion later on, we may follow the course of the argument when Trade-unionism is supposed to be extended to o'^pponen'ts o'^f all the chief trades of the country. Capital and Unions to their business power cannot then take refuge from the t^tagis'/^ ''' injuries of Trade-unions by the comparatively ^^""*^' easy means of drifting into adjoining trades. But it is still true that a rise in wages, if obtained at the expense of profits, is likely to diminish the accumulation and to promote the emigration of capital; and that it may diminish the enterprise of business men, or at least of such of them as do not emigrate with their capital. It will thus tend both to diminish the National Dividend, which is the source of all wages, and to lessen the competition of capital for the aid of wages. In both these ways the rise of wages is in danger of bringing about its own destruction. This old argument has both gained and lost strength in recent times. On the one hand migration from one country to another is becoming less difiicult both for capital and for the employing class ; and, if England should ever cease to be an eminently desirable country to live in, a small fall in the rate of profits below that obtainable else- i?part'iy'""^'' where with equal trouble and worry, would cause weakfrthan ^'^ so great a lack of capital and business power, that ^as. 24—2 f llj I 372 BOOK VI. CH. XIII. §§ 8, 9. the working- classes would be compelled either to provide these requisites of production for themselves, or to submit to such low wages that they would soon want to emigrate in pursuit of the capital and business power. But on the other hand every countiy has industrial troubles of its own ; and, so long as Englishmen meet theirs in as brave and conciliatory a spirit as any other people, the owners of capital and business power will have no strong inducement to seek other lands. Again, though the dependence of industry on a large supply of capital is constantly increasing, yet the influence which the fall in the rate of interest exerts in checking the accumulation of capital is a little less important than was formerly supposed. And again thougli progress depends ever more and more on the energies of business men, and though some of them might slacken their efforts a little if the Earnings of Manage- ment were lessened; yet the growth of wealth and intelligence are constantly increasing the numbers of those who would do the work of business management with great vigour for a moderate reward, so long as they could retain their full freedom and responsibility, and all the excitements of the chase. The rejoinder of the opponents of Unions proceeds :— If it But there re- ^® Conceded that the National Dividend would mains a power- not be much lessened at once by a general rise of ful argument i • i J r> in the back- wages obtained at the expense of profits ; and ground. ^^^^ labour, getting a larger share of a Dividend but little diminished, would be a little better off" for the time ; even then it has still to be considered that this diminution would be progressive and cumulative^ unless the rise in wages exercises some compensatory effect. Thus if in one year the diminution of profits causes the stock of capital to be one per cent, less than it otherwise would have been, this loss will have increased to about two per cent, at the end of the second year, to about three per cent, at the end of the third year, to about ten per cent, at the end of the tenth TRADE UNIONS. 373 year, and so on. But this cannot go on for long. For while the loss increases steadily year by year, they're will be no corresponding increase in the advantage which com- bination gives to labourers in their bargaining ; and sooner or later the competition of capital for the aid of labour in production will be lessened; wages will fall, and will probably go on falling until the removal of the causes which lessened the supply of capital, and therefore the National Dividend \ It is then clear that if a rise of wages is obtained simply at the expense of profits, if it lowers profits without exerting any compensatory effect on the National Dividend, it must be self-destructive in the long run. It must lead in time to such a scarcity of capital and of business power that the National Dividend will be insufficient to afford high wages to labour, even while capital is getting a low rate of interest, and business power is receiving low Earnings of Management. § 9. Thus the main issue between those who do and those who do not think that Unions can permanently raise wages, resolves itself almost entirely into the Jl'slwci'ill^f narrower question whether the latter are ricrht '"*° *.^* • • .-i , *5 question in assuming that there is no important compen- whether Union sato^r effect to the injuries which some fonns "hoU.°e"set ot Irade-union action inflict on production; that Production, the net effect of the action of Unions is to hamper business a l^a ^,wi^*^^ 7^ ""^ interest from say three to two per cent, would cnt off ^ ?1 I ?™, l^^. '^''"'^' ^^ "^^"^^ P^«Pl«- S»t those of others would be verj' httle affected by it (see Book iv. Ch. vn. § 6), and therefore the percentage which tins lowenng of the rate of interest from three to two, too'L from th^ stock of capital m successive years would slightly dimhiish. In fact however this correction is much less important than one tending in the opposite direction. For wages could not be kept at their raised level without th^oSg a continually increasing burden on profits; and therefore the diminution (of check to the growth) of the National Dividend would be greater hi the second year tWn in the first, greater in the third year than in the second and so on. Further, a fall in the rate of interest promotes the use of mac liinery and tends to increase Auxiliary.capital at the expense of Wage capital, and thus slightly to lower wages. ^ ! -' 374 BOOK VI. CH. XIII. 55 9 — 11. and lessen production. Let us then address ourselves to this narrower question. On the side of Unions it is contended : (i) that the ablest Unionists recognize the general solidarity of their interests with those of the employer, and so far from needlessly hindering him in his business, do all that they can to make it work easily, smoothly and certainly by every means that is compatible with their retaining their strategic advantages in bargaining; and (ii) that their action as a whole tends to improve the character and increase the efficiency of labour, that this influence is cumulative, and that its benefits out- weigh any harm Unions can do in checking the growth of the material means of production. Let us investigate these pleas. § 10. Firstly as to the evils caused by strikes. Strikes Strikes are ^^® often regarded as peculiarly the results of generally dis- Trade-unionism. But, as has already been shown, couraged by the best the better organized a Union is, the smaller is the Unions. chance that a local quarrel will mature into a strike. And though when a strong Union does strike, the contest is likely to be a long one ; yet the unwillingness of employers to try conclusions with it, and the prudence of the officials of such a Union, together with the form of its government, tend to diminish the number of strikes. Strikes are of course expensive. But too much attention has been paid to the direct expense which they expenses of cause to both sides, and perhaps even to the smaulm-^ ° occasional privation which they occasion to the portance families of the employed. These evils obtrude themselves on the notice of every one : and no doubt they are great. But they are not great relatively to the immense issues at stake. They are not even great relatively to the uncer- relativeiy to tamty and friction which strikes bring into busi- the policy ncss. It is therefore the general policy of the support. Unions, more than the direct expenses of the TRADE UNIONS. 375 oc«isional strikes by which they enforce that policy, to which we must turn our attention'. § 11. We may then pass to that part of Union policy which consists of fixing a minimum (local) rate £ ii>-i.,i. ^ fixed mini- ot wage, and making it so high that it practically mum wage is becomes the ordinary rate. Unionists contend rretn"to"the that this, while essential to enable them to bar- fa*"* dealing gain as a body with the employer, is not an un- ^'"^ °^^*^' mixed evil to him. It saves him trouble and anxiety to be able to buy his labour, just as it does to buy his raw material, at wholesale prices : for then he can be sure that no neigh- bouring competitor is buying them at a lower price and thus preparing to sell the finished commodity more cheaply than he can afford to. What public markets do for the fair-dealing employer as regards raw material, Unions do for him, it is maintained, as regards labour. But unfortunately tliis is not quite true of labour when hired by time, because the labour is not sufli- . , J ?•> A J •, , *** ^vil arises ciently graded-. At present, no doubt, the most chiefly from the incompetent people of all are excluded from Jfflr*muc"1n Unions by the rule that a candidate for admis- ability and in- sion must prove that he is capable of earning the "^*'^* local minimum rate of wages^ But to begin with, that is 1 There is of course no advantage in comparing the expense of any particular strike with the total direct gain to wages of any that follow after it: partly because the events that follow the strike, may have been due to other causes, and pai-tly because a strike is a mere incident in a campaign, and the policy of keeping up an army and entering on a campaign has to be judged as a whole. The gain of any particular battle is not to be measured by the booty got in it; and even defeat is no proof that the General was wrong in not submitting without a battle. The cost of strikes is discussed with full statistical detail in Mr Burnett's excellent reports on the subject to the Board of Trade, and in several Reports of American Labour Bureaux. 2 Compare Book v. Ch. i. § 3, 8 Some weight must be allowed to the claim of the Unions that young men are stimulated to exertions by knowing that they must work up to this standard. But it is not always a very high one ; and, no doubt, some men, when they have attained it, exert themselves but little to get beyond it ; l>eiug not uuwiUing to draw largely on the out-of-work funds of theii- Union. 376 BOOK VI. CH. XIII. SS 11, 12. TRADE UNIONS. 377 »"• only at the date of liis admission : and for this very reason admissions to Unions are most numerous when trade is good, and when men rather below the average are for the time worth the standard wages. And further men vary as much in their willingness, as in their power, to exert themselves to do a good day's work for their wages \ A conceivable remedy for this could be found by the classi- This could be fication of the workers in each trade into several unlonsfavou^'r* S^^^^^> ^^^^ ^ minimum (local) rate for each, edmoreciassi- Of course learners always have special rates, and ca ion ; ^ £^^^ Unions allow old men to work below the regular rate. But most Unions are opposed to carrying the classification further than this in the same branch of work; partly because they fear it might enable the employer to bargain with liis men as individuals under the cover of offering them work in a lower grade. The difficulty is a real one ; but perhaps Unionists would make greater efforts to overcome it, if they realized fully how which would ^"^^^ ^^ diminishes the National Dividend, and diminish in- therefore in the long run the average wa^'es constancy of ii i , ,, _, ° ° employment in tHroughout the country. For even when trade cernl?and""" ^^ ^risk, there are some men who need a stimulus therefore in to exertion closer at hand than the fear of beinii 382 BOOK VI. CH. XIII. S§ 13 — 15. industrial war only as a last resource. In such trades we may conclude confidently that Trade-unions on the whole facilitate business'. § 14. Other trades in which many able employers are not A strong Union sorry to be confronted by a fairly strong Union, who?e heTfu^^ are those in which the labour is not highly in a trade in skilled or specialized ; and the employers, know- not become too ing that in case of need they can bring in fresh strong. labour from a distance, have no fear of losing the effective control of their own businesses. In such cases the able and prudent Union leaders, having the confidence of their followers, and being able to make practically binding contracts on their behalf, may save more trouble and worry to the employer in small questions than they cause in large ones ; and they are more likely to hinder than promote such aggressive action as would force the employer to extreme measures. Many of the firms engaged in these trades are large, and use much fixed capital; they buy and sell every- thing in large quantities, and would be willing to pay a little extra for anything, labour included, to save them- selves the time and expense of making many detailed bar- gains. But while the employers in such cases may welcome the presence of a Union so long as it remains of moderate strength; their attitude would quickly be changed if any great measure of success should attend the endeavours that are now being made in these very trades to revive and extend old projects of Federation of Unions, and to make them irresistible by the use of the modern weapons of sympathetic strikes and boycotts ''. 1 In some trades an employer having gromid of complaint against one of his employe's not unfrequently appeals to the Union secretary ; and he having investigated the matter compels the workman to make good his default under penalty of losing the support of the Union. 2 An interesting history of earher attempts at Federation as well as of Trade Councils and Trade-union Congresses is given in Mr Howell's Conflicts of Capital and Labour, Ch. x. Throughout it all we find evidence of the high Trade Federations TRADE UNIONS. 383 § 15. The disturbing effects of Trade-union action are probably seen at their maximum in trades which have a education that Unionists are deriving from all these various forms of association. They help different trades to enter into one another's difficulties; to bring to bear on one another the force of a public opinion, which, though often one-sided, is on the whole beneficial; and lastly to smooth away any quarrels which may arise between different trades, especially with regard to apparent encroachments by one on another's province. For such quarrels are as frequent among modem Unions as they were among mediaeval Gilds. The chief discussions at Trade-union Congresses have however related to Lidustrial Legislation ; on which they have exerted a great, and on the whole a beneficial influence. It is too early to form a sound judgment of the more ambitious new schemes for Federation. Under the guidance of able and resolute men they change their shapes rapidly to avoid first one difficulty and then another : it is possible they may attain a power, that would at present appear fraught with some danger to the State, and yet use that power with moderation. If so, they will do much towards changing the course of industrial history. For they aim at little less than controlling the general conduct of business in the interest of the workers, just as much being allowed to the employers (that is to capital and business power) as is needed to avoid gi-eatly checking the supply of capital and the activity of business. The method by which they propose to attain this result is generally to submit every dispute to the supreme Council of the Federation, who are em- l>owered— in some cases subject to the exphcit consent of the several Unions — to declare war against the firms which resist their decrees. The council may, for instance, order that tlie Federated trades shall not handle any goods coming from or going to those firms or even that they shall not work at all for any employer who refuses to cease deaUng with those firms. The poHcy which they propose is one requiring great judgment and self-control; qualities that have not been shown in some of the recent ventures of such Federations in America, AustraUa and England. But men learn by experience. In some recent schemes for an alhance between Co-operators and Trade- unionists in England, it has been proposed that co-operators should buy no goods that did not bear a Trade-union mark. It is certain that at present the worst conditions of labour are generally found among those who are making goods for the consumption of the working classes themselves; and it is quite right that they, and other people, should as far as possible avoid purchasing goods made under these conditions. But it is a strong measure to put it in the power of a Union to destroy the trade of an employer on the ground that he does not conform to their requirements, without making sure that those requirements are such as it is to the public interest to enforce. Errors of this kind will however coiTect themselves in time. And meanwhile, together wth some little harm and perhaps injustice, good will be done by an attempt that calls the attention of the working classes as consumers to the ultimate effect of a policy, of which they are apt to see only one side when they approach it as Trade-unionists. Ml I' 384 BOOK VI. CH. XIII. §§ 15, 16. Effects of com binations in trades not much subject to external competition. monopoly of some special skill, and are not much influenced by the fear of foreign competition. It is in some of these trades that a bad use of Trade-union forces is most likely to show itself, a use that injures employers in the first instance, but in the long run is chiefly at the expense of the general public. And indeed it is true now, as it was in the time of the old Gilds, that in a trade which has any sort of monopoly, natural or artificial, the interests of the public are apt to be sacrificed most, when peace reigns in the trade, and employers and em- ployed are agreeing in a policy, which makes access to the trade difficult, stints production, and keeps prices artificially high. § 16. So far we have discussed the influence of Union action on general wages, with reference to the question whether on the balance it renders business more difficult and uncertain, diminishes profits, and lessens the supply of capital and the energy of business men. But we have not yet considered the strongest grounds of the claim made by Unions that they do not on the whole lessen the National Dividend, and thereby bring into action forces which will render futile their effbrts to raise wages. We have still to consider that the strongest But Unionism ^^^^^ ^^ Unions to sustain wages depends on the must be judged influence they exert on the character of the influence on workers themselves ; though their position is not ofVe^woVkers. ^^ Strong as it might be made by the abandon- ment of all regulations and practices which needlessly limit the number of learners in skilled trades, or tend to deprive the workers of a good opportunity and a strong motive for exerting their best abilities to the full extent that is compatible with a due amount of rest and leisure. It is true that Trade-unionism has already done much of Unions found ^^^ ^^""^ ^^ **"^ direction. It found even the many workers artisan with but little independence and self- gave them'seif- respect, incensed against his employers, but with respect. ^^ well-considered policy for compelling them to TRADE UNIONS. 385 treat him as an equal who had something to sell that they wanted to buy. This state of things would in any case have been much modified by the increase of wealth and of know- ledge ; which, together with the cessation of great wars and the opening of our markets freely for the workman's food, would have taken away much of that want and fear of hunger which depressed the physique and the moral character of the working classes. Unions have been at once a chief product and a chief cause of this constant elevation of the Standard of Life : where that Standard is high. Unions have sprung up naturally ; where Unions have been strong, the Standard of Life has generally risen ; and in England to-day few skilled workers are depressed and oppressed'. But there still remain trades in which special causes have lowered the independence of the workers and induced them to submit to conditions of hire ^^'^ ^^"^ «*"« and conditions of work, which constantly press traie^slnwhich them downwards. Selling their labour with- ^"ch help is out any efiective reserve to employers amon^^ whom there is but Httle effective competition, they have not partaken in the general progress. Relatively, if not abso- lutely, the price of their labour has fallen : and yet it is not always cheap to the employer; for long years and in some cases long generations of poverty and dependence, without know- ledge and without self-respect, have left them weak and unprofitable workers : and it is in relation to these classes that Trade-unionism is doing its most important work among the present generation of Englishmen. Its work has been successful in proportion as it has resisted the temptation to go counter to the economic forces of the time; and has directed its chief efforts to giving men a new spirit and a trust in and care for one another^; and 1 Till recently workmen suffered mucli hardship and wrong from some bad masters Unions have checked this partly by explaining the law to the work- man and puttmg it in force for him. I -I M. 25 i j: J ; M 386 BOOK VI. CH. XIII. ^ 16 — 18. inciting them to avail themselves of those economic forces that can be made to work on their side. Thus for instance under the old regime at some of the London Docks, the inevitable uncertainty of Docks under employment was increased through lack of due the old regime, consideration; men were kept waiting about needlessly for the chances of an odd job, till their spirit was gone; they turned their little earnings to very bad account, and they were at once among the most miserable, and the dearest workers in the country. A Trade-union giving them some confidence in themselves and their fellows, insisting on the removal of conditions which were very injurious, and finally appealing to public sympathy for funds which enabled them to put a reserve price on their labour, was able to give them a wonderful start: and though they have not in every case known how to use their victory with moderation and wisdom, they are now on a higher level than before. There is an almost equal waste of human life, though of another kind in some other industries, such as • So called . . i • i u "Sweated" nail-makmg, and hand-sewing, in wmcn old- trades, fashioned methods vainly struggle for life. These are the industries in which the evils of the so-called sweating system are greatest, and the workers are most helpless. The forces of the time are moving them slowly on to better methods of work, and therefore higher wages : but, if they could take combined action, the movement would be hastened; and the growth of Trade-unions among them would be partly a result and partly a cause of their rise from their present low state to a higher one. § 17. Though there is no longer room for Unionism to There is much render services of this order to skilled workmen, aid that Unions ^j^ -^ ^^-jj ^^^^ ^Yisit it can do even for them. can still render to the moral character of the workers, Unions all can, and most of them in fact do, exercise an elevating influence by punishing TRADE UNIONS. ssr any member who conducts himself badly, or who is frequently out of employment from excessive drinking. There is much moral strength in the espHt de corps that makes a man anxious not to bring disgrace on his Union, and in the just pride with which he contemplates the provision that its Benefit and Provident Funds make to secure him from needing the aid of public or private charity. The better the influences which Unions exert in these respects the more likely is any increase of wages that they may obtain, to be turned to account in ^h^"^ '^ so far as promoting the industrial efliciency of the present they l?e* Hkeiy and the coming generation of workers. In so %^lLntiT^ far as they do this, the Unions have an effective answer to the argument, recently given, that any check to the growth of capital caused by a rise of wages at the expense of profits is likely to be cumulative. If they do what they can to make labour honest and hearty, they can reply that an addition to the wages of their trade is as likely to be invested in the Personal Capital of themselves and their children, as an increase in profits is to be invested in Material Capital : that from the national point of view persons are at least as re- munerative a field of investment as things : and that invest- ments in persons are cumulative in their effects from year to year and from generation to generation ^ But this answer is not open to those Unions, or branches of Unions, that in effect foster dull and unenergetic habits of work. § 18. It would be a great gain if the net influence of Unions on wages could be clearly traced in history. But this cannot be done. For many a^'scmai^ing of the most important effects of Trade-union ^^e/nfl^enceof action are so remote from their causes as to "cJTbseJ^a-" escape notice, unless they are carefully sought **°°* out; and even then they are so intermingled with the effects 1 See above Ch iv. §§ l, 6. In England, and to an even greater extent in Amenca, the material savings of working men are themselves^oSerable. 25—2 I I Li 388 BOOK VI. CH. XIII. I 18. Unions and \vages in different countries. of other and, in some cases, more powerful causes, that their true meaning is not easily read^. Let us however consider the relation of Trade-unions to some of the broad movements of wages noticed in the first half of the preceding Chapter. Trade- unions have been stronger in England than on the Continent, and in America; and wages have been higher in England than on the Continent, but lower than in America. Their strength in England was partly due to that force of character, which was the chief cause of the excess of English over Continental wages. Their weakness in America was partly due to the very causes that made the wages of the American working man so high ; viz. his restless enterprise, his constant opportunities of bettering himself by changing his abode and his occupation, and the abundance of land on which he could settle as an independent owner. The highest wages of all that the world has known have been in some parts of California and Australia ; but they were due to causes which excluded the action of Unions. Gradually real wages in those places have fallen — perhaps not absolutely, but — relatively to the rest of the Western world; and in their desire to retard that fall, men have betaken themselves to Unionism of a specially active and adventuious character. But it is not easy to decide whether in so doing they have not checked the growth of wages by retauding the influx of capital, as much as they have increased it by modifying in their own favour the distribution of the joint product of labour and capital. Again, not long ago wages were very low in Scotland; but they have already risen nearly up to the English level, as a result of the general tendency of local inequalities of wages to diminish, and in spite of the fact that Unions are weaker in Scotland than in England. Unionism is however growing fast in Scotland ; and in shipbuilding, for 1 Compare the footnote on pages 355, 356. TRADE UNIONS. 389 which the Clyde has great natural advantages. Unionism is as strong and wages as high as in England. Again, those occupations in which wages have risen most in England happen to be those in which there are no Unions : they are those kinds of domestic wagerin""* service and those employments for women and different children in which there has been a great increase ^''^'"P*^""^- of demand, while the increase of supply has been checked by the growing unpopularity of domestic service, and the unwilling- ness of the better grades of working men to let their wives leave home and their children leave school early. Again, few of those branches of skilled labour which have had strong Unions for the last fifty years, can show as great a rise in wages as has been secured in most unskilled occupations in which physical strength is required, even though they have had no effective Unions. It is true that Unions claim to have made life more pleasant in manufacturing and other industries, and thus to have increased the inducements inference that needed to keep people in domestic service. And u nio^n^on " °^ it is further true that, in so far as Unionist lY^f^^'^ action may have raised the general level of life of some classes of workers, it has helped to raise the intelligence and character, and therefore the wage-earning power of their children, among whom are many domestic servants. But, even if we take an optimist estimate of these influences, such facts as those just quoted prove that the direct influence of Unions on wages is small relatively to the great economic forces of the age. They prove this, but they prove no more than this. And on the other hand the advocates of Unionism can bring forward a long series of facts to prove that inference that when a comparison is made of wages in two o^^^er things similar trades, or in two branches of the same Un^lns'do*^ trade, or in the same branch of the same trade thi^^^d^ef hi*" in two places; if it so happens that neither of which they are them is favoured relatively to the other by the ouTe'rr^^*** I i Rit 390 BOOK VI. CH. XIII. §§ 18, 19. economic changes of the age, then that one which has the stronger Unions has almost invariably the higher wages; and that one in which the strength of Unions is increasing most rapidly is that in which wages are rising fastest \ Such facts prove that, other things being equal, wages in trades in which there are strong Unions are likely to be higher than in those in which there are not. But they do not afford a conclusive answer to those who hold that a Union can obtain a relative rise in wages in its trade only by means which indirectly cause a greater loss in other trades; and that therefore the effect of Unionism is to lower general wages. It should also be noted that all such facts lose some of their significance, when it is remembered that a rise of wages, even when caused by a general increase in the prosperity of a trade, is nearly always followed, as statistics show, by an 1 There are several cases of trades with strong Unious, iii which the rise of wages has been retarded by causes which may easily escape observation. For instance, the rise of the wages of compositors has been hindered by the diffusion of education which, while it much increases the demand for their work, prevents the power of reading and writing from having any longer a monopoly value: their wages have however risen relatively to the incomes of clerks who are affected by the same cause but have no Union. Again, skilled iron- founders were heavily struck by the invention of machinery, the use of which required mere physical strength, and enabled many navvies to earn 10«. a day at iron-founding at the very time when the Unemployed List of the Ironfomiders' Union was quoted before the Conunission on the Depression of Trade, as strong evidence of a growing dearth of employment. And again, the engineers have suffered, nominally at least, from the fact that — to say nothing of those who are below the Union standard — there is a constant increase in the number of men who confine themselves to comparatively simple work in the management of machines, and are not highly skilled all- round men. The average incomes to-day of those who entered the engineers' trade thirty years ago are very high indeed. Not a few are employers, many more are foremen and in positions of trust in all kinds of industries ; and many are earning exceptionally high wages for delicate and varied work in small, but high class businesses. A great many of these however are not members of the Union at all; and tliose who are, owe very little at present (whatever they may have done in the past) to the aid of the Union. All these three trades have to do with branches of production for which the demand is increasing much faster than in proportion to the population. They all have very strong and well-managed Unions; and yet all have to contend with strong and not very obvious hindrances to a rapid rise in their minimum wage. TRADE UNIONS. 391 increase in the strength of the Union. For the rise, however caused, increases the men's confidence in their leaders, and makes them more willing as well as more able to pay their entrance fees and subscriptions ; and further it increases the numbers of those who are qualified for admission by earning the standard wages. § 19. The direct evidence of wage statistics is then in- conclusive. But, on the whole, they tend to ^ r> , . 1 J General confirm the conclusions to which our general conclusions, reasonings seemed to point ; and we may now sum them up. In trades which have any sort of monopoly the workers, by limiting their numbers, may secure very high wages at the ex- pense partly of the employers, but chiefly of the general com- munity. But such action generally diminishes the number of skilled workers and in this and other ways takes more in the ag- gregate from the real wages of workers outside, than it adds to those of workers inside : and thus on the balance it lowers average wages. Passing from selfish and exclusive action of this sort, we find that Unions generally can so arrange their bargaining with employers as to remove the special disadvantages under which workmen would lie if bargaining as uni^ns"n°^ individuals and without reserve ; and in con- wages in par- sequence employers may sometimes find the path of least resistance in paying somewhat higher wages than they would otherwise have done. In trades which use much fixed capital a strong Union may for a time divert a great part of the aggregate net income (which is really a Quasi-rent) to the workers ; but this injury to capital will be partly trans- mitted to consumers ; and partly, by its rebound, reduce em- ployment and lower wages. Some of those, who have caused this result, may escape it themselves by changing their oc- cupation or their abode. But in trades in which competition from a distance is effective, the nemesis follows quickly : and, in these trades more than others, Unions direct their energies to i: I' 392 BOOK VI. CH. XIII. § 19. maintaining a moderate level of wages by means that do not hamper production. Other things being equal, the presence of a Union in a trade raises wages relatively to other trades. But the influence which Unions exert on the average level , of wao^es is less than would be inferred by look- influence of ° ^ ^ '' Union action ing at the influence which they exert on wages generaK^ils ^^ ^^^^ particular trade. When the measures drawbacks and which they take to raise wages in one trade have the effect of rendering business more diflicult, or anxious, or impeding it in any other way ; they are likely to diminish employment in other trades, and thus to cause a greater aggregate loss of wages to other trades than they gain for themselves, and to lower and not raise, the average level of wages. For a fall in the rate of profits exerts an influence that is real, though less than used to be once supposed, in causing capital to emigrate or even to be consumed, and in causing men of business ability to emigrate or slacken their energies ; and this influence is cumulative. The power of Unions to raise general wages by direct means is never great ; it is never sufficient to contend success- fully with the general economic forces of the age, when their drift is against a rise of wages. But yet it is sufficient materially to benefit the worker, when it is so directed as to co-operate with and to strengthen those general agencies, which are tending to improve his position ^orally and economically. And it will be so directed if the following conditions are satisfied. Firstly, Unions must aim at making business easy and certain : this is already done by formal and informal Boards of Conciliation in some trades, especially such as produce largely for foreign markets. Secondly, they must aim at raising the Standard of Life among the workers of the present and the coming generation by fostering habits of sobriety and honesty, independence and self-respect : this is done in different degrees by all Unions ; and whatever influence they Conditions under which Unions may permanently raise general wages. TRADE UNIONS. 393 exert in this direction is cumulative. Thirdly, they must aid as many as possible of the rising generation to acquire industrial skill, and to join the higher paid ranks of labour : this calls for some self-sacrifice, and is inconsistent with any attempt to raise very high the wages in skilled trades by making the entrance to them artificially difficult. Fourthly, they must strive to develop the great stores of business power and in- ventive resource that lie latent among the working classes, so that, production being economical and efficient, the National Dividend may be large ; and that, business power being cheap. and the share going as Earnings of Management being relatively small, that which remains for wages may be high. The training which Unionists get from the management of Union affairs, though highly beneficial to them as men and as citizens, is yet not exactly what is wanted for this end. But Unions might do much towards it, by under- taking particular contracts and even general business on their own accounts; and by aiding and promoting all forms of co-operative enterprise, and especially such as open the greatest number of opportunities to men of natural business ability to find free scope for their constructive and originating faculties'. Fifthly, they must be always specially careful to avoid action by which one class of workers inflict a direct injury on others. Contests between Unions contending for the same field of employment — as for instance between Unions of 1 Tims sacrificing the shadow for the substance, they should where necessary, relax the rigid forms of some of their own rules in favour of small genuine co-operative productive societies in the few trades in which such societies can successfully contend with the great natural difficulties by which they are opposed. And in particular they should encourage productive branches of distributive stores in which responsibility for risks and power of experunent are very nearly in the same hands; and in which the business energies of men of the working class can be vivified and prepared for taking an important part in increasing the National Dividend and diminishing the share of it which goes as Earnings of Management. (Some aspects of this question are further considered in an address by the present writer to the Co-operative Congress in 1889.) 394 BOOK VI. CH. XIII. ^ 19, 20. Connection between the moral and the economic aspects of the problem. shipwrights and carpenters, or plumbers and fitters — attract their full meed of attention; but more importance really attaches to the injuries which one trade inflicts on others by stinting the output of the raw material which they have to use, or by throwing them out of work through a strike in which they have no concern. § 20. As Mill says: "Except on matters of mere detail, there are perhaps no practical questions even among those which approach nearest to the character of pure economic questions which admit of being decided on economic premises alone;" and it is alike unscientific and injurious to the public welfare to attempt to discuss men's conduct in industrial conflicts without taking account of other motives beside the desire for pecuniary gain. The world is not ready to apply in practice principles of so lofty a morality, as that implied in many socialistic schemes, which assumes that no one will desire to gain at the expense of an equal loss of happiness to others. But it is ready, and working men among others are ready, to endeavour to act up to the principle, that no one should 'desire a gain which would involve a very much greater loss of happiness to others. Of course the loss of £1 involves much less loss of happiness to a rich man than to a poor man. And it would not be reasonable to ask working-men to abstain from a measure which would give them a net gain of £1 at the expense of a loss of SOs. to profits, unless it could be shown that this loss would react on wages in the long run. But many of them are willing to admit that no Union should adopt a course which will raise its own wages at the expense of a much greater total loss of wages to others; and if this principle be generally adopted as a basis of action, then nearly all the e\41 that still remains in the policy of Unions can be removed by such a study of economic science, as will enable them to discern those remote effects of their action "which are not seen," as well as those immediate results " which are seen." TRADE UNIONS. 395 Thus Union policy as a whole is likely to be economically successful provided Unionists as individuals and p ^ ^ ^^^j ^g. in their corporate capacity follow the dictates of sponsibiiity of morality directed by sound knowledge. In this ^" ic opinion, respect Unions derive an ever-increasing assistance from public sympathy and public criticism ; and the more they extend the sphere of their undertakings by Federation and International alliances, the more dependent do tliey become on that sym- pathy and the more amenable to that criticism ; the larger the questions at issue, the greater is the force of public opinion. Public opinion, based on sound economics and just morality, will, it may be hoped, become ever more and more the arbiter of the conditions of industry \ 1 The strength and the responsibility of public opinion as regard the modern developments of trade combinations of all kinds are discussed in an address by the present writer to the Economic Section of the British Association, which is republished in the Statistical Journal for Dec. 1890. And something further is said on the meaning of the phrase " a fair rate of wages " with special reference to Conciliation and Arbitration in an Introduction by h^m to Mr L. L. Price's Industrial Peace, a book which, supplemented by Prof. Munro's papers on Sliding Scales, throws much light on an important class of problems. The general history of Unions is told in the writings of Mr and Mrs Webb, Mr Howell and Mr Burnett, also in the Reports of a Committee of the National Association for Promoting Social Science in 1860, and of the Royal Commission on Trades Unions in 1866 — 9. A great deal of information bearing on these and other questions discussed in this Chapter is published by the Commission on Labour. Among the many aspects of Unionism with which it has not been possible to deal at j^resent are the subtler and more indirect influences of foreign competition; and the claim of Unions to aid, or sometimes even to compel the action of employers in Regidating Trade. No doubt there are occasions on which a trade cannot continue to produce at its full strength without forcuig the sales of its wares on an inelastic market at prices disastrous to itself. But since every check to the production of one trade tends to throw others out of employment, what is called the Regulation of trade often tends to increase instability of prices, of wages and of employment in some directions more than it diminishes them in others; and its general adoption would probably increase the uncertainties of trade and of work. If we assume however that it is reasonable for those in a trade to try to regulate it, it seems to follow that the employed should have their say in the matter; and some slight weight must be conceded to that objection to Sliding Scales, which urges that under them wages are reduced when the employers accept lower prices, without the workers being consulted as to whether they would prefer to produce less, so that higher prices could be got and higher wages paid. 1^ J 396 APPENDIX A\ METHODS OF STUDY. § 1. It is the business of economics, as of almost every other science, to collect facts, to arrange and interpret them, and to draw inferences from them. All the devices for the discovery of the relations between cause and effect, which are described in treatises Induction and ^^ scientific method, have to be used in their turn by the deduction in- '' separable. economist : there is not any one method of investigation which can properly be called the method of economics ; but every method must be made serviceable in its proper place, either singly or in combination with others. And as the number of combina- tions that can be made on the chess-board is so great that probably no two games exactly aUke were ever played ; so no two games which the student plays with nature to wrest from her her hidden truths, which were worth playing at all, ever made use of quite the same methods in quite the same way. But in some branches of economic inquiry and for some purposes, it is more urgent to ascertain new facts, than to trouble ourselves with the explanations of those which we already have. While in other branches there is still much uncertainty as to whether those causes of any event, which lie on the surface and suggest themselves at first, are both true causes of it and the only causes of it ; and in these branches it is even more urgently needed to scrutinize our reasonings about facts which we already know, than to seek for more facts. The reasoning from particular facts to general principles is called induction ; the reasoning from general principles to particular facts is called deduction. Prof. Schmoller, an eminent German historian and economist, says well: "Induction and deduction are both needed for scientific thought as the right and left foot are both needed for walking. ...They rest on the same tendencies, the same beliefs, the same needs of our reason. » 1 See above, p, 28. METHODS OF STUDY. 397 § 2. There is however no scope in economics for long chains of deductive reasoning ; that is for chains in which each link is supported, wholly or mainly, by that which went before, and without obtaining further support and guidance from observation ^f°^"f g^^^^Yng and the direct study of real life. Such chains can be ^^t profitable, made in astronomy and in some other branches of physical science, in which the character and strength of all the chief causes at work are known so exactly that we can predict beforehand the effect of each singly, and thence infer the combined effect of all. But it cannot be done as yet in chemistry ; for we cannot be quite sure how a new combination of chemical elements will work until we have tried. And when drugs are used medicinally, it is often found that they affect different people in different ways : it is not always safe to give a large dose of a new drug to one patient, trusting to the fact that it has worked well in an apparently similar case. And economics has as various and uncertain a subject-matter to deal with as has medical science. Thus if we look at the history of such strictly economic relations as those of credit and banking, of trade-unionism or co-operation, we find that modes of working, that have been generally successful at some times and places, have uniformly failed at others. The difference may sometimes be explained simply as the result of variations in general enlightenment, or of moral strength of character and habits of mutual trust ; but sometimes the explanation is more difficult. § 3. On the other hand, there is need at every stage for analysis, that is, for taking to pieces each complex part and studying the relations of the several parts to one another and to the whole : Explanation of and in doing this we are constantly making inferences, observed facts that is, short steps of reasoning both inductive and involves deductive. The process is substantially the same whether we are explaining what has happened or predicting what is likely to happen. Explanation and prediction are really the same mental operation ; though they are worked in opposite directions, the one from effect to cause, the other from cause to effect. Observation may tell us that one event happened vnth or after another, but only by the aid of analysis and reason can we decide whether one was the cause of the other, and if we reason hastily we are likely to reason wrong. Wider experience, more careful inquiry, may show that the causes to which the event is attributed could not have produced it unaided ; perhaps even that they hindered the event, which was brought about in spite of them by other causes that have escaped notice. If we are dealing with the facts of remote times we must allow for the m I ' :; I I 398 APPENDIX A. Further observations on the nature of economic laws. changes that have meanwhile come over the whole character of economic life : however closely a problem of to-day may resemble in its outward incidents another recorded in history, it is probable that a thorough scientific examination will detect a fundamental difference between their real characters. Till this examination has been made, no valid argu- ment can be drawn from one case to the other. § 4. The part which systematic scientific reasoning plays in the production of knowledge resembles that which machinery plays in the production of goods. For when the same operation has to be performed over and over again in the same way, it generally pays to make a machine to do the work; and where there is so much changing variety of detail that it is unprofitable to use machines the goods must be made by hand. Similarly in knowledge, when there are any processes of investigation or reasoning in which the same kind of work has to be done over and over again in the same kind of way, then it is worth while to reduce the processes to system, to organize methods of reasoning and to formulate general Laws. It is true that there is so much variety in economic problems, economic causes are intermingled with others in so many different ways, that exact scientific reasoning will seldom bring us very far on the way to the conclusion for which we are seeking. But it would be foolish to refuse to avail ourselves of its aid, so far as it will reach : — ^just as foolish as would be the opposite extreme of supposing that science alone can do all the work, and that nothing will remain to be done by practical instinct and trained common sense. Natural instinct will select rapidly and combine justly considerations which are relevant to the issue in hand ; but it will select chiefly from those which are familiar ; it will seldom lead a man far below the surface, or far beyond the limits of his personal experience. And we shall find that in economics, neither those effects of known causes, nor those causes of known effects which are most patent, are generally the most important. "That which is not seen" is often better worth studying than that ** which is seen." Especially is this the case when we are trying to go behind the immediate causes of events and trying to discover the causes of those causes (causes causantes). It is sometimes said that physical laws are more universally true and less changeable than economic laws. It would be better to say that an economic law is often applicable only to a very narrow range of circum- stances which may exist together at one particular place and time, but which quickly pass away. When they are gone, the law, though still true as an abstract proposition, has no longer any practical bearing ; because METHODS OF STUDY. 399 the particular set of causes with which it deals are nowhere to be found acting together without important disturbance from other causes. Though economic reasoning is of wide application, we cannot insist too urgently that every age and every country has its own problems ; and that every change in social conditions is likely to require a new develop- ment of economic doctrines. It is true also that human effort may alter the conditions under which people live, and their characters, and thus may affect the economic laws that will be valid in the next generation. It may for instance destroy the conditions under which the most helpless of our match-box makers have been formed ; in the same way as it has substituted sheep whose law of life it is to mature early, for the older breeds which did not attain nearly to their full weight till their third year. The " normal " conditions with which economics deals are constantly being changed, partly through the unconscious influence of general social progress, partly through conscious and deliberate endeavour. And while with advancing knowledge we are constantly finding that economic analysis and general reasoning have wider and wider applications, and are learning in unexpected ways to see the One in the Many and the Many in the One ; we are also getting to understand more fully how every age and every country has its own problems, and how every change in social conditions is likely to require a new development of economic doctrines. t!| 400 19 APPENDIX B' CONSDMKRS' SURPLUS. r,^ ^ V..- ^^'^ .""Tv'' '"'''* * P*'™" 8et8 from purchasing at a low pnce things which he would rather pay a high price for than io withoj has aheady been called his consumers' surplus. Our aim now is to apply If T r l"""!™"^' «"Tl«s «' ■» "id in estimating roughly some of the benefits which a person derives from his environment or his conjuncture. In order to give definiteness to our notions, let us consider the case of tea purchased for domestic consumption. Let ns take the case of a man who, If the price of tea were 20s. a pound, would just be induced to buy one pound annnaUy ; who would just be induced to buy two pounds if the price were 14. three pounds if the price were 10.., four pounds if the if*i, • ^^^^T^^'-^^Ponndsifthe price were 4.., six pounds ^the price were 3.., and who, the price being actually 2... does pSse seven pounds We have to investigate the consume^' s^l„s which he derives from his power of purchasing tea at 2.. a pound The fact that he would just be induced to purchase one pound if the price were 20. proves that the total enjoyment or satisfaction which he derives from that pound is as great as that which he could Xlin by spendmg 20. on ofter things. When the price falls to 14.., he could a he chose, continue to buy only one pound. He would then get for ij what was worth to him at least 20,. ; and he will obtain a sullus sai^! faction worth to him at least 6.., or in other words a consu.Zs"su^^,L thus showing that he regards it as worth to him at least 14.. He obtains for 28.. what is worth to him at least 20.. + 14.. ; i.e. 34.. His Z^Z satisfaction is at all events not diminished by buying it. but rSS ^ See above, p. 80. Consumers' surplus in relation to the demand of an individual. CONSUMERS SURPLUS. 401 worth at least 6«. to him. The total utility of the two pounds is worth &t least 34s., his consumers' surplus is at least 6&-. When the price falls to 10s., he might, if he chose, continue to buy only two pounds ; and obtain for 20s. what was worth to him at least 34s. , and derive a surplus satisfaction worth at least 14s. But in fact he prefers to buy a third pound : and as he does this freely, we know that he does not diminish his surplus satisfaction by doing it. He now gets for 30s. three pounds; of which the first is worth to him at least 20s., the second at least 14s., and the third at least 10s. The total utility of the three is worth at least 44s., his consumers' surplus is at least 14s., and so on. When at last the price has fallen to 2s. he buys seven pounds, which are severally worth to him not less than 20, 14, 10, 6, 4, 3, and 2s. or 69«. in all. This sum measures their total utility to him, and his consumers* surplus is (at least) the excess of this sum over the 14s. he actually does pay for them, i.e. 45s. This is the excess value of the satisfaction he gets from buying the tea over that which he could have got by spending the 14s. in extending a little his purchase of other commodities, of which he had just not thought it worth while to buy more at their current prices; and any further purchases of which at those prices would not yield him any consumers* surplus. In other words, he derives this 45s. worth of surplus enjoyment from his con- juncture, from the adaptation of the environment to his wants in the particular matter of tea. If that adaptation ceased, and tea could not be had at any price, he would have incurred a loss of satisfaction at least equal to that which he could have got by spending 45s. more on extra supplies of things that were worth to him only just what he paid for them. The first pound was probably worth to him more than 20s. All that we know is that it was not worth less to him. He probably got some small surplus even on that. Again, the second pound was probably worth more than 14s. to him. All that we know is that it was worth at least 14s. and not worth 20s. to him. He would get therefore at this stage a surplus satisfaction of at least 6s., probably a little more. The significance of the condition that he buys the second pound of his own free choice is shown by the consideration that if the price of 14s. had been offered to him on the condition that he took two pounds, he would then have to elect between taking one pound for 20s. or two pounds for 28s. : and then his taking two pounds would not have proved that he thought the second pound worth more than 8s. to him. But as it is, he takes a second pound paying 14s. uucouditioually for it ; and that proves that it is worth at least 14s. to him. M. 26 402 v APPENDIX B. It is sometimes objected that as he increases his purchases, the urgency of his need for his earlier purchases is diminished, and their utility falls ; therefore we ought to continually redraw the earlier parts of our list of demand prices at a lower level, as we pass along it towards lower prices (I e. to redraw at a lower level our demand curve as we pass along it to the right). But this misconceives the plan on which the list of prices is made out. The objection would have been valid, if the demand price set against each number of pounds of tea represented the average utility of that number. For it is true that, if he would pay just 20«. for one pound, and just 14«. for a second, then he would pay just 34«. for the two ; i.e. 17s. each on the average. And if our list had had reference to the average prices he would pay, and had set 17s. against the second pound ; then no doubt we should have had to redraw the list as we passed on. For when he has bought a third pound the average utility to him of each of the three will be less than that of 17s. ; being in fact 14s. %d. if, as we go on to assume, he would pay just 10s. for a third pound. But this difficulty is entirely avoided on the plan of making out demand prices which is here adopted ; according to which his second pound is credited, not with the 17s. which represents the average value per pound of the two pounds ; but with the 14s., which represents the additional utility which a second pound has for him. For that remains unchanged when he has bought a third pound, of which the additional utility is measured by 10s. ^ § 2. We may now pass from the demand of an individual to that of a market. If we neglect for the moment the fact that the same sum of money represents different amounts of pleasure a mark^. " ° to different people, we may measure the surplus satisfac- tion which the sale of tea affords, say, in the London market, by the aggregate of the sums by which the prices shown in a complete list of demand prices for tea exceeds its selling price. Let us then consider the demand 'curve DD' for tea in any large market. 1 Again it has been objected :— " Of what avail is it to say that the utility of an income of (say) £100 a year is worth (say) £1000 a year ? " There would be no avail in saying tliat. But there might be use, when comparing life in Central Africa with life in England, in saying that, though the things which money will buy in Central Africa may on the average be as cheap there as here, yet there are so many things which cannot be bought there at all, that a person with a thousand a year there is not so well off as a person with three or four hundred a year here. If a man pays Id. toll on a bridge, which saves him an additional drive that would cost a shilling, we do not say tliat the penny is worth a shilling, but that the penny together with the advantage offered him by the bridge (the part it plays in his conjuncture) is worth a shilling for that day. Were the bridge swept away on a day on which he needed it, he would be in at least as bad a position as if lie liad been deprived of eleven pence. consumers' surplus. 403 Fig. (10). Let OH be the amount which is sold there at the price HA annually, a year being taken as our unit of time. Taking any point M in OH let us draw MP vertically upwards to meet the curve in P and cut a horizontal line through A in R. We will suppose the several lbs. numbered in the order of the eagerness of the several purchasers: the eagerness of the purchaser of any lb. being measured by the price he is just willing to pay for that lb. The figure informs us that OM can be sold at the price PM\ but that at any higher price not quite so many lbs. can be sold. There must be then some individual who will buy more at the price PM, than he wUl at any higher price; and we are to regard the OMih. lb. as sold to this individual. Suppose for instance that PM represents 4s., and that OM represents a million lbs. The purchaser described above is just willing to buy his fifth lb. of tea at the price 4s and the OMih or millionth lb. may be said to be sold to him. If ^iTand therefore RM represent 2s., the consumers' surplus derived from the OJfth lb. IS the excess of PM or 4s. which the purchaser of that lb. would have been willing to pay for it over RM the 2s. which he actually does pay for it. Let us suppose that a very thin vertical paraUelogram is drawn of which the height is PM and of which the base is the distance along Ox that measures the single unit or lb. of tea. It will be con- venient henceforward to regard price as measured not by a mathematical straight line without thickness, as PM; but by a very thin paraUelogram or as It may be called a thick straight line, of which the breadth is in every case equal to the distance along Ox which measures a unit or lb of tea. Thus we should say that the total satisfaction derived from the OiUth lb. of tea is represented (or, on the assumption made in the last paragraph above is measured) by the thick straight line iJfP; that the price paid for this lb. is represented by the thick straight line MR and the consumers' surplus derived from this lb. by the thick straight line RP Now let us suppose that such thin paraUelograms, or thick straight lines* are drawn for aU positions of M between O and H, one for each lb. of tea' The thick straight lines thus drawn, as MP is, from Ox up to the demand curve wiU each represent the aggregate of the satisfaction derived from a lb. of tea ; and taken together thus occupy and exactly fill up the whole area DOHA. Therefore we may say that the area DOHA represents the aggregate of the satisfaction derived from the consumption of tea Again, each of the straight lines drawn, as MR is, from Ox upwards as far B.B AG represents the price that actually is paid for a lb. of tea. 26—2 p 404 APPENDIX B. These straight lines together make up the area COHA ; and therefore this area represents the total price paid for tea. Finally each of the straight lines drawn as RP is from AG upwards as far as the demand curve, represents the consumers' surplus derived from the corresponding lb. of tea. These straight lines together make up the area DC A ; and therefore this area represents the total consumers' surplus that is derived from tea when the price is AH. But it must be repeated that this geometrical measurement is only an aggregate of the measures of benefits which are not all measured on the same scale except on the assumption just made above. Unless that assumption is made the area only represents an aggregate of satisfactions, the several amounts of which are not exactly measured. On that assumption only, its area measures the volume of the total net satisfaction derived from the tea by its various purchasers. 405 Classical doctrines as to rent in relation to cost. • APPENDIX G\ RENT, OR INCOME FROM AN APPLIANCE I'OK PRODUCTION NOT MADE BY MAN, IN RELATION TO THE VALUE OF ITS PRODUCE. § 1. The relations between rent and cost of production are obscure, and intricate. But the following statement sets forth the central, and comparatively simple, idea which underlies them all. We start from the position that, when a thing is produced for sale in a free market, its price must in the long run be enough to remunerate the producers for every part of their output. The price must cover the cost of that part of the produce which is raised at the greatest disadvantage ; and therefore every other part must yield a surplus above its direct cost. These facts have been indicated in two classical doc- trines ; viz. : — that the price of the whole produce is determined by the expenses, or money cost, of production on the margin of cultivation; and that rent does not enter into cost of productioii. These phrases are true in the senses in which they were meant ; but they are frequently misinterpreted. It is certainly true that the expenses of raising agricultural produce are best estimated on the margin of cultivation. That is, they are best estimated for a part of the produce which either is raised on land that pays no rent because it is poor or badly situated ; or, is raised on land that does pay rent, but by applications of capital and labour which only just pay their way, and therefore can contribute nothing towards the rent. It is these expenses which the demand must just cover : for if it does not, the supply will fall off, and the price will be raised till it does cover them. Those parts of the produce which yield a surplus will generally be produced even if that price is not maintained ; there- fore their surplus can not govern the price : and since no surplus is I See above, p. 203. fi ^ yielded by that portion of the produce, the expenses of production of Cautions which do take direct part in governing the price, there- needed in interpreting them. fore no surplus enters into that (money) cost of produc- tion, which gives the level at which the price of the whole supply is fixed. Thus we see that there are three cautions to be observed in interpreting these classical doctrines :— In the first place, Bent is here taken as another name for the surplus produce which is in excess of what is required to remunerate the cultivator for his capital and labour ; and if the cultivator owns the land himself, he of course retains this surplus. Next, the marginal application of capital and labour, by the return to which we estimate the amount required to remunerate the farmer, is not necessarily applied to inferior land ; it is on the margin of profitable expenditure on land of any quality. Lastly, the doctrines do not mean that a tenant farmer need not take his rent into account when making up his year's balance-sheet. When he is doing that, he must count his rent just in the same way as he does any other expense. What they do mean is that, when the farmer is doubting whether it is worth his while to apply more capital and labour to the land, then he need not think of his rent ; for he will have to pay this same rent whether he applies this extra capital and labour, or not. Therefore if the marginal produce due to this additional outlay seems likely to give him normal profits, he applies it : and his rent does not then enter into his calculations. The classical doctrines may then be restated thus :— (1) The amount Restatement o^ produce raised, and therefore the position of the of the classical margin of cultivation (i.e. the margin of the profitable °^ "*^* application of capital and labour to good and bad land alike) are both governed by the general conditions of demand and supply. They are governed on the one hand by demand ; that is, by the numbers of the population who consume the produce, the intensity of their need for it, and their means of paying for it ; and on the other hand by supply; that is, by the extent and fertility of the available land, and the numbers and resources of those ready to cultivate it. Thus cost of production, eagerness of demand, margin of production, and price of the produce mutually govern one another. (2) But rent takes no part in controlling the general conditions of demand and supply or their relations to one another. It is governed by the fertility of land, the price of the produce, and the position of the margin : it is the excess of the value of the total returns which capital and labour applied to land do obtain, over those which they would have obtained under circum- stances as unfavourable as those on tlie margin of cultivation. (3) If RENT IN RELATION TO THE VALUE OF ITS PRODUCE. 407 the cost of production were estimated for parts of the produce which do not come from the margin, a charge on account of rent would of course need to be entered in this estimate ; and if this estimate were used in an account of the causes which govern the price of the produce, then the reasoning would be circular. For that which is wholly an effect would be reckoned up as part of the cause of those things of which it is an effect. (4) The cost of production of the marginal produce can he ascertained witlwut reasoning in a circle. Tfie cost of production of other parts of the produce cannot. The cost of production on the margin of the profitable application of capital and labour is that to which the price of the whole produce tends, under the control of the general con- ditions of demand and supply. Thus differences in the rent (or producer's surplus) of land result from differences in its net advantages, account being taken both of its situation and its fertility : but all that is required for the existence of rent is that the demand for produce should be sufficient to cause some of it to be raised under conditions which call into play the tendency to diminishing return. Rent would exist even if all land were equally advantageous, provided only that the population were just a little more than sufficient to bring it under cultivation. On the outskirts of a new country, where some of the best land still remains uncultivated and free to the first comer, there is no rent. This argument refers to the price of agricultural produce as a whole. The case is somewhat different if we confine our attention to one particular crop, as for instance oats^. 1 The argument is continued in Principles, V. viii., where it is shown that when the doctrine is so modifled as to be applicable to one particular crop, it is then applicable also to the rent of building land in relation to the price of the goods manufactured or >Varehoused on it : and so on. ll 408 APPENDIX D». QUASI-RENT, OR INCOME PROM AN APPLIANCB FOR PRODUCTION ALREADY MADE BY MAN, IN RELATION TO THE VALUE OP ITS PRODUCE. The farmer's •♦rent" § 1. The fanner pays "rent" to his landlord without troubling himself to distinguish how much of the annual net value of his land is due to the free gift of nature, and how much to the investment of capital by his landlord in the improvement of the land, and in erecting buildings on it. Now the income derived from farm buildings, or houses, is clearly of the same character as the income derived from durable machines; and that income is popularly classed with profits more often than with rent. But yet the farmer's habit of speaking has much justification. For the incomes derived from appliances for production made by man have really something analogous to true rents. The net incomes derived from appliances for production already made, may be called their quasi-rents : partly because we shall find Quasi-rent. *^**' when we are considering periods of time too short to enable the supply of such appliances to respond to a change in the demand for them, the stock of them has to be regarded as temporarily fixed. For the time they hold nearly the same relation to the price of the things which they take part in pro- ducing, as is held by land, or any other free gift of nature, of which the stock is permanently fixed ; and whose net income is a true rent. Let us take an illustration from manufacture. § 2. Let us suppose that an exceptional demand for a certain kind Illustration o^ textile fabrics is caused by, say, a sudden movement relating to of the fashions. The special machinery required for manufacture. making that fabric will yield for the time a high income, governed by the price that can be got for the produce, and consisting of the excess of the aggregate price of that produce over the direct outlay (including wear-and-tear) incurred in its production; and the quasi-rent, or net income, from the machinery will be for the time greater than normal profits on the original investment. If later on the tide turns, and the demand is less than had been expected; the factories with the most imperfect appliances, and the 1 See above, p. 214. QUASI-RENT IN RELATION TO THE VALUE OF PRODUCE. 409 worst machinery in other factories will be thrown out of work; while those machines, which it is just worth while to keep in work, will just pay the actual expenses of working them, but will yield no surplus. But the excess of the price got for the goods made by the better appliances over their wear-and-tear, together with the actual expenses of working them, will be the income which these appliances yield during the short period of depression. This quasi-rent or net income derived from the machinery will in this second period be less than normal profits on the original investment. These remarks may be extended. Appliances for production are of many different kinds : they include not only land, factories and machines, but also business ability and manual skill. The owner of any one of those will not generally apply it to produce anything, unless he expects to gain in return at least enough to compensate him for the immediate and special trouble, sacrifice and outlay involved in this particular operation, and which he could escape by declining to undertake it. In short periods the supply of these various appliances for pro- duction — whether machinery and other material plant, or specialized skill and ability — has not time to be fully adapted to demand ; and the producers have to adjust their supply to the demand as best they can with the appliances already at their disposal. On the one hand there is not time materially to increase those appliances if the supply of them is deficient; and on the other, if the supply is excessive, some of them must remain imperfectly employed, since there is not time for the supply to be much reduced by gradual decay, and by conversion to other uses. The particular income derived from them during those times, does not for the time affect perceptibly the supply, nor therefore the price, of the commodities produced by them : it is a surplus of total receipts over Prime (money) cost, governed by the more or less accidental relations of demand and supply for that time. And this excess has enough resemblance to that excess value of the produce of land over the direct cost of raising it, which is the basis of rent as ordinarily under- stood, to justify us in calling it a Quasi-rent. A Quasi-rent differs however from a true Rent in this way. If true Rent ceased, those gifts of nature which are free and Rent proper imperishable would remain undiminished, and be ready and Quasi- to contribute their part to production as before. But if *^"** the Quasi-rent from any class of appliances for production not made by man fell so low that it did not amount in the long run to normal profits on the investment of capital and effort required to sustain the supply of those appliances ; then those appliances would dwindle, and would not contribute their part to production as before. In long periods, on 410 APPENDIX D. the other hand, there is time to adjust the resources of supply to demand. § 3. The general principle under discussion may then be put thus. Restatement The price of anything and the amount of it that is pro- °rin 1 T^** ^"°^*^ ^^ together governed by the general relations of pnncip e. demand and supply: the price just covers the expenses of production of that part of this amount which is raised at the greatest disadvantage ; every other part yields a surplus above its direct cost ; and this surplus is a result and not a cause of the selling price. For the price is governed by the relations of supply and demand ; and while, of course, the surplus does not aflfect the demand, so neither does it affect the supply, since it is yielded only by a part of the produce which would be produced even at a lower price. When we are taking a broad view of normal value extending over a very long period of time, when we are investigating the causes which detei-mine normal value " in the long run," when we are tracing the "ultimate." effects of economic causes, then the income that is derived from capital in these forms enters into the payments by which the expenses of production of the commodity in question have to be covered, and it directly controls the action of the producers who are on the margin of doubt as to whether to increase the means of production or not. But, on the other hand, when we are considering the causes which determine normal prices for a period which is short relatively to that required for largely increasing the supply of those appliances for pro- duction, then the stock of these appliances has to be taken as fixed, almost as though they were free gifts of nature. The shorter the period which we are considering, and the slower the process of production of those appliances, the less part will variations in the income derived from them play in checking or increasing the supply of the commodity produced by them, and in raising or lowering its supply price ; and the more nearly true will it be that, for the period under discussion, the net income to be derived from them is to be regarded as a producer's surplus or quasi-rent. This doctrine is however difficult, and easily misunderstood. Further study is required before it can be safely applied to complex issues ». 1 Some further study will be found in PHnciples, V. ix, part of which is reproduced in this Appendix. 411 APPENDIX E'. DEVELOPMENT OP THE DOCTRINE OF WAGES. § 1. The simplest account of the causes which determine the distribution of the national income is that given by the French econo- mists who just preceded Adam Smith; and it is based upon the peculiar circumstances of France in tha latter ^^^in of the half of last century. The taxes, and other exactions w^ag^are"* levied from the French peasant, were then limited only fixed by the by his abihty to pay; and few of the labouring classes P"*"* °^ . were far from starvation ; and therefore the Physiocrats, °^''^^^^*^^- as the French economists of the time were called, assumed for the sake of simplicity, that there was a natural law of population according to which the wages of labour were kept at starvation limit. They did not suppose that this was true of the whole working population, but the exceptions were so few, that they thought that the general impression given by their assumption was true. Again, they knew that the rate of interest in Europe had fallen during the five preceding centuries, in consequence of the fact that "economy had m general prevailed over luxury." But they were impressed very much by the sensitiveness of capital, and the quickness with which it ev^ed the oppressions of the tax-gatherer by retiring from his grasp • and they therefore concluded that there was no great violence in the supposition that if its profits were reduced below what they then were capital would speedily be consumed of migrate. Accordingly they assumed, again for the sake of simplicity, that there was something Uke a natural, or necessary rate of profit, corresponding in some measure to the natural rate of wages ; that if the current rate exceeded this necessary level, capital would grow rapidly, till it forced down the rate of profit to that level; and that, if the current rate went below that level, capital would shrink quickly, and the rate would be forced upwards again They thought that, wages and profits being thus fixed by natural laws the natural value of eveiything was governed simply as the sum of wages and profits required to remunerate the producers. ^ See above, p. 258. 412 APPENDIX E. IfpHlfy The ^vestem world has out- grown the facts on which that opinion was based. Adam Smith saw that labour and capital were not at the verge of starvation in England, as they were in France. In England the wages of a great part of the working classes were sufficient to allow much more than the mere neces- saries of existence; and capital had too rich and safe a field of employment there to be likely to go out of existence, or to emigrate. So when he is carefully weighing his words, his use of the terms "the natural rate of wages," and "the natural rate of profit," has not that sharp definition and fixedness which it had in the mouths of the Physiocrats ; and he goes a good way towards explammg how they are determined by the ever-fluctuating conditions of demand and supply. He even insists that the liberal reward of labour "increases the industry of the common people"; that "a plentiful sub- sistence increases the bodily strength of the labourer ; and the comfortable hope of bettering his condition, and of ending his days perhaps in ease and plenty, animates him to exert that strength to the utmost. Where wages are high, accordingly, we shall always find the workman more active, diligent and expeditious, than where they are low ; in England for example, than in Scotland; in the neighbourhood of great towns thai^ in remote country places i." And yet Adam Smith sometimes falls back into the old way of speaking, and thus makes careless readers suppose that he beUeves the mean level of the wages of labour to be fixed by an iron law at the bare necessaries of life. Malthus2 again, in his admirable survey of the course of wages in England from the thirteenth to the eighteenth centuries, shows how their mean level oscillated from century to century, falling sometimes down to about half a peck of corn a day, and rising sometimes up to a peck and a half or even, in the fifteenth century, to about two pecks: a height beyond which they have never passed except in our own day. But although he observes that " an inferior mode of living may be a cause as well as a consequence of poverty," he traces this effect almost exclusively to the consequent increase of n^imbers ; he does not anticipate the stress which economists of our own generation lay on the influence which habits of hvmg exercise on the efficiency, and therefore on the earning power of the labourer. Eicardo's language is even more unguarded than that of Adam Smith and Malthus; his whole treatment of wages is in some respects less satisfactory than theirs. It is true, indeed, that he says distinctly 3.— "It 18 not to be understood that the natural price of labour estimated in 1 Wealth of NaUonn, Bk. i. eh, viii. 3 Eicardo's Principles, v. 2 Political Economy, iv. 2. DEVELOPMENT OF THE DOCTRINE OF WAGES. 413 food and necessaries is absolutely fixed and constant... It essentially depends on the habits and customs of the people." But, having said this once, he does not take the trouble to repeat it constantly; and in conse- quence many readers forget that he says it; and suppose him to believe that the population always increases very rapidly as soon as wages rise above the bare necessaries of life, and thus causes wages to be fixed by "a natural law" to the level of these bare necessaries. This law has been called, especially in Germany, Eicardo's "iron" or "brazen" law: many German socialists believe that this law is in operation now even in the western world; and that it will continue to be so, as long as the plan on which production is organized remains " capitalistic" or "individual- istic " ; and they erroneously claim Eicardo as on their side. Mill followed Malthus in dwelling on those lessons of history which show that, if a fall of wages caused the labouring classes to lower their standard of comfort "the injury done to them will be permanent, and their deteriorated condition will become a new minimum tending to perpetuate itself as the more ample minimum did before." But it is only in our own generation that a careful study has begun to be made of the effects that high wages have in increasing the efficiency not only of those who receive them, but also of their children and grand- children. In this matter the lead has been taken by Walker and other American economists ; and the application of the comparative method of study to the industrial problems of different countries of the old and new worlds is forcing constantly more and more attention to the fact that highly paid labour is generally efficient and therefore not dear labour ; a faot which, though it is more full of hope for the future of the human race than any other that is known to us, will be found to exercise a very complicating influence on the theory of distribution. § 2. At the beginning of this century, great as was the poverty of the English people, the peoples of the Continent were poorer still. In most of them population was sparse, and therefore food was cheap ; but for all that they were underfed, and could not provide themselves with the sinews of war. France, after her first victories, helped herself along by the forced contributions of others. But the countries of Central Europe could not support their own armies without England's aid. Even America, with all her energy and national resources, was not rich; she could not have subsidised Continental armies. The economists found the explanation chiefly in England's capital, which was much greater than that of any other country. Other nations were envious of England, and wanted to follow in her steps ; but they were unable to do so, partly indeed for other reasons, but chiefly because they had not Origin of extreme pro- minence given to dependence of w^ages on capital. 414 APPENDIX E. DEVELOPMENT OF THE DOCTRINE OF WAGES. 415 capital enough Their annual income was required for immediate con. sumption. There was not in them a large class of people who h^ a Zt 7 V r:f '^ "* '^' "^'^^ *^^^ ^'^ -* --^ to consumTat thaT wc^^Z f 1 T' """'^ ''"'*' '' "^'^"^ ^^^^^- --d otter things m^Zf "^^ ^^'"'' ^^^ ^"^^^ "°"^^^ ^* *^ Produce a krger store of thmgs for future consumption. A special tone was given to theb arguments by the scarcity of capital everywhere, even in England" W K fw"!? ^r^'i'^^' °^ ^^^^^ °^ tt^ «^d of machineiy ; and lastly, by the folly of some followers of Rousseau, who were telling the workmg classes that they would be better off without any capital at all In consequence, the economists gave extreme prominence to the stetements; first, that labour requires the support of capital, i.e. of good clothes, &c., that have been already produced; and secondly, that labour- requires the aid of capital in the form of factories, stores of raw materiaT f ; 1, Ti'"\ ! workman might have supplied his own capital, but in fact he seldom had more than a little store of clothes and furniture and perhaps a few simple tools of his own-he was dependent for every hing else on the savmgs of others. The labourer received clothes ready to them.^ The capitahst received a spinning of wool into yam, a wLing of yarn into cloth or a ploughing of land, and only in a fe; cases com modities ready for use, coats rea^y to be worn, or bread ready to be eate^ There are, no doubt, important exceptions, but the ordiLy baTga^ ^ rcTJ""!. r'-'"^ T^''''^ " *^^* *^^ wage-receiver gets comm'an^ over commodities m a form ready for immediate consumption, and in IZatT '^'"'Z-^'' employer's goods a stage further towards being ready for immediate consumption. But while this is true of most employees, it is not true of those who finish the processes of production For mstance, those who put together and finish watches, give to thei^ sZi7"/r T' \°--°d^ties in a form ready for immediate con sumption, than they obtain as wages. And if we take one season of the year with another, so as to allow for seed and harvest time, we find that workmen as a whole hand over to their employers more finished com- modities than they receive as wages. There is, however, a rather forced sense m which we may perhaps be justified in saying that the earnmgs of labour depend upon advances made to labour by capital. Por-not to take account of machinery and factories, of ships and railroads-the th^cTwZ 7.'^°^'"' '"^ ^'^^ '^' '"^ ^^*^^^^1« '^ ^-ious stages which will be worked up into commodities consumed by them, represent a far greater provision of capital for their use than the equivalent of the monthT f /^\*^^^ °^^^^ to the capitalist, even when they work for a month for him before getting any wages. Such are the facts which economists of the present as well as of earlier times have wished to express by saying that all labour requires the support of capital, whether owned by the labourer or by someone else ; and that when anyone works for hire, his wages are, as a rule, advanced to him out of his employer's capital— advanced, that is, without waiting till the things which he is engaged in making are ready for use. These simple statements have been a good deal criticized, but they have never been denied by anyone who has taken them in the sense in which they were meant. Unfortunately, however, some of the older economists were not content to leave the matter there. They went further and said that the amount of wages was limited by the amount of capital; and this state- ment cannot be defended ; at best it is but a slovenly way of talking. It has suggested to some people the notion that the total amount of wages that could be paid in a country in the course of, say a year, was a fixed sum. If by the threat of a strike, or in any other way, one body of workmen got an increase of wages, they would be told that in consequence other bodies of workmen must lose an amount exactly equal in the aggregate to what they had gained. Those who have said this have perhaps thought of agricultural produce, which has but one harvest in the year. If all the wheat raised at one harvest is sure to be eaten before the next, and if none can be imported, then it is true that if anyone's share of the wheat is increased, there will be just so much less for others to have. But this does not justify the statement that the amount of wages payable in a country is fixed by the capital in it, a doctrine which has been called * the vulgar form of the Wages-Fund theory. ' § 3. The doctrine of the Wages-Fund received countenance from some careless expressions into which Mill was betrayed by his desire to treat the problem of Distribution in his second Book before that of Exchange in his third. The attempt was necessarily a failure. But he collects all the various elements of the problem in the third chapter of his fourth Book: and there the relations of labour and capital are presented symmetrically, and the Wages-Fund does not appear. The proposition that Industry is limited by capital, was often in- terpreted so as to make it practically convertible with the Wages-Fund theory. It can be explained so as to be true : but a similar explanation would make the statement that " capital is limited by industry" equally true. It was however used by Mill chiefly in connection with the argument that the aggregate employment of labour cannot generally be increased by preventing people, by Protective duties or in other ways, from satisfying their wants in that manner which they would prefer. Some of Mill's propositions are badly ■worded. 416 APPENDIX E. The eflFects of protective duties are very complex and cannot be discussed here; but MiU is clearly right in saying that m general the capital, that IS appUed to support and aid labour in any new industry created by such duties, "must have been withdrawn or withheld from some other, in which it gave, or would have given, employment to probably about' the same quantity of labour which it employs in its new occupation." Or, to put the argument in a more modern form, such legislation does not prima facie increase either the national dividend or the share of that dividend which goes to labour. For it does not increase the supply of capital; nor does it, in any other way, cause the marginal efficiency of labour to nse relatively to that of capital. The rate that has to be paid for the use of capital is therefore not lowered; the national dividend is not mcreased (in fact it is ahnost sure to be diminished) ; and as neither labour nor capital gets any new advantage over the other in bargaining for the distribution of the dividend, neither can benefit by such legislation. The first Fundamental Proposition of Mill's is closely connected with his fourth^ viz. that Demand for commodities is not demand for labour- and this again expresses his meaning badly. It is true that those, who purchase any particular commodities, do not generally supply the capital that is required to aid and support the labour which produces those commodities: they merely divert capital and employment from other trades to that for the products of which they make increased demand. But Mill, not contented with proving this, seems to imply that, to spend money on the direct hire of labour is more beneficial to the labourer than to spend it on buying commodities. Now there is a sense in which this contains a Uttle truth. For the price of the commodities includes profits of manufacturer and middleman; and if the purchaser acts as employer, he slightly diminishes the demand for the services of the employing class, and mcreases the demand for labour as he might have done by buying, say, hand-made lace instead of machine-made lace. But this argument assumes that the wages of labour will be paid as in practice they commonly are, while the work is proceeding- and that the price of the conunodities will be paid, as in pract/ce it commonly is, after the commodities are made: and it wUl be found that in every case which MiU has chosen to illustrate the doctrme, his arguments imply, though he does not seem to be aware of it, that the consumer when passing from purchasing commodities to hiring labour, postpones the date of his own consumption of the fruits of labour. And the same postponement would have resulted in the same benefit to labour if the purchaser had made no change in the mode of his ex- penditure ^ 1 A fuUer discussion of the Wages Fund is given In PHnciples. VI. u. 12. 417 INDEX. Words printed in Italics are technical terms; aiid the numbers immediatehj following them are those of the 2)a(/es on which they are defined. Abstinence 136 (see Waiting) Activities in relation to wants 69 — 60. 346—8 Agents of production, classification of 85 Agriculture 87—102, 161; English system of 310—17 Allotments 315 American, economy of high wages 262, 413; land tenure 310, 311 Apprenticeshijis 124, 379 n. Arbitration 381 Aristotle 3 Auxiliary caintal 50 Babbage 149 Barter 190—1 Biology and economics 139 Bohm-Bawerk 283 n. Boycott 367, 382—3 Brentano 395 n. Burnett 361 n., 375 n., 395 n. Business management (see Contents^ Book IV. Clis. XI., XII. and Book yi. Chs. vn., VIII. See also Manage- ment, earnings of) Caimes 65 n. Capital, definitions of 45 — 50; stan- dard use of term 46; growth of 129—138, 250-1; adjustment of to business ability 176—7, 374—6; demand for in a trade 240—242 ; in relation to wages in general 256 — 8 ; Mill's propositions on 415 — 16 M., Carlyle 22 Character, influence of work on 1; influence of poverty on 1 — 2 Child, Sir Josiah 136 Children, employment of 14; mor- tality of 115, 119 ; education of 122 Christianity, influence of 10 CirculatiJtcf capital 50 Climate, influence of 9, 112 Coke 99 Collective goods 38; use of wealth 83 Com2)etitio7i, fundamental character- istics of 5—8, 256; its tendency to apportion wages to efficiency 239; principle of substitution a form of 256 Competitive supply 223 Composite demand 222; supply 223 Conciliation 348 Conjuncture 80, 400 Constant return 180 Consumer's surplus 79; analysis of 80—1, 400—4; how affected by ethical aspects of 356; of different monopohes 231 Consumption 42; 83—4, 247—9, grades 70 Consumption capital 50 Conventional necessaries 44, 253 Co-operation 170; its difficulties 171— 2; hopes for its future 173, 293; in agriculture 308 n., 382—3 n., 393 n. Cost of marketing (see Marketing) Cost of production 195; its relation 27 418 I INDEX. .1 to ntihty and to value 200—201 • to rent 202—3 Cree 366 n. Cumulative effects with regard to labour 268, 270—71, 273, 275—6 Custom 9, 268 n., 307 n. Darwin 139 Definition 33 Demand, elasticity of 69—74 ; grada- tions of 61— 8; Laioo/67; element of time in 67-8, 211-12; increase oj 66; of rich and poor 69 — 71* for necessaries 72; joint 218; de- nved 218^ composite 221; curve ^bn- point 65 n.; price 63, 193; schedule 64 Depression of trade 328—9 Derived demand 218 I>ifftrentiation 139 — 140 BiminisUng return, law of, or ten- dency to 91, 94—5 ; Eicardo's state- ment of was inaccurate 100; in relation to miaes and fisheries 102 Diminishing utility, law of 62 Discounting future pleasures and pleasurable events 77 Distribution in relation to exchange 233, 415 ^ Distribution of means between wants according to marginal utiUties 75; of a commodity between different uses 75—8, 239 n. Division of labour 142—150 Domestic industry 163 — 4 servants 275 n., 389 Dose 95 Dose of capital and labour 95 n. Earnings, theories of 248, 411—16- in relation to efficiency 239 — 40, 245— 250, 260-2, 329, 349; their relation to supply of labour 127—8, 245— 250; general rate of 256—8; effi- ciency 260; piece-ioork 260; tash 261; real said nominal 2&^', supple- mentary 265; effect of progress on 337—345 (see Contents, Book vi. Chs. I — V.) Earnings of management 52 Csee Management) Earnings of uixdertaking 52 Economic freedom 8; growth of 9— lo Economic law 26, 398 — 9 •Economic man ' 19, 26 Economic motives 1^—22; not ei:- clusively selfish 21—2, 133; gene- rally measurable 19 Economics, provisional definition 1 • a modern science 4—5; conceme.! chiefly with measurable motives 19--22; the chief questions which It mvesti-ates 29-30; practical issues which point to these inqui- 3cf^?^^' methods of study o;f Education, 122—4; as a national in- vestment 124—5 Efficiency earnings 260; tend to equality 260—2 Elasticity of demand 69 England, growth cf free industry and enterprise in 10—18; her geo- graphical advantages 10; growth of population of 107—110; land tenure of 306, 309-317; her gains from cheap transport 331—2 Equilibrium 190, 198 Expenses of production 195 External economies 150; goods 35 Factories, growth of 11—12 Eactors of production 195 "Farmer," American 309—10 Farms, large and small 311—14 Fashion, mfluence of 57 — 8 n ^^^^t^J ? ^*"^' general conditions of 88—9 n. ; relation to tune and place 99—100 Field of employment 326 Fisheries 102 Fixed cai ital 50 Footpounds, measurement by 111 •ion^o*''^^' ^^gland's gains from Free competition 8, 196, 256 Free goods 36 Freedom, economic 8 Freedom of industry and enterprise 8 General ability 122 George, Heniy 329 n. Giffen 138 n., 339 n., 344 n. Goods 34; classification of 34—^ Goschen 344 n. Government undertakings 170 22^7^°**^' "'^^^^^'g o^ 186, Grading of labour 375— € Greece, Ancient 10 Gross earnings of management 178 INDEX. 419 I Gross income 51 Gross interest 281; analysis of 284 — 6 ; does not tend to equality 286 Hours of labour, limitation of 348 — 357 House industry 163 — 4 Howell 382 n., 395 n. Improvements in agriculture 317 n. Income, its relation to capital 45 — 6; gross 51; net 51; money 51; social 62; per head of population 16 n. Increasing return 92, 180; its rela- tion to supply price 180 — 1, 197 — 8, 231—2 Induction and deduction 396 Industrial organization 139 — 141 Industry is limited by capital 415—16 Instrumental capital 50 Insurance against risk 227 — 9, 285—6 Integration 140 Interchangeable parts 144 — 5 Interest 52, 136; its relation to de- mand for capital 240 — 2; rate of how determined 250 — 2 ; gross 283 —-4; net 283 — 4; changes ijx rate of 337 Internal economies 150 Internal goods 35 Investment of capital 204 — 7 Ireland, land tenure in 316 Iron or brazen law of wages 248, 413 Irregularity of employment 265, 344 Japan 249 Jevons 185, 242 n. Joint demand 218 Joint products 222 — 3 Joint-stock companies 168 — 170, 292 Joint supply 222 Labour 42, 85; its supply price 86; skilled and unskilled 120—1; efli- ciency of 111 — 128 ; disputes, illus- tration of derived demand 218 — 221 ; inconstancy of employment of 264 — 5, 344 — 5 ; limitation of hours of 348 — 357 (see Earnings) Labour market, peculiarities of 268 — 281 Land 85, 87, 252 ; changes in value of 336 Land tenure 307—317 Law a statement of tendency 23; social and economiclaws 26; "nor- mal" the adjective corresponding to "law " in this use 26 — 7 ; nonujJ action not necessarily right action 27, 398—9; for Law of demand etc. see under Demand etc. Leisure 356 — 7 Leroy Beaulieu 344 n. Localized industries 151 — 5 Long and short periods, classification of 216 "Long run," meaning of the phrase 200 Luxuries, demand for 70 — 1 Machinery 143 — 150 Malthus 103-^, 108, 412, 413 Man, both the end and an agent in production 103, 128, 248 Management, earnings of 52; gross and net 178; various forms of ad- justed by law of substitution 289 — 293 (see Contents, Book vi. Chs. VI., vu., vin.) Manufacture 156; improvements in 11 n. Margin of cultivation 95 profitableness 206 Marginal demand-price 63 dose 95 purchase 62 return 95 utility 63 Market 184—9 Marketing 158—9, 226—8, 304—5 Marriage-rate, causes affecting 105 Marx, Karl 283 n. Material and non-material Goods 35 Maximum satisfaction 190 Metayer system 308, 310 n. Methods of study 396—9 Migration, hindrances to in Middle Ages 107; from country to town 115—6 Mill, John Stuart on capital 50, 415 — 16 ; on grades of labour 126-— 7 ; on cost of production 195 n., 378 ; on wages 413—16, 394 Mines 102 Minimum wage 377 Mobility of labour 125— «, 377—9 Money 39; its use as a measure cf motive 19 — 21; changes in mar- ginal utility of 21, 63 — 4, 80—1 Money cost of production 195 Money income 51 Monopolies 230 — 1 I Monotony of life, and in some cases of work, diminished by machinerv 148—9 ^ Mortality, rate of in different occupa- tions 115 n.; in town and coTmtrv 116 n. ^ Munro 395 National dividend 47, 235; estima- tion of 52—3 ; a stream not a fund 235 National income 47, 52, 235 National wealth 38 Necessaries, for life, for ejficiency, coni7C7i