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The Columbia University Libraries reserve the right to refuse to accept a copying order If, in its judgement, fulfillment of the order would involve violation of the copyright law. Author: Mathews, Frederic Title: Taxation and the distribution of wealth PI3.C6' Garden City, N.Y. Date: 1914 ^^^^^Q-X^-?^ MASTER NEGATIVE # COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY LIBRARIES PRESERVATION DIVISION BIBLIOGRAPHIC MICROFORM TARGET ORIGINAL MATERIAL AS FILMED - EXISTING BIBLIOGRAPHIC RECORD SUSIKCS^ D113 IJ423 \ Mathews, Frederic, 1869- Taxation and the distribution of \vealth ; studies in tlie eco- nomic, ethical, and practical relations of fiscal systems to social organization, by Frederic Mathews. 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Taxation and the Distribution of Wealth Taxation and the Distribution of Wealth STUDIES IN THE ECONOMIC, ETHICAL, AND PRACTICAL RELATIONS OF FISCAL SYSTEMS TO SOCIAL ORGANIZATION By FREDERIC MATHEWS Garden City New York DOUBLED AY, PAGE & COMPANY 1914 Aim Copyright, igi 4, by Frederic Mathews All rights reserved, including that of translation into foreign languages, including the Scandinavian Man is generally considered by statesmen and projectors as the materials of a sort of political mechanics. Projectors disturb nature in the course of her operations on human affairs, and it requires no more than to leave her alone and give her fair play in the pursuit of her ends that she may establish her own designs. . . . Little else is required to carry a state to the highest degree of affluence from the lowest bar- barism but peace, easy taxes, and a tolerable administration of justice; all the rest being brought about by the natural course of things. Adam Smith. CONTENTS Introduction PAGE XV' Tart I PROTECTION Book I— The Old Protection. Book II— The New Protection, BOOK I — THE OLD PROTECTION Chapter I — First Principles of Protection ... 3 Section i — The Origins of Protection, 3 Section 11 — Gold and Wealth, 6 Section ni — ^The Balance of Trade, 7 Chapter II — General Protection 18 Section i — Protection and Capital, 18 Section n — ^The Infant Industry, 20 Section ni — Protection of Industry, 28 Article i — Protectionist Maxims. Article 2 — Protection which Raises Price. Article 3 — Protection which Lowers Price. Chapter III — Protection and Labour 38 Section i— The Creation of a Demand for Labour by Protective Taxation, 38 Section n — ^The Raising of Wages by Protective Taxation, 40 Section iii — Pauper Labour and Protection, 41 Section iv — Protected Labour in the United States, 46 BOOK II — THE NEW PROTECTION Chapter I — ^Analysis of the New Protection ... 55 Chapter II — Productive Potentialities .... 59 Chapter III — ^The Attraction of Capital .... 66 Section i — Capital Attracted by Taxation, 66 Section 11 — Effects of Taxation on Capital, 73 vn l!'i VUl Contents Chapter IV— Dumping .... '*"■ Section i — Toiro+i^^ /^- 4.u_ tt^- _ ' * * 75 Section n Chapter V — Section i- Section n- Articxe I Section m- Chapter VI — : -Taxation for the Encouragement of Dumping, 7 c -Taxation for the Prevention of Dumping, 84 The Tariff- Weapon The Import Duty as a Weapon, 94 The Tariff-Weapon and Trade, 97 Diplomacy. Article 2— Preference. Tariff Warfare, 109 Imperialism and Progress. 94 Contents Chapter II— Real Property Section 1 — Classification, 164 Section 11 — Capital Value of Improvements, 164 Section iii — Capital Value of Land, 165 Section iv — Rent of Improvements, 164 Section v — Ground-Rent, 170 Chapter III — Comparative Classification of the Sources OF SocLAL Revenue IX PAGE 164 173 ZI8 Chapter Chapter Section 123 126 Tart II TAXATION Book l-Indirect Taxation. Book ll-Direct Taxation. BOOK I — INDIRECT TAXATION I— General Principles of Taxation II— The Taxation of Consumption c .• I— Advantages of Indirect Taxation, 126 Section n— Taxmg the Foreigner, 128 Section m— Indirect Taxation for Revenue, 130 Section iv-Convenience and Security of Indirect Taxation, 141 ARTICLE I— Convenience. Article 2— Security. Section V— Expense of Indirect Taxation, 143 BOOK II — DIRECT TAXATION Chapter I— Personal Property Section i~Classification of Property, ici Section ii— Income, 151 Section m—Inheritance, 155 Section iv— Credits, 155 r^'^^l^ I— Securities. Article 2— Bank Deposits. Article x— Coin. Article 4-Notes. Article s-Summary. -^"^"^ 3 Section v— Chattels, 159 Section vi— Miscellaneous Taxes, 161 151 Tart III THE NATURAL TAX Book I— The Value of the Land. Book II— The Tran- sition. Book III — Incidence of Taxation^ Indirect and Direct, Book IV — Fiscal Problems. BOOK I — THE VALUE OF THE LAND Chapter I — Difficulties in Direct Taxation of Land Values 179 Chapter II — ^Land Values 181 Section i — General Considerations, 181 Section n — Method of Estimation, 183 Section iii — Estimates, 192 Article i — Great Britain 1885. Article 2 — ^The United States 1890. Articles — Pennsylvania. Article 4 — Connecticut. Article 5 — Boston. Article 6 — Summary. Section iv — Other Estimates, 201 Article 1 — Great Britain 1899. Article 2 — Other Countries. Chapter Chapter BOOK II— THE TRANSITION I — The Land and Society n — Direct Assessment of Land Values: Con- fiscation AND Compensation 208 213 X Contents PAGE Chapter III— The Repeal of Indirect Taxes ... 224 Section i— Tariff- Weapon Taxes, 224 Section 11— Protective Taxes, 224 Article i — ^Exporting Industries. Article 2 — ^Domestic In- dustries. Section m — Revenue Taxes, 226 « Chapter IV— The Establishment of Land Values . . 227 Chapter V— The Diffusion of a Tax on Land Values 235 BOOK m — INCIDENCE OF TAXATION. INDIRECT AND DIRECT Chapter I— Incidence of Indirect Taxation in the United States 239 Chapter II— Incidence of a Direct Tax on Land Values 247 BOOK IV— FISCAL PROBLEMS Chapter I — Labour ^5^ Section i— Labour and Indirect Taxation, 258 Section 11— Labour and Direct Taxation, 265 Chapter II — Railways 269 Chapter III— Money 278 Chapter IV— Property ^.286 Chapter V— Natural Economics 293 Part IF PROGRESS Book I— Progress and Politics. Book II— Intellectual Progress. Book III— Religion. Book IV— Philosophy. BOOK I— PROGRESS AND POLITICS Chapter I — Introduction Chapter II — Darwin and Weismann Chapter III— Political Progress and Reason . r» 303 316 . Contents j xi PAGS BOOK n— INTELLECTUAL PROGRESS Chapter I — The Great Man . . . . . . . ! 326 Chapter ill — The Law of Intellectual Progress . . 331 Section i — Method of Inquiry, 331 Section 11— Art, 333 Article i— Classification. Article 2— Architecture. Arti- cle 3 — Sculpture. Article 4— Painting. Article 5— Music Article 6 — Poetry. Chapter III— Science and Man 349 BOOK III— RELIGION Chapter I— Object and Method of Inquiry . . . 356 Chapter II— Lao-tsze 366 Chapter ni— Confucius 369 Chapter IV-— Brahmanism 372 Chapter V—Buddhism -378 Chapter VI— Zoroaster 380 Chapter VII— Egypt 383 Chapter VIII— Judaism 387 Chapter IX — Mohammed 389 Chapter X— Greece 393 Section 1 — Introduction, 393 Section n— Greek Tragedy, 396 Section in — Greek Philosophy, 400 Article i— The Early Philosophers. Article 2— Socrates. Arti- cle 3— Plato. Article 4— Anstotle. Article 5 — Cleanthes. Chapter XI— Rome 417 Chapter XII — ^Summary 420 BOOK IV— PHILOSOPHY Chapter I— Pre-Socratic Thought 423 Section i — Introduction, 423 Section n — ^The Physicists, 426 Article 1 — ^Thales. Article 2 — ^Anaximenes. Article 3 — ^Diog- enes of ApoUonia. Section in — ^The Metaphysicians, 431 Article i— Anaximander. Article 2 — Pythagoras. Article 3 — Xenophanes. Article 4 — Parmenides. Article 5 — ^Zeno and Melissus. 4 xii Contents PAGE Section iv— The Metaphysical Physicists, 342 Article i — Heraclitus. Article 2 — Empedocles. Article 3— Democritus. Section v — The Physical Metaphysicians, 460 Article i — ^Anaxagoras. Article 2 — Protagoras. Article 3 — Gorgias. Chapter II — ^Attic Philosophy 475 Section i — Socrates, 475 Section n — The Socratic Schools, 479 Article i — Introduction. Article 2 — ^The Megarians. Arti- cle 3 —The Cyrenaics. Article 4 —The Cynics. Section in — Plato, 483 Section rv — Aristotle, 488 Section v — Epicurus, 493 Section vi — Zeno, the Stoic, 495 Section vn — Pyrrho, 497 Chapter III — Mysticism 502 Section i — The Alexandrians, 502 Section n — Faith, 504 Chapter IV — Modern Philosophy 509 Chapter V — Christ 521 Section 1 — The Law of Substance, 521 Section u — The Law of Reason, 536 Section iii — The Law of God, 529 Contents BOOK n— POLITICAL PRACTICE Chapter I— The Indirect Tax in Practice Chapter II— Practical Socialism . . . . Chapter III — Fiscal Mechanics .... Chapter IV— The Fiscal Clearing House . xiu PAGE 621 r Tart F POLITICS Book I — Political Thtory. Book II — Political Practice, Book III — Practical Politics. BOOK I— POLITICAL THEORY Chapter I — Introduction . . 547 Chapter II — Aristocracy 556 Chapter HI — Democracy 561 Chapter IV— Natural Society .568 BOOK m— PRACTICAL POLITICS Chapter I— The Indirect Tax in the United States . 628 Section i — Indirect Finance, 628 Section n — Direct Finance, 636 Section in — Applied Direct Finance, 638 Chapter II— France 644 Chapter III— Germany 647 Chapter IV— Russia 650 Chapter V— England 652 Chapter VI— The East 656 Chapter VII— Conclusion 658 Authors, Editions, and Sources Quoted 665 Index 673 I '? i ft Introduction Among the more important questions confronting the twentieth cen- tury are those dealing with the distribution of wealth. The systems of taxation upon which national administrations are based, are impor- tant factors in this connexion. The relation of these systems to the general process of the production and distribution of wealth is here reviewed. The subject naturally falls into several fields. A government may seek, through the taxing powers under its control, to develop or protect the industrial life of the society it administers. It may limit their use to purely fiscal objects; and again, use them in order to further the various political interests of the social organization: actually and in relation to other societies. The system of industrial Protection, or the attempt to develop the productive capacity of a society through the use of the Tariff, and other forms of administrative assistance, is discussed in Part I. Part II is devoted to the examination of different methods of supplying social financial needs. Among other policies reviewed is that of basing social fiscal demands, so far as possible, upon the annual wealth created by the society as a whole, in the form of the values represented by its imim- proved land area. For reasons developed, this policy seems worthy detailed examination. Part III presents such examination. It is impossible to discuss national financial methods in their wider application, without meeting political and social questions leading into fields not limited by economic inquiry. The relation of national fiscal policies to the intellectual life of a people is important. The dominant conceptions of progress affect the means through which a nation meets the expenses of organized existence. The relatively recent develop- ments of the evolutionary sciences present questions of sodal and Introduction political significance. A study of organized society can scarcely be undertaken without coming in contact with ethical and theological influences; these, m turn, involving problems of a speculative or philo- sophic nature. No discussion of the fundamental ideas, underlying existing political and social structures, would seem complete without an examination of their connexion with such problems. Part IV is, therefore, occupied with the relation of the evolutionary sciences, intel- lectual progress, speculative, theological and philosophic thought, to the subject of social and political organization. Part V deals with the relation of the subjects discussed to systems at present in force. Part I PROTECTION BOOK I THE OLD PROTECTION BOOK II THE NEW PROTECTION ; Book I THE OLD PROTECTION II CHAPTER I FIRST PRINCIPLES OF PROTECTION Section 1 — The Origins of Protection. Section II — Gold and Wealth, Section III —The Balance of Trade. Section I — The Origins of Protection PROTECTION, as embraced in national fiscal systems, is a policy of using the taxing powers of a society in order to pro- tect or develop its industrial life. The earlier conceptions upon which general Protection rests have been superseded in part by the latter-day developments of the system; as it is impossible, however, to understand these without an examination of the older foundations upon which the modern structures are reared, the earlier forms of Protection are here reviewed. The subject thus falls into two fields: The Old and the New Protection. The origin and history of Protection are generally traced to a single source. The majority of protective policies seems to be derived, his- torically at least, from one fundamental economic idea which played a dominant part in the political life of its day; although at present sub- merged or largely superseded by other considerations. This idea is that wealth and the monetary metals are interchangeable terms, referring to identical things. In other words, that the wealth of a nation is directly dependent upon the quantity of gold and silver it possesses; or again, that the wealth of a nation is exactly measured by the amount of gold and silver it controls at any given time. This idea long dominated economic thought. It was evident that the precious metals were the most easily convertible and least perishable of commodities and that they represented all others as their simplest expression; what, therefore, more natural than for governments to suppose that their wisest course lay in using their powers to attract and 3 m 4 The Old Protection pt. i hold these metals, and that this policy should be regarded as the best means of increasing the wealth of the people? The origin of this conception is lost in remote antiquity, but from it sprang the Mercantile System from which present Protection is derived, in both theory and application. "Midas," says Mr. Macleod,i "was the parent of the Mercantile System, and for several centuries every Gov- ernment in Europe was imbued with his ideas. . . Midas saw that with treasure in his hand he was wealthy — he could obtain whatever he wanted, and could command the services of others. . . The very same ideas gradually grew up in Europe. Sovereigns saw that their chief power consisted in the treasure they could accumulate. It then became a cardinal point in their policy to encourage the importation of money as much as possible and to prohibit its export. . . The Spaniards, dazzled with the briUiant prospect of securing the greatest part of the wealth of the worid, without labour, imagined that the well- being of the country consisted in amassing enormous heaps of gold and silver." The accumulation of the precious metals, as the measure of all wealth, thus became the dominant policy of governments; laws of the greatest severity were enacted, prohibiting the exportation of gold, and every means offered to encourage its importation. Such was the fundamental economic principle in Europe, before the beginning of what is called the Commeraal Age. As population increased, however, and as intercourse between the nations became more general, the value of this poHcy was questioned. Instead of aiding national and individual accumulation, the reverse was the case. It was seen that this prohibitive system interfered with the purchase of foreign goods, for it was easier to buy abroad with gold than with commodities. It was found that the exportation of the precious metals did not lessen their amount in the exporting country, but tended rather to their increase; for goods bought with gold might be sold abroad, and a profit thus returned upon the gold exported. The apparent folly of sending gold out of the country was compared to the actions of the husbandman in sowing seed. "If we only behold the actions of the husbandman in the seed-time," says Mr. Mun,2 "when he casteth away much good com into the ground, we shall account him rather a madman than a husbandman. But when we consider his labours in the harvest, > The PrincipUs of Economical Philosophy, Vol. I., p. sa « Cited by Adam Smith, The Wealth of Nations, Bk. IV., ch.i., p.4. Bk. I First Principles of Protection which is the end of his endeavours, we shall find the worth and plentiful increase of his actions." Here, then, arose a new economic policy destined to supplant the old. It was said that the small bulk of the precious metals made it impossible for governments to prevent their exportation, and that there was a policy which would cause them to flow back if exported; a policy by means of which governments might even create an inflowing stream of gold. It was shown, unless exports and imports were equal, that there must result a certain remainder, or balance of value, not payable in goods which must be paid in gold; this balance, it was said, was the important element in international exchange; and upon it depended the net profit, or advan- tage, of a nation's conunerce with other nations. The title of Mr. Mun's book — England's Treasure in Foreign Trade — illustrates the principle. Here arises that conception in exchange, long dominant in Europe, and still affecting nearly all governmental policies: the conception of the "balance of trade." This balance is the difference between the values of exports and imports, measured in money, which a nation must apparently pay or receive in order to settle foreign exchange. Where this balance is favourable, a stream of gold appears to flow toward a given nation; where unfavourable, the nation seems in danger of being drained of its monetary metals. As the balance of trade depends upon the relative values of exports and imports, there seems but one policy for a govern- ment to adopt: it should turn its energies toward increasing the value of exports and diminishing that of imports, for gold will thus, seemingly, flow in its direction and into the coffers of the people. Such is the theory of international exchange, based upon the balance of trade. A favourite illustration is an analogy drawn between the trade of a nation and that of a merchant: the merchant's profits, it is said, depend upon the value of sales (exports) in relation to the value of purchases (imports). The greater the value of sales and the less that of purchases, the greater must be the money balance between the two, or total profit. If the economic validity of these considerations is admitted, the advan- tages of the protective system are apparent. There are different ways of affecting exchange with reference to the balance of trade: drawbacks, bounties, and restrictions of various kinds readily suggest themselves; one method, however, is pecuharly adapted to the purpose: the obvious pohcy of restricting, taxing, or prohibiting imports under what seem the most advantageous conditions. I( h I i I The Old Protection Pt. I The two fundamental conceptions lying at the base of modern protec- tionist philosophy have now been developed and may be expressed as follows: (i) That gold and wealth are the same things. (2) That the amount of wealth may be increased in any area by affecting the balance of trade. Section II — Gold and Wealth Whether gold and wealth may reasonably be regarded as identical, will depend upon the meanings given to these expressions. The mean- ing of gold is too clear to require elaboration; the term denotes one of the precious metals. The meaning of wealth, however, is more elusive. Perhaps the most satisfactory definition may be found in the pages of Adam Smith, ^ who says: "A nation may import to a greater value than it exports for half a century, perhaps, together; the gold and silver which comes into it during all this time may be all immediately sent out of it; its circulating coin may gradually decay, different sorts of paper money being sub- stituted in its place, and even the debts too which it contracts in the principal nations with whom it deals may be gradually increasing; and yet its real wealth, the exchangeable value of the annual produce of its lands and labour, may, during the same period, have been increasing in a much greater proportion." This passage contains not only an interesting distinction between gold and wealth, but, perhaps, the best definition of ** wealth": the exchange- able value of the annual produce of land and labour. It is unnecessary to dwell upon the difference between any given metal and the entire produce of land and labour, regarded as a factor in exchange. It is evident from this definition of wealth that gold, or the monetary metals, and wealth, should never be confused. To say that gold is wealth is analogous to the statement that a bay is the ocean, or that a mountain is the earth. "It would be too ridiculous," says Smith, 2 "to go about seriously to prove that wealth does not consist in money, or in gold or silver, but in what money purchases, and is valuable only for purchasing. Money, no doubt, makes always a part of the national capital; but it has already been shown that it generally makes but a small part, and always the most unprofitable part of it." If wealth were measured by the possession of gold, the wealth of a man » The Wealth of Nations. Bk. IV., ch. iii., p. 7a, " Ibid., Bk. IV., ch. i., p. 10. Bk. I First Principles of Protection owning thousands of acres of land and tens of thousands of cattle, would be measured by whatever amount of gold he happened to possess at any given time. If he had no gold, he would be a poor man. If he sold cattle for loo oimces of gold, his wealth would be increased by that amount, although the cattle might have cost him twice that much. If he bought horses with the gold, he would immediately become poor again. If he bought horses for loo ounces of gold, and sold cattle for 50 ounces, he would impoverish himself to the extent of a flow of 50 ounces of gold out of his pockets. This is the "Balance of Trade." Section III — The Balance of Tra.de The foregoing definition of wealth develops a better position for the study of the protective system in relation to the balance of trade. If this definition is accepted, it follows that a government, in attempting to influence the balance of trade, is not affecting wealth in general, but is attempting to increase the flow of gold toward its territory — a very different thing. This fact may, however, be accepted, and the balance of trade theory, based upon the confusion of gold and wealth, be re- jected; yet another balance of trade theory may at once be suggested, based upon this distinction itself. Gold, it may be said, is not wealth in any exact sense; but gold is none the less a desirable part of wealth, representing the least perishable and most constant value known, and playing, in consequence, an excep- tional r61e in international exchange. Other commodities are consumed and disappear, while gold remains and holds its value; other commod- ities fluctuate, while gold is relatively stable; its presence may exert a disproportionate influence upon commerce; and, more intrinsically desirable than other commodities, its accumulation is a policy to be encouraged. The balance of trade theory, based upon these considera- tions, and the relation of export to import values, plays an important part in modem political life and is worthy examination. Gold obviously possesses no advantage over other commodities in the satisfaction of human needs; it neither warmc nor shelters, clothes nor nourishes; yet it represents the warmth, the shelter, the clothes and the nourishment obtained through the consumption of other commodities. There is, however, a difference between a thing and that which it repre- sents. While the value of food, clothing, and houses is inherent in them, the value of gold is of a distinct nature and consists, not in its ability to satisfy, but to represent these in the channels of commerce, and thus i I 8 The Old Protection Pt. I Bk.'l First Principles of Protection avoid the expense and inconvenience of barter. This representative, or commercial, value of gold is of importance in exchange, owing to its exceptional qualities as a medium through which the consimiable wealth of the world may be distributed. The value of gold is thus dependent upon, and conditioned by, the existence of consumable wealth demanding distribution through exchange. Where such wealth exists without gold exchange may be effected independently of it; the value of exchangeable wealth, therefore, does not depend upon the presence of gold. On the contrary, the value of gold arises alone through the existence of the exchangeable wealth; where gold exists without consumable commodities, the gold can pur- chase nothing; that is, has no commercial value. On the other hand, where exchangeable wealth exists without gold, the capacity to purchase gold exists with it, and the value of general wealth, if not independent of the presence of gold, seems but little affected thereby. The value of gold can thus be realized in no way other than in the purchase and dis- tribution of consumable wealth; imless so used, the value of gold as a factor in commerce, seems to be non-existent. Nor does it apparently, make the slightest difference whether the goods purchased with a nation's gold are of a durable nature or not: the amount of annual wealth pro- duced by a nation seems, to borrow an illustration from Smith, no more dependent upon the amoimt of gold within its territory at any given time, than the amount of its food depends upon the tin pans or hardware it might possess at any moment. There is, apparently, in the laws of nature no more reason to sup- pose that the food supply of a nation can be increased by accum- ulating tin, than that its wealth can be increased by piling up gold. If a nation produces the food supply, the tin necessary for its distribution may be allowed to take care of itself; and so, the annual wealth a nation creates will attract all the gold necessary for its dis- tribution, simply through its existence. There is, seemingly, no more use in collecting tin, in order to increase food, than in collecting gold, in order to increase wealth; the value of tin is dependent upon the use to which it may be put, which, in the present case, depends upon the food supply. The value of gold is fixed in the same way: by its use, and is dependent upon the annual production of consumable wealth. Speaking of the nimiber of pots and pans in a coxmtry, Adam Smith* ' Ibid., Bk. IV.. ch. L, pp. X2, 13. says: "But it readily occurs that the number of such utensils is in every country necessarily limited by the use which there is for them; that it would be absurd to have more pots and pans than were necessary for cooking the victuals usually consumed there; and that if the quan- tity of victuals were to increase, the number of pots and pans would readily increase along with it, a part of the increased quantity of vict- uals being employed in purchasing them, or in maintaining an additional number of workmen whose business it was to make them. It should as readily occur that the quantity of gold and silver is in every country limited by the use which there is for those metals; that their use con- sists in circulating commodities as coin, and in affording a species of household furniture as plate; that the quantity of coin in every country is regulated by the value of the commodities which are to be circulated by it: increase the value, and immediately a part of it will be sent abroad to purchase, wherever it is to be had, the additional quantity of coin requisite for circulating them: that the quantity of plate is regulated by the number and wealth of those private families who choose to indulge themselves in that sort of magnificence: increase the number and wealth of such families, and a part of this increased wealth will most probably be employed in purchasing, wherever it is to be found, an additional quan- tity of plate: that to attempt to increase the wealth of any country, either by introducing or by detaining in it an unnecessary quantity of gold and silver, is as absurd as it would be to attempt to increase the good cheer of private families, by obliging them to keep an imnecessary number of kitchen utensils." These considerations are not in harmony with the balance of trade theory. Facts, however, seem to support them. If, for instance, gold were the controlling factor in the creation of wealth, the nations produc- ing the greatest quantity of gold would be the richest and most powerful nations. If such were the case, Spain and Portugal would be the most richly endowed of European countries, while others, less well supplied with mines, would have to content themselves with being commercial dependencies. England has produced relatively little or no gold, and for the past half century has ignored the balance of trade philosophy; it can, however, scarcely be maintained that England has, in consequence, been placed at disadvantage with Spain and Portugal; either with reference to material wealth, woridly power, or the possession of pure bullion. Again, history demonstrates that the accumulation of gold or the monetary metals, within a nation's boundaries, has little or no effect upon lO The Old Protection Pt. I the nation's natural resources, which constitute the real basis of its wealth; that even long and expensive wars may be carried on inde- pendently of the amount of gold or money in its possession; that here, as ever, a country's productive energy and territorial resources consti- tute its real wealth, which may be drawn upon irrespective of this or that amount of gold in circulation at any given time. An interesting illustration of this position is presented in The Wealth of Nations:'^ "The last French war cost Great Britain upward of ninety millions, including not only the seventy-five millions of new debt that was con- tracted, but the additional two shillings in the pound land-tax, and what was annually borrowed of the sinking fund. More than two thirds of this expense was laid out in foreign countries; in Germany, Portugal, America, in the ports of the Mediterranean, in the East and the West Indies. The kings of England had no accumulated treasure. We never hear of any extraordinary quantity of plate being melted down. The circulating gold and silver of the country had not been supposed to exceed eighteen millions. Since the late re-coinage of the gold, however, it is believed to have been a good deal underrated. Let us suppose, therefore, according to the most exaggerated computation which I remember to have either seen or heard of, that, gold and silver to- gether, it amounted to thirty millions. Had the war been carried on by means of our money, the whole of it must, even according to this computation, have been sent out and returned again at least twice in a period of between six and seven years. Should this be supposed, it would afford the most decisive argument to demonstrate how unneces- sary it is for Government to watch over the preservation of money, since upon this supposition the whole money of the country must have gone from it and returned to it again, two different times in so short a period, without anybody's knowing anything of the matter." This is one of the most striking statements in economic thought of the fact that international exchange is not carried on with money. It shows that international trade is carried on through the exchange of commodities, and that the actual amoimt of money changing hands in such trade is an almost negligible quantity, as concerns the national production and distribution of wealth. Daniel Webster, 2 speaking of the balance of trade theory, said: "The ' Bk. IV.. ch. i., pp. 14, 15. * Speech of Daniel Webster upon the Tarif, m the House of Representatives. April x and 2, 1824. Taussi{[. State Papers and Speeches on the Tarif, p. 349. Bk. I First Principles of Protection XI truth is, that all these obsolete and exploded notions had their origin in very mistaken ideas of the true nature of commerce. Commerce is not a gambling among nations for a stake, to be won by some and lost by others. It has not the tendency necessarily to impoverish one of the parties of it, while it enriches the other; all parries gain, all parties make profits, all parties grow rich, by the operations of just and liberal commerce. . . We have reciprocal wants and reciprocal means for gratifying one another's wants. This is the true origin of commerce, which is nothing more than the exchange of equivalents, and from the rude barter of its primitive state to the refined and complex conditions in which we see it, its principle is uniformly the same; its only object being, in every stage, to produce that exchange of commodities between individuals, and between nations, which shall conduce to the advantage and to the happiness of both. Conamerce between nations has the same essential character as commerce between individuals, or between parts of the same nation. Cannot two individuals make an interchange of commodities which shall prove beneficial to both, or in which the balance of trade shall be in favor of both? If not, the tailor and the shoemaker, the farmer and the smith, have hitherto very much mis- understood their own interest. And with regard to the internal trade of a country, in which the same rule would apply as between nations, do we ever speak of such an intercourse being prejudicial to one side because it is useful to the other? Do we ever hear that, because the intercourse between New York and Albany is advantageous to one of these places, it must therefore be ruinous to the other?" Webster quotes Mr. Huskisson, President of the English Board of Trade of that day, as follows : " ^There is no political question on which the prevalence of false principles is so general as in what relates to the nature of conmierce and to the pretended balance of trade; and there are few which have led to a greater number of practical mistakes, at- tended with consequences extensively prejudical to the happmess of mankind. In this country our parliamentary proceedings, our public documents, and the works of several able and popular writers have combined to propagate the impression that we are indebted for much of our riches to what is called the balance of trade. . . Our true policy would surely be to profess, as the object and guide of our commercial system, that which every man who has studied the subject must know to be the true principle of commerce — the interchange of reciprocal and equivalent benefit. We may rest assured that it is not in the nature of 12 The Old Protection Pt. I Bk. I First Principles of Protection 13 ih commerce to enrich one party at the expense of the other. This is a purpose at which, if it were practicable, we ought not to aim; and which, if we aimed at, we could not accomplish.'" The foregoing considerations, may bring the two following proposi- tions within the boimds of reasonable acceptance: (i) That gold and wealth are not the same things; (2) that commerce is carried on between nations by means of the exchange of commodities. With these funda- mental conceptions in mind, a few of the argiunents usually offered in aid of the balance of trade theory may be examined. Mention has been made of the supposed support of the balance of trade in the analogy between the affairs of a nation and those of an individual. It is said that a merchant's sales are comparable to the exports of a nation; if the value of the merchant's sales (exports) is greater than that of his purchases (imports), his affairs are in a satisfactory condition; and, it is concluded, a nation's policy should be guided by the same principles. In other words, that the import duty should be used to check the excess of imports (purchases) over exports (sales). It is evident that the trade of nations is composed of exchanges effected by individuals; a typical transaction may be followed. A mer- chant sends a ship abroad, with a cargo for sale; the vessel may return laden with goods alone, gold alone, or with goods and an amount in gold. It is evident that the profits of the voyage are in no sense depend- ent upon this amount in gold; they are, on the contrary, directly depend- ent upon the total relative value of the return cargo, whether consisting of goods, gold, or any combination of these. In other words, the greater the value of the total return cargo (imports) in relation to the outgoing cargo (exports) the greater will be the profits of the voyage. This position requires little demonstration and suggests that no analogy exists between the exports of a nation and the amoimt of sales of a merchant, the confusion of ideas being due to the introduction of money in one instance and not in the other. Trade is the exchange of commodities; money the instrument by means of which the trade is effected: the means and not the end. The trade is incomplete until the money obtained on one hand is laid out on another. A man whose wealth consists entirely in land and cattle may again be considered. If he begins to sell cattle for gold, he will create a favourable balance of trade; if he sells all his cattle, this balance will reach a maximum, but the man will cease to exist as a factor in production in proportion to the decrease of his herds. If he invests his gold in the purchase of horses, the balance of trade will run hopelessly against him until he is "drained"; but he will begin to produce once more in proportion to the outflow of his gold. If the horses are worth more than the cattle, he has made a net gain. If he had gradually invested in horses, during the sale of his cattle, his balance of trade would have fallen off, and would have run against him, while his wealth was increas- ing. If the horses are worth less than the cattle, he might have had a large, favourable balance of gold during the entire transaction, and end with a heavy loss. His profits depend upon the total relative value of his horses and cattle; not upon momentary gold balances. If his ex- ported cattle are worth more than his imported horses, he has lost. There thus seems to be no analogy between a nation's exports, and the gold a man receives for his goods; such analogy exists, however, between na- tional exports and money laid out in stock; between imports and money received. Again, goods traded may be compared to exports, and goods received to imports, and if the latter do not exceed the former in value, the trade is not profitable. The man who sells goods for money is not yet paid, nor has he been, until^ the money is used in the purchase of other goods, and upon the relative value of these depend the profits of the transaction; that is, upon the excess of the value of his imports over that of his exports. These considerations may be applied to exchange in general, and lead to the conclusion that the balance of trade has little or nothing to do with the profits or losses involved in international commerce. It seems that a nation is in the same position commercially as the individual merchant, and that the factor which constitutes the national profits is the surplus value, to the nation considered, of the goods it receives (imports) over the value of the goods it sends away (exports). The greater the relative value of its imports, or what it receives, the greater wiU be the value of its trade, or profits. Nor need the question be confused by the intro- duction of money. Gold is but a commodity in international exchange; it forms the international money and circulates as bullion, at its com- modity value, in relation to other commodities. Gold, therefore, in international trade, constitutes an import or an export, as the case may be, and the proportion it may bear to these at any given moment has no connexion with the profits of the commerce involved. Commerce between nations is thus the same thing as barter between individuals: the exchange of conunercial equivalents; and a nation no X4 The Old Protection Pt. I 1 1 more hands over a "balance" m money to another nation, for which it has not received an equivalent return, than a merchant is like3y to adopt such a course. If, then, international trade is the exchange of equivalent values, no nation can gain anything by checking the value of its im- ports, in order to influence the balance of trade. If commerce is the exchange of conmiercial equivalents, the checking of imports will check commerce, lose the advantages of exchange to the nations involved, and produce no other result. There is another form of the balance of trade theory using the import duty, not to draw money toward a country, but to keep money already in a coimtry from seeking a foreign outlet through normal exchange. This position is usually stated in some such form as the following: If there is a demand for $ioo worth of iron in America, and the iron is bought in England, America is supposed to have gained the iron, but to have lost the $ioo. On the other hand, if America produces the iron for herself, although it may cost $iio, she obtains the iron and keeps the money as well — net gain for America of $qo. This position, of course, supposes that all imports are purchased with money alone. This, as has been shown, seems not to be the case; exports pay for im- ports, and unless the money sent to England is buried in the ground, it implies a like amount of English money spent on American goods. If so, America has lost $io in increased price, and destroyed a potential trade to the extent of $ioo. It may be said, however, that money sent to England need not return to America, but seek an outlet in other countries. In this case, it seems that France or Germany completes the exchange with America; condi- tions remaining the same. If it is supposed that the money need not come back to America at all, the existence is implied of a country producing nothing other countries buy. Such a country evidently could not exist commercially; but if such existence is admitted, it could apparently gain nothing by the imposition of import duties, in order to prevent its money seeking a foreign outlet. Such a nation is simply taxing itself in order to pay $io interest on every $ioo worth of iron it produces; which, as the iron is produced and consumed, must soon amount to a usurious rate. Such a policy is more or less analogous to that of a manufacturer who pays a heavy interest charge on funds employed in producing goods which cost him more than their market value. He pays out money in order to obtain funds which cost still more money to employ. More- Bk. I First Principles of Protection IS over, a nation taxing imports, in order to keep money in the country, taxes only that portion of the population coming in contact with the tax through consumption; that is, imposes an unequal tax burden. If the economic advantage of keeping money in a country is granted, it is obvious that import duties are not the only means which may be em- ployed. A country can keep any given amount of money within Its boundaries by subsidies, bounties, or the issue of its debentures. In the last case, it can hold any amount desired at no higher rate than the market price of its securities, know exactly at any time how much the money costs to hold, cease the expenditure when convenient, and at the same time impose an equal, in place of an unequal, tax burden! The arguments in favour of the imposition of import duties, as affect- ing the balance of trade, or in order to keep money in a country, seem to involve the two suppositions discussed: first, that gold is wealth, and desirable independently of any use to which it may be put in the channels of trade; second, that international trade is something othe- than the exchange of equivalents, whether expressed in gold or other commodities. The balance of trade theory depends upon the idea that commerce between nations mvolves a mysterious quantity of floating money, irre- spective of the goods exchanged: a balance which may be caught like a butterfly by the nation weaving the cleverest network of indirect taxes. This idea has been regarded as an '^ exploded notion" by the best minds on both sides of the Atlantic for generations. In spite of this fact however, the balance of trade theory exerts a great influence over nearly all national poUcies, and forms one of the cornerstones of modem fiscal structures. It is constantly met in practical American politics, where it is rarely discussed but is accepted, Uke the gravitation of matter, as a fundamental truth requiring no demonstration. The balance of trade theory may always be put to the crude but effec- tive test of bulUon returns. If the balance of trade theory is in harmony with the facts, a country which imposes no import duties with reference to it, will be in danger of losing its capital. Wherever protective taxes exist, it may be said that they exert a cer- tam mfluence over the balance of trade. England, for more than half a century, has not only ignored the balance of trade, but imposed no protective taxation. England is, consequently, the one country in the world most exposed to the danger of being "drained" of her money supply which will flow away from her toward those countries holding a network If i6 The Old Protection Pt. I of import duties, ready to catch the balance of trade. This is a prev- alent opinion. "Only last year," says Mr. Chiozza-Money,i writing in 1903, *^we had Mr. Seddon telling a British audience that every year we sent away over sea 160,000,000 golden sovereigns to pay for our balance of trade." The metiiod of estimating the balance of trade is simple. The total value of imports and exports are compared: if imports are greater tiian exports, the difference is supposed to represent money sent out of the country. The Statistical Abstract of the United Kingdom shows the following returns for 1902; Imports (values c. i. f. ) p. 91 Exports (values f. o. b.) p. 129 . . . * ' ] \ From wWdi should be deducted goods previously imported (values f. o. b.) p. 133 ^528,391,000 283,424,000 £244,967,000 65,815,000 Excess of total imports over exports £179,152,000 It is evident, upon tiie theory of tiie balance of trade, that in 1902 England must have sent away in gold $179,152,000 in order to pay for this unfavourable balance. Here is where the Premier of New Zealand found his 160,000,000 *' golden sovereigns." In other words, if this theory is in harmony with the facts, the bullion returns of the United Kingdom for 1902 must show £179,152,000 excess of buUion exported over bullion imported. In the Statistical Abstract, the following items appear with reference to bullion and specie: i!.xports, p. 155 26,125,206 £ 5,268,139 Thus, where nearly £180,000,000 against England are expected, over £5,000,000 in her favour are found, showing some discrepancy between the balance of trade theory and "the facts." There is, however, no difficulty in tracing the millions of sovereigns which seem to have melted into space. International trade is barter, but services may be exchanged as well as goods. "Just as a barrister," says Mr. Chiozza-Money, "may import goods value £10,000 a year witiiout exporting goods, giving his services in exchange, so a nation * Through Preference to Protection, p. ag. Bk. I First Principles of Protection 17 may pay for a great part, or even the whole of its imports, by giving services in exchange for commodities sent it by other nations." The subject is interestingly and exhaustively discussed, in relation to existing conditions, in the essay cited, from which the foregoing comparison is taken. The theory of the balance of trade is one of the many relics of the old Mercantile System, so long dominant in Europe. When governments found they were impotent to keep gold from seeking the most profitable market, and that its exportation was not an economic evil, they devoted their attention to "regulating the balance of trade" rather than to the prevention of the export of gold and silver. "From one fruitless care it was turned away to another care," says Adam Smith, 1 "much more intricate, much more embarrassing, and just equally fruitless." The opinion that gold and wealth are the same things, together with the balance of trade theory, have been discussed for two reasons: first, because they lie at the "head of the corner" of modem Protection; and second, in order to present grounds for a reasonable acceptance in economic discussion of the two following positions: 1. Gold, or money, should never be confused with general wealth. 2. International exchange may be expressed in terms of commod- ities, independently of money; that is, represents an exchange of equivalents. The balance of trade theory may be left with a citation from Mill:^ The principle of the Mercantile Theory is now given up even by writers and governments who still cling to the restrictive system. Whatever hold that system has over men's minds, independently of the private interests exposed to real or apprehended loss by its abandonment, is derived from fallacies other than the old notion of the benefits of heaping up money in the country. The most effective of these is the specious plea of employing our own countrymen and our own national industry, instead of feeding and supporting the industry of foreigners." » The Wealth of Nations. Bk. IV., ch. i., p. 7. « Principles of Political Economy, Bk. V., ch.x., ji, p. 554. (( Bk. I General Protection 19 CHAPTER II GENERAL PROTECTION Section I — Protection and Capital. Section II— r^e Infant In- dustry. Section 111— Protection of Industry. Section I — Protection and Cahtal THE import duty, adopted under the Mercantile System and the balance of trade, possessed a nimiber of potentialities, among the most important of which, through its effect upon prices, was the opportunity of employing labour and capital in industry otherwise neither profitable nor possible. The import duty thus gradually took upon itself a new function, and, where aban- doned or neglected as a means of influencing the balance of trade, was welcomed and supported as a means of establishing industry and em- ploying labour. General Protection, or the policy of taxing foreign commodities in order to hold the home market for the home producer, is among the most obvious of all economic policies. When it is urged, in favour of the protective import duty, that it can bring industries into existence, not otherwise possible, such industries may be pointed out in operation: when the duty is advanced as an employer of labour, the payrolls of such industries are sufficient demonstration of the truth of the state- ment. A statute passed, a duty fixed: a definite, economic result is obtained. If the statute were not passed, the duty not established, trade would be left to follow its normal course, and there would be no evident and immediate artificial consequences. If, upon general principles, it is said that the use of stimulants is not always to be encouraged, few will contradict the statement as mere theory; and advance a number of facts in order to refute the principle and establish the opposed position: that stimulants are invariably beneficial. The reason is, that the science of medical experience has established the first statement as a general principle, based upon a z8 wider knowledge of a greater number of systematized facts than may be presented upon the other side. There exists such a generalization applied to the economic questions of this phase of Protection. This generalization is based upon the position, supported by endless facts, that the number of workmen which any given individual may employ must bear a fixed relation to his capital; in other words, that no man can employ a greater number of workmen than his capital will allow. If this is so, it follows that the nimiber of workmen which may be employed by any given number of men, or by a society, must bear a definite relation to their com- bined capital, or to the total amount of capital within the society; and can never exceed it. "The general industry of the society," says Adam Smith, ^ "never can exceed what the capital of the society can employ. As the number of workmen that can be kept in employ- ment by any particular person must bear a certain proportion to his capital, so the number of those who can be continually employed by all the members of a great society, must bear a certain proportion to the whole capital of that society, and can never exceed that proportion. No regulation of commerce can increase the quantity of industry in any society beyond what its capital can maintain. It can only divert a part of it into a direction into which it might not otherwise have gone; and it is by no means certain that this artificial direction is likely to be more advantageous to the society than that into which it would have gone of its own accord." When the direct bearing of this position upon protective legislation is understood, it seems evident that such legislation can no more increase the total general industry of a country, or the labour em- ployed, than it can increase its amount of capital; and it is difficult to believe that the mere imposition of an import duty can bring capital into existence. If this were so, if import duties created capital, the richest nations would be those with the greatest number of such duties, and their capital limited only by the available quan- tity of paper, ink, and legislative enactments. It is evident, however, that protective duties can only affect capital already in existence, and do not increase its amount. As such taxes can only affect exist- ing capital through restricting trade, the restriction or prohibition of normal trade is the essence of the protective system. Mill^ uses the » The Wealth of Nations, Bk. IV.. ch. ii., p. 25. > PrincipUs 0/ Political Economy, Bk. V., ch. x., { 1, p. 553. 20 The Old Protection Pt. I Bk. I General Protection 21 k f I terms "restrictive*' and ''prohibitory" as more characteristic of the principle than ''protective." The restriction of trade, then, is the only means by which the pro- tective system can act upon capital or industry; and the assumption that the capital or industry of any country can be increased by re- stricting or prohibiting its trade seems questionable. It this were so, the nations with the greatest capital would be those with the least trade. Protection, therefore, can apparently never increase the capital or industry of a nation. Its only means of acting upon the capital being to check or restrict trade, the profits or increase of capital, which might be gained through the action of untrammelled trade and industry, are naturally lost in proportion to the amount of restriction imposed by protective legislation. This conception has not been without results, especially in England. Its nature, however, is so general that its application may be lost to view, and considerations are often advanced in support of the protec- tive theory which may be brought under this comprehensive principle. These may, therefore be examined. The Protection of the old school falls under two distinct policies: First, the protection of industry; second, the protection of labour. An analysis of the first, as developed in the usual channels of discussion, permits its study under two principal divisions: (i) infant industry; (2) the protection of industry. Section II — The Infant Industry Among the most important contributions to the literature of Protec- tion is that prepared by Alexander Hamilton at the request of the American House of Representatives. This paper, read in December, 1791, is entitied A Report on Manufactures, and from its sincerity and ability lends stronger support to many of the considerations advanced than most of the protectionist literature dated before or since. A dis- cussion of Protection in its relation to industry cannot be better opened than with a citation from this document. "It is well known—" says Hamilton, 1 "and particular examples in the course of this report will be cited — that certain nations grant bounties on the exportation of particular commodities to enable their own work- men to undersell and supplant all competitors in the countries to which these com modities are sent. Hence the undertakers of a new manu- > Hamilton's Report on Manufactures. State Papers and Speeches on the Tanjff. Taussig, p. 31, facture have to contend not only with the natural disadvantages of a new imdertaking, but with the gratuities and remunerations which other governments bestow. To be enabled to contend with success, it is evident that the interference and aid of their own governments are indispensable. " This argument in favour of governmental aid in the establishment of manufacturing enterprise has become a classic in economic discus- sion; it is known as the argument in aid of '4nfant industry." In support of this position, Hamilton and the later protectionists offer many plausible considerations showing the advantages of govern- mental assistance of new and struggling undertakings. These considera- tions are regarded as especially applicable to new countries, although applying with equal force to any new industry unable to compete with the foreign producer. It is evident that the initial assistance, or temporary support, of industries in their infancy, does not involve a general protective policy; governmental aid is suggested in this sense merely in order to help the industry upon its feet, until able to walk alone. The first difliculty met, therefore, is to discover what an infant industry really is. The question offers scope for wide difference of opinion; experience showing that assistance of infant undertakings results in a final protective system, owing to difficulty in distinguishing "infant" from other forms of indus- try, and in withdrawing support when the infant period is passed. This position is always advanced, however, where opportunity exists, and the infant industry is found fully established among the prin- ciples of the New Protection in England and Germany, under the title of " productive potentialities." The subject may, therefore, be reviewed in some detail, especially as it derives importance from a passage in Mill's Principles of Political Economy. This passage may be cited as formulating clearer ideas with reference to infant industry than the less specific considerations of Hamilton. "The only case, " says Mill,i ''in which, on mere principles of political economy, protecting duties can be defensible, is when they are imposed temporarily (especially in a young and rising nation) in hopes of natural- izing a foreign industry, in itself perfectly suitable to the circumstances of the country. The superiority of one country over another in a branch of production, often arises only from having begun it sooner. There may be no inherent advantage on one part, or disadvantage on the * Principles of Political Economy, Bk. V.. ch. x„ § i, p. 556. 22 The Old Protection Pt. I other, but only a present superiority of acquired skill and experience. A country which has this skill and experience yet to acquire, may, in other respects, be better adapted to the production than those which were eariier in the field: and besides, it is a just remark of Mr. Rae, that nothing has a greater tendency to promote improvements in any branch of production than its trial under a new set of conditions. But it cannot be expected that individuals should, at their own risk, or rather to their certain loss, introduce a new manufacture and bear the burthen of carrying it on until the producers have been educated up to the level of those with whom the processes are traditional. A protecting duty, continued for a reasonable time, will sometimes be the least inconvenient mode in which the nation can tax itself for the support of such an experiment. But the protection should be confined to cases in which there is good ground of assurance that the industry which it fosters will after a time be able to dispense with it; nor should the domestic producers ever be allowed to expect that it will be continued to them beyond the time necessary for a fair trial of what they are capable of accomplishing. " It is impossible to present the infant industry position more favour- ably or with greater authority than in these passages from Hamilton and Mill. Other considerations from the pen of Mill are of interest in this connexion. The adoption of Protection in Australia is said to have been due largely to the influence of two men — one an adminis- trator, the other an economist: Earl Grey and J. S. Mill; the part played by the latter being, perhaps, more important than that of the former. The policy of a great and growing country was thus largely established by a guarded passage in the works of a man formally opposed to the principles adopted through the misinterpretation of his opinion as is shown in the following extract^ from a letter to a student of his works in Victoria: "It is a great compliment to me that my supposed opinions should have had the influence you ascribe to them in Australia. But there seems to have been a considerable degree of misunderstanding as to what they are. The fault probably lies with myself in not having explained them suflSciently. I have entered rather more fully into the subject in the new editions published this spring. But, not to give you the trouble of referring to them, I can have no difficulty in saying that I never for a moment thought of recommending or countenancing ' J. S. Mill in Protection in Canada and Australasia. Chomley, p. 8i. Bk. I General Protection 23 in a new Colony, more than elsewhere, a general protective policy, or a system of duties on imported commodities, such as that which has recently passed the representative assembly of your Colony. What I had in view was this: If there is some particular branch of industry, not hitherto carried on in the country, but which individuals or asso- ciations possessed of the necessary capital are ready and desirous to naturalize, and if these persons can satisfy the Legislature that, after their workpeople are fully trained, and the difficulties of the first intro- duction surmounted, they shall probably be able to produce the article as cheap, or cheaper, than the price at which it can be imported, but that they cannot do so without the temporary aid, either of a subsidy from the government, or of a protective duty, then it may sometimes be a good calculation, for the future interests of the country, to make a temporary sacrifice, by granting a moderate protecting duty for a certain limited number of years, say ten, or at the very most twenty, during the latter part of which the duty should be on a gradually di- minishing scale, and at the end of which it should expire. You see how far this doctrine is from supporting the fabric of protectionist doctrine in behalf of which its aid has been invoked. " The conditions upon which governmental aid may sometimes be advocated with reference to new industry may, therefore, be formu- lated in the opinion of the greatest authority cited in its support: 1. When the aid is given alone to start the industry. 2. When the industry is naturally suited to the country. 3. When the capital is at hand, and the only difficulty is the want of skilled labour or experience. 4. When it is highly probable that the article may be produced as cheaply or more cheaply than elsewhere. 5. When the duty expires sdiei a period of not longer than twenty years. A glance at these conditions, and the passages from Mill upon which they are based, may show that they present no foundations for the establishment or encouragement of a general protective policy, yet this has been done in Australia, and is being done to-day wherever this passage in Mill's Principles of Political Economy is used as an induce- ment to protective taxation. There is apparently but one reason why any suitable infant industry should not be able to start upon its career alone and unaided — lack of ^Ued laboiir. 5wffix:iept capital is, of course, implied; as the duty 24 The Old Protection Pt. I i; ;: ; could not create the capital. The existence of the capital granted, the question arises whether the capital could not import the necessary labour; especially as experience presents innumerable examples of such importations. In order, therefore, to discover any genuine infant industry, it is essential to recognize the conditions imposed by Mill; and, at the same time, to suppose that for some reason, not clear, the skilled labour required cannot be imported. Such being the case, the infant industry is compelled to enter upon a period of trial, or training. An import duty can apparently be of no use to the industry during such a period, for the reason that the industry would, ex hypothesi, be able to produce nothing; the only result of such a tax, therefore, would be to raise the price of the commodity, while benefitting no one. All such periods must be passed at the expense of capital, while labour and machinery are trying their wings. It seems, therefore, that an import duty is useless in the actual starting of an industry before it can produce anything. The capital at hand, the labour trained, the experience complete, it must be evident, however, that there is still less need of governmental support for any suitable industry. In order, therefore, to discover a really worthy infant industry, it is essential to add another condition to those defined, and to regard the industry as entering upon a transitory period, during which pro- duction is carried on in an expensive and unsatisfactory manner, and to suppose the import duty necessary to tide over such a period. If an import duty is imposed with this object in view, it will in all likelihood bring other infant industries producing the same article into existence; and when the transition period of one is drawing to a close, the analogous period of another may be but half over or be- ginning; which process must result either in the establishment of fixed Protection or the destruction of later industries by the removal of the duty. Again, the import duty of this nature is sometimes regarded as a reward to the capitalist who has risked his time and money in the creation of new enterprise. Considered in this light, it seems that the import duty offers but a poor return, so far as the establishment of really legitimate industry is concerned. If profits are maintained by means of the duty, other industries will follow and reap the advan- tages created for the first; in this way not only reducing profits and the reward of the capitalist, but rendering it impossible to remove the duty without injury to the series of later industries. Thus the following Bk. I General Protection 25 considerations might be presented with reference to the infant industry of the Old Protection: 1. The import duty is useless in starting an industry before it can produce. 2. The duty is useless after the industry is in operation, if the industry is suitable; for its suitability can be shown only by its capacity to compete with other producers. 3. If the duty is imposed dining a transition period of poor or expensive production, it will bring other industries into ex- istence, and lead to definite Protection. 4. The duty may offer an unsatisfactory reward to the capitalist, in allowing competition before the industry is fully developed, thus reducing profits; rendering it again impossible to remove the duty without endangering all the industries affected, thus leading again to definite Protection. If a question arises with reference to the best method of tiding a really suitable and struggling industry over its period of transition, and at the same time rewarding the patriotic innovator, the answer is not far to seek: a direct bounty, paid in proportion to the amount of labour employed, for a limited period upon a diminishing scale, appears to meet all the requirements of the case; avoid the cost of collecting the duty and the necessity of the eventual adoption of fixed Protection. A specific subsidy, paid to a specific industry for a definite time, seems to possess all the advantages, urged in favour of the import duty in this connexion without the dangers it involves. It can help the industry over its transitional period; demonstrate whether the industry is in reality suitable or not, and, by eliminating home competition until the advantages of the enterprise are definitely demonstrated, it can reward the innovators and be removed at the proper time without the ruin of a chain of dependent producers. A few passages from Hamilton's Report^ may be cited in reference to bounties, this Report being in many ways the ablest contribution to the literature of the older protectionist school: "This has been found one of the most efficacious means of encourag- ing manufactures, and it is, in some views, the best. ... Its advantages are these: I. It is a species of encouragement more positive and direct than any other, and for that very reason has a more inunediate tendency to ^ Hamilton's Report on Manufactures. Taussig, p. 64. 26 The Old Protection Pt. I stimulate and uphold new enterprises, increasing the chances of profit and diminishing the risks of loss in the first attempts. 2. It avoids the inconvenience of a temporary augmentation of price, which is incident to some other modes, or it produces it to a less degree, either by making no addition to the charges on the rival foreign article, as in the case of protecting duties, or by making a smaller addition. . . . 3. Boimties have not, like high protecting duties, a tendency to produce scarcity. An increase of price is not always the immediate, though where the progress of a domestic manufacture does not counter- act a rise, it is commonly the ultimate effect of an additional duty. '' . , , These considerations may permit the formulation of the following conclusions with reference to the infant industry: 1. Under no condition is the imposition of an import duty the most advantageous method of aiding desirable enterprise. 2. The supposed benefits of the import duty may be obtained directly by means of a subsidy. It may be observed that the infant industry position, as stated by Mill, overlooks two essential conditions: first, that the lack of skilled labour can be the only difl&culty met by any suitable industry; and, second, that such labour may practically always be imported by the capital supposed to be waiting investment. Again, Mill seems to over- look the fact that any encouragement of the infant industry by means of an import duty not only has, but always must, lead to definite Pro- tection. 1 Later, however, this led Mill to abandon the infant industry position. 2 There is no lack of specific instance to which reference may be made in support of the foregoing considerations. Every industry, brought into existence within any free trade area, in competition with others, is an infant industry in every sense of the word, and as much in need of protection against the earlier industries as though they were on the other side of a national boundary. The fact that such industries have been brought into successful operation in every country, seems to demonstrate that suitable industries are independent of gov- ernmental support, and may be brought into being through the natural action of economic conditions; nor need it make any differ- ence, apparently, whether such enterprise is protected from foreign competit ion or not, the most important competition with which it » An interesting and more detailed discussion of the subject will be found in Facts and Fallacies of Mod- trn ProUction. B, R. Wise. » Cf., p. 6a. Bk. I General Protection 27 has to deal is that of the already established home producer within the free trade area. There exists perhaps no more marked illustration of the fact that suitable industry may come into being and establish itself without governmental protection than may be derived from the southern states of America. After the Civil War these states were left in an exceptionally helpless industrial condition; their interests, largely agricultural, were established upon slave labour; their capital, exhausted in war and in the abandonment of slavery; yet this impoverished, agricultural country was exposed to the merciless competition of the North under a system of free trade such as no nation has seen. The result upon protectionist principles must have been industrial prostration, complete and unconditioned. "Little more than half a generation has elapsed," says Mr. Atkinson,^ "since the infant industries of the new South were imdertaken. What are the present conditions? Pennsylvania striving by the adoption of every possible improved method to meet the competition of the iron furnaces of Alabama. New England trembling lest the centre of the tex- tile arts shall be moved from Massachusetts and Rhode Island to the Carolinas and Georgia. The wood-working shops of the middle South competing with the great establishments of the middle West. I think I need make no further rejoinder to Professor Sedgwick *s plea for even temporary protection to infant industries. Let these facts speak for themselves. " In the works of the earlier protectionists, attention is chiefly occupied with the creation of industry; they offer a modest and apologetic plea for temporary aid, and occasionally seem alive to the evils of govern- mental interference with natural economic conditions. They bear in mind the fact that the ultimate abandonment of the duty is the great desideratum and that once an industry has been fairly tried it should no longer be artificially supported. As time went on, however, the infant industries, born through such considerations, began to grow into pros- perous middle age. It became necessary, therefore, to look about for other arguments in support of taxation for the benefit of these by no means struggling imdertakings. The creation of industry thus slipped into the background and the maintenance of industry took its place. Why, it was asked, limit governmental assistance to this or that strug- gling enterprise? Industry itself was the result for which to strive, not any special kind of industry; all industry should be encouraged and ^ Address before thf Economy Club o/ London, 1 1 28 The Old Protection Pt. I Bk. I General Protection 29 I' tj i supported, and thus governmental aid is demanded for industry in general. Section III — Protection of Industry Article i — Protectionist Maxims. Industry itself, unqualified and unconditioned, here becomes the basis of definite Protection. The industries of a country, it is said, are the measure of its wealth and productive power. By means of industrial enterprise and initiative, wealth is created and production encouraged. This offers employment to labour, maintains wages at a higher level, increases the national powers of consumption, and with them, the general well-being of the community. AU these advantages may be attributed to industry, which thus becomes the object of attention, and the most intelligent administrative policy seems that most effectively engaged in developing the existing and potential resources of the country. Thus, whether the earlier foundations of Protection are accepted or not, the import duty remains a fruitful heritage and grows in strength and stature. There are two fundamental maxims of the orthodox protectionist school of this type: 1. That the import duty encourages industry. 2. That such protected industry creates a demand for labour, raises wages and thus benefits the society. Protected industry, for purposes of analysis, may be divided into two classes: the industry which raises price and the industry which lowers price. These two classes include all protected industry of the kind at present under discussion. The protective import duty can affect indus- try through price alone; it can moreover affect price in but three ways: (i) by raising price permanently; (2) by lowering price permanently; (3) by affecting price temporarily. If the duty affects price through temporary increase, the infant industry already considered appears. If it lowers price temporarily, the industry falls into one of the two other classes as eventuaUy affected; if the duty has no effect on price, it of course ceases to be a protective measure. It seems, therefore, that these two classes may be regarded as exhaustive. Article 2— Protection Which Raises Price. When industry itself is considered as an advantage, and its support advocated through governmental aid in raising price, one side alone of the question is presented: the facts that the industry is estab- lished and the capital and labour employed. If the attention is limited to these phases of the Protection which raises price in order to encourage industry, it seems that the subject is viewed from the position of the producer alone, and that of the consumer is ignored. An indefinite number of facts in favour of the protective system may thus be presented with ease; an indefinite number of truths, it may be said; but these facts will be but half the facts, the truths but half truths, and the other half of the facts have no less bearing upon conclusions derived than the first half alone. Thus, when the position is stated that the encouragement of industry is desirable by means of the artificial raising of price, the entire position is not presented; the necessary consequences of raising prices to consumers is neglected. If this form of Protection is beneficial, the position should be put in the following form. The encouragement of industry is beneficial; therefore prices should be raised to consumers. Again, the economic advisability of raising prices by means of an im- port duty does not follow from the assumption that industry should be encouraged; for the reason that all prices cannot be raised by import duties. It is, in consequence, impossible to encourage all industry by means of the taxation of some imports. The raising of the price of some imports by means of a tax must act as a deterrent influence upon other industries; as the tax affects other producers and consumers. Food taxes offer little protection to the majority of farmers of a food export- ing country. No tax on foreign commodities can protect the building or transportation interests, as such; the employers of unprotected labour, or any of the thousand and one occupations which natural conditions create in every country and which are not dependent upon import duties. It thus seems impossible to benefit all industry by the taxation of some imports. This may be made clearer in another way: a direct bounty or subsidy is a most effective method of encouraging industry. If this method were adopted as a means of encouraging industry, the result is evident; each individual in a country would be justified in demanding his or her quota of encouragement; with the result that each would receive the taxes already paid less the cost of collection and distribution. There would in reality be little encour- agement for any industry but tax-gathering in such a system. It thus seems that only some industries can be encouraged by means of taxation of imports which raises prices, and that other industries must be discouraged owing to greater scarcity and increased cost. It therefore seems that the original protective position requires still t I , i I' > 30 The Old Protection Pt. I another restatement, in order to present the conditions more accurately; and should be put as follows : Certain industries should be encouraged; therefore, prices should be raised to all consumers and certain indus- tries should be discouraged. Nor does this statement seem in any way an imfair revision of the position of this phase of Protection, for if industry is encouraged on one side by raising prices artificially, other industries must, apparently, be discouraged proportionately on another by affecting consumers adversely; whether industries or individuals. When, however, the protective policy of raising prices for the encour- agement of industry is stated in this way, every argument in its support might be advanced in support of a policy employing a part of the public funds for the purpose of building sand-hills on the seashore which the rising tide could wash away. This policy would encourage infinite industry, create an unlimited demand for labour; and so, upon protec- tive principles, raise wages, increase prosperity, create a demand for agricultural produce, and so on. Such a statement may seem at first sight a mere travesty upon the protective theory; it may be said that no analogy exists between the support of productive industry by means of taxation and the govern- mental building of sand-hills; the first producing consumable wealth, the other nothing; the first giving profitable employment to capital, the other paying out public funds in unproductive activity. Upon closer examination, the analogy between the two policies is not as forced as might be supposed. The supposition may be adopted by way of illustration that a people, by means of the unusual argimients, is induced to adopt this form of high-priced protective taxation in order to encourage industry. K it is supposed that it costs the people £i ,000,000 annually to encourage industry in this way, the question is whether these £1,000,000, as far as the people at large is concerned, might not equally well have been paid from the public treasury in employing labour to build sand-hills. By means of the protective duty which raises price, these £1,000,000, taxed out of the pockets of the people, are usually distributed through three channels: artificial profits to capital, wages to labour, and custom house expenses. The profits to capital may be of two kinds: either abnormally swollen through monopolistic organiza- tion, or reduced to the normal level through competition within the protected area. The wages, of course, consist simply in paying £10 in wages in order to produce £5 in result; that is, the labour employed in industry, dependent upon taxation for its support, is unproductive labour Bk. I General Protection 31 to the extent of the difference in value between the taxed price and the normal price of the commodity produced. That portion, therefore, of the £1,000,000 of extra cost paid to labour is paid to unproductive labour; to laboiu* employed for a longer time than necessary to produce a given result. The remainder of the £1,000,000 goes to custom house ofl5cials, inspectors, and functionaries of various kinds; that is, it again goes to improductive labour. If, at any given time, there had been no duty and consequently no artificially supported industry, the capital in the country would be the same as with the duty; the same amount of capital would seek em- ployment and the same amount of labour would apparently be employed; the returns to capital would be the normal returns iminfluenced by taxation or monopolistic organizations. The duty offers neither a greater amount of emplojnnent to capital nor to labour, merely diverting them from normal to abnormal channels. The duty can, therefore, it seems, achieve but the following results: (i) It may give a monopolized profit to capital; if not, the normal profit could be obtained without the duty and no result occurs as far as capital is concerned. (2) It pays a portion of the £1,000,000 to labour employed in producing commodities which cost more than they are worth; this labour is unproductively employed to the extent of the difference between the protected and unprotected values of the commodities, and to this extent, therefore, as far as producing anything is concerned, the labour might just as well have been employed on the sand-hills. (3) The remainder of the £1,000,000 goes to officials occupied in collecting taxes which raise the price of goods, officials quite as unproductively employed as the imneces- sary labour. Thus, so far as producing any real wealth is concerned, the encouragement of industry by means of prices forced up through taxation is fimdamentally not far removed from its encouragement by means of employing labom: in the erection of sand-hills on the seashore. The two propositions seem practically identical; for, it might be asked, what difference could it make to a people as a whole, whether a certain amount of the public money is used to pay artificially swollen profits, unnecessary labour, and salaries to unproductive officials; or to en- courage industry among the sand-hills? In fact, support may be foimd for the opinion that the £1,000,000 might have been better employed in the sand than in the diversion of the resources of a people into chan- nels created by taxed prices. If the public funds had been expended in the sand-hill industry, the money would have gone to the greater num- '1 'i m I ; I 32 The Old Protection Pt. I ber in the form of wages, and not to the smaller number in the form of artificial profits and salaries. Again, the encouragement of industry of this kind may be withdrawn at any time without endangering pro- tected capital in any way. Lastly, because in this way the people may know exactly how much it costs to "encourage industry" and may compare the result obtained with the expense involved. There is thus, apparently, another form in which the protective position which raises price might be put without doing violence to its fundamental principles. This form would be something like the follow- ing: some industry should be encouraged; therefore, a portion of the people's money should be handed over to certain individuals to do with as they please. This formulation of the phase of Protection under discussion is in complete harmony with the views of Mill and Adam Smith. "A commodity is never permanently imported," says Mill,i "unless it can be obtained from abroad at a smaller cost of labour and capital on the whole, than is necessary for producing it. If, therefore, by a duty on the importation, it is rendered cheaper to produce the article than to import it, an extra quantity of labour and capital is expended, without any extra result. The labour is useless, and the capital is spent in paying people for laboriously doing nothing. " Protective taxes are, of course, effective but as they affect the great staples of conmierce represented by the necessaries of vital and industrial existence. "Taxes upon the necessaries of life," says Adam Smith, 2 "have nearly the same effect upon the circumstances of the people as a poor soil or a bad climate. Provisions are thereby rendered dearer in the same manner as if it required extraordinary labour and expense to raise them." . . . "Such taxes, when they have grown up to acertain height, are a curse equal to the barrenness of the earth and the inclemency of the heavens. " Article 3— Protection Which Lowers Price, The protective duty, it may be said, instead of raismg prices in reality lowers them. To the advocate of the high-priced Protection, cheapness is little better than contagion. The cheap coat=cheap man position of President McKinley, is well known. Nevertheless, a certain frailty in human n ature questions at times the economic wisdom of paying more 1 ^"*^^P^ «/ Political Economy. Bk. V.. ch. iv.. § s. p. 51X. The Wealth of Nations. Bk. IV., ch. ii.. p. 39. Bk. I General Protection 33 for goods than the goods are worth; to meet this weakness another school of Protection appears, which repudiates that of the higher price. This phase of Protection presents the import duty in a new role: that of the poor consumer's friend. Protection is urged on one side as raising prices, and thus encouraging industry, employing labour, raising wages, and so forth. Protection, it is said on another side, lowers prices and thus encourages industry, employs labour, raises wages, and so forth. A bewildering array of facts, figures, and diagrams may be prepared in support of either contention. Reduced price is the cornerstone of this form of Protection, as is in- creased price that of the policy considered. In order to show that Protection lowers prices, the following method may be adopted. A commodity is selected, a date is given, the price of the commodity is quoted on that date; an import duty is imposed, the price of the com- modity is given at a later date, the last price is lower than the first. These are the facts: from the facts the theory is evolved, that the import duty lowers prices. At first sight nothing may seem more clear than that which the facts are desired to prove. As sometimes happens, however, with the pres- entation of facts of this nature, all the facts are not cited. In order to make a complete case in support of this position, the price at which the article could be imported at the later date should be given; if the article could be imported at the later date for less than the protected article, it seems evident that the duty had not only not lowered the price, but was, in fact, keeping it above the normal level. These are the real facts, and it is safe to assume where the import duty is retained, that the taxed price is higher than the import price; were this not so, the duty would be useless. This untaxed import price, however, never appears in the home market, for the reason that the foreign goods are shut out or raised in price by the duty; with the result that nothing is easier than to trace the reduced price to the duty, to domestic competition, or to the improved methods of production that it may have brought into exist- ence. A closer comparison of prices and methods, however, might show that natural causes, independent of the duty, have been the real cause of the reduction, while the duty was simply maintaining an artificially in- creased price, of which fact the people are ignorant, as the second import price never appears. The fact that a price falls after the imposition of the duty no more shows that the fall is caused by the duty than the i' II 34 The Old Protection Pt. I I ' fact that a boat had changed its place, shows that the change is due to a breeze sprung up in the meantime. The boat may have changed its position by the use of steam or electricity; currents or tides may have been the motive power, the breeze possibly unfavourable. There exists one ideal industry of this nature: the steel and iron industry of the United States. This industry is invariably cited in all Protection literatxire as the imchallenged example of the wisdom of Protection. What are the facts? "One feature of the Tariff Act of 1870 may be briefly mentioned in passing,'' says Mr. Low.i "It placed a duty of $28 (£5,123.) per ton on steel rails, with the fixed purpose of developing the home industry. In the year before the passage of the Bill placing this high duty on steel rails, the number of tons produced in the United States was 8,616. By 1875, the manufacture had developed to 259,699 tons; by 1881, it was 1,210,285 tons, and in 1883 the duty was reduced to $17 per ton, and in 1890 to $13 per ton. From $106 a ton in 1870 the price, through domestic competition, fell to $28 a ton in 1902. " These facts, it seems, ''speak for themselves." In spite of vast increase in demand during this period, not only did the price of rails constantly fall after the imposition of the duty, but the duty itself is continually lowered. The price of rails in 1870 was $106 a ton; after the duty is imposed, the price falls to $28 a ton in 1902-3; the duty following suit during the same period, from $28 in 1870 falling to the Dingley duty of $8. With a little taste for statistical compilation, these figures might be carried farther in order to show the benefits of this form of Protection. The average consumption of rails during the period 1870-1903 might be estimated with the average reduction in price during that period; a fabulous total could thus be reached and presented as the saving gained by the Ameri- can people owing to the wisdom of their legislative assemblies in taxing steel rails. A question, however, arises: might not rails have been imported during all this time for a price less than that quoted? The fact that the duty was never abandoned suggests that such was the case. This being so, it seems that the millions presented as savings would be, to say the least, misleading; and it becomes essential to con- sider another series of facts with equal bearing upon the case. "Now,2 to show how the Dingley duty of $8 per ton on steel rails taxes American railroads, and hence reaches deep into the pockets of shippers » Protection in the United States. A. Maurice Low, p. 31, « John R. Dunlap. Ttu: Evening Post, N. Y., October 26, 1904. Bk. I General Protection 35 and travellers on American railroads, I need only cite the fact that, during the year 1903, our American railroads purchased from the steel pool exactly 3,046,836 tons of new steel rails (see statistical abstract. Department of Commerce and Labor). The prices toj foreign railroads being, say $20 per ton — as we now know — and the pool price to American railroads being $28 per ton, that means that the American people, during the single year last past, contributed a clean net profit of $24,374,688 to the rail pool. . . . And during the past six years — since the Dingley bill was enacted — these same American railroads have been forced to contribute to the few members of the rail pool exactly $102,621,256 — or $8 per ton on 12,827,657 tons of rails bought and used." Rails offer no exceptional example of the advantages of this form of Protection. Another passage from the letter quoted serves as illustra- tion. "In the spring of 1903, I had occasion to get exact market quotations for various iron and steel products in *free trade' England and 'protection' America. The quotations were supplied by one of the oldest and most reputable New York firms engaged in the import trade in iron and steel, and they were as follows, the quotations in each case being for a long ton of 2,240 lbs. f.o.b. at Middlesboro and Swansea, England, and f.o.b. Pittsburgh, Pa., the prices being those current during the first half of May, 1903: Merchant bar iron Bessemer billets Bessemer pig iron No. 3 foundry iron Gray forge iron Tank plates Black plates "Since May, 1903, there has been some decline in American prices — but also a corresponding decline in English prices. In other words, the differences between American and English prices are still current, as they have been since the day the Dingley Bill was enacted; and this state- ment can be verified by an examination of the past and current quotations given in the Iron Age of New York and the Iron and Coal Trades Review of London. " A brief analysis of these prices and a realization of the millions they represent, taxed out of the pockets of the American people, render of England United Dingley States Duty $30.00 $48.10 $13.44 20.00 30.00 6.72 14.36 19.3s 4.00 11.40 19 -75 4.00 11.25 19.00 4.00 30.91 38.08 13.44 50.40 72.80 29.12 !■ 36 The Old Protection Pt. I r doubtful advantage the economy involved in the Protection which lowers prices. The foregoing considerations, however, but represent a par- ticular period. The eflFect of such taxation extending over a number of years has been reviewed by Mr. D. A. WeUs,i who filled the position of Special Commissioner of Revenue in the United States for some time. He says: "The average price for steel rails in the United States from 1878 to 1887 was $44 per ton. In Great Britain, during the same period, the average was $30 per ton. At these rates, the adverse difference in the cost of consumption of 20,000,000 tons of steel in the United States would have been $280,000,000. But as a difference, as respects the cost of the iron used in the making of steel in the two countries of $7 per ton, has already been allowed, the cost of the consumption of steel in the United States may be properly charged with only one half this disparity, or $140,000,000. "Taking, therefore, the lowest grades of iron and steel as a standard in this computation of the disparity of cost or price, from 1878 to 1887, the aggregate excess of cost of iron and steel in ten years, to the con- sumers of the United States, above that paid in Great Britain, has been $560,000,000, or at an average of $56,000,000 per annum; and on a separate computation, made in the same way, for the year 1887, the disparity in price for the United States rises for that single year to $80,000,000. . . . "In 1880 there were 1,005 iron and steel works, rolling mills, and blast- furnaces in the United States, whose aggregate capital, according to M. Swank, was $23 1 ,000,000. According to Professor Pumpelly , the capital in the iron mines of the country for that same year was $62,000,000; and from the joint reports of these two census experts it would appear that the aggregate capital invested in all the coal-mines of the country, at the same date, was $248,000,000, of which nearly $200,000,000 stood for the value of the mineral lands or royaUies. The proportion of coal and the cost of coking, chargeable to the iron industry, may possibly cover the odd $48,000,000. The entire capital invested in the iron and steel industry in the United States in 1880 was, therefore, about $341,000,000; and the data above submitted warrant the conclusion that the price paid by the consumers of iron and steel in the United States, in order to sustain these industries for ten years, and to enable the owners thereof to enjoy i ts profits — paying wages to their employes somewhat less on an * Xeceni Economic Changes, pp. 472, 474. Bk. I General Protection 37 average than were paid at the same time to other and outside labour — was about 65 per cent, more than the entire capital invested in it. And, as it has been aheady shown that it would be impossible for any other country to supply the annual requirements of the United States of iron and steel for consumption, it further follows that the payment of $50,- 000,000 to $80,000,000 per annum of this country to sustain a branch of industry which cannot be displaced destroyed or by any possible foreign competition, is clearly necessary. " The fundamental maxim of orthodox Protection is that protective taxation encourages industry. Taxation of this kind can affect industry through price alone. . In the foregoing discussion, reason appeared for believing that taxation which forces up price can never "create" any- thing but waste. In the study of Protection which lowers price, there seemed grounds for the opinion that such taxation can never really lower price; if it did, it would cease to protect. An examination of one of the most noteworthy protected industries of this kind suggests that such Protection forced millions out of the natural distributive channels of the wealth of the people taxed in order to encourage it. An examination of Protective taxation in its relation to industry seems to lead to the following positions: 1. The bulk of the industry in any country is directly dependent upon the capital seeking investment. 2. No accumulation of protective taxes can increase the amount, of such capital. 3. Protective taxation can only affect industry through increase of price, which involves proportionate loss and restriction of all industry brought under the influence of such taxation through raw materials, transportation rates, and so on. CHAPTER III PROTECTION AND LABOUR, Section I — The Creation of a demand for Labour by Protective Taxation. Section II — The Raising of Wages by Protective Taxation. Section 111 — Pauper Labour and Protection. Section IV — Protected Labour in the United States, Section I — The Creation of a Demand for Labour by Protec- tive Taxation THE positions that a tax upon a certain commodity can create, or increase a demand for labour, raise wages, keep them at a higher level, or add to thek purchasing power, lie at the foundations of the protective structure; and are either tacitly assumed by protectionist apologists or supported by the usual array of fact and figiu*e. The method of demonstration is simple: a duty is imposed; the duty diverts a certain amount of capital toward a given industry; the industry naturally employs labour; without the duty the mdustry could not exist; the conclusion is that the labour would not be employed without the tax. It seems evident that it is not the tax which employs the labour, but the capital; it also seems evident that the tax does not create the capital; the capital must have been in existence, seeking investment, before the fixing of the duty, or there woujd have been no purpose in its imposition; yet, without assuming that an import duty can bring capital into exist- ence, it is not easy to discover how an import duty can bring a demand for labour into existence. If an import duty could create capital, it is evident that a certain amount of capital, which did not exist before, must miraculously appear from surrounding space within a given area im- mediately after the imposition of a duty upon a certain commodity. Few students of the subject will care to ascribe these magic properties to the import tax; yet, as labour cannot be employed without capital, it 38 Bk. I Protection and Labour 39 seems no less miraculous to suppose that a duty can create a demand for labour than to assimie that it creates capital. The miracle would be no less in one instance than in the other; it would, in fact, be the same miracle; and yet this miracle is assumed, and from it arises the entire fabric of Protection in relation to labour. The facts, figures, and diagrams which may be compiled to demonstrate this position of Protection with reference to labour are without limit. They may be prepared along the following lines. The entire protected capital of a country and the total amount of protected wage dependent upon it, may be estimated; two great totals of capital and wage depen- dent upon the import duty are thus reached. The prices of certain commodities may be given before and after the imposition of the duty, if the later prices are lower than the earlier, it is possible to arrange another series of figures representing increased efficiency of wages owing to the duty; showing that wages had either been raised or their purchas- ing power increased. Thus an enormous aggregate of millions may be presented, representing protected capital, protected wages, and the increased purchasing power of the latter; all of which are traced to the beneficent influence of the duty. These figures would present the facts upon which is based the theory that Protection creates a demand for labour and increases wages. Unless, as has been seen, it is admitted that an import duty can create capital where none existed, the millions representing protected capital fail in demonstrating the advantages of Protection as an employer of labour; for the reason that the capital must have existed in the country before the duties were fixed, and these millions must, therefore, have employed the same amount of labour whether the taxes were imposed or not. In the same way, the millions representing protected wage seem no less unconvincing; for the reason that the capital already existing must have paid them, duty or no duty. It has been seen how Protection reduces prices in one of the most highly protected industries in the world, which has constantly lowered prices, and if such reductions as these are studied, they may lead to more or less skeptical conclusions with refer- ence to the advantages of taxing the poor man's needs in order to make them cheaper. All these millions, therefore, representing protected capital and protected wages seem valueless in demonstrating the advan- tages of Protection for the wage- worker: First, because capital is brought into being through the natural action of industry and trade, and not through the imposition of import duties. Second, because 40 The Old Protection Pt. I Bk. I Protection and Labour ) i; existing capital must employ labour, duty or no duty. Third, because Protection never really lowers price; if it did, the tax would not protect. Many considerations are advanced with reference to the supposed advantages gained by labour through the protective duty, the majority depending, however, directly or indirectly, upon the assumption that protective taxation creates a demand for labour, which implies the crea- tion of capital. As it is, however, impossible to discuss the subject of Protection in relation to labour, without constantly meeting this ** created" demand, it may be well to discuss the conclusions suggested, supposing this miraculous demand possible. Section n — The Raising of Wages by Protective Taxation There are two ways of raising wages: one by lowering the price of commodities, another by increasing the demand for labour. The first method has been discussed as applied to Protection which lowers prices* The supposed increase in the demand for labour created by protective taxes remains. If it is admitted that a tax on a commodity can increase, or create, a demand for labour, it by no means follows that such a tax can raise wages. There is an established economic principle that value depends upon supply and demand. In order to show that Protection increases the value of labour, or raises wages, it seems essential not only to show the increased demand, but, in addition, that this demand exceeds the avail- able supply. Until the total demand reaches and passes the total supply, wages will apparently remain at much the same level, imaffected by any increased demand. The fact that in all protectionist countries a por- tion of the population is in a state of unemployment, seems to show that Protection does not absorb the total available supply of labour and is thus probably without influence in increasing wages. As long as a mass of unemployed labour exists in any protectionist country there is ground for the opinion that the taxation of goods will never effectively raise the average level of wages; cannot, in fact, raise such an average until all the unemployed have found occupation. Other considerations lead to the same conclusions, even although it is admitted that a tax is capable of creating a demand for labour — that is, capital. If the labour in any country is divided into two classes, pro- tected and improtected, the first class can apparently form but a small fraction of the total, for the following reasons. Unprotected labour is that portion which meets the entire home demand and at the same time 41 produces the whole of industrial exports; this labour represents all nor- mal home consumption, all exporting industry, together with all the labour employed in transportation, building trades, and other daily occupations, independent of import duties. The protected labour, on the other hand, represents only that industry unable to meet the home demand without artificial aid. The bulk of unprotected labour, there- fore, must apparently be greatly in excess of protected labour, and it seems that the greater number will dominate the labour market; that is, decide the rate of wages. In other words, that protected wage will simply depend upon the price of unprotected labour. The United States come nearest the realization of the protectionist dream. In all literature dealing with the subject, the United States are cited as the shining example of the advantages of Protection. It is, therefore, in the United States that the protection of labour is carried to the fullest extent, and consequently there the largest proportion of protected wage-workers may be found. In an analysis 1 of the census returns for 1900, it has been shown that the proportion of protected to unprotected labour in the United States is approximately as 1:46. In other words, in that heavily protected country, there are forty-six unprotected wage-workers for every protected wage- worker. In order, therefore, to accept the protective theory of wages, it is necessary to suppose: first, that an import duty can create a demand for labour, which impUes that it can create capital; and, in addition, that one man in forty-seven can affect the wages received by forty-six, while at the same time a mass of unemployed labour is found in every large city in the country. To suppose that protective taxes can raise the price of wages seems analogous to the assumption that damming up a stream raises the level of the ocean into which it flows. Section III — Pauper Labour and Protection The effect of protective taxation is to raise prices to the home con- sumer; if it does not, it ceases to protect. This benefits the sellers of commodities; the wage-worker, however, is not a seller of commodities but a seller of labour, and it seems not unnatural to ask why the in- creased price of commodities should benefit the seller of labour? The price of labour is measured in money, as is the price of commodities; as the value of the latter goes up, the value of wages must apparently go down; it must require a greater amount of labour to obtain the same » Mr. Edward Atkinson. Fads and Figures the Basis of Economic Science, p. 42, ' 42 The Old Protection Pt. I commodities. Yet this increased price is urged as a benefit to labour; the worker is practically told that the less the value of his wages, that is, the higher the price of commodities, or the more he has to work, the better off he is. , . , , This position gives rise to the "pauper labour" argument which has long gone hand in hand with the " infant industry " in the fields of classic Protection. The position may be stated as follows: The foreigner works for so much; we naturally desire a higher standard of wages; we, therefore, have but to exclude the foreigner from our markets by means of the omnipotent import duty and aU wiU be well. The price of goods wiU go up, wages will be paid at a higher rate, a demand for labour wUl be created, and all the blessings of the protectionist paradise enjoyed by the people. i- j • j The **pauper labour" position assumes that cost of production de- pends entirely upon the rate of wages, and that tiie rate of wages depends upon the price of goods. If the first were true, it would naturally follow that India and Chma, with their enormous populations and small wage, would control the industrial markets of the world. If cost of production depended entirely on wages, no low-wage European countiy would need Protection against relatively high-wage England and America. If wages were the dominant factor in production, how, it might be asked, could high-wage England have held the commercial supremacy of the world for more tiian half a century without a single protective tax on her schedules? The facts, when examined in the markets of the world, seem to show that cost of production does not depend upon wages, but upon the natural resources of a country, upon the skill of a population, upon its abiUty to invent and make use of machinery, and, very largely, upon its inteUigence applied to systematic production and the organization of industry. The assumption that the rate of wages depends upon high pnce sug- gests tiie following considerations: The taxing of the food of the English people under the Com Laws was a form of Protection maintained m order to put up prices in the interests of the land-owning classes of England. The manufacturing class was unprotected by this form of taxation; on the contrary, it was found that it must discourage manu- factures, England bemg a food importing country. As nations can only exchange their products with each other, and as imports must always be the equivalent of exports, it was found that England, by taxing, or restricting her unports (foodstuffs), was in reality taxing, or restricting, Bk. I Protection and Labour 43 her own exports (manufactures). In other words, England, in forcing up the price of her own cereals, as against foreign pauper labour, was ren- dering her own manufactures proportionately more diflScult and closing the foreign market to them; in other words, protecting the manufactures of foreign coimtries. This attitude of manufacturing capital in England led to the final overthrow of the Corn Laws. Thus, as long as land- owning legislation was dominant in England, Protection demanded high- priced foodstuffs in order to protect English labour against the foreign pauper. This kind of Protection, however, it was found, protected foreign manufactures, and, when the influence of manufacturing capital began to be felt in Parliament, Protection demanded low-priced food- stuffs, in order to protect the people from the foreign pauper. The repeal of the Com Laws in England was as much a protective measure as the tax on grain. One measure was dictated by the land-owning class, the other by the manufacturing class; and protection against the pauper foreigner was made the excuse both for the high price and the low price of the same commodities. The English Com Laws protected foreign manufactures by checking English imports. In the United States, a food-producing nation, conditions exactly the reverse of those of England might be expected to produce the same results: protect foreign manufactures of highly finished products. How this is done may be shown in the following extract from a com- prehensive review of American trade conditions in 1830:^ "The injurious effect which the duty has on the numerous mechanics employed in the various manufactures of iron has been so ably and forcibly exposed in their representations to your honourable body, that we have nothing to add on that subject; but, as we beg leave respectfully to refer to their memorials, we must do it with one exception. So far as we are informed, we are induced to believe that they have overrated the quantity of iron contained in the hardware imported into this coun- try — an error, which, if it is one, does not weaken their arguments respecting the main question at issue. The leading facts are, that amongst the foreign manufactures imported into the United States, hardware, cutlery and all others of which iron is the material, are ex- ceeded only by those of cotton, woollen, and silk stuffs; and that the prime cost of the quantity annually consumed amounts to $3,500,000, whilst that of the bar iron imported from England, whence the manu- » The Free Trade Memorial addressed to the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States. Albert Gallatin. State Papers and Speeches on the Tarijf. Taussig, p. 177. 44 The Old Protection Pt. I factures of that metal are almost exclusively imported, does not amount to $240,000. Whatever may be the quantity of bar iron used in the manufacture of hardware and other articles thus im- ported, it interferes equally with American bar iron, whether imported as a raw material or in its manufactured state. If the quantity thus used does not, as is asserted, exceed 9,000 tons, the prime cost of which is less than $350,000, the duty which prevents its importation arrests the progress of those branches of industry which would otherwise convert that raw material into manufactured articles, worth $3,500,000. The workingmen who are able and willing to apply their labor to this highly desirable and truly profitable object, do not ask your honourable body for any extraordinary protection, but only that the impediments arising from an extravagant protecting duty on the raw material be removed. " The United States thus seems to be doing the same thing as England before she abolished the Com Laws. The taxation of raw materials protects foreign manufacturers of finished products and consequently diminishes the possible demand for American labour. The illustration offered is dated as far back as 1832. It might be supposed that sub- sequent legislation had altered this anomaly, pointed out so long ago. The following passage, therefore, may be of interest, written by Mr. Atkinson, with reference to the same industries as late as 1904. In refering to the analysis of the iron and steel industries by Mr. Wells, already cited, Mr. Atkinson^ says: "I shared with him in making this analysis, which is carefully guarded, is conservative, and is far within the mark in proving that in the ten years which elapsed from 1888 to 1897 the excess of disparity in price paid by the consimiers of this ocuntry mainly to the producers of iron and steel, stated by Mr. Wells at five hundred and sixty million dollars ($560,000,000) was in fact nearer seven hundred millions ($700,000,000) than the sum named. This disparity, whatever the price may have been in either year in this country or in Europe, rendered it impossible for the converters of pig and bar iron into machinery and the higher types of metallurgy of this coimtry to compete with the workshops of Europe, while the iron and steel makers of the crude forms of pig, ingot, and bar were enabled to convey enormous sums from the pockets of the consumers into their own quickly accumulated wealth. The intermediate con- sumers of these crude forms of metal, the machinists, the tool makers, » Edward Atkinson. Facts and Figures the Basis of Economic Science, p. io8. Bk. I Protection and Labour 45 and that vast body of craftsmen far more numerous than all occupied upon the pig, bar, and rail, were restricted and oppressed, while their competitors in Europe were fully protected in control of all the markets of the world and in part of the home market in this country. " These two statements of certain industrial conditions in the United States present the action of a system of restrictive taxation extending over three-quarters of a century. They suggest that such taxation had suppressed, or rendered less productive, an incalculable amount of val- uable industry, while the capital actually employed under forced prices merely employed labour in "laboriously doing nothing," as Mill says. Capital is not created by import duties, but by accumulations saved from productive industry. So far then as industry is checked, or rendered less productive by taxation, it seems safe to assume that the production of wealth and the accumulation of capital is checked pro- portionately. If, however, the accumulation of capital is checked, the demand for labour will apparently be diminished at the same time. Just as the English Com Laws, in checking English imports checked Eng- lish exports and, consequently, the demand for English labour, so must all artificial checking of production in any country restrict the normal accumulation of capital in that country and consequently restrict the demand for labour. Nor does it seemingly make any difference to what height prices may be forced by taxation. Such forcing of prices will simply protect the foreigner to a certain extent, and, as long as a mass of unemployed labour floods the centres of population, has little effect on wages. "The theory that high prices make high wages," says Mr. Atkinson, 1 "is so shallow as to make one wonder that any man of common sense should present it. When it is remembered that ninety (90) per cent, of the demand for food, fuel, clothing, and shelter is for the supply of small farmers, farm laborers, common laborers, wage-earners, factory operatives, mechanics, and persons of small fixed incomes, it becomes plain that high prices quickly diminish consumption by leading to forced economy. This tends at once to lessen the demand for labor, to the dis- charge of large numbers of workmen, and to efforts to reduce rates of wages; then follow strikes, and other misdirected efforts to get relief. One may sympathize with the workmen under these conditions without approving their misdirected methods. " The pa uper labour argument says that a population should tax itself 1 Facts and Figures the Basis of Economic Science, p. 32. 46 The Old Protection Pt. I as protection against the low- wage foreigner. What are the facts in high wage America in one of the most highly protected industries in the worid? "In 1880," says the Pittsburgh Survey,^ "Slavs, Lithuanians, and Italians did not form one per cent of the population in either Pitts- burgh or Allegheny. By 1890 they had reached four per cent, and out of an army of 90,000 wage-earners, one in every ten was an inmiigrant from southeastern Europe. By 1900, one-third of the foreign-born were of this new immigration, and the movement of the Teutonic and Keltic races had practically ceased. We must wait until the census enumera- tion of 19 10 before we may definitely know what proportion these new- comers form to-day, but it may safely be assumed that the percentage of foreign-bom in the greater city will equal that of 1900, thirty per cent, or roughly, 200,000, half of whom will be from southeastern Europe. Poles, Italians, and Jewish immigrants head the list. Lithuanians, Croatians, Servians, Slovaks and Ruthenians are numbered by the thousands, and Magyars, Greeks, Bohemians, and Roumanians are here in lesser groups. . . So the Slav gains his foothold in the Pitts- burgh industries," continues the Report, 2 " and in the doing of it, he undermines the mcome of the next higher mdustrial group and gains the enmity of the Americans. Shrewd superintendents are known not only to take advantage of the influx of unskilled labour to keep down day wages, but to reduce the pay of skilled men by a gradually enforced system of promoting the Slavs. " This seems to be the way the pauper labour taxes, and high prices, keep up wages practically. They suppress the more highly finished and diversified forms of production, they congest capital, which might have been employed in these, in enormous acamiulations acting imder taxa- tion; and then the foreign pauper labour is imported in shoals in order to compete in a free trade labour market and keep wages at the lowest possible level. Section IV — Protected Labour in the United States If any country in the world can show the practical realization of protectionist theories, that country is the American Republic, not only because of its unlimited development of the protective system, but because its industrial career was begun under the most favourable conditions, freed from vicious, inherited institutions. A brief glance, * Charities and the Commons, January, zgog, p. 534. *Ibi Work and Wages. Thorold Rogers. M. P., p. 553. 54 The Old Protection Pt. I hitherto been the result, and the impoverishment and dependence of labour — a consequence as certain though not so manifest. The more remote but inevitable consequence, a bitter distrust and growing enmity of the labourer toward the employer, has been occasionally seen in the furious outbreaks which have from time to time occurred in America, and are likely to recur whenever, as is frequent in protected trades, a great depression comes over a special industry. "From sheer folly, or from interested motives, a belief that better profits would ensue to employers, or in order to serve party ends by giving a false interpretation of economical phenomena, there are persons who are foolish or wicked enough to advocate the return to a protective policy in England imder the name of fair trade. The good sense of the better educated and more experienced English workman shows him that his acceptance of this doctrine would be nugatory in articles of voluntary use, and suicidal in those of necessary use, and he has, therefore, rejected the suggestion." Book II THE NEW PROTECTION CHAPTER I ANALYSIS OF THE NEW PROTECTION A STUDY of the older phases of Protection on both sides of the Atlantic dwells upon those aspects of protective theory which have played their part in economic controversy since the days of Adam Smith and long before; it deals with that school of economic thought to which the Scottish philosopher is sometimes assiuned to have given the death-blow, and which Mill, in his time, regarded as a false theory and a negligible quantity in England at least. ^ How far this death-blow has proven effective may be judged by the degree in which the nations of the Old and the New Worlds have aban- doned or maintained fiscal restrictions upon their trade and industry. The extent to which Protection may be regarded as a negligible quantity in England is shown by its prominence or the reverse upon the horizon of English politics to-day. England has represented for the past half century the freest com- mercial system in the world; she has, as it were, been the standard bearer of that Liberalism invoked by Adam Smith, which Bright and Cobden helped to carry to one successful issue at least; the Liberalism associated with the names of Burke, Peel, Gladstone, Moriey and a host of able Englishmen instrumental in obtaining the repeal of the Com Laws. The year 1848 marked a turning point in English history, when the laws taxing the food of the people were repealed and England stood alone among the nations of the world, with unprotected industry and unpro- tected labour. Such an experiment, on so vast a scale, undertaken by one of the leading industrial and commercial nations of the world, must be among the most instructive events in economic history. The practical outcome of such a policy must apparently be conclusive, and after » Principles of Political Economy, Bk. V., ch. x., § i, p. 552. $s S6 The New Protection Pt. I half a century of unrestricted commerce demonstration reached in the controversy between Protection and Free Trade. By many so it is supposed to be. One difficulty alone remains: the free-trader regards the results as demonstrating his original position, while the protectionist points to the same results and remarks that, now,' at last, Free Trade has been put to the test of experience, and proved inadequate. The discussion remains much as at first, except that new conditions and readjustments in industrial and commercial affaire have formed a new ba^is for protective considerations, not avail- able under a less highly developed system of production and distribution. The citation of Smith and MiU with reference to latter-day Protection is, to the minds of many, as though the authority of a medieval astrologer were invoked, in order to disprove modem astronomical theory. The New Protection has passed beyond the age to which the demonstrations of Mill and Smith applied. It takes its origin, it is said, from conditions poUtical, economic, and industrial, of which the eariier economists knew nothing, owing to the extraordinary changes in productive and distribu- tive methods of the past few decades. "The new era of Protection," says Professor Schmoller,* "has arisen not because economists and statesmen have been unable to understand the beautiful arguments of Free Trade, nor because a few monopolists and manufacturers have dominated the Government: it has arisen from the natural instincts of the peoples. It does not only rest — in many cases it does not primarily rest — on List's doctrine of educative tariffs (the 'productive powers' or 'infant industries' argument); it arises from a motive which is rather instinctively felt than clearly Understood viz., that tariffs are international weapons (Machtmittel) which may benefit a country, if skillfully used. " Considerations such as these present a new field of inquiry. The new protectionist questions or denies the majority of the conclusions of Smith and Mill with reference to the eariier phases of the protective system; he may go farther than this, and accept the majority of their demonstrations, but base his opinion upon later conditions with which they were unfamiliar; or he may complete the circle of his economic evolution and cite isolated passages from Smith and Mill in order to dis- prove the body of their own conclusions. This is a familiar attitude in the New Protection and renders it impossible to disregard the opinion of these writers, a lthough the value of their views is questioned at the outset. » Sckriften des Vercins fUr SociaipolUik, quoted by Professor Ashley. The TarijS Problem, p. 3a Bk. II Analysis of the New Protection 57 The Old Protection still meets most of the mental needs of the United States. Until recently, beyond the lowering or revision of duties, the policy has been little discussed in practical affairs, and a few references to the "infant industry," "pauper labour," or the "balance of trade," generally suffice to lull the population into intellectual security. The greater political experience and knowledge of the older world, how- ever, demand other sedatives. These are supplied by the new school of Protection. England, because of her Free Trade, and Germany, owing to her recent industrial activity, are the two nations in which the New Protection has taken deepest root, and which present conditions most favourable to its growth. In these, as in otiier countries, however, the modern aspects of the protective policy may be used simply as develop- ments of the older phases, they may be advanced in conjunction with, in addition to, or entirely independent of, the more familiar system, 'in some ways the New Protection is distinct from the Old, in others they are interwoven so intimately as to become indistinguishable. This makes it difficult at times to reduce the New Protection to clear statement, independent of the classic school. The popular system has therefore been reviewed, as reference to it is often necessary in a study of the later positions. An examination of the chief writers and statesmen dealing with the New Protection in England and Germany will, in all likelihood, permit the groupmg of its canons under the six following propositions: I. Protective taxation may be used to advantage in the development of productive potentialities, or potential values. n. Protective taxation may act advantageously in the attraction of foreign capital. m. Tariff schedules present an effective diplomatic lever, or weapon in tiie negotiation of treaties, the formulation of trade advantages, and in ob- ^^cT'''''^'''^'''' ^""^^ commercial and political, from other nations IV. The import duty may be profitably used in the support and protection of long established and important national industries threat- ened by unfair competition, or "dumping," of foreign producers, and also as a means of msuring tiie foreign market as far as possible to the home producer. V. Imperialism, the assurance of national industrial independence, food supply and so forth. ' VI. Progress. S8 The New Protection Pt. I Notwithstanding the great variety of positions from which Protection maybe viewed, and the changing nature of the grounds upon which it may be supported, there are few considerations in favour of the protective import duty not to be grouped, either with the conventional Protection, or under one or more of these six headings of the later school, ranging from productive potentialities to progress in its widest applica- tion. These six positions of the New Protection may therefore be ex- amined. CHAPTER n PRODUCTIVE POTENTIALITIES THE doctrine of Adam Smith ^ is that "No regulation of com- merce can increase the quantity of industry in any society beyond what its capital can maintain." If, therefore, any industry is maintained by artificial means, it can exist but through the creation of prices higher than necessary; in other words, through national loss, to an extent proportionate to the increased price. The popular Protection demurs at the acceptance of this position; the New Protection, on the contrary, recognizes it as fimdamental, economic truth; pointing out, however, that this position, although true, is true as referring to present, or existing, values alone; which leaves the question of future possibilities untouched. "Protection," says Professor Ashley,^ "always involves at first a loss — not, indeed, always proportionate to the tariff; this is a Free Trade exaggeration to which I shall return later — a loss which is expressed in the easiest way by saying that the con- sumer has to pay more than he otherwise would for the protected com- modities. If he does not. Protection is imnecessary. But everything turns upon the words at first. " Roscher^ puts the case as follows: "The sacrifices which the protec- tive system directly imposes on the national wealth consist in products, fewer of which, with an equal straining (Anstrengung) of the productive forces of the country, are produced and enjoyed than free trade would procure. But it is possible by its means to build up (bUden) new pro- ductive forces, to awaken slumbering ones from their sleep, which, in the long run, may be of much greater value than those sacrifices. Who would say," he asks, "that the cheapest education is always the most advantageous?" He cites List's* contrast of "two owners of estates each of whom has five sons, and can save i,ooo thalers a year. The one 1 The Wealth of Nations, Bk. IV., ch. iL, p. 26. • The Tariff Problem, p. 24. •Roscher, Political Economy, Lalor's Translation, Vol. 11., p. 432. * List, Nationales System der polit. Oeconomie, Kap — 12. 59 -»j[a^ 6o The New Protection Pt, I brings his sons up as tillers of the ground (5a«er«=peasants) and puts his savings out at interest. The other, on the contrary, has two of his sons educated as rational (rationelle) agriculturists, and the others as mtelhgent industrial workers, and at a cost which prevents the possi- bility of his accumulating any more capital. Which of the two has cared better for the standing, wealth, etc., of his posterity; the adherent of the theory of exchangeable values,' or the adherent of the doctrine of productive forces'?" The "scientific Protection" of List is here met; the position which List, in the words of Professor Ashley > has made the basis of his Protectionist doctrine. As List phrased it the quesUon of the productive powers of a country and their possible development is far more important than that of present values: it might be well worth while to incur a loss for a time in order to secure a more than proportionate future gain. " The import duty is here urged as of economic advantage on the grounds that permanent and relatively greater mdustrial values may be developed by sustauung a temporary loss; that, while prices may be increased temporarily, they may be lowered permanently, thus creating eventuaUy more than compensating gain. In other words, it is impossible, appar- ently, to distinguish between the "productive powers "of the modem scientific Protection" and the "infant industry" of the classic Protec- tion. They are, it seems, identical; and nothing can be urged m favour of one not to be urged in favour of the other with equal validity. Professor Schmoller speaks of them as identical. Professor Ashley brings up the well-worn passage from Mill in their support. The familiar in- dustnal nursling appears once more; and, if such backward oflfspring are to be educated, there is reason to believe that the proper method is with du-ect bounties, and not with import duties; for in this way alone may the whole protective programme be avoided, and the artificial tax removed, when it is time for the productive powers to be realized in fact, and not m theory alone. In this way no future loss is necessarily entaJed; the 'powers" are given every chance to develop, and the people may estimate what they cost in pounds, shillings, and pence in relation to "present values." Mm may be quoted in support of the infant undertaking, the passage havmg been discussed at length with a direct view to these productive potentiahties of the New Protection. It would be interesting to know the total general eflfect of Mill's influence in connexion with Protection; i » The Tari£ Problem, pp. 25, 26. Bk. II Productive Potentialities 61 it would not be surprising, owing to this single passage, if the total net result of his writings had not been much in favour of the protective theory, rather than the reverse; although their entire tendency is dia- metrically opposed to it. Bright is quoted ^ as saying that this one pas- sage "would cause more injury to the world than all his writings would do good"; and, as Professor Ashley says, speaking of Mill's free trade friends, "they were quite right in their alarm." Wherever the infant industry argument is heard for a moment, full-grown Protection is a foregone conclusion. This celebrated passage may be cited in such a way that it seems to lend vastly more support to the infant industry than Mill intended. The New Protection appropriates the passage as follows ;2 "Protective duties can be defensible, on mere grounds of political economy, when they are imposed temporarily (especially in a young and rising nation) in hopes of naturalizing a foreign industry in itself perfectly suitable to the circmnstances of the country. " Quoted in this way, the passage seems to imply — as Mill regarded protective duties as "defensible upon mere grounds of political economy," especially under certain conditions — that he regarded them as defensible upon other grounds and under other conditions as well. In Mill's Principles of Political Economy appear the following words :8 "The only case in which, on mere principles of political economy, protecting duties can be defensible, is" et cetera . . . The original passage may suggest that Mill regarded protective duties as defen- sible, upon mere principles of political economy, imposed temporarily, in a single isolated instance; but, as indefensible upon other grounds and under other conditions. In this connexion, the following passage from Mill's^ letter to Mr. G. K. Holden of New South Wales, in 1868, is of interest: "I have not altered the opinion that such encouragement is sometimes useful, and that in many cases the most just mode in which it could be given is that of a temporary protecting duty, on condition that it should be known and declared to be merely temporary, and of no very long duration. But I confess that I almost despair of this general understanding being ever prac tically established. I find that in Australia Protection is not » Mr. Carnegie. Empire of Business, cited by Professor Ashley, The Tariff Problem, p. 24. « Professor Ashley, The Tariff Problem, p. 24. » Professor Ashley's edition of MiU is cited. Bk. V., ch. x.. § i p. 922. * LeUers of John Stewart MiU, Vol. II., p. 116. 62 The New Protection Pt. I advocated in this form nor for this purpose, but that the vulgarest and most exploded fallacies are revived in its support. " These considerations led Mill to abandon his infant industry position, as is shown in his letter ^ to Mr. A. M. Francis of Queensland, in 1869: " The only opinion I intended to withdraw was that which recommended, in certain cases, temporary protective duties in new coimtries to aid the experimental introduction of new industries. And even on this point I continue to think that my opinion was well grounded, but experience has shown that protectionism, once introduced, is in danger of perpetu- ating itself through the private interests it enlists in its favour, and I therefore now prefer some other mode of public aid to new industries, though in itself less appropriate." Thus, when the New Protection cites Mill in support of the Protection of the infant industry, it is citing him in support of a position which he finally abandoned. It is also of interest to note how the name even of Adam Smith may be used in support of this phase of the New Protection. With reference to the position that the productive powers of a country may be of greater importance than present values, Professor Ashley 2 says: "Considera- tions such as these were not absolutely imknown to Adam Smith; it is remarkable how many ideas which we are wont to ascribe to later times are to be found somewhere in his pages. He recognises that ' advantages ' are not always 'natural'; they may be 'acquired,' and the effect will be just the same. But against the obvious reply that some countries may have advantages still to 'acquire,' he has absolutely nothing to say but to express his doubt as to the probability of ever recouping the tempo- rary loss. Yet it is evident that to leave the matter to a judgment of probability is to concede the possibility that a protective policy may in some cases be economically justifiable; and it is evident also that Smith's policy involves the stereotyping of existing conditions. " The New Protection thus suggests: first, that Adam Smith, in express- ing his doubt of the economic advantage of a specific protective policy conceded the possible advantage of a general protective policy, in some cases; second, that Smith's policy involves the '' stereotyping of existing conditions." It is not easy to follow the New Protection at this point for the reason that if Smith's policy concedes the economic advantage of protective taxation in "some cases," it is not clear in what way it involves the stereotyping of existing conditions. Or if it involves the latter * Ibid, p. 200. » The TariJ Problem, p. 26. Bk. II Productive Potentialities 63 condition, how it can concede the economic justification of a protective policy in some cases : the two propositions seem mutually exclusive. Per- haps Smith's own words are the best interpretation of his meaning with reference to the acquired advantages of the New Protection. Professor Ashley does not cite the page of Smith's work in which this concession may be foimd; he doubtless, however, refers to the following passage: "By means of such regulation, indeed," says Smith/ "a particular manu- facture may sometimes be acquired sooner than it could have been otherwise, and after a certain time may be made at home as cheap or cheaper than in the foreign country. But though the industry of the society may be thus carried with advantage into a particular channel sooner than it could have been otherwise, it will by no means follow that the sum total, either of its industry or of its revenue, can ever be aug- mented by such regulation. The industry of the society can augment only in proportion as its capital augments, and its capital can augment only in proportion to what can be gradually saved out of its revenue. But the immediate effect of every such regulation is to diminish its revenue, and what diminishes its revenue is certainly not very likely to augment its capital faster than it would have augmented of its own accord, had both capital and industry been left to find out their natural employments. "Though for want of such regulations the society should never acquire the proposed manufacture, it would not, upon that accoxmt, necessarily be the poorer in any one period of its duration. In every period of its duration its whole capital and industry might still have been employed, though upon different objects, in the manner that was most advan- tageous at the time. In every period its revenues might have been the greatest which its capital could afford, and both capital and revenue might have been augmented with the greatest possible rapidity. "The natural advantages which one country has over another in producing particular commodities are sometimes so great that it is acknowledged by all the world to be in vain to struggle with them. By means of glasses, hot-beds, and hot walls, very good grapes can be raised in Scotland, and very good wine, too, can be made of them at about thirty times the expense for which at least equally good can be brought from foreign countries. Would it be a reasonable law to pro- hibit the importation of all foreign wines, merely to encourage the making o f claret and burgundy in Scotland? But if there would be a manifest : » The Wealth of Nations, Bk. IV.. ch. u., p. 30. 64 The New Protection Pt. I absurdity in turning toward any employment thirty times more of the capital and mdustry of the country than would be necessary to purchase from foreign countries an equal quantity of the commodities wanted there must be an absurdity, though not altogether so glaring, yet exacti; oIe^r,T . ' !? :T^ '"^"""^ ""^ ^"** employment a thirUeth, or even a three-hundredth part more of either. Whether the advantages which one country has over another be natural or acquired, is in this Th f>, r ~°^«q"«°<=«- As long as one country has those advantages and the other wants them, it will always be more advantageous for fhe latter rather to buy of the former than to make. It is an acquired !nXT f"" ""^ T ^''^''' ^^' ^^^^ ^' «««'^'^«"' ^ho exercises another trade; and yet they both find it more advantageous to buy of tr"ades°" ' '° '°^' ^^^* '^'^ °°' ^''""^ to their particular To read the "stereotyping of existing conditions" into this passage, th:.t"!,°; i"^". ' •''' '''"'^^ '^'''''^ ^"-^ ^l^"ly ^"PP°rted opinion that natural mdustnes are mvariably of greater value to a nation than taxed mdustnes, is not difficult; yet, at the same time, to discover con- cessions with reference to the "possibility that a protective poUcy may m some cases be economically justifiable "is not so easy ^ ■' -^ The "infant industries," "productive powers and potentiaUties," educational tariffs," and so forth, have nothing but the import duty in common with Protection : they may even be supported by men opposed to protective measures, as the following passage shows • Says Roscher,! "AU rational education keeps in view as its object the subsequent independence of the pupil. If it desired to continue its guardianship, the payment of fees, etc., until an advanced age. It would thereby demonstrate either the pupil's want of capacity, or the absurdity of its methods. The industrial protective system also can be justified as an educational measure only on the assumption tiiat it may be gradually dispensed with; that is, tiiat, by its means, there may be a prospect of attaining the freedom of trade. In the case of all highly avJized nations, the presumption is in favor of freedom of trade, both at home and abroad, and in such nations the desire for a protective system must be looked upon as a symptom of disease. " Thiers^ said in tiie Chamber of Deputies, in 1834: "Used as a retalia- tory mea sure, the tariff is fatal; as a favour, it is an abuse; as an en- » PolUical Economy. Vol. II.. p. 442. • Ibid., p. 446. Bk. II Productive Potentialities 6s couragement of an exotic industry, which cannot be naturalized, it is impotent and useless. Used to protect an industry, which may succeed it is good; but it is good only temporarily; it should end when the educa- tion of the industry is complete, when it is grown up. " "Listi considers imiversal freedom of trade not only as the ideal, but also as the object which is to be striven for by temporary limitations on trade. " Two tendencies may be observed in the New Protection. The first is to repeat the arguments of the older school in more general terms, or with reference to industrial education. Reasons have been presented for believing that the import duty is disadvantageous with reference to tlie "infant industry" of the Old Protection. If the issue is shifted to "educational" grounds, it seems that the best method of educating industry is by means of a fixed bounty for a limited time, in order to learn the cost of the process, and the use of the education; both of which are impossible where an import duty is tolerated. Hamilton,2 the ablest of American protectionists, has been cited with reference to bounties in this connexion. In Germany, Rau,^ is quoted as preferring "to toler- ate state premiums (politically so dangerous), rather than protective duties, because, in the case of the former, the magnitude of the as- sumed sacrifice may be exactly estimated in advance." The second tendency of the New Protection is to quote Smith and Mill in such a way that the passages cited seem to refute the body of the works of these two really careful thinkers. Reference to the original passages is the best comment upon this phase of the New Protection. » Ibid. » Cf.. p. 25. • Lehrbuch, 11., 5214. cf. Roscher, Political Economy, Vol. II., p. 450. CHAPTER m THE ATTRACTION OF CAPITAL Section I — Capital Attracted by Taxation. Section n — Effects of Taxation on Capital. Sechon I — Capital Attracted by Taxation THE attitude of recognized political economy toward the relation of protective taxation to capital is that the tax is impotent so far as the creation of capital is concerned, taxation simply diverting existing capital from natural into artificial channels. The Old Protection, with its ''created" demand for labour, implies the creation of capital by taxation. The New Protection ignores this attitude of the popular policy, and may recognize the impossibility of either creating a demand for labour, or miracu- lously bringing capital into existence by the simple process of imposing import duties; yet the imposition of the duty in relation to capital is supported on other grounds. The mobility of capital is no longer governed, it may be said, by the economic conditions of the eighteenth or early nineteenth century; the facilities at present offered to profit-seeking tendencies, together with the modem use of machinery, having revolutionized productive and distributive methods easily within the memory of living man. These two influences, working together, lead to a transferability and mobility of capital of which Adam Smith could not have conceived, and which has grown with increasing rapidity since the days of Mill, with the result that large interests in old countries are found devoted to the establishment of industrial enterprise in newer communities. Capital may thus take wing, as it were, and transfer its beneficent influence from a free trade or low tariff area to a more highly protected society, in order to enjoy freedom from competition and larger profits. It is evident that where greater facilities for employment of capital are offered, or where greater profits are derived, a greater power of attracting capital exists. This power of attraction, too, owing to 66 Bk. II The Attraction of Capital 67 modern methods of transportation and communication, may have results which the earlier economists could not have contemplated with reference to the movement of capital from one country to another. It thus becomes of importance, in the development of the industrial life of the modern society, to offer every inducement to capital, not only in order to retain that existing in the country, but, if possible, to invite its importation and investment from abroad. Hence arises another function of the import duty — the attraction or retention of capital through the establishment of conditions favourable to its em- ployment. The considerations in favour of this phase of the new protective policy cannot be more clearly or thoughtfully presented than in the following passage from Professor Ashley:^ "The diffusion of manu- facturing industry over the world has been greatly assisted in the past, and is likely to be assisted far more in the future, by two sets of forces which deserve more attention than they have as yet received. The first is the profit-seeking tendency of capital, which pursues an immediate gain without any regard to the ultimate effect on national prosperity. In several different ways has the business enterprise of England — in a less degree and more recently that of other manufacturing countries also — assisted the foreign customers to dispense with foreign imports. This assistance at first took the form of the exportation of machinery for the manufacture of the same sort of goods, and this process is still going on. With the machinery has frequently been exported the skill necessary to manage it at first and to instruct the foreigner in its use.^ The significance of this educational service to backward coimtries has been pointed out by two observers, who — poles asunder as they are in their social attitude — resemble one another in their large ac- quaintance with economic fact and in their freedom from conventional judgments. 'Japan and China,' says Mr. Carnegie, 'are building factories of the latest and most approved character, always with British machinery and generally under British direction. The jute and cotton mills of India are numerous and increasing. It is stated that one British manufacturing concern sends abroad the complete machinery for anew mill every week.'3 'English and German capitalists, English engineers and firemen,' says Prince Krapotkin, 'have planted within » The Tarif Problem, p. 75. « In one case, that of Park. Brother & Co., ot Pittsburg, in 1862, "several hundred English workmen were imported to insure success." • Empire of Busittess, p, 317. 68 The New Protection Pt. I Bk. II The Attraction of Capital 69 m Russia the improved cotton manufactures of their mother countries; they are busy now in improving the woollen industries and the pro- duction of machinery; while Belgians are rapidly improving the iron trades in South Russia/ ^ And, as the last-named observer points out, the new producers start with advantages in the possession of the latest and best machinery, which only the most up-to-date plants in the older manufacturing countries possess. "In proportion as the wave of industrial production penetrates mto younger countries, it miplants there all the improvements due to a century of mechanical and chemical inventions; it borrows from science all the help that science can give to industry. The new manufactures of Germany began where Manchester arrived after a century of experi- ments and gropings; and Russia begins where Manchester and Saxony have now reached. "Equally important with the exportation of machinery and skill has been the investment of capital abroad; and it is this which has been most noteworthy in recent years. There has long been a good deal of investment of British capital in foreign works — thus the de- velopment of the railway system of the United States, which has done so much to stimulate manufactures in that country and in particular has reacted upon the British agricultural interests by the cheapening of the transportation of grain, has been to a considerable degree en- couraged by British capital. But in more recent years, with the heighten- ing of the tariff walls of other countries, there has been a movement of capital of a still more ominous kind — viz., the establishment by Eng- lish manufacturers of factories within the protected areas. Anyone who is acquainted with an English staple industry can at once furnish the names of several firms which have adopted this policy. I under- stand that this is the case, for instance, in the woollen industries, with the firms of J. F. Firth & Sons of Heckmondwike (carpet making), and Sir Titus Salt, Bart., Sons & Co., Limited, of Saltaire (dress goods, &c.), in the United States; of Isaac Holden & Sons, Limited, of Bradford (wool combing), in France; and of W. and J. Whitehead, of Bradford (worsted spinning), in Spam. In the cotton industry the Fine Cotton Spinners' Association have two or three mills in France; and Coats' is said to have a thread mill in Russia. In order to benefit by the fact that the German duty on yam is considerably lower than that on thiea,d, a Belfast linen firm has established thread works in Germany, * Fidds, Factories, and Workshops, p. 10. where it twists, bleaches, dyes, and finishes the yarn which it imports. In the metal and machinery trades the names occur to one of J. J. Savile & Co., of Sheffield (steel), with their works in Russia, and of Messrs. Weir, of Glasgow (ships' pumps), with their works in Germany." . . . "The second influence which ought to be noticed is the increasing use of more or less automatic machinery. The staple export industries of Great Britain used to call for large quantities of fairly skilled labour. In several of the great industries of to-day the tendency seems to be to replace this fairly skilled labour by, on the one side, a relatively small quantity of more highly intelligent labour in places of some respon- sibility, and, on the other side, a larger force of labour of a much lower grade of skill. It looks as if these manufactures in the future, instead of a great deal of quality B, will want a little of quality A, and the rest of quality C. Here we may listen again to Mr. Carnegie. ^ We may not agree with his political ideals; but we can recognise in him a man of the keenest insight into the methods of modern production: "*The mechanical skill of old is not generally required, but, where necessary for a few positions in each huge factory, is readily obtained from the older manufacturing lands. Automatic machinery is to be credited as the most potent factor in rendering non-essential to suc- cessful manufacturing a mass of educated mechanical labour, such as that of Britain or America; and thus making it possible to create manu- facturing centres in lands which, until recent years, seemed destined to remain only producers of raw material.' " If these passages are studied in relation to the " infant industry," a refutation of that position may be found in the protectionist's own words. The "infant industry" invites a society to tax itself in order to educate its productive potentialites. It is clear that such education can have no meaning other than development of machinery and skilled labour. But, says the "attraction of capital " argument, no such educa- tion is necessary, modern conditions making it possible for the newest' and most backward countries to import skiU and machinery without any trouble. The New Protection here presents also the exact reverse^ of the "pauper labour" argument. Low wage countries attract capital' from high wage countries, says the New Protection; why, then, should; a country tax itself in order to raise wages which must repel its own and i foreign capital toward low wage areas? J This po sition, however, presents the import duty upon wider grounds] » Empire 0/ Business, p. 319. 70 The New Protection Pt. I than any advanced by the older school. It may be pointed out that organized industry and assured profits within any thoroughly protected area to-day possess a power to attract and absorb capital from other countries to which earlier conditions present no parallel. "And it should be observed/' says Professor Ashley, ^ "that they furnish the protectionist with some additional theoretic arguments which are well worth weighing. Adam Smith argued that protection could only divert capital from one industry to another; the protectionist can reply that in many instances it has attracted fresh capital into the country. Adam Smith, again, relying on the transferability of capital, expected that the lessening of prosperity in one particular home industry owing to foreign competition would result in the transference of capital to another home industry. But, as we have seen, it may lead to the trans- ference of capital to the same industry in another country." Capital attracted from other countries exists where no capital existed before; it brings its stimulating influence to bear upon industrial life, where no such stimulus may be regarded as otherwise possible. Where capital moves in this way, industry is actually encouraged, and a demand for labour created within the protected area. This encouragement and creation do not seem valid as advanced by the conventional Pro- tection; they do apply, however, as understood by the newer school and must, therefore, be accepted and discussed upon other grounds. Whether the attraction of capital is advantageous or not need not detam the attention; this position is analogous to the assumption of the orthodox Protection that industry should be encouraged. That productive industry should be encouraged may be admitted. In the previous discussion of the subject, the question resolved itself into what was the best and least expensive method of encouragement, and this seemed to be the removal of checks and restrictions upon its development. Here, agam, is met the question, not whether capital should be attracted but what is the best method of attraction; for it is obvious that cap^ ital may be attracted from one country to another by means other than the taxation of the vital and industrial needs of its population. The advantages or disadvantages of different methods of stimulating the mdustnal life of a society are not at first sight apparent in their relative degree of importance. When it is said that a nation gams more tiirough increasing its capital, by means of taxation, than it ioses m h igher prices and artificial conditions, the relation of the two ' r*? Tarif Problem, p. 73, Bk. II The Attraction of Capital 71 sides of the question is not at once clear. The capital gained is a de- finite fact, measurable in figures; the higher prices may be offset against the capital, but then occurs the consideration of the stimulus the im- ported capital has given to the productive powers of the nation with its important, but intangible, advantages. The discussion of the sub- ject usually ends in the expression of divergent opinion, owing to the difficulty of exact presentation of the relative cost and advantage gained. It may not seem impossible, however, to compute in pounds, shillings, and pence the relative cost and gain of two different methods of at- tracting capital; one, by means of the taxation of imports, which might be called the indirect method; and another, which might be called the direct method. The New Protection invites a nation to tax itself in such a way that it must pay artificial profits to capital, in order that home capital may remain within its boundaries, and that foreign cap>- ital be tempted to seek investment in the development of its industry. The New Protection thus taxes imports, puts up prices, and involves all the expense and every form of Protection, in order to pay exaggerated profits to capital. But it seems evident that any nation can pay profits to capital at any rate whatever, and attract all the capital it can profitably use, without taxing imports, putting up prices or involving any of the waste of Protection. Upon protectionist principles, the advantage gained by a nation in capital, attracted through import taxation, is evident — the nation gains the capital. It is also evident that the more heavily the nation is taxed, or the greater the profits offered, the greater will be its powers of attraction; in other words, that the import duty is only effective in attracting capital in proportion to the amount of taxes, in the form of profits, which it hands over to protected capital. The question thus resolves itself into the comparison of two methods of taxation, either of which may attract a given amount of capital. The New Protection taxes a nation in order to attract capital through abnormal profits; that is, through a higher rate of interest than the market rate for money. The average interest rate of a nation's se- curities is the standard by means of which other methods of attracting capital may be measured. It may be supposed that the difference between the two is 5 per cent; in other words, that a nation can borrow money at 3 per cent and that the average profits of capital attracted by Protection is 8 per cent. The actual percentages are unimportant, the essential 72 The New Protection Pt. I Bk, II The Attraction of Capital 73 feature being that the rate of profit guaranteed on capital, attracted by means of import duties, must be greater than die average rate for money; otherwise no capital would be attracted by the protected industries It may now be supposed that a certain amount of foreign capi'tal is bodily attracted from abroad by the import duty and invested in pro- tected mdustry._ Upon this assumption, everj. year a certain percenLe of the total capital must be sent abroad in profits and, if these are at about the rate of 8 per cent, at the end of twelve or thirteen years the foreigner has received his entire capital back again from the protected country. The taxing country seems, tiierefore, after such a i^od, which may be longer or shorter in proportion to taxed profits, no better off tiian before, and its capacity for employing labour no greater than at first. At the end of twenty-five or thirty yeare the protected nation has sent the entire amomit of die original capital out of the comitiy, togeUier witii an added quantity equal to it, and continues the process indefinitely. -IJese seem to be the results of adopting the protective, or indirect metiiod of attracting foreign capital. If tiie taxation imposed does not atti-act any capital, but is continued merely in order to prevent home capital from seeking foregin outlets, die nation is taxing itself in order to pay usurious interest on capital for which it has no legitimate use- and, at the same time, losing the real increase in its capital which might rofite "^ '^ '""''^ productive use abroad tiirough tiie return of Another method of attracting capital may now be examined. If the nation borrows the capital abroad at 3 per cent, it could be used in tiie encouragement of any industry as long as desirable. At tiie same cost to tiie nation as tiie indirectly attracted capiul with relation to tiiis industry alone, a sinking fund of 5 per cent could be created, tiie entire amount, prmcipal and interest, paid off in twenty years, the flow of capital out of tiie country stopped, and the industry owned at home at at Je same time. Which, it may be asked, is the most advantageous metiiod of attracting capital? To pay 8 per cent indefinitely, wi^ tiie loss of tiie entire capital gained eveiy ten or twenty years, or to pay 8 percent for twenty years when tiie capital remains at home? Or agam, it may be asked, which is the better policy? To pay x per cent for a definite amount of capiUl to be used for a definite puriise in a definite way, as long as desirable and tiien returned, or to pay 8 per cent mdefinitely on aU existing protected capital, in order to attract an indefinite amount of capital, to be used indefinitely for an indefinite purpose, without knowing in reality whether or not any capital is at- tracted; for, it must be remembered, that in order to attract capital by means of import duties a nation must guarantee artificial profits on all industries involved, although no capital is attracted during the process. If this is imderstood it may appear that in the foregoing comparison the cost of attracting capital by means of import taxes is much imderesti- mated; for the reason that such methods involve the paying of artificial profits upon the entire amount of the capital invested in all the protected industries of the country, although not one dollar, franc, or poimd of capital may be attracted. If any is attracted by such methods, however, it apparently costs the people many times, in all likelihood many himdreds of times, its real value; besides being constantly sent out of the country in profits and dividends. The same considerations apply to the subject of keeping capital in a coimtry by means of protective taxes. If the capital requires these taxes to keep it in the country, the wisest course seems to be to wish it godspeed, for the nation could easily obtain the same capital from other sources at far less expense than the protective taxes. When forei^ capital is attracted and incorporated within the do- mestic capital, and no profits sent abroad, analogous conditions are met. Capital can be attracted in this way but by a system of taxation guaranteeing permanent profits on all protected capital, whether at- tracted or not. By the issue of its obligations the nation would have the permanent use of any given amount of foreign capital at the nor- mal rate, paid on the amount actually attracted alone, and have the possibility always present of checking unnecessary expense; together with the advantage of knowing what it was doing, why it was doing it, and how much it cost. Section II—Effects of Taxation on Capital ^ The protective theory, that a nation gains the total capital which its taxes attract, is not only questionable, but improbable, for the following reasons: In the case of a single nation, there is reason to beHeve that taxation of mdustnal products but diverts existing capital from one form of employment to another, the protected capital moving from one in- dustry mto a less productive industry. International industry in general suggests analogous conclusions; namely, that the taxation of 74 The New Protection Pt. I industry diverts capital from one area into a less productive area, and the tendency to attract implies a counteracting tendency to repel. ^ In other words, taxes attracting capital may repel or expel other capital. The reasoning applying to a single nation applies to industrial condi- tions at large. It seems, in fact, that the most important movement of capital must be toward free trade, or freer trade areas, for the reason that the latter, on account of unrestricted industry and commerce, enjoy a more productive division of labour; and produce, in conse- quence, a relatively greater quantity of wealth, with its tendency to attract other wealth. England's maintenance of her position as the monetary centre of the world, without protective taxes, due doubtless to a number of causes, lends no little support to this position. "England is constantly investing abroad and so losing her capital," says the New Protection. Every million England sends abroad at 5 per cent returns two millions in forty years to English soil, and the process continues indefinitely. This attraction costs the nation nothing. The capital attracted in this way, therefore, creates more wealth than it displaces. The capital attracted by protective taxation and artificial profits, on the contrary, seems to displace more wealth than it creates; were this not so, the protective taxation would be unnecessary. * Cf. pp. 8x. Sy. CHAPTER IV DUMPING Section I Taxation for the Encouragement of Dumping. — Taxation for the Prevention of Dumping. Section II Section I — Taxation for the Encouragement of Dumping THE recent changes in modern industrial conditions, throughout the entire field of production and distribution, present many new considerations in support of theoretical Protection with which the older advocates of the school were unfamiliar. With different conditions, different problems arise. It may be asked to-day, not whether more normal or natural methods are best; but, as abnormal and unnatural conditions are everywhere prevalent, much more complicated questions are presented with reference to the best means of meeting these. Perhaps in few phases of modern industrial development are the changes so marked as in those traceable to the influence of great accumu- lations of fixed capital. On one side, capital is possessed of a mobility unknown to the earlier economic thinkers. On another, however, capital establishes itself in enormous plants and industrial systems, with fixed charges so great, and, at times, the possible margin between profit and loss so small, that the slightest checking of production may cause im- portant loss to owner and operative alike. Again, the productive powers of these great undertakings have been increased, and are increasing, through modern applications of steam and electricity, with great rapidity. These conditions, singly and together, give rise to a definitely conceived industrial policy rendered more effective by modem methods of com- munication and transportation. This poHcy is known to the modem economist as "dumping." In its later aspect, dumping is largely due to two causes: Protection and organized capital. Protection alone would probably be poweriess to carry on a system of industrial dumping on any important scale, for 75 76 The New Protection Pt. I home competition would be a constant check on prices. Organized capital would be Uttle more effective, for it would be compelled to meet competition from abroad, without the assistance of taxes controlling domestic prices. Combined, however, these two factors create industrial systems often free from competitive influence abroad as well as at home. The protective taxes shut out the foreign producer. Organization finding itself in control at home, casts its eye upon foreign markets; not as coming in competitive contact with the foreign producer, but as a means of disposing of surplus product. Price is of slight importance, for decreased cost of production, increased output and constant operation are the dominant considerations in this policy. The organization of capital, rendered at once easy and effective through the influence of a protective system, is carried to its fullest development in Germany and the United States; the latter country exhibiting, perhaps, the most remarkable achievements in this direction. As in all matters pertaining to exchange, there are, in connexion with dumping, two policies to be considered: the policy of the dumping nation and that of the nation into which the goods are dumped. In looking for concrete examples, the attention is drawn to Germany and the United States as those most efficient in dumping, on account of their organized capital sheltered behind protective taxation; and, on another side, to England, with her unprotected markets, as the nation most exposed to their industrial attacks. The policy of the nation producing the dumped goods will be considered first. Dumping is of two kinds: one, a constant and systematic policy; another, due to what Professor Ashley aptly calls ''the inexorable needs of fixed capital." In the first, the policy is adopted of producing a con- stant output greater than the home demand will support, and disposing of it abroad; in the second, a plant may, for various reasons, overstock the home market temporarily, and dispose of its surplus from time to time in other countries at any price obtainable. These two kinds of dumping may be distinguished as constant and intermittent. The intermittent variety may be neglected in relation to the producing nation; if it becomes of industrial importance it will resemble the constant kind and may be grouped with it. This industrial policy is of interest, both as an offshoot of protective taxation and in its effects upon the industrial and financial life of a nation supporting such a system. Its advantages have been cleariy and favourably expressed by a witness before the Industrial Commission Bk. II Dumping 77 of the United States, in 1899:1 "My idea is that English and German manufacturers invariably make a dumping ground of America when they are slack of work; they distribute their fixed charges over a fuU tonnage: they get their profit out of the home trade and dump their surplus into America. ... We want to take a leaf out of the book of the German and the Englishman, and we want to send stuff abroad. . . . The effect of the tariff in our special line of business is very material. We ship our products from one end of the United States to another. We ship to Maine and San Francisco, Seattie and Galveston. We go from one port to another with cotton ties, bands, everything of that kind. We have a rate of freight which is higher from Pittsburgh to the ocean points than the Englishman can send the stuff for. He can ship for four, six, eight shillings a ton to Galveston, Charieston, or any of tiiese ports;' and our freight from Pittsburgh is heavier by railroad tiian tiie freight across the water. Now if we had not tiiat tariff it would mean Uiat we should have to meet tiiat price. . . . We can manufacture more cheaply tiian anywhere else in tiie world, . . . but we could not reach all over tiiis country and compete with tiie foreigner in certain ways if we had not a tariff. '' Another witness is reported as follows : "Q. How does tiie export price compare with the price to the American consumers? A. We are seUing to the markets of the world at a less price than at home. " Q. Will you kindly explain the business reasons for doing that? A. The business reason for doing that is that by working up a foreign busmess we can operate our mills more fully, we can make our goods cheaper, and whenever the time comes tiiat there is a decline of the home price it will not necessarily affect tiie foreign prices. There are times when the export prices are higher tiian the home prices Just at the present time our home prices, I tiiink, are probably 50, 60, or 70 cents ahundred higher than our export. I do not really know just the difference but I know tiiere is a difference in favour of export to-day. At times It IS the otiier way. But by manufacturing, say, 200,000 tons of wire per annum to export to all parts of the world we cheapen tiie entire cost of manufacture veiy materially. By doing tiiat we are able to give the consumer at home a lower price in tiie long nm, and employ perhaps 25 ZZn^r^^ "^r T^^'^' '^ "^"^ ^ '^^ ^^^S ^ ^^ fig^^ that it wil equahz^itself . Our home prices and our foreign prices are never neces- PP.S^ '^ ""• '' '"^"^'"^ ^^"'»*^^^''' •• '-5- ^'^^ by Professor Ashley. Tke Tanjf Problem. *l ;» 'it' I' ! i: 78 The New Protection Pt. I sarily on a parity; one might be higher and the other might be lower; it would depend entirely on circumstances. " With this data, the advantages of supporting protected industries which sell abroad for less than at home may be summarized as follows: First, in developing a foreign demand the cost of production is lessened, and the home consumer benefited by a lowered price. Second, by increasing the output of a plant, a greater quantity of labour is employed than would otherwise be possible, thus creating a demand for labour, raising wages and so forth. It will be admitted that among the most effective methods of lowering cost of production is constant operation and increased output; that dump- ing decreases cost of production is evident; that decreased cost of produc- tion permits lower home prices is dear; that protected dumping industries are, in consequence, able to sell to the home consumer at a lower price than would otherwise be possible is obvious; that they do so at times is probable, for net gain may often be increased in this way, especially if the demand begins to fall off: that protected dumping industries ever lowerthereal, or normal price, in the home market is, however, neither dear nor obvious. It may even appear evident that they not only do not do so, but never can; and that the existence of the protected price, forced by means of taxation, is demonstration of the validity of such a position. As one of the authorities dted observes: "If we had not that tariff, it would mean that we should have to meet that price." It thus seems that dumping, or the non-competitive exploitation of foreign markets, by means of a forced price at home, is not a very effective factor in lowering prices in the home market; that it may, or may not, lower protected prices is of slight importance, but that it lowers normal prices seems a position neither in harmony with the facts nor with the testimony presented. The Protection which lowers price has been discussed with reference to one of the most important dumping industries in the world; there seems, therefore, little advantage in developing the subject in this direction. There is reason to believe that it has cost the American people many hundred of millions during the past ten years to lower prices in this way in a single dumping industry and that the "lowered" prices were always very much higher than necessary during the entire process of reduction. Exhaustive statistical demonstration of this position is found in the works of Mr. D. A. Wells, 1 and in those of Mr. Edward Atkinson.^ > Recent Economic Changes, Appendix p. 467. « Pacts and Figures the Basis of Economic Science, p. 108 et seq. Bk. II Dumping yg When a nation is urged to tax itsdf in order to supply the foreigner with its products at less than the home price, so that the demand for labour may be increased, wages raised, and so on, the long familiar arguments of the dassic Protection are but repeated with reference to the "creation of a demand for labour." It may, of course, be admitted, by means of presenting the home producer with artificial profits in the home market while underselling abroad at the same time, that a greater quantity of labour may be employed in such industry than would otherwise be possible. In other words, that a highly taxed and protected exporting mdustry will absorb a greater amount of capital than the same industry untaxed. This capital must have existed in the country, however be- fore taxes made dumping possible; that is, the existence of the capital rniphes that without the taxes it would have sought some other outlet in more productive and diversified industry and, consequently, have employed more labour without dumping than with it. It seems here as m the older Protection, to be simply a question of the diversion and congestion of capital and labour through the control of the fiscal system of a country. -^ In the discussion of the conventional ProtecUon, it was shown how Cobden and the EngUsh free traders of the last century dwelt upon the protection given to foreign manufacturers by the English Com Laws and mstances were presented showing how the taxes on raw materials in America protected the foreign producer of the finished article The taxation which permits the home producer to control industry in this way and at the same time dump his products abroad, wiU be much more d^advantageous to the country permitting such conditions, even to the extent of dnvmg home capital abroad, in order to profit by the lower e^oTof M "p'^AJ^""' "'"^'^- '^^ ^°«°-^g -trac"; from Z report of Mr. F. Oppenheim,i British Consul General at Frankfort! on-Mam serves as illustration: x-rdnjaorr- "The development of the German export trade in iron and iron goods were not able to satisfy the demands of the home market and at the same tune mamtam their position in the world's market. Import ro^e apidly and exports receded in proportion. With the turn T£ tide he exporting mdustries again became anxious to export, Te S^d ^n sumption havmg proved insufficient. Tie ^^^ iorZ^Zl 8o The New Protection Pt. I Bk. II Dumping 8i ^ I! ' iP ^1 ' abroad dearly illustrate this. Imports receded step by step as the home market no longer needed them. It is very remarkable, however, how quickly the German manufacturers succeeded in regaining their former position in the world's market, which they had abandoned of their own free will. They were assisted (it is true) by favourable circumstances, more especially by heavy demands from the United States. Important articles of German manufacture went to the United States in considerable quantities. "The syndicates, too, came to the rescue of the iron industry; under cover of|the protectionist duties, the syndicates were enabled to keep up prices at home in spite of the limited demand, whereby the several works were placed in a position to reduce their prices in the worid's market and were enabled more easily to compete. The difference of prices, however, fixed by the same works for sales at home and sales abroad became so great that it produced strong comments even in the Diet. Among all the syndicates those controlling raw material and half-finished goods proved themselves the most powerful and the hardest masters. They sold raw material and half finished goods abroad at low prices, so that the home industries which worked off such raw materials, etc., were severely handicapped. These asserted (and not without reason) that the consumers of German raw material m foreign countries, especially in Holland and Belgium, were, by these prices, placed in such an ad- vantageous position that it was most difficult, if at all possible, to com- pete against their prices. The syndicates themselves admitted the seriousness of the position by expressing their willingness to grant certain export bonuses, which, however, the industries concerned pronounced inadequate. Some cases actually transpired in which German "finishing" manufacturers had to decline orders owing to the exorbitant prices of raw material, which orders subsequently passed to Holland, Belgium and the United Kingdom. " (pp. 7, 8.) . "Thus this German material is to be had much cheaper abroad than it can be had at home, yet the home customer makes from such German material (half-finished goods) finished goods, for the sale of which he will greatly have to rely upon export. On the worid's market the merchandise of this German manufacturer will have to com- pete against foreign merchandise, also made from German material (half -finished goods), and as this material was purchased at a greatly reduced cost, the foreign manufacturer can sell his goods considerably cheaper than the German. Thus it follows that the German export of half-finished goods is rapidly driven up, while the export of finished goods recedes — a state of affairs altogether contrary to the best eco- nomic interests of the country, as it is most beneficial to the country at large that the exported goods should contain and represent as much na- tional labour as possible. The export of machines, e.g., benefits national labour more than the export of iron bars, yet iron bars, while they cost home consumers 95 marks delivered at the Rheinish-Westphalian'works, were exported during the month of September for 80 marks, or even 72 marks, f . o. b. It is said that the British and Belgium rolling mills cal- culated their prices for roUed wire upon the basis of these cheap purchases in Germany, so that the price fell very considerably on the world's market, and the German wire industries, which export nearly 60 per cent, of their produce, were forced to make allowance for their considerably reduced price." ... "A very glaring case to the point was reported in Dusseldorf. A factory using tin for its raw material continued for many years a profitable trade with Holland in tinned goods, buckets, etc In consequence of the cheap export price of tin, the identical goods are now manufactured in Amsterdam very probably from German material so that the manufacturer was left with a stock of about ioo,cxx) pails, for which he could find no customers. Another firm (in Dortmund) 'has decided to transfer a considerable part of its establishment to HoUand as it can there obtain the necessary German raw material so much more cheaply than in Germany." (pp. 27-28.) It is evidently to the best interests of a country to represent in its exports the greatest amount of domestic labour; to export the most highly finished goods. The taxation of raw material on one hand and dumpmg abroad on another, wiU apparently check this most produc- tive and diversified employment of labour and concentrate it within fewer and less varied channels of less productive industry. It thus seems that protected dumping not only narrows the demand for labour, by con- gesting It m fewer channels, but may drive capital abroad and check the possible demand for labour at the same time. Other considerations may be presented in this connexion. It may readily be shown how the abnormal and unstable growth of protected exportmg organizations must sink deep into the industrial and financial me of a nation, through channels other than those of the direct employ- ment of capital and labour. The United States presents the most in^ structive illustration of this phase of the New Protection: When a great industrial combination is focused under a system of taxes I 82 The New Protection Pt. I Bk. II Dumping 83 rates and forced prices, such as those at present in vogue in America, an enormous earning power is placed under the control of its organizers. These men are not unnaturally tempted to capitalize and sell this earning power at its full capacity. When such an organization is formed, with earnings largely dependent upon a network of taxes, its securities are sold to the people or disposed of through the fiduciary institutions, if the people refuse to buy them in the open market. If the industries are over-capitalized, as is generally the case, the securities will begin to fall in value, with the result that they may be repurchased by the original organizers and reinflated in a thousand ways, through readjustments in direct and indirect taxes, new transportation rates and agreements, exaggerated statements, declarations of unearned or guaranteed divi- dends, and so on. This process, it is obvious, is entirely in control of the organizers and the men who fix the taxes and the rates; it may be con- tinued indefinitely and is independent of the relation of original capitali- zation to original earning powers. The facts seem to show that the popu- lation which taxes itself in order to dump goods abroad, sells its goods to the foreigner for less than it must pay itself, congests and stifles a large part of its own industry, and creates an irresponsible system of stock manipulation at the same time. This phase of the New Protection may be studied at length in financial investigations of the United States. The connexion between legislative interference with economic conditions, by means of protective fiscal enactments, and the whole financial and industrial system of a people, is not only direct and intimate, but no such legislation can exist without involving the national financial existence. The bank, the insurance company, and organizations of trust in general, find themselves not only in possession of funds seeking investment, but, at the same time, in possession of funds which may be used to influence legislative decisions affecting such investments; and for what, it may be asked, does protec- tive legislation exist, if not to develop the resources of the country, encourage industry, create a demand for labour, and raise wages? In other words, to adopt fiscal enactments at the dictation of organized capital. The financial resources of the people, in the course of saving and industry, drift toward the banking, the insurance, and the fiduciary institutions of the country. Great resources are thus placed at the disposition of those in control of these organizations, and great resources have always been, and in all likelihood always will be, in some form or other, the chief factors in legislative decisions. Where these resources find opportunity for affecting values by means of fiscal decisions the result is obvious. The presidents or directors of a bank or insurance company may be largely interested in protected or dumping industries; it is, in fact, impossible for them not to be interested in such industries, for, although they may not own or hold a single share of their issues, these issues will enter into the credit system of the country and so affect all institutions fimdamentally. The value of such protected securities, again, is dependent upon the decisions of the legislative assembly, or upon the attitude of the fiduciary corporations in which the important financial interests of the country are represented, and the possibilities of organization and reorganization, capitalization and over-capitalization, legislation, speculation, and peculation, become practically limitless. Values may be juggled indefinitely by means of stock and tax manipu- lation, holding companies, subsidiary organizations of various kinds, transportation arrangements, and in a thousand other ways — the entire series of which would be rendered largely inoperative were the power of forcing prices by means of taxation withdrawn from legislative assemblies. The New Protection, in some instances, merely restates the positions of the familiar school. In the majority of cases, however, it is a great improvement over the older doctrines, and the fathers of Protection would be lost in admiration at some of the developments of their latter- day disciples. The Old Protection sought to swell the profits of capital in the home market; it was occupied with domestic conditions alone. The New Protection ranges over a wider field, including the foreigner — both producer and consumer — within its more catholic solicitude. By no means blind to the economic harmonies resulting from the reserva- tion of the home market for its own use, it casts its eye at the markets of the world; home Protection permitting it to hold the domestic market and dumping, to undersell the foreigner abroad, simultaneously. In these fields the New Protection meets but one difficulty: the dan- ger of flooding the home market with reimported, dumped goods. Where the home price is forced up by taxation, it becomes, of course, possible to sell correspondingly lower in foreign markets; but the higher the home price is raised, and the lower the foreign price falls, the greater the danger of an industry being "threatened" by the "unfair" competi- tion of its own dumped goods — the highly protected dumping industry is exposed, as it were, to an "onslaught" of its own product in its own market. This is a serious difficulty, but as yet no remedy has appeared. I 84 The New Protection Pt. I Bk. II Dumping 1 I It would seem, in this connexion, that the New Protection should suggest double schedules: one, taxing foreign goods; and another, affect- ing domestic goods already dumped abroad. In this way alone may a people hope to be effectively protected against the unfair competition of its own pauper labour. Professor Ashley^ approaches this idea in part with his conception of the "variable, " "elastic" or "easily handled" import duty, with reference to industries threatened from abroad. This "elastic," or "easily handled" duty is much superior to the fixed, protective tax. It does not, however, meet all the needs of the New Protection with reference to industries threatened by the reimportation of their own products. The masses might be confused in finding their taxes shifted up or down indefinitely. The most practical method of meeting this difficulty seems to be to impose a fixed duty of the conven- tional kind upon foreign goods; and, in addition, to adopt an "elastic," or "easily handled," duty which would shut out all dumped domestic goods. In this way, the people would be conscious of nothing but the familiar tax, while the "elastic" duty would never appear, any more than the normal foreign import price, as it need be used but for purposes of complete exclusion. May not every argument advanced in support of the highly protected dumping industry be advanced in support of such a system of taxation? Section n — Taxation for the Prevention of Dumping Dumping involves two policies: the New Protection advises that a nation should tax itself in order to dump goods in foreign markets; again, that a nation should tax itself in order to prevent this very thing. If both positions are effective, nothing can apparently be gained on one side which cannot be prevented on another. The protectionist, however, prefers to limit the discussion to one phase at a time. From the point of view of preventing dumping, a free trade, or low tariff, country is presented "defenceless" in the midst of powerfully protected, high tariff nations, making determined attacks upon her ancient industry by flooding her free markets with artificially cheap- ened goods; the protected nations, with their high tariff walls, refusing, at the same time, to accept the defenceless nation's output — a process not only "sucking" the capital out of the defenceless nation, but under- mining the foundations of her existing industrial system. Such is the » Tke Tarif Problem, p. 134. 8S picture presented by the New Protection of low tariff countries, England being the t3^ical victim. So far as capital is concerned, there are only two ways in which it can be "sucked": "The balance of trade" or the "attraction of capital," both of which have been examined. Dumping, as affecting established industry, may, however, be considered. Dumping is no new thing, doubtless dating from the birth of industry. "How frequently," says Roscher,i "it has happened that England by keepmg down her prices for a time has strangled her foreign rivals." . . . "Hume,inthepariiamentarysessionof 1828, uses the expression 'strangulate' to convey this idea. As eariy as 1815, Brougham said: 'It was well worth while to incur a loss on the exportation of English manufactures in order to stifle in the cradle the foreign manufacturers. ' The report of the House of Commons on the condition of the mining district (1854) speaks of the great losses, frequently in from three to four years, of £300,000 to £400,000, which the employers of labour under- went voluntarily, in order to control foreign markets." Dumping is thus a long established English policy, the natural outcome of certain industrial conditions, and will, in all probability, exist as long as industry. It may be said, however, that modem dumping bears no resemblance to the eariier forms and may be carried on upon a scale unknown a genera- tion ago, involving new conditions and industries, not only not in the cradle, but which may for centuries have formed a vital element in the industrial life of a threatened population. There is, unfortunately, one insurmountable difficulty in the discussion of dumping: which is to establish any accurate method of distinguishing goods dumped in the normal course of trade from those dumped owing to ''unfair" causes. Every manufacturer will doubtiess find reason for believing tiiat all foreign goods competing with his own are dumped; and yet the fact that foreign industry can undersell in the home market by no means proves tiie foreign price caused by unfair competition. Nor, even when shown that the foreigner enjoys a governmental bounty and a protected price in his own market, is it shown that he seUs his goods for less than cost. Protected price and bounty demonstrated, the question of cost demands discussion in relation to other sources of supply, and to the possibility tiiat tiie foreign producer may be able to dommate the home market without governmental aid, such taxes and bounties swelling his profits witiiout affecting price. Thus, to prove tiiat * Political Economy, Vol. II., p. 437. 86 The New Protection Pt. I Bk. II Dumping 87 goods "compete unfairly" is a difficult and complicated matter. An effective method of distinguishing between fair and unfair competition yet remains to be discovered; and, when discovered, its conclusions for any given moment will be useless in a short time, owing to changing conditions. The extreme view of the producer will be that all foreign goods com- peting with his own are unfairly dumped; the extreme view of the con- sumer that the cheapest goods are the most desirable, whether dimiped or not making no difference. The former opinion need apparently not always be true. As, in the case of the producer, the question resolves itself into a distinction between fair and unfair competition, so, in the case of the consumer, the question arises: Which presents the best supply, the high domestic price, or the low import price? Here again occurs the question of the nature of the competition. If the foreign producer is able to undersell constantly in the home market, it seems clear that he is the best purveyor. If the consumer taxes himself in order to shut him out, it seems that the consumer is paying imneces- sary taxes, in higher price, and depriving himself of the salutary in- fluences of competition. Dumping, from the point* of view of the consuming nation, is by no means without compensation. The direct consumer obviously gains in lowered price, and the general industrial life of the nation is indirectly stimulated, through the importation of raw material of manufacture; the new industries representing possibly more capital and labour than any displaced. As Professor Smart ^ says: "The steel maker cannot be expected to rejoice lq dumping, but the shipbuilder, the galvanizer, and the tinplate worker openly do. There is an almost ludicrous Nemesis in the compensation. America makes her own tinplates excessively dear, and spoils her own trade in canned goods. At the same time she dumps cheap steel into South Wales. Our tinplate manufacturers, in consequence, send out cheap tin plates to Germany, Russia, Australia, and Canada, and give them a hold on the canned fruit and meat trade which otherwise America might have kept from them. It reminds one of a besieging army smuggling am- munition and food into the beleagured town. "The Board of Trade Blue Book, quoting our Consul-General at Ham- burg, says that there are four surveyors from Lloyd's Registry stationed at Diisseldorf to superintend and standardise the shafts and other heavy iron forgings which are being sold to English shipbuilders at cheaper ' The Return to Protection, p. 153 et seq. prices than they are to German. So Germany, at great expense, is doing all she knows to establish shipbuilding and shipping trade, while her own manufacturers are giving us the materials for imderselling her. It is playing our game as effectually as if Germany sent her best football players to play for us against a German team. "In face of this Nemesis, then, even if we consider that the compen- sations do not outweigh the injury, it would be well to have a littie patience. It is not unnoticed in Germany at least. Even protec- tionist chambers of commerce are complaining, in so many words, that 'cheap German exports of materials make it possible for firms abroad to offer serious competition in Germany.' Suppose we found that our Clyde steamers were being built in Germany because our Lanarkshire steel makers were supplying that country with plates cheaper than they would supply to Glasgow; we should, I think, have something to say. But this is what is happening with the Rhine steamers. 'The building of boats,' says the Board of Trade Blm Book, 'for the Rhine river naviga- tion has passed over almost entirely to Holland, because the works in the Rheinish-Westphalian district, producing heavy plates, deliver in Hol- land at lower prices than in the interior of Germany. Evidence, in fact, is accumulating that this selling of material below cost to the industries of a rival country is pulling down with one hand what is being built up with another. . . . It is of course from our iron and steel industries that we hear most complaints about dumping. Germany exports to us pig kon, blooms, angle iron, girders, rails, rolled wire, rolled tubes, wire nails. America exports pig iron, iron pipes, bars, bedstead angles' steel, ship plates, rails, boring machines. Most of these are products of Kartells and Trusts; but, considering the cheapness of coal and transport, and the difficulty of getting comparative prices— German bars, for instance, have often been of inferior quality — it is impossible to say what, and how much of them are, properly speaking, 'dumped.* "The total value of the iron and steel trade of Great Britain, Mr. Hugh Bell tells us, is something between £150 and £160 miUions. Of tills very large total £15! milUons come as imports; tiie remainder is home produced. Of this £15! milKons, 8 millions come from Germany, HoUand, and Belgium. 'Is this paltry quantity,' he asks, 'going to destroy tiie whole of our great industry?' In tiie year in which tiiey sent us tiie 8 miUions, we sent tiiem £6f millions of similar articles. In tiie same year we sent America upward of £10 miUions of iron and steel. I should be interested in knowing,' he continues relentiessly, 'Uie names ill 88 The New Protection Pt. I I t of finns whose liquidation has been due to foreign dumping. I know of none, but I do know of many who would have had the greatest difficulty in weathering the bad trade of the last three years had cheap foreign steel been denied them.' '* Dumping may, in a free trade market, have a salutary effect in keeping prices at a normal level: one of the important objects of Free Trade. Low prices, even in dumping industries, may be due to natural as well as artificial advantages, thus rendering practically impossible a definite and workable distinction between fair and unfair dumping. "The Bessemer process," says Mr. Hugh Bell,^ "required pig iron of pure quality. The ores of Lancashire and Cumberland afforded this, but they alone did not suffice. Spain was called on to redress the bal- ance; and we find that what amoimted to under half a million tons in 1875, . . . amounted to no less than 5,310,000 tons in 1902. But the production of pig iron from home ores continued nevertheless. Puddled iron, replaced by steel for rails and many other purposes, still found an outlet in the materials used for shipbuilding. With the flexibility for which the trade is remarkable, capital flowed into plate mills, and prosperity returned. Fate had, however, another arrow in her quiver. The problem of eliminating phosphorus, the noxious ingredient in pig iron, had long occupied men's minds. Its solution is due to Englishmen, to whom the world owes most, if not all, of the great improvements which have been made in iron manufacture. The basic process invented by Messrs. Thomas & Gilchrist, and brought to practical success by Messrs. Vaughan & Co., at Middlesbrough, was fraught with even greater disaster to the British iron trade. The ordinary pig iron of this country, and more especially that produced from Cleveland iron stone, is remarkably unsuited for use in the basic Bessemer converter. On the other hand, the ores of Germany, and certain other countries, yield a pig iron which could not be bettered for that purpose. A statement of the technical grounds for this assertion would be out of place in this paper. It suffices to say, that such a statement would ab- solve the British iron master from all blame in having seen the basic process develop in Germany with giant strides, while it made relatively little progress in this country." "This is a curious example," adds Mr. Bell in a note, "of the way in which many people take obvious instead of the real explanation of economic phenomena. The development of German industry is attributed to the protective policy, with which it > Protection and the Steel Trade, The Independent Review, October 1903, pp. 70, 71. Bk. II Dumping 89 only synchronised, instead of to the Thomas Gilchrist process, which permitted the growth of the German iron trade. " The application of such considerations may, however, be admitted and the "mystery of dumping" regarded as still unsolved. It is naturally to free trade England that the dumping policy of highly protected countries presents the gravest dangers and where Protection would supposedly cause the greatest gain. Altiiough closely allied considera- tions maybe advanced with reference to any other country, the case in favour of die import duty as affecting English industry, tiii-eatened by foreign dumping, may be put as follows: A land-owning legislature, in control of the fiscal policy of Great Britain, gradually developed the system of food taxation known as the Corn Laws. Taxes had also accumulated on manufactures, but owing to the dominant influence of the land-owning class tiiese were of less importance, and until tiie ministries of Lord Palmerston and Sir Robert Peel tiie landed interests had no difficulty in controlling taxes and legis- lation. The Corn Laws were the natural outcome of a protective land-owning Assembly. During tiie earlier decades of tiie last century however, a new influence arose in Pariiament: that of manu- facturmg capital. The result was a victory for Free Trade and tiie repeal of tiie Com Laws. This victory was an expression of the desire of British manufacturing capital for wider markets on one hand, and cheaper food supply on anotiier, by means of which their interests could be protected As pomted out, tiie repeal of the Corn Laws, in a food importing country' was as much a manufacturing protective measure as an import duty on manufactures in a food exporting country. Morieyi says: "There was m this notiiing that is either astonishing or discreditable. The impor- tant fact was that the class-interest of the manufacturers and merchants happened to faU in with the good of the rest of the community: while the class-mterest against which they were going up to do battie was an uncompensated burden on the commonwealth." . "With a population increasing at the rate of a thousand souls a week, how can ^r^!Z^.% "^l T^\^' ^'^'^ ""^^^^^ ^^^^ b^ ^^--^tantly increasing Z^fZ r '^' ^^Ployment of labour; and how can foreign countries buy our manufactures, unless we take in return tiieir com, ^^TL^'a T"" "^'' '^'^ ^'' ^^^' ^^ P^«^"^^?" Speaking of fund^isedm this connexion, Moriey says:^ "Men contributed freely » Richard Cobden's Life, by John Morley. p. 95. Ibid., p. 167. 90 The New Protection Pt. I Bk. II because they knew that the rescue of their capital depended on the open- ing of the markets from which the protection of com excluded them. " This Free Trade form of Protection was expected to make England the manufacturing centre of the world. With her large population, small area, and unrestricted food importation, it was assumed that Eng- land would be the most highly protected country in the world. Other countries, it was supposed, would be induced by this protective Free Trade to occupy themselves with the production of grain and raw materials, leaving the more advanced and highly finished products to Great Britain, in which less developed countries would never be able to compete with her. As a result of this policy, English manufactures greatly flourished for a time, but during the seventies and eighties of the last century their growth seems to have been arrested by various causes, but partly through English aid in establishing manufacturing centres abroad, and through the imforeseen development of foreign industry by means of modem methods. Nor is this all, nor the worst, from the protective point of view. Foreign nations, instead of adopting England's more liberal policy, not only hedged themselves about with bristling tariff fortifications, but, by means of taxes and subsidies, cast designing eyes upon England's own market: an unexpected turn of affairs. Thus England, instead of standing alone as the manufacturing centre of the world, stands alone indeed, but as the most vulnerable object of manufacturing attack. Free Trade, it seems, has been tried and found wanting. Again, this threatening of England's industry is of an excep- tionally annoying and dangerous nature. Were it always due to a con- stant policy and improved methods, the results would be bad enough, but such, it is said, is not the case. The dumping may be intermittent, and naturally occurs at times of depression when likely to do most harm. Thus the English producer may find a weak market suddenly flooded with foreign goods dumped at a price which the foreigner cannot support permanently nor without governmental aid ; the foreigner simply adopting the intermittent and irresponsible dumping of surplus in an improtected market, the import price bearing no relation to cost, either at home or abroad. If the foreigner is successful in these attacks and destroys the English industry, he may raise or lower prices as he pleases in such a way that unaided competition is impossible. These are the evils of dumping as affecting the producer in low tariff countries. The political danger of allowing the industrial system of a coimtry to become dependent Dumping 91 upon foreign supply may be pointed out, together with the menace to labour in such irresponsible competition. Thus, it is said, while English industry demanded Free Trade half a century ago, modem methods and existing tariffs have changed conditions, and changing conditions demand changing measures. Such are the considerations dwelt upon by the New Protection. The argument in favour of taxing a population to support threatened industries has a sound not unlike the wail of the ** infant industry" in its decline. Thus, industry, it seems, needs Protection in the first stages of its growth, all through the period of its maturity, and here, at last, when no longer able to hold its own. When, however, a dangerous policy of intermittent dumping, aimed at the established industry of England, or of any other country, is recognized, the question of a remedy arises. "No," says Professor Ashley, 1 "there is apparently no way of meeting the danger which such imports threaten to national prosperity and political security, but the employment of the only economic weapon of defence which the State possesses — viz., import duties. " It is, how- ever, clear that the ordinary fixed duty is of no value against inter- mittent dumping; the dumping price may be so low that only exclusion could obtain the desired result. The quantity of goods dumped may be so great, and the dumping occur so suddenly, or at such an inopportune time, that no fixed import duty would be effective. The New Protection is alive to these diflficulties; the remedy being in this instance, however, the variable, easily handled, or elastic import duty. "There remains then, " says the author cited,^ "for present con- sideration, the question of defensive tariffs; and one must begin by pointing out that this purpose will not be served by a general all-round low or even moderate customs duty. No low or even moderate duty will suffice to keep out foreign goods when they are being sold at any price to 'relieve' the domestic market. . . . What seems dictated by the requirements of the case is the statutory authorization of the Execu- tive to impose the duties that may be required from time to time as the cu-cumstances arise. ... A policy more 'elastic,' more easily handled, is what is required. " This is the "elastic," "easily handled" import duty of the New Protection. Before it the fixed duty with its great possibilities pales intojnsignificance. May it not be asked, once such an ''elastic" or » The Tariff Problem, p. X31. • Ibid, pp. 138-134. a 92 The New Protection Pt. I ''easily handled" system of taxation is established, to whom would sufficient economic insight be given to perceive clearly and impartially whether certain prices of certain goods represented fair or unfair com- petition, natural or unnatural industrial conditions? By means of what inexplicable process could the human mind decide whether certain industries could or could not meet certain prices with reference to the ultimate national good? The mere suggestion of the ''elastic" duty reveals in the New Protection one of the most noteworthy examples of the faith in the infinite wisdom of the politician to be found in economic history. To the more or less sophisticated observer, however, the question arises whether such "elastic" taxes would not possess a certain market value, in the industrial centres under their influence. Could not values be manipulated at will with such flexible duties and that without responsibility? Even the suspicion in the mind of an active and well meaning official that certain foreigners were contemplating an "on- slaught" would, of course, be excuse for putting the functions of such versatile taxes to the test, and studying their elastic effects on the stock market. However, if desirable industries are threatened by foreign dumping, it may be asked whether they may not be aided without infficting a population with the possibilities of an elastic and easily handled system of protective taxation? It is obvious that the flexible duty itself is not the support required; the money produced by means of higher prices at certain times is the real assistance; the money is the protection, not the duty, the latter being but a means to an end. There are two ways to provide money for a nation's desirable and threatened industries: one, to surrender the power of taxing it blindly and indefinitely with import duties; another, to draw on the public treasury for the specific purpose at the specific time to the desired extent; in other words, to aid the industry as far as necessary and no more. It may, of course, be said that the handing about of public money through direct subsidies and bounties may be a source of official corruption. Such corruption is probably a foregone conclusion. It seems, however, that the possi- bilities of official corruption offered by publicly acknowledged subsidies, great as they may be, are none the less as a drop in the ocean in com- parison with official corruption caused by protective import duties. The indirect method of protecting threatened industry presents all the complexity and expense of every phase of Protection in their incal- Bk. II Dumping 93 culable results; the direct method is simple and obvious and involves no expense other than the necessary amount, which would be partly counteracted in the lower prices enjoyed by the people during the defensive period. "If, however," says Professor Smart, i "Protection is the only remedy for Dumping, we may well hesitate. A man may be suffering from a slight cold, but may object to take a medicine that will throw him into fits. "The moment we admit that Dumping is a claim for counter duties, we seem to have taken a long step and a perilous one. At what stage in the Dumping is the aid of the State to be invoked? Is it when a thousand tons have been dumped, or a hundred thousand, or a million? Surely, a smaller trade may be ruined by dumping before any large figure is reached. Or are we to stop the danger before it emerges, by putting ' an average duty of lo per cent. ' on all manufactures? "And who is to decide what is Dumping, as distinguished from 'fair competition?^ Is it seUing at cost? — or under cost? — or far under cost? What is 'cost ? When the students in a Political Economy class have got to the length of answering that question they have very Httle more to learn. " » The Return to Protection, p. 167. Bk. II The Tariff-Weapon 95 I I CHAPTER V THE TARIFF-WEAPON Section 1—The Import Duty as a Weapon. Section H^The Tariff Weapon and Trade, Section III — Tariff Warfare. Section I— The Import Duty as a Weapon THE new era of Protection does not depend upon ordinarily announced conceptions of trade and industry alone. The more or less narrow and individualistic political economy of Smith and Mill has been superseded, it is said, by a wider view of the needs of a people as a whole; by a broader interpretation of the national and political life than that of the earlier economic writers. International relations have recently become more intimate and com- plex; Mill could scarcely have foreseen the existing national inter- dependence, commercial and fiscal, while Smith could not have con- ceived it. The new protective era, as shown in a passage cited, arises, neither because economists have been unable to understand the arguments of the older free trade school, nor because capital has been able to dom- inate the fiscal policy of government; "it arises from a motive which is rather instinctively felt than cleariy understood, viz., that tariffs are international weapons (Machtmittel) which may benefit a country, if skillfully used. "1 The reasons advanced in support of a system of taxation to be used in this way are many; ranging from the various German schools, repre- sented by the writings of Professors Wagner, Oldenburg, Pohle, and the more moderate positions of Professors Schmoller, Conrad and Sering, to the retaliatory suggestions of Mr. Balfour. " The only alternative, '' says the latter, 2 "is to do to foreign nations what they always do to each other, and, instead of appealing to economic theories in which they wholly disbelieve, to use fiscal inducements which they thoroughly » Professor Gustav Schmoller. cited by Professor Ashley, The TariJ Problem, p. 30. « Cf. Professor Smart. The Return to Protection, p. 121. 94 understand." Or, again, extending from the more crystallized fiscal system of France to the "dynamic and progressive" policy of the United States. Other considerations occur in this connexion — considerations largely independent of the usual economic positions, and which suggest the protective system of trade regulation, despite economic disad- vantage. The danger of allowing a nation to become dependent upon a foreign food-supply may be pointed out; again, attention may be called to tiie disadvantages of placing any great industry, entering into national defence, at the mercy of foreign producers. A mere agreement between foreign powers might cripple a nation in such a position. The import duty may thus possess a significance independent of economic or industrial advantage. Protective taxes, levied upon such grounds, may be used to prevent a nation from being put in dependent political positions, and urged irrespective of industrial and financial loss. Such considerations enter largely into the German and EngHsh schools of the later Protection, and are worthy study. They recall Adam Smith's 1 position witii reference to the EngKsh Navigation Acts. He says that it may be advantageous to lay some burden upon foreign industry, "when some particular sort of industry is necessary for the defence of the country. " Adam Smith may thus be quoted in support of such taxes, modem conditions adding weight to these considerations. After a review of Smith's position with reference to the English Navigation Acts, Professor Ashley says .-2 "Smith, it will be perceived, was much less cosmopolitan than many of his foUowers; he had strong national feelings; and he did not anticipate an unbroken era of international peace. Moreover, he did not think it his business as an economist to disregard poUtical considerations, nor did he apologise for introducing 'non-economic' arguments. But the alarm of the Free Trade precision at Smitii's concession was altogetiier justified; for it opens tiie door to very much more than its author con- templated. One wonders, for instance, what Smitii would have said to the present condition of affairs when tiie English people are dependent upon importation for more than three-quarters of its bread, and for almost half of it upon importation from a country with which we have quite recentiy seemed on tiie verge of war. Or, again, if he had Uved ' The Wealth of Nations. Bk. IV.. ch. ii.. p. 35. « The Tarijff Problem, p. 36. 96 The New Protection Pt. I in these days of steel-built battleships, would he have viewed with equanimity a state of things which may well make its ap- pearance — a flourishing shipbuilding trade absolutely dependent upon importation for the cruder forms of steel which it needs as its raw material?" This is an important passage, and presents considerations not to be brushed aside by economic generalizations. The passage cited applies chiefly to England ; the considerations suggested, however, are of equal significance with reference to any nation importing to any extent food staples and the raw materials of the steel, iron and shipbuilding industries. The import duty here appears in a new field. The import duty, as a weapon, may or may not be a protec- tive industrial measure; the weapon tax is an ultra-economic instru- ment, or tool, which may be used to threaten, protect, formulate, injure or reward, as conditions dictate and as the best interests of the nation demand. It is essential, at the outset of an inquiry into the nature of the tariff- weapon, to draw a distinction between the tariff- weapon as such, and the piuposes for which that weapon may be used. Thus, if the import tax is used in order to make money flow toward a country, it is attracting capital, or regulating the balance of trade; and the tax applied to these purposes should be discussed under those headings. If used to exclude the foreign producer, it is encouraging industry or protecting labour, and such a tax can be studied but in relation to those positions. The importance of this distinction is marked; the tax is here studied as a weapon alone. Upon closer analysis, many of the arguments used in favour of the tariff-weapon will be found to be pure Protection, either of the old or newer school. With the elimination of these, the tariff-weapon may be studied from two positions: the economic and the non-economic. The first presents the use of the fiscal system of a nation as a means of obtain- ing industrial concessions and advantages from other nations; the second is chiefly concerned with the purely militant phase of the subject, in its relation either to industrial or actual warfare. The tariff-weapon will, therefore, be studied under two headings: the Tariff- Weapon and Trade, and Tariff Warfare. A tax can be used as a weapon in but two ways. It can be put on or taken off; there is apparently nothing else to do with it, and the weapon used in reference to warfare and trade seems to Bk. II The Tariff-Weapon 97 exhaust the subject, for one involves the imposition of taxes, the other their repeal. Section II — The Tariff- Weapon and Trade Article I — Diplomacy. In the study of a complex subject, it is sometimes useful to attempt to express its fundamental principles as simply as possible, in order to develop its essential features; an analysis, then, of these few fundamentals may present the original problem in clearer light. There is one danger in inquiry of this kind — that of tracing analogy, where no analogy exists; conclusions based upon these will, of course, be valueless. This method, however, seems available in the present instance. Inter- national commerce is trade; trade is the exchange of commodities. Trade between nations is the transfer from one to another of a great number of material things, their number or variety having nothing to do with the essential conditions involved. There is, apparently, no dis- tinction in principle between the exchange of a million commodities for a million others, and the exchange of one commodity for another. Trade therefore, between nations is not much the same thing as trade between individuals, but identically the same thing. By means of the introduc- tion of money and the balance of trade, this truth may be obscured, and the "practical" politician, together with the popular protectionist, seem to imagine that international trade is some form of jugglery, in which money or capital is tossed in the air by invisible hands, to be caught by whichever nation spreads the most astutely constructed maze of taxes. The introduction of money does not change the nature of international commerce; for the reason that money, or the international money, gold, circulates between nations at its intrinsic or bullion value alone, and consequently, in this connexion, is as much a commodity as any other. It is simply one of an infinite number of terms in which total exchange is effected. This position has been discussed under the "Balance of Trade," with reference to this phase of the tariff-weapon of the New Protection. "Fleets and armies are maintained, not with gold and silver, but with consumable goods, " says Adam Smith. ^ If this is true in time of war, it may seem equally so with reference to the "fleets and armies'* of normal commerce. The abler thought of the New Protection, in both England and Ger- > The Wealth of Nations. Bk. IV., ch. i.. p. 13. m 98 The New Protection Pt. I Bk. II The Tariff-Weapon 99 tii many, recognizes that trade between nations is but the exchange of equal values represented by consumable goods. "Since one nation can last- ingly pay another nation only with its own products," says Roscher,^ "any limitation of imports must, under otherwise equal circumstances, be attended by a corresponding limitation of exports. " "The notion that foreign nations can sell everything to us and take nothing in exchange except money is, of course," says Professor Ashley,^ "one of the fallacies of popular protectionism. In the long run — imless the prosperity of a nation is very rapidly declining indeed, and when such a time comes there is not likely to be any doubt about it — goods are paid for by goods or services. " The New Protection is thus in harmony with the best economic thought in the opinion that international trade may be expressed in terms of commodities or services. The exchange of one loaf of bread for one pair of boots differs in no way in nature from the exchange of a million loaves and a million pairs of boots; nor, if the bread and boots are again changed into an infinite number of commodities, among which may be gold in any proportion, is the principle of the transaction altered, which is simply the exchange of equivalent values expressed in material things. It seems, therefore, that a perfect analogy may be traced between individual and national trade and that, in consequence, conclusions applying to the nature of one apply to the nature of the other. It may be supposed then, in order to study the action of the tariff- weapon, that the village baker and shoemaker have ceased to trade with each other, owing to some long standing feud. After a time, however, the baker discovers that making his own shoes or paying a higher price for them in a neighbouring village, is becoming a tedious and expensive process, as his children grow up. The shoemaker has had a like experi- ence in bread baking, and negotiations are opened with reference to trade. The advantages of the feud are here evident; without it, they would both be "defenceless"; that is, they would both be buying bread and boots in the best market. The feud, however, has been bitter and expensive. Inthisway, both parties are fully "armed." The shoe- maker's weapon is his refusal (import duty) to buy bread from the baker, and vice versa; in other words, the shoemaker is "armed" only when he pays more for bread than it is worth; unless he does so, he is "defenceless." 1 Political Economy. Vol. 11. p. 434. • Tke Tarif Problem, p. 99, 3d edition. 191 1. Negotiations may be supposed to proceed along the following lines; The baker approaches the shoemaker and offers to buy boots on condi- tion that the shoemaker buy his bread, that is, remove or lower an import duty. The shoemaker, however, is too intelligent to be caught in the snare of buying better bread, as the baker suggests. He sees some scheme behind these fair proposals, and, at the same time, an opportunity of gaining additional advantages. He decides to wield his "weapon" in fact. He, therefore, declines to buy bread, imless the baker agrees to buy shoes from him, as well as boots. The great possibilities of the "weapon" then dawn upon the mind of the baker; after long consider- ation, he issues the following ultimatum to the shoemaker: he agrees to buy boots and shoes, on condition that the shoemaker grant him certain concessions with reference to buns. It is evident that the need arises, at this juncture, for wise and skillful negotiation; what is the relation between the profits derived from the trade in shoes and buns, and what relation do these profits bear to the trade in boots and bread? The wisdom of the shoemaker will be tried at this point; it is by no means easy to estimate these relations exactly, and he must, of course, avoid granting the baker more valuable concessions than he himself obtains; otherwise the shoemaker's money will instantly begin to "flow" toward the baker, through the balance of trade. Besides these difficulties, the baker, who might have been employed in an embassy in his youth and thus have learned something of diplomacy, has perhaps added a "most favoured baker clause" to his ultimatum, tiius adding to the complexities of the situation. How much trade might the shoe- maker lose through the introduction of this clause, and what is the rela- tion between the possible loss on one side and the possible gain in ac- cepting the ultimatum? Even the most intelligent shoemaker, well versed in the prices and profits of boots and shoes, and even of bread and buns, might have difficulty in solving these problems. The sub- ject is becoming involved in a diplomatic haze. If the shoemaker accepts the ultimatum, he will be obliged to buy his bread and buns in the best market; while, on the other hand, owing to the "most favoured baker clause," the shoemaker would be defenceless as far as rolls and tarts were concerned, and might have to buy these in the best market as well; which, of course, might be a very serious matter, as any one knows, who is familiar with the mysteries of diplomacy and the dangers of the balance of trade. Besides these complications, the " most favoured baker clause" might affect the price of sUppers in some roundabout way. lOO The New Protection Pt. I Bk. II The Tariff- Weapon lOI f and thus create still another difficulty: not only obliging him to buy rolls and tarts in the best market, but possibly affecting his slipper trade in such a way that he could buy better slippers than he could produce himself. The ''most favoured baker clause'' stipulates that the goods of the baker should be purchased on terms equally favourable with those of any other baker, and the shoemaker must protect himself against the dangers such possibilities might create. When the difficulty of solving the question is imderstood, it may well appear necessary for the shoemaker to call in a lawyer from the city to aid in the negotiations. The lawyer, with his superior intellectual training, at once per- ceives the subject to be one demanding great diplomatic skill and finesse; he, therefore, after long reflexion and exhaustion of all statis- tical information, makes a tempting counter proposition to the baker, who, not to be outdone by the shoemaker, employs another lawyer. These gentlemen, understanding matters of this kind much better than the baker and the shoemaker, at once get to work on a really "practical" basis, and soon develop a new series of negotiations, involving systems and counter-systems of retaliation and counter-retaliation, duties, drawbacks and rebates, together with various indirect forms of re- strictions and revised methods of classification, by means of which boots could be classed with slippers, and bread with tarts; counter- vailing duties and ad valorem duties, with and without detailed sliding scales of maximum and minimum rates, specific duties and conditional duties; taxes, surtaxes and compensating surtaxes; duties imposed with and without reference to excise, duties with drawbacks and with- out drawbacks, preferences, and shipping preferences, maximum and minimum tariffs, general and conventional rates, revised methods of valuation, with and without reference to import and excise duties; harbor dues, stamps, autonomous tariffs, and different forms of taxes affecting package and raw materials, by means of which the prices of goods are affected in a thousand ways, without taxing the goods them- selves, and a host of other complicated restrictions, checks and counter- checks, limitations and prohibitions upon which it is unnecessary to dwell. The haze here settles into an impenetrable fog. The baker and the shoemaker can form no conception of what the lawyers are doing; the lawyers themselves can form no such conception, shown by the fact that they often produce the most undesired and imexpected results. The poor baker and shoemaker have, of course, no compre- hension of the matter and the process being a profitable one to the lawyers, the latter simply continue negotiations with great industry activity, and dexterity, piling up taxes in order to take them off again in an inexhaustible series, and the process perpetuates itself indefinitely. There are three courses open to the shoemaker: (i) He may break off negotiations and decline to buy anything from the baker. (2) He may accept intermediate conditions, drawn up by the lawyers. (3) He may dismisss the lawyers and buy what he wants where he pleases. If he adopts the first course, he inflicts a maximum loss upon himself, and very likely deprives himself of an advantageous market for his own goods at the same time. In other words, he loses all the advantages created by trade and the division of labour. If he adopts the second course, he infficts himself with a proportionate loss, and deprives him- self of some of the best markets. If he dismisses the lawyers and buys what and where he pleases, he infficts himself with no loss whatever, enjoys the best markets, and all the advantages which the lawyers could confer, if they took off all his weapon-taxes at once. The perfidious baker, however, may not adopt this liberal course; but may, on the contrary, continue taxing the shoemaker's goods, and at the same time, injure him by underselling in the shoemaker's own market, or by intermittent onslaughts of dumped mufl^ns. If the>aker cannot be induced to remove his taxes, in return for the shoemaker's taxes, the tariff-weapon is useless and should be removed at once. If the shoemaker attempts to meet any of these difficulties with his tariff-weapon, he will be using it for purposes other than those for which it was designed; it was designed, solely, to make the baker take off his taxes in return for weapon-taxes; if the baker will not do this, the shoemaker's taxes cannot accomplish the single aim of their existence, and cease to have any purpose. If they are used to guard against ordinary low prices, the shoemaker is protecting industry; if he uses them to guard against intermittent low prices, he is taxing himself in order to protect his market from dumping; if he attempts to draw more money from the baker than flows in the baker's direction, he will be regulating the balance of trade, or attracting capital. If he uses his tariff taxes to guard against certain imports, which may affect this or that industrial possibility, he will be educating infant industries or developing productive potentialities; none of which have anything to do with the tariff-weapon. If the baker wiU not repeal his taxes in return for the shoemaker's, the tariff-weapon has failed to produce the desired result, and is merely 1 102 The New Protection Pt. I Bk. II The Tariff-Weapon 103 I injuring the shoemaker. The import duty, imposed as an economic weapon in this connexion, can never realize the unique purpose of its being until it is taken off. No considerations, therefore, which involvte its existence for any other purpose, apply to its use as a weapon; such considerations fall under the various forms of Protection to which they belong, and should be discussed in relation to these. The tariff-weapon, as such, is a self-inflicted injury, having no object other than its removal in return for industrial concessions. If these concessions can be obtained, the weapon-tax should be taken off in ex- change for them, as soon as possible; if they cannot be obtained, the weapon-tax should be taken off, as soon as possible; there is nothing gained in keeping it on in either event. On the contrary, everything is to be gained in taking it off in either event; it was designed to be taken off, and can have no other object; the sooner it is taken off, moreover, the sooner it fulfils the single purpose of its imposition. If it is permitted to stay on, it destroys its own object and becomes a protective tax in some form or other, and, in consequence, useless as a weapon. If, then, to return to the illustration, the baker refuses to remove his taxes] the tariff- weapon is a demonstrated futility; and, if the shoemaker continues to tax himself with it, he is simply inflicting himself with a useless burden. There are other considerations with reference to the use of the taxing powers of a nation as a weapon. If a nation, wedded to the theories of Protection, as aU nations are, with but a possible single exception decides to make us of its tariff taxes in this way, it is evident that the protective functions of the tax schedules must not be affected by their diplomatic qualifications. The protective taxes can no more be used as weapons than as providers of revenue. The protective tariff impUes the mtiposition of taxes; the tariff-weapon, however, can be effective but in their removal — it is the reduction alone of such taxes, in return for other reductions, which lends any excuse to this form of taxation. But, in order to be repealed, weapon-taxes must first be imposed- what, then, must be the result in the imposition of taxes to be used as weapons? Upon revenue and protective duties wiU become en- grafted a third form of taxation, super-imposed upon the other two The policy suggesting itself in this connexion, to a commission empowered to arrange a schedule of duties for a protectionist country, may easily be miagined. The capitalist's interests wiU doubtless have suggested to the commission that certain duties are essential for the protection of the industrial classes. Labour is generally willing to vote for such taxes as it is led to suppose that it is taxing the pauper foreigner. These pro- tective taxes are, therefore, necessary, and must be imposed over and above those essential for revenue. The far-seeing statesmen who compose the Tariff Commission will perceive, however, that this already formidable array of taxes should be raised still higher, in order to arm the people by adding weapon-taxes to existing revenue and protective duties; in this way alone could such taxes be reduced without interfering with the revenue and protective functions of the schedules. These weapon-taxes, therefore, must be added to other taxes, and essential neither for revenue nor Protection. A nation, effectively armed witii the tariff-weapon, necessarily evolves three distinct and mutually subversive systems of indirect taxation, which have to be built one upon another in order to produce any practical results. The revenue taxes will be tiie foundation of the structure, and must not be high enough to protect to any extent or tiiey wiU cease to produce revenue; the pro- tective taxes wiU come next, and must be too high to produce any amount of revenue, or tiiey will cease to protect. The weapon-taxes must tiien be added to these, and put up so high tiiat tiiey can be reduced or repealed witiiout interfering with the functions of the otiier two. It is thus easy to conceive the policy which must dominate a Commission em- powered to negotiate a treaty witii these weapon-taxes. The question the Commission has to decide is, what taxes may be removed in return for the removal of other taxes. It may be assumed tiiat tiie capitaKst^s interests have either been consulted, or have intimated to the commission that such and such taxes might be advantageously modified for the protection and best interests of labour. The people at large wiU invariably be represented m the removal of such weapon-taxes by organized capital; this is un- avoidable where a single protective tax exists. As it is not unnaturaUy assumed that tiiese interests are identical, such negotiations can have but one result: the shifting of the incidence of unnecessary taxation at the dictation of capital. No other result could be achieved, for no other result is attempted; those possessed of political influence sufficient to have such taxes modified, or removed, wiU profit thereby. If no inducements sufficiently strong present themselves, tiie tariff-weapon rests upon tiie rack; the unnecessary taxes stay where put. On the otiier hand, unnecessary additions to revenue and protective taxes create vested interests where none existed; profits will be swoUen ti I04 The New Protection Pt. I Bk. II The Tariff- Weapon loS l!t»l beyond the hopes ot the protectionist, and security values feel the influence of the tariff-weapon. These taxes, imposed in order to be removed, will find in many cases all the political and financial interests in the country involved with their retention. They will thus tend to become fixtures, with the result that the next Tariff Commission will perceive the wisdom of adding yet more weapon-taxes, in order to arm the people still more effectively. Such taxes are thus, sooner or later, involved with the entire financial life of the nation, and, if not removed at a very early stage of their existence, become nothing more than exaggerated protective taxa- tion. The following interviews^ show the practical application of such considerations. "Senator Hopkins of Illinois is one of two or three former members of the Ways and Means Committee who helped frame the Dingley law. He is ready to alter the schedules he helped to fix. "* Unless the Republicans revise the tariff now,' he said, *I am unable to understand how they can go into the next campaign and discuss it. When the Dingley law was framed it was well understood that many of the duties were placed higher than they should have been, because it was expected they would be lowered by reciprocity treaties. The duties on sugar, paper, and steel were placed especially high. I take it that the beet sugar interest influences had considerable to do with the duties on that commodity. Since the duty on paper was fixed the mills have formed a Trust and operate practically as one plant. There have been important industrial changes all over the country, since the old law was passed which make changes necessary. The same need of protective duties does not exist as in 1897. "Representative McCall of Massachusetts talked in the same strain. * There are many things in the Dingley law,' he said, 'which we do not like to look a man straight in the eyes and defend. Then, if we do not revise schedules, we must soon retire that old Republican friend of ours, who has been brought forward in every stump speech of the campaign — that is, the argument that when the tariff is to be revised it should be revised by its friends." ** Representative Crumpacker of Indiana, a defeated aspirant for Senator Fairbank's place, is a pronounced tariff revisionist. He is reported to-day as saying: *I am going to urge the President to call an extra session, and in the call to request Congress to examine carefully every schedule so that the revision may be as complete and thorough » The Evening Post, N. Y., December s, 1904. as possible. If we postpone revision until the Fifty-ninth Congress it will never be done.' "Representative Burleigh of Maine is the only 'stand-patter' brought forward this morning. He is entirely in accord with the views expressed in Senator Hale's recent interview and declares that the Senator's views meet with the entire approval of the Maine people. They do not want the tariff question opened." The statesmen will adopt the same principle of the tariff-weapon all along the line; it may be shown from the point of view of the manu- facturers in the following passage:^ "When Congress gave us 45 per cent, we needing only 20 per cent, they gave us a Congressional permit, if not an invitation, to consolidate, form one great trust, and advance our prices 25 per cent, being the difference between the 20 per cent needed and the 45 per cent given." These interviews are instructive; and permit the study of the tariff- weapon in use. They may be noticed in sequence: The first speaker presents the process of imposing exaggerated taxes in order that such taxes may be lowered. It is evident that other nations will "arm" themselves in the same way, with the result that if the weapon-taxes are taken off, the nations find themselves where they were in the first place; for, of course, neither will remove either revenue or protective taxes in return for mere "weapon" concessions. This interview also shows capitalistic influences at work, imposing weapon-taxes as well as protective taxes, and a trust forming under the influences of such taxa- tion. It is, of course, clear that these taxes enter into profits and security values the moment imposed, with the result that they become inflated protective taxes, and may never be removed. The second speaker is conscious of having assisted in imposing^taxes which are difficult to defend. The third suggests the opinion that unless weapon-taxes are repealed shortly after their imposition, they will never be repealed. In other words, that the tariff-weapon may be practically useless. The fourth speaker is the most interesting of all: here is a statesman voicing, apparently, a large portion of the community, who believes it good policy to impose taxes on the necessaries of life, in order to take them off, and then to keep them on. The statesmen who put the taxes on say tiiey did so in order to take them off; through another statesman, the peop le say they prefer to keep them on. There thus seems reason *H. E. Miles in American Industries. November 15, 1907, p. 14. t| ■I if! io6 The New Protection Pt.I Bk. II 11 ! Ul to believe that the people, and this type of statesmen, are blissfully unconscious of the only advantages which weapon-taxes possess. The people surrender the power of taxation to their representatives, who build up taxes in order to take them down. Then the people, and their representatives, say that they prefer to continue to pay the taxes. This instructive passage seems to show one of two things: either that a large portion of the population, and some of the statesmen, are incap- able of understanding the only object of weapon taxation, or that such statesmen are unwilling to express such comprehension, neither posi- tion lending much support to the tariff-weapon. These passages refer to the Dingley Bill of 1907. The Payne-Aldrich Bill became law in 1909. In the Dingley schedules the increase of taxation, designed to be repealed, maybe studied; this is the " weapon " being raised with the taxes, so to speak. The weapon may now be expected to fall. It took thirteen years, much agitation, and many broken promises, to make this weapon move at all. It flashed in the air for thirteen years, and was finally dragged down to be sharpened in 1909. What was the result? A single passage will suffice for any one who has watched the history of the Payne-Aldrich Conmiittee. Senator Bristow of Kansas is described as a "strong and convinced protectionist.** He is also interested in red paint. He saysr^ "We paint our bams with it in Kansas. I saw them putting up duties which I believed would affect its cost. I wanted to know why — I could find no reason — no proof that it was necessary. I insisted, and I soon made up my mind that they had no intention of considering the difference in cost of pro- duction, that they sneered at the idea, that they were simply intent on giving their political supporters what they wanted. Moreover, they intended to force us to be a party to the business. It was the most dishonest and corrupt work I have ever seen, and I revolted." This is the way the Dingley "weapon " fell, after thirteen years of exaggerated taxation and untold millions of waste. Nor does it make any difference whether, through reciprocity clauses, any maximum and minimum taxes are handed over to President or Tariff Commission with power to negotiate treaties. Such taxes must be useless for any other purpose; that is, worth less as taxes than as markets. The instant they swell profits sufficiently, they will appear in the form of party contributions, and the President or Tariff Commission will neve r be able to touch them. Thus a portion of such taxes will « Tht Tariff in Our Times. TarbeU. p. 300. The Tariff-Weapon 107 become fixtures and useless as weapons, and a portion will be juggled up or down in return for analogous foreign concessions, as capital dictates. A population must pile up more taxes than it can possibly remove, in order to remove any taxes; in other words, apparently always lose the instant it begins to use the tariff-weapon. Artide 2 — Preference. The tariff-weapon, studied in the committee room and the popular mind at the same time, is a strange thing; yet this is the weapon with which the people of England are invited to arm themselves. It may be believed that the Tariff Reform weapon of the Unionist party would be more skilfully used than that of the Americans; and, as the wielding of the weapon of the great Republic is examined, such hope does not seem extravagant. Whether the people of England as a whole, however, would gain from the imposition of such taxation may be questioned! England can never "arm " herself with this mysterious weapon unless she multipUes her indirect taxes at first; and she can never gain any- thing from the weapon unless she takes the taxes off. But the in- stant she begins to tax herself for this purpose, she wiU create vested and protected interests, making it difficult for her to untax herself, except in limited ways, under limited conditions; and certainly impost sible to untax herself to the extent of paying no protective or weapon- taxes, as at present. If England ever places a retaUatory tax on her schedules, there is reason to believe that she wiU never be able to realize the trade advantages she possesses to-day, and that such a tax will sooner or later involve all the evils and expense of general Protection. In protected countries, the tariff-weapon involves the engrafting of removable taxes upon existing revenue and protective systems. In England, the tariff-weapon requires the adoption of an entirely new feature. Speaking in the House of Commons on May 28th 190:5 Mr. Chamberlain saidr^ "The Preference must be given either on raw matenals or on food, or on both." Again: "If you are to give a preference to the Colonies - and I don't say that you are - you must put a tax on food. I make the honourable gentleman opposite a present of ^at." A fe,w years later, Mr. Chamberiain2 is more explicit- When w e return to power," he says in 1906, "we bring our pohcy with » Cf. Through Preference to Protection. L. G. Chiozza-Money, p. 32. Cf. The Spectator. Jamiavy 30th, 1906. io8 The New Protection Pt. I Bk. II f ■m i i' US. And my Lords and gentlemen, with Fiscal Reform, remember, we bring Preference also." Mr. Chamberlain and his immediate following will, sooner or later, disappear from the political arena; the Unionist party may be dissolved or reorganized upon a number of issues, with as many leaders; the question of food taxation may be obscured and confused with various forms of conferences and referendums; but the demand for taxes of this nature will probably always remain active and constant in England, as long as an indirect fiscal system exists. When a tax is imposed upon foreign manufactured goods in England, the English producer is protected in the usual way in the home market, but, if a preferential system of food and raw material taxation is added; the range of English Protection would be indefinitely extended. It would be possible, as England is a great consumer of these materials, to grant certain concessions and preferences to the Colonies and other coimtries, in return for which foreign markets could be opened to the English producer. Thus a tax on food could be used to put up rents at home and protect a market abroad at the same time. The preferential phase of the New Protection is a significant feature in England, and may seem destined sooner or later to play an important part. The history of party government has long represented but the swing of the pendulum between modified Liberal and Conservative opinion. The conventional thought is unable to meet recent issues, and to-day a Liberalism is found which, but a few years ago, would have been considered of the most Radical nature. This may be expected to cause a compensating Conservative reaction, and there is no policy before the English people to-day so well calculated to represent such a reaction as preferential Tariff Reform. The old Free Trade Man- chester school of manufacturing capital dies a natural death, approached with the protective tax and the preferential duty at the same time. The Com Laws protected the landlord and exposed the manufacturer; the New Protection unites them and meets every demand of capital wherever employed. Foodstuffs may be controlled in order to raise rents, while no diflSculty need be caused in the manufacturer's market, owing to Protection and Preference. Preferences and concessions may be granted to the Colonies and food-producing nations, by means of the use of the preferential weapon in such a way that, while the home population is held in a vice, new markets for manufacturers could be developed abroad, by screwing the vice this way or that. The food The Tariff-Weapon 109 could be taxed out of, or into, the mouths of the population of England in order to protect a foreign market. The preferential weapon of the New Protection is an effective conception, and it is not strange tiiat it looms so large on the English political horizon. It seems diflScult to understand how it has been so long resisted. It need not be developed at lengtii, however, in its relation to trade. In tiiis connexion, it sug- gests a duplex, reversible form of protective taxation, acting through the price of food and raw materials, by means of which rents may be raised, and capital may tax the home population in order to protect itself in foreign markets. The home population is invited to deprive itself of things to eat in order that tiie Imperial population may be deprived of clothes to wear and tools with which to work. Section III— Tariff Warfare Notiiing shows more cleariy the influence of capital over admin- istrative policy to-day than the custom of regarding a nation solely m the light of a producing organization. An industrial society is considered as a great industry producing goods indefinitely witiiout consummg anything. Yet no industry can produce witiiout con- sumption of tiie raw materials of its products. As this position seems evident, it seems also evident that no nation can produce witiiout con- summg the elements of production; in otiier words, as an industry must consume m order to produce, so an industrial society must necessarily be composed of consuming and producing elements. The consuming elements of a society, however, have no place in the philosophy of Protection; the productive elements alone are considered. This tendency has gamed such a hold upon ideas of political economy, that it is impos- sible to discuss the subject from any other point of view. The works of such men as Mill and Adam Smitii are either disregarded, or an isolated passage here and there is cited, upon which is reared a system of protective taxes of all kinds. The dominant idea in administrative methods IS tiie invention of means by which the taxing powers of a nter!r. T.. """"^ ^''" ^^ ^"^'^' ^^ ^^^^^^^^^ organizations; the It trl? tI^'^ organizations being confused with those of tiie people tZl J^' ^ ^^^^^ ^taxed production and consmnption and untaxed markets, is yet, if ever ^ 1 no The New Protection Pt. I Bk. 11 t 'ill i i|i ;i ij I to dawn upon the political horizon. The following passage* serves as illustration. "The new mercantilism often overlooks, as every movement of the kind which is based on popular cries is sure to do, that these weapons may, as often as not, be used xmskilf ully. And thus Russia, the United States, and France, have fallen back on an extravagantly high pro- tective system. But their action drives all other states to a certain amount of tariff regulation, if only not to be quite defenseless. With- out such weapons we cannot expect to make commercial treaties. And therefore Professor Schumacher" (who had read a previous paper) "has been very much to the point in emphasizing the importance of negotia- tions tariffs (Verhandlungszollen). The man who ignores these facts dwells in Cloudcookooland, and does not descend to the real earth with its opposing interests and struggles." This attitude is, apparently, one from which there is no escape, colour- ing as it does all political policies. Other nations tax our goods, it is said; we are compelled, therefore, to tax their goods; or rather to tax ourselves in self-defence, in order to induce them to remove their taxes on our products. In other words, other nations refuse our goods; it is, therefore, apparently to our interest to refuse theirs in order to open their markets. The import duty is supposed to be the only means of accomplishing this end. This is probably not the case, and there is reason to regard it, in comparison with other methods, as cumbersome and extravagant. A nation, for instance, might be induced to remove certain taxes in return for a direct monetary consideration, by means of which gain could be compared with cost, and their relative values understood. This is impossible in import taxation. Again, instead of multiplying import duties indefinitely, without knowing what is accomplished or how much it costs, the war could be carried on by means of flooding the home market with cheap goods, through subsidizing home or other sources of supply. The foreigner could thus be shut out of the home market as long as desired, and injured as much as possible, more effectively and at less expense than with import duties. During the war, moreover, the people would be enjoying cheaper goods and greater powers of production instead of high prices and scarcity. If the foreign nation retaliates by shutting out more goods, a reply may be made with another subsidy, undermining another of its industries » Professor GusUv SchmoUer — " Scknf ten dts VtreinsfUr SoeidpolUik, xcviu, 270. quoted by Professor A»hl^, The TariJ Problem, p. 31. The Tari£E-Weapon ni and flooding the home market with domestic products; while all the time exactly how much the industrial warfare is costing in relation to the gain produced may be known. This method of direct fiscal warfare may be carried into the field of military operations. ' Adam Smithi may be dted in support of the position that taxes may be advantageously imposed with reference to certain industries essential to the defence of the country The New Protection, basing its position upon modem conditions, has stronger reasons than Smith in support of the same policy. England is the most vulnerable country in this connexion, on account of her small area and Free Trade. The New Protection asks^* what Smith would have said to a state of affairs in which the people of England is "dependent upon miportation for more than threesjuarters of its bread, and for almost half of it upon importation from a country with which we have qmte recentiy seemed on the verge of war?" The threatening of the steel and iron industries, by German and American dumping in un- protected English markets, adds to the dangers of the situation as far as these mdustries are essential to the building of ships and the casting of g^; considerations which apply to other countries as weU as to Eng- land m proportion to the conditions involved, and which cannot be swept away by purely economic arguments. The present poUtical system makes .t possible for a single diplomat or pohtidan to throw a whole people into convulsions through ignorant or unguarded utter- ances. It makes it easy for organized capital to use the entire naval and mihtary resources of a nation in control of spheres of influence- to develop wars with weaker nations in order to keep a party in power or create a demand for the output of a steelworks and ammunition factoiy; and, consequently, lends weight to these considerations of tiie New Protection. Their importance may be frankly admitted. Here, as m the case of tiie encouragement of an industry die problem has noUung to do with the end in view but is concerned solely with tiie means suggested. Protection.of course, presents tiie same measure for arming a great nation on tiie verge of war as tiiat presented for tiie training of tiie mdustnal nurshng. Whatever end is desired, Protection has but one means to suggest; tiie ends may vary to infinity, tiie means remain ^ffd_and unchangeable -a tax on imports is tiie one arrow in tiie I m w«m of N tectionists has been so often and so triumphantly met, that it requires little notice here. That country is the most steadily as well as the most abundantly supplied with food, which draws its supplies from the largest surface. It is ridiculous to found a general system, of policy on so improbable a danger as that of being at war with all the nations of the world at once; or to suppose that, even if in- ferior at sea, a whole country could be blockaded like a town, or that the growers of food in other countries would not be as anxious not to lose an advantageous market, as we should be not to be deprived of their com." It may be of interest to inquire to what extent the foregoing con- siderations, with reference to the tariff-weapon, are justified by specific cases and actual conditions. The following is a brief analysis of the tariff war between Germany and Russia in 1893-4: "The statistics published by the German Government show that after the outbreak of the tariff war, the German export trade to Russia had been partiaUy paralyzed. The exports of locomotives ceased; the export of wrought iron was one-third of the average in the preceding year, and of cement less than one-half. And in addition to the losses of the German exporters and manufacturers, it became apparent that a large number of Germans Uved by the import and handling of Russian products, and they were, of course, severely affected. The railways which are State property, were run, on certain branches, at a loss. German ships were practically excluded from Russian ports, and the German coast towns, interested in the carrying trade, were heavy sufferers. . . . With the approach of winter the situation became worse, as the Baltic ports were closed by the ice. The large trade in extra- European goods, which had been carried on through Germany was crippled. The transit of raw cotton through Germany for the Russian market was, in 1893, only one-half what it has been in the preceding year. And in addition to the economical losses, a grave danger was imminent. There is ample proof that the tariff war, as it proceeded, was regarded by both responsible parties as likely to lead to a state of thmgs dangerous for the peace of Europe." 1 "On the other side," contmues Mr. Ashley: "Russia was suffering from the injury inflicted on her agricultural exports, particularly after the good harvest of 1893. Ihe foUowing table shows the movements of imports and exports between the two c ountries for the years 1890 to 1894, inclusive. It wiU be re-, *««*»<, p. 4fi. ated'm Modem Tariff History. P«-rcy Ashley, p. 93. 1-1^ 114 The New Protection Pt. I Bk. II The Tariff- Weapon "S Russian Exports to Germany Mill. Roubles German Exports to Russia MiU. Marks . 178 193 . 138 54 58 38 . 148 35 54 membered that the acute struggle was in the latter half of 1893, and in the first two months of 1894." Year 1890 1891 1892 1893 1894 In reference to the Franco-Italian tariff war, the following may be cited from the same source*; "The consequences of the war to the commerce between the two coimtries are immistakable. The following table shows the French exports to Italy and the Italian exports to France for the five years preceding and five years following the commencement of the war. It will be remembered that practically although the acute struggle was over by the beginning of 1890, the conflict continued to 1899, since until that year neither coimtry would grant the other its best terms; the table shows that the trade never recovered from the blow of 1888. The figures are million poimds sterling." v^ »» Xi^A French Exports Italian Exports ^^ to Italy to France 1883 .... 12.0 17. 1 1884 » . II. 3 14.7 1885 » 11.5 10.5 1886 » . 12.4 12.4 1887 13 12.3 1888 6.2 7.2 1889 . 6.7 5-3 1890 6.5 4 9 1891 5-4 49 1892 k . 6.7 5-3 1899 » 6.1 6.3 The total exports of France to all countries show an increase during the period. "Italy suffered much more — her total exports declined considerably. The competitors of the two countries reaped the benefits of the struggle; to the combatants themselves it brought only difficulties and a great amoimt of damage." Another passage* may be cited in reference to the war between France and Switzerland. "The effects of the war were severe on both sides. The following •p. 33S. ■p. 347. table gives (in million francs) the French exports to Switzerland, and the Swiss exports to France, for the four years preceding the war, and the four years after the commencement: Year 1889 1890 1891 1892 1893 1894 1895 1896 French Exports Swiss Exports to Switzerland to France 230.5 242.8 234.8 227.9 172.8 129.9 163.2 179.9 101.5 104.2 103.4 91.9 74-9 66.6 67.3 75.4 "The figures for 1895 show the beginning of an improvement, since the war only lasted for seven months of that year; since then the upward movement has on the whole continued, but up to 1901 the trade between the two countries has not returned to the level of 1891." France seems to have been the heaviest loser in this instance, and "the result of the war was so much a victory for Switzerland that she secured some preferences over other nations in the French market, without giving France any such preference in return." From a study of these figures, as well as from general considerations, it seems that loss swift and certain, must be the result of the wielding of the tariff-weapon. In such insUnce as that of France, in the Franco- Italian war, where total exports increased during the struggle, it is natural to conclude that such independent increase would have been still greater, without restrictive taxation, and that real loss is no less expressed in the necessary falling off of trade with the nation involved. Where, as in the case of Switzerland, a nation gains certain concessions as a result of the war, it seems that not only, after several years of the enjoyment of victory, had her exports not returned to the point reached before the war began, but that the natural gain possible without the restrictive taxation of markets and industry had been lost at the same time. The cause of this was probably that found at work in the study of the weapon-taxes of the United States. These taxes, placed over and above protective and revenue taxes, become at once involved with political and capitalistic interests; with the result that they may never fall to the protective and revenue level from which they began. No gain, therefore, from the tariff-weapon can apparently equal the loss involved. The New Protection, after demonstrating the invalidity of the prin- ' 't ii6 The New Protection Pt. I Bk. II ■it t i dples of Adam Smith, applied to modem conditions, almost invariably, quotes* a certain passage from his works in support of retaliatory duties: The passage in this connexion, together with the attendant qualifying passages to which the New Protection is oblivious, may therefore be cited: "The case in which it may sometimes be a matter of deliberation,*' says Smith,2 "how far it is proper to continue the free importation of certain foreign goods, is, when some foreign nation restrains by high duties or prohibitions the importation of our manufactures into their country. Revenge in this case naturally dictates retaliation, and that we should impose the like duties and prohibitions upon the importation of some or all of their manufactures into ours. Nations, accordingly, seldom fail to retalitate in this manner. . . . There may be good policy in retaliations of this kind, when there is a probability that they will procure the repeal of the high duties or prohibitions complained of. The recovery of a great foreign market will generally more than compensate the transitory inconveniency of paying dearer during a short time for some sorts of goods. To judge whether such retaliations are likely to produce such an effect, does not, perhaps, belong so much to the science of a legislator, whose deliberations ought to be governed by general principles which are always the same, as to the skill of that insidious and crafty animal vulgarly called a statesman or politician, whose councils are directed by the momentary fluctuations of affairs. When there is no probability that any such repeal can be procured, it seems a bad method of compensating the injury done to certain classes of our people, to do another injury ourselves, not only to those classes, but to almost all other classes of them. When our neighbours prohibit some manufactures of ours, we generally prohibit, not only the same, for that alone could seldom affect them considerably, but some other manufactiu-e of theirs. This may no doubt give encouragement to some particular class of workmen among ourselves, and by excluding some of their rivals, may enable them to raise their price in the home market. Those workmen, however, who suffered by our neighbour's prohibition will not be benefited by ours. On the contrary, they and almost all the other classes of our citizens will thereby be obliged to pay dearer than before for certain goods. Every such law, therefore imposes a real tax upon the whole country, not in favoiu: of that par- « Cf. Professor Ashley. The Tariff Problem, pp. 28, 32. * Tke Wealth 0/ Nations. Bk. IV.. ch. u., p. 40, et seq. The Tariff-Weapon iiy ticular class of workmen who were injured by our neighbours' prohi- bition, bat of some other class." The tariff-weapon of the New Protection, studied in the light of "practical" poUtical and financial conditions, may be found, as other phases of the new protective school, to be a duplex, protective measure aimed at foreign markets. Thus, the preferential taxes of the New Protection tax the home population in order to raise prices abroad- the tariff-weapon taxes of the new era impose a double system of taxation upon the home population, in order to control prices at home and abroad at the same time, by means of the reduction of unnecessary burdens. Through the action of the tariff-weapon, not only the im- position, but the removal, of indirect burdens may be made the subject of political and capitalistic manipulation, with all the advantages of the process. The tariff-weapon is a double-edged sword grasped by the blade and the firmer the hold the deeper it sinks into the flesh of the wielder. "But now let us look a little into this policy of retaUation," says Sir Henry CampbeU-Bannerman. 1 "It is, of course, an obvious makeshift. It pleases the Protectionists. It does not content them, but they know quite well that if it is adopted, gradually ~ it may be speedily - their whole programme will have to be taken. It captures the selfish interests of individual trades and of individual men; it gratifies the fighting mstmcts of the nation— and we have not to go far back to see what may come when the fighting instinct of the nation is aroused. The design is to prevent unfair competition - the foreigner can undersell us in some cases, owing to advantages of climate, of wages, of hours of labour, social conditions, or high tariffs, and the proposal is that the Government should have power given to it to put on duties against such cases - in other words, to gamble with the trade of the country behind the back of Parliament. . . . Mr. Balfour's maxim is this: 'We must do to other countnes what other countries do to each other.' I am familiar with another maxim. 'Do to others as you would that they should do to you.' ... On the whole, I myself should fall back upon the antiquated maxim of Scripture, that it is better to do unto others as we would that they should do unto us — and that is the doctrine of rree Trade." ^Speech Delivered ai Bolton, October isth, 1903. 1 ri! . -I i-'lii 1 Bk. II ImperiaKsm and Progress 119 Hti CHAPTER VI IMPERIALISM AND PROGRESS A NUMBER of the phases in which the import duty may be presented xmder both the Old and the New Protection have been examined. The list is, however, by no means exhausted, and may be extended through the development of considerations suggested by the headings of the present chapter. In Germany, the works of a nimiber of writers: List, Wagner, Olden- burgh, Roscher, Hildebrandt, Schmoller, Knies, and others, have formed the basis of more or less divergent schools. In England, the New Protection develops a number of different positions in refer- ence to political protection, retaliation, preference. Colonial policy, Imperial imity and growth of Empire. In America, the older school is enlarged and enriched by " dynamic and progressive " considerations. As population increases, as wealth accumulates and manufacturing interests grow in productive power, a country comes more and more imder imperialistic and progressive influences. Its accumula- tions of capital seek new channels of investment, and its more or less redundant population, new opportimities for occupation and em- ployment. Around these causes forms a more or less definite policy of territorial and industrial growth and expansion of various kinds. New fields of production are sought by the people; new markets for their produce, and new employment for their reserves of industrial energy and capital. Trade, it is shown, is the great agent of productive development, and commerce the imfailing source of wealth. It thus becomes at once necessary and desirable to open and protect new markets abroad for manufactiu-es; a Colonial policy is suggested and maintained, and spheres of influences become an important feature in foreign rela- tions. All these conditions may apparently be furthered by means of the regulation and control of the productive elements involved, which imply the imposition of taxes on imports. Many other considerations having relatively littie to do with indus- trial conditions may be invoked in support of the regulation of trade through the import duty: the growing burden of Empire, necessitating 118 supervision of the various manifestations of development, political and sociological, as well as economic; the need of imperial and political unity and of welding the interests of a great society into a consistent whole; the danger of being dependent upon foreign sources of supply in case of international complications; causes brought into existence in Europe through the Napoleonic wars; the need of the regulation and adjustment of commerce, in order that a society may pass from agri- culture to a higher stage, in the harmonious union of industrial and agrarian production. The converse proposition, the need of agricultural development under certain conditions, as a supplement to mercantile and manufacturing pursuits. Other phases of the policy may grow out of Fichte's conception of a self-centred and contained social organ- ization, in which administrative functions maintain a proper balance between the different productive elements. Again, it may be said that all societies, at any given time, but present an ever varying phase of an endless evolution; no fixed principle is therefore acceptable with reference to the changes of social conditions; each problem, as it arises, requires solutions more or less distinct from those of earher or later questions. Economics thus become of piu-ely practical or empirical interest, demanding the most expedient policy for the movement. The intelligent control of the taxing resources of the nation may, it seems, present such a policy under certain conditions. No temporary expedients, says another school, but, on the contrary, a constant and consistent endeavour to realize the highest possibilities of all kinds which the society may present; the taxing powers of the nation should thus always be used in such a way that undeviating progress may be assured. Existing conditions, as found in any modern society, it may be said, are not based upon general or theoretical conceptions of trade and industry; but, on the contrary, upon a purely adventitious social de- velopment, derived from an indefinite past and conditions over which the present organizations have had no control. These organizations have thus been developed through an evolutionary process, based upon conditions more or less analogous to those existing; a process in which a series of actual facts has evolved another series of such facts; that in consequence, these facts, together with the industrial conditions involved, may present a truer relation to the needs of society as con- stituted in reality than the generalized conceptions of theoretical econ- omists. These conceptions, it may appear, however reasonable and i^ I20 The New Protection Ft. 1 acceptable, from a philosophic or academic point of view, may fail in sufficient recognition of the distinction between a rationalized cos- mopolitanism and the complicated, political and industrial relations of reality. Other considerations may be advanced in support of a protective policy for political and sociological ends, independent of economic result. National and imperial homogeneity, the diversification of industry, the need of constantly approaching the highest possible degree of social efficiency in all its phases; the educational development of the working classes; progress, intellectual and artistic, as well as political and in- dustrial; national prestige, patriotism; the desirability of shedding the light of civilization over an ever widening area through the protection and retention of markets among less developed peoples, are some of the phases of Protection to be presented in this aspect of the subject. An examination of even a portion of the field shows that the policy is lacking in neither volume nor variety of considerations advanced. All considerations, however, unite in one unchanging position: faith in a tax on imports to achieve any desired result. An analysis of material of this nature shows that it may be divided and classified along the following lines: The great bulk of protective considerations may be grouped either with those phases discussed; or, falling outside these, divided into two classes which may be called the Progressive and the Practical. The Progressive group presents for the first time the social organiza- tion as a progressive imit, suggests the idea of political progress in its wider aspects, and, consequently, progress in general. Considerations of this class are involved with the use of the import duty as a fiscal, as well as a protective, measure. Discussion may, therefore, be de- ferred until this use has been examined. The Practical group includes a number of considerations of importance, both fiscal and protective, discussed later under an examination of practical conditions. The attention may, therefore, here be turned to purely fiscal systems. I < Part II TAXATION BOOK I INDIRECT TAXATION BOOK II DIRECT TAXATION ' ; -I I I ♦ 'i Book I INDIRECT TAXATION t I CHAPTER I General Principles of Taxation THE revenue of a society is derived from the resources of its constituent units. These resources may be divided into capital and revenue, and it seems clear that social revenue can be derived permanently from individual revenue alone. The first question met, therefore, with reference to social revenue is: In what does individual revenue consist? "The private revenue of individuals," says Adam Smith^ "arises ultimately from three different sources: rent, profit, and wages. Every tax must finally be paid from some one or other of these three different sorts of revenue, or from all of them indifferently." That all private revenue may be resolved into Rent, Profits, and Wages is a position of no little importance, and may be given a moment's attention; this position maybe based upon the following consideration: Private economic incomes are created through exchange; these incomes, therefore, deperid upon the relative values, or prices, of things exchanged. Production occurs, however, through the combination of three productive factors; Land, Capital, and Labour. The return to these three factors, therefore, or Rent, Profit, and Wages, forms the exhangeable value or price of the commodity produced. Price, in consequence, or all private revenue from productive sources, is ultimately resolvable into its three constituent elements: Rent, Profit and Wages. The subject is ex- haustively treated in The Wealth of Nations,^ "The sources of in- come," says Mill,2 "are rent, profits, and wages. This includes every sort of income, except gift or plunder." A study, therefore, of Taxation should be an analysis of the relation of the sources of social revenue to these three sources of individual revenue. * The Wealth of Nations, Bk. V., ch. ii., p. 413. * Bk. I., ch. vi. * Princi^ 0/ Political Economy, Bk. V., ch. iii.. § i, p. 496. 123 124 Indirect Taxation Pt. II Bk. I I ! The nearest approach to a single imiversally acceptable proposition in reference to Taxation is contained in the four principles drawn up by Adam Smith, ^ which, as Mill 2 says, have become classical. They may, therefore, be quoted in order to serve as a standard of excellence to which different forms of taxation may be referred. "I. The subjects of every state ought to contribute toward the support of the Government, as nearly as possible, in proportion to their respective abilities; that is, in proportion to the revenue which they respectively enjoy under the protection of the state. The expense of government to the individuals of a great nation is like the expense of management to the joint tenants of a great estate, who are all obliged to contribute in proportion to their respective interests in the estate. In the observation or neglect of this maxim consists what is called the equality or inequality of taxation. Every tax, it must be observed once for all, which falls finally upon one only of the three sorts of revenue above-mentioned, is necessarily unequal, in so far as it does not affect the other two. . . . "n. The tax which each individual is bound to pay ought to be certain, and not arbitrary. The time of payment, the manner of payment, the quantity to be paid, ought all to be clear and plain to the contributor, and to every other person. Where it is otherwise, every person subject to the tax is put more or less in the power of the tax- gatherer, who can either aggravate the tax upon any obnoxious con- tributor, or extort, by the terror of such aggravation, some present or perquisite to himself. The uncertainty of taxation encourages the insolence and favours the corruption of an order of men who are naturally unpopular, even where they are neither insolent nor corrupt. The certainty of what each individual ought to pay is, in taxation, a matter of so great importance, that a very considerable degree of inequality, it appears, I believe, from the experience of all nations, is not near so great an evil as a very small degree of uncertainty. ^ "m. Every tax ought to be levied at the time, or in the manner, in which it is most likely to be convenient for the contributor to pay it. A tax upon the rent of land or of houses, payable at the same term at which such rents are usually paid, is levied at the time it is most likely to be convenient for the contributor to pay; or, when he is most likely to have wherewithal to pay. Taxes upon such consumable goods as « The Wealth of Nations. Bk. V., ch. ii.. p. 414. * PrindpUs of PolUical Economy, -Bk. V., ch. ii., | 1, p. 483. General Principles of Taxation I2S are articles of luxury are all finally paid by the consimier, and generally in the manner that is very convenient for him. He pays them by little and little, as he has occasion to buy the goods. As he is at liberty, too, either to buy, or not to buy, as he pleases, it must be his own fault if he ever suffers any considerable inconvenience from such taxes. "IV. Every tax ought to be so contrived as both to take out and to keep out of the pockets of the people as little as possible over and above what it brings into the public treasury of the state. A tax may either take out or keep out of the pockets of the people a great deal more than it brings into the public treasury, in the four following ways: First, the levying of it may require a great number of officers, whose salaries may eat up the greater part of the produce of the tax, and whose perquisites may impose another additional tax upon the people. Secondly, it may obstruct the industry of the people, and discoiu*age them from applying to certain branches of business which might give maintenance and employment to great multitudes. While it obliges the people to pay, it may thus diminish, or perhaps destroy, some of the fimds which might enable them more easily to do so. Thirdly, by the for- feitiu*es and other penalties which those unfortimate in(Uviduals inciu: who attempt unsuccessfully to evade the tax, it may frequently ruin them, and thereby put an end to the benefit which the community might have received from the employment of their capitals. An injudicious tax offers a great temptation to smuggling. But the penalties of smuggling must rise in propbrtion to the temptation. The law, contrary to all the ordinary principles of justice, first creates the temptation, and then punishes those who yield to it; and it commonly enhances the punish- ment too in proportion to the very circumstances which ought certainly to alleviate it, the temptation to commit the crime. Foiu*thly, by subjecting the people to the frequent visits and the odious examination of the tax-gatherers, it may expose them to much unnecessary trouble, vexation, and oppression; and though vexation is not, strictly speaking, expense, it is certainly equivalent to the expense at which every man would be willing to redeem himself from it. It is in some one or other of these four different ways that taxes are frequently so much more burdensome to the people than they are beneficial to the sovereign." Taxes may be so levied that they are recoverable by the original contributor, or fall directly on the property upon which they are assessed. The subject, therefore, at once falls into two fields — Indirect and Direct Taxation. 'A ( 'ii Mil I (1 h k I Bk. I Taxation of Consumption 127 1 1 CHAPTER n THE TAXATION OF CONSUMPTION Section I — Advantages of Indirect Taxation, Section II — Taxing the Foreigner. Section III — Indirect Taxation for Revenue. Section IV — Convenience and Security of Indirect Taxation. Section V — Expense of Indirect Taxation. Section I — Advantages of Indirect Taxation THE indirect method of deriving social revenue by means of the taxation of goods consumed by the society has been adopted by all nations. A policy of such wide and con- stant application must possess certain advantages. These are expressed dearly and authoritatively in the words of Prince Bis- marck,^ who says: "I declare myself as essentially favourable to the raising of all possible revenue by indirect taxes, and I hold direct taxes to be an onerous and awkward makeshift. . . . Indirect taxes, whatever may be said against them theoretically, are in fact less felt. It is difficult for the individual to calculate how much he pays, and how much falls upon his neighbours, but he knows how much income tax he pays. . . . With direct taxes a man is not asked: Can you on a pinch do without your beer; can you smoke less; can you use less light (petroleum) of an evening? No, he must pay the direct tax whether he has money or not, whether in debt or not; and what is worse, distraint follows, and nothing has a greater effect on a man's disposition than execution on account of a few pence which cannot at the moment be extorted from the one who owes them." The same statesman advocates^ indirect methods upon other grounds: "Indirect taxes are preferable to direct not merely because of the ad- vantages in the mode of raising them, the superfluity of executions and distraints, and the fact that the taxpayer fixes both the time and meas- 1 speech in the Reichstag, November 22, 1875- Quoted by W. Harbutt Dawson, Protection in Germany, p. 54- « Speech of February 22. 1878. Ibid p. SS- 126 ure of his taxation; their great superiority is to be sought in their coimterbalancing effect, by virtue of which the indirect pressure of taxes is distributed, in a manner varying according to local circumstances and the conjunctures of trade, among all those persons who are affected, from the production or import of the object taxed to its consumption. While direct taxes, for the most part fall entirely and immovable upon those liable, who cannot transfer them to others, and are often threatened with distraint, an indirect tax is primarily taken from the one liable, but he is able, so far as home products are concerned, to transfer the tax he has paid to the buyers of his goods, while as for taxed articles imported from abroad the producing country wholly or partially bears the tax. Since the indirect tax is, as a rule, incorporated with the other competing factors which go to the formation of price, as one of the less important elements of a now indivisible whole, its burdensome effect upon the individual, not apparently, but to a great measure actually, disappears. Thus all the advantages advanced on behalf of direct taxes can at the most claim a theoretical value. In theory the tendency to affect the individual in proportion to his capacity, which lies at the basis of these taxes, may be estimated too high; the practical form of such taxes very seldom fits in with the theory. The financial capacity of the individual taxpayer is not always expressed in his income, apart from the general impossibility of calculating that income even approxi- mately. Family position, health, and local and other circumstances, which direct taxatioii disregards and must disregard, create the greatest diversity in actual financial position even among persons of equal income." Another passage may be cited: "Those who want to see the electors dissatisfied with the Government will hold fast to direct taxes; those who seek to promote content in the population will be more for indirect. That is the result of practice and experience, and I need not develop the psychological reason for it. Whoever offers opposition wants to see discontent among the people, and will devise means to find it and to excite it, by representing the Government as incapable, malev- olent, and perhaps only as clumsily." It is impossible to study Bismark*s speeches of this period without being impressed with the importance lent to indirect fiscal methods and their practical superiority, in his mind, over other forms of taxation. A study of these considerations, to which the great majority of statesmen would doubtless subscribe, may permit the ad- fi I |l II 128 Indirect Taxation Pt. n vantages of indirect systems to be summarized under the following heads: I. Certain indirect taxes may be collected wholly or in part from foreign sources. n. Indirect taxation involves the least friction in raising national revenue. in. Taxes levied upon consumption, fonning a part of the price of commodities, are paid by the contributor at the most convenient time or avoided; thus offering little difficulty in the supply of the social needs, and, consequently, increasing the content and security of the population. rV. Indirect taxes, owing to their many advantages, are both relatively and actually less felt and less expensive than other methods of raising revenue. These positions are discussed in the order named. Section n — ^Taxing the Foreigner The opinion that it is possible for a nation to derive a certain amount of revenue from other nations is frequently met in economic discussion. Many passages from the economists may be cited in its support, and many instances occur in which price is not affected proportionately to a duty. Mill presents an important demonstration of this position. The most direct method of '^taxing the foreigner" is to levy a duty on exports and add the amount of the duty to price; if the foreign demand remains imchanged, the total duty may be recovered in the foreign market, and the entire tax has apparently been collected abroad. "By taxing exports," says Mill,i "we may, in certain circumstances, produce a division of the advantage of the trade more favourable to om^elves. In some cases we may draw into our coffers, at the expense of foreigners, not only the whole tax but more than the tax: in other cases, we should gain exactly the tax; in others less than the tax. In this last case, a part of the tax is borne by ourselves: possibly the whole, possibly even, as we shall show, more than the whole." In reference to a supposed trade in broadcloth and linen between England and Germany, Mill continues by way of illustration: "Sup- pose that England taxes her export of cloth, the tax not being supposed high enough to induce Germany to produce cloth for herself. The price at w hich cloth can be sold in Germany is augmented by the tax. » Principles of PolUical Economy. Bk. V., ch. iv., { 6., p 513. Bk. I Taxation of Consumption 129 This will probably diminish the quantity consumed. It may diminish it so much that, even at the increased prices, there will not be required so great a money value as before. Or, it may not diminish it at all, or so little, that in consequence of the higher price, a greater money value will be purchased than before. In this last case, England will gain, at the expense of Germany, not only the whole amount of the duty, but more; for, the money value of her exports to Germany being increased, while her imports remain the same, money will flow into England from Germany. The price of cloth will rise in England, and consequently in Germany; but the price of linen will fall in Germany, and consequently in England. We shall export less cloth and import more linen, until the equilibrium is restored. It thus appears (what is at first sight somewhat remarkable) that by taxing her exports, England would, in some conceivable circumstances, not only gain from her foreign customers the whole amount of the tax, but would also get her imports cheaper. She would get them cheaper in two ways, for she would obtain them for less money, and would have more money to purchase them with. Germany, on the other hand, would suffer doubly: she would have to pay for her cloth a price increased not only by the duty, but by the influx of money into England, while the same change in the distribution of the circulating medium would leave her less money to purchase with." This, is the most favourable case to be presented with reference to taxing the foreigner. It may be asked, however, whether this passage will bear analysis. It certainly seems somewhat remarkable, as Mill says, that a nation could turn money from foreign sources into its treasury by taxing its own exports. Were such results possible in reality, the extreme unpopularity of the export duty would be difficult to understand. The question is: What is the real incidence of the tax in Mill's illustration? Who actually pays the export duty levied on English cloth? The German consumer, in increased price, is the answer Mill gives to the question. But, it may again be asked, why does the German consumer pay the increased price? But one answer seems possible: He pays the increased price because the cloth is worth to him the orig- inal price plus the amount of the duty. He would have paid the extra price, duty or no duty, as demonstrated by the supposed fact that he does pay it. If the English exporter or producer had asked the extra price, it could have been obtained independently of any duty. In the case supposed the English exporter must be regarded as II M ^ } I30 Indirect Taxation Pt. II i. I unfamiliar with the possibiHties of the German market. Had he wished he could have added the duty to the price of cloth, and put that amount into his own pocket in the form of increased profits, instead of into the English Treasury in the form of an export duty. The real value of the English goods in the German market was the first price plus the duty, and when the English exporter pays the duty and reimburses himself in higher prices, he pays the tax himself in reaUty ; for his doth is worth the entire amount obtained. The fact that the German demand for cloth continued unaffected by the duty, is proof that the real value of the goods was the increased price. When, there- fore, the Enghsh exporter sells his goods to the German for a certain sum, part of which is already paid away in export taxes, the exporter is loser to the extent of the tax; in other words, pays it himself; the German consumer simply paying what the goods were worth to him before, as well as after, the imposition of the duty. Instances such as this, in which merchants are supposed to be ignorant of the value of their own goods, must be rare; so exceptional, in fact, as to be beyond the range of any available or productive administrative policy. What happens when a foreign market seems to bear such a tax, is that the taxing administration diverts the potential profits of a certain trade from the pockets of the exporter to the public treasury, and the exporter loses to that extent. The inconsistency in the iUustration seems to Ue in the supposition that the original price paid in the German market was the real value of the English goods, and that the tax forced the German consmner to pay more than they were worth. The conditions are sUghtly altered when the German demand for doth, instead of remaining unaffected, faUs off; so that the money value of the quantity exported, in spite of increased prices, is no greater than at first. In this instance, there is no favourable flow of money as before. "In this case," says MiU, "England gains the duty " As before, England wiU coUect the tax, but the tax is paid as before and for the same reasons, by her own exporters in the loss of possible profits. The exporter loses his available profits and finds his trade adversely affected. In the third instance the tax is so heavy that but a portion of it may be regained in increased prices, while the trade is adversely affected to an extent still greater than before. The exporter in this case pays a part of the tax directly, a part indirectly, as before, and his trade suffers an added loss from the taxes imposed. Bk. I Taxation of Consumption 131 These three cases present the most advantages possible with reference to raising revenue from foreign sources. On examination, however, no such possibility seems to exist; and where such an attempt apparently succeeds, it but results in the exporters of the taxing nation losing the profits they might otherwise have obtained. If it were possible for a nation to raise money from foreign sources in this way, why should any tax be imposed other than an export duty? Or, if export duties can produce but a part of the revenue, why are such taxes so rare? The answers to these questions are not far to seek: first, because other nations cannot even seemingly be taxed in this way to any appredable extent; and second, because when such taxes are apparently recovered from foreign sources, the exporters well know that they are losing so much profit. Duties of this kind must be very light; they can never exceed the difference between the price of the taxing nation and that of other sources of supply, or the trade will cease. Again, the tax can never be high enough to induce the foreigner to produce for himself; while any given population can tax itself to any desired extent, it can only seem to "tax the foreigner" in a very slight degree. The tax may produce only what the possible, but unrealized, profits of a trade will allow. Again, the foreigner pays the price voluntarily, and he alone is judge of the values involved; he cannot be forced to pay the tax, he has the possibilities of other sources of supply and his own production always present; the apparent revenue, therefore, is not only slight but may cease at any moment. These supposed cases are ephemeral, and could occur but imder peculiar conditions. Interference with natural commerce may, as Mill points out, bring about very different results, as little expected as desired. He shows how in certain circumstances, the imposition of an export duty may cause the taxing nation not only to pay the entire amount of the tax, but an additional sum to the foreigner. "It is not an impossible supposition," he says, "that by taxing our exports we might not only gain nothing from the foreigner, the tax being paid out of our own pockets, but might even compel our own people to pay a second tax to the foreigner." Such cases are evidently due to the trade being unable to support the burden imposed, but, as they present no possibility of raising funds from foreign sources, they need not be examined. They show, if it is supposed that one nation can tax another, that the foreign nation can respond in kind, and nothing is gained on either side ii^ Indirect Taxation Pt. II Bk. I Taxation of Consumption 133 A tax on exports leaves the home market unaffected; the manufacturer or exporter pays the tax and regains his contribution as best he can from the foreigner. The export duty of this nature offers a direct antithesis to the protective import duty; the latter protects the home market and taxes the many for the benefit of the few, while the export duty taxes the few for the benefit of the many, and protects the foreign market. It is thus not remarkable that the export duty has never been popular with the manufacturing and legislative classes, although the most direct and obvious means of taxing foreign nations. These considerations lead again to the import duty. Distinct con- ditions are found in every trade; thus taxes on different trades may cause different results. The conditions of a given trade might be such that a tax upon foreign goods would not be entirely added to the original price; where this occurs, the difference between the tax and the increased price seems to have been derived from foreign sources. This suggests another method of taxing the foreigner. It is shown by taxing imports in a certain way, in specific trades, that money may be caused to flow into the treasury from foreign sources. The authority of Mill may be invoked in support of this position. Re- ferring to the same trade as before he says, "Instead of taxing the cloth which we export, suppose that we tax the linen which we import. The duty which we are now supposing must not be what is termed a pro- tecting duty, that is, a duty sufficiently high to induce us to produce the article at home. If it had this effect, it would destroy entirely the trade both in cloth and in linen, and both countries would lose the whole of the advantage which they previously gained by exchanging those commodities with one another. We suppose a duty which might diminish the consumption of the article, but which would not prevent us from continuing to import, as before, whatever linen we did consume. "The equilibrium of trade would be disturbed if the imposition of the tax diminished, in the slightest degree, the quantity of linen con- sxmied. For, as the tax is levied at our own custom-house, the German exporter only receives the same price as formerly, though the English consumer pays a higher one. If, however, there be any diminution of the quantity bought, although a larger sum of money may be actually laid out on the article, a smaller one will be due from England to Germany: this sum will no longer be an equivalent for the sum due from Germany to England for cloth, the balance therefore must be paid in money. Prices will fall in Germany and rise in England; linen will fall in the German market; cloth will rise in the English. The Germans will pay a higher price for cloth, and will have smaller money incomes to buy it with; while the English will obtain linen cheaper, that is, its price will exceed what it previously was by less than the amount of the duty, while their means of purchasing it will be increased by the increase of their money incomes." In this case an import duty is placed on German linen, but the tax must be so nicely gauged that the relation between supply and demand will be affected in a certain way; the total quantity consiuned must be less than at first, although the trade must not be endangered. If the home demand is unaffected by the duty, it is evident that the entire amount of the tax is added to the price and, as Mill says, "the whole of the tax will be paid out of our own pockets." If the total money value of the linen imported is equal to the first price, plus the duty, the English consumer pays the tax in full. If this told value is decreased owing to diminished demand, the entire tax cannot be added to the English price; the taxed price of the linen will, therefore, be equal to the original price, plus an amount less than the duty. The difference between this amount and the duty is supposed to be paid by the German exporter. Thus, if a certain quantity of linen is originally worth one hundred shillings, the duty ten shillings, and the price after the imposition of the duty raised five shillings, it is supposed that the two countries each pay half the duty. This position may be questioned. The profits derived by the German exporter enable him to reduce his price by five shillings duty, and still continue the trade. Before the imposition of the duty he would have been both able and willing to have supplied the English market at a reduction of five shil- lings; in other words, the English consumer has been pa)ang a price five shillings greater than necessary. In this case the English consimaer apparently pays five shillings out of his pocket in taxes, and loses five shillings in preventing a reduction in price. It thus seems that the ten shillings in the English treasiuy are, in reality, contributed by the English consumer: five shillings in increased price and five shillings in an artificially high price sustained by the tax. Mill recognizes the fact that in such cases it is not the foreign pro- ducer who pays the tax, as is generally supposed, but believes it to fall upon the foreign consumer of English cloth; his reason is that a flow of money, created in England's favour, has raised the price of her exports, while at the same time, diminishing the available money in H 134 Indirect Taxation Pt. II 6k. I Taxation of Consumption 135 Germany. Even if this position is accepted, it seems that the falling off in money supply in Germany must cause an exactly compensating decrease in demand, and it is not easy to perceive how decreased demand and diminished money supply could raise prices. Mill accoimts for this by the flow of money to England increasing the value of exports. Such arguments are necessarily of an attenuated character; they may, however, be met by compensating considerations; for if the price of goods can be raised abroad by means of an import duty, the price could have been raised independently of any duty on foreign goods; in other words, the higher price could have been obtained for the asking; and the argument drifts in a circle and returns to con- siderations suggested by the export duty. Mill's considerations are complicated by the introduction of a flow of money; another illustration may be presented reducing the subject to simpler terms through the elimination of money. A trade may be supposed, carried on between a civilized nation and savages, the latter unfamiliar with the use of money; the trade consist- ing in the exchange of ivory and firearms at a fixed ratio. The civilized nation decides to tax the savage. An export duty is imposed upon firearms. The traders increase the quantity of ivory demanded from the savage to an equivalent extent. If the savage is willing to give the increased amount of ivory, the real incidence of the tax falls upon the exporters of firearms; for they might have added it to their profits without any tax. If the savage will only pay part of the increased amount of ivory demanded, the exporter pays a part of the tax directly and the rest in losing a possible gain. If no extra quantity of ivory can be extracted from the savage, the exporter of firearms pays the entire tax himself. It may be supposed, however, that the merchants and the traders, appreciating these facts, induce their government to adopt a different method of taxing the savage. They suggest an import duty on ivory, instead of an export duty on firearms. The savage is again invited to contribute an increased quantity of ivory for the same firearms. As before, three courses are open to him; he may decline to pay any portion of the extra price; in other words, the home demand for ivory is unaffected and the home consumer pays the entire duty in increased prices. Again, the savage may consent to pay a part of the extra amount; that is, the home demand fall off relatively, and the home con- sumer pays a part of the tax in augmented prices and the remainder in forcing the price beyond that which the savage was ready to meet; in this case, it is usually supposed that the savage pays a part of the tax. Again, the savage may consent to give the entire extra amoimt of ivory demanded; in this case the tax is collected in full by the govern- ment, but the price is not increased to the home consumer. In this instance, it is assumed that the savage has paid the entire amount of the tax. In such a case the home consumer has lost the possibility of the price reaching its normal level; which as events have shown, is the original price less the duty. If such an instance could occur in reality, owing to ignorance of the possibilities of any given trade, the home consumer is paying an artificially forced price, and the real incidence of the tax falls upon him, even in this exceptional case, as it apparently does in all others. The subject may be further simplified by supposing the goods con- tributed by the savage to be gold instead of ivory. All the taxes can do, in whatever form imposed, is to extract a greater quantity of gold from the savage. If the quantity is increased, it is evident that the producers or consumers of the taxing nation bear their real incidence through the loss of the gold they might have put in their own pockets without any taxes; for, in any normal trade, it is impossible to force the savage to pay more than he is willing to pay, and natural condi- tions, not taxes, fix the amount. If the quantity of gold obtained is not increased, the savage is imtaxed in any way. How imnecessary is the introduction of a balance of trade and a flow of money in the study of international trade relations is shown by the fact that the goods of the savage might be gold and ivory combined, without altering conditions. But gold and ivory combined are typical of general international exchange; gold bullion being the form in which money circulates in such exchange. These considerations are apparently unaffected by an import duty levied upon goods held in bond for export, having, therefore, no home market. In such circumstances, the price to the home consumer cannot be affected, the duty is added by the exporter to the foreign price. An import duty levied upon goods held for export is analogous to an export duty; and to urge it as a means of taxing the foreigner is to complete the circle of investigation and to return to considerations suggested by an export duty. All methods devised for taxing the foreigner, that is, all taxes levied upon goods in such way that price is not proportionately increased r f r I r L i» 136 Indirect Taxation ! Pt. II are the taxation of the unrealized possibilities of trade; either the profits of the home producer, or the expenses of the home consumer. It seems, therefore, that such taxes are necessarily ephemeral; even the appearance of taxing the foreigner can never be of importance. A system of revenue, based upon the ignorance of traders of the potentialities of their own trade, offers no secure or enduring foundation. There are other reasons why such attempts to tax foreign nations are futile. As such taxes can be levied but upon trade with any given nation, it is obviously open to the foreign nation to tax goods in exacUy the same way; thus rendering abortive any even apparent advantage As MiU says,i "If England, in the case already supposed, sought to obtain for herself more than her natural share of the advantage of the trade with Germany by imposing a duty upon linen, Germany would only have to impose a duty upon doth, sufficient to duninish the demand for that article about as much as the demand for linen had been dimin- ished in England by the tax. Things would then be as before, and each country would pay its own tax. Unless, indeed, the sum of the two duties exceeded the entire advantage of the trade; for in that case the trade, and its advantage, would cease entirely." Section III— Indirect Taxation for Revenue Article i — General Considerations. As methods of taxing the foreigner can never be productive or lasting, and as the expenses of society must be met, the attention turns to other means of providing revenue. The import duty again appears and at last becomes a tax levied for fiscal purposes alone, and as such is merged in the wider influences of a tax on consumption in general; including the various forms of excise. Here for the first time occurs the conception of a tax as a tax; attention up to the present has been occupied with conceptions invented for the use of the taxing powers of a society for something other than that for which these powers naturally seem intended — the production of revenue. ^ Indirect taxation of whatever nature, whether upon foreign goods m the form of an import duty, or upon domestic goods as excise, offers great advantages to an administration, and is not without apparent advantage to a people. The advantages to the people are, for the most part^^a negative character, consisting largely in the fact that it is » PrindpUs of PolUkal Economy. Bk. V., ch. iv.. % 6. p. 516. Bk. I Taxation of Consumption 137 impossible to estimate the amount of their fiscal burdens or their ulti- mate effects. It is again supposed that these taxes are either paid at the most convenient time or avoided. Taxes thus absorbed in price have, for these reasons, always possessed a certain popularity even among those upon whom they bear most heavily. The advantages of indirect methods from the administrative point of view are evident. In the majority of cases they offer the admin- istration an easy and certain form of collection; they keep the people in ignorance of the amoimt they are taxed; they permit a thousand uses of the taxing powers having nothing to do with revenue and re- dounding to the advantage of politician or capitalist; they render a government largely independent of the suffrage of the people and permit an unpopular administration to support itself with ease, where no direct taxes might be collected. Such advantages are too great to be ignored and governments have shown no tendency to ignore them; the result is that a large portion of the expenses of social organ- ization is met to-day by means of taxes on consumption and industry in some form or other. Taxes of this natiu-e form what is supposed to be an approximate method of taxing incomes; the expenses of an in- dividual naturally bear some relation to his possessions; and the taxing of his consumption seems to place a more or less proportionate tax upon his revenue. For purposes of taxation, commodities are divided into luxuries and necessities. These two classes include different ob- jects for fiscal attention; taxes levied upon one or the other producing different results, both in the revenue derived and their effects upon society. Article 2 — Luxuries. Taxes levied upon luxuries present, to a certain extent, the advantages mentioned with reference to indirect methods. On the other hand, as Adam Smith ^ says, "Such taxes, in proportion to what they bring into the public treasury of the State, always take out and keep out of the pockets of the people more than almost any other taxes. They seem to do this in all the foiu* different ways in which it is possible to do it." The four ways are: (i) the great expense in elaborate customs and revenue administration required; (2) the discouragement to industry when voluntary consumption is concerned; (3) corrupting practices; (4) the necessary annoyance and complicated supervision. As taxes 1 Tht Weoltk of Nations. Bk. V., ch. iL. p. 494. m 138 Indirect Taxation Pt. II if of this kind, are practically voluntary, they are subject to much varia- tion, both in the amount of revenue produced and in the proportion of total revenue created. They are thus open to two objections from the administrative point of view, the most serious found in a tax; those of variation in amount, and uncertainty in produce. Expensive, variable, and uncertain, such taxes offer a correspondingly unsatis- factory basis for revenue. Article 3 — Necessaries, Taxes on necessaries, from an administrative attitude, are greatly preferable to those upon luxuries. The necessaries of existence, vital and industrial, must be consumed by the entire people; such commodities will, therefore, form a vastly greater bulk than luxuries. In price, also, necessaries present important advantages; as they are cheaper, they support a higher rate of taxation, and thus produce, actually and relatively, a larger revenue than taxes upon higher-priced goods. This revenue, again, will be more constant, as the consumption of necessaries varies within narrow limits, and can never cease altogether. The taxation of the staples of life and industry thus becomes the most con- stant source of revenue derived from indirect methods, and as such, the most important of modem fiscal systems. The foregoing considerations are advanced from an administrative point of view. There is another point of view, however, from which a fiscal system may be studied: that which regards a society, as a whole. Looked at in this light, the indirect taxation of necessaries presents a different field for analysis and different considerations. The first of these is the fact that such taxes must bear much more heavily upon the poor than upon the rich, and thus form a proportionately unjust and unsatisfactory source of revenue, irrespective of temporary advan- tages. The taxation of vital needs places a sure and easy method of raising revenue in the hands of an administration, independent of the suffrage of the mass of the population, and may thus seem to lend per- manence and stability to the society. On the other hand a fiscal system bearing more heavily upon one class than upon another, and that class always the more numerous, must lay the foundation for poUtical dis- turbance, revolt, and final revolution; the very ease with which an administration may support itself through indirect channels increases the ultimate difliculties of the social organization. The foUowing con- siderations serve as illustration : Bk/I Taxation of Consumption 139 It is evident that a much greater proportion of the revenue of the poor is spent on the actual requirements of life and industry than of the incomes of the well-to-do. Three fourths, or all the income of the very poor man, may be spent upon the essential needs of existence, and all the income so spent falls under the influence of taxes on necessaries. On the other hand, such taxes will absorb a much smaller proportion of the income of the richer classes. A man with £50 a year in wages will be forced to spend nearly 100 per cent of his total revenue upon necessaries. If these necessaries are taxed, 100 per cent of his income falls imder contribution. If the increased prices caused by taxation amount to £5, he will pay that amount or 10 per cent of his income in taxes. On the other hand, it is possible that a man in receipt of £50,000 income, might not expend £5,000 a year in the purchase of the commoner needs of the people; in which case, instead of 100 per cent of his income being taxed, only one tenth part of it would contribute to the public treasury, and thus instead of paying 10 per cent of his inome to the state, but one tenth of his income would be taxed and he would contribute but one tenth of 10 per cent, or one one-hundredth of his greater resources. The poor man will thus be taxed, ten times as heavily, proportionately, as the rich man. This form of taxation, in which contribution is levied upon the necessaries of life, is universal to-day, and forms what might be called, approximately, an inversely progressive income tax; that is, a tax increasing as a man's poverty, and decreasing relatively to his wealth. The smaller the income, the greater the proportion of taxation it is forced to pay; the larger the income, the greater the proportion it may escape. If indirect taxes on necessaries were assessed directiy, their effects upon the two incomes considered would be as follows: On assessment day the poor man, in all probability, would be compelled to produce his entire £50 of income, 10 per cent of which would be taken in taxes. The rich man, on the contrary, would be required to produce that portion alone of his resources spent upon necessaries; in the case supposed, he would be taxed but on £5,000, leaving £45,000, or 90 per cent of his income untouched. The disproportion of the burden thus placed upon the two incomes is evident; yet this disproportion seems to be the least important of the results produced in any society supported by the indirect taxation of necessary living expenses. j- ^ii ■il if 140 Indirect Taxation Pt. II Where 100 per cent of one income is taxed, and but 10 per cent of another, the larger, or least taxed income, possesses an untaxed reserve, or saving capacity, of which the smaller, or most taxed incomes, are deprived. Thus, an income of £50,000, taxed upon £5,000 alone, might easily save £10,000 a year out of the total income; while an income of £50, taxed on 100 per cent of its amount, could save nothing or a disproportionate percentage. In the second year of the action of such taxes, the first income will have added 10 per cent to its capital, that is, the income, increased by 10 per cent, will be taxed upon a smaller scale and possess a greater power of accumulation; the smaller income, saving nothing and still taxed upon 100 per cent of its amount. Where a society raises its revenue, wholly or in part, therefore, by means of the indirect taxation of necessaries, a process of accumulation sets in toward the larger or least taxed incomes. In other words, the larger incomes will possess a progressively increasing and untaxed accumulating power in proportion to the wealth repre- sented, while smaller incomes will be denied such an untaxed reserve in proportion to the poverty involved. The greater the income, therefore, the greater will be its power of accumulation in reference to taxation; the smaller the income, the less the possibility of creating a reserve untaxed through living expenses. This process carried on generation after generation, throughout the entire series of the incomes of a society, can produce but one result: the distortion of the distribution of the annual wealth of the society in such a way that the larger incomes will absorb a constantly increasing proportion, while the smaller in- comes will be brought under an increasing process of taxation. When it is realized, in addition, that the action of taxation enforced through living expenses may be greatly modified under specific conditions, the effects of the disparity of burden become more marked. , The forced action of such taxes, with reference to the two incomes considered, would be as follows: the man with £50 a year is forced to pay £5 in taxes, the man with £50,000, however, is not forced to pay any more; thus the forced burden upon the smaller income is one tenth part of its total, while the forced burden upon the larger income is one ten-thousandth part of its greater amount. The forced effects of such methods, however, do not end here; for by means of the pro- tective theory, the ''balance of trade," ''infant industries," the " pauper-labour," the "attraction of capital," "weapon-taxes," and so on, an increased burden of taxation may be piled cumulatively upon the Bk. I Taxation of Consumption 141 smaller incomes, producing little or no revenue — producing nothing, apparently other than the indefinite swelling of the larger incomes. Section IV— Convenience and Security of Indirect Taxation Article 1 — Convenience. It may be urged in favour of indirect fiscal methods, in which the tax becomes an indistinguishable part of price, that the contributor pays the tax at the most convenient time; or escapes it altogether. As Prince Bismarck has been quoted in support of this position, the words of another German may be cited in the same connexion. "On penalty of death," says a writer, 1 dealing with taxes on necessaries, " Nature compels us to eat, and so on penalty of death we are compelled to pay the bread and meat taxes. The man who fails to pay his direct taxes may have his goods distrained, but he cannot be punished. But the man who is unwilling to pay the taxes on bread and meat must die of hunger. It is a truly diabolical system. For by increasing burdens on the food of the people civilisation in general is deteriorated, the masses are placed in the unworthy position that they can only satisfy their most xu-gent needs, while the resources of culture which they create are monopolised by those who have no right to them save the fact of possession. The system of indirect taxation is in direct antagonism to civilisation." Taxes of this kind, pressing upon wages everywhere, deteriorate the whole food supply of the masses. " The German Labour Market Correspondence for December, 1901, reported^ that the average price of provisions had increased 7^ per cent, at Leipzig, and at Chemnitz and at other Saxon towns 12^ per cent. So, too, Dr. G. Creuzbacher, in his inquiry into the food consimiption of the town of Munich, shows, that the consumption of meat has decreased even in that well-to-do city during recent years. While the population of Munich increased between 1881 and 1900 109.75 per cent , the consumption of meat only increased 81.33 per cent., the decrease per head being from 94.8 to 81.8 kilogrammes. . . . Meanwhile, the consumption of horse flesh has increased — a sinister fact whose significance cannot be misunderstood. ... In his report for 1902 the factory inspector for Leipzig said: *The economic conditions of the workers have not impr oved during the past year, since the incomes of many I We LebensmittUtdUe und die indirecten Steurer. cited by Dawson. Protection In Germany, p. 103. • " Ibid., p. 197. \U { I I it 142^ Indirect Taxation Pt. II Bk. I M I tt sf ! workpeople have undergone a further diminution, partly owing to a reduction of wages and partly owing to a curtailment of the hours of work, and since the prices of the most important articles of food have increased. The endeavour to economise shows itself in the diminution of the consumption of meat, and the larger demand for horse flesh.* The same thing was reported from Berlin, Hamburg, Halle, Altona, Bochum, Dortmimd, Horde, Schwerte, and other industrial towns." M. Yves Guyot^ gives a like account of the taxation of food products in France: "In Paris," he says, "while taxes have increased, the consumption of fresh meat has decreased relatively to the popula- tion. . . . The annual ration of the adult Parisian is only 87 kilos of meat instead of the 108 kilos of the soldiers. There has been a decrease instead of increase." An analogous condition is shown in the reports from Amiens, Bordeaux, Bourges, Grenoble, Lille, Limoges, Lyon, Marseilles, Nantes, Nimes, Rennes, Roubaix.2 "The conclusion is that the relative decrease of the consumption of meat in the majority of large towns of France proves the injury resulting from the taxes which increase the price 0.35 c. per kilogramme."* Thus the convenience of indirect taxation of vital needs seems chiefly the convenience of relative degrees of starvation; for the payment of such taxes can never be long deferred or they will indeed be escaped in this world at least. Article 2 — Security. Another advantage urged in favour of indirect fiscal methods is that they permit the taxing of a people without their knowing how much they pay or having any control over the process. A people which would not tolerate a certain amount of taxation, if levied directly, may with ease be forced to pay a much greater amount without being conscious of the fact. As has been well said, when a direct tax would cause a revolution, indirect methods permit the taxation of the bread out of the mouths of a population with no results other than complaints of hard times. Indirect methods thus render the administration largely in- dependent of popular suffrage. Where an administration controls a few distributive centres, it may live with ease upon the resources of a population, even though it may be in a state of revolution. 1 Le Pain et la Viande dans le Monde, pp. 37-39. •Ibid., p. 30. *Ibid.. p. 49. Taxation of Consumption 143 "When in Ireland, during the height of the Land League agitation," says Henry George,^ "I was much struck with the ease and certainty with which an unpopular government can collect indirect taxes. At the beginning of the century the Irish people, without any assistance from America, proved in the famous Tithe war that the whole power of the English Government could not collect direct taxes they had resolved not to pay; and the strike against rent, which so long as persisted in proved so effective, could readily have been made a strike against direct taxation. Had the government which was enforcing the claims of the landlords, depended on direct taxation, its resources could thus have been seriously diminished by the same blow which crippled the landlords; but during all the time of this strike the force used to put down the popular movement was being supported by indirect taxation on the people who were in passive rebellion. The people who struck against rent could not strike against taxes paid in buying the commodi- ties they used. Even had rebellion been active and general, the British Government could have collected the bulk of its revenue from indirect taxation, so long as it retained command of the principal towns." This passage shows the distinction between direct and indirect fiscal methods, in relation to popular political movements. With control of a few ports and industrial centres, an administration may support itself indefinitely from the resources of a population, which, under a direct system, would be in active revolution. This is not always a disadvantage to the people so governed. Such a possibility may tide them over ignorant and aimless popular agitations which, if successful, would work wreck and ruin. But, when the necessary action of the indirect taxation of necessaries is understood in relation to the distri- bution of the wealth of a society, such security seems but the crust over a volcano, whose certain eruption is but rendered more dangerous. Section V — Expense of Indirect Taxation Great expense is involved in all indirect forms of taxation, in com- parison to the amount realized by the state. By indirect means of raising social revenue the people are forced not only to pay the tax in increased prices but in addition all profits and' interest charged by traders on capital advanced in the payment of excise and customs, together with a host of other augmentations, varying with conditions and artic les. The following calculation serves as illustration: It was ^ Protection and Pru Trade, p. 8z. *l il ■V t 144 Indirect Taxation Pt. II estimated at one time in England that an extra tax of 2s. per gallon imposed by Parliament upon ardent spirits would produce £1,000,000. Based on the conditions in Scotland, the following estimates may be made. When the Act imposing the 2S. tax came into operation, meetings were held by spirit dealers in Edinburgh and Glasgow; the resolution adopted was that the price of whiskey should be increased by one penny per gill. There being thirty-two gills in the imperial gallon, the increased price was at the rate of 2s. 8d. per gallon, one third more than the increased tax imposed by Parliament. The duty on all spirits was, however, charged per gallon on what was techni- cally called **proof strength." The spirits were sold to consumers at about the proportion of one gallon of water to four gallons of proof spirits. "Starting, then, from this point," says a writer,^ treating the sub- ject in this connexion, "with a new calculation respecting the total burden imposed on the public, these are the results: On four gallons of proof spirits Parliament has imposed an additional duty of 2S.'j>er gallon or 8s. in all. The publicans and retail spirit dealers, by the addi- tion of one gallon of water convert these four gallons into five of the strength which is desired by the purchasers; and in accordance with the resolutions already referred to, they charged an increased rate of 2S. 8d. on each of these five gallons or 13s. 4d. in all. Thus while the Chan- cellor of the Exchequer receives 8s., the public pays 13s. 4d., to enable him to collect the smaller sum. To obtain £1,000,000 then from these parties, it is necessary to impose an additional burden of 66f per cent., or £666,666 in all." It is estimated that equitably devised direct taxes cost on the average 2^ per cent in the collection, on which basis the cost of the revenue derived would have been but £25,000. "It is, therefore, the same," says Mr. M'Laren, "as if aland owner should prefer to borrow £10,000 at an expense of 66f per cent., or £6,666 to obtaining it at the rate of 2J per cent, or for £250 in all by mortgaging his estate." The above estimates refer to excise taxation. The import duty is more extravagant for the reason that it raises the price of the home product while not bringing a shilling of revenue into the treasury: two soiurces of supply are taxed while one alone produces income. This is > Indirect Taxation, Duncan MXaren. Read at a meeting of the Sodal Sdesce Association. £din< burgh, 1860. Bk. I Taxation of Consumption 145 shown by a study of the following estimates, based upon the supposi- tion that England some day decides to tax her grain supply, as has been suggested, both for revenue and preferential objects: With a duty of 2s. per quarter, or about 6d. per cwt. (i cwt. = 112 lbs.; I quarter = 480 lbs.) Mr. Chiozza-Money,i gives the following figures, representing the total grain consumption of the United King- dom for 1902: From foreign countries . From British possessions. Home grown Cwts. . . . 176,000,000 35,000,000 . 160,000,000 ' Cvfts, 371,000,000 "At 6d. per cwt.," he continues, "the extra cost to the consumer would be £9,275,000, but the revenue would gain only 6d. per cwt. on the foreign supply, viz., £4,400,000." Thus revenue raised through import taxation swells the price of all goods affected directly or indirectly, while only a part of these pro- duce revenue for the state. A striking instance of the waste of wealth due to taxation of this kind is reported from Australia : " Meat in Victoria," says Mr. Chomley 2 "has been raised to great prices by the stock tax on sheep and cattle coming into the Southern Colony from the pastures of New South Wales and Queensland. . . . Another effect of the stock tax, entirely logical, yet so grotesque and tyrannous as to shock even con- vinced protectionists, arose through the admission of sheep in bond to be slaughtered in Melbourne and exported as frozen mutton to Eng- land. The sheep's heads were not exported, and during the time of severe distress in Melbourne poor women and children visiting the slaughter yards obtained there a nutritious article of food which was a blessing in many households. But on these heads no duty had been paid, and therefore a paternal protectionist government had to devise means to prevent them from going into consumption and afflicting the people with the curse of cheap food. Accordingly they sent to the abattoirs customs officers and barrels of kerosene oil. The heads were piled in great heaps, soaked with oil, and burned before the eyes of hungry women and children." * Through Preference to Protection, p. 35. • \.^^°*^**^ »*» Canada and Australasia. C. H. Chomlqr, p. x68. Additional instances of the waste in mdirect methods will be found on p. 240, „,,r • ■ i li 146 Indirect Taxation Pt. II 6k. I Taxation of Consumption 147 i -_ Under ordinary conditions, such demonstration of the destructive nature of indirect taxes would never appear; the consumer, instead of having his food and the necessaries of his trade burned before his eyes, is compelled to work longer to obtain the same goods. The destruction of his wages and the return for his labour is, however, no less real in one instance than in the other; his strength and wages are burned instead of the things they buy. Indirect taxation of consumption redounds to the disadvantage of the people supporting such measures in many other ways. Taxes on consumption diminish the quantity consumed; where the actual amoimt is not checked, the possible gain is restricted. All industries not supported by indirect taxation will find their markets suppressed by such methods. An instance may be presented in which an indirect tax levied by England upon a foreign population suppresses English industry. Among the most effectually indirect taxes in existence is the Indian salt tax. Here, the English people lift the burden from their own shoulders and place it upon those of their fellow-subjects in India. Such methods at fost sight seem the height of political wisdom; the English consimier at home is imaffected, and the Indian Administra- tion obtains the entire revenue. The average annual consumption of salt in England is 62 lbs.; 25 lbs. are considered essential; the average consumption in India is about half that amoimt, while the consumption of the upper classes will reduce the average still lower for a large portion of the Hindu millions.* The medical profession traces the prevalence of leprosy and other diseases to the lack of sujQ5cient salt,^ and the cattle and agriculture of the coimtry seem vitally affected by the same cause.' What are the effects of such restricted consimiption on English trade? "It is also very curious," says Mr. Pennington,* "to see what the merchants and others concerned in the British salt trade have to say about this question of the consimiption of salt in India when the falling off begins to touch their pockets. 'To the population of India,' says an advocate of more English salt for Indian consumption, *the complete abolition of the salt tax would be a reform beneficent beyond conception. The consumption of salt would probably be trebled within 1 Mr. J. B. Pennington. B. L. (CanUb.). The Imperial and Asiatic Quarterly Renew, October. 1904. pja97- > Ibid.. Proceedings of the East India Association, pp. sBa-3. * Ibid. p. 303. *Ibid.. p. 397* three years — ' and yet no one would eat more salt than was good for them. 'Finally, the salt-producers and shippers have worked them- selves into the belief that the salt tax ought to be abolished. On this point they say: The question of the complete abolition of the salt tax — not inaptly termed the ** bread tax of the Hindu " — is probably the most important question that can receive the attention of members of the English salt trade as a united body at the present time, and so on.' " The following* is an extract from a letter to Mr. Pennington in this connexion: London, July 23, 1904. Dear Sir: I have read with great pleasure the report you have been good enough to send me of yoxu: paper on the Salt Tax in India, a subject which much interests me, as fifty years' experience in the salt trade of this coxmtry has often brought it directly to my notice. . . . From this point of view the Indian Salt Tax is not exclusively an Indian question, but one which also materially affects many interests in England itself; and now that we are invited to ** think imperially," it cannot be inappropriate to deal with the matter on the broader basis, and consider it in its relation to British Imperial interests. It is computed that the consumption of salt in India, with its population of 240,000,000, would soon be trebled were the duty abolished, and this calculation is to some extent supported by the fact that since the reduction of the duty on March 31st of last year the consumption h£^ greatly increased, so that, besides the larger demand for salt manufactured in India itself, the exports from Liverpool to Calcutta, etc., for the six months to the end of Jime last amoimt to 140,000 tons, against 88,000 tons in the same period of 1903, and 82,000 in the same period of 1902. This extra trade benefits not only the English salt makers, both employers and employed, and the English railways and canals engaged in transporting it to the coast, but is also a boon to the British shipowner and sailor, giving them better employment outward to the Indian ports* Nor does the advantage end there, for the larger supply of tonnage thus available to the Indian producer for the export of his rice, wheat, jute, cotton, linseed, etc., is an item of great importance to the development of the Indian export trade with other countries. Besides this, it is obvious that the large increase in the consumption of salt in India, which it is expected would result from the abolition of the tax, would give emplojonent to an enormous number of hands required for its distribution throughout the country, would add to the revenue of the railways and canals of India, and increase the profits derived from the salt trade by those engaged in its manufacture. When all this is taken into account, I believe the advantages accruing to the various interests enumer- ated above, added to the direct benefits derived by the Indian natives from the freer use of salt in their food, in the curing of fish, the preservation of meat and vegetables, the feeding of catde, the cultivation of land, and in many other ways, would, if it were possible to express them in figures, be found to far outweigh the amoimt (some * Ibid., pp. 307-8. •^ 148 Indirect Taxation Pt. II Bk. I Taxation of Consumption 149 - t \ i li * 11 »■ I £6,000,000, I believe) of the revenue derived by the Indian Government from the J. B. Pennington, Esq., Yannouth, Isle of Wight I remain, dear sir, yours truly, J. W. Fox, Late managing Director Weston & Westall, Ltdt^ London agents to the Salt Union. This most indirect of indirect taxes thus suppresses a great English industry, with all its ramification of transportation and distribution, . and must, consequently, check English production and the demand for English labour. Cicero* says that the Romans used to protect their growers of grapes and olives by forbidding the people beyond the Alps to raise these articles of food. This destroyed not only the vineyards and orchards of others, but the labour of the Roman people, required to pay the increased price. The modern duty has the same effect; it stifles productive industry at home and abroad, and destroys the labour necessary to pay taxed prices. The Continental System of Napoleon was one of the most elaborate networks of indirect taxation ever woven; and the amount of wealth it destroyed in France must have been enormous. A striking example of such destruction is found in the pages of Thiers. 2 Speaking of Marseilles, formerly the queen of the Mediterranean and since become its queen again, he says: "For twenty-five years she saw more than three hundred vessels of commerce rotting at her quays without moving. . . . The only distraction in her distress was when some captured English merchandise was abandoned to the flames under the eyes of a people dying of hunger; watching the destruction in a few hours of riches upon which they might have lived. "Bom and brought up at Marseilles," he adds, "I still recall this spectacle and seem to see the rank of motionless vessels ranged in lines from the place de la Cannebiere as far as the fort Saint- Jean. A child at the time, and often on the quays, I used to study these vessels; I knew their names and appearance as one knows the houses in a famil- iar street, and I never saw one move during the last years of the Em- pire. Its fall," he says, "was the occasion of a joy such as I have never seen in any other time or circimistances." In this way is seen at a glance how the taxes imposed by iNapoleon in support of his Continental System destroyed all the wealth repre- ^ Commonweaith, IIL, ix. ^ * « Histoirc dc I'Empire, Tome IV., Livre XXXYH, p. 243. sen ted in these vessels; all the wealth their natural occupations might have created; all the wealth which might have been enjoyed and con- sumed by the men employed in working, loading and imloading them, during that period both at home and abroad; all the wealth burned in Marseilles and at other places, together with all the wealth wasted throughout the country, on account of the artificial scarcity due to such methods. Direct destruction due to taxation of this kind, such as the burning of food products, or the locking up of shipping is rarely seen in its crude forms. During the Napoleonic regime, the people of central France did not see a portion of their crops and vine- yards burning or rotting before their eyes, but their produce and labour were destroyed, however, exactly as in a fire, by means of forced prices on one side, and the strangling of the consuming powers of the people on another. And, as the Indian salt tax starves the cattle and population of India, does it force English labour out of employment, reduce the returns to English shipping, force up the price of foodstuffs in the Eng- lish market, through the checking of tonnage in foreign ports, and react adversely upon the population of England, in direct proportion to the consuming powers suppressed. Permanent and profitable commerce cannot be forced; commerce must be profitable to all concerned, or cease; and where ports or markets are forced or protected by artificial fiscal methods, the nation imposing the taxes congests its wealth and checks its industrial development through the stifling of consumption. The advantages of indirect systems have been summarized under four headings: (i) taxing the foreigner; (2) the best source of revenue; (3) convenience and security; (4) expense. Counter con- siderations maybe presented: I. There seems reason to believe that no nation can ever tax foreign sources in reality. Where such results are temporarily apparent, the nation burdens the unrealized possibilities of its own commerce. It is, moreover, always possible for foreign nations to retaliate in kind, so that no even apparent advantage could be gained for any length of time. II. Indirect taxes, in order to produce important or constant revenue, must be laid upon the necessaries of life and industry. The taxation of such necessaries is, in consequence, the same thing as the direct assessment of living expenses. As the necessary living expenses of the poor form a relatively larger part of income than the necessary living expenses of the rich, the forced effects of such taxation will be the same thing as an inversely proportionate income-tax; levying ISO Indirect Taxation Pt. II ; 1 If increasing tribute upon poverty, and exempting wealth in proportion to its amount. m. The convenience created by indirect methods seems largely measured by the convenience of different forms of starvation, and their security dependent upon ignorance and the time necessary to bring about the inevitable political upheaval due to disproportionately placed burdens. IV. The expense of such taxation is in two ways greater than neces- sary: First, in order to raise revenue from consumption, it is essential to raise the price of all soiurces of supply, although but few of these pro- duce revenue. Again, checks on consumption, at home or abroad, destroy the industries which might supply the suppressed demand, resulting in the loss of the wealth such markets might create. The subject may be left with the following passages from Adam Smith and Mill. "A tax upon the necessaries of life," says the former,^ "operates exactly in the same manner as a direct tax upon the wages of labour.** To the extent in which wages are influenced by the price of provisions, wages will rise with such taxes, but, as wages are controlled chiefly by the supply and demand in the labour market, and not by the price of provisions, such taxes act as a direct burden upon wages which can apparently never raise the return to labour beyond mere subsistence as long as an imemployed supply exists. "There are some forms of indirect taxation," says Mill,^ "which must be peremptorily excluded. Taxes on commodities, for revenue purposes, must not operate as protecting duties, but must be levied impartially on every mode in which the articles can be obtained, whether pro- duced in the country itself, or imported. An exclusion must also be put upon all taxes on the necessaries of life, or on the materials or instruments employed in producing these necessaries. Such taxes are always liable to encroach on what should be left untaxed, the in- comes barely suflficient for healthful existence. Taxes on consumption, in the light of the foregoing considerations, are at variance with the principles laid down by Adam Smith. > The Wealth of Nations. Bk. V., ch. iL, p. 467. • FrimdpUs of Political Economy, Bk. V.. ch. vL. I a, p. s»3» "Book II DIRECT TAXATION CHAPTER I PERSONAL PPOPERTY Section I — Classification of Property. Section II — Income, III — Inheritance, Section IV — Credits. Section V- Section VI — Miscellaneous Taxes, Section ChaUds. t f Section I — Classification of Property NO DETAILED examination of the great number of specific imposts classed as direct is essential to the present purpose. The attention is occupied with the sources from which direct taxes may be derived, for the purpose of separating and clas- sifying these sources with reference to their relative suitability in the production of social revenue. Direct taxes, as all others, must fall upon property in some form. The chief distinction between indirect and direct schedules is that the latter reach immediately the property upon which the burden is sup- posed to rest. A study of direct systems, therefore, leads to an analysis and classification of the different forms of property. General property falls into two great classes: personal and real; in legal terms, movable and immovable property. These, again, may be subdivided for fiscal purposes as follows: /. Personal Property. I. Income. 2. Inheritance. 3. Credits. 4. Chattels. 5. Miscellaneous^ //. Real Property. I. Capital Value of Improvements. 2. Capital Value of Land. 3. Rental Value of Improvements. 4. Rental Value of Land. Section II — Income The principle of contribution in proportion to means forms the most V 152 Direct Taxation Pt. II acceptable basis for inquiry into the relative merits of different sources in supplying social revenue. This principle is the first laid down by Adam Smith, and upon it, as he says, depends the equality or in- equality of the burden of taxation. The principle of contribution, in accordance with means, suggests the levjdng a certain percentage on incomes. The income-tax, at first sight, appears to be the tax fulfilling such conditions most satisfactorily. The income-tax is, however, open to serious objections; creating diffi- culties in collection, and inequalities in incidence, not at once obvious. Perhaps the first difficulty found is the variable nature of incomes which creates either a variable revenue for the state, or a variable amount to be paid by the contributor. Individual incomes vary within a wide range, at times cease altogether, or develop rapidly in certain circum- stances. The result is, that an income-tax may be subject to varia- tion, either in the amount derived or in the amoimt payable by the individual; both among the most serious objections to a tax, and this upon the presumption that the income-tax could be assessed and collected with fairness and regularity. Experience shows, however, that such a supposition is far from the truth; the income-tax in practice is widely removed from such a tax in theory. The following are some of the causes to which this difference may be traced: The same percentage upon different incomes does not constitute an equal burden. A man in receipt of an income of £50 paying £5 in taxes pays, in reality, a far greater tax than a man enjoying a revenue of £10,000 paying £1,000 in taxation. This disparity is so evident that all systems of income taxation attempt to avoid it by different means. Again, a certain percentage of the same amount of revenue derived from different som^ces may constitute an imequal contribution. An income, for example, derived from investment, and the same income derived from necessarily continued personal effort, represent distinct subjects for taxation. The graduated assessment, together with the exemption of incomes only sufficient for bare subsistence, form the most familiar methods of avoiding these difficulties. Thus, if £50 is regarded as the minimum income essential for existence, only incomes above that amount may be made subject to contribution and that in proportion to their value; the larger the income the greater the percentage due. These suggestions, however, are necessarily open to the objections of discouraging saving and industry in both the poorer and richer classes. "To tax the larger Bk. II Personal Property 153 incomes at a higher percentage than the smaller," says MilP "is to lay a tax on industry and economy; to impose a penalty on people for having worked harder and saved more than their neighbours. It is not the fortunes that are earned, but those which are unearned, that it is for the public good to place under limitation. A just and wise leg- islation would abstain from holding out motives for dissipating rather than saving the earnings of honest exertion." If the progressive income-tax appears of advantage in Ie?sening the difference between the richer and poorer classes, the causes of the dif- ference are neglected. A wise administration, as Mill points out, should not attempt to regulate inequalities, but, on the contrary, elimi- nate the artificially created and sustained inequalities of opportimity constituting the original cause of the differences involved. Under any system of income taxation, the assessment must rely largely upon individual estimates, and even with most careful administrative methods it is practically impossible to collect an income-tax pro- gressively; thus, not only may the larger income avoid adequate contribution, but a large portion of such property escape taxation altogether. The most effective method of reaching an income is at its sources, by authorizing corporations and employers to deduct the tax from interest, the amounts due on securities or salaries, and to empower tenants to deduct the amount of the tax from rent. This cannot be done progressively, as corporation, employer, and tenant have no means of estimating the total amount of an income; they deal with but a portion of the whole. If, on the other hand, no attempt is made to reach the income at its source, the equable collection of the tax is more problematic, little remaining upon which to rely but the statement of individuals or corporations. Again, an income-tax would collect nothing from unused or undeveloped properties, however valuable; the specu- lator in land, holding his property out of use, would not be taxed, great as might be its annual increase in value. The real-estate owner, on the contrary, who added to the value of his holdings, by means of develop- ment and improvement, would be taxed proportionately. The man whose wealth might have greatly increased, but who added nothing to the social wealth, would be exempt, while the productive efforts of the other would be laid under contribution. Incomes again differ not only in nature but duration, presenting » Principles of Political Economy. Bk. V.. ch.. ii.. S 3. P- 487- <1 154 Direct Taxation Pt. II I i Other grounds for distinctions in value, and widely different subjects for taxation. Incomes not only vary as earned through personal exertion and derived from invested capital, but these latter may be permanent or temporary, and differ again within a wide range, thus presenting difficulties of relative valuation. Again, the man whose income is due to his own efforts is under greater obligations to save a part of his resources in order to provide for those dependent upon him than the man deriving his means from invested capital; yet, when savings are set aside or invested, they be- come subject to taxation. The contributor, therefore, under the greater necessity for economizing his resources, pays not only upon his original income, but is taxed in proportion to the amount he is able to save; he pays once upon his original income and twice upon the amount of savings for his old age or those to come after him. Such considerations suggest the exemptions of savings in any system of income taxation. Here, however, a question arises with reference to the nature of savings: whether an amoxmt reserved from income is to be permanently saved, or spent at some indefinite period after the returns are made. There is obviously no satisfactory reply to such a question. The possibility might be suggested of fixing a different rate for personal or invested incomes. Such a distinction in rate could never bear any accurate relation to the incomes under contribution. Terminal incomes, for example, of different periods of diu-ation, vary in value. Again, incomes gained from whatever source and under whatever conditions vary indefinitely in value, owing to circiunstances impossible for an administration to take into account. Health, ability, age, family position, and other considerations may cause two incomes of the same kind and amoimt to bear no relation to each other as subjects for taxation. "It is to be feared, therefore," says Mill,* after a careful analysis of the income-tax, "that the fairness which belongs to the principle of an income-tax cannot be made to attach to it in practice: and that this tax, while apparently the most just of all modes of raising a revenue, is in effect more unjust than many others which are prima Jade more objectionable." The income-tax presents a more or less unjust and inconvenient source of revenue, however estimated, assessed or collected. It pos- sesses, however, one great superiority over all indirect forms: that of > Principles of PolUical Economy, Bk. V., ch. iii, I S, p. soa Bk. II Personal Property iSS economy ; it involves no waste or destruction of property or labour, and relatively little expense other than the cost of collection. Section III — Inheritance A tax levied upon inheritance is not open to many objections urged against the assessment of incomes. There is, however, one important objection to taxation of inheritance. As estates subject to death duties are generally transferred in the form of realized capital, the inheritance tax becomes not a tax upon revenue, but an assessment of capital. The variations in the value of capital in different hands and under different conditions create difficulties and inequalities in the burden imposed by this tax analogous to those in the assessment of income. Irrespective of these considerations, the inheritance tax might well be called an ''unthrifty" tax, as Adam Smith would say; for, where any large amoimt is derived from it, it must, on accoimt of the burden laid upon capital, and not upon income, check the productive power of the society; this tax, therefore, imposes a burden out of pro- portion to the benefit derived. It presents, nevertheless, marked superiorities over all taxes yet considered. The progressive principle may be applied with a much closer approximation to certainty than in any form of income assessment. Inheritance taxes, again, are ex- ceptional in the ease and slight expense involved in their collection. They are also exceptional in the ease with which contribution may be avoided entirely, through the transfer of property before death. Section VI — Credits Article i — Securities, After the income and inheritance taxes, perhaps the most obvious method of placing property imder contribution is to attempt to reach that form of wealth represented in credit obligations. Under the general heading of credits may be grouped stock, shares, bonds, mort- gages, book accounts, bills, notes, partnerships, and interest in cor- porate wealth of various kinds; all evidence, in fact, of wealth due. Such evidence forms the basis of any system attempting to reach credits for fiscal purposes. This evidence of the debts of others may be regarded as an unsatisfactory source from which to derive revenue, for three reasons: First, such methods may involve the taxation of the same property at A ' IS6 Direct Taxation Pt. II Bk. 11 Personal Property IS7 least twice, or perhaps oftener. Second, because the incidence of such taxes falls chiefly upon those least able to bear it; namely, borrowers. Again, because, owing to the evanescent nature of such property, it can never be reached or taxed upon a just or comprehensive scale. An ordinary mortgage, or lien upon a piece of real estate, is typical of the great majority of securities; for it is only as these refer to speci- fic properties that they possess value. Under any system of general property taxation, the real estate itself will be taxed in the first place; when, therefore, money is borrowed upon it, and the mortgage taxed, the property is evidently taxed a second time. If money is borrowed on the mortgage, and the second credit assessed, the same value is laid under contribution in three different instances. If, therefore, a fixed sum is distributed upon all three sources, the method becomes cumbersome and difficult to apply. If taxes are assessed, either in the form of levying a fixed sum, or in the absorption of a certain percentage of values reached, such burdens are borne chiefly by the most needy members of the conmiunity: borrowers. The borrower is in need of money and tempted to take less where such taxes are imposed; the lender, on the contrary, is never obliged to take less for his capital than the average rate of interest. Where mortgages, or credits, are taxed, such taxes may apparently in most cases be shifted to the borrower; mortgages, subject to taxation, commanding a lower rate in the money market. Capital will drift toward other channels until the average return on mortgages bears the normal relation to other forms of invest- ment; or, in other words, imtil the tax is borne by the real property owner, or borrower. It seems, therefore, in any system of general property taxation, both less expensive and less complicated to tax the real property in the first place, and exempt credits issued against it. These considerations are based upon the assumption that taxes of this nature could be assessed and collected with uniformity; such an assumption seems, however, far from the truth. Much the greatest volume of wealth represented by credits is in the form of corporate obligations; and the difficulty in the assessment of these is very great. The taxable securities of a corporate organization, represented by its stock and bonded indebtedness, may be held with ease, either actually or in trust outside the state or taxing unit in which the corporation exists, and thus escape taxation. If only credits are taxed, and the burden is not shifted, the value represented by rolling stock, land, buildings or plant escapes. If, however, the actual property is taxed, the securities representing it should be exempt, for reasons given. The owners of such securities can avoid taxation more easily than any other class, and those for whom the tax is designed are those most likely to escape contribution. The most effective methods of reaching these values is through the land, rolling stock, plant or franchises, to which they represent proportionate titles. Even credits held in foreign countries, impossible to reach in any other way, might by this means contribute their share to the administration under which the wealth represented was produced. If, however, the actual property is taxed, no attempt should be made to tax it twice through its credit representations. Such attempts but create fraud and injustice. Article 2— Bank Deposits, Any system of general credit taxation would attempt to reach credits in the form of Bank Deposits. This could be done with exceptional ease at slight expense. A deposit held in a bank to the credit of an individual represents a promise to pay; and, as no institution could hold a sum of money out of use representing its total deposits, these deposits represent the real property against which the bank has loaned the depositors' funds. They are mortgages held by the creditor against the assets of the bank, and considerations advanced in connexion with other forms of credits apply to these. Bank deposits, however, may have no relation to the depositor's resources; he may have a large deposit in one bank, and owe that or some other institution ten times the amount. To tax such credits would check productive enterprise; the ease with which it may be done rendering it peculiarly disadvantageous. If an effective system of taxing bank balances were put into force, the bank- ing business would be vitally affected, and the advantages of credit and Clearing House lost. Article 3 — Coin, The assessment of general property, as a basis of revenue, involves the assessment of money. This must be done in the form of coin or notes. The ease with which coin may escape contribution, and the fact that its momentary possession has no relation to the wealth of the individual, need not be developed. Coin could only be reached effect- ively through bank reserves, and the attempt to tax it in this form would result in a tendency to hold reserves in notes. Where a fixed com reserve is made legal, its taxation might not have the sHghtest 158 Direct Taxation Pt. II Bk. II ( relation to the general volume of notes or loans depending upon it. A tax of tliis nature would probably be the least productive and most disadvantageous form of direct taxation. It would affect the basis of the credit and monetary system of the country. Article 4 — Notes. Irredeemable paper money need scarcely enter into modem economic discussion. A nation or bank lending its authority to the issue of paper money, with the promise to redeem it, may do so with reference to three bases of security: legislation, credit, and gold or its equivalent. If notes are issued upon the first two, a debit is created to an equivalent extent, and the basis of the debt must be tangible property in some form. Redeemable notes in the last analysis rest upon some actual value or the issuers would possess no credit, power to legislate, nor resources for their redemption; this value is apparently the best subject for taxation in all cases. Taxes on notes could again be effective through bank reserves alone; the taxation of these reserves could produce but little revenue in the first place, and would tend to reduce the reserve in the second — a dangerous process. If the notes are issued against gold or its equivalent, the same considerations apply; in this case, the notes are mortgages upon definite rather than indefinite property, as at first. All notes of whatever nature, in order to represent real value, must represent real assets; if an attempt is made to tax the notes, the bulk of these will escape taxation, and such notes can only be reached in the most disadvantageous form — that of bank reserves. If the assets are taxed, the notes should be free. There are other forms of credit property, more fleeting and intangible than those mentioned: patents, copyrights, processes, trademarks, good- will, and commercial organization. If it is impossible accurately to reach credits of a more definite nature, these evanescent values are beyond the range of practical fiscal attention, owing to the impos- sibility of estimate or assessment in any workable form. Article 5 — Summary. A review of credit property leads to the following conclusions with refer- ence to its suitability or imsuitability to form a part in the national fiscal structure: First, all forms of credit must represent some form of tangible prop- erty in order to possess any tangible value. As the borrower is Personal Property 159 the owner of the real property and the return to money lent upon it cannot fall below the average rate for any length of time, taxes on credits will be borne by real property. If, however, the real property is taxed in thie first place, credits should be exempt. Second, in the case of corporate securities, it seems impossible to reach the values sought with any accuracy except through the definite property represented. Taxes levied upon actual prop- erty may be distributed over the credits based upon it, without the taxation of a single stock or bond. By far the most effective means of reaching property for fiscal purposes is to assess definite things and not their incorporeal representations in the form of credits or securities. In this way alone is it possible to distribute contributions over an entire system of incorporated certificates of ownership. These considerations suggest the second class of personal property; that class including definite, material assets, such as those against which credits are issued. Section V — Chattels Property classified as chattels includes railway rolling stock, furniture, crops, farming, and manufacturing machine y, cattle, general stock and so forth. At first sight this form of property offers a more definite basis for fiscal purposes than credits. Experience shows, however, that chattel property presents serious diflSiculties of valuation, assess- ment and inequality. Two bales of goods lie side by side in the ware- house of a merchant; an expert might be xmable to distinguish between the two without elaborate investigation; yet these two similar packages may represent widely different values. In the assessment of fiscal contributions, the basis of equal distribution does not lie in that which is taxed or not taxed; but in the relation of the values assessed to the means of the contributors, both individually and in relation to each other. If £1,000 is to be assessed upon a community and the assessment is made upon values incapable of exact relative estimation, no part of the £1,000 will be justly placed. This applies to the as- sessment of percentages: if the values assessed do not bear a proper relation to each other throughout the entire community, every per- centage assessed will bear a false relation to every other. Here is the inherent objection to taxes of this kind: the fact that they present no possibility of a justly distributed burden, owing to the impossi- i6o Direct Taxation Pt. II Bk. II Personal Property i6i 1 biKty of the exact relative estimation of the values upon which they must be assessed. By what means can the values of pictures, art objects, complicated machinery, and blooded stock be fixed in relation to each other through- out any area by different valuers unfamiliar with the various fields, when experts might differ in their estimations both actually and rela- tively? How can the rich gem collector be prevented from putting his wealth out of sight while the horse, the cow and the machinery of the farmer pay their full quota? By far the greater values of personal chattel property are those disappearing most easily at the proper time, and estimated both relatively and actually with the greatest difficulty. The smaller values, on the contrary, such as common stock, crops, wagons and farm machinery, are more in evidence, and estimated as full value with relative ease. Again, great difficulties are met in con- nexion with such property as the rolling stock of railways, the mains, pipes and plants belonging to a water or electric light company, the poles and wires of a telephone or telegraph system. The cost of con- struction or replacement forms no standard of the relative values at which property of this kind should be assessed. The relative value of such property does not depend upon the number of cars or the length of the pipes, but depends on earning powers; and these earning powers need have no connexion with the quantity of steel or amount of wire involved. Such earnings depend upon the distribution of goods, water, gas, or communication over the various systems. Here b'es the true value of such property; the real wealth forming the basis of the securities issued against it. The most elaborate estimates of the rolling stock, plants, pipes, or wires of great public-service corpora- tions form no basis for valuing the wealth in franchise and security, either actually or relatively, annually created by their control. Uni- versal experience shows that the taxation of personal chattel property is among the most unjust, annoying and least effective methods of raising public funds ever devised. " The assumption that it is necessary to assess everything," says Mr. WeUs,i "in order to tax equitably involves an impossibility, and therefore unavoidable inefficiency, injustice, and inequality in administration. ... the term property is made to apply equally to entities and to symbols or non-enrities, which is in itself an absurdity." The hi story of this form of taxation in all countries supports Mr. « Theory and Practice of Taxation, D. A. Wdls, pp. 394-395. ' Wells' position: "No man and no corporation," says an experienced assessor 1 of the State of New York, "banks only excepted, need pay a tax on personal property. Widows and orphans must pay. Upon them in the extremity of their distress, the law lays its heavy hand. It bereaves the bereaved. Moribund itself, it has an affinity for the effects of the dead. The records of the surrogate furnish the schedule, and the machinery of the law used in adjusting an estate is not sufficiently flexible to regularly permit such a transfer of securities as would insure an exception." Section VI — Miscellaneous Taxes Nearly all nations derive a portion of their revenue from a variety of miscellaneous imposts. Various forms of taxation may be laid upon contracts, registration, insurance, bills, notes, acknowledgments of receipt, and deeds of release. Taxes of this kind are most effectively imposed through the legal documents serving as evidence of the agree- ment. Taxes on the transfer of property of different kinds, and on the purchase and sale of land especially, may be levied by means of stamps or registration fees. Taxes of this kind possess certain advantages; they may be assessed and collected with ease and certainty; in proportion to the amount produced, they involve little expense. They are, nevertheless, open to the following objections: First, they fall upon capital and not upon revenue — an "unthrifty'' form of taxation. Second, their in- cidence falls upon the contributor least subject to them; that is, upon the seller; the seller being in most cases forced to sell, while the buyer is less often forced to buy. The considerations suggested with reference to borrower and lender in the case of mortgages apply. Capital will seek investment in other fields until the return upon the purchase involved is at no disadvantage with these; or, until the tax is shifted to the seller. Taxes on the transfer of land present other considerations. It may be said in general that taxes on the purchase and sale of goods are harmful, in that they throw obstacles in the way of trade. Taxes on the transfer of land, however, are peculiarly objectionable for other reasons. Land is the most productive form of property. The seller of land in most cases, through lack of capital, ability, or for other reasons, « Mr. G. H. Andrews, addressing a legislative committee, October 6, 1874, cited by Mr. T. G. Shear- man. Natural Taxation, p. 75. J1 l62 Direct Taxation Pt. II Bk. II Personal Property 163 is unable to give the land its greatest productive value; the purchaser, on the contrary, sees greater productive advantages in its use. Ob- stacles placed in the way of the purchase and sale of land are, therefore, hindrances in the path of the entire productive powers of a people. Taxes on leases, which form a direct discouragement to agriculture are of this nature. "The more it costs to acquire any property, the less must be the net value of it when acquired," says Adam Smith ;^ and again, "All taxes upon the transference of property of every kind, so far as they diminish the capital value of that property, tend to diminish the funds destined for the maintenance of productive labour. They are all more or less unthrifty taxes that increase the revenue of the sovereign, which seldom maintains any but unproductive labourers, at the expense of the capital of the people, which maintains none but productive." Taxes may also be placed upon commimication: letters, newspapers, advertisements, and so forth. Postal rates, when service is supplied by the administration at little above cost, are not a tax; but, if the rates are increased until an im- portant revenue is derived, the fiscal character of the service becomes apparent. Revenue derived from this source is rarely considered ad- vantageous; it increases the cost of business commimication and throws difficulties in the way of commerce. Taxes on advertisements are open to the same objection; taxes on newspapers, to the more serious one of being a tax on the most important source of education and in- formation of the people. Taxes upon legal proceedings are open to the objection of forming an inducement to the extension and complication of the process. They are, as Mill^ say^, little else than a "tax on redress, and therefore a pre- miimi on injiuy. ... In the enumeration of bad taxes, a conspic- uous place must be assigned to law taxes." In the levying of such taxes it is sometimes suggested that those who benefit by the legal tri- bunals should bear the expense of their administration. It seems, how- ever, as Mill points out, that the reverse consideration is nearer the truth: the fact that certain persons had need to appeal to the tribunals shows that it was rather they who had been least benefited by their administration. The revenue raised for local purposes in the form of octroi duties is but an indirect tax on consimiption, and, as such, is discussed with in- » The WtaUk cf Nations. Vol. U.. Bk. V.. ch. ii.. p. 458. > Principles of Political Economy. Bk. V.. ch. V., 5 3 p. SiQ. direct methods in general. The octroi duty, although properly speaking, neither import nor excise, is a peculiarly unfair and unequal burden, inasmuch as the bulk of goods taxable in this way forms the food of city populations and the raw materials of manufacture. "These indirect taxes," says Mill,i "are much more objectionable in towns than on the frontier, because the things which the country supplies to the towns are chiefly the necessaries of life, and the materials of manufacture, while of what a country imports from foreign countries the greater part usually consists of luxuries." An octroi system cannot produce any considerable revenue without pressing severely upon the poorer classes of the towns. The octroi thus presents the irregularities and inequalities of import and excise duties in an intensified form, as affecting the poorer portions of city populations. ^Prindplu 0/ Political Economy. Bk. V., ch. v., i 4f P> 5^0. Bk. II Real Property i^S CHAPTER n REAL PROPERTY Section I — Classificaiion. Section II — Capital Value of Improve- ments, Section III — Capital Value of Land. Section IV — Rent of Improvements. Section V — Ground-rent. Section I — Classification THE second of the classes into which general property is divis- ible is real, or immovable, property. Property of this kind is again divisible into two classes: land and improvements. These classes, however, physically inseparable, are usually considered together under the term real esUte. That land and im- provements constitute, however, two distinct forms of value is evident upon a moment's thought. Land is created by cosmic processes over which the human being has no control; improvements are created, immediately, at least, by man. The distinction between the two is important in any examination of real property as a source of national revenue. Property of this kind may again be estimated in two ways: either at total capitalization or at its annual rental value. Real property, therefore, may be considered under four heads: i. Capital value of improvements; 2, Capital value of land; 3, Rental value of improve- ments; 4, Rental value of land. Section H — Capital Value of Improvements Among the most obvious forms of taxable property is that of im- provements and buildings. Where such property is taxed, the value of the improvement is estimated and a percentage of the total assessed. This tax is practically a tax on the improvement of land, and to be evenly distributed it is essential that all improvements should be capable of exact valuation in relation to each other. Attempts at such relative valuation gave rise to the old English custom of counting the number of hearths in a house, later superseded by the more conven- 164 ient method of counting the windows, number of stories, or other means of approximating its value in relation to other buildings. In the taxation of improvements, the ever-present difficulty of exact valuation is met, and as accurate relative estimates must form the basis of any just system, this difficulty is a serious one. Other difficulties may be mentioned. Taxes on improvements may fall largely or entirely, not upon the owner of the improvement, for whom they are intended, but upon the tenant. This seems to apply in particular where improvements are represented by larger investments in buildings, houses, warehouses, factories and so forth. If capital employed in these investments could be taxed, so that its returns were less than the possibilities offered by other forms of employment, no more capital would seek such channels. The fact, however, that capital flows in these directions suggests that such capital is no more effectively reached in the majority of cases, than the average of capital employed in other fields. If, however, a tax of this kind could be made effective, that is, if capital employed in the improvement of land could be taxed in pro- portion to the value of improvements, such a tax would be of disad- vantage to the community; for it would restrict and destroy the most productive of all activities: the improvements of land. Improvements of this kind are but chattels attached to the soil, and many considerations suggested in the study of chattels in general apply to the improvements of land. Buildings, houses, and improve- ments cannot be hidden or moved from place to place; but their number and quality may be adversely affected by taxation, while the great difficulty of exact relative valuation is always present. If such methods really place the intended burden upon the owners of improvements, the result will be to restrict the productive powers of the society; if the burden is shifted to others, the property assessed contributes nothing, and the tax may act in many cases as an indirect tax on consumption or living expenses, instead of a direct contribution from real property. On the other hand, improvements present great advantages over ordinary movable chattels, as a source of revenue, the chief of which are their relative availability and the slight expense involved. Section IH — Capital Value of Land The capital value of land presents another obvious source of social revenue, and has formed one of the oldest objects of taxation. Land, Bk. II Real Property 167 I } I 166 Direct Taxation Pt. II as a basis for social contribution, possesses peciiliar advantages presented by no other form of property. Land cannot be hidden, as can valuable chattels; it cannot be moved, transferred or held in different neigh- bourhoods, as can securities; its quantity cannot be restricted or di- minished, as in the case of houses and improvements; its amount may be estimated with almost ideal precision, and the relative value of different holdings thus much more closely approximated than in any other form of property. Again, the value of the situation of land cannot be deteriorated to any extent by the owner, as is possible in the case of improvements; for to do so would, in the majority of cases, decrease rather than increase his revenue. The extent of land areas may be accurately calculated and their value approximated independently of interested testimony, thus doing away with the otherwise inevitable premium upon fraud. These qualifications are possessed in the same degree by no other element of wealth. In order to assess the total, or capitalized, value of land, surveys must be made with estimates of the relative value of its component parts. A tax of this nature, upon the total value of land, falls upon rent to a certain extent, but only to a certain extent; for, unless the land is revalued every time the tax is imposed, the contribution will not vary in proportion to the rental value, the tax remaining a fixed quantity as established in relation to the value of the land at a definite time. The value of the land will, of course, vary with changing conditions, the value of the different portions will vary actually and in relation to each other. A fixed contribution, based upon the capitalized value of land, therefore, however just at the time of assessment, becomes less so with every alteration in value within the area considered. A tax of this kind is called an invariable land-tax and has played an important part in fiscal history. Taxes may be payable in different forms of wealth: the produce of land, military service, in various forms of obligations, and in coin of the realm. For modem administrative purposes, contributions to the public treasury are nearly always estimated in money, and this money has a certain relation to the value of gold. A fixed land-tax, therefore, is open to two objections: it will vary with the value of the different portions of the land, both actually and relatively; and^again, with the variations of the gold, money, or wealth in which it is payable. A tax of this nature must, therefore, be relatively variable, subject, as it is, to changing influences. A contribution of £10 annually from a certain property may become a lighter or heavier burden as the value of the property rises or falls, and with changes in the value of money. The rental value of the property might increase or decrease indefinitely; the value of gold might change in its relation to consumable wealth; all of these variations would have a marked effect, both upon the burden borne by the property, and the revenue obtained by the State. This variable nature of the fixed land-tax is a serious objection; although such a tax as applied to the land possesses marked advantages. "A land-tax," says Adam Smith, ^ "which, like that of Great Britain, is assessed upon each district according to a certain invariable canon, though it should be equal at the time of the first establishment, neces- sarily becomes unequal in the process of time, according to the unequal degrees of improvement or neglect in the cultivation of the different parts of the coimtry. . . . This tax, therefore, so far offends against the first of the four maxims above mentioned. It is perfectly agree- able to the other three." These considerations apply to contributions assessed upon land and improvements combined. In so far as such a tax falls upon improvements it is open to the objections mentioned. In so far as it falls upon the value of the land, it possesses the advantages with the disadvantages pointed out. In connexion with a land-tax, however, a new form of property appears an element of wealth presenting important distinctions separating it from other forms considered. This element of wealth is the value attaching to land irrespective of improvements; that is, the value inherent in land considered apart from the value of labour applied to it. This new element may be examined, therefore, in reference to its qualifications as a source of revenue. Taxes, if paid, must fall somewhere; are borne by some form of property, sooner or later. Taxes on commodities nearly always fall upon consumers. Taxes falling entirely on trade are paid out of the profits of the traders. Taxes assessed upon the owners of houses fall upon tenants in the majority of cases, and taxes on credits usually fall upon debtors when collected. It may be asked, upon what form of wealth does a tax fall, assessed upon the value of unimproved land? Such a tax, properly assessed, should not affect human industry in connexion with improvements, for no value represented by them is laid * Th4 Wealth of Nations. Book V., ch. ii.. Part 11, Art. i, p. 4x7. T,, .. V . i68 Direct Taxation Pt. II under contribution. Contribution from unimproved land regards the land as freed from the results of human effort; it considers the land in its natural condition, and estimates value as affected by social, not in- dividual, causes. The land, in its unimproved state, is untouched by the hand of man; that is, free from the results of labour. The unimproved value of those portions of the surface of the earth, upon which great populations exist, is caused by the existence of those populations. It represents neither labour, capital, skill, credit nor industry, in any individual or corporate form. It does represent, however, the combined number, wealth, industrial powers, and productive energies of a population existing upon a given portion of the earth at a given time; and to these in their col- lective sense is due the value possessed by unimproved land. This value, moreover, created by a society, as a society, is a form of wealth belonging peculiarly to the social organization. Revenue, therefore, derived from the unimproved value of land is derived from wealth created by society and belonging to it in its collective sense; and not from wealth created by individuals or belonging to them. Fiscal contri- butions, properly levied through the medium of imimproved land fall, apparently, upon socially created wealth without infringing upon individual or corporate wealth. Regarded, therefore, in relation to other forms of property, as a source of social revenue, the value of imimproved land presents exceptional advantages. It presents, at the same time, however, an important difficulty: variability, for relative and actual variations create important inequalities in inci- dence. The variability in the values of real property suggests another method of estimation and assessment. Rentals, it may be said, form an exact, self-regulating register of values, and, therefore, contributions levied upon rentals are not open to objections met in a fixed house or land- tax. Rentals represent the annual value of the capital invested, and a contribution assessed upon rent not only estimates the property at its actual value, but varies with this value and es- tablishes it in relation to other values at the same time: rent serving to measure and register automatically these important factors in fiscal reqiiirements. Another fiscal resource is thus reached: one assessed upon rental, or annual value, rather than upon total, or capital, value. The rental value of real property may be assessed in two ways; the rent of improve- Bk. II Real Property 169 ments and the rent of land presenting two distinct values which maybe assessed separately or in combination. The rent of real estate is thus divisible into improvement rent and ground-rent; the incidence of a tax upon rent in general, therefore, is twofold and these two sources must be considered separately. Section IV — Rent of Improvements If profits of buildings and improvements, as expressed in rent, were lowered by fiscal pressure, capital would flow into other channels and only the most profitable improvements would be developed. It seems, therefore, that the portion of a tax assessed upon building or improve- ment rent falls eventually upon the tenant, or consumer of the im- provement. A large portion of social revenue, assessed upon the rent of improve- ments, is derived from the rent of houses, and contributions raised from this source present advantages over other forms of revenue. The impossibility of hiding houses, or holding them outside the taxing area, combined with the estimates, actual and relative, rendered by rental values, are important in this connexion. The fact that rent, in its action, eliminates difficulty with regard to actual and relative estimates, renders this source the most equal yet discussed. Mill and Adam Smith unite in their approval of a tax on the rent of houses. Says the latter:^ "In general, there is not perhaps any one article of expense or con- sumption by which the liberality or narrowness of a man's whole ex- pense can be better judged of than by his house rent. A proportional tax upon this particular article of expense might, perhaps, produce a more considerable revenue than any which has hitherto been drawn from it in any part of Europe.'' Mill2 says speaking of this tax: "In so far as it falls on the occupier, if justiy proportioned to the value of the house, it is one of the fairest and most unobjectionable of all taxes. ... A house-tax is a nearer approach to a fair income-tax, than a direct assessment on in- come can easily be." The advantage of a tax of this nature is the accuracy with which rent serves as a basis of proportionate estimates; registering values, as it does, actually and in relation to each other at the same time. The chief disadvantage of such a tax is the inequality with » Th* Wealth of Nations. Bk. V., ch. ii., p. 435- • Principles of Political Economy. Bk. V., ch. iii., S 6, p. 502. J- 170 Direct Taxation Pt. II Bk. 11 Real Property 171 which it falls upon owner and occupier, for the owner is not propor- tionately reached. Section V — Ground-rent The remaining form of rent is the annual value of land independent of improvements. The study of this form of property, in the light of earlier considerations, and in relation to other forms of taxable wealth, brings a combination of these into view. In an examination of assess- ments upon real property, land offered the greater number of advan- tages; when the land was regarded as separate from improvements, the resulting value presented a form of wealth not traceable to individual endeavour, but to the society as a whole, as the source of its existence. This value, therefore, seemed a peculiarly suitable source from which social needs might be supplied. A difficulty appeared: the variable nature of the values considered. This difficulty disappears, however, if, instead of capital values, annual values derived from these are con- sidered. The advantages of land, as a source of revenue, with the advantages offered by rent, as a means of registering values, are com- bined in this way. It seems, in fact, that in the combination of un- improved land and rent, a form of property is met, presenting exceptional conditions as a subject for fiscal attention. A method of supplying social needs, which only touches socially created wealth, cannot have escaped the attention of the abler economists. "Ground rents," says Smith, * "are a still more proper subject of tax- ation than the rent of houses. A tax upon ground rents would not raise the rent of houses. It would fall altogether upon the owner of the ground rent, who acts always as a monopolist, and exacts the greatest rent which can be got for it. . . . Ground rents seem, in this repect, a more proper subject of peculiar taxation than even the ordinary rent of land. The ordinary rent of land is, in many cases, owing partly at least to the attention and good management of the landlord. A very heavy tax might discourage too much this at- tention and good management. Groimd rents, so far as they exceed the ordinary rent of land, are altogether owing to the good government of the sovereign, which, by protecting either the industry of the whole people, or of the inhabitants of some particular place, enables them to pay so much more than the real value of the ground which they build > The Wealth of Nations. Bk. V., ch. ii., pp. 436-437. their houses upon; or to make to its owner so much more than compen- sation for the loss which he might sustain by this use of it. Nothing can be more reasonable than that a fund which owes its existence to the good government of the State should be taxed peculiarly, or should contribute something more than the greater part of other funds, toward the support of that government." After pointing out that the predominant element of rent in large cities is usually that paid for the use of land, MilP says: "Among the very few kinds of income which are fit subject for peculiar taxation, these ground-rents hold the principal place, being the most gigantic example extant of enormous accessions of riches acquired rapidly, and in many cases unexpectedly, by a few families from the mere ac- cident of their possessing certain tracts of land, without their having themselves aided in the acquisition by the smallest exertion, outlay, or risk. So far, therefore, as the house-tax falls on the ground-landlord, it is Hable to no valid objection." These two economists unite in regarding a tax on the rent of un- improved land as the best of all sources of social revenue: "Among the very few kinds of revenue which are fit subject for peculiar taxation," says one. "Ground-rents seem, in this respect, a more proper subject of peculiar taxation than even the ordinary rent of land," says the other. The three productive sources of private revenue are rent, profits, and wages. Rent is of two kinds: improvement rent and ground- rent. The distinction between tax upon ground-rent and a tax upon the rent of improvements is important. The annual value of a portion of land, independent of improvements, is due to the profit to be derived from its use; through its proximity to harbour, markets, railway, or mineral wealth, in relation to centres of population. These profits determine the rental value of the land, or the price the tenant is willing to pay for its use. Ground-rent, therefore, is directly dependent upon profits. Profits, however, will be dependent upon something else — the consuming power of the people at large, or upon the return to productive occupation, or wages, in the broadest sense of the term. Thus rent, derived from the ownership of unimproved land, takes its rise from improvement rent, profits, and wages combined; or from the productive energies of the society as a whole, and repre- sents, not rent alone, but a value combining all three sources of revenue. A tax, therefore, upon ground-rent seems to reach all three sources of ' PrincipUs of PoliUcal Economy. Bk. V., ch. iii. § 6, p. 503. 1 1 M >fi! H I I* 172 Direct Taxation Pt. II revenue in proportion to their amount. An analogous train of reason- ing does not seem available with reference to improvement rent; for the reason that improvement rent is due to individual initiative; if therefore, this rent is reached by a tax, a disproportionate burden is placed upon it; if the tax is shifted to tenant, a disproportionate burden is placed upon profit and wages. These considerations suggest that a tax on ground-rent conforms to the first principle laid down by Adam Smith, stating that individuals should contribute "in proportion to their respective abilities." As their abilities are measured by their revenues, in the form of improve- ment rent, profit, and wages, and, as ground-rents are proportionate to these, a tax proportionate to ground-rents seems "proportionate to their abilities." The second principle states that a tax should be "certain and not arbitrary." Ground-rents seem to meet this condition automatically. The third principle states that a tax should be payable at the time most convenient for the contributor. A tax upon ground-rents may easily be regulated to suit this maxim. The fourth principle shows that a tax should "take and keep out of the pockets of the people as little as possible over and above what it brings into the treasury of the State." A tax levied upon ground-rent offers exceptionally inexpensive methods of assessments and collection. "Both ground rents and the ordinary rent of land," says Smith, * "are a species of revenue which the owner, in many cases, enjoys with- out any care or attention of his own. Though a part of this revenue should be taken from him in order to defray the expenses of the State, no discouragement will thereby be given to any sort of industry. The annual produce of the land and labour of the society, the real wealth and revenue of the great body of the people, might be the same after such a tax as before. Ground rents, and the ordinary rent of land, are there- fore, perhaps, the species of revenue which can best bear to have a peculiar tax imposed upon them." » The Wealth «/ Natums. Bk. V.. ch. u.. p. 437. CHAPTER III COMPARATIVE CLASSIFICATION OF THE SOURCES OF SOCIAL REVENUE jA COMPARISON of the most important sources from which /% revenue may be derived permits their classification with ref- ^ % erence to the principles of Adam Smith. Unfortunately, neither Smith nor Mill has arranged such a comparative scale of taxable property. As the preceding review, however, has closely followed their thought, it is not unreasonable to believe, had any such scale been prepared by either, that it would not have differed materially from the one presented. Passages from their works have been cited in support of such a position. Apart, however, from discus- sion of the relative merits of other sources of revenue, they both give the first place in justice and equality to unimproved land rentals. SOURCES OF PUBLIC REVENUE IN ORDER OF EQUITY AND ECONOMY I. Direct taxes on ground-rents, or on the annual value of unim- proved land. n. Direct taxes on the rent of real estate, or on the rent of land and improvements combined. in. Direct taxes on the rent of improvements: houses, buildings, plants, and so forth. IV. Direct taxes in any form not included in the above: inherit- ance, income, and so forth. V. Indirect taxes on consumption for revenue: import and excise duties, octroi, stamps. •VI. Indirect protective taxes of whatever nature: tariff-weapon, balance of trade, protection of industry, labour, and so forth. The word "tax" is used in reference to many functions of an impost which, in any proper sense of the word, are not taxes at all. That which constitutes a good tax, in the legitimate sense, is the ability of the measure to satisfy the fiscal needs of the society justly and inex- pensively. A tax, as a tax, neither has nor should have any other 173 I ri II • I' f i !l 174 Direct Taxation Pt. II purpose. In so far as its qualifications for the production of revenue are subordinated to other functions does it become an imposition, supported by the powers of the State subject to manipulation in con- nexion with interests coming under its influence. Here occurs a significant question in connexion with fiscal methods; one to which little attention has been paid, either by economists or in the practical application of fiscal systems. The question is: If a certain source of social revenue is recognized as the best of all sources, to what extent should that source be used in supplying the social needs? If, for example, experience and recognized opinion imite in demonstrat- ing the income tax to be the best and fairest of taxes, to what extent should social revenue be raised from incomes? If the assessment of individual income is the best and least expensive method of raising 5 per cent of the social requirements, why is not this same method the best for raising 10 per cent? But, if best for 10 per cent, why not for one half or the whole? If any given source is the best from which to derive 5 per cent of social needs, it seems the best from which to derive the entire amount required; the amount derived not affecting the source, which must apparently remain the best until exhausted. Or again, if any given tax produces a certain quantity of revenue in the best and fairest manner, the question arises, to what extent should the resources of the tax be used? Should but 5 per cent of its revenue-producing capacity be employed for social purposes, and the remainder of the revenue raised by less advantageous means? Should but 10 per cent of its capacity be used? It is e\ident that a train of thought analogous to the preceding is suggested; and that, if a tax produces a given percentage of social revenue in the best manner, no other tax could meet the social requirements as well until this best of sources is exploited. Not 5 nor 50 per cent of the possibilities of such a tax, therefore, should be realized before other sources are touched; but 100 per cent of its powers should apparently be used by the society before other methods are adopted. If the best source is incapable of supplying the entire needs of the society, this best of sources should first be exhausted when the next best method should be determined and exhausted in turn. To what conclusions these considerations lead, is evident. Ground- rents, of the annual values of unimproved land, are, in the opinion of the two greatest economic thinkers, the best sources from which a society may derive its revenue. In actual practice, the rent of unimproved Bk. II Classification of Sources of Revenue 17s land presents many advantages over other methods of supplying such revenue. The question is, then, whether social revenue would not be most satisfactorily derived entirely from unimproved land values? Or, if these values are insuflScient to produce the entire revenue, whether this best of sources should not be used as far as jwssible before others are touched? A science of fiscal method, if there is ever to be such a thing in human affairs, would seem to consist in the classification of the chief sources of social revenue, in reference to justice and fiscal advantage alone, and the adoption and exhaustion of the best available in succession. A more or less familiar fiscal policy is here suggested. It is known as the." Taxation of Land Values," " The Single Tax," or " I'lmpot Unique" of the French writers of the seventeenth and eighteenth centuries. This policy first appeared some hundreds of years ago in the works of that body of men in France known as the Economists or the Physiocrats, and is associated with the names of Quesnay, Turgot, Le Trosne, Dupont de Nemours and others. It has been familiar in England for years, and in America is chiefly associated with the names of Henry George and T. G. Shearman. The suggestion of deriving the entire social revenue from the value of unimproved land is radical; and whatever advantages it may possess from an economic or academic point of view should never outweigh the disadvantages with which it might be involved from other points of view. For reasons presented, however, the subject seems worthy discussion; the evident theoretic advantages presented are so great that it may be of interest to weigh these in relation to some of the many questions and objections which any such policy may involve. In application, difiiculties, objections, and disadvantages crowd upon the mind in great numbers. ' The first question is, naturally, whether the annual undeveloped value of land may be considered great enough to bear the burden of the admin- istrative expenses of a nation. The attention then turns to the changes, desirable or the reverse, to be expected or feared from so radical a modifi- cation of accepted methods. The effects of such a system upon social and industrial conditions are suggested, together with its effects upon labour, capital, railways, money, franchises, and corporate wealth. Can the State justiy impose such burdens upon property, protected and regarded as individual wealth for generations? The effects of such a system upon trade, markets, and international relations, progressive I 176 Direct Taxation pt. n society in its various aspects, and upon social, municipal, and juris- prudential problems are but few of the questions arising in the study of such fundamental change of existing systems. The third portion of the present inquiry is devoted to the discussion of these and allied problems. As that form of wealth represented in unimproved values seems due to natural causes, the revenue derived from it has been regarded as the natural revenue, and the problems suggested are reviewed under the title of "The Natural Tax." Part III THE NATURAL TAX BOOK I THE VALUE OF THE LAND BOOK II THE TRANSITION BOOK III INCIDENCE OF TAXATION, INDIRECT AND DIRECT BOOK IV FISCAL PROBLEMS "^1 ! t 5 -i "Book I THE VALUE OF THE LAND CHAPTER I DIFFICULTIES IN DIRECT TAXATION OF LAND VALUES A STUDY of the chief sources of social revenue suggests the following positions: I. The existence of any society upon a given portion of ^ the earth is the origin of the value of the land occupied by that society. 2. This value, created by the society as a whole, seems to belong to the society as a whole. 3. This value is represented, and its relative variations periodically registered, in the annual value of the unimproved land, or ground-rents. 4. Social revenue, derived from this source, seems to be derived from wealth created by society. 5. Consequently, there seems reason to regard the rent of unim- proved land as the source best suited to supply social needs. The question then arises whether the best sources of revenue should not be used to their fullest capacity before less advantageous means are adopted. If so it follows: either that all social revenue should be derived from the values of imimproved land, or that these values should be used as far as possible in meeting social requ^'rements before other sources are touched. Both these conclusions, however, are at variance with existing fiscal systems, in theory as well as in practice, and may be regarded as of questionable value. Again, it may seem that a society, founded at its origin upon such principles, might have adopted more or less ad- vantageous methods; but that the societies of to-day, founded upon rad- ically distinct conceptions, do not present a field suited to their application. It may also be questioned whether the value of unim- proved land presents a fund suflicient to bear such requirements; and whether in its absorption by society, social conditions would not be generated, creating results ultimately disadvantageous. 179 i8o The Value of the Land Pt. Ill These more or less general considerations again resolve themselves into a variety of specific, and practical objections and difficulties, occurring in great numbers, as different phases of the subject are examined. The most important may perhaps be included under the following headings: /. The Value of the Land, Is the rental value of land, irrespective of improvements, sufficiently great to bear the assessment of the entire social revenue, or of any material portion thereof? In other words, what is the relation of the annual value of unimproved land to annual social revenue? //. The Transition. Is there any method possible by means of which a transition could be effected from indirect to direct taxation without more than compensating danger to industrial and financial conditions? ///. Confiscation and Compensation. Is society justified in absorbing for social needs property which it has long regarded as private, and protected in individual possession? If so, should the owners of such property receive compensation and to what extent? IV. The Establishment of Land Values, Is the separation of the values of land and improvements practically pos- sible with accuracy sufficient to form the basis of a workable fiscal system? 7. Can the Tax Be Transferred? Is it possible to shift the incidence of a direct tax on land values from land-owner to tenant or consumer through proportionally increased rentals and prices; thus exempting land values from actual contribution, although serving as the channel through which revenue is derived. VI. The Incidence of the Tax. Upon what class would the burden of such a tax fall compared with existing methods? VII. Labour. The effects of a direct system upon labour with reference to existing Protection. VIII. Railways. IX. Money. X. Property. XI. Progress. XII. Ethical Significance. These headings include, perhaps, the most important questions and difficulties suggested in the study of a fiscal system based upon un- improved land. To these, therefore, the attention may be directed. CHAPTER II LAND VALUES Section I — General Considerations. Section II — Method of Estimation. Section III — Estimates. Section I — General Considerations IN ORDER to discover to what extent the value of unimproved land may serve as a fiscal basis, it is essential to estimate the relations between the annual value of the land and the annual social expenditure. If the land values are greater than the expenses of social organization, these apparently represent a fund from which social revenue could be derived without many of the difficulties presented by other methods. If these unimproved values are found to be less than social requirements, the extent to which they should be used remains for discussion. The importance, there- fore, of establishing the relation between land values and the expense of social organization is evident. The mere existence of a population upon any fixed area forms the natural source from which all values of unimproved land are derived; and this in the most primitive or complex forms of society. With increase of population and social improvements, the natural value of the land augments. As societies are formed and organized with greater industrial advantage and security, the land, under their influences, becomes proportionately more valuable; that is, the mere surface of the earth in certain positions becomes worth far more than fertile or mineral land in other situations. This added value is given by organized society and the advantages it offers; greater in one place than in another. The value men are willing to pay for the use of imimproved land in one spot is the value they are willing to pay for the advantages offered by society in that place. These generally take the form of security of property, markets, profits, business opportunities, transportation facili- ties, and other advantages, social and administrative. Thus the value i8i l82 The Value of the Land Pt. Ill Bk. I Land Values 183 n ii of unimproved land, or ground-rent, is the price men are willing to pay for the privileges and gains derived from living in organized society. Ground-rent expresses in money what organized society is worth to the individual. On the other hand, however, organized society implies expense, or cost of organization, and this cost is measiu*ed by taxes. Ground-rents represent what society is worth to the individual in profits, and social opportunity; taxes represent what the same society costs the same individual. As these values are usually expressed in the same money, at the same place, and at the same time, they may be compared. If the value of the advantages which society offers in the form of industrial opportunity, profits, wages, and so forth, measured in money, were not greater than the expenses involved in the form of taxes, measured in the same money, men would cease to live in society and scatter them- selves irregularly over the surface of the earth. In other words, if the value of social advantages, expressed in ground-rents, did not exceed the value of social expense, expressed in taxes, there would be no eco- nomic justification for the existence of organized society. But as society, in its organized form does exist, there is reason to believe it worth more than it costs; or, to express the same relation in different terms, that ground-rents are greater than taxes. The cost of organizing society could apparently not be greater than the economic advantages derived, as these advantages are necessarily the basis upon which groimd-rents depend. Where this is not the case, that is, where taxes are greater than ground-rents, it would seem that the eventual disorganization of the society must follow, for its sup- port would cost more than the advantages offered were worth. Taxes would be greater than the economic advantages obtainable. As society grows in wealth, however, so will its administrative needs, although it would seem that the latter can never overtake the former, as the cost of administration must follow and be dependent upon the wealth administered. Even in a declining society this relation would prevail; for, where the value of land and social wealth is decreasing, so must the social needs, until, with the divorce of value from the land, the social wealth will disappear and with it the need of administra- tion. It thus seems that, in any and all forms of society, the annual value of land is greater than the annual social expenditure. The development of the same train of thought might establish a closer relation between the two. The foregoing considerations are based upon any and all methods of raising revenue; therefore, upon those at present in use. But many of these methods cost the people much more than the revenue obtained. Ground-rents, therefore, are not only greater than the revenue derived, but greater by the cost of the revenue over the amount realized. Nor is this the only addition which may be made to the first estimate, for, through increased prices, due to artificial and protective taxation, and consequently increased living expenses of all kinds, it will be evident that the actual revenue not only costs the people more than the amount derived, but that this amoimt is decreased in its efficiency, or purchasing power. Ground-rents, there- fore, may be regarded as not only greater than social revenue by the cost of the revenue over the amount obtained, but also by the decreased efficiency of the actual revenue created. StiQ one more consideration may be suggested. All revenue must ultimately be derived from the productive industries of a society, as these industries create the total or gross revenue of the people. As these industries, again, are the chief employers of land and labour, it seems to follow that the total return from the land is diminished through the action of indirect taxa- tion, owing to the necessary restriction of the natural industrial de- velopment, and the stifling of normal consuming powers. In other words, if all restrictions were removed from industry and consumption, the productive use of land would be materially increased, and its total annual value correspondingly greater. Natural land values thus seem to be considerably greater than the expenses of social administration. Section II — Method of Estimation In order to present specific relative estimates of the value of unim- proved land and social expenditure, it is necessary to select a few coun- tries, states, and cities; to calculate as nearly as possible the annual value of the land in these places, and compare this value with the total amoimt of revenue raised at present, while bearing in mind the following principles: 1. Ground-rent, or economic rent, is the total value of unimproved land, including taxes already paid by it. 2. The annual market value of unimproved land is the ground-rent, or economic rent, less these taxes. The annual market value of the land constitutes the net rent. 3. The existing capitalized, or market value, of land is equal to the net annual rent expected (deducting taxes) multiplied by the number • i] u i84 The Value of the Land Pt. Ill of years, which, multiplied by the current rate of interest, would produce one hundred. 4. The true, or total, capitalized value of land is reached in the same way without the deduction of taxes. 5. The annual groimd-rental value of land, therefore, may be con- sidered as equal to the average rate of interest on its capitalized value, plus all taxes levied on land values at present. One method of establishing the relation of ground-rents to revenue would thus be to calculate the present net unimproved rent, add all taxes paid by this rent at present, and estimate the proportion of this gross or economic rent to gross taxes. There is, however, a slightly simpler method leading to the same result, which may better serve the present purpose. The method is to estimate as nearly as possible: 1. The present net rent (deducting taxes) of the land in the places selected. 2. The entire amount of revenue produced. 3. The amount of revenue at present raised from ground-rents. 4. The amount of taxes which it would be necessary to assess upon present net groimd-rents, in addition to existing taxes, should all revenue be derived from the single source of unimproved land values. In order to estimate approximately the present net rent of unim- proved land within any administrative area, it is essential to establish a relation between land values in general, and some definite value rec- ognized in the present system of valuation, which may lihus serve as a basis of calculation, or mean proportional. Total real estate forms the most satisfactory value of this kind; it becomes necessary, therefore, to attempt to establish a generally acceptable propor- tion between unimproved land values, or ground-rents, and total real estate. M. de Foville estimates the capitalized value of the land of France in private fortimes at three billion pounds sterling; buildings at two billions. 1 This would give an estimate of five billions for total real estate; the land alone would thus be worth three fifths or 60 per cent of real estate. It is probable, however, that these figures include all absorbed improvements of agricultural property as "land," but also that they disregard value attaching to the land through the annual earning powers of franchises public, corporate, and individual; if such » Statesman's Year Book, 1911, p. 76s* Bk. I Land Values 185 is the case, the 60 per cent here represented as "land" is probably below the truth. It remains to be discovered to what extent this approximate estimate of 60 per cent maybe regarded as applicable to other countries, and all kinds of real estate, to agricultural land, suburban property, and to sites and buildings of metropolitan centres. With reference to agricultural values perhaps the most comprehen- sive returns in the most convenient form are found in the following table: AGRICULTURAL CAPITAL* Value, Millions £ Sterling Land Cattle Sundries Total United Kingdom . . . i,686 202 189 2,077 France 2,580 232 281 3,093 Germany i,977 303 228 2,508 Russia 2,113 350 247 2,710 Austria 1,473 161 163 1,797 Italy 1,180 92 127 1,399 Spain 1,056 46 no 1,212 Portugal 138 II IS 164 Sweden and Norway . . 212 41 25 278 Denmark 205 26 23 254 Holland 240 28 27 295 Belgium 300 22 32 354 Switzeriand .... 138 18 16 172 Danube States .... 420 42 46 508 Greece 94 5 10 109 Europe i3»8i2 1,579 1,539 16,930 United States .... 3,314 451 377 4,142 Canada 230 47 28 305 Australia 236 120 36 392 Total 17,592 2,197 1,980 21,769 These relations indicate that more than 60 per cent of total agri- cultural capital is represented by the value of land. The values here returned as land, however, are doubtless improved values and there- fore greater than groimd values. On the other hand, many of the values returned under the headings "Cattle" and "Sundries" are, no doubt, not real estate in the proper sense of the word, which would form a perhaps compensating consideration on the other side. An analysis of these figures, however, does not indicate that the value of unimproved agricultural land is less than 60 per cent of total agricultural real estate, which is all that is necessary for the present purpose. In turning the attention to occupied land, a more complicated series * Industries and Wealth of Nations. Mulhall, p. 384. 1: « II i86 The Value of the Land Pt. Ill of values is met; it being evident that the relation between land and real estate will vary almost indefinitely in the same city, the same neighbourhood, or lie same street. Instead of reference to particular returns, a safer method of discovering the average relations between land and real estate in cities would be to observe the average which experience has shown to be the most advantageous from the point of view of investment. Such an average would cover occupied land from the least to the most valuable, and present a relation which values will not only approximate, but to which they must ulti- mately conform, whatever the original relations; for widely differ- ing relations will be proportionately improfitable, and subsequent variations approach the most profitable average, through a process of elimination. A thorough study of the subject in this connexion is presented by Mr. Richard M. Hurd, who shows the results of the examination of "the mass of valuations of land and buildings, rentals, and mortgages obtained in about fifty cities," the point of view being that of a "con- servative lender on real estate." He says-.^ "The most important consideration governing suitability to location is that of proportion of cost of building to value of land, the safe general rule being that the cost of the building should approximately equal the value of the land. In other words, the typical successful property, land and building, ap- pears to earn double interest on the cost of the building, one half of which capitalized as economic rent gives a value to the land equal to the cost of the building. While there are exceptions to this proportion it forms a median line of departure, appl)dng most closely to business property, whether the building is a $5,000 one-story brick on a cheap lot or a $3,000,000 office building in the highest price location." This statement of the general proportion of land to building values, with reference to the most profitable returns, is of greater interest in the present inquiry than any amount of particular statistical infor- mation; certain considerations are, however, suggested. If land and building represent approximately equal investment, or original cost, there must be a change in their relation in the course of time; and this change will apparently always be in favour of the land, as bricks and mortar rarely, if ever, appreciate while land often does. Where land falls in value the building must of necessity follow suit. > Principles of City Land Values, p. 97. Bk. I Land Values 187 11 As Mr. Hurd says:^ "To say, however, that buildings create land values is to reverse the truth, buildings being the servants of the land and of value only as they fulfil its needs." Thus a building, situated upon land rising rapidly in value, may depreciate in proportion to the rise of the value of the land, until the building is torn down. In such a case, the land was not only worth loo per cent of total real estate, but more valuable with no building, by the cost of demolition. Where land is rapidly declining the same phenomena might occur. Thus, all changes redound to the relative advantage of land. "One fruitful source of error," says Mr. Hurd,^ "in studying land values is to regard the prob- lem as involving only a point of time instead of a period of time. Any valuation based upon present facts alone is incomplete, consideration of past influences and future prospects being vitally necessary. The life of value in land, whether the unit taken is a city, a section of a city, or a single lot, bears a close analogy to all other life in being normally characterized by a small beginning, gradual growth, and increased strength up to a point of maximum power, after the attainment of which comes a longer or shorter decline to a final disappear- ance. Thus all value in city land undergoes a continuous evolution from a state of non-existence through a cycle of changes, to a final dissolution, or to a new birth, when the process is repeated on the same land." The cycle of changes will in nearly all instances result in the appre- ciation of land values in relation to improvements, whether the land itself is stable, rising, or declining in value. Thus, with any city as a unit, in which land and improvements represented equal original in- vestment, if these values are compared at any given time, the value of the land may be considerably greater than the value of improvements; only the more recent values conforming to the typical 50 per cent proportion. Again, it may be remembered, in computing the values of the land area of any city, that the value of its franchises is an essential element in their estimation. The land privilege of a transportation company is as much an element of value as the right to erect a building. Thus, if the capitalized value of all franchises, granted by any city, is added to the present estimated value of its land area, and these values com- pared to total real estate, the value of the land will, apparently, be » Ibid., p. 17. * Ibid., p. 18, I i88 The Value of the Land Pt. Ill I ) I I greater than 60 per cent of total real estate.^ This proportion will therefore, be adopted in the following estimates as well within conser- vative limits. If the 60 per cent average, however, for any reason is regarded as too high, calculations may be made upon any more satis- 1 A few specific instances and figures may be presented. An interesting study of the value of unimproved land will be found in Mr. T. G. Shearman's work. Natural Taxation. Mr. Shearman there presents careful analysis of a great number of returns in reference to agriciiltural and urban values; on page 138, Mr. Atkinson is cited as follows with reference to values in Boston: "At the average of recent years the value of land is $333,000,000; of buildings and improvements, $230,000,000." Total real estate, $563,ooo,ooa Land values over 59 per cent of real estate irrespective of franchise values and without estimating the taxes already paid by the land both of which would increase the percentage. Mr. Thomas Hills, who was chair- man of the Boston board of tax assessors for twenty-five years is cited on page 237 as giving "the precise figures for 1892, of a single block in the heart of Boston, \yiag between Washington Street and Tremont Street. This block, containing 97,652 square feet, was assessed, for the land alone, $7,157,800, and for buildings alone $982,200. The pure land value was $73.29 per foot $3,192,512 per acre; the building value, $10.05 per foot; $437,778 per acre. Thus, in one of the most thickly settled and closely built parts of Boston, the land value is more than seven times as great as the building value, and is 86 per cent of the whole real estate." Such examples may be multiplied indefinitely. For example (Mulhall Dictionary oi Statistics page 313). "In 1888 there were let on lease for eighty years at Piccadilly and Charing Crosj Road, covering 19.000 square feet for £3.600 per annum, being at the rate of £8.300 per acre; the tenant erecting buildings worth £27.000. This would represent a selling value of £300,000 per acre for the land." Estimating the expected return on the capital invested in the buildings at 3 per cent, the annual building rental would be £810. The total rental value of the property thus representing £4,410 of which £3,600 is pure land value; over 75 per cent of the total without reference to the return expected upon the ground rental invested. " In four years ending 1886. Hamburg pat up new suburbs and houses worth £3.305,000, the value of the sites being 60 and the building 40 per cent of the total (Diet. Statistics page 316)." This estimate, of course, disregards taxes already paid by the land together with aU franchise values. A brief historical review of the subject may not be without interest. " In 1660 Petty 's valuation places land values at 57 per cent, of total wealth; the selling prices being then under £5 an acre. At the time of Davenant (1703) land had risen to £9; "at the time of Young (1774) to £18. The total wealth respectively estimated at (millions) £250, £490, and £1.100. Toward the close of the eighteenth century, Beeke, Pitt, and Eden made valuations for Great Britain. The valuation of real estate is given by Doctor Beeke as 920 millions — viz.: Land in England £600,000.000 Land in Scotland 120,000.000 Houses in Great Britain 200.000,000 Real Estate £920,000,000 Land 720.000,000 •* The most elaborate work of this kind was Colquhoun's, in 1812, which formed the basis on which Lord Liverpool and Pavlo Pebrer evidently constructed their subsequent tables. Pebrer's estimates give the following valuations for the United Kingdom: Land 1,600 (Mil. Sterling) Houses 533 Mines and Canals 166 Real Estate 2.299 Land x,o6o '* Porter's estimate in 1840 confirmed those previously made and showed a progressive increase in wealth." Spallart gives the following returns for Italy: Land 1,160 (Mil. Sterling) Houses 360 1,420 Bk. I Land Values 189 factory basis; no essential difference is obtained imtii the average is reduced to 25 or 30 per cent, for which no justification is found. A more or less acceptable ratio between pure land values and total real estate is thus established, and it remains to discover what relation these land values bear to social expenditure. Real estate is already estimated in this connexion as one of the present sources of revenue, and will form one of the terms of a proportion, or common denominator, by means of which this relation may be approximated. In any attempt at even relatively exact study of the subject, it is evident that the distinction between the present annual return of unim- proved land and its economic, or true value, cannot be too strongly emphasized. Groimd-rents, or total land values, are already taxed to a certain extent by present methods, these taxes have long been capital- ized and the market value of the land proportionately reduced. In order, therefore, to reach the true value of ground-rents, the amount of taxes already paid should be added to present net rents. For example : If the untaxed, or gross, rent of a tract of land is £ 1,000, at twenty years purchase its value will be £ 20,000. If, however, this land is subject to a tax of £ 200, or 20 per cent, its capitalized value will be proportion- Mr. Coglan gives these estimates for Australia: Land 533 (Mil. Sterling) Railways 94 Houses 239 Total Real Estate 866 Canada land 288 (Mil. Sterling) Rails , . 151 Houses , , 127 Total Real EsUte 566 Cf. MidhaWs Did. of Statistics, pp. 589, 597. The total ratable'valuation for Ireland in 1867 is given as £12,975,000, of which £9,ioo,ooo'was land. The valuation for 1901 is given as follows: Land £9,066,000 Houses 5,163.000 R^"S , 704,000 Total £14,933.000 — Surveyors^ InstUuU Transactions, VoL XXXV, p. a88. r The land returned throughout these estimates no doubt includes absorbed improvements such as ditch- ing, drainage, tillage, and so on, which will swell its value; on the other hand, the lotal is always far in excess of 60 per cent of real estate and compensating elements of value have been neglected in taxes ahready assessed and franchises. These figures seem to show that the estimate of 60 per cent of total real estate values, as pure unimproved land value, is conservative. The subject b thoroughly discussed by Mr. Shearman. He presents a great number of estimates based upon reports of urban and agricultural values in the United States. His conclusions are identical with those of the text although based upon totally different methods of calculation. His conclusion is that unimproved land forms more than 60 per cent of urban real estate values and possibly less of agricultural real estate, while 60 per cent is a conserv- ative estimate of average conditions and in all likelihood below the truth. id IQO The Value of the Land Pt. Ill Bk. I Land Values 191 I lately diminished, or equal to but £16,000; the difference, £4,000, being the capitalized value of the Uxes imposed. If, therefore, in order to raise the total revenue from ground-rents alone, it were necessary to impose an assessment upon the land of £500 a year, it is evident that the present assessment need be increased but by £300 as the land already pays £200 of the £500 required. Nearly all criticism of the taxation of land values regards present land values as imtaxed; it appears that to assess all contributions upon ground-rents, would require the assessment of all present taxes upon present ground-rents. This is a mistake to the extent in which Uxes are already borne by land values, as the market value of the land, and the rent derived, are naturally reduced by the capitalized and annual value of the taxes paid. As the capitalized value of the land is but the capitalized value of the net rent, it follows that this capitalized value must be proportionately smaller as the net, or taxed, rent is smaller than the gross, or untaxed, rent. Sixty per cent of all real-estate values seems, on the average, repre- sented by the unimproved value of the land. If 60 per cent of total real estate is pure land value, 60 per cent of taxes paid at present by real esUte, fall upon ground-rents — that is, are abready paid by the land and must, in consequence, be deducted from total taxes in order to discover what additional contribution should be derived from land in order to raise the total revenue from this source. Here a moment's attention may be given to a subject of importance: that form of socially created wealth coming under the general term ''franchise." A franchise is the permission granted by a society to individuals or corporations to make use for a given purpose of cer- tain lands under the jurisdiction of the society. The use of these lands is the only real value attaching to the franchise. Railways are naturally the most important of the land-using corporations to-day, and their land-using privileges, or franchises, are the sources from which they derive their wealth-producing power. The exclusive right to the use of a narrow strip of land, ten or ten thousand miles long, gives railways their value; and this value derived from the land is as much its inherent attribute as the situation of urban property, mineral wealth, or the natural fertility of the soil. The fact that the land used by a railway is but a strip of barren wilderness no more detracts from its value as a medium of transportation, than the fact that a dty lot may be useless for pasture detracts from its value as a building site. The value of land used by a railway is as real and measurable as any form of value adhering to land for any purpose. The value of land depends upon one thing: the use to which it may be put, and to estimate the value of the land used by a railway upon any basis, other than the value of the franchise, is on a par with the estimation of land in urban centres with reference to fertility. The total value of the securities of a railway corporation, less the total value of its stationary property, rolling stock, road bed, equipment, and so forth, represents the value of its franchises; and the value of these, plus the taxes paid by the railway on land, represents the true or economic value of the land it uses. The relation between these franchises, or land values, is shown in the history of almost any railway, in the difference between the value of its securities and the cost of equip- ment. These considerations apply to all forms of franchises. Telegraph, telephone, and gas companies, electric light plants, water works, and street railways owe their wealth-producing abilities to their right to the use of land in certain neighbourhoods. Without this privilege their wires, pipes, rails and rolling stock would be useless. The importance of this privilege may be judged by comparing the value of securities issued against it with the other values involved. If these comparisons are made, the value of the franchise, or the value of the right to the use of the land, will, in all probability, often be found to form by far the greater portion of the total value; much nearer 100 per cent, perhaps, than the 60 per cent adopted. The value of a franchise might in some cases be many times other values involved. In the case of franchise privileges, however, the same average may be maintained, although doubtless much below the truth. The value of both franchise privileges and ordinary ground-rents is created by society as a whole. All land-using interests, individual or corporate, are here, therefore, re- garded^s "Real Estate" and 60 per cent of their value as ground-rents. A position has now been developed from which some of the returns of particular societies may be examined with reference to the relative values of ground-rents and revenue in order: (i) to attempt to es- tablish a relation between the two; (2) to estimate the amount of additional contribution necessary from ground-rents in order to pro- duce the entire revenue from this one source. An able analysis of this nature is in existence; the work of Mr. T. G. Shearman, and, as his figures have stood the test of time, they possess IhI ■ I"- I ; 192 The Value of the Land Pt. Ill Bk. I Land Values 193 greater value than would more recent compilations. With one or two exceptions, therefore, the following estimates are a review of Mr. Sheannan's study of the subject. The United Kingdom is considered first. Section m — Estimates Article 1 — Great Britain 1885. The returns for 1885 are used in the following estimates. The whole amount raised by taxation, says Mr. Shearman,^ national and local, in Great Britain and Ireland for 1885, was £118,341,000. {Statesman's Year Booky 1888, p. 236): The official returns of the income-tax for 1885 (twenty-eighth Report Internal Revenue Department) show the following results. All incomes will be classed as "British." British Net Incomes from Real Estate — Returned in 1885. L From pure ground-rents: Manors, tithes, fines, etc £853,000 Fishing and shooting rights .... 572,000 Market privileges and tolls 607,000 £2,032,000 n. From land and improvements: Agricultural lands £65,442,000 Houses and lots 127,050,000 Canals, water works, mines, iron works, gas works, etc 22,381,000 Railways 33,050,000 ^247,923,000 60 per cent of this is £148,753,000 Net annual ground-rents £150,785,000 Taxes may now be considered which have been levied already upon land values and which have of course been deducted from gross rent in the above returns. They are as follows : Land-tax £1,045,000 Inhabited house duty 1,855,000 Income-tax on rents 3,605,000 Local rates 37,846,000 Tithes 4,054,000 £48,405,000 Sixty percent of this amount, or £29,043,000, must be deducted from total taxes, as that much is already contributed by the land; £150,785,000 being the net return in groimd-rents. Gross British taxes Deduct taxes now paid from ground-rents £118,341,000 29,043,000 £89,298,000 This is the amotmt, says Mr. Shearman, which would be collected from British rents if all taxes were levied upon them. It is almost exactly 59 per cent of British net ground-rents, leaving all rent from houses and improvements untaxed. All British and Irish taxes could be paid out of existing rents and yet leave to the landlords a clear income of £61,487,000 ($300,000,000) per annum, besides their house rents, etc., amounting to at least as much more. Article 2 — The United States i8qo. The census of 1890, continues Mr. Shearman, estimates the total real "wealth" of the United States at $65,037,091,197; of which real estate is set down at $39,544,544,333. But of this, real estate to the real value of $3,833,335,225 is exempt from taxation; and as there is no use in taxing public property, only to pay the tax out of the public treasury, exempt property may as well be excluded from these calcu- lations. The assessed valuation of property in 1890, which of course has little relation to its real value, was: Real estate Personal property $18,956,556,675 6,516,616,743 $25,473,173,418 * Natural Taxation. Thomas G. Sheannan, p. 143. Thus it will be seen that real estate constituted 74I per cent of all assessed property, and therefore bore that share of ad valorem taxes. For convenience, this share may as well be called 75 per cent. The local ad valorem taxes amounted to $470,652,000. Reckoning land values as usual at 60 per cent of real estate, those values bore 60 per cent of 75 per cent of all local ad valorem taxes. This is exactly 45 per cent, leaving 55 per cent to be borne by land improvements and per- sonal property. Special taxes, such as licenses, succession taxes, corporation taxes, poll taxes, etc., are not included. But, as a large pro- portion of what is assessed as personal property is in fact real estate I 194 The Value of the Land Pt. Ill in a disguised fonn, the probability is that real estate actually bears more than 75 per cent of all local taxes of every description. The valuation of real estate in the census was certainly not made upon any lower estimate of the rate of interest than 5 per cent, as even that would value land at twenty years' purchase. Only a small part of American real estate could be sold then or now at even that rate. Nevertheless, that rate is here accepted. It fol- lows that rent must be reckoned at $ per cent on the capitalized value of land, since "land" in law is nothing but a name for a title to ground-rents. On this basis the following results are reached. They are extremely conservative; that is to say, they err on the side opposed to the argument here presented. True Value of Real Estate 18 go Real estate taxed as such* $35 711 209 000 S^^il^^ys • ; 8;68sUo7:ooo Mines and Quames 1,291,291,000 Telegraphs and Canals, far more than .... 312,093,000 T 7°^ . ' e.'. $46,000,000,000 Land values, 60 per cent of this .... $27,600,000,000 Ground Rental and Taxes in the United States. Rent at 5 per cent on $27,600,000,000 . $1,380,000,000 National expenses $357,889,000 Local taxes 470,652,000 »v ^ ... $828,541,000 Deduct 45 per cent of local taxes aheady laid on _ ^^ 211,793,000 Taxation on present net rents if all other taxes are repealed 616,147,000 Surplus rent $763,252,000 Thus all national and local taxes, if collected exclusively from ground- rents, would absorb only 44J per cent of those rents, leaving to the owners of the bare land a clear annual rent of $763,252,000, besides the absolutely untaxed income from all buildings and improvements upon their land. The above estimate of ground-rents is very far below the reality. It does not include one dollar for the enormous value of oil wells, gas wells, pipe lines, the street privileges of gas, electric light, steam- » Real esUte worth over 13,800,000,000 is exempt from all taxation. Bk. I Land Values 195 heating, or water companies and other land privileges not expressly enumerated. Article j — Pennsylvania, Owing to a very remarkable example of public spirit, the State of Pennsylvania affords an opportunity for an inquiry of this kind, un- equalled in any other State. A Revenue Commission has been formed by associations of private citizens, representing all interests, which has pursued a line of thorough investigation for several years past. Al- though its work is still incomplete and some of its statistics are plainly erroneous, they have been prepared in the best of faith and with unusual care; while their errors are easily found and readily corrected. In roimd numbers the Commission estimates the entire wealth of Pennsylvania in 1892, at a true value of $9,692,000,000. Of this, $1,250,000,000 are reported as "moneyed capital." This is an obvious error, in a computation of real wealth. Moneyed capital cannot mean anythmg else than debts and credits. . . . Deducting this item there remains real "wealth" (reckoning land values as part of wealth) to the amount of $8,500,000,000. On the basis of a full report of fire insur- ance in the State, the Commission estimates that $5,000,000,000 of this amount is of an insurable nature, that is, the value of buildings and chattels. This leaves the value of the bare land (which is the only thing incapable of being destroyed by insurable risks) at about $3,500,000,000, or a trifle more than 41 per cent of the value of all wealth. . . . The entire local taxation of Pennsylvania in 1892 was $49,383,906. Of this there was levied upon real estate in various forms, $36,000,000 as follows: Taxes on "real estate" •,, 6a< fiar Taxes on railways ...,...: 2,i46,«i Taxes on other land-owning corporations about $1,200,000 say 1,208,038 $36,000,000 Sixty per cent, of this is $21,600,000; and this was the amount borne by the land values of Pennsylvania in 1892. The proportion of federal taxation which would have fallen upon Pennsylvania, had federal taxes been direct, and levied in proportion to population, as required by the Consititution, was less than $30,000,000. But if levied in proportion to land values alone, it would be about t I II I l< » 196 The Value of the Land Pt. Ill $36,000,000. These figures furnish all materials necessary to determine the effect upon Pennsylvania land-owners of a concentration of taxes upon ground-rents. Pennsylvania — Ground-rents and Taxes of i8g2. Rent at 5 per cent on $3,500,000,000 .... $175,000,000 Federal taxes 36,000,000 Local taxes 49,384,000 $85,384,000 Deduct 60 per cent of real estate taxes already paid . 21,600,000 Taxation on present net rents, if all other taxes are repealed 63,784,000 Surplus rent $111,216,000 Thus all national and local taxes, if collected only from ground-rents, would absorb less than 36 per cent of those rents in Pennsylvania, leaving to the land-owners a clear income of over $111,000,000 per anniun, besides the untaxed income from their buildings and other improvements. It will be noticed that a much smaller proportion of ground-rent seems to be required for the payment of all taxes in Pennsylvania than in the United States at large. This apparent discrepancy is due to the fact that the valuation of real estate, made by the Pennsyl- vania Commission, was 25 per cent higher than the census valuation of 1890. If the census estimates should be accepted with reference to Pennsyl- vania, as in other cases, the result would be as follows: Pennsylvania — Ground-rents in i8go — Taxes in i8g2. Land values, per census 1890 $2,810,000,000 Rent at 5 per cent $140,500,000 Federal taxes 36,000,000 Local taxes 49,384,000 $85,384,000 Deduct taxes falling on ground-rents in 1892 . . 21,600,000 Taxation on net rents of 1892, if all other taxes were repealed 63,784,000 Surplus rent $76,716,000 On the basis of the census estimates of value, therefore, the concen- tration of all taxes upon ground-rents would absorb about 45! per cent of Pennsylvania net rents. This, it will be seen, is nearly the same proportion of rent which would appear, from the census, to be sub- Bk. I Land Values 197 ject to absorption by such taxation, if applied to the United States as a whole. Article 4 — Connecticut. It appears, by the Report of the Special Commission on Taxation, in 1887, that the local taxes of Connecticut then amoimted to about $6,600,000, that the average tax rate was i| per cent but railways were separately assessed and taxed exactly i per cent. The assessed value of real estate was $251,000,000 of which land values, at the usual rate of 60 per cent, would amount to $1 50,000,000. Railway property within the State was known to be worth, at regular market prices, $62,000,000; and it was assessed at its full value, the tax being made low on accoimt of the known imder-valuation of all other property. The land value in railways, at 60 per cent, amounted to $37,000,000. The census of 1890 gives the following returns of the true market value of real estate in Connecticut. Connecticut — True Values of Real Estate, i8go. Real estate, returned as such $543,421,891 Railways 54,550,504 Mines and quarries 3,108,787 Canals, telegraphs, etc.* 14,753,310 $615,834492 Sixty per cent of this for land values amounts to $369,500,000. We can now calculate. Connecticut Ground-rents, i8go, and Taxes, 1887. Net ground-rent at 5 per cent on $369,500,000 . . $18,475,000 Federal taxes, apportioned on basis of rents . . 4,800,000 Local taxes 6,600,000 $11,400,000 Deduct taxes already Jaid on ordinary land values: 1$ 1 50,000,000 at 1 1 percent $2,812,500 . Do. on railways at i per cent . . 370,000 . ^3,182,500 Taxation on present net rents, if all others are re- pealed 8,117,500 ^ Surplus rents $10,257,500 ' The concentration of all taxes upon the ground-rents of Connecticut, therefore, would not absorb more than 44^ per cent of those net rents, * This item includes shipping. But as gas works and other immensely valuable franchises on land are not included, this item is not too large. 198 The Value of the Land Pt. Ill leaving to the land-owners a clear income of over $10,000,000 per annum, besides all their income from buildings and improvements. Article 5 — Boston, J For the purpose of solving the problem submitted by Mr. Edward Atkinson, concerning the city of Boston, let us accept his figures, although they are not brought quite up to the date of 1890, and certainly under- state the value of land. His figures are given for 1888, and are as follows: Land, assessed value $333,000,000 Buildings, assessed value 230,000,000 Personal property 201,000,000 ^ The whole amoimt of State and local taxes in Boston, in 1888, is given by Mr. Atkinson at $10,000,000 per annimi; and he estimates the national taxes at "a sum as large if not larger than all the State, county, city, and town taxes combined." But in this he is much mistaken. For many years local taxation has exceeded national tax- • ation; and as we have already shown, the State and local taxes assessed upon property by its value, exclusive of licenses, succession taxes, and many others, exceeded, in 1890, the whole amount of national expend- itures by about $113,000,000. In 1888 a direct tax of $300,000,000 would have amply suflSced to cover all the expenditures of the federal government, pensions included. Apportioned according to population, as the Constitution requires, Boston's share of such a direct tax would have been $2,100,000.^ Apportioned according to the value of the land, either with or without improvements, Boston's share of such a direct tax would have been much less than $4,500,000. The latter figure may be accepted, not only as affording stronger support to Mr. Atkinson's theory, but also as based upon just principles, in accordance with which it may be assumed that the Federal Constitution would be amended, whenever strictly direct taxation is adopted. It may be assumed with entire certainty, in this case, as in others, that the assessors' estimate of the value of real estate was based upon the theory that it was renting for at least 5 per cent per annum, net, on its capital value; for it is incredible that the assessors should have valued land at more than twenty times its annual rent. The annual rental value of the bare land of Boston in 1888 was therefore at least I Population. 1890: United States, 63,633.000; Boston, 446.0Q0, Bk. I Land Values 199 5 per cent on $333,000,000; that is to say $16,650,000. The tax rate was $13.50 per $1,000 or $4,500,000 on the bare land. On this basis, and giving the benefit of every doubt in favour of Mr. Atkinson's views, the following conclusions are reached: Boston Ground-rents and Taxes in 1888. Ground-rent at s per cent of . . . $333,000,000 $16,650,000 Federal taxes $4,500,000 Local taxes ....•..., 10,000,000 $14,500,000 Deduct taxes on land values already paid . . . 4,500,000 Taxation on present net rents, if all other taxes are repealed 10,000,000 Surplus rent $6,650,000 Thus all national and local taxes, if concentrated upon the groimd-rents actually found and assessed by the assessors of Boston, would absorb barely 60 per cent of those rents, leaving Boston land-owners a clear income of over $6,650,000 per annum, besides the imtaxed income from buildings and other improve- ments. Omissions from Boston rents. Thus far it has been assumed that the figures of Boston assessors, upon which Mr. Atkinson relies, correctly represent the market value of all Boston land. . . . But it is not necessary to enter into this question just now. Even accepting the official assessment, these figures show upon their face that the assessors have omitted from their estimates of land values in Boston some items of immense importance. Where is there any account made of the privileges conferred over and under Boston streets, upon railway, telegraph, telephone, gas, electric light, steam heating com- panies, etc.? So far as these corporations actually own, in their own names and of record, offices and buildings, over which they have ex- clusive control, like any other private land-owner, such property is assessed, but only at the same rate per square foot as other private land. But not one dollar of the value of the franchises of any of these corporations, or of the privileges which they have over and under Boston streets, is included in the asses- sor's estimate of land value. This will appear even more clearly upon examination of the assessor's annual reports. Such franchises and privileges are never assessed under the head of "land" in any State of the union. V 8 '200 The Value of the Land Pt. Ill No doubt the Boston assessors and Mr. Atkinson were astonished at the suggestion, made some years ago, that all these franchises and privileges come within the definition of "land"; but they certainly do, both imder the principles of economic science and under the plain terms of American law. They are " hereditaments," ^ which form a part of " land" under both Massachusettes^ and New York law^ although exempted from taxation by statute in New York, and by the dead hand of Chief Justice Shaw in Massachusetts. Applying this principle to raihoad, telegraph, gas, and other corporate privileges, in or over the streets of Boston, there can be no doubt that the land values appertaining to these fran- chises would be eagerly bid for at $3,000,000 per annum. The whole of this large sum is entirely omitted from the official esti- mate of ground-rents in Boston; and therefore at twenty years* purchase the land of Boston has been undervalued to the extent of $60,000,000. This estimate is confirmed by the census 1890, which shows that the real values of real estate, including these franchises, were nearly 30 per cent higher than the assessed values in Massachusetts. The official figures for Boston alone are not at present accessible; but there is every reason for believing that the undervaluation there was as great at least as in the rest of the State, since Boston has more valuable franchises than any other part of the State. In view of these facts let us revise the foregoing table, on the basis of an addition of only 25 per cent, instead of 30 per cent. Boston Ground-rents and Taxes, 1888. Corrected by Reference to Census, Ground-rent assessed as such $16,650,000 Correction of under-assessment per census . . . 4,162,000 $20,812,000 Federal taxes $4,500,000 Local taxes 10,000,000 $14,500,000 Deduct taxes on land values already paid 4,500,000 Taxation on present net rents, if all other taxes are re- pealed 10,000,000 Surplus rents $10,812,000 » Smith V. New York, 68 N. Y. SS*' "i Rev. Stat., ch. 3. S 7- •1 Rev. Stat., 750. Bk. I Land Values 201 The concentration of all taxation upon ground-rents, in Boston, would not, therefore, absorb as much as 48 per cent of those rents. Article 6 — Summary, All the foregoing calculations have been made without any precon- ceived theory as to the proportion which taxation would probably bear to rent, and without any anticipation that there would be much uniformity in the results obtained from such widely separated and widely different communities. Let us now compare these results, reck- oning the British pound at $4.85. Net ground- Additional Proportion rent, less tax taken by present tax tax Great Britain . $ 731,307,000 $433,095,000 59 % United States 1,380,000,000 616,748,000 44i% Pennsylvania Connecticut 140,500,000 18,475,000 63,784,000 8,217,000 45^% 44i% Boston 20,812,000 10,000,000 48% The uniformity of result, where the figures are based upon the same census, as in the United States at large, Pennsylvania, and Connecticut, is remarkable. In Great Britain the estimate of ground-rent does not allow a dollar for the value of vacant land or unoccupied houses, parks or pleasure grounds. The magnificent estate of Chatsworth is rated at only $3,000 per annum. An addition of one third to the values included above would be far below the truth. With such an addition, the proportion of taxes to British rents would be reduced below 44I per cent. All attainable statistics thus point to the conclusion that the entire cost of the most expensive and even extravagant governments in civilized countries could be placed upon groimd-rents, without taking in taxation even half of the present net income of land-owners from that source alone.' Section IV — Other Estimates Article i — Great Britain i8gg. The foregoing estimates are from a single source; one more, therefore, may be added adopting a different date and method. The United Kingdom is chosen, and the returns for the year 1899-1900, preceding the increase in taxation rquired by the Boer War, as representing the ! . 202 The Value of the Land Pt. Ill most normal year of a later decade. The fiftieth number of the Statis- tical Abstract for the United Kingdom is used (1888-1902), the page given refers to that upon which the returns cited may be found; only round numbers are presented. The total Imperial revenue, derived from taxes, is given (p. 9) in the year selected as nearly £100,000,000. Of this total Imperial revenue a certain amount is derived from funds representing ground- rents. An approximation of this amount might be reached by esti- mating the total Imperial taxes paid by real estate and fimds invested in land-using corporations; 60 per cent of this amount will probably approximate the taxes already paid by ground-rents. In order to estimate the amount of Imperial taxes contributed by real estate, it is necessary to discover what proportion of the income-tax is derived from that source. This be suggested as follows: Schedule A. (p. 36) gives a total income for the United Kingdom from the ownership of lands, houses, and so forth of about . . . £228,000,000 Schedule B. (p. 36) from the occupation of land 17,000,000 Schedule D. (p. 39) total derived from railwa)^, mines, gas works, water works, quarries, markets, tolls, etc 69,000,000 Total income derived directly from landed interests . . . £314,000,000 The total income assessed (p. 37) is about £565,000,000; the total revenue produced (p. 37) about £19,000,000. That portion of the total revenue of £19,000,000 produced by real estate might be estab- lished by the proportion: 314 (Mil. Ster.) : 565 = (10) : 19. In other words, the income derived from real estate (£314,000,000) will be to the total income (£565,000,000) directly as the revenue derived from real estate is to the revenue derived from total income (£19,000,000). This proportion suggests that about £10,000,000 of the income-tax is derived from landed interests. This permits the following estimate: Total Imperial Taxes Derived from Real EsUde. Estate, etc. Duties (p. 9) £14,000,000 Land-tax (p. 9) 800,000 House duty (p. 9) 1,600,000 Income-tax derived from real estate .... 10,000,000 Total Imperial taxes from real estate . . . £26,400,000 It thus seems that about £26,400,000 of the Imperial revenue was derived from interest coming under the heading real estate, or l$tnded Bk. I Land Values 203 interest. Sixty per cent of this amount may, therefore, be regarded as having been contributed from ground-rents ; or £1 5,840,000 of Imperial taxes as derived from unimproved land values in the year selected. Attention may now be (Hrected to local taxes. Total receipts for local expenditure 1899-1900 (p. 51) . Deduct Government contributions Loans £122,000,000 . £16,000,000 28,000,000 44,000,000 £ 78,000,000 This leaves approximately £78,000,000 as the amount raised by taxation proper derived from local rates, representing water, gas and electric light undertakings, tramways, tolls, rents, sales of property and so forth. No less an authority than Sir Robert Giffeni may be cited in support of the opinion that the entire incidence of local rates falls upon giound- rents. He says: "The idea of the separate rating of ground values arises from a misunderstanding of the real incidence of rates. As that burden falls ab initio upon the ground landlord, diminishing the sum of capital or income he is able to obtain for his property, there is really no separate ground value to be assessed.'* If this is the'actual incidence of rates, as many authorities believe, it follows that the amount of local revenue derived from ground-rents is 100 instead of 60 per cent of the^ total revenue. Upon this supposition, the proportion of both Imperial and local revenue combined, borne by ground-rents at present, would be much greater than 60 per cent, and the proportion of present net rents, necessary to assess, in order to raise all revenue from that one source, correspondingly less. But limiting the percentage of land values to the estimate of 60 per cent of real estate, the following results are obtained;. 60 per cent of £78,000,000 or £46,000,000 repre- senting the amount of local taxes paid by ground-rents. Total - . , revenue Impenal taxes £100,000,000 ^<^ rates 78,000,000 Total tax revenue Derived from ground-rents. £178,000,000 62,000,000 £116,000,000 Derived from ground-rents £16,000,000 46,000,000 £62,000,000 T,^^?f'!l%T^*"f^"l'!^ C.m«;„;,n on Local Taxation, p. 97. cited by Professor Smart. Taxahon of Land Values and the Single Tax. p. 46. I.' f ' 204 The Value of the Land Pt. Ill Bk. I Land Values 1 ( ^ r I? I This leaves £116,000,00 to be assessed upon present net ground- rents if all revenue were derived from these values. It now remains to estimate at what amount present ground-rents may be approximated. This may be done by taking 60 per cent of total income derived from real estate. This total has already been estimated at £314,000,000, 60 per cent of which is £188,000,000, a conservative amount at which to set the present net ground-rents of the United Kingdom. The foregoing estimates may therefore be simi- marized as follows: United Kingdom. Total tax revenue Net ground-reiits (less present tax) Additional assessment Proportion of rent assessed £178,000,000 £188,000,000 £116,000,000 61 per cent Net ground-rents . Assessment Surplus ground-rents . . £188,000,000 116,000,000 £72,000,000 In the year 1899- 1900 the entire revenue, Imperial and local, could apparently have been raised from the value of unimproved land, or economic rent, and still have left £72,000,000 of socially created wealth in the hands of individuals, together with the untaxed revenue from houses and improvements. It is imnecessary to add to the number of these estimates; they may be made for any city, state or country, where the data is available. In any systematic study, however, care should be taken to obtain the real value of the unimproved land. This real annual value is usually at least equal to the assessed annual value; plus the annual value of the franchises of all land-using corporations; plus 60 per cent of the annual taxes already paid by total real estate. The sum of these annual values will approximate the true, or imtaxed, annual value of the un- improved land, or gross economic rent. This gross rent may then be compared with the total revenue. If, for example, it is desired to discover the gross economic rent of the United Kingdom, to the pres- ent net groimd-rent should be added all taxes paid by these rents at present. The estimates of the previous illustrations show: United Kingdom — Economic Rent. Present net groimd-rents £188,000,000 Taxes already paid by ground-rents .... 62,000,000 Total imtaxed or economic rent £250,000,000 205 This gross, or economic, rent may be compared with the total revenue of £178,000,000 leaving £72,000,000 of economic rent untouched, were all revenue derived from the land. Or, again, as in the niustrations presented, taxes already paid by unimproved land — that is, 60 per cent of taxes borne by total real estate, may be deducted from total taxes, and the remainder may approximate the amount to be assessed upon present net ground-rents in a direct fiscal system, based upon sociaUy created wealth alone. Article 2 —Other Countries, Without carrying detailed calculations any farther, it may be of interest to attempt to discover to what extent those presented apply to other countries. This may be done through a study of the relations existing between total property and real estate, total earnings and tax- burden. If these relations in a number of different societies present no funda- mental distinctions between the same relations in the countries con- sidered,^ there seems ground for the opinion that the annual value of economic rent more or less approximates the same relation to revenue in other countries as in those examined. The following table ^ presents an approximation of the relations of tax burden to total earnings. Earnings Millions £. United Kingdom France . Germany Russia Austria . % Italy . . Spain Other states . Europe . United States Total 1,423 1,199 1,284 1,004 707 436 273 816 7,142 3,116 10,258 MiUion £ Sterling Nat. Local. Taxes. 79 43 102 42 85 45 84 II 69 IS 56 27 29 7 52 28 SS6 218 65 98 621 Z-i6 The following table presents the approximate relation of real to total property in the countries named. It may be found in^Mulhall's ^ 'M.M^hdM'i Industries and Wealth oj Nations, p. 53. (1 J ' 1 '. 2o6 The Value of the Land Pt. Ill Bk. I Land Values I Industries and Wealth of Nations^. The proportions have here been roughly transposed from diagrammatic to numerical relations. Proportion of Real to Total Property, United Kingdom . . . . 35 per cent. France 50 per cent. Germany 45 per cent. United States 49 per cent. Russia 50 per cent. Austria 50 per cent. Italy 52 per cent. Spain 55 per cent. Holland 49 per cent. Belgium 50 per cent. Australia 37 per cent. Canada 37 per cent. Average 46 per cent. These relations between total and real property, total earnings and total expenditure, apparently show that economic rent does not fall below the administrative requirements of a society. Such relations lead but to approximate opinion; the fairly constant nature of the series seems, however, not without significance. In any attempt to estimate the value of unimproved land in any city, state, or coimtry, it should be remembered that the available returns in many cases do not present the necessary material; or the material presented may be misleading. For example; in New Zealand the value of the unimproved land is returned 2 at about £95,000,000 for 1902. The general taxes for that year amounted to about £6,000,000 from which £3,000,000 may be deducted as derived from state owned railways, post-ofl5ces and so forth, leaving £3,000,000 to be added to about £2,500,000 of local revenue; a total tax revenue of about £5,500,- 000. At twenty years' purchase the annual value of the imimproved land returned would be but £4,750,000. Under the Land and Income Assessment Act of 1900, there was an ordinary land-tax on the actual value of the land, and an income-tax. Mortgages are subject to the land-tax at the rate of id. in the pound. In addition to the ordinary land-tax there is a graduated tax on land, rismg from one eighth of a penny in the pound on values from £5,000 to £10,000, up to twopence in the pound on values of £210,000 and upward.^ Yet, even with » Plate XXV. p. 52. • Statesman's Year Book, 1904, p. 366. ;.» Ibid., pp. 364, 365. 207 allowance for the exceptional incidence of these taxes upon unimproved values, the amount returned as such may not approximate what seems to be the normal relation as established by the returns of England and the Umted States. If this is the case, it is necessary to inquire whether the Item returned as unimproved land represented unoccupied land alone — that is, did not include land occupied by improvements. These are returned at about £60,000,000; this estimate may include improve- ments and sites. If this is the case, 60 per cent of these £60,000,000, should be added to the £95,000,000, in order to reach a closer approxi- mation of the real value of the land. It is also necessary to inquire whether in the values returned, any account had been taken of the values of the franchises of land-using corporations, and not until these had been estimated and added to the other values can even an approxi- mation to the real value of the land be obtained. These estimates suggest that the annual value of economic rent in any soaety is generally in excess of the social expenditure; or, to present a closer relation, that the entire expenditure of the societies considered might have been met in the years selected by an increased assessment of, approximately, 50 per cent upon the present net value of the un- improved rents. LI Bk. II The Land and Society 209 t •i I Book II THE TRANSITION CHAPTER I THE LAND AND SOCIETY THE annual value of unimproved land, or ground-rents, has long been recognized as personal property. These values, moreover, may represent capital recently invested, and in many instances appear in the form of corporate wealth, which, through institutions of trust, exerts a wide influence throughout the industrial life of a population. The absorption of such property by the State suggests two questions: one, with reference to the right of society to take such a step, and another, with reference to its economic con- sequences. The questions here occiu*, whether the absorption of land values does not require illegitimate confiscation of private property; whether society should compensate owners affected; and whether the financial diflSculties in such a change would not outweigh the anticipated advantages. In other words, whether a system of transposition may be conceived which does not present too great danger in its effect upon the industrial and financial life of a society. The following passage from Blackstone^ may be dted with reference to the right of society over the land it occupies. "There is nothing which so generally strikes the imagination, and engages the affections of man- kind, as the right of property; or that sole and despotic dominion which one man claims and exercises over the external things of the world, in total exclusion of the right of any other individual in the imiverse. And yet there are very few that will give themselves the trouble to consider the original and foimdation of this right. Pleased as we are with the possession, we seem afraid to look back to the means by which it was acquired, as if fearful of some defect in our title; or at best we rest satisfied with the decision of the laws in our favour, without examining ^ Blackstoue's Commentaries on tie Laws of England, Bk. 11., ch. L, p. Z. 208 the reason or authority upon which these laws have been built. We think it enough that our title is derived by the grant of the former pro- prietor, by descent from our ancestors, or by the last will and testament of the dying owner; not caring to reflect that (accurately and strictly speak- ing) there is no foundation, in nature or in natural law, why a set of words upon parchment should convey the dominion of land: why the son should have a right to exclude his fellow-creatures from a determinate spot of ground, because his father had done so before him: or why the occupier of a particular field or of a jewel, when lying on his death-bed, and no longer able to maintain possession, should be entitled to tell the rest of the worid which of them should enjoy it after him. These in- quiries, it must be owned, would be useless and even troublesome in common life. It is well if the mass of mankind will obey the laws when made, without scrutinizing too nicely into the reason for making them. But when law is to be considered not only as a matter of practice, but also as a rational science, it cannot be improper or useless to examine more deeply the rudiments and grounds of these oositive constitutions of society. " In the beginning of the worid, we are informed by holy writ, the all- bountiful Creator gave to man 'dominion over aU the earth, and over the fish of the sea, and over the fowl of the air, and over every living thing that moveth upon the earth.' This is the only true and solid foundation of man's dominion over external things, whatever airy metaphysical notions may have been started by fanciful writers upon this subject. The earth, therefore, and all things therein, are the general property of all mankind, exclusive of other beings, from the immediate gift of the Creator." Thus, in seeking the ultimate foundations upon which property rights in land repose, the position is met, stated in Blackstone's words, that the earth is the "general property of all mankind." It seems necessary, therefore, to accept the administrative decisions of society as the inter- pretation of these rights, from which there is, apparently, no appeal. Without going into elaborate discussion of Roman law in connexion with land, it may be said that modern European systems of land tenure are derived from Rome through the feudal systems, which involved the holding of land upon condition of certain payments to the Crown, or to society. These payments often, in fact nearly always, took the form ofmiUtar y service. Blackstone^ may again be cited: "The other ancient * Ibid. Bk. X., ch. viii., pp. 300-3x0. t- " 310 The Transition Pt. Ill levies were in the nature of the modem land-tax: for we may trace up the original of that charge as high as to the introduction of our military tenures : when every tenant of a knight's fee was bound, if called upon, to attend the king in his army for forty days in every year. But this personal attendance growing troublesome in many respects, the tenants found means of compounding it, by first sending others in their stead and in process of time by making a pecuniary satisfaction to the crown in lieu of it. This pecimiary satisfaction at last comes to be levied by assessments, at so much for every knight's fee, under the name of scut- ages; which appear to have been levied for the first time in the fifth year of Henry the Second, on account of his expedition to Toulouse, and were then, I apprehend, mere arbitrary compositions, as the King and the subject could agree. ... Of the same nature with scutages upon knight's fees were the assessments of hydage upon all other lands, and of talliage upon cities and burghs. But they all gradually fell into disuse upon the introduction of subsidies, about the tune of King Richard II. and King Henry IV. . . . By a variety of statutes imder Edward I. and his grandson, it was provided that the King shall not take any aids or tasks, any talliage or tax, but by the common assent of the great men and Commons in Parliament." But one result could be expected from these changing conditions; a slow but no less certain shifting of original public burdens from the land to the people. The feudal system, which as Blackstone* says, Sir Henry Spelman does not scruple to call the "law of nations in our west- cm world," required the systematic allotment of lands in retum for ser- vice rendered to the community. " These allotments were called /eoJa, feuds, fiefs, or fees; which last appellation lq the northern language sig- nifies a conditional stipend or reward. Rewards or stipends they evi- dently were," says Blackstone, "and the condition annexed to them was, that the possessor should do service faithfully, both at home and in the wars, to him by whom they were given; for which purpose he took the jur amentum fidelitatis, or oath of fealty: and in case of the breach of this condition and oath, by not performing the stipulated service, or by deserting the lord in battle, the lands were again to revert to him who granted them." The feudal system, in its original form, thus derived a large portion of the national resources from the land; and this portion, with changing conditions, has been much diminished, until out of relation to the orig-^ >Ibid. Bk.IL.ch. iv., pp. 43. 45. Bk. II The Land and Society 211 inal obligations. Says Cobden,* in this connexion: "For a period of one hundred and fifty years after the conquest, the whole of the revenue of the country was derived from the land. During the next hundred and fifty years it yielded nineteen twentieths of the revenue — for the next century down to the reign of Richard III, it was nine tenths. During the next seventy years to the time of Mary it fell to about three fourths. From this time to the end of the Commonwealth, land appeared to have yielded one half the revenue. Down to the reign of Anne, it was one fourth.^ In the reign of George I it was one fifth. In George the Second's reign, it was one sixth. For the first thirty years of George the Third's reign, the land yielded one seventh of the revenue. From 1 793 to 1816 (during the period of the property tax) land contributed one ninth. From that time to the present, one twenty-fifth only of the revenue had been derived directly from land. Thus the land, which anciently paid the whole of taxation, paid now only a fraction or one twenty-fifth, not- withstanding the immense increase that had taken place in the value of the rentals. The people had fared better under the despotic monarchs than when the powers of the state had fallen into the hands of a landed oligarchy, who had first exempted themselves from taxation, and next claimed compensation for themselves by a corn law for their heavy and peculiar burdens." Again, between land and other forms of property, there exists a fun- damental difference; a difference which suggests that " equity and right reason" demand administrative distinctions between land and other wealth. Says Judge Arthur O'ConnerS K. C, with reference to this distinction: "Now, between land and every other form of property there is an obvious, abiding, and essential difference. Every other form of prop- erty is transitory^ wasting and destructible, the temporary production of human industry, obtained by labour out of the material which the land suppUes ; but the land is not of human production : and as no man made it so, no man can destroy it; 'no man, however feloniously inclined, can run away with an acre of it.' Man's very body is built up of its substance; he is taken from it, and wHl return to it; while he lives, he must Kve and labour on its surface. Equity and right reason would appear to suggest that the product of human industry should be the absolute property of the person or persons that created it, whether the * speech in the House of Commons, Monday evening, March X4th, 184a. » Pinal Report of the Royal Commission on Local Taxation, p. 179^ 212 The Transition Pt. Ill creation be of food, or habitation, or instrument, or any other thing. But with land it is different. Equity and right reason here suggest that, as access to the face of the globe is for mankind a necessary condition of existence, and yet land is incapable of creation by human industry, the same rule of absolute and exclusive ownership cannot apply. On the point the law of England is in accord with common sense; and according to that law, land is not the subject of absolute property. *No man is, in law, the absolute owner of lands. He can only hold an estate in them,' and that estate he holds imder the Crown as representative of the commimity. "It is then in accordance at once with reason, equity, and the law, to say that England belongs to the English; that the land of England, with all that is beneath its surface, and all that it produces by the imassisted force of nature belongs to the people of England. Whatever may at any time be the authorised occupation of its surface, or any part of it, however turned to accoimt — well or ill, or not at all — however its resources, in whatever hands, may be developed or neglected, it is true to say collectively that the land of England belongs to the people of England." The following conclusions are thus suggested: 1. The ownership of land is finally vested in the society which occupies it. 2. The administrative decisions of society, through its authorized representatives, are the only interpretation of this right of ownership. 3. The right of society to assess contributions upon the land under its jurisdiction is not only complete, but the foimdation of present system of land tenure. It seems unessential to extend inquiry farther. European systems are derived through the feudal system from a common origin in Rome. Eastern systems seem more or less analogous to earlier European methods. CHAPTER II THE DIRECT ASSESSMENT OF LAND VALUES CONFISCATION AND COMPENSATION j4 NOTHER question demanding attention refers to the economic /% effects of devoting to social purposes values recognized as y \ private property for generations; values, moreover, which form the basis for an incalculable number of other values, and consequently, enter into the industrial and financial fabric of society. Unimproved land values, again, are almost as varied in nature as any other form of property; and, in consequence, present proportionately varied subjects for fiscal attention. Great tracts in the entailed owner- ship of a noble family, or appropriated by capitalist or corporation, in the early days of a community's existence and representing a large unearned increment, do not present the same kind of value as the land owned and used by the agriculturist, or recently purchased at its full value with the savings of labour and industry. Other difficulties arise. The following table shows that in England the smaller holdings of land are divided among a much greater number of individuals than the larger holdings. Distribution of Land^ 1,000 persons own about 30,000,000 acres averaging 30,000 each. 4,000 " " " 20,000,000 " " 5,000 " 10,000 " " " 10,000,000 " " 1,000 50,000 " " " 9,000,000 " ** 130 130,000 " " " 1,750,000 " « 13 ti u Increased assessments upon the larger holdings of one person require the proportionate assessment of the smaller holdings of a great number of persons. Thus, estimates showing the anomalies of the present system may be used to show that in order to reach socially created wealth, in the hands of a few freeholders, it is necessary to tax a disproportionate number of smaller holdings. These considerations invite others. When i t is under stood that the smaller holdings change hands much of tener than ^English and Irish Land Question, p. 2., Mr. Shaw Lefevre, M. P., quoted from Herbert SPenar OH the Land Question, p. 25. 213 214 The Transition Pt. ni Bk. II The Direct Assessment of Land Values 2IS > '1 the larger, and therefore represent, actually and relatively, less increased value in the possession of the owners, and may, in many instances, represent no increased value, conditions are met which may make the most enthusiastic advocate of land taxation pause. As Mr. Spencer ^ once wrote, "had we to deal with the parties who originally robbed the himian race of its heritage, we might make short work of the matter. But, imfortunately, most of our present land-owners are men who have either mediately or immediately — either by their own acts or by the acts of their ancestors — given for their estates equivalents of honestly earned wealth, believing that they were investing their savings in a legit- imate manner. To justly estimate and liquidate the claims of such, is one of the most intricate problems Society will one day have to solve." Does this problem admit of solution? Is there any method, capable of practical application, which will permit the absorption by society of socially created wealth without injustice to owners of land representing no such wealth? In other words, is it possible to distinguish between the earned and imeamed value of the land? Can land, which has returned its original cost many times over to its possessors, and which may be worth as many times the original outlay to-day, be distinguished from land purchased but yesterday at its full value, representing the savings and labour of a life time? Two urban land-owners may hold properties side by side; one an inheritance, entailed for generations, representing thousands or millions in increased values, due to social causes; the other, perhaps, fimds re- cently invested, held by fiduciary organization or trustee; can these values be proportionately estimated and assessed? Can the land priv- ileges of a great and long established corporation, be fairly valued and assessed in the same way and at the same rate as the recently acquired holding of the peasant proprietor? Such questions demand definite answers; generalized considerations fail to meet them. They must be met with specific replies, if the sub- ject of using social wealth for social needs is ever to have a hearing by the majority of the middle classes; moreover, its ultimate acceptance or rejection, like that of all other political institutions, depends upon these middle classes, not only on account of equity and right reason, but because of the important pecuniary interests involved. In no country is the land all held by dukes, capitalists, and great corporations; a glance at the list of English holdings, which represent perhaps the ■Ibid. p. 33, reprinted from Social Statics, i8sx. greatest concentration, shows that 190,000 taxpayers hold 1,000 acres or less, while only 5,000 possess larger holdings. An increased assess- ment upon 5,000 holdings, involves an analogous step with reference to 190,000, while the latter may represent a smaller amoimt of socially created wealth, both actually and relatively, or no such wealth at all. These considerations present one of the greatest difliculties in the ap- plication of social wealth to social needs. If the "unearned increment,*' in the hands of the great corporation or city landlord, is to be assessed and absorbed by society, how can that value invested in land, repre- senting full purchase price and no "unearned increment," be pro- portionately valued and assessed; or, rather, proportionately escape assessment? The absorption of the one involves the exemption of the other to a certain extent; the first representing value given to the land by the community, for which nothing has been paid; the other, on the contrary, the full market price of such value, very dearly paid, perhaps, by labour and industry. Mill^ meets the diflSculty by suggesting the recognition of values existing at a given date, and the subsequent assessment of increased values. Such a suggestion is open to objectiohs; chief among which are its complexity, the opportunity for fraud, and the fact that it takes no note of existing disparities in the control of socially created wealth. The following is another method: The direct assessment of unimproved land values is op>en to the objection of imequal burden imposed, on account of the difference in the nature of these values. Many of those differences may be referred to differences in period of tenure; land held for a long period usually representing a more or less proportionate increase in value, as com- pared with land recently purchased. Two pieces of adjoining urban property may be considered. One, inherited by a great proprietor, has returned its original cost many times over in rent, and still represents many times the original outlay in its present market price, the other property, supposedly but recently purchased at its full value, with savings or funds of an institution of trust. The values of the two properties may be regarded as equal, but it is evident that the same contribution from each brings different burdens to their owners; the first owner being in possession of many times the original investment, both in rent aheady paid and still existing values; the second owner, possessin g his original investment alone. Contribution assessed upon ^Principles of Political Economy. Bk. V., ch. U., f $, p. 493, 2l6 The Transition Pt. Ill I • I 11 t the first property is, in the opinion of Mill, "liable to no valid objection"; these values, to cite the same authority^ again, holding the principal place as " fit subjects for peculiar taxation ! '^ In assessing and absorbing such values as these, the society does not withdraw property from the hands of individuals; it ceases to continue a process of contribution. No question arises, apparently, with reference to either confiscation or compensation, the society simply ceases to contribute the wealth which it creates to its individual members. On the other hand, absorption of the second value is in no way in harmony with either justice or right reason; for not only is the individual in possession of no socially created wealth, but the society, in checking ground-rents, seems to repudiate obligations it has tacitly assumed; and may create great financial confusion in so doing. How then, may this difficulty be bridged? It is obvious that no alteration in existing fiscal systems could be wisely contemplated, except as a measure adopted with care, and rep- resenting a gradual, thoroughly regulated, process; extending over a period of time as long as necessary, occupying perhaps the life of a generation or longer, if desirable. There would thus occur a slow and progressive absorption of land values from a small percentage of their total until complete. This progressive process may be carried on in different ways: either all unimproved values could be brought at once under fiscal influence, or they could be divided into, say, ten classes, representing ten different periods of tenure; that is, classes based upon date of title; the first class including the oldest titles to the use of land at present in force, the tenth class the most recent. The intermediate classes would represent intermediate titles, classified with reference to date of possession. In this way, the older titles, representing in the majority of cases, the greater amount of unearned increment, could be first assessed; while the later titles could be exempt from contribution for any satisfactory period. Thus, if lo per cent were the amount first assessed upon the oldest titles, after a given period, ID per cent would be assessed upon the second division and 20 upon the first; after the lapse of the next period, 30 per cent of the oldest rents could be absorbed and 10 per cent of the values in the third class. When 100 per cent had been reached in the older titles, the process ceases and the later values would gradually fall under the same system. Apian of this nature might eliminate certain difficulties. The ques- » rrincipUs of Political Economy. Bk. V., ch. iii., $ 6, p. 502. Bk. II The Direct Assessment of Land Values 217 tion of compensation to the more recent land-owners would apparently right itself for the following reasons. The two adjoining urban prop- erties may again be considered: the land values of the first property might be in the first class with reference lo title; those of the second in the tenth class. Two and one half years may be adopted as the period of assessment and lo per cent the amount assessed. The first property, upon the adoption of a direct fiscal system, would be assessed at once lo per cent of its unimproved rental vaue, and its market value would be proportionately diminished. On the other hand, the land of the second property would be exempt and need not Himin kh in value; it might, on the contrary, relatively increase in value. Thus, the action of a slow and progressive system need inflict no loss on recent land-owners. After a period of two and one half years, the older prop- erty would contribute 20 per cent of its unimproved rental value, and not until twenty-five years have elapsed would the newer property be taxed at all, and then only to the extent of 10 per cent of its site value; not until fifty years had passed, would it be paying as much the adjoining property. During that time, the land might change hands many times; the first owner, owing to the exemption of his land from tax burdens, perhaps being able to sell at a profit. Subsequent owners, being conscious of what contribution they would be expected to pay, woifld govern their prices accordingly. There are certain objections to this method not to be overlooked. The most important is, that precedence in title need not represent proportionate increase in value. Two pieces of land representing the same original investment at the same time may vary in- definitely in value, directly and relatively. Again, a recent title may suddenly become enormously valuable, and an older one present a loss. This suggests the classification of land with reference to increased value, rather than with reference to date of title. Such a classification would doubtless be the more desirable, were it possible; but the neces- sity of establishing the value of the original investment would, in all likelihood, place it beyond the realm of the practicable; there is ap- parently no method by means of which the original cost of land coifld be exactly determined. This difficulty may be partly avoided by means of classification based upon existing values, rather than period of owner- ship. Such a classification would present advantages, for through it not only could the most valuable urban sites and franchise values DJ i jl 2l8 The Transition Pt. Ill be brought within the fiscal horizon, but these, as the most valuable, would probably present, actually if not relatively, the greatest amount of unearned increment. This, however, need not always be the case; for the greatest values may in many instances represent the latest purchases. And here occurs the thought of combining the two methods of classification in a way that might preserve the advantages of both, while eliminating a portion at least of their difficulties. This method of classification may be formulated. K one series of ten classes of land values is arranged with reference to periods of tenure, and another with reference to values, a third series may be formed by means of these two combined. Thus, if the first series is numbered I — ID in respect of date, and the second series i' — lo' in respect of value, the basis is established for a third classification, founded upon the other two; ranging from 2" — to 20." The advantages of this third classification will be as follows: If it is supposed that a certain rental value falls into class i with reference to title, and i' with reference to value, it would fall into class 2" as far as suitability for absorption is concerned — that is, would represent simultaneously the oldest title and highest value. Land falling into classes 10 and 10' in relation to date and value, would be in class 20" jrith reference to suitability for taxation; that is, would represent the latest title and lowest values and would be correspondingly free from fiscal burdens. A piece of land representing an old title but small value would fall into classes i and 10', thus be included in class 11," and occupy an intermediate position between the most and least suitable values. As the greatest unearned increment in land is almost in- variably found where the longest period of tenure is combined with the greatest value; this method of classification seems to present the possibility of reaching socially created wealth in the form of land values approximately in proportion to the socially created wealth involved. Example: The land of any area may be arbitrarily classified as A, B, C, D, and so forth, for the sake of identification, thus: Land A B C D E P G ' H I K refers to specific properties belonging to certain owners. Bk. II The Direct Assessment of Land Values 219 If the same land is classified with reference to period of tenure, the following order might be obtained: Classification with reference to period of tenure. A B C D E F G H I K 1 10 2 6 S 9 7 4 5 8 If the same land is again classified with reference to values, the following order might occur : Classification with reference to values. A B C D E F G H I E 1' 8' 8' 9' 10' 2' 6' 4' 5' r i In^ combining these two series by simple addition a new series is obtained. Classification with reference to tenure and value combined. A B C D E F G H I K 1 10 2 6 8 9 7 4 5 8 1' 8' 3' 9' 10' 2' 6' 4' 5' 7' 2" 18" 5" 15" 18" 11" 18" 8" 10" 15" Ist 8th 2nd 7th 6th 5th 6th 8rd 4th 7th The series 2", 18", 5", 15", and so on would serve to approximate the relative availability of the values considered; in other words would serve to establish the relative amount of socially created wealth they m 220 The Transition Pt. Ill Bk. II The Direct Assessment of Land Values 221 represent. Land A would be the first available, presenting the oldest title and greatest value combined; Land B would be the least suitable and consequently exempt as long as desirable; Land E would be third with reference to title, and tenth with reference to value, but together with land G, sixth with reference to these combined. There are many methods of classifying titles with sunultaneous reference to age and value; differentials, coefficients, and logarithmic calculations may be used. It may be useful, under certain conditions, to give greater or less relative prominence to value and period of tenure; value, for instance, being of greater importance in new neighbourhoods; period of tenure in long established areas. Again, in certain cases, it might be advantageous to begin with varying relative percentages. Fifty per cent or more might be the first assessment upon the very highest and oldest values, other percentages decreasing in proportion to values involved. Periods of assessment could be varied; they could be briefer with reference to the highest values and proportionately longer as values decreased. The subject is capable of endless modifica- tion in application. The method presented is but the simplest illus- tration of the possibility of such combined classification. A method of this nature suggests a means of reaching socially created wealth while inflicting no injury upon lately acquired property, or that which repre- sents no unearned values. Local conditions would doubtless modify methods of simultaneous classification, yet, as a general principle, it seems that a progressive system of assessment, progressively applied, in order of value and period of possession combined, presents a means of absorbing social wealth which need inflict no actual loss. Where society but ceases to pour its wealth at the feet of individuals, no cause for com- pensation occurs. Again, where later and smaller titles are carefully respected, and exempt from assessment as long as necessary to inflict no loss, it is obvious, where no loss is occasioned, that no cause for com- pensation exists. Classifications of this nature may be made largely independently of the testimonies of land-owners, which gives them advantage over methods involving interested statements. Dates of titles are in most cases on record, and land values may be approximated by methods to be discussed. It is evident that these classifications would be of value only during a temporary period of transition; their object being but to exempt small and recently acquired holdings from relatively unjust contribution. This transitory period passed, all land would fall under the same influence. Students of Mr. Herbert Spencer's earlier works are familiar with the views presented in Social Statics (185 1) in favour of the policy usually called **Land Nationalization'' or the "resumption" of the land by the commimity. Mr. Spencer's subsequent studies led him to reject these earlier opinions and his matured conclusions are reviewed in Justice (1891). Mr. Spencer there presents three reasons for the modification of views expressed in Social Statics. These reasons may be sum- marized as follows: (i) The fact that in England a sum equal to £500,000,000 had been contributed from the land to the commimity during the past three centuries in the form of poor rates ;^ (2) the question of compensation seems to involve such difficulty and in- justice that the resumption of the land by the community would cause more loss than gain;^ (3) the ''vices of officialism." "When we see," says Mr. Spencer,^ "that alike in despotic Russia, in con- stitutional Italy, as well as in democratic France and America, public agents of all grades, from ministers down to police officers, cannot be trusted — very often will not do the right thing without a bribe, and will perpetually do the wrong thing when a bribe is given — we can scarcely expect public oversight of land-owners to be efficient." None of these considerations apply to a direct fiscal system as here imderstood. They may be briefly reviewed. I. The fact that a certain sum had been contributed in charity by the land to the community, during a period extending over three hun- dred years in the past, has slight relation to the advantages or disadvantages of a specific fiscal system to be put in operation in the present or the future. Again, as poor-rates, or what the land has contributed to the commimity, are but a portion of taxation; and, as ground-rents, or what the community contributes to the land, must apparently always have been greater than total taxation, it seems to follow that the value which the community has given to the land, in the form of ground-rents, must be in excess of what the land has given to the commimity in the form of poor-rates, leaving a balance due from the land to the community. * Justice, 189X, HerbertSpencer on the Land Question, p. 2a. * Ibid., p. 37. • Ibid., p. 27 ' Ibid., p. 39. 222 The Transition Pt. Ill n. The second consideration, with reference to compensation of expropriated land-owners does not seem final in the present instance. No land-owners need be expropriated; for the reversion to public ownership and control of land, as suggested in Mr. Spencer's earlier studies, is not involved with the policy imder discussion. The genuine difficulties with reference to small and recent holdings might be largely eliminated by means of a progressive system of land value classification and assessment progressively applied to socially created wealth alone, with the proportionate exemption of small and recently acquired values. If this can be done, by means of simul- taneous classification of value and period of tenure, no loss is in- flicted upon individuals, and, consequently no cause for compen- sation created. The owners of the oldest and most valuable site and franchise values would find the return from these slowly dim- inishing, through a period of years as long as necessary to cause no financial confusion; while, at the same time, revenue from plants and improvements would be increased through the repeal of burdens upon these. in. It may be said that Mr. Spencer's third consideration wirii reference to the "vices of officialism" does not apply for the fol- lowing reasons: A single direct system is not involved with "land nationalization," "resumption by the commimity," "public manage- ment," "public control" or "public ownership" in any way not recognized at present. On the contrary, if anything has been de- monstrated in fiscal history, it is the "vices of officialism," and the freeing of society from these may be regarded as among the most important advantages to be hoped from a direct policy. Indirect taxation is the fundamental cause of the "vices of officialism"; where the cause is eliminated, some diminution in the effect might be ex- pected. It is imfortunate that Mr. Spencer did not turn his attention to a direct system, based upon social wealth, as distinct from public control or management of land. His conclusions are, briefly stated,^ as follows: "While, as shown in Chapter XI., I adhere to the inference originally drawn, that the aggregate of men forming the community are the su- preme owners of the land — an inference harmonizing with legal doctrine and daily acted upon in legislation — a fuller consideration of the matter has led me to the conclusion that individual ownership, 1 Ibid., p. 33. Cf. JusUu, Appendix B. Bk. II The Direct Assessment of Land Values 223 subject to State suzerainty, should be maintained." He refers to the subject in the closing chapter of his Autobiography,^ in the same terms concluding that "individual ownership under State- suzerainty ought to continue." These finaUy formulated positions of Mr. Spencer seem in no way out of harmony with the fiscal system here considered. >.Voi. n., p. 536. m s I! Bk. II The Repeal of Indirect Taxes 225 1 CHAPTER in THE REPEAL OF INDIRECT TAXES Section I — Tariff-Weapon Taxes, Section II — Protective Taxes, Section III — Revenue Taxes, Section I— Tariff- Weapon Taxes THE repeal of indirect taxes involves important difficulties. For examination with reference to repeal these taxes may be classified as above. A study of the imposition of indirect burdens, upon revenue and protective measures, in order to arm a nation diplomatically, may suggest that, in abandoning this process, a nation will not only lose nothing, but gain at once aU the advantages the process could create; besides avoiding its dangers and expense. These tariff-weapon taxes were imposed for no purpose other than exchange for foreign taxes. If the exchange can be effected, the Uxes should be repealed at once. If not, their retention is without purpose. The moment they are repealed, in exchange for other taxes, they realize the sole significance of their existence. If they cannot be so exchanged, their existence has no significance and they cause nothing but harm. If, therefore, the statesmen who imposed these taxes did so in the proper way; that is, in such a way that they may be repealed without affecting protective or revenue measures, they may be removed at any time with safety. Section II — Protective Taxes Article i — Exporting Industries. A widely extended system of protective schedules is among the most serious difficulties in the modification of existing fiscal methods. A progressive system, progressively applied, seems to be the least disad- vantageous method of approaching the subject. Protective taxes may be divided into two classes: Taxes benefiting exporting industries, and taxes supporting industries supplying the 224 home market alone. There is reason to believe that the majority of exporting industries require no protective taxation. For an industry which can undersell the foreigner in his own market to demand pro- tection at home seems more or less inconsistent, economically considered. Such taxes do little but create abnormal prices in the domestic market, and a demand for more taxes abroad. Viewed in the light of economics, import duties affecting exporting industries could in many, if not in the majority of cases, be removed with little effect other than the check- ing of swollen profits and prices. On the other hand, such a step would be neither wise nor desirable on account of the securities involved. Here Ues the most important difficulty with reference to the removal of indirect taxation. No step, therefore, which would suddenly affect these values could be safely entertained. This suggests the careful consideration, as far as possible, of every interest affected, and a gradual reduction of protective taxes of this kind, continued over a period of years long enough to occasion no violent fluctuations. Article 2 — Domestic Industries. The second class of protective taxes suggests other considerations. These taxes are presumed to affect industries supplying the home market alone. The industries affected by taxes of this nature may or may not depend upon the taxes for their existence. If not, the same considerations are met, but where industries are actually dependent upon indirect taxes for their existence, the gradual removal of the taxes would destroy the industries and throw the labour out of employment at once; besides checking earning powers and destroying values. Duties affecting industries of this kind could remain intact as long as necessary to insure industrial and financial security. Ten or twenty years might be ample to allow for a readjustment of the values and capital concerned, and would avoid any sudden displacement of labour. Again, it may be said that the repeal of protective restrictions upon trade, markets, and consumption will lower prices upon many forms of raw material; these lowered prices rendering certain industries possi- ble which existing high prices and restrictions place beyond the reach of the people. Capital will thus flow into untaxed and unrestricted channels, with the result that a newer and broader basis for the demand for labour may come into existence. Values now checked and stifled V I; , 226 The Transition Pt. Ill by taxes upon running expenses will find new life, and many securities, either dormant or non-existent to-day, may be brought into active being, thus creating compensating considerations with reference to the dangers of eliminating protective duties — dangers, however, which should never be neglected. Protection, it may also be remembered, may be continued under a direct system to any extent, with reference to any industry for any length of time. The direct subsidy is more effective and less expensive, as a protective measure, than the import duty. The direct subsidy could always be used where required to avoid complication. Section HI — Revenue Taxes Taxes of this nature present relatively little difficulty in their removal, revenue, excise, and octroi duties may be lifted from commodities with comparatively slight danger. Nevertheless, important financial inter- ests may be involved with the action of these taxes, and no sudden effects should be caused. The gradual and progressive principle again occurs. Revenue taxes might be classified with reference to the amount produced and their relative importance in the industrial and financial life of the society. By means of these classifications, taxes could be gradually removed in such a way that the smallest values and those least interfering with industrial life would be first repealed, others remaining in abeyance as long as conditions required. Direct taxes on all forms of personal property, houses, improvements, incomes, plants, rolling stock, mortgages, and credits would offer no difficulty; the contributors being relieved of an unnecessary burden with no disadvantageous results. In any radical change of existing systems, the period of transition is the most critical consideration. This period of readjustment would require great care; for artificial y created and supported values would be foimd on every hand demanding conservation if disaster is to be avoided. In general, it may be said that a progressive system, pro- gressively applied, and especially designed for the purpose of protecting all values, and avoiding sudden and violent fluctuations, would be the only way in which conditions of this kind could be met. CHAPTER IV the establishment of land values Two sites adjoin in a metropolitan centre; one vacant, the other occupied by a remunerative building investment. Should these two sites be estimated and assessed at the same value, one yielding a large return to the owner, the other nothing? Again, perhaps one of the sites is occupied by a new and valuable building, the other by an older, smaller, but still paying im- provement; should the less productive site contribute on the same basis as the more productive? Can, or should, in this way, a more or less hypothetical value be placed upon land irrespective of actual returns? Analogous questions arise with reference to agricultural land. Is it possible, in workable form, to divorce those values represented by the cultivation of generations, and improvements due to drainage, grading, hedging, planting, fencing and so on, from the value of the mere sur- face of the soil? How may the two kinds of value be distinguished which together form the total value of a water works: one represented by its pipes, plant, power, and machinery, and the other by the area occupied in its distributive functions? What is the value of that portion of the street of a city used by a tramway or omnibus corporation? How much is the tunnel worth, constructed by an underground trans- portation company? Telephone or cable companies use relatively little of the surface of the earth; their wires or cables may be stretched overhead, under the ground, or under the sea; at what amoimt, however, should be valued the land which they do use? How much is the long strip of desert worth, unable perhaps to support a blade of grass, yet which supports the daily traffic of a great transcontinental railway system? At what amount may be estimated that small portion of the earth in a wilderness, occupied by the shaft of a mine? Questions such as these demand definite answers if land values, representing social wealth, are ever to take their natural place in fiscal and industrial life. The w ords of Lord Farrar^ present some of these difficulties. He ^Memoranda presenUd to The Royal Commission on Local Taxation, p. 82, quoted by Professor Smart Taxation of Land Values, and the Single Tax, p. 75. 227 ft- I 228 The Transition Pt. Ill says, speaking of site rating: "I doubt whether any such scheme is practicable. In the first place the land and the house have not, for purposes of valuation, any separate existence. Valuers, no doubt, say they can value them separately, and Mr. Chaplin's Agricultural Rating Act may be quoted as a precedent, if, indeed that unfortunate Act can be quo led as a precedent for anything. Valuers will, no doubt, put a valuation on anything, whether they know anything about it or not, but the question is what real basis have they for their valuation. The only ultimate basis of a valuer's knowledge is his e3q)erience of actual market values; and as the land and the houses upon it are sold and let together, no such basis can exist for a separate value of the two things. A valuer's judgment is limited by his experience and where there is no experience his judgment is untrustworthy." Perhaps the most interesting body of material with reference to the practical application of direct rating of land values is found in the Final Report of the Royal Commission on Local Taxation. The Members of the Commission are men accustomed to the administration of practi- cal affairs; men whose names are synonymous with ability and integrity. The subject is examined with thoroughness, numerous witnesses develop almost every side of the question, and apparently exhaust the most authoritative sources of information. The majority of the Conunission not only reported against the measure, but against the mild form suggested with reference to local taxation alone. The Min- ority Report concludes^ that the rating of site values, if adopted under certain very conservative conditions, "would show that there is no large undeveloped source of taxation available for local purpose, and still less for national purposes." A few citations from the Commission's^ Final Report follow: "Mr. Vigers, President of the Surveyor's Institution, stated that sites and structures could be valued separately if the buildings were suitably situated, but he pointed out the difl&culty where this is not the case, and thought that such a system was not advisable on the groimd that it would involve a double valuation and lead to expense and friction. "Mr. H. A. Hunt thought that it would be very difficult to value sites and structures separately, and very expensive. He stated that in making valuations at the present time, he never divided site from structure. Bk. II The Establishment of Land Values 229 1 Final Report of Commission on Local Taxation, p. 176. s Ibid., pp. 4it 42. "Mr. Rickman pointed out that each site would have to be valued separately, and that it would be very difficult to deal with the case of restrictive covenants and rights of adjoining owners, which vary very much. "Mr. Sabin . . . pointed out that difficulties would arise where the ground -rent of a leasehold was relatively large, and represented a first charge on the building, and not merely the value of the bare land. In such a case the freeholder, if he were the party in receipt of the full ground-rent, would desire not to be assessed on the whole annual sum reserved under the lease, while the lessee would hold that the whole was site value. Such disputes would be reduced in proportion to the closeness of the definition adopted. Other difficulties would arise which definition would not so readily avoid; as, where the capabilities of the site were not easily determinable; where the concurrence of two or more freeholders might be necessary to secure the best use; and where rights of adjoining properties to light and air might be undeter- minable quantities. "Mr. Mathews, land agent and surveyor, of Birmingham, thought that though it was possible to put a separate value on site and structure, it was not practicable, as it would involve an inquiry into the most productive use the land could be put to. He also thought that the proposed system would give rise to endless litigation." Other difficulties are presented when the varying nature of site values is understood. Mr. Fox,^ Secretary of the Conunission, asks the fol- lowing question: "A, the ground-landlord, lets a site for £io a year to B, the builder. B spends £i,ooo in building, and lets the house for £70 to C. B thus receives £60 net, or 6 per cent on his outlay, which we may assume to be the ordinary rate of builders' profits. "The neighbourhood improves, and after a while C lets the house for £100 a year to D. C thus receives £30 net. "The ratable value of the house is now £100, and the site value is £40. "Who is the owner or recipient of that site value? • "A, the ground-landlord, clearly has £10 of it, and no more. But who has the remaining £30? " Before entering into a more or less detailed examination of the sub- ject, Adam Smith may be consulted. He says,^ after observing that "nothing could be more reasonable than that a fund which owes its » The Rating of Land Values, p. 39. i } The Wealth of Nations. Bk. V., ch. ii., p. 438. )i- 4 ■ 230 The Transition Pt. Ill f< I existence to the good government of the State should be taxed pecul- iarly." "Though, in many different coimtries of Europe, taxes have been imposed upon the rent of houses. I do not know of any in which groimd rents have been considered as a separate subject of taxation. The contrivers of taxes have, probably, found some difficulty in ascer- taining what part of the rent ought to be considered as ground rent, and what part ought to be considered as building rent. It should not, however, seem very difficult to distinguish those two parts of the rent from one another." This distinction may be approximated in the following way. Commercial and industrial properties are first considered: railways, water, and gas companies, office buildings, and so forth. If, from the total earnings of the property, that is, of land and improvement ^gether, are deducted all taxes, repairs, and operating expenses, together with an ample allowance on capital invested in improvements, there will be a remainder which represents no form of fixed charge with reference to improvements; it will, therefore, apparently represent the net annual value of the land alone. It seems, moreover, that this method may be applied to all forms of commercial, franchise, and mineral values. It may be used to estimate the value of the land privileges of a cable, or a wireless telegraph, company; of the value of the rights to the use of the streets of an omnibus corporation or the mineral privileges of a mining enterprise. The capital value of a franchise may be reached by deducting from the market value of all securities issued against it, the total value of all tangible property owned by the corporation; the average rate of money will then approximate the annual value con- sidered. All land values, under a direct fiscal system, would be registered. The mere fact of registration would in the course of time, act as a final method of establishing values of all kinds from the franchise of a great railway to the site of a house. With reference to idle or partly developed property, it may be said that within certain limitations, the use a man may choose to make of his land is of no concern to the community. Its value, however, is of interest, as having been created by the community and belonging apparently to it. Ground-rents, therefore, if ever applied to social needs, should be based upon the most productive use to which land may be put. Where this is done, irrespective of actual use, the society either insures the most productive occupation of the land, or involves its members with no loss through the action of individuals. Bk. II The Establishment of Land Values 231 The conclusions of the majority of the Royal Commission were opposed to the separate rating of land values "on account of the diffi- culty, and uncertainty of the proposed system of valuation." These con- clusions were, however, not held by all the members of the Commission. A Minority Report^ says: "On the whole we are disposed to think that a valuation of sites, sufficiently accurate for the purpose and not inferior to the present valuation of hereditaments, could be made without undue labour and expense. The evidence afforded by sales and leases of sites constitutes, we believe, an adequate basis for an expert's judgment, and the valuation so made can in most cases be checked by deducting the value of the structure (i e., a percentage on the normal cost of reproduction) from the rack-rent of the whole property. Such a valuation could obviously be made only by a pro- fessional expert, though the data and inferences on which it is based can be understood and criticized by any one possessed of common sense and local knowledge." The following is taken from the individual report of His Honour, Judge O'Connor, K. C.^: "Many witnesses who appeared before the Commission, dwelt with emphasis upon the alleged or suggested dif- ficulty of estimating the value of the land apart from buildings upon it; but no one of the expert witnesses would say that it was impossible, and none would admit that he could not himself do it if was necessary. But, in fact, the matter is passed the stage of mere argument, for not only is the thing being done every day for private purpose, but it is also done on public account in all three countries under the established practice. The entire system of valuation in Ireland under Acts of Par- liament is based upon the separate valuation of land and buildings. In England, land has to be separately valued in the country for the purpose of the Agricultural Rates Act, which prescribes the procedure for ascertaining, and the Returns which are to show, the division between the ratable value of agricultural land and that of the buildings and other hereditaments. . . . When the matter is considered quietly, apart from personal interest or the prejudice of class or profession^ it will be easily seen that there is no real difficulty about it, and that it would be just as practicable to make a map of the whole country, show- ing the valuation per acre or rood or plot of the surface of the land, ^s it is to make an Ordnance Survey Map, showing the elevation above » Royal Commission on Local Taxation, Report of the Minority, p. 169. * Ibid, p. 182. t * 232 The Transition pt. in Bk. II The Establishment of Land Values 233 the sea of every part of the country. In both there would be plains and slopes and peaks, though the summits of the physical contours, would often be the depression of the valuation contours, and vice versa." The case cited by Mr. Fox may be considered as typical of a com- bination of interests in ground-rents. A lets a site for £10 a year to B, who spends £1000 and lets the whole property for £70 to C, who sublets for £100, although the owner received but £10. How many these different interests contribute proportionately? This cannot be done without relative classification. A represents the oldest title, but receives only one fourth the value of the land. C is in receipt of the bulk of the unearned increase, and his interest should be classed proportionately higher than that of A, as a contribu- tary source. B receives but the normal return on his improvements and should contribute nothing. An extreme case may be presented: A invests in umimproved land, and lets to B for £10. B makes no improvements, but, a railway ter- minal being projected close by, sublets to C for £100. C spends £1000 and sublets at once to D for £200. In this case, at 6 per cent return on improvements, the land is worth £140, of which A receives but £10, B £90, and C £40, respect- ively. B, who has invested nothing, but who has the larger interest, should be the first contributor, C, following in the relation of 40 to 90, and A as 10 to these. It may seem in this case that A's capital invested in land is placed at a disadvantage with C^s capital invested in improvements. If A's investment is among the smaller holdings and presents no imearned increase, by means of classification in relation to these, it should be exempt from contribution long enough to inflict no loss. Such considerations would apparently apply to interests in land represented by mortgages. These interests should be classified in rela- tion to values and contribute proportionately. The bulk of such in- terests would probably be represented by institutions of trust and would have to be treated with the greatest care. The land-owner receiving no return from mortgaged property, would contribute nothing. It may be said in general, if ever the direct assessment of socially created wealth is attempted by a society, that distinctions in interest in the same land would probably disappear and the land be owned and used by the same person; the man able and willing to pay the most for it. On the other hand, during anv period of readjustment these intermediate interests should be carefully considered and a system of proportionate classification, proportionately applied, seems the most effective way in which this could be done. Another difficulty would arise with reference to unproductive im- provements. Land might increase in value while improvements deteriorated. Should an unproductive owner receive compensation for worthless improvements? Such questions are probably best de- cided through the study of specific cases by means analogous to those in use. It seems scarcely worth while to multiply difficulties and counter considerations of this nature; the process may be continued indefinitely. No radical modification of existing fiscal methods such as the liberation of industry and the use of social wealth for social needs, could be adopted without meeting an endless array of important practical complications. A glance at prevalent slums, pauperism, commercialized vice, pluto- cratic exploitation, strikes, labour troubles, unemployment and the tide of Socialism gathering round these suggests, however, that the^existing system is not devoid of practical difficulties of its own. These difficulties, therefore, on both sides, should be fully stated and estimated m relation to each other, and the most rational conclusions adopted. Under a direct fiscal system, based upon ground-rents as here under- stood, land would be regarded as private property. Titles to the land should be registered publicly, at whatever value the owner estimated them, without interference on the part of the administration. This annual unimproved value would be a matter of public knowledge and any one could offer a higher contribution for the use of the land, if he regarded it as worth more than it was paying. If the land-owner in possession were unable or unwilling to pay the real value of his land, he would be superseded after sufficient notice by a more productive owner, the first landlord receiving from the second full compensation for all capital invested in productive improvement. Owners in pos- session might by this means be protected from loss on one side and from ignorant over-estimation on another. With some such method as this, modified to suit specific conditions, such as mineral privileges, franchises and so forth, the mere public registration of titles to the use of land would establish their value automatically. Where the value of titles to the ownership of specific portions of the land is a matter of public knowledge, these values will largely regulate themselves, both actually and relatively, through pub- > i I. !'. 234 The Transition Pt. Ill lidty. By this means productive land-owners would be able to fix the value of their land themselves and would pay what they considered it worth. Under such a system, the land might find its most productive use in the hands of men whose interest it was to make the most of it; and, as the Duke of Argyll^ well says, "the land of a country is never so well 'nationalized* as when it is committed to the ownership of men whose interest it is to make the most of it." ^TU.FrofhtffiS San Francisco, Tkt NintUtnth Centwy, April, 1884. p. 544- i CHAPTER V THE DIFFUSION OF A TAX ON LAND VALUES A TAX on nearly all forms of consumption is either bodily transferred to the consumer or diffused through intermediate channels. Would a tax contributed by the owner of groimd- rents be recovered by increasing rents proportionately? If this can be done, the incidence of such a tax will be diffused through- out the society in prices, and borne by the consumer of the produce of the land in the form of food, buildings and transportation. The majority of economic writers believe that a tax on ground-rents cannot be recovered by the owner of the land. Their reasons are: Value depends upon supply and demand. A tax on a commodity may be used to affect the supply. By checking supply, price may be raised and a tax recovered. The supply of land cannot be affected by taxation, and the demand is often independent of fiscal influences, based upon density of population, transportation, facilities, mineral deposits and so forth. "A tax upon ground rents would not raise the rent of houses," says Smith.^ "It would fall altogether upon the owner of the ground rent." "A tax on rent falls wholly on the landlord," says Mill. ^ " There are no means by which he can shift the burden upon any one else. It does not affect the value or price of agricultural prod- uce, for this is determined by the cost of production in the most un- favourable circumstances, and in those circumstances, as we have so often demonstrated, no rent is paid." Mill here suggests the Ri- cardian theory of rent, which is in harmony with this opinion. "Com is not high because a rent is paid," says Ricardo,^ "but a rent is paid because com is high." And again,* "If the high price of com were the effect, and not the cause of rent, price would be proportionately in- fluenced as rents were high or low, and rent would be a component part of price. But that com which is produced by the greatest quantity ^ Wealth of Nations. Bk. V., ch. «., p. 436. - « Principles of Political Economy. Bk. V., ch. iii.. S^. p. 496. • Principles of Political Economy, p. 60. < Ibid., p. 63. «3S I 236 The Transition Pt. Ill of labour is the regulator of the price of com; and rent does not and cannot enter in the least degree as a component part of its price." The natural conclusion is that the incidence of a tax on ground-rents fails upon the owner of the rent and cannot be transferred. This view, however, is not held by all inquirers. A well sustained opinion, from an opposed point of view, is found in the works of Mr. D. A. Wells i^ "Is it possible to believe that in a city Uke New York, where less than four per cent of its population pay any direct tax on real estate, or in a city like Montreal, where the expenses of the city are mainly derived from taxes on land and the building occupancy of land, the great ma- jority of the inhabitants of those cities are exempt from all land tax- ation? In China, where, as before shown, the title or ownership of all land vests in the emperor, and the revenue of the Government is almost exclusively derived from taxation of land in the form of rent, does the biurden of the tax remain upon the owner of the land? If the tax in the form of rent is paid in the products of the land, as undoubtedly it is in part, will not the cost of the percentage of the whole product of the land that is thus taken increase to the renter the cost of the per- entage that is left to him; or, if the product is sold for money with which to pay the tax rent, will not its selling price embody the cost of the tax, as it will the cost of every other thing necessary for production? To affirm to the contrary is to say that the price which the Chinese farmer pays for the right of the exclusive use of his land is no part of the crops he may raise upon it. "Consider next the assertion of those who maintain the non-diffusion theory that taxes on land are paid by the owners because the supply of land can neither be increased nor diminished. In answer to it we have the indisputable fact that the owners of land, whenever taxes are increased, attempt to obtain an increased rental for it if the circxmi- stances will permit it. And the very attempt tends to increase the rent. Nothing but adverse circumstances, such as diminishing popu- lation or commercial and industrial distress, can prevent a rise in the rental of land on which the taxes are increased; and in the case of dwell- ings and warehouses the rise is almost always very prompt, because no man will erect new buildings or warehouses unless their rent com- pensate fully the increase of taxation. And in any prosperous com- munity, in which population increases in the natural ratio, there must be a constant increase of dwellings und warehouses to prevent a rise ^jrk$ory and Practice of Taxation, p. 5g4. Bk. II The Diffusion of a Tax on Land Values 237 of rent, independent of higher wages and higher taxation. In no other occupation is capital surer of obtaining the average net remuneration than in the erection of dwellings and warehouses, and nothing but lack of general prosperity and diminishing population can throw the burden of taxation on real estate or its owners, without the slightest attempt at combination on their part. If the owners of land are not reimbursed for its taxation by its occupants, new houses 'would not be erected, the old ones would wear out, and after a time the supply would be so small that the demand would raise rents, and house building begin again, the tax having been transferred to the occupier.* "It is pertinent at this point to notice the averment that is frequently made, that cultivators of the soil cannot incorporate taxes on the land in the price of their products, because the price of their whole crop is fixed by the price at which any portion of it can be sold in foreign markets. In answer to this we have first the fact that, to give the population of the world an adequate supply of food and other agri- cultural products, it is not only necessary that all the land at present under cultivation shall continue to be so employed, but further that new lands shall each year be brought under cultivation, or else the land already cultivated shall be made more productive." Neither of these diametrically opposed positions is easily answered. This suggests a different method of inquiry. There are apparentiy but four possible suppositions with reference to the recovery or non-recovery of a tax upon unimproved land values: (i) The tax may be entirely recovered by the owner of the ground- rent; (2) it may be partly recovered; (3) it cannot be recovered at all; (4) in some cases it may be recovered, in others not. I. Land values depend fundamentally upon the profit to be derived from the use of the land; profits upon the general return to productive employment, or wages. If a tax upon unimproved land is everywhere recoverable by the land-owner, profits must swell proportionately, or the tenant would not pay the increased rent. But profits could not be maintained without a relative movement in the general absorbing capacity of the population, or a compensating rise in wages. Thus, upon the supposition of the full recovery of the land-tax, a society will diffuse the burden throughout all its members; the land-owmng class excepted in part, for it would contribute a certain share through con- sumption, and act as gatherers of the revenue. From an economic point of view, a society under such a system might gain the following m :\\ i f 238 The Transition Pt. Ill advantages: (i) The sum annually extracted from the earnings of the people through prices forced by protective taxation. {2) The burdens unposed upon their earnings through higher prices, caused by revenue taxation which never find their way into the national treasury. (3) Fiscal accimiulations imposed upon their industry and commerce for diplomatic purposes; (4) Those annual losses represented by the stifling of normal trade and industry through indirect burdens on con- sumption; (5) The millions absorbed from earnings, traceable to party contribution, waste, administration extravagance and corruption owing to the control of taxes levied upon the necessaries of life. Upon the supposition, then, that assessments upon land values are recoverable, a direct system might create great advantages for a society as a whole; land-owners, being unaffected, rent increasing with the tax. n. K the owners of groimd-rents can recover but a portion of the tax, the society as a whole seems to gain the foregoing advantages, together with that portion of the wealth it annually creates, not recov- ered through increased rents. in. If none of the tex could be recovered, the people at large ap- parently gain the foregoing increase to their revenues, together with that portion of existing taxation not falling upon ground-rents, to-day. IV. If, in certain cases, the tax could be recovered and in others not, or in any combination of the two, the gains to the society seem to be proportionate; for in no instance would the tenant pay more than the land was worth and the land is worth whatever value the society as a whole attaches to it taxed or untaxed. ,/;;!..; :■ Book III INCIDENCE OF TAXATION: INDIRECT, DIRECT CHAPTER I INCIDENCE OF INDIRECT TAXATION IN THE UNITED STATES TO SOME observers a single fiscal system, based upon the value of the land, involves a disproportionate burden upon agricultural interests. Contribution from farms and small holdings, at the same rate as from valuable city sites and cor- porate land privileges, seems to place an unequal burden upon the former. Again, it seems that the exemption of improvements upon city land, and that owned by corporations, frees a portion of property from taxation to which improvements upon agricultural land offer no adequate analogy. A tax upon land values may also be confused with a tax upon land; in which case it seems, as a greater amount of land is necessarily employed in agriculture than in other pursuits, that a land-tax must bring a corresponding burden upon agrarian interests. In other words, that a farm of a thousand acres would be taxed a thousand times as heavily as an acre in Wall or Lombard Street. These three suppositions involve three misconceptions; the first with reference to the incidence of the tax; the second with reference to the effects of proportionate assessment; the third ignores the distinc- tion between value and extent. Considerations with reference to agricultural land raise the question of the incidence of a direct tax on land values in general; and, as this question of incidence is important, not only to land-owner, but to the community, it should receive attention, with reference both to indirect methods at present in operation, and in connexion with a direct single system. A comparison may then be made between the incidence of indirect and direct taxation. In order to present material for such comparison, it is essential to review the expense of present methods, to attempt to estimate by which classes of the community this expense is borne, and, as nearly as possible, in what proportion. The same approxi- 239 240 Incidence of Taxation Pt. m Bk. Ill Incidence of Indirect Taxation 241 mations may then be suggested with reference to the direct assessment of ground-rents and the two compared. In nearly every country supported by indirect taxation, with the exception of England, incidental protection is not only welcomed, but protective taxes are imposed. As indirect systems nearly always m- volve Protection, a protectionist country should be selected for analysis; the United States presenting perhaps the most available field. In the fiscal system of the United States, unburdened with the expenses of long-established monarchical institutions and crystallized methods, the most nearly perfect example of the evolution of indirect systems may be found. The attention will, therefore, be directed to the tax burdens, intended and otherwise, of the citizens of the United States, in relation to the expense and incidence of these taxes. A comparison may then be made between this incidence and that to be expected from the direct assessment of the unimproved value of the land. It is impossible to present an analysis of this nature more clearly and sunply than in the form adopted by Mr. T. G. Shearman, to whose statistical studies reference has frequently been made. The following estimates are but a brief review of Mr. Shearman's figures. Indirect systems involve great expense in the indirect process of collection! and burdens which never find their way mto the pubhc treasury. Revenue, raised from the taxation of consumption m the form of excise, involves the restiiction of tiie natural industnes of tiie people affected by tiiese taxes. It is impossible to estimate tiie loss involved in the effects of such taxation; it would probably reach a large sum. There exists no data, however, upon which such estunate may be made; none, therefore, will be presented. The import duty, on another hand, presents some opportmuty for tiie calculation of the cost of revenue raised; the difference between the value of the quantity consumed, at domestic or protected prices, and .Tb^ toUow ing Dresents a singuUr insUnce of th. cost involved in the coUection of indirert tales. Under Jl^r^ coast oTT cou„t, .nst be watched. ^J^^ ^Zt^^^^tZZ maintained at ports whether anything is coUected or not. For several yeaK ine r ma TanaC publish^, under the tiUe of 'Curiosities of the Customs.' -"--^'^;^*^X ^hrL ab"^^^ the motion of Sir John Lubbock in 1876. At ten ports whne -'*-« X'^n^'fot^ M e^tTher servants of the Crown, costing the country £7.200. wrote 18.207 official lUteR and forms, ^t «ghtjtn ^rts fifty Customs officers coUected in the year a total of £56 - about a halfpenny a head P^^ ^ay at a T^oiZ 607 and of 24.480 sheets of official paper. At seven ports, where the coUection amounted to £T6x th; fi ty sic office^ cost £7.47x. and sent up 25.387 letters and forms. At a dozen otherpom ^ rZl^ -n-r to coUect £is ^os and forty-six men were kept employed in making 25.625 official returns a^d Xt^ Lder Ifa ^y Si. Of course, the larger ports do far better than tins but Uie pnen^lco^^- ti^lTto l^r the cost of aU this appalling waste of labour and money." - A Just Ba.s of Taxatton. Frederick Verinder, p. 6. the untaxed or normal value, will approximate the cost of the revenue derived. In the study prepared by Mr. Wells, ^ it was shown that the people of the United States, during the decade ending in 1887, paid an average price for iron and steel representing an excess over English prices of $56,000,000 per annum. The average revenue of the United States, derived from iron and steel during that period, was less than $15,000,000 annually; this shows an addition in cost to the consumer of nearly four (3!) times the amount of the revenue derived. Nor does this complete the estimate; tin-plates are included with the dutiable articles; no tin-plates were produced in the United States during the period considered and, therefore, the increased cost of American pro- duction relates solely to other forms of iron products. " Excluding these," says Mr. Shearman, ^ "the revenue from iron and steel has averaged less than $12,000,000 per annum, diu-ing the period referred to. The con- sumer has, therefore, paid over four and one half times as much as the duty in addition thereto." Governor Foss^ says: "Although the entire yearly income from tariff duties is about $326,000,000 which means $3.50 a person, or $17.50 a family, the annual private tax of monopoly, which makes the invitation to combine irresistible, is over $4,000,000,000, which means $40 a person or $200 a family." A tax of $3.50 costs $40 or over eleven times the amount of the tax. Mr. Shearman estimates the general cost of revenue, raised by means of the import duty, at but three times the amount produced. The fol- lowing calculations are made upon that basis. It is unessential to present any lengthy statistical justification for such an estimate, for the reason that it may be altered or rejected without involving the conclusions to which the following studies lead. Indirect taxes are first paid by dealers, who reimburse themselves in prices to the consumer. Thus, all prices of taxed goods embody dealers' profits on taxes paid. These profits no doubt represent at least 25 per cent; they must in many cases act cumulatively, as the same goods are handled by several different dealers; 15 per cent is, how- ever, adopted. The profits on taxes paid upon assessments of buildings and improvements are probably less; 5 per cent may be a fair estimate. There are other considerations which should be added to the foregoing 1 Cf., p. 36. * Natural Taxation, p. 26. • Speech at the Cleveland Dinner of the National Democratic Club, New York City, Monday evening. March 4tZQZ3. The Trend, l/iaxch, 1912, p. 541. k ) 242 Incidence of Taxation ' Pt. Ill in any attempt to estimate the cost of indirect taxation. Vested in- terests, created by fiscal measures, render the reduction of such taxes difficult, thus involving unnecessary burdens and administrative ex- travagance. The sums raised to put different parties in power must, of course, be paid out of the people's pockets, back again into those from which they are advanced. The possibilities created for legisla- tive and financial manipulation of values are almost all directly trace- able to legislative fiscal decisions. How many millions of dollars an- nually change hands in the United States in order to influence fiscal decisions? How many millions are annually extracted from the pockets of the people as a result of juggling the securities issued against these taxes? The amoimts are probably not small. They must, however, be neglected in the following estimates, no data existing upon which they may be approximated. The calculations presented, therefore, seem conservative to a degree. Based upon some of the foregoing considerations, the census returns for 1880, and other official statistics, Mr. Shearman ^ obtains the fol- lowing estimates: American Tax Burden of i88o. Import duties $186,500,000 Internal revenue, etc 147,000,000 Increased prices, domestic protected goods . . 559,500,000 Total $893,000,000 Dealer's profits, 15 per cent 134,000,000 $1,027,000,000 Local taxes $312,000,000 Landlords* and dealers' profits, 5 per cent . . 15,600,000 327,600,000 Grand total $1,354,600,000 Total expense $1,354,600,000 Total revenue 645,500,000 Increased burden $709,100,000 These figures suggest that, in order to raise a revenue, in 1880, of $645,500,000, the people of the United States were taxed $1,354,600,000. It is now essential to discover, as nearly as possible, the burden imposed by such taxes and profits upon the different classes of the people, in order to approximate the incidence of this indirect system. It is evident that these charges are paid from a fund which would other- ^Natural Taxation, p. 27. Bk. Ill Incidence of Indirect Taxation 243 wise have remained in possession of the contributor — that is, from a fxmd which the members of the society would have saved, or have been able to save, upon the same scale of expenditure. It is evident, also, that these taxes are paid in direct proportion to the expense of living, for indirect taxes of importance must be levied upon the vital and industrial necessaries of the people. The larger the proportion the expenses of mere existence bears to each income the greater will be its relative share of com- pulsory taxation. If, then, the total earnings of the people are classified, together with the normal saving capacity of each class, it seems that a method is reached of approximating the tax burden of each class; for the taxation of necessaries bears a direct relation to living expenses, and hence to saving capacity. Thus, if the living expenses of an income of $1,000 are $900, its saving capacity $100, and the tax 10 per cent of expenses, this income will save $100 and be taxed $90. An income of $100,000, with living expenses of $75,000 and a saving capacity of $25,000, will, imder the same system, be taxed $7,500 and save $25,000; in other words, the smaller income will be taxed 90 per cent of its saving capacity and the larger 30 per cent. The tax will, there- fore, bear three times as heavily upon the accumulations of the smaller income as upon those of the larger. These relations are, of course, arbitrary; it now remains to approximate actual conditions as nearly as possible. After a review of all returns dealing with the subject, Mr. Shearman^ says: "Let us now estimate the probable savings of each class, in 1880, after all taxes were paid. Labor conmiissioners have repeatedly inquired into the savings of labourers, with the result of fixing these at not more than 5 per cent, of such incomes under $500, after all taxes have been paid. As taxes consume, directly and indirectly, at least 15 per cent, of a labourer's average in- come, the average labourer is not so thriftless as it might at first appear. The middle class find it difficvdt to save more than 10 per cent. But the savings of the rich proceed upon a rapidly in- creasing ratio, until we reach some men who save, with ease, 95 per cent, of their income. "Constructing a table upon the foundation thus afforded, taking American statistics so far as they go, and using British statistics only * Ibid., p. 33. i rr«- 244 Incidence of Taxation Pt. Ill Bk. Ill Incidence of a Direct Tax for the purpose of supplementing and classifying American figures, the following is the result; American Incomes^ Expenses, and Savings, 1880. 245 Qass Persons Income Average Expenses Average Range Average Savings I. 50 over II. 500 $1,000,000 250,000 to $1,500,000 $250,000 $1,250,000 111. 5,000 1,000,000 50,000 to 450,000 100,000 350,000 IV. 12,500 250,000 20,000 to 88,000 40,000 48,000 V. 27,000 50,000 10,000 to 27,500 15,000 12,500 VI. 75,000 20,000 5,000 to 14,000 9,000 S,«» VII. 250,000 10,000 2,000 to 6,400 5,000 1,400 vin. 850,000 5,000 700 to 2,700 2,300 400 IX. X. 3,500,000 13,672,000 under 2,000 350 to 700 350 1,000 400 300 850 380 285 ISO 30 IS "It is now necessary to tabulate the aggregate expenses and savings of each class, as an entire class. American Incomes, Expenses, and Savings, 1880. Qass Persons Total Income Total Expenses Total Savings I. SO $75,000,000 $12,500,000 $62,500,000 II. 500 225,000,000 50,000,000 175,000,000 m. 5,000 440,000,000 200,000,000 200,000,000 IV. 12,500 343,750,000 187,500,000 156,250,000 V. 27,000 378,000,000 243,000,000 135,000,000 VI. 75,000 480,000,000 375,000,000 105,000,000 vn. 250,000 675,000,000 575,000,000 100,000,000 VIII. 850,000 850,000,000 722,500,000 127,500,000 IX. 2,500,000 1,000,000,000 950,000,000 50,000,000 X. 13,672,000 4,101,600,000 3,896,520,000 205,080,000 17,392,050 $8,568,350,000 $7,212,020,000 $1,356,330,000 "The incidence of taxation is now to be considered. The gross expense of the people's living has been estimated as above, at $7,212,- 000,000 for the year 1880. Taxation was distributed nearly pro rata upon this. The whole burden of taxation, including its intended and unintended effects, has been shown to be $1,350,000,000. This was equal to 18^^ per cent on expenses. As the total savings, before taxes are deducted, would amoimt to $2,700,000,000, the ultimate burden imposed by taxation and its effect was 50 per cent, of all national savings. "But, while this is the average, that average is based on a vast dis- proportion of burdens. The tax of 185^^ per cent upon expenses means a tax of less than 4 per cent, upon the easy savings of the richest class, but of 78 per cent upon the hard savings of the poorer class. Indirect taxation, therefore, bears twenty times as heavily upon the average poor man as it does upon the average rich man." The incidence of the indirect taxation of living expenses upon two average incomes may now be considered without selecting either extreme, say Class III and Class IX. Incomes $88,000 and $400, expenses $40,000 and $380, savings $48,000 and $20, respectively; in- cidence of tax 18 per cent of living expenses. The first income will be taxed $7,200, or 15 per cent of its saving capacity; the smaller income will be taxed $68.40, or 342 per cent of that capacity; 3.42 times as much as it can save. It may now be supposed that the tax burdens are lightened 50 per cent by direct or less expensive methods. The first income would then be able to save $3,600 in addition, 9 per cent increase of saving capacity; the second income could save $34.20 — 171 per cent increase of savings. These relations contain a fairly satisfactory explanation why the poorer classes have never been able to accumulate, in proportion to the increasing wealth of a society supported by the indirect taxation of living expenses. An indirect fiscal system not only renders it im- possible for the poor to accumulate in proportion to increasing social wealth, but makes it possible for the richer classes to absorb the social wealth, and at the same time accumulate in a progressively increasing ratio thereto. The essential feature of indirect systems is not the amount levied, nor the expense created; but the fact that all such systems are assessed directly upon the compulsory expenses of existence; thus progressively decreasing the accumulating capacity of the smaller incomes, in inverse ratio to their amoimt, with an exactly reversed effect upon the larger fortunes. This effect is due neither to the amoimt raised nor to the expense of the system; but to the fact that a progressively increasing proportion of the smaller incomes is brought imder the influence of 246 Incidence of Taxation Pt. Ill taxation, and a progressively increasing proportion of the larger incomes is exempt. The power of accumulation, therefore, of each income, taxed on compulsory living expenses, increases cumulatively as its amoimt and decreases progressively as the income diminishes. The burden created by an indirect policy varies inversely as the means of the contributor. Thus an indirect system of taxation has a direct effect in the dis- tribution of social wealth. The taxation of living expenses, through the increasing proportion which these bear to earnings as earnings decrease, is the cause of such conditions. More than a quarter of a century has passed since the period to which these estimates refer. They are here examined as being more valuable than later compilations, for they may be studied in the light of the sub- sequent industrial evolution of the United States. The process of the concentration of social wealth which they illustrate, has there proceeded at an unprecedented rate during the past twenty-five years through causes largely influenced by the multiplication of indirect taxes. These figures, moreover, although referring to a specific period of a specific nation, are of universal application and develop a principle involved in the action of all indirect systems. The essential feature in the distribution of social burdens is the relation which the basis of the system bears, actually and relatively, to the means of the contrib- utor. Every tax, therefore, upon every indirect schedule based upon living expenses, will impose a direct burden upon the individual in proportion to the relation which living expenses bear to income. The burden will thus fall cumulatively where vital needs are nearest total income, and bring with it relative exemption where vital needs form the smallest proportion of the means involved. This will be the effect of a single assessment. With annual assessments, the distribution of the entire wealth of the society will be affected, and a progressive proc- ess of accumulation toward the larger incomes set in while the fields of pauperism and unemployment will increase proportionately: To those who have will be given, and from those who have not will be taken away, even the little they possess. ii CHAPTER II THE INCIDENCE OF A DIRECT TAX ON LAND VALUES IN ANY attempt to estimate the incidence of the direct tax, it should be remembered that the burdens of an indirect and a direct system are different. In the United States, for instance, it seems that in 1880 the people paid more than $1,350,000,000 in order to raise a revenue of $645,500,000. By direct methods there would in all likelihood have been a saving of more than the difference of $700,000,000 presented. In order to pursue inquiry with special reference to the agricultural class, the population may be divided as follows: 1. The landless. 2. The land-owners. 3. Farmers, whether owning or renting land. I. Under a direct system, the landless class would be relieved of present burdens, and its capacity for wealth accumulation, progressively increased as the burdens were withdrawn. The result would thus be, not only to bring relief from existing taxation, but to create a power of accumulation at present non-existent. TT. With reference to the land-owning class, Mr. Shearman* says: "It has already been shown that the concentration of all American taxes upon American land-owners would not absorb half of their ground- rents. But it would be a great mistake to assimie that such taxation would absorb half of their whole income, or anything approaching to it. No allowance has thus far been made for the important fact that, considered as an entire class, the owners of ground-rents also own all the buildings and other improvements upon their land, besides a much larger share of all personal property, in proportion to their number, than any other class of the community. All these things would be relieved from taxation under the system here proposed. All taxes on real estate and probably 75 per cent, of the taxes on personal property are paid by land-owners. (Not more than one tenth of the persons who are not assessed for some land are ever assessed for any personal property. 1 Ibid., p. Z77. 247 1^' --m ^ i 1 1 ■t 1 ■1 248 Incidence of Taxation Pt. Ill taking the whole country together.) They also pay at least their full share, in proportion to their numbers, of tariff and excise taxes, and of the burdens which indirectly flow from those taxes. As American, land-owners constituted 48 per cent, of the heads of families in 1890 they will be released from 48 per cent, of those burdens, the amount of which was estimated, on a previous page, at $1,050,000,000 per annum. "The local taxes on both real and personal property in 1890 amounted to $470,652,000. As real property constituted three fourths of all assessed values, its owners paid three fourths of these taxes ($352,- 989,000), three fourths of the taxes on personal property ($88,248,000), and 48 per cent, of the $1,050,000,000 burden, created by federal indirect taxation ($504,000,000). These were the burdens borne by real estate owners, as a class, in 1890: all of which would, under the taxation of ground-rents alone, be replaced by a single tax of $828,541,000. "The effect of such a change in taxation, upon American owners Of real estate, taken as an entire class, would be as follows: "American real estate owners paid, in 1890, under the present system of taxation: An local taxes on real estate $352,989,000 75 per cent, of local taxes on personal estate ...,,. 88,248,000 48 per cent, of federal taxes and burdens attendant thereon . • • 504,000,000 $945,237,000 They would pay, if all taxes were concentrated on ground-rents: An local taxes $470,652,000 All federal taxes 357,889,000 828,541,000 Net reduction of burdens on real estate $116,696,000 That the concentration of taxes on ground-rents would reduce the present burden on real estate may seem impossible, yet, in the light of the great relative cost of indirect taxes, such an assumption is not ex- travagant. The incidental burdens of revenue indirectly raised are in all probability more than as great agaii; as the revenue itself. Through- out the foregoing calculations these burdens have been placed at $700,000,000. "They include," says Mr. Shearman, "a large private profit, through enhanced prices, maintained by tariffs and excise laws; and they also include a sum, qidte as large, absolutely wasted, by keep- ing up prices on goods which, after all, do not afford an average profit Bk. Ill Incidence of a Direct Tax 249 to domestic producers. Land-owners as land-owners do not get the profit, and nobody gains by the waste. "No doubt a small section of the land-owning class do get a large share of the profits arising from the monopolies fostered by protective tariff and excise taxes. But more than nine tenths of the land-owners derive no benefit from these monopolies. All of them must pay their proportion of the taxes and private tribute, levied by laws creating monopolies; but the profit accruing goes to those who can nm the monopolies, whether they own or only hire land. " Direct jtaxation would put an end to all such monopolistic profits and all the indirect effects of indirect taxation. Owners of land who did not hold any share in tariff-bred or similar monopolies, would save, by substituting direct for indirect taxation, their share of the $700,000,000 annually lost to the people at large in this way. And this saving more than outweighs all the additional taxation falling upon them, through the exemption of labor and personal property from taxes. "Another reason is of even greater importance, and clears up the whole apparent mystery. These statistics show that if all the land were owned by a class, on perfectly equal terms, in equal shares, they would all gain by direct taxation. But they do not stand on an equal footing or own equal shares. On the contrary it is now undisputed that more than 75 per cent, in value of all American real estate, in- cluding railways, is owned by less than 10 per cent of the whole number of land-owners. Indeed, it is practically undisputed that this amount is held by less than 5 per cent, of the whole number, and that half of all the value is held by one one hundredth of all owners. "This fact immediately puts a new light upon the whole question. Accepting the far too conservative estimate that one tenth of all the owners, or 600,000 families, own three fourths of all the land, and con- structing a table, showing the effect of the change in taxation upon them, we should reach very different results. "These families, being much richer than the remaining 5,500,000, of course pay even now a much larger share of taxes of all kinds. Own- ing three fourths of all real estate, they must now pay three fourths of the taxes on that, or, in round numbers, $264,000,000. They doubt- less pay one fourth of all personal taxes or, $29,000,000. Their quota of federal taxes, etc., would be very much larger than that of the same number of small land-owners. It would not be less than $200,000,000. On the other hand, this class includes nearly all those persons who I > ' 250 lucidence of Taxation Pt. Ill derive profit from tariffs, monopolies, and bounties; all of which would be swept away by a natural system of taxation. This class, as a whole, would suffer some loss. "But the line must be drawn still higher up. The profits of arti- ficial monopolies and bounties are almost entirely divided among less than 50,000 land-owners. The remaining 6,000,000 get practically none of these profits. The line of division, therefore, must be drawn between the 50,000 famiUes, which own at least 30 per cent, of aU the land values of the United States and the 6,000,000 who own the remainder. '^Allowing one half the burdens, indirectly resultmg from tariffs and excise laws to be mere waste, bringing no profit to anybody, still, in years of average prosperity, annual profits to the amount of $350,- 000,000 would remain; of which more than $300,000,000 go to the 50,000 largest land-owners. "Let us now construct a table showing the incidence of direct taxa- tion upon The 50,000 Largest Land-owners. They paid in 1890: 30 per cent, of taxes on real estate . 10 per cent, of taxes on personal estate . . 10 per cent of tariff, etc., taxes, profits, and waste $106,000,000 11,700,000 105,000,000 They gained profits from the tariff, etc Their net profits from the system of indirect taxation were . . • • ' ' '> ' r ' Under direct taxation, they would make no tariff profits, and would pay 30 per cent, of all taxes . Their net loss, from direct taxation $222,700,000 300,000,000 $ 77,300,000 249,000,000 $326,300,000 "This explanation makes it easy to understand how the vast ma- jority of land-owners may actually gain by assuming the whole burden of direct taxation. By so doing they get rid of paying a tribute of $^c;o,ooo,ooo to a small band of bounty-fed capitalists, and of an annual waste of $350,000,000 more. The loss of this tribute will fall entirely upon the few who depend upon unjust legislation for their profits. "But the case even of the afflicted 50,000 is not so bad as it at first seems Let us review their whole situation. Possessing 30 per cent, of all real estate values, they enjoy an annual rent, from land and build- ings, of close upon $700,000,000. Their income from tariff profits and Bk. Ill [Incidence of a Direct Tax 251 the like has been put at $300,000,000. They would lose by the adoption of direct taxation only three per cent, of their rents; although they would lose, and ought to lose, the whole of the tribute which they levy upon their fellow citizens, by means of an abuse of the taxing power. The immense benefits which would be conferred upon the coimtry, by the abolition of indirect taxation, would certainly increase rent by much more than three per cent.; and thus even this small class would lose nothing but the illegitimate profits, which they make by an abuse of the taxing powers of the national government. "Yet thefe must be some class which would lose absolutely by the concentration of taxes upon ground-rents. There is. It is that small number of persons whose chief investment is in vacant land and whose chief occupation is keeping land out of use." III. The effects of a direct system upon the agricultural land-owner may now be discussed. After an analysis of the census returns for 1890, in order to establish the basis for the estimates to follow, Mr. Shearman^ says: "The proportion of land values* held by farmers shrinks when put to the test of statistics as much as does their numerical proportion. The same census returns aggregate the real value of farms at ( in roimd numbers) $13,279,000,000, out of a total taxable real estate value of $46,000,000,000, including railroads, etc. As much more than one third of all farms are not owned by farmers, we must deduct at least one third from this farm value, in estimating the amount owned by farmers. This would leave them in possession of a value, in both land and its improvements, of about $8,800,000,000, or less than one fifth of the whole value of real estate, which closely corresponds with their proportion of the population. "The independent farmer, therefore, is a rapidly diminishing factor in American politics. . , . The farmer is apt to cry out against what he calls the injustice of exempting from all taxation the mag- nificent buildings sometimes erected in cities, forgetting that such buildings always stand upon the most expensive land, while his own farmhouse and barn stand upon land of utterly insignificant value. In adjusting taxation, the only question of importance is as to the relative proportion which will be borne by diferent classes; and it is of no impor- tance whatever that any single piece of property should pay much or little, provided all other properties of the same kind pay in exact proportion with it. A farmhouse, costing $1,500 to build, will stand > Ibid., p. 184.186. '•I' il'; f !»■■ h 4': 1 rn^. f 2sa Inddence of Taxation Pt. Ill upon a piece of land which, including the siurounding garden, on an am- ple scale, would not be worth more than $15. But an average dty house, costing $10,000 to build, will stand upon a lot, worth at least $5,000; while a warehouse, costing $50,000 to build will frequently stand upon a lot worth $50,000. '*So far, therefore, as the mere value of land which is required for the purpose of supporting the house or building of any kind is concerned, the farmer would gain largely by concentrating taxes upon that and exempting all buildings." This may be shown by the following ap- plication of the principle: If a tax of $1,165 is to be laid upon the three pieces of property mentioned, the result, under the present system, would be as follows: "Farmhouse and land, $1,515; city house and land, $15,000; ware- house and land, $100,000. Total, $116,515; tax rate, i per cent. Tax on the farmhouse, $15.15, on the city house, $150, on the warehouse, $1,000. "Under a system exempting all buildings and improvements, the assessment would be as follows: "Farm land, $15; city land, $5,000; warehouse land $50,000. "The gross tax remaining the same ($1,165), it would be divided on a total assessment of only $55,015, requiring a tax rate of 25 per cent. The farmhouse owner would pay 32 cents; the city house owner, $106; and the warehouse owner, $1,059. Reduction of farmer^ s tax, g8 per cent:' It may be said that the taxation of ground values involves, not only the assessment of the land upon which a farmer's house may stand, but of his entire farm as well, thus bringing a larger proportion of agricxiltural than urban land under fiscal influence. Here arises the confusion of ideas with reference to the taxation of land, and the taxa- tion of land values. If every piece of land in the United States, or in any other country, were valued, and a certain number of horseshoes were piled upon each portion — every shoe representing one dollar, franc or shilling, as the case might be — and apportioned exactly to the nimiber of dollars, francs, 01; shillings representing the value of the land; it is evident that great piles of horseshoes would accumu- late on the valuable sites of cities, and that land in the country would be relatively free. Long lines of horseshoes would be strung over rail- way routes, along water fronts, telegraph and telephone property, while adjoining land would have relatively few or none. If, now, Bk. Ill Inddence of a Direct Tax 253 it were suggested to assess taxes upon these horseshoes, and the word "land" never mentioned, it is obvious that the greater the number of horseshoes, the greater would be the amount and proportion of taxes levied. The fact that all the buildings, and all the personal property in the nation were exempt from taxation would make no difference. Where a given amount is to be assessed, it would be assessed in proportion to the number of horseshoes and nothing else; where a given percentage is assessed, it would represent a given percentage of the number of horseshoes, and nothing else. As cannot be too often repeated, the essential feature in a just fiscal system is not concerned with the amount of property nor with the things taxed; but is concerned with the pro- portions in which the tax is distributed. Covering the land with horse- shoes in proportion to its value, and then assessing taxes in proportion to the number of horseshoes, is identical with a direct fiscal system based upon land values; for contributions would be apportioned with reference to the number of dollars, francs or shillings, representing the values of the land, and not to acreage. If the effects of raising revenue from horseshoes, piled upon land in proportion to value, is ever under- stood by agriculturists, a great fiscal light may dawn upon the bucolic intelligence. The effect of a direct system upon agricultural land in relation to the present system may be shown in the following illustration with reference to Boston and the land in its vicinity. "No statement of the whole amount of personal property assessed upon Massachusetts' farms alone is accessible," says Mr. Shearman, ^ "but by comparing three counties, Berkshire, Franklin, and Hampshire, in which the value of farms in 1885 constituted more than half the value of all real estate, with Suffolk county, in which farms constituted only the one hundred and twentieth part of all real estate, we can reach a very fair conclusion as to the effect of the exemption of both personal property and improve- ments. "As we are compelled to compare the farm values of 1885 with the total assessments of 1890, there is no use in giving precise figures; and round numbers will therefore be used. The assessed value of all property in Suffolk County was $851,000,000. In the three farming counties it was $91,000,000. If personal property and buildings had been exempted, and land had been assessed at its unimproved value, the assessment of Suffolk would have been $377,000,000, and that of > Ibid, p. X96. V:'\ Ift J t I '! it 254 Incidence of Taxation Pt. Ill Bk. Ill Incidence of Indirect Taxation 255 the three farming counties would have been less than $22,000,000. Thus the assessment of Suffolk County (which is only another name for Boston) would have been reduced 56 per cent.; but the assessment of the fanning counties would have been reduced 76 per cent. Assuming i the rate of taxation to be i per cent., on the present valuation, Boston would pay, under the present system, $8,510,000 and the fanning counties $910,000. Under the refonned system, Boston would pay $8,900,000, while the fanning counties would pay only $520,000. The burden upon farms would be lightened by 43 per cent., and yet the burden of Boston would be increased by less than 5 per cent.; the State receiving precisely the same revenue, in any case. Or, to put it the other way, Massachusetts farmers are paying 75 per cent, more of the State taxes, under the present system, than they would pay under a tax upon the unimproved value of the land alone." With these considerations in mind, showing how direct assessment upon the value of the land brings a relatively lessened tax burden to agriculture, the effects upon American farmers as a class may be dis- cussed. " Using round numbers," says Mr. Shearman, ^ "it has been shown that the total ground-rent of the United States for 1890 was $1,380,000,000; the whole amount of taxes to be provided for was $828,000,000; the local taxes on real estate were $354,000,000, and on personal property, $117,000,000; the national taxes, all indirect, were $358,000,000; while the burden of private profit or of waste, caused by the nature of in- direct taxes, was about $700,000,000 in 1880, and could not well be less in 1890. "It will not make much difference whether the farmer's share of land values in the United States is estimated at more or less than 30 per cent, since their proportion of local taxation will vary in proportion thereto. But according to the census of 1890 the value of farms was less than 30 per cent, of the value of all taxable real estate and land privileges.* "Farmers have never made any profit out of the higher prices caused by indirect taxation, and, therefore, they have paid their share of all profit so made, without receiving any part of it back. "Since American farms constituted, in 1890, 30 per cent, of all real estate, their owners must have paid at least 30 per cent, of the taxes on real estate. In fact they paid more; because land franchises did not pay their share. . . • » Ibid., p. 191-194- , , . « True value of all Uxable real csUte, over $46,000,000,000; of fanns, 113,279.000,000. "Indirect taxes are of course paid, not in proportion to wealth or income, but according to consumption. If farmers live as well as other people, they pay such taxes in proportion to their numbers, not their property. It may be assimaed that they are more frugal than most other land-owners. But farm owners^ who form one fourth of all families, live in much better style than do the great mass of landless people. They, therefore, pay at least one fourth of all indirect taxes. We thus reach the conclusions now stated. "American farm owners pay, under the present system of taxation: 30 per cent, of/taxes on real estate ($354,000,000) $106,200,000 25 per cent, of taxes on personal property ($117,000,000) . . . 29,250,000 25 per cent, of indirect taxes and profits thereon ($1,050,000,000) . 262,500,000 $397,950,000 $248,400,000 "They would pay under the system here proposed: 30 per cent, of all necessary taxes, with no indirect burdens attached ($828,000,000) Reduction of Farmers Taxes through direct taxation .... $149,550,000 "Thus the farmers would save much more than one third of their present tax burdens by the concentration of taxes on ground-rents alone. ... Of course, the proposal to collect taxes from only one source implies that the burden is to be increased upon the class which controls that source. But the proposal is that the whole burden shall be placed upon the owners of groimd rents, including the franchises on land. Such owners form a very small minority of the residents of cities and towns; and therefore a vast majority of such residents would not suffer any increase of burdens, through any amount of relief which might be given to farmers. . . There is no conflict of interest between those who live in cities and those who live on farms. But there is a great conflict of interest between those who own city land and those who own the farms. Under a single tax upon ground-rents, farm owners, as a class, would not pay nearly so large a share of taxes as they do now; because the value of their land is so much less than the value of city, town and railway land." Before leaving the subject, it may be of interest to make a direct statistical comparison between the results of the indirect taxation of living expenses and normal distribution. This may be done by means of sunmiarizing the results of a study of the following table, showing the amount of ten classes of American incomes in 1880, together with their respective expenses, tax burdens, and savings, before and after taxation. ^ * CL. Ibid.« p. 36. , r ( nfif*-* 256 \u \l ! :1 • 1 1 ! Incidence of Taxation CO 2 Set < 8 10 o 8 O 00 o M C4 M M M «» 8 O »o 10 O o a; 9 n 00 8 en O s o 8888 »o »o 8 O t^ O 8 c* M 10 10 t^ O O- M ^ W M Q »0 « 00 PO Tf T? >«? tC vO 00 «^ Ovc8 vo r^ w H M Ci M 8SS88888 O Ov fO»oOo ^w w O «o^ c« o*t^io»oO t^»o t^oo M M M t^ 8 in O »o 8 O d^ 6 ^» »o «o wi w d^NcT d H C« to *0 t^ ^°^ «o o 8 10 10 O »O00 Q »o O c* CO «0 '♦O 00 M ■* 10 o 8 «o o fO fO «o o «1 o 00 «o o cT M CI O to fO 00 »o ioe«t^»oOOON M « t^ m 10 o t>' « 00 »^<>. cT CO O »o cT o «o OS IS > ;3 o U2 /if O 0) bO o a OS .. ^ 0) -3 ^.S to "^3 B o C4 en 4> "S bo a u a in 'Q g to -§1 .S3 G H B ^ CO 0) Js CO 8 a ^ B ti to to (U to to to . ei to 'T-J (2 ^ 1 <2 00 I 1 O 3 < en a I m a o I u (J O I pq m a P4 u Pt. Ill o -^ \o *o t^ ^ M CO ••. «< O Q « c* O t^ M M M MO 000 10 000 t>. «o O^ CO »^ »o i-^ cs w 88^ M «0 Ov S8J1 IH M H H VO . . to c* *o •I 3 e2 O «o »o VO to o VO 00 to § Ov to M 3 Bk. Ill Incidence of a Direct Tax 2S7 These figures show apparently that the total normal accumulating capacities of the rich and labouring classes were not very different in amount, each being a little over $1,000,000,000; the difference in favour of the labouring class. The result of an indirect process of taxation levied upon living expenses was, however, that the total earnings of the people, instead of being distributed in proportion to natural accumu- lation, were divided in such a way that nearly 3I times (3.43) the natural share of the labouring class fell into the hands of the rich. It is evident that this process, continued imder an indirect system, and over a period of time, must increase progressively in effect; for, as the savings of the larger incomes increase, their powers of accumulation will be propor- tionately augmented. Under a direct, and properly apportioned fiscal system, no such distortion in the distribution of wealth would occur after the tax had been paid. This distorted distribution is, however, the characteristic feature of all fiscal systems based upon the taxation of living expenses. Such systems act progressively throughout all the incomes of a society, and result in the cumulatively increasing distortion of the distribution of the social wealth, imtil the process destroys itself — becomes top-heavy, and results in the inevitable revolutionary collapse. This seems, in a few words, to present the essential features of the his- tory of every society based upon indirect fiscal methods. The blind will lead the blind through this process of progressive accumulation and distortion until they both fall into the pit. m It Vh )■'; J Life and Labour of the People of London, • Poverty: A Study of Town Life. • Six Centuries of Work and Wages. • How the Other Half Lives. • Poverty. • Capital. » Fields, Factories, and Workshops. • Poverty, p. 200. ; 1 i6Q Fiscal Problems Pt. Ill Bk. IV Labour 361 emigration was followed by large families. Commenting upon this fact, he says that when the young people emigrate, the parents re- maining at home have on an average five children instead of two or three, or none.* In almost every country in Europe the same tend- ency has been observed , . . Professor Richmond Mayo-Smith says: 'Emigration does not threaten to depopulate the coimtries of Europe. Had there been no emigration during the century, it is not probable that the population of Europe would have been any greater than it is. The probabilities are all the other way. Europe has never grown so fast as during the present century.'^ , . . There is a strange and rather startling probability that the twenty million persons who have emigrated to this coxmtry have been replaced by twenty or so million persons who would not have been born had these emigrants remained at home." The flood of himianity pouring into the United States may not have had much effect upon the normal growth of population. The foreign-bom element seems to supplant the native bom to an approxi- mately equivalent extent. "Professor John R. Conmions," says Mr. Himter, "who is now perhaps our foremost student of the subject, says, in his study of Immigra- tion for the Industrial Commission, 'It is a hasty assimiption which holds that inmiigration during the nineteenth century has increased the total population in the United States.'^ Professor Commons' statement is based upon the same principle of the growth of population which was considered in the previous paragraph. Immigration to this country has a striking influence upon our birth-rate. As emigration tends to increase the number of births among those remaining at home, so immigration, it is thought, causes a decrease in the birth-rate of the persons already in the coimtry to which immigrants come. The late President Francis A. Walker, who was the superintendent of the cen- suses of 1870 and 1880, and therefore at the fountain head of infor- mation on the subject, vigorously maintained that had there been no iBMnigration to this country during the last seventy years, the native element would have filled by an increased number of births, 'the places which the foreign element has usurped.' "* Whetherthis position is accepted or not, the pressure of the industrial « VUal SkUistics. by William Farr. p. 62. • Emigration and Immigration, by Richmond Mayo-Smith, p. 23. * Industrial Commission. Vol. XV., p. 277. « Discussions in Economics and Statistics, by Francis A. Walker, Vol. II., pp. 417-426. masses upon the means of subsistence seems a fairly constant con- dition, not to be neglected in the study of questions dealing with labour. A study of the " labour problem" deals with a mass of humanity, clinging to existence, as it were, through the pressure of its natural fecundity upon its vital requirements. And here occurs the essential relation of indirect fiscal systems to labour* Present industrial society is based upon fiscal conceptions involving the taxation of the necessaries of life, but these necessaries are the vital threads, so to speak, by means of which the industrial masses cling to existence. An indirect fiscal system thus bears not an important, but a vital, relation to the industrial masses. Political organizations based upon the indirect taxation of necessaries,literally nourish themselves upon the life-blood of the people. No study of labour, therefore, which neglects the action of the national fiscal system imder which the labour is considered, will touch the heart of the question. The action of an indirect taxation, based upon the necessaries of existence, is the vital element in the labour problem. Questions of this nature deal directly with the production and distri- bution of wealth. As no form of industrial wealth can be created without labour, no question can deal with labour in particular, without having to do with the process of wealth production and distribution; labour being one of the three factors in production, and wages one of the three channels of distribution. The study of the labour problem, therefore, leads at once to an analysis of wealth production and distribution in relation to fiscal systems. There are three elements in production: Land, Capital, and Labour. From the union of these arises the annual sum of wealth brought into existence in any industrial society. This annual total of production derived from the three productive elements is distributed through three channels of revenue: Rent, Profits, and Wages. All annual wealth is resolvable into these three forms of revenue.^ The taxation of revenue, in whatever form, falls eventually upon these sources of revenue, singly or combined. Rent, Profits, and Wages, therefore, may be taxed, but nothing else, for there is no other form of economic revenue to tax. Present methods of taxation are largely involved with duties levied upon commodities, these commodities forming a large proportion of the living expenses of the masses of the people. The taxation of the staples of life and industry, therefore, falls more heavily upon • i] m 262 Fiscal Problems Pt. Ill Bk. IV Labour 263 the smaller incomes than upon the larger. The bulk of the smaller incomes is naturally derived from manual labour. The taxation of necessaries is, therefore, to a large extent, the taxation of wages. In the preceding analysis of conditions in the United States in 1880, it was shown that the incomes of over thirteen millions of persons were apparently taxed about twenty times as heavily, relatively, as the incomes of about fifty persons. But the great number of smaller incomes, together with their disproportionate taxation, will produce a large pro- portion of the total revenue derived. In the estimates cited, ^ the rev- enue derived from the labouring class was more than twice as much as from the other two classes combined. This shows that a large percentage of all revenue, produced by indirect taxation of living expenses, is de- rived from the taxation of wages. But results more important than the mere taxation of wages will be produced by such a system. The disproportionate taxation of wages affects, not wages alone, but the process of distribution of wealth throughout the society. Total revenue is resolvable into three forms: Rents, Profits, and Wages; to tax one of these disproportionately involves, not only the taxation of that form of revenue, but the proportionate exemption of the other two at the same time. Thus, to tax wages disproportionately creates a relative relief, or process of accumulation, with reference to rent and profits. And here the results of the taxation of living expenses but begin. The disproportionate taxation of wages not only exempts profits from normal contribution, and tends to profit accimiulation, but creates the possibility of forced and abnormal profits through the action of import and excise duties. This disproportionate burden upon wages exempts profits, and may cause their artificially stimulated increase. An analogous train of thought is suggested with reference to rent. Abnormal burdens upon wages bring abnormal exemption for rent, with the result that socially created wealth, in the form of land values, will accumulate in the hands of individual rent owners. It might be thought that the effects of an indirect burden upon vital needs would end here; but perhaps the most important effects of such a system are yet to be discussed. It is obvious that the progressive accumulations of wealth in the hands of rent and profit owners, will give these economic advantage over the owners of wages. The most important of these will be the practical expulsion of the wage owner from the land in its valuable forms, leaving the rent and profit owner * Cf., p. 256. in possession. Thus, the indirect taxation of living expenses, or the disproportionate taxation of wages, will throw control of the valuable land of a coimtry into the hands of the richer classes. But the control of the land will bring into existence other and more important influences. The control of the land, and the social wealth it represents, not only makes the industrial class practically dependent, politically and eco- nomically, upon the capitalist and land-owning classes, but places the political and economic policy of the nation in their hands. A society, therefore, supported by indirect means, will, apparently, develop the following political elements: (i) A fiscal system creating forced and artificial values, through disproportionate taxation of wages and disproportionate exemption of profits and franchises. (2) A legislative system, permitting the incorporation of these values. (3) A highly centralized and organized capitalist class, with interests inti- mately involved with tax schedules and legislation. (4) An industrial mass of wage workers, caught in a double process of competition, low- ering wages on one side, raising rent and profits on another, while contributing the bulk of the revenue necessary to keep the process in existence. The man who controls these combined influences is in possession of a power little less than magic. He may, in order to "regulate the balance of trade," "tax the foreigner," or gather labour under a pro- tecting wing, create enormous values by the imposition of the most inoffensive and "patriotic" import duties. He may then issue corpor- ate certificates against the values represented, and the vista of indirect protectionist finance is opened to the discerning eye. He is now in a position to develop the possibilities of an indirect fiscal system. The paths before him are bewildering. He may do almost anything. He may keep control of the properties, and inflate or depress the securities through legislative decisions, statements or com- binations on the exchange. He may simply over-capitalize the prop- erties and sell them to the people outright. If the people do not buy, no trouble is occasioned; he sells them to the people, in spite of them- selves, through this or that insurance company or fiduciary institution which he may happen to control. If he does not care to take such a step, no difficulty occurs; he borrows whatever is needed from this or that bank or trust company, of which he happens to be president, or whose directorate is interested in the securities. If his interests are in any way furthered by supporting the values of the over-capitalized 264 Fiscal Problems Pt. in Bk. IV Labour 26s if I m- i obligations, he enters into an agreement with reference to a freight rate, or classification of goods with a railway or transportation company, whose directors may happen to hold some of the securities involved, and the thing is done. If, for any reason, it grows inconvenient to continue payments on these obligations, no difficulty is caused; he anticipates the fall of the seciuities on the exchange, and stops the payments. That is, all he has to do is to put the values in his pockets over again as they disappear. In this way, by means of an indirect tax, he takes the money out of the people's pockets to create the values in the first place; he then takes the money out of the people's pockets which the values represent, from this or that fiduciary institution, and he then takes the money out of the people's pockets to continue the values in existence. If, for any reason, this becomes inconvenient, he has but to take the values out of the people's pockets all over again, as they go out of existence, whenever he chooses to allow them to fall away to nothing. If any of the misguided populace do not appre- ciate these patriotic efforts to protect them, but begin investigations or proceedings of some kind, no annoyance need be met. Arrangements are made with this or that statesman, or legislative assembly, with reference to this or that enactment, technicality, or committee, and everything is straightened out. He may then begin to protect the people all over again from the dangers of the "balance of trade" and "pauper labour," or arm them against the foreigner with a trusty tariff-weapon, which will tax the food out of their mouths, while he patriotically imloads the weapons upon the fiduciary institutions in the form of dangerously inflated securities. The foregoing methods of indirect protectionist finance may be modified or combined in infinite ramifications. If other fields are sought, attention may be turned to organization. Industry affected by an indirect tax is generally ready to organize. Another area is opened for patriotic activities. Thoroughly organized capital is the one potent factor in protectionist legislation; and another vista appears, leading into a maze of organization, disorganization and reorganization, practically without end. The indirect tax forms the basis of the struct- ure; the certificates of incorporation form the motives of the designs; the banks, the insurance companies, and the legislative assemblies are the masons and contractors; while the statesmen and the financiers are the builders and the architects. And it might well be asked, what more patriotic inspiration could be sought than to design and build m such materials. Every loan, tax, or decision inflates or depresses a security as desired; every legislative enactment, with reference to a tax or a franchise, sweeps the savings of the people this way or that as decided; every market, protected or suppressed, pours a golden stream in any given direction; and if surfeited with these Napoleonic conquests, the bmlders have but to turn into their pockets a few of these streams, with an import or excise duty, and gracefully retire from the scene amid the plaudits of a grateful people. All this may be done while the industrial populace is as unconscious of the process and as incapable of freeing itself as a frog prepared for viMsection. The whole organized forces of the society, ecclesiastical, legislative, and military, support the measures; the people neither understand what is being done to them, nor would be able to free them- selves if they understood. The chief difference between the frog and the people is that the latter make a great show of choosing the operators- but what difference can it make to either who handles the knife? As far as the frog or the people is concerned, the result is the same. The effects of the indirect taxation of living expenses, in relation to the mdustrial masses, may be summarized as follows: (i) The obvious disproportion of the burden laid upon wages and the smaUer mcomes; (2) the forced and relative inflation of rents and profits, together with the unnatural process of accumulation created; (3) the consequent control of socially created wealth by the larger incomes- (4) the possibilities of value manipulation through the control of fiscal and legislative decisions. Section II—Labour and Direct Taxation Rent, Profit, and Wages are the only forms of economic revenue: therefore, the only legitimate subjects of taxation. Rent, however may be divided into two distinct portions; one, created by the individual or improvement rent; another, created by society, or ground-rent. If this ground-rent is taxed and nothing else, it is evident that aJl taxes on wages, profits, and improvement rent will be repealed. The most important results of this freedom from taxation will be that the three sources of income will bear their normal relations to each other, and that wages will neither be disproportionately taxed, nor profits and improvement rent disproportionately exempt. The immediate effect of such a change might be a proportionately increased accumulating power among smaUer incomes; in other words, where all taxation of m. i^.'j 266 Fiscal Problems Pt. Ill living expense is withdrawn, there occurs no progressively increasmg burden laid on poverty through the taxation of the necessaries of life. This might not be the only result of a direct system. Where land contributes to the society in proportion to society's contribution to it holding land out of use becomes an unprofitable occupation. One of two results may therefore be expected; either the land will be made productive, or put on the market. These two tendencies working together would, apparently, redound to the advantage of labour. The first would cause a demand for productive labour in agriculture, the building trades and so forth; the second would render it increasingly possible for labour, with small capital, to employ itself directly upon the land. In this way the demand for productive labour might be increased, the competition lessened among the industrial masses, and greater accumulating capacity developed among the smaller incomes, through the elimination of the taxation of necessaries. The repeal of these taxes, together with the added expense of holding land out of use, might bring labour into wider and more direct contact with the soil, causing normal land distribution in accordance with its most productive use. This tendency might result in a rise in wages imtil the return to labour had reached its normal level. There exists, perhaps, no more instructive history of labour than that of Professor Thorold Rogers. As this work is studied, the complete sub- jection of labour to the land-owning and legislative classes is pre- sented with singular force, and this subjection is brought about chiefly through fiscal legislation. All that is necessary to cause the complete dependence of the industrial masses upon capital is to exempt the land from just contribution, and increase burdens upon living expenses. This is shown by Professor Rogers with reference to English labour after the examination of material dating from the earliest records until yesterday; and English labour is shown to be as much at the mercy of the English land-owner after the Wat Tyler insurrection as before. Labour may be "freed" by legislative enactment, but this freedom may have slight results where a class retains control over fiscal decisions. The legislation capable of granting manumission was capable of passing Acts regulating the rate of wages, i of debasing the coin in which the wages were paid, 2 of creating the Quarter Sessions assessments,^ of Bk. IV Labour » Work and Wages. ■ p. 428. " p. 353- Thorold Rogers, p. 489. 267 extinguishing the ancient rights of the peasantry with reference to pasture and fuel,^ of permitting enclosures, ^ of confiscating the fimds of the labour guilds,^ of passing the Law of Settlement,* of establishing the Com Laws,^ of placing a disproportionate burden of taxation upon labour,^ and of reducing wages still further by means of import and excise.^ There can apparently be but one result of legislation of this nature — a constant deterioration in the condition of the industrial masses subject to its influence. "From one point of view," says Professor Rogers,^ "the analyist of the 'good old times* may be able to show that life was shorter, disease more rife, the market of food more unsteady, the conveniences and comforts of life fewer and more precarious than they now are. From another point of view, and that by far the most accurate and exact, the relative position of the workman was one of far more hope and far more plenty in the days of the Plantagenets than it has been in those of the House of Hanover; that wages were, relative to their purchasing power, far higher, and the margin of enjoy- able income over necessary expenditure was in consequence far wider." A study of these and analogous facts in every country shows that the only thing essential to the subjugation of labour is a fiscal system which keeps land out of its reach. The shifting of the basis of the national revenue from the land to consumption, by means of excise and import duties, is a means perfectly adapted to this end. These taxes will create a network around the industrial masses of a society, and while the revenue necessary for social organization can be largely drawn from their needs, the wealth which they create collectively, in the form of land values, will fall entirely into the control of individuals. In this way, the wage workers may be held at swords' length from the land, while forced to contribute the bulk of the expense necessary to keep the sword sufficiently sharp for the purpose. This process would be more difficult under a direct system. First, because no legislature would possess the power of destroying the relative value of wages through the taxation of the necessaries of life. Second, because the absorption » Ibid. p. 488. » p. 488. • P- 349. * P- 433- « p. 489. •p. 489. »p.489. p. 490. ■ H if .^- •HI 268 Fiscal Problems Pt. Ill of unimproved land values by the society would cause all land to be brought to its most productive use. That is, bring labour itself into more direct contact with it. There is another influence which might be brought into existence under a direct fiscal system. Reasons have been presented for be- lieving that the wealth society creates, in the form of land values, is greater, in annual value, than the cost of social administration. If such is the case, how should the surplus be used after social needs are met? Industrial conditions require the supplanting of the aged, if society is to be maintained at its maximum of productive activity. But the aged have contributed their share to the wealth and develop- ment of the society, and society owes them the surplus after social needs have been satisfied. It seems, therefore, if such a surplus exists, that it should be distributed annually throughout the older members of the social organization in the form of old age pensions. Such a system might have effect upon administration. Where every individual has a direct pecuniary interest in maintaining land values at a maximum, and social expenses at a minimum, administrative extravagance and waste might not be so common as at present. The relation of a direct fiscal system to labour may be summarized as follows: (i) By means of freeing wages and the smaller incomes from disproportionate taxation, their value and accumulating capacity may be increased. (2) To render unproductive land owning unprof- itable, might bring land nearer the reach of labour; thus increasing its capacity for self-employment. (3) The elimination of taxes on industry might increase the productive and consuming power of the society, and thus the demand for productive labour. (4) The distribu- tion of surplus social revenue among the aged might insure labour its legitimate share in socially created wealth. CHAPTER II RAILWAYS MR. HERBERT SPENCER, in his Autobiography,^ tells of Huxley saying that Spencer's idea of a tragedy was a "deduction killed by a fact." From the Spencerian point of view with reference to tragedy, few subjects are so fraught with wreck and ruin as the history of railway trans- portation, when brought in contact with conventional economic gen- eralizations. Stephenson*s combination of escape steam-blast and tubular boiler, of strong draught and large heating surface, resulting in the application of steam to transportation, brought into existence one of the greatest forces in the industrial world — the modern railway. As the origin and development of this power are studied, conventional theories are found singulariy at fault. There is, perhaps, no subject entering into the process of the production and distribution of wealth, to which familiar economic conceptions are less applicable, and in reference to which conclusions may be advanced with greater diflidence. The different interests are not only so numerous, but so widely diversified and so little subject to generalization governing other conditions, that no little temerity is required in hazarding any opinion. The proposition, however, seemingly least out of harmony with established conditions and the most intelligent opinion is as follows: The interests of rail- ways are so inextricably involved with the interests of society at large, that it is impossible to distinguish at what point they diverge, and, therefore, in the majority of cases, the permanent interests of a society may best be furtiiered by the furtherance of the permanent interests of its railways. There are two points of view from which the modem railway may be studied: the external and internal. Of the two, the latter is the more instructive and deserving of attention. From it, alone, may be seen the functions of the various parts of the railway, considered as a living organism . It is impossible to approximate any even moderately accept- » VoL L, p. 467. 269 4 i 31 i T'^bT 270 Fiscal Problems pt. m Bk. IV ^?i able conception, with reference to railway methods, without apprecia- tion of the requisites upon which the organism depends for its existence. There was few evils of present railway methods; few forms of railway combination or discrimination, whether with reference to rival rail- ways, waterways, competitive points, corporations or individuals, which have not their reason for existence in some way involved with the larger interests of the road; and hence, in some way, with the larger interests of the commimity. These two interests can thus never be separated in any comprehensive study of railway problems. The railway stands in a unique position in economic history, differing widely and in many ways from other forms of enterprise. The orthodox economic conception of competition, generally applicable to other forms of commercial activity, fails when brought in contact with the railway. The assumption that the expansion and contraction of capital or the checking of production, may safely be left to regulate prices under any and all conditions, does not apply to railways to the same extent as to other enterprise; in some cases has no application. The capital invested in railway transportation is of little or no value for other purposes and cannot, therefore, be readily transferred; nor can it cease production when prices reach an unprofitable level as can other capital in the majority of cases. It is nearly always less dis- advantageous for railways to continue operation at a loss than to dis- continue at a larger loss. The bankrupt road and bankrupt competition are thus brought into existence, a form of competition neither frequent nor persistent in other occupations. A railway constitutes an enterprise in which cost of service is prac- tically no guide to price; it may pay to render certain service perman- ently at less than cost, on account of more than compensating advantages. Back-loading may form an important factor in the estab- lishment^of rates, and discrimination with reference to certain points is an almost, if not completely, imavoidable result. Under certain conditions it may be more advantageous for a road to make long, rather than short hauls; and that over the same line, at the same time, and at the same rate. Through trafl&c may be more profitable than local traffic, and vice versa; and this, irrespective of distance, points, tonnage, or many of the considerations which at first seem the con- trolling factors in the establishment of rates. Competition at one point may render it essential to reduce rates below those of a non- competitive point; yet local discrimination of this nature need not be Railways 271 more unfair or unnatural than the discrimination of a canal with reference to a point higher than another: difference in elevation re- qumng a greater number of locks, and thus rendering transportation more expensive. Yet, the situation of a town in the neighbourhood of a waterway or of another railway, is a natural condition, closely analogous to the greater or less elevation of a point with reference to a canal. Discrimination against, or in favour of, individuals is among the greatest difficulties met from the external point of view Yet even here it might at times be shown that, under certain conditions enterprise otherwise impossible could be built up in this way. Competition between railways, as understood between other forms of mdustry, is practically out of tiie question. The ultimate result between competing roads must, apparently, always be some form of agreement as to territory, traffic, rates or division of earnings. The railway stands again in a peculiar position with reference to the commumty, the administration, its patrons, and to other railways Its corporate existence, in the first place, requires a certain amount of legal regulation involving legislation. Again, in exercising the right of emment domain, as railways must, the railway depends upon ad- mmistrative support; as also where built and run with aid of govern- mental subsidies. These and other influences bring railways peculiarly under legislative and administrative control, naturally suggesting legislative relief from difficulties. Yet legislative influence, where extended beyond the essential, is not always an unmixed benefit to the commumty. In a certain sense, there is no more reason for a society to surrender its railways to private ownership and management than to adopt the same course with reference to its highways or the streets of its cities. On another hand, the analogy be- tween a highway or a street, and a raflway, is only extemaUy and momentarily apparent; essential distinctions obKterate any but super- ficial resemblance. The various forms of administrative control, tried from time to time have not been successful. Mr. Acworth refers to the limitation of dividend, sliding scales, periodic revision of rates, fixed minimum rates, and other suggestions in the terms of Sir Albert RoUiti as 'dangerous delusions" which to many minds will not seem ex- travagant. Perhaps the greatest volume of material coUected and *n relation to Railways. A Policy of Free Exchange, p. xg^, r«i,i«oiaM 272 Fiscal Problems Pt. Ill Bk. IV Railways 373 classified with reference to railway management, is that of the cele- brated Italian Commission ^ which sat for three years and studied the subject in all forms, in every country. The final conclusions of the Commission were opposed to state owner- ship or control, in consideration of service rendered, expense, and polit- ical dangers involved. After this elaborate report. Italy gave up state management and adopted the measures suggested. The elusive nature of the subject is shown by the fact that Italy, after all her varied reports and experiences, has gone round in a ring, as it were, and returned to state ownership; and, it might be added, seems more or less in doubt with reference to the results. If, however, the advisability and, at times, necessity of a certain amount of administrative supervision of railways is recognized, another prolific field of discussion is opened. Questions occur with reference to the nature of such supervision; whether it should be vested in the legislative assembly, the executive, the judiciary, or in some other authority, or combination of authorities. Again, the development of the railway in different countries has been due to different causes, and carried on under different conditions; considerations which lead into new and more confusing quandries. In certain countries, the railway has preceded the needs and develop- ment of the commimity, as at times in America; or, the reverse may be the case, as notably in England. The railway in other coimtries has grown up independently of plan or system, as in Belgium; or may be the result of long and carefully formulated preparation, as in France. The history of railway development is, in fact, almost as varied as the history of the different countries in which the development has taken place. In some countries, the railway has been created and fostered by governments; in others, developed by private initiative and capital; in some, traceable to purely mdustrial causes; in others, largely affected by speculation, or political and military considerations. It is evident, therefore, that railways, starting from such varied origins, continued under such different influences, and presenting such baffling material for analysis, evolve different conditions for study wherever found. The most superficial review of railway methods in different countries, reveals essential distinctions in many or all cases; distinctions naturally » Atti deUa Commissione d'Inckiesta sulVEsercitio delk Perrovie Italiane, 1881. An interesting summary ol this report will be found in President Hadley's luminous work. Railroad TransporUUion, Chapter XII. evolving different relations between the railway and the State, These relations may be broadly divided into five classes, which Mr. Acworth^ has summarized as follows; (i) The State may both own and work. (2) It may own and not work, but lease. (3) It may work without owning. (4) It may neither own nor work, but merely control. (5) It may let the railways alone altogether. These classifications may be simplified for the present purpose: 1. Complete state ownership, operation, and control. 2. Complete private ownership, operation, and control. 3. Intermediate conditions. The relation may be considered of a direct fiscal system to State and railway. I. Railways owned and controlled by the State present no difficulty. State property need not be affected by changes in fiscal methods. A reduction in rates might be expected, having a possible beneficial effect upon industries coming under their influence. This reduction could occur through the repeal of taxes on iron and steel, and, in general, of all taxes increasing the cost of extensions and running expenses. II. In countries in which railways are privately owned and controlled, important problems are presented. On one hand, great national tansportation systems, representing enormous interests, earning powers, and franchise values, are dominated by individuals. This places not only the control of volumes of socially created earnings in the hands of these individuals, but throws productive industry directly under their influence. This makes it possible for individuals to capitalize and sell, for their own benefit, wealth created by the society. Through the over-capitalization and dilution of earnings, shipping discrimina- tions and so on, it is possible to wield dangerous power over the economic life of a people; swelling accumulations in one direction, while stifling industrial competition and general values in another. It makes it possible, under certain conditions, to turn a national transportation system into a private speculating machine, through the use of its credit and the disposition of its earnings. By means of over-capitalization, suppression, or declaration of dividends, wrecking, receiverships, and reorganizations, values may be affected almost indefinitely through control of transportation organizations. * The State in Releiion to Railways, in A Policy a/Free Exchange, p. 165. ii| 1 •! 9 tft' 274 Fiscal Problems Pt. Ill Bk. IV Railways This may suggest that the direct and full assessment of railway franchises could but prove advantageous. It may appear that such a step, together with the necessary publicity involved, would act as a salutary check upon rate discrimination and railway exploitation in general. Again, it might be said, where these great public service franchises are made the object of administrative fiscal solicitude, that capitalization will be largely limited to cost of construction and ex- tension, and, consequently, the exploitation of a society, by means of the manipulation of securities issued against the societies' own wealth, will be proportionately checked. These, and allied considerations, suggest that the absorption of social wealth controlled by individuals, in the form of railway's franchises, might be of economic advantage to the society as a whole. Unfortunately, such considerations but present a single side of the questions at issue. On another side is found a vast railway system, involved in an incalculable number of ways, throughout the vital financial interests of a nation, with rates influenced by the amount of socially created wealth in the hands of corporations. Thus, not only are the rates and activities of the railway influenced by private ownership, but the railway's securities and indebtedness are concerned. These, again, enter into every financial and industrial channel in the country through loans and investments of bank and saving institutions. Securities of this nature present sensitive and fluctuating values, intimately affected by taxation in many ways. These securities affect, not the railway alone, but fiduciary institutions, and through them the credit and industrial basis of the society. To affect the value of railway securities adversely, may endanger the whole fabric of the people's industrial existence. Looked at from one point of view, the subject seems clear and simple; from another, involved in impenetrable clouds. The problem is, how to reach the socially created wealth in the hands of privately owned and controlled railways; to withdraw the power of railway exploitation and discrimination from individuals, and, at the same time, neither injure the railway, in taxing its property as a corporation, nor affect its securities. The problem may present hopeless difficulties. If there is any solution, however, it can be reached but through the constant conservation of the railways* interests at every step, and in the elimination of all danger- ous and antagonistic legislation. The problem suggests the follo^\dng general considerations: Railways and railway franchises in private hands are at present 27s taxed, both directly and indirectly. The amount of direct taxation is a known quantity; this amount, instead of being levied upon real estate rolling stock, securities, and improvements, could be assessed upon the land privileges of the railway. This step need involve no disturb- ance. The amount of indirect taxation, paid by the railway, might be approximated by means of estimates with reference to its con- sumption of taxed goods, iron, steel, and so on. With the gradual repeal of indirect taxation, this amount could be assessed upon franchises as the indirect burdens were eliminated. After this transposition, the railway would be paying no more taxes than at first. Here, again, no difficulty occurs. In questions with refer- ence to amounts or estimates, the final decision may nearly always be left to the railway, the subject being of but temporary interest to the society. If all taxes paid by railways are to be concentrated upon land privileges, the value of these privileges should next be estimated. The tax already paid, and that to be finally assessed, would then be a matter of simple calculation. If the railway were paying too much, the difference could be repealed; if not enough, a certain amount would remain to be assessed. This amount is a known quantity and could be'assessed in the following way. A period of time could be selected, as far as possible that most convenient for the railway. The total amount could then be divided into percentages, also to suit the convenience of the railway; and these, again, paid during intermediate periods; once more as far'as possible in accordance with the railway's decisions. These periods and per- centages could be made of any desired length or amount, and should be made in co-operation with the railway; step by step, and, within certain limitations, it might be said, as the railway decided. Temporary decisions would be of Uttle moment to the society, and might be of vital importance to the railway. If the absorption of these franchise values were approached in this way, that is with every effort to protect and benefit the railway at every step, the attempt at least might be made without hopeless failure at the outset. Under the most favourable conditions, however, the process would involve difficulties which should never be overlooked, and which can be met but with the exhaustive study and consideration of every problem presented. ni. Conditions intermediate between State and private ownership require no lengthy discussion. The preceding considerations might 44^ I* I } 376 Fiscal Problems Pt. Ill Bk. IV apply to State or private interests, as the property fell into one class or the other. A few general considerations may be hazarded, subject to modification as affected by specific conditions. Great transportation and public service systems, in private control, such as the railways of England and the United States, represent millions of security values owned by the people at large, or held by fiduciary institutions, against which the institutions have lent the savings of the people. The control of this enormous volume of wealth lies in the hands of the few men controlling the directorates of the railways and the institutions. Where such conditions exist imder a protective and indirect fiscal system, the properties represented may be taxed and bled in two ways. Every tax on iron and steel will absorb a portion of railway earnings and depress railway securities. Every possibility of the use of corporate credit, may divert another portion of earnings into the pockets of those in control. The value of the land privilege of a railway will depend upon rates in relation to nmning expenses. With existing, or productively modified, schedules of rates, it is not impossible that untaxed running expenses might increase railway earnings under a direct system. If taxes on iron and steel are repealed on one hand, and private speculation in railway earnings is checked on another, these earnings might be paid to the holders of the securities in the form of dividends instead of to protected interests and stock manipulators in the form of taxes and privately controlled franchises. Railway paper in general and fiduciary institutions might thus be benefited. This would, of course, depend upon the relations established between land privileges, running expenses, and rates, and everything should be done to support railway values in such relations. One method of railway control has never been attempted, and may be mentioned, as of possible interest in a direct fiscal system. This method is the administrative application of the holding organiza- tion. By means of such an organization a society, through its admin- istration, might control its transportation system without the expense and danger of either owning or operating. This might be done without money as follows: An administration could create a holding corpora- tion with whatever capitalization was necessary. Interest on shares in this organization could be guaranteed at a conservative rate. These shares would then possess the value of a government security, and could be used to obtain control of the stock of the chief railways, or Railways 277 railway holding companies. The administration need not be embar- rassed through the issue of these obligations; control of rates could pro- duce the funds required. An organization of this kind might be of service m the application of direct fiscal methods to raHways The creation of such an administrative railway holding organization would open problems of application and control, requiring long and carefid study. It has at least the advantage of not being a demon- strated failure and the idea may not be unworthy the examination of those mterested m administrative problems. "1 I i !'l %y , Wn i CHAPTER ni MONEY THE relation of fiscal and monetary systems is more intimate than that of any other economic factors imder administra- tive control. Money is affected by taxation and reacts upon it in two ways: First, the system of taxation may affect the nature and volume of the circulating medium through the taxation of issues; second, as taxes are paid in money, the entire fiscal sytem is dependent upon the nature of the medium in which the taxes are paid. Thus, money presents a subject wholly exceptional in relation to revenue systems, existing or suggested. The importance of this relation is so great that it leads to exceptional consideration. The repeal of a tax affecting a commodity, if intelligently conceived and executed, may have no effect other than the elimination of an im- necessary burden. The repeal of a tax affecting the value of money might be the exact reverse, certain individuals reaping inordinate profits contributed by the people, in the derangement of their financial system. This relation between money and taxation demands that the first care of an administration should be to insure the permanent stability of the value of money. Any system not recognizing this can work little but disaster. The repeal of taxes affecting the issue of money, or influ- encing the currency in any way, is of especial significance in relation to a single, direct system. Difl&culty is here met of which no adequate treatment exists. The few writers who touch the subject usually limit themselves to suggestions of certain, ill-defined advantages of greater "freedom" in banking under direct methods. That the word "freedom," used in juxUposition with the word "banking," suggests some vague association of ideas in connexion with the more or less dearly understood issue of paper money, is not unlikely; and any treat- ment of the subject, in which the word "freedom" has ever so slight a share, and the word "banking" is left in a mist, may well render it or any allied policy unworthy further examination. The repeal of existing taxes affecting money would leave the monetary system of the coimtry in a nebulous condition. Such a condition might 278 Bk. IV Money 279 destroy any advantages derived, and create an entirely new series of industrial and financial evils. There are few administrative possibiH- ties so dangerous as ignorant legislative tampering with money. A fiscal system, based upon ground-rent as a single source, involves the repeal of taxes affecting money. But the repeal of such taxes in- volves incalculable results and may be disastrous. How, then, may this crux be met? Two ways suggest themselves. First, the fact that specific taxes affect the medium in which the taxes are paid leads to exceptional treatment of those taxes. If, therefore, a society reached the point of basing social expenditure on social wealth, the peculiarly monetary taxes could be sifted from others — and continued in existence. The taxes affecting money are nearly always restrictive, and could thus preserve the various forms of money in their present condition. In this way, a change of fiscal methods might be brought about without financial disturbance in connexion with money. This is one way of meeting one of the greatest difficulties with which the single land-tax would have to cope. A second way is as follows: In monetary systems the chief interest centres in paper issues, as metaUic money, short of flagrant legislative aberration, takes care of itself. The number of systems upon which the issues of paper money may be based is practically infinite. Jevons^ mentions fourteen classifica- tions any one of which may be used singly, or in combination with any or aU others. The possible unrestricted combinations of fourteen numbers may be calculated and an extensive series reached; the only limit apparently to the possibilities of issuing paper money. There is thus no lack of material upon which to construct monetary systems; and, with such a wealth of opportunity, it is not remarkable that many writers on currency problems are attacked with that "dangerous kind of intellectual vertigo" to which Jevons refers.2 The extremes of this series of monetary systems, whatever the basis of its construction, however, will be: ist, the simple deposit method, . . . n"^ the uth limited issue of irredeemable paper money. All possible systems of issue will be contained within these extremes, inclusive. There is, however, an important fact to be observed. Great as may be the number of systems contained within the series, they may be tracedto three sources of monetary value; to which they must all » Money and the Mechanism of Exchange, pp. 2i7-22a *Ibid., p. 317. 28o Fiscal Problems Pt. Ill III eventually be referred, singly or combined. These sources are: (i) Intrinsic value; (2) Credit; (3) Legislation. A gold coin or gold certificate, representing a specific deposit of gold of specific fineness is an example of the first. Bank notes or government notes, of a greater or less degree of convertibility, may present examples of the second. Notes issued against revenue payments, paper legal tender, or in- convertible paper money in various forms, may present examples of the third. Monetary history shows that a people's wealth and industry are at the mercy of legislative assembly and financier largely in proportion to the extent in which their monetary system is exposed to the fluctuation of credit and legislation. The simplest and most stable money seems, therefore, that in which not only a specific quantity of gold of specific fineness represents the monetary unit, but one from the foundations of which tlie changing influences of credit and legislation have been expelled: In other words, a metallic money with a metallic standard. A monetary system of this nature — that is, one in which neither credit nor legislation has any share, is peculiarily suited to a single direct, fiscal policy. A money based upon intrinsic worth is a natural money, and the relation of a natural money to a natural fiscal system may be briefly noticed. There are certain objections to metallic money. 1. The "inelasticity" of metallic money; its amount may not vary with varying needs. 2. Expense. As every paper certificate requires an equivalent bullion deposit, interest is lost which might be gained by paper issued in excess of the metallic reserve. 3. A metallic money may form an insuflicient basis for the volume of Exchange. 4. A metallic money, with a single gold standard, fluctuates with the value of gold; and consequently forms a variable medium. These objections may be discussed in order: I. With reference to the relative elasticity of paper and metallic money. Professor Walker^ says: "We have seen that elasticity is also predicated of Incontrovertible Paper Money by its advocates and admirers, but upon examination we foimd that there is no elasticity whatever in such a money, in the sense of its giving imdcr pressure to resimie its shape after pressure is withdrawn. There is no more 1 Money, p. 416. Bk. IV Money 281 elasticity in a circulating medium composed of incontrovertible notes than there is in a lump of dough, which may be pulled out to any length at least until it breaks apart, but never flies back when the distending force is withdrawn. "But is there elasticity, in any proper sense, in a Convertible Paper Money? Those who demand that money shall be ' elastic,' mean by this that there shaU be more of it at one time than at another Is this elasticity? A rubber band is elastic, but there is no more of it at one time than at another. It will cover more ground at one time than at another, but, it only does so by becoming thinner. There wiU be more of it, in any one place, at one time than at another, but for this reason, there is less of it in some other place. There is no more rubber when the band is stretched than there was before. Now elasticity m this, the true sense, belongs eminently to metalUc money' No class of commodities known to men yield more quickly under pressure, or react more promptly. If an exceptional demand arises anywhere, gold or sUver responds with an alacrity which would be unattamable by any article not possessing great value for its bulk and not, at the same time, that arUcle in which the values of aU commodi- ties are expressed for purposes of exchange." _ n. A money, from which every admixture of credit and legislation IS ejected, and which rests upon intrinsic bullion value, does not permit the saving of interest through paper issues in excess of the bullion reserve. This fact, in the opinion of some writers, causes an unnecessary expense m connexion with a metallic money. That such expense is m any sense a disadvantage, in comparison with the gain upon another side, IS, however, not admitted by many whose opinion may not be lightly disregarded. The attention may be concentrated upon the inconvertible bank notes of France, which a careful administration has long mamtained at par with gold; upon the notes of the Scottish banks, at times preferred by tiie people to metallic money: upon tiie issues of the Bank of England, during die restriction; or, upoV otiier such Tke Great Problem ofow Great Towns, reprinted from the Echo, pp. 15-16. 286 I Bk. IV Property 287 out of which the grants of about i 2-3 millions are made. The total amount contributed by the public in general is, therefore, £11,004,632. "We arrive, therefore, at this interesting comparison: London land values (created by public) say £16,000 000 London's expenses (paid by public) 11)0041632 " The people of London pay, directly or indirectly, £11,000,000 a year to make and keep the land valuable; and then pay £16,000,000 a year to the landlords because it is valuable." These methods are typical of existing systems. Societies tax them- selves in order to continue their organized existence. This existence together with the expenditure of the public funds, creates great annual values belonging peculiarly to the society, for the reason that they are caused by social activities. Present administrations then hand a large portion of this social wealth over to the ownership and control of indivi- duals. There can be but one result, a result analogous to that created by the indirect taxation of living expenses; namely, the pro- gressive accumulation of socially created wealth in the hands of the richer members of the society. The present administrative system, therefore, seems subversive of the rights of property, so far as public property is concerned, in denying to society the wealth society creates. How the present system destroys and undermines the right of individual property, m the form of wages and the smaller incomes, throughout all societies based upon the taxation of living expenses, has been shown. ^ The existent system seems destructive of individual property rights in other ways. The expenditure of public funds creates rental values. The absorption by individuals of these ground-rents created by the population on one hand, and paid by the same pop- ulation on another, undermines property rights in incomes and wages swelling ground-rents in large cities. Rural districts present analogous conditions. The agricultural labourer is held from the soil by means of legislation with reference to land and the indirect taxation of his wages. In England, especially, the time, capital, and labour expended upon the cultivation of the soil seem largely at the mercy of the owner or lessee of the land. This influence does not stop here, however. Through the power of expelling the labo urer from the cottage or allotment, freedom of opinion and * Cf., pp 356, a(Sx. :; 1 * 288 Fiscal Problems Pt. Ill Bk. IV : i I political discussion may be stifled. The following is dted from the Report of the Proceedings of the Rural Reform Conference. ^ Mr. William Weston (Wisbech Division of Cambridgeshire): "I stand before you a workingman hailing from the Northern or Wisbech Division of Cambridgeshire, and I am here to-day to represent the workingmen. Their great request was that I should put before the Conference the Allotment Question. That is a question that is nearest to the heart of every workingman in our village. We have failed already to get our land by Acts that have been passed before, but we have in our villages at the present time some land vmder the Volimtary system. But I wish to let this Conference know that this Voluntary system is likely to prove a failure. I may tell you that where I live we have sixteen allotments, and when a question cropped up between us and one of the landlords, he threatened to expel us next Michaelmas at one month's notice. Now, I ask this Conference and any agricultural labourers the question: Can rural labourers in this or any other country, farm under a system like that? What we want, gentlemen, and what we mean to have, is fixity of tenure. Our workingmen have had this land for some years, which was full of twitch, and though they cleared it and manured it and cultivated it, still they are threatened to be expelled, next Michaelmas, and they say, 'We cannot go on without food, manure, etc. What is to be done?'. . . On the nth of September they can give us notice, and on the nth of October we have to quit our allotments without any compensation." The following are extracts from the remarks of Mr. Hines' (Mid- Oxfordshire) : " Now, what I want to impress upon you is this — what- ever you do, make an appeal to every candidate that comes before the constituency of which you are a member, and impress upon their minds the necessity of making an alteration in the tenancy of the cottagers in this country. My friend, Joseph Arch, I see by reading this paper which I have been reading, has brought forward a movement to the effect that the labourers shall not be evicted from their cottages with less than six months' notice. My friends, I go further than this myself, and I think the scheme originated with me, as far as South Oxfordshire and North Buckinghamshire was concerned, that no power in existence, either landlord, land agent, or house farmer should have the power to > The Condition of the Rural Population. A Verbatim Report of the Proceedings of the Rural ReformCon- ference, held at the Memorial EaU, Farringdon Street. Duember loth, iSgz, under the Auspices of the National Liberal Federation, p. 43. • Ibid, pp. 49-SO. Property 289 turn the agricultural labourer adrift with less than twelve months' notice. . . . What do I find when I go out into North Worcester- shire? I find agricultural labourers come to me one after another and say: *We could put up with this village; we could put up with the wages and with the allotments of this village, but the way in which we are put into cottages, and forced to rent under a farmer makes the places like gaols.' Hundreds of times the labourers have come to me, when I have been trying to organise them, and to persuade them to join the Agricultural Labourers' Union, and they have said 'We would join the Union, and it is our wish to join the Union, but though we are not afraid of being discharged from our employment, we are afraid of being evicted from our cottages and turned adrift'; and all of you know what eviction from the cottages means." The profitable working of the soil is dependent upon a degree of permanency of tenure. Where this is endangered, the time, labour, and capital expended are endangered to an equivalent extent; and where rent and rates can be raised owing to improvements, the prop- erty represented by improvements is proportionately endangered. One more citation may be presented from this collection. Mr. C. H. Cardell,! C. C. (Launceston Division of Cornwall) says: "What is the first cry of the agricultural labourer when he gets his allotment? It is for security for improvements and security of tenure. Bear in mind that that security of tenure in their case, important as it is, is not so important as it is in the case of the tenant-farmer, because a tenant- farmer has his all staked in his occupation, but the occupation of an allotment gives the allotment holder but a partial source of income. "The question has been referred to in regard to the crowding of our population from the country districts into the towns. What is the cause of this? It is because good culture is a penal thing. Good culture is to-day absolutely iUegal. Let any man try it, and he will find that the capital once placed in the soil is as absolutely confiscated as though they had smuggled it. I say that as soon as a man has a thousand pounds in his pocket, the Army, the Navy, and the whole Constitution defend him in his right to it, but the very moment he places these coins in soil, he loses, before any tribunal in the land, every particle of right to it.^ Under those circumstances how can it be that agriculture should flourish? The gentleman who spoke just now said it was a monstrous thing tha t so many farms should be merged into one, and that the popu- * Ibid., p. 59. 290 Fiscal Problems Pt. Ill lation should be disappearing. Why is it? It is because bad culture is the only legal culture, because good culture has no security, in spite of all the Agricultural Holdings Acts that have been passed. A gentleman who was certainly not prejudiced, in bearing testimony against this Act, said the other day in Norfolk that 300 exchanges has taken place in the coimty, and only two of those exchanges had taken placed under the Act. And why? Because it is a dead letter. " Gentleman, the time is coming when these things must be altered. The old proverb used to state, *That which could not be cured must be endured.' But that old proverb has been misread, and now it is, *What can't be endured must be cured.' Gentlemen, our land-owners and our legislators would do well to take note of the proposals and revolutionary ideas which are flooding this country — ideas which I cannot go with altogether myself. But why are these measures being proposed? It is because of the breakdown of the present system of ownership, because the tenant farmers of England to-day dare not put their energy, and enterprise and capital into the soil, and that the minimum system of production is the only system under which we are authorised to proceed. In the county from which I hail, in the last 20 years we have decreased something like 40,000 in population. Those 40,000 people have gone principally from agriculture. And what is the reason? People will not realise that it is because of the absolute insecurity of the tenant's capital, and that therefore the culture has gone out of the country." Such conditions lead to the conclusion that present systems of land tenure are largely subversive of property rights, represented in capital and labour invested in the direct culture and improvement of the soil. Property of this kind is attacked at present with the familiar results of urban overcrowding and agricultural destitution. An incident cited in the Reminiscences of Sir Edward Russell ^ shows how far-reaching and pervasive is this attack on private property. "Her Majesty, the Queen, when staying in one of her country residences, had upon a visit a gentleman of high situation, to whom on one occasion she said, when speaking of the neighbourhood: *I don't like the s (re- ferring to a landed family in the neighbourhood). 'Why, ma'am?' asked the gentleman. *0h!' answered the Queen, * because they are very bad to their tenants, and many of their cottages are in a horrid state, and if anything is done by any tenant at their own expense to improve 1 Quoted from Taxation Reform, by F. D. Perrott, p. 14.J Bk. IV Property 291 their condition, the first thing the -s do is to raise the rent upon them. The gentleman courteously replied: 'Well, I am only glad, ma 'am, that you sympathise with the afflictions of the tenants.' Where- upon the Queen said: *0h, I am a tenant myself from Mr. of , and I have made many improvements, and every time I have made an improvement my rent has been raised." "Building is at present penalized," says the Right Honourable Charies Booth. 1 "A property in section (A) is perhaps old and out of repair, but if the owner should rebuild and by so doing increase its annual value say, from £300 to £600, the occupier, would on the system now in use, have to pay not only this additional rent, but also double the amount of the former rates." These considerations refer to English systems of land tenure. In the essential feature of the subject, however, they seem sufficiently typical to permit the following generalizations: (i) The expenditure of public funds, and the existence of society, create and increase a volume of annual wealth represented in ground-rents, franchises, mineral privileges, and so forth. This property, created by society, belongs to society in equity and right reason. The present system, in permitting this wealth to remain largely in private possession and control, destroys the right of society to property created by and belonging to it. (2) Owing to the existing insecurity of the property rights of tenants, the progressively cumulative burdens laid upon smaUer incomes, through the taxation of living expenses, together with opportunities of financial manipulation which these taxes create, the property of the tenant and poorer classes is effectively " attacked " by existing administrations. The insecurity of property due to these indirect methods is the fun- damental objection to existing fiscal and administrative systems. Prop- erty can never be secure under a system based upon the taxation of vital needs for protective purposes and fiscal burdens laid in proportion to necessary living expenses. Every day such a system, continues in existence but destroys and distorts the circulation of the people's wealth, concentrates it in this channel or that, and destroys the property rights of the bulk of the population in wealth which it creates. A direct fiscal system, based on social wealth, does not seem open to these objections. Properly understood and properly administered, such a system would absorb for social needs only that property created by the s ociety, and allow the individual undisturbed possession of > Life and Labour of the People of London, Final Vol., p. 195. ■ 1 292 Fiscal Problems Pt. Ill property due to his own exertions. At the same time, it would take it largely, if not entirely, out of the power of the individual to exploit the resources of a society for his own gain, through the control of values created by fiscal and administrative decisions. Such a system would be based fundamentaUy upon property, in particular and in general. Such a system would give to the individual that which belonged to the individual, to the society that which belonged to the society — it would render unto Caesar that which was Caesar's. I It i! 4 CHAPTER V NATURAL ECONOMICS WHAT is the natural process of the distribution wealth with reference to the derivation of social revenue? Social revenue should evidently be derived from the an- nual revenue of the entire people. In what then does the total gross revenue of the people consist? How may it be reached? To what extent should it be apportioned to social needs, and how may that portion be absorbed by society, without affecting the productive capacity of individuals? The various systems of industrial activity are carried on through the agency of two distinct industrial groups which might be called the directly and indirectly productive. Both groups will be productive in a general sense, but a distinction may be made between the two forms of production. The first, or directly productive group, will include those members of the society whose interests are concerned with the direct exploitation of the resources of the earth; the second, or indi- rectly productive, those devoted to the modification, or preparation for consumption, of the crude material actually produced by the first group. The distinction between the two forms of industry may be illustrated by a comparison of the occupations of the farmer and the miller; the farmer produces the grain, the miUer prepares it for consump- tion. Again, the miner extracts from the earth the crude ores rendered available only after passing through the hands of the smelter and the metallurgist; the railway and transportation interests distributing it throughout the society. The distinction between the two forms of production is evident upon a moment's reflection; and, for the sake of convenience, they may be styled productive and manufacturing; the first is devoted to the direct production of raw material, the second to its subsequent modification or distribution. The gross revenue of a people, in its original form, consists in that mass of crude material annually brought into existence by the activities of the directly productive members of the society. AU the material wealth a people can possess must be contained in some form within 293 294 Fiscal Problems Pt. Ill this annual volume of raw production. The question then is one of distribution. How should this total gross revenue of society be dis- tributed to the individual units? In order to approach the subject more definitely, let it be supposed that all the fruits and harvests of the earth, the products of the mine, the field, the vineyard, and the chase, lay before a single arbiter for distribution, as the different classes of the people present their claims and receive their shares. The directly productive class would naturally be the first considered, for the total gross revenue is due to its industry. But before it receives its share it will be found that this class separates itself into three distinct subdivisions: (i) the class of labourers, or wage workers; (2) that of employers, or organizers of labour; (3) land-owners. Those to whom the first distribution shoiild be made would perhaps be the laboxuing, or wage-working, class and their claims may be heard first. On reflection, however, these claims seem established, as agreed upon with the employing class. That portion of the gross social prod- uce which belongs to the labouring class has already been fixed, in the amoimt of wages agreed upon. To the wage-working class, therefore, may be given a portion of the total produce equal to the value of Wages. The employing, or capitalist, class is next in turn. To this class, it is evident, belongs that portion of the total revenue representing the risk, skill, ability, and capital contributed by its members to general production. To this class, then, belongs that share of the total wealth represented by Profits. After these returns have been made, the proprietor, or land-owning dass will naturally lay claim to the remainder of the total social revenue. That the remainder of the revenue belongs to the land-owning class in return for the use of their land, and the improvements thereon, may not appear imnatural; and the entire remainder of the revenue, after Wages and Profits are deducted, may be handed over to the land-owning dass in the form of Rent. In this way, the total gross revenue of the sodety will be distributed. If the manufacturing dass asks in what way its revenue is to be derived, it may be pointed out, that while the whole revenue has already been distributed, it is yet in its crude, or imavailable, form. Before it can be of use it must be handed over to the manufacturing dass to be pre- pared for consiunption; during this process, the proper share will natur- ally be contributed to the members of this class in return for its industry. Bk. IV Natural Economics 295 In this way, the gross revenue of the society will apparentiy be divided justly and satisfactorily to all concerned, and all might be well if, at this juncture, another class did not put in an appearance and request to be provided with its share of the annual revenue. This class represents a subdivision of the indirectiy productive class, but, as its members are not occupied in industry or transportation, how may these demands be met? This class represents the administrative members of the society; through their occupations, the society has been assured of the order and security necessary to production and it is essential that it should receive its reward. But whence shall this reward be derived, and in what proportion? To all other dasses of the people seemed to belong an established, and naturally regulated, portion of the total wealth; here alone difliculty occurs, after the total wealth had apparently been justly distributed. It is evident that the administrative class is not industrially productive, either directly or indirectly; its reward, therefore, must come from the results of the activities of the directly productive class. But how and in what proportion? This is, perhaps, the most pregnant question in political and economic inquiry. Upon the answer will depend the fiscal and financial history of the resulting society. If administrative expenses are withdrawn from the wages of the workers, an unjust burden will be laid upon their strength and vitality, their productive and consuming powers will be affected, and the total product of the sodety diminished. If the expense of adminstration is withdrawn from the profits of the capitaHst or employing dass, an unjust burden wiU be laid upon em- ployment and industry, and the productive power of this dass pro- portionately checked. There remains that portion of gross revenue handed over to the land- owning class, after the deduction of wages and profits. The functions of the land-owner, as a member of the directiy productive dass, are two- fold: first, he must put his land in a productive condition; second, he must maintain that condition. Production depends upon the first, its continuance upon the second. It is essential, therefore, to the most effective production, that the improvements of the land-owner should be untaxed. To withdraw administrative expenses from the annual value of these improvements places an unjust burden upon improve- ment rent and checks proportionately the most productive of occu- I j' 296 Fiscal Problems Pt. Ill Bk. IV pations — the direct development of land. The revenue of the land- lord, therefore, or total rent, may be divided into three portions: (i) The' rent of improvements; (2) profits; (3) a portion representing neither rent, improvements, nor profits necessary for their mainte- nance. A certain portion of the landlord's capital must be spent in the de- velopment of his land, in order to put it in a productive condition. Such expenditure must be profitable, or it will cease and production be proportionately checked. Again, there must be a portion of total rent, represented neither by improvements nor profits, necessary for their maintenance. Were this not so, it might be asked to what is to be traced the rental value of an unimproved city lot. No capital has been spent on improvements, no profits, consequently, can be expected from them; yet such values may not only be great, but increase without the expenditure of individual capital. A portion of the gross social income apparently remains, therefore, in possession of the land-owning class, due neither to its expenditure on improvements nor profits essential to their maintenance. It may thus seem that this portion of the total gross revenue will be the best from which to derive administrative expenses: First, because revenue derived from this source would not be a check on the rewards of pro- duction, as represented in wages, profits, or improvement rents; second, because in deriving administrative expenses from this source, no burden is placed on any class as a productive factor. The burden, on the con- trary, is borne by society as a whole, after each class has received just renumeration for its productive activities. These considerations suggest that that portion of gross revenue best reserved for admin- istrative expenditure is that represented by the annual value of the undeveloped powers of the earth in control of the land-owning class. The foregoing passages contain a brief statement of the position developed by those inquirers in France known as the Physiocrates, or CEconomistes. Their views will be found elaborated in the works of Quesnay, Dupont de Nemours, Mercier de La Riviere, Tabbe Baudeau- and others. These views had at one time some influence, and during the early revolutionary period were partly put into practice. Arthur Young made his celebrated journey through France at that time, and was interested in all political and administrative questions of the day. He had found a property in the Bourbonnais,^ at Villeneuve KYoung's Travels in France, p. 23X« Natural Economics 297 sur-Allier near Moulins, which he was anxious to buy. He was one of the best informed agriculturists of his day, a man whose chief char- acteristics were sterling good sense and an honest love of the land. In the range of economic literature, therefore, there is probably no opinion with reference to the applications of the Physiocraric land-tax of greater interest than that of Arthur Young. He was not only an informed inquirer; as an Englishman uninfluenced by political passions, but directly interested in the application of this tax. He says:i "The impossibility of levying the (Economistes land-tax is found in France to be as great in practice as the principles of it were absurd in theory. I am informed (February, 1792), that the confusion arising from this cause, in almost every part of the kingdom, is great. The tax of 300 miUions, laid on the rental of France, would not be more than 2S. 6d. in the pound; too great a burden on just political principles, but not a very oppressive one had it been once fairly assessed, and never afterward varied. But, by pursuing the jargon of the produii net, a.nd making it variable, instead of fixed, every species of incon- venience and uncertainty has arisen. The assembly divided the total among the departments; the departments the quotas among the dis- tricts; the districts among the municipalities; and the municipalities assembled for the assessment of individuals: the same decree that fixed the tax at 300 millions, limited it also not to exceed one-fifth of the produit net; every man had therefore a power to reject any assessment that exceeded that proportion; the consequence was, the total assigned to the municipalities, was scarcely anywhere to be found, but upon large farms, let at a money-rent in the north of France; among the small proprietors of a few acres, which spread over so large a part of the kingdom, they all screened themselves under definitions, of what the produit net meant; and the result was, that the montii of December, which ought to have produced 40 millions, reaUy produced but 14. So practical has this visionary nonsense of the produit net proved, under the dispensations of a mere democracy, though acting nominally by representatives. ... The people, without property, have a direct interest in seconding the refusals of otiiers to pay, that are in the lowest classes of property, and who can really fll afford it; one great objection to all land-taxes, where possessions are much divided. With power in such hands, tiie refusal is effective, and tiie national treasury is empty . But supposing such enormous difficulties overcome, and ^ Ibid, p. 349. ,'i il'i Ji! ,1- (ti 298 Fiscal Problems Pt. Ill Bk. IV 'i' m these little properties valued and taxed on some practicable plan, from that moment there must be a new valuation every year; for, if one has wealth enough to improve beyond the capacity of the rest, they immedi- ately shift a proportion of their tax on him; and this has accordingly happened, early as it is in the day, and indeed is inherent in the nature of the tax, as promulgated by the assembly. Thus annual assessments, annual confusion, annual quarrels, and heart-burnings, and annual oppression, must be the consequence; and all this because a plain, simple and practicable mode of assessment was not laid down by the legislature itself, instead of leaving it to be debated and fought through 500 legis- latures, on the plan, purely ideal and theoretical, of the CEconomistes! " How this principle affected him individually is shown by the following passage. He says,^ speaking of France: "I had serious thoughts of settling in that kingdom, in order to farm there; but the two measures adopted, of a variable land-tax, and a prohibition on the export of wool, damped my hopes, ardent as they were, that I might have breathed that fine climate, free from the extortion of a government, stupid in this respect as that of England." These passages show the effects of the application of the principles of the Physiocrats, upon one of the best informed minds of that day. They suggest some fimdamental error of the Physiocratic position, in both conception and application. The subject may be briefly reviewed. The problem is to find that portion of the total gross production of a society, essential neither to putting land in a productive condition, nor to the profits necessary for the maintenance of such a condition. The Physiocrates regarded this as a portion of the net product remaining in the hands of productive land-owners after all necessary expenses had been paid. In order to collect such a tax, therefore, they supposed it essential to estimate and assess annually this net product in the hands of productive owners of land; hence the methods adopted, and the diflSculties outlined by Arthur Yoimg. Yet, in a study of the subject, as presented by these men, there seems no other way to assess and collect such a tax. The total crude product must apparently be directly reached through pro- ductive land. And here, it seems, lies the initial error of the Physio- cratic position, in conception and in practice. At the outset of their demonstration, they regarded the owners of land as a productive class. They should have separated the land-owning >IbiA. p. 3SS. Natural Economics 299 class mto two distinct subdivisions: productive and non-productive land-owners. Thus, to return to the illustration, that portion of the totaJ crude product of a society remaining after the claims of Wages and Profits had been satisfied, should be divided as follows: There wiU be but one division of the land-owning class having any just claim to the remamder; that division will be represented by productive land-owners alone. These land-owners will naturally claim that portion of the total product represented in the rental value of their improvements, and this portion should be handed to them. After these needs are satis- fied that portion of total product, previously handed to non-productive land-owners, wiU remain for distribution; and this, it would seem, is the proper portion to reserve for social requirements. The non-productive land-owners could lay no claim to it, for their land would have produced no part of the annual total; their land would have produced nothing. Land of this non-productive kind is represented in city sites, franchises, and non-productive values in general. When, therefore] an amount for administrative needs is to be withdrawn from the total revenue of society, this non-productive land-owning class should con- tribute an amount equal to the non-productive or unimproved value of Its land. In other words, the non-productive or unimproved value of land, in the form of site and franchise values and undeveloped mineral wealth, should remain in the hands of the society and not be distributed except to society itself, in meeting social expenses. When, therefore the total gross product is to be distributed, society should first appro^ pnate to itself that portion represented by the non-productive value of the land under its jurisdiction, and distribute the remainder through the natural channels of exchange. This position understood, many of the difficulties pointed out by Arthur Young with reference to a direct land-tax, disappear; for, assessed m this way, it would bring no burden upon productive land-owners but, on the contrary, could fall upon non-productive or unimproved land m proportion to its value. 'Productive industry would not be taxed, as at present, improvements would not be penalized, as under the existing system; and socially created wealth would support the needs of the society. This is apparently the only way in which that which is Caesar's can be rendered into Caesar. 1'^ !! Part IF PROGRESS U BOOK I PROGRESS AND POLITICS BOOK II INTELLECTUAL PROGRESS BOOK III RELIGION BOOK IV PHILOSOPHY ( ; '•i.t| Book I PROGRESS AND POLITICS CHAPTER I INTRODUCTION THE comparison of direct and indirect fiscal systems is not hmited to economic discussion. The direct system and Free Trade mvolve the aboUdon of import taxation The abandonment of the import duty, however, entails an un- famzhar form of social organization, which may be regarded with distrust, upon other than economic grounds. AU that Smith or Mill wrote m opposition to Protection, and in support of industrial freedom, may be accepted; the theoretic validity of direct fiscal systems may b^ admitted, and yet the abolition of the import duty remains open to wide discussion. The withdrawal from legislatures of power to tax consuniption would be foUowed by a new era in the history of civiliza- tion. Such a st^ would have direct and important influence upon the production and distribution of wealth, but would, at the same time have other influences upon society at large. ' The import duty is an essential factor in' the establishment of national distmcuons national poUdes and national boundaries; together with their attendant nvalries, industrial, social and poUtical. The aba^ donment of the import duty would thus cause important modification m mternational relations, through the elimination of these distinctions. But such ehmmation must cause decline in the political and industrial nvalry dependmg upon them. Were international Free Trade estab- hshed, many existmg political institutions would faU into disuse- among the most important of which would probably be general miUtar; orgamzation. Where national boundaries cease to exist commercial the mamtenance of armaments would sooner or later become an unnec- essary expense; for the reason that poUtico-commercial questions would no longer exist upon the international horizon. Where die ships and traders of every nation have the freedom of whatever lands or waters 303 1/ ». I 304 Progress and Politics Pt. IV Bk. I Introduction welcome their goods, Protection becomes impossible, "spheres of influ- ence" become an anachronism, and miUtary budgets would be subjected, perhaps, to more or less active criticism, wherever greater than necessary for police work. It seems, in fact, that real industrial Uberty, if ever adopted on a large scale, must sooner or later fore-shadow naUonal disarmament. Where the import duty ceases to exist, the chief cause of international complication has been destroyed, and the mdustrid and financial interests of a people or group of peoples become mvolved with the maintenance of peaceful relations, in order to develop markets and establish financial confidence. Such results may seem desirable from a pacific point of view. This attitude wiU not appeal to all, however, and reasons supporting tiie permanent repeal of the import duty may develop grounds for its per- manent adoption. The disadvantages of war are evident and need not be dwelt upon; tiie disadvantages of permanent peace, however, to many observers are not less important. The highest development of human society, botii in general and in particular, is to be achieved but by bringing each nation, or poUtical organization, to its highest pitch of efficiency in every phase of activity. But tiiis can be done through rivalry and competition alone, and any form of industrial freedom which decreases this competition seems subversive of human development. The import duty here appears as a factor in competitive industrial and poUtical conditions; and, consequentiy, in progress m general. These conditions are not only tiie invariable forerunners of otiier progressive influences, but, it may be said, all progress is caused and conditioned by material political progress. Witii increase of national wealtii and political power come intellectual incentive and opportumty; the development of the arts and sciences, and, in general, those influences tending to the elevation of mankind and the betterment of human so- ciety, considered not only materially and economically, but intel- lectually, etiiicaUy, and morally. Upon the progressive poUtical organi- zation tiien, as an essential foundation, depend those influences which might be called the superstructure of progressive society: the arts, culture, science, philosophic inquiry, and inteUectual development. These considerations, with reference to relations existing between social organziations, may be applied almost literaUy to the various relations existing within the society itself; for competitive influences, created by progressive conditions of whatever nature, serve but to cause an increasing degree of efficiency within the social Umits; this 30s efficiency tending to increase the social activities in every field. The fact that social and political progress demands certain conditions, and that these conditions bear heavily upon the industrial niasses, may be a matter of regret; but such conditions seem essential to national development. Industrial liberty, that is, the elimination of all fiscal industrial restrictions, might possess certain theoretic advantages; but its ultimate effect would check existing industrial competition to a large extent. At the same time, the relaxation of competitive conditions must cause compensating relaxation in industrial efficiency; with the result that the progressive development of the society may sooner or later be adversely affected, internally and externally. It requires no stretch of the imagination to trace these influences into a wider field, beyond the national existence. The records, the Uterature, the knowl- edge, which a nation leaves behind it, even long after the nation itself has disappeared; the science and thought of a long silent people, may still aid generations of which an ancient race had never dreamed; and so, upon national progress depend, not alone the development of any given society, but of other peoples, of all peoples: in fact of humanity as a whole. In the panorama of history, the endless flux in human events is perhaps the first condition noticed. To find one permanent society, one enduring civilization, is impossible. A state, an empire rises, rules, and crumbles into obUvion, much as the organic units of which it is composed; yet each leaves some trace or tradition affecting conqueror and conquered aUke, thus contributing in some degree to that universal change of human progress in its entirety. The poUtical systems and institutions of those peoples most conspicuous in human affairs have one common characteristic — they have all been based upon a progressive conception of society. Man is everywhere seen organizing for purposes of economic and poUtical achievement; famiUes crystaUize into tribes; tribes into peoples; these into nations and empires; flowing over other portions of the human sea to absorb or be absorbed, as their natural efficiency and fecundity decide. The conditions governing these movements, and the survival or extinction of the nations of the eartii, have been due to their fitness or failure as progressive poUtical organizations. These or- ganizations again must have depended upon miUtary efficiency, not for their existence alone but for their development as poUtical factors. Thus, progress in aU its phases is involved with poUtical society as it has ex- isted in the past and with its necessary resultant — miUtary efficiency. I V| II 306 Progress and Politics Pt. IV Progress, both material and intellectual, national and political, as well as in its wider application to humanity at large, may thus be traced to the sheer, mechanical force derived from effective mili- tary organization. Progress in the past rests upon the same mar- tial and material basis. To this cause is it owing that weaker or less fit races have been exterminated and the stronger survived. If, now, the chief modem factor in this international and inter- racial process is removed, if the essential element in the modern intersodal struggle for life is abandoned, the struggle itself will be carried on imder less exacting conditions or eventually cease. The elimination of national, industrial and commercial distinctions might react adversly upon national and industrial progress, if not arrest it altogether, and with it the development of humanity as a whole. It is but a step from this attitude to the evolutionary hypothesis and its apparently unavoidable conclusions with reference to human society. It may be shown from the researches of the biologist, as well as from the studies of the political observer, that the static society is a practical and theoretic impossibility. In the history of the nations, the non- progressive organization does not exist and carry on its peaceful tradi- tions beside its more powerful neighbours; it sooner or later disappears from the stage, and the world knows it no longer. The non-progressive society does not merely cease to progress; it ceases to exist, through causes generated within or coming from without. Both political history and the evolutionary sciences show that the permanently static social condition is unknown. In the history of the races of man, as in that of the organic individual, where progression ceases, regression begins. Thus, social and political conditions, into which military efficiency does not enter as an essential factor, may be fraught with danger to the future of society. Industrial freedom, therefore, in so far as it involves such conditions, is open to this objection. Human progress in the past has been caused by the rivalry of political organizations, based upon military efficiency. There seems no other basis upon which prog- ress may continue. The maintenance of the import duty, in establish- ing and perpetuating the distinctions upon which political competition depends, may thus be regarded as among the conditions essential to human progress. Any form of social organization, therefore, tending to the elimination of national competition, may be regarded with dis- Bk. I Introduction 307 trust, as subversive of progress in general. This opinion has been pre- sented from various points of view. From that of the practical adminis- trator, it may be found in a message ^ of Mr. Roosevelt when President of the United States. He says: "If the great civilized nations of the present day should completely disarm, the result would mean an im- mediate recrudescence of barbarism in one form of another." Doc- tor Maudsley* expresses the same idea from another point of view: "It may justly be doubted," he says, "whether it is anjrthing more than elusive imagination that foresees, as crown of organic evolu- tion, a race of placid beings bound together in unity of spirit, making the whole earth busy with their peaceful industries, per- suaded rationally of the folly of war, and living lives of good-will and good works to one another; whether in fact such a consumma- tion would not mean the emasculation physical, moral, and intel- lectual of the race.'' The attitude of the evolutionary scientist is suggested in the following passage: "In one of my latest con- versations with Darwin," says Alfred Russel Wallace,^ "he expressed himself very gloomily on the future of humanity, on the groimd that in our modem civilization natural selection had no play and the fittest did not survive." It may thus seem that any system of political organization tending to check political and industrial competition would eliminate the es- sential factor in the play of natural selection as applied to modem society, with the proportionate subversion of progressive conditions in all their phases. This attitude shows how great and far-reaching are the benefits traceable to the progressive conception of society based upon military efficiency; for upon it may depend not only the present develop- ment of the nation, but its future, together with that of himianity at large. The generations may thus regard themselves as tmstees of the progress and cxilture of the past; handing on the torch of enlightenment to generations yet to be. Thus, not material wealth alone is the object of the progressive political organization of society, but the perpetuation of the treasures of the arts, the intellect, and the wisdom of the ages; the highest ethical and moral systems of mankind; his spiritual aspirations, and last, but most important, perhaps, the future of the race. Eco- nomics are here left behind, and problems suggested dealing with national » Message communicated to the two Houses cf Congress at the beginning of the Third Session of the Fifty- eighth Congress, p. 32. ' Body and Will, Henry Maudsley, M. D., pp. 325-326. • Human Selection, Fortnightly Review, September, 1890, p. 325. 1f^". 308 Progress and Politics Pt. IV development, inteUectual and moral progress, and the future of humanity as a whole. Progress can have but two forms: physical and psychical. The first must be studied through the biological and evolutionary sciences; the second by means of other methods. The attention will be turned first to the relation of the evolutionary sciences to progressive political society. CHAPTER n DARWIN AND WEISMANN THE discussion of human progress leads to the evolutionary sciences. A brief statement of the evolutionary hypothesis, with its later development, may, therefore, not be out of place. The evolutionary conception of organic existence may be as old as thought itself. "Theories of the imiverse, in which the conception of evolution plays a leading part," says Professor Huxley,^ "were extant at least six centuries before our era. Certain knowledge of them, in the fifth century, reaches us from localities as distant as the valley of the Ganges and the Asiatic coasts of the ^Egean. To the early philosophers of Hindo- stan, no less than to those of Ionia, the salient and characteristic feat- ure of the phenomenal world was its changefulness; the unresting flow of all things through birth to visible being and thence to not being, in which they could discern no sign of a beginning and for which they saw no prospect of an ending." The evolutionary conception of the Cosmos dawns with the earliest thought, is suggested in Greek inquiry, developed by Buff on and Lamarck, given scientific expression in the researches of Darwin and Wallace, while later inquiry carries the subject almost as far beyond the earlier contributions of the last century as were these beyond the conception of Goethe and Lamarck. There are two fimdamental conceptions of the Darwinian theory: (i) The enormous power of increase with which every form of life is endowed. (2) The tendency of individuals to vary in all directions within certain limits, together with the capacity for the transmission of the variations in a greater or less degree. "As many more individuals of each species are bom," says Darwin,^ "than can possibly survive; and as, consequently, there is a frequently recurring struggle for ex- istence, it follows that any being, if it vary however slightly in any manner > Evolution and Ethics, pp. 53-54. • The Origin 0/ Species, Vol. I., p. 5. 309 Ki ^j ' ''J 3^o Progress and Politics pt. iv profiuble to itself, under the complex and sometimes varying conditions of life, will have a better chance of surviving, and thus be naturaUy sdected. From the strong principle of inheritance, any selected variety wiU tend to propagate its new and modified form." This passage contains the statement in its simplest form of the principles upon which the law of natural selection is based. In the operation of such a process it occurs "that the structure of every organic being is related, in the most essential yet often hidden manner, to that of all the other organic beings, with which it comes into competition for food or residence, or from which it has to escape or on which it preys."! "It may metaphorically be said," continues Darwm,« "that natural selection is daily and hourly scrutinizing throughout the world, the slightest variations; rejecting those that are bad preserving and adding up aU that are good; silently and insensibly working, whenever and wherever opportunity offers, at the improvement of each orgamc being in relation to its organic and inorganic conditions of life. Such is the briefest possible statement of the theory of biological evolution as announced by Darwin, and the earlier inquirers. In the Ortgm of species, the thought of Darwin is largely occupied with the rdation of variations profitable to the individual form immediately affected; with the advantages of such variation to the mdividual it- self. The passages cited illustrate this position. In this connexion an important development has taken place in recent biological investi- gation, showing that the types selected are not necessarily those prof- itable to the mdividual in the present, but those through which the species IS hkely to find its most effective development in relation to its environment. The struggle for life is carried on not between individuals, as individuals, but between typical forms toward which these individuals tend; and to the larger interests of which the interests of the individual form must be subordinate. Such a consequence seems involved in even the earliest formulation of the naturally selective process as a necessary corollary. As the essence of Uie principle is that it must act in the manner conducive to the most effective results, it seems that it must act through the media of the argest numbers. These largest numbers, this majority in the Uleqrde of a species, can, however, never be in the present, but lie 'Ibid. Vol. I., p. 54. 'Hud. pp. 103-103, Bk. I Darwin and Weismann 3" within that long series of generations covering the existence of the species in its entirety. Other things equal, it seems that the most efficient forces in the evolutionary process must be those by means of which the interests of existing individuals are most effectively subordinated to the development of the tjrpical form of the series of generations covering the whole number of organic existences involved. The interests of the individual, as an individual, and the importance of those modifica- tions profitable to itself, have thus a subordinate place in the economy of natural selection; except as identical with the larger ends of general and typical development. The labours of the later biological inquirers support this view. Until recently, the theories of the causes dominating the average length of individual life may be said to have moved along two parallel lines, fa- miliar to students of Mr. Spencer's Biology, and the works of the earlier evolutionists. In accordance with one position, adopted by Leuchart and others, which may be called the theory of external control the duration of life was supposed to be determined by the size of the individual and the complexity of its structure. In the words of Mr. Spencer,* "greater integration " should be regarded as the basis of the realization of the life cycle, in length and degree. In accordance with the other theory, which may be called that of internal control, length of life was considered as related to the chemical constitution of the cells of which the body was composed. Professor Weismann's views are opposed to both these positions. He says,2 "I consider that duration of life is really dependent upon adaptation to external conditions, that its length, whether longer or shorter, is governed by the needs of the species": and again, ^ with reference to animal life, "that nature does not tend to secure the longest possible life to the adult individual, but, on the contrary, tends to shorten the period of reproductive activity, as far as possible, and with this the duration of life." The principle which Professor Weismann found in the ascendant, in the action of natural selection, was the need of the species, taken as a a whole, and spread over entire series of generations. This might be pictured by conceiving the ideal needs of the species as projected, as it were, in front of the advancing vital form. The actual type most \i,) » Principles of Psychology, Vol. I,, § 172, p. 384. Principles of Biology^ Vol. L, S 31, p. 8a. • Weismann on Heredity, The Duration of Life, Vol. I., p. 9. ■ Ibid. p. II, 312 Progress and Politics Pt. IV nearly conforming to this ideal representative will be the one "naturally selected." In a rapidly changing environment, adaptability would doubtless, be more readily secured through short-lived rather than through long-lived generations. To serve the needs of the species, then, and not those of the individual, it is held, is the length of life either lengthened or curtailed; the dominant forces of nature imposing conditions in which the length and breadth of the life of the individual play, relatively, little part. In this larger view of the selective process, series of generations, and even entire species, are pitted against each other in a struggle in which typical efficicency in a future, perhaps distantly removed, is the quality for which the victor strives, and in the furtherance of which his own immediate interests may have little place. The drama of progress is thus involved with interests always apparently beyond the reach of existing generations. The inquiries of Professor Weismann, and those of later biologists, show apparently that the duration of individual existence is not de- pendent upon the size or molecular constitution of the body; but is rather lengthened or shortened in accordance with the requirements of the species as a whole. When, however, the lowest, or single-celled, forms of life are observed, nothing corresponding to death, as it occurs in higher forms, is found. In the single cell the cycle of vital exist- ence is continuous; the individual, under certain conditions, simply separating into two or more parts, and these continuing to live and grow and separate again indefinitely. Here arises one of the most suggestive generalizations in the history of biological science, second to natural selection alone. The phenomenon of death is found at an early stage of the evolutionary process, as the fundamental expression of progress, underlying from the beginning that series of changes upon whicn progressive life has entered. In this conception of death, as a factor in the cosmic process, the principle of natural selection develops a larger meaning. A fundamental principle is found inherent in all evolutionary phenomena, a principle involving the constant subordination of the individual and the immediate to the general and the universal; of the particular and concrete to the typical and abstract. A study of the place of death in the action of natural selection leads at once to inquiries with reference to the nature of heredity. There appear but two possible hypotheses upon which explanations of heredity Bk. I Darwin and Weismann 313 may be based. "Either,'* says Professor Weismann,* "the substance of the parent germ-cell is capable of undergoing a series of changes which, after the building-up of a new individual, leads back again to identical germ-cells; or the germ-cells are not derived at all, as far as their essential and characteristic substance is concerned from the body of the individual, but they are derived directly from the parent germ- cell." The latter is the position adopted by Professor Weismann; as holding the same opinion he cites^ Ray Lankester, Brooks, Meynert, van Bemmelen and others. To this list W. Platt-Ball^ adds Wallace, Poulton, Francis Galton and others; while Wallace* himself increases the list with the names of Lloyd-Morgan, Sir W. T. Thiselton-Dyer and Mr. G. Archdall Reid. The position here developed is known as the Continuity of the Germ-plasm, and, in the words of Professor Weismann,* is "founded upon the idea that heredity is brought about by the trans- ference from one generation to another, of a substance with a definite chemical, and above all, molecular constitution." The germ-plasm might thus be represented as Professor Weismann* says, "by the meta- phor of a long creeping root-stock from which plants arise at intervals, these latter representing the individuals of successive generations." Upon this theory, to unite the hereditary qualities of two individuals, and so secure the advantages to be obtained from the constant blending of individual modifications, requires that every new life should return to the original starting-point — the single cell; there, and there alone, can occur the union in the new individual of the hereditary qualities of both progenitors. It is unnecessary to enter into the thick of bio- logical inquiry; that which concerns the present purpose is that wherever the law of natural selection appears, whether in its earlier or later state- ments, the interests of the majority of individuals are constantly sub- ordinated to its action. The investigations of later inquirers strengthen this position, and show the increasing intensity of the competitive struggle required by progressive conditions. As Professor Weismann^ says, speaking of the action of natural selection: "In order that any part of the body of an individual of any species may be kept at the maximum degree of development, it is necessary that all individuals » Weismann on Heredity, Vol. I. Continuity ojthe Germ-plasm, p. 170. • The Germ-plasm, p. 396. • The Effects of Use and Disuse, p. vi. • Evolution and Character, Fortnightly Review, January 1908, p. ii. • Essays on Heredity, Vol. I., Continuity of the Germ-plasm, p. 17a • Ibid, Significance of Sexual Reproduction, p. 273. ' Ibid., p. sgg. il^ h 314 Progress and Politics Pt. IV possessing it in a less perfect form must be prevented from propagation — they must succumb in the struggle for existence." This position is, apparently, but the essential corollary of the law of natural selection as formulated by Darwin; nor were he and the earlier thinkers uncon- scious of it as the passage cited from Mr. Wallace would show with reference to Darwin's "gloomy" expressions in connexion with the future of humanity, on the grounds of the checking of the selective process by modem civilization. Natural selection, acting as it does through vital competition, entails the continuance of that process; not only as es- sential to progress, but as essential to either static or non-retrogressive conditions. *'From the war of nature," says Darwin,i "from famine and death, the most exalted object which we are capable of conceiving, namely, the production of the higher animals, directiy follows." Weis^ mann,2 after a brief statement of the theory of natural selection as fonnulated by Darwin and WaUace, expresses the necessary conclusion in the following terms: "K this view be the true one, if adaptation in all parts of hving forms be truly the result of natural selection, then the same process which produced these adaptations will tend to preserve them, and they will disappear directly natural selection ceases to act. These considerations show why organs which have become superfluous and have faUen into disuse necessarily degenerate and ultimately dis- appear." This position, while in a sense among the later developments of modem biological science, has long been familiar to those brought into contact with nature. This is shown in the selection which the agncultunst makes of his seed-grain or stock, and the ''running out" of the product without selection. Such a process was doubtless apparent to the first systematic shepherds or tiUers of the soil. Virgil gives it accurate expression in the Georgics.3 After recommending such annual selection of seed to the husbandman, he says that "the natural ten- dency of all things is toward degeneration and reversion; as when pull- ing agamst a stream, a rower who relaxes his efforts for a moment, is caught m the current and drawn down the river again." When the principles of natural selection are grasped, their application throughout the evolutionary process becomes evident. The fact that progress can continue but through vital competition and selection shows were it p ossible to constmct the scientific formula of the existence of ^Tke Origin of Species, Vol. II, p. 305. > Essays on Hereditary, Vol. II.. Retrogressive Development in Nature, p. 16. • L, p. 190. Bk. I Darwin and Weismann 31S any progressive form of life, that the interests of the existing individual would find no symbol therein; except as included in those larger interests of the progressive species as a whole. The conclusions suggested by the evolutionary sciences are that the interests of a progressive species, as such, and the interests of the majority of its constituent units are opposed: that, in fact, the moment an organic form enters into progressive competition with other forms, the sacrifice of the interest of the majority of individuals, represented in any given period or series of generations, becomes a condition of development. This is the fundamental position to which the evolu- tionary sciences seem to lead, applied to the lowest form of organic existence or to the highest phases of human society. I t ill CHAPTER III POLITICAL PROGRESS AND REASON THE view of vital, progressive conditions formulated in the Origin of Species and the Descent of Man suggests a revision of accepted social theories and conceptions. It may even suggest, if the purpose of social organization is the furtherance of the interests of the majority concerned, that many such conceptions require important modification. The first essential of progress is that all individuals cannot succeed. The path of progress is strewn with the ghosts, as it were, of countless millions of the unsuccessful, fallen and exterminated, in order that others might survive and reproduce. No form of life can advance, or retain its position, by means other than the propagation of the species through individuals above the average; and, in consequence, through constantly multiplying beyond the limits of comfortable existence, with the inevitably entailed vital competition. One feature of the process, therefore, seems evident; namely, had it been possible at any time for any species to secure itself against the competition of others, that it would have been to the interest of the majority concerned to haVe suspended the conditions of vital competi- tion among themselves. That the progressive development of the species might be arrested thereby could have no weight, for the reason that such a suspension of progressive competition would not only have been to their own immediate interests in the present, but to the interests of the majority of all future generations as well. Progress can be main- tained but by constantly sacrificing the vital interest of the majority of all individuals involved, existing and to come. This necessity, sooner or later, brings aU the forms under competitive influences, and' requires the propagation of the species through the agency alone of those above the average development, with the result that the majority of the individuals of any existing generation, and, in the life of the species, the overwhelming majority of all individuals, must be prevented from realizing the fullest possibiUties of existence. In looking back over the progressive chain of organic existence, the sacrifices of the majority of unnumbered preceding generations must have been entailed. 316 Bk. I Political Progress and Reason 317 In turning the attention to the human species, it seems that the exist- ing generation stands upon the eminence attained through having tram- pled, as it were, over the prostrate forms of the majority of those who came before. Since man separated himself from lower organisms, and came imder the influence of conditions called himian, progress has been carried on in the same way as throughout other forms of life: through the unremitting struggle, suffering, and premature death of the majority of each generation. As generation succeeds generation, and series succeeds series, it is evident that progress has entailed not alone the sacrifice of the interests of the majority, but of a majority constituting the overwhelming preponderance of all the individuals brought imder progressive influences. The generations gone before have offered themselves a living sacrifice upon the altar of the typically progressive form; the same process continues to-day and projects itself into the future. In a study of the life and death struggles of the peoples, the names of but few of which have been preserved, the query occurs: What advantage they could have found in supporting such conditions. The chief significance of the life of prehistoric generations was apparently a ruthless trial of their vital forces. As man emerges from his first infancy, and passes into the clearer light of history, he seems governed by the same conditions; and where freed from competition with other species, he but enters into progressive competitive struggle with his own kind. Human history thus presents much the same conditions of progress as the history of other species; and tribes, races and nations succumb or survive in a never relaxed competitive process. As the significance of such conditions is appreciated; as some dim conception dawns upon the mind of the misery, suffering and premature death caused throughout the progress of the past, the intelligence of preceding generations becomes questionable. It seems difficult not to wonder at the use they have made of the supposedly distinguishing human attribute of reason. The dictates of reason would, apparently, have rendered but one course acceptable — to abandon conditions which entailed nothing but the suffering and failure of the majority. They could have done this by limitmg increase to the means of subsistence, by checking competition among different groups through the widest possible political union, and have led lives of relative peace and ease. They did, however, nothing of the kind. On the contrary, conditions involved in the progressive process of the lowest organisms are carried 11 ■ ! M4 ^I'l 1 .1 3i8 Progress and Politics Pt. IV I !] I - into higher animal existence, and extend without interruption through the highest forms of life. Each generation of men accepts its martyrdom in the name of an ever-receding posterity as blindly and unconsciously, apparently, as did the generations of any extinct fossil species, or of the simpler vegetable forms. Human generations offer themselves to be bled upon the altar of generations yet to be; which, as they come into existence, take up the process in turn, and hand it on to their children, and their children's children, entailing the suppression of the vital interests of the majority of all concerned — past, present, and to come — until the species finds rest at last among the remains of completed geological periods. Man's history, in fact, seems but one long unconscious process of self-immolation. "I know of no study," says Professor Huxley,* "which is so unutterably saddening as that of the evolution of himtianity, as it is set forth in the annals of history. Out of the darkness of pre- historic ages man emerges with the marks of his lowly origin strong upon him. He is a brute, only more intelligent than other brutes; a blind prey to impulses, which as often as not lead him to destruction; a victim to endless illusions, which make his mental existence a terror and a burden, and fill his physical life with barren toil and battle. He attains a cer- tain degree of physical comfort, and develops a more or less workable theory of life, in such favourable situations as the plains of Mesopotamia, or of Egypt, and then, for thousands and thousands of years, struggles with varying fortunes, attended by infinite wickedness, bloodshed, and misery, to maintain himself at this point against the greed and the ambition of his fellow-men." How, it may be asked, can the possession of reason be reconciled with the maintenance of such conditions; reason, which, it would seem gives power and intelligence sufficient to check the aimless process? Why should man support and perpetuate conditions which stifle the higher realization of his being? This is the question suggested by the application of the evolutionary sciences to human society. The comparatively recent developments of evolutionary and bio- logical inquiry render the bulk of earlier political and social investigation imavailable in this connexion. Although the essential conditions govern- ing the progressive modification of lower vital forms have doubtless been familiar to thoughtful observers for thousands of years, the reali- zation that man is governed by identical conditions, together with all * Science and Christian Tradition, Agnosticism, p. 256. Bk. I Political Progress and Reason 319 that this implies, is but beginning to appear in inquiry. The works of even such a recent and comprehensive thinker as Mr. Spencer are not entirely satisfactory in the light of more recent biological develop- ments. Mr. Benjamin Kidd presents one of the most suggestive reviews of the subject. The study of human society from the position formulated by the evolutionary sciences develops a certain path of inquiry. Starting from the purely physico-biological position, and asking what relation it bears to human society, the mind can apparently but drift along certain lines. There have been clearly traced by Mr. Kidd, and rather than merely parallel his thought, a few of his pages may be transcribed. "How is the possession of reason," asks Mr. Kidd,* repeating the foregoing question, "ever to be rendered compatible with the will to submit to conditions of existence so onerous, requiring the effective and continual subordination of the individuaFs welfare to the progress of a de- velopment in which he can have no personal interest whatever? . . . "The possession of reason must, it would seem, involve the oppor- tunity of escape from the conditions mentioned. The evidence would, however, appear to point indubitably to the conclusion that these conditions can have had no sanction from reason for the mass of the individuals subjected to them. It may be held that they are conditions essential to progress, and that the future interests of the society to which we belong, and even of the race, would inevitably suffer if they were: suspended. But this is not an argument to weigh with the individual who is concerned with his own interests in the present and not with the possible interests in the future of society or the race. It seems impossible to conceive how the conditions of progress could have had any rational sanction for the host of exterminated peoples of whom a vision arises before us when we compare the average European brain of to-day with that of the lowest savages, and consider the steps by which alone the advance can have been made. The conditions of progress may be viewed complacently by science, but it can hardly be said that they can have any rational sanction for the Red Indian in process of extermination in the United States, for the degraded negro in the same country, for the Maori in New Zealand, or the Aboriginal in Australia. "The same conclusion is not less certain, although it may be less obvious elsewhere. The conditions of existence cannot really have had any rational sanction for the great mass of the people during that pro- longed period when societies were developed under stress of circimistances ^ * Social Evolution, pp. 68-80. ■ ii 320 Progress and Politics Pt. IV Bk. I Political Progress and Reason 321 on a military footing. An inevitable feature of all such societies was the growth of powerful aristocratic corporations, and autocratic classes living in wealth and power and keepmg the people in subjection while despising and oppressing them. It is no answer, it must be observed, to say that these societies were a natural product of the time, and that if any social group had not been so organized, it must ultimately have disappeared before stronger rivals. We can scarcely shut our eyes to the fact that the future did not concern the existing members, and that to the great mass of the people in these societies, who lived and suffered in subjection to the dominant class which a military organi- zation produced, the future of society, or even of the race, was a matter of perfect indifference, compared with the actual and obvious hardships of their own oppressed condition in the present. "When we come to deal with society as it exists in the highest and most advanced civilizations of our time, and put the same question to ourselves as regards the conditions of existence for the masses of the people there, it is startiing to find that we are compelled to come to a like conclusion. The conditions of existence even in such communities can apparently have no rational sanction for a large proportion of the individuals comprising them. When the convenient fictions of society are removed, and examination lays bare the essential conditions of life in the civilisation in which we are living, the truth stands out in its naked significance. We are speaking, it must be remembered, of a rational sanction, and reason has, in an examination of this kind, nothing to do with any existence but the present, which it insists it is our duty to ourselves to make the most of. The prevailing conditions of existence can, therefore, have no such sanction for large masses of the people in societies where life is a long onerous rivalry, where in the nature of things it is impossible for all to attain success, and where the many work and suffer, and only the few have leisure and ease. Regard it how we may, the conclusion appears inevitable, that, to the great masses of the people, the so-called lower classes, in the advanced civilisations of to-day, the conditions imder which they live and work are still without any rational sanction. . . . "The evolutionist may be convinced that what is called the exploita- tion of the masses, is but the present-day form of the rivalry of life which he has watched from the beginning, and that the sacrifice of some in the cause of the f utvure interests of the whole social organism is a necessary feature of our progress. But this is no real argiunent addressed to those who most naturally object to be exploited and sacrificed, and who in our modem societies are entrusted with power to give political effect to their objections. Science may be painfully convinced that the realisation of the hopes of socialism is quite incompatible with the ultimate interests of a progressive society; but it would still be irrational to expect even this consideration to generally affect the conduct of those who are concerned not with the problematic interests of others in the distant futiu:e, but with their own interest in the actual present. . . . The voice of reason could hardly find fitter utterance than in the words of Professor Huxley, while telling us that at best our civilisation does not embody any worthy ideal, or possess the merit of stability, he does not hesitate to further express the opinion that *if there is no hope of a large improvement of the condition of the greater part of the human family' — mark the uncomprising sweep of the words — he would haU the advent of some kindly comet to sweep it all away. *What profits it,* he asks pertinentiy, *to the hiunan Prometheus that he has stolen the fire of heaven to be his servant, and that the spirits of the earth and the air obey him, if the vulture of Pauperism is eternally to tear his very vitals and keep him on the brink of destruction? '. . . . "If we ask ourselves, therefore, what course it is the interests of the masses holding political power in our advanced societies to piu"sue from the standpoint of reason, it seems hardly possible to escape the conclusion that they should in self-interest put an immediate end to existing social conditions. Man in these societies has placed an impos- sible barrier between him and the brutes, and even between him and his less developed fellow-creatures. He no longer fears the rivalry or competition of either, . . . "With whatever intention the evolutionist may set out, he will speed- ily discover, if he carry his analysis far enough, that so far from society existing firmly based on universal logic and reason, for large masses of the population, alike in past stages of our history and in the midst of the highest civilisations of the present day, reason has been, and continues to be, unable to offer any sanction for the prevailing condi- tions of life." These are the lines of thought along which the mind drifts when occupied with the social and political significance of the evolutionary sciences. The conclusions are suggested that progressive political systems are not only provocative of unnecessary social evil, but founded upon principles devoid of any rational justification. The first, because i.W ^1: 322 Progress and Politics Pt. IV I' •! they demand the unceasing sacrifice of the vital welfare of the majority of their constituent individuals. The second, because, in all progressive Systems, the interests of the system and those of the majority are opposed; the majority, therefore, can have no interest in the furtherance of pro- gressive p)olitical systems. The progressive society came into being during the ages of man's savage infancy; its objects were, and still are, to further the interests of its members, to protect them from the aggressions of other societies and dangerous elements within. With its growth as a social and polit- ical factor, endless questions, problems, and complications, both within and without its borders, are evolved, resulting in present highly complex political and social conditions. These conditions involve the existence of progressive political aggregates with conflicting interests; the prog- ress of one demanding its development in relation to others of its kind. This progress requires the subordination of individual welfare to the progress of the political aggregate; and the picture presents itself of great populations, involving hundreds of millions of individuals, sacri- ficing their real and vital interests for the purely ideal and abstract interests of a political aggregate called a State or a Nation. A teeming mass of more or less sentient beings separates itself into imaginary portions, by means of trade regulations and indirect taxes; and creates, by means of these imaginary divisions, equally imaginary interests, in conflict with other interests of the same kind. These teeming millions are thus occupied in sacrificing their vital welfare upon the altar of the abstract and unrealizable interests of these imaginary subdivisions of their number, called this or that State, Nation or Empire. It may thus appear that the elimination of these fictitious distinctions between pro- gressive political aggregates would eliminate artificial or imaginary interests conflicting with the real and vital interests of individuals. Where there exists no artificially sustained conflict of interests, based upon the imaginary interests of progressive aggregates, the real and vital welfare of existing human beings, of real living men and women, becomes the end toward which social and political activity should be directed, and not that of an imaginary progressive abstraction. That the furtherance of actual individual lives, and not the interests of fictitious aggregates, is the proper ultimate end of social effort, Mr. Spencer^ points out: "So long as the existence of a community is endanger ed by the actions of communities around, it must remain true ^ Data of Ethics, S 49> P> Z34* Bk. I Political Progress and Reason 323 that the interests of individuals must be sacrificed to the interests of the community, as far as is needful for the community's salvation. But if this is manifest, it is, by implication, manifest, that when social antago- nisms cease, this need for sacrifice of private claims to public claims ceases also; or rather, there cease to be any public claims at variance with private claims. All along, furtherance of individual lives has been the ultimate end; and if this ultimate end has been postponed to the proxi- mate end of preserving the community's life, it has been so only because this proximate end was instrumental to the ultimate end. When the aggregate is no longer in danger, the final object of pursuit, the welfare of the xmits, no longer needing to be postponed, becomes the immediate object of pursuit." The distinction between the interests of a political aggregate, and those of its constituent units, may be made clear through other considera- tions, dealing with the internal rather than the external organization of progressive systems. Political conceptions underl)dng the organi- zation of the ancient State, present a condition of society in which the competitive process was continued among families, clans or groups, rather than among the constituent individuals. A change has occurred with changing conditions, giving rise to altered conceptions of legislative and political principles. These changes have, however, in no way dimin- ished the fundamental rivalry and sacrifice to which progress is due. On the contrary, the wider the field open to competitive influences, the greater seems to be their intensity. "The movement of the pro- gressive societies has been imiform in one respect," says Sir Henry Maine, ^ "Through all its course it has been distinguished by the gradual dissolution of family dependency, and the growth of individual obliga- tion in its place. The Individual is steadily substituted for the Family, as the unit of which civil laws take account." The existing members of a commvmity, through the legal and con- stitutional form of the social organization, thus enter into agreement; not only with each other, but extend the terms of the contract, inherited from the dead, through an indefinite series of future generations. Society, and especially progressive society, might thus be regarded as a partner- ship extending over an indefinite number of generations, and existing between the dead, the living, and those yet to be. This partnership can have but one rationally intelli^ble object — the furtherance of the interest of the majority involved; or, as usually * Ancient Law, p. 168. I I iu Progress and Politics Pt. IV Bk. I tV stated, the furtherance of the ''interests of the community." The words ''interests of the community" form one of the most familiar terms met in political and economic discussion. Few terms, however, are less explicit in their meaning, less carefully used, or more open to miscon- ception. Bentham,! advances the apparently axiomatic proposition that the interest of the community is "the sum of the interests of the several members who compose it." Such is doubtless the conventionally recognized significance of the term, yet, studied in the light of the evolu- tionary sciences, the interest of the fictitious political aggregate, or of the progressive community, not only is not, but never can be, the sum of the interests of its units. A community, or a political society, represents, not only the individual units existing at any moment, but that series of generations of individuals coming under its influence during the entire period of its activity. Progressive conditions involve the subordination, and not the furtherance, of the interests of the vast majority of individuals forming these series of generations. The inter- ests of the progressive community, therefore, and the interests of the overwhelming majority of its units, are not only not the same, but antagonistic. A community, or a political society, is a symbol, an abstraction, rep- resenting the dead, the living, and generations yet to be. It is an ideal conception representing extinct societies; such as the ancient Roman and Persian empires, or those at present in existence m Europe or America. Abstract conceptions of this kind can never possess any specific concrete existence. A symbol called a State, or an Empire, represents a series of generations living under certain laws and taxes, and cannot possess a conscious existence of its own. Exist- ing, living, human beings, therefore, who sacrifice their vital wel- fare for that of a symbol representing a progressive series of gen- erations, prostrate themselves apparently before a figment of their imagination. This fact is presented w^th added force when the fossilized remains of extinct species are examined. Were their entire record available, their history could doubtless be traced from the moment of their first char- acteristic modifications, through the entire progressive process of de- velopment and decline. It has been seen, under what conditions, and through what constant individual sacrifice, this progress was maintained; and, whe n the species has ceased to exist, as all species must, it may well » PnncifUs of Morals and Legislation, p. 3. Political Progress and Reason 32s be asked how the majority of its units were benefited by the progressive struggle. "We are told," says Professor Huxley, ^ "to take comfort from the reflection that the terrible struggle for existence tends to final good, and that the suffering of the ancestor is paid for by the increased perfection of the progeny. There would be something in this argument if, in Chinese fashion, the present generation could pay its debts to its an- cestors; otherwise it is not clear what compensation the Eohippus gets for his sorrows in the fact that, some millions of years afterward, one of his descendants wins the Derby." Such considerations need not appear as idle speculations without application to human society. An extinct species is analogous in its process of evolution to an extinct empire, and it may be asked of what practical benefit was the progress of Rome to the majority of her citizens, to the men whose bones whitened upon barbarian deserts or who joined the corn-fed rabble in order that the land of Italy might be concentrated in slave-worked latifundiay that a Verres or a Dolabella make sport of the resources of subject peoples, and Him and Vandal revel on the grave of a decaying world? Applied to the present these considerations suggest that existing generations have no more interest in the progress of the future than the Eohippus of Professor Huxley in the triumph of the Derby winner of yesterday. The bulk of real men and women, under this or that pro- gressive administrative system, have no more personal interest in the support of such a system than the hungry Roman rabble in the triumphs of an Africanus, or in the later triumph of the sword of the barbarian. Purely altruistic considerations lead to identical conclusions; for, with future progress is involved, not only the sacrifice of the interests of the majority of existing individuals, but of future generations. From the point of view established by the evolutionary sciences, utilitarian considerations imite with those of a purely altruistic nature, in questioning the utility of politico-progressive conditions. > Evolution and Ethics, pp. 198, 199* W h I Bk. II The Great Man 327 Book II INTELLECTUAL PROGRESS CHAPTER I THE GREAT MAN POLITICAL and economic considerations, based upon the evolutionary sciences, are of interest or the reverse, in pro- portion to the social significance lent to the latter. To some inquirers they appear of value; others, while admitting their truth, fail to perceive their available application to human so- ciety. The evolutionary sciences may be regarded as the final source of information with reference to progressive conditions involving indefinite periods of time; but, on another hand, there are impor- tant factors in hiunan development relatively, if not actually, independent of their influence. These factors act within appre- ciable periods, with infinitely greater rapidity, and thus possess a significance not to be lent to biological generalizations. From this attitude, the positions of Darwin and Weismann may be read- ily admitted and as readily ignored. The progress concerning present himaan populations, or the next score or so of the generations of men, it may be said, is not evolutionary or naturally selective prog- ress, but social, industrial and intellectual progress. The influences which guided the physical modifications of the eohippus or the ictheosaurus, or even of man in his prehistoric condition, do not apply to civilized man in any inunediate sense. The real struggle, the real "survival of the fittest" in civilized society, takes place in a sphere of activity distantly removed from Spencerian generalizations with reference to "ruminant" and "camivora." Progress, for man of the twentieth century, is largely removed from the field of biological inquiry and a physico-selective process based upon a struggle for animal sub- sistence. Progress, from this point of view, becomes intellectual rather than biological, psychical rather than physical; and, consequently, 326 neither considerations based upon economic grounds, nor biological generalizations, form the positions from which it may most profitably be studied. Several writers have presented studies of progress in this light, among which may be mentioned Mr. Mallock's Aristocracy and Evolution. Mr. Mallock not only presents the subject from what might be called the ultra-biological attitude, but some instructive criticism of the posi- tions of Mr. Kidd, Mr. Spencer, Mr. Webb and others. Mr. Mallock^s thesis is, that progress, as it concerns civilized man to-day, is the result of forces independent of physico-biological conditions and dependent upon intellectual influences exerted over their fellows by men of superior mental attainments. The Aristocracy of Mr. Mallock consists of those individuals possessing intellectual powers above the average. The "great man" is the man capable of exerting intellectual dominion; and, as Mr. Mallock^ says, "the great man, as here understood, does not in any way correspond to ih^ fittest man in the Darwinian struggle for exist- ence. The fittest man in the Darwinian sense merely promotes prog- ress by the physiological process of reproducing his slight superiorities in his children, and thus raising in the slow course of ages the general level of capacity throughout subsequent generations of his race. The great man, on the contrary, promotes progress, not because he raises the capacity of the generations that come after him, but because he rises individually above the general level of his own." . . . "The great man, as an agent of progress, shows his greatness in a way pre- cisely opposite to that in which the fittest man shows his fitness. This it is that our contemporary sociologists all fail to perceive, and endless error is the consequence. The great man, unlike the strongest lion, promotes progress by increasing the food-supply not of himself, but of others; or if he increase his own, as he no doubt generally does, he does so only by showing others how to increase theirs. He is like a lion who should be better fed than the rest of the lions in his region, not because he took a carcass from them for which they all were fighting, but because he showed them how to find others which they never would have foimd unaided, and took for himself in payment a small portion of each." Mr. Mallock says^ in another suggestive passage: "And what is true of the struggle which produces industrial progress is true of that which produces progress of all other kinds. Scientific knowledge increases in • Aristocracy and Evolution, pp. 130-131. ' Ibid., pp. 146-147. i h > »L- .'t Hi fill i i I ii)' 328 Intellectual Progress Pt. IV proportion as those exceptional individuals whose studies have brought them most near to the truth are able to fight down the opinions of the exceptional individuals who differ from them, and to impress their own undisputed upon the world. Such knowledge does not increase on accoimt of any struggle amongst the learners, which causes some of them to become more and more apt in learning. It grows on account of a struggle between philosophers, each of whom aims at settling what the learners shall learn. And with regard to religion and politics the case is just the same. The progressive struggle is primarily between rival prophets and politicians. The spread of Christianity, for instance, was not brought about by Christian races exterminating those that were not Christians. It was brought about by Christian thinkers and teachers discrediting the doctrines taught by thinkers and teachers who were opposed to them. Free-trade again, in this country, has not triumphed over protectism, because the mass of free-traders have exterminated that mass of protectionists. It has triumphed simply because, in the eyes of the majority, one school of theorists has succeeded in discrediting another. "Now these facts, which, when once stated, are so obvious, not only throw the Darwinian struggle for existence altogether into the back- ground as an agent in social progress, but they show that it presents us with no true analogy to that kind of struggle from which progress principally results. They show us, on the contrary, that the struggle which produces social progress, though it resembles the Darwinian struggle in one point, is in all other points contrasted with it." Mr. Mallock, speaking of suggested industrial reforms, concludes as follows: ** Nowhere is the impossibility of such changes more clearly indicated than in the phrases now most frequently used to indicate their specific nature — such phrases as Hhe emancipation^ and Hhe economic freedom* of the labourer. These phrases, if they have any meaning at all, can mean one thing only — the emancipation of the average man, endowed with average capacities, from the control, from the guidance, or, in other words, from the help, of any man or men whose capacities are above the average — whose speculative abilities are exceptionally keen, whose inventive abilities are exceptionally great, whose judgments are ex- ceptionally sound, and whose powers of will, enterprise, and initiative are exceptionally strong. That is to say, these phrases, if they have any meaning at all, mean the deliberate loss and rejection, by the less efficient majority of mankind, of any advantage that might come to it Bk. II The Great Man 329 from the powers of the more efficient minority. 'Economic freedom,' in fact, would mean economic poverty; and the ' emancipation ' of the average man would merely be the emancipation which a blind man achieves when he breaks away from his guide. The human race pro- gresses because and when the strongest human powers and the highest human faculties lead it; such powers and faculties are embodied in and monopolised by a minority of exceptional men; these men enable the majority to progress, only on condition that the majority submit themselves to their control; and if all the ruling classes of to-day could be disposed of in a single massacre, and nobody left but those who at present call themselves the workers, these workers would be as helpless as a flock of shepherdless sheep, until out of themselves a new minority had been evolved, to whose order the majority would have to submit themselves, precisely as they submit themselves to the orders of the ruling classes now, and whose rule, like the rule of all new masters, would be harder, and more arbitrary, and less human than the rule of the old." This position may be briefly formulated as follows: (i) The conclusions of the physical sciences are of slight importance in connexion with modern progressive society, inasmuch as the human competitive process is carried on in an intellectual rather than in a physical world. (2) Progress, in its practical and determinable sense, is largely, if not entirely, due to the capacity of society to receive and perpetuate intellectual impressions from men of superior endowments. (3) Any form of social and political organization which relaxes the rivalry and incentive to development among the superior intellects, and, at the same time, the capacity of the society for the reception and application of the results of their activities, must tend to check intellectual progress — by far the most important progress affecting civilized man. This position is of interest. Mr. Mallock's remark may be recalled, to the effect that if the intellectually inferior mass ever freed itself from one form of intellectual dominion, it would but evolve other dominant elements from within itself and continue the process of the past. If this position is regarded as final, it may seem impossible to check the competitive struggle among the intellectually superior. Under whatever form human society may be organized, the superior will always dominate by the inherent right of their superiority. History, everywhere, shows man, the aggregate, dominated by man, the individual; shows that the Many are not only at the mercy of the Few, " 1 !•'» rJji )'i,|f Ml J'h'' 330 Intellectual Progress Pt. IV politically; but owe the conditions of their existence, mental and phys- ical, the very action of their faculties, to that most powerful and ex- clusive of all aristocracies — the aristocracy of the intellect. The aristocrats of the intellect generate the power that keeps the wheels of society revolving upon their course. They rule in spite of themselves, and when one regime is overthrown, the great wheels but make another revolution and move as wills the strongest. This intellectual aristocract, this ''great man'* of Mr. Mallock, is the Uebermensch of Nietzsche, the Superman of what might be called idealistic Darwinism. This is the man who possesses the intellectual birthright and the power to wield the wills of other men— the man who can force other men to think in terms of his own thought. Briefly expressed, this position is, that the earth and all it contains, by natural law and natural right, belong to those who can take it; to dispute them is folly; they are their own justification, and enforce their own decrees. An ideal realm of intellect is here opened — a realm in which the Super- men strive and wrestle in higher spheres of thought for the dominion of the world. The Supermen here come into view; in other words, the dominant forces in intellectual movement. A study of these involves an outline of intellectual history. CHAPTER II THE LAW OF INTELLECTUAL PROGRESS Section I — Method of Inquiry. Section II — Art. Section I — Method of Inquiry AS THE astronomical empyrean may be analyzed by means /\ oi spherical sections, degrees and minutes, the intellectual 2 \^ firmament may be made subject to a process of inclusive classification. The areas within which the intellectual move- ments of man have taken place are: the Arts, Science, Philosophy, and Religion. These four areas will, therefore, be briefly reviewed. The following passages from the pen of Sir Henry Maine^ is of interest in such inquiry: "Mr. Tylor has justly observed that the true lesson of the new science of Comparative Mythology is the barrenness in primitive times of the faculty which we most associate with mental fertility, the Imagination. Comparative Jurisprudence, as might be expected from the natural stability of law and custom, yet more strongly suggests the same in- ference, and points to the fewness of ideas and the slowness of additions to the mental stock as among the most general characteristics of mankind in its infancy. "The fact that the generation of new ideas does not proceed in all states of society as rapidly as in that to which we belong is only not familiar to us through our inveterate habit of confining our observation of human nature to a small portion of its phenomena. When we under- take to examine it, we are very apt to look exclusively at a part of Western Europe and perhaps of the American Continent. We con- stap% leave aside India, China, and the whole Mahometan East. This limitation of our field of vision is perfectly justifiable when we are occupied with the investigation of the laws of Progress. Progress is, in fact, t he same thing as the continued production of new ideas, and we » Early History of Institutions, pp. 225-230. cited by the author in Popular Government, pp. 190-104. ; tt IB!' W' ^1! ii 332 Intellectual Progress Pt. IV ♦1 'A can only discover the law of this production by examining sequences of ideas where they are frequent and of considerable length. But the primitive condition of the progressive societies is best ascertained from the observable condition of those which are non-progressive; and thus we leave a serious gap in our knowledge when we put aside the mental state of the millions upon millions of men who fill what we vaguely call the East as a phenomenon of little interest and no instructiveness. The fact is not unknown to most of us that, among these multitudes, Literature, Religion, and Art — or what corresponds to them — move always within a distinctly drawn circle of imchanging notions; but the fact that this condition of thought is rather the infancy of the human mind prolonged than a different maturity from that most familiar to us, is very seldom brought home to us with a clearness rendering it fruitful of instruction. " I do not, indeed, deny that the difference between the East and the West, in respect of the different speed at which new ideas are produced, is only a difference of degree. There were new ideas produced in India even during the disastrous period just before the English entered it, and in the earlier ages this production must have been rapid. There must have been a series of ages during which the progress of China was very steadily maintained, and doubtless our assumption of the absolutely immobility of the Chinese and other societies is in part the expres- sion of our ignorance. Conversely, I question whether new ideas come into being in the West as rapidly as modem literature and conversation sometimes suggest. It cannot, indeed, be doubted that causes, unknown to the ancient world, lead among us to the multiplication of ideas. Among them are the never-ceasing discovery of new facts of nature, inventions changing the circumstances and material conditions of life, and new rules of social conduct; the chief of this last class, and certainly the most powerful in the domain of law proper, I take to be the famous maxim that all institutions should be adapted to produce the greatest happiness of the greatest number. Nevertheless, there are not a few signs that even conscious efforts to increase the nimiber of ideas have a very limited success. Look at Poetry and Fiction. From time to time one mind endowed with the assemblage of qualities called genius makes a great and sudden addition to the combination of thought, word, and sound which it is the province of those arts to produce; yet as suddenly, after one or a few such efforts, the productive activity of both branches of invention ceases, and they settle down into imitativeness for perhaps a Bk. II The Law of Intellectual Progress 333 century at a time. An humbler example may be sought in rules of social habit. We speak of the caprices of Fashion; yet, on examining them histoncaUy, we find them singularly limited, so much so, that we are sometmies tempted to regard Fashion as passing through cycles of form ever repeating themselves. There are, in fact, more natural limitations on the fertility of inteUect than we always admit to ourselves and these, reflected in bodies of men, translate themselves into that wearmess of novelty which seems at intervals to overtake whole Western societies, including minds of every degree of information and cultivation " This passage formulates that in which intellectual progress consists and the method of developing the law of that progress. "Progress " says this trained observer, "is the continued production of new ideas- and we can only discover the law of this production by examining se' quences of ideas where they are frequent and of considerable length " It is difficult to reduce inquiry with reference to intellectual progress to more clearly defined considerations than these. Intellectual prog- ress IS inconceivable in any form other than in that of the continuous production of new ideas; and the law of that progress can be discovered but m an analysis of these ideal sequences. For the present purpose no volummous mass of material need be presented. The movement alone of the sequences is considered. The endless imitations, repe- titions and reproductions to which they have given birth are of no L portance m this movement. The revolutions of the satellites of any heavenly body are of minor interest, or readily determined, once the movement of the sphere round which they revolve is understood. The attenUon, therefore, wiU be directed to the movement of the various ideal sequences within the most important fields of inteUectual activity for tSie purpose of discovering, if possible, the law of their development Section n — Art Article i — Classification. Art as here understood embraces that portion of inteUectual pro- duction not mcluded within philosophy, religion, or scientific inqiL This region may be divided into five fields: L The arts of Bel sign, or Architecture. IL Sculpture. III. Painting. IV Music V Poetry, considered in its widest interpretation of '^ir ^iT.S^t'^^ '^"'". 't^^'^""' "^ '^''' ^^°^^S ^'^^ the domain of Art. As the history of these is developed, age after age, it seems I •, I I ?i I A rJ4u. 334 Intellectual Progress Pt. IV Mil i that even in the realm of the purely ideal, is found the process of evolution and devolution, of which all phenomena seem but varying phases. As these five regions are examined, and as the essential ideas constituting their progressive history are traced, this process gradually comes into view. A rticle 2 — A rchitecture. The great art of structural design, to which so much of beauty and interest in human expression may be traced, in all likelihood owes its primitive origin to the idea of shelter, or convenience. As these humble needs were satisfied, the art itself became of more importance, was used for other purposes, and developed under the influence of radically distinct ideas. From its earliest manifestations, a distinction may be observed between the Arts of the East and the West. The first has given rise to many varied and beautiful conceptions, but it is rather in the West that occurs the most progressive and intellectual develop- ment. From the tombs and temples of the earliest civilizations; from the monuments of Assyria and Egypt, and notably from Persepolis, Beni Hassan, and the Rameseum, were evolved the exquisite pro- portions of the orders of the Greeks. From these again, imder the influence of Rome, through the media of amphitheatre, coliseiun and basilica, new conceptions came into being, and new ideas were produced. Mediaeval Christianity poured a wealth of fresh forms into archi- tectural art through the spiritual elegance of Gothic design. These, in turn, fade or blend with the growing vitality of the Renaissance, and again new decorative ideas crystallize around the palace or the dome. Progress dining all these periods is everywhere manifest. The sequences of new ideas never cease, or cease but to begin anew with greater variety and fectmdity. Decorative ideas are constantly brought into being, and laid at the foundations of subsequent prog- ress. from Italy the Renaissance spread its revivifying influences over Europe and notably into France, where, under Louis XII, Francis I, Henry U, and the last of the Bourbons, it received its most productive development. These later manifestations, however, great as is their charm and interest, were as progressive forces less rich and fertile than the earlier. The progress of the art is later carried on with lessened Bk. II The Law of Intellectual Progress 335 vitality, until, after the sumptuous dignity of Louis XIV, the graceful efflorescence under Louis XV, and the formal reaction under Louis XVI and the Empire, form and design begin to repeat themselves- and any development of the art in any sense analogous to the progress of the past is sought in vain. Production to-day, in the art of structural design, however interesting and distinguished its appUcation, seems to have passed the creative period, and be limited to the application of decorative conceptions evolved m a more progressive age. Says Ferguson, ^ in this connexion: In the European system it is considered more essential that a building especially in its details, should be a correct copy of something else' than good m itself or appropriate to its purpose." Such criticism may appear severe, yet it is impossible to find in the recent arts of design, m whatever field, any progressive movement analogous to the great or even minor creative periods of the past. But, it may be said, the human mmd is finite and, consequently, cannot produce new ideas for- ever. A time must appear in its history when its creative capacity is exhausted, when production can continue but through the repetition of ah-eady developed conceptions. When such a period is reached, it need not mean that the mind has grown less fertUe, or less capable of creative effort, but that the possibiHties of fertilization no longer exist: m other words, that there are no few forms capable of structural apphcation to be discovered. When such a period occurs, however progress is at an end, and further movement, independent of repetition' mipossible. The most characteristic architectural efforts of the present are probably found in the field of purely utiUtarian and domestic de- sign; the tomb, the temple, the palace, or the cathedral, no longer supply the creative inspiration of an earKer day or when attempted strike but feeble echoes of the "frozen music" of the past. ' Thus the sequence of ideas underlying the progressive development of the arts of design suggests a cycle, as it were, of structural motives- a cycle starting under the influence of a given idea of utihty; developing through the appUcation of decorative ideas; giving birth to thousands of years of progressive movement, and then entering upon a period of sterile repetition, the dominant idea of which seems to have returned to the startmg point - utilitarian convenience. A series of ideas is found representing a process of slow movement, a zenith reached on the shores of the Me diterranean, rapid progress in other directions, and then rever- » History of Indian and Eastern Architecture, pp. 5. 6. 336 Intellectual Progress Pt. IV con- sion and repetition all along the line. In an art presenting such ditions progressive movement is apparently exhausted. Article j — Sculpture, In the history of plastic and lithic expression few efforts of importance occur independently of architecture, until appear the sombre creations of Assyrian and Egyptian civilization; and even here the higher forms of sculpture are inextricably involved with the requirements of the architect. The earlier Asiatic and Egyptian elements of the art poured into Greece through the island of Crete and the lion gates of Mycenae, to burst into independent existence, touched with the magic of the chisels of Phidias and Praxiteles. In Greece the art of sculpture reached its zenith. No country and no age present such varied and articulate lithic beauty as the shores dominated by the spear of Athene Promachos. In every art certain ideas are found which can be adequately expressed but through the media of the art in question; there are thus ideas capable of formulation through plastic representation alone. An interesting de- velopment of such ideas occurred during the most important periods of Asiatic and European civilization; matured and culminated with these, and then entered upon the apparently inevitable process of repetition or ceased. If the first ideas giving rise to these sequences are sought, and the view extended over the history of sculpture as a whole, it may appear that nearly all expression of this nature originated in the direct rendition of natural forms, suggesting at a later period the application of these to monumental and architectural design. The great empires of the East have contributed their share of ideas constituting the sculp- tural history developed under their influence, imtil the sequence is arrested or begins to repeat itself. On turning to Greece, however, and regarding Hellenic sculpture as a culmination of the movements of the East, it may seem that the art both reached its zenith and entered upon its decline under the shadow of the Parthenon, leaving little to do for those who come after but to worship — and repeat. Rome produces imitations alone; but the Byzantine and early Gothic eras present the art once more in a subordinate but still vital movement. This line of development gradually exhausts itself in the later Middle Ages, when the great Buonorotti and the men of the Renaissance turned back once more to Greece for inspiration. This period is peculiarly rich in sculpture, and certain new ideas appear, especially in monumental and architectural applications of Bk. II The Law of Intellectual Progress 337 the art. Another period of movement, but of less productive vitality, may be traced in France as the waves of the Renaissance roll northward and exhaust themselves beyond the Alps. As the inspiration of the modern Muse is studied, however, she seems no longer concerned with ideas such as have given rise to the great movements of the past; she is no longer occupied with the expression of religious emotion, trans- cendent efforts to attain the ideal, or even with the humbler oflice of the imitation of Greek originals. On the contrary, her chief thought seems to be the expression of the emotion of the artist, in direct contact with external nature, rather than the attempt to realize any purely imagina- tive conceptions, such as have constituted the progressive history of the art in the past, a tendency to be noted even in monumental and architectural application. Thus, it may seem, the lithic Muse has turned once again to the original source of her inspiration, and seeks in direct conmiunion with nature the fullest realization of her being, a tendency scarcely to be carried farther than in the works of Rodin. ' Article 4 — Painting, The art of painting, in all likelihood, owes its origin to the same ideas to which the art of sculpture may be traced ■— direct and unimaginative rendition of natural impressions followed by architectural application. In the East, and even among the Greeks, painting seems to have long remained in strict subordination to architecture, although doubtless car- ried to degrees of perfection of which nothing is known. The Chinese, the Japanese, and the Persians of a later day developed the art as far as lay within their powers and then began to repeat. The Byzantine workers in pigment and mosaic, and especially the earlier Italian masters, de- velop new progressive periods and some of the most interesting phases in the history of the art. These epochs fade with the ages which gave them birth, while the art meets the demands of another period and bursts into the flower of the "new birth" in Italy. To the painter the names of Botticelli, Pinturicchio, Titian, Veronese, and Raphael each presents a new and distinct conception, an independent link in the se- quence of ideas through which the painter's art traces its progressive development. In the men of that day, Italy exhausts herself, and the next period presents but repetitions. The seat of progress moves to the northward, where Rembrandt, Rubens and the "divine'* Velas- quez add their sha^-e to the sequence, present a new and fresh series of conceptions, endlessly imitated and repeated by their followers. • VJ r ■ :j^ 111 ti i! ' {| 338 Intellectual Progress Pt. IV New life and new ideas come into being once again, however, although with lessened power and fecundity. The sequence is continued in France by Poussin and the earlier French schools; later by Delacroix, Millet, and the men of 1830. England presents another movement of the same kind with Reynolds, Gainsborough, Constable, and others, together with the beginning of conscious repetition in the Pre-Raphaelite movement of the last century. These latter periods of development, in whatever country they may be traced, lead up to that which may be regarded as the characteristic form of the later art — the modem land- scape. The essential idea of modern painting seems to be the rendition of impressions derived directly from nature; and in landscape this idea has received development with which the earlier art is unfamiliar. Modem landscape painting, in some of its higher forms, may be regarded as presenting works of art little, if at all, inferior to those of an earlier age. It may seem, however, that an age seeking its characteristic inspiration in the reiteration of one idea scarcely presents the elements essential to progress, however interesting its variations of a single theme. The artists of China and Japan, the Byzantine workers, the early Florentine masters, the works of Veronese, Raphael, Velasquez, or again the works of Claude and Poussin, each suggest a distinct ideal conception in this field of expression. These sequences of ideas present the progressive history of the art; and where they stop, it seems that progress stops. Progress has long since ceased in China, Persia, and Japan. The breath of the Renaissance has long since ceased to inspire a Titian or a Tintoretto; modem painting presents no movement analogous to the great creative periods of the past. The walls of a modern exhibi- tion may often be divided into their pictorial elements; all the ideas they present may often be traced to their sources in recalling a Botticelli in Florence, a Veronese or a Titian in Venice. Or, again, these elements may act through a process of double dilution, so to speak, as when the thought of Luini or the early Italians is presented upon a canvas evi- dently inspired by the scholarly decorations of M. Puvis de Chavannes; or Japan and Velasquez appear filtered through impressions derived from the interesting personality of Mr. Whistler. Where this cannot be done, the modem Muse seeks her inspiration directly from nature. The majority of modem painters would perhaps disclaim any creative or imaginative intention, and regard nature alone as their highest in- centive to expression and "tmth*' their only object. If this is so, and Bk. II The Law of Intellectual Progress 339 if the creative and decorative conceptions capable of pictorial repre- sentation have all been exploited, as it would seem at some period they must necessarily be, it may seem that the art of painting is following the movement traced in the fields of architecture and sculpture. In other words, that painting develops a sequence of progressive ideas for a time, and when these are exhausted begins to repeat itself or turn back to the idea from which it took its rise — direct rendition of natural impressions. Article 5 — Music. Music and speech seem at one time to have been indistinguishable. Music apparently arose from what might be called cerebral, or verbal, expression as distinguished from expression which, in the course of time, has become characteristically musical. The eariiest records support this view. Says Nauman^ with reference to the earliest Chinese music: "The close relationship that originally existed between the constitution of the state and music is also clearly shown in Chinese history." In connexion with eariy Hindoo music, Bird says:^ "Many of these Raginis were so entirely without rhythmical symmetry, that it would be almost impossible to reproduce them in the same form as they were executed by the Hindoo singers; they seem like the outpourings of exalted beings, who wed to words such sounds as their emotion or fancy suggests." "The Egyptians placed their music in close affinity with astronomy, a position which we have already seen it occupy among the Chinese and Hindoos; but it was also among the Greeks that this combination attained to its greatest significance. "3 "The word 'Psalter' means, indifferently, a performance on a stringed instru- ment and a 'sacred hymn. '4 . . . " The musical endowments of the Israelites and the gift of prophecy were intimately associated one with another." The earliest records present music as an essentially dependent art; and, even among a people attaining such intellectual heights as the Greeks, music seems to have occupied a subordinate relation to poetry. "The Hellenes," says Naumann^ "were content that painting shouldvremain a mere slavish imitation of sculpture, and music the handmaid of poetry." • The History of Music, p. 8. » Ibid., pp. 24, 25. " Ibid., p. 38. • Ibid., p. 67 • Ibid., p. 116. \ I it I 11 340 Intellectual Progress Pt. IV ii'i »♦ Such dependence, in fact, seems a necessity before the discovery of the musical system underlying modern methods of composition and notation. The very late period at which a method was devised for defining the relative length of musical sounds is one of the remarkable facts in the progress of ideas forming musical history. Until such a system was formulated, the foundations for distinctly musical expression scarcely existed. These foundations once established, however, music rapidly developed a complete and independent existence; and a period of remarkably rich, rapid, and productive activity is entered. As in painting, the name of each of the great masters, from the time the art became independent until to-day, suggests some distinctly character- istic musical idea underlying their productions. The pages of musical history are filled with the records of some of the most distinguished and interesting of personalities. Recent music, however, hardly presents a progressive and creative movement such as suggested by the names of Bach, Beethoven or Berlioz. On the contrary, as in painting, the characteristically modem music seems to seek its inspiration in the direct statement of perceived fact or thought, if the terms are permissible, rather than in the ideal, melodic, religious, emotional, dramatic, intellectual or purely scientific influences, which gave birth to so much of beauty and interest in the past. The pure intellectuality of Bach, the "power that makes for righteousness" of Beethoven, the spiritual beauty of Brahms, the melodic wealth of a Mozart or a Bizet, the dramatic and emotional elements of Wagner, scarcely find adequate representation in the ideas dominating peculiarly modem production. The basic idea of modem music is perhaps best expressed in the works of Richard Strauss, and in studying these it is interesting to note how closely allied with verbal conceptions, as distinguished from purely musical expression, are the productions of this interesting author. In other words, how he, and distinctively modem music with him, seem to present the inevitable retum to the ideal starting-point, with all the resources of modem orchestration. This tendency to develop the purely cerebal element of musical expression has been noted by modem criticism. Says Mr. James Huneker* in his Essay on Strauss: "He is a thinker, a philosopher as well as a poet, and deeply religious in the cosmical sense; he purposes no less a task than the complete subjugation of men's imagination. Notes, phrases, groups, movements, masses of tone are ^(herUmes, p. 49. Bk. II The Law of Intellectual Progress 341 no longer merely sensuous symbols, but the actual symbols of a language; we must hasten to learn the new speech." Again, 1 "Music . . has never been so articulate, so dangerously definite, so insidiously cerebral." Says another student 2 of modern music: "Strauss is what the French called un cirebraly which is by no means the same thing as a man of intellect. Un Urebral is a man who feels through his brain, in whom emotion transforms itself into idea rather than in whom idea is transfigured by emotion." This tendency seems a definite and self-conscious one; Strauss^ says with reference to the score of "Also sprach Zarathustra": "I meant to convey musically an idea of the development of the human race from its origin, through the various phases of development, religious as well as scientific, up to Nietzsche's idea of the Uebermensch." Again :4 "Why cannot music express philosophy? Metaphysics and music are sisters. Even in music one can express a viewpoint, and if one wishes to approach the Worid Riddle, perhaps it can be done with the aid of music." One seems to hear an echo of the far-off music of ancient India or Egypt. Article 6 — Poetry, In the history of the arts considered, ideas are met incapable of ade- quate expression in words — hence the arts in which these ideas seek their proper realization. The decorative ideas of the period of Francis I cannot be expressed without actually designing in that combination of classic and Gothic form typical of the eariy French Renaissance. It is impossible to express the conceptions of a Veronese without attempting to reproduce the typical wealth of colour and form his name recalls. And so through the other arts: forms in stone or musical chords are necessary to their expression. In turning to the literary art, however, ideas appear, finding their proper expression through the media of words. When the results of the activities of the human mind in this field are considered, its creative fertility is more limited than might be supposed. "The lesson of the new science of Comparative Mythology," says Sir Henry Maine, "is the barrenness in primitive times of the faculty which we most associate with mental fertility, the Imagination." The lesson • Ibid, p. 17. • Arthur Symons, cited by Huneker, Ibid., p. 35. • Ibid., p. 4S- • Ibid., p. 35. I 'i t. ■ '• 1! 342 Intellectual Progress Pt. IV Bk. II The Law of Intellectual Progress 343 . •;■ in other fields may seem not distantly removed from that of compara- tive mythology. As Sir Henry Maine says, progress consists in the continued production of new ideas. In order then to trace the progress of literary expres- sion it is necessary to turn the attention to the ideas dominating each progressive age, and to formulate these in their simplest terms. The subject may, of course, be developed indefinitely. The present purpose involves but the briefest of glances across the ages, tracing the move- ments of the dominant luminaries, in order to discover, if possible, the law of their motion. In such a glance, it may be observed that the moons and satellites but follow the greater bodies. They can no more escape their influence than matter cease to gravitate. It seems reasonable to trace man's first attempts at articulate expression to the desire for simple communication; to the idea under- lying the transmission of direct and unimaginative truths. Records remain of but a very late period of man's linguistic history; a large portion of the earliest of these supports such a position and possesses no literary or artistic interest. Many of the Cuneiform and Egyptian inscriptions are historical, legal or astronomical documents. Doubtless however, long before these the records of kings and heroes began to possess a m)rthological and legendary significance, and literature, or poetry, properly speaking, came into being. The earliest form of poetry is nearly always the heroic epic. An analysis of the Ramayana and the Mahabharata of India, the earlier legends of Persia, of the myths of the Eddas and the Niebelung and even of many aspects of mediaeval European poetry, reveals a certain phase of song as typical of the thought of early civilizations; and wherever such poetry appears, it has found its richest and fullest expression in the Iliad and the Odyssey. The idea roimd which poetry of this nature revolves, is the idea of martial prowess; and reaches its apotheosis in in Homer. The great iEschylus, the father of Greek tragedy is cited ^ as regarding his own works as but cnunbs fallen from Homer's mighty banquet. In Homer, then, the idea round which revolve man's first literary aspirations — the idea of the fierce joys of a world in which "strife was father and king," — has foimd its fullest expression, sung as no man has sung since the day of the first great epic. It cannot be assumed that the Iliad and the Odyssey epitomize all > Aiktiutus, vni., 30. Eastern and Western thought of the earliest period; there are notable exceptions; in the Vedantic and EgyptisLU writings; the compilations of Confucius; in the Zenda Vesta , and in that rich and varied body of Greek material from Orpheus and Hesiod to Theocritus and the Alexan- drians. This material, however, in its most important manifestations, is either philosophic or theological and will be examined in its place. Poetry alone is here considered and, as pure rhythmic song. Homer may well be regarded as having exhausted this first of poetic ideas. Three stately figures dominate the Latin world of letters: Lucretius, Cicero, and Virgil. The great poet of the Republic is, however, first and last a philosopher and but voices Greek discoveries; he cannot, therefore, be regarded as the typical Roman poet. Cicero again is largely a philos- opher and a Hellene to the extent in which he philosophizes. Virgil, primarily a poet and a Roman, presents the next great figure, the next idea, in the progressive sequence of literary thought. Virgil was born in the year 70 B. C. The battle of Actium was fought in 31 B. C. Virgil was consequently in his prime at that memorable period of the ancient world. He was a friend of Maecenas; and Maecenas was the minister and friend of Augustus. Given these facts, and a slight familiarity with the political conditions of the Roman world of the period, the idea round which the more serious work of Virgil would revolve, might be predicted. The ^Eneidj while cast in the Homeric matrix of the heroic epic, and, at the same time, saturated with earlier Graeco-Roman thought, is neither an heroic epic nor a Lucretian dissertation on the nature of things. Virgil, in fact, presents a new idea in its highest form. The idea, first of all, of imperial and political imity, of the majesty of Roman power; and, combined with this, a deeper and more significant conception of nature and man than may be found in the struggles of Hector and Achilles. The poet of the Augustan age infused these ideas into literary expression, and his mind long dominated the poetic thought of the Middle Ages in their mystico-theological speculations. The shade of Dante next appears upon the literary horizon. With study of the works of these three singers — Homer, Virgil, and Dante — questions arise with reference to the action of the poetic intellect. What is poetry? What are its proper functions? Does it present a picture of nature to be taken seriously, in its rational and philosophic aspect, or but a vague and distorted impression, whose chief significance lies in the magic of the rhythm or the beauty of the imagery? Upon the answer to these questions will depend the impression derived from the great I I!. k N .'!i[ 'ff 344 Intellectual Progress Pt. IV poetic creations of the past. Christianity has come into existence since the days of Virgil, and the Divina Commedia is a view of nature seen through the camera obscura of mediaeval Roman Catholicism, coloured by mythical traditions of the ancient world and Floren- tine politics. The poet presents conceptions of moral rectitude and retribution for sin, as formulated by the conventional, theological, and political traditions of his age. He presents a "vision"— a mystical, and symboUcal vision. The poem of Dante is a work of extraordinary imaginative power, with isolated passages of rare force and beauty. If an attempt is made to sink beneath the surface however, in search, not of imaginative creations, but of some definite, rationally acceptable truth, the result seems to be but symbolized visions and mysticism — Christo-pagan visions and mysticism — re- volving round the idea of reward and punishment in another worid. This idea has given rise to a vast field of literary production, evolved from mediaeval religious and political conceptions, and based upon theo- logical and mystical interpretations and demonstrations. If works of this nature are regarded as poetic imagery, they possess all the value of such imagery. If supposed to contain a deeper cosmo- logical significance, their value will depend upon the value attached to interpretations of nature derived through what might be called the mathematico-mystical method from theologico-mythical information. A characteristic application of this method, of which endless examples occur in Pythagorean and theological literature, is found in the Vita Nuova^. Dante there says that the death of Beatrice occurred on the ninth day of the montii, and, in the Syrian reckoning, in the ninth month of the year. According to Ptolemy, and other no less trustworthy sources of information, there are nine heavens, which work effects on earth in accordance with their conjunctions. From this data he infers that his lady was a nine, "by simiUtude." But it is evident that the number three is the root of nine, and at the same time, that the Author of miracles is three; from which it may be perceived that the lady in question was a miracle whose only root was the Holy Trinity. He adds that a more subtie inquirer might find more subtle solutions, but that this simple explanation to him is the most satisfactory. The worid moves on; b'terary production continues. Poetico- theological symbolism and mysticism are unable to dominate a succeed- ing age, and the reaction sets in. The next imporUnt idea underiying »xxx. Bk. II The Law of Intellectual Progress 34S literary expression is that of the skeptical man of the world: the idea dominating the minds of such men as Montaigne, Cervantes, and Ra- belais. Popular ignorance and theological dogmatizing produce the usual results in the clearer intellects, and these hold up a mirror to the world in which they live; a polished surface as it were, reflecting their world and nothing else; except, perhaps, the more or less cynical smile with which they flash reflections of what they see therein. The great Shakespeare perhaps typifies this idea in its highest expres- sion; the idea of what might be called the "laugh," and at times a sad and vacant laugh; the idea with which many of the clearest and ablest intellects the world has produced have found themselves constrained to look upon the changes rung upon the tawdry stage of human existence. This idea is found in many tongues and ages; and often seeks expres- sion when older forms of thought are breaking up: Lucian, Cervan- tes, Heine, Swift, Voltaire. The constant flux observable in intellectual history, shows the inter- action of two forces upon each other — the action of society upon the creative intellect and that of the intellect upon society. The early tribal wars and wanderings produce the heroic epic culminating in the never equalled Homer; the wider political horizon of Rome and a later world, combined with Hellenic thought and theological speculation, produce Virgil; Virgil and theological mysticism evolve Dante; mysticism reacts as skepticism; and skepticism as what might be called theological ratio- cination. Mysticism is incapable of containing the clearer intellects, and skepticism is the result; skepticism, however, leads to nothing, and in its turn is inadequate to hold the deeper and more searching thought; the poet turns once more to ponder and to "make." Milton typifies the next idea in the development of the poetic intel- ligence. Paradise Lost is one vast argument. It is a reaction against skepticism; a conscious attempt to present the rational justification underlying the then existing, and still persisting, theological intrepreta- tions of nature in the Western world. The foundation upon which this entire argument depends, is the idea of the "fall" of man. This idea of the "fall" is an interesting one in intellectual history, showing the per- sistence of tradition on one hand; and, in the words of Sir Henry Maine, "the barrenness in primitive times of the faculty which we most asso- ciate with mental fertility, the Imagination." The minds of men of a certain type, gravitate toward this idea, with mechancial precision; it may be found in nearly all theological systems, and doubtiess first I ■4 It tl 346 Intellectual Progress Pt. IV '■'M 1 I i| presented itself as the only method of accounting for the existence of evil in the construction of theological formula. It is endlessly reiterated in theological speculation, in East and West alike. Hesiod^ and Ovid* present familiar Western forms, while Christo-theological systems doubtless incorporated it within their doctrines, as derived from the Chaldean' influences from which so much of Hebrew tradition seems evolved. This idea of the "fall," lying at the base of a great volume of theo- logical and poetical production — ancient and modem. Eastern and Western — is of interest with reference to Christianity, so far as the words of Christ may be regarded as the foundation of Christian systems. There is apparently no suggestion in His words in any way involved with this position. The volume of literary production revolving roimd the idea of the "fall of man," and dating from the oldest Chinese and Chaldean records, down to the most recent theological demonstrations of Europe, is too vast to permit even suggestion. The significance of this field, however, seems to depend upon the acceptance, as a basis of reasoning, of traditional, cosmological conceptions of periods which have left no record; tradition which all scientific evidence shows to be question- able, to say the least. As the sage Aristotle* remarks, quoting an old Hellenic proverb with reference to the poetic conceptions of the Cosmos, xoXXdb tpsOBovrat ioi8o(, "the bards sing many fallacies." To regard the works of Virgil, Dante, and Milton in the light of purely rationalized analysis may seem lacking in proper appreciation. This attitude may, however, be questioned, for the reason that the works of these men must apparently be regarded, either as purely artistic creations of the imagination, possessing only an imaginary significance; or, as containing a deeper and profounder meaning underlying their poetic exterior. If the latter point of view is adopted, this deeper meaning, when simply and dearly expressed, should be capable of withstanding the most thorough scrutiny to which it may be subjected. From the other point of view, these works may apparently be considered as sug- gestive eflflorescences of the poetic faculty; of interest in detail, but when regarded as consistent wholes, as having only imaginary connexion with nature or reality, and slight application to the problems besetting the hum an mind. Whichever point of view is adopted, some ground • Work and Days, 109 et aeq. • Metamorphoses, I, 3. • The Chaldean Account of Genasis. Geotge Smith, pp. tj, Wf ^Metaph. A. 2. 983 aju Bk. II The Law of Intellectual Progress 347 of sympathy with Plato ^ may be discovered in the treatment accorded the poets in his ideal State: That they should be regarded as persons of great note, worthy of all respect and consideration; that they should be anointed with oil and crowned with garlands and — sent upon their way rejoicing. HoXXd tp668ovTat dotSoL Another age followed; argumentative theologizing is incapable of containing the more powerful intellects, and another voice arose. Every lover of the inexhaustible Faust knows it to be the con- sistent elaboration of the ethical principle imderlying the bulk of ethical systems. This elaboration, however, is not one of mystico-mythical speculation nor rationalistic development of undemonstrated theological hypothesis; but one of the most beautiful and richest of poetical inter- pretations of nature. It is however, a poetical interpretation and a metaphysical elaboration, and poetry and metaphysics have in their turn been superseded. The Sturm and Drang of the earlier decades of the last century, so perfectly voiced in Faust, have given way to what seems the characteristic attitude of the modern mind; an attitude which may be summarized in one brief word — truth. The modem literary producer no longer seeks subjective and meta- physical interpretation of the world, in the workings of his own imagina- tion, with a Werther or a Faust; but, on the contrary, tries to look upon external objective nature as it is. The masters of nineteenth and twentieth century poetry and prose no longer present vast mystical and theological conceptions; their single object, the one idea with which they seem to labour, is the transcription of nature, if the term is permissible, rather than either its interpretation or translation, and "the humble truth," as Guy de Maupassant would say, their chief or only inspiration. Upon no page, perhaps, has life been so intimately and literally tran- scribed as upon that of Tolstoi. Tolstoi presents the essential concep- tion underlying modem literature; truth — tmth direct and imadorned. It is of interest, too, to study the works of Tolstoi with some such thought in mind; for two periods may be discovered in his productive activity; his earlier, or artistic period, giving place to a later, directly didactic period. Tolstoi thus exemplifies in his own person the characteris- tic attitude of modem artistic and literary expression in its extreme form; abandoning, as he did, even the literally transcriptive method of ob- serving nature for the direct and simple statement of perceived or reasoned facts. Literary expression is almost reduced to pure science * Republic, m.,i9&K, f I ; i I 11 ^' 348 Intellectual Progress Pt. IV at such a period; and science, in its broader sense, may well be considered as epitomizing latter-day art. The salient characteristic of modem expression, in all its fields, seems to be the direct formulation of imimag- inative truths. This characteristic renders the present the natural, or scientific, period of production as distinguished from others. Here, then, in the field of modem literature, is the tendency to look to truth and tmth alone; a tendency which seeks no higher motive, recognizes no nobler inspiration, than may be found in natural fact and natural law. Thus, if it may be assumed that the dominant idea underlying man's earliest incentive to linguistic communication was the desire to express the simple natural facts of existence, a by no means strained analogy may be traced between the ideas imderlying his first and latest periods of expression. The entire field might be cmdely epitomized as follows: Organic evolution develops imimaginative speech, or the direct statement of perceived truths. Speech develops organized society and war. War produces the heroic epic and Homer. Homer and later political so- ciety produce Virgil. Virgil and mediaeval Christianity produce Dante, or theological mysticism. Mysticism gives way to skepticism and Shakespeare. Skepticism reacts in the form of tradition-based, argu- mentative theologizing, and Milton. Argumentative theologizing is followed by independent metaphysical interpretation of natiu*e, and metaphysical interpretation, by the independent statement of directly perceived tmths, and — the cycle is complete. . CHAPTER III SCIENCE AND MAN <4 MONO the most important results of scientific research has /\ been an increasingly accurate conception of the place occupied / % by the human race in the material universe. Few more important contributions to knowledge may be made than those coming under the head of the astronomical and evolutionary sciences. These sciences have shown, with apparentiy unquestionable evidence, the story of man's past, and to these must he look for the story of his future: the goal to which his progress leads. " What will be the end thereof? " asks Doctor Maudsley . ^ "Are we to look forward to a continued becoming or to an ultimate unbecoming of things? Will evolution on earth go on forever? Or is not the end of life on earth foredoomed by as certain a fate as the end of individual life? Will not the same causes that have formed it, and are bringing it to perfection, even should they continue to operate, inevitably bring it to destmction? . . . The common law of life," he continues,^ answering his own question, is slow acquisition, equilibrium for a time, then a gentle decline that soon becomes a rapid decay, and finally death. It is a law which govems the growth, decline, and fall of nations as well as of individuals, for a nation, being but a complex imion of very complexly constituted individuals, cannot any more than they continue forever in one stay. Nor can humanity as a whole escape the doom thus plainly decreed for it. If the force at the back of all becoming on earth is that which the sun has steadily supplied to it through countless ages, and still steadily supplies, it is plain that when it fails, as fail it one day must, there will be a steadily declining development and a rapidly increasing degeneration of things, an undoing by regressive de- compositions of what has been done by progressive combinations through the succession of the ages." The human race, regarded in relation to the planetary life within which it is contained, or in relation to a planet contained itself within a sidereal » Body and Witt. p. 3i7« « Ibid., pp. 319-320. 349 ii i I I i 3 so Intellectual Progress Pt. IV Bk. II Science and Man 351 I i system, can look forward apparently to nothing, but a process of evolu- tion and devolution; leading not only to the death and dissolution of the planet upon which its uneasy existence has been evolved, but to the dissolution of the system within which that insignificant planet itself has been brought into existence. A species can have have but a limited existence. Palaeontological laws show that every life province is but a geological flora or fauna in course of becoming fossilized; the rhythmic motion of the waves of time will absorb man and his progress with the same certainty that they have absorbed the extinct species of the past. "Yet one more rhythm," says Mr. Spencer, ^ "extremely slow in its action, may be traced in the phenomena of life, contemplated, under their more general aspect. The researches of the palaeontologists show that there have been going on during the vast period of which our sedimentary rocks bear record, successive changes of organic forms. Species have appeared, become abundant and then disappeared. Genera, at first constituted of but few spedes, have for a time gone on growing more multiform, and then have begun to decline in the niunber of their subdivisions, leaving at last but one or two representatives, or none at all. During longer epochs whole orders have thus arisen, culminated and dwindled away. And even those wider divisions containing many orders have similarly undergone a gradual rise, a high tide and a long continued ebb." This is the law of life upon the planet earth. What may be regarded as the law of life of the planet itself? Says Mr. Spencer: 2 "For the earth, as a whole, when it has gone through the entire series of its ascending transformations, must remain, like all smaller aggre- gates, exposed to the contingencies of its environment; and .... be subject to forces sufficient to cause its complete disintegration." The mind, turn where it will, finds but imceasing change; whether it regards the immediate phenomena of life or the ultimate laws governing the movements of the material universe, an all-pervading process of evolution and devolution, seems to be the end of its inquiry. Says Mr. Spencer .-3 " When that integration everywhere in progress through- out our solar system has reached its climax there will remain to be effected the inmieasureably greater integration of our solar system with other such systems. There must then reappear in molecular motion what is » First Principles, f 8s, p. 228. » Ibid, i 181, p. 4s6. » Ibid.. §S 182. 183. p. 464. lost in the motion of masses, and the inevitable transformation of this motion of masses into molecular motion cannot take place without re- ducing the masses to a nebulous form. "Thus we are led to the conclusion that the entire process of things as displayed in the aggregate of the visible universe is analogous to the entire process of things as displayed in the smallest aggregates. " Motion as well as matter being fixed in quantity it would seem that the change in the distribution of matter which motion effects coining to a limit in whichever direction it is carried, the indestructible motion thereupon necessitates a reverse distribution. Apparently the universally co-existent forces of attraction and repulsion, which, as we have seen, necessitate rhythm in all minor changes throughout the universe, also necessitate rhjrthm in the totality of its changes, produce now an im- measurable period during which the attractive forces predominating cause universal concentration and then an immeasurable period during which the repulsive forces predominating cause universal diffusion — alter- nate eras of evolution and dissolution." These conclusions are based upon the phenomena presenting laws among the closest approximations to certainty with which the human mind is familiar. They lead, apparentiy, to the opinion that hiiman progress however considered, can no more present a constant process of ascending modifications than the progress of any other spedes; or of any individual member of any species. Death and dissolution await human species as certainly as they await the individual man. Other considerations lead to the same conclusions. Heat, if not the first essential, is one of the essentials of earthly organic existence. The heat from which life on earth derives its being springs from two sources; the heat inherent in the earth itself and that fountain-head of earthly vital energy — the sim. "The inquiries of Mallet and others," says Proctor,^ "show that the present vulcanian energies of the earth are due in the main to the gradual withdrawal of the earth's nudear parts from the surface crust, because of the relatively more rapid loss of heat by the former. The surface crust is thus left to contract under the action of gravity, and vulcanian phenomena — that is, volcanoes and earthquakes — represent the mechanical equivalent of this contraction. Here is a process which cannot continue forever, simply because it is in its very nature exhaustive of the energy to which it is due. It shows us that the earth's nudear regions are parting with their heat, and as ^ Our Plau Among Infinities, p. 28. ,114 I f 352 Intellectual Progress Pt. IV Bk. II Science and Man i:|i they cannot part with their heat without warming the surface-crust, which nevertheless grows no warmer, we perceive that the surface- heat is maintained from a source which is being gradually exhausted. The fitness of the earth to be the abode of life will not only be affected directly in this way, but wiU be indirectly affected by the loss of that vulcanian energy which appears to be one of its necessary conditions. At present, the surface of the earth is like the flesh clothing the living body ; it does not wear out because (through the life which is within it) it undergoes continual change. But even as the body itself is consumed by natural processes so soon as life has passed from it, so, when the internal heat of the earth, which is its life, shall have passed away, her surface will 'grow old as doth a garment'; and with this inherent terrestrial vitality wHl pass away by slow degrees the life which is upon the earth." If the discovery of radium is regarded as modifying this view, inquiry is but turned toward other fields, such as tidal fricUon of depletion of the atmosphere. Speaking of Meunier's theory of the absorption of moisture and atmosphere as a planet ages. Proctor^ says: "But apart from all such considerations, we know that a process of exhaustion is taking place, even in the Sun himself, whence all that exists upon the Earth derives its life and daily nourishment. So that indirectly by the dying out of the source of life, if not directly by the dying out of life, this Earth must one day become as bleak and desolate a scene as we believe the Moon to be at this present time." It thus seems, by whatever process the earth is deprived of heat or atmosphere, that the evolution of earthly life must ultimately reach a point when it will consist of adaptations to constantly worsening con- ditions. "It is an error," says Professor Huxley,2 ''to imagine that evolution signifies a constant tendency to increased perfection. That process undoubtedly involves a constant remodelling of the organism in adaptation to new conditions; but it depends on the nature of those conditions whether the direction of tiie modifications effected shaU be upward or downward. Retrogressive is as practicable as progressive metamorphosis. If what the physical philosophers teU us, tiiat our globe has been in a state of fusion, and, like the sun, is graduaUy cooling down, is true, then the time must come when evolution will mean ad- aptation to an universal winter, and all forms of life will die out, except s^^^ ^Q^ and simple organisms as die Diatom of the arctic and antarctic * Ibid., p. 60. s Evolution and Ethics, p. 199. 353 ice and the Protococcus of the red snow. If our globe is proceeding from condition in which it was too hot to support any but the lowest living thing to a condition in which it will be too cold to permit of the exist- ence of any others, the course of life upon its surface must describe a trajectory like that of a ball fired from a mortar; and the sinking half of that coiurse is as much a part of the general process of evolution as the rismg. Doctor Maudsley^ presents the following picture of the future of humanity: "The disintegrating process may be expected to take effect first in the highest products of evolution and to reach in deepening suc- cession the low, lower, and lowest organizations and organic compoimds. The nations that have risen high in complexity of development will degenerate and be broken up, to have their places taken by less com- plex associations of inferior individuals; they in turn will yield place to simpler and feebler imions of still more degraded beings; species after species of animals and plants will first degenerate and then become extinct, as the worsening conditions of life render it impossible for them to continue the struggle for existence; a few scattered families of de- graded human beings living perhaps in snow huts near the equator, very much as Esquimaux live now near the pole, will represent the last wave of the receding tide of human existence before its final extinction; until at last a frozen earth incapable of cultivation is left without energy to produce a living particle of any sort and so death itself is dead." After reviewing the material upon which the opinion may be based. Professor Cliff ord^ says: "We may therefore, I think, conclude about the end of things that, so far as the earth is concerned, an end of life upon it is as probable as science can make anything." May we look farther yet to stages still later in the history of the earth? "Truly," says Proctor,' "it is like looking beyond death; for now imag- ination presents our earth to us as an inert mass, not only lifeless as at the beginning, but no longer possessing that potentiality of life which ex- isted in her substance before life appeared upon her surface. We trace her circling year after year around the sun, serving no useful purpose according to our conceptions. The energy represented by her motions of rotation and revolution seems to be as completely wasted as are those parts (the whole save only one 230,000,000th portion) of the sun's « Body and WiU, p. 32a * Lectures and Essays, The First and Last Catastrophe, p. 158. * Our Place Among Infinities, p. 30. ' 1! ii I f I 354 Intellectual Progress Pt. IV Bk. II Science and Man 35S ! light and heat, which, falling on no planet, seem to be poured uselessly intoxdesert space." This is the picture science presents of the future of the teeming earth: a lifeless mass of matter sweeping blindly, and apparently without pur- pose, through the undisturbed silences of space, rotation succeeding rotation, revolution succeeding revolution, bereft, not only of life but of the very possibility of life. The mind, however, need not stop here for it perceives that the planet earth is but one of a system of planets with the sun at its centre; this system but an aggregate of atoms, as it were, in limitless ether; and that this aggregate is sweeping toward a point in one of the constellations, revolving in its turn through a cycle so vast, an orbit so inmiense, that neither its centre nor its period can be calculated. And here the mind can go no farther. "How grotesquely ludicrous then," says Doctor Maudsley,i "the absurdity of man's vainly attempted conceptions of a great final cause or purpose of things! In order to conceive a cosmic final cause it would be necessary for the individual to achieve the abolition of time, which is the mere condition of human thought, and to acquire the power of thinking beyond himself, which would be the abolition of himself." And might not the same terms be applied to man's attempt to realize a progress Independently of the laws of cosmic evolution? Would it not seem for him to attain a never ending process of development, that it would be necessary for him to achieve the abolition of time, one of the conditions of his existence? Would it not seem, in the light of science, that progress is a vast cosmic process, as much beyond the control of political society as the plane of the ecliptic? In any fundamental sense, as much beyond the range of the action of the "great man's" mind as the orbits of the spheres? In the light of science, man is scarcely the final goal of the universe the "heaven-descended heir" of all the ages. His existence may be regarded as a more or less unfortunate accident; his story, in the words Mr. Balfour,2 "as a brief and transitory episode in the life of one of the meanest of the planets. Of the combination of causes which first converted a dead organic compound into the living progenitors of human- ity, science, indeed, as yet knows nothing. It is enough that from such beginnings famine, disease, and mutual slaughter, fit nurses for the » Body and Will, p. 334. • Foundations of Belief, p. 3a future lords of creation, have gradually evolved after infinite travail, a race with conscience enough to feel that it is vile, and intelligence enough to know that it is insignificant. We survey the past, and see that its history is of blood and tears, of helpless blundering, of wild revolt, of stupid acquiescence, and empty aspirations. We sound the future, and learn that after a period, long compared with the individual life, but short indeed compared with the divisions of time open to our investigation, the energies of our system will decay, the glory of the sun will be dimmed, and the earth, tideless and inert, will no longer tolerate the race which has for a moment disturbed its solitude. Man will go down into the pit, and all his thoughts will perish. The imeasy consciousness, which in this obscure comer has for a brief space broken the contented silence of the universe, will be at rest. Matter will know itself no longer. 'Imperishable monuments' and 'immortal deeds,' death itself, and love stronger than death, will be as though they had never been. Nor will anything that is be better or be worse for all that the labour, genius, devotion, and suffering of man have striven through coimtless generations to effect." That the vast womb of nature will re-absorb within itself the world to which it has given birth, together with all that world contains, is not a modem idea. It is a thought to which any rational mind is drawn. Lucretius, two thousand years ago, gave it scientifically adequate ex- pression. He concludes:^ Haut igitur leti praedusa est ianua cado nee soli terraeque neque altis aequoris undis sed patet immani et vasto respectat hiatu. A.nd so Death's jaws are never dosed, 'gainst sky and earth, and sea and dawn, But open wide e'er stand opposed, look bade and vast, abysmal, yawn. ( De Rerum Natura, V. 373* Bk. Ill Object and Method of Inquiry 357 ['. 1 I' "Book III RELIGION CHAPTER I OBJECT AND METHOD OF INQUIRY THE axes running north and south and east and west of the con- tinent of Asia intersect at a point north of the Himalaya Mountains and eastward of the Hindu Kush; a point approx- imately the centre of a vast cup-like region, regarded by some inquirers as the homestead, or cradle, of the human race. This region lies immediately to the north of the mighty Himalayas; the Bolor and the Ala-Tau mountains define it on the west and northwest, the Altai ranges and their offshoots upon the north and east, and the Kuen- Loun to the south and southeast. Grouped aroimd it are the three typical races of man. "No other region on the globe," says de Quatrefages,i "presents a similar union of extreme human types distributed round a common centr^." As the topographical conformation of this region is examined, its suitability as a distributive centre is evident. From this high lying bowl, as it might be called, draining the surrounding mountainous country, pour the watercourses of the continent; the rivers of China leading away to the north and east, the Salwen and the Me-Khong through the Malay Peninsula; the Brahmaputra and the Indus, although both rising on the northern slopes of the Himalayas, owing to the remarkable topog- raphy of the region, flow to the southeast and southwest into the Bay of Bengal and the Arabian Sea. The Ganges drains the southern slope and waters northern India, while the streams of the western ranges stretch away through the steppes of northwestern Asia to the valleys of the Oxus and Jaxartes. "Salute these sacred summits," says Renan,^ "where the great races of the wo rld which carried within their womb the future of humanity, » The Human Species, p. J76. ■ Dc I'Originc du Language, p. 231. first looked upon the infinite; and inaugurated those two facts which have changed the face of the world: morality, and reason." The men of prehistoric ages may perhaps be considered as roaming down the great watercourses of Central Asia; streaming away like the water they followed through virgin valley and forest primeval; some to the plains and steppes to the northward, others to the east along the coast to the Aleutian islands, or across what is now Behring Strait and the Island of St. Lawrence, to the continents of another hemisphere; some down the Salwen and the Me-Khong to the Malay Peninsula, the Sundas, Australia, and New Zealand, or, scattered like pollen by the winds of the sea, im- pregnating the islands of the Pacific. Others again, perhaps, drifting down the southern slopes of the Himalayas, peopled the valleys of the Indus and the Ganges, or streamed away to the ancient regions of the Caspian and the Euxine, while the Tigris and Euphrates led to the Med- iterranean and the land of the Nile. Whatever theory of the peopling of the world is adopted, however, in Asia must be sought many of the most interesting and inspiring con- ceptions to which the himaan mind has given birth: in Asia, the primeval home of humanity, the parent of letters and philosophy, the birthplace of the sciences and the mother of religions: Ex Oriente lux. To ask the origin of religion is the same as to ask the origin of life. To seek the origin of fimdamental phenomena, is but to ask what sup- ports the turtle of the Indian cosmogony, which supposes the earth to be upheld by an elephant, the elephant by a turtle, and the turtle suspended in space. It would be as well to suspend the earth in space in the first place. "Prima in orbe deos fecit timor." "But fear it was that first made gods on earth," says Petronius,^ and concludes: "And now the criminal's vow, the traitor's greed Contend, inventing gods to suit their need." Religious phenomena, in their political, fiscal, and metaphysical aspects support the opinion of the C3mical Roman. The interests of priest and politician, combined with the pecimiary value of ignorance and superstition in 'the masses, have doubtless played an important part in the development of the religious systems of the world. These, in connexion with the inexplicable facts of existence; the heavens, the sun and the stars, thunder and electricity, together with man's imaginative tendencies, hallucinations, delirium, disease, » Frag., v.. p. 3S6« '»!( n 358 Religion Pt. IV t war, sex, birth, and death, ronn a large proportion of the elements from which many, if not the majority, of tiieological conceptions are derived. Whatever the opinion, or lack of opinion, adopted with reference those phenomena, broadly classified as religious, nothing seems more clearly demonstrated in history, however, than that religion is a force; and intangible, inexplicable force, perhaps, but a force none the less; and as such, no more to be disregarded in the study of political and social phenomena, than any other fact falling beneath the observation. "An unbiased consideration of its general aspects," says Mr. Spencer, * "forces us to conclude that religion, everywhere present as a weft run- ning through the warp of human history, expresses some eternal fact." Such considerations suggest that the least unsatisfactory method for the study of the phenomena of religion, is identically the same as that adopted in the study of other phenomena. Their existence is accepted for the reason that they leave impressions upon the faculties. These are analyzed and classified, and these classifications form the bases and criteria to which subsequent impressions and inductions may be referred. The study of the phenomena of religion is, however, fraught with difficulties of observation and interpretation, from which the inductive natural sciences are largely free. Cicero* tells the story of Simonides and the tyrant Hiero, in which the latter requests the philosopher to tell him something of the nature of the gods. Simonides asks for a day in which to consider the matter; the next day he begs for two days more; then for four days for further meditation, and subsequentiy continued doubling the time required. When Hiero asked the reason, he replied that the longer he considered the subject, the greater became its difficulty and obscurity. This difficulty and obscurity are the prevailing impressions in inquiry devoted to religion. There exists, however, a body of trustworthy, scientific material dealing with the subject due to the patient effort and research of many able scholars. Their labours, divorced from theo- logical, metaphysical, and traditional influences present, perhaps, the most useful critical conmientary with reference to the field considered. This apparatus, in connexion with the original sources of information as the basis of study, presents the essentials of any rationalized conclu- sions with reference to religion. In order to reach such conclusions, however, it is necessary to submit the subject under discussion to two > First Principles, | 6., p. 16. < De Nat. Dear., L. aa. I Bk. Ill Object and Method of Inquiry 359 distinct processes: (i) An analytical process of separate phenomena, or an attempt to resolve these into their constituent parts; (2) a comparative and, if possible, synthetic process, by means of which these parts may be studied in relation to each other, or united in a s)aithesis of the essentials of the entire field. "Method," as Aristotie^ would say, "begins when from a variety of conceptions derived from experi- ence, one universal conception is evolved which embraces all similar »i cases. While no conclusive evidence exists with reference to the origin of religion, material is foimd giving vague glimpses of the origin of re- ligions. Comparative philology presents data from which such glimpses may be derived. Professor Miiller^ says, in recapitulating the conclusions of his third lecture on the science of religion : " We found, first of all, that there is a natural connection between language and religion, and that therefore the classification of languages is applicable to the ancient religions of the world. "We found, secondly, that there was a common Aryan religion before the separation of the Aryan race; a common Semetic religion before the separation of the Semetic race; a common Turanic religion before the separation of the Chinese and the other tribes belonging to the Tiu^anian class. We found, in fact, three ancient centres of religion as we had foimd before three ancient centres of language, and we have thus gained, I believe, a truly historical basis for a scientic classification of the prin- cipal religions of the world." No material exists, apparentiy, permitting the explanation of the evolution and classification of religions much beyond the position sum- marized in the foregoing citation. A study of the ultra-primitive re- ligious conceptions of man, based upon analysis and comparison of the roots and fundamental characters of the most ancient tongues, seems to present a vague monotheism as the earliest religous form of which informa- tion may be obtained. Such information is, however, of the most elusive nature. As man spread himself over the surface of the globe, and language developed into written characters, later religions slowly came into existence. With the basis of classification suggested by Professor Miiller, these may best be studied in relation to the language and branches of the human family, from which they are derived. To the north and east of that region beyond the Himalayas, provision- H * Metaph. A. i. 981 a 5. ' Scienu of Rdigum, p. 99. HI'B' ill h ?» I 1 360 Religion Pt. IV ally regarded as a distributive centre of population and language, the great Mongolid family stretches to the Pacific, and, in the opmion of certain ethnologists, over the entire aboriginal Americas, from the Esquimaux on the north, to the Patagonians and Fuegians at their southern extremity. In Taoism some scholars find the primitive creed of ancient China in its later phases; others see in Confucianism the re- formation of the original beliefs. On the upper reaches of the Ganges, it seems, were written the last hymns of the Vedas; and these, with the other sacred writings, form the bases of the Indian system of Brahman- ism. About one hundred miles northwest of the sacred city of Benares, in the country of Oudh, five centuries before Christ, was born Gautama,' whose creed spread through southern India and northeastern Asia- dying out later at its source, while retaining its hold m other lands, and forming one of the "three religions" of China. To the southwest of Central Asia lies the region known to the ancients as Bactriana, through which swept the legions of Alexander, and here, it seems, probably not later than the sixth century before the present era, lived the great Zoroaster; the prophet of Ormazd and Ahriman. Zoroaster dommated the religious thought and lives of countless millions through the various phases of Persian civilization; and is heard to-day by but a few scattered remnants in the land of his birth, and the Parsis in western India. In the ancient land of Egypt, a mysterious polytheism and nature worship seems to have been the popular faith of the teeming millions of the Nile, whose mysteries and priest-craft are now as silent and empty as the mighty ruins of Kamac. Here, too, was bom Moses, the law-giver of Israel, the prophet of the One God, the Jehovah of Abraham and the Arab sheiks of Ur. From Egypt, again, and the legends of the ancient Pelasgi, sprang the beautiful Hellenic mythology; the gods of Orpheus, Homer, and Hesiod, and these, together with numberiess other streams of influence from her conquests and possession, poured into the lap of the mistress of the ancient worid on the banks of the Tiber. A few miles south of Jerusalem, between the Dead and the Mediterranean Seas, Hes Bethlehem; and here was bom the Christ who preached the One God of Abraham; not, however, as his prophet, but as his only begotten Son. This creed spread away to the north and west, formed a great focus at Rome during the Middle Ages, broke later into various crystallizations, and spread its influence to the New Worid. At the northem extremity of the region the ancients caUed Arabia Felix, near the shores of the Red Sea, Hes Mecca; and here arose Mohammed, the prophet of Islam, Bk. Ill Object and Method of Inquiry 361 whose followers swept across northern Africa, occupied Spain, penetrated to the gates of Rome, and as far north as central France. To the east- ward, they absorbed the ancient Empire of the Persians, and with Mahmud, Jenghiz Khan, and Tamerlain overran Central Asia, China, and India, and carved an Empire, reaching from the pillars of Hercules to the Hindo Kush. His followers form to-day numerically, perhaps, the fifth of the great religious creeds of the world; Christianity and Confucianism lead in the number of their adherents; Brahmanism, or Hinduism, practically one, coming third; Buddhism fourth, while Taoism ranks, probably, after Buddhism and Mohammedanism. Jainism and Zoroastrianism are relatively insignificant numerically. ^ These form the chief religious classifications into which civilized man, ancient and modem, may be divided. They form, as it were, the natural subdivisions into which the original classifications suggested by Pro- fessor Miiller are resolved. If a Japanese or Indian scholar were to visit England or America, in order to study the religious systems of the people, he would find most of the populations of these countries styling themselves "Christian." His next question would naturally be: What is Christianity? The Oriental inquirer might well be bewildered with the variety of replies received. In these countries, regarded as largely under the influence of a single creed, he would find endless opinions with reference to that creed; opinions varying from the most elaborate teleological conceptions, to the attitude w^hich regarded Christianity as a series of laboured hal- lucinations, built aroimd a personality which may never have existed. After examining the opinions of orthodox theologians; the endless series of refutations by heterodox theologians; the refutations of the en- tire theological system — orthodox and heterodox — from other sources, together with the confused and inarticulate opinions of the masses, the Oriental inquirer might begin to think of Christianity as a strange and elusive phenomenon; about which, apparently, none knew less than the Christians. At the same time, however, as a student of religious influences, he would be imable to ignore Christianity, for despite these confused warrings and contradictions, its creed has occupied an im- portant place in human history, and among other great systems of religious thought. The im portant question arises, therefore, by what means may the 1 Cf. Sir Monier Monier- Williams, Buddhism, p. zviii. These relations may be largely modified in accordance with the method of classification adopted. Cf. Buddhism and Its CkrisUan Critics^ by Dr. Paul Carus, Chi^igo, 1897, p. 165. ii m t 362 Religion Pt. IV Bk. Ill Object and Method of Inquiry 363 unprejudiced investigator discover the essential features of Christianity and, at the same time, free inquiry from the series of mythical, mystical, symbolic, and metaphysical mazes possessing interest chiefly for the antiquary or the psychologist? Such an inquirer might conclude that this could best be done by the simple expedient of addressing himself inunediately to the original fountain-head of Christianity itself. In the words of Christ, and in the words of Christ alone, he might expect to find the most direct and authoritative material dealing with the subject. There isjone objection to the method. The words of Christ present a system but remotely allied to existing systems. In other words, the thought of Christ, freed from mysticism, metaphysics, and theological interpretations, contain little or no statement of much of the religious opinion actually dominant under the name of Christianity. The method adopted will thus depend upon the object of inquiry. Religious phenomena may be divided into two distinct classes: (i) The permanent and original f oimtain-head, or ultimate source of inspira- tion, tfrom which the religion in all its phases is derived; (2) The changing and shifting mazes of theological commentary and inter- pretation; of myth, dogma, teleological and metaphysical speculation, crystallizing about the central figures. This second class of phenomena, again, seems to resolve itself into two classes: (i) Certain fixed ideas which, in varying degrees of importance, are conmion to almost all religions; such as virgin births, powers of evil, the fall of man, atonements, miracles, and so forth; (2) A process of thought sweeping aroimd these fixed ideas in endless cycles of repetition, contradiction, and reiteration of form, dogma and rituals presenting an acamiulation of mystical and symbolic material, under- going a process of evolution and modification, and varying with varying conditions; temporal, political, local, and intellectual. It is here imessential to trace any comparison of these fixed ideas, or to study their development. They do not suggest any exalted opinion of the resources of the human imagination. The endless repetitions of the same miracles and miraculous conceptions, the same powers of evil, atonements, temptations, annunciations, transmigrations, transfigura- tions and trans-substantiations; the same ascensions, resurrections, predestinations, damnations, Paradises and Purgatories; the same golden ages, falls of man, original sins, mystical trinities and imities, symbolical numbers, such as three and seven, grow monotonously familiar; and suggest man's incapacity to formulate a conception of the Divinity, independent of these not extraordinarily inspiring fixed formulas. This is a field, however, outside the present inquiry. It may be developed through the original sources of information, or in the interesting works of Douglas, James Legge, Mills, Carey, Sir William Jones, Colebrooke, Bumouf, Smith, Whitney, Max Miiller, Budge, Deussen and a host of able and trustworthy scholars. The travels of Father Hue might also be mentioned in this connexion, bringing as they do, in the words of Doctor White, ^ "to the notice of the world the amazing similarity of the ideas, institutions, observances, ceremonies, and ritual, and even the ecclesiastical costumes of the Buddhists to those of his own church." These similarities, Father Hue traces^ through " * the crozier, the mitre, the dalmatic, the cope or pluvial j which the grand l^mas wear on a journey or when they perform some ceremony outside the temple, the service with a double choir, psalmody, exorcisms, the censer swinging on five chains, and contrived to be opened or shut at will, benediction by the limas with the right hand extended over the heads of the faithful, the chaplet, sacerdotal celibacy, Lenten retirements from the world, the worship of saints, fasts, processions, litanies, holy water — these are the points of contact between the Buddhists and ourselves.' The good Abbe has by no means exhausted the list, and might have added * con- fessions, tonsure, relic worship, the use of flowers, lights, and images before shrines and altars, the sign of the cross, the Trinity in unity, the worship of the Queen of Heaven, the use of religious books in a tongue unknown to the bulk of the worshippers, the aureole or nimbus, the crown of saints and Buddhas, wings to angels, penance, flagellations, the flabellum or fan, popes, cardinals, bishops, abbots, presbyters, deacons, the various architectural details of the Christian temple ' and so forth. To this list, Balfour^ s CydopcBdia of India adds, * amulets, medicines, illuminated missals'; and Mr. Thompson^ * baptism, the mass, requiems.' " The subject of the reiteration of the same ideas throughout the entire field of formal religion is interestingly reviewed, and an introduction to a larger portion of its literature presented, in a work entitied Bible Myths and their Parallels in other Religions.^ Within the higher fields of theological speculation, the tendency of the theological mind to repeat itself is not less marked. * A History of the Warfare of Science with Theology, Vol. II., p. 380. * Buddhism «i» Christianity, by Arthur Lillie in Religious Systems of the World, p. X64. * Illustrations of China, Vol. II., p. 18. « Bouton, New York, 1883. ■4 m r :\ i'-i 3^4 Religion pt. IV Says Doctor Legge,i in comparing the thought of the Chinese" philos- opher, Mendus, with that of Bishop Butler, "In fact, that philosopher, bom rather more than two thousand years before Bishop Butler, devel- oped a theory of human nature in which he anticipated every important point insisted on by the Christian prelate." Doctor White touches this phase of the subject briefly but interestingly in the closing chapter of his Warfare of Science with Theology, where an introduction to a portion of its literature will be found. This second class of what might be called metaphysico-theological speculation, pre- sents a natural process of evolution and repetition, doubtless of a certain historical and psychological interest, but radically removed from the fountain-heads of the creeds round which it revolves. The ultimate sources are largely independent of the fixed ideas shot up, so to speak, in their neighbourhood, and of the cycles of theological and metaphysical speculation revolving about these. In order, therefore, to come in direct contact with ultimate religious conceptions alone, inquiry at once refers to the single source from which each system takes its rise, and theological and metaphysical substrata are regarded as beyond the field chosen for review. In order to apply to the fountain-heads of inspiration which have dominated the religious thought of the world, with the object of discovering their teachings, it is necessary: First, to formulate an exact conception of what is meant by religion; second, to in- terrogate the final authority of all religions considered with refer- ence to these conceptions. The first question then, is: What is a re- ligion? The well qualified observer, Sir Monier Monier-Williams,^ says with reference to that which constitutes a religion: (i) "Every system claiming to be a religion in the proper sense of the word must postulate the eternal existence of one living and true God of infinite power." (2) "It must reveal some method by which the finite creature may com- municate with the infinite Creator." (3) "It must also take for granted the immortality of man's soul or spirit, and the reality of a future state." (4) "It is most undeniably true that religion must of necessity imply morality." Whether or not this definition is accepted in the letter, it is essential that any system of thought purporting to be religious, must adopt some » The Religions of China, p. 103. • Buddhism, pp. 538, 539. Bk. Ill Object and Method of Inquiry 365 position with reference to the four issues suggested: (i) Divinity, (2) Mediation, (3) Immortality, (4) Morality, or Ethics. In order, therefore, to examine the doctrines of a religion as such, its teachings may be referred to these four headings which may thus serve as a standard of comparison. With this method the examination of hopelessly voluminous material is unnecessary. Confucius, Buddha or Christ, are regarded as knowing best what they taught, with refer- ence to those problems called religious. These questions can be answered in a few simple words of the founders of the creeds. Four direct questions alone are here to be asked of the great religious teachers of the World: (i) God? (2) Mediation? (3) Inunortal- ity? (4) Ethics? I I Bk. Ill Lao-tsze 367 f. J- CHAPTER n LAO-TSZE TO THE north and east of central Asia, spreads that group of tongues and religions regarded by Professor Miiller as belong- ing to the Turanian branch of the human family; that branch neither Aryan nor Semetic. Two great figures dom- inate these creeds and tongues: the mysterious Lao-tsze and Confucius. These two men were contemporaries, although, Lao-tsze was much the elder. Lao-tsze, the "old philosopher" of China, is among the most suggestive of thinkers. The Tao Teh King reveals one of the most profound, although one of the most illusive of personalities: "a superior man, who liked to keep himself unknown."^ His contribution to religious thought is the briefest of such works, yet among the noblest and most instructive. He seems always on the verge of developing some great discovery, which, he knows must elude him; a discovery which he tries to touch, but to find it intangible; he listens and looks for it, to find it inaudible and invisible; he tries to tell of it, but knows that words will fail. "There is an Infinite Being, which existed before heaven and earth, How calm it is! How free! It lives alone, it changes not. It moves everywhere, but it never suffers, We may look on it as the Mother of the Universe. I, I know not its name. In order to give it a title, I call it Tao (the way). When I try to give it a name, I call it Great, After calling it Great, I call it Fugitive. After calling it Fugitive, I call it Distant. After calling it Distant, 1 say it comes back to me."" There are few more suggestive attempts to conceive the inconceivable and formulate that which the finite mind can never formulate, than in the Too Teh King. This, then, is the God of Lao-tsze : an infinite, eternal » Legge. Texts of Taoism, Pt. I. Sacred Books of the East, Vol. XXXIX., p.3s. » Too Teh King, XXV. Translation in Professor MUller's Science of Religion, p. 114. 366 being, from which all things are derived and which is incapable of definition by the finite human mind. With reference to the second question of religious inquiry, Lao-tsze is silent; he himself pretends to no inspiration from heaven, and points to the Tao, or the Way, as the path to the Great Beyond. "The relation of the Tao to all the world," he says,i "is like that of the great rivers and seas to the streams from the valleys." With reference to immortality, the following passage may be cited:' " But I have heard that he who is skillful in managing the life entrusted to him for a time travels on the land without having to shun rhinoceros or tiger, and enters a host without having to avoid buff coat or sharp weapon. The rhinoceros finds no place in him into which to thrust his horn, nor the tiger a place in which to fix his claws, nor the weapon a place to aximit its point. And for what reason? Because there is in him no place of death." Like the great and wise man he is, he goes into no detail with reference to life after death. Ethically, the conceptions of Lao-tsze are identical with those of Buddha, Christ, Socrates, and the greatest ethical teachers. "To those who are good (to me), " he says,^ "J am good; and to those who are not good (to me), I am also good; and thus (all) get to be good. To those who are sincere (with me), I am sincere; and to those who are not sincere (with me), I am also sincere; and thus (all) get to be sincere." He distinctly says* to return good for evil: "It is the way of the Tao ... to recompense injury with kindness." These passages are typical of all that Lao-tsze says with reference to the subjects discussed. The four questions have now been answered in the words of the founder of Taoism, and may be briefly summarized: (i) He recognizes an infinite, spiritual Divinity. (2) He is silent or obscure as to the method of communication with man, but points to the Tao as the means of such communication. (3) He recognizes man's immortality, and, in his comparison of the relation of the Tao to the world, as that of the sea and the great rivers to the streams of the valleys, he seems to regard man's union with God, or the Tao, as the highest form of immortality. (4) He preaches a noble and elevated system of ethics. » Too Teh King, XXXII., 5. Translation by Doctor Legge, Sacred Books of the East.Vol XXXIX., p. js. > Ibid., L., 4, p. 92. » Ibid, XLIX. 2, p. 91. * Ibid., LXIII., I, p. 106. }i: HI 368 Religion Pt. IV Popular Taoism presents slight relation to the thought of this great man : * ' No polytheism could be more pronounced, ' * says Doctor Legge, * "or more grotesque, with hardly a single feature of poetic fancy or aesthetical beauty." Again,^ "That the name of the system of thought and of the man should be identified, as they are, with the base religion described, ... is a mystery at present inexplicable." » Tke Religions of China, p. lya s Ibid., p. 229. ■ CHAPTER III CONFUCIUS THE great Confucius is the second important figure met in Eastern thought. The teachings of Confucius are more secular than those of Lao-tsze. The latter seems to have developed his system chiefly from meditation and introspec- tion; while Confucius, to use his own words, was a "transmitter and not a maker, believing in and loving the ancients."^ With reference to God, Confucius is almost completely silent; "not once throughout the Analects does he use the personal name," says his translator."^ " But," said the Master,^ "there is Heaven; — that knows me"; and whether or not Confucius may be supposed to recognize a God, depends entirely upon the interpretation of the Chinese word for "Heaven." Confucius looked upon man as a member of society, and paid little or no attention to questions relating to God, divine origin or immortality. On the contrary, his mind seems to have dwelt chiefly upon past customs, records, history, and literature, and it is rather to his scholarship and intellectual ability that he owes his greatness than to peculiarly religious thought. "I would say that he was imreligious rather than irreligious," says Legge.* With reference to life after death, the Master is non-conmiittal. Tsze- kung asks, "Do the dead have knowledge (of our services, that is), or are they without knowledge?" The Master replied: "If I were to say that the dead have such knowledge, I am afraid that filial sons and dutiful grandsons would injure their substance in paying the last offices to the departed; and if I were to say that the dead have not such knowledge, I am afraid lest imfilial sons should leave their parents un- buried. You need not wish, Tsze, to know whether the dead have knowl- edge or not. There is no present urgency about the point. Hereafter you will know it for yourself."^ "To give one's self earnestly to the duties 1 Analects, VIL x.. Translation by Doctor Legge, Sacred Books of the East, Vol. I., p. xqs. * Ibid., p. 99. * IbiA, XIV. 37, p. aSg. * Ibid, p. 99. >Ibid. 369 iii fwH I A 370 Religion Pt. IV I li i 't: ill I due to men," said theMaster,i "and, while respecting spiritual beings, to keep aloof from them, may be called wisdom." "While you do not know life" he asks^ "how can you know about death?" Spiritual bemgs^ were among the subjects "on which the Master did not talk." These few simple phrases of Confucius, with reference to subjects pre- senting no definite material for inquiry, demonstrate the wisdom and sincerity of the ancient sage of China. The ethics of Confucius, while perhaps not upon the same plane as those of Lao-tsze, are noble, explicit, and intelligible. He dwells upon the importance of truth and truthfuhiess at all times. "I do not know," he says* "how a man without truthfuhiess is to get on. How can a large carriage be made to go without the cross-bar for yoking the oxen to, or a small carriage without the arrangement for yoking the horses?" His most famous phrase is the reply to his disciple, Tsze-kung, who asked: "Is there one word which may serve as a rule of practice for all one's life? " "Is not Reciprocity such a word? " said Conf ucius.^ " What you do not want done to yourself, do not do to others." Confucius repeats* this phrase in the Doctrine of the Mean. This is the golden rule of Christianity in its negative sense. Confucius seems to have appre- ciated its positive application as well, and expresses his regret'^ at not hav- ing "set the example in behaving to a friend, as I would require him to behave to me." The thought of Confucius is thus chiefly of a non-religious nature, and consequently he has nothing to say with reference to communication with the Divinity or his own inspiration. "I am not one who was born in the possession of knowledge," he says;^ "I am one who is fond of antiquity, and earnest in seeking it there." These passages are sufficiently typical to permit the following summary of the views of Confucius with reference to the four fundamental problems of religious inquiry: as to the Divinity, he is vague and non-committal. The same may be said of his views of man's immortality; he regards himself as in no way in- spired; and preaches an elevated code of ethics and morality. The pu re spring alone, as it wells from the master's mmd, is found in * Ibid, VI, 20, p. igi. * Ibid., XI, II, p. 241. * IbiA, Vri, 20, p. 201. * Ibid, II, 22, p. 153. * Ibid, XV, 25, p. 301. * Ibid, XIII, 13, p. 394. ' Ibid. * Ibid., VII. 19, p. 201. Bk. Ill Confucius 371 thought of this nature at its source. As it passes, however, through endless channels of interpretation and exposition, and into the minds of those unable to receive or contain it, the clear waters are drained into swamps and quicksands, or lie in stagnant pools. Such has been the fate of the teachings of Lao-tsze and Confucius; it is beside the present purpose to follow them through these. 1 : lit ; I I CHAPTER IV BRAHMANISM THE home of another group of religions, chief among which are the great systems of Brahmanism and Buddhism, lies to the south of the Himalayas. "Veda, Upanishad, Sutra^ —poetry, philosophy, prayer." .... Here in the sacred books of the Brahmans is the real re- ligious fervour of the East, possessed as they are "by the infinite desire for spiritual knowledge^ With incessant questioning they beset the mystery of being. The S vetas vatara opens thus : * The seekers converse together. What form of cause is Brahma? Whence are we? By whom do we live and where at last abide? By whom are we governed? Do we walk after a law, in joy and pain, O ye knowers of God? ' And the Kena thus: 'By whom decreed and appointed does the mind speed to its work?' The Mitri asks: 'How can the soul forget its origin? How, leaving its selfhood, be again united thereto?* In Yajnavalkya's Code, the munis inquire of their chief: 'How has this world come into being, with gods, spirits, and men; and how the soul itself?. Our minds are dark; enlighten us on these things." What answer is found to these questions in the sacred texts of India? A study of the Vedantic writings leads to the Upanishads as the highest development of the religious thought of the Brahmans, and the essence of the Upanishads may be expressed in two words and a symbol: Brahman = Atman. Man is divine. As Deussen* says: "If for our present purpose we hold fast to this distinction of the Brahman as the cosmical principle of the universe, the atman as the psychical, the fundamental thought of the entire Upanishad philosophy may be expressed in the simple equation: Brahman = Atman. "That is to say — the Brahman, the power which presents itself materialized in all existing things, which creates, sustains, preserves. 1 Oriental Rdigions, India. Johnson, p. 336. « Tk* Religion and Pkilosopky of India, The Upanishads. Translated by Rev. A. S. Geden. M. A. Bk. Ill Brahmanism 373 and receives back into itself agam all worlds, this eternal infinite divine power is identical with the atman, with that which, after stripping off everything external, we discover in ourselves as our real most essential being, our individual self, the soul. This identity of the Brahman and the atman, of God and the soul, is the fundamental thought of the entire doctrine of the Upanishads." In the twelfth Khanda of the sixth Prapathaka of the Khandogya- Upanishad, a father bids his son bring the fruit of the Nyagrodha tree. "Break it," he commands. * "What do you see there?" he asks. "These seeds, almost infinitesimal," replies the son. "Break one of them," commands the father, and again asks what the son sees therein. "Nothing," is the answer. "My son," says the father, "that subtile essence which you do not perceive there, of that very essence this great Nyagrodha tree exists." Then comes the pregnant sentence containing the "great saying" of the Vedanta philosophy: "Etadatmyam idam sarvam, tat satyam, sa atma, tat tuam asi Svetaketu." Anquetil Duperron^ translates this passage as follows: "Ipso hoc modo (ens) illud est subtile: et hoc omne, unus atma est: et id verum et rectum est, O Sopatkit, tatoumes, id est, ille atma tu as." Deussen' renders: "Glaube, O Teurer, was jene Feinheit ist, ein Bestehen aus dem ist dieses Weltall, das ist das Reale, das ist die Seele, das bist du, O Cvetaketu." Rajendralal Mitra^ interprets: "All this universe has the (Supreme) Deity for its life. That Deity is Truth. He is the Universal Soul. Thou art He, O Svetaketu." Professor MuUer^ elaborates the thought in slightly different terms: "That which is the subtile essence (the Sat, the root of everything), in it all that exists has its self, or, more literally, its selfhood. It is the True (not the Truth in the abstract, but that which truly and really exists). It is the Self, i. e., the Sat is what is called the Self of every- thing. Lastly, he sums up, and tells Svetaketu that, not only the whole world, but he too himself is that Self, that Satya, that Sat." When this elemental thought of the Upanishads is grasped in its completen ess, it may seem that therein the religious imagination exhausts 1 Sacred Boohs of the East, Vol. I. The Upanishads, Pt L, [>. Z04. Translated by Prof. Max MiUler. • Ibid, p. XXXV. * Sechaig Upanishad' s des Veda, p. x68. • Sacred Books of the East, Vol. I., p. xxxv. * Ibid., p. xxxvi. :i ¥■ i I. 374 Religion Pt. IV t ^' itself. It can go no farther. After endless searchings and importunings, the finite here loses itself in the infinite and ceases its quest — "As a bird when tied by a string flies first in every direction, and finding no rest anywhere, settles down at last on the very place where it is fastened."^ The finite thus becomes the infinite, and the infinite the Self. No more elevated conception of man in his relation to the Divinity can be for- mulated. ReHgion can take him no farther; faith can bring him no nearer to God. "As the flowing rivers disappear in the sea, losing their name and their form, thus a wise man, freed from name and form, goes to the divine Person, who is greater than the great. He who knows that highest Brahman becomes even Brahman. In his race no one is bom ignorant of Brahman. He overcomes grief, he overcomes evil; free from the fetters of the heart, he becomes immortal."^ Says Deussen:^ "If we strip this thought of the various forms, figurative to the highest degree and not seldom extravagant, under which it appears in the Vedanta texts, and fix our attention upon it solely in its philosophical simplicity as the identity of God and the soul, the Brahman and the atman, it will be found to possess a significance reaching far beyond the Upanishads, their time and country; nay, we claim for it an inestimable value for the whole race of mankind. We are unable to look into the future, we do not know what revelations and discoveries are in store for the restlessly inquiring human spirit; but one thing we may assert with confidence, — whatever new and unwonted paths the philosophy of the future may strike out, this principle will remain permanently unshaken, and from it no deviation can possibly take place. If ever a general solution is reached of the great riddle, which presents itself to the philosopher in the nature of things all the more clearly the further our knowledge extends, the key can only be found where alone the secret of nature lies open to us from within, that is to say, in our innermost self. It was here that for the first time the original thinkers of the Upanishads, to their immortal honour, found it when they recognized our atman, our inmost individual being, as the Brahman, the inmost being of universal nature and of all her phenomena." Professor Miiller,^ in his work on the Vedanta philosophy says: "Their whole philosophy was built on the conviction that every human being » Ibid, Kahndogya-Upamshad, VI. Prapathaka, 8. Khanda, p. gg. « Mundaha-Upanishad. IH. Mundaka, 2 Khanda, 8, 9. Sacred Books of the East, VoL XV., p. 41. » The Religion and Philosophy of India. The Upanishads, translation by Rev. A. S. Geden, p. 39. ^The Vedanta Philosophy, pp. 168-170. Bk. Ill Brahmanism 375 has its true being in Brahman, and this feeling, though it is chiefly meta- physical, breaks out occasionally as a moral p)Ower also. We say, We should love our neighbour as ourselves. The Vedantist says. We should love our neighbours as ourself ; that is, we should love them not for what is merely phenomenal in them, for their goodness, or beauty, or strength, or kindness, but for their soul, for the divine Self in all of them. Thus, in the Upanishads an old sage, who takes leave of his two wives when retiring into the forest, says to his beloved Maitr^yi (Brih. Ar. II., 4): *Thou who art truly dear to me, thou speakest dear words. Come sit down, I will explain it to thee, and mark well what I say.' And he said: * Verily, a husband is not dear, that you may love the husband; but that you may love the Self, therefore a husband is dear. Verily, a wife is not dear, that you may love the wife; but that you may love the Self, therefore a wife is dear.* "This is carried on to sons, and friends, to the gods and all creatures they all are to be loved, not for themselves as they appear, but for the Self that is in them, for their eternal Self, for that universal Self in which we all share, in which we all live and move and have our being. Like many a truth in Eastern religion, this truth also, that in loving our neighbour we really love God, and that in loving our neighbour we love ourselves, has sometimes been carried to an extreme, till it became a caricature. But, nevertheless, it shows an enormous amount of intellectual labour to have rea- soned out that we should love our neighbour, because in loving him we love God, and in loving God, we love ourselves. The deep truth that lies hidden in this, was certainly not elaborated by any other nation, so far as I know. ' "So much to show that the Vedanta philosophy, abstruse as its meta- physics are, has not neglected the important sphere of Ethics, but that, on the contrary, we find ethics in the beginning, ethics in the middle, and ethics in the end, to say nothing of the fact that minds so en- grossed with divine things as the Vedanta philosophers, are not likely to fall victims to the ordinary temptations of the world, the flesh, and other powers." The God of the Vedantists is an infinite, perfect, spiritual Being imminent in, and external to, visible, conscious nature. This Being is compared to light and air, which, while streaming through space as distinct imities themselves, are nevertheless the media through which all the vast complex of individual phenom- i li 376 ReKgion Pt. IV m. ena comes into being, or the environment within which it continues its existence. 1 "As light, as one, through space eternal wells, And yet in every form is held in bond, The inmost Self of every being dwells In every fonn — and yet remains beyond. "The air, as one, is borne through boundless space, Yet round each form it ever wells and wanes; And so the inmost Self of Being's place Is every form — and yet without remains. "The sun, the eye of all the sweeping spheres, Shines free from fault which other eyes endure: E'en so, beyond all others' pains and fears, Lives Being's inmost Essence, free and pure." The God of the Vedantists is not only perfect, but perfect in an in- exhaustible degree :2 "For perfect this and perfect that, the perfect from the Perfect grows; Take perfect from the perfect still, Perfection ever overflows." Deussen' renders this passage: " Jenes is Voll, und voll dieses, Aus VoUem Voiles wird geschopft; Zieht man von Vollem ab Voiles, Bleibt doch das VoUe tibrig noch." The Upanishads are regarded as essentially inspired writings. Speak- ing of Brahman they say: "Fire is his head, sim and moon his eyes, His ears the regions of the sky. His voice is the revelation of the Veda. (Seine Stimme ist des Veda Oflfenbarung).*** The four questions of religious inquiry may now be answered from the sacred scriptures of India: God? Immortality? Meditation? Ethics? The God of the Upanishads is conceived as an infinite, perfect, spiritual « Kathaka-Vpanishad H. Adkyaya, s. Valh. o-xi * Brihadaranyaka-Upanishad, V Adkyaya, z Brahmanam. * Secktig Upaniskad's des Veda, p. 489. * Mundaka-Upanishad 2. 1. 4. The Raigion and Philosophy of India. Deossen, Traoslation by Geden, pw joa. Bk. Ill Brahmanism 377 Entity, at once imminent in, and external to phenomenal nature, and representing the elemental essence of that nature. Man's union with this Divinity is the highest form of immortality. The word of God is echoed in the inspired words of the Vedas. The system of ethics and morality of the Upanishads is as elevated as any formulated by human tongue. The Upanishads, then, present one of the richest and most inspiring of religious systems. "In the whole world," says Schopenhauer* ** there is no study so beneficial and so elevating as that of the Upanishads. It has been the solace of my life, it will be the solace of my death." 1 Cited by Professor MUller, The Vendaia Philosophy, p. 8. ; I li j:- CHAPTER V BUDDHISM BUDDfflSM," says Sir Monier Monier-WiUiams,! "at least in its earliest and truest form, is no religion at all, but a mere system of morality and philosophy, founded on a pessimistic theory of life.'* It seems, indeed, impossible to discover any statement of Gautama^s with reference to the existence of a Divinity as conceived by the more spiritual religions of the world. "As regards the denial of a Creator, or Atheism in the ordinary accepta- tion of the term," says Professor Muller,^ "I do not think that any one passage from the books of the canon known to us, can be quoted which contradicts it, or which in any way presupposes the belief in a personal God or a Creator." The two types of mind already discovered in China, appear again in India. One turns within, to a spiritualistic, or religious, solution of the problems of existence; the other seeks in objective nature more rational and philosophic explanations. Thus, if God, meditation, and immortality are eliminated from the thought of Buddha, his ethical teachings become the centre of his system. The Dhammapada presents, perhaps, the nearest approach to the words of Buddha himself. " If we may consider," says Professor Muller,^ "the date of the Dhanmiapada firmly established, and treat its verses, if not as the utterances of Buddha, at least as what were believed by the members of the Coimcil imder Asoka, in 246 B. C, to have been the utterances of the foimder of their religion, its importance for a critical study of the history of Buddhism must be very considerable, for we can hardly ever expect to get nearer to Buddha himself and to his personal teachings." The attention will therefore be limited to the Dhammapada; the "Path of Virtue," or the "Footstep of the Law." The verse which D'Alwis quotes from the introduction* of Buddhaghosa's commentary — "The Teacher who had reached the very depths (lit. bottom) of Saddhamma, preached this holy Dhanmiapada" — shows its significance: > Buddhism, p.S37. > Science of Religion, p. lag. • Science of Religion, p. 165. < Cf. Sacred Books of the East, Vol. X., Dhammapada, p. Uv. 378 Bk. Ill Buddhism 379 " He abused me, he beat me, he defeated me, he robbed me — in those who do not harbour such thoughts hatred will cease." " For hatred does not cease by hatred at any time: hatred ceases by love, this is an old rule."^ " We live happily indeed, not hating those who hate us! among men who hate us we dwell free from hatred. "^ " Let a man overcome anger by love, let him overcome evil by good; let him overcome the greedy by liberality, the liar by truth. "^ " He who has no wound on his hand, may touch poison with his hand; poison does not affect one who has no wound; nor is there evil for one who does not commit evil."* " These wise people, meditative, steady, always possessed of strong powers, attain to Nirvana, the highest happiness."^ What is this " highest happiness," this Nirvana of Buddhism? The " absolute nothing," say Burnouf and Muller.* "Om, mani padme, om! the Dewdrop slips into the shining sea!"^ "The snowflake that glistens at mom on Kailasa, Dissolved by the sunbeams, descends to the plain: Then, mingling with Gunga, it flows to the ocean. And lost in its waters returns not again." Thus an attempt to reach the religious conceptions of Gautama may result in the following brief summary, although the subject is involved in almost hopeless obscurity. With reference to a personal self-con- scious Divinity, he is silent or obscure. Man's inunortality and com- munication with God are necessarily involved in the same silence and obscurity. He preaches as elevated conceptions of the ethical relations of man as any formulated; identical with those of Lao-tsze and the Upanishads. Bumouf,^ says that he does not hesitate to translate the Buddhist mditri by the term imiversal charity. ^ IbiA,3Ch. I., 4, 5, p. 5. * Ibid, Ch. XV., 197, p. 54. » Ibid., Ch. XVII.. 223. p. 59. * Ibid., Ch. IX., 124, p. 35. • Ibid., Ch. II., 23, p. 9. • Science of Religion, p. 140. ' Edwin Arnold, Light of Asia, p. 203. « Buyer's Recollections of Northern India, cited by Johnson, Qrier^ Religion, India, p. 362. ' LALotus de la Bonne Loi, p. 300. t CHAPTER VI ZOROASTER THE ancient and august creed of Iran and the "Great Kings" has nearly perished; to find the words of its founder among the ruins may be impossible. There remain but the texts not destroyed by Alexander, and whatever light history and the modem Parsis may give. "It has long been felt as a difficulty of no ordinary magnitude," says Rawlinson^ " to reconcile the account which Herodotus, Dino, and others give of the ancient Persian religion with the primitive traditions of the Persian race embodied in the first Fargard of the Vendidad, which are now found to agree remarkably with the authentic historical notices contained in the Achaemenian monuments. . . . Throughout Herodotus we have not a single trace of Dualism; we have not even any mention of Ormazd; the religion depicted is purely and entirely elemental, the worship of the sun and moon, of fire, earth, water, and the winds or air. (Conversely, in the inscriptions there is nothing ele- menUl; but the worship of one Supreme God, under the name of Ormazd, with perhaps an occasional mention of an Evil Principle." This conflict of sources of information is rendered more evident upon further inquiry, and whether the creed of Zoroaster was a dualism, or no more dualistic than the popular Christianity of modem Europe, with its divine and satanic principles, will depend upon the selection and interpretation of material dealing with the subject. Ample support, however, may be found for the opinion that the the religion of old Iran was as essentially monotheistic as any of the great creeds of the world. Perhaps the nearest approach to the actual thought of Zoroaster with reference to God, occurs in Eusebius; this passage, Eusebius cites^ as containing the very words of Zoroaster, the Magus, in the holy ritual of the worship of the Persians. "The God of the falcon's head is the first, incomiptible, eternal, un- generated, indivisible, utterly unequalled, controller of all that is good. » History of Herodotus, Rawlinson, Vol. I., p. 346. ' Praep. Evan. I., 5a, Vol. I., p. 52. 380 Bk. Ill Zoroaster 381 unapproachable by gifts, the best of the best, and the wisest of the wise; the father of all justice and good council, self-taught, natural, perfect, intelligent and sole discoverer of the sacred sum of things." The Achaemenian inscriptions and the foregoing passage are sup- ported by the creed of the modern Parsis, as shown in the following extract* from one of their catechisms: A few Questions and Answers to acquaint the Children of the holy Zarthosti Community with the subject of the Mazdiashna Religion j i, e.^the Worship of God, Question. — Whom do we, of the Zarthosti commimity, believe in ? Answer, — We believe in only one God, and do not believe in any beside Him. Question. — Who is that one God ? Answer, — The God who created the heavens, the earth, the angels, the stars, the sun, the moon, the fire, the water, or all the four elements, and all things of the two worlds; that God we believe in. Him we worship. Him we invoke. Him we adore. This seems to be the same God originally invoked by Zoroaster himself. With reference to immortality the Vendidad says:^ "Gladly pass the souls of the righteous to the golden seat of Ahura Mazda, to the golden seat of the Amesha-Spentas, to the Garo-nmanem, the abode of Ahura Mazda, the abode of the Amesha-Spentas, the abode of all the other holy beings." In the Dinkard^ is found: "This, too, that whoever gratifies that which is enjojnnent, renders his soul imimortal; even for this reason, because the soul subsists through good works, and good works are all those which gratify enjoyment." The following are some of the ethical conceptions of the creed : " Within perfect diligence in industry is also comprised opposition to any harm whatever, and it is opposition to harm and perfect goodness that are worthy of every happiness."* "This, too, that by him who would act for the pleasure of others, owing to virtue, the growth and increase owing to Vohuman are produced. "^ With r eference to meditation, it seems that Zoroaster may or may not » Chips from a German Workshop, Mliller, Vol. I., p. i6g. Zend-Avesta. Vendidad, Fargard XDC., 32, Sacred Books of the East, VoL IV., p. 214. » S. B, E. Pahlavi Texts. Part IV., VoL XXXVIL. p. 339 (42). « Ibid, (43). • Ibid.. Us). 382 Religion Pt. IV be regarded as divinely inspired; there being some doubt upon the subject.^ A study of the most authoritative information available may permit the following summary of the creed of Zoroaster: He recognized one omnipotent and supreme Divinity; intelligent and self-conscious. Man's immortal nature appears an essential element of his system. No in- formation exists establishing whether or not he regarded himself a divinely chosen messenger. The moral and ethical conceptions of the creed are noble and elevated. There, then, are the God and the creed of the great Zoroaster; and, as preached by the modern Parsis, "They rest," in the words of Pro- fessor Muller,2 "on a foundation which ought never to be touched, a faith in one God, the Creator, the Ruler, and the Judge of the World." » Cf. Mttller, Chips from a German Workshop, Vol. I., pp. 170-X71. * Ibi5. 3.£.,Vo|. VI.. Qur'An, Part L. iv.. 55. p. 80. Bk. Ill Mohammed 391 "And for those who disbelieve in their Lord is the torment of hell, and an evil journey shall it be!"^ " Verily, hell is an ambuscade; a reward for the outrageous, to tarry therein for ages. They shall not taste therein cool nor drink, but only boiling water and pus — a fit reward! "^ They shall "dwell in the fire for aye," and shall be "given to drink boiling water that shall rend their bowels asunder.'' ^ On the other hand, the Koran glitters with equally accurately formu- lated conceptions of Paradise, the eternal abode of the good and the faithful; conceptions possessing an interesting psychological relation to the arid wastes of Arabia, for "beneath it rivers flow, its food is enduring and likewise its shade!"* "In it are rivers of water without corruption, and rivers of milk, the taste whereof changes not, and rivers of wine delicious to those who drink; and rivers of honey clarified; and there shall they have all kinds of fruit and forgiveness from their Lord."^ There the faithful wUl find "garden twain," "both furnished with branching trees," "in each are flowing springs," "in each are of every fruit two kinds" and couches the "linings of which are of brocade," with "the fruit of the two gar- dens within reach, to cull." "Therein are maids of modest glances," of the greatest discretion and reserve; like "rubies and pearls"; the gardens are -shaded "with dark green foliage"; "in each two gushing springs," in each "fruit and palms and pomegranates"; "maidens best and fairest, with bright large eyes," "kept in their tents," reclining on "beautiful carpets" and "green cushions."^ There are other passages in the Koran however, presenting different and not less elevated conception of man's immortal nature; "God takes to Himself souls at the time of their death."^ Sale translates^ a verse in the Chapter on Light: "Unto God belongeth the kingdom of heaven and earth; and unto God shall be the return at the last day." Lane-Poole* renders the same lines: "God's is the empire of the heavens and the earth, and to Him must aU things return." "This » Ibid., Vol. DC, Part 11., Ixvii., 5, p. 293. 2 Ibid., Ixxviii., 25, p. 317. ' Ibid., xlvii., 15, p. 230. « Ibid., Vol., VI., xiii., 35, p. 237. •Ibid., Vol. IX., xlvii., 15, p. 230. • Ibid., Iv., 4>7S, p. 260. "^ Ibid., ch. zxxix.. 40, p. 186. • Koran, xxv., p. 285. • The Speeches oj Mohammed, p. lii. ' r 392 Religion Pt. IV formula/ says Palmer, i "is always used by Mohammedans in any danger and sudden calamity, especially in the presence of death." Here is a conception of inmiortaUty identical with that of Lao-tsze the Book of the Dead, the Upanishads, and the author of EcclesiasUs- the union of man with God. There is frequent evidence in the Koran of Mohammed having con- sidered himself a divinely appointed and inspired messenger.* With reference to Mohammed's ethical conceptions the following passages may be cited: "Righteousness is not that ye turn your faces toward the east or the west, but righteousness is, one who beUeves in God, and the last day, and the angels, and the Book, and the prophets and who giveth wealth for His love to kindred, and orphans, and the poor, and the son of the road (the wayfarer), and beggars, and those in captivity; and who is steadfast in prayer, and gives alms; and those who are sure of their covenant when they make a covenant; and the patient m poverty, and distress, and in time of violence; those are they who are true, and these are those who fear."3 The foUowing passages occur m the table talk of Mohammed."* "Say not, if people do good to us, we will do good to them, and if people oppress us, we wiU oppress them ; but resolve that if people do good to you, you will do good to them, and if they oppress you, oppress them not again." "Forgive thy servant seventy times a day."* "He is not strong, or powerful who throws people down, but he is strong who withholds himself from anger "« In the Koran^ is written that paradise shall be the reward of those who *ward off evil with good." In the creed of Islam is met the same omnipotent Divinity of other rehgious sources; an inspired prophet who presents various conceptions of immortality, permittmg various interpretations, one of which is man's union with God after death, the fundamental conception of all the great creeds of the world. Ethical injunctions may be selected from the words of Mohammed which almost paraUel those of other great religions. ^ ^Sacred Bocks of the East.\o\.Wl.,p. 22. Note. • Cf. Ibid, n., and note p. 13. • Ibid, ii., 170, p. 24. « The Speeches of Mohammed, p. 147. • Ibid, p. 163. • Ibid, p. 167. »S.A£..VoLVI,xiu. 3o,p.a3S. CHAPTER X GREECE Section I — Introduction, Section II — Greek Tragedy. Section III — Greek Philosophy, Section I — Introduction EACH of the creeds already examined possess one body of writings as the chief source of information. In Greece and Rome, however, no such recognized sources are found, and inquiry into the best religious thought of those countries must adopt a modified method. The political and religious history of the two great Western nations of antiquity, suggests that the best of their religious opinion should be sought anyhwere rather than in "in- spired" channels. The primitive belief of the Aryans, whatever it may have been, un- doubtedly changed wijth the wars and wanderings of the tribes, as they emerged from the mists of the past. The earliest poets and theogonists of Greece doubtless found a mass of myth and legend awaiting them, and information with reference to these is ahnost entirely derived from Orpheus, Homer and Hesiod. These are the sources to which the eariier popular creeds of Hellas must be referred, and their informa- tion is elusive. The following instance suggests the results to which inquiry in this field may lead. Justin,^ in his Hortatory Address to the Greeks, says that Orpheus was their first teacher of polytheism. Again,^ that Orpheus introduces no less than three himdred and sixty gods in his theogony. He then proceeds to cite later Orphic writings in support of a purely monotheistic creed. Early theological polemics present other instances of the same kind. If the Orphic fragments themselves arc analyzed, little light is thrown upon the subject. »xv. * Justin on the Sole Government of God, U. 393 ?ll 11 394 Religion Pt. IV Bk. Ill Greece The hymns of Orpheus, the speculations, of Pythagoras, and the Platonic writings were adopted by the Alexandrian mystics as the chief sources of their inspiration. The speculations of Plotinus, Porphyry, and Proclus suggest the mazes through which the Orphic fragments may be followed. Recent inquiry, however, refers the bulk of the Orphic writings to the Alexandrine age, and in the words of Grote:^ " Even the earliest among them, which served as the stock on which the later editions were en- grafted, belong to a period far more recent than Hesiod: probably to the century proceeding Onomakritus (B. C. 610-510)." If, on the other hand, the most ancient of these texts are ac- cepted for what they purport to be, they present a fragmentary mass of poetic imagery and no systematic thought permitting ac- curate analysis. So far as Homer is concerned there is no cosmological, theological or teleological hypothesis for or against which a brave array of passages from the Iliad or Odyssey might not be cited. In the light of the con- flicting and inconsequent thought of the greatest of the bards, even the skeptics of a later age claimed him for their own.* As the learned Mosheim^ says: "The poet seems to me to have been at no certainty, but to have rashly, and with but little judgment, interwoven with his verses the dogmas that were prevalent among the Greeks. I do not therefore wonder that the ancients, Heraclides, Plutarch, and in fact all, whether wise or unwise, were able to corroborate as they pleased their opinions and dogmas by the authority of Homer." Consistent thought is not the chief characteristic of the earlier cosmological theog- onists; and where thought is not consistent, analysis is impossible. Nor is inquiry aided by a study of the Sibylline oracles. If regarded as genuine, they may be used for any purpose; if regarded as partly or entirely the fabrications of Alexandrine mystic, Jew or Christian, they become valueless as casting any light upon pure Hellenic thought. Thus the attempt to submit the earlier poets, theogonists, and oracles to a critical analysis results in the impres- sion of having tried to analyze a cloud, which, with a little sym- bolic jand allegorical intrepretation, may be presented in any form desired. These and allied sources do not contain the best religious 395 » History of Greece, VoL I., p. 20. » Cf. Lagrtius, Pyrrho, VIIL * Cudworth 9 Intellectual System (Harrison). Vol 1.. p. 172 (note). inspiration of Hellas; on the contrary they present a heterogeneous mass of myth, legend, imagery and forgery suggesting at times the inspiration of Jew and Christian, priest and politician, quite as much as that of the Divinity. Orpheus, Homer, and Hesiod, therefore, together with the entire body of oracles, sibyls, dogmas, legends, and allegories of the popular theology are not embraced in the field examined. Attention is here turned to the records of the ablest minds of Hellas in her prime. Greek history presents two periods: Marathon, Salamis, and the Victories of Gelon inaugurate the second period; and, with the exception of Sparta perhaps, Hellenic civilization about the fifth century, B. C, undergoes a change not unlike that of the Renaissance in later Europe. Old beliefs receive new formulation, are subjected to analysis and criti- cism or rejected. New social forms are developed, new forms of thought evolved, and the most gifted of the races of men bursts into matur- ity. This second period embraces the best of the religious life of Greece. Mature Hellenic civilization presents two more or less distinct divisions of thought: Greek tragedy and Greek philosophy. These lead to another bewildering impression of variety and contradiction. There is, apparently, no attitude toward the Divinity and the Universe, God, Nature, and Man not contained in the thought of Greece in the clearest and most beautiful of forms. There is scarcely a phase of religious hallu- cination and fanaticism, of the purest atheistic materialism, skeptical idealism or the sanest worship of one omnipotent Creator not expressed in the tongue of ancient Hellas. If this body of literature is sifted, in order to reach its fountain-heads, the three great tragic poets are met on one side, and her leaders of philosophic thought, from Thales to Pyrrho, on another. Here again, however, the same difficulty occurs, owing to the wealth and variety of the material. In the later phases of Greek tragedy, there is much thought which may be regarded as either skeptical or atheistic; while in Greek philosophy, the purest theism and the purest atheism are found hand in hand, so to speak, or at least existing side by side. Religious ideas are obviously not to be sought in the rationliastic or scientific speculation of poet or philosopher. The fields of religion and philosophy may therefore be regarded as distinct; the essentially re- ligious views of the philosophers may be grouped with those of the tragic 396 Religion Pt. IV writers; and rationalistic and scientific inquiry reserved for separate study. Section II — Greek Tragedy The three great tragic poets stand at the sources of the religious thought of Hellas at her zenith. It is impossible to study them in this connexion without discovering a consistent conception of divine unity and power. The religious significance of Greek tragedy will appear to some minds vastly more inspiring than that of many writings of an exclusively religious natiu-e. Greek tragedy reveals as consistent conceptions of divine omnipotence, justice, intelligence, and unity of man's immortal nature; and as elevated a moral interpretation of that nature as the bulk of the sacred writings of the world. "If we proceed to analyze the cardinal idea of Greek tragedy"* says an informed student, "we shall again observe the close connection which exists between the drama and the circumstances of the people at the time of its production. Schlegel, in his Lectures on the Drama, defines the prevailing idea of Greek tragedy to be the sense of an op- pressive destiny — a fate against which the will of man blindly and vainly dashes. This conception of hereditary destiny seems to be strongly illustrated by many plays, Orestes, (Edipus, Antigone are unable to escape their doom. Beautiful human heroism and exquisite innocence are alike sacrificed to the fatality attending an accursed house. Yet Schlegel has not gone far enough in his analysis. He has not seen that this inflexible fate is set in motion by a superior and anterior power, that it operates in the service of offended justice. When (Edipus slays his father, he does so in contempt of oracular warnings. Orestes, haunted by the Furies, has a mother's blood upon his hands, and unexpiated crimes of father and of grandsire to atone for. Antigone, the best of daughters and most loving of sisters, dies miserably, not dogged by Fate, but having of her own free will exposed her life in obedience to the pure laws of the heart. It is impossible to suppose that a Greek would have been satisfied with the bald fate-theory of Schlegel. Not Fate but Nemesis, was the ruling notion in Greek tragedy. A profound sense of the Divine government of the worid, of a righteous power punishing pride and vice, pursuing the children of the guilty to the tenth generation, but show ing mercy to the contrite — in short, a mysterious and ahnost » John AddingtoB Symonds. The Cruk Poets, Vol 11., p. 7. Bk. Ill Greece 397 Jewish ideal of offended Holiness pervades the whole work of the tragedians. This religious conception had gradually defined itself in the consciousness of the Greek race." Such is the impression of a study of the tragic writers: one of the most intense and convincing concep- tions of divine unity and power to which human utterance has given ex- pression. The God of iEschylus and Sophocles yields in nothing in majesty or might, in dignity or justice, to any God of which the mind of man has dreamed; yields to nothing to the God of Zoroaster or Mohammed, to the Brahman of the Upanishads, to the Supreme Being of Lao-tsze, of Egypt, or to the Jehovah of the Hebrew prophets. Says iEschylus:* Again: .2 "Great King of Kings, most blessed of the blest, Most perfect Might of power's last degree; Thrice happy Zeus, but let persuasion rest Upon thy will, that what Thou will'st may be." "For 'neath no other's sway hast thou Thy throne, To wield a sceptre as another wills; No high command hast thou to hold in awe, But ever, ready as Thy Word, the deed Awaits to hasten what Thy mind conceives.*' And Euripides:' "Ah, Zeus, why should we wretched mortals tell The wisdom of the sons of men — in vain, For but in Thee must we forever dwell. And all we do but what thou dost ordain." Sophocles closes the tragedy of the Trachinice with words which might be approximately rendered: "Ye who dread death have seen, and many woes and strange, May know that Zeus alone is found within them all." As conceived in the thought of ^Eschylus, God's power, justice, man's immortality and the retribution for sin, differ in no essential particular from the allied ideas of any of the great creeds of the world: "Look up to Him who watches from on high And guards the toiling sons of men, and those Who justice from their fellows seek in vain: The wrath of God of suppliant abides, ___^^^__ Nor by the guilty's woes is soon appeased." • * Sup. 503. " Sup. 574. * Sup. 734. * Sup. 356. 398 Religion "How then shall I behold the thought Divine, Or pierce the depths of its unfathomed range? " * "Whate'er is destined, that must even be; Nor e'er transgressed the boundless will of God." " "For mighty Pluto judges men below, And all surveys with all recording mind." ' "Yet courage still, in proper time and day, Each man who slights the gods strict justice finds. Pt. IV Bk. Ill fit In the thought of Sophocles is found the same God and the same ideas. Creon, King of Thebes, has commanded that the body of Antig- one's brother remain unburied, exposed to the wolves and vultures. Antigone buries the body herself, despite his orders, and says,^ when questioned: "Not Zeus it was who sent me that command, Nor such the justice which the gods enthroned, Have fixed within the laws for man designed; Nor of such force have I thine edict deemed, That God's imwritten and unfailing laws By mortal man could ever be annulled. Not of to-day are these, nor yesterday; Their life e'er flows eternal on through time. And no one knows when first they saw the light. Could I, of some mere mortal pride in dread. E'er answer to the Gods for breaking these? " Again;* Ah! may the fates my life forever guide, In purest rev'rence of each deed and word. Ordained by those decrees of Heaven sublime, Whose father great Olympus was alone. No mortal form within their nature blends. Nor these to sleep shall e'er oblivion lull; For great the might of God that Uves therein. And great the God, nor grows He ever old. » Sup. I02S. « Sup. 1015. • Eumenides, 272. *Sup. 711. • Antigone, 450. • (Edipus Tyrannus, 864. Greece 'Nay, by the flash of mighty Zeus And Themis crowned in heaven, Not long shall sin be unavenged." * 399 The measure of Euripides contains a singularly interesting body of religious thought. He presents the disintegration of old Hellenic forms. iEschylus and Sophocles transcend the conventional theogonies and relig- ious conceptions and weld these into a unity — Euripides on the other hand examines, analyzes or attacks them. Euripides thus presents a spirit of inquiry and skepticism not found in the works of the older tragedians. Many passages might be cited illustrating disbelief in the *'gods,'' and the opinion that they owed even their imaginary existence to earthly interests of priest and politician. If the attention is limited, to these and allied passages, Euripides seems an irreligious or non-religious writer. No such impression, however, is found in the writings of Eurip- ides in their entirety. On the contrary, passages occur presenting religious conceptions identical with those of iEschylus and Sophocles; and it is obviously these which present the religious thought of this interesting mind as distinguished from skeptical and philosophical speculation. The following may suggest the passages cited: Oh, thou. Upholder of the earth, and yet Thereon in sphinx-like mystery enthroned; Whate'er thou art, or mighty Zeus, or Fate In nature's law ordained, or guiding Mind, Thee I invoke; for though thou mak'st thy way With noiseless tread through hidden paths unseen, With justice rulest thou the sons of men.' Who knows but what we hVe in Death's dull bond; And dying, enter into life beyond?' Far better than a host, without the right, Is one good man in God's and Justice's sight.* Through all the sky the fearless eagle soars, And all the earth's the brave man's native land.* There is no shadow 'mong'st the sons of men, No darksome cave of earth, whose depths can heal . The evil tainted heart, though ne'er so wise.* > Electra, 1063. * Trojan Women, 884. » Dindorf, Vol. II.. Frag., 7, p. 936. * Ibid., Frag. 5, p. 929, » Ibid., Frag. 19, p. 975 * Ibid., Frag. 3. p. 932. 11 l! Pt. IV 400 ReHgion Wild tongues and folly's brood End but in pain, Sweet peace and fortitude Steadfast remain. For, in the ether free, Far though they dwell, Heaven-born, powers see Mortals full well.* " Treat not the wretched ill; thou art a man.*'" Analogous passages might be multiplied. The foregoing present grounds however, for the opinion that Greek tragedy contains identicaUy the same conception of one, omnipotent Divinity, as the bu^ of the religions of the world; beUef in man's immortal nature and an elevated conception of ethics and morality. The exquisite words of Sophocles3 typify the ethics of Greek tragedy: Section HI — Greek Philosophy Article I— The Early PhUosophers. Bk. Ill Greece 401 (( AU things are fuU of gods," Thales is quoted* as sayine "With H rr" l°J'*' ^*^'" "^^^ I^°tagoras,« "I am unable to say anything definite, either in connexion with their existence, or their non-existence." No gods exist at aU, Democritus' impUes, when he says: "Nothing exists but atoms and the void." Such varied opinions suggest a question with reference to the best means of reviewing that portion of HeUenic philosophic thought devoted to religion; as much of Greek philosophy is evidenUy either non-religious or directly antegonistic to religion. The simplest method seems to be to separate the field into purely philosophic and purely religious speculation; to reserve the former for later stud y; and, while glancing at the more or less unsystematic theol- * Baccha, 385. * Dindorf, Frag. 15, p. goi. » Ajax, 5M. Untranslatable: the meaning might be suggested: For kindly grace shall e'er beget More grace and kindness stilL • Lagrtius. 1. 1, p. 6. • Ibid., DC. 8. p. 239. • Ibid., IX. 7. p. 23& ogizing of the earlier thinkers, to concentrate the attention upon the religious thought of the mature Athenian intellect. ; The theologizing philosopher is, in a sense, an anomaly; yet theology presents an irresistible temptation to a number of philosophic minds; and the philosophizing theologian as well, is a not unfamiliar figure in speculative history. And so Greek speculation, as all others, presents two distinct phases: the philosophic, or rational; and the theological, or religious. Thus Thales philosophized and theologized simultaneously, and not until the completely reasoned atheistic and skeptical positions of the Atomists and the Sophists are developed is the reasoned negation of all theological opinion reached. The theological reflections referred to Thales are of doubtful authen- ticity and questionable import. Anaxamander of Miletus makes the Infinite the principle of ''all things"; although what is meant, in a theo- logical sense, by the Infinite at this early stage of inquiry is difficult to determine. The Pythagoreans were exceptionally religious, symbolic, and mystic; so much so, in fact, that one of the clearest minds of the day denied the validity of their cosmological conceptions; repudiated the metaphysical Pythagorean Many and recognized Unity alone as the fundamental reality: the only adequate expression of true being. Xenophanes presents the most significant religious conception of his time. Aristotle 1 says that Xenophanes "looked up to the whole of Heaven and called it God." Such thought leads him to deny the Orphic and Homeric multiplication of divinities; and Timon,2 the sillograph, styles him the "wise reprover of the fallacies of Homer." Xenophanes shows the human mind in search of truth, but growing conscious of its limitations, and the endless possibilities of error. Timon^ lends him, approximately, the following thought: (( Ah, that true wisdom were mine, dear, prudent and truth all containing, For the dim paths that I follow but fade, and beguile and deceive me; Ignorant, weary and old, adrift in the mazes of error, Lost in the One and the All, wherever my spirit may wander.' >» A mind such as that of Xenophanes, recognizing an all controlling Unity in nature, will be little interested in speculations of men dealing « MOaph. A. s: 986 b 24. •^LaSrtius, DC, a,p. 231. • Sextus Empiricus, Pyrrh. By pot; 1. a, p. 99. 402 Religion Pt. IV ! ' With a power which it bdieves transcends their every conception. In denying the mystical and symbolic complexities of the Pythagoreans Xenophanes repudiated the conventional anthropological divinities, and referred aU thmgs'^ to an infinite intelligent Unity, distinct from man:i One is God, both of mortals and Gods, forever the greatest- One, neither like unto men in mind, nor like them in body' InteUect aU is this God, aU reason, sight, and all hearing ' Ruling through power of mind, aU things; and, free from aU effort. Motionless ever he is, unmoved, unchanged and unchanging. Mortals forever believe that the gods are even as mortals- Having such senses as they, in voice, in sight and in body- But of a truth, if the ox or the lion had hands for contrivilig Thmgs m the manner of men, then horses like unto horses Ocen as oxen, would paint their gods, and make them as they are. AU that IS worthy of blame in men of the gods is recorded- Homer and Hesiod teU of the deeds, both shameless and lawless Done by the gods: adultery, theft, and deceiving each other. Such passages show, even at this early day, that the highest type of Hellemc mmd was by no means completely entangled in the confused theogomes of Orpheus and Homer. th Jm ""^^^ f P^y^^ teleological conception among the philosophers is the Nous, or Intellect of Anaxagoras, which, as Aristotle^ says, he employs Um^^f'^ r "^ "^^ ?'"^" ^' ^^ ^^ ^' -' ^^ divine Unity, of Xenophanes is thus developed into a more definite entity which may be mterpreted as a cohscious Intelligence, external to the phenomenal world, but acting upon it in harmony with reason: an im- portant development of thought theologicaUy considered Empedocles next appears. The fragments remaining of the thought t^^^Tr ^"T"'''^ '""'"^ '^^^"^ speculations of the most vaned nature. To reduce these to a consistent whole is difficult Thev present many elements purely Eastern; they drift to Egypt and India, mto a world of Pythagorean mystics; through forms of the most daring transcendental metaphysics, only to be suddenly checked with scientific analysis of the phenomenal and material. The following is perhaps the simplest statement of his conception of the Divinityi^ ^ "^ ^ "Mind alone, holy and pure, all mind in infinity sweeoinff Consaously, swift, and free, thn)ugh the unive^ e^^where darting." » Mullach, Pragmento^PkUosopharum Graecormm, Vol. I., v. i-t. p. «oc « Metapk. A. 4. 985 a 18. * • Muliaoh. Vol. I., p. 12, V. 395. Bk. Ill Greece 403 These few notices lead to the period of Attic philosophy, and the fullest religious expression of the Greek intellect. Article 2 — Socrates. The advent of Socrates occurred at one of the critical epochs in the history of philosophic speculation. Democritus and the Atomists, on one side, had rationally demonstrated the impossibility of the existence of incorporeal or supra-sensible entities. They had thus developed the scientifically reasoned position of what is known in speculation as the 9U(Ji<; 5XoYO(;, or the Cosmos considered as the unconscious and imper- sonal amalgam of matter and motion. The elements of matter thus become the principles of all things — c?px<3:<; t6v SXwv ccT6tiou<;. The Sophists, on another side, had analyzed the Nous, or Intelligence, of Anaxagoras into the purely subjective opinion of the individual human consciousness, and thus made "man the measure of all things": TcdvT(i)v xpTQJJ^aTwv ti^Tpov (SfvOpwxoq. These two positions understood, there seems little room for philosophic theologizing; yet Socrates, in his perfect comprehension of them, was able to imdermine the then existing theories of knowledge upon which they were based, and consequently makes such theologizing possible. The Pfuedo presents a vivid impression of an implicit confidence, not alone in God's existence, but in His intelligent and spiritual perfection. The God of Socrates is an infinite spirit, a Being in whom all wisdom, truth, and beauty lie — the one real Existence to which the mind of man may turn. "Shall the seeker of true wisdom," he asks,^ "who cherishes the hope that he will meet with it nowhere but in eternity, be grieved at death, and not rather glad to go? Surely must he think so, friend; for, if a philosopher, he will be firmly convinced that he will find true wisdom in the other world alone." The mortal man dies, but that part of him which truly lives "takes its flight afar, safe, and imperishable ;"2 and virtue and wisdom are the wings of the soul in its flight, says Socrates,^ and it behooves us to leave nothing undone to share therein, for* "noble the reward and great the hope." xaX6v ydtp t6 56Xov xal ii i'kiclq jjLeYiXiQ. » Phado, 68 A. s Ibid, X06 £. ' Theaetetus, 176 B. • Plnedo, 114 C k ij Mi 404 Religion Pt. IV These simple and explicit statements suggest as pm-e a religious atmosphere as any of the great religious writings of the world. Ethics were preeminently the "art" of Socrates, and occupy an im- portant position in the system of Plato. The study of ethics leads to the study of man as a member of society; the principles of ethics and the principles of social theory are identical in their attempt to determine the ultimate relation of man to man. It is then in society that the proper development of ethical theory is found. The RepMic presents the political and social conceptions of Socrates and Plato in their final form. A study of the chief ethical material of the Republic shows the attempt to answer the aU-important question: What is Justice; Justice being considered necessarily the comer-stone of any rational system ^of social and poUtical organization. What then is Justice? The first book of the Repvhlic contains probably the most finished dialectic ethical material in existence. Socrates is here in conversation- a definition of Justice is required, and that of Simonides is accepted as a pomt of departure, 'justice," has said Simonides "is to render each his due." The discussion of Justice, therefore, develops a close analysis of this position; finally formulated in the statement tiiat Justice "benefits friends but injures foes." Socrates opposes arguments advanced from this attitude, on the ground tiiat injury must beget injury, and tiiat injustice must beget injustice; in other words, that perfect justice re- cognizes no distinction between friend and foe. He concludes, i there- fore, tiiat "it is the duty of a just man neither to injure friend nor any other." This is the same ethical conception as tiiat found in the Tdo Teh King, the Upanishads, the Book of the Dead, the Texts of Buddha, tiie Hebrew Prophets, and in fact in the best of the reHgious writings of the world. This position might well be summarized as "doing to others as we would have them do to us." Article j — Plato. If, among the works of Plato, those dealing especially with Socrates are separated from those regarded as more closely approximating Plato's own later speculations; if these latter are compared with Aristotle's notices of Socrates, Xenophon's MemorabUia, Diogenes, Laertius Apuleius, and other Socratic writers on one hand; and the maze of com- mentaty, elucidation, explanation, and elaboration to be traced from Bk. Ill Greece 405 the works of Plato through the Alexandrian and patristic writers, to the mysticism and symbolism of the Middle Ages and a later day; certain distinctions may doubtless be drawn between the God of Socrates and the God of Plato. With a little learning and a little metaphysics, almost any theistic creation may be developed and styled "the God of Plato." The volume of material renders this method feasible and may be drawn upon indefinitely, in support of any position. It seems, how- ever, that another method might be adopted, in order to discover, so far as possible, Plato's own opinion with reference to the Divinity, stated in its simplest and most authoritative form. This method would probably lead to an analysis of Plato's works, in order to select what seems to be the most constructive and typical of these. In that work might then be sought the clearest and simplest statement to be found with reference to the subject. That statement, in Plato's own words, freed from any interpretations and elaborations, might thus seem the most definite expression of Plato's conception of the divine nature. The Republic is his most mature and constructive work. "The Republic,"^ says Grote, "is undoubtedly the grandest of all his com- positions; including in itself all his different points of excellence." The Republic presents Socrates in a new light. "He is no longer," says Grote,2 "a dissenter amidst a community of fixed, inherited, convictions. He is himself in the throne of King Nomos: the infallible authority, temporal as well as spiritual, from whom all public sentiment emanates, and by whom orthodoxy is determined." What then are the attributes of the Platonic divinity as expressed in this work? " God," says Plato,^ "is perfectly simple and perfectly true, both in word and deed," xojxiB^ 5pa 6 ©s^g axXouv xal dXiQGIi; ev ts epycp xal Iv X6y(|). The religious literature of the world presents no characteristics of the gods more worthy to be called divine, than "perfect simplicity and perfect truth." Plato says,^ with reference to immortality, "The gods care for those who earnestly seek to become just, and in the practise of virtue to become like God, as far as lies in hu- man power." The God, the immortality, and the ethics of Plato and Socrates seem in fact the same God, the same immortality, and » Plato, Vol. m., p. 122. ' Ibid., p. 240. • De Republica, 382 E. • Ibid.. 613 A. II 4o6 Religion Pt. IV Bk. Ill Greece 407 the same ethics as those of the greatest religious teachers man's nature has evolved. Article 4—AristoUe. The next great figure in HeUenic thought is Aristotle. To express m a few words the theological conceptions of this great man is no light task. Besides the difficulty and obscurity with which Aristotle himself has mvolved the subject, other difficulties occur. An examination of even a smaU portion of the mass of commentary and exposition, crys- tallized around this powerful mentaUty, presents ample material for refemng any desired religious opinion, or lack of opinion, to the "master of those who know." The foUowing passages maybe selected with reference to God- The Deity IS recognized by all as a certain First Cause and Principle of things « O -re yip @si><; 5ox« tuv aiT((ov xav itS.ov apiairov; whose life and activities are eternal and coextensive with the essence of the Divine nature, iore i;^,* xai ai^v ouvex^)? xai itSco; Oxipxet t^ 0ePles coming undef twTcSs 1^.? "^'*' ""^ "^^ '°*° '^y ^' '°"glJy divided into sSefvT^tW ' "^""^ u"^ ^"'°'^"'° to man as a member of human Zlt^^wT^^^ "* "^^ manifestation of a power othe! than earthly. Withm the first, may be grouped such minds^s those of lor man ever to detemune" the Absolute in a philosoohical sen«.- «n-i confine their observations of nature to the phenomenal world upon wUch ^Z ZmZ1Z^^'\ "J^ "^^"'^ ^^ ^ represented'Cen of a TO^*n? ! ' ^^°"'' *^"dency; minds of this type seize upon the 430 the beautiful measures of ancient Hellas or the more sombre syllables of Rome, this Creed, whatever the soimds of the tongue attached to its God or its prophet, never seems to vary in the thought which lies be- yond the sound. It presents always one Supreme, intelligent Divinity, Creator and Ruler of the world; man's union with his Creator as the highest immortality, his noblest hope; and the love of his fellow as the siu-est means of its attainment. In this Creed blend the purest religious seekers evolved by the human race; the distinctions between them are caused but by tongue or name; by sounds alone: for there can never be more than one supreme Divinity; more than one union therewith; or more than one humanity on this earth, at least, through which the soul of man proceeds on its journey up to God. Nor is it impossible to take a broader view of the subject, and to find the same God always present, wherever man lifts his eyes to some power other than that of earth; to find always one and the same God in the idol of the savage, the spirit worship of the Taoist, the heaven of Confucius, the hope of peace for which the Buddhist longs, and in the sects and dogmas of the West. Says a man^ whose knowledge of tongues and creeds is wide: "What have we in common with the Turanians, with Chinese and Samoyedes? Very little, it may seem; and yet it is not very little, for it is our com- mon humanity. It is not the yellow skin and the high cheek-bones that make the man. Nay, if we but look but steadily into those black Chinese eyes, we shall find that there, too, there is a soul that responds to a soul, and that the God whom they mean is the same God whom we meatif how- ever helpless their utterance, however imperfect their worship." The worlds of Greece and Rome introduce the subsequent intellectual development of the West and the modem era. The few suggestions of these worlds here brought together are but broken threads leading into some of the most interesting bodies of intellectual material extant. If Hellenic thought is regarded as embracing a period extending from the Homeric writings to the later Alexandrian philosophers; and the in- tellectual history of Rome as extending from the earliest poets of the Re- public to Claudianus or Boethius, practically all the sources of inspiration will be included to which the thought of the western world of to-day may be traced in the process of its evolution. Thus the names of Demo- critus, and Protagoras, Parmenides, Socrates, Plato, Aristotle; of Epi- curus, and Lucretius lead to many interesting forms of the philosophic and spec ulative thought of both the earlier and later worlds. Inquiry > Profesior Max Mttller, Science of Relighnt, p. 83. 422 Religion Pt. IV drifts with them, as it were, from Athens to Alexandria; thence to Rome, and then northward with the revival of learning until the modem thought of the western Europe of to-day is reached. Athens seems a dynamic centre, generating currents of intellectual activity on every side. If, however, the movements of these currents are studied in greater detail, the rationalistic thinkers of Greece, from Thales to Pyrrho, lead into more or less distinct streams and eddies, flowing into the ocean of modem science as the natural inheritance of the sources from which they arise. Other streams and channels, springing always from Athens, flow across the Mediterranean to Alexandria, another dynamic centre, generating new currents and new streams, with Augustine and Clement, Origin, Athenagoras, Justin, Cjrril, and Lactantius; presenting another series of widening cycles of intellectual influence. These lead once more by other roads to Rome, and into the religious thought of the present westem world. There will thus appear two wide gaps in the brief review just completed; two gaps presenting influences of interest and im- portance not yet mentioned. The thought necessary to fill these may be separated into two movements; two cycles of intellectual influences, as it were; one revolving roimd the human Reason as a centre, the other roimd a Figure on a Cross. "Book IV PHILOSOPHY CHAPTER I PRE-SOCRATIC THOUGHT Section I — Introduction. Section II — The Physicists. Section III — The Metaphysicians. Section IV — The Metaphysical Physicists, Section V — The Physical Metaphysicians. Section I — Introduction THE history of thought, in relation to the problems of existence, presents two distinct phases: the theological and the rational. Between the two is a vaguely defined field referred to meta- physics. A philosopher in Plutarch^ says that to philoso- phize is "to inquire, to wonder, and to doubt." But the fields of neither theology nor metaphysics are entirely free from these influences. The theologian, however, refers his final explanations to supra-rational and supra-mimdane influences, the metaphysical mind, to influences which the metaphysician best imderstands. The scientific philoso- pher may be distinguished from these by one unfailing test; he rejects explanation not to be referred to the human Reason itself. That is, to that sequence of ideas called rational, based upon human experi- ence, regarded as distinct from teleological, metaphysical, or ultra- rational influences. Philosophy, therefore, as distinguished from theology and metaphysics, is the independent effort of the himian mind in search of tmth within the content of its own consciousness; in other words, the stmggle of the human intelligence for self-realization within itself. As any one, more or less familiar with modem European sculpture, strolls for the first time through the galleries of Hellenic marbles in the Vatican, he may find a strangely vivid impression of having been » De £i. 2. 423 : 1 424 PhUosophy Pt. IV there before; an impression which intensifies with closer examination of these beautiful relics of antiquity. If of the idealistic temperament he may refer this impression to the reminiscence of some earlier existence passed on the shores of Ionian seas. As attention is turned to one marble after another, however; a fountain in Paris, may be recaUed- a bronze or a reUef in London, or some application of lithic design in Berlm or Vienna. This may lead to another explanation of the apparent familiarity of many of these works; in all likelihood the true one: namely that the sculpture of the Greeks represents the culmination of the resources of the art; and that the Greeks had discovered and developed the majority of ideas capable of Uthic expression, leaving later sculpture httie choice but to foUow where they first had trod. And so, the marbles of the Vatican or the Acropolis recall, in inverse process, forms developed centuries after they had seen the Ught. Thus, as the philosophic inquirer turns to one period after another; studies the thought of one country age, or school; and compares this with thought developed under other conditions, the attention constantly reverts to one period as the needle to the pole. Eariy Asiatic and Oriental thought is chiefly religious or dogmatic ideas are arbitrarily assumed or developed, presented in aphoristic form and symbol, or clothed with the sanctity of revelation. Analysis of the mental processes through which the original assumptions are formulated and the sequences derived, is rarely attempted, or im- possible, owing to the nature of the material. When, however, among the mass of ultra-rational symbol and aphorism, certain thought appears possessmg a more or less rational basis, it has often a famiUar ring to the HeUenist. These considerations are not without application to later Western inquiry; and whether the history of the human Reason, m relation to tiie problems of existence, is approached from the Con- fucian Analects, the Tao Teh King, the Zenda Vesta, the Upanishads ' or fresh from the pages of Spencer, Huxley, Clifford, Wundt, Haeckel,' or the most modem of the moderns, as the thought of Hellas is studied. It seems that all has been summarized therein — aU said before and all to be said by those to come after. Thus it might seem possible to a wanderer in the Vatican to compose a history of no small portion of modern sculpture without leaving the Hellenic gaUeries at Rome; and so, to the student of Greek thought. It may seem that a by no means superficial statement of the results of modem speg^tion might be suggested without the presentation of jk. -- -^- ,_ ::-\ Bk. IV Pre-Socratic Thought 425 a single thought not first expressed in that most articulate tongues: the speech of Anaxagoras and Democritus, of Socrates, Plato and Aristotle. These considerations suggest tne purpose and scope of the present study. It is undertaken to discover, if possible, the laws governing the action of the rational intelligence, in its investigation of the ulti- mate problems of existence, and in order to formulate the results pro- duced. A study of rational speculative thought leads to Greece. In ancient Hellas, Reason first grows conscious of itself and presents the beginnings of all later scientific inquiry. Hellenic ^speculation, however, develops two fields: Pre-Socratic and Post-Socratic thought. There are three sources upon which an analysis of the former may be based, owing to the almost total disappearance of the original works. These sources are: first, the fragments, or direct quotations, of the earliest thinkers; second, historical reviews or notices of their opinions; third, passages cited or summarized in controversy. The first of these though slight, is vastly the most important. The second is larger and of value in throwing light upon the subject; this information, however, is one degree removed from the fountain-head; and its value, as re- flected through another mind, is dependent upon the ability of the compiler to imderstand the material with which he deals. The works of Aristotie form a source of this nature more valuable many times over, than all others combined; owing to his faultiess comprehension of the positions stated, and his invariable seizure of the essentials involved. Laertius, Plutarch, Stobaeus, Simplicius, Theophrastus, and Sextus Empiricus have preserved important information of this kind. The third class represents citation or commentary used in controversy. The works of Aristotle are again, as ever, the most valuable mine in which such citation may be found; it is, however, except when used by Aristotle, two degrees removed from its ultimate inspiration and cor- respondingly less valuable. Some of the writers mentioned present information of this nature; the larger portion, however, is found in the works of Plato, the Alexandrine commentators and metaphysicians, in the patristic writings, and in certain Roman studies and reviews. Information derived from this third class of comment and controversy should be used with caution, and-— always with the exception of Aristotle — in many cases is not only redundant, but misleading, owing to confused thought and the polemical attitude adopted. The m m 426 Philosophy Pt. IV material dealing with the subject, as in theological literature, increases in volume as it recedes from the original inspiration, and decreases in value inversely as its bulk. Thus the history of the human Reason leads to Greece and Pre-So- cratic thought, and an enormous cone, or pyramid, of investigation and commentary, referring to the few fragments representing the apex of the p3n"amid; the base of which is formed by the constantly widening area of history and comment of succeeding ages. In order to reduce the subject to its simplest terms, the original sources are presented and reference is largely limited to Aristotle. Section II — The PHYsiasxs Article i — Tholes. The pendulum of inquiry, in search of the beginnings of rational thought, after various oscillations from east to west, sooner or later comes to rest at a point in Asia Minor near the mouth of the Maeander; for there, in the town of Miletus, it seems, were bom Thales, Anaximan- der and Anaximenes, to whom may be traced the origins of the rational history of man. The intelligence there first grows conscious of itself in relation to the imiverse; it there opens its eyes as a child, as it were, in an all-enveloping Cosmos of inexplicable phenomena, and asks perhaps the first and most natural question: What is it? Pure reason, basing its inquiries upon impressions of nature derived through the senses, can act in but one way: it must concern itself with the resem- blances of things; it can alone classify phenomena by means of that which they possess in common; these classifications within wider gener- alizations, and so on. When the reason, based upon contact with nature through the media of sense, ceases to do this, it ceases to act; it can do nothing else. Thus, when the reason begins to move with Thales, it can do but one thing: the mind is conscious through the senses of something external to it; this something is the objective, sensible xmiverse, and the mind naively asks: What is it? The answer to this question, in the then existing condition of knowledge, can take but one rational form: it must seek to classify different material phenomena ' within one general conception, or material element, common to all. The question, therefore, "What is it?" with reference to the universe, resolves itself into the question: What is the element common to the external phenomena with which the senses come in contact? Their Bk. IV Pre-Socratic Thought 427 principle, said Thales* their element, that of the nature of which they all partake, is water; and Thales, instead of referring this opinion to divine inspiration, or analogous sources of information, supported it with his own reasons derived from the observation of natiu*e. This is why all rational thought begins with this memorable man. The conception that "all things" might be reduced to a single ultimate principle, or element, based upon rational explanation and the direct observation of nature, proves him to have been one of the few creative intellects of the world, the first philosopher; and, as Anaximenes, 2 in a letter to Pythagoras, well says: "To Thales must be attributed the beginnings of all wisdom." Aristotle^ says that his reasons for this position were doubtless derived from observing that "all forms of nourishment are more or less moist; that heat is generated from moisture and the vital f imctions continued through it, as the first principle of things is that from which they arise. Again, from the facts that the seeds, or germs, to which the growth of things may be traced are moist, and that water is naturally the prin- ciple, or element, of moisture." Water, therefore, said Thales, may apparently be regarded as the original or elemental substance, from the various modifications of which other phenomena are derived. Article 2 — Anaximenes. If all things are resolvable into a single primitive substance, the next object of inquiry will be the process of modification. If there is such a thing as an element common to all things, in accordance with what principle or principles will it undergo change? What is the process governing modifications? This is the next question to which turned the minds of thinking men, and philosophy enters upon its history. It was doubtless observed that water, under certain conditions, becomes a solid of greater or less density; and under others, a vapour of varying degrees of rarity. It seems reasonable, therefore, to believe that change in the primitive element occurs through a process of con- densation and rarefaction. But, if this is the process governing modi- fication, it seems that the primitive substance itself must be sought in that element which is conunon to all things modified. Thus, in the series of changes presented by water, as it turns from a solid into vapour ' Aristotle. Metaph. A. 3., 983 b za ' Lagrtius. II. 2., p. 34. »Ibid. 428 Philosophy Pt. IV Bk. IV Pre-Socratic Thought 429 through liquefaction, it seems evident that the substance common to these variations is not the water but the vapour. The rarest sub- stance, therefore, must be that of the nature of which others partake. The element of other substances and its greater relative contraction, will produce the denser phenomena. The vapour into which water expands, presents varying degrees of density, until it disappears en- tirely, through mingling with the surrounding atmosphere. What, therefore, more reasonable than to regard this atmosphere itself, or air in general, as the primitive substance from which all changeable phenomena are derived through a process of condensation and rare- faction? If this position is adopted, it becomes essential to abandon the position of Thales, and regard air, or the surrounding ether, as the elemental substance. In reaching this position, philosophy has taken its first definite step in advance. Expansion and contraction, at this point then, are regarded as the process of modification; and air, or the rarest ether, as the primitive substance modified. This is the position reached by Anaximenes. The most important passages in which it is formulated are to be found in Simpliciusi and Plutarch: 2 Anaximenes .... is of the opinion that the essential nature of things is one and infinite; holding it however, to be determinate, rather than indeterminate, and regarding it as air. This air, or primi- tive substance, he believes, will vary in its relative density and rarity, consistent with the nature of different things; thus, when very rarefied' it becomes fire; when less so it is reduced to winds, clouds, and waters- with increasing contraction becoming earth, stone, and all other things. Anaximenes .... says that air is the principle of aU existences; that from it, is everything evolved; and into it, eventuaUy disappears. As the soul which controls and constitutes our own existence is nothing but air; so, that, within which the whole worid is held and enveloped is but air and spirit. Article j — Diogenes of Apollonia, ^ Anaximenes sought a more definite conception of the primitive sub- stance th an Thales, and attempted to develop a method of accounting « Simpl. Phys. 24. 26. (Theophr.) Diel's Vorsokraiiker. Vol. I., p. 18. • De Placitis PkUosoph. I., 3. 4. Ibid., p. 21. for its modifications. The subject, however, may be carried a step farther; for if there is a primitive element of all things, and air is that element, it naturally becomes necessary to determine as far as possible its essential characteristics. Diogenes of Apollonia devel- ops the thought of Anaximenes. First, he said, the primitive sub- stance must not only be one which is common to all things, and capable of entering into ail things; but, second, it must be capable of thought. The fragments in which this position is established are found in Simplicius, in his commentary upon the Physics of Aristotle. In these, Diogenes expresses the next development of thought as follows:* 2. It seems to me, if we regard the universe as composed of all existent things, that it must bring about the changes of these through itself; and at the same time remain essentially unaltered. For, if there were elementally distinct things in the world, such as earth, water, and others which appear to the senses; and if these were essentially and individually distinct from each other, never changed their nature, and were not susceptible to alteration, they would be incapable of blending with other things, of receiving nourishment and increase from them, or of causing their disintegration. Vegetable life would not be generated from the earth; animals and other things would not be reproduced, if there were no common element in them. But all these things have a common origin; they take different forms at different times and return to their origin once more. 4. As men and other animals derive their life from the air they breathe, and consequently, their soul and intelligence; and as, when they cease to breathe the air, life and thought leave them as well; there seem excellent reasons for believing that men and animals derive their life, souls, and intelligence from the air they absorb. 3- Without intelligence, things could not be systematically distributed as they are; for all things bear definite relations to each other: sunmier and winter, night and day, rain, wind and good weather; and, if one reflects upon these and other relations, one finds they are arranged with purpose and harmony. > The numbers preceding the citation are those of Diel's Vorsokratiker. VI 430 Philosophy Pt. IV I And so, it seems to me, that what we call air must possess thought and consciousness; and that it must preside over and control everything; and so I believe that thought is derived from air, and that it arranges, is blended with, and penetrates into all things; and that nothing exists which does not partake of the nature of air. Diogenes of ApoUonia represents an interesting position in early thought: the culmination of inquiry, developed from the original hypothesis of Thales that "all things" could be resolved into a primitive substance. The definite conclusion is here reached, if there is an elemen- tal substance, that there can be no such thing as generation, properly speaking, but that all change must be referred to modifications of existing substance. As Erdmann^ says: "Diogenes denies consciously what his pred- ecessors had denied unconsciously, viz., the existence of the immaterial. Not only does he expressly call his original substance, of which all things are modifications, a 9(i)(xa, but he already knows that a distinction is made between matter and spirit, and it is evidently in opposition to such a dualism that he maintains that reason, which to him is identical with vitality and feeling, is imminent in the air and unthinkable without it. Hence everything, even inorganic existences, and especially man, receives life and knowledge by breathing. Physiological examples, e.g., the foamlike nature of seeds, are intended to prove the life-giving nature of the air. This attempt to maintain the earlier Monism against Dualism makes the naive hylozoism into a materialistic doctrine." yA consistently materialistic explanation of the phenomena of nature IS here presented for the first time; "all things" at this juncture are reduced to a single primitive matter, or substance, which partakes of the nature of all changeable things, and which, itself, is vitalized air, or ether. This, then, seems to be the essential element, or principle of things, and the process representing the rarefaction and condensation of this primitive substance will represent the principle of modification. As the condensation and rarefaction of air is carried on through its absorption, reduction and exhalation, the process of breathing, or the process of expansion and contraction of air, is the explanation of change. In the then existing condition of knowledge, the hypothesis of Thales is incapable of further development; an ultimate single substance, 1 History of Philosophy. English translation edited by Prof. W. S. Hougli, VoL L, p. 35. Bk. IV Pre-Socratic Thought 431 presenting no possibility of further analysis, is reached, together with a theory apparentiy explaining the features of modification. The movement of thought in this direction is arrested; on reaching Diogenes of ApoUonia it reaches the limits of the possible development of the original con- ception of Thales that the Cosmos could be resolved into a single primi- tive element. An island, so to speak, appears in the ocean of thought: an island discovered by Anaximenes and Diogenes. The thinker must either stay with them and accept their conclusions, or go completely back to the starting-point and begin again. The reason he must go back to the beginning is that the hypothesis of speculation is exhausted on reaching this island of Diogenes. Thales began with the assumption that all things might be resolved into a primitive element. This element, when reduced to vitalized ether, is not susceptible to further develop- ment; its changes may apparently be explained by a process of conden- sation and rarefaction — and the movement of thought ceases. Reason begins its history by positing an ultimate material principle of things; it reduces this to its final analysis, and stops; it can go no farther. Di- ogenes of Apollina may, therefore, be left upon this island of vitalized ether. Thought, in continuing its quest, must go back to the beginning, make a circle, so to speak, and start once more. This is what might be called the first cycle of purely physiological thought. It is known as the Ionic school, extending from Thales to Diogenes of Apollinia; approximately from the 35th Olympiad to the 80th Olympiad; from 640 B. C. to 460 B. C. Section III — The Metaphysicians Article 1 — Anaximander. The rational intelligence may adopt two methods of reaching ex- planation: it may analyze and classify particular phenomena in order to establish a general conception; or, it may adopt a general conception and test it through comparison with particular phenomena. The two methods, although leading to identical results, represent two dis- tinct attitudes at the starting-point. The philosophic investigator, disinclined to accept vitalized ether and its process of modification established by Diogenes as the final solution of tiie Cosmos, will begin to look about for anotiier hypotiieti- cal conception upon which to base further inquiry. In going back to '! 432 Philosophy Pt.IV l! ■^i; '»■■ the starting-point at Miletus, in search of such a conception, he finds another philosopher, Anaximander, the younger friend and associate of Thales, who supplies the desired hypothesis and suggests a new method with which to approach philosophic investigation. Anaximander says that "all things" cannot be resolved into a primitive substance, as Thales supposed; but, on the contrary, all things are derived from a pre-existing infinity which originally contained them within itself. A first principle cannot, therefore, be derived from particular things, because particular things are derived from a first principle. Within such a first principle, or infinite combination, says Anaximander,^ all things exist and are derived from it. "For," as Aristotle says,* referring to Anaximander, "all things are either a first principle or derived from a first principle. There can be no first cause, or principle of the infinite, for it would then be limited. Beside which, that which is a first principle must be ungenerated and unchangeable, for all things changeable and generated must have an end. . . . There can, therefore, be no first principle of the infinite; changeable things, on the contrary, being derived from the first principle itself. This infinite first principle then contains and controls all things. . . . It is in its nature divine, changeless, and immortal." When this conception of Anaximander is grasped, it appears that change may be regarded as caused, not by modification of the primitive substance, as the lonians supposed, but through a process of separation from it.' This is a method of inquiry different from that adopted by the lonians. Anaximander seems to have been the first thinker to suggest it, and through it will further progress proceed. The most important notice of Anaximander is that of Theophrastas:* "Anaximander regarded the first principle and element of things as infinite, and was the first to use that word in connexion with a principle. He said that it was neither water nor any of the other things usually called elements, but that the infinite was something of a different nature from these, and that from it proceeded the heavens and the worlds; and things at their dissolution must of necessity return to that from which they are evolved. . . . Doubtless, perceiving the four elements changing into each other, he does not wish to make any one of these the primitive * Aristotle Hetaph. A. 3., 1069 b aa. « Aristotle Pkys. T. 4., 203 b. 6. ' Ibid., A. 4., 187 a 30. / Diel's Vorsokratiker. Vol. I., 9, p. 13. Bk. IV Pre-Socratic Thought 433 substance, but chooses rather to adopt something other than any of these. And he does not think that the modifications of sensible pheno- mena are caused by changes in the elemental substance, but by the separation of opposites caused by eternal motion." The primitive substance, or potential " mixture," as Aristotle would call it, is here regarded as consisting of an infinite homogeneous unity from which all variable things proceed and into which they are ab- sorbed. The process of change, then, is no longer condensation and rarefaction, but separation. The next question in inquiry will be: What governs the separation of particular, measurable things from the infinite, inuneasurable unity? Article 2 — Pythagoras » The infinite unity of Anaximander is incapable of being changed or measured, but everything else, being derived from it, is corruptible and finite; that is changeable and measurable. It is obvious that neither separation, change, nor measure can occur, except through the establish- ment of difference; that is, through the determination of more or less. If the infinite of Anaximander is regarded as an absolute, unlimited unity, and all other things are derived from it, it seems that this unity must be greater than all other things. But, again, the multiplicity of things derived from unity must bear relations within itself, as well as to the original unity. But these relations, involving as they must the establishment of more or less, can only occur through the media of quantitative distinctions. It seems, at the same time, that quantitative distinctions, in order to obtain exact formulation, must be capable of being determined through the relations of definite mathematical, or numerical, conceptions. But, if things differ essentially as more or less, and differences of more or less are fundamentally distinctions of number, it seems reasonable to believe that essential differences and numerical differences must be identical; in other words, that number and essence are the same. The suggestive speculative con- ception imderlying the Pythagorean systems is here reached. This conception in its most abstract form presents the Cosmos, or sum of things, as an unchangeable, unlimited unity from which changeable, limited things are derived, in harmony with an estab- lished system of numerical relations. This is the fundamental speculative thought of Pythagoras. In the words of Aristotle,^ it may ^ ■ Aristotle Metapk. A. S- 986 « t. 1 1 II I 434 Philosophy Pt. IV be expressed in the position which regards "the element of numbers as the element of things." The lonians reasoned through sense perception of matter; they reduced matter to its simplest element and denied the existence of the incor- poreal as the necessary culmination of their school. Pythagoras, in developing the thought of Anaximander, rather than that of Thales, looks at nature from a different point of view. He seeks not the element of the substance modified, but the principles of governing modification. In developing this hypothesis, Pjrthagoras formulates an ideal, rather than a corporeal principle, and suggests a method of inquiry based upon the conception of mathematical relations, as principles governing existence. He thus lays the foimdation of later idealistic systems, and was perhaps the first piure metaphysician after Anaximander. With him speculation advances into unexplored seas full of hope and with abundant material; in other words, with a new and unexhausted hypothe- sis: the hypothesis of the solubility of phenomena in the crucible of mathematical relations. Two methods of inquiry are thus developed at the outset of cosmo- logical speculation: the inductive and the deductive. The first devotes attention to the study of nature in the observation of particular phe- nomena through the media of sense impressions. These impressions are analyzed and classified in relation to each other, and general conceptions evolved. The second method begins with the formulation of a general conception, and derives its classification of particular phenomena from it. The first leads to an analysis of matter; the second to an analysis of ideas. There are two important conceptions in rational speculation traceable to Pythagoras: First, the idea that number, and the essence of things, are indentical.^ Second, that sensible bodies might be resolvable into four elemental substances: fire, water, earth, and air.^ The mind which begins to construct the heavens out of numbers, as Aristotle^ would say, with the P3rthagoreans, or, in other words, to speculate upon the hypothesis of the solubility of cosmical problems in a mathematical crucible, will soon find itself involved in questions dealing with abstract distinctions between things and symbols of things, between quantitative and qualitative categories. As numerical and mathematical relations are infinite, and as these infinites themselves • Aristotle, Ibid. • La^rtius VIII., 19, p. 210. • De Codo. r. I., 300 a 15. Bk. IV Pre-Socratic Thought 435 are infinitely varied in nature, when they are applied to such abstrac- tions as Truth, Being, God, Nature, Reality, the One and the Many, a limitless maze of mystical and metaphysical speculation is opened for investigation. Pythagoreanism is essentially mystic, confused and com- plex, and as such achieves the negation of philosophy. The object of philosophy is realization; the moment any system opens a limitless infinity, philosophy ceases; for there can be no definite realization m infinity. . . In the contemplation of the Pythagorean hypothesis, the mmd is drawn to one phase of inquiry: the ultimate inquiry m this connexion, that with reference to the relation between the One and the Many; between the unity from which things proceed and the multiplicity of things derived. This is the point in the Pythagorean position upon which discussion concentrates, and from which pWlosophic movement The rational intellect, in beginning to speculate with Anaximander, finds itself drawn to the thought of Pythagoras in search of the explana- tion of the phenomena of change. On meeting Pythagoras, it turns to the study of an abstract unity on one hand, and to the concrete multiplicity derived from this on another. If, then, it begins to study this infinity, and adopts mathematical principles as the only means of submitting it to an exact analysis, it but opens up other infinities, and the process perpetuates itself indefinitely. Pythagoreanism is an end- less series of self-perpetuating numerical categories; it can, conse- quently, present no possibility of self-realization to the finite mind which understands it. The finite, rational intellect, therefore, at this juncture has no choice but to reject the categories altogether, and turn attention to the ultimate unity: in the speculative language of the day, to repudiate the "Many" and seize upon the "One." This is the next progressive and necessary step in rational thought, and is taken by Xenophanes. Aristotle ^ says that he was the first thinker to introduce unity in thought. Article 3 — Xenophanes. The mind which rejects the Many and recognizes but absolute Unity frees itself at a stroke from difficulties arising from speculative concep- tions of plurality; from all the mystic and symbolic logicalities and illogicalities of Pythagoreanism. This position adO|pted, however, ^ Metapk. A. $. 986 b 3 1. \mt 436 Philosophy Pt. IV the attention is drawn to the necessity of establishing more definite conceptions with reference to the nature of this Unity, or the "One." How may the One be known? How may the human reason come in contact with it? What is it? These are the questions Xenophanes will be expected to answer. He saysi^ The absolute Being, the One, is not generated. Generation can occur only from that which is like or unlike; but the generation of the absolute can take place from neither one nor the other; not from like, for such a supposition would be the negation of the absolute, in the implication of relations to others of the same nature; not from unlike, for things can but generate their own kind. As absolute Being, or Unity, therefore, is ungenerated, it must be eternal. Eternal but neither infinite or finite: not infinite, for infinity implies a negation of deter- minate existence; not finite, for that involves measure and plurality. Neither is it movable nor inunovable: not the first, for it would then be divisible; not the second, for that involves a quality of non-existence. Xenophanes possessed one of the most interesting intellects of early Greek thought, but came perilously near being a theologian; it is indeed not always easy to trace the purely philosophic element in his specu- lation; his Unity may seem a pantheistic divinity. Aristotle2 says that he looked up to the whole heavens and called them God. Such a position, however, in philosophy, requires more exact determination than the negatives cited: but when Xenophanes is asked for further definition of his position he is lent the following words: Surely never hath been, nor e'en ever will be a mortal Knowing the Gods, and the nature of things of which I am speaking; For though we chance on the truth, we do so unheeding, unknowiig: Nought but opinion there is, all things in its error enfolding.' These lines show the first germ of conscious doubt in philosophy, and the first recognition of a philosophic distinction between truth and human opinion. Up to this point the reason proceeds upon the tacit assumptions of the existence of an ultimate, objective truth, ^<1 ^^t sense and rational deliberation were trustworthy guides to • Tlib passage is » brid summaiy of the speculative esseptiab of the opinions attributed to Xenophanct in the Aristotelian work, De Xmophane, tk, (HI. 977), and ia Siopfidus (f iy#., «, laff. Did*, vi* I., p. 40). » lieia^. A. 5. 986 b 24. • Sextus Empiricus, Adv. Math. VII., 49 and iia Bk. IV Pre-Socratic Thought 437 its discovery. Xenophanes, after his experiences with the abstract complexities of Pythagorean metaphysics, frees himself from these by the denial of the complex and the recognition of the one absolute existence alone. When questioned, however, with reference to the nature of this absolute, or true Being, he merely presents a few negations; and, upon further inquiry, begins to doubt. He doubts, but unsystemat- ically, imsdentifically, as it were; and notwithstanding ancient texts to the contrary, there is no trace of a rationalized skepticism to be found in his words. ^ Philosophy must obviously move on without him, and seek another leader to answer these questions. Article 4 — Parmenides, Absolute Being, devoid of change, the One, divested of plurality, necessarily implies something distinct from change and multiplicity. If the One is absolute and without relation, if there is such a thing as an ultimate, objective Being, Truth, or Reality, there should be some rational method of distinguishing between the absolute and the relative; between the existent and the non-existent — between Being and Be- coming, in the phraseology of the period. The next step, therefore, must be to determine the essential difference between Truth, or true Being, and that which is but opinion. Aristotle^ says that Parmenides was said to be the pupil of Xenophanes; and the pupil naturally repre- sents the development of this phase of thought. Aristotle^ says he formulated two distinct conceptions with reference to Being and Be- coming. He regarded Truth, or real Being, as the only genuine exist- ence; but, compelled to recognize the impressions derived from variable phenomena, he referred Truth to the decisions of the deliberative reason; other phenomena to mere sense impressions. Thus Truth, or the Absolute, may be approached through the action of the reason alone; all else must be regarded as mere opinion, or rather as non-existent. The following are the most important records of the thought of Par- menides in relation to earlier and later speculation: 4-s- "Come, the two paths I will show thee and well listen thou to my saying; These are the paths which alone will aid thee in search of true knowledge: Firs t, that true Bemg exists, and impossible that it should not be. * M. Victor Cousin presents an interesting review of the question, FragmetUi PkUosopkiqius (Philosofhk Ancienne), p. 77, * Metaph. A. 5, 986 b 22. •Ibid. 438 Philosophy Pt. IV This is the trustworthy path, for truthfuhiess ever attends it. Second, Non-Being is not; and that it must be non-existent. This is the path I would say of which thou must ever know nothing. That which is not is imknown and thou canst not tell its existence. For the same thing is the thought with that which can come into Being. 6. Being is, we must say, and saying it, e'en must believe it. Possible is it to be; but not to be means no existence. Non-Being, therefore, is not; and this then I bid thee to ponder. First, from this path would I lead thee, again from that other moreover; Doubly involved and confusing, where mortals in ignorance wander, Helplessness guiding alone the wavering thoughts they have in them; Borne along dumbly and blindly, a swarm of unreasoning creatures; Thinking non-Being the same, yet not the same, is as true Being; And that aU things are involved in paihs of their own contradiction. The actual non-existence of that which may be referred to opinion, derived from mere sense impression, and the necessary existence of all derived from deliberative reason, is the key to the thought of Par- menides, and to a large portion of later speculation. He continues: 7. Things which are not can never be; but do thou avoid this path of inquiry. 1.V.34. Let not long accustomed habit lead thee into it with undiscerning eye and tongue and sounding ear; but do thou judge the conflicting evidence of the senses by means of the Reason, as I have told thee. 8. There is but one other way; namely, that Being exists. It contains many proofs that it is; it is ungenerated and indestructible, complete, unchangeable, and without end. It was not, nor will it be, for it exists now; one and indivisible. Where wilt thou seek its origin? Whence could it be increased. . . . It is indivisible and homogeneous. There is no more Existence in one place than in another to prevent its perfect consistency; nor is there less. It is everywhere complete. Being embraces, and is con- tained in. Being. It is moreover immovable, held, as it were, in vast bonds; without beginning and without end; for generation and dis- solution are rejected by the true faith. . . . The thought, and the cause of the thought, are identical; for without the subject in which the thought is expressed, you will not find the Bj^^ IV Pre-Socratic Thought 439 thought. There neither is, nor wiU be, anything, but that which is; for fate has bound it in one complete and motionless whole. All those things, therefore, which men perceive through the senses, and believe to be true, wHl, in reality, be nothing but names; such things, for instance, as men believe arise and dissolve into others; to be and not to be; things which are constantly changing their positions and appearances. This phase of thought, as Parmenides has shown, must finally refer "all things" to the abstract human reason, acting independently of sense experience. Thus Parmenides divides his works into two dis- tinct fields, one treating of real existence, or truth, and the other of transient opinion. He says: 1.V.29. Well the pure heart must thou know that dwells in the truth all convincing; Also opinion of men which not upon truth has been founded: But these things shalt thou learn; and that which is based on opinion, E'en must thou judge m the balance; everything carefully weighing. All changing phenomena will thus be regarded as but impressions left upon the minds of men. And as these phenomena form and fade and vary, they are in reality, or rather, in non-reality, but the names by means of which men distinguish them. 19. Thus, in opuiion of men, have things and their changes arisen. Things which seem to be now; yet which, as they're ever maturing, Fade and vanish away; but names in the mmds of mere mortals. 16. As to each man is the nature fused through his flexible members. So is the mind of the man, which thinks as but part of his body; Thought, in each and in all, is perfection of structural being.* In this way Parmenides suggests that in rational cognition alone may truth, or real Being, be found; and that all else is but unsystematized sense impression, error, or opinion: mere names or idle phantasies, as Timon^ says. > This seems the sense in which Parmenides uses the words xh yip icXiov 1^:1 v6t)h«. The passage is preserved in Aristotle; who, after reference to Democritus and tue citation of two passages of closely allied meaning from Empedocles, introduces his quotation from Parmenides with the words: xal IIapnevl5T ; if Metaph. 7, lozs a 36. 'Fra^az. Pre-Socratic Thought 469 Bk. IV Reason, or Intelligence; and "all things," instead of being referred to a vague objective Reason, must be referred to the concrete subject. Rea- son therefore, or the embodiment of ultimate truth, so far as it may be determined, rests within each individual mind alone. Individual minds not only differ, however, but are themselves subject to endless modi- fication. There can, therefore, be no ultimate truth, no final Reason or Intelligence, whatever; and man, the individual, becomes the measure of all things. In the words of Protagoras, ^ to whom is due the philo- sophic discovery of the subjectivity of human knowledge: IldvTwv xp^- liaTwy ^JilTpov (2vOp(i)XO(;. As soon as the conception of an objective truth, or Reason, is eliminated from inquiry, it becomes evident that individual hiunan opinion is the only thing with which philosophy has to deal; but, as human opinions are infinitely different and infinitely variable, it is obvious that they can be considered but as forming changing terms of changing relations. Hence, all opinion becomes equally true or equally false; or rather, forms the terms of a relation, and is in reality neither true nor false; and consequently leads nowhere. The older inquirers idolized objective truth and devoted their en- ergies to its discovery. Individual opinion, Heraclitus seems to have regarded as a disease. ^ Protagoras makes the discovery that Truth, Reason, Mind, Intelligence, or anything else, can have no rational existence outside the content of the human mind; and, hence, is neces- sarily driven to exalt individual opinion, on the ground that no other opinion is determinable. As self-realization is the one object of philo- sophic inquiry; and, as such inquiry must of necessity be carried on within the limits of the individual consciousness; it is obvious that all objective conceptions of Truth or Reason must henceforth be eliminated from philosophic investigation. Since the days of Protagoras no rational mind will seek explanation of cosmic phenomena not determinable within the subjective human intellect. Perhaps the clearest single expression of the thought of Protagoras is found in Sextus. He says' in distinguishing the position of Protagoras from that of Pyrrho: "Protagoras would establish man as the measure of all things; of the existent that they are, and of the non-existent that they are not. By measure he meant the final criterion, and by things he meant condi- ^ LaCrtius. DC, 8. p. 239. » Ibid., XI, I, p. 228. » Pyrrh. Hypot. x. 32, p. 94- \ p i: 470 Philosophy Pt. IV tions; which, then, is to say that man himself is the final criterion of aU conditions; both of those which are, that they are; and of those which are not, that they have no existence. For this reason he recognized the phenomenal alone, as it appeared to each individual; and thus estabUshed the principle of relativity. Protagoras said that man him- self, as matter, was in a state of flux; and, as the matter changes it necessarily undergoes augmentations and losses; and tiie senses tiiem- selves will tiius be modified and varied with age and other physical conditions. He said tiiat the fundamental relations of all phenomena were contained in essence in matter; so tiiat matter would simply be to each one as it appeared to each one. Men perceive different things at different times in accordance with changing circumstances. Who- ever is m a normal condition perceives things as tiiey appear to tiie normal, and vice versa. The same considerations apply to difference traceable to age, sleep, wakefulness, and all otiier conditions. Thus m accordance with Protagoras, man, tiie individual, becomes tiie cri- tenon of Being, or existence, for those phenomena which appear to men exist; those which appear to no human inteUigence do not exist And thus we see, in recognizing both the changing condition of matter and the fact that it contains witiiin itself the relations of all phenomena' that he shows tiiat which is invisible for us, and tiiat which may be readily grasped." Protagoras! seems to have been a friend or pupO of Democritus, and his tiiought is evidentiy much influenced by physical speculation. It IS, therefore, of interest to observe how identical conclusions may be denved tiirough tiie development of purely idealistic inquiry. Gorgias was a foUower of the ideaUstic Eleatic school, and presents tiie follow- mg positions divorced from all physical considerations. Article 5 — Gorgias. In his writings with reference to nature and non-existence, Gorgias laid down m order under tiiree headings: First, that nothing exists Second, that if sometiiing did exist it would be unintelligible to tiie human being. Third, that if anytiiing existed and could be understood It could not be demonstrated or explained to others. ' I. That nothing exists, he demonstrated as foUows: If anything ^stedm reality, it must be tiiat which exists, tiiat which does not « Laertius, IX., 8. * Aristotle Dc Xcnopkane. etc,. 5.6; and Sextus, Adv. Logic. VII, 65. p. 285. Bk. IV Pre-Socratic Thought 471 exist, or a combination of the two. But ultimate Truth, or real ex- istence, cannot be regarded as either non-existent or as a combination of existence and non-existence without a contradiction of terms. These suppositions, therefore, must be eliminated; and Truth, or existence, regarded as that which exists. Existence, or truth, if existing, will be either eternal, generated, or again a combination of the two. Existence is not eternal: For without origin or beginning, it would be infinite; if infinite, it is nowhere; for it could not be in anything else, as nothing is larger than it; nor could it be in itself, for upon such a supposition it would be both object and surrounding space, both body and place, which is absurd. That which exists, therefore, cannot exist in itself without being eternal; if eternal, it is infinite; if infinite it exists nowhere; if nowhere it does not exist at all. Existence is not generated: If generated, it must owe its birth either to existence or to non-existence; but the first is impossible, for if it exists previous to its own generation, it is not generated. Existence cannot arise from non-existence; for that which does not exist can obviously generate nothing. Nor can Existence be simultaneously generate and eternal; such a supposition involves a contradiction of terms. Ultimate Truth, therefore, or real Existence, does not exist at all. n. If Existence, or Truth, did exist, it must be incomprehensible and unknown to man: If Existence is not in thought and reason, it is obviously unthinkable and unreasonable; and consequently unknow- able and incomprehensible. If thought did not exist, however, how could Existence be thought? If Existence, or Truth, therefore, exists at all, it must exist in thought. But it is obvious that all which is thought, is not existence itself; for were such the case, everything we think would necessarily exist; such as winged men, or chariots rolling on the seas; that which is thought is, therefore, not necessarily Truth, or Existence, itself. From which it appears that if thought itself is not Truth, or that which really exists, that which does not exist cannot be thought. Contraries correspond to contraries. Existence is con- trary to non-Existence. If Existence is thought, non-Existence cannot be thought. Thus as we conclude finally and without appeal from the evidence of the senses, that the audible and the visible exist; if thought itself is the criterion of Truth, we should in the same way conclude that all which is thought exists; and, consequently, recognize the existence of winged men, monsters, and chimera, the moment we tbi>k of themj 472 Philosophy Pt. IV i I j: • y T i I which is absurd. Existence, therefore, or ultimate Truth, is neither to be thought nor comprehended. m. If we supposed that Existence were comprehended by any one, it would be inexplicable to others: If we suppose the object of compre- hension to be perceptible to the senses, it is obvious that that which is heard must be explained by hearing; that which is seen must be explained by sight, and so on, and not crosswise — that is, that which is evident to sight, cannot be understood by hearing, and so on. But even though we suppose that we understand by means of the senses, we must of necessity conmiunicate through words. But words are neither the object to be explained, nor do they constitute real Existence. Words are capable of communicating nothing but words; beside which external objects have no more relation to words than the visible has to the sense of hearing, or sight to a perception of the taste. Yet, nevertheless, how can we communicate except through the media of words? If it is suggested that words may be arranged to express the object per- ceived, it may be replied that the words do not express the object; the object on the contrary, suggesting the words. But words themselves and their sequences are external, objective phenomena, as well as other objects of perception; and as such, essentially distinct from other ex- ternal objects; and, on account of this distinction, are no more capable of conununicating the true nature of these than the objects themselves could communicate their own nature to each other." Metrodorus of Chios put the final touch to the thought of this period when he said,i "We know nothing; not even that we know nothing." The conventional method of meeting the arguments of Protagoras and Gorgias by means of the single word "sophistry" is not impressive in a philosophic sense. On the contrary, these positions present conclusions of rational intellects moving with perfect accuracy. At this period of inquiry the intelligence acted with the Atomists and the Sophists, or it did not act at all; if it reasoned, it reasoned with them. The shores of another island here loom on the horizon. When the speculative significance of the subjectivity, or relativity, of human knowledge is appreciated; and when it is understood that no truth, or -existence, can be rationally conceived other than within the finite human consciousness; it seems as though cloud, or shadow of truth, had lifted from the mind. For this reason the inhabitants of this island call it t he island of 'Enlightenment"; others call it the island of » Seztus. Adv. Math. VII. 88, p. 891. Bk. IV Pre-Socratic Thought 47i "Sophistry," for here are met Protagoras, Prodicus, Hippias, and Gorgias. But one other school of thinkers, that of the Atomists, has been as much misrepresented as that of the Sophists. The fact that they denied both the utility and the possibility of philosophy led them to turn to practical affairs, and to produce but few speculative writings. Their school, however, was a logical necessity in the development of thought; and represents the idealistic pole corresponding to the pure materialism of the Atomists on another side. It represents the results of inquiry turned toward an analysis of the phenomena of mind, rather than to that of the phenomena of matter. As this position is studied, its importance becomes more evident. The contemplation of the merely relative nature of human knowledge, the constant flux of matter, from which sense and reason arise; the consequent relativity, variability, and uncertainty of human opinion in all its forms, lead to a reasoned disbelief; not only in the existence of ultimate Truth, discoverable through the testimony of the senses, as in the first cycle of idealistic thought, but to a reasoned disbelief in the human Reason itself. It leads to the denial of the validity of both sense and reason, upon per- fectly rational grounds. This island of Sophistry is an important position in the speculative seas and presents for the first time a completely reasoned crisis in thought. It is useless to return to the starting-point at this juncture in order to begin again; the Reason here repudiates itself and philosophy ceases. Rational men adopt the Atomic or the Sophistical position. There is nothing else to do — speculative momentum is spent. When man first began to reason with reference to the problems of Nature, he resolved the universe into matter, sought its ultimate principle, and on reaching the hylozoism of the lonians with Anaximenes and Diogenes, he discovered what seemed to be the simplest principle of substance, and with this discovery his hypothesis exhausts itself. He goes back to the starting-point and begins again; this time resolving the universe into a rational abstraction. He analyzes this abstraction and discovers its ultimate principle to be Reason divorced from sense. He thus exhausts another hypothesis and is compelled to deny the evidence of the senses, in order to support this purely idealistic ab- straction. This position, however, presents no intelligible explanation of change and movement, and consequently he goes back to the starting- point once more, resolves the universe into a combination of matter I • 1 474 Philosophy Pt. IV and reason, and reduces it to a fortuitously moved mechanism. This result not proving satisfactory, he begins yet again; this time regard- ing reason as the guiding principle of the combination; and finally reduces the universe and himself to an aimless and kaleidoscopic series of impressions, any one of which as valid as any other. If he tries to begin again at this point, however, he will fiind it impossible; at the starting point are to be found nothing but the abandoned wrecks of exhausted hypothesis; there is not a sea-worthy craft afloat. There is apparently nothing but matter and mind into which the Cosmos may be rationally resolved, and both of these have now been exhausted, with all their combinations. The reason is forced to accept the (fdciq fiXoy 0? of the Atomists on one side, or deny the possibility of rational speculation and ultimate Truth with the Sophists, on another. The ra- tional intelligence has no choice; it either accepts these positions or it does not: In either event, it ceases to act; the Reason here develops the scientific basis of its own negation for the first time, and can move no more. This movement of thought is carried on along lines almost parallel with the cycle that culminated in Atomism; the crisis occurs simultaneously in both physical and metaphysical speculation. Philosophy is dead. I' CHAPTER II ATTIC PHILOSOPHY Section I — Socrates. Section II — The Socratic Schools, Section III — Plato. Section IV — Aristotle. Section V — Epicurus. Section VI — Zeno, the Stoic. Section VII — Pyrrho. Section I — Socrates TO OPEN a new era in thought at this period seems impossible. The rational thinker knows that intellectual movement has ceased, and sinks into a fatalistic materialism with Democritus or abandons inquiry with Protagoras. Atomism or Skep- ticism: there is nothing else. To open a new era requires the shaking of the foimdations of these fortresses; it requires what might be called a speculative earthquake. To shake men's confidence in accepted opinion is the work of a t)n*o, and merely intensifies Skepticism: to shake men's confidence in scientifically reasoned Skepticism is the work of an intel- lectual giant such as the world has seldom seen. The giant appeared; his name was Socrates. The trained speculative intellect, in meeting a system of thought, wastes no time in contemplation of superstructure until it has examined the foundations upon which these are reared. It sinks at once to the underlying sources from which conclusions are derived; in other words, to the theory of knowledge lying at the base of rational thought. This is the point at which the equipped inquirer concentrates attention at once. The Atomists based their knowledge upon impressions derived from nature through the senses; the Sophists regarded knowledge as limited to individual opinion. In the Theaetetus, Socrates formulates and ana- lyzes these and all other then existing conceptions of knowledge under the following headings: I. Sense Perception. II. True Opinion. 475 i ii t I \ 476 Philosophy Pt. IV if m. True Opinion, with rational explanation by means of: a. Speech p. Description through Elements y. Relative Distinction. I. Sense Perception. ITavTa x<»>pei, "all things move," say the Atom- ists and the Sophists with Heraclitus. All things are in a state of flux; and there is no knowledge other than human knowledge. Again, human knowledge and opinion present infinite degrees of difference and, conse- quently, that which appears to each is to each. Thus knowledge is merely that which each man perceives, and, therefore, the sense perception of the individual must be regarded as knowledge and as the measure of all things. "But," says Socrates,* adopting the same point of departure, Tcavra Xwpet, "all things move," means literally that all things are always mov- ing with all kinds of motion. Thus the individual percipient subject, or man, must be regarded with all things else as always moving with all kinds of motion. Those, therefore, who regard man as the measure, will necessarily adopt a standard which itself is constantly changing; and, as it is impossible to measure anything with a constantly varying stand- ard, individual sense perception can never constitute the criterion of truth or real knowledge. n. True Opinion. The entire administration of the tribunals of justice refutes this position; says Socrates,^ for if those who administer those tribimals are regarded as doing so correctly, they can alone do so in accordance with the pleading and testimony of others, in connexion with things and events of which they themselves neither have, nor pre- tend to have, any personal knowledge. Their opinion, therefore, if true, can be nothing but the result of the testimony or the pursuasion of others. True opinion and Knowledge, therefore, may in no sense be regarded as identical. m. True Opinion with rational explanation.^ Three conceptions may be formed with reference to the meaning of the words "rational explana- tion." a. They may mean explanation or elaboration of a subject through the voice, or words, g, They may mean explanation of a thing through the elements of which it consists, or, f, through distinctions established in relation to other things. « TheaeUtus. 181-183. * Ibid., aox A. * Ibid, aox D, et 9tt^ Bk. IV Attic Philosophy 477 Speech: If speech is meant, nothing is added to the original concep- tion of true opinion; for all but the deaf and dumb are able to formulate their opinions through the medium of words; and means of articulate commimication, as the necessary conditions of its expression, can never be regarded as distinct from true opinion. Explanation through elements: If this is meant by explanation, a thorough knowledge of all elements is implied. But as things are infinite in number, and their elements consequently infinitely infinite, true opinion may in some cases be accompanied by knowledge of elements, in others not. This position, therefore, must be regarded as falling short of true knowledge. Relative distinctions: If relative distinctions are meant, if true opinion means the understanding of that which a thing has in common with others; but knowledge, as combining this true opinion with the per- ception of its particular and distinctive relations, nothing in reality is said; for the following reason. True opinion, itself, must imply familiarity with the characteristic attributes of an object; and such a qualification of true opinion as is represented in relative distinc- tions, as an adjunct to it, is redundant and meaningless; for no true opinion whatever could exist without necessarily involving such distinctions. Socrates, therefore, brings his investigation of the nature of Knowl- edge to a close with the following words: '^'It is utterly futile, in our search for Knowledge, to say that it is true opinion with knowledge of distinctions or anything else; for not in senses perception, O Theaetetus, nor in true opinion combined with rational explanation is Knowledge. . . . And does not our art in conse- quence declare that all the results of our efforts have turned out but windy futilities unworthy of being fostered." In the Theaetetus, and in other works, Socrates has demonstrated this statement to the last degree of refinement. Socrates asks the most momentous question of thought; a question never asked before and consequently never answered; what is Knowledge? In asking this question Socrates overthrows or undermines every existing theory with reference to it. This is the speculative earthquake which alone would introduce a new philosophic era. This is not Sophistry properly speak- ing; this, if the term is permissible, is the out sophisticization of Soph- istry on its own grounds. Sophistry denies the possibility of the discovery of ultimate Truth, or real Knowledge. Socrates denies the % 478 Philosophy Pt. IV validity of the denial; and undermines the theories of cognition upon which it is based. The rational thinkers, aground, so to say, on the islands of Atomism and Sophistry, find these positions established upon certain assumptions with reference to that which constitutes Knowledge; in other words, with reference to the nature of the action of their own faculties. These men not only find their assumptions challenged, but overthrown; they become either no longer tenable or require analysis and refonnulation. All thought is superficial until the theory of Knowledge upon which it is based^is determined. There is no more pregnant philosophic question than that for which Socrates stands in the history of thought. What is Knowledge? And, when it is distinctly shown that it must be something other than any conception yet formulated, its stimulating influence is irresistible. "Philosophy," says Socrates,^ "begins with wonder.** The man who could inspire men with wonder once more was the man who could revivify philosophy, and the way to make men wonder was to shake the foundations — not of their opinions, but of their doubts. To shake the foundations of opinion, creates skepticism; to shake the foun- dations of skepticism, creates wonder — that is, the beginnings of philos- ophy. It becomes necessary to establish a new theory of Knowledge or reformulate the old, if only to withstand the scrutiny of this unresting intellect. It becomes necessary to defend positions never before ques- tioned, and their mere defence requires dearer definition and conceptions; more exact statement, analysis, and classification. The mind of man begins to stir again; philosophy breathes the stimulating ether of new ideas; her eyes open in a new world; and the Reason moves once more. The intellectual pedigree of nearly all mental manifestations is usually easily traceable; the majority of intellectual phenomena may be clas- sified almost as easily as a familiar beetle or the commoner vertebrates. In attempting to do this with Socrates, however, the material presented for analysis is singularly illusive. Instead of the customary combination or variation of existing conceptions with its predetermined outcome, Socrates seems like an intellectual dynamo generating speculative momentum independently of surrounding influences. From the mind of Socrates sprang a speculative force at once destructive and generative; consuming, as it were, existing speculative theories in its path, yet, at the same time, radiating pregnant speculative ideas in all directions. Knowledge, Truth, the Good, Virtue, God, Justice, the Soul, Immor- 1 TheaeUtus, 155 D. Bk. IV Attic Philosophy 479 tality, the State, Law, the True, the Beautiful, Morals, Intuition, innate Ideas, Conscience, Definition, Genera. Are Virtue and Knowl- edge identical? Can Virtue be taught? And above all. Ethics and a self- conscious method of inquiry. Until the appearance of Socrates, men had devoted their efforts to the penetration of the depths of external nature; Socrates turned his efforts to the penetration of the depths which lay within himself. This is the key of Post-Socratic philosophy; the essen- tial distinction between earlier and later Hellenic thought. Socrates despaired^ of the results of speculation into the nature of the universe and dissuaded men from such inquiry; he regarded it as lying beyond the range of the human intelligence. On the other hand, he discovered a whole world of human nature never before studied, never explored; as Cicero says^ he brought philosophy down from the heavens to the earth. Aristotle,^ with his usual discrimination, points out Socrates' chief contribution to thought. It is a consciously formulated method of inquiry; a method which resolves itself into the establishment of generic conceptions and a process of inductive reasoning based upon these. The insuflSciency of earlier methods is made manifest; it seems as though the "ancients," as Aristotle calls them, had proceeded in a dream, unconscious not only of what they were doing, but of their very methods of procedure. At last, however. Philosophy's eyes are opened; she is now awake, as it were, and conscious of the course to be followed in future investigation. The good ship Reason finds herself once again provisioned for a promising voyage. She tugs at her chains of atoms and relativity; her sails swell with the freshening breeze. Socrates has done his work like a man, or rather like a god, and waves a smiling fare- well as he puts the hemlock to his lips. The good ship Reason stirs and moves and men study the stars once more. Section II — The Socratic Schools Article i — Introduction. Starting once more with a new speculative method at this point, com- pletes the fourth cycle of philosophic thought; four complete rings are here left behind which have produced nothing but Atomism and Skep- ticism. The Reason rejects these and begins again. * Phaedo, 96 C; Xenophon Jfem. I. i. p. 6.; IV. 7, p. 191. » Tusc. Disp. V. 4, P- 48. * Metaph. M.4, 1078 b 27. I, t t '! . 8 480 Philosophy Pt. IV Sii^ In a study of rational thought from this point, two facts should be borne in mind. First, philosophy now has a history behind it; intellect- ual processes have been formed, developed, and analyzed by men of the highest ability. With any given hypothesis, as a point of departiu-e, the necessary sequence of ideas through which a rational process must lead are now known. Second, two discoveries of the first importance have been made in the hitherto unknown seas of speculation. The rocks of materialistic Atomism, based on sense perception on one side; and the barren shoals of idealistic, subjective opinion on another. The philos- opher no longer sails his craft without a chart to guide him. He now has an exact knowledge of the situation of these rocks and barren shoals, two on one side, and two on another, which he must avoid if he wishes to get anywhere else. He has also a chart of the currents of thought which sweep resistlessly toward these islands. Once his ship is caught in any of these currents, the philosopher knows that he can never disentangle her, and that he must sooner or later find himself wrecked or stranded again. Speculative navigation is here becoming an exact science; the thinker no longer drones semi-consciously through unknown waters, but looks clearly at the seas, and the islands of rocks and shoals on either side. The master of a speculative vessel at present knows what he is doing, and lays his course with his eyes open. The Socratic convulsion in thought requires a thorough reorganiza- tion of existing schools and theories of knowledge. The first impression seems one of beijvilderment. Everything considered established is over- thrown; new problems are proposed, a new method of inquiry suggested, and its validity rationally demonstrated. The first question, therefore, is the relation of the old discoveries to the new. Philosophy is exact, specific, articulate, or ceases to be philosophy. As is inevitable in any great speculative discovery, such as a new method, the discovery will be available for a great variety of purposes. Some inquirers may think, after the first glamour has cleared, that the new method strengthens existing positions. Other inquirers will adopt a different point of view, and believe that none of the ideas scattered by Socrates with such prodigality had been properly analyzed and form- ulated. To these thinkers such words as Knowledge, the Good, Virtue offer new stimulus to thought. These are the men who leave the islands, go back to the starting-point, and form the crews and captains of new speculative expeditions. Socrates gathered all the elements of thought within himself and set them all free in different directions. He gathered Bk. IV Attic Philosophy 481 them, as it were, from an external objective nature and set them free, to use a simile of his own,i like a covey of doves within the human intellig- ence itself. He can think exactly as a Sophist; he knows the inner work- ings of the atomic intellect and shows the foimdations of both systems to be dubious to say the least. Inquiry from Thales to Protagoras had looked upon the "sum of things" as an external objective phenomenon, the riddle of which it was its object to cut open or lay bare, in order to discover its essential nature. The great discovery of Protagoras shows that such a process is impossible and inconceivable; and even were it possible or conceivable, it must of necessity involve formulation or expression within the limits of the subjective human intelligence. The object of all inquiry is the discovery of Truth, but since the days of Protagoras no rational mind will seek an objective truth; it will never look for the heavens to open and reveal themselves; in other words, it will look for truth where it knows truth can alone be found: within the content of its own consciousness. Thus, before Socrates, men had sought for truth in an analysis of the phenomena of external nature; after Socrates, men seek for truth in analysis of the phenomena of the reflecting human intellect. When this distinction is ignored, the mind reverts to Pre-Socratic methods and will be caught in already exploited processes. Post-Socratic thought, however, overlies and includes earlier inquiry. It may be said, that the words "The True," "The Good," and "Vir- tue," form the centres round which the three Socratic schools revolve. The Megarians turned their attention to a study of the first, the Cy- renaics to the second, and the Cynics to the third. Socrates in showing the superficiality of the finite end, or subjective opinion of the Sophists, put the rational and subjective investigation of Truth in its place. The Socratic Truth thus absorbs and transcends individual opinion. It becomes an objective Realty which exists within the hiunan conscious- ness; what is this Realty, this Socratic Truth, ask the Megarians. Article 2 — The Megarians. There are three sources from which the opinions of the Megarian school may be derived: Plato seems to refer to them in the Sophist, the Lives of Laertius, and Aristocles in Eusebius. The most suggestive passage is perhaps in the Life of Stilpo,^ in which he says: "Not that which I I 1 1 Theaetetus, 197 D. *LagrHus,U. xz, p.6z. 482 Phflosophy Pt. IV see before me is a vegetable, for a vegetable existed thousands of years ago; this object, therefore, which the sense perceives is not a vegetable." This is the key to the doctrine of the Megarians. The key to the under- standing of their answer to the question: What is the True? In the passage in Plato,* which apparently refers to the Megarians, he speaks of a school diametrically opposed to that of the materialists. This school seeks reality in "a superior and invisible region of purely ration- alized and incorporial forms," reducing all material phenomena to mere dust by their reasonings, and lending them but a perpetual process of change for arriving at that condition. Laertius^ says that Euclides, who formed the school of Megara, was a dose student of Parmenides; and Aristocles^ groups the Megarians with the Eleatics in the recognition of unity in true Being alone and the denial of the existence of anything else. The answer, therefore, given by the Megarians to the question. What is the True, is that the True consists in that generic abstraction in which all particulars are con- tained. To this generic conception alone can any real permanence, or existence, be accorded; for the particular, sensible forms from which such a conception is derived merely flow beneath the senses and vanish. It is, consequently, only as the mind forms and understands these generic groups that it is capable of coming in contact with Reality, or the True. The Megarians show the grafting of the Socratic conception of genera upon the earlier school of Elea. Article j — The Cyrenaics. Aristippus is the leader here; a clear mind and exact thinker. He seized upon the "Good" of Socrates and devoted his attention to its analysis. What is the "Good"? Since the days of Anaxagoras and the discovery of Protagoras, every philosophic concept must have a piupose; what then is the purpose of the "Good," as capable of being realized. Aristippus applies the ana- Ijrtic, subjective, principle of Protagoras to the synthetic, objective, "Good" of Socrates, and discovers that the "Good" can have no signifi- cance other than in relation to the individual human percipient. The " Good" of Socrates, therefore, like the Nous of Anaxagoras, must possess a finite purposive existence in the human mind. The " Good," conse- 1 Sophist, 346 B. Cf. Cousin. Oamts dc Platon, note to The Sophist,Wol XL, p. 5x7. Also Zeller Socrates and the SocraHc Schools, p. 318. * Euclides, II 10., p. 58. ' Eusebhis. Praep., Ev. XIV. 17. i. Bk. IV Attic Philosophy 483 quently, is definite and concrete; not indefinite and abstract as Socrates left it. This may seem but a return to the formless shoals of individual opinion, and such is practically the case. Aristotle^ groups Aristippus with the Sophists; but Aristippus, nevertheless, goes a step farther. He says the Sophists discovered the island of subjective opinion, but they did not develop a method of realizing the " Good. " This method, says Aristippus, 2 is as follows: Man is conscious of sensations which may be broadly classified as pleasurable or the reverse. The wise man in search of the " Good," therefore, will analyze these in relation to each other, and choose the most agreeable. This, says Aristippus is the " Good" — and Aristippus says no more. The Cyrenaics show the fusion of Socratic thought with Atomism and the subjective opinion of the Sophists. Article 4 — The Cynics. Virtue, say the Cynics, is the only good, and turn their attention to Virtue. This school presents little thought of importance. Aristotle,* who misses nothing of interest in earlier thought, pays little attention to the Cynics. Here is another phase of the many sided Socrates. His abstemiousness and self-control are seized upon by certain minds with a leaning toward aceticism, and in this way, the avoidance of pleasure and the comforts of existence is laboriously identified with Virtue. The great majority of the followers of Socrates was intellectually incapable of understanding him in any comprehensive sense, with the result that each one took what small portion each was able to seize and carry, and proceeded to graft it upon the established systems. Socrates had boldly attacked these. The Post-Socratic schools are startled into thought for a moment, and then begin to sink helplessly back into the old channels and currents. Section III-— Plato As the True, the Good, and Virtue are analyzed with the later Socratic thinkers, it seems as though an iridescent bubble had swelled until it burst. It seems as though these later expeditions, although they had steered clear of the islands for a time, were not far upon their journey. A few more questions, a few more answers, strong currents will set in, >i il 1 Metaph. B. 2, 896 a 33. « Laertius, II. 8, p. 53. ^ Metaph. A. 29, 1024 b 3s. 484 Philosophy Pt. IV l: and it will be but a question of time until the rocks of Atomism or the shoals of Sophistry appear once more. But the most important question of all those asked by Socrates has not yet been studied. The great question, that upon which all others depend, and from which all others must be answered; the question: What is Knowledge? The mind of Socrates was capable of embracing and containing all that preceded him in thought. It holds the Eleatic metaphysicians through the Megarians, the subjective idea of the Soph- ists through Aristippus and the Cynics. Without the Socratic schools, it would have been impossible to gather preexisting systems, focus them at one point with Socrates, formulate their positions and establish the basis of supplies and point of departure of the greatest voyage that ever sailed the speculative seas: the voyage of Attic philosophy, which not only moved with the impetus gained with the concentration of previous thought; but which, it may well seem, has swept the seas clean for those who came after. The mind of Socrates was the focus in which earlier thought centred and from which the new expedition sets out; the minds of Plato and Aristotle were the directing forces. "The universal objective reason," says Erdmann,^ "which Anaxagoras had meant (or at least included) in his vou<;, has by the moral genius of Socrates become subjective in him (the 5v6p(i>xo(; of Protagoras) ; so that when he consults his own genius, the deity answers in it, when he follows his own pleasure, reason is followed. Thus he stands above Anaxagoras and Protagoras as their higher unity." . . . "The Megarians had shown how much room there was for Eleatic metaphysics in the Socratic doctrine; Aristippus had indicated its points of contact with Protagoras, and hence with the physics of Heraclitus and the Atomists; finally Antisthenes had proved the possibility of being an adherent of Socrates, and yet remaining a dialectician after the fashion of Gorgias trained by Zeno and Empedocles. None of these facts were forgotten, and at the same time the last of the pre-Sophistic views of the world, that of the Pythagoreans, is consciously incorporated with Socratism. The repre- sentative of this Socratism thus apprehended from every side, is Plato; and it is no accident that he connects all his inquiries with the person of Socrates, in whom philosophy had become personal." This is the complete, comprehensive Socrates; no longer the Socrates left behind with the hemlock in his hand. This is the Socrates analyzed from every side, studied in every relation to preceding thought; the >VoLL,p.94. Bk. IV Attic Philosophy 48s Socrates fully "determined" in the philosophic sense. The first Socrates asks the question what is Knowledge? The second Socrates, or Plato, answers it, and from this question and answer starts the human Reason once again for her fifth voyage. In order to understand Plato's answer to this question, it is essential to bear in mind the exact condition of speculative thought of that day. The importance of the Protagorean discovery of the subjectivity of knowledge cannot be overstated; considerations advanced from other points of view possess no interest for a philosopher from this time on: he has under- mined the foundations of other positions. On the other side Democ- ritus and his followers had analyzed matter by means of reason based upon sense perception. A man who understands the perfect rationality of pure Atomism must be reached through the action of reason based upon something other than sense perception; he has exhausted the pos. sibilities of reason based upon sense. The man who can command a philosophic expedition from this point must understand the exact position of these rocks and shoals and know the precise situation, direc- tion, and strength of every current in the seas. Knowledge, say the Sophists, is individual opinion. Knowledge, say the Atomists, is sense perception. Socrates in the Theaetetus says that Knowledge is nothing of the kind. The philosophers study his position, formulate it in relation to their own, and find material for new inquiry. The Reason is at last prepared for a new voyage; she has merely been putting about so far in order to gather the philosophers for a serious expedition. Plato is the heir of Socrates and is put in command. The Reason gets under way. The Sophists ask Plato the great question first. "What, they say, is Knowledge?" "Knowledge," says Plato, "is subjective." The philosophers breathe a sigh of relief; they know they are really ofiF at last. "But," Plato continues, "Opinion is not Knowledge. There is deeper subjective Knowledge within man's soul than mere individual opinion. For," he continues, "the lovers of true wisdom know that philosophy, taking the soul under its care, a prisoner in the body, as it were, and fast bound therein, compelled to look upon the world as through a dungeon and not freely and independently, but steeped in utter ignorance, perceive that the strength of the prison is foimded in the souls' own desires; that the prisoner ever tightens his own bonds. The lovers of wisdom, I say, know that philosophy, receiving the soul in this condition, talks to her gently and quietly and tries to set her free; It' I.. ;; kt 486 Philosophy Pt. IV tells her that the perception of the eyes is full of illusion, as is that of the ear and the other senses; and advises her to depend upon these as little as possible, persuading her to gather and concentrate herself within herself, to put her faith in nothing but herself, and in that portion alone of her being, in and by itself, which she can grasp and understand in and by herself; and to regard as \mtrue that which she learns by other means which vary with varying conditions. Such things are indeed tangible and obvious, but that which she herself perceives is in thought and pure reason, and without bodily form. Real wisdom, true knowledge," says Plato, **lies within each man's own soul; but it must be sought thought- fully and earnestly. Here within us; within the inmost depths of our own being; lie the elements of truth; the essences of all worthy the eflFort of those who seek to know." Thought begins its history with the vague idea of the existence of some cosmic Reality, or Truth, to be discovered through the observation of external nature; it resolves this conception into the objective Reason of Anaxagoras, and thence into subjective opinion with Protagoras. It thus seems to have sought something which had no existence. It dis- covers a cloud to be a butterfly, and a butterfly but that which any one might happen to think it. This is the ''enlightenment" of the Sophist; the cloud drifts by, the butterfly is dissected and thrown away but nothing remains. This enlightenment is that of utter instability and the cloud rises upon an empty farce. Thought examines and rejects this position with Socrates, and Knowledge, after being analyzed from an objective cloud into subjective opinion, again becomes objective within the human consciousness itself. Thought here finds once more *'the question, the wonder and the doubt" of the true philosopher: a whole world unexplored; the world that lies within. Plato is in full command of the ship. The breeze freshens and the low-lying shoals of the island of Sophistry disappear behind her wake. The speculative seas, however, are treacherous; the most promising expedition may suddenly find itself becalmed or drawn into winds and currents which render further progress impossible; and this, perhaps, when all may seem most favourable. The Reason is well under way, the shoals of Subjectivety are disappearing astern; but there is another island to be cleared. The black rocks of Atomism loom over the horizoa and the winds and ourents seem drawing in that direction. The philos- ophers begin to watch the rocks. Plato knows what the next question must be. The ship is beginning to drift; the question must be answered. Bk. IV Attic Philosophy 487 The question is: If knowledge lies within, whence is that knowledge derived? The rocks of sense perception seem strangely near. But Plato knows the rocks, and the currents. He says: "This knowledge is based upon ideas which are not derived through the senses; but which each individual may discover within the elements of his own conscious- Philosophers are sensitive to the way of a ship on the speculative ness. seas. They know that the Reason is here suddenly caught in a strong current sweeping her back toward the island of Sophistry; because, if these ideas are not derived through the senses, they must be implanted within each mind at birth. If they are implanted at birth, they must either be identical or different in all individuals. If identical, all men will think alike. But all men do not think alike. Therefore, Knowl- edge based upon these innate ideas must eventually resolve itself into nothing but mere individual opinion as before. But Plato knows this perfectly and continues: "These ideas of which I speak are not implanted within the soul at birth; the human soul is immortal; but how may true immortality be conceived other than as existence extended throughout a limitless past, as well as throughout a limitless future? The soul which thinks and lives within each man on earth; the soul which constitutes in each of us our own true being, is derived from that absolute and immortal Being within which all wisdom and knowledge is contained. The soul of man, passing its transitory existence here below, comes from absolute Exis- tence which knows neither beginning nor end. From this Existence, then, are these ideas derived. In the reminiscence, or recollection, of a higher Knowledge, inherited from man's immortal nature must the ele- ments of true earthly knowledge be discovered. The human soul not only lives and shall live, but always has lived; the purest sources of thought, welling spontaneously within, have been engendered in another and a higher life. In this thought, in these ideas, which constitute the generic conceptions of the phenomenal world, we may find glimpses of the Truth. These ideas are the elements of Knowledge. They form the universals within which all particulars are contained; the permanent existences imderlying the changeable material of phenomenal nature; and thus constitute the essentials of real knowledge. By reasoning from these universals, these generic conceptions of the phenomenal, to still higher conceptions, from generalization to higher syntheses, may man obtain an insight into truth; the Truth within which all truths are con- tained; the Truth of the One the Absolute, the Beautiful, the Good. * • 488 Philosophy Pt. IV Within us," says Plato, to the Sophists, *' within the elements of each man's own soul, lie the objective, or eternal, elements of knowledge, and in the rational analysis and combinations of these," he says turning to the Atomists, ''lies Knowledge." **Man," says Plato, "sees with his Reason and not with his eyes."^ The Platonic theory of Knowledge is a suggestive conception. The philosophers grow conscious of a breath of genius; the Reason swings up into the wind, frees herself from the eddies of Subjectivity, and bears away from the rocks of Atomism. She is really cleared at last. The rocks and the shoals sink below the horizon astern. The Reason lifts with the swell of deep waters and steers for the open sea. Soft skies smile down invitingly and the gods seem strangely near. The man at the lookout reports land in sight. "The land," says Plato, "is the land of Knowledge: the land of the Good, the Beautiful, the True." One of the philosophers goes forward to see for himself. He is a man with exact, clean-cut features. He reports no land in sight; he says it was an illusion; and adds, moreover, that the ship will never make land in the direction in which she is heading. All is attention. No man makes a statement on the Reason which he is not ready to support against all comers. This man's name is Aristotle. The philosophers listen. Section IV — Aristotle I. "Plato," says Aristotle, "is attempting to reach knowledge by means of a theory and method of inquiry based upon the existence of abstract, general conceptions, within which the particulars of the phenom- enal world are contained. A thing must exist either objectively or sub- jectively. If these general, or universal, ideas of Plato are conceived as existing objectively, either within or without the human consciousness, this method and theory wiQ be involving inquiry in a hopeless and unnec- essary confusion for the following reasons. The essence and condition of the typical, or general, conception is classification. When we reduce particular, sensible phenomena to rational, typical conceptions we classify them; we separate and classify a particular thing within a 1 Plato's theory of knowledge runs through his entire works. As the sources of the above summary, the following passages may be cited. Phaedo 72-75. 82, 83, 91. 92, Meno 81-86, Laws 732. Timeus 36. Craty' lus 440. Republic X, 596, 611. Pkaedrus 249. 250. The statement that man see with his reason and not with his eyes, is suggested by Plato's remark in Laertius' Life of Diogenes the Cynic (VI. 2. p. 14S). When the latter said that he could see the table and the cup, but not their generic conceptions; Plato replied, " Because you have eyes to see the first, but not intellect to see the other." Bk. IV Attic Philosophy 439 general conception. These general conceptions, Plato tells us, are the only Realities. Owning to the constant flux and change in which all sensible phenomena are involved, these generalities, Plato would have us believe, are the permanent elements in things with which alone pure knowledge must concern itself. It must be remembered, however, that any given particular may be embraced within a great number of abstract generalizations. Thus the particular Socrates may be classified under the general conceptions of man, biped, animal, philosopher, statesmani soldier, and so forth; and, in attempting to reach knowledge in the analy- sis of these abstractions alone, we are involving inquiry in a confusion which can lead to nothing but the profitless increase in the number of abstract generalizations. Again, it must be rememberd that these t3rpical ideas will refer to types as well as to things — that is, they will be particulars and generals at the same time. The use of this method," says Aristotle, "is as though, in attempting to solve an arithmetical problem, we began our calculations by increasing the numbers with which we have to deal by way of simplification." II. "But," continues Aristotle, "these abstractions of Plato have no rationally conceivable objective existence, either within or without the human consciousness, for the following reasons. These ideas neither are, can be, nor pretend to be anything but the expression of the relation existing between particular things and general conceptions; and the relation between two things can possess no conceivable existence, except within the consciousness of the finite, percipient subject. These Pla- tonic generalizations, therefore, are subjective; in the exact, and limited interpretation of the word, and subjective alone. Nor is their existence possible under any other condition; for how," asks Aristotle, "can the subject form any conception of the relation between particulars and the categories within which these are contained, except through the study of particulars? And how," he asks again, "may the study of particulars be profitably carried on by the human subject in any way other than in the study of the natiu*al phenomenal world as revealed to us through the observation of the senses? III. "Heraclitus has shown, however," Aristotle continues, "that all phenomena falls under the observation of the senses in a never-ceasing condition of change; but the science of things in constant flux can have no existence. If, therefore, knowledge, or science, can exist at all, it can exist but in the systematized study of the permanent elements under- lying sensible phenomena. These elements of knowledge, therefore, t t li . \ 490 Philosophy Pt. IV must exist in a state of pennanence, independently of direct and immedi- ate sense perception. These permanent elements are discoverable only through a systematic method of observation, and inquiry based upon rational induction; or a process of reasoning from particulars, directly perceived through sense impression, to rationally fonnulated generaliza- tions based upon these. By this means, and by this means alone, can we lay the foundations of true Science and Method; and Science, and Method begin," says Aristotle, "when, from many conceptions derived from experience, one imiversal conception is evolved which will embrace all similiar cases. Reminiscence is essential in the search for knowledge, but the search for knowledge can never be effectively carried on through any method based upon any reminiscence other than that of previous experience gained by the patient observation and classification of the phenomena of nature; as revealed to man through the intelligent use of his sentient, percipient faculties. IV. "The general conceptions so derived, however; these perma- nent elements of things, are not implanted within the individual consciousness at birth; neither are they reminiscences of a previous existence, nor direct sense impressions. They are, on the contrary, rational, subjective conceptions, developed within the mind itself; but derived from, and entirely dependent upon, the contact of the reason with external nature through the systematic observation of the senses. "This," says Aristotle, "is the path of true Knowledge; the path of comparative analysis, inductive reasoning, and experimental verification of the positions so derived; the path which leads through careful obser- vation of nature, patient research and experiment from particular truths to truths of ever-widening application and of ever-deepening significance. It is a very astonishing thing," he concludes, "if we were indeed blest with such a congenital knowledge of things, as Plato suggests, that we nevertheless, should be totally unconscious of the possession of such a rare and priceless treasure. Man," says Aristotle, "sees with his eyes first; and with his reason afterward."* It may be said in brief that Aristotie seized the indefinite, objective, idealistic abstraction of Plato, based upon reminiscence of previous existence; seized it in the psychical ether, as it were, and, by a masterly 1 The above is a brief analysis of Aristotle's refuUtion of the Platonic Theory of knowledge and die •stablishment of his own. It is derived from all his writings; the following passages may be specifically cited: Metaph. A. i, 981 a 1; A. 9, 992, 993; B. i, 996 a 6; B. 6, 1003 a 7; Z. 16, 1040 b a$; if. 4, 5, 9; Analyt Post., A. 13, 81. Bk. IV Attic Philosophy 491 metaphysical tour de force, turned it into a definite, subjective, idealistic abstraction, based upon experience. There are no artificial distinctions of rank on the Reason; the man commands her who can. Aristotle is at the helm. The mists thought to be land clear away, and Aristotle lays the new course. The philosophers begin to analyze matter in the laboratory instead of in their minds as before; and the foundations of the experi- mental sciences are laid. Definition, induction, and experimental verification of impressions derived from the observation of nature, are the means Aristotle offers for the attainment of knowledge; the stars, by which he lays the new course. The good ship Reason speeds onward, the hand at the helm is steady; and the seas stretch ever ahead. The philosophers analyze and generalize, and each new discovery opens up the possibility of other new discoveries lying still beyond; they analyze and define these only to find other material for newer discoveries ever forming in the mind. The promised land of Knowledge seems far; the seas stretch away, and the course of the Reason opens up ever- widening and ever-receding horizons of inductive generalizations of which there appears no end. Month after month goes by, year after year, and they seem no nearer Knowledge than before; an endless sky spreads ever above and an endless sea beneath. The philosophers begin to ask where they are going? How they may know whether they were going anywhere or not? Time flows by, the horizons recede; new horizons take their place only to fade and recede in turn. The phi- losophers grow weary. The hand at the helm is steady, but the hand grows rigid and cold, the eye grows glazed and motionless — and the philosophers know that Aristotle can see no farther. He takes them out on all endless voyage on a shoreless sea and leaves them there. The philosophers find they are realizing nothing. The Aristotelian method discovers nothing but the possibilities of new discoveries through a never-ending series of generalizations. The object of Philosophy is determination, realization. A man enters the field of rationalized research, not for the sake of the research, but for what the research is capable of realizing. Definite self-realization is the goal of philos- ophy; and a never-ending process of ratiocination realizes nothing. The philosophers grow impatient. They ask what is this Knowledge they seek so helplessly? In what is it contained? How may it be deter- 492 Philosophy Pt. IV mined? How realized? What means have they of distinguishing be- tween knowledge and something other than knowledge? An endless sea of glittering generalizations is all that Aristotle offers; but, what means, they ask, have they of knowing whether these generalities, or anything else for that matter, constitute true knowledge? How shall they know that they know? What is the criterion of knowledge? To what may it be referred? The philosophers ponder; Aristotle had never paid any attention to this question. He had assumed that rational generalizations based upon systematic analysis of sense experience, constituted knowledge. This assumption, however, simply leads through boundless seas of widen- ing abstractions. The question arises how must knowledge be imder- stood and determined. If knowledge does not exist, further speculation is useless; if it does exist, where and how does it exist? An endlessly self-perpetuating series of generalizations is certainly not knowledge in its philosophic sense. What then is knowledge? What is the criterion of Truth? To refer this criterion with Aristotle to sense and reason is no longer possible; this method has no end. Sense and reason combined merely multiply the possibilities of abstract conceptions. The philosophers have learned that the voyage of the Reason can last forever upon this assumption and take them nowhere. What then is the criterion of Truth? This is a vital question; a critical position in every voyage of specu- lative discovery. Men who take the trouble to man the Reason know the course that lies in her wake. They will pay no attentioij to any objective criterion of Knowledge, Truth, Reason or anything else; these men have left the shoals of subjective opinion behind them. They them- selves, therefore, must be able to grasp the criterion they seek, or it can have no existence so far as they are concerned. These men begin to realize that the human being is in possession of but three conceivable modes of rational perception: Sense, Reason or their combination. They have exhausted the possibilities of their combination with the followers of Heraclitus and Aristotle. They thus begin to perceive that the criterion of Truth must lie in sense or reason; not in their combina- tion. It can lie in nothing else because there is apparently nothing else within the rational content of the human consciousness. An endless sea of generalities is of slight interest to the philosopher on reaching this point. He is weary of the seas and wants to reach land; let it be where Bk. IV Attic Philosophy 493 it may. The nlame of the man who answers this important question h Epicurus; the philosophers listen. Section V — Epicurus **Reason and sense combined," says Epicurus, "are taking us no- where; they mean but a glassy sea of mental abstractions. The real criterion of truth can never be found in this way; it must lie either in reason or in sense; not in their combination. But we have already exhausted the possibilities of metaphysical reason with Pythagoras, the Eleatics, and Plato; and they developed nothing tangible. The definite criterion of Truth and Reality, therefore, must lie in the perceptions and affections of the senses. ^ For the senses are devoid of all reason and incapable of receiving impressions from memory. They cannot cause motion of themselves, nor increase nor diminish the impressions they receive from external sources. They lie beyond control; for the similar cannot judge the similar, being of equal value; nor the dissimilar, for they possess different criteria; nor, in fact, can any sensation judge of an- other, for they all influence us at the same time. The reason again can- not judge of the senses; for all reason depends upon these. The truth of the senses is established by the reality of their perceptions; for sight and hearing are as real to us as pain. It follows from these considera- tions that we should judge of the unknown by that which is evident— that is, the perceptions of the senses. "The criterion of Truth, then," says Epicurus, " is sense perception." "Man," says Epicurus, "sees with his eyes and nothing else." Epi- curus is at the helm and lays the course as follows :2 "The universe is body, or matter; for that bodies exist the senses everywhere testify; and, as previously pointed out, the senses should decide everything not directly evident. Other\\dse if there were no such thing as what we call the void, or empty space, there would be nothing in which bodies could be contained, or across which they could move as we see them move in reality. ... Of bodies, some are combinations and some the ele- ments from which these combinations are formed. These last are indivisible and unchangeable; otherwise all things would eventually be resolved into non-existence. But these elements persist independently of the flux and change of all combined bodies; they are complete in themselves and thus offer no opportunity for natural dissolution. It » LaSrtius X. 20, p. 262. « Ibid. 24, pp. 263, 264. 494 Philosophy Pt. IV a >t iM iifi follows necessarily, therefore, that the elements of things must be in- divisible atoms. ... We must remember^ also that images are produced simultaneously with perception; for images are con- stantly being thrown off from the surfaces of bodies and as constantly replaced." The philosophers hear the grating of the keel of the Reason as she strikes a shore at last. Epicurus has here discovered another island in the philosophic seas; and the island is of the same geological forma- tion as that of Diogenes and Democritus; but not the same island. This island is larger and stronger than the others. It has been dis- covered through the minds of Plato and Aristotle; and is the island of sense perception as the ultimate criterion of all himaan knowledge; in a imiverse of atoms, space, and motion, and nothing else. The philos- ophers know that the Reason here ends her voyage; she will never sail again. No speculative expedition can be fitted out on this island, it contains no chart of the seas, and the star to the north leads nowhere. The philosophers walk ashore and watch the Reason as she pounds to pieces on the rocks. Few figures in the history of thought have been so misimderstood as Epicurus. His was a lucid intelligence. He perfectly understood Plato and Aristotle, and knew that one could only paint pictures of knowledge, and the other but offer an endless series of ever-receding hori- zons. Epicurus was a true philosopher; he sought realization, not abstractions; he wanted facts, not pictures; and he discovered the great rockbound island of subjective sense perception as the only criterion of Truth. This is the end of the fifth voyage of speculative inquiry. The philos- opher must either stay with Epicurus on this island of matter and sense perception, or go back to the beginning and start once more. If he stays here, he accepts a purely materialistic and mechanical conception of man and the Universe. Epicurus reproduces the tfuaiq aXovo? of Democritus. He does so, however, more convincingly, if possible, for the reason that the Atomism of this period has been developed with the experience of the greatest thought of the world behind it. Escape from it is no longer possible through the subjective thought of Plato and Aristotle. The world, however, refused to accept the position of Epicurus and began again; completing the fifth cycle of philosophic speculation. This * Ibid., p. 365. Bk. IV Attic Philosophy 49S cycle extends trom Socrates to Epicurus; from about the 80th Olympiad (460 B. C.) to the final breaking up of Hellenic thought. Section VI— Zeno, the Stoic Another voyage of inquiry can evidently only follow Plato and Aristotle. They took the Reason number five farther than any one else; and, consequently, the Reason number six has but to follow in her wake until in the neighbourhood of the Atomic rocks, and then sail on a voyage of her own. Here, then, the inevitable question is asked once more: What is the criterion of Truth? Where is it found? "In sense," says one of the philosophers. The rocks loom ahead, down goes the helm, and the ship is saved. However this does not answer the question; and the Reason number six is now drifting helplessly about in a shoreless sea with rocks in the oflSng. What is the criterion of Truth? It is obvious, at this point, that the answer cannot be found in the abstract Reason of Plato, the combi- nation of Sense and Reason of Aristotle nor in the pure Sense of Epicurus. There is only one conceivable answer which will not reproduce the exhausted possibHities of these positions. The Stoics gave the answer and attempt to maintain it throughout a long process of by no means mspirmg ratiocination, in which they are constantly reproducing dif- ferent phases of long-exploited hypotheses. Laertius and Sextus present this answer in its simplest form. The criterion of Truth, say the Stoics IS found in what they caUed the Cataleptic Phantasm, or sensuous apprehension.! This conception of knowledge they compared to the unpress left upon wax by a seal;2 Knowledge, therefore, say the btoics, IS the modification of the consciousness through sense perception This conception of knowledge is tantamount to saying what was the only possible thing to say at this juncture in inquiry; namely, that man sees with his eyes and his reason at the same time. This is the theory of knowledge of the founders of the Stoical school- Zeno, Crysippus, Cleanthes, and others. Their thought reveals a strong theological bias; these men are, properly speaking, out of place m philosophy. They begin to differ among themselves as soon as they attempt to develop their positions; and an analysis of ahnost any of th ese shows them constantly reverting to the exhausted theories > Sextus, Adv. Math. VH. 253. •Lagrtius. VII. i, 35. 4 496 PhUosophy Pt. IV Bk. IV Attic Philosophy 497 of Plato and Aristotle in order to avoid Skepticism and the Atomism of Epicurus. The Atomists attack them on one side; the Skeptics on another; and the Stoics in their struggles are forever sUpping and tripping over exploited hypothesis no longer possessing significance in rational thought. The only position of philosophic interest presented by the Stoics is this conception of knoweldge, or, the criterion of Truth, as contained simultaneously in sense perception and rational appre- hension: the instant they move from this position they begin to repeat exhausted theories. Attention, therefore, may be concentrated upon this one position of the Stoics, if progress is desired, for no other position but Atomism interests the philosopher at this point. Knowledge, then, say Zeno and Crysippus, is the modification of the soul which occurs the instant it perceives anything; and this si- multaneous physical and psychical apprehension, or catalepsis, is the criterion of Truth. This is the way the Stoics steer the ship of Reason away from the neighbourhood of the rocks of sense perception. This position is mteresting and ingenious as the only conceivable theory of knowledge not fully exploited. However a question arises. Why should simultaneous sense perception and psychical apprehension necessarily be any better criterion of Truth than these regarded, either separately, or in any non-simultaneous combination? Why, if the wine of external nature is poured mto the pure water of the soul, through the perception of the senses, should their combination at the moment of mmgling be any nearer reaUty than the wine alone, the water alone, or their combination at any time other than that of their blending? More- over, the wine modifies the water of the soul, as the seal the wax; but is not the wine modified as weU, as far as the soul is concerned? The water reddens with the wine. But does not the wine grow paler? What reason then is there to regard this sensuous apprehension of the Stoics as the criterion of ReaUty? To what may it be referred for justifi- cation? If to sense, the rapidly forming currents sweep back to Atom- ism, n to any phase of reason, either alone or combined with sense, abandoned theories reappear. The philosophers state these considera- tions to Zeno and ask him how, by means of his criterion of Truth, may true and false impressions be distinguished. "This is very simple," says Zeno, "we distinguish them by separating those impressions which we perceive to be fallacious from others which we recognize as presenting a real object as it really is." ^ iSextus. Adv. Math. VII. 244; Laertius. VII. 36. 37: Zeller. Stoics and Epicureans, p. 86. The philosophers are bewildered; however, they ask him hopefully if he will explain what reason he has for believing that his criterion itself is true — that is, capable of establishing a real thing as it really is. Zeno says that this involves no difficulty; and explaios the process as follows: "This criterion is true for the following reasons: We possess within us the power of judgment and assent, just as we possess the power of willing; these impressions, which we call cataleptic, are those which, through their irresistible nature, command the assent of the judgment. These cataleptic impressions, consequently, are obviously true; for the reason that they command the assent of the judgment. Our cri- terion is true, therefore, because we believe it to be true; in other words, it is true because — because it is true." And so on and on and on throughout all the pages of Stoical ratiocination; which it is unessential to develop at length. ^ The philosophers perceive with regret that they must look elsewhere for some one to lay the course of the ship; she is beginning to drift help- lessly round in rings; or she finds herself sailing along famously for a time through waters long since traversed in which she had never found a port. Section Vn — Pyrrho One of the philosophers takes the helm from Zeno and begins — but why go on? Any man who has ever sailed the philosophic seas knows his reckoning to the fraction of a second at this point; he knows that there is but one thing left for the human reason to do, and exactly what that thing is. All that is needed is to open Sextus Empiricus and re-read the passages cited with reference to Protagoras and Gorgias, and it will be seen that the rational processes which applied at an earlier period to the Nous of Anaxagoras, apply once more with mathematical precision to the criterion of Truth of a later day. As Zeller^ points out, there is an intellectual process through which the Reason must move with reference to the subjective criterion of Truth, analogous to that through which it moved with reference to the objective Nous, or Reason, of Pre-Socratic thought. In other words, when the subjective prin- ciple of Protagoras is applied to the objective Nous of Anaxagoras, it * LaCrtius. Zeno. Sextus. Adv. Log. Vlll. 397. ' Cicero Acad. I., 11. Zeller, Stoics and Epicureans p. 89. Lewes History of Philosophy, p. 288, et seq. > Pre-Socratic Philosophy. Vol. II. , P.S40Z. Note z. 498 Philosophy Pt. IV It becomes evident that there is no such thing; and that Reason, or Intel- ligence, can be rationally conceived as individual, human opinion alone. Now, this same subjective principle applied to the criterion of truth, however conceived, whether as the generic, rationalized abstraction of Plato, the experimental generalization of Aristotle, the sense perception of Epicurus, the cataleptic apprehension of the Stoics, or these in any combination, shows that there is no such thing as a criterion of truth; and that all rationally conceivable truth must be resolvable once more into the opinion of the individual human subject: in other words, into an indefinite series of finite relations. . And here it may be seen that subjective, Post-Socratic thought is essentially nothing but a repetition of the processes of objective, Pre- Socratic thought. Thales begins the first era with the question: What is the objective world? Socrates begins the second era with the ques- tion: What is the subjective worid? All the answers evolved in the first era culminate in Atomism and Skepticism. In the second era Plato reproduces the ultra-sensible ratiocination of the Eleatics, Aris- totle reformulates the psycho-physical method of Anaxagoras, in a subjective presentation of the objective Reason. Epicurus redevelops the sense-perception of Democritus, which resolves itself once more into Atomism, while the Skeptics repeat the subjective conceptions of Gorgias and Protagoras. Post-Socratic thought is a repetition of the rings of Pre-Socratic thought, devoted to subjective instead of to objective analysis, and culminates in identically the same positions — Atomism and Skepticism. The rational mind at this point in inquiry has no resource but to begin to repeat the mental processes akeady developed by the Sophists: to recognize the fact that there is no criterion of truth, and that the attitude known as the suspension of judgment is the only rational one. Pyrrho dominates the only thought there is at this period of specula- tion. He left no writings, but his position and that of his followers, the later Skeptics, may be formulated from the pages of Sextus^ andLaertius.* The Five Skeptical Modes of Doubt, or Suspension of Judgment. L Contradiction II. Progression to Infinity. III. The Criss- CrosSy or Vicious Circle. IV. Hypothesis. V. Relativity. I. Co ntradiction. The fact that different contradictory opinions « Pyrrh. Hypot. 1. 164. * IX. 2. xa Bk. IV Attic Philosophy 499 are everywhere found, both in conventional life and philosophic thought, naturally leads to Doubt, or suspension of judgment. If certain opinions among these contraries are selected as true, the validity of the choice must be demonstrated, and the second mode of suspension appears. n. Progression to Infinity. Every proof offered in demonstration of an opinion requires demonstration itself or remains without value as proof. Thus every proof urged requires another proof, which must lead to an endless series or culminate in a position without support; that is, in the suspension of judgment. The dogmatist may attempt to avoid the progression to infinity by means of demonstrating the rational by the sensible, or vice- versa; in this case, we meet the third mode of suspension. III. The CrisS'CrosSj or Vicious Circle. The dogmatist who proves a mental conception by means of an appeal to the evidence of the senses must next proceed to demonstrate the validity of the sense impression. If he does this by means of a proof derived from sense, he falls into the endless progression. If he demonstrates it by means of another mental conception, he begins to move in a circle, or to demonstrate by means of that which requires demonstration. The dogmatist may then assume the existence of an established or universal truth; that is, one which requires no demonstration. In this case we meet the fourth mode of suspension. IV. Hypothesis. The assumption, as a means of demonstration, of an undemonstrated hypothesis is rationally imtenable; for that position to which all others are to be referred is in peculiar need of support. But although such an assumption is admitted, it is obviously without application as a means of demonstration; for it may be balanced with an opposed hypothetical assumption of identical value; posited through the same right of arbitrary adoption. The dogmatist may then present the only remaining position. He may choose to regard his hypothetical assumption as self-evident, and decline either to sup- port it with other evidence or to admit the possibility of an opposed hypothesis. Dogma can go no farther; this is its last resource. This case, where demonstration and the possibility of contradiction are denied, presents the fifth mode of suspension. V. Relativity.. Every mental conception can exist but in relation to sensible objects or to other mental conceptions. Every impression derived through the senses can exist alone in relation to object or sub- ject. Independently of such relations neither mental conception nor Soo Philosophy Pt. IV Bk. IV Attic Philosophy SOI \\i '^ sense impression is conceivable or capable of being perceived; for their conception or perception implies a subject and an object; that is, a relation. The result is that every position adopted, whether sensible or intelligible, must imply a relation to something else, and, consequently, take its place in a series of relations in which the independently and arbitrarily absolute can play no part; no criterion of truth is therefore p>ossible. The essentials of scientific Doubt might be reduced to the two follow- ing positions. The human subject has but two means of coming in contact with that which is external to it, in other words, of knowing an object; these are Sense and Reason. An object must be known either through itself or through others. It is impossible to know an object through itself; for objects make different impressions upon different subjects; and Sense and Reason contradict each other. Nor can one know an object through any other; for all demonstration can but lead to an infinite series of generalizations or sense impressions; to the criss- cross of indefinitely proving one by the other, or to the vicious circle of proving one by another of the same kind. With the elimination of these, all demonstration but leads to an imdemonstrated arbitrary hypothesis. Thus every criterion of truth is impossible. If admitted without demonstration, the hypothetical or relative is presented; if demonstration is attempted, an infinite series of generalizations is entered. The Skeptics are thinking men of intelligence, familiar with all the intricacies of earlier thought. They have atomized with Democritus, sophisticized with Protagoras, greeted the eager, earnest Socrates as the rising sim of a new day. They have embarked with Plato, done what they could to find the "Good" and the "True" without success; they have worked with Aristotle, only to find themselves adrift on a shoreless sea. They have visited the island of Epicurus; and, had it been satisfactory, they would have stayed there. They began over again, and did what they could with Zeno only to find it in vain. Knowledge and truth, they are compelled to admit, are but will-o'-the-wisps which vanish as they are approached; but rainbows which human mind and human hand may never seize. This is rational, scientific Skeptidsm: the island of quicksands upon which consistent intellects are driven in their efforts to find the Truth. The whole history of thought lies before them; they have investigated every hope, exhausted every hypothesis, and the impossibility of man's ever attaining to rational, self-realiza- tion of the Absolute is the only conclusion they find. The Reason number six is now aground upon a floating island of shoals and quick- sands, and the philosophers know that she will never get off; for the Reason has sprung a leak. The discovery of this island ends the sixth voyage of speculative inquiry and the Reason number six is falling quietly to pieces with Pyrrho in the stem gazing vacantly into space. If the Pyrrhonists are asked to define their position, they say that they are able to define nothing; but add that they do not present even this observation in any sense as a definition. Gorgias and Protagoras said the same thing two hundred years before. " Man," says Pyrrho, "can see neither with his eyes nor with his reason, nor with any combination of eyes and reason. Man," says Pyrrho, "is blind." This is the end of Greek philosophy. Bk. IV Mysticism 503 !l 7 • ?: CHAPTER m MYSTICISM Section I — The Alexandrians, Section II — FaUh. Section I — The Alexandrians THE philosopher is discouraged; his quest seems futile. Hope but lures him ever on the rocks of Atomism or leaves him on the shoals of doubt and ignorance. He hears of another expedition fitting out for a voyage of inquiry and thinks he may as well see what it is. He goes back to the starting-point, and completes the sixth cycle of philosophic thought. Plotinus is at the helm of the new speculative vessel. The philos- opher asks the name of his craft. Plotinus knows, if he calls her the Reason, that the philosopher will decline to embark; the philosopher of this period has exhausted the speculative possibilities of reason. "The name of my craft," says Plotinus, "is the Ecstasy." There was nothing else to say. The philosopher looks her over. The Ecstasy is evidently built for speed rather than a long cruise in all weathers. Her sail area is large, and the philosopher is afraid to ask her draught and what ballast she carries. However she is the only thing afloat at present; and the philosopher thinks he may as well start in any event as go back to the rocks and the shoals. Plotinus^ lays the course. "The intellect itself, entirely independent of either sense or reason, is the ultimate Reality, or constitutes true Being. Intellect, therefore, is truly the subject's perception of those things which do not lie outside of the intellect itself, the objects of its perceptions being not external to itself. The intellect, on the contrary, establishes its own laws and conditions, or rather is itself the law of its own existence. It is conse- quently correct to say that intellectual perception and true Being are identical; for the knowledge of things independently of matter is the same as t he knowledge of the things in themselves." » Plotinus Enn. V. ix. s . p. 252. 502 The philosopher ponders — this is strange, suggestive, new. The Ecstasy is evidently fast, very fast; she clears the rocks and the shoals in a moment and is out in deep water with a bound. The philosopher asks for a little further enlightenment, which Plotinus^ supplies as follows: "If in the perceiver the things perceived are contained; if, indeed, they are impressions of the things seen, he will not contain the things them- selves. But if he possesses the things themselves, he does not see them through dividing himself (into the perceiver and the thing perceived); but prior to the division of himself, he both beheld and possessed them. If, however, this be the case, it is necessary that contemplation should be the same with the object of contemplation, and intellect the same with the intelligible. For if it is not the same, there will not be truth. For unless this is admitted, he who is said to possess beings will only possess an impression different from beings, which is not truth. For truth ought not to be of another thing, but that which it says, that also it should be. Thus, therefore, intellect, the intelligible, and being are one; and this is the first being, and the first intellect possessing beings, or, rather, it is the same with beings. If, however, intelligence and the intelligible are one, how on this account does that which is intellective intellectually perceive itself? For intelligence, indeed, as it were, com- prehends the intelligible, or is the same with it. Intellect, however, which intellectually perceives itself, is not yet manifest. But intelli- gence and the intelligible are the same; for the intelligible is a certain energy, since it is neither power, nor void of life, nor again is its life adventitious, nor its intellection in something different from itself, as in a stone, or a certain inanimate thing, and it is also the first essence. If, therefore, it is energy, and the first energy, intelligence likewise will be most beautiful and will be essential intelligence. For intelligence of this kind is most true, it is the first and subsists primarily, and will therefore, be the first intellect. For this intellect is not in capacity, nor is this one thing, but intelligence another; since thus again, the essential of it would be in capacity. If, therefore, it is energy, and the essence of it is energy, it will be one and the same with energy. Since, however, being and the intelligible are one and the same with energy, all will be at the same time one, viz., intellect, intelligence, and the intelligible. If therefore, the intelligence of it is the intelligible, but it is the intelligible, hence it wiQ itself intellectually perceive itself. * Fhtintu on Gnostic Hypostases (V. iii). Translation by Taylor, ScUri Works of Ploiinus, p. 2O5. li S04 Philosophy Pt. IV I !i For it will perceive itself by inteUigence, which it is, and will under- stand the intelligible, which also it is. According to each of these, therefore, it will intellectually perceive itself, both so far as it is intel- ligence, and so far as it is the intelligible, and will understand by intel- ligence what it is." The foregoing passage is typical of the voyage of the Ecstasy. As Erdmanni says, speaking of Plotinus, His incapacity for consistent, logical thought grows more and more evident as the Ecstasy proceeds; suffice it to say that the helm passes to Proclus, who lays the course as follows. As Lewes2 well says, "Listen." "Mercury, the Messenger of Jove, reveals to us Jove's paternal wiU, and thus teaches us science; and, as the author of all investigation transmits to us, his disciples, the genius of invention. The Science which descends into the soul from above is more perfect than any science obtained by investigation; that which is excited in us by other men is far less perfect. Invention is the energy of the soul. The Science which descends from above fills the soul with the influence of the higher Causes. The gods announce it to us by their presence, and by illuminations, and discover to us the order of the universe." These then are the knowledge and its sources of the Alexandrian mystics. These remarks of Proclus are the funeral oration of Philos- ophy. Proclus rechristens the '* Ecstasy," the "Frenzy" and steers her straight for the cloud banks of Mysticism into which she disappears. The philosopher knows that further inquiry is useless, and starts back to the rocks and the quicksands. On the way the winds blow him on an unfamiliar shore. Section n — Faith A group of hospitable inhabitants helps him to land. The sturdy, earnest Augustine, the cultured Clement, Cyril, Justin, Athenagoras^ and the graceful Lactantius. Lactantius* tells him that all philosophy is but self-destructive fatuity, leading to nothing but its own negation; that human weakness and frailty must always render its attempts futile. But, he adds, that not even pure Skepticism will prevail, for it is impossible that absolutely nothing should be known. To a philosopher who has drifted through every speculative ring which th ought has developed up to this point, but to find himself reduced > History of Philosophy . Vol. i„ p. 341. « Biographical History of Philosophy, p. 335. Translation by Lcwe«, • Divin. Inst. IIL 4, p. 155. Bk. IV Mysticism 505 to Atomism and Skepticism as their only results, this idea of Lactantius is not without interest. No one can be more convinced of the vanity of philosophy than the rational thinker of this period; no one more willing to admit the inanity of the action of the speculative himian intelligence, than the man who has watched the Reason drift round the subjects of Atomism and Skepticism for himdreds of years but to fall into them again and again as moths that flutter round a flame. The philosopher asks a few questions. He is told that he is on the island of Faith, and receives lengthy and detailed explanations upon all questions. The philosopher is delighted; he thinks he has found a haven at last, and proceeds into the interior. On the way he meets another body of men; a few questions have suggested themselves. He asks if they will explain. They do so with great amiability, volu- bility, and in endless detail; but the philosopher notes that their ex- planations differ from those received. He ponders and proceeds. He meets another bcdy of men; their replies again differ from those re- ceived before. He asks why this should be. He is told that they, the speakers, alone are in possession of the "true faith"; and that the other sources of information can offer no safe guidance. A thought of the quicksands of subjective faith crosses the mind of the philosopher. The philosopher asks for a little enlightenment upon the question why they, the speakers, should alone be in possession of the only ''true faith." He is referred to the authorities; the authorities refer to the books. The philosopher reads the books; all the books; for he knows that the finite mind, in a land of faith or snywheTe else, moves but through a series of relations, and consequently it is impossible to know one book unless one knows all the books. After the philosopher has read the books, he asks the authorities for further enlightenment with reference to the origin of the information contained. The authorities tell him that they have been inspired by divine revelation. The philos- opher asks if they are all inspired. The authorities scout the idea. He asks which one is inspired, and each authority points to a different book. "This book alone," they say, "is really inspired; all others are but error and delusion." The philosopher ponders. He asks the authorities, if any given book is inspired, why the other books should not be derived from the same source. To the philosopher this question seems worth a moment's attention for the following reasons. These books seem to him made up of two portions: One, consisting of national or racial myth, legend, and poetic imagery; another, consisting 5o6 Philosophy Pt. IV of pure thought moving independently of sense and reason about the most important problems of existence. The first portion of these books when examined reveals varying phases of an evolutionary development revolving for the most part round a limited number of fixed conceptions such as: creations, golden ages, falls of man, deluges, confusions of tongues, original sins, annunciations, virgin births, incarnations, temptations, redemptions, descents into the infernal regions, powers of darkness, spirits of evil, atonements, sacrifices, mystical symbols, and so on and so on. These conceptions, when imbedded in any formal system of faith, seem chiefly the result of a process of selection or rejection in harmony with the national mental or political peculiarities of any given people or ecclesiastical hierarchy. They may thus gradually become crystallized in a rigid and exclusive body of ritualistic dogma, regarding all other'* faith" as the creation of the spirits of outer darkness. These systems then often begin to repeat themselves, and while reproducing at times identically the same hier- archical or ritualistic phenomena, may regard each other as the incar- nation of the Evil One. They may even try to "convert" each other to practically identical dogmas in which only linguistic distinctions may be found; or again, they may formulate rigid ritualistic distinctions; and, while regarding each other as anathema, they may simply be reproducing or reversing dogmatic processes which had already been going on in other lands and other tongues for hundreds or thousands of years. ^ This portion therefore of the books, to the philosopher, seems traceable to a purely human process of development, and their agreement or disagreement a matter of local or historical interest. By means of eliminating this mass of acamaulation, however, a definite body of material is found within the books, presenting a different kind of interest and devoted to the fundamental problems of existence. When this portion of the books is submitted to a process of compar- ative analysis, most of the books of the land of Faith all say very much the same things; about very much the same subjects in very much the same way; and, when translated into any single tongue, in very much the same words. It seems to the philosopher, therefore, that they might well be regarded as evolved from very much the same source. In other words, it seems that the great bulk of the distinctions and differences of the various systems of the land of Faith is due to 1 For references Cf . p. 363. Bk. IV Mysticism S07 the interpretations and elucidations of the authorities, and not to the original sources; and that even those supposedly vastiy important dif- ferences and distinctions do littie but present an endless process of repeti- tion; revolving round certain fixed conceptions common to nearly all the systems of faith. However, when the sources of the various systems of faith are studied, certain differences and distinctions are apparent, which may be regarded as possessing vast cosmic importance or as of not the slightest significance; in accordance with the intellectual constitution of the observer. And here another thought crosses the mind of the philosopher. If these differences of the land of Faith are regarded as of vast import, and, consequently, this one or that is held with unapproachable tenacity, the following considerations are suggested. 1. The good ship Reason has long shice been wrecked on a foreign shore; she is pounding to pieces on the rocks of Atomism or sinking into the quicksands of relative subjectivity with Pyrrho and the Skeptics. Faith is the guiding light at present; opinions are derived from inspired sources; and consequently, possess no rational foundations within the human mind. If opinions are based upon reason, they cease to be faith and require no inspired support. Different faiths, therefore, cannot be rationally subjected to rational distinctions: to reason for or against a faith is as much an anomaly as to attempt the demonstra- tion of a geometrical problem with a burst of impassioned oratory, or a flood of tears. 2. Every individual, therefore, in the land of Faith will have a rational right to adopt whatever faith may seem best, without being subject to any rational criticism of any kind; for, faith, is beyond the reach of reason. All ratiocination, therefore, all expenditure of polem- ical and apologetic energy with reference to distinctions in faith may seem not distantiy removed from the wisdom of the serpent which chases its own tail and by no means unlikely to lead to equally profitable results. 3. The thought, therefore, occurs to the philosopher, if any given book is inspired from sources other than human, that there seems no tenable reason why they should not all be inspired; especially, when regarded independently of the ecclesiastical authorities, as they all say very much the same thing, or can be interpreted as desired. Thus it seems that each book, whether inspired or not, is the best source of cosmical information for any one choosing to have faith in it; and that any given faith can scarcely rationally claim superiority over any other; iil 5o8 Philosophy Pt. IV 1': for faith in order to be faith must be based upon something other than reason. The philosopher presents a few of these considerations to the authori- ties. The authorities scout the ideas; they alone, they say, that is each particular authority, is in the sole possession of the Truth; the one and only divine revelation; the one and only monopolistic exploita- tion of the Divinity. To the poor philosopher it seems neither a very inspiring nor very worshipful Divinity who would reveal Himself to but a small portion of his creatures to the exclusion of all others. He begs the authorities for a little enlightenment on this question. The authorities point to more authorities, and when these apparently fail to answer the question, they grow impatient and point to the rack, the gibbet, and the stake. These are the ultimate authorities of the period on the island of Faith; the final criteria of Truth for which the poor philosopher had sought so long and earnestly. He has little choice; he patches up a truce with the authorities or he goes to his death like a man with the thought of Socrates to console him, and a sigh for the days of the cruise of the good ship Reason. In any event, and whatever happens, the philosopher dies; philosophy dies; and their ashes blend and are swept into space with the breath of the four winds of heaven. CHAPTER IV MODERN PHILOSOPHY A STUD Y of Hellenic thought presents a chart of the speculative seas of antiquity. The Alexandrians develop nothing but mysticism, and lose themselves in a mysterious theological metaphysics. Roman thought has no independent existence. Lucretius and Cicero, with the lesser lights of the Latin world, restate Greek problems and Greek solutions. As thought begins with the naive, wondering inquiry of Thales, and ends with the hopeless, disillusioned doubt of Pyrrho, it reveals the elements of all ancient speculation. Six times has the human Reason started upon its quest for Truth, and six times has it been reduced to a purely mechanical and materialistic con- ception of the universe on one side; or to a purely idealistic subjectivity on another. Each time it has been with greater force, and the wreck of Reason proportionate. The increasing knowledge of succeeding ages has but rendered the rocks more formidable and the shoals more shallow and desolate. Independently of these rocks and shoals the Reason has no refuge; it but drifts round in rings from one to the other of these, starting ever afresh only to be wrecked again and again as before. This seems to be the law governing ancient speculation. It now re- mains to discover the relation of this law to modern speculation. In order to do this it is necessary to present a brief examination of modern thought as a whole. Its movement and results may then be compared with those of the thought of the past. The present study is not a history of philosophy, it is an attempt to determine, if possible, the laws govern- ing the action of the speculative intellect. For the sake of brevity, there- fore, the voyage through the modem philosophic seas will be but one of verification, not of discovery. It will, consequently, not be necessary to trace the development of each movement of thought; the culminating point of each is all that is required. A thousand volumes lie open through which these movements may be traced in detail; results alone are here sought. The voyage of discovery may be undertaken by means of reference to the works of the original thinkers or with the aid of a philo- sophic historian, such as Erdmann, Lewes, or any of the abler writers on 509 Sio Philosophy Pt. IV Bk. IV Modem Philosophy S" ! i the subject. Lewes is here chiefly cited on account of his ability in the analysis and expression of philosophic thought in lucid English. A study of the efforts of the human Reason through another period of inquiry meets the Middle Ages with an arid waste of ecclesiastical authority and mediaeval scholasticism: no more desolate picture is con- ceivable to a philosopher. The Dark Ages, dominated by ignorant mysrico-theological dogma, interpretation, and Aristotelian quibblings, stretch away in every direction; nothing else can be seen: the Reason has no existence. The desert stretches over more than a thousand years from the days of the great Athenians; neariy half a hundred of the generations of men have been swept by the looms of life, as it were, for a moment into being and back again into the night; without a gleam of rational intelligence to lead them on their way. A dull and feeble spark begins to glow in the fog and the desert, toward the close of the eleventh century, and Abelard " 'transgressed^ the limits of his forefathers' by the composition of the treatise Sic et Non, the object of which was to cite the passages of Scripture and the Fathers, pro and con upon every important topic: this collocation of contradictory state- ments given by the highest possible authorities was meant, as Abelard distinctly informs us, to train the mind to vigorous and healthy doubt, in fulfilment of the injimction, 'seek, and ye shall find; knock, and it shall be opened unto you.' . . . Whatever his intention may have been, the result of such a work was clearly foreseen by theological teachers, who regarded doubt as danmable, and would not tolerate it imder the plausi- ble aspects of intellectual gynmastics, or the love of seeking for truth. But theologians were unable to arrest the development of speculation. Doubt began; disputation waxed stronger; logic played like lambent flame around the most sacred subjects; Scholasticism entered every city in Eiu-ope, and filled it with subtle disputants." No better description of Scholasticism can be foimd than that of Tyndall:^ "As a traveller without a compass in a fog may wander long, imagining he is making way, and find himself after hours of toil at his starting-point, so the schoolmen, having 'tied and untied the same knots, and formed and dissipated the same clouds,' found themselves at the end of centuries in their old position." The leaven begins to work, however; the spark of Reason to glow; itjflickers and flutters here and there imtil stamped out by the author- » Lewes' History of Philosophy, p. 360. • Fragments of Science Vol. II., p. 147. ities in the fulness of their wisdom, as soon as it sheds any light. But Roger Bacon lives and labours for the truth in England, and spends a portion of his life in prison in consequence; Copernicus and Galileo are born; the first is ridiculed after his death, the second compelled to re- tract his discoveries. The spark of Reason falters here and there with the little known names of the Middle Ages and the Revival of Learning, imtil it bursts into reality as the flame flashes round a stake on the Campo dei Fiori at Rome, and licks up all that is mortal of Giordano Bruno. But the flame is at work in other directions. It is stamped out in one place but to start anew elsewhere. Another great man bearing the name of Bacon appears; he formulates a more thorough system of knowledge and method of inquiry; he is known as the father of experimental philos- ophy. About the same time, another man begins to "inquire, to won- der, and to doubt." The Cartesian method is conceived. The world moves on. Another thinker seizes the torch. "The only novelty in Spinoza's Method," says Lewes,^ "is that it is a further development of the Method of Descartes. Descartes thought that the Mathematical Method was capable of being applied to meta- physics, but he did not apply it; Spinoza did apply it. This may seem a trifling addition : in reality it was the source of all the differences between Spinoza and his teacher. Descartes' principles will inevitably lead to Spinoza's system, if those principles are rigorously carried out. But Descartes never attempted the rigorous deduction of those consequences, which Spinoza, using the mathematical method, calmly and inflexibly deduced. Those who rebel at the conclusions drawn must impugn the premises from which they are drawn; for the system of Spinoza is neither more nor less than a demonstration." Lewes presents a clear analysis of both method and demonstration. The following is his conclusion :^ "We have witnessed the mathematical rigour with which it is developed; we have followed him step by step, dragged onward by his irresistible logic; and yet the final impression left on our minds is that the system has a logical but not a vital truth. We shrink back from the consequences whither it so irresistibly leads us; we gaze over the abyss to the edge of which we have been dragged, and seeing nought but chaos and despair, we refuse to build our temples there. We retrace our steps with hurried earnestness, to see if no false * Ibid., p. 472. • Ibid., p. 485. I II I It 512 Philosophy Pt. IV route has been taken; we examine every one of his positions, to see i| there be not some secret error, parent of aU other errors. Arrived at the starting-point, we are forced to confess that we see no error — that each conclusion is but the development of antecedent positions; and yet, in spite of this, the mind refuses to accept the conclusions." The student of Hellenic thought knows what has happened when Spinoza appears in modem speculation. The human reason has struck the Atomic rocks once more; they may be given different names; mov- ing matter may be called substance with a large S, or even God, why not? The real philosopher is interested in things, not in names, and he knows that he here finds another rationally demonstrated island rising out of the seas of speculation, of identically the same geological formation as those of Diogenes, of Appolonia, Democritus, and Epicurus. The island has another name — that is the only difference. "The adequate ideas, as component parts of the inkUectus infinitus" says Erdmann,! "are eternal; only the fragments of them pass away. Ac- cordingly the greater the number of adequate ideas which go to make up a man's mind — which in turn will depend upon the perfection with which his body is organized — the larger will be the part of him that is eternal, the less reason will he have to be afraid of death. (Those who find in these last sentences a personal God, personal immortality, and ever so much besides, must not forget that, according to Spinoza's express declaration, God has neither understanding nor will." A god without imderstanding or will presents once more the long familiar 96(ji<; 5X070? of Democritus. Spinoza seems to have been, like Democritus and Epicurus, a great and good man with a mathematically accurate intelligence, and when a perfectly rational intelligence develops a system of cosmological inquiry, it moves with mathematical precision to Greek conceptions of the phenomenal world. Yet, if Spinozism is not accepted at this juncture, what resource remains? The Cartesian hypothesis and method leads to the system of Spinoza as their inevitable result. If the Cartesian method is rejected, the mind has no starting-point in this line of inquiry. It is, therefore, at this point in modem thought reduced to Spinozism or an inarticulate Skepticism. All the phe- nomena of Hellenic thought here begin to repeat themselves. This is the first crisis in modem speculation. The reason has no escape; it must accept Spinozism or reject the foimdations upon which tlr- Erdmann History 0/ PkUosopky. VoL H.. p. 87. Bk. IV Modem Philosophy S13 only rational thought of the period was built — Rings, Atomism, and Skepticism again. "The doctrine of Spinoza," says Lewes,* "was of great importance, if only because it brought about the first crisis in modern Philosophy. His doctrine was so clearly stated, and so rigorously deduced from admit- ted premises, that he brought philosophy into their dilemma. "Either my premises are correct, and we must admit that every clear and distmct idea is absolutely tme; tme, not only subjectively, but objectively; — If so, my system is tme: "Or my premises are false; the voice of Consciousness is not the voice of truth; and if so, then my system is false, but all Philosophy is impossible: since the only ground of Certitude — our Consciousness — is pronounced unstable, our only means of knowing the truth is pronounced fallacious. " Spinozism or Skepticism? Choose between them for you have no other choice."' Here is a complete crisis. The mind must go back and begin over again with another method. If the mind, developing the Cartesian method, culminates in Spinozism and refuses to accept his conclusions, it must turn its attention to psychological investigation in order to pronounce upon its own qualifications to deal with the fundamental problems of existence. Thought here begins again with two newly formed rings behind it. The threads of the inductive experimental method of Bacon may be taken up. Bacon was bom in the last half of the Sixteenth Century (1561); Descartes toward the close of the same period (1596), Spinoza in 1632. The Cartesian method exhausts itself within Spinoza, and the rocks and shoals once more. In beginning again thought enters the second period of modem philosophy. What are its results? After two or three generations of scientific inquiry, each position formulated leading, naturally and necessarily, into another, speculation again culmi- nates with the leaders of eighteenth-century thought in France. The following is from Erdmann :2 "Diderot's atheism comes out most openly in the Interpretation de la Nature and in the Conversation with (TAlembert. , , . Here he developes his theory (Buffon's) of living molecules, the imion and separation of which produce the material transformation, or life of the universe; here is found his reduction of all psychology to A » History of Philosophy, p. ^3. History 0/ Philosophy, VoL II., pp. 164, 165. '.J II 514 Philosophy Pt. IV ill I li ' physiology of the nerves; here, too, his arguments against freedom and inmiortality . . . here his gibes against those who assume the ex- istence of a personal God, and do not believe that the great musical instrument, we call the world, plays itself." Here is the 6X1x1?) dvdYxiQ of Hellenic materialism. "It was," continues Erdmann, "according to his own statement through Diderot, that the physician, Julian OflFray de Lamettrie, was first encouraged to become an author. His Histoire Naturelle de VAmey 1745 (certainly his most solid work), along with a satirical piece of writing against his colleagues, brought about his expulsion from France, as his I 'Homme Machine did from Holland. He was then summoned to Berlin by Frederick the Great • and there, in the capacity of Reader to the King, and — as Voltaire wittilysaid— court-atheist, he composed a large number of works. . In all of these he teaches the most thorough-going atheism and material- ism, and calls religion the disturber of the peace, which keeps individuals from enjoyment, and society from unity. A State of atheists pure and simple would not merely be possible, as Bayle surmised; it would be the happiest of all. What is called mind is a part of the body, namely the brain, which, on account of its finer muscles, gives birth to finer products than the extremities. When it ceases to be active, "/a farce estjoueel" The Attic philosopher would know his reckoning exactly at this point; it is unnecessary to investigate farther. The reason is repeating itself over and over again. The Attic philosopher, however, would probably realize that this was only one phase of the results of the physio- logical, experimental method; there is a corresponding idealistic Skep- ticism due about this period, developed through investigation dealing with the intellect rather than with matter. The period is toward the close of the eighteenth century. The inquirer goes back to the starting-point once more with Hobbs and Locke; watches the good Bishop of Cloyne diverge into a purely idealistic system, and predicts the result. The heirs of this line of inquiry are Hume and Kant. In the Inquiry Concerning Human Understanding^ is found: "The most perfect philosophy of the natural kind only staves off our ignorance a little longer: As perhaps the most perfect philosophy of the moral or metaphysical kind serves only to discover larger portions of it. Thus the obser vation of human blindness and weakness is the result of all « Vol. n. Sect. IV. Part i.. p. 37. Bk. IV Modem Philosopty 515 philosophy, and meets us, at every turn, in spite of our endeavours to elude or avoid it." The Attic philosopher finds familiar shores again. He sees another essay by the same author, entitled: The Skeftic^ "If we can de- pend upon any principle, which we learn from philosophy, this, I think, may be considered as certain and undoubted, that there is nothing, in itself, valuable or despicable, desirable or hateful, beautiful or de- formed; but that these attributes arise from the particular constitution and fabric of human sentiment and affection." The Attic philosopher seems to hear Protagoras say: Havcwv x^rii^i.'zm [/.eTpov i'vOp^xoc;. Kant^ says in concluding the Critique of Pure Reason, that we have to deal with but two questions in a canon of pure reason: "Is there a God; is there a future life?" He continues: "But from these two great objects, for the attainment of which all these efforts of pure rea- son have been imdertaken, we remain as far removed as though our labours had been declined at the outset. So far as knowledge is con- cerned, this much at least is certain and established, that with reference to these two questions, God and Immortality, knowledge can never be ours I" Protagoras said precisely the same thing over two thousand years ago. The Attic thinker would be at home at this juncture in modem thought. He would find speculation repeating the conclusions of his friends, Epicurus and Pyrrho; one woiild be repeated by the Encyclopedists, or the "court atheist" at Sans Souci, the other by the methodical philos- opher of Konigsberg or the historian of England. A later age, later demonstrations of identical conclusions; there would be no other dif- ference. Another series of rings and repetitions are formed as a result of the inquiry of the second period of modem philosophy. Another crisis, and another process of repetition begins; for Kant does not stop with the *^Pure Reason'^ and the philosopher follows again with the ''Practical Reason'' into the thick of the German metaphysics of the last century. He drifts along for a time, but not without a troubled sense of being teed into land-locked waters, bound by preconceived theological shores. The rational thread of ideas grows more and more attenuated; and at last snaps and vanishes. The philosopher is able to follow no longer and is strangely reminded of the cruise of the "Ecstasy." » Vol. I., p. ai6. • Kfitik der Reinen Vernuft, pp. 579. sSo. *f I • I K i; i Si6 Philosophy Pt. IV "Plotinus," says Lewes, ^ "shrank from no extravagances: where Reason failed, there he called upon Faith. The Germans, coming after the seciure establishment of Positive Science, fomid Philosophy in a similar dilemma: either to declare itself incapable, or to proclaim its despotism and infallibility: what Logic demonstrated must be ab- solutely true. "This faith in logic is remarkable, and may be contrasted with the Alexandrian faith in Ecstasy. Of the possibility of human logic not being the standard of truth, the Germans have no suspicion; they are without the Greek skepticism as to the Criterium. . . . The history of modern metaphysical philosophy is but the narrative of the same struggles which agitated Greece. The same problems are revived, and the same answers ofiFered." Teutonic mystics and metaph)rsics seem to have been as powerless as those of Alexandria to hold the attention of consistent thinkers. Thus the labours of earlier modem speculation but culminate in thorough- going Materialism and Skepticism, or fade away into thought lacking the capacity of exact formulation. As says Sir Leslie Stephen,^ in his essay on the Vanity of Philosophizing: "We cannot accept Descartes, or Spinoza, or Leibutz, or Bacon, or Hobbs, or Locke, as giving satis- factory or even coherent systems, or as having done more than lead to the thorough skepticism of Hume. K Kant presented one solution of the difficulties in which philosophy was landed, we have still to ask what precisely Kant meant; whether his criticism was simply all-destructive, or really left anything standing, and, if so, what it left standing; and who represents the proper line of development? " There seems nothing to be done at this point but to note the formation of another series of rings; go back to the beginning and start again. A few thinkers will be found attempting to establish a "psychological" method; after a generation or two the present is reached. The fol- lowing citation is from the pen of Professor Haeckel:' "Pantheism regards God and the world as a unity. The idea of God becomes identical with that of Nature or Substance. This Panthe- istic view of the world is in sharp contrast to all forms of Theism. . . . There always remains the fundamental distinction between the two, that in Theism, God is contrasted with Nature as an extramundane being, 4 > History tf Philosophy, pp. 335, 338. • Social Rights and Duties, Vol. 11., p. 188. • Dia WeltrOthsel, p. 333, 333- Bk. IV Modem Philosophy S17 creating and sustaining the world, and acting upon it from without; while in Pantheism, God as an intramundane being is identified with Nature itself and regarded as co-extensive with substance as force or energy." Haeckel traces the pantheistic conception of nature from Anaxam- ander, through Democritus, Heraclitus, and Empedocles. He shows how Lucretius repeats it in the Latin world. Bruno again in the sixteenth century, Spinoza m a later age; eighteenth-century materialism is the same thing over again and modem science repeats it once more to-day. "Atheism," he continues, "recognizes no gods and goddesses if by this is imderstood personal, extramundane beings. This 'godless world- system' is but another expression of the Monism, or Pantheism, of modern science presenting its negative aspect; the non-existence of an extramundane or supernatural Divinity. In this sense Schopenhauer has well said, 'Pantheism is but a polite atheism.' The tmth of Pan- theism is the elimination of the dual antithesis between God and the world, in recognizing that the world exists through itself and its own forces. The Pantheistic maxim: God and the world are one, is but a polite way of bidding the Almighty farewell." The philosopher hears the ring of the consistent thought of the first Diogenes, of Democritus, of the good Epicurus and much, as Haeckel says, of Anaximander, Heraclitus, and Empedocles. It seems at times in reading the Weltrathsd that the majestic Lucretius had dropped his own long, rhythmic line and continued his exposition in modem prose. Professor Haeckel presents the latter-day forms of the materialistic or monistic conception of the imiverse. Atheistic monism or materialism will not appeal to all minds; phases of rationalized Doubt should appear on another side. rp Huxley, as articulate an intelligence as the nineteenth century devel- oped, rejects pvure materialism, and when asked to define his position formulates^ that of "Agnosticism:" he says he knows nothing of the ulti- mate problems of the universe. This then is the result of twenty-five hundred years of speculation and the field may be reviewed. In a study of Hellenic thought, it seemed that a law was foxmd govern- ing the action of the philosophic intellect. This law showed, apparently, that the development of every speculative hypothesis could have but two results: one, leading through an analysis of the phenomena of matter to a materialistic and mechanical interpretation of nature; another, KSciena and Culture, pp. 347*248. Agnosticism, Science and Christian Tradition, p. aog. "li \4 itl Si8 Philosophy Pt.IV Bk. IV Modem Philosophy 519 m leading through an analysis of consciousness to a resolution of knowl- edge into a series of subjective ideal relations. This seemed to be the law controlling the action of the rational speculative intellect in the best and clearest thought the world has developed; that of Greece. Modem inquiry, examined in relation to this law, seemed to follow exactly the same rings and results traceable in antiquity. If this law has governed speculative investigation, it cannot have escaped the attention of competent students; nor has it. "There are two characteristics of Modem Philosophy," says Lewes, ^ "which may here be briefly touched on. The first is the progressive de- velopment of Science, which in ancient speculations occupied the sub- ordinate rank, and which now occupies the highest. The second is the reproduction in Philosophy of all the questions which agitated the Greeks, which also pass through a similar course of development: not only are the questions similar, but their evolutions are so. "After the Eleatics had vexed the problems of Existence to no purpose, there came Democritus, Anaxagoras, Plato, and Aristotle, who en- deavored to settle the problems of the nature and origin of human knowl- edge. So, in modem times, after Descartes and Spinoza, came Hobbes, Locke, Leibnitz, Reid, and Kant. The ancient researches into the origin of knowledge ended in the Skeptics, the Stoics, and the New Academy: that is to say, in Skepticism, Conunon Sense, and Skepticism again. The modem researches ended in Berkeley, Himie, Reid, and Kant: That is, in Idealism, Skepticism, Conamon Sense, and Skepticism again. These inquiries terminating thus fruitlessly, a new and desperate spring was made in Alexandria: reason was given up for ecstasy; Philosophy merged itself in Religion. In Germany a similar spectacle presents itself: Schelling identified Philosophy with Religion. Thus has Philosophy completed its circle, and we are left in this nineteenth century precisely at the same poiat at which we were in the fifth." The trenchant pen of Huxley * sunmiarizes the results of more than two thousand years of the speculative labours of man. "Materialism and Idealism; Theism and Atheism; the doctrine of the soul and its mortality or immortality — appear in the history of philosophy like the shades of Scandinavian heroes, etemally slaying one another and eternally coming to life again in a metaphysical 'Nifelheim.' It is getting on for twenty-five centuries, at least, since mankind began seriously to * History of Philosophy, p. 788. *S(ience and ChrisdaH Tradition, p. 312. give their minds to these topics. Generation after generation, philos- ophy has been doomed to roll the stone uphill; and, just as all the world swore it was at the top, down it has rolled to the bottom again. All this is written in innumerable books; and he who will toil through them will discover that the stone is just where it was when the work began." Is any other result probable? Reason, in ultimate analysis, must be the inclusion of a fact withm a fact of wider significance. It can only begin with the recognition of a tmth, and continue through the refer- ence of this tmth to another of more general application. This done, the process must continue indefinitely or reach the inexplicable; that is, cease to be reason. This position is unaffected if the deductive, in place of the inductive, process is contemplated. The question then resolves itself mto one dealing with the sources of the basis of the de- duction. If this basis is derived from experience, the method just mentioned is that upon which this basis itself must repose. If derived from something other than experience, its source remains to be deter- mined; and when the rational mind attempts this, it finds itself, in a flash, back with Anaximander at the origin of thought; to drone once more round the rings already traced. This it seems is the condition of the action of the human reason. It acts this way or it acts not at all. If the Reason arrests the process at a given point, it accepts an inexplicable fact which the sense perceives. If it continues the process, it can never reach an intelligible end within the finite human consciousness. In the first instance, it settles upon the rocks of Epicurus; in the second, it drifts about in the consciously hopeless Skepticism of Pyrrho. In both, or in either, it meets the inscmtable; brings up face to face with the Sphinx that broods over human existence, wherever the mind may turn. A possible analogy has been mentioned between the history of sculp- ture and the history of rational, cosmic speculation. It was suggested that that rare source of beauty and inspiration, the Hellenic intellect, had exhausted the possibilities of the former; and it may appear that it has exhausted the possibilities of the latter as well. As the great torso of Appolonius in the Vatican throws its shadow over every form that fell frpm the chisel of Buonarroti, the consistent, sculpturesque minds of Anaximander, Democritus, Protagoras, Aristotie, and Pyrrho throw their shadows over the thought that was to come. These men loved pure Reason as a god; they followed the light of the gray-eyed Athene that glowed within, as the mariner the gleam of the spear of S20 Philosophy Pt. IV Athene Promachos that flashed from the Acropolis; and the thought of these men carved the history of the human reason out of chaos. Thus, the rockbound coasts of Democritus, and the quicksands of Prota- goras are all that pure Philosophy has discovered. The whole history of philosophy might be presented as one interminable line of rocks and shoals in a sea of futile speculation, on which a steely sky looks down in bland, unconscious irony on all the efforts of the mind of man to pene- trate bevond. ^t I I CHAPTER V CHRIST Section 1-^The Law of Substance, Section U^-The Law cf Reason, Section III — The Law of God, Section I — The Law of Substance HE first efforts in cosmological speculation dealt with matter as evident to sense. From Thales and Anaximenes down to the present, many clear and able minds have been absorbed in a materialistic interpretation of the phenomenal world. Every addition to knowledge, from this point of view, strengthens the material and mechanical conception of the imiverse. For, it may be said, science is impossible without law, and every widening vista of nature, gained through the media of the experimental sciences, but reveals the subjection of phenomena to a never-varying sequence of mechanical cause and effect. When the all-pervading influence of law throughout the Cosmos is rec- ognized, and man is regarded as an infinitesimal manifestation thereof, his complete insignificance is evident. In this light man becomes but a more or less conscious automaton controlled by cosmic forces as old and as powerful as the material universe, which sweep him blindly into and out of his ephemeral existence, as determined by the action and interaction of a system of laws possessing neither consciousness nor volition. This is the philosophic attitude announced and demonstrated ages ago by Democritus, Epicurus, and Lucretius. Modem science strengthens this position. Among the most suggestive contributions to knowledge, in a philo- sophic sense, is that generalization of Professor Weismann known as the "continuity of the germ-plasm." This position and its demon- stration present important evidence in support of the materialistic and mechanical interpretation of the phenomena of life. To suppose that man possesses, individually or collectively, the slightest control over his own existence, physical or mental, may well have seemed but a 521 522 Philosophy Pt.IV curious illusion since the days of Democritus. When, however, man is studied in the light of the theory of Continuity, he exists but as a plant- like growth of somatic cells gathered about a rootstock of vital germs, from which the somatic cells fall away as the individual dissolves. This position understood, it is obvious that no efforts of the individual, singly or combined, can affect the nature of the germ-cells as handed down from one generation to another. Comparing the germ-plasm to a long creeping rootstock from which individual plants arise at intervals, Professor Weismann^ says: "Hence it follows that the transmission of acquired characters is an impossibility, for if the germ-plasm is not formed anew in each individual but is derived from that which preceded it, its structmre, and above all its molecular constitution, cannot depend upon the in- dividual in which it happens to occur, but such an individual only forms, as it were, the nutritive soil at the expense of which the germ-plasm grows, while the latter possessed its characteristic structure from the beginning, viz., before the commencement of growth." In a philosophic sense, this theory of Continuity is exceptionally interesting; for, as its significance is grasped it becomes evident that the external forces of environment and heredity are not important influences in the life of the individual, but the sole and all-controlling influences. If inherited qualities are entirely due to a natiu*ally selective cosmic process, in which the acquirements of the individual play no part; and if all mental or physical assimilations are the transitory ac- cidents of environment — and there seems justification to many ob- servers for accepting both these positions — there seems no place, in any independent sense, for that much discussed entity or non-entity, the hiunan ego. The individual of the human species, as that of any other species, becomes, as Professor Weismann says, a plant-like growth or "the nutritive soil at the expense of which the germ-plasm grows." There are few scientific discoveries so little flattering to the " heaven descended heir of all the ages " as this important position of Continuity. In a philosophic sense it practically obliterates him and all his works. As far back as the days of Democritus, there has been good reason to regard man as a fortuitous coalescence of the elements of matter in a state of flux. When, however, he is placed beneath the high-powered microscope of modem science, and studied upon the comparative an- atomical dissecting table or in the biological laboratory, it seems im- • Si$mficance of Sexual Reproduction, Essays on Heredity, Vol. i. , p. 273. Bk. IV Christ 523 possible to regard him in any other light. From this point of view, his powers of independent volition, moral intuitions, intellectual activi- ties, and spiritual aspirations become automatic hallucinations trace- able to molecular flux. The problems, however, of the freedom of the human will, and moral responsibility, meet the inquirer on every side, at every step; in almost every phase of scientific investigation. If the evolutionary and bio- logical sciences, together with the earlier forms of Atomism, are ignored, and matter resolved into electric force-points, or units of positive and negative electricity, the question is but shifted into other fields. An interesting parallel has been drawn between Kant, as a philos- opher, and Copernicus, as an astronomer. The latter demonstrated that the apparent movement of many of the heavenly bodies could be explained by the motion of the earth itself; and Kant shows how many mental phenomena may be referred, not to external causes, but to the laws governing the working of the individual human mind. In developing this analogy it is obvious that the study of psychic phenom- ena may be removed from the field of external causes, and applied directly to the contemplation of the mechanics and chemistry of the brain itself. The researches of the physiological psychologists are uniform in their conclusions in this connexion. The works of Ferrier, Ribot, Wunt, Horsley, Spencer, Huxley, Schiff, Hitzig, Luys, Goltz, Clerk-Maxwell, Schafer, Bain, Clausius, and a host of other inquirers go far to show that from whatever point of view the molecular con- stitution of the brain is observed, its physical condition and the accom- pan3dng sequences of ideas and sensation appear as much imder the influence of mechanical law as any class of phenomena coming within the range of the natural sciences. Says Huxley, ^ after an interesting review of the subject: "If these positions are well based, it follows that our mental conditions are simply the symbols in consciousness of the changes which take place automatically in the organism; and that, to take an extreme illustration, the feeling we call volition is not the cause of a voluntary act, but the symbol of that state of the brain which is the immediate cause of that act." Thus, whether the subject is approached externally, from the at- titude of the evolutionist or biologist, in the study of the influences of heredity and selection: or internally, in the study of the chemical and mole cular constitution of the brain, from the theory of the co-rela- * Animal Automatism. Science and Culture, p. 246. I 1* ( ii 524 Phflosophy Pt. IV tion and conservation of energy; from the position, in fact, of any or all of the inductive, natural sciences, a stream of mechanical cause and me- chanical effect appears, through which the himian ego is swept very much as a fallen leaf through the coiurse of a moimtain torrent. And as the view is extended, this helplessness and insignificance of man but comes into increasing prominence. The vast imconscious stream of matter, flowing through all the worlds within range of the perceptions, sweeping "all things" from non-being into being, and back into the night, seems to present but one approximation to Reality — but one condition as the result of the "Law of Substance"; affecting the systems, and galaxies of systems, of stellar space as indifferently as the pimy labours, the "empires," and the "progress" of man. Change and dissolution, it seems, are the only Realities which the Law of Sub- stance has to present. "Natural knowledge," says Huxley,^ "tends more and more to the conclusion that 'all the choir of heaven and furniture of the earth' are the transitory forms of parcels of cosmic substance wending along the road of evolution, from nebulous potentiality, through endless growth of sun, and planet, and satellite; through all varieties of matter; through infinite diversities of life and thought; possibly, through modes of being of which we neither have a conception, nor are competent to form any, back to the indefinable latency from which they arose. Thus the most obvious attribute of the cosmos is its impermanence." Man and his works grow strangely ephemeral when studied in the light of the Law of Substance; neither man himself nor his systems, neither the builders nor the structures, seem endowed with any permanent significance: "Seest thou these great buildings?" says Christ ;2 "there shall not be left here one stone upon another, which shall not be thrown down." The light of pure science, when turned upon man, from whatever position, reveals but blindness, helplessness, and insignificance. "I know no study," says Huxley,^ "which is so imutterably saddening as that of the evolution of humanity as it is set forth in the annals of history," and science seems to point to a future worthy of the past. Man bears the mask of death upon his brow, the germ of his lowly origin in his body; and when progress ceases, as cease it one day must from forces generated from within, as well as from without "regressive * Evolution and Ethics, p. 50. s Mark XIII: 2. * Science and Christian Tradition, p. 256. Bk. IV Christ 525 is as practicable as progressive metamorphosis" * When man reaches the crown of his evolution, he will apparently begin the reversal of the processes through which he has proceeded in the past; and the principle of the Continuity of the vital substance from which his life arises seems to show what the reversal of those processes means. In the literal, scientific sense of the words, as Christ^ says, "many shall be last that are first; and first that are last." The Law of Substance points with as certain a finger to the future of humanity as that with which it points to its past. In any event, whatever future awaits man himself, a lifeless mass of inert matter, revolving aimlessly through space until it itself dissolves, is the only futiu^e science has to predict of the earth upon which he exists. Thus, studied in the light of the Law of Substance, man seems to possess no significance of any kind. He represents nothing but fleeting accumulations of moving matter, which grow dimly conscious of them- selves for a moment and then fade into infinite nescience. Neither he nor anything else possesses the slightest comprehension of anything in a universe of plant-like matter in imconscious motion. He is as much a nonentity as the transitory shape of a wave which forms to break upon a rock. He possesses no more significance than the flux of a chemical compound or the reaction of an acid. The Law of Sub- stance leads straight to an unqualified materialistic atheism and nothing else. From this point of view man is obviously of no interest, other than as an atomic unit in society. Ethics is the science of society, so far as such a science may be said to exist. What then are the ethics of the Law of Substance? The latest and most authoritative exposition of this conception of nature is found in Professor HaeckeFs interesting Riddle of the Universe: "Man," says Haeckel,^ "belongs to the social vertebrates and has consequently, as all other social animals, two different duties: one to himself, and another to the society to which he belongs. The first is dictated by self-love, or egoism; the second by love of others, or altruism. . . . The recognition of the equal value of these two impulses — love of self and love of others — is the most important fundamental principle of our morality. The highest goal of all rational 1 Evolution and Ethics, p. xgg. « Matthew XIX: 30. • Die WeltrOthsd, p. 404. : 1 ^ll li ll ll \' I i -I [ '1 :1 i if: ■* U f 526 Philosophy Pt. IV ethics is thus very simple: the establishment of the natural equality of egoism and altruism, of self-love and the love of one's neighbour. The Golden Rule says: *Do unto others as you would that they should do unto you.' From this highest of Christian precepts it follows of it- self that we have duties toward ourselves as sacred as those toward our fellows. . . . From the recognition of our fundamental moral principle follows its highest precept, that command called the Golden Rule of ethics, or briefly, the Golden Rule. Christ has repeated in the single phrase: *Thou shalt love thy neighbour as thyself.' Mark rightly adds: 'There is no greater conunandment than this,' and Matthew says: *In these two commandments is the whole law and the prophets.' In this weightiest and highest conmiandment is our monistic ethics in perfect accord with Christianity." Haeckel then traces the origin of this principle to the period at which men first began to think, and it thus seems that the ethics of the Law of Substance, from Confucius to Haeckel, may be formulated, as formu- lated by Haeckel, in the words of Jesus of Nazareth :i "All things therefore whatsoever ye would that Men should do unto you, even so do ye also imto them: for this is the law and the prophets." Section II — The Law of Reason An analysis of the history of philosophic inquiry seems to show that every interpretation of nature, involving matter as a controlling element, sooner or later leads up to a fully developed atheistic materialism. It may also show that every exhaustive system of inquiry, turning to an analysis of the reason, sooner or latter culminates in the quicksands of an idealistic Skepticism. When the rational perfection of both these systems is understood, it may seem that rational thought, which has not yet reached one or the other, is simply thought in a process of evolu- tion which has yet to reach its final development; the development of the thought of Plato and Aristotle led to nothing else. The mechanical materialism of Democritus has never been rationally answered, and still dominates some of the ablest minds of modem times. In the same way, no reply has ever been made to the skeptical modes of the sus- pension of judgment. It may be said, within their fields, that pure Atomism and pure Skepticism are the only rational positions formulated by the human mind. Yet the human mind has refused to accept them as final, with the result that it has done nothing but drift round in » Matthew VII: i a. Bk. IV Christ 527 rings; periodically re-discovering these two positions after re-develop- ing processes of thought, which had been fully exhausted hundreds or thousands of years before. A scientific Skepticism, based upon the subjectivity of knowledge, leads to the tolerance of every error; for the reason, that not only can no truth exist independentiy of a series of relations; but even supposing its existence, its comprehension would necessarily be resolv- able into such a series. It is impossible to state this position, together with a complete summary of all the modes of the suspension of judgment formulated by the skeptical intellect, more clearly and finally than in the words of Jesus ^ of Nazareth: "Judge not." This train of thought, however, carried to its logical conclusion pro- duces an inarticulate quietism, conscious of nothing but its own ig- norance. Pure Skepticism is no more flattering to man than pure Atomism. Atomism reduces him to a fortuitous chemical compound in a state of flux; Skepticism to a kaleidoscopic series of illusions — likewise in a state of flux. From either point of view, the action of his mind possesses no comprehensive potentiality, any more than that of a magpie or a phonograph: his tongue but ratties over the jingles scribbled by instinct or the accidents of experience on the phosphorescent records of his brain. This perfect skeptical quietism, however, will not be able to hold the more powerful intellects which understand it; the result being that they will attempt an analysis of experience, in hopes at least of reducing it to an orderly conception of relations. This is the attitude from which is derived the Positive System of Comte and the Synthetic Philosophy of Mr. Spencer. In this way philosophies of experience are evolved. An analysis of experience attempts no solution of ultra-mundane problems; human relations alone are considered. But human relations once more present ethics as the chief object of inquiry. In other words, m the light of the Law of Reason, man seems to possess no significance except as a member of human society. What then are the ethics of the Law of Reason? Perhaps the most authoritative formulation of the relativity of human knowledge, together with a philosophic syntiiesis of tiie experimenUl sciences, may be found in tiie works of Mr. Spencer; tiiese tiierefor may pre sent the most recent and important statement of the ethics « Matthew VII: i. i! N 528 Philosophy Pt. IV Bk. IV Christ 529 ti '■ of the Law of Reason. In the Data of Ethics,'^ Mr. Spencer, expresses his belief in the ultimate rational union of what are called the egoistic and altruistic conceptions of ethical relations. "For/' as he says, "that which the best human nature is capable of is within the reach of human nature at large." He continues: "From the ten thousand priests of the religion of love, who are silent when the nation is moved by the religion of hate, will come no sign of assent; nor from their bishops who, far from urging the extreme precept of the master they pretend to follow, to turn the other cheek when one is smitten, vote for acting on the principle — strike lest ye be struck. Nor will any approval be felt by legislators who, after praying to be^for- given their trespasses as they forgive the trespasses of others, forthwith decide to attack those who have not trespassed against them; and who af- ter a Queen's Speech has invoked ' the blessing of Almighty God' on their councils, immediately provide means for committing political burglary. "But though men who profess Christianity and practise Paganism can feel no sympathy with such a view, there are some classed as an- tagonists to the current creed, who may not think it absurd to believe that a rationalized version of its ethical principles will eventually be acted upon." The name of Huxley is not associated with any formal system of thought; yet few men of modem times have given greater powers to the dissemination of the light of pure Reason. He says:^ "Again, all that is best in the ethics of the modern world, in so far as it has not grown out of Greek thought, or Barbarian manhood, is the direct development of the ethics of old Israel. There is no code of legislation, ancient or modem, at once so just and so merciful, so tender to the weak and poor, as the Jewish law; and, if the Gospels are to be tmsted, Jesus of Nazareth himself declared that he taught nothing but that which lay implicitly, or explicitly, in the religious and ethical system of his people." It would seem, therefore, that the Ethics of the Law of Reason, as voiced by Spencer and Huxley, are identical with the ethics of the Law of Substance as voiced by Haeckel; and that the Ethics of both Substance and Reason are identical with the Ethics of Jesus of Nazareth; and might be summarized in the passage cited from Matthew which He said con- tained "the law and the prophets": »ll 97-08, pp. as6-2S7- • Scienu and Christian Tradition, p. 31 S- "All things therefore whatsoever ye would that men should do unto you, ever so do ye also unto them." Section III — The Law of God In a study of the sources of religious thought these phenomena were accepted without question, as the scientist accepts the phenomena of the material world. This attitude may appear superficial. The de- velopment of modern scientific method may seem to demonstrate the negligible nature of the phenomena of religion. The interesting work of Professor Haeckel presents strong support for this view. It may, therefore, be of interest to inquire whether the discussion of religion is not a mere waste of time; and whether thought, based upon the existence of God, is not based upon nothing at all. In an essay upon Animal Automatism, Professor Huxley develops the philosophic significance of the physical constitution of the animal body and brain, and applies it with its corollaries to the human being. The question arises then, whether, in the opinion of such a distinguished scientist, this mechanical hypothesis of necessity eliminates all others; rendering materialism, fatalism or atheism the only tenable attitude with reference to man and nature. Huxley ^ says: "As I have endeavoured to explain on other occasions, I really have no claim to rank myself among fatalistic, materialistic, or aUieistic philosophers. Not among fatalists, for I take the conception of necessity to have a logical, and not a physical foundation; not among material- ists, for I am utterly incapable of conceiving the existence of matter if there is no mind in which to picture that existence; not among atheists for the problem of the ultimate cause of existence is one which seems to me to be hopelessly out of reach of my poor powers. Of all the senseless babble I have ever had occasion to read, the dem- onstrations of those philosophers who undertake to tell us all about the nature of God would be the worst, if they were not surpassed by the still greater absurdities of the philosophers who try to prove that there is no God." In the opinion of one of the ablest scientists and clearest thinkers of modern times, it seems that neither the "Law of Substance" nor the "Law of Reason" has, in the slightest particular, demonstrated the non- existence of God and that all attempts at such demonstration are worse than "senseless babble." * Science and Culture, pp. 247-248. I 530 Philosophy Pt. IV I J <» I". Tr ■ "But," he says again, 1 "if it is certain that we can have no knowledge of the nature of either matter or spirit, and that the notion of necessity is something illegitimately thrust into the perfectly legitimate concep- tion of law, the materialistic position that there is nothing intheworid but matter, force, and necessity, is as utteriy devoid of justification as the most baseless of theological dogmas." Sense and Reason ! Sense and Reason ! Poor humanity possesses no means other than these of deriving intelligible impressions from the objective worid. These are its only eyes — and these are glazed and sightless. The soul, to borrow an analogy from Socrates, is locked in a dungeon; the darkness is broken by feeble Hght derived through two narrow openings. One looks out upon a blank wall; the other upon a blank fog. Atomism and Skepticism are all it can see. Other than these, it is conscious of nothing but a black night of nescience: all that pure intelligence has ever produced. Strange to say, however, the intelligence, after developing these positions, seems to reach out in spite of itself to something transcending its own formless chaos. Pure atheistic materialism is indebted to no one more than to Democritus, yet even this rarely rational intelligence cannot resist the temptation of infusing a few wraithlike divinities into his atomic Cosmos. While his mind moves with resistless pre- cision, when limited to the physical, it commands but slight respect in its theological flights. The fact, nevertheless, remains that the first of scientific atheists and materialists recognized the "gods" and even developed a strange and mysterious theogony of his own.2 Epicurus, the next great philosophic "atheist," displays the same inconsequent phenomenon: that of a philosopher who regards sense as the only criterion of truth; yet who talks about "the gods." Laertius* says, he was a remarkably pious man; that he even wrote a work on piety and a treatise on the Gods. Epicurus, while usually regarded as the arch prophet of atheism, seems in reality to have had no slight theological tendencies, and even follows in the path of Democritus in establishing a vague and intangible theogony. * It must be admitted, however, that the theologizing of Democritus and Epicurus is not inspiring. The theologizing materialist is little more successful outside » Lay Sermons and Addresses, pp. 134-125. « For a thorough review of the subject and aU sources Cf. ZeUer. Pre-SocraticPkilosopky.Vol U.. p. aSi et seq. » Epicurus, X., 5 and 17. « Cf. ZeUer, Stoics and Epicureans, p. 438, where all sources may be found. Bk. IV Christ 531 his field than the philosophizing theologian. Zeller * compares the theog- ony of Epicurus to a society of Epicurean philosophers. Th« learned Doctor Cudworth does not hesitate, and, although on one page^ he cites a passage from Epicurus, from which he deduces that that philos- opher acknowledged "an animalish and conscious or perceptive nature," "besides senseless matter"; yet, on another, he speaks of the Gods of Epicurus in by no means respectful terms. He calls^ them a "multi- farious rabble and democracy of Gods," and again^ refers to them as "those romantic monogrammous Gods of Epicurus," which "could have been nothing else but a certain kind of aerial and spectrous men, living by themselves, nobody knows where." The dispassionate in- quirer may well find reason for sympathy with the illustrious author of the Intellectual System of the Universe in the supercilious treatment accorded the "romantic" and "monogrammous" Gods of Epicurus, who ' 'live by themselves, nobody knows where." In theological matters it seems but natural to desire to have one's divinities under one's eye, so to speak, as the learned Doctor evidently had his own. Strange to say again, even the majestic Lucretius^ condescends to a far-off and preoccupied theogony. "Who pass their lives serene in calm repose," in another remote neighbourhood, the situation of which he fails to determine. The real philosopher turns with a sense of relief from the teleological speculations of such dogmatic theologians as Democritus, Epicurus, and Lucretius, to the really consistent atheistic thought of Diderot, Lamettrie, Holbach, and Haeckel. The action of the rational modem mind on coming in contact with the blank of philosophy is among the interesting things in thought. Atomism and Skepticism are as old as thought itself, and philosophy lias produced nothing else. Atomism and Skepticism, however, possess but a logical significance for many of the best minds understanding them; and these, consequently, as soon as they have developed one or the other, inunediately seek something else. If Atomism is not wholly satisfactory, the philosophic inquirer may inject a vital principle into his universe; he will then be in possession of a Cosmos f ormed of matter and life. This presents a duaUstic hypothesis. * Stoics and Epicureans, p. 442. " Intellectual System. Vol. i., p. 305. •Ibid., p. 103. • Ibid., p. IDS. ■ De Rerum Natura, II., Z094. 1 532 Philosophy Pt. IV Bk. IV Christ ' Some are satisfied with this position and go no farther. Others fuse the material and vital elements, and so form a monistic hypothesis. The resulting universe will then be composed of an all-pervading, vitalized substance: the position of the old lonians. This is also the modern scientific Monism, so ably advanced by Professor Haeckel. If this position does not present all that's desired, as a cosmological theory, this substance may be called God: which offers some gratification to certain minds. This is the Pantheism of Spinoza; in reality it but gives another name to the iilyiia of the Ionian thinkers. The Divinity is invited in at one door of the Cosmos, so to speak, and bidden farewell at another, as Haeckel shows. If none of these positions seems suflficiently inspiring, modem rational thought has but one resource: it must turn to an analysis of experience as its only refuge. Victor Cousin, after exhausting earlier systems, attempts to formulate these in a system combining their best elements; various forms of Eclecticism will be the result. If any of these satisfy the intelligence, inquiry ceases. If not, Auguste Comte presents another method, the Positive, consisting in the formulation of the sciences as a school of thought. Strange to say, the mysterious force of religion is here found again as in the thought of those " atheists," Democritus and Epicurus. In place of the worship of the Gods, however, Comte suggests the worship of humanity; though why any one who declines to worship the Divinity should worship anything is not made clearer than in the theology of Epicurus or Lucretius. This "anthropolatry" of Comteism is among the strangely distorted evidences of what might be called a theistic instinct in man. Huxley, while recognizing 1 that the service of his fellow man is not only an intelligible, but a laudable resolution, and, in the proper sense of the word, a religion, adds with reference to the Comtian religion: "But when the Comtist asks me to worship * Humanity* — that is to say, to adore the generalised conception of men as they have ever been and probably ever will be — I must reply that I could just as soon bow down and worship the generalised conception of a 'wilderness of apes.'" Another form of intelligence, of which Huxley is the type, abandons any attempt to reach an ultimate solution of the problems of existence; thus, he invents the "Agnostic" position, which shelters many a clear and fearless intellect together with his own. ' Science and Christian Tradition, Agnosticism, p. 355. S33 Tyndall^ says: "The animal world is, so to say, a distillation through the vegetable world from inorganic nature. From this point of view all three worlds constitute a unity, in which I picture life as immanent ever3rwhere." This is pure hylozoism, as recognized by Haeckel. Tyndall, however, continues: "Nor am I anxious to shut out the idea that the life here spoken of may be but a subordinate part and function of a Higher Life, as the living, moving blood is subordinate to the living man. I resist no such idea as long as it is not dogmatically imposed. Left for the human mind freely to operate upon, the idea has ethical vitality; but stiffened into a dogma, the inner force disappears, and the outward yoke of a usurping hierarchy takes its place." Mr. Spencer's attitude seems to be purely mechanical and anthropo- logical. He says in First Principles^ in a suggestive passage with reference to the controversy between science and religion: "An un- biased consideration of its general aspects forces us to conclude that religion, ever3rwhere present as a weft running through the warp of human history, expresses some eternal fact; while it is almost a truism to say of science that it is an organized mass of facts, ever growing and ever being more completely purified from errors, and if both have bases in the reality of things, then between them there must be a funda- mental harmony. It is an incredible hypothesis that there are two orders of truth, in absolute and everlasting opposition. Only in some Manichean theory, which amongst ourselves no one dares openly avow, however much his beliefs may be tainted by it, is such a supposition even conceivable. That religion is divine and science diabolical is a proposition which, though implied in many a clerical decla- mation, not the most vehement fanatic can bring himself distinctly to assert. "Each side, therefore, has to recognize the claims of the other as standing for truths that are not to be ignored. He who contemplates the universe from the religious point of view must learn to see that this which we call science is one constituent of the great whole; and as such ought to be regarded with a sentiment like that which the remainder excites. While he who contemplates the universe from the scientific point of view must learn to see that this which we call religion is similarly a constituent of the great whole; and, being such, must be treated as a subject of science with no more prejudice than any other reality. It * Fragments of Science, Vol. II. , p. 245. M6,p.i& ■ I 'I .1 I. ; ■ ' i i I ': S34 Philosophy Pt. IV behooves each party to strive to understand the other, with the con- viction that the other has something worthy to be understood; and with the conviction that when mutually recognized this something will be the basis of a complete reconciliation." In the Principles of Sociology ^ after an interesting review of the closely allied nature of the various phenomena of religion, Mr. Spencer^ says: "We get from this kinship of beliefs among races remote in time, space, and culture, strong warrant for the inference that ghost-propitiarion is the origin of all religions." The "eternal fact," therefore, which Mr. Spencer regards as underiying the ever present phenomena of religion, seems to be "ghost-propitiation." Mr. Spencer regrets, however, that this position does not appeal to a certain type of intelligence. He says:^ "It is strange how impervious to evidence the mind becomes when once prepossessed. One would have thought that such an accumulation of proofs, congruous with the proofs yielded by multitudinous other societies, would have convinced every one that the Egyptian religion was a developed ancestor-worship. But such proofs appear to have no effects in the minds of the theologians and the mythologists." The butterfly in the net, the i^uxt) in the dungeon; thought, fettered with sense and reason, is forced to one of the following positions: It ceases to think at all, it accepts Atomism or Skepticism, or it begins to analyze experience as its sole resource. Its movement from this point will depend upon what it imderstands by experience. If it regards certain phases of thought leading into German metaphysics, as embraced in experience, it can follow Kant with the Practical Reason. If it regards the possibilities of thought as exhausted in earlier systems, it may at- tempt an eclectic process of selection with M. Cousin. Other concep- tions of experience may lead to various forms of Pragmatism with James or Bergson. If it regards the experimental sciences as exhausting the field of human experience, it may follow Comte in his positive formula- tion of these. If it regards a wider synthesis as possible, it may follow Mr. Spencer with his Synthetic Philosophy. The position chosen among these or other attitudes of modem thought depends upon the meaning lent to "experience." None of these positions, however, satisfies a portion of the thinking or of the unt hink ing world. Inductions based upon experience, in its philosophic sense, seem incapable of reaching the theological and « Vol II.. I S84, p. 675. t VoL II., i 586. p. 603. aote. . i Bk. IV Christ S3S mythological intellects. As Mr. Spencer says, they seem "impervious" to his most seductive generalizations of this nature. If the theologians and mythologists had attempted to demonstrate to Mr. Spencer the truth of some theory of vision or application of force, by means of symbolized deductions from the Sybiline oracles, or mystical citations from inspired writings, the chances are that Mr. Spencer would have been as "impervious" to their demonstrations as the theologians to Mr. Spencer^s theory that ghost-propitiation was the origin of all religion. Mr. Spencer would probably have said that a false method leading nowhere had been adopted. And here the ques- tion might be asked, whether Mr. Spencer had not adopted an analogous method in his religious investigations; whether, in fact, in attempting to judge the entire field of religion, or of ultra-rarional, ultra-sensible experience by means of empirical and anthropological standards, Mr. Spencer had not confused two distinct fields of inquiry. The very imperviousness of the theological intellect to the results of such methods suggests the thought. A system to which a large part of the intellectual world is impervious seems proportionately lacking; correspondingly devoid of the essentials of a perfect synthesis. Mr. Spencer speaks of religion everywhere present in human history as expressing some "eter- nal fact," as having a "basis in the reality of things," as "standing for truths not to be ignored," as being with science "a constituent of the great whole," as "having something worthy to be understood," that "when recognized will be the basis of a complete reconciliation"; yet all Mr. Spencer has to offer toward such recognition and reconciliation is a theory of "ghost-propitiation." And here occurs a question with refer- ence to the meaning of the word "experience" in inquiry. Experience can have but one comprehensive, philosophic meaning, which embraces the essentials of all phases of human experience. The sum of the historical records of humanity presents the legitimate field covered by human experience, and these records show important evi- dence of experience referred to untra-rational, ultra-sensible influence. They show evidence of experience which has dominated, and still dom- inates, large portions of mankind, to the apparent exclusion of experi- ence to be referred to rational or sensible causes. Mr. Spencer and Professor Haeckel may mass irrefutable evidence through libraries of volumes; may explain all the phenomena of nature, from the formation of the first nebula down to the last sermon in Saint Paul's, upon a mon- istic or ghost-propitiative hypothesis; present them with every scientific f r r t > ' if. 536 Philosophy Pt. IV authority, and the result will but demonstrate the imperviousness of the theological intellect to evidence of this nature. If the most beautiful abstractions of the idealistic philosopher are presented to the experimental scientist, in order to show that there are no such things as matter and motion, the scientist will probably change the subject: All his investigations, the entire action of his faculties, are based upon the existence of matter and motion, which he perceives flowing beneath the observation of his senses, turn where he will. If an attempt is made to demonstrate to the idealistic thinker that nothing exists but moving matter, he will perhaps decline to develop the issue, for he perceives that the demonstration itself can proceed but through a sequence of ideas which the motion of matter fails to explain. One refers explanation ultimately to sense, the other to consciousness. One moves in a world limited by sense impressions, the other in a world boimd by subjective abstractions. Thus, when it is attempted to demonstrate to the theologian that matter and motion constitute the sum of existence, the only thing demonstrated is the imperviousness of the theological intellect to the evidence adduced. The experimental scientist moves in a world limited by his faculties of observation; he cannot follow the idealist in a field of rationalized abstractions; and neither can follow the theologian who moves in an ultra-rational, ultra-sensible world. Neither Democritus nor Epicurus can demonstrate the existence of their very insignificant theogonies; and where these men fail in such modest efforts, success need scarcely be expected where others labour imder much heavier theo- logical burdens. Here another method of inquiry may be suggested with reference to an analysis of experience. Since the days of Protagoras, no rational intelligence accepts explana- tion not containable within itself. The Cosmos, then, in its philo- sophic sense, can mean but the external world as reflected in the percipi- ent subject. What then is the Cosmos? "Matter," says one school, and explains all phenomena satisfactorily to itself upon this hypothesis. To another school this h)^thesis leaves all the phenomena of mind unexplained. "The Cosmos consists of idealistic, subjective impressions," says this school, and offers cor- responding explanations. But both these hypotheses break down when brought in contact with the demands of another school as explaining the phenomena of religion. These answers, therefore, are acceptable as far as they go, but incomplete where they fail. Bk. IV Christ S37 The student of Aristotle will recall his method in the Ethics of re- solving the human consciousness into certsdn elements for examination. This method might here be adopted. Human experience is written in human history; this experience shows that man has approached the problems of existence from three distinct positions: The physical, the psychical, and the theological. History, or the book of human experience, is written with three pens dipped, as it were, in sense, in reason, and in something other than these. The human consciousness might thus be compared to a triangular prism; the ray of light derived from external nature being broken, as it is reflected from its surface and resolved into a spectrum; thus forming the impression upon the subject derived from the "sum of things"; the rays and colours may, of course, subdivide and intermingle in endless combinations and variations. Thus, to continue the analogy, the sides of the prism might represent pure sense, pure reason, and something which eludes the most per- sistent scrutiny of both. This third side might be called Life, or God. Any comprehensive analysis of experience should apparently include these three elements, for the records of consciousness, or the experi- ence of mankind, present evidence of all three to the observation; as Mr. Spencer says, "everywhere present as a weft nmning through the warp of human history." The thought of even the first and greatest of "atheists and materialists," Democritus and Epicurus, presents evidence of this nature in no negligible quantity; while other minds and even whole historical epochs seem dominated by no other influence. The phe- nomena of religion are as persistent in history as those of any other phase of experience. "The world," says Tyndall,i "will have a religion of some kind." The pure materialist disregards the philosophic significance of this fact; posits an inscrutable mystery which he calls Matter, and bases his interpretations of nature thereon. The idealist neglects the evidence of sense, resolves the world into another inscrutable mystery which he calls Mind, and develops idealistic systems. Another type of consciousness begins its investigations by positing another inscrutable mystery, which it calls God, and weaves endless theological formxilae. To these three elements of himian consciousness may the sum of human experience be traced, and a comprehensive conception of experience should embrace all three; for the reason that evidence of all three is everywhere found » Fragments of Scieme, Vol. IL, p. asa 538 Philosophy Pt. IV !■ I '! and the field of experience can, consequently, not be covered without aU three hypotheses. In ultimate analysis all three of these elements of consciousness present a blank and formless chaos, one no less than another, and may thus be regarded as the three final phases of consciousness, or sides, of the psychical prism. This prism, then, may be examined under three headings: The Law of Substance, the Law of Reason, and the Law of God. The Law of Substance seems to be Atomism, the Law of Reason skeptical quietism. What then is the law of something other than these? How may it be discovered, how determined within the human conscious- ness? In what way should a rational study of religious experience proceed? By what standards should it be judged? What method adopted in its analysis? Comte, in his Positive system of experience neglects religious experi- ence altogether, and attempts to divert the religious instinct to what Huxley calls "anthropolatry." Mr. Spencer, who presents perhaps the most extensive synthesis of experience yet formulated, refers his examina- tion of religious experience to social, political, and anthropological standards and reduces the entire field to "ghost-propiriation." But if the human consciousness presents three distinct sides to external nature — that is, if history traces experience in three distinct fields ■— it seems that the interpretation of the experience of religion in terms applicable to political or pathological inquiry may be considered as imsdentific. If, as Mr. Spencer says, religion may be regarded as "one constituent of the great whole," with a "basis in reality" to be "treated as a sub- ject of science," it may seem that the same method should be brought to the study of religion as to the study of any other phenomena express- ing some "eternal fact." To interpret the phenomena of matter in terms of the phenomena of matter is not alone legitimate but essential to intelligent investigation. To interpret rationalized thought in rational terms is equally necessary; but to interpret the phenomena of matter in terms of idealistic abstrac- tions, independentiy of experience, can lead to no intelligent result; any more than the attempt to judge of a generalization by means of weight or chemical analysis; for a generalization, as such, can neither be weighed nor analyzed in a laboratory. A generalization can only be analyzed legitimately in relation to other generalizations dealing with Bk. IV Christ S39 phenomena of the same kind and belonging to the same field of inquiry. Thus rationalized conceptions can properly be analyzed but in relation to rational conceptions; the phenomena of matter in relation to analogous phenomena of matter; and, by the same rule, the phenomena of religion can be analyzed rationally and "as a subject of science" in relation to analogous phenomena alone; that is, in relation to the phenomena of religion. In the history of the development of the experimental sciences there is a large field traceable to political and religious influences. This fact, however, presents but slight justification for referring all science to political or religious origins. Thus the reference of all religious experience to anthropological sources may seem not unlike gauging the power of an electric dynamo with a yardstick, or the speed of a ship with a ther- mometer. The history of thought is but the story of the action and reaction, upon each other, of ideas derived from three distinct sources; and as such suggests that the phenomena of religion cannot be approached from the empirical, or anthropological, point of view. That side of the psychic prism presenting its surface to ultra-human influences is as impervious to the light which pierces the other sides as one of these to the light which pierces the other; and the attempt to trace ultra- rational, ultra-sensible phenomena through rational, sensible categories seems a false method. It is a question whether any pure intelligence, any Greek, such as Gorgias or Aristotle, would adopt such a method with the material at hand which modern scholarship presents for a comparative analytical examination of the field of religion, as religion. Gorgias^ shows that what is evident to one sense cannot be referred to another; and that phenomena can be judged but by a criterion of the same kind. " Science and method begin," says Aristotle,^ "when from many conceptions derived from experience one universal conception is evolved which will embrace similar cases." It is obvious in inquiry that cases must be similar and the criterion adopted of the same kind as the things judged. It may thus seem, if the human mind is ever to reach a comprehen- sive synthesis of experience, that such a synthesis should embrace all experience; that is, include religious experience. This, it seems, can be done but by adopting the same method with reference to the phenomena of religion that the scientist would adopt with reference to scientific ■ Sextus Empiricus. Adv. Log. VU. 8i, p. 289. , t Uttaph. h. 1, 981 a s. f S40 Philosophy Pt. IV thought. He would turn the attention to the study of the minds which had dominated the history of their fields; for he would know that by this means alone could be reached the final comprehensive sources of the experience considered; and when this same method is adopted with reference to religious experience, wiQ a comprehensive conception of the subject be approached. The fact that the evolution of the natural sciences presents an enor- mous mass of ignorance, error, dogmatic theorizing, empirical and a priori speculation, need not lead to the opinion that the best thought arising from it is pure fallacy. The fact that the human philosophic reason throughout its entire history has done nothing but develop a series of rings, collapsing periodically in exactly the same phases of Atomism and Skepticism, need not lead to the total neglect of the ra- tional faculties. Thus, in the same way, the fact that a vast amount of the phases of religion to be seen in every part of the world is but a dreary repetition of the same dull dogma and superstition, need not lead to the denial of the existence of God. The hiunan mind would have to transcend the conditions of its existence in order to demonstrate either the non-existence or the existence of God, and all such attempts, as Huxley says, are but "senseless babble" or "lunar politics." The method adopted in any comprehensive analysisof experience should be the method of that Muse whom Huxley calls his "liege lady" — Natural Science. It should be the same method as that of the metallur- gist in his laboratory, in making a test for copper or gold. He first samples all material to be examined, with reference to a given relative standard. He next reduces these samples to a single, proportionately representative body; and the nugget of pure metal remaining in the crucible after this has been put through the furnace and all flux removed is that of which he is in search: the imit, by means of which the value of all the ore bodies under observation may be judged. It may be said, however, that he never mixes bodies which have no relation to each other. He never mixes iron ore with gold-bearing quartz — he keeps his samples and his metal pure. The questions met, therefore, with reference to religion are: What is the material to be examined? How may the necessary samples be obtained? How may these be put through the furnace of comparative analysis, and how reduced to a single body? To the first question, in any inquiry based upon experience, there can be but one answer: the material to be examined should be the entire body of thought, in its Bk. IV Christ S4I most authoritative form, that has dominated the religious history of man. The answer to the second question seems equally obvious: the samples can only be obtained by choosing, from the ultimate sources examined, certain characteristic thought with reference to typically religious problems. These can then be reduced to a single body by being brought together and compared one with another in their re- lations to these problems. This whole process, with the exception of a single final test, has been completed. The fundamental questions of religion have been stated to the sources. Their answers have been gathered and compared. The essential problems with which religion deals were found to be four — God, Immortality, Mediation, Ethics. Varying answers were discovered to these questions, certain teachers lending greater prominence to one question than to another, or neglect- ing issues which other teachers regarded as of paramoimt importance. Thus, Confucius neglects the ideas of God and immortality, and turns his thought largely to ethics. Mohammed dwells at great length upon God and immortality, and seems less interested in ethical ques- tions than others. Zoroaster, Socrates, Plato, and the Upanishads dwell largely upon man's immortal nature, and his union with God as his highest hope. Buddha seems to turn his thought chiefly to earthly love and pity. All this thought, however, when brought together and compared, presents a certain consistent attitude toward religious problems; a chain, as it were, nmning through all religions, binding them more or less closely together. This chain of thought thus seemed to lead to the essentials of a typical or imiversal religion embracing the others. This religion pre- sented the following atitudes toward fundamental religious problems: 1. The recognition of an infinite Intelligence, or self-conscious, spir- itual Divinity. 2. Man's immortality or union with God. 3. The divine inspiration of certain teachers. 4. A system of ethics or morality which almost invariably takes the form of the injunction of doing unto others as we would have them do unto us. The words of one important religious teacher remain to be studied. These four questions may now be answered in the words of Jesus of Nazareth: God? Immortality? Mediation? Ethics? He says: I. God? " God is a Spirit: and they that worship him must worship in spirit and truth." ^ ijohn. IV: 24 I 54^ Philosophy Pt. IV H I 2. Immortality? "Verily, verily, I say unto you, If a man keep my word, he shall never see death. "^ "Neither for these only do I pray, but for them also that believe on me through their word; that they may all be one; even as thou, Father, art in me, and I in thee, that they also may be in us."2 3. Mediation? "And the high priest said unto him, I abjure thee by the living God, that thou tell us whether thou be the Christ, the Son of God. Jesus saith unto him, Thou hast said."^ 4. Ethics? "All things therefore whatsoever ye would that men should do unto you, even so do ye also unto them: for this is the law and the prophets.'*^ These words seem to contain the vital elements of all Science, Rea^ son, and Religion. In Ethics, they exhaust the best that Science and Reason have to offer; Science and Reason can go no farther. In their conception of Mediation, they present a comprehensive Intelligence which postulates itself. Their conception of Immortality rises to that of the noblest of the Vpanishads; in their hope of the union of God and man, in a way that ennobles man, but in no sense debases God. The conception of God as a Spirit, whose worship is Truth, has never been, and probably never will be, transcended by the human mind. SaysRenan:^ "The day he pronounced those words, he really was the Son of God. He spoke for the first time the word on which shall rest the religion of Eternity. He founded the pure worship of no age nor land; the reUgion of every lofty soul until the end of time. His religion on that day was not only the reUgion of humanity, it was the absolute religion; and, if on other planets beings dwell, endowed with reason and morality' their religion can never be other than that which Jesus proclaimed at Jacob's well. Man could not rest therein, for one attains the ideal for but a moment. The word of Jesus was a gleam in a sombre night. It has taken eighteen hundred years for the eyes of mankind (what do I say, for an infinitely small portion of mankind) to grow accustomed to it! But the gleam shaU become the full day; and, after having exhausted 1 Ibid.. VIU: SI. Ubid., XVU: 20. » Matt., XXVI: 63. < Ibid.. VII: 12. > Vie de Jtsus, p. 244. 1 1 ■ •$ 4 I'd Bk. IV Christ 543 every circle of error, humanity will return to those words as to the im- mortal expression of its faith and of its hope." These words contain the essence of the scientifically reasoned philo- sophic systems and great religions of the world. If the total of human experience may be referred to three comprehensive fields, the world, as reflected in the human experience, or consciousness, must be regarded as a triple, not as a single or a dual, object of study; and the three sides it presents are Sense and Reason, and something other than either. Sense and Reason when fully analyzed, singly or combined, reduce the world and man to a formless chaos of substance or ignorance, and then unite in the Ethics of Christ as their only vital principle. The words of Christ then transcend these and embrace the best^ of the religions of the world. Thus, human experience in its comprehensive sense: Science, Reason, and Religion combined, might be summarized in the thought suggested by the one word — Christ. This is the nugget of pure metal lying at the bottom of the crucible. In the words of Renan: "He really was the Son of God." ! f 1 1 ^!i ; j if 1 \ ^mm Part V BOOK I POLITICAL THEORY BOOK II POLITICAL PRACTICE BOOK III PRACTICAL POLITICS < '!' ' 'M ii ) I I I I Book I POLITICAL THEORY CHAPTER I INTRODUCTION AN," says Aristotle,^ "is naturally a political animal." If so, it seems that many of man's most enduring achieve- ments should be sought within the field of social and political organization. Yet, since the great Athenians, political history presents slight realization of such hope, there are few subjects seemingly within the legitimate range of the human inteUigence involving such illusive and conflicting material, and in which so little progress may be traced since the first systematic statement of its problems. Political thought to-day, in its more general aspects, is concerned with much the same questions with which it was occupied some thousands of years ago. The fundamental problems in administrative organization are the relations to the society and to each other of the different administrative powers created. How are these powers to be derived? Upon what principle should their control be governed? These are the first questions met in the organization of political systems. In nearly every field of thought, inquiry exhausts itself sooner or later, in a position developed in Athens over two thousand years ago as the ultimate analysis of which the subject is capable. Political inquiry is no exception. The old Greek analysis of the One, the Few, and the Many exhausts the classi- fication of the forms in which the administrative powers of political systems may exist. Aristotle accepts this analysis and says^ that the supreme authority of States must be in the hands of One, of Few, or of Many. Where these systems appear in their perfectly realized form, the resulting society presents a pure Autocracy, a pure Aristocracy, or a pure Democracy. When, however, any one of these pure forms is * Politics. A. », 1353 ^ <• I' V 547 I I i { 548 Political Theory Pt. V brought into actual existence, there is always a tendency to degenerate into what might be called its corresponding corruption. Thus, a society which selects its ablest man, and gives him absolute power, establishes a pure kingship, or Autocracy; but with changing conditions or under his less able successors, this Autocracy will gradually be transformed into an oppressive tyranny, or despotism. Again, where a society surrenders its powers to a few men of the highest attain- ments or birth, the society establishes an Aristocracy which may be of great temporary advantage. Experience shows, however, that a pure Aristocracy sooner or later abuses its power and degenerates into a corrupt oligarchy. Again, a society attempting to govern itself through the popular will alone shows an inevitable tendency to develop into a formless and headless body under mob rule; a condition of which the rule of the One usually presents the only available remedy. If these are the ultimate forms in which political society may be organized, and if each shows a tendency to change and degenerate, it seems that the history of the typical society will present a sequence of these administrative phases gradually superseding each other; the pure form originally established degenerating into its corresponding corruption when a revolutionary change will occur; the earlier form being replaced by another, until all the phases are exhausted; when the society will begin to repeat the process. This seems in fact to be the law of what might be called political motion. This law has been observed and for- mulated by the most competent political and constitutional observers. The natural sequence seems to be in the order named. In its earliest stages, when the need for thoroughly centralized authority is great, a society generally develops a pure kingship, or Autocracy, which sooner or later becomes a despotic tyranny. The strongest men will then organ- ize in order to rid themselves of the tyrant and found an aristocratic system. The Aristocracy will become an oppressive oligarchy, which the people will eventually throw off and found a Democracy. The Democracy will fall into the hands of the corruptionists, develop factions and civil wars, with the result that the society will be forced to throw itself under the sword of a dictator and the process begins anew. It is, of course, under exceptional conditions that one man will be able to trace the entire sequence in any single society; for the life of the organization may outlast that of its units many times over. Yet the lives of certain men at times happened to fall at such periods that their opinions with reference to political and constitutional changes are Bk. I Introduction 549 of peculiar interest. In the entire range of history the field of this nature opened to Polybius was perhaps unique. As a Greek he was in pos- session of the best of Hellenic thought; but, his life, falling as it did toward the close of Greek civilization, and passed largely at Rome showed him the birth and growth of a new power and all the poUtical movements of that exceptional period. Two worlds were thus unfolded to the view of a single man, and one well equipped for their intelligent observation. The value of the opinion of Polybius with reference to constitutional evolution could not be better shown than in the words of Freeman:^ "There was one Greek historian before whose eyes the history of the world was laid open as it never was to any other man before or after. There was one man who, in the compass of a single life, had been as it were a dweller in two worlds, in two wholly different stages of man's bemg. To the experience of Polybios the old life of independent Greece, the border warfare and the internal politics of her commonwealths, had been the familiar scenes of his earlier days. His cMldhood had been brought up among the traditions of the Achaian League, among men who were fellow-workers with Markos and Aratos. His birth would almost fall in days when Megalopolis stood, under the rule of Lydiadas, as an independent unit in the independent world of Hellas. The son of Lykortas, the pupil of Philopoim^n, may have sat as a child on the knees of the deliverer of Siky6n and Corinth. He could remember the times when the tale of the self-devotion of their illustrious tyrant must have still soimded like a trumpet in the ears of the men of the Great City". He had himself borne to the grave the urn of the last hero of his native land, cut off, as Anaxandros or Archidamos might have been, in border warfare with the rebels of Mess^n^. He could remember times when Macedonia, perhaps even when Carthage, was still an independent and mighty power, able to grapple on equal terms with the advancing, but as yet not overwhelming, power of Rome. He lived to see all swept away. He lived to see Africa, Macedonia, and Greece itself, either incorporated with the Roman dominion or mocked with a shadow of freedom which left them abject dependents on the will of the conquering people. He saw the dominion of the descendants of Seleukos, the truest heirs of Alexander's conquests, shrink up from the vast empu-e of western Asia into the local sovereignty of a Syrian king- dom. He saw Pergamos rise to its momentary greatness and Egypt 1 Comparative Politics, p. aoa. IM! [i li 5SO Political Theory Pt. V B lili begin the first steps of its downward course. He saw the gem of Asiatic history, the wise Confederation of Lykia, rise into being after the model of the State m which his own youth had been spent. He lived to stand by the younger Scipio beside the flames of Carthage, and, if he saw not the nun of Corinth with his own eyes, he lived to legislate for the help- less Roman dependency into which the free HeUenic League of his youth had changed. The man who saw all this saw changes greater than the men who lived in the days of Theodoric and Justinian, or the men who lived in the days of the elder Buonaparte." This passage suggests political changes involving several generations, tte hves of many miUions of men, and scores of constitutional systems The movement of so many political aggregates passing through different constitutional phases, as Freeman says, in all likelihood never feU before or smce beneath the eyes of a single trained observer. The opinion of Polybius, therefore, with reference to the movement of constitutional systems is worth attention. The cycle mentioned is that observed by Polybius: Autocracy, Aris- tocracy, Democracy, which seem to degenerate progressively and foUow each other automatically whenever men unite in the formation of political society. "This," says Polybius,i "is the regular cycle of constitutional revolutions, and the natural order in which constitutions change, are transformed, and return again to their original stage. If a man have a clear grasp of these principles he may perhaps make a mis- take as to the dates at which this or that will happen to a particular constitution; but he will rarely be entirely mistaken as to the stage of growth or decay at which it has arrived, or as to the point at which it will undergo some revolutionary change." The pure forms of Autocracy, Aristocracy, and Democracy rarely appear upon the stage of events; the average constitution being one in which these are mixed in different combinations. In no mixed system however, has a perfect balance ever been obtained between these powers' one or the other always gains an ascendency, encroaches upon the fields of the others, and sooner or later, with increasing influence, develops its own pure form. When a pure power thus appears, the society often begms to pass through the pure phases of the sequence traced. When this momentum is exhausted, mixed forms reappear and the process repeats itself. *^ .^J^tle^s study of the Greek sUtes under his observation led him to . '^Tk€ Bisiorics 0/ Polybius, VI., 9. Shuchburgh's TransUtion. Vol. I. p. 466. Bk. I Introduction SSI regard that mentioned as the most natural sequence through which con- stitutional changes occur. ^ The most noteworthy constitutional sequence in antiquity, however, is upon the great stage of Roman history; the political and legal genius of the Roman people lending it peculiar effect and interest. Thus the early autocratic kingship degenerates into the usual despotic tyranny. This throws sufficient power into the hands of the leading men to supplant the tyranny with the aristocratic power of the patricians. The abuse of this power begins to throw the balance toward the plebeians, which results in the struggle of the orders and the Marian upheaval. The balance thrown entirely in the direction of the Many, produces the usual corrupt plutocracy, political factions, the usual civil wars culminating in the usual dictatorship. The society, after going through the regular forms of the typical constitutional sequence reproduces the pure autocracy of the first stage of the social life which is followed by the disintegration of the society. Thus, had Polybius, after watching this process in antiquity, seen the early mixed systems of England gradually give way to the pure despotism of the Stewarts, he would probably have predicted that a constitutional revolution was to be expected. The question would then be whether the balance would fall toward Aristocracy or Democracy. This will depend upon the relative stability of existing institutions. The popular Assembly held the balance with the result that a pure Democracy was established. Had he then watched the hopeless phases through which the Long Parliament drifted, he would probably have said that a pure Autocracy was but a question of time. When the society had reestab- lished a pure one-man power, with Cromwell in control, he would possibly have said that the pure phases were now exhausted; that the Autocracy would collapse and the society go back to a mixed system with Aris- tocratic leaning. Had Polybius watched the earlier mixed constitutions of France gradually crystallize into the pure despotism of the Bourbons, he would perhaps have wondered what form the Revolution would take. If the Aristocracy supports despotism, the power will fall toward Democracy, as it had in England in the previous century. Democracy in control and mob-rule everywhere in force, the date at which a dictatorship will be established becomes the next question. The Napoleonic dictatorship in full power, he would probably have begun to estimate what mixed form the society would adopt. When the mixed Monarchy had super- » Eth.. Nic. r. la, X160 b aa. a. PdiHa T. 15. 1286 b 8 et sc(^ '^ II 552 Political Theory Pt. V seded the pure Autocracy, he would have studied the constitution in order to see which power held the balance and would develop a pure form. The pure Democracy of the revolution 1848 in operation, he would expect the pure power of the second Republic to give way to the pure Autocracy of the second Empire. The pure Autocracy in control, the society has again exhausted the pure sequences, will develop some more or less mixed form and get ready to begin over again. It seems that no form of administrative organization has ever been conceived in which the final controlling power is not in the hands of one man, of a few men, or of the representatives of the many; and this controlling balance, into which- ever power it falls, is mathematically certain to develop a pure power sooner or later, which will degenerate, and roimd the society will begin to revolve through the usual rings of revolution and re- organization. This seems to be the law governing the action of organized constitu- tional force. This is the law which led Talleyrand always to regard Napoleon, even at the height of his power, as an ephemeral phenomenon and Moscow as "the beginning of the end." This is the law which led Macaulay to predict in 1857 that, as soon as the land was occupied, the population of the American Republic would begin to repeat all the phases of older societies. "You may think that your country enjoys exemption from these evils," he wrote^ to Randall; "I will frankly own to you that I am of a very different opinion. Yoiu: fate I believe to be certain, though it is deferred by a physical cause. As long as you have a boundless extent of fertile and unoccupied land, your labouring population will be far more at ease than the labouring population of the Old World, and, while that is the case, the Jefferson politics may continue to exist without causing any fatal calamity. But the time will come when New England is as thickly populated as Old England. . . . Then your institutions will be fairly brought to the test. . . . There will be, I fear, spoliation. The spoliation will increase the distress. The distress will produce fresh spoliation. There is nothing to stop you. Your constitution is all sail and no anchor. . . . Either some Caesar or Napoleon will seize the reins of government with a strong hand, or yoiu: Republic will be as fearfully plundered and laid waste by bar- barians in the twentieth century as the Roman Empire was in the fifth; with this difference, that the Huns and Vandals who ravaged the Roman Empire c ame from without, and that yoiu: Hims and Vandals will have » Macaulay 's Life and Letters. Vol. II., pp. 408, 400. . 5 < Bk. I Introduction 553 been engendered within your own country by your own institutions. This seems to be the law governing poUtical motion and, watched at work for thousands of years, it seems ahnost as regular in its acUon as the law of gravitation. When this law is understood, little hope of stabihty will be enter- tained for any of the final forms of poUtical organization in their punty. A pure Aristocracy seems but the foundation for a democratic upheaval; a pure Democracy but a dictatorship in embryo. The result is that informed poUtical inquiry turns to the development of constitutional systems embracing the advantageous elements of the three admmis- trative forms while discarding their dangers and corruptions. As Polybiusi says, none of the three forms in its purity can be regarded as the best. The best constitution, or organized citadel of adminis- trative power, should be constructed of the best elements of aU three, with the eUmination, or counter-checking, through another power of their dangerous phases. This same idea announced so many centuries ago is constantly repeated to-day wherever men turn then: attention to constitutional organization. Says Freeman i^ "The older school of English constitutional writers deUghted to show that the English Consti- tution contained a monarchic, an aristocratic, and a democratic element, and that the three were wrought together in such true and harmomous proportion that we could enjoy the good side of all the three great forms of government without ever seeing the evil side of any of them. This is the point at which political inquiry of this nature begins. The problems before the constitution builder is so to combme, control, and balance the powers entrusted to the One, the Few, and the Many, that no smgle power may dominate the society or subvert the other two. In democratic constitutions this may take the form of a system of checks and balances between the Executive, the Judiciary, and the Legislature. The history of Europe shows, apparently, durmg the last century, that the English system of a Umited monarchy, an upper heredi- tary Chamber with veto power, and a flexible Ministry, representmg the majority of an elective Assembly is, for Anglo-Saxon soaety at least, as nearly stable a balance of administrative functions as has yet been discovered. In such a system, however, the beam of the scale will fall toward the lower House.^ Had Polybius watched it at work, he would »VI., 3, p. 459- « Growth of the English Constitution, p. u. « Cf. Growth of the English ConstUution, Freeman, pp. iSS. 231. l! i ■4 1 i\ i- II 554 Political Theory Pt. V probably expect the Crown gradually to lose its vital functions, he would probably believe that friction between the two Houses would tend to check the veto power of the upper Chamber and eventually reduce it to a mere shell. If such is the case, a pure Democracy is but a question of time. When the pure Democracy is developed, the society will reproduce the phases through which it passed in the seventeenth century, recombine and begin to repeat the mixed constitutional forms through which it has been passing periodically for about fourteen hundred years. ^ The history of the English Constitution seems to a large extent but a repro- duction of the history of other political constitutions, ancient and modem . * Whatever mixed system a society adopts, it neariy always develops a pure form sooner or later. The society will thus find itself periodically passing through analogous constitutional phases; recombining, reprodu- cing analogous combinations and then repeating. In the seventeenth century as Freeman well says:* "A King of England once more, as in the days of Henry and Sunon, stood forth in arms against his people to learn that the power of his people was a greater power than his. But in the seventeenth century, just as in the thirteenth, men did not ask for any rights and powers which were admitted to be new; they only asked for the better security of those rights and powers which had been handed on from days of old." Again,* speaking of the tribunal before which Charles the First was arraigned: "Even the vote by authority of which that tribunal acted, the vote which seems so strange and daring, the vote which declared that it was high treason for a King of England to levy war against his Parliament, was little more than a translation of an earlier vote which had declared John to be 'a perjured King in re- bellion against his Barons.'" Again, in i688, as Freeman says:^ "A true Assembly of the nation once more put forth its greatest power, and chose William of Orange, as, six hundred years before, another Assembly of the nation had chosen Harold the son of Godwine. The cycle had come round; the English people had won back again the rights which their fathers had brought with them from their old home beyond the seas." As soon as a Western society develops a pure Autocracy, this Autoc- >Ibid., pp. 30, 31. * Ibid., pp. 14, a seq. ' Ibid., p. zoQ. *Ibid., p, IS3. ■Ibid., p. IS4. Bk. I Introduction 5SS racy begins to degenerate and undermine its own power. The constitu- tional change is inevitable. The balance in the resulting society will lean toward Aristocracy or Democracy, and these two forms thus be- come the most familiar in modem political organization. There are apparently no others. The literature of the subject is large; the last half century being especially rich in the number of its contributions. This literature, as well as the forms of existing society, nearly always partakes of the nature of one or the other of these opposed schools of political thought. Perhaps the writings of Sir Henry Maine and Mr. Lecky on one side, and those of Karl Marx and Henry George on another may be regarded as more or less typical of each. No comprehensive view of the subject may be obtained, however, without extending the range of inquiry over a wider field than that of the immediate foreground. A great body of investigation dealing with political theory and political society exists, suggested by the names of Bryce, Morley, Sir Frederick Pollock, Grote, Adam Smith, Mill, The Fabian Essayist, Spencer, Taine, Turgot, Rousseau, de Tocqueville, the forerunners of the French Revolution, Locke, Hobbs, Owen, the German and Russian political writers and, in fact, practically all the political and jurisprudential thinkers from Confucius, Aristotle, and Cicero to Mr. Chamberlain, might be named. To say that this entire volume of thought might be divided exactly into two distinct portions would doubtless be an exaggeration; yet these two broad classifications nearly always make themselves felt, sooner or later, in some form or other. The division always presenting itself is that separating nearly all political inquiry into two schools; the schools of the Few and the school of the Many; the Aristocratic and Democratic systems. With the elimination of a transitory Despotism, it seems impossible to formu- late constitutional thought in terms not embraced in these two cate- gories. The final repository of political power must apparently be vested in the control of an established group, or derived from the community through the action of the vote. If the first is adopted, the society is Aristocratic, if the second, the basis of a Democracy has been formed. Political inquiry thus resolves itself into a comparison of Aristoc- racy and Democracy. The best way to study a political system is in the actual working of a society under it; the subject will, therefore, be examined in a brief analysis of the Aristocratic and Democratic systems in typical, existing societies. :l I. ■ '••I i MB CHAPTER n 111 I I I ARISTOCRACY IT IS not easy to study the history of nations under aristocratic constitutions and long remain in ignorance of the dangers of entrusting administrative power to the Few. The formation of class interests opposed to those of the Many is inevitable. The temptation of the Few to place their interests before those of the majority is always present, and experience shows not often resisted. Books have been multiplied indefinitely to prove the superiority of aristocratic political society; the considerations to be advanced in its favour as opposed to the democratic form are endless; some of the broader theoretical positions all but unanswerable; even Ruskin and Mr. Gladstone,! it may be remembered, styled themselves "inequaliUrians." Yet, when the attention is turned from these generalizations to the study of Aristocracy in fact, the system leaves much to be desired. There is but one basis for the best form of aristocratic political organi- zation: that basis is territorial possession. The ownership of land, as the foundation of political and legislative influence, is by far the best qualification for legislative influence in any aristocratic system. Prop- erty of this kind not only frees the legislature from corrupting external dangers, brings with it local influence, but to a certain extent blends the permanent interests of the owner and occupier of the land; that is, the interests of the administrative class and the interests of the society at large. On account then of the limited area of her land, and the fact that few, if any, modern societies have developed parliamentary institutions of a more liberal type, England presents the most favourably constituted modem example of aristocratic society: the society in which the application of aristocratic principles may be studied under most favourable conditions. It is not the present purpose to develop even the briefest review of the theoretical considerations to be advanced either for or against the aristocratic principle; the able works dealing with the subject need no repetition . The attention, on the contrary, is turned for a moment to the » Life of Gladstone, JcDm Mqrley. SS6 Bk. I Aristocracy SSI legislative history of the most successful aristocratic society of modem times. The only way in which facts may be studied with profit is in the light of some generalized process of classification. So, too, the only method of judging theory is to test its capacity for being brought in contact with facts. The way administrations meet conditions shows the resiilts of the principles upon which the adminstrative system of the society is based. It seems impossible then, for reasons given, to study the workings of an aristocratic administration under conditions more favourable than in the history of the English people. This history is exhaustively analyzed for a period of six hundred years, and the results presented by Professor Thorold Rogers in Work and Wages. The advantages of the aristocratic system here becomes clearly evident — for the administrative Aristocracy. As the attitude of a legislative Assembly, based upon the aristocratic principle, is studied, toward such questions as Acts regulating wages, ^ the debasement of the coin in which the wages were paid,^ quarter sessions assessment,^ the right of the peasantry to pasture and fuel,* enclosures,^ the confiscation of the funds of labour guilds,^ Laws of parochial settiements,^ dispro- portionate burden of taxes,^ Com Laws, and so on, these advantages come into startling relief; they seem, however, invariably, in favour of the administrative oligarchy; except where decisions undo the evil effects of previous decisions. Says Professor Rogers:^ "We have been able to trace the process by which the condition of English labour had been continually deteriorated by the acts of govern- ment. It was first impoverished by the issue of base money. Next it was robbed of its gidld capital by the land thieves of Edward's re- gency. It was next brought in contact with a new and more needy set of employers — the sheep masters who succeeded the monks. It was then with a pretence, and perhaps with the intention of kindness subjected to the quarter sessions assessment, mercilessly used in the first half of the seventeenth century, the agricultural labourer being still further impoverished by being made the residuum of all labour. 1 Work and Wages, p. 480. • Ibid., p. 428. » Ibid., p. 353. < Ibid., p. 488. » Ibid. • Ibid., p. 349. » Ibid., p. 433. • Ibid., p. 505. • Ibid., p. 488. 11 a a w i'< f^l iK' SS^ Political Theory pt. V The agricultural labourer was then further mulcted by enclosures, and the extinction of those immemorial rights of pasture and fuel which he had enjoyed so long. The poor law professed to find him work, but was so administered that the reduction of his wages to a bare subsistence be- came an easy process and an economical expedient. When the monarchy was restored, his employers, who fixed his wages by their own authority, relieved their own estates from their ancient dues at the expense of his poor luxuries by the excise, tied him to the soil by the Law of Settie- ment, and starved him by a prohibitive com law." It is not easy to add to this interesting summary of the "practical" advantages accruing to a people who surrender themselves to the mercies of an aristocratic administration. A few others, however, have been presented in the words of Cobden.^ In fact, any one who studies the action of the average aristocratic legislative assembly, in Great Britain or elsewhere, may be led to the opinion that such an assembly is never so well employed as when en- gaged in the reversal of its own decisions. It is not easy to estimate the amoimt of legislation developed by the Com Laws. All this mass of legislative complication grew out of ignorance or worse, and the one step which possessed any value in the long chain was but the repeal of legislation which should never have been enacted. Says Buckle^ in speaking of the repeal of the Com Laws: "I have selected this instance as an illustration be- cause the facts connected with it are imdisputed, and, indeed, are fresh in the memory of us all. For it was not concealed at the time, and posterity ought to know, that this great measure, which, with the ex- ception of the Reform Bill, is by far the most important ever passed by a British Parliament, was, like the Reform Bill, extorted from the legis- lature by a pressure from without; that it was conceded, not cheerfully, but with fear; and that it was carried by statesmen who had spent their lives in opposing what they now suddenly advocated. Such was the history of these events; and such likewise has been the history of all those improvements which are important enought to rank as epochs in the history of modem legislation. "Besides this, there is another circumstance worthy the attention of those writers who ascribe a large part of European civilization to meas- ures originated by European governments. This is, that every great > Cf., p. m. * History of Civilisation in England, Vol. I, p. 334. Bk. I Aristocracy SS9 reform, which has been effected, has consisted, not in doing something new, but in undoing something old. The most valuable additions made to legislation have been enactments destructive of previous legislation; and the best laws which have been passed, have been those by which some former laws were repealed. In the case just mentioned, of the corn laws, all that was done was to repeal the old laws, and leave trade to its natural freedom." The actual history of aristocratic govemments shows, as Buckle points out, that the most important steps taken by 'these have been forced upon them from without, in the first place; and in the second, consist chiefly in the repeal of their own legislation. As Lord Acton* well says with reference to the action of corporate bodies: "The House of Lords represents one great interest — land. A body that is held together by a common character and has common interests is necessarily disposed to defend them. Individuals are accessible to motives that do not reach multitudes, and may be on their guard against themselves. But a corporation, according to a profoimd saying, has neither body to kick nor soul to save. The principle of self-interest is sure to tell upon it. The House of Lords feels a stronger duty toward its eldest sons than toward the masses of ignorant, vulgar, and greedy people. Therefore, except imder very perceptible pressxire, it always resists measures aimed at doing good to the poor. It has been almost always in the wrong — sometimes from prejudice and fear and miscal- culation, still oftener from instinct and self-preservation. Generally, it does only a temporary injury, and that is its plea for existence. But the injury may be irreparable. And if we have manifest suffering, degradation and death on one side, and the risk of a remodelled senate on the other, the certain evil outweighs the contingent danger. For the evil that we apprehend cannot be greater than the evil we know." Again :2 "The fact is that education, intelligence, wealth are a security against certain faults of conduct, not against errors of policy. There is no error so monstrous that it fails to find defenders among the ablest men. Imagine a congress of eminent celebrities, such as More, Bacon, Grotius, Pascal, Cromwell, Bossuet, Montesquieu, Jefferson, Napoleon, Pitt, etc. The result would be an Encyclopedia of Error. They would assert Slavery, Socialism, Persecution, Divine Right, Military Despotism, the reign of force, the supremacy of the executive 1 Letters to Mary Gladstone, p. 206. * Ibid., p. 195 et seq. Hi !■ 't>l S6o Political Theory Pt. V ;, over legislation and justice, piurchase in the magistracy, the abolition of credit, the limitation of laws to nineteen years and so forth. If you were to read Walter Scott's Pamphlets, Southey's Colloquies, Ellenborough's Diary, Wellington's Despatches — distrust of the select few, of the chosen leaders of the community, would displace the dread of the masses. The danger is not that a particular class is imfit to govern. Every class is xmfit to govern. The law of liberty tends to abolish the reign of race over race, of faith over faith, of class over dass. It is not the realisation of a political ideal: it is the discharge of a moral obligation." Such consideration may well recall the words of Huxley* in expressing his indebtedness to Comte for the conviction "that the organization of society upon a new and purely scientific basis is not only practicable, but is the only political object much worth fighting for." These passages present four positions with reference to Aristocracy: 1. A large part of the entire process of aristocratic legislation, as its history is presented by Professor Rogers in relation to the population under its control for six hundred years, could be siunmarized in one word — exploitation. 2. Buckle's clearly expressed opinion, which history supports, that every great reform effected has been forced upon aristocratic assemblies from without and consists in little but the repeal of their own enactments. 3. The words of Lord Acton, that "distrust of the select few," may well "displace the dread of the masses." 4. The opinion of Huxley that a scientific reorganization of society is the "only political object much worth fighting for." The most thorough arraignment of the aristocratic principle need apparently be sought no farther than in the words of England's best informed and ablest sons. As Lord Acton says: "The danger is not that a particular class is imfit to govern. Every class is unfit to govern.** yiay Sermons, Addresses and Reviews, p. 13a CHAPTER III DEMOCRACY j4 RISTOCRACY concentrates political power in the hands of /% the Few. Democracy embraces the widest possible surface / % of the social organization and derives power from the Many. •^ "^ It is a curious comment upon the action of the human intel- ligence to compare constitutional literature with political conditions: to compare the Democracy of de Tocqueville and the French writers of the eighteenth century, the Democracy of Washington, Hamilton, and Jefferson; the Democracy of Lowells' tribute at Birmingham, with the Democracy that walks the streets and casts its vote to-day in London, Paris, and New York. There are many words in every tongue constantly used, either without any definite conception of their meaning or with meanings so different that they may be applied to any purpose. Such words are Liberty, Industrial Freedom, Natural Rights, Social Justice, and such a word is Democracy. To some minds Democracy seems to present a golden inspiration from Heaven, to others a sinister invention of the Evil One. The attempt to discover what Democracy really is might lead to the definition of Sir Henry Maine •,^ as a starting-point — namely, that Democracy is a "form of Government," just as is Monarchy or Aristoc- racy, and in ultimate analysis little but an "inverted Monarchy." Demos simply votes himself into the throne of the Caesars, which he occupies at times with questionable grace, to say nothing of intelligence. In a democratic society. Demos occupies the citadel of power and, it may well be asked, what are his administrative qualifications? In other words, what is the concrete thing. Democracy? The first essential in responsible administration is the exercise of intelligent volition; without this, decision becomes but brainless inanity. But, it may again be asked, is it conceivably possible for a multitude to exercise intelligent volition? Has any multitude in history ever shown itself for any time anything but a dough-like mass, kneaded into any desired form by capitalist, priest, or politician; or the aimless * Popular Government, p. 59. 56s 's62 Political Theory , Pt. V inconsequences of which these Mow for their own profit? Is it pos- able or thinkable for a multitude to conceive, formulate, and direct any policy except through the instrumentality of its few more or less dominant inteUects? To say that these may be chosen representatives of popular opmion, IS beside the issue in the application of democratic theory to concrete questions. Popular opinion, in the first place, when brought in contact with complicated financial and administrative problems, has rarely shown itself anything but a confused amalgam of ignorance and error; and these individuals, in the second place, once in possession of poUtical power, became invested with individual and class interests, quite as much as the most rigidly exclusive Aristocracy; and this with- out tradition to preserve, permanent or territorial position to uphold or any responsibility beyond a few years of office. ' Vox populi, vox dei, says the old Latin proverb; but granting vox popult to be vox dei, important questions remain with reference to the meaning of vox and populus. '' Is the voice of the People the voice which speaks through scruHn d'arrondissement or through scrutin de lisW pertinently asks Sir Henry Maine,i "by Plebiscite or by tumultuaAr assembly? Is it a sound in which the note struck by minorities is entirely silent? Is the People which speaks, the People according to household suffrage, or the People according to universal suffrage; the People with aU the women excluded from it, or the People, men, women and children together, assembling casually in voluntary meeting? None of these questions have been settled ; some have hardly been thought about. In reality, the devotee of Democracy is much in the same posi- tion as the Greeks with their oracles. All agreed that the voice of an oracle was the voice of a god; but everybody allowed that when he spoke he was not as inteUigible as might be desired, and nobody was quite sure whether it was safer to go to Delphi or to Dodona." As England offers the most favourable ground for study of the working Aristocracy, the American Repubhc presents the best material for the study of Democracy in reality; and not in the hypothetical relations of men s mmds. The real history of Democracy in America, it may be said, begins at the close of the Civil War. Until then the population had an unoccupied land area at its disposition, and under such condi- tions would probably have spread itself over the country equally satis- factorily under a Chinese Emperor or an Indian Rajah. Until a popula- tion fills Its land area, it can scarcely be said to come in contact with its . » Popular Government, p. 185. Bk. I Democracy 563 administration; the land offering relief at all points. Not until the land is absorbed will its institutions be put to the test, as Macaulay pointed out years ago. During the latter half of the nineteenth century, the land of the United States was gradually absorbed and the conditions foreseen by Macaulay began to make their appearance. The land no longer possessed its old absorbing power, with the result that the in- creasing population has been forced to flood existing centres. While the history of early American Democracy presents general well-being, evenly distributed wealth, and relatively little political spoliation, later American Democracy presents constantly increasing slums and pauperism, together with the most rapid and resistless con- centration of property and political power in the hands of a few individuals that has in all likelihood ever occurred under any administration. These conditions have, moreover, been produced under the direction of a government supposed to be by the people and for the people. The prevalent conceptions of Democracy and constitutional theory in the United States to-day are those derived from eighteenth-century French theorists and the English Whigs under George III. To listen to popular theories of (k>vemment and consitutional debates in the legis- latures of the American Republic is to hear archaic echoes of a dead century. They have a "quaint paleozoic quality," says Professor Ford. ^ "They sound like edioes from a remote past." It is of interest, therefore, to watch this eighteenth-century Democracy at work in relation to twentieth-century conditions. Montesquieu and the English Whigs, speaking through the Constitution of the United States, have nothing to say with reference to the public service franchise as a factor in Democracy, they are silent upon the connexion between an indirect fiscal system and universal suffrage, they make no mention of the nominat- ing organization in relation to incorporated wealth, a protective system, an important judicial decision, the "boss," or the slum vote. These are none the less problems of existing conditions confronting the Adminis- tration of the United States, and it is interesting to watch the elements which eighteenth-century Democracy generates in order to express the "will of the people" with reference to such problems. In a democratic society the majority of the male population is usually supposed to wield political power. This, in any large society, can obviously be done but through parliamentary representation. The "will of the people" can be expressed in no other way. The selection > The Cause of Political Corruption, Scribners' Magazine, January, xgxi, p. 6a> I' 4 ■n ■ J 5^4 Political Theory Pt. V :iii 'ii ' .,)( ' i of this representation becomes, therefore, a vital element in the political life of the population; the real source of power; yet eighteenth-century Democracy ignores this important crux in the Democracy of fact. The nominating organization is a piece of ultra-constitutional machinery supplying the motive power necessary to make the constitution move at all. It is like a modem locomotive dragging about a train of antiquated stagecoaches. "If," says Mr. Godkin,* "I said that the reluctance of a democracy to vote at all, or to vote right, was not foreseen by the early democratic advocates, and that they made no provision for it in their system, I should not be very far wrong. This was the greatest mistake of the theoretic democrats. They never foresaw the big democracies. The working of democracy in America was something of which they had no conception. They did not anticipate the necessity of organizing and directing the suffrage, nor of the intervention of the boss and his as- sistants. . . . "Under this regime, the nominating system, of which no theoretical writer had the least idea, has grown into a piece of machinery more com- plicated than the government itself. The man who manages it, who says who must compose the body which selects the candidates— that is, who designates the delegates to the nominating convention — is really the most powerful man in the community. Every one who wishes to enter public life bows before him. No one who, being in public life, wishes to rise higher, no Representative who wishes to be Senator, nor Governor who wishes to be President, will gainsay him or quarrel with him. Every- body but the President in a second term is at his beck. For similar reasons, he holds the legislators in his power. If they do not legislate as he pleases, he will not allow them to come back to the legislatiure. He has to be consulted, in fact, about every ofl5ce. He may be boss of a district, a dty, or a state. The larger his dominion and the denser its population, the more powerful he is. . . . Any person who to-day described the government, say, of New York or Pennsylvania, or any other large American State out of the books, would give no real idea of it. He would miss the real source of power, and the way it was infused into the machinery. If there be anything seriously wrong with democ- racy in America, to-day, it lies in the nominating system, yet this attracts comparatively little attention." Anothe r development of Democracy is noticed by nearly all observers. » Problems o/Modtrn Democracy, p. 289 et seq. Bk. I £)emocracy 565 This is the neglect of political life by wealth and education on one side; and it might be said, the suspicion of wealth and education as poUtical factors among the populace on another; 'The cult of incompetence," a distinguished observer^ caUs it in France. This is doubtless due to many causes; among them might be mentioned, however, the necessary control of the politician or statesman by the party machinery and the fact that the average workingman at the polls may beUeve the candidate most nearly approaching his own financial and inteUectual level will best be able to appreciate his political needs. Education, therefore, and wealth, when not used as a means of corruption, seem not only of Uttle advantage in the pubUc life of a Democracy, but may even become a barrier between the industrial masses and men of means and distinction. This seems one tendency with reference to conditions generated in a Democracy. Another tendency, however, of a different nature, may be traced to financial and corporate influence. This tendency results in important official positions such as those of Attorney-General, Speaker, District Attorney, Treasurer, Senator, Judge, Assessor, and so forth being filled by men of attainments of a certain kind, usually of a dis- tinctly legal type: these men being chosen because of their ability or poHtical influence and placed in these specific positions for specific purposes. Through these officials it is possible for the men who supply the party contributions to the "machine" to control the de- cisions of a Finance Committee, the imposition of taxes, the disposition of public funds, fiscal decisions, the awarding of contracts, subsidies, appropriations, franchises, prosecutions, and receiverships; it is per- fectly possible to enact legislation in such a way that legal responsi- bflity may be quashed wherever desired and the control of public funds and fiduciary institutions placed outside the pale of tiie law; while statutes may, of course, be construed, interpreted, and appUed as Thus the typical legislative and official body of Democracy seems to absorb the lesser intellectual lights, on one side, to form the bulk of its material; and, on another, to have a few acute and conscious legal ele- ments thrust into it; injected as it were from without, through the party machinery into certain positions for certain purposes. The legislation to be expected from an administrative system constituted in tiiis way, » Le C«//« rf« /7««>w/>«»«ce. par Emfle Faguct. . v... *•. u t -^^u Qf .«««» « The student who desires to study Democracy at work could not do better than consult Lincoln Steffen*- The Shame of tlie CUies, or Hcndrick's Story of Life Insurance, McClure's. New York. AU necessary daU and endless specific cases will there be found. 566 Political Theory Pt. V espedaUy with reference to its fiscal and financial decisions, may not seem of a very inspiring nature. If the bulk of the fiscal and financial decisions of the United States is examined, some ground may be found for the opinion of the Chairman of the House Committee on Banking and Currency! who says "that there is scarcely a law upon our statute books affecting our finances and currency which is clearly and purely the result of economic thought and such as would have passed but for necessity, ignorance or political cowardice." However, it may seem an injustice to suppose that ''necessity, igno- rance, and political cowardice" exhaust the resources of such legislative and administrative material. Says Mr. Godkin:2 "Every government has been a rich man's government. It is only in some of the smaller Swiss cantons that departures from this rule have been made. But, as a rule, in democratic societies of our day, government has been trans- ferred to poor men. These poor men find themselves in possession of very great power over rich communities. Through the taxing power rich corporations and rich individuals are at their mercy. They are not restrained by tradition; they are often stimulated by envy or other anti-sodal passions." Thus the democratic society, studied in practice, seems to develop three characteristic administrative elements; (i) A relatively poor legislature devoid of distinction, social or intellectual; (2) a party organization in complete control of tiiis legislature, through its control of patronage and the suffrage; (3) the wealtii and intelUgence of tiie society largely outside poUtical life. The practical Democracy seems to be a poor and ignorant legislature controUed by party machinery acting as a screen for the wealth and inteUigence of tiie community. What can be, what must be, the results of such a system? Need it be said that practically the important administrative activity of such a society wiU resolve itself into the dictation of fiscal decisions by organized wealth and the blackmailing of the organized wealth by the politicians? A man who has studied it at first hand for years in the great cities of America suggests the following definition^ of Democracy: "the government of the people, by the rascals, for the rich." Vox popidi, vox dei: It seems that in ninety-nine cases in a hundred vox popu li means that a corporation desires a protected market or a » Congressman Charies N. Fowler. Address before the Illinois Manufacturers' Association, Chicago December lo, 1907. "«v«^", • Problems of Modern Democracy, p. 301. • Lincoln Steffens. The Shame of the Cities, p. 103. Bk. I Democracy 567 legislative enactment; a demagogue seeks popularity, a politician sees an opportunity of levying legalized blackmail; a financial genius, a method of creating millions out of nothing by capitalizing a tax on a vital or industrial requirement: an issue is made, "patriotism" is in- flamed, the people are harangued through the orators and the news- papers, the political machinery is set in motion, the measure is passed, and the tongues of the hydra-headed Demos, supposed to echo the voice of the Divinity, have given utterance to their wisdom. To any one possessing any familiarity with what the words "franchise," "machine," "boss," "contract," "Protection," "taxation," "commer- cialized vice," mean, in actual fact in a democratic society, there may seem ample reason to believe that Democracy, in its practical aspects, presents all the elements for the establishment of as sodden and sordid an abuse of political power as has ever been invented. As Huxley^ well says: "Up to this time, the progress of such republics as have been established in the world has not been such as to lead to any confident expectation that their foundation is laid on a sufficientiy secure subsoil of public spirit, morality, and intelligence. On the contrary, they exhibit examples of personal corruption and of political profligacy, as fine as any hotbed of despotism has ever produced; while they fail in the primary duty of the administration of justice, as none but an effete despotism has ever failed." The mass of political theory, ancient and modem, may be roughly separated into two broad divisions: the aristocratic and the democratic. The leading writers devoted to the support of Democracy, together with an examination of the actual results produced by aristocratic legis- lative assemblies, suggest the following definitions of Aristocracy: Aristocracy — a form of government in which a few individuals exploit the resources of a society for their own benefit. That body of political thought devoted to the support of Aristocracy and the actual conditions generated in democratic societies present grounds for the following definition of Democracy: Democracy — a form of government in which a few individuals ex- ploit the resources of a society for their own benefit. All that is necessary to reach these conclusions is to study adminis- trative history without prejudice, and above all to look carefully at the facts. * Bume, p. 34. CHAPTER IV NATURAL SOCIETY THE Study of political society in the light of the evolutionary sciences, mathematics, and economic inquiry suggests the following considerations: I. Progress can apparently be continued but through a selective process demanding the propagation of a species through in- dividuals possessing a more than average development. This process, consequenUy, requires the death or failure of those below this standard^ that is, progress demands the sacrifice of the vital interests of the majority. In a physico-biological sense, therefore, progressive conditions seem opposed to the vital interests of the majority of the individuals concerned, and consequently lacking in any rational claim to their support. It may be said, however, that human progress is political, not physical, and incapable of being brought within the scope of biological generaliza- tions. Political progress necessarily involves the aggression of one society in relation to other societies. Aggression of this kind neces- sarily involves in turn the aggression of the progressive society in rela- tion to its own units. This aggression must be based fundamentaUy upon the subordination of the interests of the majority of individuals to those of the society regarded as a progressive organization. It is, however, impossible to form any rational conception of a society except as an aggregate of individuals. A society based upon this principle, therefore, subverts the interests of the majority of its individuals in order to subvert the interests of another majority of its individuals. This process seems devoid of a rational principle at the beginning and incapable of leading to anything but its own subversion in the end. Progressive political systems, in that they attempt the essentially impossible, that is, the union of the interests of the individual with those of a progressive aggregate, must apparently always sweep round in aimless circles. The history of the constitutional development and final collapse of the progressive societies of the past supports such a position. It may be said again that progress is neither biological nor political, 568 M Bk. I Natural Society S6a but psychological and intellectual; and, as such incapable of being expressed in either biological or political terms. If progress of this kind is subjected to a process of analysis, the ideal sequences presented seem chiefly involved in a series of rings or repetitions. If that accumu- lation