War Savings in Great Britain OR THE GOSPEL OF GOODS AND SERVICES Addresses delivered by Mr. Basil P. Blackett, C. B., of the British Treasury CONTENTS Address Delivered at London, England — June 26th, 1916 page 1 Barnet, Middlesex, England — Nov. 27th, 1916. . . page 11 Atlantic City, N. J. — Sept. 25th, 1917 page 21 Philadelphia— Nov. 3rd, 1917 page 39 Baltimore— Nov. 12th, 1917 page 51 Syracuse, N. Y.— Nov. 27th, 1917 page 65 New York— Dec. 14th, 1917 page 79 "GOODS AND SERVICES" An Address Delivered by Mr. B. P. Blackett, C. B. Under the Auspices of "United Workers" at the National Economy Exhibition, Princes Skating Rink, Knightsbridge, London, S.W., on Monday, June 26th, 1916, Mr. C. J. Stewart (the Public Trustee) in the Chair. Ladies and Gentlemen, — When the Chancellor of the Exchequer introduced his Budget for the present year he said that the expenditure of the country would be £1,825,000,- 000, that our revenue would be £500,000,000, and that that left something over £1,300,000,000 which we are to find by borrowing. Now, what on earth does that mean? Talking in thousands of millions means practically nothing to any- body. You get an example of that by the fact that not many years ago the Chancellor of the Exchequer meant to say £100,000,000 and he said £100 when introducing his Budget. Imagination simply fails to rise to the idea of £1,- 800,000,000. What I want to do is to try to translate from terms of money into terms of goods and services. What happens if I spend 1/-? Supposing I spend it on bread. It takes a good deal of time to try and say what really happens, and I can only mention a few things. The first thing that happens is, let us say, that the farmer ploughs and sows the field and reaps it when ripe. I make a farmer plough a field for me and reap the corn, and then I make him, or somebody else, perhaps in Canada, cart the corn to the sta- tion. I have already made someone build a railway several thousand miles long, and somebody else build the wagons, trucks and steel rails for the railway. Then I make some- one else carry the corn from the railway wagon to the ship; 2 someone meanwhile has been building a ship for me. Then somebody brings the corn over to England for me and lands and docks it, takes it on to the railway for me, and then to the mill in order that the wheat may be turned into flour. Then someone else carries it to the baker, and the baker bakes bread, and probably someone finishes it up by delivering the loaves at my door. That is what happens when I spend 1/-. It is quite true that most of those things have happened before the shilling came into my hand. In order of time my getting and spending the shilling is, perhaps, the last of all. Chronologically, that is the order, but logically all those things are done because I and other people spend our shillings on buying bread. Spending means making other people work for us, just as Mr. Withers was saying. You cannot spend anything without making someone work for you. Now, you will say — "It is all very well, but you must spend money on bread." Certainly. If I am a father of a family, for example, who, hitherto, has not had enough to buy suf- ficient bread for the family, it is quite right if I have suddenly become a little richer that the family should have a little more bread to eat, and no one wants to suggest that anybody should economize by not taking sufficient food. But, sup- posing I have enough bread and food to eat, and enough clothes, and the family generally has got a sufficient income to feed and house itself properly and to enjoy sufficient relaxation for health and efficiency, and there is still something over. I make up my mind I want a gramophone, for example, or a piano, or perhaps some bit of jewelry, and I save up for it. What happens if I spend £5 or £10. Exactly what happened before. I make other people work for me. Spending means making other people work for me. "Well," you may say, "you can afford it, why should you not? You want it, why should you not buy it?" In time of peace it is very hard to answer that particular question, but I think the war is teaching us that something else besides our own immediate desires has to be considered whenever we spend, and there is always 3 a right way of spending as well as a wrong way. In any case, in the present time of war, the object of one and all of us, each individual, each family, and the nation as a whole is to win the war. That cannot be done unless each one of us does our bit. Mr. Withers explained that the reason why we should save is that there are not enough labor and services to go round. Everybody's labor and everybody's services can be usefully employed, directly or indirectly, on winning the war, and there are not enough labor and services in the country unless civilians make up their minds to do without some of the comforts and luxuries to which we were all accustomed in our own sphere of life before the war. Of course, it is not possible for everybody to reduce his or her expenditure just down to the number of loaves absolutely necessary to feed themselves with, and there are all sorts of difficult social questions involved when you begin to ask the question of how exactly can I economize? It is not quite possible for every- body to reduce their expenditure down to the minimum re- quired for sustenance, but I think what I mean can be said somewhat in these words: that it is everybody's duty in this time of war to reconsider carefully his or her standard of ex- penditure and standard of comfort, and to cut it down ruth- lessly to what is really essential to health and efficiency. Of course, that must not be done wastefully. Past savings are accumulated and they turn into what is called capital, and capital goes very likely into building a big house, or putting up plant and machinery. It is not true economy to let that house go to rack and ruin. That is using up old savings faster than you are making new savings, and that is waste. Still, I doubt if there is anybody in the country who can really say that he has reduced his standard of comfort or cut down his methods of living to the absolute minimum. We all know the old proverb: "Never buy to-day what you don't want till to-morrow." But I would suggest to the man who thinks he has really done everything, a York- shire proverb: "Never buy a thing when you want it, but 4 wait till you don't." There is a great deal to be said for postponing the expenditure on things that we think we really want until we are quite sure that we want them and then we discover that we do not. Now, supposing that man of whom I was speaking, who wanted to buy a gramophone, decides that he will not buy it, and instead of doing so lends the money to the Govern- ment, and buys War Savings Certificates. Let us consider just what happens. Each War Savings Certificate costs him 15/6. It means that he hands over to the. Government not merely 15/6 in money, but he hands over to the Govern- ment money which represents the command over goods and services to the extent of 15/6. Instead of using those goods and services himself, he temporarily, until the war is over, lets the Government have the use of those goods and services. But something more than that. He not merely hands over to the Government 15/6 worth of goods and services, measured in money, but the goods and services are set free for more useful purposes. Take the gramophone for example. The man, if he had bought the gramophone, would have employed all sorts of people in making and delivering the gramophone to him, leaving out of account the records. Instead of that, space is set free on the ship which would have brought the gramophone from America, where it would probably have come from; labor set free at the docks in handling the gram- ophone; room left on the railway wagon. All that helps the Government. The men who would have carted it from the store in town to his house, are set free for some other work. Every shilling helps twice. First of all, when it is saved, and then when it is lent to the nation. And, it is not only by economizing our expenditure that we can help. We can also help by avoiding waste. When you avoid waste you set free goods and services for useful purposes. Supposing everybody in the country made up their mind never to waste bread, and no bread was ever wasted, what would be the result? First of all, bread would be a good deal cheaper than 5 it is. But, in addition, there would be more room on the ships and so on for bringing the goods from abroad, and at home we should be able to increase the amount of the goods we make for export, we should reduce the amount we have to spend abroad and increase the goods we have to export to pay for the munitions wanted from America and else- where. By personal economy and avoiding waste we in- crease the goods and services that are available for the Govern- ment to win the war. Now, let me return to the figure of £1,300,000,000 which the country has got to find by borrowing in order to pay for the war. How do we pay for the war? "Out of taxation and by borrowing" will be one answer. But that is not the answer I want. Taxation is raised out of the new savings of the country, and so is a good deal of the borrowing. You can pay for the war in three ways — out of new savings, out of old savings, or by mortgaging future savings. Savings, when you think of savings of the nation as a whole, represent the surplus of the goods we produce and the labor and services over which we have command, owing to our past savings. New savings are the surplus over what we consume in the year. Old savings are stored up in the form of capital. They may go into bricks and mortar in building houses, or into machinery and plant, or stocks of goods in the warehouse, or into securities which very often simply represent the stocks of goods or houses or machinery. We have paid for a good deal of this war by selling our old savings to America. When we sell securities to America we are parting with our old savings, and, of course, getting poorer in the process. Mort- gaging future savings can be done in various ways. The simplest example is the Anglo-French loan in America last year. We borrowed £100,000,000 between us, France and England, from America on the security of our future savings. There are various other ways in which you can use old sav- ings and mortgage future savings. You can create money in the form of paper of some sort or other, which you put into 6 circulation on the security of old savings or by mortgaging future savings. These belong to what is called "High Finance," and some of the methods, I am afraid, are a glorified version of the action of a man who buys jewelry on the hire purchase system and then pawns the jewelry for more than he has paid on it. But it is only out of new savings that you can really economically pay for the war. So long as we pay for the war out of new savings the nation as a whole does not become any poorer. The individuals in the nation lend their money to the Government and they are richer by the amount of the new savings they have lent to the Government. On the other hand, the Government owes those individuals the same amount. So if you take the nation and individual to- gether, and regard them as a whole in material wealth we are just as we were before. It is quite true that if we had not spent the money on the war we might have spent it on what the economists call reproductive purposes, and then we should have been richer by our new savings. But, so long as we are only spending new savings, we are not poorer than we were before. When we are mortgaging future savings or selling old, in both cases the nation is becoming poorer. The object, then, we all have before us is somehow or other to produce new savings in the course of the present year, which, if valued in terms of money, will amount to something like — over and above what we pay in taxation — £1,300,000,000. That has all got to be done by producing goods or providing services over and above the services that we use or goods we consume. When one is talking in these figures a million or a hundred million or two difference is quite a bagatelle. Before the war we saved something like £400,000,000 to £600,000,000 a year, which we used to lend abroad or invest in a new way at home. We have got to more than double the higher of those two figures. It is quite obvious that cannot be done unless we all refrain from unnecessary demands and do our best to increase the output of the country and to reduce waste. 7 As an aside, I should like to say something about the way in which Germany is financing the war. She is financing it, of course, partly in the same way as this country, but also in some rather curious ways. Of course, there are new savings in Germany, as here, and to some extent she has been able to sell securities abroad using up old savings. Our blockade has prevented Germany from getting a very great many of the goods she wanted. One effect of that has been that willy nilly the Germans have had to save to an enormous extent. That, of course, in a way has helped them. It is to their good up to a point. But that is not the only effect of the blockade. Another effect has been that Germany has lived on her old savings in the form of food, metals, commodities of all sorts, stored up in the warehouses, until the stocks have been reduced to vanishing point or beyond it. So long as they are not absolutely short of those goods and services that is perhaps a reasonable way of financing the war, but the blockade obviously has had a better effect than that. It has meant that Germany has been forced to save in a way that is thoroughly uneconomical. Her people have been reduced to saving in food, and so on, in a way that must terribly impair the efficiency of the nation. They have to save far beyond health and efficiency because of our blockade. Then, of course, using up all these stocks of goods has been most uneconomical. It will be very difficult and dangerous for Germany when peace comes to be absolutely without stocks of goods if she wants to recover any trade at all. Not only that, but a great many people have been thrown out of employment by this excessive saving. And that is waste. Future savings have been mortgaged by means of the German War Loans to an extent which makes it very doubtful whether the holders of the German War Loans — the holders of the mortgages on future savings— will ever be able to enforce their mortgages. Still, we do not want to dwell on Germany's sufferings or use them as a reason why we should not do the best we possibly can. I only mention that as an aside. Each of us must do our best to pay for the war out of new 8 savings. I should like to refer for a moment to what Mr. Withers was saying about Government extravagance. It is no excuse for any one of us for being extravagant to say that somebody else is extravagant, much less is it an excuse for individuals for being extravagant to point to Government extravagance. After all, when the Government is extravagant on the war, it is extravagant for the purpose of winning the war, for a national purpose. If you or I are extravagant we are ex- travagant for selfish reasons that directly prevent or hinder the successful prosecution of the war. I was walking through Tra- falgar Square this morning and I noticed in front of one of the lions a big hoarding: "Lend your money to your country.' ' You could see it for miles off almost. But when I got near it I discovered that somebody had written on that poster — "I've only got 2d." I say to him, "Lend that 2d." When you are ' talking of £1,300,000,000, 2d. does not sound much, but I just want to give you a few figures of what twopence has done. I take the figures, so far as I can get them, of what the small investor has contributed directly by lending money for the war. It is not very easy to say exactly who the small investor is, or what his contribution is, if you try to take what he has contributed both directly and indirectly. If you could get at' the indirect figures through co-operative societies and so on, the figures would be very much bigger. But I take just the direct contribution, the surplus of the deposits in Savings Banks over withdrawals, the amount contributed directly through the Post Office to the 43^% War Loan issue, to the Post Office Exchequer Bonds and the War Savings Certificates. In the first two months of the war — August and September, 1914 — the small investors' contributions were a minus quan- tity, A}4 million pounds to the bad, because withdrawals from Post Office and Trustee Savings Banks exceeded the deposits. In the next quarter to December, 1914, the small investor contributed three-quarters of a million; in the next quarter to March, 1915, he contributed 5J/2 million. In the next, to June, 1915, he contributed six million. In the next quarter, to Sep- 9 tember, 1915, he contributed 12 million, which was mainly the result of the 4}^% War Loan. Of course, he contributed forty million directly to the 4 3/2% War Loan, but as some of the money came out of Savings Banks, in the quarter the net contribution was 12 million. Then in the quarter, October to December, 1915, he contributed six million. It was just about that time that the War Savings Movement began, and the figures become very interesting. In the first quarter of this year, ending 31st March, 1916, the small investor contributed 16 y 2 million; in the quarter ending on 30th of this month — I have had to guess one or two figures — it will be something like Yi}/2 million. If you add the interest on the Post Office Savings Bank Deposits which have not been withdrawn, amounting to nine million for the two years, you get a total direct contribu- tion from the small investor since the war began of 68 million pounds — all by small savings. Lest we should be too proud, I draw attention to some figures which appear on posters in several parts of this room — "War Loans. A Comparison." "The last British War Loan realized £600,000,000 and there were 1,100,000 subscribers. The last German War Loan realized £535,000,000 and there were 5,279,645 subscribers." If you take the figures, so far as they can be trusted, of the German small investors' contribution, it is something like three times as large as that £68,000,000 of which we can boast. Our duty then is to try and pay for the war out of savings, and to go on and try and increase those figures of £17,000,000 in the last quarter as against £6,000,000 in the corresponding quarter of last year. We must increase it still faster, and the best way to do that is that we should all unite together to do it, that we should all become members of a War Savings Associa- tion, regarding membership of the War Savings Association as banding us all together in a national brotherhood for a national ideal, by personal economy and avoiding waste ; united together to win the war. "United Workers," 175, Piccadilly, W. SPEECH MADE BY MR. B. P. BLACKETT, C.B. ON NOVEMBER 27th, 1916, AT A DRAWING-ROOM MEETING, AT GANWIC, BARNET, MIDDLESEX, ENGLAND Our hostess has told you how she came to take this matter up, and I am very grateful to her for giving me this oppor- tunity of speaking to so representative a gathering on the subject of War Savings, not because I like making speeches, especially of a preaching kind, but because I believe most sincerely, first, that War Saving is of vital importance if we are to win the war, second, that the importance of war saving is little understood, and, third, that people every- where are ready and anxious to understand it if only they can get the opportunity. Unfortunately the subject is not a very easy one to explain clearly and the mere belief that it is a terribly difficult one makes people inclined to leave it alone. I should like to say at once that if after Miss Watson and I have spoken any of you want to ask questions, I hope you will ask them without hesitation. I am quite sure, so far as I am concerned, that it will be my failure to make myself clear that will be responsible for any failure on your part to understand me. Now what seems to have impressed our hostess in the con- versation which led to her arranging this meeting was my statement that some people who really understand the problem of War finance were beginning seriously to doubt whether after all this country would outlast Germany financially. I said that unless we could win the war by military efforts next summer, or Germany found it more than she could manage to get through to next harvest without starving as the result of the blockade, there was serious room for 12 doubt whether this country would be in any better position for getting through the winter of 1917/1918 than Germany. I added that if we wanted to make certain of winning the war, and I laid stress on the "if" — it was absolutely vital that every- one should begin to economize in a drastic way. Recent news from Roumania adds point to this statement. This may sound a serious and even an unpatriotic thing to say, and no doubt some of you are. saying "If this is really true, why does not the Government say so plainly? And then you probably comfort yourselves by thinking "We are ever so much richer than Germany and the idea that she could outlast us finan- cially is moonshine." Let me try to answer these two objections. The root of the whole difficulty is that we are bound to rely on neutrals, especially America, to lend us money temporarily during the war with which to pay for what we are buying from abroad. If we had only our own Army and Navy to consider the position would be easy enough. Remember, however, that the country has to find the means for paying neutrals not only for what we buy for ourselves but also for practically all that is bought abroad by Russia, and for a great deal that is bought abroad by Italy, France and all the Allies. Mr. McKenna has stated publicly that £2,000,000 a day has to be found for payment to the U. S. A. Surely a striking enough figure. Now remembering this and remembering also that the willingness of America to sell us things and to lend us money depends not on the question whether we can pay eventually but on the question whether America thinks we can — in other words that everything depends on the main- tenance of our credit — and then put yourself in Mr. McKenna's position and think what would be the effect in America if he were to say publicly that our credit was doubtful. However much therefore he would like to improve the real basis of our credit by frightening the public at home into economy with the whole truth, he dare not do so for fear of frightening America and weakening the Americans' belief in our credit. 13 Of course, we can ultimately repay everything that we borrow but we cannot do so during the war. And America cannot be expected to conduct a War Savings campaign merely for the sake of lending us money. She is not at war and is naturally spending the profits she is making from us without considering whether we want to borrow them or not. I come now to the second objection that we are much richer than Germany. This is perfectly true and this war has been remarkable among other things for the revelation of how enormous, how astounding, are the financial resources of this country — greater than was ever believed before the war. But the question is not whether we or Germany started the richer but what use we are making of our resources. And here unfortunately there is no question that Germany is using up her resources more slowly than we are using up ours. She is forced by our blockade to economize — to an extent that is certainly more drastic than any voluntary economy which any sensible person would advocate here. But — except for a few of the privileged cast — everyone in Germany is cut off from all superfluities and every kind of self-indulgence. The consequence is that it is much easier than here to devote all energies to the prosecution of the war. Here we are wasting our great resources because private expenditure on unneces- saries and private self-indulgence is not only scarcely checked but in many cases among those in all walks of life who are making money out of the war, is going on to a far greater extent than in peace time. This brings me to the question which you have come here to have answered. How does individual economy help to win the war? The answer is shortly this. All available goods and services are urgently wanted to provide what our soldiers and sailors need in order to carry out the actual fighting to the best advantage. Every time any one indulges in unnecessary expenditure, he or she is using up goods and services which might otherwise have been available for winning the war. This statement needs expanding. The vital point to realize is that 14 it is not a question merely of money, it is not even mainly a question of money. It is a question of the things money will buy. The possession of money after all is merely the posses- sion of a power to command goods and services from others. When it is said that the country is spending over £5,000,000 a day, most people simply fail to grasp in imagination what is meant. £5,000,000 of money is too big an idea to grasp. I suppose most people if they allow themselves to think what is meant would try and imagine a great vault full of golden sov- ereigns. But to show that this is not the way to think of it, let me give my own experience. I was one of the witnesses last year to the contract between the British and French and a syndicate of American financiers for the lending of 500 million dollars, i. e., £100,000,000 to those Governments. I was actually responsible afterwards for the taking in and paying out of many millions of dollars from the proceeds of the loan but I never saw or handled a dollar of the money either in the form of a coin or in the form of a note. Evidently £5,000,000 of money doesn't mean 5,000,000 of sovereigns or even 5 millions of £1 notes. What then does it mean when we are told that the Government is spending £5,000,000 a day? It means that goods and services to that amount are used up by the Govern- ment every day, or in other words the Government gets people all over the world to work for it every day to an extent which measured in money cost is represented by £5,000,000. For the simple truth is that whenever I spend money I make some one work for me. Suppose for example I — or I had better say one of you — buy a set of sable furs, at a price of shall I say 300 guineas. What is it that really happens? First you make someone set out and hunt the animal, and you make other people provide him with the food and the equipment required by him during the time he is hunting and obtaining the skin and curing it. Then you make someone else transport the skin to this country, incidentally getting people to build ships and railways for you for the purpose, and so on till the sable is delivered and unpacked in your own home. You are using your 15 power to spend 300 guineas to induce people to work for you. You may say, of course, that you only decided at the last minute to buy the sable set having been doubtful up till then whether to buy sable furs or a new grand piano or to invest money in Exchequer Bonds. But logically it is the fact that you and other people spend money in that way that uses up all those other people's labor, and if you had really put the money in Exchequer Bonds instead you would have had a double ef- fect on the goods and services available for helping Sir Douglas Haig and Sir John Jellicoe to win the war. In the first place you yourself would not have used up for your own gratification goods and services which they need, and in the second place you would have transferred to the nation the power to com- mand that amount of goods and services. Lending to the na- tion means that you temporarily part with your right to use goods and services to the amount measured in money of your loan and allow the nation to exercise a similar right, and in ex- change you are promised a restoration of the right at a later date with some extra goods and services thrown in as compen- sation for postponing your power to exercise the right now. Do not think that is mere juggling with words. It is the exact downright truth. Read Mr. Runciman's speech in the House of Commons a short time ago about the appointment of a Food Controller. What was the burden of that speech? We are short of labor at the docks, on the railways, everywhere — not only for the army and for making munitions. We can't build as many new ships or as many railway wagons as we should wish for want of labor. We can't be sure of getting all the food we want from abroad in time to avoid a temporary shortage because labor and ships and railway dock space are short. And what is the remedy? As far as food is concerned, the Government is going compulsorily to prevent waste and over-consumption so far as it can. If people would only have done this voluntarily and to the extent that they do it volun- tarily, it would be done without using up labor in organizing compulsion and in a way much more likely to be equitable all 16 round. But the point which Mr. Runciman made abundantly clear was that there is a serious shortage of goods and services to meet the absolutely essential needs of the army and navy and civil population in the matter of food. Read any of the recent numbers of that rather dreary production 'The Board of Trade Journal." You will find that the cry is the same everywhere. Cotton machinery is rendered idle for want of labor. Blast furnaces are being blown out for want of labor. And it is only natural when you think of the vast army in the field with- drawn from labor, and of the vast demand for munitions. But what is the remedy? Are the army and navy to go short of necessities? Are less men to be used to fight our battles? Are less munitions to be made? You have already really answered — No. But that answer means that we at home, you and all of us who are not privileged to be fighting, must deny ourselves firmly and go without everything that is not essential to our health and efficiency. It is our comfort or other people's lives between which the choice lies. Are we content to let others fight for us simply that we may enjoy comforts and luxuries? Are we willing to have this said of us? If it were not that what is done is done in thoughtlessness and ignorance I should agree with a remark made to me by a friend the other day that to buy a natural skunk coat now is the act of an unnatural skunk. Let me return once more to that £2,000,000 a day which has to be paid to America and other neutral- countries to pay for what we import from abroad. You will remember that I said that the need of keeping up our credit in America added to the difficulty. Now what is it that we import from abroad and how do we pay for it? As we all know, we import from abroad a great many things that are absolutely essential and but for our gallant navy's brilliant achievement in keeping the seas open for our ships, we could not have gone on fighting for more than about a month. But besides the food and raw materials and munitions which are vital to us and our Allies, we import a large amount of luxuries. Gramophones and Ford Motors 17 bought by newly-rich munition workers are the favorite exam- ple, but there are thousands of other imports which are not essential but merely serve as comforts and luxuries to rich and poor. If we ceased all of us to buy these, the problem would be greatly eased. Why not then prohibit all imports and then let us spend as much as we like at home? A good deal has been done in the direction of prohibiting luxury imports and though there are considerable difficulties in the way more may be done. You must remember that it is not only luxury imports from America and other neutral countries but also imports of such things as champagne and Paris luxuries from France that are concerned, as France needing money to spend in America just as we do will probably transfer to America the right to receive payment from us for what we owe to France so that we have to pay in America just the same. But the great difficulty of prohibiting these unnecessary imports is that most of them are raw materials or half-finished products part of which is really essential, only the superfluous excess over neces- saries being devoted to providing comforts and luxuries. Un- less therefore some rationing system could be devised — covering not only food but everything on which we spend money — it is voluntary economy to which we must look for help. Moreover, a rationing system would use up a great deal of labor that can ill be spared. Let me deal at this point with a completely fallacious argu- ment that is often put forward by ignorant people who think they know but they don't. The National War Savings Com- mittee has been attacked f r saying that it is almost if not quite as important to ecoi.cn "ze in home-produced things as on imported articles, and it is said that provided money is spent on home products only, the more money is so spent the more it circulates and the better for the country. This is entirely untrue. Just see what it means. Labor is urgently needed for war purposes and yet we are urged to make people at home work for us to produce homemade goods. We want as large a surplus of home products as possible in order that we may ex- 18 port them to help to pay for necessary imports from abroad, yet we are told to buy for ourselves as many home products as possible. Take for example, a home produced gramophone and ah imported one. If the home-produced one is bought the labor required for making it is diverted from war needs, or else the gramophone is no longer available to be exported. If the foreign gramophone is bought, someone has to set to work to make some article or other to export to pay for that imported — which shows it is better not to buy gramophones at all. Or again suppose that all this were not true, and I were to pride myself on buying the home product instead of the im- ported one. How do I know that the person from whom I bought the article will not at once use the money toward buy- ing a set of furs from America? If I had used the money to lend to the Government this could not have happened. People who talk like this are doing real harm to their country and helping the enemy. Before I sit down you will expect me perhaps to say a little about practical ways of saving and about the facilities offered through War Savings Associations for the accumulation of small savings. Now in speaking to an audience like this, the first thing obviously is, lend all you can to the country. One may as well confess at once that the cumulative results of individual savings among the comparatively small class of people who are what we may call well-to-do, though they can ma- terially help the finance of the war, cannot do anything like enough to solve the problem of the shortage of goods and ser- vices. But what the well-to-do can do is by the force of their personal example acting upon and influencing public opinion to show the way to the workers, who perhaps for the first time in their lives have something to spare after buying absolute necessities. It is amazing what a difference personal example among the well-to-do, and particularly in the case of women, makes on the effectiveness of the War Savings campaign among the workers. First of all, therefore, I would urge all of you to use your influence among women of your own class by setting 19 an example and urging them to set an example. It is a hard thing to ask, but if any of you would go in for some blatant and ostentatious economy and saving you would supply a long felt want. The trouble is that the real economy which is being exercised by a large proportion of the well-to-do is lost sight of. It is not mentioned in the newspapers, whereas the extravagance of individual sinners is mentioned and the working class read about it and judge all the well-to-do by what they read — just as many of the well-to-do are apt to condemn all workers be- cause they hear of individual cases of extravagance among munition workers. Let me give a concrete case. I am told — the facts are not yet verified — that at the forthcoming Austra- lian bazaar at the Savoy all the lady helpers are being made to buy special new frocks and new hats at a minimum cost of £12 each. If that is true it is absolutely shameful. Instead of doing so they should wear simple overalls and advertise the fact that this is being done on patriotic grounds and immense good would be done instead of immense harm through first the waste and secondly the bad example. I have not much time for other concrete suggestions, but here are some: — Give War Savings Cards as Christmas presents. Do with fewer fires — closing some of the rooms in your house — do with less servants and what is more im- portant, less service. If you are so lucky as to have old and valued servants, there is no need to dismiss them. Lend their services for voluntary war work for the duration of war. Economy in dress and in the household I have already men- tioned. Then another practical way is to go to your Local War Savings Committee and offer to help them in their work. Interest yourselves in the formation of War Savings Asso- ciations — join them yourselves and get your servants to join them and help them to make a good start. Get your local clergy to form War Savings Associations for their various clubs and in the schools. If none of these are conveniently available for your servants to join, band together and form a joint Association for the servants of several households. 20 I believe the Secretary of the Barnet War Savings Committee is here and he will be delighted to provide information and there is a good deal of literature here. Personal economy is essential if we are to make sure of winning the war. It is essential if we are to go into the council of Peace and be in a strong position to obtain satisfactory terms — terms which will ensure permanent peace. For if we are known to be financially unable to go on with the fight how can we take a strong line in discussing terms of peace? Finally, personal economy is all important during the re- construction period for making England and the world a happier place. We shall need capital to spend on recon- struction, and to avoid a long period of weary misery while the world slowly recovers from threatened bankruptcy. And is it so much to ask? Were we not all tired of the osten- tatious extravagance of the pre-war period? Has not the war taught us that our sense of values had gone wrong? Is not simplicity of life a higher ideal than luxurious self- indulgence and even if it is a sacrifice what a puny thing to set against the sacrifice of those in the trenches. Let me repeat it — our self-indulgence is directly adding to the risks of those at the front and lengthening the war and the list of casualties. If all of us — and women especially — could once realize that they are purchasing goods at the price of human life they would not endure for a moment to spend a penny needlessly. WAR SAVINGS IN GREAT BRITAIN An Address by Basil P. Blackett, C.B., of the British Treasury, Before the Savings Bank Section, Ameri- can Bankers Association, at Atlantic City, N. J., Sept. 25, 1917. I greatly appreciate the honor which has been done me by the Savings Bank Section of the American Bankers Asso- ciation in asking me to address them on the experience of Great Britain in regard to War Savings, and I am particu- larly glad to have this opportunity of addressing influential bankers on the subject. I have had the privilege of being closely associated with the War Savings movement in Great Britain since its incep- tion. The subject is very near my heart, and I believe it to be of exceptional importance not only for the winning of the war but also for the welfare of the world after the war, when it is the comfort and hope of mankind that a new and better world can be built up, hallowed by the sacrifice of life and well-being which the war has brought upon us. Such a reconstruction will involve a plentiful supply of capital, and there is no way in which capital can be made available except through saving. I propose to divide my address into two main portions. In the first I shall try to show the importance of saving. In the second, I hope to tell you something of the methods and results of the War Savings movement in Great Britain. I How is the war paid for? A full answer would involve a treatise rather than a short address. I ask your indulgence 22 if what I say strikes any of you as unduly dogmatic, as may well result from my attempt at brevity. How is the war paid for? It is not enough to say that it is paid for either out of taxation or out of the proceeds of government loan issues. For the question arises immediately : How does the nation at war manage to provide the sums required from it by the government in the form of taxes or loans? The banker will perhaps answer that the govern- ment's own expenditures provide the funds, owing to the large sums of money which it expends on war requirements of all sorts, such as pay for the sailors and soldiers, separation allowances for their dependents, wages for the countless numbers of men and women engaged in producing food and munitions, profits for the manufacturers engaged on govern- ment work, and so forth. The government, it is said, begins by borrowing money temporarily in some form or other, then uses the funds obtained to meet its expenditures, and the money flowing back into the deposits of the banks and the pockets of the people becomes available there to pay taxes or to be used as subscriptions to war loans. Now it is perfectly true that the continuous circulation of money is an essential part of the machinery for the financing of the war, but if we are to deal satisfactorily with our question, we must get away from our habit of thinking in terms of money. Money is, after all, only a token generally recognized by civilized people as representing in the hands of its owner the power to command goods and services from others — power to make other people work for him. If I am hungry and happen to possess an orchard with ripe apples in it, I can go into the orchard and pick some apples and eat them. If I don't possess the orchard but have a dollar in my pocket, I can go into a store and buy some apples. Chronologically, in point of time, other people have planted the apple tree, tended it, picked the apples, shipped them, and put them on sale in the store before I spent my dollar, but, logically, by spending my dollar I make other people do for me all the 23 work needed to produce apples and put them on sale at a store within easy reach of me. Spending money, in fact, means making other people work for me. The British Government is spending something over $30,- 000,000 a day on the war at the present time. (I take for purposes of illustration the expenditure of the United Kingdom on the war, as I am more familiar with the figures, but what I say is equally applicable to the expenditure of the United States.) In other words, the British Government is making people work for it to an extent which, measured in money, is equivalent to an expenditure of $30,000,000 a day. The British Government is getting the labor and services and materials, or, in the short phrase which has become a familiar one in England, is getting * 'goods and services" valued at the figure of $30,000,000 a day. Incidentally, one result of the war has been that the amount of goods and services obtainable for an expenditure of $30,000,000 a day is considerably less than the amount which such an expenditure would have secured before August, 1914, but this is another matter, and is not directly in point now, though it would be in point if the question we were asking were: What is the ultimate cost of the War? The important thing is not the number of dollars or pounds sterling or francs which the belligerent governments are spending, but the goods and services which they command. It is the securing of the goods and service which is the real problem. If the goods and services are secured, the war is being paid for. If the government cannot undertake a par- ticular military enterprise or cannot obtain particular muni- tions which it requires, it is often said that this or that is not done because the government cannot pay for it, or cannot afford it. What is really meant is that the goods and services required cannot be secured. If the war is to be fought and won, the essential thing is that the necessary goods and ser- vices should be secured, and it is to the securing of these goods and services that the government devotes the proceeds 24 of taxes or loans for war purposes. Where does the British Government get these goods and services? The British ^Government has obtained the greater part of the goods and services needed from the people of the United Kingdom, but it has also obtained some of them from people in other parts of the world. If goods and services are to be available for the government for war needs, it is necessary that the goods and services which the people in the kingdom can command for their private use should show a surplus over those which they are using up in satisfying their own private needs. Tax- ation has the effect of practically compelling people to see that there is such a surplus. Inviting the people to subscribe to war loans tends to encourage them to provide a further surplus. When people lend money to the government, they pro- vide the money needed to pay for their subscription in various ways. The best way is that they should deny themselves com- forts and luxuries and instead of using their money to command goods and services for themselves they should go out of the market for them and not compete, but hand over the power to command these goods and services to the government, which uses them for war needs. A second way of providing money for subscriptions to war loans is to sell securities. What is the effect of such sales? Here we must distinguish between the sale of securities to purchasers at home, that is, in the case of Great Britain, the sale of securities by one citizen of Great Britain to another, and the sale of securities by a citizen of Great Britain to a citizen of another country. If I sell securi- ties in order to invest in war loan, and the purchaser is a fellow citizen of my own in Great Britain, all that happens is that my fellow countryman transfers to me his command over cer- tain goods and services, and I, in turn, hand my power to com- mand these goods and services over to the government in ex- change for a government I. 0. U. The amount of goods and services available in Great Britain for the use of the govern- ment in fighting the war is not increased, but the man who has 25 bought the securities from me has given up the potential com- mand over goods and services available in the country, and I have made sure that the government has obtained command over them. A further result is that the buyer of the securities cannot subscribe for shares in a new company that is intending, shall we say, to build a cinematograph theatre, and the pro- moters of the company find it so difficult to obtain command of goods and services that perhaps they drop the proposition. Selling securities for the purpose of subscription to a loan has its uses, therefore, but if the buyer is a fellow countryman the quantity of goods and services available for the war is not in- creased. Now let us suppose that the buyer of the securities lives out- side the United Kingdom— shall we say in the United States. This process has been very evident during the war. What happens? Clearly, the first thing that happens is that the buyer of the securities has transferred a command over goods and services in America to the seller, and the seller by using the money to subscribe to a British War Loan passes on that com- mand over goods and services in America to the British Govern- ment. So long as the United States was neutral, this meant a definite increase for the Allies of their command over goods and services for the purposes of the war. The British Government was not compelled to use its power in the United States because through the medium of the exchanges machinery was available by which it could get that power exchanged into a power to command goods and services in any part of the world. In practice, however, the expenditure of the Allies in the United States has been so large that this operation of selling securities to citizens of the United States has been an essential feature of the process by which the Allies have obtained supplies in Amer- ica. A similar command over goods and services in places outside the United Kingdom results from any surplus that may exist over the export from Great Britain of goods or services (the simplest illustration of an export of services is obtainable from the activities of the British mercantile marine) over the 26 import into Great Britain of goods or services for the private gratification of the population. Unless the private exports exceed the private imports, there is no increase in the goods and services available for the goverment. There may be a useful exchange enabling the British Government to use goods and services in England, but there is no actual increase in the ag- gregate amount of goods and services available. Strictly speaking, therefore, there have been only two sources from which the British Government has been able to secure the goods and services it has needed for the war. These two sources are the surplus of production at home over private consumption at home of goods and services in the widest sense, and the sale abroad of assets which have represented the fixed capital re- sulting from previous similar surpluses built up in the years before the war. In other words, the British Government has had to pay for the war either out of new savings effected by its nationals or out of the proceeds of the transfer of past savings to the inhabitants of other countries. It may be argued that there is a third source from which the war can be paid for. namely, the anticipation of future savings. It is quite true that part of the cost of the war can and must ultimately be met out of future savings, but the goods and services which are going to be provided at some future date are of no use on the battlefields of France or Belgium. When the British Government issues a war loan at home, or borrows money in the United States, it obtains goods and services now on the credit of the expected capacity of its nationals to produce future savings. When, as in the case of the Anglo-French loan, belligerent governments obtained money in the United States on the strength of their promise to pay, without collateral, the borrowing governments were exchanging the future savings of their nationals for the present savings of the people of the United States. When, however, the British Government bor- rows on a loan secured by collateral it would be at least as true to say that what it is exchanging for the new savings of the people of the United States is not the future savings of the 27 people of Great Britain but their past savings represented by the collateral. Again, there are various banking devices for creating credit which have somewhat similar results, that is, they serve to secure the use of present savings on the credit of future savings. Ultimately, the borrowing governments will have to take from their nationals by taxation a part of their future surplus of goods and services produced over goods and services consumed, and hand these over to the lenders, whether they be their own nationals or whether they live outside the boundaries of the borrowing governments. This is a matter of domestic arrangement between the governments and their nationals. The lenders now, whether at home or abroad, will of course be better off than those who have spent their money instead of lending it. But in providing for the needs of Britain during the war the only things which count are the present savings of Britain and such past savings as can be exchanged for the present savings of others outside Britain. The gospel of goods and services is the gospel which, in season and out of season, the National War Savings Committee has been preaching throughout Great Britain for the last eighteen months. The war can be paid for only out of savings. So long as the United States was not a belligerent, the goods and services at the disposal of the belligerent governments were definitely increased by the sales of securities to America, or by loans in America. It is still possible for the United Kingdom to sell and for the United States to buy securities previously held in the United Kingdom, and the Government of the United States is, of course, making large and liberal loans to Great Britain and others of the Allies. But now that the United States is a belligerent, this process has become a mere transfer of the command over goods and services from one belligerent to another. It does not in itself increase the goods and services available for the Allies, including the United States, in fighting the war. In other words, now that there are scarcely any neu- trals left, the time has come when the war must be paid for out of new savings, and new savings alone. The citizens of the 28 United States of America can sell securities to each other., and they can buy securities from Great Britain and France, but in doing so, while they may be assisting greatly in making the ma- chinery of finance do its work, they are not providing new goods and services for the war. The problem for those who are fight- ing the battle for freedom and self-government and the uphold- ing of public right in the world is to bring to bear all their re- sources that can possibly be set free and use them to win the war. These resources cannot be increased by any juggling with finance. It does not matter to the gunner whether the shell which he is firing cost half as much or twice as much as it would have cost in 1913. What matters is that he should have the shell. If the number of shells available is increased, he is better able to do his part, and the lives of the infantry in the trenches will be saved. The only way to increase the number of men and guns and shells and supplies available at the front to win the war is to reduce the competition of private individuals for the goods and services which the belligerent governments re- quire for war needs. This can only be done by increasing pro- duction of the things which are necessary, and reducing the consumption of everything else. II It was not until January, 1916.. that the British nation really tackled the war savings problem. It is most refreshing to see that in eighteen weeks of war the United States has in this matter already advanced to the point that the British nation had reached after eighteen months. The entry of the United States into the war has practically eliminated such value as past savings possessed for providing goods and services for the war. Everything now depends on new savings, and the United States, I am sure, is not going to be behind hand in producing new savings. The story of the work of the National War Savings Com- mittee in England and Wales is one of which we are rather proud, subject always to our confession that we were very 29 slow in starting on this necessary work. In one sense, the whole campaign of the National War Savings Committee can be summed up in the statement that it has preached by all means in its power the gospel of goods and services. It has adopted all sorts of expedients to bring home to the people the economic arguments outlined above to show that the war must be paid for out of new savings; that every cent of private expenditure which is not really necessary for health and efficiency involves a diminution of the goods and services available for winning the war. Extravagance and waste are treason in war time. In the words of Mr. Lloyd George: "Extravagance costs blood — the blood of heroes." It may sound an astonishing claim, but I do seriously contend that the National War Savings Committee has actually succeeded in bringing the doctrine home to the bulk of the people. I do not say that there is not still much wicked waste, but the vast majority of English men and women are now organized on a war basis — are devoting all their energies to that little bit of the war machine in which they can be useful, and are avoiding waste and self-indulgence for the sake of the sailor on the sea and the Tommy in the trenches. The facts had become so obvious by the time the National War Savings Committee started, that, looking back, one can see that success was inevitable, if only the necessary work was done in explaining the facts everywhere. On the one hand, the workers of the country had never been so well off. Wages had increased generally, and for the time being, at least, they had increased faster than prices. Many more members of the family than in peace time were earning money, so that the family as a unit was much better off. Some of the extra earnings were being wisely invested in better food and better clothes for the children, but there was unfortu- nately a terrible amount of useless and wasteful extravagance. The cheap jewelry trade was booming, and it was obvious that but few of the workers were using the chance of their lives to secure permanent improvement of conditions by putting 30 by some of their extra wealth against a rainy day. The state was thus being called upon at one and the same time to provide goods and services for the war and to provide extra food and luxuries for masses of the people over and above what they had demanded in peace time. There was an obvious shortage of labor and materials — a shortage of ships and men to build ships — a shortage of equipment at the docks and of labor at the docks — a shortage of railway wagons and of the men to drive the engines — a shortage of farm labor and coal and miners — a shortage of many materials required from abroad. The workers of the National War Savings Committee have gone up and down the country pointing to this shortage and explaining its causes. They have enforced the lesson of patriotic abstention from self-indulgence which employs labor and material when labor and material are short for war needs. They have af- forded facilities for co-operative saving and organized local effort so that every man, woman, and child, whether his or her income were small or large, could by increased production and reduced consumption help the national cause. It was uphill work at first. England has always regarded saving as a mean sort of habit, proper only to Scotland. Perhaps I may venture to illustrate this by one of the countless stories bearing upon this Scottish virtue. A Scot who was visiting London was taken by his friend to an Episcopal Church. They arrived early, and the Scot spent the time examining the Prayer Book. Suddenly he nudged his friend excitedly. "Come awa', mon," he said, "come awa'. It's awfu'. Look at this book — see what it says — on one page after anither, 'Collect/ 'Collect,' 'Collect.' " The war has, I hope, altered the English sense of values in this respect! The cry of "Business as Usual" had taken a firm hold, and on all sides one heard the argument that the one thing to do was to keep money in circulation, and so do good to trade. Moreover, the National War Savings Committee adopted methods which were not altogether liked. Our first section 31 was to try in some striking way to bring pressure to bear on the well-to-do, so that they might understand the need for saving, and set a good example to their fellows. There was an unfortunate idea that our campaign was directed entirely against the poor, and the poor resented it. Our experience has been that where the well-to-do have set the right example, the results have been amazing. We hit on the plan, drawing a lesson from the recruiting campaign, of placarding London with posters, which, in the words of our first annual report, * 'provoked and stimulated discussion of the economic problems of the war." This is a mild way of putting what really happened. We had at our disposal an immense amount of poster space given free by the government departments and by patriotic citizens, and we covered them with such posters as the following: ''Bad Form in Dress To Dress extravagantly in wartime is not only unpatriotic — it is bad form." or, again, "Don't ride a motor-car for pleasure." the result of which was to make the timid motorist fear attacks on the high-road from the indignant and patriotic proletariat. Naturally, the opposition of tradesmen throughout the country was aroused, but, what was worse, many of our serious-minded friends thought themselves compelled by their consciences to give us the cold shoulder. They sympathized keenly, they said, with the necessity for encouraging savings, but they could not have any connection with an organization which adopted such undignified methods. But the gospel prevailed, thanks to three things in the main: the real patriotism of the country, the devotion of a host of voluntary workers, and the war savings certificate. I will deal with the war savings certificate first. You prob- ably all know what it is, but you will perhaps excuse my dilating on its merits. The war savings certificate is sold 32 for fifteen shillings and six pence, say $3.87^.' It can be obtained at any post-office and at a great many other places. The holder can get cash for it at a few days' notice whenever he likes. If he cashes it within a year of the date on which he bought it, he gets his money back and nothing more. If he cashes it immediately after the anniversary of the date on which he bought it, he gets fifteen shillings and nine pence for it, that is, with an addition of six cents to the purchase price. If he cashes it thirteen months after it was issued, he gets fifteen shillings and ten pence, that is, with two cents more for the extra month, and so on for each extra month of its currency he gets an extra penny, or two cents. After it has been out for two years, it is worth sixteen shillings and nine pence, say $4.18, and after it has been out for five years he gets a pound, or say five dollars, for it. The rate of interest, if the certificate runs for the full five years, is about 534 per cent, compound. There is no liability for income tax or super tax, an attraction which was very important for people who are paying five shillings in the pound, that is 25 per cent, for income tax, and a further 10 to 15 per cent, for super tax. So great was this attraction that it became necessary to fix a limit of 500 to the number of certificates which might be held by any one individual. We were kind, however, to the wives and children of millionaires in that we allowed each member of a family, irrespective of his or her income, to hold up to 500 certificates. The certificates can only be held by individuals. Corpora- tions or firms as such cannot invest. They are not nego- tiable, so that if a man wants the money he must cash the certificate. This form of government security has proved immensely attractive to the small investor (whom I purposely leave undefined). It offers him absolute security for his capital without market fluctuations. He is not bothered (and the government is not bothered) with the issue of half- yearly interest warrants or the preparation of half-yearly coupons for infinitesimal amounts, which cost the government 33 a great deal to issue and are of no use to the man whose sole capital consists of a few war savings certificates. The holder feels that his money is growing and accumulating for his benefit when he wants it, and that he will get his capital back after the war or when a rainy day comes, with a sub- stantial addition for interest. The working man in England dislikes a bearer bond because he does not know where to keep it, and has no safe in which to deposit it. His war savings certificate, while it represents to him his capital, cannot be stolen from him by a friend or burglar or wife. The attrac- tions of the war savings certificates have been widely brought to the notice of the public by various means. In addition to the "crime" posters which I have already mentioned, we covered London and some of the provincial cities with posters explaining what war savings certificates were, and how they could be got. We had one poster, which you copied in America, which was very effective: "124 Cartridges for 15/6 and your money back with compound interest." This brought home to the girl in the munition factory how she could help her boy at the front. By buying a war savings certificate she could at one and the same time provide her boy with cartridges, provide the government with money with which to pay her for making cartridges, and put by a nest egg for herself against the day when he and she settled down as bride and bridegroom. This was a clear demonstration of the gospel of goods and services. But we did not rely solely on the war savings certificate and its merits/ We set to work to organize the country, and have established local war savings committees covering the whole area of Great Britain. There is a separate organiza- tion in Scotland which started later in the day, but has fol- lowed the English methods with great success. At the present time there are about 1,500 local War Savings Committees in England and Wales, that is, one committee for every 24,000 of the population. I do not know the exact number 34 of committees in Scotland, but there, too, the whole area is covered. These committees are autonomous bodies, paying their own expenses, in direct correspondence with the National Committee at headquarters and relying on its advice, but not subservient to it. The members of the local committees are representative of all phases of the local life. The unpaid local magistrates and officials who are such a feature of English life have played a great part. The committees are usually under the chairman- ship of the mayor or the chairman of the county council or of the urban district council, as the case may be. The borough treasurer is frequently the treasurer of the committee. The secretary is a volunteer chosen from among the active local workers of the area covered by the committee. The member- ship includes representatives of the trade unions, friendly societies, political clubs, womens' organizations, churches, schools, local residents, etc. The functions of the committees are two-fold. Their first duty is by propaganda of all sorts, public meetings, meetings held in works in the employer's own time, drawing-room meet- ings, meetings in schools, churches, etc., by the distribution of literature obtained usually from headquarters, and by personal effort on the part of volunteer helpers, to bring home the gospel of goods and services, and establish a strong local public opinion in favor of economy. But we have not allowed the committees to be mere talking institutions, or debating societies. They have more to do than mere preaching. They have definite functions, namely, to set up war savings associations and to supervise them when they are set up, seeing that their accounts are audited, and that they keep alive. The war savings association is the final end of the chain which reaches from the government through the National War Sav- ings Committee to the investing public. These are voluntary associations of people who club together to invest war savings certificates. If thirty-one people get together and contribute six pence a week, that means that the treasurer has in hand each 35 week the sum of fifteen shillings and six pence which he can im- mediately take to the postoffice and invest in a war savings certificate. The treasurer of a war savings association has the privilege, denied to any one else, of holding war savings certif- icates in blank for subsequent transfer to the name of an in- dividual. As each member of an association increases his total individual subscription to fifteen shillings and six pence, one of the certificates in the hands of the treasurer is allotted to the individual member. There is a certain amount of advantage to him in that he gets the certificate possibly thirty-one weeks older than it would have been had he set aside six pence a week, and taken the fifteen shillings and six pence, when finally ac- cumulated, to the Postoffice. The government, of course, has the advantage of having the use of each of the separate sixpences from the moment when they are contributed. But the great advantage of the war savings associations is that people in co- operating and competing react favorably on each others' saving propensities. A good many associations adopt a system of weekly or monthly drawings among those members who have completed a 15/6 contribution as to which shall get the earliest dated certificate. This introduces a little excitement, and the pleasant sensation of a little flutter. Associations are formed in any group of people. The num- ber of members may be as few as fifteen to twenty, or even less, or may be as large as 10,000. They have been formed in schools, churches, clubs, munition factories, factories of all sorts, business offices, trade unions, friendly societies, etc.. etc. In one case of which I am thinking, a group of domestic servants formed the Blank Street War Savings Association. Associations have to be affiliated to the National War Sav- ings Committee in order to obtain the privilege of having a free supply of account books, members' cards, etc., and the privilege of holding certificates in blank. This affiliation is done through the local committees, which undertakes a general responsibility for the suitability of the officers of the association. The gov- ernment is in no way responsible for the cash collected by an 36 association until it has been invested in war savings certificates, but the decentralization of the work, and the provision for monthly returns and audit through the local committee, and the interest which one member takes in another member's doings in a small community, have been sufficient to prevent any trouble with defaulting secretaries or treasurers. A great many of the associations are inside works and firms' offices, where the pay clerk does most of the active work of col- lecting the subscription, and the employer frequently encour- ages the efforts of his employees by promising them the first sixpence or the first shilling, or the last sixpence or the last shill- ing towards a war saving certificate. We have been careful, however, throughout, to secure that the war savings association shall be run by the employees or the workmen themselves, and not by the employer, as we have found that too much interest by the employer tends to make the workman suspicious. He sometimes thinks that if he is known to have saved a good deal the employer will think that he is overpaid. The safeguard against this suspicion is the fact that once the war savings certificate is in the name of the workman no one knows whether he has cashed it or not. As a matter of fact, the total number of war savings certificates issued during the sixteen months from the date they started to the end of June, 1917, was over 110,000,000, and of these only 1,500,000 have been cashed, and more than 500,000 of those which were cashed were cashed by people during January and February, 1917, for the purpose of taking up the 5 per cent, war loan. As may be imagined, the War Savings Organization throughout the country did invalu- able work in the War Loan Campaign, but I have no time to-day to speak of that. The number of war savings associations in existence at the end of June, 1917, in England and Wales, was 35,000, that is, one for every 1,000 of the population; and there are 5,000 or 6,000 more in Scotland. I do not know the exact membership total, but it certainly exceeds 5,000,000. In addition to providing war savings certificates for those 37 who subscribe by instalments, many of the war savings associa- tions and nearly all of the local war savings committees act as postmasters for the purpose of selling whole certificates. Ex- perience has taught us that there cannot be too many places at which certificates are sold. People will take a certificate if it is offered them on the spot, but 15/6 is apt to dwindle away if it accompanies a man for a walk of even a quarter of a mile to a postoffice. From the elaborate machinery which I have described, it might be inferred that the greater part of the subscriptions for war savings certificates come from the associations. As a mat- ter of fact, at the present time, a large proportion of the certif- icates bought is bought through an association, but there are still a great many people who are shy of co-operating in so mean a vice as saving, and prefer to do it without the knowledge of their fellows by going to the postoffice or other agent for the sale of the certificate direct. The value of the work done by the war savings committees and associations is therefore even more important in regard to the encouragement of the general habit of saving and lending money to the government than it is in regard to the provision of facilities of investment by instal- ment. I should like also to emphasize a further point. The National War Savings Committee in their organization have refused to regard themselves as being wholly, or even mainly, a bond- selling institution. They have regarded as their first function the task of encouraging saving. They have, of course, en- couraged people to lend their savings to the nation, but pro- vided the savings are effected they do not much care how the savings are kept safe, provided that they are not simply hoarded. It is a remarkable fact that in spite of the special attractions of the war savings certificate, and of the large sums — nearly $500,000,000 — invested in them, the savings campaign has given an impetus to every one of the older institutions for encouraging savings. The Post Office Savings Bank, the other savings banks, the building societies and other co-operative 38 societies, all show record increases in their deposits, and those responsible for them have, in consequence, nearly all, been hearty and valuable workers for the war savings movement though at first their fear of competition threatened to cause much difficulty. This last point is one which should appeal specially to an audience of bankers. The war savings movement has in the first place increased savings banks deposits during the war. Still more important, it is educating a vast new army of future clients for savings institutions after the war. Finally, it can- not fail to be of enormous significance in the future state of England that one in every four of the population, at the very least, is a direct holder of government securities. ♦ THINKING IN TERMS OF MONEY THE CAUSE OF MANY FINANCIAL FALLACIES An Address Delivered Before the American Academy of Political and Social Science, at Philadelphia on Saturday, Nov. 3rd, 1917, by Mr. Basil P. Blackett, C. B., of the British Treasury. I took a solitary walk last Sunday in Rock Creek Park, and as I walked I began to ponder on what I had to say at this Conference. The sun was warm, and after a while I sat down by the bubbling stream on a rustic bench, when suddenly I saw approaching me one of the famous bankers who have taken service at the Treasury during the war. The fact that he was on foot has made me wonder since whether it was a dream. Fortunately I refrained from hailing him, for just then there appeared from the opposite direction a figure which I knew somehow to be King Solomon. He was not gorgeously arrayed, and was evidently war-saving, but there was no mistaking the regal presence and the intellectual brow. My friend the banker — for some queer reason my memory fails now to identify him with any particular one of the several eminent bankers at the Treasury, so that in a way he seems to be an embodiment of them all — the banker recognized King Solomon at once, and called joyfully to him: "My dear King: This is indeed a pleasure— you're just the man I wanted to see. The perplexities of War Finance and the problems which confront the U. S. Treasury are gigantic. We're asked to find $20,000,000,000 or more in a year, and we must borrow some $12,000,000,000 to $15,000,000,000 in the next eight or nine months. I simply don't know how the money 40 is to be raised. You were dead right, King, when you said that money is the root of all evil." "Good friend," replied King Solomon, "you know more of banking than of Scripture, or you would know I never said that. I may indeed have said that Matrimony is the root of all evil. It was in my own case, and I fancy that my mother's first husband, the Hittite, must have felt the same. But let me suggest to you a new version of the proverb you misquote. It is this : 'Thinking in terms of money is the root of most of your evils.' I think you agree." "Solomon is always right," replied the banker with a bow. "Undoubtedly our problem is not merely, or even mainly to raise the money. What we want for carrying on our part in this great war for democracy against Tyranny " "Pray do not consider my feelings," Solomon interrupted, "I'm a strong supporter of democratic principles now. They might not have worked in Jerusalem when I was there, but one of my reasons for meeting you to-day was that I hope that this war may be the means of bringing the blessings of liberty and justice to my poor old Jerusalem." "No offense meant," said the banker. "What I was saying was that when we say we are asked to spend $20,000,000,000 in the first year of the war, we really mean that we have to secure for the use of the U. S. Government for war purposes labor and materials and food and commodities and services such as those rendered by soldiers and sailors and by noncombatants too, in all sorts of ways — we have to secure goods and services (to use a convenient short phrase) which, valued in terms of dollars, represent $20,000,000,000. The real problem is not so much to find the money as to find a surplus of goods and services to that amount available for the purposes of the Government, over and above the goods and services which the 100,000,000 people of the U. S. A. are employing for their own private purposes. That's what you mean by your phrase about thinking in terms of money, isn't it?" "You take my meaning exactly. And what I suggest to you 41 i as the only possible solution of your financial problems is that you should make the people of the country understand the state of the case. None of them understand what twenty billions of dollars means. You yourself probably don't go much be- yond visualizing it as the figure twenty, with the dollar sign before and followed by a comma and nine ciphers neatly divided by commas into sets of three. Meanwhile there's one of your friends in Wall Street who owns common stock in half a dozen sound American concerns, valued six months ago at market prices at say $1,000,000, and now valued at $700,000, who thinks he is ruined, and says the Government has ruined him, and never stops to reflect that the stock in question represents a share in certain real things such as buildings, machinery, raw materials, which are - probably not less valuable, and possibly more valuable (in terms of money at any rate) than they were six months ago. And what's worse, some of your banker friends who ought to know better seem to think in the same slipshod way. Others cry that the great thing to do is to keep money circulating because it is good for trade. "Business as Usual." Other people cry out for conscription of wealth as a solution of all troubles, as if a house in Fifth Avenue or a bank in Chicago could be put on wheels and sent to France for use as a Tank; or the Pennsylvania Railway Company's tracks could be torn up bodily and transported to Russia without any one but the supposed millionaries who own them being any the worse." "If you believe in Democracy you are at any rate not a Socialist, I am glad to see," said the Banker. "Don't you be too sure, my friend," rejoined the King. "It depends on definition. But to continue. The thing to do is to get the people of this country to understand that money is merely a symbol, recognized by civilized people for their own convenience, as giving the owner of it for the time being a call on other people, the power of getting other people to work for him, the power to command goods and services which other people are able and willing to supply in order that by receiving a reward in money they may themselves have command of 42 what they need for their daily sustenance, and to keep a roof over their heads; or over what they desire to obtain for the sake of comfort and luxury. It is quite easy — as some of your friends the Socialists will gladly explain — to construct a theo- retical state of society in which money would be abolished." "No doubt it is", broke in the banker, "but would it work?" "I did not express any opinion," was the reply. "But does not the fact that it is theoretically possible to dispense with money prove that money is merely a mechanical device and nothing more, a device to keep a machine of a particular construction in easy working order?" At this point King Solomon took a watch from his pocket, and remarked that he could still spare a little time longer before starting off to advise the King of the Arabians on military matters. He suggested that they could continue their talk more comfortably seated, and I was a little alarmed when they made for my bench, which was not meant for more than two. Needlessly, as it proved; for in spite of King Solomon's ample proportions the small seat accommodated them both without my being so much as observed. "King," resumed the banker, "that's a fine watch of yours, but I notice you wear only a common cord as a chain." "The watch is an heirloom," Solomon answered. "It belonged to the Queen of Sheba's grandfather, and I could not get a tithe of its value if I sold it. But my heavy gold chain went more than a year ago to swell the gold at the Bank of France, and I gave the proceeds to relieve the Armenian sufferers." The banker looked as if he would like to pay a tribute to this generosity, but stopped short; no doubt from a sense of reverence. Instead, he resumed the discussion with the words; "You do not, of course, suggest that we could or should supersede money in arranging the finance of the war?" "Certainly not," was the reply. "But keep money and finance in their proper place, as useful bits of machinery, and meanwhile go out to the people and explain the facts." 43 "That is a big undertaking," said Mr. Banker. "Do you think it is really worth while?' ' "Surely, surely," said Solomon. "If you want to accom- plish what you have set out to do, that is the only possible method in this country. In Germany there has been no need to explain. The people have been dragooned into sav- ing, if only by the British blockade which has forced the whole population to organize itself on a war basis. There, every one has to serve in such a way as the Junkers think most likely to help them in conducting the war, producing all he or she can, and consuming only what is absolutely essential to keep body and soul together, and sometimes less. In France and Italy, and to some extent in Great Britain, similar necessity has been at work, and this has been reinforced on one side by continual lessons and appeals for patriotic self- denial, and on the other by drastic legislation prohibiting the import and manufacture of anything that could be done without. Nearly everyone in these countries has realized this truth. Do you not remember the Song of the Pennies, which the children sing in England? — With five pounds the cost of a rifle Why, what can a poor penny do? And then the chorus, in which Sergeant Shilling joins: — We are each small enough, it is true; There's little a penny can do; But a cartridge to fire from a rifle Is just what a penny can do! All over the world the children learn this truth at once. Last Christmas Mr. Lloyd George received a letter from Arizona which said: "Please sir, Peggy is eight and Baby is five, and I am ten, and we should like these five dollars to be used to give some of the poor suffering people in England a happy Christmas." There was a further note from their mother: "This is entirely their own idea. Their Uncle gave them a dollar each to buy themselves Christmas presents, and they have saved the other two." And next to the Children the 44 working girls have been the quickest to learn. The mill worker of Milan., the midinette of Paris, the munition worker in London have been among the first to see how they can help. Each of them has worked harder and earned money, not to spend on herself, but to lend to her country, so that the Government may have the wherewithal to buy cartridges and hand-grenades to protect the lives of their boys at the Front. Many of them have understood well enough that the money they lent to the nation came back to them as wages to pay for the cartridges they were making, and that by not spending it on themselves they were setting labor and materials free to be used to help on the war. Do you remember the poster advertising the British War Savings Certificates? ''124 cartridges for 15s.6d, and your money back with compound interest?" "Yes", said the banker: "I've seen specimens of that poster, and it certainly concentrates the appeal for savings into a very compact and alluring sentence. We're thinking of issu- ing something on the lines of those British War Savings Certificates here." "An admirable plan" was Solomon's comment. "I con- gratulate you. These hectic Liberty Loan campaigns, whirl- wind weeks during which every art is employed to make every- one eat and drink and work and play and dream to the tune of 'Buy a Bond' are wonderful events, and by the way I must congratulate the treasury through you on its remarkable achievements this last month. But these campaigns have their disadvantages." "That's so", said my friend the banker, with conviction. "They use one up terribly, and they upset the market a good deal." "I was not thinking so much of that", answered King Solomon. "You mention some of the objections, but the main disadvantages, to my mind, are that they encourage people to think in terms of money, and as soon as the campaign is over people settle down to their old habits of extravagance. 45 What I like about the War Savings Certificate is that the cam- paign goes on continuously, and involves something deeper than a passing emotion. People get the habit of daily saving and the incentive to go on saving, because there is always a form of War Loan which they can buy, and there is no temp- tation to borrow money to subscribe, and then forgetfulness to save to pay off what was borrowed. But my t time is nearly up. Let me tell you a story before I go. You remember the Victory Loan campaign in Great Britain last January and February, when $5,000,000,000 of new money was raised (after 2Y-- years of war) quite apart from the fact that some $1,500,000,000 to $2,000,000,000 of three to five-year Bonds were converted into long-term loans. (I must begin by apolo- gizing for the misuse of language in this story. It arises from a habit I have of accurately reproducing conversations. I One evening Robinson, a War Loan worker, was sitting in his Club after a hard day's work, when an acquaintance of his, Smith, came up and introduced a third man. Jones. Robinson knew Smith to be on the Stock Exchange, and gathered that Jones was also a member. He knew nothing of their monetary position. The talk soon turned to the War Loan, and Smith remarked that he had not made up his mind yet what he would do. He had, he said, taken £10,000 of the ±y 2 % War Loan in July 1915, and been badly stung, — a slang term which implies that his investment had not been wholly satisfactory. So I judge from Robinson's rejoinder, that a man who had invested in that loan had no need to complain, as he could now convert it into the new loan on very satisfactory terms. 'Yes, I know', said Smith, 'but I got so sick with the way the bally thing fell, and the idiotic Government did nothing to help, that I sold it and bought some American rails, and now the robbers are com- mandeering these; and I've two sons at the front too. There's no gratitude in these confounded politicians.' By this time Robinson was fairly roused, and he proceeded in half an hour's patient exposition and exhortation to give a masterly 46 display in securing a difficult subscriber. In the end Smith seemed deeply impressed. "I never saw it in that light", he concluded, "and I'm hanged if I won't take £50,000. I'll have to borrow the lot at my bankers', and I've an overdraft already, but from what you say I think I can square them." "All this time Jones had said little, though he had seemed to be listening attentively. Flushed with his success with Smith, Robinson now turned to Jones. But he could get nothing more out of him than that he had considered all the means available to him. and had reluctantly decided that he could not subscribe. "Six months later in the same club Smith and Robinson met again. 'You made a fine fool of me that night', said Smith. 'Just let me tell you what a mess you got me into. I've had the mos*t ghastly day of my life to-day. I was offered a half share in a partnership to develop a new ruby mine •'somewhere in Asia." It's the chance of a lifetime. Only £100,000 wanted. We can't float a company till after the war, because this sickening Government won't let anyone issue new capital unless it chooses in its wisdom to say the issue will help to win the war. Well, I said I was on, and I went over to my bankers to arrange things, when the manager said he was sorry but he couldn't increase my overdraft, and had the cheek to suggest that I ought by now to have paid off some of what they lent me to take up your blessed loan. He wouldn't lend me money on any of my other securities without being told what I wanted it for, and when I told him he said that the bank could not advance money which was to go abroad, or for a purpose which was so obviously not necessary for winning the war. And then, not content with these insults, he proceeded to suggest that people with much smaller means than mine had succeeded in paying off very big sums borrowed for subscribing to the Loan, and would I please consider the matter seriously. I was so angry that I told him to sell the bally War Loan for what it would fetch, and be done with it. He didn't like it, he said, but if I was 47 really determined to forget that we were at war it was probably the best thing I could do. By this time I was so infuriated that I said I would close my account, and find a bank where the managers were gentlemen, or at least taught to behave like gentlemen. I went straight across to my friend Brown, — you know the bank. Well, I'm hanged if Brown didn't tell me that he thought my bank had been remarkably patient — that in any case he could not help me, as the London banks had agreed not to take customers from one another if the reason for the change of bankers was that a customer had failed to get accommodation for a purpose which was ob- viously not useful to the war. So here I am absolutely dished. I've had to say I can't go half shares in this show, with the result that the whole thing's off. I've quarrelled badly with my bankers; altogether I'm in a fix. Coal's a staggering price, and I've just added two new palm houses to the glass I have to keep going. I've two sons in the Army, and I might at least claim that amount of luxury. Incidentally I've only managed to .keep my head gardener, who thinks he ought to enlist, by threatening to turn his wife out of his cottage if he does. He's 45 and has two sons at the front and ought to be ashamed of himself; and with the wages I'm paying him he's a regular millionare. Why, he told me he'd got over 60 War Savings Certificates now. Well! you deserved this tirade, you know, as you're the scoundrel at the bottom of it all. I must be off now, as my son's coming up from Aldershot, and we're going to paint the town red to drown our troubles, So long.' ' 'Scarcely had Smith gone, when Robinson saw Jones ap- proaching. He tried not to be seen, as he thought that he couldn't bear to talk with another of his failures that day. But Jones made his way quickly to him. 'Hullo, Robinson,' he began. 'I suppose you're not particularly anxious to renew my acquaintance after the way I met your War Loan appeal. The fact is you made me feel thoroughly mean that night, but I couldn't help myself. I've something better to tell you to-day, 48 and that's why I've ventured to speak to you. I'd have liked to do it before, but I didn't have the courage. The fact is I used to have a pretty good business in the American Depart- ment of the Stock Exchange, but that's gone altogether, be- cause of what the Government — quite rightly, of course — had to do about American securities. Then just when I was hoping to get our house let so that we could move into a cheaper one, our two boys got killed on July 1st, 1916, the first day of the Battle of the Somme. The shock was too much for Mrs. Jones, and she had a complete nervous breakdown, and we had to have two nurses in the house and no end of expense for special treatment and specialists — though I must say my doctor has been a brick about his own account. The result was that last February I had got rid of practically all my capital except the A\% War Loan I'd bought, and I had an overdraft of nearly £600 at the bank. I was earning something at the Ministry of Munitions where I had got a really useful job. But I had refused to take anything much by way of salary when I had enough without, and I didn't think it fair to make the country pay because of my new troubles. Thank goodness things are quite easy now. My wife's recovered. We've shut up all but two rooms in our house, and my wife's as happy as can be in saving for the sake of the other mothers' sons. She's a great woman, though I say it that shouldn't. And you've no idea how jolly it is. The wife got places for two of the maids at the munitions factory near us, and sometimes they drop in to tea with us on Saturdays, and tell us about their work and talk of what they'll do when the war's over. Did I tell you that the wife's promised to have them back? And the kitchen maid's working as conductor with the omnibus company, and she and I have a chat sometimes when I happen to come down to work on her 'bus. Well, the result of it all is that I've paid off the bank overdraft and they've lent me enough to buy £500 of your War Loan in the market, and that's partly paid off, and all of us, Mrs. Jones and our old servants and I, are members of a War Savings Association in our neighborhood and we're piling up 49 War Savings Certificates. So I feel that I can look you in the face again. . . . Eh, well, so long! It's good of you to say such nice things of our small efforts, but we're really trying to help, you know.' "Robinson's effort to restrain Jones from flying from his praises proving vain, he sat for awhile and pondered on the two cases. "But I need not tell you his conclusions.* I'm afraid my story's rather long already," said Solomon. "And now I fear I must hurry off, or I shall be late in Arabia. The connections are not good, I find, in these days though I'm glad to say that Beersheba Junction is open again. Good-bye, my friend." And with that he vanished, and the banker somehow dis- appeared too. But I noticed that a fly-leaf had dropped from King Solomon's pocketbook, and when I picked it up I found it covered with all sorts of odd sentences in a minute handwriting, of which I quote a few: "He that gathereth not scattereth abroad." "Every dollar saved helps twice, first when it is saved and again when it is lent to the nation." "Millions in the belligerent lands have for the first time an opportunity of laying by a little capital. It is the chance of generations. Will they not take it? They help their country and themselves by saving." "If man would but learn the duty of right spending, he would learn the greatest pleasure in the world." There were other sentences also which I did not decipher. But I particularly noticed t^at on each side of the fly-leaf there was printed in red letters a c ? itence which evidently appeared in a similar place on each lc f of the notebook from which it came, and the sentence was this: "Where there is no Vision the People perisheth." *Note: As neither King Solomon nor the banker explained the con- clusions to be drawn from the two cases, I do so, though with diffidence. I suppose they would be something like the following: Smith had at best merely put his own and his bankers' credit at the disposal of the Govern- ment on false pretenses for a few months during winch someone else (such as Jones) had been able to build up new savings with which to replace the 50 gap left when Smith sold his Loan. More probably he had compelled the Government to find £50,000 in June to wipe out (by means of the special War Loan Depreciation Fund) the fictitious credit based as it proved on no real goods and services, which Smith had allowed the Government to build upon in a moment of shallow emotion. On the other hand, Jones in six months had (1) saved £600 to repay his bank, thereby (2) setting goods and services to that amount free for the Government (3) undertaken to save a further £500 and already saved part of it (4) lent the £500 to the Government for war purposes on the security of his intention to save, backed by the bank's credit, thereby (5) giving the Government command over goods and services to the full extent to which the self-denial of the Jones faring was setting goods and services free, and (6) had evidently been exercising an untold influence for good in aiding others to find fit places in a nation organized for War. ADDRESS DELIVERED BY Mr. B. P. BLACKETT C. B. BEFORE THE CONVENTION OF INVESTMENT BANKERS OF AMERICA AT BALTIMORE ON MONDAY NOVEMBER 12th. 1917. Mr. Basil P. Blackett: Mr. President and gentlemen: I thank you all very much for the very cordial reception which you have just given to me, and through me to the War Sav- ings Committee of Great Britain. I feel it a great honor to be invited before an audience of this kind to explain something of the way in which Great Britain has faced its financial prob- lems and in particular the problem of what has come to be known as war savings. It has been very interesting to me to be in this country as I have been now for over four months, and to watch the gradual opening and settling of very many of the questions which had previously faced Great Britain in this war. In a great many things it has been possible for America to learn by Great Britain's mistakes, and our experience has throughout been at your sendee. When one looks at the way things have moved in this country one is struck sometimes by the extra- ordinary resemblances. I feel this particularly when I find myself called to the Treasury Department in Washington and consulted on small problems of detail that have arisen with regard to the form of the War Savings Certificate, the question of how to deal with the post offices in the matter, and such ques- tions. It is extraordinary how history repeats itself. The same difficulties arise and the same possible solutions are considered and rejected until finally some solution is reached. And yet, in very many ways, the differences have struck me even more forcibly than the resemblances. It was in February 1916, 52 that the National War Savings Committee first came into being in Great Britain, and things were very different in February, 1916, from what they are in November, 1917. Even at that time it was commonplace to hear people talk about a war of endurance and a nation at war or even a nation organized for war, but very few people if any had more than a very groping notion of what organizing a nation for war meant. We were all groping after some sort of a solution, but the period between February, 1916, and now has been one during which the answer to the question, What does or- ganizing a nation for war involve? has become very much clearer and very much easier. In February, 1916, there were many people who said that for England the war had not begun, and there was a good deal of truth in the statement. We did not know we were at war really, I think, until the battle of the Somme in July, 1916. But we had been through a good deal before that. Our first problems were the same as they have been here and elsewhere, to find the men and to find the money. We set about a vigorous recruiting campaign. America, when she came to deal with her problem of finding the men, found a much better way. Then there was the question of finding the money. We had our first war loan in November, 1914, but that was a comparatively small affair, only $1,750,000,000. At that time the Stock Exchange was not open, and the whole machinery of finance, in London and in most parts of the world, was practically at a standstill. The great cry in which Britain thought she had found salvation was * 'Business as Usual", and "Business as Usual" was the cry which held the field for some little time. As a matter of fact, though they did not know it, the advocates of "Business as Usual" were put completely out of business at the moment when the London Stock Exchange was reopened in January 1915, after ^being closed for five months, under somewhat dras- tic restrictions. One of them was that no security that had not been physically in possession in the United 53 Kingdom since the war began could be sold on the Lon- don Stock Exchange, or on any stock exchange in the Kingdom. Everybody thought that was a splendid way of preventing German-owned securities from being sold. Another restriction was that no one was to be allowed to make any new issue of capital without the leave of the Treasury. Some business men looked rather askance at this regulation, but they left the matter with some confidence to the committee which was formed to deal with capital issues, because they saw it contained the Governor of the Bank of England and two or three eminent representatives of the City of London. Then suddenly it dawned on them as time went on that these re- strictions w r ere having a very different effect; not only could the London Stock Exchange not buy securities from the Germans, but it could not pick up' securities cheap in any of the neutral or foreign markets, and there were murmurings against the Treasury. There was still more murmuring as fine schemes for new capital issues of all sorts and kinds ranging from the very ambitious munitions plant to the cinematograph theater in the munitions area were one and all turned down by the Treasury, unless they could be proved to be essential for the purposes of the war. Then we moved on from that, and w T e had the big war lean campaign in July. 1915, when three billion dollars was raised. Meanwhile another problem had arisen. The question of munitions production presented itself. Steps had to be taken to organize the production of munitions in Great Britain on a very big scale. We were working still on what I may call the volunteer recruiting basis, and the difficulties that were met with were manifold. We found one munitions plant that had just been started going ahead successfully but one which had been started a few w T eeks before in this neighbor- hood suddenly closed down because the new plant had taken away all its men at higher w r ages. Wages all over the country were going up faster than the cost of living, and none of these wages seemed to be coming back to the Government in the 54 form of war loans. The working man was persuaded to some extent to invest in four and a half per cent war loan in July, 1915, paying by installments, but by the time his last install- ment was due he found that it would probably be a better thing not to pay up his installment but to buy the war loan in the market, because it had gone down. Naturally he was not satisfied, and altogether we did not seem to have solved the question of getting the working men to invest in war loans. Then a committee was appointed under the chairmanship of Mr. Edwin Montagu, now Secretary of State for India, and that committee produced a most statesmanlike report. It was quite a remarkable report when one remembers that most of its members were still groping, in the dark, for a solution. The gist of that report was that it was of urgent importance to secure savings by the small investor, that the small investor, the man who ought to be the small investor, was engaged in the spending of his, or in many cases her, money on useless articles of luxury, and that the nation could not afford to be conduct- ing a great big war and at the same time to be importing and producing unnecessary articles of luxury with which to gratify the natural instincts of the small investor, who, for the first time, had money to spend, or, if he preferred it, to invest. The Montagu Committee reported that, incidentally, it would be useful if some of the savings were lent to the Government, but the important thing was that the money should be saved in order — and I am now going a little forward in my story — in order that what are now termed "Goods and services" might not be used up for the private self-indulgence of the individual, but might be set free for the use of the nation for war purposes. And then the National War Savings Committee was formed, and it spent two or three months in a good deal of uncertainty as to what its duties were. It started out with the determina- tion that it would try to mould public opinion, to create public opinion in favor of saving and against unnecessary expenditure. We placarded London, especially the East End, with great posters, "Do not ride a motor car for pleasure." The east- 55 ender saw it and at first resented it and then saw there was an opportunity, and went into the west-end and hooted the man who did ride a motor car for pleasure and quite a useful public opinion began to be created. (Laughter.) I heard of one lady who said that she could not do without her daily motor ride but she was so ashamed to take it in view of public sentiment that she always took a wounded soldier with her. (Laughter.) We tried to persuade the ladies that it was unpatriotic to dress too well in war times, and, of course, we were advertising all the time the war savings certificate of which I hope to tell you something shortly. But, from the first, the National War Savings Committee had a vision of the future. It refused to regard itself as a mere bond-selling institution; whose whole duty was to go out and by force or fraud or peaceful persuasion of some sort or other to make people subscribe for war savings certificates. It had been carefully arranged that the War Savings Certificates should not be transferable, and that naturally meant that no bank would lend money to an in- dividual on the security of War Savings Certificates. But, some of our workers who were keen on selling these certificates thought this was in the way, and they wanted us to do away with the restriction so that the banker could lend money on the War Savings Certificate and large sums could be invested in it in that way. But, we refused to regard the lending of the money to the Government as the important thing. The im- portant thing was, as we said at first, that there should be saving. And then we began to think what saving meant. If I had to mention any one individual who helped most in guiding thought into the right channels I should mention some one who, I expect, is pretty well-known to a good many of you, — Mr. Hartley Withers, who is well known in England as a writer on economic subjects and is now the editor of the London Economist. And we came to the conclusion that by savings, we meant something more than merely small economies. Increased production, we saw, meant increased savings provided that private consumption was not increased. Avoidance of waste 56 meant increased savings. Then we began to try and think out the problem in terms other than terms of money. In arguing with bankers and others we began to see that a good many fallacies were due to the habit of thinking in terms of money. People who cried out "Business as Usual," said that the one thing to do was to make money circulate because it was good for trade. This argument had to be met, and the only way to meet it was to show that money was nothing other than a symbol. We explained that spending money means making other people work for you. It means using up goods and services, and if those are being used up by the individual for purposes that are not essential to health and efficiency, as our phrase went, they are being used up to the disadvantage of the nation instead of being saved for the purposes of the war. With labor short and material short and tonnage short it was quite obvious that the nation was suffering if the individual citizen was allowed to go on spending on non-essentials, or even producing non-essentials, and grad- ually we got a vision that what was needed was a nation or- ganized for war. Without claiming anything very startling I think I could claim that most of the measures that have been passed in Great Britain from the winter of 1916 onwards in the direction of organizing the nation for war were advocated first of all by the workers of the National War Savings Com- mittee and that the opinion created by the workers of the National War Savings Committee was largely responsible for bringing it home to the Government that these measures were necessary. Take food saving, for example. In this country food saving started first owing to the needs of the Allies; but in England it was not really until the autumn or winter of last year that it occurred to us that food saving on the ground of shortage of food was going to be necessary. But the War Savings Committee had been advocating food saving as a means of saving tonnage, as a means of saving dock space, and we had been advocating on the other side increased production of food. Then, again, we had been advocating a 57 decrease in the consumption of any luxuries, whether imported or home made. About the beginning of this year the Govern- ment put a very strict embargo on all imported luxuries, practically prohibiting the importation of all luxuries, and to a large extent, they prohibited also the manufacture of un- necessary things in England, because even if the actual manu- facturer is not prohibited all sorts of difficulties are placed in the way of his obtaining labor and materials for making things that are not necessary. Men can't get steel because the pri- ority arrangements see to it that all the steel goes to the essen- tial war industries. Then, of course, we advocated such movements as those in favor of increased production of food, — allotments, growing of potatoes, increased acreage for wheat and all those things that are so familiar in this country. As I was saying just now, in many ways the differences strike me more than the resemblances, because all these things grew in Great Britain out of the War Savings movement, whereas in this country they have preceded it, but they are all part of one great big whole, the question of organizing the nation for war. Germany, of course, showed the way. She had to, partly because of the British blockade, and also because she was able to dragoon her people so that each one takes the place that he or she is most fitted for in serving the war. What I want to emphasize all through is that the War Sav- ings Committee set out, not with the object so much of raising one hundred or two hundred or three hundred million dollars or pounds for the Government, as to persuade people not to use goods and services that were wanted for the war and to increase the goods and services that were available for the war by working harder and not wasting. When you begin to think of it from that point of view the amount of increased production and increased services that the war has brought forth in all the belligerent countries is quite remarkable. I wonder what the money value of all the knitting that has been done since the war began would be (laughter). That is time given up volun- tarily out of working hours in producing something. We have 58 never thought of it in terms of money, fortunately, but. if you are beginning to size up the differences between the nation's income and the nation's expenditure on other purposes than the war, you must count all that in the scale. All the Red Cross work, all the hundreds and thousands of ways in which women have taken up unpaid work — and men, too — all that increases the amount of services available for the Government; all that is true war saving. I always like, when I am speaking of the doings of the National War Savings Committee in England, to emphasize this point — that we do not regard ourselves as a bond-selling institution, but that we regard ourselves as an organization for securing goods and services for the Govern- ment. Of course, there "was a bond-selling side to our work, and I think it will interest you if I now turn to tell you some- thing of our war savings Certificates. I have said this thing so often that I am almost sure people are tired of hearing it. I will tell you something also of the organization of the War Savings Committee. The War Savings Certificate is issued for 15 shillings and sixpence, roughly $3.87 J/9, which can be bought at any post office, at any bank, and a good many other places. It can be cashed by the holder of it at any time on a few days' notice. He goes to the post office and obtains a form which he sends to the Postmaster-General — we are a small country geographically, and we can centralize things — asking for his certificate to be cashed for him at such and such a post office, and after a few days he gets cash for it. If he cashes it at any time during the first year he only gets fifteen shillings and six- pence; if he cashes it after 12 months but before 13 months have expired he gets fifteen and ninepence; after another month, fifteen and tenpence, and so on, increasing by a penny a month. After four years and eleven months he can get nineteen and ninepence for it ; if he hangs on another month he gets an extra threepence,, so that he gets a pound for it at the end of five years. It is earning interest for him all the time at a pro- gressively increasing rate so that by the end of the five years it has been earning 5*4 P er cent, compound interest, whereas it 59 is earning no interest at all in the first year, and less than two per cent, if he cashes it in the first 18 months. This certificate is a registered document that belongs to the individual in whose name it is registered, and if he loses it he can get another with little difficulty, and the man who picks it up can not make anything out of it. That is important for the British working man, who dislikes having a bond of any kind because he has no safe in his house; he does not know when a burglar may come along, or his friend may be short of cash, and sometimes he may be glad his wife can not get away with it. (Laughter.) We put a limit of five hundred on the total any one can have, because this security was issued at a 534 per cent, rate of in- terest for five years, which was a higher rate at the time than any British Government security was being issued, and in- cidentally it was also entirely free from taxation so that, as compared with a 5 per cent, bond which, allowing only for in- come tax and not for super tax, yields only 3% per cent., it was a very attractive investment for the rich man. We put on this limit to secure the super tax. A war Savings Certif- icate is not transferable, but the Postmaster-General is al- lowed, if he thinks fit, to permit a transfer in a special case. Of course if a man could go and cash it there is no particular loss to him in not being allowed to transfer it. We objected to its being transferred because that made it very useful for paying for drink at the public house, and things of that sort, and we did not want it passed as currency. Let me give an instance. The Postmaster-General received a letter from a young woman asking that her certificate might be transferred into the name of another young woman. He wrote back and said the certificate was not transferable without special reason, and he was afraid he could not do it. Nothing happened for a week or two, and then a letter arrived from a soldier stating that the young lady who asked for the transfer was no longer engaged to him but that the other young lady was, and could they transfer it for him? (Laughter.) The Postmaster- General, of course, said Yes, at once. 60 Originally we only issued War Savings Certificates in one denomination, which was called a pound and sold for fifteen and six, but we found that people came in and wanted five or ten or fifteen at a time, quite poor people, too, and eventually we issued a single document representing twelve certificates, and another single document representing twenty five certif- icates and if necessary, if a man writes to the Post Office, he can get, instead of 30 or 40 or 50 certificates, a single document representing whatever number he wants up to 500. That was chiefly for the sake of saving labor. The instances of people wanting quite large sums are often striking. They do not come only from the rich people who want to avoid the super tax. I remember one case of a small farmer. I don't think he had more than four or five acres up in the lake district in Westmore- land. He attended a war savings meeting, and was so much struck with the accounts of the investment and the patriotic appeal that he determined to invest. He was starting out from home next morning and his wife asked him where he was going. He said, "I am going to the bank to draw out two hundred pounds to put into War Savings Certificates/' His wife said, "Don't do that." She went over to the mattress and produced two hundred pounds in sovereigns. There were hundreds of instances of that sort— people you would never suspect of taking up large amounts. The total number of War Savings Certificates sold since the issue began at the end of February, 1916, is something like one hundred and forty million, that is to say, the cash value at fifteen and six each is between a hundred and a hundred and ten million pounds, roughly, five hundred million dollars or a little more. That sounds very small as* I understand your War Savings Certificates are hoped to produce as much as two billion dollars, but we are very well satisfied with the amount. Week by week the sale goes on and they bring in something like four to five million dollars a week to the Treasury, and they represent real money saved. None of it is banker's money created for the purpose. None of it is borrowed, and most of it would be spent 61 on goods and services which the Government want but could not have obtained if it had not been for the War Savings Certificate. Now, for the organization of the War Savings Committee. The organization as it exists at the present time, consists of the National War Savings Committee at headquarters in London and about fifteen hundred local war savings committees, that is, a local committee for every city with 20,000 inhabitants or more; a local committee for all the other areas in the country divided up as convenience dictates, and a county committee for each of the counties in England and Wales. These local committees are entirely autonomous bodies; they find the money for their own expenditure. They elect themselves. They have power to add to their numbers. They are in con- stant communication with headquarters but they are given quite a free hand if they want it, and the result is that they are generally very ready to take advice. In addition to these local War Savings Committees there are something over 40,000 war savings associations. These war savings associations are bodies or clubs which get together for the sake of co-operative saving. The ordinary illustration which appears in the hand- book which the National War Savings Committee issued is a group of 31 people who decide they would like to save for the sake of the country and invest their money in War Savings Certificates. If each saves sixpence a week and puts it by in a stocking it will take thirty-one weeks to buy one certificate. But each week the club treasurer has fifteen and six in hand and he can go to the post office and buy a war savings certificate which he gets in the name of the society with the special privi- lege of being able to transfer it without the postmaster's special leave. Then as each individual in the club contributes enough to have fifteen and sixpence to his individual credit he gets one of the certificates that belongs to the society. If he is the first to save fifteen and six in a group of thirty one he gets a certif- icate that is 31 weeks older than he would have if he bought it by himself. This has an immense attraction to him if you talk 62 about it, though it merely means that he gets, I think, about five and three-eighths per cent instead of five and a quarter after five years; but he is usually pleased with the idea. An additional attraction which has become a great favorite even in church circles, is that when three or four or a dozen members or more each reach fifteen and six on the same day their names are put into a hat and they have the excitement of drawing as to which shall get the best certificate. There need not be 31 people; there may be any number. Twelve or fifteen is prob- ably the minimum. I know of one particular society formed by some domestic servants. They started with eight members, but they quickly rose to over thirty. Some associations have over 10,000 members. I don't know what the total member- ship is, we have been growing so fast. It is something like five million. The local committee's function is to look after the propaganda work, to form War Savings Associations, to supervise their accounts, to see that they are properly audited, and generally to act as a medium of communication between the individual association and the National War Savings Committee at headquarters. The Government takes no responsibility for the solvency of an association. If you get thirty domestic servants in the same street engaged in co- operative saving they are not going to let any one of their number go away with the cash. We have had no trouble at all with defaulting officials. Among the most successful of these Associations are those formed in big munition works or factories or big offices of any kind. There the employer very often encourages the associa- tion. He very often offers the last sixpence for the War Savings Certificate of his employes, and he generally puts some one in his accounting department at the disposal of the committee of the association for keeping the accounts and helping them along. The pay clerk very often collects the cash at the time of payment of wages. Most of these associations take on the duty of acting as sellers of whole certificates without regard to the instalment plan, so wherever you have an association you 63 have an agent for the selling of certificates other than the nor- mal agents such as the Post Office and the banks. The value of these associations has been enormous. One does not know whether it is in the village or in the small town or in the large town or wherever it is that its use has been the greatest. We have got most of the schools actively engaged in war savings. In many cases nine out of ten of the children are members of the war savings associations belonging to the school, and they produce enormous sums because their parents through them invest their savings in war certificates on their own account. The children take home pamphlets to their parents and get the thing discussed, and act as agents in a way most remarkable. The association clustered around the school becomes a new center of interest in the village. They have enormous possi- bilities as a new force in English village life. Already some of them have taken up the problem of co-operative agricultural and horticultural association, and they may develop into credit banks or anything. There is really a possibility in front of them which is enormous, and wherever they are these associations have a very stimulating effect. If two or three people or a dozen people have combined to save they react on each other and stimulate their saving propensities, a very im- portant thing in England, where the idea of anybody saving was abhorrent to his neighbors who thought he was mean. The number of certificates sold through the associations is only a portion of the total of something over a million a week that are being sold. In spite of the network of associa- tions and committees covering the whole kingdom, there are still a great many people who prefer to do their savings for themselves without others knowing what is happening. The value of the committees and associations is out of all propor- tion to the number of certificates that are being saved through their agency because not only do they stimulate others to go direct to the post office and buy certificates, but the or- ganization of the National War Savings Committee was responsible, far more responsible than anything else, for the 64 thousand million sterling war loan of January and February of 1917. The organization was placed at the disposal of the Chancellor of the Exchequer and practically every one in England, Scotland and Wales was reached through this organization. The results astonished the financiers alto- gether. The sort of total the Government had in mind was at the outside three billion dollars, and no one was more flabbergasted than the people at the center when they dis- covered it was over five billion. That was almost entirely due to the organization of the War Savings Committee acting together with the stimulus from the immer.se press campaign and the other means of popularizing the war loan. After the war loan campaign, for three months the War Savings Committee placed themselves at the disposal of the Minister of Food for the purpose of conducting a food cam- paign. We were asked to place ourselves at the disposal of the Board of Agriculture for an increased agricultural produce campaign, and the National Service Department wanted us. Eventually we had to say that these children of ours had better have their own organizations. In the last few months a new savings campaign nas been started, and it is a quite remarkable thing, I think, that at the present moment, when prices in England have certainly gone far ahead of the increase in wages— it was not so a year ago — when prices have gone far ahead of the increase in wages, and despite the increased number of members of the family now in employment, families who a year ago were fabulously well off, are beginning to find that with the prices as they are at present the amount left over for investment is not large; and yet in spite of that the amount that is being saved weekly in war savings certificates is as much as it was a year ago. That, I think, is another achievement that can be put down entirely to the existence of the war savings organization, and the habit of saving which has spread through Great Britain. (Great applause.) ADDRESS GIVEN BEFORE THE CONVENTION OF THE ASSOCIATION OF TEACHERS OF THE STATE OF NEW YORK, AT SYRACUSE, N. Y. ON TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 27th, 1917 BY MR. BASIL P. BLACKETT, C.B. OF THE BRITISH TREASURY. The opportunity of meeting and addressing a representative gathering of school-teachers of the State of New York on the subject of War Savings in Great Britain is one of which I feel very proud, and I am most grateful to your President, Dr. Weet, for extending the invitation to me. The War Savings campaign in Great Britain has been a conspicuous success, and if any of those who have been much concerned in the conduct of the campaign were to be asked to apportion the credit for this success, they would, without hesitation, one and all agree in giving the first place to the work done by the school-teachers and the school-children of Great Britain. Let me quote, in support of this statement, an article from the monthly journal published by the National War Savings Committee. This quotation comes from the issue of November 1916: — "No tribute to those who have helped the War Savings movement would be complete unless the children received their share. No one ever doubted that boys and girls are amongst the most ardently patriotic inhabitants of the land, but one might perhaps have doubted whether this particular way of demonstrating their patriotism would have appealed to them very strongly. Most of us have to live fairly long before we properly appreciate the value of little efforts towards a great cause, and to save pennies and to do without sweets or treats seems such a tiny contribution 66 to the winning of the war. But the children have realized its use. Much of the credit for this is due to the teachers. To their many other labors, teachers all over the country have added the task of teaching thrift and showing how every penny handed over to Britain hastens victory.' 1 Here is another quotation, this time from the number for December 1916. This is a report from the County of War- wickshire: — "There are few schools now without a War Savings Association, and the certificates bought amount in the aggregate to a very considerable number. May a grate- ful nation some day, and not too late, recognize and recom- pense the silent and splendid patriotic self-sacrifice of the elementary school-teachers." In telling the story of the War Savings campaign in Great Britain the two most important features which have to be explained are first of all the War Savings Certificate, and then the organization of the country into local War Savings Com- mittees and War Savings Associations. I do not propose to-day to say much about the British War Savings Certificate. The United States Government has now announced the terms of the American War Savings Certificate, which follows in many respects the British model and in some respects un- doubtedly improves upon it. All that I need say about the British War Savings Certificate is that it costs 15/6d, that is, approximately $3.8734, that it can be cashed at any time either for 15/6d or, after the first year, 15s/9d plus Id. (that is 2c) for each additional month until at the end of 5 years it is worth £1 (say, $5). No one can hold more than 500 certificates, but within this maximum there is no restriction on the amount that can be bought at any time. The certificates are on sale, and have been on sale now for a year and three quarters, at every Post Office, every bank, and a great many other places, and can be bought at any time during business hours on any day. The War Savings organization is designed to carry out two main purposes, first, to explain to everyone the urgent reasons 67 why saving is so important, and, second, to provide facilities for co-operative saving and investment in War Savings certifi- cates. Of these two purposes, it is the first and not the second which the National War Savings Committee has re- garded as the most important. Our object was to make people save, and we refused to be judged solely by the number of certificates sold, though this has been very satisfactory. The way the country was organized was as follows. At the centre was the National War Savings Committee appointed by the British Treasury. In every city where the population was 20,000 or more a local War Savings Committee was es- tablished, and similar local War Savings Committees under the general superintendence of a County Committee in each county were set up in areas where the population was less than 20,000. The whole of England and Wales has been gradually mapped out and divided up into local committees in this way, so that at the present moment there are something over 1500 local War Savings Committees, and there is no one in England and Wales who does not live within easy reach of one or other of these committees. Scotland has been or- ganized in a similar way. The local committees are usually presided over by the Mayor or the City Treasurer, or, in the case of a county, by the Chairman of the County Council, and it has been the aim of the National War Savings Com- mittee to make each of those local committees fully representa- tive of the area within its control. In addition to representa- tives of the Municipal authority, nearly all the committees contain representatives chosen from among the bankers, manufacturers, local residents, women's organizations, labor organizations, school-teachers, munition works, friendly so- cieties, etc, etc. The usual procedure was to hold a public meeting and persuade a certain number of those present to form themselves into a local War Savings Committee with power to add to their number, so that the size and influence of each committee could, if necessary, be gradually extended as time went on. The expenses of the local committees are 68 found almost entirely without the help of the Government, and this gives them a great deal of liberty and autonomy which has been of extreme value. They pay the piper and they feel they can call the tune. They are in constant touch with the National Committee, either through its traveling representatives, of whom about 30 are appointed, or by cor- respondence, which, with the growth of the movement, has become very voluminous. The functions of the local com- mittees are two-fold. First, propaganda to explain the reasons why saving is important, to create a strong local opinion in favor of economy; and, second, to establish War Savings Associations, to keep them alive after establishment, to supervise their working, and to act as the channel of communi- cation between the central committee and the Associations for such purposes as the distribution of leaflets, account books, etc. which are provided free by the National Committee for Associations affiliated to it. The local committees do not themselves collect subscriptions, though they do, most of them, sell whole certificates. The function of the War Sav- ings Associations is to provide facilities for co-operative saving of small sums from a penny upwards. These sums, as col- lected from the individual member of an Association, are pooled, and every 15/6d that is obtained is at once used for the purchase of a War Savings certificate. The certificates so purchased are held in the first place in the name of the Association, but are subsequently transferred to the members as their individual subscriptions mount up to 15/6d. There are at present about 40,000 War Savings Associations in Great Britain, that is, one for even' thousand of the popula- tion. The number of members varies from as little as 15 to as many as 10,000 or even more. They are formed in all sorts of social groups in connection with churches, factories, munition works, stores, business offices, friendly societies or to cover certain geographical areas, such as a village or a particular street in a town, and finally, but by no means least important, in connection with schools. I have not 69 got any very recent statistics as regards the number of Asso- ciations in schools, but in the middle of May 1917, there were over 11,000 school Associations in Great Britain. The value of association for the purpose of saving is enormous, especially in a country such as England where there was a tendency before the war at any rate to confuse the virtue of thrift with the vice of meanness. When a few people get together to save in common for the sake of helping their country, they stimulate each other's efforts by co-operation. Indeed, the War Savings Associations have had an immense influence not merely upon their own members, which must amount now to over five millions, but even more upon those others who still prefer to do their saving independently by going direct to the Post Office to buy War Savings Certificates. Moreover, the influence of the War Savings organization is not confined to the small investor or to investment in War Savings certificates only. In England, ever since the end of 1915, various kinds of Government securities have been obtainable, over the counter as it were, from day to day, and not merely at stated times when a big war loan was being issued; and the War Savings organization has had immense value in stimulating the purchase of these larger Government bonds as well as in persuading people to buy War Savings Certificates. We appealed to all classes and made it clear from the first that we were not confining our appeal to the wage-earners. Perhaps one of the most remarkable features about the War Savings organizations as a whole is the fact that though it was started and organized under Government auspices from a central headquarters in London, the life of the movement at the present time comes from the individual members of the Associations and from the Associations and local Commit- tees re-acting upon and stimulating headquarters. It is a thoroughly democratic organization and not a State imposed system. Now, after explaining the details of the War Savings organi- 70 zation, I want to turn to the methods of persuading people in England of the importance of saving. We were greatly helped by the Press in stimulating public opinion on the subject of saving. The Press has its own methods of doing this sort of work. Let me show how the well-known London comic paper Punch helped. Here are two poems from one of its November, 1916 numbers: "A pious old man of Dundee Used to put seven lumps in his tea But his new zeal for thrift Joined in moral uplift Has reduced his allowance to three." "A wealthy financier named Jonah Made a fortune in far Arizona But so strongly he feels About thrift after meals That he's knocked off his second Corona." The appeal has not been an appeal merely to sentiment or merely to the pocket, and it has not been an appeal merely to lend money to the country. What we have tried to do and in a large measure have succeeded in doing is to explain the funda- mental economic reasons why saving is specially important in war time. We have tried to teach people not to think in terms of money. Very few of us — indeed perhaps none of us — can form any sort of mental picture of what 20 billion dollars means. So if you tell people that it is urgently important that they should save money because the Government has to spend 20 billion dollars on the war in the first year, you will probably not get very far. Moreover, if you tell a man who has never in his life had more than shall we say 10 dollars or 20 dollars in his pocket at any one time, that the Government wants 20 billion dollars in a year he will very likely say to you that a dime or a quarter or even 5 dollars from his pocket would be perfectly useless. What we have tried to do is to get away from figures and explain that when we say that the Government 71 wants to spend 20 billion dollars on the war, what we really mean is that the Government has to obtain materials, labor, and services of all kinds from the people of the country during the war, which, valued in terms of money, amount to that fig- ure. Finding 20 billion dollars does not mean accumulating coin or notes to that amount in a chest or in the U. S. Treasury Department. Nothing of the sort. It means in the short phrase which we have become accustomed to use in England that goods and services must be placed at the disposal of the Government in a volume never contemplated before — that the Government must be in a position to obtain those goods and services from the people. Money is, after all, only a symbol recognized in the present state of civilization as a convenient means for obtaining command over goods and services. If I have a dollar in my pocket I can make anybody I like, almost, work for me. I can make the candy shop produce and put on sale candy to the value of a dollar. I can make a taxicab in New York carry me — for a very short distance. I can make a railway company convey me for something like 40 miles. I can, also, if I like, lend the dollar to the Government, in which case I transfer to the Government my command over goods and ser- vices to the extent of a dollar's worth measured in money. Now just think what this means. It means n ot merely that the Government has money with which to obtain a dollar's worth of goods and services, but it means also that there is an extra dollar's worth of goods and services available in the country for the use of the Government, because I have chosen not to use them up for my own private purposes. The problem before the Government is to find goods and services for the war in unprecedented volume, and it can only do so if the citizens of the country refrain from competing with the Government for the available goods and services. The late Lord Kitchener put the matter very clearly in a speech which he made in London on the 1st March, 1916, his last public speech. What he said was: "There are not goods and services enough to go round. Either ciivlians must forego some of their ordinary comforts, or the 72 Navy and Army must go short of their necessities, and that means a larger loss of life." Now, it may have sounded a Utopian thing to do, but what the National War Savings Committee set out to do, and what all its local committees have been doing, has been to try and explain this gospel of goods and sendees, as I am tempted to call it, in popular language to every one who will hear it. We had a poster, that was also issued in the form of a pamphlet, en- titled "Six Reasons Why You Should Save," and the reasons were those: 1. Because when you save, you help the Country to help you to win the war. 2. Because when you spend on things you do not need you help the Germans. 3. Because when you spend, you make other people work for you, and the work of every one is wanted now to help our fight- ing men, or to produce necessaries, or to make goods for export. 4. Because by going without things and confining your sp endings to necessaries you relieve the strain on our ships and docks and railways and make transport cheaper and quicker. 5. Because when you spend you make things dearer for everyone, especially for those who are poorer than you. 6. Because every shilling saved helps twice, first when you don't spend it and again when you lend it to the Nation. Well, perhaps you will be thinking that the idea of ever persuading people to save and lend money to their country by giving them lectures on political economy is bound to be a failure. The reverse is the case. It is quite true that it proved very difficult to persuade bankers and business men not to think in terms of money. They were apt to say "Business as usual is my motto. Let money circulate; it is good for trade." "Quite so" was our reply. "Let money circulate, but in the right channels." All our expenditure and all our labor must go upon supplying the requirements of war and the essential needs of our people. They must not be squandered upon unnecessary goods. Public opinion must declare itself definitely against personal indulgence. • 73 The National War Savings Committee had a gradually broadening vision of what its functions were. It knew from the first that its functions were not merely to sell War Savings certificates but also to persuade people to save. Then it saw that increased production and avoidance of waste were equally important. The country wanted goods and services. There were plenty of people who had it in their power to increase the amount of services available, by taking up work that would help the country, whether paid or not, or by transferring their activities from producing non-essentials to producing essentials. So the vision which the War Savings Committee saw and pro- claimed was that in a nation organized for war every man and every woman and every child had their part, both in a positive way by producing more of the things that were essential, by avoiding waste, and also by the less attractive method of avoid- ing all expenditure which was not essential for health and effi- ciency. As I say, the bankers and the business men found this doctrine hard, but the girl in the munition factory was quick to see it. We had a poster which was very popular — ' '124 cartridges for 15/6d and your money back with compound interest." The munition girl was not slow in seeing that if she saved 15/6d and lent it to the Government, the Government would have 15/6d with which to buy cartridges, the Govern- ment would have 15/6d with which to employ herself and others on making cartridges, and that the labor of herself and others would be set free for making those cartridges instead of being used up in making or selling, shall we say, cheap jewelry, and that finally after the war when her boy came back from the front she would have not merely 15/6d, but also the accumu- lated interest toward furnishing a home for the two of them. But the children were even quicker in understand- ing the gospel of goods and services than the girl in the munition factory. Everywhere the children understood. Here was something positive they could do. They could take their part in the financial offensive. By not buying candy, or by not going to the movies, they could help to increase the 74 • amount standing to their credit in the school War Savings As- sociation and they could be taking their part in helping to win the war. They could not all, they knew, be like Jack Cornwell the hero of the Battle of Jutland. They could not all die for their country like Edith Cavell, but they could help positively by saving their pennies and by earning more pennies by doing useful things out of school hours. They could take their part in making history instead of only reading about the heroes of history. They were wonderful missionaries for the War Sav- ings campaign. They went home and told their parents about the War Savings Certificates and about the gospel of goods and services. Let me quote again from the War Savings Journal: 'The schools are splendid almost everywhere. Nine Associa- tions in Hove in six weeks subscribed £480" or again, 'The children themselves have often been our best missionaries and advertising agents. They have written convincing letters to parents and neighbors and helped at War Savings meetings," or again "From Merthyr Tydvil comes a story which proves how eager the children are. Between a Monday and a Thurs- day the scholars of one school paid in £6 (30 dollars), and they never expected to see it any more. They fancied that the cash was sent straight to the Army and Navy and was gone for good. They were all poor children, yet they were prepared not to lend but to give. Truly, the very small investor is doing very well." Now I want to tell you something about what happened in a county of Wales called Cardiganshire. It has a population of just 60,000, but in the first quarter of 1917 the number of War Savings certificates bought through the War Savings organiza- tion in Cardiganshire was seven fold greater per head than the next highest county in England and Wales. Of course, there must have been many "nest-eggs" brought out to make this total, but the reports by the Hon. Secretaries for the county show that it was the schools that secured this wonderful result: "When the campaign was started we decided to work through the schools not only to form Associations but to reach the parents as well as the children and to appeal to all classes and practically 75 every existing institution. The results were amazing and electrifying. The earnestness and enthusiasm passed all bounds. Meetings were crowded at whatever hour they were held — from 10 A. M. to 10 P. M. Practically everywhere speakers found large and influential gatherings of teachers, farmers, and others awaiting their arrival. The children con- ducted a house-to-house canvass/' In fact, there was an im- mense revivalist movement, as I may call it, about the country. This shows what the sincere efforts of a few active and patriotic organizers working on a patriotic population through the school teachers and the school children can perform. One very successful method of encouraging war savings has been the performance of little plays, especially in the villages, by the school-children. One playlet I remember was called "Patriotic Pence." In the first of the two scenes, Mrs Smith, with her children clamoring for pennies to buy this, that, and the other, wonders where all the pennies go. She sings the question, and the children join in the chorus "Oh, dear, what can the matter be? Everything's wrong in our home." And then a figure appears who turns out to be a fairy, and she introduces 12 small brown figures which are the spent pennies, and they explain, in a song, the useless things they have been buying. The tune is "The Campbells are coming". The song begins, I remember, "The pennies are going to-day, to-day, The money is flowing away, away, The money is flowing and nobody knowing, And nobody having a say, a say. From somebody's pocket I fell, I fell, And that was just as well, as well, For there rolled down the street two sixpences neat And a stream of pennies as well, as well." Thereupon Sergeant Shilling sends the pennies off to buy milk instead of beer, candles instead of candies, and so on, and they return bringing also the cartridges that save the soldiers' lives. They sing another song which is also set to one of 76 the English patriotic airs. I only remember a part of it — the chorus: — "We are each small enough, it is true. There's little a penny can do. But a cartridge to fire from a rifle Is just what a penny can do." The second scene some weeks later is also in Mrs. Smith's room, which is now much better kept. The fairy comes again and calls in the patriotic pence, and they tell in other songs, still to well-known English airs, what they have lately been doing. Mrs. Smith explains to a visitor that it only means that "the kids and I are trying to do our bit at home as Dad is doing his bit in the Navy." It is sometimes objected — I remember in one particular case a meeting of London teachers where it was objected — that the work of managing a school Association was likely to be too much for the over-worked teacher. The complaint was answered on the spot by a lady teacher, who said that she had been running an Association for six months and though at first it took her a little longer she now found that with more than 100 members the account keeping did not involve ten minutes work a week. All through Great Britain the teachers have made immense sacrifices of their time, not merely running School Associations among the children, but acting as regular workers for the local War Savings Com- mittee and stimulating others to form War Savings Associa- tions. Some of the teachers with whom we first discussed the question of encouraging War Savings in the schools were afraid that it would be dangerous to teach the children to save lest they should become mean, but the appeal we made was not to the pockets of the children or their parents so much as to their patriotism; and if there is any danger of the kind feared it could surely be got over by insisting on the duty and pleasure of right spending. Just try for a 77 moment to form a vision of a nation of right spenders, where everyone in his or her spending would think not merely of himself or herself and the pleasure to be obtained, would not insist too strongly on the fact that the money was his or her own to spend as he or she liked, but would think of others and remember that, though money is our own to spend, it is our own to spend rightly with due regard to others. In war time it is easy to see what our duty to others is. Our duty is to help to win the war, and this we can do by refraining from all unnecessary spending. But in peace time, too, we can think of others. If the duty of right spending were once properly learnt, he who had learnt it would be the hap- piest man in the world. This war is bringing, in all the belligerent countries, large sums into the pockets of the wage earners. No one grudges them their earnings, but it is for many of them the opportunity of a lifetime; indeed, it is the opportunity of generations. For once there is some sur- plus over bare necessities which can be saved and set aside against a rainy day or as the nucleus of a capital fund. Many are learning it and are seeing that they can help themselves and their country by saving. Let me end with one more quotation from "Punch". "Lend all and gladly. If this bitter strife May so by one short hour be sooner stayed, Then is your offering, spent to ransom life, A thousand fold repaid." ENGLAND'S EFFORT TO PAY FOR THE WAR OUT OF SAVINGS Address Delivered Before the Academy of Political Science, at the Carnegie Hall, New York, on Friday, December 14th, by Mr. Basil P. Blackett, C. B. of the British Treasury. I must begin by apologizing for the word "England" in the title. The title should be "The effort of the United Kingdom of Great Britain & Ireland to pay for the war out of savings"; but on grounds of euphony or economy the authorities have insisted on a shorter title. I hope, therefore, that any Scotchman or Irishman in the audience will not impute the title to me for wickedness. After all, it would have been a mistake, I think, to have used a title which sug- gested in any way that a Scotchman had to make an effort to save! The story of the British effort to pay for the war out of savings is one of a gradually widening vision of what was involved. When the war began, thinking by Departments was the order of the day. It was customary to speak of "The Navy's task" and "The Army's task" and "The Trea- sury's task," and while it was of course realized that they all contributed towards the achievement of one purpose, it was as much as each Department could do, when the war first broke out, to concentrate on its own particular activity. The first big task with which Great Britain was con- fronted was the need for an army of millions instead of an army of thousands. A recruiting campaign was set in motion, and for a time everything was subordinated to the obtaining of recruits for the army. In spite of the 80 interference with normal business which inevitably resulted, we were sufficiently blind to what was really happening to accept the cry of "Business as Usual"' as our first catchword. That phrase had its proper significance when it was invented, but it attained a much wider meaning than was intended by its author. Its proper limited meaning was that in spite of the shock to credit and to the mechanism of finance, it was the duty of those who could not fight to attend to the every day details of their own business and keep the machinery of business and finance running as smoothly as might be. It meant that there was work for everyone to do and that harm, and not good, would result if people wasted their time and energy by neglecting their ordinary occupations as if they were the excited spectators of a drama and as if watching the unfolding of the drama was all they had to do. After the recruiting campaign came the shortage of muni- tions. The two subjects of recruiting and of the production of munitions were closely connected. It became evident that the scale on which we were producing munitions of war had to be increased in even larger proportion than we had increased, or were trying to increase, the numbers of our army. The Munitions Department was accordingly created and set to work on its task of organizing industry and labor for the production of engines of war on a colossal scale. Yet it was some time before the questions of recruiting and of the pro- duction of munitions were fully co-ordinated, and it was only after immense efforts that the need for recruits and the need for munitions were visualized and regulated as two aspects of the same problem. Meanwhile finance was following its own course. During the first five month.- of the war those who were responsible for finance were mainly taken up with heroic and on the whole successful rr.easu.res to prevent the collapse of the delicate machinery of modern finance based on credit and credit instrument.-. Owing to Great Britain's position as the centre of International finance, this problem involved not merely 81 Great Britain but the world as a whole. During the same period some provisional steps were taken to increase taxation, and a war loan of $1,750,000,000 was issued. This was no mean feat at a time when all the Stock Exchanges of the world were closed and when but three months had elapsed since the fateful days at the end of July 1914, when Inter- national finance seemed to be on the verge of complete paraly- sis. It was in January 1915, when the London Stock Exchange was reopened, that the first official steps were taken towards conserving the capital of the country for the financing of the war. The Stock Exchanges of Great Britain were re-opened under new conditions. They were bound, as they are bound to-day, by what are still known as the Temporary Regula- tions for the Re-opening of the Stock Exchange, which imposed very strict limitations on all dealings in capital. Among the questions which were uppermost in the minds of the bankers and brokers during the discussion with the Treasury as to these regulations was the protection of the London money market against enemy dealings in securities: but there were two of the regulations unobtrusively introduced which involved quite other considerations. These were the regulations which aimed at preventing any new issue of capital during the war without Treasury approval, and prohibited the sale in the United Kingdom of any securities which had not been con- tinuously in physical possession in the United Kingdom since the beginning of the war. Both these regulations were aimed in part at the prevention of enemy dealings, but they were really a first step towards the use of financial weapons to discourage business that was not essential for the prosecution of the war. It was only gradually that people began to under- stand that by preventing the purchase in Great Britain of securities imported into Great Britain since the war began the Treasury was aiming at preserving for investment in war loans any new capital seeking investment. The restrictions on new issues of capital were naturally followed by restrictions 82 on capital expenditure by Municipal and public bodies. At first the Municipal authorities were not inclined to accept any restrictions. The favorite argument which they used was that investors in securities of the kind which they issued would not in any case invest money in Government securities and that therefore they were not competing with the Govern- ment. But they gradually came to understand that whether or not the money which they refrained from using for capital expenditure was lent to the Government, they would, by refraining from spending it, be leaving a free field to the Government for the labor and materials which the Govern- ment desired for the war. The question of conserving the capital of the country for the war began to be envisaged as merely one aspect of the question of releasing men for the Colors and setting free labor for munition works, and a big step forward was taken when the local authorities generally, convinced by these arguments, co-operated loyally with the Government in discouraging all forms of Municipal expendi- ture which could not be defended as being necessary for the achievement of victory. Meanwhile the problem of paying for the war out of savings was being approached from another point of view. In accord- ance with her old traditions, Great Britain proceeded to in- crease taxation as fast as seemed possible without causing overwhelming disturbance of monetary conditions. The initial increases in taxation were small in comparison with what has since been achieved, but it may be convenient at this point to anticipate the story a little and to give the figures of British annual revenue for the whole period of the war. In the financial year 1913-14, the last complete year before the war, Great Britain's Revenue and Expenditure amounted to just under £200,000,000, or $1,000,000,000, her expenditure including, however, a sum of about £10,000,000, or $50,000,000 for reduction of debt. In the year 1914-15 the total revenue was £270,338,000, say $1,350,000,000. In 1915-16 the revenue was £336,766,824, say $1,680,000,000. 83 In 1916-17 the revenue was £573,427,582, say $2,870,000,000 and for 1917-18 it is estimated that the revenue will amount to between £650,000,000 and £700,000,000, that is to say, to something between $3,250,000,000 and $3,500,000,000. As compared with the pre-war figures this means that an additional $2,250,000,000 to $2,500,000,000 is being taken out of the pockets of the people each year. This is a very considerable first charge on the annual savings of the country. Indeed it is not far short of the highest estimate of the total annual savings of Great Britain prior to the war. Of course, with the rise in prices and the immense increase in productive activity, directed to war purposes, with the decrease in unes- sential expenditure, the annual savings of the country (leaving out of account the Government's expenditure on the war) have increased enormously. But it was not possible to impose the extra taxation all at once. The Treasury realized from the first that extra taxation and subscriptions for war loans must come out of the same source, namely, the surplus of the income of the country over the amount spent by private individuals on their own require- ments; or, in other words, out of the surplus of the goods and services produced over those privately consumed. The posi- tion was, of course, very considerably obscured by the fact that people in England were able, if they wished, to contribute both to taxation and to war loans out of the proceeds of the sale of securities, and it was not easy to make people in general recognize the essential difference between the sale of securities by John Smith of London to John Jones of London and the sale of securities by John Bull to Uncle Sam. The power to obtain cash, or, in other words, the power to obtain immediate com- mand of the goods and services in course of production in the world by selling securities to neutrals was one which has been of enormous importance to Great Britain in financing the war. It is still of some importance, but with the gradual disappear- ance of neutrals the world over and in particular when the United States joined the Allies, the sale of securities in Great 84 Britain to purchasers beyond the seas has lost a large part of its former value as a means of financing the war. Now that the whole of the resources of the United States are thrown upon the side of the Allies, the sale of American Railroad stock in London by London to New York no longer adds to the re- sources available for war against- Germany. All it does is to transfer from America to Great Britain the power to command goods and services which are in any case already potentially available for war requirements. In other words, the war must now be paid for entirely out of the annual savings of the nations at war. At the time I am speaking of, in 1915, such sales of securities to the United States meant that Americans accepted the past savings of Great Britain in exchange for goods and services actually being produced in America. From the point of view of the country as a whole, the sale of securities abroad and borrowing of money abroad means that past savings are being dissipated. It is therefore of enormous importance that new savings should be effected. In the case of Great Britain however it has to be remembered that new capital has been invested and still is being invested abroad in larger volume than before the war in the form of British loans to Britain's Allies. Even since the United States of America en- tered the war, Great Britain has lent $1,450,000,000 to her Allies in the six months ending September 30th, 1917. So that to a very large extent Great Britain has during the war not so much realized her previous investments abroad as she has re-invested her savings in new directions. It would obviously have been undesirable in 1915 to raise taxation to a point at which the taxpayer would have been inclined or compelled to pay his taxes by the sale of securities to neutrals. Taxation as a method of raising money for a war has the advantage that it provides a strong inducement to the taxpayer to economize. If it is increased beyond the point at which for the time being economy is likely to result, heavy taxation would do more harm than good. The balance of the expenditure on the war that could not be raised by taxation 85 had of course, to be raised by borrowings. The issue of a war loan was accordingly decided upon in June 1915, and over £600,000,000 ($3,000,000,000) was secured. It was during the war loan campaign of 1915 that the phrase "War Savings" first became popular in Great Britain. An effort was made to issue that war loan in a form which would make it attractive to the small investor. It has never been possible to identify the contribution of the small investor to the various loans issued in Great Britain owing to the fact that on the one hand big con- tributions from Building Societies, Co-operative Societies, Savings Banks, etc., which are really in fact contributions from the small investor are hidden away among the large subscrip- tions, while on the other hand, for one reason or another, some of the small bonds issued through the Post Office have been bought by others besides the small investor. Financially, the response from the small investor to the invitation for sub- scriptions through the Post Office in the war loan of July 1915 was not unsatisfactory, but in the course of the next 6 months experience proved that the problem of securing contributions to the war loans from the wage earner was still altogether un- solved. So little was the true state of affairs realized that quite patriotic people thought they were really helping when they were enticed into buying such things as motor cars by adver- tisements offering to take payment in whole or in part in War Loan Bonds, — as if it were not obvious that the last thing a patriot should do is to sell or part with his War Loan holdings for the sake of obtaining cash to spend on luxuries. A campaign for war savings was started immediately after the war loan of July 1915, but its results were not very satisfactory. It was almost entirely a bond selling campaign and there was little attempt to explain the fundamental reasons why saving was important. Local war savings committees were established in various cities, but as they had nothing suitable in the way of a bond to sell to the small investor and as they had no definite functions other than those of preaching, they soon either died a natural death or if they remained nominally alive were quite 86 inactive. When a new war savings campaign was opened on new lines in 1916 one of its first problems was to overcome the resulting unpopularity of the war savings movement and to obtain the substitution of active and vigorous local war savings committees in places where one of the old committees was still officially in existence. The 1915 war savings campaign failed and the cause of its failure was that those who were conducting it were still thinking in terms of money. The British experience was that the essential pre-requisite to a successful war savings campaign is to translate terms of money into terms of the things which money commands or into terms of "goods and services." Although it had obviously become antedeluvian, the cry of "Business as Usual" had still strong hold throughout the country. It was incompatible with the setting free of labor from non-essentials to essentials such as the production of munitions, but "Business as Usual" appeals strongly to natural human selfishness and was in many cases, I fear, a cloak for the cry of "Pleasure as Usual." I do not mean to say that those who were using the cry of "Business as Usual" were consciously unpatriotic; the difficulty was to make them see the fallacy of their position. The arguments which they produced were plausible — "How can we pay taxes if our business is taken away from us?" was perhaps their favorite argument. When in the beginning of 1916 the National War Savings Committee was appointed, it set to work to combat this argument. Its answer was this: If I spend £100 on buying things and so enable the seller to pay £10 extra in taxes, surely it would be much better if instead of spending the £100 I lent the whole of it to the Government? And then we went on to explain that there was an absolute shortage of goods and services available for the war, that energy must be transferred from the produc- tion of non-essentials to the production of essentials, that the consumption of non-essentials must cease in order that their production might cease. Moreover, the opportunity for a transfer of energy from non-essential to essential businesses was 87 unique. There was an unlimited demand by the Government for the labor and the skill of all who had labor and skill to offer, and if non-essential businesses were closed down there would be no difficulty whatever in finding employment for those who had previously been engaged in them, whether as employers or employees. In many cases the transfer was extraordinarily simple. Jewelers and watchmakers can turn almost immediately to the manufacture of fuses. I know a builder in London who was able to turn his workshops almost without any changes into the making of shells. At the end of 1915 a Committee under the Chairmanship of Mr. Edwin Montagu, now Secretary of State for India, who was at that time Financial Secretary to the Treasury, discussed the question of "War Loans for the Small Investor." In its Report this Committee wisely went one better than its title: it declared that the problem was to secure savings by rich and poor alike, that saving was the essential thing, and that if the savings effected could be secured as subscriptions to Govern- ment war issues, incidental advantages would result, but that the first and most important thing was to make people save. It was on the recommendations of this Committee that the National War Savings Committee was appointed. I have already described before many audiences in this country the progress of the War Savings campaign which was initiated by the Na- tional War Savings Committee, and I do not propose to repeat to-day at any length what I have had to say on that subject. The success of the War Savings campaign — it has been an un- doubted success — was due to a large extent to the invention of the War Savings Certificate which has now the proud privilege of being the model for the American War Savings Certificate. In addition, small Exchequer bonds in denominations of £5 ($25) and upwards were placed on continuous sale over the counter at the Post Offices. In a large measure also success has been due to the organization of local War Savings Committees and War Savings Associations throughout the country. It was a new idea in England to go out to the public and take bonds 88 to them and persuade them to buy them. Prior to the war the financial houses in Great Britain which had bonds to sell ex- pected the investor to come to them and buy the bonds and did nothing more in the way of touting for custom than the despatch of circulars to selected addressees. The National War Savings Committee gradually built up an orgaization which urged people to save and buy Government securities and offered easy facilities for obtaining them. But at bottom the success of the War Savings campaign has been due not to the excellence of the securities which it had to sell, not to its organization, not to its bond-selling efforts, but to the atmosphere which it has created. It is hard to describe what I mean by the phrase "War Savings atmosphere." Those who have taken part in the War Savings movement in Britain understand what it means. I have said that the terms of refer- ence on which the National War Savings Committee was ap- pointed emphasized the importance of saving, and left the question of investment in Government securities in the second place. Starting out from this basis, the Committee gradually extended its conception of what its duties were. It had been appointed at a time when thinking in Departments was still prevalent, but when the country as a whole was beginning to be conscious that behind the diversity of Departmental duties there was unity to be aimed at, all directed towards the same object — victory, the victory of democracy over tyranny, and that there must be some single idea and ideal in which the diversity of departmental duties could be gathered together in a higher unity. The members of the National War Savings Committee began by urging the importance of savings. And in explaining savings to themselves and to others, they began to see that the word meant the placing of goods and services at the disposal of the Government in increasing volume, that it meant increased production, avoidance of waste, as well as refraining from unnecessary expenditure. Service for the country, whether paid or unpaid, increases the goods and services avail- able for the war. Bandages and Red Cross articles produced 89 by voluntary labor increase the goods available for the war. It does not matter whether they are paid for or not paid for. Thus the National War Savings Committee and those whom it reached throughout the country began to see that all the problems of the war could be summed up in one idea — that the release of men for the Colors, the production of more munitions, increased agricultural production, the problem of organizing labor for war, the tonnage problem, the problem of shortage of means of transportation, were some aspects of this idea; the effort to save money by avoiding expenditure was another aspect of it. And it could all be summed up in the ideal of a nation organized for war, but organized by its own voluntary effort in a democratic way and not by force imposed from above. It was this ideal that the National War Savings Committee began to see as its vision widened. Its workers went about the country showing people that what was neces- sary was to increase the goods and services available for the war and that this must be done by increased production on the one hand and on the other hand by stern economy in the avoidance of all expenditure which would put the individual in competi- tion with the Government for the goods and services which the nation needed. An organization has been built up covering the whole country. There is a local War Savings Committee, over 1500 of them in all, within easy reach of every inhabitant of Great Britain, whose function is to explain the need for War Savings and to establish and supervise War Savings Associations. These latter are clubs for co-operative saving by instalments, provid- ing the readiest of facilities for the saving of small sums. Over 40,000 such Associations are now at work. The War Savings movement was like a snowball. Each new local committee added new workers; each new association led to the establishment of other associations; each new member of a war savings association brought in other members. The enthusiasm engendered was extraordinary. It was the unselfish ideal behind the movement which was the key to this enthu- siasm. The only phrases that I can use that seem at all to do 90 justice to our experience are religious phrases. We went about proclaiming the gospel of right spending. A revivalist move- ment is the best parallel for the growth of the war savings movement. Our workers were missionaries. We owe much to the democratic nature of our organization. The Briton re- fused to be organized from above for war, but he quickly under- stood what was meant by the organizing for war of the people, by the people, for the people. What happened in the movement for increase of munitions production might be cited as a parallel ; it was to a great extent labor itself which organized labor for the production of munitions through the action of its own Unions. It is obvious that statistics are a very poor index by which to measure the result of the War Savings movement in Great Britain. The figures of the Victory loan in January and February 1917, however, show something of the value of the organization created. The financiers hoped for a total of £500,000,000, or £600,000,000— $2,500,000,000 to $3,000,000,- 000. The War Savings organization placed itself at the dis- posal of the Chancellor of the Exchequer, and the total of the loan was over £1,000,000,000— over $5,000,000,000. The following statistics may serve as illustrations of what the small investor has done. They must be taken with reserve in so far as the small investor was and is an undefined entity, and allowance must be made for the fact that there are absolutely no statistics whatever available in which the subscribers to war loans issued 'through the Bank of England are classified accord- ing to the amount of their subscriptions. The total amount subscribed to British Government war loans issued through the Post Office, that is, in denominations from 15/6d upwards, up to 30th September 1917, is £206,000,000, or just over $1,000,000,000. Of this amount War Savings certificates accounted for just under £100,000,000 ($500,000,000) net cash. All but about £35,000,000 ($175,000,000) of this total of $1,000,000,000 has been subscribed since January 1916. The number of holders of war savings certificates is not exactly ascertainable, but it is estimated at not less than 91 12,000,000 persons and may be as large as 15,000,000. The total population of the British Isles is about 45,000,000, so that more than one quarter of the population or possibly as much as one third of the population has a direct interest in Govern- ment securities; and remember that there has been no effort to urge the well-to-do to buy War Savings Certificates. They have been urged to buy War Loan or Exchequer Bonds issued through the Bank of England. The War Savings Certificate is specially meant for those for whom the ordinary Govern- ment Bond is not a suitable investment. One further bit of information has just reached me. Prices have now risen to a level which is quite out of proportion to recent increases in wages in Great Britain. A year ago the rise in prices was still far behind the relative increase in wages, especially if the family is taken as a unit. For the increased number of its members in paid employment has meant for many a family an aggregate income of a size never dreamed of before the war. Yet in spite of all adverse factors the number of war saving certificates sold weekly is equal to what it was a year ago. But whereas a year ago the sales were effected chiefly through the Post Offices and Banks, at the present time the War Savings Associations are the largest factor in the weekly totals. When we look back to the days before July 1914 and think of the changes which the war has brought about, one of the most remarkable in my opinion has been the immense widening of our outlook and the broadening of our vision. We have been lifted out of our own narrow and self-regarding interests. The world has been made one in suffering. Everywhere when men and women talk of the period after the war thoughts are expressed and projects are formulated which, if they have any real meaning at all, imply that never again will the con- science of humanity permit individuals or classes or even individual nations or groups of nations to claim in the exercise of their own individual rights or ' 'sovereign' ' powers that they are justified in riding rough-shod over the rights and interests 92 of humanity as a whole. This widening of outlook and of vision has been very marked in the story of Britain's effort to pay for the war out of savings. It is the story of the gradual growth of a wider vision in the region of war finance till the vision transcended that region and proclaimed that the problem of financing the war was neither more nor less than the problem of organizing ourselves for victory so that all the resources of the British- nation, spiritual, moral and material, might be brought to bear on the achievement of a single purpose. Thinking in terms of money became im- possible. Money terms had to be translated into terms of human activities. The message of the war savings movement became "Produce more, consume less, waste nothing. The Government wants all the goods and services the country can provide. If you have services to offer, offer them abund- antly. It does not matter whether or what you are paid for your services: spend your money and yourself in the service of your country. In war time your money is your own to spend, only if you spend it in .a way that will help to win the war. If you waste it, or if you spend it on luxuries, even on comforts, or on anything not essential to health and efficiency, you are trenching on the surplus of goods and services that ought to be made available for the purpose of the war and you are increasing the toll which death takes from those who are risking their all for you." It has been impossible to stop at this point. "Spend your money and yourselves in the service of others". If this message is true in war time it must be true in peace time. Democracy must learn to organize itself for the good of the world. I am vividly conscious of the fact that the old problem of reconciling individual freedom with the greatest good of the greatest number is still unsolved. But after all is the message anything new? Is it not the old message of Christianity — that happiness lies in forgetfulness of self, and has not the war taught us all once again how much happier simplicity of life and service for others makes us than the vanity of extravagance for extravagance sake? And so, in the dim 93 distance, discerned as yet by faith and not by reasoning, the student of economics sees a vision of a new economic philos- ophy after the war, perhaps even of a new organization of society where both in individual and in national expenditure the duty and the pleasure of right spending will be known and enjoyed.