A Picture of the Grain Industry BY W. J. SPILLMAN MARKETING GRAIN LESSON 1 The American Institute of Agriculture A PICTURE OF THE GRAIN INDUSTRY Crop Areas - Buyi^ Areas - Future of the Industry By W. J. SFILLMAN Consulting Specialist, Bureau of Agricultural Economics, U. S. Department of Agriculture MARKETING GRAIN LESSON 1 "Every Lesson by a National Authority" Confidential Edition Issued for Members * * Copyright, 1922 THE AMERICAN INSTITUTE OF AGRICULTURE CHICAGO THE MAN WHO CONDUCTS THIS LESSON §> WILLIAM J. SPILLMAN It seems to be the fashion now-a-days for men's minds to concentrate on individual activities of life. One man's inclination is toward railroading, another is toward dairying, and another is toward mining. It is very apparent that the mind of W. J. Spillman has been very much concentrated on the grain industry. For several years owning a farm of his own in Missouri, Mr. Spillman has had the practical ex- perience of a farmer in finding the best market for his grain. In 1902, he was a specialist in the De- partment of Agriculture known as an agrostologist (an agrostologist is one who is a specialist in grains and grasses). His title was changed in 1905 to "agriculturist," and this title he had until 1915, when he became Chief of the Office of Farm Management of the U. S. Department of Agriculture. In this office he was more specifically concerned with the marketing of grain than with production. In the course of his work in the Department of Agriculture, he prepared many bulletins and super- vised the preparation of many others. All of the time his work was kept practical by the fact that he had the practical farm problems of a farm owner to settle almost every day. ©cuesens ^ *HS> 1 A PICTURE OF THE GRAIN INDUSTRY The Office of Farm Management was later merged with other departments, and now the work formerly conducted by the Office of Farm Management is con- ducted by the Bureau of Agricultural Economics, of which Mr. Spillman is a member, SUMMARY OF WILLIAM J. SPILLMAN'S TRAINING AND EXPERIENCE EXPERIENCE: Consulting Specialist, Bureau of Agricultural Economics, D. S. Department of Agriculture, since 1921 Associate Editor, "Farm Journal, ' ' 1918-1921 Chief, Office of Farm Management, U. S. Department of Agriculture, 1915 -1918 Agriculturist, U. S. Department of Agriculture, 1905-1915 • Agrostologist, U. S. Department of Agriculture, 1902-1905 Professor of Agriculture, Washington State College, 1894-1901 Professor of Science, Oregon State Normal, 1891-94; Vincennes, 1889-91; Missouri State Normal, 1887-89 Fellow, A. A. A. S. President, American Farm Management Association MEMBER: National Academy of Science; Society for the Promotion of Agri- cultural Science; American Society of Agronomy; American Genetic Association AUTHOR: "Farm Grasses of the United States"; "Farm Science"; also various bulletins on agricultural subjects; contributor to scientific journals; editor, heredity section, "American Naturalist, " 1908-15 EDUCATION: B. S., University of Missouri, 1896; M. S., University of Missouri, 1889; D. Sc, Temple University, Philadelphia, 1907 -r> GRAIN LESSON 1 HOW TO STUDY THIS LESSON You may not have realized that the grain in- dustry is so huge and complicated as it is, unless you already know most of the facts in this lesson. From the study outline, you will see that there are 11 parts, but do not be misled by this number. A separate part is devoted to each of the grains, and that is why so many divisions are made. First. Master Part I Part I is, in a way, a review of some of the things you learned in Lesson A, but with these facts applied specifically to the grain industry. Second, Familiarize Yourself with Wheat Part II is devoted to the world's most important bread crop — wheat. While wheat is not the largest crop in the United States, it is of more importance in world commerce than any of our other crops. And so you should spend a considerable amount of time on Part II. Inasmuch as the fluctuation in the price of wheat affects prices of many other farm products, it is particularly important that you know how the crops and the demand in certain foreign coupntries are likely to affect the price of wheat in America. When you have thoroughly mastered Part II, you will be able to explain just what competition we have in the world's wheat markets. Third, Familiarize Yourself with Our Largest Crop Part III is also exceedingly important, because it deals with the largest crop in the United States — corn. Corn is not so important in the world's commerce as wheat because a much smaller amount is moved from one country to another. Much the larger percentage of corn is consumed right where it is produced. And so you should be sure to have clear when you finish with Part III the entire situation of corn production and marketing in the United States. A PICTURE OF THE GRAIN INDUSTRY Fourth, Study Parts IV to VII Part IV treats of oats, and oats are somewhat similar to corn in that they do not enter into world commerce nearly so much as wheat. Foreign pro- duction of oats is not nearly so important as home production. And so you should pay particular attention to the facts given in Part IV about the production and marketing of oats in America. Practically the same thing is true of barley, treated in Part V; rye, treated in Part VI; and buckwheat, treated in Part VII. Fifth, Study the Flax Section There is one little paragraph in Part VIII that is, perhaps, more important than any other. This paragraph has the heading, "The United States Imports Flaxseed." In that paragraph you will learn of the countries from which we buy flaxseed. And you will understand, of course, that it is im- portant to keep informed as to the production of flaxseed in those countries and as to the imports from those countries in order to be able to judge as to the prospective change in price for flaxseed here in America. Sixth, Study Part IX on Rice Rice is one of the least important crops in America. However, there are many interesting facts in Part IX which treats not only of American pro- duction, but also of production in other parts of the world. One of the important facts to remember in this part is concerned with the consumption of rice. If you understand where rice is needed and where it is produced, you will be able to judge as to the probable future of rice growing in America. Seventh, Master Part X Do not slight Part X, because it gives you the beginning of a great deal of knowledge you will acquire in this course regarding the specific methods used in marketing grain. Eighth, Learn the Eating Habits of Nations Part XI provides you with the information that is so essential to understand in marketing of grain; that is, the eating habits of the various nations. A knowledge of the consumption of the various grains GRAIN LESSON 1 in various parts of the world is exceedingly im- portant, and after you have gone farther with the course, you will appreciate this more than you do now. That is why you are warned to familarize yourself thoroughly with Part XI. Spend Four Study Periods on This Lesson You will probably accomplish most by attempt- ing to master Parts I and II first. Part I ought to be easy, because it is little more tha na review. But Part II will require more time. Certainly you ought not to spend less than an hour on these two parts. Probably you will find it better to consider together Parts III to IX inclusive. But it may be difficult to master all of these parts in one study period. The chances are, you will find it best to study all of them together for two study periods. That is, get all you can the first hour, and then finish the work in the second period. You ought to be able to master Parts X and XI in one period, because both of those parts are short. However, don't overlook the fact that both of them contain a great deal of very valuable information. How to Make Paper and Pencil Help You Use your paper and pencil in studying this lesson. Tabulate the figures here contained in different ways in an effort to make the situation more clear to yourself, and also to make it eaiser for you to remember the various facts. Many students find it of great value to write short compositions on various phases of each lesson. If you want to attempt to do that ,it would be a good idea to write one composition on Part I ; another, on Part II ; one on Part III ; one on Parts IV, V, VI, and VII taken together; one on Part VIII; one on Part IX ; one on Part X ; and one on Part XI . There probably will be no good use you could make of these compositions after they are finished, but the value you will get from writing them is that the facts will be more firmly fixed in your mind than if you have not written what you have learned. Do not send these compositions to the Institute. In writing such compositions, be sure to avoid using the same expressions found in the lesson. Use your own words always. A PICTURE OF THE GRAIN INDUSTRY STUDY OUTLINE A Picture of the Grain Industry PART I The Seven Crop Production Areas 11 Relative Importance of the Seven Areas 13 Regions of Dense Population 13 Europe, the World's Greatest Buying Area 14 Eastern North America, the World's Greatest Producing Area 14 How Rainfall Influences Production 15 PART II Wheat, The World's Most Important Bread Crop 16 Western Europe the Biggest Producer, Yet the Heaviest Buyer 16 India Produces the Third Most Wheat 18 Australia Exports Much Wheat 18 Central North America, the World's Second Wheat Area 18 Argentina Exports Over 60% of Her Wheat 19 The United States Leads the World in Wheat.. 19 How the World War Affected the Commerce in Wheat 22 Competition with North American Wheat Will Decrease 22 Canada Destined to Lead the World in Wheat.... 23 How the United States Has Increased in Wheat Acreage 24 Why Low Prices May Be Expected for Wheat 25 Where Wheat is Grown in the United States.... 25 The Central States Grow Winter Wheat 26 The Heart of Winter Wheat Production 26 The One Great Spring Wheat Section 28 PART III The United States Leads the World in Corn 28 Most of Our Corn is Fed to Live Stock 29 Eastern Europe is Second in Production 29 Argentina is Our Biggest Competitor in Exporting Corn 31 GRAIN LESSON 1 STUDY OUTLINE — (Continued) India a Big Producer, But Not an Exporter 31 Where Corn is Grown in the United States 32 Which Farmers Sell Corn 33 The Fluctuation in the Price of Corn 33 Why Corn Growing is Likely to be More Profitable 35 PART IV The United States Leads All Nations in Oats 36 South America Now the Biggest Exporter of Oats 36 Only Four States of the United States Grow Oats Extensively for Market 37 Where Oats Yield the Best 37 PART V Where Barley Is Grown 38 Barley May Grow in Importance 39 Why Barley Is Such an Important Crop 39 Germany, the Greatest Importer of Barley. ... 39 PART VI Why Rye Is Valuable in Some Sections 40 Where Rye Is Grown in the United States 41 Michigan Leads in Rye Acreage 41 Rye More Important in Europe 42 Two Nations Grow Most of the Export Rye 43 PART VII Not Much Buckwheat Marketed 43 PART VIII Flax As a Market Crop 43 Why the Price of Flaxseed Fluctuates Violently 44 Four States Produce Most of our Flaxseed 45 Why Acreage Rises and Falls 46 The United States Imports Flaxseed 46 Where Flax Is Grown for Fibre 47 A PICTURE OF THE GRAIN INDUSTRY STUDY OUTLINE™ (Continued) PART IX Four Sections Grow Rice 47 India Is the Greatest Producer of Rice 48 The United States Is Tenth in Rice Production. 49 Development of the American Rice Industry.... 49 How the United States Changed From an Importing to an Exporting Nation 50 What Is the Future of Rice Growing in America? 50 Orientals Eat the Most Rice 50 America Not a Big Rice Consumer 51 High Milling Charges Discourage Rice Planting. 51 PART X Development of Methods of Marketing Grain 51 How Transportation Built Up Marketing 52 Handling and Storage Facilities Important.... 53 Present Local Grain Handling Facilities 53 Market Reports a Big Aid 54 When Grading Began 54 What Cooperation Has Done 55 PART XI Per Capita Consumption of Edible Cereals 55 The United States Uses More Corn and Oats Than Any Other Nation 56 10 GRAIN LESSON 1 INTRODUCTION TO LESSON 1 With the background you have secured by master- ing Lessons A and B, you are prepared to proceed with the details of handling the marketing of grain. You learned in Lesson A of the various services that are commonly performed upon farm products as they pass from producer to consumer. In Lesson B you learned of the men who perform those services. And now, in this lesson, you will get a very definite understanding of the present situation in the mar- keting of grain. Be sure to keep in mind what you have already learned as you study each page of this lesson. A PICTURE OF THE GRAIN INDUSTRY Crop Areas - Buying Areas - Future of the Industry By W. J. SPILLMAN Since grain is an article of world commerce, it is difficult to understand the grain industry of any one country without a general knowledge of the grain in- dustry of the world. This lesson will, therefore, attempt to give a general picture of the world indus- try, followed by a more detailed presentation for this country, PART I. THE SEVEN CROP PRODUCTION AREAS There are seven general regions in the world, four in the Old World, and three in the New, in which the rainfall is sufficient to permit the development of agriculture on an important scale. These are as follows: (Refer to the world may, Fig. 1, in Lesson A. ) 1. From the standpoint of world agriculture, by far the most important American rainfall area con- sists of that portion of the United States and Canada lying east of about the hundredth meridian. At present this area is less important than the one in Europe, but the two areas have about equal possibili- ties, and it will not be many generations until they will be equally important. The more southern situa- tion of this area as compared with the European, makes it the great corn growing center of the world. 2. The southeastern part of Asia, and the islands adjacent thereto, make up the great rice producing area. This includes most of India, Siam, Cochin China, China, Japan, Sumatra, the Philip- pines, and numerous smaller islands, Java and Borneo. 11 12 GRAIN LESSON 1 Rice is the dominant grain in this region, and takes the place largely of the bread making grains. This is the so-called monsoon area of southeastern Asia, and the heavy rainfall in many localities is due to the general prevalence during the warm half of the year of extensive wind currents from the warm ocean waters to the south and east toward the interior of Asia. In part of the area, the rainfall is so heavy as to interfere with farming and some crops cannot be grown. 3. The third area, and by far the most important Old World production area from our standpoint, lies in western Europe and includes all of Europe except parts of Russia, Finland, Spain, and Norway. Here the great mass of the bread eating (Caucasian) races is concentrated. This entire region is so densely populated that its agricultural production is far less than is re- quired to meet its needs. For this reason, by far the greater part of the grains that enter into world commerce are sent to this region from the less popu- lous producing areas, 4. The most extensive region of heavy rainfall, and the region of heaviest rainfall, in the New World, covers all of northern and eastern South America as far south as northeastern Argentina, its center of heaviest rainfall being the Amazon Valley, where occurs the largest region in the world with rainfall of more than 80 inches a year. The southern extension of this region in Argentina is an important grain producing region, and because of its small population, is one of the most important grain exporting regions in the world. A northern extension of this area covers Panama, Central America, and part of Southern Mexico. 5. New Zealand and the eastern and southern coasts of Australia make up the fifth area. Although A PICTURE OF THE GRAIN INDUSTRY 13 commerce, especially in dairy products. Taking New Zealand and Australia together, and comparing them with the nations of the world, they stand seventh in butter production, fourth in butter exports, and fifth in exports of cheese (1909-13 figures). 6. The sixth area of sufficient rainfall lies in equatorial Africa, south of the great Sahara Desert. The tropical climate of this region has hitherto prevented the development of an important agriculture here. A part of the area has an over-supply of rain. 7. The seventh rainfall area consists of a nar- row strip of land along the western margin of North America from Southern California to Alaska. A very narrow strip occurs also along the southern part of the coast of Chile in South America. Relative Importance of the Seven Areas Two of these seven areas (the African and the South American) and part of a third (Asian) lie in the tropics, and in parts of these sections rainfall is .too heavy for the best development of agriculture and the industries. Their possibilities are a matter largely for the future, although enormous amounts of human food and of useful fibres are obtained from them. The grain of these regions is principally rice. The possibilities in the way of the production of sugar, cocoanuts, bananas, and numerous other tropical fruits have hardly been touched. The three areas lying in the north temperate zone, and part of the southeastern Asian area, have from time immemorial been the home of civilized man. It is here that human population is largely concen- trated, and both agriculture and the manufacturing and transportation industries have had their greatest development. Regions of Dense Population The human population of the world is largely con- centrated in three of the great rainfall areas men- 14 GRAIN LESSON 1 tioned above. By far the greatest number of people live in the Asiatic rainfall area, in which there are five more or less distinct centers of population, namely, India, China, Japan, Korea (Chosen), and Java. This is the great rice eating population of the world. No bread is used by most of these people. Europe, the World's Greatest Buying Area The second center of world population is the European rainfall area. Caucasian civilization originated along the eastern edge of this area, and has had its most marked development in the western portion of the area. From this center it has radiated to all parts of the world. The population of this area far exceeds its food producing possibilities, and so food and raw materials for the industries are brought hither from all parts of the world. In fact, the greater portion of world commerce consists in transporting food and raw materials to this region and carrying the products of industry from it to other parts of the world. Eastern North America, the World's Greatest Pro- ducing Area The third great center of population is the rain- fall area of eastern North America. This region is not so densely populated as the two mentioned previ- ously, and has for more than two centuries been the principal outlet for emigration from the other two areas of dense population. The expansion of agriculture in this region dur- ing the past century has been one of the most remark- able phenomena in the history of the human race. It has far exceeded the growth in population in that area, for which reason it became the most important center in the world from which human food is exported. Its cotton is also the most important source of fibre in the world. But this agricultural expansion has already reached the point where its rate is very A PICTURE OF THE GRAIN INDUSTRY 15 materially checked. At the same time, the population goes on increasing, so that the surplus for shipment to other parts of the world is diminishing, and in time may largely disappear. How Rainfall Influences Production The rainfall regions along the western margin of the American continents, particularly North America, are new, and their possibilities as yet are hardly touched. The southern portion of the rainfall area of eastern South America and all of the Australian and New Zealand rainfall areas are important agricultural regions with relatively small population and hence are important regions for production of human food for export. It is thus seen that rainfall and other elements of climate, particularly temperature, are at the foundation of agriculture and industry and that the distribution of rainfall and population over the earth are dominant factors in determining the course and character of world commerce. Table I. Comparative Importance of Various Grains The world's seven most important grains, in the order of quantity produced, are: (based on 1909-13 figures) 1. Wheat 5. Rye 2. Corn 6. Barley 3. Rice 7. Flax 4. Oats 8. Buckwheat This order is different, however, for the United States, the order of production being as follows: (based on 1909-13 figures) 1. Corn 5. Rye 2. Wheat 6. Rice 3. Oats 7. Buckwheat 4. Barley 8. Flax 16 GRAIN LESSON 1 From the standpoint of the amount exported from the United States, the order of amounts is as follows : (based on 1909-13 figures) 1. Wheat 4. Oats 2. Corn 5. Rye 3. Barley 6. Rice Part II. WHEAT, THE WORLD'S MOST IMPORTANT BREAD CROP There are three important wheat producing regions in the Old World and three in the New World. The most important of all, is the region extending from southern Russia westward along the northern border of the Caspian, Black, and Mediterranean Seas to the Atlantic Ocean. It includes a small portion of northern Africa and has an extension of consider- able importance eastward into Siberia. Western Europe the Biggest Producer, Yet the Heaviest Buyer More wheat is produced in this area than in any of the other areas, but only the eastern half of it pro- duces a surplus, the western half of this area being the most important wheat importing region in the world. It not only buys the wheat from the eastern portion of this area, but it imports most of the surplus from all the other important wheat areas in the world. The countries in this area that produce a surplus of wheat (or rather did before the World War) are: Russia, Roumania, Bulgaria, and Hungary. Other important European wheat producing nations are: France, Italy, Germany, Spain, and England. But all of these, except Spain, are large importers, and Spain imports a small quantity. Belgium and the Netherlands also import most of the wheat their enormous populations consume. The same is true of Switzerland. A PICTURE OF THE GRAIN INDUSTRY 17 1 oa si 4-> > M 0) O U P. P,X r/i C/> rt T3 0) 0> c o P Z v JS +-> a! y cd as 18 GRAIN LESSON 1 India Produces the Third Most Wheat The next most important Old World wheat pro- ducing area is central and northwestern India. India is the third most important wheat producing country in the world. The population lives largely on rice and a considerable proportion of the wheat is exported. Australia Exports Much Wheat The third Old World wheat producing area is Australia. Around the southeastern margin of this island continent is a narrow strip of land eminently adapted to wheat production. The population being small, about 60% of the wheat produced is exported, thus making Australia one of the important exporting countries, although its production is only one- eighth that of the United States. There is a small amount of wheat produced in Japan and Manchuria, but it is consumed locally, and there is no important commerce in wheat between this region and other parts of the world, although some flour and wheat are imported from western North America. Central North America, the World's Second Wheat Area In the New World, by far the most important wheat producing area is in central North America along the western margin of the eastern rainfall area of that continent. This area extends northward into Canada, southward into northern Texas, and in middle latitude, eastward to the Atlantic Coast. Next to the great European wheat area, this is the most important in the world. As already stated, the production is here greater than the needs of the population, and much of the grain is exported, although by far the greater quantity of it is simply moved from the center of the continent to the region immediately eastward. The Columbia River Basin of the Pacific North- west is another small but important wheat producing A PICTURE OF THE GRAIN INDUSTRY 19 region. Formerly, much wheat was produced in the Willamette Valley of Oregon and in the central basin of California, but the crop is less important there now than it was a quarter of a century ago, largely because of the development of more intensive forms of agriculture. Argentina Exports Over 60% of Her Wheat The third of the American wheat producing areas is in Argentina. While the amount of wheat produced here is less than one-fourth of that produced in the United States, the export of wheat is nearly equal to that of the United States, constituting 60.5% of the total production, while our exports (for 1909-13) were only 14.3% of our production. The United States Leads the World in Wheat Producing and exporting more than any other nation, (now that Russia is producing little) the United States is easily the leader of the world in wheat. It may be surprising to many to know that wheat is not the largest crop in the United States, however. It is exceeded in number of bushels pro- duced by corn. Practically all of the world's exported wheat is sent to Europe, the largest amount being taken by the United Kingdom. The second largest amount is im- ported by Germany, the third largest by the Nether- lands, and the fourth largest amount is taken by Belgium. So you see, America's principal export wheat market is represented by the United Kingdom, Germany, the Netherlands, and Belgium. There are some other countries that buy from us, but they also are largely in western Europe. Our present competition in selling to Europe is mainly from Argentina, Canada, and India. 20 GRAIN LESSON 1 A PICTURE OF THE GRAIN INDUSTRY 21 TS O* o> — r*5 2 43 ^3 C^ — ■ a> CD J* oq ra o P* rfl g <3 cS^ 3 *S c3." KITS'* XI *.b c_| cd a> ^ CD > LLO hav a, ha >» ' ■+-> CO Bj Jh to ^ O 3 H £« » S «* K es« ^r 3 0) -rt § se ^& k.Ss P5 C « Q &0 J * * On « R O r 2 -F * MS H m S w ■SsT H rt® pQ es CO CD B ,£! » Sf^c fc "eS £ ** cl