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Pomroy UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR Information Circular 9132 A Statistical Analysis of Metal and Nonmetal Mine Fire Incidents in the United States From 1950 to 1984 By Shail J. Butani and William H. Pomroy UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR Donald Paul Hodel, Secretary BUREAU OF MINES Robert C. Horton, Director Library of Congress Cataloging in Publication Data: Butani, Shail J. A statistical analysis of metal and nonmetal mine fire incidents in the United States from 1950 to 1984. (Information circular/United States Department of the Interior, Bureau of Mines; 9132) Includes bibliographical references. Supt. of Docs, no.: I 28.27: 9132. 1. Mine fires — United States — Statistics. 2. Mine fires — United States — Statistical methods. I. Pomroy, William H. II. Title. III. Series: Information circular (United States. Bureau of Mines); 9132. T«29SrrJ4— [TN3151 363.379 86-600299 CONTENTS Page Abstract 1 Introduction 2 Data analysis methods 2 Chi-square 3 t-test 4 Spearman rank order correlation 6 Levels of significance and rounding 7 Incidence rate 7 Reported fires 7 Underground fires 8 Time trends 8 Ore type 11 Ignition source 12 Burning substance 13 Location 15 Equipment involved 17 Means of detection 18 Duration 18 Number of injuries 19 Number of deaths 21 Mining method 21 Successful extinguishing agent 22 Surface fires at surface and underground mines 23 Time trends 23 Ore type 26 Ignition source 27 Burning substance 27 Location 28 Equipment involved 28 Means of detection 29 Duration 29 Number of injuries 30 Number of deaths 30 Successful extinguishing agent 31 Comparison of underground and surface fires 32 Time trends 32 Ore type 32 Ignition source 32 Burning substance 32 Location 32 Equipment involved 32 Means of detection 32 Duration 33 Number of injuries 33 Number of deaths 33 Successful extinguishing agent 34 Nonreportable fires 34 Underground fires 36 Ingition source 36 Burning substance 36 Location 36 ii CONTENTS— Continued Page Equipment involved 36 Successful extinguishing agent 36 Surface fires 36 Ignition source 36 Burning substance 36 Location 36 Equipment involved 36 Successful extinguishing agent 36 Opinion data from mine safety directors 36 Underground mine fires 37 Surface mine fires 37 Summary of opinion data 37 Summary 38 Ignition source 38 Burning substance 39 Location 39 Equipment involved 39 Successful extinguishing agent 39 Conclusions 40 Appendix 41 ILLUSTRATIONS 1. Underground fire incidents by year, 1950-84 8 2. Average number of fire incidents per year, underground versus surface, during three time periods 10 3. Fire incidence rates by year, underground versus surface, 1978-84 11 4. Average underground fire incidence rates by ore type, 1978-84 13 5. Surface fire incidents by year, 1950-84 24 6. Average surface fire incidence rates by ore type, 1978-84 27 7. Percentage of mobile equipment fires, underground versus surface, during three time periods 33 8. Percentage of fires detected immediately, underground versus surface, during three time periods 34 TABLES 1. Reported underground fire incidents by year 6 2. Ranking of reported underground fire incidents by year 7 3. Number of reportd underground fire incidents by three time periods 9 4. Reported underground fire incidence rates, 1978-84 10 5. Reported underground fires by principal ore, three time periods 12 6. Average reported underground fire incidence rates by ore, 1978-84 12 7. Reported underground fires by ignition source, three time periods 14 8. Reported underground fires by burning substance, three time periods 14 9. Reported underground fires by location, three time periods 15 10. Reported underground electrical fires by location, three time periods 16 TABLE S — Con t inued iii Page 11. Reported underground welding or cutting fires by location, three time periods 16 12. Reported underground fires by equipment involved, three time periods 17 13. Reported underground electrical fires by equipment, three time periods.... 18 14. Reported underground fires by means of detection, three time periods 18 15. Reported underground fires by duration, three time periods 19 16. Reported underground fires by ignition source and duration, two time periods 20 17. Reported underground fires by number of injuries, three time periods 20 18. Reported underground injury fires by ignition source, three time periods.. 20 19. Reported underground injury fires by location, three time periods 21 20. Reported underground injury fires by equipment, three time periods 21 21. Reported underground fires by number of deaths, three time periods 21 22. Reported underground fires by mining method, three time periods 22 23. Reported underground fires by successful extinguishing agent, three time periods 22 24. Reported underground fires, joint distribution of successful extinguishing agents , by three time periods 23 25. Reported surface fire incidents by year 23 26. Ranking of reported surface fire incidents by year 25 27. Number of reported surface fire incidents by three time periods 25 28. Reported surface fire incidence rates, 1978-84 25 29. Reported surface fires by principal ore, three time periods 26 30. Average reported surface fire incidence rates by ore, 1978-84 26 31. Reported surface fires by ignition source, three time periods 28 32. Reported surface fires by burning substance, three time periods 28 33. Reported surface fires by location, three time periods 29 34. Reported surface fires by equipment involved, three time periods 29 35. Reported surface fires by means of detection, three time periods 30 36. Reported surface fires by duration, three time periods 30 37. Reported surface fires by number of injuries, three time periods 31 38. Reported surface fires by number of deaths, three time periods 31 39. Reported surface fires by successful extinguishing agent, three time periods 31 40. Nonreportable underground fires 35 41. Nonreportable surface fires 35 42. Average rankings of opinion data for ignition source, burning substance, and successful extinguishing agent, underground fires 37 43. Average rankings of opinion data for ignition source, burning substance, and successful extinguishing agent, surface fires 37 44. Major study findings of reported fires 38 45. Major study findings of nonreportable fires 39 UNIT OF MEASURE ABBREVIATIONS USED IN THIS REPORT h hour pet percent min minute yr year A Statistical Analysis of Metal and Nonmetal Mine Fire Incidents in the United States From 1950 to 1984 By Shail J. Butani' and William H. Pomroy 2 ABSTRACT This Bureau of Mines publication presents a statistical analysis of official U.S. Mine Safety and Health Administration (MSHA) metal and nonmetal mine fire reports from 1950 through 1984, plus accounts of se- lected nonreportable fires (less than 30 min and no injury) and opinion data on fire hazards from mine safety directors. Fires were analyzed by time trends, ore type, ignition source, burning substance, location in mine, equipment involved, means of detection, duration, number of injur- ies and fatalities, mining method, and successful extinguishing agent. The leading ignition sources were electricity in underground fires and engine heat in reported surface fires. The most frequent burning sub- stance was combustible liquids for all nonreportable fires, reported surface fires, and reported underground fires from 1978 to 1984. For underground fires reported prior to 1978, timber was the leading burning substance. Mobile equipment was the type most frequently involved in both underground and surface fires. Underground fires occurred most of- ten in haulageway or drift areas, and reported surface fires occurred most often in plant and mill buildings, while most nonreportable surface fires occurred in other areas. The most common methods of extinguish- ment were water hose lines for reported fires and dry chemical hand- portable extinguishers for nonreportable fires. ' Mathematical statistician. ■^ Supervisory mining engineer. Twin Cities Research Center, Bureau of Mines, Minneapolis, MN. INTRODUCTION In support of the Bureau of Mines re- search on mine fire protection, two sep- arate baseline studies on mine fire in- cidents have been prepared. The first study addressed coal mine fires. The re- sults of that study are summarized in the Bureau's Information Circular 8830, "A Statistical Analysis of Coal Mine Fire Incidents in the United States From 1950 to 1977." This second report, address- ing metal and nonmetal mine fires, is the companion to IC 8830. Together, these two reports provide a comprehensive, fac- tual summary of the mining industry's fire experience. This report, like IC 8830, covers (1) MSHA fire incident reports, (2) rec- ords of nonreportable fires (less than 30 min and no injury), and (3) mine safety directors' opinions on fire hazards. The MSHA fire reports provide the most reli- able, objective, and accurate historcial record of the major noncoal mine fires that occurred during the study period (1950 through 1984). However, MSHA fire reports alone understate the true magni- tude of the fire problem because metal and nonmetal mines have been legally re- quired to report fires to MSHA only since 1968. Although some fires were reported prior to 1968, doubtless a great many were not. Also, the reporting regu- lations that took effect in 1968 spe- cify that only fires lasting 30 min or longer or involving an injury need to be reported. MSHA fire reports are thus limited in scope by MSHA's legal author- ity. In order to provide a more compre- hensive data base, it was also necessary to gather and analyze mine company rec- ords of nonreportable fires. Finally, since mine fires are relative- ly rare events, it is desirable to ana- lyze not only the fires themselves, but also the "near-misses" (which occur much more frequently) and the unsafe condi- tions that could give rise to future fires. Thus, opinion data from mine safety directors were collected and sep- arately analyzed in an effort to broaden the discussion and to characterize and rank mine fire hazards in general. The 1950 to 1977 data were collected via a research and development contract with Allen Corp. of America. These data have been previously published in the form of a Bureau Open File Report and are avail- able from the National Technical Informa- tion Service (NTIS). 3 The 1978 through 1984 data have not been previously pub- lished. The reported mine fire data have also been formatted and entered into a computer data base using the Lotus 1-2-3 software 4 for IBM-compatible personal computers. Use of this computer data base would greatly simplify the analysis of metal and nonmetal mine fires for the specialized purposes of individual users. Microdata are also available from the au- thors on hard copy. DATA ANALYSIS METHODS Three statistical techniques were em- ployed to analyze the data collected: the chi-square test, the t-test, and the Spearman rank order correlation. A 3 Baker, R. M., J and J. Wishmyer. raphy of Metal and ports (contract JO America) . Volume 81 , 1980, 64 pp. Volume II. BuMine 284 pp.; NTIS PB BuMines OFR 68(3)- PB 81-223745. . Nagy, L. B. McDonald, An Annotated Bibliog- Nonmetal Mine Fire Re- 295035, Allen Corp. of I. BuMines OFR 68(1)- ; NTIS PB 81-223729. s OFR 68(2)-81 , 1980, 81-223737. Appendix. 1 , 1980, 390 pp.; NTIS detailed discussion of these methods can be found in basic statistical books. 5 Additionally, incidence rates were com- puted where possible. Each of these methods of analysis is discussed below. ^Reference to specific products does not imply endorsement by the Bureau of Mines . 5 Mendenhall, W. Introduction to Sta- tistics. Wadsworth Publ. Co., Inc., 1965, 305 pp. Siegel, S. Nonparametric Statistics for the Behavioral Sciences. McGraw- Hill, 1956, 312 pp. CHI- SQUARE Chi-square (x 2 )» as an analysis tech- nique, is used in situations requiring comparison of an observed number of re- sponses in each of certain chosen cate- gories with an expected number, which is based on the null hypothesis (see discus- sion of null hypothesis below). The ob- served values or frequencies are those obtained by direct observation or by tab- ulation of the various types of data. The expected or theoretical frequencies are generated on the basis of some under- lying assumption (the null hypothesis), independent of the observed data. The computational formula for chi-square val- ues is ,2 _ = I (0, - E,) 2 i=l where K = number of categories , 1 = observed number of cases in i* h category, difference is said to be significant. Thus, the null hypothesis concerning the theoretical frequencies is rejected; that is, the differences between the observed and expected frequencies are greater than would be expected to exist by chance. Throughout this report, the null hy- pothesis used for analyzing data within a time period is that an equal number of fires are expected for all categories within each factor studied — ore type, ignition source, location, etc. As an example, refer to the tabulation below, which shows reported underground fires by ignition source, 1968-77: 6 Electrical Welding sparks or hot slag Engine heat Spontaneous combustion. . . . Friction Explosives Other Total Number Pet 39 46.4 16 19.0 7 8.3 13 15.5 6 7.1 1 1.2 2 2.4 84 100.0 and E| K I i=l = expected number of cases in i +h category under the null hypothesis, directs one to sum over all categories. That is, chi-square equals the summa- tion of the squared value of the differ- ence of observed and expected values divided by the corresponding expected value. Tf the agreement between the observed and expected frequencies is close, the differences (Oi - Ej) will be small, and consequently, chi-square will be small. On the other hand, if the differences are large, the value of chi-square will also be large. The larger chi-square is, the more likely it is that the observed values did not come from the population on which the null hypothesis is based. If the computed value of chi-square is greater than the tabled value of chi- square for a specified significance level (oc; usually a = 0.05 or 0.01) with K — \ degrees of freedom (d.f.), then the According to the above-stated hypothesis, all types of ignition sources would be expected to have caused an equal or near- ly equal number of fires. Thus, the ex- pected frequency for each ignition source type would be the average frequency of all ignition source types specified , this case, the expected value is In 39+16+7+13+6+1+2 K = 7 = 12.0, where K = number of different types of ignition sources. Thus, the computation of chi-square is as follows: 2 _ (39 - 12. 0) 2 (16 - 12.0) * 12 12 + • • . + -r-z — 85.67. 6 Data from table 7, which appears later in this report. The tabled value of chl-square with 6 (K - 1) d.f. at a = 0.01 is 16.81. Since the computed value of chi-square (85.67) is greater than the tabled value of chi- square (16.81), the null hypothesis is rejected. This implies that all ignition source types are not equally involved in metal and nonmetal underground fires for the period 1968-77. When the expected frequencies are small (less than five), the chi-square test is generally not valid. Also, the chi- square test is not appropriate for the actual number of fires across time peri- ods, because the reporting requirements before 1968 were less stringent and, con- sequently, a number of fires were not reported pre-1968. Hence, the underlying assumption of an equal number of fires per year is not met. Therefore, the chi- square test is not applied across all situations; instead, the t-test, con- cerning proportions (probabilities), is used. t-TEST The first type of t-test is for the one-sample case; it is concerned with de- termining whether the proportion of ob- served fires in a category within a time period is more than what is expected un- der the null hypothesis (that all catego- ries have the same proportion of fires). Only probabilities that are greater than what is expected are analyzed, because the concern is for those categories that are hazardous. The computational formula for the t-test is Po Pod - Po) t = where p = observed proportion of acci- dents falling in the cate- gory of interest, p = proportion of accidents ex- pected under the null hy- pothesis (in this report, p = 1.00 divided by the number of categories) , and n = total number of specified fires within a time period. A comparison is made between the calcu- lated value of t and the tabled value of t; the tabled value of t with its associ- ated d.f. (n - 1) is such that the area under the distribution curve to the right of t a is equal to n, the significance level. If the calculated value of t is greater than the tabled value of t, the difference is said to be significant and not merely due to chance. Consequently, the null hypothesis is rejected in favor of the alternative hypothesis; namely, the category has proportionately more fires than what is expected. As an ex- ample, refer to the tabulation below, which shows reported underground electri- cal fires by location, 1950-67: 7 Number Haulageway-drif t Substation-shop-storage- pump Shaft-raise-winze Working face Mined-out waste Other Total Pet 31.8 4 18.2 7 31.8 2 9.1 I 4.5 1 4.5 22 100.0 The null hypothesis is tested, that the probability of electrical fires in haulageway-drif t locations is equal to 0.167 (1.00 divided by the number of categories) . t = P ~ Po J P( >0 - - Po) V 0. n ,318 - 0.167 10. 167 (0.833) 22 = 1.91. The tabled value of t with 21 d.f. at the 0.05 significance level is 1.72. Since the computed value is greater than ^Data from table 10, which appears lat- er in this report. the tabled value, the null hypothesis is rejected; that is, the relative frequency of the haulageway-drif t location as the site of electrical fires is significantly more than its share of one out of every six fires. The absolute t-values ( 1 1 1 ) for the one-sample case, where applicable, are shown at the bottom of the tables, under the appropriate time periods. The second type of t-test concerns the difference between two proportions. This test determines whether the observed dif- ference between proportions from the two samples is a real difference or is due to random variation. The null hypothesis in this test is Pj = P2, where Pj, and P2 are the proportion of cases in population 1 and population 2, respectively, pos- sessing a certain attribute that is of interest. The computational formula for this test is t = Pi ~ P2 ^-»(k + k) where pi = number of cases in sample 1 possessing a certain attri- bute, divided by ni, P2 = number of cases in sample 2 possessing a certain attri- bute, divided by n2, rij = sample size drawn from popu- lation 1, n2 = sample size drawn from popu- lation 2, and n lPl + n 2P2 ni + n2 A comparison is then made between the absolute calculated value of t and the tabled value of t. As before, the tabled value of t with its associated d.f. (nj^ + n2 - 2) is such that the area under the distribution curve to the right of t a is equal to a, the significance level. The absolute value of t is compared to the tabled value because the alternative hypothesis is that either Pj is greater than P2 or P2 is greater than Pj. Again, if the absolute calculated value of t is greater than the tabled value of t, then the difference between the two propor- tions is significant and not merely due to chance. Consequently, the null hy- pothesis that the two probabilities are equal is rejected in favor of one proba- bility being greater than the other. The following data can be used to test the hypothesis that the proportion of un- derground electrical fires located in haulageway-drif t locations in 1950 to 1967 is equal to the proportion in 1968 to 1977. Reported underground electrical fires by location, two time periods: 8 Period I Period II 1950-67 1968-77 No. Pet No. Haulageway-drif t. 7 31.8 18 Substation-shop- storage-pump. .. . 4 18.2 13 Shaft-raise-winze 7 31.8 3 Working face 2 9.1 4 Mined-out waste.. 1 4.5 Other _J_ 4.5 1 Total 22 100.0 39 Pet 46.2 33, .3 7, .7 10, .3 .0 2, .6 100.0 t = Pi - P2 >>-»>(^) where pi = y~- = 0.318, 1 q P2 =3! = 0.462, ni = 22, n 2 = 39, 22 (0.318) + 39 (0.462) and 22 + 39 = 0.410. 8 Data from table 10. 0.318 - 0.461 J (0.410) (0.590) _T 22 1 39 |t| = 1.09. The absolute calculated value of t = 1.09 is less than the tabled value of t = 1.645 (with 59 d.f. and a = 0.05), so the null hypothesis cannot be rejected. That is, the difference between the two proportions could be due to random variation. The absolute t-values for the two- sample case, where applicable, are given in the last two columns of the tables. SPEARMAN RANK ORDER CORRELATION The Spearman rank order correlation (r s ) is a measure of concordance or agreement, the tendency of two ranks to be similar. This test was chosen as the measure of correlation because it is non- parametric — it makes no assumption about the shape of the distribution curve of the underlying population. It was also chosen because both variables can be mea- sured in at least an ordinal scale so that the objects or individuals under study may be ranked in two ordered series. For example, using the data in table 1, the number of fires, denoted as Xj, X2, ... Xn, and the year, denoted as Yj, Y2, ... Yn, may be ranked as shown in table 2. Rank correlation may then be used to determine the relation between the X's and Y's. The formula used in calculating the Spearman rank order correlation is as follows: = 1 - N 6 I d N(N 2 - 1) where d| = Xj - Y| and N = total number of observations. The value of r s is always equal to or greater than -1.0 and equal to or less than 1.0; that is, -1.0 < r s < 1.0. If the computed value of r s exceeds the ta- bled value based on N and a (significance level) , then the rank order correlation is said to be significant; that is, the agreement between the two sets of ranks is greater than would be expected to oc- cur by chance. Using the ranked tabulated data in ta- ble 2 as an example, the Spearman rank order correlation would be = 1-6 (3 l) 2 + (18.5 - 2) 2 + ... + (23.0 - 34) 2 + (20.5 - 35) 2 ] 35 [(35) 2 - 1] = 0.569 For N = 35 and a = 0.01, the tabled value of r s is 0.432. Since the computed value of r s is greater than the tabled value, the rank order correlation significant. is said to be TABLE 1. - Reported underground fire incidents by year Year 1950.. 1951.. 1952.. 1953.. 1954.. 1955.. 1956.. 1957.. 1958.. 1959.. I960.. 1961.. Number of incidents 1 5 3 3 2 4 6 10 2 7 3 3 Year 1962. 1963. 1964. 1965. 1966. 1967. 1968. 1969. 1970. 1971. 1972. 1973. Number of incidents 2 4 2 2 2 4 4 5 12 21 Year 1974.. 1975.. 1976.. 1977.. 1978.. 1979.. 1980.. 1981.. 1982.. 1983.. 1984.. Total Number of incidents 15 10 8 13 23 10 7 11 12 7 6 229 TABLE 2. - Ranking of reported underground fire incidents by year Year Number of incidents Rank Year Number of incidents Rank Year Incidents Year Incidents 1950 1 1 3.0 1968 4 19 15.5 1951.... 5 2 18.5 1969 20 1.5 1952 3 3 11.5 1970 4 21 15.5 1943 3 4 11.5 1971 5 22 18.5 1954 2 5 6.5 1972 12 23 30.5 1955 4 6 15.5 1973 21 24 34.0 1956.... 6 7 20.5 1974 15 25 33.0 1957 10 8 27.0 1975 10 26 27.0 1958 2 9 6.5 1976 8 27 25.0 1959 7 10 23.0 1977 13 28 32.0 1960 3 11 11.5 1978 23 29 35.0 1961 3 12 11.5 1979 10 30 27.0 1962 13 1.5 1980.... 7 31 23.0 1963 2 14 6.5 1981 11 32 29.0 1964 4 15 15.5 1982 12 33 30.5 1965 2 16 6.5 1983 7 34 23.0 1966 2 2 17 18 6.5 6.5 1984 Total. 6 35 20.5 1967 229 NAp NAp NAp Not applicable. 0.569 (significant at 1-pct level) LEVELS OF SIGNIFICANCE AND ROUNDING Levels of significance are provided in tbe tables for all statistical analyses reported. Significant results are iden- tified by eitber one or two asterisks, denoting probabilities of 0.05 and 0.01, respectively. Lack of an cates tbat tbe results cant; tbat is, tbere 0.05 probability tbat tbe results could have occurred by chance. In some cases, no test was made, for any one of several reasons. These cases are denoted as "not determined" (ND). The sum of the percentage components in the tables may not exactly equal 100.0 because of rounding. INCIDENCE RATE asterisk indi- were not signifi- is a greater than incidence rates (IR). Incidence rates are used to standardize or normalize the number of fires on the basis of exposure hours so that meaningful comparisons can be made. The incidence rates in this re- port represent the number of fires per 10,000 full-time workers and are calcu- lated as IR = number of fires total hours worked x 20 million h, where 20 million h is equivalent to 10,000 full-time workers working 40 h per week and 50 weeks per year. Data from 1980 9 may be used as an exam- ple. The incidence rate for 1980 is IR 80 54,200,000 x 20,000,000; The last type of analysis is con- cerned with the relative measure based on IR 80 " 2 ' 6 ' REPORTED FIRES For the period 1950-77, MSHA fire re- ports were acquired through searches of the official files of all MSHA metal- nonmetal inspection offices and the head- quarters office at Arlington, VA. The inspection offices included in the search are listed in the appendix. ^Data from table 4, which appears later in the report. At each MSHA office, project personnel searched through all accident report files on fires, explosives, and igni- tions. Only reports on fires were uti- lized, but other reports were reviewed in order to locate any incorrectly filed or titled reports. In the review process, the fire reports that were considered to be minor burn accidents were eliminated. For the period 1977-84, MSHA's Health and Safety Analysis Center (HSAC) computer data base of mine accidents was searched. Several fire reports not contained in HSAC's files were also provided by MSHA's Denver Mining Technology Center, Ventila- tion Branch. MSHA fire reports were analyzed under two headings: underground fires and sur- face fires at underground and surface mines. UNDERGROUND FIRES Time Trends The first analysis determines time trend effects on the number of fires in each year. Table 1 lists 229 fire inci- dents in underground mines by year of oc- currence. The Spearman rank order corre- lation, based on table 2, between years and number of fires is 0.569, compared with the tabled value of 0.432 at the a = 0.01 level. This indicates the rank order correlation is significant; that is, on the average, the number of fires reported has increased with time. This can be seen in figure 1, which shows there were a higher number of fires for which a report could be located for the period beginning in 1972. W W W Lfl W W i W h WWW / / www y < W- y / y ', y Rl 1 ^ Wi y y s ' ft M Figure 1. — Underground fire incidents by year, 1950-84. The analysis is geared toward a break- down by three time periods of mine law: pre-1967 Metal and Nonmetal Act, post- 1967 Metal and Nonmetal Act, and post- 1977 Mine Health and Safety Act. Table 3 displays the numbers of fire incidents by the three time periods. The chi-square for this table is computed on the assump- tion of an equal number of fires each year. This highly significant value in- dicates that differences exist in the frequency of occurrence of reported fires during the three time periods. This could be because prior to 1968 record- keeping was not required for accidents (including fires) that occurred in metal and nonmetal mines. Although the Bureau was the designated authority over metal and nonmetal mining, investigative re- porting of accidents was not undertaken on a regular basis, and no specific agency was charged with this activity. Usually the technical relationship of the mine operator with the nearest Bureau representative or the seriousness of the occurrence were factors determining whether or not a fire incident was reported. Based on discussions with personnel from each of the MSHA offices visited during this project, it is also apparent that a significant percentage of reports of fire incidents for this period (pre- 1968) have been misplaced over the years of shift and reorganization of personnel and offices in the Bureau, the Mine and Environmental Safety Association (MESA), and MSHA. If the conservative assumption is made that all fire incidents occurring after passage of the Metal and Nonmetal Mining Act of 1967 have been located, a TABLE 3. - Number of reported underground fire incidents by three time periods Period Ob- served Ex- pected Average per year I: 1950-67 II: 1968-77... Ill: 1978-84.. 61 92 76 118 65 46 3.4 9.2 10.9 Total or av. 229 229 6.5 level) 58.32 (significant at 1-pct simple calculation using average fires per year shows that possibly 65 pet of all fires that occurred before passage of the act have not been accounted for. As will be shown later in this report, there has been a dramatic reduction in the average duration of fires reported fol- lowing passage of the act and an increase in reporting of fire incidents, mandated by the creation of MESA and, ultimately, MSHA. This supports the hypothesis that proportionately more fires less than 24 h in length went unreported during the early years under consideration. If, on the other hand, the assumption of an average yearly fire incidence is in error, the fire hazardousness of the un- derground mining environment must be examined. Over the years following the mid- 1960' s, underground metal and nonmetal mining equiment has developed an in- creased dependency on diesel power and electricity as prime movers. This could represent a significant source of in- crease in fire hazard. Furthermore, the growth of the industry during the 1970' s in size of operations and number of miners employed also represents an over- all potential increase in the underground fire hazard. Significantly then, the trend seen in figures 1 and 2 is either toward in- creased awareness (via reporting) of fires in underground metal and nonmetal mines or toward increased hazardousness of the environment. To fully explain the fire hazard by year, the analysis should be based on relative measures such as incident rates, that is, the number of fires occurring per 20 million h worked, the equivalent of 10,000 full-time workers per year. (See "Data Analysis Methods.") This type of analysis was performed for the period 1978-84, since this was the most current period and the only period for which the hours could be easily obtained from MSHA's data base (table 4). The expected number of incidents for each year is com- puted on the assumption that the number of fires would be in proportion to the relative exposure (for example, for 1980 10 IB 16 -- tr < UJ 14 y IX LI 12 1 01 h Z 10 LU D H u H z H 111 CD 6 < II UJ > < 4 2- KEY ^j Underoround 1950-67 1968-77 1978-84 Figure 2. — Average number of fire incidents per year, underground versus surface, during three time periods. TABLE 4. - Reported underground fire incidence rates, 1978-84 Year Observed number of incidents Hours worked, 10 3 h Incidence rate 1 Expected number of incidents 1978 23 10 7 11 12 7 6 51,900 55,000 54,200 54,500 37,700 27,050 27,400 8.9 3.6 2.6 4.0 6.4 5.2 4.4 13 1979 14 1980 13 1981 13 1982 9 1983 7 1984 7 Total or IR 76 307,750 4.9 76 X 2 = 13.05* (significant at 5-pct level). ! Per 20 million h worked. it would be (54,200/307,750) x 76). The chi-square value computed from the ob- served and expected number of fires indi- cates that not all years were equally hazardous. This fact can be easily seen from figure 3, which also shows that there is no apparent time trend on inci- dence rates for this period. 11 9-- 7 -■ h 6 < H ID 5 U z 111 Q H 4 u z H 3-- 1-- 197B 1982 KEY Underground Surface 11 1963 19B4 Figure 3. — Fire incidence rates (based on 20 million h worked), by year, underground versus surface, 1978-84. Ore Type Table 5 shows underground fires by ore type for the three time periods. Analy- sis within any given time period indi- cates that the differences among differ- ent ore types are highly significant; all three overall chi-square values are sig- nificant at the 0.01 level. The most no- ticeable comparison is between ore types iron and salt in the period 1950-67. These data also show that the distribu- tion of fires by ore type has changed from period to period. According to the t-values, the relative frequency of copper fires decreased from 1968-77 to 1978-84, lead-zinc fires in- creased from 1950-67 to 1968-77, iron fires decreased from 1950-67 to 1968-77 and again from 1968-77 to 1978-84, and salt fires increased from 1950-67 to 1968-77. Since an estimate of the hours worked in each ore type was readily available from MSHA's data base for the period 1978-84, a detailed analysis by ore type for this period was performed (table 6). The relative measure of rate is based on the number of fire incidences per 20 mil- lion h worked, which is equivalent to 10,000 full-time workers per year. (See "Data Analysis Methods.") The expected number of fires for each type of ore mined was computed on the assumption that all mines were equally hazardous. Hence, the expected number of fires for each ore mined would be in proportion to the rela- tive exposure (for example, for salt it would be (15,400/307,750) * 76). Since the chi-square value of 26.55 is highly significant, it means all ore types were not equally hazardous. The relative mea- sure of incidence rates as depicted in 12 TABLE 5. - Reported underground fires by principal ore, three time periods Ore Period I 1950-67 No. Pet Period II 1968-77 No. Pet Period III 1978-84 No. Pet Total No. Pet I vs. II II vs. Ill Copper Lead-zinc Iron Salt Silver Other Total specified. Specified Unspecified Total X 2 : Specified Without "Other' ND Not determined. 10 4 25 3 15 17.5 7.0 43.9 .0 5.3 26.3 21 15 8 11 9 25 23.6 16.9 9.0 12.4 10.1 28.1 9 18 1 12 6 30 11.8 23.7 1.3 15.8 7.9 39.5 40 37 34 23 18 70 18.0 16.7 15.3 10.4 8.1 31.5 0.87 1.72' 4.91* 2. 76' 1.04 ND 1.95 1.09 2.17' ND ND ND 57 100.0 89 100.0 76 100.0 222 100.0 57 4 93.4 6.6 89 3 96.7 3.3 76 100.0 .0 222 7 96.9 3.1 61 100.0 92 100.0 76 100.0 229 100.0 45.63 47.29* 15.97 8.81 41.32 17. 70 1 Significant at 5-pct level. Significant at 1-pct level. TABLE 6. - Average reported underground fire incidence rates by ore, 1978-84 Ore Salt Lead-zinc Silver Copper Other 2 Total or IR Observed number of incidents 12 18 6 9 31 76 Hours worked, 10 3 h 15,400 44,050 15,850 48.650 183,800 307,750 Incidence rate 15.6 8.2 7.6 3.7 3.4 5.0 Expected number of incidents 4 11 4 12 45 76 X = 26.55 (signif icanct at 1 pet level) 'Per 20 million h worked. 2 Includes iron (1 incident). figure 4 shows salt to be the most haz- ardous of all ore types, followed by lead-zinc and silver. Ignition Source Table 7 shows fires by ignition source for the three time periods. The overall chi-square values indicate that the dif- ferent ignition source totals are signif- icantly different for each of the three time periods. The overwhelming ignition source for all the time periods was elec- trical. The distribution of specified fires among the seven ignition source types was very similar for the first two time periods but changed for the third period. One such category is "Spontane- ous combustion," where the proportion of fires was significantly down from 15.5 pet in 1968-77 to 1.4 pet in 1978-84. According to the t-test values, the pro- portion of electrical fires was also sig- nificantly down between 1968-77 and 1978- 84, but the proportion of engine heat fires had increased for the same time period. With electrical fires removed, the differences among the remaining igni- tion sources are significant at the 1-pct level for the periods 1968-77 and 1978- 84, but are not significant for the 1950- 67 period. 13 20 19-- 18-- 17 16-- 15-- 14 -- 13-- 12-- 11- UJ 10-- u 9-- B-- 7-- 6-- 5- 4- 3-- 2- 1 -- Average (all types)> Salt Lead-zinc Silver Copper Other Figure 4. — Average underground fire incidence rates (based on 20 million h worked), by ore type, 1978-84. Since 1970, there has been some effort by persons in the Bureau and MSHA to ban smoking in underground metal and nonmetal mines. Smoking is, at present, banned in certain areas of a mine, such as fueling areas. There have been about a half- dozen reported underground mine fires di- rectly attributed to smoking during the study period. These fires involved the ignition of mine timbers and lasted longer than 24 h, but resulted in no in- juries or fatalities. In fires where the cause was unspecified, smoking was iden- tified as a possible or probable cause in at least four cases. A survey of MSHA district managers re- vealed a cross section of opinions relat- ing to the hazardousness of smoking in underground metal and nonmetal mines. However, most acknowledged that smoking materials, where evident of a fire's cause, would be the first substance to be consumed by the fire and, thus, might be involved in more fires than is generally known. Burning Substance Table 8 shows underground fires by burning substance for the three time pe- riods. One of the underlying assumptions in utilizing either the chi-square test or the t-test is that of independence. This means among other things that any given observation falls into and only one category. In the case of fires catego- rized by burning substances, it would mean that each fir* 1 is classified into 14 TABLE 7. - Reported underground fires by ignition source, three time periods Ignition source Period I 1950-67 Period II 1968-77 Period III 1978-84 Total 1 t| No. Pet I vs. II II vs. No. Pet No. Pet No. Pet Ill 22 42.3 39 46.4 21 29.6 82 39.6 ND 2.15* 10 19.2 16 19.0 7 9.9 33 15.9 ND 1.60 2 3.8 7 8.3 18 25.4 27 13.0 1.02 2.87** 8 15.4 13 15.5 1 1.4 22 10.6 ND 3.05** 3 5.8 6 7.1 9 12.7 18 8.7 ND 1.16 3 5.8 1 1.2 2 2.8 6 2.9 ND ND 4 7.7 2 2.4 13 18.3 19 9.2 ND ND 52 100.0 84 100.0 71 100.0 207 100.0 52 85.2 84 91.3 71 93.4 207 90.4 9 14.8 8 8.7 5 6.6 22 9.6 61 100.0 92 100.0 76 100.0 229 100.0 40.35** 85.67** 122.61** 10. 40 23. 67** 20 .10 Electrical Welding sparks or hot slag Engine heat Spontaneous combustion Friction Explosives Other Total specified. . . . Specified Unspecified Total X 2 : Specified Without electrical. ND Not determined. Significant at 5-pct level. Significant at 1-pct level. TABLE 8. - Reported underground fires by burning substance, 1 three time periods Per iod I Period II 1968-77 Peri od III Total It| Burning substance 1950-67 1978-84 No. Pet I vs. II II vs. No. Pet . No. Pet No. Pet Ill 48 6 9 3 18 57.1 7.1 10.7 3.6 21.4 40 21 29 18 26 29.9 15.7 21.6 13.4 19.4 19 31 16 9 12 21.8 35.6 18.4 10.3 13.8 107 58 54 30 56 35.1 19.0 17.7 9.8 18.4 4.00** 1.86* 2.07* 2.40** ND 1.32 Combustible liquids... 3.42** ND ND ND Total specified.... 84 100.0 134 100.0 87 100.0 305 100.0 Specified 84 3 96.6 3.4 134 1 99.3 .7 87 3 96.7 3.3 7 312 97.8 2.2 87 100.0 135 100.0 90 100.0 100.0 X 2 : ¥■ * 79. QV 10 3 .85* .11 16.*?** Without timber. . . . 14. 00** 16. 82** ND Not determined. Significant at 5-pct level. Significant at 1-pct level. In many fires, more than 1 substance was burning. only one burning substance type. The data on fires by burning substances, of course, violates this assumption. How- ever, in analyzing the data of this ta- ble, it was found that fire in one burn- ing substance type was independent of fires in other burning substance types. If this assumption is true, then the re- sults of the analysis given below are valid for the intended purpose. The large chi-square values for each of the three time periods indicate that the dif- ferences among the different burning sub- stance are significant. These data show that timber was the most frequent sub- stance burning, while wiring insulation and combustible liquids were also fre- quently involved in fires, especially since 1968. The t-test values indicate that the distribution of fires by burning sub- stance has changed from one period to 15 another. There was a significant de- crease in the proportion of fires attrib- uted to timer from 1950-67 to 1968-77 and 1978-84. It should be noted, however, that the decrease was not significant be- tween the second and third time periods. The fires due to combustible liquids, on the other hand, have increased from one period to the next. There was a definite shift from timber as the most frequent burning substance to combustible liquids, insulation, and rubber between 1950-67 and 1968-77. Location The locations of fires in underground metal and nonmetal mines appear in table 9. The large chi-square values for the three time periods indicate that signif- icant differences exist in the frequency of fires occurring at various loca- tions. Fires occurred predominantly in haulageway-drif t entry areas for the pe- riods 1968-77 and 1978-84; for the period 1950-67, they occurred in shaft-raise- winze areas. This result also means there was a change in the distribution of fire location from one period to another. The number of fires occurring in mined-out wastes and shaft-raise-winze areas declined while those in haulageway- drift areas increased. To determine the sources of fires at the various loca- tions, the data on the two most common sources were analyzed separately. Table 10 shows electrical fires by lo- cation for the three time periods. Since there are too many categories for the number of observations, the expected fre- quencies are small (less than five). Hence, the chi-square test is not valid for this situation. The data in this ta- ble and in table 11, therefore, were ana- lyzed by the t-test. The t-values for all three time periods indicate that the relative frequency of electrical fires along haulageway-drif t areas, where lit- erally miles of cable are installed, was more than what would be expected by chance. Electrical fires in the moving equipment, such as load-haul-dumps, oc- curred frequently here. The t-values also show the relatively high frequencies of electrical fires at substation-shop- storage-pump areas for the 1968-77 period and at shaft-raise-winze areas for the 1950-67 period to be significant. In comparing the distribution of fires across time periods, the t-test revealed no significant difference in the pro- portion of fires between 1950-67 and TABLE 9. - Reported underground fires by location, three time periods Location Period I 1950-67 No. Pet Period II 1968-77 No. Pet Period III 1978-84 No. Pet Total No. Pet I vs. II $1 ¥TF II VS. Ill Haulageway-drif t. . . Shaft-raise-winze. . Mined-out waste. . . , Working face , Substation-shop- storage-pump i Other Total specified. Specified Unspecified Total X 2 : Specified Without haul- ageway-drif t. ND Not determined. 12 20 13 5 8 3 19.7 32.8 21.3 8.2 13.1 4.9 61 100.0 61 100.0 .0 61 100.0 18.77 19.06 42 11 10 9 16 3 46.2 12.1 11.0 9.9 17.6 3.3 42 9 2 6 6 6 59.2 12.7 2.8 8.5 8.5 8.5 96 40 25 20 30 12 43.0 17.9 11.2 9.0 13.5 5.4 3.34 3.10 1 1.74* ND ND ND 1.64 ND 1.97 s ND ND ND 91 100.0 71 100.0 223 100.0 91 1 98.9 1.1 71 5 93.4 6.6 223 6 97.4 2.6 92 100.0 76 100.0 229 100.0 61.11 6.41 94.38 4.28 Significant at 5-pct level. Significant at 1-pct level. 16 TABLE 10. - Reported underground electrical fires by location, three time periods Location Period I 1950-67 No. Pet Period II 1968-77 No. Pet Period III 1978-84 No. Pet Total No. Pet I vs. II II vs. Ill Haulageway-drif t. . Subs tat ion-shop- storage-pump Shaft-shaft-winze. Working face Mined-out waste... Other Total specified Specified Unspecified Total Haulageway-drif t. . Subs tat ion-shop- storage-pump. Shaft-raise-winze. 31.8 18.2 31.8 9.1 4.5 4.5 13 3 4 1 46.2 33.3 7.7 10.3 .0 2.6 11 3 2 1 3 55.0 15.0 10.0 .0 5.0 15.0 36 20 12 6 2 5 44.4 24.7 14.8 7.4 2.5 6.2 1.09 1.27 2.44' ND ND ND 0.64 1.50 ND ND ND ND 22 100.0 39 100.0 20 100.0 100.0 22 100.0 .0 39 100.0 .0 20 1 95.2 4.8 98.8 1.2 22 100.0 39 100.0 21 100.0 82 100.0 1.91' 0.19 1.91' 4.94 2.79* ND 4.60 ND ND ND Not determined. Significant at 5-pct level. Significant at 1-pct level. TABLE 11. - Reported underground welding or cutting fires by location, three time periods Location Shaft-raise-winze. Haulageway-drif t. . Substation-shop- storage-pump. Mined-out waste. . . Working face , Other , Total , 1950-67 No. 10 Pet 60.0 20.0 20.0 .0 .0 .0 100.0 1968-77 No. 16 Pet 37.5 43.8 .0 6.3 .0 12.5 100.0 1978-84 No. Pet 42.9 28.6 28.6 .0 .0 .0 100.0 Total No. 15 11 4 1 2 33 Pet 45.5 33.3 12.1 3.0 .0 6.1 100.0 Shaft-raise-winze. Haulageway-drif t. . 4.44 2.57 1 Significant at 1-pct level. 1968-77, and between 1968-77 and 1978-84 for the haulageway-drif t entry areas and substation-shop-storage-pump areas. The same analysis for the shaft-raise-winze area, on the other hand, showed a signif- icant decline in the proportion of fires from 1950-67 to 1968-77. Table 11 contains the analysis for welding-cutting fires by location for two of the time periods. Owing to the small sample size in each period, which leads to large fluctuations, the total number of fires was analyzed so that statisti- cally meaningful conclusions could be drawn from these data. The t-tests for a one-sample case showed that fires from welding or cutting operations occurred more frequently in the mine shaft-raise- winze and in haulageway-drif t areas than in other areas of the mine. 17 Equipment Involved Table 12 categorizes fires by equipment involved, for the three time periods. During the tabulation of these data, it became obvious that some changes in the reporting mechanism have occurred over time for the "Unspecified," "None," and "Unknown" categories. The data for these categories, therefore, are such that it is not possible to obtain a separate fire count for each category. It should be noted that the combination of the three categories comprises a major portion of all the fires by equipment type. Where equipment is specified, the chi-square values for the last two time periods are significant, which indicates that some equipment types were more involved in fires than others. The most prone pieces of equipment were either mobile, such as load-haul-dumps, or electrical (that is, stationary electrical equipment) . Two t-tests were performed for the mobile and electrical equipment. The first compared the 1950-67 and 1968-77 periods; the sec- ond compared the 1968-77 and 1978-84 periods. All of the t-values were not significant. To fully explain the relative fire haz- ard of the various types of equipment used in underground mines, fire incidents should be normalized based on actual ex- posure hours or the number of equipment pieces. Although some data to support such an analysis were located, it was found that the data available were inade- quate to normalize the equipment most frequently associated with underground fires. The authors believe that esti- mates of equipment populations beyond the scope of presently available data would lead to highly questionable results; therefore, no attempt was made to compute incidence rates by equipment for under- ground fires at this time. An analysis of the leading ignition source of fires where equipment is in- volved is presented in table 13. As in table 12, the equipment category "Unspe- cified-unknown -none" comprises a major portion of all the electrical fires. Also, as explained before, the small num- ber of fires precludes the use of the chi-square test for this table. The t-tests show that the relative frequency of electrical equipment in electrical ig- nition fires was much higher than the expected (0.25) for all time periods. The same type of analysis also shows that the relative frequency of mobile equip- ment was significantly more than expected for the period 1968-77. TABLE 12. - Reported underground fires by equipment involved, three time periods Per iod I Period II Period III Total It| Equipment 1950-67 1968-77 1978-84 No. Pet I vs. II II vs. No. Pet No. Pet No. Pet Ill 6 10 1 6 26.1 43.5 4.3 26.1 24 16 5 7 46.2 30.8 9.6 13.5 31 9 6 6 59.6 17.3 11.5 11.5 61 35 12 19 48.0 27.6 9.4 15.0 1.64 1.07 ND ND 1.38 1.61 ND Other ND Total specified.... 23 100.0 52 100.0 52 100.0 127 100.0 23 38 37.7 62.3 52 40 56.5 43.5 52 24 68.4 31.6 127 102 55.5 45.5 Unspecif ied-unknown- 61 100.0 92 100.0 76 100.0 229 100.0 7.09 17.69** 33.69** ND Not determined. # * Significant at 1-pct level. 1 The reporting mechanism did not permit the classification of fires into 3 separate categories. 18 TABLE 13. - Reported underground electrical fires by equipment, three time periods El Equipment Period I 1950-67 No. Pet Period II 1968-77 No. Pet Period III 1978-84 No. Pet Total No. Pet I vs. II II vs. Ill Electrical Mobile , Conveyor Other Total specified.. Specified Unspecif ied-unknown- none Total 54.5 36.4 .0 9.1 12 15 I 42.9 53.6 .0 3.6 47.1 41.2 5.9 5.9 26 26 1 3 46.4 46.4 1.8 5.4 0.66 .97 ND ND ND ND ND ND 11 100.0 28 100.0 17 100.0 56 100.0 11 11 50.0 50.0 28 11 71.8 28.2 17 81.0 19.0 56 26 68.3 31.7 22 100.0 39 100.0 21 100.0 82 100.0 t| Electrical. Mobile 2.26 .87 2.19 3.49 J 2.10 1.54 ND Not determined. Significant at 5-pct level. Significant at 1-pct level. TABLE 14. - Reported underground fires by means of detection, three time periods Period I Period II 1968-77 Period III Total It| Means of detection 1950-67 1978-84 No. Pet I vs. II II vs. No. Pet No. Pct No. Pet Ill Operator-worker 9 20 3 8 7 7 16.7 37.0 5.6 14.8 13.0 13.0 28 23 10 6 8 14 31.5 25.8 11.2 6.7 9.0 15.7 29 21 7 6 3 43.9 31.8 10.6 9.1 .0 4.5 66 64 20 20 15 24 31.6 30.6 9.6 9.6 7.2 11.5 1.96* 1.42 1.15 1.57 ND ND 1.59 Workers (not .82 Shift boss-foreman.... ND ND ND ND Total specified. . . . 54 100.0 89 100.0 66 100.0 209 100.0 54 7 88.5 11.5 89 3 96.7 3.3 66 10 86.8 13.2 209 20 91.3 8.7 61 100.0 92 100. 0_, 76 100.0 229 100.0 18.44** 26. 21** 59.09** ND Not determined. Means of Det Signi ectio f icant n at 5- pet lev The el. t-te **Sign st show ifica s the nt at 1 re was -pet level, a significant The person(s) discovering a fire are listed in table 14. The large chi-square values for each of the three time periods indicate that the frequencies for the six different categories are statistically different. The most frequent detection of fire occurs Immediately or after a short period of time by workers In the area. Most metal and nonmetal mine fire reports do not identify the specific job title of the person discovering a fire. increase in the relative frequency of the category "Operator-worker (immediate)" between the periods 1950-67 and 1968-77. The same type of analysis, however, shows the changes to be nonsignificant for the next three categories. Duration Duration of fires appears in table 15. Note that for the periods 1950-67 and 1978-84, the duration is not specified 19 TABLE 15. - Reported underground fires by duration, three time periods I 1950-67 II 1968-77 III Total |t| Duration, h 1978-84 No. Pet I vs. II II vs. No. Pet No. Pet No. Pet Ill 5 2 4 8 23 11.9 4.8 9.5 19.0 54.8 11 5 31 20 17 13.1 6.0 36.9 23.8 20.2 8 6 21 8 14 14.0 10.5 36.8 14.0 24.6 24 13 56 36 54 13.1 7.1 30.6 19.7 29.5 ND ND 3.23** ND 3.92** ND ND ND 1.43 24+ ND Total specified.... 42 100.0 84 100.0 57 100.0 183 100.0 42 19 68.9 31.1 84 8 91.3 8.7 57 19 75.0 25.0 183 46 79.9 20.1 61 100.0 92 100.0 76 100.0 229 100.0 33. 95** 22. 90** 13.26* Significant at 5-pct level. Significant at 1-pct level. for an estimated 30 and 25 pet, respec- tively, of all the reported fires. It should also be noted that many of the fires lasting less than 1/2 h were not reportable based on duration. Most of these were reportable because of an asso- ciated injury; some were reported as a courtesy; and others were investigated by MSHA inspectors after hearing about the fire from a third party. As a general rule, reports of these fires were found at MSHA subdistrict offices in the form of internal memos or letter reports. Of those fires that were reported and where the duration is specified, the chi- square values are significant for all the periods. This means the number of fires are not evenly distributed across the five duration categories. In the 1950-67 time period, the most frequent duration was 24 h or more. The t-test value be- tween the 1950-67 and 1968-77 periods in- dicates there was definitely a decline in the relative frequency of fires for this category. Based on these results and on discussions with the concerned officials, it can be concluded that prior to 1968 fires lasting 24 h or longer were more frequently reported than others. Further analysis of ignition sources by duration was performed for two time peri- ods, 1968-77 and 1978-84, and the results are presented in table 16. It should be noted that for period 1978-84, the data on duration of fires are less than com- plete. In about 25 pet of the reports, the duration of the fire was unspecified. Of the specified durations in both time periods, all the spontaneous combustion fires lasted 24 h or longer, and about 50 pet of the electrical ignition fires lasted 1 to 4 h. Number of Injuries Fire injuries for the three time peri- ods appear in table 17. In all the time periods, the fires where no injuries oc- curred comprise an overwhelming propor- tion of all the fires. Once the fires with no injuries are eliminated, the sam- ple size for each of the time periods becomes too small to draw any statisti- cally meaningful conclusions. A cross- tabulation of injury fires by ignition source appears in table 18. As shown, the source of most injury fires was elec- trical, followed by welding and engine heat. Prior to 1978, there were no in- juries involved with fires occurring from engine heat. Yet, during the 1978-84 time period, engine heat was the largest source of all injury fires. Cross-tabu- lations of injury fires by location and equipment appear in tables 19 and 20. Injury fires occurred predominantly along haulageway-drif ts, followed by working face areas. Prior to 1968, it appears that more injury fires started at the shaft or in a mined-out area. Since 1968, they seem to have occurred more in haulageway-drif ts and working face areas. 20 TABLE 16. - Reported underground fires by ignition source and duration, two time periods Ignition source to 0.5 h 1968-77 1978-84 0.5 to 1.0 h 1968-77 1978-84 1+ to 4 h 1968-77 1978-84 4+ to 24 h 1968-77 1978-84 Electrical , Welding sparks or hot slag Engine heat Spontaneous combustion Friction Explosives Other Unspecified Total Electrical Welding sparks or hot slag Engine heat Spontaneous combustion Friction Explosives Other Unspecified Total 19 3 2 3 2 2 11 3 3 3 1 11 31 21 20 24+ h 1968-77 1 2 1 12 1 17 Unspecified Total 1978-84 1968-77 14 8 1978-84 1968-77 39 16 7 13 6 1 2 19 92 1978-84 21 1 9 2 13 5 76 TABLE 17. - Reported underground fires by number of injuries, three time periods Number of injuries 1950-67 1968-77 1978-84 Total No. Pet No. Pet No. Pet No. Pet 54 4 2 1 88.5 6.6 3.3 1.6 .0 85 3 3 1 92.4 3.3 3.3 1.1 .0 63 11 2 82.9 14.5 2.6 .0 .0 202 18 7 2 88.2 1 7.9 2 to 5 10 + 3.1 .9 .0 61 100.0 92 100.0 76 100.0 229 100.0 TABLE 18. - Reported underground injury fires by ignition source, three time periods Ignition source Electrical Welding sparks or hot slag Engine heat Spontaneous combustion. . . . Friction Other Total 1950-67 1968-77 1978-84 Total 13 27 21 The type of equipment most involved in injury fires was mobile-type equipment. In fact, in the 1978-84 period, all of the injury fires with a known equipment type involved mobile equipment. Number of Deaths Table 21 lists fires by number of deaths. The only significant result is the overall reporting frequency of non- fatal fires. Once the nonfatal fires are removed, the sample sizes in each of the three periods become too small to draw any statistically meaningful conclusions. Mining Method Table 22 shows fires by mining method for the three time periods. For a large portion of the fire reports, mining meth- od was not specified for the 1950-67 and 1978-84 periods. The chi-square values for all time periods indicate significant differences among the fire frequencies associated with the five specified mining methods. The t-test values show the fire incidences occurred with a higher than expected relative frequency in the caving method for the period 1950-67 and in the room-and-pillar method for the periods 1968-77 and 1978-84. The t-values show that the relative frequency of fires in- creased from one period to the next for the room-and-pillar method and decreased for the caving method. These results in- dicate that the distribution of the fire incidents for the mining methods has changed from period to period. For the open stoping method, however, the change TABLE 19. - Reported underground injury fires by location, three time periods Location Haulageway-drif t Working face Shaft-raise-winze Substation-shop-storage-pump Mined-out area Other Unspecified Total 1950-67 1968-77 1978-84 Total 10 6 3 3 2 2 1 13 27 TABLE 20. - Reported underground injury fires by equipment, three time periods Equipment Mobile Electrical Other Unspecified-unknown -none. Total 1950-67 1968-77 1978-84 Total 11 2 13 14 3 1 9 27 TABLE 21. - Reported underground fires by number of deaths, three time periods Number of deaths 1950-67 1968-77 1978-84 Total No. Pet No. Pet No. Pet No. Pet 57 2 2 93.4 3.3 .0 3.3 86 2 2 2 93.5 2.2 2.2 2.2 76 100.0 .0 .0 .0 219 4 2 4 95.6 1 1.7 6+ .9 1.7 61 100.0 92 100.0 76 100.0 229 100.0 22 TABLE 22. - Reported underground fires by mining method, three time periods M Mining method Period I 1950-67 No, Pet Period II 1968-77 No. Pet Period III 1978-84 No. Pet Total No. Pet I vs. II II vs. Ill Roora-and-pillar. . . Caving Open stoping Cut-and-fill Other Total specified Specified Unspecified Total X 2 : Specified.... |t|: Room and pillar Caving ND Not determined 10 21 13 1 6 19.6 41.2 25.5 2.0 11.8 31 18 16 14 7 36.0 20.9 18.6 16.3 8.1 34 5 5 10 5 57.6 8.5 8.5 16.9 8.5 75 44 34 25 18 38.3 22.4 17.3 12.8 9.2 2.03 2.54' 1.02 2.59 1 ND 2.57' 2.02* 1.70* ND ND 51 100.0 86 100.0 59 100.0 196 100.0 51 10 83.6 16.4 86 6 93.5 6.5 59 17 77.6 22.4 196 33 85.6 14.4 61 100.0 92 100.0 76 100.0 229 100.0 22.23 ND 3.78* 17.84 3.72 53.80 7.23 ND ND * 3Flf Significant at 5-pct level. Significant at 1-pct level. TABLE 23. - Reported underground fires by successful extinguishing agent, 1 three time periods Extinguishing agent 1950-67 1968-77 1978-84 Total No. Pet No. Pet No. Pet No. Pet 26 5 9 18 10 38.2 7.4 13.2 26.5 14.7 43 27 18 10 24 35.2 22.1 14.8 8.2 19.7 20 16 7 3 5 39.2 31.4 13.7 5.9 9.8 89 48 34 31 39 36.9 19.9 14.1 12.9 16.2 Total specified.... 68 100.0 122 100.0 51 100.0 241 100.0 68 3 95.8 4.2 122 3 97.6 2.4 51 34 60.0 40.0 241 40 85.8 14.2 Total 1 71 61 100.0 NAp 125 92 100.0 NAp 85 76 100.0 NAp 281 229 100.0 NAp NAp Not applicable. More than one successful extinguishing agent was used in some fires. is significant only from 1968-77 to 1978- 84. The relative frequency of the cut- and-fill also increased from 1950-67 to 1968-77. To better explain the relative fire hazard of the various types of mining methods, it would be more appropriate to relate the fires to the average number of mines associated with each mining method and time period. As no reliable data on the average number of mines by mining methods were available, this type of analysis was not performed. Successful Extinguishing Agent Tables 23 and 24 delineate fires by successful extinguishing agent for the three time periods. Table 23 gives the frequency with which an extinguishing agent was successfully used. The fires in which two agents were successfully used were entered under both categories in this table. Table 24 gives the bivar- iate distribution of the fires, showing which extinguishing agents were used together. Note that in 1978-84, the 23 TABLE 24. - Reported underground fires, joint distribution of successful extinguishing agents, by three time periods Period 1 Water Dry chemical. . . Burned out Sealing Other Unspecified. . . . l I: 1955-67; II Water II III Dry chemical II III Burned out II III Sealing II III Other II III Unspecified II III 19 14 13 3 10 2 4 10 34 1968-77; III: 1978-84. TABLE 25. - Reported surface fire incidents by year Number of Number of Number of Year incidents Year incidents Year incidents 1950... 1 1962... 4 1974... 10 1951... 1963... 3 1975... 5 1952... 1964... 2 1976... 12 1953... 1 1965... 1977... 13 1954... 1966... 1978... 29 1955... 1967... 1 1979... 31 1956... 3 1968... 4 1980... 16 1957... 1 1969... 4 1981... 21 1958... 1 1970 4 1982 1 .. 5 1959... 1 1971 2 1983... 10 1960... 3 1972... 1973 6 5 1984... Total 14 1961... 212 Statistics for 1982 in surface mining of stone, clay, col- loidal phosphate, and sand and gravel are based on July through December only. These operations were excluded from MSHA juris- diction by House Joint Resolution 370, December 15, 1981. On July 15, 1982, the Congress approved House Resolution 6685, which restored MSHA's jurisdiction to all operations except those of States or political subdivisions. successful extinguishing agent was not specified in about 45 pet (34/76) of the fire reports. Where the extinguishing agents were specified, it was found that none of the standard statistical tests were applicable, as the basic assumption of independence was violated. That is, water and dry chemicals were used more frequently than other agents in fires in- volving two agents. Hence, the following conclusions are based on simple examina- tion of the data: (1) in 1968-77, the frequency with which two successful ex- tinguishing agents were used is much higher than in the other two periods, (2) water was the predominant agent in all three periods, (3) there was a defi- nite shift from sealing to dry chemical, and (4) the relative frequency of "Burned out" was approximately the same through- out the three periods. SURFACE FIRES AT SURFACE AND UNDERGROUND MINES Time Trends As with underground fires, the first analysis looked at the time trends. Ta- ble 25 lists 212 fire incidents by year for surface fires. The number of fires for 1982 is based only on July through 24 December for stone, clay, colloidal phosphate, and sand and gravel, because these operations were excluded from MSHA's jurisdiction from January through June of that year. It can be seen from table 25 and fig- ure 5 that there were a higher number of fires for which a report could be located for the period beginning in 1972. This fact is further confirmed by the Spearman rank order correlation test based on ta- ble 26. The highly significant r s value of 0.855 indicates that, on the average, the number of fires reported increased with time. Table 27 displays the number of fire incidents by three time periods. The chi-square for this table is computed on the assumption of an equal number of fires for each year. This highly signif- icant value indicates, as shown in figure 2, that differences exist in the fre- quency with which surface fires were re- ported during the three time periods. As with underground fires, this could be be- cause prior to 1968 there was no record- keeping requirement for accidents (in- cluding fires) that occurred in metal and nonmetal mines. Also, a significant per- centage of reports of fire incidents dur- ing this period (pre-1968) have been misplaced over the years of shift and re- organization of personnel and offices in the Bureau and MSHA. Significantly then, the trend as seen in figures 2 and 5 is either toward in- creased awareness (via reporting) of fires in surface metal and nonmetal mines or toward an increasingly hazardous envi- ronment, or both. Table 28 gives the surface incidence rates for the period 1978-84. These n , , n $$$ W-H $_ UM IV 14 1 1> / s / W WW / / / / ', 111 in n\ *** www 1 1 J4LJ4 Figure 5. — Surface fire incidents by year, 1950-84. 25 TABLE 26. - Ranking of reported surface fire incidents by year Year Number of incidents Rank Year Incidents Year Number of incidents Rank Year Incidents 1950. 1951. 1952. 1953. 1954. 1955. 1956. 1957. 1958. 1959. 1960. 1961. 1962. 1963. 1964. 1965. 1966. 1967. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 10.5 4.0 4.0 10.5 4.0 4.0 17.0 10.5 10.5 10.5 4.0 17.0 20.5 17.0 14.5 4.0 4.0 10.5 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973.... 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1 . ... 1983 1984 Total. 4 4 4 2 6 5 10 5 12 13 29 31 16 21 5 10 14 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 20.5 20.5 20.5 14.5 26.0 24.0 27.5 24.0 29.0 30.0 34.0 35.0 32.0 33.0 24.0 27.5 31.0 212 NAp NAp 5FTT = 0.855 (significant at 1-pct level), surface mining of stone, clay, colloidal phosphate, and on July through December only. These operations were ex- ion by House Joint Resolution 370, December 15, 1981. On ss approved House Resolution 6685, which restored MSHA's ions except those of States or political subdivisions. NAp Not applicable. r Statistics for 1982 in sand and gravel are based eluded from MSHA jurisdict July 15, 1982, the Congre jurisdiction to all operat TABLE 27. - Number of surface fire incidents by three time periods Period Ob- served Ex- pected Average per year Period Ob- served Ex- pected Average per year I: II: 1950-67 1968-77... 21 65 109 61 1.2 6.5 III: 1978-84. Total or av. 126 42 18.0 212 212 6.1 239.31 (significant at 1-pct level). TABLE 28. 1978-84 Reported surface fire incidence rates, Year Observed number of incidents Hours worked, 10 3 h Incidence rate 1 Expected number of incidents 1978 29 31 16 21 5 10 14 418,650 440,200 417,100 400,350 221,550 289,150 299,450 1.4 1.4 .8 1.0 .4 .7 .9 21 1979 22 1980 21 1981 20 1982 H 1983 15 1984 15 Total or IR 126 2,486,450 1.0 126 X 2 = 13.16 (significant at 5-pct level) 1 Per 20 million h worked. 26 incidence rates are equivalent to the number of fires per 10,000 full-time workers (See "Data Analysis Methods.") The chi-square values computed from the observed and expected number of fires in- dicate that not all years were equally hazardous. Figure 3 shows years 1978 and 1979 to have the highest incidence rate. Ore Type Table 29 shows surface fires by ore type for the three time periods. Fires occurred most often at surface limestone and iron mines , especially for the period 1978-84. The chi-square test for the pe- riod 1968-77 indicates that the differ- ences in ore totals, after the "Other" category is eliminated are not signifi- cant. This test was not performed for the period 1950-67 because 11 fires among 4 different categories yield an expected frequency of less than 3 fires per cate- gory. An examination of the data for this period shows that the frequency of fires was the highest in iron ore. According to the t-values, the only sig- nificant change in the relative fre- quency was in iron ore between 1950-67 and 1968-77. A detailed analysis by ore type was also performed for the most current peri- od, 1978-84 (table 30). The chi-square value of 12.71 is significant at the 5-pct level, indicating that all ore types were not equally hazardous. The relative measure of incidence rates as depicted in figure 6 shows iron to be the most hazardous and sand and gravel to be the least hazardous. TABLE 29. - Reported surface fires by principal ore, three time periods Period I 1950-67 Peri od II Period III Total It| Ore 1968-77 1978-84 No. Pet I vs. II II vs. No. Pet No. Pet No. Pet Ill 1 7 3 7 5.6 38.9 16.7 .0 38.9 9 5 5 5 31 16.4 9.1 9.1 9.1 56.4 24 18 9 9 64 19.4 14.5 7.3 7.3 51.6 34 30 17 14 102 17.3 15.2 8.6 7.1 51.8 1.16 2.96** .89 1.33 ND 0.48 1.00 .42 .42 ND Total specified. . . . 18 100.0 55 100.0 124 100.0 197 100.0 18 3 85.7 14.3 55 10 84.6 15.4 124 2 98.4 1.6 197 15 92.9 7.1 21 100.0 65 100.0 126 100.0 212 100.0 X 2 : Specified without ND 2.00 10.80* ND Not determined. Significant at 5-pct level. Significant at 1-pct level. TABLE 30. - Average reported surface fire incidence rates by ore, 1978-84 Ore Observed number of incidents Hours worked, 10 3 h Incidence rate 1 Expected number of incidents 18 24 9 9 66 198,350 458,400 236,850 362,400 1,230,450 1.8 1.0 .8 .5 1.1 10 Crushed limestone Sand and gravel. . 23 12 19 62 Total or IR 26 2,486,450 1.0 126 ,2 _ = 12.71 (significant at 5-pct level). . : Per 20 million h worked. 2 Includes 2 incidents in unspecified ores. 27 1.B-- 1.6-- < DC 111 i U z 111 Q H -B + u Z H .6- .4-- Average (all types)- Iron Crushed limestone Copper Sand and gravel Other Figure 6. — Average surface fire incidence rates (based on 20 million h worked), by ore type, 1978-84. Ignition Source Table 31 shows fires by ignition source for the three time periods. The number of unspecified fires comprises a major portion of the total fires, especially for the 1978-84 period, thus raising some questions on the completeness of the data. The chi-square values with and without the "Other" category indicate that the different ignition source to- tals are significantly different for the time periods 1968-77 and 1978-84. No chi-square test was performed for the first period as there were too few obser- vations. It is apparent, however, that the leading ignition source for this pe- riod was electrical. The t-tests also show that the proportion of engine heat fires increased from 1968-77 to 1978-84 while the proportion of electrical fires declined over the same time. Burning Substance The data on surface fires by burning substance for the three time periods are shown in table 32. In analyzing the data of this table, the same basic assumption was made on independence of burning sub- stances as outlined for its counterpart table 8 on underground fires. The chi- square test shows that the differences in the frequency with which the various sub- stances were involved in fires were sig- nificant for the periods 1968-77 and 1978-84 but not for the period 1950-67. The relative frequency of combustible 28 TABLE 31. - Reported surface fires by ignition source, three time periods Period I 1950-67 Peri od II Period III Total It| Ignition source 1968-77 1978-84 No. Pet I vs. II II vs. No. Pet No. Pet No. Pet Ill 1 6 3 1 8 5.3 31.6 15.8 5.3 42.1 9 15 11 1 20 16.1 26.8 19.6 1.8 35.7 38 16 22 8 18 37.3 15.7 21.6 7.8 17.6 48 37 36 10 46 27.1 20.9 20.3 5.6 26.0 1.20 .40 .37 ND ND 2.79** 1.68* ND ND ND Total specified. . . . 19 100.0 56 100.0 102 100.0 177 100.0 19 2 90.5 9.5 56 9 86.2 13.8 102 24 81.0 19.0 177 35 83.5 16.5 21 100.0 65 100.0 126 100.0 212 100.0 X 2 : ND ND 17. QT** 24.fiR** 11. 56** 23. 05** ND Not determined. Significant at 5-pct level. Significant at 1-pct level. TABLE 32. - Reported surface fires by burning substance, 1 three time periods Period I 1950-67 Period II Period III Total It| Burning substance 1968-77 1978-84 No. Pet I vs. II II vs. No. Pet No. Pet No. Pet Ill Combustible liquids... Construction material. 4 5 5 4 11 7 11.1 13.9 13.9 11.1 30.6 19.4 24 19 11 9 6 16 28.2 22.4 12.9 10.6 7.1 18.8 70 25 8 11 3 9 55.6 19.8 6.3 8.7 2.4 7.1 98 49 24 24 20 32 39.7 19.8 9.7 9.7 8.1 13.0 2.04* 1.07 ND ND 3.40** ND 3.92** ND 1.64 ND 1.65* ND Total specified.... 36 100.0 85 100.0 126 100.0 247 100.0 36 100.0 .0 85 1 98.8 1.2 126 9 93.3 6.7 247 10 96.1 3.9 36 100.0 86 100.0 135 100.0 257 100.0 X 2 : 6. 00NS ND 16. 1 * l 150-1Q** Without combus- tible liquids. . . . h ID 24 .36* ND Not determined. Significant at 5-pct level. **Signif icant at 1-pct level. 1 In many fires, more than 1 substance was burning. liquids fires definitely increased across time periods, while that of timber decreased. Location The locations of fires in surface metal and nonmetal mines appear in table 33. For the first two time periods, the over- whelming majority of fires occurred in the surface building location, while for the last period, the split was about SO- SO between the surface building and a surface location other than the building. Equipment Involved Table 34 shows surface fires by equip- ment for the three time periods. As with its counterpart table 12 on underground 29 TABLE 33. - Reported surface fires by location, three time periods E Location Period I 1950-67 No. Pet Period II 1968-77 No. Pet Period III 1978-84 No. Pet Total No. Pet I vs. II II vs. Ill Surface building. . Surface Other Total specified Specified Unspecified Total ND Not determined 16 4 80.0 .0 20.0 44 21 67.7 .0 32.3 54 67 44.6 55.4 .0 114 67 25 53.3 32.5 12.1 1.06 ND ND 3.00 7.50* ND 20 100.0 65 100.0 121 100.0 206 100.0 20 1 95.2 4.8 65 100.0 .0 121 5 96.0 4.0 206 6 97.2 2.8 21 100.0 65 100.0 126 100.0 212 100.0 Significant at 1-pct level. TABLE 34. Reported surface fires by equipment involved, three time periods Period I 1950-67 Period II Period III Total It| Equipment 1968-77 1978-84 No. Pet I vs. II II vs. No. Pet No. Pet No. Pet Ill 1 2 14 0.0 5.9 11.8 82.4 8 4 6 18 22.2 11.1 16.7 50.0 51 9 4 17 63.0 11.1 4.9 21.0 59 14 12 49 44.0 10.4 9.0 36.6 2.11* .61 .47 ND 4.07** ND 2.09* ND Total specified.... 17 100.0 36 [ 100.0 81 100.0 134 100.0 Unspecif ied-unknown- 17 4 81.0 19.0 36 29 55.4 44.6 81 45 64.3 35.7 134 78 63.2 36.8 21 100.0 65 100.0 126 100.0 212 100.0 ND Not determined. Significant at 5-pct level. Significant at 1-pct level. The reporting mechanism did not permit the classification of fires into three sep- arate categories. fires, changes in the reporting mechanism for the "Unspecified," "None," and "Un- known" categories make it impossible to obtain a separate fire count for each category. The combination of these three categories comprises a major portion of the total fires for all the time periods. Where equipment is involved, in recent time periods, more fires were associated with the mobile equipment type. Means of Detection Means of fire detection appear in table 35. In the most recent time period, the means of detection was not specified for a large portion (21.4 pet) of the fires, thus raising some questions as to the completeness of the data. Of the spe- cified means of detection, almost all were operators and/or workers. The relative frequency of fires discovered immediately increased while that of fires not immediately discovered decreased. This is further substantiated by the next table, which classifies fires by dura- tion. Hence, either operators and work- ers were becoming incresingly aware of fires and discovering them at an early stage, or for some reason there were more fires under 30 min being reported in the most recent time period. Duration Duration of surface fires appears in table 36. Duration is not specified for a large portion of fires for all the pe- riods; the analysis of this table is thus limited to those fires where the duration is specified. As there were too few spe- cified fires in the period 1950-67, a 30 TABLE 35. - Reported surface fires by means of detection, three time periods Per iod I Period II Period III Total It| Means of detection 1950- 1968-77 1978-84 No. Pet I vs. II II vs. No. Pet No. Pet No. Pet Ill Operator-worker Workers (not 7 8 4 36.8 42.1 21.1 29 26 7 46.8 41.9 11.3 84 12 3 84.8 12.1 3.0 120 46 14 66.7 25.6 7.8 0.76 ND ND 5.14** 4.33** ND Total specified.... 19 100.0 62 100.0 99 100.0 180 100.0 19 2 90.5 9.5 62 3 95.4 4.6 99 27 78.6 21.4 180 32 84.9 15.1 21 100.0 65 100.0 126 100.0 212 100.0 .. ..... — ... . ... _.. . — j ND Not determined. *Sign ificant at 1 -pet level. TABLE 36. - Reported surface fires by duration, three time periods Per iod I Period II Period III Total It| Duration, h 1950-67 1968-77 1978-84 No. Pet I vs. II II vs. No. Pet No. Pet No. Pet Ill to 0.5 3 1 3 4 27.3 9.1 27.3 36.4 .0 16 10 8 2 3 41.0 25.6 20.5 5.1 7.7 29 10 6 2 2 59.2 20.4 12.2 4.1 4.1 48 21 17 8 5 48.5 21.2 17.2 8.1 5.1 0.83 1.17 .84 2.81** .95 1.69* 0.5 to 1 .58 1+ to 4 1.05 4+ to 24 ND 24 + .73 Total specified. ... 11 100.0 39 100.0 49 100.0 99 100.0 Specified 11 10 52.4 47.6 39 26 60.0 40.0 49 77 38.9 61.1 99 113 46.7 53.3 21 100.0 65 100.0 126 100.0 212 100.0 ND * * 16.51 51.51** Significant at 5-pct level. Significant at 1-pct level. chi-square test was not performed. For the remaining two time periods, the num- ber of fires is not evenly distributed across the fire duration categories. As mentioned previously, the relative fre- quency of fires under 30 min has in- creased in recent times. Also, the pro- portion of fires was significantly down in the 4- to 24-h category between 1950- 67 and 1968-77. Number of Injuries Table 37 shows surface fires by number of injuries for the three time periods. In the first two time periods, approxi- mately 85 pet of the fires involved no injuries, whereas in the most recent time period, this was true for only about 45 pet of the cases. In recent times there has definitely been a substantial in- crease in the proportion of fires being reported with one injury. This means ei- ther more workers have been sustaining fire injuries or changes in law and/or attitude have occurred that are affecting the reporting; that is, injuries that were previously not reported were being reported in the most recent time period. Number of Deaths Table 38 contains fires by number of deaths. The only significant result, fortunately, is the overall reporting frequency of nonfatal fires. Once the nonfatal fires are removed, the only re- maining category is fires involving one death. 31 TABLE 37. - Reported surface fires by number of injuries, three time periods Per iod I Period II Peri od III Total It| Number of injuries 1950-67 1968-77 1978-84 No. Pct I vs. II II vs. No. Pet No. Pet No. Pet Ill 18 2 1 85.7 9.5 .0 4.8 .0 54 7 4 83.1 10.8 6.2 .0 .0 56 65 4 1 44.4 51.6 3.2 .8 .0 128 74 8 2 60.4 34.9 3.8 .9 .0 ND ND ND ND ND 5.12** 1 5.51 ** 2 to 5 ND ND ND 21 100.0 65 100.0 126 100.0 212 100.0 NAp NAp NAp Not applicable. ND Not determined. Significant at 1- pet level. TABLE 38. - Reported surface fires by number of deaths, three time periods Number o f deaths 1950-67 1968-77 1978-84 Total No. Pet No. Pet No. Pet No. Pet 18 3 85.7 14.3 .0 59 6 90.8 9.2 .0 123 3 97.6 2.4 .0 200 12 94.3 1 5.7 2 + .0 21 100.0 65 100.0 126 100.0 212 100.0 TABLE 39. - Reported surface fires by successful extinguishing agent, 1 three time periods Period I Peri od II Period III Total It| Extinguishing agent 1950-67 1968-77 1978-84 No. Pet I vs. II II vs. No. Pet No. Pet No. Pet Ill 10 9 1 2 45.5 40.9 4.5 9.1 29 11 10 9 49.2 18.6 16.9 15.3 14 4 6 4 50.0 14.3 21.4 14.3 53 24 17 15 48.6 22.0 15.6 13.8 ND 2.07* 1.45 ND ND ND 0.50 ND Total specified. . . . 22 100.0 lJ9 100.0 28 100.0 109 100.0 22 2 91.7 8.3 59 11 84.3 15.7 28 100 21.9 78.1 109 113 49.1 50.9 Total 1 24 21 100.0 NAp 70 65 100.0 NAp 128 126 100.0 NAp 222 212 100.0 NAp 11.82 18.49** 9.71* ND Not determined. Significant at 5-pct level. Significant at 1-pct level, ^ore than 1 successful extinguishing agent used in some fires. Successful Extinguishing Agent agent (100/ Table 39 gives the frequency with which speci an extinguishing agent was successfully five, used in each of the three time periods. perio The fires in which two agents were sue- tingu cessfully used were entered under both these categories in this table. In period table 1978-84, the successful extinguishing manne was not specified in about 80 pet 126) of the reported fires. Of the fied fires, there were only three, and two fires, respectively, in ds I, II, and III that used two ex- ishing agents successfully. Since members are relatively small, this is not analyzed in the same r as its counterpart table 23 on 32 underground fires. Instead, the standard tests were performed. The data show wa- ter to be consistently successful in about 50 pet of the specified fires for all three periods. The burned-out method has been used less frequently since 1968. COMPARISON OF UNDERGROUND AND SURFACE FIRES Time Trends Ignition Source Electrical equipment was the leading ignition source of undergropund fires. For surface fires, engine heat was the leading ignition source, followed by electrical equipment (tables 7 and 31). For both underground and surface, the proportion of electrical fires decreased while the proportion of engine heat fires increased between 1968-77 and 1978-84. Although the total number of fire inci- dents was approximately the same for un- derground and surface, the distribution of these incidents across the three time periods was more variable for surface than for underground (fig. 2). The aver- age number of surface fires per year for which a report could be located ranged from 1.2 in 1950-67 to 18.0 in 1978-84. For underground fires the range was from 3.4 to 10.9. Figure 2 also shows that for the most recent time period there were, on the average, 18.0 surface fires reported per year versus 10.9 for under- ground. Hence, it would appear that in the recent time period the surface area is more hazardous than the underground area. However, this is not the case, as can be seen from figure 3. This is be- cause many more hours were worked in the surface area than in the underground area. Figure 3 also shows 1978 to be the most hazardous year. Burning Substance As indicated in tables 8 and 32, more than one substance was burning in many fires. Combustible liquids were the pre- dominant burning substance for both un- derground and surface fires in the period 1978-84. Also, the relative frequency of fires involving combustible liquids in- creased from one period to the next for both underground and surface fires. The proportion of fires involving timber, on the other hand, dropped sharply between 1950-67 and 1968-77. Location Since the major categories for location (tables 9 and 33) differ vastly for un- derground and surface fires, they are not compared. Equipment Involved Ore Type Of the major ore types, copper and iron were the only ones involved in both un- derground fires and surface fires. Over the entire period, copper was the princi- pal ore involved in underground fires and was third in surface fires. Of the spe- cified ore types, copper accounted for about 18.0 pet of the underground fires and 8.6 pet of the surface fires (tables 5 and 29) . In terms of incidence rates for the 1978-84 period, it ranks low for both underground and surface fires (fig- ures 4 and 6). The predominant equipment involved in both underground and surface fires was of the mobile type. Figure 7 shows a com- parison of mobile equipment fires in surface and underground mines over the three time periods. The relative fre- quency of fires involving this equipment type increased from one period to the next for both surface and underground fires. Means of Detection Most fires incidents were detected by the operators and/or workers, both in 33 u Q 20 - KEY Underground 1950-67 1968-77 1978-84 Figure 7. — Percentage of mobile equipment fires, underground versus surface, during three time periods. surface and underground. Also, data in tables 14 and 35 show that, on the whole, the proportion of fires discovered immediately increased with each time period (fig. 8). Duration For the period 1950-67, about 55 pet of the reported underground fires lasted longer than 24 h. There were no surface fires reported in this category for the same period (tables 15 and 36). The per- centage of underground fires reported in the 0- to 0.5-h category was approximate- ly the same across the three time peri- ods, while for surface fires there was definitely an increase between 1968-77 and 1978-84. Number of Injuries As indicated by tables 17 and 37, the majority of underground and surface fires did not cause injuries. However, for the most recent time period, this was not true in the case of surface fires. In this case, only 44 pet of the fires had no injuries, 52 pet had one injury, and 4 pet had two or more injuries. Also, for both underground and surface, there were no fires resulting in 10 or more injuries. Number of Deaths Both in underground and surface, ap- proximately 95 pet of the fires were non- fatal (tables 21 and 38). 34 r-. 90 o ** 80 u Q 50 - 30 20-- KEY Undaroround Surf aca 1950-67 19BB-77 1978-84 Figure 8. — Percentage of fires detected immediately, underground versus surface, during three time periods. Successful Extinguishing Agent As can be seen in tables 23 and 39, wa- ter was the predominant successful agent used to extinguish both underground and surface fires. Also, in both underground and surface fires, two extinguishing agents were successfully used in some of the fires. NONREPORTABLE FIRES Since 1968, MSHA regulations have re- quired that fires lasting 1/2 h or more or involving an injury must be reported. Each reported fire is investigated by an MSHA inspector who then prepares a fire report. Noninjury fires under 1/2-h dur- ation are not reportable. To develop a data base that represented mine fires in general, 16 local and re- gional safety directors in charge of 12 surface mines and 12 underground mines were interviewed to obtain descriptions of nonreportable fires at their mines over the last 5 yr. Internal company memos on these fires were also provided. Nonreportable data were analyzed in two sets: under the headings of underground fires and surface fires. A total of 20 underground (table 40) and 22 surface (table 41) fire reports were obtained. 35 TABLE 40. - Nonrepor table underground fires (Based on sample of 20 reports) Ignition source: Electrical Welding Friction Engine heat Spontaneous combustion. Unspecified By burning substance: 1 Combustible liquids.... Wiring insulation Timber Rubber hose By location: Haulageway-drif t Substation < Shaft Mined-out area Number 10 4 3 1 1 1 By location — Con. Working face Other Unspecified By equipment involved: Mobile Electrical Maintenance-shop None Unspecified-unknown By successful extinguishing agent: 2 Dry chemical Cut off electrical power. Water Seals Other *More than 1 burning substance involved in some fires. 2 More than 1 successful extinguishing agent used in some fires. TABLE 41. - Nonreportable surface fires (Based on sample of 22 reports) Ignition source: Welding Electrical Engine heat , Friction , Other , Unspecified By burning substance: 1 Combustible liquids.. Insulation , Rubber , Other , Unspecified By location: Surface Surface building. . . . Unspecified Number 5 4 3 2 2 6 12 3 2 4 2 14 5 3 By equipment involved: Mobile Conveyor Electrical None Unspecified By successful extinguishing agent: 2 Dry chemical Water Burned out Other Unspecified Number 1 1 4 15 5 4 1 2 Number 14 2 1 1 4 13 1 1 5 3 More than 1 burning substance involved in some fires. 2 More than 1 successful extinguishing agent used in some fires. 36 UNDERGROUND FIRES Ignition Source Most of the nonreportable underground fires were electrical in origin, pri- marily from wiring shorts. The sec- ond highest ignition sources were weld- ing sparks or hot slag and friction, primarily from welding near combustibles and overheating brakes, respectively. Burning Substance Combustible liquids, wiring insulation, and timber were nearly equal in frequency of involvement. Location As with reported fires, the most fre- quent location of nonreportable fires was along haulageways and in drift entries where activity is high. Nonreportable fires also occurred with a relative high frequency at substations or switchboxes. Equipment Involved Unlike the reported fires, it was pos- sible to separate the fires which in- volved no equipment from those that were unspecified or unknown. Fires where no equipment was involved usually resulted from welding or cutting, where combusti- bles such as timber or grease and oil were ignited. Where equipment was in- volved, the most frequent type was mo- bile, as was the case with reported fires. Successful Extinguishing Agent Unlike the reported fires, the most frequently used agent here was one or more hand-portable dry chemical extin- guishers. Also, water and the local removal of electric power were used with relative frequency. SURFACE FIRES Ignition Source Welding, electrical, and engine heat were frequently cited as ignition sources. Welding sparks can ignite grease or oil that has accumulated on vehicles. Electrical fires are generally from wiring shorts that ignite diesel fuel or hydraulic fluid. Engine heat can ignite hydraulic fluid or diesel fuel from a ruptured line. Burning Substances As with reported fires, combustible liquids were most frequently involved. Location Most surface fires occurred along haul- age roads or in the pit area on mobile machinery. Equipment Involved An overwhelming majority of nonreport- able surface fires involved mobile ma- chinery such as haulage trucks, front-end loaders, and flatbed welding trucks. These findings are consistent with those from fires that were reported. Successful Extinguishing Agent Most of these fires were extinguished by hand-portable dry chemical extin- guishers and one automatic fire suppres- sion system. This finding is quite dif- ferent from that for reported fires where water is consistently the most success- ful extinguishing agent used. OPINION DATA FROM MINE SAFETY DIRECTORS When gathering data on rare events such as fires, it is often advisable to ask knowledgeable individuals to give hazard opinion data. Consequently, after the mine safety directors related their non- reportable fire data, they were asked to rank various ignition sources, burning substances, successful extinguishing 37 agents, and equipment on their relative frequencies of occurrence in nonreport- able fires. Because of the size of the opinion data sample, it is difficult to specify with any certainty the reliabil- ity. These data are presented as a sam- ple of the metal and nonmetal fire ex- perience of the group of mine safety personnel. UNDERGROUND MINE FIRES Table 42 contains ranked opinions of ignition sources, burning substances, and successful extinguishing agents for un- derground nonreportable fires. Each item is listed according to the average rank assigned to it by the safety direc- tors interviewed. The top three ignition sources were welding sparks or hot slag, electrical arcing, and friction. The top two burning substances were combustible liquids and insulation. The top two suc- cessful extinguishing agents were dry chemicals and water. SURFACE MINE FIRES Table 43 contains ignition sources, burning substances, and successful extin- guishing agents for surface nonreportable fires. Each item is listed according to the average rank assigned to it by the safety directors interviewed. The top three ignition sources were welding sparks or slag, engine heat, and elec- trical arcing. The top two burning sub- stances were combustible liquids and rubber. The top two successful extin- guishing agents again were dry chemicals and water. SUMMARY OF OPINION DATA After the safety directors were inter- viewed concerning nonreportable fires, a consensus of general opinions became ap- parent. The primary causes of nonreport- able underground fires were poor mainte- nance of electrical equipment and poor housekeeping, coupled with a lack of TABLE 42. - Average rankings of opinion data for ignition source, burning substance, and successful extinguishing agent, underground fires Rank Ignition source Rank Burning substance Rank Extinguishing agent 1... Welding sparks or 1... Combustible liquids. 1... Dry chemical. slag. 2... Wiring insulation. 2... Water. 2... Electrical. 3... Rubber (hose or 3... Other. 3... Friction. belt). 4... Engine heat. 4... Timber, lagging, 5... Spontaneous etc. combustion. 5... Other. 6... Other. TABLE 43. - Average rankings of opinion data for ignition source, burning substance, and successful extinguishing agent, surface fires Rank Ignition source Rank Burning substance Rank Extinguishing agent 1... Welding sparks or 1... Combustible liquids. 1... Dry chemical. slag. 2... Rubber (hose or 2... Water. 2... Engine heat. belt). 3... Other. 3... Electrical. 3... Insulation. 4... Spontaneous 4... Other. combustion. 5... Timber, lagging, 5... Other. etc. 38 caution on the part of welders when work- ing near combustibles. Welding on under- ground mining machinery frequently in- volves the spot ignition of combustibles that accumulate on this equipment. The primary causes of nonreportable surface fires were poor equipment design, poor maintenance, and poor housekeeping. The routing of fluid lines on surface mining equipment was frequently cited as con- tributing to an increased fire hazard. Several safety directors mentioned ef- forts undertaken at their mines to re- route or shield these lines from the ig- nition sources of electrical arcing and engine heat. Leaks of hydraulic fluid, oil, and other lubricants frequently col- lect in hard-to-reach locations. These substances eventually are ignited by a cutting torch, electrical arc, or engine heat. SUMMARY Major findings of the study appear in tables 44 and 45. The most frequent ignition sources, burning substances, eqiupment types, locations, and success- ful extinguishing agents of reported and nonreportable fires are discussed below. IGNITION SOURCE The majority of underground mine fires, both reported and nonreportable, were electrical. Electrical equipment was al- so the primary cause of underground fires resulting in injuries during the period 1950-84. In recent times, however, en- gine heat has become the leading cause of fires resulting in injuries. Engine heat was the leading ignition source for re- ported surface fires, and welding for nonreportable surface fires. TABLE 44. - Major study findings of reported fires (Factors listed in sequence of significance) Category 1950-77 1978-84 Total UNDERGROUND Ignition source. . Electrical, welding. . Electrical, engine Electrical, welding, heat. engine heat. Burning substance Timber, insulation, Combustible liquids, Timber, combustible combustible liquids. timber, insulation. liquids, insulation. Haulageway-drif t , shaft-raise-winze. Haulageway-drif t, shaft-raise-winze. Haulageway-drif t, shaft-raise-winze. Equipment Mobile, electrical.. Mobile, electrical.. Mobile, electrical. involved. Successful extin- Water, dry chemical. Water, dry chemical. Water, dry chemical. guishing agent. SURFACE Ignition source. . Electrical, welding, Engine heat, weld- Engine heat, electri- engine heat. ing, electrical. cal, welding. Burning substance Combustible liquids, Combustible liquids, Combustible liquids, construction construction Construction material. material. materials. Surface building, surface. building. Equipment Mobile, electrical... Mobile, conveyor.... Mobile, conveyor, involved. electrical. Successful extin- Water, burned out.... Water, dry chemical. Water, burned out. guishing agent. 39 TABLE 45. - Major study findings of nonreportable fires (Factors listed in sequence of significance) Category Underground Surface NONREPORTABLE FIRES Combustible liquids, wiring insula- tion, timber. Mobile, electrical, maintenance-shop Dry chemical, cut off electrical power, water. Welding, electrical, engine heat. Combustibles liquids, insulation. Successful extinguishing agent. building. Mobile. Dry chemical. OPINION DATA Welding, engine heat. Combustible liquids, Combustible liquids, wiring insulation. rubber (hose or belt). Successful extinguishing agent. Dry chemical, water. BURNING SUBSTANCE The most frequent burning substance in reported underground fires was timber, followed by combustible liquids and in- sulation. In nonreportable underground fires, combustible liquids, wiring insu- lation, and timber were involved with about equal frequency. For reported sur- face fires, the most frequent burning substance was combustible liquids, fol- lowed by construction material. In non- reportable surface fires, combustible liquids were most frequently involved. LOCATION Reported underground fires occurred along haulageways or in drift entries where electrical and diesel equipment are concentrated. Nonreportable fires also occurred at these locations more fre- quently than at any other. Reported surface fires occurred primar- ily in mill buildings, and nonreportable surface fires occurred primarily on mo- bile equipment along haulage roads or in the pit area. In recent times, however, the reported surface fire locations were about evenly split between surface build- ing and surface area other than building. EQUIPMENT INVOLVED The equipment most frequently involved in reported and nonreportable underground and surface fires is the mobile type such as load-haul-dumps. These vehicle fires are more quickly detected and are extin- guished with hand-portable extinguishers since there is less structure to collect smoke or otherwise conceal the fire. SUCCESSFUL EXTINGUISHING AGENT The most frequently successful extin- guishing agent for reported fires was wa- ter. For nonreportable fires, dry chemi- cal hand-portable fire extinguishers were used most often. This Is consistent with the duration of reportable fires. The first attack on a fire is generally with a hand-portable extinguisher. If the at- tempt is successful, then the fire is most likely extinguished at the nonre- portable stage. If the fire has grown in size, or initial extinguishing attempts prove unsuccessful, then the fire will probably become reportable while water is brought to the area and applied to the fire. 40 CONCLUSIONS Fire incidence rates in both surface and underground mines are not declining. Despite the considerable efforts of mine safety personnel, regulatory action, and fire safety-related research, little progress toward reducing the incidence of fire in recent years (1978-84) is appar- ent. One possible explanation, which is supported to some extent by the data on ignition sources, burning substances, and equipment involved, is that fire hazards are changing as mining methods, mate- rials, and equipment evolve. As specific fire hazards are recognized and cor- rected, new mining technology introduces other hazards into the workplace. This explanation suggests that the present level of fire safety effort may not suc- ceed in reducing fire incidence rates, and that an accelerated pace of activity with particular focus on newly emerging mining technologies is required if inci- dence rates are to be reduced. Conclusions regarding the relative im- portance of a given fire hazard for one time period do not necessarily hold for subsequent periods, suggesting the value of regular updates to the fire incident data base. Timely collection, analysis, and publication of such data will help ensure that fire safety efforts will ad- dress the greatest needs. Finally, the depth and breadth of the data contained in this report is signifi- cant in itself. The level of detail pro- vided will enable users to concentrate their efforts on the research instead of on collecting data, thereby maximizing effectiveness. The relative hazardous- ness of various equipment and procedures has been presented in clear and concise fashion. The data were put on a floppy disk in the Lotus 1-2-3 format to facili- tate the analysis. Microdata are also available from the authors on hard copy. 41 MSHA fire reports for 1950 spection offices: Northeastern District Northeastern District Office Pittsburgh, PA 15213 Pittsburgh Subdistrict Office Pittsburgh, PA 15213 Albany Subdistrict Office Albany, NY 12201 Southeastern District Southeastern District Office Birmingham, AL 35209 Birmingham Subdistrict Office Birmingham, AL 35209 Knoxville Subdistrict Office Knoxville, TN 37902 North Central District North Central District Office Duluth, MN 55802 Duluth Subdistrict Office Duluth, MN 55802 Vincennes Subdistrict Office Vincennes, IN 47591 APPENDIX through 1977 were acquired from the following MSHA in- South Central District South Central District Office Dallas, XX 75209 Dallas Subdistrict Office Dallas, TX 75209 Rolla Subdistrict Office Rolla, MO 65401 Rocky Mountain District Rocky Mountain District Office Denver, CO 80225 Denver Subdistrict Office Denver, CO 80225 Salt Lake City Subdistrict Office Salt Lake City, UT 84115 Western District Western District Office Alameda, CA 94501 Bellevue Subdistrict Office Bellevue, WA 98004 Phoenix Subdistrict Office Phoenix, AZ 85004 INT.-BU.0F MINES,PGH.,PA. 28451 U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE: 1987 - 605-017/60007 W84 U.S. Department of the Interior Bureau of Mines— Prod, end Dtstr. 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