Glass HBiTi Book- •7 ."RCoG NEW FALLACIES OF MIDAS NEW FALLACIES OF MIDAS ^ SVKVEY OF INDUSTRIAL ^ND ECONOMIC ^PROBLEMS BY CYRIL E. ROBINSON. With an Introduction by SIR GEORGE PAISH. NEW YORK ROBERT M. McBRIDE & COMPANY 1919. / ^^^"^ <» ^^ PREFACE Books on Political Economy increase and multiply. They are a natural by-product of the war, which has caused all classes to take stock afresh of their economic destiny ; nor is it much wonder, when all is topsy-turvy, that a new diagnosis should be drawn and a new remedy prescribed by half-a-dozen authors in each week. But, while the demand for economic literature is great, and the supply keeps pace with the demand, there still perhaps lacks something. Amid all the maze of argument and theory, the puzzled layman needs some guide : yet there is no one book to give him precisely what he wants. We have excellent manuals, wide in scope, strict in method, scientific in approach : but too often the manual makes dull reading ; its language is academic, overweighted with a jargon of technicalities and abstract definition. It may be true that Socialism is " a coercive co-opera- tion, not merely for undertakings of a monopolisitic nature, but for all important productive enterprises " ; but, however true the words, the mind is apt to falter at such formal logic ; and the very need for a thorough exposition, which will press analysis to its extreme, must yet serve to blunt the writer's own enthusiasm and leave the reader cold. The manual, with the best will in the world, can seldom touch the matter into life. PREFACE There is another class of book, aiming at a different goal — I mean the monograph which isolates some single phase or aspect of the science, or the pamphlet written to propagate some theorist's special creed. Such, for instance, is Mr. Ramsay Macdonald's ** Socialism " ; and such again is Mr. Belloc's " Servile State." From the manual's inevitable failing these are free. Tlicy must, at all costs, interest and con- vince : it is the first condition of success. Yet for that very reason these too will often fail to satisfy the reader. They preach indeed : but are at little pains to criticise the sermon. They assume the best or prophesy the worst : yet leave the reverse of the picture too much dark. Such books, too, are of their very nature selective and incomplete : behind their argu- ments lie many issues boldly ignored and assumptions unexplained. They have not space for everything : the problems of production, the ethics of exchange, the safe limits of monopoly, and the natural interaction of supply upon demand, how wealth is to be got before it can be divided, or how divided under other rival schemes — all this can be but lightly touched, if touched at all : yet all this the interested reader must, as he thinks things out, desire to know. There is a gap in the evidence ; his judgment of the case is insecure ; and he will be thrown back upon the manual after all. To imitate the virtues and escape the short-comings of both types is the chief effort of this book. It makes no pretence to cover all the ground ; but it covers much. Theories are not advanced uncritically : but each shall at least receive a favourable hearing, before it is rejected. Rather than leave the funda- PREFACE mental issues doubtful, I have begun at the beginning : and there can be no making matters clear without some monotony of formal spade-work and abstract definition ; yet I have tried, so far as may be, to avoid the use of academic phrasing or mechanical expression. Nor have I wished to lose from sight those ethical and political values, which, though they are not strictly economic, were far too often neglected by the early economists. I have tried to foresee the conditions upon which man's happiness must be built, as Well as the methods whereby his wealth is to be got. To be content with cold analysis is to-day impossible : the problems are too vital : and, though all prophecy is dangerous, we must needs anticipate some practical solution. We must confront the future in the strength of some reasoned faith. Without the advice and guidance of Sir George Paish^ the undertaking must have been far less ambitious. His kindness in writing the introductory chapter has placed me very much in debt : but it is perhaps the least of the debts I owe him. My special thanks are also due to Mr. A, E. Zimmern for his helpful revision of the chapters. CONTENTS CHAPTER PAGE Introduction by Sir George Paish. - - xi PART I. I. THE FALLACY OF MIDAS - - - - 7 II. WORK 12 III. CAPITAL - 24 IV. THE PARADOX OF PROGRESS - - - 32 V. LUXURIES AND NECESSITIES - ' " 39 VI. EXTRAVAGANCE AND WASTE - - . 47 VII. UTOPIA - - 59 PART II. VIII. VALUE 79 IX. MONOPOLY ------ 90 X. THE POWER OF CAPITAL - - - 102 XI. THE PROTEST OF RUSKIN - - - II6 XII. THE RISE OF LABOUR . - - - I32 XIII. SOCIALISM ' - 156 XIV. FALSE SOCIALISM OR THE SERVILE STATE - 183 XV. SYNDICALISM OLD AND NEW - - - 197 XVI. THE RIGHTS OF THE INDIVIDUAL - - 210 XVII. COMPROMISE - 234 XVIII. THE NEW FALLACIES OF MIDAS - - 268 INTRODUCTION BY SIR GEORGE PAISH Of the many objects for which this war was begun it is now beyond question that the main one was the pre- servation of mihtary autocracy in Germany and in Austria. It is now equally evident that of the many consequences of the war the chief one will be the emancipation of democracy, not merely in Germany, in Austria and in Russia, but throughout the world. In Russia, where events have moved faster than elsewhere, revolution is already well on its way to its final stages. It is true that so far a bureaucratic autocracy appears to have been merely replaced by an oligarchy. Nevertheless the eventual introduction of democratic government is not much in doubt, and it is probable that the people of Russia will for the future control their own destinies by means of small republics for local matters and of a federal republic for national and international affairs. In the Austrian Empire revolution and dissolution have taken place already, and probably somewhat similar conditions to those prevailing in Russia will be witnessed both in Austria and in Hungary in the early future. Small local republics are likely to be formed, and eventually some kind of federal republic, including the greater part of the existing Austrian Empire together with some of the Balkan States, will probably emerge from the chaos. In Germany the revolutionary movement towards democracy is causing great uneasiness to the enemy government, and there are strong reasons for expecting that before many days pass by the militarist autocracy xi. xii. INTRODUCTION of Germany will be forced, to yield place to a democratic republic. The nemesis now falling upon the rulers of Germany and of Austria, as well as upon the classes that have supported autocratic and military domination, will be an object lesson which cannot fail to be understood by the rest of the world, and even in countries already democratic a greatly increased measure of democratic freedom and of democratic power must result from the revolutions now casting their shadows in front of them over the enemy states. Already some uneasiness exists as to the effect upon progress and upon civilisation of the emancipation of the peoples from the domination of one kind or another to which they have hitherto been subjected in greater or in lesser degree in all countries. At such a moment it is essential for everyone to recognise that the increased freedom of democracy in the western world in modern times has brought with it not injury but advantage to the general well-being of the world, and that in democratic countries law' is more universally respected and more equitably administered than in autocratic states, while, on the whole, order is better maintained. In periods of transition disorder cannot always be avoided, but as soon as public opinion becomes con- vinced about the right course to pursue, and democracies mobilise their power, there is far less danger of disturb- ance and of any breach of law in the democratic countries than in autocratic states, where the interests of the people and of their rulers are divergent. There- for, after the period of transition that must inevitably follow upon the conclusion of peace, in which INTRODUCTION xiii. the autocratic nations will become democratic and the democratic nations more democratic, there will be less danger of disorder throughout the world than there has been hitherto. For all practical purposes the danger of democratic nations acting unjustly or failing to maintain order and respect for law or refusing to honour their obligations may be completely dis- regarded. The rise of democracy means a high standard of honour, the recognition of justice, the observance of law and greater security, both for life and for property. At no time did the credit of Republican France stand higher than it did before the war ; at no time has France been more highly respected or more fully trusted than at the present moment, and no one doubts her intention or her ability to honour the great debt she has incurred in waging this life and death struggle for democracy againsi autocracy, or to act justly, indeed, mercifully, not only towards all sections of her own people, but towards all other nations which desire and intend to live in harmony and in friendship with her, and to observe those principles of freedom, equality and brotherhood which are the glory of modern France. Again, democratic America, which is the greatest marvel of modern times, reveals clearly the increasingly high standards of conduct demanded by democracies. The credit of no country was higher than that of America before the war, or will be higher after the war, and in no country was education more highly appre- ciated, was there a greater love of justice, greater sympathy for the oppressed and the unfortunate, greater equality of opportunity and of self-realisation, a higher measure of individual happiness, or a greater xiv. INTRODUCTION rate of improvement in individual and national well- being. It is unnecessary to speak of the place that demo- cratic Britain holds in the family of nations. It is sufficient to point to the policy which the British nation has pursued since the passage of the great Reform Bill, of promoting her own well-being by contributing to the well-being of all the world, and to the manner in which her sons and her daughters wherever they were placed, at home, in the colonies, and abroad, voluntarily came forward to defend the principles of freedom and of justice, which are dearer to them than life itself, by placing all that was theirs at the service of democracy in the struggle in which it is still engaged. Thus not theory but experience of democracy proves that the democratic spirit is not destructive, but con- structive, not law breaking but law abiding, not less but more just than the spirit of autocracy, not wishful to dominate but to give freedom, not less but more desirous of creating high standards of honour and of duty. And with this experience upon which to base our judgment are there any reasonable grounds for anxiety as to the future when the democratic spirit shall be more widely prevalent ? Rather are there not greater and stronger reasons for hopefulness as to what the future has in store for all nations, and more es- pecially for the nations in which the democratic spirit reaches its highest development ? In the turmoil and uncertainties of the present situation, when society, more particularly in its political and economic aspects, is in process of complete reconstruction, not merely in one or two countries but in all countries, it is of the highest importance to INTRODUCTION xv. observe certain elementary and primary truths, in order that the new structure may be erected upon such soHd foundations, and so strongly built, as to leave no doubt as to its permanence, its utility and its com- prehensiveness. The first of these truths is that the structure of society in each nation as well as of the whole world, whether upon its political side or its economic, or its social, or its religious, must be based upon the character of each nation, for just as character inevitably governs the aspirations, the activities, and the attainments of individuals, in the same manner national character must govern the structure of nations. The second of these truths is that the structure of society in each nation cannot be mucii in advance of the mental and spiritual development of the average individual, and that no nation can rise to the level of its possibilities until the individual is both educated and enlightened. The third is that the economic possibilities of a nation in these days of international intercourse and of inter- national transit are governed not so much by its own natural resources as by the mentality and character of its people. And the last is that in a world of nations firmly bound together by democratic principle every nation would not only have world wide markets for its productions, but would be assisted to produce all that its natural resources permit it to produce or the intelligence and skill of its peoples render it capable of manufacturing. The limits hitherto placed both upon consuming power and upon production would therefore disappear, and the measure of well-being in each nation would accord xvi. INTRODUCTION with its intelligence, its knowledge and its energy. The possibilities of national and of international well- being would thus be limitless. By observing these fundamental matters it is not difficult to discover the course which the various nations are likely to pursue in a democratic world in which both individuals and nations will enjoy much greater freedom for their activities than hitherto, sub- ject only to the principles of friendship and of co-oper- tion which will cause them to seek to prom^ote their own well-being by contributing to the general welfare instead of seeking advantage at the expense of others. Thus the great mass of the Russian people are imaginative, idealistic, and benevolent, but at present they are unedncated, ill-informed and therefore unpractical. At the same time the natural riches of Russia are unlimited, and when the Russian people are educated, better informed and more practical Russia is likely to become one of the richest, if not the richest nation in the world, not even excepting the United States. The present character of the Russian people and their present development make them specially fitted for agricultural pursuits, but render them unsuitable for occupations demanding a high measure of concentra- tion and of business capacity. Their childlikeness and lack of knowledge render them incapable of initiative and of independent judgment, and conse- quently they are accustomed to communal co-operation and to state assistance and control. In this mental condition the freedom they will now enj oy will doubt- less cause them to make communal production and trading still more comprehensive. Further, with the INTRODUCTION xvii. disappearance of the nobles they will probably demand a greater measure of assistance from the State in obtaining the additional machinery they will need to expand their productions, as well as in the work of transporting their produce at home and abroad. The economic system of Russia for some time to come must necessarily be a combination of Communism and of State Socialism. In Germany and Austria also the environment in which the great mass of the people have hitherto been placed renders them quite incapable of thinking for themselves, and inasmuch as everyone has so long been accustomed to rely upon the State in all matters, the German as well as the other peoples of the two countries, even when they completely control and are responsible for their own governments, will still necess- arily continue to need the help of the State. Hence, for a time at any rate, any government that may be set up, whether it be a limited monarchy, or as seems most probable, a republic, will be compelled by force of circumstances to pursue a policy of State Socialism of the purest description. On the other hand the French people are accustomed to individual thought and initiative, and desire great individual freedom, not only in agriculture but in industry. Consequently, there is a general disposition shown by workmen to adopt co-operative methods of manufacture rather than to continue to be employed by individual capitalists. This disposition is due to their desire for a voice in controlling their own lives, as well as to their wish to participate in greater measure in the profits of industry. The character of the French people thus points to an individualistic economic policy, xviii. INTRODUCTION in so far as it is of advantage to the average citizen, and to what is known as SyndicaHsm, or Guild Socialism, when industries must be carried on by large numbers of persons working in co-operation. In brief, whereas in Russia, Germany and Austria, the people will gain a much larger measure of freedom by setting up democratic governments and imposing upon them still more comprehensive duties than were performed, even by the autocratic governments they will supersede, in France a greater measure of indi- vidual responsibility for the great mass of the people in the conduct of industry, will carry the nation along the path leading to individual liberty. In the United States, the workers generally are in favour of individualistic effort, but are opposed to the control of industries by a few persons of great wealth and of great power. Therefore, in America as in France, the character of the nation and the course of events seem to lead to the control of industry by the workers. Hitherto labour, both manual and pro- fessional, has been hired by capital at the remunera- tive rates current in that country. In the future it is likely that manual labour, allied with professional skill, will hire capital at the remunerative rates which capital in such a wealthy country as America will always be able to command. The application of this principle is already very far advanced in such undertakings as railways, where public opinion is averse to the payment of higher dividends than needed to permit new capital to be raised as required, where policy is controlled by the staff, and where the rate of remuneration to the employees is as high as the public considers just or is willing to approve. INTRODUCTION xix. The British people are essentially independent and individualistic, they hate authority and dislike control, unless self-created and self-imposed. Their most pronounced characteristic, and their greatest asset, is a fund of what is generally described as common sense and a sense of proportion, and they prefer to judge each question on its merits, when they are compelled by force of circumstances to come to a decision, rather than allow their decision to be governed by theoretical considerations alone. When they have the choice of two policies they usually follow the one which promises to give the best results, however hazardous it may be, and are quick to follow a leader who shows boldness and enterprise, combined with practical wisdom. Their love of adventure has not only made them a sea-faring nation but has led them to take chances of all kinds. Hence they have been for many years and still are the most enterprising of all the nations. The activities of their bankers, manufacturers, merchants, shipowners, under-writers, contractors and producers generally, are world-wide, while their investors are interested in almost every great enterprise wherever it may be situated, from the North to the South Pole. In the work which these few notes will introduce to the reader Mr. Robinson gives a valuable, an instruc- tive and an impartial survey of the trend of economic thought and of economic policy in modern times, and in his concluding chapters he deals faithfully with the questions of Socialism, Syndicalism or Guild Socialism and Individualism. These chapters necessarily reflect anxiety as to the economic policy which this country may pursue when the spirit of democracy is as prevalent and as highly developed as it is likely to be after the war. XX. INTRODUCTION Analysis of the British character and disposition, however, should dispel any uneasiness or anxiety as to the course which the British nation will take when peace is restored. The qualities that have made the British nation what it is have not been destroyed by the war, rather have they become strengthened. To bear successfully and easily the strain of a great war in the manner the British people have borne it is the result not of the war but of the character the people possessed prior to the war and of the policy they have pursued during the last two generations, in which individual freedom, independence and responsibility have grown steadily greater. That democracy will be freer after the war is the strongest possible testimony to the soundness of the policy which democracy has pursued hitherto. The war has merely brought British democracy nearer the goal towards which it has been walking, with more or less consistency, for a very long time. What, then, is likely to be the economic policy of this country after the war, when democracy will have much greater power than it has had hitherto ? It is evident that democratic policy after the war will not differ in essentials from democratic policy prior to the war. It will be bolder, bigger and more con- fident, but much the same in essentials. For many years British democracy has endorsed the principle that the State should perform those functions it is specially fitted to perform, and which other organisa- tions could not accomplish or not accomplish so well. The State includes, of course, both the national and local authorities. The community in its corporate capacity has undertaken the work of maintaining the INTRODUCTION xxi. roads, of collecting and delivering letters, of producing and distributing gas, water and electricity, of pro- viding a telephone service, of educating the children, and of performing other duties which it could perform with great advantage. After the war the State will probably extend its activities to railway transporta- tion, which can be rendered much more useful and of much greater value by unification, to insurance of the working classes against all the misfortunes to which they are subjected, including unemployment assur- ance for all, as well as widowhood insurance, and to a number of other things which urgently need to be undertaken by the State. But these things will not be undertaken until the British people are convinced that such a course is in the general interest and the proposal to undertake them does not warrant uneasiness. Again, it is probable that the principle of co-opera- tion, which is really what is meant by Syndicalism and Guild Socialism, when the latter are shorn of their sinister attributes, will be extended from distribution, insurance, clubs and other ventures to production. If the extension of co-operation to production is successful as under present circumstances it is likely to be, the benefit to the nation will be very great, for then the workers will be their own masters, and the con- stantly arising friction between capital and labour will for ever disappear. But it is obvious that co-operative production can be introduced into very few industries, at any rate until a great deal of experience is gained of its working. Coal mining seems to be the one industry adapted to the new departure where the workers are anxious to try the experiment. Provided that the xxii. INTRODUCTION miners secure the capital to take over the mines, and do not attempt to obtain them by violence, nothing but good could arise from the mines passing into the possession of the workers themselves, who not only labour under such unfavourable conditions, but who daily expose their lives to unknown dangers in pursuing their calling. Of course, even if the miners wished to confiscate the mines, the British people would not sanction confiscation, as such a course is entirely contrary to the national character. The British people have never failed to pay handsomely for any property they desired to acquire for national or other purposes, and there is less likelihood than ever of their doing so in future. And after the industries which the State or companies of workmen are fitted to undertake have been acquired, there will still be ample room for all the private enter- prise that is available, especially having regard to the probability that the greater freedom of democracy will cause a still stronger effort to be made to raise the universal standard of comfort, that consequently demand will increase, and that production will be correspondingly stimulated. Thus the policy of the British nation in the future, as in the past, is likely to be a judicious combination of individualism, co-operation and socialism, with the probability that the effect of the combination, in view of the greater spirit of freedom and the greater know- ledge which all the world will enjoy, will be a much greater volume of production, accompanied by a much higher level of consumption. In brief the supremacy of democracy which will result from the destruction of autocratic militarism INTRODUCTION xxiii will not only render the peace of the world much more secure than hitherto, but as soon as the period of transition from war to peace, from autocracy to democracy, is passed through, it will bring to the world a degree of well-being that cannot be attained unless men and women labour in an atmosphere of liberty, with the energy of hope and the promptings of affection. George Paish. yth November, 19 18. Chapter I THE FALLACY OF MIDAS (i.) Once long ago there lived in Asia Minor, a king called Midas, who formed an economic theory, and this since he was a special favourite of the Immortals he was permitted to carry into practice. Like many other economic theories, it might have looked well enough on paper ; but in execution it was a terrible fiasco. According to the definition of wealth which this ingenious monarch had proposed, it was gold alone which counted, and according to that definition he saw himself a made man. For he prayed that everything might turn to gold under his touch and his prayer being granted, he was well on the way to become a millionaire (for a quite insignificant ex- penditure of trouble), when to his dismay he found himself on the border of starvation. Whatever he drank, were it wine or water, turned into liquid gold as it passed his lips ; if he tried to eat his teeth grated upon an uncompromising lump of metal. There was but one escape from his dilemma, and that was by a reversal of the god's decree ; and had it not been for the generosity of Olympus he would have died from want like any pauper. His whole hypothesis concerning wealth had broken down. Mankind is slow to learn whether by precept or example ; so the moral of Midas' misfortune was largely lost upon the world. Centuries passed, and in the course of history, his blunder was re- peated, this time in a more western land, and not 8 NEW FALLACIES OF MIDAS by a king alone, but by a king's whole people. When the voyages of Columbus and his successors revealed to their countrymen the fabulous resources of the new continent, the lust of gold caught them in its grip, and in the years that followed the more adventurous spirits among them were busy shipping gold across the sea to the treasuries of Spain. If gold was a true index of national prosperity then Spain was prosperous ; her future semed assured. Yet at this very moment her decline set in ; and not all her hoarded wealth was sufficient to arrest the down- ward movement. Were the England of to-morrow to lose her maritime ascendency, or were she by political blundering to alienate her great dominions, she would yet retain some measure of her prosperity and im- portance so long as her mines, her cotton mills and her hard ware factories remained intact. Spain had no such resources on which to draw ; and swiftly enough she sank from her high estate into penurious degrada- tion. She had built her hopes and spent her energies upon a form of wealth which cannot feed the hungry mouth, or clothe the naked body, a form of wealth which, of its very nature, can never make a people strong or wise or happy. We to-day are little likely to fall victims to the illusion which cheated Midas and ruined Spain. During these last years of war we have learnt to dispense with a gold currency ; our daily business has been conducted with the aid of flimsy fragments of in- diiferent paper ; and the veriest fool is now aware that gold is no more than a convenient medium of exchange. We may believe financiers when they tell us that gold provides a "permanent standard of values"; but we trouble our heads very little about such things so long as the Government printing press is working and public confidence is sustained. The figures of great loans have taught us to think in ciphers and not THE FALLACY OF MIDAS 9 in coins ; we begin to realise something of the elements of world finance, and the mysterious powers of credit. Nobody now would gauge our national prosperity by counting the bullion stored up in the national banks. And if we cannot define precisely what we mean by wealth, we can at least quote trade statistics, and strike a balance between the total values of exported and imported goods. Yet sooner or later (if we are to think at all about such things), we must face the question " What is wealth ? " and answer it if we can. For the real cause of Midas' fiasco and Spain's disaster lay not so much in their hurry to be rich, as in the mistaken answer which they gave to this perplexing question. We all need wealth and we spend the greater part of our waking hours in the endeavour to obtain it, but what precisely is this wealth we are seeking we seldom trouble to enquire ; and most of us would find it hard indeed to give a satisfactory answer. Midas said gold ; but repented at leisure. Others with higher wisdom might hazard a country house, a shooting moor, a well-filled stable ; but that would hardly meet the notions of a bibliophile or a native from Honolulu. Tastes differ ; and any attempt to pin all mankind to some such arbitrary choice, would leave half the world as miserable as Midas. So we had best seek to frame no concrete definition or we shall be caught in some fallacy every whit as blundering as his. None the less, whatever wealth may be, we are all agreed that wealth is what we need ; and so, I suppose, it would be true to say that wealth is that which satisfies our needs. Whatever ministers to our bodies' wants, gives pleasure to our senses, food for our minds, or comfort in our homes, all this is wealth ; not the outward signs of material well-being only, food and drink, houses and furniture, finery and trinkets : but no less the view of a mountain side seen 10 NEW I