•Jeff© 6 '' ^Cr T^^^^S" ^>t> & ^ & %, i 4 <6 vD, •bV v*Cr jy .vvLf* O v" ox* ' «^ 4? .••^'* ^ <)>^ ^ "^ 16 vr> * - o » A. - ..v. A v W ^ov* :£Uf^:* ''W *°* *°^ \ <> » e • • . ▼" '. '«wo* « ."--'-V V, SCALE. Under 2 inhab. to sq. mile. | | 7 2tO 6..." — " — "■•• lb=J ^ i8to 45.. ."...."...."... |§§| 45 to 90. . ."...•"•■••"••• mi 90 and over. . . " B«W ""A Cities over 8,ooo inhabitants in solid color in circles propor- tionate to population. v - / ■, From '• Apjdftons' Annual Cyclopaedia.' From "Amteton*" Annual Cyclopaedia." CHART II. - -r 8,000 inhabi in solid color in circles propo: tionate to population. Note,— Centre of popuiau _39 d.4m.Ss, N .,g.nl,3Qm . jos. \V PRINCIPLES POLITICAL ECONOMY, BY --7 JOHN STUART MILL. ABRIDGED, WITH CRITICAL, BIBLIOGRAPHICAL, AND EXPLANATORY NOTES, AND A SKETCH OF THE HISTORY OF POLITICAL ECONOMY, BY J. LAURENCE LAUGHLIN, Ph. D., ASSISTANT PROFESSOR OF POLITICAL ECONOMT IN HARVARD UNIVERSITY. A TEXT-BOOK FOR COLLEGES. NEW YORK: D. APPLETON AND COMPANY, 1, 8, and 5 BOND STP.EET. 1884. Copyeight, 1884, Bt D. APPLETON AND COMPANY. PEEFAOE. An experience of five years with Mr. Mill's treatise in the class-room convinced me, not only of the great useful- ness of what still remains one of the most lucid and system- atic books yet published which cover the whole range of the study, but I have also been convinced of the need of such additions as should give the results of later thinking, with- out militating against the general tenor of Mr. Mill's sys- tem ; of such illustrations as should fit it better for Ameri- can students, by turning their attention to the application of principles in the facts around us ; of a bibliography which should make it easier to get at the writers of other schools who offer opposing views on controverted questions ; and of some attempts to lighten those parts of his work in which Mr. Mill frightened away the reader by an appearance of too great abstractness, and to render them, if possible, more easy of comprehension to the student who first approaches Political Economy through this author. Believing, also, that the omission of much that should properly be classed under the head of Sociology, or Social Philosophy, would narrow the field to Political Economy alone, and aid, perhaps, in jy PREFACE. clearer ideas, I was led to abridge the two volumes into one, with, of course, the additional hope that the smaller book would tempt some readers who might hesitate to attack his larger work. In consonance with the above plan, I have abridged Mr. Mill's treatise, yet have always retained his own words ; although it should be said that they are not always his consecutive words. Everything in the larger type on the page is taken literally from Mr. Mill, and, whenever it has been necessary to use a word to complete the sense, it has been always inserted in square brackets. All additional matter added by me has been printed in a smaller but dis- tinctive type. The reader can see at a glance which part of the page is Mr. Mill's and which my own. It has seemed necessary to make the most additions to the original treatise under the subjects of the Wages Ques- tion : of "Wages of Superintendence ; of Socialism ; of Cost of Production; of Bimetallism ; of the Paper Money ex- periments in this country ; of International Yalues ; of the Future of the Laboring-Classes (in which the chapter was entirely rewritten) ; and of Protection. The treatment of Land Tenures has not been entirely omitted, but it does not appear as a separate subject, because it has at present less value as an elementary study for American students. The chapters on Land Tenures, the English currency discussion, and much of Book Y, on the Influence of Government, have been simply omitted. In one case I have changed the order of the chapters, by inserting Chap. XY of Book III, treating of a standard of value, under the chapter treating of money and its functions. In other respects, the same order has been followed as in the original work. Wherever it has seemed possible, American illustrations have been inserted instead of English or Continental ones. PREFACE. v To interest the reader in home problems, twenty-four charts have been scattered throughout the volume, which bear upon our own conditions, with the expectation, also, that the differ- ent methods of graphic representation here presented would lead students to apply them to other questions. They are mainly such as I have employed in my class-room. The use and preparation of such charts ought to be encouraged. The earlier pages of the volume have been given up to a " Sketch of the History of Political Economy," which aims to give the story of how we have arrived at our present knowledge of economic laws. The student who has completed Mill will then have a very considerable bibliography of the various schools and writers from which to select further reading, and to select this reading so that it may not fall wholly within the range of one class of writers. But, for the time that Mill is being first studied, I have added a list of the most important books for consultation. I have also collected, in Appendix I, some brief bibliographies on the Tariff, on Bimetallism, and on American Shipping, which may be of use to those who may not have the means of inquiring for authorities, and in Appendix II a number of questions and problems for the teacher's use. In some cases I have omitted Mr. Mill's statement en- tirely, and put in its stead a simpler form of the same expo- sition which I believed would be more easily grasped by a student. Of such cases, the argument to show that De- mand for Commodities is not Demand for Labor, the Doc- trine of International Yalues, and the Effect of the Prog- ress of Society on wages, profits, and rent, are examples. Whether I have succeeded or not, must be left for the ex- perience of the teacher to determine. Many small figures and diagrams have been used throughout the text, in order B yj PREFACE. to suggest the concrete means of getting a clear grasp of a principle. In conclusion, I wish to acknowledge my indebtedness to several friends for assistance in the preparation of this volume, among whom are Professor Charles F. Dunbar, Dr. F. "W. Taussig, Dr. A. B. Hart, and Mr. Edward Atkinson. J. Laurence LAUGHLm. Harvard University, Cambridge, Massachusetts, September, 1884- CONTENTS. PAGE Sketch of the IIistory of Political Economy 1 Books for Consultation 43 Preliminary Remarks 47 BOOK I. PRODUCTION. CnAPTEE I. — Of the Requisites of Production. § 1. Requisites of production, what 63 § 2. Of labor as an agent of production 55 § 3. Of capital as a requisite of production 57 Ciiapter II. — Of Unproductive Labor. § I. Definition of productive and unproductive labor . . . . .60 § 2. Productive and Unproductive Consumption 61 § 3. Distinction between labor for the supply of Productive Consumption and labor for the supply of Unproductive Consumption . . .62 Ciiaptek 111. — Of Capital. § 1. Capital is wealth appropriated to reproductive employment . . .65 § 2. More capital devoted to production than actually employed in it . . 68 § 3. Examination of cases illustrative of the idea of capital . . .70 Chapter IV. — Fundamental Propositions respecting Capital. § 1. Industry is limited by capital 74 § 2. Increase of capital gives increasad employment to labor, without assign- able bounds 75 viii CONTENTS. PAGE § 3. Capital is the result of saving, and all Capital is consumed . . 79 § 4. Capital is kept up by perpetual reproduction, as shown by the recovery of countries from devastation 81 § 5. Effects of defraying government expenditure by loans . . .83 § 6. Demand for commodities is not demand for labor . . . .87 Chapter V. — Of Circulating and Fixed Capital. § 1. Fixed and Circulating Capital, what 93 § 2. Increase of fixed capital, when, at the Expense of Cir culating, might be detrimental to the laborers . . . . . . . .95 § 3. — this seldom, if ever, occurs 97 Chapter VI. — Of Causes affecting the Efficiency of Production. § 1. General causes of superior productiveness 99 § 2. Combination and division of labor increase productiveness . . . 101 § 3. Advantages of division of labor , 104 § 4. Production on a large and production on a small scale . . . 108 Chapter VII. — Of the Law of the Increase of Labor. § 1. The law of the increase of production depends on those of three ele- ments — Labor, Capital, and Land 112 § 2. The Law of Population 112 § 3. By what checks the increase of population is practically limited . .115 Chapter VIII. — Of the Law of the Increase of Capital. § 1. Means for saving in the surplus above necessaries .... 120 § 2. Motive for saving in the strength of the effective desire of accumula- tion 122 § 3. Examples of deficiency in the strength of this desire .... 124 § 4. Examples of excess in this desire 127 Chapter IX. — Of the Law of the Increase of Production from Land. § 1. The law of production from the soil, a law of diminishing return in proportion to the increased application of labor and capital . .130 § 2. Antagonist principle to the law of diminishing return ; the progress of improvements in production 134 §3. — in railways 136 § 4. — in manufactures . 138 § 5. Law holds true of mining 142 CONTEXTS. IX Chapter X. — Consequences of the Foregoing Laws. PAGE § 1. Remedies for weakness of the principle of accumulation . . . 144 § 2. Even where the desire to accumulate is strong, population must be kept within the limits of production from land .... 145 § 3. Necessity of restraining population not superseded by free trade in food 148 § 4. — nor by emigration 150 BOOK II. DISTRIBUTION. * Ciiapteb I. — Of Property. § 1. Individual Property and its opponents 155 § 2. The case for Communism against private property presented . . 158 § 3. The Socialists who appeal to state-help 160 §4. Of various minor schemes, Communistic and Socialistic . . .165 § 5. The Socialist objections to the present order of Society examined . 168 §6. Property in land different from property in movables . . . . 171 Chapter II. — Of Wages. § 1. Of Competition and Custom . . 175 § 2. The Wages-fund, and the objections to it considered . . . .177 § 3. Examination of some popular opinions respecting wages . . . 183 § 4. Certain rare circumstances excepted, high wages imply restraints on population 188 § 5. Due restriction of population the only safeguard of a laboring-class . 190 v Chapter III. — Of Remedies for Low Wages. § 1. A legal or customary minimum of wages, with a guarantee of employ- ment 193 § 2. — would require as a condition legal measures for repression of popu- lation 196 § 3. Allowances in aid of wages and the standard of living . . . 198 § 4. Grounds for expecting improvement in public opinion on the subject of population 200 § 5. Twofold means of elevating the habits of the laboring-people ; by edu- cation, and by foreign and home colonization 202 CONTENTS. Chapter IV. — Of the Differences of Wages in Different Employments. PAGE § 1. Differences of wages arising from different degrees of attractiveness in different employments 205 § 2. Differences arising from natural monopolies 208 § 3. Effect on Wages of the competition of persons having other means of support 210 § 4. Wages of women, why lower than those of men ..... 213 § 5. Differences of wages arising from laws, combinations, or customs . 214 Chaptek V. — Of Profits. § 1. Profits include interest and risk ; but, correctly speaking, does not in- clude wages of superintendence 216 § 2. The minimum of profits ; what produces variations is the amount of profits 218 § 3. General tendency of profits to an equality 220 §4. The cause of the existence of any profit; the advances of capitalists consist of wages of labor 224 § 5. The rate of profit depends on the Cost of Labor 226 Chaptek YI— Of Bent. § 1. Rent the effect of a natural monopoly 232 § 2. No land can pay rent except land of such quality or situation as exists in less quantity than the demand 233 § 3. The rent of land is the excess of its return above the return to the worst land in cultivation 235 § 4. — or to the capital employed in the least advantageous circumstances. 236 § 5. Opposing views to the law of rent . 240 § 6. Rent does not enter into the cost of production of agricultural produce. 244 BOOK III. EXCHANGE. Chapter I. — Of Value and the Laws of Value. § 1. Definitions of Value in Use, Exchange Value, and Price . . . 249 § 2. Conditions of Value : Utility, Difficulty of Attainment, and Transfera- bleness 252 CONTEXTS. x i PAGE § 3. Commodities limited in quantity governed by the law of Demand and Supply : general working of this law ...... 254 § 4. Miscellaneous cases falling under this law ...... 257 § 5. Commodities which are susceptible of indefinite multiplication without increase of cost. Law of their Value Cost of Production . . 259 § 6. The Value of these commodities conform, in the long run, to their Cost of Production through the operation of Demand and Supply . 261 Chapter II. — Ultimate Analysis of Cost of Production. § 1. Of Labor, the principal element in Cost of Production . . . 264 § 2. Wages affect values, only if different in different employments ; " non- competing groups " 266 § 3. Profits an element in Cost of Production 267 § 4. Cost of Production properly represented by sacrifice, or cost, to the laborer as well as to the capitalist ; the relation of this conception to Cost of Labor 267 § 5. When profits vary from employment to employment, or are spread over unequal lengths of time, they affect values accordingly . . 272 § 6. Occasional elements in Cost of Production ; taxes and ground-rent . 275 Chapter III. — Of Rent, in its Relation to Value. § 1. Commodities which are susceptible of indefinite multiplication, but not without increase of cost. Law of their Value, Cost of Production in the most unfavorable existing circumstances ..... 277 § 2. Such commodities, when produced in circumstances more favorable, yield a rent equal to the difference of cost 279 § 3. Rent of mines and fisheries and ground-rent of buildings, and cases of gain analogous to rent 282 § 4. Resume of the laws of value of each cf the three classes of commodi- ties . . .285 Chapter IV. — Of Money. § 1. The three functions of Money — a Common Denominator cf Value, a Medium of Exchange, a " Standard of Value " 286 § 2. Gold and Silver, why fitted for those purposes 290 § 3. Money a mere contrivance for facilitating exchanges, which docs not affect the laws of value 292 v Chapter V. — Of the Value of Money, as dependent on Demand and Supply. § 1. Value of Money, an ambiguous expression 2P4 § 2. The Value of Money depends, ceteris paribus, on its quantity . . 204 xu CONTENTS. PAGE § 3. — together with the rapidity of circulation 297 § 4. Explanations and limitations of this principle . . • . . 299 Chaptee VI. — Of the Value of Money, as dependent on Cost of Production. § 1. The value of money, in a state of freedom, conforms to the value of the bullion contained in it 302 g 2. — which is determined by the cost of production .... 303 § 3. This law, how related to the principle laid down in the preceding chapter 309 Chapter VII. — Of a Double Standard, and Subsidiary Coins. § 1. Objections to a double standard 312 § 2. The use of the two metals as money, and the management of Subsidi- ary Coins 315 § 3. The experience of the United States with a double standard from 1*792 to 1883 . .316 Chaptee VIII. — Of Credit, as a Substitute for Money. § 1. Credit not a creation but a transfer of the means of production . .325 § 2. In what manner it assists production . 325 § 3. Function of credit in economizing the use of money .... 327 § 4. Bills of Exchange 328 § 5. Promissory notes 331 § 6. Deposits and checks 332 Chaptee IX. — Influence of Credit on Prices. § 1. What acts on prices is Credit, in whatever shape given . . . 335 § 2. Credit a purchasing power, similar to money 336 § 3. Great extensions and contractions of credit. Phenomena of a com- mercial crisis analyzed 337 § 4. Influence of the different forms of credit on prices .... 339 § 5. On what the use of credit depends 341 § 6. What is essential to the idea of money ? 342 Chaptee X. — Of an Inconvertible Paper Currency. § 1. What determines the value of an inconvertible paper money ? . . 344 § 2. If regulated by the price of bullion, an inconvertible currency might be safe, but not expedient 350 CONTENTS. xiii PAGE § 3. Examination of the doctrine that an inconvertible currency is safe, if representing aciual property 352 §4. Experiments with paper money in the United States . . . .355 § 5. Examination of the gain arising from the increase and issue of paper currency 360 § 6. Resume of the subject of money 363 Chapter XL — Of Excess of Supply. § 1. The theory of a general over-supply of commodities stated . . . 365 § 2. The supply of commodities in general can not exceed the power of purchase 366 § 3. There can never be a lack of demand arising from lack of desire to consume 367 §4. Origin and explanation of the notion of general over-supply . . 369 Chapter XII. — Of some Peculiar Cases of Value. § 1. Values of commodities which have a joint cost of production . . 372 § 2. Values of the different kinds of agricultural produce . • . .374 Chapter XIII. — Of International Trade. § 1. Cost of Production not a regulator of international values. Extension of the word " international " 377 § 2. Interchange of commodities between distant places determined by dif- ferences not In their absolute, but in their comparative, costs of production 380 § 3. The direct benefits of commerce consist in increased efficiency of the productive powers of the world 384 § 4. — not in a vent for exports, nor in the gains of merchants . . 386 § 5. Indirect benefits of commerce, economical and moral ; still greater than the direct 388 Chapter XIV. — Of International Values. § 1. The values of imported commodities depend on the terms of interna- tional interchange 391 § 2. The values of foreign commodities depend, not upon Cost of Produc- tion, but upon Reciprocal Demand and Supply .... 392 § 3. — as illustrated by trade in cloth and linen between England and Ger- many 396 § 4. The conclusion stated in the Equation of International Demand . . 398 § 5. The cost to a country of its imports depends not only on the ratio of exchange, but on the efficiency of its labor 402 X JV CONTENTS. Chapter XV. — Of Money considered as an Imported Commodity, PAGE 1. Money imported in two modes ; as a commodity, and as a medium of exchange 404 2. As a commodity, it obeys the same laws of value as other imported commodities 405 Chapter XVI. — Of the Foreign Exchanges. § 1. Money passes from country to country as a medium of exchange, through the exchanges 410 § 2. Distinction between variations in the exchanges which are self-adjust- ing and those which can only be rectified through prices . . .415 Chapter XVII. — Of the Distribution of the Precious Metals through the Commercial World. § 1. The substitution of money for barter makes no difference in experts and imports, nor in the law of international values . . . .418 § 2. The preceding theorem further illustrated 422 § 3. The precious metals, as money, are of the same value, and distribute themselves according to the same law, with the precious metals as a commodity 426 § 4. International payments entering into the " financial account " . . 427 Chapter XVIII. — Influence of the Currency on the Exchanges and on Foreign Trade. § 1. Variations in the exchange, which originate in the currency . . 430 "\ § 2. Effect of a sudden increase of a metallic currency, or of the sudden ^ creation of bank-notes or other substitutes for money . . .431 "*■ § 3. Effect of the increase of an inconvertible paper currency. Real and nominal exchange .......... 436 Chapter XIX. — Of the Rate of Interest. § 1. The rate of interest depends on the demand and supply of loans . . 440 § 2. Circumstances which determine the permanent demand and supply of loans 441 § 3. Circumstances which determine the fluctuations 444 § 4. The rate of interest not really connected with the value of money, but often confounded with it 447 § 5. The rate of interest determines the price of land and of securities . 448 CONTENTS. XV / Chaptee XX. — Of the Competition of Different Countries in the same Market. PAGE § 1. Causes which enable one country to undersell another . . . . 450 § 2. High wages do not prevent one country from underselling another . 452 § 3. Low wages enable a country to undersell another, when peculiar to certain branches of industry 457 § 4. — but not when common to all . . . . . . . . 460 § 5. Low profits as affecting the carrying trade 463 Chapter XXI. — Of Distribution as affected by Exchange. § 1. Exchange and money make no difference in the law of wages . . 465 § 2. In the law of rent 468 § 3. — nor in the law of profits 469 BOOK IV. INFLUENCE OF THE PROGRESS OF SOCIETY ON PRODUCTION AND DIS- TRIBUTION. Chapter I. — hifluence of the Progress of Industry and Population on Values and Prices. § 1. Tendency of the progress of society toward increased command over the powers of nature ; increased security, and increased capacity of co-operation 475 § 2. Tendency to a decline of the value and cost of production of all com- modities 477 §3. — except the products of agriculture and mining, which have a tend- ency to rise 479 § 4. — that tendency from time to time counteracted by improvements in production 484 § 5. Effect of the progress of society in moderating fluctuations of value . 485 Chapter II. — Influence of the Progress of Industry and Population on Bents, Profits, and Wages. § 1. Characteristic features of industrial progress 489 § 2. First two cases, Population and Capital increasing, the arts of produc- tion stationary 488 XVI CONTENTS. PAGE § 3. The arts of production advancing, capital and population stationary . 491 § 4. Theoretical results, if all three elements progressive .... 492 § 5. Practical results 493 Chapter III. — Of the Tendency of Profits to a Minimum. § 1. Different theories as to the fall of profits 497 § 2. "What determines the minimum rate of profit ? 499 § 3. In old and opulent countries, profits habitually near to the minimum . 501 g 4, — prevented from reaching it by commercial revulsions . . . 504 g 5. — by improvements in production 506 § 6. — by the importation of cheap necessaries and implements . . 507 § 7. — by the emigration of capital 510 Chapter IV. — Consequences of the Tendency of Profits to a Minimum, and the Stationary State. § 1. Abstraction of capital not necessarily a national loss . . . .511 § 2. In opulent countries, the extension of machinery not detrimental but beneficial to laborers 512 § 3. Stationary state of wealth and population dreaded by some writers, but not in itself undesirable . , 514 Chapter V. — The Future of the Laboring- Class. § 1. The possibility of improvement while laborers remain merely receivers of wages . . . .518 § 2. — through small holdings, by which the landlord's gain is shared . 522 § 3. — through co-operation, by which the manager's wages are shared . 523 § 4. Distributive Co-operation 523 § 5. Productive Co-operation 526 § 6. Industrial Partnership 529 § 7. People's Banks ., . . . 532 BOOK V. THE INFLUENCE OF GOVERNMENT. Chapter I. — On the General Principles of Taxation. 1. Four fundamental rules of taxation 537 2. Grounds of the principle of Equality of Taxation .... 539 CONTENTS. XV11 PAGE § 3. Should the same percentage be levied on all amounts of income ? . 540 § 4. Should the same percentage be levied on perpetual and on termiuable incomes ? 544 § 5. The increase of the rent of land from natural causes a fit subject of peculiar taxation 546 § 6. Taxes falling on capital not necessarily objectionable .... 548 Chapter II. — Of Direct Taxes. § 1. Direct taxes either on § 2. Taxes on rent § 3. — on profits § 4. — on wages § 5. An Income-Tax 8 6. A House-Tax ncome or expenditure 550 550 551 553 555 557 Chapter III. — Of Taxes on Commodities, or Indirect Taxes. § 1. A tax on all commodities would fall on profits 562 § 2. Taxes on particular commodities fall on the consumer . . . 563 § 3. Peculiar effects of taxes on necessaries 565 § 4. — how modified by the tendency of profits to a minimum . . . 568 § 5. Effects of discriminating duties 570 § 6. Effects produced on international exchange by duties on exports and on imports 574 Chapter IV. — Comparison between Direct and Indirect Taxation. 1. Arguments for and against direct taxation . 2. What forms of indirect taxation are most eligible ? . 3. Practical rules for indirect taxation .... : 4. Taxation systems of the United States and other countries j 5. A resume of the general principles of taxation . 583 587 588 590 594 Chapter V. — Of a National Debt. § 1. Is it desirable to defray extraordinary public expenses by loans ? . 596 § 2. Not desirable to redeem a national debt by a general contribution . 599 § 3. In what cases desirable to maintain a surplus revenue for the redemp- tion of debt 601 xviii CONTENTS. Chapter VI. — Of an Interference of Government grounded on Erro- neous Theories. PAGE § 1 . The doctrine of Protection to Native Industry 605 § 2. — had its origin in the Mercantile System 60*7 § 3. — supported by pleas of national subsistence and national defense . 609 § 4. on the ground of encouraging young industries ; colonial policy. 612 § 5. on the ground of high wages 615 § 6. on the ground of creating a diversity of industries . . .621 § Y. on the ground that it lowers prices 625 Appendix I. Bibliography of United States Tariff History . . . . .631 Bimetallism . . 633 American Shipping . . . .... . . . 635 Appendix II. Examination Qaestions 637 INDEX OF OHAETS. PAGE I. Population in 1830 Frontispiece, II. Population in 1880 " III. Increase of Population in the United States and the Various Countries of Europe 114 IV. Movement of Population Center westward .... 116 V. Receipts, Expenses, and Profits of all Railways in the State of New York 137 VI. Miles of Railroad in Operation, and Miles added each Year, in the United States 139 VII. Proportion of Miles of Railroad to the Square Mile in the United States and Europe face 140 VIII. Density of Foreign-horn Population in the United States '■ 152 IX. Production of Gold and Silver 307 X. Relative Values of Gold and Silver 318 XI. Issues and Depreciation of Continental Currency . . 357 XII. Premium on Gold, 1862-1865 face 359 XIII. Exports and Imports of Merchandise, from and into the United States 401 XIV. Exports and Imports of Specie, from and into the United States 408 XV. Cotton Crops under Free and Slave Labor . . . . 459 XVI. Changes in the Rank of the States in respect of Population. 496 XVII. Grain Crops of the United States 509 XVIII. Relative Areas of States of the United States and the Coun- tries of Europe face 510 XIX. Comparison of Wages and Production in Cotton-Mills, 1830-1884 face 519 XX. Comparison of Spindles, Capital, etc., in Cotton-Mills, 1840- 1884 face 520 XXT. Public Revenue of the United States . " 590 XXII. Public Debt of the United States . . . . " 602 XXIII. Reduction of National Debts in Various Countries . . 604 XXIV. Occupations of People of the United States . . .619 A SKETCH HISTORY OF POLITICAL ECONOMY. General Bibliography. — There is no satisfactory general history of political economy in English. Blanqui's "Histoire de l'6conomie politique en Europe " (Paris, 1837) is disproportioned and superficial, and he labors under the disadvantage of not understanding the English school of economists. He studies to give the history of economic facts, rather than of economic laws. The hook has heen translated into Eng- lish (New York, 1880). Villeneiwe-Bargemont, in his " Histoire de l'economie politique " (Paris, 1841), aims to oppose a "Christian political economy" to the "English" political economy, and indulges in religious discussions. Travers Twiss, " View of the Progress of Political Economy in Eu- rope since the Sixteenth Century " (London, 1847), marked an advance by treating the subject in the last four centuries, and by separating the history of principles from the history of facts. It is brief, and only a sketch. Julius Kautz has published in German the best existing history, " Die geschichtliche Entwickelung der National-Oekonomie und ihrer Literatur" (Vienna, 1860). (See Cossa, "Guide to the Study of Po- litical Economy," page 80.) Cossa in his book has furnished a vast amount of information about writers, classified by epochs and countries, and a valuable discussion of the divisions of political economy by vari- ous writers, and its relation to other sciences. It is a very desirable little hand-book. McCulloch, in his "Introduction to the Wealth of Nations," gives a brief sketch of the growth of economic doctrine. The editor begs to acknowledge his great indebtedness for information to his colleague, Professor Charles F. Dunbar, of Harvard University. Systematic study for an understanding of the laws of political economy is to be found no farther back than the l 2 A SKETCH OF THE HISTORY OF POLITICAL ECONOMY. sixteenth century. The history of political economy is not the history of economic institutions, any more than the his- tory of mathematics is the history of every object possessing length, breadth, and thickness. Economic history is the story of the gradual evolution in the thought of men of an understanding of the laws which to-day constitute the science we are studying. It is essentially modern. 1 Aristotle 2 and Xenophon had some comprehension of the theory of money, and Plato 3 had defined its functions with some accuracy. The economic laws of the Romans were all summed up in the idea of enriching the metropolis at the expense of the dependencies. During the middle ages no systematic study was undertaken, and the nature of economic laws was not even suspected. It is worth notice that the first glimmerings of political economy came to be seen through the discussions on money, and the extraordinary movements of gold and silver. About the time of Charles Y, the young study was born, accom- panied by the revival of learning, the Reformation, the dis- covery of America, and the great fall in the value of gold and silver. Modern society was just beginning, and had already brought manufactures into existence — woolens in England, silks in France, Genoa, and Florence ; Yenice had become the great commercial city of the world ; the Hanse- atic League was carrying goods from the Mediterranean to the Baltic ; and the Jews of Lombardy had by that time brought into use the bill of exchange. While the supply of the pre- cious metals had been tolerably constant hitherto, the steady increase of business brought about a fall of prices. From the middle of the fourteenth to the end of the fifteenth century 1 Yet Blanqui diffusively gives nearly one half of his " History of Political Economy " to the period before the sixteenth century, when politico-economic laws had not yet been recognized. A. L. Perry, " Political Economy " (eighteenth edition, 1883), also devotes thirty-five out of eighty-seven pages to the period in which there was no systematic study of political economy. 9 Xenophon, " Means of increasing the Revenues of Attika," ch. ix ; also see his " Economics ; " and Aristotle, " Politics," b. i, ch. vi, b. iii, ch. i. 8 " Republic," b. ii. A SKETCH OF THE HISTORY OF POLITICAL ECONOMY. 3 the purchasing power of money increased in the ratio of four to ten. Then into this situation came the great influx of gold and silver from the New World. Prices rose un- equally ; the trading and manufacturing classes were flourish- ing, while others were depressed. In the sixteenth century the price of wheat tripled, but wages only doubled; the laboring-classes of England deteriorated, while others were enriched, producing profound social changes and the well- known flood of pauperism, together with the rise of the mer- cantile classes. Then new channels of trade were opened to the East and West. Of course, men saw but dimly the oper- ation of these economic causes ; although the books now be- gan to hint at the right understanding of the movements and the true laws of money. Even before this time, however, Nicole Oresme, Bishop of Lisieux (died 1382), had written intelligently on money ; ' but, about 1526, the astronomer Copernicus gave a very good exposition of some of the functions of money. But he, as as well as Latimer,* while noticing the economic changes, gave no correct explanation. The Seigneur de Malestroit, a councilor of the King of France, however, by his errors drew out Jean Bodin ' to say that the rise of prices was due to the abundance of money brought from America. But he was in advance of his time, as well as William Stafford, 4 the author of the first English treatise on money, which showed a perfect insight into the subject. Stafford distinctly grasped 1 Roscber exhumed this book, entitled " De Origine, Natura, Jure et Muta- tionibus Monetarum," and it was reprinted in 1864 by Wolowski at Paris, together with the treatise of Copernicus, " De Monetae Cudendae Ratione." * Sermon at St. Paul's Cross, 1549 (also see Jacob, "On the Precious Met- als," pp. 244, 245). 8 1530-1596. See H. Baudrillart's "J. Bodin et son temps" (Paris, 1853). Bodin wrote "R6ponsc aux paradoxes de M. de Malestroit touchant l'en- cherissement de toutes les choses et des monnaies" (1568), and "Discours sur le rehaussement et la diminution des monnaies" (1578). 4 " A Briefe Conceipte of English Policy " (1581). The book was published under the initials " W. S.," and was long regarded as the production of Shake- spere 4 A SKETCH OF THE HISTORY OF POLITICAL ECONOMY. the idea that the high prices brought no loss to merchants, great gain to those who held long leases, and loss to those who did not buy and sell ; that, in reality, commodities were exchanged when money was passed from hand to hand. Such was the situation 1 which prefaced the first general system destined to be based on supposed economic considera- tions, wrongly understood, to be sure, but vigorously carried out. I refer to the well-known mercantile system which over-spread Europe. 2 Spain, as the first receiver of American gold and silver, attributed to it abnormal power, and by heavy duties and prohibitions tried to keep the precious metals to herself. This led to a general belief in the tenets of the mercantile system, and its adoption by all Europe. 1. It was maintained that, where gold and silver abounded, there would be found no lack of the necessaries of life ; 2. Therefore governments should do all in their power to secure an abundance of money. Noting that commerce and politi- cal power seemed to be in the hands of the states having the greatest quantity of money, men wished mainly to create such a relation of exports and imports of goods as would bring about an importation of money. The natural sequence of this was, the policy of creating a favorable "balance of trade " by increasing exports and diminishing imports, thus implying that the gain in international trade was not a mutu- al one. The error consisted in supposing that a nation could sell without buying, and in overlooking the instrumental character of money. The errors even went so far as to create prohibitory legislation, in the hope of shutting out imported goods and keeping the precious metals at home. The system 1 For information on this as well as a later period, consult Jacob " On the Precious Metals" (1832), a history of the production and influences of gold and silver from the earliest times. He is considered a very high authority. Hum- boldt's " Essay on New Spain " gives estimates and facts on the production of the precious metals in America. A very excellent study has been made by Levasseur in his "Histoire des classes ouvrieres en France jusqu'a la Revolu- tion." For pauperism and its history, Nicholl's " History of the Poor Laws " is, of course, to be consulted. 2 See Cossa, "Guide," p. 119. A SKETCH OF THE niSTORY OF POLITICAL ECONOMY. 5 spread over Europe, so that France (1544) and England (1552) forbade the export of specie. But, with the more peaceful conditions at the end of the sixteenth century, the expansion of commerce, the value of money became steadier, and prices advanced more slowly. Italian writers were among the first to discuss the laws of money intelligently, 1 but a number of acute Englishmen enriched the literature of the subject, 3 and it may be said that any modern study of political economy received its first definite impulse from England and Erance. The prohibition of the export of coin was embarrassing to the East India Company and to merchants; and Mun tried to show that freedom of exportation would increase the amount of gold and silver in a country, since the profits in foreign trade would bring back more than went out. It probably was not clear to them, however, that the export of bullion to the East was advantageous, because the commodi- ties brought back in return were more valuable in England than the precious metals. The purpose of the mercantilists was to increase the amount of gold and silver in the country. Mun, with some penetration, had even pointed out that too much money was an evil ; but in 1663 the English Parlia- ment removed the restriction on the exportation of coin. The balance-of-trade heresy, that exports should always ex- 1 See Antonio Serra, " Breve Trattato delle Cause che possono fare abbon- dare li Regni d' Oro e d' Argento," Naples, 1613. 8 Thomas Mun, "England's Treasure by Foreign Trade" (published in 1640 and 1664); "Advice of the Council of Trade" (1660), in Lord Overstone'a " Select Tracts on Money " ; Sir William Petty, " Political Arithmetic," etc. (about 1680); Sir Josiah Child, "New Discourse of Trade" (1690) ; Sir Dudley North, " Discourse on Trade"(1691); Davenant's Works (1690-1711); Joshua Gee, "Trade and Navigation of Great Britain" (1730); Sir Matthew Decker (according to McCulloch, William Richardson), "Essay on the Causes of the Decline of Foreign Trade" (1744); Sir James Steuart, "An Inquiry into the Principles of Political Economy" (1767). For this period also consult Ander- son's "History of Commerce" (1764), Macpherson's "Annals of Commerce" (1803), and Lord Sheffield's " Observations on the Commerce of the American States " (1783). 6 A SKETCH OF THE HISTORY OF POLITICAL ECONOMY. ceed imports (as if merchants would send out goods which, when paid for in commodities, should be returned in a form of less value than those sent out !), was the outcome of the mercantile system, and it has continued in the minds of many men to this day. The policy which aimed at securing a favorable balance of trade, and the plan of protecting home industries, had the same origin. If all consumable goods were produced at home, and none imported, that would increase exports, and bring more gold and silver into the country. As all the countries of Europe had adopted the mercantile theory after 1664, retaliatory and prohibitory tariffs were set up against each other by England, France, Holland, and Germany. Then, because it was seen that large sums were paid for carrying goods, in order that no coin should be required to pay foreigners in any branch of industry, navigation laws were enacted, which required goods to be imported only in ships belonging to the im- porting nation. These remnants of the mercantile system continue to this day in the shipping laws of this and other countries. 1 A natural consequence of the navigation acts, and of the mercantile system, was the so-called colonial policy, by which the colonies were excluded from all trade except with the mother-country. A plantation like New England, which produced commodities in competition with England, was looked upon with disfavor for her enterprise ; and all this because of the fallacy, at the foundation of the mercantile 1 The English Navigation Act of 1651 is usually described as the cause of the decline of Dutch shipping. The taxation necessitated by her wars is rather the cause, as history shows it to us. Sir Josiah Child (1668. and 1690) speaks of a serious depression in English commerce, and says the low rate of interest among the Dutch hurts the English trade. This does not show that the acts greatly aided English shipping. Moreover, Gee, a determined partisan of the mercantile theory, says, in 1730, that the ship-trade was languishing. Sir Matthew Decker (1744) confirms Gee's impressions. It looks very much as if the commercial supremacy of England was acquired by internal causes, and in spite of her navigation acts. The anonymous author of " Britannia Languens " confirms this view. A SKETCH OF THE HISTORY OF POLITICAL ECONOMY. 7 system, that the gain in international trade is not mutual, but that what one country gains another must lose. 1 An exposition of mercantilism would not be complete without a statement of the form it assumed in France under the guidance of Colbert, 2 the great minister of Louis XIV, from 1661 to 1683. In order to create a favorable balance of trade, he devoted himself to fostering home productions, by attempts to abolish vexatious tolls and customs within the country, and by an extraordinary system of supervision in manufacturing establishments (which has been the stimulus to paternal government from which France has never since been able to free herself). Processes were borrowed from England, Germany, and Sweden, and new establishments for making tapestries and silk goods sprang up ; even the sizes of fabrics were regulated by Colbert, and looms unsuitable for these sizes destroyed. In 1671 wool-dyers were given a code of detailed instructions as to the processes and ma- terials that might be used. Long after, French industry felt the difficulty of struggling with stereotyped processes. His system, however, naturally resulted in a series of tariff meas- ures (in 1664 and 1667). Moderate duties on the exportation of raw materials were first laid on, followed by heavy customs imposed on the importation of foreign goods. The shipment of coin was forbidden ; but Colbert's criterion of prosperity was the favorable balance of trade. French agriculture was overlooked. The tariff of 1667 was based on the theory that foreigners must of necessity buy French wines, lace, and wheat ; that the French could sell, but not buy ; but the act of 1667 cut off the demand for French goods, and Portu- 1 This was, in substance, the whole teaching of one of the leading and most intelligent writers, Sir James Steuart (1*767), " Principles of Political Econo- my." See also Held's " Carey's Socialwisscnschaf t und das Merkantilsystem " (1866), which places Carey among the mercantilists. 2 Forbonnais, " R6cherches sur les finances de la France" (1595-1721); Pierre C16ment, " Histoirc de Colbert ct de son administration" (1874); "Lettres, instructions et m6moires de Colbert" (1861-1870) ; " Histoire du systeme pro- tectee en France " (1S54) ; Martin, " Histoire de France," tome xiii. 8 A SKETCH OF THE HISTORY OF POLITICAL ECONOMY. guese wines came into the market. England and Holland retaliated and shut off the foreign markets from France. The wine and wheat growers of the latter country were ruined, and the rural population came to the verge of starvation. Colbert's last years were full of misfortune and disappoint- ment ; and a new illustration was given of the fallacy that the gain from international trade was not mutual. From this time, economic principles began to be better apprehended. It is to be noted that the first just observa- tions arose from discussions upon money, and thence upon international trade. So far England has furnished the most acute writers : now France became the scene of a new move- ment. Marshal Yauban, 1 the great soldier, and Boisguille- bert a both began to emphasize the truth that wealth really consists, not in money alone, but in an abundance of com- modities ; that countries which have plenty of gold and silver are not wealthier than others, and that money is only a me- dium of exchange. It was not, however, until 1750 that evidences of any real advance began to appear ; for Law's famous scheme (1716-1720) only served as a drag upon the growth of economic truth. But in the middle of the eight- eenth century an intellectual revival set in : the " Encyclo- paedia " was published, Montesquieu wrote his " l'Esprit des Lois," Rousseau was beginning to write, and Voltaire was at the height of his power. In this movement political econo- my had an important share, and there resulted the first school of Economists, termed the Physiocrats. The founder and leader of this new body of economic thinkers was Francois Quesnay, 8 a physician and favorite at 1 " Dime royale " (1707). 2 " Factum de la France " (1707). 8 When Quesnay was sixty-one years old he wrote the article, " Fermiera," in the "Encyclopaedia" (of Diderot and D'Alembert) in 1756; article "Grains," in the same, 1757; "Tableau economique," 1758; "Maximes generates du gou- vernement economique d'un royaume" ; "Probleme economique " ; " Dialogues sur le commerce et sur les travaux des artisans " ; " Droit natural " (1768). " Col- lection des principaux economistes," edited by E. Daire (1846), is a collection A SKETCH OF THE HISTORY OF POLITICAL ECONOMY. 9 the court of Louis XY. Passing by his ethical basis of a natural order of society, and natural rights of man, his main doctrine, in brief, was that the cultivation of the soil was the only source of wealth ; that labor in other industries was sterile ; and that freedom of trade was a necessary condition of healthy distribution. While known as the " Economists," they were also called the " Physiocrats," ' or the "Agricultural School." Quesnay and his followers distinguished between the creation of wealth (which could only come from the soil) and the union of these materials, once created, by labor in other occupations. In the latter case the laborer did not, in their theory, produce wealth. A natural consequence of this view appeared in a rule of taxation, by which all the burdens of state expenditure were laid upon the landed proprietors alone, since they alone received a surplus of wealth (the famous net produit) above their sustenance and expenses of produc- tion. This position, of course, did not recognize the old mercantile theory that foreign commerce enriched a nation solely by increasing the quantity of money. To a physiocrat the wealth of a community was increased not by money, but by an abundant produce from its own soil. In fact, Quesnay argued that the right of property included the right to dispose of it freely at home or abroad, unrestricted by the state. This doctrine was formulated in the familiar expression, " Laissez faire, laissez passer.' 1 '' ' Condorcet and Condillac favored the new ideas. The " Economists " became the fashion in France; and even included in their number Joseph II of Austria, the Kings of Spain, Poland, Sweden, Naples, Catha- containing the works of Quesnay, Turgot, and Dupont de Nemours. See also Lavergne, " Les economistes franchises du 18 e siecle" (1870); and H. Martin, " Histoirc de France." Quesnay's " Tableau economique " was the Koran of the school. 1 From x/"»T7? / I 40 / ■ ! / i *• i ...• .-' \ ..•- 35 / -•' / •>** "' / / / / / .-•' / / / *^.- ..- S 80 ,i "' • / fi *$•" -" J ^ U- «== 25 f / ,•* ^ fl • ji • ' 1 / y 1 ,1 / iV I Oft „1 ^ ,' c Y i pj ( 5/ ?•' .1! '/ u 8$ fj =s cb J5 "9 •» ^ •S o •< s ••. 5> **■< "S •£ 1*4 Ol^ § -„S ci> « ^ Sj <; '-1 Corn, by Mon of New S> "8 « **< « "IS > ■sT ft, CQ h |e3 K « C^ < 3 I "§ X o 5 § 8 d ft; *«( V. ^ £ s s »T ^* * C> - »H »5 ft 3 ■5 -* ^ k c> g ^ fc B ,8 ' w 5 V 8 .2 1^ | S f> GO L 00 CO OS -f = t; . CI 30 — . d c? o 1 ■ . SO^ CM_C»_ "_ C-nH ■ ■■_■■ ■ so" os"V -f" OB'S 3 £ 5 a 1 ■ 1 i-i o so 03 « ©•* •5 % S j o ton 00 O 00 o •>J otc -H£-T)-H»0 4) O U VOO»01QT} ■ 1 5 § • o . u « . i a (^ ^3 • £3 1 1 1 1 1 1 •° 3 : 2 5 C CO C CO lllllll 00 £ 00 -J • — o _ cS s >-h © © tJ< O i> ■— iOOt-0000 s'S- a ♦i-t^ocsoeocoo-rCTrieooof-iefc otiiifcot-asio^oaooaJO^ n7 H r , 7 H 9®?*^ ■*-* so o so iq co co Q > 2— o g 2 3 tc m « t> a 8 -<•< > 1 £ j o jg a o '5 a o •73 s o s a a o o. fc£> c a o "S. s E CD B B u to* a to E 50ioiaooaiTj<0'*OS i> o HOOCDO^OcDiOOsOcMeOr-iOJ 01 Ot-MOO^MrtOOllOOJtOOOIO CO m s i s 1 E 3 E Si 6 a o o. 5« b « tj « ■fe 3 c °-o 2 4) txO o he E e* — ■ - a .3 .SlMNO'JO^OH^flOMrH o ^ CM » ■^ CO wo 9 Scsoosisia-^t-csoocoeo.-'.-i^- 3 to id l~ gj oo to h n titd — ' eo so ci Ch "3 *- co .t— so ■— < o> i.o i.t so so co © i— o Q-C-.C-SOO.C-SOcO.e-00 CO i-ir-SO >o 00 l- V3 00 ^< a C^-cMCO^OCOC-OOCOOi-lcncO t*t*>{*t*t»t*t*t»>0O0000CO S to x r« OOOOGOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOCOOOOO °° 00 00 o •^ .^ 138 PRODUCTION. The explanation of this reduced cost is given by Mr. Edward Atkinson 1 as (1) the competition of water-ways, (2) the compe- tition of one railway with another, and (8) the competition of other countries, which forces our railways to try to lay our staple products down in foreign markets at a price which will warrant continued shipment. Besides these reasons, much ought also (4) to be assigned to the progress of inventions and the reduced cost of steel and all appliances necessary to the railways. The large importance of the railways shows itself in an influence on general business prosperity, and as a place for large investments of a rapidly growing capital. The building of railways, however, has been going on, at some times with greater speed than at others. Instead of 33,908 miles of rail- ways at the close of our war, we have now (1884) over 120,000 miles. How the additional mileage has been built year by year, with two distinct eras of increased building — one from 1869 to 1873, and another from 1879 to 1884 — may be seen by the shorter lines of the subjoined chart, No. VI. That speculation has been excited at different times by the opening up of our Western country, there can be no doubt. And if a comparison be made with Chart No. XVII (Book IV, Chap. Ill)', which gives the total grain-crops of the United States, it will be seen that since 1879, although our population has increased from 12^ per cent to 14 per cent, our grain-crops only 5 per cent, yet our railway mileage has increased 40 per cent. The extent to which the United States has carried railway- building, as compared with European countries, although we have a very much greater area, is distinctly shown by Chart No. VII. This application of one form of improvement to oppose the law of diminishing returns in the United States has produced extraordinary results, especially when we con- sider that we are probably not yet using all our best lands, or, in other words, that we have not yet felt the law of dimin- ishing returns in some large districts. Railways and canals are virtually a diminution of the cost of production of all things sent to market by them ; and lit- erally so of all those the appliances and aids for producing which they serve to transmit. By their means land can be , , — w 1 I am indebted to Mr. Atkinson for advanced proofs of the annexed charts. See his paper in the "Journal of the American Agricultural Association," vol. i, Nos. 3 and 4, p. 154, and a later discussion in the supplement of the Boston "Manufacturers' Gazette," August 9, 1884, entitled "The Railway, the Farmer, and the Public." His figures are drawn mainly from Poor's " Railway Manual." THE INCREASE OF PRODUCTION FROM LAND. 139 CHART VI. Miles of Railroad in Operation on the 1st January in each Year, and the Miles added in the Year Ensuing. 33,908 1,177 35,085 1,716 36,801 2,449 39,250 2,979 42,229 4,615 46,844 6,070 52,914 7,379 60,293 5,878 66,171 4,107 70,278 2,105 72,383 1,713 74,096 2,712 76,808 2,281 79,089 2,687 81,776 4,721 86,497 7,048 93,545 9,789 103,334 11,591 114,925 *6,618 121,543 * Estimated. 140 PRODUCTION. cultivated, which would not otherwise have remunerated the cultivators without a rise of price. Improvements in navi- gation have, with respect to food or materials brought from beyond sea, a corresponding effect. § 4. From similar considerations, it appears that many purely mechanical improvements, which have, apparently, at least, no peculiar connection with agriculture, nevertheless enable a given amount of food to be obtained with a smaller expenditure of labor. A great improvement in the process of smelting iron would tend to cheapen agricultural imple- ments, diminish the cost of railroads, of wagons and carts, ships, and perhaps buildings, and many other things to which iron is not at present applied, because it is too costly ; and would thence diminish the cost of production of food. The same effect would follow from an improvement in those pro- cesses of what may be termed manufacture, to Which the material of food is subjected after it is separated from the ground. The first application of wind or water power to grind corn tended to cheapen bread as much as a very im- portant discovery in agriculture would have done ; and any great improvement in the construction of corn-mills would have, in proportion, a similar influence. Those manufacturing improvements which can not be made instrumental to facilitate, in any of its stages, the actual production of food, and therefore do not help to counteract or retard the diminution of the proportional return to labor from the soil, have, however, another effect, which is prac- tically equivalent. "What they do not prevent, they yet, in some degree, compensate for. 1 The materials of manufactures being all drawn from the land, and many of them from agriculture, which supplies in particular the entire material of clothing, the general law of production from the land, the law of diminishing return, must in the last resort be applicable to manufacturing as well as to agricultural history. As population increases, and 1 Cf. Book IV, Chap. I. 1 SB S s 5> 1" «2 ■**• & M 2 ~ S * *- 00 gj I «' ,*e °=i 1 iv3 Is. §£ |^ g a n s^| OS O i© OS to io to >o £S JP To * g ^ .2 > ~- PL. £ d ^d i—i f-i »o Jo d a -a a s < s -s a « 2 &. t* « H hi S J 8 o 5 S aj .« » cs a t? « .2 H«M^iO!0^ ® CI O H 10 io to © ■ I I ■ I ■ ■ , ■ §.2 -a —< 13 — < r-l ?) M 1-1 r-< lO r-l OS <£> — O 0 i© eo t- *- N ' — o cs " | §2 § PS Eb S^^J^sJI^IJI <9* ?? 03 CO ^ "* 5 2 © - lllllli Jg ■* IO <© 10 lO O lO *^ l l H l II ^gfiys^^gftys^fpf^Esfrfi'iafe *- -f $ * &z ? CD •,1.0) • 'Eb * Sb ^ S r. O O S B C ai i ;-cioajias5;.= ^; '5b fc .2 5 £ I ° « a J3 If J c ® 3 t» cS "3 2 -6 5 .<£ o o s 5 £ S 5 S » .* 3 2 S ^ 8 J T ? « 1 r fl « O O d 3 d> *? F H >©50c-oo050--ciec-^'ia«ct- \ ■V lO 10 o >© ■" THE INCREASE OF PRODUCTION FROM LAND. 141 the power of the land to yield increased produce is strained harder and harder, any additional supply of material, as well as of food, must be obtained by a more than proportionally increasing expenditure of labor. But the cost of the mate- rial forming generally a very small portion of the entire cost of the manufacture, the agricultural labor concerned in the production of manufactured goods is but a small fraction of the whole labor worked up in the commodity. Mr. Babbage ' gives an interesting illustration of this prin- ciple. Bar-iron of the value of £1 became worth, when manu- factured into — £ 10 Slit-iron, for nails 1 Natural steel 1 Horseshoes 2 Gun-barrels, ordinary 9 Wood-saws , 14 Scissors, best 446 Penknife-blades 657 Sword-handles, polished steel 972 It can not, however, be said of such manufactures as coarse cotton cloth, wherein the increased cost of raw cotton causes an immediate effect upon the price of the cloth, that the cost of the materials forms but a small portion of the cost of the manufacture. 2 All the labor [not engaged in preparing materials] tends constantly and strongly toward diminution, as the amount of production increases. Manufactures are vastly more suscep- tible than agriculture of mechanical improvements and con- trivances for saving labor. In manufactures, accordingly, the causes tending to increase the productiveness of industry preponderate greatly over the one cause which tends to dimin- ish it ; and the increase of production, called forth by the progress of society, takes place, not at an increasing, but at a continually diminishing proportional cost. This fact has manifested itself in the progressive fall of the prices and values of almost every kind of manufactured goods during two centuries past ; a fall accelerated by the mechanical in- ventions of the last seventy or eighty years, and susceptible 1 " Economy of Manufactures," pp. 163, 1C4. s Cf. Book IV, Chap. I, § 4. 142 PRODUCTION. of being prolonged and extended beyond any limit which it would be safe to specify. The benefit might even extend to the poorest class. The increased cheapness of clothing and lodging might make up to them for the augmented cost of their food. There is, thus, no possible improvement in the arts of production which does not in one or another mode exercise an antagonistic influence to the law of diminishing return to agricultural labor. Nor is it only industrial improvements which have this effect. Improvements in government, and almost every kind of moral and social advancement, oper- ate in the same manner. We may say the same of im- provements in education. The intelligence of the workman is a most important element in the productiveness of labor. The carefulness, economy, and general trustworthiness of laborers are as important as their intelligence. Friendly re- lations and a community of interest and feeling between laborers and employers are eminently so. In the rich and idle classes, increased mental energy, more solid instruction, and stronger feelings of conscience, public spirit, or philanthropy, would qualify them to originate and promote the most valu- able improvements, both in the economical resources of their country and in its institutions and customs. § 5. We must observe that what we have said of agri- culture is true, with little variation, of the other occupations which it represents ; of all the arts which extract materials from the globe. Mining industry, for example, usually yields an increase of produce at a more than proportional increase of expense. It does worse, for even its customary annual produce re- quires to be extracted by a greater and greater expenditure of labor and capital. As a mine does not reproduce the coal or ore taken from it, not only are all mines at last exhausted, but even when they as yet show no signs of exhaustion they must be worked at a continually increasing cost ; shafts must be sunk deeper, galleries driven farther, greater power ap- plied to keep them clear of water; the produce must be THE INCREASE OF PRODUCTION FROM LAND. 143 lifted from a greater depth, or conveyed a greater distance. The law of diminishing return applies therefore to mining in a still more unqualified sense than to agriculture ; but the antagonizing agency, that of improvements in production, also applies in a still greater degree. Mining operations are more susceptible of mechanical improvements than agricult- ural : the first great application of the steam-engine was to mining; and there are unlimited possibilities of improve- ment in the chemical processes by which the metals are ex- tracted. There is another contingency, of no unfrequent occurrence, which avails to counterbalance the progress of all existing mines toward exhaustion : this is, the discovery of new ones, equal or superior in richness. Professor Jevons has applied this economic law to the in- dustrial situation of England. 1 While explaining that the supply of cheap coal is the basis of English manufacturing prosperity, yet he insists that, if the demand for coal is con- stantly increasing, the point must inevitably be reached in the future when the increased supply can be obtained only at a higher cost. When coal costs England as much as it does any other nation, then her exclusive industrial advantage will cease to exist. In the United States the outlying iron deposits of Lake Superior, Lake Champlain, and Pennsylvania, so geolo- gists tell us, will find competition arising from the new grades of greater productiveness in the richer deposits of States like Alabama. In that case we shall be going from poorer to better grades of iron-mines, but after the change is made a series of different grades of productiveness will be established as before. To resume : all natural agents which are limited in quan- tity are not only limited in their ultimate productive power, but, long before that power is stretched to the utmost, they yield to any additional demands on progressively harder terms. This law may, however, be suspended, or temporarily controlled, by whatever adds to the general power of man- kind over nature, and especially by any extension of their knowledge, and their consequent command, of the properties and powers of natural agents. 1 "The Coal Question" (1866). CHAPTEK X. CONSEQUENCES OF THE FOKEGOING LAWS. § 1. Fkom the preceding exposition it appears that the limit to the increase of production is twofold : from deficiency of capital, or of land. Production comes to a pause, either because the effective desire of accumulation is not sufficient to give rise to any further increase of capital, or because, however disposed the possessors of surplus income may be to save a portion of it, the limited land at the disposal of the community does not permit additional capital to be em- ployed with such a return as would be an equivalent to them for their abstinence. In countries where the principle of accumulation is as weak as it is in the various nations of Asia, the desideratum economically considered is an increase of industry, and of the effective desire of accumulation. The means are, first, a better government : more complete security of property ; moderate taxes, and freedom from arbitrary exaction under the name of taxes ; a more permanent and more advantageous tenure of land, securing to the cultivator as far as possible the undivided benefits of the industry, skill, and economy he may exert. Secondly, improvement of the public intelli- gence. Thirdly, the introduction of foreign arts, which raise the returns derivable from additional capital to a rate corre- sponding to the low strength of the desire of accumulation. An excellent example of what might be done by this process is to be seen under our very eyes in the present development of Mexico, to which American capital and enterprise have been CONSEQUENCES OF THE FOREGOING LAWS. 145 so prominently drawn of late. All these proposed remedies, if put into use in Mexico, would undoubtedly result in a strik- ing increase of wealth. § 2. But there are other countries, and England [and the United States are] at the head of them, in which neither the spirit of industry nor the effective desire of accumulation need any encouragement. In these countries there would never be any deficiency of capital, if its increase were never checked or brought to a stand by too great a diminution of its returns. It is the tendency of the returns to a progressive diminution which causes the increase of production to be often attended with a deterioration in the condition of the producers ; and this tendency, which would in time put an end to increase of production altogether, is a result of the necessary and inherent conditions of production from the land. This, of course, is based on the supposition that no new lands, such as those of the United States, can be opened for cultivation. If there is no prohibition to the importation of cheaper food, new and richer land in any part of the world, within reach of the given country, is an influence which works against the tendency. Yet the tendency, or economic law, is there all the same, forever working. In all countries which have passed beyond a very early stage in the progress of agriculture, every increase in the demand for food, occasioned by increased population, will always, unless there is a simultaneous improvement in pro- duction, diminish the share which on a fair division would fall to each individual. An increased production, in default of unoccupied tracts of fertile land, or of fresh improve- ments tending to cheapen commodities, can never be ob- tained but by increasing the labor in more than the same proportion. The population must either work harder or eat less, or obtain their usual food by sacrificing a part of their other customary comforts. Whenever this necessity is post- poned, it is because the improvements which facilitate pro- duction continue progressive ; because the contrivances of mankind for making their labor more effective keep up an 10 146 PRODUCTION. equal struggle with Nature, and extort fresh resources from her reluctant powers as fast as human necessities occupy and engross the old. From this results the important corollary, that the ne- cessity of restraining population is not, as many persons be- lieve, peculiar to a condition of great inequality of property. A greater number of people can not, in any given state of civilization, be collectively so well provided for as a smaller. The niggardliness of nature, 1 not the injustice of society, is the cause of the penalty attached to over-population. An unjust distribution of wealth does not even aggravate the evil, but, at most, causes it to be somewhat earlier felt. It is in vain to say that all mouths which the increase of man- kind calls into existence bring with them hands. The new mouths require as much food as the old ones, and the hands do not produce as much. After a degree of density has been attained, sufficient to allow the principal benefits of combination of labor, all fur- ther increase tends in itself to mischief, so far as regards the average condition of the people ; but the progress of im- provement has a counteracting operation, and allows of in- creased numbers without any deterioration, and even con- sistently with a higher average of comfort. Improvement must here be understood in a wide sense, including not only new industrial inventions, or an extended use of those already known, but improvements in institutions, education, opin- ions, and human affairs generally, provided they tend, as almost all improvements do, to give new motives or new facilities to production. The increase in the population of the United States has been enormous, as already seen, but the increase of production has been still greater, owing to the fertility of our land, to im- provements in the arts, and to our great genius for invention, as may be seen by the following table (amounts in the second 1 Henry George, as well as the Socialists, thinks poverty arises from the injustice of society, and here takes issue with the present teaching. But the question can be better discussed under Distribution. COXSEQUEXCES OF THE FOREGOIXG LAWS. 147 column are given in millions). 1 The steady increase of the valuation of our wealth goes on faster than the increase of population, so that it manifests itself in a larger average wealth to each inhabitant. DECADES. Valuation. Per cent of increase. Population. Per cent of increase. Per capita valuation. 1800 $1,742 2,382 3,734 4,328 6,124 8,800 16,160 30,068 40,000 37 67 16 41 44 84 86 33 5,308,483 7,239,881 9,633,882 12,866,020 17,069,453 23,191,876 31,443,321 38,558,371 50,155,783 36 33 34 33 36 35 23 30 $328 329 1810 1820 386 1830 336 1840 359 1850 379 1860 514 1870 780 1880 798 If the productive powers of the country increase as rap- idly as advancing numbers call for an augmentation of produce, it is not necessary to obtain that augmentation by the cultivation of soils more sterile than the worst already under culture, or by applying additional labor to the old soils at a diminished advantage ; or at all events this loss of power is compensated by the increased efficiency with which, in the progress of improvement, labor is employed in manufact- ures. In one way or the other, the increased population is provided for, and all are as well off as before. But if the growth of human power over nature is suspended or slack- ened, and population does not slacken its increase ; if, with only the existing command over natural agencies, those agencies are called upon for an increased produce ; this greater produce will not be afforded to the increased popu- lation, without either demanding on the average a greater effort from each, or on the average reducing each to a smaller ration out of the aggregate produce. Ever since the great mechanical inventions of Watt, Arkwright, and their contemporaries, the return to labor has probably increased as fast as the population ; and would 1 Henry Gannet, " International Review," 1882, p. 503. 148 PRODUCTION. even have outstripped it, if that very augmentation of return had not called forth an additional portion of the inherent power of multiplication in the human species. During the twenty or thirty years last elapsed, so rapid has been the ex- tension of improved processes of agriculture [in England], that even the land yields a greater produce in proportion to the labor employed ; the average price of corn had become decidedly lower, even before the repeal of the corn laws had so materially lightened, for the time being, the pressure of population upon production. But though improvement may during a certain space of time keep up with, or even surpass, the actual increase of population, it assuredly never comes up to the rate of increase of which population is capable : and nothing could have prevented a general deterioration in the condition of the human race, were it not that popula- tion has in fact been restrained. Had it been restrained still more, and the same improvements taken place, there would have been a larger dividend than there now is, for the nation or the species at large. The new ground wrung from nature by the improvements would not have been all used up in the support of mere numbers. Though the gross produce would not have been so great, there would have been a greater produce per head of the population. § 3. When the growth of numbers outstrips the progress of improvement, and a country is driven to obtain the means of subsistence on terms more and more unfavorable, by the inability of its land to meet additional demands except on more onerous conditions, there are two expedients, by which it may hope to mitigate that disagreeable necessity, even though no change should take place in the habits of the people with respect to their rate of increase. One of these expedients is the importation of food from abroad. The other is emigration. The admission of cheaper food from a foreign country is equivalent to an agricultural invention by which food could be raised at a similarly diminished cost at home. It equally increases the productive power of labor. The return was CONSEQUENCES OF THE FOREGOING LAWS. 149 before, so much food for bo much labor employed in the growth of food : the return is now, a greater quantity of food for the same labor employed in producing cottons or hardware, or some other commodity to be given in exchange for food. The one improvement, like the other, throws back the decline of the productive power of labor by a certain distance : but in the one case, as in the other, it im- mediately resumes its course ; the tide which has receded, instantly begins to readvance. It might 6eem, indeed, that, when a country draws its supply of food from so wide a sur- face as the whole habitable globe, so little impression can be produced on that great expanse by any increase of mouths in one small corner of it that the inhabitants of the coun- try may double and treble their numbers without feeling the effect in any increased tension of the springs of produc- tion, or any enhancement of the price of food throughout the world. But in this calculation several things are over- looked. In the first place, the foreign regions from which corn can be imported do not comprise the whole globe, but those parts of it almost alone which are in the immediate neigh- borhood of coasts or navigable rivers ; and of such there is not, in the productive regions of the earth, so great a multi- tude as to suffice during an indefinite time for a rapidly growing demand, without an increasing strain on the pro- ductive powers of the soil. In the next place, even if the supply were drawn from the whole instead of a small part of the surface of the ex- porting countries, the quantity of food would still be lim- ited, which could be obtained from them without an in- crease of the proportional cost. The countries which export food may be divided into two classes : those in which the effective desire of accumulation is strong, and those in which it is weak. In Australia and the United States of America, the effective desire of accumulation is strong ; capital increases fast, and the production of food might be very rapidly extended. But in such countries population 150 PRODUCTION. • also increases with extraordinary rapidity. Their agricult- ure has to provide for their own expanding numbers, as well as for those of the importing countries. They must, therefore, from the nature of the case, be rapidly driven, if not to less fertile, at least what is equivalent, to remoter and less accessible lands, and to modes of cultivation like those of old countries, less productive in proportion to the labor and expense. The extraordinary resources of the United States are scarce- ly understood even by Americans. Chart No. XVIII (see Book IV, Chap. Ill) may give some idea of the agricultural possibilities of our land. It will be seen from this that the quantity of fertile land in but one of our States — Texas — is greater than that of Austria-Hungary. But the countries which have at the same time cheap food and great industrial prosperity are few, being only those in which the arts of civilized life have been transferred full- grown to a rich and uncultivated soil. Among old countries, those which are able to export food, are able only because their industry is in a very backward state, because capital, and hence population, have never increased sufficiently to make food rise to a higher price. Such countries are Russia, Poland, and Hungary. The law, therefore, of diminishing return to industry, whenever population makes a more rapid progress than im- provement, is not solely applicable to countries which are fed from their own soil, but in substance applies quite as much to those which are willing to draw their food from any accessible quarter that can afford it cheapest. § 4. Besides the importation of corn, there is another resource which can be invoked by a nation whose increasing numbers press hard, not against their capital, but against the productive capacity of their land : I mean Emigration, especially in the form of Colonization. Of this remedy the efficacy as far as it goes is real, since it consist's in seeking elsewhere those unoccupied tracts of fertile land which, if they existed at home, would enable the demand of an in- CONSEQUENCES OF THE FOREGOING LAWS. 151 creasing population to be met without any falling off in the productiveness of labor. Accordingly, when the region to be colonized is near at hand, and the habits and tastes of the people sufficiently migratory, this remedy is completely effectual. The migration from the older parts of the Ameri- can Confederation to the new Territories, which is to all in- tents and purposes colonization, is what enables population to go on unchecked throughout the Union without having yet diminished the return to industry, or increased the diffi- culty of earning a subsistence. How strictly true this is may be seen by examining the map given in the last census returns, 1 showing the residence of the natives of the State of New York. The greater or less fre- quency of natives of New York, residing in other States, is shown by different degrees of shading on the map. A large district westward as far as the Mississippi shows a density of natives of New York of from two to six to a square mile, and a lesser density from Minnesota to Indian Territory, on the other side of the Mississippi. The same is shown of other older States. The explanation of the movement can not be anything else than the same as that for the larger movement from Europe to America. There is no probability that even under the most enlightened arrangements (in older countries) a permanent stream of emigration could be kept up, sufficient to take off, as in America, all that portion of the annual increase (when pro- ceeding at its greatest rapidity) which, being in excess of the progress made during the same short period in the arts of life, tends to render living more difficult for every aver- agely situated individual in the community. And, unless this can be done, emigration can not, even in an economical point of view, dispense with the necessity of checks to population. The influence of immigration to the United States from European countries, in lessening the tension in the relation between food and numbers, is one of the most marked events in this century. The United States has received about one fourth of its total population in 1880 from abroad since the foundation of the republic, as will be seen by this table : 1 Volume on Population, p. 481. 152 PRODUCTION. TOTAL IMMIGKATION INTO THE UNITED STATES. PERIODS. From 1789-1820. . " 1820-1830. , " 1831-1840. . " 1841-1850. , " 1851-1860. " 1861-1870. " 1871-1880. « 1881-1883. Total Numbers. 250,00a 1 151,824 599,125 1,713,251 2,598,214 2,491,451 2,812,191 2,061,745 12,677,801 The causes operating on this movement of men — a movement unequaled in history — are un- doubtedly economic. Like the migration of the early Teutonic races from the Baltic to Southern Europe, it is due to the pressure of numbers on subsistence. A still more interesting study is that of the causes which at- tempt to explain the direction of this stream after it has reached our shores. It is a definite fact that the old slave States have hitherto received practically none of this vast foreign immi- gration. 3 The actual distribu- tion of the foreign born in the United States is to be seen in a most interesting way by aid of the colored map, Chart No.VIII, giving the different densities of foreign-born population in different parts of the Union. It seems almost certain that the general belief hitherto in the insecurity of life and property in the old slave States has worked against the material prosperity of that section. The different ages of the native- and foreign-born inhabit- ants of the United States may be seen from the accompanying diagrams s comparing the aggregate population of the United States with the foreign-born. This may profitably be com- pared with a similar diagram relating to the Chinese in the United States (Book II, Chap. Ill, § 3). 1870 Of this number, 5,333,991 came from the British Isles, of which 3,- 367,624 were Irish. There came 3,860,624 Germans, 593,021 Scandinavians, and 334,064 French. (See United States " Statisti- cal Abstract," 1878, 1880, 1883.) t36 ^HaS AGGREGATE. The males are on the left of the line, females on the right. The figures give the number of thousandths of each sex, and are represented by the distance right and left on the horizontal lines. The horizontal lines, going upward, represent the decades of life, e. g., there are 136 thousandths of males bel ow the age ot ten. 'Estimated. 2 See article "Colonization," " International Review," 1881, p. 88. 3 See F. A. Walker's " Statistical Atlas." CHART VIII BOOK II. DISTRIBUTION. BOOK II. DISTRIBUTION. CHAPTER I. OF PROPERTY. § 1. The laws and conditions of the Production of "Wealth partake of the character of physical truths. There is nothing optional or arbitrary in them. It is not so with the Distribution of Wealth. That is a matter of human insti- tution solely. The things once there, mankind, individually or collectively, can do with them as they like. They can place them at the disposal of whomsoever they please, and on whatever terms. The Distribution of "Wealth depends on the laws and customs of society. The rules by which it is determined are what the opinions and feelings of the rul- ing portion of the community make them, and are very dif- ferent in different ages and countries; and might be still more different, if mankind so chose. "We have here to con- sider, not the causes, but the consequences, of the rules ac- cording to which wealth may be distributed. Those, at least, are as little arbitrary, and have as much the character of physical laws, as the laws of production. "We proceed, then, to the consideration of the different modes of distributing the produce of land and labor, which have been adopted in practice, or may be conceived in the- ory. Among these, our attention is first claimed by that primary and fundamental institution, on which, unless in 156 DISTRIBUTION. some exceptional and very limited cases, the economical arrangements of society have always rested, though in its secondary features it has varied, and is liable to vary. I mean, of course, the institution of individual prop- erty. Private property, as an institution, did not owe its origin to any of those considerations of utility which plead for the maintenance of it when established. Enough is known of rude ages, both from history and from analogous states of society in our own time, to show that tribunals (which al- ways precede laws) were originally established, not to deter- mine rights, but to repress violence and terminate quarrels. With this object chiefly in view, they naturally enough gave legal effect to first occupancy, by treating as the aggressor the person who first commenced violence, by turning, or at- tempting to turn, another out of possession. In considering the institution of property as a question in social philosophy, we must leave out of consideration its actual origin in any of the. existing nations of Europe. We may suppose a community unhampered by any previous pos- session ; a body of colonists, occupying for the first time an uninhabited country. (1.) If private property were adopted, we must presume that it would be accompanied by none of the initial inequalities and injustice which obstruct the bene- ficial operation of the principle in old society. Every full- grown man or woman, we must suppose, would be secured in the unfettered use and disposal of his or her bodily and mental faculties; and the instruments of production, the land and tools, would be divided fairly among them, so that all might start, in respect to outward appliances, on equal terms. It is possible also to conceive that, in this original apportionment, compensation might be made for the injuries of nature, and the balance redressed by assigning to the less robust members of the community advantages in the distri- bution, sufficient to put them on a par with the rest. But the division, once made, would not again be interfered with ; individuals would be left to their own exertions and to the PROPERTY. 157 ordinary chances for making an advantageous use of what was assigned to them. (2.) If individual property, on the contrary, were excluded, the plan which must be adopted would be to hold the land and all instruments of production as the joint property of the community, and to carry on the operations of industry on the common account. The direc- tion of the labor of the community would devolve upon a magistrate or magistrates, whom we may suppose elected by the suffrages of the community, and whom we must assume to be voluntarily obeyed by them. The division of the produce would in like manner be a public act. The prin- ciple might either be that of complete equality, or of appor- tionment to the necessities or deserts of individuals, in what- ever manner might be conformable to the ideas of justice or policy prevailing in the community. The assailants of the principle of individual property may be divided into two classes : (1) those whose scheme implies absolute equality in the distribution of the physical means of life and enjoyment, and (2) those who admit ine- quality, but grounded on some principle, or supposed prin- ciple, of justice or general expediency, and not, like so many of the existing social inequalities, dependent on accident alone. The characteristic name for this [first] economical system is Communism, a word of Continental origin, only of late introduced into this country. The word Socialism, which originated among the English Communists, and was assumed by them as a name to designate their own doctrine, is now, on the Continent, employed in a larger sense ; not necessarily implying Communism, or the entire abolition of private property, but applied to any system which requires that the land and the instruments of production should be the property, not of individuals, but of communities, or as- sociations, or of the government. It should be said, moreover, that Socialism is to-day used in the distinct sense of a system which abolishes private property, and places the control of the capital, labor, and combined in- dustries of the country in the hands of the state. The essence 158 DISTRIBUTION. of modern socialism is the appeal to state-help and the weak- ening of individual self-help. Collectivism is also a term now- used by German and French writers to describe an organization of the industries of a country under a collective instead of an individual management. Collectivism is but the French ex- pression for the system of state socialism. § 2. The objection ordinarily made to a system of com- munity of property and equal distribution of the produce, that each person would be incessantly occupied in evading his fair share of the work, points, undoubtedly, to a real difficulty. But those who urge this objection forget to how great an extent the same difficulty exists under the system on which nine tenths of the business of society is now con- ducted. And though the " master's eye," when the master is vigilant and intelligent, is of proverbial value, it must be remembered that, in a Socialist farm or manufactory, each laborer would be under the eye, not of one master, but of the whole community. If Communistic labor might be less vigorous than that of a peasant proprietor, or a workman laboring on his own account, it would probably be more en- ergetic than that of a laborer for hire, who has no personal interest in the matter at all. Another of the objections to Communism is that if every member of the community were assured of subsistence for himself and any number of children, on the sole condition of willingness to work, prudential restraint on the multiplica- tion of mankind would be at an end, and population would start forward at a rate which would reduce the community through successive stages of increasing discomfort to actual starvation. But Communism is precisely the state of things in which opinion might be expected to declare itself with greatest intensity against this kind of selfish intemperance. An augmentation of numbers which diminished the comfort or increased the toil of the mass would then cause (which now it does not) immediate and unmistakable inconvenience to every individual in the association; inconvenience which could not then be imputed to the avarice of employers, or the unjust privileges of the rich. PROPERTY. 159 A more real difficulty is that of fairly apportioning the labor of the community among its members. There are many kinds of work, and by what standard are they to be measured one against another ? "Who is to judge how much cotton-spinning, or distributing goods from the stores, or brick-laying, or chimney-sweeping, is equivalent to so much plowing ? Besides, even in the same kind of work, nomi- nal equality of labor would be so great a real inequality that the feeling of justice would revolt against its being enforced. All persons are not equally fit for all labor ; and the same quantity of labor is an unequal burden on the weak and the strong, the hardy and the delicate, the quick and the slow, the dull and the intelligent. 1 If, therefore, the choice were to be made between Com- munism with all its chances and the present state of society with all its sufferings and injustices, all the difficulties, great or small, of Communism, would be but as dust in the balance. But, to make the comparison applicable, we must compare Communism at its best with the regime of individual prop- perty, not as it is, bat as it might be made. The laws of property have never yet conformed to the principles on which the justification of private property rests. They have made property of things which never ought to be property, and absolute property where only a qualified property ought to exist. Private property, in every defense made of it, is supposed to mean the guarantee to individuals of the fruits of their own labor and abstinence. The guarantee to them of the fruits of the labor and abstinence of others, transmit- ted to them without any merit or exertion of their own, is not of the essence of the institution, but a mere incidental consequence, which, when it reaches a certain height, does not promote, but conflicts with the ends which render pri- vate property legitimate. To judge of the final destination of the institution of property, we must suppose everything 1 For a further discussion of the difference between the motive powers under private property and under Communism, see Mr. Mill's posthumous " Chapters on Socialism," " Fortnightly Review," 1879 (vol. xxxi). 160 DISTRIBUTION. rectified which causes the institution to work in a manner opposed to that equitable principle, of proportion between remuneration and exertion, on which, in every vindication of it that will bear the light, it is assumed to be grounded. We must also suppose two conditions realized, without which neither Communism nor any other laws or institutions could make the condition of the mass of mankind other than de- graded and miserable. One of these conditions is, universal education ; the other, a due limitation of the numbers of the community. With these, there could be no poverty, even under the present social institutions : and, these being sup- posed, the question of socialism is not, as generally stated by Socialists, a question of flying to the sole refuge against the evils which now bear down humanity, but a mere question of comparative advantages, which futurity must determine. We are too ignorant either of what individual agency in its best form, or socialism in its best form, can accomplish, to be qualified to decide which of the two will be the ultimate form of human society. If a conjecture may be hazarded, the decision will prob- ably depend mainly on one consideration, viz., which of the two systems is consistent with the greatest amount of human liberty and spontaneity. It is yet to be ascertained whether the communistic scheme would be consistent with that multi- form development of human nature, those manifold unlike- nesses, that diversity of tastes and talents, and variety of intellectual points of view, which not only form a great part of the interest of human life, but, by bringing intellects into stimulating collision and by presenting to each innumerable notions that he would not have conceived of himself, are the mainspring of mental and moral progression. § 3. For general purposes, a clearer understanding of the various schemes may be gained by observing that (1) one class of socialists intend to include the state itself within their plan, and (2) another class aim to form separate communities inside the state, and under its protection. Of this first system there are no present examples ; but the object of most of the socialistic organizations in the United PROPERTY. IQl States and Europe is to strive for the assumption by the state of the production and distribution of wealth. 1 At pres- ent the most active Socialists are to be found in Germany. The origin of this influence, however, is to be traced to France. 2 Louis Blanc,' in his " Organisation du Travail," considers prop- erty the great scourge of society. The Government, he asserts, should regulate production ; raise money to be appropriated without interest for creating state workshops, in which the workmen should elect their own overseers, and all receive the same wages ; and the sums needed should be raised from the abolition of collateral inheritance. The important practical part of his scheme was that the great state workshops, aided by the Government, would make private competition in those industries impossible, and thus bring about the change from the private to the socialistic system. The founder of modern German socialism was Karl Marx, 4 and almost the only Socialist who pretended to economic knowledge. He aimed his attack on the present social sys- tem against the question of value, by asserting that the amount of labor necessary for the production of an article is the sole measure of its exchange value. It follows from this that the 1 For an exposition of the varying forms of modern state socialism, and that form of it which advocates the nationalization of land (in H. George's " Prog- ress and Poverty," and Alfred Russel Wallace's "Land Nationalization, its Necessity and its Aims") see a chapter in Henry Fawcett's last (sixth) edition of his " Manual " (1884). For a general and valuable treatise on Socialism, but one which does not describe schemes much later than Owen's, see Louis Rey- baud's " Etudes sur les reformateurs, ou socialistes modernes " (seventh edition, 1864). An excellent bibliography is given, vol. ii, pp. 453-470. ' Pierre Joseph Proudhon (born 1809) made a well-known attack on private property in his " Qu'est-ce que la Propriete," " What is Property ? " (1840). His answer was, " It is robbery." See also Ely, " French and German Socialism " (1883), p. 140. 3 Louis Blanc (born 1813, died 1882). His chief book, the " Organization of Labor," appeared in 1840, in the columns of the "Revue du Progres." 4 Karl Marx (born 1818, died 1883) published "The Criticism of Political Economy" (1859); and an extension of the same book under the new title of " Capital" (1867), of which only the first volume has appeared, on " The Pro- cess of the Production of Capital." This was again enlarged in 1872 to 822 pages. A large part of the work is filled with extracts from parliamentary re- ports on the condition of English workmen. Before the Revolution of 1848 he edited a communistic journal, and was obliged to leave the country afterward, by which he was led to London. He was an able writer on history and politics. Marx was assisted by Friedrich Engels, who wrote " The Condition of the Work- ing Classes in England " (1845). See Ely, ibid., chap. x. 11 162 DISTRIBUTION. right of property in the article vests wholly in the laborer, while the capitalist, if he claims a share of the product, is noth- ing less than a robber. No just system, he avers, can properly exist so long as the rate of wages is fixed by free contract be- tween the employer and laborer ; therefore the only remedy is the nationalization of all the elements of production, land, tools, materials, and all existing appliances, which involves, of course, the destruction of the institution of private property. An ob- vious weakness in this scheme is the provision that the Govern- ment should determine what goods are to be produced, and that every one is bound to perform that work which is assigned by the state. In this there is no choice of work, and the tyranny of one master would be supplanted by the tyranny of a greater multiplex master in the officers of Government. Moreover, it can not be admitted that exchange value is de- termined by the quantity of labor alone. Every one knows that the result of ten days' labor of a skilled watch-maker does not exchange for the result of ten days' labor of an unskilled hodman. Of two men making shoes, one may produce a good the other a: poor article, although both may work the same length of time ; so that their exchange value ought not to be determined by the mere quantity of labor expended. Above all, Marx would extend the equality of wages for the same time to the manager and superintendent also. In other words, he proposes to take away all the incentives to the acquirement or exercise of superior and signal ability in every work of life, the result of which would inevitably lead to a deadening exten- sion of mediocrity. This system gained an undue attention because it was made the instrument of a socialist propaganda under the lead- ership of Ferdinand Lassalle. 1 This active leader, in 1863, founded the German " Workingmen's Union," a year earlier than the "International 3 Association." In 1869 Liebknecht and his friends established the " Social Democratic Working- men's Party," which after some difficulties absorbed the fol- lowers of Lassalle in a congress at Gotha in 1875, and form the 1 Born 1825, the son of a rich Jewish merchant. In philosophy and juris- prudence he won the praise of Humboldt and Boeckh. But vanity and wild ambition checked the success due to great abilities and energy of character. He was finally shot in a duel in 1864. He appears as the antagonist of Schultze (of Delitzsch), advocating state-help against the self-help of the originator of the People's Banks. 1 For an account of this society see Theodore D. Woolsey's " Communism and Socialism" (1880); "Nineteenth Century," July, 1878 ; and Ely, ibid., chap. xi. PROPERTY. 163 present Socialist party in Germany. Their programme, 1 as announced at Gotha, is as follows : I. Labor is the source of all riches and of all culture. As general profitable labor can only be done by the human society, the whole product of labor belongs to society — i. e., to all its members — who have the same duties and the same right to work, each according to his reasonable wants. In the present society the means of work are the monopoly of the class of capitalists. The class of workingmen thus be- come dependent on them, and consequently are given over to all degrees of misery and servitude. In order to emancipate labor it is requisite that the means of work be transformed into the common property of society, that all production be regulated by associations, and that the entire product of labor be turned over to society and justly distributed for the benefit of all. None but the working-class itself can emancipate labor, as in relation to it all other classes are only a reactionary mass. II. Led by these principles, the German Social Working- men's party, by all legal means, strives for a free state and soci- ety, the breaking down of the iron laws of wages by abolishing the system of hired workingmen, by abolishing exploitation in every shape, and doing away with all social and political ine- quality. The German Social Workingmen's party, although first working within its national confines, is fully conscious of the international character of the general workingmen's movement, and is resolved to fulfill all duties which it imposes on each workingraan in order to realize the fraternity of all men. The German Social Workingmen's party, for the purpose of preparing the way, and for the solution of the social prob- lem, demands the creation of social productive associations, to be supported by the state government, and under the control of the working-people. The productive associations are to be founded in such numbers that the social organization of the whole production can be effected by them. The German Social Workingmen's party requires as the basis of state government : 1. Universal, equal, direct, and secret suffrage, which, be- ginning with the twentieth year, obliges all citizens to vote in all State, county, and town elections. Election-day must be a Sunday or a holiday. 2. Direct legislation by the people ; decision as to war and peace by the people. 1 See New York " Nation," Nos. 684, 686. 164 DISTRIBUTION. 3. General capability of bearing arms ; popular defense in place of standing armies. 4. Abolition of all exceptional laws, especially those relating to the press, public meetings, and associations — in short, of all laws which hinder the free expression of ideas and thought. 5. Gratuitous administration of justice by the people. 6. General and equal, popular and gratuitous education by the Government in all classes and institutes of learning ; general duty to attend school ; religion to be declared a private affair. The German Social Workingmen's party insists on realizing in the present state of society : 1. The largest possible extension of political rights and freedom in conformity to the above six demands. 2. A single progressive income-tax for State, counties, and towns, instead of those which are imposed at present, and in place of indirect taxes, which unequally burden the people. 3. Unlimited right of combination. 4. A normal working-day corresponding with the wants of society ; prohibition of Sunday labor. 5. Prohibition of children's work and of women's work, so far as it injures their health and morality. 6. Protective laws for the life and health of workingmen ; sanitary control of their dwellings ; superintendence of mines, factories, industry, and home work by officers chosen by the workingmen ; an effectual law guaranteeing the responsibility of employers. 7. Regulation of prison-work. 8. Unrestricted self-government of all banks established for the mutual assistance of workingmen. The above scheme also represents very well the character of the Socialist agitators in the United States, who are themselves chiefly foreigners, and have foreign conceptions of socialism. On this form of socialism it is interesting to have Mr. Mill's later opinions ' in his own words. " Among those who call themselves Socialists, two kinds of persons may be distinguished. There are, in the first place, (1) those whose plans for a new order of society, in which private property and individual competition are to be superseded and other motives to action substituted, are on the scale of a village community or township, and would be applied to an entire country by the multiplication of such 1 From his posthumous " Chapters on Socialism," " Fortnightly Review," 1879, p. 513 (vol. xxxi), and written in 1869. PROPERTY. 165 self-acting units ; of this character are the systems of Owen, of Fourier, and the more thoughtful and philosophic Social- ists generally. The other class (2) who are more a product of the Continent than of Great Britain, and may be called the revolutionary Socialists, propose to themselves a much bolder stroke. Their scheme is the management of the whole productive resources of the country by one central authority, the general Government. And with this view some of them avow as their purpose that the working- classes, or somebody in their behalf, should take possession of all the property of the country, and administer it for the general benefit. The aim of that is to substitute the new rule for the old at a single stroke, and to exchange the amount of good realized under the present system, and its large possibilities of improvement, for a plunge without any preparation into the most extreme form of the problem of carrying on the whole round of the operations of social life without the motive power which has always hitherto worked the social machinery. It must be acknowledged that those who would play this game on the strength of their own private opinion, unconfirmed as yet by any experimental verification, must have a serene confidence in their own wisdom on the one hand, and a recklessness of people's suf- ferings on the other, which Robespierre and St. Just, hither- to the typical instances of those united attributes, scarcely came up to." § 4. [Of the schemes to be tried within a state], the two elaborate forms of non-communistic Socialism known as Saint-Simonism and Fourierism are totally free from the objections usually urged against Communism. The Saint- Simonian ' scheme does not contemplate an equal, but an 1 The Count de Saint-Simon served in our Revolutionary War in the French army, while very young, and ended a life of misfortune and poverty in 1825, a month after the publication of his " Nouveau Christianismc " (Woolsey's " Com- munism and Socialism," p. 107). For a fuller account, see R. T. Ely's "French and German Socialism," p. 53 ; A. J. Booth's " Saint-Simon and Saint-Simon- ism" (London, 1871); and Reybaud, ibid. 1QQ DISTRIBUTION. unequal division of the produce; it does not propose that all should be occupied alike, but differently, according to their vocation or capacity ; the function of each being as- signed, like grades in a regiment, by the choice of the direct- ing authority, and the remuneration being by salary, pro- portioned to the importance, in the eyes of that authority, of the function itself, and the merits of the person who ful- fills it. But to suppose that one or a few human beings, howsoever selected, could, by whatever machinery of sub- ordinate agency, be qualified to adapt each person's work to his capacity, and proportion each person's remuneration to his merits, is a supposition almost too chimerical to be reasoned against. 1 The most skillfully combined, and with the greatest fore- sight of objections, of all the forms of Socialism is that com- monly known as Fourierism.' This system does not con- template the abolition of private property, nor even of in- heritance: on the contrary, it avowedly takes into consid- eration, as an element in the distribution of the produce, capital as well as labor. It proposes that the operations of industry should be carried on by associations of about two thousand members, combining their labor on a district of about a square league in extent, under the guidance of chiefs selected by themselves (the " phalanstery "). In the distribution a certain minimum is first assigned for the subsistence of every member of the community, whether capable or not of labor. The remainder of the produce is shared in certain proportions, to be determined before- hand, among the three elements, Labor, Capital, and Talent. 1 This experiment when put on trial in France first brought up the question of the legal justice of giving an absolute right to inherited property, and num- bered among its disciples the economists, Michel Chevalier and Adolphe Blan- qui, and the philosopher, Auguste Comte. 2 Fourier was born at Besancon in 1112. He wrote the " Theory of the Four Movements" (1808) ; "A Treatise on Domestic and Agricultural Associa- tion " (1822) ; " The Theory of Universal Unity " (1841). Died 1837. See Ely, ibid., p. 81 ; Victor Considerant's " La Destinee Sociale " (fourth edition, 1851) ; and Reybaud, ibid. PROPERTY. 1(37 The capital of the community may be owned in unequal shares by different members, who would in that case re- ceive, as in any other joint-stock company, proportional divi- dends. The claim of each person on the share of the prod- uce apportioned to talent is estimated by the grade or rank which the individual occupies in the several groups of labor- ers to which he or she belongs, these grades being in all cases conferred by the choice of his or her companions. The remuneration, when received, would not of necessity be expended or enjoyed in common ; there would be separate menages for all who prefered them, and no other commu- nity of living is contemplated than that all the members of the association should reside in the same pile of buildings ; for saving of labor and expense, not only in building, but in every branch of domestic economy ; and in order that, the whole buying and selling operations of the community being performed by a single agent, the enormous portion of the produce of industry now carried off by the profits of mere distributors might be reduced to the smallest amount possible. Fourierism was tried in "West Virginia by American dis- ciples, and it was advocated by Horace Greeley. A modified form appeared in the famous community at Brook Farm (near Dedham, Massachusetts), which drew there George Ripley, Margaret Fuller, and even George William Curtis and Nathan- iel Hawthorne. There have been many smaller communities established in the United States, but it can not be said that they have been successful from the point of view either of numbers or mate- rial prosperity. The followers of Rapp, or the Harmonists, in Pennsylvania and Indiana ; the Owenites, 1 in Indiana ; the community of Zoar, in Ohio ; the Inspirationists, in New York 1 Robert Owen (father of Robert Dale Owen), born 1771, in 1799 was en- gaged in the famous New Lanark Mills, of which Jeremy Bentham was one of the partners. In 1825 he purchased Harmony, in Indiana, from Mr. Rapp. He believed in a full community of property ; that the Government should employ the surplus of labor for which there was no demand ; and that, until the mem- bers became fully trained, affairs should be managed by one head (as in Saint- Simonism). 1(58 DISTRIBUTION. and Iowa ; the Perfectionists, at Oneida and Wallingford — are all evidently suffering from the difficulties due to the absence of family life, from the increasing spirit of personal independence which carries away the younger members of the organizations, 1 and the want of that executive ability which distinguishes the successful manager in private enterprises. § 5. " The attacks* on the present social order are vigor- ous and earnest, but open to the charge of exaggeration. " In the first place, it is unhappily true that the wages of ordinary labor, in all the countries of Europe, are wretchedly insufficient to supply the physical and moral necessities of the population in any tolerable measure. But when it is further alleged that even this insufficient remuneration has a tendency to diminish ; that there is, in the words of M. Louis Blanc, une baisse continue des salaires / the assertion is in opposition to all accurate information, and to many notorious facts. It has yet to be proved that there is any country in the civilized world where the ordinary wages of labor, es- timated either in money or in articles of consumption, are declining ; while in many they are, on the whole, on the in- crease ; and an increase which is becoming, not slower, but more rapid. There are, occasionally, branches of industry which are being gradually superseded by something else, and in those, until production accommodates itself to demand, wages are depressed. " M. Louis Blanc appears to have fallen into the same error which was at first committed by Malthus and his followers, that of supposing because population has a greater power of 1 For Brook Farm, see Noyes's " History of American Socialism," chapter xi, and the life of "George Ripley," by 0. B. Frothingham (1882). In general, also, for American experiments see Charles Nordhoff's " The Communistic Soci- eties of the United States"; W. A. Hinds's "American Communists" (1878); Woolsey's "Communism and Socialism" (1880); and Noyes's "American So- cialism" (1870). s The extracts in large type in this section are taken from Mr. Mill's " Chap- ters on Socialism" ("Fortnightly Review," 1879), being only the beginning of a larger work begun in 1869, and given to the public since his death. They are of interest because they give his conclusions twenty years after his " Politi- cal Economy " was written. PROPERTY. 109 increase than subsistence, its pressure upon subsistence must be always growing more severe. It is a great point gained for truth when it comes to be seen that the tendency to over- population is a fact which Communism, as well as the exist- ing order of society, would have to deal with. However this may be, experience shows that in the existing state of society the pressure of population on subsistence, which is the principal cause of low wages, though a great, is not an increasing evil ; on the contrary, the progress of all that is called civilization has a tendency to diminish it, partly by the more rapid increase of the means of employing and main- taining labor, partly by the increased facilities opened to labor for transporting itself to new countries and unoccupied fields of employment, and partly by a general improvement in the intelligence and prudence of the population. It is, of course, open to discussion what form of society has the greatest power of dealing successfully with the pressure of population on subsistence, and on this question there is much to be said for Socialism ; but it has no just claim to be considered as the sole means of preventing the general and growing degradation of the mass of mankind through the peculiar tendency of poverty to produce over- population. " Next, it must be observed that Socialists generally, and even the most enlightened of them, have a very imperfect and one-sided notion of the operation of competition. They see half its effects, and overlook the other half. They forget that competition is a cause of high prices and values as well as of low ; that the buyers of labor and of commodities com- pete with one another as well as the sellers ; and that, if it is competition which keeps the prices of labor and commodities as low as they are, it is competition which keeps them from falling still lower. To meet this consideration, Socialists are reduced to affirm that, when the richest competitor has got rid of all his rivals, he commands the market and can de- mand any price he pleases. But in the ordinary branches of industry no one rich competitor has it in his power to drive 170 DISTRIBUTION. out all the smaller ones. Some businesses show a tendency to pass out of the hands of small producers or dealers into a smaller number of larger ones ; but the cases in which this happens are those in which the possession of a larger capital permits the adoption of more powerful machinery, more efficient by more expensive processes, or a better organized and more economical mode of carrying on business, and this enables the large dealer legitimately and permanently to supply the commodity cheaper than can be done on the small scale ; to the great advantage of the consumers, and there- fore of the laboring-classes, and diminishing, pro tanto, that waste of the resources of the community so much complained of by Socialists, the unnecessary multiplication of mere dis- tributors, and of the various other classes whom Fourier calls the parasites of industry. " Another point on which there is much misapprehension on the part of Socialists, as well as of trades-unionists and other partisans of labor against capital, relates to the propor- tion in which the produce of the country is really shared and the amount of what is actually diverted from those who pro- duce it, to enrich other persons. When, for instance, a capi- talist invests £20,000 in his business, and draws from it an in- come of (suppose) £2,000 a year, the common impression is as if he were the beneficial owner both of the £20,000 and of the £2,000, while the laborers own nothing but their wages. The truth, however, is that he only obtains the £2,000 on condition of applying no part of the £20,000 to his own use. He has the legal control over it, and might squan- der it if he chose, but if he did he would not have the £2,000 a year also. For all personal purposes they have the capital and he has but the profits, which it only yields to him on condition that the capital itself is employed in satisfying not his own wants, but those of laborers. Even of his own share a small part only belongs to him as the owner of capital. The portion of the produce which falls to capital merely as capital is measured by the interest of money, since that is all that the owner of capital obtains PROPERTY. 271 when he contributes to production nothing except the capi- tal itself. " The result of our review of the various difficulties of So- cialism has led us to the conclusion that the various schemes for managing the productive resources of the country bv public instead of private agency have a case for a trial, and some of them may eventually establish their claims to prefer- ence over the existing order of things, but that they are at present workable only by the elite of mankind, and have yet to prove their power of training mankind at large to the state of improvement which they presuppose." § 6. It is next to be considered what is included in the idea of private property and by what considerations the ap- plication of the principle should be bounded. The institution of property, when limited to its essential elements, consists in the recognition, in each person, of a right to the exclusive disposal of what he or she have pro- duced by their own exertions, or received either by gift or by fair agreement, without force or fraud, from those who produced it. The foundation of the whole is, the right of producers to what they themselves have produced. Nothing is implied in property but the right of each to his (or her) own faculties, to what he can produce by them, and to what- ever he can get for them in a fair market : together with his right to give this to any other person if he chooses, and the right of that other to receive and enjoy it. It follows, therefore, that although the right of bequest, or gift after death, forms part of the idea of private property, the right of inheritance, as distinguished from bequest, does not. That the property of persons who have made no dispo- sition of it during their lifetime should pass first to their children, and, failing them, to the nearest relations, may be a proper arrangement or not, but is no consequence of the principle of private property. I see no reason why collateral inheritance should exist at all. Mr. Bentham long ago pro- posed, and other high authorities have agreed in the opinion, that, if there are no heirs either in the descending or in the 172 DISTRIBUTION. ascending line, the property, in case of intestacy, should es- cheat to the state. The parent owes to society to endeavor to make the child a good and valuable member of it, and owes to the children to provide, so far as depends on him, such education, and such appliances and means, as will en- able them to start with a fair chance of achieving by their own exertions a successful life. To this every child has a claim ; and I can not admit that as a child he has a claim to more. The essential principle of property being to assure to all persons what they have produced by their labor and accumu- lated by their abstinence, this principle can not apply to what is not the produce of labor, the raw material of the earth. If the land derived its productive power wholly from nature, and not at all from industry, or if there were any means of discriminating what is derived from each source, it not only would not be necessary, but it would be the height of injus- tice, to let the gift of nature be engrossed by individuals^ [But] the use of the land in agriculture must indeed, for the time being, be of necessity exclusive ; the same person who has plowed and sown must be permitted to reap. But though land is not the produce of industry, most of its valuable qualities are so. Labor is not only requisite for using, but almost equally so for fashioning, the instrument. Considerable labor is often required at the commencement, to clear the land for cultivation. In many cases, even when cleared, its productiveness is wholly the effect of labor and art. One of the barren est soils in the world, composed of the material of the Goodwin Sands, the Pays de Waes in Flanders, has been so fertilized by industry as to have be- come one of the most productive in Europe. Cultivation also requires buildings and fences, which are wholly the prod- uce of labor. The fruits of this industry can not be reaped in a short period. The labor and outlay are immediate, the benefit is spread over many years, perhaps over all future time. A holder will not incur this labor and outlay when strangers and not himself will be benefited by it. If he PROPERTY. 173 undertakes such improvements, he must have a sufficient period before him in which to profit by them ; and he is in no way so sure of having always a sufficient period as when his tenure is perpetual. These are the reasons which form the justification, in an economical point of view, of property in land. It is seen that they are only valid in so far as the proprietor of land is its improver. Whenever, in any country, the proprietor, generally speaking, ceases to be the improver, political econ- omy has nothing to say in defense of landed property, as there established. "When the " sacredness of property " is talked of, it should always be remembered that any such sacredness does not belong in the same degree to landed property. ]STo man made the land. It is the original inheritance of the whole species. Its appropriation is wholly a question of general expediency. When private property in land is not expedient, it is unjust. The reverse is the case with prop- erty in movables, and in all things the product of labor: over these, the owner's power both of use and of exclusion should be absolute, except where positive evil to others would result from it ; but, in the case of land, no exclusive right should be permitted in any individual which can not be shown to be productive of positive good. To be allowed any exclusive right at all, over a portion of the common in- heritance, while there are others who have no portion, is already a privilege. No quantity of movable goods which a person can acquire by his labor prevents others from ac- quiring the like by the same means; but, from the very nature of the case, whoever owns land keeps others out of the enjoyment of it. When land is not intended to be cultivated, no good reason can in general be given for its being private property at all. Even in the case of cultivated land, a man whom, though only one among millions, the law permits to hold thousands of acres as his single share, is not entitled to think that all this is given to him to use and abuse, and deal with as if it concerned nobody but himself. 174 DISTRIBUTION. The rents or profits which he can obtain from it are at his sole disposal ; but with regard to the land, in everything which he does with it, and in everything which he abstains from doing, he is morally bound, and should, whenever the case admits, be legally compelled to make his interest and pleasure consistent with the public good. CHAPTER II. OF WAGES. § 1. Political economists generally, and English politi- cal economists above others, have been accustomed to lay almost exclusive stress upon the first of [two] agencies [competition and custom] ; to exaggerate the effect of com- petition, and to take into little account the other and con- flicting principle. They are apt to express themselves as if they thought that competition actually does, in all cases, whatever it can be shown to be the tendency of competition to do. This is partly intelligible, if we consider that onlji through the principle of competition has political economy any pretension to the character of a science. So far as rents, profits, wages, prices, are determined by competition, laws may be assigned for them. Assume competition to be theirj exclusive regulator, and principles of broad generality and! scientific precision may be laid down, according to which they will be regulated. The political economist justly deems this his proper business : and, as an abstract or hypothetical science, political economy can not be required to do, and in- deed can not do, anything more. But it would be a great misconception of the actual course of human affairs to sup- pose that competition exercises in fact this unlimited sway. I am not speaking of monopolies, either natural or artificial, or of any interferences of authority with the liberty of pro- ^ duction or exchange. Such disturbing causes have always^ been allowed for by political economists. I speak of cases in which there is nothing to restrain competition ; no hin- 176 DISTRIBUTION. drance to it either in the nature of the case or in artificial obstacles ; yet in which the result is not determined by competition, but by custom or usage ; competition either not taking place at all, or producing its effect in quite a dif- ferent manner from that which is ordinarily assumed to be natural to it. As stated by Mr. Cairnes, 1 political economy is a science just as is any recognized physical science — astronomy, chemis- try, physiology. The economic " facts we find existing are the the results of causes, between which and them the connection is constant and invariable. It is, then, the constant relations exhibited in economic phenomena that we have in view when we speak of the laws of the phenomena of wealth ; and in the exposition of these laws consists the science of political econ- omy." It is to be remembered that economic laws are tenden- cies, not actual descriptions of any given conditions in this or that place. Competition, in fact, has only become in any considerable degree the governing principle of contracts, at a compara- tively modern period. The further we look 'back into his- tory, the more we see all transactions and engagements under the influence of fixed customs. The relations, more espe- cially between the land-owner and the cultivator, and the payments made by the latter to the former, are, in all states of society but the most modern, determined by the usage of the country. The custom of the country is the universal rule ; nobody thinks of raising or lowering rents, or of let- ting land, on other than the customary conditions. Compe- tition, as a regulator of rent, has no existence. Prices, whenever there was no monopoly, came earlier under the influence of competition, and are much more uni- versally subject to it, than rents. The wholesale trade, in the great articles of commerce, is really under the dominion of competition. But retail price, the price paid by the actual consumer, seems to feel very slowly and imperfectly the effect of competition ; and, when competition does exist, 1 " Logical Method," pp. 34, 36. c^ ^r WAGES. 177 it often, instead of lowering prices, merely divides the gains of the high price among a greater number of dealers. The influence of competition is making itself felt more and more through the principal branches of retail trade in the large towns. All professional remuneration is regulated by custom. The fees of physicians, surgeons, and barristers, the charges of attorneys, are nearly invariable. Not certainly for want of abundant competition in those professions, but because the competition operates by diminishing each competitor's chance of fees, not by lowering the fees themselves. These observations must be received as a general cor- rection to be applied whenever relevant, whether expressly mentioned or not, to the conclusions contained in the sub- sequent portions of this treatise. Our reasonings must, in general, proceed as if the known and natural effects of com- petition were actually produced by it, in all cases in which it is not restrained by some positive obstacle. "Where com- petition, though free to exist, does not exist, or where it exists, but has its natural consequences overruled by any other agency, the conclusions will fail more or less of being applicable. To escape error, we ought, in applying the con- clusions of political economy to the actual affairs of life, to consider not only what will happen supposing the maximum of competition, but how far the result will be affected if competition falls short of the maximum. § 2. Under the head of "Wages are to be considered, first, the causes which determine or influence the wages of labor generally, and secondly, the differences that exist between the wages of different employments. It is convenient to keep these two classes of considerations separate ; and in discussing the law of wages, to proceed in the first instance as if there were no other kind of labor than common un- skilled labor, of the average degree of hardness and disagree- ableness. Competition, however, must be regarded, in the present 6tate of society, as the principal regulator of wages, and cus- 12 178 DISTRIBUTION. torn or individual character only as a modifying circumstance, and that in a comparatively slight degree. s~ Wages, then, depend mainly upon the demand and sup- (ply of labor ; or, as it is often expressed, on the propor- tion between population and capital. By population is here meant the number only of the laboring-class, or rather of those who work for hire ; and by capital, only circulating capital, and not even the whole of that, but the part which is expended in the direct purchase of labor. To this, how- ever, must be added all funds which, without forming a part of capital, are paid in exchange for labor, such as the wages of soldiers, domestic servants, and all other unproductive laborers. There is unfortunately no mode of expressing, by one familiar term, the aggregate of what may be called the wages-fund of a country : and, as the wages of productive labor form nearly the whole of that fund, it is usual to over- look the smaller and less important part, and to say that wages depend on population and capital. It will be con- venient to employ this expression, remembering, however, to consider it as elliptical, and not as a literal statement of the entire truth. With these limitations of the terms, wages not only de- pend upon the relative amount of capital and population, but can not, under the rule of competition, be affected by anything else. Wages (meaning, of course, the general rate) can not rise, but by an increase of the aggregate funds employed in hiring laborers, or a diminution in the number of the competitors for hire ; nor fall, except either by a diminution of the funds devoted to paying labor, or by an increase in the number of laborers to be paid. ' This is the simple statement of the well-known Wages-Fund Theory, which has given rise to no little animated discussion. Few economists now assent to this doctrine when stated as above, and without changes. The first attack on this explana- tion of the rate of wages came from what is now a very scarce pamphlet, written by F. D. Longe, entitled " A Refutation of the Wage-Fund Theory of Modern Political Economy" (1866). Because laborers do not really compete with each other, he WAGES. 179 regarded the idea of average wages as absurd as the idea of an average price of ships and cloth ; he declared that there was no predetermined wages-fund necessarily expended on labor ; and that " demand for commodities " determined the amount of wealth devoted to paying wages (p. 46). While the so-called wages-fund limits the total amount which the laborers can re- ceive, the employer would try to get his workmen at as much less than that amount as possible, so that the aggregate fund would have no bearing on the actual amount paid in wages. The quantity of work to be done, he asserts, determines the quan- tity of labor to be employed. About the same time (but un- known to Mr. Longe), W. T. Thornton was studying the same subject, and attracted considerable attention by his publication, 11 On Labor" (1868), which in Book II, Chap. I, contained an extended argument to show that demand and supply (i. e., the proportion between wages-fund and laborers) did. not regulate wages, and denied the existence of a predetermined wages-fund fixed in amount. His attack, however, assumes a very different conception of an economic law from that which we think right to insist upon. The character of mankind being what it is, it will be for their interest to invest so much and no more in labor, and we must believe that in this sense there is a predetermination of wealth to be paid in wages. In order to make good investments, a certain amount must, if capi- talists follow their best interests, go to the payment of labor. 1 Mr. Thornton's argument attracted the more attention because Mr. Mill a admitted that Mr. Thornton had induced him to abandon his Wages-Fund Theory. The sub- ject was, however, taken up, re- examined by Mr. Cairnes, 3 and stated in a truer form. (1.) The total wealth of a country (circle A in the diagram) is the outside limit of its capital. How much capital will be saved out of this depends upon the effective desire of accumulation in the com- munity (as set forth in Book I, Chap. VIII). The size of circle B within circle A, therefore, depends on the character of the people. The wages-fund, then, depends ultimately on the ex- tent of A, and proximately on the extent of B. It can never 1 Cf. Cairnes, "Leading Principles," pp. 180-188. 9 In the " Fortnightly Review," May 1, 1869. 3 " Leading Principles," pp. 149-189. 180 DISTRIBUTION. be larger than B. So far, at least, its amount is " predeter- mined" in the economic sense by general laws regarding the accumulation of capital and the expectation of profit. Circle B contracts and expands under influences which have nothing to do with the immediate bargains between capitalists and la- borers. (2.) Another influence now conies in to affect the amount of capital actually paid as wages, one also governed by general causes outside the reach of laborer or capitalist, that is, the state of the arts of production. In production, the particular conditions of each industry will determine how much capital is to be set apart for raw material, how much for machinery, buildings, and all forms of fixed capital, and how many laborers will be assigned to a given machine for a given amount of material. With some kinds of hand-made goods the largest share of capital goes to wages, a less amount for materials, and a very small proportion for machinery and tools. In many branches of agriculture and small farming this holds true. The converse, however, is true in many manufactures, where machinery is largely used. No two industries will maintain the same proportion between the three elements. The nature of the industry, therefore, will determine whether a greater or a less share of capital will be spent in wages. It is needless to say that this condition of things is not one to be changed at the demand of either of the two parties to production, Labor and Capital ; it responds only to the advance of mechanical sci- ence or general intelligence. It is impossible, then, to escape the conclusion that genei-al causes restrict the amount which will, under any normal investment, go to the payment of wages. Only within the limits set by these forces can any further expansion or contraction take place. (3.) Within these limits, of course, minor changes may take place, so that the fund can not be said to be "fixed" or "absolutely predeter- mined"; but these changes must take place within such nar- row limits that they do not much affect the practical side of the question. How these changes act, may be seen in a part of the following illustration of the above principles : Suppose a cotton-mill established in one of the valleys of Vermont, for the management of which the owner has $140,000 of capital. Of this, $100,000 is given for buildings, machinery, and plant. If he turns over his remaining capital ($40,000) each month, we will suppose that $28,000 spent in raw mate- rials will keep five hundred men occupied at a monthly ex- penditure of $12,000. The present state of cotton-manufacture itself settles the relation between a given quantity of raw cot- ton and a certain amount of machinery. A fixed amount of cotton, no more, no less, can be spun by each spindle and woven by each loom ; and the nature of the process determines WAGES. 181 the number of laborers to each machine. This proportion is something which an owner must obey, if he expects to compete with other manufacturers : the relationship is fixed for, not by, him. Now, each of the five hundred laborers being supposed to receive on an average $1.00 a day, imagine an influx of a body of French Canadians who offer to work, on an average, for eighty cents a day. 1 The five hundred men will now receive but $9,600 monthly instead of $12,000, as before, as a wages- fund ; the monthly payment for wages now is nearly seven per cent, while formerly it was nearly nine per cent of the total capital invested ($140,000). Thus it will be seen that the wages-fund can change with a change in the supply of labor : but the point to be noticed is that it is a change in the subdi- vision, $12,000, of the total $140,000. That is^ this alteration can take place only within the limits set by the nature of the industry. Now, if this $2,400 (i. e., $12,000 less $9,600) saved out of the wages-fund were to be reinvested, it must necessa- rily be divided between raw materials, fixed capital, and wages in the existing relations, that is, only seven per cent of the new $2,400 would be added to the wages-fund. It is worth while calling attention to this, if for no other reason than to show that in this way a change can be readily made in the wages- fund by natural movements; and that no one can be so absurd as to say that it is absolutely fixed in amount. But it certain- ly is " predetermined " in the economic sense, in that any rein- vestments, as well as former funds, must necessarily be distrib- uted according to the above general principles, independent of the "higgling" in the labor market. The following is Mr. Cairnes's statement of the amount and " predetermination " of the wages-fund : " I believe that, in the existing state of the national wealth, the character of Englishmen being what it is, a certain pros- pect of profit will " determine " a certain proportion of this wealth to productive investment; that the amount thus 'deter- mined ' will increase as the field for investment is extended, and that it will not increase beyond what this field can find employment for at that rate of profit which satisfies English commercial expectation. Further, I believe that, investment thus taking place, the form which it shall assume will be 'de- termined' by the nature of the national industries — 'deter- mined,' not under acts of Parliament, or in virtue of any physi- cal law, but through the influence of the investor's interests ; while this, the form of the investment, will again 'determine' the proportion of the whole capital which shall be paid as 1 Counting six days to a week and four weeks to a month. 182 DISTRIBUTION. wages to laborers." ' In this excellent and masterly concep- tion, the doctrine of a wages-fund is not open to the objections usually urged against it. Indeed, with the exception of Pro- fessor Fawcett, scarcely any economist believes in an absolute- ly fixed wages-fund. In this sense, then, and in view of the above explanation, it will be understood what is meant by say- ing that wages depend upon the proportion of the wages-fund to the number of the wage-receivers.' In applying these principles to the question of strikes, it is evident enough that if they result in an actual expansion of the whole circle B, by forcing saving from unproductive expendi- ture, a real addition, of some extent, may be made to the wages-fund ; but only by increasing the total capital. If, how- ever, they attempt to increase one of the elements of capital, the wages-fund, without also adding to the other elements, fixed capital and materials, in the proportion fixed by the nature of the industry, they will destroy all possibility of continuing that production in the normal way, and the capitalist must withdraw from the enterprise. Francis A. Walker s has also offered a solution of this prob- lem in his " Wages Question " (1876), in which he holds that " wages are, in a philosophical view of the subject, paid out of the product of present industry, and hence that production furnishes the true measure of wages" (p. 128). ''It is the prospect of a profit in production which determines the em- ployer to hire laborers ; it is the anticipated value of the prod- uct which determines how much he can pay him" (p. 144). No doubt wages can be (and often are) paid out of the current product ; but what amount ? What is the principle of distribu- tion ? Wherever the incoming product is a moral certainty (and, unless this is true, in no case could wages be paid out of the future product), saving is as effective upon it as upon the actual accumulations of the past ; and the amount of the coming product which will be saved and used as capital is determined by the same principles which govern the saving of past prod- ucts. An increase of circle A by a larger production makes possible an increase of circle B, but whether it will be enlarged 1 " Leading Principles," p. 185. 8 Mr. Thornton replied to Mr. Cairnes (" Nineteenth Century," August, 1879). A succinct statement of the condition of the wages-fund controversy has been made by Henry Sidgwick, "Fortnightly Review," September 1, 18*79. See also W. G. Sumner, "Princeton Review," " Wages," November, 1882. 3 He advanced the same view in the "North American Review," vol. cxx, January, 1875. In his "Political Economy " (1883) he advances a more exten- sive theory of distribution. See "Atlantic Monthly," July, 1883, p. 129. WAGES. 133 or not depends on the principle of accumulation. The larger the total production of wealth, the greater the possible wages, all must admit; but it does not seem clear that General Walker has given us a solution of the real question at issue. The larger the house you build, the larger the rooms may be ; but it does not follow that the rooms will be necessarily large — as any inmate of a summer hotel will testify. § 3. There are, however, some facts in apparent con- tradiction to this [the Wages-Fund] doctrine, which it is in- cumbent on us to consider and explain. 1. For instance, it is a common saying that wages are high when trade is good. The demand for labor in any par- ticular employment is more pressing, and higher wages are paid, when there is a brisk demand for the commodity pro- duced ; and the contrary when there is what is called a stagnation : then work-people are dismissed, and those who are retained must submit to a reduction of wages ; though in these cases there is neither more nor less capital than be- fore. This is true ; and is one of those complications in the concrete phenomena which obscure and disguise the opera- tion of general causes ; but it is not really inconsistent with the principles laid down. Capital which the owner does not employ in purchasing labor, but keeps idle in his hands, is the same thing to the laborers, for the time being, as if it did not exist. All capital is, from the variations of trade, occasionally in this state. A manufacturer, finding a slack demand for his commodity, forbears to employ la- borers in increasing a stock which he finds it difficult to dispose of ; or if he goes on until all his capital is locked up in unsold goods, then at least he must of necessity pause until he can get paid for some of them. But no one expects either of these states to be permanent ; if he did, he would at the first opportunity remove his capital to some other occupation, in which it would still continue to employ la- bor. The capital remains unemployed for a time, during which the labor market is overstocked, and wages fall. Afterward the demand revives, and perhaps becomes un- usually brisk, enabling the manufacturer to sell his com- 184 DISTRIBUTION. modify even faster than he can produce it ; his whole capi- tal is then brought into complete efficiency, and, if he is able, he borrows capital in addition, which would otherwise have gone into some other employment. These, however, are but temporary fluctuations : the capital now lying idle will next year be in active employment, that which is this year unable to keep up with the demand will in its turn be locked up in crowded warehouses ; and wages in these several de- partments will ebb and flow accordingly : but nothing can permanently alter general wages, except an increase or a diminution of capital itself (always meaning by the term, the funds of all sorts, destined for the payment of labor) com- pared with the quantity of labor offering itself to be hired. 2. Again, it is another common notion that high prices make high wages ; because the producers and dealers, being better off, can afford to pay more to their laborers. I have already said that a brisk demand, which causes temporary high prices, causes also temporary high wages. But high prices, in themselves, can only raise wages if the dealers, receiving more, are induced to save more, and make an addition to their capital, or at least to their purchases of labor. Wages will probably be temporarily higher in the employment in which prices have risen, and somewhat lower in other employments : in which case, while the first half of the phenomenon excites notice, the other is generally over- looked, or, if observed, is not ascribed to the cause which really produced it. Nor will the partial rise of wages last long : for, though the dealers in that one employment gain more, it does not follow that there is room to employ a greater amount of savings in their own business : their in- creasing capital will probably flow over into other employ- ments, and there counterbalance the diminution previously made in the demand for labor by the diminished savings of other classes. A clear distinction must be made between real wages and money wages ; the former is of importance to the laborer, the latter to the employer. The quantity of commodities satisfy- WAGES. 135 ing his desires which the laborer receives for his exertion con- stitutes his real wages. The mere amount of money he receives for his exertions, irrespective of what the money will exchange for, forms his money wages. Since the functions of money have not yet been explained, it is difficult to discuss the rela- tion between prices and money wages here. But, as the total value of the products in a certain industry is the sum out of which both money wages and profits are paid, this total will rise or fall (efficiency of labor remaining the same) with the price of the particular article. If the price rises, profits will be greater than elsewhere, and more capital will be invested in that one business ; that is, the capital will be a demand for more labor, and, until equalization is accomplished in all trades between wages and profits, money wages will be higher in some trades than in others. 1 When reference is had to the connection between real wages and prices, the question is a different one. General high prices would not change general real wages. But if high prices cause higher money wages in particular branches of trade, then, because the movement is not general, there will accrue, to those receiving more money, the means to buy more of real wages. And, as in practice, changes in prices which arise from an increased demand are partial, and not general, it often hap- pens that high prices produce high real wages (not general high wages) in some, not in all employments. (For a further study of this relation between pi'ices and wages the reader is advised to recall this discussion in connection with that in a later part of the volume, Book III, Chaps. XX and XXI. ) 3. Another opinion often maintained is, that wages (mean- ing of course money wages) vary with the price of food ; rising when it rises, and falling when it falls. This opinion is, I conceive, only partially true ; and, in so far as true, in no way affects the dependence of wages on the proportion between capital and labor: since the price of food, when it affects wages at all, affects them through, that law. Dear or cheap food caused by variety of seasons does not affect wages (unless they are artificially adjusted to it by law or charity) : or rather, it has some tendency to affect them in the contrary way to that supposed ; since in times of scarcity people generally compete more violently for employment, and lower the labor market against themselves. But dear- 1 See Cairnes, " Leading Principles," p. 209. 186 DISTRIBUTION. ness or cheapness of food, when of a permanent character, and capable of being calculated on beforehand, may affect wages. (1.) In the first place, if the laborers have, as is often the case, no more than enough to keep them in working condition and enable them barely to support the ordinary number of children, it follows that, if food grows perma- nently dearer without a rise of wages, a greater number of the children will prematurely die ; and thus wages will ultimately be higher, but only because the number of peo- ple will be smaller, than if food had remained cheap. (2.) But, secondly, even though wages were high enough to admit of food's becoming more costly without depriving the la- borers and their families of necessaries ; though they could bear, physically speaking, to be worse off, perhaps they would not consent to be so. They might have habits of comfort which were to them as necessaries, and sooner than forego which, they would put an additional restraint on their power of multiplication; so that wages would rise, not by increase of deaths but by diminution of births. In these cases, then, wages do adapt themselves to the price of food, though after an interval of almost a generation. 1 If wages were previously so high that they could bear reduc- tion, to which the obstacle was a high standard of comfort habitual among the laborers, a rise of the price of food, or any other disadvantageous change in their circumstances, may operate in two ways : (a) it may correct itself by a rise of wages, brought about through a gradual effect on the pru- dential check to population ; or (h) it may permanently lower the standard of living of the class, in case their previous habits in respect of population prove stronger than their previous habits in respect of comfort. In that case the in- jury done to them will be permanent, and their deteriorated condition will become a new minimum, tending to perpetu- 1 This proposition needs to be kept in mind for the future discussion of the cost of production of food and its relation to cost of labor. Book II, Chap. V, §8. WAGES. 187 ate itself as the more ample minimum did before. It is to be feared that, of the two modes in which the cause may operate, the last (b) is the most frequent, or at all events suffi- ciently so to render all propositions, ascribing a self-repair- ing quality to the calamities which befall the laboring-classes, practically of no validity. The converse case occurs when, by improvements in agri- culture, the repeal of corn laws, or other such causes, the necessaries of the laborers are cheapened, and they are enabled with the same [money] wages to command greater comforts than before. Wages will not fall immediately : it is even possible that they may rise ; but they will fall at last, so as to leave the laborers no better off than before, unless during this interval of prosperity the standard of comfort regarded as indispensable by the class is permanently raised. Unfor- tunately this salutary effect is by no means to be counted upon : it is a much more difficult thing to raise, than to lower, the scale of living which the laborers will consider as more indispensable than marrying and having a family. According to all experience, a great increase invariably takes place in the number of marriages in seasons of cheap food and full employment. This is to be seen by some brief statistics of marriages in Vermont and Massachusetts. 1860. 1861. 1863. 1863. 1864. 1865. 1866. 1867. Massachusetts . . . 2,179 12,404 2,1S8 10,972 1,962 11,014 2,007 10,873 1,804 1 2,569 12,513 |l3,052 3,001 14,428 2,857 14,451 In Vermont, while the average number of marriages was reached in 1860 and 1861, it fell off on the breaking out of the war ; rose in 1863, under the fair progress of the Northern arms ; again fell off in 1864, during the period of discouragement ; and since 1865 has kept a regularly higher average. In manufacturing Massachusetts the number fell ear- lier than in agricultural Vermont, at the beginning of the difficulties. The effects of the financial panic of 1857, in Massachusetts, 1856 July to Jan.. . . 6,418 1857 Jan. to July. . . .5,808 (i . .5,936 1858 Jan. to July. . ..4,917 5,610 188 DISTRIBUTION. show a similar movement in the number of marriages. The crisis came in October, 1857. In the three months following that date there were 400 less marriages. To produce permanent advantage, the temporary cause operating upon them must be sufficient to make a great change in their condition — a change such as will be felt for many- years, notwithstanding any stimulus which it may give dur- ing one generation to the increase of people. When, indeed, the improvement is of this signal character, and a generation grows up which has always been used to an improved scale of comfort, the habits of this new generation in respect to population become formed upon a higher minimum, and the improvement in their condition becomes permanent. , § 4. Wages depend, then, on the proportion between the number of the laboring population and the capital or other funds devoted to the purchase of labor; we will say, for shortness, the capital. If wages are higher at one time or place than at another, if the subsistence and comfort of the class of hired laborers are more ample, it is for no other reason than because capital bears a greater proportion to population. It is not the absolute amount of accumulation or of production that is of importance to the laboring-class ; it is not the amount even of the funds destined for distribu- tion among the laborers ; it is the proportion between those funds and the numbers among whom they are shared. The condition of the class can be bettered in no other way than by altering that proportion to their advantage : and every scheme for their benefit which does not proceed on this as its foundation is, for all permanent purposes, a delusion. In countries like North America and the Australian colo- nies, where the knowledge and arts of civilized life and a high effective desire of accumulation coexist with a bound- less extent of unoccupied land, the growth of capital easily keeps pace with the utmost possible increase of population, and is chiefly retarded by the impracticability of obtaining laborers enough. All, therefore, who can possibly be born can find employment without overstocking the market : every WAGES. 189 laboring family enjoys in abundance the necessaries, many of the comforts, and some of the luxuries of life ; and, un- less in case of individual misconduct, or actual inability to work, poverty does not, and dependence need not, exist. [In England] so gigantic has been the progress of the cotton manufacture since the inventions of Watt and Arkwright, that the capital engaged in it has probably quadrupled in the time which population requires for doubling. "While, there- fore, it has attracted from other employments nearly all the hands which geographical circumstances and the habits or inclinations of the people rendered available ; and while the demand it created for infant labor has enlisted the immediate pecuniary interest of the operatives in favor of promoting, instead of restraining, the increase of population ; neverthe- less wages in the great seats of the manufacture are still so high that the collective earnings of a family amount, on an average of years, to a very satisfactory sum ; and there is as yet no sign of decrease, while the effect has also been felt in raising the general standard of agricultural wages in the counties adjoining. But those circumstances of a country, or of an occupa- tion, in which population can with impunity increase at its utmost rate, are rare and transitory. Yery few are the coun- tries presenting the needful union of conditions. Either the industrial arts are backward and stationary, and capital there- fore increases slowly, or, the effective desire of accumulation being low, the increase soon reaches its limit ; or, even though both these elements are at their highest known degree, the increase of capital is checked, because there is not fresh land to be resorted to of as good quality as that already occupied. Though capital should for a time double itself simultaneous- ly with population, if all this capital and population are to find employment on the same land, they can not, without an unexampled succession of agricultural inventions, continue doubling the produce ; therefore, if wages do not fall, profits must ; and, when profits fall, increase of capital is slackened. Except, therefore, in the very peculiar cases which I have 190 DISTRIBUTION. just noticed, of which the only one of any practical impor- tance is that of a new colony, or a country in circumstances equivalent to it, it is impossible that population should in- crease at its utmost rate without lowering wages. In no old country does population increase at anything like its utmost rate ; in most, at a very moderate rate : in some countries, not at all. These facts are only to be accounted for in two ways. Either the whole number of births which nature admits of, and which happen in some circumstances, do not take place ; or, if they do, a large proportion of those who are born, die. The retardation of increase results either from mortality or prudence ; from Mr. Malthus's positive, or from his preventive check : and one or the other of these must and does exist, and very powerfully too, in all old societies. Wherever population is not kept down by the prudence either of individuals or of the state, it is kept down by star- vation or disease. § 5. Where a laboring-class who have no property but their daily wages, and no hope of acquiring it, refrain from over-rapid multiplication, the cause, I believe, has always hitherto been, either actual legal restraint, or a custom of some sort which, without intention on their part, insensibly molds their conduct, or affords immediate inducements not to marry. It is not generally known in how many countries of Europe direct legal obstacles are opposed to improvident marriages. Where there is no general law restrictive of marriage, there are often customs equivalent to it. When the guilds or trade corporations of the middle ages were in vigor, their by-laws or regulations were conceived with a very vigilant eye to the advantage which the trade derived from limiting competition ; and they made it very effectually the interest of artisans not to marry until after passing through the two stages of apprentice and journeyman, and attaining the rank of master. Unhappily, sentimentality rather than common sense usually presides over the discussions of these subjects. Dis- WAGES. 191 (Missions on the condition of the laborers, lamentations over its wretchedness, denunciations of all who are supposed to be indifferent to it, projects of one kind or another for im- proving it, were in no country and in no time of the world so rife as in the present generation; but there is a tacit agreement to ignore totally the law of wages, or to dismiss it in a parenthesis, with such terms as " hard-hearted Mal- thusianism " ; as if it were not a thousand times more hard- hearted to tell human beings that they may, than that they may not, call into existence swarms of creatures who are sure to be miserable, and most likely to be depraved ! I ask, then, is it true or not, that if their numbers were fewer they would obtain higher wages ? This is the ques- tion, and no other : and it is idle to divert attention from it, by attacking any incidental position of Malthus or some » other writer, and pretending that to refute that is to dis- prove the principle of population. Some, for instance, have achieved an easy victory over a passing remark of Mr. Mal- thus, hazarded chiefly by way of illustration, that the increase of food may perhaps be assumed to take place in an arith- metical ratio, while population increases in a geometrical : when every candid reader knows that Mr. Malthus laid no stress on this unlucky attempt to give numerical precision to things which do not admit of it, and every person capable of reasoning must see that it is wholly superfluous to his argument. Others have attached immense importance to a correction which more recent political economists have made in the mere language of the earlier followers of Mr. Malthus. Several writers had said that it is the tendency of population to increase faster than the means of subsist- ence. The assertion was true in the sense in which they meant it, namely, that population would in most circum- stances increase faster than the means of subsistence, if it were not checked either by mortality or by prudence. But inasmuch as these checks act with unequal force at different times and places, it was possible to interpret the language of these writers as if they had meant that population is usually 192 DISTRIBUTION. gaining ground upon subsistence, and the poverty of the people becoming greater. Under this interpretation of their meaning, it was urged that the reverse is the truth : that as civilization advances, the prudential check tends to become stronger, and population to slacken its rate of increase, rela- tively to subsistence ; and that it is an error to maintain that population, in any improving community, tends to in- crease faster than, or even so fast as, subsistence. 1 The word tendency 2 is here used in a totally different sense from that of the writers who affirmed the proposition ; but waiving the verbal question, is it not allowed, on both sides, that in old countries population presses too closely upon the means of subsistence ? 1 Mr. Carey takes this ground. a See the explanation of an economic law, Book II, Chap. II, § 1. CHAPTER III. OF REMEDIES FOE LOW WAGES. § 1. The simplest expedient which can be imagined for keeping the wages of labor up to the desirable point would be to fix them by law ; and this is virtually the object aimed at in a variety of plans which have at different times been, or still are, current, for remodeling the relation between laborers and employers. No one, probably, ever suggested that wages should be absolutely fixed, since the interests of all concerned often require that they should be variable ; but some have proposed to fix a minimum of wages, leaving the variations above that point to be adjusted by competition. Another plan, which has found many advocates among the leaders of the operatives, is that councils should be formed, which in England have been called local boards of trade, in France " conseils de prud'hommes," and other names ; con- sisting of delegates from the work-people and from the em- ployers, who, meeting in conference, should agree upon a rate of wages, and promulgate it from authority, to be bind- ing generally on employers and workmen ; the ground of decision being, not the state of the labor market, but natural equity ; to provide that the workmen shall have reasonable wages, and the capitalist reasonable profits. The one expedient most suggested by politicians and labor- reformers in the United States is anfeight-hour law, mandatory upon all employers. It is to be remembered, however, that in very many industries piece-work exists, and if a diminution of hours is enforced, that will mean a serious reduction in the amount of wages which can be possibly earned in a day. 13 194 DISTRIBUTION. Even if all industries were alike in the matter of arranging their work, this plan means higher wages for the same work, or the same wages for less work, and so an increased cost of labor. This would, then, take its effect on profits at once ; and the effects would be probably seen in a withdrawal of capital from many industries, where, as now, the profits are very low. It must be recalled, however, that in the United States there has been, under the influence of natural causes, unaided by legislation, a very marked reduction in the hours of labor, ac- companied by an increase of wages. For example, in 1840, Rhode Island operatives in the carding-room of the cotton-mills worked fourteen hours a day for $3.28 a week, while in 1884 they work eleven hours and receive $5.40 a week. This result is most probably due to the gain arising from the invention of labor-saving machinery. Others again (but these are rather philanthropists inter- esting themselves for the laboring- classes, than the laboring people themselves) are shy of admitting the interference of authority in contracts for labor : they fear that if law inter- vened, it would intervene rashly and ignorantly ; they are convinced that two parties, with opposite interests, attempt- ing to adjust those interests by negotiation through their representatives on principles of equity, when no rule could be laid down to determine what was equitable, would merely exasperate their differences instead of healing them ; but what it is useless to attempt by the legal sanction, these per- sons desire to compass by the moral. Every employer, they think, ought to give sufficient wages ; and if he does it not willingly, should be compelled to it by general opinion ; the test of sufficient wages being their own feelings, or what they suppose to be those of the public. This is, I think, a fair representation of a considerable body of existing opinion on the subject. I desire to confine my remarks to the principle involved in all these suggestions, without taking into account practical difficulties, serious as these must at once be seen to be. I shall suppose that by one or other of these contrivances wages could be kept above the point to which they would be brought by competition. This is as much as to say, above the highest rate which can be afforded by the existing capi- REMEDIES FOR LOW WAGES. 195 tal consistently with employing all the laborers. For it is a mistake to suppose that competition merely keeps down wages. It is equally the means by which they are kept up. When there are any laborers unemployed, these, unless main- tained by charity, become competitors for hire, and wages fall ; but when all who were out of work have found em- ployment, wages will not, under the freest system of compe- tition, fall lower. There are strange notions afloat concern- ing the nature of competition. Some people seem to imagine that its effect is something indefinite ; that the competition of sellers may lower prices, and the competition of laborers may lower wages, down to zero, or some unassignable mini- mum. Nothing can be more unfounded. Goods can only be lowered in price by competition to the point which calls forth buyers sufficient to take them off ; and wages can only be lowered by competition until room is made to admit all the laborers to a share in the distribution of the wages-fund. If they fell below this point, a portion of capital would re- main unemployed for waut of laborers ; a counter-competi- tion would commence on the side of capitalists, and wages would rise. The assumption in the last chapter in regard to competition and custom should be kept in mind in all this reasoning. As a matter of fact, there is not that mobility of labor which in- sures so free an operation of competition that equality of pay- ment always exists. In reality there is no competition at all between the lower grades of laborers and the higher classes of skilled labor. Of course, the tendency is as explained by Mr. Mill, and as time goes on there is a distinctly greater mobility of labor visible. Vast numbers pass from Scandinavia and other countries of Europe to the United States, or from Eng- land to Australia, urged by the desire to go from a community of low to one of higher wages. Since, therefore, the rate of wages which results from competition distributes the whole wages-fund among the whole laboring population, if law or opinion succeeds in fixing wages above this rate, some laborers are kept out of employment ; and as it is not the intention of the philan- thropists that these should starve, they must be provided for 196 DISTRIBUTION. by a forced increase of the wages-fund — by a compulsory saving. It is nothing to fix a minimum of wages unless there be a provision that work, or wages at least, be found for all who apply for it. This, accordingly, is always part of the scheme, and is consistent with the ideas of more peo- ple than would approve of either a legal or a moral minimum of wages. Popular sentiment looks upon it as the duty of the rich, or of the state, to find employment for all the poor. If the moral influence of opinion does not induce the rich to spare from their consumption enough to set all the poor at work at " reasonable wages," it is supposed to be incumbent on the state to lay on taxes for the purpose, either by local rates or votes of public money. The proportion between labor and the wages-fund would thus be modified to the ad- vantage of the laborers, not by restriction of population, but by an increase of capital. § 2. If this claim on society could be limited to the exist- ing generation ; if nothing more were necessary than a com- pulsory accumulation, sufficient to provide permanent em- ployment at ample wages for the existing numbers of the people ; such a proposition would have no more strenuous supporter than myself. Society mainly consists of those who live by bodily labor ; and if society, that is, if the laborers, lend their physical force to protect individuals in the enjoy- ment of superfluities, they are entitled to do so, and have always done so, with the reservation of a power to tax those superfluities for purposes of public utility ; among which purposes the subsistence of the people is the foremost. Since no one is responsible for having been born, no pecun- iary sacrifice is too great to be made by those who have more than enough, for the purpose of securing enough to all persons already in existence. But it is another thing altogether when those who have produced and accumulated are called upon to abstain from consuming until they have given food and clothing, not only to all who now exist, but to all whom these or their descend- ants may think fit to call into existence. Such an obliga- REMEDIES FOR LOW WAGES. 197 tion acknowledged and acted upon, would suspend all checks, both positive and preventive ; there would be nothing to hinder population from starting forward at its rapidest rate ; and as the natural increase of capital would, at the best, not be more rapid than before, taxation, to make up the growing deficiency, must advance with the same gigantic strides. But let them work ever so efficiently, the increasing popula- tion could not, as we have so often shown, increase the prod- uce proportionally ; the surplus, after all were fed, would bear a less and less proportion to the whole produce and to the population : and the increase of people going on in a con- stant ratio, while the increase of produce went on in a dimin- ishing ratio, the surplus would in time be wholly absorbed ; taxation for the support of the poor would engross the whole income of the country ; the payers and the receivers would be melted down into one mass. It would be possible for the state to guarantee employ- ment at ample wages to all who are born. But if it does this, it is bound in self-protection, and for the sake of every purpose for which government exists, to provide that no per- son shall be born without its consent. To give profusely to the people, whether under the name of charity or of employ- ment, without placing them under such influences that pru- dential motives shall act powerfully upon them, is to lavish the means of benefiting mankind without attaining the ob- ject. But remove the regulation of their wages from their own control ; guarantee to them a certain payment, either by law or by the feeding of the community ; and no amount of comfort that you can give them will make either them or their descendants look to their own self-restraint as the prop- er means for preserving them in that state. The famous poor-laws of Elizabeth, enacted in 1601, were at first intended to relieve the destitute poor, sick, aged, and impotent, but in their administration a share was given to all who begged it. Employers, of course, found it cheaper to hire labor partly paid for by the parish, and the independent farm- laborer who would not go on the parish found his own wages lowered by this kind of competition. This continued a crying 198 DISTRIBUTION. evil until it reached the proportions described by May : " As the cost of pauperism, thus encouraged, was increasing, the poorer rate-payers were themselves reduced to poverty. The soil was ill-cultivated by pauper labor, and its rental consumed by parish rates. In a period of fifty years, the poor-rates were quadrupled, and had reached, in 1833, the enormous amount of £8,600,000. In many parishes they were approaching the annual value of the land itself." ' The old poor-laws were re- pealed, and there went into effect in 1834 the workhouse sys- tem, which, while not denying subsistence to all those born, required that the giving of aid should be made as disagreeable as possible, in order to stimulate among the poor a feeling of repugnance to all aid from the community. This is also the general idea of poor-relief in the United States. The cultivation of the principle of self-help in each laborer is certainly the right object at which to aim. In the United States voluntary charitable organizations have associated to- gether, in some cities, in order to scrutinize all cases of pov- erty through a number of visitors in each district, who advise and counsel the unfortunate, but never give money. This sys- tem has been very successful, and, by basing its operations on the principle of self-help, has given the best proof of its right to an increasing influence. § 3. Next to the attempts to regulate wages, and provide artificially that all who are willing to work shall receive an adequate price for their labor, we have to consider another class of popular remedies, which do not profess to interfere with freedom of contract ; which leave wages to be fixed by the competition of the market, but, when they are considered insufficient, endeavor by some subsidiary resource to make up to the laborers for the insufficiency. Of this nature was the allowance system. The principle of this scheme being avowedly that of adapting the means of every family to its necessities, it was a natural consequence that more should be given to the married than to the single, and to those who had large families than to those who had not: in fact, an allow- ance was usually granted for every child. It is obvious that this is merely another mode of fixing a minimum of wages. There is a rate of wages, either the lowest on which the 1 " Constitutional History of England," vol. ii, p. 563. See also Nicholls's " History of the Poor Laws," vol. ii, p. 303. REMEDIES FOR LOW WAGES. 199 people can, or the lowest on which they will consent, to live. We will suppose this to be seven shillings a week. Shocked at the wretchedness of this pittance, the parish authorities humanely make it up to ten. But the laborers are accus- tomed to seven, and though they would gladly have more, will live on that (as the fact proves) rather than restrain the instinct of multiplication. Their habits will not be altered for the better by giving them parish pay. Receiving three shillings from the parish, they will be as well off as before, though they should increase sufficiently to bring down wages to four shillings. They will accordingly people down to that point ; or, perhaps, without waiting for an increase of num- bers, there are unemployed laborers enough in the workhouse to produce the effect at once. It is well known that the al- lowance system did practically operate in the mode described, and that under its influence wages sank to a lower rate than had been known in England before. The operation of a low standard upon the wages of those in the community who have a higher one, has been seen in the United States to a certain extent by the landing on our shores of Chinese laborers, who maintain a decidedly lower standard of living than either their American or Irish competitors. If they come in such numbers as to retain their lower standard by forming a group by themselves, and are thereby not assimi- lated into the body of laborers who have 1870. a higher standard of comfort, they can, to the extent of their ability to do work, drive other laborers out of employment. This, moreover, is exactly what was done by the Irish,who drove Americans out of the mills of New England, and who are now being driven out, probably, by the French Canadians, with a standard lower than the Irish. The Chinese come here now without their families, as may be seen by the accompanying diagram, in which the shaded side represents the males on the left, and the unshaded the females on the right, of the perpendicular line. 200 DISTRIBUTION. The horizontal lines show the ages, the largest number being about thirty years of age. It will be noted how many come in the prime of life, and how few children and females there are. It need hardly be said that the economic side of a ques- tion is here discussed, which requires for its solution many ethi- cal and political considerations besides. § 4. By what means, then, is poverty to be contended against \ How is the evil of low wages to be remedied ? If the expedients usually recommended for the purpose are not adapted to it, can no others be thought of? Is the problem incapable of solution ? Can political economy do nothing, but only object to everything, and demonstrate that nothing can be done % Those who think it hopeless that the laboring - classes should be induced to practice a sufficient degree of prudence in regard to the increase of their fami- lies, because they have hitherto stopped short of that point, show an inability to estimate the ordinary principles of human action. Nothing more would probably be necessary to secure that result, than an opinion generally diffused that it was desirable. But let us try to imagine what would happen if the idea became general among the laboring-class that the compe- tition of too great numbers was the principal cause of their poverty. "We are often told that the most thorough percep- tion of the dependence of wages on population will not influ- ence the conduct of a laboring-man, because it is not the children he himself can have that will produce any effect in generally depressing the labor market. True, and it is also true that one soldiers running away will not lose the battle ; accordingly, it is not that consideration which keeps each soldier in his rank : it is the disgrace which naturally and inevitably attends on conduct by any one individual which, if pursued by a majority, everybody can see would be fatal. Men are seldom found to brave the general opinion of their class, unless supported either by some principle higher than regard for opinion, or by some strong body of opinion else- where. If the opinion were once generally established among the REMEDIES FOR LOW WAGES. 201 laboring - class that their welfare required a due regulation of the numbers of families, the respectable and well-con- ducted of the body would conform to the prescription, and only those would exempt themselves from it who were in the habit of making light of social obligations generally ; and there would be then an evident justification for convert- ing the moral obligation against bringing children into the world, who are a burden to the community, into a legal one ; just as in many other cases of the progress of opinion, the law ends by enforcing against recalcitrant minorities obligations which, to be useful, must be general, and which, from a sense of their utility, a large majority have volunta- rily consented to take upon themselves. The dependence of wages on the number of the competi- tors for employment is so far from hard of comprehension, or unintelligible to the laboring-classes, that by great bodies of them it is already recognized and habitually acted on. It is familiar to all trades-unions : every successful combina- tion to keep up wages owes its success to contrivances for restricting the number of competitors ; all skilled trades are anxious to keep down their own numbers, and many impose, or endeavor to impose, as a condition upon employers, that they shall not take more than a prescribed number of appren- tices. There is, of course, a great difference between limit- ing their numbers by excluding other people, and doing the same thing by a restraint imposed on themselves ; but the one as much as the other shows a clear perception of the re- lation between their numbers and their remuneration. The principle is understood in its application to any one employ- ment, but not to the general mass of employment. For this there are several reasons : first, the operation of causes is more easily and distinctly seen in the more circumscribed field ; secondly, skilled artisans are a more intelligent class than ordinary manual laborers ; and the habit of con- cert, and of passing in review their general condition as a trade, keeps up a better understanding of their col- lective interests; thirdly and lastly, they are the most 202 DISTRIBUTION". provident, because they are the best off, and have the most to preserve. § 5. For the purpose, therefore, of altering the habits of the laboring people, there is need of a twofold action, direct- ed simultaneously upon their intelligence and their poverty. An effective national education of the children of the labor- ing-class is the first thing needful ; and, coincidently with this, a system of measures which shall (as the devolution did in France) extinguish extreme poverty for one whole generation. Without entering into disputable points, it may be asserted without scruple that the aim of all intellectual training for the mass of the people should be to cultivate common sense ; to qualify them for forming a sound practi- cal judgment of the circumstances by which they are sur- rounded. [But] education is not compatible with extreme poverty. It is impossible effectually to teach an indigent population. Toward effecting this object there are two re- sources available, without wrong to any one, without any of the liabilities of mischief attendant on voluntary or legal charity, and not only without weakening, but on the con- trary strengthening, every incentive to industry, and every motive to forethought. The first is a great national measure of colonization. I mean, a grant of public money, sufficient to remove at once, and establish in the colonies, a considerable fraction of the youthful agricultural population. It has been shown by others that colonization on an adequate scale might be so conducted as to cost the country nothing, or nothing that would not be certainly repaid ; and that the funds required, even by way of advance, would not be drawn from the capi- tal employed in maintaining labor, bat from that surplus which can not find employment at such profit as constitutes an adequate remuneration for the abstinence of the possessor, and which is therefore sent abroad for investment, or wasted at home in reckless speculations. The second resource would be to devote all common land, hereafter brought into cultivation, to raising a class of REMEDIES FOR LOW WAGES. 203 small proprietors. What I would propose is, that common land should be divided into sections of five acres or there- about, to be conferred in absolute property on individuals of the laboring-class who would reclaim and bring them into cultivation by their own labor. This suggestion works to the same purpose as the proposal that our Government should retain its public lands and aid in the formation of a great number of small farmers, rather than, by huge grants, to foster large holdings in the Western States and Territories. ' The preference should be given to such laborers, and there are many of them, as had saved enough to maintain them until their first crop was got in, or whose character was such as to induce some responsible person to advance to them the requisite amount on their personal security. The tools, the manure, and in some cases the subsistence also, might be supplied by the parish, or by the state ; inter- est for the advance, at the rate yielded by the public funds, being laid on as a perpetual quitrent, with power to the peasant to redeem it at any time for a moderate number of years' purchase. These little landed estates might, if it were thought necessary, be indivisible by law ; though, if the plan worked in the manner designed, I should not apprehend any objectionable degree of subdivision. In case of intestacy, and in default of amicable arrangement among the heirs, they might be bought by government at their value, and re- granted to some other laborer who could give security for the price. The desire to possess one of these small properties would probably become, as on the Continent, an inducement to prudence and economy pervading the whole laboring popu- lation ; and that great desideratum among a people of hired laborers would be provided, an intermediate class between them and their employers ; affording them the double ad- vantage of an object for their hopes, and, as there would be good reason to anticipate, an example for their imitation. 1 For further discussion of the advantages of small holdings, see Book IV, Chap. V, § 2. 204 DISTRIBUTION. It would, however, be of little avail that either or both of these measures of relief should be adopted, unless on such a scale as would enable the whole body of hired laborers remaining on the soil to obtain not merely employment, but a large addition to the present wages — such an addition as would enable them to live and bring up their children in a degree of comfort and independence to which they have hitherto been strangers. CHAPTER IV. OF THE DIFFERENCES OF WAGES IN DIFFERENT EMPLOYMENTS. § 1. In treating of wages, we have hitherto confined our- selves to the causes which operate on them generally, and en masse ; the laws which govern the remuneration of ordi- nary or average labor, without reference to the existence of different kinds of work which are habitually paid at differ- ent rates, depending in some degree on different laws. "We will now take into consideration these differences, and exam- ine in what manner they affect or are affected by the conclu- sions already established. The differences, says [Adam Smith], arise partly "from certain circumstances in the employments themselves, which either really, or at least in the imaginations of men, make up for a small pecuniary gain in some, and counterbalance a great one in others." These circumstances he considers to be : " First, the agreeableness or disagreeableness of the em- ployments themselves ; secondly, the easiness and cheapness, or the difficulty and expense of learning them ; thirdly, the constancy or inconstancy of employment in them ; fourthly, the small or great trust which must be reposed in those who exercise them ; and, fifthly, the probability or improbability of success in them." (1.) " The wages of labor vary with the ease or hardship, the cleanliness or dirtiness, the honorableness or dishonor- ableness of the employment. A journeyman blacksmith, though an artificer, seldoms earns so much in twelve hours as a collier, who is only a laborer, does in eight. His work 206 DISTRIBUTION. is not quite so dirty, is less dangerous, and is carried on in daylight and above ground. Honor makes a great part of the reward of all honorable professions. In point of pecun- iary gain, all things considered," their recompense is, in his opinion, below the average. " Disgrace has the contrary effect. The trade of a butcher is a brutal and an odious business ; but it is in most places more profitable than the greater part of common trades. The most detestable of all employments, that of the public executioner, is, in propor- tion to the quantity of work done, better paid than any com- mon trade whatever." (2.) " Employment is much more constant," continues Adam Smith, " in some trades than in others. In the great- er part of manufactures, a journeyman may be pretty sure of employment almost every day in the year that he is able to work. A mason or brick-layer, on the contrary, can work neither in hard frost nor in foul weather, and his employ- ment at all other times depends upon the occasional calls of his customers. He is liable, in consequence, to be frequent- ly without any. What he earns, therefore, while he is em- ployed, must not only maintain him while he is idle, but make him some compensation for those anxious and despond- ing moments which the thought of so precarious a situation must sometimes occasion." " When (1) the inconstancy of the employment is com- bined with (2) the hardship, disagreeableness, and dirtiness of the work, it sometimes raises the wages of the most com- mon labor above those of the most skillful artificers. A collier working by the piece is supposed, at Newcastle, to earn commonly about double, and in many parts of Scotland about three times, the wages of common labor. His high wages arise altogether from the hardship, disagreeableness, and dirtiness of his work. His employment may, upon most occasions, be as constant as he pleases. The coal-heavers in London exercise a trade which in hardship, dirtiness, and disagreeableness almost equals that of colliers; and from the unavoidable irregularity in the arrivals of coal-ships, the DIFFERENCES OF WAGES IN DIFFERENT EMPLOYMENTS. 207 employment of the greater part of them is necessarily very inconstant. If colliers, therefore, commonly earn double and triple the wages of common labor, it ought not to seem un- reasonable that coal-heavers should sometimes earn four or five times those wages. In the inquiry made into their con- dition a few years ago, it was found that, at the rate at which they were then paid, they could earn about four times the wages of common labor in London." These inequalities of remuneration, which are supposed to compensate for the disagreeable circumstances of particu- lar employments, would, under certain conditions, be natural consequences of perfectly free competition : and as between employments of about the same grade, and filled by nearly the same description of people, they are, no doubt, for the most part, realized in practice. But it is altogether a false view of the state of facts to present this as the relation which generally exists between agreeable and disagreeable employments. The really ex- hausting and the really repulsive labors, instead of being better paid than others, are almost invariably paid the worst of all, because performed by those who have no choice. If the laborers in the aggregate, instead of exceeding, fell short of the amount of employment, work which was generally disliked would not be undertaken, except for more than ordinary wages. But when the supply of labor so far ex- ceeds the demand that to find employment at all is an uncer- tainty, and to be offered it on any terms a favor, the case is totally the reverse. Partly from this cause, and partly from the natural and artificial monopolies, which will be spoken of presently, the inequalities of wages are generally in an oppo- site direction to the equitable principle of compensation, erroneously represented by Adam Smith as the general law of the remuneration of labor. (3.) One of the points best illustrated by Adam Smith is the influence exercised on the remuneration of an employ- ment by the uncertainty of success in it. If the chances are great of total failure, the reward in case of success must be 208 DISTRIBUTION. sufficient to make up, in the general estimation, for those adverse chances. Put your son apprentice to a shoemaker, there is little doubt of his learning to make a pair of shoes ; but send him to study the law, it is at least twenty to one if ever he makes such proficiency as will enable him to live by the business. In a perfectly fair lottery, those who draw the prizes ought to gain all that is lost by those who draw the blanks. In a profession where twenty fail for one that suc- ceeds, that one ought to gain all that should have been gained by the unsuccessful twenty. How extravagant soever the fees of counselors-at-law may sometimes appear, their real retribution is never equal to this. § 2. The preceding are cases in which inequality of remuneration is necessary to produce equality of attractive- ness, and are examples of the equalizing effect of free com- petition. The following are cases of real inequality, and arise from a different principle. (4.) " The wages of labor vary according to the small or great trust which must be reposed in the workmen. The wages of goldsmiths and jewelers are everywhere superior to those of many other workmen, not only of equal but of much superior ingenuity, on account of the precious mate- rials with which they are intrusted." The superiority of reward is not here the consequence of competition, but of its absence : not a compensation for disadvantages inherent in the employment, but an extra advantage ; a kind of monopo- ly price, the effect not of a legal, but of what has been termed a natural monopoly. If all laborers were trustworthy, it would not be necessary to give extra pay to working gold- smiths on account of the trust. The degree of integrity re- quired being supposed to be uncommon, those who can make it appear that they possess it are able to take advantage of the peculiarity, and obtain higher pay in proportion to its rarity. This same explanation of a natural monopoly applies exact- ly to the causes which give able executive managers, who watch over productive operations, the usually high rewards for DIFFERENCES OF WAGES IX DIFFERENT EMPLOYMENTS. 209 labor under the name of "wages of superintendence." If suc- cessful managers of cotton or woolen mills were as plentiful, in proportion to the demand for them, as ordinary artisans, in proportion to the demand for them, then the former would get no higher rewards than the latter. Able executive and busi- ness managers secure high wages solely on the ground — as ex- plained above — of monopoly ; that is, because their numbers, owing to natural causes, are few relatively to the demand for them in every industry in the land. (5.) Some employments require a much longer time to learn, and a much more expensive course of instruction, than others ; and to this extent there is, as explained by Adam Smith, an inherent reason for their being more highly remu- nerated. Wages, consequently, must yield, over and above the ordinary amount, an annuity sufficient to repay these sums, with the common rate of profit, within the number of years [the laborer] can expect to live and be in working con- dition. But, independently of these or any other artificial mo- nopolies, there is a natural monopoly in favor of skilled laborers against the unskilled, which makes the difference of reward exceed, sometimes in a manifold proportion, what is sufficient merely to equalize their advantages. But the fact that a course of instruction is required, of even a low degree of costliness, or that the laborer must be maintained for a considerable time from other sources, suffices everywhere to exclude the great body of the laboring people from the pos- sibility of any such competition. Until lately, all employ- ments which required even the humble education of reading and writing could be recruited only from a select class, the majority having had no opportunity of acquiring those attain- ments. Here is found the germ of the idea, which has been elab- orately worked out by Mr. Cairnes 1 in his theory of non-com- peting groups of laborers : " What we find, in effect, is, not a whole population competing indiscriminately for all occupa- tions, but a series of industrial layers superposed on one an- other, within each of which the various candidates for employ- 1 " Leading Principles," pp. 64-69. 14 210 DISTRIBUTION. ment possess a real and effective power of selection, while those occupying the several strata are, for all purposes of effective competition, practically isolated from each other." (Mr. Mill certainly understood this fully, and stated it clearly again in Book III, Chap. II, § 2.) The changes, however, now so rapidly taking place in usages and ideas, are undermining all these distinctions ; the habits or disabilities which chained people to their hereditary condition are fast wearing away, and every class is exposed to increased and increasing competition from at least the class immediately below it. The general relaxation of con- ventional barriers, and the increased facilities of education which already are, and will be in a much greater degree, brought within the reach of all, tend to produce, among many excellent effects, one which is the reverse : they tend to bring down the wages of skilled labor. § 3. A modifying circumstance still remains to be no- ticed, which interferes to some extent with the operation of the principles thus far brought to view. While it is true, as a general rule, that the earnings of skilled labor, and espe- cially of any labor which requires school education, are at a monopoly rate, from the impossibility, to the mass of the people, of obtaining that education, it is also true that the policy of nations, or the bounty of individuals, formerly did much to counteract the effect of this limitation of competi- tion, by offering eleemosynary instruction to a much larger class of persons than could have obtained the same advan- tages by paying their price. [Adam Smith has pointed out that] " whenever the law has attempted to regulate the wages of workmen, it has al- ways been rather to lower them than to raise them. But the law has upon many occasions attempted to raise the wages of curates, and, for the dignity of the Church, to oblige the rectors of parishes to give them more than the wretched maintenance which they themselves might be willing to ac- cept of. And in both cases the law seems to have been equally ineffectual, and has never been either able to raise DIFFERENCES OF WAGES IN DIFFERENT EMPLOYMENTS. 211 the wages of curates or to sink those of laborers to the degree that was intended, because it has never been able to hinder either the one from being willing to accept of less than the legal allowance, on account of the indigence of their situa- tion and the multitude of their competitors, or the other from receiving more, on account of the contrary competition of those who expected to derive either profit or pleasure from employing them." Although the highest pecuniary prizes of successful au- thorship are incomparably greater than at any former period, yet on any rational calculation of the chances, in the existing competition, scarcely any writer can hope to gain a living by books, and to do so by magazines and reviews becomes daily more difficult. It is only the more troublesome and disagree- able kinds of literary labor, and those which confer no per- sonal celebrity, such as most of those connected with news- papers, or with the smaller periodicals, on which an educated person can now rely for subsistence. Of these, the remuner- ation is, on the whole, decidedly high ; because, though ex- posed to the competition of what used to be called " poor scholars" (persons who have received a learned education from some public or private charity), they are exempt from that of amateurs, those who have other means of support being seldom candidates for such employments. AVhen an occupation is carried on chiefly by persons who derive the main portion of their subsistence from other sources, its remuneration may be lower almost to any extent than the wages of equally severe labor in other employ- ments. The principal example of the kind is domestic manufactures. When spinning and knitting were carried on in every cottage, by families deriving their principal support from agriculture, the price at which their produce was sold (which constituted the remuneration of their labor) was often so low that there would have been required great perfection of machinery to undersell it. The amount of the remunera- tion in such a case depends chiefly upon whether the quan- tity of the commodity produced by this description of labor 212 DISTRIBUTION. suffices to supply the whole of the demand. If it does not, and there is consequently a necessity for some laborers who devote themselves entirely to the employment, the price of the article must be sufficient to pay those laborers at the ordi- nary rate, and to reward, therefore, very handsomely the do- mestic producers. But if the demand is so limited that the domestic manufacture can do more than satisfy it, the price is naturally kept down to the lowest rate at which peas- ant families think it worth while to continue the production. Thus far, as to the remuneration of the subsidiary employ- ment ; but the effect to the laborers of having this additional resource is almost certain to be (unless peculiar counteract- ing causes intervene) a proportional diminution of the wages of their main occupation. For the same reason it is found that, cceteris paribus, those trades are generally the worst paid in which the wife and children of the artisan aid in the work. The income which the habits of the class demand, and down to which they are almost sure to multiply, is made up in those trades by the earnings of the whole family, while in others the same income must be obtained by the labor of the man alone. It is even probable that their collective earnings will amount to a smaller sum than those of the man alone in other trades, because the prudential restraint on marriage is unusually weak when the only consequence immediately felt is an improve- ment of circumstances, the joint earnings of the two going further in their domestic economy after marriage than before. This statement seems to be borne out by the statistics of wages 1 both in England and the United States. In our cotton- mills, where women do certain kinds of work equally well with men, the wages of the men are lower than in outside employ- ments into which women can not enter. Blacksmiths, per week $16 74 r. ;] ( Drawers-in, cotton-mill — man, per week $5 50 of four} " " " woman " 5 50 oiioui. ' Tenders, two boys 4 50 Total $15 50 1 See Young, " Labor in Europe." DIFFERENCES OF WAGES IN DIFFERENT EMPLOYMENTS. 213 In this case the family of four all together receive only about the same as the wages of the single blacksmith alone. § 4. "Where men and women work at the same employ- ment, if it be one for which they are equally fitted in point of physical power, they are not always unequally paid. Women in factories sometimes earn as much as men ; and so they do in hand-loom weaving, which, being paid by the piece, brings their efficiency to a sure test. When the effi- ciency is equal, but the pay unequal, the only explanation that can be given is custom. But the principal question relates to the peculiar employments of women. The remuneration of these is always, I believe, greatly below that of employ- ments of equal skill and equal disagreeableness carried on by men. In some of these cases the explanation is evidently that already given : as in the case of domestic servants, whose wages, speaking generally, are not determined by competi- tion, but are greatly in excess of the market value of the labor, and in this excess, as in almost all things which are regulated by custom, the male sex obtains by far the largest share. In the occupations in which employers take full ad- vantage of competition, the low wages of women, as com- pared with the ordinary earnings of men, are a proof that the employments are overstocked : that although so much smaller a number of women than of men support them- selves by wages, the occupations which law and usage make accessible to them are comparatively so few that the field of their employment is still more overcrowded. Yet within the employments open to women, such as mil- linery and dress-making, certain women are able to charge excessively high prices for work, because, having obtained a reputation for especial skill and taste, they can exact in the hig h prices of their articles what is really their high wages. Within these employments women are unable to earn a living not so much by the lack of work, as by not bringing to their occupation that amount of skill and those business qualities (owing, of course, to their being brought up unaccustomed to business methods) which are requisite for the success of any one, either man or woman. 214 DISTRIBUTION. It must be observed that, as matters now stand, a suffi- cient degree of overcrowding may depress the wages of women to a much lower minimum than those of men. The wages, at least of single women, must be equal to their sup- port, but need not be more than equal to it ; the minimum, in their case, is the pittance absolutely requisite for the sustenance of one human being. Now the lowest point to which the most superabundant competition can perma- nently depress the wages of a man is always somewhat more than this. "Where the wife of a laboring-man does not by general custom contribute to his earnings, the man's wages must be at least sufficient to support himself, a wife, and a number of children adequate to keep up the popula- tion, since, if it were less, the population would not be kept up. § 5. Thus far we have, throughout this discussion, pro- ceeded on the supposition that competition is free, so far as regards human interference ; being limited only by natural causes, or by the unintended effect of general social circum- stances. But law or custom may interfere to limit competi- tion. If apprentice laws, or the regulations of corporate bodies, make the access to a particular employment slow, costly, or difficult, the wages of that employment may be kept much above their natural proportion to the wages of common labor. In some trades, however, and to some ex- tent, the combinations of workmen produce a similar effect. Those combinations always fail to uphold wages at an arti- ficial rate unless they also limit the number of competitors. Putting aside the atrocities sometimes committed by work- men in the way of personal outrage or intimidation, which can not be too rigidly repressed, if the present state of the general habits of the people were to remain forever unim- proved, these partial combinations, in so far as they do suc- ceed in keeping up the wages of any trade by limiting its numbers, might be looked upon as simply intrenching round a particular spot against the inroads of over-population, and making the wages of the class depend upon their own rate of DIFFERENCES OF WAGES IN DIFFERENT EMPLOYMENTS. 215 increase, instead of depending on that of a more reckless and improvident class than themselves. To conclude this subject, I must repeat an observation already made, that there are kinds of labor of which the wages are fixed by custom, and not by competition. Such are the fees or charges of professional persons — of physicians, surgeons, barristers, and even attorneys. CHAPTEK Y. OF PROFITS. § 1. Having treated of the laborer's share of the produce, we next proceed to the share of the capitalist ; the profits of capital or stock ; the gains of the person who advances the expenses of production — who, from funds in his possession, pays the wages of the laborers, or supports them during the work ; who supplies the requisite buildings, materials, and tools or machinery ; and to whom, by the usual terms of the contract, the produce belongs, to be disposed of at his pleas- ure. After indemnifying him for his outlay, there com- monly remains a surplus, which is his profit ; the net income from his capital [and skill] ; the amount which he can afford to expend in necessaries or pleasures, or from which by fur- ther saving he can add to his wealth. As the wages of the laborer are the remuneration of la- bor, so [a part of] the profits of the capitalist are properly, according to Mr. Senior's well-chosen expression, the remu- neration of abstinence. They are what he gains by forbear- ing to consume his capital for his own uses, and allowing it to be consumed by productive laborers for their uses. For this forbearance he requires a recompense. Of the gains, however, which the possession of a capital enables a person to make, (1) a part only is properly an equivalent for the use of the capital itself ; namely, as much as a solvent person would be willing to pay for the loan of it. This, which as everybody knows is called interest, is all that a person is enabled to get by merely abstaining from the PROFITS. 217 immediate consumption of his capital, and allowing it to be used for productive purposes by others. The remuneration which is obtained in any country for mere abstinence is measured by the current rate of interest on the best security ; such security as precludes any appreciable chance of losing the principal. What a person expects to gain, who superin- tends the employment of his own capital, is always more, and generally much more, than this. The rate of profit greatly exceeds the rate of interest. (2.) The surplus is partly com- pensation for risk. By lending his capital on unexception- able security he runs little or no risk. But if he embarks in business on his own account, he always exposes his capital to some, and in many cases to very great, danger of partial or total loss. For this danger he must be compensated, other- wise he will not incur it. (3.) He must likewise be remuner- ated for the devotion of his time and labor. The control of the operations of industry usually belongs to the person who supplies the whole or the greatest part of the funds by which they are carried on, and who, according to the ordinary ar- rangement, is either alone interested, or is the person most interested (at least directly), in the result. To exercise this control with efficiency, if the concern is large and compli- cated, requires great assiduity, and often no ordinary skill. This assiduity and skill must be remunerated. The gross profits from capital, the gains returned to those who supply the funds for production, must suffice for these three purposes ; and the three parts into which profit may be considered as resolving itself may be described respect- ively as interest, insurance, and wages of superintendence. Inasmuch as risk is the cause affecting the rate of interest, it would be much simpler to consider the whole reward for ab- stinence as interest, the rate of which is affected by the risk ; and to carefully exclude from the profits of capital the payment for " assiduity and skill," which is distinctly wages of labor. The " wages of superintendence," as every one on a moment's reflection must admit, have no necessary connection whatever with the possession of capital. The thing with which the la- borer is occupied does not give the reason for associating his 218 DISTRIBUTION. wages with the name of that thing ; because a highly-qualified manager supervises the operations of capital, it does not follow that he has capital, or should be regarded as being paid for the possession of capital. The man who shovels ashes is not paid wages of ashes, any more than a man who superintends other people's capital is paid the reward of capital. The payment for services, in the one case as in the other, depends upon the skill of the manager, just as it does with an ordinary mechanic, rising or falling with his fitness for the peculiar work. Skill as a manager is the cause ; the amount of the remuneration is the consequence. If so, then the wages of superintendence have no logical connection, in the economic sense, with capi- tal as the thing which determines the amount of its reward, any more than it affects the wages of any and all labor. The payment for the use of capital, simply as capital, may be seen by the amount which a widow who is not engaged in active business receives from her property invested as trust funds. Moreover, it is less and less true that the manager of the opera- tions of industry is necessarily the capitalist. To see this, mark the executive managers (called " treasurers " by custom) of cotton and woolen mills, who receive a remuneration entire- ly distinct from any capital they may have invested in the shares of the corporation ; and the officials of the great mutual insurance companies, who receive the wages of managers, but for managing the capital of others. A large — by far the largest — part of what is usually called profit, therefore, should be treated as wages, and the forces which govern its amount are the same as those affecting the amounts of all other kinds of wages, such as are discussed in the preceding chapter. The acknowledgment of this distinction is of extreme importance, and affects, in a profound way, the whole question of distribu- tion. To include "wages of superintendence" in profits of capital is to unnecessarily complicate one of the most serious economic questions — namely, the relations of capital and labor. § 2. The lowest rate of profit that can permanently exist is that which is barely adequate, at the given place and time, to afford an equivalent for the abstinence, risk, and exertion implied in the employment of capital. From the gross profit has first to be deducted as much as will form a fund suffi- cient on the average to cover all losses incident to the em- ployment. Next, it must afford such an equivalent to the own- er of the capital for forbearing to consume it as is then and there a sufficient motive to him to persist in his abstinence. How much will be required to form this equivalent depends PROFITS. 219 on the comparative value placed, in the given society, upon the present and the future (in the words formerly used) : on the strength of the effective desire of accumulation. Fur- ther, after covering all losses, and remunerating the owner for forbearing to consume, there must be something left to recompense the labor and skill of the person who devotes his time to the business. Such, then, is the minimum of profits : but that mini- mum is exceedingly variable, and at some times and places extremely low, on account of the great variableness of two out of its three elements. That the rate of necessary remu- neration for abstinence, or in other words the effective desire of accumulation, differs widely in different states of society and civilization, has been seen in a former chapter. There is a still wider difference in the element which consists in compensation for risk. The remuneration of capital in different employments, much more than the remuneration of labor, varies according to the circumstances which render one employment more at- tractive or more repulsive than another. The profits, for ex- ample, of retail trade, in proportion to the capital employed, exceed those of wholesale dealers or manufacturers, for this reason among others, that there is less consideration attached to the employment. The greatest, however, of these differ- ences, is that caused by difference of risk. The profits of a gunpowder-manufacturer must be considerably greater than the average, to make up for the peculiar risks to which he and his property are constantly exposed. When, however, as in the case of marine adventure, the peculiar risks are capable of being, and commonly are, commuted for a fixed payment, the premium of insurance takes its regular place among the charges of production, and the compensation which the owner of the ship or cargo receives for that pay- ment does not appear in the estimate of his profits, but is included in the replacement of his capital. The minimum of profits can not properly include wages of superintendence, nor is it so included, practically, in Mr. Mill's 220 DISTRIBUTION. discussions on the minimum of profits in a later part of this volume. The operation of the various elements in changing the amount of profits might be expressed as follows : As between different countries and communities, who have a different ef- fective desire of accumulation, profits may vary with the ele- ment of interest and risk ; within the same district, where in- terest is generally the same on the same security, profits may vary with the risk attached to different industries; and, within the same occupations, interest and risk being given, the wages of superintendence may make a greater variation than either of the other two causes — since a skillful manager may make a large return, a poor one none at all. Or between two employ- ments, interest and risk remaining the same, wages of superin- tendence sometimes produce a wide difference. The portion, too, of the gross profit, which forms the remuneration for the labor and skill of the dealer or pro- ducer, is very different in different employments. This is the explanation always given of the extraordinary rate of apothecaries' profit. There are cases, again, in which a con- siderable amount of labor and skill is required to conduct a business necessarily of limited extent. In such cases a higher than common rate of profit is necessary to yield only the common rate of remuneration. All the natural monopolies (meaning thereby those which are created by circumstances, and not by law) which produce or aggravate the disparities in the remuneration of different kinds of labor, operate similarly between different employ- ments of capital. In this passage Mr. Mill points out distinctly that the move- ment up and down in the wages of a manager are governed by the same laws as those which regulate differences in the differ- ent rewards of labor, but yet he connects it improperly with capital. It will be seen that Mr. Mill uses the term "gross profit" on the next page in order to avoid the difficulty, which rises unconsciously in his mind, of the anomalous presence of the wages of the manager in the question of profit. § 3. After due allowance is made for these various causes of inequality, namely ^ difference in the risk or agreeable- ness of different employments, and natural or artificial mo- nopolies [which give greater or less wages of superintend- PROFITS. 221 ence], the rate of profit on capital in all employments tends to an equality. That portion of profit which is properly interest, and which forms the real remuneration for absti- nence, is strictly the same at the same time and place, what- ever be the employment. The rate of interest, on equally good security, does not vary according to the destination of the principal, though it does vary from time to time very much, according to the circumstances of the market. It is far otherwise with gross profit, which, though (as will presently be seen) it does not vary much from employ- ment to employment, varies very greatly from individual to individual, and can scarcely be in any two cases the same. It depends on the knowledge, talents, economy, and energy of the capitalist himself, or of the agents whom he employs ; on the accidents of personal connection ; and even on chance. Hardly any two dealers in the same trade, even if their com- modities are equally good and equally cheap, carry on their business at the same expense, or turn over their capital in the same time. That equal capitals give equal profits, as a general maxim of trade, would be as false as that equal age or size gives equal bodily strength, or that equal reading or experience gives equal knowledge. The effect depends as much upon twenty other things as upon the single cause specified. On an average (whatever may be the occasional fluctuations) the various employments of capital are on such a footing as to hold out, not equal profits, but equal expec- tations of profit, to persons of average abilities and advan- tages. By equal, I mean after making compensation for any inferiority in the agreeableness or safety of an employment. If the case were not so; if there were, evidently, and to common experience, more favorable chances of pecuniary success in one business than in others, more persons would engage their capital in the business. If, on the contrary, a business is not considered thriving ; if the chances of profit in it are thought to be inferior to those in other employ- ments ; capital gradually leaves it, or at least new capital is not attracted to it ; and by this change in the distribution of 222 DISTRIBUTION. capital between the less profitable and the more profitable employments, a sort of balance is restored. A This may be easily shown by a diagram in which the capital in one employment is repre- sented by A B, and which exceeds C D, that in another employment, by the amount of A JB. It q is not necessary that the whole of the excess, A F, should be transferred to C D to make the two capitals equal, but only A JE> which, added to CD, brings CD to an equality with MB. This equalizing process, commonly described D as the transfer of capital from one employment to another, is not necessarily the onerous, slow, and almost impracticable operation which it is very often represented to be. In the first place, it does not always imply the actual removal of capital already embarked in an employment. In a rapidly progressive state of capital, the adjustment often takes place by means of the new accumu- lations of each year, which direct themselves in preference toward the more thriving trades. Even when a real trans- fer of capital is necessary, it is by no means implied that any of those who are engaged in the unprofitable employment relinquish business and break up their establishments. The numerous and multifarious channels of credit through which, in commercial nations, unemployed capital diffuses itself over the field of employment, flowing over in greater abundance to the lower levels, are the means by which the equalization is accomplished. The process consists in a limitation by one class of dealers or producers and an extension by the other of that portion of their business which is carried on with bor- rowed capital. " Political economists say that capital sets toward the most profitable trades, and that it rapidly leaves the less profitable and non-paying trades. But in ordinary countries this is a slow process, and some persons, who want to have ocular demon- strations of abstract truths, have been inclined to doubt it be- cause they could not see it. The process would be visible enough if you could only see the books of the bill-brokers and the bankers. If the iron- trade ceases to be as profitable as PROFITS. 223 usual, less iron is sold ; the fewer the sales the fewer the hills ; and in consequence the number of iron bills [at the banks] is diminished. On the other hand, if, in consequence of a bad harvest, the corn trade becomes on a sudden profitable, imme- diately 'corn bills' are created in large numbers, and, if good, are discounted [at the banks]. Thus capital runs as surely and instantly where it is most wanted, and where there is most to be made of it, as water runs to find its level." * In the case of an altogether declining trade, in which it is necessary that the production should be, not occasionally varied, but greatly and permanently diminished, or perhaps stopped altogether, the process of extricating the capital is, no doubt, tardy and difficult, and almost always attended with considerable loss ; much of the capital fixed in machinery, buildings, permanent works, etc., being either not applicable to any other purpose, or only applicable after expensive alter- ations ; and time being seldom given for effecting the change in the mode in which it would be effected with least loss, namely, by not replacing the fixed capital as it wears out. There is besides, in totally changing the destination of a capi- tal, so great a sacrifice of established connection, and of ac- quired skill and experience, that people are always very slow in resolving upon it, and hardly ever do so until long after a change of fortune has become hopeless. In general, then, although profits are very different to different individuals, and to the same individual in different years, there can not be much diversity at the same time and place in the average profits of different employments (other than the standing differences necessary to compensate for dif- ference of attractiveness), except for short periods, or when 6ome great permanent revulsion has overtaken a particular trade. It is true that, to persons with the same amount of original means, there is more chance of making a large for- tune in some employments than in others. But it would be found that in those same employments bankruptcies also are more frequent, and that the chance of greater success is bal- anced by a greater probability of complete failure. 1 Walter Bagebot, " Lombard Street," p. 13. 224 DISTRIBUTION. § 4. The preceding remarks have, I hope, sufficiently elucidated what is meant by the common phrase, " the ordi- nary rate of profit," and the sense in which, and the limita- tions under which, this ordinary rate has a real existence. It now remains to consider what causes determine its amount. The cause of profit is, that labor produces more than is re- quired for its support ; the reason why capital yields a profit is, because food, clothing, materials, and tools last longer than the time which is required to produce them ; so that if a capi- talist supplies a party of laborers with these things, on con- dition of receiving all they produce, they will, in addition to reproducing their own necessaries and instruments, have a portion of their time remaining, to work for the capitalist. "We thus see that profit arises, not from the incident of ex- change, but from the productive power of labor; and the general profit of the country is always what the productive power of labor makes it, whether any exchange takes place or not. I proceed, in expansion of the considerations thus briefly indicated, to exhibit more minutely the mode in which the rate of profit is determined. I assume, throughout, the state of things which, where the laborers and capitalists are separate classes, prevails, with few exceptions, universally ; namely, that the capitalist ad- vances the whole expenses, including the entire remunera- tion of the laborer. That he should do so is not a matter of inherent necessity ; the laborer might wait until the produc- tion is complete for all that part of his wages which exceeds mere necessaries, and even for the whole, if he has funds in hand sufficient for his temporary support. But in the latter case the laborer is to that extent really a capitalist, investing capital in the concern, by supplying a portion of the funds necessary for carrying it on ; and even in the former case he may be looked upon in the same light, since, contributing his labor at less than the market price, he may be regarded as lending the difference to his employer, and receiving it back with interest (on whatever principle computed) from the proceeds of the enterprise. PROFITS. 225 The capitalist, then, may be assumed to make all the advances and receive all the produce. His profit consists of the excess of the produce above the advances ; his rate of profit is the ratio which that excess bears to the amount advanced. For example, if A advances 8,000 bushels of corn to labor- ers in return for 10,000 yards of cloth (and if one bushel of corn sells for the same sum as one yard of cloth), his profit consists of 2,000 yards of cloth. The ratio of the excess, 2,000, to 8,000, the outlay, or 25 per cent, is the rate of profit. It is not the ratio of 2,000 to 10,000. But what do the advances consist of ? It is, for the pres- ent, necessary to suppose that the capitalist does not pay any rent ; has not to purchase the use of any appropriated natural agent. The nature of rent, however, we have not yet taken into consideration; and it will hereafter appear that no practical error, on the question we are now examin- ing, is produced by disregarding it. If, then, leaving rent out of the question, we inquire in what it is that the advances of the capitalist, for purposes of production, consist, we shall find that they consist of wages of labor. A large portion of the expenditure of every capitalist consists in the direct payment of wages. What does not con- sist of this is composed of materials and implements, includ- ing buildings. But materials and implements are produced by labor ; and as our supposed capitalist is not meant to repre- sent a single employment, but to be a type of the productive industry of the whole country, we may suppose that he makes his own tools and raises his own materials. He does this by means of previous advances, which, again, consist wholly of wages. If we suppose him to buy the materials and tools instead of producing them, the case is not altered : he then repays to a previous producer the wages which that previous producer has paid. It is true he repays it to him with a profit ; and, if he had produced the things himself, he himself must have had that profit on this part of his outlay 15 226 DISTRIBUTION. as well as on every other part. The fact, however, remains, that in the whole process of production, beginning with the materials and tools and ending with the finished product, all the advances have consisted of nothing but wages, except that certain of the capitalists concerned have, for the sake of general convenience, had their share of profit paid to them before the operation was completed. This idea may be more clear, perhaps, if we imagine a large corporation, not only making woolen cloth, but owning sheep- ranches, where the raw materials are produced ; the shops where all machinery is made ; and who even produce on their own property all the food, clothing, shelter, and consumption of the laborers employed by them. A line of division may be passed through the returns in all these branches of the indus- try, separating what is wages from what is profit. Then it can be easily imagined that all the returns on one side, represent- ing profits, go to capitalists, no matter whether they are thou- sands in number, or only one capitalist typifying the rest, or a single corporation acting for many small capitalists. § 5. It thus appears that the two elements on which, and which alone, the gains of the capitalists depend, are, first, the magnitude of the produce, in other words, the productive power of labor ; and secondly, the proportion of that produce obtained by the laborers themselves ; the ratio which the remu- neration of the laborers bears to the amount they produce. We thus arrive at the conclusion of Kicardo and others, that the rate of profits depends upon wages ; rising as wages fall, and falling as wages rise. In adopting, however, this doctrine, I must insist upon making a most necessary altera- tion in its wording. Instead of saying that profits depend on wages, let us say (what Ricardo really meant) that they depend on the cost of labor. This is an entirely different question from that concerning the rate of wages before discussed (Book II, Chap. II). That had to do with the amount of the capital which each laborer, on an average, received as real wages, and this average rate was affected by the number of competitors for labor, as com- pared with the existing capital, taking into account the nature of the industries in a country. An increase of population, bringing more laborers to compete for employment, will lower PROFITS. 227 the average amount of real wages received by each one ; and a decrease of population will bring about the reverse. The rate of wages, however, now that we are considering the matter from the point of view of the capitalist, is but one of the things to be considered affecting cost of labor. The former question was one as to the distribution of capital ; the latter is one as to the amount by which the total production is greater than the total capital advanced. Since all capital consists of advances to labor, the present inquiry is one in regard to the quantity of advances compared with the quantity returned ; that is, the relation of the total capital to the total production arising from the use of that capital. In the diagram before used (p. 179) the question is not how the contents of circle B are to be distributed, but the relative size of circle B to circle A. In order to produce circle A, it is necessary to advance what is represented by circle B. Wages and the cost of labor ; what labor brings in to the laborer and what it costs to the capitalist are ideas quite distinct, and which it is of the utmost importance to keep so. For this purpose it is essential not to designate them, as is almost always done, by the same name. Wages, in public discussions, both oral and printed, being looked upon from the same point of view of the payers, much oftener than from that of the receivers, nothing is more com- mon than to say that wages are high or low, meaning only that the cost of labor [to the capitalist] is high or low. The reverse of this would be oftener the truth : the cost of labor is frequently at its highest where wages are lowest. This may arise from two causes. (1.) In the first place, the labor, though cheap, may be inefficient. The facts presented by Mr. Brassey ' very fully illustrate this principle. Although French workmen in their ship-yards receive less wages for the same kind of work than the English workmen in English yards, yet it costs less per ton to build ships in England than in France. The same correspondence between high wages and efficient work was found to be true of railway construction in different parts of the world. With different character, varying amounts of industrial energy, vary- ing intelligence, and endurance, different people do not have the same efficiency of labor. It is ascertained that inefficiency is, as a rule, accompanied by low wages. Even though wages paid for ordinary labor in constructing railways were in India 1 " Work and Wages." 228 DISTRIBUTION. only from nine to twelve cents a day, and in England from seventy-five to eighty-seven cents a day, yet it cost as much to build a mile of railway in India as in England. The English laborer gave a full equivalent for his higher wages. Moreover, while an English weaver tends from two to three times as many looms as his Russian competitor, the workman in the United States, it is said, will tend even more than the English- man. In American sailing-vessels, also, a less number of sailors, relatively to the tonnage, is required than in English sailing- ships. Mr. Brassey, besides, came to the conclusion that the working power, or efficiency, of ordinary English laborers was to the French as five to three. (2.) The other cause which renders wages and the cost of labor no real criteria of one another is the varying costliness of the articles which the laborer consumes. If these are cheap, wages, in the sense which is of importance to the laborer, may be high, and yet the cost of labor may be low ; if dear, the laborer may be wretchedly off, though his labor may cost much to the capitalist. This last is the condition of a country over-peopled in relation to its land ; in which, food being dear, the poorness of the laborer's real reward does not prevent labor from costing much to the purchaser, and low wages and low profits coexist. The opposite case is exemplified in the United States of America. The laborer there enjoys a greater abundance of comforts than in any other country of the world, except some of the newest colo- nies ; but owing to the cheap price at which these comforts can be obtained (combined with the great efficiency of the labor), the cost of labor to the capitalist is considerably lower than in Europe. It must be so, since the rate of profit is higher ; as indicated by the rate of interest, which is six per cent at New York when it is three or three and a quarter per cent in London. The cost of labor, then, is, in the language of mathemat- ics, a function of three variables : (1) the efficiency of labor ; (2) the wages of labor (meaning thereby the real reward [or real wages] of the laborer) ; and (3) the greater or less cost x 1 The reader is advised to consider, in connection with this, the former dis- cussion on the relation between wages and the price of food (pp. 185, 186). PROFITS. 229 at which the articles composing that real reward can be pro- duced or purchased. It is plain that the cost of labor to the capitalist must be influenced by each of these three circum- stances, and by no others. These, therefore, are also the cir- cumstances which determine the rate of profit ; and it can not be in any way affected except through one or other of them. The efficiency of labor, in this connection, is highly impor- tant in its practical aspects, and as affecting the labor ques- tion, because as a function of cost of labor, that is, as an ele- ment affecting the quantity of things advanced to the laborers in comparison with the quantity of things returned to the em- ployer, it includes the whole influence of machinery, labor- saving devices, and the results of invention. The quantity of produce depends, for a given advance, on the kind of machin- ery, the speed with which it is run, and on the general state of the arts and industrial inventions. The extent to which the productive capacity of a single laborer has been increased in the United States has been almost incredible. Instead of weaving cloth by hand, as was done a hundred years ago, " one operative in Lowell, working one year, can produce the cotton fabric needed for the year's supply of 1,500 to 1,800 Chinese." Moreover, there is no question as to the fact that no nation in the world compares with ours in the power to in- vent, construct, and manage the most ingenious and compli- cated machinery. The inventive faculty belongs to every class in our country ; and, in studying cost of labor, it must be well borne in mind that the efficiency of American labor, particu- larly as combined with mechanical appliances, is one of the great causes of our enormous production. The result of this, for instance, has been that, without lowering profits, although the price of cloth has been greatly reduced, employers have been able to raise the wages of operatives, and shorten their hours of labor, because machinery has so vastly increased the production for a given outlay. As one of a few facts showing this tendency in the last fifty years, note the following table, taken from the books of the Namquit cotton-mill in Bristol, Rhode Island : The hours per week have decreased in the same time from 84 to 66, while the product of the mill in pounds has in- creased 25 per cent. It may be unnecessary, per- haps, to say that these figures represent the current wages in KIND OF LABOR. 1811. 1884. Carding-room overseer " $3 28 4 98 4 75 7 00 $5 40 6 00 6 00 13 50 230 DISTRIBUTION. other mills at the same periods ; and that these facts can be sustained by the records of other mills. In its economic effect we must also consider, under effi- ciency, the whole question of natural advantages of soil, cli- mate, and natural resources. Laborers of the same skill, paid the same real wages, of the same cost, will produce a vastly greater amount of wheat in Dakota than in Vermont or Eng- land. This is the chief reason why profits are so high in the United States. In many industries we have very marked natu- ral advantages, which permits a high reward to labor, and yet yields a high profit to the capitalist. This applies not merely to agriculture, but to all the extractive industries, such as the production of petroleum, wood, copper, etc. In short, the whole matter of ease and difficulty of produc- tion, of high or low cost of production, taking it in the sense of great or little sacrifice (compare carefully Book III, Chap. II, § 4), comes in under the element of efficiency, in cost of labor. The reader can not be too strongly urged to connect different parts of the economic system together. And the questions of Cost of Labor and Cost of Production are of paramount importance to a proper understanding of political economy. « If labor generally became more efficient, without being more highly rewarded ; if, without its becoming less effi- cient, its remuneration fell, no increase taking place in the cost of the articles composing that remuneration ; or if those articles became less costly, without the laborers obtaining more of them ; in any one of these three cases, profits would rise. If, on the contrary, labor became less efficient (as it might do from diminished bodily vigor in the people, de- struction of fixed capital, or deteriorated education); or if the laborer obtained a higher remuneration, without any in- creased cheapness in the things composing it ; or if, without his obtaining more, that which he did obtain' became more costly ; profits, in all these cases, would suffer a diminution. And there is no other combination of circumstances in which the general rate of profit of a country, in all employments indifferently, can either fall or rise. The connection of profit with the three constituents of cost of labor may probably be better seen by aid of the following illustration ; it being premised that as yet money is not used, PROFITS. 231 and that the laborers are paid in the articles which their money wages would have bought had money been used. For simplicity we will suppose that all articles of the laborer's con- sumption are represented by corn. Imagine a large woolen- mill employing 500 men, and paying them in corn ; and suppose that one yard of woolen cloth exchanges for one bushel of corn in the open market. In the beginning, with a given condition of efficiency, suppose that each man produces on an average 1,200 yards of cloth, for which he is paid 1,000 bushels of corn: 500 men, each producing 1,200 yards, give a total product of 600,000 yards. " " paid 1,000 bushels, cause an outlay of . 500,000 " Profit . . 100,000 " (1.) Now suppose a change increasing the efficiency of la- bor to such an extent that each laborer produces 1,300 instead of 1,200 yards, then the account will stand, if the other ele- ments remain unchanged : 500 men, each producing 1,300 yards, give a total product of 650,000 yards. " " paid 1,000 bushels, cause an outlay of . 500,000 " Profit . . 150,000 " (2.) If efficiency and the cost of producing food remain the same as at first, suppose a change to occur which raises the quantity of corn each laborer receives from 1,000 to 1,100, or, as it is called, increases his real wages — then the account will be : 500 men, each producing 1,200 yards, give a total product of 600,000 yards. " " paid 1,100 bushels, cause an outlay of . 550,000 " Profit . . 50,000 " (3.) If efficiency and real wages remain the same, suppose such an increase in the cost to the employers of obtaining corn that they are obliged to give one and one tenth yard of their goods for one bushel of corn (1,000 bushels of corn cost- ing them 1,100 yards of cloth), then the statement will read : 500 men, each producing 1,200 yards, give a total product of 600,000 yards. " " paid 1,000 bushels cause an outlay of . 550,000 " Profit . 50,000 CHAPTEE VI. OF KENT. § 1. The requisites of production being labor, capital, and natural agents, the only person, besides the laborer and the capitalist, whose consent is necessary to production, and who can claim a share of the produce as the price of that consent, is the person who, by the arrangements of society, possesses exclusive power over some natural agent. The land is the principal of the natural agents which are capable of being appropriated, and the consideration paid for its use is called rent. Landed proprietors are the only class, of any numbers or importance, who have a claim to a share in the distribution of the produce, through their ownership of some- thing which neither they nor any one else have produced. If there be any other cases of a similar nature, they will be easily understood, when the nature and laws of rent are comprehended. It is at once evident that rent is the effect of a monop- oly. The reason why land-owners are able to require rent for their land is, that it is a commodity which many want, and which no one can obtain but from them. If all the land of the country belonged to one person, he could fix the rent at his pleasure. This case, however, is nowhere known to exist; and the only remaining supposition is that of free competition ; the land-owners being supposed to be, as in fact they are, too numerous to combine. The ratio of the land to the cultivators is that which limits the quantity of land. It is very desirable to keep the connec- RENT. 233 tion of one part of the subject with another wherever possible. " Agricultural rent, as it actually exists," says Mr. Cairnes, 1 truly, " is not a consequence of the monopoly of the soil, but of its diminishing productiveness." The doctrine of rent de- pends upon the law of diminishing returns ; and it is only by the pressure of population upon land that the lessened produc- tiveness of land, whether because of poorer qualities or poorer situations, is made apparent. Or, to take things in their natu- ral sequence, an increase of population necessitates more food ; and this implies a resort to more expensive methods, or poorer soils, so soon as land is pushed to the extent that it will not yield an increased crop at the same application of labor and capital as formerly. Different qualities of land, then, being in cultivation at the same time, the better qualities must, of course, yield a greater return than the poorer, and the condi- tions then exist under which land pays rent. Those, therefore, who admit the law of diminishing returns are inevitably led to the doctrine of rent. § 2. A thing which is limited in quantity, even though its possessors do not act in concert, is still a monopolized article. But even when monopolized, a thing which is the gift of nature, and requires no labor or outlay as the con- dition of its existence, will, if there be competition among the holders of it, command a price only if it exist in less quantity than the demand. If the whole land of a country were required for cultiva- tion, all of it might yield a rent. But in no country of any extent do the wants of the population require that all the land, which is capable of cultivation, should be cultivated. The food and other agricultural produce which the people need, and which they are willing and able to pay for at a price which remunerates the grower, may always be obtained without cultivating all the laud; sometimes without culti- vating more than a small part of it ; the more fertile lands, or those in the more convenient situations, being of course preferred. There is always, therefore, some land which can not, in existing circumstances, pay any rent ; and no land ever pays rent unless, in point of fertility or situation, it belongs to those superior kinds which exist in less quantity 1 " Logical Method," p. 206. 234 DISTRIBUTION. than the demand — which can not be made to yield all the produce required for the community, unless on terms still less advantageous than the resort to less favored soils. (1.) The worst land which can be cultivated as a means of sub- sistence is that which will just replace the seed and the food of the laborers employed on it, together with what Dr. Chal- mers calls their secondaries ; that is, the laborers required for supplying them with tools, and with the remaining neces- saries of life. Whether any given land is capable of doing more than this is not a question of political economy, but of physical fact. The supposition leaves nothing for profits, nor anything for the laborers except necessaries : the land, therefore, can only be cultivated by the laborers themselves, or else at a pecuniary loss ; and, a fortiori, can not in any contingency afford a rent. (2.) The worst land which can be cultivated as an investment for capital is that which, after replacing the seed, not only feeds the agricultural laborers and their secondaries, but affords them the current rate of wages, which may extend to much more than mere necessa- ries, and leaves, for those who have advanced the wages of these two classes of laborers, a surplus equal to the profit they could have expected from any other employment of their capital. (3.) "Whether any given land can do more than this is not merely a physical question, but depends partly on the market value of agricultural produce. What the land can do for the laborers and for the capitalist, beyond feeding all whom it directly or indirectly employs, of course depends upon what the remainder of the produce can be sold for. The higher the market value of produce, the lower are the soils to which cultivation can descend, consist- ently with affording to the capital employed the ordinary rate of profit. As, however, differences of fertility slide into one an- other by insensible gradations; and differences of accessi- bility, that is, of distance from markets do the same ; and since there is land so barren that it could not pay for its cultivation at any price; it is evident that, whatever the RENT. 235 price may be, there must in any extensive region be some land which at that price will just pay the wages of the cul- tivators, and yield to the capital employed the ordinary profit, and no more. Until, therefore, the price rises higher, or until some improvement raises that particular land to a higher place in the scale of fertility, it can not pay any rent. It is evident, however, that the community needs the prod- uce of this quality of land ; since, if the lands more fertile or better situated than it could have sufficed to supply the wants of society, the price would not have risen so high as to render its cultivation profitable. This land, therefore, will be cultivated ; and we may lay it down as a principle that, so long as any of the land of a country which is fit for cultivation, and not withheld from it by legal or other fac- titious obstacles, is not cultivated, the worst land in actual cultivation (in point of fertility and situation together) pays no rent. § 3. If, then, of the land in cultivation, the part which yields least return to the labor and capital employed on it gives only the ordinary profit of capital, without leaving anything for rent, a standard [i. e., the " margin of cultiva- tion " ] is afforded for estimating the amount of rent which will be yielded by all other land. Any land yields just as much more than the ordinaiy profits of stock as it yields more than what is returned by the worst land in cultivation. The surplus is what the farmer can afford to pay as rent to the landlord ; and since, if he did not so pay it, he would receive more than the ordinary rate of profit, the competi- tion of other capitalists, that competition which equalizes the profits of different capitals, will enable the landlord to appropriate it. The rent, therefore, which any land will yield, is the excess of its produce, beyond what would be returned to the same capital if employed on the worst land in cultivation. It has been denied that there can be any land in cultiva- tion which pays no rent, because landlords (it is contended) would not allow their land to be occupied without payment. 236 DISTRIBUTION. Inferior land, however, does not usually occupy, without interruption, many square miles of ground ; it is dispersed here and there, with patches of better land intermixed, and the same person who rents the better land obtains along with it the inferior soils which alternate with it. He pays a rent, nominally for the whole farm, but calculated on the produce of those parts alone (however small a portion of the whole) which are capable of returning more than the common rate of profit. It is thus scientifically true that the remaining parts pay no rent. This point seems to need some illustration. Suppose that all the lands in a community are of five different grades of productiveness. When the price of agricultural produce was such that grades one, two, and three all came into cultivation, lands of poorer quality would not be cultivated. When a man rents a farm, he always gets land of varying degrees of fertil- ity within its limits. Now, in determining what he ought to pay as rent, the farmer will agree to give that which will still leave him a profit on his working capital ; if in his fields he finds land which would not enter into the question of rental, because it did not yield more than the profit on working it, after he rented the farm he would find it to his interest to cul- tivate it, simply because it yielded him a profit, and because he was not obliged to pay rent upon it ; if required to pay rent for it, he would lose the ordinary rate of profit, would have no reason for cultivating it, of course, and would throw it out of cultivation. Moreover, suppose that lands down to grade three paid rent when A took the farm ; now, if the price of produce rises slightly, grade four may pay something, but possibly not enough to warrant any rent going to a landlord. A will put capital on it for this return, but certainly not until the price warrants it ; that is, not until the price will return him at least the cost of working the land, plus the profit on his outlay. But the community needed this land, or the price would not have gone up to the point which makes possible its cultivation even for a profit, without rent. There must always be somewhere some land affected in just this way. § 4. Let us, however, suppose that there were a validity in this objection, which can by no means be conceded to it ; that, when the demand of the community had forced up food to such a price as would remunerate the expense of produc- ing it from a certain quality of soil, it happened nevertheless RENT. 237 that all the soil of that quality was withheld from cultivation, the increase of produce, which the wants of society required, would for the time be obtained wholly (as it always is partial- ly), not by an extension of cultivation, but by an increased application of labor and capital to land already cultivated. Now we have already seen that this increased application of capital, other things being unaltered, is always attended with a smaller proportional return. The rise of price enables measures to be taken for increasing the produce, which could not have been taken with profit at the previous price. The farmer uses more expensive manures, or manures land which he formerly left to nature ; or procures lime or marl from a distance, as a dressing for the soil ; or pulverizes or weeds it more thoroughly ; or drains, irrigates, or subsoils portions of it, which at former prices would not have paid the cost of the operation ; and so forth. The farmer or improver will only consider whether the outlay he makes for the pur- pose will be returned to him with the ordinary profit, and not whether any surplus will remain for rent. Even, there- fore, if it were the fact that there is never any land taken into cultivation, for which rent, and that too of an amount worth taking into consideration, was not paid, it would be true, nevertheless, that there is always some agricultural capital which pays no rent, because it returns nothing be- yond the ordinary rate of profit : this capital being the por- tion of capital last applied — that to which the last addition to the produce was due ; or (to express the essentials of the case in one phrase) that which is applied in the least favor- able circumstances. But the same amount of demand and the same price, which enable this least productive portion of capital barely to replace itself with the ordinary profit, en- able every other portion to yield a surplus proportioned to the advantage it possesses. And this surplus it is which competition enables the landlord to appropriate. If land were all occupied, and of only one grade, the first installment of labor and capital produced, we will say, twenty bushels of wheat ; when the price of wheat rose, and it became 238 DISTRIBUTION. profitable to resort to greater expense on the soil, a second in- stallment of the same amount of labor and capital when applied, however, only yielded fifteen bushels more; a third, ten bushels more; and a fourth, five bushels more. The soil now gives fifty bushels only under the highest pressure. But, if it was profit- able to invest the same installment of labor and capital simply for the five bushels that at first had received a return of twenty bushels, the price must have gone up so that five bushels should sell for as much as the twenty did formerly ; so, mutatis mu- tandis, of installments second and third. So that if the demand is such as to require all of the fifty bushels, the agricultural capital which produced the five bushels will be the standard according to which the rent of the capital, which grew twenty, fifteen, and ten bushels respectively, is measured. The prin- ciple is exactly the same as if equal installments of capital and labor were invested on four different grades of land returning twenty, fifteen, ten, and five bushels for each installment. Or, as if in the table on page 240, A, B, C, and D each represented different installments of the same amount of labor and capital put upon the same spot of ground, instead of being, as there, put upon different grades of land. The rent of all land is measured by the excess of the re- turn to the whole capital employed on it above what is neces- sary to replace the capital with the ordinary rate of profit, or, in other words, above what the same capital would yield if it were all employed in as disadvantageous circumstances as the least productive portion of it : whether that least pro- ductive portion of capital is rendered so by being employed on the worst soil, or by being expended in extorting more produce from land which already yielded as much as it could be made to part with on easier terms. It will be true that the farmer requires the ordinary rate of profit on the whole of his capital ; that whatever it returns to him beyond this he is obliged to pay to the landlord, but will not consent to pay more ; that there is a portion of capi- tal applied to agriculture in such circumstances of produc- tiveness as to yield only the ordinary profits ; and that the difference between the produce of this and of any other capi- tal of similar ampunt is the measure of the tribute which that other capital can and will pay, under the name of rent, to the landlord. This constitutes » law of rent, as near the RENT. 239 truth as such a law can possibly be ; though of course modi- fied or disturbed, in individual cases, by pending contracts, individual miscalculations, the influence of habit, and even the particular feelings and dispositions of the persons con- cerned. The law of rent, in the economic sense, operates in the United States as truly as elsewhere, although there is no sepa- rate class of landlords here. With us, almost all land is owned by the cultivator ; so that two functions, those of the landlord and farmer, are, both united in one person. Although one pay- ment is made, it is still just as distinctly made up of two parts, one of which is a payment to the owner for the superior quality of his soil, and the other a payment (to the same person, if the owner is the cultivator) of profit on the farmer's working capi- tal. Land which in the United States will only return enough to pay a profit on this capital can not pay any rent. And land which can pay more than a profit on this working capital, re- turns that excess as rent, even if the farmer is also the owner and landlord. The principle which regulates the amount of that excess — which is the essential point — is the principle which determines the amount of economic rent, and it holds true in the United States or Finland, provided only that different grades of land are called into cultivation. The governing principle is the same, no matter whether a payment is made to one man as profit and to another as rent, or whether the two payments are made to the same man in two capacities. It has been urged that the law of rent does not hold in the United States, because "the price of grain and other agricultural prod- uce has not risen in proportion to the increase of our numbers, as it ought to have done if Ricardo's theory were true, but has fallen, since 1830, though since that time our population has been more than tripled." ' This overlooks the fact that we have not even yet taken up all our best agricultural lands, so that for some products the law of diminishing productiveness has not yet shown itself. The reason is, that the extension of our railway system has only of late years brought the really good grain-lands into cultivation. The fact that there has been no rise in agricultural products is due to the enormous extent of marvelously fertile grain-lands in the West, and to the cheap- ness of transportation from those districts to the seaboard. For a general understanding of the law of rent the follow- ing table will show how, under constant increase of population (represented by four different advances of population, in the 1 "American Political Economy," p. 164. 240 DISTRIBUTION. first column), first the best and then the poorer lands are brought into cultivation. We will suppose (1) that the most fertile land, A, at first pays no rent ; then (2), when more food is wanted than land A can supply, it will be profitable to till land B, but which, as yet, pays no rent. But if eighteen bush- els are a sufficient return to a given amount of labor and capi- tal, then when an equal amount of labor and capital engaged on A returns twenty-four bushels, six of that are beyond the ordinary profit, and form the rent on land A, and so on; C will next be the line of comparison, and then D ; as the poorer soils are cultivated, the rent of A increases : A B C D Increase op Popula- 24 bushels to the acre. 18 bushels to the acre. 12 bushels to the acre. 6 bushels to the acre. tion. Total product. Kent in bushels. Total product. Rent in bushels. Total product. Bent in bushels. Total product. Eent in bushels. I II III IV 24 24 24 24 6 12 18 18 18 18 6 S 12 12 12 6 6 6 § 5. Under the name of rent, many payments are com- monly included, which are not a remuneration for the origi- nal powers of the land itself, but for capital expended on it. The buildings are as distinct a thing from the farm as the stock or the timber on it ; and what is paid for them can no more be called rent of land than a payment for cattle would be, if it were the custom that the landlord should stock the farm for the tenant. The buildings, like the cattle, are not land, but capital, regularly consumed and reproduced ; and all payments made in consideration for them are prop- erly interest. But with regard to capital actually sunk in improvements, and not requiring periodical renewal, but spent once for all in giving the land a permanent increase of productiveness, it appears to me that the return made to such capital loses altogether the character of profits, and is governed by the principles of rent. It is true that a landlord will not expend capital in improving his estate unless he expects from the improvement an increase of income surpassing the interest RENT. 241 of his outlay. Prospectively, this increase of income may be regarded as profit ; but, when the expense bas been in- curred and tbe improvement made, the rent of tbe improved land is governed by tbe same rules as that of the unimproved. Mr. Carey (as well as Bastiat) bas declared that there is a law of increasing returns from land. He points out that every- thing now existing could be reproduced to-day at a less cost than that involved in its original production, owing to our advance in skill, knowledge, and all the arts of production ; that, for example, it costs less to make an axe now than it did five hundred years ago ; so also with a farm, since a farm of a given amount of productiveness can be brought into cultiva- tion at less cost to-day than that originally spent upon it. The gain of society has, we all admit, been such that we pro- duce almost everything at a less cost now than long ago ; but to class a farm and an axe together overlooks, in the most remarkable way, the fact that land can not be created by labor and capital, while axes can, and that too indefinitely. Nor can the produce from the land be increased indefinitely at a dimin- ishing cost. This is sometimes denied by the appeal to facts : "It can be abundantly proved that, if we take any two periods sufficiently distant to afford a fair test, whether fifty or one hundred or five hundred years, the production of the land relatively to the labor employed upon it has progressively be- come greater and greater." ' But this does not prove that an existing tendency to diminishing returns has not been more than offset by the progress of the arts and improvements. " The advance of a ship against wind and tide is [no] proof that there is no wind and tide." In a work entitled " The Past, the Present, and the Future," Mr. Carey takes [a] ground of objection to the Bicardo theory of rent, namely, that in point of historical fact the lands first brought under cultivation are not the most fertile, but the barren lands. " TVe find the settler in- variably occupying the high and thin lands requiring little clearing and no drainage. With the growth of population and wealth, other soils yielding a larger return to labor are always brought into activity, with a constantly increasing return to the labor expended upon them." In whatever order the lands come into cultivation, those 1 Rickards, " Population and Capital," p. 135. 16 242 DISTRIBUTION. which when cultivated yield the least return, in proportion to the labor required for their culture, will always regulate the price of agricultural produce ; and all other lands will pay a rent simply equivalent to the excess of their produce over this minimum. Whatever unguarded expressions may have been occasionally used in describing the law of rent, these two propositions are all that was ever intended by it. If, indeed, Mr. Carey could show that the return to labor from the land, agricultural skill and science being supposed the same, is not a diminishing return, he would overthrow a principle much more fundamental than any law of rent. Bat in this he has wholly failed. Another objection taken against the law of diminishing returns, and so against the law of rent, is that the potential in- crease of food, e. g., of a grain of wheat, is far greater than that of man. 1 No one disputes the fact that one grain of wheat can reproduce itself more times than man, and that too in a geometric increase ; but not without land. A grain of wheat needs land in which it can multiply itself, and this necessary element of its increase is limited ; and it is the very thing which limits the multiplication of the grains of wheat. On the same piece of land, one can not get more than what comes from one act of reproduction in the grain. If one grain pro- duces 100 of its kind, doubling the capital will not repeatedly cause a geometric increase in the ratio of reproduction of each grain on this same land, so that one grain, by one process, pro- duces of its kind 200, 400, 800, or 1,600, because you can not multiply the land in any such ratio as would accompany this potential reduplication of the grain. This objection would not seem worth answering, were it not that it furnishes some diffi- culty to really honest inquirers. Others, again, allege as an objection against Ricardo, that if all land were of equal fertility it might still yield a rent. But Ricardo says precisely the same. It is also distinctly a portion of Ricardo's doctrine that, even apart from differ- ences of situation, the land of a country supposed to be of uniform fertility would, all of it, on a certain supposition, pay rent, namely, if the demand of the community required 1 Rickards, ibid., p. 15. RENT. 243 that it should all be cultivated, and cultivated beyond the point at -which a further application of capital begins to be attended with a smaller proportional return. This is simply the question, before discussed, whether, if only one class of land were cultivated, some agricultural capi- tal would pay rent or not. It all depends on the fact whether population — and so the demand for food — has increased to the point where it calls out a recognition of the diminishing pro- ductiveness of the soil. In that case different capitals would be invested, so that there would be different returns to the same amount of capital ; and the prior or more advantageous investments of capital on the land would yield more than the ordinary rate of profit, which could be claimed as rent. A. L. Perry 1 admits the law of diminishing returns, but holds that, "as land is capital, and as every form of capital may be loaned or rented, and thus become fruitful in the hands of another, the rent of land does not differ essentially in its nature from the rent of buildings in cities, or from the interest of money." Henry George admits Ricardo's law of rent to its full extent, but very curiously says : "Irrespective of the in- crease of population, the effect of improvements in methods of production and exchange is to increase rent. . . . The effect of labor-saving improvements will be to increase the production of wealth. Now, for the production of wealth, two things are required, labor and land. Therefore, the effect of labor-sav- ing improvements will be to extend the demand for land, and, wherever the limit of the quality of land in use is reached, to bring into cultivation lands of less natural productiveness, or to extend cultivation on the same lands to a point of lower natural productiveness. And thus, while the primary effect of labor-saving improvements is to increase the power of labor, the secondary effect is to extend cultivation, and, where this lowers the margin of cultivation, to increase rent."* Francis Bowen s rejects Ricardo's law, and says, "Rent depends, not on the increase, but on the distribution, of the population " — asserting that the existence of large cities and towns deter- mines the amount of rent paid by neighboring land. * 1 " Political Economy," p. 288. 8 "Progress and Poverty," pp. 220, 221. 3 " American Political Economy," p. 164. 4 For other writers opposed to the doctrine of Rent as maintained by Ricardo and Mill, see Bonamy Price, " Practical Political Economy," chap, x ; McLeod, " Principles of Economic Philosophy," chap, x ; and J. E. T. Rogers, " Manual of Political Economy," chap. xii. 244 DISTRIBUTION. § 6. Rent does not really form any part of the expenses of [agricultural] production, or of the advances of the capi- talist. The grounds on which this assertion was made are now apparent. It is true that all tenant-farmers, and many other classes of producers, pay rent. But we have now seen that whoever cultivates land, paying a rent for it, gets in re- turn for his rent an instrument of superior power to other instruments of the same kind for which no rent is paid. The superiority of the instrument is in exact proportion to the rent paid for it. If a few persons had steam-engines of su- perior power to all others in existence, but limited by physi-. cal laws to a number short of the demand, the rent which a manufacturer would be willing to pay for one of these steam- engines could not be looked upon as an addition to his outlay, because by the use of it he would save in his other expenses the equivalent of what it cost him : without it he could not do the same quantity of work, unless at an additional ex- pense equal to the rent. The same thing is true of land. The real expenses of production are those incurred on the worst land, or by the capital employed in the least favorable circumstances. This land or capital pays, as we have seen, no rent, but the expenses to which it is subject cause all other land or agricultural capital to be subjected to an equiva- lent expense in the form of rent. Whoever does pay rent gets back its full value in extra advantages, and the rent which he pays does not place him in a worse position than, but only in the same position as, his fellow-producer who pays no rent, but whose instrument is one of inferior efficiency. Soils are of every grade : some, which if cultivated, might replace the capital, but give no profit ; some give a slight but not an ordinary profit ; some, the ordinary profit. That is, " there is a point up to which it is profitable to cultivate, and beyond which it is not profitable to cultivate. The price of corn will not, for any long time, remain at a higher rate than is sufficient to cover with ordinary profit the cost of that portion of the general crop which is raised at greatest ex- pense." 1 For similar reasons the price will not remain at a 1 Caimes, " Logical Method," p. 199. RENT. 245 lower rate. If, then, the cost of production of grain is deter- mined by that land which replaces the capital, yields only the ordinary profit, and pays no rent, rent forms no part of this cost, since that land does not and can not pay any rent. Mc- Leod, 1 however, says it is not the cost of production which regulates the value of agricultural produce, but the value which regulates the cost. 1 " Theory and Practice of Banking," vol. i, p. 13. Cf. Cairnes, " Logical Method," p. 106. BOOK III. EXCHANGE. BOOK III. EXCHANGE. CHAPTER I. OF VALUE. § 1. It is evident that, of the two great departments of Political Economy, the production of wealth and its distribu- tion, the consideration of Yalue has to do with the latter alone ; and with that only so far as competition, and not usage or custom, is the distributing agency. The use of a thing, in political economy, means its ca- pacity to satisfy a desire, or serve a purpose. Diamonds have this capacity in a high degree, and, unless they had it, would not bear any price. Yalue in use, or, as Mr. De Quin- cey calls it, teleologio value, is the extreme limit of value in exchange. The exchange value of a thing may fall short, to any amount, of its value in use ; but that it can ever exceed the value in use implies a contradiction ; it supposes that persons will give, to possess a thing, more than the utmost value which they themselves put upon it, as a means of grati- fying their inclinations. The word Yalue, when used without adjunct, always means, in political economy, value in exchange. Exchange value requires to be distinguished from Price. "Writers have employed Price to express the value of a thing in relation to money — the quantity of money for which it will exchange. By the price of a thing, therefore, we shall 250 EXCHANGE. henceforth understand its value in money ; by the value, or exchange value cf a thing, its general power of purchasing ; the command which its possession gives over purchasable commodities in general. What is meant by command over commodities in general? The same thing exchanges for a greater quantity of some commodities, and for a very small quantity of others. A coat may exchange for less bread this year than last, if the harvest has been bad, but for more glass or iron, if a tax has been taken off those commodities, or an improvement made in their manufacture. Has the value of the coat, under these circumstances, fallen or risen ? It is impossible to say : all that can be said is, that it has fallen in relation to one thing, and risen in respect to another. Sup- pose, for example, that an invention has been made in ma- chinery, by which broadcloth could be woven at half the former cost. The effect of this would be to lower the value of a coat, and, if lowered by this cause, it would be lowered not in relation to bread only or to glass only, but to all pur- chasable things, except such as happened to be affected at the very time by a similar depressing cause. Those [changes] which originate in the commodities with which we compare it affect its value in relation to those commodities ; but those which originate in itself affect its value in relation to all commodities. There is such a thing as a general rise of prices. All commodities may rise in their money price. But there can not be a general rise of values. It is a contradiction in terms. A can only rise in value by exchanging for a greater quantity of B and C ; in which case these must exchange for a smaller quantity of A. All things can not rise relatively to one another. If one half of the commodities in the mar- ket rise in exchange value, the very terms imply a fall of the other half ; and, E reciprocally, the fall implies a rise. Things which are exchanged for one another can no more all fall, or all rise, than a dozen runners can each outrun all the rest, or a hundred trees all overtop one another. A general rise or a general fall of prices is merely tantamount to an alteration VALUE. 251 in the value of money, and is a matter of complete indiffer- ence, save in so far as it affects existing contracts for receiv- ing and paying fixed pecuniary amounts. Before commencing the inquiry into the laws of value and price, I have one further observation to make. I must give warning, once for all, that the cases I contemplate are those in which values and prices are determined by competi- tion alone. In so far only as they are thus determined, can they be reduced to any assignable law. The buyers must be supposed as studious to buy cheap as the sellers to sell dear. The reader is advised to study the definitions of value given by other writers. Cairnes 1 defines value as "the ratio in which commodities in open market are exchanged against each other." F. A. Walker 2 holds that " value is the power which an article confers upon its possessor, irrespective of legal authority or personal sentiments, of commanding, in exchange for itself, the labor, or the products of the labor, of others." Carey* says, " Value is the measure of the resistance to be overcome in obtaining those commodities or things required for our pur- poses — of the power of nature over man." Value is thus, with him, the antithesis of wealth, which is (according to Carey) the power of man over nature. In this school, value is the ser- vice rendered by any one who supplies the article for the use of another. This is also Bastiat's idea, 4 " le rapport de deux services echanges." Following Bastiat, A. L. Perry* defines value as " always and everywhere the relation of mutual pur- chase established between two services by their exchange." Roscher " explains exchange value as " the quality which makes them exchangeable against other goods." He also makes a distinction between utility and value in use : " Utility is a quality of things themselves, in relation, it is true, to human wants. Value in use is a quality imputed to them, the result of man's thought, or his view of them. Thus, for instance, in a beleaguered city, the stores of food do not increase in utility, but their value in use does." Levasseur' regards value as "the relation resulting from exchange" — le rapport resultant de Fechange. Cherbuliez 8 asserts that " the value of a product or 1 "Leading Principles," p. 11. * "Political Economy," p. 5. 3 " Social Science," vol. i, p. 158. * " Harmonies," p. 171. 5 " Political Economy," p. 126. 6 " Political Economy," Introduction, Chap. I, § 5. * "Precis d'Economie politique," p. 175. 8 " Pr6cis de la Science 6conomique," vol. i, p. 202. 252 EXCHANGE. of a service can be expressed only as the products or services which it obtains in exchange. ... If I exchange the thing A against B, A is the "value of B, B is the value of A." Jevons ' defines value as "proportion in exchange." § 2. That a thing may have any value in exchange, two conditions are necessary. 1. It must be of some use ; that is (as already explained), it must conduce to some purpose, sat- isfy some desire. ~No one will pay a price, or part with any- thing which serves some of his purposes, to obtain a thing which serves none of them. 2. But, secondly, the thing must not only have some utility, there must also be some difficulty in its attainment. The question is one as to the conditions essential to the ex- istence of any value. Very justly Cairnes 9 adds also a third condition, " the possibility of transferring the possession of the articles which are the subject of the exchange." For instance, a cargo of wheat at the bottom of the sea has value in use and difficulty of attainment, but it is not transferable. Jevons (fol- lowing J. B. Say) maintains that " value depends entirely on utility." If utility means the power to satisfy a desire, things which merely have utility and no difficulty of attainment could have no exchange value. 8 F. A. Walker* believes that "value depends wholly on the relation between demand and supply." Carey 5 holds that value depends merely on the cost of repro- duction of the given article. Roscher 8 finds that exchange value is "based on a combination of value in use with cost value." Cherbuliez 7 calls the conditions of value two, " the ability to give satisfaction, and inability of attainment without effort. The first element is subjective ; it is determined wholly by the needs or desires of the parties to the exchange. The second is objective ; it depends upon material considerations, which are the conditions of the existence of the thing, and upon which the needs of the persons exchanging have no influence whatever." It is, as usual, one of Cherbuliez's clear expositions. A. L. Perry 8 states that, " while value always takes its rise in the desires of men, it is never realized except through the efforts of men, and through these efforts as mutually exchanged." 1 " Political Economy Primer," p. 98. ' " Leading Principles," p. 15. 3 " Theory of Political Economy," pp. 82-91. See Cairnes, ibid., pp. 17-19. 4 " Political Economy," p. 92. 6 " Social Science," vol. ii, p. 335. 6 " Political Economy," Introduction, Chap. I, § 5. 7 " Precis," p. 206. 8 " Political Economy," p. 165. Exch.Value. VALUE. 253 The difficulty of attainment which determines value is not always the same kind of difficulty : (1.) It sometimes consists in an absolute limitation of the supply. There are things of which it is physically impossible to increase the quantity beyond certain narrow limits. Such are those wines which can be grown only in peculiar circumstances of soil, cli- mate, and exposure. Such also are ancient sculptures ; pictures by the old masters ; rare books or coins, or other articles of antiquarian curiosity. Among such may also be reckoned houses and building-ground, in a town of definite extent. De Quincey 1 has presented some ingenious diagrams to represent the operations of the two constituents of value in each of the three following cases : U represents the power of the article to satisfy some desire, and D difficulty of attainment. In the first case, exchange value is not hindered by D from goirg up to any height, and so it rises and falls entirely according to the force of U. D being practically infinite, the horizontal line, exchange value, is not kept down by D, but it rises just as far as U, the desires of purchasers, may carry it. d u (2.) But there is another category (embracing the major- ity of all things that are bought and sold), in which the ob- stacle to attainment consists only in the labor and expense requisite to produce the commodity. Without a certain labor and expense it can not be had ; but, when any one is willing to incur these, there needs be no limit to the multi- plication of the product. If there were laborers enough and machinery enough, cottons, woolens, or linens might be pro- duced by thousands of yards for every single yard now man- ufactured, ir. In case (2) the horizontal line, representing Exch.Value exchange value, follows the force of D entirely. The utility of the article is very great, but the value is only limited by the difficulty of obtain- ing it. So far as U is concerned, exchange value can go up a great distance, but will go no higher than the point where the article can be u 1 " Logic of Political Economy." £54 EXCHANGE. obtained. The dotted lines underneath the horizontal line in- dicate that the exchange value of articles in this class tend to fall in value. (3.) There is a third case, intermediate between the two preceding, and rather more complex, which I shall at pres- ent merely indicate, but the importance of which in political economy is extremely great. There are commodities which can be multiplied to an indefinite extent by labor and ex- penditure, but not by a fixed amount of labor and expendi- ture. Only a limited quantity can be produced at a given cost ; if more is wanted, it must be produced at a greater cost. To this class, as has been often repeated, agricultural produce belongs, and generally all the rude produce of the earth ; and this peculiarity is a source of very important con- sequences ; one of which is the necessity of a limit to popu- lation ; and another, the payment of rent. In case (3) articles like agricultural produce have a very great power to satisfy desires, and if scarce would nI - have a high value. So far as U is concerned, here also, as in case (2), exchange value might mount upward to almost any height, but it can go no higher than D permits. In commodities of this class, affected by the law of diminishing returns, the tendency is for D to increase, and so for ex- change value to rise, as indicated by the dotted lines " above that of the exchange value. § 3. These being the three classes, in one or other of which all things that are bought and sold must take their place, we shall consider them in their order. And first, of things absolutely limited in quantity, such as ancient sculpt- ures or pictures. Of such things it is commonly said that their value de- pends on their scarcity ; others say that the value depends on the demand and supply. But this statement requires much explanation. The supply of a commodity is an intel- ligible expression : it means the quantity offered for sale ; the quantity that is to be had, at a given time and place, by those who wish to purchase it. But what is meant by the demand % Not the mere desire for the commodity. A beg- Exch.Value VALUE. 255 gar may desire a diamond ; but bis desire, bowever great, will have no influence on tbe price. Writers bave there- fore given a more limited sense to demand, and bave defined it, the wish to possess, combined with the power of purchas- ing. 1 To distinguish demand in this technical sense from the demand which is synonymous with desire, they call the former effectual demand. General supply consists in the commodities offered in ex- change for other commodities ; general demand likewise, if no money exists, consists in the commodities offered as purchasing power in exchange for other commodities. That is, one can not increase the demand for certain things without increasing the supply of some articles which will be received in exchange for the desired commodities. Demand is based upon the pro- duction of articles having exchange value, in its economic sense ; and the measure of this demand is necessarily the quan- tity of commodities offered in exchange for the desired goods. General demand and supply are thus reciprocal to each other. Bat as soon as money, or general purchasing power, is intro- duced, Mr. Cairnes 2 defines "demand as the desire for com- modities or services, seeking its end by an offer of general pur- chasing power ; and supply, as the desire for general purchasing power, seeking its end by an offer of specific commodities or services." But many persons find a difficulty because they insist upon separating the idea of supply from that of demand, owing to the fact that producers seem to be a distinct class in the community, different from consumers. That they are in reality the same persons can be easily explained by the follow- ing statement : " A certain number of people, A, B, C, D, E, F, etc., are engaged in industrial occupations — A produces for B, C, D, E, F ; B for A, C, D, E, F ; C for A, B, D, E, F, and so on. In each case the producer and the consumers are dis- tinct, and hence, by a very natural fallacy, it is concluded that the whole body of consumers is distinct from the whole body of producers, whereas they consist of precisely the same persons." But in regard to demand and supply of particular commodi- ties (not general demand and supply), the increase of the de- 1 Although here using demand in its proper sense, a little later Mr. Mill de- fines it as the " quantity demanded." As he again uses it in the proper sense in discussing excess of money (Book III, Chap. V), supply (Book III, Chap. XI), and foreign trade (Book III, Chap. XIV), I have on " tf pd from his present expo- sition his evidently inconsistent use of the word. 9 " Leading Principles," p. 25. 256 EXCHANGE. mand is not necessarily followed by an increased supply, or vice versa. Out of the total production (which constitutes general demand) a varying amount, sometimes more, sometimes less, may be directed by the desires of men to the purchase of some given thing. This should be borne in mind, in connec- tion with the future discussion of over-production. The iden- tity of general demand with general supply shows there can be no general over-production : but so long as there exists the pos- sibility that the demand for a particular commodity may dimin- ish without a corresponding effect being thereby produced on the supply of that commodity, by a necessary connection, we see that there may be over-production of particular commodi- ties ; that is, a production in excess of the demand. The proper mathematical analogy [between demand and supply] is that of an equation. If unequal at any moment, competition equalizes them, and the manner in which this is done is by an adjustment of the value. If the demand in- creases, the value rises ; if the demand diminishes, the value falls ; again, if the supply falls off, the value rises ; and falls, if the supply is increased. The rise or the fall continues until the demand and supply are again equal to one another : and the value which a commodity will bring in any market is no other than the value which, in that market, gives a demand just sufficient to carry off the existing or expected supply. Mr. Cairnes 1 finally defined market value as the price " which is sufficient, and no more than sufficient, to carry the existing supply over, with such a surplus as circumstances may render advisable, to meet the new supplies forthcoming," which is nothing more than a paraphrase of the words "ex- isting or expected supply" just used by Mr. Mill. It seems unnecessary, therefore, that Mr. Cairnes should have added : " According to Mr. Mill, the actual market price is the price which equalizes supply and demand in a given market ; as I view the case, the ' proper market price ' is the price which equalizes supply and demand, not as existing in the particular market, but in the larger sense which I have assigned to the terms. To this price the actual market price will, according to my view, approximate, in proportion to the intelligence and knowledge of the dealers." 1 " Leading Principles," p. 108. VALUE. 257 Adam Smith, who introduced the expression " effectual demand," employed it to denote the demand of those who are willing and able to give for the commodity what he calls its natural price — that is, the price which will enable it to be permanently produced and brought to market. 1 This, then, is the Law of Yalue, with respect to all com- modities not susceptible of being multiplied at pleasure. § 4. There are but few commodities which are naturally and necessarily limited in supply. But any commodity whatever may be artificially so. The monopolist can fix the value as high as he pleases, short of what the consumer either could not or would not pay ; but he can only do so by limit- ing the supply. Monopoly value, therefore, does not depend on any peculiar principle, but is a mere variety of the ordi- nary case of demand and supply. Again, though there are few commodities which are at all times and forever unsusceptible of increase of supply, any commodity whatever may be temporarily so ; and with some commodities this is habitually the case. Agricultural produce, for example, can not be increased in quantity before the next harvest ; the quantity of corn already existing in the world is all that can be had for sometimes a year to come. During that interval, corn is practically assimilated to things of which the quantity can not be increased. In the case of most commodities, it requires a certain time to in- crease their quantity ; and if the demand increases, then, until a corresponding supply can be brought forward, that is, until the supply can accommodate itself to the demand, the value will so rise as to accommodate the demand to the supply. There is another case the exact converse of this. There are some articles of which the supply may be indefinitely increased, but can not be rapidly diminished. There are things so durable that the quantity in existence is at all times very great in comparison with the annual produce. Gold 1 See his chapter on " Natural and Market Price," book i, chap. vii. 17 258 EXCHANGE. and the more durable metals are things of this sort, and also houses. The supply of such things might be at once diminished by destroying them ; but to do this could only be the interest of the possessor if he had a monopoly of the article, aud could repay himself for the destruction of a part by the increased value of the remainder. The value, there- fore, of such things may continue for a long time so low, either from excess of supply or falling off in the demand, as to put a complete stop to further production ; the diminu- tion of supply by wearing out being so slow a process that a long time is requisite, even under a total suspension of pro- duction, to restore the original value. During that interval the value will be regulated solely by supply and demand, and will rise very gradually as the existing stock wears out, until there is again a remunerating value, and production resumes its course. The total value of gold and silver in the world is variously estimated at from $10,000,000,000 to $14,000,000,000 ; while the annual production of both gold and silver in the world during 1882 l was only 1212,000,000. The loss of gold by abrasion is about l0 * 00 annually, and of silver about y^-, but much depends on the size of the coin. A change in the annual production of the precious metals can have a perceptible effect on their value only after such a time as will permit the change to affect the existing quantity in a way somewhat comparable with its previous amount. The quantity, however, of wheat produced is nearly all consumed between harvests ; and the annual supply bears a very large ratio to the existing quantity. Consequently the price of wheat will be very seriously affected by the quantity coming from the annual product. Finally, there are commodities of which, though capable of being increased or diminished to a great and even an un- limited extent, the value never depends upon anything but demand and supply. This is the case, in particular, with the commodity Labor, of the value of which we have treated copiously in the preceding book ; and there are many cases besides in which we shall find it necessary to call in this 1 " Report of the Director of the Mint," 1883, p. 69. VALUE. 259 principle to solve difficult questions of exchange value. This will be particularly exemplified when we treat of Interna- tional Values ; that is, of the terms of interchange between things produced in different countries, or, to speak more gen- erally, in distant places. § 5. When the production of a commodity is the effect of labor and expenditure, whether the commodity is susceptible of unlimited multiplication or not, there is a minimum value which is the essential condition of its being permanently produced. The value at any particular time is the result of supply and demand, and is always that which is necessary to create a market for the existing supply. But unless that value is sufficient to repay the Cost of Production, and to afford, besides, the ordinary expectation of profit, the com- modity will not continue to be produced. Capitalists will not go on permanently producing at a loss. When such profit is evidently not to be had, if people do not actually withdraw their capital, they at least abstain from replacing it when consumed. The cost of production, together with the ordinary profit, may, therefore, be called the necessary price or value of all things made by labor and capital. No- body willingly produces in the prospect of loss. When a commodity is not only made by labor and capi- tal, but can be made by them in indefinite quantity, this Necessary Value, the minimum with which the producers will be content, is also, if competition is free and active, the maximum which they can expect. If the value of a com- modity is such that it repays the cost of production not only with the customary but with a higher rate of profit, capital rushes to share in this extra gain, and, by increasing the sup- ply of the article, reduces its value. This is not a mere sup- position or surmise, but a fact familiar to those conversant with commercial operations. Whenever a new line of busi- ness presents itself, offering a hope of unusual profits, and whenever any established trade or manufacture is believed to be yielding a greater profit than customary, there is sure to be in a short time so large a production or importation of 260 EXCHANGE. the commodity as not only destroys the extra profit, but generally goes beyond the mark, and sinks the value as much too low as it had before been raised too high, until the over- supply is corrected by a total or partial suspension of further production. As already intimated, 1 these variations in the quantity produced do not presuppose or require that any person should change his employment. Those whose busi- ness is thriving, increase their produce by availing them- selves more largely of their credit, while those who are not making the ordinary profit, restrict their operations, and (in manufacturing phrase) work short time. In this mode is surely and speedily effected the equalization, not of profits, perhaps, but of the expectations of profit, in different occu- pations. As a general rule, then, things tend to exchange for one another at such values as will enable each producer to be repaid the cost of production with the ordinary profit; in other words, such as will give to all producers the same rate of profit on their outlay. But in order that the profit may be equal where the outlay, that is, the cost of production, is equal, things must on the average exchange for one an- other in the ratio of their cost of production; things of which the cost of production is the same, must be of the same value. Mr. Mill has here used cost of production almost exactly in the sense of cost of labor, and as excluding profit (while in the next chapter he includes some part of profit in the analy- sis). It will be well, for the sake of definiteness, to collect the phrases above in which he describes cost of production : " Un- less that value is sufficient to repay the cost of production, and to afford, besides, the ordinary expectation of profit, the com- modity will not continue to be produced " ; "the cost of pro- duction, together with the ordinary profit, may therefore be called the necessary price, or value " ; " it repays the cost of production, not only with the customary, but with a higher rate of profit " ; "the cost of production with the ordinary profit — in other words, such as will give to all producers the same rate of profit on their outlay " ; " that the profit may be 1 Supra, p. 222. VALUE. 261 equal where the outlay, that is, the cost of production, is equal." This is a view which distinctly uses cost of production in the sense of the outlay to the capitalist, or cost of labor. In no other way can profit vary with "cost of production" than in the sense that it is what a given article " costs to the capitalist " ; but that is Mr. Mill's definition of cost of labor (p. 227). It is, however, very puzzling when in the next section he speaks of " the natural value, that is, the cost of production." Above, value included cost of production and profit also. Having thus pointed out what is Mr. Mill's conception of cost of pro- duction, it will remain for us in the next chapter to consider whether any other view of it is more satisfactory. Adam Smith and Ricardo have called that value of a thing which is proportional to its cost of production, its Natural Value (or its Natural Price). They meant by this, the point about which the value oscillates, and to which it always tends to return ; the center value, toward which, as Adam Smith expresses it, the market value of a thing is constantly gravitating; and any deviation from which is but a temporary irregularity which, the moment it exists, sets forces in motion tending to correct it. On an average of years sufficient to enable the oscillations on one side of the central line to be compensated by those on the other, the market value agrees with the natural value ; but it very seldom coincides exactly with it at any particular time. The sea everywhere tends to a level, but it never is at an exact level ; its surface is always ruffled by waves, and often agi- tated by storms. It is enough that no point, at least in the open sea, is permanently higher than another. Each place is alternately elevated and depressed; but the ocean pre- serves its level. § 6. The latent influence by which the values of things are made to conform in the long run to the cost of produc- tion is the variation that would otherwise take place in the supply of the commodity. The supply would be increased if the thing continued to sell above the ratio of its cost of pro- duction, and would be diminished if it fell below that ratio. If one dollar covers the expense of making one spade, when spades, by virtue of a sudden demand, rise in value to one 262 EXCHANGE. dollar and ten cents, the manufacturers get an extra profit of ten cents. This could not long remain so, because other capi- tal would enter this industry, and so increase the supply that one spade would sell for only one dollar; then all would receive the average profit. If, owing to a cessation of demand for spades, the price fell to ninety cents, then the manufacturers would lose ten cents on each one made and sold. Thereupon they would cease to do a losing business, capital would be withdrawn, and spades would not be made until the supply was suited to the necessary expense of making them (one dollar). In this way, whenever there is a departure of the value from the normal cost, there is set in motion ipso facto a series of forces which automatically restores the value to that cost. So here again we see the nature of an economic law : the value may not often correspond exactly with cost of production, but there is a tendency in all values to conform to that cost, and this tendency they irresistibly obey; A body possessing weight does not move downward under all circumstances (stones may be thrown upward), but the law of gravitation holds true, nev- ertheless. There is no need that there should be any actual altera- tion of supply ; and when there is, the alteration, if perma- nent, is not the cause but the consequence of the alteration in value. If, indeed, the supply could not be increased, no diminution in the cost of production would lower the value ; but there is by no means any necessity that it should. The mere possibility often suffices ; the dealers are aware of what would happen, and their mutual competition makes them anticipate the result by lowering the price. Before the electric light was yet known as a feasible means of lighting (in 18T8), the mere rumor of Edison's invention, before it was made public, and long before it became practi- cable, caused a serious fall in the price of gas stocks. It is, therefore, strictly correct to say that the value of things which can be increased in quantity at pleasure does not depend (except accidentally, and during the time neces- sary for production to adjust itself) upon demand and sup- ply ; on the contrary, demand and supply depend upon it. There is a demand for a certain quantity of the commodity at its natural or cost value, and to that the supply in the long run endeavors to conform. VALUE. 263 Mr. Cairnes ' fitly says : " The supply of a commodity al- ways tends to adapt itself to the demand at the normal price. I may here say briefly that by the normal price of a commod- ity I mean that price which suffices, and no more than suf- fices, to yield to the producers what is considered to be the average and usual remuneration on such sacrifices as they undergo." When at any time it fails of so conforming, it is either from miscalculation, or from a change in some of the ele- ments of the problem ; either in the natural value, that is, in the cost of j>roduction, or in the demand, from an altera- tion in public taste, or in the number or wealth of the con- sumers. If a value different from the natural value be neces- sary to make the demand equal to the supply, the market value will deviate from the natural value; but only for a time, for the permanent tendency of supply is to conform itself to the demand which is found by experience to exist for the commodity when selling at its natural value. If the supply is either more or less than this, it is so accidentally, and affords either more or less than the ordinary rate of profit, which, under free and active competition, can not long continue to be the case. To recapitulate: demand and supply govern the value of all things which can not be indefinitely increased ; except that even for them, when produced by industry, there is a minimum value, determined by the cost of production. But in all things which admit of indefinite multiplication, de- mand and supply only determine the perturbations of value during a period which can not exceed the length of time necessary for altering the supply. While thus ruling the oscillations of value, they themselves obey a superior force, which makes value gravitate toward Cost of Production, and which would settle it and keep it there, if fresh disturbing influences were not continually arising to make it again de- viate. 1 " Leading Principles," p. 41. CHAPTER II. ULTIMATE ANALYSIS OF COST OF PRODUCTION. § 1. The component elements of Cost of Production have been set forth in the First Part of this inquiry. 1 The prin- cipal of them, and so much the principal as to be nearly the sole, was found to be Labor. What the production of a thing costs to its producer, or its series of producers, is the labor expended in producing it. If we consider as the producer the capitalist who makes the advances, the word Labor may be replaced by the word Wages : what the produce costs to him, is the wages which he has had to pay. At the first glance, indeed, this seems to be only a part of his outlay, since he has not only paid wages to laborers, but has likewise provided them with tools, materials, and perhaps buildings. These tools, materials, and buildings, however, were pro- duced by labor and capital; and their value, like that of the article to the production of which they are subservient, de- pends on cost of production, which again is resolvable into labor. The cost of production of broadcloth does not wholly consist in the wages of weavers ; which alone are directly paid by the cloth-manufacturer. It consists also of the wages of spinners and wool-combers, and, it may be added, of shep- herds, all of which the clothier has paid for in the price of yarn. It consists, too, of the wages of builders and brick- makers, which he has reimbursed in the contract price of erecting his factory. It partly consists of the wages of ma- chine-makers, iron-founders, and miners. And to these must be added the wages of the carriers who transported any of 1 Book I, Chap. I, § 2. ULTIMATE ANALYSIS OF COST OF PRODUCTION. 265 the means and appliances of the production to the place where they were to be used, and the product itself to the place where it is to be sold. Confirmation is here given, in the above words, of the opinion that, in Mr. Mill's mind, Cost of Production was looked at wholly from the stand-point of the capitalist, and was identi- cal with Cost of Labor to the capitalist. The value of commodities, therefore, depends principally (we shall presently see whether it depends solely) on the quantity of labor required for their production, including in the idea of production that of conveyance to the market. But since the cost of production to the capitalist is not labor but wages, and since wages may be either greater or less, the quantity of labor being the same, it would seem that the value of the product can not be determined solely by the quantity of labor, but by the quantity together with the re- muneration, and that values must partly depend on wages. Now the relation of one thing to another can not be altered by any cause which affects them both alike. A rise or fall of general wages is a fact which affects all commodities in the same manner, and therefore affords no reason why they should exchange for each other in one rather than in another pro- portion. Though there is no such thing as a general rise of values, there is such a thing as a general rise of prices. As soon as we form distinctly the idea of values, we see that high or low wages can have nothing to do with them ; but that high wages make high prices, is a popular and widely spread opinion. The whole amount of error involved in this proposition can only be seen thoroughly when we come to the theory of money ; at present we need only say that if it be true, there can be no such thing as a real rise of wages ; for if wages could not rise without a proportional rise of the price of everything, they could not, for any substantial pur- pose, rise at all. It must be remembered, too, that general high prices, even supposing them to exist, can be of no use to a producer or dealer, considered as such ; for, if they in- crease his money returns, they increase in the same degree 266 EXCHANGE. all his expenses. There is no mode in which capitalists can compensate themselves for a high cost of labor, through any action on values or prices. It can not be prevented from taking its effect in low profits. If the laborers really get more, that is, get the produce of more labor, a smaller per- centage must remain for profit. § 2. Although, however, general wages, whether high or low, do not affect values, yet if wages are higher in one em- ployment than another, or if they rise or fall permanently in one employment without doing so in others, these inequali- ties do really operate upon values. Things, for example, which are made by skilled labor, exchange for the produce of a much greater quantity of unskilled labor, for no reason but because the labor is more highly paid. We have before remarked that the difficulty of passing from one class of em- ployments to a class greatly superior has hitherto caused the wages of all those classes of laborers who are separated from one another by any very marked barrier to depend more than might be supposed upon the increase of the population of each class considered separately, and that the inequalities in the remuneration of labor are much greater than could exist if the competition of the laboring people generally could be brought practically to bear on each particular em- ployment. It follows from this that wages in different em- ployments do not rise or fall simultaneously, but are, for short and sometimes even for long periods, nearly independ- ent of one another. All such disparities evidently alter the relative cost of production of different commodities, and will therefore be completely represented in their natural or aver- age value. This is again a clear recognition of the influence of Mr. Cairnes's theory of " non-competing groups." ' Wages do enter into value. The relative wages of the labor necessary for producing different commodities affect their value just as much as the relative quantities of labor. 2 See supra, p. 210. ULTIMATE ANALYSIS OF COST OF PRODUCTION. 267 It is true, the absolute wages paid have no effect upon values ; but neither has the absolute quantity of labor. If that were to vary simultaneously and equally in all commodities, values would not be affected. If, for instance, the general efficiency of all labor were increased, so that all things without excep- tion could be produced in the same quantity as before with a smaller amount of labor, no trace of this general diminution of cost of production would show itself in the values of com- modities. § 3. Thus far of labor or wages as an element in cost of production. But in our analysis, in the First Book, of the requisites of production, we found that there is another neces- sary element in it besides labor. There is also capital ; and this being the result of abstinence, the produce, or its value, must be sufficient to remunerate, not only all the labor re- quired, but the abstinence of all the persons by whom the remuneration of the different classes of laborers was ad- vanced. The return from abstinence is Profit. And profit, we have also seen, is not exclusively the surplus remaining to the capitalist after he has been compensated for his outlay, but forms, in most cases, no unimportant part of the outlay itself. The flax-spinner, part of whose expenses consists of the purchase of flax and of machinery, has had to pay, in their price, not only the wages of the labor by which the flax was grown and the machinery made, but the profits of the grower, the flax-dresser, the miner, the iron-founder, and the machine-maker. All these profits, together with those of the spinner himself, were again advanced by the weaver, in the price of his material — linen yarn ; and along with them the profits of a fresh set of machine-makers, and of the min- ers and iron-workers who supplied them with their metallic material. All these advances form part of the cost of pro- duction of linen. Profits, therefore, as well as wages, enter into the cost of production which determines the value of the produce. § 4. In discussing Cost of Labor (supra, pp. 225, 226), Mr. Mill found that the advances of the immediate producer con- 268 EXCHANGE. sisted not only of wages, but also of tools, materials, etc., in the price of which he was including the profits of an auxiliary cap- italist who advanced the capital for making these tools, etc. But, then, if a line of division were to be passed down through all these advances, separating wages from profits, he urged that, if all the capitalists (auxiliary and immediate both) were one, all the advances of the capitalist might be considered as wages. Profits did not form a part of the outlay to the capitalists in the former analysis. And this seems correct enough. Now, however, he suggests that the outlay of the immediate producers should include the profit of the auxiliary capitalist. More than this, Mr. Mill now includes in cost to the capitalist the profit of the immediate capitalist. For example, in his illus- tration of the manufacture of linen, he includes not merely the profit of the auxiliary capital engaged in spinning and weaving, but the profit of the immediate and last capitalist, the linen-manufacturer, also. This includes in the cost of produc- ing an article a profit not realized until after the commodity is produced. It is now time to give a more correct idea of cost of produc- tion. Every one admits that the " cost of production " of wheat is less in the United States than in England. For example, three men with a capital of one hundred dollars may on a plot of ground, A, in the United States produce one hundred bushels of wheat ; and we will suppose that the same men and capital will only produce sixty bushels on ground, B, in England. 100 bu. 60 bu. In ordinary language, then, we say that the cost of produc- tion is greater in England than in the United States, because the same labor and capital here produce one hundred bushels for sixty in England ; or, what amounts to the same thing, that less labor and capital could produce sixty bushels in the United States than sixty bushels in England. If we suppose that one fourth of the crop is profit, and three fourths is assigned to wages in both countries, then in the United States the one hundred dollars of capital receives twenty-five bushels of profit, while in England it receives only fifteen ; and the three men receive as wages in the United States twenty -five bushels each, while in England they receive only fifteen bushels each. The first important induction to be made is that where cost of pro- ULTIMATE ANALYSIS OF COST OF PKODUCTION. 2C9 duction is low, wages and profits are high. The high produc- tiveness of extractive industries in the United States is the reason why wages and profits are higher here than in older countries. Now the second important question is, Is cost of production made up of wages and profits, and is it true that the cost rises with a rise of wages and profits ? Certainly not. Wages and profits are hoth higher in the United States than in England, but no one is so absurd as to say that the cost of production of wheat (as above explained) is higher here than there. It is exactly because cost of production of wheat is lower in the United. States that wages and profits measured in wheat are higher here than in England. Therefore, it can not be granted, as Mr. Mill expounds the doctrine, that cost of production is made up of wages and profits. When we speak of an in- creased cost of production of a given article, we mean that its production requires more labor and capital than before ; and of a decrease in cost of production, that it requires less labor and capital than before ; meaning by " more labor " that a given quality of labor is exerted for a longer or shorter time, and by " more capital " that a greater or less quantity of wealth ab- stained from is employed for a longer or shorter time ; or, in other words, that laborers and capitalists undergo more or less sacrifice in exertion and abstinence, respectively, to attain a given result. This is the contribution to cost of production made by Mr. Cairnes, and briefly defined as follows : "In the case of labor, the cost of producing a given commodity will be represented by the number of average laborers employed in its production — regard at the same time being had to the severity of the work and the degree of risk it involves — multiplied by the duration of their labors. In that of abstinence, the principle is analogous ; the sacrifice will be measured by the quantity of wealth abstained from, taken in connection with the risk in- curred, and multiplied by the duration of the abstinence." l This view of cost of production takes into consideration, in the act of production, what Mr. Mill does not include, the cost, or real sacrifice, of the laborer as well as of the capitalist. It may, then, be well to state the relations of cost of produc- tion, taken in this better sense, to value. Within competing groups, where there is free choice for labor and capital to select the most remunerative occupa- tions, the hardest and most disagreeable employments will be best paid, and the wages and profits will be in proportion to the sacrifice involved in each case. If so, the amount paid in wages and profits represents the sacrifices in each case. 1 •' Leading Principles," part i, chap, iii, p. 87. 270 EXCHANGE. Now, the aggregate product of an industry is the source from which is drawn its wages and profits,: the aggregate wages and profits, therefore, must vary with the value of the total product. If the total value depart from the sum hitherto suffi- cient to pay the given wages and profits, then some will he paid proportionally less than their sacrifice. The value of a commodity, therefore, within the competing group, must con- form to the costs of production. If, for example («), the value at any time were such as not to give the laborer the usual equivalent for his sacrifice, he would change his employment to another within the group where he could get it ; if (b) the share of the capitalist were at any time insufficient to give him the usual reward for his abstinence, he would change the invest- ment of bis capital. Therefore, within such limits as allow a free competition of labor and capital, value must conform itself to cost of production. Not so, however, with the products of non-competing indus- trial groups. As shown by Mr. Mill, labor does not pass freely from one employment to another ; and it must be said that capital does not either, although vastly more ready to move than labor. In a large and thinly settled country capital does not move freely over the whole area of industry ; if it did, dif- ferent rates of profit would not prevail, as we all know they do, in the United States. Now, -as before stated, the total value of the commodities resulting from the exertions of each group of producers is the source from which wages and profits are drawn. The aggregate wages and profits in each industry will vary with the value of the aggregate products. But this total value depends upon what it will exchange for of the products of other groups ; that is, this value depends on the reciprocal demand of one group for the commodities of the other groups, as compared with the demand of the other groups for its products. For example, although cost of production is low in group A, if the demand from outside groups were to be strong, the exchange value of A's products would rise, and A would get more of other goods in exchange ; that is, the total produce is large, but a second increment, arising from a higher exchange value, is to be shared among laborers and capitalists. A few years ago, about 1878-1879, the value of wheat in the United States rose because of the increased demand from Europe, where the harvests had been unusually deficient. There had been no falling off in the productiveness of the farming industry of the United States to cause the increased price ; but the relative demand of other industrial groups for wheat, the product of the farming industry, raised the ex- change value of wheat, and so increased the industrial rewards of those engaged as laborers and capitalists in farming. So ULTIMATE ANALYSIS OF COST OF PRODUCTION. 271 it is to be concluded that since there is no free movement of labor and capital between non-competing groups, wages and profits may constantly remain at rates which are not in corre- spondence with the actual sacrifice, or cost, to labor and capital in different groups ; hence, their products do not exchange for each other in proportion to their costs of production. Recip- rocal demand is the law of their value. It will be said, at once, that the foregoing conception of cost of production is entirely opposed to the language of prac- tical men of affairs. They constantly speak of higher or lower wages as increasing their cost of production, or as affecting their ability to compete with foreigners. So universal a usage implies a foundation of truth which demands attention. Wages do represent cost to the capitalist, that is, the chief part of the outlay he makes in order to get a given return ; but we have already seen this, and, in the language of Political Economy, termed it "cost of labor" to the capitalist. When the business world use the phrase cost of production, they use it in the sense of cost of labor, as hitherto explained. When they are obliged by strikers to pay more wages, they say that it increases their " cost of production," meaning the cost to them of get- ting their product, and that it affects their profits. This, then, will show that there is no objection to be urged, in its true sense, against the phrase cost of production, owing to the com- mon language of business. The real connection between the proper conception of cost of production and- cost of labor is, however, worth attention. It touches cost of labor through that one of its elements called " efficiency of labor." The more productive an industry is, the higher its wages and profits may be, and it is exactly at this point that more attention should be given to the relations of labor and capital. If productiveness can be increased, higher wages as well as higher profits are possible. The proper un- derstanding of the idea that where cost of production is low wages and profits are high, throws a flood of light on many industrial questions in the United States. In the connection in which it stands, as I have shown, to cost of labor, it means that if commodities can be produced at a less sacrifice to labor and capital by the use of machinery and new processes, higher wages are consistent with a lower price of the given product. It explains the fact that, owing to skill or natural resources, labor, although paid much higher rates, can produce articles cheaper than laborers who are less highly paid. Mr. Brassey 1 has pointed out that English wages are higher than on the Continent ; and yet England, through low cost of production, 1 " Work and Wages." 272 EXCHANGE. owing to skill, natural resources, etc., can produce so much more of commodities for a given outlay that (while keeping her usual rate of profit) she can generally undersell her com- petitors who employ cheaper labor. The same observations apply to the United States ; but the question of foreign com- petition will be further discussed (Book III., Chap. XX) after we have studied international trade and values. " And here it may be well to state precisely what is to be understood by a 'fluctuation of the market,' as distinguished from those changes of normal price which we have been con- sidering. Normal price, as we have seen, is governed, accord- ing to the circumstances of the case [as to whether there is free industrial competition or not], by one or other of two causes — cost of production and reciprocal demand. A change in normal price, therefore, is a change which is the consequence of an alteration in one or other of these conditions. So long as the determining condition — be it cost of production or recip- rocal demand — remains constant, the normal price must be con- sidered as remaining constant ; but, the normal price remain- ing constant, the market price (which, as we have seen, depends on the opinion of dealers respecting the state of supply and demand in relation to the particular article) may undergo a change — may deviate, that is to say, either upward or down- ward from the normal level. Such changes of price, occurring while the permanent conditions of production remain unaffect- ed, can only be temporary, calling into action, as they do, forces which at once tend to restore the normal state of things: they may therefore be properly described as 'fluctuations of the market.' " ' § 5. Yalue, however, being purely relative, can not de- pend upon absolute profits, no more than upon absolute wages, but upon relative profits only. High general profits can not, any more than high general wages, be a cause of high values, because high general values are an absurdity and a contradiction. In so far as profits enter into the cost of production of all things, they can not affect the value of any. It is only by entering in a greater degree into the cost of production of some things than of others, that they can have any influence on value. Profits, however, may enter more largely into the condi- tions of production of one commodity than of another, even 1 " Leading Principles," p. 136. ULTIMATE ANALYSIS OF COST OF PRODUCTION. 273 though there be no difference in the rate of profit between the two employments. The one commodity may be called upon to yield a profit during a longer period of time than the other. The example by which this case is usually illus- trated is that of wine. Suppose a quantity of wine and a quantity of cloth, made by equal amounts of labor, and that labor paid at the same rate. The cloth does not improve by keeping; the wine does. Suppose that, to attain the desired quality, the wine requires to be kept five years. The pro- ducer or dealer will not keep it, unless at the end of five years he can sell it for as much more than the cloth as amounts to five years' profit, accumulated at compound inter- est. The wine and the cloth were made by the same origi- nal outlay. Here, then, is a case in which the natural values, relatively to one another, of two commodities, do not conform to their cost of production alone, but to their cost of produc- tion plus something else — unless, indeed, for the sake of generality in the expression, we include the profit which the wine-merchant foregoes during the five years, in the cost of production of the wine, looking upon it as a kind of addi- tional outlay, over and above his other advances, for which outlay lie must be indemnified at last. Regarding cost of production as the amounts of labor and abstinence required in production, and not as Mr. Mill regards it, as the amounts of wages and profits, the above is simply a case where, in the production of wine, there is a longer 'dura- tion of the abstinence than in the production of cloth. If there is a free movement of labor and capital between the two indus- tries, they will exchange for each other in proportion to the sacrifices involved ; so that the wine would exchange for more of cloth, because there was more sacrifice undergone. The same explanation also holds good in the following illustration : All commodities made by machinery are assimilated, at least approximately, to the wine in the preceding example. In comparison with things made wholly by immediate labor, profits enter more largely into their cost of production. Suppose two commodities, A and B, eacli requiring a year for its production, by means of a capital which we will on 18 274: EXCHANGE. this occasion denote by money, and suppose it to be £1,000. A is made wholly by immediate labor, the whole £1,000 being expended directly in wages. B is made by means of labor which cost £500 and a machine which cost £500, and the machine is worn out by one year's use. The two commodities will be of exactly the same value, which, if computed in money, and if profits are 20 per cent per an- num, will be £1,200. But of this £1,200, in the case of A, only £200, or one sixth, is profit ; while in the case of B there is not only the £200, but as much of £500 (the price of the machine) as consisted of the profits of the machine- maker ; which, if we suppose the machine also to have taken a year for its production, is again one sixth. So that in the case of A only one sixth of the entire return is profit, while in B the element of profit comprises not only a sixth of the whole, but an additional sixth of a large part. From the unequal proportion in which, in different em- ployments, profits enter into the advances of the capitalist, and therefore into the returns required by him, two conse- quences follow in regard to value. (1). One is, that commodi- ties do not exchange in the ratio simply of the quantities of labor required to produce them ; not even if we allow for the unequal rates at which different kinds of labor are per- manently remunerated. (2.) A second consequence is, that every rise or fall of gen- eral profits will have an effect on values. Not, indeed, by raising or lowering them generally (which, as we have so often said, is a contradiction and an impossibility), but by altering the proportion in which the values of things are affected by the unequal lengths of time for which profit is due. When two things, thougli made by equal labor, are of unequal value because the one is called upon to yield profit for a greater number of years or months than the other, this difference of value will be greater when profits are greater, and less when they are less. The wine which has to yield five years' profit more than the cloth will surpass it in value much more if profits are forty per cent than if they are only twenty. ULTIMATE ANALYSIS OF COST OF PRODUCTION. 275 It follows from this that even a general rise of wages, when it involves a real increase in the cost of labor, does in some degree influence values. It does not affect them in the manner vulgarly supposed, by raising them universally ; but an increase in the cost of labor lowers profits, and therefore lowers in natural values the things into which profits enter in a greater proportion than the average, and raises those into which they enter in a less proportion than the average. All commodities in the production of which machinery bears a large part, especially if the machinery is very durable, are lowered in their relative value when profits fall ; or, what is equivalent, other things are raised in value relatively to them. This truth is sometimes expressed in a phraseology more plausible than sound, by saying that a rise of wages raises the value of things made by labor in comparison with those made by machinery. But things made by machinery, just as much as any other things, are made by labor — namely, the labor which made the machinery itself — the only differ- ence being that profits enter somewhat more largely into the production of things for which machinery is used, though the principal item of the outlay is still labor. § 6. Cost of Production consists of several elements, some of which are constant and universal, others occasional. The universal elements of cost of production are the wages of the labor, and the profits of the capital. The occasional ele- ments are taxes, and any extra cost occasioned by a scarcity value of some of the requisites. Besides the natural and necessary elements in cost of production — labor and profits — there are others which are artificial and casual, as, for in- stance, a tax. The taxes on hops and malt are as much a part of the cost of production of those articles as the wages of the laborers. The expenses which the law imposes, as well as those which the nature of things imposes, must be reimbursed with the ordinary profit from the value of the produce, or the things will not continue to be produced. But the influence of taxation on value is subject to the same conditions as the influence of wages and of profits. It is not 276 EXCHANGE. general taxation, but differential taxation, that produces the effect. If all productions were taxed so as to take an equal percentage from all profits, relative values would be in no way disturbed. If only a few commodities were taxed, their value would rise ; and if only a few were left untaxed, their value would fall. But the case in which scarcity value chiefly operates in adding to cost of production is the case of natural agents. These, when unappropriated, and to be had for the taking, do not enter into the cost of production, save to the extent of the labor which may be necessary to fit them for use. Even when appropriated, they do not (as we have already seen) bear a value from the mere fact of the appropriation, but only from scarcity — that is, from limitation of supply. But it is equally certain that they often do bear a scarcity value. JSTo one can deny that rent sometimes enters into cost of production [of other than agricultural products]. If I buy or rent a piece of ground, and build a cloth-manufactory on it, the ground-rent forms legitimately a part of my expenses of production,, which must be repaid by the product. And since all factories are built on ground, and most of them in places where ground is peculiarly valuable, the rent paid for it must, on the average, be compensated in the values of all things made in factories. In what sense it is true that rent does not enter into the cost of production or affect the value of agricultural produce will be shown in the succeeding chapter. These occasional elements in cost of production, such as taxes, insurance, ground-rent, etc., are to be considered as just so much of an increase in the quantity of capital required for the operation involved in the particular production, and, con- sequently, result in an increased cost of production, because there is either more abstinence, or abstinence for a longer time, to be rewarded. These elements, therefore, if they are not uni- versal (or common to all articles), will affect the exchange value of commodities, wherever there is a free competition. CHAPTER III. OF RENT, IN ITS RELATION TO VALUE. § 1. We have investigated the laws which determine the value of two classes of commodities — the small class which, being limited to a definite quantity, have their value entirely determined by demand and supply, save that their cost of production (if they have any) constitutes a minimum below which they can not permanently fall ; and the large class, which can be multiplied ad libitum by labor and capital, and of which the cost of production fixes the maximum as well as the minimum at which they can permanently exchange [if there be free competition]. But there is still a third kind of commodities to be considered — those which have, not one, but several costs of production ; which can always be in- creased in quantity by labor and capital, but not by the same amount of labor and capital ; of which so much may be pro- duced at a given cost, but a further quantity not without a greater cost. These commodities form an intermediate class, partaking of the character of both the others. The principal of them is agricultural produce. We have already made abundant reference to the fundamental truth that in agri- culture, the state of the art being given, doubling the labor does not double the produce ; that, if an increased quantity of produce is required, the additional supply is obtained at a greater cost than the first. Where a hundred quarters of corn are all that is at present required from the lands of a given village, if the growth of population made it necessary to raise a hundred more, either by breaking up worse land now uncultivated, or by a more elaborate cultivation of the land already under the plow, the additional hundred, or some part of them, at least, might cost double or treble as much per quarter as the former supply. 278 EXCHANGE. If the first hundred quarters were all raised at the same expense (only the best land being cultivated), and if that expense would be remunerated with the ordinary profit by a price of 20s. the quarter, the natural price of wheat, so long as no more than that quantity was required, would be 20s. ; and it could only rise above or fall below that price from vicissitudes of seasons, or other casual variations in sup- ply. But if the population of the district advanced, a time would arrive when more than a hundred quarters would be necessary to feed it. We must suppose that there is no access to any foreign supply. By the hypothesis, no more than a hundred quarters can be produced in the district, un- less by either bringing worse land into cultivation, or alter- ing the system of culture to a more expensive one. Neither of these things will be done without a rise in price. This rise of price will gradually be brought about by the increas- ing demand. So long as the price has risen, but not risen enough to repay with the ordinary profit the cost of pro- ducing an additional quantity, the increased value of the limited supply partakes of the nature of a scarcity value. Suppose that it will not answer to cultivate the second best land, or land of the second degree of remoteness, for a less return than 25s. the quarter ; and that this price is also neces- sary to remunerate the expensive operations by which an increased produce might be raised from land of the first quality. If so, the price will rise, through the increased de- mand, until it reaches 25s. That will now be the natural price ; being the price without which the quantity, for which society has a demand at that price, will not be produced. At that price, however, society can go on for some time longer ; could go on perhaps forever, if population did not increase. The price, having attained that point, will not again perma- nently recede (though it may fall temporarily from accidental abundance) ; nor will it advance further, so long as society can obtain the supply it requires without a second increase of the cost of production. In the case supposed, different portions of the supply of RENT, IN ITS RELATION TO VALUE. 279 corn have different costs of production. Though the twenty, or fifty, or one hundred and fifty quarters additional have been produced at a cost proportional to 25s., the original hundred quarters per annum are still produced at a cost only proportional to 20s. This is self-evident, if the original and the additional supply are produced on different qualities of land. It is equally true if they are produced on the same land. Suppose that land of the best quality, which produced one hundred quarters at 20s., has been made to produce one hundred and fifty by an expensive process, which it would not answer to undertake without a price of 25s. The cost which requires 25s. is incurred for the sake of fifty quarters alone: the first hundred might have continued forever to be produced at the original cost, and with the benefit, on that quantity, of the whole rise of price caused by the in- creased demand : no one, therefore, will incur the additional expense for the sake of the additional fifty, unless they alone will pay for the whole of it. The fifty, therefore, will be produced at their natural price, proportioned to the cost of their production ; while the other hundred will now bring in 5s. a quarter more than their natural price — than the price corresponding to, and sufficing to remunerate, their lower cost of production. If the production of any, even the smallest, portion of the supply requires as a necessary condition a certain price, that price will be obtained for all the rest. We are not able to buy one loaf cheaper than another because the corn from which it was made, being grown on a richer soil, has cost less to the grower. The value, therefore, of an article (meaning its natural, which is the same with its average value) is de- termined by the cost of that portion of the supply which is produced and brought to market at the greatest expense. This is the Law of Value of the third of the three classes into which all commodities are divided. § 2. If the portion of produce raised in the most unfavor- able circumstances obtains a value proportioned to its cost of production, all the portions raised in more favorable cir- 280 EXCHANGE. cumstances, selling as they must do at the same value, obtain a value more than proportioned to their cost of production. The owners, however, of those portions of the produce enjoy a privilege ; they obtain a value which yields them more than the ordinary profit. The advantage depends on the possession of a natural agent of peculiar quality, as, for instance, of more fertile land than that which determines the general value of the commodity; and when this natural agent is not owned by themselves, the person who does own it is able to exact from them, in the form of rent, the whole extra gain derived from its use. We are thus brought by another road to the Law of Eent, investigated in the con- cluding chapter of the Second Book. Rent, we again see, is the difference between the unequal returns to different parts of the capital employed on the soil. Whatever sur- plus any portion of agricultural capital produces, beyond what is produced by the same amount of capital on the worst soil, or under the most expensive mode of cultivation, which the existing demands of society compel a recourse to, that surplus will naturally be paid as rent from that capital, to the owner of the land on which it is employed. The discussion of rent is here followed wholly from the point of view of value, while before (Book II, Chap. VI) the law of rent was reached through a limitation of the quantity of land due to the influence of population. In the former case the rent and produce were stated in bushels. By introducing price now (as the convenient symbol of value), instead of the separate increased demands of population in our illustration than used (p. 240), it will be seen how the same operation, look- ing at it solely in respect to value, brings us to the same law : A B c D Pkicb 24 bushels to the acre. 18 bushels to the acre. 12 bushels to the acre. 6 bushels to the acre. BUDHBL. Total value of product. Eent. Total value of product. Eent. Total value of product. Eent. Total value of product. Eent $1 00 133£ 2 00 4 00 $24 00 32 00 48 00 96 00 $0 00 8 00 24 00 72 00 $24 00 36 00 72 00 $o'o6 12 00 48 00 $24 00 48 00 $6*00 24 00 $24 00 $6 00 RENT, IN ITS RELATION TO VALUE. 281 It was long thought by political economists, among the rest even by Adam Smith, that the produce of land is al- ways at a monopoly value, because (they said), in addition to the ordinary rate of profit, it always yields something further for rent. This we now see to be erroneous. A thing can not be at a monopoly value when its supply can be in- creased to an indefinite extent if we are only willing to incur the cost. As long as there is any land fit for cultiva- tion, which at the existing price can not be profitably culti- vated at all, there must be some land a little better, which will yield the ordinary profit, but allow nothing for rent: and that land, if within the boundary of a farm, will be cultivated by the farmer; if not so, probably by the pro- prietor, or by some other person on sufferance. Some such land at least, under cultivation, there can scarcely fail to be. Rent, therefore, forms no part of the cost of production which determines the value of agricultural produce. The land or the capital most unfavorably circumstanced among those actually employed, pays no rent, and that land or capi- tal determines the cost of production which regulates the value of the whole produce. Thus rent is, as we have al- ready seen, no cause of value, but the price of the privilege which the inequality of the returns to different portions of agricultural produce confers on all except the least favored portion. Rent, in short, merely equalizes the profits of different farming capitals, by enabling the landlord to appropriate all extra gains occasioned by superiority of natural advan- tages. If all landlords were unanimously to forego their rent, they would but transfer it to the farmers, without benefiting the consumer ; for the existing price of corn would still be an indispensable condition of the production of part of the existing supply, and if a part obtained that price the whole would obtain it. Rent, therefore, unless artificially increased by restrictive laws, is no burden on the consumer: it does not raise the price of corn, and is no otherwise a detriment to the public than inasmuch as if the 282 EXCHANGE. state had retained it, or imposed an equivalent in the shape of a land-tax, it would then have been a fund applicable to general instead of private advantage. The nationalization of the land, consequently, would not benefit the laboring-classes a whit through lowering the price to them, or any consumer, of food or agricultural produce. § 3. Agricultural productions are not the only commodi- ties which have several different costs of production at once, and which, in consequence of that difference, and in propor- tion to it, afford a rent. Mines are also an instance. Al- most all kinds of raw material extracted from the interior of the earth — metals, coals, precious stones, etc. — are ob- tained from mines differing considerably in fertility — that is, yielding very different quantities of the product to the same quantity of labor and capital. There are, perhaps, cases in which it is impossible to extract from a particular vein, in a given time, more than a certain quantity of ore, because there is only a limited surface of the vein exposed, on which more than a certain number of laborers can not be simultaneously employed. But this is not true of all mines. In collieries, for example, some other cause of limitation must be sought for. In some instances the owners limit the quantity raised, in order not too rapidly to exhaust the mine ; in others there are said to be combinations of owners, to keep up a monopoly price by limiting the production. Whatever be the causes, it is a fact that mines of different degrees of richness are in operation, and since the value of the produce must be proportional to the cost of production at the worst mine (fertility and situation taken together), it is more than proportional to that of the best. All mines superior in pro- duce to the worst actually worked will yield, therefore, a rent equal to the excess. They may yield more; and the worst mine may itself yield a rent. Mines being compara- tively few, their qualities do not graduate gently into one another, as the qualities of land do ; and the demand may be such as to keep the value of the produce considerably above the cost of production at the worst mine now worked, with- RENT, IN ITS RELATION TO VALUE. 283 out being sufficient to bring into operation a still worse. During the interval, the produce is really at a scarcity value. Fisheries are another example. Fisheries in the open sea are not appropriated, but fisheries in lakes or rivers almost always are so, and likewise oyster-beds or other particular fishing-grounds on coasts. We may take salmon-fisheries as an example of the whole class. Some rivers are far more productive in salmon than others. None, however, without being exhausted, can supply more than a very limited de- mand. All others, therefore, will, if appropriated, afford a rent equal to the value of their superiority. Both in the case of mines and of fisheries, the natural order of events is liable to be interrupted by the opening of a new mine, or a new fishery, of superior quality to some of those already in use. In this case, when things have perma- nently adjusted themselves, the result will be that the scale of qualities which supply the market will have been cut short at the lower end, while a new insertion will have been made in the scale at some point higher up ; and the worst mine or fishery in use — the one which regulates the rents of the superior qualities and the value of the commodity — will be a mine or fishery of better quality than that by which they were previously regulated. The ground-rent of a building, and the rent of a garden or park attached to it, will not be less than the rent which the same land would afford in agriculture, but may be greater than this to an indefinite amount ; the surplus being either in consideration of beauty or of convenience, the convenience often consisting in superior facilities for pecuniary gain. Sites of remarkable beauty are generally limited in supply, and therefore, if in great demand, are at a scarcity value. Sites superior only in convenience are governed as to their value by the ordinary principles of rent. The ground-rent of a house in a small village is but little higher than the rent of a similar patch of ground in the open fields. Suppose the various kinds of land to be represented by the alphabet ; that those below O pay no agricultural rent, and that 284 EXCHANGE. all lands increase in fertility and situation as we approach the beginning of the alphabet, but which, as far up as K, are used in agriculture ; that higher than K all are more profitably used for building purposes, viz. : A, B, C, . . . | K, L, M, N, 0, | ... X, Y, Z. Now it will happen that land is chosen for building purposes irrespective of its fertility for agricultural purposes. It will not be true, as some may think, that no land will be used for building until it will pay a ground-rent greater than the great- est agricultural rent paid by any piece of land. It is not true, for example, if N be selected for a building-lot, that it must pay a ground-rent as high as the agricultural rent of K, the most fertile land cultivated in agriculture. It must pay a ground-rent higher only than it itself would pay, if cultivated. It is only necessary that it pay more than the same (not better) land would pay as rent if used only in agriculture. The rents of wharfage, dock, and harbor room, water- power, and many other privileges, may be analyzed on simi- lar principles. Take the case, for example, of a patent or exclusive privilege for the use of a process by which the cost of production is lessened. If the value of the product continues to be regulated by what it costs to those who are obliged to persist in the old process, the patentee will make an extra profit equal to the advantage which his process pos- sesses over theirs. This extra profit is essentially similar to rent, and sometimes even assumes the form of it, the patentee allowing to other producers the use of his privilege in con- sideration of an annual payment. The extra gains which any producer or dealer obtains through superior talents for business, or superior business arrangements, are very much of a similar kind. If all his competitors had the same advantages, and used them, the benefit would be transferred to their customers through the diminished value of the article ; he only retains it for him- self because he is able to bring his commodity to market at a lower cost, while its value is determined by a higher. 1 1 F. A. Walker (" Political Economy," pp. 248-259) expands this idea, and makes it the pivotal part of his whole theory of distribution among laborers, capitalists, and landlords. RENT, IN ITS RELATION TO VALUE. 285 § 4. A general resume of the laws of value, where a free movement of labor and capital exists, may now be briefly made in the following form : fl. ' 1. Utility, or ability to satisfy a de- sire (U). Exchange val ue has three ■{ conditions, viz. : Those limited in supply — e. g., ancient pic- tures or mo- nopolized arti- cles. 2. Difficulty of at- tainment (D), ac- cording to which i there are three ' classes of com- modities, viz. : 3. Transferable- ness. 2. Those whose supply is ca- pable of in- definite in- crease by the use of labor and capital. 3. Those whose supply is gained at a -gradually in- creasing cost, under the law of diminishing returns. Their value is regu- lated by Demand and Supply. The only limit is U. f Their normal and per- manent value is regulated by Cost of Production, and their temporary or market value is regulated by De- mand and Supply, oscillating around Cost of Production (which consists of the amount of la- bor and abstinence required). Their normal value is regulated by the Cost of Production of that portion of the whole amount needed, which is brought to market at the greatest ex- pense, and their market value is regulated by De- mand and Supply (as in class 2). If there be no free competition between industries, then the value of those commodities which has been said, in the above classification, to depend on cost of production, will be governed by the law of Reciprocal Demand. CHAPTER IV. OF MONEY. § 1. Having proceeded thus far in ascertaining the gen- eral laws of Value, without introducing the idea of Money (except occasionally for illustration), it is time that we should now superadd that idea, and consider in what manner the principles of the mutual interchange of commodities are affected by the use of what is termed a Medium of Exchange. As Professor Jevons 1 has pointed out, money performs three distinct services, capable of being separated by the mind, and worthy of separate definition and explanation : 1. A Common Measure, or Common Denominator, of Value. 2. A Medium of Exchange. 3. A Standard of Value. F. A. Walker, 2 however, says : " Money is the medium of exchange. Whatever performs this function, does this work, is money, no matter what it is made of. . . . That which does the money-work is the money-thing." (1.) [If we had no money] the first and most obvious [in- convenience] would be the want of a common measure for values of different sorts. If a tailor had only coats, and wanted to buy bread or a horse, it would be very troublesome to ascertain how much bread he ought to obtain for a coat, or how many coats he should give for a. horse. The calcula- tion must be recommenced on different data every time he bartered his coats for a different kind of article, and there could be no current price or regular quotations of value. As it is much easier to compare different lengths by expressing 1 " Money and the Mechanism of Exchange," chap. iii. * "Political Economy," p. 121. MONEY. 287 them in a common language of feet and inches, so it is much easier to compare values by means of a common language of [dollars and cents]. The need of a common denominator of values (an excellent term, introduced by Storch), to whose terms the values of all other commodities may be reduced, and so compared, is as great as that the inhabitants of the different States of the United States should have a common language as a means by which ideas could be communicated to the whole nation. A man may have a horse, whose value he wishes to compare in some common term with the value of his house, although he might not wish to sell either. A valuation by the State for taxation could not exist but for this common denominator, or register, of value. (2.) The second function is that of a medium of exchange. The distinction between this function and the common denomi- nator of value is that the latter measures value, the former transfers value. The man owning the horse, after having meas- ured its value by comparison with a given thing, may now wish to exchange it for other things. This discloses the need of an- other quality in money. The inconveniences of barter are so great that, without some more commodious means of effecting exchanges, the division of employments could hardly have been carried to any considerable extent. A tailor, who had nothing but coats, might starve before he could find any person having bread to sell who wanted a coat: besides, he would not want as much bread at a time as would be worth a coat, and the coat could not be divided. Every person, therefore, would at all times hasten to dispose of his commodity in exchange for anything which, though it might not be fitted to his own immediate wants, was in great and general demand, and easily divisible, so that he might be sure of being able to purchase with it whatever was offered for sale. The thing which people would select to keep by them for making pur- chases must be one which, besides being divisible and gen- erally desired, does not deteriorate by keeping. This re- duces the choice to a small number of articles. This need is well explained by the following facts furnished by Professor Jevons : " Some years since, Mademoiselle Zelie, 288 EXCHANGE. a singer of the Theatre Lyrique at Paris, made a professional tour round the world, and gave a concert in the Society Islands. In exchange for an air from ' Norma ' and a few other songs, she was to receive a third part of the receipts. When counted, her share was found to consist of three pigs, twenty-three tur- keys, forty-four chickens, five thousand cocoanuts, besides con- siderable quantities of bananas, lemons, and oranges. In the Society Islands, however, pieces of money were very scarce ; and, as mademoiselle could not consume any considerable por- tion of the receipts herself, it became necessary in the mean time to feed the pigs and poultry with the fruit." ' (3.) The third function desired of money is what is usually termed a "standard of value." It is, perhaps, better expressed by F. A. Walker 2 as a "standard of deferred payments." Its existence is due to the desire to have a means of comparing the purchasing power of a commodity at one time with its purchas- ing power at another distant time ; that is, that for long con- tracts, exchanges may be in unchanged ratios at the beginning and at the end of the contracts. There is no distinction be- tween this function and the first, except one arising from the introduction of time. At the same time and place, the " stand- ard of value " is given in the common denominator of value. A Measure of Yalue, 3 in the ordinary sense of the word measure, would mean something by comparison with which we may ascertain what is the value of any other thing. When we consider, further, that value itself is relative, and that two things are necessary to constitute it, independently of the third thing which is to measure it, we may define a Measure of Yalue to be something, by comparing with which any two other things, we may infer their value in relation to one another. In this sense, any commodity will serve as a measure of value at a given time and place ; since we can always infer the proportion in which things exchange for one another, when we know the proportion in which each exchanges for any third thing. To serve as a convenient measure of value is one of the functions of the commodity selected as a me- 1 "Money and the Mechanism of Exchange," p. 1. 2 " Political Economy," p. 144. 3 The substance of Mr. Mill's former chapter, XV (Book III), is here inserted in its direct connection with the functions of money. MONEY. 2S9 dium of exchange. It is in that commodity that the values of all other things are habitually estimated. But the desideratum sought by political economists is not a measure of the value of things at the same time and place, but a measure of the value of the same thing at dif- ferent times and places : something by comparison with which it may be known whether any given thing is of greater or less value now than a century ago, or in this country than in America or China. To enable the money price of a thing at two different periods to measure the quantity of things in general which it will exchange for, the same sum of money must correspond at both periods to the same quantity of things in general — that is, money must always have the same exchange value, the same general pur- chasing power. JSTow, not only is this not true of money, or of any other commodity, but we can not even suppose any state of circumstances in which it would be true. It being very clear that money, or the precious metals, do not themselves remain absolutely stable in value for long peri- ods, the only way in which a " standard of value " can be prop- erly established is by the proposed "multiple standard of value," stated as follows : " A number of articles in general use — corn, beef, potatoes, wool, cotton, silk, tea, sugar, coffee, indigo, timber, iron, coal, and others — shall be taken, in a definite quantity of each, so many pounds, or bushels, or cords, or yards, to form a standard required. The value of these articles, in the quantities speci- fied, and all of standard quality, shall be ascertained monthly or weekly by Government, and the total sum [in money] which would then purchase this bill of goods shall be, thereupon, officially promulgated. Persons may then, if they choose, make their contracts for future payments in terms of this multiple or tabular standard." ' A, who had borrowed $1,000 of B in 1870 for ten years, would make note of the total money value of all these articles composing the multiple standard, which we will suppose is $125 in 1870. Consequently, A would promise to pay B eight multiple units in ten years (that is, eight times $125, or $1,000). But, if other things change in value rela- 1 F. A. Walker, " Political Economy," p. 363. A German, Count Soden (1805), Joseph Lowe (1822), and G. Poulett Scrope (1833), proposed this scheme. See Jevons, " Money and the Mechanism of Exchange," chap. xxv. 19 290 EXCHANGE. tively to money during these ten years, the same sum of money — $1,000 — in 1880 will not return to B the same just amount of purchasing power which he parted with in 1870. Now, if, in 1880, when his note falls due, the government list is exam- ined, and it is found that commodities in general have fallen in value relatively to gold, the multiple unit will not amount to as much gold as it did in 1870 ; perhaps each unit may be rated only at $100. In that case, A is obliged to pay back only eight multiple units, which costs him only $800 in money, while B receives from A the same amount of purchasing power over other commodities which he loaned to him. B had no just claim to ten units, since the fall of all commodities relatively to gold was not due to his exertions. On the other hand, if, between 1870 and 1880, prices had risen, mutatis mutandis, the eight units would have cost A more than $1,000 in gold ; but he would have been justly obliged to return the same amount of purchas- ing power to B which he received from him. § 2. By a tacit concurrence, almost all nations, at a very early period, fixed upon certain metals, and especially gold and silver, to serve this purpose. No other substances unite the necessary qualities in s<» great a degree, with so many subordinate advantages. These were the things which it most pleased every one to possess, and which there was most certainty of finding others willing to receive in exchange for any kind of produce. They were among the most im- perishable of all substances. They were also portable, and, containing great value in small bulk, were easily hid ; a con- sideration of much importance in an age of insecurity. Jewels are inferior to gold and silver in the quality of divisibility ; and are of very various qualities, not to be ac- curately discriminated without great trouble. Gold and sil- ver are eminently divisible, and, when pure, always of the same quality ; and their purity may be ascertained and certi- fied by a public authority. Jevons 1 has more fully stated the requisites for a perfect money as — 1. Value. 4. Homogeneity. 2. Portability. 5. Divisibility. 3. Indestructibility. 6. Stability of value. 7. Cognizability. 1 "Money and the Mechanism of Exchange," p. 31. MONEY. 291 Accordingly, though furs have been employed as money in some countries, cattle in others, in Chinese Tartary cubes of tea closely pressed together, the shells called cowries on the coast of Western Africa, and in Abyssinia at this day blocks of rock-salt, gold and silver have been generally pre- ferred by nations which were able to obtain them, either by industry, commerce, or conquest. To the qualities which originally recommended them, another came to be added, the importance of which only unfolded itself by degrees. Of all commodities, they are among the least influenced by any of the causes which produce fluctuations of value. No commodity is quite free from such fluctuations. Gold and silver have sustained, since the beginning of history, one great permanent alteration of value, from the discovery of the American mines. In the present age the opening of new sources of supply, so abundant as the Ural Mountains, California, and Australia, may be the commencement of another period of decline, on the limits of which it would be useless at present to specu- late. Bat, on the whole, no commodities are so little ex- posed to causes of variation. They fluctuate less than almost any other things in their cost of production. And, from their durability, the total quantity in existence is at all times so great in proportion to the annual supply, that the effect on value even of a change in the cost of production is not sudden : a very long time being required to diminish mate- rially the quantity in existence, and even to increase it very greatly not being a rapid process. Gold and silver, there- fore, are more fit than any other commodity to be the sub- ject of engagements for receiving or paying a given quantity at some distant period. Since Mr. Mill wrote, two great changes in the production of the precious metals have occurred. The discoveries of gold, briefly referred to by him, have led to an enormous increase of the existing fund of gold (see chart No. IX, Chap. VI), and a fall in the value of gold within twenty years after the discov- eries, according to Mr. Jevons's celebrated study, 1 of from nine 1 "A Serious Fall in the Value of Gold " (1863). 292 EXCHANGE. to fifteen per cent. Another change took place, a change in the value of silver, in 1876, which has resulted in a permanent fall of its value since that time (see chart No. X, Chap. VII). Before that date, silver sold at about 60c?. per ounce in the cen- tral market of the world, London ; and now it remains about 52c?. per ounce, although it once fell to 47c?., in July, 1876. In spite of Mr. Mill's expressions of confidence in their stability of value — although certainly more stable than other commodities — the events of the last thirty-five years have fully shown that neither gold nor silver — silver far less than gold — can success- fully serve as a perfect " standard of value " for any consider- able length of time. "When gold and silver had become virtually a medium of exchange, by becoming the things for which people gen- erally sold, and with which they generally bought, whatever they had to sell or to buy, the contrivance of coming ob- viously suggested itself. By this process the metal was divided into convenient portions, of any degree of smallness, and bearing a recognized proportion to one another ; and the trouble was saved of weighing and assaying at every change of possessors — an inconvenience which, on the occasion of small purchases, would soon have become insupportable. Governments found it their interest to take the operation into their own hands, and to interdict all coining by private persons. $ § 3. It must be evident, however, that the mere intro- duction of a particular mode of exchanging things for one another, by first exchanging a thing for money, and then ex- changing the money for something else, makes no difference in the essential character of transactions. It is not with money that things are really purchased. Nobody's income (except that of the gold or silver miner) is derived from the precious metals. The [dollars or cents] which a person re- ceives weekly or yearly are not what constitutes his income ; they are a sort of tickets or orders which he can present for payment at any shop he pleases, and which entitle him to re- ceive a certain value of any commodity that he makes choice of. The farmer pays his laborers and his landlord in these tickets, as the most convenient plan for himself and them ; MONEY. 293 "but their real income is their share of his corn, cattle, and hay, and it makes no essential difference whether he dis- tributes it to them directly, or sells it for them and gives them the price. There can not, in short, be intrinsically a more insignificant thing, in the economy of society, than money ; except in the character of a contrivance for sparing time and labor. It is a machine for doing quickly and com- modiously what would be done, though less quickly and commodiously, without it ; and, like many other kinds of machinery, it only exerts a distinct and independent influ- ence of its own when it gets out of order. The introduction of money does not interfere with the operation of any of the Laws of Value laid down in the pre- ceding chapters. The reasons which make the temporary or market value of things depend on the demand and supply, and their average and permanent values upon their cost of production, are as applicable to a money system as to a sys- tem of barter. Things which by barter would exchange for one another will, if sold for money, sell for an equal amount of it, and so will exchange for one another still, though the process of exchanging them will consist of two operations instead of only one. The relations of commodities to one another remain unaltered by money ; the only new relation introduced is their relation to money itself ; how much or how little money they will exchange for ; in other words, how the Exchange Yalue of money itself is determined. Money is a commodity, and its value is determined like that of other commodities, temporarily by demand and supply, permanently and on the average by cost of production. CHAPTER Y. OF THE VALUE OF MONEY, AS DEPENDED ON DEMAND AND SUPPLY. § 1. The Value of Money is to appearance an expression as precise, as free from possibility of misunderstanding, as any in science. The value of a thing is what it will exchange for ; the value of money is what money will exchange for, the purchasing power of money. If prices are low, money will buy much of other things, and is of high value ; if prices are high, it will buy little of other things, and is of low value. The value of money is inversely as general prices ; falling as they rise, and rising as they fall. When one per- son lends to another, as well as when he pays wages or rent to another, what he transfers is not the mere money, but a right to a certain value of the produce of the country, to be selected at pleasure; the lender having first bought this right, by giving for it a portion of his capital. What he really lends is so much capital ; the money is the mere instru- ment of transfer. But the capital usually passes from the lender to the receiver through the means either of money, or of an order to receive money, and at any rate it is in money that the capital is computed and estimated. Hence, borrow- ing capital is universally called borrowing money ; the loan market is called the money market ; those who have their capital disposable for investment on loan are called the mon- eyed class ; and the equivalent given for the use of capital, or, in other words, interest, is not only called the interest of money, but, by a grosser perversion of terms, the value of money. § 2. The value or purchasing power of money depends, THE VALUE OF MONEY. 295 in the first instance, on demand and supply. But demand and supply, in relation to money, present themselves in a somewhat different shape from the demand and supply of other things. The supply of a commodity means the quantity offered for sale. But it is not usual to speak of offering money for sale. People are not usually said to buy or sell money. This, however, is merely an accident of language. In point of fact, money is bought and sold like other things, whenever other things are bought and sold for money. Whoever sells corn, or tallow, or cotton, buys money. Whoever buys bread, or wine, or clothes, sells money to the dealer in those articles,, The money with which people are offering to buy, is money offered for sale. The supply of money, then, is the quantity of it which people are wanting to lay out ; that is, all the money they have in their possession, except what they are hoarding, or at least keeping by them as a reserve for future contingencies. The supply of money, in short, is all the money in circulation at the time. The demand for money, again, consists of all the goods offered for sale. Every seller of goods is a buyer of money, and the goods he brings w r ith him constitute his demand. The demand for money differs from the demand for other things in this, that it is limited only by the means of the purchaser. In this last statement Mr. Mill is misled by his former defini- tion of demand as " quantity demanded." He has the true idea of demand in this case regarding money ; but the demand for money does not, as he thinks, differ from the demand for other things, inasmuch as, in our corrected view of demand for other things (p. 255), it was found that the demand for other things than money was also limited by the means of the purchaser. 1 1 F. A. Walker defines the demand for money as " the occasion for the use of money in effecting exchanges ; in other words, it is the amount of money- work to be done" (Political Economy," p. 133); and the supply of money as " the money-force available to do the money-work which the demand for money indicates as required to be done, in the given community, at the given time. The amount of money is measured by . . . the amount of money and the rapidity of circulation" (ibid., p. 136). 296 EXCHANGE. As the whole of the goods in the market compose the demand for money, so the whole of the money constitutes the demand for goods. The money and the goods are seek- . ing eath other for the purpose of being exchanged. They are reciprocally supply and demand to one another. It is indifferent whether, in characterizing the phenomena, we speak of the demand and supply of goods, or the supply and the demand of money. They are equivalent expressions. Supposing the money in the hands of individuals to be increased, the wants and inclinations of the community col- lectively in respect to consumption remaining exactly the same, the increase of demand would reach all things equally, and there would be a universal rise of prices. Let us rather suppose, therefore, that to every pound, or shilling, or penny in the possession of any one, another pound, shilling, or penny were suddenly added. There would be an increased money demand, and consequently an increased money value, or price, for things of all sorts. This increased value would do no good to any one ; would make no difference, except that of having to reckon [dollars and cents] in higher num- bers. It would be an increase of values only as estimated in money, a thing only wanted to buy other things with ; and would not enable any one to buy more of them than before. Prices would have risen in a certain ratio, and the value of money would have fallen in the same ratio. It is to be remarked that this ratio would be precisely that in which the quantity of money had been increased. If the whole money in circulation was doubled, prices would be doubled. If it was only increased one fourth, prices would rise one fourth. There would be one fourth more money, all of Which would be used to purchase goods of some descrip- tion. When there had been time for the increased supply of money to reach all markets, or (according to the conven- tional metaphor) to permeate all the channels of circulation, all prices would have risen one fourth. But the general rise of price is independent of this diffusing and equalizing pro- cess. Even if some prices were raised more, and others less, THE VALUE OF MONEY. the average rise would be one fourth. Thi' ,ry consequence of the fact that a fourth mor ,uld have been given for only the same quantity Gen- eral prices, therefore, would in any case bf ^her. So that the value of money, other thi? 3 same, varies inversely as its quantity ; every increase of quantity lowering the value, and every diminution raising it, in a ratio exactly equivalent. This, it must be observed, is a property peculiar to money. We did not find it to be true of com- modities generally, that every diminution of supply raised the value exactly in proportion to the deficiency, or that every increase lowered it in the precise ratio of the excess. Some things are usually affected in a greater ratio than that of the excess or deficiency, others usually in a less ; because, in ordinary cases of demand, the desire, being for the thing itself, may be stronger or weaker ; and the amount of what people are willing to expend on it, being in any case a limit- ed quantity, may be affected in very unequal degrees by difficulty or facility of attainment. But in the case of money, which is desired as the means of universal purchase, the demand consists of everything which people have to sell ; and the only limit to what they are willing to give, is the limit set by their having nothing more to offer. The whole of the goods being in any case exchanged for the whole of the money which comes into the market to be laid out, they will sell for less or more of it, exactly according as less or more is brought. § 3. It might be supposed that there is always in circula- tion in a country a quantity of money equal in value to the whole of the goods then and there on sale. But this would be a complete misapprehension. The money laid out is equal in value to the goods it purchases ; but the quantity of money laid out is not the same thing with the quantity in circulation. As the money passes from hand to hand, the same piece of money is laid out many times before all the things on sale at one time are purchased and finally removed from the market ; and each pound or dollar must be counted 298 EXCHANGE. for as many pounds or dollars as the number of times it changes hands in order to effect this object. If we assume the quantity of goods on sale, and the num- ber of times those goods are resold, to be fixed quantities, the value of money will depend upon its quantity, together with the average number of times that each piece changes hands in the process. The w T hole of the goods sold (counting each resale of the same goods as so much added to the goods) have been exchanged for the whole of the money, multiplied by the number of purchases made on the average by each piece. Consequently, the amount of goods and of transactions being the same, the value of money is inversely as its quantity multiplied by what is called the rapidity of circulation. And the quantity of money in circulation is equal to the money value of all the goods sold, divided by the number which expresses the rapidity of circulation. This may be expressed in mathematical language, where V is the value of money, Q is the quantity in circulation, and R the number expressing the rapidity of circulation, as follows : v = -±- QXR. The phrase, rapidity of circulation, requires some com- ment. It must not be understood to mean the number of purchases made by each piece of money in a given time. Time is not the thing to be considered. The state of society may be such that each piece of money hardly performs more than one purchase in a year; but if this arises from the small number of transactions — from the small amount of business done, the want of activity in traffic, or because what traffic there is mostly takes place by barter — it consti- tutes no reason why prices should be lower, or the value of money higher. The essential point is, not how often the same money changes hands in a given time, but how often it changes hands in order to perform a given amount of traffic. "We must compare the number of purchases made by the money in a given time, not with the time itself, but with the goods sold in that same time. If each piece of THE VALUE OP MONEY. 299 money changes hands on an average ten times while goods are sold to the value of a million sterling, it is evident that the money required to circulate those goods is £100,000. And, conversely, if the money in circulation is £100,000, and each piece changes hands, by the purchase of goods, ten times in a month, the sales of goods for money which take place every month must amount, on the average, to £1,000,000. [The essential point to be considered is] the average number of purchases made by each piece in order to affect a given pecuniary amount of transactions. "There is no doubt that the rapidity of circulation varies very much between one country and another. A thrifty peo- ple with slight banking facilities, like the French, Swiss, Bel- gians, and Dutch, hoard coin much more than an improvident people like the English, or even a careful people, with a per- fect banking system, like the Scotch. Many circumstances, too, affect the rapidity of circulation. Railways and rapid steamboats enable coin and bullion to be more swiftly remitted than of old ; telegraphs prevent its needless removal, and the acceleration of the mails has a like effect." " So different are the commercial habits of different peoples, that there evidently exists no proportion whatever between the amount of currency in a country and the aggregate of the exchanges which can be effected by it." ' § 4. The proposition which we have laid down respecting the dependence of general prices upon the quantity of money in circulation must be understood as applying only to a state of things in which money — that is, gold or silver — is the ex- clusive instrument of exchange, and actually passes from hand to hand at every purchase, credit in any of its shapes being unknown. "When credit comes into play as a means of purchasing, distinct from money in hand, we shall here- after find that the connection between prices and the amount of the circulating medium is much less direct and intimate, and that such connection as does exist no longer admits of so simple a mode of expression. That an increase of the quantity of money raises prices, and a diminution lowers them, is the most elementary proposition in the theory of 1 Jevons, " Money and the Mechanism of Exchange," pp. 336, 337. 300 EXCHANGE. currency, and without it we should have no key to any of the others. In any state of things, however, except the simple and primitive one which we have supposed, the proposition is only true, other things being the same. It is habitually assumed that whenever there is a greater amount of money in the country, or in existence, a rise of prices must necessarily follow. But this is by no means an inevitable consequence. In no commodity is it the quantity in existence, but the quantity offered for sale, that deter- mines the value. Whatever may be the quantity of money in the country, only that part of it will affect prices which goes into the market of commodities, and is there actually exchanged against goods. "Whatever increases the amount of this portion of the money in the country tends to raise prices. This statement needs modification, since the change in the amounts of specie in the bank reserves, particularly of Eng- land and the United States, determines the amount of credit and purchasing power granted, and so affects prices in that way ; but prices are affected not by this specie being actually exchanged against goods. It frequently happens that money to a considerable amount is brought into the country, is there actually in- vested as capita], and again flows out, without having ever once acted upon the markets of commodities, but only upon the market of securities, or, as it is commonly though im- properly called, the money market. A foreigner landing in the country with a treasure might very probably prefer to invest his fortune at interest ; which we shall suppose him to do in the most obvious way by be- coming a competitor for a portion of the stock, railway de- bentures, mercantile bills, mortgages, etc., which are at all times in the hands of the public. By doing this he would raise the prices of those different securities, or in other words would lower the rate of interest ; and since this would disturb the relation previously existing between the rate of interest on capital in the country itself and that in THE VALUE OF MONEY. 301 foreign countries, it would probably induce some of those who had floating capital seeking employment to send it abroad for foreign investment, rather than buy securities at home at the advanced price. As much money might thus go out as had previously come in, while the prices of com- modities would have shown no trace of its temporary pres- ence. This is a case highly deserving of attention ; and it is a fact now beginning to be recognized that the passage of the precious metals from country to country is determined much more than was formerly supposed by the state of the loan market in different countries, and much less by the state of prices. If there be, at any time, an increase in the number of money transactions, a thing continually liable to happen from differences in the activity of speculation, and even in the time of year (since certain kinds of business are trans- acted only at particular seasons), an increase of the currency which is only proportional to this increase of transactions, and is of no longer duration, has no tendency to raise prices. For example, bankers in Eastern cities each year send in the autumn to the West, as the crops are gathered, very large sums of money, to settle transactions in the buying and selling of grain, wool, etc., but it again flows back to the great cen- ters of business in a short time, in payment of purchases from Eastern merchants. CHAPTER VI. OF THE VALUE OP MONET, AS DEPENDENT ON COST OF PRO- DUCTION. § 1. But money, no more than commodities in general, has its value definitely determined by demand and supply. The ultimate regulator of its value is Cost of Production. "We are supposing, of course, that things are left to them- selves. Governments have not always left things to them- selves. It was, until lately, the policy of all governments to interdict the exportation and the melting of money ; while, by encouraging the exportation and impeding the importa- tion of other things, they endeavored to have a stream of money constantly flowing in. By this course they gratified two prejudices : they drew, or thought that they drew, more money into the country, which they believed to be tanta- mount to more wealth ; and they gave, or thought that they gave, to all producers and dealers, high prices, which, though no real advantage, people are always inclined to suppose to be one. "We are, however, to suppose a state, not of artificial regu- lation, but of freedom. In that state, and assuming no charge to be made for coinage, the value of money will conform to the value of the bullion of which it is made. A pound-weight of gold or silver in coin, and the same weight in an ingot, will precisely exchange for one another. On the supposition of freedom, the metal can not be worth more in the state of bullion than of coin ; for as it can be melted without any loss of time, and with hardly any expense, this would of course be done until the quantity in circulation was so much dimin- THE VALUE OF MONEY. 303 ished as to equalize its value with that of the same weight in bullioD. It may be thought, however, that the coin, though it can not be of less, may be, and being a manufactured ar- ticle will naturally be, of greater value than the bullion con- tained in it, on the same principle on which linen cloth is of more value than an equal weight of linen yarn. This would be true, were it not that Government, in this country and in some others, coins money gratis for any one who fur- nishes the metal. If Government, however, throws the ex- pense of coinage, as is reasonable, upon the holder, by making a charge to cover the expense (which is done by giving back rather less in coin than has been received in bullion, and is called levying a seigniorage), the coin will rise, to the extent of the seigniorage, above the value of the bullion. If the mint kept back one per cent, to pay the expense of coinage, it would be against the interest of the holders of bullion to have it coined, until the coin was more valuable than the bullion by at least that fraction. The coin, therefore, would be kept one per cent higher in value, which could only be by keeping it one per cent less in quantity, than if its coin- age were gratuitous. In the United States there was no charge for seigniorage on gold and silver to 1853, when one half of one per cent was charged as interest on the delay if coin was immediately de- livered on the deposit of bullion ; in 18T3 it was reduced to one fifth of one per cent ; and in 1875, by a provision of the Resumption Act, it was wholly abolished (the depositor, how- ever, paying for the copper alloy). For the trade-dollars, as was consistent with their being only coined ingots and not le- gal money, a seigniorage was charged equal simply to the ex- pense of coinage, which was one and a quarter per cent at Philadelphia, and one and a half per cent at San Francisco on the tale value. § 2. The value of money, then, conforms permanently, and in a state of freedom almost immediately, to the value of the metal of which it is made ; with the addition, or not, of the expenses of coinage, according as those expenses are borne by the individual or by the state. To the majority of civilized countries gold and silver are 304 EXCHANGE. foreign products : and the circumstances which govern the values of foreign products present some questions which we are not yet ready to examine. For the present, therefore, we must suppose the country which is the subject of our in- quiries to be supplied with gold and silver by its own mines [as in the case of the United States], reserving for future consideration how far our conclusions require modification to adapt them to the more usual case. Of the three classes into which commodities are divided — those absolutely limited in supply, those which may be had in unlimited quantity at a given cost of production, and those which may be had in unlimited quantity, but at an increasing cost of production — the precious metals, being the produce of mines, belong to the third class. Their natural value, therefore, is in the long run proportional to their cost of production in the most unfavorable existing circumstances, that is, at the worst mine which it is necessary to work in order to obtain the required supply. A pound weight of gold will, in the gold-producing countries, ultimately tend to exchange for as much of every other commodity as is produced at a cost equal to its own ; meaning by its own cost the cost in labor and expense at the least productive sources of supply which the then existing demand makes it necessary to work. The average value of gold is made to conform to its natural value in the same manner as the values of other things are made to conform to their natural value. Suppose that it were selling above its natural value ; that is, above the value which is an equivalent for the labor and ex- pense of mining, and for the risks attending a branch of in- dustry in which nine out of ten experiments have usually been failures. A part of the mass of floating capital which is on the lookout for investment would take the direction of mining enterprise ; the supply would thus be increased, and the value would fall. If, on the contrary, it were sell- ing below its natural value, miners would not be obtaining the ordinary profit ; they would slacken their works ; if the depreciation was great, some of the inferior mines would THE VALUE OF MONEY. 305 perhaps stop working altogether: and a falling off in the annual supply, preventing the annual wear and tear from being completely compensated, would by degrees reduce the quantity, and restore the value. When examined more closely, the following are the de- tails of the process : If gold is above its natural or cost value — the coin, as we have seen, conforming in its value to the bullion — money will be of high value, and the prices of all things, labor included, will be low. These low prices will lower the expenses of all producers ; but, as their returns will also be lowered, no advantage will be obtained by any producer, except the producer of gold ; whose returns from his mine, not depending on price, will be the same as before, and, his expenses being less, he will obtain extra profits, and will be stimulated to increase his production. E converso, if the metal is below its natural value ; since this is as much as to say that prices are high, and the money expenses of all producers unusually great ; for this, however, all other pro- ducers will be compensated by increased money returns ; the miner alone will extract from his mine no more metal than before, while his expenses will be greater : his profits, there- fore, being diminished or annihilated, he will diminish his production, if not abandon his employment. In this manner it is that the value of money is made to conform to the cost of production of the metal of which it is made. It may be well, however, to repeat (what has been said before) that the adjustment takes a long time to effect, in the case of a commodity so generally desired and at the same time so durable as the precious metals. Being so largely used, not only as money but for plate and ornament, there is at all times a very large quantity of these metals in existence : while they are so slowly worn out that a com- paratively small annual production is sufficient to keep up the supply, and to make any addition to it which may be required by the increase of goods to be circulated, or by the increased demand for gold and silver articles by wealthy con- sumers. Even if this small annual supply were stopped en- 20 306 EXCHANGE. tirely, it would require many years to reduce the quantity bo much as to make any very material difference in prices. The quantity may be increased much more rapidly than it can be diminished ; but the increase must be very great be- fore it can make itself much felt over such a mass of the precious metals as exists in the whole commercial world. And hence the effects of all changes in the conditions of production of the precious metals are at first, and continue to be for many years, questions of quantity only, with little reference to cost of production. More especially is this the case when, as at the present time, many new sources of sup- ply have been simultaneously opened, most of them practi- cable by labor alone, without any capital in advance beyond a pickaxe and a week's food, and when the operations are as yet wholly experimental, the comparative permanent produc- tiveness of the different sources being entirely unascertained. For the facts in regard to the production of the precious met- als, see the investigation by Dr. Adolf Soetbeer, 1 from which Chart IX has been taken. It is worthy of careful study. The figures in each period, at the top of the respective colors, give the average annual production during those years. The last period has been added by me from figures taken from the reports of the Director of the United States Mint. Other accessible sources, for the production of the precious metals, are the tables in the appendices to the Report of the Committee to the House of Commons on the "Depreciation of Silver" (1876) ; the French official Proces-Verbaux of the Interna- tional Monetary Conference of 1881, which give Soetbeer's figures to a later date than his publication above mentioned ; the various papers in the British parliamentary documents ; and the reports of the director of our mint. Since 1850 more gold has been produced than in the whole period preceding, from 1492 to 1850. Previous to 1849 the annual average pro- duct of gold, out of the total product of both gold and silver, was thirty-six per cent ; for the twenty-six years ending in 1875, it has been seventy and one half per cent. The result has been a rise in gold prices certainly down to 1862," as shown by the following chart, which shows the departure of the line 1 " Edelmetall-Production," in Petermann's " Mittheilungen," Erganzung- sheft, No. 57. 2 See Jevons's " A Serious Fall in the Value of Gold." THE VALUE OF MONEY. 307 i I i i i i i i . 1 1 1. F I '»J"1MI "■•■IIIK "ii'i>i i ""'ii'tv r T5J ZET ! ; ; : ; g s g ; 3 ? ; ? 3 M f ? t ? r ? s r - ; "r-?li ?> «, PS to" a: a E 1 o * s J 1 OOOQOOOOQOOOO © o »c i^t o H t^** l "i < *J. '*"i*"Z. -** orffft-^cTr^xTt-cc rTotfos cT i-HT-lrH T-i « CC 1< M DO 1 > OOOOOOOQOOOOO O «"5 K5 O O O *-" O © *J^ O © © CM *~ 1— I- C-l JlNNiOl-l'CO^ C a ©©©©©©©©©©©©© ©©©©©© — ©©©©©■© ooOoooc o © »-~ © © o i^TqTof r-" ©' — ' of :-' o o of-** *-T r-OiMt-OW-/ © rr> © © © r^O,©_^ p]OQ ! j jo mEjg i-°IPI t ; ;c3 i^nboj \»'si(1 — mMT »'oi c $]\ 1 « I 3 ■i^itg «r j M 4-5- ssoiang iroptrew 'Jiins 1° a jo smujga -oi!"3 «8' is !El°6 J° imiJ55jpj i H03 J9Atjg jo' si 1BJ. A DOUBLE STANDARD AND SUBSIDIARY COINS. 319 disappearance of gold was everywhere commented upon. The process by which this result is produced is a simple one, and is adopted as soon as a margin of profit is seen arising from a divergence between the mint and market ratios. In 1820 the market ratio of gold to silver was 1 to 15*7 — that is, the amount of gold in a dollar (24f grains) would exchange for 15*7 times as many grains of silver in the market, in the form of bullion ; while at the mint, in the form of coin, it would exchange for only 15 times as many grains of silver. A broker having 1,000 gold dollars could buy with them in the market silver bullion enough (1,000 X 15*7 grains) to have coined, when presented at the mint, 1,000 dollars in silver pieces, and yet have left over as a profit by the operation 700 grains of silver. So long as this can be done, silver (the cheapest money) will be pre- sented to the mint, and gold (the dearest money) will become an article of merchandise too valuable to be used as money when the cheaper silver is legally as good. The best money, therefore, disappears from circulation, as it did in the United States before 1820, owing to the fall in the value of silver. It is to be said, that it has been seriously urged by some writers that silver did not fall, but that gold rose, in value, owing to the demand of England for resumption in 1819. 1 Chronology kills this view ; for the change in the value of silver began too early to have been due to English measures, even if conclusive reasons have not been given above why silver should naturally have fallen in value. II. The change in the relative values of gold and silver final- ly forced the United States to change their mint ratio in 1834. Two courses were open to us: (1) either to increase the quan- tity of silver in the dollar until the dollar of silver was intrin- sically worth the gold in the gold dollar ; or (2) debase the gold dollar-piece until it was reduced in value proportionate to the depreciation of silver since 1792. The latter expedient, without any seeming regard to the effect on contracts and the integrity of our monetary standard, was adopted : 6*589 per cent was taken out of the gold dollar, leaving it containing 23'22 grains of pure gold ; and as the silver dollar remained unchanged (3714; grains) the mint ratio established was 1 to 15*988, or, as commonly stated, 1 to 16. Did this correspond with the market ratio then existing ? No. Having seen the former steady fall in silver, and believing that it would con- tinue, Congress hoped to anticipate any further fall by making the mint ratio of gold to silver a little larger than the market ratio. This was done by establishing the mint ratio of 1 to 15*988, while the market ratio in 1834 was 1 to 15*73. Here, 1 See S. Dana Horton, " Gold and Silver," 1877, p. 84, ei scq. 320 EXCHANGE. again, appeared the difficulty arising from the attempt to bal- ance a ratio on a movable fulcrum. It will be seen that the act of 1834 set at work forces for another change in the coin- age — forces of a similar kind, but working in exactly the oppo- site direction to those previous to 1834. A dollar of gold coin would now exchange for more grains of silver at the mint (15 - 98) than it would in the form of bullion in the market (15'73). Therefore it would be more profitable to put gold into coin than exchange it as bullion. Gold was sent to the mint, while silver began to be withdrawn from circulation, silver now being more valuable as bullion than as coin. By 1840 a silver dollar was worth 102 cents in gold. 1 This movement, which was displacing silver with gold, received a surprising and unexpected impetus by the gold discoveries of California and Australia in 1849, before mentioned, and made gold less valuable relatively to silver, by lowering the value of gold. Here, again, was another natural cause, independent of legisla- tion, and not to be foreseen, altering the value of one of the precious metals, and in exactly the opposite direction from that in the previous period, when silver was lowered by the increase from the Mexican mines. In 1853 a silver dollar was worth 104 cents in gold (i. e., of a gold dollar containing 23*22 grains) ; but, some years before, all silver dollars had disappeared from use, and only gold was in circulation. For a large part of this period we had in reality a single standard of gold, the other metal not being able to stay in the currency. III. After our previous experience, the impossibility of re- taining both metals in the coinage together, on equal terms, now came to be generally recognized, and was accepted by Congress in the legislation of 1853. This act made no further changes intended to adapt the mint to the market ratios, but remained satisfied with the gold circulation. But hitherto no regard had been paid to the principles on which a subsidiary coinage is based, as explained by Mr. Mill in the last section (§ 2). The act of 1853, while acquiescing in the single gold standard, had for its purpose the readjustment of the subsidi- ary coins, which, together with silver dollar-pieces, had all gone out of circulation. Before this, two halves, four quar- ters, or ten dimes contained the same quantity of pure silver as the dollar-piece (3714/ grains) ; therefore, when it became profit- able to withdraw the dollar-pieces and substitute gold, it gave exactly the same profit to withdraw two halves or four quar- ters in silver. For this reason all the subsidiary silver had gone out of circulation, and there was no " small change " in the country. The legislation of 1853 rectified this error : (1) 1 See Linderman, " Money and Legal Tender," p. 161. A DOUBLE STANDARD AND SUBSIDIARY COINS. 321 by reducing the quantity of pure silver in a dollar's worth of subsidiary coin to 345*6 grains. By making so much less an amount of silver equal to a dollar of small coins, it was more valuable in that shape than as bullion, and there was no reason for melting it, or withdrawing it (since even if gold and silver changed considerably in their relative values, 345*6 grains of silver could not easily rise sufficiently to become equal in value to a gold dollar, when 3714; grains were worth only 104 cents of the gold dollar) ; (2) this over-valuation of silver in subsidiary coin would cause a great flow of silver to the mint, since silver would be more valuable in subsidiary coin than as bullion ; but this was prevented by the provision (section 4 of the act of 1853) that the amount of the small coinage should be limited according to the discretion of the Secretary of the Treasury ; and, (3) in order that the overvalued small coinage might not be used for purposes other than for effecting change, its legal-tender power was restricted to payments not exceed- ing five dollars. This system, a single gold standard for large, and silver for small, payments, continued without question, and with great convenience, until the days of the war, when paper money (1862-1879) drove out (by its cheapness, again) both gold and silver. Paper was far cheaper than the cheapest of the two metals. The mere fact that the silver dollar-piece had not circu- lated since even long before 1853 led the authorities to drop •= £f o. 3 « i-s \ \>- \ V — ___ 1775 1776 1777 1778 1779 1780 1781 1782 358 EXCHANGE. State would not do it ; and this has been considered as the ex- cuse for making issues of that well-known paper money, which has given rise to the familiar by-word for absence of value, " not worth a Continental." Without going into details, 1 in one year, 1779, Congress issued $140,000,000, worth in coin only $7,000,000. They, however, bravely declared that paper had not depreciated, but that the price of coin had gone up ! Legal attempts were made to repress the premium on silver ; but resolutions do not create wealth as fast as money can be printed. The depreciation went on more rapidly than the is- sues (see Chart No. XI, in which the black line represents the amounts of issues, and the broken line the depreciation of pa- per, starting at 100) ; and, finally, March 18, 1780, Congress de- cided to admit a depreciation, and resumed in silver at the rate of one dollar in silver for forty in paper. The question of government issues a of paper money again came up in the United States in 1862, during the civil war, and part of our present currency is the result of the policy then adopted. The first step — the one that generally costs — however, was taken July 17, 1861, when the Treasury issued 150,000,000 of " demand notes," not bearing interest. These notes, however, were not made legal tender. They could be used in payment of salaries and other dues from the United States. It may be well to state that the Treasury balanced the arguments for and against the issues of paper at the beginning of the ex- periment, and we can see how these views were realized as we go along. In favor of paper issues it was urged that we couJd borrow such an amount without interest, as in the case of the Continental currency ; that there would be no expense be- yond the coin necessary for keeping the paper at par ; and that the country would gain a uniform currency. On the other hand, it was seen that there might be temptations to issue with- out provisions for redemption ; that even if a fund were kept, a disturbance of the money market would precipitate a demand for coin, and all upon this single fund ; and, lastly, that there were all the dangers of over-issue. Secretary Chase s then de- 1 See Walker, "Money," p. 329. 2 See J. J. Knox's " United States Notes " (1884); the Finance Reports dur- ing and since the war to 18*79; Spaulding's "Financial History of the War" (1 869) ; Bowen's " American Political Economy," chap, xv ; " Chapters of Erie," by H. Adams and F. A. Walker ; and the voluminous pages of the " Congres- sional Globe." For the decisions in the legal-tender cases, see " Banker's Maga- zine," 1869-1870, p. 712, and 1871-1872, pp. 752, 780. A collection of stat- utes affecting United States finance, especially since 1860, has been made in a small pamphlet, by Professor C. F. Dunbar (published by Sever, Cambridge, Massachusetts). 8 Report of 1861. CHAI FLUCTUATIONS tn the PRICJEofGOLI January. 800 290 280 270 260 250 240 230 220 February. March. ApriL May- June. -[-£ S. CUEKENCY AND Na -Bank Notes in Circulation : National Debt and Revenue. /t /flfi3 United States Currency. 1862. 186S. 1864. 1865. 18*0. June 30. June 30. June 30. June 30. January 1. 3,361,020 387,646,589 20,192,456 795,643 425,777,397 21,817,158 162,001,660 2,500,000 472,663 432,687,966 24,667,403 9,856,380 175,143,620 113,098 366,000,000 39,762,664 288,392 2,453,820 Treasury notes (greenbacks;.. Five per cent Treasury notes. . 96,620,000 Total 149,660,000 411,190,065 612,982,148 25,82f,666 683,828,032 135,607,060 3 per cent cer- tificates 398,617,974 300,000,000 45,545,000 614,211,311 49,056,397 None. 931,787 1,098,793,181 69,059,642 37.640,788 4,344,140 1,740,690,489' 102,316,153 109,741,134 51,605,602 2,682,593,026 84,928,260 209,464,215 37,126,002 2,448,746,953 June, 1869. 180,048,426 158,336,460 s to to i June, om JANUARY 1?? 1862. to DECEMBER, 1865. AN INCONVERTIBLE PAPER CURRENCY. 359 cided against paper issues. Government bonds, however, did not sell, and the attempt of the banks toward the end of 1861 to carry $150,000,000 of bonds brought on a suspension of spe- cie payments, December 31, 1861. Without any taxation pol- icy, the country drifted along, until in a spasm of dread at seeing an empty Treasury, Congress passed the legal-tender act (February 25, 1862), issuing $150,000,000 of paper in the form of promises to pay. A committee of bankers showed that the issue could have been avoided by selling bonds at their market price ; but Congress would not sell them below par. No necessity for the issues of paper need have arrived. In four months another issue of $150,000,000 was authorized (July 11, 1862) ; and a third issue of a like amount (March 3, 1862), in all $450,000,000. The depreciation took place (see Chart No. XII), for, as Secretary Chase anticipated, no provis- ion was made for redemption. They were made legal tender, but this " essential idea" did not preserve their value ; nor did the provision that they be received for taxes (except cus- toms), avail for this purpose. The effects of the depreciation were as evil as can well be imagined. (1) The expenses of the Government were increased by the rise in prices, so that (2) our national debt became hundreds of millions larger than it need have been ; (3) a vicious speculation in gold began, leading to the unsettling of legitimate trade and to greater variations in prices ; (4) the ex- istence of depreciated paper later gave rise to all the dishonest schemes for paying the coin obligations of the United States in cheap issues, to the ruin of its credit and honor ; and (5) it has practically become a settled part of our circulation, and a possible source of danger. Of the whole $450,000,000, $50,000,000 were set aside as a reserve for temporary deposits ; but in July, 1864, $431,000,000 were in circulation. At this time (June 30, 1864) Congress, retaining distinctly the feeling that the issue of paper was but a temporary measure, forbade any further issues. Secretary McCulloch, immediately on the close of the war, began to con- tract, and, by a resolution of the lower branch in Congress (December 18, 1865), a cordial concurrence in the measures for contraction was manifested. Of course, the return from the path of inflated credit and high prices was painful, and Con- gress began to feel the pressure of its constituents. Had they not yielded, much of the severity of the crisis of 1873 might have been avoided ; but (April 12, 1866) they forbade any greater contraction than $4,000,000 a month. Here was a lack of courage not foreseen by Secretary Chase. This was again shown (February 4, 1868) by a law which absolutely forbade the Secretary to further reduce the currency, which now stood 360 EXCHANGE. at $356,000,000. This marks an important change in the atti- tude of the Government, as compared with 1862. After the panic of 1873, the paper evil produced its usual effect in the cry for more money, and, as in the Province of Massachusetts in 1712, parties divided on the question of inflation or contrac- tion. A bill to expand the Government issues to $400,000,000 (and the national-bank notes also to $400,000,000) actually passed both Houses of Congress, and we were fortunately saved from it only by the veto of President Grant (April 22, 1874). This was another landmark in the history of our paper money. Secretary Richardson, however, had already, without authori- ty, reissued $26,000,000 of the $44,000,000 withdrawn by Sec- retary McCulloch, and the amount outstanding was thus $382,000,000. A compromise measure was passed (June 20, 1874), which retained this amount in the circulation. When the resumption act was passed (January 14, 1875), the provision that, for every $100 of new national-bank notes issued, $80 of United States notes should be retired, resulted in a contraction of the latter from $382,000,000 to $346,000,000. The reason of this was, that there was no provision for the in- crease of United States notes when national banks withdrew their own issues ; and after the crisis many banks naturally did so. The culmination of the policy of Congress came in a law (May 31, 1878) which absolutely forbade all further retirement of United States notes, and we are now left at the present time with an inelastic limit of $346,000,000. Finally, in 1877. and 1878, Secretary Sherman, aided by a most fortunate state of foreign trade, began to accumulate gold in order to carry out the provisions of the resumption act, which required him to resume specie payments on January 1, 1879. He success- fully collected $133,000,000 of gold, and on December 17, 1878, the premium on gold disappeared, and resumption was accom- plished quietly on the day appointed, without a jar to business. But it is a significant fact that even after all the evils in- flicted on our country by over-issues, in spite of the temptation to misuse paper money if it is in any way permitted, in spite of all the warnings of history, there seems to be a dangerous ac- quiescence in the presence of government paper money in our currency. It is an open pitfall, tempting to evils whenever sudden emergencies arise. It ought not to be allowed to re- main any longer. § 5. Another of the fallacies from which the advocates of an inconvertible currency derive support is the notion that an increase of the currency quickens industry. Mr. Attwood maintained that a rise of prices produced by an in- AN INCONVERTIBLE PAPER CURRENCY. %Ql crease of paper currency stimulates every producer to his utmost exertions, and brings all the capital and labor of the country into complete employment ; and that this has invari- ably happened in all periods of rising prices, when the rise was on a sufficiently great scale. I presume, however, that the inducement which, according to Mr. Attwood, excited this unusual ardor in all persons engaged in production must have been the expectation of getting more of commodi- ties generally, more real wealth, in exchange for the produce of their labor, and not merely more pieces of paper. This expectation, however, must have been, by the very terms of the supposition, disappointed, since, all prices being supposed to rise equally, no one was really better paid for his goods than before. It calculates on finding the whole world per- sisting forever in the belief that more pieces of paper are more riches, and never discovering that, with all their paper, they can not buy more of anything than they could before. At the periods which Mr. Attwood mistook for times of prosperity, and which were simply (as all periods of high prices, under a convertible currency, must be) times of specu- lation, the speculators did not think they were growing rich because the high prices would last, but because they would not last, and because whoever contrived to realize while they did last would find himself, after the recoil, in possession of a greater number of [dollars], without their having become of less value. Hume's version of the doctrine differed in a slight degree from Mr. Attwood's. He thought that all commodities would not rise in price simultaneously, and that some persons there- fore would obtain a real gain, by getting more money for what they had to sell, while the things which they wished to buy might not yet have risen. And those who would reap this gain would always be (he seems to think) the first com- ers. It seems obvious, however, that, for every person who thus gains more than usual, there is necessarily some other person who gains less. The loser, if things took place as Hume supposes, would be the seller of the commodities 362 EXCHANGE. which are slowest to rise; who, by the supposition, parts with his goods at the old prices, to purchasers who have already benefited by the new. This seller has obtained for his commodity only the accustomed quantity of money, while there are already some things of which that money will no longer purchase as much as before. If, therefore, he knows what is going on, he will raise his price, and then the buyer will not have the gain, which is supposed to stimulate his industry. But if, on the contrary, the seller does not know the state of the case, and only discovers it when he finds, in laying his money out, that it does not go so far, he then ob- tains less than the ordinary remuneration for his labor and capital ; and, if the other dealer's industry is encouraged, it should seem that his must, from the opposite cause, be im- paired. An issue of notes is a manifest gain to the issuers, who, until the notes are returned for payment, obtain the use of them as if they were a real capital ; and, so long as the notes are no permanent addition to the currency, but merely su- persede gold or silver to the same amount, the gain of the issuer is a loss to no one ; it is obtained by saving to the community the expense of the more costly material. But, if there is no gold or silver to be superseded — if the notes are added to the currency, instead of being substituted for the metallic part of it — all holders of currency lose, by the depre- ciation of its value, the exact equivalent of what the issuer gains. A tax is virtually levied on them for his benefit. But besides the benefit reaped by the issuers, or by others through them, at the expense of the public generally, there is another unjust gain obtained by a larger class — namely, by those who are under fixed pecuniary obligations. All such persons are freed, by a depreciation of the currency, from a portion of the burden of their debts or other engagements ; in other words, part of the property of their creditors is gratuitously transferred to them. On a superficial view it may be imagined that this is an advantage to industry ; since the productive classes are great borrowers, and generally owe AN INCONVERTIBLE PAPER CURRENCY. 363 larger debts to the unproductive (if we include among the latter all persons not actually in business) than the unpro- ductive classes owe to them, especially if the national debt be included. It is only thus that a general rise of prices can be a source of benefit to producers and dealers, by diminish- ing the pressure of their fixed burdens. And this might be accounted an advantage, if integrity and good faith were of no importance to the world, and to industry and commerce in particular. § 6. Before passing on to another branch of our subject, it may be a gain to clearer ideas to collect in the form of the fol- lowing classification the main points discussed (in Chaps. IV to X) under money and credit, in continuance of a similar classification of value : 364 EXCHANGE. a OS ta oo I— 1 b£ 8 a 03 CO 1 to 1 0) S CM 06 § w fl _ oTo US O t> t~ cy -5 exi St-*; Oh sh a b i 5 ■S "g a> O TO Q} -*H> Oh3 P « <-< > «H <* 73 O ction nd a exac 0> O 0} 1 3 2 m G o cu cp ki the cost of ractically on its value ch .. | to Pi o CO 03 +^ O ook credits, ills of ex- change. t> en O a -a g^l e3 03 MM *H .15 1 3 03 oa P. .0 rH CM £ « 03 03 ©a o S -2 03 O CO © O* 03 03 ^ T3 —i -Jrf o ^ "3 * . •* 2^ 5. S a, •~ a § •22^ to £ ^> n ^ H) 03 t-» 03 ^ O +3 i O 03 CO U 1 t^ «t3 pH _ 03 "3-2 P. CO 03 03 T3 03 03 .2 Y 1 "to * .12 H0 .2 03 +i 03 03 fl J, 71 O 13 — < T3 3 03 8: n«4h V 03 .£ t-* ■m ™ cS S ~ oS g a ? CHAPTER XL OF EXCESS OF SUPPLY. § 1. After the elementary exposition of the theory of money contained in the last few chapters, we shall return to a question in the general theory of Yalue which could not be satisfactorily discussed until the nature and operations of Money were in some measure understood, because the errors against which we have to contend mainly originate in a mis- understanding of those operations. Because the phenomenon of over-supply and consequent inconvenience or loss to the producer or dealer may exist in the case of any one commodity whatever, many persons, in- cluding some distinguished political economists, 1 have thought that it may exist with regard to all commodities ; that there may be a general over-production of wealth ; a supply of commodities in the aggregate surpassing the demand ; and a consequent depressed condition of all classes of producers. The doctrine appears to me to involve so much inconsist- ency in its very conception that I feel considerable difficulty in giving any statement of it which shall be at once clear and satisfactory to its supporters. They agree in maintaining that there may be, and sometimes is, an excess of produc- tions in general beyond the demand for them ; that when this happens, purchasers can not be found at prices which will repay the cost of production with a profit ; that there ensues a general depression of prices or values (they are sel- 1 Mr. Malthus, Dr. Chalmers, M. dc Sismondi, and various minor writers. It is especially likely that, in times of commercial depression, the journals of the day will contain arguments to show a general over-production. 366 EXCHANGE. dom accurate in discriminating between the two), so that producers, the more thej produce, find themselves the poorer instead of richer ; and Dr. Chalmers accordingly inculcates on capitalists the practice of a moral restraint in reference to the pursuit of gain, while Sismondi deprecates machinery and the various inventions which increase productive power. They both maintain that accumulation of capital may pro- ceed too fast, not merely for the moral but for the material interest of those who produce and accumulate; and they enjoin the rich to guard against this evil by an ample un- productive consumption. § 2. When these writers speak of the supply of com- modities as outrunning the demand, it is not clear which of the two elements of demand they have in view — the desire to possess, or the means of purchase ; whether their meaning is that there are, in such cases, more consumable products in existence than the public desires to consume, or merely more than it is able to pay for. In this uncertainty, it is necessary to examine both suppositions. It will be here noticed that Mr. Mill uses demand in the sense for which we contended it should be used (Book III, Chap. I, § 3), and not as "quantity demanded." The present discussion of over-production should also be connected by the student with the former reference to it, Book I, Chap. IY, § 2. First, let us suppose that the quantity of commodities produced is not greater than the community would be glad to consume ; is it, in that case, possible that there should be a deficiency of demand for all commodities for want of the means of payment ? Those who think so can not have con- sidered what it is which constitutes the means of payment for commodities. It is simply commodities. Each person's means of paying for the productions of other people con- sists of those which he himself possesses. All sellers are inevitably and ex vi termini buyers. Could we suddenly double the productive powers of the country, we should double the supply of commodities in every market ; but we should, by the same stroke, double the purchasing power. EXCESS OF SUPPLY. 367 Everybody would bring a double demand as well as sup- ply ; everybody would be able to buy twice as much, because every one would have twice as much to offer in exchange. It is probable, indeed, that there would now be a superfluity of certain things. Although the community would willingly double its aggregate consumption, it may already have as much as it desires of some commodities, and it may prefer to do more than double its consumption of others, or to ex- ercise its increased purchasing power on some new thing. If so, the supply will adapt itself accordingly, and the values of things will continue to conform to their cost of produc- tion. At any rate, it is a sheer absurdity that all things should fall in value, and that all producers should, in conse- quence, be insufficiently remunerated. If values remain the 6ame, what becomes of prices is immaterial, since the remu- neration of producers does not depend on how much money, but on how much of consumable articles, they obtain for their goods. Besides, money is a commodity ; and, if all commodities are supposed to be doubled in quantity, we must suppose money to be doubled too, and then prices would no more fall than values would. § 3. A general over-supply, or excess of all commodities above the demand, so far as demand consists in means of payment, is thus shown to be an impossibility. But it may, perhaps, be supposed that it is not the ability to purchase, but the desire to possess, that falls short, and that the gen- eral produce of industry may be greater than the commu- nity desires to consume — the part, at least, of the community which has an equivalent to give. This is much the most plausible form of the doctrine, and does not, like that which we first examined, involve a contradiction. There may easily be a greater quantity of any particular commodity than is desired by those who have the ability to purchase, and it is abstractedly conceivable that this might be the case with all commodities. The error is in not perceiving that, though all who have an equivalent to give might be fully provided with every consumable 368 EXCHANGE. article which they desire, the fact that they go on adding to the production proves that this is not actually the case. As- sume the most favorable hypothesis for the purpose, that of a limited community, every member of which possesses as much of necessaries and of all known luxuries as he desires, and, since it is not conceivable that persons whose wants were completely satisfied would labor and economize to ob- tain what they did not desire, suppose that a foreigner arrives and produces an additional quantity of something of which there was already enough. Here, it will be said, is over-production. True, I reply; over-production of that particular article. The community wanted no more of that, but it wanted something. The old inhabitants, indeed, wanted nothing; but did not the foreigner himself want something \ When he produced the superfluous article, was he laboring without a motive? He has produced — but the wrong thing instead of the right. He wanted, perhaps, food, and has produced watches, with which everybody was sufficiently supplied. The new-comer brought with him into the country a demand for commodities equal to all that he could produce by his industry, and it was his business to see that the supply he brought should be suitable to that de- mand. If he could not produce something capable of ex- citing a new want or desire in the community, for the satis- faction of which some one would grow more food and give it to him in exchange, he had the alternative of growing food for himself, either on fresh land, if there was any unoc- cupied, or as a tenant, or partner, or servant of some former occupier, willing to be partially relieved from labor. He has produced a thing not wanted, instead of what was wanted, and he himself, perhaps, is not the kind of producer who is wanted — but there is no over-production ; production is not excessive, but merely ill-assorted. We saw before that whoever brings additional commodities to the market brings an additional power of purchase ; we now see that he brings also an additional desire to consume, since if he had not that desire he would not have troubled himself to pro- EXCESS OF SUPPLY. 369 duce. Neither of the elements of demand, therefore, can be wanting when there is an additional supply, though it is perfectly possible that the demand may be for one thing, and the supply may, unfortunately, consist of another. It is not sufficiently borne in mind, also, that the whole progress of civilization results in a differentiation of new wants and desires. To take but a single instance, with the growth of the artistic sense the articles of common use change their en- tire character ; and the advances in the arts disclose new com- modities which satisfy the world's desires, and for these new satisfactions people are willing to work and produce in order to attain them. With education also comes a wider horizon and a more refined perception of taste, which creates wants for new things for which the mind before had no desires. A little reflection, therefore, must inevitably lead us to see that no per- son, no community, ever had, or probably ever will have, all its wants satisfied. So far as we know man, it does not seem pos- sible that there will ever be a falling off in demand, because of a satiety of all material satisfactions. § 4. I have already described the state of the markets for commodities which accompanies what is termed a commer- cial crisis. At such times there is really an excess of all commodities above the money demand : in other words, there is an under-supply of money. From the sudden anni- hilation of a great mass of credit, every one dislikes to part with ready money, and many are anxious to procure it at any sacrifice. Almost everybody, therefore, is a seller, and there are scarcely any buyers : so that there may really be, though only while the crisis lasts, an extreme depression of general prices, from what may be indiscriminately called a glut of commodities or a dearth of money. But it is a great error to suppose, with Sismondi, that a commercial crisis is the effect of a general excess of production. It is simply the consequence of an excess of speculative purchases. It is not a gradual advent of low prices, but a sudden recoil from prices extravagantly high : its immediate cause is a contrac- tion of credit, and the remedy is, not a diminution of sup- ply, but the restoration of confidence. It is also evident that this temporary derangement of markets is an evil only 24 370 EXCHANGE. because it is temporary. The fall being solely of money prices, if prices did not rise again no dealer would lose, since the smaller price would be worth as much to him as the larger price was before. In no matter does this phe- nomenon answer to the description which these celebrated economists have given of the evil of over-production. That permanent decline in the circumstances of producers, for want of markets, which those writers contemplate, is a con- ception to which the nature of a commercial crisis gives no support. The other phenomenon from which the notion of a gen- eral excess of wealth and superfluity of accumulation seems to derive countenance is one of a more permanent nature, namely, the fall of profits and interest which naturally takes place with the progress of population and production. The cause of this decline of profit is the increased cost of main- taining labor, which results from an increase of population and of the demand for food, outstripping the advance of agricultural improvement. This important feature in the economical progress of nations will receive full considera- tion and discussion in the succeeding book. 1 It is obvious- ly a totally different thing from a want of market for com- modities, though often confounded with it in the complaints of the producing and trading classes. The true interpreta- tion of the modern or present state of industrial economy is, that there is hardly any amount of business which may not be done, if people will be content to do it on small profits ; and this all active and intelligent persons in business per- fectly well know : but even those who comply with the ne- cessities of their time grumble at what they comply with, and wish that there were less capital, or, as they express it, less competition, in order that there might be greater profits. Low profits, 3 however, are a different thing from deficiency 1 Book IV, Chap. II. s This is practically the argument of a little book, " Excessive Saving a Cause of Commercial Distress " (1884), by Uriel H. Crocker. EXCESS OF SUPPLY. 37 1 of demand, and the production and accumulation which merely reduce profits can not be called excess of supply or of production. What the phenomenon really is, and its effects and necessary limits, will be seen when we treat of that express subject. CHAPTEK XII. OF SOME PECULIAR CASES OF VALUE. § 1. The general laws of value, in all the more impor- tant cases of the interchange of commodities in the same country, have now been investigated. We examined, first, the case of monopoly, in which the value is determined by either a natural or an artificial limitation of quantity, that is, by demand and supply : secondly, the case of free compe- tition, when the article can be produced in indefinite quan- tity at the same cost ; in which case the permanent value is determined by the cost of production, and only the fluctua- tions by supply and demand : thirdly, a mixed case, that of the articles which can be produced in indefinite quantity, but not at the same cost ; in which case the permanent value is determined by the greatest cost which it is necessary to incur in order to obtain the required supply : and, lastly, we have found that money itself is a commodity of the third class ; that its value, in a state of freedom, is governed by the same laws as the values of other commodities of its class; and that prices, therefore, follow the same laws as values. From this it appears that demand and supply govern the fluctuations of values and prices in all cases, and the perma- nent values and prices of all things of which the supply is determined by any agency other than that of free competi- tion : but that, under the regime of competition, things are, on the average, exchanged for each other at such values, and sold at such prices, as afford equal expectation of advantage to all classes of producers ; which can only be when things SOME PECULIAR CASES OF VALUE. 373 exchange for one another in the ratio of their cost of pro- duction. Here, again, is a distinct recognition of the true meaning of cost of production, and its ruling influence within a competing group, which has been seen in its full significance by Mr. Cairnes. It sometimes happens [however] that two different com- modities have what may be termed a joint cost of produc- tion. They are both products of the same operation, or set of operations, and the outlay is incurred for the sake of both together, not part for one and part for the other. The same outlay would have to be incurred for either of the two, if the other were not wanted or used at all. There are not a few instances of commodities thus associated in their production. For example, coke and coal-gas are both produced from the same material, and by the same operation. In a more partial sense, mutton and wool are an example ; beef, hides, and tal- low; calves and dairy produce ; chickens and eggs. Cost of production can have nothing to do with deciding the value of the associated commodities relatively to each other. It only decides their joint value. Cost of production does not determine their prices, but the sum of their prices. A prin- ciple is wanting to apportion the expenses of production be- tween the two. Since cost of production here fails us, we must revert to a law of value anterior to cost of production, and more fundamental, the law of demand and supply. The law is, that the demand for a commodity varies with its value, and that the value adjusts itself so that the demand shall be equal to the supply. This supplies the principle of reparti-— /tion which we are in quest of. Suppose that a certain quantity of gas is produced and sold at a certain price, and that the residuum of coke is offered at a price which, together with that of the gas, re- pays the expenses with the ordinary rate of profit. Sup- pose, too, that, at the price put upon the gas and coke re- spectively, the whole of the gas finds an easy market, with- 374 EXCHANGE. out either surplus or deficiency, but that purchasers can not be found for all the coke corresponding to it. The coke will be offered at a lower price in order to force a market. But this lower price, together with the price of the gas, will not be remunerating ; the manufacture, as a whole, will not pay its expenses with the ordinary profit, and will not, on these terms, continue to be carried on. The gas, therefore, must be sold at a higher price, to make up for the deficiency on the coke. The demand consequently contracting, the pro- duction will be somewhat reduced ; and prices will become stationary when, by the joint effect of the rise of gas and the fall of coke, so much less of the first is sold, and so much more of the second, that there is now a market for all the coke which results from the existing extent of the gas-manu- facture. Or suppose the reverse case ; that more coke is wanted at the present prices than can be supplied by the operations required by the existing demand for gas. Coke, being now in deficiency, will rise in price. The whole operation will yield more than the usual rate of profit, and additional capi- tal will be attracted to the manufacture. The unsatisfied demand for coke will be supplied ; but this can not be done without increasing the supply of gas too ; and, as the existing demand was fully supplied already, an increased quantity can only find a market by lowering the price. Equilibrium will be attained when the demand for each article fits so well with the demand for the other, that the quantity required of each is exactly as much as is generated in producing the quantity required of the other. When, therefore, two or more commodities have a joint cost of production, their natural values relatively to each other are those which will create a demand for each, in the ratio of the quantities in which they are sent forth by the productive process. § 2. Another case of value which merits attention is that of the different kinds of agricultural produce. The case would present nothing peculiar,, if different agricultural prod- SOME PECULIAR CASES OF VALUE. 375 nets were either grown indiscriminately and with equal ad- vantage on the same soils, or wholly on different soils. The difficulty arises from two things : first, that most soils are fitter for one kind of produce than another, without being absolutely unfit for any ; and, secondly, the rotation of crops. For simplicity, we will confine our supposition to two kinds of agricultural produce ; for instance, wheat and oats. If all soils were equally adapted for wheat and for oats, both would be grown indiscriminately on all soils, and their rela- tive cost of production, being the same everywhere, would govern their relative value. If the same labor which grows three quarters of wheat on any given soil would always grow on that soil five quarters of oats, the three and the five quarters would be of the same value. The fact, however, is that both wheat and oats can be grown on almost any soil which is capable of producing either. It is evident that each grain will be cultivated in prefer- ence on the 6oils which are better adapted for it than for the other ; and, if the demand is supplied from these alone, the values of the two grains will have no reference to one another. But when the demand for both is such as to re- quire that each should be grown not only on the soils pecul- iarly fitted for it, but on the medium soils which, without being specifically adapted to either, are about equally suited for both, the cost of production on those medium soils will determine the relative value of the two grains; while the rent of the soils specifically adapted to each will be regu- lated by their productive power, consid- ered with reference to that one [grain] alone to which they are peculiarly appli- cable. Thus far the question presents no difficulty, to any one to whom the general principles of value are familiar. This may be easily shown by a dia- gram, in which A represents the grade of land best adapted for oats ; B, C, D, re- spectively, lands of diminishing productiveness for oats, until 376 EXCHANGE. E is reached, which is, perhaps, equally good for oats or wheat ; a, b, c, d, and E likewise represent the wheat-lands, the best beginning with a. The rent of A, or B, is determined by a comparison with whatever grade of land planted in oats is cul- tivated at the least return, as E, for example. So, if all the wheat-lands are cultivated, land a, or b, is compared with E, but in regard to the capacity of E to produce wheat. It may happen, however, that the demand for one of the two, as for example wheat, may so outstrip the demand for the other, as not only to occupy the soils specially suited for wheat, but to engross entirely those equally suitable to both, and even encroach upon those which are better adapted to oats. To create an inducement for this unequal apportion- ment of the cultivation, wheat must be relatively dearer, and oats cheaper, than according to the cost of their production on the medium land. Their relative value must be in pro- portion to the cost on that quality of land, whatever it may be, on which the comparative demand for the two grains requires that both of them should be grown. If, from the state of the demand, the two cultivations meet on land more favorable to one than to the other, that one will be cheaper and the other dearer, in relation to each other and to things in general, than if the proportional demand were as we at first supposed. As in the diagram just mentioned, if the demand for wheat forces its cultivation downward not only on to land E, suited to either indifferently, but, still farther on, to lands still less adapted for wheat (although good land for oats), wheat may be pushed down one stem of the V and up the other to D, or even to C. Then the value of wheat will be regulated by the cost of production on C, and the rent will be determined by a comparison between the productiveness of a, b, etc. (running downward through E), with C. The price of wheat will be high relatively to oats, which are now cultivated only on lands, A, B, better suited to growing oats, and whose cost of produc- tion on C is much less than on D or E. Here, then, we obtain a fresh illustration, in a somewhat different manner, of the operation of demand, not as an oc- casional disturber of value, but as a permanent regulator of it, conjoined with, or supplementary to, cost of production. CHAPTER XIII. OF INTERNATIONAL TRADE. § 1. Some things it is physically impossible to produce, except in particular circumstances of heat, soil, water, or at- mosphere. But there are many things which, though they could be produced at home without difficulty, and in any quantity, are yet imported from a distance. The explanation which would be popularly given of this would be, that it is cheaper to import than to produce them : and this is the true reason. But this reason itself requires that a reason be given for it. Of two things produced in the same place, if one is cheaper than the other, the reason is that it can be produced with less labor and capital, or, in a word, at less cost. Is this also the reason as between things produced in different places ? Are things never imported but from places where they can be produced with less labor (or less of the other element of cost, time) than in the place to which they are brought? Does the law, that permanent value is propor- tioned to cost of production, hold good between commodi- ties produced in distant places, as it does between those pro- duced in adjacent places ? "We shall find that it does not. A thing may sometimes be sold cheapest, by being produced in some other place than that at which it can be produced with the smallest amount of labor and abstinence. This could not happen between adjacent places. If the north bank of the Thames possessed an advantage over the south bank in the production of shoes, no shoes would be produced on the south side ; the shoemakers would remove themselves and their capitals to the north bank, or would have established themselves there originally ; for, being com- 378 EXCHANGE. petitors in the same market with those on the north side, they could not compensate themselves for their disadvantage at the expense of the consumer ; the amount of it would fall entirely on their profits ; and they would not long content themselves with a smaller profit, when, by simply crossing a river, they could increase it. But between distant places, and especially between different countries, profits may con- tinue different ; because persons do not usually remove them- selves or their capitals to a distant place without a very strong motive. If capital removed to remote parts of the world as readily, and for as small an inducement, as it moves to another quarter of the same town — if people would trans- port their manufactories to America or China whenever they could save a small percentage in their expenses by it — profits would be alike (or equivalent) all over the world, and all things would be produced in the places where the same labor and capital would produce them in greatest quantity and of best quality. A tendency may, even now, be observed to- ward such a state of things : capital is becoming more and more cosmopolitan; there is so much greater similarity of manners and institutions than formerly, and so much less alienation of feeling, among the more civilized countries, that both population and capital now move from one of those countries to another on much less temptation than heretofore. But there are still extraordinary differences, both of wages and of profits, between different parts of the world. Between all distant places, therefore, in some degree, but especially between different countries (whether under the same supreme government or not), there may exist great in- equalities in the return to labor and capital, without causing them to move from one place to the other in such quantity as to level those inequalities. The capital belonging to a coun- try will, to a great extent, remain in the country, even if there be no mode of employing it in which it would not be more productive elsewhere. Yet even a country thus cir- cumstanced might, and probably would, carry on trade with INTERNATIONAL TRADE. 379 other countries. It would export articles of some sort, even to places which could make them with less labor than itself; because those countries, supposing them to have an advan- tage over it in all productions, would have a greater advan- tage in some things than in others, and would find it their interest to import the articles in which their advantage was smallest, that they might employ more of their labor and capital on those in which it was greatest. It might seem that a special theory of value is required for international trade, as compared with domestic trade, for the particular reason that in the former there exists no free movement of labor and capital from one trading country to another. But we shall see that no new theory is necessary. As before pointed out, 1 commodities exchange for each other at their relative costs wherever there is that free competition which insures perfect facility of movement for labor and capi- tal. It has been usually assumed that capital and labor move freely as between different parts of the same country, but not between different countries. This, however, is not con- sistent with the facts. "We saw that there were non-compet- ing industrial groups within the same nation. Mr. Mill here, in a pointed way, suggests this, when he speaks of "distant places." The addition, therefore, made to Mr. Mill's expo- sition by Mr. Cairnes 8 is, that the word "international" (in default of a better term) should be applied to those condi- tions either within a country, or between two countries, which, because of the actual immobility of labor and capital from one occupation to another, furnishes a substantial interference with industrial competition. The obstacles to the free movement of labor and capital which produce the conditions called "inter- national" are: 1. "Geographical distance; 2. Difference in political institutions ; 3. Difference in language, religion, and social customs — in a word, in forms of civilization." These differences exist between Maine and Montana ; or even be- tween two adjoining States, Ohio and Kentucky, one a free and the other an old slave State. Labor and capital have not in the past moved freely even across Mason and Dixon's line. There is, therefore, no treatment of international trade and values separate from the laws of value already laid down con- cerning non-competing groups, since there is also no free com- petition between all the industrial groups within a country. 1 Book III, Chap. II, § 4. 8 " Leading Principles," pp. 302-307. 380 EXCHANGE. § 2. As I have said elsewhere ' after Ricardo (the thinker who has done most toward clearing up this subject), 9 " it is not a difference in the absolute cost of production which determines the interchange, but a difference in the compara- tive cost. It may be to our advantage to procure iron from Sweden in exchange for cottons, even although the mines of England as well as her manufactories should be more produc- tive than those of Sweden ; for if we have an advantage of one half in cottons, and only an advantage of a quarter in iron, and could sell our cottons to Sweden at the price which Sweden must pay for them if she produced them herself, we should obtain our iron with an advantage [over Sweden] of one half, as well as our cottons. "We may often, by trading with foreigners, obtain their commodities at a smaller ex- pense of labor and capital than they cost to the foreigners themselves. The bargain is still advantageous to the for- eigner, because the commodity which he receives in ex- change, though it has cost us less, would have cost him more. This may be illustrated as follows : Articles inter- changed. ENGLAND. SWEDEN. 10 days' labor produces x yds. 12 " " " ycwts. 15 days' labor produces x yds. 15 " '« " ycwts. Here England has the advantage over Sweden in both cot- ton and iron, since she can produce x yards of cotton in ten days' labor to fifteen days in Sweden, and y cwts. of iron in twelve days' labor to fifteen days in Sweden. The ship which takes x yards of cotton to Sweden, and there exchanges it, as may be done, for y cwts. of iron, brings back to England that which cost Sweden fifteen days' labor, while the cotton with 1 " Essays on some Unsettled Questions of Political Economy," Essay I. s I at one time believed Mr. Ricardo to have been the sole author of the doc- trine now universally received by political economists, on the nature and measure of the benefit which a country derives from foreign trade. But Colonel Torrens, by the republication of one of his early writings, " The Economists refuted," has established at least a joint claim with Mr. Ricardo to the origination of the doctrine, and an exclusive one to its earliest publication. — Mill. INTERNATIONAL TRADE. 3 SI which the iron was bought cost England only ten days' labor. So that England also got her iron at an advantage over Sweden of one half of ten days' labor ; and yet England had an abso- lute advantage over Sweden in iron of a less amount (i. e., of one fourth of twelve days' labor). It is to be distinctly under- stood that by difference in comparative cost we mean a differ- ence in the comparative cost of producing two or more articles in the same country, and not the difference of cost of the same article in the different trading countries. In this example, for instance, it is the difference in the comparative costs in Eng- land of both cotton and iron (not the different costs of cotton in England and Sweden) which gives the reason for the exist- ence of the foreign trade. To illustrate the cases in which interchange of commodi- ties will not, and those in which it will, take place between two countries, the supposition may be made that the United States has an advantage over England in the production both of iron and of corn. It may first be supposed that the ad- vantage is of equal amount in both commodities ; the iron and the corn, each of which required 100 days' labor in the United States, requiring each 150 days' labor in England. It would follow that the iron of 150 days' labor in England, if sent to the United States, would be equal to the cloth of 100 days' labor in the United States ; if exchanged for corn, therefore, it would exchage for the corn of only 100 days' labor. But the corn of 100 days' labor in the United States was supposed to be the same quantity with that of 150 days' labor in England. With 150 days' labor in iron, therefore, England would only get as much corn in the United States as she could raise with 150 days' labor at home ; and she would, in importing it, have the cost of carriage besides. In these circumstances no exchange would take place. In this case the comparative costs of the two articles in England and in the United States were supposed to be the same, though the absolute costs were different ; on which supposition we see that there would be no labor saved to either country by confining its industry to one of the two productions and im- porting the other. It is otherwise when the comparative and not merely 382 EXCHANGE. the absolute costs of the two articles are different in the two countries. If, while the iron produced with 100 days' labor in the United States was produced with 150 days' labor in England, the corn which was produced in the United States with 100 days' labor could not be produced in EDgland with less than 200 days' labor, an adequate motive to exchange would immediately arise. With a quantity of iron which England produced with 150 days' labor, she would be able to purchase as much corn in the United States as was there pro- duced with 100 days' labor ; but the quantity which was there produced with 100 days' labor would be as great as the quan- tity produced in England with 200 days' labor. By import- ing corn, therefore, from the United States, and paying for it with iron, England would obtain for 150 days' labor what wonld otherwise cost her 200, being a saving of 50 days' labor on each repetition of the transaction ; and not merely a saving to England, but a saving absolutely ; for it is not ob- tained at the expense of the United States, who, with corn that cost her 100 days' labor, has purchased iron which, if produced at home, would have cost her the same. The United States, therefore, on this supposition, loses nothing ; but also she derives no advantage from the trade, the im- ported iron costing her as much as if it were made at home. To enable the United States to gain anything by the inter- change, something must be abated from the gain of England : the corn produced in the United States by 100 days' labor must be able to purchase from England more iron than the United States could produce by that amount of labor ; more, therefore, than England could produce by 150 days' labor, England thus obtaining the corn which would have cost her 200 days at a cost exceeding 150, though short of 200. England, therefore, no longer gains the whole of the labor which is saved to the two jointly by trading with one another. 1 1 I have in this illustration retained almost the exact words quoted by Mr. Mill from his father's book, James Mill's " Elements of Political Economy," but altered it by changing the trade from Poland to the United States, and by speak- ing of iron instead of cloth. INTERNATIONAL TRADE. 383 The case in which both England and the United States would gain from the trade may be thus briefly shown : Articles inter- changed. UNITED STATES. ENGLAND. Iron 100 days' labor produces x bus. 125 " " " y tons. 200 days' labor produces x bus. 150 " " " y tons. The ship which carries x bushels of corn from the United States to England can there exchange it for at least y tons of iron (costing England 150 days' labor, since x bushels in England would cost 200 days' labor), and bring it home, gaining for the United States the difference between the 100 days' labor in corn, paid for the y tons of iron, and the 125 days which the iron would have cost here if produced at home. In this case the United States has an advantage over England in both corn and iron, but still an international trade will spring up, because the United States will derive a gain owing to the less cost of corn as compared with the cost of iron. Our comparative ad- vantage is in corn. England, also, by sending to the United States y tons of iron, gets in return for it x bushels of corn. To produce the corn herself would have cost her 200 days' la- bor, but she bought that corn by only 150 days' labor spent on iron. England's comparative advantage was in iron. Then both countries would gain. Mr. Bowen ' gives an instance of international trade where one country has the advantage in both of the commodities entering into the exchange : " The inhabitants of Barbadoes, favored by their tropical climate and fertile soil, can raise provisions cheaper than we can in the United States. And yet Barbadoes buys nearly all her provisions from this coun- try. Why is this so? Because, though Barbadoes has the advantage over us in the ability to raise provisions cheaply, she has a still greater advantage over us in her power to pro- duce sugar and molasses. If she has an advantage of one fourth in raising provisions, she has an advantage of one half in regard to products exclusively tropical ; and it is better for her to employ all her labor and capital in that branch of production in which her advantage is greatest. She can thus, by trading with us, obtain our breadstuffs and meat at a smaller expense of labor and capital than they cost ourselves. If, for instance, a barrel of flour costs ten days' labor in the United States and only eight days' labor in Barbadoes, the people of Barbadoes can still profitably buy the flour from this 1 American "Political Economy," p. 481. 384 EXCHANGE. country, if they can pay for it with sugar which cost them only six days' labor ; and the people of this country can profitably sell them the flour, or buy from them the sugar, provided the sugar, if raised in the United States, would cost eleven days' labor. . . . The United States receive sugar, which would have cost them eleven days' labor, by paying for it with flour which costs them but ten days. Barbadoes receives flour, which would have cost her eight days' labor, by paying for it with sugar which costs her but six days. If Barbadoes produced both commodities with greater facility, but greater in precisely the same degree, there would be no motive for interchange." It may be said, however, that in practice no business-man considers the question of " comparative cost " in making ship- ments of goods abroad ; that all he thinks of is whether the price here, for example, is less than it is in London. And yet the very fact that the prices are less here implies that gold is of high value relatively to the given commodity ; while in London, if money is to be sent back in payment, and if prices are high there, that implies that gold is there of less compara- tive value than commodities, and consequently that gold is the cheapest article to send to the United States. The doctrine, then, is as true of gold, or the precious metals, as it is of other commodities. 1 It may be stated in the following language of Mr. Cairnes : " The proximate condition determining interna- tional exchange is the state of comparative prices in the ex- changing countries as regards the commodities which form the subject of the trade. But comparative prices within the limits of each country are determined by two distinct principles— within the range of effective industrial compe- tition, by cost of production ; outside that range, by reciprocal demand." 2 § 3. From this exposition we perceive in what consists the benefit of international exchange, or, in other words, foreign commerce. Setting aside its enabling countries to obtain commodities which they could not themselves produce at all, its advantage consists in a more efficient employment of the productive forces of the world. If two countries which traded together attempted, as far as was physically possible, to produce for themselves what they now import from one another, the labor and capital of the two countries 1 For a fuller discussion of this question see Cairnes, " Leading Principles," p. 319, ff. ! " Leading Principles," p. 323. INTERNATIONAL TRADE. 335 would not be so productive, the two together would not ob- tain from their industry so great a quantity of commodities, as when each employs itself in producing, both for itself and for the other, the things in which its' labor is relatively most efficient. The addition thus made to the produce of the two combined constitutes the advantage of the trade. It is pos- sible that one of the two countries may be altogether inferior to the other in productive capacities, and that its labor and capital could be employed to greatest advantage by being re- moved bodily to the other. The labor and capital which have been sunk in rendering Holland habitable would have produced a much greater return if transported to America or Ireland. The produce of the whole w r orld would be greater, or the labor less, than it is, if everything "were produced where there is the greatest absolute facility for its produc- tion. But nations do not, at least in modern times, emigrate en masse / and, while the labor and capital of a country re- main in the country, they are most beneficially employed in producing, for foreign markets as well as for its own, the things in which it lies under the least disadvantage, if there be none in w r hich it possesses an advantage. The fundamental ground on which all trade, or all exchange of commodities, rests, is division of labor, or separation of em- ployments. Beyond the ordinary gain from division of labor, arising from increased dexterity, there exist gains arising from the development of " the special capacities or resources pos- sessed by particular individuals or localities." International exchanges call out chiefly the special advantages offered by particular localities for the prosecution of particular industries. " The only case, indeed, in which personal aptitudes go for much in the commerce of nations is where the nations con- cerned occupy different grades in the scale of civilization. . . . The most striking example which the world has ever seen of a foreign trade determined by the peculiar personal qualities of those engaged in ministering to it is that which was furnished by the Southern States of the American Union previous to the abolition of slavery. The effect of that institution was to give a very distinct industrial character to the laboring population of those States which unfitted them for all but a very limited number of occupations, but gave them a certain special fitness for these. Almost the entire industry of the country was con- 25 386 EXCHANGE. sequently turned to the production of two or three crude com- modities, in raising which the industry of slaves was found to be effective ; and these were used, through an exchange with foreign countries, as the means of supplying the inhabitants with all other requisites. ... In the main, however, it would seem that this cause [personal aptitudes] does not go for very much in international commerce." ' In brief, then, international trade is but an extension of the principle of division of labor ; and the gains to increased pro- ductiveness, arising from the latter, are exactly the same as those from the former. § 4. According to the doctrine now stated, the only direct advantage of foreign commerce consists in the imports. A country obtains things which it either could not have pro- duced at all, or which it must have produced at a greater expense of capital and labor than the cost of the things which it exports to pay for them. It thus obtains a more ample supply of the commodities it wants, for the same labor and capital ; or the same supply, for less labor and capital, leaving the surplus disposable to produce other things. The vulgar theory disregards this benefit and deems the advantage of commerce to reside in the exports : as if not what a coun- try obtains, but what it parts with, by its foreign trade, was supposed to constitute the gain to it. An extended market for its produce — an abundant consumption for its goods — a vent for its surplus — are the phrases by which it has been customary to designate the uses and recommendations of commerce with foreign countries. This notion is intelligible, when we consider that the authors and leaders of opinion on mercantile questions have always hitherto been the selling class. It is in truth a surviving relic of the Mercantile Theory, according to which, money being the only wealth, selling, or, in other words, exchanging goods for money, was (to countries without mines of their own) the only way of growing rich — and importation of goods, that is to say, parting with money, was so much subtracted from the benefit. 1 Cairnes, " Leading Principles," p. 301. INTERNATIONAL TRADE. 387 The notion that money alone is wealth has been long defunct, bnt it has left many of its progeny behind it. Adam Smith's theory of the benefit of foreign trade was, that it afforded an outlet for the surplus produce of a country, and enabled a portion of the capital of the country to replace it- self with a profit. The expression, surplus produce, seems to imply that a country is under some kind of necessity of producing the corn or cloth which it exports ; so that the portion which it does not itself consume, if not wanted and consumed elsewhere, would either be produced in sheer waste, or, if it were not produced, the corresponding portion of capital would remain idle, and the mass of productions in the country would be diminished by so much. Either of these suppositions would be entirely erroneous. The coun- try produces an exportable article in excess of its own wants from no inherent necessity, but as the cheapest mode of sup- plying itself with other things. If prevented from exporting this surplus, it would cease to produce it, and would no longer import anything, being unable to give an equivalent ; but the labor and capital which had been employed in pro- ducing with a view to exportation would find employment in producing those desirable objects which were previously brought from abroad ; or, if some of them could not be pro- duced, in producing substitutes for them. These articles would, of course, be produced at a greater cost than that of the things with which they had previously been purchased from foreign countries. But the value and price of the articles would rise in proportion; and the capital would just as much be replaced, with the ordinary profit, from the returns, as it was when employed in producing for the foreign market. The only losers (after the temporary in- convenience of the change) would be the consumers of the heretofore imported articles, who would be obliged either to do without them, consuming in lieu of them something which they did not like as well, or to pay a higher price for them than before. If it be said that the capital now employed in foreign 388 EXCHANGE. trade could not find employment in supplying the home market, I might reply that this is the fallacy of general over-production, discussed in a former chapter ; but the thing is in this particular case too evident to require an appeal to any general theory. We not only see that the capital of the merchant would find employment, but we see what employ- ment. There would be employment created, equal to that which would be taken away. Exportation ceasing, importa- tion to an equal value would cease also, and all that part of the income of the country which had been expended in imported commodities would be ready to expend itself on the same things produced at home, or on others instead of them. Commerce is virtually a mode of cheapening pro- duction ; and in all such cases the consumer is the person ultimately benefited ; the dealer, in the end, is sure to get his profit, whether the buyer obtains much or little for his money. JS converso, if for any reason, such as a removal of duties, capital should be withdrawn from the production of articles consumed at home, and imported commodities should entirely take their place, the very importation of the foreign commodi- ties would imply that an increased corresponding production was going on in this country with which to pay for the import- ed goods. The capital thus thrown out of employment in an industry in which we had no comparative advantage (when competition became free) would necessarily be employed in the industries in which we had an advantage, and would supply — and the transferred capital would be the only means of sup- plying — the commodities which would be sent abroad to pay for those, which by the supposition are now imported, but were formerly produced at home. The result is a greater produc- tiveness of industry, and so a greater sum from which both labor and capital may be rewarded. Whenever capital, unrestrained by artificial support, leaves one employment as unprofitable, it means that that employment is naturally, and in itself, less productive than the usual run of other industries in the coun- try, and so less profitable to both labor and capital than the majority of other occupations. § 5. Such, then, is the direct economical advantage of foreign trade. But there are, besides, indirect effects, which must be counted as benefits of a high order. (1) One is, the INTERNATIONAL TRADE. 389 tendency of every extension of the market to improve the processes of production. A country which produces for a larger market than its own can introduce a more extended division of labor, can make greater use of machinery, and is more likely to make inventions and improvements in the processes of production. Whatever causes a greater quantity of anything to be produced in the same place tends to the general increase of the productive powers of the world. 1 There is (2) another consideration, principally applicable to an early stage of industrial advancement. The opening of a foreign trade, by making them acquainted with new ob- jects, or tempting them by the easier acquisition of things which they had not previously thought attainable, sometimes works a sort of industrial revolution in a country whose re- sources were previously undeveloped for want of energy and ambition in the people ; inducing those who were satisfied with scanty comforts and little work to work harder for the gratification of their new tastes, and even to save, and ac- cumulate capital, for the still more complete satisfaction of those tastes at a future time. But (3) the economical advantages of commerce are sur- passed in importance by those of its effects which are in- tellectual and moral. It is hardly possible to overrate the value, in the present low state of human improvement, of placing human beings in contact with persons dissimilar to themselves, and with modes of thought and action unlike those with which they are familiar. Commerce is now, what war once was, the principal source of this contact. Such communication has always been, and is peculiarly in the present age, one of the primary sources of progress. Finally, (4) commerce firsff taught nations to see with good- will the wealth and prosperity of one another. Before, the patriot, unless sufficiently advanced in culture to feel the world his country, wished all countries weak, poor, and ill- governed but his own : he now sees in their wealth and 1 Book I, chap. VI, § 4. 390 EXCHANGE. progress a direct source of wealth and progress to his own country. It is commerce which is rapidly rendering war obsolete, by strengthening and multiplying the personal in- terests which are in natural opposition to it. And it may be said without exaggeration that the great extent and rapid increase of international trade, in being the principal guar- antee of the peace of the world, is the great permanent secu- rity for the uninterrupted progress of the ideas, the institu- tions, and the character of the human race. CHAPTER XIV. OF mTEKNATIONAL VALUES. § 1. The values of commodities produced at the same place, or in places sufficiently adjacent for capital to move freely between them — let us say, for simplicity, of commodi- ties produced in the same country — depend (temporary fluc- tuations apart) upon their cost of production. But the value of a commodity brought from a distant place, especially from a foreign country, does not depend on its cost of production in the place from whence it comes. On what, then, does it depend ? The value of a thing in any place depends on the cost of its acquisition in that place ; which, in the case of an imported article, means the cost of production of the thing which is exported to pay for it. If, then, the United States imports wine from Spain, giving for every pipe of wine a bale of cloth, the exchange value of a pipe of wine in the United States will not depend upon what the production of the wine may have cost in Spain, but upon what the production of the cloth has cost in the United States. Though the wine may have cost in Spain the equivalent of only ten days' labor, yet, if the cloth costs in the United States twenty days' labor, the wine, when brought to the United States, will exchange for the produce of twenty days' American labor, plus the cost of carriage, including the usual profit on the importer's capital during the time it is locked up and withheld from other employ- ment. 1 The value, then, in any country, of a foreign commodity, 1 I have changed the illustration from England to the United States in this example. 392 EXCHANGE. depends on the quantity of home produce which must be given to the foreign country in exchange for it. In other words, the values of foreign commodities depend on the terms of international exchange. What, then, do these de- pend upon % What is it which, in the case supposed, causes a pipe of wine from Spain to be exchanged with the United States for exactly that quantity of cloth ? We have seen that it is not their cost of production. If the cloth and the wine were both made in Spain, they would exchange at their cost of production in Spain ; if they were both made in the United States, they would [possibly] exchange at their cost of production in the United States : but all the cloth being made in the United States, and all the wine in Spain, they are in circumstances to which we have already determined that the law of cost of production is not applicable. We must accordingly, as we have done before in a similar em- barrassment, fall back upon an antecedent law, that of supply and demand ; and in this we shall again find the solution of our difficulty. § 2. It has been previously explained that the conditions called " international " are those, either within a nation, or those existing between two separate nations, which are such as to prevent the free movement of labor and capital from one group of industries to another, or from one locality to another distant one. Even if woolen cloth could be made cheaper in England than in the United States, we know that neither capital nor labor would easily leave the United States for England, al- though it might go from Rhode Island to Massachusetts under similar inducements. If shoes can be made with less advan- tage in Providence than in Lynn, the shoe industry will come to Lynn ; but it does not follow that the English shoe industry would come to Lynn, even if the advantages of the latter were greater than those in England. If there be no obstacle to the free movement of labor and capital between places or occupa- tions, in which some place or occupation can produce at a less cost than another place or occupation, then there will be a migration of the instruments of production. Since there is no free movement of labor and capital between one country and another, then two countries stand in the same relation as that of two " non-competing groups " within the same country, as before explained. When this fact is once fully grasped, the INTERNATIONAL VALUES. 393 subject of international values becomes very simple. It does not differ from the question of those domestic values for which we found ' that the dependence on cost of production would not hold, but that their values were governed by reciprocal de- mand and supply. Attention should be drawn to the real nature of the present inquiry. It is not here a question as to what causes interna- tional trade between two countries : that has been treated in the preceding chapter, and has been found to be a difference in the comparative cost. The question now is one of exchange value, that is, for how much of other commodities a given commodity will exchange. The reasons for the trade are sup- posed to exist ; but we now want to know what the law is which determines the proportions of the exchange. Why does one article exchange for more or less of another ? Not, as we have seen, because one costs more or less to produce than the other. In the trade between the United States and England in iron and corn, formerly referred to (p. 383), it was seen that a 100 days' labor of corn buys from England iron which would have cost the United States 125 days' labor. England sends 150 days' labor of iron and buys from the United States corn which would have cost her 200 days' labor. But what rule fixes the proportions between 100 and 125 for the United States, and between 150 and 200 for England, at which the exchanges will take place? The trade increases the produc- tiveness of both countries, but in what ratio will the two coun- tries share this gain? The answer is, briefly, in the ratio set by reciprocal demand and supply, that is, the relative strength, as compared with each other, of the demands of the two coun- tries respectively for iron and corn. This, however, may be capable of explanation in a simple form. A has spades, and B has oats, to dispose of ; and each wishes to get the article belonging to the other. Will A give one spade for one bushel of oats, or for two ? Will B give two bushels of oats for one spade ? That depends upon how strong a desire A has for oats ; the intensity of his demand may induce him to give two spades for one bushel. But the exchange also depends upon B. If he has no great need for spades, and A has a strong desire for oats, B will get more spades for oats than otherwise, possibly two spades for one bushel of oats ; that is, oats will have a larger exchange value. If, on the other hand, A cares less for oats than B does for spades, then the exchange will re- sult in an increased value of spades relatively to oats. When two commodities exchange against each other, their exchange values will depend entirely upon the relative intensity of the de- 1 Book III, Chap. II, § 4. 394 EXCHANGE. mand on each side for the other commodity. And this simple form of the statement of reciprocal demand and supply is also the law of international values. If instead of spades and oats we substitute iron and corn, and let the trade be between England and the United States, the quantity of corn required to buy a given quantity of iron will depend upon the relative demands of England for corn and of the United States for iron. Something may cut off England's demand for our breadstuffs, and they will then have a less exchange value relatively to iron (if we keep up our demand), and their prices will fall. But if, on the other hand, England has poor harvests, and consequently a great demand for corn, and if our demand for iron is not excessive at the same time, then our breadstuffs will rise in value. And this was precisely what happened from 1877 to 1879. Now, in the above illustration of corn and iron, how can we know whether or not x bushels of corn (the produce of 100 days' labor in the United States) will exchange for exactly y tons of English iron? That, again, will depend upon the reciprocal demands of the two countries for corn and iron respectively. More- over, it will have been already observed that the ratio of ex- change is not capable of being ascertained exactly, since it va- ries with changing conditions, namely, the desires of the people of the two countries, together with their means of purchase. But yet these variations are capable of ascertainment as regards their extreme limits. The reciprocal demand can not carry the exchange value in either country beyond the line set by the cost of production of the article. For instance, an ur- gent need in England for corn (if the United States has a light demand for English iron) can not carry the ratio of exchange to a point such that England will offer so much more than 150 days' labor in iron for x bushels of American corn that it will go beyond 200 days' labor in iron. It will be seen at once, then, if that were the case, that England would produce the corn herself ; and that she would then have no gain whatever from the trade. The ratio of exchange will thus be limited by the reciprocal demand on one side to the cost of production (200 days' labor) of English corn. On the other hand, if the sup- position were reversed, and the United States had a great de- mand for iron, but England had little need for our corn, then we would not offer more than 125 days' labor of corn for y tons of iron, because for that expenditure of labor we could pro- duce the iron ourselves. In the above examples we have considered the case of a trade in corn and iron only. If corn were to typify all our goods wanted by England, and iron all English goods wanted by the United States, the conclusions would be exactly the INTERNATIONAL VALUES. 395 same. The ratios of a myriad of things, each governed by its particular reciprocal demand, exchanging against each other, give a general result by which the goods sent out exchange against the goods brought back at such rates as are fixed by the reciprocal demands acting on all the goods. Goods are pay- ments for goods ; the ratio of exchange depends on reciprocal demand and supply. If we now add more countries to the ex- ample, we simply increase the number of persons (although in different countries) wanting onr goods, as set off against our demands for the goods of this greater number of persons. If France, Germany, and England all want our corn, we must have some demand for the goods of France, Germany, and Eng- land also ; and the same law of reciprocal demand gives the ratio of interchange. That this explanation is consistent with the facts is to be seen when we notice how eagerly the export- ers of United States staples watch the conditions which in- crease or diminish the foreign demand for these commodities, looking at them as the causes which directly affect their ex- change value, or price. When cost of carriage is added, it will increase the price of corn to England and of iron to the United States. But, as every one knows, an increase of price affects the demand ; and, as the demand on each side is affected, a new ratio of exchange will finally be reached consistent with the strength of desires on each side. Who, therefore, will pay the most of the cost of carriage England or the United States ? That will, again, depend on whether England has the greatest relative demand for American goods, as compared with the demand of the United States for English goods. No absolute rule, therefore, can be laid down for the division of the cost, no more than for the division of the ad- vantage ; and it does not follow that, in whatever ratio the one is divided, the other will be divided in the same. It is impossible to say, if the cost of carriage could be annihilated, whether the producing or the importing country would be most benefited. This would depend on the play of interna- tional demand. Cost of carriage has one effect more. But for it, every commodity would (if trade be supposed free) be either regu- larly imported or regularly exported. A country would make nothing for itself which it did not also make for other countries. But in consequence of cost of carriage there are many things, especially bulky articles, which every, or almost 396 EXCHANGE. every, country produces within itself. After exporting the things in which it can employ itself most advantageously, and importing those in which it is under the greatest disad- vantage, there are many lying between, of which the relative cost of production in that and in other countries differs so little that the cost of carriage would absorb more than the whole saving in cost of production which would be obtained by importing one and exporting another. This is the case with numerous commodities of common consumption, in- cluding the coarser qualities of many articles of food and manufacture, of which the finer kinds are the subject of extensive international traffic. § 3. Mr. Mill still further illustrates the operation of the law of reciprocal demand by the case of a trade between England and Germany in cloth and linen, as follows : " Suppose that ten yards of broadcloth cost in England as much labor as fifteen yards of linen, and in Germany as much as twenty." This supposition then being made, it would be the interest of England to import linen from Ger- many, and of Germany to import cloth from England. " When each country produced both commodities for itself, ten yards of cloth exchanged for fifteen yards of linen in England, and for twenty in Germany. They will now ex- change for the same number of yards of linen in both. For what number ? If for fifteen yards, England will be just as she was, and Germany will gain all. If for twenty yards, Germany will be as before, and England will derive the whole of the benefit. If for any number intermediate be- tween fifteen and twenty, the advantage will be shared be- tween the two countries. If, for example, ten yards of cloth exchange for eighteen of linen, England will gain an advan- tage of three yards on every fifteen, Germany will save two out of every twenty. The problem is, what are the causes which determine the proportion in which the cloth of Eng- land and the linen of Germany will exchange for each other % Let us suppose, then, that by the effect of what Adam Smith INTERNATIONAL VALUES. 397 calls the higgling of the market, ten yards of cloth, in both countries, exchange for seventeen yards of linen. " The demand for a commodity, that is, the quantity of it which can find a purchaser, varies, as we have before re- marked, according to the price. In Germany the price of ten yards of cloth is now seventeen yards of linen, or what- ever quantity of money is equivalent in Germany to seven- teen yards of linen. Now, that being the price, there is some particular number of yards of cloth, which will be in demand, or will find purchasers, at that price. There is some given quantity of cloth, more than which could not be disposed of at that price ; less than which, at that price, would not fully satisfy the demand. Let us suppose this quantity to be 1,000 times ten yards. " Let us now turn our attention to England. There the price of seventeen yards of linen is ten yards of cloth, or whatever quantity of money is equivalent in England to ten yards of cloth. There is some particular number of yards of linen which, at that price, will exactly satisfy the demand, and no more. Let us suppose that this number is 1,000 times seventeen yards. " As seventeen yards of linen are to ten yards of cloth, so are 1,000 times seventeen yards to 1,000 times ten yards. At the existing exchange value, the linen which England requires will exactly pay for the quantity of cloth which, on the same terms of interchange, Germany requires. The de- mand on each side is precisely sufficient to carry off the sup- ply on the other. The conditions required by the principle of demand and supply are fulfilled, and the two commodities will continue to be interchanged, as we supposed them to be, in the ratio of seventeen yards of linen for ten yards of cloth. " But our suppositions might have been different. Sup- pose that, at the assumed rate of interchange, England had been disposed to consume no greater quantity of linen than 800 times seventeen yards ; it is evident that, at the rate sup- posed, this would not have sufficed to pay for the 1,000 times 398 EXCHANGE. ten yards of cloth which we have supposed Germany to re- quire at the assumed value. Germany would be able to pro- cure no more than 800 times ten yards at that price. To procure the remaining 200, which she would have no means of doing but by bidding higher for them, she would offer more than seventeen yards of linen in exchange for ten yards of cloth ; let us suppose her to offer eighteen. At this price? perhaps, England would be inclined to purchase a greater quantity of linen. She would consume, possibly, at that price, 900 times eighteen yards. On the other hand, cloth having risen in price, the demand of Germany for it would probably have diminished. If, instead of 1,000 times ten yards, she is now contented with 900 times ten yards, these will exactly pay for the 900 times eighteen yards of linen which England is willing to take at the altered price ; the demand on each side will again exactly suffice to take off the corresponding supply ; and ten yards for eighteen will be the rate at which, in both countries, cloth will exchange for linen. " The converse of all this would have happened if, in- stead of 800 times seventeen yards, we had supposed that England, at the rate of ten for seventeen, would have taken 1,200 times seventeen yards of linen. In this case, it is Eng- land whose demand is not fully supplied ; it is England who, by bidding for more linen, will alter the rate of interchange to her own disadvantage ; and ten yards of cloth will fall, in both countries, below the value of seventeen yards of linen. By this fall of cloth, or, what is the same thing, this rise of linen, the demand of Germany for cloth will increase, and the demand of England for linen will diminish, till the rate of interchange has so adjusted itself that the cloth and the linen will exactly pay for one another; and, when once this point is attained, values will remain without further alteration. § 4. " It may be considered, therefore, as established, that when two countries trade together in two commodities, the exchange value of these commodities relatively to each other will adjust itself to the inclinations and circumstances of the consumers on both sides, in such manner that the quantities INTERNATIONAL VALUES. 39^ CHART XIII and exported from (specie values.) +* \ \ cents, bills can not fall below about $4.83. When exchange is at that price, it will be 1 The examples in this and the next section have been altered so as to apply to the United States. THE FOREIGN EXCHANGES. 4^5 found that gold is coming to the United States from England. This price is the " shipping-point " for imports of gold. This, of course, applies to sight-bills only. Formerly, we computed exchange on a scale of percentages, the real par being about 109. This was given up after the war. "When bills on foreign countries are at a premium, it is customary to say that the exchanges are against the country, or unfavorable to it. In order to understand these phrases, we must take notice of what " the exchange," in the language of merchants, really means. It means the power which the money of the country has of purchasing the money of other countries. Supposing $4.86 to be the exact par of exchange, then when it requires more than $1,000 to buy a bill of £205, $1,000 of American money are worth less than their real equivalent of English money : and this is called an exchange unfavorable to the United States. The only persons in the United States, however, to whom it is really unfavorable are those who have money to pay in England, for they come into the bill market as buyers, and have to pay a premium ; but ' to those who have money to receive in England the same state of things is favorable ; for they come as sellers and re- ceive the premium. The premium, however, indicates that a balance is due by the United States, which must be event- ually liquidated in the precious metals ; and since, according to the old theory, the benefit of a trade consisted in bringing money into the country, this prejudice introduced the prac- tice of calling the exchange favorable when it indicated a balance to receive, and unfavorable when it indicated one to pay ; and the phrases in turn tended to maintain the prejudice. § 2. It might be supposed at first sight that when the exchange is unfavorable, or, in other words, when bills are at a premium, the premium must always amount to a full equivalent for the cost of transmitting money. But a small excess of imports above exports, or any other small amount of debt to be paid to foreign countries, does not usually affect the exchanges to the full extent of the cost and risk of transporting bullion. The length of credit allowed generally permits, on the part of some of the debtors, a postponement 416 EXCHANGE. of payment, and in the mean time the balance may turn the other way, and restore the equality of debts and credits with- out any actual transmission of the metals. And this is the more likely to happen, as there is a self-adjusting power in the variations of the exchange itself. Bills are at a premium because a greater money value has been imported than ex- ported. But the premium is itself an extra profit to those who export. Besides the price they obtain for their goods, they draw for the amount and gain the premium. It is, on the other hand, a diminution of profit to those who import. Besides the price of the goods, they have to pay a premium for remittance. So that what is called an unfavorable ex- change is an encouragement to export, and a discouragement to import. And if the balance due is of small amount, and is the consequence of some merely casual disturbance in the ordinary course of trade, it is soon liquidated in commodi- ties, and the account adjusted by means of bills, without the transmission of any bullion. ]STot so, however, when the excess of imports above exports, which has made the ex- change unfavorable, arises from a permanent cause. In that case, what disturbed the equilibrium must have been the state of prices, and it can only be restored by acting on prices. It is impossible that prices should be such as to in- vite to an excess of imports, and yet that the exports should be kept permanently up to the imports by the extra profit on exportation derived from the premium on bills ; for, if the exports were kept np to the imports, bills would not be at a premium, and the extra profit would not exist. It is through the prices of commodities that the correction must be admin- istered. Disturbances, therefore, of the equilibrium of imports and exports, and consequent disturbances of the exchange, may be considered as of two classes : the one casual or acci- dental, which, if not on too large a scale, correct themselves through the premium on bills, without any transmission of the precious metals ; the other arising from the general state of prices, which can not be corrected without the subtraction THE FOREIGN EXCHANGES. 417 of actual money from the circulation of one of the countries, or an annihilation of credit equivalent to it. It remains to observe that the exchanges do not depend on the balance of debts and credits with each country sepa- rately, but with all countries taken together. The United States may owe a balance of payments to England ; but it does not follow that the exchange with England will be against the United States, and that bills on England will be at a premium ; because a balance may be due to the United States from Holland or Hamburg, and she may pay her debts to England with bills on those places ; which is technically called arbitration of exchange. There is some little addi- tional expense, partly commission and partly loss of interest in settling debts in this circuitous manner, and to the extent of that small difference the exchange with one country may vary apart from that with others. A common use of bills of exchange is that by which, when three countries are concerned, two of them may strike a bal- ance through the third, if both coun- tries have dealings with that third Hong-Kong. country. New York merchants may buy of China, but China may not be buying of New York, although both may have dealings with London. London. A, we will suppose, is a buyer of £1,000 worth of tea from F,in Hong- Kong ; B is an exporter of wheat (£1,000) to C in London ; D has sent £1,000 worth of cotton goods to E in Hong-Kong. A can now pay F through London without the trans- mission of coin. A buys B's claim on C for £1,000, and sends it to F. E wishes to pay D in London for the cotton goods he bought of him ; therefore, he buys from F for £1,000 the claim he now holds (i. e., a bill of exchange on London) against C for £1,000. E sends it to D, and, when D collects it from C, the whole circle of exchanges is completed without the transmission of the precious metals. 21 CHAPTER XYII. OF THE DISTRIBUTION OF THE PRECIOUS METALS THROUGH THE COMMERCIAL "WORLD. § 1. Having now examined the mechanism by which the commercial transactions between nations are actually conduct- ed, we have next to inquire whether this mode of conducting them makes any difference in the conclusions respecting in- ternational values, which we previously arrived at on the hypothesis of barter. The nearest analogy would lead us to presume the nega- tive. We did not find that the intervention of money and its substitutes made any difference in the law of value as ap- plied to adjacent places. Things which would have been equal in value if the mode of exchange had been by barter are worth equal sums of money. The introduction of money is a mere addition of one more commodity, of which the value is regulated by the same laws as that of all other commodities. We shall not be surprised, therefore, if we find that interna- tional values also are determined by the same causes under a money and bill system as they would be under a system of barter, and that money has little to do in the matter, except to furnish a convenient mode of comparing values. All interchange is, in substance and effect, barter ; who- ever sells commodities for money, and with that money buys other goods, really buys those goods with his own commodi- ties. And so of nations : their trade is a mere exchange of exports for imports ; and, whether money is employed or not, things are only in their permanent state when the exports and imports exactly pay for each other. When this is the THE DISTRIBUTION OF THE PRECIOUS METALS. 419 case, equal sums of money are due from each country to the other, the debts are settled by bills, and there is no balance to be paid in the precious metals. The trade is in a state like that which is called in mechanics a condition of stable equilibrium. But the process by which things are brought back to this state when they happen to deviate from it is, at least out- wardly, not the same in a barter system and in a money sys- tem. Under the first, the country which wants more im- ports than its exports will pay for must offer its exports at a cheaper rate, as the sole means of creating a demand for them sufficient to re-establish the equilibrium. When money is used, the country seems to do a thing totally different. She takes the additional imports at the same price as before, and, as she exports no equivalent, the balance of payments turns against her; the exchange becomes unfavorable, and the difference has to be paid in money. This is, in appear- ance, a very distinct operation from the former. Let us see if it differs in its essence, or only in its mechanism. Let the country which has the balance to pay be the United States, 1 and the country which receives it, England. By this transmission of the precious metals, the quantity of the currency is diminished in the United States, and increased in England. This I am at liberty to assume. We are now supposing that there is an excess of imports over exports, arising from the fact that the equation of international de- mand is not yet established : that there is at the ordinary prices a permanent demand in the United States for more English goods than the American goods required in England at the ordinary prices will pay^ for. When this is the case, if a change were not made in the prices, there would be a perpetually renewed balance to be paid in money. The im- ports require to be permanently diminished, or the exports to be increased, which can only be accomplished through 1 I have changed the names of the countries in the illustrations contained in this chapter, but have not further altered the language beyond the occasional change of a pronoun. 420 EXCHANGE. prices ; and hence, even if the balances are at first paid from hoards, or by the exportation of bullion, they will reach the circulation at last, for, until they do, nothing can stop the drain. "When, therefore, the state of prices is such that the equa- tion of international demand can not establish itself, the country requiring more imports than can be paid for by the exports, it is a sign that the country has more of the precious metals, or their substitutes, in circulation, than can perma- nently circulate, and must necessarily part with some of them before the balance can be restored. The currency is accord- ingly contracted : prices fall, and, among the rest, the prices of exportable articles; for which, accordingly, there arises, in foreign countries, a greater demand : while imported com- modities have possibly risen in price, from the influx of money into foreign countries, and at all events have not par- ticipated in the general fall. But, until the increased cheap- ness of American goods induces foreign countries to take a greater pecuniary value, or until the increased dearness (posi- tive or comparative) of foreign goods makes the United States take a less pecuniary value, the exports of the United States will be no nearer to paying for the imports than be- fore, and the stream of the precious metals which had begun to flow out of the United States will still flow on. This efflux will continue until the fall of prices in the United States brings within reach of the foreign market some com- modity which the United States did not previously send thither ; or, until the reduced price of the things which she did send has forced a demand abroad for a sufficient quan- tity to pay for the imports, aided perhaps by a reduction of the American demand for foreign goods, through their en- hanced price, either positive or comparative. Now, this is the very process which took place on our original supposition of barter. Not only, therefore, does the trade between nations tend to the same equilibrium between exports and imports, whether money is employed or not, but the means by which this equilibrium is established are essen- THE DISTRIBUTION OF THE PRECIOUS METALS. 421 tially the same. The country whose exports are not sufficient to pay for her imports offers them on cheaper terms, until she succeeds in forcing the necessary demand: in other words, the equation of international demand, under a money system as well as under a barter system, is the law of inter- national trade. Every country exports and imports the very same things, and in the very same quantity, under the one system as under the other. In a barter system, the trade gravitates to the point at which the sum of the imports ex- actly exchanges for the sum of the exports : in a money sys- tem, it gravitates to the point at which the sum of the im- ports and the sum of the exports exchange for the same quantity of money. And, since things which are equal to the same thing are equal to one another, the exports and imports which are equal in money price would, if money were not used, precisely exchange for one another. 1 1 The subjoined extract from the separate essay [" Some Unsettled Ques- tions of Political Economy "] previously referred to will give some assistance in following the course of the phenomena. It is adapted to the imaginary case used for illustration throughout that essay, the case of a trade between England and Germany in cloth and linen. " We may, at first, make whatever supposition we will with respect to the value of money. Let us suppose, therefore, that, before the opening of the trade, the price of cloth is the same in both countries, namely, six shillings per yard. As ten yards of cloth were supposed to exchange in England for fifteen yards of linen, in Germany for twenty, we must suppose that linen is sold in England at four shillings per yard, in Germany at three. Cost of carriage and importer's profit are left, as before, out of consideration. " In this state of prices, cloth, it is evident, can not yet be exported from England into Germany ; but linen can be imported from Germany into England. It will be so ; and, in the first instance, the linen will be paid for in money. " The efflux of money from England and its influx into Germany will raise money prices in the latter country, and lower them in the former. Linen will rise in Germany above three shillings per yard, and cloth above six shillings. Linen in England, being imported from Germany, will (since cost of carriage is not reckoned) sink to the same price as in that country, while cloth will fall be- low six shillings. As soon as the price of cloth is lower in England than in Germany, it will begin to be exported, and the price of cloth in Germany will fall to what it is in England. As long as the cloth exported does not suffice to pay for the linen imported, money will continue to flow from England into Ger- many, and prices generally will continue to fall in England and rise in Germany. 422 EXCHANGE. § 2. Let us proceed to [examine] to what extent the bene- fit of an improvement in the production of an exportable article is participated in by the countries importing it. The improvement may either consist in the cheapening of some article which was already a staple production of the country, or in the establishment of some new branch of in- dustry, or of some process rendering an article exportable which had not till then been exported at all. It will be convenient to begin with the case of a new export, as being somewhat the simpler of the two. By the fall, however, of cloth in England, cloth will fall in Germany also, and the demand for it will increase. By the rise of linen in Germany, linen must rise in England also, and the demand for it will diminish. As cloth fell in price and linen rose, there would he some particular price of both articles at which the cloth exported and the linen imported would exactly pay for each other. At this point prices would remain, because money would then cease to move out of England into Germany. What this point might be would entirely depend upon the circumstances and inclinations of the purchasers on both sides. If the fall of cloth did not much increase the demand for it in Germany, and the rise of linen did not diminish very rapidly the demand for it in England, much money must pass before the equilibrium is restored ; cloth would fall very much, and linen would rise, until England, perhaps, had to pay nearly as much for it as when she produced it for herself. But, if, on the contrary, the fall of cloth caused a very rapid increase of the demand for it in Germany, and the rise of linen in Germany reduced very rapidly the demand in England from what it was under the influence of the first cheapness produced by the opening of the trade, the cloth would very soon suffice to pay for the linen, little money would pass between the two countries, and England would derive a large portion of the benefit of the trade. We have thus arrived at precisely the same conclusion, in supposing the employment of money, which we found to hold under the supposi- tion of barter. " In what shape the benefit accrues to the two nations from the trade is clear enough. Germany, before the commencement of the trade, paid six shillings per yard for broadcloth ; she now obtains it at a low«r price. This, however, is not the whole of her advantage. As the money-prices of all her other commodi- ties have risen, the money-incomes of all her producers have increased. This is no advantage to them in buying from each other, because the price of what they buy has risen in the same ratio with their means of paying for it : but it is an advantage to them in buying anything which has not risen, and, still more, any- thing which has fallen. They, therefore, benefit as consumers of cloth, not merely to the extent to which cloth has fallen, but also to the extent to which other prices have risen. Suppose that this is one tenth. The same proportion of their money-incomes as before will suffice to supply their other wants ; and THE DISTRIBUTION OF THE PRECIOUS METALS. 423 The first effect is that the article falls in price, and a demand arises for it abroad. This new exportation disturbs the balance, turns the exchanges, money flows into the coun- try (which we 6hall suppose to be the United States), and continues to flow until prices rise. This higher range of prices will somewhat check the demand in foreign countries for the new article of export ; and will diminish the demand which existed abroad for the other things which the United States was in the habit of exporting. The exports will thus be diminished ; while at the same time the American public, the remainder, being increased one tenth in amount, will enable them to pur- chase one tenth more cloth than before, even though cloth had not fallen : but it has fallen ; so that they are doubly gainers. They purchase the same quan- tity with less money, and have more to expend upon their other wants. " In England, on the contrary, general money-prices have fallen. Linen, however, has fallen more than the rest, having been lowered in price by importa- tion from a country where it was cheaper ; whereas the others have fallen only from the consequent efflux of money. Notwithstanding, therefore, the general fall of money-prices, the English producers will be exactly as they were in all other respects, while they will gain as purchasers of linen. "The greater the efflux of money required to restore the equilibrium, the greater will be the gain of Germany, both by the fall of cloth and by the rise of her general prices. The less the efflux of money requisite, the greater will be the gain of England; because the price of linen will continue lower, and her general prices will not be reduced so much. It must not, however, be imagined that high money-prices are a good, and low money-prices an evil, in themselves. But, the higher the general money-prices in any country, the greater will be that country's means of purchasing those commodities, which, being imported from abroad, are independent of the causes which keep prices high at home." In practice, the cloth and the linen would not, as here supposed, be at the same price in England and in Germany : each would be dearer in money-price in the country which imported than in that which produced it, by the amount of the cost of carriage, together with the ordinary profit on the importer's capital for the average length of time which elapsed before the commodity could be dis- posed of. But it docs not follow that each country pays the cost of carriage of the commodity it imports ; for the addition of this item to the price may operate as a greater check to demand on one side than on the other ; and the equation of international demand, and consequent equilibrium of payments, may not be maintained. Money would then flow out of one country into the other, until, in the manner already illustrated, the equilibrium was restored : and, when this was effected, one country would be paying more than its own cost of carriage, and the other less. — Mill. 424 EXCHANGE. having more money, will have a greater power of purchasing foreign commodities. If they make use of this increased power of purchase, there will be an increase of imports ; and by this, and the check to exportation, the equilibrium of imports and exports will be restored. The result to for- eign countries will be, that they have to pay dearer than be- fore for their other imports, and obtain the new commodity cheaper than before, but not so much cheaper as the United States herself does. I say this, being well aware that the article would be actually at the very same price (cost of car- riage excepted) in the United States and in other countries. The cheapness, however, of the article is not measured solely by the money-price, but by that price compared with the money-incomes of the consumers. The price is the same to the American and to the foreign consumers ; but the former pay that price from money-incomes which have been in- creased by the new distribution of the precious metals ; while the latter have had their money-incomes probably di- minished by the same cause. The trade, therefore, has not imparted to the foreign consumer the whole, but only a por- tion, of the benefit which the American consumer has de- rived from the improvement ; while the United States has also benefited in the prices of foreign commodities. Thus, then, any industrial improvement which leads to the open- ing of a new branch of export trade benefits a country not only by the cheapness of the article in which the improve- ment has taken place, but by a general cheapening of all im- ported products. Let us now change the hypothesis, and suppose that the improvement, instead of creating a new export from the United States, cheapens an existing one. Let the commodity in which there is an improvement be [cotton] cloth. The first effect of the improvement is that its price falls, and there is an increased demand for it in the foreign market. But this demand is of uncertain amount. Suppose the for- eign consumers to increase their purchases in the exact ratio of the cheapness, or, in other words, to lay out in cloth the THE DISTRIBUTION OF THE PRECIOUS METALS. 425 same sum of money as before ; the same aggregate payment as before will be due from foreign countries to the United States ; the equilibrium of exports and imports will remain undisturbed, and foreigners will obtain the full advantage of the increased cheapness of cloth. But if the foreign demand for cloth is of such a character as to increase in a greater ratio than the cheapness, a larger sum than formerly will be due to the United States for cloth, and when paid will raise American prices, the price of cloth included ; this rise, how- ever, will affect only the foreign purchaser, American in- comes being raised in a corresponding proportion ; and the foreign consumer will thus derive a less advantage than the United States from the improvement. If, on the contrary, the cheapening of cloth does not extend the foreign demand for it in a proportional degree, a less sum of debts than be- fore will be due to the United States for cloth, while there will be the usual sum of debts due from the United States to foreign countries ; the balance of trade will turn against the United States, money will be exported, prices (that of cloth included) will fall, and cloth will eventually be cheap- ened to the foreign purchaser in a still greater ratio than the improvement has cheapened it to the United States. These are the very conclusions which [would be] deduced on the hypothesis of barter. 1 The result of the preceding discussion can not be better summed up than in the words of Eicardo.' " Gold and sil- ver having been chosen for the general medium of circula- tion, they are, by the competition of commerce, distributed in such proportions among the different countries of the world as to accommodate themselves to the natural traffic which would take place if no such metals existed, and the trade between countries were purely a trade of barter." Of this principle, so fertile in consequences, previous to which the theory of foreign trade was an unintelligible chaos, Mr. 1 See Book III, Chap. XVIII, § 5, of Mill's original work. * " Principles of Political Economy and Taxation," third edition, p. 143. 426 EXCHANGE. Ricardo, though he did not pursue it into its ramifications, was the real originator. On the principles of trade which we have before explained, the same rule will apply to the distribution of money in differ- ent parts of the same country, especially of a large country with various kinds of production, like the United States. The medium of exchange will, by the competition of commerce, be distributed in such proportions among the different parts of the United States, by natural laws, as to accommodate itself to the number of transactions which would take place if no such me- dium existed. For this reason, we find more money in the so- called great financial centers, because there are more exchanges of goods there. In sparsely settled parts of the West there will be less money precisely because there are fewer transac- tions than in the older and more settled districts. So that there could be no worse folly than the following legislation of Con- gress to distribute the national-bank circulation : " That $150,- 000,000 of the entire amount of circulating notes authorized to be issued shall be apportioned to associations in the States, in the District of Columbia, and in the Territories, according to representative population" (act of March 3, 1865). § 3. It is now necessary to inquire in what manner this law of the distribution of the precious metals by means of the exchanges affects the exchange value of money itself ; and how it tallies with the law by which we found that the value of money is regulated when imported as a mere article of merchandise. The causes which bring money into or carry it out of a country (1) through the exchanges, to restore the equilibrium of trade, and which thereby raise its value in some countries and lower it in others, are the very same causes on which the local value of money would depend, if it were never im- ported except (2) as a merchandise, and never except directly from the mines. When the value of money in a country is permanently lowered (1) [as a medium of exchange] by an influx of it through the balance of trade, the cause, if it is not diminished cost of production, must be one of those causes which compel a new adjustment, more favorable to the country, of the equation of international demand — namely, either an increased demand abroad for her commodities, or THE DISTRIBUTION OF THE PRECIOUS METALS. 427 a diminished demand on her part for those of foreign coun- tries. Now, an increased foreign demand for the commodi- ties of a country, or a diminished demand in the country for imported commodities, are the very causes which, on the general principles of trade, enable a country to purchase all imports, and consequently (2) the precious metals, at a lower value. There is, therefore, no contradiction, but the most perfect accordance, in the results of the two different modes [ (1) as a medium of exchange ; and (2) as merchandise] in which the precious metals may be obtained. When money [as a medium of exchange] flows from country to country in consequence of changes in the international demand for commodities, and by so doing alters its own local value, it merely realizes, by a more rapid process, the effect which would otherwise take place more slowly by an alteration in the relative breadth of the streams by which the precious metals [as merchandise] flow into different regions of the earth from the mining countries. As, therefore, we before saw that the use of money as a medium of exchange does not in the least alter the law on which the values of other things, either in the same country or internationally, depend, so neither does it alter the law of the value of the precious metals itself ; and there is in the whole doctrine of inter- national values, as now laid down, a unity and harmony which are a strong collateral presumption of truth. § 4. Before closing this discussion, it is fitting to point out in what manner and degree the preceding conclusions are affected by the existence of international payments not origi- nating in commerce, and for which no equivalent in either money or commodities is expected or received — such as a tribute, or remittances, or interest to foreign creditors, or a government expenditure abroad. To begin with the case of barter. The supposed annual remittances being made in commodities, and being exports for which there is to be no return, it is no longer requisite that the imports and exports should pay for one another ; on the contrary, there must be an annual excess of exports over 428 EXCHANGE. imports, equal to the value of the remittance. If, before the country became liable to the annual payment, foreign commerce was in its natural state of equilibrium, it will now be necessary, for the purpose of effecting the remittances, that foreign countries should be induced to take a greater quantity of exports than before, which can only be done by offering those exports on cheaper terms, or, in other words, by paying dearer for foreign, commodities. The international values will so adjust themselves that, either by greater ex- ports or smaller imports, or both, the requisite excess on the side of exports will be brought about, and this excess will become the permanent state. The result is, that a country which makes regular payments to foreign countries, besides losing what it pays, loses also something more, by the less advantageous terms on which it is forced to exchange its productions for foreign commodities. The same results follow on the supposition of money. Commerce being supposed to be in a state of equilibrium when the obligatory remittances begin, the first remittance is necessarily made in money. This lowers prices in the remitting country, and raises them in the receiving. The natural effect is, that more commodities are exported than before, and fewer imported, and that, on the score of com- merce alone, a balance of money will be constantly due from the receiving to the paying country. "When the debt thus annually due to the tributary country becomes equal to the annual tribute or other regular payment due from it, no fur- ther transmission of money takes place ; the equilibrium of exports and imports will no longer exist, but that of pay- ments will ; the exchange will be at par, the two debts will be set off against one another, and the tribute or remittance will be virtually paid in goods. The result to the interests of the two countries will be as already pointed out — the paying country will give a higher price for all that it buys from the receiving country, while the latter, besides receiving the tribute, obtains the exportable produce of the tributary country at a lower price. THE DISTRIBUTION OF THE PRECIOUS METALS. 429 It has been seen, as in Chart No. XIII, that, considering the exports and imports merely as merchandise, there is, in fact, no actual equilibrium at any given time in accordance with the equation of International Demand. Another element, the " financial account " between the United States and foreign countries, must be considered before we can know all the factors necessary to bring about the equation. If we had been bor- rowing largely of England, Holland, and Germany, we should owe a regular annual sum as interest, and our exports must, as a rule, be exactly that much more (under right and normal conditions) than the imports. Or, take another case, if capital is borrowed in Europe for railways in the United States, this capital generally comes over in the form of imports of various kinds ; but, if our exports are not sufficient at once to balance the increased imports, we go in debt for a time — or, in other words, in order to establish the balance, we send United States securities abroad instead of actual exports. This shipment of securities is not seen and recorded as among the exports ; and so we find a period, like that during and after the war, from 1862 to 1873, of a vast excess of imports. Since 1873 the country has been practically paying the indebtedness incurred in the former period ; and there has been a vast excess of ex- ports over imports, and an apparent discrepancy in the equi- librium. But our government bonds and other securities have been coming back to us, producing a return current to balance the excessive exports. 1 In brief, the use of securities and vari- ous forms of indebtedness permits the period of actual payment to be deferred, so that an excess of imports at one time may be offset by an excess of exports at another, and generally a later, time. Moreover, the large expenses of people traveling in Europe will require us to remit abroad in the form of exports more than would ordinarily balance our imports by the amount spent by the travelers. The financial operations, therefore, between the United States and foreign countries, must be well considered in striking the equation between our exports and imports. As formulated by Mr. Cairnes, 3 the Equation of International Demand should be stated more broadly, as fol- lows : " The state of international demand which results in commercial equilibrium is realized when the reciprocal demand of trading countries produces such a relation of exports and imports among them as enables each country by means of her exports to discharge all her foreign liabilities.'''' If we were a great lending instead of a great borrowing country, we should have, as a rule, a permanent excess of imports. 1 For an exceedingly good study on the conditions of our foreign trade down to 1873, and a prophecy of the panic of 1873, see Cairnes, " Leading Principles," pp. 364-374. * " Leading Principles," p. 357. CHAPTEE XYIII. INFLUENCE OF THE CURRENCY ON THE EXCHANGES AND ON FOREIGN TRADE. § 1. In our inquiry into the laws of international trade, we commenced with the principles which determine inter- national exchanges and international values on the hypothe- sis of barter. We next showed that the introduction of money, as a medium of exchange, makes no difference in the laws of exchanges and of values between country and country, no more than between individual and individual: since the precious metals, under the influence of those same laws, distribute themselves in such proportions among the different countries of the world as to allow the very same exchanges to go on, and at the same values, as would be the case under a system of barter. "We lastly considered how the value of money itself is affected by those alter- ations in the state of trade which arise from alterations either in the demand and supply of commodities or in their cost of production. It remains to consider the alterations in the state of trade which originate not in commodities but in money. Gold and silver may vary like other things, though they are not so likely to vary as other things in their cost of pro- duction. The demand for them in foreign countries may also vary. It may increase by augmented employment of the metals for purposes of art and ornament, or because the increase of production and of transactions has created a greater amount of business to be done by the circulating medium. It may diminish, for the opposite reasons; or, INFLUENCE OF THE CURRENCY ON THE EXCHANGES. 43 1 from the extension of the economizing expedients by which the use of metallic money is partially dispensed with. These changes act upon the trade between other countries and the mining countries, and upon the value of the pre- cious metals, according to the general laws of the value of imported commodities: which have been set forth in the previous chapters with sufficient fullness. What I propose to examine in the present chapter is not those circumstances affecting money which alter the perma- nent conditions of its value, but the effects produced on in- ternational trade by casual or temporary variations in the value of money, which have no connection with any causes affecting its permanent value. § 2. Let us suppose in any country a circulating medium purely metallic, and a sudden casual increase made to it ; for example, by bringing into circulation hoards of treasure, which had been concealed in a previous period of foreign in- vasion or internal disorder. The natural effect would be a rise of prices. This would check exports and encourage im- ports ; the imports would exceed the exports, the exchanges would become unfavorable, and a newly acquired stock of money would diffuse itself over all countries with which the supposed country carried on trade, and from them, progres- sively, through all parts of the commercial world. The money which thus overflowed would spread itself to an equal depth over all commercial countries. For it would go on flowing until the exports and imports again balanced one another ; and this (as no change is supposed in the perma- nent circumstances of international demand) could only be when the money had diffused itself so equally that prices had risen in the same ratio in all countries, so that the alteration of price would be for all practical purposes ineffective, and the exports and imports, though at a higher money valu- ation, would be exactly the same as they were originally. This diminished value of money throughout the world (at least if the diminution was considerable) would cause a sus- pension, or at least a diminution, of the annual supply from 432 EXCHANGE. the mines, since the metal would no longer command a value equivalent to its highest cost of production. The annual waste would, therefore, not be fully made up, and the usual causes of destruction would gradually reduce the aggregate quantity of the precious metals to its former amount ; after which their production would recommence on its former scale. The discovery of the treasure would thus produce only temporary effects ; namely, a brief disturbance of inter- national trade until the treasure had disseminated itself through the world, and then a temporary depression in the value of the metal below that which corresponds to the cost of producing or of obtaining it; which depression would gradually be corrected by a temporarily diminished produc- tion in the producing countries and importation in the im- porting countries. The same effects which would thus arise from the discov- ery of a treasure accompany the process by which bank-notes, or any of the other substitutes for money, take the place of the precious metals. Suppose 1 that the United States possessed a currency, wholly metallic, of $200,000,000, and that suddenly $200,000,000 of bank-notes were sent into cir- culation. If these were issued by bankers, they would be employed in loans, or in the purchase of securities, and would therefore create a sudden fall in the rate of interest, which would probably send a great part of the $200,000,000 of gold out of the country as capital, to seek a higher rate of interest elsewhere, before there had been time for any action on prices. But we will suppose that the notes are not issued by bankers, or money-lenders of any kind, but by manufacturers, in the payment of wages and the purchase of materials, or by the Government [as, e. g., greenbacks] in its ordinary expenses, so that the whole amount would be rapidly carried into the mar- kets for commodities. The following would be the natural order of consequences : All prices would rise greatly. Ex- portation would almost cease ; importation would be pro- 1 The illustrations in this chapter have also been changed, but only so far as to make them apply to the United States. INFLUENCE OF THE CURRENCY ON THE EXCHANGES. 433 digiously stimulated. A great balance of payments would become due, the exchanges would turn against the United States, to the full extent of the cost of exporting money ; and the surplus coin would pour itself rapidly forth, over the various countries of the world, in the order of their proxim- ity, geographically and commercially, to the United States. A study of Chart No. XIV will show how exactly this de- scription fits the case of our country after 1862, when the rise of prices stimulated imports of merchandise (see Chart No. XIII) in 1862, and sent gold out of the country. The efflux would continue until the currencies of all coun- tries had come to a level ; by which I do not mean, until money became of the same value everywhere, but until the differences were only those which existed before, and which corresponded to permanent differences in the cost of obtain- ing it. When the rise of prices had extended itself in an equal degree to all countries, exports and imports would everywhere revert to what they were at first, would balance one another, and the exchanges would return to par. If such a sum of money as $200,000,000, when spread over the whole surface of the commercial world, were sufficient to raise the general level in a perceptible degree, the effect would be of no long duration. No alteration having occurred in the gen- eral conditions under which the metals were procured, either in the world at large or in any part of it, the reduced value would no longer be remunerating, and the supply from the mines would cease partially or wholly, until the $200,000,000 were absorbed. 1 Effects of another kind, however, will have been pro- duced : $200,000,000, which formerly existed in the unpro- 1 1 am here supposing a state of things in which gold and silver mining are a permanent branch of industry, carried on under known conditions ; and not the present state of uncertainty, in which gold-gathering is a game of chance, prosecuted (for the present) in the spirit of an adventure, not in that of a regu- lar industrial pursuit. — Mill. It is, however, worth recalling that gold and sil- ver mining have not been — for large effects on the value of the metals — anything like a permanent branch of industry, but that, in the main, great additions have been obtained suddenly and by chance discoveries. — J. L. L. 28 434 EXCHANGE. ductive form of metallic money, have been converted into what is, or is capable of becoming, productive capital. This gain is at first made by the United States at the expense of other countries, who have taken her superfluity of this costly and unproductive article off her hands, giving for it an equivalent value in other commodities. By degrees the loss is made up to those countries by diminished influx from the mines, and finally the world has gained a virtual addition of $200,000,000 to its productive resources. Adam Smith's illustration, though so well known, deserves for its extreme aptness to be once more repeated. He compares the substitu- tion of paper in the room of the precious metals to the con- struction of a highway through the air, by which the ground now occupied by roads would become available for agricult- ure. As in that case a portion of the soil, so in this a part of the accumulated wealth of the country, would be relieved from a function in which it was only employed in rendering other soils and capitals productive, and would itself become applicable to production; the office it previously fulfilled being equally well discharged by a medium which costs nothing. The value saved to the community by thus dispensing with metallic money is a clear gain to those who provide the substitute. They have the use of $200,000,000 of circulat- ing medium which have cost them only the expense of an engraver's plate. If they employ this accession to their for- tunes as productive capital, the produce of the country is increased and the community benefited, as much as by any other capital of equal amount. Whether it is so employed or not depends, in some degree, upon the mode of issuing it. If issued by the Government, and employed in paying off debt, it would probably become productive capital. The Government, however, may prefer employing this extraordi- nary resource in its ordinary expenses ; may squander it use- lessly, or make it a mere temporary substitute for taxation to an equivalent amount ; in which last case the amount is saved by the tax-payers at large, who either add it to their INFLUENCE OF THE CURRENCY ON THE EXCHANGES. 435 capital or spend it as income. "When [a part of the] paper currency is supplied, as in our own country, by banking companies, the amount is almost wholly turned into produc- tive capital ; for the issuers, being at all times liable to be called upon to refund the value, are under the strongest in- ducements not to squander it, and the only cases in which it is not forthcoming are cases of fraud or mismanagement. A banker's profession being that of a money-lender, his issue of notes is a simple extension of his ordinary occupation. He lends the amount to farmers, manufacturers, or dealers, who employ it in their several businesses. So employed, it yields, like any other capital, wages of labor, and profits of stock. The profit is shared between the banker, who re- ceives interest, and a succession of borrowers, mostly for short periods, who, after paying the interest, gain a profit in addition, or a convenience equivalent to profit. The capital itself in the long run becomes entirely wages, and, when replaced by the sale of the produce, becomes wages again ; thus affording a perpetual fund, of the value of $200,000,000, for the maintenance of productive labor, and increasing the annual produce of the country by all that can be produced through the means of a capital of that value. To this gain must be added a further saving to the country, of the annual supply of the precious metals necessary for repairing the wear and tear, and other waste, of a metallic currency. The substitution, therefore, of paper for the precious metals should always be carried as far as is consistent with safety, no greater amount of metallic currency being re- tained than is necessary to maintain, both in fact and in public belief, the convertibility of the paper. But since gold wanted for exportation is almost invaria- bly drawn from the reserves of the banks, and is never likely to be taken directly from the circulation while the banks remain solvent, the only advantage which can be obtained from retaining partially a metallic currency for daily pur- poses is, that the banks may occasionally replenish their reserves from it. 436 EXCHANGE. § 3. When metallic money had been entirely super- seded and expelled from circulation, by the substitution of an equal amount of bank-notes, any attempt to keep a still further quantity of paper in circulation must, if the notes are convertible [into gold], be a complete failure. This brings up the whole question at issue between the " Currency Principle " and the " Banking Principle." The latter, maintained by Fullerton, Wilson, Price, and Tooke (in his later writings), held that, if notes were convertible, the value of notes could not differ from the value of the metal into which they were convertible ; while the former, advocated by Lord Ov^rstone, G. W. Norman, Colonel Torrens, Tooke (in his earlier writings), and Sir Robert Peel, implied that even a convertible paper was liable to over-issues. This last school brought about the Bank Act of 1844. 1 The new issue would again set in motion the same train of consequences by which the gold coin had already been ex- pelled. The metals would, as before, be required for expor- tation, and would be for that purpose demanded from the banks, to the full extent of the superfluous notes, which thus could not possibly be retained in circulation. If, indeed, the notes were inconvertible, there would be no such obstacle to the increase in their quantity. An inconvertible paper acts in the same way as a convertible, while there remains any coin for it to supersede ; the difference begins to manifest itself when all the coin is driven from circulation (except what may be retained for the convenience of small change), and the issues still go on increasing. When the paper begins to ex- ceed in quantity the metallic currency which it superseded, prices of course rise ; things which were worth $25 in me- tallic money become worth $30 in inconvertible paper, or more, as the case may be. But this rise of price will not, as in the cases before examined, stimulate import and discour- age export. The imports and exports are determined by the metallic prices of things, not by the paper prices ; and it is only when the paper is exchangeable at pleasure for the metals that paper prices and metallic prices must correspond. 1 See Walker, " Money," Chap. XIX. INFLUENCE OF THE CURRENCY ON THE EXCHANGES. 437 Let us suppose that the United States is the country which has the depreciated paper. Suppose that some Amer- ican production could be bought, while the currency was still metallic, for $25, and sold in England for $27.50, the differ- ence covering the expense and risk, and affording a profit to the merchant. On account of the depreciation, this commodity will now cost in the United States $30, and can not be Bold in England for more than $27.50, and yet it will be exported as before. Why ? Because the $27.50 which the exporter can get for it in England is not depreciated paper, but gold or silver ; and since in the United States bullion has risen in the same proportion with other things — if the merchant brings the gold or silver to the United States, he can sell his $27.50 [in coin] for $33 [in paper], and obtain as before 10 per cent for profit and expenses. It thus appears that a depreciation of the currency does not affect the foreign trade of the country : this is carried on precisely as if the currency maintained its value. But, though the trade is not affected, the exchanges are. When the imports and exports are in equilibrium, the exchange, in a metallic currency, would be at par ; a bill on England for the equivalent of $25 would be worth $25. But $25, or the quantity of gold contained in them, having come to be worth in the United States $30, it follows that a bill on England for $25 will be worth $30. When, therefore, the real exchange is at par, there will be a nominal exchange against the country of as much per cent as the amount of the depreciation. If the currency is depreciated 10, 15, or 20 per cent, then in whatever way the real exchange, arising from the variations of international debts and credits, may vary, the quoted exchange will always differ 10, 15, or 20 per cent from it. However high this nominal premium may be, it has no tendency to send gold out of the country for the purpose of drawing a bill against it and profiting by the premium ; because the gold so sent must be procured, not from the banks and at par, as in the case of a convertible currency, but in the market, at an advance of price equal 438 EXCHANGE. to the premium. In such cases, instead of saying that the exchange is unfavorable, it would be a more correct repre- sentation to say that the par has altered, since there is now- required a larger quantity of American currency to be equivalent to the same quantity of foreign. The exchanges, however, continue to be computed according to the metallic par. The quoted exchanges, therefore, when there is a de- preciated currency, are compounded of two elements or fac- tors : (1) the real exchange, which follows the variations of international payments, and (2) the nominal exchange, which varies with the depreciation of the currency, but which, while there is any depreciation at all, must always be unfa- vorable. Since the amount of depreciation is exactly meas- ured by the degree in which the market price of bullion exceeds the mint valuation, we have a sure criterion to de- termine what portion of the quoted exchange, being refer- able to depreciation, may be struck off as nominal, the result so corrected expressing the real exchange. The same disturbance of the exchanges and of interna- tional trade which is produced by an increased issue of con- vertible bank-notes is in like manner produced by those ex- tensions of credit which, as was so fully shown in a preced- ing chapter, have the same effect on prices as an increase of the currency. Whenever circumstances have given such an impulse to the spirit of speculation as to occasion a great in- crease of purchases on credit, money prices rise, just as much as they would have risen if each person who so buys on credit had bought with money. All the effects, therefore, must be simi- lar. As a consequence of high prices, exportation is checked and importation stimulated ; though in fact the increase of importation seldom waits for the rise of prices which is the consequence of speculation, inasmuch as some of the great ar- ticles of import are usually among the things in which specu- lative overtrading first shows itself. There is, therefore, in such periods, usually a great excess of imports over exports ; and, when the time comes at which these must be paid for, the exchanges become unfavorable and gold flows out of the INFLUENCE OF THE CURRENCY ON THE EXCHANGES. 439 country. This efflux of gold takes effect on prices [by with- drawing gold from the reserves of the banks, and so by stop- ping loans and the use of credit, or purchasing power] : its effect is to make them recoil downward. The recoil once be- gun, generally becomes a total rout, and the unusual exten- sion of credit is rapidly exchanged for an unusual contrac- tion of it. Accordingly, when credit has been imprudently stretched, and the speculative spirit carried to excess, the turn of the exchanges and consequent pressure on the banks to obtain gold for exportation are generally the proximate cause of the catastrophe. A glance at Chart No. XIII will give illustration to the situation here described. After the war, and until 1873, while the United States was under the influence of high prices and a speculation which has been seldom equaled in our history, the resulting great excess of imports became very striking. It was an unhealthy and abnormal condition of trade. The sud- den reversal of the trade by the crisis in 1873 is equally strik- ing, and, as prices fell, exports began to increase. The effect on international trade of a collapse of credit is thus clearly marked by the lines on the chart. CHAPTER XIX. OF THE KATE OF INTEREST. § 1. The two topics of Currency and Loans, though in themselves distinct, are so intimately blended in the phenom- ena of what is called the money market, that it is impossi- ble to understand the one without the other, and in many minds the two subjects are mixed up in the most inextri- cable confusion. In the preceding book ' we denned the relation in which interest stands to profit. We found that the gross profit of capital might be distinguished into three parts, which are re- spectively the remuneration for risk, for trouble, and for the capital itself, and may be termed insurance, wages of super- intendence, and interest. After making compensation for risk, that is, after covering the average losses to which capi- tal is exposed either by the general circumstances of society or by the hazards of the particular employment, there re- mains a surplus, which partly goes to repay the owner of the capital for his abstinence, and partly the employer of it for his time and trouble. How much goes to the one and how much to the other is shown by the amount of the remunera- tion which, when the two functions are separated, the owner of capital can obtain from the employer for its use. This is evidently a question of demand and supply. Nor have de- mand and supply any different meaning or effect in this case from what they have in all others. The rate of interest will be such as to equalize the demand for loans with the supply 1 Book II, Chap. V, § 1. TEE RATE OF INTEREST. 441 of them. It will be such that, exactly as much as some people are desirous to borrow at that rate, others shall be willing to lend. If there is more offered than demanded, in- terest will fall ; if more is demanded than offered, it will rise ; and in both cases, to the point at which the equation of sup- ply and demand is re-established. The desire to borrow and the willingness to lend are more or less influenced by every circumstance which affects the state or prospects of industry or commerce, either gener- ally or in any of their branches. The rate of interest, there- fore, on good security, which alone we have here to consider (for interest in which considerations of risk bear a part may swell to any amount), is seldom, in the great centers of money transactions, precisely the same for two days together ; as is shown by the never-ceasing variations in the quoted prices of the funds and other negotiable securities. Nevertheless, there must be, as in other cases of value, some rate which (in the language of Adam Smith and Bicardo) may be called the natural rate ; some rate about which the market rate os- cillates, and to which it always tends to return. This rate partly depends on the amount of accumulation going on in the hands of persons who can not themselves attend to the employment of their savings, and partly on the comparative taste existing in the community for the active pursuits of industry, or for the leisure, ease, and independence of an annuitant. § 2. In [ordinary] circumstances, the more thriving produ- cers and traders have their capital fully employed, and many are able to transact business to a considerably greater extent than they have capital for. These are naturally borrowers : and the amount which they desire to borrow, and can give security for, constitutes the demand for loans on account of productive employment. To these must be added the loans required by Government, and by land-owners, or other un- productive consumers who have good security to give. This constitutes the mass of loans for which there is an habitual demand. 442 EXCHANGE. Now, it is conceivable that there might exist, in the hands of persons disinclined or disqualified for engaging personally in business, (1) a mass of capital equal to, and even exceed- ing, this demand. In that case there would be an habitual excess of competition on the part of lenders, and the rate of interest would bear a low proportion to the rate of profit. Interest would be forced down to the point which would either tempt borrowers to take a greater amount of loans than they had a reasonable expectation of being able to employ in their business, or would so discourage a portion of the lend- ers as to make them either forbear to accumulate or endeavor to increase their income by engaging in business on their own account, and incurring the risks, if not the labors, of indus- trial employment. The low rates of interest, rather, tempt people to take some additional risk, and enter into investments which offer a higher rate of dividends ; so that a period of low interest is a time when speculative enterprises find victims, and then by bad and worthless investments much of the loanable funds is actually lost ; thereby reducing the total quantity of loans more nearly to that demand which will give an ordinary rate of interest. (2.) On the other hand, the capital owned by persons who prefer lending it at interest, or whose avocations prevent them from personally superintending its employment, may be short of the habitual demand for loans. It may be in great part absorbed by the investments afforded by the pub- lic debt and by mortgages, and the remainder may not be sufficient to supply the wants of commerce. If so, the rate of interest will be raised so high as in some way to re-estab- lish the equilibrium. When there is only a small difference between interest and profit, many borrowers may no longer be willing to increase their responsibilities and involve their credit for so small a remuneration : or some, who would oth- erwise have engaged in business, may prefer leisure, and be- come lenders instead of borrowers : or others, under the inducement of high interest and easy investment for their capital, may retire from business earlier, and with smaller fortunes, than they otherwise would have done. THE RATE OF INTEREST. 443 Or, lastly, instead of [capital] being afforded by persons not in business, the affording it may itself become a business. A portion of the capital employed in trade may be supplied by a class of professional money-lenders. These money lend- ers, however, must have more than a mere interest ; they must have the ordinary rate of profit on their capital, risk and all other circumstances being allowed for. [For] it can never answer, to any one who borrows for the purposes of his business, to pay a full profit for capital from which he will only derive a full profit : and money-lending, as an employ- ment, for the regular supply of trade, can not, therefore, be carried on except by persons who, in addition to their own capital, can lend their credit, or, in other words, the capital of other people. A bank which lends its notes lends capital which it borrows from the community, and for which it pays no interest. Of late years, however, banks are generally not permitted to issue notes on their simple credit. That privilege has been so often abused in this country that now, in the national bank- ing system, a separate part of the resources are set aside for the security of the circulating notes (as is also true of the Bank of England since 1844). It is not generally true, then, that banks now create the means to make loans by issuing notes by which they borrow capital from the community without pay- ing interest. They do, however, depend almost entirely on de- posits. A bank of deposit lends capital which it collects from the community in small parcels, sometimes without paying any interest, and, if it does pay interest, it still pays much less than it receives ; for the depositors, who in any other way could mostly obtain for such small balances no interest worth taking any trouble for, are glad to receive even a little. Hav- ing this subsidiary resource, bankers are enabled to obtain, by lending at interest, the ordinary rate of profit on their own capital. The disposable capital deposited in banks, to- gether with the funds belonging to those who, either from necessity or preference, live upon the interest of their prop- erty, constitute the general loan fund of the country ; and 444 EXCHANGE. the amount of this aggregate fund, when set against the habit- ual demands of producers and dealers, and those of the Gov- ernment and of unproductive consumers, determines the per- manent or average rate of interest, which must always be such as to adjust these two amounts to one another. 1 But, while the whole of this mass of lent capital takes effect upon the permanent rate of interest, the fluctuations depend al- most entirely upon the portion which is in the hands of bankers ; for it is that portion almost exclusively which, being lent for short times only, is continually in the market seeking an investment. The capital of those who live on the interest of their own fortunes has generally sought and found some fixed, investment, such as the public funds, mortgages, or the bonds of public companies, which invest- ment, except under peculiar temptations or necessities, is not changed. § 3. Fluctuations in the rate of interest arise from varia- tions either in the demand, for loans or in the supply. The supply is liable to variation, though less so than the demand. The willingness to lend is greater than usual at the com- mencement of a period of speculation, and much less than usual during the revulsion which follows. In speculative times, money-lenders as well as other people are inclined to extend their business by stretching their credit ; they lend more than usual (just as other classes of dealers and pro- ducers employ more than usual) of capital which does not belong to them. Accordingly, these are the times when the rate of interest is low ; though for this too (as we shall im- mediately see) there are other causes. During the revulsion, on the contrary, interest always rises inordinately, because, while there is a most pressing need on the part of many persons to borrow, there is a general disinclination to lend." 1 1 do not include in the general loan fund of the country the capitals, large as they sometimes are, which are habitually employed in speculatively buying and selling the public funds and other securities. — Mill. 2 The rate of interest at such crises in New York has several times risen to 400 or 500 per cent per annum. THE RATE OF INTEREST. 44.5 This disinclination, when at its extreme point, is called a panic. It occurs when a succession of unexpected failures has created in the mercantile, and sometimes also in the non- mercantile public, a general distrust in each other's solvency ; disposing every one not only to refuse fresh credit, except on very onerous terms, but to call in, if possible, all credit which he has already given. Deposits are withdrawn from banks ; notes are returned on the issuers in exchauge for spe- cie ; bankers raise their rate of discount, and withhold their customary advances ; merchants refuse to renew mercantile bills. At such times the most calamitous consequences were formerly experienced from the attempt of the law to prevent more than a certain limited rate of interest from being given or taken. Persons who could not borrow at five per cent had to pay, not six or seven, but ten or fifteen per cent, to compensate the lender for risking the penalties of the law ; or had to sell securities or goods for ready money at a still greater sacrifice. The pernicious and hurtful custom exists in various States in this country of making any interest beyond a certain rate illegal. When it is remembered that legitimate business is often largely done on credit — until the proceeds of goods sold on credit are collected — the rate of interest from day to day is very important to trade. So, when there is a sudden demand for loans, a rate higher than the legal one will certainly be paid, and the law violated, if the getting of a loan is absolutely necessary to save the borrower from commercial ruin. The ef- fect of a legal rate is to stop loans at the very time when loans are most essential to the business public. It would be far better to adopt such a sliding scale as exists at great European banks, which allows the rate of interest to rise with the demand. No one, then, with good security, need want loans if he is willing to pay the high rates ; and those not really in need will defer their demand until the sudden emergency is past. Already in New York the legal penalty has been removed for loaning at higher than the legal rates when charged upon call-loans ; and it has mitigated the extreme fluctuations of the rate in a market when financial necessity is contending against the law. Except at such periods, the amount of capital disposable on loan is subject to little other variation than that which arises from the gradual process of accumulation ; which process, 446 EXCHANGE. however, in the great commercial countries, is sufficiently- rapid to account for the almost periodical recurrence of these fits of speculation ; since, when a few years have elapsed without a crisis, and no new and tempting channel for in- vestment has been opened in the mean time, there is always found to have occurred in those few years so large an increase of capital seeking investment as to have lowered considerably the rate of interest, whether indicated by the prices of securi- ties or by the rate of discount on bills ; and this diminution of interest tempts the possessors to incur hazards in hopes of a more considerable return. The demand for loans varies much more largely than the supply, and embraces longer cycles of years in its aberrations. A time of war, for example, is a period of unusual draughts on the loan market. The Government, at such times, gen- erally incurs new loans, and, as these usually succeed each other rapidly as long as the war lasts, the general rate of in- terest is kept higher in war than in peace, without reference to the rate of profit, and productive industry is stinted of its usual supplies. The United States during the late war found that it could not borrow at even six or seven per cent. By receiving depre- ciated paper at par for its bonds it really agreed to pay six gold dollars on each loan of one hundred dollars in paper (worth, perhaps, at the worst only forty gold dollars), which was equivalent to fifteen per cent. This high rate was largely due to the weakened credit of the Government ; but still it remains true that the rate was higher because the United States was in the market as a competitor for large loans. Now the Government can refund its bonds at three per cent. Nor does the influence of these loans altogether cease when the Government ceases to contract others ; for those already contracted continue to afford an investment for a greatly increased amount of the disposable capital of the conntry, which, if the national debt were paid off, would be added to the mass of capital seeking investment, and (independently of temporary disturbance) could not but, to some extent, per- manently lower the rate of interest. THE RATE OF INTEREST. 447 The rapid payment of the public debt by the United States, $137,823,253 in 1882-1883, and more than $100,000,000 in 1883- 1884, has taken away the former investment for enormous sums of loanable funds, and to the same extent increased the supply in the market. Without doubt this aids in making the present rate of interest a very low one. Whether the rate will remain "permanently lower," however, will depend upon whether the field of investment in the United States is already practically occupied. We believe it is not. The same effect on interest which is produced by govern- ment loans for war expenditure is produced by the sudden opening of any new and generally attractive mode of perma- nent investment. The only instance of the kind in recent history, on a scale comparable to that of the war loans, is the absorption of capital in the construction of railways. This capital must have been principally drawn from the deposits in banks, or from savings which would have gone into de- posit, and which were destined to be ultimately employed in buying securities from persons who would have employed the purchase-money in discounts or other loans at interest : in either case, it was a draft on the general loan fund. It is, in fact, evident that, unless savings were made expressly to be employed in railway adventure, the amount thus em- ployed must have been derived either from the actual capital of persons in business or from capital which would have been lent to persons in business. § 4. From the preceding considerations it would be seen, even if it were not otherwise evident, how great an error it is to imagine that the rate of interest bears any necessary relation to the quantity or value of the money in circulation. An increase of the currency has in itself no effect, and is incapable of having any effect, on the rate of interest. A paper currency issued by Government in the payment of its ordinary expenses, in however great excess it may be issued, affects the rate of interest in no manner whatever. It diminishes, indeed, the power of money to buy commodities, but not the power of money to buy money. If a hundred dollars will buy a perpetual annuity of four dollars a year, a 448 EXCHANGE. depreciation which makes the hundred dollars worth only half as much as before has precisely the same effect on the four dollars, and therefore can not alter the relation between the two. Unless, indeed, it is known and reckoned upon that the depreciation will only be temporary; for people certainly might be willing to lend the depreciated currency on cheaper terms if they expected to be repaid in money of full value. In considering the effect produced by the proceedings of banks in encouraging the excesses of speculation, an immense effect is usually attributed to their issues of notes, but until of late hardly any attention was paid to the management of their deposits, though nothing is more certain than that their imprudent^ extensions of credit take place more frequently by means of their deposits than of their issues. Says Mr. Tooke : " Supposing all the deposits received by a banker to be in coin, is he not, just as much as the issuing banker, ex- posed to the importunity of customers, whom it may be im- politic to refuse, for loans or discounts, or to be tempted by a high interest ; and may he not be induced to encroach so much upon his deposits as to leave him, under not improb- able circumstances, unable to meet the demands of his depos- itors?" In truth, the most difficult questions of banking center around the functions of discount and deposit. The separation of the Issue from the Banking Department by the act of 1844, which renewed the charter of the Bank of England, makes this perfectly clear. After entirely removing from their effect on credit all influences due to issues, England has had the same difficulties to encounter as before, which shows that the real question is concerned with the two essential functions of bank- ing — discount and deposit. Since 1844, there have been the commercial disturbances of 1847, 1857, 1866, and 1873. Al- though no expansion of notes, without a corresponding deposit of specie, is possible. § 5. Before quitting the general subject of this chapter, I will make the obvious remark that the rate of interest determines the value and price of all those salable articles which are desired and bought, not for themselves, but for THE RATE OF INTEREST. 449 the income which they are capable of yielding. The pub- lic funds, shares in joint-stock companies, and all descriptions of securities, are at a high price in proportion as the rate of interest is low. They are sold at the price which will give the market rate of interest on the purchase-money, with allowance for all differences in the risk incurred, or in any circumstance of convenience. The price of land, mines, and all other fixed sources of income, depends in like manner on the rate of interest. Land usually sells at a higher price, in proportion to the income afforded by it, than the public funds, not only because it is thought, even in [England], to be somewhat more secure, but because ideas of power and dignity are associated with its possession. But these differences are constant, or nearly so; and, in the variations of price, land follows, cceteris pari- bus, the permanent (though, of course, not the daily) varia- tions of the rate of interest. "When interest is low, land will naturally be dear ; when interest is high, land will be cheap. A lot of land, which fifty years ago gave an annual return of $100, if ten per cent was then the common rate of interest, would sell for $1,000. If the return from the land remains the same ($100) to-day, and if the usual rate of interest is now five per cent, the same piece of land, therefore, would sell for $2,000, since $100 is five per cent of $2,000. The price of a bond, it may be said, also varies with the time it has to run. At the same rate of interest, a bond run- ning for a long term of years is better for an investment than one for a short term. The lumberman, who looks at two trees of equal diameter at the base, estimates the total value of each according to the height of the tree. Then, again, a bond run- ning for a short term may be worth less than one for a long term, even though the first bears a higher rate of interest. That is, to resume the illustration, one tree, not rising very high, although larger at the bottom, may not contain so many square feet as another, with perhaps a less diameter at the bot- tom, but which stretches much higher up into the air. 29 CHAPTER XX. OF THE COMPETITION OF DIFFERENT COUNTRIES IN THE SAME MARKET. § 1. In the phraseology of the Mercantile System, there is no word of more frequent recurrence or more perilous im- port than the word underselling. To undersell other coun- tries — not to be undersold by other countries — were spoken of, and are still very often spoken of, almost as if they were the sole purposes for which production and commodities exist. Nations may, like individual dealers, be competitors, with opposite interests, in the markets of some commodities, while in others they are in the more fortunate relation of reciprocal customers. The benefit of commerce does not consist, as it was once thought to do, in the commodities sold ; but, since the commodities sold are the means of obtaining those which are bought, a nation would be cut off from the real advan- tage of commerce, the imports, if it could not induce other nations to take any of its commodities in exchange ; and in proportion as the competition of other countries compels it to offer its commodities on cheaper terms, on pain of not selling them at all, the imports which it obtains by its foreign trade are procured at greater cost. One country (A) can only undersell another (B) in a given market, to the extent of entirely expelling her from it, on two conditions : (1) In the first place, she (A) must have a greater advantage than the second country (B) in the pro- duction of the article exported by both ; meaning by a greater advantage (as has been already so fully explained) not abso- THE COMPETITION OF DIFFERENT COUNTRIES. 451 lutely, but in comparison with other commodities ; and (2) in the second place, such must be her (A's) relation with the customer-country in respect to the demand for each other's products, and such the consequent state of international values, as to give away to the customer-country more than the whole advantage possessed by the rival country (B) ; oth- erwise the rival will still be able to hold her ground in the market. Let us suppose a trade between England and the United States, in iron and wheat. England being capable of produc- ing ten cwts. of iron at the same cost as fifteen bushels of wheat, the United States at the same cost as twenty bushels, and the two commodities being exchanged between the two countries (cost of carriage apart) at some intermediate rate, say ten for seventeen. The United States could not be perma- nently undersold in the English market, and expelled from it, unless by a country (such as India) which offered not merely more than seventeen, but more than twenty bushels of wheat for ten cwts. of iron. Short of that, the competition would only oblige the United States to pay dearer for iron, but would not disable her from exporting wheat. The country, therefore, which could undersell the United States, must, in the first place, be able to produce wheat at less cost, compared with iron, than the United States herself ; and, in the next place, must have such a demand for iron, or other English commodi- ties, as would compel her, even when she became sole occupant of the market, to give a greater advantage to England than the United States could give by resigning the whole of hers ; to give, for example, twenty-one bushels for ten cwts. For if not — if, for example, the equation of international demand, after the United States was excluded, gave a ratio of eighteen for ten — the United States would be now the underselling na- tion ; and there would be a point, perhaps nineteen for ten, at which both countries would be able to maintain their ground, and to sell in England enough wheat to pay for the iron, or other English commodities, for which, on these newly adjusted terms of interchange, they had a demand. In like manner, England, as an exporter of iron, could only be driven from the American market by some rival whose superior advantages in the production of iron enabled her, and the intensity of whose demand for American produce compelled her, to offer ten cwts. of iron, not merely for less than seventeen bushels of wheat, but for less than fifteen. In that case, England could no longer carry on the trade without loss ; but, in any case short 452 EXCHANGE. of this, she would merely be obliged to give to the United States more iron for less wheat than she had previously given. It thus appears that the alarm of being permanently undersold may be taken much too easily ; may be taken when the thing really to be anticipated is not the loss of the trade, but the minor inconvenience of carrying it on at a diminished advantage ; an inconvenience chiefly falling on the consumers of foreign commodities, and not on the pro- ducers or sellers of the exported article. It is no sufficient ground of apprehension to the [American] producers, to find that some other country can sell [wheat] in foreign markets, at some particular time, a trifle cheaper than they can them- selves afford to do in the existing state of prices in [the United States]. Suppose them to be temporarily unsold, and their exports diminished ; the imports will exceed the ex- ports, there will be a new distribution of the precious met- als, prices will fall, and, as all the money expenses of the [American] producers will be diminished, they will be able (if the case falls short of that stated in the preceding para- graph) again to compete with their rivals. The loss which [the United States] will incur will not fall upon the exporters, but upon those who consume imported commodities ; who, with money incomes reduced in amount, will have to pay the same or even an increased price for all things produced in foreign countries. But the business world would regard what was going on under economic laws as a great and dreaded disaster, if it meant that prices were to fall, and gold leave the country. Those holding large stocks of goods would for that time suffer ; and so, at first, it might really happen that " exporters," in the sense of exporting agents (not the producers, perhaps, of the exportable article), would incur a loss. In the end, of course, the consumers of imports suffer. But, temporarily, and on the face of it, exporters do lose. § 2. According to the preceding doctrine, a country can not be undersold in any commodity, unless the rival country 1 In this illustration I have retained as nearly as possible the form of that given by Mr. Mill for the trade between England and Germany in cloth and linen. THE COMPETITION OF DIFFERENT COUNTRIES. 453 has a stronger inducement than itself for devoting its labor and capital to the production of the commodity ; arising from the fact that by doing so it occasions a greater saving of labor and capital, to be shared between itself and its cus- tomers — a greater increase of the aggregate produce of the world. The underselling, therefore, though a loss to the undersold country, is an advantage to the world at large ; the substituted commerce being one which economizes more of the labor and capital of mankind, and adds more to their col- lective wealth, than the commerce superseded by it. The advantage, of course, consists in being able to produce the commodity of better quality, or with less labor (compared with other things) ; or perhaps not with less labor, but in less time ; with a less prolonged detention of the capital em- ployed. This may arise from greater natural advantages (such as soil, climate, richness of mines) ; superior capability, either natural or acquired, in the laborers ; better division of labor, and better tools, or machinery. But there is no place left in this theory for the case of lower wages. This, how- ever, in the theories commonly current, is a favorite cause of underselling. We continually hear of the disadvantage under which the [American] producer labors, both in foreign markets and even in his own, through the lower wages paid by his foreign rivals. These lower wages, we are told, en- able, or are always on the point of enabling, them to sell at lower prices, and to dislodge the [American] manufacturer from all markets in which he is not artificially protected. It will be remembered that, as we have before seen, inter- national trade, in actual practice, depends on comparative prices within the same country (even though the exporter may not consciously make a comparison). We send wheat abroad, be- cause it is low in price relatively to certain manufactured goods ; that is, we send the wheat, but we do not send the manufactured goods. But, so far, this is considering only the comparative prices in the same country. Yet we shall fail to realize in actual practice the application of the above principles, when we use the terms prices and money, if we do not admit that there is in the matter of underselling a comparison, also, between the absolute price of the goods in one country and the absolute 454 EXCHANGE. price of the same goods in the competing country. For ex- ample, wheat is not shipped to England unless the price is lower here than there. If India or Morocco were to send wheat into the English market in close competition with the United States, and the price were to fall in London, it would mean that, if we continued our shipments of wheat to England, we must part with our wheat at a less advantage in the international exchange. In the illustration already used, we must, for ex- ample, offer more than seventeen bushels of wheat for ten cwts. of iron. The fall in the price of wheat, without any change in that of iron, implies the necessity of offering a greater quantity of wheat for the same quantity of iron, perhaps nineteen or twenty bushels for ten cwts. of iron. If the price went so low as to require twenty-one bushels to pay for ten cwts. of iron, then we should be entirely undersold ; and the price here as compared with the price in London would be an indication of the fact. So that the comparison of prices here with prices abroad is merely a register of the terms at which our interna- tional exchanges are performed ; but not the cause of the ex- istence of the international trade. If the price falls so low in a foreign market that we can not sell wheat there, it simply means that we have reached in the exchange ratios the limit of our comparative advantages in wheat and iron ; so that we are obliged to offer twenty or more bushels of wheat for ten cwts. of iron. But in all this it must be noted that this price must in- clude the return to capital also, and that it must be equal to the usual reward for capital in other competing industries, that is, the ordinary rate of profit. In exporting wheat from the United States the capital engaged will insist on getting the rate of profit to be found in other occupations to which the capital can go, in the United States. Now, the price, if it stands for the value (which is supposed to be governed by cost of production in this case), is the sum out of which wages and profits are paid. If the price were to fall in the foreign market, then there might not be the means with which to pay the usual rate of wages and the usual rate of profit also. Then we should probably hear of complaints by the shippers that there is no profit in the exportation of wheat, and of a falling off in the trade. In other words, as the capitalist is the one who manages the operation, and is the one first af- fected, the diminution of advantage in foreign trade arising from competition, generally shows itself first in lessened prof- its. The price, then, is the means by which we determine whether a certain article gives us that comparative advantage which will insure a gain from international trade. The low price in this country of an exportable article — THE COMPETITION OF DIFFERENT COUNTRIES. 455 since it is for this reason selected as an export — is one whose cost is low. If the cost be low, it means that the industry- is very productive ; that the same capital and labor produce more for their exertion in this than in other industries. And yet it is precisely in the most productive industries that higher wages and profits can be, and are, paid. Although each arti- cle is sold at a low price, the great quantity produced makes the total sum, or value, out of which the industrial rewards, profits, and wages, are paid, large. That is, the price may be very low (lower, also, in direct comparison with prices abroad) and yet pay the rate of wages and profits current in this coun- try. Consequently, although wages and profits may be very high (relatively to older countries) in those industries of the United States whose productiveness is great, yet the very fact of this low cost, and consequently this low price (where com- petition is effective), is that which fits the commodity for ex- portation. We are, therefore, inevitably led to a position in which we see that high wages and low prices naturally go together in an exportable commodity. In practice, certainly, the high wages do not, by raising the price, prevent us, by com- paring our price with English prices, from sending goods abroad — because we send goods abroad from our most pro- ductive employments. As an illustration of this principle, it is found that the leading exports of the United States, in 1883, were cotton, breadstuffs, provisions, tobacco, mineral oils, and wood. But, since a direct comparison is in practice made between prices here and prices in England (for example), in order to determine whether the trade can be a profitable one, we con- stantly hear it said that we can not send goods abroad because our labor is so dear. It need scarcely be observed that we do not hear this from those engaged in any of the extractive in- dustries just mentioned as furnishing large exports, which are admittedly very productive ; it is generally heard in regard to certain kinds of manufactured goods. The difficulty arises not with regard to articles in which we have the greatest ad- vantage in productiveness, but those in which we have a less advantage. If the majority of occupations are so productive as to assure a generally high reward to labor and capital throughout the country, these less advantageously situated in- dustries — not being so productive as others (either from lack of skill or good management, or high cost of machinery and materials, or peculiarities of climate, or heavy taxation) — can not pay the usual high reward to labor, and at the same time get for the capitalist the same high reward he can everywhere else receive at home. For, at a price low enough to warrant an exportation, the quantity made by a given amount of labor and 456 EXCHANGE. capital does not yield a total value so great as is given in the majority of other occupations to the same amount of labor and capital, and out of which the usual high wages and profits can be paid. The less productiveness of an industry, compared with other industries in the same country, then, is the real cause which prevents it from competing with foreign countries consistently with receiving the ordinary rate of profit. It is the high rate of profits as well as the high rate of wages common in the country which prevents selling abroad. It is absurd to say that it is only high wages : it is just as much high profits. Of course, if the less productive industries wish to compete with England, and if they pay — as we know they must — the high rate of wages due to the general productiveness of our country's industries, they must submit to less profits for the pleasure of having that particular desire. It is not possible that we should produce everything equally well here ; nor is it possi- ble that England should produce everything equally well. If we wish to send any goods at all to England, we must receive some goods from her. In order to get the gain arising from our productiveness, we must earnestly wish that England should have some commodity also in which she has a comparative ad- vantage, in order that any trade whatever may exist. It is not, however, worth while, in my opinion, to go on in this discus- sion to consider the position of those who would shut us off from any and all foreign trade. Our present high wages should be a cause for congratulation, because they are due to the generally high productiveness of our resources, or, in other words, due to low cost ; and it is to be hoped that they may long continue high. We do not seem to be in imminent danger of not having goods which we can export in quantities which will buy for us all we may wish to import from abroad. (See Chart No. XIII, and note the vast increase of exports at the same time that wages are known to be higher in this country than abroad.) So long as wages continue high, we may possibly be unwilling to see gratified that false and igno- rant desire which leads some people to think that we ought to produce, equally well with any competitor in the world, every- thing that is made. If, as was pointed out under the discus- sion on cost of labor, 1 we must necessarily connect with effi- ciency of labor all natural advantages under which labor works, it is easy to see that high wages are entirely consistent with low prices ; and that high wages do not prevent us to-day from having an hitherto unequaled export trade. Even if all wages and all profits were lower, it would, however, affect all indus- tries alike, and some would still be more productive relatively 1 Book II, Chap. V, § 5. THE COMPETITION OF DIFFERENT COUNTRIES. 457 to others, and the same inequality would remain. If, however, we learn to use our materials better, use machinery with more effect on the quantity produced, adapt our industries to our climate, get the raw products more cheaply, free ourselves from excessive and unreasonable taxation, it would be difficult to say what commodities we might not be able eventually to manufacture in competition with the rest of the world. For we have scarcely ever, as a country, had the advantage of such conditions to aid us in our foreign trade. Mr. Mill now goes on to consider the suggestive fact that wages are higher in England than on the Continent, and yet that the English have no difficulty in underselling their Conti- nental rivals. Before examining this opinion on grounds of principle, it is worth while to bestow a moment's consideration upon it as a question of fact. Is it true that the wages of manu- facturing labor are lower in foreign countries than in Eng- land, in any sense in which low wages are an advantage to the capitalist ? The artisan of Ghent or Lyons may earn less wages in a day, but does he not do less work ? Degrees of efficiency considered, does his labor cost less to his employer ? Though wages may be lower on the Continent, is not the Cost of Labor, which is the real element in the competition, very nearly the same ? That it is so seems the opinion of competent judges, and is confirmed by the very little differ- ence in the rate of profit between England and the Conti- nental countries. But, if so, the opinion is absurd that Eng- lish producers can be undersold by their Continental rivals from this cause. It is only in America that the supposition is prima facie admissible. In America wages are much higher than in England, if we mean by wages the daily earn- ings of a laborer; but the productive power of American labor is so great — its efficiency, combined with the favorable circumstances in which it is exerted, makes it worth so much to the purchaser — that the Cost of Labor is lower in America than in England ; as is proved by the fact that the general rate of profits and of interest is very much higher. § 3. But is it true that low wages, even in the sense of low Cost of Labor, enable a country to 6ell cheaper in the 458 EXCHANGE. foreign market ? I mean, of course, low wages which are common to the whole productive industry of the country. If wages, in any of the departments of industry which supply exports, are kept, artificially or by some accidental cause, below the general rate of wages in the country, this is a real advantage in the foreign market. It lessens the comparative cost of production of those articles in relation to others, and has the same effect as if their production re- quired so much less labor. Take, for instance, the case of the United States in respect to certain commodities. In that country tobacco and cotton, two great articles of export, are produced by slave-labor, while food and manufactures gen- erally are produced by free laborers, who either work on their own account or are paid by wages. In spite of the inferior efficiency of slave-labor, there can be no reasonable doubt that, in a country where the wages of free labor are so high, the work executed by slaves is a better bargain to the capitalist. To whatever extent it is so, this smaller cost of labor, being not general, but limited to those employ- ments, is just as much a cause of cheapness in the products, both in the home and in the foreign market, as if they had been made by a less quantity of labor. If the slaves in the Southern States were emancipated, and their wages rose to the general level of the earnings of free labor in America, that country might be obliged to erase some of the slave- grown articles from the Catalogue of its exports, and would certainly be unable to sell any of them in the foreign market at the present price. Their cheapness is partly an artificial cheapness, which may be compared to that produced by a bounty on production or on exportation ; or, considering the means by which it is obtained, an apter comparison would be with the cheapness of stolen goods. How far Mr. Mill was in error may be seen by Chart No. XV, which shows the enormous increase of cotton produc- tion under the regime of free labor as compared with that of slave-labor in the United States. The abolition of slavery has been an economic gain to the South. Moreover, the ex- ports of raw cotton have increased from 644,327,921 pounds in THE COMPETITION OF DIFFERENT COUNTrdER. 459 > X h < X u s I O ffl b H » 00 H co ■<* i-H m o oo ft o ft co co 10 co ft ft" tj<" of ■*" cT ©" of (M CO rt< o? co ■* co 00C0Oi-H*--*MOr(< CO_ Tt^ 00_ 0_ £-^ «©_ ^ * ft O H 8) (O ^l 19 00 00 00 CO 00 00 CO ft O H « » > OO OO 00 00 0000000000000000 1 00 SS 1 o 1 i I CO 4 o I I to t- 1 1 00 ft 1 © 1 1 i—i (M to o I- 1- i- h- r- i— ■t~ i~ X- I> 00 00 00 00 X oo qo oo 00 oo oo CO 00 oo oo J- 00 00 «2 "fe. e 8 ft co to to Xr- i-t o> a> ■*»> i-< >a t- oo_ -cm oq_ .-h i-T of ef of of ed fl^ftlSftMHOC ooffiM^t^eooot-oo 00_ 0_ CO_ CO^ O ft -*Jt .£- © CI lO CI ic" to" oo" -^ co" co" CO_ 0_ Oi_ 0^_ O OI ft 00 00 co" co" of co" co" co" co" •>*" co" > 00 ft O H -? -*• -t in m CO 00 00 00 00 CO t* O CO in m .-. ic oo oo oo oo r~ CO ft O i-l ~ »' in co co oo oo oo oo 1 1 1 1 co i~- co ft 1 1 1 1 O i-l CM CO 1 1 ua co i I i o m m o m in in CO CO 00 00 00 00 00 CO 90 X oo oe 00 oo oc 460 EXCHANGE. 1869, to 2,288,075,062 pounds in 1888 ; while for correspond- ing years the exports of tobacco increased from 181,527,630 to 235,628,360 pounds. In other words, exports of tobacco were increased by 30 per cent, and those of raw cotton by no less than 255 per cent. Besides, the prices of cotton and tobacco are no higher now than before 1850. An advantage of a similar economical, though of a very different moral character, is that possessed by domestic manu- factures ; fabrics produced in the leisure hours of f amilies partially occupied in other pursuits, who, not depending for subsistence on the produce of the manufacture, can afford to sell it at any price, however low, for which they think it worth while to take the trouble of producing. The work- man of Zurich is to-day a manufacturer, to-morrow again an agriculturist, and changes his occupations with the seasons in a continual round. Manufacturing industry and tillage ad- vance hand in hand, in inseparable alliance, and in this union of the two occupations the secret may be found why the simple and unlearned Swiss manufacturer can always go on competing and increasing in prosperity in the face of those extensive establishments fitted out with great economic and (what is still more important) intellectual resources. In the case of these domestic manufactures, the compara- tive cost of production, on which the interchange between countries depends, is much lower than in proportion to the quantity of labor employed. The work-people, looking to the earnings of their loom for a part only, if for any part, of their actual maintenance, can afford to work for a less re- muneration than the lowest rate of wages which can perma- nently exist in the employments by which the laborer has to support the whole expense of a family. "Working, as they do, not for an employer but for themselves, they may be said to carry on the manufacture at no cost at all, except the small expense of a loom and of the material ; and the limit of possible cheapness is not the necessity of living by their trade, but that of earning enough by the work to make that social employment of their leisure hours not disagreeable. §4. These two cases, of slave-labor and of domestic THE COMPETITION OF DIFFERENT COUNTRIES. 461 manufactures, exemplify the conditions under which low- wages enable a country to sell its commodities cheaper in foreign markets, and consequently to undersell its rivals, or to avoid being undersold by them. But no such advantage is conferred by low wages when common to all branches of industry. General low wages never caused any country to undersell its rivals, nor did general high wages ever hinder it from doing so. To demonstrate this, we must turn to an elementary principle which was discussed in a former chapter. 1 Gen- eral low wages do not cause low prices, nor high wages high prices, within the country itself. General prices are not raised by a rise of wages, any more than they would be raised by an increase of the quantity of labor required in all production. Expenses which affect all commodities equal- ly have no influence on prices. If the maker of broadcloth or cutlery, and nobody else, had to pay higher wages, the price of his commodity would rise, just as it would if he had to employ more labor; because otherwise he would gain less profit than other producers, and nobody would engage in the employment. But if everybody has to pay higher wages, or everybody to employ more labor, the loss must be submit- ted to ; as it affects everybody alike, no one can hope to get rid of it by a change of employment; each, therefore, re- signs himself to a diminution of profits, and prices remain as they were. In like manner, general low wages, or a gen- eral increase in the productiveness of labor, does not make prices low, but profits high. If wages fall (meaning here by wages the cost of labor), why, on that account, should the producer lower his price? He will be forced, it may be said, by the competition of other capitalists who will crowd into his employment. But other capitalists are also paying V>wer wages, and by entering into competition with him they would gain nothing but what they are gaining already. The rate, then, at which labor is paid, as well as the quantity 1 Book II, Chap. II, § 8. 462 EXCHANGE. of it which is employed, affects neither the value nor the price of the commodity produced, except in so far as it is peculiar to that commodity, and not common to commodities generally. However, without there being any change in the produc- tiveness of any industry, if the price of the article should rise, for instance, from an increased demand, that would make the total value arising from the products of the industry larger in its purchasing power, and so there would he a larger sum to he divided among labor and capital. If there be free compe- tition, more capital would move into this one industry under the hope of larger profits, and so wages would rise. There- fore, it is possible that high wages and high prices may go to- gether, but not as cause and effect. In fact, the change in price generally precedes the change in wages. On the other hand, while low wages are not the cause of low prices nor high wages of high prices, yet the two may be found together, as both due to a common cause, viz., the small or great value of the total product. 1 Since low wages are not a cause of low prices in the country itself, so neither do they cause it to offer its com- modities in foreign markets at a lower price. It is quite true that, if the cost of labor is lower in America than in England, America could sell her cottons to Cuba at a lower price than England, and still gain as high a profit as the English manufacturer. But it is not with the profit of the English manufacturer that the American cotton-spinner will make his comparison ; it is with the profits of other Ameri- can capitalists. These enjoy, in common with himself, the benefit of a low cost of labor, and have accordingly a high rate of profit. This high profit the cotton-spinner must also have : he will not content himself with the English profit. It is true he may go on for a time at that lower rate, rather than change his employment ; and a trade may be carried on, sometimes for a long period, at a much lower profit than that for which it would have been originally engaged in. Countries which have a low cost of labor and high profits do not for that reason undersell others, but they do oppose a 1 Cf. Cairnes, " Leading Principles," p. 209. THE COMPETITION OF DIFFERENT COUNTRIES. 463 more obstinate resistance to being undersold, because the pro- ducers can often submit to a diminution of profit without being unable to live, and even to thrive, by their business. But this is all which their advantage does for them ; and in this resistance they will not long persevere when a change of times which may give them equal profits with the rest of their countrymen has become manifestly hopeless. § 5. It is worth while also to notice a third class of small, but in this case mostly independent communities, which have supported and enriched themselves almost without any pro- ductions of their own (except ships and marine equipments), by a mere carrying-trade, and commerce of entrepot ; by buy- ing the produce of one country, to sell it at a profit in an- other. Such were Yenice and the Hanse Towns. When the Venetians became the agents of the general commerce of Southern Europe, they had scarcely any com- petitors : the thing would not have been done at all without them, and there was really no limit to their profits except the limit to what the ignorant feudal nobility could and would give for the unknown luxuries then first presented to their sight. At a later period competition arose, and the profit of this operation, like that of others, became amenable to natural laws. The carrying-trade was taken up by Hol- land, a country with productions of its own and a large ac- cumulated capital. The other nations of Europe also had now capital to spare, and were capable of conducting their foreign trade for themselves : but Holland, having, from the variety of circumstances, a lower rate of profit at home, could afford to carry for other countries at a smaller advance on the orginal cost of the goods than would have been required by their own capitalists ; and Holland, therefore, engrossed the greatest part of the carrying-trade of all those countries which did not keep it to themselves by navigation laws, 1 con- structed, like those of England, for the express purpose. 1 For a brief bibliography on our own Navigation Laws and the Shipping Question, see Appendix L 4-64: EXCHANGE. In the United States, early in the century, a retaliatory policy against England gave us a body of navigation laws copied after the mediaeval statutes of England and the Conti- nent, which still remain on the statute-book. They do not permit an American to buy a vessel abroad and sail it under our flag without paying enormous duties ; a provision which is intended to foster ship-building in the United States. Even with this legislation, ships, as a fact, are not built here for the foreign trade ; and our ship - builders practically supply the coasting-trade only (which is not open to foreigners). The ability to buy ships anywhere, and enter them to registry under our flag free of duty, is what is meant by the demand for " free ships." This, however, has to do with ship-building. But ship-owning or ship-sailing, is quite distinct from it. The ability to get as great a return from capital and labor invested in a ship as from other occupations open to Americans is another thing. Even if we had " free ships," the higher returns in other industries in our country, particularly as regards profits, might cause capitalists naturally to neglect a less foi? a more pro- ductive business. In 1884 Congress has very properly taken away many vexatious restrictions upon ships, which diminished the returns from ship-sailing, and it remains to be seen whether we can thereby regain any of our foreign carrying-trade. At present we have a very small tonnage even in that part of the shipping engaged in carrying our own goods. CHAPTER XXI. OF DISTRIBUTION, AS AFFECTED BY EXCHANGE. § 1. The division of the produce among the three classes, laborers, capitalists, and landlords, when considered without any reference to exchange, appeared to depend on certain general laws. It is fit that we should now consider whether these same laws still operate, when the distribution takes place through the complex mechanism of exchange and money ; or whether the properties of the mechanism inter- fere with and modify the presiding principles. The primary division of the produce of human exertion and frugality is, as we have seen, into three shares — wages, profits, and rents ; and these shares are portioned out, to the persons entitled to them, in the form of money and by a process of exchange ; or, rather, the capitalist, with whom in the usual arrangements of society the produce remains, pays in money, to the other two sharers, the market value of their labor and land. If we examine on what the pecuniary value of labor and the pecuniary value of the use of land depend, we shall find that it is on the very same causes by which we found that wages and rent would be regulated if there were no money and no exchange of commodities. It is evident, in the first place, that the law of wages is not affected by the existence or non-existence of exchange or money. "Wages depend on the ratio between population and capital [taking into account the nature of a country's indus- tries] ; and would do so if all the capital in the world were the property of one association, or if the capitalists among 30 466 EXCHANGE. whom it is shared maintained each an establishment for the production of every article consumed in the community, ex- change of commodities having no existence. As the ratio between capital and population, everywhere but in new col- onies, depends on the strength of the checks by which the too rapid increase of population is restrained, it may be said, popularly speaking, that wages depend on the checks to popu- lation ; that, when the check is not death by starvation or disease, wages depend on the prudence of the laboring peo- ple ; and that wages in any country are habitually at the lowest rate to which in that country the laborer will suffer them to be depressed rather than put a restraint upon multi- plication. What is here meant, however, by wages, is the laborer's real scale of comfort ; the quantity he obtains of the things which nature or habit has made necessary or agreeable to him : wages in the sense in which they are of importance to the receiver. In the sense in which they are of importance to the payer, they do not depend exclusively on such simple principles. Wages in the first sense, the wages on which the laborer's comfort depends, we will call real wages, or wages in kind. Wages in the second sense we may be permitted to call, for the present, money wages ; assuming, as it is al- lowable to do, that money remains for the time an invariable standard, no alteration taking place in the conditions under which the circulating medium itself is produced or obtained. If money itself undergoes no variation in cost, the money price of labor is an exact measure of the cost of labor, and may be made use of as a convenient symbol to express it [if the efficiency of labor also be supposed to remain the same]. The money wages of labor are a compound result of two elements : first, real wages, or wages in kind, or, in other words, the quantity which the laborer obtains of the ordi- nary articles of consumption ; and, secondly, the money prices of those articles. In all old countries — all countries in which the increase of population is in any degree checked by the DISTRIBUTION, AS AFFECTED BY EXCHANGE. 4.QI difficulty of obtaining subsistence — the habitual money price of labor is that which will just enable the laborers, one with another, to purchase the commodities without which they either can not or will not keep up the population at its customary rate of increase. Their standard of comfort being given (and by the standard of comfort in a laboring class is meant that rather than forego which they will abstain from multiplication), money wages depend on the money price, and therefore on the cost of production, of the various arti- cles which the laborers habitually consume : because, if their wages can not procure them a given quantity of these, their increase will slacken and their wages rise. Of these articles, food and other agricultural produce are so much the princi- pal as to leave little influence to anything else. It is at this point that we are enabled to invoke the aid of the principles which have been laid down in this Third Part. The cost of production of food and agricultural prod- uce has been analyzed in a preceding chapter. It depends on the productiveness of the least fertile land, or of the least productively employed portion of capital, which the neces- sities of society have as yet put in requisition for agricultural purposes. The cost of production of the food grown in these least advantageous circumstances determines, as we have seen, the exchange value and money price of the whole. In any given state, therefore, of the laborers' habits, their money wages depend on the productiveness of the least fer- tile land, or least productive agricultural capital : on the point which cultivation has reached in its downward progress — in its encroachments on the barren lands, and its gradually in- creased strain upon the powers of the more fertile. Now, the force which urges cultivation in this downward course is the increase of people ; while the counter-force, which checks the descent, is the improvement of agricultural sci- ence and practice, enabling the same soil to yield to the same labor more ample returns. The costliness of the most costly part of the produce of cultivation is an exact expression of the state, at any given moment, of the race which popula- 468 EXCHANGE. tion and agricultural skill are always running against each other. It will be noted, in this exposition, that Mr. Mill has in view an old country, with a population so dense that numbers are always pressing close upon subsistence ; that their wages are so low as to give the laborers little more than the necessary wants of life. That these are not the economic conditions in the United States goes without saying. First of all, the mar- gin of cultivation is bigh : only soils of high productiveness are in cultivation, and the returns to labor and capital are, con- sequently, very large. High wages are found together with low prices of food. The existing population is not so numer- ous as to require for the cultivation of food any but lands of a very high grade of fertility. The ability to command a high reward for labor (as compared with European industries), owing to the general prevalence of high returns in the United States, has resulted in the establishment of a higher standard for our laborers. The standard being relatively so high, there is no intimate connection between the increase of population here and the price of food ; for, as a rule, wages are not so low that any change in the cost of producing food would require checks upon population. There is a considerable margin above neces- saries, in the laborer's real wages in the United States, which may go for comforts, decencies, and amusements. § 2. The degree of productiveness of this extreme margin is an index to the existing state of the distribution of the produce among the three classes, of laborers, capitalists, and landlords. When the demand of an increasing population for more food can not be satisfied without extending cultiva- tion to less fertile land, or incurring additional outlay, with a less proportional return, on land already in cultivation, it is a necessary condition of this increase of agricultural produce that the value and price of that produce must first rise. The price of food will always on the average be such that the worst land, and the least productive installment of the capital employed on the better lands, shall just replace the expenses with the ordinary profit. If the least favored land and capi- tal just do thus much, all other land and capital will yield an extra profit, equal to the proceeds of the extra produce due to their superior productiveness ; and this extra profit be- comes, by competition, the prize of the landlords. Exchange DISTRIBUTION, AS AFFECTED BY EXCHANGE. 4.Q9 and money, therefore, make no difference in the law of rent : it is the same as we originally * found it. Rent is the extra return made to agricultural capital when employed with pe- culiar advantages ; the exact equivalent of what those advan- tages enable the producers to economize in the cost of pro- duction : the value and price of the produce being regulated by the cost of production to those producers who have no advantages ; by the return to that portion of agricultural capital the circumstances of which are the least favorable. § 3. Wages and rent being thus regulated by the same principles when paid in money, as they would be if appor- tioned in kind, it follows that. Profits are so likewise. For the surplus, after replacing wages and paying rent, consti- tutes Profits. We found, in the last chapter of the Second Book, that the advances of the capitalist, when analyzed to their ulti- mate elements, consist either in the purchase or maintenance of labor, or in the profits of former capitalists ; and that, therefore, profits in the last resort depend upon the Cost of Labor, falling as that rises, and rising as it falls. Let us en- deavor to trace more minutely the operation of this law. There are two modes in which the Cost of Labor, which is correctly represented (money being supposed invariable as well as efficiency) by the money wages of the laborer, may be increased. The laborer may obtain greater comforts ; wages in kind — real wages — may rise. Or the progress of population may force down cultivation to inferior soils and more costly processes ; thus raising the cost of production, the value, and the price, of the chief articles of the laborer's consumption. On either of these suppositions the rate of profit will fall. If the laborer obtains more abundant commodities only by reason of their greater cheapness, if he obtains a greater quantity, but not on the whole a greater cost, real wages will be increased, but not money wages, and there will be 1 Book III, Chap. Ill, § 1. 470 EXCHANGE. nothing to affect the rate of profit. But, if he obtains a greater quantity of commodities of which the cost of pro- duction is not lowered, he obtains a greater cost ; his money wages are higher. The expense of these increased money wages falls wholly on the capitalist. There are no conceiv- able means by which he can shake it off. It may be said — it used formerly to be said — that he will get rid of it by rais- ing his price. But this opinion we have already, and more than once, fully refuted. 1 The doctrine, indeed, that a rise of wages causes an equivalent rise of prices, is, as we formerly observed, self- contradictory : for, if it did so, it would not be a rise of wages; the laborer would get no more of any commodity than he had before, let his money wages rise ever so much ; a rise of real wages would be an impossibility. This being equally contrary to reason and to fact, it is evident that a rise of money wages does not raise prices ; that high wages are not a cause of high prices. A rise of general wages falls on profits. There is no possible alternative. Having disposed of the case in which the increase of money wages, and of the Cost of Labor, arises from the laborer's obtaining more ample wages in kind, let us now suppose it to arise from the increased cost of production of the things which he consumes, owing to an increase of popu- lation unaccompanied by an equivalent increase of agricult- ural skill. The augmented supply required by the popula- tion would not be obtained, unless the price of food rose sufficiently to remunerate the farmer for the increased cost of production. The farmer, however, in this case sustains a twofold disadvantage. He has to carry on his cultivation under less favorable conditions of productiveness than before. For this, as it is a disadvantage belonging to him only as a farmer, and not shared by other employers, he will, on the general principles of value, be compensated by a rise of the price of his commodity; indeed, until this rise has taken 1 Supra, Book III, Chap. II, § 2, and Chap. XX, § 4. DISTRIBUTION, AS AFFECTED BY EXCHANGE. 471 place, he will not bring to market the required increase of produce. But this very rise of price involves him in another necessity, for which he is not compensated. He must pay higher money wages to his laborers [if they retain the same quantity of real wages]. This necessity, being common to him with all other capitalists, forms no ground for a rise of price. The price will rise, until it has placed him in as good a situation, in respect of profits, as other employers of labor ; it will rise so as to indemnify him for the increased labor which he must now employ in order to produce a given quantity of food ; but the increased wages of that labor are a burden common to all, and for which no one can be indem- nified. It will be paid wholly from profits. Thus we see that increased wages, when common to all descriptions of productive laborers, and when really repre- senting a greater Cost of Labor, are always and necessarily at the expense of profits. And by reversing the cases, we should find in like manner that diminished wages, when representing a really diminished Cost of Labor, are equiva- lent to a rise of profits. But the opposition of pecuniary interest thus indicated between the class of capitalists and that of laborers is to a great extent only apparent. Real wages are a very different thing from the Cost of Labor, and are generally highest at the times and places where, from the easy terms on which the land yields all the produce as yet required from it, the value and price of food being low, the cost of labor to the employer, notwithstanding its ample remuneration, is comparatively cheap, and the rate of profit consequently high, as at present in the United States. "We thus obtain a full confirmation of our original theorem that Profits depend on the Cost of Labor : or, to express the meaning with still greater accuracy, the rate of profit and the cost of labor vary inversely as one another, and are joint effects of the same agencies or causes. BOOK IT. INFLUENCE OF THE PROGRESS OF SOCIETY ON PRODUCTION AND DISTRIBUTION. BOOK IV. INFLUENCE OF THE PROGRESS OF SOCIETY ON PRO- DUCTION AND DISTRIBUTION. CHAPTEE I. INFLUENCE OF THE PROGRESS OF INDUSTRY AND POPULATION ON VALUES AND PRICES. § 1. In the leading countries of the world, and in all others as they come within the influence of those leading countries, there is at least one progressive movement which continues with little interruption from year to year and from genera- tion to generation — a progress in wealth ; an advancement in what is called material prosperity. All the nations which we are accustomed to call civilized increase gradually in pro- duction and in population : and there is no reason to doubt that not only these nations will for some time continue so to increase, but that most of the other nations of the world, including some not yet founded, will successively enter upon the same career. It will, therefore, be our first object to examine the nature and consequences of this progressive change, the elements which constitute it, and the effects it produces on the various economical facts of which we have been tracing the laws, and especially on wages, profits, rents, values, and prices. Of the features which characterize this progressive eco- nomical movement of civilized nations, that which first ex- cites attention, through its intimate connection with the phe- nomena of Production, is the perpetual, and, so far as human foresight can extend (1), the unlimited, growth of man's 476 INFLUENCE OF THE PROGEESS OF SOCIETY. power over nature. Our knowledge of the properties and laws of physical objects shows no sign of approaching its ultimate boundaries : it is advancing more rapidly, and in a greater number of directions at once, than in any previous ao-e or generation, and affording such frequent glimpses of unexplored fields beyond as to justify the belief that our acquaintance with nature is still almost in its infancy. Another change, which has always hitherto characterized, and will assuredly continue to characterize, the progress of civilized society, is (2) a continual increase of the security of person and property. Of this increased security, one of the most unfailing effects is a great increase both of production and of accumulation. Industry and frugality can not exist where there is not a preponderant probability that those who labor and spare will be permitted to enjoy. One of the changes which most infallibly attend the progress of modern society is, (3) an improvement in the business capacities of the general mass of mankind. I do not mean that the practical sagacity of an individual human being is greater than formerly. What is lost in the separate efficiency of each is far more than made up by the greater capacity of united action. Works of all sorts, impracticable to the savage or the half-civilized, are daily accomplished by civilized nations, not by any greatness of faculties in the actual agents, but through the fact that each is able to rely with certainty on the others for the portion of the work which they respectively undertake. The peculiar character- istic, in short, of civilized beings, is the capacity of co-opera- tion ; and this, like other faculties, tends to improve by prac- tice, and becomes capable of assuming a constantly wider sphere of action. [This progress affords] space and scope for an indefinite increase of capital and production, and for the increase of population which is its ordinary accompaniment. That the growth of population will overpass the increase of produc- tion, there is not much reason to apprehend. It is, however, quite possible that there might be a great progress in indus- INFLUENCE ON VALUES AND PRICES. 477 trial improvement, and in the signs of what is commonly- called national prosperity ; a great increase of aggregate wealth, and even, in some respects, a better distribution of it ; that not only the rich might grow richer, but many of the poor might grow rich, that the intermediate classes might become more numerous and powerful, and the means of en- joyable existence be more and more largely diffused, while yet the great class at the base of the whole might increase in numbers only, and not in comfort nor in cultivation. We must, therefore, in considering the effects of the progress of industry, admit as a supposition, however greatly we depre- cate as a fact, an increase of population as long-continued, as indefinite, and possibly even as rapid, as the increase of pro- duction and accumulation. § 2. The changes which the progress of industry causes or presupposes in the circumstances of production are neces- sarily attended with changes in the values of commodities. The permanent values of all things which are neither under a natural nor under an artificial monopoly depend, as we have seen, on their cost of production. (1.) But the in- creasing power which mankind are constantly acquiring over nature increases more and more the efficiency of human ex- ertion, or, in other words, diminishes cost of production. All inventions by which a greater quantity of any commodity can be produced with the same labor, or the same quantity with less labor, or which abridge the process, so that the capital employed needs not be advanced for so long a time, lessen the cost of production of the commodity. As, how- ever, value is relative, if inventions and improvements in production were made in all commodities, and all in the same degree, there would be no alteration in values. As for prices, in these circumstances they would be af- fected or not, according as the improvements in production did or did not extend to the precious metals. If the mate- rials of money were an exception to the general diminution of cost of production, the values of all other things would fall in relation to money — that is, there would be a fall of gen- 478 INFLUENCE OF THE PROGRESS OF SOCIETY. eral prices throughout the world. But if money, like other things, and in the same degree as other things, were obtained in greater abundance and cheapness, prices would be no more affected than values would. As regards the precious metals, it is to be said that since 1850 there has been a vast increase in their amount, and prob- ably in greater proportion than the need arising from increased transactions. This is certainly true of silver ; and it is admitted to be true of gold as late as about 1865. It has been asserted by Mr. Goschen that since then, especially since 1873, gold has not existed in a quantity that would permit it to keep its former proportions to commodities, and that it had appreciated. An appreciation, of course, would show itself in lower gold prices. On the other hand, gold has, as I think, not appreciated. Prices, even in the collapse of credit after the panic of 1873 down to 1879, were not quite so low as in 1845-1850, as is seen by the following table taken from the London " Economist " — 2,200 indicating the price of a given number of articles in 1845- 1850, as the basis of the table with which the prices of other years are compared : TEAK. Index numbers. TEAE. Index numbers. 1845-1850 1857, July 1 1858, January 1. . . 1865 2,200 2,996 2,612 3,575 3,564 3,024 2,682 2,666 2,689 2,590 2,835 a .2 Oi u - 1873 f 1874 1875 1876 1877 1878 J879 ""1880 2,947 2,891 2,778 2,711 2,723 2 529 1866 1867 1868 2,202 1869 2,538 2,376 2,435 1870 1881 1882 1871 1872 1883 2,343 But the progress of society, particularly in the direction of improved and cheapened processes of manufacturing, has vastly lowered the cost of a great number of articles of common con- sumption. The process has been already seen in the diminished charge for railway transportation (see Chart No. V). More- over, the years of a depression are exactly those in which there is always a forced economy, and is generally a period in which cheapening goes on at its best. Hence, if prices have had a tendency to fall, owing to the lowered cost of production con- sequent on improvements — and if they are not, as a rule, lower than in 1850 — it shows that they are still supported by the high tide of the great gold production of this century. And INFLUENCE ON VALUES AND PRICES. 479 even the access to more fertile land in the world has not tended to cause an increase in the prices of agricultural products such as would offset the fall of manufactured goods. That is, the fact that prices have not fallen as much as might be expected, indi- cates that the gold has prevented the lower costs due to the progress of industry from being fully seen. Improvements in production are not the only circum- stance accompanying the progress of industry, which tends to diminish the cost of producing, or at least of obtaining, commodities. (2.) Another circumstance is the increase of intercourse between different parts of the world. As com- merce extends, and the ignorant attempts to restrain it by tariffs become obsolete, commodities tend more and more to be produced in the places in which their production can be carried on at the least expense of labor and capital to man- kind. (3.) Much will also depend on the increasing migra- tion of labor and capital to unoccupied parts of the earth, of which the soil, climate, and situation are found, by the ample means of exploration now possessed, to promise not only a large return to industry, but great facilities of producing commodities suited to the markets of old countries. Much as the collective industry of the earth is likely to be increased in efficiency by the extension of science and of the industrial arts, a still more active source of increased cheapness of pro- duction will be found, probably, for some time to come, in the gradually unfolding consequences of Free Trade, and in the increasing scale on which Emigration and Colonization will be carried on. From the causes now enumerated, unless counteracted by others, the progress of things enables a country to obtain, at less and less of real cost, not only its own productions but those of foreign countries. Indeed, whatever diminishes the cost of its own productions, when of an exportable character, enables it, as we have already seen, to obtain its imports at less real cost. § 3. Are no causes of an opposite character, brought into operation by the same progress, sufficient in some cases not only to neutralize but to overcome the former, and convert 480 INFLUENCE OF THE PROGRESS OF SOCIETY. the descending movement of cost of production into an ascending movement ? "We are already aware that there are such causes, and that, in the case of the most important classes of commodities, food, and materials, there is a tend- ency diametrically opposite to that of which we have been speaking. The cost of production of these commodities tends to increase. This is not a property inherent in the commodities them- selves. If population were stationary, and the produce of the earth never needed to be augmented in quantity, there would be no cause for greater cost of production. 1 The only products of industry which, if population did not increase, would be liable to a real increase of cost of production, are those which, depending on a material which is not renewed, are either wholly or partially exhaustible, such as coal, and most if not all metals ; for even iron, the most abundant as well as most useful of metallic products, which forms an in- gredient of most minerals and of almost all rocks, is suscepti- ble of exhaustion so far as regards its richest and most tract- able ores. When, however, population increases, as it has never yet failed to do, then comes into effect that fundamental law of production from the soil on which we have so frequently had occasion to expatiate, the law that increased labor, in any given state of agricultural skill, is attended with a less than proportional increase of produce. The cost of produc tion of the fruits of the earth increases, cceteris paribus, with every increase of the demand. Mr. Cairnes has made some essential contributions to the discussion of changes of value arising from the progress of society : a " When a colony establishes itself in a new country, the course of its industrial development naturally follows the character of the opportunities offered to industrial enterprise 1 Henry George, however, asserts that, " irrespective of the increase of population, the effect of improvements in methods of production and exchange is to increase rent " (" Progress and Poverty," p. 220). 2 " Leading Principles," Part T, chap. v. INFLUENCE ON VALUES AND PRICES. 481 by the environment. These will, of course, vary a good deal, according to the part of the world in which the new society happens to be placed ; but, speaking broadly, they will be such as to draw the bulk of the industrial activity of the new people into some one or more of those branches of industry which have been conveniently designated 'extractive.' Agriculture, pastoral and mining pursuits, and the cutting of lumber, are among the principal of such industries." To these pursuits apply " that law of Political Economy, or, more properly, of physical nature, which Mr. Mill has rightly characterized as the most important proposition in economic science — the law, as he phrased it, of ' diminishing productiveness.' It may be thus briefly stated : In any given state of the arts of produc- tion, the returns to human industry employed upon natural agents will, up to a certain point, be the maximum which those natural agents, cultivated with the degree of skill brought to bear upon them, are capable of yielding ; but, after this point has been passed, though an increased application of labor and capital will obtain an increased return, it will not obtain a proportionally increased return ; on the contrary, every further increase of outlay — always assuming that the skill employed in applying it continues the same as before — will be attended with a return constantly diminishing. . . . What I am now concerned to show is the manner in which, with the progress of society, the law in question affects the course of normal ' values in all commodities coming under its influence. " The class of commodities in the production of which the facilities possessed by new communities, as compared with old, attain their greatest height, are those of which timber and meat may be taken as the type, and comprises such articles as wool, game, furs, hides, horns, pitch, resin, etc. The circum- stance which most powerfully affects the course of values in the products of extractive industry, and in the commodities just referred to among the rest, is the degree in which they admit of being transported from place to place — that is to say, their portableness — depending, as it does, partly on their dura- bility and partly on their bulk." It is found that, taking tim- ber and meat as a type — one possessing portableness in a vastly greater degree than the other — in the early settlement of a new country, the portable article, like timber, at once rises in price "to a level lower than that prevailing in old countries only by the cost of transport " ; on the other hand, perishable articles like meat are " confined for a market, if not to the immediate 1 For the distinction between normal and market values, see supra, Book III, Chap. II, § 4, and p. 269. 31 482 INFLUENCE OF THE PROGRESS OF SOCIETY. locality where it is produced, at least to the bordering coun- tries ; and, being raised in new countries at very low cost, their value during the early stages of their growth is necessarily low. But, as population advances, and agriculture encroaches on the natural pasture-lands originally available for the rearing of cattle, still more as it becomes necessary to cultivate land for the purpose of pasture, the cost of meat constantly rises." As population increases there will be an increased demand for dairy-products, eggs, small fruits, fresh vegetables, milk, etc., and thereby it becomes more profitable to employ land near populous centers for such perishable products than for the products of large farming. Almost every one, who knows the high prices of butter, eggs, and vegetables in large cities as compared with their prices in country districts, is familiar with the phenomena which illustrate this principle. Moreover, as a denser population settles on our Western prairies, now given over to ranches and vast pasturing-grounds for cattle — since cattle in general require a large extent of land — the cost of meat will rise. The prices of perishable articles, therefore, will rise without any limit except that set by increasing num- bers, and can not be kept down by the force of competition from other distant places, as is the case with such easily trans- portable things as timber and wool. What has been said of the transportableness of meat, however, is to be modified some- what by the introduction of improved processes of transport- ing meat in refrigerator-cars ; but there still exist commodities of which meat was only taken as a type. No tendency of a like kind exists with respect to manu- factured articles. The tendency is in the contrary direction. The larger the scale on which manufacturing operations are carried on, the more cheaply they can in general be per- formed. As manufactures, however, depend for their mate- rials either upon agriculture, or mining, or the spontaneous produce of the earth, manufacturing industry is subject, in respect of one of its essentials, to the same law as agriculture. But the crude material generally forms so small a portion of the total cost that any tendency which may exist to a pro- gressive increase in that single item is much overbalanced by the diminution continually taking place in all the other elements ; to which diminution it is impossible at present to assign any limit. It follows that the exchange values of manufactured arti- INFLUENCE ON VALUES AND PRICES. 483 cles, compared with the products of agriculture and of mines, have, as population and industry advance, a certain and decided tendency to fall. Money being a product of mines, it may also be laid down as a rule that manufactured articles tend, as society advances, to fall in money price. The industrial history of modern nations, especially during the last hundred years, fully bears out this assertion. In regard to manufactures, as opposed to raw products, it is to be remarked " that, as the course of price in the field of raw products is, on the whole, upward, so in that of manufact- ured goods the course is, not less strikingly, in the opposite direction. The reasons of this are exceedingly plain. In the first place, division of laboi — the first and most powerful of all cheapeners of production, but for which there is in extract- ive industry but very limited scope — finds in manufacturing industry an almost unbounded range for its application ; and, secondly, it is in manufacturing industry also that machinery \ the other great cheapener of production, admits of being em- ployed on the largest scale, and has, in fact, been employed with the most signal success. It follows at once from these facts, taken in connection with the further fact that industrial invention does not take place per saltum, but gradually — one invention ever treading on the heels of another — and that its advance seems to be subject to no limitation ; it follows, I say, from these considerations, that that portion of the cost of manu- factured goods which properly belongs to the manufacturing process must, with the progress of society, undergo constant diminution. ... In all the great branches of manufacturing industry the portion of the cost incurred in the manufactur- ing process bears in general a large proportion to that repre- sented by the raw material, while the influence of industrial invention, in reducing this portion of the cost, is, as every one knows, great and unremitting in its action." As has been said, " the two great cheapeners of production are division of labor and machinery, and the degree in which these admit of being applied to manufacture is mainiy depend- ent upon the scale on which the manufacturing process is car- ried on. Those manufactures, therefore, that are produced upon a large scale are the sort of manufactures in which we may expect the greatest reduction in cost ; in which, there- fore, the fall in price, with the progress of society, will be most marked. But the manufactures which are produced upon the largest scale are those for which there exists the largest demand — that is to say, are those which enter most extensively into the consumption of the great mass of people. They are 484 INFLUENCE OF THE PROGRESS OF SOCIETY. also, I may add, those in which a fall in price is apt to stimu- late a great increase of demand. All the common kinds of clothing, furniture, and utensils fall within the scope of this remark ; and it is in these, rather than in the commodities con- sumed exclusively or mainly by the richer classes, that we should, accordingly, expect to find the greatest marvels of cheapen- ing." But the articles of common consumption are those in which "the amount of manufacture bestowed upon them bears a smaller proportion to the raw material than is the case with the more elaborate manufactures. Such coarser manufactures, therefore, would feel the effects of the advancing cost of the raw material more sensibly than the refined sorts. Neverthe- less, it can not be supposed to compensate the advantages due to the causes I have pointed out which fall to the share of the commoner sorts. It is in this class of goods that the most re- markable reductions in price have been accomplished in the past, and it is in them, probably, that we shall witness in the future the greatest results of the same kind." § 4. Whether agricultural produce increases in absolute as well as comparative cost of production depends on the conflict of the two antagonist agencies — increase of popula- tion and improvement in agricultural skill. In some, per- haps in most, states of society (looking at the whole surface of the earth), both agricultural skill and population are either stationary, or increase very slowly, and the cost of produc- tion of food, therefore, is nearly stationary. In a society which is advancing in wealth, population generally increases faster than agricultural skill, and food consequently tends to become more costly ; but there are times when a strong im- pulse sets in toward agricultural improvement. Such an im- pulse has shown itself in Great Britain during the last fifteen or twenty years [before 1847]. In England and Scotland agricultural skill has of late increased considerably faster than population, insomuch that food and other agricultural produce, notwithstanding the increase of people, can be grown at less cost than they were thirty years ago ; and the abolition of the Corn Laws has given an additional stimulus to the spirit of improvement. In some other countries, and particularly in France, the improvement of agriculture gains ground still more decidedly upon population, because though INFLUENCE ON VALUES AND PRICES. 485 agriculture, except in a few provinces, advances slowly, population advances still more slowly, and even with increas- ing slowness, its growth being kept down, not by poverty, which is diminishing, but by prudence. Moreover, the cheapened cost of transportation has admit- ted to England and the Continent the wheat supplies of our Western States at a low price even after having been carried to transatlantic markets. New methods of getting food-supplies from foreign countries act equally with improvements at home. § 5. Thus far, of the effect of the progress of society on the permanent or average values and prices of commodities. It remains to be considered in what manner the same prog- ress affects their fluctuations. Concerning the answer to this question there can be no doubt. It tends in a very high de- gree to diminish them. In poor and backward societies, as in the East, and in Europe during the middle ages, extraordinary differences in the price of the same commodity might exist in places not very distant from each other, because the want of roads and canals, the imperfection of marine navigation, and the inse- curity of communications generally, prevented things from being transported from the places where they were cheap to those where they were dear. The things most liable to fluctuations in value, those directly influenced by the sea- sons, and especially food, were seldom carried to any great distances. In most years, accordingly, there was, in some part or other of any large country, a real dearth ; while a deficiency at all considerable, extending to the whole world, is [now] a thing almost unknown. In modern times, there- fore, there is only dearth, where there formerly would have been famine, and sufficiency everywhere when anciently there would have been scarcity in some places and superfluity in others. The same change has taken place with respect to all other articles of commerce. The safety and cheapness of commu- nications, which enable a deficiency in one place to be sup- plied from the surplus of another, at a moderate or even a 486 INFLUENCE OF THE PROGRESS OF SOCIETY. small advance on the ordinary price, render the fluctuations of prices much less extreme than formerly. This effect is much promoted by the existence of large capitals, belonging to what are called speculative merchants, whose business it is to buy goods in order to resell them at a profit. These dealers naturally buying things when they are cheapest, and storing them up to be brought again into the market when the price has become ususually high, the tendency of their operations is to equalize price, or at least to moderate its ine- qualities. The prices of things are neither so much depressed at one time, nor so much raised at another, as they would be if speculative dealers did not exist. Mr. Mill uses the term "speculative" in a different sense from that which is customary in this country. Merchants who buy outright and store up grain are not speculators in the sense in which the word is used with us ; but those gamblers who purchase, " for future delivery," grain which they never see, and which they sell in the same way, are here known as speculators. It appears, then, that the fluctuations of values and prices arising from variations of supply, or from alterations in real (as distinguished from speculative) demand, may be expected to become more moderate as society advances. With regard to those which arise from miscalculation, and especially from the alternations of undue expansion and excessive contrac- tion of credit, which occupy so conspicuous a place among commercial phenomena, the same thing can not be affirmed with equal confidence. Such vicissitudes, beginning with irrational speculation and ending with a commercial crisis, have not hitherto become either less frequent or less violent with the growth of capital and extension of industry. Rather they may be said to have become more so, in consequence, as is often said, of increased competition, but, as I prefer to say, of a lower rate of profits and interest, which makes capi- talists dissatisfied with the ordinary course of safe mercantile gains. The connection of this low rate of profit with the advance of population and accumulation is one of the points to be illustrated in the ensuing chapters. INFLUENCE ON VALUES AND PRICES. 487 Mr. Cairnes also adds some investigations as to the fluctua- tions of value : " Hitherto I have examined the derivative laws of value in so far only as they are exemplified in the move- ments of normal prices. It will be interesting now to consider whether it is possible to discover in the movements of market prices any corresponding phenomena. " Taking manufactures first, it is evident at once that, as regards conditions of protection, the circumstances of the case are such as to secure, in general, (1) great rapidity and great certainty in bringing commodities to market. A deal table may be made in a few hours, a piece of cloth in a few weeks, and a moderate-sized house in a month or little more. Tables, cloth, and houses may be produced with certainty in any quan- tity required. It results from this that it is scarcely possible that, under ordinary circumstances, the selling price of a prod- uct of manufacture should for any long time much exceed its normal price. (2.) The nature of manufactures is, in general, such as to fit them admirably for distant transport. Any con- siderable elevation of price, therefore, is pretty certain to at- tract supplies from remote sources. (3.) Further, considered in their relation to human needs, I think it may be said of manu- factured goods, that either the need for them is not very urgent, or, where it happens to be so, substitutes . . . may easily be found. From all these circumstances it results that an advance in the price . . . either attracts supplies, or deters purchasers, . . . preventing any great departure from the usual terms of the market. " Turning now to the products of agricultural, pastoral, or, more generally, ' extractive ' industry, we find the circum- stances under which this class of goods is brought to market in all respects extremely different from those which we have just examined, and such as to permit a much wider margin of deviation for the market from the normal price. Here the period of production is longer, the result of the process much more uncertain, the commodity at once more perishable and less portable, and human requirements in relation to it are mostly of a more urgent kind : (1.) The shortest period within which additions can be made to the supply of food and raw material of the vegetable kind is in general a year, and, if the com- modity be of animal origin, the minimum is considerably larger. (2.) Again, the farmer may decide upon the breadth of ground to be devoted to a particular crop, or upon the number of cat- tle he will maintain ; but the actual returns will vary accord- ing to the season, and may prove far in excess or far in defect of his calculations. These circumstances all present obstacles to the adjustment of supply and demand, and consequently tend to produce frequent and extensive deviations of the mar- 488 INFLUENCE OF THE PROGRESS OF SOCIETY. ket from the normal price. Nor are the other conditions of the case such as to neutralize the influence of such disturbing agen- cies. (3.) The nature, indeed, of some of the principal agri- cultural products fits them sufficiently well for distant trans- port, and so far tends to correct fluctuations of price. But, on the other hand, (4) the relation of these products to human wants is such as greatly to enhance that tendency to violent fluctuation incident to the conditions of their production. More especially is this the case with the commodity, whatever it may be, which forms the staple food of a people. For observe the peculiar nature of human requirements with reference to such a commodity. They are of this kind, that, given the number of a population, the quantity of the staple food required is nearly a fixed quantity, and this almost irrespective of price. Except among the poorest, increased cheapness will not stimulate a larger consumption ; while, on the other hand, all, at any cost within the range of their means, will obtain their usual supply. The consequence is that, when even a moderate deficiency or excess occurs in the supply of the staple food of a people, in the one case (a), the competition of consumers for their usual quantum of food rapidly forces up the price far out of propor- tion to the diminution in the supply ; in the other (b), no one being inclined to increase his usual consumption, the competi- tion of sellers, in their eagerness to find a market for the super- fluous portion of the supply, is equally powerful to depress it." CHAPTER II. INFLUENCE OF THE PROGRESS OF INDUSTRY AND POPULATION ON RENTS, PROFITS, AND WAGES. § 1. Continuing the inquiry into the nature of the eco- nomical changes taking place in a society which is in a state of industrial progress, we shall next consider what is the effect of that progress on the distribution of the produce among the various classes who share in it. We may confine our attention to the system of distribution which is the most complex, and which virtually includes all others — that in which the produce of manufactures is shared between two classes, laborers and capitalists, and the produce of agricult- ure among three, laborers, capitalists, and landlords. The characteristic features of what is commonly meant by industrial progress resolve themselves mainly into three, increase of capital, increase of population, and improvements in production ; understanding the last expression, in its widest sense, to include the process of procuring commodi- ties from a distance, as well as that of producing them. It will be convenient to set out by considering each of the three causes, as operating separately ; after which we can suppose them combined in any manner we think fit. 1 § 2. For the sake of clearness we will form two general groups of these causes : A. The Influence of Population and Capital (Improve- ments remaining stationary). B. The Influence of Improvements {Population and Capi- tal remaining stationary). 1 Before beginning this discussion the reader is advised to review the rela- tion of profits to cost of labor, and the dependence of the latter on its three factors, Book II, Chap. V, § 5. 490 INFLUENCE OF THE PROGEESS OF SOCIETY. We will first take up A, and under this division make for convenience two separate suppositions : I. The first is that, while Population is advancing, Capital is stationary. By this means we can study separately the opera- tion of one of the factors of societary progress, Population, and see its influence on rents, profits, and wages. There heing only the same given quantity of wealth in the form of capital to be now distributed among more laborers (1), real wages must fall ; whereupon, if the same capital purchases more labor, and obtains 'more produce (2), profits rise. Now, if the laborers were so well off before as to suffer the reduction of wages to take place not in their food, but in their other comforts, then, if each laborer uses as much food as before, and if, as by the supposition, there are more laborers, an increased quantity of food will be required from the soil. This supply can be pro- duced only at a greater cost, and, as inferior soils are called into cultivation (3), rents will rise. This last action (3), how- ever, will have an influence on the rise of profits (2). For it was only by a reduction of real wages that profits rose ; but if the cost of food, that is, the real wages, have since risen, then one of the elements entering into cost of labor has risen, and in so far will offset the fall of real wages ; so that profits will not gain so much as if rents had not risen. The result of this first supposition, then, is, that the landlord is the chief gainer : I. (1.) Wages fall. (2.) Profits rise (less if rents rise). Rents rise. n II. We will now take up the second supposition under A, that while Capital is advancing Population remains stationary. Then, of course (1), wages will rise ; and, as there is no im- provement to cheapen the cost of their real wages, there will be an increase in cost of labor to the capitalist, and (2) prof- its will fall. If, now, the laborers, being better off, demand more food, the new food would cost more, as the margin of cultivation was pushed down, and (3) rents would inevitably rise. But not only have the laborers received more real wages, but since that change the cost, as just described, of these real wages has increased. Therefore (2), profits would fall still more than by the rise of real wages. In this supposition, con- sequently, while the laborer gains, so does the landlord : II. (1.) Wages rise. (2.) Profits fall (more if rents rise). (3.) Rents rise. A. It is easy for us now to take into our view the total effects under A, and see what the combined action of I and PROGRESS OF INDUSTRY AND POPULATION. 491 II would be. That is, if both Capital and Population (im- provements remaining stationary) increase, what will be the effect on Wages, Profits, and Rent ? Of course, we must sup- pose that Capital and Population just keep pace with each other ; and in that case (1) real wages remain the same, each laborer receiving the same quantity and same quality of com- modities as before. Hence, if each laborer receives the same quantity as before, and there are many more laborers, there will be an increased demand put upon the soil for food, poorer soils will be cultivated, and the cost of the products will rise. So (3) rents rise. But if each laborer receives the same quan- tity of real wages as before, and the cost of them has risen, as just explained, an increased cost of labor will result which must come out of profits. (2) Profits will fall. So that the results of A upon distribution, taken separately from B, are that the owner of capital loses ; but the owner of land again gains. A. (1.) Wages the same. (2.) Profits fall. (3.) Rents rise. § 3. Now, let us go back to our first general group of causes, B — an advance in the arts of pi*oduction (while capital and population remain stationary). We can now study by themselves the effect of improvements on wages, profits, and rent. The general effects arising from the extended intro- duction of machinery into agriculture and manufactures, the lowered cost of transportation by steam, have been to lessen the value of articles consumed chiefly by the laboring-classes. For the sake of clearness, imagine that the irmprovement comes suddenly. The first effect will be to lower the value and price of articles entering into the real wages of the laborers ; and, if those consist mostly of food, thei'e will be a rise in the margin of cultivation and a fall in rents (3). It has been previously shown ' that improvements retard, or put back, the law of diminishing returns from land (or in manufactures compensate for it), and so lower rents. The poorest soil cultivated is now of a better grade than before, and the produce is yielded at a less cost and value ; so that the land with which the best grades are compared, to determine the rent, is not separated from the best grades by so wide a gap. It would at first blush seem, then, that the interests of the landlord were antagonistic to improve- ments, since they lower rents ; but, in practice, it is not so, as we shall soon see. We have seen that improvements cheapen the price of arti- 1 Book I, Chap. IX. 492 INFLUENCE OF THE PROGRESS OF SOCIETY. cles entering into the real wages of the laborer. Having had a given sum as money wages before the change, then, when the sudden change of improvements came, it lowered prices to the laborer, and the same money wages bought more (1) real wages. If nothing more happened, we could see that improve- ments raised real wages — without lowering (2) profits (because cost of labor remains the same, since the lowered cost of the articles consumed was exactly in proportion to the increase of real wages). And, if the laborers chose to retain this higher standard, this would be the situation. Sadly enough, however, in practice they are apt to be satisfied with the old standard ; and the amount of real wages to give the old standard of liv- ing can be had now for less money wages. While only the same number, without any increase, can live at the new (higher) standard, a larger number can live at the old (lower) standard. In short, the obstacles to an increase of population will be re- moved by the possession of higher money wages. After a generation, it is very probable that a larger number of laborers will be in existence living at the same (or possibly a slightly higher) standard of real wages, and money wages will have fallen. Now we can understand better than before what would be the practical result of the causes under B. (3.) Rent has fall- en ; money wages have fallen (even if (2) real wages have not) ; and, since real wages have not fallen in the proportion that their cost has been reduced, (2) profits will have risen. The general result of the causes under B alone, acting as just de- scribed, will then be : B. (1.) Real wages remain the same ; money wages less. (2.) Profits rise. (3.) Rents fall. § 4. We have considered, on the one hand, under A, the manner in which the distribution of the produce into rent, profits, and wages is affected by the ordinary increase of Popu- lation and Capital ; and on the other, under B, how it is affected by improvements in production, and more especially in agricult- ure, as follows : A. (1.) Wages the same. B. (1.) Real wages the same, money wages less. (2.) Profits fall. (2.) Profits rise. (3.) Rents rise. (3.) Rents fall. The effects are clearly contrasted. Under A, we see a tend- ency to a rise of rents (3), an increased cost of labor, and a fall of profits (2) ; under B, a fall of rents (3), a diminished cost of labor, and a rise of profits (2). We have, therefore, analyzed PROGRESS OF INDUSTRY AND POPULATION. 493 the forces belonging to the progress of industry, and found two distinct and antagonistic forces, working against each other. If, at any period, improvements (B) advance faster than popu- lation and capital (A), rent and money wages will tend down- ward and profits upward. If, on the other hand, population advances faster than improvements (B) either the laborers will submit to a reduction in the quantity or quality of their food, or, if not, rent and money wages will progressively rise, and profits will fall. § 5. This, however, is not the final and practical result. We have hitherto supposed that improvements, B, come sud- denly. In point of fact, agricultural skill is slowly diffused, and inventions and discoveries are, in general, only occasional, not continuous in their action, as is the increase of capital and population. Inasmuch as it seldom happens that improvement has so much the start of population and capital as actually to lower rent, or raise the rate of profits, population almost every- where " treads close on the heels of agricultural improvement," and effaces its effects as fast as they are produced. The reason why agricultural improvement seldom lowers rent is, that it seldom cheapens food, but only prevents it from growing dearer ; and seldom, if ever, throws land out of cultivation, but only enables worse and worse land to be taken in for the supply of an increasing demand. What is sometimes called the natural state of a country which is but half cultivated, namely, that the land is highly productive, and food obtained in great abundance by little labor, is only true of unoccupied countries colonized by a civilized people. In the United States the worst land in cultivation is of a high quality (except sometimes in the immediate vicinity of mar- kets or means of conveyance, where a bad quality is compen- sated by a good situation) ; and even if no further improve- ments were made in agriculture or locomotion, cultivation would have many steps yet to descend, before the increase of population and capital would be brought to a stand ; but in Europe five hundred years ago, though so thinly peopled in comparison to the present population, it is probable that the worst land under the plow was, from the rude state of agriculture, quite as unproductive as the worst land now cul- tivated, and that cultivation had approached as near to the ultimate limit of profitable tillage in those times as in the 494 INFLUENCE OF THE PROGRESS OF SOCIETY. present. What the agricultural improvements since made have really done is, by increasing the capacity of production of land in general, to enable tillage to extend downward to a much worse natural quality of land than the worst which at that time would have admitted of cultivation by a capital- ist for profit ; thus rendering a much greater increase of capi- tal and population possible, and removing always a little and a little further oft' the barrier which restrains them ; popu- lation meanwhile always pressing so hard against the barrier that there is never any visible margin left for it to seize, every inch of ground made vacant for it by improvement being at once filled up by its advancing columns. Agricult- ural improvement may thus be considered to be not so much a counter-force conflicting with increase of population as a partial relaxation of the bonds which confine that increase. Now, since improvements enable a much poorer quality of land to be ultimately cultivated, under the constant pressure of the increase of population and capital, improvements enable rent (3) in the end to rise gradually to a much higher limit than it could otherwise have attained. If a great agricultural improvement were suddenly introduced, it might throw back rent for a considerable space, leaving it to regain its lost ground by the progress of population and capital, and afterward to go on further. But taking place, as such improvement always does, very gradually, it causes no retrograde movement of either rent or cultivation ; it merely enables the one to go on rising, and the other extending, long after they must otherwise have stopped. Inasmuch as, in point of fact, B never gets the start of A, but follows along with A, the general result will be that which we found true under A— a rise of rents (3), and increased cost of labor to the capitalist, arising from an increased cost of labor- ers' subsistence and a fall of profits (2). The effect of a more rapid advance of improvements, at any one time, will tem- porarily better the_ condition of the laborers and also raise profits ; but, if it is followed immediately by an increase of population, the land -owners will reap the benefits of the im- provement in the rise of rent. The final result, then, is as fol- lows : PROGRESS OF INDUSTRY AND POPULATION. 495 (1.) Real wages, probably higher. (2.) Profits fall. (3.) Rents rise. It is possible that a different combination from the above may sometimes occur in the causes which underlie the progress of society : (1.) There may be a period in which capital is in- creasing more rapidly than population, and when there seems to be an era of industrial improvements also. Then both wages and profits will be high, and it will be a period of general satisfaction. (2.) If capital goes on increasing, but improve- ments are few, wages will rise ; but profits must suff er a fall. In this country, where population has not yet increased so as to press seriously against subsistence, and where capital increases with incredible swiftness, these cases are often exemplified. The extraordinary resources of the newer States have permitted an unlimited increase of population, and capital has found no difficulty in finding an investment. But yet those States which have been burdened with the disabilities of the old slave regime are far behind the others. The changes in the rank of the States, in respect of population, at each decade, as seen in Chart No. XVI, are suggestive. 496 INFLUENCE OF THE PROGRESS OF SOCIETY. Hrl»M'*100t»C(IO>Ort5xosc / NM^iaoJ>aoc»Or-ic*" «T i-T i-T ©" of oo © © © e >.So«S -° a ceo -dS 2 58 o a fl 3 *■ m — — & & 9j a> s- y -^ T3 c CO «.2 cjo « ELI'S "^ ° X •e 5 • c ° ^-c S 3 s 03 tt £ So CHAPTER IV. CONSEQUENCES OF THE TENDENCY OF PROFITS TO A MINIMUM, AND THE STATIONARY STATE. § 1. The theory of the effect of accumulation on profits must greatly abate, or rather, altogether destroy, in countries where profits are low, the immense importance which used to be attached by political economists to the effects which an event or a measure of government might have in adding to or subtracting from the capital of the country. We have now seen that the lowness of profits is a proof that the spirit of accumulation is so active, and that the increase of capital has proceeded at so rapid a rate, as to outstrip the two coun- ter-agencies, improvements in production and increased sup- ply of cheap necessaries from abroad. A sudden abstraction of capital, unless of inordinate amount, [would not] have any real effect in impoverishing the country. After a few months or years, there would exist in the country just as much capital as if none had been taken away. The ab- straction, by raising profits and interest, would give a fresh stimulus to the accumulative principle, which would speedily fill up the vacuum. Probably, indeed, the only effect that would ensue would be that for some time afterward less capital would be exported, and less thrown away in hazard- ous speculation. In the first place, then, this view of things greatly weak- ens, in a wealthy and industrious country, the force of the economical argument against the expenditure of public money for really valuable, even though industriously unpro- ductive, purposes. In poor countries, the capital of the country requires the legislator's sedulous care ; he is bound 512 INFLUENCE OF THE PROGRESS OF SOCIETY. to be most cautious of encroaching upon it, and should favor to the utmost its accumulation at home, and its introduction from abroad. But in rich, populous, and highly cultivated countries, it is not capital which is the deficient element, but fertile land ; and what the legislator should desire and pro- mote, is not a greater aggregate saving, but a greater return to savings, either by improved cultivation, or by access to the produce of more fertile lands in other parts of the globe. The same considerations enable us to throw aside as un- worthy of regard one of the common arguments against emi- gration as a means of relief for the laboring-class. Emigra- tion, it is said, can do no good to the laborers, if, in order to defray the cost, as much must be taken away from the capi- tal of the country as from its population. If one tenth of the laboring people of England were transferred to the colo- nies, and along with them one tenth of the circulating capi- tal of the country, either wages, or profits, or both, would be greatly benefited, by the diminished pressure of capital and population upon the fertility of the land. The landlords alone would sustain some loss of income ; and even they, only if colonization went to the length of actually diminish- ing capital and population, but not if it merely carried off the annual increase. § 2. From the same principles we are now able to arrive at a final conclusion respecting the effects which machinery, and generally the sinking of capital for a productive pur- pose, produce upon the immediate and ultimate interests of the laboring-class. The characteristic property of this class of industrial improvements is the conversion of circulating capital into fixed : and it was shown in the first book 1 that, in a country where capital accumulates slowly, the introduc- tion of machinery, permanent improvements of land, and the like, might be, for the time, extremely injurious ; since the capital so employed might be directly taken from the 1 Book I, Chap. V, § 2. TENDENCY OF PROFITS TO A MINIMUM. 513 wages fund, the subsistence of the people and the employ- ment for labor curtailed, and the gross annual produce of the country actually diminished. But in a country of great annual savings and low profits no such effects need be ap- prehended. It merely draws off at one orifice what was al- ready flowing out at another ; or, if not, the greater vacant space left in the reservoir does but cause a greater quantity to flow in. Accordingly, in spite of the mischievous de- rangements of the money market which have been occasioned by the great sums in process of being sunk in railways, I can not agree with those who aj)prehend any mischief, from this source, to the productive resources of the country. Not on the absurd ground (which to any one acquainted with the elements of the subject needs no confutation) that railway expenditure is a mere transfer of capital from hand to hand, by which nothing is lost or destroyed. This is true of what is spent in the purchase of the land ; a portion too of what is paid to agents, counsels, engineers, and surveyors, is saved by those who receive it, and becomes capital again : but what is laid out in the bona fide construction of the railway itself is lost and gone ; when once expended, it is incapable of ever being paid in wages or applied to the maintenance of labor- ers again ; as a matter of account, the result is, that so much food and clothing and tools have been consumed, and the country has got a railway instead. It already appears, from these considerations, that the conversion of circulating capital into fixed, whether by rail- ways, or manufactories, or ships, or machinery, or canals, or mines, or works of drainage and irrigation, is not likely, in any rich country, to diminish the gross produce or the amount of employment for labor. There is hardly any in- crease of fixed capital which does not enable the country to contain eventually a larger circulating capital than it other- wise could possess and employ within its own limits ; for there is hardly any creation of fixed capital which, when it proves successful, does not cheapen the articles on which wages are habitually expended. 38 514 INFLUENCE OF THE PROGRESS OF SOCIETY. As regards the effects upon the material condition of the wages-receiving class, since it seems clear that capital increases faster than improvements, and probably faster even than popu- lation, it follows that in countries where the laboring-classes are evidently growing in intelligence, they gain in wages with the progress of society. Such certainly seems to be the teach- ing of Mr. Giffen's late studies (see Book IV, Chap. Ill, § 5). § 3. Toward what ultimate point is society tending by its industrial progress ? When the progress ceases, in what con- dition are we to expect that it will leave mankind ? It must always have been seen, more or less distinctly, by political economists, that the increase of wealth is not bound- less ; that at the end of what they term the progressive state lies the stationary state, that all progress in wealth is but a postponement of this, and that each step in advance is an ap- proach to it. "We have now been led to recognize that this ultimate goal is at all times near enough to be fully in view ; that we are always on the verge of it, and that, if we have not reached it long ago, it is because the goal itself flies be- fore us. The richest and most prosperous countries would very soon attain the stationary state, if no further improve- ments were made in the productive arts, and if there were a suspension of the overflow of capital from those countries into the uncultivated or ill-cultivated regions of the earth. Adam Smith always assumes that the condition of the mass of the people, though it may not be positively distressed, must be pinched and stinted in a stationary condition of wealth, and can only be satisfactory in a progressive state. The doctrine that, to however distant a time incessant strug- gling may put off our doom, the progress of society must " end in shallows and in miseries," far from being, as many people still believe, a wicked invention of Mr. Malthus, was either expressly or tacitly affirmed by his most distinguished predecessors, and can only be successfully combated on his principles. Even in a progressive state of capital, in old countries, a conscientious or prudential restraint on population is indis- pensable, to prevent the increase of numbers from outstrip- TENDENCY OF PROFITS TO A MINIMUM. 515 ping the increase of capital, and the condition of the classes who are at the bottom of society from being deteriorated. Where there is not, in the people, or in some very large pro- portion of them, a resolute resistance to this deterioration — a determination to preserve an established standard of comfort — the condition of the poorest class sinks, even in a progres- sive state, to the lowest point which they will consent to en- dure. The same determination! would be equally effectual to keep up their condition in the stationary state, and would be quite as likely to exist. I can not, therefore, regard the stationary state of capital and wealth with the unaffected aversion so generally mani- fested toward it by political economists of the old school. I am inclined to believe that it would be, on the whole, a very considerable improvement on our present condition. It is only in the backward countries of the world that increased production is still an important object; in those most advanced, what is economically needed is a better dis- tribution, of which one indispensable means is a stricter re- straint on population. On the other hand, we may sup- pose this better distribution of property attained, by the joint effect of the prudence and frugality of individuals, and of a system of legislation favoring equality of for- tunes, so far as is consistent with the just claim of the in- dividual to the fruits, whether great or small, of his or her own industry. "We may suppose, for instance (according to the suggestion thrown out in a former chapter '), a lim- itation of the sum which any one person may acquire by gift or inheritance, to the amount sufficient to constitute a moderate independence. Under this twofold influence, society would exhibit these leading features : a well-paid and affluent body of laborers; no enormous fortunes, ex- cept what were earned and accumulated during a single lifetime ; but a much larger body of persons than at present, not only exempt from the coarser toils, but with sufficient 1 Book II, Chap. I, § 6. 516 INFLUENCE OF THE PROGRESS OF SOCIETY. leisure, both physical and mental, from mechanical details, to cultivate freely the graces of life, and afford examples of them to the classes less favorably circumstanced for their growth. This condition of society, so greatly preferable to the present, is not only perfectly compatible with the station- ary state, but, it would seem, more naturally allied with that state than with any other. There is room in the world, no doubt, and even in old countries, for a great increase of population, supposing the arts of life to go on improving, and capital to increase. But even if innocuous, I confess I see very little reason for desir- ing it. The density of population necessary to enable man- kind to obtain, in the greatest degree, all the advantages both of co-operation and of social intercourse, has, in all the most populous countries, been attained. If the earth must lose that great portion of its pleasantness which it owes to things that the unlimited increase of wealth and population would extirpate from it, for the mere purpose of enabling it to support a larger but not a better or a happier population, I sincerely hope, for the sake of posterity, that they will be content to be stationary, long before necessity compels them to it. It is scarcely necessary to remark that a stationary condi- tion of capital and population implies no stationary state of human improvement. Even the industrial arts might be as earnestly and as successfully cultivated, with this sole differ- ence, that instead of serving no purpose but the increase of wealth, industrial improvements would produce their legiti- mate effect, that of abridging labor. Hitherto it is question- able if all the mechanical inventions yet made have lightened the day's toil of any human being. They have enabled a greater population to live the same life of drudgery and im- prisonment, and an increased number of manufacturers and others to make fortunes. They have increased the comforts of the middle classes. The statement that inventions have not " lightened the day's toil of any human being " has been persistently misquoted TENDENCY OF PROFITS TO A MINIMUM. 51 7 by many persons and has been taken out of its connection. Mr. Mill distinctly holds that the laborer's lot could have been improved had there been any limitation of population ; that it is the constant growth of population as society pro- gresses which destroys the gains afforded to the laboring- classes by improvements. But it is quite certain that the ma- terial facts of Mr. Mill's statement are no longer true. In the United States wages have risen, with an additional gain in lower prices ; and Mr. Giffen shows the same progress in Eng- land. Moreover, travelers on the Continent speak of a similar movement already noticeable there. Mr. Giffen's statement in his comparison ' with fifty years ago, is as follows : " While the money wages have increased as we have seen, the hours of labor have diminished. It is difficult to estimate what the extent of this diminution has been, but collecting one or two scattered notices I should be inclined to say very nearly 20 per cent. There has been at least this reduction in the tex-. tile, engineering, and house-building trades. The workman gets from 50 to 100 per cent more money for 20 per cent less work ; in round figures he has gained from 70 to 120 per cent in fifty years in money return. It is just possible, of course, that the workman may do as much, or nearly as much, in the shorter period as he did in his longer hours. Still, there is the positive gain in his being less time at his task, which many of the classes still tugging lengthily day by day at the oar would appreciate." i« Progress of the Working-Classes in the Last Half-Century" (1884), page 8. CHAPTEK Y. ON" THE PROBABLE FUTURITY OF THE LABORING-CLASSES. § 1. There has probably never been a time when more at- tention has been called to the material and social conditions of the working-classes than in the last few years. The great in- crease of literature and the extension of the newspaper has brought to every reader, even where public and private chari- ties have not sent eye-witnesses into direct contact with dis- tress, a more explicit knowledge of the working-classes than ever before. The revelation of existing poverty and misery is, often wrongly, taken to be a proof of the increasing degrada- tion of the working-men, and the cause has been ascribed to the grasping cruelty of capitalists. Instances of injustice arising from the relations of employers and employed will occur so long as human nature remains imperfect. But the world hopes that some other relation than that of master and workman may be evolved in which not only many admitted wrongs may be avoided, but also new forces may be applied to raise the laborer out of his dependence on other classes in the community. We are, at present, living under a regime of private prop- erty and competition. But certainly the progress of the laborer is not that which can excite enthusiastic hopes for the future, so long as he remains a mere receiver of wages. The progress of industrial improvements has resulted, says Mr. Cairnes, in " a temporary improvement of the laborer's condition, followed by an increase of population and an enlarged demand for the cheapened commodity. . . . Laborers' commodities, however, are for the most part commodities of raw produce, or in which the raw material constitutes the chief element of the value (clothing is, in truth, the only important exception) ; and of all such commodities it is the well-known law that an aug- mentation of quantity can only be obtained, other things being the same, at an increasing proportional cost. Thus, it has hap- pened that the gain in productiveness obtained by improved processes has, after a generation, to a great extent been lost — Edward Atkinson, of Wagts, ">. 14 yarn. he machinery affected production. used. PROBABLE FUTURITY OF THE LABORING-CLASSES. 519 lost, that is to say, for any benefit that can be derived from it in favor of wages and profits. . . . The large addition to the wealth of the country has gone neither to profits nor to wages, nor yet to the public at large [as consumers], but to swell a fund ever growing even while its proprietors sleep — the rent-roll of the owners of the soil. . . . The aggregate re- turn from the land has immensely increased ; but the cost of the costliest portion of the produce, which is that which deter- mines the price of the whole, remains pretty nearly as it was. Profits, therefore, have not risen at all, and the real remunera- tion of the laborer, taking the whole field of labor, in but a slight degree — at all events in a degree very far from com- mensurate with the general progress of industry." ' Under these conditions, it seems that the only hope of an improvement for the laboring-classes lies in the limitation of population — or at least in an increase of numbers less than the increase of capital and improvements. It is possible, however, that Mr. Cairnes, with many others, has failed to recognize the full extent of the improvement which is taking place in the wages of the laborer under the existing social order. Although we hear much of the wrongs of the working-men — and they no doubt exist — yet it is unquestionable that their condition has vastly improved within the last fifty years ; largely, in my opin- ion, because improvements have outstripped population, and be- cause wide areas of fertile land in new and peaceful countries have drawn off the surplus population in the older countries, and because the available spots in the newer countries like the United States have not yet been covered over with a popula- tion sufficiently dense to keep real wages anything below a relatively high standard. The facts to substantiate this opin- ion, so far as regards Great Britain, are to be found in a recent investigation 2 by Mr. Giffen, the statistician of the English Board of Trade. For a very considerable reduction in hours of daily labor, the workman now receives wages on an average about 70 per cent higher than fifty years ago, as may be seen by the following table : 1 " Leading Principles," pp. 278-280. s " Progress of the Working-Classes in the Last Ilalf-Century " (1884), being bis inaugural address as President of the London Statistical Society, November 20, 1883. (Jiving tfie actual jig npiled front the CHART XIX. ■ -Hunts of two Cotton-Mitts __j England by Edward Atkinson „f ir Cost of Lutior, etc., from J8M to IS84, working on Standard Miedings, Xo. 14 yarn. ' 1830 1840 1860 1860 1870 1870 1880 1883 1884 I 000 c. gold. 1-832 gold. 1-556 gold. •905 gold. 1-425 cur. •240 gold. ■930 gold. •080 gold. •070 gold. 1840 1860 1860 1870 1880 1883 1884 1830 1840 1860 1860 1870 1870 1880 1883 1884 4,321 9,607 12,164 21,760 19,293 28,000 26,641 28,032 Cost of Labor per Yard. Yards per Operative per Year. I Changes in the maehiDery affected nroeluctirn. Wages per Operativ e per Year. |164 gold. 175 gold. 190 gold. 197 gold. 275 cur. 240 gold. 259 gold. 287 gold. 290 gold. 1870 1870 1880 1883 1884 Profit jjer Yard necessary to be set aside in order to pay 10 per cent, on Capital used. 520 INFLUENCE OF THE PROGRESS OF SOCIETY. OCCUPATION. Carpenters u Bricklayers Masons Miners Pattern-weavers Wool-scourers Mule-spinners Weavers Warpers and beamers. Winders and reelers . . Weavers (men) Reeling and warping. . Spinning (children) . . . PLACE. Manchester . , Glasgow. . . . Manchester 1 , Glasgow. . . . Manchester 1 Glasgow. . . . Staffordshire Huddersfield Bradford. "Wages fifty years ago, per week. 6. d. 24 14 24 15 24 14 2 8 s 16 17 25 6 12 17 6 8 3 7 9 4 5 "Wages, pres- ent time, per week. s. d. 34 26 36 27 29 10 23 8 4 s 25 22 30 26 27 11 20 6 15 6 11 6 Increase or de- crease, amount per cent. s. d. 10 12 12 12 5 10 9 8 14 10 5 12 3 7 9 7 1 ( + ) 42 (+) 85 ( + ) 50 ( + ) 80 ( + ) 24 ( + ) 69 (+) 60 (+) 55 ( + ) 30 ( + ) 20 ( + )116 ( + ) 68 ( + ) 83 ( + ) 150 (+) 100 ( + )160 With increased wages, prices are not much higher than fifty- years ago. But the clearest evidence as to their bettered ma- terial condition is to be found in the following table, which shows the amount of food consumed per head by the total popu- lation of Great Britain : ARTICLES. 1840. 1881. Pounds. a (C u No. Pounds . « « a u 001 1-05 0-92 1-45 3-63 o-oi 0-90 0-08 1-08 42-47 15-20 Nil. 1-22 0-86 0-25 0-97 1-59 1393 6-36 5-77 4-34 Corn, wheat, and wheat-flour . 21-65 12-85 1632 0-31 0-89 216-92 58-92 Refined sugar - - u 844 (i u 4-58 1-41 Malt u 045 1-08 1-91 3 The question then at once arises, whether capital has been shown by the statistics to have gained accordingly, or whether there has been a proportionally less increase than in wages. 1 1825. Wages per day. 9 Year 1878. < 'ompariton I. — Capital II. — Fixed capital. . III. — Active capital. . IV.— Spindles V. — Looms VI. — $ Fixed capiti spindle .... VII. — Number of ope employed. . . VIII. — Operatives per spindles. . IX. — Pounds per spin day X. — Pounds per op per day. . . . XI. — Hours' work pei XII. — Pounds per op per hour. . . XIII. — Wages per or. per year . XIV. — Wages per op per hour. . . XV. — Wages per van XVI. — Profit per yard cent on capita XVII. — Price of goo< cotton same Note.— This compari&o changes have been in pKIgm that, while such changes ar< CHART XX. Comparison of 1840 villi 1883-1884, of the Relations of Labor and Capital in the fame Mills I.- II.- III.- IV.- V.- VI.- VII.- VIII.- IX.- X.- -Capital -Fixed capital . -Active capital. . -Spindles -$ Fixed capital per spindle -Number of operatives employed ■Operatives per 1,000 spindles •Pounds per spindle pei day -Pounds per operative per day XI. — Hours' work per day . . ■Pounds per operative per hour ■Wages per operative per year Wages per operative per hour -Wages per yard XII.- XIII.- XIV.- XV.- XVI.- XVII.- Notk.— This comparison will not show the full reduction in the changes have been in progress which, when completed, will increase th( that, while such changes are being made, the current work of productic -Profit per yard, 10 per cent on capital -Price of goods, ccst cotton same 1840 1883 1840 1883 1840 1883 1840 1883 1840 1883 1840 1883 1840 1883 1840 1883 1840 1883 1840 1883 1840 1883 1840 1883 $600,000 $600,000 $310,000 $310,000 $290,000 $290,000 12,500 30,824 425 1,000 $23.20 $10.06 530 627 42 4-10 17 20-100 0-456 0-556 10 76-100 31 20-100 0-83 2-83 4-49 cts 8-80 cts, 1-82 cts 1-08 cts. 1-18 cts 43 cts. 9-04 cts. 7-04 cts. tame. Increase, 146 per cent. Increase, 135 per cent. Decrease, 67 per cent. Same. Decrease, 60 per cent. Increase, 22 per cent. Increase, 190 per cent. Decrease, 15 per cent. Increase, 240 per cent. Increase, 64 per cent. Increase, 96 per cent. Decrease, 41 per cent. Decrease, 63 per cent. Decrease, 22 per cent. out of labor per yard which may be expected i apacity of the mill about 15 per cent, and it 16 a is done at a disadvantage. PROBABLE FUTURITY OF THE LABORIXG-CLASSES. 521 Says Mr. Giffen : " If the return to capital had doubled, as the wages of the working-classes appear to have doubled, the ag- gregate income of the capitalist classes returned to the income- tax would now be £800,000,000 instead of £400,000,000. . . . The capitalist, as such, gets a low interest for his money, and the aggregate returns to capital is not a third part of the aggre- gate income of the country, which may be put at not less than £1,200,000,000." It is found, moreover — as a suggestion that property is more generally diffused — that while there were 25,368 estates entered to probate in 1838, of an average value of £2,160 each, there were 55,359 estates in 1882 of an average value of £2,500 each. But yet the vast increase of wealth made possible by im- provements and the growth of capital would have bettered the condition of all still more had population been somewhat more limited. As it is, the material gain has been large in spite of an increase in the population from 16,500,000 in 1831 to nearly 30,000,000 in 1881. In other words, the landlords have been great gainers, while the laborers have intercepted much more than Mr. Cairnes supposed. There is at hand some very striking data relating to the United States which point in the same direction as those of Mr. Giffen. Charts No. XIX and XX show vividly how far the increased productiveness of an industry, arising from greater skill and greater efficiency of labor in the connection of im- proved machinery, has enabled manufacturers to steadily lower the price of their goods, and yet increase the wages paid to their operatives. What was true of these two cotton -mills was true of others within New England ; for the rate of wages paid by these mills was the rate current in the country in 1830 and in 1884. While each spindle and loom has become vastly more effective, we see by Chart No. XIX that the average pro- duction of each operative constantly increased from 4,321 yards per year in 1830, to 28,032 yards in 1884 ; and this it was which made possible the corresponding increase in the rate of wages from $164 in 1830, to 6290 in 1884. The sum of $290 a year as an average for each operative, is a stipend too small to cause any general satisfaction ; but he must be gloomy indeed who does not see that $290 is a cheerful possession as compared with $164. There is, then, abundant ground for believing that in the past fifty years the condition of the working-classes in the United States has been materially improved. The dimin- ishing proportion of the price which goes to the capital is a significant fact, and illustrates the tendency of profits to fall with the increase of capital. 1 The same truth seems to be 1 These mills have not been able to pay ten per cent regularly, as mentioned 522 INFLUENCE OF THE PROGRESS OF SOCIETY. seen in the table given in a previous chapter, 1 where the wages have been increased, but the hours have fallen per day from thirteen to eleven since 1840. § 2. So far we have considered the chances for improve- ment in an industrial order in which the present separation of capitalists from laborers is maintained. But this does not take into account that future time when cultivation in the United States shall be forced down upon inferior land, and no more remains to be occupied, and when capital may no longer in- crease as fast as population. "What must be the ultimate out- look for wages-receivers? Or, more practically, what is the outlook now for those who are wages-receivers, and for whom a more equitable distribution of the product seems desirable ? How can they escape the thralldom of dependence on the accu- mulations of others ? In this connection, and of primary importance, is the avenue opened to all holders of small properties to share in the in- crease which goes to owners of land. It has been seen that owners of the soil constantly gain from the inevitable tenden- cies of industrial progress. If one large owner gains, why should not the increment be the same if ten owners held the property instead of one ? The more the land is subdivided, the more the vast increase arising from rent will be shared by a larger number. This, in my opinion, is the strongest reason for the encouragement of small holdings in every country. The greater the extension of small properties among the working-class, the more will they gain a share of that part of the product which goes to the owner of land by the persistent increase of population. If, then, the gain arising from improvements is largely passed to the credit of land-owners, as Mr. Cairn es believes, it should be absolutely necessary to spread among the working-classes the doctrine that if they own their own homes, and buy the land they live on, to that extent will they " grow rich while they sleep," independently of their other exertions. Land worth $500 to-day when bought by the savings of a laborer, besides the self-respect a it gives him, will increase in value with the in Chart No. XIX, but it has merely been supposed that ten per cent were de- manded by capital, in order to show that, for such a dividend, it required a diminishing proportion of the price to meet that estimate. 1 Book II, Chap. V, § 5 ; see also " North American Review," May, 1884, p- 517. * For the influences of small properties in restraining an undue increase of population, see supra, p. 119. For a more general account of the benefits aris- ing from such holdings, consult Mill's original work, Book II, Chaps. VI and VII, and T. E. Cliffe Leslie's " Land Systems." PROBABLE FUTURITY OF THE LABORING-CLASSES. 523 density of population, and become worth $600 or more without other sacrifice of his. § 3. It will be found, however, that, of the various indus- trial rewards, profits tend to diminish, meaning by " profits " only the interest and insurance given for abstinence and risk in the use of capital ; but that the manager's wages (wages of su- perintendence) are larger than is commonly supposed in relation to other industrial rewards, owing to the position of monopoly practically held by such executive ability as is competent to successfully manage large business interests. To the laborer this large payment to the manager seems to be paid for the possession of capital. This we now know to be wrong. The manager's wages are payments of exactly the same nature as any laborer's wages. It makes no difference whether wages are paid for manual or mental labor. The payment to capital, purely as such, known as interest (with insurance for risk), is unmis- takably decreasing, even in the United States. And yet we see men gain by industrial operations enormous rewards ; but these returns are in their essence solely manager's wages. For in many instances,' as hitherto discussed, we have seen that the manager is not the owner of the capital he employs. To what does this lead us ? Inevitably to the conclusion that the la- borer, if he would become something more than a receiver of wages, in the ordinary sense, must himself move up in the scale of laborers until he reaches the skill and power also to command manager's wages. The importance of this principle to the working-man can not be exaggerated, and there flows from it important consequences to the whole social condition of the lower classes. It leads us directly to the means by which the lower classes may raise themselves to a higher po- sition — the actual details of which, of course, are difficult, but, as they are not included in political economy, they must be left to sociology — and forms the essential basis of hope for any proper extension of productive co-operation. In short, co-opera- tion owes its existence to the possibility of dividing the man- ager's wages, to a greater or less degree, among the so-called wages-receivers, or the " laboring-class." And it is from this point of view that co-operation is seen more truly and fitly than in any other way. For it is to be said that in some of its forms co-operation gives the most promising economic re- sults as regards the condition of the laborer which have yet been reached in the long discussion upon the relations of labor and capital. § 4. It will be my object, then, to describe the chief forms in which the co-operative principle has manifested itself. These may be said, in general, to be four : (1) distributive co-opera- tion, by which goods already produced are bought and sold to 524 INFLUENCE OF THE PROGRESS OF SOCIETY. members without the aid of retail dealers ; (2) productive co- operation, by which associations are formed for producing and manufacturing goods for the market ; (3) partial productive co-operation in the form of industrial partnerships between la- borers and employers, without dispensing with the latter ; and (4) co-operative, or People's, banks. There are, of course, many other forms in which the principle of co-operation has been applied ; but these four are probably the most characteristic. Distributive co-operation is at once the simplest and the most successful form, not merely because it requires less capi- capital than any other for its inception, but also because it calls for less business and executive capacity. The number of per- sons capable of managing a small retail store is vastly greater than the class fit to assume control of the very complex duties involved in the care of wholesale houses — or, at all events, of mills and factories. Distributive co-operation has its origin in the fact that the expenses of a middle-man between the pro- ducer and consumer may be entirely dispensed with, and in the fact that more capital had collected in the business of dis- tribution than could economically be so employed. Its edu- cating power on the men concerned in teaching them to save, in showing the need of business methods, and in instilling the elements of industrial management, is of no little importance. It is, therefore, the best gateway to any further or more diffi- cult co-operative experiments — such experiments as can be at- tempted only after the proper capital is saved, and the neces- sary executive capacity is discovered, or developed by train- ing. In England co-operation began its history in distributive stores, and has finally led to such a stimulus of self-help in the laborer, that now co-operative gymnasiums, libraries, gardens, and other results have proved the wisdom of calling upon the laborers for their own exertions. Under the system which separates employers and the employed, high wages are not found to be the only boon which the receivers could wish ; for it is sometimes found that the best-paid workmen are the most unwise and intemperate. 1 For the most ignorant and unskilled of the workmen in the lowest strata the object would seem to be to give not merely more wages, but give more in such a way as might excite new and better motives, a desire as well as a possibility of improvement. Self-help must be stimulated, not deadened by stifling dependence on a class of superiors, or on the state. The extraordinary growth of co-operation is one of the most cheering signs of modern times. Distributive co- operation originated in Rochdale, in England, about 1844, with a few laborers desirous of saving themselves from the high prices paid for poor provisions. By uniting, they purchased 1 Cf. E. L. Godkin, " North American Review," 1868, p. 150. PROBABLE FUTURITY OF THE LABORING-CLASSES. 525 tea by the chest, sugar by the hogshead, which they sold to each member at market prices. They were surprised to find a large profit by the operation, which they divided proportion- ally to the capital subscribed. Others soon joined them ; they took a store-room, and in 1882 there were 10,894 members, with a share capital of $1,576,215, and with realized profits in that year of 8162,885. They have erected expensive steam flour- mills, and the society occupies eighteen branch establishments in Rochdale. Libraries containing more than 15,000 volumes, and classes in science, language, and the technical arts, attended by 500 students, have been maintained. The extension of the Rochdale store led to the necessity of a wholesale establish- ment of their own. It is now a large institution with branches in London and Newcastle. " It owns manufactories in London, Manchester, Newcastle. Leicester, Durham, and Crumpsall ; and it has depots in Cork, Limerick, Kilmallock, "Waterford, Tipperary, Tralee, and Armagh, for the purchase of butter, po- tatoes, and eggs. It has buyers in New York and Copenhagen, and it owns two steamships. It has a banking department with a turn-over of more than £12,000,000 annually." ' The following figures for England and Wales tell their own story as to the progress of co-operation : s Number of members Capital. Share Loan Sales Net profit 1862. 90,000 £ 428,000 55,000 2,333,000 165,000 1S81. 525,000 £ 5,881,000 1,267,000 20,901,000 1,617,000 Several persons each subscribe a sum to make up the share capital of a store, and a person is selected to take charge of the purchase and care of the goods. The advantages of the plan are : (1) A division among the co-operators of all the net profits of the retail trade ; (2) a saving in advertisements, since mem- bers are always purchasers without solicitation ; (3) no loss by bad debts, since only cash sales are permitted ; and (4) security against fraud as to the character of the goods, because there is no inducement to make gains by adulterations. It is often found that the capital is turned over ten times in the course of a year ; while the cost of management in the wholesale Roch- dale stores does not amount to one per cent on the returns. 1 Fawcett, " Manual of Political Economy " (last edition), chapter on Co- operation. 8 Giffen, "Progress of the Working-Classes in the Last Half-Century," p. 19. 526 INFLUENCE OF THE PROGRESS OF SOCIETY. The arrangement of obligations in due order of their pri- ority, which has been recommended by Mr. Holyoake, 1 is as follows : of funds in the store, payment should be made, (1) of the expenses of management ; (2) of interest due on all loans ; (3) of an amount equivalent to ten per cent of the value of the fixed stock to cover the annual depreciation from wear and tear ; (4) of dividends on the subscribed capital of the mem- bers ; a (5) of such a sum as may be necessary for an extension of the business ; (6) of two and a half per cent of the remain- ing profit, after all the above items are provided for, for educa- tional purposes ; (7) of the residue, and that only, among all the persons employed, and members of the store, in proportion to the amount of their wages, or of their respective purchases during the quarter. 3 The payment of dividends to customers on their purchases seems now to be considered an essential ele- ment of success. § 5. Productive co-operation presents many serious diffi- culties, the chief of which is the need of managing ability. Some one in the association must know the wholesale markets well, the expectation of crops connected with his materials used, the proper time to buy ; he must know the processes of the special production thoroughly, the best machinery, the best adaptation of labor to the given end ; he must know the whims of purchasers, and be ready to change his products ac- cordingly — in short, a man eminently fitted for success in his own factory is essential to the profitable management of one belonging to a body of co-operators. It has been already seen how large a variation in profit is due to manager's wages ; and it is very often only his skill, prudence, and experience that make the difference between a failure and a success in busi- ness. Unless co-operators are willing to pay as large a sum for the services of a good manager as he could get in his own 1 " History of Co-operation in England " (2 vols., 1879), p. 105. ' Mr. Holyoake (" History of Co-operation in England," p. 99) quotes as fol- lows from another's experience : " My own pass-book shows that I paid on No- vember 3d, of last year (1860), £1 to become a member of a co-operative store. I have paid nothing since, and I am now credited with £3 1 6s. 6d, nearly three hundred per cent on my capital in a single year. Of course, that arises from my purchases having been large in proportion to my investment. In a co- operative store you get five per cent upon the money which you invest as a shareholder ; and, if the store be well conducted, you will get seven and a half per cent addition." 3 For a full account of the proper steps to be taken in establishing a store, with many practical details, see Charles Barnard's " Co-operation as a Business," p. 119. PROBABLE FUTURITY OF THE LABORING-CLASSES. 527 establishment, they can not secure the talent which will make their venture succeed. 1 In France the national workshops of Louis Blanc, estab- lished in 1848, were a failure. Nowhere has it been more clearly seen that state help has been disastrous than in France, where the Constituent Assembly voted 3,000,000 francs for co- operative experiments, all of which failed. Curiously enough, distributive co-operation has not succeeded in France, because, owing to a wide-spread dislike of the wages system, workmen will try nothing less than productive schemes. And their suc- cess in this has been no greater than might be expected, when inexperience is put to a task beyond its powers." In Great Britain and the United States there have been some successful experiments in production ; and Mr. Holyoake 8 holds that, although workmen certainly do begrudge the manager's salary, productive associations are possible when managed by a board of elected directors. He urges, moreover, that, as in distributive co-operation, if profits are shared with customers, there will be insured both popularity and continuity of custom without the cost of advertising, and such expenses as those of travelers and commissions. The plan of actual operations upon which successes have been reached in England seems to be briefly this : (1) To save capital, chiefly through co-opera- tive associations ; (2) to purchase or lease premises ; (3) to engage managers, accountants, and officers at the ordinary salaries which such men can command in the market accord- ing to their ability ; (4) to borrow capital on the credit of the association ; (5) to pay upon capital subscribed by mem- bers the same rate of interest as that upon borrowed capital ; (6) to regard as profit only that which remains after making payment for rent, materials, wages, all business outlays, and interest on capital ; and (7) to divide the profits according to the salaries of all officers, wages of workmen, and purchases of customers. Those mills and factories which have sprung out of the extension of distributive associations, as at Rochdale, seem, and naturally so, to have been most successful. They have gradually trained themselves somewhat for the work, and their customers were beforehand secured. That is, where the difficulties of the manager's function have been lessened, they have a better chance of success. And yet it must be said that productive associations will gain largely from the efficiency of the labor when working for its own interest ; and this is an im- portant consideration to be urged in favor of such associations. 1 Cf. Walker, " Wages Question," p. 276. 8 Godkin, " North American Review," 1868. 8 " History of Co-operation," vol. ii, chap. ix. 528 INFLUENCE OE THE PROGRESS OF SOCIETY. The Sun Mill, 1 at Oldham, England, was established for spinning cotton in 1861 by the exertions of some co-operative bodies. Beginning with a share capital of $250,000, and a loan capital of a like amount, it set 80,000 spindles in operation. In 1874 they had a share capital of $375,000 (all subscribed ex- cept $1,000), and an equal amount of loan capital, while the whole plant was estimated as worth $615,000. Two and a half per cent per annum has been set apart for the depreciation in the value of the mill, and seven and. a half per cent for the ma- chinery ; so that in the first ten years a total sum of $160,000 was set aside for depreciation of the property. The profits have varied from two to forty per cent ; and, while only five per cent interest was paid on the loan capital, large dividends were made on the share capital. During the last few years the Sun Mill has on an average realized a profit of 12^ per cent, although it is known that the cotton trade has suffered during this time from a serious depression. Many experiments, however, have proved failures ; and some- times, when they are successful (as in the case of the Hatters' Association in Newark, New Jersey 2 ), the workmen have no de- sire to share their benefits with others, and practically form a corporation by themselves. The mere fact that they do some- times succeed is an important thing. Then, too, they have an opportunity of securing by salaries that executive ability in the community which exists separate from the possession of capi- tal. And in these days, in large corporations, the manager is not necessarily (although he often is) a large owner of capital. The last annual report of the Co-operative Congress (1882) shows the existence in England and Scotland of productive associations for the manufacture of cloth, flannel, fustian, hosiery, quilts, worsted, nails, watches, linen, and silk, as well as those for engineering, printing, and quarrying ; and these were but a few of them. 3 In the United States there have been some successes as well as failures. In January, 1872, a number of machinists and other working-men organized in the town of Beaver Falls, Penn- sylvania, a Co-operative Foundry Association for the manufact- ure of stoves, hollow-ware, and fine castings. On a small capi- tal of only $4,000 they have steadily prospered, paid the market rate of wages, and also paid annual dividends, over and above all expenses and interest on the plant, of from twelve to fifteen per cent. In 1867 thirty workmen started a co-operative found- ry in Somerset, Massachusetts, with a capital of about $14,000. 1 Holyoake, " History of Co-operation," p. 131. 2 Godkin, " North American Review," 1868. 3 Pp. 21, 31, 32. PROBABLE FUTURITY OF THE LABORING-CLASSES. 529 In the years 1874-1875 the company spent 85,400 for new flasks and patterns, and yet showed a net gain of $11,914. In 1876 it had a capital of $30,000, and a surplus fund of $28,924.' § 6. The difficulties of productive co-operation arising from the need of skilled management, together with the # existing un- satisfactory relation between employers and laborers when wholly separate from each other, have led to a most promising plan of industrial partnership by which the manager retains the control of the business operations, but shares his profits with the workmen. The gain through increased efficiency, greater economy, and superior workmanship, recoups the man- ager for the voluntary subtraction from his share, and yet the laborers receive an additional share ; but more than this, it educates the laborer in industrial methods, discloses the dif- ficulties of management, and stimulates him to saving habits and greater regularity of work. This system is particularly adapted to reaching those laborers who would not themselves rise to the demands of productive co-operation. The principle was tried on one of the Belgian railways. "Ninety-five kilogrammes of coke were consumed for every league of distance run, but this was known to be more than necessary ; but how to remedy the evil was the problem. A bonus of 3$d. on every hectolitre of coke saved on this average of ninety-five to the league was offered to the men concerned, and this trifling bonus worked the miracle. The work was done equally well, or better, with forty-eight kilogrammes of coke instead of ninety-five ; just one half, or nearly, saved by careful work, at an expense of probably less than one tenth of the saving." a The experiment which has attracted most attention in the past has been that of the Messrs. Briggs, at their collieries in Yorkshire, England. 3 The relations between the owners and the laborers were as bad as they could well be. "All coal- masters is devils, and Briggs is the prince of devils," ran the talk of the miners, when they did not choose to send letters threatening to shoot the owners. In 1865 Messrs. Briggs tried the plan of an industrial partnership with their men, purely from business considerations. Seventy per cent of the cost of raising coal consisted of wages, and fully fifteen per cent of materials which were habitually wasted. The whole property 1 Barnard, "Co-operation as a Business," pp. 150-152. * Holyoake, " History of Co-operation," p. 235. s See Thornton, " On Labor," p. 370. Also see " Parliamentary Documents," 1868, 1869, xxxi ; " Trades-Unions of England," by the Count de Paris ; Brassey's " Work and Wages," chap. xiii. 34 530 INFLUENCE OF THE PROGRESS OF SOCIETY. was valued, and divided into shares of $50 each, of which the owners retained two thirds, together with the control of the busi- ness. The remaining one third of the shares was offered to the employes. If any* subscriber was too poor to pay $50 for a share, the subsequent dividends and payments were to be ap- plied to purchasing the share. After reserving a fair allowance for expenses, like the redemption of capital, whenever the re- maining profits exceeded ten per cent on the capital, that ex- cess was to be divided into two equal parts, one of which was to be distributed among all persons employed by the company in proportion to their wages, and the other was to be retained by the capital. In previous years but once had they made ten per cent profit on their capital, and twice only five per cent. In the first year after the new system came into operation, the total profits were fourteen per cent, and the four per cent of excess was divided, two to the laborers' bonus, and two to the capital, so that capital received twelve per cent. In the second year the profits were sixteen per cent, in the third year seven- teen per cent ; the first year the work-people received in addi- tion to their wages $9,000, in the second $13,500, in the third $15,750. The moral effect was striking. Work was done regularly, forbearance was exercised, habits improved, and the faces of the men were set toward improvement in life. The scheme worked successfully for years, but was finally ended by the pressure of the outside trades-unions, who compelled the workmen to give up the arrangement. A similar experiment was tried by the Messrs. Brewster, carriage-manufacturers, of New York. They offered to their workmen ten per cent of their profits, before any allowance was made for interest on the capital invested, or before any payment was made for the services of the firm as managers. In one year as much as $11,000 was divided among the labor- ers. Again, as in the case of the Briggs colliery, the experi- ment was brought to an end by an unreasoning submission to the pressure of outside workmen during a strike. 1 But, all in all, industrial partnership 3 offers a great field for 1 See Walker, "Wages Question," p. 283. Also see Mill, Book IV, Chap. VII, § 5, for an account of M. Leclaire's experiments in France with house- painters. 2 See also Von Bohmert, " Gewinnbetheiligung," second edition, 1878, and Jevons's " Methods of Social Reform " (1883). Professor Jevons (" The State in Relation to Labor," pp. 146, 147) has given a brief bibliography, which I re- produce here : Charles Babbage, " Economy of Manufactures," chap, xxvi ; H. C. Briggs, "Social Science Association," 1869; H. C. and A. Briggs, "Evidence before the Trades-Union Commission," March 4, 1868, Questions 12,485 to 12,753 [Par- PROBABLE FUTURITY OF THE LABORING-CLASSES. 531 that kind of improvement which is worth more than a mere increase of wages, and seems to make it possible to reach the heavy weight of sluggishness among the lower and more hope- less strata of society. And it is possible that it may stir in them the powers which may afterward find employment in the harder problems of productive co-operation. 1 liamentary Documents] ; " The Industrial Partnerships Record " ; Pare, " Co- operative Agriculture " (Longmans) 1870 ; Jean Billon, " Participation des Ou- vricrs aux Benefices des Patrons," Geneve, 1877 ; Fougeroussc, " Patrons et Ouvriers de Paris" (Chaix), 1880; Sedley Taylor, " Society of Arts Journal," February 18, 1881, vol. xxix, pp. 260-270; also in "Nineteenth Century," May, 1881, pp. 802-811, "On Profit-Sharing"; J. C. Van Marken, "La Question Ouvriere: Essai de Solution Pratique" (Chaix) 1881. 1 In his last edition of his " Manual," Professor Fawcett thus describes a co-operative experiment in agriculture : " The one that has attracted the most attention was made nearly forty years since by Mr. Gurdon, on his estate at Assington, near Sudbury, in Suffolk. Mr. Gurdon was so much impressed with the miserable condition of the agricultural laborers who were employed on his estate, that he was prompted to do something on their behalf. When, there- fore, one of his farms became vacant, he offered to let it at the ordinary rent, £150 a year, to the laborers who worked upon it. As they, of course, had not sufficient capital to cultivate it, he in the first instance loaned them the requisite stock and implements. The laborers were, in fact, formed into a company in which there were eleven shares, and no laborer was permitted to hold more than one share. The plan was so eminently successful that in a few years suf- ficient had been saved out of the profits to repay all that had been advanced, and the stock and implements became the property of the laborers. Each share greatly increased in value. Mr. Gurdon was so much encouraged, not only by the pecuniary advantages secured to the laborers, but also by the gen. eral improvement effected in their condition, that some years afterward he let another and a larger farm on similar terms. Although no statement of ac- counts has ever been published, the remarkable pecuniary advantages secured to the laborers is proved by the fact that, after enjoying at least as high wages as were paid in the district, they were able in a few years to become the owners of a valuable property, consisting of the stock and implements on the farms. One of the most significant and hopeful circumstances connected with the experiment is, that it was not carried out by a picked body of men; and if so much could be done by laborers who were probably among the worst educated in the country, it may be fairly concluded, that when the intelligence of our rural population has been better developed, co-operation may be applied in a more complete form to agriculture, and with even more striking results than were obtained at Assington. ... In the description which has been frequently given of the system of peasant proprietorship, it is shown how powerfully the indus- try of the laborer is stimulated by the feeling of property. When he cultivates his own plot of ground, he exerts himself to the utmost, because he knows that 532 INFLUENCE OF THE PROGRESS OF SOCIETY. § 7. In Germany the struggle between the two theories — self-help and state-help — was fought out by Schultze-Delitsch — that is, Schultze of Delitsch, a town in Saxony — and Lasalle, and the victory given to the former. Schultze-Delitsch, as a conse- quence, was successful in directing the co-operative principle in Germany to giving workmen credit in purchasing tools, etc., when he had no security but his character. This form of co- operation works to give the energetic and industrious workmen a lever by which, through the possession of credit, they can raise themselves to the position of small capitalists, and thus widen the field of possible improvement. While the former schemes of co-operation described above have given the wages- receivers a share of the unearned increment from land, and tend to give them a share of the manager's wages, the plan of Schultze was to assist them to gain a share in the advantages belonging to the possession of capital. The capital was to be accumulated by their own exertions, and, in his scheme depend- ed on the principle of self-help. The following is the plan of banks adopted : " Every member is obliged to make a certain weekly pay- ment into the common stock. As soon as it reaches a certain sum he is allowed to raise a loan exceeding his share in the in- verse ratio of the amount of his deposit. For instance, after he has deposited one dollar, he is allowed to borrow five or six ; but, if he had deposited twenty dollars, he is allowed only to borrow thirty. The security he is compelled to offer is his own and that of two other members of the association, who become jointly and severally liable. He may have no assets whatever beyond the amount of his deposits, nor may his guarantors ; the bank relies simply on the character of the three, and the two securities rely on the character of their principal ; and the remarkable fact is, that the security has been found sufficient, that the interest of the men in the institutions and the fear of the opinion of their fellows has produced a display of honesty and punctuality such as perhaps is not to be found in the his- tory of any other banking institutions. Such is the confidence inspired by these institutions that they hold on deposit, or as loans from third parties, an amount exceeding by more than three fourths the total amount of their own capital. The he will enjoy all that is yielded by his labor. Each year, with the extended use of machinery in agriculture, it is becoming more advantageous to carry on farm- ing on a large scale. When, therefore, co-operative agriculture becomes prac- ticable, land may be cultivated by associations of laborers, and thus many of the advantages associated with the system of peasant proprietorship may be secured, while at the same time the disadvantages of small farming may be avoided. The progress toward co-operative agriculture will no doubt be slow and gradual." PROBABLE FUTURITY OF THE LABORING-CLASSES. 533 monthly contributions of the members may be as low as ten cents, but the amount which each member is allowed to have in some banks is not more than seven or eight dollars, in none more than three hundred dollars. He has a right to borrow to the full amount of his deposit without giving security ; if he desires to borrow a larger sum, he must furnish security in the manner we have described. The liability of the members is unlimited. The plan of limiting the liability to the amount of the capital deposited was tried at first, but it inspired no confidence, and the enterprise did not succeed till every mem- ber was made generally liable. Each member, on entering, is obliged to pay a small fee, which goes toward forming or maintaining a reserve fund, apart from the active capital. The profits are derived from the interest paid by borrowers, which amounts to from eight to ten per cent, which may not sound very large in our ears, but in Germany is very high. Not over five per cent is paid on capital borrowed from outsiders. All profits are distributed in dividends among the members of the association, in the proportion of the amount of their deposits — after the payment of the expenses of management, of course — and the apportionment of a certain percentage to the reserve- fund. Every member, as we have said, has a right to borrow to the extent of his deposit without security ; but then, if he seeks to borrow more, whether he shall obtain any loan, and, if so, how large a one, is decided by the board of management, who are guided in making their decision just as all bank offi- cers are — by a consideration of the circumstances of the bank as well as those of the borrower. All the affairs of the asso- ciation are discussed and decided in the last resort by a general assembly composed of all the members." ' The main part of the capital loaned by the banks is obtained from outside sources on the credit of the associations. In 1865 there were 961 of these institutions in Germany ; in 1877 there were 1,827, with over 1,000,000 members, owning $40,000,000 of capital, with $100,000,000 more on loan, and doing a business of $550,000,000." 1 Godkin, " North American Review," 1868. Also see Hermann Schultze- Delitsch, " Die Entwickelung des Genossenschaftswesens in Deutschland " (1870). This eminent philanthropist died April 29, 1883. For other forms of co-opera- tion, building associations, etc., see Barnard, "Co-operation as a Business"; Pajot, "Du Progres par les Societes de Secours Mutuels " (1878). 8 See " Economics of Industry," by Mr. and Mrs. Marshall, p. 223. BOOK V. ON THE INFLUENCE OF GOVERNMENT. BOOK V. ON THE INFLUENCE OF GOVERNMENT. CHAPTER I. ON THE GENERAL PRINCIPLES OF TAXATION. § 1. One of the most disputed questions, both in political science and in practical statesmanship at this particular pe- riod, relates to the proper limits of the functions and agency of governments. We shall first consider the economical effects arising from the manner in which governments perform their necessary and acknowledged functions. We shall then pass to certain governmental interferences of what I have termed the optional kind (i. e., overstepping the boundaries of the universally acknowledged functions) which have heretofore taken place, and in some cases still take place, under the influence of false general theories. The first of these divisions is of an extremely miscellane- ous character : since the necessary functions of government, and those which are so manifestly expedient that they have never or very rarely been objected to, are too various to be brought under any very simple classification. We com- mence, [under] the first head, with the theory of Taxation. The qualities desirable, economically speaking, in a system of taxation, have been embodied by Adam Smith in four maxims or principles, which, having been generally con- curred in by subsequent writers, may be said to have become 538 THE INFLUENCE OF GOVERNMENT. classical, and this chapter can not be better commenced than by quoting them : l " 1. The subjects of every state ought to contribute to the support of the government, as nearly as possible in propor- tion to their respective abilities : that is, in proportion to the revenue which they respectively enjoy under the protection of the state. In the observation or neglect of this maxim con- sists what is called the equality or inequality of taxation. " 2. The tax which each individual is bound to pay ought to be certain, and not arbitrary. The time of payment, the manner of payment, the quantity to be paid, ought all to be clear and plain to the contributor, and to every other person. The certainty of what each individual ought to pay is, in taxa- tion, a matter of so great importance, that a very consider- able degree of inequality, it appears, I believe, from the ex- perience of all nations, is not near so great an evil as a very small degree of uncertainty. " 3. Every tax ought to be levied at the time, or in the manner, in which it is most likely to be convenient for the contributor to pay it. Taxes upon such consumable goods as are articles of luxury are all finally paid by the consumer, and generally in a manner that is very convenient to him. He pays them little by little, as he has occasion to buy the goods. As he is at liberty, too, either to buy or not to buy, as he pleases, it must be his own fault if he ever suffers any considerable inconvenience from such taxes. " 4. Every tax ought to be so contrived as both to take out and to keep out of the pockets of the people as little as possible over and above what it brings into the public treasury of the state. A tax may either take out or keep out of the pockets of the people a great deal more than it brings into the public treasury in the four following ways : First, the levying of it may require a great number of officers, whose salaries may eat up the greater part of the produce of the tax, and whose perquisites may impose another additional tax upon 1 " Wealth of Nations," Book V, chap. ii. GENERAL PRINCIPLES OF TAXATION. 539 the people." Secondly, it may divert a portion of the labor and capital of the community from a more to a less produc- tive employment. " Thirdly, by the forfeitures and other penalties which those unfortunate individuals incur who attempt unsuccessfully to evade the tax it may frequently ruin them, and thereby put an end to the benefit which the community might have derived from the employment of their capitals. An injudicious tax offers a great temptation to smuggling. Fourthly, by subjecting the people to the fre- quent visits and the odious examination of the tax-gatherers it may expose them to much unnecessary trouble, vexation, and oppression " : to which may be added that the restrictive regulations to which trades and manufactures are often sub- jected, to prevent evasion of a tax, are not only in themselves troublesome and expensive, but often oppose insuperable ob- stacles to making improvements in the processes. § 2. The first of the four points, equality of taxation, requires to be more fully examined, being a thing often im- perfectly understood, and on which many false notions have become to a certain degree accredited, through the absence of any definite principles of judgment in the popular mind. For what reason ought equality to be the rule in mat- ters of taxation ? For the reason that it ought to be so in all affairs of government. A government ought to make no distinction of persons or classes in the strength of their claims on it. If any one bears less than his fair share of the bur- den, some other person must suffer more than his share. Equality of taxation, therefore, as a maxim of politics, means equality of sacrifice. It means apportioning the contribution of each person toward the expenses of government, so that he shall feel neither more nor less inconvenience from his share of the payment than every other person experiences from his. There are persons, however, who regard the taxes paid by each member of the community as an equivalent for value received, in the shape of service to himself ; and they prefer to rest the justice of making each contribute in proportion to his means upon the ground that he who has 540 THE INFLUENCE OF GOVERNMENT. twice as much property to be protected receives, on an accu- rate calculation, twice as much protection, and ought, on the principles of bargain and sale, to pay twice as much for it. Since, however, the assumption that government exists solely for the protection of property is not one to be deliberately adhered to, some consistent adherents of the quid pro quo principle go on to observe that protection being required for persons as well as property, and everybody's person receiving the same amount of protection, a poll-tax of a fixed sum per head is a proper equivalent for this part of the benefits of government, while the remaining part, protection to property, should be paid for in proportion to property. But, in the first place, it is not admissible that the protection of persons and that of property are the sole purposes of government. In the second place, the practice of setting definite values on things essentially indefinite, and making them a ground of practical conclusions, is peculiarly fertile in the false views of social questions. It can not be admitted that to be pro- tected in the ownership of ten times as much property is to be ten times as much protected. If we wanted to estimate the degrees of benefit which different persons derive from the protection of government, we should have to consider who would suffer most if that protection were withdrawn : to which question, if any answer could be made, it must be, that those would suffer most who were weakest in mind or body, either by nature or by position. § 3. Setting out, then, from the maxim that equal sacri- fices ought to be demanded from all, we have next to inquire whether this is in fact done, by making each contribute the same percentage on his pecuniary means. Many persons maintain the negative, saying that a tenth part taken from a small income is a heavier burden than the same fraction de- ducted from one much larger ; and on this is grounded the very popular scheme of what is called a graduated property- tax, viz., an income-tax in which the percentage rises with the amount of the income. On the best consideration I am able to give to this ques- GENERAL PRINCIPLES OF TAXATION. 541 tion, it appears to me that the portion of truth which the doctrine contains arises principally from the difference be- tween a tax which can be saved from luxuries and one which trenches, in ever so small a degree, upon the necessaries of life. To take a thousand a year from the possessor of ten thousand would not deprive him of anything really condu- cive either to the support or to the comfort of existence ; and, if such would be the effect of taking five pounds from one whose income is fifty, the sacrifice required from the last is not only greater than, but entirely incommensurable with, that imposed upon the first. The mode of adjusting these inequalities of pressure which seems to be the most equitable is that recommended by Bentham, of leaving a certain mini- mum of income, sufficient to provide the necessaries of life, untaxed. Suppose [$250] a year to be sufficient to provide the number of persons ordinarily supported from a single in- come with the requisites of life and health, and with protec- tion against habitual bodily suffering, but not with any indul- gence. This then should be made the minimum, and incomes exceeding it should pay taxes not upon their whole amount, but upon the surplus. If the tax be ten per cent, an income of [$300] should be considered as a net income of [$50], and charged with [$5] a year, while an income of [$5,000] should be charged as one of [$4,750]. An income not exceeding [$250] should not be taxed at all, either directly or by taxes on necessaries ; for, as by supposition this is the smallest income which labor ought to be able to command, the gov- ernment ought not to be a party to making it smaller. Both in England and on the Continent a graduated prop- erty-tax (Vimpdt progressif) has been advocated, on the avowed ground that the state should use the instrument of taxation as a means of mitigating the inequalities of wealth. I am as desirous as any one that means should be taken to diminish those inequalities, but not so as to relieve the prodi- gal at the expense of the prudent. To tax the larger incomes at a higher percentage than the smaller is to lay a tax on industry and economy; to impose a penalty on people for 542 TH E INFLUENCE OF GOVERNMENT. having worked harder and saved more than their neighbors. It is not the fortunes which are earned, but those which are unearned, that it is for the public good to place under limita- tion. With respect to the large fortunes acquired by gift or inheritance, the power of bequeathing is one of those privi- leges of property which are fit subjects for regulation on grounds of general expediency; and I have already sug- gested, 1 as the most eligible mode of restraining the accu- mulation of large fortunes in the hands of those who have not earned them by exertion, a limitation of the amount which any one person should be permitted to acquire by gift, bequest, or inheritance. I conceive that inheritances and legacies, exceeding a certain amount, are highly proper sub- jects for taxation ; and that the revenue from them should be as great as it can be made without giving rise to evasions, by donation inter vivos or concealment of property, such as it would be impossible adequately to check. The principle of graduation (as it is called), that is, of levying a larger per- centage on a larger sum, though its application to general taxation would be in my opinion objectionable, seems to me both just and expedient as applied to legacy and inheritance duties. The objection to a graduated property-tax applies in an aggravated degree to the proposition of an exclusive tax on what is called "realized property," that is, property not forming a part of any capital engaged in business, or rather in business under the superintendence of the owner ; as land, the public funds, money lent on mortgage, and shares in stock companies. Except the proposal of applying a sponge to the national debt, no such palpable violation of common honesty has found sufficient support in this country, during the present generation, to be regarded as within the domain of discussion. It has not the palliation of a graduated prop- erty-tax, that of laying the burden on those best able to bear it ; for " realized property " includes the far larger portion of 1 Book II, Chap. I, § 6. GENERAL PRINCIPLES OF TAXATION. 543 the provision made for those who are unable to work, and consists, in great part, of extremely small fractions. I can hardly conceive a more shameless pretension than that the major part of the property of the country, that of merchants, manufacturers, farmers, and shopkeepers, should be exempted from its share of taxation ; that these classes should only begin to pay their proportion after retiring from business, and if they never retire should be excused from it altogether. But even this does not give an adequate idea of the injustice of the proposition. The burden thus exclusively thrown on the owners of the smaller portion of the wealth of the com- munity would not even be a burden on that class of persons in perpetual succession, but would fall exclusively on those who happened to compose it when the tax was laid on. As land and those particular securities would thenceforth yield a smaller net income, relatively to the general interest of capital and to the profits of trade, the balance would rectify itself by a permanent depreciation of those kinds of property. Future buyers would acquire land and securities at a reduc- tion of price, equivalent to the peculiar tax, which tax they would, therefore, escape from paying; while the original possessors would remain burdened with it even after parting with the property, since they would have sold their land or securities at a loss of value equivalent to the fee-simple of the tax. Its imposition would thus be tantamount to the confiscation for public uses of a percentage of their property equal to the percentage laid on their income by the tax. The above proposition has been extended, by those in the United States who appeal to class prejudice, to a proposal to tax the incomes of those who hold government bonds. It so happened that, for example, the six dollars income on a one- hundred-dollar bond of the United States was not, in the war period, deemed a sufficient equivalent for the risk of loaning one hundred dollars to the state ; and Congress, therefore, agreed to relieve them of taxation. It is the same thing to a lender if he receive six per cent directly from the Govern- ment, or if he receive seven per cent, and is obliged to pay back one per cent to the treasury in the form of taxation ; but to the Government it is another thing, because if it sell a taxed bond 544 THE INFLUENCE OF GOVERNMENT. at seven per cent interest, it does not receive back the whole of the one per cent tax, but the one per cent tax less the expense of levying it. In other words the Government, in the latter case, pays six per cent interest plus the cost of levying the tax ; and consequently borrowed more cheaply in the form of an un- taxed bond, as was the hope when the provision was made. If, then, a tax were now to be put upon the bonds, it would fall exclusively on the present holders of them ; for, since it dimin- ishes the net income from the bond, it lowers the selling price of the bond itself, as before explained. 1 § 4. Whether the profits of trade may not rightfully be taxed at a lower rate than incomes derived from interest or rent is part of the more comprehensive question whether life- incomes should be subjected to the same rate of taxation as perpetual incomes; whether salaries, for example, or annui- ties, or the gains of professions, should pay the same per cent- age as the income from inheritable property. The existing tax [in England] treats all kinds of incomes exactly alike, taking its [fivepence] in the pound as well from the person whose income dies with him as from the landholder, stockholder, or mortgagee, who can transmit his fortune undiminished to his descendants. This is a visible injustice ; yet it does not arithmetically violate the rule that taxation ought to be in proportion to means. When it is said that a temporary income ought to be taxed less than a per- manent one, the reply is irresistible that it is taxed less: for the income which lasts only ten years pays the tax only ten years, while that which lasts forever pays forever. The claim in favor of terminable incomes does not rest on grounds of arithmetic, but of human wants and feelings. It is not because the temporary annuitant has smaller means, but be- cause he has greater necessities, that he ought to be assessed at a lower rate. In spite of the nominal equality of income, A, an annui- tant of £1,000 a year, can not so well afford to pay £100 out of it as B, who derives the same annual sum from heritable property ; A having usually a demand on his income which 1 Book III, Chap. XIX, § 5. GENERAL PRINCIPLES OF TAXATION. 545 B has not, namely, to provide by saving for children or others ; to which, in the case of salaries or professional gains, must generally be added a provision for his own later years ; while B may expend his whole income without injury to his old age, and still have it all to bestow on others after his death. If A, in order to meet these exigencies, must lay by £300 of his income, to take £100 from him as income-tax is to take £100 from £700, since it must be retrenched from that part only of his means which he can afford to spend on his own consumption. Were he to throw it ratably on what he spends and on what he saves, abating £70 from his consumption and £30 from his annual saving, then indeed his immediate sacrifice would be proportionally the same as B's ; but then his children or his old age would be worse pro- vided for in consequence of the tax. The capital sum which would be accumulated for them would be one tenth less, and on the reduced income afforded by this reduced capital they would be a second time charged with income-tax ; while B's heirs would only be charged once. The principle, therefore, of equality of taxation, inter- preted in its only just sense, equality of sacrifice, requires that a person who has no means of providing for old age, or for those in whom he is interested, except by saving from income, should have the tax remitted on all that part of his income which is really and hona fide applied to that purpose. If, indeed, reliance could be placed on the conscience of the contributors, or sufficient security taken for the correct- ness of their statements by collateral precautions, the proper mode of assessing an income-tax would be to tax only the part of income devoted to expenditure, exempting that which is saved. For when saved and invested (and all sav- ings, speaking generally, are invested) it thenceforth pays income-tax on the interest or profit which it brings, notwith- standing that it has already been taxed on the principal. Unless, therefore, savings are exempted from income-tax, the contributors are twice taxed on what they save, and only 35. 546 THE INFLUENCE OF GOVERNMENT. once on what they spend. To tax the sum invested, and afterward tax also the proceeds of the investment, is to tax the same portion of the contributor's means twice over. No income-tax is really just from which savings are not exempted ; and no income-tax ought to be voted without that provision, if the form of the returns and the nature of the evidence required could be so arranged as to prevent the exemption from being taken fraudulent advantage of, by saving with one hand and getting into debt with the other, or by spending in the following year what had been passed tax-free as saving in the year preceding. But, if no plan can be devised for the exemption of actual savings, sufficiently free from liability to fraud, it is necessary, as the next thing in point of justice, to take into account, in assessing the tax, what the different classes of contributors ought to save. In fixing the proportion between the two rates, there must in- evitably be something arbitrary ; perhaps a deduction of one fourth in favor of life-incomes would be as little objection- able as any which could be made. Of the net profits of persons in business, a part, as before observed, may be considered as interest on capital, and of a perpetual character, and the remaining part as remuneration for the skill and labor of superintendence. The surplus be- yond interest depends on the life of the individual, and even on his continuance in business, and is entitled to the full amount of exemption allowed to terminable incomes. § 5. Suppose that there is a kind of income which con- stantly tends to increase, without any exertion or sacrifice on the part of the owners : those owners constituting a class in the community, whom the natural course of things progress- ively enriches, consistently with complete passiveness on their own part. In such a case it would be no violation of the principles on which private property is grounded, if the state should appropriate this increase of wealth, or part of it, as it arises. This would not properly be taking anything from anybody ; it would merely be applying an accession of wealth, created by circumstances, to the benefit of society, instead of GENERAL PRINCIPLES OF TAXATION. 547 allowing it to become an unearned appendage to the riches of a particular class. Now, this is actually the case with rent. The ordinary- progress of a society which increases in wealth is at all times tending to augment the incomes of landlords ; to give them both a greater amount and a greater proportion of the wealth of the community, independently of any trouble or outlay incurred by themselves. They grow richer, as it were, in their sleep, without working, risking, or economizing. What claim have they, on the general principle of social justice, to this accession of riches ? In what would they have been wronged if society had, from the beginning, reserved the right of taxing the spontaneous increase of rent, to the high- est amount required by financial exigencies ? The only ad- missible mode of proceeding would be by a general measure. The first step should be a valuation of all the land in the country. The present value of all land should be exempt from the tax ; but after an interval had elapsed, during which society had increased in population and capital, a rough estimate might be made of the spontaneous increase which had accrued to rent since the valuation was made. Of this the average price of produce would be some criterion : if that had risen, it would be certain that rent had increased, and (as already shown) even in a greater ratio than the rise of price. On this and other data, an approximate estimate might be made how much value had been added to the land of the country by natural causes ; and in laying on a general land-tax, which for fear of miscalculation should be consid- erably within the amount thus indicated, there would be an assurance of not touching any increase of income which might be the result of capital expended or industry exerted by the proprietor. With reference to such a tax, perhaps a safer criterion than either a rise of rents or a rise of the price of corn, would be a general rise in the price of land. It would be easy to keep the tax within the amount which would reduce the market value of land below the original valuation ; and 548 THE INFLUENCE OF GOVERNMENT. up to that point, whatever the amount of the tax might be, no injustice would be done to the proprietors. In 1870 Mr. Mill became President of the Land Tenure As- sociation, one of whose objects was : "To claim for the benefit of the State the Interception by Taxation of the Future Un- earned Increase of the Rent of Land (so far as the same can be ascertained), or a great part of that increase, which is continu- ally taking place, without any effort or outlay by the proprie- tors, merely through the growth of population and wealth ; reserving to owners the option of relinquishing their property to the state at the market value which it may have acquired at the time when this principle may be adopted by the Legisla- ture." It is urged against this plan that, if the Government take for itself the increase from rent, it should also make com- pensation for loss arising from declining rents, whenever there happens to be any readjustment of values in land. 1 § 6. In addition to the preceding rules, another general rule of taxation is sometimes laid down — namely, that it should fall on income and not on capital. To provide that taxation shall fall entirely on income, and not at all on capital, is beyond the power of any system of fiscal arrangements. There is no tax which is not partly paid from what would otherwise have been saved ; no tax, the amount of which, if remitted, would be wholly employed in increased expenditure, and no part whatever laid by as an addition to capital. All taxes, therefore, are in some sense partly paid out of capital ; and in a poor country it is impos- sible to impose any tax which will not impede the increase of the national wealth. But, in a country where capital abounds and the spirit of accumulation is strong, this effect of taxa- tion is scarcely felt. To take from capital by taxation what emigration would remove, or a commercial crisis destroy, is only to do what either of those causes would have done — namely, to make a clear space for further saving. I can not, therefore, attach any importance, in a wealthy country, to the objection made against taxes on legacies and inheritances, that they are taxes on capital. It is perfectly true that they are so. As Ricardo observes, if £100 are taken 1 Cf. Walker, " Land and Rent," page 134. GENERAL PRINCIPLES OF TAXATION. 549 from any one in a tax on houses or on wine, he will probably save it, or a part of it, by living in a cheaper house, consum- ing less wine, or retrenching from some other of his ex- penses ; but, if the same sum be taken from him because he has received a legacy of £1,000, he considers the legacy as only £900, and feels no more inducement than at any other time (probably feels rather less inducement) to economize in his expenditure. The tax, therefore, is wholly paid out of capital ; and there are countries in which this would be a serious objection. But, in the first place, the argument can not apply to any country which has a national debt and de- votes any portion of revenue to paying it off, since the prod- uce of the tax, thus applied, still remains capital, and is merely transferred from the tax-payer to the fund-holder. But the objection is never applicable in a country which increases rapidly in wealth. CHAPTER II. OF DIRECT TAXES. § 1. Taxes are either direct or indirect. A direct tax is one which is demanded from the very persons who, it is in- tended or desired, should pay it. Indirect taxes are those which are demanded from one person in the expectation and intention that he shall indemnify himself at the expense of another : such as the excise or customs. The producer or importer of a commodity is called upon to pay tax on it, not with the intention to levy a peculiar contribution upon him, but to tax through him the consumers of the commodity, from whom it is supposed that he will recover the amount by means of an advance in price. Direct taxes are either on income or on expenditure. Most taxes on expenditure are indirect, but some are direct, being imposed, not on the producer or seller of an article, but immediately on the consumer. A house-tax, for exam- ple, is a direct tax on expenditure, if levied, as it usually is, on the occupier of the house. If levied on the builder or owner, it would be an indirect tax. A window-tax is a direct tax on expenditure; so are the taxes on horses and carriages. The sources of income are rent, profits, and wages. This includes every sort of income, except gift or plunder. Taxes may be laid on any one of the three kinds of income, or a uniform tax on all of them. "We will consider these in their order. § 2. A tax on rent falls wholly on the landlord. There DIRECT TAXES. 551 are no means by which he can shift the burden upon any one else. It does not affect the value or price of agricultural produce, for this is determined by the cost of production in the most unfavorable circumstances, and in those circum- stances, as we have so often demonstrated, no rent is paid. This, however, is, in strict exactness, only true of the rent which is the result either of natural causes, or of im- provements made by tenants. When the landlord makes improvements which increase the productive power of his land, he is remunerated for them by an extra payment from the tenant ; and this payment, which to the landlord is prop- erly a profit on capital, is blended and confounded with rent, A tax on rent, if extending to this portion of it, would dis- courage landlords from making improvements; but what- ever hinders improvements from being made in the manner in which people prefer to make them, will often prevent them from being made at all ; and on this account a tax on rent would be inexpedient unless some means could be de- vised of excluding from its operation that portion of the nominal rent which may be regarded as landlord's profit. § 3. A tax on profits, like a tax on rent, must, at least in its immediate operation, fall wholly on the payer. All prof- its being alike affected, no relief can be obtained by a change of employment. If a tax were laid on the profits of any one branch of productive employment, the tax would be virtually an increase of the cost of production, and the value and price of the article would rise accordingly; by which the tax would be thrown upon the consumers of the com- modity, and would not affect profits. But a general and equal tax on all profits would not affect general prices, and would fall, at least in the first instance, on capitalists alone. There is, however, an ulterior effect, which, in a rich and prosperous country, requires to be taken into account. It may operate in two different ways : (1.) The curtailment of profit, and the consequent increased difficulty in making a fortune or obtaining a subsistence by the employment of capital, may act as a stimulus to inventions, and to the use 552 THE INFLUENCE OF GOVERNMENT. of them when made. If improvements in production are much accelerated, and if these improvements cheapen, di- rectly or indirectly, any of the things habitually consumed by the laborer, profits may rise, and rise sufficiently to make up for all that is taken from them by the tax. In that case the tax will have been realized without loss to any one, the produce of the country being increased by an equal, or what would in that case be a far greater, amount. The tax, how- ever, must even in this case be considered as paid from prof- its, because the receivers of profits are those who would be benefited if it were taken off. But (2) though the artificial abstraction of a portion of profits would have a real tendency to accelerate improve- ments in production, no considerable improvements might actually result, or only of such a kind as not to raise general profits at all, or not to raise them so much as the tax had diminished them. If so, the rate of profit would be brought closer to that practical minimum to which it is constantly ap- proaching. At its first imposition the tax falls wholly on profits ; but the amount of increase of capital, which the tax prevents, would, if it had been allowed to continue, have tended to reduce profits to the same level; and at every period of ten or twenty years there will be found less differ- ence between profits as they are and profits as they would in that case have been, until at last there is no difference, and the tax is thrown either upon the laborer or upon the landlord. The real effect of a tax on profits is to make the country possess at any given period a smaller capital and a smaller aggregate production, and to make the stationary state be attained earlier, and with a smaller sum of national wealth. Even in countries which do not accumulate so fast as to be always within a short interval of the stationary state, it seems impossible that, if capital is accumulating at all, its accumulation should not be in some degree retarded by the abstraction of a portion of its profit ; and, unless the effect in stimulating improvements be a full counterbalance, it is DIRECT TAXES. 553 inevitable that a part of the burden will be thrown off the capitalist, upon the laborer or the landlord. One or other of these is always the loser by a diminished rate of accumu- lation. If population continues to increase as before, the laborer suffers ; if not, cultivation is checked in its advance, and the landlords lose the accession of rent which would have accrued to them. The only countries in which a tax on profits seems likely to be permanently a burden on capital- ists exclusively are those in which capital is stationary, be- cause there is no new accumulation. In such countries the tax might not prevent the old capital from being kept up through habit, or from unwillingness to submit to impover- ishment, and so the capitalists might continue to bear the whole of the tax. § 4. "We now turn to Taxes on Wages. The incidence of these is very different, according as the wages taxed are those of ordinary unskilled labor, or are the remuneration of such skilled or privileged employments, whether manual or intel- lectual, as are taken out of the sphere of competition by a natural or conferred monopoly. I have already remarked that, in the present low state of popular education, all the higher grades of mental or edu- cated labor are at a monopoly price, exceeding the wages of common workmen in a degree very far beyond that which is due to the expense, trouble, and loss of time required in qualifying for the employment. Any tax levied on these gains, which still leaves them above (or not below) their just proportion, falls on those who pay it ; they have no means of relieving themselves at the expense of any other class. The same thing is true of ordinary wages, in cases like that of the United States, or of a new colony, where, capital increasing as rapidly as population can increase, wages are kept up by the increase of capital, and not by the adherence of the labor- ers to a fixed standard of comforts. In such a case, some deterioration of their condition, whether by a tax or other- wise, might possibly take place without checking the increase of population. The tax would in that case fall on the labor- 554 THE INFLUENCE OF GOVERNMENT. ers themselves, and would reduce them prematurely to that lower state to which, on the same supposition with regard to their habits, they would in any case have been reduced ulti- mately, by the inevitable diminution in the rate of increase of capital, through the occupation of all the fertile land. Some will object that, even in this case, a tax on wages can not be detrimental to the laborers, since the money raised by it, being expended in the country, comes back to the labor- ers again through the demand for labor. Without, however, reverting to general principles, we may rely on an obvious reductio ad absurdum. If to take money from the laborers and spend it in commodities is giving it back to the laborers, then, to take money from other classes, and spend it in the same manner, must be giving it to the laborers ; consequently, the more a government takes in taxes, the greater will be the demand for labor, and the more opulent the condition of the laborers — a proposition the absurdity of which no one can fail to see. In the condition of most communities, wages are regu- lated by the habitual standard of living to which the labor- ers adhere, and on less than which they will not multiply. Where there exists such a standard, a tax on wages will indeed for a time be borne by the laborers themselves ; but, unless this temporary depression has the effect of lowering the stand- ard itself, the increase of population will receive a check, which will raise wages, and restore the laborers to their pre- vious condition. On whom, in this case, will the tax fall % A rise of wages occasioned by a tax must, like any other in- crease of the cost of labor, be defrayed from profits. To attempt to tax day-laborers, in an old country, is merely to impose an extra tax upon all employers of common labor ; unless the tax has the much worse effect of permanently low- ering the standard of comfortable subsistence in the minds of the poorest class. We find in the preceding considerations an additional argument for the opinion, already expressed, that direct tax- ation should stop short of the class of incomes which do not DIRECT TAXES. 555 exceed what is necessary for healthful existence. These very small incomes are mostly derived from manual labor ; and, as we now see, any tax imposed on these, either per- manently degrades the habits of the laboring-class, or falls on profits, and burdens capitalists with an indirect tax, in addition to their share of the direct taxes ; which is doubly objectionable, both as a violation of the fundamental rule of equality, and for the reasons which, as already shown, render a peculiar tax on profits detrimental to the public wealth, and consequently to the means which society possesses of paying any taxes whatever. § 5. "We now pass, from taxes on the separate kinds of income, to a tax attempted to be assessed fairly upon all kinds ; in other words, an Income-Tax. The discussion of the conditions necessary for making this tax consistent with justice has been anticipated in the last chapter. "We shall suppose, therefore, that these conditions are complied with. They are, first, that incomes below a certain amount should be altogether untaxed. This minimum should not be higher than the amount which suffices for the necessaries of the ex- isting population. The second condition is, that incomes above the limit should be taxed only in proportion to the surplus by which they exceed the limit. Thirdly, that all sums saved from income and invested should be exempt from the tax ; or, if this be found impracticable, that life-in- comes and incomes from business and professions should be less heavily taxed than inheritable incomes. An income-tax, fairly assessed on these principles, would be, in point of justice, the least exceptionable of all taxes. The objection to it, in the present low state of public mo- rality, is the impossibility of ascertaining the real incomes of the contributors. Notwithstanding, too, what is called the inquisitorial nature of the tax, no amount of inquisitorial power which would be tolerated by a people the most dis- posed to submit to it could enable the revenue officers to assess the tax from actual knowledge of the circumstances of contributors. Rents, salaries, annuities, and all fixed in- 556 THE INFLUENCE OF GOVEPtNMENT. comes, can be exactly ascertained. But the variable gains of professions, and still more the profits of business, which the person interested can not always himself exactly ascertain, can still less be estimated with any approach to fairness by a tax-collector. The main reliance must be placed, and al- ways has been placed, on the returns made by the person himself. The tax, therefore, on whatever principles of equal- ity it may be imposed, is in practice unequal in one of the worst ways, falling heaviest on the most conscientious. It is to be feared, therefore, that the fairness which be- longs to the principle of an income-tax can not be made to attach to it in practice. This consideration would lead us to concur in the opinion which, until of late, has usually pre- vailed — that direct taxes on income should be reserved as an extraordinary resource for great national emergencies, in which the necessity of a large additional revenue overrules all objections. The difficulties of a fair income-tax have elicited a prop- osition for a direct tax of so much per cent, not on income but on expenditure ; the aggregate amount of each person's expenditure being ascertained as the amount of income now is, from statements furnished by the contributors them- selves. The only security would still be the veracity of in- dividuals, and there is no reason for supposing that their statements would be more trustworthy on the subject of their expenses than on that of their revenues. The taxes on ex- penditure at present in force, either in this or in other coun- tries, fall only on particular kinds of expenditure, and differ no otherwise from taxes on commodities than in being paid directly by the person who consumes or uses the article, instead of being advanced by the producer or seller, and reimbursed in the price. The taxes on horses and carriages, on dogs, on servants, are of this nature. They evidently fall on the persons from whom they are levied — those who use the commodity taxed. A tax of a similar description, and more important, is a house-tax, which must be considered at somewhat greater length. DIRECT TAXES. 557 § 6. The rent of a house consists of two parts, the ground- rent, and what Adam Smith calls the building-rent. The first is determined by the ordinary principles of rent. It is the remuneration given for the use of the portion of land occupied by the house and its appurtenances; and varies from a mere equivalent for the rent which the ground would afford in agriculture to the monopoly rents paid for advan- tageous situations in populous thoroughfares. The rent of the house itself, as distinguished from the ground, is the equivalent given for the labor and capital expended on the building. The fact of its being received in quarterly or half-yearly payments makes no difference in the principles by which it is regulated. It comprises the ordinary profit on the builder's capital, and an annuity, sufficient at the cur- rent rate of interest, after paying for all repairs chargeable on the proprietor, to replace the original capital by the time the house is worn out, or by the expiration of the usual term of a building-lease. A tax of so much per cent on the gross rent falls on both those portions alike. The more highly a house is rented, the more it pays to the tax, whether the quality of the situation or that of the house itself is the cause. The incidence, how- ever, of these two portions of the tax must be considered separately. As much of it as is a tax on building-rent must ulti- mately fall on the consumer, in other words, the occupier. For, as the profits of building are already not above the ordi- nary rate, they would, if the tax fell on the owner and not on the occupier, become lower than the profits of untaxed employments, and houses would not be built. It is proba- ble, however, that for some time after the tax was first im- posed, a great part of it would fall, not on the renter, but on the owner of the house. A large proportion of the con- sumers either could not afford, or would not choose, to pay their former rent with the tax in addition, but would content themselves with a lower scale of accommodation. Houses, therefore, would be for a time in excess of the demand. The 558 THE INFLUENCE OF GOVERNMENT. consequence of such excess, in the case of most other articles, would be an almost immediate diminution of the supply; but so durable a commodity as houses does not rapidly di- minish in amount. New buildings, indeed, of the class for which the demand had decreased, would cease to be erected, except for special reasons ; but in the mean time the tempo- rary superfluity would lower rents, and the consumers would obtain, perhaps, nearly the same accommodation as formerly, for the same aggregate payment, rent and tax together. By degrees, however, as the existing houses wore out, or as in- crease of population demanded a greater supply, rents would again rise ; until it became profitable to recommence build- ing, which would not be until the tax was wholly transferred to the occupier. In the end, therefore, the occupier bears that portion of a tax on rent which falls on the payment made for the house itself, exclusively of the ground it stands on. The case is partly different with the portion which is a tax on ground-rent. As taxes on rent, properly so called, fall on the landlord, a tax on ground-rent, one would sup- pose, must fall on the ground-landlord,. at least after the ex- piration of the building-lease. It will not, however, fall wholly on the landlord, unless with the tax on ground-rent there is combined an equivalent tax on agricultural rent. The lowest rent of land let for building is very little above the rent which the same ground would yield in agriculture : since it is reasonable to suppose that land, unless in case of exceptional circumstances, is let or sold for building as soon as it is decidedly worth more for that purpose than for culti- vation. If, therefore, a tax were laid on ground-rents with- out being also laid on agricultural rents, it would, unless of trifling amount, reduce the return from the lowest ground- rents below the ordinary return from land, and would check further building quite as effectually as if it were a tax on building-rents, until either the increased demand of a grow- ing population, or a diminution of supply by the ordinary causes of destruction, had raised the rent by a full equivalent DIRECT TAXES. 559 for the tax. But whatever raises the lowest ground-rents raises all others, since each exceeds the lowest by the market value of its peculiar advantages. If, therefore, the tax on ground-rents were a fixed sum per square foot, the more valuable situations paying no more than those least in re- quest, this fixed payment would ultimately fall on the occu- pier. Suppose the lowest ground-rent to be $50 per acre, and the highest $5,000, a tax of $5 per acre on ground-rents would ultimately raise the former to $55, and the latter con- sequently to $5,005, since the difference of value between the two situations would be exactly what it was before : the annual $5, therefore, would be paid by the occupier. But a tax on ground-rent is supposed to be a portion of a house-tax which is not a fixed payment, but a percentage on the rent. The cheapest site, therefore, being supposed as before to pay $5, the dearest would pay $500, of which only the $5 could be thrown upon the occupier, since the rent would still be only raised to $5,005. Consequently, $495 of the $500 levied from the expensive site would fall on the ground-landlord. 1 A house-tax thus requires to be considered in a double aspect, as a tax on all occupiers of houses, and a tax on ground-rents. In the vast majority of houses the ground-rent forms but a small proportion of the annual payment made for the house, and nearly all the tax falls on the occupier. It is only in exceptional cases, like that of the favorite situations in large towns, that the predominant element in the rent of the house is the ground-rent ; and, among the very few kinds of income which are fit subjects for peculiar taxation, these ground-rents hold the principal place, being the most gigan- tic example extant of enormous accessions of riches acquired rapidly, and in many cases unexpectedly, by a few families, from the mere accident of their possessing certain tracts of land without their having themselves aided in the acquisi- tion by the smallest exertion, outlay, or risk. So far, there- fore, as a house-tax falls on the ground-landlord, it is liable to no valid objection. 1 I have changed the sums mentioned in this illustration into our own money. 560 THE INFLUENCE OF GOVERNMENT. In so far as it falls on the occupier, if justly proportioned to the value of the house, it is one of the fairest and most unobjectionable of all taxes. ISTo part of a person's expendi- ture is a better criterion of his means, or bears, on the whole, more nearly the same proportion to them. The equality of this tax can only be seriously questioned on two grounds. The first is, that a miser may escape it. This objection ap- plies to all taxes on expenditure ; nothing but a direct tax on income can reach a miser. The second objection is, that a person may require a larger and more expensive house, not from having greater means, but from having a larger family. Of this, however, he is not entitled to complain, since hav- ing a large family is at a person's own choice ; and, so far as concerns the public interest, is a thing rather to be discour- aged than promoted. 1 A valuation should be made of the house, not at what it would sell for, but at what would be the cost of rebuilding it, and this valuation might be periodically corrected by an allowance for what it had lost in value by time, or gained by repairs and improvements. The amount of the amended valuation would form a principal sum, the interest of which, at the current price of the public funds, would form the an- nual value at which the building should be assessed to the tax. 1 Another common objection is that large and expensive accommodation is often required, not as a residence, but for business. But it is an admitted prin- ciple that buildings, or portions of buildings, occupied exclusively for business, such as shops, warehouses, or manufactories, ought to be exempted from house- tax. It has been also objected that house-rent in the rural districts is much lower than in towns, and lower in some towns and in some rural districts than in others ; so that a tax proportioned to it would have a corresponding inequality of pressure. To this, however, it may be answered that, in places where house- rent is low, persons of the same amount of income usually live in larger and better houses, and thus expend in house-rent more nearly the same proportion of their incomes than might at first sight appear. Or, if not, the probability will be that many of them live in those places precisely because they are too poor to live elsewhere, and have, therefore, the strongest claim to be taxed lightly. In some cases it is precisely because the people are poor that house- rent remains low. — Mill. DIRECT TAXES. 561 As incomes below a certain amount ought to be exempt from income-tax, so ought houses below a certain value from house-tax, on the universal principle of sparing from all taxation the absolute necessaries of healthful existence. In order that the occupiers of lodgings, as well as of houses, might benefit, as in justice they ought, by this exemption, it might be optional with the owners to have every portion of a house which is occupied by a separate tenant valued and assessed separately. 36 CHAPTER III. OF TAXES ON COMMODITIES, OR INDIRECT TAXES. § 1. By taxes on commodities are commonly meant those which are levied either on the producers, or on the carriers or dealers who intervene between them and the final pur- chasers for consumption ; the phrase being, by custom, con- fined to indirect taxes — those which are advanced by one person, to be, as is expected and intended, reimbursed by another. Taxes on commodities are either on production within the country, or on importation into it, or on conveyance or sale within it, and are classed respectively as excise, customs, or tolls and transit duties. To whichever class they belong, and at whatever stage in the progress of the community they may be imposed, they are equivalent to an increase of the cost of production ; using that term in its most enlarged sense, which includes the cost of transport and distribution, or, in common phrase, of bringing the commodity to market. When the cost of production is increased artificially by a tax, the effect is the same as when it is increased by natural causes. If only one or a few commodities are affected, their value and price rise, so as to compensate the producer or dealer for the peculiar burden ; but if there were a tax on all commodities, exactly proportioned to their value, no such compensation would be obtained ; there would neither be a general rise of values, which is an absurdity, nor of prices, which depend on causes entirely different. There would, however, as Mr. McCulloch has pointed out, be a disturbance TAXES ON COMMODITIES, OR INDIRECT TAXES. 563 of values, some falling, others rising, owing to a circum- stance, the effect of which on values and prices we formerly discussed — the different durability of the capital employed in different occupations. The gross produce of industry con- sists of two parts ; one portion serving to replace the capital consumed, while the other portion is profit. Now, equal capital in two branches of production must have equal expec- tations of profit ; but if a greater portion of the one than of the other is fixed capital, or if that fixed capital is more durable, there will be a less consumption of capital in the year, and less will be required to replace it, so that the profit, if absolutely the same, will form a greater proportion of the annual returns. To derive from a capital of $1,000 a profit of $100, the one producer may have to sell produce to the value of $1,100, the other only to the value of $500. If on these two branches of industry a tax be imposed of five per cent ad valorem, the last will be charged only with $25, the first with $55 ; leaving to the one $75 profit, to the other only $45. To equalize, therefore, their expectation of profit, the one commodity must rise in price, or the other must fall, or both. 1 Commodities made chiefly by immediate labor must rise in value, as compared with those which are chiefly made by machinery. It is unnecessary to prosecute this branch of the inquiry any further. § 2. A tax on any one commodity, whether laid on its production, its importation, its carriage from place to place, or its sale, and whether the tax be a fixed sum of money for a given quantity of the commodity, or an ad valorem duty, will, as a general rule, raise the value and price of the com- modity by at least the amount of the tax. There are few cases in which it does not raise them by more than that amount. In the first place, there are few taxes on produc- tion on account of which it is not found or deemed neces- sary to impose restrictive regulations on the manufacturers or dealers, in order to check evasions of the tax. These 1 I have here also changed the amounts into our own money. 564r THE INFLUENCE OF GOVERNMENT. regulations are always sources of trouble and annoyance, and generally of expense, for all of which, being peculiar disad- vantages, the producers or dealers must have compensation in the price of their commodity. These restrictions also fre- quently interfere with the processes of manufacture, requir- ing the producer to carry on his operations in the way most convenient to the revenue, though not the cheapest or most efficient for purposes of production. Any regulations what- ever, enforced by law, make it difficult for the producer to adopt new and improved processes. Further, the necessity of advancing the tax obliges producers and dealers to carry on their business with larger capitals than would otherwise be necessary, on the whole of which they must receive the ordinary rate of profit, though a part only is employed in defraying the real expenses of production or importation. The price of the article must be such as to afford a profit on more than its natural value, instead of a profit on only its natural value. Neither ought it to be forgotten that what- ever renders a larger capital necessary in any trade or busi- ness limits the competition in that business, and, by giving something like a monopoly to a few dealers, may enable them either to keep up the price beyond what would afford the ordinary rate of profit, or to obtain the ordinary rate of profit with a less degree of exertion for improving and cheap- ening their commodity. In these several modes, taxes on commodities often cost to the consumer, through the in- creased price of the article, much more than they bring into the treasury of the state. There is still another considera- tion: the higher price necessitated by the tax almost al- ways checks the demand for the commodity; and, since there are many improvements in production which, to make them practicable, require a certain extent of demand, such improvements are obstructed, and many of them prevented altogether. It is a well-known fact that the branches of production in which fewest improvements are made are those with which the revenue-officer interferes; and that nothing, in general, gives a greater impulse to improvements TAXES ON COMMODITIES, OR INDIRECT TAXES. 565 in the production of a commodity than taking off a tax which narrowed the market for it. § 3. Such are the effects of taxes on commodities, consid- ered generally ; but, as there are some commodities (those composing the necessaries of the laborer) of which the values have an influence on the distribution of wealth among dif- ferent classes of the community, it is requisite to trace the effects of taxes on those particular articles somewhat further. If a tax be laid, say on corn, and the price rises in proportion to the tax, the rise of price may operate in two ways : First, it may lower the condition of the laboring-classes ; tempo- rarily, indeed, it can scarcely fail to do so. If it diminishes their consumption of the produce of the earth, or makes them resort to a food which the soil produces more abun- dantly, and therefore more cheaply, it to that extent contrib- utes to throw back agriculture upon more fertile lands or less costly processes, and to lower the value and price of corn ; which therefore ultimately settles at a price, increased not by the whole amount of the tax, but by only a part of its amount. Secondly, however, it may happen that the dear- ness of the taxed food does not lower the habitual standard of the laborer's requirements, but that wages, on the contrary, through an action on population, rise, in shorter or longer periods, so as to compensate the laborers for their portion of the tax, the compensation being of course at the expense of profits. Taxes on necessaries must thus have one of two effects : either they lower the condition of the laboring-classes, or they exact from the owners of capital, in addition to the amount due to the state on their own necessaries, the amount due on those consumed by the laborers. In the last case, the tax on necessaries, like a tax on wages, is equivalent to a pecul- iar tax on profits ; which is, like all other partial taxation, un- just, and is specially prejudicial to the increase of the national wealth. It remains to speak of the effect on rent. Assuming (what is usually the fact) that the consumption of food is not diminished, the same cultivation as before will be necessary 566 THE INFLUENCE OF GOVERNMENT. to supply the wants of the community ; the margin of culti- vation, to use Dr. Chalmers's expression, remains where it was ; and the same land or capital, which, as the least pro- ductive, already regulated the value and price of the whole produce, will continue to regulate them. The effect which a tax on agricultural produce will have on rent depends on its affecting or not affecting the difference between the return to this least productive land or capital and the returns to other lands and capitals. Now, this depends on the manner in which the tax is imposed. If it is an ad valorem tax, or, what is the same thing, a fixed proportion of the produce, such as tithe for example, it evidently lowers corn-rents. For it takes more corn from the better lands than from the worse, and exactly in the degree in which they are better, land of twice the productiveness paying twice as much to the tithe. Whatever takes more from the greater of two quantities than from the less, diminishes the difference between them. The imposition of a tithe on corn would take a tithe also from corn-rent : for, if we reduce a series of numbers by a tenth each, the differences between them are reduced one tenth. For example, let there be five qualities of land, which severally yield, on the same extent of ground and with the same expenditure, 100, 90, 80, 70, and 60 bushels of wheat, the last of these being the lowest quality which the demand for food renders it necessary to cultivate. The rent of these lands will be as follows : The land > 1QQ bughelg < will yield ) 100 _ 6Q) or 4Q bughe]s> producing ) I a rent of J That producing 90 " " 90—60, or 30 " " " 80 " " 80—60, or 20 " " " 10 " " 70-60, or 10 " " " 60 " will yield no rent. Now let a tithe be imposed, which takes from these five pieces of land 10, 9, 8, 7, and 6 bushels respectively, the fifth quality still being the one which regulates the price, but re- turning to the farmer, after payment of tithe, no more than 54 bushels : TAXES ON COMMODITIES, OR INDIRECT TAXES. 567 The land ) m bushels reduced to 90 i will yield > 90 _ 54) or 36 bushel3i producing | / a rent of ) That i 90 " " 81 " 81-54, or 27 " producing ) " 80 " " 72 " 72-54, or 18 " 70 " " 63 " 63-54, or 9 " and that producing 60 bushels, reduced to 54, will yield, as before, no rent. So that the rent of the first quality of land has lost four bushels; of the second, three; of the third, two ; and of the fourth, one : that is, each has lost exactly one tenth. A tax, therefore, of a fixed proportion of the produce lowers, in the same proportion, corn-rent. But it is only corn-rent that is lowered, and not rent esti- mated in money, or in any other commodity. For, in the same proportion as corn-rent is reduced in quantity, the corn composing it is raised in value. Under the tithe, 54 bushels will be worth in the market what 60 were before ; and nine tenths will in all cases sell for as much as the whole ten tenths previously sold for. The landlords will therefore be compen- sated in value and price for what they lose in quantity, and will suffer only so far as they consume their rent in kind, or, after receiving it in money, expend it in agricultural produce ; that is, they only suffer as consumers of agricultural produce, and in common with all the other consumers. Considered as landlords, they have the same income as before ; the tithe, therefore, falls on the consumer, and not on the landlord. The same effect would be produced on rent if the tax, instead of being a fixed proportion of the produce, were a fixed sum per quarter or per bushel. A tax which takes a shilling for every bushel takes more shillings from one field than from another, just in proportion as it produces more bushels ; and operates exactly like tithe, except that tithe is not only the same proportion on all lands, but is also the same proportion at all times, while a fixed sum of money per bushel will amount to a greater or less proportion, according as corn is cheap or dear. There are other modes of taxing agriculture, which would affect rent differently. A tax proportioned to the rent would 568 THE INFLUENCE OF GOVERNMENT. fall wholly on the rent, and would not at all raise the price of corn, which is regulated by the portion of the produce that pays no rent. A fixed tax of so much per cultivated acre, without distinction of value, would have effects directly the reverse. Taking no more from the best qualities of land than from the worst,* it would leave the differences the same as before, and consequently the same corn-rents, and the landlords would profit to the full extent of the rise of price. To put the thing in another manner: the price must rise sufficiently to enable the worst land to pay the tax, thus ena- bling all lands which produce more than the worst to pay not only the tax, but also an increased rent to the landlords. These, however, are not so much taxes on the produce of land as taxes on the land itself. Taxes on the produce, properly so called, whether fixed or ad valorem, do not affect rent, but fall on the consumer, profits, however, generally bearing either the whole or the greatest part of the portion which is levied on the consumption of the laboring-classes. § 4. The preceding is, I apprehend, a correct statement of the manner in which taxes on agricultural produce operate when first laid on. "When, however, they are of old stand- ing, their effect may be different. Now, the effect of accu- mulation, when attended by its usual accompaniment, an in- crease of population, is to increase the value and price of food, to raise rent, and to lower profits ; that is, to do pre- cisely what is done by a tax on agricultural produce, except that this does not raise rent. The tax, therefore, merely anticipates the rise of price and fall of profits which would have taken place ultimately through the mere progress of accumulation, while it at the same time prevents, or at least retards, that progress. If the rate of profit was such that the effect of the tithe reduces it to the practical minimum, after a lapse of time which would have admitted of a rise of one tenth from the natural progress of wealth, the consumer will be paying no more than he would have paid if the tithe had never existed ; he will have ceased to pay any portion of it, and the person who will really pay it is the landlord, TAXES ON COMMODITIES, OR INDIRECT TAXES. 569 whom it deprives of the increase of rent which would by that time have accrued to him. At every successive point in this interval of time, less of the burden will rest on the consumer, and more of it on the landlord ; and, in the ultimate result, the minimum of profits will be reached with a smaller capi- tal and population and a lower rental than if the course of things had not been disturbed by the imposition of the tax. If, on the other hand, the tithe or other tax on agricultural produce does not reduce profits to the minimum, but to something above the minimum, accumulation will not be stopped, but only slackened ; and, if population also increases, the twofold increase will continue to produce its effects — a rise of the price of corn and an increase of rent. These con- sequences, however, will not take place with the same rapid- ity as if the higher rate of profit had continued. At the end of twenty years the country will have a smaller population and capital than, but for the tax, it would by that time have had ; the landlords will have a smaller rent, and the price of corn, having increased less rapidly than it would otherwise have done, will not be so much as a tenth higher than what, if there had been no tax, it would by that time have become. A part of the tax, therefore, will already have ceased to fall on the consumer and devolved upon the landlord, and the proportion will become greater and greater by lapse of time. But though tithes and other taxes on agricultural produce, when of long standing, either do not raise the price of food and lower profits at all, or, if at all, not in proportion to the tax, yet the abrogation of such taxes, when they exist, does not the less diminish price, and, in general, raise the rate of profit. The abolition of a tithe takes one tenth from the cost of production, and consequently from the price, of all agricultural produce ; and, unless it permanently raises the laborer's requirements, it lowers the cost of labor and raises profits. Rent, estimated in money or in commodities, gener- ally remains as before ; estimated in agricultural produce, it is raised. The country adds as much, by the repeal of a tithe, to the margin which intervenes between it and the stationary 570 THE INFLUENCE OF GOVERNMENT. state as was cut off from that margin by the tithe wheD first imposed. Accumulation is greatly accelerated, and, if popu- lation also increases, the price of corn immediately begins to recover itself and rent to rise, thus gradually transferring the benefit of the remission from the consumer to the land- lord. § 5. We have hitherto inquired into the effects of taxes on commodities, on the assumption that they are levied im- partially on every mode in which the commodity can be pro- duced or brought to market. Another class of considerations is opened, if we suppose that this impartiality is not main- tained, and that the tax is imposed, not on the commodity, but on some particular mode of obtaining it. Suppose that a commodity is capable of being made by two different processes — as a manufactured commodity may be produced either by hand or by steam-power — sugar may be made either from the sugar-cane or from beet-root, cattle fattened either on hay and green crops or on oil-cake and the refuse of breweries. It is the interest of the community that, of the two methods, producers should adopt that which produces the best article at the lowest price. This being also the interest of the producers, unless protected against com- petition, and shielded from the penalties of indolence, the process most advantageous to the community is that which, if not interfered with by Government, they ultimately find it to their advantage to adopt. Suppose, however, that a tax is laid on one of the processes, and no tax at all, or one of smaller amount, on the other. If the taxed process is the one which the producers would not have adopted, the meas- ure is simply nugatory. But if the tax falls, as it is of course intended to do, upon the one which they would have adopted, it creates an artificial motive for preferring the un- taxed process, though the inferior of the two. If, therefore, it has any effect at all, it causes the commodity to be pro- duced of worse quality, or at a greater expense of labor ; it causes so much of the labor of the community to be wasted, and the capital employed in supporting and remunerating TAXES ON COMMODITIES, OR INDIRECT TAXES. 571 that labor to be expended as uselessly as if it were spent in hiring men to dig holes and fill them up again. This waste of labor and capital constitutes an addition to the cost of production of the commodity, which raises its value and price in a corresponding ratio, and thus the owners of the capital are indemnified. The loss falls on the consumers; though the capital of the country is also eventually diminished, by the diminution of their means of saving, and, in some degree, of their inducements to save. The kind of tax, therefore, which comes under the gen- eral denomination of a discriminating duty, transgresses the rule that taxes should take as little as possible from the tax- payer beyond what they bring into the treasury of the state. A discriminating duty makes the consumer pay two distinct taxes, only one of which is paid to the Government, and that frequently the less onerous of the two. If a tax were laid on sugar produced from the cane, leaving the sugar from beet-root untaxed, then in so far as cane-sugar continued to be used, the tax on it would be paid to the treasury, and might be as unobjectionable as most other taxes ; but if cane- sugar, having previously been cheaper than beet-root sugar, was now dearer, and beet-root sugar was to any considerable amount substituted for it, and fields laid out and manufacto- ries established in consequence, the Government would gain no revenue from the beet-root sugar, while the consumers of it would pay a real tax. They would pay for beet-root sugar more than they had previously paid for cane-sugar, and the difference would go to indemnify producers for a portion of the labor of the country actually thrown away, in producing by the labor of (say) three hundred men what could be ob- tained by the other process with the labor of two hundred. An interesting illustration, in late years, of the operation of a discriminating duty is to be found in the case of different grades of sugar imported into the United States. Our tariff levied certain duties on different grades of sugar classified by color, on the theory that color was a test of saccharine strength. Cargoes were examined and compared with graded sugars her- metically sealed in glass bottles and distributed by the Dutch 572 THE INFLUENCE OF GOVERNMENT. authorities, whence came the name of "Dutch standard." Grades from No. 1 (melado) to No. 10 must go to the refiner before consumption ; but the grades to No. 13, although some might have gone into immediate consumption, were usu- ally sent to be manufactured into the highest grades of soft and hard sugars. So long as the sugar was secured by evapo- ration in open coppers, or by passing the molasses through a layer of clay, saccharine strength and color went fairly well together. But with the invention of the vacuum-pan and the centrifugal wheel, by which the sugar is reduced through a shorter and more effective process, sugar of a certain grade of color by the Dutch standard contained a much greater degree of sweetness than that produced by the old methods. Cuban planters, therefore, were permitted to send sugar into this coun- try at a duty which was really levied on grades much inferior, and so paid a less duty than other sugars. The products of one country were discriminated against in favor of another. The difficulty was settled by using the polariscope, which gave an absolute chemical test of the sweetness, irrespective of color. One of the commonest cases of discriminating duties is that of a taxon the importation of a commodity capable of being produced at home, unaccompanied by an equivalent tax on the home production. A commodity is never perma- nently imported, unless it can be obtained from abroad at a smaller cost of labor and capital, on the whole, than is neces- sary for producing it. If, therefore, by a duty on the impor- tation, it is rendered cheaper to produce the article than to import it, an extra quantity of labor and capital is expended, without any extra result. The labor is useless, and the capi- tal is spent in paying people for laboriously doing nothing. All custom duties which operate as an encouragement to the home production of the taxed article are thus an eminently wasteful mode of raising a revenue. This character belongs in a peculiar degree to custom duties on the produce of land, unless countervailed by excise duties on the home production. Such taxes bring less into the public treasury, compared with what they take from the consumers, than any other imposts to which civilized nations are usually subject. If the wheat produced in a country is twenty millions of quarters, and the consumption twenty-one millions, a million being annually imported, and if on this TAXES ON COMMODITIES, OR INDIRECT TAXES. 573 million a duty is laid which raises the price ten shillings per quarter, the price which is raised is not that of the million only, but of the whole twenty-one millions. Taking the most favorable but extremely improbable supposition, that the importation is not at all checked, nor the home produc- tion enlarged, the state gains a revenue of only half a mill- ion, while the consumers are taxed ten millions and a half, the ten millions being a contribution to the home growers, who are forced by competition to resign it all to the land- lords. The consumer thus pays to the owners of land an ad- ditional tax, equal to twenty times that which he pays to the state. Let us now suppose that the tax really checks impor- tation. Suppose importation stopped altogether in ordinary years ; it being found that the million of quarters can be ob- tained, by a more elaborate cultivation, or by breaking up inferior land, at a less advance than ten shillings upon the pre- vious price — say, for instance, five shillings a quarter. The revenue now obtains nothing, except from the extraordinary imports which may happen to take place in a season of scar- city. But the consumers pay every year a tax of five shillings on the whole twenty-one millions of quarters, amounting to £5,250,000 sterling. Of this the odd £250,000 goes to com- pensate the growers of the last million of quarters for the labor and capital wasted under the compulsion of the law. The remaining £5,000,000 go to enrich the landlords as before. Such is the operation of what are technically termed corn laws, when first laid on ; and such continues to be their operation so long as they have any effect at all in raising the price of corn. The difference between a country without corn laws and a country which has long had corn laws is not so much that the last has a higher price or a larger rental, but that it has the same price and the same rental with a smaller aggregate capital and a smaller population. The im- position of corn laws raises rents, but retards that progress of accumulation which would in no long period have raised them fully as much. The repeal of corn laws tends to lower rents, but it unchains a force which, in a progressive state of 574 THE INFLUENCE OF GOVERNMENT. capital and population, restores and even increases the former amount. What we have said of duties on importation generally is equally applicable to discriminating duties which favor im- portation from one place, or in one particular manner, in contradistinction to others ; such as the preference given to the produce of a colony, or of a country with which there is a commercial treaty ; or the higher duties formerly imposed by our navigation laws on goods imported in other than British shipping. Whatever else may be alleged in favor of such distinctions, whenever they are not nugatory, they are economically wasteful. They induce a resort to a more costly mode of obtaining a commodity in lieu of one less costly, and thus cause a portion of the labor which the coun- try employs in providing itself with foreign commodities to be sacrificed without return. § 6. There is one more point, relating to the operation of taxes on commodities conveyed from one country to another, which requires notice : the influences which they exert on international exchanges. Every tax on a commod- ity tends to raise its price, and consequently to lessen the demand for it in the market in which it is sold. All taxes on international trade tend, therefore, to produce a disturb- ance, and a readjustment of what we have termed the equation of international demand. Taxes on foreign trade are of two kinds — taxes on im- ports and on exports. On the first aspect of the matter it would seem that both these taxes are paid by the consumers of the commodity ; that taxes on exports consequently fall entirely on foreigners, taxes on imports wholly on the home consumer. The true state of the case, however, is much more complicated. "By taxing exports we may, in certain circumstances, produce a division of the advantage of the trade more favor- able to ourselves. In some cases we may draw into our cof- fers, at the expense of foreigners, not only the whole tax, but more than the tax ; in other cases we should gain exactly TAXES ON COMMODITIES, OR INDIRECT TAXES. 575 the tax ; in others, less than the tax. In this last case a part of the tax is borne by ourselves ; possibly the whole, possibly even, as we shall show, more than the whole." Reverting to the supposititious case employed of a trade between England and the United States in iron and corn, suppose that the United States taxes her export of corn, the tax not being supposed high enough to induce England to produce corn for herself. The price at which corn can be sold in England is augmented by the tax. This will prob- ably diminish the quantity consumed. It may diminish it so much that, even at the increased price, there will not be required so great a money value as before. Or it may not diminish it at all, or so little that, in consequence of the higher price, a greater money value will be purchased than before. In this last case, the United States will gain, at the expense of England, not only the whole amount of the duty, but more ; for, the money value of her exports to England being increased, while her imports remain the same, money will flow into the United States from England. The price of corn will rise in the United States, and consequently in England ; but the price of iron will fall in England, and con- sequently in the United States. "We shall export less corn and import more iron, till the equilibrium is restored. It thus appears (what is at first sight somewhat remarkable) that, by taxing her exports, the United States would, in some conceivable circumstances, not only gain from her foreign customers the whole amount of the tax, but would also get her imports cheaper. She would get them cheaper in two ways, for she would obtain them for less money, and would have more money to purchase them with. England, on the other hand, would suffer doubly : she would have to pay for her corn a price increased not only by the duty, but by the influx of money into the United States, while the same change in the distribution of the circulating medium would leave her less money to purchase it with. 1 1 This illustration has also been changed, but only so far as to fit the trade between England and the United States. 576 THE INFLUENCE OF GOVERNMENT. This, however, is only one of three possible cases. If, after the imposition of the duty, England requires so dimin- ished a quantity of corn that its total value is exactly the same as before, the balance of trade would be undisturbed ; the United States will gain the duty, England will lose it, and nothing more. If, again, the imposition of the duty occasions such a falling off in the demand that England re- quires a less pecuniary value than before, our exports will no longer pay for our imports ; money must pass from the United States into England ; and England's share of the advantage of the trade will be increased. By the change in the distribution of money, corn will fall in the United States, and therefore it will, of course, fall in England. Thus Eng- land will not pay the whole of the tax. From the same cause, iron will rise in England, and consequently in the United States. "When this alteration of prices has so ad- justed the demand that the corn and the iron again pay for one another, the result is that England has paid only a part of the tax, and the remainder of what has been received into our treasury has come indirectly out of the pockets of our own consumers of iron, who pay a higher price for that imported commodity in consequence of the tax on our ex- ports, while at the same time they, in consequence of the efflux of money and the fall of prices, have smaller money incomes wherewith to pay for the iron at that advanced price. It is not an impossible supposition that by taxing our ex- ports we might not only gain nothing from the foreigner, the tax being paid out of our own pockets, but might even compel our own people to pay a second tax to the foreigner. Suppose, as before, that the demand of England for corn falls off so much on the imposition of the duty that she re- quires a smaller money value than before, but that the case is so different with iron in the United States that when the price rises the demand either does not fall off at all, or so little that the money value required is greater than before. The first effect of laying on the duty is, as before, that the corn exported will no longer pay for the iron imported. TAXES ON COMMODITIES, OR INDIRECT TAXES. 577 Money "will therefore flow out of the United States into Eng- land. One effect is to raise the price of iron in England, and consequently in the United States. But this, by the suppo- sition, instead of stopping the efflux of money, only makes it greater ; because, the higher the price, the greater the money value of the iron consumed. The balance, therefore, can only be restored by the other effect, which is going on at the same time, namely, the fall of corn in the American and consequently in the English market. Even when corn has fallen so low that its price with the duty is only equal to what its price without the duty was at first, it is not a necessary consequence that the fall will stop ; for the same amount of exportation as before will not now suffice to pay the increased money value of the imports; and although the English consumers have now not only corn at the old price, but likewise increased money incomes, it is not certain that they will be inclined to employ the increase of their in- comes in increasing their purchases of corn. The price of corn, therefore, must perhaps fall, to restore the equilibrium, more than the whole amount of the duty ; England may be enabled to import corn at a lower price when it is taxed than when it was untaxed ; and this gain she will acquire at the expense of the American consumers of iron, who, in addition, will be the real payers of the whole of what is re- ceived at their own custom-house under the name of duties on the export of corn. In general, however, there could be little doubt that a country which imposed such taxes would succeed in making foreign countries contribute something to its revenue ; but, unless the taxed article be one for which their demand is extremely urgent, they will seldom pay the whole of the amount which the tax brings in. 1 1 Probably the strongest known instance of a large revenue raised from for- eigners by a tax on exports is the opium-trade with China. The high price of the article under the Government monopoly (which is equivalent to a high export duty) has so little effect in discouraging its consumption that it is said to have been occasionally sold in China for as much as its weight in silver. — Mill. 37 578 THE INFLUENCE OF GOVERNMENT. The result of this investigation may, then, be generally for- mulated as follows : That country which has the strongest de- mand for the commodities of other countries as compared with the demand of other countries for its own commodities will pay the burden of the export duty. Thus far of duties on exports. We now proceed to the more ordinary case of duties on imports : " We have had an example of a tax on exports, that is, on foreigners, fall- ing in part on ourselves. We shall therefore not be sur- prised if we find a tax on imports, that is, on ourselves, part- ly falling upon foreigners. " Instead of taxing the corn which we export, suppose that we tax the iron which we import. The duty which we are now supposing must not be what is termed a protecting duty, that is, a duty sufficiently high to induce us to produce the article at home. If it had this effect, it would destroy entirely the trade both in corn and in iron, and both coun- tries would lose the whole of the advantage which they pre- viously gained by exchanging those commodities with one another. We suppose a duty which might diminish the consumption of the article, but which would not prevent us from continuing to import, as before, whatever iron we did consume. " The equilibrium of trade would be disturbed if the im- position of the tax diminished, in the slightest degree, the quantity of iron consumed. For, as the tax is levied at our own custom-house, the English exporter only receives the same price as formerly, though the American consumer pays a higher one. If, therefore, there be any diminution of the quantity bought, although a larger sum of money may be actually laid out in the article, a smaller one will be due from the United States to England : this sum will no longer be an equivalent for the sum due from England to the United States for corn, the balance therefore must be paid in money. Prices will fall in England and rise in the United States ; iron will fall in the English market; corn will rise in the American. The English will pay a higher price for corn, TAXES ON COMMODITIES, OR INDIRECT TAXES. 579 and will have smaller money incomes to buy it with ; while the Americans will obtain iron cheaper, that is, its price will exceed what it previously was by less than the amount of the duty, while their means of purchasing it will be increased by the increase of their money incomes. " If the imposition of the tax does not diminish the de- mand, it will leave the trade exactly as it was before. We shall import as much, and export as much ; the whole of the tax will be paid out of our own pockets. "But the imposition of a tax on a commodity almost always diminishes the demand more or less ; and it can never, or scarcely ever, increase the demand. It may, therefore, be laid down as a principle that a tax on imported commodities, when it really operates as a tax, and not as a prohibition either total or partial, almost always falls in part upon the foreigners who consume our goods ; and that this is a mode in which a nation may appropriate to itself, at the expense of foreigners, a larger share than would otherwise belong to it of the increase in the general productiveness of the labor and capital of the world, which results from the interchange of commodities among nations." Those are, therefore, in the right who maintain that taxes on imports are partly paid by foreigners ; but they are mistaken when they say that it is by the foreign producer. It is not on the person from whom we buy, but on all those who buy from us, that a portion of our custom duties sponta- neously falls. It is the foreign consumer of our exported commodities who is obliged to pay a higher price for them because we maintain revenue duties on foreign goods. There are but two cases in which duties on commodities can in any degree, or in any manner, fall on the producer. One is, when the article is a strict monopoly, and at a scarcity price. The price in this case being only limited by the desires of the buyer — the sum obtained for the restricted supply being the utmost which the buyers would consent to give rather than go without it — if the treasury intercepts a part of this, the price can not be further raised to compensate for the tax, 580 THE INFLUENCE OF GOVERNMENT. and it must be paid from the monopoly profits. A tax on rare and high-priced wines will fall wholly on the growers, or rather, on the owners of the vineyards. The second case, in which the producer sometimes bears a portion of the tax, is more important : the case of duties on the produce of land or of mines. These might be so high as to diminish materi- ally the demand for the produce, and compel the abandonment of some of the inferior qualities of land or mines. Suppos- ing this to be the effect, the consumers, both in the country itself and in those which dealt with it, would obtain the prod- uce at smaller cost ; and a part only, instead of the whole, of the duty would fall on the purchaser, who would be in- demnified chiefly at the expense of the land-owners or mine- owners in the producing country. Duties on importation may, then, be divided "into two classes : (1) those which have the effect of encouraging some particular branch of domestic industry [protective duties], (2) and those which have not [revenue duties]. The former are purely mischievous, both to the country imposing them and to those with whom it trades. They prevent a saving of labor and capital, which, if permitted to be made, would be divided in some proportion or other between the importing country and the countries which buy what that country does or might export. " The other class of duties are those which do not en- courage one mode of procuring an article at the expense of another, but allow interchange to take place just as if the duty did not exist, and to produce the saving of labor which constitutes the motive to international as to all other com- merce. Of this kind are duties on the importation of any commodity which could not by any possibility be produced at home, and duties not sufficiently high to counterbalance the difference of expense between the production of the arti- cle at home and its importation. Of the money which is brought into the treasury of any country by taxes of this last description, a part only is paid by the people of that country - the remainder by the foreign consumers of their goods. TAXES ON COMMODITIES, OR INDIRECT TAXES. 581 " Nevertheless, this latter kind of taxes are in principle as ineligible as the former, though not precisely on the same ground. A protecting duty can never be a cause of gain, but always and necessarily of loss, to the country imposing it, just so far as it is efficacious to its end. A non-protecting duty, on the contrary, would in most cases be a source of gain to the country imposing it, in so far as throwing part of the weight of its taxes upon other people is a gain ; but it would be a means which it could seldom be advisable to adopt, being so easily counteracted by a precisely similar proceeding on the other side. "If the United States, in the case already supposed, sought to obtain for herself more than her natural share of the advantage of the trade with England, by imposing a duty upon iron, England would only have to impose a duty upon corn sufficient to diminish the demand for that article about as much as the demand for iron had been diminished in the United States by the tax. Things would then be as before, and each country would pay its own tax — unless, indeed, the sum of the two duties exceeded the entire ad- vantage of the trade, for in that case the trade and its advantage would cease entirely. " There would be no advantage, therefore, in imposing duties of this kind with a view to gain by them in the man- ner which has been pointed out. But, when any part of the revenue is derived from taxes on commodities, these may often be as little objectionable as the rest. It is evident, too, that considerations of reciprocity, which are quite un- essential when the matter in debate is a protecting duty, are of material importance when the repeal of duties of this other description is discussed. A country can not be ex- pected to renounce the power of taxing foreigners unless foreigners will in return practice toward itself the same for- bearance. The only mode in which a country can save itself from being a loser by the revenue duties imposed by other countries on its commodities is, to impose correspond- ing revenue duties on theirs. Only it must take care that 582 THE INFLUENCE OF GOVERNMENT. those duties be not so high as to exceed all that remains of the advantage of the trade, and put an end to importation altogether, causing the article to be either produced at home, or imported from another and a dearer market." By " reciprocity " is meant that, when one country admits goods free of duty from a second country, this latter country will also admit the commodities of the former free of duty ; or, as is often the case, if not free of duty, at a less than the usual rate. Until the last few years we have had a reciprocity treaty with Canada, but it is not now in force ; and an arrange- ment for closer commercial relations with Mexico is now under consideration. CHAPTER IV. COMPARISON BETWEEN DIRECT AND INDIRECT TAXATION. § 1. Are direct or indirect taxes the most eligible ? A man dislikes not so much the payment as the act of paying. He dislikes seeing the face of the tax-collector, and being subjected to his peremptory demand. Perhaps, too, the money which he is required to pay directly out of his pocket is the only taxation which he is quite sure that he pays- at all. That a tax of two shillings per pound on tea, or of three shillings per bottle on wine, raises the price of each pound of tea and bottle of wine which he consumes, by that and more than that amount, can not, indeed, be denied ; it is the fact, and is intended to be so, and he himself, at times, is perfectly aware of it ; but it makes hardly any impression on his practical feelings and associations, serving to illustrate the distinction between what is merely known to be true and what is felt to be so. The unpopularity of direct taxation, contrasted with the easy manner in which the public consent to let themselves be fleeced in the prices of commodities, has generated in many friends of improvement a directly oppo- site mode of thinking to the foregoing. They contend that the very reason which makes direct taxation disagreeable makes it preferable. Under it every one knows how much he really pays ; and, if he votes for a war, or any other ex- pensive national luxury, he does so with his eyes open to what it costs him. If all taxes were direct, taxation would be much more perceived than at present, and there would be a security, which now there is not, for economy in the pub- lic expenditure. 584 THE INFLUENCE OF GOVERNMENT. Although this argument is not without force, its weight is likely to be constantly diminishing. The real incidence of indirect taxation is every day more generally understood and more familiarly recognized. The mere distinction be- tween paying money directly to the tax-collector and con- tributing the same sum through the intervention of the tea- dealer or the wine-merchant no longer makes the whole difference between dislike or opposition and passive acqui- escence. If our present revenue [of $400,000,000 in 1883] were all raised by direct taxes, an extreme dissatisfaction would cer- tainly arise at having to pay so much ; but while men's minds are so little guided by reason, as such a change of feeling from so irrelevant a cause would imply, so great an aversion to taxation might not be an unqualified good. Of the [$400,000,000] in question, nearly [$60,000,000] are pledged, under the most binding obligations, to those whose property has been borrowed and spent by the state; and, while this debt remains unredeemed, a greatly increased im- patience of taxation would involve no little danger of a breach of faith. That part, indeed, of the public expenditure which is devoted to the maintenance of civil and military establishments [$206,000,000] (that is, all except the interest of the national debt), affords, in many of its details, ample scope for retrenchment. If so great an addition were made to the public dislike of taxation as might be the consequence of confining it to the direct form, the classes who profit by the misapplication of public money might probably succeed in saving that by which they profit, at the expense of that which would only be useful to the public. There is, however, a frequent plea in support of indirect taxation, which must be altogether rejected as grounded on a fallacy. "We are often told that taxes on commodities are less burdensome than other taxes, because the contributor can escape from them by ceasing to use the taxed commodity. He certainly can, if that be his object, deprive the Govern- ment of the money ; but he does so by a sacrifice of his own COMPARISON BETWEEN DIRECT AND INDIRECT TAXATION. 585 indulgences, which (if he chose to undergo it) would equally make up to him for the same amount taken from him by direct taxation. Suppose a tax laid on wine, sufficient to add [$25] to the price of the quantity of wine which he consumes in a year. He has only (we are told) to diminish his consump- tion of wine by [$25], and he escapes the burden. True, but if the [$25], instead of being laid on wine, had been taken from him by an income-tax, he could, by expending [$25] less in wine, equally save the amount of the tax, so that the difference between the two cases is really illusory. If the Government takes from the contributor [$25] a year, whether in one way or another, exactly that amount must be retrenched from his consumption to leave him as well off as before ; and in either way the same amount of sacrifice, neither more nor less, is imposed on him. On the other hand, it is some advantage on the side of indirect taxes that what they exact from the contributor is taken at a time and in a manner likely to be convenient to him. It is paid at a time when he has at any rate a payment to make ; it causes, therefore, no additional trouble, nor (un- less the tax be on necessaries) any inconvenience but what is inseparable from the payment of the amount. He can also, except in the case of very perishable articles, select his own time for laying in a stock of the commodity, and consequent- ly for payment of the tax. The producer or dealer who ad- vances these taxes is, indeed, sometimes subjected to incon- venience ; but, in the case of imported goods, this inconven- ience is reduced to a minimum by what is called the Ware- housing System, under which, instead of paying the duty at the time of importation, he is only required to do so when he takes out the goods for consumption, which is seldom done until he has either actually found, or has the prospect of immediately finding, a purchaser. The strongest objection, however, to raising the whole or the greater part of a large revenue by direct taxes, is the im- possibility of assessing them fairly without a conscientious co-operation on the part of the contributors, not to be hoped 586 THE INFLUENCE OF GOVERNMENT. for in the present low state of public morality. In the case of an income-tax, we have already seen that, unless it be found practicable to exempt savings altogether from the tax, the burden can not be apportioned with any tolerable approach to fairness upon those whose incomes are derived from busi- ness or professions ; and this is in fact admitted by most of the advocates of direct taxation who, I am afraid, generally get over the difficulty by leaving those classes untaxed, and confining their projected income-tax to " realized property," in which form it certainly has the merit of being a very easy form of plunder. But enough has been said in condemna- tion of this expedient. We have seen, however, that a house- tax is a form of direct taxation not liable to the same objec- tions as an income-tax, and indeed liable to as few objections of any kind as perhaps any of our indirect taxes. But it would be impossible to raise, by a house-tax alone, the great- est part of the revenue, without producing a very objection- able overcrowding of the population, through the strong motive which all persons would have to avoid the tax by re- stricting their house accommodation. A certain amount of revenue may, as we have seen, be obtained without injustice by a peculiar tax on rent. Be- sides (1) the land-tax, 1 and (2) an equivalent for the revenue derived from stamp duties on the conveyance of land, some further taxation might, I have contended, at some future period be imposed, (3) to enable the state to participate in the progressive increase of the incomes of landlords from natural causes. (1) Legacies and inheritances, we have also seen, ought to be subjected to taxation sufficient to yield a considerable revenue. "With these taxes, and (5) a house-tax of suitable amount, we should, I think, have reached the prudent limits of direct taxation. The remainder of the revenue would have to be provided by taxes on consump- 1 A land-tax is, to its extent, an evidence that the state claims a certain right in the soil, and that it stands to the contributor, as it were, in the place of a landlord. This tax, however, is generally so small that it does not materially diminish the rent of land. So far as it goes, it is a tax on rent. COMPARISON BETWEEN DIRECT AND INDIRECT TAXATION. 587 tion, and the question is, which of these are the least objec- tionable. § 2. There are some forms of indirect taxation which must be peremptorily excluded. (1.) Taxes on commodities, for revenue purposes, must not operate as protecting duties, but must be levied impartially on every mode in which the articles can be obtained, whether produced in the country itself, or imported. (2.) An exclusion must also be put upon all taxes on the necessaries of life, or on the materials or in- struments employed in producing those necessaries. Such taxes are always liable to encroach on what should be left untaxed, the incomes barely sufficient for healthful exist- ence ; and on the most favorable supposition, namely, that wages rise to compensate the laborers for the tax, it oper- ates as a peculiar tax on profits, which is at once unjust and detrimental to national wealth. 1 "What remain are taxes on luxuries. And these have some properties which strongly recommend them. In the first place, they can never, by any possibility, touch those whose whole income is expended on necessaries ; while they do reach those by whom what is required for necessaries is expended on indulgences. In the next place, they operate in some cases as a useful, and the only useful, kind of sumptuary law. A great portion of the expense of the higher and middle classes in most coun- tries is not incurred for the sake of the pleasure afforded by the things on which the money is spent, but from regard to opinion, and an idea that certain expenses are expected from them, as an appendage of station ; and I can not but think that expenditure of this sort is a most desirable subject of 1 Some argue that the materials and instruments of all production should be exempt from taxation ; but these, when they do not enter into the production of necessaries, seem as proper subjects of taxation as the finished article. It is chiefly with reference to foreign trade that such taxes have been considered in- jurious. Internationally speaking, they may be looked upon as export duties, and, unless in cases in which an export duty is advisable, they should be accom- panied with an equivalent drawback on exportation. But there is no sufficient reason against taxing the materials and instruments used in the production of anything which is itself a fit object of taxation. — Mill. 588 THE INFLUENCE OF GOVERNMENT. taxation. "When a thing is bought, not for its use but for its costliness, cheapness is no recommendation. § 3. In order to reduce as much as possible the incon- veniences, and increase the advantages, incident to taxes on commodities, the following are the practical rules which suggest themselves : 1. To raise as large a revenue as con- veniently may be, from those classes of luxuries which have most connection with vanity, and least with positive enjoy- ment ; such as the more costly qualities of all kinds of per- sonal equipment and ornament. But with regard to horses and carriages, as there are many persons to whom, from health or constitution, these are not so much luxuries as necessaries, the tax paid by those who have but one riding-horse, or but one carriage, especially of the cheaper descriptions, should be low; while taxation should rise very rapidly with the number of horses and carriages, and with their costliness. 2. Whenever possible, to demand the tax, not from the pro- ducer, but directly from the consumer, since, when levied on the producer, it raises the price always by more, and often by much more, than the mere amount of the tax. 3. But as the only indirect taxes which yield a large revenue are those which fall on articles of universal or very general con- sumption, and as it is therefore necessary to have some taxes on real luxuries, that is, on things which afford pleasure in themselves, and are valued on that account rather than for their cost, these taxes should, if possible, be so adjusted as to fall with the same proportional weight on small, on moder- ate, and on large incomes. This is not an easy matter ; since the things which are the subjects of the more productive taxes are in proportion more largely consumed by the poorer members of the community than by the rich. Tea, coffee, sugar, tobacco, fermented drinks, can hardly be so taxed that the poor shall not bear more than their due share of the burden. Something might be done by making the duty on the superior qualities, which are used by the richer consum- ers, much higher in proportion to the value ; but in some cases the difficulty of at all adjusting the duty to the value, COMPARISON BETWEEN DIRECT AND INDIRECT TAXATION. 589 60 as to prevent evasion, is said, with what truth I know not, to be insuperable ; so that it is thought necessary to levy the same fixed duty on all the qualities alike. 4. As far as is consistent with the preceding rules, taxation should rather be concentrated on a few articles than diffused over many, in order that the expenses of collection may be smaller, and that as few employments as possible may be burdensomely and vexatiously interfered with. 5. Among luxuries of gen- eral consumption, taxation should by preference attach itself to stimulants, because these, though in themselves as legiti- mate indulgences as any others, are more liable than most others to be used in excess, so that the check to consump- tion, naturally arising from taxation, is on the whole better applied to them than to other things. 6. As far as other considerations permit, taxation should be confined to import- ed articles, since these can be taxed with a less degree of vexatious interference, and with fewer incidental bad effects, than when a tax is levied on the field or on the workshop. Custom duties are, cceteris paribus, much less objectionable than excise : but they must be laid only on things which either can not, or at least will not, be produced iu the coun- try itself ; or else their production there must be prohibited (as in England is the case with tobacco), or subjected to an excise duty of equivalent amount. 7. No tax ought to be kept so high as to furnish a motive to its evasion, too strong to be counteracted by ordinary means of prevention ; and especially no commodity should be taxed so highly as to raise up a class of lawless characters — smugglers, illicit distillers, and the like. The experience of the United States is pregnant with les- sons in this direction. During the war we imposed an internal- revenue tax on distilled spirits of so large an amount that it not only produced less revenue than a smaller tax would have done, but it created gigantic frauds, public corruption, and infinite devices to escape the payment. The following table will show how the production, as indicated by the tax, fell off when the tax was excessive. It forced evasions by distillers. It has been found by various experiences that with a less rate the revenue is largely increased. 590 THE INFLUENCE OF GOVERNMENT. TEAE. Eevenue. Production indicated by the tax. Amount of tax. 1862-1863 1868-1869 $3,200,000 14,200,000 34,200,000 39,200,000 Gallons. 16,000,000 7,000,000 16,000,000 18,000,000 July, 1862, 20 c. per gallon. Jan., 1865, $2 per gallon. July, 1868, 50 c. per gallon. The actual amount reached by taxation is very much less than that known to be actually used by from ten to fifteen millions of gallons, or nearly one half the product. The open- ness of the frauds can be judged by the fact that proof spir- its were " openly sold in the market, and even quoted in price- currents, at from five to fifteen cents less per gallon than the rate of tax and the average cost of manufacture." ' Tn what manner the finer articles of manufacture, con- sumed by the rich, might most advantageously be taxed, I must leave to be decided by those who have the requisite practical knowledge. The difficulty would be, to effect it without an inadmissible degree of interference with produc- tion. In countries which, like the United States, import the principal part of the finer manufactures which they con- sume, there is little difficulty in the matter ; and, even where nothing is imported but the raw material, that may be taxed, especially the qualities of it which are exclusively employed for the fabrics used by the richer class of consumers. Thus, in England a high custom duty on raw silk would be con- sistent with principle ; and it might perhaps be practicable to tax the finer qualities of cotton or linen yarn, whether spun in the country itself or imported. § 4. It will now well repay study to examine Chart No. XXI, which shows in what manner the United States have raised their revenues, and to consider how far the right rules of taxation have been followed. I. For means of comparison, I shall give the last annual budget of the United States in order to make clear from what sources the country derives its revenues : 1 See Lalor's " Cyclopaedia," article " Distilled Spirits," by David A. Wells. . r; ajooooo - . o;ftoS®w©ooc « ^ — r— — — — . ■— — — • f- »- ^ cm ^ ^ j, i * S "" 2 H S ~i j! 5 2 IS 8 t-^t^r-o^ooiflX^^or-CO^iftfll-^r*^ * < f5 •* [•NftOOO^ftifl»rtfl '- i S3 '":"'■"" I I ~rLJ I _ -> ^ m ri « OS •a ~ 01 2 * S- 73 .^ - * a-g a d -d 5 5 o> 2.2 f la 5 a O .d to « .9 ^c3 d SJ to«» z & 2 '2 - be 4) * d * -a a d ^ w - d J2 5: — d [ <*H "O d d o S ° u 2 a S & «3 « d C« b fa d on D. d 8 -a ^~ g ■2 to d _ — js<*-S a erf 8J.s 0.2 ~ to a » . " ±r»— c » S-i of -d. 6 * es o 1 g os afi _ .-aSS. o '3 -ki "S o> -2 o "< v 9 ° o fc "° !T -5 -o 2 a a, . *j >^ •«» •<* ■* m ~ w c- o ~e d "3 «2 -. o dS-g, a-s 4> * d « fc -j oi 3 "5. „-° 2 k!"" >» 4) >-> &2 ga 33 — >* f5 m w «^->. » TO o "S -S -2 -S *& cu^ I s 1,1,1-3 ^r-g^s 2 £P^^^ ■». t». =« S o s g ^2.^3 § a ■§ 5 SIIOONI NQ •X03HIQ -<-«) •xvx l"S^ CHAPTER V. OF A NATIONAL DEBT. § 1. The question must now be considered, how far it is right or expedient to raise money for the purposes of gov- ernment, not bj laying on taxes to the amount required, but by taking a portion of the capital of the country in the form of a loan, and charging the public revenue with only the interest. This question has already been touched upon in the First Book. 1 We remarked, that if the capital taken in loans is abstracted from funds either engaged in production, or des- tined to be employed in it, their diversion from that purpose is equivalent to taking the amount from the wages of the laboring-classes. Borrowing, in this case, is not a substitute for raising the supplies within the year. A government which borrows does actually take the amount within the year, and that too by a tax exclusively on the laboring- classes, than which it could have done nothing worse, if it had supplied its wants by avowed taxation ; and in that case the transaction, and its evils, would have ended with the emergency ; while, by the circuitous mode adopted, the value exacted from the laborers is gained, not by the state, but by the employers of labor, the state remaining charged with the debt besides, and with its interest in perpetuity. The sys- tem of public loans, in such circumstances, may be pro- nounced the very worst which, in the present state of civili- ' Book I, Chap. IV, § 5. A NATIONAL DEBT. 597 zation, is still included in the catalogue of financial expe- dients. We, however, remarked that there are other circum- stances in which loans are not chargeable with these perni- cious consequences : namely, first, when what is borrowed is foreign capital, the overflowings of the general accumulation of the world ; or, secondly, when it is capital which either would not have been saved at all, unless this mode of invest- ment had been open to it, or, after being saved, would have been wasted in unproductive enterprises, or sent to seek em- ployment in foreign countries. "When the progress of accu- mulation has reduced profits either to the ultimate or to the practical minimum — to the rate less than which would either put a stop to the increase of capital, or send the whole of the new accumulations abroad — government may annually intercept these new accumulations, without trenching on the employment or wages of the laboring-classes in the country itself, or perhaps in any other country. To this extent, therefore, the loan system may be carried, without being lia- ble to the utter and peremptory condemnation which is due to it when it overpasses this limit. What is wanted is an index to determine whether, in any given series of years, as during the last great war, for example, the limit has been exceeded or not. Such an index exists, at once a certain and an obvious one. Did the Government, by its loan operations, augment the rate of interest ? If it only opened a channel for capital which would not otherwise have been accumulated, or which, if accumulated, would not have been employed within the country, this implies that the capital, which the Govern- ment took and expended, could not have found employment at the existing rate of interest. So long as the loans do no more than absorb this surplus, they prevent any tendency to a fall of the rate of interest, but they can not occasion any rise. [But] To the full extent to which the loans of government, during the war, caused the rate of interest to exceed what it was before, and what it has been since, those 598 THE INFLUENCE OF GOVERNMENT. loans are chargeable with all the evils which have been de- scribed. If it be objected that interest only rose because profits rose, I reply that this does not weaken, but strength- ens, the argument. If the Government loans produced the rise of profits by the great amount of capital which they ab- sorbed, by what means can they have had this effect, unless by lowering the wages of labor ? It will, perhaps, be said that what kept profits high during the war was not the drafts made on the national capital by the loans, but the rapid prog- ress of industrial improvements. This, in a great measure, was the fact ; and it, no doubt, alleviated the hardship to the laboring-classes, and made the financial system which was pursued less actively mischievous, but not less contrary to principle. These very improvements in industry made room for a larger amount of capital; and the Government, by draining away a great part of the annual accumulations, did not indeed prevent that capital from existing ultimately (for it started into existence with great rapidity after the peace), but prevented it from existing at the time, and subtracted just so much, while the war lasted, from distribution among productive laborers. If the Government had abstained from taking this capital by loan, and had allowed it to reach the laborers, but had raised the supplies which it required by a direct tax on the laboring-classes, it would have produced (in every respect but the expense and inconvenience of collect- ing the tax) the very same economical effects which it did produce, except that we should not now have had the debt. The course it actually took was therefore worse than the very worst mode which it could possibly have adopted of raising the supplies within the year ; and the only excuse, or justification, which it admits of (so far as that excuse could be truly pleaded) was hard necessity ; the impossibility of raising so enormous an annual sum by taxation, without resorting to taxes which from their odiousness, or from the facility of evasion, it would have been found impracticable to enforce. 1 1 Although Mr. Mill had reference to the French wars in the beginning of this century, his words apply also to the circumstances of our own late war, 1861-1865. A NATIONAL DEBT. 599 When government loans are limited to the overflowings of the national capital, or to those accumulations which would not take place at all unless suffered to overflow, they are at least not liable to this grave condemnation. In this case, therefore, the question really is, what it is commonly sup- posed to be in all cases — namely, a choice between a great sacrifice at once, and a small one indefinitely prolonged. On this matter it seems rational to think that the prudence of a nation will dictate the same conduct as the prudence of an individual ; to submit to as much of the privation immedi- ately as can easily be borne, and, only when any further bur- den would distress or cripple them too much, to provide for the remainder by mortgaging their future income. It is an excellent maxim to make present resources suffice for present wants ; the future will have its own wants to provide for. On the other hand, it may reasonably be taken into consid- eration that, in a country increasing in wealth, the necessary expenses of government do not increase in the same ratio as capital or population ; any burden, therefore, is always less and less felt ; and, since those extraordinary expenses of gov- ernment which are fit to be incurred at all are mostly bene- ficial beyond the existing generation, there is no injustice in making posterity pay a part of the price, if the inconven- ience would be extreme of defraying the whole of it by the exertions and sacrifices of the generation which first incurred it. § 2. When a country, wisely or unwisely, has burdened itself with a debt, is it expedient to take steps for redeem- ing that debt % In principle it is impossible not to maintain the affirmative. Two modes have been contemplated of paying off a na- tional debt: either at once by a general contribution, or gradually by a surplus revenue. The first would be incom- parably the best, if it were practicable; and it would be practicable if it could justly be done by assessment on prop- erty alone. If property bore the whole interest of the debt, property might, with great advantage to itself, pay it off ; 600 THE INFLUENCE OF GOVERNMENT. since this would be merely surrendering to a creditor the principal sum, the whole annual proceeds of which were already his by law, and would be equivalent to what a land-owner does when he sells part of his estate, to free the remainder from a mortgage. But property, it need hardly be said, does not pay, and can not justly be required to pay, the whole interest of the debt. Whatever is the fitting con- tribution from property to the general expenses of the state, in the same, and in no greater proportion, should it con- tribute toward either the interest or the repayment of the national debt. This, however, if admitted, is fatal to any scheme for the extinction of the debt by a general assess- ment on the community. Persons of property could pay their share of the amount by a sacrifice of property, and have the same net income as before. If a person owns a property, A B, which returns him $1,000 income, and if he pays $10 a year in taxes as his share of interest on the public debt, suppose that part of his estate represented by X, which returns him annually $10 (and which return he has annually handed over to the state), to be carved out of it, and that he is . to be hereafter relieved of his share of taxes. He would then, after hav- ing paid the capitalized value (X) of that which was his share of the annual tax to the state on account of the public debt, have the same net income as before ; for he was never able to enjoy the income of X. If those wbo have no accumulations, but only incomes, were required to make up by a single payment the equiva- lent of the annual charge laid on them by the taxes main- tained to pay the interest of the debt, they could only do so by incurring a private debt equal to their share of the pub- lic debt ; while, from the insufficiency, in most cases, of the security which they could give, the interest would amount to a much larger annual sum than their share of that now paid by the state. Besides, a collective debt defrayed by taxes has, over the same debt parceled out among individu- als, the immense advantage that it is virtually a mutual in- A NATIONAL DEBT. 601 surance among the contributors. If the fortune of a con- tributor diminishes, his taxes diminish ; if he is ruined, they cease altogether, and his portion of the debt is wholly trans- ferred to the solvent members of the community. If it were laid on him as a private obligation, he would still be liable to it, even when penniless. "When the state possesses property, in land or otherwise, which there are not strong reasons of public utility for its retaining at its disposal, this should be employed, as far as it will go, in extinguishing debt. Any casual gain, or god- send, is naturally devoted to the same purpose. Beyond this, the only mode which is both just and feasible, of extinguish- ing or reducing a national debt, is by means of a surplus revenue. § 3. The desirableness, per se, of maintaining a surplus for this purpose does not, I think, admit of a doubt. It is not, however, advisable in all cases to maintain a surplus revenue for the extinction of debt. The advantage of paying off the national debt is, that it would enable us to get rid of the worst half of our taxation. But of this worst half some portions must be worse than others, and to get rid of those would be a greater benefit proportionally than to get rid of the rest. If renouncing a surplus reve- nue would enable us to dispense with a tax, we ought to con- sider the very worst of all our taxes as precisely the one which we are keeping up for the sake of ultimately abolish- ing taxes not so bad as itself. In a country advancing in wealth, whose increasing revenue gives it the power of rid- ding itself from time to time of the most inconvenient por- tions of its taxation, I conceive that the increase of revenue should rather be disposed of by taking off taxes, than by liquidating debt, as long as any very objectionable imposts remain. In the present state of England, therefore, I hold it to be good policy in the Government, when it has a sur- plus of an apparently permanent character, to take off taxes, provided these are rightly selected. Even when no taxes remain but such as are not unfit to form part of a perma- 602 THE INFLUENCE OF GOVERNMENT. nent system, it is wise to continue the same policy by ex- perimental reductions of those taxes, until the point is dis- covered at which a given amount of revenue can be raised with the smallest pressure on the contributors. After this, such surplus revenue as might arise from any further in- crease of the produce of the taxes should not, I conceive, be remitted, but applied to the redemption of debt. Eventu- ally, it might be expedient to appropriate the entire produce of particular taxes to this purpose; since there would be more assurance that the liquidation would be persisted in, if the fund destined to it were kept apart, and not blended with the general revenues of the state. The succession du- ties would be peculiarly suited to such a purpose, since taxes paid as they are, out of capital, would be better employed in reimbursing capital than in defraying current expenditure. If this separate appropriation were made, any surplus after- ward arising from the increasing produce of the other taxes, and from the saving of interest on the successive portions of debt paid ofi, might form a ground for a remission of taxation. The relative amount of the United States public debt may be seen, by Chart No. XXII, from an early date down to 1880. Since the war, the surplus revenue of the United States has been constantly appropriated for the payment of the public debt incurred during the late war, until, what with the reduc- tion of debt and the fall in the interest charge, our income is now so much greater than expenditure that we are (1884) actu- ally in difficulties owing to the surplus. To the present time the Treasury has been able to use its excess of receipts in re- deeming matured debt ; but the rapidity of the payment has been such that in two years or more no matured debt will exist to be redeemed : $250,000,000 of 4£ per cent bonds remain, but they do not fall due until 1891 ; and the 4 per cent bonds to the amount of $737,620,700 do not mature until 1907. Having once raised a large revenue under war pressure, it seems very difficult for people to understand now why heavy duties were originally levied, and the extraordinary suggestion is often made that the surplus should remain, and new channels of ex- penditure should be made (such as enormous pensions), simply in order to keep up the heavy taxation. The difficulty is, how- ever, that the unnecessary surplus exists because of customs CHART XXII. OUTSTANDING PRINCIPAL OF THE PUBLIC DEBT FROM 1791 TO 1881. 1=370 MILLIONS. Amount* aregivcnin millions anil tenths of millions. 037 . 037 336 I 62 ~5"» 1 64 1815 7 1 1 65 2880 6 1 66 2773 2 1 1 67 2678 1 68 2611 6 1 I 69 2588 4 , J | 1870 2 480 6 1 1 2353 2 1 1 72 2253 2 1 1 73 2234 1 1 74 2251 6 1 75 2 2 3 2 a 1 70 2180 3 1 77 2205 3 1 78 2256 2 1 1 78 ; 7 j i . 5 1 1880 2120 i 1 2053 3 A NATIONAL DEBT. 603 duties levied for war purposes. But the heavy burden of war taxation ought not to be continued, adding to the cost of pro- duction in all industries, without doing a greater wrong than would be done by the passing — and only possible — trouble of a redistribution of capital in a few cases ; especially since that distribution of capital will be one from less productive to more productive industries ; otherwise, no change would be made. The condition of foreign debts, and the progress made in their reduction, may be studied in Chart No. XXIII. That of the United States is exceptional. The interest-bearing debt, as given by the last report of the Secretary of the Treasury, 1883, has been reduced to $1,312,446,050, and the reduction is more striking than is indicated in the chart for the year 1880. 604 THE INFLUENCE OF GOVERNMENT. X X h < o CHAPTER VI. OF AN INTERFERENCE OF GOVERNMENT GROUNDED ON ERRO- NEOUS THEORIES. § 1. We proceed to the functions of government which belong to what I have termed, for want of a better designa- tion, the optional class ; those which are sometimes assumed by governments and sometimes not, and which it is not unanimously admitted that they ought to exercise. "We will begin by passing in review false theories which have from time to time formed the ground of acts of government more or less economically injurious. Of these false theories, the most notable is the doctrine of Protection to Native Industry — a phrase meaning the prohibition, or the discouragement by heavy duties, of such foreign commodities as are capable of being produced at home. If the theory involved in this system had been cor- rect, the practical conclusions grounded on it would not have been unreasonable. The theory was that, to buy things produced at home was a national benefit, and the introduc- tion of foreign commodities generally a national loss. It being at the same time evident that the interest of the con- sumer is to buy foreign commodities in preference to domes- tic whenever they are either cheaper or better, the interest of the consumer appeared in this respect to be contrary to the public interest ; he was certain, if left to his own incli- nations, to do what according to the theory was injurious to the public. It was shown, however, in our analysis of the effects of international trade, as it had been often shown by former 606 THE INFLUENCE OF GOVERNMENT. writers, that the importation of foreign commodities, in the common course of traffic, never takes place except when it is, economically speaking, a national good, by causing the same amount of commodities to be obtained at a smaller cost of labor and capital to the country. To prohibit, there- fore, this importation, or impose duties which prevent it, is to render the labor and capital of the country less efficient in production than they would otherwise be, and compel a waste of the difference between the labor and capital neces- sary for the home production of the commodity and that which is required for producing the things with which it can be purchased from abroad. The amount of national loss thus occasioned is measured by the excess of the price at which the commodity is produced over that at which it could be imported. In the case of manufactured goods the whole difference between the two prices is absorbed in in- demnifying the producers for waste of labor, or of the capi- tal which supports that labor. Those who are supposed to be benefited, namely, the makers of the protected articles (unless they form an exclusive company, and have a monop- oly against their own countrymen as well as against foreign- ers), do not obtain higher profits than other people. All is sheer loss to the country as well as to the consumer. Of the industries in a country some are said to " need pro- tection " and others not — that is, those industries which are carried on at a relative disadvantage are the only ones which need protection in order that they may continue in operation. By relative disadvantage is meant- a greater relative cost, or sacrifice, to the same amount of labor and capital. Those in- dustries which can not yield so great a value for the labor and capital engaged in them as other more profitable industries are those which are said to " need protection." Wherever protect- ive duties exist it is implied by those who lay them on that there production is carried on under more onerous conditions than in other competing places or occupations. After duties are thus supposed to have protected the less advantageously situated occupations, it may be said that all industries will then have an equal chance. " No doubt," as Mr. Cairnes says, " they would be equalized just as by compelling every one to move about with a weight attached to his leg. The weight would, INTERFERENCE OF GOVERNMENT. 607 indeed, be an impediment to locomotion, but, provided it were in each case exactly proportioned to the strength of the limb which drew it, no one . . . would have any reason to com- plain. No one would walk as fast as if his limbs were free, but then his neighbor would be equally fettered, and, if it took him twice as long to reach his destination as before, he would at least have company on his journey." ' § 2. The restrictive and prohibitory policy was originally grounded on what is called the Mercantile System, which, representing the advantage of foreign trade to consist solely in bringing money into the country, gave artificial encour- agement to exportation of goods, and discountenanced their importation. The only exceptions to the system were those required by the system itself. The materials and instru- ments of production were the subject of a contrary policy, directed, however, to the same end ; they were freely im- ported, and not permitted to be exported, in order that manu- facturers, being more cheaply supplied with the requisites of manufacture, might be able to sell cheaper, and therefore to export more largely. For a similar reason importation was allowed and even favored, when confined to the produc- tions of countries which were supposed to take from the country still more than it took from them, thus enriching it by a favorable balance of trade. As part of the same sys- tem colonies were founded, for the supposed advantage of compelling them to buy our commodities, or at all events not to buy those of any other country : in return for which restriction we were generally willing to come under an equivalent obligation with respect to the staple productions of the colonists. The consequences of the theory were pushed so far that it was not unusual even to give bounties on exportation, and induce foreigners to buy from [England] rather than from other countries by a cheapness which [Eng- land] artificially produced, by paying part of the price for them out of [their] own taxes. This is a stretch beyond the point yet reached by any private tradesman in his compe- 1 Cairnes, " Leading Principles," pp. 381, 382. 608 THE INFLUENCE OF GOVERNMENT. tition for business. No shopkeeper, I should think, ever made a practice of bribing customers by selling goods to them at a permanent loss, making it up to himself from other funds in his possession. The principle of the Mercantile Theory is now given up even by writers and governments who still cling to the restrictive system. Whatever hold that system has over men's minds, independently of the private interests exposed to real or apprehended loss by its abandonment, is derived from fallacies other than the old notion of the benefits of heaping up money in the country. The most effective of these is the specious plea of employing our own countrymen and our national industry, instead of feeding and supporting the industry of foreigners. The answer to this, from the principles laid down in former chapters, is evident. With- out reverting to the fundamental theorem discussed in an early part of the present treatise, 1 respecting the nature and sources of employment for labor, it is sufficient to say, what has usually been said by the advocates of free trade, that the alternative is not between employing our own people and foreigners, but between employing one class and another of our own people. The imported commodity is always paid for, directly or indirectly, with the produce of our own in- dustry : that industry being, at the same time, rendered more productive, since, with the same labor and outlay, we are enabled to possess ourselves of a greater quantity of the arti- cle. Those who have not well considered the subject are apt to suppose that our exporting an equivalent in our own prod- uce, for the foreign articles we consume, depends on contin- gencies — on the consent of foreign countries to make some corresponding relaxation of their own restrictions, or on the question whether those from whom we buy are induced by that circumstance to buy more from us ; and that, if these things, or things equivalent to them, do not happen, the pay- ment must be made in money. Now, in the first place, there 1 Book I, Chap. IV. INTERFERENCE OF GOVERNMENT. 609 is nothing more objectionable in a money payment than in payment by any other medium, if the 6tate of the market makes it the most advantageous remittance ; and the money itself was first acquired, and would again be replenished, by the export of an equivalent value of our own products. But, in the next place, a very short interval of paying in money would so lower prices as either to stop a part of the importation, or raise up a foreign demand for our produce, sufficient to pay for the imports. I grant that this disturb- ance of the equation of international demand would be in some degree to our disadvantage, in the purchase of other imported articles ; and that a country which prohibits some foreign commodities, does, caster is paribus, obtain those which it does not prohibit at a less price than it would other- wise have to pay. To express the same thing in other words : a country which destroys or prevents altogether certain branches of foreign trade, thereby annihilating a general gain to the world, which would be shared in some proportion between itself and other countries, does, in some circum- stances, draw to itself, at the expense of foreigners, a larger share than would else belong to it of the gain arising from that portion of its foreign trade which it suffers to subsist. But even this it can only be enabled to do, if foreigners do not maintain equivalent prohibitions or restrictions against its commodities. In any case, the justice or expediency of destroy- ing one of two gains, in order to engross a rather larger share of the other, does not require much discussion ; the gain, too, which is destroyed, being, in proportion to the magnitude of the transactions, the larger of the two, since it is the one which capital, left to itself, is supposed to seek by preference. § 3. Defeated as a general theory, the Protectionist doc- trine finds support in some particular cases from considera- tions which, when really in point, involve greater interests than mere savins of labor — the interests of national subsist- ence and of national defense. 1 The discussions on the Corn 1 Mr. Mill here takes up political considerations, which are not properly to be included in a purely economic treatment. (See the beginning of § 6.) 39 610 THE INFLUENCE OF GOVERNMENT. Laws have familiarized everybody with the plea that we ought to be independent of foreigners for the food of the people ; and the Navigation Laws were grounded, in theory and profession, on the necessity of keeping up a " nursery of seamen " for the navy. On this last subject I at once admit that the object is worth the sacrifice ; and that a country ex- posed to invasion by sea, if it can not otherwise have suffi- cient ships and sailors of its own to secure the means of manning on an emergency an adequate fleet, is quite right in obtaining those means, even at an economical sacrifice in point of cheapness of transport. When the English navigation laws were enacted, the Dutch, from their maritime skill and their low rate of profit at home, were able to carry for other nations, England included, at cheaper rates than those nations could carry for themselves : which placed all other countries at a great comparative disadvantage in obtaining experienced seamen for their ships of war. The navigation laws, by which this deficiency was remedied, and at the same time a blow struck against the maritime power of a nation with which England was then frequently engaged in hostilities, were probably, though economically disadvantageous, politi- cally expedient. But English ships and sailors can now navigate as cheaply as those of any other country, maintain- ing at least an equal competition with the other maritime nations even in their own trade. The ends which may once have justified navigation laws require them no longer, and afford no reason for maintaining this invidious exception to the general rule of free trade. Since the introduction of steamships and the advance of in- vention in naval contrivances, the plea for navigation laws on the ground that they keep up a " nursery of seamen " for the navy is practically obsolete. The " seaman " employed on the modern naval ships more nearly resembles the artisan in a manufacturing establishment ; he need have but comparatively little knowledge of the sea, since the days of sailing-vessels have passed by, so far as naval warfare is concerned. Steam and mechanical appliances now do what was before done by wind and sail. While Mr. Mill thinks navigation laws were economically INTERFERENCE OF GOVERNMENT. 611 — that is, so far as increase of wealth is concerned — disadvan- tageous, yet he believes that they may have been " politically expedient." It is possible, for example, that retaliation by the United States and other countries against England early in this century brought about the remission of the English restrictions on foreign shipping. But it is quite another thing to say that such laws produced an ability to sail ships more cheaply. That the English navigation acts of 1651 built up English ship- ping is not supported by many proofs ; whereas it is very distinctly shown that English shipping languished and suffered under them. 1 Moreover, under the regime of steam and iron (which drew out England's peculiar advantages in iron and coal), in all its history English shipping never prospered more than it has since the abolition in 1849 of the navigation laws — events which have taken place since Mr. Mill wrote. The United States is still weighed down by navigation laws adapted to mediaeval conditions, and the relics of a time when retaliation was the cause of their enactment. So long as wooden vessels did the carrying-trade, the natural advantages of the United States gave us a proud position on the ocean. Now, however, when it is a question of cheaper iron, steel, and coal for vessels of iron and steel, we are at a possible disadvantage, and the bulk of navigation laws proposed in these days are intend- ed to draw capital either by raising prices through duties on ships and materials, or by outright bounties and subsidies from industries in which we have advantages, to building ships. And until of late no distinction has been made between ship- building and ship-owning (or ship-sailing). Within the last year (1884) many burdens on ship-sailing have been removed ; but even when we are permitted to sail ships on equal terms with foreigners, we can not yet build them with as small a cost as England (which is proved by the very demand of the builders of "iron vessels for the retention of protective duties), and our laws do not as yet allow us to buy ships abroad and sail them under our own flag. 1 With regard to subsistence, the plea of the Protectionists has been so often and so triumphantly met, that it requires little notice here. That country is the most steadily as well as the most abundantly supplied with food which draws its supplies from the largest surface. It is ridiculous to found a general system of policy on so improbable a danger as that of being at war with all the nations of the world at once ; or to 1 See " Sketch of the History of Political Economy," supra, p. 6, note 1. 2 For bibliography of the United States shipping question, sec Appendix I. Q12 THE INFLUENCE OF GOVERNMENT. suppose that, even if inferior at sea, a whole country could be blockaded like a town, or that the growers of food in other countries would not be as anxious not to lose an advan- tageous market as we should be not to be deprived of their corn. In countries in which the system of Protection is declin- ing, but not yet wholly given up, such as the United States, a doctrine has come into notice which is a sort of compro- mise between free trade and restriction, namely, that protec- tion for protection's sake is improper, but that there is noth- ing objectionable in having as much protection as may inci- dentally result from a tariff framed solely for revenue. Even in England regret is sometimes expressed that a " moderate fixed duty " was not preserved on corn, on account of the revenue it would yield. Independently, however, of the general impolicy of taxes on the necessaries of life, this doc- trine overlooks the fact that revenue is received only on the quantity imported, but that the tax is paid on the entire quantity consumed. To make the public pay much, that the treasury may receive a little, is no eligible mode of obtaining a revenue. In the case of manufactured articles the doctrine involves a palpable inconsistency. The object of the duty as a means of revenue is inconsistent with its affording, even incidentally, any protection. It can only operate as protec- tion in so far as it prevents importation, and to whatever degree it prevents importation it affords no revenue. § 4. The only case in which, on mere principles of politi- cal economy, protecting duties can be defensible, is when they are imposed temporarily (especially in a young and rising nation) in hopes of naturalizing a foreign industry, in itself perfectly suitable to the circumstances of the country. The superiority of one country over another in a branch of production often arises only from having begun it sooner. There may be no inherent advantage on one part, or disad- vantage on the other, but only a present superiority of ac- quired skill and experience. A country which has this skill and experience yet to acquire may in other respects be better INTERFERENCE OP GOVERNMENT. 613 adapted to the production than those which were earlier in the field ; and, besides, it is a just remark of Mr. Rae that nothing has a greater tendency to promote improvements in any branch of production than its trial under a new set of conditions. But it can not be expected that individuals should, at their own risk, or rather to their certain loss, in- troduce a new manufacture, and bear the burden of carrying it on, until the producers have been educated up to the level of those with whom the processes are traditional. A protect- ing duty, continued for a reasonable time, will sometimes be the least inconvenient mode in which the nation can tax itself for the support of such an experiment. But the protection should be confined to cases in which there is good ground of assurance that the industry which it fosters will after a time be able to dispense with it ; nor should the domestic pro- ducers ever be allowed to expect that it will be continued to them beyond the time necessary for a fair trial of what they are capable of accomplishing. The great difficulty with this proposal is that it introduces (what is inconsistent with Mr. Mill's general system) the So- cialistic basis of state-help, instead of self-help. If industries will never support themselves, then, of course, it is a misap- propriation of the property of its citizens whenever a govern- ment takes a slice by taxation from productive industries and gives it to a less productive one to make up its deficiencies. The only possible theory of protection to young industries is that, if protected for a season, the industries may soon grow strong and stand alone. Mr. Mill never contemplated anything else. But the difficulty is constantly met with, in putting this theory into practice, that the industry, once that it has learned to de- pend on the help of the state, never reaches a stage when it is willing to give up the assistance of the duties. Dependence on legislation begets a want of self-reliance, and destroys the stim- ulus to progress and good management. It is said : " There has never been an instance in the history of the country where the representatives of such industries, who have enjoyed pro- tection for a lcng series of years, have been willing to submit to a reduction of the tariff, or have proposed it. But, on the contrary, their demands for still higher and higher duties are insatiable, and never intermitted." l The question of fact, as 1 D. A. Wells, " Cobden Club Essays," second scries, p. 533. 614: THE INFLUENCE OF GOVERNMENT. to whether or not the United States is indebted for its present manufacturing position to protection when our industries were young, seems to be capable of answer, and an answer which shows that protection was imposed generally after the indus- tries got a foothold, and that very little assistance was derived from the duties on imports. 1 The following explanation by Mr. Mill 2 of the meaning put upon his argument of protection to young industries by those who have applied it to the United States will be of no slight interest : " The passage has been made use of to show the inappli- cability of free trade to the United States, and for similar purpose in the Australian colonies, erroneously in my opin- ion, but certainly with more plausibility than can be the case in the United States, for Australia really is a new country whose capabilities for carrying on manufactures can not yet be said to have been tested ; but the manufacturing parts of the United States — New England and Pennsylvania — are no longer new countries ; they have carried on manufactures on a large scale, and with the benefit of high protecting duties, for at least two generations ; their operatives have had full time to acquire the manufacturing skill in which those of England had preceded them ; there has been ample experi- ence to prove that the alleged inability of their manufactures to compete in the American market with those of Great Britain does not arise merely from the more recent date of their establishment, but from the fact that American labor and capital can, in the present circumstances of America, be employed with greater return, and greater advantage to the national wealth, in the production of other articles. I have never for a moment recommended or countenanced any pro- tecting industry except for the purpose of enabling the pro- tected branch of industry, in a very moderate time, to be- come independent of protection. That moderate time in the 1 See F. W. Taussig's " Protection to Young Industries as applied in the United States " (1883). 2 In a letter written February 26, 1866, to Mr. Horace White, published in the Chicago " Tribune," and reprinted in the New York " Nation," May 29, 18*73. INTERFERENCE OF GOVERNMENT. 615 United States has been exceeded, and if the cotton and iron of America still need protection against those of the other hemisphere, it is in my eyes a complete proof that they ought not to have it, and that the longer it is continued the greater the injustice and the waste of national resources will be." There is only one part of the protectionist scheme which requires any further notice : its policy toward colonies and foreign dependencies ; that of compelling them to trade ex- clusively with the dominant country. A country which thus secures to itself an extra foreign demand for its commodities, undoubtedly gives itself some advantage in the distribution of the general gains of the commercial world. Since, how- ever, it causes the industry and capital of the colony to be diverted from channels which are proved to be the most pro- ductive, inasmuch as they are those into which industry and capital spontaneously tend to flow, there is a loss, on the whole, to the productive powers of the world, and the mother- country does not gain so much as she makes the colony lose. If, therefore, the mother-country refuses to acknowledge any reciprocity of obligations, she imposes a tribute on the colony in an indirect mode, greatly more oppressive and injurious than the direct. § 5. The discussion by Mr. Cairnes on the question of wages as affected by the tariff is such that I have quoted it as fully as possible : " The position taken in the United States is that pro- tection is only needed and only asked for where American in- dustry is placed under a disadvantage, as compared with the industry of foreign countries. . . . The rates of wages meas- ured in money are higher in the United States than in Europe, and, therefore, it is argued, the cost of producing commodities is higher. . . . The high rates of wages in the United States are not peculiar to any branch of industry, but are universal throughout its whole range. If, therefore, a high rate of wages proves a high cost of production, and a high cost of pro- duction proves a need of protection, it follows that the farmers of Illinois and the cotton-planters of the Southern States stand in as much need of fostering legislation as the cotton-spinners of New England or the iron-masters of Pennsylvania ! A cri- terion which leads to such results must, I think, be regarded as sufficiently condemned. The fallacy is, in truth, . . . that all 616 THE INFLUENCE OF GOVERNMENT. industries are not in each country equally favored or disfavored by nature, and have not, therefore, equal need of this protect- ing care. If American protectionists are not prepared to de- mand protective duties in favor of the Illinois farmer against the competition of his English rival, they are bound to admit either that a high cost of production is not incompatible with effective competition, or else that a high rate of wages does not prove a high cost of production ; and if this is not so in Illi- nois, then I wish to know why the case should be different in Pennsylvania or in New England. If a high rate of wages in the first of these States be consistent with a low cost of pro- duction, why may not a high rate of wages in Pennsylvania be consistent with a low cost of producing coal and iron ? " The rate of wages, whether measured in money or in the real remuneration of the laborer, affords an approximate crite- rion of the cost of production, 1 either of money, or of the com- modities that enter into the laborer's real remuneration, but in a sense the inverse of that in which it is understood in the argument under consideration : in other words, a high rate of wages indicates not a high but a low cost of production. 8 . . . Thus in the United States the rate of wages is high, whether measured in gold or in the most important articles of the labor- er's consumption — a fact which proves that the cost of produc- ing gold, as well as that of producing those other commodities, is low in the United States. ... I would ask [objectors] to consider what are the true causes of the high remuneration of American industry. It will surely be admitted that, in the last resort, these resolve themselves into the one great fact of its high productive power. ... I must, therefore, contend that the high scale of industrial remuneration in America, instead of being evidence of a high cost of production in that country, is distinctly evidence of a low cost of production — of a low cost of production, that is to say, in the H lace, of gold, and, in the next, of the commodities which mainly constitute the real wages of labor — a description which embraces at once the most important raw materials of industry and the most impor- tant articles of general consumption. As regards commodities not included in this description, the criterion of wages stands in no constant relation of any kind to their cost, and is, there- 1 Business men constantly use the term " cost of production " when in reality they mean that which to the economist is expressed by " cost of labor." If cost of labor becomes higher, it takes from profits — the place where they feel the difficul- ties of competition — but they say that the cost of production has risen : the cost, to them, only has risen, that is, the " cost of labor," not " cost of production." 8 Cf. Cairnes, " Leading Principles," pp. 324-341 ; and supra, Book III, Chap. II, § 4. INTERFERENCE OF GOVERNMENT. 617 fore, simply irrelevant to the point at issue. And now we may see what this claim for protection to American industry, founded on the high scale of American remuneration, really comes to : it is a demand for special legislative aid in consid- eration of the possession of special industrial facilities — a com- plaint, in short, against the exceptional bounty of nature. " Perhaps I shall here be asked, How, if the case be so — if the high rate of industrial remuneration in America be only evidence of a low cost of production — the fact is to be ex- plained, since fact it undoubtedly is, that the people of the United States are unable to compete in neutral markets, in the sale of certain important wares, with England and other Euro- pean countries ? ' No one will say that the people of New Eng- land, New York, and Pennsylvania, are deficient in any indus- trial qualities possessed by the workmen of any country in the world. How happens it, then, that, enjoying industrial advan- tages superior to other countries, they are yet unable to hold their own against them in the general markets of commerce ? I shall endeavor to meet this objection fairly, and, in the first place, let me state what my contention is with regard to the cost of production in America. I do not contend that it is low in the case of all commodities capable of being produced in the coun- try, but only in that of a large, very important, but still limited group. With regard to commodities lying outside this group, I hold that the rate of wages is simply no evidence as to the cost of their production, one way or the other. But, secondly, I beg the reader to consider what is meant by the alleged ' in- ability ' of New England and Pennsylvania to compete, let us say, with Manchester and Sheffield, in the manufacture of calico and cutlery. What it means, and what it only can mean, is that they are unable to do so consistently with obtaining that rate of remuneration on their industry which is current in the United States. If. American laborers and capitalists would be content with the wages and profits current in Great Britain, there is nothing that I know of to prevent them from holding their own in any markets to which Manchester and Sheffield can send their wares. And this brings us to the heart of the question. Over a large portion of the great field of industry the people of the United States enjoy, as compared with those of Europe, (1) advantages of a very exceptional kind ; over the rest (2) the advantage is less decided, or (3) they stand on a par with Europeans, or (4) possibly they are, in some in- 1 The fact (sufficiently established by Mr. Brassey) i3 not considered also that England gives higher wages to operatives than the Continent, and yet England is able to undersell France and Germany in neutral markets. It is evident, however, that England can undersell only in occupations in which she has advantages. 618 THE INFLUENCE OF GOVERNMENT. stances, at a disadvantage. Engaging in the branches of in- dustry in which their advantage over Europe is great, they reap industrial returns proportionally great ; and, so long as they confine themselves to these occupations, they can compete in neutral markets against all the world, and still secure the high rewards accruing from their exceptionally rich resources. But the people of the Union decline to confine themselves within these liberal bounds. They would cover the whole domain of industrial activity, and think it hard that they should not reap the same rich harvests from every part of the field. They must descend into the arena with Sheffield and Manchester, and yet secure the rewards of Chicago and St. Louis. They must employ European conditions of production, and obtain American results. What is this but to quarrel with the laws of nature ? These laws have assigned to an extensive range of industries carried on in the United States a high scale of return, far in excess of what Europe can command, to a few others a return on a scale not exceeding the European propor- tion. American enterprise would engage in all departments alike, and obtain upon all the high rewards which nature has assigned only to some. Here we find the real meaning of the ' inability ' of Americans to compete with the ' pauper labor ' of Europe. They can not do so, and at the same time secure the American rate of return on their work. The inability no doubt exists, but it is one created, not by the drawbacks, but by the exceptional advantages of their position. It is as if a skilled artisan should complain that he could not compete with the hedger and ditcher. Let him only be content with the hedger and ditcher's rate of pay, and there will be nothing to prevent him from entering the lists even against this rival." ' It is often said that wages are kept at a high rate in the United States by the existence of protected industries. On the other hand, the truth is that the protected industries must pay the current high rate of wages fixed by the general productive- ness of all industries in the country. When the facts are in- vestigated, it is surprising how small a portion of the laborers of the United States are employed in occupations which owe their existence to the tariff. A general view of the relative numbers engaged in different occupations may be seen by reference to Chart No. XXIV, based on the returns for the census of 1880. The data are well worth examination : 2 (1.) Agriculture 7,6*70,493 (2.) Manufacturing, mechanical, and mining 3,837,112 (3.) Trade and transportation 1,810,256 (4.) Professional and personal services 4,074,238 All occupations 17,392,099 1 Cairnes, " Leading Principles," pp. 382-388. 8 "Compendium," 1880, pp. 1343-1377. INTERFERENCE OF GOVERNMENT. 619 CHART XXIV. Chart showing for the United States, in 1880, the ratio between the total popu- lation over ten years of age and the number of persons reported as engaged in each principal class of gainful occupations. Compiled from the returns of the Tenth Census, by the Editor. Note. — The interior square represents the proportion of the population which is accounted for as engaged in gainful occupations. The unshaded space between the inner and outer squares represents the proportion of the population not so accounted for. (1.) Engaged in agriculture 7,670,493 (2.) " manufactures and mining 3,837,112 (3.) " trade and transportation 1,S10,256 (4.) " professional and personal services 4,074,238 17,392,099 Not so engaged 19,319,508 Total population over ten years of age 86,761,607 n (520 THE INFLUENCE OF GOVERNMENT. Of the second class, less than 450,000 work-people are en- gaged in the chief protected industries — cotton, woolen, and iron and steel, combined. This class, it is to be noted, in the census returns, includes bakers, blacksmiths, brick-makers, build- ers, butchers, cabinet-makers, carpenters, carriage-makers, and so on through the whole list of similar occupations practically- unaffected by the tariff (so far as protection to them is con- cerned). So that, at the most, there are less than a million laborers engaged in industries directly dependent on the tariff, and the number is undoubtedly very much less than a million. When some writers assert, therefore, that the existence of cus- toms-duties allows industries (even including all those employed in producing cotton, wool, iron, and steel) to employ less than a million laborers in such a way that the remuneration is fixed for the remaining 16,000,000 laborers in the United States, keeping wages high for 16,000,000 by paying current wages for less than a million, the extravagance and ignorance of the statement are at once apparent ; while, on the other hand, it is distinctly seen that the causes fixing the generally high rates of wages for the 16,000,000 are those governing the ma- jority of occupations, and that the less than one million must be paid the wages which can be obtained elsewhere in the more productive industries. The facts thus strikingly bear out the principles as stated above. Confirmation — if confirmation now seems necessary — may be found in a study 1 by our ablest statistician, Francis A. Walker, upon the causes which have operated on the growth of American manufactures. This growth has not been com- mensurate, he finds, with the remarkable inventive and indus- trial capacity of our people, and with the richness of our national resources : " I answer that the cause of that compara- tive failure is found, primarily and principally, in the extraor- dinary success of our agriculture, as already intimated in what has been said of the investment of capital. The enormous profits of cultivating a virgin soil without the need of artificial fertilization ; the advantages which a sparse population derives from the privilege of selecting for tillage only the choicest spots, 2 those most accessible, most fertile, most easily brought under the plow ; and the consequent abundance of food and other necessaries enjoyed by the agricultural class, have tended continually to disparage mechanical industries, in the eyes alike of the capitalist, looking to the most remunerative invest- 1 " Princeton Review," 1883, p. 222. 2 The United States have at the present time but five persons engaged in agriculture for each square mile of settled area. INTERFERENCE OF GOVERNMENT. G21 ment of his savings, and of the laborer, seeking that avocation which should promise the most liberal and constant support. "It has been the competition of the farm with the shop which, throughout the entire century of our national independ- ence, has most effectually hindered the growth of manufact- ures. A people who are privileged to cultivate a reasonably fertile soil, under the conditions indicated above, can secure for themselves subsistence up to the highest limit of physical well- being. If that people possess the added advantage of great skill in the use of tools, and great adroitness in meeting the large and the little exigencies of the occupation and cultivation of the soil, the fruits of their labor will include not only every- thing which is essential to health and comfort, but much that is of the nature of luxury." It remains to be said in this connection that workmen are already discerning the practical and real causes at work affecting their wages — affecting them more directly than any tariff sys- tem possibly could — by showing no small alarm at the immigra- tion of foreigners, such as the Hungarian miners and Italian la- borers, who willingly underbid them. In other words, they are beginning to realize, in a practical way, the truth that increas- ing numbers are far more potent than anything else in re- ducing wages. So long as immigration is free to any race or nationality, there is no such thing as "protection to home laborers " ; the only protection to them — not that I am urging the desirability of such measures — can come solely from forces which limit the number of workmen who enter into competi- tion with them. Any other protection to laboring-men than the prohibition of immigration — which no one thinks of (ex- cept for the Chinese) — is an economic delusion. Instead of "protecting" them to the extent of affording higher wages, the tariff increases the cost of woolen clothing and other arti- cles of their consumption, in addition to forcing capital into employments which yield a less return, and so insure lower wages. § 6. It must be kept in mind that Political Economy deals only with the phenomena of material wealth ; it does not sup- ply ethical or political grounds of action. It is quite conceiv- able that a legislator, in coming to a decision, may have to bal- ance economic gains against moral or political losses, and may choose to give up the former to prevent the latter. But the economic truth remains unchanged. Political economy, for in- stance, to the question, Is there any gain in international trade ? answers, unequivocally, yes. Would it be a loss of wealth to the community to have the goods formerly bought abroad now produced at home ? The answer is, certainly it would. But here it has been ably urged by intelligent writers that a state 622 THE INFLUENCE OF GOVERNMENT. has other ends to gain than the accumulation of mere riches ; that it must aim to secure the greatest moral, social, and elevating influences possible for the working-classes ; and that while free exchange of goods may add to wealth, it may injure the social and political well-being of a nation. So far as these are social and political questions they do not belong to Political Economy. But the commonest form of argument is that, under free ex- change, the United States would become purely an " agricult- ural " country, its social horizon would become narrowed, and a lower standard of industrial activity would then ensue ; in- stead of which, it is said, we should, by protection, keep in existence diversified industries by which the national mind may be better stimulated, and greater enterprise may be encouraged in all branches of industry. This argument for " diversity of industries," however, is not merely a sociological question ; it can only be fully discussed from an economic stand-point, and deserves even more than the brief attention we can give it here. In the first place, as soon as any purely agricultural country gains even a slight density of population — a density only such as to warrant the introduction of the principle of division of labor — there comes an inevitable differentiation of pursuits, wholly outside of legislation, and through the operation of nat- ural causes. Not all of any population is required in agriculture to provide the whole with food. By a division of labor, one man in agriculture can produce the sustenance of himself and many others. " The United States have at the present time but five persons engaged in agriculture for each square mile of settled area." By the side of the farm must early spring up a wide circle of industries — the shoemaker, the carpenter, the blacksmith, the wagon-maker, the painter, the builder, the mason, and all the ordinary employments which arise in any small community from the earliest division of labor. More- over, " agriculture " is often used in a too limited sense as con- fined to producing food alone (although even in that limited sense employing nearly one half of the total number of our la- borers). In a new country the natural field of employment is found in the " extractive industries," which include the prepa- ration for the market not only of food, bat also of all ores, coal, minerals, oils, hides, leather, wool, lumber, and the industries intimately connected with them ; all the employments which transport these from one part of the country to another (em- ploying at present over one ninth of all our laborers) ; and pro- fessional and personal services of an extended variety. Even, therefore, if we were obliged to forego manufactures entirely, the " extractive industries " would necessarily involve a very extensive diversity of employments. The real question, however, for most persons, centers in the INTERFERENCE OF GOVERNMENT. 623 next stage of the industrial evolution — that of the manufactures of these above-mentioned products of the "extractive indus- tries." It will be remembered, here, that a country does not possess an equal ability in producing each of these or any com- modities : the timber formerly near great rivers may vanish into the interior ; the oil-sources may be more or less fertile ; or the ore-deposits may be more or less rich, more or less accessi- ble, than those of other countries. This being understood, then, as soon as the demand in the country calls for an increased quantity of a particular article, the cost may increase under the law of diminishing returns until a foreign country — hav- ing inferior agents of production as compared with our best — may be able to send supplies into our markets. It all depends on whether the United States wants more articles than can be produced on grades of natural agents superior to those pos- sessed by foreigners, taking cost of carriage to this country into consideration. Even though foreign competition appears when we reach poorer grades of natural agents, it does not follow that some of the particular articles will not be pro- duced. What ought to be clear is, that untrammeled exchange between countries will not prevent the existence of various industries, but only limit production to those grades of agents which are its best. This may be better seen by a simple dia- „ , , 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 England 1 j 1 \ 1 j 1 j Iron 4 3 2 1 Vand United States. j j | ( ) coal. England ; ; ; i i 7 a «; a. S 2 I r Wheat United States : : I 1 1 I 1 » gram : England may have seven different grades of productive- ness in her iron and coal supplies, of which her grades 1, 2, and 3 are superior to the best grade of the United States, while grades 1, 2, 3, and 4 in the United States may compare only with grades 4, 5, 6, 7 of England. So long as England can supply herself and the United States also with coal and iron from the three superior grades, the United States can not work grade 1 at home. But if the supply for England and the world requires grade 5 to be worked, then the United States can begin the industry on her best grade, although that is far inferior to the best grade in England. Likewise, if the United States has three grades of wheat-land superior to England's best grade, the ability of England to grow wheat depends on whether the United States can, or can not, supply both herself and England from grades 1, 2, and 3. If we must resort to grade 4, then England can begin to grow wheat as well as we. In short, 624 THE INFLUENCE OF GOVERNMENT. under a system of free exchange, as great a diversity as under protection is probably possible, but only in such a way that the best possible advantages in each particular industry are em- ployed. Smaller amounts in some branches, and greater amounts in others, may be produced under a free than under a restrict- ive system, but with all the greater gain which arises from a proper and healthy adjustment of trade. The most poorly en- dowed enterprises in each occupation would be given up, but not the whole industry itself. No class of persons feel the competition of rivals more than English farmers since American wheat has come into English markets, and yet it does not fol- low that England can not grow a bushel of wheat. The fact is, merely, that some kinds of lands were thrown out of cultiva- tion, and a readjustment made, to the benefit of those wanting cheaper food. So with us : we should not, by the free ex- change, be forced to give up the iron and coal industries en- tirely ; for the best mines would still keep that occupation in existence to " diversify " the others. So far the explanation covers the " extractive industries " only, or those industries affected by the law of diminishing returns when a larger quantity is demanded. The real ques- tion arises as to the manufactures of these materials. But we count upon larger industrial rewards, in the form of wages, and profits, here than in England ; we must get more from an in- dustry than England in order to satisfy us. Our grades of occupations, therefore, must be more productive to a certain extent, grade for grade, than English grades, in order to allow of their remaining free from competition. But we have this superiority, as regards our home market, owing to natural causes : (1) cheap raw materials (if we except wool and other commodities whose price is raised by the tariff); (2) advantage over England in cost of transportation of raw products ; and (3) in the cost of transportation, again, of the finished goods in reaching our markets. Now, the processes of manufacture which do not put much labor upon the materials, especially where the articles are bulky, are conducted in this country without fear of foreign competition. And the range of this class of manufactures is surprisingly large. It includes the manufactures of iron, such as stoves, and the common uten- sils of e very-day life ; of hides, such as leather, harnesses, etc. ; and of wood, such as all the furniture of common use. The list is too long to be fully stated here. These industries are not kept in existence by the tariff ; and a diversity as wide as this would arise under a system of free exchange, as well as of restriction. Indeed, if duties were removed from so-called " raw materials," it is altogether probable that a wider diver- sity would exist than ever before. INTERFERENCE OF GOVERNMENT. 625 And yet, it will be said, there are some things we can not produce in free competition with England. Of course there are ; and it is to be hoped it will long continue so. If there are not some kinds of commodities which foreigners can pro- duce to better advantage than we, then there will be no possi- bility of any foreign trade whatever ; since, if they can send us nothing, they can take nothing from us. To deny this posi- tion, is to say that the export and import trade of the United States (amounting in 1883 to more than $1,500,000,000) is of no profit, and had best be entirely destroyed, in order that a few industries in which we have no natural advantages (and which employ less than one seventeenth of the laborers in the United States) should be continued at a loss to the general pro- ductiveness of our labor and capital, and so to a general dimi- nution of wages and profits. § 7. The argument — heard less frequently now than for- merly — has been advanced, drawn inductively from statistics, that protection does not raise prices ; because, after duties are put on, a larger quantity is produced, the advantages of large production are reaped, and then the price of the manufactured commodity falls lower here than it was before the duty was imposed. The position is then held that protection does not raise prices. It is, of course, understood to mean the prices of protected commodities — a necessary precaution, because we find our own agricultural (unprotected) commodities cited to show that prices are lower here than in England. No one, however, will deny that there has been a fall in the prices of textile fabrics and manufactured goods. That is the result of a general law of value, and of the tendencies of a progressive state of industry. 1 The causes of this acknowl- edged fall would be at work, no matter whether tariffs existed or not. It is the result of the general forward march of im- provements, as evidenced in the application of new inventions and the display of skill and ingenuity in new processes. To say that it comes because of a tariff, is a complete non seqidtur. How true this is may be seen by observing that a country like England, without tariffs, shares in the general fall of prices of manufactured goods equally with the country which has heavy customs-duties. The causes must be wider than tariffs, if they are seen working alike in tariff and non-tariff countries. But the fact itself can not be gainsaid that protection does raise the prices of the protected goods in the home market. The comparison is not to be made between prices as they now are in this country and as they were twenty or forty years ago also in this country, for this would show only the general march of 1 Book IV, Chap. I, § 2 ; and see Chart No. XX. 40 626 THE INFLUENCE OF GOVERNMENT. improvements in this country ; but a comparison is to be made between prices in this country to-day and present prices in foreign countries. Does, for instance, the tariff increase the price of woolen goods and clothing to every consumer far be- yond what the price would be if the duty on imported woolens were removed ? The very existence of a protecting duty is the answer to this. If the duty does not raise the price, then why does the woolen industry wish a continuance of the duties ? If goods can be sold as cheaply here as the foreign goods, why do protectionists want any duties ? The duties are intended to keep foreign goods out of our markets ; and they would be unnecessary if our goods could be sold as cheaply as the foreign wares. The facts, however, are at hand to show that the statement of principle as made above is corroborated by the statistics. In 1883, although average weekly wages in Massachusetts were over 77 per cent higher than in England, the American laborer had to pay -more for the articles entering into his real wages ; and to that extent lost the advantage of his higher reward in this country. This is to be seen in the following figures, 1 which show, in percentages, whether prices are higher or lower here than in England : CLASSES OF ARTICLES. Higher. Lower. Per cent. 16 13 62 45 Per cent. Provisions, including meat, eggs, butter, and pota- 23 And yet, in spite of the high prices, 31 per cent of the Massachusetts workman's expenditure represents more comfort and better home surroundings than is enjoyed by the English workman. If the American could purchase at English prices, he would have no less than 37 per cent of a surplus for addi- tional enjoyments (after making due allowance for the higher rents paid here than in England). In other words, higher prices cut off the American laborer from reaping all the supe- riority in comfort which might be expected from knowing that he had an advantage over the English laborer of 77 per cent in the money wages received. 1 "Fifteenth Annual Report of the Massachusetts Bureau of Statistics, 1884," by Carroll D. Wright. INTERFERENCE OF GOVERNMENT. (J27 In order that the reader may easily find the arguments of the pro- tectionists, he is referred to the following books: Carey's " Principles of Social Science " (3 vols.). The form of argu- ment is, briefly, that all industries should be kept going within the bounds of a country so as to avoid -foreign trade. The change of form into the finished commodity should, he holds, take place near the spot where the raw materials are produced, so that not so great a share should go to the mere middle-men, or transporters. Bowen's "Political Economy," Chap. XX, advocates protection on the ground that it is needed to secure diversity of industries, and that it lowers the prices of imported goods. Sir J. B. Bylea's " Sophisms of Free Trade " is an answer to Basti- at's " Sophisms of Protection, 1 ' the latter having been translated into English by Horace White. Erastus B. Bigelow's " The Tariff Question." This is one of the ablest discussions, from the protectionist point of view, based on statis- tical tables and comparisons of the policy of England and the United States. Stebbins's " Protectionists' Manual " is a brief and handy statement. Ellis H. Roberts's " Government Revenue " is the form into which he has thrown his lectures at Cornell University (1884) on protection, and is the latest statement emanating from that side of the discussion. He goes at length into the history of taxes in various countries; holds that wages are higher here than in England because of protection; that our manufactures are more flourishing than our agriculture, etc. Frederick List's "National Economy" is the German statement of protection, much on Carey's own grounds. "The Congressional Globe" contains numerous speeches of mem- bers of Congress on the tariff; and the Iron and Steel Association of Philadelphia send out pampldets explaining the protectionist position. The free-trade arguments may be found also in "W. M. Grosvenor's "Does Protection Protect?" ne studies the results of the various tariffs of the United States, and gives many very valuable tables and collections of statistics bearing upon this question. W. G. Sumner's "History of Protection in the United States" is a very vigorous account of the evils of the various tariffs and the protect- ive system. D. A. Wells's " Reports " as Special Commissioner of the Revenue, and his numerous pamphlets (see Putnams' publisher's catalogue), are 628 THE INFLUENCE OF GOVERNMENT. full of facts, and give the results of special study of the subject as affect- ing the United States. A. L. Perry's " Political Economy" gives a radical free-trade view. Henry Fawcett's " Free Trade and Protection " explains the causes which have retarded the more general adoption of free trade. J. E. Cairn es's "Leading Principles of Political Economy " gives the ablest discussion of the economic principles involved in the question which has yet been offered to the reader. Moreover, almost all our systematic writers on political economy (excepting, perhaps, Bowen and R. E. Thompson) give the system of free exchange their support on economic grounds. APPENDICES. APPENDIX I. A BRIEF BIBLIOGRAPHY OF THE TARIFFS OF THE UNITED STATES. I. General Works. — Young's "Special Report on the Customs-Tariff Legislation of the United States " contains useful extracts from debates of Congress, and also valuable tables of duties; in the Index, p. cciii, under "Tariff Act," will be found references to, and dates of, all acts . to 1870. See, also, Sumner's "History of American Currency," and his """Lectures on Protection in the United States";*" A. L. Perry's "Politi- cal Economy," chap, xiii ; ''Grosvenor's "Does Protection Protect?" A valuable study isvE. J. James's " Studien uber den Amerikaniscben Zoll-tariff." For different views, see Carey's " Social Science " ;" Bolles's "Financial History pf the United States," vol. ii, Bk. i, chap, v, Bk. iii, chaps, iii to x ; and Stebbins's " American Protectionists' Manual." II. Earlier Periods. — H. C. Adams's " Taxation in the United States, 1789-1816 ";*F. W. Taussig's "Protection to Young Industries"; the works of Hamilton, Madison, Jefferson, "Webster, and Clay; "The Statesman's Manual " ; and of course the Debates in Congress, etc. See, also, Bristed's " Resources of the United States " ; Pitkin's " Sta- tistical View of the Commerce of the United States " ; Seyberfs " Sta- tistical Annals" (1818) ; and the "American Almanac." III. Noteworthy Documents. -^Hamilton's Reports: "Report on Manufactures," "Works, ii, pp. 192-284, or American State Papers, Fi- nance, i, 123-144. ^Dallas, Treasury Report of 1816, American State Papers, Finance, iii, 87-91. A report which is of the greatest importance and weight is Albert Gallatin's " Memorial in Favor of Tariff Reform " (1832). Printed sepa- rately. Unfortunately, not in his collected works. "Walker's Report, see Finance Report, December 3, 1845. J. Q. Adams's Report of 1832, Congressional Documents, 1831-1832, H. R. No. 481. D. A. "Wells's " Reports as Special Commissioner of the Revenue," 1866, Senate Documents, second session, Thirty-ninth Congress, vol. i, No. 2 ; 1868, House Executive Documents, second session, Fortieth Con- 632 APPENDIX I. gress, vol. ix, No. 81 ; 1869, House Executive Documents, third session, Fortieth Congress, vol. vii, No. 16 ; 1869, House Executive Documents, second session, Forty-first Congress, vol. v, No. 27 ; and his paper in the Cobden Club Essays (second series). //W. D. Kelley's " Speeches, Addresses, and Letters." / " Report of the Tariff Commission," 1882 (two vols). H. R. Miscella- neous Documents, No. 6, Part I, Forty-seventh Congress, second session. IV. Pauper- Labor Argument. — See^aussig, "Protection to Young Industries," p. 69, note 1; Calhoun's speech, "Works, iv, pp. 201-212; Greeley's speech of 1843; Cooper's " Politics," pp. 99-109; Webster's Works, v, pp. 161-235; Cairnes, "Leading Principles," pp. 382-388. Fifteenth Annual Report of the Massachusetts Bureau of Statistics (1884), by Carroll D. Wright. 1/ D. A. Wells, "Princeton Review," No- vember, 1883, p. 261 j^choenhof, " Wages and Trade." V. View of Early Manufactures.— -Bishop, " History of American Manufactures " ; Batchelder's " Introduction and Early Progress of the Cotton Manufacture in the United States "; V N. Appleton, "Origin of Lowell"; G. S. White, "Memoir of Samuel Slater » / B. F. French, " History of the Rise and Progress of the Iron Trade of the United States for 1621-1857" 5^11. Scrivenor, "History of the Iron Trade"; " Bulletin of the National Association of Woolen Manufactures," ii, pp. 479-488. VTench Coxe, " Statement of the Arts and Manufactures of the United States for 1810 " (1814). VI. Later View of Manufactures : (1.) The Ikon Manufacture. — See Swank's "Reports of Iron and Steel Association," 1882; ibid., "Census Report," 1880; ibid., "Iron Trade," 1876 ;^f. S. Newberry, for an excellent article in " International Review," i, pp. 768-780. For Bessemer steel, Swank, " Census Report," 1880, pp. 149-153 ; and^Schoenhof, "Destructive Influences of the Tariff," chap. v'i. A. S. Hewett, Speech in Congress, May 16, 1882. Separately printed. (2.) Wool, Woolens, and Cottons.— Production and importation of wool, see "United States Statistical Abstract"; " Tariff Commission Report," i, pp. 1782-1785 ; ii, p. 2432. Production and importation of woolens, see " Bulletin of Woolen Manufacturers," vii, p. 359 ; " Commerce and Navigation Reports." Prosperity of woolen manufacturers after 1867, see "Wells, "Wool and the Tariff" (a letter to the "New York Tribune," March 20, 1873) ; R. W. Robinson, article of December, 1872, in " Bulletin of Woolen Manufacturers," iii, p. 354. "Edward Harris, " Memorial of the Manu- facturers of Woolen Goods to the Committee of Ways and Means," Washington, 1872. ^ohn L. Hayes, "The Fleece and the Loom." Production and importation of cottons, see " Commerce and Navi- gation Reports " ; Census Report of 1880. BRIEF BIBLIOGRAPHY OF BIMETALLISM. 633 (3.) Silk. — Manufacture since 1860, see " Silk Association Reports"; Wyckoff, " Silk Manufacture in the United States " (1883) for recent history, pp. 42-51. Wyckoff, " The Silk Goods of America " (1880), on methods of manufacture, chaps, ii, iv, vi. (4.) Sugar Duties.— D- A. Wells, "Princeton Review," vi (Novem- ber, 1880), pp. 319-335; ^and "The Sugar Industry of the United States and the Tariff " (1878). VII. Present Tariff. -^Heyl's "United States Duties on Imports" (1881) contains all acts in force to date of publication, and gives all acts since the year 1861 in full. It is used by the United States officials. )/ " Imports Duties from 1867 to 1883 inclusive " (House of Represent- atives, Miscellaneous Documents, No. 49, Forty-eighth Congress, first session) gives duties on each article by years, and reduces specific to ad valorem rates. "The Existing Tariff on Imports into the United States," 1884 (Senate Document, Report, No. 12, Forty-eighth Congress, first session). A BRIEF BIBLIOGRAPHY OF BIMETALLISM. " The Report of the International Monetary Conference, 1878 " (p. 754), contains an extended bibliography on money, by S. Dana Horton. Chevalier's third volume of his " Cours d'Economie politique," entitled "Monnaie," also gives a bibliography. I. Standards of Value. — See Jevons, " Money and the Mechanism of Exchange," chaps iii, xxv ; S. Dana Horton, " Gold and Silver," chap, iv, p. 86 ; F. A. Walker, " Political Economy," pp. 363-368, " Money, Trade, and Industry," pp. 56-77; Wolowski, "L'Or et l'Argent," pp.7, 22, 207; Mill, "Principles of Political Economy," book iii, chap, xv; Walra: "Journal des Economistes," October, 1882, pp. 5-13. II. Bimetallic Theory.— Horton, " Gold and Silver," p. 29 ; F. A. Walker, " Money, Trade, and Industry," p. 157, "Political Economy," p. 408; Giff en, "Fortnightly Review," vol. xxxii (1879), p. 279; Wolowski, "L'Or et l'Argent," p. 35 ; Jevons, ibid., chap, xii; A. J. Wilson, "Re- ciprocity, Bimetallism, and Land Reform," p. 107; S. Bourne, "Trade, Population, and Food," p. 227; Seyd, "The Decline of Prosperity," and the various pamphlets of Cernuschi. III. Operation of Gresham's Late. — Macaulay, chap, xxi for clipped coin of 1695 ; Jevons, ibid., pp. 80-85, also gives an example taken from the Japanese currency ; for the case of France, see " Report of the Select Committee of the House of Commons on the Depreciation of Sil- ver, 1876," p. xlii, and Appendix, pp. 86, 148 ; for the United States, see supra, book iii, ohap. vii, § 3. See, also, Lord Liverpool's " Treatise on the Coins of the Realm," chap, xii, for changes in the coin of England. 634 APPENDIX I. IV. Compensatory Effect of Two Standards. — Jevons, ibid., pp. 139, 140; F. A. Walker, "Political Economy," pp. 411-416; Wolowski, "L'Or et 1' Argent," p. 28; Mannequin, "Journal des Economistes," August, 1878, p. 202. V. Effect of a League of States, or Law, on the Relative Value of Gold and Silver. — Giffen, ''Fortnightly Review," vol. xxxii (1879), pp. 285- 290 ; Wolowski, "L'Or et 1' Argent," pp. 23, 24, 31 ; F. A. Walker, "Po- litical Economy," p. 410, " Report of the International Monetary Confer- ence, 1878," p. 74 ; Sumner, " Princeton Review," vol. iv, p. 563 ; S. Dana Horton, "Report of the International Monetary Conference, 1878," p. 741 ; Bourne, " Trade, Population, and Food," pp. 228, 230; JevoDS, "Contemporary Review," vol. xxxix (1881), p. 750; S. Newcomb, "In- ternational Review " (1879), p. 314. VI. Production of Gold and Silver ; Relative Value of the Two Metals. — Ad. Soetbeer, Petermann's " Mittheilungen," No. 57; "House of Commons Report on Depreciation of Silver," 1876, Appendix, pp. 11, 12, 24; Bourne, " Statistical Journal," vol. xlii, p. 409, gives Sir H. Hay's figures corrected by him to 1878 ; Spofford's " American Alma- nac," 1878, gives tables from the "Journal des Economistes"; the figures of Seyd, Hay, Jacob, and Tooke and Newmarch are in the " House of Commons Report," above. Also see, supra, book iii. chap, vi, for references. The relative values of gold and silver since 1834, as given in Pixley and Abell's (London) tables, are trustworthy. Previous to 1834 there is much uncertainty. Soetbeer, ibid., gives Hamburg quotations since 1687. Another table, probably incorrect in places, is that of White, see "Report of the International Monetary Conference," 1878, p. 647. VII. Demonetization of Silver oy Germany. — For copy of laws of 1871 and 1873, see " Report of Directors of the United States Mint, 1873," p. 82 ; " House of Commons Report on Depreciation of Silver," 1876, p. 18 ; "Conference Monetaire Internationale," 1881, index, p. 215 for " Allemagne." VIII. Latin Union. — For treaty, see "Journal des Economistes, May, 1866; "House of Commons Report," ibid, xxxviii, Appendix, pp. 92, 98, 106-109, 116 ; " Report of Monetary Conference," 1878, pp. 779-787. IX. Flow of Silver to the East. — The figures of Sir Hector Hay after 1851, "House of Commons Report," ibid., App., p. 24, are fullest, and should be combined with Pixley and Abell's figures for years before 1851, ibid., Appendix, p. 21. See also Bourne, " Statistical Journal," 1879, p. 422; Waterfield, "House of Commons Report," ibid., Appen- dix, pp. 171, 172, 174; Quetteville, ibid., p. 184; "Conference Mone- taire Internationale," 1881, p. 197; London "Economist," February 24, 1883, Supplement, p. 7; "Parliamentary Document?," 1881, vol. BRIEF BIBLIOGRAPHY OF AMERICAN SHIPPING. 635 xciii; "Report of the Director of the United States Mint," 1880 (in the Finance Report, 1880, p. 194); J. B. Robertson, "Westminster Re- view," vol. cxv, p. 200. X. Depreciation of Silver, 1876. — Causes, Bourne, ibid., pp. 206, 212, 222, 233; Wilson, ibid., p. 128; "House of Commons Report," ibid.; Sumner, "Princeton Review," vol. iv., p. 570; S. Newcomb, " International Review," vol. vi (1879), p. 326 ; Cochut, " Revue des Deux Mondes," i, December, 1883, p. 514; Cairnes, "Essays"; F. Bowen, "Minority Report of the United States Silver Commission," 1878. Supposed cause of panic of 1873, see Williamson, " Contemporary Review," April 1879 ; Seyd, " Decline of Prosperity " ; Bourne, ibid., pp. 226, 227. XI. Appreciation of Gold. — Giffen, " Statistical Journal," vol. xlii, p. 36, started the theory for the period 1873-1879. Also see Bourne, " Statistical Journal," vol. xlii, p. 406 ; S. Newcomb, " International Re- view," 1879, p. 329 ; Wolowski, ibid., pp. 29, 30 ; Goschen, "Journal of the Institute of Bankers " (London), vol. iv, part vi, May, 1883 ; Pat- terson, " Statistical Journal," vol. xliii, p. 1 ; for table of prices see Lon- don " Economist " (e. g., December 28, 1878). XII. Bimetallism in the United States. — See supra, book iii, chap, vii ; for a vast array of materials, see " Report of the International Mone- tary Conference," 1878 ; Linderman's " Money and Legal Tender " ; the Finance Reports of the United States; and Congressional Documents. For the coinage laws of 1792, 1834, 1853, 1873, 1878, see pamphlet, " Extracts from the Laws of the United States relating to Currency and Finance," by C. F. Dunbar. For detailed account of passage of Act of 1873, see " Report of the Comptroller of the Currency," 1876, p. 170. Present situation, " Atlantic Monthly," May, 1884, "The Silver Danger." A BRIEF BIBLIOGRAPHY OF AMERICAN SHIPPING. I. English Navigation Acts. — Macpherson's "Annals," ii, pp.442, 484; Scobell, "Collection of Acts," p. 176; Ruffhead, "Statutes at Large," iii, p. 182 ; Roger Coke, " Treatise on Trade " (1671), p. 36 ; Sir Josiah Child, "New Discourse on Trade" (1671) ; Sir Matthew Decker, " Essay on the Causes of the Decline of Foreign Trade " (1744) ; Joshua Gee, " Trade and Navigation of Great Britain " (1730) ; Lindsay, " His- tory of Merchant Shipping and Ancient Commerce " ; McCulloch, " Dictionary of Commerce " (new edition), articles " Navigation " and " Colonial Trade " ; ibid., edition of Adam Smith, note xii, p. 534 ; Hus- kisson, speeches, iii, 13, 351 ; Levi, " History of British Commerce," p. 158. 636 APPENDIX I. II. Navigation Laws of the United States. — " United States Statutes at Large," i, 27, 287, 305 ; Act of 1817, Statutes, iii, 351 ; Revised Stat- utes (1878), " Commerce and Navigation," p. 795; Lord Sheffield, "Ob- servations on the Commerce of the United States"; Pitkin, "Statis- tical View of the Commerce of the United States," chap, i ; D. A^~~ Wells, "Our Merchant Marine," chap, v; Seybert's "Statistical An- nals " ; Macgregor, " Commercial Statistics of America." III. Growth of American Shipping. — Rapid growth, 1840-1856. Levi, " History of British Commerce," p. 582 ; Bigelow, " Tariff Ques- x tion," Appendix No. 57; " Harper's Magazine," January, 1884, p. 217; Lindsay, " History of Merchant Shipping," iii, p. 187; for ship-building, see Report of the United States Bureau of Statistics, " Commerce and Navigation," 1881, p. 927 ; for tonnage, ibid., pp. 928-930 ; also, see " United States Statistical Abstract " ; Dingley's Report to House of Representatives, December 15, 1882, No. 1,827, Forty-seventh Congress, second session, pp. 5, 8, 254. IV. Steam and Iron Ships. — Preble, "History of Steam Naviga- tion " ; Colden, "Life of Fulton " ; Porter, " Progress of the Nation," sec- tion 3, chap, iv ; Nimmo, " Report to the Secretary of the Treasury in Relation to the Foreign Commerce of the United States and the Deca- dence of American Shipping" (1870) ; Dingley's Report, pp. 4, 23 ; Kel-^-- ley, " The Question of Ships," Appendix ii, p. 208. V. Decline of American Shipping. — " Report on Commerce and Navigation " (1881), pp. 927, 928 ; ^Lindsay, ibid., iii, pp. 83, 187, 593, 645 ; ibid., iv, pp. 163-180, 292, 316, 376 ; " North American Review," October, 1864, p. 489 ; ■' Report on Commerce and Navigation," 1881, Ixv, pp. 915, 916, 922, 934; Lynch, Report to House of Representa- tives on " Causes of the Reduction of American Tonnage," February 17, 1878, pp. ix, 80, 176, 195-213; remission of duties, Revised Statutes of the United States (edition of 1878), section 2,513 ; Report on " Com- merce and Navigation," xi, 83, 210; Dingley's Report; Nimmo, " De- ^' cadence of American Shipping " (which gives several charts), p.' 17, " The Practical "Workings of our Relations of Maritime Reciprocity " (1871) ; ->Kelley, ibid. ; Reports of the New York Chamber of Commerce ; Sum- ner, "Shall Americans own Ships?" in "North American Review," June, 188^ ; Codman, " Free Ships " ; for high-rate profit in the United'C States, Dingley's Report, p. 4. VI. Burdens on Ship-Owners. — Tonnage duties, "Wells, p. 179; sail- ors' wages, Revised Statutes, sections 4,561, 4,578, 4,580-4,584, 4,600 ; consular fees, Dingley's Report, p. 9 ; pilotage, taxation, "Wells, p. 172, et sea. ; see al3o Act of 1884, abolishing many of these burdens. APPENDIX II. EXAMWA TIOR Q UES TIONS. The following problems and questions have been arranged to indi- cate to the reader the character of examinations set by English x and American universities. They have been taken in each case from papers actually given. It is hardly necessary to state, perhaps, that these ques- tions do not exhaust the subject, and are only some of a kind of which many more might be added : Definitions. 1. Define briefly, Fixed Capital ; Unproductive Consumption ; Law of Diminishing Returns; Effective Desire of Accumulation; Law of Increase of Labor; Communism; Wages Fund; "Wages of Superintendence ; Real Wages; Value; Price; Demand; Medium of Exchange; Gresham's Law. 2. Explain carefully the following terms: Productive Consumption, Effectual Demand, Margin of Cultivation, Cost of Production, Value of Money, Cost of Labor, Wealth, and Abstinence. 3. Explain the following terms : Real Wages, Fixed Capital, Allow- ance System, Margin of Cultivation, Price, Demand, Medium of Ex- change, Seignorage, Value of Money, and Bill of Exchange. 4. Define Supply, Value of Money, Productive Consumption, Cost of Production, Cost of Labor, Exchange Value, Law of Production from Land, Rate of Profit, Capital, and Gresham's Law. 5. Define Political Economy: State the parts into which it may be divided, and show how they are mutually related. Labob. 6. Distinguish between direct and indirect labor, and give an illus- tration of the distinction. 7. Apply the distinction between productive and unproductive labor, and productive and unproductive consumption, respectively, to each of 1 See Milnes's "Problems in Political Economy." 638 appendix n. the following persons : a tailor, an architect, an annuitant, a sailor, and a brick-layer. 8. Is an actor to he classed as a productive laborer? The inventor of a machine ? A confectioner ? 9. In which of the two classes of laborers, productive and unpro- ductive, would you place the following? (1.) The officers of our Government. (2.) The maker of an organ. (3.) An organist. (4.) A schoolmaster. (5.) An artist. (6.) He who makes an article for which there is no use. 10. Classify as productive or unproductive the following laborers : a clergyman, musical-instrument maker, actor, soldier, and lace-maker. Capital. 11. Explain fully what you understand by capital, and what function it discharges in production. Consider whether or not the following ought to be included in capital: (1) the original and acquired powers of the laborer, (2) the original properties of the soil, (3) improvements on land, (4) credit, (5) unsold stock in the hands of a merchant, (6) articles purchased but still in the consumer's hands. 12. Does a national loan add to the capital of a country ? 13. Inquire how far, or in what cases, or in what sense, it may be said that a common dwelling-house, an hotel, a school-house, a police- station, a theatre, and a fortification, constitute part of the capital of the country. 14. Discuss carefully the question whether money lying in a bank (or corn lying in a granary) is always capital, or whether its economio nature depends upon the intentions of the owner. 15. Are railway-shares, stocks of wine, wheat, munitions of war, and land, to be considered capital, or not ? 16. Explain fully whether you consider that United States bonds are capital or not. 17. Is an investment in government funds capital, or not? Give your reasons. 18. In what manner does a large expenditure for military purposes affect the operations of capital and labor ? 19. Distinguish between wealth and capital. Show that there is no assignable limit to the employment of capital in bettering the condition of the members of a community. 20. " If there are human beings capable of work, and food to feed them, they may always be employed in producing something." Explain the meaning of this fully. EXAMINATION QUESTIONS. 639 21. What is meant by saying wealth can only perform the functions of capital by being wholly or partially consumed? 22. Explain and illustrate the statement that demand for commodi- ties is not demand for labor. 23. Show that expenditure of money does not necessarily increase the demand for labor. 24. In what way would a general demand for luxuries affect pro- ductive laborers and the wealth of the community ? 25. In a community where capital is all employed, what would be the effect if one employer gradually withdrew some of his capital, and spent this for personal luxuries ? 26. It is contended that " the demand for commodities, which can only be got by labor, is as much a demand for labor as a demand for beef is a demand for bullocks." Criticise this position. 27. "It is often said that, though employment is withdrawn from labor in one department, an exactly equivalent employment is opened for it in others, because what the consumers save in the increased cheap- ness of one particular article enables them to augment their consump- tion of others, thereby increasing the demand for other kinds of labor.'" Point out the fallacy. 28. A college undergraduate, with the applause of shopkeepers, bought twenty waistcoats, under the plea that he was doing good to trade. Examine the economical soundness of his act. 29. A man invested a portion of his capital in a loan to a state which subsequently repudiated its debts. The man thereupon gave up his carriage, discharged superfluous gardeners, and reduced the number of his domestic servants. Examine the effect of these changes on the employment of labor in the district where he resides. 30. In the sixteenth century a great change in the mode of expen- diture took place. Retainers were dismissed, households were reduced and a demand for commodities was substituted for a demand for labor. How would this change affect wages, and why ? 31. It is supposed by some persons that expenditure by the rich in costly entertainments is good for trade. What is your opinion on the subject? 32. A is an absentee who spends his income abroad. B spends his income chiefly on American pictures and other works of art. C spends most of his income on American servants. D saves and buys United States bonds. E employs most of his income in the production of manufactures. Explain the various effects of these different modes of expenditure on the amount of wealth in the United States, and on the working-classes of the country. 33. Compare the economic effects of defraying war expenditure (1) by loans, (2) by increased taxation. 640 APPENDIX II. 34. Define tbe term capital, and distinguish between fixed and cir- culating capital, giving instances of each. 35. Distinguish between fixed and circulating capital, and point out how far, or in what manner, each of the following articles belongs to one kind or the other: a dwelling-house, a crop of corn, a wagon, a load of coal, an ingot of gold, a railway-engine, a bale of cotton goods. 36. Of the following, which would you class under fixed and which under circulating capital: cash in the hands of a merchant, a cotton- mill, a plow, diamonds in a jeweler's shop, a locomotive, a nursery- gardener's seeds, greenhouses, manures; a carpenter's tools, woods, nails ? 37. If in a country like this a large amount of capital becomes fixed in the building of railroads, what effect will this change taken by itself have upon the laboring-class, supposing the capital to be (1) domestic, or (2) borrowed wholly or in part from abroad? 38. "What conclusion is reached by Mr. Mill respecting the objections to the use of labor-saving machinery ? 39. Is the extension of machinery beneficial to laborers ? 40. What is "the conclusive answer to the objections against ma- chinery " ? Efficiency of Peodtjction. 41. Explain briefly the chief causes on which the productiveness of labor depends. 42. What are the principal ways in which advantage arises from the division of labor ? 43. What are the principal advantages of division of labor? In what cases and why is it better to carry on a productive enterprise on a large scale ? 44. Under what circumstances, and in what callings, can the division of employment be carried out to the fullest extent ? 45. Show how the amount of available capital and the extent of the market for products limit division of labor. Population. 46. Give a brief statement of Malthus's theory of population, explain- ing the different checks on population in different stages of civilization. 47. Enunciate Malthus's law of population, and give an outline of the reasoning by which he established it„ Give an account of any objec- tions that have been brought against Malthus's position, and criticise those objections. 48. When the growth of population outstrips the progress of im- provements, what are the means of relief for the laborer ? EXAMINATION QUESTIONS. 641 49. Does the increased facility of emigration nullify the Malthusian law of population in your opinion or not, and why? 50. Explain the law of diminishing return and the Malthusian doc- trine of population ; and trace the connection between them. Increase of Production. 51. Compare the motives to saving in the case of savages, and of a country like the United States. State the causes of diversity in the strength of the effective desire of accumulation. 52. Capital is said to be accumulated by saving; what is saving? Is hoarded money a saving while hoarded ? 53. How far does the increasing productiveness of manufacturing industry tend to neutralize the effect on profits of the diminishing pro ductiveness of agricultural industry ? 54. "What conclusion as to the limit to the increase of production does Mr. Mill deduce from his investigation of the laws of the various requisites of production ? Property. 55. "What are the essential elements of property ? Are the grounds of property in land the same as those of property in movables? 56. Give what you conceive to be the chief arguments in favor of the institution of private property, as opposed to common ownership. 57. What arguments does Mr. Mill suggest in favor of some redistri- bution of landed property ? 58. What are the economic arguments for and against Communism ? 59. In what way, and by what means, do Socialists want to alter the present distribution of wealth ? 60. Sketch the principal forms of Communistic and Non-commu- nistic Socialism. 61. Should the power of bequest be limited ? Wages. 62. On what, according to Mill, does the rate of wages depend? Hence, show the fallacy of the popularly proposed remedies for low wages. 63. State and examine the principal theories which have been put forward as to the circumstances which regulate the general rate of wages, saying which you deem to be correct, and why so. 64. Mr. Thornton argues that the wages-fund is neither "deter- mined" nor "limited" : not " determined," because there is no " law " to compel capitalists to devote any portion of their wealth to the pay- 41 G42 APPENDIX n. ment of labor, nor are they morally " bound " to do so ; and not " lim- ited, " because there is nothing to prevent them from adding to the portion of their wealth so applied. Criticise this argument, and, if you dissent from Mr. Thornton's view, state the causes which "determine" and "limit" the fund in question. 65. State precisely what you mean by the " wages-fund," and ex- plain the conditions on which its growth depends. 66. Explain generally the circumstances which determine the rate of wages. Mention some of the reasons why wages should be higher in one occupation than in another. 67. In what way does dearness or cheapness of food affect money wages ? 68. What determines — (1.) The general rate of wages in a country ? (2.) The relative rates of wages in different employments ? 69. What causes different rates of wages in different employments, and by what methods might wages be raised? 70. How do you explain the fact that some of the most disagreeable kinds of labor are the most badly paid ? 71. What, according to Mr. Mill, are the most promising means for the improvement of the laboring-classes ? 72. In the Island of Laputa a law was passed compelling each work- man to work with his left hand tied behind his back, and the law was justified on the ground that the demand for labor was more than doubled by it. Examine this argument. 73. Some coal-workers are calling for a diminution of the output of coal, so as to keep up their wages. Examine how far, if at all, this re- sult would follow from their proposed action. 74. Discuss any remedies for low wages that have been or might be suggested. 75. Why are the wages of women habitually lower than those of men? Profits. 76. What is the cause of the existence of profits ? And what, accord- ing to Mr. Mill, are the circumstances which determine the respective shares of the laborer and the capitalist ? 77. (1.) What is the lowest rate of profit which can permanently exist? (2.) Why is this minimum variable ? 78. Analyze the remuneration received by any of the following: (1) the proprietor of a cotton-mill managing his own mill ; (2) a mer- chant conducting his own business ; (3) a railway shareholder; (4) a holder of government funds. 79. Into what portions may we divide the return which is usually EXAMINATION QUESTIONS. 643 called profit ? "Which of these portions would he received by a mer- chant carrying on business with borrowed capital ? 80. Analyze tbe payment called profits into its various elements. Point out in what respects the earnings of the employer differ from or resemble the wages paid to other classes of laborers. 81. It is asserted that " profits tend to an equality." What condi- tions must be satisfied before this position can be maintained? 82. How is the alleged tendency of profits to equivalence in different employments to be reconciled with the notorious difference in the profit of different individuals ? 83. "Which one of the elements in profit has the greatest effect on its amount? Explain by comparing the causes which regulate each ele- ment. 84. How does Mill reconcile the high wages in America with Ricar- do's law of profits ? 85. Explain the proposition that the rate of profits depends on the cost of labor, stating carefully what elements are included in cost of labor. 86. Explain what connection there may be between an increase of population and any of the elements entering into cost of labor. 87. What effect would an increase or diminution of population have upon cost of labor ? 88. Explain Mill's view as to the cost of labor being a function of three variables, considering the passages in which he says, 1. "If without labor becoming less efficient its remuneration fell, no increase talcing place in the cost of the articles composing that remuneration ; " 2. " If the laborer obtained a higher remuneration, icithout any increased cheap- ness in the things composing it ; or if, without his obtaining more, that which he did obtain would become more costly " : profits in all these cases would suffer a diminution ; and discussing — Firstly, if the remuneration of labor falls, what can the cost of the articles composing that remunera- tion signify to the capitalist ? Secondly, if the laborer gets a higher remuneration, what can the increased cheapness of the things composing it signify to the capitalist ? 89. Is the contest between capital and labor permanent and funda- mental ? If not, give your reasons for your answer. 90. What is the effect on wages and profits of the introduction of machinery ? Rent. 91. "What connection exists between the law of Malthus and Ricar- do's doctrine of rent ? 92. "What is the reason why land-owners can demand rent ? 644 appendix n. 93. Explain and illustrate the distinction between rent and profits. In what cases are they nearly indistinguishable ? 94. It has often been observed that in America land is much less highly cultivated than in England. Explain the economic reasons for this. 95. How does the theory of rent apply in a country like the United States, where the farmer owns his land instead of hiring it ? 96. How is it that some agricultural capital pays rent, even if resort is not had to different grades of land ? 97. Give a brief description of the theory of rent, and point out to what payments not usually called rent the theory may be applied. 98. State briefly Eicardo's theory of rent, and show that, if it be true, the following statements of Adam Smith must be false : " The most fertile coal-mine regulates the price of coals at all the other mines in the neighborhood." " In the price of corn one part pays the rent of the landlord, an- other pays the wages, and another the profit of the farmer." 99. Why does the farming business pay rent, and the cotton business (ground-rent excluded) pay none ? Define rent. 100. " As population increases, rents estimated in corn increase, and the price of corn rises; rents, therefore, doubly tend to increase." Prove this. 101. Professor Eogers adduces, in refutation of the common theory of rent, the fact that land near New York pays a high rent, while land of the same natural fertility in the "Western States pays no rent. How far do you admit the force of this objection ? 102. Examine the following doctrine : " If invention and improvement still go on, the efficiency of labor will be further increased, and the amount of labor and capital necessary to produce a given result further diminished. The same causes will lead to the utilization of this new gain in productive power for the production of more wealth ; the mar- gin of cultivation will be again extended, and rent will increase, both in pro- portion and amount, without any increase in wages and interest. And so, . . . will . . . rent constantly increase, though population should remain station- ary." — Henry George, " Progress and Poverty " (p. 226). 103. What answer is made to Mr. Carey's objection to Eicardo's theory of rent, that in point of fact the poorer, not the richer, lands are first brought under cultivation ? 104. Explain how land, " even apart from differences of situation, . . . would all of it, on a certain supposition, pay rent." 105. Explain clearly how it is possible for the land of a country which is all of uniform fertility to pay rent. 106. " If the earth had a perfectly smooth surface the same every- EXAMINATION QUESTIONS. 645 where, and if it were all tilled and cultivated in exactly the same way, there would be no such thing as rent." Examine this proposition. 107. Show that rent does not increase the price of bread. 108. How is it shown that " rent does not really form any part of the expenses of production or of the advances of the capitalist? " 109. (1.) What connection exists between the price of agricultural products and the amount of rent paid ? (2.) Can rent affect the price ? 110. "Rent is the effect and not the cause of price." Prove this. 111. Does rent enter into the cost of production of the following commodities or not, and why : Corn, cloth, the wine of the best vine- yards? 112. " Rent arises from the difference between the least fertile and the most fertile soils, and from the fact that the former have been taken into cultivation. . . . Rent is the difference between the market price of produce and the cost of production." Harmonize these state- ments. 113. In order that the actual payments made by farmers to land- lords should generally correspond with " economic rent," what condi- tions must be observed ? 114. "What is assumed, as to competition, in all Mr. Mill's reasoning on wages, profits, and rent ? Explain its action in each case. Value. 115. Enumerate, compare, and criticise any opinions known to you which have been held concerning the nature, origin, or measure of value in exchange. 116. Define precisely what it is which gives value to objects, and point out the causes which vary the value of the same object under differing circumstances. 117. Do men dive to the bottom of the sea to get pearls because they are valuable ; or are pearls valuable because men must dive to the bottom of the sea to get them ? 118. There are three forms of difficulty of attainment. State the law of value applicable to each. 119. Explain the exact economic meaning of the words supply and demand. 120. When it is said that the value of certain commodities depends upon supply and demand, what is meant by demand ? 121. If the supply of all commodities were suddenly doubled, would any changes in their relative values ensue or not, and why ? 122. State the laws which regulate the permanent and temporary values of agricultural products. 123. How far does the value of commodities depend on the quantity of labor required for their production ? 646 appendix n. 124. Has the term exchange value any precise meaning when we are comparing times or places very remote from one another ? 125. What is meant by the natural (or normal) price and the market price of commodities ? To what extent can they differ ? 126. Does a general rise of wages raise the prices of commodities in general or not, and why ? Does it tend to cause any change in the relative prices of commodities or not, and why ? 127. Suppose that wages were double, would the values of com- modities be affected ? What would be the effect on prices and profits of such an increase of wages ? 128. Are wages and profits influenced by prices? 129. Can employers recoup themselves by a rise of prices for a rise of— (a.) Wages in particular employments ? (5.) General wages ? How does this question bear on the efficacy of trades-unionism ? 130. Do values depend on wages ? 131. Explain the following statement: "It is true the absolute wages paid have no effect upon values ; but neither has the absolute quantity of labor." 132. Explain the statement that " high general profits can not, any more than high general wages, be a cause of high values. ... In so far as profits enter into the cost of production of all things, they can not affect the value of any." 133. Explain fully why it is that capitalists can not compensate them- selves for a general high cost of labor through any action on values and prices. 134. " The value of a commodity depends on its cost of production." Under what conditions is this true, and what causes interfere with it? 135. Describe the hindrances which impede the free movement of capital to those fields which apparently offer the highest return for its employment. 136. Give J. S. Mill's analysis of the "cost of production," and also Professor Cairnes's, with the arguments for and against each. 137. Analyze cost of production. What is its connection with cost of labor ? 138. Give an analysis of cost of production of any commodity. 139. Show carefully the distinction between wages, cost of labor, and cost of production. 140. Define clearly value, price, real wages, and cost of produc- tion. 141. Define real wages, money wages, cost of labor. EXAMINATION QUESTIONS. 647 Monet. 142. Point out the difference between the scientific and popular con- ceptions implied in the terms wealth and money. 143. Show the fallacy of confounding capital with money. Can there be a glut of capital ? 144. "What is money? To what sort of necessity does it owe its existence? What articles have been used for money? Enumerate the qualities which render a commodity fit to serve as money. 145. "What are the qualities requisite in any commodity in order that it may serve as money ? 146. Distinguish accurately between the functions of money. 147. How far is a fixed standard of value possible ? 148. "What effect does the great durability of gold and silver have upon the value of money ? 149. How far does the law of demand and supply govern the value of money ? 150. Explain fully how it is that the value of the precious metals is affected by " questions of quantity only, with little reference to cost of production." 151. "What is to be said to the following : " Some political econo- mists have objected altogether to the statement that the value of money depends on its quantity combined with the rapidity of circulation ; which, they think, is assuming a law for money that does not exist for any other commodity"? 152. Under what conditions is it true that the " value of money is inversely as its quantity " ? 153. Explain carefully the following : " The average value of gold is made to conform to its natural value in the same manner as the values of other things are made to conform to their natural value." 154. In what various meanings is the phrase " the value of money" used ? How far does the value of money in each of these meanings de- pend on (1) the cost of production, (2) supply and demand? 155. Are the values of gold and silver subject to exactly the same natural laws as other commodities ? 156. Give the explanations and qualifications required to render the following proposition true: "The quantity of coin in every country is regulated by the value of the commodities which are to be circulated by it." 157. "Would the world be richer if every individual in it suddenly found the quantity of money in his possession doubled ? 158. How far, or in what way, do you consider it correct to say that the general level of prices in a country depends upon the quantity of gold coin existing in that country ? 648 APPENDIX II. 159. A single good harvest causes a considerable fall in the value of wheat ; but a great addition to the year's supply of gold from the mines produces little effect on its general value. How do you account for the difference ? 160. Show the effect of establishing a double standard. 161. Show how Gresham's law is illustrated by the history of the currency in the United States between 1834 and 1873. 162. What effect had the discovery of gold in this century upon the coinage of the United States ? 163. What is the system upon which the small silver currency of the United States is coined and issued? 164. State briefly the aim of the United States coinage act of 1853. Cbkdit. 165. How do you define credit ? Form a classification of credit documents. 166. It has been said that " credit is capital." Is this so or not? 167. Define capital, and examine the meaning of the term in the fol- lowing statements: (a.) Demand for commodities can not create capital. (b.) Credit is not a creation, but a transfer of capital. (c.) Wages depend upon the proportion between population and capital. 168. State the law of the value of money which governs general prices. What change is to be made in the statement, if credit is to be taken into consideration ? 169. What is the part which instruments of credit, other than bank- notes, play in the exchange of commodities ? 170. Mention some of the principal features of a credit crisis. 171. What are inconvertible notes ? What objections are thereto currency of this description ? 172. Can an inconvertible currency be made to maintain the same value as a convertible currency, and, if so, how ? Supposing that it can, what objections are there, nevertheless, to it ? 173. " Nothing is subject to more variation than paper money, even when it is limited, and has no guarantees ; for this simple reason, that, having no value of its own, it depends on the idea that each person forms of those guarantees." Comment on this passage. 174. How is it that a bad dollar does the work of buying as well as a good one until it is found out ? Is it that it makes no difference whether it is made of gold or not ? 175. To what extent is a government capable of giving fictitious value to a paper or a metallic currency? EXAMINATION QUESTIONS. 649 176. In a country with an inconvertible paper currency, how can it be determined whether the issues are excessive or not, and why ? 177. What will be the effect if the circulating medium of a country is increased beyond its natural amount — (1) when the medium is coin ? (2) when it is coin and convertible paper t (3) when it is inconvertible paper ? 178. What is the error involved in the assumption, frequently made by writers and public speakers, that the currency of a country ought to increase in like ratio with its wealth and population ? 179. On what does the desire to use credit depend ? What connec- tion exists between the amount of notes and coin in circulation and the use of credit ? 180. Compare the advantages and disadvantages of a metallic and paper currency. 181. A member of Congress advocated expansion of the paper cur- rency by the following argument : " Our currency, as well as everything else, must keep pace with our growth as a nation. . . . France has a circulation per capita of thirty dollars; England, of twenty-five ; and we, with our extent of territory and improvements, certainly require more than either." State your opinion of this argument. 182. Trace the effects, immediate and ultimate, on general prices of (a) an extended system of credit, (I) an enlarged issue of paper money, and (c) an addition to the stock of precious metals, respectively. 183. What is the error in the common notion that " a paper currency can not be issued in excess so long as every note represents property, or has a foundation of actual property to rest on " ? 184. Explain the action of the check and clearing-house system, and state what is meant by the restoration of barter. Over-Production. 185. State the relation between supply and demand as aggregates, e. g., between the aggregate supply of commodities in a given commu- nity and the aggregate demand for them, and show the bearing of the principle involved on the doctrine of " general over-production." 186. Prove that the increase of capital and the extension of industry can not lead to a general over-production of commodities. 187. What is the error of those who believe in the danger of over- production ? 188. Distinguish "excess of supply" from a "commercial crisis." 189. Give the substance of Mill's examination of the theories of ex- cess of supply. 190. "When production is fully equal to consumption, every discov- ery in the arts, or in mechanics, is a calamity, because it only adds to 650 APPENDIX II. the enjoyment of consumers the opportunity of obtaining commodities at a cheaper rate, while it deprives the producers of even life itself." Discuss this opinion of Sismondi. 191. Explain the difference in the theories of Dr. Chalmers and Mr. Mill on over-production, and the excess of supply. Peculiar Cases op Value. 192. It costs as much to produce straw as to produce grain ; how, then, do you explain the comparatively low value of straw ? 193. Suppose a considerable rise in the price of wool to be foreseen, how should farmers expect the prices of mutton to be affected, and why? 194. Explain the operation of the laws of value by which the rela- tive prices of wool and mutton are regulated. International Teade and Values. 195. What is the meaning of the statement that "it is not a differ- ence in the absolute cost of production which determines the inter- change [of commodities between countries], but a difference in the com- parative cost " ? 196. What are the advantages which a country derives from foreign trade? 197. Explain clearly the following passage: "We may often, by trading with foreigners, obtain their commodities at a smaller expense of labor and capital than they cost to the foreigners themselves." 198. Is there any essential difference between trade between country and country, and trade between county and county, or even between man and man? What is the real nature of trade in all cases? 199. Why is it necessary to make any different statement of the laws of value for foreign than for domestic products ? What is the cause for the existence of any international trade ? 200. How would a serious decline in the efficiency of England, as compared with other countries, in the production of manufactures affect the scale of money incomes and prices in England, and why? 201. Mr. Mill refers the value of home products to the " cost of pro- duction " ; of foreign products to the " cost of acquisition." Examine the truth of this distinction. 202. It is said that in the home market the value of commodities de- pends on the cost of production, in the foreign market on the cost of acquisition. Comment on this distinction. 203. Is the cost of production the regulator of international values? 204. Discuss the following statement : " International value is regu- lated just as inter-provincial or inter-parishional value is. Coals and EXAMINATION QUESTIONS. 651 hops are exchanged between Northumberland and Kent on absolutely the same principles as iron and wine between Lancashire and Spain." — Kuskin, " Munera Pulveris," p. 84. 205. "What determines the value of imported commodities? 206. "Why does cost of production fail to determine the value of com- modities brought from a foreign country ? Does it also fail in the case of commodities brought from distant parts of the same country ? 207. It is on the matter of fact that there is not much migration of capital and labor from country to country that Mr. Mill has based his whole doctrine of " international trade and international values." Ex- plain and comment on the above statement. 208. "What are the causes which determine for a nation the cost of its imports? 209. It follows from the theory of international values, as laid down by Mill, that the permanent residence of Americans in Europe may enhance the cost of foreign imports to Americans residing at home. Explain in what way. 210. Suppose two countries, A and B, isolated from the rest of the world, and a trade established between them. In consequence of the labor of A becoming less effective, the cost of production of every arti- cle which can be produced in that country is greatly increased, but so that the relation between the costs of any two articles remains the same. "What, if any, will be the effect of the change on the trade between A and B ? Does your answer depend upon your using the phrase " cost of production " in a sense different from that given to it by some econo- mists ? 211. Show that every country gets its imports at less cost in propor- tion to the efficiency of its labor. Foreign Exchanges. 212. "What is the ordinary limit to the premium on foreign bills of exchange, and why? 213. What are the chief effects on the foreign exchanges which are produced by the breaking out of a war ? Account for the fact that in 1861 the exchanges on England in America fell considerably below specie point. 214. Suppose that the next harvest in England should be very de- fective, and extraordinary supplies of American grain needed, now would this probably affect the price of bills of exchange between Eng- land and America, and the profit on the exportation of English manu- factures to the latter, and why ? 215. Trace the process by which the precious metals spread from the mines over the world. 652 APPENDIX II. 216. Suppose the exchange between England and the United States to be heavily against England, how will tbis fact affect the export and import trade between the two countries, and wby ? 217. "What is meant by exchanges being against a country? 218. Enumerate the principal circumstances which affect the rate of exchange between two countries. How is the par of exchange ascer- tained ? 219. In what way are gold and silver distributed among the different trading countries ? Between different parts of the same country ? 220. Trace the effects of large and continuous issues of inconvertible paper currency on the prices of commodities, on importation and expor- tation, and on the foreign exchanges. 221. State the conditions under which international trade can per- manently exist. "What will be the ultimate effect of a large movement of foreign gold upon prices, imports, and exports in the receiving country? 222. State the theory of the value of money (i. e., "metallic money "), and clear up any apparent inconsistencies between the follow- ing statements : (1.) The value of money depends on the cost of produc- tion at the worst mines ; (2.) The value of money varies inversely as its quantity multiplied by its rapidity of circulation; (3.) The countries whose products are most in demand abroad and contain the greatest value in the smallest bulk, which are nearest the mines and have the least demand for foreign productions, are those in which money will be of lowest value. 223. The effects of the depreciation of the paper currency in the United States are thus described by Mr. Wells: "It renders it impossi- ble to sell abroad the products which have cost too much at home, and invites from other countries the products of a cheaper labor paid for in a sounder currency. It exaggerates imports, while destroying our ability to pay in kind." State how far you agree with the deductions here drawn, assigning your reasons where you differ. 224. "When the foreign exchanges are manifestly against a country, and a balance of indebtedness is the cause, the equilibrium can be re- stored in two ways. State and explain the operation of each. 225. What are the conditions which determine for a country a high range of general prices ? How far is this advantageous ? 226. "What is the effect of the imposition of a tribute by one country on another upon the course of trade between them, and the terms on which they exchange commodities ; and why ? 227. For what reasons may a nation's exports habitually exceed or fall short of its imports ? 228. Explain the real and nominal exchange. 229. Expound Mr. Mill's theory of the influence which a converti- ble currency exercises on foreign trade. EXAMINATION QUESTIONS. 653 230. "What is the effect of a depreciated currency on (1) foreign trade, and (2) the exchanges ? Intebest. 231. How doe9 the general rate of interest determine the selling price of stocks and land ? 232. Is there any relation between the rate of interest and the value of money ? 233. What are the relations of interest and profit ? On what causes does the rate of interest depend ? 234. " High interest means bad security." Comment on this snying. 235. Is the rate of interest affected by the supply of the precious metals ? 236. What determines the rate of interest on the loanable funds? Is the " current [or ordinary] rate of interest the measure of the relative abundance or scarcity of capital " ? 237. What are the chief causes that determine the rate of interest ? 238. If it be true that in America every man, however rich, is en- gaged in some business, but that in England many rich men have no trade or profession, how is the rate of mterest in each country affected in consequence, and why ? 239. How does a fall in the purchasing power of money tend to affect, if at all, and why, (1) the rate of interest, (2) the price of land, (3) the price of government bonds, (4) the price of gold and silver orna- ments and plate ? Foreign Competition. 240. Explain the grounds of Mr. Mill's proposition that general low wages never caused any country to undersell its rivals, nor did general high wages ever hinder it from doing so. If you think the proposition needs qualification, give your reason. 241. (1.) What is the true theory of one country underselling another in a foreign market ? (2.) What weight should be attributed to the fact of generally higher or lower wages in one of the competing countries ? 242. Discuss the question whether a high rate of wages necessarily lays the commerce of a country under a disadvantage with reforence to a country where the rate of wages is lower. 243. What are the conditions under which one country can perma- nently undersell another in a foreign market ? 244. Point out distinctly the connection between the money wages of laborers in the United States and the productiveness of the soil. 245. In the Eastern States iron-molders earn from fourteen to seven- teen dollars a week; in California their wages run from twenty-one to twenty-seven dollars. Account for this variation. g54: APPENDIX II. Progress of Society. 246. What are the reasons for the change in the normal values of manufactured and of agricultural commodities, respectively, during the progress of society ? 247. Wages and profits in different employments and neighborhoods are not uniformly proportional to the efforts of labor and abstinence of which they are the respective rewards. Classify the circumstances which prevent this correspondence, and show how far their effect is likely to be reduced (a) by general economical progress, and (5) by the extension of the division of labor. 248. What is the law of diminishing returns ? Can you point out any connection between this law and the following phenomena ? — (a.) Density of population. (&.) Bate of wages. (c.) Rate of profits in different countries. 249. Sketch the influence on rents and profits of an increase of popu- lation and capital concurrently with a stationary state of the arts of production. 250. Is there reason to believe that Mr. Mill has underrated the powers possessed by man of extending the area of production and facili- tating the market of food ? If such a statement has been made, to what extent is his theory of population modified, and the risks he had indi- cated rendered distant ? 251. Compare the effects on rent, profits, and wages, of a sudden improvement in the production (a) of food, (5) of some manufactured articles largely consumed by the working-classes. 252. Trace the connection between Ricardo's theory of rent and the decline in the general rate of profits as a country increases in popula- tion. Explain clearly the connection which exists between wages and profits. 253. What effect is produced upon rents, profits, and wages, respect- ively, in a country like France, where population is stationary and capi- tal advancing ? 254. If capital continued to increase and population did not, explain the proposition that " the whole savings of each year would be exactly so much subtracted from the profits of the next and of every following year," if improvements were stationary. 255. How does social and industrial progress tend to affect the prices of land, raw produce, and manufactures, respectively, and why ? 256. The capitalized value of land rises, in the progress of society, from two causes — from one which affects land in common with all in- vestments ; from another which is peculiar to land. EXAMINATION QUESTIONS. 655 257. " The tendency of improved communications is to lower exist- ing rents." How far is this true, and in what directions is it true ? 258. What would be the effect on profits, wages, and rents of an improvement in a manufacutured article consumed by the laboring- class ? 259. Explain the doctrine of the tendency of profits to a minimum, the cause of that tendency, and the circumstances which counteract it. 260. What was Adam Smith's doctrine as to the decline of profit in progressive communities ? Criticise his argument. 261. Mention some of the principal causes which, in the ordinary progress of society, respectively tend to increase or to reduce the cur- rent rate of profits. 262. Why do profits tend to fall as population increases, and how may this result be retarded or prevented ? 263. What is the effect of a general rise of money wages, apart from the consideration of a greater efficiency of labor, in prices, profits, and rent ? Give reasons for your answer. 264. How does the general progress of society in wealth and indus- trial efficiency tend to affect the rate of wages, the rate of profit, and the rate of rent, respectively ? 265. What is the general effect of the progress of society on the land- owner, the capitalist, and the laborer ? Future of Laboring-Classes. 266. Examine the influences of machinery on the economic condition of the working-classes. 267. Mention and discuss some of the popular remedies for low wages, and especially the effect of the subdivision of landed property among peasant proprietors. 268. Explain briefly what is meant by co-operation, and indicate the more prominent forms assumed by the co-operative movement. 269. What is meant by the co-operative system of industry ? Show ways in which this system may affect, for good or for evil, the produc- tiveness of labor ; and mention any moral benefits, or the opposite, in which it may be expected to issue. 270. What are the difficulties in the way of co-operation for the pro- duction of salable objects ? 271. Explain the advantages of industrial partnership, in which the employes share, in proportion to the wages received, half the profits of the business beyond a certain fixed minimum which is assigned to the employers. 656 APPENDIX II. Taxation. 272. How is the state justified in undertaking any manufacture or service which might be performed by private enterprise ? 273. Enumerate Adam Smith's canons of taxation. 274. Examine the argument in favor of the resumption by the state of what is called the unearned increment in the value of land arising from the development of society. 275. A picture by Gainsborough and a house in Broadway are sold in the same year at the same price ; at the end of fifty years each sells for five times its first cost. Is there any, and, if so, what, reason why the increase should be sequestrated for the public benefit in the one case and not in the other ? 276. Explain the incidence of taxes laid on wages. 277. "Why should a tax on profits, if no improvements follow, fall on the laborer and capitalist ? 278. Explain what effect, if any, will be produced on the price of corn by — (1) a tax upon rent ; (2) a tithe; (3) a tax of so much per acre, irrespective of value ; (4) a tax of so much per bushel. 279. On whom does a tax of a fixed proportion of agricultural produce fall ? 280. Discuss the question whether the income-tax ought to be a tax upon income and property, or upon expenditure. 281. Discuss the expediency of a graduated income-tax. 282. State the arguments which you think strongest both for and against exempting savings from the income-tax. 283. Explain the conditions which should he observed in imposing taxes on commodities. 284. What taxes does a tradesman get back in the price of the arti- cles he sells, and what does he not ? 285. Test by Adam Smith's four maxims of taxation the policy of indirect taxes on the necessaries of life. 286. All indirect taxation violates Adam Smith's fourth canon. 287. Discuss the following : " A man with $100,000 in United States bonds comes to Boston, hires a house . . . ; thus he lives in luxury. ... I am in favor of tax- ing idle investments such as this, and allowing manufacturing invest- ments to go untaxed." 288. Compare the advantages and disadvantages of direct and indi- rect taxation. EXAMINATION QUESTIONS. 657 289. On what principles is this country now taxed ? 290. Explain the arguments for and against the policy of maintain- ing a surplus for the purpose of redeeming a national debt. 291. In estimating the ability of the United States to pay its public debts, it is usual to include among the data of the question the increased productiveness of industry in that country. How far is this a pertinent consideration ? Protection. 292. Mention some of the principal arguments brought forward in favor of protective tariffs. 293. Connect the principle of the division of employments (or labor) with the policy of free trade and the functions of government. 294. Sketch the effects of discriminating duties, including the opera- tion of the corn laws. 295. Examine the following argument, emending, if you think it necessary, the free-trader's doctrine on the point raised : The free- trader's belief is that a customs duty is added to the price of the article upon which it is imposed. If the article is imported, according to his theory, the increase of the price goes into the public treasury; if the article is made in the country, the increase of the price goes into the pocket of the producer. But in the former case there is no protection ; and competition will prevent the latter. Therefore protection does not increase the price of the protected article. If a customs duty is im- posed upon a commodity, and its price is not raised in consequence, what inference can you draw ? 296. Under what circumstances did Mr. Mill think nascent states might be justified in adopting a policy of protection? Criticiso his opinion, and, if you agree with it, give some examples of its application. 297. Americen protectionists allege that the high rate of wages pre- vailing in the United States disables them from competing with " the pauper labor " of Europe. Examine the grounds of this statement, and consider how far it forms a justification for protection to American industry. 298. A high rate of wages indicates, not a high, but a low cost of production for all commodities measured in which the rate of wages is high. Explain and prove this proposition, and illustrate it from the cir- cumstances of the United States. 299. State under what limitations the proposition is correct, that profits vary inversely with wages. Explain the circumstances which cause both a higher rate of wages and profits to prevail in a young country, such as the United States, than in England. 300. In America wages are much higher than in England, yet the 42 658 APPENDIX II. general rate of profits is higher also, according to Mr. Mill. How do you reconcile the two facts ? 301. Examine the following: "It seems to me that protection is absolutely essential to the en- couragement of capital, and equally necessary for the protection of the American laborer. ... He must have good food, enough of it, good clothing, school-houses for his children, comforts for his home, and a fair chance to improve his condition. To this end I would protect him against competition with the half-paid laborers of European countries." — Congressional Glooe. 302. An American newspaper has said of the burning of Chicago : " The money to replace what has been burned will not be sent abroad to enrich foreign manufacturers; but, thanks to the wise policy of pro- tection which has built up American industries, it will stimulate our own manufactures, set our mills running faster, and give employment to thousands of idle working-men." Comment on this passage. 303. On whom does a tax on imports, if not prohibitory, fall ? 304. In what cases would duties on imported commodities fall on the producers? 305. Are taxes on imports in any way paid by foreigners ? 306. Discuss the effects of duties on exports. 307. Trace the effects of duties on the importation of raw materials, and distinguish, with examples, between duties that violate and duties which do not violate the principle of free trade. 308. Is it possible for any country by legislative enactments to en- gross a larger share of the advantages of foreign trade than it would naturally have ? Discuss the question fully. 309. "Those are, therefore, in the right who maintain that taxes on imports are partly paid by foreigners; but they are mistaken when they say it is by the foreign producer. It is not on the person from whom we buy, but on all those who buy from us, that a portion of our customs duties spontaneously falls." Explain and examine the reasons for this conclusion. 310. State the principle which determines the relation between the amount of a country's imports and that of its exports, and show how this relation is affected by a system of protective duties. THE END. Mental and Moral Philosophy. 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