A CONSTRUCTIVE PUBLIC POLICY TOWARD OUR RAILROADS. ADDRESS BY MR. DANIEL WILLARD, President, The Baltimore and Ohio Railroad Company BEFORE THE ADVERTISING CLUB, NEW YORK N. Y., DECEMBER 14. 1922. uC C oA-Á v v — i i ï Î HE J 7 J"/ 19X X It has been suggested that I take as the topic for my discussion this noon, "A Constructive Public Policy Toward Our Railroads," or something to that effect. The American Railroad System itself, which we are in the habit of thinking of in its entirety, is so stupendous in magnitude as reflected in capital invested, mileage, number of employes, ser¬ vice performed, etc., that it is very difficult to discuss the matter at all comprehensively in the time available on an occasion such as this. I shall, therefore, only refer to some of the more important and outstanding phases of the situation as I view it. The American Railroad System, so-called, is owned and oper¬ ated by a large number of individual companies, of which upwards of 200 have annual earnings in excess of %1,000,000 a year. While our railroads have been almost wholly built by private capital and operated by private management, it has come to be accepted as a matter of general policy that the railroads as common carriers should be and must be regulated in the public interest. The development of this thought and policy has found its best and most recent expression in which is known as the Transportation Act of 1920, which was passed by the Federal Congress after one of the most thorough investigations which Congress ever made concerning any industrial problem. While the Transportation Act perhaps did not meet with the entire approval of any particular class or individual, it did at least reflect a most earnest and enlightened effort on the part of Congress to deal with a very important industrial problem, and in my opinion the Act as it now stands comprises in its entirety the best scheme of railroad regulation under private ownership that has so far developed in this country. Although the Act has been in effect less than three years, we are already beginning to hear suggestions as to how it ought to be amended, and actual demands have been made that Congress change the Act in certain very essential particulars. Personally I believe it would be a serious mistake from all points of view for Congress to attempt any amendment of the Act at the present time, not because I consider it perfect in its present condition, because I do not, but I repeat that I do think upon the whole it provides the best scheme of regulation so far developed and it 2 has not yet had sufficient trial to enable us to determine definitely wherein and to what extent the Act has failed if at all. Mr. Hoover, in the Tenth Annual Report of the Secretary of Commerce, sums up what he says therein concerning the Rail¬ road situation, in the following words: "We must have increased transportation if we are to maintain our growing productivity. We must therefore find a way out of the cycle of systematic starvation of a large part of our mileage and the denudation of our railway managers of their respon¬ sibilities and Initiative." I agree with the Secretary that we must have increased trans¬ portation in this country if we are to maintain our growing pro¬ ductivity, and I also agree with him that we ought not to still further denude the railway managers of their responsibilities and initiative. To obtain new and' increased transportation facilities means, of course, the use of new capital for that purpose. New capital, however, can only be obtained by the railroads through volun¬ tary investment in their securities by the public, and the public is not likely to look with favor upon railroad securities unless they believe that money so invested will be as safe and yield as good a return as could be obtained in any other direction. Congress, with a full understanding of this phase of the problem, wrote into the Transportation Act of 1920, or the Esch-Cummins Bill, as it is sometimes called, a paragraph designated as Section 15-a which provides among other things that the Interstate Com¬ merce Commission shall fix such rates as will yield to the railroads under honest, efficient and economical management, as nearly as may be a fair return upon the value of their properties devoted to the public use, and the Commission is charged with the duty of fixing the value of the property upon which a fair return may be earned, and also of designating what rate of return will be fair. In rate hearing known as Ex-Parte No. 74, which took place in the Summer of 1920, the Interstate Commerce Commission fixed a tentative valuation on the railroads at that time for rate-making purposes of $18,900,000,000. In a recent order the Commission also fixed 5% per cent, as a fair rate of return upon railroad property. In the Summer of 1920 in Ex-Parte No. 74, the railroads were authorised to increase their rateë, fares and charges to such an 3 extent as would in the opinion of the Commission meet the re¬ quirements of the Transportation Act. Notwithstanding the very substantial increases then approved by the Commission, the railroads of the United States during the fiscal year ended December 31, 1921, actually earned less than 3.4 per cent, upon the value of their property as fixed by the Commission, and esti¬ mates indicate that during the present year the railroads will probably as a whole earn not over 4 per cent, upon the value of their property devoted to transportation purposes. Under such conditions as to earnings it is not to be expected that the public will look with much favor upon railway securities as investments. Notwithstanding the fact that in the two years following Federal control, in which the railroad companies had complete control of their properties, they were able to earn less than 4 per cent, net return, they have nevertheless continued to add to their facilities and in that connection have been able to secure many millions of dollars of new capital. That this has been possible at all in the face of the earnings I have cited, is in my opinion due in large measure to the provisions of the Transportation Act and the assurance contained therein that rates shall be fixed so as to yield to the carriers a fair return upon the value of their property devoted to transportation purposes. Please bear in mind, however, that the provision of the Act to which I have just referred, con¬ tains simply a declaration of policy and is in no sense a guarantee as has been frequently asserted. The amount of money expended for additions and improvements during the last two years has been far below what was required. This is reflected in the fact that there are actually fewer freight cars and fewer locomotives in the United States today owned by American railroads than was the case on the first of March, 1920, at the termination of Federal control. This is because the number of cars and engines worn out each year was greater than the aggregate number of new cars and engines purchased or acquired during the same period. Of course such a condition cannot in the public interest be permitted to continue for we must, in the words of Secretary Hoover, have increased transportation if we are to maintain our growing productivity. Notwithstanding the fact that railroad rates and fares in this country today are much higher than they were before the war, the net earnings of the railroads, as I have already shown, are 4 very much less. This is of course because the railroads have felt the burden of the increased cost of living like all other agencies or individuals. The increased cost of living to the railroads has been reflected in higher wages paid to their employes and justifi¬ ably so, higher prices for materials purchased, as well as greatly increased taxes. Since the peak of high prices, which seems to have been reached in the Summer of 1920, a very substantial reduction in the prices which the railroads are required to pay for many kinds of material, has taken place. There has also been a reduction of about ten or twelve per cent, in the wages paid railroad employes, but notwithstanding the reductions above referred to, material prices, wages and taxes are still much higher than they were before the war, and the same is of course, true of railway rates and charges. However, on the 1st of last July the railroads made a general reduction of freight rates of approxi¬ mately ten per cent. It is a matter of general knowledge that the farmer has perhaps suffered more severely during and because of the readjustment following the war, than any other class or group in this country, and it is natural for him to feel that the rates which he is required to pay for having his wheat shipped out to market and also for the things that he has shipped in, are too high, and to hold such rates and charges in large measure responsible for his difficulties. A careful study of the rate structure, however, will very quickly and I think clearly disclose that the rates on agricultural pro¬ ducts today are upon the whole the lowest in the country and are well below the average rates which the railroads receive for transporting commodities of other kinds, and are only possible because of the fact that the rates on other commodities are enough higher to bring the average up to where it is. I have no desire to minimize the farmer's difficulties, but I venture to suggest that the remedy is not to be found in a mere reduction of rail¬ road rates, and this of course is not to say that eventually the, rates which the farmer is required to pay may not be further reduced as prices of all kinds approach more nearly to a normal basis. As a matter of fact, I believe they will be reduced but only as conditions generally justify such action. Notwithstanding the fact that the railroads, as I have already said, felt the increased cost of living like all other institutions and individuals, it should be remembered that in no cçtse werç r 5 the railroads permitted to increase their charges until after the Interstate Commerce Commission had made inquiry into the matter and had decided that the increases asked for were justified either in whole or in part under the terms of the Transportation Act, and were in fact, necessary in order to sustain the Trans¬ portation System. It should be kept in mind that for a very considerable period the public enjoyed the benefit of rates and charges which the Interstate Commerce Commission later on found to be wholly non-compensatory. I believe Secretary Hoover is entirely right in placing special emphasis on the needs of the country for adequate transporta¬ tion. I am certain that the aggregate amount which the farmers and shippers of every class have lost in the past because of their inability to take advantage of favorable market conditions on account of car shortages, so-called, has been more than enough to offset many times all the savings they have ever made by virtue of transportation rates that were non-compensatory. In fact, during the rate hearing known as Ex-Parte No. 74, when the Commission had under consideration the application bf the railroads to increase their rates from thirty to forty per cent., shippers who appeared as witnesses in the case almost invariably stated that it was much more important for them to have ample and efficient transportation when needed, than to have the rates so low that the railroads would be unable to provide adequate facilities. Although from the existing basis of rates the returns of the carriers as published month by month are shown to be much less than the standard of a fair return as fixed by the Interstate Com¬ merce Commission, I believe that rates as a whole will gradually be reduced and that the net earnings of the carriers as a whole, will gradually increase and get better, provided the Transporta¬ tion Act is left as it is. I have, of course, no means of knowing, and would not care to venture a guess as to what the outcome might be if the Act should be amended along lines that have been suggested in certain quarters. My belief that rates will gradually come down is based upon a concurrent belief that business will gradually get back to a more stable and normal basis as regards volume. While the railroads are unable at times to take care of the peak load offered, much of the time they have an excess of facilities. This was the case during the entire year of 1921, and for more than six months of the present year of 1922. 6 I believe that the railroads will be able to improve their effi¬ ciency of operation and in that way gradually reduce the cost of transportation. This, I believe, will be brought about in part by a closer and better informed cooperation between the shippers and carriers which should be reflected in increased car loads, reduction in delay to cars at terminals and stations and by the modification of practices which have grown up in the past, and which tend to increase operating costs. Much has already been done in this direction and what has actually been done encourages me to believe that more can and will be accomplished. I believe there will also come about a better informed and more sympathetic understanding and cooperation between the railroads and their employes. As a whole there is no better class of men employed in any line of undertaking than the men engaged in the railroad service, but many things have happened during the last six or eight years to disturb the harmonious and sympa¬ thetic relations which formerly existed between the railroad employes as a class and the companies. The conditions that I have in mind are due in part to the war and in part to the economic readjustment going on both before and since the war. I repeat, however, that I believe the tendency today is towards the restora¬ tion of the relationship and sympathetic understanding which formerly existed in large measure between the railroads and their employes, and as this comes more and more about it also will be reflected in greater efficiency, together with reduced operating costs. Furthermore, material prices, or some of them, will doubtless decline to some extent. The President, in his recent address to Congress, calls attention to a report submitted by the Committee on Agricultural Inquiry, and he refers specifically to advantages believed to be possible through the general pooling of railway equipment. If it be true that substantial net economies in operation can be so effected and at the same time the public be better served, then I should say, of course, that that policy or some other one equally good ought to be adopted, but before we make any such radical and fundamental change as would be involved in the taking of the private property of the independent carriers, regardless of their consent, and treating it in effect as the common property of all the carriers, we ought to be very sure that the economies and 7 advantages expected to result therefrom will be net economies, and by that I mean that what is saved in one direction will not - be more than lost in another. Personally, I do not believe that the pooling of the freight equipment of the American railroads, as proposed, would result in any substantial economy, nor do I believe the adoption of such a policy would enable the rail¬ roads to meet the transportation requirements of the public any better than they are now able to do under the terms of the existing Act. It should be understood that under the present terms of the Transportation Act the Interstate Commerce Commission has full authority in times of emergency to take absolute control of all the equipment of all the railroads in the United States, and it actually has under such conditions assumed control and given positive orders concerning the use of cars, regardless of owner¬ ship. The Transportation Act in its present form, without doing violence to the rights of ownership, does in fact make pro¬ vision so that in times of emergency all of the equipment shall be used "in such way as to best serve the public interest, which is, of course, all that could be expected if there were a general car pool, as has been suggested. The great difference between the present plan and the proposed one is this: Under the terms of the existing Transportation Act the property of the railroads is not to be taken from their control except in times of emergency, and then only when it is clear that the public interest will be advanced by so doing. Under the proposed plan for pooling all of the cars, the equipment would be taken from the control of individual owners at all times whether there was an emergency or not, and whether the public interest would be thereby advanced or not. It should be remembered that Congress made a most thorough investigation of the whole railroad subject, including the pooling of cars, before the present Transportation Act was written, and it undertook to provide so that in times of emergency all of the facilities of all of the railroads, regardless of ownership, should be used in such way as to best promote the public interest,- and we have already had sufficient test of this feature of the Act to know that it actually does work when needed. I am frank to say that if the Transportation Act had not already provided for the virtual pooling of cars in times of emergency, and if I did s not feel confident that the plan now set up will work, then I should be forced to admit that a car pool of some kind is neces¬ sary or would be necessary in the public interest. My conten¬ tion now is, that the matter has already been dealt with by Con¬ gress and in an effective and satisfactory manner. In this connection it is at least illuminating and well to bear in mind that during the Fall of 1920 and also during the last two months, the railroads under the terms of the Transportation Act moved a larger volume of business than was ever moved during a corresponding period while the railroads were under Federal Control and during which time there was a complete pooling of equipment of all kinds. This increased performance was not due to additional facilities, because, as I hâve already stated, there are actually fewer cars and locomotives in the United States today than was the case at the termination of Federal Control. It has been suggested by the President, and also by the Secretary of Commerce, that a better and more scientific adjustment of the rate structure might be brought about; in short, that the structure should be rearranged more in harmony with the policy of what the traffic will bear. It will be recalled that some years ago that policy was rather generally condemned, not because it was any more wrong than it is now, but simply because it was then generally misunderstood. However, because it was misunderstood and mistakenly condemned, it came about that rates were more and more influenced by distance rather than by the character of the commodity or commercial requirements. It is coming to be recognized, however, .that in a country of such great extent as the United States, the principle of what the traffic will bear— not what the traffic will not bear—ought to be given more con¬ sideration in connection with rate structures than it has perhaps received in the immediate past. A careful study of the rate structure might develop that certain commodities could very well bear a higher rate, while other commodities perhaps ought to have a lower rate than could now be justified. I think such a study should be made. I doubt, however, whether the increases that could be made in some rates would in the aggregate be sufficient in amount to justify any very- substantial reduction in others. The subject is one well worthy of consideration and I hope arrangements will be made for a com¬ prehensive and sympathetic study of the matter by representa- 9 tives of the carriers and shippers, with the assistance, perhaps, of the Interstate Commerce Commission and of the Secretary of Commerce. The question having been raised, in the interest of the general good it ought certainly to be promptly and exhaust¬ ively studied, and I have no doubt the railroads will be quite willing to cooperate in a study of that character. The President, in his recent address to Congress, also suggested some changes in the labor provisions of the Transportation Act. In short, he seemed to recommend that the existing Labor Board be absorbed by the Interstate Commerce Commission, and that its headquarters be moved from Chicago to Washington. I have no doubt that such a plan as the President suggests might work better than the present plan has worked. I see nothing in the proposed change, however, to guarantee that it actually will work any better than the present plan might work. If the present plan has not brought all that was expected from it in the way of results, it has, in my opinion, accomplished a great deal. In short, the railroads, largely because of the labor provisions of the Transportation Act, went through a period of two and one- half years from the termination of Federal Control until the first of July last, with hardly any serious labor disturbances, and the only inconvenience of any moment which the public was put to in the meantime was in connection with the so-called outlaw strike in the Spring of 1920, which was not of a general character and only of moderate duration. In my opinion the labor problem was never more complex or difficult to deal with than during the period I have referred to, and I doubt very much if we could have gotten through the period with as little disturbance to transporta¬ tion if it had not been for the Labor Board While the labor provisions of the existing Act are not just as I would have written them, nevertheless I fully believe that we will be, or at least ought to be, able to satisfactorily work out our labor difficulties under the terms of the Act as it now is, provided the railway managers and the employes make earnest and sympathetic effort to do so, and any other plan is just as likely to fail without their cooperation. In short, I do not believe the strike of the shop-crafts would have happened this last Summer if all of the railway managers and all of the railway employes had been willing to accept the provisions of the Act in good faith and had also been willing to comply with the decisions of the Labor 10 Board. I know it is urged in certain quarters that the Act ought to be made stronger, meaning, I suppose, that it ought to be so amended as to make strikes unlawful. Personally, I am opposed to that sort of legislation, not because I am in favor of strikes, but simply because I do not believe legislation of that kind would prevent strikes. Certainly it never has prevented them where it has been tried. To get back to my topic—"What ought the future policy of' the public be concerning the railroads?" It seems to me that the future policy of the public ought to be to give the Transportation Act in its present form a fair and sympathetic trial. The public (meaning all of us) ought to appreciate that we cannot as a nation participate in a world war and devote all of our efforts, as we did for nearly two years, to the destruction of lives and property, without having a very substantial bill to pay when it is all over. We are now as a people engaged in the payment of that bill, and the payment is reflected in terms of higher rates, higher taxes, higher cost of living, reduced income and all the different ways with which we are familiar. Even so, it seems to me that we in the United States are very fortunate in that our conditions are no worse than they are, and because the price which we are re¬ quired to pay for our participation in the war is not higher than it is. We have our difficulties and problems, it is true, but at the same time we have a much longer list of things for which we ought to be thankful. The United States, because of its great area and because of its general geographical character, has more need for rail transporta¬ tion than any other country, perhaps, in the world, and in response to that need the American Railway Systém has been developed. In that connection Secretary Hoover in his last report makes the following definite statement: "The management of our principal railways today, by all the tests of administration, of load factors, of mechanical efficiency, etc., is the most efficient transportation machine in the world, in so far as it is not limited by causes beyond the man¬ agers' control." . A higher tribute than that could not be paid by anyone to any enterprise. The railroads in this country have contributed greatly in the past towards the country's development. They can and will continue to do so in the future if given an opportunity. They 11 cannot, however, enter a foot-race and hope to succeed with their feet and hands tied. The present Transportation Act contains as many restrictive measures as the railroads, in my opinion, can well support. To increase restriction, by amendment would do harm instead of good, and inasmuch as it is hardly to be expected at the present time that Congress would remove any of the restrictive measures already in the Act, I would much prefer that for a period of at least five years the Act be permitted to remain as it is and give us a chance to fairly determine whether it will or will not work. I believe it will work if given a fair opportunity, and in any event I prefer to bear the ills I have, rather than fly to those I know not of.