Form P 24 ADDRESS by EDGAR E. CLARK i» Chairman, Interstate Commerce Commission before the RAILWAY BUSINESS ASSOCIATION Waldorf-Astoria Hotel, New York March 31, 1921 Introduction President ALBA B. JOHNSON: At an early dinner of this Association, one of the speakers was the Chairman of the Interstate Commerce Commission, now an honored Justice of the United States Circuit Court, the Hon. Martin A. Knapp, who,.when he was introduced, saluted us in these words: "Members of the Society for the Prevention of Cruelty to Railroads." If he were here tonight, he might address us as "Members of the Society for Improving the Condition of the Poor." Pretty much everybody belongs to that order now, and the Chairman of the Interstate Commerce Commission is its President. Today in Washington, by request of another speaker at one of our meetings, now President of the United States, he has been conferring with the Chairman of the Railroad Labor Board upon the financial embarrassment of the railroads. . The change in line-up is almost equal to a political change which is said to have occurred in Minnesota. In a certain year, all the Minnesota delegation in Congress were Democrats but one, and that one was John Lind. Time passed, and in another year the whole delegation was Republican but one, and that one was John Lind. So does time change all things. Do not think, however, that the Commissioner who is about to speak to us is a convert. When the country adopted its present policy, it was the mountain coming to Mahomet. Before he has said many words, you will see that his attitude is no garment which he has put on to be in the latest style, but is a part of him. We are keenly sensible of the great compliment which he has paid us in coming from Washington to our meeting under circumstances so strenu¬ ous. Let us hope that for him and for the country this may prove the end of a perfect day, and for us here his utterance will be the perfect end of our day. Gentlemen, let me present Chairman Clark. 2 Chairman Clark's Address MR. PRESIDENT AND GEN¬ TLEMEN: For some little time past, in addition to my other duties, I have been try¬ ing to answer to myself the query of why I consented to come over here on this occasion ; and I finally concluded that it was because the invitation was presented in person by the President of this Association, who, by virtue of the fact that he holds that office, must be an expert in the sales line. I intended to apologize for being here at all. I arrived here late this evening, and within ten minutes after I had reached my room, the Secretary of the Association, whom I assume to be the efficiency expert, sent up a printed copy of a speech which he said I would be expected to deliver. Under those circumstances, I shall have to confine myself rather closely to the manuscript so furnished. VITAL INTERESTS THE NAME of the Association whose guests we are strikes me as happily significant, because if there has ever been a time in the history of our country when we needed the ap¬ plication of business methods, adher¬ ence to business principles and earnest thinking along sound business lines the clock has struck that hour. The vital material interests of our people may be said to rest largely in a limited number of institutions or in¬ dustries. As a country and as a people we prospered and were happy under them until the world was con¬ vulsed by the European war. We now face the problem of restoring stable and normal conditions. We will not get back to pre-war prices for labor or for commodities generally, but we need and must reach stable and normal conditions although they be on a higher level of prices. It is for all right-minded men to assist as un¬ selfishly as possible in restoring such conditions and in bringing about re¬ covery from the evil after effects of war, which always stirs up all that is good and brave in some natures and all that is bad and grasping in others. As I have read and heard men talk in recent days I have wondered if it is not true that a large proportion of the people have in some way become shell- shocked or gassed even though they did not participate in the hostilities. PUBLIC SPIRITED SERVICE THESE INSTITUTIONS or indus¬ tries need vigorous, industrious, un¬ selfish, thinking men who find their greatest satisfaction in doing each his part in building up and maintaining an adequate and efficient system that creditably serves the needs of the times. The one who contributes his efforts or his capital in any of these lines is entitled to his reasonable com¬ pensation and reward. The one who knows how and is willing to do is en¬ titled to encouragement, commenda¬ tion and co-operation from all others. What I am trying to say is that none of these great undertakings can achieve a full or fair measure of suc¬ cess if those connected therewith are interested only or mainly in getting the largest possible personal benefit or profit. MAGNITUDE OF RAIL TRANSPORTA- TION I RECENTLY saw some statistics of the railways in the various so-called civilized countries of the world, al¬ though perhaps in the light of recent 3 events some would think that some of those countries should be eliminated from that category. The statistics covered the railways of 30 countries and of seven-eighths of the railroad mileage of the world. The mileage in the United States included in the statistics was 259,705, that of the other 29 countries was 399,782, a total of 659,487. Of this total 429,726 miles are privately owned. The statistics were for the fiscal years which most nearly coincided with the calendar year 1916. They impress one with the magnitude of the railroad industry, and with the relative importance of it in this and other countries in times of peace. The operating revenue of the roads in the United States was $3,596,865,- 766 and the operating expenses $2,357,398,412. For all of the roads in the other 29 countries the operating revenues were $4,419,772,742 and the operating expenses $2,960,687,942. During that year the railroads of the United States carried 2,179,696,043 tons of freight while all of the roads in the other 29 countries carried 1,696,169,344 tons. Thus it appears that from a freight-carying standpoint the railroads of the United States per¬ form more service than do those of the remainder of the world. OPERATING EXPENSES THE DIFFICULTIES which, as an effect of the war, have been encoun¬ tered here with regard to operating ex¬ penses and necessarily large increases in rates and fares have similarly been experienced in other countries. Infor¬ mation, so far as it is obtainable, indi¬ cates that the increases have not been greater here than elsewhere, and that our railroads emerged from the war period in better physical condition than those of most other countries. The difficulties are not peculiar to our t land and are not the result of local conditions or of details of manage¬ ment or operation. They result from the operation of world-wide economic forces which can not, under the condi¬ tions that have obtained, be controlled. The relief must come gradually as a result of readjustment of those eco¬ nomic forces. It will be accelerated or retarded accordingly as we all meet or shirk our duty to lend a willing help¬ ing hand. As a measure of war necessity our roads were operated by the govern¬ ment during the war. Conditions were abnormal and it was imperative that certain things be done and done quickly. Cost was a secondary con¬ sideration. The experiences even under abnormal conditions afford an opportunity to study the advantages and disadvantages of federal control and operation. Whatever the net ex¬ penses to the government it was a part of the cost of the war, and should, I think, so be considered. We are inter¬ ested in those past experiences only as they afford a guide for or warning against future actions. LOOKING FORWARD THE PROBLEM now is to build for the future. The country needs and industry desires adequate, efficient transportation services. Good service and freedom from unjust discrimina¬ tion are of more importance than is the precise level of the rates. In considering the history of rail¬ road transportation some divide it into chapters, each representing a period in which the conditions in some respects differed from those in other periods. If, following our personal views as to the periods or chapters, we were each to write that history we would per¬ haps not agree as to the number of chapters that we should write or the exact differences that distinguish one 4 period from another, but we would all arrive at the same point and at the present time would confront the same facts and conditions. Should we not, therefore, concentrate our thoughts and efforts upon the future with its needs and requirements and urge and assist in the expenditure of energy in the direction of providing for those needs and requirements ? Regardless of where the ownership of our transportation systems lies, re¬ gardless of whether it be one or many corporations or even the government that is in the last analysis responsible for the operation and results there¬ from, railroads must be operated by men. They must have the numerous classes of employees, each performing his particular kind of service. They must have their directing heads and their subordinate officials in the vari¬ ous departments. The degree of suc¬ cess attained must therefore depend in large part upon the character, capacity and loyalty of the officials and the em¬ ployees, and upon the general policy under which, and the spirit in which, they perform their duties. TRANSPORTATION ACT PROFITING by the experiences dur¬ ing the war, recognizing the force of existing conditions, and looking into the future the Congress enacted the Transportation Act, 1920, which pre¬ sents in statutory form the present policy of the government. In a far sighted way it endeavored to provide a governmental policy under which the country would be as¬ sured of uninterrupted, efficient, adequate railroad transportation at reasonable rates, under which the em¬ ployees would be reasonably compen¬ sated, and under which the patrons would pay what the service is fairly worth. It may be doubted if many have comprehended the extent to which this Act projects itself and its influences into the future. Too much energy has been expended in criticizing what at the moment, and from super¬ ficial thought, seemed to be weaknesses in it and there has been too little dis¬ position to assist in laying the founda¬ tion for the superstructure which that Act contemplates. CONSOLIDATION THE GOVERNMENT has practi¬ cally reversed the policy which it fol¬ lowed for many years of prohibiting all combinations and consolidations which could in any wise directly or in¬ directly reduce a maximum of compe¬ tition. In the past we have looked askance and with fear upon monopo¬ lies. In this, as in all other things affecting human welfare, there are ex¬ ceptions which go to prove the rule, and the sound policy which will pro¬ duce the greatest good to the greatest number lies somewhere between the extremes. Science and human ingenu¬ ity have developed devices which have come to be very important parts of our business and social life. Some of them seem to me to be natural monopolies. Why should there be two or more tele¬ phone systems in a given community ? A large strong railroad system made up of main lines upon which the traffic density is heavy and of numerous feeder lines upon which much of that traffic originates and finds destination can and will afford better service at less cost than could be furnished by that same trackage divided into several independent companies with all of their rivalries and differences of view. The government asserts the right to regulate the railroads and that right is not challenged. The country needs strong, well equipped, well operated, prosperous railroads. It is and must be willing to pay what is reasonably s necessary to have that kind of service. Why should it not be rendered by large systems with their component parts properly coordinated under a common policy rather than by a substantial number of weaker and, in some in¬ stances, impecunious systems, each with its selfish interests and its sepa¬ rate organization striving to promote those selfish interests? The new law contemplates consolidation of the roads into a limited number of large systems under which every reasonable degree of competition of service will be preserved. I wish it were possible to hope for consummation of that purpose at an early date. RATES NON-COMPETITIVE FOR MANY YEARS the policy was adhered to that there should be no limit or restriction upon competition between roads in the matter of rates. Most of the freight transported by our railroads will move along the line of least resistance in the way of freight charges. Our country is well supplied with roads and in large part the traffic is competitive. One railroad will not permit its competitor to charge less than it does on the competitive busi¬ ness and under the old policy that competition was frequently carried to ridiculous, if not ruinous, extremes. From this cut-throat competition grew a general feeling that the railroads' business and their relationships to the public were not governed by the same code of morals that was recognized in other directions. The business man saw no wrong in accepting the secret rebate. It was no sin to defraud a rail¬ way company. The parson's wife told, with manifest self-satisfaction, of hav¬ ing successfully traveled on a ticket that by its contract terms was good only for passage of another. Hotel men promoted conventions and expo¬ sitions and clamored for low railroad fares so that they might fill their par¬ lors and halls with cots for which they charged more than the ordinary prices for rooms. Nearly everyone thought that he should be the proud possessor of a pass—and a surprisingly large number attained that status. Freight solicitors were instructed to get the business and frequently got it at rates that did not pay the cost of the service. The poorer road can but hasten in¬ solvency by reducing its rates and it can accelerate that haste by increasing rates if its competitor does not also increase rates. Competition in rates is therefore but a figure of speech. As a matter of fact railroads competing for traffic must charge the same rates and the only real competition is that of service. The Transportation Act changed the policy of the government in this re¬ gard. Instead of prohibiting under the penalties of the anti-trust laws any efforts to equalize these conditions the law now permits, as it should, pooling of freights or facilities under terms and conditions that are approved by governmental authority. WAR GUARANTY CONGRESS dealt liberally with the railroads that had been taken from the possession of their owners as a war measure. For something over two years the government fixed the level and conditions of expenditures and of rates. The operating expenses were increased in greater proportion than were the rates and fares. Recogniz¬ ing this situation Congress provided, for a period of 6 months following the termination of federal control, certain guaranties. It recognized that further increases in rates were imperatively necessary and it was contemplated that within that guaranty period arrange¬ ments would be made to make such increased rates effective. That policy 6 and purpose were carried out with the result that rates and fares were placed upon a higher plane than they had been for many years. This fact, of course, attracted the attention of all users of our railroads. Too many of them, however, directed their attention to the charges for service and closed their eyes to the increased operating ex¬ penses. ROADS CAPACITY DEMONSTRATED IMMEDIATELY following the ter¬ mination of federal control the rail¬ roads successfully moved a larger ton¬ nage than had ever been moved. The capacity of the transportation machine was demonstrated. Serious interfer¬ ence resulted from labor difficulties and later the volume of traffic fell off due to readjustment of industrial con¬ ditions. The financial results from operation in recent months have been disappointing. Grave, and no doubt in many instances serious, losses have been experienced by producers and dis¬ tributors. This has caused a good deal of impatience which has taken the form of demands for reductions in transportation charges. The official figures for the month of December show that for the United States the class I roads had an operating ratio of 91.3. That means that the oper¬ ating cost of earning each dollar was 91.3 cents, and 8.7 cents of each dollar were left with which to pay taxes, in¬ terest charges, and return upon prop¬ erty values. Obviously that margin is too narrow. MODERN CHARIOTEERS AS MIGHT BE EXPECTED, sug¬ gested measures of relief are extreme or moderate dependent upon the point of view of the one who makes the sug¬ gestion. Phaeton, having been prom¬ ised by his father, Apollo, that any wish that he might express should be granted, demanded that he be per¬ mitted for one day to drive the chariot of the sun. Unable to dissuade his son and unwilling to break his promise Apollo gave Phaeton careful instruc¬ tions and warnings and permitted him to start. The last advice Apollo gave was "Spare the whip and hold tight the reins." Phaeton started but soon found that he could neither control nor guide the fiery steeds. They dashed headlong and unrestrained into un¬ known regions, now high in the heavens, now down almost to earth. The earth was scorched and blackened and was saved from destruction only by Jupiter launching a lightning bolt that struck Phaeton dead from the chariot. Modern Phaetons now clamor to be given permission to drive the chariot of transportation by railroad. Some years ago the question that most interested the people was whether or not we should have free and unlim¬ ited coinage of silver at a ratio of 16 to 1. That issue developed a multi¬ tude of men who believed themselves to be financiers and who confidently proffered plans or advice to solve all of the then present and prospective financial problems. One of these sat by the cook stove for a time and sud¬ denly said to his wife: "I have figured out a perfect plan for adjustment of the government finances and a plan for the future that will be free from em¬ barrassments," His wife replied : "Good, I am glad of it. I hope that you have also figured out a way to lift the mortgage that has been a mill stone about our necks ever since we came here." We have now a similar crop of similarly helpful financial advisers. I knew a locomotive fireman who had difficulty in keeping the water in the boiler warm enough to shave with, but who could see, day by day, that the master mechanic and the suoerintend- 7 ent were making pretty nearly clear scores of errors. Such men are now in evidence. REASON MUST PREVAIL WHEN WE CONSIDER the cir¬ cumstances out of which present con¬ ditions grew is it not sensible and rea¬ sonable to recognize the necessity for gradual readjustment of the economic forces and affairs of the world as the foundation for gradual improvement in the situation we are discussing? Some rates are too high to permit the free movement of traffic. Some rates are unreasonably low. Careful study of such situations has been and is going on and readjustments have been and are being made accordingly. Doubtless there have grown up oper¬ ating expenses, the aggregate of which is substantial, which can not reason¬ ably be defended. They should be eliminated. Every effort must be made to insure all possible, attainable, reasonable economies. The owners of the properties may be obliged for a time to accept less return upon their investment than would otherwise be expected. If reason can prevail and a united, genuine effort can be put forth and maintained, it is morally cer¬ tain that the situation will improve and that we will progress toward that con¬ dition of affairs which the Congress had in view, which the law contem¬ plates and which we all hope to see. Slightly paraphrasing an expression I read recently—"it is doubly incumbent upon us in the stand which we take to avoid the appearance of selfish shirk- ' - 99 ing. We all know how large a part popu¬ lar impressions have in forming public opinion and how long it takes for the slowly developing proof of facts to rectify such impressions when once they have taken hold. We must build upon the foundation of experi¬ ence and sound business judgment that is free from "selfish shirking," and not upon the unstable ground of theories and opinions that in large part ignore the true facts. NECESSARY PREFERENCES SOME CRITICS assert that , the law makes of the railroad business a pre¬ ferred business and confers upon the owners special favors. Others assert that it recognizes a preferred class of labor. Conceding that on the surface there is that complexion, and assuming for the purpose of the discussion, but not admitting, that these preferences exist, I ask, if this be so, is it wrong? If this be so, why is it so? Congress recognized, as did all thoughtful men, that transportation is the life blood of commerce and industry and vital to the protection of our nation. It must be provided in adequate and reason¬ ably efficient form. Continuous and dependable operation of our transpor¬ tation machine is almost as important as is its existence. The law was formulated in the interest of the coun¬ try and of the public. The capital in¬ vested in, and the men who operate, our transportation machine are em¬ ployed in serving the public which must and should compensate both. If it clearly appears that in order to give the country the quantity, quality and character of service that it needs, to which it is entitled, and for which it must pay, some preference, apparent or real, should be afforded to the cap¬ ital and the men that are employed in that service, I submit that such pref¬ erence is not undue so long as the pub¬ lic's right to reasonable and nondis¬ criminatory service and charges is protected. But if that capital and those men are recognized as having a preferred status because of the public s character of the service in which they are employed, those men and the own¬ ers of that capital must recognize an obligation to the public which also springs from the character of the ser¬ vice in which they are employed. STATE JURISDICTION RIVALRIES between individual States and demonstrations of local selfishness led the framers of the Con¬ stitution to vest in the federal govern¬ ment sole power to levy import and export taxes, unrestrained powers as to post offices and post roads and plenary power to regulate commerce among the States. The Supreme Court has held that so long as the Congress refrains from exercising that power of regulation over com¬ merce among the States the several States may exercise their powers, but that when Congress has entered the field conflicting State action must give way. And so it has come about that the federal law relating to safety appliances, hours of service, and super¬ vision of capitalization of carriers are supreme in their respective fields. In the matter of regulation of rates and fares the Congress has not gone so far. It has contented itself with pro¬ viding that if the States shall require rates or fares that unduly prefers State traffic, unduly prejudice inter¬ state traffic, or unjustly discriminate against interstate commerce, the fed¬ eral tribunal may and shall prescribe rates or fares that will effect removal of such preference, prejudice or dis¬ crimination, and that the carriers shall observe rates or fares so prescribed regardless of State requirements to the contrary. STATE DISCRIMINATIONS LONG BEFORE the Transportation Act was framed the Supreme Court had made it entirely clear that the fed¬ eral Commission was clothed with power and charged with the duty to require removal of undue prejudice against interstate shippers or localities and undue preference of State ship¬ pers and localities. That principle of law was accepted as sound and as set¬ tled. The Transportation Act retains the condition that its provisions shall not apply to transportation wholly within one State. That provision is, however, in a section the foundation of which is that all rates, fares and charges shall be just and reasonable. In another section the Congress has put in statutory form what was the law before. It has made it a little more explicit by specifically prohibiting un¬ just discrimination against interstate commerce and has authorized a carrier to complain of such discrimination. The States are left free as they were before to regulate the State charges so long as they do not create undue preference of State traffic, undue prejudice against interstate traffic, or unjust discrimination against inter¬ state commerce. The federal Commis¬ sion does not interpret the law as con¬ ferring upon it any regulatory powers over the State rates or fares except for the purpose of removing the prohib¬ ited preference, prejudice or discrim¬ ination. It has found it necessary in several instances to exercise that power, and appeals therefore have been taken to the courts in various jurisdictions. In so far as the courts have spoken they have sustained the power exercised. The underlying question has been submitted to the Supreme Court of the United States and in due time will be by that body set at rest. FLUCTUATION OF RATES ONE WHO IS NOT VERSED in transportation charges and their effect 9 can not appreciate the extent to which changes are necessary due to con¬ stantly changing commercial and indus¬ trial conditions and to competitive re¬ lationship between carriers and be¬ tween communities and commodities. It is neither necessary nor desirable that the States shall be shorn of power to regulate their internal affairs. The same considerations that led the framers of the Constitution to reserve to the federal government the powers to which I have referred require re¬ tention and exercise of those powers within reasonable and appropriate limits. If a State has the right to re¬ quire the railroads traversing it to serve the citizens of that State at lower charges than they contempora¬ neously assess against the citizens of other States, the effect would be the same as if that State were to levy a tax upon outsiders for the privilege of transporting goods into the State. When the Supreme Court shall have spoken and these controversies have been stilled it will, I predict, be found that in principle and substance the law is not materially different now from what it was when that court decided the Shreveport case. When that clari¬ fication of the law shall have occurred there will, I think, be no serious diffi¬ culties about the exercise by the fed¬ eral and State regulating bodies of their respective powers in their respec¬ tive fields. LOCAL SELF-GOVERNMENT I WOULD NOT UNDULY central¬ ize power and control. I like to think of the United States as a single entity, and the experiences through which we have just passed have emphasized more strongly than ever before the fact that among the nations of the world we must be so considered and must so consider ourselves. At the same time in the conduct of our domestic affairs we can and should adhere as far as is practicable to the ideas of self-gov¬ ernment and local government, reserv¬ ing, however, certain fundamentals for control and administration by the na¬ tional government. The growth of civilization has been accompanied at every step by the main¬ tenance and exercise of the police power. Peaceful possession of prop¬ erty and safety to life could not other¬ wise exist. The police power must extend as far as civilization and human rights extend. The limits of the jurisdiction of the various police powers must be clearly defined and properly recognized, and that after all is the real question in the con¬ troversies to which I have just re¬ ferred. A PUBLIC SERVICE THE PUBLIC UTILITY has de¬ voted itself to the service of the public. It has accepted the grant of unusual powers which could be accorded only by the state. The definition which recognizes the rights conferred on the utility and the propriety of regulating it does not at all warrant the conclu¬ sion that its affairs can be successfully conducted with a disregard to those sound methods that are essential in private business. In these matters the important thing is that those who own, manage and operate the public utility, those who legislate regarding it, those who are charged with the duty of reg¬ ulating it, and those who are served by it should appreciate that in the con¬ duct, regulation, or use of it none but honest business principles and meth¬ ods should be considered or applied. It is not alone in what might be called minor matters of competition and charges that changes which affect transportation problems in substantial 10 degree come with frequency and rapid¬ ity. These changes, some of them almost fundamental, must be taken into account along with arrangements for caring for the steadily and continu¬ ously growing population and traffic. WATER AND HIGHWAY LINES DURING THE WAR expenses of operation on vessels increased more than they did on railroads. There was a heavy demand for ships in overseas traffic and transportation by rail and water became more expensive than by rail. The currents of traffic were markedly affected thereby. In the light of the experiences of generations it can not be expected that water trans¬ portation will long remain on a higher level of cost than transportation by land. There is now an abundance of ships and no one can predict the ex¬ tent to which they will be employed in direct competition with our rail¬ roads' or the extent to which that competition will necessitate readjust¬ ment of the affairs of the railroads. The development of the automobile and the auto truck and the building of good roads have made possible trans¬ portation for comparatively short dis¬ tances by that means in sharp competi¬ tion with the railroads. During the war the utilization of that and other methods of transportation was urged in an attempt to relieve the railroads in their efforts to move the tremendous volume of traffic which was offered. Now freight is moving in substantial quantities in that manner instead of by railroads. In many instances it is doubtless the cheaper method of trans¬ portation. The State furnishes and maintains the right of way and track. These conditions are not peculiar to our country. They have grown up and the same problems are presented in European countries. According to a recent consular report the subject of the extent in Great Britain of the use of motor trucks in place of railroads has assumed such importance that the Ministry of Transport has appointed a committee to inquire into the advisa¬ bility of granting power to the rail¬ roads to institute such services, and to what extent, if any, such power should be granted. Studies in this connec¬ tion in England point out that the ad¬ vantages which the railroads formerly had in the matter of speed, carrying capacity and cheapness of movement no longer exist. Speed has in a sub¬ stantial part been sacrificed and rail¬ road rates have risen while the me¬ chanical advantage has been and is be¬ ing neutralized. It is said to be a serious problem for the railroads of Great Britain under present conditions to discover means to survive unless they are completely reorganized. The increased freight and passenger charges are said to be having an effect contrary to that looked for, namely, greater revenue, and that income is falling while expenditures show no signs of decreasing. Studies of the cost of building and maintaining roads and of appropriate taxation of motor trucks using such roads are being prosecuted. Some ob¬ ject to authorizing the railroads to in¬ augurate motor truck transportation for fear that after competition of other trucks had been overcome the railroads might withdraw their service, thus forcing all of the traffic back on to the railroads. They also point out that during the last railroad strike in Eng¬ land the country was largely dependent upon motor trucks for transportation, and that if the motor service were operated by the railroads it would be involved in such a strike and the peo¬ ple be left without the advantage which they derived from it during the last il strike. They also argue that it would be inadvisable from the standpoint of industry because if the railroads em¬ barked in that undertaking they would probably transfer the manufacture of trucks to their own workshops, thus affecting the motor truck industry in an appreciable degree. FUTURE SCIENTIFIC ADVANCE NO ONE can confidently predict what the effect of the solution of these prob¬ lems may be upon questions which we perhaps now consider as settled. New problems will arise, and so with con¬ tinuous changes in the affairs of men, of business and of nations there is an ever present necessity for changes in the facilities and machines through and by means of which transportation is conducted. No one can now see clearly the extent to which electricity will be substituted on our railroads for steam power, and no one can now see what the effect of such substitution will be, NO GENERAL RATE REDUCTION IT IS NO TIME for stubborn think¬ ing, but it is a time to think of facts, which are said to be stubborn things. The whole country and all of our people, excepting those who are and have been shamelessly profiteering, are suffering the after effects of a titanic war. In some places the agriculturist and the horticulturist are leaving their crops to decay in the fields and on the trees because they can not sell them at prices that more than cover the costs of harvesting, transporting, and mar¬ keting, and yet the housekeeper pur¬ chasing for the home table finds the cost of such commodities close to what it was during the active hostilities. In some quarters zealous efforts are made to have it appear that this situa¬ tions is in large part or in the main due to high freight rates. The freight rates are high. I have yet to meet a well informed man who does not feel that as a general thing they can be made no higher as a revenue measure. Careful inquiry into some distressing situations discloses that the utilization of products is prevented, not by freight rates, but by economic condi¬ tions and perhaps manipulated mar¬ kets. In November, 1920, the average ton-mile revenue of the railroads of the United States was 75.7% higher than in 1913. At the same time the wholesale prices of commodities that are transported in large quantities averaged 107% higher than in 1913, and in May, 1920, they were 172% over 1913. Reference has been made to operating costs of the railroads. Until the foundation has been laid for widening the margin between the revenue and the cost of earning it, it is difficult to find justification for an attempt at a general reduction in rates. OPTIMISM I DESIRE to make it clear that al¬ though I have referred to some of the troublesome problems I am still an optimist and not pessimistic on this subject. We all must suffer in vary¬ ing degrees under the conditions which obtain in the world and affect our country, but we should not lose sight of the fact that those conditions bear upon us with less severity than they do on most people ; that we have recuper¬ ative powers which far exceed those of any other nation, and if we can have a co-operative spirit along right lines and recognition of the difficulties and the rights of others, and an earnest effort to bring about at the earliest date those conditions which we would like to have obtain we will soon be looking upon the troubles of the present day as troubles of the past, and will find our country as well as ourselves in a 12 better position, a better condition and a better frame of mind and with more lofty resolves for the future than we had before. Two frogs once fell into a can of milk. They swam around and around, and around, and could find no means of exit. One of them said, "Oh, dear, we are lost; we will never get out of here." The other one said, "You can't tell; keep kicking, you don't know what will happen." The next morning some person went to the can of milk, and thère was one frog lying floating dead on his back, and the other was riding around on a ball of butter. REQUESTS FOR COPIES of this address will be welcome from all those desiring to place it in the hands of their representatives or friends. Copies furnished or sent direct to lists upon application to Frank W. Noxon, Secretary Railway Business Associa¬ tion, Liberty Building, Philadelphia. 13