(■■■■■•■■InnMl I ■■■■tillnlii . SMHwamtlllfil rilHHitBiMk 1 1 r|*W1HH*ahii I )li> «•«!»•■■ L . ^nl fH ■ ■•■»•> kUilB • »^ ■'■•■»■■•■• r.nv.:": : SifSiSiHi^I'll ^■••■■liM* >("l"Hiiii lii ■••nI| HKilMMnilBil ■aispsal "!!Ih*K» 'I Cornell University Library HE 8778.U5W9 Standardization of telephone rates, 3 1924 013 810 613 standardization of Telephone Rates By C. A, Wright Professor of Elecfrtcal Engineering and D. B. JUDD Published by The Engineering Experiment Station of The Ohio State University columbus, ohio Cornell University Library The original of tiiis book is in tine Cornell University Library. There are no known copyright restrictions in the United States on the use of the text. http://www.archive.org/details/cu31924013810613 TABLE OF CONTENTS PAGE Section I. Introduction 5 Faults of the Present System 5 Objects of Investigation 5 Assumptions 6 Proposed Plan 8 Predicted Results 9 Section II. Present Method of Determining Telephone Rates 9 Effects of Monopoly 10 Lack of Incentive to Efficient Management Offered by Present System 10 Cost of Valuations and Associated Work 11 Elements of Injustice in Present Rate System 12 Fairness of the "Cost-Plus" Rate System as Applied to Groups of Telephone Companies 12 Indefiniteness of Present Rate System 14 Allocation of Telephone Rates to Communities and Classes of Service. 15 Section III. Proposed Plan for Determining Telephone Rates 17 Requirements of a New Rate System 17 Proposed Solution of the Problem 18 Effects of Bargaining and Competition 19 Factors Which Justify Deviation from Average Rates and Correspond- ing Bonuses and Penalties 19 Proposed Bases for Bonuses and Penalties 20 Bases for Bonuses and Penalties Already Recognized 22 Specifications for Bases for Bonuses and Penalties 22 Section IV. Plant Cost 23 Difference Between Central-Energy and Magneto Rates 23 Change in Plant Cost With Area Served 24 Change in Plant Cost With Calling-Rate ; . 25 Plant Condition 26 Section V. Telephone Service 27 Development , 27 Calling-Rate 29 Section VI. Station-Rate Curves 29 Sources of Information 29 Method of Plotting Curves 31 Free-Service 34 Increase in Telephone Rates With Size of Communities 40 Comments on Station-Rate Curves 42 Normal-Cost Basis of Station-Rate Curves 43 Dependence of Reliability of Station-Rate Curves Upon Free Compe- tition 43 3 Section VII. Evaluation of Bonuses and Penalties Which Have Been Applied 44 Bonus and Penalty Bases 44 The Rate Deviation Equation 44 Limitations on Scope and Exactness of Evaluation of Bonuses and Penalties 45 Possible Methods of Evaluating Bonuses and Penalties 45 Sources of Information 46 Bonuses and Penalties Which Have Been Applied 47 Section VIII. Approximately Just Bonuses and Penalties 53 Effect of Increasing Miles of Pole Line per Station 53 Effect of Increasing Average Calls per Day per Station 54 Effect of Increasing Development 55 Section IX. Just Bonuses and Penalties 55 Classification of Telephone Exchanges in Accordance With Rates and Numbers of Stations Operated 56 The Typical Telephone Exchange 57 Rate and Bonus and Penalty Changes Required to Raise an Exchange from One Rate Class to Another 58 Effect of Increasing P; Holding C and D Unchanged 58 Effect of Increasing C; Holding P and D Unchanged 63 Effect of Increasing D ; Holding P and C Unchanged 67 Proposed Bonus and Penalty Constants 70 Section X. Application of Rate-Standardization Plan 70 Adjustments Necessary to Care for Changes in Price Level and De- velopments in Art of Telephony 71 Method of Application of Rate-Standardization Plan 71 Necessity for Periodical Valuations of Telephone Plant 72 Additional Probable Requirements in Application of Rate-Standard- ization Plan 73 Application to Other Public-Utility Rates 73 Section XI. Summary 74 STANDARDIZATION OP TELEPHONE RATES SECTION!. INTRODUCTION To protect the telephone companies and the telephone-using public, as well as to regulate rates, nearly every state in the Union has a public-utility or railroad commission. These commissions, in the majority of cases, have the authority to prescribe uniform systems of accounts, to authorize the issue of securities and dividends, to fix and enforce standards of service, and to supervise generally the relations of public utilities with the public. The regulation of the telephone companies by these public-utility com- missions has not accomplished Its full purpose, although it cannot be said that it has been a failure. FAULTS OP THE PRESENT SYSTEM Apparent faults of the present "cost plus" system of deter- mining telephone rates are: 1. No incentive is offered the telephone companies to better their service or provide it economically. 2. The system of regulation is laborious and expensive. It is burdensome both to the public-utility commissions, and to the telephone companies. 3. The present system of rate determination is not exact and definite. It involves much guesswork. 4. The present system of regulation does not, in every instance, prevent injustice to telephone subscribers or to tele- phone companies. OBJECTS OF INVESTIGATION The object of the investigation, which is described in this re- port, was to obtain information and propose methods of correct- ing some of the deficiencies of the present system which have been most subject to criticism. The system of rate determination which is proposed offers a remedy for (1) the lack of incentive to efficient operation, and a partial remedy for (2) the present labor and ex- pense, without emphasizing (3) the indefiniteness, and (4) the injustice of the present system. 5 This report sets forth also some original methods of investiga- tion which have been effective in the solution of this problem and which may be found useful by others interested in similar problems. It does not attempt to decide what elements constitute a fair valuation ; what methods should be followed in dealing with depre- ciation and depreciation funds, or rate of return; whether or not a utility should be taxed or subsidized, or the many other legal and economic problems of rate regulation. It does not attempt to discuss the organization or personnel of the public-utility com- missions or primarily to decide whether original or reproduction or normal costs should be recognized as the fair basis for rate de- termination. The methods suggested, however, do base rates upon normal telephone plant costs; that is, average plant costs over a number of years, rather than the cost of any particular telephone plant. This report proposes a system of rate determination in which the rates for any community are the average rates for communities of the size of the community in question, modified by bonuses or penalties. These bonuses and penalties take account of the natural obstacles presented to the telephone company, and the quality of the telephone service made available to the community. ASSUMPTIONS The following assumptions have been made in the develop- ment of the proposed plan : (1) That the purpose of the regulation of the financial policy and service of telephone companies is to obtain the best possible telephone service at the lowest cost which is just to the telephone companies. In order to accomplish this object the state grants the telephone company a monopoly in its com- munity and enforces rules which limit the return on the in- vestment and which prevent speculation. The incentive for providing good service economically, however, is small hecatise there is no chance to obtain an extraordinary return on in- vestment. The "cost plus" system of rate regulation in its present form is not conducive to efficient management. (2) That, if the investment in the telephone company is completely safeguarded from the effects of competition in a given operating field, and from speculation, a small guaranteed return on the investment will attract sufficient new capital to the utility to provide necessary service extensions. Under a competitive system, the return over the cost of giving the serv- 6 ice would be interest plus a profit which is reasonable for the risk involved. If risk is eliminated by permitting only one company to operate in a given field, rates which consist of cost of giving the service plus interest will not only be just but suffi- cient to attract new capital to the enterprise. Under such a condition of monopoly, the element of competition must be in- troduced in some other manner if there is to be any incentive to good management. (3) That the telephone service in each community should be self-sustaining. This does not necessarily mean that each class of local service in a community should be self-sustaining. It does mean, however, that neither local nor toll service should be supported in part by the other. Exception to the assump- tion that the telephone service in each community should be self-sustaining might be taken in one possible case — that of very small communities. The allocation of telephone rates to communities and classes of service is discussed in Section II of this report. (4) That not only should the relative values of telephone service to the subscribers in the various communities be con- sidered in fixing rates, in addition to the cost of producing the service, but also that they actually have been considered. Telephone companies will contend more strenuously for reason- able rates if the service is good. Under these conditions, the public-utility commissions will more readily grant them, and the public will more willingly pay them. The various indica- tions of the value of the service, however, have not always been considered in their proper relative importance. "Free-serv- ice" between communities, and the general impression of the public-utility commissions of plant conditions have been given too much consideration. Among the factors which affect the cost of producing the service are the number of stations served, the calling-rate, and the extent of the territory served. Among those factors which affect the value of the service to the subscribers are the number of stations served, and the quality of the service. The use made of the telephone by the average subscriber, and the telephone development are taken as measures of the quality of the telephone service. These indications of the cost and value of service have not been given sufficient consideration. (5) That, the wage-scale will vary only with the size of the community, and that the cost of all telephone plants serv- ing the same number of stations should be the same, except for the differences due to extent of territory served and the maxi- mum calling-rate. PROPOSED PLAN The plan for the standardization of telephone rates proposes : (1) That if the rates of a sufficiently large number of telephone exchanges serving the same number of stations are averaged, the average rate is the fair one for exchanges of that size. It is the rate which will produce income sufficient to cover the cost of the service, and to provide a reasonable return on the investment. The effects of excessive competition, monopoly, and unfair influence which are in some cases of ad- vantage to the telephone company, and in other cases to the community, will be eliminated if a large number of cases are considered. Typical average rates have been obtained and station-rate curves, showing the relation between these aver- age rates and the numbers of stations served in exchanges are presented in Section VI. (2) That when any particular telephone exchange is con- sidered, the natural obstacles which the telephone company has to overcome, and the degree of excellence of its service should be recognized by bonuses or penalties applied to the average rates for exchanges of the size of the one in question. There have been taken as the bases for bonuses and penalties (a) the length of pole line per station, which is an approximate meas- ure of the extent of the territory served by a telephone ex- change; (b) the maximum busy-hour calling-rate per station, which is an approximate measure of the proper size of the central office; (c) the average number of calls per station per day, which is an approximate measure of the cost of operation and of the value of the telephone service to the individual sub- scribers ; and (d) the development in telephones per thousand people in the area served, which is also an approximate meas- ure of the value of the telephone service to the subscribers. Bonus and penalty bases (b) and (c), are combined in this investigation. The desirability of recognizing plant condition and community wealth by bonuses or penalties should also re- ceive consideration. The public-utility commissions, the telephone companies and the telephone-using public have consciously or uncon- sciously recognized the above bases for bonuses and penalties, but not to a sufficient extent. A method of determining the degree to which they have been recognized is presented in this report. Analyses have also been made of typical companies, which show the extent to which they should have been recog- nized. Bases for bonuses and penalties are discussed in Sec- tions III, IV, and V. The proposed plan allows the telephone companies the advantages of monopoly in their respective operating fields. The system of bomises and penalties introduces the element of competition with its attendant advantages. Each company competes with others in its class for bonuses. For all bonuses that are granted, penalties must be assessed also, as the bonuses and penalties are based upon the average rates for the class of telephone companies which includes the company in question. PREDICTED RESULTS The proposed plan for the standardization of telephone rates offers many advantages. It may be predicted generally: (1) That if the public-utility commissions fix average rates corresponding to the numbers of stations served, modi- fied by the bonuses and penalties suggested, their work will be decreased to such an extent that reasonable attention may be given to fixing standards of service and enforcing them. (2) That the suggested bonuses and penalties will offer an incentive to the telephone companies to better their service, independent of the efforts of the public-utility commissions. (3) That the possession by the public-utility commis- sions, the telephone companies, and the telephone-using public of a knowledge of what are the average, and therefore, just rates, and the just bonuses and penalties will tend to promote harmony in fixing rates. The above assumptions, proposed plan, and predicted, re- sults will be discussed more fully in Sections III, IV, V, and X. SECTION II. PRESENT METHOD OF DETERMINING TELEPHONE RATES Public-utility commissions have generally based rates and amounts of securities and dividends authorized on "fair valua- tions." Ordinarily these fair valuations are estimated costs of re- production, less depreciation, under normal conditions, checked, and in some cases, modified by original costs and the amounts of out- standing securities issued against the property. An equitable rate has been considered to be one which will enable the telephone com- 9 pany to pay all expenses of operation and provide a return on the invested capital which will attract a sufficient supply of new capital to develop the telephone service to the extent demanded by the public. EFFECTS OF MONOPOLY The tendency in the last few years has been to eliminate dupli- cation of telephone equipment in the operating areas by granting the companies monopolies in their communities. National and state laws preventing the purchase of one competing company by another have been repealed in many cases. Many consolidations of competing telephone companies have been effected. There has always been a tendency in small communities on the part of dissatis- fied telephone subscribers to organize new and competing telephone companies. Such companies have frequently been unsuccessful financially, and the operation of competing companies has always been harmful to telephone service. The organization of competing companies is now generally prevented by laws which require that a "certificate of convenience and necessity" be granted a new tele- phone company by the public-utility commission before the newly organized company is allowed to operate. When two companies operate in any community, the resulting duplication of equipment increases the cost of the service. The value of the service to the subscribers is greatly decreased because of the decrease in the num- ber of subscribers to which any one subscriber has access. Mon- opoly is, therefore, an advantage in the production of telephone service, but under the existing conditions, the elimination of dupli- cation of telephone plant and service has been accompanied by the elimination of competition. The result has been a tendency of the telephone companies to cease trying to provide the best service economically. LACK OF INCENTIVE TO EFFICIENT MANAGEMENT OFFERED BY PRESENT SYSTEM This policy of rate-making does not then offer an incentive to the telephone companies to initiate more efficient methods of giving service. If their cost of production is decreased, there is a tendency for rates to be decreased. The result is that efficient management has been penalized. If, through inefficient management, the cost of telephone service is high, the "cost plus" system of rate determina- tion provides the additional revenue necessary, and encourages the management in its inefficiency. Public-utility commissions are generally authorized to set serv- ice standards and enforce them; but because of the expense in- 10 volved in valuations and similar work, there is little opportunity to set and enforce such standards. There is little incentive for the efficient management to provide the best service, when it gets no credit for it, and when the inefficient management provides poor service more conveniently and with less cost. The existing system of rate determination, by guaranteeing a fixed return on the invest- ment, regardless of whether the telephone service is good or poor, rewards inefficient management. It discourages good management, because if the service is good, it prohibits a return greater than this fixed return. Each valuation and rate study are an occasion for bargaining and scheming on the part of both the telephone company and the representatives of the public, to persuade the public-utility commis- sion to take action of advantage to one or the other. COST OF VALUATIONS AND ASSOCIATED WORK One public-utility commission has in some cases allocated the total expense of producing the service to business, residence, and various other classes of service, and apportioned the cost in accord- ance with the use made of the service. The allocation of rates to various classes of telephone service is generally determined by other factors than cost. For example, habit or custom, value to the sub- scriber, and the necessity for controlling the development of cer- tain classes of service influence rate allocation. While it has been argued that an allocation of expense in accordance with cost would give results differing greatly from the allocation determined by the above factors, the cost studies of the commission indicated that this is not the case. It has also been urged that it is difficult or even impossible to allocate correctly the expense. The commis- sion's cost studies indicate that it is not impossible to do this. Fur- ther experience will show whether or not the benefits gained from such a cost study justify its expense. Even if no attempt is made to allocate the expense of opera- tion, and the rates are based upon the total cost of producing the service, the expense and inconvenience of this method of determin- ing rates are great. The entire time of many regulating commis- sions is given to making valuations and determining rates, based upon the cost of plant and of operation. Little time is left for setting and enforcing standards of service. If, as has happened during the past few years, the commissions grant many rate in- creases, the suspicion of the telephone-using public that the utilities are favored is aroused. The result is a loss in effectiveness of the commission. 11 ELEMENTS OP INJUSTICE IN PRESENT RATE SYSTEM The existing system of rate-determination is frequently unjust to telephone companies or to subscribers. It has already been sug- gested that it may penalize economical management and good serv- ice, or encourage uneconomical management and poor service. The large and powerful telephone company has an advantage over the small company because of its more able and more numerous per- sonnel, because of its more extensive sources of information, and because of its greater influence in pleading its cause with the public-utility commissions. Of course, such an advantage works an injustice to the small company. Telephone companies, even though the return on their invest- ment is limited by public-utility commission regulation, are not now protected from all risks. In times of rapidly advancing prices, public utilities are frequently in financial distress. There are some of them which in the past few years would have been glad to dis- continue their business, and yet they were compelled by public- utility commissions to continue to furnish service at a loss. Public- utility economists have suggested that this condition might war- rant the appropriation by the state, in years which are "fat" ones for the utilities, of part of their income, and financial relief by the state in "lean" years. Prompt recognition by the commissions of the condition of the utilities and relief by rate increases would be a more satisfactory and practicable means of eliminating such injustice. It would, however, require a considerable amount of courage on the part of the public-utility commissions, for they would meet with strong popular disapproval. One source of occasional injustice to public utilities is rate regulation and tax assessment by independent state commissions which frequently act independently of each other and of other state and federal government agencies which perform similar functions. FAIRNESS OF THE "COST-PLUS" RATE SYSTEM AS APPLIED TO GROUPS OF TELEPHONE COMPANIES The justice of fixing as fair rates for telephone service those which will cover the average cost of service and allow a reasonable return on the average investment of a large number of telephone companies of the same size and same general character can be well defended. Under a condition of unregulated competition, the rates of telephone companies would be sufficient to cover the cost of pro- ducing the service, and to provide an adequate return on the in- vestment. This return would consist of interest equivalent to the return on money invested with the greatest possible safety plus a 12 profit which would vary with the risk of the investment. Under a condition where there was no risk, investors would be willing to invest in the telephone companies, if the rates covered only the cost of service and interest which the safest possible investment would yield. The granting of monopolies to the telephone com- panies in their communities removes much of the speculative risk from the investment. The greatest risk to the success of any such enterprise is that of competition. If the management is efficient, the risks of obsolescence, fire, wind, flood, and other hazards may be provided for, so that a return on the investment which equals interest plus a very small speculative profit, will be sufficient to at- tract new capital to the telephone companies. Under such a condi- tion, the "cost plus" system of rate determination would be a just one for fixing average rates for a number of telephone companies of the same size and same general character. The risk of competition has been in large part removed from the telephone business by the various states in order that they may more effectively provide service. The people of these states rather than the telephone companies or telephone subscribers are entitled to the amount equivalent to the resulting decrease in the telephone rates. Actually, the telephone subscriber gets this saving in the form of decreased rates which partly compensate for the over- burdensome taxes on telephone companies. These taxes are assessed by the various states upon the telephone companies and in turn passed along by the companies to the subscribers in the form of increased rates. This gain in economy because of monopoly and the amount of taxation are probably of the same order of magni- tude, so that the total effect of these conditions is that the telephone subscribers pay for the monopoly advantages granted by the states with part or all of the taxes assessed upon the telephone companies by the states. The telephone subscriber pays a rate which may equal what he would pay under a competitive system in which the telephone companies are not taxed. Great social benefit to the state results from the development in small communities of telephone service. These taxes, therefore, might well be used to subsidize the telephone companies in small communities. In these communities it is particularly difficult to obtain rates sufficient to pay for the telephone service needed, be- cause the people have not been educated to a realization of the great economic advantage of the telephone, and because the cost per station of construction of a small telephone system is great on account of the long distances involved. In such communities the need for telephones is great and a valuable social service is per- 13 formed when a telephone system is installed. In such cases, it is sometimes necessary and desirable that aid be extended in the development of the telephone service and it v?ould be more satis- factory and just to aid the telephone company by state subsidy than by financial help from the telephone companies of the larger towns and cities. The provision of such aid, however, is not to be associated with the plan for rate-determination here proposed to any greater extent than with the methods at present followed. The present "cost plus" system of rate determination is, there- fore, fair for the average company. The average quality of service of a group of telephone companies may be considered to be of ac- ceptable grade, and it may be assumed that the average efficiency of management is good. When the individual company is con- sidered, however, modifications in rate must be made to take ac- count of unusual conditions. INDEFINITENESS OF PRESENT RATE SYSTEM An advantage, which may be advanced by some in favor of the present method of determining telephone rates, is that it is exact and definite. If this were so, it would be a strong argument in its favor, but it is not so. Frequently records are not available from which to determine the original costs. It is necessary to guess at many costs in determining the cost of reproduction. The element of "going value" is one which affords much opportunity for differences of opinion. There may sometimes be difficulty in deciding what portion of a telephone plant is used and useful in giving telephone service. One public-utility commission, arguing in favor of basing tele- phone rates upon service rendered rather than upon the cost of giving the service, has made the following statement : "In the entire scheme of rate-making the valuation of the property is only an aid, an approximation. No matter how ex- pensive or how cheap the property of a utility may be, the public is only interested in service, and for that service, it should pay a fair price; but it is absurd to contend that the enormous sum of money invested in antiquated equipment, fur- nishing inadequate service by ancient methods discarded in the intelligent progress of the art, entitle a company to higher rates, than better service furnished for less money invested in more cheap, simple and up-to-date equipment. "The factor of management has more to do with earnings than all the hypothetical reproduction and conjectural depre- ciation compiled by all the engineers and commissions that have considered them. The public cannot be expected to pay rates on unnecessary property, extravagant construction, im- provident investment, or excessive facilities not yet demanded." 14 In regard to the "reproduction less depreciation" theory of determining rates urged by the telephone company in question, the commission stated : "This method of determining value usually included per- centages for engineering service never rendered, hypothetical efficiency of unknown labor, conjectural depreciation, opinions as to the condition of the property, the supposed action of the elements, and of course its correctness depends upon whether superintendence was wise or foolish, the investment improvi- dent or frugal. It depends upon probability rather than reality; it is based on such half truths that it bears only re- mote resemblance to fact, and rises at best to the plane of a dignified guess." While many public-utility commissioners and telephone men may not entirely agree with this statement, it is a strong indication of the indefiniteness and inexactness of this method of determining rates. ALLOCATION OP TELEPHONE RATES TO COMMUNITIES AND CLASSES OP SERVICE If only one class of telephone service were furnished by a tele- phone company, each subscriber would pay an equal share of the operating revenue of the company; but telephone companies gen- erally have to supply direct or party-line business and residence service at flat rates, or in some cases at measured-service rates, rural or farm-line service, postpayment or prepayment pay-station service, and private-branch exchange service. Extension sets and extension bells must be provided where required and provision must be made for "switching" lines of co-operative or farmers- mutual companies which own and maintain their own lines. Two-number and particular-person toll or long-distance serv- ices which require the adoption of an initial period and rate, and a rate for conversations which extend beyond the initial period must be offered. Special rates must be given at night to induce the public to use long-distance lines during hours of "light load." Report charges must be made to prevent unfair use of telephone service by means of a prearranged code of reports. It is apparent that it is not an easy problem to determine such a rate for each of the above classes of service, that no injustice will be done any of the subscribers, and that the total operating revenue will be sufficient for the continued operation of the tele- phone company. It has been assumed in this plan for rate determination that the telephone service in each community should be self-sustaining. 15 Each business or industry should be self-supporting. A test of its value to its community is the willingness of consumers to pay enough for the commodity to support the industry. A telephone company should, according to this point of view, be self-supporting. This has not always been the case. There are cases where telephone systems have been supported in part by systems elsewhere, so that competition might be destroyed by providing service at low rates or so that telephone service might be developed in a small com- munity the residents of which have not realized the value of the service. Rural service, for example, was developed under unfavorable conditions. Most companies found it hard to induce farmers to buy telephone service and, as they were anxious to develop this service, they made rates which were very low. In many cases, service of this kind is not nearly self-sustaining and is being paid for largely by the city subscribers. It might appear, on first thought, that in any community each class of telephone service should be self-supporting, but this is not always the case. Each class of service should eventually support itself. If a class of subscribers will not pay rates sufficient to cover the cost of the service provided, another class of service should be developed for them which will be self-supporting. However, it is frequently necessary to give a class of service temporarily at such a rate that it is not self-supporting in order that it may be developed to the point where it will pay for itself. In any attempt to apply this principle it must be remembered that it is practically impos- sible to allocate justly certain elements of cost to the various classes of service. The development of some classes of service, such as residence, increases the value of other classes of services, such as business, so that the cost of such development should be distributed in proportion to the increased value — in so far as it is possible to determine it — over the various classes of service benefited. It is impossible in most cases to determine, except approximately, this increased value. This plan for rate-determination is not in any way dependent upon the possibility of so allocating local telephone rates. The cost of toll or long-distance service is generally affected by the distance over which the connection is established, the length of time the equipment is in use during the call and the operating cost of establishing the connection. Sometimes the length of the con- nection or the route affects the operating cost, as when the services of a "through" operator are required, or when supervision by two operators instead of one is necessary. 16 There has been much discussion as to whether toll rates should cover the entire cost of toll calls from subscriber to subscriber, or only from toll-switchboard to toll-switchboard. If, as has been done by at least one public-utility commission, the subscriber to subscribe!* cost is assumed, it will be found that in maijy cases toll service is not self-sustaining. If toll service is partly supported by exchange rates higher than necessary to cover the cost of exchange service, the develop- ment of exchange service may be retarded, or if toll rates are too high, toll development may be retarded. An extreme case of in- justice is that of communication in which "free long-distance serv- ice" to other communities is provided. The local exchange rates are higher for all subscribers in order that a few subscribers may have the benefit of such free long-distance service. Toll rates which are not self-sustaining might be justified in some cases because toll service is an asset which increases the value of the telephone service to all exchange subscribers. Public-utility commissions, acting for the public welfare, have in many cases ordered telephone companies owning and operating toll lines to permit other companies to route calls over these toll lines. In such cases, in justice to the companies owning the toll lines, the commissions have prescribed rental rates which would make this service self-sustaining. If local and toll service are not each self-sustaining, some com- munities by paying more than the cost of the toll service they use, might indirectly partly support the local service in other communi- ties. It is assumed in this plan for rate determination that the rates for local and toll service should be mutually independent. It may be seen that, in addition to cost, the rate for each class of local and toll telephone service is affected by habit and custom, value of the service to the subscriber, competition and unfair in- fluence, the necessity for developing various classes of service and for preventing waste and unfair use of service, and the necessity for making the method of charging simple and easily understand- able to the average subscriber. SECTION III. PROPOSED PLAN FOR DETERMINING TELEPHONE RATES REQUIREMENTS OP A NEW RATE SYSTEM The method of determining telephone rates by providing that they shall be high enough for each telephone company to cover the cost of giving the service and provide sufficient return on the in- vestment to attract new capital has been adopted by law in many 17 states. If any other plan is to be adopted, it would have to be shown that it promises to be more logical and fair and definitely- better than the plan followed at present. Any new system of rate determination or any modification of the present, system should tend to correct the apparent faults in the present system which have been suggested. It should accomplish the following results : (1) It should offer an incentive to telephone companies to provide the best possible telephone service and to provide it as economically as possible. (2) It should make less burdensome and expensive the work of the public-utility commissions and the telephone com- panies. (3) It should not increase the number of conditions which work injustice to the telephone companies or telephone sub- scribers. (4) It should not involve any more guess work than the present system of rate determination. PROPOSED SOLUTION OF THE PROBLEM Various telephone men have suggested that rates for tele- phone service should be standardized, the number of stations served in a community determining the rate for the various classes of serv- ice, and that unusual conditions or service should be recognized by bonuses or penalties applied to individual cases. The population of the exchange area and the calling rate might be suggested also as fundamental bases of standardization. The fundamental basis for the standardization of telephone rates should represent natural con- ditions which confront the telephone companies and over which they have no control. It should be independent of the effectiveness of the management of the companies. The calling-rates, whether maximum or average, are not independent of the effectiveness of management, but are affected by it. They are, therefore, not a satisfactory basis of comparison. The population of the exchange area represents more nearly than any other single condition the problem presented to the telephone companies; but population is sometimes not easily available, especially in the cases of small towns where a large proportion of the subscribers live in rural dis- tricts. The number of stations served in an exchange area while not quite as satisfactory in some respects as total population has the great advantage of being always available. Hence it is the most desirable basis of comparison. 18 EFFECTS OF BARGAINING AND COMPETITION In some communities the telephone company may be able, by ability to bargain which is above the average, to gain the advantage in fixing the rates, while in other cases the community may gain the advantage. Monopoly or unfair influence, the disposition to prof- iteer, the value of the telephone to the subscribers, and the ability of the subscribers to pay fair rates all affect the rates, sometimes to the advantage and sometimes to the disadvantage of the com- pany. If a sufficient number of cases are considered, the advantage will be on the side of the telephone company as often as it is against it, and the average rates for a group of telephone exchanges of a given size may be assumed to be independent of inequalities in bargaining power. In towns, where there are competing telephone companies, the bargaining power of the companies is greatly de- creased and the rates are consequently low. In such cases the value of the service is decreased, and the communities pay rates which are in proportion to the value of the service they receive. Closely associated with bargaining power are the effects of the character of the community and the grade of service it wants and is willing to buy. Communities of the same size may differ indus- trially, but this is unusual. Generally, such differences correspond to differences in the sizes of communities. Farming communities are usually small, while the industries are usually confined to the large cities and towns. The grade and amount of service demanded vary regularly with the sizes of communities — rapidly for small communities, and more gradually for large communities. In so far as such conditions are concerned, then, it may be assumed that the average rate is the fair rate for communities of the size under consideration. FACTORS WHICH JUSTIFY DEVIATION FROM AVERAGE RATES, AND CORRESPONDING BONUSES AND PENALTIES If the plant and traffic conditions with which a telephone com- pany has to contend and over which it has no control are such as to make the investment and production costs — the sum of which are the total cost of producing the service — higher or lower than the average, the telephone rates should be correspondingly higher or lower than the average. If also the service is very good or very poor, the compensation of the telephone company for that service should be correspondingly high or low. Bonuses or penalties should be applied to the average rates to give rates which are just to indi- vidual telephone companies and to the communities they serve. The value of this rate-standardization plan depends upon the possi- 19 bility of obtaining bonuses and penalties which may be toeighted properly and fairly, which may be evaluated for individual cases without the expense and inconvenience of the present method of evaluating telephone plants, and which will take account of ab- normal plant and service conditions. If, incidentally, these bonuses and penxilties are closely associated with the elements of service given the subscribers and emphasize good service, the rate stand- ardization plan will also result in an improvement in the telephone service of all communities. PROPOSED BASES FOR BONUSES AND PENALTIES Unusually high plant and operating costs, which are not the fault of the management, peculiar characteristics of the community which make it difficult to give service, and other natural obstacles with which a telephone company has to contend are one natural basis for bonuses, or penalties. The service given is the other basis which should be recognized. Good or poor service may be recognized by analyzing service, by weighting its various elements more or less arbitrarily according to the judgment of representa- tives of the telephone companies and the public, and by comparing the elements of service of the individual companies with those weighted elements. It may be recognized also by the results of good or poor service as shown by the telephone development in a community, and the average use made of the telephone by the subscribers. The latter basis for judging service is the best. An evaluation of service by any analysis of service from its elements would set up a standard which would not develop as service conditions change. It would be too rigid and inelastic. The various elements of service would have to be arbitrarily weighted by representatives of the various interests concerned. Such a method would afford much opportunity for difference of opinion both in preparing a standard table of weighted elements of service, and in applying this table to individual cases. The attempted use of such a method of recog- nizing the degree of excellence of service would result in much friction. Table I shows the various elements of service which would have to be considered. A discussion of these elements of telephone service may be found in Circular No. 9, Engineering Experiment Station, The Ohio State University. It may be contended that assigning bonuses and penalties on the basis of the above elements of service would be more direct and for that reason more satisfactory. Although it might be practicable to apply bonuses or penalties based on plant and operation elements 20 of service, the results of good management are much more intan- gible, and it would be difficult to weight and apply the corresponding elements of service directly. Attention may also be called to cases which will occur in which there will be injustice done to telephone companies, as for example, those of communities where the provision of a high grade of service has not been followed by high development or a high average call- ing-rate. Such a condition of unfairness is more likely to exist temporarily after the provision of the high grade service than permanently, unless the telephone company has used poor judg- ment in providing a better grade of service than the community desires or is able to pay for. In such a case the telephone company would not deserve a bonus. TABLE I. ANALYSIS OF TELEPHONE SERVICE ADEQUATE TELEPHONE PLANT EFFECTIVE TELEPHONE OPERATION GOOD MANAGEMENT Good Telephone Transmission ' Loudness Quality Freedom from interference Education of public in regard to neces- sity for good equipment Adequate Facilities Simplicity of Substation Equipment Reliability of Equipment Safety Permanence Accuracy Continuity of Service and Reliability of Operation Speed Assurance of Attention Courtesy and Form Secrecy Service Inspection Education of Public in Regard to the Use of Telephone f Accuracy Business Methods \ Promptness [ Simplicity (Adequate depreciation reserve Proper control of securities Care and Training of Employees Citizenship r Progressiveness J Appearance of p. 1 Regard for rights of public u Publicity Appearance of plant Regard for rights of i Local interest and cooperation Condition of plant Methods of operation Service objectives and results obtained Reasons for rates 21 The application of development and average use of the tele- phone by subscribers, as bonus and penalty bases, may be well justified. It makes necessary only two bases for service bonuses and penalties and avoids the complicated process of weighting serv- ice which would result from assigning bonuses and penalties on the basis of service elements. The conditions which would warrant bonuses and penalties would be easily obtainable. Development and average calling-rate show the final result of good or poor service, and it is the result that is important rather than the factors which produce the result. BASES FOR BONUSES AND PENALTIES ALREADY RECOGNIZED The necessity for bonuses or penalties for unusual plant con- ditions or service has been recognized to a certain extent by public- utility commissions. They have frequently granted rates in excess of those which are normal for communities of the size in question because of a general impression that service is unusually good, be- cause the plant conditions encountered are unusually severe, because the plant has been maintained in exceptional condition, and, in many cases, because of "free service." The Interstate Commerce Commission and various telephone statisticians in their reports have recognized the importance of pole-line, wire-miles, average-calls, and development. However, no attempt has been made to make use of them as bases for bonuses and penalties in fixing telephone rates. SPECIFICATIONS FOR BASES FOR BONUSES AND PENALTIES The following specifications should be observed in choosing bases for bonuses and penalties : (1) The final results of good or poor telephone service, that is, the amount of service sold and quality of service rather than any specific elements of service, should be used as bases for bonuses and penalties. (2) Unusual plant conditions over which the telephone company has no control should be used as bases for bonuses and penalties. (3) The bases for bonuses and penalties should be few in number. (4) They should be easily determined from existing rec- ords, or records which it is otherwise to the advantage of the telephone company to keep. (5) They should be general in character, and indicative of plant and service conditions as a whole. 2Z The choice of the bases for bonuses and penalties is altogether a matter of jvdgment. It can be decided only by the vote of large numbers of informed and interested parties. The four bases sug- gested in this bulletin are those which from this investigation seem most reasonable. However, if additional bonus and penalty bases may be found to be necessary, they will not prevent the successful application of this rate-standardization plan. The cost of producing telephone service in general determines the lower limit of the rates paid for service. The upper limit is determined by the value of the service to the telephone-using public. The rates obviously cannot be permitted to exceed this upper limit. Attempts to charge "all the traffic will bear," generally result in rates which are greater than the traffic will bear. While the rates have too frequently been so low that they would not cover the cost of service, care should be taken that they are not permitted by means of bonuses in any case to approach the upper limit, or "all the traffic will bear." In such a case, the granting of rate bonuses to a telephone company might defeat the intended purpose by dis- couraging the use of the telephone. Moderation should be observed in the application of bonuses and penalties. SECTION IV. PLANT COST DIFFERENCE BETWEEN CENTRAL-ENERGY AND MAGNETO RATES The cost of central-office equipment should generally not vary greatly from the average for each group of telephone companies operating the same number of stations. If there is any difference, it would probably result from a difference in the maximum calling- rate or peak-load demand upon the telephone exchange. Exceptions which occur are cases where central-energy and magneto exchanges serve communities of the same size. In an investigation of one large group of telephone companies — Group 4 of the Ohio telephone companies — it was found that the point of change on the station- rate curves — which will be discussed in Section VI — from magneto to central-energy switchboards, is fairly sharp and definite at 1000 stations. If average curves are plotted separately for the magneto and central-energy stations, a discontinuity in the curve at the point of change may reasonably be expected. If the curves are prolonged at the point of discontinuity so that they will overlap as in Figure 1, they might well show what additional rate a central- energy exchange in a magneto group should be allowed, or what should be the decrease in the rate of a magneto exchange in a central-energy group. This difference would be due to the differ- 23 ence in value of the two kinds of service as well as to the difference in cost. In the case of Group 4 of the Ohio telephone companies, the two curves were continuous. This result indicates that there is no difference in cost and value. The same reasoning might be applied to ringing equipment, but in this case also, there were no discontinuities, indicating that the differences in rates due to ring- ing equipment are not important. Figure 1 CHANGE IN PLANT COST WITH AREA SERVED There is a considerable amount of variation in the cost of out- side plant within groups of companies operating the same numbers of stations, due to area served and unusual construction difficulties. Miles of pole line per station, or number of poles per station, pref- erably the former, may be taken as a measure of the area served, and as a basis for a bonus, or penalty. Wire miles has received consideration as a bonus and penalty base, but it is not a good measure of the area served by a telephone company. Area itself might be used directly, but there would be considerable difficulty in defining the area served. One or two stations in an otherwise undeveloped area might serve as an excuse on the part of a tele- phone company for claiming a bonus because of the large territory it serves. Miles of pole line per station is the best measure of the territory actually served by a telephone company. 24 In cities where a large proportion of the circuits is under- ground, miles of underground conduit per station, modified by a factor which will properly weight it relatively to the pole line, should be added to the miles of pole line per station. As this in- vestigation has not considered the largest communities, miles of pole line per station only has been used. Among. the possible unusual construction difficulties may be mentioned the character of the ground. The cost of extending lines through a hilly and rocky country is greater than through a country where the ground is easily workable. It often happens that in cases where the cost of construction is greatest, the people are least able to pay adequate telephone rates, as for example, in a rocky and barren country, where it is difficult to farm successfully and difficult to construct lines. CHANGE IN PLANT COST WITH CALLING-RATE Maximum busy-hour load or maximum calling-rate may also be taken as a cost bonus or penalty, independent of the average calls per station which is later suggested as a value bonus or penalty. It determines the cost of part of the central-office equip- ment and is an indication also of the cost of operating the switch- board. An approximate measure of this factor is the maximum number of operators' positions in use. However, as the number of operators' positions in use is. not independent of the efficiency of operation of the telephone plant, it is not as desirable as a bonus and penalty base as the maximum busy-hour load as determined by a peg-count. In the evaluation of bonuses and penalties in this report, both cost and value elements are cared for by one bonus or one penalty which is determined by the average calls per station. This bonus or penalty is approximately the sum of the two bonuses or two penalties obtained by considering the cost and value factors separately. An examination of the maximum busy-hour calling-rates and average calling-rates of a limited number of exchanges, for which information in regard to maximum busy-hour calling-rates could be obtained, indicates that they vary approximately in the same proportion, or, in other words, that the amplitude but not the form of the average daily traffic-curve for the year varies with the com- munity. This statement is probably more nearly correct when com- munities of the same size and type are compared than when the comparison is made between those of different sizes and types. In the examination referred to above, all of the communities were of about the same type, that is, served by from 1000 to 3000 stations. If maximum busy-hour load were used as a basis for a bonus or 2C penalty, it should not be difficult for public-utility commissions to induce the telephone companies to inaugurate the use of peg-counts in cases where they were not already in use. The busy-hour calling-rate and the average calling-rate may both be affected by conditions such as the industrial character of the community or the proportion of foreign-born persons in the population and the nationality of the foreign-born population. For example, the use of the telephone by a French quarter of a city is likely to be much greater than its use by a Scandinavian quarter of the same size. PLANT CONDITION A valuable element of telephone service is the assurance to the subscriber that the service will be continuous. The condition of the telephone plant in a large measure determines the extent of this assurance. It may in many cases be possible to estimate the con- dition of the plant from a statement of its age, and statements of depreciation reserve, and of issues of stocks and bonds. Accrued depreciation may be the basis for a penalty or bonus. If a plant is over-built to a reasonable extent, it would prob- ably be just to allow a bonus. A plant should be over-built suffici- ently to make it possible to furnish service to new subscribers with- out delay. Records of applications and time necessary to furnish service might be used to advantage as an indication of the condition of the plant. An over-built condition of a plant may be regarded as the opposite of a depreciated condition and one bonus and penalty base may apply to both conditions. A reasonably over-built condition is more desirable in the case of a telephone company than in the case of an electric light and power company or other type of public utility. If there is an unus- ual demand for street-railway transportation, it may be met by crowding passengers into the cars, and the additional equipment necessary may be provided after the increased demand has devel- oped. New users of electric light and power, gas, and water service may generally obtain connection to already existing supply circuits or mains. Additional equipment may be provided in the central- station or gas or water plant when opportunity permits, but the additional plant does not generally have to be provided before the new users are supplied with service. However, each telephone sub- scriber, or in the case of party-line service, each small group of subscribers, requires a circuit to the central office for his sole use. Such a circuit must be available before a new subscriber can be supplied with service. During the extreme conditions which have existed in the past few years many telephone companies have at- 26 tempted to meet the situation by making party lines of direct lines, or in some cases even by making ground-return circuits of metallic circuits. The results have been most unsatisfactory to both tele- phone companies and subscribers. In order to supply service promptly to new subscribers, a telephone plant must be over-built. In this investigation, bonuses or penalties have not been allowed for plant condition or facilities. They may be considered to be included in development bonuses and penalties. People will not subscribe to telephone service if they feel that it will deteriorate because the plant is not maintained and they cannot subscribe to it unless there are adequate plant facilities. However, these ele- ments of service are important and it may be possible that they should be the basis for a separate bonus or penalty. SECTION V. TELEPHONE SERVICE The average excellence of telephone service increases as the community increases in size, but in each group of telephone ex- changes serving the same number of stations there are individual exchanges to which bonuses or penalties are due because of the quality of their service. DEVELOPMENT The degree to which people buy telephone service and the degree to which they use it are approximate measures of its ex- cellence. The development in stations per thousand people shows not only how aggressive the management of a company has been in selling telephone service, but also the quality of service which has been maintained. The better the service the easier it is to sell. It may be difficult in the cases of small communities to ascertain how great a rural population might possibly be served by a tele- phone company. While not entirely satisfactory, the development within the town or city might be used, as a measure of the total development. In the cases of the larger cities, the proportion of subscribers who are rural subscribers is small, and will not greatly affect the development. It is much less difficult to obtain the additional stations in a community where the development is not high than" in an already well-developed territory. The last subscribers obtained are gen- erally the hardest to obtain. It might be argued that increasing the development is the same, as far as rates are concerned, as putting the exchange in a higher class, on the station-rate curve. This is not the case. The value element of the service, indicated by the development for 27 which a bonus or a penalty is given, does not result from the num- ber of stations served. This number of stations is taken account of by the position of the exchange on the station-rate curve. The value element of the service results from the higher grade of serv- ice produced. Because the service in itself is better, and because the subscriber may, if he desires, obtain connection with a greater number of telephones, the telephone company can sell more tele- phone service, but the latter element of value is otherwise recog- nized and the bonus should be applied only for the good service. If development were used as a basis for a bonus or penalty, it would not be difficult for a public-utility commission to obtain infor- mation in regard to the population, the corresponding number of stations, and the development of each exchange area in its state. The provision of "free service" to neighboring towns has been recognized as having value to the subscribers, and public-utility commissions have allowed increased rates because of free-service. Free-service has the same kind of value as increased development, but the value per given percentage of increase in subscribers with whom it is possible to get connection is not as great as in the case of an increase in development. There is not as free a use of serv- ice over the free-service lines as in the case of inter-office trunks in an urban exchange area, because it is less convenient to use the facilities provided for free service than to use those provided for normal local service, and because there is less community interest among subscribers in neighboring communities than among those in the same community. The method followed in weighting free-' service is explained in the discussion of the curves of Figures 2 to 7 (Section VI). When there are two competing telephone exchanges in a com- munity, the rates tend to decrease because of the competition, as mentioned above, and incidentally the service is worth much less. If rates were determined by modifying the average rate in accord- ance with development, the development of each exchange might be considered either as the total stations of the community divided by the total population (expressed in thousands) of that commu- nity, or as the stations of that exchange divided by the total population of the community. In the latter case, which is the more just, the rates will be low because the development is low, and the rate of the new exchange will be the lower of the two if it has fewer stations than the other. In the other case, the rates will be high because, on account of the competition, the development will be high. 28 CALLING-RATE Not only may the excellence of service be measured by the proportion of total population who buy telephone service, but also by the extent to which each subscriber uses his telephone. The number of calls per subscriber may be computed from the estimated number of calls per year, or if the distribution of calls throughout the day and year is regular and known, from the busy-hour calling- rate. A rough measure of the busy-hour calling-rate is the number of operators' positions occupied; but, as suggested above, this is not entirely satisfactory because it is not independent of the effici- ency of the operating force or management, as is the calling-rate. Even if the calling-rate is low, the number of operators' positions occupied may be high because of inefficiency of operators or of the switchboard in use. The busy-hour calling-rate is more nearly a measure of the peak-load demand on the telephone exchange because it is ap- proximately proportional to positions of the central-office switch board and the number of operators required to operate the switch- board, while the average calling-rate per station is not so good. a measure of the demand on the exchange but is probably a better measure of the satisfaction given the subscribers by the service. Estimates of the average number of calls per month or per year are generally available, while very few of the small telephone com- panies have ever taken peg-counts, which would show their busy- hour calling-rates. However, if required by commissions, busy- hour calling-rates could be obtained without great difficulty, and would generally be a more satisfactory means of measuring the use of the telephone by the subscriber than the estimates of numbers of calls. SECTION VI. STATION-RATE CURVES SOURCES OF INFORMATION Copies of the data sheet shown on page 30 were sent to the five hundred and twenty-five Class A, B, C, and D telephone companies in Ohio. The replies gave reliable information in regard to three hundred and six telephone exchange areas many of which, however, provided only a few classes of service. In addition, many data sheets were received on which the information was inadequate for the purpose of this investigation or unreliable because the intention of the questions had not been understood. Portions of this infor- mation were checked by information obtained from the 1920 "An- nual Report of the Public Utilities Commission of Ohio," "Tele- phony's Directory of the Telephone Industry," and the records of 29 the Public Utilities Commission of Ohio. When all of this informa- tion was arranged and examined, it was found that enough infor- mation was in hand to plot reliable curves showing the variation of telephone rates with the number of stations served by telephone exchanges. There are in Ohio many groups of one city surrounded by a number of small towns and villages which present telephone condi- tions which differ from the general conditions. In each of these groups, free long-distance service or "free-service" between com- munities is more highly developed than it is in general. The service is of a higher grade because it is given in cities, and towns and villages, the standards of service of which have been influenced by Fill Out One of These Sheets for EACH Town or City in Which Your Telephone Company Operates Telephone Company. .Town Number of stations in town Population of town - Number of exchanges in town Miles of pole line Plant valuation (if available) Annual operating expense Capital stock JBonds — Kind of system (magneto, central energy, or automatic) _ Average number of stations on rural lines On party lines... Type of ringing _ _ Towns to which free service is given _ ...._ Conditions which make plant valuation or operating expenses high and which would therefore warrant high rates ., Class of Service Number of Stations Eate Business, 1-party...... Business, 2-party. Business, 4-party. Business, Rural Residence, 1-party... Residence, 2-party... Residence, 4-party... Residence, Rural Switching Extensions P. B. X. Trunks - P. B. X. Extensions.. P. B. X. Boards Data Sheet 30 the cities. Business service is relatively more important, and the rates are higher because of the higher grade of service and the more highly developed free-service between communities. These groups of communities have been collected in this investigation in Group 1. In Group 2 are included cities and towns in which, similarly, the service is of high grade and the rates proportionally high, but in which free-service is not as prevalent as in the cities and toAvns of Group 1. The equipment and service methods of Group 2 are more thoroughly standardized than those of Group 1. One group of communities of less than 1000 stations each, un- der one management, have been included in Group 3, and the re- maining telephone exchanges investigated, in Group 4. Consideration of the larger communities in which message-rate service is provided, and in which much of the outside plant is underground, has been omitted because of lack of data. There is, however, no indication that this plan for rate determination cannot be applied to such communities. METHOD OF PLOTTING CURVES The numbers of stations in the various exchanges were plotted as abscissae on sheets of cross section paper against rates as ordinates. The average curves were obtained by finding the center of gravity of each group of points falling in a vertical column on the curve sheets and on each sheet drawing a smooth curve through as many as possible of these centers of gravity. The points for the average-weighted-rate curves were ob- tained by adding the products of the various rates and the corre- sponding numbers of stations and dividing the sum of these products by the total number of stations. The result is the same as would be obtained by dividing the total operating income from local service by the total number of stations. Many of the cases ex- amined were checked in this manner. Figures 2 to 7 show typical sets of residence-rate curves. One hundred and twenty curves similar to these curves were plotted. Those of Groups 1, 2, and 4 are summarized in Figures 8, 9, and 10. Several of the less important curves were omitted from the sum- mary-sheets for the sake of clearness. The curves of Group 3 are not shown on a summary-sheet because they do not extend beyond 1000 stations, and because they coincide very closely with the lower portions of the curves of Group 2, shown in Figure 9. 31 I^^ll^rmi i P ^ ! :: 1 Ijl a|[|i fSfJ^ IE r I jijiji' ISM TTTrm Si™ m4fi||||||l][| II II 1 I 1 .( i— li» 1 ^ 1 S: 1 gl iJ5:3 1 1 jfl: i^ffi ffi si { I Is 1 ^ it 1 3 ii ^ fitji i, t|| m i ffl ^S 1 *p II |41 fir 1^ i Ii; 11;! ::;: :B M It 1 1 Hjas 33 J IIS '■' T-T St 1 i 1 1 i| |i v[\\\ i ^ -i wSi MV It 1 ti- i ' Ii IP |g|j i |ii! ' tt ■ toJ! )^ Si =Ef tT+t t i I'l 1 M iH Si -i i 9 sUP ; = - ip: = 2^! hSIh Stt 1: Htm II ii ' 1 ■ 1 1 iffl if fp III ii si ^m fi |ii iiii mi t if i SI 1 1 1 m is 1 1 g§|i^ il if i 1 t^H 1 11 1 " "'Ii 1 1 ifSiWv iggji ; ^t m J i Titiil jJJ:ttJJ 1 { i 11 i £ffl ^kl^ 3 kimug ■ ttfHf ffi^ t B t SS^M ■ ^ s b; t B ' ttp^ i ■ gl N' 1 1 M i IP 1 1 1 1 1 ■? s H 1 I'TTwli Figure 2 FigTire 8 32 1 1 1 1 ft s i 1 FT IT 1 1 1 i m ffi i 3 Ma 1 1 ia ■ 1 1*1 jj ■I SSk ^ ^^1 w Ssffi ffl |j||S;- i,±;.^ ^s ^ ^ ^Si S^ K fe ^ piLyi.! { ^n w ' 1 mm p£ p ^ 1 ■ 1 H 1 ■ ■ II !g h ■ ll Figure 4 Figure 5 33 FREE-SERVICE It was found early in the investigation that free long-distance service or "free-service" between communities has had an appre- ciable effect upon the rates. This relation is to be expected because the value of the service to each subscriber is increased by an increase in the number of subscribers with whom he may, if he wishes, obtain connection. A sufficient number of exchange areas not affected by free- service were available in the case of the communities of Group 4 to plot reliable curves of business-one-party, residence-one-party, residence-rural, and average-weighted rates against numbers of stations. Figures 2 and 3 show the residence-one-party curves. The additional stations made available to the subscribers of a community by means of free-service between communities cannot be valued the same per station as the stations in the community itself, because it is less convenient to use the facilities provided for free-service than to use those provided for normal local service, and because there is less community interest among subscribers in neighboring communities than among those in the same commu- nity. When the stations of Group 4 made available by free-service facilities are discounted by a factor of .33 and the points corre- sponding to the corrected exchange areas are plotted on sheets containing the curves of Figures 2 and 3, as in Figures 4 and 5, it will be seen that if curves representing the average of all of the points — those which have been corrected for free-service, and those which are not affected by free-service — were plotted, they would not differ greatly from the curves of Figures 2 and 3. Greater or less correction than that obtained by the use of the factor .33 will result in curves which vary more or less from the original curves. As the curves of Figures 2 and 3 are plotted with sufficient points to be reliable, and as it may be assumed that the curves of Figures 4 and 5 will have the same shapes if their one point of difference — the effect of free-service — is properly weighted, .33 may be accepted as the weighting-factor which properly indicates the value of the free-service facilities with respect to the facilities pro- vided for local service. Data sheets were received from many telephone companies which did not state whether or not free-service was provided. Al- though it may reasonably be assumed that if no mention were made of free-service, no free-service facilities were provided, the points corresponding to these sheets were separated from the rest of the points and plotted as in Figures 6 and 7 with the curves of Figures 2 and 3. It will be seen that their addition to the points of Figures 34 1 1 1 1 1 i ji i l ft; 1 is 1 HI Pi 1 1 = li] 1 &■ E 1 i i 1 i Hi 1 i\ 1 1 ffl jjttW 1 1 1 [ :: 1 1 1 If 1 1 5 i i M 1 1 i 1 1 ^H r ' 1 ' ' ' 1 1 1 1 ll 1 1 ! Pil II llfflffli SiJ ±ia m jM m ity ffit ^ gfflttm mjm 1^ liiiit m™ """ ™™ a™ ±tyj iuMi aaUBt( Figure 7 35 2 and 3 would not noticeably change the shape of the curves. Busi- ness-one-party, residence-one-party, residence-rural, and average- Weighted rates were treated in this manner. In the cases of busi- ness-two and four-party, business-rural, and residence-two-party rates, it was necessary in order to obtain enough points to give reliable curves, to use the points corresponding to both exchange areas with no free-service and exchange-areas with free-service, with the necessary correction. It will be noted that the curve of business-four-party rates bends below 1000 stations in a direction opposite to that of the other curves. This curve is reliable in this respect because the number of points in this region is large. The corresponding curve for Group 1 of exchange-areas, plotted inde- pendently, has the same shape. In the case of residence-four-party rates it was found that the curves did not correspond in shape to the other curves plotted. This curve is one of slight slope, so that only a small correction should be allowed for free-service in fixing rates. If too great allowance for free-service has been made, no correction for free- service, however great, which might be made, will make the points fall on the average curves, because the correction for free-service is made by moving the points horizontally along the axis of stations. For this reason, it was decided that a misleading result would be obtained if points corrected for free-service were used in plotting the curve. These points were accordingly rejected and the curve plotted from "no free-service" points and from points for which no free-service conditions had been reported. In these cases it was assumed, as stated above, that there was no free-service. The numbers of points available with which to plot curves of business-extension, residence-extension, and switching rates, and private-branch-exchange-board, trunk and extension rates were small so that points corrected for free-service as well as "no free- service" points and those for which no free-service conditions had been reported were used in obtaining the average curves. The telephone service of the telephone companies of Group 1 provides generally for free-service so that points corrected for free- service had to be used in plotting the curves of the various classes of service. It is assumed that if the points were properly corrected for free-service, the curves would have the shapes of the curves obtained by plotting the "no free-service" points of Group 4. When the business-one-party curve is plotted without correction for free- service, and corrected by factors of .33 and .10, the latter curve is similar in shape to the curve of "no free-service" points of Group 4, while the curves plotted without correction and with a correction 36 MONTHLY RATE (DOLLARS) 4 3 2 \ 1 ■ki \ ^ r _^ ;' \ i: i:^ \ 5 *- 1 1 I \ 4 ? Q ft; Its C V ts m :• s; 1 ? l-i- ». Q t t ^ \ \ l-S 1? "^ ^ ,i t \ \ 1 ^ I* ^ « 1^ S ' li= kl \ \ 1 "Si %) \ \ 1 *« ^ SJS 5 *) 1 ^ lo S ■& •& V A. ■S \ \ '' lu te v> *^ IS £ V « 5^ \ \ \ '^\ ^ * K ? (tt CQ$ It \ \ A "tA 1 " l\ £\ ■5 1 »o\ --\ §1 i °-\ ■^1 t? s\ o\ " o\ c ^\ ^\ -\ -\ A "2 ■=*\ 3\ -3 1 ■» 2 ai\ CD \ "^l * \ 1 \ \ i \ H .S CO 37 MONTHLY RATE (DOLLARS) 4 3 2 I '*t ,^ ■^ 1 tn \ s:l 1.. 5 ^ 1 fX.1 "► « •^ '^1 b c I ■V- ■5 1 "3 1^ io^ ^ vH o Vt V 1 ^\ 1 5 4 1 V t 5- 'O -i* 5. i • J 5 ^ S ^ ' u r Vd ^ (J , H nk w ^ Sj A\ 51 ■" ■0 s « \ — \ \ VI \ V. \ _\ 1 ^ \ \ \ 1 1 tl- \ (i \ I \ 1 1 ^ \ ^ \i o \ 1 \ 1 1 ^ ^\ 1 \ 1 1 5: 1 «j ^\ "^1 \ ■~i i>« a\ ^1 \ I 0) >j>\ tl \ 1 1 '^X ^\ •^1 1 5 >s\ 1 *c.> \ * 'a *^ 1 ?A 1 \ ■^ ^\ '^ i>\ 0.1 "^1 c 1 c.\ 5* \ *^\ vt \ Cl. \ a-\ "^X w» \ tfi\ c\ 1 \ \ \ 1 §\ 51\ 'tl ~\ *o CK sA £\ y 1 '^\ ■^\ t\ -. b^ A A §.\ S i 1^ cw \ -\ 'C\ Ml 5 SS «n\ «o \ ^ y \ \ \ \ \ \ ^\ \\ 1 \'^ \\\| 1 ■ ^ ^ 1 r. ai 3 ;?; U o S HH a « «DtJ(i-ICO 00"«#TfOO© PSWN;^Ci OSr^^iHM HNNiH WlMi- HNWN rHrHiH«rt 00-4<00CDO OOOIOO C> Oi ^ ffl . , lOCOrH CO ooooo WOO lOt-H i~( COM N «"«# OOkOOO OOOOO OOtOlOO oousoo Ooooo OIOOS'NCVJ OSOJCeC-CO QOOlrHOCO lOC0«Ctt>«0 t-OUSu3 0>' i-i"*oN» coooonNco egoNo-^ coiacomo u5t-iot-o W^CO'<*'lO UJlOtOiOtO iOlOMNM CONCONcO NcO'*«ON M t-CON-'it T T T i III I II I 1 1 OSOC-SD^ «0 r-l 00 OS W t-OiHOOr-l OS -^"-f 00 00 NcoeoNt- lO t-o>o»o CDTli(Ml>cO -*^r-ll>CO IMNiHMtH NiHiM WN F-l(N(N]CO 00 U3 coo O [COO 00 o o w^ OOO oo cooooo Tj-(U3(00 t-ONtOrl< COC-IOIOCO dcotococ- SlOC-O OOOOOO ^OCOIOtH IMIOANU rsocjOT rH o CO c- c- lOTfocio ©o»eoooQ OCgCOlA COOiHCOtH OOUSCOUSIO t-03U3Sa<: _,-,... rH r-1 rH j-i'y-t iH rH Ou3S OIOlOeON OOt-'^M ■^^■5!3<« ©JNiHOSr-l MiHrHN^ rt lOiOcqOt- C- ^ « CO N OS t- M '^ t- 00 ei oa i-( ■«* iHooioi'-" t>o>t-iooo ijtioeotow wt-^woo t-ou3ooua oocoo^o)'^ -^lon-^oi lotttko-^to ^kooosoo a o 9 unzn[03 JO uoi^BiJBA ^uoojaj t- -.fOOOTtt ^^■"J" O>O>W«*C0 T|(rHT|t»at- »00-U3l>tO OOiHiaOQC0 *iaeo^ed -J TJt^io .^eo^-flHt^ Tjicowwco •^■^mt^id jad sn^O JO jaquinij lO 1333 7 8580 7500 11667 6267 146925 7 ©t-O eOWeOrHOO rHOOSrHM Ol M Ifl t- Oi owes eoMMUSOO COOiHC-CO iacONoo«. OCOC30 cococot-eo ooia-^uao ocoooooo loojeo usiowiot- eo-^ioc-oo o^jiNoot- rH rH rH rH M tH 1 S unin{OQ JO uoi^BUBA luaojaj ■<* in |wt-co wceoacoo m-^N^O"* ^ ih»o -^^ot-to 3U!1 »Iod JO saiiM CO ^10«04<0 «>t-t--*CO OiCOOflOrH rt CD CO W* O N -^ O fc- kOjHiHoOS -^.-lOSr-tOl M'^COiaC- toooocot- ooiot--^>-* CSONiHO OiHrHrHO O iH fH O O O O O rH O O O O O rH aujT aio£ jo sauM N 04U30^o> O4Tj«co t-cowsMos co-^ioto OOCWIOOI-^ Oit-tDWC- cOOOUBt- lO tJ< cO -^ 6 uran[oo JO UOI^BUB^ ^uaoj9(i I -^111 1 I I ■Bajy s^uBnoxg aq^ ui aidoaj puBsno^x ^^'^ a3uBi[oxg; ui euoi^B^^g CO t- (M N "n< SO cq «■<* CI 00"<* CO lO 00 la CO Oi osoo ■^ iH iH CO (N ■^c-tcio eOiHN N H -xg JO uoi:vB[nt[0(£ i-c^ojcooi #c-q omeo-^t£> eooNosc- ooo"^ latceDrHi-H o'^oi^ee coo(DOio ooitco MrH-S'OOCO 0» (O CO «0 M rH t- t- - VCD rH OOCSOCJ N-<#OOCDN eococoo OOWtOt-iH t-cONOi aun eioj; jo sajti^ eooaooiaco (M to CO as CO eooo t-wo 00 00"^* t-io •HOOpH suoi^b:jS 3ui3iao^ ■ON OCO Cco tr-OOO N 00 O COCl 60^ caeOTit-voo o t- c- eg CO coiocgrH OCOi-HlOCO O rH O rH 60 » 1 I I •ON •HMeO^lA tfit-OOtfiO rHrHrHrHrH rH rH rH rH W N M IN 21 uninioo GO OlMrH OOMce'A'* CO T ooeoc- eoMte-^r-H -^low -ui 3u!()VJ3(Io ssojg N ooeofio mcOMoeo rH Oiorn oiOoorH la (NrHrH N rH g^ N W rH 2.06 1.46 1.43 1.97 1.71 2.02 1.33 1.76? 1.32? 1.47? 1.48 -UI Sui^iijado ssojg i-H OCqO rHOoOO WUOOOO OOOIOO oo© OOiDiO t-OioOU3 rHCOOOO rH rH O tP CD rH lO rH OrHrH O 00 qq O « ■«*< 00 lO lO CO 00 "^ rH «0 C- 00 W lO (NC4Cq WNiotOW W COrHCO rHCOCOrHN rH rH CO 1 a 6 uain[00 JO UOHBIJBA ^uaajaj O TT ^T 1 Tr rH-^'^rHCd 00 O t- W "^ V^ fS r^ 04 •eajV aSuBqaxa aip ui aidoaj puBsnoqi, jad aauBi{3xs Ut SUOUKJS Oi OOrPOOOOCO t-00eDOC3J t-OMiH-* 0000«O-*M MCim 00"«*«eOlOTP tHCOCOO-^ OLOrHiHCJ eOOMCOrt CO.HM THi-llNWfH OarHrHCO i0.^01 TJJC-;rHCDO OCD->J«00« C-;-^^N"*iH COOO >-J^o'(N»o eeeJiO'^id ■^ t- O CO O O ifl 05 "3 CO O C" i-HCOiHrHrH i-t rH ^ 51 TABLE 5 DEVIATIONS USED IN OBTAINING CONSTANTS Values of the percentages of deviation, P, C, D, and R, from the observa- tion equations of the form, Ki P+K^ C+Kj D:^R, applying to the consistent cases chosen for solution by Method of Least Squares. 1 No. of Case 1 1 P C D B No. of Case P c D B 1 —47 + 3 + 18 — 6 36 +77 +129 +10 +32 2 —21 +93 — 4 —18 — 1 37 + 3 + 2 +27 + 8 3 +20 —16 — 7 38 —63 +116 — 4 + 8 4 —37 -19 — 6 — 1 39 —31 —17 + 12 + 6 5 —25 —26 —30 — 7 40 — 1 —20 — 4 — 5 6 —28 —68 + 12 —24 41 —29 —20 — 1 — 6 7 +26 — 7 —25 + 19 42 —31 +61 —36 +12 8 —24 + 15 + 10 — 4 43 +20 — 2 — 6 + 2 9 —65 —11 —27 —16 44 +86 —33 +37 +12 10 -71 —65 + 6 + 3 45 —61 + 18 —32 — 5 11 —11 —27 + 21 — 6 46 +38 ■+ 7 + 3 + 12 + 17 + 7 + 1 + 3 47 +40 +110 + 8 +20 13 —48 — 3 +62 — 9 48 +62 —61 +17 —12 14 +117 —20 — 8 + 14 49 -21 +30 — 1 —18 16 + 64 — 9 —22 +21 60 —45 —46 —24 —12 16 —49 +57 —12 + 8 61 +20 —12 — 4 +18 17 +56 — 4 —24 +34 62 +37 —35 +62 —17 18 -3 —44 +23 — 8 53 48 + 9 +40 — 2 19 +72 + 4 —18 + 3 54 +59 -31 + 6 —24 20 —19 — 2 +28 +12 56 —62 + 2 -4 + 1 21 —49 —10 +32 + 9 56 +128 —36 —22 —24 22 —46 +28 —18 +21 67 —72 —40 —46 —15 23 +17 —20 +21 +14 68 1 —86 + ^ —129 —15 24 + 3 + 4 —26 +23 69 1 -21 +28 — 3 — 1 26 +28 +21 —30 +11 60 1 +21 1 —16 —30 — 4 26 I + -14 +30 —10 61 —46 +37 —16 +22 27 —69 —29 + 7 —26 62 1 +19 —12 —10 — 6 28 +54 —39 + 9 — 7 63 -67 +34 + 9 +25 29 1 —46 -14 + —11 64 1 —72 —24 + 7 —14 30 —24 +23 — 2 + 2 66 +260 +21 +22 +37 31 —34 —24 +12 — 2 66 1 +16 1 -6 — 6 — 6 32 —20 —87 +80 —21 67 1 -13 —10 — 8 33 —20 + 134 — 9 +11 68 1 +23 —20 + 9 — 2 34 —57 +35 + 2 + 8 69 1 —57 +24 — 6 + 6 35 +24 —60 +81 +30 1 1 Ki = .08±,6 K. .16+,. 62 K. = .02+.1.3 The high degree of uncertainty in the values of these constants is due to the fact that if bonuses or penalties P, C, or D were applied, it was done unconsciously and, therefore, in an irregular and un- certain manner. The injustice of the present system of rate de- termination, which has, in many cases, penalized some telephone companies for the same conditions for which it has rewarded others, is strongly indicated by these results. SECTION VIII. APPROXIMATELY JUST BONUSES AND PENALTIES The values of the bonus and penalty constants which should justly be applied may be approximately computed as follows: As- sume a division of plant valuation as shown in Table 6, which is a reasonable average estimate for telephone plants of the size con- sidered — one thousand to three thousand stations — and average percentages which the elements of production and investment ex- penses are of plant valuation, as shown in Table 7. Then analyze the effects on rates of variations in miles of pole line per station, average calls per day per station, and development. Such analyses will indicate that the constants should have larger values than those obtained above. TABLE 6 DIVISION OF TELEPHONE PLANT VALUATION Percentage of Total Division of Telephone Plant Plant Valuation Outside plant 60 Substation equipment 20 Central o&de equipment 10 Miscellaneous equipment 10 Total 100 TABLE 7 TELEPHONE PRODUCTION AND INVESTMENT COSTS Division of Cost Percentage of Plant Production Costs: Valuation Traffic 8.0 Maintenance 4.5 Commercial 2.5 General 1.5 Investment Costs: Taxes 1.5 Insurance 5 Depreciation 7.5 Interest 8.0 Total Costs 34.0 EFFECT OF INCREASING MILES OF POLE LINE PER STATION If it is assumed that "A" is the original plant valuation, and that the miles of pole line per station are increased one hundred 63 percent, the average calls per station and development remaining unchanged, the original and increased costs of operation are as follows: ^^gLE 8 EFFECT OF INCREASING MILES OF POLE LINE PER STATION Production Costs: Original Cost of Operation Increased Coat of Operation Traffic (8 percent) .08 X A (.08 xA) Maintenance (4.5 percent) .045 X A (.045 X A) + (.0166 X .6 X A) Commercial (2.5 percent) .025 X A (.025 X A) General (1.5 percent) .015 X A (.015 X A) Investment Costs: Taxes (1.5 percent .015 X A (.015 X A) + (.015 X .6 X A) Insurance (.5 percent) .005 X A (.005 X A) + (.005 X .6 X A) Depreciation (7.5 percent) .075 X A (.075 X A) + (.075 X .6 X A) Interest (8 percent) .08 XA (.08 X A) + (.08 X .6 X A) Total Cost (34 percent) .34 X A (.34 X A) + (.115 X A) Percent increase = 100 0^\= 33.8 It is assumed that maintenance increases but not in proportion to increased length of pole line. An increased cost of operation of 33.8 percent for the above one hundred percent increase or .338 percent per percent increase in miles of pole line per station results. Miles of pole line per station is entirely a cost bonus-and-penalty base. Therefore, the bonus-and-penalty constant should be of the order of magnitude of .34 instead of .08, the constant at present applied. EFFECT OF INCREASING AVERAGE CALLS PER DAY PER STATION If the average calls per station are increased one hundred per- cent, the miles of pole line per station, and development remaining unchanged, the cost of operation increases as follows : TABLE 9 EFFECT OP INCREASING AVERAGE CALLS PER DAY PER STATION PrnHiiptinn r,n<5t«- Original Cost Increased Cost rroauction UOStS. of Operation of Operation Traffic (8 percent) .08 X A (.08 X A) -|- (.08 X A) Maintenance (4.5 percent) .045 X A (.045 X A) -|- (.045 X .1 X A) Commercial (2.5 percent) .025 X A (.025 X A) General (1.5 percent) .015 X A (.015 X A) Investment Costs: Taxes (1.5 percent) .015 X A (.015 X A) + (.015 X .1 X A) Insurance (.5 percent) .005 X A (.005 X A) -f (.005 X .1 X A) Depreciation (7.5 percent) .075 X A (.075 X A) + (.075 X .1 X A) Interest (8 percent) .08 X A (.08 X A) -)- (.08 X .1 X A) Total Cost (34 percent) .34 x A (.34 X A) + (.102 X A) Percent increase = 100 I' . I=:30 The increase in the cost of operation for the one hundred per- cent increase in average calls per station per day is 30.0 percent or .30 percent per percent increase in average calls per station per day. 64 Original Cost Increased Cost of Operation of Operation .08 X A (.08 X A) + (.08 X A) .045 X A (.045 X A) + (.045 X A) .025 X A (.025 X A) + (.025 X A) .015 X A (.015 X A) + (.015 X A) .015 X A (.015 X A) + (.015 X A) .005 X A (.005 X A) + (.005 X A) .075 X A (.075 X A) + (.075 X A) .08 XA (.08 X A) + (.08 X A) .34 X A (.34 X A) + (.34 X A) As each subscriber uses his telephone twice as much as he did originally, it may reasonably be assumed that the value of the service has been increased 100 percent or one percent per percent increase in calls per station. If the value of the bonus and penalty base is the average of the above percentages, it should be .65 in- stead of .16, the constant at present applied. EFFECT OF INCREASING DEVELOPMENT If the development were increased one hundred percent, the miles of pole line per station, and the average calls per day per station remaining unchanged, the cost of operation would increase as follows : TABLE 10 EFFECT OP INCREASING DEVELOPMENT Production Costs: Traffic (8 percent) Maintenance (4.5 percent) Commercial (2.5 percent) General (1.5 percent) Investment Costs: Taxes (1.5 percent Insurance (.5 percent) Depreciation (7.5 percent) Interest (8 percent) Total Cost (34 percent) Percent increase = 100 ( W )= 1^0 The increase in cost of operation is one hundred percent, but as there is also an increase of one hundred percent in the number of stations, there is no increase in the cost of operation per station. However, each subscriber has access to twice as many other sub- scribers as originally, so that as a first approximation the value of the service to each subscriber may be assumed to have increased one hundred percent. If the bonus and penalty base is the average of the percentages of increase of cost and value, it should be .50 instead of .02, the constant at present applied. SECTION IX. JUST BONUSES AND PENALTIES The above method of computing the proposed bonus and pen- alty constants is such an approximate one that they cannot be accepted without a further analysis of their effects upon a telephone company, which attempts to obtain a bonus by increasing P, C, or D, and upon its subscribers. In order to make such an analysis, a suggested classification of telephone companies in accordance with rates will be made, a typical telephone exchange chosen, and an analysis made of the effect of increasing P, C, and D, separately, the other two constants remaining unchanged in each case. 65 Throughout this discussion, non-essential digits and fractions will be omitted. CLASSIFICATION OP TELEPHONE EXCHANGES IN ACCORDANCE WITH RATES AND NUMBERS OF STATIONS OPERATED In classifying the telephone exchanges with respect to rates, the most practicable plan will be to define arbitrarily the classes of telephone exchanges with respect to the numbers of stations oper- ated, and to make a separate rate schedule for each class. As the smallest change in rate which is ordinarily considered is 25 cents a month, and as the business-one-party station-rate curve has the greatest slope and the greatest reliability of the station-rate curves, the basis for classification used is a change of 25 cents a month on the business-one-party curve. By a comparision of the slopes of the business-one-party and average-weighted-rate curves, between 1000 and 3000 stations, it will be seen that the ratio of slopes is approxi- mately 5 to 1 ; that is, a change of 25 cents a month on the business- one-party curve corresponds to a change of approximately 5 cents a month on the average-weighted-rate curve. Marking off 25-cent intervals from $2.00 to $6.00 on the busi- ness-one-party curve of Group 4, seventeen classes are obtained as shown in Table 11. The corresponding numbers of stations may be obtained by drawing vertical lines from the points on the curve to the axis of stations. ^ * t>t -ni i , TABLE 11 STATION-RATE CLASSIFICATION Business- Corre- Rate One-Party spending Limits in Station Limits in Class Rate Stations Stations Class Stations 1 $2.00 1-100 2 2.25 220 101-300 A 1-700 3 2.50 500 301-700 4 2.75 1000 701-1300 B 301-1800 5 3.00 1550 1301-1800 6 3.25 2200 1801-2600 C 701-3400 7 3.50 3000 2601-3400 8 3.75 3800 3401-4200 9 4.00 4600 4201-5000 D 1801-7400 10 4.25 5400 5001-5800 11 4.50 6200 5801-6600 12 4.75 7000 6601-7400 E 3401-9900 13 6.00 7850 7401-8200 14 5.25 8700 8201-9100 15 5.50 9500 9101-9900 F 7401-11700 16 5.75 10350 9901-10700 17 6.00 11200 10701-11700 The second and third columns show the rates and corresponding numbers of stations for the rate classes. The fourth column shows the numbers of stations limiting the rate classes. The station-class 56 limits, in the sixth column, are chosen so that each exchange will be placed in two classes. To the classification of business-one-party rates correspond similar classifications of all of the other rates. It will probably not be desirable that the telephone companies adhere rigidly to these classifications. The income of each exchange will be determined by the average weighted rate of the rate-class in which the exchange is placed, modified by bonuses or penalties which may be applied to it. The telephone companies can generally be depended upon to allocate their rates so that the service will be developed in the man- ner most satisfactory to the community, for this will generally be the allocation which will be most profitable to the telephone com- pany. If cases occur where the telephone company, having been assigned an average-weighted rate and bonuses or penalties, at- tempts by manipulating its rate classification to increase its income at the expense of the community, it will be made apparent to the public-utility commission by comparison with the average rate classifications of all exchanges. The telephone company may then be given an opportunity to justify its classification. Cases will, of course, occur where abnormal rate-classifications are justified, but they should always be subjected to examination. Each telephone exchange shall be assigned to two station- classes. By the application of bonuses, a telephone company might possibly obtain the highest rate in the upper class, or by the appli- cation of penalties, it may have to accept the lowest rate in the lower class. Thus, an exchange operating 1500 stations would be placed in Classes B and C. It might be able by bonuses to obtain a rate of $3.50 a month for business-one-party service, or it might have to accept $2.50 a month because of penalties. The correction by bonuses or penalties shall be made from the rate of the non-over- lapping, or rate classes. Thus the bonuses and penalties of the exchange of 1500 stations would be applied to a rate of $3.00 a month. If sufficient bonus were applied to amount to 25 cents a month, the rate schedule corresponding to $3.25 a month would apply. The above classification will amply provide for bonuses or penalties which are likely to be earned by abnormal bonus and penalty bases. THE TYPICAL TELEPHONE EXCHANGE In order to obtain further information in regard to the fairness of the present and proposed bonuses and penalties, they were ap- plied to a typical exchange of 2000 stations, which is an average of the range of numbers of stations in the exchanges to which the present constants apply. Since all of the data from which the B7 present bonus and penalty constants were obtained refer to the exchanges of Group 4, the station-rate curves of this group were used in assigning limits to the various classes. Referring to Table 11, it may be seen that the typical exchange of 2000 stations may fall in station-classes C or D. Making use of the average values which apply to the Ohio telephone exchanges of Table 2, the plant and service statistics of Table 12 would apply to the typical telephone exchange of 2000 stations. TABLE 12 STATISTICS OF TYPICAL TELEPHONE EXCHANGE OF TWO THOUSAND STATIONS 1. Working stations 2,000 2. Miles of pole line (2000 x .075) 150 3. Average calls per day (2000 x 5.02) 10,040 4. Maximum busy-hour load (2000 x .710) 1,420 5. Population of field for development (2000/229) (1000) 8,750 6. Plant valuation (44880/0.34) $132,000 7. Gross annual income (2000 x 1.87 x 12) $44,880 8. Kate for business-one-party service (Class 6) $3.25 RATE AND BONUS AND PENALTY CHANGES REQUIRED TO RAISE AN EXCHANGE FROM ONE RATE CLASS TO ANOTHER As has been pointed out, a change of 5 cents a month on the average-weighted-rate station-rate curve corresponds to a change of 25 cents a month on the business-one-party curve. Then from the definitions of P, C, D, and R, it follows that the percent change in average-weighted rate necessary to raise the exchange from one rate class to another is .05/1.87 ^ 2.7 percent, where $1.87 is the average average-weighted rate of Table 2. It follows also that the corresponding percent changes in the bonus and penalty bases with the present and proposed constants are as shown in Table 13. TABLE 13 PERCENT CHANGE IN P, C, OR D REQUIRED TO RAISE EXCHANGE TO HIGHER CLASS Present Percent Change Proposed Percent Change Con- Basis Constant to Kaise to Constant to Raise to stant Higher Rate Class Higher Rate Class Ki Pole Line .08 2.7/.08 = 34 .34 2.7/.34 = 8 Kj Calls per Day .16 2.7/.16 = 17 .65 2.7/.65 = 4 K3 Development .02 2.7/.02 = 135 .50 2.7/.50 = 5 Thus, in order to raise the telephone company from one rate class to another, the development must be increased by 135 percent, an impossible increase with the present constants. With the pro- posed constants, an increase in development of 5 percent will ac- complish a like result. EFFECT OF INCREASING P; HOLDING C AND D UNCHANGED Miles of pole line per station is a measure of conditions against which a telephone company must contend, rather than a condition 58 which it would be expected to better. Thus, a telephone company would obtain a bonus if it were necessary for the pole line per sta- tion to be higher than the average for exchanges of the same size in order that it might reach its subscribers. The company would not, however, be expected to extend lines into sparsely settled re- gions merely to obtain a bonus. In order that the telephone company described in Table 12 may obtain an increase in its business-one-party rate of 25 cents a month, or in its average-weighted rate of 5 cents a month, by in- creasing the miles of pole line per station, an increase of pole line per station of 8 percent (with proposed constant) or of 34 percent (with present constant) is necessary as is shown in Table 13. Ac- cordingly, the miles of pole line per subscriber must be increased from .075 to .081 or .100. If it is assumed that the new territory is one-tenth as thickly settled as the original territory, and if x represents the additional subscribers requiring, each, 0.75 miles of pole line to connect them to the central office, (150 + 0.75 x) / 2000 = .081, and x = 16, or (150 + 0.75 x) / 2000 = .100, and x = 66 That is, with the present constants there will be required 66 sub- scribers with 50 additional miles of pole line, and with the proposed constants there will be required 16 subscribers with 12 additional miles of pole line. Assuming the average values of Table 2, the plant statistics with the proposed and present constants would then be as follows : With Proposed With Present Constants Constants 1. Working stations 2,000 2,000 2. Miles of pole line 162 200 3. Average calls per day 10,040 10,040 4. Population of field for development 8,810 9,020 5. Development 227 222 6. Gross annual income $46,080 $46,080 7. Original gross annual income $44,880 $44,880 8. Gain in gross annual income $1,200 $1,200 9. Cost of installing necessary additional well-con- structed pole line $7,800 $32,500 10. Cost of installing cheapest additional pole line. . . $1,200 $5,000 11 Increase in production and investment costs other than interest corresponding to "9" $870 $3,640 12 Increase in production and investment costs other than interest corresponding to "10" $130 $560 13. Net gain in gross income corresponding to "9". . . $330 — $2,440 14. Net gain in gross income corresponding to "10" .. . $1,070 $640 15 Maximum profitable investment corresponding to "9".. . . $4,130 —$30,500 16 Maximum profitable investment corresponding ■ to "10" $13,380 $8,000 17. Business-one-party rate $3.50 $3.50 59 An explanation of each item and a discussion of the plant sta- tistics as a whole follow : (1) The number of working stations in each case is 2000, rather than 2016, and 2066, because when the additional pole line was installed, it was not assumed that any new subscribers were obtained. Obtaining new subscribers relates to develop- ment, and will be considered under development. (2) As stated above, 12 and 50 miles of pole line were added. Hence the total miles of pole line are 162 and 200. (3) The calls per day per station, and therefore calls per day, remain unchanged. (4) As miles of pole line is assumed to be a measure of area served, and as it has been assumed that the additional territory to be served is only one-tenth as thickly populated as the original territory, the populations of the original and in- creased fields for development will be proportional to the miles of pole line, with the additional pole line properly weighted. Then, if x equals the population of the increased field. 229 1000 X 2000 — 150 _150 + 1.2 ^ ^^^ x = 8810, and 229 __15Mi5_ ^ ^jjj x = 9020 1000 X 2000 150 (5) Development is obtained by dividing the stations by the population of the fields for development, and multiplying by 1000 2000 2000 ^, mnn ooo V innn — 227 nnH X 1000 = 222 8810 ^ i""" — ^'''. ana g^go These values represent decreases of .87 percent and 3.06 percent from the average development, 229. As changes of 5 percent and 135 percent respectively are required to move a telephone exchange from one class to another, the above de- creases in development may, in the case under discussion, be neglected. Development, although closely associated with miles of pole line per station is thus found to be negligible with re- gard to rate correction. This follows from the fact that they are measures of two entirely different, although dependent, conditions. Miles of pole line per station is a measure of sparseness of population, while development is a measure of the number of people in a given population who use the tele- phone, whether this population is thin and rural or thick and urban. 60 The interdependence of the two lies in the fact that there is a natural and easily explained tendency to construct pole lines first in thickly settled communities or along the high- ways. In this early stage development would be low and pole line per station low. As the more sparsely settled regions are reached, development and miles of pole line per station would both increase. However, in the case of a telephone exchange of the size under consideration, development within the field will bring no increase in pole line per station, but probably a decrease, since it does not involve the construction of extra pole line, so much as it does persuading unwilling customers to buy telephone service. Thus, in order to raise miles of pole line per station the telephone company must exploit new terri- tory. This will increase the field for development rapidly, but the stations only gradually. Therefore, as pole line per station increases, development will decrease. (6) and (7) The original gross annual income is $1.87X 12X2000=$44,880. The gross annual income is ($1.87+.05) X12X2000=$46,080 where .05 is the bonus, corresponding to the increase of 25 cents a month in the business-one-party rate. (8) The difference between (6) and (7) gives the in- crease in gross annual income — in each case, $1200 — due to the bonus allowed for 12 or 50 additional miles of pole line con- structed. It makes no allowance, however, for the increased investment and production costs due to the additional pole line. (9) and (10) If the telephone company desired to con- struct a permanent pole line with which to give good service, the cost of the pole line might be assumed to be $650 a mile. If, on the other hand, the additional pole line were constructed merely to obtain a bonus, it would be constructed as cheaply as possible, and the cost might be as low as $100 a mile. The corresponding costs of the 12 miles of pole line would be $7800 and $1200, and of the 50 miles of pole line, $32,500 and $5000. (11) and (12) An increased investment results in in- creased production and investment costs. If pole line per sta- tion is increased — average calls per station, and development remaining the same — the production and investment costs, other than interest, will be increased by 11.5/.6, or 19.2 per- cent, less 8 percent interest, or by 11.2 percent of the additional plant valuation as is shown in Table 8. If this factor is applied 61 to the pole line costs of (9) and (10), the increased production and investment costs other than interest will be obtained. They are approximately $870, $130, $3640, and $560. <13) and (14) The difference between these sums and the gain in gross annual income of (8) gives the approximate net gains in gross annual income, $330, $1070,— $2440, and $640. The negative sign indicates that the increase in gross annual income produced by the increase in rates will not be sufficient to cover increase in production and the investment costs, other than interest, chargeable to the increased investment. This increase in production and investment costs would then have to be paid from other sources. (15) and (16) If the above amounts are capitalized at 8 percent, it will be found that the increase in rates obtained by a bonus, will justify expenditures of $4130, $13,380, —$30,500, and $8000 in order to obtain the bonus. (17) This business-one-party rate, $3.50, is the old rate, $3.25 plus a bonus of 25 cents obtained by the additional miles of pole line per station. An examination of the above results leads to the following conclusions : (a) The proposed constant, .34, would not quite produce conditions under which the development of new territory by the construction of the best telephone lines is made profitable and self-supporting. The cost of 12 miles of such a line would be $7800, and the expenditure which would be justified after production and investment costs, other than interest, were paid would be only $4130. (b) The proposed constants would produce conditions Under which the construction of the cheapest telephone lines is easily justified in so far as expenditure of money is con- cerned. The cost of 12 miles of such a line would be $1200 and the expenditure justified is $13,380. ( (c) It would appear that the proposed constant would produce conditions under which the development of new terri- tory by the construction of reasonably good telephone lines (costing $525 per mile) would be justified, and that such lines would in general be satisfactory in new territory. If good judgment is used in the selection of territory to be developed, not only will the pole line bonus immediately give an increase 62 in rates, but after some years, development and average calls per station will increase, and additional revenue due to more subscribers will add value to the investment. These additional sources of revenue follow from judicious selection of the field for development, careful advertisement of service, and efficient management, rather than from the construction of new pole line. The effect of the pole line bonus with respect to the devel- opment of new fields, however, is to encourage such develop- ment by making communities already established, and in direct connection with the new territory, pay for it in advance. (d) The present constant, .08, which has unconsciously been applied would justify only the cheapest development. The expenditure of money which would be justified to obtain a bonus would be $8000, and the cost of the additional fifty miles of pole line would be $5000. (e) The present constant greatly discourages the better types of new pole line construction. The increased production and investment costs attendant upon the construction of fifty miles of good pole line would, even after the increase in rates were granted, result in an annual loss of $2440. This loss would result from the investment of $30,500. In other words, the present system would force the telephone company under dis- cussion, in order to develop new territory, to expend over $30,000, and then accept an annual loss of $2440 for several years until the service is made self-supporting. This affords an explanation of why only a large and wealthy telephone com- pany can exploit new territory advantageously. (f) It would thus appear that the proposed constant is conservative. It might to advantage be made even greater. EFFECT OF INCREASING C; HOLDING P AND D UNCHANGED The average calls per day is a measure both of cost of plant and cost of operation, and of the value of the service to the sub- scriber. From an examination of a limited number of exchanges it was indicated that the maximum busy-hour load is proportional to the average calls per day. The busy-hour load or peak load on the telephone exchange determines in part the size and cost of the central office. In this investigation, because of the difficulty of obtaining information as to the busy-hour load, busy-hour load was represented by average calls per station per day. As the average calls per station per day determines also the cost of operation, this factor is a measure of cost. 63 The use of the telephone will be greater if transmission is good, if service is fast and accurate and generally satisfactory, and if the management is effective. Average calls per station per day, then, is also a measure of the value of telephone service to the subscriber. If the management of the typical telephone exchange described ' in Table 13 should desire to obtain a bonus for average calls per station per day, an increase of 4 percent (with proposed constant) or 17 percent (with present constant) would be necessary in order to raise the telephone company to the next rate-class as is shown in Table 13. The central-office equipment would have to be aug- mented, the operating force added to, the service improved, and advertised, and the good will of the public gained in order that the use of the telephone might be increased. The increases of 4 per- cent and of 17 percent amount to 402 calls per day and 1710 calls per day. The plant statistics with the proposed or present con- stants would then be: with Proposed With Present Cozistant Constant 1. Working stations 2,000 2,000 2. Average calls per day 10,442 11,750 3. Maximum busy-hour load 1,477 1,662 4. Business-one-party rate $3.50 $3.50 5. Gross annual income $46,080 $46,080 6. Original gross annual income $44,880 $44,880 7. Gain in gross annual income $1,200 $1,200 8. Estimated increase in cost of central-office equip- ment $530 $2,240 9. Increase in production and investment costs other than interest $490 $2,110 10. Net gain in gross annual income $710 — $910 11. Maximum profitable investment $8,880 — $11,380 12. Surplus available for advertising and improve- ment of service $8,350 $13,620 An explanation of each item and a discussion of the plant sta- tistics as a whole follow : (1) Working stations have not increased, as any change in the number of working stations would affect development, and development has been assumed to be constant. (2) These numbers of calls are obtained by adding the additional numbers necessary to raise the telephone company into the next higher rate class to the average calls per station per day of the typical telephone exchange described in Table 12. (3) The maximum busy-hour load is 1420. This is ob- tained by multiplying 2000 working stations by .710, a factor obtained from an examination of statistics of twenty telephone exchanges operating between 1000 and 3000 stations. Because 64 of the fact that data in regard to only twenty telephone ex- changes were available, this factor amounts to no more than an indication of the relation between maximum busy-hour calls and stations. The examination of these telephone exchanges indicated also that maximum busy-hour load and average calls per station per day vary in the same proportion. Therefore, the probable maximum busy-hour loads are 1420 + (.04 X 1420), and 1420 + (.17 X 1420), or 1477, and 1662. (4), (5), (6), and (7) Business-one-party rate, gross an- nual income, original gross annual income, and gain in gross annual income are the same as for the previous discussion in regard to miles of pole line per station and are obtained in the same way, (8) The increase in maximum busy-hour load will require a proportional increase in central-office equipment. According to assumption, the gross annual income will amount to 34 per- cent of the plant valuation. Then, if the original gross annual income were $44,880, the original plant valuation must have been $44,880/.34, or $132,000. If 10 percent of this plant valuation is in the central office equipment, this part of the plant valuation, or $13,200, will increase in proportion to the maximum busy-hour loads in the two cases considered. The additional amounts invested, then, are .04 X $13,200, or $530, and .17 X $13,200, or $2240. (9) An increase in the production and investment costs other than interest will result from the increased traffic cost which increases in proportion to the average calls per station per day, and from the increased maintenance and investment costs on the additional central-office equipment which is re- quired. The traffic cost is 8 percent of the plant valuation, as is shown in Table 9, or in this case, $10,560. The approximate increase in traffic costs in the two cases considered, with pro- posed constant, and with present constant, are .04 X $10,560, or $420, and .17 X $10,560, or $1800. As may be seen from Table 9 the increase in maintenance and investment costs other than interest on the additional required central-office equipment is 14 percent of the additional investment in central-office equipment, or in this case, $70 and $310. The total production and investment costs are then $420 plus $70, or $490, and $1800 plus $310, or $2110. 65 (10) The net' gain in gross annual income is obtained by subtracting the above increases in production and investment costs from the gain in gross annual income, $1200 ,resulting in the amounts $710 and — $910. The fact that the latter of these amounts is negative shows that too little importance has been placed upon average calls per day per station or the service factors of which it is an indication, since the increase in pro- duction and investment costs alone is greater than the gain in income resulting from the rate bonus. Hence, with the present constants, a betterment in transmission, speed and accuracy of service, and efficiency of management which would result in increased calls would be penalized. (11) If the net gains in gross annual income are capital- ized at 8 percent, there will be obtained the maximum expen- ditures which would result in profit to the telephone company. These are $8880, and $11,380. (12) The sums available for advertising and improving service are the difference between the maximum profitable ex- penditures and the costs of additional required central-office equipment. These are $8880 — $530, or $8850, and — $11,380 — $2240, or — $13,620. If a proposed bonus and penalty constant of 0.40 instead of 0.65 is used, a 7 percent increase in average calls per station per day will be required to raise the exchange to the next higher rate class. The net gain in gross annual income will be $1200 —$880, or $320, which would justify an investment of $4000. As the increase in the cost of the central-office equipment is $920, $3080 would be left for advertising and service improve- ment. An examination of the above results leads to the following conclusions : (a) The proposed constant, 0.65, is too liberal. The amount available for advertising and improving the service should be more than ample. It will probably be found that a smaller constant as 0.40 will be sufficient to encourage tele- phone companies to better their service and incur expenses of advertising in order to obtain bonuses. (b) The present constant 0.16 is too small. It will be seen that an effort to obtain a bonus will make it necessary for the telephone company to make an annual expenditure in produc- tion and investment costs which exceeds the gain in gross an- nual income by nearly $1000. An improvement in service would thus result in a financial loss, and the telephone company would be penalized for improving its service. In the above discussion, it has been assumed that no sub- scribers would be added. Any advertising campaign, or im- provement of service would obtain new subscribers for the telephone company, and, therefore, increase development. How- ever, unless the advertising campaign were especially directed toward this end, an increase in the number of subscribers suffi- cient to cause an increase to a higher rate due to an increase in development only would not be probable. In actual practice, such a campaign would not be directed toward either end to the exclusion of the other, but the rate increase would finally result from the summation of the effects of both. However, in this discussion, the purpose of which is to determine the justice of the values assigned to the constants, it is, of course, necessary to consider them separately rather than as operating simultaneously. EFFECT OF INCREASING D; HOLDING P AND C UNCHANGED Development is primarily a measure of the value of the tele- phone service to the subscriber, but to obtain a development which is greater than the average, the telephone company must incur expenses of operation and management ; hence cost is also involved. In order to obtain greater than the average development, trans- mission must be improved, and plant troubles which directly affect the subscriber decreased, greater speed and accuracy of service developed, business methods adapted to the needs of the commu- nity, the telephone service advertised, and the service bettered in many other ways. In order, by improving the service, so to increase development that a bonus of 25 cents a month is justified, there will be required an increase of 5 percent in development (with proposed constant) or 135 percent (with present constant) as shown by Table 13. This increase will be applied to the business-one-party rate $3.25 a month of the typical telephone exchange described in Table 12. Assuming that the population of the field for development is constant, these increases in development, would, involve changes in stations of 100 or 2700, or from 2000 to 2100, or 4700. Statistics in regard to the' telephone exchange after the devel- opment with proposed and pfesent constants necessary to earn the 67 bonus had been reached, and the rate increase granted would be as follows : With Proposed With Present Constant Constant 1. Working stations 2,100 4,700 2. Population of field for development 8,750 8,750 3. Rate for business-one-party service $3.50 $4.25 4. Gross annual income $48,400 $116,700 5. Original gross annual income $44,880 $44,880 6. Gain in gross annual income $3,520 $71,820 7. Increase in cost of equipment $6,600 $178,200 8. Increase in production and investment costs other than interest $1,720 $46,400 9. Net gain in gross annual income $1,800 $25,420 10. Maximum profitable investment $22,500 $317,750 11. Justified expenditure for service improvement and advertising $15,900 $139,550 12. Justified yearly expenditure for service improve- ment and advertising $1,270 $11,160 13. Justified yearly expenditure for service improve- ment and advertising per additional station $13 $4 An explanation of each item and a discussion of the statistics as a whole follow : (1) and (2) The percentages of increase in development required to obtain a bonus, 5 and 135 percent, represent 100 and 2700 stations. The total stations then are 2100 and 4700. The population of the field for development has been assumed constant. (3) The rate after a bonus has been obtained with the pro- posed constant is $3.25 plus $.25, or $3.50 a month. The 4700 stations required to obtain a bonus with the present constant, place the telephone company in Class No. 9, the business-one- party rate of which is $4.00 a month as is shown by Table 11. Then, the bonus for development would raise this rate to $4.25 a month. The corresponding average-weighted rate is $2.07 a month. This number of stations in a community of this size is im- probable. The development would be 538 telephones per thou- sand people. Such a development would require that there be a telephone, and in many cases, several telephones in every home and place of business. Such a condition could not be found, but it would be necessary with the present constant in order that a bonus might be obtained for development. (4), (5), and (6) The original gross annual income is the average weighted rate before the bonus was granted times the 68 number of stations, or $1.87 X 12 X 2000, or $44,880. After granting the bonus, the gross annual income is $1.92 X 12 X 2100, with the proposed constant, and $2.07 X 12 X 4700, with the present constant, or $48,400, and $116,700. The differ- ences between the gross annual incomes and the original gross annual incomes, or $3520, and $71,820, are the gains in gross annual income. (7) and (8) As the original gross annual income is $44,880, and as this, as shown in Table 7 is 34 percent of the plant valuation, the plant valuation is $132,000. As may be seen from Table 10, the production and investment costs other than interest which were originally 26 percent of the plant valuation $132,000, or $34,300 increase in proportion to devel- opment. The increases in production and investment costs oth- er than interest then are $1720 and $46,400. The plant valu- ations also increase in like proportion. The increases in plant valuation are $6600 and $178,200. (9) The net gain in gross annual income is the difference between the gain in gross annual income, and the increase in production and investment expenses other than interest. In this case with proposed and present constants, the net gains in gross annual income are $1800 and $25,420. (10) and (11) The net gains in gross annual income capi- talized at 8 percent will produce the amounts which may profit- ably be invested in obtaining the bonus. These amounts are $22,500 and $317,750. These amounts less the increases in cost of equipment of (7) are the amounts, $15,900 and $139,550, the justified expenditure for service improvement and advertising. (12) and (13) Assuming that the interest at 8 percent on the justified expenditure for service improvement and adver- tising is spent for these purposes, the justified yearly expendi- tures for service improvement and advertising with the pro- posed and present constants will be $1270, and $11,160, and the corresponding justified yearly expenditures per additional station for service improvement and advertising will be $18 and $4. As the cost per station of obtaining 2700 additional stations in a field for development with a population of 8750 will be very high, $4 per station will certainly be inade- quate. As it will probably not be difficult to obtain 100 addi- 69 tional stations in such a field, $13 will probably be more than sufficient. An examination of the above results leads to the following conclusions : (a) The proposed constant 0.50 is adequate, and probably too liberal. (b) The present constant, 0.02, is too low and makes it unwise for a telephone company to attempt to obtain a bonus by increasing development. (c) A constant less than 0.50 and much greater than .02 would probably be just. If the cost of improving and advertis- ing the service to the extent necessary to obtain the additional stations were known, a positive determination of the proper constant could be made. In the absence of such data, the most reasonable assumption is that the best value of the constant would be an average value between the present and proposed constants, or 0.26. It is not to be expected that a value con- stant can be determined as definitely as a cost constant. THE PROPOSED BONUS AND PENALTY CONSTANTS It would appear, then, that the best values of the constants would be : K, = 0.34, K, = 0.40, and Ks = 0.26, and the deviation equation becomes : 0.34P + 0.40C -1- 0.26D — R. It is to be noted that although these constants are larger than the present ones, 0.08, 0.16, and 0.02, their order of importance is the same. SECTION X. APPLICATION OF RATE-STANDARDIZATION PLAN The proposed rate standardization plan will provide rates which are in the average case just to telephone companies and subscrib- ers at the present time, because in communities of any given size they are based upon average rates, which, as explained above in Section VI, are average production costs plus investment costs on normal plant costs. 70 ADJUSTMENTS NECESSARY TO CARE FOR CHANGES IN PRICE LEVEL AND DEVELOPMENTS IN THE ART OF TELEPHONY The proposed plan does not, however, make any adjustments for rapid changes in price level, such as those of the past five years, nor does it make any adjustments for new developments in telephone equipment or methods of operation. If the general price level of all commodities should rise rapidly, rate increases would be granted only after considerable delay. The production and investment costs of the telephone companies would increase rapidly following the change in price level, and the income of the telephone companies would not be sufficient to cover the costs. If, on the other hand, the price level should fall rapidly, the result would be an income to the telephone company greater than sufficient to cover the production and investment costs. The surplus income should fairly be distributed to the telephone sub- scribers by decreases in rates. If developments in the art of telephony make the production of telephone service more economical as well as more satisfactory, the telephone companies should not derive all of the benefit from them, and rate decreases should follow ; although, on the other hand, the rate decreases should not be so great that the telephone subscribers will derive all of the benefit from the development. In order to forestall these possible disadvantages, the public- utility commissions must at times make arbitrary adjustments in the average rates. Some plan must be provided by which the public- utility commissions may be informed at all times of the average rates and of the conditions which would justify bonuses or penal- ties ,and, having information in regard to changes in average rates, they must make any necessary arbitrary adjustment promptly. METHODS OF APPLICATION OF RATE-STANDARDIZATION PLAN One plan which would be satisfactory would be for the public- utility commissions to keep continuous records of production and investment costs, and the statistics from which may be obtained, miles of pole line and conduit per station, maximum busy-hour call- ing-rate, average calls per station per day, and development. From these data, the bonuses and penalties and new average rates to be applied may be obtained. These data in the form of annual or semi- annual reports should be obtained separately for each exchange in the state, whether or not the various telephone companies operate one or a number of exchanges. The work on the part of the telephone companies necessary to prepare these reports would not be burdensome. The advantage 71 to the telephone company of keeping financial accounts has been conceded. Similar advantages would result from plant and traffic accounts which would be made necessary by this plan. They would suggest to the telephone companies many improvements and econ- omies. From these data may be obtained the average curves, constants, and statistics for groups of exchanges of various sizes. These will be the data for average typical exchanges, similar to the data of the typical exchange of 2000 stations discussed in this report. The knowledge on the part of those interested in the production of tele- phone service of what are typical telephone exchanges will be valu- able for comparative purposes. The allowable average-weighted rate will be assigned by the public-utility commission and the choice of a rate schedule should be left to the telephone company, as suggested in Section IX. A public-utility commission obviously cannot make an arbitrary adjustment of rates for each small change in production and invest- ment costs. It is desirable, in fact, to make such adjustments as infrequently as possible. A minimum change in production and in- vestment costs may be chosen, such as 10 percent, below which arbitrary adjustments will not be made. If it should become appar- ent to a public-utility commission that this minimum change may be exceeded, all necessary information may be collected and exam- ined, and other preparations made to adjust the rates without delay when the minimum change has been exceeded. Such a procedure may well apply to changes in production and investment costs re- sulting from any causes such as changes in price level, or economies due to developments in the art of telephony. NECESSITY FOR PERIODICAL VALUATIONS OF TELEPHONE PLANT It is not reasonable to suppose that this plan for rate standard- ization could be applied indefinitely without such a check upon plant valuation and, therefore, upon investment costs, as would result from reappraisals of the telephone plants. Such reappraisals should be made on a state-wide basis at chosen intervals — every ten years for instance — and the continuous records modified accordingly if necessary. If such reappraisals were made periodically in this way, they would be sufficient check upon the continuous records, and would be much less costly than the unending series of appraisals and reappraisals and valuations of individual telephone plants which are necessary under the present system of rate determination. The work of the public-utility commissions would be decreased to such an extent that attention could be given to service standards and their enforcement. 72 ADDITIONAL PROBABLE REQUIREMENTS IN APPLICATION OF RATE-STANDARDIZATION PLAN It will be necessary to apply this rate-standardization plan to sections of the country which are homogeneous. Confusion might be caused by an attempt to apply the average rate curves and con- stants of one section to one of a widely different character. How- ever, more just results might be obtained in some cases by consider- ing a number of states of the same general character together rath- er than separately, for, in this way, a tendency of one public-utility commission to be unfair to one or the other of the parties concerned might be balanced by an opposite tendency of another public-utility commission. While in the preceding discussion of proposed bonus and pen- alty constants only the average station-rate curves of Group 4 of Ohio telephone companies with the corresponding data of Table 2 were considered, if the rate standardization plan were applied to Ohio, an average of the curves of Groups 1, 2, 3, and 4, and the corresponding data would be used. The average of the curves for exchanges of more than from 1000 to 1500 stations will probably provide rates which cover the cost of producing the telephone serv- ice and which will, therefore, be a just basis for rate determination at the present time. The average of the curves for exchanges of less than from 1000 to 1500 stations will probably provide rates which are not compensatory, and will have to be arbitrarily adjusted by the public-utility commissions. If communities in which the telephone service is on a message- rate basis are included in the group of communities to which this rate standardization plan is applied, its average operating income per station will determine its position on the curve of average- weighted rates. Bonuses and penalties must then be applied to average operating income per station. It should be noted that an advantage of this rate-standardiza- tion plan is that its adoption would not result in any radical change in rates, as the average rates are averages of those rates now in force. APPLICATION TO OTHER PUBLIC-UTILITY RATES While this investigation has been confined entirely to the stand- ardization of telephone rates, the proposed plan can be applied also wholly or partially to the standardization of electric light and power rates, water, gas, and street railway rates, or, in other words, to all public-utility rates, 73 SECTION XI. SUMMARY The faults of the present "cost plus" system of rate determin- ation have been pointed out (Section II) . A plan for rate standard- ization which will eliminate the worst of these faults, and which is practical has been proposed and discussed (Sections III, IV, and V) . It has been shown that station-rate curves may be made which show the relation between numbers of stations served by exchanges and rates. These station-rate curves are based upon normal costs which are receiving serious consideration as a basis for rate de- termination. Typical station-rate curves for Ohio have been plotted and discussed (Section VI) . The rate-deviation equation has been presented (Section VII), and applied to present telephone rate con- ditions in Ohio and other Middle West states. The solution of this equation shows what importance has been attached to the proposed bonus and penalty bases. Just bonus and penalty constants have been proposed (Section VIII) and carefully analyzed and modi- fied (Section IX). The rate-deviation equation with bonus and penalty constants which should have been applied is presented (Sec- tion IX) . The method of applying the proposed plan for rate stan- dardization has been discussed (Section X). The proposed plan offers an incentive to telephone companies to provide the best possible telephone service, and thus corrects the worst fault of the present system of rate determination. The adoption of the proposed plan would decrease the present burden upon the utility commissions and the telephone companies, and would eliminate some of the injustice and indefiniteness of the present system. Under the proposed system, quality of telephone service rather than cost of service is emphasized and a general improvement of telephone service may, therefore, be predicted as a result of the application of the proposed plan for rate standard- ization. 74 jail. j' E-SsS^iir-i 5! UllffHill,