T? 19 Cornell University Library HJ 256.R19 The "Home market" and the federal su^^^^ ll}.:i'''^^ The ''Nome Market'' AND The Federal Surplus .N F. RANDOLPH r NEW YORK 1888 Cornell University Library The original of tiiis book is in tine Cornell University Library. There are no known copyright restrictions in the United States on the use of the text. http://www.archive.org/details/cu31924014007490 The ''Home Market'' The Federal Surplus CARMAN F. RANDOLPH NEW YORK The larger .part of the following pages has been pub- lished under the titles "Surplus Ee venue," in the June number of the Political Science Quarterly, and the " Home Market " Fallacy, in the Evening Post of Aug. 21, 1888. Newark, N. J., Oct. '6, 1888. Carman F. Eandolph. [Copyrighted by Carman F. Randolph, 1888.] THE "HOME MARKET" THE FEDERAL SURPLUS, Public finance rarely becomes generally attractive until there is danger in the air. The dull burden of routine finance is borne by a few amongst us, and so long as taxes are levied, collected, and paid in the ordinary way, so long are we content to leave the care of administration to those directly responsible, the paid officials. But there are times when to every citizen the conduct of finance becomes of absorbing interest. In war time, the intimate relation be- tween the soldier and his base of supply divides the popu- lar interest between the camp and the treasury. In peace we have our crises caused by speculation and bad adminis- tration, and the effort is then to straighten out our money matters with all speed, pocketing our losses with what philosophy we may. But there is a financial trouble so in- sidious in its working, indeed so often tricking itself out in the garb of prosperity, that its uprooting demands a vir- tue and intelligence wholly different from the fervent patriotism on which we rely in war or the quick self-in- terest in panic. It is this rare trouble, the trouble of su- perfluity, which the citizen is now called upon to combat. To some a surplus is a thing to be proud of; they are at a loss to see why an overflowing treasury is a signal of distress, or how it is possible for a stable, popular govern- ment to have too much money. They view a surplus as 4 they would the fabled sands of the Pactolus, and if the gold in the treasury were magic gold we might -welcome its overflow and ask no questions; but as the treasury creates no wealth, as every dollar in it is drawn from the pockets of the people, it follows that all excess over and above the just needs of the government is the product of unjust taxation. The conception of government funds as so much treas- ure has long since faded away with the conception of gov- ernment itself as a machine regulating the affairs of the many for the benefit of the few. In former times money was drawn to the treasury in the shape of exactions, benevolences, blackmail, foreign spoil. The irregular flow of the stream of tribute made the impounding of its infrequent surplus a matter of necessity. The strength of the government was largely measured by the size of its hoard. The treasury is no longer the repository of treasure, but the channel for the distribution of the pro- ceeds of taxation. The strong box is open at both ends. The state now relies on a comprehensive system of taxa- tion which will bring to the public needs a yearly revenue;, and the ideal revenue is one so elastic that it rises and falls, not coincident with— that is impossible— but in close relation to those needs. A thing to be desired in any system of taxation is that, taxes be levied and expended within districts widening according to the nature of the expenditure; so that each object of appropriation, whether it be the making of a country road or the building of a war- ship, is controlled by the community the nearest in interest to the work, the most competent to secure its proper construction. We in the United States are fortunate in having this admirable division of the labor of taxation established in our con- stitutional polity. We may and often do err in the ex- penditure of public moneys; but so long as we stick to the spirit of our constitution we cannot commit the cap- ital error of confounding local with general' responsibili- ties to the weakening of both. In the administration of finance the revenue should not rise above the expenditure. If substantial equality can- not be maintained, a slight deficit is preferable to a marked excess, since the latter subjects the government to the reproach of an unjust tax-gatherer. Yet a surplus is sometimes taken as a sign of government wealth; in truth it is rather a sign of unthrift on the part of the tax- payer. This notion of government wealth is in itself the parent of misconceptions which go to the root of our democratic institutions. Our government possesses no wealth which can be applied to general public wants, and this not alone in the abstract sense that in a democratic state as the government itself is of the people so are its possessions, but in the fact that the property to which the government holds title is not a source of net income. The government owns ships, buildings, material, etc., practically inconvertible. It holds the title to a vast domain which as a financial investment has proved a failure, since the cost of its acquisition and develop- ment already exceeds the receipts from sales by about $126,000,000. This domain has been at times treated as a •source of general revenue; again, as the spoil of corpora- tions; but the true policy is to develop the land for its highest destination, its purchase at low, even nominal prices, by actual settlers who in time build up self- sup- porting States. But if the government does not possess available wealth, it commands that most fruitful of all resources, the ability and willingness of a free people to tax themselves. This source of cash and credit represents the real capital of the United States. That the amount of this capital is not ascertained should not blind us to the fact that it is not unlimited; and while the likelihood of its exhaustion, or even its 'serious impairment, is too remote to be consid- ered, yet in time of peace there should ever be a resolution to keep the demands on the capital far under the ability and willingness of the taxpayer. It is a foolish policy which continually demands what the capital will bear; and he who complacently boasts of an extra weight of taxation patiently borne, a foolish statesman. The true measure of taxation is not what the people can, but what they ought to bear. Now every tax must be scrutinized as to its mode of col- lection, its rate, its subject, and the purpose to which it is applied. A tax satisfactory in all these respects is in no sense a draft on capital; the withdrawal of private moneys, however great, being for the proper maintenance, perhaps the salvation, of the state. When it offends in any of the first three points its effect ranges from popular annoyance to real oppression. The tax is inexpedient, it is wrongful, but it is not yet wholly useless. When, however, a tax is imposed or retained for a purpose unnecessary or, worse still, made to order, nor ease of collection, nor lowness of rate, nor fitness of subject can save it from condemna- tion. To spend that you may tax is the high crime of finance, a crime in nowise mitigated by popular acquies- cence. Suppose a tax is imposed or retained for a pur- pose which, though popular, is really unnecessary. The willingness of the people to put their hands in their pockets argues well for the propriety of this tax. But in a few years an emergency occurs, war or its apprehension ; the revenues must be speedily heavily increased; the re- sources of the nation are strained to their uttermost; then it is that the fancy tax rises to plague its sponsors or, worse still, its heirs, and the burdens of war-financiering are weighted by the improvident pledging of a part of the national capital. That the pledge once given would be re- voked is possible, though not -probable; a service pension once established, a subsidy once pledged to the States, would be as firmly fixed in our annual budgets as are the salaries of congressmen. Permanent appropriations create permanent necessities. If government devotes money to new uses, it soon makes them indispensable; if it steps in to the assistance of existing agencies, the old channels of supply dry up or are diverted elsewhere. II. An excess of revenue over ordinary expenditure, includ- ing interest, has been an occurrence not unusual in the course of our financial administration; and it might surprise those who boldly assert that a surplus is an infallible sign of prosperity to learn that in the earliest years of our gov- ernment, with a country undeveloped, with the heavy load of the revolutionary debt, our public stocks below par, our finances managed experimentally, the annual budgets showed in several instances large surpluses. In 18l7 and in several years up to 1835 surpluses again appeared. Of the total receipts of the government to 1835, exclud- ing of course loans, nearly ninety per cent, was derived from custom duties, the balance being made up from public lands, internal revenue and direct taxes, two-thirds of the sum of these taxes being collected in the years 1814-17. The first tariff act was protective in name, and its suc- cessors increasingly protective in principle; yet with all the growing severity of the tariff fight, there was never a di- rect issue involving the maintenance of the protective principle by an enforced expenditure of surplus receipts. Circumstances prevented the attainment of this extreme position. While the receipts in excess of ordinary expen- ditures were in one sense surpluses, they were not, either at this period or before, condemned to imprisonment in the treasury, but were mainly applied to the reduction of the public debt. Thus they never caused stringency, they were ever applied to a worthy object. Nor was there absent the notion that a surplus might be beneficially applied to an extended system of internal im- provements or even divided among the States. As a mat- ter of fact, internal improvements figured but little in our budgets up to the time of Jackson, and Monroe even de- nied their constitutionality. The idea of distribution lay dormant for some years, and became lively only when the approaching satisfaction of the public debt became manifest. Schemes for distribution, both with and with- out a constitutional amendment, grew more and more pronounced, until the payment of the debt in 1835, coin- ciding with phenomenal receipts from public lands, made possible the so-called distribution of 1837. Up to this time the surplus over ordinary expenditure had been generally applied to the purchase or call of public stocks; but this surplus found a government without a creditor. There was an unwihingness to alter custom duties and thereby disturb the compromise tariff of 1833, a tariff intended to gradually reduce duties until at the end of eight years the equilibrium between income and outgo should be established. Various plans for the devo- tion of the money to objects of Federal importance were proposed, notably that of Senator Benton, who advocated the cause of coast fortification; but the surplus money possessed a magnetic attraction too strong to be overcome and the States pounced upon it and carried it off. Turning to the present surplus, we find that in each of the past twenty years a high but remunerative tariff and a large internal revenue tax have yielded an income out of which, after paying ordinary expenses, interest, and in- stallments on account of the sinking fund, there has each year remained a surplus. These surpluses range in amount from $2,000,000 in 1874 to $145,000,000 in 1882 and aggre- gate about $1,500,000,000. Until recently the surplus went to the satisfaction of a large part of the interest- bearing debt, acting as an extraordinary adjunct to the sinking fund. The present surplus differs essentially from those pre- ceding 1835 and that of 1837. The earlier surpluses were mere account-book balances, in excess of ordinary expendi- ture but not of the real necessities of the government as evinced in its indebtedness, an indebtedness much dis- organized and largely due to foreign creditors. The sur- plus of 1837 was largely the result of a speculative craze for western lands, the government having in the years 1834-6 received purchase money to the amount of $44,- 000,000, a sum about equalling the proceeds of all previous sales, and making nearly one-half of the net revenue for the years named. The people of that day may perhaps be pardoned for treating this enormous, unforeseen deluge of money as manna, but we can amuse ourselves with no such magic. We know that our surplus is derived from taxes paid out of our own pockets, that in eating it up we simply feed upon ourselves. Nor is the present surplus a passing one like that of 1837. With our present revenue system and objects of expenditure, each annual accounting will show an excess of income. To meet the question squarely we must either decrease our income or increase our expenditure. J'our courses are open to us. (1) The utilization of the 10 surplus in purchase of unmatured bonds — that is coaxing- bondholders to sell by offering a bonus made out of tax receipts. (2) The extinguish m^nt of the surplus by its- wasteful expenditure. (3) The reduction of the surplus by wholesale remission of taxes on liquor and tobaccO' leaving unlifted the burdens on necessaries. (4) The re- vision of the tariff with a view to decreased revenue. A surplus and an unpaid debt seem to have a mutual attraction. The application of the one to the other is at first blush most fitting. True, it is sometimes said that "a national debt is a national blessing." It has been, argued even that had our country been blessed with a heavy debt in 1860, and that debt held largely at the South,, the self-interest of that section would have blocked its secession. But the phrase was invented to lighten the burden of debt which the Napoleonic wars had cast upon England — a burden which could not be lifted. Our case is- wholly different. Our debt is manageable and its pay- ment fixed. As our debt is in course of easy payment it is proper before adopting any new scheme of settlement to consider its function — the cost of its cancellation. The national debt is so far an institution that it forms the basis of a banking system which gives us a currency of capital, excellence and convenience. Now to strike down this currency without immediately substituting one as good, would be impolitic even in face of the general rule that the best thing to do with a debt is to pay it. Until a stable and convenient medium of universal currency be established, the country can better afford to pay the debt gradually through the sinking- fund than run the risk of a disordered, perhaps discredited currency. Further, the mass of the debt is not to be re- duced by redemption but by purchase in open market. The funding of the greater part of the debt at a low rate of 11 interest, its exteasion to 1907, the demand for bonds for banking and investment purposes have operated at once- to decrease its burden and raise the market price of the- bonds. The market price of the four per cents is now about $130. The current treasury purchases,under the resolution of last winter, have but skimmed the market, and prove that if the surplus is to be reduced by bond purchase, a bonus must be offered and paid. If the Secretary of tho Treasury should construe his authority to extend to the- compelling of bond offerings, by holding out the bait of an arbitrary substantial advance on the market price, he could find no justification for his action in the present, if indeed in any exigency. The only method by which the surplus can be reduced by bond purchase is by act of con- gress compelling the treasury to spend a definite sura within a definite time. The bondholder may then fix the price and pocket the surplus. Small holders might be content with a slight advance, but when there remain only large individual holders, corporations and specula- tors, a large bonus would be demanded and paid. There may be methods of surplus reduction practically worse than this. There can be none more vicious in principle. To take money from the people under tax laws, which pre- sume a public need, and then hand it over to a particular class, would be a clear case of obtaining money under false pretences. III. What is a surplus revenue ? Evidently an excess of in- come over expenditure, which may be wiped out by the reduction of revenue or increase of appropriations. If the excess be marked, the withdrawal of money from circula- tion will soon compel the adoption of makeshifts to avert financial stringency. But any excess over economical 12 constitutional expenditure embodies the worst feature of a surplus, the improvident taking of money from the tax- payer. While the surplus stands on the books, it warns against waste ; when it is credited to improper appropria- tions, the warning is unheeded. Apart from a few pleas- antries about the easy handling of a surplus, there is no difference of opinion as to the danger of a surplus in the treasury and the necessity for its speedy disappearance ; but in the means to the end the difference is the discord between sound finance and rabid speculation, between good government and bad government. One school of statesmen profess no doubt of the only way to deal with a surplus : Spend it. This counsel has apparently the merit of simplicity, which, together with a seeming spirit of lib- erality, makes it doubly engaging.' In reality it is neither simple nor liberal. It is not simple. It necessitates the ■enforced creation or adoption of objects of Federal aid. It says to the taxpayer : You pay more than the government can use, therefore you must invent such new wants as will enable the government to dispose of your now use- less contributions. You must, under penalty of a tight money market, relieve the government from the stigma of miserliness by becoming a spendthrift. It is not liberal. It would almost seem that certain politicians rest under a delusion which transmutes the proceeds of taxation into the gifts of a grateful people, a sort of votive offering reverentially laid upon the altar of patriotism to be doled out or lavished, according .to the irresponsible will of the state. Now people pay taxes grumbingly, dutifully, cheerfully ; but the man is rarely found who pays because he loves to pay. While there is no enforceable contract between the taxpayer and the state, the whole system of finance, nay of social order, is grounded on the assumption that taxation is imposed only for the reasonable, econom- 13 ical wants of the people. Through" the influence of this delusion, expenditures are conceived which, under the guise of charity or patriotism, are in fact misappropriations of trust funds. Under a regime where exactions are levied for the benefit of the few, an occasional largess to the many may savor of liberality ; the government gives where it might retain. In a popular government of enumerated powers, the spending of money on any princi- ple other than that of reasonable necessity is robbing Peter to pay Paul. Under the stimulus of this benignant counsel, charit- able desires are taking on the semblance of public neces- sities, real necessities are expanding beyond all recogni- tion. The natural wish for the better education of the negro has developed into the Blair bill. The just pension- ing of invalid soldiers has broadened into the service pen- sion scheme. All extravagant, speculative, and corrupt interests are galvanized into vigorous life through the influence of the surplus. Promoters of all sorts of schemes, beggars for the widening of rivulets, the deepening of rills, hang about the treasury in the hope that the increasing pres- sure of idle dollars must soon burst out the doors. Nor is the treasury the Mecca of the needy alone. But the other day the Empire State, which in her struggling youth built the Erie Canal, was importuned, and by sons of her own, to beg for Federal aid towards its enlargement. Happily the temptation was repulsed by a round majority, and the State declined to pose as that most shameless figure— a beggar with a bank account. If the policy of extravagance be adopted, it will be done in cold blood. The indifference with which the corrupt and wasteful management of the reconstruction period was viewed is perhaps explainable by the fact that the 14 popular thought was focused elsewhere. But since the fact of a restored and strengthened Union is now accepted, save by that band of politicians who desire the war to last forever that they may exploit a pinchbeck patriotism and save their occupations, the questions that now press upon us are the passionless practical problems of every-day life. If we are wasteful now it will be through deliberation, not preoccupation. IV. Some of the schemes which would effect a reduction of the surplus, and for that reason obtain an advocacy out- weighing that due to their own attractions, are yet in the air. Several, however, have taken such definite, threat- ening shape as to warrant close attention. Of the various propositions looking to the enlargement of the pension list, the most popular is the most radical — the service pen- sion scheme. The true basis of all pension legislation is this: when a man enlists and takes the risks of battle, exposure, and privation, he justly expects to be i usured against loss oc- curring through incapacity resulting from service, or if death should cut him off, that his family should be to some extent compensated. Thus far the aid is in no sense a charity, for it may be said to be an understood, indeed it has been at times an expressed, condition in the contract of enlistment. But when one has passed through service in safety and health, his claim to a pension must be either in the nature of damages for business loss incurred through ' absence, or simply as extra pay for patriotism. The former claim may be easily disposed of. If the soldier were a poor man the monthly pay, to say nothing of the high bounty paid when men were most needed, rendered his financial position no whit the worse, and in many cases 15 ibetter. If he were rich and it was a question between 'business air^ service, he could have sent a substitute. With regara to the latter claim, it should be sufficient to say that under a popular government the cause of national •defense should be nearest to the hearts, furthest from the pockets of the citizens; that while it is right to pay for service, it is wrong to pension patriotism. It is true that after the lapse of many years, when the presumption is that the survivors of war are incapacitated through age, the nation has shown its gratitude by extending the relief ■of a pension. In 1818 a pension was granted to each man who had served nine months in the revolutionary army and was in reduced circumstances. It was estimated that about $160,000 would be the annual charge on this ac- count, but the expenditure for the first year was nearly two millions, for the second nearly three. Over twenty - ;seven thousand claims were presented, representing about ten per cent of the whole number of men enlisted. One- third of the claimants were at once branded as impostors, ■and a strict requirement of proof of proverty forced out ■one-third of the remainder, so that but twelve thousand passed muster. A service pension to the survivors of the war of 1812 was granted in 18T8, and those whose familiarity with the laws of mortality had led them to estimate the probable number of claimants were astonished to see seven thou- :sand survivors and twenty-four thousand widows enter their claims. The survivors of the Mexican war were ■allowed a service pension last year, forty years after ser- 'vice. Why should all precedent be violated in favor of the survivors of the late war by granting a service pension .after the lapse of but little more than twenty years? The •average age of the soldiers was twenty-six years, which would make that of the survivors about fifty, and it can- 16 not be pretended that at this age the average man is in- capable. Moreover, the cost of the scheme vv^ not only- wipe out the surplus, but in all probability create a heavy deficit. In 1882 the pension officials estimated that about one million survivors vi^ere not on the pension rolls, and in view of the fact that pension estimates are apt to be under the mark, it is safe to count on at least that number at the present time. Now if a pension of eight dollars a month, the amount allowed the survivors of 1812 and the Mexican war, were granted, the annual charge would be about one hundred millions. Since the adoption of the constitution nine hundred millions of dollars, about one- tenth of our net ordinary expenditures, have been credited to pensions. We are not called upon to supplement this generosity by extravagance; to tax ourselves for the ad- vancement of ambitious politicians whose object is not so much to pension veterans as voters. The statistics of illiteracy in the Southern States, as published in the census of 1880, attracted instant and widespread attention. The fact that in many of these states nearly one-half of the voters could not read their ballots, a fact to all men, of serious concern, so frightened a few that all considerations of law and propriety were overborne and the Blair bill was created. Now this bill, which would effect the distribution of $77,000,000, chiefly among the Southern states, during a period of ten years, is in my judgment one of the most unconstitutional bills that ever passed a House of Congress. I am one of those who hold that the result of the war is the restoration of the old Union, not the creation of a new one; that the new amendments are not vague abstractions, but definite enactments; that when the constitution vindicated its supremacy, the clause relating to " the general welfare " had suffered no change, but stood forth clothed with its 17 old interpretation. As we honor Hamilton as the advo- cate of th§ constitution and Marshall as its expounder, so must we honor Joseph Story as its commentator. Is it in order to quote Story, or is he superseded by BJair? Do legislators make their views of constitutional law square simply with their own prejudices or the wishes of their constituents? Story says: If the clause " to pay the debts and provide for the com- mon defense and general welfare of the United States " is construed to be an independent and substantive grant of power, it not only renders wholly unimportant and unnec- essary the subsequent enumeration of specific powers; but it plainly extends far beyond them, and creates a general authority in Congress to pass all laws, which they may deem for the common defense and general welfare. Under such circumstances, the constitution would practically create an unlimited national government.* Yet the power to render Federal aid to State education could be derived only from that very interpretation of the clause in question which Story so strongly repels. The constitutional objection to the measure would be in itself sufficient to insure its reprobation, were it not for the new canon of interpretation which consists in reading, not on, but between the lines of the constitution. This canon which substitutes elastic construction for the broad con- struction of the Federalist, which leaves blanks to be filled up according to the taste and fancy of the interpreter, has reduced the minds of many to a state of uncertainty as to the exact force and effect of the constitution, and left them open only to the argument of expediency.* Waiv- ing then the question of law — Is it politic, is it right to lay Federal taxes for the support of the Southern schools? To narrow the question still further and avoid the selfish position as to the fairness of taxing the richer States to * Commentaries, § 906. 18 make up the deficiencies of the poorer — Does the Blair bill promise good results to the recipients of its bounty ? It is impossible to discredit the rule that, as to individuals, so to states, self-help is worth far more than charity. The unaided step forward, taken hardly though it be, gives an earnest of future progress wholly lacking in the quick motion which follows a violent push. The charity of the state can rarely be applied with propriety unless its re- cipients are too weak to help themselves; and one of the most important, most delicate responsibilities of states- manship is the determination in a given case whether hopeless distress or remediable misfortunes claim the aid of the state. Under which category comes the illiteracy of the South ? There is without doubt a phase of the ques- tion so desperate as to admit of no palliative. The adult illiteracy must be accepted as a misfortune beyond the cure of even the wisest benevolence. Now the census of 1880 showed that, out of four million seven hundred and fifteen thousand illiterates of ten years of age and over, nearly three millions had passed the school age, so that the South could be fairly held responsible for the ignorance of seventeen hundred thousand persons. How has the responsibility been met ? If indifference, shiftlessness or a begging spirit mark the attitude of the South, then might the plea be put forth for aid for those who cannot, will not help themselves. But the South is not indifferent. The Northern feeling of vague concern, caused by the perusal of tremendous statistics, is replaced at the South by that sober realization with which one views immediate personal perils. This realization has been followed by en- ergetic action. The progress of education is notable, not only in view of the obstacles in the path, but in the actual advance made, for many of the Southern States now report a state of education fairly comparable with 19 that existing in several New England States a quarter of a century ago. For a people handicapped at the start by- slavery, later ruined by war, to be less than a generation behind New England communities in their common-school system is proof that powerful self-reliant forces are at work; and we of the North who, in the pride of our wealth and philanthropy, ^eek to tax ourselves for the supposed good of our neighbor should be mindful lest in striving to raise the ignorant by act of Congress, we weaken the educated by relieving them of the duty of self-help. There is another scheme for absorbing the surplus which has distinguished promoters. If is far more liberal than those already considered, and in its simple directness is positively childlike, being entirely dissocciated from the moral and charitable aims which temper the education and pension plans. We are to rid ourselves of the surplus by throwing it to the States. A system of taxation kept up for the purpose of paying cash dividends is indeed a startling novelty in finance. It is suggested that after whiskey pays for fortifications it shall pay the taxes on land. There is no hint of the ratio of distribution among the states, whether in proportion to the value of real estate, or the quantity of whiskey consumed. Probably the latter, for then the scheme would not savor of a ruse on the part of a "dry" but thrifty Maine to profit by the thirst of a "wet "New York. It maybe objected that this particular proposition is of no more serious import than its deceased relative, the proposal to pay the debt of West Virginia from the Federal treasury ; yet the senti- ment behind it is sufficiently widespread to deserve atten- tion. The idea of the distribution of revenue among the States is founded on honest misconception or sinister determina- 20 tion. Place to stupidity ! Where is the constitutional warrant for a distribution law ? If an amendment were- proposed, what should be its purport ? A distribution based on population, as evidenced by representation in Congress, would be evidently a mere excuse for the scat- tering of money without an intelligent thought as to its- destination. Eich States and poor States, well-managed and ill-managed, would alike reap the benefit. If distribu- tion were made according to the needs of the States, it is to be feared that few would yield the palm of misfortune or unthrift, but that, with money going begging, each would foUow its interest by Hiding its benefits and parad- ing its burdens. If the surplus should be distributed on the basis of State contributions to the Federal treasury, the farce of paying out money as taxes to receive it later as alms would be soon hissed off the stage. From any point of view, a distribution must be unfair or unneces- sary. The experience of 1837 is worth the study of those- who ignorantly rely upon it as a precedent. It had all the defects of a distribution save one : it was not a distribution but a deposit, and though practically lost still stands on the books as a sum reclaimable. Does it seem that the practical importance of the ques- tion is exaggerated? Fifty millions of dollars may appear a small sum in an annual distribution, when compared with the wealth, population and extent of this country; indeed there are several citizens whose fortunes are sup- posed to exceed it; yet it is about one-sixth of the ordi- nary expenditure of the Federal government, and more striking still is its relation to State revenues. If this amount were divided among the States, on the basis of congressional representation, it could replace more than two-thirds of the gross sum now raised by State taxation. 21 Nearly one-half of the States would receive as their quo- tas more than their tax levies now produce. It is obvious that so great and sudden an influx could not fail to have a decided effect upon State finances, upon State govern- ments. It is but too probable that the immediate result •of a distribution would be in many instances a course of wasteful and corrupt expenditure; but, assuming these •evils overcome, and the States settled down to the orderly administration of the new revenue, how would they spend it? An economical management would demand the appli- •cation of the revenue to the reduction of taxation. Now, if it were proposed to destroy, in the States, that right of self -taxation which is the high mark of statehood, to dis- solve that union of taxation and representation, as impor- tant to the well-being of the States as to the Federal gov- ■ernment, the scheme would be rightly denounced as revolutionary. Yet, if a State should apply the fruits •of distribution to reduction of its taxes, the Federal au- thority would not only replace those taxes but to a great •extent the power which imposed them. The State power, thus restricted, might soon lose its vigor and the econom- ical State become dependent on the Federal government. Suppose, however, that a State, with a just pride in its •ability to minister to its own necessities, chose to treat the new revenue as extra revenue. The States, if any, to which this course would commend itself, would naturally be those which, by virtue of their wealth and character, are already able to and do fulfill their duty to the citizens. Their necessities being thus satisfied, the new revenue would be likely to be devoted to luxuries, or at least to ob- jects for which the States, if left to themselves, would not •care, or perhaps dare, to lay taxes. After necessities are provided for, further expenditure is apt to run on the line of public charity, of works under- 22 taken for the sake of giving employment, in a word, on that paternal theory, hitherto foreign to our ideas, the theory which substitutes state care for self-reliance. And when all is done what good has been gained? The surplus is not reduced, it is merely parceled out. Taxa- tion is lightened but little, if at all, though by a juggler's- trick its burden has been unfairly shifted. Worse than all, the States are dependent on the Federal government for necessities for which they themselves should pay, or luxuries to which th^y should never be tempted. To the valuable good of a general uniformity is sacrificed the priceless good of local responsibility. They who, brooding over the evils of high taxation, of illiteracy, of poverty, seek to enact prosperity, are blind to the mission of this Federal government of ours. They who, trembling at the remembrance of a beaten confederacy, think to strengthen a perfect union by centralization, will do well to reflect that if the Union is ever to dissolve, it will be because a national government, having attempted the task of regulating the local affairs of widely distributed communities of diverse character and interests, crumbles, under the weight of unfulfilled responsibilities. But how should they be judged, who, not ignorant, but reckless of consequences, advocate schemes for the spend- ing of public moneys, not for the sake of the objects, but solely for the purpose of keeping up taxes ? Yet this thriftless, unpatriotic sentiment is the hotbed of the wasteful schemes which beset us on every side. The logic of protection is pushed to its farthest, boldest, yet weakest position, for it here violates the primary law of taxation.. To tax for the sake of extravagant spending was and still is in certain realms a frequent blot on public administra- tion; but for this commonwealth, this time has been reserved the suggestion of that grotesque blunder, to 23 spend for the sake of extravagant taxing. It is no mere political experiment which is thus coolly proposed, one that if weighed and found wanting can be lightly cast aside. It is a new financial principle of dangerous attrac- tion. Once get the idea fixed that a tax can become an institution so bound up with the fortunes of the country that it must be sustained, even at the price of economy, and the effect will outreach even the wide bounds of the present controversy. . I am well aware that there are protectionists who repel the plan of increasing expenditures to save custom duties and substitute a simpler and much less objectionable expe- dient. Their argument is that the surplus does not repre- sent customs, receipts, but internal revenue taxes; that the repeal of the latter would restore equilibrium. This position is straightforward and merits respectful consider- ation. Now it is true that internal taxes have ever been with us war taxes, while customs have been, both in war and peace, the constant contributor to our treasury ; but is it sensible to take a sentimental view of a plain business question, and, substituting a name for a thing, decry a tax because it has heretofore aided us solely in war ? It is true that internal taxes bear solely on home production ; it is no less true that import duties bear wholly on home consumption, and that to an extent to be measured, not alone by the receipts from customs, but by the enhanced price paid for protected goods of home manufacture. It is more importantly true that the subjects of our present internal taxes are such as easily bear a great tax afford- ing large returns ; it cannot be pretended that the tax paid on imported or the bounty paid on domestic woolens is lighter than that paid on whiskey. We confound all rational difference between luxuries and necessaries, or rather interchange the ideas conveyed by those terms, if :^l^] 24 we free whiskey and tax clothing. It is unnecessary to consider the whiskey tax with reference to its efficiency as a regulator of traffic and consumption, except to say that the argument that the States and not the Federal government should impose the tax will be pertinent when the States generally show a diposition to that course. Tried by sound rules of finance, the tax on luxuries, whiskey and tobacco, is lighter than the tax on neces- sities, clothing. But if the logic of finance points to a theoretical conclusion, the logic of circumstances attains a practical one. At the present writing there are not enough votes in Congress to pass a law abolishing the tax on liquors, and there is nothing to indicate a change of sentiment in this or the next Congress. There is, how- ever, a strong leaning toward the partial repeal of the tobacco tax. Assuming then the tax on liquor retained, that on tobacco partly repealed, there will still be a heavy surplus which must be credited to customs, and to customs alone. The sugar duties produced last year over $50,000,000, and the coincidence of this sum with the probable annual surplus, the fact that domestic production supplies but one-eighth of the demand, and the prime necessity of the article itself have given rise to the suggestion that these duties be repealed. As sugar making is practically con- fined to Louisiana, and as Louisiana is a Democratic state, Eepublican protectionists have hitherto had the delicacy to refrain from a direct proposition for repeal, rightly conjecturing that the abandonment of the principle that "the injury of one is the concern of all" would be here ascribed to partisan motives. True, the suggestion has been sweetened by the vague hint of Federal bounties in lieu of duties, but the most expert prospector in the con- stitutional field would be driven to his wits' end to discover 25 authority for the Federal government to become the finan- cial backer of a sugar plantation. V. The last remedy for the surplus evil is found in tariff revision. Now, revenue may be easily reduced by revis- ing up. Yet, to try to escape from a surplus that is from useless and, therefore, high taxation by imposing still higher duties involves a gross delusion. The fourth course — the remission and reduction of im- port duties, while evidently one, the pursuit of which would be followed by the benefits consequent on every re- duction of taxes on necessaries, is violently opposed by the adherents of the dogma of high protection. This dogma, invested with the force of law, the dignity of nearly thirty years' possession, attempts to block the true way out of our difficulties. If, then, its pretensions be proved illusive, its promises unstable, its performances unjust, the dogma must be swept aside. High protection is, for the first time, brought to a test on its merits as a permanent policy. The old-time tariff contests were different. Protection was then set up as a shield to "infant" industries, that time might be granted for the laying of an independent foundation. It is now coveted 'as the complete armor of sturdy industries. Where the "infant" plead for time, the adult demands eternity. The present tariff was forged as a financial weapon in war. We are asked to use it as a crutch in peace. No hope is held out, that, in time, the crutch may be cast aside; quite the reverse, for the protest with which the protected manufacturers greeted the message, the debate on the Mills bill show that the tariff, high as it is, is yet insufficient to meet the wants of its beneficiaries. 26 The logical outcome of protection to home products— pro- hibition of foreign competing products— is the goal to- wards which the faces of protectionists are set. Either from conviction, which is possible, or through adherence to that stupid political creed which prescribes enthusiastic radicalism as an antidote to every declaration of principle by the enemy; the Eepublican leaders have cast about, since the opening of Congress, for a position as remote as possible from that pre-empted by the message. They find their ultima thule in the barren doctrine of the home market. The Chicago platform recommends the reduc- tion of revenue by repealing the internal taxes on tobacco and on spirits used in the arts and for mechanical pur- poses, "and by such revision of the tariff laws as will tend to check imports of such articles as are produced by our people, the production of which gives employment to our labor, " and favors ' ' the entire repeal of internal taxes rather than the surrender of any part of our protective system." It is well that the protectionist plan has been writ large. If the protective system either in its present or a more vigorous form is to be lasting it must be accepted not be- cause a handful of manufacturers assuredly reap a bene- fit, a few workmen perchance get higher wages, but be- cause this evident bonus to a class far from being a burden on the people, is but the visible sign of a great power working to the common welfare. What general lasting good is obtained through high protection? What indirect recompense is made to the vast non-protected class? The answer is that protection means " diversity of industry;" that the Home Market is the best market. For a country to produce everything it needs— for a people profitably to exchange among themselves all commodities produced is perhaps an admirable state of affairs. It 27 may be that in years to come the spread of intelligence and industry, the advance in science and art may render each nation mistress of the necessaries, the amenities of life may transform international intercourse into that of friendship, unsulhed by the taint of commercial selfish- ness. Every unforced step towards the realization of na- tional completeness in things material will be welcomed' by all well-wishers of humanity. They may well hesitate however before rushing to the assistance of that slow- moving impenetrable force which backs what we call human progress, with the petty aid of an act of Congress. The advantages, nay the necessity of "diversity of in- dustry," are strongly urged. Its most personal office is to- provide each individual with work in the calling best suited to his taste and capacity. Now a butcher of hogs might be translated into a shearer of sheep, a worker in< sheet iron into a maker of tin plate, a farmer into an arti- san. I misdoubt that an increase in tariff could change a workingman into a banker, an engineer into a poet, an artist into a manufacturer — could open the road to fame or fortune to one w^hose talents are now misdirected — though it might advance a manufacturer of moderate- capital to the rank of a millionaire. This "diversity of industry" would effect but the shifting of capital from farm to factory, from factory to factory, without uniform profit to the capitalist, with none to the workingman. It is claimed that in diversity of production is the sign of high intelligence of many-sidedness— granted; yet these- qualifications are more striking in diversity of consump- tion, and there is no bottom to the argument that the one- must precede the other. There may be a productive en- ergy so weak, so misdirected that it avails merely securing to its possessors a bare subsistence, leave no means to^ gratify those manifold wants implied in true diversity of 28 consumption. Yet the maddest of prophets could not for- see American energy reduced to so lax a stale. It is no belittling of true diversity of industry to mock the fetich to which some would have us bow. That whole- some diversity which has marked our national growth wUl continue and expand whether the tariff blow high or low. The backers of the false principle do not mean that reasonable variety of production which a clever people living in a favored country are sure to compass, but an absolute entirety of production, within the limitations im- posed by nature, regardless of cost to the consumer. For example, since tin is not found in this country, the tin plates from which are made utensils found in every hous'ehold a.re imported from the country where they are made the cheapest, yet the home trader would have the industry . created here by means of higher duties with the result of increasing the price of pots and pans to every householder. " Diversity of industry " might inflate our pride, it would surely deplete our pockets. The shapeless sentiment of "diversity of industry," enters into the raw material from which is fashioned the "theory new to our day and generation but familiar to isolated China and Japan through their centuries of pre- cocious childhood— the theory of the home market. A fair statement of this theory is made by Hon. Thomas Dudley, one of the ablest of protectionist writers. "We now import only about 8 per cent, of the manufactured commodities we consume in this country. Let Congress pass such laws as will induce our people to manufacture here at home, this 8 per cent, of manufactured commodi- ties which we now import from Europe, and the effect will be to draw from agriculture a portion of the labor now engaged in it, and thereby to this extent to lesson the quantity of agricultural products and at the same to in- 29 crease the home market sufficiently to consume all our surplus products." It is not pretended that the home market is a natural one ; that to take an extreme case, if all tariffs were ab- rogated, all custom houses closed, the collective wisdom of the American people would lead them to refuse to pur- chase foreign or export American goods. It is highly probable that in this event the people, as a whole, would follow that course which each individual now tries to pur- sue, would buy in the cheapest and sell in the dearest markets. Yet we are invited to protect ourselves against the dictates of our unfettered common sense ; to build, to use a common figure, a tariff wall about the country so high that outsiders cannot sell within, nor insiders sell with- out; to enact a home market. Artificial restraint of trad© has almost reached its limit. Imports are prohibited ; ex- ports reduced ; for while we do not affect exports by tax- ation, we diminish them none the less surely by prevent- ing the profitable return cargo. There are some who stupidly imagine that our export trade would flourish without imports other than the coin and bullion with which thankful foreigners would pay their indebtedness. This is magnificent but it is not trade. It is true that people must be fed and clothed ; true, that at present we feed and through our cotton clothe a vast number of foreigners, but it is not true that for any length of time we could make heavy exports for cash only. The late Professor Fawcett, writing ten years ago, expressed the opinion that in the contingency referred to, Europe might be forced to continue her purchases of American breadstuffs and for a time remit gold in pay- ment, but that the enormous influx of gold would so raise prices here that foreign manufacturers might renew 30 ■their attempts on our markets undismayed by a tariff which would have ceased to protect. But ten years have Tneasurably weakened the importance of these conclu- sions. The thorough-going home marketman is of com- paratively recent creation. In the event naturally pre- dicted by Professor Fawcett, the dull consistency of his logic would inevitably lead him to put more bricks on the i;ariff wall. This notion of manufacturing everything we need and exporting our usual quantity of food products, etc., suffers a rude shock when it bumps up against those hard rules of trade, that it takes two to make a bargain, and that quality for quality price is the ruling factor in a trade. What price must we get for our breadstuffs if we close our markets to imports? Wheat now pays freight from New York to Liverpool, and the ship finds her way Jbackwith a profitable cargo; but if we prohibit the return consignment wheat must pay freight both wa,ys. Nor is this all. If England were to continue to buy our wheat, etc., we buying little or nothing of her, the first ^ost of our wheat in London would be increased in another way. This increased cost would be due to the fact that instead of making remittances to us through the common medium of the foreign exchange, the full cost of freight and insurance on gold shipment would be in every case .added to the cost of our wheat to the English purchaser. During the past decade the value of merchandise in transit between the United States and foreign countries was nearly $14,000,000,000. The coin and bullion trans- ported during the same period amounted to nearly $1,000,00.0,000. Thus, out of every $15 worth of goods $14 worth was paid for in bills. The practical working -of the foreign exchange has been so clearly stated by Mr. Mill in a passage which Mr. Goschen has incorporated in 31 his work, The Foreign Exchanges, that I quote it at length substituting the United States for France in the original: " A merchant in England A, has exported English commodities, consigning them to his correspondent B in the United States. Another merchant in the United States, 0, has exported American commodities, suppose of equal value to a merchant D in England. It is evidently unnecessary that B in the United States should send money to A in England, and that T> in England should send an equal sum of money to C in the United States. The one debt may be applied to the payment of the other, and the double cost and risk of carriage be thus saved. A draws a bill on B for the amount which B owes to him. D having an equal amount to pay in the United States, buys this bill from A and sends it to C who, at the expiration of the number of days which the bill has to run presents it to B for payment. Thus, the debt due from the United States to England and the debt due from England to the United States are both paid without sending an ounce of gold or silver from one country to the other." To put a practical case we will suppose that our tariff laws discourage, if not prohibit, the importation of English goods, but that England is naturally desirous of still ob- taining our breadstuffs. The English dealer contracts in New York for a cargo of wheat. As we import little from England, there will be in New York but few debts due that country. There will be in consequence few bills in England, and the scarcity will raise their price to specie point, that is to a point beyond which it is cheaper for the English dealer to pay the freight and insurance on a gold remittance. The par value of the sovereign here is $4,867. If through scarcity of English bills their price rises to $4.90, gold will be sent abroad in their stead. The differ- ence then, $0,023 per sovereign, represents freight and insurance on gold shipment. It will be readily seen that the increase in the cost of American wheat would stimulate wheat growing through- out the world, and while the market for our great staple seems at present reasonably secure, the home trader is es- 32 topped from predicting its continuance under such adverse conditions as I have indicated for he even now affects to express a fear of foreign competition in the home market by a duty of twenty cents per bushel on wheat, twenty per cent, on flour, and twenty cents per bushel on corn, &c. It is to be feared that foreign nations are not in such absolute dependence on us, that they could be forced to trade long with us at a loss. VI. It is of course impossible to predict with accuracy the course of trade under the conditions of the home market, but it may be approximated. Our free list now contains, in the language of a leading protectionist member of the Tariff Commission, of 1882, " almost every article that we don't produce here." The non-dutiable imports for 1878-87 averaged $196,000,000 a year, mainly comprising those products which nature in utter disregard of the home market principle, has long since decreed shall be produced under conditions of soil and climate other than those be- stowed on our land. Add to this sum about $100,000,000 — a figure which represents imports of those commodities — chiefly products of the sugar cane — the demand for which cannot be filled by home production. The total of $296,- 000,000 will about measure our dependence on foreign countries. This sum with an important addition to be mentioned, would about measure the value of our exports, for exports and imports must in some way be balanced without the intervention of heavy cash remittances. This law of trade is often denied by protectionists since it has received the approval of the "dismal science" of political economy for which your true home trader has an antipathy akin both in genesis and effect to that which impels the devil to flee holy water. I think that the bare 33 statement '' imports and exports must balanqe " is respon- sible for much of the misconception which clouds this law of international trade. Such a statement is hastily as- sumed to refer to the exchange of merchandise. As an international trade account rarely shows a close corre- spondence between imports and exports of goods the law is straightway discredited and denounced. Go further, gather all the facts before denying the law. England, for example, has in the past ten years imported merchandise to the value of £3,852,000,000, while her exports amounted to but £2,805,000,000. From these figures the inference is drawn that England has been obliged to make good the balance of over £1,000,000,000 against her by gold remit- tances. I do not mean to insinuate that men famihar with the subject could beheve the truth of the inference but they are more than willing to have uninformed audi- tors shake their heads over it and gossip about the awful drain of gold due to free trade. Now, if one were deter- mined to take nothing but import and export figures in making up the foreign trade account of England, he would be startled to find that England had paid practi- cally nothing for this £1,000,000,000 of merchandise. In- stead of being drained of money to meet this enormous balance, England during the past decade has actually ex- ported but £3, 628, 000 of coin and bullion in excess of her im- ports. By adding more facts the whole question is readily solved. When a ship owned in Liverpool brings a cargo to New York and takes one back to the horoe port an American merchant pays the return freight. The effect of such a payment on the English trade account is the same as if the American had bought English goods, he simply pays for freight service instead of goods. Further- more, England holds large sums in American and other foreign securities, interest on which must be paid in Lon- 34 don. The receipts of freight and interest are as truly pe- cuniary benefits to England as are receipts from sales of goods abroad. England then is a creditor nation, and in figuring out her trade account, receipts frona freight, in- terest, etc., must be set down against imports, or more accurately, the imports apparently unbalanced must be considered as going to the cancellation of indebtedness. Turning to the foreign commerce of the United States we find the main conditions of English trade reversed. ■Our exports exceed our imports. But the operation of the law is clearly shown in our inter- national trade account for the past decade 1878-87. Exports merchandise (domestic) $7,4M,00'0,00O Imports " 6,083,000,000 Balance exports $1,361,000,000 This balance according to protectionist reasoning should have been accompanied by " a bounteous flow of gold" to this country. What is the fact? During the decade the average annual balance of gold in our favor was less than $20,000,000, and in two years it was against us. The movement of silver reduces the favorable balance of coin and bullion to about $10,000,000 per annum. The account then stands Balance exports of merchandise. .. $1,361,000,000 " imports, coin and bullion 100,000,000 $1,263,000,000* Where, then, is the equivalent for this billion and a quarter of merchandise? Is this merchandise unbalanced? Have we tendered it as a gift? Our export trade performs two functions: it first pays for imports and after it passes the sum of these, off- sets our indebtedness to foreigners; 35 an indebtedness which falls readily into two classes: interest on money borrowed and money drawn for the expenditure of Americans abroad. In other words, instead of exporting gold to pay our debts or make good our credits, we export wheat. It follows, then, that in the settlement of our international trade account the money balance one way or the other bears small relation to the volume of trade; that exports of merchandise are set off against imports or indebtedness on other accounts. The position is then held that international commerce is con- ducted on a basis of exchange, not cash. To ascertain the approximate annual limit of international trade for the next ten years, taking as a basis that of the past decade, the values against which we may export our merchandise must first be determined. These values are: Imports of sugar, &c $100,000,000 " merchandise on free list 196,000,000 Debts due abroad 126,000,000 Imports coin and bullion (favorable bal.)--. 10,000,000 $432,000,000 As our exports of merchandise have for the given period averaged $744,000,000, our estimated loss on export trade would be $31'2,000,000 a year. To one unaccustomed to play with millions this sum seems stupendous. At any rate, the estimated loss for the decade— four billions— is a figure of unimpeachable respectability. Can the home market make good the loss? VII. But the diminution of exports does not disturb the home trader. To him the loss is a gain for the stream of indus- trial energy is turned full on the home market, and to bis 36 thinking the market bounded by act of Congress is more profitable than that bounded by the law of supply and demand. Before passing to the grave economic questions involved in such an argument, there is a social one worth noting. If there be a subject on which thinkers and men of affairs agree it is that the increasing tendency of men to gravitate towards the municipality is fraught with most troublesome, even dangerous possibilities. The problem of municipal control involving the questions of pauperism, crime and local taxation in their most acute forms, pre- sents already difficulties in contrast to which those sur- rounding the administration of Federal, State and county affairs seem simple. We may fairly doubt the expediency of enacting laws which stimulate factories at the expense of farms, which tend to drive producers from country to town. The first step in the Homo Market is the diversion of sufficient farm capital and labor to manufactures to fill the gap in supply caused by prohibition of foreign im- ports. The absolute value of our export trade has been shown already, but its real importance can be determined only by its relative value. A statement of the production and export of three great staples will partially show our stake in export trade. Production and export 1878-86 in millions of pounds and bushels: Production. Export. Wheat 4,002 bush 1,281 bush. Cotton 25,308 lbs -17,097 lbs. Tobacco- - 4,408 " 2,201 " Thus, nearly two-thirds of the whole of these great crops were grown expressly for the foreign market. As has been shown, the effect of a diminution of im- 37 ports must be the dirniuution of exports. The question then arises, will the onslaught on exports be all long the line affecting each branch of agriculture in equal, perhaps bearable, degree, or will a single or a few products be marked for attack? It is evident that that commodity will suffer most, the foreign demand for which could be most readily supplied elsewhere; equally evident that wheat is in this case being a crop of the first importance the widest distribution. Take, then, the position of the wheat grower under the proposed rearrangement of trade, bearing in mind that he is the greatest but not the only sufferer. The price of wheat is regulated in the free trade market of London, while that of manufactures is largely fixed in the protected market on this side of the water. This manifest discrim- ination would be intensified under the rigor of the home market. The wheat grower being cut off from the bulk of his present export trade, must reduce his crop area. He has paid for his land; in too many instances mortgaged it, partly in order to pay the price of protected implements, lumber, etc.; he has improved and stocked it at heavy ex- pense. He must, to conform to the new conditions, plant fewer acres, run fewer machines, use fewer buildings; in short, diminish the utility of every valuable possession. All this means reduction of farming capital, and reduction here oftener implies cancellation than conversion. An acre of farm laud, a reaper, a farm building, are in most cases valueless, unless in use for their original purpose; yet the farmer, who has long been the butt of protection, is invited to come to the rescue of his tormentor by mak- ing further sacrifices. The invitation, it is fair to say, is accompanied by an inducement, a steady market and higher prices. The steady market is to be secured in this fashion. When the tariff is perfected, new factories are 38 to spring up everywhere to supply the demand hitherto satisfied by imports. Now, a factory brinpi;s people to- gether and creates a center of distribution, thus making a somewhat better, because simpler market than a more scattered community. But the high-sounding promise would be followed by a petty performance. Out of every §100 worth of manufactured goods consumed we now make $92 worth. Can the erection of factories to supply the small remainder of eight per cent, create so valuable a market that for its attainment, the farmer would barter the great share of the foreign market which he now enjoys? The farmer is offered the home market, he has it now. He is asked to supply sixty millions of people; he now sup- plies half as manj' again. Thus far the inducement is a sham; it is baited, however, with a bribe. As has been said, the price of wheat is now regulated by the competi- tion of the world, the duty on breadstuffs being a practical joke played on the agriculturalist. If the farmer is forced to reduce his exports, he must increase the price of his products to cover the loss; the increase must be a substan- tial one to enable him to come out even. A decided rise in wheat would draw to our markets the produce of Canada, if not of more remote countries. Behold the bribe! Protection keeps out foreign wheat by its tariff wall. When the home trader has raised the price of bread, he can rest content. Every Hnk in the chain of his logic is perfectly welded, firmly interlaced. Are we ready to enact Corn Laws? Surely, those who falsely accuse tariff reformers of servile imitation of English practice, should pause before even faintly imitating those English statutes which exploit the most disgraceful legislation of the century. Bread made dear by scarcity is a misfortune, by act of Congress a crime. 39 VIII. It will be affirmed that a rise in prices will be followed by increased wages. Even if the rule were generally a sound one it would fail where its need is greatest. It is impossible that protection can perform the feat of keeping up wages in the face of constant immigration and secur- ing full working tipie throughout the year. It would often happen that the price of wheat kept up to a point necessary to afford a profit to the farmer would be beyond the reach of the workingman. But the rule itself does not hold. A rise in the price of subsistence caused by law has no more effect to raise wages than a rise caused by deficiency; the effect of the Corn Laws of England differed only in degree from the famines in India. The fallacy of the statement that bread would be no dearer in the home market will be shown in investigating the sweeping assertion of the protectionist that high tariff makes the protection commodity cheaper through internal competition. Cheaper than what? If it is meant that the prices of certain commodities being lower now than before the war, the credit is due to the Morrill tariff, the unan- swerable reply is that as the improvements in machinery, in transportation facilities, have brought down these prices in every civilized country — notably in free trade England —the relation of the tariff to cheaper commodities is plainly that of the fly on the wheel. If, however, the position is taken that protected goods here are quality for quality cheaper than abroad, the absurdity of pleading for the protection of cheap against dear goods drives the home trade to a singular explanation. His assertion amounts to this: In the event of tariff reduction, England would " flood our markets " with goods at, or even less than cost price, with intent to break down our industries, and hav- 40 ing forced our manufacturers into bankruptcy, closed our mills, driven our operatives from factory to poor-house, she would then raise prices beyond our old figures. Ac- cept this dismal prophecy as a possibility and note the result. The ruin of our manufacturing industry would " mean wide-spread disaster, involving every interest save usury. It i^upon such a market that England is expected to raise prices. Eather would she be forced to compound with an army of insolvent debtors. Furthermore, the prosperity of the United States is worth more to England in pounds, shillings and pence than is that of any other nation. The interest on millions of pounds invested in our securities, the use of millions of bushels of wheat and thousands of bales of cotton represent a part of her stake in our solvency. To predict that England would take, even if she were able, a course which would turn a good customer into a bankrupt, is to predict a gross commercial blunder on the part of a people who have never been accused of stupidity in trade. The dread lest England should be benefited by our action is one of the greatest, the most senseless, ob- stacle in the path of tariff reform, it being eagerly aRsumed that her loss must be our gain. Mr. Eobert Giffen, one of the most accurate observers in England, has expressed an opinion carrying all the more weight in the present controversy, in that it contemplates the complete reversal of our tariff policy from protection to actual free trade, instead of the mere tariff revision which is proposed. In his Essays. on Finance, Second Series, p. 271, he thus writes: " Relatively, perhaps the United States, with all its natural advantages, may ad- vance quicker under free trade than we shall then do, but absolutely we shall be better off; weshall advance quicker than we should otherwise do, and shall be all the richer 41 because of the increased wealth of so large a customer and neighbor." Now, it is by no means certain that a policy which will compel our manufacturers to seek foreign markets will redound to the advantage of England. Indeed, there is every reason to believe that in many markets now sub- stantially controlled by English merchants our products will find ready and profitable sale. South America and Australasia offer a superb field for American manufac- turers. Yet suppose England is benefited in general trade. Would a prudent business man decline to enter into a transaction because another would also make a profit out of it? Would he refuse to increase his capital by ten per cent, because another might make five or even fifteen per cent.? May not every business transaction not reprobated by law or ethics result in a benefit to both buyer and seller? A mer- chant is not concerned with the profits of his rivals if his own be sure. In the olden time when foreign commerce was often linked with oppression, piracy and war, when cannon compelled the surrender of merchandise on terms much cheaper than cash payments, there may have been some ground for holding foreign commerce to imply a gain and a loss. Commerce to-day stands on a higher level. It is the orderly exchange of superfiuities for necessaries. Mercliants may trade where they list, may seek their profit in every quarter of the globe. If the prosperity of a nation be real it is cause of thanksgiving to every other. A prosperous nation is a solvent debtor a fair creditor. Were it otherwise; were each state to strive for the monopoly of civilization,, of comfort and happiness, every lesson of Christianity, every precept of morality would be ground under the heel of a selfishness as gross as profitless. 42 To the argument against the probabihty of the "flood" of Enghsh goods to our ruin shall be added the weight of experience. Such a flood did not whelm us in the low tariff period, 184'7-60. In 1850, three years after the passage of the Walker Tariff bill, 88.39 per cent, of the value of manufactured articles consumed in the county were made hei'e', in 1860, 87.57 per cent, were of domestic production. If the slight difference of 00.87 per cent, is to be counted a loss through low tariff, to what cause are we to assign a loss of 00.56 per cent, found in comparing the figures of 1880 with those of 1870? If it be objected that a test cannot be fairly made by comparing a few single years, the answer is that they are the only ones for which official statistics are obtainable. So far as the statistics of 1860 are concerned they are- taken but three years after the panic of 1857 and on the principle that prosperity is apt rather to precede than follow a commercial crisis, it may be urged that the latter part of the decade was not more prosperous than the earlier. There is a deal of misrepresentation about this period. The high protectionist always refer to it as a "period of storm and stress." Every misfortune, every mistake is carefully gathered up and laid at the door of low tariff. The revenue tariff acts of 1846 and 1857 are held responsible for every drawback, receive no credit for any advance. What was the real state of affairs when state interference with private business touched its lowest point; when taxation was primarily for revenue? There is nothing to encourage the delusion that a rational system of taxation retarded our progress, pauperized our opera- tives, crushed out our self-reliance. On the contrary, there was a remarkable advance in material well being. In agriculture, in manufactures, in railroad building, in the exploration and development of new territory, Ameri- 43 can energy was at its best and bravest. Pages might be filled, with figures proving the prosperity of this period, but there is a shorter road to the heart of the truth. The Walker Tariff act was approved July 30, 1846, and went into effect the latter part of the year. By this law all specific duties were abolished, and the ad valorem rate on dutiable goods then at 33.47 per cent, was reduced to 26.22. The bill passed the House by a vote of 114 to 95, the majority representing the West and South, the minor- it,y the East. In 1847, the Whigs obtained a majority of three in Congress, and in 1848, elected a President, who in his inaugural referred but briefly and coldly to the pro- tective principle. In the session of 1847-8, the Whig House passed a bill admitting Canadian grain free of duty on a basis of reciprocity. The bill was not acted on in the Senate, but was the forerunner of the Canadian reciproc- ity treaty of 1855. The House of 1849-51, was Demo- cratic by a small majority. In that of 1851-53, the Whigs had a two-third vote against them. The last Whig platform, that of 1852, contained this plank: " Grovern- ment should be conducted upon principles of the strictest economy, and revenue sufficient for the expenses thereof in time of peace ought to be mainly derived from a duty on imports, and not from direct taxes; and in levying such duties sound policy requires a just discrimination and protection from fraud by specific duties, where prac- ticable, whereby suitable encouragement may be assured to American industry equally to all classes and to all por- tions of the country." Contrast this cold blooded indorse- ment with the desperate enthusiasm with which the Chicago platform attempts to infuse vitality into the home- market theory. But the Republican platform of 1856, omitted all reference to protection; and in the first Re- publican House was dealt what appeared to be its death- 44 stroke— the Tariff Act of 1857. This act, which reduced the tariff on dutiable goods to 20.12 per cent., the lowest point since 1816, received the support of many New Eng- .♦ land Eepublicans, and was passed bj'' a non-partisan vote of 123 to Y2. The salient fact in this brief political review is the waning force of the principle of high protection as a live issue. Ten years of low duties had so satisfied the people that still lower duties were demanded and obtained. Of course, protection was still desired by those who were interested in the private profits which it assures to its favorites. Pennsylvania ever longed for the return of high tariff, and was enabled just before the election to use its electoral vote as a lever to raise the iron duties. The Morril Act of 1861 was mainly a political measure, the lukewarmness of New England manufacturers and others divesting it of all claim to be considered as passed at the demand of the general industrial interests of the country. From 1861-1864 tariff acts and amendments multiplied without let or .hindrance. Every manufacturer who de- manded increased dividends through a tariff tax not only got them, but posed as an unselfish patriot. The climax was reached in 1864, when a tariff act embracing every article possible, and increasing the average rate of duty from 37.2 to 47.6 per cent., was rushed through Congress after a so-called debate lasting five days, received the Ex- ecutive approval, and, to the astonishment alike of friend and foe, still stands as the basis of many of the most im- portan,t schedules. The protective system of' to-day is not the outgrowth of •discontent with a low tariff, but was conceived as a politi- cal measure, developed by its assumed connection with warlike patriotism. It has held its ground partly through habit, partly through the long tenure of authority held by its sponsor, the Republican party— a tenure toward the 45 last due to the clever manipulation of ingenious scare- crows—principally through the cohesion of its benefici- aries. The fallacy which is the root of the home market theory is, that in purchasing abroad goods which it is physically possible to produce here, we lose a part of our wealth — Said Mr. Reed, at the close of the preliminary debate on the Mills bill, referring to the wealth of the United States : " We mean to keep this wealth here — we mean to do it even if we build a Chinese wall of tariff taxes around this country." If our imports were regu- larly paid for in gold drawn from our pockets and banks, and expressed abroad ; if commerce meant goods crowd- ing on us, gold pouring from us, there might be realized the economic nightmare of the home trader ; a people drained of gold, falling back on a clumsy system of neighborhood barter. This one-sided commerce is not ours. Admit that, in paying for imports, w^e pay the wages of foreign workmen, the commodity with which we cancel the debt is produced by American labor. Take again, for an example, the tin plate industry. During the past sixteen years we have purchased abroad tin plates to the value of $223,000,000. This transaction is stigmatized as violating the interests of home labor. It is urged that had the duty been high enough to warrant the maintenance of the industry here, this vast siun would have supported an army of workmen at good wages ; wages in their turn spent here to the satisfaction of other home producers. Look at the reverse of the picture. The wheat or other commodity which we ex- ported to pay for tin plate was itself the product of labor j were it not needed for this purpose it would not be pro- duced, unless, indeed, to pay for for another import equally detrimental to the home market. 46 But even if " keeping wealth within the country" by tariff taxes be a possible or a desirable thing, how lamely the protective system halts toward the goal. In 1860 the ^ percentage of domestic manufactures in the total con- sumption was 87.51; in 1880, 92.58, an increase of but 5.01 per cent. There are losses which offset in great part this gain. In 1860 we exported 2.42 per cent, of the products of our manufactures, in 1880 but 1.48 per cent. Further- more, the protective system must account for the where- abouts of the once great American merchant marine. In 18C0 it earned freight on 66^ per cent, of the value of imports and exports; in 1887 but 13y% per cent. The enormous loss resulting from this decline must be laid at the door of those who having at heart the interests of a few shipyards refused to amend our navigation laws in the direction of free ships; who equally careful of the profits of iron founders, declined to lower the duties on raw mate- rial who said to the American merchant: Sail dear ships or sail none. Though even from the high protective standpoint, the office of the tariff to keep wealth within the country is trivial, there is no gainsaying its powerful leverage on the internal distribution of wealth. Now every tax law effects in some degree an artificial distribution of wealth, but grounds its justification on the public necessity. Our present tariff law ranges through a wider sphere. Up to the point when its collections go to the fair needs of gov- ernment, it is an ordinary, perhaps to some extent a vol- untary tax, as in many cases its objects are luxuries or of voluntary consumption. The real burden of the tariff is in its reflex action. Through its enhancement of prices it draws a little from each individual, and divides the lump among a few. Whether this lump amounts to five hun- dred million a year, or a billion, or more, is a matter of ag- 47 gravation. It is evidently sufificiently large to justify the conclusion that the indirect operation of the law effects an artificial distribution of wealth for private benefit, many times greater than its direct action affects for the public necessity. IX. One of the most notable features of a Jiome market would be the limitation of production to our necessities. Now, large as is our population, manifold our wants, it is evident that our productive ability, measured in brain, brawn and machine, may easily distance our capacity for consumption. The great complex machinery of produc- tion is doing its best and most profitable work when it produces fully up to the limit of its power; the larger the field of its activity, the less likelihood is there of trade •disturbance, for while wide-spread depression may be ex- perienced at times, it is offset by periods of general pros- perity, and between these extremes therfe are generally some profitable markets open. A forced limitation of production is possible only when industrial energy out- runs the market. This condition is now present in many industries. The "pool" which was so familiar a few years ago; the "trust'' — a pool, the members of which are presumably checked from selling out each other— bear witness to this state of trade that the consumers of the restricted commodity are paying a price higher than they would were the maj:-ket extended, and this without ad- verting to the danger lest a trust or other combination might, for a time at least, actually raise prices. The trusts to which I refer are not, as a rule, evidences of attempts to prevent competition in a widening market, but rather to retain control of a market stationary or 48 overstocked. The number of combinations prove then that in many industries our productive energy is artifi- cially restricted. One phase of the home market is partially realized : Are we satisfied with it ? But the claim is set up that combination is the only method to prevent the glutting of the market. Then extend the market. A high protection law promises special rewards to certain industries, with the effect of drawing to them a superabundance of capital. A lively competition . for profits soon descends to a desparate struggle for existence. Prices at first, perhaps, driven below a fair standard, are forced up by combination. Thus production is kept in a state of unnatural contraction or expansion —to the loss and annoyance of both producer and consumer. X. Though there is little room in the home market theory for export trade of any sort, there is none at all for an export of manufactures, for it is asserted that we are pre- cluded from all competition abroad on account of our high-priced labor. In this assertion is found the sheet anchor of the present system: Protection raises wages. The home trader declares what is perfectly true, that wages are higher now than before the war. Here again is a general improvement twisted into a local advantage. A decided rise in wages is a notable feature in other countries, and nowhere more pronounced than in Eng- land, where, say competent observers, wages have, during the past half-century, advanced from fifty to one hundred per cent. High protection, high wages, and a home market have really so slight a connection, that we are treated to-day to a curious spectacle — a sort of economic Comedy of Errors. A few Englishmen agitate for protection against 49 the assults of the cheap labor of protectionist Germany; and are encouraged by American protectionists who in their turn dread the competition of the cheap labor of free trade England; when we recall that Germany sought in protection a barrier against the aggression of the high- priced labor of England the puzzle is complete. Let the home trader now pick from this bundle of contradictions an argument that will satisfy the American, the Enghsh, the German workman that protection raises wages. The rule if sound, is universal. Indeed as the labor of Europe is generally referred to as "pauper" labor it stands in greater need of protection than does the higher class labor of America. Must we not seek the causes of the superior condition of American workmen in a higher plane than that of mere statute law? There is an old adage "figures cannot lie," but its truth has been sadly weakened in recent tariff discussion. The defenseless numerals, cursed with the likeness of accuracy, are wrested into supporting statements ranging from the suppression of the truth to the expression of the lie. De- ception finds its favorite mouthpiece in the comparative table of wages. This table appears in every protectionist speech and tract. It invariably shows, and truly, that workmen here are paid more money than those abroad. Here it stops, admitting no allowances, no corrective figures. The force of this table lies in its simplicity, its brevity, above all in its ceaseless iteration. It is the be all, the end all of every argument. Arguments drawn from principle and experience are as featherweights compared with the dull heaviness of this comparative table of wages. On the blind acceptance of this simple statement by simple people rests the assurance of the protected class. The first objection to the table is its real vagueness. It attempts one of the most difficult problems of statistical science, and 50 gives no data by which its correctness may be tested. I admit that there is a reason for this omission. There are, as yet, no accurate comprehensive figures showing the re- wards of American industry. The census of 1880 is con- fessedly imperfect in this respect. The work of the Massa- chusetts Bureau of Statistics gives the best, practically the only results on the subject. As it deals with but a fraction of American labor it will not, as a rule, serve as a basis for international comparison. Where, however, an in- dustry is highly localized as is the cotton manufacture, where, according to the census of 1880 out of 230,000 looms 94,000 were operated in Massachusetts and 88,000 in other New England states it is possible to collect data which will serve as a basis for comparison. In every case, however, we must be informed as to the source whence the data are taken. For example, in a comparison of the wages of steel workers here and in England, we should know whether the American figures are taken from the Union Steel Works at Chicago or from Mr. Carnegie's works at Braddock, Pennsylvania. The importance of this infor- mation will appear when the wages paid in these estab- lishments are compared. Blast Furnace Department. Fdrnace FciaNAcE No. 2, Union Steel Company,* A, Braddock. Chicago. SLIDING SCALE, STANDARD SCALE. Turn 12 hours. Keeper $2 23 $3 25 First helper 1 YO 2 60 Second helper 160 2 45 No thirdhelper 2 45 third helper. Stoveman. 1 70 2 50 Top filler 161 2 50 Filler 1 51 2 25 * Tlie table is printed in the Iron Age of July 26, Ifi 61 Converter Department. First converter $133 per 100 tons. $1 80 per 100 tons. First pitman 1 32 " " i 80 " •' First ladleman 99 " " 1 80 " " Blower 108 " " 2 34 " " Bottom builder 1 06 " " 89 tonnage of 2 turns. Spiegel melter 1 33 " " 1 80 per 100 tons. Blooming Department. Heater $5 00 per 100 tons Heater's help'r $132 per 100 tons. 3 00 Asst. roller 1 09 " " 1 53 " " Leverm'n (sh'rs) 63 " " 99 " " Rail Mill Department. Roller $210 00 per month. Leverman $3 10 turn 12 h. 3 72 turn 12 h. Spell leverman 2 85 " " 3 72 " " First engineer 2 38 " " 3 50 " " Water tender 2 00 " " 2 90 " Straightener ^ 1 43 100 tons on en- 9 00 100 tons on tire output of individual mill. work. The surest method of discrediting this bogus compara- tive table of wages is to illustrate the general principles which must be kept in view in framing a true one. When the real elements are indicated it is possible to draw infer- ences approximately correct. I will take the wages of cotton weavers as figured out by Mr. Schoenof in his con- sular report on Technical Education in Europe. The figures for the United States are taken from Massachusetts. Daily Wages of Cotton Weavers. Switzerland... $0.44-49 Germany 0.48 England ..-. 0.65 United States o 0.80-1.12^ 52 This statement goes far enough for the purposes of pro- tectionist argument, though a consistent explanation of the higher wages of free trade England over protectionist Germany can hardly be forthcoming. For the attainment of any valuable result the table must be thus enlarged : , m © o >,a> i§ o i§ o u ^^ ^P u ated put aver. O 03 ■u^ p ^ 1-^ H Switzerland $0.44-49 2-3 $0,606 466 yds. Germany 0.48 2-3 0.606 England 0.65 3-4 .55 709 yds. 1,200 yds. United States 0.80-1.12J 6-8 .40 These figures show the elements to be taken into account. Working energy, labor, cost of product must be estimated before a fair comparison of money wages can be made. But money wages are themselves but incom- plete indication of the true conditions of workingmen. Wages are high or low according to their purchasing power as they afford a fair livelihood or a bare one. In the Eeport of the Massachusetts Bureau of Statistics for 1885 there appears the following table of prices in Eng- land and Massachusetts : 53 Prices in Great Britain and Mass., 1885. Perceyitages. Higher in Masa. Higher in G. B. Groceries 16.18 Provisions 23.08 Fuel 101.96 Dry Goods, all gratjes 13.26 " 3 lower grades 90 Boots and shoes, all " 62.59 " 3 lower grades.- 42. Y5 Clothing, all grades... 45.06 " 3 lower grades 27.30 " lowest " 18.01 2 highest " 56.57 Rents 89.62 Board and lodging 39.01 Another element is that of steadiness of employment. Accurate and comprehensive figures are not at hand on which to found any comparison in this respect between England and the United States. Possibly the United States has the advantage in this respect, although the returns made by the Massachusetts census of 1885 demon- strate that in that busy State days of idleness are not uncommon. In the census report it is stated that "a little less than one-third of the persons returned as being engaged in remunerative labor were unemployed for about one-third of their working time." Of this third 107,000 or 69.14 per cent, were engaged in manufactures. Since the comparative table of v/ages as it figures in pro- tectionist argument gives us no information concerning labor, cost of product, cost of living, steadiness of employ- ment, it not onl}^ fails to clear up the real issue, the com- parative conditions of the workingmen, but falls far short of the very point it pretends to prove — that the higher wages of American labor are due to the tariff. When the chief controversial weapon of the protectionists is proved 54 dull of edge its wielders might be fairly called upon to put it to the grindstone, since on them rests the burden of making good their assertions. But I shall not thus leave the question at loose ends. After making all allowances the substantial fact re- mains that the real wages of American labor are some- what higher than obtain in Great Britain, mueh higher than in other foreign countries. The reason for this need not be grubbed for in tariff schedules often so involved that they can be understood only by their interested framers or instigators, but in the plainest of, all business principles. A man's wages are gauged by his efficiency — herein lies the open secret of American wages — the truth so long obscured, yet ever within easy reach. The Amer- ican workman, especially he who has to do with machin- ery, is worth more to his employer than is the English workman to his. In the case of the cotton weavers noted, above the relative ability of American as against English labor is nearly two to one. A remarkable example of superior ability was given by Mr. Eussell,of Massachusetts, in the recent debate in Congress. A New Englander hav- ing patented machines for sewing and heeling shoes, a company was formed to lease them to manufacturers here and abroad, receiving a royalty on every pair of shoes turned out. At the end of a year it was discovered that the royalties collected from a machine in England were but forty-seven per cent, of those returned from a machine in the United States. The company suspected fraud and sent an expert to England to investigate the working of the machines. The report was that the English returns were correct, the English operator turning out forty-seven pair of shoes when the American turned out one hundred. Instances might be multiplied to prove the higher effi- ciency of American labor. But deeper yet must we go {)5 and strike the foundation of American efficiency. The countries of Europe are crowded with seekers after work. The great difficulty of hfe — living — is there in every acute case. National institutions are based on real class dis- tinctions which oppress, or nominal class distinctions which irritate. Unless we except Switzerland, Holland, possibly England, in no country in Europe does the exist- ing sovereignty, whether reposed in autocrat, constitu- tional monarch or people, find unquestioned acceptance. Each year of peace is but a twelve months' truce. Ever resting on their arms the nations must bear the costly charge of readiness, watchfulness. The results are national debts so large that the payment of the principal is not dreamed of; national expenses so gross in bulk that the most ingenius financiering cannot deceive the people as to the real burden of taxation. The conditions in the United States are happily differ- ent. The extent of our territory precludes any real "land question." The form and spirit of our government is not only universally accepted but almost universally accept- able. Whatever heavy burdens may be imposed in some localities through municipal taxation, our national reven- lues are in part evidently superfluous, and yet one of the greatest economic contests in our history is now been waged over the question: Shall we remit the most bur- densome of our taxes or the least? Above all the individ- ual has a better chance for development here than abroad. Should it surprise a believer in our republican institutions that their highest claim to regard is founded on the intel- ligence, the contentment, the freedom which flourish under them? Should it be a revelation to men of affairs that the intelligent, the contented, the free workman is a better workman than he who is branded as a "pauper?" These considerations may be deemed sentimental, yet the 56 " sentiment " that under free institutions the individual may reahze a sturdier independence, a higher efSciency, a greater happiness, is the bed-rock of the EepuWic. Leav- ing out the law of supply and demand as a regulator of money wages, and the effect of prices on their purchasing^ power, influences that obtain the world over, the relatively greater prosperity of the American operative may be set down to his superior excellence. It would be untrue to assert that there is no cheap labor in the United States. There are work people paid as low, lodged as badly, fed as poorly; every whit as depraved as the pauper workman of Europe. I do not refer to natives or voluntary immigrants seeking a permanent home, but to foreigners lured from their homes by false promises, consigned to agents here, shipped to points of distribution, whence they are sent out to break down the wages of our workmen. The iron founder who unctuously blesses the tariff for giving his skilled workmen two or three dollars a day, will ransack Europe for the most degraded of its- people and keep them at his mines and coke furnaces at seventy-five cents a day. I have shown the hollowness of the pretence that the- high wages of American workmen are due to our present import duties. If the claims of the protectionist are true, the taxpayers of this country are daily putting their hands- in their pockets to help manufacturers pay their employees. If such were the case it would be pertinent to inquire whether such a charity were profitable or worthy. But the case is radically different. Where an American oper- ative is paid high wages it is because he deserves them by the quality and quantity of his work. He does not figure as an assisted laborer but earns his whole wages. True, the- taypayer continues to pay tribute, but it goes to swell dividends, not wages. 5T The attitude of the workmgmen themselves throws a strong side-hght on the question of wages and the tariff. . The American workman cannot be accused of losing sight of his own interests, nor is he backward in demanding what he conceives to be his rights. Shorter hours, higher ■wages, abolition of convict labor, regulation of child labor, figure frequently in the programme of organized labor. If the home trader be right these things are but trifles when measured by the standard of the protective principle which arrogantly assumes to be the regulator of wages if not the source of employment itself. Is it not singular that labor is so blind to its highest interest that rarely in speech or platform is the present tariff upheld, that the labor press is generally in favor of tariff reduction, that on election day workingmen are often rallied to the standard of pro- tection by w^hat is known as the "tariff scare" or by the sharper method of coercion? I have hitherto mainly dealt with that labor which is supposed to be directly protected by the tariff. Now the- number of men in this class is, according to the census returns as classified in the President's message 2,623,000. On the other hand, 14,769,000 men are removed from foreign competition either because their work must be done on the spot or on account of the quality and cheap- ness of their product. The claim that this class receives an incidental benefit through the operation of the tariff in providing a home market has already been examined and disallowed. The argument that high-priced labor prevents the profit- able export of manufactures leads to the conclusion that wages is the only element worth considering in estimating the value of an article. Labor enters largely into cost, but value is something different. It is the estimation placed upon that article by the consumer in disregard, generally 58 in ignorance of its labor cost. The consumer Jooks first to the quality of the article, and as the commerce of the world is not wholly conducted on the slop-shop principle a better grade of work will, in the long run, command the higher price, which is its due. That there is a market in the world for the product of well paid labor is shown by the signal success which has followed enterprising Ameri- can manufacturers in their ventures abroad. XI. Were the tariff reduced on the lines of the message as modified by the underlying principle of the Mills bill, the capital invested in certain branches of industry would be perhaps assailed. These branches are too few in number, too small in importance to excuse a plea for their mainten- ance at the expense of the general interest in low taxes. In other and perhaps more important interests there might be a temporary, even a permanent shrinkage of profits, but the people may rightly decline to stand as guar- antors of a rate of interest on private investments, and here, as in the former case, refuse to consider a tariff act as creating between the state and the protected class a contract of eternal obligation. Manufacturers generally would be benefited by that change of policy, which, by reducing the cost of raw material, would enable them to enlarge the market by cheapening the product. There is a "smart" argument pressed with childish in- sistence that tariff reform is stultified in the Mills bill with its average duty of 42^ per cent. ; that if high protection is ■error, truth cannot be found short of free trade. Now, theoretical free trade, the total abolition of all revenues from imports, can never be practicable until people choose to pay their public expenses through direct rather than 59 indirect taxation. Nor is practical free trade, as evidenced in its great exemplar the British revenue system, much less foreign to our ideas of public economy. The leading items of British revenue are (1886-Y) as follows: Excise $126,534,000 Income tax 80,754,000 Stamp duties 58, 046, 000 Post office (net) 14,663,000 Customs 98,822,000 The receipts from customs may be thus classified: Tobacco $46,069,000 "Wines, liquors, etc -- 26,158,000 Tea and coffee 22,910,000 Fruits 2,323,000 These articles and the few others taxed are luxuries or at least of voluntary consumption, and the tariff is a true free trade tariff, one for revenue without incidental pro- tection. If the attempt were made to reduce our tariff to the free trade basis, the first stumbling block would be the duty on tea and coffee, and it is unhkely that we would support the taxation of these articles. Our gross revenue from imported liquors, tobacco and fruits is (1887) $20,740,000. The budget for the fiscal year ending June 30, 1889, is thus estimated: Eeceipts. Customs ---- - $228,000,000 Internal revenue. .- 120,000,000 Sales of Public lands 10,000,000 Other sources 25,000,000 • — $383,000,000 60 Expenditures. Including sinking fund and interest 326,530,T9-4 Estimated surplus $56,469,206 Now if, meanwhile, we cut down our list of dutiable imports to conform to the English system, the estimate would then stand : Receipts (customs $20,740,000) $175,740,000 Expenditures... 326,530,794 Apparent deficit $150,790,794 How would this deficit be met ? To return to our English example — Would an income tax be tolerated in this country at this time ? As for stamp duties, petty clogs on private business transactions, such as the execution of deeds, the drawing of notes, bills and the like, would these duties, a nuisance in war time, find favor in peace ? Our postal service is not managed for revenue, nor can it be so long as we continue the policy of affording cheap postage in a country so vast, so sparsely populated. The question of ways and means flattens this argument. Eeyenue must be raised ; raised by taxation. If we close our custom houses we must open more internal revenue offices. If we give up submission of imports to the custom officers, we must send the tax gatherer among the people. If we free imports we must tax incomes, trades ; impose a penalty on deeds, wills, checks and notes ; place all our peace taxes on a war footing. The establishment in this country of anything like the English revenue system is barred alike by the traditions of the past, the interests of the present. Whatever be the advantages of a free trade system, we cannot now 61 afford to pay the price at which they are quoted. Our revenue must be mainly drawn from a tariff which of necessity affords an incidental protection. There is no issue joined between protection and free trade. Indeed, the controversy in which we are now engaged is, on one side, of a broader scope than a tariff question affords. The issue, to which that between high protection and a tariff for revenue with incidental protec- tion is subordinate, is between protection and economy — dogma against principle. Protection is now to be judged, not merely by its own merits or demerits, but by the vice of its ally, extravagance. There are those who through ignorance or interest have the hardihood to set up protection as the pillar of the state ; and whatever virtue there be in consistent dullness and selfishness^ it shall remain in them unassailed ; but from that great body of citizens which has heretofore supported the protective principle either because of its establishment, or for more intelligent reasons, this question demands its answer : Is not high protection too dear at the price of economy ? ■ The bold plea for the sanctity of the private profits with which protection blesses its beneficiaries is worthless. Somewhat the same claim, couched in an appeal for vested interests, is valid only so far as fair play demands that such interests should receive reasonable warning of any change, that they may be adapted to new conditions ; beyond that, the vested interests of the taxpayer in economical administration must prevail. We have gone beyond the fact of the present surplus, and are now concerned with future administration. The admitted evil of a continuing surplus will not cure itself, nor will it yield to administrative remedies. Legislation 62 and legislation alone can master it. Upon what lines shall this legislation be drafted? Will American common sense give way under the strain of the surplus, and* through sheer inability to cope with it, permit it to flood or filter through the country? If we do not waste tax receipts, we must reduce the taxes themselves. Which will pay best: to revise the tariff up or revise the tariff down? The home market or tariff reform? The home market aims at entirety of production re- gardless of cost; contracts a great foreign and offers a slightly enlarged home market; declares for cheap luxuries, dear necessaries. It links public administration and pri- vate enterprise in a partnership fatal to every interest of the one, the true interest of the other. In its partiality there is a broad hint of that utterly defenseless form of State Socialism— State Favoritism. The extravagant claims sometimes put forth in behalf of tariff reform are misleading. A revenue tariff is not a cure-all. Its strength is simplicity. It does not seek the impossible, the creation of wealth by law, but it lifts real burdens from the taxpayer, suffers capital to flow in natural channels, and leaves to each producer the fruit of his industry. It decrees a divorce between trade and poli- tics. The government withdraws from its silent but profitless partnership in private enterprise, declines to "foster" new and costly industries or bolster up old ones. The government then being in such fortunate case that prudent management cannot be imputed to it as error, re. trenchment as mortal sin, is free to collect and administer revenue with sole regard to public necessities, and aiming at low taxes and legitimate and economical expenditures, fulfills the duties of its stewardship. 63 Shall the new policy strike at the root of things and in- volve the maintenance of economy, if not the relations of ^ the States to the Federal government? Shall it attempt the commercial isolation of the whole country in order that the profits of a few may be secure? May we not rather turn the surplus to honest account, and, in removing it from our budget, revive the principles of low taxation, economical expenditure and equality be- fore the law? [FSliS]