- , New York State College of Agriculture At Cornell University Ithaca, N. Y. Library Cornell University Library S 455.B36 The British farmer and his competitors, 3 1924 000 905 475 Cornell University Library The original of this book is in the Cornell University Library. There are no known copyright restrictions in the United States on the use of the text. http://www.archive.org/details/cu31924000905475 PUBLISHER'S NOTICE. It is the intention of the Cobden Club to publish a series, of books and pamphlets, of which this is the first, suggesting how Agricultural Prosperity, under Free Trade, may be promoted by the development of the resources of the Soil. THE British Farmer AND His Competitors. BY WILLIAM E. BEAR. CASSELL & COMPANY, Limited LONDON, PARIS, NEW %ORK & MELBOURNE. PREFAC K. The author has to thank the Publisher ot the Quarterly Review for permission to republish articles which appeared in that periodical during the year 1887, and which form a considerable portion of the presenf volume. .Those portions of the work, however, have been enlarged, revised, and brought up to date as far as possible, the statistics for 1887 and part of 1888 being in most instances substituted for those of 1886. There are, in addition, some new chapters, though two of them contain extracts from papers read before the London Farmers' Club and the Farmers' Alliance during the present year. In preparing this little book for the Cobden Club, the author desires to state that he alone is responsible for the opinions expressed in it. Streatham, July, 1888. CONTENTS. CHAPTER I. — The Condition of British Agriculture II. — A General Review of Agricultural Competition III. — Competition in Wheat-Growing... IV. — Our Meat Supply V. — Dairy Produce VI. — Vegetables, Fruit, and Flowers VII. — The Farmer's Share in his Produce VIII. — The Protectionist Delusion IX.— Concluding Remarks Appendix Index 9 20 29 71 97 132 140 155 160 164 165 The British Farmer and His Competitors. CHAPTER I. THE CONDITION OF BRITISH AGRICULTURE. This country has been suffering from agricultural depression in its acute stage for fully nine years. For some time before 1879 there were complaints of the unremunerativeness of farming ; but in that year veritable disaster was experienced, and although the failure of crops has never been quite as com- plete since, lean harvests have been more common than fat ones, and prices have been generally falling. There is, unfor- tunately, no doubt that thousands of British farmers have been ruined, and that most of the rest have lost a great part of their capital. As for the owners of land, it is certain that their rentals have been greatly reduced even when they have been paid in full ; and frequent announcements in the papers have told us of liberal remissions of rent, granted year after year by most of the great landlords, while to many arrears of rent which they will never recover are still due. The latest Report of the Commissioners of Inland Revenue states that the annual value of " lands " assessed under Schedule A, in the United Kingdom, was highest in 1879-80, when it was ^69,548,793. In 1885-6 the amount was ^63,268,679, showing a fall of £6,280,117. To this the Commissioners add £732,000 as representing allowances made on account of agricultural distress, thus bringing the total to ,£7,012,117. Now, if these figures could be taken as showing the full amount IO THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. of the loss suffered by landowners, they might still rejoice at having retained a considerable proportion of the increase m rents caused by" the Russian War. Previous to that war in 1852-3, the gross assessment of lands, gardens, and nurseries in occupation for income tax under Schedule B in Great Britain (there has been a change in the assessment for Ireland which renders comparison for the United Kingdom difficult) was ^46,571,887 ; in 1879-80, it was ^59,402,479 ; and for 1885-6, it was ^53,359,177- It is clear, then, that up to the latest year of which we have the details the agricultural rental of Great Britain was still nominally higher by several millions than it was before the Russian War. What reduction the aggregate of temporary remissions and landlords' losses would make can- not be ascertained, and if the figures are misleading, landlords have only themselves to blame for not granting permanent reductions of rent after many years of agricultural distress, instead of merely temporary remissions ; for of course, assess- ments follow rents, as a rule, with very little delay. Every one knows that in most new lettings rents have been greatly reduced ; but, unfortunately, tenants who hold under old leases or agree- ments are too generally bound, nominally, at any rate, to pay rents fixed in more prosperous times. Now, it is quite certain that land in this country is not worth nearly as much to farm as it was for many years before the Russian War, and that the total assessment under Schedule B would be less instead of more than it was in LSff-Se, if the fall in rents had been as great as it should have been in proportion to the actual value of land. This is a very important question in relation to the position of the British farmer, for whom there is no pros- pect of prosperity until all his expenses have been reduced, as many of them have been, in proportion to the diminished returns derived from his produce. A temporary remission, however liberal, is not equivalent to a permanent reduction of rent, in the first place, because it is uncertain, being dependent on the goodwill of the landlord or the advice of the agent of the property ; and, secondly, because it does not give equal courage and hopefulness in the conduct of the tenant's business. Many a farmer is so utterly depressed by his liability to a high rent which he knows he will not be able to pay in full, that he has nearly all the energy taken out of him. It may even occur THE CONDITION OF BRITISH AGRICULTURE. II to him that he will be no better off for any efforts he may make, because if he has good crops in any year he may get no remission of rent, whereas he would obtain one if his crops . were under average. On the other hand, if his rent were permanently and sufficiently reduced, he would feel that he had a chance of making ends meet, and he would see, moreover, that whatever advantage he could obtain by extra exertion and enterprise would be a clear gain to him, as he would have no landlord's relief to look to in the event of loss on the year's farming. It is not unreasonable to believe, then, that it would be to the advantage of landlords, in the long run, not to insist on their full rights of contract as to rent in the cases of sitting tenants, holding under old agreements, but to make permanent reductions wherever they are necessary to afford those tenants a fair chance of making their farms pay. It is contended by many authorities that the fall in farm rentals indicated by the Reports of the Commissioners of Inland Revenue gives no idea of the losses which landowners have suffered. For example, Sir James Caird, in 1886, in his evidence before Lord Iddesleigh's Commission, estimated the loss of the agricultural classes in spendable income, as com- pared with what it was ten years before, at nearly ^43,000,000 per annum, of which he apportioned ^20,000,000 among landlords, ^20,000,000 among tenants, and ^2,800,000 among labourers. According to this estimate, made after con- sulting authorities in various parts of the kingdom, in order to place farmers and labourers in the position they occupied ten years before 1886 in respect of money income; rents should have been reduced by ^22,800,000, instead of by a great deal less than half that amount. It is not contended, however, that landlords should bear all the loss caused by the bad times ; and it is also to be borne in mind that farmers and labourers do not require as much spendable income now that nearly every- thing they have to pay for is greatly reduced in price, as they needed formerly, in order to obtain a given degree of comfort. With all due allowance on this score, however, it is obvious that rents in very many instances have not been nearly enough reduced to afford British farmers a fair field in their conflict with their foreign competitors. In time, of course, rents will come down to their commercial value by the action of supply and demand, and the only choice which landlords have is one 12 THE BRITISH FARMED AND HIS COMPETITORS. between allowing their old tenants to be ruined first and then accepting reduced rents, or granting the reductions soon enough to save men in whom they have reason to feel some confidence from the fate to which the exaction of contract dues must drive most of them if prices do not rise. It may be said that a sitting tenant who holds under a yearly agreement may at any time insist upon a reduction of rent, and that many have obtained reductions. This is true in part only. All who have felt strong enough have insisted, when necessary, on reductions ; but those who need relief most are precisely the men who have least power to drive hard bargains. Indebted to their landlords, as too many of them are, and nearly, if not quite, insolvent, they fear that the. unsettlement of a flitting might mean absolute ruin, and therefore they are constrained to hold on as long as possible, even under exorbitant rents, in the hope of better times, rather than face a positibn which they feel to be dangerous in the extreme. This is the reason why, in many parts of the country, rents have been kept up to pretty well or quite their old level. It has frequently been contended that a vast area of land in this country could not be farmed at a profit if held rent-free ; but a good deal of exaggeration has been indulged in upon this point. That it is true in the case of some poor, heavy land, expensive to work, not well suited for live stock, and burdened with a heavy tithe rent-charge, may be admitted. The area of such land, however, is very small. If a return were made of farms in Great Britain which have been offered rent-free and refused, I believe it would show a number ridiculously small. Certainly, the acreage of land out of cultivation is quite insig- nificant. The Agricultural Returns for 1887 showed that the area of arable land in England and Wales unoccupied by either landlord or tenant was only 25,284 acres, as compared with 43,817 acres in 1881. It is true that these figures do not prove that the land farmed by landlords is farmed at a profit ; but they do prove that there is very little land in the country which no one would farm if rent-free. This question of rent has been dwelt upon, to begin with, because it stands at the threshold of any useful inquiry into the position and prospects of British agriculture. The British farmer needs relief from his present difficulties first, and then such encouragement to energy and enterprise as just laws THE CONDITION OF BRITISH AGRICULTURE. 1 3 and other conditions can afford him. Now, the most substantial relief beyond that already derived from the general fall in the expenses of farming which the farmer can hope to obtain consists in a reduction of rent. Tithes and rates count as rent, and it is certain that no great amount of relief can be expected as far as these burdens are concerned. Tithes have fallen with the price of corn, and relief to local taxpayers is expected from this year's legislation ; but these advantages are small, and in course of time any benefit of this kind will be swallowed up in rent. On almost every other item of the farmer's expenditure there has been a substantial reduction. Wages have fallen low enough in all conscience, and if the percentage of reduc- tion is small, the economy of labour forced upon the farmer has been generally considerable. Implements, feeding-stuffs, manures, household requisites, and even doctors' and school- masters' charges, have been greatly reduced, to farmers at any rate, since the bad times commenced. Then, if rent, tithes, and rates, taken together, were sufficiently reduced throughout the country for old tenants as well as for new ones, the finances of farming would closely approach that general level which would render diminished returns in money equivalent to the larger returns received when all expenses were higher. I do not say that the level will be quite reached - for a long time, at any rate, as there are many fixed or customary prices or fees which are not readily altered. It may be, too, that competition for land will be keen enough to prevent rents from coming down suffi- ciendy for the level to be attained, and that farmers will have to be contented with smaller profits than their forefathers enjoyed, unless they show more energy or intelligence than was usual in the farming of the " good old times." But, that the levelling-down of expenses sufficiently to make farming remunerative again, even at current prices for agricultural produce, may and will take place appears to me certain. A sufficient and general reduction of rents not already suffi- ciently reduced would, I believe, with the fall in other expenses of farming, suffice to change that attitude of despair which has too long oppressed the cultivators of the soil in this country into an attitude of hope and sturdy resolution. But other changes are necessary to give our farmers a fair chance of holding their own against their numerqus foreign competitors. Railway charges must be reduced, and for my part I should be 14 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. prepared to* advocate the State ownership of railways, if by no other -mean's the hampering charges on the transport of agricul- tural"' prMtie'e. can be brought sufficiently low. It is of the utmost importance to the nation as a whole, and not merely to the -owners" and occupiers of the land and those who work on it, that the cultivation of the soil should be profitable ; that the forty-tfiree millions a year which Sir James Caird believes to have-been lost, or its equivalent in relation to commodities, should be again available for home expenditure ; and that the excessive exodus of people from the rural districts to the towns should : be stopped. We cannot give Protection to agriculture ; but we can insist on rail charges being made reasonable, and, above all, we can prevent the monstrous injustice of protecting I the foreign producer by preference rates on his commodities. Excessive railway charges form one portion of the vast sum which is taken by middle men between producer and customer. That subject will be separately dealt with in a subsequent chapter, and need not be referred to in detail now. A better system of distribution, even under existing circumstances, would turn many losses into profits. More important than any other changes required, however, are reforms in the laws and customs of land tenure. Our farmers must have complete security for their capital invested in improvements, and freedom of enterprise as well, if they are to do the best they can with the land. The Agricultural Holdings Act is of very little value, except as an inducement to landlords to allow a small and quite inadequate amount of compensation for unexhausted improvements. The Act affords no security for permanent improvements unless undertaken with the landlord's consent, and it needed no Act of Parliament to authorise a landlord to agree to his tenant making improve- ments which are to be paid for if he quits the farm. Farmers are condemned for not showing enterprise, when, in reality, they can only be enterprising at a serious risk of the confisca- tion of their capital. They are urged, for example, to plant fruit trees, or go to enormous expense in market garden- ing ; but many varieties of fruit trees are several years in coming into full profit, and it is absurd to expect men to sink ^20 to ^40 an acre in other peoples' property without security. It may be contended that it would be a hardship to an owner to require him to pay a very large THE CONDITION OF BRITISH AGRICULTURE. IS sum in compensation for fruit plantations which he : did not authorise. Perhaps it would be, thou'gh : nothing would be more certain to lead to the ready letting of his land at a high rent. But if it would be a hardship, because it might embarrass the owner to be called upon to pay a large sum of money, this only shows the weakness of the valuation prin- ciple embodied in the Agricultural Holdings Act: If the principle of free sale had been adopted instead, it would have been for the tenant to find a purchaser for his improvements, the landlord having pre-emption, but not being compelled to purchase. Even in respect of the limited range of improve- ments for which the Act allows a claim to compensation, the valuation system has utterly broken down, and the Act, so far as it has been carried out in cases before arbitrators or courts of justice, has become a laughing-stock. In only one instance that has come under my notice has a tenant obtained substantial compensation under the Act. As a rule, the tenant has brought an extravagant claim for unexhausted improvements into court; the landlord has retaliated by making a counter-claim, nearly or quite equal to the tenant's claim, for alleged dilapidations and deterioration or mis- cropping ; and the judge or arbitrator has reduced each amount to a mere fraction of its original total, so that the balance of one diminished sum over the other has not sufficed to pay expenses. This is no exaggeration, but a fair descrip- tion of a typical instance of litigation under the Agricultural Holdings Act. The fact is, that it is impossible to value satisfactorily, except by means of " the higgling of the market," the improvements made by a good farmer in a long course of years, or even in a few years. If it were possible, so long as the law sanctions the monstrous penalties imposed upon tenants who infringe antiquated and absurd cropping restric- tions, litigation under any such measure as the Agricultural Holdings Act would still be an act of folly. Before this country will be cultivated to the best advan- tage, those who cultivate it must be either the owners of their farms, or tenants who are entitled to sell their improvements to the highest bidder, and who are free to crop the land as they please, provided that they be liable for actual damage done to the property of the owner. Not long ago a tenant had to pay a heavy penalty for infringing cropping restrictions, l6 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. although it was admitted that by his infringement he had actually benefited the landlord. Contracts binding men in this absurd and inequitable manner are " in restraint of trade " and injurious to the community. They could be rendered void by some such enactment as the excellent Land Bill pro- posed and published some time ago by the Farmers' Alliance, in which it was laid down that no penalty for breach of covenant should be claimable except to the extent of actual damage proved. The same Bill fairly and effectually provided for the free sale of tenants' improvements, with only such interference ,with rent and such security of tenure as are absolutely necessary to prevent the confiscation of what the tenants have to sell. The passing of such an effective Land Bill as that just referred to would do more than any probable change in the law as to the ownership of land to divide farms that are too large into small ones, because it would make intensive farming as secure as the law can make it. A tenant under such cir- cumstances would have all the advantages, as a farmer, which ownership confers, and all the inducement to develop the resources of the land to the utmost profitable extent; and, with a given capital and acreage, he would have more ability to improve, because none of his capital would be sunk in the purchase of the fee simple. Free trade in land alone would do but little to place small farms within the reach of industrious and thrifty labourers. No doubt, if the owners of land desire to retain their rights, they will have to consent to the removal of all restrictions upon its simple and cheap transfer ; otherwise demands now regarded as " socialistic " will become irresistible. But so long as private ownership in land is allowed, a satisfactory division of it cannot be hoped for without the enactment of a just and effective measure of Tenant Right. Free trade in land would mean the multiplication of small landlords, who are generally the most exacting and oppressive of landlords, so that the effectual protection of tenants would be more necessary than ever if all restrictions upon the sale and transfer of land were removed. Unless the letting of land were prohibited by law, no division of ownership would ensure the multiplication of yeomen and peasant proprietors in a rich country like this, because they cannot multiply except when agriculture prospers, and when that is the case the inducement to buy land merely THE CONDITION OF BRITISH AGRICULTURE. 17 as an investment is too strong for cultivators to compete with wealthy men for its possession. Advocates of the multiplication of small holdings, then, should be among the strongest advocates of Tenant Right. For one man who can buy a few acres of land there are a hundred who can hire them. One of the great objections of landlords to letting land in small lots is the expense of building farm steadings ; but many a small tenant would himself erect the few buildings he requires if he had the right to sell his im- provements.' In spite of. ail that has been said about the number of allotments existing in most parts of the country, there is in many districts a great difficulty in getting land in small pieces near the dwellings of the people. Farmers who oppose efforts to place land within the reach of industrious and thrifty labourers make a great mistake. If the exodus of the flower of the rural labouring population is to be stopped, what has been well said to be their great want — a career — must be sup- plied. Able and intelligent young men will not stop in the rural districts if their only prospect remains one of labouring during their prime for a bare subsistence, and ending their days in the workhouse. There must be some prizes as well as blanks . in the farm labourer's lot if the unhealthy drain from the country to the town is to be stopped. Moreover, small cultivators are well fitted for those branches of agricultural enterprise which require constant attention and arduous industry, such as the growth of fruit and vegetables. They are well fitted, too, for the breeding and rearing of poultry, and for the sale of milk by retail. In the Channel Islands, where enormous rents are paid for land, there are no large farmers. The average size of a holding in Jersey is about 7 J acres, while in Guernsey it is only slightly over 4§ acres. Yet the occupiers manage to live and to save money, while it is the general testimony that only farmers who work on their land, with the few men they employ, can make farming pay in those islands. It would be absurd to suppose that land in this country, where the climate is as well fitted as it is anywhere for agri- culture, taking all kinds of produce into consideration — meat, dairy produce, fruit, and vegetables, as well as corn — and where there are the best markets of the world for the disposal of that produce, will go out of cultivation. B 1 8 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS! Mr. James Howard, when representing Bedfordshire in Parliament, for the first time gave a clear and comprehensive statement of this fact, strange though it was that no one should have anticipated him in what appeared obvious to all well- informed agriculturists when the remarks were placed before them. He made the statement very much as I have just given it, in a speech delivered in the House of Commons on the second reading of the Agricultural Tenants' Compensation Bill on the 23rd of March, 1881 ; and he amplified it in an address given at a meeting of the Farmers' Alliance in 1885, as fol- lows : — "Notwithstanding the difficulties with which British agri- culture is at present surrounded, I cannot close without passing in review the several permanent advantages which, as a country, we possess. " (1) Notwithstanding the fitfulness of our climate, for arable and pastoral pursuits combined — corn, roots, and grass — it is equal if not superior to any in the world. "(2) Although much of the land of the kingdom is poor or of medium quality, difficult and expensive to till ; as a whole it is highly productive, as is shown by the high average yield as compared with other countries. " (3) An abundance of labour, and of a more skilful kind, is available at much less cost than is within reach of the farmers of America, or most other of our competing countries — India excepted. " (4) With probably the exception of Belgium, we are better supplied with railways, and have greater facilities for carriage than any other country. " (5) Our breeds of cattle, sheep, pigs, and horses are the best and most profitable in the world. All other countries re- sort to us for blood wherewith to improve and renovate their own stock. " (6) No other country possesses a class, equal in number, capital, or skill to the tenant farmers of England and Scotland. " (7) In no other country is there, as in this, a demand at home, not only for all that the land will produce, but more than it is capable of yielding." There must be a way of making the land pay, even if no better way than that of bringing its value down to that of the American prairies, and cultivating it upon the rough-and-ready THE CONDITION OF BRITISH AGRICULTURE, ig American plan. For my part, however, I believe that we must look in the opposite direction for the solution of the difficulty. Rents, no doubt, must be low as long as land is only slightly re- munerative ; but what should be aimed at is the production of the greatest quantities of food under the most economical methods, which are not necessarily the least costly. With such reforms as have been above suggested, there is every reason to believe that farming would pay fairly, and that good, as opposed to extravagant — intensive, as contrasted with waste- ful-^farming would pay best. I am no believer in a universal system of small farming, though there is no doubt that the mistake in this country has been that of taking more land than can be properly managed with the amount of capital avail- able. This mistake has been brought about by the lack of security for intensive farming. But we need farms of all sizes for the most successful pursuit of the various branches of agricultural industry. CHAPTER II. A GENERAL REVIEW OF "AGRICULTURAL COMPETITION. Consular reports and other publications in abundance have lately shown us that agricultural depression has affected our rivals in nearly all countries as severely, or almost as severely, as it has ourselves. If we have suffered most, our bad land system and our dear railways and extravagant system of dis- tribution are sufficient to account for our having been worse off than others in spite of our many advantages. Under fair conditions, and with the enterprise and resourcefulness that such conditions would engender, British farmers, I am con- vinced, can defy the competition of the whole world. Several of their foreign competitors, as will be shown hereafter, have lately fallen behind in the struggle. It will also be pointed out that in respect of such commodities as butter, cheese, and some kinds of fruit and vegetables, it is owing to neglect on the part of producers here that foreigners have gained so much ground in our own markets. Moreover, the records of the last ten years show that the quantities of many kinds of agricultural imports have fallen off, as compared with those of previous years. The table on the next page gives the figures for 1877, for the year of maximum jmports for each item, and for 1887. In this list of imports there is an increase for 1887 as compared with 1877 in all but six items — beans, salt pork, unenumerated meat, butter, hides, and potatoes. But the increase in many items is small, and in only eight — peas, mutton, fresh pork, margarine, onions, unenumerated vege- tables, poultry and game, and eggs — were the quantities greatest last year. In most cases the decline since the year of maximum imports has been more or less regularly pro- gressive, or, at least, continuous. The receipts of wheat and flour have fluctuated a good deal; and, of course, with a REVIEW OF AGRICULTURAL COMPETITION. Principal Agricultural Imports. Items. 1877. Year of Maximum. 18S7. Wheat & Flour as Wheat. Qrs. 14.793,740 1883. .9,825,627- -18,429,248 Barley ... . »> 3,628,667 11 4,609,171 3.997.6io Oats ,» 4,694,560 n 5,512,742 5,261,360 Beans ,, 1,070,847 1877 1,070,847 578,030 Peas »» 338,142 1887 664,510 664,510 Maize ,, 7,111,490 1878 9,723,9" 7,265,460 Cattle No. 201,193 1883 474,750 295,961 Sheep 99 874.655 1882 1,124,391 971,403 Pigs »» 20,037 1878 55,9H 21,965 Fresh Beef . Cwts. 468,887 1885 902,951 657,574 Salt „ 11 209,618 1880 290,564 218,437 Mutton (a) . 9\ — 1887 784,841 784,841 Fresh Pork . 99 8,754 »» 153,735 153,735 Salt „ J» 294,980 1879 400,068 273,832 Bacon ... 99 2,395.223 1880 4,387,082 3,000,811 Hams ... ... ,, 425,259 99 947,566 920,617 Preserved Meat 9> 469,003 )» 655,800 519,180 Unenumerated dit to ... „ ... ... ,, 130,178 1881 178,256 47,o35 Total Meat 4,401,902 1880 7,566,681' 6,576,062 Butter 1.637,403 — 1,514,905 Margarine (b) 9 9 — 1887 1,273,095 1.273.095 Cheese 99 1,653,920 1878 1,968,859 1,834,467 Wool (net) . 99 1,986,880 1886 2,540,000 2,319,700 Hides (net) . ,j 790.395 1880 806,613 661,951 Hops ... . ■ ■ " ■*■ it 250,039 1882 319,620 145,298 Potatoes j) 7,964,840 ,, 9,754,5 I 4 2,762,958 Onians ... . r. Bush. L544.807 1887 3,649,471 3,649,471 Apples (c) Fruit unenum jrat< •d ".'.}•> 4,045,691 J 1886 1883 3,261,460 2,660,475 1,948,843 2,479,004 Vegetables, ditto 7 6l , 2 54 in the later period, against 3,185,548 in the earlier one; and pigs, 59,838, against 81,070. These decreases together imply a reduction of nearly two and a half million hundredweights of meat, against which we have to set increases of 280,294 hundredweights of beef, 1,081,619 of mutton, and I 75>S 1 4 of f resn pork, or about one and a half million hundred- weights altogether for the last three years as compared with the preceding three. Thus, there is a net decrease of about a million hundredweights. What, then, has caused the fall in prices of live stock and meat ? Chiefly, I believe, the general depression of trade, and the lack of full employment for the people, besides which we have to reckon the appreciation of gold, which has affected the value of nearly all commodities. RKVIEW OF AGRICULTURAL COMPETITION. 2? The recent low price of butter may be attributed almost entirely to the fraudulent sale of the bogus article as the real one. It remains to be seen whether the Margarine Act will check the consumption of margarine. At present, there has not been time for the influence of the measure to be ascertained. There is no objection to the sale of the commodity under its proper name, and if consumers choose to buy it instead of pure butter, dairy-farmers must accept their verdict. Good butter, however, has this year kept up its price pretty well. Cheese, like butter, is selling well now, but was a little lower in value in 1885 and 1886 than it had been for some time before. This, however, was not because of increased foreign competition, for the total imports of the last three years have been 5,403,189 cwts., against 5,421,516 cwts. for the previous three years. No doubt the people have eaten more margarine and less cheese, or the home supplies of the latter have become greater, or we must account for the fall by the appreciation of gold. There is no getting over the fact that the prices of dairy produce were satisfactory till three years ago, and that since then the imports of genuine butter and cheese have fallen off. They will have to increase again, however, unless our dairy farmers meet the demands of the growing population. With respect to hops, the recent low prices certainly cannot be attributed to increase of imports, but are due rather to the use by brewers of "hop substitutes'. Foreign competition in vegetables, excepting potatoes, has continued to increase, the maximum imports being those of 1887. They consist chiefly of early produce, of which we might grow more at home if we adopted the system of forcing pursued in the Channel Islands and France. In proportion to the total supply, our imports of vegetables are extremely small. Potatoes, as the total shows, came from foreign countries in 1887 in much smaller quantity than in 1882, and there has been a large decrease from the maximum in other years. It is chiefly new potatoes, from the Channel Islands and elsewhere, that we import, and in the south of England and Ireland tubers nearly, or quite, as early could be grown — as some are in Cornwall. There has been a steady increase in imports of fruit, though with fluctuations, especially in the case of apples. Australia and Tasmania are now preparing to increase our fruit supply ; but our garden farmers might keep out a great deal of the foreign and Colonial 28 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. contributions if they showed more enterprise. The lack of security for tenants' improvements, as has already been pointed out, is a great impediment to the increase in the home supply of fruit. When security can be obtained, the production of the best varieties of apples and pears would pay well ; but great improvements are needed also in the storing, sorting, and packing of fruit. Recently attention has been called to this subject among the Kent growers, and to the drying and preservation of fruit in various ways. With respect to poultry and eggs, there is nothing so likely to increase home production as the multiplication of small holdings. Wool and hides our stock-keepers must be content to regard as by-products ; their main objects being the production of meat, milk, butter, and cheese. Our Colonies and North and South America can unquestionably produce hides and wool more cheaply than farmers in this country can. Having shown in this general review of agricultural competition that the positions of the British produce is by no means one of despair, I proceed to deal more in detail with the principal divisions of agricultural production. 20 CHAPTER III. COMPETITION IN WHEAT-GROWING. Growing wheat at a loss is an operation that cannot be per- sisted in by farmers on an extensive scale for a prolonged period, and it is not surprising that, after four years of un- remunerative prices, many British growers of the principal cereal are disposed to regard their struggle with foreign and Colonial competitors as almost, if not quite, hopeless. That but very few farmers in the United Kingdom have been able to grow wheat without loss during the four years in question is generally admitted. Indeed, when the high rents and other expenses of years further back are considered, it is not too much to say that wheat-growing has failed to yield a living profit in this country for the ten years ending with 1887. Any one doubting this statement has only to look at the figures in the Agricultural Returns — bearing in mind the fondness of farmers for wheat, as a ready-money crop, and as almost indis- pensable on account of the usefulness of its straw — and he will doubt no longer. Since 1877 the area of the wheat crop of the United Kingdom has decreased by 851,216 acres, or by nearly 27 per cent. ; and this was not because other corn crops paid well, for the net decrease in the area under all kinds of corn during the period has been 1,064,235 acres, which quan- tity has been absorbed in the increase of permanent pasture, cultivated grasses, and clover. But rents have gone down greatly since 1876, and farmers have learned how to cut down expenses in many ways, so that wheat would probably be grown now as extensively as it was cultivated ten years ago, and perhaps a great deal more extensively, if farmers expected prices to range as they were from 1876 to 1882 inclusive. During that period the lowest annual average price was 44s. 4d. a quarter, and the highest 56s. od., the latter price being 10s. more than that of any other year of the seven. It might even 30 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. be expected that the wheat area would become larger than it is, if there existed a general belief that the average price would not usually be below 40s. a quarter, provided that British farmers were placed in a fair position for producing as cheaply as possible. It is obvious that the rents readily paid when the average price of wheat usually ranged above 50s. cannot be expected if prices are likely to be 20 per cent, lower. As already stated, rents have fallen very generally in most parts of Great Britain, to say nothing of Ireland, and the fall has been greatest in the principal wheat-producing counties. When the rents paid by sitting tenants have been brought down to the level of those charged in new lettings, there will not be much cause for com- plaint on* that score. Next, it may be stipulated that enterprise should be more generally encouraged than it is, by granting the reforms referred to. as necessary in the first chapter. As it is certainly very much to the disadvantage of the country that land should be diverted from arable cultivation to grass, the non-agricultural classes will be wise, even from a selfish point of view, if they not only refrain from . opposing, but earnestly help forward, any reasonable reforms or concessions which will give farmers a fair chance of meeting foreign competition. In proceeding to consider what grounds there are for expecting that, under fair conditions, wheat in the future may be profitably produced in this country, the cost of growing the crop is, of course, the first point to be dealt with. Now, the circumstances of farming, under the general heads of expenses and returns, vary so greatly, even in our own country, that it is impossible to state with precision what the minimum or the average cost of producing an acre of wheat is. Indeed, it is not too much to say that very few farmers know what it costs them individually to grow wheat. This is not so surprising as outsiders might deem it, as it is by no means easy to calculate the cost of one crop out of a series. For instance, it is not easy to calculate the cost of manure made in the farmyard and applied to the wheat crop, and it is a much less simple matter to estimate the value of the residue of fertility left from the manure applied to a preceding crop. Again, it is difficult to apportion the miscellaneous expenses of a farm, which cannot be charged to any particular crop or even field. Yet, if certain rules of valuation were uniformly followed, estimates close COMPETITION IN WHEAT-GROWING. 31 enough for their purpose might be made. An effort to obtain such estimates from growers of wheat in all the principal pro- ducing districts of England was made- by the Mark Lane Express in 1885, and the returns collected were published in that journal. Although, unfortunately, many of the con- tributors failed to follow the directions intended to secure uniformity of method, there is safety in numbers, and it may perhaps be assumed that the errors were mutually corrective to a great extent. At any rate, the returns are the most complete of their kind ever collected, and it is worth while to give them some consideration. For all England the average expense of producing the wheat crop came out at ^8 os. 7& an acre, and the average returns at £8 2s. 7d., wheat being uniformly valued at 36s. a quarter. There was thus an average profit of 2s. an acre ; but no interest on capital was charged, and comparatively few returns showed any profit, except when straw was sold. It is also to be observed that, out of 200 returns, only a dozen put the rent at less than ^ian acre, although thirty-seven out of the forty English counties were represented. Several charged for rent over £2 an acre, and some much higher amounts. If similar returns were collected now, rents would undoubtedly come out lower, and if wheat-growing is to pay in England, the average rent should be below, rather than above, jQ\ per acre. Tithe rent-charge varied from a few pence to 10s. an acre, the average being a little over 4s. Rates and taxes ranged in amount from is. 2d. to 11s. in extreme instances, though the average, when taken for three groups of counties, the Eastern and South-Eastern, the Western and South- Western, and the Midland, came out at 4s. 6d. an acre in e*ach case, while it was 3s. 6d. for the North- Western group. The cost of manuring was most commonly put at £2 to ^3 an acre: Now, the higher of these amounts is not enough to charge for farmyard manure, if the selling value of the straw used in making it be charged ; but then a large proportion of the correspondents could not sell straw, their agreements for- bidding the sale, and in their case it was proper to charge only consuming value. Besides, the whole value of a good dressing of farmyard manure ought not to be charged to the crop to which it is applied. In this connection it may be mentioned that wheat has been grown continuously for several years on 32 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. certain plots at Woburn, under the management of the Royal Agricultural Society, at a cost of less than £2 per acre for manure, yielding, on an average, during the last five years, 30*9 bushels per acre, which is two bushels above the " ordinary average" yield for England, according to the Agricultural Department. Under a system of rotation of crops, land less fertile than that at Woburn, if kept as free from weeds, would yield as well with the same manuring. In order to afford some idea of the general run of the esti- mates, we give the average expenses, under general heads, as returned by eighty-five growers living in eleven of the principal wheat-producing counties — Lincolnshire, Yorkshire, Norfolk, Suffolk, Essex, Cambridgeshire, Kent, Berkshire, Surrey, Sussex, and Hampshire : — Rent and tithes Rates and taxes Manure Seed, cultivation, &c. Total expenses per acre £& 10 9 It will be seen that the expenses in these counties were higher than the average for England as a whole. The receipts were also a little over average, but not sufficiently above to prevent loss, as shown below : — £ s. d. Grain 6 16 o Straw 1 12 o £ *■ d. 1 15 7 s 2 12 6 3 «7 8 Total receipts per acre j£8 8 o The last item in the expenses, it may be explained, includes the cost of ploughing, drilling, harrowing, hoeing, harvesting, thatching, threshing, dressing, and marketing. The rent was far too high for the circumstances of farming, and straw, in most cases, must have been consumed on the farms. The average yield was 3of bushels an acre, and with that rate of production 40s. a quarter would have turned the loss of 2 s. yd. an acre into a profit of 1 2s. 3d., from which, however, interest on capital ought to be deducted, as it is not charged in the expenses. It is worthy of notice that nearly all the contributors to the returns who showed a profit of over^i an acre — and several showed one of £2 to £$ — were allowed to sell straw, and COMPETITION IN WHEAT-GROWING. 33 charged it at selling price on the credit side of their balance- sheets. In several instances straw was valued at £3 10s. to £4. 10s. per acre, and in two or three at over ,£5, or about three-fourths as much as the value of the grain. The liberty to sell straw, therefore, is an important element in the- question of the ability of British farmers to meet foreign competition in the production of wheat. Unfortunately the rail rates for straw are, as a rule, so enormous, that if it is worth only 30s. a ton in the Eastern Counties, and sells at £4 or more in the Potteries, the rail expenses are too heavy to allow of its being sent to the dearer market. This is one of the numerous examples of the repression of agricultural enterprise by railway companies' ex- tortions. As a rule, it does not pay farmers who are distant from a large town to sell straw, unless they have water-carriage. In his evidence given before the Royal Commission on Depression of Trade and Agriculture, Sir James Caird ex- pressed the opinion that " good wheat land, when the rent is re-arranged, will continue to be cultivated even at 36s. a quarter," as the price of wheat. " The straw," he added, " is of considerable value in many parts of the country," and the possibility of selling it at a good price evidently entered into his calculations. Now,_36s. a quarter was the price taken for the valuation of the grain in the returns above referred to, although it was above the average market price which was then or has been since (up to the end of July, 1888) generally current; and it has already been stated that several correspondents showed a satisfactory profit through the sale of straw. But at 36s. only the best of the wheat lands would pay a living profit, and the wheat area will certainly continue to decrease in this country if that is to be the maximum quotation for the grain. Even with rents and other expenses reduced (and they have been reduced since the estimates above referred to were made up)> it is doubtful whether wheat can be grown in this country at much, if any, less than an average of ^7 10s. an acre, including interest on capital and other charges apt to be lost sight of in drawing up a balance-sheet. Any farmer who keeps strict accounts knows that there are heavy expenses on a farm which cannot be charged to any particular crop ; such as repairs, the cost of a hackney, the wages of a groom and foreman, insurance, the farmer's expenses in going to market, and various other items, which amount altogether to a considerable sum in a year, C 34 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. Scarcely any of the correspondents appear to have charged enough for their wheat crop's share in these miscellaneous expenses. Then, in charging the rent, it is not enough to debit the average rent per acre of the whole farm, outside measurement, to the wheat crop, which is grown on the best of the land. It is usual to reckon on 10 per cent, of loss on the landlord's measurement in roads, fences, yards, and waste, and often there is besides more or less land that is a "make- weight " to the farm, not paying for the average rent. To get at the real rent of the working and paying acreage, then, it is necessary to divide the gross rent by the number of acres which can be relied upon to pay the rent. Suppose, for instance, that a farm of 250 acres is let at ^250 per annum, it will usually be necessary to deduct 25 acres, leaving 225, and charging these with a rent of £1 2s. instead of £1 an acre. The "ordinary average" yield of the wheat crop in England; is nearly 29 bushels an acre, which, at 36s. a quarter (4s. 6d. a bushel^, would return £fi 10s. 6d. If we allow £2 an acre for straw (which is as much as ought to be allowed on the aver- age, seeing that a farmer requires some of his wheat-straw for thatching, and has to deduct the cost of binding and carting- out from the gross receipts), the total amounts to £8 10s. 6d., leaving a profit of only^i os. 6d. if the expenses are ^7 10s. That is scarcely a " living profit." Bearing in mind the fact that crops fed on the land or in the yards, as a rule, do not yield any profit beyond the manure left by the animals which have consumed them, it is not extravagant to name £2 an acre as a minimum satisfactory margin for interest and profit on the wheat crop, at any rate, when straw as well as grain is sold off the land, and to insure such a return the price of wheat should be about 40s. a quarter. Probably the present area of the wheat crop would be kept up at a lower price ; but to restore the acreage of 1877, at least 40s. would probably be necessary. On the whole, it can scarcely be profitable to grow wheat here at a lower range of prices than 36s. to 40s. No doubt many readers will be disposed to regard this statement as a verdict of extinction for wheat-growing in England. It is the object of this chapter,. however, to show that the foreign wheat supply is not any more likely to be kept up than the home supply is at a lower range of prices than the one referred to. During the period of our vanishing COMPETITION IN WHEAT-GROWING. 35 wheat acreage, imports of wheat have increased so enormously, in spite of falling prices during a portion of the period, that people are apt to think that we can obtain all we require at almost any price. la 1866-7 our imports of wheat and flour, less exports, were equal to only 7,600,000 qrs. of wheat, and it was not till after 1872 that we began to receive over ten million quarters. In 1882-3 the quantity was 19,953,000 qrs. ; in the following year, 15,816,000 qrs. ; in 1884-5, 18,001,000 qrs.; in 1885-6, 15,209,515 qrs.; and in 1886-7 i' was over 17,000,000 qrs. These figures are for the harvest years ending with August. The last four quantities have been obtained with wheat at a much lower average price than 40s. a quarter, the average for the calendar year 1884 being 35s. 8d., while that for 1885 was 32s. iod., that for 1886 was 31s., and that for 1887 was 32s. 6d. But it does not follow , that wheat will continue to come to us in large quantities at such miserably low prices. My contention is that this foreign wheat, with the possible exception of that sent from India, has been supplied at a loss to the growers, and that the wheat-growing area of the world has already begun to contract, and will be seriously diminished unless the average price is about 40s. a quarter in England. In support of this contention there is such a mass of evidence available, that the collector of it is embarrassed by its volume. It is no wonder that wheat has become a drug in the markets, for the wheat-acreage of the world had been in- creasing enormously for several years up to 1880, and, less uniformly, up to 1883. In the ten years ending with 1880, the wheat area of the United States rose from a little under nineteen millions to nearly thirty-eight millions of acres. This was a gain of nineteen million acres -in one country alone. In Australia, in the ten years ending with 1884, there was an increase of over two million acres of wheat. What the in- crease in British India has been, the statistics of that great Empire are not perfect enough to enable me to state. An official report, however, states that the acreage in Bombay is believed to have been doubled during the last twelve years. The wheat area of all India, including the Native States, was over twenty-seven million acres in 1886, and nearly that area in 1888; and it is a very moderate estimate to assume that there has been an increase of one-fourth of that large acreage since c 2 36 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. 1874, when India first began to export wheat on anything like an extensive scale. Egypt helped to glut the wheat markets of Europe for several years after 1871, though in a fitful manner, and. during the last three years the Egyptian supply has been a mere trifle. Chile, again, made a great advance as a wheat- exporting country in 1872, and has about kept up-to it, on the average, since, without making further progress. The increased supplies from the countries named have been far more than sufficient to supply the needs of the increased population of Europe. But will these supplies keep up at anything like current prices ? My argument is that they will not, and that they have already begun to fall off. Our principal sources of wheat and flour supply may be ranked in accordance with the quantities which we received from them in the last three calendar years including every country which sent us in either year as much as a million hundredweights. Flour imports, in the following list, are con- verted into wheat equivalents, and added to wheat imports, and the total is computed in quarters of eight bushels instead of in hundredweights. It must be explained that insignificant quantities of flour from certain countries, added for 1385, could not be added for 1886 and 1887 when the calculations were made, because the full details were not available. The total quantity to be divided, however, was only 201,894 cwts. in 1886, some of which came from countries not in the list which follows : — Wheat and Flour Imports. Source. 1885. 1886. 1887. United States India Russifi Australasia Germany Austrian Territories Canada, &c Chile Qrs. 8,985,830 2,809,675 2,788,244 1,256,213 865,201 544,251 483,548 374,5o8 Qrs. 8,991.396 2,545.067 856,177 170,469 539,763 392,967 935,567 392,700 Qrs. 11,615,950 1,963,637 1,282,312 310,881 527,250 397,315 1,188,964 509,140 Total from principal sources All other Countries 18,107,270 651,941 14,824,106 369,358 17.795,449 286,558 Grand Total 18,759,2a 15, 193,464 18,082,007 COMPETITION IN WHEAT-GROWING. 37 In the case of Austria, the decrease in' 1866 and 1887 was not. quite so great as it appears to be in the list, as the small quantity of wheat grain we import from that country is not separately enumerated in the Board of Trade Returns. The apparent increase in the case of Canada may be assumed to represent American wheat, and flour sent from Canadian ports, as will be explained hereafter. The quantities sent from " all other countries " do not amount to a large ' pro- portion of our foreign wheat supply, and, as it may be pre- sumed that the greatest pessimist in relation to the future of wheat-growing in England will admit that the consumption of wheat by the population of Europe will almost certainly increase at least in equal proportion to the increase in production, if any, it will not be necessary to consider the minor European sources of our wheat supply in the sub- sequent portion of this chapter. With the Argentine Republic it is different, as that is one of the many countries at one time proclaimed as the " future granary of the world." Thence we received 77,421 qrs. in 1885, after many years of wheat- growing, and less in 1886; but in 1887 the quantity was greater. Even then, however, after the- greatest harvest ever gathered in the country, the total exports of wheat were only about 790,000 qrs., of which we received 234,000 qrs. Egypt and other African countries, and Persia, are also possible sources of increased wheat supply in the remote future ; but this is purely a matter of speculation. If, coupling the Argen- tine Republic hereafter with Chile, I deal with the sources of all but about 3 per cent, of our foreign wheat supply, it will suffice for the purpose of my argument. Let us consider, then, the prospects of wheat-growing in each of these exporting countries. The United States, Does wheat-growing pay in the United States at current prices, or has it paid at the prices of the last four years ? In reply, I will cite first the opinion of Mr. J. R. Dodge, the very able Statistician of the American Department of Agriculture, who, in his Annual Report for 1885, wrote as follows : — " The value of an acre of wheat averaged only 8 "38 dols. on an average yield of thirteen bushels last year (1884), the lowest return of which there is any record, and a figure lower than the accredited estimate of the cost 38 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. of production. It may confidently be assumed, therefore, that there is no profit in wheat production at present prices. But there is a class of farmers who made a profit on wheat in 1884. Those who secured twentyfive bushels per acre, or twenty, obtained a small profit, provided the cost of fertilisers was not too large an element of it." Now, this is said of the greatest total crop of wheat ever produced in the United States, and of a yield per acre in excess of the average, which was only 12-3 bushels per acre for the twenty-four years ending with 1885. And if wheat-growing did not pay generally in 1884, when the average yield was 13 bushels, and the "farm value" 8-38 dols. an acre, according to the Department of Agriculture, much less could it have paid in 1885, when the yield was only 10-4 bushels, and the value 8 - o2 dollars; and there was no appreciable improvement in 1886, when the yield was estimated officially at 12-4 bushels, and the value at 8-54 dollars per acre; or in 1887, when the cor- responding figures were i2 - i bushels and 8-25 dollars. As to the comparatively few farmers who grew 20 to 25 bushels an acre of wheat getting a small profit, if they had not spent much in fertilisers, that does not amount to much, as there were farmers in England who made a profit, even in 1886 and 1887. In considering the question whether wheat-production is likely to be kept up in a country or not, at a given price or range of prices, exceptional instances like those referred to do not weigh at all in the argument. In the year referred to by Mr. Dodge, only one whole State or Territory yielded as much on an average as 20 bushels of wheat to the acre, namely,, Colorado, in which only 117,420 acres , were produced. One State gave only 5 bushels to the acre, five less than 7 bushels, and eight States in all, under 9 bushels. The loss on the wheat crop in those States — all in the South — must have been very heavy. But let us see what the great wheat-producing States yielded in an exceptionally prolific year, taking those only which grew over a million acres. California, with over three million acres of wheat, gave an average of 13-2 bushels ; Illinois, which ranks next in respect of wheat acreage, 1 1 -6 bushels ; Minnesota, 15; Indiana, 12-5; Ohio, 15-3; Iowa, iz'o; Missouri, n -8; Kansas, i6'S ; Nebraska, 14-5; Michigan, 16-5; Dakota, 14-5; Pennsylvania, 13 -6; Wisconsin, 14; Tennessee, 7; Ken- tucky, io-6. These States contained considerably more than three-fourths of the wheat acreage of the country, or over 32 COMPETITION IN WHEAT-GROWING. 39 million acres out of the unusually large acreage of nearly 39! millions. According to Mr. Dodge, wheat-growing did not pay in any one of these great fields of wheat production as a whole, but only in Colorado, where probably the cost of irrigation ate up all the supposed profit. Only four of these States, it will be noticed, come up to three-fourths of the minimum paying wheat yield. Yet 1884 was an unusually productive year. It appears to be the opinion of certain writers that American farmers plant wheat without any consideration of price, and that they will go on growing increasing quantities at such miserably low prices as have lately prevailed. A glance at the official statistics, however, is sufficient to prove how mistaken this idea is, if proof be needed to refute what is inherently absurd. The following table shows the acreage, average yield per acre, average price per bushel realised by the farmer, and average value per acre of the produce for each year from 187 1 to 1887, inclusive, of the wheat crop of the United States : — Year. Area of Wheat Crop. Average Yield per Acre. Average Price per Bushel. Average Value of Produce per 'Acre. Acres. . Bushels. Cwts. Dollars. 1871 19.943.893 ii-5 125-8 14-56 1872 ' 20,858,359 11-9 I24'0 14-87 1873 22,171,676 127 115-0 I4'59 1874 24,967,027 12-3 94'i n-66 I87S 26,381,512 I I/O IOO'O ii-i6 1876 27,627,021 io'4 1037 10 -86 1877 26,277,546 i3'9 I08 - 2 15-08 1878 32,108,560 131 777 io'i6 1879 32,545,950 13-8 uo-8 I5-27 I880 37,986,717 131 95-1 12-48 l88l 37,709,020 IO'I 119-3 12-03 1882 37,067,194 13-6 88-2 11-99 1883 36,455*593 n-6 91-0 10-56 1884 39,475.885 ' 13-0 65-0 8-38 1885 34,189,246 io'4 77-1 8-05 1886 36,806,184 12-4 68-7 8-54 1887 37,400,000 I2'2 68-i 8-35 The increase in acreage up to 1880 had been going on since 1862, when the total was a little over 11,000,000 acres, the value of the crop per acre never having been as low as 12 dollars up to that year, and only twice below 14 40 THE BRITISH PARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. dollars, The first serious check, it will be noticed, was in 1877, after three years of lpw returns per acre; but the farm value of the produce of the wheat crop in that year being over 15 dollars per acre, there was a great jump of nearly 6,000,000 acres in the area of the next wheat crop. Then, as 1878 was a year of low returns, the acreage re- mained practically stationary in 1879, when a return of over 15 dollars per acre again caused an increase of over 5,000,000 acres. Since 1880, however, returns have been low, and the acreage has decreased, except in 1884, when pretty well every acre sown was reaped, owing to the favourable character of the winter. In 1885 the area sowri was over 38,000,000 acres; but about 4,000,000 acres had to .be ploughed up, chiefly on account of "winter-killing." For 1886 the area harvested was 36,806,184 acres, very little having been ploughed up ; in 1887 it was 37,641,783 acres; and, for the current year, 1888, the area standing in July was stated in an official report to be 36,300,000 acres. The wheat acreage of the United States, then, has been reduced since 1880, in spite of the increase in the newly- settled land of the North-Western States. It may be said that wheat is the only crop to be grown on land broken up from the prairie, and it is quite clear that, but for the new land, the wheat acreage would have shown a great decrease since 1880... Indeed, the winter wheat area sown fell from 27,450,000 acres in 1881, to 25,265,297 acres in 1886; while spring wheat, grown chiefly in the North-Western States, where the • new land has been cultivated, increased from 10,259,000 acres to 1 2,037,000 acres. But for the newly settled land, then, the wheat acreage would have decreased by at least 2,000,000 acres, and in all probability by a much larger area, as the quantity named is much less than that of the land broken since 1881. The effect of low prices upon the production of wheat in the United States is strikingly shown in the statistics of the eight years ending with 1887. During that period, although the population increased by over n| millions, the acreage and production of wheat absolutely decreased, and of course the exports also. Below I give the acreage, produce, and exports for the last eight years in two periods of four years each, with the explanation that the exports are for the financial years COMPETITION IN WHEAT-GROWING. 41 ending June 30, while the other figures are for the calendar years named : — Area, Produce, and Exports of Wheat, United States. Year. Area. Produce. Exports. 1880 1881 1882 1883 Acres. 37,986,717 37,709,020 37,067,194 36,457.593 Bushels. 498,549.868 380,280,090 504,185,470 421,086,160 Bushels. 180,934,478 186,475,251 122,597,997 148,785,696 Total first four years — 1,804,101,588 638.793.422 Average 37,305,131 451,025,397 . 159.698.35S 1884 1885 1886 1887 39,475.885 34,189,246 36,806,184 37,641,783 512,765,000 357,112,000 457,218,000 456,329,000 111,636,302 132,851,835- 94,913.395 153,804,929 Total last four years — 1,783,424,000 493,206,461 Average 36,967,804 445,856,000 123,301,615 The exports, it is scarcely necessary to state, are not those from the crops given side by side with them, but in each case from the crop of the preceding year. That, of course, does not affect my object, which is simply to show the totals and averages for the last eight years, and there are- no statistics showing exports for the calendar years. It has already been stated that the area of the crop for 1888 is about 36 million acres. It is not surprising that an average gross return of about 33s. an acre, obtained in 1884 and 1885, did not prove satis- factory to the American wheat-grower. Out of that return there is to deduct the expense of carting the wheat, often for a great distance, to a railway or the nearest elevator. The straw is burnt in most parts of America, and where it is not, the expense of growing wheat is increased by the labour of manuring the land. If the gross return were all profit, the wheat-grower would not become rich very rapidly, and 33s. an acre would be only a very moderate profit for a year's labour. The most common size of a farm in America is 80 to 160 acres, and of 42 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. course not nearly all the land is cropped with wheat in the same year, some of it usually lying fallow. It is a startling fact that the gross returns of a farmer getting the average yield from 50 acres of wheat during the last four years have been less than the earnings of a farm-labourer in many States. We have seen that, in the opinion of the Statistician of the Department of Agriculture, only those farmers who have grown twenty bushels an acre or more have obtained any profit in recent years. If all the rest ceased to grow wheat, America would become an importing country ; and even if the result of a continuance of present prices were only to cause the cessa- tion of wheat-growing on all land which does not produce the present average yield, America would not produce enough to feed her own population. During the decade 1870-80, the population of the United States increased from 38,558,871 to 50,155,783. At the same rate of increase, the number in 1890 will be nearly 66 millions. It was about 62 \ millions at the beginning of 1888. During the five years ending with 1884, the average annual consump- tion was nearly 324,000,000 bushels, and the average export 140,000,000 bushels. If the production in the five years ending with 1894 does not become greater, all but 43,000,000 bushels per annum, or less than 5J million quarters, will be required- for home consumption, and the surplus will not suffice for the increased population of the next five years. Before the end of the present century, then, the present production of wheat in the United States will be insufficient for home requirements, and the people of Europe will have to look else- where for that main portion of their foreign supply which now comes to them across the Atlantic. But Europe cannot affprd to lose the American surplus, and will not lose it. A continu- ance of low prices for a few more years would not only pre- vent that surplus from keeping up to its recent average, but would prevent its production altogether. As already intimated, however, such a result is not to be apprehended, as the increas- ing demand of the world for wheat must send prices up to a remunerative standard, and then American production will once more advance steadily. Taking the average value of the English wheat crop at recent prices to have been £$ an acre, and that of the American crop to be 33s., is there any reason why American competition COMPETITION IN WHEAT-GROWING. 43 should drive our wheat-growers from their accustomed industry? I think not, and I maintain that English farmers can continue to grow wheat at £?> an acre longer than American farmers can keep on growing it at 33s. If the game of "beggar my neighbour " is to go on, the American will be the first to throw up his hand. It is absurd to suppose that there is necessarily a difference of £6 7 s. an acre in the cost of wheat-growing in the two countries. Our climate and soil are both' better for wheat than those of America, and the crop here is much less liable to serious damage or partial destruction. If we used no manure for wheat we should grow about double the American average yield, by keeping to our rotation of crops. At present, English farmers are handicapped by. high rents, tithes, rates, and railway rates ; but all these can be reduced. And wages are only about half as high here as on the other side of the Atlantic, while almost everything that the farmer has to buy is a great deal cheaper in this country, in consequence of the Protectionist tariff of the United States. Mr. Bookwalter, a high financial authority in New York, and one who has farmed for twenty years in a Western State, writing in 1884, estimated that the produce of one acre of wheat-land in England would purchase as much of the farmer's requirements as four to six acres in America ; and in this reckoning he allows two dollars an acre for straw, though he admits that it is not generally a source of profit in his own country. Mr. Bookwalter adds : — "The real advantages heretofore possessed by the American agriculturist, cheap lands (the rapid rise of which, in recent years, and not the profits of farming, being the real source of his present wealth) and natural fertility are rapidly disappearing, and unless his Government removes the cause which operates to artificially increase cost of production, the English farmer will have year by year less cause to fear serious competition from America." I have before me a large number of estimates of the cost of growing wheat in different parts of the United States, but can only refer to them briefly. In considering them, it is always to be borne in mind that whereas English farmers are given to grumbling, American farmers are disposed to brag. No one who is in the habit of reading crop reports in American papers can fail to observe their generally optimistic tone. Such phrases as " Look out for a bumper crop from this section " are common, and the growing crops are nearly always over- 44 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. rated early in the season. One reason of this is, that the American farmer is nearly always a prospective seller of his farm, if he owns it, and if not, a man is regarded as a traitor who depreciates the prospects of the district he lives in. Messrs. Read and Pell, when visiting the United States as Assistant-Commissioners to the Duke of Richmond's Commis- sion on Agriculture, found that, in order to see the "seamy side '' of the agriculture of any district, they had to inquire about it in another district, as they could never get the residents to admit anything to its disadvantage. American farmers, too, and their representatives in the Press, are desirous of impress- ing the world with the notion that theirs is the country which can "lick creation" in wheat production. This desire was openly expressed — to give one example — in a report issued by the Secretary of the Michigan Board of Trade in 1884, when, in response to an application from the Belgian Consul, he obtained a number of returns of the cost of wheat-growing in different parts of the State. In his introductory remarks the Secretary said ;— "The best policy would seem to be to figure cost as low as possible, consistent with the truth, that wheat-growers in Western Europe may be advised of the hopelessness of competition, and reduce their wheat acre- age." This gentleman is more patriotic than discreet, or he would have kept the bias of this report to himself. "Consistent with truth," however, as he puts it, he was not able to " figure " the cost of an acre of wheat in Michigan at less than 14 dollars n cents, or not quite 80 cents per bushel on a yield of 1776 bushels an acre. The price at the time was 77 cents a bushel, so that there was a loss after all. The yield given above is much greater than the average for Michigan, according to the Department of Agriculture, which returned it at only 16-5 bushels, even for the great crop of 1884. This quantity at 77 cents a bushel gave a return of 12 dollars 65 cents (the Department of Agriculture puts the amount at 12-21 dollars), or 1 dollar 46 cents (say 6s.) less than the alleged average cost of production. In spite of his declared intention of making out as good a case as possible for American wheat- growers, the estimate of the Michigan Secretary is much more fairly drawn up than most of the estimates obtained from various other sources. He charges rent, or interest on capital, COMPETITION IN WHEAT-GROWING. 45 which is commonly omitted, and he even allows a trifle for repair of buildings and fences. About 4 cents per acre he allows for purchased fertilisers, while farmyard manure is not charged; only one-third of the cost of its spreading being debited to the wheat crop. When straw is used, and not valued in the returns, it is quite fair not to debit the manure made from it, unless there is a loss in producing it. The following summary of the cost of growing an acre of wheat in Michigan is given : — Labour 9/05 dollars. Repairs, manuring, &c. ... ... ... C59 „ Rent 270 ,, Transportation and trade changes 177 „ Total 14-11 „ The rent is got at in this way : the returns represent the average value of wheat land in Michigan as 60 dollars, or ^12 per acre. Only 4 per cent, is charged on this, although the legal rate of interest in the State is as high as 10 per cent. Thus the rent is made only 2 dollars 40 cents. But as about one- fourth of the wheat-growing area is usually in fallow, half the rent of that is added to the rent of the cropped land. The principle of the computation is fair enough; but at least double the 4 per cent, ought to be charged as interest on the capital value of the land to represent rent — 8 per cent, being easily obtainable on landed security in most parts of the United States. Such an alteration would make rent in Michigan a little over 19s. per acre, and the cost of producing an acre of wheat about £$ 6s. But there are still taxes to charge, and there is also the heavy item of miscellaneous expenses, which is omitted in nearly every account that I have seen. Upon this latter point, which is one of great importance, more will be said hereafter. Enough has now been stated to show that, even according to the numerous returns collected by the Secre- tary of the Michigan Board of Trade, wheat-growing, at such prices as have lately prevailed, does not pay in a State which stands seventh in rank as a wheat-producer in point of gross quantity, and at least as high, on an average of seasons, in yield per acre ; and that if the proper additions to the expenses allowed by the Secretary were added, the balance would show a very serious loss on wheat-growing in that State. 46 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. It will have been noticed that the item of rent, when pro- perly charged, is a serious one in settled parts of America, like Michigan, and not the mere trifle that it is commonly repre- sented to be. In an account from Illinois, the amount entered for rent is 24s. per acre, and the cost of growing an acre of wheat is said to amount to £$ 12 s. Another account from the same State makes the cost £2. The farm value of the Illinois wheat crop in 1884, according to the American Depart- ment of Agriculture, was a little under £1 10s. per acre. It is not surprising, then, fo find an Illinois farmer ■ complaining, in the St. Louis Journal of Agriculture, of a loss of ns. an acre on the wheat crop, without charging any rent. One account from Minnesota makes the cost 40s., and another 44s., an acre; whereas the value, as officially stated, was only 30s. in 1884. An Ohio farmer, writing in the Albany Cultivator and Country Gentleman, states that the figures in the reports of the Washington Department of Agriculture and single State departments make the average cost of producing an acre of wheat in America \o\ dollars, or 42s., which is 10s. more than the average value of the crop per acre in 1885, according to the Department. Here, then, we have evidence from official sources leading to the conclusion that the Ameri- can wheat crop of 1885 was grown at a loss of over seventeen millions sterling. As the reports on the cost of wheat-growing on which the official estimates are based are probably too low by at least 10s. an acre on an average, the loss on the crop of 1885 may be put at fully double the amount just stated, or ^34,000,000. The reasons for coming to that conclusion will appear more fully presently. The estimates for Iowa and Dakota are usually lower than those of any other State. Two Iowa estimates are as low as 28s. ; but even then one of the estimators shows a loss of 12s. an acre, having sold his wheat at 40 cents a bushel in 1884. Another estimate for the same State is 39s. For Dakota, one estimate is as low as 20s., no rent or interest beiug charged, while others are 36s. and 39s. respectively. There, again, the wheat was sold at 40 cents a bushel in 1884, and even Mr. Dalrymple, of the Dakota Mammoth Wheat Farms, does not go further than to say that he can produce wheat at 65 cents a bushel without absolute loss. The Department of Agriculture gives 46 cents as the average price realised by Dakota farmers COMPETITION IN WHEAT-GROWING. 47 in 1884, and 14J bushels as the average yield of the wheat crop, thus making the return per acre about 26s. 4d., or from 9s. 8d. to 12s. 8d. an acre less than two of the estimates of cost. A Missouri farmer computes the cost of growing wheat in that State at 44s., or 92 cents, a bushel. The official report gives 30s. as the value per acre, and 62 cents a bushel as the average price. Here,' again, a heavy loss is obvious, even sup- posing that the estimate of cost is high enough. An account from California represents the cost of an acre of wheat to be 64s., and the returns in 1885 not quite 50s. The San Francisco Chronicle said that there was a loss of over 13s. an acre in 1884 on the Californian wheat crop, the total loss being computed at ^3,000,000 for that State alone. Some of the estimates referred to show a small profit ; but if that has been obtained in individual instances, the evidence against its having been secured on an average in any State or large district, is overwhelming. Moreover, all but a very few of the estimates of expenses are obviously insufficient, because they do not include rent or interest, taxes, or miscellaneous expenses, and only one charges a proportion of the cost of the fallowed portion of the wheat land. Now, these are very heavy items to be left out of the accounts, and it is mainly because they are omitted that the loss on wheat-growing in America has been estimated above at an average of at least £i an acre, instead of at 10s. An American farmer, with, his hired man, and perhaps a son or two, may be occupied nearly half the year in work that he cannot charge to any particular crop, and the wages he pays, and the cost of feeding and clothing himself and his family (or fair wages for those who work), should be charged against the crops that he sells off the land. So should the cost of repairs to buildings and fences, of wear and tear of implements and harness, insurance, and other items that have to be paid for, but do not form part of the expenses charged against any crop. Probably 10s. an acre is not too much to charge against the wheat crop for all kinds of miscellaneous expenses. The Chicago Tribune, referring to such reports as are criticised above, says that something should be added for the expenses of the farmer's household during the large portion of the year when no work is done in connection with the wheat crop. 48 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. Abundance of evidence showing the poverty of American wheat-growers is to be found in American papers ; but only a few examples can be cited here. The St. Paul (Minnesota) correspondent of Bradstreet's — one of the principal financial papers in the United States — writing in October, 1884, said :— " The farmer is not making money this year (a great crop year). With the prevailing range of grain prices, the only questions that have practical interest are — how narrow is the margin that is left him for actual sub- sistence ? how far he will be able to meet or defer pressing obligations incurred ? what are the hopeful circumstances of this time of depression ? and what are the remedies by which he will be likely to better his con- dition ? " What was true in 1884 was equally true in 1885, 1886, and 1887. In 1884, when the price of a fair grade of wheat was 63 cents at Minneapolis, the writer adds, the average North- Western farmer was not receiving more than 48 cents, after paying rail and trade expenses. Some good authorities in America have declared that the farmer does not get a living profit when wheat at such centres as Chicago sells at less than a dollar per bushel, and that is equivalent to about 42s. a quarter in London — the price fixed by Mr. C. S. Read and Mr. Albert Pell, when they visited the United States as Assistant-Commissioners to the Royal Commission on Agri- culture in 1880, as the minimum at which the general run of American producers could sell in London with profit. At a recent meeting of the London Farmers' Club, these good judges declared that they had seen no reason for altering their opinion. It is nothing to the purpose to state that wheat has lately been often brought as ballast, free of charge. That is an accident, when it occurs, and, as it can never be counted on, does not benefit the producer by a single cent. As it is notorious that railways in America and shipping companies have for some time been carrying wheat at a loss, there is more reason to expect an increase of the cost of sending wheat from the interior of America to Europe than to suppose that it will become less. At the time when the correspondent of Brad- street's stated that the North-Western farmer was getting only 48 cents, a bushel, or 15s. 4d. a quarter, for his wheat, the average price of American spring wheat in London was 33s. 6d. — a difference of 18s. — and that was at a time when rail and competition in Wheat-growing. 49 sea freights were ruinously low. Between Chicago and London quotations for a given grade of American wheat the difference is usually 10s. per quarter, or a little more. Mr. Frank Wilkeson, also writing to Bradstreet's at the end of 1884, said : — " The wheat- farmers of America are to-day practically bankrupt. In the interior markets of Kansas wheat is selling for from 16 to 40 cents per bushel. . . . The demand for money at 3 per cent, per month in all the towns within the wheat-belt far exceeds the supply. Teams, tools, stock, grain, all are being rapidly mortgaged." He had previously stated that Western farmers generally had been obliged to mortgage their farms to meet their living expenses. He also declared that the apparent prosperity of Dakota was based on the expenditure of the capital procured by mortgaging the farm lands, and that the farmers were "spending their farms." The mortgages were at 8 to 10 per cent., he said, and the impoverished farmers had to pay an additional 10 per cent, on renewal, so that their interest was really n to 12 per cent. Mr. Samuel Sinnett, of Muscatine, Iowa, writing to the Dublin Farmers' Gazette, says that more than half the farms in the West are mortgaged, and that all business is done on credit, " on which 10 per cent, is charged, and as much more to meet the risk of loss." It may be observed in this connection that in some States there is a legal maximum of interest, varying from 8 to 1 2 per cent., while in a few any rate may be agreed upon in writing. Worse than the farm mortgages are the crop mortgages, equivalent to our bills of sale, which are becoming so common in some parts of America that, according to the St. Louis Republican, there is " more or less clamour for legislation to regulate or prohibit the practice. Farmers who have rented land, or whose land is encumbered, it is said, give these crop mortgages as securities for supplies which they must have, and it is a common thing for them to use this credit to the extreme limit that the storekeeper will allow." When the crop is harvested, " its entire proceeds often fall a little short of paying the mortgage, and the farmer is not only again without money or credit, but is actually in debt and under obligations to the storekeeper who has accommodated him." Such a system, of course, as an American journal in D SO THE BRITISH PARMER AMD HIS COMPETITORS. commenting upon the statement says, " means high interest and high prices for everything the farmer buys." Further evidence as to the embarrassed condition of American farmers is to be found in great abundance in American papers. It is well known that in the North- West, and in other parts of America, the system of landlord and tenant has lately been very much extended, owing to mort- gagors being unable to pay their interest, and giving up their farms to the mortgagees, afterwards becoming tenants. De- serted farms, again, have become more numerous than ever before, and bankruptcies among farmers in the wheat-growing States have been so common as to excite comment. A writer in the Albany Country Gentleman, as long ago as December, 1885, said: "For a month or more hardly a day has passed but several of these wheat-growers have filed petitions in insolvency." Small crops, low prices, and high rates of interest on mortgages and other loans are the causes assigned. As to the " small crops " referred to, the writer explained himself by pointing out that in the early days of settlement in San Joaquin County 40 or even 60 bushels of wheat per acre were often harvested, whereas now, owing to the exhaustive system of farming pursued, the yield has dwindled till it is more often only 14 to 15 bushels, in this highly-favoured district. Similar evidence is given by Mr. G. W. Franklin, of Cass County, Iowa, as to the waning productiveness of that State ; and it is the same wherever continuous wheat-growing is practised. On all sides American farmers have been advised to grow less wheat, and to devote their attention to mixed husbandry. Mr. J. R. Dodge, Statistician of the Department of Agriculture, in a recent article in the New York Tribune, says : — "It is foolish to extend any crop beyond the probability of demand, and reduce the price below the cost of production. . . . The low price of wheat will be a benefit to agriculture if it result in reducing the wheat area within 10 or 15 per cent, above the requirements for home consumption, and a better distribution of rural labour in the North-West, in the direction of meat, wool, oil and oil-cake, butter, cheese, and other products easy of transportation, as they should be required at paying prices." The Pacific Rural Press says : — "The prairie lands of the West are already beginning to feel the blight of the single-crop system, and will soon have to be planted with other forms of vegetation to preserve their value for agricultural purposes. . . . The COMPETITION IN WHEAT-GROWING. 51 same process is already seen in California, particularly in the central por- tions of the Sacramento and in the Santa Clara and Napa valleys. Fruit is largely taking the place of wheat, and the more diversified is the new departure in the cultivation of those valleys, the more will their value in- crease." Another authority says that wheat-growers in California are growing poorer and poorer, while many fruit-growers have saved fortunes. Professor Henry, in a recent lecture at Richmond, Wisconsin, referred to the " wicked habit of blighting prairie soil with annual wheat, and then adding insult to injury by burning the straw. This practice," he added, " will keep any people down." One of the richest prairies in America, he pointed out by way of illustration, is that of the St. Croix River, and wheat-growing there was carried on for a long time under exceptional advantages. But " to-day the richest part of it is almost without fences ; the majority of the farm buildings, especially the barns, are poor, and the people complaining bitterly of hard times. . . . Had the people had smaller farms and a less fertile soil, enforcing mixed farming and attention to live stock, they would have been far better off." The National Live Stock Journal of Chicago, in its issue for November 30th, 1886, says : — " There is no denying the fact that, under the influence of depressed prices, a large proportion of the farmers of the country have been exceed- ingly restive. . . . Wheat at the prices that prevail in the interior — that is, in the States west of the Mississippi River — is grown at a loss." It is generally admitted that the American farmer's life, as a rule, is one of excessive and almost incessant toil, and the scantiest reward — in money, at any rate ; while his wife is held up in America as a common object of pity. The difficulty of keeping farmers' sons on the land in America has long been notorious; whereas, in this country, the difficulty, until recently, was to get them to adopt any other pursuit than farming. Although I have not cited a tenth part of the evidence at my disposal, tending to show that the wheat-grower in the United States has suffered at least as severely as the British wheat-grower from the extremely low prices of recent years, enough has been given to prove that, under fair conditions, above described, the wheat-grower in this country may fairly be expected to hold his own against American competition. d 2 52 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. India. It is generally admitted that to the large increase in the supply of wheat from India, during recent years, the extremely low prices that have prevailed are mainly attributable. It is true that, owing to climatic, conditions and occasional famines, India is an uncertain source of supply. For instance, after having sent us about 1,400,000 qrs. in 1877, the quantity fell off to less than 240,000 qrs. in 1879, and was only a little over 700,000 qrs. in 1880, when we were in need of a larger foreign supply than ever before, on account of the extremely unproduc- tive harvest of 1879 in this country. Since 1880, however, the supply has not been less than 1,600,000 qrs. for any year, and in 1885 it was about 2,800,000 qrs., a larger quantity than ever previously sent to us from India. In 1886 the supply was about 230,000 qrs. less than in the previous year, and in 1887, after a short crop, the quantity fell off to about two-thirds of that sent to us in 1885. The area of land under wheat in India has greatly increased when compared with that of ten years back, though, owing to the defective character of agri- cultural statistics in the past, no one can tell with any approach to accuracy what the increase has been. The total area under wheat in India in 1886 was not quite 27^ million acres, and the yield about 32 million quarters, or 9-3 bushels per acre. In 1887 the area was not quite 26f million acres, and the pro- duce was estimated at 29I million quarters. For 1888 the estimated area was 26,854,882 acres, and the produce is put at about 32,546,600 quarters. The normal area, as it is termed, is about 27I million acres, and the normal or ordinary average' yield is about 32f million quarters. Since 1883' there is no reason to suppose that any large increase in the wheat area has taken place ; but the.fact that, with such a small yield, Indian cultivators have' extended their wheat fields at all during the prevalence of extremely low prices in Europe needs explanation. The explanation is very simple.* The reduction in the gold value of silver, together with the main- tenance of the purchasing power of the rupee in India, has had the effect of a handsome bonus on the export of wheat * The writer is alone responsible for the opinions of this essay, but deems it desirable to state particularly that the Committee of the Cobden Club are not committed to the opinion expressed in relation to the effect of currency dis- turbances upon the export of wheat from India. COMPETITION IN WHEAT-GROWING. $$ from India, There is an additional benefit in respect of the State-owned and State-guaranteed railways of India ; but that is chiefly at the expense of Indian tax-payers, so that the benefit to the cultivators of the soil, who pay a very large proportion of the taxes, cannot be very great. The effect of the depreciated gold value of silver upon the export trade in Indian wheat, however, is so obvious that it is surprising to see it disputed. But for that depreciation, the export of wheat from India during the last four years must have been discontinued or carried on at a loss to producers, middle men, or exporters, or to all of them. In this opinion I am sup- ported by all the large shippers of Indian wheat whom I have consulted, and by nearly all the authorities on the subject examined before the Gold and Silver Commission, many of them monometallists. For my own part, I have no idea of advocating bi-metallism, but simply wish to state what I believe to be facts. To estimate the cost of wheat-growing in a country like India, with its widely-varying circumstances, is very difficult, if not impossible. In a circular issued by the Government of India in 1884, a calculation made by an expert is given for what it is worth. In Northern India, in a district traversed by railways, he estimates the cost of producing a quarter of wheat on irrigated and manured land at 12 s. ; and a market rate of 18s. 6d. a quarter, he adds, would probably mean to the producer a price not exceeding 15s. or 16s. He takes the exchange value of the rupee to be is. 8d. in the calculation ; so he estimates that the ryot of Northern India gets a fair profit when wheat sells at about 11 rupees a quarter in an inland market. Now, in the same circular the Indian Govern- ment state that in March, .1884, wheat was selling "at 22 J seers the rupee, or about 18s.. 6d. the quarter at Jubbulpore — a price which gave a good margin for profit to the exporter when the London rate was 43s. the quarter," but not when the London rate had fallen to from 33s. to 36s. for Indian wheats. No doubt there was but a very small margin for profit, and our imports from India were more than 700,000 qrs. less in 1884 than in 1883 ; but the rate of exchange kept falling, and freights fell also, so that exporters were not obliged to cease operating altogether, though some heavy losses were incurred, any slight fluctuation in the rate gf exchange making all the 54 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. difference between profit and loss. It is almost certain that a decrease in merchants' and native dealers' profits, as well as a fall in freights and in the gold value of silver, helped to keep up the wheat exports of India. My contention is that, if it had not been for the low exchange value of the rupee, ex- porters of Indian wheat would not have been able to offer enough for it to pay the cultivators' expenses, and that there- fore the cultivation of wheat in India would have fallen off, or prices would have been forced up. The main facts bearing upon the case are very simple. It is since 187 1, when Germany commenced the demonitisation of silver, that the export trade in Indian wheat has grown to large dimensions, and since that year the gold value of silver has been gradually falling. - According to a despatch on the Silver Question sent from the Indian Government to the British Treasury in January, 1886, the average gold value of the rupee in 1871-2 was 23^., while in 1886 it was below i8d., and sometimes as low as i6d., or a very small fraction above. Since 1872 there had been a fall of at least 6d. in the gold value of the rupee ; that is, from about 23d. to about i7d. That is a fall of 26 per cent.; but, for the sake of convenience, and to be on the safe side, let us take it at 25 per cent. No one can deny, then, that the exporter of Indian wheat could afford to ship it to London in 1886 at 25 per cent, less than in 1872, supposing that he bought it at the same rupee price. That reduction is entirely due to depreciation in the gold value of the rupee, and to that extent, at any rate, the fall in silver, in terms of gold, has had the effect of a bonus of 25 per cent, oh the export of Indian wheat. The average price of wheat in England was more than 40 per cent, less in 1886 than in 1872, so that difference in exchange was not sufficient by itself to preserve the exporter from loss ; but sea-freights were reduced by about, one-half, and so he was able to struggle on, though it is well known in the trade that he was frequently unable to buy wheat in India during the year at a price which would ensure him a profit in London. It is worthy of notice that the Indian Government, although anxious to make out that India has been in all respects injured by the depreciation in the gold value of the rupee, volunteers this admission :— COMPETITION IN WHEAT-GROWING. 55 •" We do not believe that the entire fall in the English prices of either wheat or cotton is due to the fall in the rate of exchange ; but we see no reason to doubt that the rate of exchange has had a material influence in bringing about this fall. As an illustration of the far-reaching effects of any considerable change in the relative value of gold and silver, and of the economic disturbance which it causes, we would call your Lordship's special attention to the fact that the Indian cultivator of wheat and cotton appears to have actually gained, while the English and American producer of these commodities has suffered by the fall in the rates of exchange." That English, American, and other producers of wheat are heavy losers by the fall in the rate of exchange is certain ; but it is doubtful whether the Indian grower is benefited in the long run. If the rate of exchange went up, so that he could not sell wheat to be sold again at prices now current in London, jprices would speedily rise there, as we could not dispense with the Indian supply, and the ryot might then get as many rupees for a quarter of wheat as he gets now, or possibly more. He gets as much, in rupees, now as he received when the exchange rate was 6d. per rupee higher than it is. To show how little prices in the interior of India are influenced by either English prices or the rate of exchange, it is worth while to state that the average of prices at eight important markets, given in the Gazette of India for -the first half of January, 1882, when the average price in England was 44s. 6d. per quarter, was only one-third of a rupee higher than in the corresponding period of 1884, when the English average was not quite 39s., and exchange was lower. Evidence seems to show, too, that the purchasing power of a rupee, in India, for commodities generally is greater now than it was when its gold value was much higher. Mr. J. E. O'Conor, Assistant - Secretary to the Indian Finance and Commerce Department, while endeavouring to prove that a low rate of exchange does not benefit the export trade or injure the import trade, states that prices have fallen in India by about 10 per cent, all round. With extraordinary logic, Mr. O'Conor contends that the low rate of exchange cannot have had the effect of stimulating the export trade, "because the prices of almost all Indian produce in European markets have fallen in greater ratio than the rate of exchange, and the whole advantage resulting from a low rate of exchange has been neutralised." It is strange that he cannot see that it is only by the help afforded by the low rate of exchange to exporters, 56 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. in addition to the reduction of their own and other middle- men's and ship-owners' profits, that they have been able to keep on exporting at all. In reality, he completely refutes his own statement when he admits that " the low rate of exchange has counterbalanced, to the extent of about two-thirds (roughly), the disadvantage of low prices in the consuming markets." Here we have the case in a nutshell. No one pretends that exchange alone has enabled exporters to keep on their opera- tions. Increased railway communication in India, diminished profits to dealers, and reduced sea-freights have helped them ; but these advantages, according to Mr. O'Conor, make up for only about one-third of the fall in prices in consuming coun- tries, leaving two-thirds (which is more than I estimate) to be made good by the depreciated value of the rupee. One more extract from Mr. O'Conor's statements. He says that " prices of Indian exports at the ports of shipment have not fallen in anything like the ratio of the fall in the consuming markets." Of course they have not. If they had, the argument as to the effect of low exchange would fall to the ground, as, under such circumstances, exporting would have been profitable without a fall in the rate of exchange. It is because the exporter has been able lately, to all effects and purposes, to get more than twenty-five shillings' worth of Indian wheat for a sovereign in gold that he was able to pay the comparatively high rupee price in India, and sell at the low gold price in England. As to the question whether the Indian cultivator is bene- fited by the low rate of exchange which allows of wheat exportation with the barest margin of profit to all concerned, Mr. A. R. Connell, who read a very able paper on "Indian Railways and Indian Wheat" before the Statistical Society a short time ago, appears to think that they are not. He contends that the peasantry grow their grain crops primarily for subsistence, and only to a small extent for sale ; that is only the small surplus over, after supplying the wants ot themselves, their labourers, and their cattle, that is affected by market prices; and that the largest part, if not all, of that surplus goes to the money-lender. Indeed, he appears to be of opinion that wheat-growing does not pay the ryot, but that the poor man is forced by the money-lender to grow the crop as the best means of obtaining ready money for the COMPETITION IN WHEAT-GROWING. 57 satisfaction of the usurious demands of his creditor. The cultivator's assessment is raised on account of the alleged rise in the value of the holding, owing to increased railway communication and the development of the wheat trade, and Mr. Connell gives strong reasons for doubting whether the stimulus to wheat-growing in India is not altogether an un- healthy one, as far as the peasantry are concerned. The . inevitable conclusion from the facts, figures, and arguments given above seems to be that British wheat-growers cannot compete with Indian producers when the rupee is less than about is. iod. in exchange value, but that, if silver were not depreciated in proportion to gold, they would have no reason to fear Indian competition. There will always be a considerable European demand for the hard wheats of India, and wheat would be exported from that country in moderate quantity if the rupee went up to its old price of 2s. in gold value. As long as it remains greatly depreciated, European and American wheat-growers will have a hard struggle to main- tain their industry. Russia. That wheat-growing does not pay in Russia at such prices as have prevailed during the last three years is certain. The Russian Agricultural Department, in a recent report, admits that the producer receives only one-third of the price paid in London, and that this, in many cases, is hardly sufficient to cover cost of production and transportation to the nearest railway station or river wharf. Other evidence goes further than this, and represents the condition of the agricultural classes of the Empire as miserable in the extreme. In the autumn of 1885 the Russian Government, to avert the ruin with which millions of the cultivators of the soil were threatened, deemed it necessary to offer loans of money on the security of the crops at the not very, charitable rate of interest at 6 per cent. Mr. J. Randich, a grain merchant of Odessa, writing in " Dornbusch's List " in July last year, ex- presses the opinion that, although cereal production has not been checked in Russia, wheat-growing does not pay. Nume- rous complaints to that effect, he adds, have been made during the last two years, both in the assemblies of the zemstvos and in the small homesteads. It is, however, 58 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. difficult to substitute any other crop for wheat — at any rate in Southern Russia, with its triennial rotation of crops — and the cultivators keep on producing the cereal at a loss, hoping for higher prices. Like the ryots of India, the Russian peasants are not, as a rule, free agents in the matter of crop- ping the land, being terribly oppressed by usurers, who prac- tically compel them to grow crops that will bring in money promptly, whether at a profit or at a loss. Of course, unless prices rise, the end of this state of affairs is only a question of time. " Stepniak," in a remarkable series of letters on " The Russian Agrarian Question," recently contributed to the Times, says, on the authority of Jansonj that in thirteen provinces of Central Russia there has been a reduction of 27-8 per cent, in the quantity of harvested corn since 1864, in spite of an increase of 6 -6 per cent, in the population, many peasants having entirely given up husbandry. The same writer states that it is common for the peasants to sell corn at a low price in September, only to buy some of it back at an advance of 30 to 50 per cent, to supply their needs during the winter and spring. To obtain what they need, it is their usual prac- tice to place themselves in bondage to the koulaks or " mir- eaters," engaging to do an utterly -unreasonable amount of labour on the land in lieu of paying in money, which they do not possess. It is by this means, to a great extent, that the cultivation of the crops is kept up, and the system is not one that can last. The agriculture of Russia is wretched in the extreme, the large landowners alone employing machinery or using manures. The yield of the wheat crop appears to be below 8 bushels an acre, as a rule, and sometimes below 6 bushels. Any approach to exactness in Russian statistics is hopeless, no two accounts of crop areas or produce coinciding. According to official figures, the wheat area of European Russia, exclusive of Poland, in 1872, was a little under 29,000,000 acres, and the yield not quite 158,000,000 bushels, or less than 6 bushels per acre. In 1870-79, and in 1881, almost exactly the same acreage was returned, and in 1885 it was under 31,000,000 acres. The produce has varied during the whole period since 1870 as much as from 158,000,000 to 258,000,000 bushels. The latter quantity, returned for 1884, was quite unusual — in fact, the greatest crop ever grown in Russia ; yet the yield was COMPETITION IN WHEAT-GROWING. 59 less than 9 bushels an acre. Mr. Henry Ling Roth, in his interesting "Sketch of the Agriculture and Peasantry of Eastern Russia," gives 499 lb., or 3 lb. over 8 bushels of 62 lb., as the average produce of wheat per acre during thirty-two years on black soil. This, he says, is above the mean yield for Russia as a whole, as the soil and management of the farm in question are much above average. The same writer states that 10 r. per sorokaya dessiatin, or 7s. 2d. per acre, would be considered an average profit. This he says' in reference to the year 1877, when the average price Of wheat in England was nearly double what it was in 1886— 56s. 9d., as compared with 31s. Unless expenses have been greatly re- duced, ' the loss at recent prices must have been very heavy. No doubt, as Mr. Randich says in the article previously alluded to, the low rate of exchange for silver, as well as the reduced freights, helps the export trade in Russian wheat, but not sufficiently to make its production profitable at recent prices. Our imports of wheat and flour (nearly all grain) from Russia during the past ten years have varied extremely. In 1877 they amounted to nearly 2,538,460 qrs. ; in 1883, to over 3,000,000 qrs. ; and in 1885, to over 2,769,230 qrs. ; whereas in 1880 they were under 700,000 qrs. ;• in 1884, about 1,270,000 qrs.; in 1885, 2,788,244 qrs. ; in 1886, 856,177 qrs.; and in 1887, i,282j3I2 qrs. The partial failure of the rye crop — the source of the staple food of the Russian peasantry— in any year necessitates the home consumption of a very large pro- portion of the wheat produced ; and of the portion exported a great deal goes to Germany, Italy, and France. For these reasons, as well as from the great variation in the produce of the wheat crop in Russia, we cannot rely with any cer- tainty upon that country for our supply of breadstuffs. The depreciation in the gold value of the paper rouble is believed by* many authorities' to stimulate the export of wheat ; but there is no sufficient evidence within my knowledge that the Russian rouble has retained its old purchasing power in Russia, as the rupee has in India. Agricultural depression in Russia is probably worse than anywhere else in the world, and there is no reason to suppose that the Russian cultivator can profitably lay down wheat in England at a lower; price than that at which our own farmers can grow it. 66 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. Austria and Germany. There is no reason to fear increased competition from Austria-Hungary or Germany. The extra-fine quality of Hun- garian flour gives it a market as a luxury in this and other countries. This is partly due to the .high quality of the wheat, but also in great measure to the superiority of the milling machinery. Nearly all the breadstuffs we import from Austria- Hungary come as flour, the quantity of wheat as grain being quite insignificant. It was only 12,000 qrs., in round figures, in 1886. Recently the millers of the United Kingdom have made a great advance in the perfecting of their machinery, and as they can get wheat of fine quality from various sources, they are now in a position to compete with the Hungarian millers. Our imports of wheat and flour from Germany have for a long time been decreasing, the total for the six years ending with 1885 having been only two-thirds of that for the previous six years, and less still, per annum, .since 1885. Besides, Germany is a wheat-importing country, her net imports of wheat and flour in 1884-5 having been equal to nearly 3,000,000 quarters of wheat; while the net exports of Austria-Hungary for the same cereal year were only equal to 500,000 quarters of wheat. That the recent low prices have very seriously affected the wheat-growers of these countries there is abundant evidence to show ; but it is suffi- cient to point out that both have recently raised their import duties on grain and flour. As population increases in these and other European countries, their ability to compete with British wheat-growers becomes less and less ; and this remark applies to the Danubian Principalities and Turkey, from which we receive comparatively small quantities of wheat. Russia is the only great wheat-exporting country of Europe. Even with Russia, it must be borne in mind, Europe is not self-supporting in respect of wheat. A report recently issued by the American Department of Agriculture puts the average production of wheat in Europe at 1,144,000,000 bushels, and the con- sumption at 1,312,000,000 bushels, leaving a deficiency of 168,000,000 bushels. Since 1881 the wheat area of Europe appears to have increased by about 3,000,000 acres, a quantity far from sufficient to supply the needs of the increased popu- lation. Competition in wmeat^growing. 61 Australasia. The total wheat area of the Australasian Colonies was less by over half a million acres in 1885-6 than in 1883-4. For the later year, unfortunately, there were no official statistics for South Australia, and the estimate of the wheat acreage for that Colony given by the Adelaide Observer, after collecting returns from farmers in all districts, is the best that is available for the year in question. The maximum wheat acreage was attained in 1883-4 (harvest beginning in November, and finishing early in January), in which year 3,698,817 acres were produced. There was a smallreduction in 1884-5, and a larger and more general one in the following year. The figures for the three years are given .below : — Area of the Wheat Crop in Australasia. Colony. 1883-4. 1884-5. 1885-6. New South Wales Victoria South Australia Queensland Western Australia Tasmania New Zealand Acres. 289,757 1,104,392 1,846,151 10,742 28,768 4i,30i 377,706 Acres. 275,249 1,096,354 1,942,453 15,942 29,416 34,091 270,042 Acres. 264,867 1,020,082 1,630,000 13,299 29,5" 30,266 173,891 Total 3,698,817 3,663,548 3,161,916 Comparing the areas of the last two years, it will be seen that there was a decrease in every colony, except Western Australia, where the wheat crop is insignificant. In South Australia, where about half the wheat grown in the whole of Australasia had beert for several years produced, the decrease was nearly one-sixth ; while in New Zealand less than half the wheat area of 1883-4 appears for 1885-6. In 1886-7 there was a recovery, according to Mr. Hayter, statistician for Victoria. He puts the total wheat area of Australasia at 3,652,045 acres, though, as no statistics have been collected in South Australia since 1884-5, be takes the figures for that year, and enters them for 1886-7. The complete figures for 1887-8 are not available at the time of writing. 62 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. In every one of these colonies; except Tasmania, there had been a steady, though not in all cases regular, increase in wheat- growing for the ten years ending with 1883-4, and there is every reason to believe that the falling-off after that year was attributable to the great fall in price which took place in 1884. The wheat crop ceased to pay, and less of it was grown. South Australia, dependent mainly upon wheat-growing, increased her acreage in desperation in 1884-5, an( * has been nearly ruined by her losses, which culminated with the failure of the harvest of 1885-6, when the average yield of wheat was under 3 J bushels an acre. The partial recovery of the wheat acreage in Australasia as a whole in 1886-7 mav De attributed to the comparatively high prices which prevailed in the Colonies during the previous year, when there was actually a scarcity. The average yield of the wheat crop in South Australia during the last fourteen years has been only 7f bushels per acre, and it needs no evidence to prove that, with such a miserable pro- duce, wheat-growing for export cannot possibly pay when the grain is selling in England at any price less than 40s. ; while there cannot be much profit, if any, at that price. When the average price in England is 40s. a quarter, or 5s. a bushel, Australian farmers would not get more than 4s. a bushel at the outside, at the nearest railway station, and at that price the average return would be less than 30s. an acre. Some South Australian writers declare that wheat can be grown in their colony at less expense than anywhere else in the world. If that be true, it does not follow that, with the miserable yield obtained, the grain can be grown at less per bushel, and if there is not an actual loss on a crop that brings in less than 30s. an acre, there cannot be a living profit. What,, then, must be the consequence when wheat is selling in England at an average of 30s., or even at that of 35s. ? The result must be ruin if wheat for export is relied on for a livelihood, and ruin has actually overtaken numbers of South Australian farmers. They have had to go to their Government more than once for relief from even the low rents which they contracted to pay, and in 1886 a number of them appealed to the Government for a loan to enable them to buy seed-corn. In 1885-6 Australia did not grow wheat enough for home consumption, and had to import for the first time from India, as well as from California. In consequence of scarcity wheat was higher in price in the COMPETITION IN WHEAT-GROWINO. 63 Australasian Colonies than in England. Still, the yield was so extremely small that there must have been a very heavy loss on the production of the crop, at any rate in South Australia. For some years the journals which circulate among Australian farmers have been urging them, and particularly South Austra- lian farmers, to apply themselves to mixed farming, and not to rely too much on the wheat crop. Lately the ruinous conse- quences of disregarding this good advice have been frequently dwelt upon in the Colonial papers. Victoria is the only Australian colony besides South Aus- tralia which, in an average of seasons, grows more wheat than is required for home consumption, unless Western Australia has an utterly insignificant surplus. New South Wales and Queensland never produce sufficient for home use, but import from South Australia and Victoria. The average yield of wheat in Victoria for the twelve years 1873-84 was i2| bushels an acre ; consequently, although the crop costs more per acre to produce than in South Australia, it is probably grown at a lower cost per bushel. No one pretends, however, that wheat-growing has paid in Victoria during the last two or three years. In New South Wales the twelve years' average was within a very small fraction of 15 bushels an acre; but as the colony does not export, the difficulty being to induce the farmers to grow wheat rather than to prevent them from growing too much, it may be left out of the question before us. Queensland and Western Australia both produce between 1 1 and 1 2 bushels an acre on an average, while Tasmania rises above 18 bushels; but these colonies, again, maybe passed over, as not competitors with British wheat-growers. New Zealand, with its fertile soil, and a twelve years' average of over . 26-| bushels of wheat to the acre, or within about \\ bushels of the " ordinary average " of the United Kingdom, might have been regarded as a formidable competitor to the British grower. The figures given previously, however, show that the farmers of that colony were not disposed to send us wheat at recent prices. The acreage of the wheat crop fell off by more than one-half in two years after 1883-4, and the inevit- able conclusion is that the farmers of New Zealand cannot profitably send the grain to us when our average is under 40s. ; for it was but little under that price when the New Zealand crop of 1884-5 was sown, and yet there was a decrease in the 64 THE BRITISH FARMER ANB HIS COMPETITORS. acreage of more than one-fourth, as compared with that of the' previous year. It is well known that they have suffered from agricultural depression, in common with grain producers all the world over, during the last four years. They have been turn- ing their attention lately to the increased exportation of mutton, wool, and dairy produce, the last being sent in considerable quantity to Australia and this country. Australian and New Zealand wheats in good condition sell at prices above the English average ; but, in spite of this advantage, due to fine climate, all evidence goes to show that the farmers of those colonies cannot profitably send us wheat when our average is less than 40s. a quarter, and it is doubtful whether they would again send and keep up the supplies they sent us a few years ago even if our average could be fixed at that amount. Probably they will require the incentive of an average rising occasionally' at least as high as 45s. to induce them to make a business of growing extensively for our markets. Canada. In spite of all that has been written in glorification of Canada as an agricultural country, it is safe to assert that British wheat- growers have no reason to fear the competition of that colony. In 1874 we imported from the whole of British North America wheat and flour equal to 991,919 qrs. of wheat; by 1879 the quantity had risen to the highest point it has ever attained, 1,235,469 qrs. ; and in 1885 the total was only 483,548 qrs. In the following year the quantity was 935,567 qrs. ; but as the production of wheat in Canada was smaller in 1885 and 1886 than in 1884, this apparent partial recovery must be due to an increase in exports of American wheat shipped from Canadian ports. The decline in exports from Canada to the United Kingdom, however, is far from being the most fatal exposure of the pretensions of the Dominion as a wheat-exporting country. In the fiscal year ended June 30th, 1885, Canada imported 3,128,143 bushels of wheat and 565,562 barrels of flour, as compared with 2,340,956 bushels of wheat and 123,777 barrels of flour of home production exported to all countries. Still, as her total exports, including foreign pro- ducts, amounted to 5,423,805 bushels of wheat and 161,054 barrels of flour, there was a small balance of exports, and but a small one indeed. The balance of wheat exported was COMPETITION IN WHEAT-GROWING. °5 2,295,662 bushels, equal to 286,958 qrs. ; and the balance of flour imported was 404,508 barrels, equal to 202,254 qrs. of wheat. The net balance of exports, then, was only 84,704 qrs.; in 1885-6 the balance was 453,178 qrs. As the deficiencies of the last two harvests . were much greater than this last balance of exports, there must have been, one can only conclude, a balance of imports for the years 1886-7 an d 1887-8. After all, much as it would surprise most people to learn that Canada is a wheat-importing country, there would be nothing new in an excess of imports over exports. In five years out of the twelve ending with 1884, the imports of wheat exceeded the exports of home-grown and foreign together, while the imports of flour were in nearly every year in excess of the exports. The low prices of recent years have brought matters to a climax, and Canada has lately grown but little if any more than enough wheat for her own consumption. With this statement it may seem that the question of Canadian competition with British wheat-growers might be considered as settled ; but as we do import from the Dominion small quantities of wheat and flour, to all effects and purposes^ borrowed from the United States to be sent to us, a few figures* and statements in relation to the Provinces of Ontario and Manitoba are desirable. In 1 88 1 nearly two million acres of wheat were grown in Ontario, and only a little over fifty-one thousand acres in Manitoba. By 1886 the area in Ontario had been reduced by nearly half a million acres, while that of Manitoba had in- creased by less than two-thirds of the decrease in the other Province. The acreage and officially estimated produce for the three years ending with 1886 are given below : — 1884. 1885. 1886. Acres. Bushels. Acres. Bushels. Acres. Bushels. Ontario Manitoba 1,586,387 307,020 35.327,292 6,174,172 1,674,599 367,429 30,608,162 7,014,219 1,463,867 380,247 27,585,577 5,829,186 Totals 1,893,407 41,501,464 2,042,028 37,622,381 1,844,114 33,414,763 66 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. Here there appears a continuous decrease in produce, though the acreage was a little larger in 1885 than in 1884. In 1886 the wheat area dropped below that of 1884. In 1887 the area in Ontario was reduced to 1,382,564 acres, and the produce was only 20,073,728 bushels. In Manitoba the area was 432,134 acres, while the harvest was so unusually prolific that the total produce was estimated at 12,099,864 bushels. Thus, the totals for the two Provinces were 1,814,698 acres and 32,173,592 bushels, showing a further decline in area and produce. Statistics for the other Provinces of the Dominion are published, only at wide intervals ; but it is well known that wheat-growing has declined in them. Apart from Ontario and the North-West, Canada is not nearly self-supporting in wheat- production. In the area for 1886 in Manitoba, there were included 16 acres of winter wheat, all that survived out of 39 acres planted by way of experiment. This year a surplus is announced for Manitoba and the rest of the North- West, but not sufficient to cover the deficiency in the rest of the Dominion, I believe. Clearly Canada is falling more and more behind in .her efforts to supply her own population with wheat, to say nothing of " feeding Europe " — a feat which it has been boasted that Manitoba alone could accomplish. A substantial rise in the price of wheat would, no doubt, send the acreage of the crop up to a higher level than it has ever before reached in the Dominion; but it is doubtful whether Canada will ever become a great wheat-growing country. In Ontario the acreage of the crop decreased before prices were low enough to cause depression in other countries, simply be- cause it paid the farmers better to grow barley and peas (which they produce in great abundance and of high quality), and to devote their attention to dairying, in which they have made much progress. The average yield of wheat in Ontario was stated by an Agricultural Commission, which sat some time before 1882, to be only n \ bushels an acre, while that of Manitoba was estimated by the Agricultural Department of that Province at 29 bushels. Unless Ontario was wronged and Manitoba unduly exalted, there has been great improvement in the fertility of the former, and serious deterioration in that of the latter Province— that is, if the figures representing acre- age and total yield are approximately correct. If the number of bushels officially, returned be divided by the number of COMPETITION IN WHEAT-GROWING. 6 7 acres for each year from 1880 to 1886, the following results will be obtained : — Average Yield of Wheat in Bushels. 1881. 1882. 1883. 1884. 1885. 1886. Ontario ... Manitoba r. 14-1 20-2 23-1 127 237 22-2 20I 18-2 I9-I 18-8 iS-3 The mean for Ontario for six years is 18-2 bushels per acre; that for Manitoba for five years is 197. The figures up to 1884 are taken from the Colonial Abstract, and those for the two remaining years from the reports of Canadian officials. In the " Report of the Department of Agriculture of Manitoba for 1882," the area of the wheat crop does not appear; therefore the gap in the Colonial Abstract cannot be filled up. It is extremely difficult to verify the statements made by officials, because the statistics supplied are so defective. For instance, the " Annual Report of the Ontario Department of Agriculture for 1885 " does not give the acreage of any crop, and a similar omission in a Report for Manitoba has already been noticed. Thus, when Manitoba is officially declared to be " the premier wheat district of the world," with an average yield of 29 bushels to the acre, the means of contradicting that ridiculous exaggera- tion are not so ready to hand as they should be. That wheat-growing in Ontario has not been remunerative during the last three years is generally admitted in Canada. To give one extract out of a large number which might be quoted, the Toronto Globe of February 12th, 1886, said : — " It must be borne in mind that the condition of Ontario agriculture has already become identical with that of England in one respect — very few farmers in either country can make money out of wheat. Undoubtedly the change necessitated by the growing of enormous bodies of wheat on the Western and North- Western prairies will force Ontario farmers to follow in the lines laid down by British experience. Those will be wisest who take advantage of this experience without waiting till they are com- pelled to fly to it as a refuge from bankruptcy." In May, 1888, the Globe declared that the sooner Ontario farmers recognise the fact that their business as grain-growers is disappearing as the North-West becomes populated, the E 2 68 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. better it would be for them, and urged them to turn their attention, more generally than heretofore, to sheep-breeding. The same journal recently said that " few farmers in Ontario consider it pays to sell wheat at less than one dollar a bushel;" that is, 32s. a quarter. During recent years, many of them have had to accept about half that price. No wonder if, as Sir Richard Cartwright said in 1887, farm lands in Ontario were not worth so much by millions of dollars as they were six years before. As in the United States, the farmers of Ontario, and of Manitoba too, have been on all sides advised to devote their attention more to the production of meat, milk, cheese, and butter, and less to wheat. The soil of Manitoba is undoubtedly very fertile ; but the climate is too arctic even for wheat. In four years out of the six, ending with 1886, the crop was more or less seriously injured by being frozen just before it was ripe. Crops caught thus by frost are greatly diminished in yield, and the grain produced is shrivelled, and of but little value. This risk, in addition to a short and precarious period for seeding, is more than sufficient to counteract the advantage of a fertile soil. In 1886, according to Mr. Aubrey, of Broadview, North- Western Territories, drought caused a "total failure" of the crops in " thousands of cases," thousands of acres not being worth cutting, and not having been cut. " Throughout the country," he adds, "times are very hard, from Winnipeg away west to the Rockies." His letter, dated November 28th, 1886, was published in the Suffolk Chronicle. A correspondent of an English agricultural paper, who resides in Manitoba, says :— " The great obstacle to farming is the long winter. From November to April you can do nothing, and the horses are standing idle, so that to farm fifty acres you need to have one hundred broken, and crop it alternately, fifty each year." Where such a system is pursued, the expenses of the whole acreage should be charged against the cropped portion, and this is never done in the fantastical estimates of the cost of wheat-growing in Manitoba and the rest of the Canadian North- West, which have appeared from time to time in English papers. According to Major Bell and his numerous English admirers, a large profit was obtained on the great Bell Farm, Qu'Appelle Valley, by growing wheat at ns. 2d. a quarter. At least, it was said that 8 per cent, on the capital was returned by COMPETITION IN WHEAT-GROWING. 69 crediting that amount to each quarter grown. Unfortunately the great Bell Farm has gone the way of nearly all the other " Mammoth farms " of the North American Continent, and has been disposed of. The shareholders apparently were not satisfied with 8 per cent. There are always dissatisfied people in a colony ready to abuse it, and Manitoba can scarcely be so black as it has been painted by some writers, while it certainly is not the agricultural El Dorado depicted by others. The correspondent of an agri- cultural paper previously quoted said, in 1885, that there were 300 farms in a single county near Winnipeg, to be sold for taxes. That may have been an exaggeration ; but that farms in considerable number in Ontario and Manitoba alike have been sold to satisfy the demands of tax-collectors is a fact beyond all dispute. When it is seen that the total value of agricultural products exported from Canada fell from 31 million dollars in 1881-2 to a little over 14J millions in 1884-5, it would be strange indeed if the country had not suffered from agricultural depression. Even if all the accounts of destitution among settlers in Manitoba be discredited, it is obvious that the country which added to its wheat area only 125,114 acres in the three years ending with 1887, will be a long time in becoming the "granary of the world." The fact is, that nothing short of the prospect of a handsome fortune will tempt a large population to a colony far colder than Siberia, and it is certain that no fortunes have yet been made by wheat-growing in Manitoba. As in most parts of the United States, it is land-jobbing, and not farming, which has enriched the few who have made much money in the agricultural districts of that Colony. South America. Twenty years ago, Chile and the Argentine Republic were each described as " the future granary of the world." From Chile in 1874 we received over two million hundredweights of wheat, and except in 1883 and 1887 we have never received nearly as much from that country since. In 1886 the quantity was 1,701,695 cwts., or less than 400,000 qrs., not enough to feed the people of the United Kingdom for six out of the 365 days in a year. The following year gave the best harvest ever gathered in Chile and the Argentine Republic ; and from the 70 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. former country we received during the year 509,140 qrs. According to a recent Consular Report there has been very little advance in Chilian agriculture in recent years. The farmer still ploughs with a pointed piece of wood, and his harrow is a bundle of bushes. The yield of wheat averages about 4 bushels to the acre, including a large proportion of dirt. In 1880, the wheat area was about 6,000,000 acres, and there appeared to be no increase in 1885. The Argentine Republic, as stated in a previous portion of this chapter, sent us 77,421 qrs. of wheat in 1885, a little over a day's consumption for the United Kingdom, and that is the largest quantity we received from that country until 1887, when the exports were quite exceptional. In 1886 wheat was so scarce in the Republic that it was 6s. 6d. per bushel of 56 lb., or 54s. per English quarter, and there were outcries for the removal of the duty of 40 per cent, levied on foreign wheat. The Buenos Ayres Standard admits that the River Plate Provinces cannot compete with the United States in the production of wheat for export, and recommends the devotion of an increased proportion of the capital of the country to pastoral industry. Deductions. It has been too hastily assumed that, in the struggle for existence among wheat-growers, the British, the best farmers in the world, will not be among the fittest who will survive. The evidence adduced in the foregoing remarks appears to show this assumption to be unfounded. Everywhere, with the doubt- ful exception of India, wheat-growers have been partly or wholly ruined by the long period of low prices, and British growers have only suffered with the rest. If we are to have another year of such low prices as had prevailed for four years up to the end of 1887, the wheat area of the world will probably be contracted by many millions of acres, and bread once more may become temporarily dear. At the time of writing, however, there is reason to expect a sufficient rise in the price of wheat to encourage farmers everywhere to sow at least their usual acreage for another year. A very great rise in price is neither to be expected nor desired, even in the interest of growers, as it would infallibly lead to over-production once more. 7i CHAPTER IV. OUR MEAT SUPPLY. Until about five years ago the live-stock interest ot this country had for a long time been in a generally flourishing condition, though subjected to occasional losses through the prevalence of cattle disease. Breeding undoubtedly paid well during the ten years ending with 1883, and if high prices meant satisfactory profits, the fattening of cattle and sheep was also remunerative. The last point, however, has always been a difficult one to decide, because but few farmers keep exact accounts of their business. It was a common remark among farmers during the period in question that the right thing to do was to give up corn-growing to some extent, and to produce meat on a larger scale ; but when those who made that state- ment were pressed to give reasons in pounds, shillings, and pence for their contention, their replies were almost invariably unsatisfactory. Lean cattle and sheep were high in price, commonly costing more per pound than was obtained for the same animals when fat, so that the value of the increase in weight could not all be set against the cost of fattening. The farmer was generally satisfied if the animals paid him well for the root or other green crops consumed ; and if he was also repaid half his expenditure on cake or other purchased food, he considered he had done exceptionally well. If asked to show his actual profit, he would point to his manure-heap or his sheep-folded fields, thus proving that, although he declared that corn-production did not pay and meat-production did, he in reality looked for his profit to the increased crops produced by the manure. Of course, on those rare pastures which will fatten cattle without extraneous food, or even with a little of it, the case was different, and the summer feeding of sheep in the fields, on clover or some other green crop, was often remunera- tive. Occasionally, too, when store cattle were bought on 72 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. favourable terms, a direct profit was made by fattening them in stalls or yards, after charging all their food and attendance. But this was exceptional, and, as a general rule, it may safely be said that meat production, apart from breeding, was not directly remunerative in the ten years of high prices referred to, though it was profitable in conjunction with corn-growing until the prices of corn came down too low. Since the end of 1883, the value of cattle and sheep had been declining until the autumn of 1886, when a rise in the price of wool led to a partial recovery in the value of sheep. The fall affected lean stock more seriously than fat animals, and breeders accordingly had their full share of bad fortune. In- deed, it is a question whether they were not the only sufferers, as graziers pure and simple bought their stores at low prices, while feeding-stuffs were extremely cheap. But it is scarcely necessary to say that there is not, as a rule, a sharp dividing-line between breeders and graziers, most breeders, except in Ire- land and the hill districts of Wales and Scotland, and dairy farmers who sell young calves, being also engaged in fattening. Consequently, the majority of stock-keepers have suffered to some extent from the fall in prices, though less, there is reason to believe, except in the purely breeding districts, than is com- monly supposed. In short, it seems that those who contrast the recent bad times for stock-keepers with the supposed good times previous to 1884, exaggerate alike the gains of the earlier period and the losses of the later one. It is to be borne in mind that rent and wages, as well as the prices of purchased feeding-stuffs, have fallen since the end of 1883, while the comparatively new practice of making cattle and sheep fit for the butcher at an early age has been getting more and more common. Losses from cattle disease, again, have been fewer since the Contagious Diseases (Animals) Act of 1883 was passed. Thus, the cost of producing meat in this country has undoubtedly been reduced, sufficiently, probably, to render fattening as profitable, or as little unprofitable, as during the decade of high prices. During the present year, too, the prices of lean cattle and sheep have advanced considerably. I have not included pigs in the contrast of values before and since the end of 1883, because the prices of those animals have fluctuated greatly in both periods, though they were lower than usual in 1884 and 1885. The advantage of cheap feeding. OUR MEAT SUPPLY. 73 stuff, however, has been greater in the fattening of pigs than in that of cattle or sheep, because they are extensively fed on corn. At present it is generally admitted that pigs pay well for breeding and fattening if the requirements of bacon-curers are met. Coming to details of -prices, the latest official statistics take us only to the end of 1886. During the decade ending with 1883 the mean annual price of beef of medium quality in the Metropolitan Cattle Market varied from 4s. nd. to 5s. 8d. per 8 lb., but was below 5s. sd. in only two years out of the ten. In 1884 it was 5s. 4d. ; in 1885, 4s. 9d. ; and in 1886, 4s. 3d. During the ten years the average yearly price of medium mutton ranged from 5s. 5d. to 6s. 9d. per 8 lb., the minimum being exceptional, and foreign sheep being included. In only three years was the price under 6s. 4d. In 1884 it was 5s. 1 id. ; in 1885, 5s. 2d. ; and in 1886, 5s. 5d. The price of pork of second quality varied from 4s. 4d. to 5s. 3d. up to the end of 1883. . In 1884 it was 4s. 2d. ; in 1885, 3s. rod. ; and in 1886, 3s. 9d. No approach to complete records of the prices of lean stock are available, the best being those given for Ireland in Thorn's and Purdon's Almanacs. According to the latter authority, two-year-old cattle sold at from ^9 to ;£i8 each, as the extreme prices, during the ten years ending with 1883, in which year the prices given are from £,\ 1 to ^18. In 1884 there was a fall to £& as the minimum and ;£i6 5s. as the maximum; in 1885 the range was from ^7 to ^13; in 1886 it was j£$ 10s. to ^13 5s. ; while in 1887 it was £6 to £io 15s. Lambs, which were 24s. to 52s. in 1883, and had been nearly as dear in most of the previous nine years, fell to from 20s. to 48s. in 1884, and sold at 18s. to 50s. in 1885, at 16s. to 42s. 3d. in 1886, and at 20s. to 43s. in 1887. Wether sheep of second quality, after falling from j£$ 5s. in 1882 and £2 18s. in 1883 to J~2 14s. in 1884, re- covered in value to £2 15s. in 1886, and fell again to £2 12s. 6d. in 1887; and there was a corresponding fluctua- tion in the case of ewes. At the Birmingham Shorthorn Show and Sale, the average price of cows over three years of age was ^31 ios. in 1877, ^37 5s. in 1884, and ^25 5s. in 1887. For heifers over two and under three years, the averages in the • same order were ^34 5s., ^35 19s., and ^29 9s. ; for heifers over one year and not over two years, ^26 12 s., ^32 8s., and 74 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. ^28 14s. Either 1882 or 1884 was the year of the highest average since 1877. Store cattle and sheep have sold better in the first half of 1888 than in 1887. The small rise in the price of wool which began in the early autumn of 1886 caused an advance in the values of store sheep, which was not pro- portionately gained in the case of fat sheep. Of the price of store pigs there are no tabulated records. In 1887 the prices of fat cattle, sheep, and pigs alike were generally lower than in 1886. During the first half of 1888 prime fat cattle have sold better than in 1887, and inferior cattle worse. Sheep were at first lower in price, but recently have become higher — at any rate, for good quality — while pigs have further declined in value. It is a fact requiring explanation, that the fall in the values of cattle and beef up to the end of 1887 was contemporaneous with a decline in the imports, as will be seen from the table given below. The anomaly referred to does not pertain to the case of sheep and mutton, which, taken together, have been imported in increasing quantities since 1883 ; but it does in small degree apply to pigs and pork, which, in spite of a large increase in the receipts of bacon and hams, have come to us in diminished quantity for the last three years, as compared with the average for the previous seven years. The following table shows the number of cattle, sheep, and pigs in the United Kingdom, and the imports of the same, alive and dead, for each of the ten years ended with 1887 : — Live Stock in United Kingdom. Imports. Cattle. Sheep. Pigs. CattlBi Beef. Sheep. Mutton. Pigs. Pork. 1878 9,761,288 32,571,018 3,767.960 253,462 Cwts. 729,123 892,125 Cwts. 55.9" Cwts. 4,684,590 1879 9.961,536 32.237,958 3,178,106 247.768 812,237 944,888 52,366 5,358,840 1880 9.87I.IS3 30,239,620 2,863,488 3891724' 1.017,956 941,121 5I>I9I 5,743.915 1881 9,9°5> OI 3 27,896,273 3,H9,I73 3ig ( 374 1,068,599 935, J44 24,283 4,009,010 1882 9,832,417 27,448,220 3,956,495 343(699 692,383 1,124,391 189,847 15,670 3,194,987 1883... 10,097,943 28,347,560 3,986,427 474i75o 1,094,008 1,116,115 236,496 38,863 4,072,891 1884 10,422,762 29,376,787 3,906,205 425t5o7 1.090,739 945,042 503,194 26,437 3,755.956 1885 10,868.760 30,086,200 3,686,628 373,078 1,141,866 750,866 572,868 16,522 4,442,090 1886 10,872,811 28,955,240 3.497,165 319,621 1,001,931 1,038,967 652,289 2I.35 2 4.570,499 1887 10,639,960 29,401,750 3,720,957 295i96i 876,011 971,403 784,841 21,965 4.348,995 7 6 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. It was not until 1882 that the trade in frozen mutton from Australasia began in earnest, and it was not till three years later that the contributions were considerably swollen by sup- plies from the River Plate. The imports of tinned, potted, arid unenumerated meat are not included in the table, because there are no means of differentiating this portion of the supply. The quantities, however, have not varied very greatly, com- paring those of the later and earlier years of the period. For 1887, as compared with 1878, there was an increase in the home and foreign meat supply together, and that to an extent more than sufficient to make up for the increase in the population. Taking the official statistics of live-stock in the United Kingdom, and the imports of live and dead meat for 1877, Sir James Caird estimated the total meat supply at 30,800,000 cwts. It is usual to assume that 25 per cent, of the cattle in the country, 40 per cent, of the sheep, and 116 per cent, of the number of pigs enumerated, come into consumption within the year. Probably the proportions of cattle and sheep sent to the butcher are now above these estimates, in consequence of the progress made in promoting early maturity ; but as the weight per head is decreased for the same reason, the calcu- lation is not appreciably affected. On this basis, for 1885, Major Craigie, taking the official figures, estimated the total supply of home and foreign meat at 36,460,000 cwts., or almost exactly one hundredweight per head of the population. An estimate which I made in 1886 came out at less than that for 1885, the home arid foreign supply having both been a little smaller. The figures for the three periods, including the population at the middle of each year, stand thus : — Home Supply. Foreign Supply. Total. Population. 1877... .... 1885 1886 Cwts. 24,500,000 27,220,000 26,682,000 Cwts. 6,300,000 9,240,000 9,IOO,000 Cwts. 30,800,000 36,460,000 35,782,000 33,446,930 36,331,119 36,707,418 In 1877, according to Sir James Caird, the consumption of meat per head of the population was 103 lb. per annum ; by OUR MEAT SUPPLY. 77 1885 it appears to have increased to 112 lb.; and in 1886 it had fallen to a fraction over 109 lb. The increase in con- sumption between 1877 and 1885 was to be expected, as bread had become very cheap at the latter period, thus allowing wage-earners a wider margin for luxuries, and simul- taneously meat had also fallen in price, foreign mutton espe- cially being obtainable at very cheap rates in the large towns. In 1 886 the general depression, the lowering of wages in some cases, and the lack of constant employment in others, appear to have diminished the demand for meat, and, prices having again fallen, the supply from foreign countries fell off slightly, instead of increasing. The small reduction in the home supply was chiefly due to the decrease in the number of sheep in the country. A similar calculation for 1887 would make the total supply less, but only by a comparatively insignificant quantity, the home supply having been a little larger. The proportion of the foreign to the total supply of meat increased from 207 per cent, in 1877 to 25-3 percent. in 1885, and to 25-4 per cent, in 1886. For 1887 it was a fraction less than in 1886. The increased proportion is not a large one for ten years, considering the great efforts made by foreign countries to supply our markets. Bearing in mind the fact that the foreign total includes all the bacon, hams, and tinned and otherwise preserved meats which are received, there is some satisfaction in the consideration that our farmers still -supply the ^country with about three-fourths of the meat con- sumed. . When American cattle and beef first began to come •i'ri; large quantities, and again when the Australasian traffic in •frozen mutton was started, it was predicted that home pro- ducers would be- speedily, driven out of the competition. In- stead of such a result -.haying been brought to pass, it will be seen from the figures; given above that British and Irish breeders and graziers supplied more than two millions of their fellow-countrymen with meat in 1886 in excess of the number supplied by them ten years before. It is impossible to state, with any approach to precision, the cost of producing any kind of meat in this country, because it varies with the prices of lean-stock and purchased feeding-stuffs, the rent of land, the wages of workmen, and the produce of feeding-crops grown on the farm. If breeders generally kept accurate accounts of the cost of production, it would be 78 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. possible to obtain some instructive averages in the course of a few years ; but, as it is, very few such accounts have been published, and those which have appeared have seldom been given in sufficient detail. It has been commonly estimated that British farmers can produce beef and mutton without loss at 6d. a pound, and the average has not been as low as that in recent times, taking the wholesale prices of all qualities in account. Indeed, the minimum annual price (sinking the offal) at the Metropolitan Cattle Market during the last ten years has only thrice been below 6d. per pound for beef,, and only twice for mutton, and then only for small quantities. No doubt many producers obtain less than the average London quotations ; but there is a sufficient margin to allow for the profits of dealers and rail expenses on the cattle, still leaving it safe to say that beef and mutton have not returned less than 6d. a pound to producers as a whole in any recent year, while the average, until quite recently, has usually been nearer 7d. or 7 £d. for beef, and 8d. or 9d. for mutton. The fall in prices since 1883, as already intimated, has been to a great extent met by the cheapness of feeding- stuffs, and by the cheapness of lean stock too, until recently, as far as the mere fattening is concerned. In a calculation recently published by Sir J. B. Lawes in the Scottish Agricultural Gazette (now entitled the Farming World') it was shown, from data derived from the feeding of a number of cattle in 1886, that lean stock bought at 3s. 6d. per stone of 14 lb. live weight, and led on oats, oat-straw, and decorticated cotton-cake, at the prices then current for the feeding-stuffs, would pay fairly if the beef sold at 6d. per pound. This allows something for the value of the manure, which a farmer must have from some source, and may as well buy of his live stock as of the manure merchant. In the most recent experiments in cattle-feeding carried out by the Royal Agricultural Society at Woburn, one lot of four Hereford bullocks, fed on hay, decorticated cotton-cake, and maize-meal, with water ad libitum, gave an increase in live weight of 175 lb. each in 84 days. During the period, eating all the hay they liked, with 3 lb. cake and 5 lb. maize-meal per day each, they consumed per head 15J cwts. hay, 2$ 2 lb. cake, and 420 lb. meal. At recent prices the cake and meal would both cost 3|d. per pound, allowing OUR MEAT SUPPLY. 79 something for carriage to the farm, and the hay —ordinary meadow hay — may be valued for use on the farm at 3s. a cwt. At these rates the cost of the food for each animal was £$ 19s. 4d. The increase in live weight, being chiefly meat rather than offal, may be converted into dead weight by taking the latter to be 70 per cent, of the former, at which rate there would be 1 22! lb. At 6d. per pound this comes to £3 is. 3d., leaving 18s. id. to be charged to the manure. If we add a shilling a week for attendance, the cost of the manure comes to 25s. id., or fully two-thirds of the cost of the purchased food. It is scarcely fair, however, to charge only 6d. a pound for the meat added, as if it were worth no more than the average of the dead weight. In any case it is impossible to say whether there was a profit or a loss at 6d. a pound without knowing the market value of the animals at the commencement of the experiment. Most of the accounts I have seen are more or less faulty, omitting some detail which should be given ; but I gather from them that there would scarcely ever be any profit apart from the manure if the beef were sold at 6d. a pound, and that in most cases the manure would not be ob- tained gratis. Indeed, I am disposed to conclude that 6d. a pound is the minimum price at which British farmers will keep up the home supply of beef. The same may be said with respect to mutton, supposing wool to continue at about its present value. By far the best way of estimating the cost of producing beef is by keeping account of the expenses incurred by those who breed or wean calves, fattening them gradually from the first, and finishing them off at from fifteen months to two years of age. Mr. Henry Evershed, in his interesting pamphlet on "The Early Maturity of Live Stock," gave several instances of satisfactory returns, but was seldom able to gain much trust- worthy information as to cost of production. He gave in- stances in which, when the top price of beef was 6s. 2d. per 8 lb., Shorthorn steers of fifteen to eighteen months sold at prices which left 7s. to 8s. 4d. per week for their keep from birth. As the animals were sold by auction, it is uncertain whether they realised as much as the top price or not ; but they must have paid well, as the cost of their keep during the early portion of their life was but small. Prices were high when this account was given, some purchased feeding-stuffs being double their present cost, and rents were much higher than they are now, 80 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. so that a considerably smaller return would be remunerative under existing circumstances. Mr. Ellis, ' of Summersbury, near Guildford, has been re- markably successful in maturing cattle at an early age, and his results convey the impression that they must be profitable. Unfortunately, he has not kept, or, at any rate, has not published, exact accounts of the cost of feeding. It requires very little consideration, However, to convince any investigator that, unless cattle can be reared at very small cost, as on free or cheap prairies in America or mountain pastures in this country, the system of early maturity must be more profitable than the old plan of keeping the animals till they were three years old before commencing to fatten them. The records of ages and weights of animals exhibited at cattle shows here and in the United States clearly prove this, at least as far as show cattle are concerned, the daily gain in live weight of the youngest classes of animals being frequently nearly double that of the older ones, while the cost of keep for the early years of an animal's life is, of course, less than it is later. At the Smithfield Cattle Show in 1886 a Shorthorn 588 days old weighed 1,484 lb. alive, thus giving a daily increase in live weight (giving the birth-weight in, as is done in all cases) of 2*52 lb., and there have been higher records. The best result for any Shorthorn over three years of age was a daily gain of 173 lb. The animal giving the latter result was 745 days older than the other, and weighed only 828 lb. more. At the same show other cattle under two years of age gave daily gains of 2-45 lb., 2-35 lb., 2-33 lb., and 2-32 lb. At the previous show a Hereford 542 days old weighed 1,456 lb., and showed a daily gain of 2-69 lb.; while other records were 2-63 lb., 2-53 lb., 2-49 lb., 2 -45 lb., and so on, twenty-three being 2 - 2i lb. and upwards. On that occasion the highest record for an animal over three years, was r8o lb. At the last great cattle show at Chicago a calf 323 days old weighed 1,075 lb., thus showing a daily gain of 3-33 lb., and another record was 3-02 lb. These are instances of the production of what has been termed "baby beef" with a vengeance, and cannot be held up for imitation. With respect to advance in securing early maturity, the Field, in 1886, said: — "Modern treatment has resulted in a gain in point of time of something like 33 per cent. — i.e., that, OUR MEAT SUPPLY. both as regards cattle and sheep, it is possible to obtain a given weight of carcase in one-third less time. This is a very im- portant fact, because all our accounts prove that young animals give a better account of their food than older ones." Un- fortunately, the writer has to follow these remarks with the lamentation that " what we do not know, and ought to know, in order to realise to the full what early maturity means to us, is the comparative cost under the two systems." This is true, and every writer who has taken up the subject of meat-pro- duction has found himself baffled when seeking to acquire precise information in relation to the important question of the cost of production. In the United States, however, the records of competitions at which the cost of feeding has had to be given show very distinctly the financial advantage of finish- ing cattle for the butcher at a comparatively early age. Professor Stewart, of New York State, has collated the figures showing ' the ages and weights of cattle exhibited at seven fat-stock shows held at Chicago ; also the records of cost of feeding the animals shown in classes for which the details were furnished. With respect to age and daily gain, the following table shows the averages : — Summary of Seven Shows. Animals. Average Age in Days. Average Weight. Average Gain per Day. 25 Steers "9 99 92 ,, 300 625 926 1,278 lb. 780 i,3Si 1,671 1,893 lb. 2'6o 2-16 1-74 1-48 Gain in Periods. No. of Days in Period. lb. lb. 1st Period 300 73° 260 2nd , 325 57 1 1-76 3«1 ,, 301 266 080 4th 352 276 078 82 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. Here the diminishing gain per day as age advances is clearly to be seen. What is of still greater importance, however, is the evidence cited by Professor Stewart as to cost of produc- tion. At two of the shows prizes were offered for the best results in proportion to cost. Each competitor had to show the expenses of keep and attendance for each animal ex- hibited, and as the age and weight were known in each instance, the cost per pound of the gain in weight from birth could be easily calculated. Several steers and heifers of the various breeds were in the competition, and the' average cost per pound of live-weight is given for the whole in three classes according to age. For the cattle not over twelve months the average cost was 4/04 cents a pound ; for those over twelve but not over twenty-four months, 5*05 cents ; and for those over twenty-four but not over thirty-six months it was 7 '49 cents a pound. Three of the best beasts cost only 3! cents a pound for the first twelve months, 5^ cents for the second year, and 7\ cents for the third year. Professor Stewart's conclusion is, that as good beef can be produced at the age of two years, this must be considered the limit of the most profitable pro- duction, the same cattle having cost 50 per cent, more for each pound of increase in the third than up to the end of the second year. There were 119 animals, with an average weight of 1,351 lb. at the average age of 625 days, or a little over twenty-one months. Seeing that this weight suits the market well, and can be produced at 4^ cents a pound, the Professor maintains that the advantage of selling not later than ' the end of the second year is beyond all question. As to quality and suitability of this young beef to the taste of the public, there is a great abundance of evidence derived from experience on either side of the Atlantic. Mr. Evershed records some of it in his pamphlet in relation to English experience. As to American evidence, it must suffice to quote the National Live Stock Journal of Chicago, which, in commenting upon a recent great show at Chicago, says : — " The fact that in the slaughtered carcases the proportion of fat to lean meat was less in the yearling (over one year and under two years) class than in the older classes, and that, on the whole, these younger cases were better marbled, and, therefore, the meat was more acceptable to consumers than the fatter ones, showing that the tendency in the future must be towards earlier maturity and marketing. " OUR MEAT SUPPLY. 83 If this is the case with pampered and forced show animals, still more likely is it to be so with cattle moderately fed for the. butcher. The Journal adds : — " This result is also quite in keeping with natural principles. While the young animal is rapidly growing, it is laying on weight of muscle and bone, if its food is appropriate to that purpose. And if the young steer is generously as well as appropriately fed, its lean flesh is likely to become thinly marbled by the deposit of fat among the muscles. If, however, the young animal is plied strongly with the most fattening food, such as corn (maize), it will be likely to show an abnormally large proportion of fat." I have dwelt upon this question because the early maturing of cattle appears to be the best means which our breeders and feeders can adopt for meeting the fall in prices if it should be permanent, or of increasing profits if not so. With respect to sheep and lambs, the evidence in favour of early maturity is at least as strong as it is in the case of cattle, and the advance, as shown by the remarkable records of lambs, especially Hampshires and Crossbreds, exhibited at the London cattle shows, has been greater in recent years with sheep than with oxen. With respect to pigs, it is much the same as far as the production of fresh pork is concerned, but scarcely so in relation to the bacon hog, which must have time to grow, with plenty of exercise, in order to attain the highest honours at Calne or Limerick. Although 6d. a pound for beef or mutton is a price that would have been deemed satisfactory by the farmers of the last generation, it is by no means certain that a higher average will not be common in the future. As already pointedout, the average price of beef in the Metropolitan Cattle Market has not gone down to that price in any recent year for which we have complete statistics, while the mean price of mutton has not been as low as 7d. Yet the supply of foreign beef, alive and dead together, has been falling off during the last three years, in ten of which the mean London price was over 7& a pound. As for mutton, in which foreign competition is now keenest, it is doubtful whether supplies from Australasia and the River Plate will be kept up at current prices. The fact is that the meat export trade from America and Canada, which supply us with beef, and from the mutton-exporting countries also, has for some time been more or less generally unprofitable. American papers during the last three years f 2 84 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. have frequently referred to losses incurred by shippers of cattle and meat, prices in this country not having been high enough to cover expenses in many instances. The decrease in the trade, moreover, suffices to prove that it is not generally remunerative. In 1887 only 94,642 cattle were sent to us from the United States, as compared with 113,756 in 1886, 137,324 in 1885, 139,213 in 1884, and 155,040 in 1883. The receipts of American fresh beef, too, fell off from 851,210 cwts. in 1885 to 762,147 cwts. in 1886, and to 644,700 in 1887. Since the middle of 1887 there has been a great drop in the values of cattle in the United States, and during the first half of 1888 the shipments to this country have increased in con- sequence ; but this is probably only a temporary movement, the general belief on the other side of the Atlantic being that there will be a sharp reaction in values there before long. It is notorious that the cattle interest in the United States has suffered from severe depression. A few years ago, when it was at the end of a long period of prosperity, and far-seeing owners of ranches could see that a bad time was coming, British " tenderfeet " were induced to invest a great deal of capital in the business. There was quite a rage for ranch and range cattle companies, and several were started in Scotland and a few in England. The result has not been satisfactory to the shareholders, heavy losses having been shown at the last annual meeting by each of several companies whose statements I have seen. In some cases high prices were paid for so- called rights of grazing on the free ranges which were not rights at all, and the privileges of the " Cattle Kings " have been to some extent, and are likely to be much more narrowly, restricted by the American Government. The losses of cattle through exposure to cold, or through starvation when the grass has been covered with snow, or during prolonged droughts in summer, have been so frightful in recent years that public opinion has been scandalised, and there is a general feeling against a system of keeping immense herds of cattle without making any provision against such catastrophes. In the year ending on April 1st, 1887, the loss of cattle, according to the Department of Agriculture, amounted to 2,086,933, or 4"4 per cent. The severity of the winter was the chief cause of death. During three previous years in backward order the percentages of loss have been 3-64, 4-19, and 4-26. In the range districts alone OUR MEAT SUPPLY. 85 the proportion of loss has been much higher, amounting in some places to twenty per cent. Again, the high-handed .conduct of the range-men, in endeavouring to keep settlers off immense tracts of country by force, or by monopolising the water supply, has caused general indignation, so that it is commonly believed that the days of the free-range system are numbered. The country is wanted for settlers, and settlers will have it. When there is no more free grazing in America, the time of cheap cattle-raising will be at an end. Even the live-stock journals, as a rule, favour the claims of men who would establish small ranches in the range country, and such headings as " The Range Must Go " have for some time been familiar to the readers of those papers. It is not un- likely that the careful treatment of cattle will pay better in the long run than the inhuman neglect that has been common hitherto ; but as the grazing grounds are trenched upon year after year by settlers, the cost of producing cattle must approach that of other thickly populated countries. During the last ten years there has been an enormous increase of cattle in the United States, as shown below : — ■ Milch Cows. Other Cattle. Total. 1878 1888 11,300,100 14,856,414 19,233,300 34,378,363 30,523,400 49.234.777 It is to be borne in mind, however, that the population has largely increased, that the consumption of meat in America is enormous, and that the proportion of animals sent to the butcher in a year to the total number is much smaller than it is in the United Kingdom, owing to the keeping of store animals three or four years on the ranges before selling them to be fattened. At any rate, with all the increase noticed above, the advance in the exports to all countries since 1878 is comparatively trifling. There was a decrease after. 1881 for two years, then a rise to the greatest number ever exported in twelve months, and then a decline for the last three years for which the official figures are available. I give the total numbers of cattle exported from the United States in the years of the greatest fluctuations, adding the exports of beef : — 86 THE BRITISH FARMER -AND HIS COMPETITORS. Year.* Cattle. Fresh Beef. Salted Beef. 1878 1884 1887 No. 80,040 190,518 106,459 Cwts. 476,256 1,046,040 7",4I9 Cwts. 357,3" 327,690 371,939 * Year ending June 30 for Cattle, and calendar year for Beef. If during the past, when the herds of the United States were increasing rapidly on the immense free-grazing grounds, the exports have been as just shown, there seems to be no reason for British beef-producers to fear serious injury from American competition in future. With respect to mutton, the United States need not be considered in relation to our meat supply, the imports of sheep being in excess of the exports of sheep and mutton together, and all the figures being very small. It is quite different in the case of pork, in the production of which our American cousins unquestionably distance all competition, as far as cheapness is concerned. No live pigs worth mentioning are now sent across the Atlantic ; but the bulk of the heavy and increasing supplies of pork, hams, and bacon, shown in my first table,. comes from the United States. The number of pigs in that country increased from 28,077,100 in 1877 to 44,612,836 in 1887, and fell to 44,346,525 in 1888. Strange to say, there has been no considerable in- crease since 1882, when the number stood at 44,112,200. In 1886, it is true, the total reached 46,092,043, but in 1887 there was a decrease, partly owing to the ravages of hog cholera. Great as the exports of pork, bacon, and hams are, they were much heavier in 1881 — when'the total was no less than 7,624,000 cwts. — and 1882 than they have been since, and for the year ending June 30th, 1886, the total exports of pork in all its forms stood at 4,530,000 cwts., in round figures, as compared with 4,730,000 cwts. in 1877. The exclusion of American pork from France and Germany has, no doubt, had a great effect upon the exports, and, for the rest, it is not unlikely that the very low prices realised here in some recent years have chilled the ardour of exporters.- Still, I will not venture upon any prediction as to the future of American competition in pork- OUR MEAT SUPPLY. 87 production. The commodity in all its forms — fresh or salt pork, bacon, and hams — is greatly inferior to English or Irish, at any rate in flavour; and our native produce will, therefore, always command better prices than American unless the latter should be improved. But, at the best, the American supply is at any time likely to glut our markets to such an extent as to bring prices down to a point unremunerative to producers. This has happened frequently in the past, and probably will often happen in the future. Canada stood next to the United States in 1887 as the source of our imports of cattle, having sent us 65,154 in 1887, or about two thousand fewer than in 1886. Her total net exports of cattle in the year ending June 30th, 1886, were 90,025. Her imports of beef in its various forms, as distinct from live catde, are larger than the exports. The number of sheep and lambs sent to us by Canada in 1887 was 35,473 as compared with 94,343 in 1886, 39,725 in 1885, and 60,898 in 1884. The exports of sheep and lambs from the Dominion to all countries in the year ended June 30th, 1886, deducting exports, num- bered 328,999. As a source of our foreign supply of pork in its various forms, Canada is not separately mentioned in the Board of Trade Returns ; but the Canadian Returns for the year ending June 30th, 1886, show exports to this country of 72,600 cwts. of bacon, 3,700 of hams, and 900 of pork, besides insignificant quantities of canned meat and tongues. In this connection it may be desirable to ask provision dealers, how it is that they are able to offer immense quantities of what they call Canadian hams to their customers. We receive over two hundred times as many hams from America as we obtain from Canada, and yet it is rare to see American hams in the shops, if we are to believe the salesmen. The fact is, that in conse- quence of the scare about trichinae in American pig products, they become transformed to a large extent into "Canadian" in our shops. As wheat-growing for export does not now pay in Canada, the tendency among farmers is to devote increased attention to the -production of meat. But the number of live-stock in the country, as far as we can judge from the incomplete statistics, increases very slowly, if at all, in respect of sheep and pigs. It is doubtful, too, whether the export of cattle has lately been profitable. The Toronto Globe recently stated that only the 88 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. best farmers were able to make cattle pay. On the whole, there seems to be no reason to expect the Canadian supply of meat to increase at prices unprofitable to British pro- ducers. Denmark takes the third, and sometimes the second, place as a source of our supply of foreign cattle, having sent us 58,704 in 1887, against 68,885 in 1886 and 67,730 in 1885. From Denmark we received last year 31,945 oxen and bulls, 32,311 cows, and 4,629 calves. The imports have greatly fallen off since 1884, however, when the total number of cattle received was about 27,000 more than in 1886. Denmark also stands third as a source of foreign sheep, of which she sent us 120,584 in 1886 — a great increase on the number sent in either of the two previous years, but only 97,845 in the following year. Careful provisions against cattle disease, long carried out, have greatly advanced the live-stock industry of Denmark. From Germany we have usually received the largest number of imported sheep and lambs, though Holland, by doubling her average contribution, stood first in 1886, with 468,373 sheep. Germany sent us only 339,719 sheep in 1886, but 501,509 in 1884, when Holland sent only 254,563. In 1887 we received 321,085 from Germany, and 501,701 from.Holland. The supply of cattle from Germany has lately fallen off, only 10,136 having come to us thence in 1887. Holland sends us from 30,000 to 40,000 calves in the year, and nearly all the few live pigs we import, but is not honoured with separate enumeration in the returns for oxen or cows. On the other hand, Holland stands alone in the Board of Trade Returns as a European country separately mentioned as supplying us with carcases of mutton, though only to the amount of 62,887 cwts. in 1887, or not much more than half the quantity received in 1884. Holland and Belgium send us nearly all the fresh pork we import. The former sent 117,924 cwts., and the latter 29,773 cwts. Germany is the only European country from which we import bacon extensively, and that comes in diminishing quantities. No beef in the carcase form worth men- tioning is imported from any European country but Russia. With the possible exception or Holland, which has a large area of rich pasture, no country in Western Europe has superior advantages to those of the United Kingdom. On the contrary, the high duties on foreign corn maintained by most of the countries OUR MEAT SUPPLY. 8 9 place them at a great disadvantage as meat-producers. Several attempts have been made to supply this country extensively with meat from Russia and other parts of Eastern Europe, but they appear to have come to little. Russia sent us a trifle ot 2,782 cwts. of fresh beef in 1887. This was a great decline from nearly 32,000 cwts. sent here by Russia in 1884, and from nearly 22,000 cwts. sent in 1883. Mutton is not men- tioned, and although carcases from Russia have occasionally been sold in the Metropolitan Meat Market, the quantity must have been insignificant. There appears to be no reason, then, for British meat-producers to fear permanently increasing com- petition from the continent of Europe. On the other hand, it will be unfortunate for consumers if the existing competition should grow less. The greatest scare among home meat-producers has been occasioned by the increasing imports of frozen meat — first from Australasia, and latterly from the Argentine Republic and the Falkland Islands. The imports of frozen beef are scarcely worth mentioning, as we received only 16,622 cwts. from Aus- tralasia and 930 cwts. from the Argentine Republic in 1885 ; and in 1887 the total receipts of fresh beef from all countries besides the United States amounted to no more than 12,874 cwts., most of which came from Canada and Russia. Frozen beef, in fact, does not " take " in this country, being sappy and tasteless. The fresh beef sent from the United States is preserved, not by freezing, but by the cold-dry-air process, which does not deteriorate the quality or flavour. In was in 1882 that frozen mutton first came from Australasia in con- siderable, quantity, namely, 37,283 cwts. In the following year imports from the Argentine Republic were first enumerated, and I give the receipts for that and each succeeding year : — Imports of Frozen Mutton. 1883. 1884. 1885. 1886. 1887. Australasia ... Argentine Republic fa' Cwts. 103,689 3.571 Cwts. 304,124 40,236 Cwts. 338,587 112,223 Cwts. 383.317 190,409 Cwts. 441,289 251.273 The number of carcases reported by the New Zealand Loan and Mercantile Agency Company to have been received in 90 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. London from the River Plate in 1886 is 332,927, the weight being under J cwt. per carcase. In 1886 we received 30,000 carcases from the Falkland Islands; but the supply has not been continued. We have before had instances of countries sending a cargo or two in one year, and dropping out of the table of imports afterwards. In 1883 we imported 2,559 cwts - °f mutton from Peru, and in 1884 Uruguay sent us 8,476 cwts. Neither country has since been mentioned as a source of supply. Since 1884 the supply from Australia has fallen off, and although there has lately been a revival in the Australian trade, it is only the New Zealand mutton which has caused the Australasian increase. From that colony and the River Plate the quantities have been gradually increasing ; but the trade during the last year or more has been so disastrous that, if prices do not improve, it will probably be greatly diminished in extent, if it does not cease entirely. Early in 1886, "A New Zealand Colonist/' writing to the Otago Witness on the pros- pects of the frozen-mutton trade, said : — "The producer, when he sends his meat to London, realises about 4^d., perhaps only 4d. per pound ; and when he deducts expenses — say 2§d. — he has only about ijd. per pound for the choice of his flock. Now, this will not pay him, and some of our largest exporters of meat have decided ,that it will not pay them to send home their meat." The owner of a large estate, he adds, who has spent ^40,000 in preparing for the trade, is compelled to give it up, as his mutton sold at only 4d. a pound. Now, 2f d. per lb. is by no means too much to reckon for expenses. The sea freight is' from 1 £d. to ifd., and id. to 1 Jd. is not much to add for cost of slaughtering and freezing in New Zealand, unloading, and often storing in freezing-chambers at the docks for a month or more at ^d. per lb. per month, and for commission. An estimate of the various expenses, amounting to 3^ per lb.,* submitted to one of the highest authorities in this country, has been endorsed as a fair one. But even if it be only 3d., the fortnightly lists of prices realised for the several cargoes, issued by the New Zealand Loan and Mercantile Agency Company, convey the impression that, during the past twelve months, the average gross return has not been more than 4d. a pound at the out- side, thus leaving only id. for the producer. Taking a recent list, I see that 800 carcases of Australian mutton were sold at * See Appendix. OUR MEAT SUPPLY. 9 1 3M. a pound, 2,000 from the River Plate at 3fd. to 3f d., 13,200 from the Falkland Islands at 3|d. to 4^d., and portions of several cargoes from New Zealand — many thousands of carcases in all — at prices ranging from 3d. to sd. Probably 4^d. has been about the average for meat in good condition, but a considerable proportion of the cargoes are described as " irregular," and I doubt whether a fraction over 4d. has been received, on the average, for all the mutton sent from New Zealand during the year 1887, while the average for Australia would be less, and that for the River Plate lower still. The Otago Witness recently said that " shippers, after paying for freezing freights and charges, have no margin left, 1 ' which I take to mean no margin over boiling-down price. With respect to Australia, some of the large companies engaged in the frozen meat trade have failed. It has been boasted that, even if Australasian shippers could not stand up against the fall in prices, the great flock- masters of the River Plate would be able to supply us with an almost unlimited quantity of mutton at recent market rates. No doubt they are in a position to sell at low prices, but, apparently, not at such extremely low rates as they have had to put up with. At the last meeting of the River Plate Fresh Meat Company a loss of ,£37,000 on ten months' trading was declared. If the frozen mutton trade should be ruined, it will be a great misfortune to the poor, and to many who are not ranked as actually poor people, in this country. The New Zealand mutton is good, and the lamb is excellent. The River Plate mutton is much inferior, and although breeders in that country are improving their flocks by importing some of the best rams they can buy in England, it will be many years before they will be in a position to ship a large supply of mutton suitable to the tastes of the British public. As to beef, there is very little indeed in the River Plate fit for our markets, and that is wanted at home. With respect to meat " preserved otherwise than by salt- ing" — mostly tinned meat — the chief source of our supply is the United States, whence we received 227,435 cwts. in 1887. In this branch of trade Australasia fell off suddenly in 1886, having supplied us with only 57,376 cwts. of preserved meat, as compared with 198,279 cwts. in the previous year ; 92 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. but in 1887 the quantity was 167,177 cwts. Uruguay con- tributed nearly 22,000 cwts. of this meat to our supply in 1886, and the Argentine Republic nearly 11,000 cwts. For 1887 the figures are not available, these countries not being separately enumerated in the Board of Trade Returns. But, to return to the question of prices, the mischief is that the middleman in this country gets a great deal more than the producer out of the frozen mutton, as, indeed, he does on the meat supply generally. A great deal has been written lately about exorbitant butchers' profits, and no one who knows anything about wholesale and retail prices can doubt that they are enormous. This is doubly injurious to producers, for, in the first place, they do not obtain their fair share of what consumers pay; and, secondly, the extreme prices charged by the butchers reduce the demand for meat, and thus tend to keep down the prices which producers can command. But there are other middlemen besides the butchers, and British and foreign meat alike often passes through several dealers' hands before it gets to the consumer. There has been some talk about farmers combining to sell their own meat by retail, and this is being done to a limited extent. If the venture becomes successful, it will be exten- sively imitated. In this direction, in the promotion of early maturity, in scientific feeding, in the prevention of cattle disease, and in the introduction of the universal practice in America of selling cattle by live weight, the best hopes of British meat-producers appear to me to lie. I believe that the difficulty of meeting foreign competition has been greatly exaggerated. We have in this country the best cattle in the world, and one of the best of climates for meat-production ; we have an abundant supply of cheap feeding-stuffs ; and we have the best markets in the world for meat of good quality. There may be new countries, especially in South America, to compete in the meat supply of the future ; but the question of quantity does not really matter very much. America and Australasia alone could supply us with double the meat we consume if it paid them to do so ; but it barely paid them to send the best of their beef and mutton to us when prices were at their highest, and only the best will suit our markets. It must always be expensive to ship cattle or meat from distant countries ; losses on the voyage must always be heavy ; and OUR MEAT SUPPLY. 93 the meat can never be worth as much as the best of our home produce. In 1886, when the casualties of the Atlantic cattle transit were not more than usual, 5,907 animals were thrown overboard, 281 were landed dead, and 279 were so much injured or exhausted that they had to be killed at the place of landing, making a total of 6,467. The traffic is an inhuman one, and there is but little excuse for continuing it, as the transit of carcases is more economical, and the meat is well preserved by the cold-dry-air process. Dealers and butchers on this side, however, prefer the live cattle traffic, as they get more profit out of it. The question of cattle disease prevention has so important a bearing upon the economics of our meat supply that it de- mands more than a passing notice. By means of sanitary regulations, vehemently resisted by the friends of free trade in diseased foreign animals, we have got rid of foot-and-mouth disease, and if we can keep fresh infection out of the country, we shall remain permanently free from what has been a source of enormous loss and heavy expense in the past. The ignorant belief in the " spontaneous " origin of this purely infectious disease has been proved by experience to be as baseless as all veterinary authorities had declared it to be. The prediction of the opponents of stringent regulations against the entrance of diseased foreign cattle, moreover, to the effect that the price of meat would be greatly increased — to half-a-crown a pound Professor Rogers prophesied — by the check to imports of live animals, has been falsified, as meat has become cheaper and cheaper ever since the Cattle Diseases Bill of 1883 was passed. Recently the Government has ordered the disease to be " stamped out," and it is to be hoped that they will persevere in their efforts. Holland has got rid of the disease by the stamping-out process, after vainly trying inoculation and other half-measures for years. The cost of purging the country of these diseases will be heavy for a year or more, but a mere trifle compared with the constant loss certain to be incurred by their permanence, or even with the heavy expenses of our present ineffective sanitary arrangements, left to the caprice and vacillation of the various local authorities. In 1886 pleuro-pneumonia was reported to exist in forty-eight counties in Great Britain, and in various parts of Ireland also. There were 553 outbreaks in Great Britain alone, and 2,471 animals 9 4 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. were attacked, all of which, it is to be presumed, either died or were slaughtered. In 1887 there were 293 outbreaks in England, and 324 in Scotland, 2,427 cattle being attacked altogether. The discouragement to breeding caused by this wide extension of the disease, and the loss and inconvenience occasioned by the necessary restrictions upon traffic which it entailed, cannot be measured by the number of animals attacked and slaughtered. With respect to swine fever, there were 6,813 outbreaks in Great Britain in 1886, 35,029 pigs being attacked; while in 1887 no fewer than 41,973 of the animals were affected. This disease, like pleuro-pneumonia, can be got rid of only by slaughtering all affected animals, and all which have been in contact with them. British meat-producers will not be placed under the conditions most favourable for competing with foreigners, and for increasing the home supply of animal food, including dairy produce, until the necessary means have been adopted for ridding the country, once for all, of, both these fatal diseases. Poultry and game form an important addition to our meat supply ; but, unfortunately, there are no means of estimating the quantities produced at home, while those sent from foreign countries can be only guessed at from the values, which alone are given in the official statistics. In 1884 and 1885 the Agricultural Department collected returns as to the number of poultry in Great Britain, with the important exception of those kept in towns and by people occupying less than a quarter of an acre of land. Added to these figures for Ireland, which are supplied every year, the totals for 1885 came out as follows : — Turkeys, 1,288,174; geese, 3,029,137; ducks, 5,080,325; fowls, 20,542,564. No doubt some millions would require, to be added to the number of fowls to allow for those kept by people who have less than a quarter of an acre of land. But even with that addition, the number of poultry at any one date affords no approximately exact account of the number produced or killed in the year. Besides; the Agricultural Department ceased to publish the poultry statistics in 1886, on the avowed ground that they were not trustworthy. I shall not attempt to estimate the quantity of meat contributed annually by producers of poultry ; while as to native game, there are no statistics of any kind. Our foreign supplies of poultry and game, including OUR MEAT SUPPLY. £5 rabbits, appear to have been increasing for several years. In 1881 the value was ,£456,124, in 1886 it was £638,775, and in 1887 it rose to £721,049. In 1886, for the first time, the quantity as well as the value of rabbits imported was sepa- rately returned, the former being 104,226 cwt., and the latter £287,576. Nearly all the rabbits familiar to housekeepers in the not inviting skinned form of exposure in provision shops, and vulgarly known as " Ostend cats," come from Belgium. That country supplies us, too, with some poultry, the bulk of which, however, comes from France. Russia, Germany, Sweden, Norway, Denmark, and the United States are also contributors of poultry or game, or both. The people of France have great advantages over us in the production of poultry, not only in respect of climate, but also because of the large number of small holdings. Large poultry farms have almost invariably failed wherever they have been tried, and it is well known that poultry do best when kept in small bands, and when careful individual attention can be given to them. Our large farmers have too commonly entertained a lofty contempt for poultry as a source of profit, and have ne- glected them in consequence. No doubt, if small holdings and allotments increase in the country, the supply of poultry will become much greater than it is. In Ireland poultry are much more numerous in proportion to area than in Great Britain, though there is room for a great increase in the former country. The climate of the south of Ireland is well suited to the pro- duction of early spring chickens, and the Irish peasant women are exceptionally good rearers of poultry. It is a pity that the small farmers of Ireland do not enter more systematically into the business of supplying England with poultry and eggs. They do a good deal in this way, but might do much more. Our imports of eggs have risen from 756 millions, valued at £2,322,607, in 1881, to 1,088 millions, worth £3,080,561 in 1887. France is by far the greatest contributor, Germany coming next, and Belgium third. Admitting the advantages of the south of France and Italy for the production of eggs as well as poultry, I fail to see why Germany and Belgium should be able to beat England in this branch of business, while the south of Ireland, with its mild climate and comparative im- munity from frost, has a great advantage over the countries referred to. 96 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. Unfortunately the differences between prices paid by con- sumers and realised by producers of poultry and eggs are even greater than those previously referred to in connection with butchers' meat. For chickens sold at 3 s. to 4s. in the poulterers' shops, farmers in remote country districts receive only is. 6d. to 2s. ; and often when new-laid eggs are selling in the country at eighteen to twenty a shilling, they are i^d. or 2d. each in London ; even what are humorously termed " fresh country eggs " being retailed at ten or twelve a shilling. A more economical system of distribution is needed for nothing more than for the products of the land, the main necessaries of life, and for the animal food supply most of all. The land of this country will not bear all the burdens laid upon it in more prosperous times. Too many classes are endeavour- ing to live out of it, each taking toll from its produce : unneces- sary distributors, or even mere speculating interlopers, often getting most of all. The meat producer, who keeps and attends to a bullock for two or three years, or to a sheep for twelve or eighteen, months, commonly obtains less profit than the dealer who speculates in it, or the butcher who cuts it up and sends it round to his customers in the course of a day or two. This is not as it should be, and all but interested persons must wish success to the efforts now being made to bring producers and consumers more closely together. 97 CHAPTER V. DAIRY PRODUCE. About twelve years ago a great revival of interest in the dairy farming of this country commenced. The British. Dairy Farmers' Association was founded in 1876, commenced to hold its annual show in London, and soon afterwards started its " Journal " for the publication of articles on practical and scientific dairying. Old local associations of a like character, almost forgotten, and a few new ones, came into prominence. The agricultural papers, which, with one exception, had long neglected the dairy interest of the country, all at once recog- nised- its vast importance, and began to devote a fair portion of their space to it weekly. Cattle breeders, who had been devoting their attention almost exclusively to the production of beef, awoke to the fact that tlje milking qualifications of cows .were worth some consideration. Cheese and butter factories, after the American example, were established, and before long two dairy schools were opened in Ireland, where Canon Bagot, Professor Carroll, and others have for several years made great efforts to improve the dairy practice. Model dairies, elegant fittings, milk conveyances resplendent with all the colours of the rainbow, new churns and butter-workers, various utensils and appliances for the manufacture of butter and cheese on the most approved principles, and scientific apparatus for testing and analysing milk, were exhibited in greater variety year after year. Inventors turned their attention to the mechanics of dairying ; and the centrifugal cream separator, one of the most important inventions of modern times as far as agriculture is concerned, was introduced, besides other novelties of more or less import- ance. Before long the great agricultural societies, by which dairying had been scandalously neglected, began, though in a very economical manner, to offer prizes at their shows for milch cows and dairy produce, and to exhibit a working dairy in the c, 98 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. showyard. Even in the customs of the people, the enhanced interest in dairying became obvious, not only through the in- creased consumption of milk by children, but also in the intro- duction of " soda and milk " as a fashionable beverage. In short, in American phraseology, there was a " boom " in dairying which has lasted to the present day, and shows no sign of abatement. The revival came none too soon. The rage for pedigree cattle, and especially for such as by their fine proportions and aptness to fatten were able to carry off prizes at agricultural shows, had deteriorated the milking qualifications of our cows, excepting those, such as the Ayrshires and Jerseys, which are bred exclusively for dairy purposes. Dairying, too, had gone out of fashion in some of the principal arable districts, such as the Eastern Counties. When grain was high in price, as in the days of Protection, and during and after the Russian war, pasture was converted into tillage, and dairying was given up on thousands of farms except for household purposes, and often entirely. The wives and daughters of extensive farmers became too proud or indolent to take part in the work of the dairy, and even the servants shrank from.it, so that it became difficult to get maids who would milk cows, or even to get dairymaids who understood their business at all. So serious had the neglect of dairying become, that in many rural districts, it was difficult for those who did not keep a cow to get fresh milk, and it was not at all uncommon to see condensed milk from Switzerland on farmhouse tables. The children of the poor suffered seriously from this milk famine, which still exists in some parts of the country, though to a smaller extent than before the revival of dairying set in. Even in the dairy dis- tricts, according to high authorities, the arts of cheese and butter-making had retrograded, instead of advancing. Cheese especially, it was declared, was generally inferior to that pro- ■ duced in the early part of the present century. The number of cbw-S used for dairying purposes had not kept pace with the increase in population, if there had not been actually a decrease. The Agricultural Returns were first published in a complete form in 1867, when there were 3,572,994 cows in the United Kingdom. Mr. Morton, in his " Handbook of Agriculture," published in i860, estimated the number at about 3,500,000. In 1876 the number had risen only to 3,775,203. Now, the DAIRY PRODUCE. 99 population had risen from not quite 29,000,000 in i860, to 33,093,439 in 1876, and if Mr. Morton's estimate was approxi- mately correct, there was thus a considerable decrease in the ratio of cows to people. In 1867 the ratio was one cow to 8-5 people, and in 1876 it had fallen to one to 877. That was a small difference ; but there is reason to believe that it does not accurately show the falling off in the number of cows used for dairy purposes. More of the heifers were probably killed for beef in the later than in the earlier year, and more, too, were used for rearing calves. But the failure of our home stock of cows to keep pace with the increasing demands of the popula- tion for dairy produce is most strikingly shown by the statistics of imports. In 1850 we imported only 330,579 cwts. of butter, and 347,803 of cheese; by i860 the quantities had risen to 840,112, and 583,283 cwts.; and by 1876 to 1,659,402, and 1,531,404 cwts. Thus in the twenty-six years ending with- 1876 the imports of butter had increased five-fold, and those of cheese more than four-fold. In addition, there were in the last year of the period imports of 886,573 cwts. of margarine. In 1887 the butter imported fell to 1,514,905 cwts. and the margarine rose to 1,273,095 cwts. ; but in the first five months of 1888 there was an increase of butter, and a slight falling off of the imitation article. Imports of cheese in 1887 amounted to 1,834,467 cwts. Although a revival of dairying set in shortly before 1876, when the British Dairy Farmers' Association was started, its effect has not sufficed to increase the number of cows so as to keep pace with the increase of population, for in 1886 there were only 3,974,476 cows to 36,707,418 people, or one to 9 - '24. On working out the ratio of cows to people in several Euro- pean countries, I find that in Italy alone among those for which the statistics are available is there a smaller relative supply of cows than in the United Kingdom. Unfortunately, the numbers of people and cows respectively are not in all cases available for the same year ; but where that is the case I have taken the population of the nearest year for which I can ascertain it. Thus, although the ratio in some cases may not be exactly correct, it can scarcely be wrong by more than a small fraction, as the number of cows does not vary vesy ffi>j41ft r The following table gives the number of cowl-«Pdltfrr' c 2 IOO THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. country for the year of the latest return available when it was compiled, and the number of people to each cow : — Country. Austria Hungary Belgium . . . Denmark France . . . Germany Holland... Italy Norway . . . Sweden ... Switzerland United States United Kingdom Year of Return. 1880 1880 1881 1882 1883 1884 1881 I87S 1884 1884 1887 1886 Cows. 6,173,842 796,178 898,790 7,261,726 9,087,293 890,168 i,864,-827 74I.S98 1,492,977 552,427 14,522,083 3,974,476 People to each Cow. 6'3 7'3 2 '2 5-2 S-o 4-8 157 2-6 3'i 5'3 4'3 92 As there was a decrease of 28,217 cows in 1887, and an increase of population, the number of people to each cow was fractionally increased. All in-calf heifers, moreover, were in- cluded in this latest enumeration for the United Kingdom, and it is doubtful whether they were all reckoned in when the earlier statistics were collected. At the same time, it may be regarded as certain that a good many more cows were kept for dairy pur- poses in 1886 than in 1876. Yet by the later year the gross imports of butter and margarine had risen to 2,431,540 cwts., and those of cheese to 1,734,890 cwts. There is no doubt that the consumption of butter per head has increased, whatever may be the case in respect of cheese, because even if we made only the same quantity of butter at home in 1886 as in 1876, the increase in imports shows a greater consumption per head in the later year. The important fact, however, is that foreigners have been enabled not only to retain the hold which they obtained in our markets many years ago, but also to supply an increased proportion of the demand. There are no means of ascertaining with any pretence of accuracy the quantities of cheese and butter produced in the United Kingdom. Professor Sheldon, in his " Dairy Farming," roughly estimates the quanti- ties for the year 1878 at 1,785,700 cwts. of butter, and 2,520,000 of cheese. Professor Carroll, of Glasneviii Model Farm and DAIRY PkODtJCE. Dairy School, in a paper read at the Dairy Conference in Dublin last spring, gave the home production of butter as 1,800,000 cwts., and the total consumption at the rate of 1 3 lb. per inhabitant. Mr. Mulhall, in his " History of Prices," pub- lished in 1885, puts the annual consumption per head at 261b. ; but that, although given with confidence as an ascer- tained fact, is obviously a very wild guess, for, after allowing for imports, it implies a home production of over' 660,000,000 lb., which- would require all the milk given by the cows of the United Kingdom, leaving none for use as milk or for cheese. If we adopt Professor Sheldon's estimates as applicable to the home production of 1876 (when the quantities of butter and cheese were about the same as in 1878), and follow his method of calculation for the increased number of cows in 1886, we get at the following comparison of the home and foreign supplies: — Estimated Home Produce. Net Imports. Total. Per Inhabitant. Total. Per Inhabitant. Butter, &c. : — 1850 1876 1886 Cheese : — 1850 1876 1886 Cwts. 1,785,700 1,918,660 2,520,000 2,710,000 Lb. 6-05 5-8 5 8 : 53 827 Cwts. 330,579 1,636,379 2,348,850 347,803 1,486,266 1,728,253 Lb. 1-38 5'5| 7-16 1-42 5-01 5"«4 Here the enormous increase in imports during the thirty-six years is to be seen at a glance, and with it the increase in the foreign supply per head of the population. If the estimated home supply may be taken as approximately correct, the con- sumption of butter and margarine per inhabitant rose from njlb. in 1876 to 131b. in 1886, while that of cheese fell from 13^ lb. to a small fraction less. The imports of cheese, it may be mentioned, were smaller in 1886 than in any one of the three previous years. The imports of butter, apart from margarine, fell off slightly as compared with the quantity re- ceived in the previous year ; but a large increase in margarine 102 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. more than made up for the difference. A similar calculation for 1887 would have shown such slightly different results from those given above for 1886, that it is not necessary to make it The values of the gross imports of butter and margarine were £9,718,226 in 1876, £11,103,702 in 1886, and £11,886,717 in 1887, showing a considerable rise in spite of a fall in the price of butter. . On the other hand, there was a fall in the value of cheese imported, from .£4,237,763 in 1876 to £3,871,359 in 1886, but a rise to £4,508,937 in the following year. The value of the exports of British and Irish butter was £211,439 in 1876, and £165,176 in 1886 ; the corresponding figures for cheese exports being £70,230 and £51,056. In 1887 the amounts were £155,901 for butter, and £56,700 for cheese. The quantities of dairy produce exported were always insigriifir cant, and they are now onlyabout half what they were fifteen years ago. One great obstacle to an increase in the home production of butter in recent years has been the unfair competition with margarine sold as butter, which has come to us in ever-in- creasing quantities. The first year for which this spurious article is separately enumerated in the Board of Trade Returns is 1884, when 733,342 cwts. were "declared," 658,026 cwts. of it having come from Holland, 33,348 cwts. from Belgium, and 28, 1 18 cwts. from Norway. In 1886 we imported 887,974 cwts., or more than half as much as the imports of butter, and in 1887 the quantity was 1,273,095 cwts. The increase was all the greater, because for some time this country was almost the only one in which margarine could be freely sold as butter, Acts to regulate its sale having been passed in most European countries and in America. Consequently, this country was rapidly becoming the common receptacle for the greasy refuse of the world. Fortunately, last year the Margarine Bill was passed, and all imitation butter has now to be sold under the name of Margarine, and with that name legibly marked on all packages or wrappers containing it When margarine is properly made from the fat of healthy animals, it is, no doubt, wholesome food ; but as it is never heated to the boiling point, the vitality of any germs of disease which it contains cannot be destroyed. Now the fat of diseased animals is very likely' to be used while it is sweet in the manufacture of the oleomargarine oil of which DAIRY PRODUCE. 103 margarine is mainly composed, and it has often been declared that the fat of pigs which die of hog cholera (swine fever) in America is so used, though whether truly or falsely I cannot say. At any rate, as the "germs of disease are peculiarly likely to lurk in the internal fat of animals, or in other internal organs, from which they may be scattered upon the fat in the process of slaughtering, there is good reason for carefully inspecting mar- garine factories. In most civilised countries such inspection is now the rule,, and it was provided for in the Margarine Bill as it left the Commons. Unfortunately, the Lords struck out the inspection clause, and there is therefore no control over the manufacture of margarine in this country. However, the ob- ject of the promoters of the Bill was not to prohibit the sale of margarine, but to prevent its sale as butter, or under a. name so similar to that of butter as to deceive ignorant purchasers. That object has, happily, been attained, and margarine will in future be sold on its own merits, and at its market value, and not as butter, and at the price of butter, as most of it has hitherto been sold. The manager of the Manchester Wholesale Co-operative Society, which has eight hundred branches, and deals with 4,000 cwts. of butter a week, prepared a table for the Committee on the Butter Substitutes Bill, showing the wholesale and retail prices of margarine during 1884, 1885, 1886, and six months of 1887. The wholesale price varied from 60s. to 94s. per cwt, or less than 6d. to iod. a pound, and the retail price from rod. to is.'2d. ; thus showing an average profit of 4d. per lb., which is 66 per cent, on the lower range of prices. When it has been disposed of as Danish, or other high-class butter, the profits have been enormous, and we may readily credit the statement that large fortunes have been speedily made by deal- ing extensively in margarine. Until 1883, when the competi- tion of margarine became formidable, butter had been selling remarkably well for more than thirty years. In that year prices, especially for low qualities, with which margarine specially competed, fell greatly, and since then values have been ex- tremely low during the spring and a portion of the summer. Now that the Margarine Bill has become an Act; the butter- makers of the United Kingdom have a fair field before them, and it will be their own fault if they are beaten in their own markets by any foreign competitors. We have pastures and cows at least as good as those of any country in the world, and 104 THE DRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMI'liTITORS. Ave have cheaper feeding-stuffs than any Protectionist country. Rents with us, too, are lower than with our chief competitors,, whether they pay as rent or as interest on land bought at a high price. What the rank and file of our dairy farmers have lacked hitherto has been that "infinite capacity of taking trouble," which is certainly the genius of business. In this is included the trouble of learning the art of scientific butter- making by those who are ignorant of it. The rules are simple enough, and the chief trouble is in their careful and intelligent observance. For some years past they have been taught " upon the house-tops," and it is the fault, and not the misfortune, of dairy farmers who can read if they are ignorant of those rules. Unfortunately, the ignorance of too many dairy farmers is of the worst possible form, the lack of knowing their ignorance. Probably not one in ten takes an agricultural paper or reads any of the numerous publications on dairying recently issued, unless it be copied into a local paper. Too many have a con- tempt for " book-knowledge," and conceitedly think that they or their wives know a good deal more about dairying than any " Professor " can teach them. So they keep on setting milk and making butter in dairies close to muck-hills or pigs'-courts, or containing meat and other things which contaminate milk ; churning irregularly and at haphazard temperature; and working the butter with the hands and thus contaminating it, while leaving a great deal of buttermilk in it at the same time. The best butter cannot be made everywhere, as flavour depends to some extent upon pasturage; but no one needs to make bad butter. Some very fine butter is made under the " rule of thumb," no doubt ; but as a rule the old-fashioned butter- makers are never certain of producing a good com- modity. Their butter may be delicious at one churning, and abominable at the next. It may be nice when the weather is cool, and " strong " when the summer heat is high. In short, dairy managers who do not follow good rules rigidly, whether learned by experience or from books, are at the mercy of all kinds of chances. Now, it is precisely the uncertain quality of British and Irish butter which has opened the way for the foreigner. The best butter in the world is made in the United Kingdom ; there is no foreign butter in any considerable quantity to compare with it. The mischief is that there is not enough of it, and t)AlRY PRODUCE. IO5 that comparatively few dairies send it out regularly. A butter- man needs above all things to be able to guarantee what he sells, and he must have uniformity of quality in order to satisfy his customers, who of course complain, and perhaps leave him, if he sends them "strong'' or rancid stuff for the " best fresh." Some of the most extensive butter dealers of London, and managers of large hotels in various parts of the country, have stated that they are obliged to rely chiefly upon the foreign supply, and especially upon Normandy butter, for uniformity of good quality. In many hotels, indeed, no butter but Normandy is used. Its flavour is seldom, if ever, equal to that of the best English or Irish fresh butter, and its merit consists in its inoffensiveness rather than in any positive deli- ciousness, though it is pleasant to those who have learned to like a comparatively tasteless butter, more like cream irLflavour than really good English butter. That there has been some improvement in English and Irish butter since the revival of dairying commenced is generally admitted. The great efforts made to spread the knowledge of scientific butter-making have borne fruit without doubt. In Ireland especially, where the worst as well as the best butter is made, a decided levelling-up of quality has been remarked upon by the Committee of Cork Butter Market. The Irish claim that the nutty flavour, so highly prized by epicures, is peculiar to the best of their butter, and it is true that no butter superior to the very best Irish is made anywhere. But there is still an immense margin for improvement in Ireland and Eng- land alike. How can it be otherwise, in Ireland especially, when milk is set in rooms where the people, and often their cattle and pigs also, live and sleep ? I have seen milk set for cream in the living-room of an Irish cabin, full of peat smoke (which makes butter bitter), and redolent of the cows, pigs, and poultry kept in the place ; and I have seen it set in the bedroom where a whole family slept. In some cases, indeed, the milk is set under the beds. It is impossible that even tolerable butter can be made under such conditions ; and as the small farmers of Ireland are so hospitable that- they will enter- tain their domestic animals in their dwellings, and will raise cream there too, even when they have separate buildings better suited for both purposes, the establishment of butter factories in that country is the most hopeful means of speedy improvement Io6 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. in butter-making. One thing, however, is essential in the establishment of factories, if they are to benefit farmers in the long run ; that is, that they should be managed on co-operative principles, so that the farmers who supply the milk, cream, or butter will take all the profits. The introduction of proprietary factories would only increase the middleman element, already far too general in relation to farming. It is satisfactory to learn that the factories which Canon Bagot has been mainly instru- mental in starting in Ireland are managed on co-operative principles. Factories, as explained by Canon Bagot in a paper read at the recent Dairy Conference in Ireland, are of three kinds, distinguished by him as milk factories, creameries, and butter factories. In the milk factories, which are becoming common in the south of Ireland, the whole milk is purchased from the farmers, the price paid lately being 4d. to 4^d. a gallon, and the separated milk, after the cream has been extracted by the mechanical cream separator, is taken back by the farmers at id. to 2d. a gallon for the feeding of pigs. The price is low, but is said to satisfy the farmers, who, besides, share in the profits of the factories, of which they are required to be share- holders. Canon Bagot is qf opinion that the best butter is turned out under this system, as the mechanical separator allows of dealing with large quantities of milk and producing cream under the best conditions. The chief drawback is the necessity of having the milk delivered at the factory twice daily, so that only farmers near a factory can with advantage send their milk to it. There is also the necessity of keeping an analyst, as each lot of milk has to be subjected to a complete analysis, in order to settle its value. Under the creameries system, the farmers send the cream only, each man's cream being churned sepa- rately; and the butter being paid for according to quality. Strict rules have to be observed by the farmers as to the manage- ment of the milk and the cream. This system is a good one where the farmers have proper places in which to set their milk, and can be induced to use them. There is a great saving of labour as compared with that required in supplying milk, as the cream is comparatively small in bulk, and requires to be sent only every second day, while six or eight farmers can take it in turns to provide a horse and cart to take the cream of all to the factory. The farmers, it is said, have realised 2d. a pound more . DAIRY PRODUCE. I07 for their butter by means of the creameries than they could obtain by churning at home. For the third class— the butter factories — there is not much to be said, from the farmer's point of view, except that they help to send out butter of regular grades of quality, and improve the consistency of it by skilful manipula- tion. They receive butter from the farmers, work it up, and find a market for it. There are several proprietary factories ot this kind in Ireland, the owners of which buy lots of butter at the lowest prices possible, work them up together, and make good profits on the sale. It is under this system that the butter of Normandy has acquired its reputation for uniformity of quality according to brand ; but the commodity to work upon is much better, as a rule, in Normandy than in Ireland, •because the dairy farmers in the former country are very skilful and careful butter-makers. Canon Bagot considers the creamery system best adapted to districts in which farms are scattered, as is the case with the mountain dairy farms of Ireland. As an instance of the advantage derived by farmers from creameries, he states that on the occasion of a visit which he made to the Galbally Creamery, in Tipperary, the ayerage price paid to the farmers for the day's butter was is. per pound, whereas on the same day the average price paid in Cork Butter Market was 7d., from which a halfpenny had to be deducted for firkins and commission. Up to the middle of June, 1887, ten creameries had been affiliated to the Creameries Association of Ireland, and there were other factories started by private enterprise. In England and other Continental countries than Normandy the milk- factory system is the one generally adopted. At present, however, there are but few butter factories of any kind in England or Scotland except those of the large dairymen in towns, who receive milk by rail from farmers, and use some of it for the making of butter. The only English butter factory I have visited is that which Lord Hampden has established on his estate at Glynde, near Lewes. My visit was made at the instance of the Chairman of the Cobden Club, and an account of it, from which the following details afe taken, appeared in the Agricultural Gazette of July 2nd, 1888 : — On the occasion of my visit, arranged beforehand with Viscount Hampden, his lordship was, unfortunately, called I08 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. away unexpectedly, and I was disappointed at not having the pleasure of meeting a nobleman whose efforts to improve the position of his tenants and labourers are well known. The manager of the factory, Mr. F. Mayger, however, very courteously showed me all that there was to be seen, and gave me all possible information, answering all questions without reserve. One thing I was not able to obtain — a balance-sheet of the business, that being only now in course of preparation. It is scarcely to be expected that a profit will be made on' the first year's working, but it is important to know whether there is a prospect of profit. Judging from the prices obtained for the produce of the factory, I am disposed to expect it to pay well. At any rate, it is to be hoped that it will pay, because it is of great advantage to the tenants on the estate and other farmers in the district. This will be obvious to all readers when I state that the price paid for milk was gd. per imperial gallon during the winter months — fully half the year, I believe — while recently 7d. per gallon has been paid for Shorthorn and 8d. for Jersey milk. Lord Hampden himself keeps a herd of each breed. Some extra milk, which Lord Hampden has been urged to take at any price, is not so liberally paid for, because until the factory has been enlarged it is an inconve- nience to have more than the regular quantity — about 800 gallons a day. But jd. and 8d. are good prices to be paid at Glynde, at a time when a good deal of milk is being sold in London at 6d. or less. When the alterations are finished, the factory will be capable of dealing with 2,000 gallons per day. About 2,000 lb. of butter per week have been made lately, and sold at good prices. For six months up to the end of March the price obtained was is. 6d. per lb., and it was is. 4d. up to the end'of May, while since it has been is. 2d., at which price buyers are willing to take any quantity that can be turned out. Mr. Mayger, the manager, was trained in Lord Vernon's factory, while the head dairymaid, Miss Rusk, was for some time with Professor Carroll, at Glasnevin. The butter made on the occasion of my visit was excellent, and I understand that it is regularly good. There are two Danish separators in the factory, each of which will deal with 160 gallons of milk per hour in warm weather, and about one-third less in cold weather. A much larger separator of the same kind is ordered. The churn, DAIRY PRODUCE. 109 worked by steam like the rest of the machinery,. is a Bradford's diaphragm, which will churn thirty gallons of cream at a time ; but a larger churn is ordered. In cool weather a Delaiteuse is used. One of Bradford's butter-makers was in use on the occasion of my visit, and the butter, taken out of the churn in granules, of course, was salted with dry salt on the worker. The temperature at which the cream was churned was 6o° Fahr. During the winter months 1 lb. of butter was produced from 2\ to 2J gallons of milk, but it is to be borne in mind that a good many of the cows on Lord Hampden's estate, and some on his tenants' farms, are Jerseys. One of Mr. Jasper Stephen- son's sample churns is used for testing the milk. Hot and cold water and steam are available all over the factory, and outside there is a capital arrangement for using water and steam in cleaning the cans in which milk is brought to the factory. There is no difficulty in getting rid of the separated milk, about 3d. per gallon net at the factory being obtained for it. Most of it is sent to Lewes, Hastings, Eastbourne, Brighton, and Tunbridge Wells, and only a little to London. That sent to London pays least. The people of the Glynde district have all they like at a penny a quart, while for new milk they are charged 4d. Lord Hampden is anxious to have the separated milk sold at a reasonable price in the towns, and for that reason he makes an arrangement which is not of a rigidly commercial character. Dealers who retail at 2d. a quart get their milk delivered at a price (about 4d. a gallon usually) which leaves 3d. net; but if they sell at i|d. a quart they pay less — about a halfpenny less. In winter the price at the factory is 3§d. a gallon. The average net price for the year is fully 3d. ; which is satisfactory. The separated milk is scalded, at a temperature of i6q degrees, one of Lawrence's scalders being used. It is then cooled down to 60 degrees before being sent away. The jug cream trade is being started at the factory. Neat little half-pint and quarter-pint jugs, corked down and covered with silver paper, are sent out. The thick cream is intended to be retailed at 6d., and thin at 5d. a quarter-pint. Jugs, corks, silver paper, carriage, and agent's commission take about half, leaving 3d. a quarter-pint for the . thick cream. This, of course, pays better than butter-making, if a regular demand can be met with for a large quantity ; but there is a good deal of work and trouble in this branch of the business. 110 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. Every one must wish success to an undertaking carried on under circumstances so beneficial to all concerned in it, and judging from the management and the work, there is every reason to trust that success will be realised. A dairy factory in the hands of an ordinary middleman, whose only object is to buy in the cheapest market and sell in the dearest, is, in my opinion, a source of injury to dairy farmers; but Lord Hampden's undertaking is of a very different character, for he desires only bank interest on his capital, and he may be trusted to pay his tenants as much for their milk as he can afford to give without being a loser. The introduction of the centrifugal cream separator marks an era in dairying. A machine of this kind, of primitive con- struction — Lefeldt's separator — was first exhibited at the Inter- national Dairy Show, held at Hamburg in 1877. It was speedily improved upon; and in 1879, at the Kilburn Show of the Royal Agricultural Society, the Laval or Swedish sepa- rator was introduced. The late Dr. Augustus Voelcker, who tested this machine for the Society, reported that, by its use, 93 per cent, of the butter fat of the milk had been obtained in the cream, as compared with 78^ per cent., the average result of the common system of skimming; or, in other words, that only 7 per cent, of butter fat had been left in the separated milk, against 2i| per cent, in the skimmed milk. A test carried out later at the London Dairy Show gave results still more strikingly in favour of the separator! only about one- fourth as much fat being found in the separated as in the skimmed milk. There is a great saving here ; and as the cost of using a separator after it has once been paid for is not greater than that of the work involved in the skimming system, and the separated milk, being quite fresh, is worth more than skim milk, the result of this wonderful invention is equi- valent to the creation of a vast quantity of butter. Petersen's separator, commonly known as the Danish, has produced as good results as the Laval machine, and both are now exten- sively in use in this and other countries, the Laval being most common in England. Recently a new separator, named the Victoria, manufactured in Scotland, has been tried with much success. All work on the same principle, which is one of centrifugal force acting upon the different gravities of the component parts of milk. The milk is conveyed in a con- tinuous stream into a cylinder which is made to revolve very DAIRY PRODUCE. Ill rapidly — over 6,000 times per minute in the case of the Laval machine. The gravity of the skim milk being greater than that of the cream, the former is thrown to the circumference, while the latter collects in the centre, each being caused to flow out as it rises to a certain level through a separate tube. Professor Long has given the results of six hundred experi- ments made with the Danish separator, and the most approved systems of skimming by Professors Fjord and Storch, of Copenhagen. When the separator was used, the quantity of milk required to make a pound of butter was 24^4 lb. ; when the whole milk was churned, 267 lb. ; with cream raised upon the ice system in twenty-four hours, 27^5 lb. ; under the same system in ten hours, 29-5 lb. ; under the cold-water system in thirty-four hours, 32^4 lb. It is to be observed that, except with respect to the churning of the whole milk — a plan not to be commended if quality rather than bulk of butter be desired — the trial was, with cream-raising systems, supposed to be in each case a great improvement upon the common shallow-pan system. At a trial made in the Munster Dairy School, the averages of forty-three experiments with a given quantity of milk were 100 lb. of butter from the Danish separator, as com- pared with 59 lb. from milk set in open pans for twenty-four hours, 66 lb. when it was s,et for thirty-six hours, 73 lb. when the skimming extended over forty-two hours, and 76 lb. after fifty-four hours. Colonel Curtis Hayward, of Quedgeley, Gloucester, who uses a Laval separator, is of opinion that its use gives him 20 to 25 per cent, more cream than any system of skimming, and finds that from his forty-two cows, milked for forty weeks in each year, he gets, on the average, 1 lb. of butter per cow per week more than he obtained before he used a separator. If, with Professor Sheldon, we assume that one-third of the cows in the country are used for the produc- tion of butter, or one-third of the milk of all the cows, which amounts to the same, the gain by the , universal use of the separator, on Colonel . Hayward's showing, would be about 53,000,000 lb. of butter per annum, or nearly i£ lb. per head of the population. Until recently all the separators have been worked by' steam or horse-power. Now, however, the Laval machine is made to be worked by a man, and one of these little machines was honoured by a medal at the Dorchester Show of the Bath and West of England Agricultural Society, and by a prize at the Newcastle meeting of the Royal Agri- 112 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. cultural Society, after a careful trial in each instance. It is estimated that any farmer who keeps as many as ten cows may profitably use one of these machines. But a further step has been made by the ingenious inventor since the summer shows were held. A little separator, named the " Baby," to separate twelve gallons of milk in an hour, and easily worked by a boy or girl, was introduced at the exhibition of the Finland Agri- cultural Association, held at Vibourg in 1887, and afterwards at the London Dairy Show. Thus the centrifugal separator has been brought within the reach of the smallest 'dairy farmer, and it is probable that before very long the skimmer will be as little used as the flail. The principal competitors .of British and Irish butter- makers are the French, Danes, Dutch, and Germans; but Sweden is now making great advances, and we receive con- siderable quantities also from Norway, Belgium, and Canada. The following table shows to what extent the imports from these sources increased or decreased in the ten years ending with 1886, the latest year for which complete details are avail- able at the time of writing. Margarine is included, because not distinguishable in the statistics for some countries : — Imports of Butter and Margarine.* 1876. 1886. Increase. Decrease. From — Cwts. Cwts. Cwts. Cwts. France 622,488 402,625 219,863 Holland 402,984 1,194,35° 791,366 'Denmark 205,195 400,556 195,361 Germany 1 1 1,962 122,195 10,233 Belgium 65.309 46,342 18^967' Sweden 29,412 148,651 119,239 Norway 584 28,061 27,477 Channel Islands 3,708 5 2 9 3. > 79 United States 118,131 42,390 75,741 Canada 98,579 3<>522 67,057 Other Countries 1,050 i4,3>9t 13,269 Total 1,659,402 2,431,540 772,138 * See Appendix. t Including 2,814 cwts. of butter and 7,490 of margarine from Russia, and 2,125 cwt-\ of butter from the British East Indies. DAIRY PRODUCE. 113 Holland would stand first as a source of our supply if bulk alone were considered, in consequence of the enormous quanr tity of margarine we have been receiving from that country, amounting in 1886 to 835,328 cwts. ; but the quantity of butter received from that source last year was only 359,022 cwts., or about the same as before the margarine trade was commenced. To show that Holland has lately been devoting attention to "ox butter" rather than to the genuine article, it is only necessary to state that her cows fell off in number from 914,800 in 1876 to 890,200 in 1884, the latest year for which the figures are available. The quantities of margarine included in the figures for Norway and Belgium for 1886 are over 20,000 cwts. each. In the supply of butter, France was first up to the end of 1886 ; but I notice that Denmark sent the largest quan- tity last year, as may be seen from a table given in the Appendix. To return to the imports up to the end of 1886, I find that while those of France have diminished during the last ten years by more than one-third, our re- ceipts from Denmark have nearly doubled. It is worth while to mention in this connection a fact which will proD- ably surprise most people, namely, that France imports more fresh butter than she exports, the quantities for 1886 being 125,508 cwts. imported, against 107,770 cwts. exported. The exports of salt butter, on the other hand, are nearly five times as much as those of fresh, while the imports are quite insignificant. Our imports from Germany had advanced to 146,000 cwts. in 1884, but fell off slightly in 1885, and heavily in 1886. For 1887 apparently they were greater than ever before, the receipts during eight months having been 124, 835 cwts. Norway owes her considerable advance in the table chiefly to margarine, of which she sent us 20,875 cwts. in 1886. The great falling off in the receipts from the United States and Canada has been gradual during the last three years. In the case of the latter country, it is desirable to state, the quantity in 1876 was exceptionally large. On the other hand, from the United States we received as much as 219,794 cwts. in 1878. Although the number of milch cows in the United States in- creased from 11,085,400 in 1876 to 14,235,368 in 1886 (the number for 1887 was 14,522,083), the addition to the dairy produce appears not to have kept pace with the increasing demands of the population. Statistics for the whole of the H 114 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. Dominion of Canada are not available, but bur diminished imports of butter from that colony seem to indicate that pro- duction relatively to population has decreased. Besides, the general quality of Canadian butter is not good enough to command a ready market, and it is the competition of foreign fresh butter which English dairy farmers have most to fear. But why should they fear it ? If countries in which there is abund- ance of cheap land and cheap food, such as America and Canada, are falling behind in the commerce of the dairy, British and Irish dairy farmers may reasonably be asked to make up their minds to defy the competition of the whole world. It has already been explained that the ready sale of Nor- mandy butter in this country is due, not to its excellence, but to its uniformity of inoffensiveness. Upon this point Canon Bagot says : — "The great success of the Normandy butter is its never-changing character and uniformity, the large factories there always turning out the same article ; and though, in my opinion, one far inferior in quality to that produced at our large factories, where the separator is used, , yet has succeeded in getting a grip as it were on the London market by ife ever-constant uniformity, which is all the more remarkable from its being made up of purchased lumps of butter mixed together by a powerful butter worker." The Canon, who has established a business for the sale of dairy produce in Dublin, goes on to say that some time ago, being short of fresh butter, he purchased some of the best Nor- mandy he could get, but found it not good enough to send out in place of the best Irish fresh. " Yet," he adds, " it is more than probable that the Londoner would have given is. od. for it before he would give is. 6d. for ours, which goes far to prove that public taste can be educated to take an inferior article (in preference) to a superior." The truth is that consumers had become so used to a bad flavour in English and Irish butter that they welcomed a comparatively flavourless commodity as an agreeable change. I do not mean to say that butter of first-rate quality is not made in France, for a great deal of delicious butter is made there. Nearly all the best, however, is retained for home consumption. As to Denmark, Canon Bagot believes that the great success of the butter-makers of that country arises solely from the edu- cation given in the schools and colleges. But dairy education DAIRY PRODUCE. IIS does not end in the dairy schools, for nearly every large dairy farm in the country is a practical school of dairying, to which young men and women, after passing through the regular schools, are sent to complete their training. There are now numerous butter factories or creameries in Denmark which are turning out great quantities of excellent butter. If our farmers can beat the Danes in British markets they can beat the world, and if they will study as thoroughly and take as much trouble as the Danes, they will gradually recover the ground which they have lost There is one point in connection with competition in butter not yet mentioned to which brief reference must be made, namely, the manner in which it is prepared and packed for market. In this respect British and Irish dairy farmers have much to learn, as it is necessary that their butter should not only be at least as good as the best foreign produce, but also that it should be as attractively placed before the public. The admirable manner in which butter from both Normandy and Brittany is sent to our markets is well known to purchasers, and the example thus set is being followed in Holland and other countries much more rapidly than it is here. Mr. Jubal Webb, in a paper on " Preparing Butter for Market," published in a recent number of the Journal of the British Dairy Farmers' Association, has a great deal to say upon this topic, upon which his extensive experience renders him a high authority. Mr. Webb says that, for fresh butter, little wooden boxes, holding twelve lumps of 2 lb. each, in which Normandy butter is sent, are the best packages. In the packing of salt butter, too, there is much room for improvement. Although the butter-makers of Great Britain and Ireland may be congratulated upon a gradual improvement in their practice, the cheese"-makers cannot be similarly complimented. Professor Sheldon, and other authorities, support the common impression that English cheese, as a whole, is not as good as it was a generation ago. Alarmed by American competition, which at one time threatened to ruin them, many of our cheese- makers have made the mistake of following the least desirable practice of American makers, not only in manipulation to pro- duce early ripening, but also in robbing the cheese of a portion of the cream that would be contained in whole-milk cheese. The cheese factories, the first of which was established in 1870, h 2 Il6 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. in imitation of the American system, have been foremost in the production of cheese similar to second-class American, so that, instead of improving the dairy practice of the country, as it was hoped they would, they have rather helped to degrade it At the best, the factories have not produced cheese equal to that of the finest made in private dairies, arid it is supposed that, owing to the mixture of milk supplied to them, they cannot hope to attain the highest perfection. As a rule, however, they have not aimed at it, and dairy farmers, too, generally have not been more ambitious. They ought to know their own business better than any outsiders, and yet it is ' generally agreed by the best authorities among them that they have been pursuing a mistaken policy. Our best Cheddar, Cheshire, Stilton, and Leicester cheeses are almost untouched by foreign competition; whereas in cheese of the second and third qualities there is usually a glut in our markets, from the American, Canadian, and Dutch sup- plies. The Americans and, more notably still, the Canadians, have lately been imitating the Cheddar with increasing success ; but while they have sent us an abundance of cheese equal to the second quality of that variety, they have sent little, if any, equal to the best. The reputation of genuine Stilton, still accounted by many epicures to be the finest cheese in the world, has beengreatly injured by base imitations made in other English counties than Leicestershire, and in foreign countries. Here, again, the object has been cheapness of production rather than supreme excellence; and the uncertainty of getting a good Stilton, even when the price of a good one is paid, has greatly helped the sale of Gorgonzola and other fancy cheeses of foreign production, in which there is a nearer approach to uniformity of quality. Leicester cheese still ranks as high as any English make after the best Stilton, with which, as the latter is a double cream cheese, it does not compete ; but there is now less of the best than formerly could be obtained. The same may be said of the Gloucester, another excellent cheese when well made. Derby cheese, although of high quality as turned out by some dairies, has never had the highest reputation, except in certain districts of the country, where it has been, and still is to a smaller extent, a great favourite. As the practice of taking away part of the cream in making this cheese has grown, the stress of foreign competition has been more and more severely felt by the makers. In cheese-making as in butter-making and other careers, it is DAIRY PRODUCE. 117 peculiarly true in these modern times that " there is plenty of room at the top," whereas for bare mediocrity there is but little chance of success. The indigestibility of the badly made cheese, which forms the bulk of the supply, may be held accountable in great measure for the diminished consumption of that article of food among the middle and upper classes. The principal competition in the cheese supply of the United Kingdom comes from America, Canada, and Holland ; France, Italy, and Switzerland, a long way behind as to bulk of supplies, contributing most of the fancy cheeses, such as Camembert, Brie, Bondon, Roquefort, Gorgonzola, Parmesan, Gruyere, and other varieties less generally known in this country. It has been seen that the imports of cheese have not advanced pro- portionately with those of butter since 1876, for while the supplies from some countries have increased, those from others have fallen off considerably. In the following table will be found the quantities from each of the principal sources of supply for 1876 and 1886, with the increase or decrease in the latter year : — Imports of Cheese.* 1876. 1886. Ir.c. Tec. From — Cwts, Cwts. Cwts. Cwts. United States ... 936,203 856, 109 80,094 Canada 250,072 508,112 258,040 Holland 330.43S 318,743 11,692 France ... •8,744 32,103 23,359 Belgium 747 ",497 10,750 Denmark 563 4,536 3,973 Germany 2,156 349 1,807 Russia ... i,S23 2,048 525 Italy 67 336 269 Other Countries. 7,96s 1,057 6,908 Totals 1,538,475 1,734,890 196.415 It will be seen that the contributions of other countries than the first four are insignificant, amounting in 1886 to less than 20,000 cwts. altogether. As in the case of butter exports to this country, America has been falling off in the supplies of cheese, * See Appen lix, n8 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. and as that source of competition is of great importance, it will be interesting to compare the quantities for each year from 1876 to 1886 inclusive, adding those we have received from Canada and Holland. In this case the figures for 1887 are available, and are therefore added : — Year. United States. Canada. Holland. Cwts. Cwts. Cwts. 1876 936.203 250,072 330,435 1877 1,082,844 214,215 341,980 1878 1,345.745 252,336 355.159 1879 1. 214.959 277,663 275.039 1880 1,171,498 281,565 288,666 1881 1,244,419 299,469 264,626 1882 969,502 382,352 310,735 1883 99o,963 482,183 292,515 1884 976,190 589.237 319.441 1885 844,205 606,769 336.158 1886 856,109 508,112 318,743 1887 759,463 631.837 362,014 The table shows that the imports of cheese from the United States reached the maximum in 1878, when they brought prices down to an unremunerative limit, and lower still in 1879. Shippers must have suffered heavy losses in those years, and especially in the latter. They have been more cautious since, but have more than once again glutted our markets, and been punished in pocket. In 1886 they sent us let s by about one-third than we received from them in 1878. Canada, on the other hand, has doubled her exports of cheese, having improved the quality, and gained in reputation ; while the Americans have been ruining the reputation of their cheese by depriving a great deal of it of cream, and introducing lard and other kinds of fat. The Dutch supply, it will be seen, has fluctuated. France, with her small exports of cheese, has made a great advance since 1876, owing to the popularisation of her delicious soft cheeses. It is not generally known, however, that France is a great cheese-importing country, having imported 421,932 cwts. in 1886, against 88,790 cwts. exported. The imports are chiefly from Holland, Germany, and Switzerland. In no other country, however, are there as many varieties of DAIRY PRODUCE. II 9 cheese made as in France. Professor Long, in his " British Dairy Farming," mentions " forty or more," and describes the methods of making the more important varieties. He is of opinion that many of them might with advantage be made in this country, and he himself has made and exhibited a few. We have not much to learn from the cheese-makers of Holland; but the Italian Gorgonzola, I believe, has been imitated in . England, and there would be no difficulty in imitating the Swiss Gruyere. Apparently we obtain the Gorgonzola and Gruyere which we consume chiefly through France, our imports of cheese directly from Italy being insignificant, while none from Switzerland are separately enumerated in the accounts of the Customs House. The soft cheeses which we import command comparatively high prices, and,' if well made here, would pro- bably be remunerative ; but whether it would pay better to make them than to manufacture the best English sorts in the best possible way is a question which must be left to dairy farmers to decide. The price of cheese has varied greatly at different seasons of the year, and in different years since 1876. There are no collected statistics showing the average values of home produce, and the only official figures are those relating to imported cheese. As these figures are obtained by dividing the total declared value of all the cheese by the total quantity, and the declared value does not indicate prices very exactly, the fluctua- tions appear smaller than they have actually been. Still, as the only figures available, I give the average declared value of imported cheese per cwt. for each year from 1876 to 1887 : — - £ s. d. £ s. d. £ s. d. 1876 2 IS 4 1880 2 17 4 1884 2 II IO 1877 2 17 8 l88l 2 17 O 1S85 244 1878 2 IO 3 1882 2 16 I 1886 248 1879 2 2 9 1883 2 14 4 1887 292 The average was low for 1885 and 1886, but recovered considerably for 1-887. Milk sold in its natural state has been left last for considera- tion among dairy products, because it is not a subject of foreign competition, except so far as condensed milk is "Concerned. The supply of fresh milk is entirely in our farmers' .hands, and 120 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. is likely always to be so — milk being at once too bulky and too rapidly perishable to be imported in the fresh form. A short time ago there was an attempt to get up a company in Holland to supply London with milk, and there was a great deal of "tall talk" as to the facility with which the Dutchmen could beat English milk-producers in their own markets. Fortunately, however, the project was too ridiculous for sane people to put their money in it. Those who brought it forward could not have known the extremely low rates at which our farmers supply London and other large towns with milk. More recently milk, preserved by the use of some chemical sub- stance, has been brought from Norway or Sweden, but nothing has been heard of it since the experiment was first noticed. Last year, the extremely low price of milk was brought prominently before the public through the formation of unions among dairy farmers, to enable them to make better terms with the dealers who retail milk in towns. In London, where milk is for the most part sold at 46. or sd. a quart, it was a surprise to consumers to learn that the dealers had been pay- ing, during the spring and summer, only i|d. to ifd., or perhaps as much as 2d. in a few instances. These were the prices paid for milk delivered in London or Manchester ; the farmers having to cart it to their local stations, and pay the rail car- riage, amounting to Jd. to ifd. per gallon, according to the railroad and the distance. Thus, the dealers received for one quart in many cases as much as the farmers obtained for four quarts, after allowing for rail freights. In several provincial towns, and in the poor districts of London, it is true, some milk was retailed at 3d. a quart ; but it is a question whether it was not partly separated milk, from which the cream had been taken by the centrifugal machine. Apart from the question of adulteration, however, and on the very liberal supposition that all the milk was sold as pure as it was received, the profits of the dealers must have been enormous. Those who bought at 6d. a gallon, and sold at is., charged 100 per cent, on their out- lay for distribution ; those who paid 6d., and sold at is. 4d., charged 166 per cent. ; and those who paid 6d., and sold at is. 8d., charged 233 per cent. Probably few, if any, who paid 7d. sold at less than is. 4d., and in that case there was 128 per cent for distribution ; while those who paid the same, and sold at is. 8d., took 185 per cent. Even the few who paid 8d. a gallon, DAIRY PRODUCE. 121 and sold at is. 4d. or is. 8d„ netted 100 or 150 per cent, for expenses and profit. As the dealer turns his capital over several times in a year, it is easy to imagine that he obtains very hand- some profits, and there is no reason to be surprised that a new resident in a district should be besieged by rival milkmen seeking his valuable custom. When a large dairy company recently declared a dividend of 18 per cent, per annum, the only reason for surprise was that it was not larger. The great companies are lavish in their expenditure on their model dairies, their gorgeous milk-carts, and other appurtenances, and they no doubt, pay many expensive servants. They give long credit, too, to some of their customers of the well-to-do and " genteel " classes, and they make some losses in bad debts, though not heavy ones, as their trade is chiefly for ready money, or weekly payments. Still, making all possible allowances, their managers must do very badly if the shareholders do not obtain handsome dividends. As for the small men, who make little or no dif- play, and superintend their own business, they must grow rich very rapidly. In spite of the combinations formed a year ago, wholesale prices in London during the spring of 1888 were nearly, if not quite, as low as ever. Probably, as usual, the farmers failed to act together, and, of course, if the supply exceeds the demand, they cannot keep up prices by combining. In reality, however, the supply would not be at all excessive if milk were sold at a moderate price to consumers. The case of the farmers in the summer of 1887 was all the harder because, on account of the drought, they obtained only about two-thirds of the usual quantity of milk from their cows, and at the same time had to go to extra expense for purchased food. Under the most favourable circumstances as to feed, there is certainly something very wrong about a system under which the man who simply takes milk round the streets and sells it receives as the margin for distribution from as much to more than double as much as the farmer who pays the whole cost of production and the rail freight takes altogether. The wholesale contract prices for the winter months sometimes rise to iod. a gallon, while retail prices remain the same as in summer; but even then the margin is far too large. Whether the farmers will be able to obtain fair terms in the long run by combining remains to be proved. If not, they may find a remedy in co-operating to sell their milk by retail. This plan has been 122 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. adopted in America and some European countries with great success, and British and Irish milk-producers would do well to adopt it where they can raise the necessary capital. Milk is well worth 4d. a quart as food, and at that price farmers would reap a handsome profit by retailing it for themselves. Our milk trade is one of very large dimensions. Professor Sheldon estimates the consumption as a beverage and in cookery at one-third of a pint per day, or fifteen gallons a year per head of the population. That would make the consumption for the current year about 555,000,000 gallons, which, at an average of only is. 2d. a gallon, would be worth upwards of thirty-two millions sterling, in addition to which consumers pay a large sum for condensed milk. There is no doubt that the consumption of milk is increasing, and that it would increase much more rapidly if pure milk were sold at a moderate price. Owing to numerous prosecu- tions of milk-dealers for adulteration, the milk supply is better than it was formerly ; but it is still far from pure as a whole. Any person who has purchased milk from different dealers must have noticed great differences in quality, which cannot be wholly accounted for by the natural superiority of the milk of some dairy herds or districts to that of others. What becomes of the large quantity of separated milk produced in London ? A small proportion of it is sold for what it is ; but the rest is used to adulterate the fresh milk, sold as whole milk to house- holders. This form of adulteration is the safest of all, as it can hardly be detected, if done in moderation, without a complete analysis. Separated milk, having lost scarcely anything but its fat, is a valuable article of food, and an abundant supply of it at a fair price, say a penny a pint, would be a great advantage to the poor, if they could be induced to avail themselves of it ; but the mixture of this milk with whole milk is a fraud which inspectors under the Food and Drugs Act should make all pos- sible efforts to detect and punish. As the consumption of milk in the country increases, the home supply of butter and cheese must inevitably be diminished unless the number of cows is proportionately increased. But we might well aim at a great deal more than such an increase as will keep pace with the in- crease of population and demand for dairy produce ; the object should be to recover the ground lost by the advancing tide of the foreign supply. It has been shown that our dairy farmers DAIRY PRODUCE. 1 23 have a monopoly in the supply of fresh milk; that America and Canada, the only countries supplying us largely with butter which possess natural advantages for cheap production superior to our own, are falling behind in the supply of that commodity ; and that America is also falling off in the export of cheese. • It is not to be supposed, even if it is to be wished, that any in- crease in the supply at home will entirely shut out the foreign supply of butter and cheese. Certain brands of butter probably, and certain varieties of cheese certainly, will continue to come to us from foreign countries, however great the supply of our own brands and varieties may be. But such contributions might be reduced to narrow limits, so as merely to balance our exports of dairy produce perhaps. The only question is whether the necessary increase in the number of cows kept in the United Kingdom would be remunerative, and here we approach a sub- ject of some intricacy. It is scarcely necessary to say that the -cost of producing milk, butter, and cheese varies with circumstances, such as the rent and fertility of land, the price of labour, the price and milk-producing qualifications of cows, the cost of purchased food, and the economy of management ; while the cost of sup- plying these commodities to the markets is affected by distance from a railway station, rail freights, and systems of marketing. To simplify the subject, I may dismiss with a few words the question of the cost of sending milk and its products to market. A farmer far distant from a railway station or a town has, of course, no chance of competing in the supply of milk with those more favourably situated, and the same remark applies to a farmer who is near a station which is a very long way off a town in which there is a demand for milk in excess of the local supply. On the question of rail charges a good deal might be written ; but the subject is too large to be dealt with efficiently on the present occasion. In a paper recently read at Tun- bridge Wells, Mr. George Barham, managing director of the Dairy Supply Company, told his hearers, who are served by the South-Eastern and Brighton Railways, that on a hundred- acre farm keeping twenty cows % the cost of sending the whole of the milk to London from that district would be ten shillings an acre more than from a farm equally distant from London, but served by one of the Northern railways. As to rail freights on cheese and butter, it is notorious that the railway companies 1-24 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. give great advantages to foreign producers, as they do with all commodities in which foreign competition is keen. These grievances farmers may fairly look to Parliament to redress. With rail freights as they are, however — and, in justice to railway companies, it must be said that the charges for milk are very low on most railways — there is no doubt that the average retail prices now current would handsomely remunerate farmers who supply milk if they obtained their fair share of the profits. By co-operating to supply consumers directly, I believe they could profitably sell at an average of 3d. per quart in summer and 4d. in winter. If we could ascertain exactly the lowest price at which a large supply of milk of average quality could be produced in this country, it would be easy to state the corresponding costs of producing butter and cheese. No such exactness is possible, however, and even an approximate estimate is beset by difficul- ties. No one has yet pretended to say what is the average cost of keeping a cow, or the average quantity of milk she produces. A little Kerry is scarcely half the size of a Shorthorn, and, of course, costs much less to keep, and produces much less milk. But the production of milk is by no means in regular propor- tion to size, many a Jersey, or even a first-rate Kerry, yielding more than an' inferior Shorthorn. I have before me a great collection of milking records ; but it would not by any means do to strike an average from them, and declare it to represent the average production of milk per cow in the United King- dom, for these records are kept by the most intelligent class of dairy farmers, most of whose herds are vastly superior to the common run. Records vary from under 300 to considerably over 2,000 gallons per annum — to take extreme cases, and to exercise a strong faith in the wonderful stories of the yield of miraculous cows in America. Professor Sheldon estimates the average produce of the cows of the United Kingdom at 440 gallons each per annum, and, considering what large numbers of inferior cows there are in the country, including the miserable half-bred Kerries that are so numerous in Ireland, the quantity seems sufficient, although by no means satisfactory. In any attempt to ascertain the cost of producing milk, however, it is best to leave out of account such extreme cases as little mountain cows, kept at very small expense, arid producing comparatively little milk, If the milk of all the cows in DAIRY PRODUCE. 125 England only were measured for a year, including that of heifers after producing their first calf, the average would pro- bably be found not to exceed 480 gallons each. There are numerous records from dairies in which the average yield per cow has exceeded 600 gallons a year, and several in which it has exceeded 700 gallons. Mr. Primrose McConnell, of Ongar Park, Essex, stated in some returns collected from dairy farmers in various parts of the kingdom, arid published in the Live Stock Journal last year, that his large herd of Ayrshire cows had given milk at the average rate of 600 gallons . each. Mr. Smith Barry, of Cork County, records an average of 616 gallons for his cross-bred cows. Mr. Scott, of Drunadd, Armagh, estimates the average produce of his half-bred Short- horns at over 600 gallons each. Shorthorns kept by Mr. Hobbs, of Maiseyhampton, Fairford, gave an average of 755 gallons each in nine months. Professor Sheldon states that on his own farm in Staffordshire, some years ago, the Shorthorns kept yielded fully 750 gallons of milk per annum each. Mr. Gooderham, of Monewden, Suffolk, gives the high returns of 804 gallons as the average for his Red Polls per annum during three years. Even the little Jerseys have records up to 600 gallons as the average of a number, as those kept by Mr. J. F. Hall, late of Erleigh Court, Reading. If we turn to records published elsewhere than in the journal named above, we find such examples as an average of 635^ gallons per cow on the Duke of Westminster's Eaton Hall estate, where forty-one half-bred Shorthorn cows are kept on two farms ; and averages of 717 gallons in 1885, and 743 in 1886, from thirty-four Shorthorn and Ayrshire cross-bred cows kept at the Munster "Dairy School. With such results before us, it is not unreason- able to expect that, by careful selection and breeding, the general average yield of the best breeds of large milch cows in the country may be raised to 600 gallons. Certainly no farmer should be satisfied with a cow of a large breed which gives much less than that quantity. At present, however, as already stated, it is probable that the average yield of the cows and heifers kept in England does not exceed 480 gallons a year each. What does this quantity of milk cost to produce ? Here, again, we are perplexed by widely varying estimates as to the cost of keeping a cow for a year. Professor Long reckons it, 126 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. to an " amateur " cowkeeper, as high as ^28, while one of the contributors to the estimates in the Live Stock Journal puts it as low as £% 15 s. 10s. for Red Polls, which are cows of medium size and not as large consumers as Shorthorns. These are extremes ; and while we may be sure that Mr. Long would not say that it costs a farmer .£28 a year to keep a cow, it is equally certain that no cow, except a little Kerry or other small animal, can be kept properly for as little as £& 15 s. iod. Another estimate is £9 10s., only ^3 being allowed for summer grass. Mr. Primrose McConnell reckons the expense of keep- ing his Ayrshires at jQx?> 18s. each. Lord Braybrook, for his Jerseys, says jQi6 15s. 2d., without labour. All these gentle- men are liberal feeders, who get much above the average yield of milk. Probably Mr. McConnell's estimate would be a fair average for cows of full size highly kept, though it seems high for Ayrshires ; but he includes the cost of attendance, depre- ciation, and probably occasional losses. There is another way of giving an estimate, which is perhaps more satisfactory than a comparison of widely differing accounts. A cow of full size can certainly be well kept on the produce of three acres of ordinary lands, or partly on that produce and partly on food obtained in place of some of the produce sold off, and ^15 would be ample to allow for rent, rates, taxes, and the cost of cultivating the portion not in grass. The manure and the annual calf would fully compensate for the expense of labour, medical attendance, depreciation, and the occasional loss of a cow ; and I believe it is safe to say that the average expense of keeping a full-sized cow is about ^£15 a year. But then cows large and small, and heifers yielding milk, are included in the estimate, which allows 480 gallons of milk per cow; and as small cows and young heifers cost much less than full-sized and older cows, the average cost may be put at ^14 a year. Taking the average cost of production at the sum just named, and the average yield of milk from cows in England at 480 gallons a year, the cost per gallon comes out at exactly 7d. In the returns, referred to above, the cost is put by different contributors at 6d., 6£d., 7§d., and 8d., the mean of which is 7d. Now, most farmers who sell milk have lately been getting only 8d. a gallon, taking winter and summer prices both into account, and out of that they have had to pay DAIRY PRODUCE. 1 27 the expense of carting to a railway station, and the rail freight. It seems clear, then, that those whose milk cost 7d. or more to produce, have obtained no profit, if they have not lost money, while the men who have been able to produce at 6d. to 6|d. have realised a small gain. But this is not the worst of the case under consideration, for farmers who are not con- veniently situated for sending milk to the large towns, have, in many cases, received less than 8d. a gallon on the average for their produce. For instance, those who supply the English cheese and butter factories have lately been paid only 4^d. to 5d. per gallon during the spring and summer, and probably their average for the year has only been 6d, or less. It is true that farmers who supply butter factories receive back the separated milk at a low price for pig-feeding; but, even so, their business can scarcely be profitable. Let us now see whether farmers, who make butter or cheese at home, can do better than those who sell milk. A pound of butter has often been made from less than 2 gallons of rich milk ; but, on the other hand, 3 gallons of poor milk, or even more in extreme cases, are required to make a pound of butter. It is a somewhat favourable estimate to say that a pound of butter is made from z\ gallons of fairly good milk, although where a cream separator is used, as it might be now in every dairy, the ratio may be reckoned a fair average. At that rate, and reckoning the milk at 7d. a gallon, the cost of a pound of butter would be is. sjd., less the value of the skimmed or separated milk, usually reckoned at 2d. a gallon for pig-feeding, but realising more where it can be sold. If we take this as reducing the cost to is., and add only a penny for the expense of making, the cost of a pound of butter comes out at is. id. Now, it is certain that, during the last two or three years, English dairy farmers have not obtained as much as that for their butter, salt and fresh together, all the year round. Therefore, we have to conclude that butter, at prices prevailing for some time previous to the recent rise, and at the average cost of production, has not been remunerative to the dairy farmers as a whole. Let us now see if cheese-making has been profitable. A gallon of milk will make a pound of whole-milk cheese, and even supposing that the whey pays the cost of making, the whole cost, with milk at 7d. a gallon, is that amount per pound 128 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. of cheese. During the present year cheese has been selling fairly ; but the average price received by farmers for whole- milk cheese during some recent years has scarcely been 6d. a pound. Mr. T. Carrington Smith, of Admaston, Rugeley, a cheese-maker of great experience, states that, while for the first twenty-nine years of his tenancy his cheese sold on the average at 7^d. per lb., for the two years ended on Lady Day, 1887, the price will come out at about 5|d. Cheese, made with milk, from which a portion of the cream has been taken of course costs less to make, but its selling price has been more than- correspondingly low. The conclusions to be derived from these calculations are of great importance to the future of dairy farming in this country. It is clear, in the first instance, that unless prices are to be higher than they have been in recent years, milk must be produced at 6d. a gallon, or less. Rents, which have been kept up in the dairy districts, or have fallen but slightly, while land in other parts of the country has fallen very seriously, will have to come down. Inferior cows will require to be weeded out, and the utmost attention must be paid to breeding good milkers. Farmers will need to keep milking records, in order to tell which of their cows it pays to keep for the dairy, and which should be fattened for the butcher. Those who make butter will require to use the best appliances — the cream separator especially — in order to obtain a maximum of butter from a given quantity of milk; and they will, above all, have to follow the most approved methods of dairying — from the feed- ing of the cows to the packing of the butter — in order to supply the good quality in good condition, which alone is remunera- tive. Similar remarks would apply to cheese-makers, who need, above all things, to aim at making cheese superior to that which comes to us from the United States, Canada, or Holland. In order to recover the ground gained from them by foreigners, the dairy farmers of this country need to make good fresh butter at an expense not exceeding is. a lb., and good cheese at 6d., if they are to obtain a fair profit on the sale of those commodities. Possibly salt butter may be made in Ireland at less than is. a pound. At any rate, the average price for every year since 1876 has been considerably less than a shilling , indeed, I fear that the price received by the small farmers has not lately been more than 8d. or 9d. on the average b.-URV pkODuCE. 129 for a whole year. But we cannot base calculations upon prices realised in Ireland, where large numbers of small occupiers have runs of rough pasturage for a little money, and have no idea of the cost of producing butter. Living chiefly upon the produce of their potato plots, and not reckoning the value of their labour, they take what they can get for the small quanti- ties of butter they make, and when prices are low the chief difference is that they are unable to pay their rents, or the shopkeepers' bills. I doubt whether the most favourably situ- ated working dairy farmer in the United Kingdom, if he values his labour at only a shilling a day, can produce butter profitably at less than iod. per lb. The milk-sellers, who have no foreign competition to en- counter, have the means of obtaining a profitable business at their option. If they will co-operate to supply milk directly to consumers, they will be handsomely paid at current prices, and should the supply at any time exceed the demand, they can speedily check it by converting the surplus milk into butter or cheese. But if dairy farmers are to combine to sell milk by retail, they might well include the sale of butter and cheese in their scheme of operations ; for after all that may be said as to improvement in the economy of making the two latter commodities, and in their quality also, it is not likely that foreigners can be beaten out of our markets except by under- selling them. Now, British and Irish dairy farmers could undersell foreigners by means of co-operation for the direct supply of consumers ; for the only reason why they have lately been receiving unremunerative returns for their butter and cheese is that they have not obtained their fair share of what consumers have been paying. Butter for which farmers have been paid nd., or less, has been sold in the large towns at is. 4d. to is. 6d. Indeed, I am able to state, as an incident which has come under my own observation, that butter sold by an Irish landowner and farmer at 8d. in May, 1887, was superior to the bulk of the fresh butter for which Londoners, at the same time, were paying is. 6d. In short, the margin obtained by butter dealers is enormous, and it is at least as great in the case of cheese. If our dairy farmers would com- bine to sell good fresh butter to consumers at is. 3d. to is. 4d. a lb., and cheese of satisfactory quality at 8d. to 9d., they would be better paid than they are now, and their foreign 1 130 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. competitors would find our markets undesirable places for the consignment of anything like a large proportion of their produce. The victory for our home-producers would, of course, be a gradual one, as we have not at present nearly enough cows in the country to enable us to dispense with ■ foreign supplies of dairy produce. It remains to consider to what extent the State can reason- ably be asked to help the advancement of the dairy farming interest If by a moderate expenditure of money there is reason to expect an immense gain to the country through the development of its resources in the production of butter and cheese, no one can fairly object to 'the outlay. At present we are losing hundreds of thousands of pounds yearly through the non-production of milk that might be obtained, and the waste of a portion of the quantity produced. There is a general agreement that technical education is to be fostered by the State, and it is needed for no industry more than for dairy farming. In all the principal dairying countries in Europe, except our own, the State helps the industry, more or less, by providing for the instruction of those who are to engage in it ; and in Denmark, where that industry has recently made the greatest strides, the system of training is admirable. Sweden is now making great efforts in the same direction. Two dairy schools were established in the country about four years ago, and in 1885 a dairy instructor was appointed for every county, who is constantly travelling about to instruct the farmers and their servants in all that pertains to dairying whenever required. Girls, too, who desire to become dairymaids, are sent by the Government to well-managed dairies to be trained. In England at present there are only three dairy schools, those of Sudbury, near Derby, and the Dairy Institute, and another dairy school in Cheshire, at present supported entirely by voluntary contribu- tions and fees, though the Government has promised a grant to the Cheshire Dairy Institute. Other institutions of the kind are being founded. In Scotland three or four dairy schools have recently been started. Two excellent institutions, sup- ported by the State, have for some time been doing good work in Ireland — the Glasnevin Agricultural Training Institution, near Dublin, which includes a dairy school, and the Munster Dairy School, near Cork. At the Glasnevin Dairy School females are instructed at the low fee of ^3 for the session of DAIRY PRODUCE. 13I six weeks, including board, lodging, washing, and medical attend- ance. There are two sessions in the year. The fee is the same at the Munster Dairy School, where there are now three succes- sive sessions of two months each for girls, the rest of the year being devoted to the male students, who are instructed in agriculture generally. At first the girls' fees were paid by patrons ; but the school has obtained so high a reputation, that the demand for admission is very keen, and all the students are now paid for by their natural guardians. The dairy department of the institution, to which, as at Glasnevin, a model farm is attached, was started in 1880, since which period a large number of girls have been admirably trained in it. Up to last May over 500 girls had passed through the school. There is a great demand for the girls as dairymaids, but most of them give their services to their parents, or to their husbands when they marry. The consequent improvement in the dairying of the south of Ireland is already very striking. The institu- tion has hitherto received from the Government, through the Irish Board of Education, an annual grant of ^2,000, of which it is estimated, according to Colonel King-Harman, that only ^750 is the net cost to the State, the remainder, it is to be presumed, being made good by the fees and the produce of the farm. Last session an additional grant of ^2,000 was made by the Government. The number of dairy schools in Ireland might with advantage be increased. More are needed also in England, Wales, and Scotland, where they could be maintained at much less expense to the State than their cost in Ireland, because the fees might be higher. The elements of theoretic dairying, and the sciences related thereto, might also be taught in the elementary schools, with instruction in other branches of agriculture. Competition in the dairy industry is now so keen that no effort must be spared if our farmers are not to sink further behind in the contest for supremacy in their owri markets. It has been shown how much they have to do, and can do, for them- selves, and it is not unreasonable to ask the State to undertake something more than the very little that has yet been attempted to encourage and help them. With such assistance, which is not more than is demanded on behalf of the other leading industries of the country, there would be every reason to feel confidence in the future prosperity of dairy farming in the British Isles. 1 2 13* CHAPTER VI. VEGETABLES, FRUIT, AND FLOWERS. The details of the supply of these productions are too volu- minous to be given fully within the limits of the space at my disposal, and perhaps I may be .allowed to refer readers in- terested in particulars as to the principal sources from which we derive vegetables, fruit, and flowers of the various kinds to an article on " Garden Farming" in the April (1888) number of the Quarterly Review. It has already been remarked, in a previous chapter, that although foreign competition in respect of vegetables (except- ing potatoes) and fruit has continued to increase of late, the great bulk of the supply is produced at home, and this is still more emphatically the case with flowers. The figures supplied by the Agricultural Department, although they are not com- plete, especially for fruit, show that there has been a consider- able increase in production during the last twenty years. According to the Agricultural Returns, the areas of land devoted to orchards, market gardens, and nurseries, in Great Britain, were as follow at the dates given : — 1867. 1877. 1887. Market Gardens Orchards Nurseries Acres. 36,204 148,221 ".779 Acres. 37.849 163,290 11,952 Acres. 62,666 202,234 12,478 Here the increase since 1877 is by far the most striking amounting to 24,817 acres in the case of market gardens, 38,944 acres in that of orchards, and 526 acres for nurseries. In 1887 the areas were divided as follows, the figures for the Isle of Man and the Channel Islands being added : — VEGETABLES, FRUIT, AND FLOWERS. 133 Market Gardens. Orchards. Nurseries. . England Wales Scotland Acres. 57,572 860 41,234 Acres. 196,986 3,408 1,840 Acres. 10,669 277 1,532 Great Britain Isle of Man Jersey Guernsey, &c 62,666 218 97 159 202,234 40 1,015 413 12,478 6 23 26 Total 63,140 203,702 12,533 Small holdings and gardens under a quarter of an acre are not included ; nor are there any statistics for Ireland, where the cultivation of culinary vegetables (excepting potatoes) and fruit is sadly neglected. It. may be pointed out, moreover, that the increase in the areas under vegetables and fruit is certainly much greater than appears in the first table, because it is well known that, owing to the defective classification of headings in the schedule which occupiers of land are required to fill in, large acreages of vegetables, and larger areas of small fruit, fail to get returned. The important potato crop first claims attention in this division of my subject, and at the outset we are confronted with a fact which requires explanation. While the area of land under potatoes in the United Kingdom has decreased in each of the last two decades, the imports in the latter ten years have diminished also. The figures showing the acreage are given on page 134. It will be noticed that the decrease in the area in 1887, as compared with that of 1867, is owing to the diminished culti- vation of potatoes in Ireland chiefly, but also in Wales, Scot- land, and the Isle of Man, while there have been additions in England and the Channel Islands, though in Guernsey during the last decade for which we have complete returns (up to 1887) there has been a reduction. Including the receipts from the Channel Islands, our imports of potatoes have fallen from 7,964,840 cwts. in 1877 to 2,762,958 cwts. in 1887. This is no accidental difference, for since 1880, when our 134 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. Area of the Potato Crop. 1867. 1877. 1887. England Wales Scotland Acres. 289,611 45.-077 157,529 Acres. 303,964 42,942 165,565 Acres. 369,243 40.570 149,839 Great Britain Ireland Isle of Man Jersey Guernsey 492,217 1,001,781 4,011 2,062 789 512,471 873.291 3,741 4,006 1,044 559,652 796,939 3,345 6,488 877 United Kingdom 1,500,860 1,394,553 1,367,301 imports of potatoes reached the maximum of 9,754,514 cwts., we have in only one year imported half that quantity, and since 1883 the total has not once reached 3,000,000 cwts. No doubt there has been a diminution of consumption, espe- cially in Ireland, where the population has declined, and where, too, the cheapness of wheat and maize has led to a less general reliance on the potato as the diet of the poorer classes than was compulsory when corn was dear. The decline is less, however, than a deduction from the mere figures would lead us to suppose, because, owing to the introduction of disease-resisting varieties, the damage done to the crop is much less than it was ten years ago, and the yield is accord- ingly greater. Allowance must also be made for the inferior productiveness of the crop in England, where the acreage has increased. Still, the consumption of potatoes per head of the population has apparently fallen off to a small extent. It is pointed out in the Quarterly Review that the propor- tion of the outside supply of potatoes, including that of the Channel Islands, is very small, In Great Britain and Ireland we grow from 6,000,000 to 7,000,000 tons of tubers annually, while we have imported only 115,000 to 138,200 tons annually during the last three years. It is only in the supply of early potatoes that outside competition is formidable, and in that respect countries enjoying a climate warmer than our own have VEGETABLES, FRUIT, AND FLOWERS. 1 35 an advantage. After all, however, our own Channel Islands contributed 1,288,961 cwts. out of a total of 2,707,889 cwts. imported in 1886, France coming next with 900,197 cwts., then Germany with 305,874 cwts. ; no other source of supply- contributing as much as 100,000 cwts. Holland, Malta, Portugal, Belgium, Algeria, and the Canary Islands are also contributors to the potato supply. Our growers cannot com- pete in the production of early potatoes without following the example of the enterprising farmers of the Channel Islands and especially those of Guernsey, who grow the crop extensively in glass houses, with artificial heat to a small extent, but more extensively without it. Jersey is the source of a much larger supply than that sent by Guernsey, but chiefly of out-door potatoes, for the production of which soil, climate, and an abundance of sea-weed on its coast, are exceptionally advan- tageous. In Cornwall, however, the conditions are nearly as favourable, and Cornish potatoes in some seasons are as early as all but the very earliest (a small quantity) of out-door Jersey tubers. But if it pays in the Channel Islands, where land is very much dearer to buy or hire than it is here, to force potatoes for sale in Covent Garden market in January, at 6d. to is. a pound, why should it not pay in England ? And if it pays hundreds of small farmers in Guernsey to erect cool glass houses for growing potatoes to send here early in May, why cannot our market gardeners do likewise ? The answer appears to be that it is only men who own the land they occupy, or have all the security of ownership, who dare to cover it with glass. During the last two or three years the price of potatoes have been very low in this country ; yet the acreage in Eng- land is increasing, and growers who are near a large market seem to find the crop profitable. Those who are distant from the great centres of consumption often find their profit absorbed by heavy railway rates. In Jersey the expense of growing an acre of potatoes is about ^45, according to the best authorities, rent being often as much as ;£io, and in some instances j£\2 to £1$, and the cost of labour and manure heavy. In England the expense is supposed to vary from £8 to ^20 an acre. The difference in the returns,' however, is very great, as all the potatoes in Jersey are sold early, as " new " potatoes, the prices of which are, of 136 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. course, much higher than those of the main crop. In 1887 the gross returns on the potatoes exp^ted from Jersey were equal to over £67 per acre upon the whole area under the crop. There were expenses to come off; but, on the other hand, a considerable quantity was consumed in the island while the exportation was going on. This year has been a very unfor- tunate one for the Jersey growers, the crop being late, and prices extremely low. Although our imports of " unenumerated " vegetables (all sorts except potatoes and onions) have increased greatly during the last ten years, the bulk of them is extremely small in com- parison with the home supply. Quantities are not given in the official returns; but the value rose from ,£216,463 in 1877 to £600,882 in 1887. As in the case of potatoes, the foreign supply consists chiefly of early produce. France is by far the largest contributor, our receipts from that country in 1886 having been valued at £294,848, out of a total of £517,731, paid for unenumerated vegetables. Considerable contributions from Algeria come to us under the heading of French imports. The Channel Islands, however, are making great headway in this direction, as they send us increasing supplies of beans and peas grown under glass. Here, again, the question arises as to why, if these enterprising small farmers, by the free use of glass, can compete with growers in semi-tropical countries, our market-gardeners cannot do the same. I do not imply that market-gardeners in this country, when near a large market, fail to do well ; but they complain that foreigners " take the cream off the market " by means of supplies of early produce, and the Guernsey and Jersey men are among the chief con- tributors of that early produce. Imports of fruit, excluding oranges and lemons, advanced from 3,053,724 bushels, in 1877 to 4,427,847 in 1887. In the latter year, moreover, they were smaller than usual, on account of the falling-off in the receipt of apples from the United States, where the crop was a very short one. In 1886 the quantity was 5,885,434 bushels, and in 1885 it was 5,220,792 bushels. Apples were not separately enumerated until 1882, since which date imports have not varied greatly, except in 1886, when we received 3,261,460 bushels of foreign and Colonial apples. The quantity fell off to 1,948,843 cwts. in 1887 ; but that was an accidental decrease. During the VEGETABLES, FRUIT, AND FLOWERS. 1 37 past winter and spring considerable quantities have come for the first time from Australia and Tasmania, and we may expect the outside supply to increase until the home supply of good varieties has been' largely augmented. All authorities agree in stating that there is a great demand for apples of good quality beyond the present supply. If it be regarded as natural that the United States and Canada should send us their surplus apples, why should thickly-populated countries like France and Belgium be able to fill our markets better than English growers after the first glut is over? Compara- tively few home growers have any proper facilities for storing apples, and the consequence is that during the late winter, when prices are highest, foreigners who have stored their fruit come in and get the advantage. It is the same with pears, as far as this question of storing is concerned, though a com- paratively small proportion of our pear supply is foreign, except in February and March, when the home supply is pretty well exhausted. Foreign contributions of bush fruit, strawberries, and plums, are but small. The greatest recent development of competition in fruit- production is that affecting grapes and tomatoes ; but in this a few Englishmen are vigorously taking part, and holding their own well. The plan of growing tomatoes in the same houses with grapes until the latter completely cover the roofs is an economy which has greatly conduced to the increased growth of both kinds of fruit, especially in the Channel Islands. One large grower in Jersey — Mr. Bashford — sends eighty tons or more of tomatoes to London in a season, and expects to send half as much again now that he has covered twelve acres of land with glass-houses and the necessary borders for vines. The same grower sent twenty-five tons of hot-house grapes to London last year. One English grower — Mr. Ladd, of Swanley and Bexley Heath — rivals Mr. Bashford in the production of tomatoes, and grows more grapes, having sent fifty tons to London in a year. The list of countries contributing to our fruit supply is a long one, and it is given below, with quantities and values for the year 1886, the latest for which the complete details are available at the time of writing :— i38 the british farmer and his competitors. Imports of Unenumerated Raw Fruit, 1886. Source. Bushels. Value. Spain 906,095 396,538 France 537.670 437.667 Holland 371,962 146,867 Germany 342,560 102,238 Belgium 229,367 7I,3« Portugal 82,230 37,4IO Channel Islands 52.059 39,526 Azores 23,076 23,090 British West Indies 18,306 12,219 Madeira 12,605 11,156 United States 9.163 5,424 Italy 5,408 2,069 Canary Islands 4,653 2,301 Malta 2,932 955 Other Countries 3, 2 48 ",443 Totals ... 2,601,334 £1,290,214 The prices of fruit have fallen in recent years, like those of nearly all other commodities. In 1886, a year of enormous crops, there was a great fall in values, from which only a partial recovery took place in the following year. Some idea of the enterprise of the growers of fruit and early vegetables in the little island of Guernsey may be ob- tained from the Report of the Chamber of Commerce for the year 1887, which shows exports of 1,000 tons of tomatoes, over 500 tons of grapes, 50,000 tons of potatoes, and radishes and broccoli valued at ,£9,250. Flowers to the value of £3,000 were also sent out of the little island in the year named. With the smaller islands, the total area of land is only 11,773 acres, and nearly all the early produce, valued at over £100,000, was produced in Guernsey alone. A great development in the flower trade has taken place in recent years ; but in this business our florists and market gardeners — many of whom grow hardy flowers extensively — are well able to hold their own. A commencement has been made, too, in the growth of flowers on farms not otherwise cultivated as market gardens. The demand for flowers has VEGETABLES, FRUIT, AND FLOWERS. 1 39 grown rapidly, and seems likely to grow in the future. Im- ports of cut flowers, especially hyacinths, tulips, and other bulbous flowers from Holland, are on a large scale, and other varieties are imported from France and elsewhere, but not in sufficient quantity to cause alarm among home growers. No class of producers in this country suffers more from our extravagant and wasteful system of distribution than the growers of fruit and vegetables. If they obtained half what consumers pay, they would reap very handsome profits ; but railway rates, auctioneers' charges, and retailers' profits, absorb most of the gross returns. Of late jam factories have been established in Kent and elsewhere by fruit growers, and this is a move in the right direction. This year, too, efforts are being made to induce growers of fruit to co-operate for the more advantageous sale of their produce, including improvements in storing, sorting, and packing, as well as the drying and various other methods of preserving fruit practised in other countries. The demand for good fruit and vegetables at moderate prices is practically unlimited ; or, in other words, it is so great that it will not be overtaken for many years, even if the increase of production should become much more rapid than it is. If producers and consumers can only be brought more closely into connection, a great future is in store for the growers of fruit and vegetables in this country. J4o CHAPTER VII. THE FARMER'S SHARE IN HIS PRODUCE. What is the cause of the general depression in all branches of industry throughout the world ? It cannot be over-production, so long as the vast majority of people have not half enough of the good things of this life, while a very large number have not enough of the bare necessaries. Of course, there may be temporary over-production of certain commodities ; but as the depression extends to all branches of production, that is not a sufficient answer to the question. Low prices would not matter in the slightest degree if all were proportionately low ; therefore no explanation relating to currency or to Free Trade or Protection can be an answer to my question, because there is depression in every country that we know anything about But if the explanation is not over-production, it must lie in some enormous drain on the profits of producers, and that I believe is the case. The answer I give is this : — The pro- ducers of the world are supporting vast numbers of non-pro- ducers, and the burden has become too great to be borne without severe suffering. It is not only those who neither toil nor spin that I refer to. They live on the accumulated wealth produced by their forefathers or themselves, and their capital, except when used to the injury of their fellow creatures, is a help to actual producers. The enormous tax levied on the people of the world by those who have got possession of the land, and are so able to appropriate a very large proportion of the earnings of every community, especially in cities and towns, is one great cause of the depressed condition of the people everywhere. But, as has already been said, it is not these men alone that are referred to. It is also the vast hordes of specu- lators and other unnecessary middlemen who live out of the producers. Every member of these classes who is not neces- sary as a distributor is as much a burden upon his fellow-men tHE Farmer's share iN his produce. 141 as if he were a pauper — or rather as a score, a hundred,, or a thousand paupers, according to the cost of his style of living. Think of the swarms of mere gamblers, on the stock exchanges and the corn and other produce exchanges of the world ; of the professional book-makers and others who get a living out of racing and other sports ; and of the millions of un- necessary dealers, agents, shopkeepers, and pedlars, all of whom have to be supported by existing producers, except so far as they live on the stored wealth of past producers. These men intercept so large a share of produce or money, while it is passing through their hands, that they commonly derive far greater profits than the persons who actually create all the wealth. Very often in a transaction occupying only a few days, or even only a few minutes, they get more profit than the producer gets for a year's labour and attention. This I believe to be the great fundamental cause, underlying all minor causes, of the depression which exists throughout the civilised world. Of course we must have distributors ; but probably we could do with one distributor where we now have a hundred distributors and speculators — the latter being entirely useless members of society, if they are not mere gamblers living upon gambling profits, as most of them are. No one who walks through some of the back streets of London and notices the thousands of little shops can fail to wonder how they find customers, and it must be obvious to the observer that not one in ten is really needed. Well, the keeper of every one that is not needed, if he gets his living by it, is a burden on the com- munity, and the same is true of all unnecessary middlemen of all classes. The most hopeful remedy for the poverty of the people, then, is the gradual elimination of these useless mem- bers of society, who are no better than mere drones in the hive, for, although many of them are far from idle, their work is misapplied, and is of no value to the community. Now, it is generally acknowledged that, of all producers, those who apply their energies to the cultivation of the soil are the worst paid. Probably it will always be so, because their pursuit is more generally attractive than any other ; but of late the strain upon them has become unendurable, and it is quite time that a great effort shuold be made to relieve it. The subject of this chapter is the farmer's share in his produce, and I shall not enter into the question of the labourer's share. 142 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. Nor can I state with any pretence to exactness what the farmer's share is. It is possible to tell approximately what he receives, but there are no data which enable us to tell any- thing like as closely what the consumer ultimately pays for the farmer's produce. I shall, however, attempt to give a rough idea of the difference in the two sums as far as the farm pro- duce of the United Kingdom is concerned. For my purpose I take the valuable estimate of the annual value of the farm produce of the kingdom j ust ^prepare d by, Mr. James Howard, of Clapham Park, BedfordshiFe, to whom all farmers and others who take an interest in the subject are indebted for the great trouble he has taken in preparing his figures. I give it, as it stands, with Mr. Howard's introductory explanation and notes : — " The following estimate of the annual value of the farm products of the United Kingdom has been prepared in response to a request from a friend, an eminent political economist, who, for a forthcoming publication, desired to know the saleable value of the productions of the farm under the present altered conditions of agriculture. " The whole land- of the United Kingdom is treated as one gigantic farm, no account being taken of what one farmer sells to another, inasmuch as such sales are simply a transference of products from the farm of one producer to that of another. The calculations, therefore, iriclude only such products as are sold off the farm to the public outside agriculture. " It is not to be expected that in an estimate of this kind absolute exactness is attainable ; the varied' conditions of the three kingdoms render the task a difficult one. For instance, - the amount of hay and straw required for various purposes at our great centres of industry, and for horses wherever kept, is not easy to compute — a certain amount of guess-work upon this and other items is unavoidable. However, after all the various circumstances have been considered and balanced, some approximation towards the fact has probably been arrived at. " The yields per acre of the corn crops are those of the Government ' Produce Statistics,' and the acreage of the various crops, as well as the number of animals, are from the Government ' Agricultural Returns ' — the average for the past three years in all cases having been taken. the farmer's share in his produce. 143 "Estimate of the Annual Amount Realised by the Sale of the Farm Products of the United King- dom, including Market Gardens, Orchards, and Fruit Grounds; Calculated upon the Average of the Seasons of 1885, 1886, and 1887 : — Corn Crops. Wheat. 2,432,835 Acres ; at 30 bushels per acre, and 32s. id. per quarter £14,635,023 Deduct one-eighth for Wheat used upon Farm .£1,829,378 £12,805,654 One-fifth portion of Straw sold ; at 2 loads per acre, and 25s. per load £1,216,417 Barley. 2,378,391 Acres ; at 33 bushels per acre, and 27s. 4d. per quarter £13,408,179 Deduct one-fourth for Barley used upon Farm £3,352,045 £10,056,134 One-sixteenth portion of Straw sold ; at 2 loads per acre, and 20s. per load £297,298 N.B. — Upon Farms where much Live Stock is reared the consumption of Barley is unquestionably far more than one-fourth ; but those Farms have to be reckoned with upon which every handful of Corn except the, " tail" is sold off. Barley Straw, owing to its softness, is much use! for packing merchandise. Oats. 4,373,500 Acres ; at 36 bushels per acre, and 18s. 7d. per quarter £18,286,696 Deduct one-half for Oats used upon Farm ... £9,143,348 £9.143.348 One-eighth portion of Straw sold ; at 2 loads per acre, and 25s. per load £1,366,718 N.B. — In the southern portion of England the con- sumption of Oats is perhaps more than one-half but as the proportion of Oats in Scotland and Ireland is above 8o per cent, of the total cereal crop, and also very large in some of the northern counties of England, an average consumption of one-half for the United Kingdom is probably a liberal estimate. 144 THE BRITISH FARMER AMD HIS COMPETITORS. Rye. 63,949 Acres ; at 32 bushels per acre, and 24s. per quarter £3°6,955 Deduct one-sixth for Rye used upon Farm ... A 5 1,1 59 £255.796 One-fourth portion of Straw sold ; at 2 loads per acre, and 35s. per load £55.954 N.B. — Rye Straw is much in demand for gunpowder manufacture, horse-collars, brick-yards, &c. &c. Beans. 4 OI >973 Acres ; at 24. bushels per acre, and 34s. per quarter £2,050,062 Deduct one-half for Beans used upon Farm ... £1,025,031 Peas.* 225,622 Acres ; at 24 bushels per acre, and 32s. per quarter ... £1,082,985 Deduct one-half for Peas used upon Farm ... £541,492 £1,025,031 £541.492 Total Amount £36,763.834 * The extra value of Green Peas sold from fields has not been taken into account. Green Crops. Potatoes. 1,362,465 Acres ; at 4^ tons per acre (477 tons per acre is the average of the Govern- ment "Produce Statistics"), and ,£3 5s. per ton £21,033,053 Deduct one-fourth for Potatoes consumed upon Farm £5.258,263 N.B. — As several of my correspondents expressed the opinion that 65s. per ton is too high an average I consulted a neighbour, a large grower, who thought my figures well within the mark, and informed me that at the present time he 15 making (delivered in London) £7 per ton of a crop of " Beauty of Hebron," fifty acres in extent. It has to be borne in mind that although ' ' Champions " and other varieties fetch low prices, the large quantities of new or early potatoes, and those of high quality, bring up the average. From the Tables of Food Products in The Economist of July 2, 1887, and January 7, 1 888, the average price of Potatoes in London for the year 1887 is £5 per ton. The proportion of Potatoes consumed upon the Farm may appear large, but in many parts of Ireland the whole of the crop grown is con- sumed upon the Holding THE FARMER'S SHARE IN HIS PRODUCE. 1 45 Turnips, Swedes, and Mangolds. 2,700,439 Acres. Proportion sold (principally White Turnips for Cities and Towns), estimated at 2 per cent., and £10 per acre £540,088 N.B. — The great bulk ff Mangolds and Turnips sold by farmers go to town dairies, and as'their value is shown under ihe head of Meat or Milk, it is not included in this calculition. Carrots. 19,899 Acres. Proportion sold estimated at 75 per cent., at £*7 IOS - P er acre ,£261,174 Cabbage, O.sioxs, Kohl-Rabi, and Rape. 200,901 Acres (Onion Crops not included in Acreage). Pro- portion sold (principally Cabbage and Onions) esti- mated at ... ... ... ... ... ... ... £300,000 Vetchfs, etc. 452,403 Acres. Proportion soil estimated at 12^2 percent., at £10 per acre £5°5.5°3 Total Amount £l7,44l,555 Hay, Flax, Hops, Orchards, and Market Gardens. Hay. From permanent pastures and arable land, including Grass and Clover Seeds; 8,920,262 Acres. Proportion sold estimated at 35 per cent., at £4 per acre £12,488,366 N.B. — Agistment— the value of the grass consumed by horses (used for other than agricultural purposes) turned out to graze — has not been taken into account, as no data exist. Flax. 125,159 Acres, at £12 per acre £1,501,908 Hors, Orchards, and Market Gardens. 335,550 Acres, at £20 per Acre £6,711,000 N.B. — Nursery Grounds not included in calculation. Total Amount £20,701,274 Meat, Hides, Skins, -and Wool. Cattle and Calves. 10,793,844. Of which it is estimated that 25 per cent, are annually slaughtered ; price per head, £15 £4°>476,9I5 146" THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. Sheep and Lambs. 29,481,063. Of which it is estimated that 42 per cent, are annually slaughtered ; price per head, 36s N.B. — Several of my correspondents have expressed the opinion that the average ought not to be less than 405. ; the proportion of Lambs and Mountain Sheep, however, have to be reckoned, and these bring down the average considerably. In addition, 4s. per head is found under the item of Skins. Pigs. 3,634,917. According to Ihe researches of the late Sir H. Meysey-Thompson, Bart., 87 j£ per cent, of the number given in the Government Returns are annually slaugh- tered, and to these — viz., the Pigs enumerated in the Government Returns — it is necessary to add 33 per cent, for the roasting pigs and porkers born after one census and killed before ihe next. The total number annually slaughtered is therefore 1 16 per cent, of those enumerated in the Government Returns=4, 216,503 Pigs; average weight per carcase, 134 lbs., at 5^d. per lb N.B. — If the total weight of Pork produced in the Kingdom were estimated, it would be necessary to add a considerable amount for Pigs kept in Towns and by Villagers occupying less than a quarter of an acre of land, which are not enumerated in the Government Returns. 2,000,000 at 18s. each 10,000,000 at 4s. each Bullock Hides. Sheep Skins. Wool. I3S.73 I .79° lbs., at 9>^d. per lb. Total Amount ... £1, 800,000 ... ,£2.000,000 ■•■ £5.372,71° ... £84,885,492 N.B. — The home production of Meat, according to. the above calculations (in which the Pork produced by Villagers and others referred to above is not included), amounts to about 84 lbs. per head of the population, and the foreign supply may be computed at about 26 lbs. per head — thus showing a consumption per head of iro lbs. per annum, about 23 per cent, of which is foreign Meat. Horses. The Horses of various descriptions enumerated in the Govern- ment Returns as used solely for Agriculture, or kept upon Farms, average 1,924,550. In addition to these, a considerable number of Mares throughout the country, thoroughbred and others, are used for breeding and THE FARMER'S SHARE IN HIS PRODUCE. 147 turned out with their foals upon pastures. It is there- fore computed that not fewer than 300,000 Brood Mares of various kinds are kept, and that therefrom 150,000 Horses are reared and marketed annually at an average price of 33 guineas each £St I 97>5 00 N.B. — Probably 33 guineas is a low average, seeing that the Esti- mate includes hunters, hack , carriage, and the best cart horses, which, as a rule, are those parted with by the farmer. No account of Mules, Asses, or Goats has been taken, as sufficient data do not exist. The numbers of Mules, Asses, and Goats are given in the Statistical Returns for Ireland only ; similar tables for Great Britain would not be uninteresting. Dairy Produce, 6°r. .Milk. 550,000,000 Gallons, at 7jd. per Gallon ^17,343,750 Cheese 2,710,000 Cwts., at 5jd. per lb. ... £6,955,666 BUITER. 1,918,660 Cwts., at is. per lb ^10,744,496 Poultry, Pigeons, & Eggs ,£7,000,000 N.B. — One of my correspondents, the Ed'tor of a Newspaper devoted to Poultry, has, by a different method of calculation, estimated the value at ^7,239i35o. Total Amount ^42,043,912 Summary. Corn Crops ... £36,763.834 Green Crops 17,441,555 Hay, Flax, Hops, Orchards, and Market Gardens 20,701,274 Meat, Hides, Skins, and Wool 84,885,492 Horses 5i I 97.Soo Dairy Produce, &c. . 42,043,912 Total Amount £207,033,567 N.B. — Timber, Underwood, Water-cress, Game (Deer), Rabbits, and Honey, al- though products of the land, are regarded as outside the scope of this Estimate. 148 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. It would occupy far too much space to go into the question of what the farmer retains out of the sum which Mr. Howard credits to him. Rent, tithes, rates, and taxes, absorb fully one- third of it, and labour takes another large slice. When all other expenses are deducted, there cannot be much left for the farmer to live upon, and, as to saving, that for the farmers, as a whole, has been out of the question for more than ten years. Mr. Howard's figures represent the average value to the farmer of produce sold off the land during the last three years, and I propose to make as close a guess as I can at what the consumer pays for it. The saleable produce of wheat comes to about 8,000,000 quarters, and reckoning 75 per cent, of it as the equivalent in flour, we get 10,285,714 sacks, which, at ninety quartern loaves to the sack, will produce 925,7 14,260 quarterns of bread. Now ninety quarterns is rather a small allowance for a sack of flour, especially as potatoes are used very extensively by bakers. Some people say ninety-four quarterns ; but it is well to be on the safe side. Now, as to price. Considering the high value of biscuits, cakes, and other products into which flour is made, it will be a low estimate to take the value per quartern — assuming all the flour to be made into bread for the purpose of the estimate — at 5d. (it is 6d. in many places), and that makes the saleable wheat come to ^19,285,700. Of course, all the flour is not made into bread, biscuits, or cakes, by bakers ; a good deal is used in households for home-made bread and other kinds of food, and this portion does not come to as much money as what the baker sells. But then there is the value of the offal, a large sum, which is not estimated, and which may be taken as more than a set-off to any excess arising from valuing all the flour as if it were made into bread, &c, by bakers. Giving this large sum in makes my estimate low enough, at any rate. As to the straw, some of which is sold as chaff, it realises at least 10s. a load more by retail than the farmer receives, which brings the total up to ^"1,702,984. The price of barley to the consumer is more difficult to calculate. A good deal is sold for feeding pigs in towns, and on that the profit is not large ; while more is used as malt. It will be below the mark to reckon only 20 per cent, addition, for if the value in the form of beer and whisky were calculated, the increase would be an enormous one. For barley the sum as 149 increased, stands at ,£12,067,360. To the straw 10s. a load may be added to get at the retail value, bearing in mind the high price paid in the manufacturing districts for barley straw for packing, and this makes the sum ,£445,947. Putting upon the oats only 2s. a quarter makes the total ,£10,127,385, though this does not leave much margin for the value of oat- meal. The oat straw may be put at fully £1,913,405; The value of rye and rye straw is a small item, and I will only add 10 per cent, to the value put down by Mr. Howard, making the amount paid by consumers £342,925 ; and the same plan is adopted with beans, bringing the amount to ^1,127,534. In the case of peas I add 20 per cent, because a large quantity is sold for soup and other culinary purposes, and the peas sold for town use are much higher in value than those used on the farm. This brings peas up to £'649,790. Considering the high prices at which early potatoes are sold, iod. a stone, or _£6 13s. 4d. a ton, is a very moderate estimate of the retail price, and, so reckoned, the consumer's payment for the potato crop comes to .£32,358,706. This may appear an insufficient advance upon Mr. Howard's estimate of the farm value, as the heavy item of rail carriage has to be added ; but then I should put the farm value of potatoes at 50s. a ton instead of 65s. for the United Kingdom, as the quantity of high-priced new potatoes is too small to raise the average materially. Turnips, mangolds, carrots, onions, &c, sold for town use may fairly be put at 50 per cent, over Mr. Howard's estimate, and that makes ,£1,651,893. Tares are usually sold directly to the consumers, so we may keep Mr. Howard's valuation unaltered. Hay, a great deal of which is sold in small quantities, may be put at fully 25 per cent, above the farm value, especially as rail carriage is heavy. Probably that is not enough increase, but let us take it so, and charge ^£15,610,457 for hay. Flax appears to be valued as partly scutched, as the straw does not come to the .£12 an acre allowed in the estimate before me ; but when all is manu- factured up to the stage when it goes to the spinner, the value may well be put at one-fourth more, or .£1,877,385. I entered closely into the calculation of the cost and returns of flax- growing some time ago, and I made prepared flax and linseed come to ,£15 13s. 6d. an acre. Mr. Howard's estimate of the value of fruit and market garden produce seems to me as much too low as that of potatoes is too high. Bearing in ISO THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. mind that market garden produce sometimes comes to ;£ioo per acre or more, it may be averaged at fully ^30 an acre, even with hops included. Besides, the area returned by the Agricultural Department is not nearly large enough, as it does not include that of any small fruit not grown in orchards. But if the sum allowed by Mr. Howard for these items is made half as much again, it would not be too much to treble the sum to get at what the consumers pay, though that will not be done for hops, of course. Therefore I make the total ^£20, 133,000. With the value of all the imports added, the total will not come to 13s. per head of the population, which is surely not too much for all the fruit, market-garden produce, and hops consumed in a year. For meat Mr. Howard reckons that farmers receive ^72,712,766. Now, several estimates prepared independently, make the total home supply of beef, mutton, and pork, about 27,000,000 cwts. per annum. What is the average price per cwt. or per lb. paid by consumers ? Judging from several reports, including a series obtained not long ago from a large number of householders by the North British Agriculturist, it appears that the average obtained by the butchers is nearly, or quite, od. per lb., and fully that amount if we give in the offal, exclusive of hides and skins. That makes the cost of meat to consumers ;£i 13,400,000 annually. To Mr. Howard's estimates for hides, skins, and wool, let us merely add 10 per cent, for dealers' profits, as there are no means of ascertaining the profits of those that tan skins and prepare wool for the manufacturers. For the three items the amount thus increased comes to ^10,089,987. As for horses, if farmers are paid ^5, 197,500, it will be safe to assume that dealers get ^6,000,000, as there are heavy profits on horses sold in towns and for export For milk Mr. Howard allows the farmers 7jd. a gallon. Many people pay is. 8d., and probably the average to consumers is over is. 4d. ; but let us take that price, and that makes milk come to ^37,000,000. English and Scotch cheese, it may be assumed, is retailed at not less than 9d. a pound, instead of the 5^d. allowed by Mr. Howard as the price paid to farmers. The cheese is bought at per 120 lb. and sold at per 112 lb. for a hundredweight ; but Mr. Howard reckons at the standard weight. Now 9d. per lb. would be 72s. 8d. per imperial hundredweight, and if we allow the 2s. 8d. off for waste in cutting up, we leave the retail THE FARMER'S SHARE IN HIS PRODUCE. I$I price at 70s., which brings the total out at ^9,485,000. It is doubtful whether farmers all round have averaged is. a pound for butter during the last three years, as vast quantities have been sold at 6d. and 7d. in Ireland, and a good deal at 7c}. and 8d. in England. But if they have got that price we may safely put the retailer's average at is. 4oo ... 6,000,000 Milk 17,343.75° ■■• 37,000,000 Cheese 6,955,666 ... 9,485,000 Butter 10,744,496 ... 14,325,994 Poultry, Eggs, &.C 7,000,000 ... 10,500,000 £207,033,567 £320,660,955 Taking Mr. Howard's estimate to be a fair one, I am con- fident that my own is not excessive, but puts the amounts paid by consumers at less rather than more than their actual pay- |2 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. ents. It appears, then, that the farmer's share in produce sold over 320 millions sterling is not much over 207 millions, leaving [3 millions to the middleman, and that without carrying the anufacturing process of such things as barley, hops, hides, ins, wool, and flax to the stage in which they are used by msumers. If we could carry them to that ultimate stage, lowing for the actual cost of manufacture, it would certainly : found that the consumer's payment for farm produce is ore than double what the farmer receives. It will be under- ood that, in not giving round figures for some of the items, I ake no pretence to exactness, but merely give the amounts which certain percentages of increase upon Mr. Howard's timated farm values bring the totals. Now, among the middlemen there are, of course, the rail- ly companies, whose expenses are very heavy, but whose larges are often excessive and sometimes preferential in the terest of the British farmer's foreign competitors. That )int has been previously alluded to, and it would be im- >ssible to go into the subject in detail in a small treatise, irliament has legislated upon the subject during the present ;ar, and it remains to be seen whether the new Railway Act ill effect its purpose. The important question is this — How is the farmer to get larger share in the gross value of his produce ? The ex- inses of production do not come into the question im- ediately under consideration, but have been referred to in previous chapter. The problem before us is that of deter- ining how the farmer can obtain a larger proportion of what ie consumer pays for farm produce. Whether the farmer ould retain a larger share if he got it is another question ; it, at any rate, he must get it before he can attempt to retain The most hopeful, if not the only, means of attaining the id in view seems to be co-operation for the sale of farm roduce to consumers. Co-operation for the purchase of hat is required by farmers should go with co-operation for ie disposal of what they have to sell, economical purchase fecting their net receipts equally with advantageous sale ; but ie latter is the point just now before us. How much of the lormous difference between the cost of farm products to con- lmers and the money received by farmers is due to neces- iry expenses, and how much to the profits of unnecessary THE FARMER'S SHARE IN HtS PRODUCE. 153 middlemen, and to the excessive profits of the rest, I cannot pretend to say; but I am convinced that if farmers would co-operate to sell their own produce to consumers as far as possible, they would find the retailing branch of their business far more profitable than the producing branch. There are some half-dozen genuine farmers' co-operative associations for selling produce in this country, as well as several sham ones — mere share companies, trading on the farmer's name. There is one of the genuine class at War- rington, which is supposed to be quite a success. Then the Hon. J. Bateman has established a shop at Brightlingsea, in Essex, for selling the farm produce grown by himself and others to consumers. He informs me that he makes, on an . average, 30s. for every bullock, 5s. for every sheep, 2s. 6d. for every pig, and 3d. for every gallon of milk more than he could obtain if he did not sell by retail ; and this is in a very small country town where farm produce is cheap. The whole cost of starting the business — including the cost of the land, buildings, fittings, tools, horses, carts, &c. — was only ^917. The best instance of a farmers' co-operative association, however, that I know of, is that of the Farmers' General Supply Company, whose headquarters are at 245, Tottenham Court Road. All the members are owners or occupiers of land ; but there are not nearly enough of them to carry out the project fully at present. It is intended to establish branches in several parts of the metropolis, but only one branch (in High Street, Kingsland) has yet been started. The Managing Director is Professor Long, and the other Directors are Captain Adcock (proprietor of the Melton Mowbray Cheese Factory), Mr. Frank Garrard (of Framlingham Hall, Suffolk), and Mr. Robert Long (of Stondon, Beds.). The nominal capital is ,£20,000, which ought to be increased ten-fold to enable the Company to extend the business. Meat, home-cured bacon, hams, milk, cream, butter, cheese, potatoes, vegetables, corn, flour, hay, straw, poultry, game, eggs, and bread, are the principal items of sale to customers. These goods are chiefly obtained, and should be entirely procured, from members of the association, who are paid the highest prices that can be afforded profitably ; and, of course, there is to be a division of any surplus profit among the members when it is available. This, however, is only one part of the business, for the Com- 154 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. pany sell, to members and others, implements .of all kinds, manures, feeding stuffs, seeds, and almost everything else that the farmer requires for the cultivation of the soil and the management of live stock and the dairy. Cream is separated by steam-power on the premises in Tottenham Court Road, and butter is made by a first-class dairymaid. There is no difficulty in disposing of all the milk and other produce received, and, indeed, the supply of some kinds is not nearly equal to the demand. Why should not landowners and farmers rally round this association, and make it a splendid success ? It is capable of indefinite extension in the metro- polis, and its success could be followed by the establishment of similar undertakings in various parts of the kingdom. There are two or three other Companies of the kind, but none quite as comprehensive in scope as this. It is surprising that so little has been done in this way at present in our own country. In France there are agricultural co-operative associations scattered all over the country, called "agricultural syndicates." At the end of 1887 about 200 of them had joined the Union of Syndicates, and according to the Revue des Deux Mondes for September, 1887, there were then over 400 in the country, though the Act authorising their forma- tions had been in existence only three years. They are associa- tions for buying what farmers need, of guaranteed quality and at wholesale prices, and they have been of great adv.antage to French farmers. They are now extending their operations to promoting the direct exchange among farmers of what they buy of each other's productions, so as to avoid the extra charge of intermediaries ; and some are about to engage in the sale of farm produce, I believe. At any rate, what we require here is associations to buy and sell — to buy what farmers need, in order to supply them on the most advantageous terms, and to sell what they produce likewise. Too many — a great deal too many — people are living, or trying to live, out of the land. They cannot all do it, and hitherto it has been the farmer who has been squeezed out. It is for him, therefore, to see that less necessary members of the body sharing the produce of the soil are squeezed out in future. It is, indeed, necessary that farmers should combine for this purpose, for "their very existence as farmers depends upon their obtaining a larger share in their produce than they secure at present. 155 CHAPTER VIII. THE PROTECTIONIST DELUSION. It is lamentable to see the farmers of this country, in con- siderable numbers, being once more led astray in the quest of Protection. Those who are thus misled are the victims of a double delusion. In the first place, they are deceived in being led to hope that this country will some day return to the Protectionist policy of the past, and in the second place they are mistaken when they suppose that Protection would be beneficial to tenant-farmers. Against all the efforts of the so-called Fair Traders, the Free Traders, secure in their strength, have not found it necessary to make any considerable exertions, and yet the leaders of both political parties have been constrained to snub the Neo-Protectionists unmercifully. At present the leaders of the reactionary movement are utterly discouraged ; but they endeavour to keep up the spirits of their followers by assuring them that the question they desire to make paramount in the country is only in abeyance ; and that when the next General Election comes they will see wonders. In reality, there are no signs of coming wonders. A really popular movement does not collapse, as the one under consideration has done, at the mere utterance of a few words from a Prime Minister or even at the bidding of a number of party leaders. Where are the multitudes who desire Protection ? Certainly not in the rural districts, for the farm labourers are the last men to encourage anything that would make food dear, while the farmers are divided on the question. In the manufacturing districts there are, of course, many men who would like Protection for what they produce, and it has not been difficult for them to win over some of their workmen ; but the idea of duties on the staple food-stuffs of the country is as intolerable to these town workmen as it is to the farm labourers. They are suffering, they say, from 156 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. foreign competition, and they can scarcely be so dull as not to see that the remedy does not lie in an increase of the cost of production in this country, which duties on food would un- questionably cause. As far as the home market for their manufactures is concerned, they might hope to raise prices sufficiently to repay the increased cost of production ; but they would lose any advantage which they now possess in foreign markets. Apart from this last point, moreover, it seems to me that a mere statement of what England would lose by ceasing to be the great Mart of the World, as she would cease to be if she gave up Free Trade, would by itself suffice to convince a vast majority of the people, if they needed con- vincing, that any attempt to revive Protection is a piece of folly of which sensible men should be ashamed. But if farmers could get Protection, it would not do them any good as a class. Very few of them own the land they cultivate, and Mr. I. S. Leadam has conclusively shown in his excellent book, "What Protection does for the Farmer and Labourer," that tenants never have been, and have no reason to expect to be, benefited by duties on imported farm produce. That owners of agricultural land would be benefited, so long as the people submitted to be taxed for their advan- tage, is true; but the tenant-farmer, who holds on a yearly tenancy, would speedily find his rent and other expenses raised —at least, sufficiently to balance his increased returns. There would be a rush for farms, and farming would become a gambling business, as it was under the Corn Laws. Labour, as well as rent, would go up in price ; and implements, manures, cakes — everything which is manufactured — would, of course, become much dearer, not only through the duties upon foreign manufactures, but also through the increased cost of labour. It is dreary work to have to repeat such stale platitudes in the last quarter of the nineteenth century ; but the old arguments apply to old fallacies as forcibly as ever. Old as the controversy between Free Traders and Pro- tectionists is, however, and thoroughly threshed out as it has been in its main aspects, there are two or three -objections to Protection from a farmer's point of view which have not often, if ever, been fully stated. Among the delusions which Pro- tectionists fondly cherish is one to the effect that they would be able to tax some commodities and let others in free, to THE PROTECTIONIST DELUSION. 1 57 suit their purposes. Now, a little reflection will show that this is impracticable. The interests of different sections of the population are so diverse in respect of tariff provisions that, if we have Protection at all, we must have it upon nearly everything we import. In the struggle farmers, who have never been able t^p hold their own in the world of politics, may be sure that their interests would not be paramount. What they produce, being mainly the staple food of the people, would be grudgingly protected ; while the sections of voters in favour of putting heavy duties on imports which farmers, in common with others, purchase would be all- powerful. Divided as the agricultural party would be, and with the numerical majority of its voters — the farm labourers — against high duties on food, the landowners and farmers would inevitably be worsted in the struggle. Thus the prices of what farmers purchase would be raised more, in proportion, than the prices of what they sell ; and the former, it is to be borne in mind, would be raised, not only by the direct effect of duties, but also indirectly by the extra cost of producing caused by the enhanced expense of food for the producers. Nor is this all, for there are some classes of imports of which farmers are the principal consumers, and the like of which the majority of them do not produce at all. To begin with, 26,698,739 out of the total cultivated area of 47,874,369 acres (crops, bare fallow, and grass) in the United Kingdom in 1887, or about four-sevenths, were under permanent pasture, and the interests of the whole of the owners and occupiers of that preponderating proportion, per se, would be opposed to any duties on corn and other produce of arable land. It is true that they might be consoled by duties on meat and dairy produce ; but that does not alter the fact that their interests, like those of all other non-producing consumers of the crops in question, would be adverse to those of the farmers of arable land, or adverse to the supposed interests of that body from the Protectionist point of view. Particu- larly, it may be pointed out, the interests of all but an in- significant minority of the agriculturists of Scotland and Ireland, who together grow but little over 100,000 acres of wheat, would be opposed to duties on wheat and flour, which English Protectionist farmers desire most of all to tax. Then there are imports of agricultural produce which it is 158 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. advantageous to all classes of farmers to get as cheaply as possible, such as maize, oil-seed cakes and the seeds of which they are made, hemp and jute for sacks and sail-cloths, and various feeding-stuffs of less importance than those mentioned. Again, there are such manures as nitrate of soda, guano, and bones, which cannot be too cheap for farmers. No doubt many agricultural. Protectionists hope that these commodities might be exempted from duties, while those they grow would be protected ; but this would not be possible. If maize, for instance, were exempted, it would be used for brewing, dis- tilling, and as food for horses in towns more extensively than it is now, and even to mix with wheat in making flour ; so that there would soon be an outcry from the growers of wheat, barley, and oats.. Similarly, the home growers of flax and linseed would object to oil-seeds, hemp, and jute coming in free; while the manufacturers of manures would as strongly oppose the exemption of the foreign manures named above. Many English farmers use foreign oats extensively for their horses, and grow very little of that grain themselves. But if we assume, in a rough estimate, that all the maize and maize- meal imported are consumed on farms (as by far the greater . portion is), we may give in the foreign oats to allow for the maize used in towns for horses and for manufacturing purposes. Let us see, then, what the value of the commodities referred to amounted to last year. The imports were valued as below : — Maize and Maize-meal Oil-seed Cakes ... Linseed Cotton Seed Rape Seed Hemp Jute Nitrate of Soda . . . Guano Bones £7,540,880 1,560,483 4,296,868 I.S43.645 457.999 2,147,118 3.699.390 832.541 185,526 254,284 Total £24,518,744 Here, then, are three sets of imports — amounting in value to more than half the cost of all the grain and flour imported — which it is to the farmers' interest to get as cheaply as possible, but which would be raised in price under a system of Protec- THE PROTECTIONIST DELUSION. 1 59 tion. Of course farmers do not pay for all, or anything like all, the seeds used for making oil first and cake afterwards, or for all the hemp and jute ; but it is to be borne in mind that the cost of home-produced feeding-stuffs and manures would be raised by Protection, as well as those imported ; also that all classes of imports, and the corresponding home products which farmers use — not specially, but in common with other classes — would also be advanced in price. It may, perhaps, be contended that the farmers, as a body, receive more money than they pay away in a year, and that, therefore, a general rise in prices, leading to larger receipts as well as enhanced payments, would be to their advantage. That, however, is not a conclusive argument ; for, in the first place, there are grave reasons for doubting whether, with rents, cost of labour, and all other expenses increased, they would not lose as a body. Even if it should be otherwise, a given amount of savings in money, which is valuable only as repre- senting what it will purchase, would be worth less under Pro- tection than it is worth under Free Trade. Lastly, as far as the question immediately before us is concerned, it is certain that our foreign commerce would be greatly reduced in value under Protection, and that the country would lose a considerable proportion of the large profits thence derived, while it is beyond the bounds of common sense to suppose that sufficient extra wealth from the soil and other sources to make up for the loss could be produced. Thus the country would become poorer, and there would be less de- mand than there is now for such comparative luxuries as meat, dairy produce, fruit, and choice vegetables, so that the prices of those commodities, in spite of duties on imports, might fall instead of rising. Apart from that special consideration, it may, at any rate, be concluded that farmers would not escape their full share of the losses which would ensue upon the partial impoverishment of the nation caused by Protection. i6o CHAPTER IX. CONCLUDING REMARKS. In the preceding chapters reasons have been given for con- cluding, not only that the farmers of this country would be worse off under Protection than they are now, but also that, with such reforms as have been suggested, they would have no reason to fear competition with their foreign rivals under Free Trade. A reduction of rents, where not already sufficiently conceded, would give hope ; security for capital would insure a development of enterprise ; reduced railway rates and co- operation in buying and selling would increase profits ; and better education in agriculture and dairying would bring to pass a more intelligent and efficient direction of agriculture as a scientific system of production and of farming as a business. Neglect of resources in certain directions has been pointed out, though, as a rule, I have avoided the presumption of attempting to teach farmers their business. One subject whch has not been alluded to is the assistance lately given by the Government with a view to the encourage- ment of horse breeding in Great Britain and to horse and cattle breeding in Ireland. Great as the attention is that has been paid to breeding, under the encouragement of our great agricultural societies, there is an immense scope for further improvement. The neglect of care in the breeding of cart- horses in many parts of the country is especially striking, because the production of such horses, if well-bred, has for a long time been one of the most remunerative branches of the farmer's business. Whether the encouragement offered J;o farmers to produce half-bred horses, mainly for our cavalry, will make that particular branch of enterprise successful or not remains to be seen ; but it must be a great advantage to have sound and otherwise satisfactory stallions distributed through- out the country for farmer's use at low fees. Many persons CONCLUDING REMARKS.. l6l object to any such State patronage of farming, as to State patronage of any other business; but if by a small annual expenditure in premiums the live stock of the country can be improved, the money could scarcely be more profitably ex- pended in the interests of the nation. Besides, when the question is also one of furnishing our cavalry with suitable re- mounts, it manifestly assumes a public character. In another way, and one in my opinion much more im- portant, the Government have promised to help agriculturists. In Ireland, for many years past, money has been contributed by the State in aid of agricultural education, and it is uni- versally acknowledged that the institutions at Glasnevin and Cork have done a great deal of good. In Great Britain, on the other hand, nothing has been done by the State for agri- cultural education except very imperfectly under the Science and Art Department and in the elementary schools to a limited extent. The agricultural classes held under the auspices of that Department and in the schools are for the most part con- ducted by persons who have no knowledge of the practice of agriculture, and but little good can be done under such a system, the imperfections of which have been fully admitted by the principal officials connected with it. Yet when the Commissioners on Agricultural and Dairy Schools, instigated by evidence brought before them, proposed a sensible and moderate scheme, including the institution of a Central School with farm attached, in which those who are to be teachers of agriculture could be properly trained— practically as well as theoretically — most of the agricultural papers, misled by a few self-interested persons who have private agricultural schools or classes, condemned the scheme. , The Government, without committing themselves to the scheme, have offered ,£5,000 in aid of agricultural or dairy schools already in existence or founded before the close of the present year. The sum is a mere trifle for the whole of Great Britain, and it is actually no more than the Colony of Victoria devotes to the use of a single travelling dairy. But if local effort establishes an in- creased number of agricultural and dairy schools, it is probable that a larger grant will be made next year to help them. In my opinion this question of agricultural and dairy education is one of very great importance, and the way in which it will be met will have a potent bearing upon the ability 162 THE BRITISH FARMER AND HIS COMPETITORS. of the farmers of the future in this country to hold their own against their foreign competitors. There is scarcely a civilised country in the world besides our own in which great efforts have not lately been made by the Government to encourage and extend agricultural and dairy instruction, and, as has been pointed out in a previous chapter, the great success of some of the foreign contributors of dairy produce to British markets is the direct result of such teaching. Although there are among the ranks of Free Traders some of the greatest sticklers for the now all but defunct principle of laissez-faire, men who believe so fanatically in self-help that they would leave people to help themselves or perish, it has always seemed to me that those who oppose Protection should be the most anxious of all people to place their fellow-country- men upon as good a vantage ground" in the battle of competi- tion as can be found. We open our ports to the productions of foreigners freely, and they put heavy duties on what our home producers send them in return. We rightly refuse to entertain the idea of reciprocity for the protection of home producers, because that would be injurious to the national well-being ; but while we make that refusal we should be, because of it, the more anxious to do all that we can to teach those of our producers who need teaching how they can stand up and maintain their struggle without Protection. For my part, I cannot conceive of any more legitimate use of public money than the devotion of a moderate sum in training our producing classes to increase the creation of wealth in the country, and there is no more beneficial creation of wealth than that which arises from the complete development of the re- sources of the soil and the proper manipulation of its products. But whatever else Parliament does for the benefit of agriculture, or leaves undone, there is one thing needful above all others — a system of land tenure based upon just and enlightened laws. Security for capital invested in the im- provement of land is essential as an incentive to enterprise, and without it enterprise is risky and. rash. To urge our farmers to engage in what is termed "intensive farming" without better security than the law affords them at present is something like asking them to make bricks without straw ; for capital will never flow freely where it is insecure. The best way, as I conceive it, of affording such security has already CONCLUDING REMARKS. 1 63 ucen stated, and reasons have been given for believing that such a reform would go far to lead up to a moderate degree of division of estates and large farms, so as to bring land in areas of all sizes within the reach of those best capable of using it to advantage. To say this is not to contend that Parliament should neglect to adopt more direct means for placing small farms in the market for the benefit of industrious and thrifty labourers, such as that of empowering local authori- ties to acquire land in the vicinity of towns and villages, to let to men who wish to hire it. I desire, however, to let my last word be an urgent demand for such legislation as will secure the value of every improvement to the man who makes it, and so prevent for all future time the enterprise-checking system of renting farmers upon what should be in law, as it is in equity, their own property. With this great reform — which would involve complete freedom of enterprise in farming — accom- plished, and the minor but still important changes already indicated as necessary also brought to pass, there would be reason for complete confidence in the ability of the cultivators of the soil in the United Kingdom to maintain a successful struggle in their own markets — the best in the world — with rivals, distant and near, who are engaged in the business of supplying our population with food, k 2 1 64 APPENDIX. IMPORTS OF DAIRY PRODUCE IN 1887. Since the chapter on Dairy Produce was prepared the Annual Statement of Trade for 1887," giving details of imports, has been issued. I therefore give those relating to butter, margarine, and cheese : — From Butter. Margarine. Cheese. Denmark France ... Sweden ... Holland ... Germany United States Canada ... Belgium ... Norway ... Australasia East Indies Russia . . . Italy Channel Islands Other Countries Cwts. 487.536 416,255 163,559 162,471 156,506 52,392 32,673 23,535 7,228 6,201 2,057 1.323 697 481 220 Cwts. 1,686 47.163 1,175,087 8,984 307 22,927 16,650 2,872 464 Cwts. 9,494 30,260 2,539 362,109 760,920 632,886 23,079 10,317 3,474 1,711 Total I.5"3.I34 1,276,140 1,836,789 It will be noticed that Australasia is now enumerated among the sources of our supply of butter and cheese. This is a new trade, and it is increasing, especially as far as New Zealand is concerned. I am indebted to the Commissioners of Her Majesty's Customs for the following details of the Australasian supply of dairy produce : — Butter Imported in 1887. From Cwts. New Zealand 3,585 Australia 2,616 Value. ;£l3.«8 8,893 Total Australasia 6,201 £22,011 appendix. 165 Cheese Imported in 1887. From Cwts. Value. New Zealand 10,126 .. £24,193 Australia 191 .. 505 Total Australasia ... 10,317 ... £24,698 THE AUSTRALASIAN MUTTON TRADE. Since the chapter on "Our Meat Supply" was written, the shipping companies have reduced their charges for carrying mutton in a frozen state from Australia and New Zealand to England, while prices here have improved. Whether either or both of these altered conditions will prove lasting or not remains to be seen. INDEX Acreage of Wheat Crop in the United Kingdom, 29 ; in Austral- asia, 61 ; in Canada, 65-66 ; in India, 52 ; in Russia, 58 ; in the United States, 39-41. Advantages of British Farmers over American, 43. Agricultural Competition, General Re- view of, 20-28. Depression, 9. Education, 161-162. Holdings Act, Insufficiency of, 14. IS- Imports, si. America, Population, Wheat-pro- ducing in, Live Stock and Dairy- ing in, see United States. American Farmers, Embarrassed Con- dition of, 50, 51. Appendix, 164. Australasia, Wheat-Growing in, 61-64. Imports of meat from, 8q, 165. Austria, Wheat-Growing in, 60. British Agriculture, Condition of, 9. Butter, Consumption of, 101 ; Cost of Producing, 127; Factories, 106- 110; Imports of, 101, 112; Im- provement of, us ; Making, Need of Improvement in, 104 ; Prices of, 27, 102, 114, 147, 130-151 ; Supply, 101-112, 115, 147. Caird, Sir J. , on Wheat-Growing, 33 ; on Meat Supply, 76. Canada, Imports of Butter from, 112- 114 ; Imports of Cattle and Meat from, 87-89; Cheese from, 116- 118 ; Imports of Wheat from 64, 65 ; Wheat-Growing in, 64-69. Cattle, Disease among, 93-94 ; Imports of, 26, 75 ; Exports from United States, 86 ; in United Kingdom, 85 ; in United States, 85 ; Interest in United States Depressed, 84; Prices of, 71-74. Channel Islands, Production of Fruit and Vegetables in, 133-138. Cheese, Cost of Producing, 127-128 ; Factories, 116 ; Prices of, 27, 119 ; Supply of, 101, 102, 117, 147. Competition in Wheat-Growing, 29- 70. Concluding Remarks, 160-163. Condition of British Agriculture, 9-19. Co-operation among Farmers, 153- 154 ; in France, 154. Cows, Cost of Keeping, 124-126; Number of, in proportion to popu- lation in several countries, 99-100 ; Number in United Kingdom, 99 ; Number in United States, 85. Cream, Sale of, 109. Crop Mortgages in United States, 49. Dairy, Education, 115, 130-131 ; Interest, Revival in, 97-99 ; Pro- duce, 97-131. Dairying, State-help to, 130- 131. Deductions on Competition in Wheat- Growing, 70. Dodge, J. R. , on Wheat-Growing in United States, 37-39. Early Maturity in Live Stock, 79-83- Early Production of Fruit and Vege- tables in Channel Islands, 135- 138. Farm, Mortgages in United States, 49 ; Produce, Cost to Consumers, 151-152 ; Produce, Value of, 140- 152. Farmers' Co-operative Associations, 153-154 ; Share in their Produce, 140-154. Flour Imports, 25, 36. Flowers, Home Production of, 138 ; Imports of, 138-139. Fruit-Drying, 28 ; Increased Area of, 133 ; Imports of, 136-138. Free Trade in Land, 16. INDEX. 167 Germany, Wheat-growing in, 60. Glasnevin Agricultural College and Model Farm, 130-131. Guernsey, Area of, in Market Gardens, Orchards, &c, 133 ; Early Pro- duce in, 133-135 ; Exports of Fruit, Vegetables, and Flowers from, 138. Home and Foreign Supply of Dairy Produce, 121-122 ; of Meat, 76-77 ; of Wheat and Flour, 23, 25, 35-37. Hops, Fall in Price of, 27 ; Imports of, 21. Howard, James, on Agricultural Ad- vantages of United Kingdom, 18 ; Estimate of Value of Farm Pro- duce in United Kingdom, 142-147. Imports of Dairy Produce, 21, 22, 101, 102, 112, 117-119 ; of Live Stock and Meat, 2r, 22, 24, 75-77 ; of Principal Agricultural Products, 21 ; of Vegetables, Fruit, and Flowers, 21, 134-139 ; of Wheat and Flour, 21, 25, 36-37. India, Area and Yield of Wheat in, 52 ; Cost of Growing Wheat in, 53, 55 ; Prices of Wheat in, 53 ; Wheat- growing in, 52-57. Indian Wheat Export and the Cur- rency, 54-55. Jersey, Area of Market Gardens, Orchards, &c, , in, 133 ; Area of Potato Crop in, 134 ; Cost of Growing Potatoes in, 135 ; Fruit- Growingin,i37; Returns of Potato Crop in, 137. Land in England and Wales Un- occupied, 12 ; Small Plots of, not everywhere attainable, 17. Land Tenure Reform. Needed, 14, 16, 162-163. Live Stock, Imports of, 2r, 22, 75, 87-88 ; Prices of, 71-74. Manitoba, Wheat-Growing in, 65- 67. Margarine, Competing with Butter, 27, 103 ; Prices of, 103. Market-Gardens, 132-133. Meat, Home and Foreign Supply, .13- 14, 75-77 ; Imports of, 26, 75-77, 89-91 ; Prices of, 29, 72-74, 78-79, 83- Middleman's Profits on Farm Pro- duce, 152 ; on Meat, 92 ; on Milk, T20-I22. Milk, Adulteration of, 120, 122 ; Consumption of, 122 ; Cost of Producing, 123-127; Prices of, 120-121 ; Quantity per Cow, 124- 126 ; Quantity per pound of Butter and per pound of Cheese, 127 ; Separated, Sale of, 109, 122 ; Separators, 110-122 ; Supply of, 122, 147. Munster Dairy School, in, 130-131. New South Wales, Wheat-Grow- ing in, 63. New Zealand, Wheat-Growing in, 63 ; Dairy Produce Imported from, see Appendix, 164. Ontario, Wheat-growing in, 65-67. Orchards, Area of, in Great Britain, 123 ; in United Kingdom, 133. Our Meat Supply, 71-96. Potato Crop Area in United King- dom, 134. Potatoes, Decline in Imports of, 27 ; Prices of, 135-136. Poultry, Supply of, 95, 147. Preface, 7. Prices of Fruit, 138 ; of Dairy Pro- duce, 27, 102, 114, 119, 147, 150- 151 ; of Live Stock and Meat, 71-74 ; of Wheat, 29, 30. Protectionist Delusion, The, 155-159. Railway Charges, 13, 14. Read and Pell, Messrs., on Cost of Wheat-growing in the United States, 48. Reform in Land Tenure, 14. Rent of Land, 9-13. Russia, Agriculture of, in Wretched Condition, 58 ; Wheat-Growing in, 57 ; Imports of Wheat and Flour from, 59 ; Only Great Wheat - exporting Country in Europe, 60. Security of Tenants' Capital Needed 14, 17, 162, 163. South America, Wheat-Growing in, 61-62 ; Meat Imports from, 89- 92. i68 INDEX. South Australia, Wheat-Growing in, 61-62. States of America, Yield of Wheat in several, 38. Straw, Sale of, 33 ; Value of, 34. United STATEsArea.Yield.and Value of the Exports of Wheat in, 39-41 ; Cost of Growing Wheat in, 43-51 ; Population in, 42 ; Bankrupt Con- dition of Wheat-growers in, 49 ; Cattle and Meat from, 86 ; Cows in, 85; Butter from, 112; Cheese from, 117, 118. Vegetables, Foreign Competition in, 27 ; Imports of, 136. Vegetables, Fruit, and Flowers, 132- 139- Victoria, Wheat-Growing in, 13. Wheat, Decrease in Area of, 29 ; Increase of in, the Past, 35 ; Im- ports of, 25, 35-36 ; Price of, 29- 30 ; Supply of, 23 ; Value of Crop of, in United Kingdom, 143 ; Yield of, in England, 34. Wheat-Growing, Competition in, 29- 70 ; Cost of, 31-34 ; in Austral- asia, 61-64 ! 'n Austria and Ger- many, 60 ; in Canada, 64-69 ; in India, 52-57 ; in Russia, 57-59 ; in South America, 69-70 ; in the United States, 37-51. Printed by Cassell & Company, Limited, La Belle Sauvage, London, E.C. ::■,■: .,.',.,. ...... .,> . , /.., '.i ......... .. . ; . .... ..... . , ■ ■ ■ , , ' ■ ' '■■'.:'■■:/:.■ "