Cornell University Library HD 1313.L84f The fallacy of Henry George with regard 3 1924 013 761 550 Number to be quoted in opdering, 3. MomGRAPHS FOR MEMBER^i M PARLIAMENT, PaRLIAHIENTARY GANDIDAtm, AND OWER Speakers and Workers. THE LAND QUESTION. 3. li^posur* of Socialist and Radical-Socialist Fallacies. THE FALLACY OF HENRY GEORGE with regard to the Growth of Rent. As Exposed by the Income Tax Returns tor the Past and Present Centuries. MARCH, 1911. These Monographs are not for Sale, but will be supplied, on application, to Subscribers to the Economic Department of the London Municipal Society, 11, Tothill Street, Westminster, S.W. Cornell University Library The original of this book is in the Cornell University Library. There are no known copyright restrictions in the United States on the use of the text. http://www.archive.org/cletails/cu31924013761550 Number to be quoted in ordering, 3. Monographs for Members of Parliament, Parliamentary Candidates, and Other Speakers and Workers. THE LAND QUESTION. 3. Exposure of Socialist and Radical-Socialist Fallacies. THE FALLACY OF HENRY GEORGE with regard to tlie Growth of Rent. As Exposed by the Income Tax Returns for the Past and Present Centuries. MARCH, 1911. These Monographs are not for Sale, but will be supplied, on ' application, to Subscribers to the Economic Department of the London Municipal Society, 11, Tothill Street, WAaf.Tninnfnr. S.W. Monograph 3. The Fallacy of Henry George with regard to the Growth of Rent. As Exposed by the Income Tax Returns for the Past and Present Centuries. It is notorious tliat tlie doctrines of Henry Ueorge, even amongst those wlio would modify his more extreme proposals, are largely responsible for the attacks made on landed property to-day. In order to meet these attacks it is in the highest degree desiralile that the precise nature of his proposals, and of the foundation on which thej^ rest, should be realised. Let them once be clearly realised, and any public speaker can dispose of them b}' an appeal, which everybody will understand, not to abstract argument, but to hard and ascertainable fact. The precise practical proposal of Henry George and his followers, such as Mr. Ure and others. George proposed to abolish every social evil by taxing^ land up to its full rental value, and abolishing taxes of all other kinds whatever. The rent of houses, he said, should remain absolutely secure, this beibg an instance of what he described as the legiti- mate " earnings of capital." He proposed that the State should touch only the rent of " land " as such ; but of this it should appropriate the whole, and appropriate it without compensation. Apart from the naive crudity of his suggestion with regard to confiscation (a suggestion which Radicals, at all events, profess to repudiate), there is nothing in George's scheme intrinsically or theoretically impracticable. There is nothing even original in it. All land rent, in George's sense of the word, g^oes, s^iud from time immemorial has gone, to the State in China, and the only theoretical difficulty which George's scheme suggests is not whether it would be practicable, but how, if it were put in practice, poverty would be cured or alleviated by it. The Fundamental Proposition as to fact, on which ail George's practical reasoning rests. George provides an answer to this question by the following: proposition as to fact : and it is a proposition on which practically his entire argument hinges. In every progressive country (had he been confronted with the case of China, he would probably have retorted that China was not progressive) — in every progressive country — that is to say, in every country in which wealth is continually increasing — the rent of land not only increases absolutely, but increases in a ratio grreater than income from all other sources, so that every year it must necessarily swallow up more and more of tlie "wages of labour " and more and more of " the earnings o£ capital," until at last the whole income of the nation is absorbed by it, except such a minimum as is required to keep the bulk of the population alive. How it is that liis proposals rest on the foregoing proposition. If this doctrine is trae, even in a modified form, the practical proposal of George becomes logical and intelligible enough. In proportion as any nation increases alike in wealth and numbers, the cost of the public service constantly increases also, and if only the State should make itself the sole ground landlord, and appropriate the whole of what George understood by "rent," it would automatically be possessed of a fund which would increase even faster than the demands made on it, without the necessity for imposing any further tribute on anybody. On the other hand, if rent does not increase in the manner here supposed — if it does not tend to form an increasing- portion of the income of any progressive nation — still more if it tends to form a proportion which is constantly dwindling, the whole of the promised advantages are obviously a mere delusion. The great practical question— Is the foregoing proposition true, or is it a fantastic fiction ? The practical question, then, is this — Does his funda- mental generalisation with regard to the increase of rent 6 correspond with fact— in especial does it correspond witli fact in our own country ? Or is it merely an unconsidered and fantastic fiction— in vulgar phrase, a colossal mare's nest ? The precise evidence as to this point is ample and unambiguous, and, from whatever point we approach it, it shatters the whole position of Geori^e ^"Cl the "land taxers" to pieces. CAPITAL VALUE. The Capital Value of Land in England and Wales from 1781 to 1896. The following records appeared in the Times in 1889 and 1897, of the average amount per acre obtained at all tlie auction sales in London of estates of over 30 acres : Period. 1781-1800 1801-1820 1821-1840 1841-18G0 1861-1870 1871-1880 1893-1896 Price per acre. £33 16s. £36 4s. £25 14s. £30 8s. £43 £51 16s. £2-6 10s. L.et us now compare these fig'ures with the national income, omitting the first period, with regard to which our information is inadequate. The income of Great Britain we know with approximate accuracy to have been in the year 1800 about £170,000,000. The data as t-o Ireland are deficient, as was specially remarked hy Pitt, but, even if we assume that Ireland was no less opulent than Great Britain, the income of the United King^dom woiild not have been in the year 1800 more than £230,000,000. In the year 1880 it was estimated by all parties at about, or rather more than, £1,200,000,000. In the year 1896 it was estimated at about £1,550,000,000. If we take the period 1801-80, the capital value of land rose continuously, apart from one period of depression, from about £36 to about £51 per acre ■ — that is to say, in a ratio of aboiit 41 per cent. The national income during the same period increased in a ratio of more than 420 per cent. If, instead of increasingf— as, according to George, it always does and must do, faster than the national income as a whole— rent had only kept pace with Income of other kinds, the capital value of land in 1880 would not have been less than £170 an acre. As a matter of fact it was less than £52, If we_ follow history farther, the result is still more remarkable, George, having promulgated his doctrine as to the growth of rent in America, visited this country just after 1880, where he asserted it with even greater con- fidence. At the very moment, when he asserted that the value of land was increasing here and must increase here relatively to all other kinds of income, it had already begun to decrease, not only relatively but absolutely. If, since the year 1800, its increase, instead of exceeding, had merely kept pace with that of income from other sources, the average value of an acre in 1906 would have 8 been appreciably in excess of £220. The actual value was less than £27. George himself, however, did not deal with capital values. His direct assertions related to annual values or rent. Let us now consider his docti'ine as expressed in terms of rent. RENTAL VALUE. The rent of land at various periods, as compared with income derived from other sources. The records of rent in this country are given in the Income Tax Returns for an extended period, the period during which the national income as a whole has made the most rapid advances. During this period, according to the doctrine of George (which dominates the ideas of Mr. Ure and other land-taxers of to-day), the increase of rentj relatively to income of other kinds, oug^ht to have been most remarkable. The income Tax Returns deal with other kinds of income also. Accordingly, between these and rent it is possible to make a series of substantially definite comparisons. How the total amount of "land-rent" is deduced from the Income Tax Returns. Rent in the Income Tax Returns is given under two headings :— (1) Agricultural rent. (2) The rent of houses and of the sites on which the houses stand, combined. 9 The kind of rent wliicli, according to George, increased in a greater ratio than income of any other origin, consisted of agricuhural rent plus the rent of sites, but minus the rent of buildings, or tlie interest on the capital embodied in them. In testing his doctrine, therefore, the rent of buildings must be deducted from the total, so that the rent of agricultural land and sites may alone remain. The ratio of site-rent to gross house-rent, which varies from an average of one-third of the latter in London to a negligible fraction in the case of rural cottages, can be shown for the country as a whole to average about one-fifth. The "rent" ot the kingdom, therefore, in George's sense of the word, for any given year, will be about one-fifth of the assessed rent of houses and sites combined, plus the whole of the agricultural rent. The Rent of Land and Houses combined, as compared with other Income. In accordance with these observations complete sets of figures for recent years shall be given pi'esently, but first, in order to give the doctrine of George the inL'ximum of plausibility with which any of his disciples could invest it, we will include in "rent" the rent of hovses as well as sites ; we will confine ourselves to England and Wales — the part of the country in which wealth has increased to the greatest amount ; and also to the period during which the increase has been most rapid ; and side by side with the gross rent of land and houses we will set the gross income derived from professions and businesses as reviewed for pnrp»oses of income tax. 10 A Preliminary Comparison. England and Wales. Rent of Lands and Income from Professions Year. Honsps. and Businesses. 1861 £114,058,000 £81,531,000 1875 £132,720,000 £229,396,000 1899 £187,501,000 £357,834,000 1906 £222,855,000 £450,611,000 Increase ir 45 years [■; 95 per cent. 455 per cent. Thus we see that whilst the rent of the country, that of structures included, increased by 95 per cent., the wages of professional work and the " earnings of capital " (as George called business incomes) increased not in a lesser ratio, but in one nearly five times as great. The rent of Land alone, as comparecf with income from other sources. Let us now go more into detail, and consider " rent " in the strict and actual sense — namely, land-rent apart from building rent — in which it was understood by George, and in which Radical " land-taxers," as distinct from Socialisis, profess to understand it to-day, and we will compare the manner in which such rent has increased, as compared with the increase of the total incomes from professions, businesses and employments, reviewed for purposes of asscs&inent by the Commissioners of Inland Revenue. The figures on which the following table is based will be found in the Statistical Abstracts, Cd. 306 and Cd. 5296. Site-rent, as distinct from building rent, is given as one-fifth of the iolal for sites ar.d hvildivgs for 11 each of the years dealt with — namely, £122,452,000 for 1885, and £210,396,000 for 1906. In order to get the total land-rent, this fifth is added to the rent of agricultural land. Land-Rent of the United Kingdom com- pared with incomes from Professions and Businesses (Schedule D), and Salaries of Empioyees (Schedule C). Year. Rent of Agri- cultural Land. Rent of Sites of Buildings. Total Land Rent. (a) Income from Professions and Businesses, and Salaries of Government and Business Employees, (a) 1885 £65,039,000 £21,510,000 £89,119,000 £330,811,000 1906 £52,053,000 £12,079,000 £91,132,000 £615,819,000 Increase per cent, of Land-Rent, ) anii incomes from other sources J 5§ per cent. ' SG^ per cent. In whichever way we turn and twist the matter, we need only consult the definite official records, and we shall see, if we compare land-rent with incomes of other kinds, that land rent constitutes a constantly diminishing', not an increasing, proportion of the national income. And yet it is this proportionately diminishing part of the national income that the land-taxers select as the special and inexhaustible gold-mine out of which they propose to support a constantly increasing expenditure. Note —(a) Tliese figures represent the gross amounts "reviewed for purpose of income tax," and include a large amount of small incomes, exempt or partially exempt. If the net amounts, on which income tax was actually paid, are taken, the result is even more remarkable ; for, though the net "income, other than rent, increased only by 57 per cent, instead of SQ^ per cent., the net total for land and buildings combined not only did not increase at all but declined by 12 per cent. 12 The Policy of Socialists, such as Mr. Sidney Webb, as distinct from the Policy of Henry Georg^e, Mr. Ure, and Mr. Lloyd George. As has been observed already, the Radical land-taxers (prominent amongst whom is Mr. Lloyd George) propose, as Henry George did, to attack the rent of land only, but Socialists such as Mr. Sidney Webb would treat in the same way the rent of houses also. " The ideal rate," says Mr. Webb, on the annual value of sites and buildings together, would be " 20s. in the pound." To this proposal one practical answer will be sufficient. In the year 1908 the total of land-rent and building- rent which went to persons whose incomes from all sources did not exceed £160 amounted to no less than £34,700,000 gross, or about £30,000,000 net. This is very nearly equal to the total yield of the income tax. Thus the immediate result of Socialist finance would be to impose a tribute almost equal to the total yield of the income tax on a class not one of whose members had more than £160 a year. Issued by The London Municipal Society Economic Department, 11, Tothlll Street, Westminster, S.W., and Printed by George Berridge & Co., 174, Upper Thames Street, London, EC. (Copyright) Julj, i!lll. MEMORANDA FOR PLATFORM USE. These Mamomnda can be supplied assorted according to the requirements of applicants. EACH MEMORANDUM IS DETACHABLE. Analytical Catalogues of Monographs and Memoranda in preparation. Pu.U..,..,Th.^aooMu..c.p^.^^..,Dep^ Number to quote in ordering', 7. Memorandum 1 (coi'responding to Monograph 3 on "The Fallacy of Henry George with regard to the Growth of Rent"). DOES RENT INCREASE FASTER THAN INCOME FROM OTHER SOURCES? CAPITAL VALUE OF LAND AS SHOWN BY SALES. The root pro])(>sitiou of Heiuy George, wliicli tloiiiiuates the ideas of the land-taxers of to-day, is that rent 'increase's faster than income from all other sources. This is a ridiculous fiction, whicli all evidence contradicts. Capital Value of Land per acre, as shown by Auction Sales, recorded in Thr Times, 1889 and 1897. Average Selling Value of Land per Acre. National Income. 1801.20 1871-80 1893-96 CoilPAlllSOX 1. £36 4 £51 16 £26 lO Increase in Capital Value of Land from 1801 to 1880. COMrAETSON 2. 41 per cent. in Capital Value veen 1801 and Decrease— 28 per cent. CHANCE in Capital Value of Land between 1801 and 1896. £230,000,000 ... £1,200,000,000 . £1,550,000,000 Increase of National Income from 1801 to 1880. 420 per cent. INCREASE of National Income from 1801 to 1906. 574 per cent. Pulilisheti liy The London Municipal Society Department of Social Economics, U, Tothill Street, Westminster, S.W. rrintecl by George Berriilge lV: Co-, 174, Upper Thames Street, K.C. [Vapyr'iijht.] Number to quote in ordering, 8. Memorandum 2 (corresponding to Monograph T, on "The Fallacy of Henry George with regard to the Growth of Rent"). RENTAL VALUE OF LAND AS COMPARED WITH INCOME FROM OTHER SOURCES. ENGLAND AND WALES. Cross Annual Income from 1861 1906 Increase in 45 years LANDS and HOUSES. £114,058,000 £222,855,000 95 per cent. Cross Amount earned by Professions and Businesses. £81,531,000 £450,611,000 455 per cent. 1885 1906 UNITED KINGDOM. Cross Annual Income from Cross Amount earned by Professions LANDS and SITES ALONE (Rent and Businesses (Salaries of Employees of Structures deducted). earning more than £160 included). £89,449,000 £330,844,000 £94,132,000 £615,819,000 5§ per cent. 863 per cent. Increase in 21 years See Income Tax Returns (Schedules A and D) in the Statistical Abstracts, and Reports of Commissioners of Inland Revenue, for the years in question. Published by The London Municii.al So,-Iety Department Of Social Economics, 11 Tothill Street, -n-csitmiiister, S.W. Printed by George Berridge & Co., 171, U]i))8r Thames Street, t.C. ICopiJiight.i