CORNELL UNIVERSITY LIBRARY GIFT OF Cornell University Library The original of tliis book is in tlie Cornell University Library. There are no known copyright restrictions in the United States on the use of the text. http://www.archive.org/details/cu31924030120368 RAILWAY CAPITAL ^ AND VALUES PAPER FOR THE TRAFFIC CLUB OF NE^V YORK BY «, W. H. WILLIAMS ■- 7^E. ., ■:■■-.* ''^ '.4|^;,'*\^" ' ' ^' November 24, 1908 imiM\ : ■^0' HE ^JJZC'J f RAILWAY CAPITAL AND VALUES. Mr. President, Guests and Fellow Members of the Traffic Club : The present agitation for a physical valuation of the railways appears to be the result of a mis- conception on the part of the Interstate Commerce Commission some twenty-one years ago of Section 20 of the Act to Regulate Commerce. Section 20 contains a provision to the effect that the Com- mission may require the carriers to show in their annual reports " the cost and value of the carrier's property, franchises and equipments." Over- looking the permission thus granted, Professor Henry C. Adams, Statistician of the Interstate Commerce Commission, in his First, and again in his Second, Annual Report, after stating that satisfactory and conclusive information respect- ing the cost of railways in the United States could not be obtained, suggested an inquiry by the Government for the purpose of obtaining "a trustworthy estimate of the relation existing between the present worth of railroad property and its cost," and declared that "the work thus outlined is indeed a prodigious one." Subsequently, the desire of Governor Pingree to find a means of increasing railway taxation in Michigan gave Professor Adams an opportunity to experiment with his project within the limits of that State. In its Annual Report to Congress for the year 1903, the Interstate Commerce Commission devoted several pages to a discussion of such a valuation as proposed by Professor Adams, con- cluding with the non-committal recommendation " that Congress take this matter under advise- ment with a view to such legislative action as may be deemed appropriate." Physical valuations of railway property have been made, or are under way, in Michigan, Wis- consin, Texas, Minnesota, Virginia and Oregon. The Interstate Commerce Commission made an investigation, in 1900, of the value of railway property as expressed by the market quotations for railway securities and, again, in 1904, in co- operation with the Census Office, prosecuted an elaborate inquiry concerning the " commercial valuation." The latter inquiry was under the direct charge of Professor Adams, and its results 3 are to be found in Bulletin No. 21, of the Census Office. It is, perhaps, dissatisfaction with the results of these inquiries which has impelled the Commission to seek authority to make another and at least equally extensive and costly effort to obtain a valuation by another untried and different method, and in accordance with an entirely different series of definitions. The first evidence of ofl&cial interest in this proposal, outside of the ofiice of the Commission, is to be found in a letter bearing the date of March 17, 1906, which President Roosevelt ad- dressed to the Interstate Commerce Commission, as follows : " It seems to me that it would be a very desirable thing to have a valuation made of the railroad properties. I do not know how much time this would take or how much money it would cost, and whether or not there are objections to having it done, or even if it could be done without the action of Congress. At your leisure I should like your opinion on these points." In reply, the Commission forwarded to the President a letter from Professor Adams, recom- mending an inventory by competent engineers, classifying the physical elements of railway prop- erties, and assigning to each its appropriate pres- ent value, such classification to conform to the classification of construction expenses prescribed 4 by the Interstate Commerce Commission. For the valuation of the surplus or franchise value he recommended the plan used by himself in the State of Michigan. It was stated that the prime motive for the valuation would be its bearing upon the work of the Commission in the determi- nation of just and reasonable rates. In this letter Professor Adams gave a year and one-half as the period probably necessary for such a task, and declared that the Michigan experiment cost the people of that State approximately $5.50 per mile. On the same basis of cost, such an inquiry cover- ing the whole United States would require an expenditure of not less than $1,750,000 (exclu- sive of any expenses on the part of the rail- road). On December 20, 1906, and again on Decem- ber 4, 1907, Senator La Follette introduced a bill to amend the Act to Regulate Commerce so as to provide for the determination of the "fair value" of the railways. In the Commission's letter of March 25, 1908, to the Chairman of the Senate Committee on Interstate Commerce, it strongly opposed the phrase "fair value," claiming that like the word "reasonable," it involved judi- cial determination, and therefore was not "ex- actly suitable as a direction to the ofl&cial body in charge of this work concerning the manner in which it shall be prosecuted." They suggested the substitution of a phrase indicating that Congress desired " an inventory valuation of railway property," z. e., that the property of the several railways be listed in detail, and that each kind or class of property so listed shall have assigned to it a valuation to be determined from the point of view of the contracting engineer, and not from the point of view of a court or board of arbitration, which from the nature of the case cannot judge of what is "fair value," except in the light of some specific use to be made of the valuation. It is to be noted that in the correspondence with the President the Commission advanced a specific use to be made of the valuation, while in their correspondence with the Senate Committee on Interstate Commerce, they objected to the determination of the " fair value," as it could only be used in the light of some specific use to be made of the results. The recommendation of the Commission that the valuation of material in place be ascertained instead of" fair value," is best understood in con- nection with the following paragraph in the report on valuation of the roads in Michigan : "Another poteut reason justifying the plan selected, as afterwards developed, was the necessity of treating the problem strictly as an engineering problem in order to obtain uniform results. It was necessary to employ a large number of engineers expert in railroad work, and while they could agree as engineers they could not agree as experts on taxa- tion. It very soon became necessary to publish an order excluding all thovight of taxation in connection with the results to be obtained. The commissioners required of us only the cost of reproduction and the present value of a road, reserving to themselves any adjustments of these values that might be thought necessary to secure uniformity of taxation." This is tantamount to an admission of inability to secure a valuation possessing sufiScient merit to make it useful for a specific purpose. The plan advocated by the Commission corres- ponds so closely to that followed in valuing rail- ways in Michigan that a study of the methods followed and the results obtained in that State will throw considerable light on the larger pro- ject, its potential utility or lack thereof. The following allowances were made over the estimated cost of material in place : Engineering and Superintendence.. 4 percent. Legal Expenses 0.5 " Interest during Construction 3 " Organization 1.5 Contingencies 10 7 It should be borne in mind that this valuation was undertaken solely for purposes of taxation. The valuation was obtained in the following manner : PHYSICAL PROPERTIES: (i) The cost of reproduction was assumed to be what it would cost to reproduce the road at the average prices pre- vailing for the period of the preceding five years, entirely new in every particular, in say, two or three years' lime, if the entire railroad were eliminated — it^ right of way, yards, stations, and terminals passed into other hands and occupied by just such woodlands, waste lauds, farms, industries, and residences as those now existiug in and on the adjoining country and property. (2) The present value of the physical properties was assumed to be au amount equaling the cost of its reproduc- tion minus the amount covering the depreciation in value from time, wear, tear, etc. (3) In determining the land valuation, the land was classified according to population of the country through which it passed, and where possible, there was obtained the average value of property transferred within five years in the section traversed by the road, and to this an allowance was made for damages to adjoining property. It was estimated the railways would have to pay from 100 to 125 per cent, in excess of the value as determined by adjacent property. (4) No attempt was made to take iuto account the economic value of grades and curves or the absence of them — each road was appraised just as if it was a straight line, and as if its grade line were level throughout. (5) Industrial tracks were scheduled as the property of the railway company, except where it could be shown that they did not belong to the Company, but the right of way and adjacent buildings were not so scheduled unless the railway owned them outright. (5) The rolling-stock was apportioned on the basis of the annual mileage of locomotives, passenger and freight cars and miscellaneous equipment. Where this could not be done it was distributed on the basis of main track mileage. The "percentage condition" of rolling-stock was based on an inspection of 50 per cent, of the road's locomotives and passenger cars, and 20 per cent, of each class of freight cars. (7) To expedite the work and insure more uuiform re- sults, a set of tables was compiled showiug unit prices for all the different elements. NON-PHYSICAL PROPERTIES : I cannot do better than quote from Professor Adams' report to the Board of State Tax Com- missioners, Lansing, Michigan, under date of October, 1900 : "The rule submitted for the appraisal of the immaterial values of railway properties, or what I prefer to term the capitalization of corporate organization and business oppor- tunity, is simple, as follows : (i) "Begin with gross earnings from operation, deduct therefrom the aggregate of operating expenses, and the remainder may be termed the 'income from operation.' To this should be added 'income from corporate investments,' giving a sum which may be termed 'total income,' and which represents the amount at the disposal of the corpora- tion for the support of its capital and for the determination of its annual surplus. (2) " Deduct from the above amount, that is to say, total income, as an annuity properly chargeable to capital, a cer- tain percent, of the appraistd value of the physical properties. (3) " From this amount should be deducted taxes, rents paid for the lease of property operated, provided such prop- erty is not covered by the physical valuation made the basis of the annuity referred to under paragraph 2, and permanent improvements charged directly to income. The remainder would represent the surplus which, capitalized at a certain rate of interest, gives the value of immaterial properties.'- In justification of the placing of a valuation on the non-physical property, Professor Adams stated in. his report : "It is understood that the object of the investigation in- stituted by the Michigan Tax Commissioners is to determine whether the properties imposed with specific taxes pay, upon their true value, a rate equal to the rate paid by property taxed under the general tax law. The suggestions here sub- mitted pertain to railways organized as corporations and whose chief business is that of transportation. "It is submitted that this non-physical or immaterial element is not a simple commercial element, but includes among other things the following : (i) "It includes the franchise — (a) "to be a corporation. [6) "to use public property and employ public au- thority for corporate ends. (2) "It includes the possession of traffic not exposed to competition, as, for example, local traflSc. (3) "It includes the possessiou of traffic held by estab- lished connections, although exposed to competition, as, for example, through traffic that is secured because the line in question is a link in a through route. (4) "It includes a value on account of the organization and vitality of the industries served by the corporation, as well as of the organizition and vitality of the industry which renders the service; this value, consequently, is, in part, of the nature of an unearned increment to the corporation." In Michigan the cost of reproduction when new was estimated at $202,716,262, and the then present value was $166,398,156. The value of the non-physical properties was estimated by Professor Adams at $35,814,043, making the total then present value $202,212,199, or $504,- 063 less than the estimated cost of reproduction when new, or 0.2 of i per cent. It is, of course, evident that the method thus outlined makes the estimate of value of non-physical property wholly dependent upon the rates of interest used. In- teresting evidence of this is to be found in the fact that while Professor Adams valued the fran- chises of the Michigan Central Railroad at $i8,259)88o, another economist, of equal distinc- tion, Professor Bmory R. Johnson, of the Uni- versity of Pennsylvania, and a former Isthmian Canal Commissioner, computed the value of the same franchises as $3,227,000. The methods used in both cases were identical except as to the rate of interest assumed to be applicable. There is little, if any, difference in the basis used in the several States for determining the cost of material in place. That basis may, among other things, be criticized as follows : (i) No allowance is made for discount on se- curities sold. Discount is a partial capitalization of the com- mercial risk had in making the investment, and it increases or decreases in proportion to the probability of the earning power of money under existing conditions. Not only is this practice justified by long established commercial usage, but also by judicial determination. (2) The interest during construction (3 per cent.) is less than a fair and reasonable return on the investment. (3) No allowance is made for working capital with which to carry on the business. (4) No allowance is made for wear and tear of material during the period of construction. Assuming eight years to be the life of a tie, and three years the period of construction, a substan- tial percentage of the period of i:sefulness is over before the road is in operation. The use of the rails before the track is put in proper line and surface hastens the time when they must be removed. (5) No allowance has been made for impact and adaptation. After the line is placed in op- eration, each fill will sink one foot for every ten feet of height. The slope of cuts must be in- creased to prevent landslides and washouts. The ballast will pound into the roadbed, necessitating additional ballast to secure a standard cross sec- tion. (6) A uniform price for earthwork was used, thus ignoring the varying character of the soil and length of haul. (7) A uniform price list for all materials was used, thus ignoring the source of supply and cost of delivery to point of use. (8) No allowance was made for interference with work on account of labor troubles, condition of the weather, etc., which would vary materially in the different counties of the same state. (9) No allowance is made for carrying charges until such time as the road was placed on a reve- nue basis. The basis of the valuation of the non-physical property in Michigan is also subject to criticism, namely : No consideration has been given to the leasehold interests. In some cases the leased property is operated at cost, and all revenue goes to the operating company. In others the road is operated at a loss, while in the case of union de- pot and terminal companies they are usually operated on the basis of cost, and no allowance is made for interest on investment. Therefore it will be seen there remain to be de- termined many questions vitally affecting the value of the property without regard to its value as a " going concern." There should be no diiference in the basis of arriving at the value, as a "going concern," of the property of a railway and any industrial establish- ment, nor should there be any difference in the basis of valuation for taxation or other purposes. There is common to both the value due to loca- tion, good will, etc. In the case of real estate, a corner store will sell for more than the adjoining store, or, if 13 leased, will bring a greater rental, although the two stores may be part of one building and built on the same kind of soil. That there are other intangible values attached to property was shown in the damages assessed in connection with the construction of the Elevated Railway in New York City. Damages were awarded on account of partial shutting off of light, interference with ventilation, or because of the increased dust and noise. In the manufacturing and commercial pursuits, "good will" frequently is considered of greater value than the tangible assets. That it is which gives value to the trade-mark. Railroads maintain industrial bureaus, whose energy is concentrated on the location of new and enlargement of existing industries. As between two roads a decision will largely rest on the treatment of the patrons by the respective man- agements, so that the location of industries in towns served only by one line may be said to depend largely on the good will. At competitive points, and on through traffic passing over the line from one carrier to another, the rates being equal via each of the several roads, the routing of the freight over the intermediate carrier is dependent on service performed, etc., and is an- 14 other evidence of the good will attached to the railway property. Neither the property of a railroad nor any other property is of any value without the right and ability to use it, and to obtain full value there must be the right and ability to use in the manner for which the property is best adapted. In purchasing any completed railroad property, at a price greater than the cost thereof of material in place, the additional amount is the capitaliza- tion of the good will or business opportunity. Can we deny to one carrier a right that is given another ? In an address delivered at Minneapolis last December, Hon. Robert H. Shields, who was then, and is now, the President of the Michigan Tax Commission, criticized the work of Messrs. Cooley and Adams, in Michigan, and the follow- ing expression of opinion is especially worthy of repetition : "The pendulum of unequal taxation in Michigan, so far as the railroads are now concerned, has already pretty nearly swung tlie return limit, aud a strict adherence to this theory in assessing Michijjan railroads, considering the methods employed in assessing other property, -would not only not be a square deal, but would mean nothing more nor less than confiscation." * * Bold, ours. '5 In 1900, Professor Adams allowed an annuity of 4^ per cent, on the engineer's estimate of the then present cost of reproduction of the physical property of the Michigan Central, and he capital- ized the non-physical property at 6 per cent. In 1902, Professor Adams used lower rates of valuation for the Michigan Central, viz., 3^ per cent, for physical and 5 per cent, for non-physical — thus by a change in interest rate increasing in two years the value of the Michigan Central to the extent of $20,000,000. On such a basis, as the valuation for taxes increases, the returns to the stockholders would decrease. The 1900 figures were based on the operations for ten years, while the 1902 figures were based on the operations for five years, the latter in 1902 giving the higher valuation for taxation. As to the result of the work in Wisconsin, I have the following information regarding one of the electric railways : VALUATION OF PHYSICAL PROPERTY: New $9,000,000 Present condition 7,000,000 Cost of property to present holders... 19,600,000 Securities outstanding (par value).... 18,000,000 Valuation for taxation by Wisconsin State Board of Assessment 17,000,000 i6 on which taxes for 1908 will be approximately $200,000, or about 6^^ per cent, of the gross earnings. While they are required to pay taxes on a valuation of $17,000,000, an effort is now being made by the public authorities to have the pas- senger rates reduced on the basis of the $7,000,000 estimated value of the physical property in its existing condition. Ordinarily we should expect to see the valua- tion for taxation much less than the valuation used as the basis for making rates, or for capital- ization. Generally speaking, the valuation of property for taxation should be its market value regardless of the purpose for which it is used. Capitalization should represent the cost of the property to the present holders thereof. The valuation for rates is dependent among other things both upon the first cost and the present value as a "going concern." The following decision by the Circuit Court of the United States for the Southern District of New York in the Consolidated Gas Co. v. The City of New York, is of interest: "Property invested — Franchises. " Uuder the settled rule of decision, however, that if property protected by a frauchise is condemned and wholly 17 taken from its owner, the franchise must be paid for, such a state regulation reducing the earning power of property so protected reduces the value of the franchise //'o iaiiio, and the complainant is entitled to add the value of its franchises, if ascertainable, to its capital account before declaring the rate of return permitted by the statute. " Property invested— Valuation of Franchises. "Complainant having followed the universal custom of American corporations, sanctioned by law, of capitalizing its franchises on its organization by issuing stock in excess of its actual investment in tangible property, and having since then earned fair dividends on all its stock, the aniouut of such excess stock may fairly be taken as the value of its franchises at the time of issuance, and where its business has largely iucreased, such value may be assumed to have incieased since that time in proportion to the increase in the value of its tangible property. " Property invested — Title to Franchises. "Where complainant on its organization purchased the propertj- and franchises of existing gas companies, and has since enjoyed and operated under such franchises, it acquired the legal owner-hip thereof under the decisions of the Court of Appeals of New York, and, notwithstanding the fact that the original grantees have ceased to exist, it is, for the pur- poses of an inquiry into the legality of a slate statute regulating its rates of charge, entitled to capitalize their value, especially where the slate has, during such time, com- pelled it to pay a franchise tax based thereon." Based on the company's capitalization of its franchises in 1884, as $7,781,000, the court ruled that under conditions existing in 1905 the franchises were worth over $12,000,000, on which it was entitled to a return of 6 per cent. This is equivalent to about 26 per cent, of the estimated worth of the tangible property, exclud- ing all property not directly operated by the company. The almost vital difference in the i8 method of valuation is best understood by the following quotation from the decision in the Consolidated Gas case : " As to the realty, the values assigned are those of the time of inquiry ; not cost when the laud was acquired for the purposes of manufacture, and not the cost to the complainant of so much as it acquired when organized in 1884, as a con- solidation of several other gas manufacturiug corporations. " It is objected that such method of appraisement seeks to confer upon complainant the legal right of earning a fair return upon land values which represent no original invest- ment by it, does not indicate land especially appropriate for the manufacture of gas, and increases apparent assets with- out increasing earning power. Analogous questions arise as to plant, mains, services and meters ; the reported values whereof are the reproductive cost less depreciation, and not original cost to the complainant or its predecessors. " It appears by undisputed evidence that some of these last items of property cost more than new articles of the same kind would have cost at the time of inquiry ; that some are of designs not now favored by the scientific and manu- facturing world, so that no one now entering upon a similar business would consider it wise to erect such machines or obtain such apparatus. In every instance, however, the value assigned in the report is what it would cost presently to reproduce each item of property, in its present coudition, and capable of giving service neither better nor worse than it now does. As to all of the items enumerated, therefore, from real estate to meters, inclusive, the complainant de- mauds a fair return upon the reproductive value thereof, which is the same thing as the present value properly con- sidered. To vary the statement: Complainant's arrange- ments for manufacturing aud distributing gas are reported to be worth the amouuts above tabulated if disposed of (in commercial parlance) ' as they are.' " Upon authority, I consider this method of valuation correct. What the court shouhl ascertain is the 'fair value of the property being used' {Smyth v. Ames, 169 U. S., at p. 546 ; 18 Sup. Ct., at p. 434 ; 42 L Ed., 819) ; the ' present' as compared with 'original' cost; what complainant 'em- ploys for the public convenience ' (169 U. S., at p. 547; 18 Sup. Ct., at p. 434 ; 42 L. Efi., 819) ; and it is also the ' value of the property at the time it is being used' {San Diego Land Co. v. National City, 174 U. S., at p. 757 ; 19 Sup. Ct., 19 at p. 8ii; 43 I,. Ed., 1154). And see, also, Stanislaus Co. V. San Joaquin Co., 192 U. S. 201; 24 Sup. Ct., 241; 48 L. Ed., 406. It is impossible to observe this continued use of the present tense in these decisions of the highest court without feeling that the actual reproductive value at the time of inquiry is the first and most important figure to be ascer- tained, and these views are amplified by Sa7t Diego Land Co. v. Jaspar (C. C), no Fed., at page 714, and Cottmg v. Kansas City Stock Yards (C. C), 82 Fed., at page 854, where the subject is more fully discussed. Upon reason, it seems clear that in solving this equation the plus and minus quan- tities should be equally considered, and appreciation and depreciation treated alike. Nor can I conceive of a case to which this procedure is more appropriate than the one at bar. The complainant, by itself and some of its constituent com- panies, has been continuously engaged iu the gas business since 1823. A part of the laud in question has been em- ployed iu that business for more than two generations, dur- ing which time the value of land upon Manhattan Island has increased even more rapidly than its population. So, likewise, the construction expense, not only of buildings, but of pipe systems under streets now consisting of continu- ous sheets of asphalt over granite, has enormously advanced. '"The value of the investment of any manufacturer in plant, factory, or goods, or all three, is what his possessions would sell for upon a fair transfer from a willing vendor to a willing buyer, and it can make no difference that such value is affected by the efforts of himself or others, by whim or fashion, or (what is really the same thing) by the advance of land values iu the opinion of the buying public. It is equally immaterial that such value is affected by dilBculties of reproduction. If it be true that a pipe line under the City of New York of 1907 is worth more than was a pipe line under the City of 1S27, then the owner thereof owns that value, and that such advance arose wholly or partly from difficulties of duplication created by the city itself is a mat- ter of no moment. Indeed, the causes of either appreciation or depreciation are alike unimportant, if the fact of value be conceded or proved ; but that ultimate inquiry is oftentimes so difficult that oritjinal cost and reasons for changes in value become legitimate subjects of investigation, as checks upon expert estimates or bookkeeping inaccurate and per- haps intentionally misleading. Cf. Ames v. Union Pacific R. R (C. C), 64 Fed., at pages 17S, 179. If, fifty years ago, by the payment of certain money, one acquired a factory and the land appurtenant thereto, and continues to-day his 20 original business therein, his investment is the factory and the land, not the money originally paid ; and unless his business shows a return equivalent to what land and building, or land alone, would give if devoted to other purposes (hav- ing due regard to cost of change), that man is engaged in a losing venture, and is not receiving a fair return from his investment, i. e. the land and building. The so-called 'money value' of real or personal property, is but a con- veniently short method of expressing present potential use- fulness, and 'investment' becomes meaningless if construed to mean wh^it the thing invested in cost generations ago. Property, whether real or personal, is only valuable when useful. Its usefulness commonly depends on tlie business purposes to which it is or may be applied. Such business is a living thing, and may flourish or wither, appreciate or de- preciate ; but whatever happens, its present usefulness, ex- pressed in financial terms, must be its value. "As applied to a private merchant or manufacturer, the foregoing would seem elementary ; but some difference is alleged to exist where the manufacturer transacts his business only by governmental license — -whether called a franchise or by another name. Such license, however, cannot change an economic law, unless a different rule be prescribed by the terms of the license, which is sometimes done. No such un- usual condition exists here, and, in the absence thereof, it is not to be inferred that any American government intended, when granting a franchise, not only to regulate the business transacted thereunder, and reasonably to limit the profits thereof, but to prevent the valuation of purely private prop- erty in the ordinary economic manner, and the property now under consideration is as much the private property of this complainant as are the belongings of any private citizen. Nor can it be inferred that such government intended to deny the application of economic laws to valuation of increments earned or unearned, while insisting upon the usual results thereof in the case of equally unearned, and possibly unmerited, depreciation." The Court quoted numerous decisions uphold- ing its decision that in determining the reason- ableness of a rate the valuation to be used is that of a "going concern," and not sach a valuation as is now suggested by the Interstate Commerce 21 CommissioB. That Congress has recognized that franchises have value is proven by Section 20 of the Act to Regulate Commerce, which provides for showing in the Annual Reports of the rail- way companies " the cost and value of the carrier's property, franchises and equipments." There- fore, to have amended the L,a Follette bill so as to meet the views of the Commission, would have provided for a valuation, the use of which as the basis for rates would be unconstitutional. The injustice of the Commission's plan as a basis for determining the reasonableness of a rate, or fixing the capitalization of a railway, is best understood when considered in connection with the manner in which the present railway systems have come into existence. Originally the roads were built with varying gauges for track ; some being less and others more than the present standard, and owing to the sparsely settled territory traversed by the railway, the first cost of the line was kept down to the minimum. The development of the traffic and the con- struction of competing lines necessitated im- proved facilities and more economical operation. This caused the roads to be rebuilt as standard 22 gauge lines, and the purchase of rolling-stock of greater capacity (thus necessitating the purchase of additional right of way), the widening of cuts and fills, and the purchase of new ties, bridges, rolling-stock, etc. For the light capacity rails there have been substituted rails 85 to 100 lbs. per yard. Wooden trestles have either been filled with earth and rocks or have given place to iron bridges, or to stone or concrete arches. The single-track line has been superseded by systems of two, three, or four main tracks. The cost price of a line originally built with a 0.3 grade line would be less than to first build it with a grade of i per cent., and subsequently reduce this under traffic to 0.3. The first cost of a line originally built as double-track would be less than to first build one track and subsequently relocate all or a portion of it in the building of a second main track. The ultimate first cost is also greater where the line is originally built with temporary structures and small equipment, which later give way to permanent structures and modern equipment. Had the Government in the early days under- taken to require the railroad companies to build their lines in accordance with modern standards, 23 the small amount of traffic then moving would not have been sufficient to have paid a reasonable return on the investment, and the building of the railways and the development of the country would have been delayed for many years. Also, there was so much uncertainty regarding the traffic that the financial risk in connection with the construction of the railroads was materially greater than that of ordinary commercial pursuits, and to attract investors it was necessary to sell the bonds at a substantial discount. In some cases, stock was offered as a bonus with bonds, and the value thereof may be considered as a dis- count on securities sold. Whether it be cash or stock, the discount represented the commercial risk. As this risk decreased, the value of the property as a " going concern " increased, until the increased value of the terminals and right of way, and the value of the franchises, good will, etc., more than offset the par value of the securities originally issued on account of the commercial risk. To now readjust the securities on the basis of "present cost of material in place" is to ignore the risks assumed by those to whom the country is obligated for the great development of the 24 transportation systems (as well as the country), and is to place on an equality with them, com- panies entering the railroad field to-day who do not assume such great risks, and who are not responsible in any way for such development. In 1848, the Chief Engineer of the Pennsyl- vania Railroad estimated the cost of right of way from Harrisburg to Pittsburgh, 245.8 miles, at $154,294. How much has the Wabash paid for right of way into Pittsburgh alone ? The right of way of the Chicago & Northwes- tern for the new passenger depot at Chicago involved the paying of $6,697,236 for land not half a mile in length. Following the construc- tion of the subways in New York Cit}', and the several tubes under and bridges over the rivers, the market value of property in certain sections has increased three- and four-fold in from two to five years. These are not isolated cases, nor do they apply only to the large cities. It is prob- ably even more true in the smaller towns, the prosperity of which is almost wholly dependent on the success or failure of one or two industries, and the prices of land fluctuate accordingly. Can it not be said, therefore, without fear of contradic- tion, that the appreciation of railway property 25 has more than offset any discount on securities sold? Three purposes to be served by a physical valuation have been advanced. These are: (ist) the fixing of taxation, (ad) the enforcement of reasonable rates, and (3d) the control of financial operations. TAXATION. Railway property is not directly taxed by the Federal Government and is not subject to such taxation. Any interference with this subject on the part of the Federal Government is therefore an unconstitutional interference with a matter reserved wholly to the several states. If this were not so, the impossibility of using the valua- tion of the Interstate Commerce Commission for purposes of state taxation is disclosed by a study of the diverse conditions existing in separate states. The charters of some of the companies make them exempt from taxation. In some states the basis of valuation for taxation is other than the physical property, or its value as a "going concern." In Connecticut it is the value of the capital stock, funded debt and floating indebted- ness; in Delaware the number of passengers 26 carried, net earnings, equipment, and the cash value of capital stock ; in Maine, the gross receipts ; in Massachusetts, the capital stock ; in Pennsylvania, the capital stock and franchises; in Maryland, Minnesota and Wisconsin, the gross earnings. The constitutions of the several states provide the manner in which the valuation of property for taxation shall be ascertained, and usually this is determined by a State Board of Taxation or local assessors, and these powers can neither be delegated to another state commission such as the railroad commission, nor to a federal commission such as the Interstate Commerce Commission. What assurance have we that the laws of the several states will be changed so as to make use for taxation purposes of a valuation of the railways such as is proposed? Certainly so far as its use for this purpose is concerned, the valuation ought not to be undertaken until the state constitutions have in this respect been changed. RATES. Although the president did suggest ascertain- ing whether a valuation of the railways could be made, he has expressly disclaimed having much 27 confidence in its utility. In his speech at Indian- apolis, he said : "At the outset, let it be understood that physical valua- tion is no panacea; it is no sufiScient measurement of a road . " Similarly, Hon. Charles A. Prouty, a member of the Interstate Commerce Commission, in an address delivered before the National Association of Manufacturers, on May 22d last, said : "The popular impression that if the value of our rail- roads were known it would be easy so to adjust rates that a fair return upon that value, and only a fair return, would be obtained, is eutirely erroneous." "Fair value" of the carriers' property must be the "basis of all calculations as to the reasonable- ness of rates," said the Supreme Court of the United States in Sviyth v. An/es, and in Fnmklin County V. Nashville^ Chattanooga^ etc., Raitzuay, afterwards quoted with approval (see Cohimbtis Sozithern Ry. v. Wright, 151 U. S., 470, 479) by the Supreme Court of the United States, the Supreme Court of Tennessee said : " The value of the roadway at any given time is not the original cost, nor, a fortiori, its ultimate cost after years of expenditure in repairs and improvements. On the other hand, its value cannot be determined by ascertaining the value of the land included in the roadway assessed at the market price of adjacent lands, and adding the value of the cross-lies, rails and spikes." In Cleveland^ Cincinnati^ Chicago & St. Louis Ry. V. Backus^ the Supreme Court of the United States said: " But the value of property results from the use to which it is put, and varies with the profitableness of that use, present and prospective, actual and anticipated. Tliere is no pecuniary value outside of that which results from such use." (154 U. S., 445-) Turning to SmytJi v. A^nes (169 U. S., 546), the elements of fair value are found fully enum- erated in the following significant paragraph : " We hold, however, that the basis of all calculations as to the reasonableness of rates to be charged by a corporation maintaining a highway under legislative sanction must be the fair value of the property used by it for the convenience of the public. And, in order to ascertain ihat value, the original cost of construction, the amount expended in per- manent improvements, the amount and market value of its bonds and stock, the present as compared with the original cost of construction, the probable earning capacity of the property under particular rates prescribed by statute, and the sum required to meet operating expenses, are all matters for consideration, and are to be given such weight as may be just and right in each case. We do not say that there may not be other matters to be regarded in estimating the value of the property." Nothing could be clearer than that this "fair value" is not the aggregate obtained resulting from a physical inventory. For "original cost of construction," " the amount expended in per- manent improvements," "amount and market value of bonds and stock," have nothing what- ever to do with the idea of fair value ; and " prob- 29 able earning capacity under particular rates pre- scribed by statute," and "the sum required to meet operating expenses," have but the most remote and indirect bearing upon such idea. Indeed, it is evident that, realizing the potential injustice of rigorously applying either method of valuation, irrespective of the special circum- stances surrounding particular cases, the Court intended to establish a permanent rule which would protect valuations specially adapted to the requirements of each case which should arise. Therefore, it enumerated the principal classes of facts, both historical and contemporaneous, which might affect the problem of justice in valuation, and, carefully adding that the list was not in- tended to be exhaustive, declared that each must " be given such weight as may be just and right in each case." We have already seen that the courts have ruled that in determining the reasonableness of a rate the cost to the present holders as well as the present value of the property as a " going concern " must be ascertained. In none of the decisions has the Court held that the present " value of the material in place " can be used as the valuation for determining the reasonableness 30 of a rate. No valuation, however, can become the sole basis for the making of rates. Given two roads between New York and Buf- falo — one may be fifty miles shorter than the other ; one four tracks and the other single track, the first approximately four times as valuable and fifty miles longer ; one with seventy-foot grades handling fifteen cars to the train, the other with water grades hauling fifty cars to the train. Physical operation and physical construction are obviously the controlling factors in cost, but so long as the cost of operation does not exceed the gross earnings, even these are disregarded in meeting competition. Physical valuation will not eliminate distance or grades or make the country flat where now are mountains. On the other hand, it will tend to eliminate com- petition. The terminals of the Pennsylvania Railroad in and about Greater New York are probably worth as much as their entire line New York to Philadelphia. In the determination of rates following physical valuation, it is hardly conceivable that they would be required to charge double the rate of their competitor without any New York terminals ; or even permitted to charge double, for then what shall the competitor charge ? If an average between the two or of all lines be taken, it will be too large for one road and not enough for another. To use the cheaper line as the basis might prevent a fair return on the cost of the other. Under the ruling of the courts each case must be determined on its own merits and each rate in itself proven unreasonable for the service per- formed before a reduction therein can be ordered. This makes it necessary to first determine the proportion of the value of the property as a " going concern " to be assigned to its business as a common carrier, and theu assign the proper proportion to passenger and freight service. The assignment as between passenger and freight service must necessarily increase and decrease as the proportion of either to the total increases or decreases. It cannot, therefore, be considered a permanent factor, but will vary from year to year and from season to season, and with the volume and flow of traffic, so that which would be a rea- sonable assignment under conditions existing to-day would not necessarily be reasonable under conditions existing to-morrow. Having, for ex- ample, determined for the freight traffic such assignment of valuation, it is then necessary to 32 classify the same as between interstate and intra- state business ; then into local and through traf- fic; then into the various classes of commodities handled. The revenues and cost of operation must likewise be classified to determine the net returns from the particular service performed. This is an almost impossible task. Take two roads traversing the same territory and under the same management, over only one of which are fast passenger trains operated — it must set its track up for higher speed, but who can deter- mine the increased cost of maintenance of track that should go to passenger service? Hancock has said that the tariff is a local issue. It can be claimed with greater force that the question of freight rates is a local issue. The New England States, which depend on other sections of the country for raw materials such as wool, cotton and leather necessary for their in- dustries manufacturing cotton and woolen goods, and boots and shoes, would welcome the elimina- tion of the tariff on the raw materials, while fighting for the retention and possibly an increase of the tariff on the finished products. For simi- lar reasons Western Pennsylvania would favor the elimination of the tariff on all wearing ap- 33 parel, while insisting on the retention of the tariff on iron and steel products. The South, formerly strongly opposing all tariffs, now wants retained the tariff on cotton (and on wool, which competes with cotton), because of its enormous cotton industry. Oregon and Washington favor the tariff on lumber because of their immense forests, and in like manner each section of the country favors a tariff on the articles produced therein, while insisting on the repeal of the tariff on articles secured from other sections of the country. The same is true regarding the rail- way freight rates, and the present tendency is to counteract rather than to ascertain the cause. To-day, England handles the commerce of the world, not because it is cheaper, for example, to carry freight from the United States to England and thence to South America than it would be to carry it direct from the United States to South America, but because of the regular and frequent service established between the ports of England and the other great ports of the world and the absence of such direct regular service to and from ports of the United States. The South can sell little, if anything, to Panama, not because the cost of production is more than in the Central 34 and New England States, but because there is no established steamship service between any Southern port and Panama, while such ser- vice does exist between New York and Panama, and this necessitates greater cost to the South in placing its products f. o. b. at the seaboard. In the development of a community, there are factors of equal or greater moment than rates : DEVELOPMENT OF MANUFACTURING CENTER.— The location of a manufacturing center is depen- dent upon the location of the raw materials, and the market for the finished product; the facilities for assembling the raw materials and distributing the product; the labor market, etc. This can best be illustrated by a case recently called to my attention. Noting the great devel- opment of the rubber trade, and the success of the factories at Akron, Ohio, some gentleman of another city built what was then considered to be the most up-to-date factory for the manufacture of rubber goods. It cost about $250,000. For a long time, however, it was found impossible to secure skilled operatives; the men claiming that they could get as good wages at Akron, and in event of one plant closing down, work could be 35 secured at one of the others, whereas, were they to enter the employ of the new plant it would be necessary for them to return to Akron in event the new plant closed down for lack of orders. Difficulty was also experienced in marketing the goods. Everyone knew of the rubber plants at Akron, and the high quality of the output. It was therefore easy to market rubber manufac- tured at Akron. No one had heard af the manu- facture of rubber at the other place, and were unwilling to buy any considerable quantity of an article regarding the quality of which so little was known. The gentleman told me it was for- tunate that the stockholders were wealthy men, as these two facts had necessitated a further expenditure of $500,000 to place the plant on a sustaining basis. DEVELOPMENT OF JOBBING CENTER. — The de- velopment of a wholesale or jobbing center is dependent, among other things, upon: {a) The needs of the people as deter- mined BY CLIMATIC CONDITIONS, OR THE NATURE OF THEIR EMPLOYMENT — whether in the mines, in the mills and factories, on the farms, or in the woods — and the ability of their customers to buy 36 what are commonly regarded as luxuries. Eacli trade center, to attain success, must necessarily be governed by these local conditions. [b) By the completeness of the market. The merchants of the smaller towns only buy from the traveling salesman the articles neces- sary to carry along the trade until they can per- sonally visit the larger trade centers, because of the inability of the salesman to carry with him a complete line of samples and to properly display all the goods. It cannot be expected that the merchant will travel to one trade center for his stock of boots and shoes; to another for his dress goods ; to another for his cloaks and wraps ; to another for his furs, and to still another for his millinery, when he can save both time and ex- pense by going to one market which will supply all, or nearly all, of his needs. Therefore, the success of the market is proportionate to its ability to furnish any and all articles and of the quality desired. This accounts for the semi- annual pilgrimage of merchants from all points in the United States to the City of New York to buy their spring and fall stock of goods ; New York being the only market having a complete line, both as to class and quality. 37 (<;) Transportation Facilities. This can best be emphasized by an illustration of the work of the Pittsburgh Chamber of Com- merce. By reason of the enormous tonnage of the Pittsburgh district, and the extraordinary efforts each railroad made to secure at least its fair proportion of the traffic, it is doubtless true Pittsburgh enjoys rates as favorable, if not more so, than those of its competitors. Other jobbing centers, however, were constantly encroaching on Pittsburgh's territory, and an investigation disclosed the fact that other jobbing centers secured earlier delivery for their less carload freight; and in view of this, a determined effort was made to improve the service from Pittsburgh. The tonnage did not justify improved service, but the railroads agreed to co-operate with the merchants in an earnest effort to regain that which properly belonged to Pittsburgh. Instead of passing the freight through the various trans- fer stations en route, each causing a delay of twenty-four hours in time of delivery, the freight was forwarded in through cars, and at the time the improved service to any one city was estab- lished, the wholesalers and jobbers of Pittsburgh were notified and they immediately placed their 38 traveling representatives in the territory to solicit orders on the strength of the improved service. The results have been most satisfactory. The less carload tonnage to a number of smaller cities increased from loo to 600 per cent., and this naturally has been followed by an increase in carload shipments. These results were ob- tained without any change in the freight rates either from Pittsburgh or the other trade centers. Co-operation has triumphed where individual effort had failed. A couple of instances will serve to illustrate the point that the question of freight rates is a local one. One merchant complained that the rate from Pittsburgh to Bluefield, W. Va., on the Norfolk & Western, was two cents higher than from Cleveland, notwithstanding the fact that the distance from Pittsburgh was less. Investi- gation disclosed the fact that the shortest distance by rail was ten miles less from Cleveland than from Pittsburgh, also that Pittsburgh, Parkers- burg, Baltimore and Washington enjoyed a low- er rate to Norfolk than the rate from Cleveland, while Cleveland enjoyed a lower rate to Bluefield than did Pittsburgh, Parkersburg, Washington or Baltimore. The merchant was informed he 39 could have the Cleveland rate to Bluefield if Pittsburgh would accept the higher rate which obtained from Cleveland to Norfolk. Inasmuch, however, as the tonnage from Pittsburgh to Norfolk is greater than the tonnage to Bluefield, they asked that no change be made. Another merchant felt aggrieved because the rate from Pittsburgh to Altooua was 33 cents, while the rate from Philadelphia to Altoona was 38 cents, the distance from Pittsburgh to Altoona being, only 113 miles, while the distance to Philadelphia was 235 miles. He felt the rate should be proportionate with the distance. Re- versing the situation, however, and selecting a station about 113 miles from Philadelphia and about 235 miles from Pittsburgh, it was found the rate from Pittsburgh M^as 38 cents, and the rate from Philadelphia 33 cents. The merchant recognized that the existing rates were equally fair to Pittsburgh and Philadelphia. Were the rates between Philadelphia and Pittsburgh proportionate to the mileage it would be equivalent to establishing a wall midway between the two cities, and saying to the mer- chants to the east thereof that they must buy in Philadelphia, and to the west thereof that they 40 must buy in Pittsburgh, and while it might be easier for the merchants of Pittsburgh and Philadelphia to secure their fair proportion of the trade, it would deprive the merchants of the smaller towns of the privilege they now enjoy of being able to buy in competitive markets. If carried to a logical conclusion, would not a rate structure based on valuation ultimately lead to a flat mileage rate ; and if so, will it not benefit the few dealers in the larger cities at the expense of the many in the smaller cities and villages ? CAPITALIZATION . Much of the present misunderstanding regard- ing the relation between the valuation and cap- italization of railroads and other corporations would be eliminated were it possible to handle the shares of the companies in the same manner as those of joint partnerships. In the latter, each of the partners owns a fractional interest in the partnership, but there is no "par value" assigned to any fractional interest. Each stock certificate of a corporation states that the holder thereof is entitled to shares in the capital stock of the company, but also shows the par 41 value per share. It would, however, be possible, and probably wise, to discontinue showing the par value and only show the number of shares for which the certificate is issued; dividing said number into the total number of shares outstand- ing would give the fractional interest of the holder. Were this position to prevail, it might cause a discontinuance of the present effort to secure a stock of a par value of $ioo, the market value of which will remain at $ioo, regardless of any conditions in the, money market, and regard- less of the earning capacity of the property. We all know of roads which have been in existence fifty, sixty, seventy, or eighty years, and know of the improvements that have con- stantly taken place, permitting of more econom- ical operation; and while the return to the stock- holder is little, if any, greater to-day than forty 3'ears ago, it cannot be denied that the shippers and traveling public have been greatly advan- taged by the economies that have taken place, as the freight rates and passenger fares have been materially reduced. The greater part of the property of the present systems was acquired either through purchase, amalgamation, consolidation, or reorganization of 42 other companies, and the price paid therefor by the present holder, and not the original cost of the material in place, was the basis on which the capital securities of the existing companies were issued. In some instances this may have been at thirty or fifty cents on the dollar, and in other cases at two dollars for each one dollar originally invested. The price paid was dependent on the then value as a "going concern," and this, of course, was affected by the condition of the prop- erty, its strategical location, its earning capacity, and its probable enhanced value to the new owners b^' reason of control of traffic thus secured to other lines owned by the purchaser. Certainly it cannot be denied that a road be- tween New York and Chicago, 950 miles in length, passing through a manufacturing district, is of greater value than a road 1,200 miles in length, between the same cities, but passing through a hilly and undeveloped territory a portion of the distance, and through a farming section for a greater portion of the remaining distance; yet the advocates of a phj-sical valu- ation would have us believe that there is no difference in the value of the two if they can be reproduced to-day at the same cost. They unfor- 43 tunately overlook the fact that it was not only the early construction of the shorter line, but its progressive management working to secure the location of new industries and build up those already established on the line, that had secured for it the commanding position it holds to-day. The success of these industries was in a measure dependent upon the service rendered on the road ; any enhancement in value by reason of their location on the road would prob- ably be construed by the courts as something which must be reckoned with in determining the " fair value " of the carrier's property. We have already seen how the present com- panies came into existence, and wh}' there cannot be established an}' reasonable proportion as be- tween the percentage of material in place and the cost of road and equipment as it appears on the company's books. Both the public and the common carriers are more or less familiar with those sections of the .Act to Regulate Commerce which require the Commission to investigate any and all complaints regarding violations of the Act ; and which authorize the Commission to institute inquiries on its own motion; to fix reasonable maximum 44 rates, to establish through routes and joint rates, and determine the division of rates; to award damages; to regulate the allowance to shippers for service ; and to prescribe the rules and regula- tions governing the issue of tariffs, etc. It is doubtful, however, if other than the accounting officers of the carriers are familiar with the provisions of Section 20, and in view of the relative importance of that section to the subject under discussion, it seems desirable that the same be quoted in full.* That you may understand the manner in which the Commission is working under Section 20, I desire to quote the following extracts from Pro- fessor Adams' address of October 11, 1907, before the Government Accounting Officers at Wash- ington : "The Goverutnent has recently undertaken to do some- thing quite diflfereut from that which it has ever undertaken to do before. It has undertaken to exercise a controlling influence upon the administration of railway properties through the agency of their accounts. "I assume, further, that you will not take it amiss if I place some emphabis upon the political aspect of this new step which the Government has seen fit to take, political, not in its party sense, but in the broad sense of political science. What do these orders of the Commission relative to accounts mean for our Government? What do they mean as a form of control of aggregations of capital which, under present conditions, are a menace to the stability of this nation? And I further call attention, in passing, to ^For Section 20 of the Act to Regulate Coinmerce, see page 57. 45 the fact that the sncccess of what the Interstate Commerce Commission is undertaking in this regard, aiming, as I have remarked, at the control of railway accounts, will serve as a model, if it succeeds, for the control of all forms or agencies of consolidated capital which endanger the per- petuatiou of the principles upon which our Government rests. "Now, there is one thing in which this Government is woefully deficient, and that is in the development of any governmental administrative agencies, so far as industrial affairs are concerned. The marked difference between the German constitution and the American constitution is that we over-estimate the exercise of judicial functions, and under-estimate the exercise of administrative or supervisory functions, whereas in Germany the reverse is true. They have a perfect administrative supervision, although the expressions at least of the rights of the individual are less definite and direct than in this country. It is with no intent to disparage the importance of judicial administra- tion, or of that method of procedure which aim.s to redress wrongs by passing judgment upon complaints, but if my view of this situation is correct, the other method of making effective governmental control over industrial affairs con- tains the greater hope, and the significance of the Twen- tieth Section of the Act to Regulate Commerce is that it provides a practical means within a limited area of working out the theory of administrative supervision. " Call to mind that the aim of the supervision pf account- ing is to exercise influence upon the administration and management of railway property ; call to mind, further, that the function of accounts is to record facts, and that true accounting is nothing more, nor nothing less, than the correct statement of what, in fact, has taken place, and, the measurement of that fact in an appropriate figure. Now, control over the manner in which those facts are recorded, and the assignment of some degree of personal responsi- bility upon some specially designated official must result in a very direct influence upon the administration of railway properties. "The method by which it is hoped that this will be accomplished is found in the order promulgating these accounts. " The order holds the accounting officer of each railroad responsilile for the proper application of the rules laid down which, in effect and to the extent that the law has jurisdic- tion over this matter, makes every accountant in this country 46 the agent of the Uuited States Government for the execution of the law. " Now, you may say this is setting up a partnership, as it were, wiih the carriers. That is true. If you go back to the fifteenth century and ask what is a corporation, a very significant answer is made. At the time tlie corporation originated, as an entity in English law, the corporation was regarded as an arm of the State. There was some function which the State desired to perform, or to have done, which the stale, for some reason, did not desire to perform direclly and immediately. It, therefore, selected certain men and said : We will incorporate yon, give to you the liberty of doing this thing, and you will be responsible for the doing of it. The East India Company is an illubtration of a cor- poration of this kind, the corporations that established the State of Pennsylvania and all of our plantations are illus- trations of corporations of this kind. Everywhere the corporation was conceived to be a part of the Government, and within the limits that the Government chose to exercise its supervision, the corporate official was responsible to the Government. "Now, in the industrial development that has character- ized the life of the English-speaking people the modern corporation seems to be more or less of a purely private affair. Our industrial philosophy led to the complete sep- aration of state and industry. As a result of this policy, while great benefits have accrued, certain evils also have shown themselves, and the time has come when it is neces- sary to select certain of these corporations, at least, and restate for them the old and original theory of the corpora- tion. I do not know that this explanation was present in the minds of Congress when it passed the Twentieth .Section of the Act to Regulate Commerce. I do not know whether what I have said was consciously reco)dnized by the mem- bers of the Interstate Commerce Commission when they framed the order under which the operating accounts were promulgated, but this I do know, that through the agency of accounts and by means of that order which imposes upon certain officials of the railroads the personal responsibility of executing the Commission's orders relative to accounts, a long step has been taken toward the realization of the six- teenth century theory, and to my mind the correct theory, of corporations. Such then, very concisely stated, is the political aspect of this government supervision over railway accounting which marks the most recent phase of railway legislation." 47 In connection witli this address by Professor Adams, your attention is called to the following clause in the Report of the Interstate Commerce Commission for the year 1907 : "If Congress designed by the provision which it made for a prescribed system of accounts that the Commission should do what lies in its power to guarantee the sound financing of railways, the making of an inventory appraisal of railway property cannot longer be delayed." There is nothing in the Act to Regulate Com- merce which justifies any one in supposing that Congress expects the Commission to " guarantee the sound financing of railways." Section 20, however, provides a means by which the Com- mission and the public can be kept fully informed regarding the operation and policy of each Com- pany. Their present operations are conducted under contracts with the States ; such contracts being commonly known as charters. Neither party can ignore the provisions thereof without the due consent of the other. Two attempts to have Congress pass a bill providing for a phys- ical valuation of the railways have failed of passage by Congress. It has been stated, how- ever, that the Commission may find it possible to undertake such an investigation under the provisions of the Emergency Currency Act. If this be their position, they are seeking to accom- 48 plish by indirect means something to the secur- ing of which by direct means Congress has withheld its approvaL What Professor Adams (and possibly the Com- mission) has in mind is not a question of regulation^ but a question of control over the operations not only of the common carriers, but of all manufacturing and commercial establish- ments whose business is not confined exclusivel}' to one state. He seeks to secure this control by a physical valuation and a system of accounting. The present plan contemplates requiring the carriers to add to their cost of property any and all amounts which, in the past, have been ex- pended for Construction or Additions and Better- ments and charged to Operating Expenses, Income Account, or to Profit and Loss Surplus, thus changing the General Ledger accounts as they exist to-day. In the event of a ph37sical valuation of the properties the companies will be required to ignore the facts as set forth on the present books of the companies, and open up a new set of books, using as a basis the figures obtained by means of a physical valuation. The present plan does not contemplate any 49 valuation appearing on the books for franchises, good will, etc., notwithstanding the fact that property is of no value without the right to use it. To carry this theory to a logical conclusion, the book accounts should be ignored from time to time, as the physical value of the plant changes with the commercial conditions ; whether this be due to changes or fluctuations in the price of material entering into the construction, changes in land values, or other causes. No plan has yet been suggested as to the manner in which they purpose making an adjustment between the proposed accounts and the securities outstanding. Can we afford to place in the hands of a Com- mission, composed of a few men, the power to write up and down, at will, the value of the carriers' property, especially when we bear in mind that the membership of the Commission is constantly changing ; that different men have different views regarding valuation ; and that we already have the experience of the Michigan Central, where such a Commission, by a slight change in the interest rate, made a difference of $20,000,000 in the value of the property of that company within two years? Shall either the 50 rates or the capitalization of the companies be dependent on so unstable a basis ? The suggestions of the Commission regarding other matters affecting the capital accounts of the companies are equally objectionable and un- fair to the railroads. For example : First. — They have established depreciation accounts without setting up appreciation ac- counts ; notwithstanding the repeated rulings of the courts that depreciation and appreciation must be treated alike. The depreciation accounts as promulgated also interfere with the ability of the operating officer to analyze his expenses, inasmuch as they re- quire the roads to include in their operating ex- penses amounts other than those actually ex- pended, making it especially difficult for those not familiar with accounting systems to distin- guish as between theoretical and actual expenses. Second. — They overlook the right of the rail- roads (and common to all corporations) to capital- ize discounts on securities sold. Discounts on securities sold represent the in- creased commercial risk of the investor as com- pared with other investments in commercial pur- 51 suits, and the right to capitalize the same has been passed on favorably by the courts. Third. — Contrary to almost uniform practice of the railroads, they contemplate the charging to Operating Expenses of from 50 to 70 per cent, of the cost of reduction of grades, changes of line, revision of yards, etc. They ignore the fact that the net returns of a property can be in- creased as much by the reduction of expenses as by an increase in revenues. A penny saved is a penny earned ; but usually to earn an additional penny a railroad has to spend six-tenths of a cent for operation. A reduction of $1,000 in ex- penses is equivalent to an increase of $2,500 in gross revenue. In either case the net earnings of the company are increased just $1,000. If the Commission maintain their plan, and it be sustained, then the investment of new capital for reduction of expenses will be discontinued, and it will only be employed for purposes that will increase the gross revenue. The public are equally interested with the railroads in this question of capitalization. Inter- ference with their ability to secure the necessary capital with which to continue the development of existing lines and construction of new ones 52 must correspondingly adversely affect their abil- ity to properly serve tlie public. The present tendency is to restrict the ability of the roads to raise new capital, while at the same time increas- ing the expenditures for non-revenue producing property through legislation requiring the eleva- tion of tracks, erection of new interlockings, block signals, new stations, and increased passenger train and other service that is unremunerative. The action of the Interstate Commerce Com- mission on the subject of depreciation affected the net earnings applicable to fixed charges, dividends, new construction, etc., to the extent that such charges exceeded the actual expendi- tures during the year. For example, one road showing for 1906 a surplus of $1,400,000, charged for depreciation in 1907 $1,300,000, and the sur- plus for the year 1907 was approximately $200,- 000. The actual net returns of the two years were practically identical, the difference being caused by the substitution, under the instructions of the Interstate Commerce Commission, of "theo- retical bookkeeping" for a record of the facts. The public, not understanding the cause of the great difference in the performance of the railways, as indicated in reports to the Commis- 53 sion, became alarmed regarding their investments, and this assisted in hastening the panic of 1907. In an address delivered in 1907, Mr. L. F. Loree stated : "In the past the energy, courage and skill of the rail- road officers have been devoted to new construction, to the bettering of the )ine and grade of the old roads, to a great improvement in the structure of the track and equipment, and in methods of operation, particularly in getting better loads for cars and engines and the lowering of cost through reduction of train and ton mileage. " The vindication of the wisdom with which the railroads have used the new moneys furnished them is that with a doubling of the capital they have quadrupled the movement; that whereas in 1882 it required a capital investment of more than twelve cents to provide for the movement of a traffic uuit, in, 1905 it required a capital investment of but five and three-quarter cents to provide for this movement. "That the public has not been unfairly dealt with is evidenced by the fact that whereas in 1SS2 a charge of one and a half cents was made for the movement of a unit of traffic, in 1905 this charge had been reduced below one cent. "The problem which is facing the railroads and the people is not how the railroads will be able to maintain this traffic, but how they will be able to haudle the enormous traffic which they will be called upou to handle. It is hard to convey an adequate idea of the seriousness of this problem, lu the eighties a growth of 10 per ceut. in traffic meant an increase of 5,000,000,000 traffic units per auunin, but now it means an increase of nearly 20,000,000,000 traffic units. With a growth of railroad mileage which even last year, when the quantity constructed was larger thau for many years past, showing an increase over the total of less than 3 per cent., with nineteen-lwentieths of the railroads only single-track lines, and with a large portion of these nearly up to the limit of their carrying capacity ; with an equipment abso- lutely inadequate and being but slowly augmented, owing to the destruction of vast quantities of old and obsolete cars and engines ; it seems clear that neither during these years of the past, nor in the immediate future, will the propor- tionate growth of capital outlays in any way correspond with the proportionate growth of traffic." 54 In the year 1906, the amount of new securities authorized by the railroads was about $2,700,000,- 000, and the amount actually issued was but $1,600,000,000. Of the latter sum, $500,000,000 was for conversion purposes, so that the net increase in capital securities outstanding was about $1,100,000,000 par value. This was con- siderably above the amount realized on sale. Some of the proceeds were paid out on discounts on securities sold ; some used to buy securities of other roads ; some used to increase cash on hand or materials in stock, and for other pur- poses. It is probable that not more than $800,000,000 was devoted to construction and equipment. To this latter amount should be added a possible $100,000,000 for construction and betterments contributed by the companies and charged by them to Income or Operating Expenses. This $900,000,000 is probably dis- tributed as follows : New lines $200,000,000 Additional tracks 125,000,000 New equipment 400,000,000 Terminal facilities 175,000,000 Total $900,000,000 55 Can we afford to vest in any Commission the determination of these great questions, fraught with such vital consequences to the prosperity and development of both the railroads and the country ? Shall not the stockholders be permit- ted to operate the property owned by them, under such governmental regulations as may be deemed necessary to secure equal service to all, and at rates not unreasonable ? CONCLUSIONS. Now, gentlemen, I think we have proven : First. — That a general valuation of railway property such as proposed by the Interstate Commerce Commission cannot lawfully be used for any federal purpose, either of taxation, or of determining the reasonableness of a rate, or of fixing the value of railway securities. Second. — That before any valuation of rail- way properties — whether it be the cost of mate- rial in place or the value as a " going concern " — can be generally used for purposes of taxa- tiou, it will be necessary to amend the constitu- tions of several of the states. Third. — That the purpose of determining the reasonableness of a rate, the cost of the property to the present holders thereof, and the valuation 56 of the plant as a " going concern," must be ascertained. Fourth. — That the questions of reasonable- ness of rates do not arise with regard to the whole of any carrier's business, but as to parts thereof for particular services, and that the only valuation which could be of utility in solving these questions would be of the particular por- tion of the carrier's property'specially emploj'ed to perform the service. Fifth. — That in the determination of the reasonableness of a rate the value to be applied is the then value as a " going concern," and a valuation to-day would not apply to conditions existing to-morrow. Sixth. — That before undertaking a valuation for any purpose, it is not only desirable but necessary that a basis fair to all interests be determined, and that the purpose for which it is to be used shall be clearly defined. It otherwise is susceptible of conversion, as Mr. Shields points out, to mean "nothing more nor less than con- fiscation." Seventh. — -It is not wise to give any political body the power to write either up or down, at will, the assets of a corporation. SECTION 20 OF THE ACT TO REGULATE COMMERCE As Amended June 29, 1906. Section 20. That the Commission is hereby author- amhmi/.ed'io . . ^ . . require annual ized to require annual reports irom all common earners reports, subject to the provisions of this Act, and from the owners of all railroads engaged in interstate commerce as defined in this Act, to prescribe the manner in which such reports shall be made, and to require from such carriers specific answers to all questions upon which the Com- mission may need information. Such annual reports shall show in detail the amount of capital stock issued, Prescribed ^ ' contents of the amounts paid therefor, and the manner of payment ^"""^ ''^'^°^ ^' for the same ; the dividends paid, the surplus fund, if any, and the number of stockholders ; the funded and floating debts and the interest paid thereon ; '^ the cost and value of the carrier' s pi operty, franchises and equipments; the number of employees and the salaries paid each class; the accidents to pas.sengers, employees, and other persons, and the causes thereof; the amounts expended for im- provements each year, how expended, and the character of such improvements ; the earnings and receipts from each branch of the business and from all sources ; the operating and other expenses ; the balances of profit and loss ; and a complete exhibit of the financial operations of the carrier each year, including an annual balance sheet. Such reports shall also contain such information in relation to rates or regulations concerning fares or freights, or agreements, arrangements, or contracts affect- * Italics, ours. 58 ing the same as the Commission may require ; and the Commission may, in its discretion, for the purpose of en- abling it the better to carry out the purposes of this Act, prescribe a period of time within which all common carriers subject to the provisions of this Act shall have, as near as may be, a uniform system of accounts, and the manner in which such accounts shall be kept. Time of Said detailed reports shall contain all the required filing reports. Statistics for the period of twelve months ending on the thirtieth day of June in each year, and shall be made out under oath and filed with the Commission, at its oflBce in Washington, on or before the thirtieth day of September then next following, unless additional time be granted in any case by the; Commission ; and if any carrier, person, or corporation subject to the provisions of this Act shall fail to make and file said annual reports within the time above specified, or within the time extended by the Commission for making and filing the same, or shall fail to make specific answer to any question authorized by the provisions of this section within thirty days from the time it is lawfully required so to do, such parties shall forfeit to the United States the sum of one hundred dollars for each and every day it shall continue Commission to be in default with respect thereto. The Commission may require monthly shall also have authority to require said carriers to file reports. monthly reports of earnings and expenses or special reports within a specified period, and if any such carrier shall fail to file such reports within the time fixed by the Commission it shall be subject to the forfeitures last above provided. Said forfeitures shall be recovered in the manner pro- vided for the recovery of forfeitures under the provisions of this Act. 59 The oath required by this section may be taken before any person authorized to administer an oath by the laws of the State in which the same is taken. The Commission mav, in its discretion, prescribe the commission - ' ^ may prescribe forms of any and all accounts, records and memoranda to l°c"^,usand 11 1 • 1* 1 •■ /-i*Ai_ records of car- be kept by carriers subject to the provisions of this Act, riers-oiher forms unlaw- including the accounts, records, and memoranda of the f"'- movement of traffic as well as the receipts and expendi- tures of moneys. The Commission shall at all times have access to all accounts, records, and memoranda kept by carriers subject to this Act, and it shall be unlawful for such carriers to keep any other accounts, records, or memoranda than those prescribed or approved by the Commission, and it may employ special agents or examiners, who shall have authority under the order of the Commission to inspect and examine any and all ac- commission ^ shall have counts, records, and memoranda kept by such carriers, records" ^" This provision shall apply to receivers of carriers and operating trustees. In case of failure or refusal on the part of any such carrier, receiver, or trustee to keep such accounts, records, and memoranda on the books and in the manner prescribed by the Commission, or to submit such accounts, records, and memoranda as are kept to the inspection of the Com- mission or any of its authorized agents or examiners, such carrier, receiver, or trustee shall forfeit to the United States the sum of five hundred dollars for each such ofiense and for each and every day of the continuance of such offense, isucb forfeitures to be recoverable in the same manner as other forfeitures provided for in this Act. Any person who shall willfully make any false entry in the accounts of any book of accounts or in any record or memoranda kept by a carrier, or who shall willfully 6o destroy, mutilate, alter, or by any other means or device Penalty for falsify the record of any such account, record, or mem- false accounts, oranda, or who shall willfully neglect or fail to make full, true, and correct entries in such accounts, records, or memoranda of all facts and transactions appertaining to the carrier's business, or shall keep any other accounts, records, or memoranda than those prescribed or approved by the Commission, shall be deemed guilty of a mis- demeanor and shall be subject, upon conviction in any court of the United States of conipetent jurisdiction, to a fine of not less than one thousand dollars nor more than five thousand dollars, or imprisonment for a term not less than one year nor more than three years, or both such fine and imprisonment. Any examiner who divulges any fact or information which may come to his knowledge during the course of such examination, except in so far as he may be directed by the Commission or by a court or judge thereof, shall be subject, upon conviction in any court of the United States of competent jurisdiction, to a fine of not more than five thousand dollars or imprisonment for a term not exceeding two years, or both. Courts That the circuit and district courts of the United may compel obedience lo States shall have jurisdiction, upon the application of the the commerce mrndamus." °'' Attorney-General of the United States at the request of the Commission, alleging a failure to comply with or a violation of any of the provisions of said Act to regulate commerce or of any act supplementary thereto or amenda- tory thereof by any common carrier, to issue a writ or writs of mandamus commanding such common carrier to comply with the provisions of said Acts, or any of them. And to carry out and give effect to the provisions of said Acts, or any of them, the Commission is hereby 6i authorized to employ special agents or examiners who ^°a"™',fp]°y shall have power to administer oaths, examine witnesses, ^^^"^'^ ^^'^° and receive evidence. That any common carrier, railroad, or transportation company receiving property for transportation from a point in one State to a point in another State shall issue a receipt or bill of lading therefor and shall be liable to carriers Uabie ^ ° to lawful the lawful holder thereof for any loss, damage, or injury j!,°(jf,^g °Jr''i'os°'^ to such property caused by it or by any common carrier, propeny^^' ° railroad, or transportation company to which such prop- erty may be delivered or over whose line or lines such property may pass, and no contracts, receipt, rule, or regulation shall exempt such common carrier, railroad, or transportation company from the liability hereby im- posed : Provided, That nothing in this section shall deprive any holder of such receipt or bill of lading of any remedy or right of action which he has under existing law. That the common carrier, railroad, or transportation company issuing such receipt or bill of lading shall be entitled to recover from the common carrier, railroad, or transportation company on whose line the loss, damage, or injury shall have been sustained the amount of such loss, damage, or injury as it may be required to pay to the owners of such property, as may be evidenced by an}' receipt, judgment, or transcript thereof. I2491AI VALUATION OF PUBLIC SERVICE CORPORATIONS PAPER BY W. H. WILLIAMS For Discussion By Joint Session of AMERICAN ECONOMIC ASSOCIATION and AMERICAN POLITICAL SCIENCE ASSOCIATION Chamber of Commerce, New York DECEMBER 30, 1909 Valuation of Public Service Corporations. Exchanges of the surplus products of indi- viduals, communities and nations constitute commerce. Formerly local communities had no market for their surplus products and found it necessary to produce all commodities required for the subsistence of their inhabitants. Trans- portation made possible interchanges between communities and nations, and these interchanges have multiplied as transportation has improved. Productive efficiency necessitates local specializa- tion of industrial functions, and, in the propor- tion in which it is successfully obtained, does transportation approach perfection. It is not in the original cost of a railway, nor in the condition in which maintained, but in the ex- tent to which it serves to effectuate these inter- changes that a railway has value. The value of a railway lies, then, not in its physical property, but in the use of that property. Value begins with use and increases as use increases. " But the value of property results from the use to which it is put and varies with the profitableness of that use, present and prospective, -actual and anticipated. There is no pecuniary value outside of that which results from such use." (C, C, C. & St. L. Ry. v. Backus, 154 U. S., 445). The things that secure a broad, extensive and profitable use are, therefore, the things which give value to a railway. Among these are : The location of the railway with reference to natural resources producing traffic. If two men were each to start to construct a railway in a country devoid of transporta- tion facilities, one or the other would, in the exercise of a superior judgment, so locate his railway as to obtain a more profitable traffic. This is an advantage of judgment which should apparently receive proper com- pensation. The location of the route selected with reference to economical construction and service. Almost any two communities which might exchange traffic are connected by several routes, but there is always one route over which the railway can be built most eco- nomically and perform the service at least cost. The route which is superior today may become inferior in the near future through the development of business to a volume which would warrant construction over a more costly route in order to obtain more economical operating conditions. The selection of the particular route which, while sufficiently adapted to the conditions of the time, also provides as far as may be for future growth, involves a very high type of business judgment and one which cannot be enlisted in the public service, unless the opportunity for reward is left open. The most desirable route at any given time is that which gives the greatest traffic per dollar of necessary investment. 3. Suitable construction and equipment. Equipping the railway with such terminal facilities, passing tracks, rolling stock, and other appliances as are best adapted to the needs of the traffic. 4. Such combination of capital and labor, and efficiency of management as Avill secure the maximum traffic per dollar of expenditure. This involves good service, a fair wage, reasonable rates, and the maintenance of good relations with the investing public, em- ployees, shippers and connecting lines. It is a combination of all these factors which secures the cheapest cost, the highest wages and the best profits. The question is, shall the railways be per- mitted that profit which is the ordinary reward of effective management, and hope of which is the only means of securing the greatest production per dollar expended, or shall they be limited to an investment return on the capital employed ? Capital cannot be interested in any undertak- ing if its maximum reward is limited to an in- vestment return unless, at the same time, it is reasonably assured that it will not get less. Such an assurance cannot be had under the con- ditions at present surrounding our railways. While the existence of a railway renders the building of another in the same locality less probable, the possibility of rivalry grows as suc- cess becomes assured or increases. Previous occupancy gives no prescriptive right. This competition is not limited to a parallel line, but maj^ be that of a line seeking to market the sur- plus products of a community not served by both. In either case the original line suffers a re- duction in tonnage and a corresponding loss of revenue unless rates are increased. This loss may not only prevent any return to the investor, but may even cause insolvency. It will con- tinue until traffic increases sufficiently to sup- port both lines. In like manner competition may develop through the combination of two or more existing lines for through service, and with the same disastrous results to the investor in the original railway. Capital, therefore, incurs risks which must be compensated if additional capital is to be secured, either for the construc- tion of new lines or the extension and better- ment of those already constructed — both of which are necessary to handle rapidly increas- ing traffic. Further, unless there be a profit beyond the investment return, there is no reward for the con- ception of the undertaking, its economical con- struction, the subsequent additions of improved machinery and appliances, the introduction of economies of operation, nor the maintenance of harmonious relations with the public and con- necting lines, all of which are necessary to secure the greatest amount of trafi&c per dollar expended. No railway can be required to move any traffic at less than the cost of the service performed, plus a fair return on the fair value of that which is employed in rendering such service. Thus, in approaching the question of valuation of railways, we must bear in mind that com- merce cannot exist without transportation facili- ties ; that adequate transportation facilities cannot be had unless capital is attracted, and unless sufficient inducements are -offered to secure effective management. The following questions present themselves : Can a "fair valuation" be made? By what method should it be reached? For what prac- tical purposes can it be used? By whom should it be undertaken ? Accurate nomenclature is the beginning of profitable discussion. No benefit will result from any argument unless the participants have a common understanding of the terminology employed. " Valuation " seems to relate to " value," and a " railway valuation " would seem to be a process of ascertaining " railway value." Value, however, is a ratio in exchange ; that is to say, in commerce. It is the relation which the law of supply and demand has, for the time being, established between one commodity and another. Value, then, is an incident of commerce, and can- not exist without it, and to qualify the term " value " by the word " commercial " is super- fluous, for all value must be commercial. When it is proposed, therefore, to undertake something which is not to be a " commercial valuation," it is plain that the thing to be ascertained, what- ever it may be, cannot be " value." The thing now proposed is not new, although its advocates have been pleased to give it a new name. What they are really proposing is to ascertain " cost of reproduction less depreciation." Through laying undue stress upon the present value of material in place, much confusion has arisen regarding the elements entering into value. This is caused largely by using the term " physical valuation " instead of " present cost of reproduction." This confusion has be- come so great that many regard the present value of material in place as constituting the only element in such value. Little attention has been given to value derived from use. It is un- fortunate that so well-known a phrase as " cost of reproduction " should give place to one which is little understood and has already proved misleading. Nothing is clearer than that the present agita- tion does not contemplate an ascertainment of the actual value of the property. Census Bulletin No. 21 purported to give a com- mercial valuation of railway operating property in the United States in 1904. f In the introduc- tion, Professor Henry C. Adams, Statistician of the Interstate Commerce Commission, stated that it was based on the two fundamental considera- tions by which the market is influenced when property is bought or sold, namely, the expectation of income arising from its use and its strategic sig- nificance. In May, 1906, Professor Adams quoted the conclusions he had expressed in Census Bulletin No. 21, and urged an " inventory valua- tion," which he also called a "physical valua- tion."! That the Commission recognized a distinction between what they have erroneously termed " physical valuation " and what the courts have determined to be " fair value," is clearly indi- cated in their correspondence in 1908 with the Committee on Interstate Commerce of the United t"The two fundamental considerations by which the market is influenced in placing a value upon property when bought or sold, are the expectation of income arising from the use of the property, and the strategic significance of the property. These two considerations are made the basis of the valuation of railway propertysubmitted in this report, . .... "The commercial valuation of railway property, insofar as it depends on income arising from the sale of transportation, is the result, among other things, of an established schedule of freight and passenger rates, from which it follows that such a valuation cannot be used for determining the reasonableness or unreasonableness of the rates in question. The solution of the rate problem demands a separate valuation of the physical properly." {Professor Henry C. Adams, Census Bulletin No. 21, 1904. Page 8.) J " If the above distinction be conceded, it is evident that what is needed is an inventory by a competent engineer, which would result in the classification of the physical elements of railway properties and au assignment to each ele- ment of its appropriate present value. ....... " It is evident that a physical valuation of railway properties might bemore or might be less than the value computed from earnings on the basis of an established schedule of freight and passenger rates, and it would be highly desirable from many points of view to determine to what extent the physical valuation was more or less than the commercial valuation . " (I^etter of Professor Henry C. Adams to Chairman of the Interstate Commerce Commission, May 24, 1906.) States Senate. A bill was then pending before the Committee directing the Commission to ascertain the "fair value" of railway property. They objected to the use of the term " fair value " and asked to have substituted a direction providing only for " cost of reproduction." "The bill in question makes use of the phrase 'fair value.' Unless there is some legislative necessity, which we do not perceive, we question the advisability of using this phrase. "It would seem to us preferable to substitute a phrase which indicates the fact that Congress desires an inventory valuation of railway property. By inventory valuation is meant that the property of the several railways shall be listed in detail, and that each kind or class of property so listed shall have assigned to it a valuation to be determined from the point of view of the contracting engineer and not from the point of view of a court or board of arbitration which, from the nature of the case, can not judge of what is ' fair value ' except in the light of some specific use to be made of the valuation." (Letter of the Chairman of the Interstate Commerce Commission to Hon. Stephen B. Elkins, Chairman Senate Committee on Interstate Com- merce, March 25, 1908.) The Commission has presented no argument in support of this protest against the determination of the "fair value," nor any definite plan for arriving at the " cost of reproduction," nor have they satisfactorily indicated the use to be made thereof if it can be ascertained. Their letter suggests that the valuation is not wanted for any specific purpose. Their objection to the phrase "fair value" is especially difficult to understand in the light of their own previous statements and of numerous decisions of the courts. In their second annual report (1888) they state : "The present value of a railroad property is necessarily very largely matter of opinion only ; it depends upon a vast number of contingencies and uucertainties, a road apparently of great value to-day may soon become worthless by the opening of a competing line having superior advan- tages, or by the competitive struggles of other lines which operate to reduce the income of all ; the value of a railroad largely results from the personal characteristics of its ofiScials ; the policy pursued by its directors, whether con- servative and economical or aggressive and daring, is a great factor in the determination of the current value of the property ; a railroad property is not necessarily worth what it would cost to replace it, and, on the other hand, it may be worth very much more than that." (Page 64.) thus admitting the existence of many elements other than "cost of reproduction" that enter into the "fair value" of a railway property. Possibly it is because they continue to feel that '' the present value of a railway property is necessarily very largely a matter of opinion only " that they do not wish to assume the re- sponsibility of venturing an opinion which may, in its use, be so unfair to the capital and labor affected. The importance of ascertaining their objec- tions to the term "fair value " is further empha- sized when considered in connection with the many expressions of the courts in matters affecting the valuation of railway property. In the case of Smyth v. Ames, 169 U. S. 466, the Supreme Court, while enumerating a num- lO ber of items entering into the valuation of a rail- wa}'-, said : "We do not say that there may not be other matters to be regarded in estimating the value of the property." f In the case of the Chicago, etc., R. Co. v. Min- nesota (134 U. S., 418), the Supreme Court em- phasized the necessity of treating the railway- company and the shipper with equal fairness. In the case of Metropolitan Trust Company v. Houston & Texas Central Railway (being an ap- peal from rates established by the Commission based on " the estimated cost of reproduction of the road"), the court ruled that the Commission had under-estimated the value of the property, having made no allowance for its favorable loca- tion, and that : " In view of the advance in prosperity of the country through which it runs, and the increment to its value due to the settling, seasoning and permanent establishment of the railways, and to the established business and the good will connected with its business, which has been established through a long series of years, and all of which ought reason- t"If a railroad corporation has bonded its property for an amount that exceeds its fair value, or if its capitalization is largely fictitious, it may not impose upon the public the burden of such increased rates as may be required for the purpose of realizing profits upon such excessive valuation or fictitious capitalization ; and the apparent value of the property and franchises used by a corporation, as represented by its stocks, bonds and obligations, is not alone to be considered when determinixig the rates that maybe reasonably charged," (Smyth v. Ames, 169 U. S.. 544 ) ,,,.,,. ■' We hold, however, that the basis of all calculations as to the reasonable- ness of rates to be charged by a corporation maintaining a highway under legis- lative sanction must be the fair value of the property being used by it for the convenience of the public And in order to ascertain that value, the original cost of construction, the amount expended in permanent improvements ; (a) the amount and market value of its bonds and stock, the present as compared with the original cost of construction, {b) the probable earning capacity of the property under particular rates prescribed by statute, and the sum required to meet operating expenses, are all matters for consideration, and are to be given such weight as may be just and right in each case. We do not say that there may not be other matters to be regarded in estimating the value of the property. "What the company is entitled to ask is a fair return upon the value of that ■which it employs for the public convenience. On the other hand, what the public is entitled to demand is that no more be exacted from it for the use of a public highway than the services rendered by it are reasonably worth." (Smyth v. Ames, 169 U. S., 546.) II ably to be considered in fixing the value of the property and the capitalization upon which at least it is entitled to earn, and should pay, some returns by way of interest or dividends . . . . as popularly expressed, the rights of the people — the rights of shippers who use it as a carrier — have to be regarded ; but, as judicially expressed, these last have to be so regarded as not to disregard the inherent and reasonable rights of the projectors, proprietors, and operators of these carriers. ... In countries conditioned as Texas has been and is, such a railroad property and business cannot be repro- duced, except substantially in the same manner in which this has been produced, that is, by a judicious selection of location, by small beginnings, and gradual advance through a number of years, more or less, of unproductive growth. The particular location of this road, of course, cannot be reproduced, and it cannot be appropriated by another private or quasi public corporation carrier by the exercise of the State's power of eminent domain. And even if the State should proceed to expropriate this property for the purpose of taking the same to itself for public use, the location of this road cannot be appropriated any more than any other property right of a natural person or of a corporation can be appropriated without just compensation. It is, therefore, not only impracticable, but impossible, to reproduce this road, in any just sense, or according to any fair definition of those terms. And a system of rates and charges that looks to a valuation fixed on so narrow a basis as that shown to have been adopted by the Commission, and so fixed as to return only a fair profit upon that valuation, and which permits no account for betterments marie neces- sary by the growth of trade, seems to me to come clearly within the provision of the Fourteenth Amendment to the Constitution of the United States, which forbids that a State shall deprive any person of property without due process of law " (90 Fed., 683 688, 689). Thus the court not only clearly set forth that the estimated cost of reproduction of a road is inadequate as a basis of railway valuation, but itself suggested some of the other elements entering into such valuation. In the case of Willcox et al. v. The Consoli- dated Gas Company of New York City, the Cir- cuit Court of the United States for the Southern District of New York undertook a very full dis- cussion of the elements of value,f and in these particulars its views were approved by the t" As to the realty, the values assigned are those of the time of inquiry ; not cost when the land was acquired for the purposes of manufacture, and not the cost of the complainant of so much as it acquired when org'anized in 1884, as a consolidation ofseveral other gas manufacturing corporations. "It is objected that such method of appraisement seeks to confer upon complainant the legal right of earning a fair return upon land values which represent no original investment by it, does not indicate land especially appropriate for the manufacture of gas, and increases apparent assets without increasing earning power. Analogous questions arise as to plant, mains, services and meters ; the reported values whereof are the reproductive cost less depreciation, and not original cost to the complainant or its predecessors. "It appears by undisputed evidence that some of these last items of property cost more than new articles of the same kind would have cost at the time of inquiry ; that some are of designs not now favored by the scientific and manufacturing world, so that no one now entering upon a similar business would consider it wise to erect such machines or obtain such apparatus. In every instance, however, the value assigned in the report is what it would cost jjresently to reproduce each item of property, in its present condition, and capable of giving service neither better nor worse than it now does. As to all of the items enumerated, therefore, from real estate to meters, inclusive, the complainant demands a fnir return upon the reproductive value thereof, which is the same thing as the present value properly considered. To vary the statement ; Complainant's arrangements for manufacturing and distributing gas are reported to be worth the amounts above tabulated if disposed of (in commercial parlance) 'as they are.' "Upon authority, I consider this method of valuation correct. What the court should ascertain is the ' fair value of the property being used ' {Smyth v. Ames, 169 U. S., at p. 546 ; i8 Sup. Ct., at p. 434 ; 42 L,. Ed., 8ig); the ' present' as compared with 'original' cost; w^hat complainant 'employs for the public convenience' (169 U. S., at p. 547 ; 18 Sup. Ct , at p. 434 ; 42 X,. Ed., 819 ■ and it is also the ' value of the property at the time it is being used' {San Diego Land- Co. V. National City, 174 U. S., at p. 757 ; iq Sup. Ct., at p. 811 ; 43 L. Kd., 1154). And see, also, Stanislaus Co. v. San Joaquin Co.^ 192 U. S , 201 ; 24 Sup. Ct., 241 ; 48 ly. Ed., 406. It is impossible to observe this continued use of the present tense in these decisions of the highest court without feeling that the actual reproductive value at the time of inquiry is the first and most important figure to be ascertained, and these views are amplified by San Diego La^id Co. v. Jaspar {C. C), no Fed., at page 714, and Cotting v. Kansas City Stock Yards (C. C), 82 Fed., at page 854, where the subject is more fully discussed. Upon reason, it seems clear that in solving this equation the plus and minus quan- tities should be equally considered, and appreciation and depreciation treated alike. Nor can I conceive of a case to which this procedure is more appropriate than the one at bar. The complainant, by itself and some of its constituent companies, has been continuously engaged in the gas business since 1823, A part of the land in question has been employed in that business for naore than two generations, during which time the value of land upon Manhattan Island has increased even more rapidly than its population. So, likewise, the con- struction expense, not only of buildings, but of pipe systems under streets now consisting of continuous sheets of asphalt over granite, has enormously advanced. "The value oi the investment of any manufacturer in plant, factory, or goods, or all three, is what his possessions would sell for upon a fair transfer from a willing vendor to a willing buyer, and it can make no difference that such value is affected by the efforts of himself or oihers, by whim or fashion, or (what is really the same thing) \>y_ the advance of land values in the opinion of the buying public. It is equally immaterial that such value is affected by difficulties of reproduction. If it be true that a pipe line under the City of New York of 1907 is worth more than was a pipe line under the City of 1827, then the owner thereof owns that value, and that such advance arose wholly or partly from difficulties of duplication created by the city itself is a matter of no moment. Indeed, the causes of either appreciation or depreciation are alike unimportant, if the fact of value be conceded or proved ; but that ultimate inquirj' is oftentimes so difficult that original cost and reasons for changes in value become legitimate subjects of investigation, as checks upon expert estimates or bookkeeping inaccurate and perhaps inten- tionally misleading. Cf. Atnes\. Union Pacific R. R. (C. C), 64 Fed., at pages 178. 179. If fifty years ago, by the payment of certain money, one acquired a factory and the land appurtenant thereto, and continues to-day his original business therein, his investment is the factory and the land, not the money originally paid ; and unless his business shows a return equivalent to what land and building, or land alone, would give if devoted to other purposes (hav- ing due regard to cost of change), that man is engaged in a losing venture, and '3 Supreme Court of tlie United States, the latter court saying : "And we concur with the court below in holding that the value of the property is to be determined as of the time when the inquiry is made regarding the rates (212 U. S., 52). "There is no particular rate of compensation which must in all cases and iu all parts of the country be regarded as suflBcient for capital invested in business enterprises. Such compensation must depend greatly upon circumstances and locality ; among other things, the amount of risk in business is a most important factor, as well as the locality where the business is conducted and the rate expected and usually realized there upon investments of a some- what similar nature with regard to the risk attending them. There may be other matters which in some cases might also be properly taken into account in determining the rate which an investor might properly expect or hope to receive and which he would be entitled to without legislative interference. The less risk, the less right to any unusual returns upon the investments. One who invests his money in a business of a somewhat hazardous character is very properly held to have the right to a larger return, without legislative interference, than can be obtained from an investment in Government bonds or other perfectly safe security. The man that invested in gas stock in 1823 had a ri{;ht to look for and obtain, if possible, a much greater rate upon his investment than he who invested in such property in the City of New York years after the risk and danger in- volved had been almost entirelv eliminated " (212 U. S., 48). is not receivinga fair return from his investment, i. e., the land and building. The so-called ' money value ' of real or personal property is but a conveniently short method of expressing present potential usefulness, and 'investment' be- comes meaniugless if construed to mean what the thing invested in cost generations ago. Property, whether real or personal, is only valuable when useful. Its usefulness commonly depends on the business purposes to which it is or may be applied. Such business is a living thing, and may flourish or wither, appreciate or depreciate; but whatever happens, its present useful- ness, expressed in financial terms, must belts value. " As applied to a private merchant or manufacturer the foregoing would ■ seem elementary ; but some difference is alleged to exist where the manufacturer transacts his business only by Governmental license — whether called a franchise or by another name. Such license, however, cannot change an economic law, unless a different rule be prescribed by the terms of the license, which is sometimes done." No such unusual condition exists here, and, in the absence thereof, it is not to be inferred that any Ameri- can Government intended, when granting a franchise, not only to regulate the business transacted thereunder, and reasonably to limit the profits thereof, but to prevent the valuation of purely private property in the ordinary eco- nomic manner, and the property now under consideration is as much the private property of this complainant as are the belongings of any private citizen. Nor can it be inferred that such Government intended to deny the application of economic laws to valuation of increments earned or unearned, while insisting upon the usual results thereof in the case of equally unearned, and possibly unmerited, depreciation." (Consolidated Gas Companv v. City of New York et al., 157 Fed. Rep.. 849, 854.) In Judge Taft's letter accepting the nomina- tion for the Presidency, he said : " It is clear that the physical value of the railroad audits plant is au element to be given weight in determining its full value ; but the value of the railroad as a going concern, including its good will, due to efficiency of service and many other circumstances, may be much greater than the value of its tangible property, and it is the former that measures the investment on which a fair profit must be allowed. Then, too, the question what is a fair profit is one involving not only the rate of interest usually earned on normally safe investments, but also a sufficient allowance to make up for the risk of loss both of capital and interest in the original outlay. The question of rates and the treatment of railroads is one that has two sides. The shippers are certainly entitled to reasonable rates ; but less is au injustice to the carriers . . . The proper conclusion would seem to be that in attempting to determine whether the entire schedule of rates of a railroad is excessive, the physical valuation of the road is a relevant and important but not necessarily a controlling factor. . . ." Therefore, it would seem only wise and pru- dent to determine, before incurring the enormous expense incident to ascertaining the cost of reproduction, what relation, if any, it will have to the valuation of the railway, that is, to deter- mine how such cost will be used in arriving at value. If it can be used (and I do not to-day say it can), then consideration must be given to the elements that enter into the cost of reproduc- tion. The plan now most generally advocated is that which has been followed by the several states that have undertaken a valuation of rail- ways. Such valuations were undertaken origin- ally for taxation purposes. Minnesota recently undertook a valuation for rate-making purposes. 15 and Texas for controlling tlie issuance of capital securities. There are differences not only in the methods followed by the several states, but there are many items which, as yet, have not entered into the valuation by any of the states and which should receive proper consideration. Among the items that have been ignored or inadequately treated are : 1 . Cost of Surveys. An expenditure of $250,000 for surveys in securing a low-grade line through the Allegheny or Rocky Mountains may save from five million to twenty-five million dol- lars in the ultimate cost of a reasonably low- grade line. This necessitates surveying many routes, only one of which will be used, yet all must enter into the original cost. 2. Rate of Interest during Construction. The allowance of four per cent, is much below the ability of any new railway under- taking to secure capital. This rate can only be hoped for where new construction is undertaken by an existing line whose credit enables it to secure money at such a low rate. 3. Discount on Securities Sold. Discount is a partial capitalization of com- mercial risk incurred and it increases or de- creases in proportion to the probable earn- ing power. This practice is justified b}' i6 long commercial usage, and has had judicial samction. The only question is whether discount shall be capitalized and a reasonable return thereon allowed, or whether, during the time the securities are outstanding, the amount shall be charged proportionately each year against Income. Taking for example, $20,000,000 five per cent, bonds, maturing in iifteen years, sell- ing at ninety, this would result in either : (a) Adding to capital account, the annual interest charge may con- tinue indefinitely to be 5 per cent. on $20,000,000 or, $1,000,000 00 or (d) Deducting this discount from income account, pro rata, during the fifteen years, the annual charge would be : Annual interest charge (5 per cent.), . . $1,000,00000 Annual amount set aside for fifteen years to overcome discount (not compounded), . 133.333 33 Total annual charge during each of the fifteen years, . . . . $1,133,33333 The second plan reduces the ability to pay fair wages, to pay a fair return to capital or to lower rates during the twenty years. Which plan is likely to secure the lower charge for services rendered ? Which is the more likely to attract efficient labor or capital ? If the sink- ing fund be not earned, can the deduction be made ? 17 4. Cost of Material. This must include the increased cost of placing material on the ground without rail- way facilities for transportation. It is a serious error to use a uniform price list for all materials. The source of supply must be considered. 5. Cost of Labor. Labor in construction work is paid a much higher rate than other labor in the same community, owing to the temporary charac- ter of the service, and to the limited supply not meeting the increased demand produced by such extensive temporary work. Labor must be brought in from large labor centers. Boarding accommodations must be estab- lished and train service installed to trans- port men between their places of residence and their places of work. 6. Excavation and Embankments. No uniform price of earth work can be used. It ignores the varying character of the soil and length of haul. 7. Contingencies and Contractor's Profit. The allowance of 5 per cent, is too small. Usually the contractor allows not less than ten per cent, profit for himself, in addition to an allowance for contingencies, and, then, his loss in one undertaking may wipe out his entire capital. For this reason some contracting firms organize a subsidiary corporation for each important piece of construction, thus limiting their liability. iS Banks, recognizing the great risk involved in contracting, are extremely careful in loan- ing money to such undertakings. Not only must the item of contingencies, therefore, be sufficiently large to guarantee the contractor against loss, but there must be some reason- able hope of profit for himself. 8. Effect of Machinery on Cost of Construction. There have been many improvements in machinery and other appliances, which tend to reduce the cost of construction, since most of the railways were built, for example, rail- la3'ing machines. 9. Carrying Charges. Interest on investment and depreciation, if any, of plant prior to time it is placed on a self-sustaining basis. Texas makes this allowance in determining the cost price for the purpose of controlling the issue of capital securities. The Wisconsin Railroad Commission has admitted the right of the investor to capitalize such interest and depreciation. f f " But new plants are seldom paying at the start. Several years are usually required before they obtain a sufficient amount of business or earning^s to cover operatin^r expenses, including" depreciation and a reasonable rate of interest upon the investment. The amount by vphich the earnings fail to meet these requirements may thus be reofarded as deficits from the operation. These deficits constitute the cost of building up the business of the plant. They are as much a part of the cost of building up the business as loss of interest during the construction of the plant is a part of the cost of its construction. They are taken into account by those -who enter upon such undertakings, and if they cannot be recovered in some way, the plant fails by that much to j^ield reason- able returns upon the amount that has been expended upon it and its business. Such deficits may be covered either by being regarded as a part of the invest- ment and included in the capital upon which interest is allowed, or they may be carried until they can be written off when the earnings have so grown as to leave a surplus above a reasonable return on the investment that is large enough to permit it. When capitalized they become a permanent charge on the consumers. When charged off from the surplus they are gradually e::tin- guished. (These facts alone, however, do not always furnish the best or most equitable basis for the disposal of such deficits.) Whether they should go into the capital account, or whether they should be written off, as indicated, are questions that largely depend on the circumstances in each jDarticular case." (Decision and order of^ the Railroad Commission of Wisconsin, issued August 3, 1909, in the case of Hill et al. v. Antigo Water Company. Pages 84 and 85.) 19 We shall, hereafter, call attentiou to the relative replacement cost of a new railway and one in existence twenty-five years, assuming that in each case the securities were issued for the exact original cost, there is then some difference at this time in the relative valuation of the railways as between the capital securities and the replacement value. While extensions of an existing line can, during the iirst year of operation, earn a re- turn on the investment, this is almost invari- ably due to the diversion from some other railway of tonnage controlled by an existing line. A new railroad, without the advantage of traffic thus diverted, will not earn a return during its first years of construction, if indeed it be so fortunate as to earn its operating expenses. During these years, therefore, the traffic does not meet this depletion in the replacement value. This depletion of capital has always been considered as a portion of the cost in secur- ing a profitable going concern. This being true, it is the cost of new material that should be used in determining the present valuation of the railways, and not the cost of new material, less depreciation. 10. Impact and Adaptation. Although other states have not made this allowance, Minnesota has done so in its valuation for rate making purposes. 20 11. Special Conditions Affecting Cost. Additions and betterments made under trafEc (and which were made for the pur- pose of increasing the capacity of the line) necessarily increases the cost of the work. 12. The Cost of Progress. Railways in their anxiety to render the most satisfactory and economical service anticipate the future and substitute better facilities and better equipment before the old facilities and equipment actually require renewal or have become obsolete ; also before the earnings from traffic would permit the writing off of the earlier appliances. The following statement by the engineer who made the railroad appraisal in Minnesota is of especial interest at this point : " It is entirely tenable that the value of an economically constructed, judiciously financed and efficiently managed railway property, or the contra thereof, is not measured by its cost, and, for the instant, it seems necessary to recur to the elementary that cost and value are not synonymous and that the determination of the present value of the physical properties, using reproduction cost as a basis, bears no relation to value in the sense of utility, or as an investment." — (Page 31, Supplement to Annual Report of R. R. and Ware- house Commission, year ended Nov. 30, 1908.) The following paragraph in the report on valu- ation of the roads in Michigan is also of interest: "Another potent reason justifying the plan, selected, as afterwards developed, was the necessity of treating the prob- lem strictly as an engineering problem in order to obtain uniform results. It was necessary to employ a large number of engineers expert in railroad work, and while they could agree as engineers they could not agree as experts on taxa- tion. It very soon became necessary to publish an order excluding all thought of taxation in connection with the results to be obtained. The commissioners required of us 21 only the cost of reproduction and the present value of a road, reserving to themselves any adjustments of those values that might be thought necessary to secure uniformity of taxation." What is the relative value of the physical property of a new railway and that of a railway, say twenty-five years old, each having the same net returns from trafiic, the one being a duplicate of the other? The right of way value would necessarily be the same, but the replacement value of material and equipment on the older railway would only be fifty per cent, of that of the new railway, plus such salvage value as ma- terial may have when retired from service. As- suming that, taking into consideration the changes in cost of labor and material entering into the construction, and the reduction in present market value of material on the older road due to wear and tear, the older road is valued at only ninety per cent, of that of the new railway, is the older railway to receive on its return from traffic only ninety per cent, of the return allowed to the new railway ? The cost of reproduction is a matter of in- dividual opinion. No engineer in estimating on the several important items of construction work for the year will come within ten per cent, of the total aggregate cost. Many of the more impor- tant items are frequently under-estimated from twenty-five to fifty per cent. If experienced 22 engineers, knowing the local conditions, cannot estimate the exact cost, how can those without special knowledge be expected to do so. A very good illustration of this may be had by contrasting the original estimates with the ultimate cost of post offices and other public buildings. An especially good illustration, and one known to all readers of the daily press, is that of the Panama Canal. The original esti- mate of the cost of engineering and construction work was $139,705,200, but the present estimate is $297,766,000 (page 18, President's Message to 6ist Cougress), and it is probable this cost will be greatly exceeded. In the case of the Pan- ama Canal, large expenditures have been made for engineering in the selection of a route and to determine whether a water level or lock canal was the more desirable. These expenditures should be added to the cost. In building a railroad, several routes are sur- veyed to determine the lowest grade that can be secured for a line that can be constructed within the sum on which a fair return may reasonably be anticipated. These surveys are a necessary part of the cost, as otherwise the line secured would not be adapted to economical operation and the increased operating cost would prevent a reasonable return. Existing lines with prevail- ing heavy grades were economically justified at 23 the time of their construction. Such would not have been the case had the traffic originally passing over these lines been equivalent to the present tonnage. The economic development of the country has demanded that the cost of service on such lines be reduced. This has necessitated shortening the lines by the elimination of sharp curves and the continued reduction of grades to the extent that the increased traffic secured through increased carrying capacity or decreased cost of operation through increased tonnage per train has been sufficient to pay a fair return on the additional capital required. Again assuming, but not admitting, that the cost of reproduction can be approximately ascertained, let us see what its relations would be to the rates charged for handling traffic or to the capital se- curities outstanding, or to taxes : RATES. The Interstate Commerce Commission, even while advocating valuation, does not contend that after it has been accomplished, the regulating authority can proceed generally to utilize the re- sults as a basis for rate-making. In the report which the commission submitted to Congress on December 24, 1908, the following appears : " It is not essential to this line of thought to express full agreement with the extreme advocates of valuation whose arguments seem to imply that, if the value of the property 24 is known, a reasonable rate can be determined by mathe- matical calculation. Many other considerations are involved in the problem, notably the manner in which the rate pro- posed will affect the industrial development of the country." (Interstate Commerce Commission Report, 1908, pages 83 and 84.) The foregoing is preceded by the statement that " the amount of profit secured to the invest- ment" may be " one of the most important con- siderations " in determining rates, but this state- ment is specifically limited to those cases, ex- ceedingly few in number, " in which the reason- ableness of a general level or schedule of rates " is challenged. But as the proposed valuation would throw no light upon the amount of the in- vestment, it would shed none upon even these exceptional cases. The real investment at any particular time is the " fair" value of the prop- erty at that time, and it has already been made clear that the proposed valuation would bear no definite relation to this value. The vast majority of the complaints submitted to the Interstate Commerce Commission chal- lenge only particular rates, or particular groups of rates. Even the definitely ascertained value of the property would have but small utility in such cases. The question in every one of them must be whether, in view of the value of the par- ticular service, the rate fixed by the carrier bears upon that service with disproportionate severity. Professor Adams himself has defined the ques- 25 tion in terms which, under the present plan of regulation, leave little, if any, room for the use of the proposed valuation. In an address before the National Convention of Raiload Commission- ers, held in April, 1893, Professor Adams said : "The process of rate-makiug, according to this idea, would be as follows : Determine, in the first place, the income which a railway corporation actually needs. Deter- minCj in the second place, the business which rightly belongs to the corporation by virtue of its relation to the source and destination of freight. In the third place, classify all freight according to a uniform classification. The process of rate- making would then be to adjust rates to the various classes of freight in such a manner that the required gross income may be secured to the company and the burden of payment rest as lightly as possible on the customers of the railways. The principles which lie at the basis of just railway schedules arise from a study of the theory of taxation. As in taxation payment for the support of government should be in pro- portion to the ability of citizens, so the contribution of' ship- pers to the fund necessary to meet the legitimate demands of railways should be made from various classes of goods in proportion to their ability to bear the charges. If this theory of rate-making be accepted, or, indeed, any theory which regards the problem from the standpoint of public interest, the determination of rates comes to be a purely statistical problem, or, at least, a problem that calls for decisions that can only be given on the fullest and com- pletest information as to facts." (Page 51, Report of Fifth Annual Convention of R. R. Commissioners.) Further, in the same paper. Professor Adams gives the following definition of a just rate : "A just rate does not mean a rate which a particular shipper can pay for particular goods, but rather a rate which, when enforced and maintained, entails in a community just and commendable results. The question involved in this controversy is not simply commercial in character, it is at the same time a question of public policy, and as such, like all questions of a political character, demands the fullest and completes! knowledge respecting it." (Page 52.) The foregoing extracts express an idea very similar to that conveyed in the annual report of 26 the Commission for the year 1895, when the Commission said : "To some extent the principles upon which taxation rests must be allowed in fixiug a just rate; to some extent the result of the rate upon the development of industries must be taken into the account in all decisions which the Commission is called upon to make ; to some extent every question of transportation involves moral and social con- siderations, so that a just rate can not be determined inde- pendently of the theory of social progress." (Interstate Commerce Commission Report, 1895, Page 59.) We see that even in the suggestions of Pro- fessor Adams and of the Commission, this ques- tion of cost of reproduction occupies but a very small place in the process of determining the reasonableness of a rate. There is the classifica- tion of commodities (what some of the traffic will bear), the relative charges for short and long haul, and other elements of cost of service, the effect of competition, etc. Thus again do we realize the importance of determining the manner in which the Commission will use the cost of reproduction, if ascertained. Passing over the question whether regulation may properly impose such a limitation upon gross receipts, it must be noted that the ultimate authority, the Supreme Court of the United States, has declared that the minimum income that must be permitted is to have reference to the " fair value " of the property. As it is not proposed to ascertain the " fair value," it is evident that the results of the inquiry would not 27 even furnish a basis for calculating the minimum income which regulation must allow. Perhaps it may somewhat illuminate the dis- cussion to here suggest certain hypothetical questions. Bearing in mind that the power to regulate railway charges rests wholly upon the fact that the railway is a common carrier, and extends no further than the power to control the charges of any common carrier, let it be supposed that an individual operating an express wagon upon a public highway, as a common carrier, has invested in his business the sum of $5,000, and that he performs, within a particular period, five hundred services at a uniform rate of $1 per service, and at an operating expense of fifty per cent, of his gross receipts, thus leaving $250, or five per cent, for the return to capital. As- suming the rate of $1 to be reasonable under these conditions, let us inquire : [a) Does the rate become unreasonable if the introduc- tion of operating economies reduces the operating ratio to twenty-five per cent., leaving seven and one-half per cent. for return to capital ? [b) Does the rate become unreasonable if, with no in- crease in capital, the number of services and the operating expenses are both doubled, with the result that capital earns ten per cent. ? [c) Upon the additional assumption that one-half of the capital was originally borrowed at five per cent., does the rate become unreasonable if the loan is renewed at three per cent., leaving seven per cent, upon the portion of capital actually supplied by the individual conducting the business? If any one is disposed to answer the foregoing questions, or any of them, in the affirmative, he 28 should do so with a full understanding that his answer commits him to the principle that those who engage in public service industries are not entitled to the rewards that naturally spring from superior management. If the rewards of such management are to be confiscated, those who are capable of it would do well to devote their capacity and industry to other lines of activity. If this doctrine should be established, there would be little basis for the hope of further improvement in the methods of public transpor- tation. Perhaps some one will suggest that the proper answer is that the rates do become un- reasonable, but that the required reduction should not absorb all the carrier's gain in either in- stance. This conclusion would, however, ap- prove the confiscation of part of the results of superior management, and involves those who adopt it in the further difficulty that it requires a determination by some government authority of the maximum reward to be permitted. Even under the very simple conditions of our hypo- thetical questions the arbitrary and inexact nature of such a determination is apparent. With the immensely complex and difficult organ- ization of a great railway, it is evident that such a method could not be applied with any degree of accuracy, and that the effort to enforce it must tend to deaden the industry. 29 Referring in its opinion, in the case of Marten V. The Louisville and Nashville Railway (9 I. C. C. Rep. 581) to the decision of the Supreme Court in Smyth v. Ames, and especially to the state- ment in that case as to the use of " fair value " as a means of testing the reasonableness of rates, the Commission said : "It is even difficult to say what constitutes a reasonable rate, and more difficult to give in detail the reasons that lead to that conclusion. Although the Supreme Court of the United States has furnished certain rules by which to test the reasonableness of transportation charges, and although this Commission has endeavored to apply these rules, yet, when- ever it has interrogated railway officials as to whether or not they are governed by them in making rate schedules they have invariably answered in the negative and said that to do so would be impracticable." The truth is, as doubtless occurred to the writer of the foregoing opinion, that neither the industries of the country aside from the rail- ways, nor the railways themselves, could exist under rates calculated from a "valuation" upon any such basis as that proposed. No method of calculating rates from "valuation'', as the term is being used in this discussion, could be devised that would result in rates under which either the railways or the industries they serve could con- tinue to exist. It is not meant by this that there is no case in which such a method could be applied without complete disaster, but it is asserted that the general adoption of such a method of rate- making is impracticable. Although prices and 30 rates in every business not effectively monop- olized tend toward the cost of production, there is no business — either wholly private or quasi- public — in which prices or rates have or could have a fixed and arbitrary relation to cost. The retail merchant may endeavor to add a uniform percentage to the wholesale price of the goods which he sells, but this desire always yields in the face of competitive conditions, for the price must always be one at which the goods will sell. Similarly the railway is obliged to sell its wares, and, while there are certain elements in their cost of production which it cannot ignore, the amount of its investment is not among them. Under some conditions rates must be made which do not produce what on every other 'con- sideration would amount to a "fair return upon the fair value of the property ". The phrase "what the traffic will bear " is generally misconstrued to mean "all that the traffic will bear". What it does mean is: "All that some of the traffic will bear". It can be safely stated that "all the traffic will bear" is charged only in cases where it is found necessary to make reductions from the normal rate in order to permit the traffic to move at all, and that the charge of "all the traffic will bear" is not made for the purpose of securing an excess- ive rate for the service performed. 31 It is a well recognized rule, subject to few exceptions, that rates must be equal upon all routes connecting the same points, although it is quite impossible that the value of the property, the original cost, or the reproduction cost of the property pertaining to the diiferent lines should be the same. The exceptions to the rule tend to support this contention for they arise when a less advantageous line can obtain a satis- factory share of the traffic only by making a lower rate and the most common disadvantage supporting such a differential relation is that one line operates via a circuitous route — a condition implying, along with excessive mileage, higher cost. Again, just as the merchant would Become bankrupt if he allowed his capital to remain in- vested in goods which he refused to sell because the market price had gone below the original cost, so a railway constructed under conditions involv- ing a higher cost than those governing the con- struction of a newer rival, would have no traffic if it insisted upon keeping rates at a level determined by the amount of its own original investment. Bconomic efficiency consists in the ability to produce something at a cost which will permit it to be sold, and actually to sell it, at a price that leaves a profit to both the seller and the pur- chaser. Rates for railwaj^ service must be fixed at such a level that the service obtained by the 32 shipper is worth to him something more than he is asked to pay for it. Efficient railway manage- ment consists in being able to perform the great- est possible number of services at a cost to the railway somewhat lower than the rates charged. It is this margin between cost of producing trans- portation and the rates obtained which determines the value of the railway property, and it is a dangerous delusion which assumes that this re- lationship of cause and effect can be reversed. CAPITALIZATION. Discussion of the question of capitalization will be somewhat clarified if we bear in mind the difference between capitalization and capital securities. Too often the terms are used as synonyms. During recent years capital stock of some of the leading companies has sold at a considerable advance over its par value. Let us say one hundred and fifty dollars per share is obtained for stock having a par value of one hundred dollars. One hundred and fifty dollars will then represent the capitalization, while one hundred dollars will represent the capital secur- ities. In like manner any surplus earnings which have not been paid to the stockholders as dividends, or for which they have not re- ceived new capital stock will not be reflected in the capital securities of the company, although continuing in the capital account. It is also 33 erroneous to assume that capitalization per mile of road or per mile of track can be ascertained by dividing the total miles of road or of track, respectively, into the total par value of securi- ties outstanding. The proceeds from the sale of a considerable portion of these securities have been used in the purchase or development of coal lands, timber lands, hotels, or other prop- erty, which do not enter into the cost of the road. The net income of railway companies represents not only the net income from the railway property, but also the income from the securities held, and from coal and timber lands, hotels, and other property not included in the statement of operations of the railway. Nor will the value of securities correspond with the cost of replacement where such securi- ties were issued for the purchase of a going con- cern bought at its fair value. The price paid may be more or less than that element of value, "the then cost of replacement." While the transportation cost is approxi- mately fifty per cent, of the total operating ex- penses, and, these expenses are directly affected by the train load, it does not necessarily follow that the earnings applicable to dividends are in- creased in proportion as the train load increases. This is only true when additional capital is not required to secure such results, otherwise part 34 or all of the saving is required to meet the addi- tional fixed charges. The desirability of in- creasing the train load depends upon whether the resulting saving exceeds the cost of the new capital required. It is to realize upon these sav- ings that reductions of grades, the construction of additional main and passing tracks, of terminal and other facilities and increased investments in rolling stock of greater capacity are undertaken. Note the following statistics of railways report- ing to the Interstate Commerce Commission : igo6 1896 Increase. Amount Per Ct. 222,340.30 20,981.98 73,7<5o.9i 181,982.64 12,439.76 44,717.73 40,357.66 8,542.22 29,043.18 22 18 2d, 3d, & 4th tracks— m. Yard trk. & sidings — m. 68.67 6495 Total miles 317,083.19 51.672 42,262 1,837.914 239,140.13 35,950 33.003 1,221,887 77,943-06 15.722 9,259 616,027 3259 43-73 28.06 50.42 Locomotives— number. „ Passenger cars — n'mb'r Freight cars— number... 25,167,240,831 215,877,551,241 13,049,007,233 95,328,360,278 12,118,233,598 120,549,190,963 92.87 126.46 Inasmuch as the percentage of increased second, third and fourth tracks, of yard tracks and sidings, also of rolling stock, is greater (much greater) than the increased percentage of the mileage of first track, it cannot be denied that the cost per mile of road has increased, especially when we recall that reductions in grade and changes in alignment, installation of block signals, increased weight of rail, heavier bridges, and other betterments, are not reflected in the 35 mileage ; that the cost per car or locomotive pur- chased in 1906 is fifty to sixty-five per cent, above the cost per car or locomotive purchased in 1896. It would, therefore, be erroneous to conclude that a wrong has been committed simply because the cost of road per mile, or the amount of securities per mile outstanding in 1906 was greater than in the year 1896. In the past, the policy of railway managements has been to make additions and betterments when the anticipated return was sufiicient to pay the increased carrying charges, even if such return was not likely to be sufficient immediately to reimburse the stockholders for the old property withdrawn from service, the cost of which would not be reflected by any inventory valuation. Nor would that portion of the capital securities issued for material, have its equivalent in an inventory valuation, which included the material at less than its cost price ; that is, where an appraisal of property is taken before the property is placed on a self-sustaining basis — a difference which can properly be regarded as part of the cost of secur- ing a going concern. There are doubtless other elements affecting the relation between par value of securities out- standing and the " cost of reproduction." All of them should receive full consideration. The system of accounts promulgated by the 36 Interstate Commerce Commission makes it im- possible that cost of property and par of outstand- ing securities should be equal. They expressly forbid the capitalization of many construction items amounting to two hundred dollars or less. Some states have recently ordered the equipment of locomotives 'with electric headlights. While one locomotive might be so equipped at a cost of approximately two hundred dollars, to equip five hundred would amount to ten thousand dollars. There are numerous extensions of existing in- dustrial tracks and additions and betterments to existing structures, which amount to less than two hundred dollars for any one item but, in the aggregate, constitute a large expenditure. That system establishes depreciation accounts but makes no provision for appreciation. It pro- vides for the arbitrary withdrawal from the accounts of the cost of property prematurely withdrawn from service through additions and betterments, undertaken for purposes of improv- ing the service or more economical operation, and does this without regard to whether capital has been reimbursed for its investment. It does not encourage economical operation but does offer a premium to any road which increases the cost of property per dollar of revenue re- ceived; that is, it encourages a result directly contrary to all economical principles. It does 37 not encourage competition, but does make the strong roads stronger and the weak roads weaker. This system of accounts is purely academic, and fails to recognize the basis of past practices or present conditions. It requires the carriers to pay out of earnings many items which should be capitalized. For such of the items as represent property *^ aban- doned to make way for providing the public with better facilities/' the statistician of the Commis- sion admits that there is merit in the argument of the stockholder that the cost of progress should be capitalized.'^' Notwithstanding this, the Com- mission ignored the claims of the stockholder and did so against the unanimous recommendation of the Railway Accounting Officers, and without granting any formal public hearing. Charging *■■ With regard to Additions and Betterments the situation is somewhat dif- ferent. The general facts relative to this clatsification are well known, and the views of carriers respecting them have been compiled. The point of diffi- culty — that is. the point which makes this classification of such paramount importance — pertains to the treatment of abandoned property. Shall the value of abandoned property be kept in the capital accounts, or shall it be charged off? If charged off, shall it be charged to operating expenses or to profit and loss? If charged to operating expenses or to profit and loss, shall it be by a single entry or prorated through a series of months or term of years ? If pro- rated, what principle should govern the determination of the period to be covered by such prorating? This is the most serious of the technical questions yet raised in the develop- ment of a uniform system of accounts, and a point in which the public as well as the carriers have a vital interest. On the part of the public, the argument is stronginsupport of the proposition that the Balance Sheet statement of 'Cost of Property ' should cover only that property actually used in rendering the service of transportation, and that abandoned property should therefore be taken out of the accounts ; but the argument of the stockholder also has merit, which is that, inasmuch as the property abandoned was abondoned to make ■way lor providing the public with better facilities (for it must be held in mind that the question at issue arises in connection with additions and betterments), and further, inasmuch as the first investment was necessary in order that the second investment might be made, it is scarcely just to require the stockholder to sustain the entire loss. It seemed appropriate to state this question, not for the purpose of discussion, but to call attention to the fact that the work of this Division in the development of a system of standard accounts for railways has reached a point where further progress requires a definite expression of policy on the part of the Commission. Asense of equity and an appreciation of business conditions rather than legal or accounting technicalities, would seem to be the element out of which such a policy should be constructed." (Statistics of Rail- ways in the United States, 1907, Interstate Commerce Commission). 38 these items to expenses correspondingly reduces the net returns from the property. A good illustration is the question of increas- ing the tonnage capacity of the track. This can be done by either reducing the grades or building additional main tracks. The reduction of grades necessarily involves some changes of alignment and, therefore, the abandonment of portions of the old roadbed. To secure the same increase in carrying capacity, the cost of the second track and the cost of reducing grades may be approxi- mately the same. If the grades are reduced, a large percentage of the cost must be charged to operating expenses. If additional main tracks are constructed, all the cost must be capitalized. By reducing the grades, the capacity of the line can be doubled and the business handled with fewer locomotives and fewer engine and train crews. No such reductions can be obtained through the construction of additional main tracks. The system of accounts promulgated by the Commission places a premium on the less eco- nomical method. This impairs the ability of the carriers to pay fair wages to employees, to pay a reasonable return to investors, or to secure the lowest rates for shippers. The shippers of the past derived no benefit from these changes, nor would it be possible to 39 collect the cost from them. The benefit to ship- pers through improved service begins when such facilities are installed, and continues indefinitely. Like the Panama Canal, the charge should, there- fore, be shared by future generations rather than requiring the present generation to pay the entire cost. While the public believes that this system secures uniform and accurate results, the oppo- site is true, and theoretical book entries are sub- stituted for entries of actual transactions, which theoretical book entries, raised or lowered at will, can give any result desired, regardless of the facts. We have but to understand the Commission's system of accounting, to realize the necessity of knowing not only the elements which will be permitted to enter into cost of reproduction, but also the uses to be made of such cost before committing ourselves to any general scheme of valuation. The suggested future use of the present cost of reproduction without a reinventory but by a process of addition and subtraction, is equivalent to saying that the present cost of reproduction can be ascertained by applying a similar process of addition and subtraction to the original cost of the property. Neither that plan, nor the system of accounts promulgated by the Commission, gives due consideration to the effect on capital caused 40 by the premature withdrawal of facilities iu the installation of betterments for increasing the productive capacity of the plant. They provide for the systematic taking away from the investor of a portion of the capital which he has invested, without in any way securing to him a commen- surate return. In no instance do they provide for appreciation in either the selling price of real estate or in other elements entering into the value of the railway as a going concern. What could make the risk to capital more extensive ? The ultimate plan proposed by the Commission contemplates a continuance of all actual liabilities the same as heretofore, and, some theoretical lia- bilities (or "accountabilities," as they are called by some who recognize the objection to terming them " liabilities "). Actual figures will not be continued on the asset side of the balance sheet but some theoreti- cal prices and figures determined by a "rule of thumb." The only actual cost figures to be con- tinued on the asset side will relate to non-physi- cal propert3^ Thus we see that, although the Interstate Commerce Act authorized the Com- mission to prescribe a system of accounts that only contemplated a record of the acts of the car- rier^ they have attempted a systevi of control which would permit them to substitute fictitious for actual transactions. 41 The Commission has had no duty to perform which has been or is likely to become more im- portant than the preparation of a system of accounts for the carriers. This work was dele- gated to others. While some carriers were consulted by the statistician, those to whom the work was delegated made a number of recom- mendations to the Commission which the carriers believed would seriously affect their ability to interest capital or improve their property to meet the increasing demands of commerce. These recommendations were adopted by the Com- mission against the protest of the carriers, and they most emphatically denied the request of the carriers that a public hearing be had before the promulgation of any system of accounts. Professor Adams valued the Michigan Central Railroad in 1900 and again in 1902, and in the latter year increased the valuation to the extent of twenty million dollars by the simple device of a change of one per cent, in the interest rate assumed. Prof. Adams valued the franchises at $18,259,880, while another economist of equal distinction. Professor E. R. Johnson of the Uni- versity of Pennsylvania and a former Isthmian Canal Commissioner, computed the value of the same franchises as $2,327,000. The methods used were identical except as to the interest rate assumed to be applicable. No one has yet sug- 42 gested that the owners of the property would be justified in thus attempting to fool either them- selves or the public. Is it not more dangerous to place this power with a political body sub- ject to frequent change in its membership and that, in its past work and public utterances, has claimed to represent the public exclusive of the carriers while admitting that such representation interferes with its ability to be impartial ? Even while urging an official valuation in their report to Congress of December 29, 1909, the Com- mission refer to testimony offered by certain railways and declare that until they are permitted to make a valuation : "There is no way by which the Government can properly meet this testimony." (Page 6). Could there be a plainer statement that the proposed valuation is to be ex parte and adverse to the carriers ? Yet the same report urges that the " value " so " established" "shall be binding upon the Courts and the Commission." Ibtd, page 6. TAXES. We have mentioned some elements that cause differences between the cost of reproduction and the capital securities outstanding. Such differ- ences must also exist between valuation for tax- ation and the par value of securities outstanding, or between the valuation for taxation and the 43 cost of replacement, so long as there is continued the present method of assessing property for taxation. Apparently Professor Adams concedes that, under present conditions, the cost of replacement is useless for taxation purposes. A new theory of taxation with a new name is, therefore, sug- gested, which, while contemplating a minimum investment return to the weak line, would deprive a stronger line of anything over such an invest- ment return, thus taking away all reward for effective management, superior economies and improved facilities and methods. Any sum over such maximum investment return is not to go to a reduction in the rates, but is to be confis- cated under the guise of taxation. Professor Adams maintains that we must follow the English practice of the Fifteenth Century, when the corporation was an arm of the State, f t " The Government has recently undertaken to do something; quite differ- ent from that which it has ever undertaken to do before. It has undertaken to exercise a controlling: influence upon the administration of railway properties through the agency of their accounts " I assume, further, that you will not take it amiss if I place some emphasis upon the political aspect of this new step which the Government has seen fit to take, political, not in its party sense, but in the broad sense of political science. What do these orders of the Commission relative to accounts mean for our Gov- ernment? What do they mean asa form of control of aggregations of capital w^hich. under present conditions, are a menace to the stability of this nation ? And I further call attention, in passing, to the fact that the success of what the Interstate Commerce Commission is undertaking in this regard, aiming, as I have remarked, at the control of railway accounts, will serve as a model, if it succeeds, for the control of all forms or agencies of consolidated capital which endanger the perpetuation of the principles upon which our Govei:n- ment rests. . . . " Now, there is one thing in which this Government is woefully deficient, and that is in the development of any governmental administrative agencies, so far as industrial aflfairs are concerned. The marked difference between the German constitution and the American constitution is that we over-estimate the exercise of judicial functions, and under-estimate the exercise of adminis- trative or supervisory functions; whereas in Germany the reverse is true. They have a perfect administrative supervision, although the expressions at least of the rights of the individual are less definite and direct than in this 44 EFFECT ON CAPITAL, LABOR AND THE USERS OF TRANSPORTATION. While asserting ''that the public is in partner- ship in the public service industries," the scheme fails to recognize that all partners are expected to bring something of value into the partnership and share proportionately in both losses and profits. Professor Adams* scheme, if carried out, country. It is with no intent to disparage the importance of judicial adminis- tration, or of that method of procedure which aims to redress wrongs by pass- ing- judgment upon complaints, but if my view of this situation is correct, the other method of making effective governmental control over industrial affairs contains the greatest hope, and the significance of the Twentieth Section of the Act to regulate Commerce is that it provides a practical means within a limited area of working out the theory of administrative supervision. . . . " tall to mind that the aim of the supervision of accounting is to exercise influence upon the administration and management of railway property ; call to mind, furtner, that the function of accounts is to record facts, and that true accounting is nothing more, nor nothing less, than the correct statement of what, in fact, has taken place, and the measurement of that fact in an appro- priate figure. Now, control over the manner in which those facts are recorded, and the assig^nment of some degree of personal responsibility upon some specially designated official, must result in a very direct influence upon the administration of railway properties. . . . "The method by which it is hoped that this will be accomplished is found in the order promulgating these accounts. . . , "The order holds the accounting officer of each railroad responsible for the proper application of the rules laid down, which in effect and to the extent that the law has jurisdiction over this matter, makes every accountant in this country the agent of the United States Government for the execution of the law. ' ' Now, you may say this is settiug up a partnership, as it were, with the car- riers That is true. If you go back to the fifteenth century and ask what is a corporation, a very significant answer is made. At the time the corporation originated, as an entity in English law, the corporation was regarded as an arm of the state. There was some function which the state desired to perform, or to have done ; which the state, for some reason, did not desire to perform directly and immediately. It, therefore, selected certain men and said : We will incorporate you, give to you the liberty of doing this thing, and you will be responsible for the doing of it. The East India Company is an illustration of a corporation of this kind, the corporations that established the State of Pennsylvania and all of our plantations are illustrations of corporations of this kind. Everywhere the corporation was conceived to be a part of the Govern- ment, and within the limits that the Government chose to exercise its super- vision, the corporate official was responsible to the Government. " Now, in the industrial development that has characterized the life of the English-speaking people the modern corporation seems to be more or less of a purely private affair. Our industrial philosophy led to the complete separation of state and industry. As a result of this policy, while great benefits have accrued, certain evils also have shown themselves, and the time has come when it is necessary to select certain of these corporations, at least, and restate for them the old and original theory of the corporation. I do not know that this explanation was present in the minds of Congress when it passed the Twentieth Section of the Act to Regulate Commerce. I do not know whether what I have said was consciously recognized by the members of the Interstate Commerce Commission when they framed the order under which the operating accounts were promulgated ; but this I do know, that through the agency of accounts and by means of that order which imposes upon certain officials of the railroads the per.«onal responsibility of executing the Commission's orders relative to accounts, a long step has been taken toward the realization of the sixteenth century theory, and to my mind the correct theory, of corporations. Such, then, very concisely stated, is the political aspect of this government supervision over railway accounting which marks the most recent phase of railway legislation." 45 would not only cause the investor in railways to stand the loss from any possible reduction in the estimated cost of replacement or in the operation of his plant, but would give to the public any profits that might arise over and above an invest- ment return. It does not, however, contemplate that the users of transportation shall share with the railway investors, any profits that may arise in their business over and above an investment return. If the plan contemplates that both the mini- mum and maximum return for all lines must be the investment return, then the Government must arbitrarily raise the rate for all lines, in order to secure such return to the weaker lines and these rates must be subject to such modifi- cations as are made necessary by changes in the volume of trafiic, and by changing prices in material. The rates must at all times be sufii- cient to secure fair wages for employees. These conditions would produce unstable rates, the dis- advantage of which, in connection with commer- cial contracts involving prices, is too well under- stood to require discussion here. Has capital assumed no risk, and has its reward been unduly high ? The processes of liquidation through which many roads have passed, answer the first part of this question. The average return today on securities outstand- 46 ing (which members of the Interstate Commerce Commission, the President of the United States and other persons of authority have publicly stated undoubtedly represent approximately the present value of the properties) is not over four per cent. Is this an attractive rate for capital and can the interest of capital be had by limiting its return to the investment return of yesterday or today when we consider the continued dimin- ished purchasing power of a dollar ? The amount of coal purchasable for one dollar in 1907, as com- pared with 1897, decreased approximately 30 per cent, for bituminous and 21.43 per cent, for anthra- cite, and wholesale prices of other necessaries of life, show advances averaging nearly 45 per cent. Reversing the proposition, the selling prices of products of mining, agriculture and manufactur- ing show an increased power to purchase railway freight service equivalent to 47.24 per cent, for fuel and lighting products; 69.19 per cent, for farm products, and an average of 51.97 per cent, for all products. A comparison of rates in the United States with those of any other country will show that American railways have not been unduly exact- ing, and it is well known that the tendency of rates for a series of years in this country has been downward. If due weight be given to the decreased purchasing power of the money in 47 which charges are paid, it will appear that, at no time has this tendency been interrupted. Rates of pay of employees have greatly in- creased and must continue upward as long as cost of living increases. The users of trans- portation and of labor have, therefore, shared in the results obtained from economies in oper- ation, which results have only been secured through the risk taken on the part of capital. Money is only a medium of exchange. The investor is not interested in the money return from his investment, but in the result to be ob- tained with that money, i. e., in its purchasing power. With wheat at fifty cents per bushel, the return on a $1,000.00 five per cent, bond, selling at par, would purchase one hundred bushels, while with wheat at one dollar per bushel, it would only purchase fifty bushels With the cost of living continually advancing, the proposed limiting of income from invest- ments in railroads must necessarily result in increased burdens upon those dependent en- tirely upon such income for support. It must make new investment in these securities un- attractive so long as capital in other branches of commerce is permitted greater returns with equal or less risk. The real situation now confronting the country was set forth in the reports of the Interstate 48 Commerce Commission for the years 1906 and 1907, in which, they called attention to the fact '^that the facilities of the carriers have not kept pace with the commercial growth of the country." f Is it not clear that this situation results from the unfair criticism of railways and that real or threatened injustice in dealing with them has caused investments in their securities to cease to be attractive to capital ? This being true, the need of to-day is, not directly to stimulate com- merce for the purpose of assisting the railways, but to encourage capital sufficiently to enable the railways to at least meet the just demands of f"The extraordinary prosperity which everywhere abounds, with the high prices obtainable for all classes of commodities, have so stimulated pro- duction as to yield a volum.e of transportation business which far exceeds in the aggregate the carrying capacity of the railroads. In a word, the develop- ment of private industry has, of late, been much more rapid than the increase of railway equipment . . . ." " In some cases it is simply a lack of cars, in others insufficient tracks and motive power, in still others wholly inadequate freight yards and terminal facilities " '"Broadly speaking, it does not appear that the existing congestion, amounting in many cases to a virtual paralysis of business, results so much from insufficient car capacity ... as from the lack of adequate tracks and motive power, delays in loading and unloading, and terminals far too small ior current requirements . . . ." "A situation of such gravity calls for every remedy that can be usefully applied (Interstate Commerce Commission report, 1906, Page 17)." "The general question of the provision of adequate transportation facilities unquestionably merits serious consideration by Congress. The whole problem involving insufficient car and track capacity, congested terminals, slow train movement and other incidents may be said to be due to the fact that the facilities of the carriers have not kept pace with the commercial growth of the country." "If business undertakings proportionately increase during future years, the railroads of the country must add to their tracks, cars and other facilities to an extent difficult to estimate. The ability of the carriers to transport traffic measures the profitable production of this vast country, with its ninety millions of people, abundant capital and practically unlimited resources. Manifestly it is an economic waste for the farm, the mine or the factory to put labor and capital inio the production of commodities which cannot be transported to market with reasonable despatch. If the present output cannot in many instances be transported except after ruinous delays, it is not reasonable to presume that capital will readily seek investment in new undertakings. It may conservatively be stated that the inadequacy of transportation facilities is little less than alarmingr ; that its continuation may place an arbitrary limit upon the future productivity of the land, and that the solution of the difficult financial and physical problems involved is worthy of most earnest thought and effort of all who believe in the full development of onr country and the largest opportunity for its people." (Interstate Commerce Commission Annual Report, 1907, Pages 8 and 9J. 49 commerce and thus to encourage increased pro- duction. The Interstate Commerce Commission, or at least a distinguished member of it, has already complained that its functions, combining as they do duties of legislative, executive and judicial nature, are too complicated and inconsistent to be wisely vested in a single tribunal. This embarrassment has been recognized and re- marked upon also, in executive communications to Congress and elsewhere. Further, the Com- mission states in its latest report, that it has already so much work upon its hands that much of it must needs be delegated to subordinate agencies ; and it is certain that if the immense labor of making any sort of valuation of all public service utilities were imposed upon it, it would not be performed by the Commission itself, but by some other persons whom it would employ for the purpose. They did delegate to others so important a matter as a System of Accounts for carriers. Apparently the Commission did not object to undertaking an estimate of the "cost of replace- ment," but they did request of Congress that they be not asked to determine the " fair value," thus raising a question as to their ability to use for any specific purpose such "cost of replace- ment," when ascertained. If it were to be ad- 50 mitted that some kind of valuation of public service utilities should be made, it is not unnat- ural to suggest that the Commission should be spared further confusion of diverse duties by vesting the power to make such valuation in some other agency, whether a committee of Con- gress or a special commission which would be able to give its undivided attention to that duty, which would be found to be of sufficient magnitude to enlist the largest capacit}' of recognized experts. It should not be inferred that the railways object to having a valuation placed upon their properties. In effect such valuations are daily attempted with greater or less success by sub- scribers to new issues of securities and even by those who invest largely in securities heretofore issued. There is, however, serious objection to an incomplete and misleading valuation bearing the stamp and carrying the weight of Govern- mental sanction, which can be of no practical advantage to the Government, the public, or the railways; but ma}^ easily injure the public and the railways by disturbing the confidence of the former and hampering the activities of the latter. It seems ver}? clear that such a valuation as is pro- posed would be wholly useless to the Government for any practical purpose, because it would omit so many factors essential to any fair appraise- 51 ment of the worth of the enterprises as going concerns. The only purposes suggested are for: a Rate-making. b Control of security issues. c Taxation. (a) For rate-making. — Unless the Supreme Court overrules its well-considered decisions herein referred to, such partial valuation cannot possibly form the basis of determination of any rate or rates, general or special. (b) Control of security issues. — No such con- trol is as yet vested in the Commission, nor can it be under the Federal Constitution. There can, therefore, be no advantage in securing such a valuation to facilitate the performance of a function which does not now and probably never will exist. {c) It is assumed that the taxation referred to is Federal taxation, with regard to which it may be briefly said: (i) A partial and unequal valuation could not be the basis of a fair tax. (2) The Congress has already elected to tax all corporations, including railways, upon their net profits ; to which a physical valuation can have no conceivable relation. (3) If in future other methods of taxation should be proposed, to which any valuation is relevant, it will then be soon enough to provide for a valuation which will harmonize with the system under consideration. r5786A|