H^tt QfoUgge nf Agricalture J^t (((arneU UntnetHttg atliata, S-. % ffiibtatg Cornell University Library HD 9075.C16 Cotton future contract trading and adver 3 1924 013 879 725 yj^jj Cornell University Library The original of tiiis book is in tine Cornell University Library. There are no known copyright restrictions in the United States on the use of the text. http://www.archive.org/details/cu31924013879725 Cotton Future Contract Trading aNd Adverse Legislation Editorials From the "Union Guide" OF Houston, Texas. 1911-12 Houston, Texas, April 2, 1912. The question of Future Contract Trading has been agitated with more or less prejudice and violence during the past several years, and a great deal of misinforTaation concerning the same has been exploited. Eealizing the importance of a sane and correct solution of the problem, not only to the producer of cotton but to the cotton trade of the South, I have made a study thereof and have published my conclusions in a series of editorial articles in the Union Guide. These articles have attracted the attention of a good many people who are earnestly in favor of improving the conditions that maintain in the great cotton industry, and in response to numerous requests from these, I have re-published these articles in the present form. It is my earnest hope that these editorials will to some extent serve to bring about a better under- standing of a subject of vital importance to the people of the South. E. A. CALVI^T. CHAPTER I. Cotton Exchanges and Prohibitory Legislation. The threatened passage of the Scott Anti-Cotton-Puture Bill at the last session of Congress aroused so vigorous a protest from the bankers, business men and many farmers of the South, that the- advocates of drastic legislation along these lines may well pause- in order to give more mature consideration to so radical and far- reaching a measure. It is not only advisable that the members of Congress should look further into the effects of such legislation before committing their constituents to the trial of a possibly disastrous experiment, but these constituents themselves, and especially the farmers — they being most directly and to the greatest extent affected thereby — should demand that measures affecting their welfare be based upon intelligent and public spirited investigation and conclusions, and not upon demagogic appeals to prejudice. Economic laws are like the laws of nature — if indeed they are not the laws of nature. They are unchangeable and inexorable and the man or the community or the nation which undertakes to nullify these laws, or to interfere with the operation thereof, or to run. counter thereto, will be broken as a twig in the hand of a giant. The old Dane who undertook to stay the incoming progress of the tide by virtue of his royal command, was not more preposterous and futile than is the latter-day legislator, who makes a demonstration in Congress for the repeal of the law of cause and effect. The late Scott Bill and similar legislation pending, represents Tiot only an attempt to try an experiment in legislation upon one -class of citizens alone and upon one section of our country only, but is the concrete expression of a reckless desire to meddle with the ■complex machinery of a great trade system, upon the unhampered operation of which depends the welfare of many millions of people. It is not to be denied that the operation of the trade system by which the cotton crop is moved from the fields and distributed "to the four corners of the earth, is afflicted with some drawbacks, some imperfections and some abuses. But this is true of all trade svftems and of all human enterprises, undertakings and develop- ments. These distempers of the body economic have been and will be seized upon by the seeker after notoriety, emolument or power, as the means whereby popular prejudice may be set ablaze and he, by the light of it, see the way to the goal of his desires. But the i;rue leader, the patriotic citizen and the public-spirited press should approach these problems from another standpoint. The aim of such teachers and workers should be first, to investigate and study the problems in order that the truth may be known, and then to direct their efforts to the end that the good may be appropriated, preserved and expanded, and the evils eliminated and destroyed. Approaching the Cotton Exchange and Future Trading problem in this spirit, we should primarily advise ourselves definitely and accurately as to the nature and functions of the Cotton Exchange and of Future Trading; then we should examine into the part that these institutions and this trade system play in the modern methods of marketing and distributing the cotton crop ; then we should study "the advantages and benefits derived from the operation of the agencies in question; and then we should inquire into the evils ■complained of, the nature and source thereof ; and finally, we should, in the light of the information obtained, address our efEorts towards such regulation, restriction, prohibition and encouragement, as; would on the one hand eliminate all that is objectionable and injurious, and on the other preserve and strengthen all that operates- for the interest of the great cottoH industry and for the advantage of the producers of the great trade asset of the South. Following the foregoing outline we propose in the first article- to discuss the legitimate Cotton Exchange, w^at it is and what it is not ; and what the results upon the cotton producer and the cotton trade would be if its functions were suspended by legislative prohibi-- tion. COTTON EXCHANGE AND BUCKET SHOP DIFFEEENTIATED. In the agitation that a few years ago swept the country, the- terms "Bucket Shop" and "Cotton Exchange" were used indis- criminately as if — and indeed as was concluded by many — they meant the same thing. At the time in question a very real evil was in existence throughout the South, and very reprehensible- conditions prevailed. Speculation was then rampant, not only in the Southern States, but throughout the entire country as well. Men^ who desired to- profit by this mania for speculation established' offices or so-called "Cotton Exchanges" in a multitude of towns both large and small throughout all the South. These people made • it possible for men of small means, clerks, and even women and' children to speculate or gamble, as they untruthfully announced,,, "in cotton." These offices were not Cotton Exchanges, but Bucket Shops, and the speculators in these offices were not trading in cotton or in cotton contracts, but were simply betting with the proprietor - upon the fluctuations in price that occurred in the cotton market. It is important that the distinction between a Cotton Exchange and' a Bucket Shop should be clearly understood. In a legitimate Cotton Exchange binding and enforceable contracts are made for present. 6 ■and future delivery of cotton, and the prices at which such cotton is bought and sold, both for present and future delivery, are posted upon the blackboards of the Exchange and telegraphed throughout the world so that all who are interested may know what traders are paying for cotton and, consequently, be apprised of the value thereof. In a Bucket Shop no contracts whatever are made. Nobody buys any cotton or sells any. The proprietor of the Bucket Shop, for the purpose of masking his game, adopts the nomenclature of the legitimate exchange and of the actual cotton trade. But in fact all he does is to bet his victims that the price of cotton, as registered by actual contracts and trades in the Cotton Exchange will go up or- down, as the case may be ; and all the victims of tha bucket shopper do, is to take the other end of the bet. The Cotton Exchange, if ^:airlr and equitably conducted, is no more to be condemned and •destroyed because of the practice of bucket-shopping, than is the ocean liner to be condemned and prohibited from crossing the seas because some individuals see fit to bet with each other on the speed at which the vessel will travel. But, as has been said, the terms "Cotton Exchange" and '"Bucket Shop" were used indiscriminately, with the result that to ihe many who did not understand the difference, the actual evil which they observed proceeded from the Bucket Shop in their town, was inaccurately attributed, and denunciation thereof applied, to the Cotton Exchanges in the great markets of the world. Thus the Cotton Exchanges, no matter what their faults may be, have been through inaccurate and unthinking generalization, accused and con- ■demned for faults in no just sense attributable to them, and for -evil practices which the Exchanges have done their very best to ■destroy. THE LEGITIMATE COTTOK EXCHANGE. The legitimate Cotton Exchange is a place where buyers and ■sellers are brought together and trading conducted at less expense. TVith more facility, and in greater volume than could be done if the traders were separated; it is an organization which establishes ■communication with the other markets, both foreign and domestic, •and collects information as to values and conditions, and statistics and reports as to the progress of the crop, the state of the dry goods trade, and the amount of cotton taken by spinners; it frames rules for the government of its members and the trading between them, among themselves, and with non-members ; and finally it establishes tribunals before which disputes may be settled and punishment inflicted upon offenders against honorable conduct in business. Originally the trading in the Cotton Exchanges was limited to ■"Spot" transactions, i. e., to th3 purchase and sale of cotton actually in hand. But as production increased and consumption grew, it was found that a need existed for trading in future contracts, or in ■other words, for buying and selling cotton for delivery at some time in the future. In order that such trading should be conducted with satisfaction and efficiency, the Exchanges in which such trading prevailed, adopted a form of binding contract which must be signed by the parties thereto, and formulated rules governing the conduct ■of the business. In the course of time there came into the markets a class of traders who, although they did not manufacture cotton goods them- selves, were willing to buy cotton when they thought the price was too low, in order that they might sell later at a profit. These traders, therefore, competed with the spinners. They not only bought and sold cotton for present delivery, but also bought and sold contracts' for future delivery. The supply of contracts furnished by these traders, as well as by those who had cotton which they wished to sell, and by spinners who wished to buy to fill future consump- tive needs, constituted what is known as the Future Market, and made possible the very important facility of "hedging." 8 The prices for future delivery made by trades in futvire con- tracts represent the consensus of opinion of the traders as to the probable value of cotton at such future time. If the Future Market is in the producers' country where the great majority of men hope- that cotton will advance in value and are by this hope influenced in their opinion, then the prevaling future prices in such market will be relatively high. If, on the contrary, the Future Market is. located in the spinners' country where most men hope that cotton will go down and, consequently, believe that it will do so, then the- prevaling future prices in such market will be relatively low. In order that the trade may be advised of present conditions and be able to form some opinion as to prices in the future, the Exchanges at a large expense collect reliable data covering all the conditions, both of crop and trade, that go to make prices. This information so. gathered, is by the Exchange disseminated throughout the country with the result that every day and at all times during the day the- farmer or the merchant, even in the small towns of the country, know what cotton is worth in all the markets, are apprised of con- ditions which would likely affect prices, and hence cannot be misled or duped by intending buyers, into selling cotton for less than its- value. The laws of the several Southern .States have practically eliminated the evil of bucket shopping heretofore referred to. Biit; now the efCort is made in Congress not only to prevent betting on the fluctuations in the price of future contracts, but to prohibit the making of future contracts; not only to close up the Bucket Shops, but to destroy the legitimate Exchanges as well. We will hereafter discuss more in detail the benefits derived by the farmer and all legitimate interests through the agency of future trading per se, and the loss that would be occasioned if such trading were- prohibited. Here we will call attention to the most obvious ill results, that would follow the enactment of a law directed against, the legitimate American Exchange : 9 1st. If the American Future Exchange was closed, then there would remain only the Liverpool and Continental Exchanges in operation. These exchanges are Spinners' exchanges. No cotton is produced in those countries, but there are many mills. The spinner desires to buy cotton as cheaply as possible, and in any future market dominated by the spinner and his friends the prices would naturally and inevitably be forced down as low as possible. With no resistance on the part of the producer and his friends, the contest would be one-sided and unequal, and hence the price-malcing power would be surrendered to foreign interests, and the farmer would have to sell at the low prices fixed by the spinners, in Liver- pool, Bremen and Havre. 2nd. If the American Future Exchange was closed then all the information as to the price of cotton in all the markets of the world and all the information as to conditions which go to make up the price and the price outlook, would be no longer disseminated. The buyer and spinner would know what the Liverpool Exchange and the other foreign exchanges were doing, but the farmer and the merchant, especially in the small towns, would be in the dark. Thus the producer would be at the mercy of the buyer, and all the Amer- ican cotton trade would be at the mercy of the foreign spinning interests which would be intent upon buying cotton as cheaply as possible. These preliminary considerations are commended to the serious thought of the farmer and of all those who are his friends. Before- supporting any anti-future bill, those interested should be very sui;e that the measure would not produce the results outlined above. Some legislation is necessary in order that the operations of the exchanges should be equitably regulated, but this question, like all others of legislative agency, should be handled with discretion and discrimination. 10 CHAPTER II. Anti-Option Legislation. Extreme legislation as a general thing is like a two-edged sword — it cuts both ways. Legislation not always extreme often acts in the same manner if not given proper consideration. The tariff question for example: Free trade is ideal. To be enabled to buy in the cheapest market and sell in the dearest without let or hindrance, is the sum and substance of free trade. We want free bagging and ties for baling cotton, because the tariff on these is a burden to the cotton producer and helps the bagging and steel trusts, but we do not want free foreign raw cotton, because the Egyptian cotton grown by cheap labor comes in direct competition with our long staple, and its encouragement cuts profits on the home product; and so on along the line. We are free traders in theory, because the theory is ideal, but like all other things good on their face, it is subject to numerous exceptions. And so it is with legislation; what on its face may seem good and fit, may prove on application not unmixed with evil. Kot a few among our best thinkers among the farmers have believed the only way to abate the evils that have fastened upon the cotton trade is to abolish the Exchanges. To prevent the making of contracts for the purchase or sale of cotton for future delivery, unless coupled with conditions practically prohibitive. This is what the so-called S'cott Bill proposes. But are there not two sides to this matter? No one questions the sincerity of the advocates of the Scott Bill; but would the measure, if adopted, accomplish the ends sought? Would it abolish futures ? It would in the great Exchanges of New Orleans and New York as far as interstate commerce in the United States is con- cerned. It would drive away millions upon millions of dollars of 11 American capital which now help us to move our crops and obtain cash money for them with the same facility and promptness that one with money in bank can cash a check. But how about Liverpool and Havre and Bremen ? They would go on the same as ever, only, with our American Exchanges crippled and unable to put up a fight in behalf of American cotton, the foreigners might dictate prices. Is it to be supposed that they, the representatives of the foreign spinners, would work in favor of the American farmer? Would they pay any more for our cotton than they could help? Past history does not show it. How about the future? Would the leopard change his spots ? They would try to buy their raw cotton as low as possible and sell their manufactured goods as high as possible. The British lion makes a handsome picture as far as lions go,. but it is safest to keep American heads out of his mouth. France md Germany are our good friends in the way of trade for what lihey can make out of us. Germany tried prohibition of futures, but has changed her law and Bremen is about commencing the Future business again. Bremen has already made enough on arbitrating Vmerican cotton to build the handsomest Exchange in the world. Is it so sure that we need such a radical change as the Scott Bill would force ? Do our farmers want to be brought face to face with the spinners, with none to intervene between them? We market in the first six months of the year nearly twice as much cotton as the spinners need in the same time. Who then is to take or carry the surplus when the mills buy only as they need the cotton, if we drive away the capital which has been performing that service ? The capitalist or speculator will not consent to carry cotton unless he is able to hedge against a possible decline. The average buyer in the country will not buy our cotton unless at a wide margin and even at that he will hesitate if there are no American future markets in which he can hedge. The small buyer who now competes for our cotton in country towns will be driven out altogether. 12 One has only to go over the newspaper tiles before the establish- ment of futures, to show what would be in store for us if we return to old conditions. These are matters which require serious con- sideration at the hands of farmers. Look at the record this and last year : Last year we got for our cotton crop including the seed, $902,000,000. This year we will receive more than one thousand millions of dollars for the crop, including the seed. ' The calculation is easy. Already up to the close of March we had sold $818,000,000 and the remnant of the crop which is selling at an average of $75 per bale and over will bring $84,000,000. Add to this $125,000,000 for the seed and we have a total of one billion and twenty-seven millions. Xo two crops big or little ever brought near such amounts. And yet all the time throughout these two remarkable years the mills have been crying bad trade, short time. These results have been obtained under a S3'stem of trade, including futures. AYould that have been the case had the middleman who carried the surplus been imable to hedge his purchases? Would he have been able to Eay to the mills "the cotton is worth the money and if you don't buy it at the price I will, and will make you pay more when you are forced to buy ?" Suppose these men who took tb.e chances had been driven out by law, would we have obtained nearly two thousand millions of dollars for the two crops? That is a more than serious question. Some of the advocates of the Scott Bill claim -^se would have gotten more. But how ? The spinners have not paid us one cent more than thej were forced to. If they could have had their own way, they would have paid ten to twenty dollars a bale less. Take the records of the past ten years and we will find that $45 to $55 per bale has not been an unusual price for cotton. What would such figures have meant compared with $75 and over for the two years just ending. Anywheres from four hundred millions to seven hundred millions of dollars. 13 We do not say that such would have been the case, but it is not beyond the bounds of possibility. Would it have been conservative to take the risk ? We do know that if existing business methods are disrupted the result, for a time at least will be chaos, and while a new order is being established who will pay the losses ? Do not all • costs incident to marketing come out of the cotton itself? While the future system has been in force the trusts with all their billions of money have not dared to interfere with cotton. They have tackled Sugar and Iron and Bagging and Lumber and Oil and other commodities which have no futures. In cotton every man who considers cotton is cheap has- an opportunity to buy through the future' market and the combined means of the many, offsets even the great assets of the trusts. Even the Eothschilds have always steered clear of cotton. Would it not, therefore, be wise to exerdse some conservatism in dealing with this important matter ? If the institution of futures is of benefit we should conserve the good in it. What is bad should be eliminated, but in the ■elimination that which is of benefit should not be destroyed. Bucket Shops should be prohibited throughout the United States ; they are only bettors on the price of cotton as. established in the Exchanges. N"o contract should be permitted that does not give to the buyer the legal right to demand the cotton and none that 'does not give to the seller the right to deliver the actual cotton, and no contract should be permitted that is not settled upon the actual prices which prevail from day to day for the grades of cotton specified therein. No contract should be permitted which specifies that 'differences between the different grades shall be arbitrarily fixed for months upon months regardless of the actual market prices therefor. The banks are under government supervision, why not cotton? Why not try supervision instead of abolition ? The United States government has through its Bureau of 14 Corporations completed perhaps one of the most exhaustive investi- gations of the Exchanges and the Cotton Future Business that has ever been made in relation to trade matters. The report of Com- missioner Herbert Knox Smith embraced every phase of future contracts, their advantages and the correctives needed to bring the system into line with the interests of the grower of cotton. A measure in keeping with Commissioner Smith's recommenda- tions is well worthy of trial. This with Government supervision to enforce the law in letter as well as in spirit, it is claimed, will remove objections now urged while retaining its advantages as an; adjunct to the marketing and sale of the cotton crop. Would not that be a better plan than risking a radical experi- ment, the result of which may or may not prove doubtful? 15 CHAPTER III. Nature of the Future Contract; and Method of Trading. Having in a former issue discussed the functions of a legitimate Cotton Exchange with particular reference to future contract trad- ing ; and having differentiated such an Exchange from the nefarious institutions designated as Bucket Shops, and distinguished the future transactions conducted in the former from the gambling ventures undertaken in the latter; it is now in order to give some more particular attention to the nature of the future contract and the method of trading therein. FUTURE CONTRACT A BINDING OBLIGATION. Much misunderstanding has existed and much misinformation has been disseminated in regard to the contract for future delivery of cotton. It has been dogmatically affirmed by anti-future advocates that the future contract was a sham and a mere subterfuge invented for the purpose of giving apparent legitimacy to a purely gambling hazard. While it is true that there is and has been and must bn speculation in future contracts, it is not true that the contract for future delivery under the rules of a legitimate Exchange is unreal or a delusion and a sham. On the contrary, such contract to deliver or to receive cotton at some specified time in the future, is a binding obligation specifically .enforceable both under the rules of the Exchange and in the courts of law. If any one doubts the validity and reality of such contracts let him sell on the Exchange a hundreil bales of cotton to be delivered in some future month, or let him buy for reception at some future time, and if he does not, before the maturity of the contract, dispose of the same or transfer his obligation to some one else, he will find that he must deliver or receive, as the case may be, or else pay the same penalty he would 16 pay in the case of a breach of any other contract. Anu furthermore, not only is such future contract enforceable, but it is also secured; each party being required to put up collateral sufficient to protect the other party from loss in the event that the one party or the other fails to specifically receive or deliver according to the cbligat'on in the contract. EXECUTION AND TEANSFEK OF CONTEACTS. Briefly the form of the future contract and the methods of trading therein is as follows : A, who is a principal, gives an order to B, who is a broker, to buy say 100 bales of cotton to be delivered in October. Y, who is a principal, gives an order to X, who is a broker, to sell, say, 100 bales of cotton for October delivery. B, the broker, bids a price per pound, basis middling, for the said 100 bales. X, the other broker, accepts the bid and sells for the delivery stipu- lated and at the middling basis price agreed. B and X, the brokers, thereupon enter into a binding contract in the form prescribed by the Exchange whereby the one agrees to receive and the other to deliver the actual cotton covered thereby, at the time and at the price stated, and furthermore each is required to give to the other security that the contract will be carried out according to the terms thereof. A and Y, the principals in the premises, are responsible to B and X, who are acting as agents or brokers, and B and X are representing their principals A and Y. The contract is now made and signed and the obligation of all parties fixed and determined. If the principals A and Y, give no further instructions in regard to the contract, when October comes, X, the broker, must deliver to B, the other broker, 100 bales as per contract and B must receive and pay for said cotton. In such case X delivers the cotton for account of his principal Y, and B, receives the same for account of his principal A. This is the simplest form of future contract trading. But suppose that after the contract has been signed and entered 17 into by B and X^ the brokers; A, the principal who has bought the 100 bales, decides that for some reason he does not want to take ■delivery in October. Perhaps he had bought the contract for the purpose of hedging a sale of some specific grade or some special kind of cotton which he had contracted to deliver to a spinner, not having said cotton in hand at the time : When, therefore, he had purchased the specialty, he would have no further need for the future contract. In such case he would tell B, his broker, to sell his contract, or in other words, to find some one who would take his place and assume the obligation to receive the cotton in October. C, an entirely new party, wants, at this time, to buy 100 bales for October delivery. He, therefore, through his broker, at a price assumes A's obligation as principal to the broker, B; the contract between B, the broker, and X, the other broker, remaining intact. In the same way, Y, the other principal in the original obliga- tion, may desire to be relieved of his obligation to deliver the 100 bales in October, he having in the meantime disposed of the 100 bales of cotton in hand against which he had sold the contract as a hedge. He, therefore, tells his broker X, to get some one to take his, Y's, place and assume his obligation to deliver the cotton. W, another new party, desires at this time to hedge some cotton he has in hand, by selling the same for October delivery. He, therefore, through his broker, at a price, assumes the obliga- tion of Y(, the original principal in the premises. The contract between B and X, the brokers, remains intact and each is bound as firmly as ever, the one to receive and the other to deliver 100 bales in October, but the principals, to whom both brokers look for per- formance, are new. Thus the principals may change any number of times before the maturity of the contract, but when it does mature, it must be liquidated in accordance with the terms thereof. The two brokers are responsible to each other for this performance, but they discharge their obligation to each other for the account of their respective ultimate principals. 18 .From the foregoing it will be seen that the future contract entered into under the rules of a properly organized and equitably regulated exchange, is not a nefarious or dishonest subterfuge but a definite and binrling obligation : and furthermore, it will appear that these contracts having been once properly and validly issued, may be bought or sold or transferred in the course of trade, just as a promissory note, or other obligation, once issued, may be bought or sold or transferred for a consideration. LAEGE VOLUME OF TEADING LOGICAL AND NECESSARY. When the modern trade methods of moving the crop are under- stood, no difficulty will be experienced in appreciating the fact that from the time the farmer parts with possession to. the time when the cotton reaches the ultimate consumer, it passes through many different hands and is the subject of diverse and successive owner- ship. The same lot of cotton passes from the farmer to the merchant, and from the merchant to the buyer and from the buyer to the spinner or from the buyer to another buyer or exporter, and from such other buyer or exporters to still others until it reaches the spinners' hands and is spun into cloth, sold to the cloth mer- chant and finally to the man who wears the clothes made therefrom. All of these intermediate owners are subject to the risk of ownership or of contract with reference thereto: i. e., the risk of fluctuations in the price of the cotton during the time such cotton is in their possession pending disposition of the same, or before they can get possession of cotton with which to fill a spot contract previously made. These owners or contractors in spot cotton desire to protect themselves against the risk of such fluctuations, and in order to do so they send to the Exchange and sell or buy a future contract, or future contracts, for the purpose of hedging their specific grade transactions and contracts. This multitude of traders in the future markets engaged in the non-speculative effort of pro- 19 tecting themselves against price variations, necessarily inaugurate a multitude of trades and thus create a volume of transactions which to the uninformed observer appear to be out of proportion to the amount of cotton at the time actually in existence. One of the principal and most insistent arguments of the opponents of future trading is drawn from this very fact that the tolume of future transactions is largely in excess of the actual crop grown. They claim that legitimate future sales and purchases must be limited to the actual crop and that any over-plus of contract trading is necessarily fictitious and representative of speculative transactions. APPAEENT EXCESSIVE FUTUKE TEADING EXPLAINED. Having in mind the analysis of the future contract, and the method of trading therewith, heretofore given, it will not be difficult to account for this apparent excess and to explode the fallacy of the argument mentioned. It is desirable that the reader shall keep clearly in mind the distinction drawn, in' a preceding section of this article, between the making of the future contract and the buying and selling of the obligations imposed by such con- tract. In the first place each future purchase and sale made in the Exchange may not, and in fact every such purchase and sale does not, represent a new transaction, but a transfer to other parties of a contract already made. Eor instance, A and Y, in the original illustration may through their brokers enter into a contract for the purchase and sale of 100 bales of cotton for October delivery. Before the contract matures and is liquidated by specific and actual delivery, it may have been assumed by as many other parties as there are letters in the alphabet. Each of these transactions is apparently new, but is in fact only the transfer of the obligations of the original contract or the substitution of new parties thereto. These several transfers ai-e counted by those who do not understand the 20 system as cumulative contracts, when as a matter of fact they are successive contracts covering the same obligation. By way of illustration : Suppose a man had $100 in the bank. He issues a check for this amount, which he delivers to the drawee. This represents the original transaction. Now suppose the man in whose favor the check is drawn, transfers the same to some other payee, and he in turn, to another and so on. Finally the last holder of the check will collect the $100 from the bank and then the original contract represented by the check is specifically performed. In the meantime, however, the check may have passed through a number of hands and may have been the means of liquidating a number of $100 obligations, although there has never at any time been any more than $100 in the bank against which the check was drawn. Each one of these transfers was a perfectly valid and proper transaction and yet if we take the cumulative total we will find that business amounting to $1,000, perhaps, had been transacted on the one $100 check. The argument of the anti-future advocates, if applied to this illustration, would hold that only the original transaction was valid and that the transactions in excess of the $100 in bank were spurious and counterfeit. The foregoing explanation accounts for some of the apparent excess of future purchases and sales, but there are other important explanatory phases of this seeming discrepancy, which should be considered. If the contention that the number of bales legitimately bought and sold for future delivery must be limited to the number of bales actually in existence, was sound, then only one man could hedge a given lot of cotton and he could only hedge it once. If this 'con- tention was sound, then the first owner could legitimately hedge, but the second, or third, or fourth owner could not: or the ownei could legitimately hedge his cotton by selling a contract against it for delivery in a specified month, but if when that month came and he was not ready to deliver and he transferred his contract to mature 21 in another month, then such second contract, although it covered the identical same bales of cotton would be a gambling contract and a counterfeit. Such is the reasoning of the anti-future advocates mentioned, as applied to the actual and every day transactions in thd cotton business. The fact that it is not only legitimate but necessary in instances that the same lot of cotton must be hedged by several different owners, or by the same owner several different times has a large share in explaining the apparent excess of future purchases and sales complained of, and definitely exposes the fallacy of the dogma that the excess of cumulative purchases and sales for future delivery over the number of bales actually grown, is proof of the speculative and injurious character of future contracts. EXCHANGES' MUST BE IMPAETIAL AND CONTEACT PAIE. The nature of the future contract has now been explained and an exposition of the system by which the same is successively trans- ferred and finally liquidated has been given. It now begins to be apparent how great a part the future contract and the future trading facility plays in the actual spot transactions whereby the crop is moved at the least expense and risk to all concerned. In the next article we will show the practical application of future contract trading to the actual spot business, and illustrate the dependence of the non-speculative dealer, whether he be producer, merchant, buyer, exporter or spinner, thereon. These discussions, designed to impress upon the farmers and all interested in cotton .the great importance of exchanges and of the future trading system to the modern economy of trade, be it clearly understood, presupposes honesty and fairness in the operation of the system and a just and considerate attitude on the part of the exchanges to the interest and rights of all, whether members thereof or not, who are concerned with the commodity which is the subject of trading therein. A future contract that is unfair in its terms, 22 and rules that give either party to the contract an opportunity to manipulate the value of the same, constitutes an eril which greatly impairs the benefits of the system, and should not be tolerated. An exchange which assumes the attitude that it is a private cor- poration and that the dominant element of the membership have the right to conduct their business in their own way, for their own profit and regardless of the rights and interest of other members and of outside parties, is an evil-breeding element in the body economic which should be castigated into a proper disposition or else eradicated from a system which it degrades. We shall earnestly endeavor by appeals to the reason of our readers to em- phasize the great importance of properly organized and conducted exchanges, and the indispensable function of a properly regu- lated system of future trading; but we are no less determined to bring into bold review the delinquencies of men and institutions and the drawbacks which militate against the best interests of the cotton trade. It is only by a proper appreciation of the good and an adequate understanding of the evils, that we shall be able to arrive at a conclusion which will enable us to preserve the one and destroy the other. An intimate knowledge of the healthful func- tions of the body and of the distempers to which it is subject is equally necessary, if we would conserve the one and cure the other, or if we woxild avoid wrecking the organic constitution by a bungling and brutal attack upon a local disorder. , 23 CHAPTER IV. The Application of Future Contract Trading to Spot Transactions. The spectacular and offensive incidents of future contract trading are generally known and widely advertised; but the normal operation thereof, and the indispensable part that such trading plays in the necessary machinery of modern spot business, has not been to any extent exploited; with the result that the real significance of the system is by the general public, and even by the majority of •cotton people themselves, either dimly appreciated or utterly mis- understood. The reason for this ex parte distribution of information and the explanation of this Jop-sided status, is at hand. We pay little heed to the normal, every day operation of either economic or natural laws or systems; and are dependent upon exceptional and Ttntoward developments in order that our attention may be directed thereto. We accept the even dispensation of sunshine and rain, and -the customary revolutions of the seasons, as matters of course, and so long as our pleasure and progress suffers no interference, we give no thought to the marvelous adjustment of forces from which these phenomena proceed. But let drought come, or flood, or let the summer be too hot, or the winter too cold, or let the vivid accounts ■of storm and disaster be published, and immediately our attention Is attracted and our disapprobation of the order of things expressed. We know little and think little of the manifold excellencies of the laws of living and growing, but we are prone to magnify the •occasional instances of miscarriage; and thus to accept the excep- "tions, not as proof of the rule, but as the rule itself. So it is with economic forces, and so with the system we are :now discussing. The farmer takes his cotton to town, sells it to 24 his merchant or to a cotton buyer, buys his goods, puts his balancer into his pocket and goes home. To him this transaction constitutes- the whole problem of marketing. Of course, he knows in a general way that the buyer of the cotton must have some merchant or spinner with whom he has arranged to place his purchases, or else must be in a position to carry the same until such time as he can dispose of them. He knows, of course, in a general way, that the- buyer must make arrangements to get money with which to pay for the cotton bought. He appreciates, if you call his attention to the fact, that the cotton must be shipped on a long journey by rail or over seas, and that pending arrival at market or destination,, material changes in value may occur. He knows, also, if you mention: the matter to him, that the spinner to whom the cotton goes has created the necessity for it by contracting far ahead for the sale of the product of his mills. He must be apprised, if he thinks of it, that the vast forward and onward movement of the crop which gives him practically at all times a ready and convenient market for his product, is not dependent upon the haphazard and venture- some disposition of buyers, but upon system and business order. He may have been told that the growth of the multitude of interior markets, the multiplication of the number of cotton buyers, aiid the ability of the latter to pay at all times the highest competitive priee^ are based upon the great protective principle of "hedging," which can be securel only in the future contract markets. But so long as he can bring his cotton to town, sell it to his merchant or to a buyer, buy his goods, pocket his balance and go home, he takes it all as a matter of course and concerns himself not with the principles of the system to which he is beholden. When, however, by reason of some unlocked for changes in the relation of supply and demand, wide variations in the price of cotton occur; or when some bold speculator, by anticipating such variations, executes a coup and amasses a fortune thereby; or when some unfortunate victim of weakness and folly, because of losses incurred through speculation. 25 commits the crime of embezzleinent or makes an end of his life; the spectacular facts are featured as news items by the press, and thus attract the attention of the public, not as isolated incidents of future trading, but as the flower and fruit and comprehensive end of the system itself. The dramatic accidents of speculation in future contracts and the human casualties associated therewith, are pub- lished broadcast to the world; but the thousands and millions of bales of cotton that are each day and each year bought and sold for future delivery in the regular course of non-speculative business; and the multitudinous transactions in contracts, by means of which producers and merchants, and buyers, and spinners, and bankers, are enabled to avoid becoming speculators, and are assisted in the advantageous movement of the crop from iield to spindle, are unheralded and to a great extent unknown. Thus becomes obvious the truth of our former saying that we pay little heed to the normal operation of either economic or natural laws, but attend to excep- tional adverse developments. We are prone to judge an economic system, as well as a natural one, not by the routine benefits of operation, btit by the occasional incidents of miscarriage. While it is no part of our purpose to defend or excuse what is reprehensible in future trading, yet we conceive that it is not only just but neces-. sary for our common good, that the normal and indispensable work- ings of the system should be explained and emphasized. HOW THE SPINlsnER USES THE FUTURE CONTRACT MARKET : THE BENEFITS OP SUCH USE. In a former article we showed how contracts were bought and sold and how the protective benefits of these contracts might be secured. We will now show just how the buyers and sellers and spinners of actual cotton do avail themselves of this protection, and will point out some of the important results that flow therefrom. The manufacturer constitutes the ultimate market for raw cotton. The more business there is for the mills, the greater will be the 26 demand for cotton; and the greater such demand, the higher will be the price paid for the raw material. The spinner enlarges his busi- ness and increases the output of his mills and the consumption of the same, by soliciting orders for his product. He, either by representatives or through advertisement, traverses his own country and invades foreign lands, thereby creating a wider market for cotton goods and new uses for the raw material. In order that the spinner may thus extend his business, and sell the output of his mills in advance, he must be in a position to make contracts with the merchants whose attention he secures. He must be able to name a price at which he can supply the future wants of such mer- chants ; as^ otherwise, the latter would not know what, or how much, he could afford to buy. But the spinner cannot make this price in advance, unless he knows what it will cost him to get the cotton which he must spin into cloth to fill the merchant's order. If he did not know this cost, he either could not make the contract with the merchant at all, or else he would name a price for the goods high enough to protect him against any supposable advance in the price of the raw material which he must subsequently procure. In the first case the great forward . business between spinner and ■ merchant would be rendered impossible; and in the other case, it would be materially curtailed by the high price the spinner must name in order to cover the speculative risk entailed. The great forward business between merchant and spinner, which provides future employment for the mills and creates a demand for raw cotton long before it is produced, is, therefore, dependent upon the •ability of the spinner to accurately apprise himself of the future cost of his supplies and to assure himself that he will be able to make his purchases on the ascertained basis. The spinner is able to secure this necessary information and protection in the future contract markets, and in no other way: and if he was deprived of this facility, all his calculations would run awry and the great lultimate market for the farmer's product would be contracted and 27 consumption curtailed. Let us seek a practical illustration of how the spinner avails himself of this important trade agency. The spinner, let us say, solicits orders from the cloth mer- •chant — either in domestic centers of consumption or perhaps in iav-avray China or Japan — to supply the wants of the latter for a long period ahead. The cotton which the spinner proposes to use for the order has probably not been planted. The merchant asks the price at which the spinner will deliver the goods at the -time stated. The spinner consults the quotations in the future markets for the several future months and finds that he can buy ■contracts for the desired amount of cotton at certain figures. To ihese figures he adds the cost of manufacture, the expense, etc., and his profit, and names the resultant price to the merchant. When the contract between the spinner and the merchant is closed, •the former gives his broker an order to buy for his account so many bales of cotton for future delivery. When these contracts .are bought, the spinner is protected in his contract with the mer- •chant. It makes no difference to either what the market for cotton may do in the meantime, the merchant gets his cloth at the price ■stated, 'and the spinner will manufacture the cloth and realize the profit upon which he had calculated. As the spinner needs the cotton ior his contract with the cloth merchant, he generally goes into the spot market and buys. He does this, instead of taking delivery on the future contract, because it may be more convenient for him to buy at or near his home instead of at the place where the future contract must be performed; and for the additional reason that, "by going into the spot market, he can make a selection of the exact grades and particular staples desired. When the spinner has ■bought the spot cotton mentioned, he has no further use for the ■future contract, as it has completed its mission of insurance. He, -therefore, instructs his broker to sell the contract, or, in other -words, to get some one to take his place as the purchaser or re- ceiver. The broker sells the contract to some one who wants the «otton at the time specified, or to some other spinner who is in 28 need of the same protection as the first mentioned, or to some trader who is willing to buy because he believes that the price of cotton will advance. The importance of the hedging function of future contract trading which the spinner employs, not only directly to the spin- ner's business, but to the profit of producer and consumer alike, cannot be fully appreciated unless we consider what would be the situation if such trading was prohibited. In such case the spinner would be placed in a position where he could not contract to sell his goods until such time as he had the cotton for the manufacture thereof actually in hand. This would not only curtail his business, and in consequence decrease the consumptive demand, but would put the spinner under the necessity of carrying large and cumber- some stocks. This necessity would make his raw material cost him more and would decrease the price that he or his agent could pay the farmer.' Or, if the spinner, being of an enterpris- ing disposition, undertook to make forward contracts with the cloth merchant, in spite of the fact that he could not hedge or protect such contracts ' by purchases in the future market, the result would be a distinct disadvantage to all concerned. Either the spinner would be obliged to talie a speculative risk which eventually would end in his undoing, or else he would have to- name a price for his cloth on future delivery which, if it did not discourage the merchant from accepting, would necessarily curtail the demand for raw cotton and increase the price of cotton goods to the ultimate consumer or wearer thereof. From all this it will appear that the effect of future contract trading as it is applied by the spinner to his business, is to broaden and increase the con- sumption of cotton, to make a wider market and a better price for the producer, and at the same time decrease the cost of the manu- factured cloth to the farmer and all other users of cotton goods. Thus the farmer who comes to town, sells his cotton, buys his- goods, pockets his balance and goes home, is dependent for his- 29 market and for his prices to a much greater extent than he appre- ciates, upon the system of trade which enables the spinners of the world to increase their consumption of cotton and at the same time permits them to place their manufactured product upon the market at a price which does not include the speculative margin which they would have to retain and which the ultimate consumer would have to pay, if the protection of this system was not to be secured. But this is only one phase of the practical utilization of the future contract in the complex system of modern trade. There is another phase, which has a more direct and intimate relation to the actual markets the producer finds for his cotton and to the price he obtains therefor. The discussion of this branch of the subject will appear in another issue, and will show how the cotton buyer uses the future contract as a protection against the specula- tive risk otherwise incident to his purchases, and how this protec- tion tends to multiply the number of buyers, to stimulate com- petition, and finally to give the producer more numerous, more con- venient and better markets, and higher prices for his product. 30 CHAPTER V. Further Discussion of Application of Future Contract Trading^ to Spot Transactions. In the preceding article we undertook to show the dependence of the spinner upon the hedging, or protective, function of future contract trading; and we discussed the important relation of this usage to the spinners' business directly, and indirectly, to the cotton producers' and consumers' markets. We will now endeavor to explain that relation of future con- tract trading which more obviously and directly affects the pro- ducers' markets, but which none the less vitally, although in- directly, furthers the profitable and economic operation of the manufacturing industry and contributes to the profit of the ultimate consumer or wearer of cotton goods. Eeference is here made ta the use of the protective agency of the future contract by the buyers of spot eotton, who obviously constitute the direct source of de- mand, and supply the primary markets for the farmer's product. When we have thus considered the practical benefit of future trading from the spinner's standpoint, as the same affects him directly, and the producer and consumer collaterally: and when we have considered the practical benefits of such trading as the same affects the buyer's ability to make actual purchases from the farmer and to carry the same, and to supply the spinner in accord- ance with the latter's needs, we will have some conception of the complex system by which, in modern times, the crop is moved and distributed, some understanding of the integral and essential part that future trading plays in such system, and some appreciation of the disturbance, disorder and loss that would follow the summary elimination of such trading therefrom. 31 NECESSITY FOR MAXY MARKETS AND NUMEROUS SPOT BUYERS. It is a well-noted fact that the bulk of the cotton crop passes from the farmers' hands during the period of three or four months. This supply ordinarily suffices for the needs of the mills during the entire twelve months. The farmer markets his crop within a brief period; the spinner takes a yery much longer period for working this crop into cloth. If, therefore, there were no buyers in the market other than the spinner or the actual manufacturer of cotton, one of two results would follow : either the spinner would be obliged to buy his twelve months' supply during the fall months and carry the same on storage, making requisition on his stock for the current needs of his mill; or else the farmer would be com- pelled to carry the stock and sell to the spinner only at such time and in such quantities as the latter required. If the spinner carried the stock, he would find it necessary, in the first place, to make arrangements for large financial accom- modations to enable him to pay for the cotton so bought and held ; and, in the second place, he would be put to very considerable ex- pense in the items of interest, storage charges, insurance, etc., in order that he might keep the necessary stock on hand. In this event the spinner would be confronted with inevitable curtailment in the volume of his output, and would in addition, if he attempted to sustain such condition, be put upon a choice between two alterna- tives: either he would have to reduce the price he could pay for cotton to a figure which would reimburse him for his additional expense and risk as above noted, or else he would refuse to buy more than his current needs, thereby forcing upon the farmer the neces- sity of carrying the stocks, with all the expense and risk incident to such custody. In either case the burden would fall upon the farmer. In a contest between the spinner and the farmer, without the intervention of any third factor, it is perfectly obvious that the spinner, on account of his more compact and powerful organization. 32 and larger financial resources, would prove the stronger. In such case, therefore, we can conclude with entire certainty that the spinner would adopt the policy of graduating his purchases to his current needs, and force the farmer into the assumption of the burden which the stronger party had declined. The burden thus falling upon the farmer, let us see what he would do, if there were no buyers in the market other than the spinner. He, like the spinner in the preceding analysis, would find himself confronted by two alternatives, but unlike the spinner, he would find no happy issue out of either. He would either have to store, finance and insure the stock at his own expense and risk, pending the call of the spinner; or else he would have to oflier his cotton down and down until the bargain basis was reached at which the spinner would be induced to buy and assume the expense and risk aforesaid. In either case the farmer would be the loser, and his unfortunate position would be aggravated by the fact that he would again, unlike the spinner, have no one upon whom to shift the burden. If the farmer had large credit, inexpensive storage and insur- ance facilities, and was able to borrow money at low interest rates, he might be able to carry his crop and distribute it gradually and profitably, but, unfortunately, under present conditions, he is not so equipped. Even a superficial knowledge of the situation would lead us to the conclusion that if there were no buyers but the spinners, the farmer would be under the necessity of offering his cotton down until a price was reached which the spinner was willing to pay; or in other words, the spinner would dictate the price at which the farmer would sell his crop. All of which proves with the unerring certainty of a logical demonstration, that the salvation of the producer depends upon the presence in the market of some buying power independent of the spinner and intermediate between the latter and himself. Fortunately, there are in the market other buyers than the spinners, or those who actually use cotton as manufacturers. In. 33 the evolution of the cotton trade there have become established, in addition to the larger port markets, hundreds and thousands of smaller markets scattered throughout the interior of the entire Cotton Belt, and each of these markets is supplied with its quota of buyers. These buyers do not themselves manufacture cotton, but stand between the producer and the spinner, buying from the former when he wants to sell, and selling to the latter when he wants to buy. It tlius falls out that when the farmer hauls his cotton to town, he will there find buyers ready to make him bids. He is, therefore, relieved from the necessity of carrying his crop, or else of sacrificing it at the spinner's dictation; and if his town happens to be in communication with one of the great exchanges of the country, he knows what cotton is worth throughout the world, and is in a position to demand value therefor. FUTURE TRADING AS A FACTOR IIST THE EXISTENCE OF INTERIOR MAEKETS AND COMPETITIVE BUYING. It cannot be denied that the greater the number of primary markets there are, the more advantageous will be the situation of the farmer; nor can it be questioned that the larger the number of buyers and the more active the competition, the better will be the price paid the farmer for his cotton. Any system, therefore, which tends to increase the number of markets and buyers, is valuable; and if such system makes possible the existence of numerous markets, otherwise impossible; and makes feasible the activities of a multitude of buyers, otherwise unfeasible, then such system becomes invaluable. The farmers of the South have no more vital issue confronting them than the preservation and improvement of their markets and the multiplication of the sources of demand for their cotton. It is pertinent here to note that the evolution of the small interior market and the growth of the competitive buying force, have been co-incident with the development and utilization of the, 34 protective functions of future contract trading. It is also a fact worthy of attention that the era of high prices for cotton has been contemporaneous with the period of increased activity in the future markets. These co-incidences, although striking, prove nothing unless it can be shown that the relation between future trading and the important facts mentioned is sequent. Here again appeal must be made to the relevant evidence supplied by flhe spot transactions of the buyers and sellers in the markets described. We have here- tofore made the statement that without the protective hedge afforded by the future market, the spinner could not project his activities into the future, and, by contracting hi-s output a-head, enlarge the requirements of his mills, and in consequence increase the con- sumptive demand for cotton and add to the value thereof; and we endeavored to demonstrate the truth of this statement by showing just how the spinner used the future market for the hedging pur- pose, and by pointing out the logical effect of such use in practical cases. We now make the statement that the small spot buyer is enabled to compete with tJie larger; that the multitude of markets and buyers is developed; that the producer is relieved from the pressure of supply; and that the higher level of prices is main- tained, through the instrumentality of the hedging function of future trading. In support of this statement we will show how spot purchases and sales are protected and encouraged by the use of the future contract hedge and describe the practical detail of such transactions. HOW THE SPOT BUYEE USES THE PUTHRE CONTEACT MAEKET : BENEFITS OF SUCH USE. We will take first the case of a spot buyer who has an oppor- tunity to contract with a spinner to deliver to the latter at a future time a certain number of bales of cotton of specific grades and staple. The buyer, we will say, has not the cotton in hand at the time, and perhaps the cotton with which he would fill such con- tract has not been made. If he could not protect himself, he either 35 would not make the contract with the spinner, or else he would name a price which in his opinion would he high enough to protect him against any supposable advance in the market before he could buy. In the latter case the price named would probably discourage the spinner and result in failure to contract, or else the buyer would become a speculator on the market. But observe the differ- ence when the buyer has the advantage of a future contract market. He looks to see at what figure he could buy contracts for future delivery, and to this price he would add only his commission, or profit, and name the resultant figure to the spinner. When the offer was accepted, the said buyer would at once instruct his broker to buy a future contract for a sufBlcient number of bales to protect his obligation with the spinner. When this was done it would make no difference to the buyer how much the market might advance before he could buy his spot cotton : he would be protected by his future hedge. Thus a forward demanil would be created for the actual cotton. When the farmer finally braught his cotton to town he would find the buyer waiting for him and prepared to pay the highest market price justified by the law of supply and demand. As soon as the buyer purchased the spot cotton, the need of the hedge would terminate, and he would, therefore, instruct his broker to sell his contracts, or in other words, to get some one else to take his place as purchaser therein. The broker would make this sale, or transfer, to some other buyer or spinner who needed the protection which the first buyer had enjoyed, or to some trader who believed that the price of cotton would advance. Or consider the situation during the fall months when the movemieht from the fields is heavy and cotton is coming to market owr every road. The buyer, we will assume, has filled all orders in hand and in so far as his contiracts are concerned, has no need for cotton. If in such case he did not have the facility of hedging in the future market, he would not buy at all, or else wbuld offer the farmer a price low enough to protect him, the buyer, from any supposable decline that might occur between the time he made the 36 purchase and the time he could place the cotton with the mills.. The situation of the farmer would, therefore, be that either he would find no market at all at such times, or else he would have to sell at a price low enough to induce the buyer to take a specula- tive venture. But observe the difference wrought by the fact of a future market, in which the buyer could hedge any purchases he might make. The buyer, in the situation mentioned, would look at the prices at which future contracts were being boug'ht and sold :• from this figure he would deduct his commission, or profit, and the resultant price would be what he could afford to bid the farmer.. If the offere was accepted the buyer would immediately instruct his broker to sell contracts for a sufiScient number of bales to cover- his purchase; and thereafter it would make no difference how much the market declined he would still be sure of his profit or- commission. When in the course of business the spinner came into- the market again, the buyer in question would sell his Spot hold- ings at the current spot price, and then he would buy in his con- tract, or in other words, find some other spot holder or spinner- who desired the protection he wished to relinquish, or some trader who thought prices would decline, to take his position and assume- his obligation in the future contract. Multiply the two foregoing typical transactions by the many of the same kind that these two buyers would probably effect : and' multiply these two buyers by the many thousands who operate upon this protected basis and make their commission or profit without any risk of loss : and then the reason why there are manifold markets and a multitude of buyers, becomes strikingly obvious. The corollary of this proposition is equally plain. Take away the protection upon which the buyers and markets depend and the number of both and! the activity of competition will be seriously if not hopelessly cur- tailed and impaired. The foregoing transactions represent typical instances of the application of future contract trading to the spot transactions by which the crop is marketed and moved. We shall hiave a few more 37 observations to make concerning the general phases of the pro- tective system of hedging and its fundamental importance, and then we will consider the no less momentous question of the misuse und abuses of future contract trading which have earned the con- demnation of all right-thinking and right-acting people. 38 CHAPTER VI. Protective Function of the Future Contract. Ownership involves- risk. All personal possessions are subject to destruction or damage. Fire, water, accidents and elemental disturbances incessantly threaten property. A man's possessions,, whether they be great or small — whether they constitute the valuable accumulations of the rich or the meager holdings o€ the poor — may in a night be reduced to ashes and dissipated in smoke, or in an hour flattened to the earth by wind and storm. The effort of property-holders in all times has been to minimize this risk and protect themselves against the consequences of this inherent peril. Precaution is an important element in this undertaking, but more is needed. Precaution may lessen the chance of mishap, but it does not obviate the fact of loss. In order that the value of a commodity or thing may be maintained at the maximum, the owner must be protected against these risks of ownership. The essential value of this protection lies not so much in the expectation or assur- ance that the owner will take care of his property, as in the fact that if it is damaged or destroyed he will be reimbursed. The extent to which this protection may be secured affects the value of all property subject thereto. The more complete this protection, the greater will be the value of the property covered thereby. What is here asserted concerning the thing protected, is also true of the contracts that relate thereto. Hence, the value of destructible possession, whether considered from the standpoint of utility to the owner or as an item for sale, or hypothecation as collateral to a loan, is enhanced by this protection. This indemnifying principle is called insurance; and the agencies which assume the risks that would otherwise be borne by the owner, and which, in effect, make indestructible the possession insured, thereby causing ownership to 39 be more profitable and adding value to the thing owned, are called insurers, or in business parlance, underwriting associations or insurance companies. INSUEANCE. It is impossible to estimate the value of the insurance prin- ciple. It is inextricably interwoven with the fabric of all modern industrial, commercial and domestic life. Its application is un- limited and its scope universal. Eich and poor are beholden to this proteetive agency; and great and small share alike in its benefits. Insurance protects the prosperous and rehabilitates the unfortunate. It is equally essential to the business of the small storekeeper and to the operations of the greatest merchant. It is at once the conservator of values and the basis of credit. It is more : it is the great economic equalizer — the foundation upon which the commercial democracy is built. If the insurance' principle were eliminated, not only would acute shrinkage occur in the value of all presently insurable commodities, and not only would the business of the country be disorganized, but the poor man and the small merchant would be driven to the wall, because only the rich and strong could afford, themselves, to assume the risk that goes with ownership of property and follows traffic therein. Although the undertaking of the underwriters, or insurers, is essentially specula- tive in its nature, and although there are instances in which some insurance policies do not in fact supply the prote(;'ti(in they pur- port to give, still it would be a rash man, and a foolish one, who would, for these reasons, declare against the principle of' insurance, prohibit all underwriters from assuming risks, anA 'dfepri\fe mankisd of one of its moat enlightened, compireheE^iTe ' ahd , beneficent ' I economic forces. ', ''■ 'i i ' W. C \ INSUEANCE AGAINST PHYSICAL LOSS '0,1^ DAMAQE. In order that we may give the foregoing gerieralizations some concrete application, let us consider how the insurance principle affects cotton and the trafiic therein. 40 Almost from the time the cotton is made to the time it is spun into cloth it is continuously covered by policies of fire or marine insurance. Usually this protection is applied as soon as the •wagon deposits its load of seed cotton at the gin: always the cotton is covered while in the hands of the buyer or merchant or spinner, whether stored in warehouse or in course of transportation by rail or boat or steamship. The importance of this protection both to buyer and seller can hardly be estimated. As soon as the buyer purchases the cotton he takes out a policy of insurance thereon. Indeed if he did not he proljaljly could not buy cotton at all, because the banks would not let him have the money Avith which to finance his purchases. The banks would not be willing to advance money on collaterals which might in a few hours be totally destroyed. Similar conditions would surround the cotton as it passed from owneT" to owner on its way to the spindles. If the buyer could not, insure his cotton against destruction or damage by fire or water, he would be obliged to carry the risk himself. In such case he would estimate what this risk would probably cost him and deduct this amount from the pric^ he offered for the cotton : thus the burden of this risk would fall upon the producer, and he would pay for it in the reduced price that he realized for his cotton. The risk to the individual buyer of small or average means is much greater than it would be to the great insurance companies, with their innumerable sources of recoupment, hence the amount reserved by such buyers would be largely in excess of the premiums charged by the insiirance companies. But this.i^ jissuming that the buyers would be able themselves to carry the risk- As. a matter of fact, tke great majority of buyers would not |be sp -able. The majority of buyers are able to do business because thej- qan insure, and if they could not insure they would be 'iWcedout of business. The banks will lend money on cotton without any additional collateral, provided that the cotton is insured against loss, but without such insurance they will require 41 that the borrower be able to respond out of his collateral means to cover anj' loss that might occur. This would eliminate all buyers ■from the market except the few whose credit was sich that they could borrow without regard to the value of the cotton collateral in hand. Inasmuch as the crop is practically moved on borrowed capital, the elimination of insurance would drive out of business the buyers of small or limited means and would turn the business to the hands of a few great concerns or corporations which were strong enough to carry the risk. Thus the producer would not only be deprived of the high-price basis established by a multitude of buyers in active competition, but he' would be compelled to accept the low price fixed by an assured non-competitive combination, and would in addition be required by such combination to underwrite the fice and marine risks as heretofore explained. There is no more important factor in all the economy of trade than this insur- ance principle. It is directly instrumental in broadening the market for cotton, increasing the value • thereof and establishing the maximum price justified by the relation of supply and demand. INSUEANCE AGAIlSrST PLIICTUATIONS IN VALUE. It may seem that we have entered with unnecessary particu- larity into the analysis and discussion of the function and benefits of protective insurance. It is all so obvious and customary, some may say, that reiteration is unnecessary and tedious. At the risk of this criticism we are determined to emphasize the importance of the protective function of ordinary insurance, because the pro- tective function of future contract trading is identical in principle with that of ordinary insurance, differing therefrom only in extent or degree : and we have taken pains to set out the reasons why or- dinary insurance is beneficial and essential, in order that the claim of special protection supplied by future contract trading may be tested by the logical precepts in the first case laid down. Fire and marine insurance protects the owner of cotton from 42 the risk of physical destruction of his property, or damage thereto. But the physical hazard by no means comprehends all the risk in- volved. The value of cotton and the status of contracts relating to the ownership thereof, are affected by fluctuations in price. Frequent and perhaps material fluctuations in the price of cotton are natural and logical. The comprehensive character of the demand for cotton makes such variations inevitable. Cotton is a world-desired and a world-used commodity and the world it- self is the field upon which is waged the contest between the forces of supply and demand. Drought in Texas, too much rain in the Mississippi Valley, frost in Georgia, financial stringency in New York, labor troubles in Manchester, war in Eussia, dynastic trem- blings in China, crop failure in Egypt or India, and innumerable other contingencies all affect the value of cotton and produce quickly responsive changes in the price thereof. The risk of fluc- tuation in price is just as obvious and real as the risk of loss or damage by fire or water, and is of very much larger significance. Comparatively, only a few bales are reached by physical mishap or disaster, but price fiuctuations affect every bale and pound of cotton in existence. If it be important for the stability of trade condi- tions and for the maintenance of competitive demand, that own- ers and holders of cotton shall be protected from loss by fire and water; how much more important is it, for these considsrations, that such owners and holders should be protected from loss by reason of fluctuatione in price? Fire or marine policies may be purchased from insurance companies whose business it is, for a consideration, to assume such risks. There are no insurance companies, as such, which un- derwrite the risks incident to price variations; but this invaluable protection can be secured and is secured to an unlimited extent and on easy terms, during every hour of every business day and by any one who desires or needs the same. This insurance is avail- able in the future contract markets and nowhere else, and this 43 protection is available for commodities- for which there is a future contract market, and for none other. In former articles we have shown just how the succesive owners of cotton are affected by these price fluctuations ; and have pointed out the exact method by which they may obtain the required insurance, through the purchase-jand sale and transfer of valid and binding contracts under the auspices of legitimate Exchanges. Thus becomes apparent the momentous consequence of the protective function of the future contract, and with this appreciation comes conviction of the solemn duty of the Exchanges to administer this function in equity and honesty. The better we understand the far-reaching benefits of this protective principle the more appalling appears the consequences of undis- criminating assaults upon the system through which these benefits are secured; and the better we appreciate the indispensable agency of this system in the desired result, the more determined should we be to rid it of its weaknesses and contribute to its strength. 44 CHAPTER VII. In Reference to United States Government Report on Cotton Exchanges. In the preceding articles we have discussed the nature and functions of a legitimate Exchange, as differentiated from the budget shop ; the nature of the future contract and methods of trad- ing therein; the application of future trading to spot transactions; and finally the protective or insurance value of the future contract system. By statement of fact, by analysis, and by deduction, we have endeavored to show that {he properly organized and regulated Exchange is an essentially beneficial institution; that the future contract sanctioned and utilized in such Exchange is an honest, Talid and binding trade obligation; and that the trading on such Exchange, in such contract, supplies the means whereby specula- tion in spot transactions may be avoided through the medium of the hedging facility thereof, to the direct and indirect, immediate and ultimate advantage of buyer and spinner, producer and con- sumer, and of the cotton trade at large. We have by no means exhausted the catalogue of benefits ■conferred by a fairly regulated system of future trading; we have ■merely stated the fundamental principles and cited the typical instances of the operation thereof. But we will not prolong the ■discussion of this favorable phase of the system beyond the limits of thi^ article. We have, we hope, established the fundamental merit of the system, but before proceeding to the analysis of the untoward features of the same and to the discussion of the remedies itherefor, we think it well to cite some expert and disinterested a,uthority in support of our conclusions. Under a resolution adopted by the House of Eepresentatives in Tebruary 1907, the Department of Commerce and I^abor, through 45 the Bureau of Corporations, was directed to make an investigation of the Cotton Exchanges dealing in future contracts. The Commissioner of said Bureau, Hon. Herbert Knox Smith, conducted during a period of more than two years a searching investigation, and issued a report setting forth the facts developed, and his conclusions therefrom. This report is one of the most comprehensive and luminous economic treatises of modern times, and will well repay the study of all who desire full and accurate knowledge of this important subject. The report discusses not only the evil developments of future trading, and the remedies therefor, but also takes notice of the benfits thereof. XATUEE OF COTTON EXCHANGES. Under this head. Commissioner Smith, in Part 1, of the report, pages 56-57, says : "It should be clearly understood that whilst most of these "cotton exchanges are corporations they are not engaged as such in "the cotton business in any way. Instead, they are mere associations "of individuals who in their financial operations are free to act "as they like, subject to the general regulations of the exchange. "Exchanges as such do not buy or sell cotton, and, except that "occasionally some exchange derive a small income from fees for "the inspection or grading of cotton, they have no direct financial "interest in the product itself. Their income is derived from mem- "bership dues, rents of buildings, investments, or similar sources. "This characteristic of cotton exchanges should be clearly "appreciated. The impression which appears to exist in some "quarters that exchanges in their corporate capacity act as a unit "in the cotton market is altogether erroneous. Market operations-, "in cotton are wholly matters of individual concern. Moreover,, "the individual members of exchanges, instead of having a com- "mon interest and acting as a unit, ordinarily have market interests "of the most diverse and conflicting character. It is true that from "time to time certain members of exchanges act in unison by 40 "means of so-called cliques or pools, but it is entirely safe to say "that it has never happened that such cliques have included the "entire membership of an exchange. The idea that all the members "of an exchange are banded together as a unit to prey upon the "outside trader is not well founded. Outsiders have undoubtedly ^'suffered from the co-operative efforts of certain members of "exchanges to manipulate prices, but such concerted manipulation "is not conducted by an exchange, as such or by all the members "acting together. Unjust rules, it is true, may have been adopted "from time to time by exchanges in their official capacity, but this "is a matter distinct from actual financial dealings in cotton, and "one with which this report deals at some length." BINDING NATITEE OF FUTUEE CONTRACTS. In support of our conclusions under the above head, we quote Mr. Smith, Part 1, pages 43-44 : "In the first place, a future contract is, as its name implies, "a definite agreement on the part of one party to deliver to another "party, who in turn agrees to "receive, a certain quantity of mer- "chandise within a fixed period of time at a fixed price. While "such contracts when first made are usually confirmed merely by "word, or even by a sign, such as the uplifting of a finger or a "nod of the head, they • are later recorded, either in full or in the "form of a memorandum of the same force and effect and are "absolutely binding upon the parties entering into them. The seller "of such a contract is absolutely liable for the delivery, and if "called upon for such delivery by the buyer he can in no way avoid "compliance with terms of his contract except under unusual "conditions especially provided for. Failure to make such delivery "will subject him, in all probability, to suspension, at least tem- "porarily, from the- exchange with which he is connected, and render "him liable to legal action on the part of the purchaser. In actual "practice it is undoubtedly true that a large number, and probably "a considerable majority, of buyers of future contracts on the 47 "leading exchanges do not desire the delivery of actual cotton, and "that a majority of sellers, on the other hand, do not contemplate "making such physical delivery. Such a buyer of a contract instead "of receiving the actual cotton sells out his contract to another "party, or perhaps to the very man from whom he originally bought "it. In other words, instead of taking the cotton he merely gains "or loses the difference between the price at which he bought his "contract and the price at which he sells it out. The second buyer, "in turn, may have bought the contract with the same speculative "intent, and, instead of receiving actual cotton, may likewise sell "out the contract at any time prior to the date of maturity. "Eventually, however, since the contract has a fixed date of "maturity, the ultimate purchaser must, ai the stated time of "delivery, receiviC the actual cotton — and this whether he desires "to or not. When the time for making delivery has expired, he "cannot sell out his contract. This fact and the fact that any "buyer, from the first to the last, can, if he chooses, hold his "contract and compel the seller to deliver the actual cotton when "the date of maturity arrives give trading in futures a character "entirely different, in principle at least, from that of a mere wager "or bet." ■EXTENT OF HEDGING OPERATIONS. In a former article we explained the apparent excess of future trades over the total supply of spot cotton. Commissioner Smith sustains our contention, in the following extract from his report, Part IV, page 368 : "The same cotton may be hedged over and over again by "different parties, thus counting several times in the total of "hedging transactions. In the first place, a country merchant who "buys cotton from growers and planters in small lot»3 and "d'ccnmulates the cotton faster than he can sell it, frequently sells "future contracts as a hedge. The buyer of cotton from such a "country merchant in turn also sells a hedge, or, if he has previously 48 "'sold cotton ahead to spinners, usually he has already bought a "hedge. The spinner likewise may employ a hedge. Still again "the dealer in dry goods, who buys from the spinner, may sell "future contracts as a hedge against a stock of cotton goods which "he may be carrying at a time when he anticipates a decline in its "value. The bulk of hedging transactions in this country, however, "comes from cotton merchants. Most cotton merchants regularly "hedge by either buying or selling future contracts, as the ease "may be, and aim never to be long or short of actual cotton to any "extent. Frequently merchants endeavor to balance their accounts "in this respect at the close of each day. "The same cotton may be hedged repeatedly by a single owner. "Thus, a merchant buying cotton in October might sell a January "contract as a hedge against it; if by January he had not sold the "actual cotton, he could transfer his hedge to a more distant month. "This might be done over and over again until his cotton was "eventually disposed of." FUTUEE SYSTEM AS A MEANS OF INSITRANCE AGAINST EISKS OP TEANSACTIOFS IN ACTUAL COTTON— THE HEDGING FUNCTION. On this important division of the subject, Mr. Smith has given an exhaustive disquisition. We quote briefly from Part I, pages 48-49 and 53-54 : "In using the future system to faciliate actual transactions "in spot cotton it is obvious, in- the first place, that it may thus "be used by either the grower of cotton or by any other seller to "dispose of his cotton at a distant date by simply selling a contract "maturing at that date, and, when the contract matures, completing "the transaction by a physical delivery of his cotton thereon. Thus, "if, say, in November, January futures — that is, contracts for the • "delivery of cotton in January — are comparatively high, a grower "or a holder of cotton may, through some broker on a cotton "exchange, sell such January contracts, and when the month arrfvea 49 "deliver or, to use the trade expression, 'tender' the actual cotton "against them. "In the same way a manufacturer of cotton goods, instead of "buying his entire su;pply at the beginning of the season, might "in theory distribute his purchases throughout the year by purchas- "ing contracts for different months through a member of a cotton "exchange and as the contracts mature receive actual cotton in "fulfillment of them. Some of the reasons why in practice this "system is not extensively employed by spinners in just this way "will be extensively discussed in a later Part of this report. "The above description illustrates the simplest use of the "future system. The system is employed in a quite different "manner, however, by buyers and sellers of actual cotton as a sort "of insurance against violent fluctuations in price during the period "between the original purchase or sale and the final delivery of the "product. This employment of the future system, which is "technically known as 'hedging' is an exceedingly important "feature of modern trading, in cotton, and, unquestionably, an "extremely valuable one." "It is apparent froni even the brief illustrations given that "a properly conducted future system, through this opportunity for "hedging, affords a great protection to the most legitimate sort of "business and one of almost incalculable value. It should be noted, "however, that hedging does not absolutely gua,rantee a merchant "from loss, since advances or declines in the price of his future "contracts may hot exactly correspond with advances or declines "in the price of spot cotton. The illustrations above given assume "that absolutely correct 'methods of conducting the future business "have been established. It cannot be too forcibly emphasized, there- *'fore, that in practice it has happened at various times that hedges "have afforded a far less perfect measure of protection than above "indicated. This situation really constitutes one of the most "important matters discussed in this report, and cannot be entered "into 'extensively in this preliminary chapter. The hedging process 50 "has been exiplained mainly to show that th« future system is "something more than a device for mere speculation, afld that it "presents benefits of great value to those conducting business in "actual cotton. In fact, for these, as individuals, the futare system,. "if properly used, may be said to largely eliminate speculation. "Obviously, for a merchant, without hedging, to buy 10,000, 20,000- "or 50,000 bales of a valuable commodity like cotton, which is "subject to great fluctuation in price, would be a highly speculative- "transaction, whereas, under a perfect working of the hedging- "system, the element of speculation can be largely avoided. This "opportunity for hedging is, indeed, regarded by practically all "cotton merchants as almost an absolute necessity under modem' "methods of conducting business. "An idea of the value of the hedging function may be obtained "when it is stated that in Great Britain banks very generally refuse- "to loan money on cotton which is not hedged. Moreover, it is- "almost universally conceded that, since the introduction of hedg- "ing, failures in the cotton trade, which had previously been "frequent, have been materially reduced as a direct result of the- "greater stability with which transactions in spot cotton can be "conducted." NUMBEK OP BUYERS AND COMPETITION INCEEASED' BY FUTURE TRADING. We have endeavored to emphasize the fact that the protective function of future trading made possible the multitude of small markets and operations of buyers of moderate means, and thereby increased the price paid the producer for his cotton. In this con- nection Mr. Smith, Part IV, pages 379-280, says : "Those who argue that the future system tends to advance the "price of cotton for the grower attach much weight to the fact that "the system, on account of the protection afforded by hedging, makes "it possible for men of limited means to become cotton merchants, "and thus to increase competition for the purchase of the product. 51 "It is unquestionably true tliat the fmture system, in the main, "because of the hedging fuHction — ^imperfectly as it has opesated "at times — has made it possible for a. great many men of limited "resources to enter the cotton business. Where years ago the busi- "ness of the cotton merchant was attended by tremendous risks, "making it almost essential that he should possess ample capital, at "the present time a large number of cotton buyers of moderate "resources are scattered throughout the cotton belt. It is a common "occurrence to find several of these buyers at a small country town "bidding for cotton as it is brought in from farm or plantation in "wagonloads of a few bales each. While competition in the cotton "business probably would have increased without the future system, "there can be no question that the opportunity for reducing "speculative risks afforded' by the hedging function, when properly "safeguarded, has greatly stimulated such competition." Having now outlined the essential merits of the future contract system and having shown its indispensable relation to the modem trade methods by which the cotton crop is marketed, moved and spun into cloth, we will in the next succeeding articles discuss the misuse of the system and the misbehavior of men and institutions with relation thereto. 52 CHAPTER VIII. Future Contract Trading' — Injurious Developments Discussed. In the preceding articles on Future Contract Trading we have endeavored to explain the system itself, to show the practical relation thereof to modern trade methods, and to demonstrate that future trading is not only an important economic agency, but a direct and powerful factor in the advancement of the material interests of both the producer of cotton and the consumer of cotton goods. In short, we have sought to demonstrate the economic value of future contract trading. In discussing this important issue we are moved by an earnest desire to throw light upon both sides of a much misunderstood problem. We want our readers, and particularly those who are most vitally interested in a wise settlement of the question — namely the cotton farmers, — to secure a clear view of the proposition in its entirety. A prejudiced view of the evils, only, ©f the system, or an interested view of the good, only, will not suffice for oar purpose. We must he apprised of both the good and the evil if we are to adopt a course of action that will be beneficial to our own material interests and just to all the interests concerned. In the furtherance of this purpose it has seemed best to discuss first the benefits of future trading. Not because the injurious phases are unimportant, and not Ijecause we wish to relegate these phases to secondary consideration, but because it ia wise to have the essential necessity of the system thoroughly appreciated before indignation is aroused by a recital of the flagrant ■ abuses that have been practiced in its name. This was the mistake made in the early stages of the agitation against future contract trading. Men were incensed by certain abuses and rushed blindly toward the annihilation of a system which they did not understand, 53 and the good of which had not been brought to their notice. The fact that we have stated the case in favor of future trading as strongly as possible, while proving our conviction of the necessity for it, is by no means to be taken to indicate that we are partisans of the system under any and all circumstances, nor that we think the system, as it has been operated, should be continued. On the con- trary, we recognize and utterly condemn the evil developments of the system and the wrongs that have been inflicted through the inequitable operation thereof; and we are as firmly committed to the destruction of these evils and wrongs as we are to the preserva- tion of the beneficial features. Indeed the more strongly we believe in the good that inheres in a properly operated system of future trading, the more implacable is our 'enmity against those agencies which debauch such system. We have exploited the good in order that it may be utilized and preserved; we will now point out the bad in order that it may be excoriated and destroyed. BUCKET SHOPPING. The conspicuous evils that have been attributed to future trading are three in number, to-wit : Bucket Shopping, Excessive Speculation and Manipulation of Prices by Means of Unfair Rules and Practices in the Exchange)s. In a former article it has been shown that Bucket Shopping was simply and solely a gambling device; that its only relation to the system of future trading was that the bucket-shop keepers bet with their victims on the fluctua- tions that occurred in the value of actual contracts; and that the legitimate exchange and the system of future contract trading was no more responsible for this pernicious practice than was the ocean liner responsible for the bets that were made by its passengers on its speed and daily progress. Furthermore, the Bucket Shop is a specific institution and can be eradicated root and branch by direct legislation without any injury to the system of future contract trading, but with great benefit thereto. Laws have already been passed in all of the Southern States and in practically all the States 54 of the Union prohibiting Bucket Sliopping, and if the practice prevails anj'where it is because the existing laws are not enforced. Excessive speculation and manipulation by the means stated are, therefore, the evils properly to be considered in connection withthe system of future contract trading. EXCESSIVE SPECULATION. Speculation is in itself not an evil; on the contrary, it is the vivifying principle of trade. If it were possible to eliminate speculation from all business affairs and to limit the purchase and sale of all commodities and things to those who had actual use for such commodities and things and those who had ceased to have use for the same, the value of every material asset would undergo a drastic shrinkage, business would revert to the ox-cart period, opportunity would be smothered, development halted, and the activities of mankind limited to a struggle for actual necessities. A man has a right to buy, or to contract to buy, a thing, whether he needs it for use or not, if he thinks it is cheap and that later he can dispose of it at a profit. A man has a right to sell, or to contract to sell, a thing, whether he has it in possession or not, if he thinks that the price is high and that he can sell at a profit. This is speculation in its simplest form. The principle runs through all business transactions and cannot be avoided, even if avoidance was advisable. When the farmer invests his money and his labor in his crop, he speculates on the seasons and on the (variations of supply and demand. The merchant and the banker, for the consideration of profit, or of interest, speculate upon the capacity of debtors or borrowers, to pay. Insurance' companies for the sake of premiums to be earned speculate upon the risks of fire or water or the duration of human life. Everybody speculates. Speculation is an inherent condition of th» business and of the social relation. It cannot be eradicated, no matter how hard we may try, and it should not be eradicated even if we had the power to do so. The principle of speculation is, therefore, not only ethical, 55 tut necessary ; and not only necessary, but it is the vital dynamic force in trade and an ineradicable impulse of the human race. It follows that the evil lies not in the principle of speculation, but in the manner in which the principle is employed; not in the use of the principle, but in the abuse of it. SPECULATION MUST BE BEGULATED. We have heretofore shown how speculation properly regulated is the basis of that insurance upon which the cotton business depends. The men who believe that prices will be higher in the future and buy for future delivery, and the men who believe that prices will be lower in the future and sell for future delivery, are the people who assume the risk, thus enabling the great mass of producers, merchants, bankers, spinners and consumers, to conduct their business on non-speculative lines to the material advantage of all concerned. A properly regulated system of future trading, therefore, supplies the means whereby speculation is limited to the few who are able and willing to take the risk and protection afforded to the unlimited number who are unwilling and unable to assume the risk. A properly regulated system of future trading thus decreases the volume and extent of speculation instead of increasing it. Eegulation, th»refore, becomes the issue. EXCESSIVE SPECULATION AN INCIDENT. Future trading, per se, no matter how fair and honest the system may be, is susceptible to abuse in the matter of speculation. The ease and facility with which cotton may be bought for an advance, or sold for a decline, by the transfer of representative contracts; the efforts made and the inducements offered by brokers whose commissions or profit depend upon the volume of speculative business transacted ; and the natural tendency of mankind to take a chance of making quick and easy money : all tend toward induc- ing people to speculate, who have no business in the market, and to- 50 wards making tliose who have a legitimate use for 'the contract, overtrade and take long speculative chances. There is no doubt but that this facili'ty is a danger lurking in any system of future trading, and thexe is no doubt but that at the time the agitation against future trading began, this excessive speculation was a most reprehensible fact and a flagrant evil. But since that time nearly all ef the Southern States have put anti-future-speculation laws on their statute books. These laws, while unnecessarily drastic, and while they enjoin a great deal more than they accomplish, still have had the effect of practically limit- ing future trading to those actually engaged in the cotton business and who have an actual need for the future contract; and have effectually prohibited that indscriminate mania for speculation, which before, had invaded' all sections of the country, all lines of business and even the homes of the people. The evil of excessive speculation has been, therefore, at the present time minimized, and it can be controlled l;y the enforcement of proper regulations. THE CRUX OP THE EVIL. We have now reached the crux of our discussion. We have shown that the principle of future .trading is necessary and bene- ficial; we have affirmed that the system as it has been operated, has been attended by harmful consequences; we have shown that one of the attributed evils, that of bucket-shopping, has no relation -to a properly operated future trading system, and besides has already feeen largely eliminated and can be entirely destroyed; we have shown that another most conspicuous hurtful development of future trading, excessive speculation, was not a constitutional and inevitable consequence, but an abuse which could be, and which had been in recent years, kept within reasonable limits of restraint. There remains yet to be considered the third evil specified, or the evil of manipulation through unjust, unfair and corrupt methods of operating future contract trading. ot In the next- and the succeeding articles this abuse will be gi-ren attention. We shall find in the wrongful practices specified the fountain head of the trouble and the capital cause of the reproach that has fallen upon the future trade. We shall find that the fault lies not in the principle, nor in the system of trading per se, but in unfair and dishonest methods of administering the principle and manipulating the system. After these seveial abuses have been pointed out and the reason for the existence and the harmful effect thereof discussed, we shall endeavor to recommend the remedies by means of which' the system may be shorn of the vices which have been engrafted upon it, and strengthened and perfected for the proper performance of its important economic purpose. ISSUE ILLUSTBATED. Because we are approaching the climax of our discussion, it is important that we have the essential issues clearly in mind, and in order that we may have no excuse for confusion in this regard, we shall, even at the expense of repetition, attempt to summarize our analysis by means of an illustration. The system of navigation plays a most important part in the progress and welfare of the human race. • But there are both difficulties and dangers attendant upon, the practical effort to navigate. These harjnful contingencies may arise from two different causes — they may proceed from the very nature of the undertaking; or from some extraneous overt interference. Of the first class, the happening of storms may be taken as typical; of the second class, piracy is an example. In order to obviate or resist these adverse contingencies, it is not necessary, nor wise, to pass laws prohibiting navigation. The remedy for the first class of mishap, is to pi:ovide safety appliances and to enforce safe guarding methods; the remedy for the second class of misfortune is to sweep the pirates from the sea. Applying this illustration to the subject in hand : 58 TEANSGIJESSION, KOT TRADING, SHOULD BE PROHIBITED. Future contract trading is a system necessary and indispensable to modern business. But there are certain difficulties and dangers attendant upon the practical effort to operate the system. These harmful contingencies may arise either from the nature of the case Or from the overt machinations of selfish and designing men. Of the first class the development of indiscriminate and excessive speculation may be taken as typical; of the second class, the cotton exchange which has no excuse for existence except as a speculative convenience, and vi^hich is operated under unjust and unjustifiable rules for the profit of a coterie of its members at the expense of the outsider, the public, and the producer and consumer of cotton, is an example. To obviate and resist these adverse contingencies, it is neither wise nor necessary to pass laws prohibiting all future contract trading. The remedy for the first contingency is to restrict and regulate the citizen in his conduct — which has already been done : the remedy for the assaults of overt dishonesty, is to proceed against the transgressor. Subsequent discussion will be devoted to this latter phase. 59 CHAPTER IX. Future Contract Trading — Further Discussion of Injurious Developments. A trade agency of such economic value and practical benefit as we have found the future contract to be, would necessarily, if employed under adequate restrictions and proper methods of opera- tion, command universal appjeciation and endorsement. We find, however, that the future contract, and trading therein, has been assailed with vindictive bitterness and the whole system is even now the subject of proposed prohibitory legislation pending in Congress. It is not to be supposed that this antagonism 'proceeds from wanton destructiveness. It, therefore, follows as a logical necessity that the system has not in all instances been employed under proper restrictions and methods. A brief analysis of the anti-future agitation will strengthen this conclusion. CAUSES' OF ANTI-PUTUEE AGITATION" ANALYZED. The acute attention of the public was drawn to future trading and a hostile disposition aroused, . several years ago by an epidemic of speculation in cotton which seized all classes of our people. Excited by press accounts of great fortunes made in a few days or weeks ; stimulated by the tales of easy money gained in the cotton market; and faciliated by the establishment of so-called cotton exchanges in all of the large towns and many of the small ones throughout the South, an injurious condition of affairs was brought about. Farmers, doctors, lawyers, bankers, merchants, clerks and even women and children caught the infection and became speculators in cotton. In addition to the generally demoralizing effect of such conditions, particular instances of indiscretion, misfortune, dishonesty and tragic consequences, still further ag- gravated the storm of protest. Such conditions were not tolerable, 60 and tlie people moved by swift anger struck at the trade system which made sucli developments possible, and within a brief period almost all the Southern States had placed upon their statute books the drastic anti-future laws aforementioned. It is probable that this frenzy of speculation would have worn itself out within a limited time, as experience has shows to be the case in similar instances of hectic disorder, but it is an un- deniable fact and a fortunate fact that the laws mentioned sum- marily hastened the desired consummation. But, although, these laws served a good purpose, they, like all laws framed in. anger and truculence went too far, proposed too much and did not fit the real necessities of the case. They undertook to destroy the abuses of future trading by denying the citizen the right to trade in future contracts at all. They proposed to deny all men the right to use a necessary trade facility because some men had misused the same, fortunately, those states in which the future markets were located did not pass the=e drastic acts, and as no prohibitory federal statute was enacted, the future markets were not destroyed. Thus it was still possible to find a market in which future contracts could be bought and sold; and the citizens of those states which had enacted such laws, whose business and livelihood required the protection afforded by the future contract, found ways to purchase their hedges in spite of the prohibition. If the future contract exchanges had been closed and the future contract markets destroyed; or even if the strict mandate of the state anti-future laws had been rigidly enforced and the cotton buyers and sellers of such states, had been in fact pro- hibited from using the future contract facility, there can be no douJit but that the cotton business of those states and of the South would have been demoralized and a united protest would have demanded the repeal of the prohibitory statutes. 61 OPPOSITION STILL IN EVIDENCE. But, although the original cause of complaint has been to a great extent removed; and although future contract markets are still in existence and future contracts are available to those who require them in the transaction of their business; still the voice of protest has not been hushed nor the hand of opposition stayed. In the agitation of the future trading question Suring the past few years and from the investigation of the subject, which has been instituted, the people have learned that excessive speculation and the demoralizing effect thereof on the individual, does not com- prise all the injury that has been inflicted or may be inflicted by a wrongful use of a system of future contract trading. They have learned that where the machinery of the system is in powerful, unscrupulous and irresponsible hands, it may be used for the selfish profit of the individuals controlling the same and to the detriment of other individuals and to the injury of the trade. The cotton trade has learned that the system upon which it is dependent, may by unfair regulations and unjust conditions be impaired in its beneficial function and prostituted to the greed of the framers of these regulations and the authors of these conditions. It hass been ascertained by interested students of the problem and demon- strated by disinterested invtestig)ation and testimony, that one future market in this country has been for years and is, in the face of exposure and condemnation, still persisting in operating under uncommercial, partial and inequitable rules and methods; and has been and is still maintaining and proclaming the arrogant assumption that the object and purpose of its organization and operation is the profit of its members, without consideration for the rights of producers, spinners, consumers or any outside interest whatsoever. The cotton trade has learned that the code of rules employed by this institution has inflicted injury upon legitimate interests, has brought reproach u|pon exchanges and even threatens the integrity of the great principle of future trading itself. 62 IXDIGXATION- SHOULD ¥0T CLOUD JUDGMENT. But we must not permit our indignation to cloud our judg- ment, nor must we allow our resentment to lead us into any extreme or destructiTe measures which will accomplish more than we intend or more than the cotton trade can stand. It is not only right, Ijut it is necessary that future contract exchanges shall be required to deal fairly with the trading public, but it is neither right nor necessary, in order to attempt this result, to destroy all such exchanges or to prohibit future contract trading, either by specific legislative denial or by the imposition of conditions which will make such trading impracticable or impossible. We must preserve the future contract exchange and perfect the future contract trading system, but the exchange must admit and respect its obligation, and the system must be made to subserve the interests, not of the individual operator or clique of operators, but of the cotton trade. That this result may be accomplished by estab- lishing a standard of rule and administration to which future trading must conform, or otherwise be outlawed; and by investing the strong arm of the government with the authority, and imposing upon it the duty, to see that the prescribed principles are observed and obeyed, is at once the remedy for the abuses and the salvation of this most important agency of trade. The command must be, not that "you shall not trade in future contracts;" but that "you shall not trade in future contracts through any exchange which does not conform to certain stated principles of equity and fair dealing." When the fact is appreciated that future contract trading cannot be carried on in sufficient volume to develop either the good or the bad features, unless a large number of tra.^ers are gathered together in a market; and when it is realized that such future trading market cannot be organized and the necessary facili- ties afforded, except through the medium of an exchange: it becomes obvious that the enforcement of the foregoing command through the regulation of exchanges, will answer the imperative G3 demands of the legitimate trade and traders, and will at the same time satisfy all reasonable protests against inequities in the opera- tion of the system. EXCHANGES EESPONSIBLE FOE SYSTEM OF OPEEATION. It being admitted that future trading to be effective either for good or bad, or to amount to enough to entitle it to notice, must be carried on through the medium of an organization or exchange; it follows that the principles upon which, and the code of rules under which, such trading is conducted in such exchanges, become the issues of prime importance. We will not here attempt any detailed discussion of the technical rules and requirements that should govern future trans- actions in the exchanges. We will announce a few general prin- ciples, which should and must be observed, and then we shall show in as plain a manner as possible how in some instances these principles have been disregarded. In this discussion it will be necessary for us to call attention to the rules and practices of certain exchanges by name. We disclaim any prejudice or sectional animosity in our arraignment of any institution. We take the facts as we find them and draw our conclusions therefrom. POINTS OF DISCUSSION SUMMAKIZED. For the sake of unity in the arrangement of the discussion, we will not in this article begin the enumeration of the general prin- ciples which should govern the organization of a future contract exchange and the operation of the system of future contract trading ; but will devote the entire following article to the consideration of this fundamental branch of the subject. In the meantime and in order that we may not lose the sequence of the argument, we will conclude this installment with "the following summary. 64 1st. Future contract trading utilizes an important economic principle which is essential and indispensable to the modern cotton trade. The proper operation of the future contract agency supplies protection for all dealers in cotton, from the producers of the raw material to the ultimate distributors of the manufactured goods and makes possible the elimination of the element of specula- tion from the transactions of each; thus increasing the number of markets and buyers for the raw material and encouraging and extending the cotton manufacturing industry, and thereby stimulat- ing competition in both the buying of the raw material and the selling of the manufactured product, with the result that the farmer receives more for his product and the consumer pays less for the clothes he wears. Interference with this protective principle reverses, pro tanto, the foregoing consummation ; wliile the prohibi- tion of the use of the principle would precipitate disorder and demoralization in modern business methods, and bring wholesale injury upon all concerned with the cotton industr}-. 3nd. In the utilization of this principle, injurious develop- ments are evident, (a) The opportunity which future contract trading oilers for speculation may be abixsed, and men who have no business in the speculative market may gamble to their own hurt, and men who have a legitimate use for the facility may run into a course of reckless hazard, (b) Particular systems under whioii the principle is operated may be faulty and may be so organized and so operated as not only to impair the usefulness of the agency, but make it, at times, an instrument of oppression to those whom logically it should benefit, and in instances, a disturbing and in- jurious element in the actual cotton trade. 3rd. As the evil mentioned under sub-head (a) may attach itself to any system of future trading, no matter how fair the modus operandi might be, the remedy therefor lies primarily in the regulation of the conduct of the individual by the state. This regulation has been applied liy several states by means of anti- future trading laws, which although unnecessarily drastic, are 65 eflfeetive for the purpose mentioned; and which, inasmuch as they have not destroyed the future markets themselves, and have not in fact prevented the legitimate use of the contract, although in terms prohibiting the same, have not been followed by the dis- astrous results which by universal application and logical enforce- ment they would entail. 4th. As the evil mentioned under sub-head (b) is the result of a faulty system of utilizing the future trading principle, and as the systems, by means of which the principle is utilized, are formu- lated by the several exchanges in which such trading is systematized, the remedy for injurious developments in this regard, lies in establishing certain principles to which the exchanges must conform if they permit future trading under the rules thereof; and in order that conformity to these principles may be enforced. Federal Supervision of the operation of such exchanges, should be invoked. 66 CHAPTER X. Pundamental Principles Which Should Govern Exchanges. We have reached the point in our discussion where the onus of proper or improper utilization of the future trading principle is placed fairly and squarely upon the Exchanges which formulate the systems under which the same is made operative. Such ex- changes have it within their power to enforce fair and equitable methods, or they can employ a code of rules and practice, unjust, inequitable and partisan. Whether they do the one thing or the other will determine whether future trading will realize the full benefit of its mission, or will be distorted into a questionable, if not positively injurious, agency. It is not only our duty, but we are urged by the demands of self-interest, to see that the .exchanges follow the proper course in this regard. To some who have been unwilling or unable to devote the neces- sary time and thought to the solution of this problem, it has seemed that the best way to prevent the future contract exchanges from employing wrongful methods and practices is to destroy them all. It must be admitted that some excuse for this disposition towards summary prohibition and reprisal is supplied by the arrogant and contemptuous attitude of one of the exchanges of this country. It is difficult to submit with patience to the intolerance of an institu- tion which treats with indifference the just complaints of the producers and consumers of cotton and which flouts the disinterested ■criticism of the government itself. But summary vengeance against all future contract exchanges because of the attitude of one, is a course not only unjust in principle, but productive of unfortunate results. A fly on a man's head is an unwelcome and pestilential visitant, but it would be a monumental error of judgment to under- take to mash it with a spiked club. The welfare of the cotton 67 ■trade and of all who are dependent thereon is too important and too vital an issue to be jeopardized because we are angry, or because we do not want to take the trouble to think. To the end that we may solve the problem rationally, and with the view of securing ■a net return of good from our reformatory efforts, we must give some study to the question; we must ascertain what an exchange ought to be and what it ought to avoid being; and then we will be qualified to regulate these instrumentalities of trade by an ■intelligent and effective ultimatum. OBLIGATION OP EXCHANGES TO THE PUBLIC. There was a time when private corporations, and other or- ■ganizations of individuals joined together for specific benefits and profits, assumed. the attitude, and effectively maintained it too, ihat so long as they did not come into collision with the laws of ' -the land they were at liberty to use their organized power for -their o'vni profit and in utter disregard of the interest, welfare, and -rights of all others not associated or affiliated with them. In other words, it was assumed that one of the franchises of corporate ■existence was the right to prey upon the public. This theory of relation, repugnant alike to our organic law and to the spirit of the people, and subversive of both economic and political liberty, "has in recent times been challenged by a fierce denial. The people are now awake and will not tolerate the assumption of sovereignty loj the creatures of their clemency. These bodies corporate or artificial persons invested with extraordinary power, are facing a very real arraignment for the misuse of this power; and it is an -over-bold advocate or else a fatuous one, who will now defend corporate selfishness upon the theory of corporate right. Every corporation, whether it be a body chartered under law, •or an association of individuals without special legislative warrant, is, either by express authorization or by sufferance, the creature of the body politic permitting it to exist and operate. Such corpora- 68 tion or association has no rights or powers which the people did not give it; and hence, has no warrant either in morals or in law, to use these rights or powers for the oppression of any of the people who conferred them. Any denial, therefore, by any of these institutions, of obligations to deal fairly with the whole body politic and with all the members who constitute the same, is an untenable and punishable assumption. The defense that rights' have become vested, will not in such case avail, because the practice of brigandage, no matter how long continued, cannot, among as free people, ever become a vested right. OBLIGATIONS OF COMMODITY EXCHAXG-ES'. The foregoing generalizations apply with peculiar force to the- so-called commodity associations or exchanges, and especially to those institutions of this class which deal with the products used to feed and clothe mankind. These institutions, although not organized and operated for stock profit or for the purpose of declar- ing money dividends to shareholders or members, nevertheless confer' distinct privileges and considerable advantages upon those whcv participate in membership. Furthermore, the transactions con- ducted upon these exchanges and under the sanction of their rules- and regulations, affect not only the interest of the members thereof,- but the welfare of millions of people who have no membership therein, and no voice in the framing of the code of laws and practice by which the said transactions are governed. The pur- chases and sales consummated in such exchanges by members there- of for their own account and as agents for outside principals,, establish the market value of the commodity which is the subject of such transactions; and the morals of such exchange, whether equitable and wise or unfair and partisan, is instrumental in determining the whole state of the trade. It, therefore, becomes obvious that the test of the usefulness of such exchange, and even of its right to exist, is whether, or not it fully recognizes its obliga- 69 •tion and responsbility to the public, and whether or not it makes ■considerate application of the powerful and comprehensive forces -of which it is custodian or trustee, to the interest and welfare of all who are touched thereby. When note is taken of the fact that the subject matter of the transactions mentioned, constitute the necessary things of life, and ihat the integrity of these transactions involve the sustenance and protection of the whole family of human beings, the sense of ■obligation contended for acquires a solemn emphasis, and the denial thereof presupposes not only a disposition and intention to profit :at the expense of the unprotected and the unwary, but a callous ■disregard of the demand of public spirit and humanity. Com- modity exchanges perform a most important function and indeed ■constitute a necessity with which, the trade could not without irretrievable loss dispense. They should, therefore, be protected and "their usefulness encouraged; but whether or not a particular com- modity exchange should be protected and encouraged or assailed -and condemned, depends upon the fundamental consideration of whether it recognizes its relation and obligation to the public or ■denies the same. Foimded upon the disposition first mentioned it is a potent and comprehensive agency for good and its code of rules and practice will be consistent with its basic principle and -consequently in accord with all interests affected thereby; based upon the other principle the institution is unsound at its core and is logically the breeding place of the wrongful practices which will Jbe hereinafter specified and discussed. 70 CHAPTER XI. Discussion of the Rules Under Which Future Contract Trad- ing Is Conducted. It must be admitted that all exchanges, and particularly all' commodity exchanges, lie under imperative obligation to employ their forces of organization in the interests of trade, as contradis-- tinguished from the interests of cliques or individiuds; and not only to recognize the rights of all who are concerned with the commodity which is the subject of the transactions in such exchanges, but to- use their trade machinery for the protection of such rights. Prom this admission must be deduced the ultimatum, that upon the full recognition of this obligation, and upon the faithful performance- of the duties entailed thereby, rests the claim of such exchanges' to the virtue of usefulness, and even to the right of existence. • These propostions are self-evident and trite. To announce- them is to state what every thoughtful mind has already accepted' as truth. We realize that no argument is necessary to establish these- obvious principles; we have emphasized them for a collateral pur- pose. The point is not so much to verify these principles, as to' emphasize the fundamental importance of a recognition of the same. We have called pointed attention to the right principle in order that we may specify in logical detail the concrete good results- which follow consistence therewith, and the evil consequences that are entailed by departure therefrom. An exchange founded upon' a full recognition of this obligation will naturally and logically enact laws, rules and regulations fair to all concerned : an exchange - based upon the contrary principle will naturally and logically con- struct and operate its machinery to the end that the few shall be- benefitted at the expense of the many. "A good tree cannot bring forth evil fruit, neither can a corrupt tree bring forth good fruit."' Having established the general test of moral responsibility by 71 which all exchanges must be tried and judged, it is now in order to give some special consideration to the instrumentalities through which these institutions make their purposes effective — namely, the rules and regulations prescribing and governing the transactions consummated therein. When we begin to study the machinery or the system of trad- ing employed by the future-cotton-contract exchanges, logically the first subject for consideration is. the future contract itself, with special reference to the terms and conditions thereof. THE' TEEMS OP THE FUTU!RE CONTEACT. If the future contract is to be a bona fide trade agency, and if it is to perform its protective office, which is its most important function, it must not only be fair and just to both of the parties thereto, but it must not hold any lurhmg peril, or ant; pitfall into which the unwary or the uninitiated trader may stumble. It is eacy enough to anounce these general principles, but when it becomes necessary to formulate the specific contract which will answer these requirements, the task is not so simple as a good many disputants suppose. The proposition is a complex one and cannot be disposed of by the summary and off-hand dictum of the uninformed. What constitutes a fair contract as between buyer and seller, must be determined by another test than that of mathemati- cal division; and the safety, dependableness and utility of the con- tract, depends upon other consideration than the mere enforceability of its terms. We will briefly discuss these propositions separately, in the hope that certain. prevalent misapprehensions may be cor- rected, and that an intelligent basis may be established for corrective measures. FAIE ALIKE TO BUYEE AND SELLEE. The future contracts used in the two American exchanges are not objectionable in form or terms, but are, on the contrary, in these respects substantially correct. In the discussions of this 72 subject, a good deal of stress has been laid upon the fact that the «aid contracts contain the sell&r's option, or in other words, provide that the seller has the privilege of delivering whatever grades he •desires — within certain specified limits; and furthermore has the •option of delivering on any day he determines — within the limits of the month and after reasonable notice. It has been contended that these options give the seller an unfair advantage over the buyer and that the latter should have at least an equal privilege Tvith the seller in both of the above-mentioned respects. This argument has some superficial merit, but an analysis of the relative undertakings of the parties to the contract, will show it to be unsound. The postulate that the division of privilege between the two parties should be equal, would be correct, provided, that the obligations and risks assumed by the two parties were •equal. But where the undertaking of one party involves greater risk of danger and loss than is involved by the undertaking of the •other party, it would be manifestly unfair to enforce an equal ■division of privilege. That the selling party in a future contract undertakes the more onerous obligation, and that the performance of his part of the contract entails more hazard and is more subject to vicissitudes than is involved in the buyer's commitment, is obvious. The seller undertakes to deliver cotton (which he may yet have to purchase) •at some future time, or else suffer severe penalties. The grades he will find available at the time his contract matures will depend aipon the character of the crop and of the stocks from which he must draw his supply; and the time during the month, at which fie will make delivery, depends upon the vicissitudes of transporta- tion and other considerations over which he has no control; whereas, the buyer has only to provide himself with the means •wherewith to pay for the deliveries. If, therefore, the buyer had the right to demand the delivery of specific grades on even a part of the contract, he could call for those grades which he had reason 73 io believe the seller did not have, or could not procure, and thus force the latter into a breach of contract and the consequent penalty and loss. Or, if the buyer had the right to select the time, or the ■day during the month, at or on which delivery, in whole or in part, must be made, he might, by his knowledge of the seller's situation, ■select a particiilar time at which it would be inconvenient, or im- possible for the latter to make delivery. In such case, the delay of even a few days, caused by a railroad wreck or congestion, or •some similar happening, might be the means of imposing a penalty and loss upon the seller, which loss neither party contemplated • when the contract was made. If, therefore, the terms of the con- iract obliged the seller to assume the risks aforesaid, and gave the buyer, in instances, the opportunity to penalize the former by Teason of accidental causes ; one of two results would follow — either the seller would not contract at all, or else he would demand that "the buyer pay him a prendium for the unequal risk which the former assumed; and in either case the volume of future trading would be diminished to such an extent, and the price of the con- iract would be so affected by artificial considerations, that its utility as a hedge for non-speculative producers and merchants -would be destroyed. RELATIVE VALUE OP CONTRACTS AND SPOTS. In this connection, it would be well to say a word about the relative value of future contracts and spot cotton. It is a funda- mental prerequisite of a good contract that it should in all respects be representative of the commodity for which it stands, and that its value should be on a substantial parity with the value of cotton in the spot market. But it is a niistake to compare, as many do, -the present value of cotton with the price of a future contract maturing in another or a, distant month. It is error, therefore, ;to say that a future contract is bad and unresponsive because, for instance, spot cotton presently sold in July is materially higher •i;han the quotations for the October contract: just as it would be 74 a mistalie to condemn a contract because the price of spots in October, say, was lower than the future contract quotations for the following month of July. The comparison must be made between the value of spot cotton and the value of the future contract matur- ing in the current month. The quotations for the future months do not represent the value of cotton at the present time, but they record the consensus of opinion as to what spot cotton will be worth at said future time. But it is essential that the value of the con- tract maturing in the current month shall be substantially the same as the value of spot cotton. If the quotations for the contract should be materially or consistently lower or higher than the value- of spot cotton, then it is proof that the contract has some defect which artificially advances its value above, or artificially depresses its value below its true, bona fide value as a cotton contract. Thus- it becomes clear, as heretofore stated,, that any terms or conditions in a contract which give it either a fictitious premium, or which impose upon it an artificial discount, will always impair, and, if of sufficient moment, will inevitably destroy the usefulness of the- contract as a trade utility or a hedge. It, therefore, follows that a contract is not necessarily unfair because it gives the seller some latitude in the option of the time- during the month at which delivery shall be made; nor, as shall be shown in more detail hereafter, because it gives him an election as to the grades of cotton he will deliver, provided, always, that the time option shall be reasonable, and that the grade option shall be limited to cotton that is neither too low, nor too high, and to such grades as are, in normal times, salable and the actual subject of current market transactions. On the contrary, this latitude given the seller is necessary for that free and unrestricted issue and transfer of contracts which makes the future market, and supplies- the spot trader with the protection which can be afforded only by the existence of such market. The "seller's option," as prescribed in the future contract, is not per se unfair, but is correct and! 75 necessar}'. The valid objection is not that the option given is ia- equitable or wrong, but that under certain rules of certain Ex- changes, the seller is permitted to abuse this privilege and to impose such collateral burdens upon the buyer as will discourage the latter from receiving the cotton on contract, and, in con- sequence, depreciate the price of such contract below the value of the cotton it represents. In the succeeding article we will endeavor to show the neces- sity of a basis contract, or a contract in which the seller is perr mitted to deliver all merchantable grades within certain limits and restrictions. Having demonstrated the necessity of these several privileges, we will then proceed to show how they may be abused, and how they are abused ; and how a contract altogether fair in its terms may be, and is, made the instrument of injurious and corrupt; practices. , 76 CHAPTER XII. Further Discussion of the Rules Under Which Future Contract Trading Is Conducted. In the preceding article we undertook to lay down certain fundamental rules which should be observed in the formulation of all contracts for future delivery. We announced that the contract, in its terms, must be fair alike to both buyer and seller, and must not hold any lurking dangers or pitfalls into which the uninitiated or Unwary trader may fall. We undertook to show that the "sellers' oftion" as to the date (during the month) on which de- livery shbuld be made, and as to the grades (within certain limits) that should be delivered, was not only a fair provision — provided it was f a;irly employed — ^but a necessary provision,_ if the contract was to realize the requirement that it hold no lurking peril or pitfall, ^he seller, undertaking as he does the more onerous and dangerous obligation, must be given a reasonable latitude as to the time of delivery, and a reasonable election as to the grades he will deliver; otherwise he may be made the victim of an accident or a "squeeze." In this event, the selling of a future contract would be attended \vith such uncertainties and dangers that few would be found Willing to undertake the obligation at all, or unless they were paid a considerable premium for so doing. In either case the hedging value of the future contract would be destroyed, its most im- portant function would be impaired, and the very object of its existence defeated. THE BASIS' CONTEACT. Some superficial critics of the form of future contracts presently employed in the several exchanges, have found fault with the fact that they are all "basis" contracts, and not contracts for a specific grade or grades. A little reflection will show that the basis con- 77 tract — provided that the range of deliverable grades is not too wide, and provided always that the terms of the contract are justly and without partiality enforced under the rules and by the practice of the exchange — is not only fair to both parties and dangerous to neither, but is in fact the only kind of contract under which any comprehensive system of hedging is feasible or even possible. The basis contract is a contract wherein the seller agrees to deliver, and the buyer to receive, a certain amount of cotton to be paid for at a certain price for a basis or standard grade, with additions to such price or deductions therefrom for such cotton as may be delivered of a higher or lower grade than the basis or standard. In cotton future contracts the basis is the Middling grade. The contracts in use in the several exchanges provide that any grade from Good Ordinary to Fair, inclusive, is deliverable. If it should so happen that only Middling cotton was delivered on the contract, then the buyer would pay therefor the price named in the contract; but if other grades than Middling were delivered, the payment for such grades would be made on the basis of so much above or so much below the contract price — the, amount of the premium or discount being determined by the relative differ- ence in value between the grades delivered and Middling, or the basis grade. To illustrate: Suppose A bought and B sold 100 bales of cotton for October delivery at the price of 12c per pound. When October came, if only Middling- cotton was tendered, then A would pay B for the total number of pounds delivered at the rate of 13c per pound. It makes no difference what cotton might be worth when October came, the settlement of the transaction would be on the price named in the contract. But suppose, instead of delivering all Middling, B should deliver say 50 bales of Middling, 35 bales of Low Middling and 35' bales of Good Middling. For all the Middling A would pay 13c, but for the Low Middling he would pay as much less than 13c as Low Middling was worth less than 78 Middling ; and for the Good Middling he would pay as much more than 12c as Good Middling was worth more than Middling. It trould make no diflference what the current price of cotton might Be at the time of delivery — Middling might be 15c or it might be lOc, and the other grades correspondingly high or low^the parties to the contract in the illustration would settle on the basis of 13c for Middling, with additions to or deductions from said price for the other grades delivered, as stated. S'OUND m THEORY. The theory of the Middling basis contract is unassailable, and it is entirely possible to give it a practical efEect which iS fair, just and satisfactory to all iorm fide traders therein. If the receiver is required to take only merchantable or saleable grades, and if for the grades other than Middling he is required to pay on the basis of the actual difference in value between such grades and Middling that exists in the spot market at the time of delivery, he can suffer io hardship because of the delivery of such grades or because of the basis contract. But it is also possible to make the basis con- tract an instrument of oppression and injury. This result may fee accomplished by the operation of rules and practices of the exchange permitting the seller to deliver, and compelling the buyer to receive, cotton for which there is no market and which the tuyer cannot dispose of except at a loss; and by giving the mer- chantable grades other than the basis grade a fictitious and incor- rect valuation, thus requiring the receiver in the contract to pay for such grades more than their actual relative value. These de- liveries of unmerchantable cotton and this improper valuation of the grades other than the basis grade are prolific sources of manipu- lation of the contract price, and have done more than any other causes to bring reproach upon- the system of future contract trading. A little later we will show specifically how these objec- tionable practices work, how the improper valuation is fixed, how 79 manipulation results, and how the market is afEected by such manipulation. Our present purpose is to show that the basis con- tract correctly administered, is not only the proper medium for future trading, but is the only form of contract upon which an adequate and efficient systein of future trading can be predicated. BASIS CONTRACT NECESSAEY. This series of articles has been written in vain if it has not been made clear that the primary and essential value of the system of future trading lies in the protection and facility it affords to those dealers in cotton who cannot afford to speculate or who do not want to speculate. The major function of the system is to provide the means whereby the owner or holder of cotton, or the prospective owner or holder thereof, may hedge his holdings or commitments. The important office of the future contract is not so much to provide the spinner with the specific grades which he spins into cloth, as it is to give him an insurance that when he needs the actual specific grades, the net cost thereof will not be more than a certain stated price. The value of the future contract to the producer lies not so much in the fact that through actual delivery thereon he will find a market for his crop, as in the fact that by using the contract he can insure to himself a stated net return for his crop and not take the chance of a decline before he can get it ready for market. The great use of the future contract to the buyer and exporter is not so much that it is a source of supply of actual cotton or specific grades, nor the medium of dis- tribution of the same, as it is that it gives him an insurance which will enable. him to buy the farmer's cotton without having pre- viously placed the same, and to contract with the spinner for the specific grades the latter will need, even though he, the buyer or exporter, has not the cotton in hand. The fundamental advantage of future contract trading is, therefore, the insurance or hedge protection, Just as the value of an insurance policy is the protec- 80 Hon it affords the insured. The enforceable specific performance of the terms of the future contract is the guaranty of this protec- tion, just as the enforceable performance of the contract of insur- ance is the guaranty of the protection which the insured has bought. To compel a man to take or make actual delivery on a future contract regardless of any and all circumstances or else go to jail, as is proposed by certain legislative acts now pending, would be the same in principle as to compel a man to burn his-- house and thus enforce specific performance of his insurance con- tract, or else make affidavit that he intended to burn it, before he could validate his policy and purge himself of the presumptive charge that his transaction was gambling. VOLUME OF CONTKACTS MUST BE SUPPLIED. In order that there may be a supply of such contracts from which producers, buyers, exporters and spinners may purchase the required protection, it is necessary that there shall be parties who are willing to offer to sell or buy, or in other words, to issue these contracts. As heretofore shown, the supply of contracts comes primarily from the speculative class. This division of trade is composed of individuals who on the one side believe that prices will be lower in the future, and on the other that they will be higher. The first mentioned parties offer to sell, and the second offer to buy. The producer, spinner, and spot dealer who desire to protect their holdings or commitments, as heretofore showny procure their supply of contracts from the trading center estab- lished for this purpose in the exchanges, and" in turn become parties to such contracts, and obligate themselves to perform the terms thereof so long as they remain parties thereto. This speculative nucleus, reinforced and augmented by the hedge trading men- tioned, constitutes the future contract market. Now in order that there may be contracts available for those who want to buy, it is an obvious prerequisite that there must be 81 parties who are willing to sell. A man of ordinary judgment will not contract an obligation unless lie has reasonable assurance that he can fulfill it, and he would not contract to deliver cotton at some future time if, by the terms of the contract he was, upon pains and penalties, compelled to supply the grade of the buyer's selection or any grade which he might have difficulty in procuring,, or not be able to procure at all. There has been a good deal of discussion in this connection as to the advisability of narrowing the range of grades deliverable on the contract, or of making the contract call for specific grades, or for no grade below Middling. Such stipulations in the contract would not only fail to advance the price of actual cotton, but would make the contract highly speculat.ve^ restrict its use to speculators only and would most probably destroy the future market and deprive all traders of the hedging facility. It is. entirely possible to formulate a contract that would be most attrac- tive to the buyer, hut such contract would do the buyer no good unless he could find some one willing to assume the selling side of the obligation. Just as a person desiring insurance can con- coct a policy which would be very much to h's liking, but he could realize no benefit therefrom unless he could find some one wh& would underwrite the risk on the terms proposed. It would do no- good to sanction such policy by statutory enactment. Neither Legislature nor Congress can compel a man to engage in a business or assume a risk which is objectionable to his business Judgment.. He would simply let it alone. SELLEE MUST FOT BE TEAPPED. Let us see why the basis Middling contract is essential, and why a specific grade contract, or a contract on which only high grades could be delivered, would deter sellers to the extent of so narrowing the market and reducing the supply of contracts that the hedging protection, so necessary to the cotton trade, would be abrogated. 82 For illustration let us take in the first instance the producer who is the primary seller of cotton. The farmer does not make a crop all of one grade, neither is his crop always of a high grade. The protection desired by him is for his crop and not for one particular grade in that crop, nor for certain high grades of which he may have little or none. Suppose the producer was satisfied with the future price of cotton as shown by contract quotations, and desired to insure himself that he would realize that price and avoid the chance of a decline pending the time his crop was ready for market. He would in such case sell a contract to deliver so much cotton as he expected to make or desired to hedge. Under the currently used basis contract he could deliver all the cotton he made, except such as was very low and of an unmerchantable character. But suppose the contract he sold provided that he could deliver only one grade, or certain specified high grades. When the time came for him to make delivery, he might find that he could deliver only a small proportion of his crop, and possibly none at all. In such case such contract would not be an asset but a liability; and not only would the seller fail to secure the protection for which he had bargained, but would be penalized and "squeezed" or mulcted by the buyer in addition. One or two such experiences would effectually eliminate the producer or primary seller from the market, and would in all probability bring swift legislative action against any such contract. But it may be contended that the producer does not use the contract market for hedging purposes to any great extent, and that the elimination of him therefrom would have no appreciable effect upon the volume of trading. Opposed to this contention it can be stated that a considerable number of planters do use the future market directly for this purpose; but even if they did not so use it at all, the effect would be the same. If the farmers do not use the future contract direOtly, still it is used by the merchant and buyer who purcliase from the farmer, and thus the latter realizes the 83 benefit resulting from the future contract hedge, e^'en though he does not personally handle the contract. The foregoing illustration is typical. The same experience falling to the lot of the merchant or cotton buyer who sold a con- tract would deter them from repeating the transaction, as effectu- ally as in the case of the producer who sold directly and suffered the consequences noted. The same conclusion is true in the case ■of the speculative element. The speculator is not looking for the worst of it in any particular, and, no matter how strong his con- viction might be that prices would decline, he would not enter into an obligation which would require him to do something which he might not be able to do, and thus not only suffer a penalty for such default, but place it within the power of the speculative buyer on the other side of the contract to "squeeze" and mulct him. BUYEE MUST BE PEOTECTED. It, therefore, seems to be a reasonably correct conclusion that in order that the future market shall be broad enough to supply the required protection, and safe enough to warrant the use of the same, the contract prescribed should give the seller a reasonable option both as to the time of delivery and the grades that he will deliver. But on the other hand, the buyer must be protected from any misuse or abuse of this option in either respect, and from any hardships or burdens which would cause him to be mulcted and deter him from buying the contract, or having bought it, would make him unduly eager to sell it out before maturity in order that he might escape taking delivery of the' cotton and avoid losses that would be entailed thereby. The. present contracts in force in the Xew Orleans Cotton Exchange and the New York Cotton Exchange are in form as nearly correct as reason and experience can instruct. Both are Middling basis contracts, both stipulate that the deliverable grades shall be from Good Ordinary to Fair inclusive, and both give the seller a reasonable option as to the time he will tender and the 84 grades he will deliver. Xo evil lies in the form of the contract. Both of the aforementioned options, however, may be abused by the seller, and, unfortunately, are so abused when per- mitted by the rules of an exchange and abetted by the adminis- tration and officials thereof. It is this practice by one of the exchanges in this country that constitutes the most serious count in the indictment of future trading, and it is the arrogant refusal of such exchange to adapt its rules to the principles of equity that is responsible for the animus of the contemporary attacks, upon a beneficial economic system which such exchange misuses. In the succeeding articles we shall endeavor to show just how an exchange may and how the exchange in question does prostitute' ■^ts function and its power by converting a contract ostensibly fair in terms and conditions into an uneconomic and predatory agency. 85 CHAPTER XIII. Abuse of the Basis Middling Contract in Future Trading. Although the basis Sliddling contract giving the seller the •option as to the grades he will deliver and the time he vs^ill make •delivery — as limited and explained in the preceding papers — is the only form of contract that will supply the protection required by the cotton trade; yet the very provisions mentioned render the future contract peculiarly susceptible to misuse and abuse, and if these provisions are not fairly interpreted and enforced, may to a ■great extent nullify the usetulness of the contract and vitiate the ■entire system of trading therein. It is, therefore, of the utmost importance that the exchanges in which such contract is the subject ■of trade, should safeguard the same, and by precept and practice protect the traders and the trade from an unfair and dishonest use of these necessary provisions and options. The particulars in which this form of contract may be abused are obvious. In the first place, the grade standards adopted by "the exchange, upon which standard contracts are settled, may not be true standards but misrepresentations; not bona fide standards but specially prepared paraphernalia; not clean cards but a marked deck : in which case the entire foundation of the contract is wrong ; the trader therein is misled and mulcted and the future contract based thereon vitiated and degraded. Secondly, where several grades, may be delivered on a contract, and the grades other than the basis grade must be settled for at the relative difEerence in the value of said grades above or below the basis, these grade differ- ences may be, by the rules of an exchange, incorrectly or improperly fixed: in which case one of the parties to the contract liquidated by delivery must suffer a loss similar in principle to having his pocket picked; and furthermore, the contract based upon such 86 incorrect or improper grade differences loses its relation to the commodity it is supposed to represent, and becomes the instrument of manipulation, if not actual fraud. Thirdly, an exchange may, by it? rules, permit the seller to abuse his option as tD deliveries, and, by such abuse, to harass and put onerous, unjust and unequal burdens and charges upon the other party to the contract; in which case, not only is the party receiving cotton under the contract the victim of wrong, but he is deterred from using the contract as the medium of actual transfer and the latter becomes thereby depre- ciated and debased. Each and all of these abuses may be prevented by requiring the future contract exchange, both in rules and prac- tice, to observe the principles of good faith in the establishment of its grade standards; of accuracy in the adjustment of grade differences; and of impartiality in the treatment accorded both parties to the contract. V\'e will discuss these abuses seriatim, going into some detail as to the nature and effect thereof, and finally suggesting the remedies therefor. I. GBADE STAXDAEDS. The grade standards upon, wJiich contract settlements are. based should he established and employed in good faith. By this we mean that the standards adopted by an exchange should be fairly responsive to the ideas of the trade, and should moreover be known, or easily susceptible of being known, to all men who trade in the contract based thereon. The range of grades deliverable on the contracts of the two future contract exchanges of this country is from Good Ordinary .on the low end of the classification scale to Fair on the high. We have heretofore made the statement that no fault is to be found with this range of contract grades. This statement is true, pro- vided that we know what the exchange means by its classifications, and provided further that these classifications agree with a 87 uniform standard representing the consensus of opinion among- traders in actual cotton as to proper grade types. For instance, we might say that Good Ordinary is an entirely merchantable and spinnable grade, having in mind a sample of cotton containing a certain amount of leaf or extraneous matter. But we would retract our assertion if we found that the Good Ordinary standard of a particular exchange consisted of a type much lower than the one we had in contemplation. In order, therefore, that the trader may know that he will not be required to take delivery of unsalable and depreciated stuff, he must know that the lowest tenderable grade is no lower than a certain uniform standard with which he is familiar. Again: When the term Middling is used, the average trader sees in his mind's eye a certain grade, containing a certain- amount of leaf or extraneous matter; and so on with all the other grades. When such trader buys or sells a contract he thinks he knows what kind of cotton he will have to receive or deliver for Middling, Low Middling" and so on, and bases his calculations upon such assumption. If, however, when delivery is made, he finds that the grade standards of the exchange in which his con- tract is settled, is different from his idea of grades, his calculations- are upset and thrown awry. He may, perhaps, find that such standards are lower than he expected, and, consequently, if he was- the buyer he would have to pay the contract deliverer more than he had anticipated. Suppose he bought a Middling basis con- tract for lOe per pound: he would be willing to pay lOe for what he thought was Middling, and would be willing to pay the proper premium or discount for such other grades above or below Middling as might be delivered. But if when the cotton was tendered he found that he would have to pay 10c per pound for cotton which the exchange on its standard called Middling, but which in his own estimation and in the general estimation of the trade was- lower than Middling, he would be called upon to stand a loss on the contract delivery which was unexpected and unwarranted. 88 Afsuming, for the sake of argument, that the grade standards of a future contract exchange were afflicted with the vices men- tioned, what would be the result upon the trader and the trade? A man who had been required to take on a contract, a grade which the exchange called Good Ordinary, for instance, but which he found he could not dispose of as Good Ordinary in the actual spot markets, and probably could not dispose of at all except at a ruinous discount; or a man who had been required to take up and pay for as Middling, Low Middling, etc., grades lower than the standards prevailing in actual spot markets, would do one of two things: either he would not buy the contract at all again, or, if the exigencies of his business required him to do so, he would bid enough less for the contract to offset the loss he knew he would make if he took delivery, and, moreover, he would be so anxious to avoid taking delivery and making the loss that he would sell out the contract at a sacrifice rather than liquidate it by taking the cotton. The inevitable effect of such defective standardization of grades would be to depreciate the contract of the exchange employ- ing the same, below the -^'alue of actual cotton ; and the consequence of such depreciation would be not only to rob such contract of its legitimate trade utility, but to constitute it in the hands of inter- ested and powerful operators the effective means of preying upon the unwary. I.MPOETAXC'E OF UNIFOEM STANDARDS. It now becomes apparent why fair grade standards, and standards well known to contract traders, are necessary to the integrity of the future contract. There should be no hesitation or equivocation in this regard. ■ The exchange that proposes to do a legitimate future business cannot do otherwise than adopt bona fide grade standards upon which its contracts are liquidated. It is not fair, neither is it honest to set a trap for the uninitiated and unsuspecting trader in contracts. The exchange pretending' 89 to conduct a legitimate business in contracts cannot consistently evade the demand that its. grade standards be fairly representative of the consensus of trade opinion. The first thing an exchange, intending to deal honestly, vrould do, would be to adopt fair stand- ards, and then promulgate the same in order that all traders in its contracts should be fully apprised of what they might be per- mitted to deliver and what they would be required to receive. Any exchange which uses low and misleading grade standards and furthermore keeps the same under cover or makes it difficult for the trade to know what said standards are ; and any exchange which refuses to adopt a uniform, widely-known and generally-approved ■standard of grade, but persists in using its own private standards for the liquidation of contracts entered into by the general trade, cannot defend its attitude upon any other, ground except that its primary object is to enable its members to make money, and that by pursuing such course it places an advantage in- the hands of the initiated by means of which they may prey upon the outsider. G.OVERNMEFT STAISTDAEDS. The United States Department of Agriculture, pursuant to instructions from Congress, has taken cognizance of this important issue and has prepared, adopted and promulgated a set of grade standards from Good Ordinary to Middling Fair. These types were selected by the Department with the advice and assistance of cotton-grading experts drawn from all branches of the spot cotton trade. These standards not only represent the best opinion of the "trade as to what the several grades should be, but they are widely known and any man or institution desiring to do so rtiay at a small cost purchase a set of the same. The man who sells or buys a ■contract in an exchange which has adopted these standards, knows exactly what he may deliver and what he will receive for Middling ■and all the other grades when delivery on the contract is made. 'Consequently, a contract based upon these standards is representa- 90 tive of actual cotton and not a flim-flam device employed for mulcting the unwary. THE EEMEDY FOE FALSE STANDARDS. The remedy f^r this injurious phase of future contract trading is olivious and simple. In the interest of honesty and fair dealing, as well as for the purpose of preserving and perfecting a proper and heneficial system of future trading, the Government should by law compel the future contract exchanges to adopt the grade stand- ards promulgated by the Department of Agriculture, or else suffer the penalty of having the future contracts entered into under the administration of such non-conforming exchange prohibited and outlawed. 91 CHAPTER XIV. Abuse of Basis Middling Contract in Future Trading:. (Continued.) Continuing the discussion begun in the last article, con-- cerning the misuses and abuses to which the basis future con- tract is subject, we will in this, devote some attention to tlje- second general particular in which these untoward incidents are manifest — namely, the incorrect and improper adjustment' of the difference in value between the basis grade and the^ several other grades deliverable on contracts. II. GRADE DIFFERENCES. "We come now to one of the most important, and at the same time, one of the most complex phases of the future con- tract. The complexity is, however, more seeming than real.. There is a perfectly natural, just and correct method of estab- lishing the grade differences in contract settlements, and: there is another method which is faulty, inequitable and arti- ficial. Where the one method is used, both the receiver and" the deliverer in a contract secures a fair deal, and the con- tract maintains its proper relation to spot cotton, and is a- fair representative thereof; where the other method is em- ployed one of the parties to the contract secures an, unfair - advantage over the other, and the contract loses its represent- ative character and becomes, not the medium for the trans- fer of actual cotton, but an agency for speculative manipula-- tion. It is well within the limits of accurate statement to say that the strongest and best supported ground of the com- plaint against future trading, and of the antagonism thereto,. 93 :is founded upon this particular abuse of a fundamentally le- sgitimate and beneficial system. Men have observed the er- jratic and unrelated fluctuations in the value of contracts "which are liquidated under the unfair and uneconomic method .;"mentioned; have become incensed by reason of the losses in- "flicted thereby; and have deplored the efEect iipon the value of 'the commodity supposed to be represented by such contracts, ^Droduc'ed by the manipulation thereof; and have rushed to tte unwarranted conclusion that all future trading vs^as bad. Many men who have interested themselves in the question Ihave failed to perceive that the results of which they com- plain are not the natural consequences of future trading, but the products of a subversion of the system, accomplished through an artificial and incorrect method of establishing the grade differences upon which the contract is settled. They have failed to appreciate that the fault does not lie in the St/stem of future trading per se, but in tlie rules and regulations i)f the Exchange which permits and enforces uneconomic and un- fair methods of settlement. And finally, they make the mis- take of demanding the prohibition of all future contract trad- ring, when the appropriate and efficient remedy lies in com- spelling the Exchanges to rectify the bad rule and to employ 'the proper method. If we understand clearly the proper and the improper methods of establishing these grade differences. "we will perceive plainly where the evil lies and be able confidently "to apply the specific remedy. SYSTEMS OF ESTABLISHING GKADB DIFFERENCES. The basis contract, as heretofore explained, is a contract Tipop which any of several grades, within certain prescribed limits, may be delivered; and settlement for the grades other than the basis grade is predicated upon the difference in refusal of such exchange to adopt fair and authoritative standards of classification, in the rule compelling settlement of contract deliveries to be made on the basis of fixed arbi- trary and incorrect grade differences; and finally, in the imposition of burdens and hardships upon the receiver of cotton in the contract for future delivery. Addressing ourselves to these merits and demerits, wc- would recommend the passage of a Federal Statute which would fix the status of a legitimate contract as pointed out, and correct and prohibit the obvious abuses thereof. Thr- difficulty lies in differentiating the permissible and beneficial class of future contracts from the class which is bad and should be prohibited. A wholesale prohibition would result in much more harm than good, and an unintelligent tinkering with the question would prove mischievous if not destructive. The object of the exposition and analysis attempted in this- series of editorials is to aid in reaching a just conclusion irt this regard. 139 It is submitted that a bill drafted on the following lines would cover the several particulars pointed out and answer the several requirements specified. THE PROPER BILL. A BILL to prohibit the use of the instrumentalities of interstate and foreign commerce, such as railroads, ships and vessels, mail, telegraph, telephone and express companies, from being used to conduct or to aid or assist in conducting interstate and foreign transactions, or interstate or foreign coijtracts for the purchase or sale of gambling contracts for the future delivery of cotton, and to prO' hibit such contracts. SECTION 1. BE IT ENACTED BY THE SENATE AND HOUSE OP REPRESENTATIVES OP THE UNITED STATES IN CONGRESS ASSEMBLED: That every contract, order, direction or request trans- mitted directly or indirectly by mail, by telegraph or by telephone, or by ship, vessel or railroad or by express or by any other means of communication from a pois(in, flrm, cor- poration or association m one state, ,or territory, or m the r C ■ ' ' ,- t District of Columbia, or in any foreigi?,, cojmtry, to another person, firm, ■ corporation, or association m , /another' state 'or' territory, or from any foreign counlrjT to -another 6t^te'or territory, or to the District of Columbia, for the purchaise or sale of cotton for future delivery in oiij (^a^the door of or under the rules of any cotton exchange or I a^ociation whose members, or allowed habitues, or authorized visitors, deal in 110 such contracts, either as brokers or as principals, or else- where, is hereby declared to be a transaction of interstate commerce or of commerce with foreign countries. Sec. 2. That all such contracts, orders, directions or i-equests for the purchase and sale of cotton for future de- livery where the intention of the parties is not to make or receive an honest and bona fide delivery of cotton, are hereby declared to be gambling transactions. Sec. 3. That all transactions for the purchase and sale of cotton comprehended in Section 1 hereof, except as here- inafter declared and specified; and all the transactions com- prehended in Section 2 hereof, are hereby prohibited and hiade unlawful, illegal, null and void, and the person, firm or corporation that pays any money, or gives anything of Value in settlement or in payment of such prohibited contract shall have the right to recover the same in any court of the United States having jurisdiction of the receiver. This right shall be barred by the limitation of one year from the date of the payment or delivery of anything of value. Sec. 4. Be it further enacted, etc., That it shall be un- lawful for any person, firm, corporation or association to send or cause to be sent from one state or territory of the United States- or the District of Columbia to any other state pr territory of the United States, or the District of Columbia, or to, a,Ayi fbijejgn e&ani-rj, by mail or by telegraph, telephone, ship, v;essel, railr9g.d br depress company, or knowingly to receive or kaO'vV'i'nglv to causer to be received in any state or territory of the United States, or the District of Columbia, by mail, or by . telegraph, . telephone, ship, vessel, railroad or express cbmpany, ,a-ny letter, telegram or message, or written or printed order relating to a contract for the future delivery tof cotton such as is prohibited in this act. 141 Sec. 5. Be it further enacted, etc., That it shall be un- lawful for any person, firm, corporation or association own- ing or operating any interstate or foreign telegraph, or tele- phone, or ship, or vessel, or railroad, or express company, or any person acting as officer, agent or employe of such owner, knowingly to use, or knowingly to allow the use of such property for the transmission from any foreign country, or from one state or territory of the United States, or from the District of Columbia, to any state or territory of the United States or the District of Columbia, or knowingly to receive, or knowingly to cause to be received in any state or territory of the United States or the District of Columbia from any other state or territory of the United States or the District of Columbia, or from any foreign country, any letter, telegram, message, or written or printed order relating to a contract for the future delivery of cotton such as is prohibited in this act. Sec. 6. Be it further enacted, etc., That the provision.s of this act shall apply to all interstate and foreign contracts for the future delivery of cotton which fall within the pro- visions of Section 2 of this act, no matter where or by whom executed, and shall apply to all interstate and foreign con- tracts for the future delivery of Cotton, executed in or on or by the members of, or brokers of, or allowed habitues, or permitted visitors of all so called cotton exchanges or asso- ciations of persons, which do not expressly and clearly pro- vide by their rules or by their by-laws as follows, and do not Avith proper diligence enforce such rules : 1st — That every contract to buy or sell cotton for future delivery made on its floor, or under its rules, or between its members, or between its members and third persons is an 142 enforceable obligation to deliver and to receive actual cotton as specified in the contract, and that any stipulation or under- standing to the contrary between the parties is prohibited. 2d. — That the standards of grades adopted and established by the United States Department of Agriculture shall be the standards upon which Spot Quotations are based and future contracts settled in all exchanges situated in the United States. 3rd. — That all contracts for the sale of cotton for future delivery executed in any exchange in the United States shall be on the basis of the Middling grade of the Standards of the said Department of Agriculture, unless particular grades are by special agreement specified; and no grade below Good Ordinary and no grade above Middling Fair on the said Standards, and no unmerchantable cotton of any grade what- ever shall be deliverable on said contracts. 4th. — Where cotton other than the basis grade is deliv- ered on a future contract, the difference above or below the contract price which the receiver shall pay for such grades, shall be determined by the actual difference in value between such grades and the basis grade found to exist in the market for spot cotton where the exchange is located and at the time when the cotton is delivered and received; and no arbitrary difference in value between the several grades shall be fixed .or established by or under any rule or by-law of the exchange. 5th. — "Where in contract deliveries a certificate of grade is issued by the exchange, then such certificate must show upon its face the grade of each bale certificated, identifying the same by mark or number with its grade. 6th. — ^The reporting of false or fictitious sales, and all fraudulent conduct by a member with another member or 143 with a non-member shall be punished by expulsion from the exchange. Sec. 7. — Be it further enacted, etc., That the: United States Bureau of Corporations is hereby specially charged with the duty of examining from time to time, the rules, regulations and by laws of all Cotton Exchanges and asso- ciations, for the purpose of discovering whether they comply with the provisions of this Act, and it shall report the result of such examinations to the District Attorneys of the respec- tive districts in which such exchanges or associations may be located. Sec. 8. — ^Be it further enacted, etc.. That any person who shall violate any of the provisions of this act shall, upon con- viction thereof, be punished for each offense by a fine of hot more than one thousand dollars nor less than two hundred and fifty dollars, or shall be imprisoned for not more than six months nor less than one month, or both. See. 9. Be it further enacted, etc.. That this act shall go into effect within ninety days from the date of its approval by the President, and that all laws and parts of laws contrary to or in conflict with the provisions of this act be and the same are hereby repealed. SUMMARY. This bill would make cotton future contracts executed on the floor and under the rules of the exchanges, transac- tions of interstate commerce and, therefore, subject to the regulative power of Congress: it would declare that all con- tracts for the future delivery of cotton where the parties intended not to make delivery were gambling contracts; and it wo'uld prohibit and nullify such contracts and would deny 144 the use of the mails and the instrumentalities of interstate commerce to these gambling transactions. Thus Bucket Shopping and kindred practices would be annihilated. But the bill goes further: It would regulate the ex- changes in which future contract business is transacted, by denying the use of the mails and instrumentalities of inter- state commerce to all such transactions unless the rules of the exchange in which they were consummated provided for certain specified standards of settlement and enforced cer- tain principles of correct method and fair dealing. And finally, the regulative function of the proposed law is made effective by lodging in one of the departments of the Federal Government the authority to see that the man- dates of the statute are observed. If our understanding of the nature, functions and neces- sity of future contract trading is correct, and if our diag- nosis of the faults and evils of the system, as it has been in instances operated, is true, then the proposed bill will strike at the evils only, while permitting and encouraging the ben- eficial and protective functions of forward trading.