mi7 ■nil I m '!j!ijfi 'Ml Cornell University Library HB37171884.G6H17 Commercial depression in Engiand.Some of 3 1924 013 911 999 S)tate College of iSBnculture at Cornell ^anibcrsitp Stijata. ia. g. Hifirarp m COMMERCIAL DEPRESSION IN ENGLAND, , SOME OF ITS PROBABLE CAUSES, New York I Press of the American Bank Note Company. 1884. -CS "g- _ >('•: The original of tiiis book is in tine Cornell University Library. There are no known copyright restrictions in the United States on the use of the text. http://www.archive.org/details/cu31924013911999 COMMERCIAL DEPRESSION IN ENGLAND. Some of its Peobable Causes. Liverpool, October, 1884, Much perplexity exists as to the cause of the depression pre- Tailing in commercial circles at the present time, and also to the absence of such elasticity as in former days would have served to lift trade from the slough of despondency into which it has fallen. The volume of business passing is great ; money is abundant and cheap ; the consumption of every article needful for human exist- ence and (with but a few exceptions) enjoyment increases with the increase of population ; investments are being made with fair free- •dom ; but yet, with all this, prices of nearly everything are un- precedentedly low, and dullness and depression prevail unexampled in character, inasmuch as they are universal, persistent, and not confined to special objects. Any theory as to the cause of such a •state of things may prove interesting, and may lead to the ex- pounding of other theories and the enlightenment of the com- munity on matters so greatly concerning it. The opinion which I advance is purely personal. I am not ■aware if it is held by others, or whether it may or may not now find acceptance ; but, well nigh twenty years ago, I find {Bankers' Magazine, 1865,) that an impression prevailed that panic might be the result of "limited liability," and it is to the unrestricted •development of "joint stock limited liability " institutions that I believe the existing depression is due. It is that principle which in the present day — as Shylock complained of Antonio — " lends out money gratis and brings down the rate of usance here with us in Venice." The old commercial classes of this country may fairly say that they are being ruined by the cheap credit estab- lished by "joint stock limited liability," and with their ruin and elimination from the circle goes that elastic buffer, which formerly helped trade to rebound ; and yet, while holding this conviction, and standing on the mount of old commercial recollections, with its profits and commissions so easy of attainment as to make busi- \ ness appear like a vested interest, I am constrained to bless the -^ advent of this new principle, though, in heart, I am disposed to ^y / 7 curse it ; and though, as I state at the outset, I believe it to be y in its present development the cause of the existing depression and ^5^ of much mischief generally. ^ It is fair to allow that the benefits which, as a whole, "limited /liability " has conferred on the country are simply jintold. Retro- spect seems to bring to positive proof that by the dispensation of Providence great inventions and the development of great princi- ples of political economj' have been coincident with great national needs, and "joint stock limited liability " institutions, by increas- , / ^ ing the funds at the disposal of national enterprise, have fostered and harried on those developments in rapid communications and otherwise which have cheapened and increased the supply of the necessaries of life concurrently with the enormous increase of the, population of this country. There did not exist thirty years since in the commercial circles of the United Kingdom that amount of capital, and I venture to characterize it recklessness of enterprise, which would have fostered the tremendous expansion of energy that has been witnessed in that period of time. The risks were too novel and too serious for private or unlimited joint stock enterprise. But the " Limited Liability " Act of 1855, with its subsequent alterations and improvements, " skinned the flint of bsggarly hoards," and in a very brief period poured into general use a fund which can be reckoned by thousands of millions. Granted that failures, frauds more or less gross, and many disas- ters have accompanied the development of the new principle ; yet, relative losses have been well spread over the land, while sound and honest enterprise has proceeded unchecked. The bulk of the population has enormously benefited in 3 cheapened food and clothing, better wages and more steady employ- ment, owing to " limited liability," and the owners of " beggarly hoards," the channel for whose investments had previously been restricted, have, in a good many cases, been able to make profit- able use of their " talents " without the perpetual dread of losing all by one adventure. But everything has its two sides, and, while giving fair laudation to the principle of " limited liability," and the great good it has done for the mass of our population, where properly and carefully directed, it is proper to consider its capability of work- ing harm ; and I take this side of the question in three aspects, namely : its encouragement of unlimited confidence, of reckless management, and of undue extension of credit. In the four years succeeding the passing of the Act, the public seemed possessed by mania, for in that period 876 schemes of every conceivable nature, comprising a nominal capital of 373,000,000 sterling, were launched into existence ; and though a wave of prudence, the offspring of disastrous losses, subsequently checked this rate of progress, the confiding public seems still un- weary of responding to the various allurements presented to it by company mongers, and year by year they have continued to subscribe to undertakings with enormous aggregate capital, sooner or later to be called up. The registrations in twenty-one years under the Companies Act of 1862 reach 19,833 companies, with a nominal share capital of £2,404,000,000 ! (House of Commons Eeturn of 1883.) Of these, upwards of 19,000 were registered with "limited liability." Is it a marvel that, in too many cases, the dispensers of these enormous resources — paid managers, and too often purely perfunctory directors, reckless of consequences in which their individual stake is but small — are led to exceed the bounds of prudence in management, and to enter into engagements that no sane or careful man of private business would consider for a moment ? It is the continuous development of confidence on the one hand, and of recklessness on the other, that has driven out the old order of merchants, who have been unable to compete against such a tide of means and extravagant enterprise — a tide which has absorbed to itself the trade of the country, and, as I hold, has placed that trade in its present state of depression. 4 To abandon what some may call the region of surmise and' assertion, I will make specific allusion to one phase of the ques- tion. The undue extension of ship-building in the United King- dom is, to my mind, the best available, for it is to that secondary cause that much of the existing depression can be traced. For the past three years the amount of tonnage built in this country has exceeded all reasonable requirements or anticipated require- ments, being something over three millions of tons for home and foreign owners, mainly steam tonnage, which, it is scarcely neces- sary to point out, does three to four times the work of sailing ships within a given time. The bulk of this shipping has found its origin in " limited liability " capital, of one character or an- other. "What has been the result ? Every port in the world has been supplied with tonnage in excess of requirements. Rates of freight have fallen ; shipments of produce to Europe have been unduly stimulated ; and though prices have been steadily declin- ing, production abroad has been steadily increasing, because the- decline in prices has been in part equalized to the producer by the decline in the freight rates. Money has been cheap ; bank deposits have been large, and increasingly large ; employment has had to be found for it all. Credit has been prompt to follow the- requirements of increased production, and the consequence is that to-day there are larger stocks in the United Kingdom of every known article almost than were ever recorded before. The sup- pHes afloat are commensurate (stimulated by cheap freights), while production, over-stimulated by unhealthy causes, has supplies yet as large to send forward. The losses already are stupendous. Trade stagnates with a cheap money market, and there seems no light ahead. To know and consider these things is healthful, and is a prelude to the consideration of remedy in the future. On this point ingenuity fails, as the Act stands at present,, to provide a better suggestion than that the public should exer- cise common sense in their investments; but experience tells us that that faculty does not abound. Capital, it seems ordained,, should never remain long in one hand— a melancholy reflection which IS strikingly confirmed in the fact that of the 19 833 com- panies registered in the past twenty-one years, only about 8 800. are now in operation ! As long as the world lasts, so long will the unwary be deluded into false investments. While the Act of " Limited Liability " exists in its present form, so long will com- pany mongers flourish and credulous people suffer. It does seem, however, worthy of consideration whether some modification of the Act could not be introduced which would be a check on the abuse of the facilities for starting "joint stock" enter- prises-. For example — on the lines of the " Commandite " system : let it be ordained that no company shall be registered or subscrip- tions be permitted which does not provide that the promoters and directors (the Solidaires or Grerants) shall possess, and, as long as they continue managers of such company shall possess, a certain large qualification — bona fide subscribed — and that their liability shall not be limited by the terms of the Act, but extend to a certain fixed sum, whether twice or three times the amount of the whole subscription. Further, it might be declared illegal for promoters to receive a remuneration on gross or on net profits, whether shareholders receive a dividend or not, and for banks or other institutions to make advances on fixed investments beyond a certain proportion of their capital without the Directors first consulting the shareholders. The necessity for these last recom- mendations will be well understood by those who have subscribed to enterprises where the managers alone are now receiving any benefit, or to those whose adventures have been subjected to competition by the reckless use of deposited funds, contrary to recognized banking principles. To many minds these suggestions may appear chimerical, but it must be remembered that " limited liability," as we have it, is still a new principle and is capable of improvement. My argu- ment is based on the conviction that it has brought trade within measurable distance of dire disaster, and that the process must be repeated again and again if some correction is not soon under- taken. The weight of the present commercial depression has passed the individual merchant, and now centres on limited lia- bility institutions. Whether they have the strength to meet the pressure of the next twelve months is beyond knowledge ; but all that time of depression, more or less severe, seems before us, 6 with superabundant stocks, superabundant production, superabun- dant tonnage, and scarce a single industry or commercial enter- prise showing a fair return. Money is cheap and superabundant too, in some quarters as yet untrammelled, and the temptation to force its employment does not appear likely to help that whole- some restriction which alone can speedily relieve the depression. Gleams of improvement there may be, but with superabundant supply on hand and in prospect such rallies can only, be tran- sient. All enterprise is now mainly dependent on the support of the " limited liability " principle, and the cheap credit every- where at command. There are few capitalist merchants left ; had there been more of them and less " limited liability " money in reckless use, I believe the present state of universal dullness, with its prolonged outlook, would not exist. The old trading customs of the country have almost com- pletely changed during the last ten or fifteen years, owing to the enormous increase of financial facilities, the development of rapid communications and the extension of telegraphs. The old order of " middlemen " has necessarily gone — many doubtless from sheer mental inability. Private capital is no longer a necessity. The man who prospers is the keen, active dealer who turns over large transactions at bare remunerations, such as the old " middleman " of the past could not live upon, and the operations are such as neither he nor his bankers would have attempted. Personal capital is not needed. Given fair character and a reasonable programme, then all the credit required is at command. By extending this somewhat lengthy illustration to every other branch of trade during the past few years— of ship-build- mg, of house-building, of manufacturing, of every enterprise under the sun— and you have first activity, spurious prosperity, unwhole- some expansion of trade, and finally the condition of things now existent— a condition apparently hopeless at the moment, and from which no relief can follow until the principle (joint stock limited liability) which has encouraged it fails in its weakest pomts, and remedy is applied to prevent the recurrence of reck- lessness in management, and to give more caution to the general operations in trade, which not the "individual" as in former days, but " joint stock " now controls. When commercial and financial resources were private' and comparatively restricted, the " decennial agues " were sharp and quick in their action, for credit was limited, means were not abundant, and the mischief was promptly choked. In due course, more or less speedy, business revived ; but now the pros- pect of reaction is remote, for, as I have said, " beggarly hoards have been skinned," more capital exists than is needed, and is continually seeking for employment. " Lueri bonus odor ex re qualibet," and managers of a certain order will not think twice as to credit given, when their existence depends on the amount of use that can be shown of the talents confided to them. In conclusion, I repeat that the benefits conferred upon the masses of this country by joint stock institutions with limitation of liability, by co-operation, and all efforts of a like character, cannot be summed up, nor can too great praise be given to those institutions whose prudent and successful management are matter for commercial pride and general praise; but the insufiiciently restricted character of the Limited Liability Act as it now stands does, I believe, encourage great abuses, leads to violent transfer of property, and, as I hold, is the cause of the present state of depression. Over- trading and excess of enterprise are surely exemplified by the crowded state of warehouses ; by the hundreds of steamers and sailing vessels laid up in all our ports, simply because to sail them now would be to sail them to a loss, and by the gloom and despondency pervading every channel of trade. With all this, the Bank of England rate of discount is only 2 per cent ! This over-trading, however much the " individual " has had his part in it, has been carried on with "joint stock " moneys. The private means to do it never existed. W. B. HALHED. Pholomouni Pamphlet Binder CJaylord Bros., Inc. Makers Syracuse, N. Y. FAT, JAN 21, 190t M If